Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Title: Pricing options on short-term interest rates using discrete arbitrage-free models Abstract: On June 23 1989, the Chicago Board of Options Exchange introduced a new option on short-term interest rate. These options were unique in that, unlike other interest rate dependent options, there were no assets like bonds underlying them. So, when these options are exercized, settlement delivery is in cash. These options opened new avenues for investors interested in hedging and speculating on interest rate movements. In the present study these short-term interest rate option markets are analysed utilizing recent developments on discrete interest rate stochastic processes. Of the various models developed to price interest contingent claims, Ho and Lee (1986) is especially important since these researchers use the entire term structure to derive relatively simple arbitrage based models. In this study these newly introduced options on interest rates are priced and empirically tested using the modified version of a Ho and Lee term structure model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Ming Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Victor Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Title: Duopsony models with consistent conjectural variations Abstract: In this note we develop a consistent conjectural variation model that generalizes Bresnahan's (1981) results to a duopoly-duopsony setting. This is the first duopsony model in which firms are constrained to have consistent conjectural variations, and two interesting results emerge. First, Bertrand conjectures occur when inputs are homogeneous and when input demand functions are horizontal. Second, the consistent conjectures equilibrium approaches Cournot when input demand functions are vertical or when the firm is a monopolist-monopsonist. This implies that firms will behave more competitively in a duopsony setting as inputs and outputs become more homogeneous and as input demand functions become relatively more elastic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 8-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:8-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Capital punishment and deterrence: a comment on Cloninger's paper Abstract: Cloninger (1992) applied the portfolio approach to criminal behaviour and illustrated the deterrent effect of capital punishment by use of data from 1983-1988 across the states of America and the District of Columbia. This comment suggests two possible flaws in Cloninger's analyses, which, if taken into account, may shed more light on the effect which he purports to demonstrate and it suggests that application of the analyses to an earlier historical period may be necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:12-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Consistency under exponential forecasting Abstract: We study the consistency property in the exchange rate expectation formation process, which all rational forecasts have, but which itself does not require rationality. An alternative test procedure recommended by Pesaran (1989) is applied. Survey data helps avoid the risk premium issue altogether. The exponential forecasting framework provides evidence of bandwagon effects in the expectation formation process. Consistency is upheld at the shorter forecast horizon, but breaks down conclusively for the longer forecast periods. These results are supported by Froot and Ito (1989). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 14-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:14-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: George Matysiak Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Matysiak Title: How do UK regional commercial rents move? Abstract: An investigation of UK rent movements and adjustment mechanisms shows London as unique in contrast with other regions in the country and distinguishes retail from office and industrial property markets. Two kinds of Granger causality of long run equilibrium and short term dynamics have been scrutinized to establish the evidence for our statement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Du Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Price instability and inflation: empirical evidence from the People's Republic of China Abstract: The relationship between price instability and inflation is re-examined using the data for the People's Republic of China over the period 1953-91. The empirical results indicate that Friedman's conjecture of positive relationship between price instability and inflation is valid in China, where the economic system is quite different from those in market-oriented economy countries. Such a validation implies that higher inflation in China is unfavourable as it causes higher price instability that will reduce the efficiency of price system in allocating resource, hinder economic growth and could even result in economic disorder. This also suggests that a consistent and stable anti-inflation policy that reduces price instability would be preferable in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miles Finney Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Finney Title: Property tax effects on intrametropolitan firm location: further evidence Abstract: This paper estimates the determinants of manufacturing firm location in an urban area, concentrating on the impact property taxes have on firm location. This note, which estimates location probabilities, provides further evidence under an alternative methodology on the role local taxes play in determining intrametropolitan location. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-31 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:29-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Bring Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Bring Title: How not to find the relationship between foreign aid and economic growth Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 32-33 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:32-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharmila Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Sharmila Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Title: Government wage differentials for women: do city dwellers earn more? Abstract: Previous research has shown that female workers, unlike other minorities, continue to earn a wage premium in the US public sector. We examine the nature of government wage differentials for female workers separately for city dwellers and non-city dwellers. A bivariate selectivity approach is used which recognizes the endogeneity of the government worker status variable and the union choice variable in the wage formation process. The public sector wage premium is found to be higher for city dwellers than non-city dwellers, pointing to the role of political influence in the government wage setting process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Structural change and unit root testing: British industrial production 1700-1913 Abstract: This paper considers unit root tests of the index of British industrial production 1700-1913. For the full sample the data are found to be I(1). However, three distinct phases are identified with alternating stationarity properties. One period, 1780-1851, is identified as the British Industrial Revolution. The results support the findings of Perron (1989) and Reichlin (1989) on the dangers of unit root testing in models with structural change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-40 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:39-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Testing nonlinearities in purchasing power parity Abstract: This note presents some empirical evidence on the presence of nonlinear adjustment in the PPP relationship. Nonlinearities are shown to be captured by a polynomial in the error correction term. It is also shown that there is some evidence for PPP when the hypothesis is tested over the period of the recent floating using the Yen/DM exchange rate. Using the residual of the cointegrating regression as an error correction term, two error correction models are estimated, and non-nested model selection testing reveals that nonlinear adjustment is predominant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-43 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:41-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical investigation of the export growth-economic growth relationship Abstract: The export growth-economic growth cointegration structure is investigated for a large sample of low/middle/high income countries, including the newly industrialized ones. Previous Granger causality studies in this area are fundamentally flawed due to the absence of any form of pretesting for cointegration, hence we forward our study. Extensive stationarity tests are conducted including the KPSS procedure. In sequence we conduct cointegration tests based on the Phillips-Hansen fully modified OLS method and then run the Phillips-Ouliaris tests of non-stationarity on the residuals. For the majority of the countries in our sample, export growth and economic growth are cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 44-48 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:44-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salim Darbar Author-X-Name-First: Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Darbar Title: The unbiasedness of the forward exchange rate: evidence from the 1920s Abstract: The relationship between the spot and forward exchange rates during the 1920s is reexamined for five major currencies with daily data. Johansen's (1988, 1991) methodology is used to test for cointegration between spot and forward exchange rates. The results show that the spot and forward exchange rates are cointegrated with a cointegrating vector of one, providing evidence in support of the unbiasedness of the forward exchange rate and market efficiency. Johansen's method provides stronger evidence in favour of the unbiasedness hypothesis compared to the residual based single equation OLS approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Mukum Mbaku Author-X-Name-First: John Mukum Author-X-Name-Last: Mbaku Title: Foreign aid and economic growth in Cameroon: a reply Abstract: Johan Bring (1994), in his criticism of my paper on Cameroon (Mbaku, 1993), raises several issues related to the definition of aid, the time span used in the study, and the methodology adopted. In this reply, I shall address these issues and outline what I believe to be the key contributions and shortcomings of Bring's comments. I conclude that several of the issues raised by Bring were covered effectively in my original study, the methodology employed is based on one that has been made explicit in the literature, and I stand by the results and conclusions of my study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-57 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:55-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Factors determining the income velocity of money in a developing economy Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of different factors on income velocity of money in 23 developing countries for the 1955-88 period. The results show that inflationary expectation raises income velocity in an agricultural developing economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 58-62 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:58-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Yijuan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Chaotic volatility in market portfolios Abstract: Empirical estimates of the Lorenz model of chaos are reported here for the conditional variances of returns of selected mutual funds over the period September 1988 to April 1993. These estimates show that chaotic instability may occur with a positive probability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-65 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:63-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Easton Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Title: Takeover activity and share returns in Australia: a note Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 66-68 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:66-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuddalore Sundar Author-X-Name-First: Cuddalore Author-X-Name-Last: Sundar Title: Impact of trade on purchasing power parity in black market and official exchange rates Abstract: In this study, the impact of trade on purchasing power parity was tested for a sample of Asian currencies using official and black market exchange rates. Cross exchange rates were used in order to directly compare prices between countries. The efficient markets version of PPP cannot be rejected for most trading country pairs using official exchange rates. For nontrading country pairs, PPP cannot be rejected using black market exchange rates. An implication of these results for future research is that the choice of exchange rates in PPP studies should be determined by trade or lack thereof between any two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-73 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:69-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The investment-output ratio in growth regressions Abstract: The investment-output ratio is often used as a regressor in empirical studies of economic growth, although Scott (1991) is the only serious proponent of its being theoretically appropriate to do so. Evidence is here adduced that when capital stock data are available they ought to be used in preference to investment data. In addition, many growth studies employ population data to proxy, rather poorly, a labour force variable, although no one has ever suggested that this is more than a pis aller. Evidence is presented here that this is an unsatisfactory procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 74-76 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:74-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Cross country evidence on nonlinearity in industrial production between the wars Abstract: We use the BDS statistic to test for unmodelled structure in the linearly filtered industrial production figures for Canada, France, Japan and the USA between 1919 and 1930. The i.i.d. null is rejected for France and Japan though there is other evidence for nonlinearity in the remaining series. In particular, we are able to fit self-exciting threshold autoregression (SETAR) models to each series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Author-Name: David Thurston Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: January or April? Tests of the turn-of-the-year effect in the New Zealand stock market Abstract: Turn-of-the-year effect has been observed in many markets throughout the world and various explanations have been suggested for this anomaly in the markets. The 'tax-loss selling' hypothesis is one such explanation that has received some support. The present study examines the validity of this hypothesis in the New Zealand context. Since the financial year in New Zealand ends in March there should be an April effect if the tax-loss selling theory is to hold. The study finds that there is neither a January effect nor an April effect in New Zealand. The small size and the poor liquidity of the market may be factors influencing this observation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Canopy Roychoudhury Author-X-Name-First: Canopy Author-X-Name-Last: Roychoudhury Title: A comparative analysis of the causes of discrimination between rental and owner-occupied housing units Abstract: Using fair housing audits, previous research has shown that black renters, unlike their white counterparts, continue to receive unfavourable treatment in the rental housing market. We extend the analysis to owner-occupied housing units for the Detroit Metropolitan area. Although racial discrimination appears to be declining in the rental market over time, our results show no sign of any change in the owner-occupied housing market. Probing the causes of discrimination, we find that significant differences and similarities exist in the hypotheses explaining discrimination between the two types of housing units. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-87 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:84-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Title: Balance of payments determined growth in Germany Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob Brochner Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Brochner Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Title: Forecasts of inflation with price expectations Abstract: This paper embeds survey price expectations of manufacturing into a mark-up model of price determination. The model, which is employed to forecast (changes in) growth in consumer and producer prices one quarter ahead, is estimated for seven EEC countries. The predictive performance, in terms of the mean forecast error, of the model is compared with an ARIMA forecast of inflation. The results suggest that the predictive performance of the price-expectational-augmented price model is superior to the ARIMA model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-95 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:92-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: A diffusion model of right-to-work law history in the United States Abstract: This study offers a new approach to measure the adoption practices of right-to-work legislation by states over time. By allowing the dependent variable to represent the number of years a state has had the RTW legislation (with 1989 as the terminal year), the intensity of adoption can be modelled. This technique allows the cross-section to represent the year of adoption rather than a single year, and represents an effort to compare states in like circumstances (a measure of diffusion). Interestingly, the result fails to support the theory that unionization rates are significantly negatively related to the adoption practices, although the degree of a state's labour force engaged in both construction and manufacturing are important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-98 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:96-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Everton Dockery Author-X-Name-First: Everton Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: Yannis Georgellis Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Georgellis Title: Long-run purchasing power parity: the case of Greece 1980-1992 Abstract: In this paper we use cointegration techniques to test the long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for nine Drachma exchange rates within the European currency area. The results support the long-run PPP hypothesis only in the cases of Portugal, Spain and the UK, as these countries were not seriously constrained by the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hynds Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hynds Author-Name: Ian Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The demand for test match cricket Abstract: Within an allocation of time framework, a demand function for test match cricket in Britain is estimated using 248 observations of daily attendances drawn from 52 matches over the period 1984 to 1992. We find that the time intensity of international cricket does have a mild deterrence effect on attendance as earnings rise. Consistent with other studies in the economics of sport, there is evidence that uncertainty of outcome augments demand. However, it is cricket, demographic and day specific, rather than economic, variables which account for most of the demand variation. The introduction in 1991 of test match cricket on Sundays added over 4000 spectators to total attendances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Investment data and the empirical relationship between exporters, government and economic growth Abstract: The effect of using gross investment data and utilized net capital stock data respectively to construct the investment-output ratio in growth equations modelling the effects of exporters and the government is demonstrated. Almost all such models in the literature use the former data, and yet, as discussed by Alexander (1994a), the latter data are theoretically superior. For a group of G7 countries evidence is produced that suggests the possibility that other researchers findings reflect the data they use to construct their investment-output ratio rather than a true relationship between exporters and the government respectively and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Kuznets's inverted-U hypothesis revisited Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Author-Name: Syed Ali Raza Mehdi Author-X-Name-First: Syed Ali Raza Author-X-Name-Last: Mehdi Title: The effect of unemployment insurance on unemployment rate and average duration: evidence from pooled cross-sectional time-series data Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the impact of the unemployment insurance system upon the insured unemployment rate and the average duration of unemployment. It employs a simultaneous equation framework because of possible feedback effects between the insured unemployment rate and the average duration of unemployment. Based on a pooled crosssectional time-series model (covering all the 50 states in the USA for the years 1967-88) that corrects for heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation, and the results show some support for the hypothesis that the unemployment insurance system, by providing workers with a safety net, increases both the insured unemployment rate and the duration period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 114-118 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:114-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of dynamic efficiency measurement Abstract: Methods of measuring dynamic efficiency of a set of units and comparing it with static efficiency are presented here through a linear programming model and illustrated by an empirical application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-121 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:119-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryann Brady Author-X-Name-First: Maryann Author-X-Name-Last: Brady Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Lewis Karstensson Author-X-Name-First: Lewis Author-X-Name-Last: Karstensson Title: Cost structure in college and university student health centres Abstract: This study examines cost structure for the provision of health care in college and university student health centres. Empirical estimates of a translog cost function for 81 American College Health Association member institutions show economies of scale in the production of student health care. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Residential location and the earnings of white and Hispanic men Abstract: Much has been written on the impact of residential location on the earnings of males and whether the effect of residential location is different for African-American than white males. Unfortunately, very few researchers have devoted systematic attention to the impact of residential location on the earnings of Hispanics. Using data from the 1990 Current Population Survey, the authors estimate and compare the effect of residential location on the annual earnings of white and Hispanic males. Three principal findings emerge. First, the authors find that both central city and suburban Hispanics earn significantly less than white male residents of the suburbs. Secondly, the results reported here suggest that while central city residence lowers the earnings of both white and Hispanic men, the impact is more pronounced on the latter than the former. Third, this study finds no evidence that suburban earn more than central city Hispanics. This result stands in stark contrast to comparisons between suburban and central city whites, leading the authors to conclude that 'race rather than space' may play a more important role in contributing to the white-Hispanic male earnings differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-131 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:127-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Segmented trends and the stochastic properties of UK output Abstract: This letter confirms that annual UK output suffers a break in trend in 1918 as suggested by Duck (1992). It then goes on to show that a segmented trend model with two breaks, in 1918 and 1921, with trend growth of approximately 2% and 2.25% per annum before and after these breaks, and with a cyclical component having a period of approximately 8 years, provides an excellent fit to the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-133 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:132-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The elasticity of scale in large New York Stock Exchange companies and corporations, 1975-92 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 134-137 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:134-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Crato Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Crato Author-Name: Philip Rothman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Rothman Title: A reappraisal of parity reversion for UK real exchange rates Abstract: We apply a new approach to test the long-run purchasing power parity theory of real exchange rate movements for the UK. The question of whether real exchange rates have a unit root or are mean reverting is set in the more general framework of fractionally differenced time-series models. Our results suggest that in the current period of floating rates, UK real exchange rates return to parity in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-141 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:139-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: Measurement error and the returns to excess schooling Abstract: This paper considers the degree of measurement error in estimates of required schooling for jobs and the bias created by errors when estimating the returns to overeducation. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, it finds substantial differences between estimates of required schooling. Thus errors in measurement may seriously bias previous results examining the wage effects of overeducation. This paper uses instrumental variable techniques to correct for measurement error and finds no significant returns for surplus schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 142-144 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:142-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis McCornac Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: McCornac Title: Velocity and money growth variability: evidence from Japan Abstract: This paper investigates the robustness of the Friedman hypothesis that states the volatility of money growth influences the velocity of money. Using data for Japan the Granger-causality method is implemented to test for the effect of the variability of the Japanese monetary aggregate M2+CDs on velocity. The regression estimates support the Friedman hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A new approach to testing ex ante purchasing power parity Abstract: Conventional PPP neglects the role of uncertainty and expectations in the determination of exchange rates. In the presence of uncertainty and expectations about the future, as postulated by ex ante PPP, the exchange rate is determined not only by current relative prices but also by the expected real exchange rate, implying that the omission of the latter makes the PPP model misspecified. Results of empirical testing indicate the importance of the role played by the expected real exchange rate in determining the current nominal exchange rate. These results support the ex ante PPP model against the conventional model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-151 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:148-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Stuart McDougall Author-X-Name-First: R. Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: McDougall Title: The stability of velocity: a test for seasonal cointegration Abstract: This paper applies seasonal integration and cointegration tests to assess the non-stationary characteristics of velocity using 25 years of quarterly unadjusted New Zealand money and income data. Velocity is clearly non-stationary on the basis of the seasonal unit root tests and there is some evidence of a changing seasonal pattern. The non-stationarity of velocity is confirmed by the acceptance of the hypothesis of non-cointegration between money and income at both the zero and biannual frequency. On balance, the cointegration results indicate no long-run relationship between money and income. While not addressing the issue of direction of causation, these results could be interpreted as questioning the monetarist view that the stable relationship between money and income can be exploited so that important macroeconomic variables can be influenced by manipulating the money supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-157 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:152-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Timothy Dewhurst Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Dewhurst Title: Hysteresis in the earnings function: an analysis by occupation Abstract: The theory of hysteresis in the earnings function is tested by investigating its existence across a variety of occupations. Hysteresis signals are detected for professionals and executives, but not for manual construction workers or for the self-employed, so lending support to the theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-160 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:158-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasudeva Murthy Author-X-Name-First: Vasudeva Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Author-Name: John Mbaku Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mbaku Title: Foreign aid and economic growth in Cameroon: evidence from cointegration tests Abstract: Mbaku (1993, 1994) presents empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that in Cameroon, during 1971-90, foreign aid had no impact on economic growth. In this note, we apply the recent technique of unit-root testing and Johansen's maximum likelihood procedure to show, on the contrary, that foreign aid had a positive contribution to economic growth in Cameroon during the period under study. We attribute the differences in the results to the differences in methodology, and the implied optimal lag structure in our study. We contend that cointegration tests are warranted in studies of this nature, before any structural analysis and policy implications of the model, are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. H. J. Hassink Author-X-Name-First: W. H. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Author-Name: R. D. Huigen Author-X-Name-First: R. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Huigen Author-Name: Z. Zeelenberg Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Zeelenberg Title: Sampling errors and the substitution between white-collar and blue-collar workers Abstract: The consequences of sampling errors in estimating a simple labour demand model, using panel data of firms is discussed. It is found that the sampling errors of the variables at the firm-level due to the sampling process at the employee-level, have a substantial influence on the estimates of the elasticity of substitution between white-collar and blue-collar workers. It is shown that because of the large noise-to-signal ratio of the explanatory variable no evidence of substitution can be found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 164-166 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:164-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cooper Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cooper Title: Purchasing power parity: a cointegration analysis of the Australian, New Zealand and Singaporean currencies Abstract: This paper provides a brief overview of tests for stationarity and cointegration and applies them in an attempt to establish the validity of purchasing power parity theory for the Australian, New Zealand and Singaporean currencies using quarterly time series for the period 1973 to 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Stern Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Accuracy of the translog function Abstract: There has been some discussion of the accuracy of the translog approximation. Various simulation studies have generated different assessments. It is shown that when data are generated using known elasticities but no explicit production or cost function, the translog estimates of own price and cross-price elasticities prove reasonably accurate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 172-174 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:172-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Thomas Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Suyono Salamun Author-X-Name-First: Suyono Author-X-Name-Last: Salamun Author-Name: Thomas Willett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: The effects of inflation on economic growth in industrial and developing countries: is there a difference? Abstract: Using panel estimation for a large sample of industrial and developing countries we find significant negative effects of inflation on economic growth. The magnitude of these effects is, however, much larger for the industrial countries than for the developing countries Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-177 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:175-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Motivations that underlie the subscription prices in common stocks rights offerings: industrial firms Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the subscription price decision in a common stock rights offering. The competing prediction of the Heinkel and Schwartz model, in which a higher subscription price signals a higher quality firm, and the Myers and Majluf model in which the firm sets a low subscription price in order to secure the financing for a positive NPV project from the firm's existing stockholders are examined. For a sample of 69 industrial firms, the two-day offering period cumulative abnormal return is estimated using standard event study methodology. The relative subscription price is defined as the ratio of the subscription price to the mean of closing prices of the five trading days immediately preceding the two-day offering period. The sample was divided into two subsamples according to high and low relative subscription prices. The results indicate that industrial firms conform to the theoretical predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model. Higher quality firms use the subscription price in a rights offering as a signalling mechanism to distinguish themselves from lower quality firms. Relative subscription price is positively and significantly associated with the CAR. Apparently for industrials, securing the financing of a project is not a primary consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 178-181 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:178-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Athanasios Noulas Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Noulas Title: Portfolio mix and net charge offs at large United States commercial banks Abstract: The United States banking industry experienced a period of poor performance in the late 1980s. Significant problems with loans as reflected in loan loss provisions and net charge offs hampered bank profitability. We examine the effect of portfolio composition on net charge offs at large commercial banks in the late 1980s. Among the various conclusions, one stands out: large banks that hold a higher share of total assets in loans also experience lower net charge offs to total loans, other things being constant. That is, the larger the exposure a bank has in loans relative to other assets, the better its experience with ultimate loan defaults. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ermisch Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ermisch Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Interpretation of negative sample selection effects in wage offer equations Abstract: The finding of negative sample selection effects in estimated wage offer equations is often viewed as being 'problematic', resulting from misspecification of the wage and selection processes. This note shows that negative sample selection effects are plausible in the context of Heckman's reservation wage model of labour supply. Therefore, such findings need not necessarily be cause for concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-189 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:187-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Swidler Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Swidler Author-Name: P. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Wealth transfers and the initial pricing of PERCS Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the initial pricing of a form of convertible preferred stock, PERCS (preferred equity redemption cumulative stock). The analysis shows that investors may pay more for the PERCS than the value of the individual components of the financially engineered security. The empirical results suggest that PERCS may be a cheaper way for firms to issue equity causing wealth transfers from holders of PERCS to common stock shareholders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 190-193 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:190-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judith Giles Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Another look at the evidence on foreign aid led economic growth Abstract: We apply recent time series techniques to Mbaku's Cameroon data to investigate the effects of foreign aid on economic growth. In contrast to Mbaku, we find some evidence to support the foreign aid led growth hypotheses in Cameroon. Our results illustrate the importance of testing hypotheses in an appropriate time series framework and the difficulties of time-series modelling with an insufficient span of data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-199 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:194-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Richard Marriott Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Marriott Title: Determinants of the level and methods of charitable giving in the 1990 Family Expenditure Survey Abstract: The purpose of this note is to use the 1990 FES to update Jones and Posnett's analysis of the determinants of household giving to charity in the 1984 survey. Our analysis extends the earlier work by analysing the interaction between the level of giving and the method of payment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 200-203 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:200-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Cointegration, causality and the government budget-inflation relationship in Greece Abstract: This paper considers the relationship between cointegration and causality and uses tests of cointegration as pre-test for Granger tests of causality. The analysis is employed in analysing the government budget-inflation relationship in Greece. Empirical evidence suggest that there is a long-run relationship between government budget and price level and support the hypothesis of a bidirectional causality between the two variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 204-206 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:204-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Atukeren Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Atukeren Title: A note on the tests of Granger-causality between exports and economic growth Abstract: This paper demonstrates that the Granger-causality tests are not affected by an accounting identity relationship. In the context of exports and economic growth relationship, this amounts to saying that if a Granger-causal relationship from exports to output is detected, this cannot be due to a built-in accounting identity relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-209 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:207-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Goering Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Goering Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Title: A note regarding ARCH and threshold processes: results from a Monte Carlo study Abstract: Many economic relationships are non-linear. Hence, when analysing economic data it is important to identify any non-linearity. The primary type of non-linearity examined by economists is the ARCH-class model. However, other types of non-linear processes may be expected in economic and financial data. One of these is the threshold-class autoregressive process. This paper finds that the power of standard ARCH pre-test procedures for detecting threshold type non-linearity is very poor under certain parameter specifications; and that ARCH may be 'detected' in a significant number of cases even though the true process is of the threshold class. Thus care should be taken when interpreting ARCH pre-tests in economic series that are likely to contain threshold boundaries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-213 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:210-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Market volatility and skewness persistence Abstract: Skewness persistence and its impact on market volatility are examined here empirically over recent NYSE stock market data. The empirical results do not show any skewness persistence, although the skewness factor affects market volatility to a significant degree. This suggests the need to modify the volatility tests based on ARCH models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: The behaviour of closed-end country fund prices in the Asian NIEs Abstract: This paper tests the impact of international investment restrictions on closed-end country funds in four Asian countries - Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. The results show that the relationship between the premiums or discounts on closed-end country funds and announcements of changes in investment restrictions is sensitive to how individual countries respond to foreign innovations. A strong relationship exists in countries with large restrictions on investment - Korea and Taiwan. However, the relationship seems to break down in countries where there are virtually no restrictions on investment - Hong Kong and Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-222 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:219-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: The social impact of unemployment Abstract: Although it has been argued that unemployment results in an increased suicide rate in a society, this association was found in the present study in only a minority of a sample of nations with data available for the period 1950-85. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Cointegration analysis of agriculture and non-agricultural sectors in the Chinese economy 1952-92 Abstract: A vector autoregression (VAR) model is employed to investigate the cointegration relationship between agriculture and non-agricultural sectors in the Chinese economy during 1952-92. Three cointegration vectors are identified among agriculture, industry, construction, transport and services. Agriculture is found to be weakly exogenous to the economic system, suggesting that it was a main driving force for all the other sectors; but the converse is untrue. Government policies biased against agriculture are main reasons for agriculture's weak exogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-229 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:227-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phillip Lawler Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Lawler Author-Name: Neil Manning Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: Purchasing power parity and market frictions: a neutral band analysis Abstract: The paper employs a simple threshold model of US bilateral real exchange rate dynamics. The econometric results appear consistent with the existence of a 'neutral band'. Real exchange rates seem to revert to purchasing power parity (PPP) levels only outside the neutral band. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 230-232 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:230-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Clive Collis Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Collis Title: A duration analysis approach to the examination of the lengths of periods of price stability in the UK retail petrol industry Abstract: This article applies duration analysis to pricing behaviour in an oligopolistic industry, namely the UK Retail Petrol Industry, for the period January 1983 to October 1989. The findings of the analysis are that: a period of rising or falling prices will reduce the lengths of price stability and that periods of price stability ending in March or April lasted longer than those ending in other months as firms awaited changes in the excise rate in the Budget. There was no evidence that the leading firm, Esso, exhibited longer periods of price stability, a result consistent with the hypothesis of conscious parallelism in pricing behaviour in an industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-235 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:233-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kirikos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kirikos Title: Cointegration, risk aversion and real asset prices Abstract: In this letter a vector autoregressive framework is used in order to assess the empirical and economic relevance of the present value model of stock prices with varying discount factors, using data from the New York Stock Exchange over the period 1974-90. The time-series properties of the variables involved are determined by means of formal statistical tests and the relationship between risk aversion and stock price volatility is studied. The model performs poorly for all admissible values of the Arrow-Pratt measure of relative risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 236-240 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:236-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Wong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Menzie David Chinn Author-X-Name-First: Menzie David Author-X-Name-Last: Chinn Author-Name: Tuan Tran Author-X-Name-First: Tuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: How sensitive are trends to data definitions? Results for East Asian and G5 countries Abstract: This paper examines whether test results characterizing per capita output as either trend or difference stationary are sensitive to whether output is valued in domestic currency terms, or in some international numeraire, such as the Summers-Heston international dollar. Using the conventional ADF test, and the Kwiatkowsi et al. test with a trend stationary null, we find that for economies such as those of the East Asian countries, the best description of the persistence of the data does depend upon the valuation of output. No such discrepancy is found for the output series of the G5 countries. We conclude that researchers should be extremely cautious about making generalizations regarding the time-series properties of output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Scale and technical efficiency in the production of economic research Abstract: Data envelopment analysis is applied to the research assessment exercise data collected by the Higher Education Funding Councils in 1992, to study the relative performance of UK university departments of economics. The analysis throws light on returns to scale and on the characteristics deemed desirable by the peer review panel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:7-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Gardiner Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Gardiner Author-Name: John Henneberry Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Henneberry Title: Analysing the property-gilts yield differential Abstract: Forecast rather than actual values of variables are used in an analysis of the property-gilts yield gap to mimic more closely the investor's decision-making environment. The estimated equations combine parsimony with a high level of explanatory power. The yield gap is found to vary simultaneously in all regions. This is attributed to the dominance of an aspatial influence: inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:12-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Title: Preliminary findings on the economic effects of Greek military expenditure Abstract: Greece has regularly been ranked as the country with the highest defence burden in NATO and the European Union. This study, using an error-correction approach, is a preliminary empirical investigation into the economic effects of military spending in Greece during the period 1963-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 16-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:16-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oluwole Owoye Author-X-Name-First: Oluwole Author-X-Name-Last: Owoye Title: The causal relationship between taxes and expenditures in the G7 countries: cointegration and error-correction models Abstract: The paper examines the causal relationship between tax revenues and expenditures in the G7 countries using cointegration and error-correction methodology. This statistical technique provides additional channels through which causality could emerge. The empirical results show that bidirectional causality exists between government taxes and expenditures in all countries except in Japan and Italy. For Japan and Italy, causality runs from government taxes to expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:19-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Externality effect of the USA total, federal and state government expenditures on private investment, 1960-91 Abstract: The main objective of this short paper is to measure the impact of increases in total, federal and state government expenditures on private investment in the USA. For this purpose a framework based on a variable elasticity approach is used and tested. The results obtained conclusively support the 'accelerator principle' and 'crowding out' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:23-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenmin Fang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenmin Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Richard Yan-Ki Ho Author-X-Name-First: Richard Yan-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Asset reallocation with interest rate swaps Abstract: A bond portfolio model with interest rate swaps is developed to carry out the mean-variance analysis. It is found that interest rate swaps can be used to reallocate non-marketable bonds in the portfolio by swapping out the non-traded fixed-rate bonds into LIBOR-based floating rate notes. The optimal allocation of bond portfolios can be achieved from the implicit reallocation of non-marketable bonds in the portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-30 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:27-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: The second J-curve and trade account dynamics Abstract: A second and an independent J-curve effect emerges where import expenditures depend on wealth and where current account imbalance feeds back on itself through its effect on asset accumulation. The combination of the two J-curves in conjunction gives rise to a wide range of dynamic possibilities for the trade account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-33 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:31-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Author-Name: Patricia McKee Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: McKee Author-Name: Michael Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: A decomposition method for analysing inter-group income differences with an application to Catholics and Protestants in Northern Ireland Abstract: This paper argues that inter-group disparities in economic welfare are best measured by intercommunity income differences and it proceeds to analyse the structure of such income differences through the decomposition of the ratio of the respective group incomes. Simulation experiments then attempt to uncover the relationship between changes in unemployment rates and (consequent) changes in the Catholic-Protestant income ratio in Northern Ireland. The results of these experiments show that reductions in the overall unemployment rate - if unaccompanied by improvements in the unemployment position of Catholics relative to that of Protestants - would have the least effect on the relative income of Catholics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-37 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:34-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Donald Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: Money, output and prices in Turkey Abstract: The determination of aggregate output and the price level in Turkey is examined. Empirical results indicate that the Turkish economy behaves consistent with predictions of a simple real business cycle model. Output follows an autoregressive structure with trend. Monetary policy is neutral and the results point to unitary elasticity between money and prices. The findings are generally robust to estimations in levels or first differences, and hold for either the narrow or broad money stock. The results suggest a modelling and policy strategy which may be relevant for other semi-industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 38-41 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:38-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Michael Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Michael Author-Name: A. R. Nobay Author-X-Name-First: A. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nobay Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: A test for rational expectations when some variables are I(2) Abstract: This paper exploits the result that in the case of I(2) processes the precise dating of variables is crucial when empirically testing for cointegration. The data for the latter part of the German hyperinflation episode exhibit I(2) behaviour. We utilize these data to discriminate between alternative expectations hypotheses in the demand for money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 42-44 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:42-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Nikitas Pittis Author-X-Name-First: Nikitas Author-X-Name-Last: Pittis Title: Interest rate linkages within the European Monetary System: an alternative interpretation Abstract: In this note the empirical evidence presented by Karfakis and Moschos (1990) and Katsimbris and Miller (1993) on interest rate linkages in the EMS is reinterpreted and their finding of non-stationarity of interest rate differentials in the EMS is rationalized. It is argued that their results are not counterintuitive if it is taken into account that the integration of financial markets in the EMS has been a gradual process, which has implied slow convergence of interest rates to German levels. Such a dynamic process accounts for the non-stationarity of interest rate differentials. However, the argument that standard parity conditions require pairwise cointegration of interest rates is a valid one once convergence has been achieved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lloyd Blenman Author-X-Name-First: Lloyd Author-X-Name-Last: Blenman Title: Tests of covered interest parity: a comment Abstract: Tests for the existence of covered interest arbitrage opportunity are complicated by the existence of market incompleteness and the lack of synchronous trading data in foreign exchange markets. The acquisition and use of synchronous data resolves some problems but does not address the issue of heterogeneity. Typically customers face different opportunity sets and tests which purport to find no arbitrage opportunities must take this fact into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-50 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:49-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Minh Dao Author-X-Name-First: Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Dao Author-Name: Abu Wahid Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Wahid Title: Monetary policy, output and inflation in Bangladesh: a dynamic analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between money, prices, output, and the exchange rate in Bangladesh during the 1974-92 period. Several interesting conclusions can be derived from the paper. First, the inflationary process in Bangladesh cannot be explained exclusively by the monetarist or the structuralist explanation of inflation. Second, regardless of the monetary aggregate employed, monetary policy exerts a significant unidirectional impact on real output. Third, monetary policy and inflation together account for a significant portion of fluctuations in the exchange rate. Finally, it is noted that monetary shocks have a strong, but relatively short-run, impact on inflation. In light of these findings, it can be concluded that monetary policy in Bangladesh should be carried out with extreme caution. While tight money may put a short-term halt to inflation and help stabilize the foreign trade sector, it may also cause a slowdown in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-55 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Ex ante hedge ratios and the hedging effectiveness of the FTSE-100 stock index futures contract Abstract: This paper examines the hedging effectiveness of the FTSE-100 stock index futures contract over the period 1984-92. Previous studies have examined this issue using ex post hedge ratios, resulting in an overestimation of hedging performance. This study utilizes ex ante hedge ratios which are determined on the basis of historical information. It is shown that while hedge ratios vary through time, nonetheless it is possible to use this futures contract to achieve very substantial risk reduction as compared to an unhedged position. Hedge ratios estimated over longer periods are shown to provide greater risk reduction when applied in subsequent periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-59 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:56-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: The impact of international trade on the 'in-house' transaction sector: evidence from the United States, 1985-89 Abstract: This study investigates the impact of international trade on the 'in-house' transaction sector of US manufacturing industries over the period 1985-89. Higher import (export) intensity is found to have a strongly (weakly) negative effect on the relative size of the sector. The need for organizational restructuring seems especially urgent for 'high-tech' industries, which tend to have relatively large private bureaucracies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 60-63 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:60-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. C. Lee Author-X-Name-First: B. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: A behavioural approach to sovereign debt reschedulings Abstract: An early-warning model which predicts the extent of sovereign debt reschedulings is developedusing the behavioural assumption thatindividuals (and governments) develop minimum consumption requirements. Sharp and unexpected falls in income and consumption can threaten these minimum requirements, thus foreshadowing the magnitude of sovereign debt reschedulings as government decision-makers choose to suspend full sovereign debt servicing in order to avoid extreme marginal utility losses. This implication is empirically analysed using data for 88 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 64-66 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:64-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The fractal structure in multinational stock returns Abstract: The essence of fractal analysis is seeking for a pattern that is independent of scale. This paper examines the existence of long-term memory in nine Asian stock markets together with US and UK indices using the modified rescaled-ranged (R/S) statistic. The modified R/S statistic is robust not only with respect to the normality assumption,but also to short-term autocorrelation. The data in the sample range from 1 January 1988 to 30 June 1992 and are arranged in daily, weekly and monthly returns. In most cases, the phenomenon of long-term memory is not found; hence the random walk hypothesis cannot be rejected.The UK market, however, exhibits some long-term memory for various data frequencies and lags. The result of this paper provides directions for future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javed Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: The effect of race on earnings in the United States Abstract: Most studies that have examined the effect of race on earnings in the United States have used aggregated data. This often obscures as much as it reveals.This article computes white-black earnings differentials for a number of relatively narrow groups, and finds that the earnings gap varies considerably across them. By using recent data from 1987, the study also updates earlier estimates of racial differentials. The use of Cotton and Neumark's modified version of the widely used Oaxaca technique, and Heckman's corrections for selectivity bias strengthen the methodological underpinnings of the model, and constitute improvement over previous work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-75 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:72-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Blackburn Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Blackburn Author-Name: Felipe Orduna Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Orduna Author-Name: Martin Sola Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Sola Title: Exponential smoothing and spurious correlation: a note Abstract: Exponential smoothing can introduce spurious auto-correlation in detrended data. The extent of this depends on the length of lag, the value of the smoothing parameter and the nature of the input process. The most widely-used version of exponential smoothing is the Hodrick-Prescott low-frequency filter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 76-79 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:76-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Sheen Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Sheen Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: An analysis of the structural change in the exchange market pressure: Korea, 1980-89 Abstract: This paper tests the stability of the exchange market pressure model in the case of Korea under a managed floating exchange rate. Using the cusum of squares test, we show that the structural stability was broken in about mid-1986. This is plausible given that there was a sudden surplus in the balance of payments in Korea in late 1985. Estimation results show that the exchange market pressure model works very well where there is a surplus in balance of payments; however, its explanatory power is poor in periods of deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-82 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:80-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bellak Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bellak Title: Foreign direct investments bias the net external asset position Abstract: The bias of the net external asset position (NEAP) which arises from the revaluation of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is examined. The bias is defined as the difference between the historical value and the market value of the balance of inward and outward FDI. Possible effects of the revaluation of FDI on the NEAP are discussed theoretically and empirical evidence is given on the magnitude of the bias. It is concluded that the use of NEAP data with FDI at historic cost - as frequently found to test hypotheses in growth theory and finance theory - leads to positively or negatively biased results in countries with a large net-FDI position compared to their NEA Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-85 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1987 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1987:i:4:p:83-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Estimating efficiency by cost frontiers: a comparison of parametric and nonparametric methods Abstract: Two methods of estimating efficiency by cost frontiers are analysed here by way of generalizing Farrell's convex hull method and illustrated by an empirical application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 86-90 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:86-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Title: An explanation of the slowdown in US economic growth Abstract: This paper provides a Keynesian account of the slowdown in the United States economic growth as suggested by the growth model of Thirlwall. According to Thirlwall's model, economic growth is determined by the dynamic Harrod foreign trade multiplier. This multiplier relation indicates that the fall in the rate of economic growth has been brought about mainly by an increase in the income elasticity of demand for imports Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Arestis Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Arestis Author-Name: I. Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal Author-X-Name-First: I. Biefang-Frisancho Author-X-Name-Last: Mariscal Author-Name: P. G. A. Howells Author-X-Name-First: P. G. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Howells Author-Name: H. -M. Trautwein Author-X-Name-First: H. -M. Author-X-Name-Last: Trautwein Title: The demand for broad money in the United Kingdom and in West Germany: a comparative dynamic short-run study Abstract: This paper examines the short-run adjustment process in the demand for money in the UK and in Germany with a view, particularly, to exploring the consequences of the different experiences of financial innovation in the two countries. Our hypothesis was that interest rate relativities might play a larger role in the UK where a major innovation of the last twenty years has been the rise in the proportion of deposits paying market-sensitive interest rates. The estimations of the short-run dynamic equations, which are satisfactory for both countries, confirmed our view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Jan Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Is it real? The relationship between real deficits and real growth: new evidence using long-run data Abstract: Long-run data for the USA is used to examine whether the inflation adjustment of the government budget deficit as proposed by Eisner and Pieper makes a difference in assessing the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth. Using Vector Autoregressions (VAR) it is found that both the inflation adjusted and the unadjusted deficit exert a negative influence on real growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 98-102 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:98-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A note on board directors Abstract: Additional evidence on the importance of independent board directors is provided. A positive and statistically significant link between the shareholder wealth effects of acquisition decisions and the percentage of outside board directors is found. This result is controlled for the possible effects of manager-shareholder interest alignment and synergetic gains. Moreover, the positive wealth effect diminishes as the square of the percentage of outside directors increases, suggesting a critical percentage for outside directors. Also there is evidence that the benefits of outside director monitoring is weakened without a certain level of managerial ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jim Millington Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Millington Title: Age and inter-county net migration in Great Britain Abstract: The net migration patterns of four age groups are analysed using National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) inter-county migration data for the periods 1987/88 and 1990/91. Age is shown to have an important bearing upon the relative importance of various determinants of migration. The effect of the movement from national boom to deep recession is also commented upon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-109 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:107-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Brookfield Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Brookfield Title: New evidence regarding the statistical properties of the FTA500 UK stock market index Abstract: A well-known fact regarding the distributional properties of stock market returns is that they are fat-tailed. Evidence is provided in this paper of further interesting properties relating to a simple decomposition of returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 110-112 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:110-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: IGARCH and variance change in the US long-run interest rate Abstract: It is shown that a one-time variance change in the US long-run interest rate spuriously suggests that it can be described with an IGARCH(1,1) process. The variance change is detected using a simple statistical test, and it corresponds to a change in monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-114 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:113-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Sandra Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Economies of scale in state lotteries: an update and statistical test Abstract: Until 1985, research in the economics literature on state lotteries was based on the simplifying assumption that administrative costs were constant. DeBoer (1985) provided empirical evidence supporting the idea that average administrative costs are not constant, but decline with output. In other words, DeBoer found evidence for the presence of economies of scale in the provision of state lotteries. The purpose of this study is to update and improve upon DeBoer's estimation of the lottery cost function. Unlike DeBoer, we statistically test for the presence of economies of scale in the administration of state lottery games. This study suggests that large scale lottery operations by larger states have lower per-unit costs than lotteries on smaller scales. Our study firmly establishes the presence of statistically significant economies of scale in the provision of state lotteries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-117 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:115-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Yingqui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yingqui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Is money more productive in a developing economy? Abstract: This paper tests the frequently cited hypothesis that money is more productive in a developing economy relative to a developed economy. Output elasticity of money is estimated for 20 countries over the 1977-92 sample period. These countries represent various stages of economic development. Two important conclusions can be derived from the results. First, irrespective of the monetary aggregate employed, the output elasticity of money is extremely low for all 20 countries. Second, the elasticity figure is sensitive neither to the stage of economic development in a particular country nor the period of time under consideration. Consequently, it can be argued that money does not play a more productive role in a developing economy relative to a developed economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-121 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:118-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. M. Nelissen Author-X-Name-First: J. H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelissen Title: Lifetime income distribution: households versus individuals Abstract: Equivalent lifetime income is more equally distributed than individual (non-equivalent) lifetime income. The assumption that lifetime income inequality is smaller than the annual income inequality is confirmed by our results. However, the difference between both appears to be rather small, in particular with respect to the older generations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 122-125 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529818 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529818&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:122-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does profit-sharing work in a centrally-planned economy? Evidence from the Chinese state industries Abstract: Many studies indicate that profit-sharing is an effective incentive to boost productivity of firms in the western economies such as USA, UK and Germany. Whether a similar incentive scheme can work in a centrally-planned economy like China has not been well researched. China introduced a profit-sharing and bonus-payment scheme in the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) from 1979 in an attempt to reform the state industries. Using a modified CES production function in a non-linear simultaneous system, this study aims to estimate the impact of such a scheme on enterprise performance. It reveals that both labour quality and bonus incentive played an important role in raising SOEs' productivity Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 126-129 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:126-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asraul Hoque Author-X-Name-First: Asraul Author-X-Name-Last: Hoque Title: Co-integrating relationship between terms of trade and current account deficit: the Australian evidence Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between terms of trade and current account deficit (CAD) in Australia using the co-integration approach. The period covered is 1965:I to 1992:IV. Assuming that different exchange rate regimes will have different impacts on the relationship, the study considers three different exchange rate regimes for the period covered. The empirical results indicate that terms of trade along with domestic income and foreign income has a significant long-term relationship with the trade balance during the fixed exchange rate regime (1965:I to 1974:III), but not during the flexible exchange rate period. In other words, terms of trade did not have significant impact on Australia's current account deficit in the flexible exchange rate regime under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 130-133 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:130-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Garratt Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Garratt Author-Name: Stephen Hall Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: A proposed framework for monetary policy Abstract: A proposal is outlined for reconciling the use of many indicators or instruments in setting monetary policy, with the need for clarity and openness. The proposal draws on the literature of unobserved component models (Stock and Watson, 1991), constructing the unobserved component using the Kalman Filter, from a set of unobservable series. The technique used allows for cointegration between variables and for the appropriate specification of stochastic trends (Garratt, Hall and Henry, 1992). In the empirical application a single measure of the tightness of monetary policy is derived from a range of observable indicators based on monthly UK data for the period 1978-92. