{smcl} {* *! version 1.0 31ene2017}{...} {findalias asfradohelp}{...} {vieweralsosee "" "--"}{...} {vieweralsosee "[R] help" "help help"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Syntax" "pobrezaECU##syntax"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Description" "pobrezaECU##description"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Options" "pobrezaECU##options"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Remarks" "pobrezaECU##remarks"}{...} {viewerjumpto "Examples" "pobrezaECU##examples"}{...} {title:Title} {phang} {bf:pobrezaECU} {hline 2} Nonparametric forecast of the Ecuadorian poverty rate. {marker syntax}{...} {title:Syntax} {p 8 17 2} {cmdab:pobrezaECU} year quarter {synoptset 20 tabbed}{...} {synoptline} {syntab:Arguments*} {synopt:{opt year}}represent the year of the survey (only integers greater or equal to 2007){p_end} {synopt:{opt quarter}}represent the quarter of the survey (only integers between 1 and 4) {p_end} {synoptline} {pstd} *These arguments are {hi:strictly required}. {marker description}{...} {title:Description} {pstd} {cmd:pobrezaECU} predicts Ecuador's poverty rate from simulation of households' income conditional on the business cycle phase. For a detailed description of the methodology and results visit: {browse "https://drive.google.com/open?id=1PZD4_QaljbuZWUqdnEG56vGeBdGRWTFn"}. {marker options}{...} {title:Options} {pstd} Options not allowed. {marker examples}{...} {title:Examples} Example - Predicting poverty for the fourth quarter of 2016 {pstd} For this example you should use the ENEMDU of December 2015. It can be downloaded from www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec {phang}{cmd:. pobrezaECU 2015 4}{p_end} {pstd} This command will show the following information: {pstd} {hi: Pobreza 2015-4T: 23.28} {pstd} {hi: Pobreza 2016-4T:} Recuperacion 23.06 Crecimiento 22.06 Dec. Sobre tendencia 21.52 Dec. bajo tendencia 24.82 {pstd} This values represent the poverty prediction for 2016-4T {marker author}{...} {title:Authors} Daniel Jaramillo Calderon, jaramillocalderondc@gmail.com - daniel.jaramillo@ubc.ca Sergio Guerra Reyes, sergio_guerra@hks13.harvard.edu