{smcl} {* *! version 1.0.1 21aug2026}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar" "help gvar"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar methods" "help gvar_methods"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar bayes" "help gvar_bayes"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar estimate" "help gvar_estimate"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar irf" "help gvar_irf"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar spillover" "help gvar_spillover"}{...} {vieweralsosee "gvar stability" "help gvar_stability"}{...} {viewerjumpto "The GVAR model" "gvar_references##gvar"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Estimation and inference" "gvar_references##est"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Bayesian methods" "gvar_references##bayes"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Connectedness" "gvar_references##conn"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Structural change" "gvar_references##break"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Software this package follows" "gvar_references##software"}{...} {title:Title} {phang} {bf:gvar references} {hline 2} works cited in the {cmd:gvar} documentation {pstd} Every author-year citation in this package's help files resolves here. Entries are grouped by what they are cited for, and each carries the digital object identifier where one exists, so a reader can go from a claim in a help page to the paper that supports it in one step. {marker gvar}{...} {title:The GVAR model} {phang} Pesaran, M. H., T. Schuermann and S. M. Weiner. 2004. Modeling regional interdependencies using a global error-correcting macroeconometric model. {it:Journal of Business & Economic Statistics} 22(2): 129-162. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1198/073500104000000019":doi:10.1198/073500104000000019}. {pmore} The original GVAR: country-specific error-correcting models linked by trade-weighted foreign variables. The construction of {it:x*} in {helpb gvar_foreign:gvar foreign} and the link matrices in {helpb gvar_weights:gvar weights} follow this paper. {phang} Dees, S., F. di Mauro, M. H. Pesaran and L. V. Smith. 2007. Exploring the international linkages of the euro area: a global VAR analysis. {it:Journal of Applied Econometrics} 22(1): 1-38. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.932":doi:10.1002/jae.932}. {pmore} Referred to throughout as DdPS(2007). The source of the weak-exogeneity F test in {helpb gvar_wetest:gvar wetest}, of the device that makes a global variable endogenous in one country ({opt gendog()} in {helpb gvar_setup:gvar setup}), and of the 26-country specification shipped as the demo. {marker est}{...} {title:Estimation and inference} {phang} Pesaran, M. H., Y. Shin and R. J. Smith. 2000. Structural analysis of vector error correction models with exogenous I(1) variables. {it:Journal of Econometrics} 97(2): 293-343. {pmore} The VECMX* framework: reduced-rank ML with weakly exogenous I(1) regressors, and the cointegration critical values used by {helpb gvar_coint:gvar coint}. The five deterministic cases of {opt case()} are this paper's. {phang} Pesaran, M. H. and Y. Shin. 1998. Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models. {it:Economics Letters} 58(1): 17-29. {pmore} The generalized impulse responses of {helpb gvar_irf:gvar irf} and the generalized decompositions of {helpb gvar_fevd:gvar fevd}, which do not require an ordering of the variables. {marker bayes}{...} {title:Bayesian methods} {phang} Crespo Cuaresma, J., M. Feldkircher and F. Huber. 2016. Forecasting with global vector autoregressive models: a Bayesian approach. {it:Journal of Applied Econometrics} 31(7): 1371-1391. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2504":doi:10.1002/jae.2504}. {phang} Boeck, M., M. Feldkircher and F. Huber. 2022. BGVAR: Bayesian global vector autoregressions with shrinkage priors in R. {it:Journal of Statistical Software} 104(9): 1-28. {browse "https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v104.i09":doi:10.18637/jss.v104.i09}. {pmore} The companion paper to the R package this package's Bayesian branch follows. The Minnesota, SSVS, Normal-Gamma and Horseshoe priors of {helpb gvar_bayes:gvar bayes} are the four it implements. {phang} Kastner, G. and S. Fruehwirth-Schnatter. 2014. Ancillarity-sufficiency interweaving strategy (ASIS) for boosting MCMC estimation of stochastic volatility models. {it:Computational Statistics & Data Analysis} 76: 408-423. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2013.01.002":doi:10.1016/j.csda.2013.01.002}. {pmore} The target for {opt sv} in {helpb gvar_bayes:gvar bayes}. This package uses the standard mixture sampler rather than the interweaved one, so mixing may be slower -- which is what {helpb gvar_bconv:gvar bconv} is for. {phang} Geweke, J. 1992. Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to calculating posterior moments. In {it:Bayesian Statistics 4}, ed. J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith. Oxford: Clarendon Press. {pmore} The convergence diagnostic reported by {helpb gvar_bconv:gvar bconv}. {phang} Spiegelhalter, D. J., N. G. Best, B. P. Carlin and A. van der Linde. 2002. Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. {it:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B} 64(4): 583-639. {pmore} The deviance information criterion and the effective number of parameters computed by {helpb gvar_bdic:gvar bdic}. {marker conn}{...} {title:Connectedness} {phang} Diebold, F. X. and K. Yilmaz. 2014. On the network topology of variance decompositions: measuring the connectedness of financial firms. {it:Journal of Econometrics} 182(1): 119-134. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012":doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012}. {pmore} The connectedness table of {helpb gvar_spillover:gvar spillover}: directional to and from each unit, and the total connectedness index. {marker break}{...} {title:Structural change} {phang} Zeileis, A., F. Leisch, K. Hornik and C. Kleiber. 2002. strucchange: an R package for testing for structural change in linear regression models. {it:Journal of Statistical Software} 7(2): 1-38. {browse "https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v007.i02":doi:10.18637/jss.v007.i02}. {phang} Zeileis, A., C. Kleiber, W. Kraemer and K. Hornik. 2003. Testing and dating of structural changes in practice. {it:Computational Statistics & Data Analysis} 44(1-2): 109-123. {browse "https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9473(03)00030-6":doi:10.1016/S0167-9473(03)00030-6}. {pmore} The empirical fluctuation process family behind {helpb gvar_stability:gvar stability}. {marker software}{...} {title:Software this package follows} {pstd} This package is a port. Where a computation could be read from a reference implementation rather than inferred from a paper, it was; the help page for each command names the file it follows under its {bf:Source} heading. {p 8 8 2} {bf:GVAR Toolbox 2.0} (August 2014), L. V. Smith and A. Galesi. MATLAB. The source for estimation, the weak-exogeneity test, the dominant unit model and the bootstrap.{p_end} {p 8 8 2} {bf:BGVAR} 2.6.0, M. Boeck, M. Feldkircher and F. Huber. R. The source for the Bayesian branch -- priors, stochastic volatility, and the DIC.{p_end} {p 8 8 2} {bf:GVARX} 1.2. R. Consulted for the GVAR estimation interface.{p_end} {p 8 8 2} {bf:vars} 1.6-1, B. Pfaff. R. See Pfaff, B. 2008. VAR, SVAR and SVEC models: implementation within R package vars. {it:Journal of Statistical Software} 27(4). Consulted for the VAR diagnostics.{p_end} {p 8 8 2} {bf:strucchange} 1.6-0, A. Zeileis et al. R. The source for the fluctuation tests, as cited above.{p_end} {pstd} Where this package's output does not reproduce a reference implementation's, that is documented rather than hidden: see {help gvar_methods##wedev:gvar methods, "Weak exogeneity: a known deviation"}. {marker author}{...} {title:Author} {pstd} Dr Merwan Roudane{break} {browse "mailto:merwanroudane920@gmail.com":merwanroudane920@gmail.com}{break} {browse "https://github.com/merwanroudane":https://github.com/merwanroudane}