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-138 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:135-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Title: Day of the week effects: new evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: The primary objective is to investigate day of the week effects in an emerging stock market of a developing country, namely Turkey. Empirical results verify that although day of the week effects are present in Istanbul Securities Exchange Composite Index (ISECI) return data for the period January 1988 to August 1994, these effects change in direction and magnitude through time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-143 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:139-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salim Darbar Author-X-Name-First: Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Darbar Author-Name: Partha Deb Author-X-Name-First: Partha Author-X-Name-Last: Deb Title: Does trading volume have a unit root? Abstract: Time series properties of daily trading volume are examined for 22 New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) firms. Previous studies have found that trading volume of certain financial assets have a unit root. The Phillips-Perron approach, which is robust to heteroskedasticity and non-normality, isused to test the hypothesis of a unit root. There is strong evidence that daily volume is stationary around a linear trend. Also, for many stocks the deterministic trend is statistically significant. This result indicates the importance of appropriate detrending of trading volume before incorporating it in an economic model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 144-147 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:144-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunfeng Song Author-X-Name-First: Shunfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Does generalizing density functions better explain urban commuting? Some evidence from the Los Angeles region Abstract: The assumption thaturban workers economize on commuting is implicit in urban economic theory. Yet it has been challenged by some recent studies. This study estimates commute flows implied by three urban density functions: monocentric, polycentric, and dispersive. A polycentric density function generalizes the standard monocentric model by assuming that employment and worker residences are distributed in a pattern consistent with several employment centres, not just one. A dispersive density function further generalizes the polycentric model by assuming that urban residents not only value access to employment centres but also value access to the overall job opportunities in their location choices. It is found that an urban density function better predicting the actual spatial patterns also better explains the actual commuting behaviour. This finding helps to preserve the assumption that urban workers make attempts to economize on commuting in their location choices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-150 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:148-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Billy Mak Author-X-Name-First: Billy Author-X-Name-Last: Mak Title: A note on market integration before and after the stock crash in October 1987 Abstract: Potential gains from international diversification depend upon the degree of market integration. This paper compares the degree of market integration before and after the stock crash in October 1987 and tests whether the results differ across different investment horizons. Empirical results show that the potential gains from diversification are greatly reduced to an increase in the correlation between stock markets after the stock crash. Our results are robust over different investment horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Brailsford Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Brailsford Title: An empirical test of the effect of the return interval on conditional volatility Abstract: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effects have been hypothesized to be caused by variations in the rate of information flow. Further, Nelson (1990, 1992) argues that ARCH effects and persistence in conditional variances should vary across sampling frequencies. However, these claims have not been subject to empirical tests on stock market data when the return interval is measured using intraday data. This paper presents such a test. The results support Nelson's claim that mis-specification in the conditional mean has only a small influence on the estimated conditional variance. Thus, mis-specified ARCH class models can be a consistent 'filter' if high frequency data are employed. At the microstructure level, the results are consistent with the view that ARCH effects are generated by variability in the rate of information arrival. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 156-158 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:156-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Lester Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Property crime and unemployment: a new perspective Abstract: Vanagunas (1984) found a significant association between the unemployment rate of minority males and both motor vehicle theft and the commercial robbery rate. However, he presented no theoretical framework with which to explain these results. This paper attempts to provide a microeconomic foundation for the link between property crime and unemployment. The model is based on a cost-benefit analysis. It is unique in that the behaviour is viewed from the perspective of criminals rather than non-criminals. The empirical findings supported the hypothesis with some qualifications. Only the association between the unemployment rate and the larceny rate was positive and significant for the property crimes of the USA for the period of 1960-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Misspecification of the market model: the implications for event studies Abstract: Event studies are increasingly found in the applied finance literature. They are employed to analyse the market reaction to events and thus to investigate market efficiency. The paper is concerned with misspecification testing of the single-index market model which is conventionally employed to generate returns within the event-study method. Weekly data from the constituents of the FT-SE 100 are used in order to subject the single-index market model to rigorous misspecification tests. It is concluded that misspecification is endemic in the market model and that this is likely to lead to incorrect estimation of abnormal returns, and therefore erroneous conclusions concerning the market impact of the event in question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-165 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:163-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: The human development index and per capita GDP Abstract: Using cross-section data in regression analysis, this paper examines the relationship between per capita real GDP and the human development index in high, medium and low human development countries. The sensitivity of the human development index to changes in per capita GDP is found to be highest in low human development countries. An 'inverted U' type relationship between per capita GDP and the human development index appears to be valid for medium human development countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 166-167 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:166-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastasios Xepapadeas Author-X-Name-First: Anastasios Author-X-Name-Last: Xepapadeas Author-Name: Hassini Habib Author-X-Name-First: Hassini Author-X-Name-Last: Habib Title: An almost ideal demand system with autoregressive disturbances for dairy products in Greece Abstract: An almost ideal demand system (AIDS) is used to estimate Greek milk, cheese and butter demand from 1960-91. The model is estimated with a correction for serially correlated errors which is proved justified. Elasticities obtained from the Rotterdam and Linear Expenditure models are compared to those obtained from AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-173 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:169-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: An option pricing theory explanation of the increase in the divorce rate Abstract: This paper develops an analogy between a financial call option and a child born within wedlock. Outside marriage an unemancipated child represents a real call option to the parent who gains custody. Present value of court ordered monthly child support payment is the market price of the underlying asset. Exercise price is equal to present value of the costs of raising the child. Life of the option stretches from the date on which the divorce decree is issued to the date of emancipation for the child. Variability can be proxied by the standard deviation of the income of the noncustodial parent. A major policy implication evolves from the analogy. The perverse economic incentive of a parent (custodial) to seek custody of the child to exact economic gains out of the other parent (noncustodial) can be mitigated by reducing the value of the call option feature of the child. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 174-176 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:174-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Kabir Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: some empirical testing Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth is tested using annual time series data for Australia. The analysis reveals that both exports and the GDP series in log levels have unit roots but they do not cointegrate. However, there is evidence of Granger causality running from exports to GDP growth implying that expansion of exports promotes economic growth in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Title: Resource prices, supply shocks and output fluctuations Abstract: Following King and Plosser's (1984) suggestion, we use the growth of four real natural resource prices to proxy post-war supply shocks and assess their importance in a VAR which controls for aggregate demand influences on real output. We find that these supply shock proxies are able to account for a sizable portion of US post-war output fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-183 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:180-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Changes in the extent of financial integration within the European Community between the 1970s and 1980s Abstract: This study investigates the co-variability of changes in nominal interest rates for the main EC countries between April 1974 and January 1992, using principal components analysis. We find that there is evidence of increased monetary interdependence and greater capital market integration, but this is not a universal or even experience across all countries. EC capital markets also seem to have become more highly integrated than the money markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 184-187 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:184-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Title: Optimal lag length in estimating Dickey-Fuller statistics: an empirical note Abstract: The purpose of this note is to empirically demonstrate that the choice of summary statistic used in specifying the Dickey-Fuller test equation can determine the outcome of a test for stationarity. A reasonable empirical practice would be to evaluate stationarity over different lagged specifications of the Dickey-Fuller test equation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 188-190 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:188-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umit Erol Author-X-Name-First: Umit Author-X-Name-Last: Erol Author-Name: Erol Balkan Author-X-Name-First: Erol Author-X-Name-Last: Balkan Title: A choice-theoretic and information-oriented approach to the short-run characteristics of real and nominal interest rates Abstract: The paper adopts a choice-theoretic, information-oriented approach to the issue of stationarity of real interest rates. It is shown that a constant real rate of interest, even for short run and within the context of a simple two-market framework, requires overly demanding assumptions which are unlikely to be satisfied if efficient market hypothesis is explicitly considered. Such a model which indirectly supports the short-run variability of real interest rates in response to random information signals is tested empirically by utilizing multiple time series models for the 1959-87 observation period. The empirical results suggest a favourable interpretation of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Title: Exchange rate market efficiency: further evidence from cointegration tests Abstract: This paper examines the hypothesis that foreign exchange market is efficient. Several empirical results from earlier studies have been based on the implicit assumption that time-series data are stationary. But we use cointegration techniques, which imply that time-series data are non-stationary, to test for market efficiency, using Japanese data drawn from the Wall Street Journal. Our results suggest that the Japanese foreign exchange market is inconsistent with the efficiency hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 196-198 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:196-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: Long-run and short-run money demand: which price deflator to use? Some evidence using New Zealand data Abstract: When institutional and financial changes are great, findings about the influence of income and opportunity cost variables on money demand, and the stability of any such relationship, may be influenced by how prices are measured. This paper considers the case of New Zealand, which has experienced several large regime shifts in the space of a decade. Using the cointegration/error correction framework, it is found that consumer prices excluding interest costs provide the most meaningful measure of money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Linden Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Linden Title: The sizes and powers of some proposed I(1) and I(0) tests for a typical macro-economic time series Abstract: Four alternative tests for nonstationarity and stationarity are analysed in detail for a typical macro-economic time series. The analysed tests (ADF, LMSP, KPSS and G(p, q) tests) are asymptotical tests for the type of process considered. The small sample simulations reveal that the empirical sizes differ from the nominal sizes and the new proposed alternatives to the ADF test do not have bigger powers than these often used test statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Keasey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Keasey Author-Name: Robert Watson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: The pricing of small firm bank finance: evidence from the UK Abstract: The results indicate that although interest rate premia reflect a number of small firm risk characteristics, they do not seem to have significantly benefited from the increased bank competition of the late 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 208-210 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:208-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudolf Winter-Ebmer Author-X-Name-First: Rudolf Author-X-Name-Last: Winter-Ebmer Title: Does layoff risk explain the firm-size wage differential? Abstract: If less stable (and also less able) workers select themselves into small, unstable and lowpaying firms, predicted layoff risk of workers can be used as a proxy for heterogeneity of workers and should therefore be included in wage regressions. Doing this, one third of the size earnings premium can be explained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Bilinear quadratic ARCH and volatility spillovers in inter-war exchange rates Abstract: We investigate the properties of floating exchange rates in the inter-war period by estimating a bilinear quadratic ARCH model that allows for non-linearity in both mean and variance. Our analysis suggests that, with one exception, spot rates exhibited non-linearity in either of, or both, mean and variance. Apart from the intrinsic interest of this result it has implications for other work on, for instance, time varying risk premia which are assumed to depend on the conditional variance of forecast errors (ARCH-M models). Our analysis of the inter-war period suggests that such models are misspecified, which may explain the failure to find evidence of significant risk premia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-219 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:215-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: English league transfer prices: is there a racial dimension? Abstract: Carmichael and Thomas (1993) recently examined the transfer market for association football within a Nash bargaining framework, and explored empirically some of the determinants of association football transfer prices for the 1990-91 English league season. The purpose of this paper is to examine the role exerted by race in the determination of association football transfer prices. Using data from the 1991-92 English league season, transfer price equations are estimated to establish if black players encounter unequal treatment in the transfer market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 220-222 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:220-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Factor price equalization: revisited Abstract: Although theoretical discussion of Factor Price Equalization (FPE) theorem has been quite prolific in the international economics literature, empirical tests of the FPE theorem have been very limited and inadequately performed. In this paper, we use Johansen's multivariate cointegration testing procedure to test statistically the FPE theorem among seven EC countries for 1960-91. The results show that the FPE theorem is strongly supported for the period considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Cormack Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Cormack Title: A comment on some recent estimates of economies of scale in higher education Abstract: A simulation of the response of teaching labour inputs to a variety of course characteristics results in scale elasticities which are greater than one in the ceteris paribus case, but which are sensitive to course characteristics. Support is given to Nelson and Hevert (1992) who argue that cost functions omitting class size are mis-specified, but the argument is extended to other characteristics. For both Nelson and Hevert, and Lloyd, Morgan and Williams (1993) it is suggested that estimated scale elasticities may be distorted by departmental or institutional decisions to 'spend' some of their cost savings from increased scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-230 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:227-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Evan Tanner Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Tanner Title: Intertemporal solvency and breaks in the US deficit process: a maximum-likelihood cointegration approach Abstract: Previous research has shown that the intertemporal solvency condition is equivalent to the cointegration of either (1) the interest-inclusive government spendings and tax revenue or (2) the interest-exclusive government spendings, tax revenue and government outstanding debt. This note examines the intertemporal solvency condition using a maximum likelihood cointegration test. Results show that the solvency condition for the US government is satisfied only if a break is included in the process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-235 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:231-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: Interpreting adjustment cost effects under asymmetry: a note Abstract: This paper examines the Pfann and Verspagen specification for asymmetric adjustment cost. We show that under asymmetry, the coefficient for the linear-quadratic term understates the symmetric part of adjustment cost. The analysis reveals that a positive value for this parameter is sufficient but not necessary for a well-behaved adjustment cost function. The specification satisfies all the requirements when the linear-quadratic coefficient equals zero. We also derive a condition for a well-behaved adjustment cost function within a feasible region when the parameter has negative sign. Since our study expands the range of permissible parameter values, it increases the empirical applicability of the asymmetric adjustment cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 236-238 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:236-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. R. Oliver Author-X-Name-First: F. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Author-Name: K. L. Q. Read Author-X-Name-First: K. L. Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Read Title: Measuring inter-national differences in income: a distributional approach Abstract: Statistics of per capita Gross Domestic Product for 178 countries for each of the years between 1970 and 1989 are analysed in order to measure inter-national inequalities and to assess the success of aid from the world's richer economies in reducing them. Conventional statistics of inequality, whether based on moments or on quantiles, show unsatisfactory irregularities. However, two statistical distributions are found which describe the data closely and enable convenient and relatively stable measures of inequality to be obtained. The results show that so far from decreasing, these measures of inter-national inequality approximately trebled during the period 1970-89. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Ingham Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Ingham Title: Union joining: an empirical test of the social custom model Abstract: A recent theoretical literature explores why individuals join unions which provide only public goods. This paper finds supportive empirical evidence for one such theory. However, the continued significance of certain personal characteristics in the unionization decision suggests that unions also provide attractive, privately appropriable services to their members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-247 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:245-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Expectations-augmented Phillips curve: further evidence from state economies Abstract: This paper tests the expectations-augmented Phillips-curve hypothesis for the 50 states in the US. Unlike previous work both adaptive and rational expectations are incorporated in the modeling of the Phillips-curve relationship. Second, the role of relative regional wages are taken into account. Third, the wage-price controls of 1971-72 and 1972-73 are included in the modeling efforts. The empirical results suggest that the expectations-augmented Phillips-curve model based on adaptive expectations provides better results across the 50 states than the Phillips-curve model based on rational expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 248-254 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:248-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Estimating the returns to college: a longitudinal analysis Abstract: This study estimates returns to college from longitudinal data for the United States labour market. A combination of actual and projected earnings levels yields rates of return between 12 and 15% for white males who completed four years of college during the early 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-257 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:255-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Alternative transformations in a class of limited dependent variable models: alcohol consumption by US women Abstract: This study investigates alcohol consumption by women in the United States,using alternative specifications of the double-hurdle models which accommodate non-normal errors. The IHS double-hurdle model performs marginally better than the Box-Cox double-hurdle model but both models suggest very similar elasticities. The profile of a drinker includes white, black, smoker, homeowner, and residing in urban areas. Women who are older, pregnant or lactating, on special diet, and those with higher weight-height ratio are less likely to consume alcohol than others. Seasonal and regional variations are apparent. Smokers are more likely to consume alcohol and also consume more, while older women are less likely to drink and also drink less than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 258-262 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:258-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The implications of cointegration in financial markets Abstract: The associations between cointegration and the measurement of volatility and risk in traditional financial analysis literature are investigated and conferred empirical meanings under various market circumstances via the Granger representation theorem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-265 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:263-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Yonghao Pu Author-X-Name-First: Yonghao Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Title: Unions and the rise in wage inequality in Britain Abstract: This paper lends support to the political explanation for the observed rising wage inequality in Britain in the 1980s and early 1990s. The decline of collective bargaining and other changes in pay arrangements during this time have been to the disadvantage of the low paid. We seek support using a cointegration framework, focusing on union density and strike variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 266-270 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:266-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayiotis Diamandis Author-X-Name-First: Panayiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Diamandis Author-Name: Georgios Kouretas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Kouretas Title: Cointegration and market efficiency: a time series analysis of the Greek drachma Abstract: We use multivariate cointegration techniques to examine market efficiency with respect to five bilateral exchange rates of the Greek drachma. The conclusion is that the five exchange rates possess one long-run relationship and that the existence of the cointegration relation is not affected by temporal instability. The market efficiency hypothesis is therefore rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-277 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:271-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Suicide, homicide and unemployment Abstract: The strong association between unemployment and suicide was found in an examination of annual changes in both of these rates in the USA. However, the association between unemployment and suicide appears to be strong in the United States, but weak or non-existent in other nations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 278-279 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:278-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Robert Prince Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Title: The winner/loser hypothesis: some preliminary Australian evidence on the impact of changing risk Abstract: The extent of the winner-loser anomaly on the Austalian equities market for the period 1974-91 is examined. Documentation of the contrarian strategy is argued as being invalid unless compensation is made for changing risk premiums through time. The evidence shows a slight reversal for the winner portfolio based on raw returns, but risk adjusted winners continue to be winners and losers persist as losers although the behaviour is not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 280-283 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:280-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Test of variable output and scale elasticities for 20 US manufacturing industries Abstract: The production function is examined and tests are made to determine whether or not output and scale elasticities vary across individual industries based on a new CES or the Box-Cox production function and a pooled data set of 20 US manufacturing industries during 1987-91. This approach differs from the conventional method of using long time-series data to estimate output or scale elasticities for each of the 20 manufacturing industries. This new CES function has the advantages of including the Cobb-Douglas and linear functions as special cases, less multicollinearity problems, and more flexibility of output and scale elasticities. Empirical work shows that the new CES function yields better results. Both the Cobb-Douglas (double-log) and linear functions can be rejected at the 1% level. Output-labour elasticities varied from a low of 0.18 for tobacco to a high of 0.70 for apparel. Output-capital elasticities also ranged from 0.31 for apparel to 0.88 for petroleum. Total output or scale elasticities ranged from 0.51 for tobacco to 1.24 for primary metal. Thus, individual industries exhibit different output and scale elasticities. Although many industries show constant returns to scale, there are a number of industries that display decreasing or increasing returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 284-287 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:284-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Abhyankar Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abhyankar Author-Name: L. S. Copeland Author-X-Name-First: L. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Copeland Author-Name: W. Wong Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Moment condition failure in high frequency financial data: evidence from the S&P 500 Abstract: Loretan-Phillips maximal moment exponent estimators are used to investigate the distribution of S&P 500 stock returns at a range of different frequencies. In all cases, the variance is found to be finite, but the existence of higher-order moments is in some doubt. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 288-290 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:288-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Chappell Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappell Author-Name: Joanne Padmore Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Padmore Title: Changes in volatility of the sterling-Deutschmark exchange rate: the effect of ERM membership Abstract: The behaviour of the sterling-Deutschmark exchange rate is examined over a period from November 1988 to May 1994. At the beginning of this time period sterling did not belong to the ERM, it entered in October 1990 and was withdrawn in September 1992. In this study the effect of operating within the ERM on the volatility of the exchange rate is examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-294 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:291-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carol Horton Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Carol Horton Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Author-Name: Victor Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Title: Children and the economics of Christmas gift-giving Abstract: In spite of its importance to the retail sector, there has been relatively little research on the economics of Christmas Season gift-giving. The one exception is Waldfogel (1993), The Deadweight loss of Christmas, American Economic Review, 83, 1328-1336, who found a substantial amount of deadweight loss associated with Christmas gift-giving. Here it is shown that the Waldfogel study is incomplete and alternative models of consumer choice theory which better explain Christmas gift-giving are identified. Although the standard neoclassical and altruistic models predict no relationship between the population of children and per capita Christmas spending, a model is developed that includes non-pecuniary externalities and predicts that children have a positive impact on Christmas gift-giving. This prediction is supported by empirical evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-297 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:295-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Political empowerment: earnings in the presence of African-American mayors Abstract: A full interactive earnings model measures the earnings premium enjoyed by African-American men in cities headed by African-American mayors. After controlling for selection into the labour force, African-American men in such cities are found to enjoy a 7.9% earnings premium, which derives mainly from a higher return to high-school education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-301 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:298-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Kaldor's technical progress function revisited Abstract: Here, Kaldor's technical function is re-examined and a model that can be used to test the shape of the function is introduced and tested. The results obtained conclusively refute the hypothesis that suggests the technical progress function is linear and confirm Kaldor's original hypothesis that suggests it is “convex upwards”. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-304 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:302-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Author-Name: Susan Washburn Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Susan Washburn Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Structural change in the relationship between presidential popularity and inflation and unemployment: the Nixon and Ford presidencies Abstract: A quadratic presidential popularity function for the Nixon and Ford presidencies is estimated. Using monthly data it is found that there is a structural change in the relationship between presidential popularity and inflation and unemployment between the two presidencies. This result strengthens the authors' earlier finding that one must be wary of using a single social preference function between inflation and unemployment that is time invariant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-307 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:305-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Fachin Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Fachin Title: The Finnish demand for money revisited: an application of Box-Tiao cointegration analysis and bootstrap tests Abstract: The Johansen and Juselius (1990) data on the money demand in Finland are re-examined through the Box-Tiao (1977) canonical correlation procedure, and the existence of stationary cointegrating vectors tested through the bootstrap. The conclusions reached are that (1) the Johansen and Juselius results are remarkably confirmed, and (2) the bootstrap proves to be a valuable tool, enabling robust and simple cointegration tests to be carried out as non-stationarity tests on the estimated cointegrating relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 308-310 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:308-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis revisited Abstract: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is revisited using the modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least squares (FM-OLS) procedure. It corrects for both endogeneity in the data and asymptotic bias in the coefficient estimates. The volatile decade of the 1980s is the chosen sample. The necessary and sufficient condition for market efficiency/unbiasedness is tested by sequentially conducting the Phillips-Ouliaris non-stationarity test on the residuals and the FM-WALD test for the required parameter values. Across the board evidence is found supporting cointegration between future spot rates and forward rates, i.e. the necessary condition is satisfied. But both the necessary and sufficient condition is supported for two out of four currencies, presumably due to the presence of the risk premium and/or market imperfections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Purchasing power parity doctrine: weak and strong form tests Abstract: The purchasing power parity hypothesis is investigated within a highly economically integrated set of nations, namely the European Monetary System (EMS). The modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) procedure is used, which for the first time allows for an unrestricted cointegration test of the PPP doctrine. It corrects for both endogeneity in the data and asymptotic bias in the coefficient estimates. The entire floating exchange rate period is studied. The weak form (necessary condition) and strong form (necessary and sufficient condition) of PPP are sequentially tested for. The Phillips-Ouliaris non-stationarity test on the exchange rate-price ratio series residuals and the FM-WALD test for the required parameter values are conducted. Across the board evidence is found supporting co-integration between exchange rate and prices, i.e. the necessary condition (weak form PPP) is satisfied, with the sole exception of the Belgian Franc. But the necessary and sufficient condition (strong form PPP) is not supported for any of the currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-320 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:316-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Pasqual Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Pasqual Author-Name: Jose Antonio Tarrio Author-X-Name-First: Jose Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Tarrio Title: Optimal time-phasing of investment: a consolidated spurious model Abstract: Previous studies have presented a model to determine the profitability of delaying a project for a period. In the model it is implicitly assumed that no change affects the project during the period in question. This assumption is opposed to those usually made in dynamic models. Analysing the model, we see that the condition for the postponement of the project to be optimal is indistinguishable from the general profitability condition (net present value > 0): it is worth deferring unprofitable projects and not deferring the profitable ones. The problem these authors considered is thus non-existent, unless the model is modified to incorporate ad hoc assumptions Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-322 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518979 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518979&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:321-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Paul Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Title: Autocorrelations, returns and Australian financial futures Abstract: This paper explores whether predictable autocorrelation structures exist in returns data on Australian financial futures. We explore the data using power transformations and find that for the bank accepted bills market there are potential gains from this strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-326 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:323-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Joelle Miffre Author-X-Name-First: Joelle Author-X-Name-Last: Miffre Title: A note on forecasting the CAC 40 and DAX stock index futures Abstract: In this paper we extend the research on the predictability of stock and bond markets to futures markets. By using stock and bond market forecasting variables we build ex ante models of the MATIF CAC 40 and DFB DAX stock index futures contracts. Since it is possible to construct a practical trading rule from the out-of-sample forecasts from these models, we use these models as a valid test of the efficient market hypothesis. We find that while we can develop a profitable trading rule for the French contract, a similar profitable trading rule for the German contract cannot be developed. Our results appear to suggest that the stock index futures market in France appears to be weakly inefficient, while the German model may only represent spurious correlations between the forecasting variables and the DFB DAX contract. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-330 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:327-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: Returns and firm size: A note on the UK experience 1970-1991 Abstract: Examining UK companies traded on the London Stock Exchange, the evidence reported in this note implies that prior to mid-1989 smaller companies consistently outperformed the market portfolio. Since then, however, the 'size effect' has disappeared. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518982 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518982&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: Information shares in Canadian agricultural cash and futures markets Abstract: This paper examines the information shares in four pairs of Canadian agricultural cash and futures markets by exploring their cointegrating relationships. Using error correction models (ECMs) and Hasbrouck's econometric method of estimating information shares, the results show that the price discovery process is most pronounced in the futures market. The identification and quantification of the dominant market of price discovery is of great interest to both hedgers and speculators. The advantage of Hasbrouck's technique is that it facilitates the quantification of the concept of price discovery and market dominance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: A time-varying parameter consumption model for the UK Abstract: This paper uses a time varying parameter (TVP) approach to model and forecast the aggregate consumers' expenditure on non-durables and services in the UK. The results suggest that the TVP method is particularly useful in forecasting when the structure of the consumption model is unstable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-342 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:339-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Peter Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Satellite broadcasting and match attendance: the case of rugby league Abstract: A recent development in the UK television industry has been the emergence of satellite and cable broadcasting. We examine the entrance of the BSkyB satellite network into the coverage of the first division of the rugby football league over the 1993-94 season. This paper extends the familiar model of sport attendance to incorporate the live television transmission of games which is found to exert a negative influence on attendance. Our result suggests considerable scope for future research in this neglected aspect of the factors affecting sport attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518985 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518985&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Malliaropulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaropulos Title: Testing long-run neutrality of money: evidence from the UK Abstract: The paper presents empirical evidence on the long-run neutrality of monetary policy in the UK based on the methodology developed by Fisher and Seater. Money is found to be long-run neutral with respect to real GDP and real equity prices. However, in the short to medium term permanent positive shocks to money supply seem to be positively correlated with real GDP and negatively correlated with real equity prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518986 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518986&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Ade Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Ade Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: A note on benefit differentials of black and white female workers Abstract: Large national micro-data bases (such as Current Population Survey and Survey of Income and Programme Participation) lack information on employer outlays for the fringe benefits paid workers. Therefore, this paper motivates research on intra-firm black-white differences in non-wage fringe benefits using data on female office workers of a large public university. Empirical results indicate that racial differences exist among the fringes (pension, health and life insurance, sick leave, longevity pay, vacation) and also vary across department sizes. The differentials tend to disappear, however, when combined benefits or total compensation is used as a modelling framework. These results suggest potential sensitivity of regression model estimates, of black-white benefit gaps to the degree of aggregation in the data being modelled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518987 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518987&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Capacity utilization in the USA and inflation: testing for cointegration and Granger causality Abstract: This paper investigates the long-run and short-run dynamics between capacity utilization and inflation in the USA by using cointegration and error-correction models. It employs monthly data from January 1984 to December 1994. Although each variable in level is found non-stationary by unit root tests, ADF tests and error-correction models fail to confirm any long-run association between capacity utilization and inflation. Despite a lack of cointegration, error-correction models have been utilized to identify Granger causality that has been found to run from total industrial capacity utilization to inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Title: Measuring the effects of regulation: an event study of the English and Welsh water industry Abstract: An event study methodology is used to identify and analyse the key regulatory initiatives taken by the economic regulator of the English and Welsh water industry during the period 1989-1994. By analysing movements in water company share returns relative to the stock market as a whole it is possible to see whether regulatory interventions had any effect on investor expectations. The results are consistent with the rejection of the hypothesis of regulatory capture, and with the view that the economic regulator sought to balance the demands of companies and customers through various policy initiatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Dynamic Farrell efficiency: a time series application Abstract: Dynamic versions of Farrell efficiency are formulated here and empirically applied to airlines data to estimate productivity growth and technical efficiency changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-366 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:363-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saud Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Saud Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Derek Hum Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Hum Title: Graduated work incentives and how they affect marital stability: the Canadian evidence Abstract: This paper examines how NIT payments might destabilize marriages by enhancing the economic quality of alternatives to married life. Data from Canada's MINCOME experiment indicates that the various levels of GAI support did have a stabilizing influence on its participants' marriages. This suggests that the nature of a support programme may influence the stability of low-income households, thereby making a much needed dent in the cycle of marital dissolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518991 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518991&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Omitted variables, dynamic specification and tests for homogeneity Abstract: This note examines the sensitivity of tests for homogeneity in demand systems to such factors as omitted variables and dynamic and stochastic specification. It estimates demand systems for Ireland using time-series data for different unconditional demand systems with differing dynamic and stochastic specification and also estimates a conditional demand system, thus attempting to reconcile disparate results from previous work in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 372-374 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:372-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suzhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Suzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Paul Ellinger Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Ellinger Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: The choice of functional form and estimation of banking inefficiency Abstract: The effects of alternative functional forms on parametric estimation of a multi-product cost function are examined using a sample of rural US banks. Functional forms considered for possible choice are three versions of second-order Taylor-series expansions (or locally-flexible functional forms-translog, normalized quadratic, and generalized Leontief. The generalized quadratic Box-Cox transformation and the likelihood dominance criterion are used as vehicles for conducting nested and non-nested tests. Although all three forms are rejected by the nested test, the likelihood dominance criterion indicates that the translog is clearly preferred over the other two as the functional form of choice. Using either of the other functional forms would substantially alter conclusions about both scale elasticities and inefficiencies, including the impact of bank size on these measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-379 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518993 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518993&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:375-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Karathanassis Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Karathanassis Author-Name: C. Patsos Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patsos Title: Heteroscedasticity and other misspecification issues in the market model Abstract: In this paper the authors attempt to analyse the validity of the traditional market model in the complex environment of emerging and bullish markets where heteroscedasticity and other misspecification issues are detected through application of a wide range of appropriate empirical tests and tools. The issue which the authors investigate is generally related to excess volatility caused either by market over-reaction or by changes in the market regime accompanied by changes in the systematic risk (beta) or by short-period non-informational 'noise' accompanied by violations of the classical assumptions on the residuals of the market model. The results of this work highlight and reveal several sides of relatively unknown and empirically confused areas regarding market efficiency and appropriateness and adequacy of the market model, as well as certain unusual features of investor behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 380-382 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:380-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Rand Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Title: An empirical note on the impact of college athletics on tuition revenues Abstract: The economics and sociology literature has given much attention to the proper role of athletics in the mission of institutions of higher education. This discussion has turned into a debate; one argument holds that athletics fit nicely into the mission of most colleges. However, it has also been argued that athletics impede the students and faculty from achieving their academic potential. We argue that college athletics can increase the demand to attend the institution and lower the price elasticity of demand of non-resident students. This, in turn, increases the level of financial resources available to the institution. We model the percentage of out-of-state students as being dependent upon athletic success (among other variables) and find a positive and significant relationship between the two. In addition, potential net revenue gains from athletic success are provided for specific institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-387 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518995 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518995&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:383-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Title: Differentiating use and non-use values with the properties of the variation function Abstract: A technique for measuring the use and non-use components of the total value of a quality change is proposed. The technique is illustrated using data from a study of the Pamlico Sound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 388-390 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:388-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Ostermark Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Ostermark Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Author-Name: Jaana Aaltonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaana Author-X-Name-Last: Aaltonen Title: The predictability of Finnish stock index futures and cash returns by derivatives volume Abstract: The predictability of Finnish stock index futures and cash returns by the volume of stock index options and futures is investigated. Relying on Granger causality tests and vector autoregression, the results support the hypothesis that derivatives trading volume cannot be used to predict returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Evidence on volatility spillovers in the interwar floating exchange rate period based on high/low prices Abstract: Evidence of volatility spillovers between four foreign exchange rates is examined in the interwar floating exchange rate period using daily high and low prices rather than closing prices. It is found that volatility is highly persistent and that spillovers occur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 394-396 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:394-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Unit roots cointegration and the demand for money in India Abstract: It is shown that the variables in the demand for money in India are unit root variables. Therefore the long- and short-run money demand functions are estimated using cointegration methods and error correction formulation. It is found that the long-run income and interest rate elasticities are about 1.5 and -0.42 respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-399 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:397-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Ulf-G Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Title: A pilot test of using the veil of ignorance approach to estimate a social welfare function for income Abstract: The veil of ignorance approach is tested as a basis for empirically determining the shape of the social welfare function for income. An experiment is carried out where the participants choose between different societies that differ with respect to per capita income and the distribution of income. The answers are analysed using logistic regression analysis. According to the results the respondents are willing to give up Swedish Crowns (SEK) 1 in the group with more income to gain SEK 0.35 in the group with less income, but this trade-off is independent of the size of the difference in income between the groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 400-402 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:400-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cunningham Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunningham Author-Name: J. Vilasuso Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Vilasuso Title: Time aggregation and causality tests: results from a monte carlo experiment Abstract: This paper examines the importance of time aggregation in causality testing. We find that temporal aggregates are between two and ten times more unlikely to detect a true causal relationship than are systematic sampled aggregates over short aggregation spans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-405 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519001 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519001&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:403-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Newton Lowry Author-X-Name-First: Mark Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Lowry Author-Name: Lawrence Kaufmann Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Kaufmann Title: The treatment of Z factors in price cap plans Abstract: Z factors are a commonly misunderstood but important component of price cap regulation. A typical concern is that they result in a double counting of special business conditions in the price cap index. This letter explains the mathematical logic for Z factors and shows that they need not result in double counting. Implementation issues are briefly discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 406-408 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519002 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519002&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:406-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Steeley Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: The use of spline functions for forecasting in the presence of structural changes: a cautionary tale Abstract: A number of methods have been suggested to improve forecasts for data sets subject to structural breaks. This article explains why one such procedure, the spline function technique, may not be a natural candidate. An example is given where data that appeared to be well forecast using spline functions performed poorly beyond a very short forecasting horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-411 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:409-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Sachinides Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Sachinides Title: Seigniorage versus inflation tax: a comment Abstract: This paper is a comment on an article by de Haan et al. (1993) on seigniorage in developing countries. It is argued that de Haan et al. conflate the concepts of seigniorage and inflation tax, although it is now established that these two concepts are distinct. Furthermore, the measures they employ to calculate inflation tax and seigniorage are questioned. Examples suggest that they systematically overestimate seigniorage and miscalculate the inflation tax. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 412-414 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:412-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Asymmetry in the variance of economic activity: evidence for long-run UK GDP Abstract: The purpose is to document the significance of non-linearity in the conditional mean and variance of the long-run annual UK GDP growth rate. In particular, an examination is made of asymmetry in conditional variance with respect to past shocks which implies that the conditional variance is greater, and the conditional variance function steeper, following negative shocks to output growth. Simulations of the estimated model also suggest the potential for complex dynamics including substantial amplitude changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. R. Vasudeva Murthy Author-X-Name-First: N. R. Vasudeva Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Title: Aggregate health care expenditure in the United States: new results Abstract: This research note, upon rectifying some inadvertently transposed entries in the observation matrix which was used in the authors' original article (Murthy and Ukpolo, 1994), using the maximum likelihood technique investigates whether in the United States during the period 1960-87, real per capita health care expenditure is related to real per capita income, the age structure of the population, number of practicing physicians, the relative price of health care and the ratio of public health care expenditure to total health care expenditure. While new results reveal the presence of two cointegrating vectors, the basic findings are consistent with the empirical evidence reported in the original paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Author-Name: Domenico Mignacca Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Mignacca Title: Nonlinearities in business cycle: SETAR models and G7 industrial production data Abstract: In this paper we enquire if nonlinear or linear models produce iid residuals using the BDS test for the G7 industrial production series. We found that nonlinear models produce iid residual for the USA, and evidence of NL are also detected for Canada and Germany, while Japanese data does not reject the alternatives, and the L model is rejected for Italy, France and the UK. On this evidence, 'white chaos' data generation processes cannot be rejected. We evaluate the linear and nonlinear impulse response functions finding that: long-run multipliers are smaller for European countries; long-run asymmetries are evident for the USA, Canada and West Germany. Differently from previous research, our results show that the non-linear hypothesis has to be taken seriously, but with some caution because of not entirely satisfactory forecast performance and asymmetries (this is especially true for the US series). On the other hand, the hypothesis of linearity can be rejected with greater confidence, since it almost always fails to encompass the alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 422-427 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:422-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: A measure of persistence in daily pound exchange rates Abstract: An alternative procedure to that of Lo is proposed for assessing whether there is significant evidence of persistence in time series. The technique estimates the Hurst exponent itself, and significance testing is based on an application of bootstrapping using surrogate data. The method is applied to a set of 10 daily pound exchange rates. A general lack of long-term memory is found to characterize all the series tested, in sympathy with the findings of a number of other recent papers which have used Lo's techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 428-431 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:428-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kofi Amoateng Author-X-Name-First: Kofi Author-X-Name-Last: Amoateng Title: The relationship between real long-short interest spread differentials and real exchange rates Abstract: This paper opens up an empirical investigation of the nature of the link between real long-short interest spread differentials and real exchange rates for the integrated financial markets in the industrialized world from the 1980s and the early 1990s. The consistent evidence is that there is a long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real long-short interest spread differentials and vice versa for the UK/US markets. Also, the coefficient of the error-correction term significantly estimates feedback from the real long-short interest spread differentials to real exchange rates and vice versa in the UK/US markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-436 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:432-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Title: Are devaluations effective in inducing real depreciations in sub-Saharan Africa? Abstract: The analysis of this paper, with pooled data for 20 countries in sub-Saharan Africa during 1971-1991, indicates that nominal devaluations are effective in inducing permanent depreciations in the real exchange rate (RER). A 10% nominal devaluation of the domestic currency (expressed in units per US dollar) translates into a real depreciation of 8.8 and 7.7% in the short and long run, respectively. It is also established that the RER appreciates with an increase in inflation tax. A policy implication of these results is that nominal devaluations are effective in keeping the RER close to a level that maintains external competitiveness, if accompanied by appropriate restrictive monetary and fiscal policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-439 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:437-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuejun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuejun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Equilibrium models of asset pricing with progressive taxation and tax evasion Abstract: This note examines the effect of tax evasion on the excess rate of return. With a simple assumption about tax evasion, we find that a small successful tax evasion will lower the excess rate of return at an increasing rate under progressive taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-443 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:440-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Lynch Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Lynch Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Velocity and the variability of anticipated and unanticipated money growth: a cross-country comparison Abstract: This paper uses a Granger causality test to determine if increased instability in the money supply of a country leads to a decline in velocity in that country. This research adds two new dimensions to the literature in this area. First, monetary growth is decomposed into anticipated and unanticipated components. Second, we extend the study to all of the G-7 countries. Our empirical results support the existence of a relationship between monetary instability and velocity growth in the G-7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 444-448 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:444-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Wong Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Market reactions to several popular trend-chasing technical signals Abstract: This is a study of abnormal patterns of returns associated with several trend-chasing technical signals commonly found in newspapers, finance magazines and technical analysts' reports in the Hong Kong stock market. With event-study methodology, it finds significantly positive (or negative) nominal and excess returns in the period after the signals change to provide bullish (or bearish) signals. Furthermore, it shows that the price tends to be more volatile in the period before the signal changes. These results support the conjecture that trend-chasing signals constitute important information in the market and they have an impact on stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-456 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:449-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Tan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Relative price dispersion and inflation: evidence from Taiwan's hyperinflation Abstract: Evidence is presented that a positive association existed between inflation and relative prices for Taiwan during a period of hyperinflation (1946-1949). The empirical result is consistent with most of the findings in the literature. Intramarket price dispersion is positively related to the average market rate of price change, but the strength of this relationship differs across the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-459 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:457-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiseok Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kiseok Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Shawn Ni Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: Inflation uncertainty and real economic activities Abstract: Inflation uncertainty is shown to have highly significant negative correlations with real activities if the uncertainty is measured by a state-dependent conditional variance model. The results are consistent with those obtained from survey data and cross-country data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 460-462 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:460-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaume Puig Junoy Author-X-Name-First: Jaume Puig Author-X-Name-Last: Junoy Author-Name: Angel Lopez Nicoĺs Author-X-Name-First: Angel Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Nicoĺs Title: Assessing health care infrastructure at the regional level: a statistical approach Abstract: In this paper we construct a set of infrastructure and health-need synthetic indices for the Spanish Autonomous Communities out of a wide range of representative variables by means of the statistical technique of principal components. The combination of both infrastructure and need indices yields a final index of relative coverage which proxies the access to publicly insured health care conditions of Spanish citizens in different regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Hietala Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Hietala Author-Name: Matti Keloharju Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Keloharju Title: The ex-dividend day behaviour of Finnish restricted and unrestricted shares Abstract: We analyse the ex-dividend day behaviour of two classes of shares whose trading is potentially dominated by investors under different tax regimes because of foreign ownership restrictions. Our results provide evidence in favour of the hypothesis that long-term investors are the marginal investors that determine the stock prices around the ex-dividend day, and against the hypothesis that short-term trading is the driving force behind equilibrium ex-dividend ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-468 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:467-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Academic staff salaries: equity and exploitation Abstract: Utilizing existing survey data and calculated salary means for academic staff, an examination of two aspects of remuneration is undertaken. First, salary differentials between academic staff and second, the value of work undertaken outside office hours. Findings indicate that only a small proportion of existing salary differentials can be attributed to the number of hours worked. Second, a measure of exploitation by universities is calculated indicating that approximately one-third of salaries are 'earned' outside normal working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Maxwell Alchin Author-X-Name-First: Terry Maxwell Author-X-Name-Last: Alchin Title: A note on tobacco product prices in the Australian CPI Abstract: This paper analyses the continuation of tobacco product prices within the Consumer Price Index (CPI) compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) in Australia. There are important areas concerning packet sizes, nicotine content and tar content that make the continued inclusion of such prices inconsistent between periods. This is also important when one considers the changing patterns of tobacco consumption and the need to incorporate such changes in any Australian CPI. The paper concludes with a recommendation that tobacco be removed from the CPI so that smokers whose income is linked to the CPI are not 'cushioned' from tobacco price rises which result from increased tobacco product taxation. Recent increases in the Australian CPI are used to illustrate how the cyclical nature of increased tobacco prices in the Australian CPI raise the excise tax rates and the continued inclusion of tobacco prices in the Australian CPI raises government benefits as a result. This means that the important sumptuary tax role of tobacco tax could be reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: An alternative approach to testing uncovered interest parity Abstract: This paper presents some evidence on the uncovered interest parity (UIP) hypothesis using an alternative model specification and quarterly data on three-month treasury bill rates denominated in eleven currencies vis-a-vis the dollar. Results of cointegration and coefficient restriction tests are strongly supportive of UIP in all cases. These results suggest that capital and foreign exchange markets have become highly integrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 478-481 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:478-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The supply side effects of inflation in the United States: evidence from multifactor productivity Abstract: The hypothesis that inflation has reduced the rate of growth in the United States is tested using time series data for multifactor productivity. The negative effects of inflation on growth are significant and substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 482-483 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:482-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Bernd Jan Sikken Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Sikken Author-Name: Andrew Hilder Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hilder Title: On the relationship between the debt ratio and debt maturity Abstract: The relationship between government debt and the maturity of government debt is analysed for eight OECD countries. It is found that the negative relationship between debt and effective maturity as reported by Missale and Blanchard (1994) for Ireland and Italy can also be found for some other countries with lower debt ratios. Furthermore, this negative relationship occurs only in periods when debt ratios rise. For Canada and the US, on the other hand, a positive relationship is found between debt and debt maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-486 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:484-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Eagle Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Eagle Author-Name: Dale Domian Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Domian Title: Quasi-real bonds: inflation-indexing that retains the government's hedge against aggregate-supply shocks Abstract: Inflation-indexed bonds, such as the UK's indexed-linked gilts and Canada's real return bonds, are hailed by economists for reducing inflation risk to both borrowers and lenders. However, we find that fixed-rate bonds have an advantage over inflation-indexed bonds by providing borrowers with a hedge against aggregate-supply shocks. National governments would benefit from this in the event of a major catastrophe that substantially reduces aggregate supply. To retain this hedge and still provide indexing for aggregate-demand-caused inflation, we propose a financial innovation called quasi-real bonds which are indexed to nominal GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-490 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:487-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Kumiko Okamura Author-X-Name-First: Kumiko Author-X-Name-Last: Okamura Title: History versus expectations: test of new growth theory Abstract: Which of the two forces, past history or future expectations, plays a more dominant role in economic growth? This hypothesis is econometrically tested here for Japan over the period 1965-90 and the evidence suggests a more dominant role for the forward looking expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-494 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:491-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. M. Burton Author-X-Name-First: B. