{smcl} {* *!1.0.0 Brent Mcsharry brent@focused-light.net 14Jan2014}{...} {cmd:help rasprt} {hline} {title:Title} {p2colset 5 18 20 2}{...} {p2col :{hi:raewma} {hline 2}}Plot a Risk adjusted exponentially weighted moving average chart{p_end} {p2colreset}{...} {title:Syntax} {p 8 17 2} {cmdab:rasprt} {outcomevar sequencevar} {ifin} , {Predicted(varname)} {STartest} [{it:options}] {synoptset 30 tabbed}{...} {synopthdr} {synoptline} {syntab:Options} {synopt:{opt SMooth(#)}} The smoothing parameter (denoted by lambda). Default 0.01 {p_end} {synopt:{opt Alpha1(#)}} First threshold line. Default 0.05 {p_end} {synopt:{opt Alpha2(#)}} Second threshold line. Default 0.01 {p_end} {synopt:{opt XLABEL(rule_or_values)}} major ticks plus labels{p_end} {synopt:{opt YTITLE(axis_title)}} see {help axis_title_options}{p_end} {synopt:{opt YLABEL(rule_or_values)}} major ticks plus labels. see {help axis_label_options}{p_end} {synopt:{opt LEGEND([contents] [location])}} see {help legend_option}{p_end} {synopt:{opt RESolution(#)}} The point at which the exponential weighting is rounded down to 0. Default 0.0000125 {p_end} {synoptline} {p2colreset}{...} {p 4 6 2} {title:Description} {pstd} {cmd:raewma} plots a smothed, risk adjusted eqponentially weighted moving average over sequential records. {p_end} {pstd} {cmd:outcomevar} The actual outcome being benchmarked. Must be binary. {p_end} {pstd} {cmd:sequencevar} A variable denoting in what order each subject has entered the analysis. {p_end} {pstd} {cmd:Predicted} The predicted value for the outcome under investigation. {p_end} {pstd} {cmd:STartest} The y value to begin the plot - A guess at the (unadjusted) proportion of outcomes expected, seen previously or seen elsewhere. See {it:examples}. {p_end} {dlgtab:Main} {title:Options} {phang} {opt SMooth} The smoothing parameter. Cook, Duke and Hart suggest: "Our experience with RA monitoring in intensive care is that a choice of [a smoothing parameter] between 0.005 and 0.020 is needed so the distributions of the observed and predicted EWMA plots are comparable"[1]. {p_end} {phang} {opt RESolution} This should rarely need to be changed. Older observations receive exponentially less weight. In order to minimise computational expense in larger data sets, much earlier observations have a weighting of 0 applied. The value entered assumes a constant predicted outcome for each case, and represents the inverse of the total number of pixels or dots required to create a noticable deflection. For instance, the default value of 0.0000125 has been chosen as this is roughly the resolution of 1 dot on a 2400 DPI printer at A1 size (33.1 inches high in landscape). Assign a value of 0 to calculate the exponential weighting for all values in the dataset. {p_end} {title:Authors} {p 4 4 2}Brent McSharry, Starship Children's Hospital, Auckland New Zealand - brentm@adhb.govt.nz {p_end} {title:Examples} {hline} {pstd}Setup{p_end} {phang2}. {stata webuse cancer}{p_end} {phang2}. {stata gen int study_entry_sequence=_n}{p_end} {phang2} assuming co-efficients from a (fictional) validated benchmarking model - intercept -3.6, age 0.12 per year, coeficient for drug2 -3.5 and drug 3 -3.2 {p_end} {phang2}. {stata gen double predicted_death=invlogit(-3.6+ 0.12*age -3.5*(drug==2) -3.2*(drug==3))}{p_end} {phang2} Creating another fictional benchmarking model - in this case more outcomes are occuring than would be predicted {p_end} {phang2}. {stata gen double xs_pred_death=invlogit(-5.6+ 0.12*age -5*(drug==2) -3.2*(drug==3))}{p_end} {pstd}Plot{p_end} {phang2} {it:note}: Assuming that the published unadjusted mortality for a person with a cancer of this type is around 35% {p_end} {phang2}. {stata raewma died study_entry_sequence, pr(predicted_death) start(0.35)}{p_end} {phang2}. {stata raewma died study_entry_sequence, pr(xs_pred_death) start(0.35)}{p_end} {hline} {title:Also see} {psee} [1] Aticle: {it:BMJ Qual Saf} 2011 20: 469-474 {browse "http://qualitysafety.bmj.com/content/20/6/469.full.pdf+html":Exponentially weighted moving average charts to compare observed and expected values for monitoring risk-adjusted hospital indicators} {p_end} {psee} [2] Aticle: {it:Critical Care and Resuscitation} 2008; Volume 10, Number 3: pp. 239-251 {browse "http://cicm.org.au/journal/2008/september/ccr_10_3_010908_239_Cook.pdf":Review of the application of risk-adjusted charts to analyse mortality outcomes in critical care}{p_end}