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: A. A. Lonie Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lonie Author-Name: D. M. Power Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Corporate growth and the equity-debt choice Abstract: In this paper we extend the analysis of earlier investigations into the relationship between patterns of corporate growth and the announcement of new financing (see for example, Pilotte 1992; Burton et al., 1993) by examining the growth in turnover and earnings achieved by equity and debt-issuing firms. We study the performance of UK firms which made new financing announcements between 1989 and 1991 and find (i) that corporate growth generally declined in the years which followed the announcement date and (ii) that equity-issuing firms exhibited higher pre-announcement growth in sales turnover and in earnings than their debt-issuing counterparts - significantly higher growth in the case of the expansion in the value of sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Szulc Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Szulc Title: Purchasing power parities and consumer theory Abstract: Purchasing power parities are calculated using the index number defined as a ratio of cost functions in two price situations. The definition does not require similarity of preference across countries. Necessary parameters are estimated using translogarithmic Hicksian budget shares. The results may be useful in comparisons of consumption because of the relevance to the consumer theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:5-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rungsun Hataiseree Author-X-Name-First: Rungsun Author-X-Name-Last: Hataiseree Author-Name: Anthony Phipps Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Phipps Title: The degree of capital mobility in Thailand: some estimates using a cointegration approach Abstract: An empirical estimate of the degree of international capital mobility in Thailand is given. A model of interest rate determination which allows for imperfectly mobile capital and the impact of both domestic and international influences on the domestic rate is developed and estimated using cointegration techniques. The results indicate that domestic interest rates have been influenced significantly by foreign interest rates. However, despite several reductions in capital control in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the degree of capital mobility appears not to be as high as previously reported nor to have increased significantly. The finding of a moderately high degree of capital mobility coupled with a reasonable EC-type, short-run dynamic adjustment equation for the domestic interest rate implies that there is still some scope for the Thai authorities to conduct an independent monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:9-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: Hany Shawky Author-X-Name-First: Hany Author-X-Name-Last: Shawky Title: The impact of political shocks on cointegrated exchange rate series Abstract: This study applies cointegration tests with time-dependent dummies to assess the impact of the Gulf War on the relationship between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate using the British pound and the Japanese yen in terms of the US dollar. Cointegration of the spot and forward rate series cannot be supported for each of the exchange rates for a sample period around the Gulf War unless a five-week dummy is introduced starting in the Invasion week. The evidence is consistent with the existing literature in that it indirectly supports the long-run relationship between the spot and forward rates and confirms that short-run disruptions could occur and are consistent with the long-run relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Chambers Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Chambers Title: Speed of adjustment and estimation of the partial adjustment model Abstract: The effect which the speed of adjustment parameter has on the statistical properties of the partial adjustment model, and estimates of its parameters, is investigated. It is shown that in the case of very rapid adjustment, the model approaches a classical (static) regression model, but in the case of very slow adjustment, the dependent (or state) variable displays near random walk behaviour. The finite sample performance of the nonlinear least squares estimator is investigated in a simulation study, and it is found that substantial bias and mean squared error can be a feature of the estimates in the model with very slow adjustment. This suggests that extreme caution should be exercised in situations where the estimated speed of adjustment parameter is found to be small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vernon Gayle Author-X-Name-First: Vernon Author-X-Name-Last: Gayle Title: The determinants of student loan take-up in the United Kingdom: another gaze Abstract: This paper makes a comparison and contrast with the work of Johnes (1994). A similar set of survey results are employed to identify the variables which influence undergraduates' decision to take out student loans. In general income factors are not found to be significant. There is evidence that being in debt is influential. This concurs with Johnes' findings, although in this research credit card debts are also found to be a significant influence. The results suggest that marital status has a significant effect on taking out a loan, but the direction of the effect opposes Johnes results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:25-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: An investigation of cointegration and causality between fertility and female labour force participation Abstract: Applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method, this paper examines the causality between fertility and female labour participation using transformed US data for the period 1948-93. The PP tests reveal that the original series are not stationary; therefore, a first differencing is performed. This study finds that there is a undirectional causality running from BR to FR with no feedback. The results confirm the hypothesis that the presence of small children discourages a woman from seeking employment outside the house, yet employment does not affect women's decision to have children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:29-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Author-Name: David Thurston Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: Effectiveness of simple technical trading rules in the Hong Kong futures markets Abstract: Weak-form market efficiency states that past information cannot be used to consistently generate excess returns. So, technical analysis which uses past information on securities should not help generate abnormal profits consistently in a weak-form efficient market. In the present study, two simple technical trading strategies - Moving-Average-Oscillator and Trading Range Break-Out - are implemented to test whether they result in excess returns. The study is performed on the Hang Seng Futures Index, traded at the Hong Kong Futures Exchange. It is found that the moving average strategy does not produce significant excess returns, but four out of the six Trading Range Break-Out rules resulted in significant positive returns for the buy signal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:33-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan King Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Aggregate health care expenditure in the United States: evidence from cointegration tests: a comment Abstract: Murthy and Ukpolo (1994) recently estimated a model of aggregate health care expenditure for the United States using cointegration techniques. Their choice of dependent variable, however, introduced the possibility of simultaneity bias in the error-correction model they presented. Their results were also affected by errors in their database. In an effort to confirm or invalidate their findings, a slightly modified version of their model was estimated using a corrected database. The results obtained suggested that Murthy and Ukpolo's basic approach to modelling the market for health care may have been under-specified or alternatively should have incorporated separate demand and supply equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ky-Hyang Yuhn Author-X-Name-First: Ky-Hyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhn Title: Is the Fisher effect robust? Further evidence Abstract: New international evidence exists on the Fisher effect in the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Germany and Canada over the modern (post-March 1973) floating exchange rate experience. Some puzzling data has been observed which suggests that the Fisher effect appears to be strong only for particular sample periods. It has also been reported in the literature that the Fisher effect is more likely in the long run, and that it is not common across economic regimes. This study sheds some light on these controversial issues taking advantage of more powerful tests for unit roots and cointegration. The findings for the Fisher effect contrast with previous results, especially those of Mishkin. The empirical results appear to accord with historical observations on interest rate movements in the five countries. Some important results are as follows: (1) the Fisher effect is not robust to policy changes; (2) there is strong evidence of a long-run Fisher effect for the United States, Germany, and Japan, but little evidence for the United Kingdom and Canada; (3) the short-run Fisher effect is only detected in Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. M. C. de Boer Author-X-Name-First: P. M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: de Boer Author-Name: R. Harkema Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Harkema Author-Name: A. J. Soede Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Soede Title: Maximum likelihood estimation of market share models with large numbers of shares Abstract: Maximum likelihood procedures for estimating market share models break down or produce very unstable estimates when the number of brands is large as compared with the number of observations. The reason behind this phenomenon is that the estimate of the contemporaneous covariance matrix of the error terms of the model becomes singular or almost singular. This problem may be resolved by imposing restrictions on the contemporaneous covariance matrix. The resulting estimation procedure suggests that the model may contain a large number of shares, while the variance of each share may be estimated freely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: A note on unemployment rates and the paper-bill spread Abstract: This paper reports a significant causal relationship from the paper-bill spread to the civilian unemployment rate even after accounting for the importance of output growth in explaining the unemployment rate. However, this relationship apparently vanished in the 1970s. Adding the paper-bill spread to the unemployment rate autoregression causes three key nominal variables, money growth, inflation, and a detrended interest rate to become jointly insignificant in all samples which include the 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:49-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Persistence of economic growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and India Abstract: This paper examines time-series properties of economic growth and its key determinants for South Korea and India. The paper adopts a non-parametric method suggested by Cochrane (1988) and used by Campbell and Mankiw (1987) and Romer (1991), among others, to measure the persistence of economic growth and its determinants. The empirical evidence suggests that the rate has been more persistent in South Korea than in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:53-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Finite sample behaviour of GNR tests for serial correlation Abstract: The Gauss-Newton regression (GNR) tests for autoregressive (AR) processes are based on the asymptotic theory. Consequently, their finite sample properties are not known. The objective of this paper is to remedy this by undertaking a Monte Carlo study. It is hoped that the results reported will shed some light on the small sample properties of the type of GNR tests discussed here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:55-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Author-Name: Alon Granot Author-X-Name-First: Alon Author-X-Name-Last: Granot Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: An experimental investigation of direct subjective discount rates Abstract: Employing implicit discount rates (derived from subjects' cash-flow responses) previous experimental studies find that the order of magnitude of the implicit rates is higher than actual capital-market rates, and that the impact of time (t) and (S) of the cash-flow on discount rates (R) is negative. To circumvent the problem of possible misvaluation of the exponential function documented in the literature, this experimental study uses direct rather than implicit rates. The results demonstrate that the effect of t and S on R is positive. It is therefore suggested that in addition to implicit discount rates, direct rates too should be used in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:59-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Spot price volatility, information and futures trading: evidence from a thinly traded market Abstract: The impact of futures trading on spot volatility is examined for a thinly traded contract, the FTSE Eurotrack. Futures trading increases the rate at which information is impounded into prices and reduces persistence. These benefits cease after the suspension of trading. The results suggest that even in a thinly traded market the existence of futures has a beneficial impact on price discovery in the underlying spot market. The paper highlights the need to determine not only whether spot price volatility changes after the introduction of futures trading, but also, if it does, why it does, before drawing policy conclusions about the regulation of futures markets. Failure to address the latter issue may lead to inappropriate policy conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Used car markets: reliability does matter, but do Consumer Reports? Abstract: In work previously published in Applied Economics, Pratt and Hoffer (1990) did not find a significant effect upon US domestic vehicle resale prices from differences in reliability (maintenance expense) across models. This study, however, utilizes an alternative measure of reliability differences and finds that reliability differences do impact US resale car prices in the manner expected. The finding reinforces the view that used vehicle markets are efficient. In addition, the results suggest that Consumer Reports annual evaluation of used vehicles is not new information which affects resale prices. Instead, resale prices appear to reflect the information in the Consumer Reports evaluations in advance of the announcement's release. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-70 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:67-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henri Theil Author-X-Name-First: Henri Author-X-Name-Last: Theil Author-Name: Dongling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dongling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Janet Galvez Author-X-Name-First: Janet Author-X-Name-Last: Galvez Title: The spatial correlation of the per capita income of Florida's counties, 1970-1990 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:71-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Surprises in the consumption function: a comparative study Abstract: The 'surprise' consumption function is estimated for selected industrial countries (France, Germany, Japan, and the USA) and four high-growth East Asian countries (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan). The main objective of the paper is to test Hall's (1978) hypothesis that the rate of change in comsumption is determined by the innovation in the income-generating process. The main findings are that compared to the selected industrial countries, (a) consumption is more volatile in East Asian countries and (b) the 'surprise' coefficient is higher for the East Asian countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barkoulas Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barkoulas Author-Name: Alpay Filizetkin Author-X-Name-First: Alpay Author-X-Name-Last: Filizetkin Author-Name: Robert Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Time series evidence on the saving-investment relationship Abstract: The long-run saving-investment correlation for the 24 OECD countries is re-examined using the Johansen procedure. It is found that saving and investment rates are not correlated in the long run for the majority of OECD countries. In the countries where cointegration is found, the Gonzalo-Granger common factor analysis suggests that saving is the driving force of the cointegrated system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gan Wee-Beng Author-X-Name-First: Gan Author-X-Name-Last: Wee-Beng Author-Name: Soone Le Ying Author-X-Name-First: Soone Le Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Stock price and expected dividends: evidence from Singapore Abstract: The Campbell-Shiller 'dividend-ratio' model is used to determine the extent to which the level and volatility of aggregate stock prices in Singapore deviate from their fundamental values. The results find support for the hypothesis that the past dividend-price ratio provides additional information in predicting future changes in dividend and the actual dividend-price ratio tracks its theoretical values as well. However volatility is larger than implied by the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Rogers Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Does welfare cause increases in female-headed households? Abstract: Public discourse in the United States has become increasingly dominated by debates over the impact of welfare expenditures on specific demographic groups. Of particular concern is the potential impact of welfare expenditures on the formation of female-headed households. Applying Granger causality to time series data on expenditures on Aid To Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and the proportion of families headed by females, the authors examine whether increases in AFDC expenditures causes a rise in the number of female-headed households. Evidence provided is inconsistent with the hypothesis that rising welfare expenditures generates an increase in the number of female-headed households. More generally, the results suggest that public policies which attempt to reduce the numbers of female-headed households via a reduction in AFDC benefits or a tightening of eligibility requirements are unlikely to be successful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanassia Xenaki Author-X-Name-First: Athanassia Author-X-Name-Last: Xenaki Title: The determinants of Greek manufacturing investment: a comment Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:89-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Systematic measures of dynamic Farrell efficiency Abstract: A method of measuring the systematic component of dynamic efficiency characterized by Farrell's nonparametric method is developed and empirically applied over airlines data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. D. Owen Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: K. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: J. R. R. Garrido Author-X-Name-First: J. R. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Garrido Title: A market share model for vegetable and tropical oils Abstract: This paper is concerned with specification and estimation of a model explaining market shares for the world's major vegetable and tropical oils. Market shares are explained by relative prices and an attribute variable designed to reflect increased consumer preference for polyunsaturated fats and oils. A general autoregressive distributed lag model is specified, with data acceptable reduction of the unrestricted model yielding a more parsimonius representation of the data generation process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:95-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Majid Taghavi Author-X-Name-First: Majid Author-X-Name-Last: Taghavi Title: Money, output, price and causality in mainland China Abstract: This paper re-examines the relationship between money and other macroeconomic variables in mainland China. The results of a four-variable VAR analysis are indicative of a bi-directional causality between narrow money supply and real income. However, contrary to most research work in this area, the findings support a uni-directional causality from broad money to real income, making the former a good intermediate target variable. Moreover, these results cast serious doubts about the relevance of the quantity theory of money for price determination in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:101-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antony Dnes Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Dnes Title: Resale price maintenance and antitrust policy Abstract: Blair and Fesmire (Southern Economic Journal, June 1994, pp. 1043-1046) argue for the treatment of resale price maintenance (RPM) with a rule-of-reason approach, based on a welfare comparison in which changes in consumer surplus may outweigh gains in producer surplus from RPM. The welfare analysis of RPM is extended by recognizing limitations on the incentive for expenditure on service provision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:107-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Raymond O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Stephen Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Global macroeconomic shocks, time-varying covariances and tests of the international CAPM Abstract: The mean variance efficiency (MVE) of a portfolio of international bonds and equities is tested using a CAPM model of excess returns. The conditional variances and covariances of the portfolio returns are allowed to time-vary according to shocks in up to three global macro-economic variables simultaneously. Athough the hypothesis of MVE is easily rejected within a static version of the CAPM this is not the case at conventional significance levels in the CAPM with macro-economic shocks. Results suggest that there exists a dominant role for US macroeconomic disturbances for international capital markets. Integrating macro-economic disturbances more fully into the CAPM may provide theory-consistent models which do not rely solely upon time-series representations of time-varying return variances and covariances such as ARCH. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:109-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Jirui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jirui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Decomposition of Gini coefficients by class: a new approach Abstract: When Gini coefficients are decomposed by class (e.g. occupation, sex, region, and so on, it is possible to examine how income inequality can be measured by its class components: intra-class, inter-class and overlapped. In the literature, there have been many studies on the decomposition methodology but most methods are either inflexible or too onerous for empirical analysis. This paper develops a new approach to overcome the shortcomings of existing studies. An example using the most recent Chinese rural income data is provided to demonstrate how this method can be applied to study regional income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:115-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dockery Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: M. G. Kavussanos Author-X-Name-First: M. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Kavussanos Title: Testing the efficient market hypothesis using panel data, with application to the Athens stock market Abstract: This paper performs unit root tests using panel data to investigate empirically stock price efficiency of the Athens stock market. Our Wald test statistics reject the random walk hypothesis for stock prices, which is a necessary condition for market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:121-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: The irrelevance of adjustment costs for investment determination Abstract: The seasonal pattern of investment, and its relation with output, rule out convex adjustment costs as an explanation of the distributed lag in response of investment to its determinants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:125-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: K. Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: M. R. M. Abeyratne Author-X-Name-First: M. R. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Abeyratne Title: Cyclical unemployment: sectoral shifts or aggregate disturbances? A vector autoregression approach Abstract: Using a multivariate vector autoregression (VAR) model, this paper investigates if sectoral shifts, inflation uncertainty, or demand shocks are the primary cause of unemployment fluctuations in the postwar US economy. A sectoral shifts variable (cross-section volatility), an ARCH measure of inflation uncertainty, and three demand shocks variables (monetary base growth rate, interest rates and inflation rates) are incorporated in a VAR model. Our major findings are: cross-section volatility Granger causes unemployment; the sectoral shifts variable and inflation uncertainty explain a small amount, while demand shocks variables explain a substantial amount of the variation in unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Hack Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Hack Author-Name: Ashish Vaidya Author-X-Name-First: Ashish Author-X-Name-Last: Vaidya Title: State economic growth and international export orientation Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the degree of state international export orientation and US state industrial growth rates. Both export orientation variables as well as domestic factors were used to analyse the extent of their effect on state industrial growth from 1977 to 1987. The results indicate that state export promotion expenditures were not significant in influencing domestic employment growth, while the variable was negatively correlated with export employment growth. However, a high proportion of exports to total shipments in the initial year, was significant in explaining state industrial growth rates. An important result was that states exporting to growing regions experienced higher growth rates, indicating that world demand influences state economic growth. Furthermore, the domestic market potential had a strong positive influence on all measures of growth including the export sector, providing support for the notion that US economic growth is largely driven by the domestic market. A surprising result was that relative capital endowment was not significantly correlated with growth in the export sector, while it was negatively correlated with domestic and total employment growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Author-Name: Len Perry Author-X-Name-First: Len Author-X-Name-Last: Perry Title: Share price movements: a study of four OECD countries Abstract: This paper examines the responses of share prices in Belgium, Britain, France and Germany to the influences of major international share markets, domestic output and interest rates. The empirical results of the study indicate positive and significant responses of share prices to movements of foreign share prices and a negative and significant responses to changes in domestic interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-137 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:135-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Conceptualizing suicide in economic models Abstract: This review illustrates how a variety of economic models can be applied to suicidal behaviour, including a cost-benefit analysis, a demand-supply model, a labour force participation analogy, signalling game theory, investment under uncertainty, and economic definitions of irrationality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:139-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Bittlingmayer Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Bittlingmayer Title: Merger and the returns to labour and investment Abstract: Manufacturing industries with high merger intensities have higher value-added of about 10% after taking into account the number of employees and the amount of new investment. Merger-intensive industries are also more investment-intensive, and they have higher value-added per employee. These findings support the view that mergers in manufacturing serve to transfer intangible capital and to allow low-cost solutions to the problem of developing and ultimately deploying assets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Unemployment as a constraint on labour supply and goods demand in Spain Abstract: In this paper the implications of unemployment on labour supply and goods demand functions in Spain are analysed during the period 1964-91. To this end, the labour supply and goods demand is jointly modelled using a dynamic linear expenditure system under the condition that labour supply has been rationed due to the increasing number of unemployed in the last three decades. After proof that the model exhibits neither autocorrelation nor dynamic heteroscedasticity problems, it is found that food, beverages and tobacco, gross rent, fuel and power and miscellaneous goods are necessities, while other goods are luxuries. Labour has an expenditure effect below zero. The own-price Marshallian and Hicksian elasticities are negative for consumption goods and positive for labour, and indicate that all consumption goods are price inelastic. Finally, the cross-price values indicate that the goods are complementary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Extended critical values for a simple test of cointegration Abstract: Leybourne and McCabe have extended the Kwiatkowski et al. stationarity test to examine the null hypothesis of cointegration. The purpose of this note is to provide an extended set of critical values for use in applied research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:155-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rasha Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Rasha Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Is equality really growth-promoting? Abstract: It has been shown that the more uneven the initial distribution of income, the less an economy is expected to grow. Employing so-called Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA), it is found that the direct effect of income distribution on growth is fragile. This applies to both democracies and dictatorships. It has also been suggested that income distribution will have different effects when applied to developing as opposed to developed economies. However, the results show that income distribution has the same effect in both developed and developing countries. Nonetheless, this relationship is also fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: The allocative efficiency of the formal versus the informal financial sector Abstract: An important reason for the disappointing effects of the financial reform programmes, as part of the structural adjustment programmes in sub-Saharan Africa, stems from the strong focus of the adjustment programmes on the formal banking sector. A financial reform programme which does not explicitly employ the knowledge of the informal financial sector may lead to a sub-optimal allocation of resources and hence may not improve the quality of investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-165 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:163-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Disaggregate inventory-sales ratios over time: the case of US companies and corporations, 1976-92 Abstract: The results reported here show that the aggregate figures used in the literature are not adequate to analyse the behaviour of inventories over time. Researchers can obtain more reliable and useful results if they investigate the inventories-sales behaviour at disaggregate level. The disaggregate results reported here give support to those who believe that the increased use of computerized inventory control has been reducing the inventories kept by most firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:167-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Anthony Patrinos Author-X-Name-First: Harry Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Patrinos Title: Non-linearities in the returns to education: sheepskin effects or threshold levels of human capital? Abstract: Recent findings of non-linearities in the returns to education are cited as evidence of sheepskin effects, but evidence from Guatemala suggests otherwise. While non-linearities in the returns to education exist, it is argued that they are associated with 'threshold' levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-173 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:171-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Coto Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Coto Author-X-Name-Last: Millan Author-Name: Jose Banos Pino Author-X-Name-First: Jose Banos Author-X-Name-Last: Pino Title: Derived demands for 'General Cargo' shipping in Spain, 1975-1992, an economic approach Abstract: The behaviour of 'General Cargo' shipping transport in Spain is analysed.Derived demands for the period 1975-1992 are estimated. Cointegration techniques are used to obtain long-run and short-run equations, both estimated separately in two steps, and jointly in one step. Price and output elasticities agree with previous findings and could be used for analyzing the revenue effects of changes in freights and medium-term forecasting of traffic and revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-178 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:175-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Denslow Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Denslow Title: Consumer attitudes toward trade liberalization Abstract: This paper fills an existing gap in the international trade literature by empirically modelling consumer attitudes regarding trade liberalization efforts. Data are taken from the policy response section of a monthly consumer confidence survey, with estimation accomplished using a trinomial logit methodology. Results indicate that uncertainty, import competition risk, cyclical, educational, and demographic factors play significant roles in determining consumer beliefs with respect to trade policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Manning Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: Logit regressions with continuous dependent variables measured with error Abstract: The logit regression model is generally used as a method for estimating relationships in which the dependent variable is binary in nature, though it is also useful for estimation when the dependent variable is continuous but bounded on the unit intervals. Logit parameter estimates in this case are obtained by ordinary least squares regression on a simple transformation on the dependent variable. In such applications, however, measurement error in the dependent variable, rather than being relatively benign as in ordinary linear regressions, is a source of heteroscedasticity, calling into question the efficiency of the OLS estimator in such cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:183-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan King Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Robert Alexander Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The slowdown in US economic growth: a comment Abstract: In a recent paper in this journal, Atesoglu argued that the reduction in the rate of economic growth in the United States since 1973 was largely due to an increase in the income elasticity of demand for imports, following Thirlwall's law. The purpose of this paper is to show that the evidence presented in support of this conclusion is subject to a serious flaw. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:185-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ciaran Driver Author-X-Name-First: Ciaran Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Chit-Wei Saw Author-X-Name-First: Chit-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Saw Title: Performance of structural change indices: analysis using real and simulated data Abstract: This note reports the results of a computer simulation exercise with two commonly used indices of structural change: the Michaely/Stoikov index and the Lilien index. The performance of the indicators in measuring structural change is compared. The base data used in the simulations are employment numbers in 23 UK industries 1948-85 The effects of different levels of aggregation and different differencing periods are noted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:187-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Impact of cholesterol information on US egg consumption: evidence from consumer survey data Abstract: Impact of cholesterol information and demographic variables on egg consumption is examined using data from a consumer survey conducted by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Estimation results of a double-hurdle model suggest that information and health concerns about cholesterol represented by three variables are significant factors affecting consumer decisions about whether to consume eggs and how much to consume. Demographic variables with significant effect on the participation and/or consumption decisions include region, employment status, age, body mass index, sex, race and education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:189-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasios Episcopos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Episcopos Title: Testing the (S,s) model of inventory investment with Canadian wholesale trade data Abstract: The (S,s) model of inventories is a robust alternative to production smoothing theories. Despite the apparent usefulness of the model, exhaustive testing has been lacking in the literature. This note employs a recently published econometric methodology to test the (S,s) model and provide additional evidence from Canadian wholesale trade. The empirical findings favour (S,s) against the quadratic cost model for all the product categories investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:193-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Dante Mossi Author-X-Name-First: Dante Author-X-Name-Last: Mossi Title: On improvements of Phillips-Perron unit root tests using optimal bandwidth estimates Abstract: The performance of the Phillips and Perron unit root tests is examined using the optimal bandwidth selection procedure of Andrews and the pre-whitening procedure of Andrews and Monahan. It has been shown that they do not make significant improvements over the tests using fixed truncation lags. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Motivations that underlie the subscription prices in common stocks rights offerings: public utilities Abstract: The objective of this letter is to test the competing predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model, in which a higher subscription in a Common Stock Rights Offering price signals a higher quality firm, and the Myers and Majluf model in which the firm sets a low subscription price in order to secure the financing for a positive NPV project from the firm's existing stockholders. For a sample of 105 public utilities, the two-day offering period cumulative abnormal return, the dependent variable, is estimated using standard event study methodology. The independent variable is the relative subscription price, defined as the ratio of the subscription price to the mean of closing prices of the five trading days immediately preceding the two-day offering period. The results indicate that there are public utilities whose financing decision complies with the predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model and others whose financing activity acts according to the predictions of the Myers and Majluf model. Finally, the explanatory power of either model is generally minimal pointing towards the presence of other factors, in addition to securing the financing of a project and signalling the quality of the firm, that determine the subscription price in a common stock rights offering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Married female labour force participation: an analysis of probit model with a natural non-participation rate Abstract: Of the probit analysis with a natural no-response rate is applied to empirically examine the determinants of the labour force participation of married women using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics in the 1989 interviewing year. The model features simultaneous determination of labour force participation status and the natural non-participation rate of of married women. A natural 2.6% non-participation rate was found among married women. The natural non-participation rate is also significant by the likelihood ratio test. The standard probit model underestimates the probability of non-participation of married women as well as the marginal effect of a particular explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-207 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:205-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Title: Estimating the degree of dominance in a bilateral oligopoly Abstract: An empirical bilateral oligopoly model is constructed to estimate the degree of dominance by the upstream and downstream industry. The model is applied to the beef slaughter and retail industries. The hypothesis of equal dominance is not rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:209-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Germano Mwabu Author-X-Name-First: Germano Author-X-Name-Last: Mwabu Author-Name: Joseph Wang'ombe Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Wang'ombe Title: Black market trade: an example from a rural hospital in Kenya Abstract: Provision of mortuary services free of charge in a government hospital in rural Kenya is found to have led to a black market trade in these services. The principal participants in the market were the mortuary attendants and bereaved families. A method is developed for determining black market expenditures on mortuary services at a government hospital. On average, a bereaved family spent about US $2.30 on mortuary services. Burial expenses were also substantial, amounting to some US $75 per bereaved family. It is shown that free provision of mortuary services in government hospitals has a hidden cost, that could exceed the fee that users can be expected to pay openly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:213-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Georgellis Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Georgellis Title: Duration of first marriage: does pre-marital cohabition matter? Abstract: Based on UK data, this study uses parametric and non-parametric hazard models to assess the significance of pre-marital cohabitation in affecting patterns of first marriage durations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-219 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:217-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Mergers and market power in the US steel industry Abstract: Studies of the relationship between market structure and market power continue to account for a large segment of the literature. The traditional structure-conduct-performance approach of analysing this issue has been criticized because of its lack of attention to industry-specific characteristic. Adopting an approach which focuses on a single industry, we use data on the US steel industry to analyse the effects of several mergers on the steel market power. Although our results show that market power in the steel industry has been falling in recent years, it does appear that two recent mergers did boost market power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:221-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hendrik Van den Berg Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Van den Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Does simultaneity exaggerate empirical tests of the trade-growth relationship? Abstract: Simultaneity between the volume of trade and national output may have biased past empirical tests of the export-growth relationship. To judge the extent of such bias, this paper compares results of single- and simultaneous- equation regression models of trade and growth that closely resemble the specifications of previous studies. In order to enhance the analysis, a number of other alleged shortcomings of previous statistical studies of trade and growth are addressed: omitted variable bias and non-stationarity are dealt with by using modern time-series regression procedures, measurement error is reduced by using more accurate measures of capital and labour available for six Latin American countries over the period 1960-1990, and both imports and exports are used to proxy trade. The results shown that simultaneity bias causes single equation results to understate, not over state, the trade-growth relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-231 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520869 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520869&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:225-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: The risk premium on the Australian dollar in the 30-day forward market Abstract: A GARCH (1,1)-M model of the 30-day forward rate error reveals the following: a constant, but not time varying risk premium; evidence of market inefficiencies; a well determined GARCH (1,1) effect, but no I-GARCH process. The daily time series extended from 2 January 1985 to 13 May 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-235 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:233-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Is Spanish consumer behaviour consistent with the utility maximization? A non-parametric response Abstract: The objective of this paper is to check Spanish data on consumption expenditures and leisure for consistency with maximization of a non-satiated, continuous, concave, monotonic utility function. To this end, we apply the non-parametric approach using annual time-series covering the period 1964 to 1992. The results indicate that Spanish data are consistent with the weak and generalized axioms of the revealed preference theory, that is to say, the sample national data are consistent with the neoclassical theory of consumer behaviour or, in other words, the hypothesis of stability of individual preferences is accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:237-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Financial deepening and economic growth in developing economics Abstract: Granger-causality tests on data for 22 Asian, Latin American and Caribbean developing economies suggest that financial deepening does not make much difference to economic growth: for eight countries no lead-lag relationship was detected and in six more economic growth led financial deepening. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Thornton Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: P. Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Title: Unanticipated income and consumption in ASEAN countries Abstract: This note tests the rational expectations-permanent income hypothesis for the six ASEAN countries using the methodology developed by Hall and Flavin. The statistical evidence rejects the hypothesis for each country except Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:247-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicos Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicos Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis Abstract: Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) techniques are used to identify the sources of fluctuations in nominal and real exchange rates of the Greek drachma. The results indicate that, in most cases, supply shocks are the dominant sources of exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The adjustment of nominal interest rates in Mexico: a study of the Fisher effect Abstract: Evidence is presented in favour of a Fisher effect between treasury bill interest rates and inflation in Mexico between 1978-94. The two series appear to be cointegrated and a unit proportional relationship between them would appear to exist such that treasury bills rates respond fully to inflationary shocks over a period of about 12 months. As such, monetary policy in Mexico is unlikely to have much impact on real rates of interest over the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-257 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520875 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520875&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:255-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Kumiko Okamura Author-X-Name-First: Kumiko Author-X-Name-Last: Okamura Title: Convergence to steady state growth: a model for Japan (1965-90) Abstract: A model of convergence to steady-stage growth is specified here in terms of deviations from a steady-state demand for inputs and estimated for Japan for the period 1965-90. The estimated results show a dominant role of capital in the convergence process and also the forward looking view of input demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:259-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Paul Dormaar Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dormaar Title: Testing for deterministic nonlinear dependence in the australian dollar-US dollar exchange rate series Abstract: Tests are made for (deterministic) chaos on weekly data (from 01/13/87 to 06/02/93) for the spot-month futures exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. The Nychka, Ellner, Gallant and McCaffrey nonparametric test for positivity of the maximum Lyapunov exponent is used and successful detection of chaos is claimed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xeni Dassiou Author-X-Name-First: Xeni Author-X-Name-Last: Dassiou Author-Name: Peter Holl Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Holl Title: Merger failure and merger profitability: an alternative to the Hviid and Prendergast model Abstract: In this paper the effect of failed mergers on the profitability of the bidder and the target is investigated. It is demonstrated that when firms produce differentiated products in Bertrand competition, the post-rejection expected profitability of both firms is adversely affected by the information revealed through the rejection. This is a reversal of the Hviid and Prendergast finding that the post-offer increase in the profitability of the target firms is further boosted by the information made available through the rejection. This reversal is the direct result of using upward sloping reaction curves, which are usually found in price-setting games. The prediction for the bidder firm remains unchanged; this will experience a fall in its profits in the case of merger failure, the degree of which will be even more extensive if the failed bid was hostile because of the information transmission involved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-273 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:271-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Mulligan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Mulligan Title: Export-import endogeneity in the context of the Thirlwall- Hussain model: an application of the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test incorporating a Monte Carlo experiment Abstract: The Thirlwall-Hussain model (in which output growth depends on export growth) and an ad hoc alternative (in which growth depends on imports) are estimated and compared for the USA. The Durbin-Wu-Hausman test is used to determine the endogeneity or exogeneity of exports and imports with respect to output. A Monte Carlo study reveals the small-sample behaviour of the test statistics, which partly overturns the asymptotic results. Four sets of Monte Carlo simulations are performed. The first three assume the Thirlwall-Hussain model is correct and add: 1. standard normal, 2. log-normal, and 3. chi-square error terms. The fourth simulation uses the bootstrap method relying on the empirical distribution of the original data, and makes no assumption about the underlying data generating process. US exports and imports are both endogenous with respect to output, a major difficulty for the Thirlwall-Hussain model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520879 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520879&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasanthakumar Bhat Author-X-Name-First: Vasanthakumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhat Title: The determinants of technological protectionism Abstract: The relationship between the macroeconomic variables and pressures for technological protectionism in the United States is analysed. A number of complaints under Section 337 of the Tariff Act 1930 are used as a measure of pressures for protectionism. The analysis, based on nonparametric tests and Poisson regression analysis, indicates a close relationship between the macroeconomic variables and the number of complaints under Section 337. The multilateral trade-weighted value of the US dollar adjusted by changes in consumer prices, import to export ratio, gross domestic products, consumer price indexes, unemployment rates, and inventory to sales ratios are some of the macroeconomic factors that affect Section 337 complaints. The complaints in each industry are found to be proportional to the size of shipments in the USA. The countrywise analysis of complaints indicates a strong relationship between the number of complaints and the proportion of patents a country has received in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:281-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Lu Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: On the high correlation between unemployment and the dispersion of industrial unemployment Abstract: The high correlation between aggregate unemployment and the dispersion of industrial unemployment can be explained by both aggregate disturbances and sectoral shifts. This paper separates the effects of these two shocks by decomposing each industry's unemployment into aggregate and idiosyncratic components, so that the two new unemployment dispersions constructed by only the aggregate and idiosyncratic components measure respectively the influence of aggregate disturbances and sectoral shifts. It is found that this high correlation is almost entirely attributed to aggregate disturbances and that sectoral shifts are not important in explaining unemployment fluctuations in the U.S. for the period 1948-1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chutima Suraratdecha Author-X-Name-First: Chutima Author-X-Name-Last: Suraratdecha Title: A model of state-level prescription drug expenditures in the USA Abstract: Research is scanty on pharmaceutical care expenditures of developed nations. This paper models the determinants of state-level prescription drug expenditures for the USA, based on pooled data for 1980, 1982, 1984, 1988 and 1990. The GLS regression results indicate that older adults age 65 or more, Medicaid recipients and realincome are strongly significant determinants. With the growing proportion of the elderly and the increasing poverty rates among Medicare and Medicaid recipients, pharmaceutical care reform proposals need to focus on preventive care, rather than expensive treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Daniel Gropper Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gropper Author-Name: Tracy Stephens Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Stephens Title: The effect of charter status on savings and loan resolution costs Abstract: Beginning in 1933, with the establishment of the first federally chartered savings and loan, the thrift industry has functioned under a dual regulatory system. This paper addresses the question of whether this moral hazard, created by regulatory competition, increased the resolution costs of state chartered institutions relative to the federally chartered thrifts. Resolution costs are those expended by the Resolution Trust Company (RTC) to handle a defunct thrift. This study shows, using a variety of methods and statistical tests, that the charter orientation of a defunct savings and loan had a significant effect on the resolution costs associated with the handling of the thrift by the RTC. Therefore, it can be stated that this dual regulation of the savings and loan industry created a moral hazard in which there were incentives for regulators to provide broader investment powers and less strict regulation to attract thrifts. Because state regulators tended to provide less strict regulations, the resolution costs for defunct state chartered savings and loans were larger than for their federally chartered counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:293-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: B. S. Shin Author-X-Name-First: B. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: In Chung Author-X-Name-First: In Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Causality between advertising and sales: new evidence from cointegration Abstract: It is puzzling that previous studies have found causality only in one direction from sales to advertising, but not the reverse. Employing the sequential causality tests of Toda Phillips (1993), the casual relationship between advertising and sales appears to run in both directions. This finding provides evidence that conventional causality tests can be misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:299-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: The distribution of futures prices: diffusion-jump versus generalized beta-2 Abstract: Which of two distributions, the diffusion-jump process or the generalized beta-2 distribution, is superior in approximating the actual distribution of futures prices? The parameters of the distributions were estimated using the futures prices of four highly diverse commodities: British pound, corn, gold, and live cattle. The results suggest that the generalized beta-2 distribution is superior to the diffusion-jump. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-305 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:303-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Can factor proportions explain vertical intra-industry trade? Abstract: Two questions in particular will be addressed. First, can earlier results for specific industries that suggest a positive relation between quality and capital-labour ratios of exporting countries be generalized to other industries? Second, what type of capital, physical or human, is most important in affecting the quality of vertically differentiated products? The results suggest that the relation between factor endowments and the quality of exported products is not just restricted to the product groups in previous analyses and that it is primarily human and not physical capital that determines the quality of production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:307-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: Assortative mating and ethnicity in the low wage population: an examination of spouses' earnings Abstract: Social scientists have long maintained an interest in the socioeconomic underpinnings of marital formation. Considerable research has focused on patterns of spouse selection which tend to pair individuals of like characteristics. One area which invites more research involves assortative mating of labour market characteristics such as hours worked and hourly wages. This study examines correlations among husband-wife pairs in the low-income population. Based on a special data extract from the Seattle-Denver income maintenance experiments, regression models of wages and hours worked are estimated separately for husbands and wives. Residuals from these models are used to estimate husband-wife correlations in unmeasured labour market traits. Results indicate evidence to support the hypothesis that spouse-selection patterns are not consistent across race groups and point to the need for further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: IGARCH effect on autoregressive lag length selection and causality tests Abstract: Using Monte Carlo experiments, we show how information criteria determine, in the presence of GARCH errors, an optimal lag length in univariate time series and causality tests. We illustrate the simulations by testing the presence of serial correlation in exchange rates as well as Granger-causality between interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:317-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Bank credit in the ERM: an investigation of the role of Germany Abstract: This letter examines the role of Germany in the determination of bank credit in the EU. For a sample of ERM members, the Johansen procedure is employed to test for bivariate cointegrating relationships with Germany. Causality is investigated using the error correction methodology advocated by Engle and Granger. Long-run equilibrium relationships with Germany are identified in all cases. However, the results lend limited support to the German dominance hypothesis since credit provision appears to be more interactive in nature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Latif Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Latif Title: Can an increase in national saving reduce the level of unemployment in Australia? Abstract: The savings to GDP ratio is considerably lower in Australia than the OECD average. The lower level of savings does not only result in a current account deficit but also has a negative relationship with the unemployment rate. In order to overcome this problem, the Australian government has recently adopted policies which are designed to increase the level of savings in the economy. An examination of the impact of these policies on unemployment shows that an increase in the level of savings would not be sufficient to reduce unemployment rates in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Thomas Bernard Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: Eric Genest-Laplante Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Genest-Laplante Title: Transfer pricing by the Canadian oil industry: a company analysis Abstract: The Canadian oil industry has been the subject of several debates with respect to charges of transfer pricing. On the basis of a large data set, which includes all oil shipments into the US and Canada from 1974-84, the first direct test of manipulative transfer pricing, based on actual company behaviour, is performed. Particular attention is paid to the multicollinearity problem which arises in this context. Through regression analysis it emerges that the six largest Canadian affiliates of multinational corporations paid crude-oil import prices which were generally equal to or lower than prices of third-party transactions for a country in a given year. This is a fairly robust result which highlights the existence of manipulative transfer pricing. In the present case, the practice was beneficial to Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:333-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jang Jin Author-X-Name-First: Jang Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Eden Yu Author-X-Name-First: Eden Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Export-led growth and the US economy: another look Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth for the US economy is tested. A six-variable vector autoregressive (VAR) model is constructed to balance various possible offsetting impacts on exports and output. Based on the VAR techniques, no significant causal impacts are found between exports and output. This suggests that export expansion is neutral with respect to the growth of the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-344 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:341-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kok Chew Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kok Chew Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Dividends with no taxes: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: Litzenberger and Ramaswamy's (1979) model is used to test whether expected dividend yield is priced for Hong Kong stocks. Unlike the case in the United States, there are no taxes on dividend income nor on capital gains in Hong Kong. It is found that expected dividend yield has no effect on stock returns. The results are consistent with the prediction of Litzenberger and Ramaswamy's (1979) model in a market where dividend income and capital gains are not taxed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-348 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:345-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranko Bon Author-X-Name-First: Ranko Author-X-Name-Last: Bon Author-Name: Tomonari Yashiro Author-X-Name-First: Tomonari Author-X-Name-Last: Yashiro Title: Comparative stability analysis of demand-side and supply-side input-output models: the case of Japan, 1960-90 Abstract: The results of comparative stability analysis of demand- and supply-side input-output models using the Japanese data are presented, together with the results of the comparison between the comparative stability analysis of the two models using the Japanese, UK and US data. The results of comparative stability analysis of the two models using the US data were reported elsewhere (Bon, 1986), and the results of the analysisusing the UK data were presented in this journal (Bon and Xu Bing, 1993). The forecasts of sectoral and total output of the two models are generated with known final demand and value added figures from subsequent tables, and are compared with known output figures for benchmark years. The results of the three studies are similar in part. The demand-side model performs somewhat better in terms of total output forecasts, but the supply-side performs somewhat better for a larger number of sectors. Also, in all three countries the supply-side model provides markedly superior forecasts for 'mature' sectors, such as agriculture and mining. However, there are some notable differences between Japan, on the one hand, and the UK and USA, on the other. In particular, the construction sector's performance is predicted better by the demand-side model in Japan, whereas the supply-side model produces better construction forecasts in the case of the UK and USA. Some other differences regarding several other sectors may be due to different aggregation scheme. Both models should be used to determine the extent to which an economy or a sector are demand- or supply-driven. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-354 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:349-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The form of the production function for the Chinese regional economy Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with estimating appropriate production functions for the Chinese economy using provincial data, 1973-89. It is hoped that the results obtained would help to assess the variabilities in the scale elasticity, elasticity of substitution as technical progress over time. It is hoped also that the results obtained would help to assess the roles of economies of scale, elasticity of substitution and technical progress in Chinese economic growth. The outline ofthe paper is as follows:in Section IIthe basic model used for estimation purposes is discussed. Section III discusses the estimation procedures used, results obtained and assesses their technical and economic implications. Finally, Section IV summarizes the main conclusions to be drawn from the paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammed Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Instability in trade flows as a cause of economic stagnation in Africa: an error-correction test Abstract: This paper identifies export instability as an additional cause of changes in GDP. Instability is measured by deviations of exports from their trend values. A multivariate error-correction model that incorporates export instability is tested on individual time series data (1967-1990) for twenty-one African countries. The results indicate reduction in export-earnings but not any significant decline in GDP growth due to instability. Half of these countries experienced export-to-growth causality, with a reverse causality in three-fourths of them. The results are sensitive to both the omission of variables and the test procedure used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammed Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Eldon Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Eldon Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Title: US budget deficits, inflation and exchange rate: a cointegration approach Abstract: This paper applies the well-known cointegration approach to explore a possible long-run pairwise relationship between (i) US real budget deficits and real exchange rates, and (ii) US inflation rates and real exchange rates. The unit root test shows that each of the above time series is non-stationary in levels. It is also verified that stationarity can be induced in each series by the first differencing of the level data. The ADF test results indicate a lack of cointegration between the US real budget deficits and the real exchange rates at 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance. The same is also true for US inflation rates and real exchange rates. But these findings have been contradicted by those from the associated error-correction models at 5 and 10% levels of significance. The estimates of the error-correction models offer evidences to long-run/short-run unidirectional Granger causality from the real budget deficits to the real exchange rates, and from the real exchange rates to the inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadeem Burney Author-X-Name-First: Nadeem Author-X-Name-Last: Burney Title: Exports and economic growth: evidence from cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between exports growth and economic growth by estimating an augmented GDP-growth equation on the basis of cross-country data, and using OLS and random coefficient (RC) methods. The latter method yields both mean response coefficients, as in the case of OLS method, as well as country-specific coefficients. The relationship has been estimated for two separate periods, i.e. 1965-80 and 1980-90. The estimates obtained using a RC method indicates that while there exists a positive link between exports and economic growth, the relationship is significant only for the period 1980-90. This suggests that the results obtained in the earlier studies using OLS method could be spurious. The evidence further indicates that the change in the coefficients between the two periods consists of both structural as well as behavioural shifts. Finally, the estimated country-specific coefficients show that the role of exports in GDP growth vary with the level of development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Do fiscal variables affect private consumption? Evidence from Australia and the United States Abstract: This study examines the effect of fiscal measures on real private consumption using an error correction model. On balance, the empirical results of the study provided some evidence against the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis. In particular, responses to real government consumption and taxes in the United States and responses to real government debt and transfer payments in Australia were significant with their dynamic paths moving opposite to Ricardian proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torben Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Niels Lynggard Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Niels Lynggard Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Do prices move counter-cyclically? Abstract: The cyclical properties of producer and consumer prices are analysed on quarterly data for the period 1961:1 to 1990:4 for 15 OECD countries. It is found that the cyclical properties of prices vary substantially over time and across countries. All countries have periods with pro- and counter-cyclical prices and thus both demand and supply shocks are important in accounting for business cycle fluctuations. Considering the lead and lag structure, it is generally found that price increases lead output decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-383 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:379-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Fielding Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Title: Consumer expenditure in South Africa: a time-series model Abstract: A time-series model of private consumption in South Africa is presented. Consumer expenditure is found to be sensitive not only to income, but also to the source of income, interest rates and measures of political and economic uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-389 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:385-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Attendance demand: an investigation of repeat fixtures Abstract: Using fixed betting odds for football match outcomes this paper improves on previous versions of outcome uncertainty models of attendance demand by utilizing data on 'repeat' fixtures between two teams. This provides some control over the variation in match characteristics which influence demand. The analysis of 'repeat' fixtures also enables an improved treatment of the 'core support' element of attendances. The contribution of fixed betting odds in explaining attendance demand is confirmed as is the 'U'-shaped relationship between attendance and home team probability of success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atrayee Ghoshroy-Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atrayee Author-X-Name-Last: Ghoshroy-Saha Author-Name: Hendrik Vann De Berg Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Vann Author-X-Name-Last: De Berg Title: Mexico's futile attempt to defy purchasing power parity Abstract: Many empirical studies have suggested that purchasing power parity (PPP) does not hold in the short run, and some conclude that PPP is not observed even in the long run. The recent collapse of the Mexican peso suggests otherwise, however. This study examines whether PPP has bound the nominal peso/dollar exchange rate and the Mexican and US price levels between 1920 and 1994. Given the long sample period,unit root tests were conducted taking structural breaks into account, but the variables were still found to contain unit roots. Cointegration tests confirm a relationship between the exchange rate and price levels, and an error correction model verifies that it has indeed been the PPP relationship that linked the variables. Deviations from PPP were corrected, on average, within four years. The confirmation of PPP during the period 1920-94 underscores the futility of Mexican policies that defied PPP in the early 1990s, after trade and capital flows were liberalized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-399 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:395-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: On the characteristics of tariff rates: permanent or temporary shocks? Abstract: The characteristics of tariff rates in the United States and five major European countries are revealed, based on the unit root tests acknowledging structural breaks. Finding structural breakpoints endogenously, it is shown that the crash type tariff rate level breaks can be found in the tariff history of Denmark, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States. In case of acknowledging structural breaks, tariff rates of France, Switzerland and the United States are characterized by temporary shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-403 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:401-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Dewachter Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Dewachter Title: Charts as signals in Markov switching world Abstract: This note evaluates the signal performance of charts under the maintained assumption that the DGP is a standard Markov switching model. It is found that, within this framework, charts contain valuable information with respect to the current state of the latent process. Hence, this note provides a (statistical) rationale for the reported profitability of chartists rules in terms of an underlying Markov switching model as the DGP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-407 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:405-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derick Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Derick Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: The impact of exchange rate adjustment on output: Jamaica 1960-90 Abstract: Recent articles have argued that devaluations can have a short-term contractionary impact followed by an expansionary phase that may or may not result in net expansion in the long term. This paper extends recent work on this issue by developing a specification that obviates the problems of spurious and inconsistent parameter estimation that may result in the absence of stationarity and cointegrating relationships. The findings suggest that exchange devaluations have had a neutral impact on Jamaican output. It also examines the implicit assumption that within the real exchange rate relationship the nominal exchange rate and the relative price effects are of equal weight, and finds this not to be the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-411 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:409-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott McDonald Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Misspecification and cross-country growth regressions Abstract: Cross-country growth studies are commonly used to empirically investigate the neoclassical convergence hypothesis, the determinants of growth and the impact of policies on growth performance. While questions have been raised concerning the reliability of data and the specification of the explanatory variables, little attention has been paid to the derivation of growth rates. The standard method employs time series regressions to estimate average annual growth rates, which are then used as the dependent variable in the cross-section analysis. This procedure is only valid if the growth rate equations are well specified and the growth rates are stable over the time period in question. Using data for 75 countries for the period 1950 to 1992, we present much evidence to show that neither of the above propositions is supported; growth rate regressions are commonly misspecified and suffer from parameter instability. These results cast doubts on the validity of cross-country growth studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Gensler Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Gensler Title: The effects of welfare guarantee levels and tax rates on male labour supply Abstract: The effect of welfare on labour supply is theoretically ambiguous. The effect of implicit welfare tax rates has not been precisely determined in previous studies. The effective welfare guarantee levels and tax rates estimated for each state from 1979 to 1990. Employing these newly estimated welfare descriptive statistics, the labour supply impacts of both welfare guarantee levels and tax rates are determined with high statistical precision for married males with children. A standard labour supply model is estimated by means of a tobit procedure over a multiyear cross-sectional pooled data set derived from the US Census Bureau's Current Population Survey for the period 1979 to 1990. Increases in the welfare guarantee level slightly increase labour supply for married males. An elasticity of 0.04 is computed. Increases in the welfare tax rate on earned income slightly decreases labour supply. An elasticity of -0.07 is computed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Simona Andreano Author-X-Name-First: Maria Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Andreano Author-Name: Giovanni Savio Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Savio Title: Common trends and common cycles under alternative exchange rate regimes Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic interrelationships of economic activity in major economies under the pre- and post-Bretton Woods eras of fixed and flexible exchange rates. A recently developed multivariate method called common trends and common cycles is used to detect the presence of both short- and long-term comovements in monthly industrial production indices of the G7 countries during the period from 1963 to 1993. The empirical results indicate the existence of an international business cycle under both regimes. Further, we show that the comovements in levels and in growth rates of the series have been more important in the pre- 1973 period of fixed rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: The dynamics of OECD forecasts for Greece Abstract: This paper considers the dynamics of the OECD macroeconomic forecasts for Greece. A Geometric Distributed Lags model is used to study the dynamic responses between the actual data and the forecasts supplied by OECD the last 15 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:427-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sapsford Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sapsford Author-Name: Peter Turnbull Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Turnbull Title: A new method for investigating the relationship between strikes and absenteeism Abstract: This paper presents a new method for evaluating the relationship which exists between strikes and absenteeism, as alternative forms of industrial conflict. The proposed method is outlined and its use illustrated in an analysis of the British dock labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Couton Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Couton Author-Name: F. Gardes Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gardes Author-Name: Y. Thepaut Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Thepaut Title: Hedonic prices for environmental and safety characteristics and the Akerlof effect in the French car market Abstract: In this paper, the computation of hedonic prices on individual panel data shows the positive valuation of environmental and safety characteristics by the market and gives some evidence of an Akerlof effect between perceived quality and the part of the market price which is not explained by car characteristics and pure inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:435-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of government policies, economic conditions, and past migration on net migration in the USA: 1992-93 Abstract: The determinants of net migration rates including government taxes and welfare spending for 48 contiguous states and the District of Columbia during 1992-93 are examined. The weighted least squares (WLS) method is employed assuming dependent variable heteroscedasticity. Major findings indicate that net migration rates vary positively with employment growth, hourly earnings, percentage of possible sunshine, and past net migration, and they are negatively correlated with state and local tax burdens, welfare spending, violent crime, and percentage of population in the age groups of 18-24 and 24-34. Thus, Sir John Hicks's theory that migration was mainly caused by net economic advantages is confirmed. These results may have policy implications in the area of job creation, tax policy, welfare reform, the allocation of limited budget to different programmes and law enforcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Owain Ap Gwilym Author-X-Name-First: Owain Ap Author-X-Name-Last: Gwilym Author-Name: Mike Buckle Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Buckle Title: An analysis of bid-ask spreads on American-and European-style index options Abstract: The UK option market is unique in trading both American-style and European-style contracts on the same underlying stock index. We use high-frequency quote data to examine the magnitude and distribution of the bid-ask spreads on these contracts, which are found to be at least partly determined by relative trading volume. We also present comparisons with the limited previous evidence on the level of option bid-ask spreads in the UK and USA. We find that increased trading volumes in the UK index options in recent years have not clearly reduced spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-449 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540803 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540803&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:445-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Reinert Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Reinert Author-Name: Gina Scorza Author-X-Name-First: Gina Author-X-Name-Last: Scorza Title: The effects of a North American free trade agreement on the US glassware market Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540804 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540804&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Title: The role of reputation capital in the investment banking industry Abstract: Based on the information-related view of financial intermediation and the role of reputation capital, this study contributes to the extant literature by designing an empirically testable hypothesis related to the existence and use of reputation capital. It is hypothesized that one of the consequences of a breach of trust between investment banks and their clients is a deterioration in the banks' market value. For at least one of the event study methods used herein (i.e., the Sign test), evidence is found at the 1% level of significance in support of the hypothesized market reaction to reputation-damaging events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Kohn Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kohn Title: An additive tax and subsidy for controlling automobile pollution Abstract: It is well known that a unit tax on the emissions of polluting firms and an equal unit subsidy for emissions abated are not symmetrical instruments. However, when no entry-exit conditions are at stake, as in the case of polluting households, the tax and subsidy are equivalent. Moreover, any combination of the two, summing to marginal pollution damage, is also efficient. This strong result is applied to the case of an economy in which each household owns an automobile. It also extends to the case in which some households rely on mass-transit or car-pooling, provided that such households also receive the subsidy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McMaster Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McMaster Title: A non-parametric approach to identifying the sources of cost savings arising from competitive tendering Abstract: The estimation of the factors contributing to the reduction in the costs of service delivery arising from the tendering of specified health and local authority activities presents difficulties for conventional parametric techniques, because of an absence in cardinal measurability. This implies that the debate over whether reductions in costs are primarily due to improvements in productivity or deteriorations in the conditions of incumbent workforces remains highly polemic. Attempts are made to measure the principal sources of cost savings using a non-parametric procedure. In this way a more generalized picture may be presented than has been the case to date. It is found that productivity improvements are the highest ranked source of cost reductions, but reductions in employee conditions and earnings are also highly ranked. It is emphasized that those sources are not independent, and that more research into the primary contributors to increases in productivity is needed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melika Ben Salem Author-X-Name-First: Melika Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Salem Author-Name: Jean-Francois Jacques Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Jacques Title: About the stability of the inventory-sales ratio: an empirical study with US sectoral data Abstract: The behaviour of one of the most important inventory indicators is highlighted. The investigation concerns US sectoral post-war data. It appears that a decline in the ratio for manufacturing, when observed, is partially offset by an increasing inventory-sales ratio in the trade sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-469 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:467-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Wagstaff Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Wagstaff Author-Name: Guillem Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Guillem Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Hospital costs in Catalonia: a stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: A multiproduct stochastic hospital cost frontier is estimated on panel data for 43 Catalan hospitals over the period 1988-91 on the assumption that inefficiency remains constant over time. In addition to reporting estimates of inefficiency, the paper reports estimates of economies of scope and economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-474 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:471-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ka-Yiu Fung Author-X-Name-First: Michael Ka-Yiu Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Ken Kai-Hong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Ken Kai-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Ownership and efficiency differentials in chinese industry: further evidence from data envelopment analysis Abstract: The objective of our study is to analyse the difference in economic efficiency between the state and collective sectors of Chinese industry, with the help of a data set containing firm-level data of 7273 enterprises across 35 industrial branches in Hubei Province in 1990. Data envelopment analysis which evaluates the enterprises' performance in terms of both output and profit is applied as an alternative to the conventional TFP approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-482 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:475-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: What opportunity cost of holding real balances? The case of Greece 1978-1993 Abstract: In this paper cointegration techniques have been applied to identify the role of opportunity cost in the demand for real balances in the Greek case and covering the period 1978-93. The results reveal that it is the simultaneous presence of nominal interest rates, the expected inflation and the expected depreciation variables that must be used as proxies for the opportunity cost. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-485 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:483-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Are the Greek budget deficits too large? Abstract: We use a residual-based cointegration test suggested by Gregory and Hansen that allows for the determination of a structural break in the cointegration vector to test for the sustainability of Greek fiscal deficits over the 1958-92 period. This relatively recent test leads to a different result from that derived from standard Engle-Granger cointegration tests. The use of the conventional Engle-Granger test implies no cointegration between tax revenues and interest-inclusive government expenditures. On the other hand, using the Gregory-Hansen test we conclude that tax revenues and interest-inclusive government expenditures are cointegrated and a structural break in the cointegrating vector took place in either 1981 or 1983. Our result of cointegration with a structural break is consistent with a strict interpretation of the government's intertemporal budget constraint since it implies a zero discounted value of the public debt. However, since the cointegration-regression slope parameter is significantly less than one (when tax revenues are regressed on expenditure), the undiscounted value of the public debt is different from zero. This means that the government has incentives to default on its debt and, therefore, Greek budget deficit policy is not sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-490 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:487-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Author-Name: Yilma Mulugeta Author-X-Name-First: Yilma Author-X-Name-Last: Mulugeta Title: Technical efficiency of the Ugandan matoke farms Abstract: The issues of measurement of technical efficiency in the production of matoke in Uganda are investigated. A Cobb-Douglas functional form is used to represent the underlying production technology and corrected least squares procedure to estimate the model and the farm-specific measures of technical efficiency. The data consists of a crossection of 288 matoke-producing family farms during the crop year 1990-1991. The productive performance of farms are compared according to the size of land. The impact of various production characteristics on the production structure of the farms is also tested. The empirical results from a comparison of different farm sizes show very small variations in mean efficiency between the different size classes. Some variations in the distribution of farms within each size-class are observed. The mean technical efficiency is found to be 65%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-494 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:491-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: On the single and multiple time trends representation of technical change Abstract: This paper is concerned with the estimation of production functions and measurement of the rate of technical change. Multiple time trends are introduced as an alternative to the single time trend representation of technical change. The underlying technology is represented by Cobb-Douglas and translog functional forms. Random effects models with homoscedastic variances is assumed. The models are estimated using the generalized least squares method. The data used are a large rotating panel data set from Swedish crop producer farms over the period 1976-1988. The empirical results show that a single or multiple time trends representation yield different time behaviour of technical change. The latter is found to perform much better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-499 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:495-499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshiko Kuwahara Author-X-Name-First: Yoshiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kuwahara Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: An alternative estimation method for the OCE model Abstract: We provide an alternative estimation method which can be used to estimate the coefficient of intertemporal substitution and risk aversion separately, without assuming log-normal distribution or using a social market portfolio. We find the two parameters are significantly positive. This finding is the first case in this field. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:501-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. H. Brown Author-X-Name-First: K. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: M. Yousefi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Yousefi Title: Deficits, inflation and central banks' independence: evidence from developing nations Abstract: Deficits should Granger-cause inflation in developing countries since the central banks are not autonomous. Nevertheless, our empirical results refute the causality between government deficits and inflation in a study of ten developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-509 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:505-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: H. Battu Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Battu Author-Name: P. T. Seaman Author-X-Name-First: P. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaman Title: Overeducation and the formal education/experience and training trade-off Abstract: For the first time the issue of overeducation is addressed for the UK. Substantial amounts of over and undereducation are found. The evidence supports the view that formal education and other components of human capital are substitutes for the over- and undereducated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Title: Does Europe have an integrated capital market? Evidence from real interest parity tests Abstract: Empirical evidence on capital market integration in Europe is presented by testing for mean reversion in the real interest differentials of seven European countries vis-a-vis Germany. The tests overwhelmingly reject the null hypothesis of random walk in the real interest rate differentials, implying that capital and goods markets have become integrated in the countries considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Peter Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Cheryl Conway Author-X-Name-First: Cheryl Author-X-Name-Last: Conway Title: How small firms forecast short-term employment: some survey evidence Abstract: The way in which small firms formulate their short-term employment forecasts is examined. Survey evidence based on the experience of some recently formed small businesses located in the North of England is used to test two models of forecast formation. The empirical results suggest that small firms use a linear adaptive model when forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Chao-Shun Hung Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Neela Manage Author-X-Name-First: Neela Author-X-Name-Last: Manage Title: Ricardian equivalence, budget deficits, and saving in the United States, 1955:1-1991:4 Abstract: The Ricardian equivalent theory is examined by dichotemizing the total US federal budget deficit into its structural (exogeneous) and cyclical (endogeneous) components. The former is hypothesized to be the expected, planned deficit, whereas the latter is viewed as the unpredictable, unplanned, unexpected deficit. Instrumental variables estimates for the periods 1955-1991 and 1973-1991 find that structural deficits elicit increased saving but cyclical deficits do not. Thus, the findings indicate support for a partially Ricardian equivalent world: saving only partially offsets budget deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Consumption growth and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution: some evidence from income quintile groups in Japan Abstract: This research empirically analysed the relations between the difference in consumer's preference and the consumption growth rate in Japan. As a result, the close relationship between the two is revealed. This study has clarified the fact that as the income bracket becomes higher, the value of intertemporal elasticity of substitution becomes smaller. This is consistent with the gap in the consumption growth rate between the income brackets, i.e. the difference in the consumer's preference parameter has played a significant role in correcting the consumption gap in the period of high economic growth in post-war Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Nelissen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Nelissen Title: Annualized versus non-annualized lifetime income redistribution Abstract: This paper concerns the impact of the lifespan on the redistributive effect of the social security system when considering lifetime income. It is shown that with the exception of the old age pensions, the impact is very small. It is also doubted whether annualization has to be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-536 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:533-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Mustafa Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Information noise and stock return volatility: evidence from Germany Abstract: Using data from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, this paper investigates the impact of an increase in trading hours (from two to three on 15 January 1990) on the variance of stock returns. The results confirm those of most earlier studies that report that trading time volatility is significantly larger than non-trading time volatility. In addition, the results are consistent with the private and public information hypotheses with regard to stock return volatility, but they do not support the noise trading hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: On the determinants of households' consumption inequality: an empirical analysis for Japanese workers' households Abstract: From the theoretical point of view, households consumption inequality represents the inequality of the expected utilities through their lifecycles if each family optimizes its lifetime utility. We investigate its empirical validity, applying a regression analysis. The result of the regression analysis shows its empirical advantages as a measure for economic inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Mumford Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Mumford Title: Strikes and profits: considering an asymmetric information model Abstract: The Hayes asymmetric information model of strike activity predicts a negative relationship between actual firm profits and strike frequency, and a positive relationship between the trade union's expectations of firm profitability and the duration of strikes. Results from the application of the model presented in this paper provide only limited support: the relationship between strike behaviour and profits is found to be more complex than the model allows for and exploring other variables which are expected to influence strike activity leads to more satisfactory results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: On the relationship between money and inflation in the United States: additional evidence Abstract: The causality between money and inflation is re-examined by applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method to US data for the period 1959-94. The Phillips-Perron unit roots tests are performed and the series of M1 and M2 become stationary after first differencing, while the series of CPI, PPI, GDP deflator, and M3 become stationary after second differencing. It is revealed that money (measured in M1 or M2) does not cause inflation, yet if the M3 measure of money is used, then it is found that money causes inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-552 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:549-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taufiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taufiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: The Fisher effect and the gold standard: evidence from the USA Abstract: This paper investigates the long run relationship between nominal interest rate and the inflation rate (Fisher effect) in the USA during the gold standard era (1879-1913). Using Johansen cointegration tests, results show that there exists a Fisher effect on both the nominal short- and long-term interest rates during the stated period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-555 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:553-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Multi-product cost functions and the funding of tuition in UK universities Abstract: A quadratic multi-product cost function is estimated for UK universities prior to the abolition of the binary divide. The arguments of the function include linear and interaction terms in undergraduate tuition, postgraduate tuition and research, and in each case these are separately identified for the (broadly defined) arts and sciences. The preferred specification is used to evaluate ray economies of scale, product-specific economies of scale and economies of scope. Estimates of average incremental costs are also provided. Results from OLS and stochastic frontier methods are compared. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lance Fisher Author-X-Name-First: Lance Author-X-Name-Last: Fisher Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: Sources of fluctuations in Australian imports Abstract: Dynamic interactions among the real exchange rate, income and imports are modelled for Australia. Evidence of one cointegrating relationship is found among these series and base structural inferences on long-run identifying restrictions of the type proposed for vector-error correction models by King, Plosser, Stock and Watson (1991). Under the identifying restriction that a domestic supply shock has no effect on the real exchange rate in the long run, this shock explains most of the forecast-error variance of imports at all horizons except for one quarter. At this horizon, the domestic demand shock is most important. The foreign supply shock becomes more important as the forecast horizon increases and explains almost half of the forecast-error variance of imports in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anoma Abhayaratne Author-X-Name-First: Anoma Author-X-Name-Last: Abhayaratne Title: Foreign trade and economic growth evidence from Sri Lanka, 1960-1992. Abstract: The relationship between export and economic growth in Sri Lanka, 1960-1992 is examined using the techniques of causality and cointegration. The hypothesis that foreign trade stimulates economic growth was rejected by the findings of the study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Babak Eftekhari Author-X-Name-First: Babak Author-X-Name-Last: Eftekhari Author-Name: Stephen Satchell Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Satchell Title: Some problems with modelling asset returns using the elliptical class Abstract: The suitability of the elliptical distribution to model asset returns in applied work is examined. Two frameworks are identified: the first framework allows for normality testing but fails to capture the GARCH effect present in the data; the second framework captures the GARCH effect but has the disadvantage that all commonly used tests for normality have minimum power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:571-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baban Hasnat Author-X-Name-First: Baban Author-X-Name-Last: Hasnat Title: Child Labour in American Imports Abstract: Child labour has been the focus of research since the Industrial Revolution, but few provide an econometric examination of the relationship between imports and child labour. This paper fills this gap by presenting a probit model and testing for American imports in 1990 from a broad group of 92 countries. Regression results of various versions of our basic model reveal that the equations are all highly significant and predict at least 80% of the observations correctly, that the signs are generally as expected, and the variables are significant at the accepted level in most cases. We fail to find support for the perception that US imports significantly increase the likelihood of a child labour problem abroad. The paper also recommends directions for future research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sue Kilpatrick Author-X-Name-First: Sue Author-X-Name-Last: Kilpatrick Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: Labour mobility in Australian industry Abstract: Two Australian mobility surveys are analysed (February 1989 and February 1992) to identify the explanation of labour mobility in Australian industry. An informal analysis reveals that labour turnover is higher in boom as opposed to recessed conditions. A formal legit study reveals that industry unemployment rates have a significant impact on male turnover, but not on female mobility. The age of workers and their tenure in the job reduce the odds of a job change, generally, while the tendency towards part time work is encouraging mobility. Occupational status is significant, especially among male workers, and for plant operators and labourers in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parantap Basu Author-X-Name-First: Parantap Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Title: Velocity instability in the USA: a monetary or real phenomenon? Abstract: Using a vector autoregressive framework, this paper examines the role of real and monetary factors in explaining velocity instability in the sample periods 1973:1-1993:2 and 1979:4-1993:2. The VAR model includes money growth variability, velocity, the interest rate and real output. On the basis of variance decompositions for both sample periods, there is little support for Friedman's monetary uncertainty hypothesis. Movements in velocity are governed more by interest rate and real output changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Tzanidakis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Tzanidakis Author-Name: Theo Kirizidis Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: Kirizidis Title: A test of a modern version of the Solow model Abstract: This paper suggests a test of an upgraded version of the Solow model which was suggested by Mankiw, Romer and Weil (MRW). MRW upgrade the Solow exogenous growth theory by including human capital. Human capital has been a major variable suggested mainly by endogenous growth models in order to eliminate diminishing returns, the heart of any exogenous growth theory. The MRW exogenous growth theory yields an estimable specification for the determinants of the steady state per capita level of income. The same theory suggests that the growth rate of per capita income depends on savings, human capital and population growth rates as well as the starting per capita income. In this paper we derive a transformation of their model which implies that all that matters for the growth rate is the starting period growth rate. This implied hypothesis is tested but it does not find support by the data. In this context, the rejection of the restriction may be interpreted as evidence against the MRW exogenous growth theory. This paper is part of our wider research on exogenous versus endogenous growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melvin Borland Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Title: Teacher-associated expenditures and student achievement Abstract: Inconsistent evidence exists within the economics of education research literature with respect to the relationship between teacher salary and student performance. This paper shows that such inconsistency of results could be attributed to simultaneous equation bias and model misspecification. Using alternative model specifications, alternative implications are suggested. Where additional relevant variables such as a measure of cognitive skills and a measure of the degree of market competition are included and where the statistical model reflects relevant theoretical considerations, evidence of a positive and significant relationship between teacher-associated expenditures and student academic achievement does not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-593 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:591-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Economic freedom, per capita income and economic growth Abstract: Based on cross-section data, this paper explores the relationship between economic freedom and the economic performance of low, middle and high income countries. The regression results show that there is a direct relationship between the economic freedom index and per capita income in low income countries and all countries as a whole. The evidence also indicates that there is a direct relationship between the economic freedom index and the growth rate of per capita income in high income countries and all countries as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-597 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:595-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Katsimbris Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimbris Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The new Keynesian economics and the output-inflation trade-off Abstract: This letter reconsiders the empirical tests of the new Keynesian and new classical models performed by Ball Mankiw and Romer and Akerlof, Rose and Yellen. The original tests conform basically to cross-section analysis; we develop both time-series and pooled cross-section, time-series tests of these issues, using the methodology and results of Katsimbris. Our tests find at best weak support for either the new Keynesian or the new classical hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Easton Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Author-Name: Sean Pinder Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pinder Title: Australian government sector initial public offerings Abstract: The paper examines the initial pricing of all Australian government sector initial public offerings (IPOs) that have been made over the last six years. A statistically significant first-day average abnormal return of approximately 8% is found. Contrary to overseas findings, there is no evidence that these government sector IPOs were more underpriced than Australian private sector IPOs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-605 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:603-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Author-Name: James West Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: West Title: Functional form in regression models of Okun's law Abstract: The Box-Cox transformation is used to determine the functional form for Okun's relationship between the output gap and the unemployment rate. Results from two different data sets strongly fail to reject his double log specification, and the MLE results are quantitatively very similar to a double log model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-609 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:607-609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ravi Ratnayake Author-X-Name-First: Ravi Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnayake Title: Industry concentration-profitability relationship and competition policy: is there a critical concentration level? Abstract: The critical concentration hypothesis that there exists a threshold level of concentration which separates industries into two regimes in terms of profits has been tested empirically using the single-equation approach, ignoring the simultaneity involved in the determination of profits across industries. The majority of previous studies found supportive evidence for the hypothesis. This paper employs a simultaneous equation model to examine the concentration-profitability relationship and casts serious doubt on the existence of any such critical threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Federico Perali Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Perali Author-Name: Thomas Cox Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Cox Title: On the identification of the Barten-Gorman model: an example within the AIDS framework Abstract: This note provides the proof for the identifying conditions necessary to estimate the demographic parameters of the Barten-Gorman model. They are normalizations derived from the homogeneity property of the cost function that do not alter its theoretical admissibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Using panel data to estimate Engel functions: food consumption in China Abstract: The conventional specification of the Engel function is modified to take full advantage of the characteristics of panel data, which are usually used to fit Engel curves. Empirical results based on Chinese data demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: A turning-point diagnostics analysis on the accuracy of the OECD forecasts for Turkey Abstract: The accuracy of forecasts by OECD for Turkey is examined, for nine macroeconomic variables over the period 1980-1993. Using turning-point diagnostics analysis it is concluded that the OECD should re-examine its potentials in order to improve its forecasting ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-627 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:625-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Param Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Param Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Title: Testing for a unit root in a time series with mean shifts Abstract: The study considers the ADF and KPSS tests for unit root testing in a time series characterized by a number of structural changes in its mean. Using the Monte Carlo simulation method the percentage points of the tests distributions are estimated. These two tests are biased towards non-rejection of the unit root. The bias of these tests appears to increase as the number of breaks in the series increases. The overall results in the study indicate that when a time series is subjected to a number of changes, provided the appropriate critical values are used, the unit root tests can erroneously reject the hypothesis of unit root. The tabulated critical values can be used in hypothesis testing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-635 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:629-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Mergers and acquisitions in the UK: a disaggregated analysis Abstract: The time series properties of mergers and acquisitions are investigated in the UK at sectoral level for the period 1971:1-1989:4. Two main sets of results emerge: (1) 1971:1-1989:4 the degree of persistence to shocks is uniformly low across sectors; (2) shocks are predominately aggregate. These two sets of results indicate that further analysis relying on aggregate data and short-term explanatory factors may be relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Public expenditure and Private investment: a study of the UK and the USA Abstract: The effect of fiscal measures on private investment is examined using variance decompositions derived from the error correction model. The empirical results of the study provide little support for the importance of fiscal measures in explaining variations of private investment. Output and profitability were the only two important variables in explaining forecast error variance of private investment in either country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Author-Name: Vesa Puttonen Author-X-Name-First: Vesa Author-X-Name-Last: Puttonen Title: Call-put signal predicts Finnish stock returns Abstract: The paper investigates the predictability of Finnish stock and stock index futures returns by the volume of index options. Absolute stock market returns are predictable by options volume while returns per se are not. However, call and put volume offer useful information on the future behaviour of stock and futures markets. Profitable trading strategies based on the so called call-put signal are created. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keshab Shrestha Author-X-Name-First: Keshab Author-X-Name-Last: Shrestha Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Wage discrimination: a statistical test Abstract: Measurements of wage discrimination, based on gender, age, race or religion, are important for empirical economists. Traditional approaches to the measurement of wage discrimination do not set up the question of discrimination as a hypothesis that can be statistically tested. Furthermore, they face the so called 'index number problem'. In this paper, an alternative approach is presented where wage discrimination can be tested as a statistical hypothesis. Furthermore, the proposed method eliminates the index number problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-651 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:649-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Richard Priestley Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Priestley Title: Estimating the cost of capital of the UK's newly privatized utilities Abstract: In this paper the cost of capital of the UK's newly privatized utilities is estimated using both the CAPM and the APT. It is found that the APT provides a better description of excess security returns than the CAPM. However, neither model can explain the crosssection of excess returns on the sample of UK utilities. The failure of the factor models is traced to the existence of considerable idiosyncratic risk inherent in the utility stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Prior Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: The gloomy mists of the 1960s: pricing of investment trust shares without data on net asset value Abstract: The paper considers the pricing of investment trust shares in the 1960s when data on net asset value were not available on a real time basis, but viewable only infrequently on the basis of annual company reports, and when the industry itself was in rapid transition from an old fashioned industry to the modern industry of today. A significant relationship is found between changes in both investment trust yields and retention ratios and subsequent changes in the ex-post observable discount. The suggestion is that as yields rise the fixed management charge erodes a smaller proportion of the trust's income. The more than proportionate rise in the share's price then shows up as a smaller discount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-661 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:659-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Fawson Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Fawson Author-Name: Terry Glover Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Glover Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The weak-form efficiency of the Taiwan share market Abstract: This paper evaluates monthly stock index price from the Taiwan stock market for evidence of weak form market efficiency. Four empirical methodologies are employed: the Ljung-Box Q test, the binomial distribution test, the runs test and the unit root test of stationarity in stock prices. Empirical evidence suggests that the monthly stock price for the Taiwan stock market exhibits weak-form efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Consumer demand for poultry at home and away from home: a discrete choice analysis Abstract: US consumption of poultry products has increased steadily, over the past several years. This study identifies how socio-economic and demographic factors affect the probability of consuming poultry at home and away from home, using the Nationwide Food Consumption Survey of the US Department of Agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sequira Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sequira Title: Time series analysis of settlement prices for individual currency futures in Singapore Abstract: This paper investigates the efficiency of the currency futures market in the Singapore International Monetary Exchange. The weak sense of market efficiency is tested, with the random walk model being used as the benchmark for comparing univariate models fitted to the three major currency futures, namely deutschmark. Japanese yen and British pound. In weak-form tests of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), security prices reflect fully all available information based on past values of price data. This means that the weak form tests whether all information contained in the historical prices is fully reflected in current prices. A restrictive version of the weak form of the EMH is the random walk model, which assumes that successive returns are independent and identically distributed over time. Thus, evidence supporting the random walk model is evidence supporting the weak form efficiency of the EMH. Univariate modelling of the data involves fitting several moving average, autoregressive and autoregressive moving average specifications. Using the mean absolute error (MAE), the performances of the estimated models are compared against the random walk model. The three currency futures models consistently outperform the random walk model on the strength of the MAE, which challenges the EMH in the currency futures market in Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: A modified human development index and international comparison Abstract: The paper proposes a modified human development index (HDI) which complies with the view of the Sen and others that an increase in the value of a physical indicator at a higher level represents a greater achievement than an equal increase in its value at the lower level. It also includes an infant survival rate, which is another important key indicator of development. The relative ranking of countries based on the modified index is significantly different from that based on the traditional HDI. This indicates the empirical usefulness of the proposed index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-682 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:677-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: A note on fractional cointegration Abstract: In this note I point to a typographical error in a recent paper by Baillie and Bollerslev (1994), and I provide a test - with simulated critical values - for fractional cointegration among seven daily currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-685 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:683-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Non-convex cost and the behaviour of inventories: some disaggregate results Abstract: The disaggregate results reported here show that the marginal costs are increasing over time and, therefore, the main foundation of the law of supply is still valid. This implies that some other explanation has to be found to explain why firms bunch rather than smooth production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Edgerton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Edgerton Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: Some questions concerning dynamic almost ideal demand systems Abstract: A paper by Xepanadeas and Habib, that estimates dynamic demand models, is shown to contain some serious errors. Careful consideration of the adding-up condition is shown to be necessary when using demand systems with autoregressive disturbances. Misspecification testing should be used in all empirical work. These points are illustrated using a dynamic almost ideal demand system applied to Swedish dairy data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azali Mohamed Author-X-Name-First: Azali Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamed Title: Velocity and the variability of anticipated and unanticipated money growth in Malaysia Abstract: This paper investigates the causal linkages between velocity of money and both anticipated and unanticipated components of money supply growth, and its variability as measured on the Malaysian annual data (1973-94). The motivation is to provide evidence in a developing country context about whether the authorities should pay attention to signals from anticipated or unanticipated or both components of money supply aggregate. The empirical findings from the VAR model support the hypothesis not only that the components of money supply growth Granger-cause the growth of money velocity but also in its variability measures offer an additional evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Lux Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lux Title: Long-term stochastic dependence in financial prices: evidence from the German stock market Abstract: A number of authors have argued that financial prices may exhibit hidden long-term dependence. We consider this claim analysing German stock market data. Applying three different concepts for the identification of long memory effects, virtually no evidence of such behaviour is found for stock market returns. Another recent assertion says that long term memory may not be pertinent to stock returns but rather to the conditional volatility of financial market prices. As it turns out, this claim is very much supported by our investigation of German stock market data. Furthermore, the long memory property is more pronounced in absolute values of returns than in the squares of returns (both used as proxies for volatility). The methods employed are: the time-honoured procedure of estimating the Hurst exponent for the scaling behaviour of the range of cumulative departures from the mean of a time series, the modified range analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-706 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:701-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Korres Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Korres Title: Sources of structural change: an input-output decomposition analysis for Greece Abstract: Technical change greatly contributes to the explanation of economic structural changes. The aim of this paper is to measure the extension and the direction of structural and technological change. The impact of structural and technological changes on sectoral gross output was computed by breaking down the total change into the part due to changes in input-output coefficients (technological change) and the part due to changes and composition of final demand. The decomposition of structural change is based on the following questions. What were the engines of growth? What was the role and impact of technological change and which economies experienced the most and least structural change? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harold Brumm Author-X-Name-First: Harold Author-X-Name-Last: Brumm Title: The human capital augmented Solow model revisited Abstract: A maintained hypothesis of the present paper is that a necessary condition for model verification is the robust empirical confirmation of the model's implied restrictions. In particular, the results of a statistical test of any such restrictions should be favourable and invariant across samples. A recent influential paper presented evidence in support of the principal restriction implied by the human capital augmented Solow model of economic growth. The present paper makes use of samples different from those examined in the prior paper. The conclusion reached here, unlike that reached in the prior paper, is that the augmented Solow model is not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hardwick Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Hardwick Author-Name: Michael Adams Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Adams Title: Claims' estimation in multiproduct life insurance firms: preliminary United Kingdom results Abstract: In the insurance industry, claims tend to constitute the major proportion of the total annual outgoings across almost all product lines. This preliminary study develops a cost function of insurance claims and applies the model to 1988-93 data from the UK life insurance industry. In general, the results support the hypothesis that larger life insurance firms on average face bigger claims-to-premium ratios than smaller firms. There is also evidence of a positive relationship between claims and the degree of specialization in the provision of life insurance products. Finally, there is clear support for the view that stock firms have a less severe claims experience than mutuals. We conclude that the model provides intuitive insights into the determinants of insurance claims which could help to stimulate and direct further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stein Ostbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Ostbye Title: Another note on Oswald's 'The Economic Theory of Trade Unions' Abstract: The purpose of this note is to emphasize that the qualitative effect of a labour subsidy on the union's desired wage rate, is highly sensitive to the design of the policy instrument. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:719-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ghiath Shabsigh Author-X-Name-First: Ghiath Author-X-Name-Last: Shabsigh Title: On the effects of money on the terms of trade: an empirical investigation Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Naughton Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Naughton Title: A factor analysis of equity market relationships in Asia Abstract: The equity markets of the Asian region have become a focus of attention for academic researchers interested in identifying return relationships and potential diversification benefits for international investors. In this paper, equity-return relationships are investigated for selected Asian and developed country markets. The traditional equity return correlation matrix is extended to a factor analysis to identify relationships in terms of groupings. The results indicate the existence of a developed market group that includes Hong Kong, but excludes Japan. Other results include the identification of the Philippines and Taiwan as segmented markets and a grouping of Japan and Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355754 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355754&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Kaldor's technical progress function: a comment Abstract: The shape of Kaldor's technical progress function is retested using time-series data for a selection of OECD countries. In contrast to Bairam's study, which is criticized for its restrictions on several of the key variables, it appears that the function can be specified as a linear equation. This is in contradiction to Kaldor's original hypothesis that the function is concave and supports his subsequent simplifying assumption of linearity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:729-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Davies Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Davies Author-Name: P. Downward Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Downward Title: The applicability of industrial organization theory to the services sector: initial tests from the UK hotel industry Abstract: Despite the growth of literature on industrial organization and the growth of the services sector in many economies, little work has been undertaken on the former in relation to the latter, especially using econometric techniques. Whilst a set of nested hypotheses are represented by the industrial organization framework the specific competing issues involved cannot be examined in the context of services until the general applicability and relevance of the framework have been established. This paper attempts to address these issues via the medium of the UK hotel industry. The Schmalensee approach is adopted, whereby a general model is constructed and tested to generate a subsequent parsimonious representation of it. Pooled data is used for 65 hotel companies over a 5 year time period. It was found that a dynamic formulation of the hypothesis worked best and the results take on the mantle of 'stylized facts'. The implication is that the industrial organization hypothesis and framework do have legitimacy for future analyses of, for example, the tourism industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Suicide and business cycles: Finnish evidence Abstract: The relationship between suicide and business cycles is analysed using long Finnish time series for the period 1878-1994. The results clearly show that suicide increases along with age and is related to both GDP growth (inversely), bankruptcies and unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:737-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darlene Chisholm Author-X-Name-First: Darlene Author-X-Name-Last: Chisholm Title: Continuous Degrees of Residual Claimancy: Some Contractual Evidence Abstract: A data set on share contracts between motion-pictures actors and producers in the United States is used to identify determinants of share size in revenue- and profit-sharing contracts. The evidence suggests that share size balances moral hazard and risk-sharing tradeoffs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-741 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:739-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Hofler Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hofler Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: How close to their offensive potential do national football league teams play? Abstract: This paper presents preliminary results about how close to their offensive potential teams in the National Football League (NFL) play. Our study extends the work of previous researchers in several ways. First, we are the first to investigate the efficiency of professional football teams. Secondly, we utilize a panel data set covering the seasons 1989 to 1993 for all 28 NFL teams. Thirdly we estimate a frontir for the offensive teams. By estimating a stochastic production frontier model on a panel data set of NFL teams we find that many teams have played very close to their offensive potentials. For example, teams could have scored around one point more in each game than they actually did. This shows that these NFL teams are excellent, on average, at exploiting their talent - which seems reasonable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-747 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:743-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Stuart McDougall Author-X-Name-First: R. Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: McDougall Title: Seasonal unit root characteristics of disaggregated output Abstract: Tests for unit roots and cointegration have been extended to enable tests for seasonal units and more importantly tests for seasonal cointegration between series with common seasonals. To this end seasonal unit root tests are applied to unadjusted New Zealand GDP data and its disaggregated components. These, tests reveal that while aggregate GDP clearly exhibits a constant seasonal pattern a majority of its component series exhibit a changing seasonal pattern implying that stochastic innovations are occurring at the seasonal frequency. Furthermore, seasonal cointegration tests reveal that these changing seasonal patterns, observed in the component series, cancel out yielding a deterministic seasonal pattern on aggregation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Russell McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Learning to rent-seek: collective action and in-kind benefits in the public sector Abstract: The present provides alternative specifications for public choice models that analyse the determinants of a variety of in-kind efforts to obtain monopoly rights (or rent-seek). A variable relating to the age of states in the USA provides suggestive empirical evidence of the importance of societal stability in forming interest-group coalitions, as suggested by the work of Mancur Olson. In fact, when previous models are respecified to include 'age since statehood', political determinants of elegant restaurant dining, golfing excursions and limo services - all in-kind rent-seeking perquisites - become more evident and important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-757 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:755-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Testing the intertemporal model of the current account: some evidence from Greece Abstract: This paper examines the lifecycle model of the current account determination in Greece. Bivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis indicates that the past history of the current account has information content for future changes in national cash flow. The formal strong restrictions implied by the present-value model are rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355547 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355547&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Author-Name: Xiaoyi Yan Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Canadian-Japanese R&D spillovers and productivity growth Abstract: R&D spillovers contribute to total factor productivity (TFP) growth. This paper examines the contribution of intranational and international R&D spillovers between Canada and Japan to industrial TFP growth. TFP growth is measured and decomposed for 10 Canadian and Japanese manufacturing industries. Generally, spillovers contribute to productivity gains. We find that domestic spillovers contribute more than international spillovers. Moreover, in industries where marginal propensities to spend on R&D are relatively lower, domestic spillovers reduce TFP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mamadou Wane Author-X-Name-First: Mamadou Author-X-Name-Last: Wane Author-Name: Paul Burkett Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Burkett Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Title: Economic growth and monetary union in sub-Saharan Africa: new evidence on the effects of CFA-zone membership. Abstract: Estimation of a structural economic growth equation using data for 26 sub-Saharan African countries over the years 1974-92 reveals positive growth effects of membership in the French African Community (CFA) zone stemming from an enhanced productivity of investment. However, these effects appear to be limited to the pre-1980 period, despite the CFA's superior inflation performance relative to non-CFA countries thereafter. The results also support the importance of distinguishing between expected and unexpected inflation in analysing the growth effects of inflation and of CFA membership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Velocity and interest rate variability in Italy: a further test of the Friedman hypothesis Abstract: This paper examines whether interest rate variability leads to a decrease in the velocity of money in Italy. The hypothesis is tested using the Johansen cointegration technique and error-correction modelling. The empirical findings lend support to the Friedman hypothesis and help reconcile the mixed results of others regarding the hypothesis in Italy. The error-correction model results are consistent with risk-averse households holding more money, and thus reducing velocity, when faced with the uncertainty associated with interest rate variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355574 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355574&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Chiao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chiao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Religion, culture, economic and sociological correlates of suicide rates: a cross-national analysis Abstract: Enormous variations exist in suicide rates across countries. This paper demonstrates that a significant proportion of the cross-country variations in suicide rates can be explained by a combination of religion, culture, economic and sociological variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-782 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:779-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Title: Betting volume and market efficiency in Hong Kong race track betting Abstract: The Harville formula provides an analytical basis for the arbitrage pricing relationship between the odds on 'win' bets and the odds on 'quinella' bets in parimutuel betting markets. This study employs this relationship and high frequency time series data on the evolution of the betting odds from Hong Kong race tracks to test the hypothesis of betting market efficiency and to examine the role of the volume of belting. The non-stationary odds data are analysed using Johansen's maximum likelihood cointegration techniques to test the condition for market efficiency. The volume of betting is found to be a significant determinant of the degree of market efficiency across races but not within races. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-787 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:783-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Strawczynski Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Strawczynski Author-Name: Momi Dahan Author-X-Name-First: Momi Author-X-Name-Last: Dahan Title: Government finance and endogenous growth Abstract: A crucial assumption for the solution of the endogenous growth model with government intervention is a balanced budget along the perpetual steady state. This assumption is unreal once we are interested to test the model using government data, given that in most countries the budget is not balanced. In this letter we adopt the well-known rule of 'tax smoothing' in order to make this assumption a realistic one. According to our approach the relevant variable for the implementation of a balanced budget is permanent government expenses. The empirical performance of the model is characterized using Israeli data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: The role of divorce in the consumption function: an EC study Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-795 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:793-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zainudin Arsad Author-X-Name-First: Zainudin Author-X-Name-Last: Arsad Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The weekend effect, good news, bad news and the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index: 1935-94 Abstract: In recent years much evidence has been documented of the existence of regularities in stock price returns, and consequently the notion of market efficiency has been questioned. The primary objective of this paper is to investigate the 'weekend' effect for a large sample of daily returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index (FT 30). Empirical results lead us to tentatively suggest that a weekend effect has existed for the FT 30, but that this regularity has not been persistent. We then partition the Monday returns into positive and negative returns, and find that whilst the weekend effect holds for the Mondays, with negative returns, it fails to hold for Mondays which exhibit positive returns. These results support the results of earlier research. Finally we conclude that these results do not contest the notion of market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-801 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:797-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Vilasuso Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Vilasuso Title: Changes in the duration of economic expansions and contractions in the United States Abstract: This paper employs nonparametric change-point tests to business cycle duration data in the United States. The findings are consistent with recent studies citing longer expansions and shorter contractions since World War II. However, it is found that these shifts occurred much earlier. There is evidence of a single abrupt change-point to longer expansions that occurred in 1929. The shift towards shorter contractions was gradual: the transition began in 1918 and was completed in 1938. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: The dancing of the real exchange rate of US dollar and the US real trade balance Abstract: The current study seeks to re-examine a possible long-run dynamic relationship between the trade-weighted real exchange rate of US dollar and US real trade balance by using the well-known cointegration methodology. The sample period includes observations from the second quarter of 1973 through the second quarter of 1992. The unit root test reveals that the trade-weighted real exchange value of dollar and the US real trade balance are individually nonstationary in levels. The ADF test concludes that there is no systematic long-run association between these two variables even under the flexible exchange rate system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:807-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Onafowora Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Onafowora Title: Inflation in developing countries Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-814 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:809-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Why workers queue for local government jobs: the US evidence Abstract: Following the technique of bivariate probit with partial observability, I find the evidence that one reason US workers queue for local government jobs is to obtain union status. The average desire probability for local government union jobs is found to be twice as large as the desire probability for local-non-union employment. Estimated from the same sample, the length of the local-union queue, which is almost twice the size of the queue for local-non-union jobs, suggests the importance of the desire for union status in the worker's decision to enter the local government job queue Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Sheng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The size anomaly on the Taiwan Stock Exchange Abstract: This paper examines the size anomaly on the Taiwan Stock Exchange over the period 1971-93. Using a sample of all listed stocks, this research finds that the smallest size quintile earns a significantly higher abnormal return than other four size portfolios over the whole sample period. Moreover, the size anomaly cannot be attributed to the January effect. The smallest size quintile performs better than the average of the other four size quintiles in almost every month. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:7-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Buckley Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Buckley Author-Name: Jane Frecknall Hughes Author-X-Name-First: Jane Frecknall Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Title: Japanese transfer pricing policy: a note Abstract: This paper examines the issue of transfer pricing with particular reference to Japanese multinational companies against the background of recent press reports alleging the misuse of this pricing mechanism to locate artificially group profits in countries where a tax advantage may be obtained. The chief allegation seems to be that companies set out deliberately to engineer a pricing structure which results in a sales/purchase price which is artificially low/high for goods which, typically, are traded across one or more national boundaries. This is in practice difficult to prove, and tax authorities normally seek to make adjustments based on attempts to establish a 'fair' or 'arm's length' price for goods for which an independent market seldom exists. The assumption generally made is that multinationals operate similarly in respect of transfer pricing, namely to the disadvantage of host countries in which they operate. It is the contention of this paper that this blanket assumption does not hold true, especially in the instance of Japanese multinationals, and it is argued that this can be demonstrated clearly if the pricing structures operated by a typical Japanese firm are examined in the light of the differing costing principles obtaining and the different business culture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:13-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Financial market liberalization and the relationship between stock returns and financial leverage in Finland Abstract: The results of this note indicate that the return-leverage relation turned from negative to positive in Finland in the late 1980s. This finding is explained by the liberalization of Finnish financial markets and the decrease in the degree of financial leverage of Finnish listed firms. The results highlight the remarkable effect of the financial market liberalization on the financial management of Finnish firms and the empirical results on the Finnish financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:19-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelhak Senhadji Author-X-Name-First: Abdelhak Author-X-Name-Last: Senhadji Title: Two common problems related to the use of the Armington aggregator in computable general equilibrium models Abstract: This note highlights two common problems with the application of the population CES aggregator introduced by Armington. Both are related to the dependence of the input shares on the elasticity of substitution even when relative prices are held constant. A modified CES aggregator is proposed which avoids these problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:23-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Decomposition of Gini coefficients by income factors: a new approach and application Abstract: When total income consists of a number of factors, the Gini coefficient measuring income inequality can be decomposed into factor components. Some traditional decomposition methods rely on calculating the covariances between incomes and their ranks. Such methods have obvious limitations in empirical studies. This paper develops a simple decomposition approach applicable for any type of data with an example to demonstrate how income inequality in rural China in 1992 can be decomposed into agricultural and non-agricultural components. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:27-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karolina Ekholm Author-X-Name-First: Karolina Author-X-Name-Last: Ekholm Author-Name: Johan Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Author-Name: Rasha Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Rasha Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Comparative advantage in the Middle East and North Africa Abstract: This paper asks whether net trade in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) can be explained by differences in comparative costs and in the exploitation of scale economies. Based on a sample of six countries, it is shown that factor proportions do not significantly affect net trade. In an analysis based on a sample of three countries, we are also able to incorporate technical differences and differences in scale economies. We find no support of these variables significantly affecting net trade either. Therefore, we are fairly confident in drawing the conclusion that for our country sample, net trade does not seem to be explained by comparative costs, technical differences, or scale economies. This leads us to conclude that measures undertaken to increase trade between MENA countries without simultaneously removing domestic distortions may not be welfare improving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521828 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521828&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:33-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: A simple method for controlling for compositional effects in the measurement of poverty Abstract: This paper outlines a method for controlling for compositional factors in the measurement of poverty. The method is based in shift-share analysis and direct standarization, the later technique popular in the field of demography. The method is consistent with Sen's influential axiomatic approach to poverty measurement and employs the popular poverty index proposed by Foster et al. This index is one of the few summary poverty measures that can be directly standardized and also meets Sen's criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Football league transfers: a comparison of negotiated fees with arbitration settlements Abstract: This paper investigates the differences between negotiated and arbitrated settlements in the footballers transfer market utilizing a data set containing FLAC decisions covering the period 1978-9 to 1991-2. Our analysis suggests that arbitrated settlements deflate transfer fees compared with negotiated transfers. We also identify a tendency towards greater risk aversion amongst buying clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Glenn Graham Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Title: Access to health care and current health status: do physicians matter? Abstract: A number of studies examine the link between access to medical care and health status. Previous studies find little or no relationship between the availability of health care and health status. We examine the issue separately for metropolitan and rural areas. We find that the number of physicians in a county has a positive influence on the health status of individuals in rural areas. Also, older people benefit more from the presence of physicians than younger people. Consistent with previous studies, no clear relationship is found in metropolitan areas. These results support several United States government programmes that encourage physicians to locate in rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Public perceptions of the relative seriousness of inflation and unemployment in the United States Abstract: We analyse the determinants of the public's relative concerns about inflation and unemployment using responses to the Gallup Poll question on the relative seriousness of inflation and unemployment. We then estimate the rate of inflation that politicians will choose to impose on the US economy given the natural rate of unemployment. We find that this rate of inflation, which we call 'the natural rate of inflation', is in the region of 5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Per-Olov Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Per-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Title: The value of life extension and the marginal rate of time preference: a pilot study Abstract: The aim of this paper is to introduce and test a new approach for the measurement of the marginal rate of time preference for life-years gained based on contingent valuation techniques. A simple binary willingness to pay question is administered in a general public sample of two age groups (34-5 years and 64-5 years). In this pilot study, the estimated marginal rate of time preference is 1.3%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521833 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521833&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:53-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Movie admissions and rental income: the case of James Bond Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of optimal movie design with respect to a single series of feature films, the James Bond movies. This is in contrast to previous studies where analysis has been primarily confined to samples of record box office earning movies. With respect to US admissions and rental income four separate models are estimated examining economic factors, the Bond actors, film quality and intertemporal indicators. Findings indicate non-monotonic relationship with respect to price and an inverse one with respect to total movie attendance. A positive influence is recorded by the first three Bond actors although audience loyalty declines after four appearances and a debutante brings significant additional returns. Quality is also an important component with the attainment or nomination of Academy Awards being particularly lucrative. The relative success of the series is, however, on a declining trajectory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:57-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Causality between the measured and underground economies in New Zealand Abstract: We investigate some characteristics of the underground economy in New Zealand by testing for Granger causality between measured and 'hidden' real GDP in that country. We find clear evidence of causality from measured to hidden economic activity, but only weak evidence of causality in the reverse direction. This poses a dilemma for policy makers who wish to stimulate economic growth and also minimize the size of the 'tax gap'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Title: Explaining stationary variables with non-stationary regressors Abstract: When variables included in an OLS regression are stationary, conventional statistical measures such as t-statistics and R2's - in addition to a priori information from economic theory - are the standard indicators used to assess the performance of the hypothesized model. However, if the variables under consideration are non-stationary, such conventional measures no longer have the usual interpretation. With recent developments in time-series analysis, namely cointegration, researchers are able to deal with models containing non-stationary variables effectively. A standard cointegration model, however, requires all variables included in the regression to be of the same order of integration. In this paper we consider a regression in which the dependent variable is integrated of order zero, I(0), while the explanatory variables are integrated of order one, I(1). Conventional statistical measures are inapplicable because the regressors are not stationary. On the other hand, cointegration statistics are inapplicable because the variables are not of the same order of integration. This letter proposes a methodology on how to evaluate the performance of such a model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521836 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521836&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:69-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: A note on beta forecasting Abstract: The issue of beta forecasting is explored using Australian stock returns data. A simple market model is fitted to individual stock data over the period 1983 to 1987 and the beta estimated from this sample is used to forecast the market model beta over the period 1988 to 1992. It is found that a simple transformation of the initial period beta produces a forecast error which is remarkably close to the transformation which produces the minimum least squares forecast error. This suggests that the more complex forecasting techniques proposed in the literature may not be worth the additional computational effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-78 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526698 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526698&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:77-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Title: Demand for religion in the British Isles Abstract: This paper analyses, for the first time, consumer preferences for religion within the British Isles. We examine the characteristics of the leading denominations on a cross-sectional basis for 1994 in relation to their membership. It is found that significant factors determining religious membership include the geographical location and period of foundation, specialized regional and ethnic indicators, attributes of ministers, whether 'established' or 'disestablished' and supply-side factors. These findings have repercussions on the future marketing of religion in an increasingly secular and multi-cultural society, together with the debate on the future of the established, or state, churches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526699 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526699&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Margin requirements and stock market volatility in Thailand Abstract: The use of margin requirements as a potential policy tool for controlling sudden stock price changes and market volatility has attracted considerable attention in the developed stock markets. However, no consensus has emerged regarding the significance of the impact of changes in margin requirement of the stock market. The existing analyses are extended to test the impact of changes in margin requirements on stock prices in an emerging stock market. Using recent data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand, margin requirements are demonstrated to have an important impact on the behaviour of stock prices. Increases (decreases) in margin requirements usually lead to a downward (upward) trend in stock prices. An interesting aspect of the result is the apparently asymmetric nature of the response of stock prices to changes in margin requirements. The market appears to respond immediately and forcefully to a decrease in the margin requirements; whereas the response to an increase in margin requirements is much slower and weaker. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:83-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: Dynamic linkages and Granger causality between short-term US corporate bond and stock markets Abstract: It is sought to investigate a possible long-run association and Granger causality between US stock and short-term corporate bond markets by applying the well-known cointegration and error-correction methodology. The unit root tests reveal that the rates of return from S&P 500 and short-term US corporate bond yields are non-stationary in levels. The ADF test finds them cointegrated at 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance. The estimated error-correction model confirms a long-run relationship between these two markets. The short-term US corporate bond market appears to Granger-cause the US stock market in the long run. Furthermore, there appears to be a two-way short-run Granger causality and reversible feedback between these two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526701 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526701&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Author-Name: Linda Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Title: Efficiency in gambling markets involving spread: a corrected and simplified test Abstract: A correction is proposed for a test of market efficiency that is commonly applied to sports betting markets. Markets offering spread and totals wagers, such as football and basketball, typically employ the 'eleven for ten' betting rule. The previously established test statistic for profitability is positively biased, so it could lead researchers to a false rejection of the efficient markets hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526702 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526702&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Rougier Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Rougier Title: A simple necessary condition for negativity in the almost ideal demand system with the Stone price index Abstract: A necessary condition is derived for negativity in the almost ideal demand system (AIDS) when used with the Stone price index. This condition is very simple and can be examined by a t-test on a single equation within the framework of ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:97-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Mudambi Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Mudambi Title: A complete information index for measuring the proportionality of electoral systems Abstract: A crucial property of an electoral system is the manner in which it translates a vote distribution into a pattern of representation. Measures of this property are important in assessing the relative merits of differing electoral systems. Galeotti proposes one useful index (Galeotti, G., 1994, On proportional non-representation, Public Choice, 80, 359-70). However, it is argued that this index is informationally incomplete. A complete information index is proposed and shown to perform better in an illustration using data from Sicilian provincial elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Stock returns in emerging markets: a common trend analysis Abstract: An empirical investigation is offered of the number of common trends in stock returns in seven Asian emerging markets. There is evidence of a single common trend. Following Kasa (Kasa, K., 1992, Common stochastic trends in international stock markets, Journal of Monetary Economics, 29, 95-124) a measure is obtained of common trend and graphic evidence is provided in favour of market interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Kursat Kunter Author-X-Name-First: Kursat Author-X-Name-Last: Kunter Title: A note on the efficiency of financial markets in a developing country Abstract: Semi-strong efficiency in the stock market, the foreign exchange market and the interbank money market in Turkey is investigated by using the direct Granger causality tests. Significant deviations are reported from the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) with respect to changes in market liquidity in all these markets for the period of January 1989 to July 1995. It is also found that these markets are pairwise interdependent. However, market liquidity cannot be predicted by using developments in the financial market. Possible implications for domestic and foreign investors and for monetary policy makers are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526706 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526706&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:109-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Robert Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Qiyu Chu Author-X-Name-First: Qiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: The causality between fertility and female labour force participation in Japan Abstract: Applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method, an examination is carried out into the causality between fertility (BR) and female labour (FR) participation for Japan over the period 1950-1993. A unidirectional causality appears to run from BR to FR without feedback. The F-statistics show that fertility negatively affects female labour force participation but not vice versa. It appears that women's employment does not hinder the probability of having more children, but having small children at home strongly discourages them from seeking outside employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526707 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526707&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Phil Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Measuring discrimination by decomposing earnings functions Abstract: An unrecognized problem is examined in a frequently used method for decomposing earnings functions in the measurement of discrimination. The conventional method decomposes changes in the log of the geometric mean of the distribution, as opposed to the correct quantity, which is the change in the log of the arithmetic mean. Using the log of the geometric mean involves decomposing both changes in the mean and the spread of the distribution. But the mean and the spread of many earnings functions are subject to change, so it is not quite clear what this decomposition achieves. Two examples illustrate timewise and cross-sectional comparisons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Grammy Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Grammy Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: New Evidence on the effect of human capital on economic growth Abstract: We improve results of the Mankiw, Romer and Weil (1992) augmented neoclassical growth model by considering broader measures of human capital. Compared with the MRW results, our approach increases the explanatory power of the model and the speed of conditional income convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Stochastic efficiency measurement: a new approach Abstract: A new method of measuring productive efficiency is proposed and empirically applied here, when the input output data are subject to random variations. This method is useful in applications of Farrell efficiency and data envelopment analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526710 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526710&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Finite sample performance of Schmidt-Philips unit root tests Abstract: The finite sample performance is investigated for two versions of the Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root tests. It is found that the correct size of the augmented tests is obtained at the expense of the power, while the reasonable power of the transformed tests reflects the size distortions under the null hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526711 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526711&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ather Akbari Author-X-Name-First: Ather Author-X-Name-Last: Akbari Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Title: The Canadian earnings functions under test Abstract: Many Canadian studies continue to use Mincer's basic post-schooling earnings function to analyse labour market earnings of individuals. Several policy recommendations are based on these analyses. The underlying assumptions in these studies are that the Mincer's specification of earnings model is correct and that the error terms of these models are normally distributed and homoscedastic. By performing several tests on four cross-sectional Canadian data sets ranging from 1981 to 1991, the present study confirms previous suggestions in literature that the standard Mincer specification of earnings model should not be adopted without testing. The hypotheses of a correctly specified functional form, and of the normality and homoscedasticity of errors, are rejected for all the data sets used in this study. These results question the validity of past policy recommendations based on Mincer type earnings functions in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:133-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: The implications of cointegration in financial markets: a comment Abstract: In this short paper, I show that the characterization of the efficient securities market in Wang (1995) is inconsistent with financial economic theory, and offer a theoretically consistent alternative. By contrast, under this alternative definition of an efficient market, the component securities cannot be cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:141-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ram Pillarisetti Author-X-Name-First: J. Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Pillarisetti Title: An empirical note on inequality in the world development indicators Abstract: A broad range of inequality measures is used to examine inter-country inequality in two highly correlated indicators of development, the per capita real income (Y) and the Human Development Index (HDI). The difference in the degree of inequality in Y and the HDI is found to be highly sensitive to the inequality index. Wolfson's index reflected high inter-country inequality in both Y and the HDI. Several other indexes also measured high inequality in Y and the HDI at varying levels. The entropy class of measures exhibited a high inequality in Y but negligible inequality in the HDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Bengt Liljas Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Liljas Author-Name: Richard O'Conor Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: O'Conor Title: Hypothetical versus real willingness to pay: some experimental results Abstract: The aim of this study was to compare hypothetical and real willingness to pay (WTP) in an experimental setting by eliciting WTP for a private good, a box of chocolates. The experimental subjects were randomly divided into two groups. One group received an open-ended hypothetical WTP question and another group participated in a second-price auction with real payments. The mean WTP was SEK 89.50 (STD 75.37) in the hypothetical payment group and SEK 87.40 (STD 39.47) in the real payment group. The null hypothesis of no difference in the mean WTP between the groups could not be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:149-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stein Ostbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Ostbye Title: A real options approach to investment in factor demand models Abstract: A real options approach to investment is used to derive a new full static equilibrium condition for capital within the framework of a restricted variable cost function. Empirical evidence suggests that the use of the traditional equilibrium condition may be grossly misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kavous Ardalan Author-X-Name-First: Kavous Author-X-Name-Last: Ardalan Title: The no-arbitrage condition and financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information Abstract: The explosion of the rational expectations equilibrium models in the finance literature has occurred when the perfect market assumption of homogeneous information is relaxed and prices play the role of aggregating and transmitting information in the financial market. This paper shows that the no-arbitrage condition in a financial market with heterogeneous and costly information is equivalent to the existence of a pricing operator. It is further shown that equilibrium prices in financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information are, in fact, equilibrium prices in a perfect market plus a certain factor. This paper then shows the functional relation between this certain factor and the form of the information-cost function. In this way, the results of Ross (1978), Gaman and Ohlson (1981), and Dermody and Prisman (1993) are extended to financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Joao Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Currency substitution and indexed money Abstract: The paper tests the hypothesis that the presence of indexed money may rule out a process of currency substitution in contexts of persistent high inflation. Estimates for the case of Brazil using monthly data for the period 1985 to 1993 and cointegration techniques offer support for that. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Nonneman Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Nonneman Author-Name: Isabelle Cortens Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cortens Title: A note on the rate of return to investment in education in Belgium Abstract: Internal rates on return to investment in higher secondary, university and non-university higher education in Belgium (1992) are presented. Private, social and fiscal returns are distinguished. Private and social returns are low for secondary education, but substantially higher than long-run returns of investment in physical capital. Returns for females are systematically higher than those for males. A remarkable finding is that social returns are higher than private returns, indicating a net-tax on educational investment rather than a net-subsidy. Fiscal returns are particularly high for tertiary education implying no reverse redistributive effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: Duration and mobility of young male workers in a segmented labour market Abstract: This study analyses the notion that the length of spells in secondary segment employment inhibits mobility to primary segment employment. Findings for young male workers aged 20-25 detect the existence of such an effect with secondary segment hazard rates exhibiting negative duration dependence after three years of duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Title: Which level of schooling has the greatest economic impact on output? Abstract: An assessment is made of whether primary, secondary or tertiary education has the greatest impact on national income. An aggregate production function is estimated for a cross-section of 77 countries which disaggregates the labour force on the basis of the highest level of schooling attained. The results imply that for both high-income and less developed countries the marginal product of labour increases with each successive level of schooling. Tertiary education has the greatest economic impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:177-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Oral Capps Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Capps Author-Name: Patrick Byrne Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Title: Calculating marginal effects in dichotomous - continuous models Abstract: In many economic settings, individual decisions can be viewed as a sequential process where a dichotomous choice is followed by a continuous choice. These processes are frequently encountered in consumption demand studies, where the decision of whether or not to consume a particular commodity is followed by the choice of how much to consume. The Heckman two-step approach has been extensively used in estimating these models. Expressions are derived for calculating marginal effects of regressors in dichotomous-continuous models. It is proposed that the marginal effect expressions are incomplete in almost all consumption demand studies that use the Heckman approach. In dichotomous-continuous models, a change in an explanatory variable that is common to both stages of the decision process has two effects: (1) it affects the likelihood of whether the commodity will be consumed; and (2) if the commodity is consumed, it affects the expenditure on that commodity. The first effect has so far been omitted from applied demand studies. The correct marginal effect expressions are derived for single-commodity and multiple-commodity demand models. An application to consumption survey data on 12 food commodities shows that erroneous marginal effect expressions can introduce substantial bias in demand elasticity estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Normandin Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Normandin Title: Precautionary saving and the Deaton paradox Abstract: The Deaton paradox implies that the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) under certainty equivalence is rejected because observed consumption is excessively smooth. It is shown how several reasonable parametrization of the PIH under precautionary saving imply that consumption is smoother than labour income and that the relative smoothness matches that found in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Tobit analysis with a natural non-response rate Abstract: A Tobit model is considered with a natural non-response rate. The model features simultaneous determination of the standard Tobit model and a natural non-response rate. An example on the determinants of extramarital affairs is used to illustrate the method. The natural non-response rate is shown to be statistically significant in this example. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob Brochner Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Brochner Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Title: Tests of the Lucas supply curve with price expectational data Abstract: The Lucas supply curve is tested using EEC price expectational data. The tests failed to find any evidence of a positively sloped aggregate supply curve due to worker and producer misperception. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:195-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourens Broersma Author-X-Name-First: Lourens Author-X-Name-Last: Broersma Title: Competition between employed and unemployed job searchers: is there a difference between the UK and The Netherlands? Abstract: In this paper We investigate whether there is a difference between competition between unemployed and employed job searchers in flexible and rigid labour markets. Comparing the results for the more or less flexible labour market in the UK with the rigid labour market in The Netherlands, we find remarkably similar results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-203 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:199-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hart Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Hart Author-Name: Nicholas Oulton Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Oulton Title: Zipf and the size distribution of firms Abstract: Based on a sample of 50441 independent UK companies of all sizes covering all sectors of the UK economy, the size distribution of companies is close to lognormal, even though the hypothesis of lognormality can be rejected statistically. A Zipf plot shows that the Pareto distribution is a poor fit to the upper 5% tail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-206 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:205-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Leger Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Leger Title: UK investment trusts: performance, timing and selectivity Abstract: GLS estimation with correction for autocorrelation is used to examine the performance of 72 UK Investment Trusts in four non-overlapping five-year samples, 1974 to 1993, using measures of 'timing', and 'selectivity'. Abnormal performance on both indicators is found to be weak, with very little persistence. Patterns of significant selectivity and timing are found to reverse after the first period. Negative timing performance is found for around one third of trusts in the last three sample periods, and strong negative correlations are observed between timing and selectivity for all periods. Various interpretations of these findings are given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-210 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:207-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ananda Weliwita Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Weliwita Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Title: Determinants of farmland prices in the north-eastern United States: a cointegration analysis Abstract: We examine the determinants of land prices in the north-eastern United States by applying Johansen and Juselius maximum-likelihood cointegration procedure to two recent land price models. The results suggest that there is an equilibrium relationship between real land price and real gross farm income, inflation rate, interest rate, and land area. We found that both real and nominal interest rates are cointegrated with land prices. These findings support recent suggestions that interest rate plays a more significant role in determining land prices than previously thought. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: A modified matrix for policy analysis on production diversification for Thai agriculture Abstract: A modified policy analysis matrix is developed to study the costs and benefits of crop production in Thailand. Government intervention in production diversification is assessed with alternative indicators of comparative advantages. It suggests that intervention may be socially undesirable but there are exceptional cases, especially when economic externality exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Title: A test of wage leadership hypothesis in Turkish manufacturing industry Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:219-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Seļuk Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Seļuk Title: GMM estimation of currency substitution in a high-inflation economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This paper shows that currency substitution is a first-order importance in a high inflation economy like Turkey. A money-in-the-utility function model is estimated and tested using Hansen's Generalized Method of Moments procedure. The results show that elasticity of substitution between the Turkish Lira and the US dollar is high and statistically significant. The estimate of the share of foreign balances in producing domestic money services is considerably large and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-227 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:225-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Obesity and heart disease awareness: a note on the impact of consumer characteristics using qualitative choice analysis Abstract: This note examines the impact of socio-economic and demographic factors on the likelihood that an individual is aware of the link between being overweight and heart disease. Results indicate that nonwhites, lower educated individuals, and those with lower income are less likely to be aware of the link between being overweight and heart disease. Considering the extent of the obesity problem in the United States, these results should be used as a guide in the design of food policy and health education campaigns about obesity and heart disease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-231 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:229-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Lammertsma Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Lammertsma Author-Name: Kees Koedijk Author-X-Name-First: Kees Author-X-Name-Last: Koedijk Author-Name: Clemens Kool Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Kool Title: The evidence on international output-inflation trade-off: an evaluation Abstract: Combining and processing the information in ten previously published studies, we analyse the Lucas variability hypotheses. When adequate account is taken of structural differences between developing and developed countries, the prediction of the Lucas model that higher nominal demand variability leads to a lower inflation-output trade-off must be rejected for the group of developed countries. This does not imply that developed countries can use active demand policies without deteriorating their short-run inflation-output trade-off. More realistically, the result suggests that nominal demand variability is an inadequate indicator of demand shocks for the group of developed countries. This may be due to relatively low inflation levels and variability in the developed countries. For the developing countries where nominal (inflationary) shocks dominate, this may be less of a problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-236 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:233-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Ian Lincoln Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Lincoln Title: Tax then spend or spend then tax? Experience in the UK, 1961-93 Abstract: Using a hybrid of cointegration theory and Granger-Akaike's synthesis of modelling strategy, we have reexamined the causal relationship between tax revenue and government spending in the UK in a cointegrated VAR model. The results are indicative of a bi-directional causality between revenue and spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-239 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:237-239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Are there asymmetries in UK consumption? A closer look Abstract: This letter reappraises some recently reported tests for asymmetries in UK consumers' expenditure relative to trend. In particular, we consider the disaggregation of consumers' expenditure into broad categories of durable and non-durable goods and services, and according to 13 specific consumption categories. We also consider the sensitivity of test results to alternative detrending methods; namely Hodrick-Prescott filtering and structural time series modelling. We find that previous consideration of total consumers expenditure alone masks an important difference in the properties of expenditure across the durable/non-durable distinction, durables exhibiting significant asymmetric 'steepness' which is robust to the method of detrending, while non-durables exhibit significant 'deepness' under Hodrick-Prescott detrending but not structural time series trend modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Salisu Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Salisu Author-Name: V. N. Balasubramanyam Author-X-Name-First: V. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Balasubramanyam Title: Income and price elasticities of demand for alcoholic drinks Abstract: This paper provides estimates of income and price elasticities of demand for beer, wine and spirits in the UK and utilizes these elasticities to estimate the impact of the increase in tax rates, announced by the Chancellor in his revised November 1994 budget, on total tax revenues. The estimates of additional tax revenues based on our model are lower than those expected by the Chancellor. The results reported in this paper suggest that if the Chancellor were to realize the revenues he expects from taxation of alcoholic drinks he would have to increase the tax rates on wine and lower those on beer and spirits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-251 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:247-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Gianluigi Pelloni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Pelloni Author-Name: Athina Zervoyianni Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Zervoyianni Title: Unemployment Fluctuations in the UK: 1958-92 Abstract: This paper presents estimates of a reduced-form unemployment equation for the UK using annual data from 1958 to 1992. It extends previous work by using modern time series econometrics, by focusing on variables that bring about fluctuations around the natural rate as well as variables that determine it, and by using a measure of sectoral reallocation purged of demand influences. The resulting equation has stable parameters which are readily interpretable in terms of the underlying theories of unemployment fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-255 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:253-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taijfiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taijfiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: Cointegration analysis of the inverted Fisher effect: evidence from Belgium, France and Germany Abstract: This paper investigates the inverted Fisher effect in Belgium, France and Germany during 1955-94 using the cointegration method. Cointegration tests of two different null hypotheses, cointegration and no cointegration, are applied. Little support is found for the inverted Fisher effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-260 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:257-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. W. Mui Author-X-Name-First: H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mui Author-Name: M. M. Ali Author-X-Name-First: M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: Economic analysis of crime and punishment: an Asian case Abstract: In this paper, we have investigated the deterrent effects of sanctions and severity of punishment on crime rates based on the experience of Hong Kong. The effects of socio-economic variables such as unemployment rate, poverty, number of illegal immigrants, and total population on crime rates are also studied. Criminal behaviour is analysed using a utility theoretic framework and criminals are viewed as rational economic agents. Annual data of all categories of crimes committed in Hong Kong from 1972 to 1992 are used to estimate the parameters. In contrast to societies with a European culture, we have found that the crime rates experienced in an Asian city are quite different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:261-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amresh Hanchate Author-X-Name-First: Amresh Author-X-Name-Last: Hanchate Author-Name: K. V. Ramaswamy Author-X-Name-First: K. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramaswamy Title: New agricultural technology, timeliness and wages for labour: a longitudinal study of rural wages in India Abstract: While there is widespread agreement that the spread of new technology crops in India since the mid-1960s has affected rural wages, there is considerable disagreement over the nature of this effect. The existing literature has posed this problem in a demand-supply framework - with a rise in agricultural wages ascribed to increased labour demand caused by this technology change, and stagnant or falling wages attributed to labour supply growth outstripping labour demand. In this paper we reconsider this issue in a modified framework. Within a competitive demand-supply framework we add another aspect of production technology that is idiosyncratic to agriculture, namely, sensitivity of yields to timing of farm operations (say, planting date). It is common knowledge that mistiming can cause substantial yield loss. In a competitive labour market this causes greater impatience on the farmers' part. They are willing to pay a higher wage rather than risk loss of yield. As newer technology crops tend to be more time sensitive, this puts an upward pressure on wages. In this paper we test this hypothesis using annual state-level data from India for the period 1970-85. Delineating the demand-supply effect of new technology on wages from that of the timeliness effect, we indeed find supportive evidence for the above hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasser Daneshvary Author-X-Name-First: Nasser Author-X-Name-Last: Daneshvary Author-Name: William Luksetich Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Luksetich Title: Income sources and declared charitable tax deductions Abstract: Within the framework of traditional economic theory a charitable contribution is considered a consumption good. As such, the demand for giving is affected by changes in the price of giving and current income. Moreover, changes in wealth, expected future income, and 'habits' may affect giving. Previous empirical studies of giving have not considered the possibility of the impact that donor's wealth might have on giving. One way of accounting for such possible effect is to include various sources of donor's income in the demand function. Using the Internal Revenue Service Individual Tax Model Files and a dynamic econometric model of charitable giving, we estimate demand for giving for various income groups and examine impacts of various income sources on giving. The findings indicate that the higher the share of wages and dividends in disposable income, the higher the amount of giving. The amount of giving is lower when the share of interest, capital gain, or pension income is higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Paul Leigh Author-X-Name-First: J. Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Author-Name: Deborah Lubeck Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Lubeck Author-Name: Paul Farnham Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Farnham Author-Name: James Fries Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Fries Title: Absenteeism and HIV infection Abstract: We sought to determine whether employed patients with HIV infection reported more days unable to work than similar patients without HIV infection. We did not consider whether HIV infection resulted in job loss. Cross-sectional data on 884 employed patients from five physician-sites in California were drawn from the AIDS Time-Oriented Health Outcome Study (ATHOS). An econometric 2-part model with a number of covariates including age, race, education, and an instrumental variable reflecting the probability of any employment was constructed to provide a comparison between three categories of patients, HIV -negative; HIV positive but not yet AIDS; and AIDS. The results suggested no statistically significant difference between the comparison patients (HIV -negative) and the patients with HIV but not AIDS for days unable to work. Employed patients with AIDS, however, reported roughly 5.1 (one week) more days unable to work out of the prior three months than either the comparison patients or the patients with HIV infection but not AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:275-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: The hidden economy and tax-evasion prosecutions in New Zealand Abstract: We consider non-stationary time-series data for the size of the hidden economy and for tax-related prosecutions in New Zealand. The two series are found to be cointegrated, and there is strong evidence of Granger causality from prosecutions to hidden activity. There is no significant evidence of reverse causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-285 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:281-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Increasing returns to information: evidence from the Hong Kong movie market Abstract: We examine a sample of 300 movies that appeared on the top-10 charts in Hong Kong. We apply an empirical test proposed by Ijiri and Simon (1974) and find that movie revenues in the territory of Hong Kong are consistent with the hypothesis of increasing returns to information. This empirical result confirms the results of De Vany and Walls (1996) who found evidence of increasing returns to information in their analysis of movie data from the US Top-50 charts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pingsun Leung Author-X-Name-First: Pingsun Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Walter Miklius Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Miklius Title: Demand for nutrition vs. demand for tastes Abstract: This paper extends the analyses by Silberberg (1985) of the relationship between the expenditures for food to satisfy nutritional requirements and the expenditures to satisfy the desire for tastes using alternative estimates of the minimum cost or technically efficient diet. The hypothesis originally tested by Silberberg is retested by following his procedure for estimating the minimum cost diet but using data supplied by the 1977-78 Food Consumption Survey in Hawaii. The results are roughly consistent with the hypothesis, i.e., if the lowest income group is excluded, the ratio of actual food expenditures to the minimum cost diet rises with increase in household incomes. However, an argument could be made that the procedure used by Silberberg in estimating the minimum cost or technically efficient diets did not satisfactorily separate the expenditures for nutrition from the expenditures to satisfy the demand for tastes. We, therefore, re-estimated the hypothesis with the minimum cost diet which satisfies Recommended Daily Allowances (RDAs). We find that the results again are consistent with the hypothesis but the effect of changes in income on food expenditures to satisfy tastes is relatively small. It is argued elsewhere that the technology (as embodied in available recipes) is not available to convert all nutrients contained in a typical minimum cost diet into palatable meals. Therefore, the minimum cost diet estimated by optimizing over the raw foods is not feasible and, therefore, is not an appropriate measure of how cheaply the demand for nutrition could be satisfied. We retested the Silberberg's hypothesis using the 'feasible' minimum cost diet estimated by optimizing over those bundles of foods that represent reasonably popular meal recipes. Using this procedure, it is estimated that about 60% of the food expenditures were to satisfy the demand for tastes versus about 70% obtained using Silberberg's procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-295 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:291-295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zainudin Arsad Author-X-Name-First: Zainudin Author-X-Name-Last: Arsad Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The trading month anomaly in the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index: 1935-1994 Abstract: In this paper we employ a large sample of daily returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index to investigate the existence of the 'trading month' effect or the 'turn-of-the-month' effect. We tentatively conclude that a trading month effect is present, but that this effect exists for a much shorter period than has been documented by previous studies both for the US and the UK. Finally, we also document evidence which lends support to the information release hypothesis of French (1980). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-299 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532596 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532596&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:297-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Does the Chinese official CPI underestimate inflation? Abstract: This paper examines the behaviour of the Chinese official CPI relative to a market-based index. The empirical results indicate that the official index underestimates the actual inflation rate and that the bias is time-varying. The biasedness of the official index is attributed to covert price rises induced by the presence of price controls and quantity rationing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532597 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532597&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kon Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kon Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: On the disparate evidence on trend stationarity in inflation rates: a reappraisal Abstract: Conflicting findings on stationarity in inflation have been reported in different economic literatures. This study attempts to reconcile the disparate findings and provides alternative international evidence on stationarity in inflation. Empirical results show that when a new, powerful unit-root test is applied, strong and consistent evidence of stationarity can be found in monthly inflation rates. The results further show that the use of different data frequencies and different price indices to measure inflation, as in prior studies, may also affect test results and lead to disparities in findings on stationarity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Hylan Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Hylan Author-Name: Maureen Lage Author-X-Name-First: Maureen Author-X-Name-Last: Lage Author-Name: Michael Treglia Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Treglia Title: Institutional change and invariance of behaviour in Major League Baseball Abstract: The invariance interpretation of the Coase Theorem is examined using the mobility behaviour of all offensive players (hitters) in Major League Baseball (MLB) who played from 1949 to 1992. Results indicate that while the institution of the rookie draft did not affect the mobility of players, the mobility of players was altered under free agency. In addition, the period of free agency witnessed mobility behaviours of veteran players which was unlike that mobility under the guidance of owners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532599 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532599&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: International R&D spillovers amongst OECD economies Abstract: Theories of endogenous growth have recently explored the role of international R&D spillovers. This study extends Coe and Helpman's model (Coe, D. T. and Helpman, E., 1995, International R&D spillovers, European Economic Review, 39, 859-87) allowing for country-specific spillover effects using interactive dummy variables, by netting out the impact of productivity catch-up, and by including a business cycle variable. The empirical results suggest a diverse picture. For some countries, e.g. the USA, Canada and West Germany, recent spillovers seem to have a negative impact on TFP. Hypotheses are suggested to explain the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-319 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:315-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Effects of devaluation on income distribution Abstract: Few studies in the literature have argued that inflationary effects of devaluation redistribute income from workers to producers. By using cross-sectional data from 24 countries, this paper provides an empirical support for the theoretical arguements that indeed, devaluations have unequalizing effects on income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Owain Ap Gwilym Author-X-Name-First: Owain Ap Author-X-Name-Last: Gwilym Author-Name: Mike Buckle Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Buckle Title: Forward/forward volatilities and the term structure of implied volatility Abstract: Forward/forward volatility derived from options' implied volatilities is a measure of the market's expectation of future volatility. We examine the factors affecting forward/forward volatility and present evidence of its predictive performance based on FTSE100 index options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis In Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: In Author-Name: Chris Doucouliagos Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Doucouliagos Title: Human capital formation and US economic growth: a causality analysis Abstract: In this paper, Granger causality tests are applied to a new data set on human capital formation and US private sector GDP. The study is the first to test for causality between human capital formation and economic growth. It employs an error correction mechanism and is estimated through canonical cointegration regression. The results show strong evidence of casuality from human capital formation to private sector GDP and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:329-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cameron Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Marital instability and business start-up rates Abstract: Inspired by the work of Becker, economists have produced a voluminous literature on divorce. This is almost completely devoid of any reference to macroeconomic effects. The bulk of it examines the determinants of separation. This paper explores one such macroeconomic effect; the impact of divorce on small business start-ups. The route through which it exerts this influence is the housing market. Housing is an important component of wealth for the majority of households. Divorce can have a dramatic impact on the value of investment in housing available to an individual (see Davis et al., 1992); for example, an individual may be nominally the owner of a house yet be forced, by the courts, to relinquish it for a former partner. This is a sharp change in wealth holdings which must surely influence major capital commitments. Given recent work on consumer durables and housing (Carruth and Henley, 1992) one might expect divorce to impact on durable spending, but this important aspect to aggregate demand has not been investigated. Nor has the influence on aggregate supply through its effect on the formation of new firms been examined. There is thus considerable scope for analysis of the impact of divorce on aggregate demand and supply. This paper focuses exclusively on the latter. It adapts some models from the emerging literature on the formation of new firms and applies these to data at county level for England and Wales. The estimated equations indicate that divorce has a negative and significant impact on the rate of small business start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532604 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532604&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Kelley Pace Author-X-Name-First: R. Kelley Author-X-Name-Last: Pace Author-Name: Ronald Barry Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Barry Title: Fast spatial estimation Abstract: Spatial estimators usually provide lower prediction errors than their aspatial counterparts. However, most of the standard techniques require a large number of operations. Fortunately, for a given observation only a relatively small number of nearby observations typically exhibit correlated errors. This means that most of the elements of the n by n spatial matrices are zero. The use of sparse matrix techniques can dramatically lower storage requirements and reduce execution times. In addition, adopting a first differencing model allows the use of GLS which avoids the necessity of evaluating an n by n determinant. This also greatly reduces computational costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Author-Name: Dharmendra Dhakal Author-X-Name-First: Dharmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Dhakal Title: Devaluation and the trade balance: estimating the long run effect Abstract: This study tests the effectiveness of devaluation on the trade balance in eight developing countries from Asia, Europe, Africa and Latin America. A unique and new methodology is used to estimate the long run effect of devaluation on the trade balance. The estimated results suggest that devaluation, in general, does not improve the trade balance in the long run. In some cases it even had a perverse effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:343-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Cellini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Cellini Title: Growth empirics: evidence from a panel of annual data Abstract: The paper shows that the use of annual data pooled into a panel of several countries can be a good choice for analysing the properties of long-term economic growth. Of course, an appropriate regression specification must be considered, to account for the short-run components of such high frequency data. The results point out that conditional convergence is important, as well as physical capital accumulation, in growth process; the human capital accumulation, on the contrary, appears to be no longer significant when country fixed-effects are accounted for. More importantly, the estimates are consistent with very plausible values of the input shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-351 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:347-351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliana Parodi Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Parodi Title: Trade Union Congress Policy towards union mergers: a statistical analysis, 1960-83 Abstract: This letter extends Elgar and Simpson's (1994) analysis on the working of the Bridlington Principles to the analysis of the working of TUC voluntary policy with respect to mergers among affiliated unions over the period 1960-83. Univariate analysis is applied to microdata to investigate the effectiveness of voluntary policy on mergers with respect both to the implementation and to the achievement of the underlying objectives of the policy. The results of the tests clearly show the achievement of the implementation of the policy in terms of when and how mergers occurred and the achievement of the policy objective of rationalizing the structure of affiliated unions; the results of the tests about the achievement of the policy objective of reducing competition for membership among affiliated unions are less conclusive. The results of our analysis on mergers broadly confirm Edgar and Simpson's results about the effectiveness of TUC voluntary policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-358 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:353-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Author-Name: Andrea Keil Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Keil Title: Applying the RESET test in allocation models: a cautionary note Abstract: Some of the issues which arise if the RESET test is used to validate the functional form of the equations in an allocation model are discussed. The simple application of this test, equation, by equation, is inappropriate on various grounds. The appropriate formulation of the RESET test in a full systems context requires care. This is discussed and illustrated with Engel curves for expenditure on alcoholic beverages in Australia. The same principles apply to other 'variable addition tests' used in econometrics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-363 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:359-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-Joo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mary Lee Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Generalized method of moment estimation of truncated or censored regression Abstract: This paper proposes the generalized method of moment estimation of truncated or censored regression model, and applies this procedure to the recreational demand model estimation. In a typical limited dependent variable regression, the conditional mean of error distribution is no longer zero. However, by symmetric trimming of error distribution, we can obtain zero conditional mean, and the orthogonality conditions for GMM estimation. Travel cost model (TOM) is estimated using the symmetrically trimmed GMM estimation. Bootstrap is used to simulate the finite sample distribution of GMM estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: Financing divided governments Abstract: This paper finds that when the Congress and Presidency are controlled by the different political parties in the USA the creation of the seigniorage revenue to finance spending is not higher than when those two branches are controlled by the same party. However, the hypothesis that the creation of seigniorage revenue was lower during the period when the country had a fixed exchange rate regime was partially supported. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Title: Institutional macroeconomic forecasting performance of the UK economy Abstract: The accuracy of short-run macroeconomic forecasts for the UK economy is analysed by examining institutional, human capital and model-based factors. It is found that members of the Chancellor's panel of independent forecasters have a superior performance than other institutions, whilst the higher education sector and research/consultancy organizations have detrimental records. Additionally, non-monotonic relationships are found for the number of economists contributing to the forecast and the number of equations within the model. Moreover, with respect to the mean number of these factors currently employed by organizations in the sample, economies of scale exist in forecast accuracy. However, the attainment of a doctorate and the number of variables utilized reduce forecast accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: A counter evidence for the Lazear-Moore findings: an empirical study of incentive part in the wage structure in Japan Abstract: This paper examines whether there is an incentive in the wage structure of employees compared with the wage structure of self-employed workers using the most comprehensive survey of workers in Japan. While the estimation results of the whole sample of 35 092 indicate that there is an incentive, albeit insignificant, when the analysis is concentrated on petty and small-sized firms, which include most self-employed workers, no significant incentive is found. Therefore, the Lazear-Moore findings may be contaminated by the effect of firm scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: The tax-spend debate: the case of Canada Abstract: The time series relationship between revenues, expenditures, and GDP in the case of Canada is examined. Utilizing the Johansen-Juselius multivariate cointegration procedure and error correction modelling we find that revenues follow a time path independent of expenditures and GDP. On the other hand, expenditures respond to budgetary disequilibrium in that budget imbalances would be corrected by expenditure changes. Moreover, evidence suggests that expenditures also respond to GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:381-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantinos Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: Constantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Title: Spending and revenues in Greece: new evidence from error correction modelling Abstract: This paper attempts to re-evaluate the long-run relationship between government spending and revenues in Greece. The analysis is carried out for the period 1974 to 1991 by means of Johansen's multivariate cointegration technique and error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) modelling. The results provide evidence of a feedback effect between the examined series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Robert Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Human capital and economic growth in Japan: an application of time series analysis Abstract: The cointegration and causality between human capital and economic growth in Japan is examined by applying Johansen's test of cointegration and Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method to the Japanese data for the period 1952-93. The Phillips-Perron (PP) tests reveal that the original series of GDP is not stationary; therefore, a first differencing is performed. It is found that there is a bidirectional causality between human capital and economic growth. The results basically confirm the hypothesis that an increase in human capital stock exerts positive effects on economic growth and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Efstratios Loizou Author-X-Name-First: Efstratios Author-X-Name-Last: Loizou Author-Name: Kostandinos Mattas Author-X-Name-First: Kostandinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Author-Name: Angelos Pagoulatos Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Pagoulatos Title: Macro-monetary effects on agricultural prices: the case of Greek agriculture Abstract: The macroeconomic effects on agricultural prices in the Greek economy and, in particular, differences in prices paid and received by farmers (cost-price squeeze) are examined employing integration and cointegration analysis. A Johansen cointegration test between prices paid and prices received by farmers supports the presence of cost-price squeeze, since non-cointegration between the two price indices cannot be rejected. In other words, prices paid by farmers respond more than prices received by farmers during inflationary periods and hence affect their parity ratio. Multivariate cointegration tests indicated that forces outside agriculture can explain the non-cointegration between farm input and output prices. These forces are monetary macro variables through the country's macroeconomic policy, such as money supply, the general price level and the domestic product. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Are Greek smokers rational addicts? Abstract: Greek cigarette comsumption is examined by combining work by Zanias (1987) and Becker et al. (1994). Application of Becker et al.'s lead consumption term to the Zanias model yields results that do not strongly support the rational addiction model and show price and income as insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-402 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:401-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marybeth Charters Author-X-Name-First: Marybeth Author-X-Name-Last: Charters Author-Name: Paul Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Title: Technology and librarianship: a test of the human capital model of occupational segregation Abstract: An empirical test of the human capital model of occupational segregation is undertaken by analysing the gender ratio of new entrants into a traditional female occupation over a period of time characterized by significant technological change. Specifically, the relative number of females receiving the terminal professional degree in librarianship is examined over the 1968-92 period using regression analysis. The results indicate that a statistically significant decline in the relative number of new female entrants occurred over this period, ceteris paribus. Thus, the human capital model cannot be rejected in this case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cameron Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: K. U. Zaman Author-X-Name-First: K. U. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaman Title: Festive versus seasonal effects in consumption: a note Abstract: The standard approach to seasonality uses quarterly data and shift dummies to allow for intercept variation. The model presented here includes a distinct festive dummy and is thus more precise Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-408 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:407-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: On testing Kuznets' economic growth hypothesis Abstract: Kuznets (1955) hypothesizes that during economic growth, per capita income inequality first increases, reaches a peak and then declines. We test this relationship for 36 less developed countries (LDCs) using a regression model, with quadratic functional form, relating income inequality to income. Estimation using robust errors to correct for heteroscedasticity yields results which support Kuznets's hypothesis. Inequality is greatest at about a level of real GDP (1980 international prices) of US$2000/head. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:409-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: The quality of life: an international comparison based on ordinal measures Abstract: This paper presents an international comparison of the quality of life based on two ordinal measures, namely, the Borda and Copeland scores. The data on 11 indicators/attributes of well-being available for 109 countries are used to compute these measures. The study reveals that both the measures provide very similar world ranking of the quality of life. The OECD block is seen of the top and the Sub-Saharan African countries at the bottom of the world ranking. Most of the East European and Latin American countries are in the second and third quintiles, some Asian countries such as Singapore, Korea and Malaysia are in the second quintile and most Mother Asian countries are in the fourth and fifth quintiles of world ranking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sharpe Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sharpe Title: Economic forecasts by industry type: comparisons and statistical tests Abstract: In this article we group together and compare economic forecasts by industry type. That is, corporate forecasts of GDP and CPI are compiled by industry for the following: financial institutions, economic consultants, auto manufacturers, business associations, universities, and insurance companies. Error statistics, such as the MAE and RMSE, are calculated over the 1992 to 1995 forecasting range. Observing the rankings of industry forecasts based on error statistics might lead one to conclude that some industries are more proficient at forecasting the economy than others. Indeed, we might infer that intentional bias may be a component of the forecasts provided by some industries. This work, however, provides a number of statistical tests to determine whether there are real differences in forecasts by industry type, or whether the differences are merely matters of chance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Author-Name: Marvin Fischbaum Author-X-Name-First: Marvin Author-X-Name-Last: Fischbaum Title: Estimating allocative inefficiency in the prescription drug industry Abstract: The economic organization of the pharmaceutical industry is profoundly affected by the patent system, which provides a temporary monopoly as an incentive for innovation. The consensus of industry observers has been that potential benefits from stimulating pharmaceutical innovation are large and very difficult to estimate, while the costs of monopoly power are relatively modest. We argue that the use of accounting profits to estimate social costs of monopoly has led to serious underestimates of those social costs. In this paper we use sales estimates for individual drugs from survey data published by IMS America Ltd to estimate dead weight loss (DWL) per dollar of sales for several prescription drugs. We estimate that for the drugs we study there is $5 billion of DWL on the $8 billion of sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajen Mookerjee Author-X-Name-First: Rajen Author-X-Name-Last: Mookerjee Title: Export volume, exchange rates and global economic growth: the Indian experience Abstract: Analysis of the nexus of India's export volume, real effective exchange rates and measures of global economic growth is performed using time series techniques of cointegration and causality. The results suggest that India would benefit from a policy of export growth that is managed, rather than stimulated by exchange rate depreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. P. Caselli Author-X-Name-First: G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: S. Curatolo Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Curatolo Title: Do estimable relations exist between size and efficiency of institutions and productivity growth? An exercise in the spirit of D. C. North Abstract: This paper, seeks to test the Fuess and van den Berg (1992) hypothesis on the influence of transactions costs on the productivity growth rate for the Italian economy in the period 1951-89, taking into account the increasing size of the transactions sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: The paper-bill spread and Blanchard's version of Okun's law Abstract: Blanchard (1989) interprets Okun's Law as a relationship between VAR innovations in output and the unemployment rate. Adding the paper-bill spread to a bivariate VAR in output growth and the unemployment rate and even ordering it ahead of the unemployment rate when estimating the structural disturbances does not alter Blanchard's finding that Okun's coefficient for output and unemployment rate innovations rate is around -0.18. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:437-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Julian Author-X-Name-First: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-Last: Julian Title: Combining information in exchange rate forecasting: evidence from the EMS Abstract: In this paper we propose a multivariate local predictor, inspired in the literature on deterministic chaos, and apply it to nine EMS currencies, using daily data for the January 1973-December 1994 period. Our local predictors perform marginally better than a random walk in forecasting the nominal exchange rate, clearly outperforming the random walk directional forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Michael Kurth Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kurth Title: Integration and causality in US mortgage and T-bond markets Abstract: This paper re-examines the issues of integration and causality in US mortgage and T-bond markets by using the well-known cointegration and error correction methodology. It employs monthly data from January 1980 through June 1993. The unit root test reveals nonstationarity in 30-year nominal mortgage rates and 30-year nominal T-bond yields. The DF tests affirm cointegration between these two variables. The estimates of the associated error correction model depict unidirectional long-run as well as short-run Granger causality that runs from the 30-year T-bond market to the 30-year mortgage market. Reversible short-run feedbacks are also observed between the two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:445-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Quiros-Romero Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros-Romero Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Do short-term interest rates influence long-term interest rates? Empirical evidence from some EMS countries Abstract: This paper attempts to evaluate the possible influence of short-term interest rates on the determination of long-term interest rates for some EMS countries. In particular, we discuss a way of reconciling the widely dominant term-structure approach to interest rates with the conditions imposed by the market practice of financing high proportions of securities portfolios at money market rates. To that end, we apply the cointegration analysis to daily data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-451 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:449-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. Arize Author-X-Name-First: A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Arize Author-Name: J. Malindretos Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Malindretos Title: Effects of exchange-rate variability on inflation variability: some additional evidence Abstract: This study re-examines the hypothesis that exchange-rate variability is another factor contributing to inflation variability. The analysis uses cross-country data for 41 countries over the current floating exchange-rate era. It employs the instrumental variable estimator, Emery's (1993) specification suggestions, centering of data technique and a longer and more recent sample period (1973Q1-1990Q4). The empirical evidence supports the above hypothesis and strengthens the case for stable exchange-rate policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darlene Chisholm Author-X-Name-First: Darlene Author-X-Name-Last: Chisholm Title: Erratum Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 458-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:458-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Mcguinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Mcguinness Title: Inter-day return behaviour for stocks quoted 'back-to-back' in Hong Kong and London Abstract: The effect of extended trading hours in Hong Kong stocks, resulting from the development of the SEAQ International London market in such stocks, is considered here. This market, which opens shortly after the close of the Hong Kong market, appears to have produced some modulation in the mean and volatility levels of day-of-the-week returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Author-Name: Dan Rickman Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Rickman Title: Long-term unemployment and US State wages Abstract: During the 1980s, rising European unemployment without rapidly subsiding wage pressure challenged conventional labour market theories. One explanation is that a greater proportion of unemployment that is long-term unemployment (LTU) reduces downward wage pressure. Empirical evidence regarding this proposition is mixed, where it is possible the relationship varies across countries. Hence, this study examines the LTU-wage relationship for the US using 1976-91 state-level data. The results suggest that a greater LTU proportion is positively related to wages, but the result should be interpreted cautiously. Thus, US labour markets may be 'tighter' than previously suspected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Cointegration, error correction and Granger causality: an application with Latin American stock markets Abstract: This paper offers an empirical investigation of the presence of a long run relationship in stock prices in six Latin Emerging Markets. We find evidence of a long run relationship among all of these countries in a bivariate framework. Results indicate the presence of bidirectional rather than unidirectional causality suggesting the absence of weak exogeneity among their stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-471 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:469-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacquelynne Mclellan Author-X-Name-First: Jacquelynne Author-X-Name-Last: Mclellan Author-Name: Debasish Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Debasish Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Another look at long-run purchasing power parity using Sims tests for unit roots Abstract: This paper tests for long-run PPP using two types of unit root tests, standard Dickey-Fuller (DF) or Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) tests and Bayesian Sims tests. A problem with DF and ADF tests has been the low power of the tests; that is, such tests have difficulty in rejecting the random-walk hypothesis for real exchange rates. Sims tests, in contrast, do not give undue weight to the unit root. Instead Sims tests use a Bayesian posterior odds ratio which spreads the probability uniformly on the [0,1] interval. Monthly data for several industrialized and less-developed countries are used. Results indicate that real exchange rates do not appear to follow a random walk. While short-run deviations from PPP do occur, they fade in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: A simple method to test the Fisher effect Abstract: This alternative method of analysis applies the generalized method of moments developed by Hansen to the conditional restrictions implied by the Fisher effect. This approach has some advantages, i.e. it is robust to the non-normality of the error term, it is unnecessary to formulate the expected inflation rate explicitly, and the returns of multiple assets can be analysed simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-479 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:477-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Bender Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Bender Title: Specification issues in the modelling of union status determination Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between econometric and variable specification in a model of union status determination. In a departure from the union membership literature, it is hypothesized that the industrial characteristics should not affect union status determination directly, but rather through bargained wages. A data set which combines personal and industrial characteristics is used to examine these issues. It is found that if sample selection into union jobs is controlled for, the industrial variables add no explanatory power to the union status equations, although they are important in the wage equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-485 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:481-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: J. C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: L. Laudadio Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Laudadio Title: Non-wage labour costs and employment: a note on some Canadian evidence from the 1970s Abstract: This note considers the relationship between quasi-fixed labour costs (paid absences, employee pension plans, etc.) and overtime hours worked. Specifically, it reports the results of testing the hypothesis that, the larger the ratio of quasi-fixed costs to overtime wage rates, the greater the incentive for employers to schedule overtime hours for the current work force and pay overtime rates rather than expand the work force and pay standard rates. The results fail to reject the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536631 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536631&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Are budget deficits inflationary? A cointegration approach Abstract: This paper investigates the direct and indirect effects of budget deficit on inflation in Greece for the period 1957-93. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration, as suggested by Johansen and Juselius, as pretests for Granger tests of causality. The empirical evidence suggests that the indirect effects of budget deficits on inflation exist while the direct effects are not present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536632 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536632&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The roles of diffusion of advance technology and capital deepening in economic growth: a cross-country study Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with measuring absolute and relative roles of diffusion of advanced technology and capital deepening in economic growth. The results obtained suggest an inverse U-shape relationship between productivity growth rates and levels of economic development. These results also suggest that the role of capital deepening is very modest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-501 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536633 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536633&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:497-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Determinants of global portfolio composition Abstract: The efficient set is derived using unhedged returns of stock market indices of 'Group of Seven' countries. It is found that total risk is far more important than return in determining whether or not a stock market index is included in an optimal portfolio on the efficient set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-505 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536634 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536634&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:503-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Causality between the minimum wage and other wages Abstract: The paper analyzes the effects of the minimum wage over the other wages in Brazil using a bargaining framework. The key result is that the minimum wage precedes the market wage in the period 1980-85 while there is simultaneous determination in the period 1986-93. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-510 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:507-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Title: Are Chinese stock markets efficient? A cointegration and causality analysis Abstract: Established in December 1990 and July 1991 respectively, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges are the only two official stock markets in China. This paper aims to test for randomness in each stock exchange share price index, and to examine the relationship between the two share price indexes. Statistical evidence shows that both the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes can be best characterized as random walk processes and therefore the markets are efficient individually. However, the Engle-Granger two-stage cointegration analysis and the Johansen procedure suggest a long-run equilibrium relationship between the two stock prices, while the Granger causality test indicates a feedback relationship between the returns of the Shenzhen and Shanghai shares. These results imply that the stock markets are collectively inefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Ang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Ang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The trade balance and the real exchange rate: the US evidence from 1973: 3 to 1994: 9 Abstract: Based upon the trade balance determination models developed by Razin (1984), Greenwood (1984), and Hill (1990), there exists bidirectional causality between the trade balance and the real exchange rate. By applying Geweke's linear feedback measures for the US from 1973:3 to 1994:9, the results indicate that the magnitude of feedback from the real exchange rate to the trade balance is very close to that from the reverse direction and confirm that causality between them is indeed bidirectional. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ila Patnaik Author-X-Name-First: Ila Author-X-Name-Last: Patnaik Title: Poverty, excess sensitivity and the permanent income hypothesis: evidence from a developing country Abstract: In this paper we develop a very simple test to measure 'poverty' in a developing country. From evidence on aggregate consumption we obtain an estimate of the proportion of labour income received by consumers who own no physical or financial assets or have access to credit. Evidence from a developing country - India - indicates a role for current income in explaining consumption over and above that predicted by the permanent income hypothesis. This may be attributed to 'poverty', the inability to save or borrow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536638 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536638&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. M. Leung Author-X-Name-First: H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Total factor productivity growth in Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper contributes to the debate concerning the sources of growth of newly industrializing East Asian economies, of which Singapore is an example. We first of all measure Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth from industry level data for Singapore over a time series, and then regress the estimates to a list of variables. The TFP growth is estimated to be around 2-3% per annum over the last ten years, somewhat higher than previous estimates but remains a small fraction of the actual GDP growth. The variables found to have significant influence on TFP growth include foreign ownership, export orientation, and remuneration per employee. The result also suggests that Singapore has not gained much from learning-by-doing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Neoclassical and collective rationality in household labour supply Abstract: The Neoclassical treatment of household labour supply assumes household members possess identical preferences. Models have emerged which assume separate utility functions for household members where the solution to resource allocation is derived from non-cooperative or bargaining games. It can be argued that bargaining implies Pareto efficient resources allocation and that non-cooperation is inefficient in the same sense that if individuals cooperated at least one member could become better off without making anyone else worse off. In this paper a revealed preference non-parametric test, first envisaged by Chiappori (1988), is explained, generalized and implemented. This test determines whether data support the hypothesis that householders bargain to a Pareto efficient outcome or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:529-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Title: Some further experimental results on hypothetical versus real willingness to pay Abstract: In a previous experiment the null hypothesis of no difference between real and hypothetical willingness to pay for a box of chocolate could not be rejected. In this study we carry out a second experiment to see if we can confirm that finding. The experimental subjects are randomly divided into two groups. One group receives an open-ended hypothetical willingness to pay question and another group participates in a second-price auction with real payments. The mean willingness to pay is SEK 133.33 (STD 78.78) in the hypothetical payment group and SEK 81.62 (STD 62.99) in the real payment group, and the hypothesis of no difference in the mean willingness to pay between the groups can be rejected on the 10% level. In contrast to the first experiment the study thus gives some support for the notion that hypothetical willingness to pay questions overestimates real willingness to pay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-536 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536641 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536641&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:535-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: A microstructural analysis of the exchange rate expectation formation process Abstract: In this letter we examine the consistency property of the exchange rate expectation formation process, a precondition to rational expectations and efficient markets. Two major survey data sets over multiple forecast horizons are examined using the recently available null of cointegration test. Experts expectations are consistent (inconsistent) over the short (long) forecast horizon. These results are supported by the current literature and upholds the theory of bandwagon effects in expectation formation. As an aside, this also indirectly supports the concept of long run convergence towards fundamentals determined equilibrium exchange rates, i.e., it supports Dornbusch's overshooting hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-539 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:537-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Author-Name: Claire Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: Trade union membership density: the case of the AUT Abstract: This paper analyses trade union membership with respect to the Association of University Teachers representing academic and related staff in the 'old' UK higher education sector. It therefore negates the difficulties encountered with prior cross-sectional research concerning unionized and non-unionized workplaces and their homogeneity. Two models are estimated at the local association, or university, level where the hypothesized variables encompass age and career related determinants, staff gender divisions and a series of university-specific characteristics together with locational and political indicators. We find significant influences upon union density include career grade, mean staff age, male staff numbers together with the institution's classification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-545 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:541-545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Exchange rate instability: some empirical tests of temporal dynamics Abstract: Volatility in real exchange rates is empirically estimated here over monthly data for the period February 1988 through August 1995. Tests show the persistence of an oscillatory behaviour, where random walk prevails. Chaotic instability also cannot be ruled out in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-550 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:547-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kofi Amoateng Author-X-Name-First: Kofi Author-X-Name-Last: Amoateng Title: How stable is relationship between US petroleum imports and economic growth? Abstract: In this paper, we empirically examine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the US gross national product and petroleum imports for the last three decades. We find evidence of a long-run relationship between gross domestic national product and petroleum imports, but only a fragile one. Similarly there is a significant feedback (long-term) effect from petroleum imports to gross national product and vice versa. This feedback is fairly significant. However, the short-term effect is highly significant, but there is a relatively slow response from the values of gross national product to petroleum imports. Therefore, the link between US gross national product and petroleum imports is fragile in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Match attendance at Euro 96: was the crowd waving or drowning? Abstract: This paper examines, for the first time, match attendance for football within the context of an international tournament, the European Championship staged in England in 1996. It develops the familiar demand function of economic, demographic, spatial, uncertainty of outcome determinants and exogenous match-specific factors with respect to an international championship rather than a domestic league situation. Significant determinants include match quality and sequence, distance between each participant and the host country, probability of tournament success, derby games, indigenous support together with the presence of either home team in a match. Given the importance of such international competitions for the financial probity and as showcases for the professional sport, the analysis of their key constituent features is important in maintaining their viability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-558 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:555-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Richard Priestley Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Priestley Author-Name: Stephen Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Is Beta dead? The role of alternative estimation methods Abstract: In this paper we test the robustness of the CAPM to two alternative estimation procedures: the Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-step methodology; and the one-step methodology due to Burmeister and McElroy (1988). For the UK stock market we find that we can clearly reject the CAPM when the two-step procedure is used, but find overwhelming support for the CAPM when we use the one-step estimator. Since, in their influential paper, Fama and French (1992) reject the CAPM for the US stock market using a variant of the two-step estimator, we believe that our results for the UK may have important implications for the 'Is Beta dead?' debate Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Thomas Josev Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Josev Title: Beta stability and monthly seasonal effects: evidence from the Australian capital market Abstract: A number of studies exist across a range of equity markets showing that a significant proportion of stocks in those markets have betas that vary over time. A research challenge posed by this body of evidence is to identify the factors that explain this time variation in individual stock betas. There is also an extensive literature reporting the existence of strong monthly seasonal patterns in equity returns from many markets and across extraordinarily lengthy time periods. Accordingly, using monthly Australian equity returns data, this paper investigates whether seasonal regularities such as the January effect can provide an explanation of beta variation. A key finding of this paper is that taking account of the January monthly seasonal and other monthly seasonals has no effect on the beta stability characteristics of individual stocks. Hence, based on our analysis, seasonal effects does not provide an explanation of beta instability. A subsiduary finding is that stocks with significant monthly seasonal effects tend to have a smaller average market capitalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Handicaps, outcome uncertainty and attendance demand Abstract: Using data on 'spread' betting odds for rugby league football this study shows that handicap odds are unbiased and efficient predictors of match results and that, as a proxy for match uncertainty of outcomes, the handicap value is a significant determinant of attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Cigarette consumption in Greece: empirical evidence from cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of cigarette consumption in Greece using the recent Johansen cointegration procedure for the period 1960-1990. Income and price elasticities for the long-run and short-run period are estimated. In addition the findings suggest that health warnings in consumption are more effective in reducing smoking than an increase in the price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:571-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. L. Chou Author-X-Name-First: W. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Y. C. Shih Author-X-Name-First: Y. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Title: Long-run purchasing power parity and long-term memory: evidence from Asian newly industrialized countries Abstract: Fractional cointegration in a trivariate model is used to test the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis in four Asian newly industrialized economies. Critical values for the Geweke-Porter-Hudak tests based on Monte Carlo simulations are provided. Evidence of fractional cointegration arises when a linear trend is included. Subperiod analysis indicates that a shift in the exchange rate regime is likely to affect the results of cointegration tests Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-578 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:575-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. C. Berger Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Author-Name: P. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: P. Jeon Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: The changing gender wage gap in Korea Abstract: We examine how females have fared relative to males in the rapidly growing Korean economy. Similar to the US, the average wage of Korean females has increased relative to males. Unlike the US, the increase appears to be due mainly to improvements in productive characteristics such as schooling and experience and not reductions in wage discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-582 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:579-582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bishwanath Goldari Author-X-Name-First: Bishwanath Author-X-Name-Last: Goldari Author-Name: Hasheem Saleem Author-X-Name-First: Hasheem Author-X-Name-Last: Saleem Title: Incidence of tariff: the case of India, 1982-93 Abstract: In this paper, the effect of tariff is analysed at a broad sectoral level using a simple general equilibrium model. The sectors of the Indian economy have been classified on the basis of trade. Commodities have been identified as importables or exportables based on whether India is a major importer or exporter of a particular product. We have used an indirect approach to estimate the shift parameter employing time-series regression of changes in the relative price of non-tradeables to exportables and that of importables to exportables. The series were tested for stationarity and they were found to be stationary in the first differences. We used a dynamic specification to allow for lags in the adjustment of relative prices of non-tradeables to exportables due to changes in the relative price of importables to exportables. The estimate of the long-run shift parameter is found to be 0.74% and the estimate of the short-run shift parameter is 0.58%. Our results show that a 100% rate of customs duty results in 'true' protection of importable only to the extent of 14.9% in the long-run and a bias against exports to the extent of 42.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-586 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:583-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oystein Thogersen Author-X-Name-First: Oystein Author-X-Name-Last: Thogersen Title: International diversification and oil price risk Abstract: The effects of oil price risk on international risk sharing are studied. Both petroleum importing and exporting countries within OECD-Europe are considered. The empirical analysis indicates that uninsured idiosyncratic oil price risk accounts for parts of the observed low consumption correlations between these countries. This suggests that both petroleum exporters and importers could benefit from innovations in the markets for claims to unextracted oil and natural gas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Occupational differences and the relative wages of married and single young men Abstract: This study investigates differences in the occupational structures of married and single young men to determine if single men face unequal prospects for occupational attainment. A second objective is to determine if occupational differences by marital status help to explain the well-known marriage wage premium. The estimated qualitative response model reveals that single and married men face different prospects for occupational attainment after controlling for differences in personal characteristics. However, the wage premium for married men does not appear to result from the segregation of single men into lower-paying occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Trading patterns of small and large traders: implications for the weekend effect in Finland Abstract: This note investigates the behaviour of small and large traders on different days of the week in the Finnish stock market. The results suggest that small traders increase their sell orders after the weekend. This suggests that the selling pressure of small individual investors in the beginning of the trading week is at least a partial explanation of the weekend effect in Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-597 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:595-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ketil Hviding Author-X-Name-First: Ketil Author-X-Name-Last: Hviding Title: Some international evidence on the 'equity premium' Abstract: This note presents results from tests on the proposition that a 'surprise' in inflation is positively related to the equity premium using data from four financial markets: the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom and Germany. The results appear to confirm previous work by Blanchard indicating a positive relationship in the United States. This result does, however, not seem to be applicable to other markets; there is no evidence of such a relationship in Japan, Germany, or in the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533281 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533281&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Testing for business cycle asymmetry: some international evidence Abstract: This letter applies tests for asymmetric 'deepness' and 'steepness' to the monthly industrial production indices of 16 OECD economics and the OECD aggregate. We report evidence of statistically significant deepness for Germany, and both deepness and steepness for Japan, Sweden and, more marginally, the US. For Sweden, these asymmetries are consistent with sharp falls in production during recession, and gradual increases to high levels during recovery. For Japan and the US, these asymmetries are consistent with sharp falls in industrial production to low levels during recession and more gradual and moderate increases in production during recovery. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Gensler Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Gensler Title: Welfare and the family size decision of low-income, two-parent families Abstract: The effect of welfare on family size is estimated by means of an ordered probit analysis on low-income, two-parent families. A multiyear cross-sectional pooled data set derived from the US Census Bureau's Current Population Survey over the period 1979-1990 is analysed. Behavioural impacts from a range of economic variables are consistent in sign with theoretical predictions and are reasonable in magnitude. A $1000 increase in the amount of welfare per child can be expected to increase the number of children by 2.2% for such families. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Author-Name: John Geppert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Geppert Title: Testing purchasing power parity in the presence of transaction costs Abstract: This paper examines long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) using a new formulation of PPP in the presence of transaction costs. Our results strongly support the proposition that PPP holds as a long-run equilibrium condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533284 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533284&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leighton Vaughan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Does information efficiency require a perception of information inefficiency? Abstract: This paper examines the existence of significant differences in the expected returns to bets placed about identical outcomes in different sectors of a betting market. In an informationally efficient market, such differences should be arbitraged away. Evidence is presented here which suggests that this process actually occurs only in those situations where bettors are provided with a clear signal of some form of information efficiency in the market. The signal takes the form of a marked movement in bookmakers' odds. Where these signals are not present, unexploited opportunities for arbitrage persist. We suggest that actual information efficiency (in the sense of an absence of unexploited opportunities for arbitrage) requires a clear perception by market players of the existence of some form of information inefficiency in the market under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-617 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:615-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Catherine Halbrendt Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Halbrendt Author-Name: Jane Kolodinsky Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Kolodinsky Author-Name: Fred Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Fred Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Willingness to pay for rBST-free milk: a two-limit Tobit model analysis Abstract: The labelling of dairy products containing milk from rBST-treated cows has rapidly emerged as an important issue in the US due to the controversy between state and federal legislation and between consumer and industrial groups. This paper evaluates consumer willingness to pay (WTP) for rBST-free milk using data collected from a consumer survey. Estimation results of a two-limit Tobit model suggest that a majority of consumers are willing to pay a premium for rBST-free milk and the WTP is affected by several sociodemographic factors such as income and attitudes toward the use of rBST. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-621 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:619-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: Cost structure in college and university student health centres: comment Abstract: Brady, Assane and Karstensson in their earlier paper (1994) in this journal estimated a translog cost model of college and university health centres. They reported economies of scale estimates, as well as mean value elasticity estimates for factor demands and substitutions. In this comment, we: (1) correct their implied assumption that the pairwise, cross-price elasticities of factor substitutions are symmetrical, and (2) use their factor cost shares and regression parameter estimates to compute asymptotic standard errors for the various elasticities in order to test their statistical significance. Extended implications from our findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-625 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:623-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dockery Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: F. Vergari Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Vergari Title: Testing the random walk hypothesis: evidence for the Budapest stock exchange Abstract: Variance ratio tests with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic error variances are used to examine the random walk hypothesis for the Budapest stock exchange. Our empirical findings show that the Budapest stock exchange is a random walk market, which is quite different from those described in the literature on both developed, smaller and emerging capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:627-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Nonlinear dependence in British pound exchange rates Abstract: The Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman (1987) method is used to test for nonlinear dependence in daily rates of change of the exchange rate of the British pound relative to seven most heavily traded currencies against the pound during the period 2 January 1993 to 7 October 1996. The currencies are the US dollar, the Deutsche mark, the French franc, the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar, the Japanese yen and the Italian lira. The results suggest that nonlinear dependence exists in all seven British pound exchange rates. Except for the US dollar, nonlinear dependence is due to nonlinearity in the variance and is captured by a GARCH(l,l)-t model. For the US dollar, nonlinear dependence is due to nonlinearity both in the mean and the variance and is captured by a GARCH-in-mean (GARCH-M) model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-633 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:631-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allen Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Author-Name: James Sundali Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Sundali Title: Portfolio managers versus the darts: evidence from the Wall Street Journal's Dartboard Column Abstract: The possibility that professional stock analysts could be outperformed by throwing darts at the stock listing page has intrigued stock market enthusiasts for years. In this study, we examine the results from the Wall Street Journal's Investment Dartboard Columns and find that the experts outperform the darts by a wide margin and outperform five different market indices by a positive but statistically insignificant amount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:635-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Nauenberg Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Nauenberg Author-Name: Kisalaya Basu Author-X-Name-First: Kisalaya Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Author-Name: Harish Chand Author-X-Name-First: Harish Author-X-Name-Last: Chand Title: Hirschman-Herfindahl index determination under incomplete information Abstract: This paper utilizes techniques from combinatorics to derive a closed form solution for an estimator of that portion of a Hirschman-Herfindahl index which measures concentration for that segment of the market with unattributed market share. This index makes more complete use of sample information than other more conventional measures of limited-information market concentration like the C4 and C8 indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-642 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:639-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Testing for boy-girl discrimination with household expenditure data: results for Papua New Guinea Abstract: Discrimination in the allocation of goods between boys and girls is tested for, using expenditure data from households in Papua New Guinea. Deaton's (1989) method of identifying demographic effects on adult goods expenditure is used to indicate gender bias. Valid adult goods are found to be adult clothing, alcohol, gambling, meals eaten away from home, and tobacco. Adding a young boy to a household reduces expenditure on adult goods by as much as would a one-third reduction in total outlay per member, but young girls have no effect on adult goods expenditure. The difference in these point estimates is estimated imprecisely, and falls just outside conventional levels of statistical significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. F. Omran Author-X-Name-First: M. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Omran Title: Nonlinear dependence and conditional heteroscedasticity in stock returns: UK evidence Abstract: The BDS test is used to investigate whether stock returns for five companies and the FTALL index exhibit nonlinear dependence. It is found that conditional heteroscedasticity account for most of the nonlinearity of stock returns in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:647-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Antonakis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakis Title: Defence spending and growth in Greece: a comment and further empirical evidence Abstract: This note critically evaluates the theoretical framework and empirical results of Chletsos and Kollias (1995) on the relationship between defence expenditure and economic growth in Greece, and re-examines the issue on the basis of an alternative model. It is argued that the reviewed paper does not provide a formal rationalization for the incorporation of military spending in a sources of growth equation, and it does not make use of the entire set of available data, leading thus to questionable and inconclusive empirical results. The specification of an alternative model within the neoclassical production-function framework and its estimation over the period 1958-91 shows that military expenditure has been detrimental to economic growth in Greece, contrary to Chletsos and Kollias' findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-655 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:651-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lily Choong Author-X-Name-First: Lily Author-X-Name-Last: Choong Title: Capital requirements on over the counter options Abstract: Over the counter (OTC) options involve both market and counterparty risk. Capital requirements are imposed on options to cover these risks and prevent systemic failures that may arise as a result of widespread defaults. This paper demonstrates that the default risk attached to these instruments can be modelled as a contingent claim instrument, that is, as a default premium, and, as such, capital requirement imposed on OTC options should be based on the objective of covering this premium. The capital requirements, as suggested by this paper, can be applied to either or both the writer and buyer of the option such that the possibility of default is negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Triantis Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Triantis Title: Life cycle theory and the impact of the rate of economic growth on saving Abstract: The life cycle explanation of the positive impact of a country's rate of economic growth on its saving ratio appears questionable: its two premises, that the retirees' share of total income declines and that, consequently, income shifts from dissavers to savers, are found wanting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-663 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:661-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Population and economic growth: a cointegration analysis of lesser developed countries Abstract: This paper examines the temporal relationship between population growth and economic growth for a sample of less developed countries. Unlike prior research efforts, Granger causality tests are conducted in the context of error correction models when cointegration is present. Of the thirteen countries examined cointegration was present in only three countries. Although ten countries did not exhibit properties of cointegration, it is noted that researchers undertaking time series studies of the relationship between population growth and economic growth utilizing differenced data should evaluate the possible long-run relationship. Capturing both the short-run and long-run behaviour of the respective time series may provide the researcher with a more robust test of Granger-casuality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Energy consumption and economic growth in Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela: a time series analysis Abstract: Applying recently developed techniques of cointegration and Hsiao's version of Granger causality to three Latin countries (Brazil, Mexico, and Venezuela), this study finds no causal linkages between energy consumption and economic growth for both Mexico and Venezuela using the trivariate models. However, capital is found to negatively, though weakly, cause economic growth for both Mexico and Venezuela. Additionally, energy is found to cause economic growth for Brazil. In sum, we detect no consistent causal patterns between energy and economic growth based on the causality tests from the three Latin countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-674 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:671-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of lawyer advertising on the image of lawyers in the United States Abstract: The US Supreme Court in 1977 declared that most bans on lawyer advertising were unconstitutional. Since that decision, the volume of lawyer advertising has grown very rapidly. In addition, since the mid-1980s, Gallup polls indicate that the public's image of the law profession has declined substantially. Many members of the law profession casually conjecture that this decline is due to lawyer advertising. By contrast, this study offers a hypothesis that lawyer advertising should enhance the image of lawyers. In an effort to test this hypothesis, this study empirically investigates the impact of lawyer advertising on the image of the law profession. OLS results reveal that lawyer advertising may in fact elevate the image of lawyers in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-678 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:675-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Ozcicek Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Ozcicek Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Productivity shocks and business fixed investment Abstract: Business fixed investment is shown to be related to productivity shocks more than profitability and q variable. The multifactor productivity index is used as a proxy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-681 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:679-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Evidence from lesser developed countries on the Fisher hypothesis: a cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper examines the Fisher hypothesis for a sample of less developed countries. Recognizing the possibility of spurious regression results, tests of the Fisher hypothesis are undertaken utilizing the Johansen-Juselius cointegration procedure. Of the nine countries studied, only Malaysia, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka provide evidence to support the full Fisher effect in which a unit proportional relationship exists between nominal interest rates and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530649 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530649&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Fox Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Title: White noise and other experiments on augmented Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: Various methods for choosing the appropriate degree of 'augmentation' for augmented Dickey-Fuller tests are compared using Monte Carlo experiments. A commonly used method is found to result in very low power It is interesting that Humans try to find Meaningful Patterns in things that are essentially random. (Commander Data, Star Trek, 1992) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-694 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:689-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Funke Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Funke Title: Yield spreads as predictors of recessions in a core European economic area Abstract: The estimation of probabilities of recessions/weak economic activity based on probit analyses indicates that the development of the German yield spread as well as the development of a weighted average of European yield spreads have been useful predictors for periods of sluggish economic development in core Europe with a lead time of around three quarters.* Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:695-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaddour Hadri Author-X-Name-First: Kaddour Author-X-Name-Last: Hadri Title: A frontier approach to disequilibrium models Abstract: Due to aggregation (Muellbauer, 1978), market frictions (Benassy, 1982) and stochastic manipulable perceived rationing (Weinrich, 1984) it is very likely that the quantity transacted is less than the short side of a market affected by quantity rationing. This is we might observe in a given market simultaneously excess demand and excess supply. In this paper we suggest a frontier approach to specify these inefficiencies in disequilibrium models. This is done essentially by adding a truncated disturbance term to the traditional symmetric error. The new specification allows us to test for the presence of any type of inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-701 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:699-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Clemens Siermann Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Siermann Author-Name: Erna Van Lubek Author-X-Name-First: Erna Author-X-Name-Last: Van Lubek Title: Political instability and country risk: new evidence Abstract: This note presents new estimates of a probit model for the debt rescheduling, using a sample of 65 countries over the period 1984-93. Apart from economic variables, a whole range of indicators for political instability are included in the model as explanatory variables. It turns out, that none is significant with the 'correct' sign. Apparently, a detoriation of the political situation is already reflected in economic aggregates, which suggest that the influence of political factors is discounted in macroeconomic variables as included in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:703-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armando Barrientos Author-X-Name-First: Armando Author-X-Name-Last: Barrientos Author-Name: Luis Firinguetti Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Firinguetti Title: Predicting wages from transformed wage equations Abstract: The log-linear specification of wage equations is commonly used in the applied economics literature. Predictions of the retransformed wage are not straightforward as the standard approach (naive estimator) produces biased predictions. Duan (1983) proposes a smearing estimator which overcomes this problem, and is easy to implement. In the paper we predict wages using these two estimators and highlight the difference in the predictions they generate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:709-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: A Note on the impact of the United States federal budget deficit on the intermediate-term interest rate, 1960-94 Abstract: There is an extensive literature investigating the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on interest rate yields. This literature focuses almost entirely on short-term rates (under one year to maturity) and long-term rates (ten years or more to maturity). However, almost no attention has been directed at intermediate-term interest rate yields, that is yields on bonds maturing more than one year and less than ten years in the future. Also, this literature essentially ignores the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this note empirically investigates the impact of budget deficits in the US on the interest rate yield on three-year US Treasury notes for the period 1960 through the end of 1994. Based on OLS and IV estimates, two of which include net international capital inflows, it is found that budget deficits do raise intermediate-term rates, which may strengthen arguments that budget deficits lead to crowding out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nurhan Davutyan Author-X-Name-First: Nurhan Author-X-Name-Last: Davutyan Title: The bid-ask spread for dollars in Kuwait: a brief note Abstract: This paper uses the Demsetz-Bagehot theory of dealer services and bid-ask spreads to analyse the determinants of the bid and ask spread in the Kuwaiti foreign exchange market for dollars. The explanatory variables predicted by the theory are found to be significant. Idiosyncrasies arising from the country and period under analysis are highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530656 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530656&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:715-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjiv Ranjan Das Author-X-Name-First: Sanjiv Ranjan Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Macroeconomic implications of search theory for the labour market Abstract: 'While the usual job search problem is a microeconomic one, this paper applies labour market data to a standard search model to extract macroeconomic implications. A theoretical relationship between the minimum wage, subsistence wage and reservation wage is posited and found to be violated in the data. The paper raises several issues of public policy. It finds that the minimum wage offered is low. It provides a measure of the 'quality' of the labour market, and discusses how it may be improved, by increasing the minimum wage, reducing bargaining between the supply and demand sides of the labour market, and curbing wage volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Rayton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Rayton Title: Rent-sharing or incentives? Estimating the residual claim of average employees Abstract: The rent-sharing literature and the agency literature both predict a link between pay and performance. The rent-sharing literature relies on short-term market power to explain this link, while the agency literature bases its prediction on the importance of incentives in principal-agent relationships. Annual data from an unbalanced panel of US manufacturing firms indicate that the performance-elasticity of average employee pay is approximately 0.127271 in small firms while it not significantly different from zero in large firms. The relative lack of incentive pay in the group of large firms demonstrates that the pay-performance link evident in US manufacturing firms is inconsistent with the exclusive truth of the rent-sharing hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528715 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528715&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shane Bonetti Author-X-Name-First: Shane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonetti Title: A test of the public choice theory of economic sanctions Abstract: Models of the form of sanctions are constructed to test Kaempfer and Lowenbergs' public choice theory of economic sanctions using the Hufbauer, et al. dataset. The key explanatory variable is presanction trade linkage between sender and target. If sanctions are primarily coercive, trade linkage and the propensity to choose trade sanctions should be positively related. If public choice considerations are dominant the propensity to choose trade sanctions should vary inversely with trade linkage. The results presented are consistent with the public choice interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-732 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528716 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528716&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:729-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahdy Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Mahdy Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Miles Finney Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Finney Title: Evidence on the effect of young adults' wages on their college attendance decisions Abstract: Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, this note demonstrates that the college attendance decision of employed young adults depends partly on their wage. We further find that the wage quadratically impacts the decision to attend college. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. W. Faff Author-X-Name-First: R. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: P. F. Howard Author-X-Name-First: P. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Howard Title: Bank exposures to interest-rate risk: the case of the Australian banking industry Abstract: This paper provides evidence of the changing nature of interest-rate sensitivity of a banking and finance portfolio in Australia over the period 1978-1992. Specifically, the potential sensitivity to short- and long-term interest rate movements is examined in each of three subperiods (1978-1982, 1983-1987 and 1988-1992). Consistent with previous US evidence, our major finding is that the banking portfolio exhibits sensitivity only to long-term interest rates. However, this sensitivity is significant only during the middle subperiod - a time when Australian financial markets experienced dramatic deregulatory changes including the floating of the domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-739 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:737-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Donohue Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Donohue Title: The pattern of non-union wage supplements: a switching regression approach Abstract: This paper estimates whether non-union wage supplements associated with unionization are larger for low wage workers. Switching regression estimates determine low and high wage samples and demonstrate larger supplements for most low wage workers. The pattern varies by occupational group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-743 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:741-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ludo Peeters Author-X-Name-First: Ludo Author-X-Name-Last: Peeters Author-Name: Yves Surry Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Surry Author-Name: Anja Cielen Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Cielen Title: Testing alternative dynamic specifications: an application to meat demand in Belgium Abstract: This letter examines alternative specifications of dynamic adjustment in the context of a linear approximate AIDS model of the demand for meat in Belgium. The model also incorporates demographic variables to account for structural changes in consumer preferences. Using a general first-order ECM specification as a unifying analytical framework, several tests are performed in an attempt to validate the preferred dynamic model specification. The results indicate that the widely-used dynamic model with one adjustment parameter (diagonal adjustment matrix) as well as the autoregressive and static models are strongly rejected by the data. The proposed symmetric specification of dynamic adjustment presents a viable alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-749 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528720 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528720&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:745-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Modelling the Spanish imports of vehicles using a source differentiated demand system Abstract: This paper models the Spanish imports of vehicles, differentiated both by goods and by origins, during the period 1963-1992, using a source differentiated Almost Ideal Demand System. We consider three vehicle goods, namely trucks, cars and tractors, which are imported from six different origins, Germany, the USA, France, the UK, Italy and other countries. Having first shown that the estimated model does not exhibit autocorrelation problems, the results are presented using the expenditure and price estimated elasticities. French trucks and tractors and US cars are the most luxurious imported vehicles. The Marshallian own-price elasticities reflect that Italian trucks, German cars and US tractors had the most insentitive demands to own-price changes. Finally, cross-price elasticities show weak effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-755 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:751-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: Growths in US housing starts, real consumer debt, real GDP and the long-term real interest rate: a vector cointegration analysis Abstract: The primary purpose of this paper is to explore the long-run association among growths in US housing starts, real consumer debt, real GDP and the long-term real interest rate. To carry out this exploratory work, Johansen and Juselius (1990) vector cointegration procedure is applied. Monthly data from January 1960 through April 1993 are employed. The empirical results suggest that each time series in levels is non-stationary. Also, a general conclusion emerges which suggests that all these macroeconomic variables possess a long-run interactive inter-relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-759 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528722 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528722&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:757-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Teresa Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: M. Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Inmaculada Villanua Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Villanua Title: Measures of probability changes in binary choice models: a comparative study Abstract: A measure of probability changes in probit and logit dichotomous models is proposed based of the efficient use of sampling information, specifically using the average of the derivatives, as opposed to the traditional practice of calculating the derivative at the mean value. The two strategies are compared using a simulation exercise which reveals their respective robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528723 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528723&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung-Hee Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: A non-nested test of GARCH vs. EGARCH models Abstract: This study uses a Cox-type non-nested test. The test is obtained using Monte Carlo hypothesis tests with the log likelihood ratio as the test statistic. Monte Carlo methods are used to obtain the probability of a larger value of the test statistic under the null hypothesis. The approach used does not rely upon asymptotic normality. Using the maximum likelihood estimation technique, two competing time series models, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models of daily spot prices of Deutsche mark are estimated. Using Monte Carlo hypothesis tests, then, p-values for GARCH vs. EGARCH models are calculated. The EGARCH model cannot be rejected, while the GARCH model is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikiforos Laopodis Author-X-Name-First: Nikiforos Author-X-Name-Last: Laopodis Title: Distributional properties and weekly return patterns of the Athens stock exchange Abstract: The study examines the distributional properties of the Athens stock exchange and tests for persistence effects or anomalies found in the weekly redistributions of the market. The results indicate significant first- and second-order dependencies in the series as well as pronounced departures from normality. Further, employing the method of stochastic dominance, to determine which week's returns is dominant, it was found that the first week of the month offers a good risk-return relationship to investors. Finally, no evidence for presence of the January effect was found in the Athens stock exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:769-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: International evidence on the sustainability of budget deficits Abstract: The sustainability of budget deficits of the G-7 countries is examined in this paper. Following the approach taken by Hakkio and Rush it is found that in the case of Germany it appears for each dollar increase in expenditures, revenues increase by an equal amount. For France, Japan, and Italy (real per GDP measure) the budget deficits of these countries may not be sustainable due to the lack of cointegration. In the cases of Canada, Italy (real levels and real per capita measures), United Kingdom, and the United States (real levels and real per capita) cointegration is present between revenues and expenditures. However, the estimated coefficients on expenditures for these countries are significantly less than one which suggests that government spending is growing faster than government revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrance Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Lawrance Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: Mary Myers Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Title: Tobin's q and overinvestment Abstract: The objective of the research reported in this paper is to examine the claim that, for purposes of identifying overinvesting firms, an average q of less than unity is a valid proxy for a marginal q of less than unity. The empirical evidence provided supports, although does not prove, this claim. Hence, studies which utilize an average q of less than unity to identify overinvesting firms appear to operating on solid ground. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Public capital spending in The Netherlands: developments and explanations Abstract: As in many other OECD countries, government investment expressed as share of GDP has decreased in The Netherlands. Using the concept of Granger causality, we test in a bivariate vector autoregression framework various hypothesis that have been put forward to explain this decline. It is concluded that private investment and output are related to public investment. Demographic variables also influence public investment. The number of future civil servants affects investment in buildings. Our results do not support the view that higher interest burdens crowded out public investment. Finally, no confirmation is found for the idea that additional infrastructure triggers growth of the number of vehicles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunfeng Song Author-X-Name-First: Shunfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Home buyers' characteristics and selling prices Abstract: This study examines the relationship between home buyers' characteristics and selling prices. Using survey on home buyers and the 1990 Multiple Listing Service data on single-family housing transactions in the Reno-Sparks area in Nevada, this study finds that home buyers play a significant role on housing price determination. For a given type of house, higher income home buyers would pay higher prices than lower income home buyers and first-time home buyers would pay lower prices than repeat home buyers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540118 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540118&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fraser Dorward Author-X-Name-First: Fraser Author-X-Name-Last: Dorward Author-Name: Akintola Akintoye Author-X-Name-First: Akintola Author-X-Name-Last: Akintoye Author-Name: Cliff Hardcastle Author-X-Name-First: Cliff Author-X-Name-Last: Hardcastle Title: The causal relationship between construction workload and construction price Abstract: Based on the Engle-Granger (1987) methodology for cointegration and error correction mechanism models the paper examines causal relationships between the UK construction workload and price. The model tests the intuitive belief that the construction price (tender price index) is a long run determinant of construction workload (new orders) and that the relationship is constantly correcting itself back on to this long run path. The results suggest that there is a relationship between the variables but a very weak one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Chappel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappel Author-Name: Joanne Padmore Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Padmore Author-Name: Julia Pidgeon Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Pidgeon Title: A note on ERM membership and the efficiency of the London Stock Exchange Abstract: The behaviour of the FTSE 30 share index is examined over a period from November 1988 to May 1994. We examine whether the index exhibits different time series behaviour during the time that Sterling belonged to the ERM to that observed in the pre- and post-ERM period. We show that the random walk behaviour, which would be expected under the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH), occurs during the period when Sterling belonged to the ERM but for pre- and post-ERM membership period the index does not appear to follow a random walk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bengt Assarsson Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Assarsson Author-Name: Per Jansson Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Jansson Title: Unemployment persistence: the case of Sweden Abstract: An unobserved components time-series model is used to examine the persistence in Swedish unemployment. Three sources of unemployment persistence are identified: natural rate shocks; hysteresis; and persistent cycles. Hysteresis effects are modelled by allowing cyclical unemployment to have a lagged effect on the natural rate. The evidence suggests that the course of unemployment in Sweden has mainly been determined by natural rate shocks. This is especially the case for the large increase during the early 1990s, but also for the smaller changes between 1970 and the late 1980s. Hysteresis effects are also present but they are less important because of the relatively small cyclical changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540121 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540121&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Money, exchange rates and international business cycle between Japan and the United States Abstract: This paper focuses on the international business cycle repercussions between Japan and the United States based on the vector error correction model. The results of the analysis are as follows: first, the effect of economic fluctuations between Japan and the United States is asymmetric; whereas fluctuations in the United States economy exert a great influence on Japan, the converse is not true. Secondly, it should be noted that there is a great difference between the two nations with regard to fluctuations in money supply; whereas they exhibit strong exogeneity in the United States, they react to exchange rates to a great extent in Japan. This may reflect differences in the policy reaction functions of the two nations' financial policy authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Paul Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: Using panel data to estimate the determinants of medical malpractice insurance premiums Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to incorporate state-level heterogeneity into an examination of the effects of tort reforms and other factors on medical malpractice insurance premiums; a random effects model is used to account for this heterogeneity. The results of the present study show that individual, state-level effects are important determinants of medical malpractice insurance premiums and that tort reforms had no effects on malpractice insurance premium levels. The results of previous studies that used ordinary least squares had indicated that some tort reforms were significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Forecasting with structural change: why is the random walk model so damned difficult to beat? Abstract: This paper demonstrates that a naive forecast of no change can produce lower mean square forecast errors than those from true models when structural change exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:41-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Testing for technical change: a nonparametric application Abstract: A method of evaluating the impact of technical change on productivity in a Farrell-type model is developed here and empirically applied over international airlines data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of the inflation rate of the health care CPI in the US Abstract: A key issue in health care reform in the United States is the need to contain the inflation rate of the consumer price index (CPI) for health care services (IRCPIHC). Although previous literature has provided a variety of arguments regarding the causes of the rising IRCPIHC, relatively little has been done of a formal empirical nature to test these various arguments. We estimate a reduced-form equation for the US that indicates the IRCPIHC is an increasing function of general inflation, the population percentage over age 65, real malpractice insurance premiums, the population percentage covered by Medicare, increased usage of technological innovations in medicine, and real GDP growth and a decreasing function of the number of physicians per 100 000 population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540126 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540126&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Hasan Kazdagli Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Kazdagli Title: Re-examine the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis for a high inflation country: the case of Turkey 1980-93 Abstract: This paper examines the hypothesis of long-run purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using cointegration techniques for Turkey that experiences high inflation and structural changes coupled with high growth rates simultaneously. The results do not support any long-run bilateral exchange rate-price relationship between Turkey and each of the following countries considered to be the major trading partners of Turkey: France, Germany, the UK, and the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540127 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540127&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:51-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Sedgley Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Sedgley Title: Technology gaps, economic growth and convergence across US states Abstract: This paper re-examines the empirical regularity of convergence in gross state product (GSP) per capita across US states. Patent data for the 48 continental United States and the District of Columbia, from the US Patent and Trademark Office, is used to account for innovation and technology differences across states. It is found that patents are an important variable in explaining state to state differences in growth. This implies technology gaps exist across states. Knowledge and technology appear to display some characteristics of private goods. Furthermore, the estimated time it takes for convergence to occur is reduced by 25% when differences in innovative activity are accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540128 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540128&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhayaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhayaya Title: Does federal electoral redistricting induce congressional quits? An empirical note Abstract: The present paper used national data to examine the outcome of political redistricting (in the United States), from the 1982 amendments to the Voting Rights Act of 1965, on congressional quits (retirements) in the U.S. House of Representatives. Our results suggest that the redistricting efforts created by these 1982 amendments have led to significantly lower retirement rates within the U.S. House. In fact, upon performing various unit root tests for variable stationarity and developing first-difference statistical equations, our results suggest that retirement rates after the passage of the 1982 amendments are approximately 10.5 to 15 percent lower. Such results contradict much of the previous work in the political science field, yet confirm many of the results beiung put forth by public choice scholars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-63 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:61-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Coleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Do women earn higher returns to tenure than men? Evidence from the new earnings survey Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tenure on the earnings of men and women in the UK labour market. Most comparisons of male and female earnings have concentrated on examining spot differentials, which give no information on earnings movements over tenure. Simple human capital theory would suggest that the effect of tenure would be less pronounced for women, as their shorter average attachments to the labour market allow less opportunity for human capital accumulation. Contrary to this prediction, the results show a higher return to tenure for women. Several explanations are provided as to why this is the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-68 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:65-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. J. Florkowski Author-X-Name-First: W. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Florkowski Author-Name: A. H. Elnagheeb Author-X-Name-First: A. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Elnagheeb Author-Name: C. L. Huang Author-X-Name-First: C. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Risk perception and new food production technologies Abstract: In this study, survey data were used to develop a model to measure the relationship between a set of socio-economic characteristics of consumers and their risk perception of feed additives and growth hormones use in livestock production. Perceptions were measured indirectly by constructs based on responses to multiple questions. Factor analysis was used to identify the perception measures. Next, two econometric approaches were applied to estimate the relationships between the explanatory variables and risk perceptions. Estimation results gave both the direct and total effects of each explanatory variable on the three constructs: risk perception due to the use of feed additives and antibiotics in livestock and poultry, risk perception due to the use of bioengineering in food production or its specific example - the porcine somatotropin (pST) - the pig growth hormone, and support of pST use in pig production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-73 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:69-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Engsted Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Engsted Title: Do farmland prices reflect rationally expected future rents? Abstract: In recent years the Present Value (PV) model has been used extensively to interpret the behaviour of farmland prices. In this paper the rational expectations version of the PV-model used by Tegene and Kuchler (1993) to test for bubbles is examined using long time-series data for land prices and rents in three US agricultural regions. The tests are based on a VAR methodology that takes into account that land prices and rents are integrated of order one and cointegrated. The results indicate that the underlying equilibrium model used by Tegene and Kuchler to reject bubbles is seriously at odds with the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Personal introduction agencies in the United Kingdom: estimates of an average cost function Abstract: Economists have hitherto neglected the behaviour of the personal introduction agency sector. This paper presents estimates of the average cost function. It is found to have a U-shaped pattern. Average costs are also shown to be higher when the agency guarantees a minimum number of dates and turns away potential clients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Human capital versus sorting: new data and a new test Abstract: A new test is proposed for discriminating between human capital and sorting explanations of the wage differential between groups of variously educated workers. International data from the ISSP are used to illustrate the operation of the test and of other, more conventional methods used to discriminate between the competing theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:85-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senee Suwandee Author-X-Name-First: Senee Author-X-Name-Last: Suwandee Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Estimates of net capital stock for agricultural and industrial sectors for Japan, Korea and Taiwan Abstract: In this paper, we estimate the net capital stock of the agricultural and industrial sectors for Japan, Korea and Taiwan in their national currencies. Based on the availability of the investment data, the net capital stocks for Japan for the two sectors are estimated from 1905 to 1940 (prewar), and from 1953 to 1979 (postwar). No investment series, broken down by sector, are available after 1979. For Korea and Taiwan the agricultural and industrial net capital stocks are obtained from 1955 to 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Davila Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Davila Author-Name: Josee Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Josee Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Title: On the regional variability of minority/non-minority wage differentials Abstract: This paper assesses whether regional variability in the minority/non-minority wage gap exists and if it depends on state-specific factors such as political conservatism, anti-discriminatory policies, and the 'visibility' of minorities. We find an extreme variability in the minority/non-minority wage differential across states and that this gap narrows as minorities achieve a 'threshold' level which allows them to exert political and economic pressures on majority employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoffrey Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: The profit elasticity of investment in West Germany and the investment diversion effects of unification Abstract: This paper estimates investment equations for pre-unification West Germany in which changes in profitability have strong explanatory power with respect to changes in real investment. Accordingly, post-unification decline in profitability suggests that investment by west German firms in eastern Germany entailed investment diversion. In addition, we explain how we calculate t-statistics for long-run coefficients arising from Almon lag and partial adjustment models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:97-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai Yung Kam Author-X-Name-First: Tai Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Kam Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Taiwan's trade imbalance against Japan: an econometric analysis Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the Granger 'causal' dynamic relationship between Taiwan-Japan trade balance (T), and four macrovariables: output (Y), exchange rate (E), money supply (M), and price index (P). The ADF Unit Root Test results show that the variables are all integrated of order I(1). The Johansen (Trace, λmax) result indicates that there is no evidence of cointegration between T and the four variables. The Final Prediction Error results indicate that there is evidence of a unidirectional causal relationship between T and M, a bidirectional relationship between T and Y only. Variance Decomposition analysis show that the exogeneity ordering of the variables is (ΔM, ΔT, ΔY, ΔP, ΔE). The impulse response analysis show that the impacts of M and Y to T are higher than the impacts of E both in short-term and medium-term. In long-term, impacts front both policies are weak and tend to be insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Goss Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goss Author-Name: S. Gulay Avsar Author-X-Name-First: S. Gulay Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Title: Increasing returns to liquidity in futures markets Abstract: A simple model, based on the binomial theorem, is employed to predict that the probability of matching buyers and sellers increases with the number of transactions. The ask-bid spread, interpreted as a measure of liquidity, is assumed to vary negatively with the probability of matching buyers and sellers. The hypothesis addressed in this paper is that the ask-bid spread varies negatively with volume. This hypothesis is investigated for six contracts traded on the Sydney Futures Exchange from 1980 to 1991. The results support the hypothesis for the majority of contracts studied. The implication of these results is that futures trading can be expected to become concentrated geographically in a few key locations, and within exchanges in a few key contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sugata Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sugata Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Can higher debt lead to higher welfare? A theoretical and numerical analysis Abstract: This paper demonstrates, for a two-good, two-country model with finitely-lived agents, the possibility of using national debt as a policy instrument to improve welfare via an improvement in the terms of trade. The latter is large enough to outweigh the negative effect of crowding out of capital that results from higher debt. It is shown that without retaliatory behaviour, a welfare-maximizing level of debt is theoretically obtainable for values less than half the elasticity of substitution in consumption. For a substitution elasticity equal to half zero debt is the optimum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:111-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhaskar Das Author-X-Name-First: Bhaskar Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Price smoothing and inventory adjustments Abstract: The empirical results in this paper show a negative and statistically significant relationship between inventory variability and price variability, thereby lending support to the contention that inventory adjustments help to smooth price. The implication is that inventories assist in coordination of oligopolistic agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:117-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Title: Cross-sectional evidence for the job-matching model Abstract: Using the PSID and 2SLS estimation, this paper provides cross-sectional empirical evidence for the job-matching model. The empirical model which specifies wages as a function of expected tenure (rather than merely current tenure) more accurately describes the observed data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Bloor Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Bloor Author-Name: Alan Maynard Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Maynard Title: Labour markets in the UK National Health Service: incentives, contracts and health care teams Abstract: The 1991 UK National Health Service reforms introduced explicit market mechanisms into the purchasing and provision of health care. The clinical labour market has however remained relatively unchanged, despite progressive encouragement to shift towards local pay determination. This letter explores the possibilities of applying simple concepts derived from labour economic theory to the operation of clinical labour markets, and generates hypotheses of how incentives in the labour market could perhaps be used to affect the efficiency of health care teams. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:127-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoungsoo Zang Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Title: The stability of the Kuznets curve: some further evidence Abstract: This paper examines the stability of the (cross-sectional) Kuznets curve with focus on the international comparability of both income distribution and income data. If the Kuznets curve changes its slope, or if the relationship between income and income inequality is not stable over time, then, the validity of using the cross-sectional Kuznets curve to test the Kuznets hypothesis is considerably weakened, and consequently the results from a cross-section of countries may not be used to predict the secular development of a country. For reasonable international comparability, household income distribution data and per capita GDP data based on purchasing power parity are employed in this paper. We show that, contrary to a previous finding, the (cross-sectional) Kuznets curve is stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-133 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:131-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barkoulas Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barkoulas Author-Name: Christopher Baum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Baum Author-Name: Gurkan Oguz Author-X-Name-First: Gurkan Author-X-Name-Last: Oguz Title: Stochastic long memory in traded goods prices Abstract: Using spectral regression and exact maximum likelihood methods, we test for long memory dynamics in the traded goods prices for the G7 countries, as measured in their import and export price indices. Significant and robust evidence of fractional dynamics with long memory features is found in both import and export price inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-138 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:135-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Past trend versus future expectation: test of exchange rate volatility Abstract: Which of the two forces, past trends or future expectations plays a more dominant role in exchange market volatility? This hypothesis is econometrically tested here for four advised industrial countries, France, UK, Japan and Germany over the period 1985-95. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gishan Dissanaike Author-X-Name-First: Gishan Author-X-Name-Last: Dissanaike Title: Do stockmarket 'losers' win more than 'winners' lose? Abstract: One of the controversial issues in the stockmarket overreaction literature is the claim that price reversals for losers are more pronounced than for winners. We present new results for the UK which suggest that the opposite conclusion is true. Our results are particularly interesting because some recent studies have chosen to devote more attention to losers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521370 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521370&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:143-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. L. Ford Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Sudip Ghose Author-X-Name-First: Sudip Author-X-Name-Last: Ghose Title: Ellsberg's urns, ambiguity, measures of uncertainty and non-additivity: some experimental evidence Abstract: The principal objective of the experiment reported on in this paper was to ascertain what measures of uncertainty the subjects deemed to be relevant in situations of ambiguity regarding outcomes. This permitted an assessment of non-additivity of probabilities and subjects' choices were then analysed in terms of expected utility theory and the decision theories of Shackle and Ford. In addition, a comparison of the findings on the choices of gamble that the subjects made could be effected with those made in Ellsberg's pioneering inquiry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521371 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521371&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Alonso Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso Author-Name: Miguel-Angel Galindo Author-X-Name-First: Miguel-Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Galindo Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Convergence in social protection benefits across EU countries Abstract: This paper studies the degree of convergence in per capita social protection benefits registered in the European Union during the 1966-92 period. To that end, we use data supplied by Eurostat and compute the two indicators more widely used in convergence analysis: σ-convergence and β-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-155 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:153-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The long-run demand for currency and broad money in Italy, 1861-1980 Abstract: This letter presents estimates of a stable long-run money demand function in Italy over the period 1861-1980. Results using the Johansen procedure of cointegration indicate a unique, long-run demand function for currency and the broad money supply. In each case, the real income and interest rate elasticities accord reasonably well with expectations from monetary theory in terms of size and sign and are in line with results reported in several studies for the United States and the United Kingdom. It appears that both currency and the money supply broadly defined are suitable aggregates with which to consider the long-run economic impacts of changes in monetary policy in Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-159 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:157-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Outcome uncertainty in sporting competition: the Olympic Games 1896-1996 Abstract: This paper examines uncertainty of outcome within the context of international sporting competition through analysing the ratio of medal winning to participating nations for the history of the Summer Olympics. A deficiency within the economics of professional team sports literature concerns the investigation into the determinants of uncertainty per se, although it has prominently featured as an explanatory factor in demand studies. Additionally, previous research on the Olympics has primarily focused upon ';success' in terms of medals won or event placings. An analysis of outcome uncertainty is poignant to the Olympics given the degree of national prestige frequently placed upon success together with the policy debate in relation to their increasing scope. The relationship examined between Olympic uncertainty and a series of hypothesized factors indicates that significant determinants include the level of participation in each Olympiad, Communist-let boycotts and their overall trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Exchange rate regimes and international output co-movement Abstract: Utlizing Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration testing procedure, we find a cointegrating vector between the outputs of five major industrialized nations for the fixed exchange rate period. However, this relationship breaks down for the flexible exchange rate era. We argue that the breakdown of monetary policy coordination caused by the abandonment of the fixed exchange rates explains the weakening of the international character of business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-168 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:165-168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: The nature and extent of revisions to Australian macroeconomic data Abstract: This paper explores the nature and extent of revisions to Australian macroeconomic data. Specifically, we analyse quarterly GDP and monthly balance on current account data. We find some impact of revisions. In addition, we also find that indirect measures of data quality, such as, statistical discrepancy in the case of GDP and the balancing item in the case of the balance on current account are still large after the revisions are completed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:169-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Vergin Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Vergin Title: The NFL pointspread market revisited: anomaly or statistical aberration? Abstract: An earlier paper by Lacey (1990) examined the National Football League betting market, using data from the 1984-1986 seasons. He tested 13 technical rules for betting and found several that had winning proportions significantly greater than 0.5 and were also profitable after transaction costs. That represented a violation of the weak form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis. This paper provides an independent test of those same rules over the 1987-1995 NFL seasons. None of the strategies were profitable or had winning proportions significantly different than 0.5. Lacey's results were apparently just a statistical aberration rather than an exploitable anomaly. The results herein suggest the Efficient Markets Hypothesis was not violated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521377 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521377&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Linear estimation of the nonlinear almost ideal demand system: a Monte Carlo study Abstract: Most applied economists use the almost ideal demand system or AIDS to model demand without knowing the consequences of alternative estimation procedures. In this paper, Monte Carlo experiments are undertaken to evaluate the performance of several estimation methods of AIDS. Based on the measures of trace mean squared error and aggregate bias, the iterative procedure proposed by Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) is found to dominate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:181-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Frederick Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Frederick Author-Name: William Kaempfer Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Kaempfer Author-Name: Martin Ross Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Ross Author-Name: Richard Wobbekind Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Wobbekind Title: Arbitration versus negotiation: the risk aversion of players Abstract: This paper explores the effects that skill and experience have on a baseball player's decision about whether to negotiate with his team or to enter into arbitration. The action taken by players who are eligible to file depends on their perceived trade-off between various types of risk such as the possibility of injury and the risks inherent in the arbitration process. Experience increases the chance that a player will go through arbitration, a high skill level decreases that chance, and a large spread between offered and desired salaries makes a negotiated solution more likely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eskil Heinesen Author-X-Name-First: Eskil Author-X-Name-Last: Heinesen Title: The tax wedge and repair and maintenance of houses Abstract: We estimate relations for consumers' demand for repair and maintenance of houses. Repair and maintenance services have close substitutes in the black economy and via do-it-yourself production. The tax wedge is included as an explanatory variable, since it is a measure of the price of paid and taxed services relative to services produced by black market or do-it-yourself activities. On Danish macroeconomic time series data large elasticities with respect to prices and the tax wedge are estimated. We estimate simple level equations and error correction models and test for cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-196 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521380 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521380&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:191-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Yves Pitarakis Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Pitarakis Author-Name: George Tridimas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Tridimas Title: The allocation of public consumption expenditure in the UK Abstract: Using the Almost Ideal Demand System specification we analyse whether UK public consumption expenditure decisions are compatible with traditional utility maximization postulates. Our empirical findings tend to support the validity of the constraints of homogeneity and symmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Three empirical models for the entry mode choice in foreign direct investment Abstract: Three empirical models for the choice of entry mode in foreign direct investment are compared. In contrast to the models used in earlier studies where the entry decision is taken to be predetermined, the alternative to refrain from investment altogether is here taken into account. Furthermore, the fact that greenfields increase capacity is also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Author-Name: David Michayluk Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Michayluk Title: The persistent holiday effect: additional evidence Abstract: The holiday effect is one of the most perplexing of all seasonal anomalies. Based on evidence using pre-1987 equity returns, this anomaly has been shown to be responsible for somewhere between 30 to 50% of the total return on the market while exhibiting below average variances (Lakonishok and Smidt, 1988; Ariel, 1990). The purpose of this paper is to investigate and document the persistence of the holiday effect (or lack thereof) beyond the 1987 period for equities traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ exchanges. Has the holiday effect continued into the 1990s, or have efficient trading rules exploited the anomaly to the point where it no longer exists? The results provide additional evidence into the nature and potential causes of seasonal market anomalies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-209 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:205-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Academic and private sector salaries: chalk and cheese? Abstract: This paper utilizes evidence from the Association of University Teachers advanced to support the 1996 claim for increased remuneration for their members in the UK higher education sector. The study specifically focuses upon the determinants of pay for academic staff and a comparative series of private sector professions within a human capital theory framework. Following the estimation of an earnings function with respect to education and training, examination of the actual and estimated salary levels indicates that the degree of incomparability between academics and the nominated private sector occupations is not of the magnitude suggested by the AUT. These findings have implications for strategies, such as a pay review body, which have been proposed to alleviate supposed pay discrepancies relating to academic staff in British universities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Product survival at the cinema: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: The lifetime of a motion picture is the margin through which supply adjusts to market demand due to demand-invariant admission prices and fixed seating capacity. The lifetimes of a sample of 493 motion pictures that were exhibited at cinemas in Hong Kong during 1994-1996 are examined. It is found that the hazard rate is an increasing function of time, and that the type of movie and the initial box office revenue are economically and statistically significant determinants of a movie's life length. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-219 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:215-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: Lois Schertz Willett Author-X-Name-First: Lois Schertz Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: Broiler price transmission results and data periodicity Abstract: This letter examines, by example, variations in results of typical empirical tests when data sets of different periodicity are compared. The example involves an investigation of the price transmission process in the US broiler industry utilizing separate monthly and weekly data sets. Differing test conclusions were reached dependent on the data set. The bulk of this letter analyses and attempts to reconcile these conflicting conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-224 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:221-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis In Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: In Author-Name: Pasquale Sgro Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Sgro Title: Export growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and Singapore Abstract: This paper examines the time-series properties of export growth and its key determinants for South Korea and Singapore. Using the framework of cointegration and error correction modelling, it is found that, in the case of Singapore, income effects, competitiveness (relative-price effects) and exchange rate effects are the dominant sources of exports growth while in Korea' case, these same variables are less significant in explaining export growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-230 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:225-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashraf Nakibullah Author-X-Name-First: Ashraf Author-X-Name-Last: Nakibullah Title: Population growth and development: the case of Bangladesh Abstract: This paper raises the question whether population growth is exogenous or endogenous with respect to the development process of Bangladesh during the last three decades. The results of an unrestricted vector autoregression model indicate that population growth does not Granger cause real GDP per capita. On the contrary, the results clearly indicate that real GDP per capita Granger causes population growth. Based on the results one may conclude that population growth is endogenous in the development process of Bangladesh. This is reflected both in the Granger causality tests and the decompositions of variances of detrended real GDP per capita and population growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: An investigation into the cyclical behaviour of output, money, stock prices and interest rates Abstract: This paper examines the cyclical behaviour of output, money, stock prices and interest rates using annual US data covering the period 1900-91. The cyclical components are extracted from a seemingly unrelated time series equations model. The cyclical relationships are subsequently assessed by examining the contemporaneous and lagged correlations. The results reveal that the cyclical relationships weakened in the post-war period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Bleaney Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bleaney Title: Purchasing power parity in the 1920s: evidence for the Swiss franc Abstract: Tests of purchasing power parity (PPP) are applied to bilateral rates against the Swiss franc for the period of floating exchange rates in the 1920s. The results confirm that the exchange rates of high-inflation currencies tended to move in line with PPP. For low-inflation currencies, however, there tended to be underadjustment of nominal exchange rates to relative price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:239-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos Van Ommeren Author-X-Name-First: Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ommeren Title: A test for randomly sampling using duration observations Abstract: We introduce a test for randomly sampling of individuals, with as alternative that the data is not randomly sampled due to moving behaviour of individuals, based on duration observations. Furthermore, we apply this test to a particular data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Askar Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Askar Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Author-Name: Simon Power Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: A simplified GLS estimator for autoregressive moving-average models Abstract: Koreisha and Pukkila (1990a) have recently proposed a fast and efficient GLS estimator for the univariate ARMA time series model which appears to be far more robust than maximum likelihood methods and of comparable accuracy. The one drawback to this new estimator is that it requires use of the Cholesky decomposition. The purpose of this paper is to suggest an alternative simplified GLS estimator, which can be implemented with just repeated applications of an OLS subroutine. A limited Monte Carlo study establishes that this new estimator is just as efficient as that of Koreisha and Pukkila. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Paul Burkett Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Burkett Title: Economic history and econometrics: a cautionary note from the hyperinflation front Abstract: We seek to add a cautionary note to the growing appetite for quantitative economic history. Our lightning rod is the money demand estimation undertaken by Michael, Nobay and Peel (MNP) (1994) over the last months of Germany's hyperinflation. MNP apply to less than eighteen months of data an econometric technique designed for long-run time series and use a questionably-defined real wage series as an inappropriate proxy for real income. Given the popularity of applying modern time-series methods to hyperinflations, MNPs work provides a timely reminder that there is no substitute for knowing the historical setting and knowing the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaume Puig-Junoy Author-X-Name-First: Jaume Author-X-Name-Last: Puig-Junoy Title: Measuring health production performance in the OECD Abstract: This paper contributes to the estimation of the best practice frontier in health production in the OECD countries at the aggregate level, in the tradition of the concept of health production function originally developed by Grossman. Estimates of technical efficiency for the OECD countries, decomposed into their components of pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency, using a nonparametric method (Data Envelopment Analysis) are presented. In a two-stage approach, differences in efficiency scores are attributed to environmental factors using a stochastic censored regression model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziye Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: W. David Mccausland Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Mccausland Title: Multiple economic growth equilibria Abstract: This paper extends the previous literature on multiple growth equilibria by constructing a multisectoral open economy small macro model. We consider the dynamics of international debt, physical capital accumulation and competitiveness, and show that there exist two distinct stable equilibria, one is a high growth equilibrium, corresponding to high investment and net international credit, the other is a low growth equilibrium corresponding to low investment and net international debt. We highlight the important link between economic growth (a flow variable) and net international debt/credit (a stock variable). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:261-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Author-Name: Alan Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Nigel Fielding Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Title: Crime, earnings inequality and unemployment in England and Wales Abstract: Masih and Masih (1996) recently presented an analysis of crime in a temporal Granger-causal framework, and explored empirically some of the determinants of crime in Australia using annual data over the period 1963-90. The purpose of this paper is to examine the role exerted by earnings inequality and unemployment in the determination of crime. Using a panel of annual regional data from 1979 to 1993 for England and Wales, we find that the growth in earnings inequality and unemployment impact positively on five types of criminal activity examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-267 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354951 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354951&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:265-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Author-Name: Guzin Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Guzin Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Some methodological comments on 'Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis' by N. Apergis and C. Karfakis Abstract: In this comment we note that the methodology used by Apergis and Karfakis (1996) (a) leads to restricting the contemporaneous impact matrix not the long-run impact matrix in identifying their SVAR model, contrary to to their stated objective, and (b) that the Bernanke-Sims procedure of identification and the conventional Cholesky-decomposition based analysis of a VAR lead exactly to the same results as long as the impact matrix is restricted to be lower triangle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:269-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Inflation and multifactor productivity growth: a response to Smyth Abstract: Previous research by Smyth on the relationship between inflation and productivity growth, reported in this journal, concluded that 'The negative effects of inflation on growth are significant and substantial' (Smyth, 1995). We find that standard causality tests call into question the direction of causality between inflation and productivity growth. Furthermore, using vector autoregressions, including output and monetary policy variables, we conclude that the correlation between inflation and productivity growth is largely an artifact of comovements with cyclical variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524399 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524399&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Bonanni Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonanni Author-Name: J. Dermine Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dermine Author-Name: L. -H. Roller Author-X-Name-First: L. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Roller Title: Some evidence on customer 'lock-in' in the French mutual funds industry Abstract: We build on earlier work in the literature on economies of scale and scope in the financial services industry by using a unique French data set covering 162 financial institutions. In the institutional context of the French mutual funds industry, it has been argued that consumers incur significant costs in switching from one bank to another bank. Switching costs could create 'lock-in' that could be used by an institution to extract more rent over time. This paper attempts to differentiate empirically between dynamic pricing strategies (such as customer lock-in) and cost based explanations such as scale and scope economies in the context of the French mutual funds industry. Our results indicate support for the customer 'lock-in' hypothesis for the dominant segment of the French SICAV industry, namely the money market funds. For other funds, however, we find no such systematic evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tarzwell Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzwell Title: Decentralization and public sector growth Abstract: This paper uses a pooled Canadian data set to test for the causes of government growth. Unlike previous studies, these causes are tested simultaneously to avoid misspecification problems. The decentralization of government activities is found to lower the relative size of the public sector when power moves from the federal to the provincial or local governments but raises it when the power shifts from provincial to local governments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-285 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:281-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Stochastic data envelopment analysis: a new approach Abstract: Pre- and post-optimality analysis of input-output data is developed here as a practical method of Farrell-type efficiency measurement. Filtering of noise and specifying the optimal output distributions provide the basic tools which are applied to the time series data for international airlines. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Richards Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Richards Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Title: Baseball success and the structure of salaries Abstract: The purpose of this research is to examine some competing assumptions regarding the hiring behaviour of major league baseball clubs. One hypothesis is that owners and general managers of teams enter the free agent market with a view to attracting the best talent available in order to win games. We might refer to this as the 'win games' strategy. A potentially alternative view is that they compete in this market for marquee players who will attract paying customers to the ball park. We can refer to this as the 'fannies-in-the-seats', or revenue, strategy. While these hypotheses are not necessarily inconsistent, we can imagine that for some teams, at some times, they are alternative approaches to hiring behaviour. A team committed to the 'win games' strategy may attempt to spread its resources in order to hire as many good players as possible without necessarily hiring elite players. A team committed to the revenue strategy may be content to surround a superstar with second rate talent. In order to test these hypotheses we intend to specify estimable models that relate, alternatively, team attendance, winning percentage and division, pennant and world championships to, among other relevant explanatory variables, its salary structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:291-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Delroy Hunter Author-X-Name-First: Delroy Author-X-Name-Last: Hunter Title: The performance of filter rules on the Jamaican Stock Exchange Abstract: A filter test of the daily returns over the period 1989 to 1994 is employed to determine the efficiency of the market. The main result is that the naive 'buy and hold' investment strategy generally outperformed the more active trading strategies. This is surprising in light of previous test which indicated that the market is inefficient. Generally the larger filters generated greater terminal wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524404 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524404&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Donal Bredin Author-X-Name-First: Donal Author-X-Name-Last: Bredin Title: Exchange rate volatility and exports: the case of Ireland Abstract: We use the techniques of cointegration and error correction models to estimate long-run and short-run export demand functions for Ireland using quarterly data for the 1979-93 period. We consider three determinants of exports: foreign income, relative prices, and exchange rate volatility. Our results indicate that exports depend significantly on foreign income and relative prices, in particular in the long run. Exchange rate uncertainty proxied by exchange rate volatility appears to depress export volume only in the short run according to our estimated error correction model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Pi-Anguita Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Pi-Anguita Title: Real exchange rate, interest rate and capital movements: evidence for France Abstract: This paper measures capital mobility in France by analysing the direction of causality between the real exchange rate and the interest rate. Cointegration and Granger causality tests show that the direction of causality between the two variables reverses in 1987, the date at which capital controls started to be lifted in France. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-307 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524406 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524406&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:305-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bob Welch Author-X-Name-First: Bob Author-X-Name-Last: Welch Author-Name: J. R. Hanrahan Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanrahan Author-Name: Tom Barnes Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Barnes Title: The cost of capital and its component parts with corporate and personal tax Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to calculate the cost of capital, the cost of equity and the cost of debt in a world with corporate and personal taxes. We do this in a manner that is consistent with the calculation when there is no tax and when there is corporate tax only. Our results differ from most finance textbooks which either ignore the calculation or assume that the entire burden of personal tax is borne by the stockholders regardless of the level of tax on debt income. Specifically, in these texts the market value of debt remains constant and hence the decline in the value of the firm due to the imposition of personal tax on debt is paid by a matching reduction in shareholders equity. In addition, the approach in these texts can lead to a negative value of the firm and a decreasing cost of capital even when the personal tax on debt income exceeds the personal tax on stock income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:309-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hanrahan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hanrahan Author-Name: Joseph Kushner Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kushner Author-Name: Isidore Masse Author-X-Name-First: Isidore Author-X-Name-Last: Masse Title: Are stock market event studies affected by the price range of shares? The Canadian experience Abstract: This study uses event date methodology to examine whether low priced and high priced shares respond differently to market events. Our results indicate that in response to takeover announcements, low priced shares are more price volatile and unlike higher priced shares decline after the event date. Recognition of share prices should therefore be considered in event studies and in particular when comparing the results of different studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:313-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Title: On income tax functions: an application of robust, regression-based diagnostics to models of conditional means Abstract: This paper implements a variety of robust, regression-based diagnostics to nonlinear models of effective federal individual income tax. Estimates of effective marginal tax rates obtained from these tax models are frequently used in the empirical growth and real business cycle literature to quantify the macroeconomic effects of distortionary taxation. Based on a battery of conditional mean tests, the paper concludes that none of the tax models used in the empirical growth and real business cycle literature provides a good basis for obtaining reliable estimates of the effective marginal tax rates. Therefore, conclusions based on such tax estimates must be treated with caution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524409 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524409&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:317-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Greene Knapp Author-X-Name-First: Laura Greene Author-X-Name-Last: Knapp Author-Name: Terry Seaks Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Seaks Title: A Hausman test for a dummy variable in probit Abstract: A new Hausman test is presented for the exogeneity of a dummy variable in a probit model. It is very easy to implement because of the equivalence of the log likelihood functions for bivariate probit and recursive probit. The procedure is applied to a model of student loan default due to Knapp and Seaks (1992). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Alyousha Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Alyousha Author-Name: Christopher Tsoukis Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukis Title: Ricardian causal ordering and the relation between house and land prices: evidence from England Abstract: This letter tests the relevance of the Ricardian interpretation of the causal relationship between rent and corn price for the English housing market, by testing for strong exogeneity between house and land prices. The results are mixed. On the one hand they support the weak exogeneity of house prices, while they fail to accept that land prices are Granger-caused by house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Sayan Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Sayan Author-Name: Nazmi Demir Author-X-Name-First: Nazmi Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Measuring the degree of block interdependence between agricultural and non-agricultural sectors in Turkey Abstract: Based on the similarity of productive activities carried out by sectors, national input-output (IO) matrices may be divided into sub-matrices each representing a broader group of sectors called blocks. The strength of linkages among sectors that belong to different blocks would then show the degree of block interdependence. The measurement of this degree is useful in many areas including structural change analysis, evaluation of various support policy alternatives or for deciding whether a general or a partial equilibrium framework should be used to investigate the effects of an exogenous shock to a particular sector or a block. This paper introduces a technique that can be used to gauge the degree of block interdependence based on simulation results from demand and supply-side IO models. The application of the technique is illustrated for the case of interdependence between agricultural and non-agricultural blocks in Turkey which recently signed a Customs Union Agreement with the EU. The results indicate that, although Turkey's Agreement covers trade relations in non-agricultural sectors alone, the agricultural sectors must face indirect effects the magnitude of which depend, to a great extent, on the degree of interdependence between blocks considered here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524412 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524412&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Author-Name: Leighton Vaughan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Do betting costs explain betting biases? Abstract: This paper investigates the reason why expected returns to identical bets placed at different odds vary significantly and systematically from one another. It is hypothesized that the cause is the existence for bettors of positive transactions costs. Two different arenas, fixed odds and spread betting markets, distinguished by different levels of transactions costs, are identified which offer competing bets about similar outcomes. The bias is examined in each arena and compared. Our results lend support to the hypothesis that the incidence of transactions costs on the bettor is at least a contributory factor in explaining the bias observed against bets placed at higher odds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524413 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524413&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: David Lovatt Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lovatt Title: Modelling real capital gains in the UK stock market Abstract: The purpose of this study is to establish the determinants of stock market returns for the UK market and to forecast the real capital gain for the Financial Times All-share index using monthly data for the period 1980-1994. Three models are used: (a) a model based on Fama's approach including expectations' variables for the growth of GDP and inflation; (b) a model where short-run and long-run impacts are separately treated and (c) an ARCH model where volatility in returns is modelled using conditional variance. One-period ahead forecasts from the general autoregressive-distributed lag model and ARCH model are compared with actuals for the post-sample period (December 1992 to November 1993) and we find that the latter model has a higher predictive power than the former. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-342 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:337-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minna Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Minna Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: The information content of losses around earnings announcements in the Finnish stock market Abstract: Stock price reaction to the announcements of accounting earnings is investigated using event study approach in the Finnish stock market. The main finding of this study is that the permanent and temporary losses cause different price reactions in Finland. The temporary losses, i.e. the loss cases that do not continue to cause any statistically significant price reaction when earnings announcements are classified to positive or negative surprises. On the other hand, negative surprises in the permanent losses (losses which continue in the future) cause significant reductions in stock prices, i.e. the permanent losses have a significant information content. These results suggest that investors do not value temporary components of losses because they believe that the temporary components are not reflected in future cash flows. Consistent with earlier evidence, news in profits lead to significant price reaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mitch Kunce Author-X-Name-First: Mitch Author-X-Name-Last: Kunce Author-Name: John List Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: List Title: Industry chasing and the tax effect: a question of approach Abstract: This paper employs a sample selection model to analyse the effects of a location's tax climate on manufacturing activity from 1974-1994. Results reveal the 'tax effect' varies substantially across industry and is significant in half of the industries analysed-chemical and allieds and food and kindreds. These results reinforce the lack of a robust consensus regarding this issue and highlight the importance of disaggregating industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Cigarette consumption in Turkey: Tansel's spurious regression Abstract: Estimates of the demand for cigarettes in Turkey uncovered significant effects from prices, incomes, education and health scares. The previous study did not pre-test for the presence of unit roots. This note reports the undertaking of this task, and the results of cointegrating regression analysis on previous data, which invalidates the earlier results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-353 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:351-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Talan Iscan Author-X-Name-First: Talan Author-X-Name-Last: Iscan Title: Exports and capital accumulation: some empirical evidence from the Mexican manufacturing industry Abstract: New growth-trade theories have emphasized the contribution of international trade to economic growth through its effect on capital accumulation. This paper tests the hypothesis that export oriented sectors attain higher rates of investment using panel data techniques and sectoral data from the Mexican manufacturing industry between 1970 and 1990. Despite the substantial variations in export shares across sectors and over time, the study can find no evidence supportive of the hypothesis that exports lead to capital accumulation. There is evidence that common determinants, such as the real exchange rate, may be behind the correlations between exports and investment rates found in cross-country studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-360 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:355-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Effect of government capital expenditure on GDP in the Iranian economy using superexogeneity testing Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of real government capital expenditure on GDP in the Iranian economy using annual time series data for the period 1959-1992 employing superexogeneity test. It is found that government capital expenditure has an important positive effect on GDP irrespective of structural and regime shifts in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Empirical note on the impact of federal government budget deficits on bank mortgage rates in the US, 1963-1995 Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1963-1995, the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on mortgage interest rates at commercial banks. Interest rates at banks have been largely neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature for the US. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has largely ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study investigates the impact of federal budget deficits on the mortgage rate charged by commercial banks, while providing current/updated information on this important policy issue. The estimates find this mortgage rate to be an increasing function of the budget deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-367 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:365-367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Mcwilliams Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Mcwilliams Author-Name: Yacov Tsur Author-X-Name-First: Yacov Author-X-Name-Last: Tsur Author-Name: Eithan Hochman Author-X-Name-First: Eithan Author-X-Name-Last: Hochman Author-Name: David Zilberman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Zilberman Title: Count-data regression models of the time to adopt new technologies Abstract: This paper presents a framework for interpreting and using the count-data model for estimating the time of technology adoption. The Bernoulli trials of the negative binomial model are interpreted as the stages involved in a potential adopter learning and updating information relevant to a new technology. Empirically, the paper estimates the Poisson, the generalized negative binomial, and the geometric models in order to identify the determinants of computer adoption on farms in California. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mcmillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mcmillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Asymmetric volatility in industrial production: some international evidence Abstract: This letter reports details of tests for the presence of conditional variance asymmetries in the growth rates of monthly international industrial production series using exponential-GARCH and threshold-GARCH generalizations. We find evidence of asymmetries of EGARCH form for US industrial production, TGARCH asymmetries for German, Japanese, and US industrial production, and such that the variance of output is always greater following negative shocks to production than following positive shocks of the same magnitude. However, residual diagnostics for estimated models indicate unmodelled structure in several cases. Notable exceptions are provided by a TGARCH specification for Japan and an EGARCH model for the US, the latter confirming previous results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-381 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:375-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Hefeker Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hefeker Title: Achievement or burden? Labour standards in a monetary union Abstract: This paper examines the argument that monetary union requires an equalization of labour standards in member countries. It is shown that labour standards have an influence on national rates of unemployment, but that it is independent from monetary union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Title: Divisia money and income in Indonesia: some results from error-correction models, 1981:1-1994:4 Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to provide alternatives to the monetary aggregates currently defined and published by Bank of Indonesia. The alternative monetary aggregate proposed is the Divisia aggregate which is an appropriate measurement for the monetary services of a country. In this paper we investigate the long-run relationship between income and Divisia aggregate together with its counterpart-the conventional simple-sum aggregate for the period 1981:1 to 1994:4. Using the cointegration and error-correction framework, our results indicate that there is potential role for the Divisia monetary aggregate as a useful intermediate indicator in the conduct of monetary policy in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: Empirical models for secondary market debt prices Abstract: This paper extends earlier research regarding predictability of secondary market prices for sovereign debt certificates issued by developing countries. Due to the existence of a thinly traded market subject to potential outliers, parameter estimation is accomplished by means of a least absolute deviations methodology. Simulation results are compared with previously published forecasts where model coefficients were generated via threestage least squares. Both methodologies appear to be useful and combined forecasts may prove helpful in situations where neither technique dominates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Felipe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Felipe Title: On the interpretation of coefficients in multiplicative-logarithmic functions: a reconsideration Abstract: This paper shows that previous arguments about the problems in interpreting the coefficients in multiplicative-logarithmic functions, derived from an arbitrary rebasing of the series, are incorrect. In the specific case of the translog production function, the tests for the CES, Cobb-Douglas and constant returns to scale restrictions are shown to be invariant to any rescaling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gustav Kristensen Author-X-Name-First: Gustav Author-X-Name-Last: Kristensen Author-Name: Jie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The Linder effect in trade blocks Abstract: Linder's theory, which states that industrialized countries import the same kinds of goods as they export, has been tested with different degrees of success. In this article its performance is investigated within the context of the formation of the EEC trade block. The formation of trade blocks involves trade diversion effects. Here these effects are combined with the ones implied by Linder's theory. Our results show that the trade diversion effects are strongest for the (European) countries with per capita incomes close to the European average. Non-EEC countries with per capita incomes close to the European average income face the highest negative trade diversion effects, while the EEC countries with an average income face the highest positive trade diversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:401-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Testing for a unit root in ERM exchange rates in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from the bootstrap Abstract: This paper explores the extent to which accounting for structural breaks in ERM exchange rates affects inferences on the presence of a unit root in these exchange rates. Four ERM exchange rates, found by previous empirical studies to be nonstationary, are examined. In contrast to previous empirical studies, multiple structural breaks are allowed for to account for multiple realignments in the central parities of these exchange rates. Bootstrapped critical values, personalized to the pattern of breaks of each exchange rate, are used for statistical inference. Consistent with the theoretical conclusion by Froot and Obstfeld (1991), the results suggest that all four ERM exchange rates are stationary. Therefore, accounting for breaks in ERM exchange rates does affect inferences on the presence of a unit root in these exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The random walk of stock prices: evidence from a panel of G-7 countries Abstract: It seems that the random-walk property of stock prices is well established. However, some studies argue that the mean reversion of the stock prices has its theoretical and empirical support and the conventional unit-root tests have weak power against stationary alternatives. This paper uses unit-root tests in panel data to re-examine the time-series properties of the stock prices as it is claimed that the method can increase the power of the tests substantially even with a small number of cross sections. The test result suggests that we cannot reject the random-walk hypothesis for G-7 country stock-price indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-413 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:411-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Empirical note on the impact of US Federal Government budget deficits on bank interest rates Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1963-1995, the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on interest rates at commercial banks. Interest rates at banks have been largely neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature for the US. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has effectively ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study empirically investigates the impact of federal budget deficits on the cost of deposits to banks and prime rate of interest charged by banks, while providing current/updated information on this important policy issue of the interest-rate impact of budget deficits. The estimates find the cost of deposits at banks to be an increasing function of the budget deficit but the prime rate to be unaffected by the budget deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The causality between budget deficit and interest rates in Japan: an application of time series analysis Abstract: Applying the Engle-Granger two-step procedure, this study finds that neither budget deficits, short-term interest rates and prices in one model nor budget deficits and longterm interest rates in the other model are cointegrated in Japan. Moreover, this study finds no causality between budget deficits and long-term interest rates but detects feedback causality between budget deficits and short-term interest rates in Japan using Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method with the aid of cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-422 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:419-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fiona Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Export-led growth hypothesis for Australia: an empirical re-investigation Abstract: The export-led growth hypothesis is tested using quarterly time series data for Australia by constructing a vector autoregression (VAR) model. The Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-50, 1995) was applied to test the causality link between real export growth and real manufacturing output growth. Three distinct features in this paper stand out compared to earlier studies on the case of Australia: first, we have gone beyond the traditional two-variable relationship by building a five-variable VAR model in the production function context to avoid the possible specification bias; second, we follow Riezman, Whiteman and Summers (Empirical Economics, 21, 77-110, 1996) to test the hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result; and finally, the methodology by Toda and Yamamoto is expected to improve the standard F -statistics in the causality test process. Two principle results emerge from our research. First, no evidence was found for the export-led growth hypothesis in Australia; second, when applying a longer lag structure, we found evidence of a one-way Granger causality running from manufacturing growth to exports growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:423-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Levin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: How large is the tax clientele bias in the term structure of UK interest rates? Abstract: This paper briefly explains why there may be a 'tax clientele' induced bias in the observed yield curve and attempts to estimate the size of this tax clientele bias in the term structure of UK interest rates. A method is based on the econometric technique developed by Nelson and Siegel (Journal of Business, 60, 473-89, 1987) is used to estimate yield curves, which permits observation of the magnitude of tax clientele bias. Estimates based on this method are presented using bond price information on 100 market days. The main finding is that the tax clientele effect is empirically small and therefore may not bias judgements based on the slope of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Nonparametric measurement of preference changes: the case of food demand in rural China Abstract: Taste changes in the demand for seven food items and 28 regions in rural China are identified. The results indicate a strong shift in consumers' preference against (towards) rice and tobaccos (wheat and alcohol). Considerable efforts are made in this paper to discuss possible causes of these shifts and more importantly to explore relevant policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-436 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:433-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugene Kouassi Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Kouassi Author-Name: Bernard Decaluwe Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Decaluwe Author-Name: Dale Colyer Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Colyer Title: Is it real? The long-run relation between terms of trade and current account deficits: the Ivory evidence Abstract: The long-run relationship between current account deficits, domestic income, foreign income and foreign interest rates are estimated based on Ivorian time series data. The empirical results suggest that terms of trade along with domestic income, French income, and foreign real interest rates have significant long-term relationships with the current account deficit. The methodology is based on the co-integration technique. In addition, using the bootstrap technique for unit roots and regression respectively indicates the long-run relationship and the regression equation appear robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:437-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A test of the P-Star model Abstract: This paper presents a test of the P-Star model using US quarterly data over the period 1951:1-1991:4. The basic formulation of the P-Star model, which is derived from the quantity theory of money, is manipulated to obtain an equation for the price level in terms of a stochastic trend and the actual levels of output and velocity. The maximum likelihood estimation results verify the validity of the model and the importance of the stochastic trend. The dynamic relationship between the inflation rate and the price gap is also estimated, producing a large and significant value for the coefficient of adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-443 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:441-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Short-term interest rate and inflation in the long run: a study of the US and UK from 1803 to 1990 Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence concerning the long-run properties of expected real interest rate and nominal interest rate as a predictor of inflation using US and UK data from 1803 to 1990. It is found that we can reject the null hypothesis of constancy of ex ante real interest rate for the US, but we cannot reject it for the case of the UK. Evidence also suggests that over the long time period, nominal interest rate does not seem to be a good predictor of inflation, especially for the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-448 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:445-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Filson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Filson Title: Price indexes for personal computers (1976-88) Abstract: This paper estimates quality-adjusted price indexes for personal computers for the years 1976-88 using the method proposed by Berndt, Griliches, and Rappaport (1995). Indexes for the 1976-82 period may be combined with indexes provided by previous authors to obtain quality-adjusted price indexes for the entire history of the personal computer industry. In the early years, the number of observations is small, and quality and cost improvements, which are often embodied in new models, occur rapidly. It is suggested that in this type of environment, adjacent-year regressions may be more useful for obtaining constant-quality price indexes than alternative methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Nievas Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Nievas Title: The 'Fisher effect' versus 'German effect' in European countries. An empirical study Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of the rate of inflation and German short-term interest rates over the short-term interest rates of a number of European Union Member States. The study has been carried out by considering two subperiods, namely from 1980 to 1988 and from 1989 to 1996, with these representing the periods before and after the initiation of European Monetary Union. The results obtained indicate that there is one group of countries, comprising France and Italy, which has substituted the 'inflation effect' in the first period for the 'German effect' in the second. Another group, made up of Spain, Greece, Holland and Portugal, does not present evidence of the inflation effect prior to Monetary Union, but does present evidence of the 'German effect' after it. Finally, a number of other countries, such as the United Kingdom, Belgium and Denmark, are not seen to be influenced by changes in the German interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:453-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shady Kholdy Author-X-Name-First: Shady Author-X-Name-Last: Kholdy Author-Name: Ahmad Sohrabian Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Sohrabian Title: Economic fundamentals and housing market Abstract: This paper examines the causes of housing cycles during 1986-1994 in California using vector autoregressive (VAR) and variance decomposition technique. The paper tries to compare the effect of speculative behavour of landlords with economic fundamentals in boosting the housing demand. The empirical results suggest that economic fundamentals affected the housing market slightly during the housing boom of 1986-1990. Speculative behaviour and expectation of capital gain played a stronger role in stimulating the housing demand than economic fundamentals. The model, however, cannot explain the housing bust of 1990-1994. The results suggest that the main reason behind sluggish demand in 1990-1994 lies outside the economic fundamentals and poor expectation of capital gain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: The term structure of Australian interest rates: tests of the expectation hypothesis Abstract: This paper studies the expectation hypothesis relating to the term structure of Australian interest rates. We use monthly data on 90-day bank accepted bills and the 10-year Treasury bond over the period 1969-94. The test equation follows the approach in Campbell and Shiller (1987, 1988) and we pay careful attention to ARCH effects and problems poised by overlapping data. Our results indicate that the restrictions of the interest rate expectational hypothesis are not rejected by the dataset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-467 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:463-467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Askar Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Askar Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Author-Name: Simon Power Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: The consequences of a potential pitfall in approximate GLS estimation of the regression model with ARMA(p, q) disturbances Abstract: This paper investigates the phenomenon of covariance matrix underestimation leading to possibly misleading inference which can arise from a potential pitfall in approximate GLS estimation of the regression model with ARMA disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Ruling-out non-stationary stochastic rational expectations bubbles when agents are non-risk-neutral Abstract: The property of an independent forward-solution in the general solution to linear dynamic RE models is lost where a bubble component has non-zero higher-order moments and where the implicit agents of the model are not risk-neutral. If the conditional higher-order moments are nonstationary, the forward solution becomes process-inconsistent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-475 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:473-475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cobham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cobham Author-Name: Steve Williams Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Hysteresis, the Phillips curve and the costs of monetary union Abstract: If actual unemployment affects the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) through a hysteresis effect, the disinflation involved in reducing a country's inflation rate to that of its future partners in a monetary union could produce a long term cost to monetary union in the form of a lasting rise in the NAIRU. This note sets out a framework for analysing the likelihood of such an eventuality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of US structural budget deficits on thrift institution interest rates, 1964-1995 Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1964-95, the impact of structural federal budget deficits in the US on interest rates at savings and loan institutions (S&Ls). Interest rates at S&Ls have largely been neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has largely ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study (1) empirically investigates the impact of structural budget deficits on the cost of deposits to S&Ls and the mortgage interest rate charged by S&Ls and (2) provides current/updated information through 1995 on this important issue of the interest-rate impact of budget deficits. The empirical estimates find the S&L cost of deposits and mortgage rate to be increasing functions of the structural deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Io Segoura Author-X-Name-First: Io Author-X-Name-Last: Segoura Title: Return to scale and external economies: empirical evidence from Greek two-digit manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper applies the methodology developed by Caballero and Lyons (1989), in order to estimate jointly the degree of internal returns to scale and the extent of external economies in Greek two-digit manufacturing industries during the period 1963-90. Overall, we find that only two industries show evidence of internal increasing returns: food products, and transport equipment. On the other hand, we cannot reject the presence of external economies. According to our estimates if an industry increases its inputs in isolation by 10% its output rises by 6%. However, if all industries act in concern its output rises by 10%, implying social constant returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-490 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:485-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. J. Erenburg Author-X-Name-First: S. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Erenburg Title: Productivity, private and public capital, and real wage in the US Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between real wages and productivity in the United States from 1948-90, by including in the measure of productivity the impact of public capital as well as private capital. The results confirm recent studies that have indicated that when the private and public capital stock is controlled for, real wage is countercyclical, and validate diminishing returns to labour, positive returns to public capital and a procyclical effect of capacity utilization on real wage. Further, the issue of spurious regression bias that arises when variables are nonstationary was addressed, and long run relationships were then estimated. Results establish a long-run relationship between productivity, real wage, the employment to capital ratio, and public to private capital ratio. Using the statistical estimates herein, if the public capital stock had remained at the historical 1948-65 ratio, rather than declining, productivity would have been between 2.4 and 2.9 percentage points higher and real wages would have been between 2 to 2.8 percentage points higher, ceteris paribus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-495 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:491-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Wolters Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Wolters Title: Cointegration and German bond yields Abstract: The expectations hypothesis of the term structure implies that interest rates of different maturities are driven by one common stochastic trend. Using the Johansen multivariate cointegration analysis one finds that for seven German bond yields at least two common stochastic trends exist. These trends may be interpreted as capturing a level and a slope effect. The results are equivalent to the fact that six spreads contain five independent cointegration vectors. For this situation an error correction model is quite well supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:497-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kimiyoshi Kamada Author-X-Name-First: Kimiyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Kamada Author-Name: Nobuhiro Okuno Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Okuno Author-Name: Ritsuko Futagami Author-X-Name-First: Ritsuko Author-X-Name-Last: Futagami Title: Decisions on regional allocation of public investment: the case of Japan Abstract: In this paper, the basic economic factors underlying government decisions on regional allocation of public investment will be examined in relation to the stages of economic development of Japan. We will show that the improvement of dualism in regional income inequality has been the most significant factor for decisions made since the 1950s, while the growth-oriented economic policy explains the regional allocation of public investment for the period from the late 1950s to the mid-1960s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-506 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:503-506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dollar Case Author-X-Name-First: Dollar Author-X-Name-Last: Case Title: Testing the long-run validity of the monetary approach to the exchange rate: the won-US Abstract: This paper examines via cointegration techniques the empirical validity of the monetary model of exchange rate determination as a long-run equilibrium condition for the Korean won-U.S. dollar rate over the recent period of economic liberalization in Korea. Using monthly data from 1980 to 1995, it is found that the unrestricted version of the monetary model provides a valid framework for analysing long-run movements in the exchange Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:507-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Barry Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Title: Consumption versus market betas of Australian industry portfolios Abstract: This paper provides an empirical comparison of consumption and market betas for to 23 Australian industry portfolios, using quarterly Australian data. The results reveal that there is very little sensitivity of returns to consumption growth where consumption growth is measured contemporaneously. However, when a lagged relationship is examined, the consumption sensitivities become much stronger. Nevertheless the consumption betas remain considerably less significant than their market beta counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Schnader Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Schnader Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Title: Sources of turning point forecast errors Abstract: Little attention has been devoted to explaining the failure to predict the turning points at the beginning of recessions. This note builds on a model that showed that a turning point might not be predicted if forecasters' prior probabilities of a recession were low. Costs associated with various types of errors might also produce this result. A model is developed and then applied to a particular US business cycle indicator. The results show that costs as well as priors may contribute to this type of forecasting error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-521 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:519-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: Is the inequality of lifetime wealth a random walk? Abstract: A simple model is presented which predicts that the inequality of lifetime wealth is a bounded random walk process. Empirical support for the model is found using UK data for 1970-94. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Dan Ellingworth Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Ellingworth Title: Exploring the relationship between unemployment and property crime Abstract: Existing economic studies have revealed conflicting evidence regarding the relationship between unemployment and crime. In this paper we argue that the conflicting evidence that has appeared in previous studies reflects inadequate statistical analysis. Specifically, we argue that insufficient attention has been devoted to questions of functional form. Employing the Box-Cox flexible functional form approach we report evidence to suggest that once the correct functional form of the variables is utilized, a significant positive relationship between male unemployment and property crime is identified, this having fundamental implications for government policy in the fight against crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-530 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:527-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Title: Adding up constraints and gross substitution in portfolio models Abstract: We consider a static portfolio system that satisfies adding-up constraints and Tobin's gross substitution theorem. We show the relationship of the two conditions to the weak dominant diagonal property of the matrix of interest rate elasticities. This enables us to investigate effects of arbitrary simultaneous changes in interest rates on the asset demands. Finally, we show that all asset demands are invariant under a certain nonnegative, but nonzero, change of the interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:531-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: Empirical estimates of the rate of depreciation of education Abstract: In this paper we develop a method to estimate the rate of depreciation of human capital. The model is estimated on data for Great Britain and the Netherlands. It is found that the rate of depreciation of education is 11-17% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-538 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:535-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerard Antioch Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Antioch Title: Fiscal policy dynamics in Australia and New Zealand Abstract: This paper uses cointegration and error correction modelling to investigate how Governments across the Tasman have corrected fiscal imbalances. Australian Governments have used revenue and expenditure adjustments to correct long term fiscal imbalance. In the short term, however, taxes constrain spending in Australia. In New Zealand, expenditure adjustments are relied upon to correct long term fiscal imbalance. Thus, in neither country it could be said that spending priorities predominately drive decisions to raise taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-541 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:539-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Felipe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Felipe Title: Does the aggregate production function imply anything about the laws of production? A comment Abstract: This paper discusses McCombie's (1987) empirical evidence on the Simon-Shaikh critique. It is argued that while the theoretical argument is correct, the evidence presented depends on the adjustment of the stock of capital for capacity utilization. Probably factor shares are not sufficiently constant in this data set for the Cobb-Douglas form to provide a good approximation to the accounting identity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-547 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:543-547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Theodossiou Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Theodossiou Author-Name: A. Yannopoulos Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yannopoulos Title: Labour market segmentation and unemployment duration Abstract: This paper analyses the factors affecting the duration of an unemployment spell for primary and secondary workers. It evaluates the pattern of hazard rates for exit from unemployment after taking into account the effects of person-specific heterogeneity and shows that workers employed in the lower-tier sector have longer unemployment spells than the remainder. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Songqing Jin Author-X-Name-First: Songqing Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Fresh sweet corn acreage response in the selected states of the USA Abstract: Seemingly Unrelated Regression models were used to examine the factors that influence the corn acreage in selected states in the US. Planted acre was modelled as a function of lagged planted acres, lagged production, and lagged price for states California, Florida, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and the US. States such as New Jersey and New York which have a short growing season compared to California and Florida. Also there is a notion that the small acreage in New Jersey is affected by production from other states such as California, Florida, New York, and Pennsylvania. The results indicate that lagged planted acreage significantly contributes toward current planted acres of sweet corn in all the five states and in the US. Production lag significantly contributes toward planted acres only in New York. Finally, the price lag significantly contributes toward planted acres in New York and Pennsylvania. The sign of the significant variable indicates that the current planted acre is positively influenced by the lagged planted acres, production lag and the price lag. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-557 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:555-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uma Kambhampati Author-X-Name-First: Uma Author-X-Name-Last: Kambhampati Title: Duration of industry leadership Abstract: Firms strive to become industry leaders for a number of reasons including the market power that such a position endows upon them, the prestige relating to it as well as the increase in profits that it often results in. In this paper, we concentrate on the duration of survival of leaders and on the factors that influence it. To facilitate our investigation, we use duration analysis to estimate a survival function, both with and without time varying covariates. Our results indicate that, on average, in India, a firm maintains its leadership position for approximately five years (though this is significantly higher in the 'high concentration ratio industries'). Its survival fits a logistic distribution best, implying that the hazard of failure is nonlinearly related to time. On the one hand, the size of the firm itself, its previous experience in leading the industry and economies of scale in the industry all extend the duration of leadership. On the other hand, the larger the size of the firm's rivals and the larger its profits relative to the industry average, the shorter its duration of survival at the top. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The choice of appropriate monetary aggregates in the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper re-examines the relationship between alternative monetary aggregates (M0 and M4) and other macroeconomic variables in the United Kingdom. The results of a five-variable VAR analysis are indicative of bidirectional causality between each of the monetary aggregates and real output. Our findings of a feedback relationship between M0-real income, and M4-real income makes each of the monetary aggregates a poor intermediate target variable. Moreover, contrary to most research work in this area, we find a feedback relationship between M0 and prices which appears to support the monetary accomodation hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-568 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:563-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Duarte Neves Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Neves Title: Female labour supply over the life-cycle Abstract: This note describes two alternative approaches to identify the parameters that characterize intertemporal female labour supply, allowing for uncertainty, nonparticipation and nonseparability. Econometric results indicate that the choice of functional forms is one of the most important issues in the empirical analysis of labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Purchasing power parity revisited: null of cointegration approach Abstract: This paper undertakes a study of the Purchasing Power Parity doctrine as a long run equilibrium condition among a highly economically integrated set of nations, namely members of the European Monetary System (EMS). Here we examine the bivariate cointegration properties of the intra-EMS spot exchange rate series and their price ratios, using the modern null of cointegration approach. Our results support the parity hypothesis within the union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: Unit roots in the presence of moving average errors: tests of consumer price inflation Abstract: The issue of stationarity is a critical one in time series modelling. Tests designed to detect unit roots are sensitive, however, to model specification. While it has previously been shown that the presence of moving average errors may adversely affect the size of Dickey-Fuller type tests for stationarity in finite samples, this paper demonstrates that the order of the moving average process is also important. Critical values of unit root tests for MA(2) processes are shown to be larger than comparable values for MA(1) processes, which are in turn larger than Dickey-Fuller values. Consumer Price Inflation is estimated as an MA(2) process and is tested for stationarity using the computed critical values for time series with MA(2) errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eddy Waller Author-X-Name-First: Eddy Author-X-Name-Last: Waller Title: A quantitative analysis of the health care resource allocations: the private versus the public route in the United Kingdom Abstract: With public spending subject to increasing security, the private sector has grown in influence in providing welfare. The public and private mix of welfare has been theorized in many academic disciplines but has not received full quantitative application. This letter attempts an estimation of the average costs of in-patient stay in each sector and finds that the public sector offers the greater efficiency using this measure. It goes on to calculate the number of treatments that would be possible if all health resources were allocated to the public sphere. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:583-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blanca Sanchez-Robles Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Robles Title: Macroeconomic stability and economic growth: the case of Spain Abstract: Recent contributions have pointed out to a beneficial effect of macroeconomic stability and market liberalization on economic growth. This paper analyses this issue empirically by means of cointegration techniques, using annual data from the Spanish economy, 1962-95. Some proxies of macroeconomic instability - such as inflation, public deficit and various types of public expenditure as a share of GDP - and market distortions are included in the equations as regressors. The results show a negative correlation of these proxies and economic growth. Therefore, the Spanish experience suggests that macroeconomic stability and market liberalization are prerequisites for economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mainland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mainland Title: Econometrics or neural networks? - a study of marketing margins in the UK meat industry Abstract: In the UK there is a widening gap between the farm-gate and retail prices for red meat and pork products. This study attempts to discover the reasons behind this increase by analysing the determinants that are responsible for the increasing margins. Monthly data from January 1982 to March 1996 are used as beyond this period the data are seriously distorted by the BSE scare. The predictive ability of econometrics and neural network models are compared. Although the results from econometrics were overall better it is argued that a combination of the two methods would be the ideal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-597 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:593-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ira Saltz Author-X-Name-First: Ira Author-X-Name-Last: Saltz Title: State income tax policy and geographic labour force mobility in the United States Abstract: This study empirically investigates the impact of state income tax policy on US interstate migration for the period 1985-89. It finds that people vote with their feet and prefer to move so as to minimize their state income tax liabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-601 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:599-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. F. Omran Author-X-Name-First: M. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Omran Title: An investigation of the maximal moments of exchange rates Abstract: We examine the issue of maximal moments of four exchange rates of US, Japan, Germany and France measured relative to the British Pound. It is found that the second moment of exchange rate returns is finite, and therefore, the infinite variance stable distribution is ruled out as a candidate for modelling exchange rates. In line with US evidence, there is some doubt about the existence of the fourth moment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Arnon Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Arnon Author-Name: J. Weinblatt Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weinblatt Title: Linder's hypothesis revisited: income similarity effects for low income countries Abstract: In this paper we test whether a Linder effect exists in international trade generally, and in trade among, and between, developed and less developed countries in particular. We provide empirical evidence that, contrary to accepted views, the Linder effect can be found for both developed and less developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-611 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:607-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tser-Yieth Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tser-Yieth Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A study of bank efficiency and ownership in Taiwan Abstract: This paper uses a data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach to create a benchmark measure for the relative operating efficiency of the publicly operated banks as well as their private counterparts in Taiwan. From the estimated results, we find that there are significant differences in efficiency between privately-owned banks and publicly-owned banks. It shows that the efficiency gains from privatization may be substantial. By analysing the sources of inefficiency, we can also indicate the remedy for the specific publicly-owned banks, and affirm the validity of the privatization policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-616 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:613-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dwight Steward Author-X-Name-First: Dwight Author-X-Name-Last: Steward Title: A note: Bootstrap standard errors and confidence intervals for weak axiom of cost minimization (WACM) based bank managerial efficiency estimates Abstract: Although the nonparametric nature of Varian (Microeconomic Theory, Norton, New York, 1984) Weak Axiom of Cost Minimization (WACM) methodology offers a number of advantages in the estimation of bank managerial efficiency, this approach possesses a potentially critical problem: measurement error and other stochastic influences are not explicitly accounted for in the calculation of managerial efficiency estimates. The failure to account for these factors could significantly effect the validity of WACM based efficiency estimates. The principal objective of this paper is to provide bootstrap based test statistics for the WACM managerial efficiency estimates that explicitly account for these stochastic factors. The managerial efficiency measurement methodology utilized in this paper also provides new estimates of banking industry managerial efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-621 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:617-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Do network news agencies play their dominant strategies? Empirical evidence from lead news stories Abstract: Do network news agencies (ABC, CBS, and NBC) play their dominant strategies in selecting the lead news story (cover story) for nightly newscasts? The present paper seeks an answer to this question by employing elementary game-theory analysis and simple logit/ordered logit regression models to examine the choice the network agencies make in selecting a nightly lead news story. While economic theory predicts lead stories based on company projections of events likely to be judged as 'important' to consumer-viewers (the dominant strategy), statistical evidence presented here suggests that deciphering the dominant strategies is quite difficult. This ultimate result is likely due to demander preferences that often drive liberal and sensationalism biases in the media. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:623-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clark Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: Stephen Drinkwater Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Drinkwater Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Title: Ethnicity and self-employment earnings in Britain 1973-95 Abstract: Using data from the General Household Survey 1973-95, it is shown that there were substantial differences between the earnings of whites and nonwhites in the self-employment sector of the British labour market over the period. Fitting a model of earnings determination which takes account of sample selectivity allows these differences to be decomposed into characteristics and coefficients effects. It turns out that both are important. Further decomposition reveals a crucial role for differences in the amount of schooling received by whites and nonwhites and in the returns to age, gender, marital status and qualifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-634 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:631-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of select variables on thrift institution profit rates, 1965-1991 Abstract: Using semi-annual data, this study empirically finds that, over the 1965-91 period, the rate of return on thrift (S&L) assets is an increasing function of the S&L mortgage rate, the tangible capital/asset ratio, and energy prices, whereas it is a decreasing function of the cost of deposits and Tax Reform Act of 1986 provisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-638 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:635-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Analysing the effects of price changes on the cost of living of consumers using true indices Abstract: In this paper we analyse the effects of price changes on consumers' cost of living, using true indices for Germany, France, the UK, Spain and Sweden. We define these indices for a PIGLOG cost function and a dynamic specification of the LAIDS allows us to estimate them using aggregated time-series from 1964 to 1993. The calculated index numbers show that: (i) Spain presents the highest values for all groups, whereas the lowest appear in Germany and the UK, (ii) the highest values were in both oil crisis years, 1973 and 1979, whereas the lowest were generally in 1966 and in 1993, and (iii) the mean values reveal that Spain and France display the highest true cost-of-living indices, whereas Germany and the UK show the lowest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Author-Name: Ting-Yean Tan Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Yean Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Is there a common response in Australian bilateral exchange rates following current account announcements? Abstract: A growing literature exists analysing the impact of balance on current account announcements on bilateral exchange rates. This literature typically considers and reports results for a number of bilateral exchange rates. This paper investigates whether there are distinct effects across the range of bilateral exchange rates, or alternately whether a common response carries across all the bilateral exchange rates. Our results favour a common response. JEL classification: F30. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: The impact of federal budget deficits on movements in the stock market: evidence from Australia and France Abstract: This article examines whether or not federal budget deficits impact the stock markets of Australia and France. According to the stock market efficiency hypothesis, current stock market performance fully incorporates all past policy actions and implies that there should be an insignificant effect of past deficit on current stock prices. We present evidence that fiscal policy actions, as measured by the size of past federal budget deficits, exert a significant influence upon movements in stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-651 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:649-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus Mcguinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: Mcguinness Author-Name: Maura Sheehan Author-X-Name-First: Maura Author-X-Name-Last: Sheehan Title: Regional convergence in the UK, 1970-1995 Abstract: This paper tests for the existence of long run inter-regional equilibrium relationships in income per capita within the UK over the period 1971-95. We examine both the cross-sectional and time-series evidence of inter-regional convergence. The time series approach allows us to investigate whether there are long-run regional equilibrium trends, whereas the cross-sectional analysis allows us to investigate whether the dispersion in per capita incomes between regions has narrowed. While it was found that some of the regions converged over time, there were no obvious explanations for why these regions converged and others did not. Moreover, with the exception of Northern Ireland and Scotland, regional policy appears to have had little impact on the relative positions of assisted regions in terms of their share of UK GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:653-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Long-run benefits from international equity diversification: a note on the Canadian evidence Abstract: This note provides evidence that there exist long-run benefits for a Canadian investor from diversifying in the equity markets of the US, Japan, and the six largest European markets namely those of the UK, Germany, France, Switzerland, Italy and the Netherlands. This evidence is based on tests for pairwise cointegration between the Canadian national equity index and the equity index for each of the other markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Human capital versus sorting: new data and a new test Abstract: A new test is proposed for discriminating between human capital and sorting explanations of the wage differential between groups of variously educated workers. International data from the ISSP are used to illustrate the operation of the test and of other, more conventional methods used to discriminate between the competing theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:665-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: A. E. H. Speight Author-X-Name-First: A. E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: The variance of economic activity over the business cycle: some further evidence Abstract: This letter tests for the presence of non-linearities in UK and US industrial and sectoral production growth rates using a joint model of bilinearity inconditional mean and generalized-autoregressive-conditional heteroscedasticity, the latter augmented by lagged production growth rates so as to allow consideration of variance asymmetry with respect to the phase of the business cycle. We find bilinearity inconditional mean to be present in US industrial production and manufacturing, and significant conditional variance asymmetries in the majority of series considered such that conditional variance is higher during recessions and stronger in the more cyclically sensitive durable consumer goods sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Stancanelli Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Stancanelli Title: Unemployment compensation schemes and unemployment duration Abstract: This paper compares unemployment durations of persons on different unemployment compensation schemes from the start of the unemployment spell. It focuses on the probability of leaving unemployment to take up a full-time job. Data on actual benefit receipts are used for the analysis. The sample considered includes unemployed men on unemployment insurance or unemployment assistance from the start of the unemployment spell. Estimation of binary probability models indicates that observed characteristics explain well the probability of being on a given unemployment benefit scheme. The empirical findings signal that the unemployed on different benefit schemes cannot be treated as an homogeneous group, as has normally been done in previous UK studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Are real interest rates cointegrated? A study of three OECD countries Abstract: Real interest rates are influenced by internal economic policies and also by movements of real rates in larger economies. The latter has become more influential as a result of the integration of global financial markets in the 1980s and 1990s. The empirical results of this study show that the US real rate of interest is an important factor in explaining variations of real rates in Britain and the Netherlands but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-683 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:681-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Author-Name: W. Norton Grey Author-X-Name-First: W. Norton Author-X-Name-Last: Grey Title: A general equilibrium (GE) model of the term structure applied to Australian securities Abstract: The Double Square Root (DSR) GE model of the term structure is fitted to Australian security yield data over the period 2 January 1984 to 15 December 1995 - a data set of 3041 yields on four securities: 30 and 90-day BAB: and 5 and 10-year bonds. Applying both the OLS and GMM estimators we find a nonlinear, reduced form relationship between these yields and the risk free rate. So we conclude that GE models explain a diverse range of Australian yield curve shapes and that Australian bond prices are not necessarily inversely related to interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-687 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:685-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Testing allocative efficiency by data envelopment analysis Abstract: An allocative efficiency model based on data envelopment analysis is empirically tested here for evaluating the operational performance of international airlines for the period 1988-90. Results show some robustness of these efficiency measures in terms of stochastic dominance criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laszlo Matyas Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Matyas Author-Name: Laszlo Konya Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Konya Author-Name: Lachlan MaCquarie Author-X-Name-First: Lachlan Author-X-Name-Last: MaCquarie Title: The Kuznets U-curve hypothesis: some panel data evidence Abstract: In this paper Kuznet's U-curve hypothesis is tested on two unbalanced panel data sets of 47 and 62 countries, for the period 1970-93, using two-way fixed and random effects models. Several competing model specifications are estimated and the one best fitting the data is selected by appropriate model selection procedures. It is shown that there is no hard empirical evidence to support the usual econometric model formulations and the U-curve hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bagala Biswal Author-X-Name-First: Bagala Author-X-Name-Last: Biswal Author-Name: Urvashi Dhawan Author-X-Name-First: Urvashi Author-X-Name-Last: Dhawan Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: cointegration and causality analysis for Taiwan Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis is tested for Taiwan using Engle and Granger's (1987) cointegration and error correction model approaches. This study shows that total exports and GDP, as well as exports of manufactured goods and GDP are cointegrated during the post-reform period, 1960-90. This study also finds evidence of bidirectional causality, and thus concludes that, in the case of Taiwan, exports and growth mutually reinforce each other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-701 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:699-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Donn Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Donn Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: An empirical investigation of wage discrimination in professional basketball Abstract: Previous research has shown that wage discrimination may exist in National Basketball Association (NBA) player salaries. These studies have shown that African-Americans earned from nine to twenty per cent less than whites when on-court performance is held constant. The authors could find no substantial research that has been done in this area since 1991. The present study re-examines this issue. Using salary data from the 1996-97 season and performance statistics from the 1995-96 season, a log-linear wage equation was estimated, and a Chow Test was performed. Holding all other factors constant, African-American players do not earn less than white players. The most important factors affecting an NBA player's salary are on-court performance, free agency, experience, and the draft status of the player. These results are important since they indicate that wage discrimination based on race appears to have been eliminated from the NBA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:703-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Coleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: The effect of tenure on earnings for males: a public/private analysis Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tenure on the earnings of males in the UK public and private sectors. The earnings-tenure effect is important in that it provides helpful information for individuals who are about to enter the labour market. Given the distinct labour markets associated with the public and private sectors, a disaggregation of this type also provides information on the different earnings structures in the two sectors. The results show that in general, the relationship between tenure and earnings is more pronounced in the public than in the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A composite leading indicator of Australian inflation Abstract: This paper investigates the possibility of constructing a composite leading indicator of Australian inflation. Five variables are considered and found to have both short-run and long-run causal linkages with consumer prices. A composite leading indicator is constructed on the basis of the coefficients of the cointegrating vector and smoothed by calculating a four-quarter moving average. This indicator is shown to have led the annual inflation rate in six troughs and five peaks between 1972 and 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Gregory Koutmos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Koutmos Title: Interaction of volatility and autocorrelation in foreign stock returns Abstract: In this paper we model six major foreign stock index returns as conditionally heteroscedastic processes with time dependent autocorrelation. The findings point to a significant inverse relationship between volatility and autocorrelation. This is in agreement with previous findings for the US stock market, suggesting that stock return dynamics are similar across markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:715-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Episodic nonstationarity in exchange rates Abstract: We examine a method recently proposed by Hinich and Patterson (mimeo, University of Texas at Austin, 1995) for testing the validity of specifying a GARCH error structure for financial time series data in the context of a set of ten daily Sterling exchange rates. The results demonstrate that there are statistical structures present in the data that cannot be captured by a GARCH model, or any of its variants. This result has important implications for the interpretation of the recent voluminous literature which attempts to model financial asset returns using this family of models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-722 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:719-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Gumbau Albert Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Gumbau Author-X-Name-Last: Albert Title: Regional technical efficiency: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the (in)efficiency of the Spanish regions over the period 1986-91, using a stochastic frontier approach. Different distributional assumptions are used to estimate each region's (in)efficiency as well as the influence of the inputs on the productivity gains: half-normal, truncated-normal and exponential models. The results show that, on average, the inefficiency varies between the 15% and 19%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Arghyrou Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Arghyrou Title: Causal relationships between public expenditure, public receipts and gross domestic product: Greece 1965-95 Abstract: This paper applies the well-known Granger causality approach to investigate the causal relationships between (a) Greek public expenditure and Gross Domestic Product and (b) Greek public expenditure and public receipts. The results suggest that an increase in public expenditure does not lead to an increase in GDP; and that an increase in public expenditure does lead to an increase in public receipts. These results imply that in terms of output growth, the fiscal policy applied in the late 1970s and the 1980s was rather ineffective; and the correction of the existing fiscal imbalances is conditional upon a reduction in public expenditure rather than an increase in public receipts. From that point of view, the effectiveness of the currently applied fiscal strategy is questionable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:727-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: GNP quarterly disaggregation of selected OECD countries using a related time series approach Abstract: In this article we propose a model-based approach to disaggregate data not available in the appropriate time span and apply it to obtain quarterly observations of the annual basis available real gross national product of four countries. These countries are USA, Canada, Germany and Italy. The model adopted is the gamma distributed lag model. The related variables are the industrial production index, the retail sales index and total employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Technical change in the UK retail banking sector: 1984-1995 Abstract: The paper empirically quantifies technical change for the UK retail banking sector between 1984 and 1995. A time trend model is used to measure average technical change. Bank production is represented with 'intermediation' and 'production' models. Translog cost models are estimated using a SUR estimator on pooled time series and cross sectional data. Distinct results for differing model specifications are evident. This change appears to vary in magnitude within the sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. A. MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: G. A. Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Critical values for unit root and cointegration test statistics - the use of response surface equations Abstract: This note considers the value of surface response equations which can be used to calculate critical values for a range of unit root and cointegration tests popular in applied economic research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Bias and inefficiency of an ordinary least squares estimator for logit regressions with continuous dependent variables measured with error Abstract: In a recent paper in this journal, Manning showed that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator of regression coefficients in a logit model with continuous and bounded dependent variable measured with error is unbiased but inefficient. This note shows that, contrary to the author's claim, the OLS estimator is biased in general. Manning's form of heteroscedasticity is also shown to be incorrect. It is shown that Manning's assumptions on the distribution of measurement error are inadequate for determining the form of heteroscedasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-746 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:745-746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Title: Macroeconomic determinants of growth in the South Pacific island economies Abstract: The macroeconomic determinants of growth in island countries of the South Pacific region is examined using cross-country data for the 1980-92 period. Capital, labour, inflation, money and exports are found to be significant positive contributors to economic growth while budget deficit is found to exert a significant negative effect on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-749 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:747-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-Joo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lawrence Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Title: Nested logit analysis of missing response observations Abstract: A new estimation technique is proposed to deal with missing response variables in the context of a nested multinomial logit model. Survey data often have a significant number of incomplete or missing responses. If such data are systematically missing (i.e. not missing at random) and if such observations are deleted from the analysis, biased sample selection results. The new method is applied to the empirical analysis of determining job loss status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-755 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:751-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Effect of property taxes on the cost of living in the USA: case study of Florida counties Abstract: The impact of property taxes on the cost of livings are examined. Using county data for the state of Florida, the instrumental variable (IV) heteroscedasticity-corrected results indicate that the per capita property tax exercises a positive and significant impact on the cost of living. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:757-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Ehlgen Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Ehlgen Title: Computing the moments of the filtered variables in a state-space system Abstract: The business cycle implications of 'real business cycle' models are typically summarized by reporting the moments of the filtered model variables. In this letter a procedure to compute the exact moments of the filtered variables is described. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-760 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:759-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pingo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Pingo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Alok Bohara Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: Kishore Gawande Author-X-Name-First: Kishore Author-X-Name-Last: Gawande Title: A risk-based environmental Kuznets curve for US hazardous waste sites Abstract: The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis is investigated for US hazardous waste sites. Where past studies have typically focused on cross-country analyses of conventional air and water pollutants, here, US county level data and assessed risk is used as the measure of environmental degradation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Exchange market pressure in Korea: dynamic specifications Abstract: The paper re-examines the performance of the monetary model of the exchange market pressure for Korea. Regression results allowing for dynamics show that all the hypothesized effects on the exchange market pressure are confirmed unlike previous research which adopted non-dynamic specification. Tests also suggest that the dynamic specification of the Korean exchange market pressure equation is well specified and the residuals pass the typical diagnostic checking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Title: The saving-investment correlation revisited: the case of Spain, 1964-1994 Abstract: In this note the saving-investment correlation is examined in terms of an error correction model, in order to gain some insight into the degree of capital mobility, using Spanish data for the period 1964-1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-772 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:769-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Torben Drewes Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Drewes Title: Biases in the allocation of Canadian official development assistance Abstract: A strong inverse relationship between per capita assistance and population of aid-receiving countries is found in an examination of Canadian bilateral foreign aid to 33 countries over the period 1982-92. However, the middle-income bias present in aid allocation of some other countries is not found in the case of Canada. Instead, there is a bias associated with the recipient's membership to the Commonwealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-775 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:773-775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. C. A. Curtis Author-X-Name-First: D. C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Author-Name: K. S. R. Murthy Author-X-Name-First: K. S. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Title: Economic growth and restructuring: a test of unbalanced growth models - 1977-1992 Abstract: A model adapted from Baumol (American Economic Review, 57, 1967, 415-426) is used to establish the determinants of growth in per capita commercial service sector output and this service sector's share of employment, based on the experience of Canada, the US, France and Germany. Parameter estimates obtained from the OECD data, for the period 1977-92, are used within the model framework to predict the output and employment dimensions of economic restructuring and growth. A comparison of model predictions with observations suggests the model can explain most of the observed service sector output growth, but it has less success explaining growth in employment shares. These results illustrate the difficulties of confronting the performance of simple models with empirical evidence and the challenge that remains in discovering additional explanations of economic restructuring. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Linden Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Linden Title: Firm's pricing policy and efficiency wages Abstract: The basic efficiency wage model is analysed with real wages and cost pricing firm. The Solow condition implies that the effort wage output price elasticity is zero. Some empirical evidence from the US crude petroleum and natural gas industry and a sample of Finnish manufacturing industries does not reject this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On innovative activity over the business cycle: a note Abstract: In a recent article, Geroski and Walters (Economic Journal, 105, 1995, 916-928) suggest that changes in demand Granger cause changes in innovative activity but not vice versa. This note shows that inappropriate modelling methods can lead to such conclusions which exclude the possibility of two-way causality between production and innovation. It suggests that applied economists must test data validity before any meaningful econometric analyses are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jac Heckelman Author-X-Name-First: Jac Author-X-Name-Last: Heckelman Title: Financing divided and unified partisan governments Abstract: By modifying Berument's divided government-optimum financing model to include partisan interests, it is found that when the Democratic party controls both the Congress and Presidency, real monetary base grows at a higher rate than when the Republican party controls both branches. In addition, it is found that monetary base grows at the slowest rate when neither party controls both branches, supporting a gridlock version of divided government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: John Italia Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Italia Title: Predicting consumer risk perceptions towards pesticide residue: a logistic analysis Abstract: The growing anxiety over residues in fresh produce could result in increased demand for low input agriculture with reduced pesticide residues or decreased demand for conventional fresh produce. The objective of this study was to empirically evaluate consumer concern about pesticide residues and analyse the effect of sociodemographic factors on pesticide residue concern. The results indicate that females, households with more children, and individuals over 35 years old are more likely to have high levels of risk aversion. The result also indicated that households with higher levels of income and education exhibited lower risk aversions towards pesticide residues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Title: Marginal tax rate and the optimal collection of seigniorage Abstract: Since Threhan and Walsh (Journal of Monetary Economics, 25, 1990, 97-112) and Evans and Amey (Journal of Macroeconomics, 18, 1996, 111-125), the mixed evidence on the revenue-smoothing hypothesis is now well understood; and there is now a consistent body of empirical evidence, at least for the industrialized countries, confirming that the principles of optimal seigniorage and taxation are not being used to raise revenue. Previous empirical tests of the revenue-smoothing hypothesis have used a crude tax rate, measured as a ratio of the central government revenue to GNP. The distortionary costs associated with raising revenue, however, depend on the marginal tax rate. This paper tests the robustness of the empirical evidence on the revenue-smoothing hypothesis to using marginal tax rates in place of the crude tax rates employed in the existing literature. Both annual Canadian data for the period 1948 to 1991 and annual United States data for the period 1948 to 1983 reject the revenue-smoothing hypothesis. Revenue-smoothing considerations were therefore not central in determining the behaviour of seigniorage in Canada and the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Esposto Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Esposto Title: Price, quality, and smoke signals Abstract: Using data of the market for cigars in the US, this study investigates whether relative prices provide signals of qualitative differences even under circumstances of dramatic market changes. The results indicate that, though the link may be weakened, it remains intact under such pressure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Westley Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Westley Title: Government regulation and income inequality in the United States, 1970-1990 Abstract: While many studies of income inequality in the United States focus of the significance of declining marginal tax rates in the 1980s, very little research to date has considered the effect of government regulations which have increased dramatically during the time of marked increases in the Gini coefficient. This paper presents a simple Ordinary Least Squares regression suggesting a relationship between government regulation and income inequality. It is suggested that increases in the regulatory burden in the US labour market increases the cost of low skilled labour relative to high skilled labour, contributing to increases in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Pollard Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Pollard Title: Foreign exchange market pressure and transmission of international disturbances: the case of Barbados, Guyana, Jamaica, and Trinidad & Tobago Abstract: The Girton-Roper model of foreign exchange market pressure is applied to Barbados (1968-1993), Guyana (1964-1985), Jamaica (1964-1993), and Trinidad & Tobago (1967-1993) (years actually used in analysis in parentheses). Several versions of this model are estimated, tested and analysed so that either the monetarist or Keynesian model as well as the types of transmission of international disturbances can be identified. Contrary to some previous studies of these countries, strong support is found for a monetarist model of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate movements in each country. In particular, the growth of US money supply effects exchange market pressure in Barbados and Guyana, while changes in US interest rates and the US inflation rate strongly influence exchange market pressure in Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arphaphan Chavaltanpipat Author-X-Name-First: Arphaphan Author-X-Name-Last: Chavaltanpipat Author-Name: Shady Kholdy Author-X-Name-First: Shady Author-X-Name-Last: Kholdy Author-Name: Ahmad Sohrabian Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Sohrabian Title: The wealth effects of bank acquisitions Abstract: The purpose of the study is to investigate whether trends in banking mergers between January 1994 and October 1995 are different from previous periods. Specifically, the study focused on greatly increased acquisition prices and interstate consolidations. Abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal returns for a sample of 30 mergers were determined for each situation. The results of the study showed negative effects for shareholders of acquiring banks around the announcement period. Medium-to-small acquisitions, under $1 billion, caused insignificant negative abnormal returns, but large acquisitions, over $1 billion, caused significant negative abnormal returns. At the same time, shareholders in acquired banks of both sizes earned significant positive abnormal returns. The most dramatic discovery was that the larger acquisition price, the higher the target returns. The analysis of interstate mergers showed similar results. The analysis documented significant positive abnormal returns for target banks and insignificant negative abnormal returns for acquiring banks during the announcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:5-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahram Adrangi Author-X-Name-First: Bahram Author-X-Name-Last: Adrangi Author-Name: Kambiz Raffiee Author-X-Name-First: Kambiz Author-X-Name-Last: Raffiee Title: Functional form bias in goodness-of-fit optimizing models Abstract: Following the weak axiom of revealed preference (WARP), developed by Varian, a money-metric expenditure function is derived for a CES utility function in this paper. Using the US aggregate data on consumption used by Varian, the money-metric expenditure function is estimated to calculate an efficiency index measuring the magnitude of departure from the optimum expenditures. The results are then compared to those reported by Varian for a Cobb-Douglas utility function. The findings point to a sizeable bias in the calculated efficiency index in the near-optimization analysis as determined by the choice of the functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:13-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kul Luintel Author-X-Name-First: Kul Author-X-Name-Last: Luintel Title: Non-causality due to irrelevant lag polynomials Abstract: This letter illustrates that Granger causality tests tend to be sensitive to irrelevant lag polynomials and could lead to wrong inference of non-causality. In view of the little insight one gets from economic theory about short-run dynamics, it suggests exclusion restrictions prior to causality testing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Canton Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Canton Title: Learning during recessions Abstract: A simple two-sector model of endogenous growth is constructed and it is shown that contrary to opportunity cost theory, less human capital is created during economic downturns for plausible values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Kul Luintel Author-X-Name-First: Kul Author-X-Name-Last: Luintel Title: The ERM and fiscal integration in the EU Abstract: The extent to which EU fiscal policies have converged during the ERM period is investigated. Using tests for cointegration and weak exogeneity, it is found that the degree of commitment towards ERM membership influences the degree of fiscal integration in the EU. It is also found that the German fiscal stance does not dominate that of the rest of the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:25-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. I. D. Harris Author-X-Name-First: R. I. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: A. Liu Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Verdoorn's law and increasing returns to scale: country estimates based on the cointegration approach Abstract: The Johansen approach to estimating long-run cointegration vectors is used with the Penn World Tables data to estimate returns to scale. Thus, this approach has the advantages of including a measure of capital, it overcomes the simultaneity problems associated with the single-equation Verdoorn law, and it involves estimating a correctly specified dynamic model in which is embedded the long-run solution(s). The results indicate that there is substantial evidence that increasing returns are the norm for the majority of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: Friday the thirteenth and the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index 1935-94 Abstract: In recent years much evidence has been documented of the existence of regularities in security price returns. However, one of the least investigated anomalies concerns the socalled 'Friday the 13th' effect, where returns on Fridays which fall on the 13th of the month display significantly lower returns than other Fridays. Employing daily logarithmic returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index (FT 30) for the period July 1935 through December 1994, we find no evidence of a Friday the 13th effect. Indeed, if anything, we find returns are higher on Friday the 13th than on other Fridays. We then partition the sample into six subsamples each of ten years, again concluding that there is no evidence of a Friday the 13th effect, and that once again returns on Friday the 13th tend to be higher than on other Fridays. Finally, we conclude that our results support the extremely limited evidence documented for the UK market concerning the Friday the 13th effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:35-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. A. Asseery Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Asseery Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: N. Perdikis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Perdikis Title: Wagner's Law and public expenditure in Iraq: a test using disaggregated data Abstract: Recent developments in time series analysis have encouraged economists to re-examine the validity of Wagner's Law. Recent econometric tests have shown mixed results with some upholding the hypothesis while others contradict it. Carrying out econometric work with aggregated data could account for this. This study using disaggregated data measured in both real and nominal terms also leads to contradictory results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: New evidence on determinants of bank failures in the US Abstract: This study examines determinants of bank failures in the US over the 1963-91 period. The results indicate that the bank failure rate is an increasing function of the degree of federal deposit insurance coverage, increased competition in financial services, and the real cost of deposits, and a decreasing function of the capital/asset ratio, the real interest rate yield on three-year Treasury notes, and real GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: A note on the long-run benefits from international equity diversification for a UK investor diversifying in the US equity market Abstract: This note provides evidence that there were long long-run benefits for a UK investor from diversifying in the equity markets of the US during the pre-October 1987 crash period. For the post-crash period, these benefits are reduced. These results are based on two distinct cointegration tests, and national indices from Morgan Stanley Capital International, which have several advantages over standard indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Woodward Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Woodward Author-Name: J. Ram Pillarisetti Author-X-Name-First: J. Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Pillarisetti Title: Empirical evidence on alternative theories of inflation and unemployment: a re-evaluation for the Scandinavian countries Abstract: The paper re-evaluates some inflation and unemployment models for the Scandinavian countries, utilizing a general to specific methodology. Two nested models are considered to represent a spectrum of unemployment and inflation models in order to examine the monetarist versus new classical unemployment debate, and the Keynesian versus monetarist inflation debate. Using an improved methodology and larger data set different results from those of Akkina and Varamini are obtained. In particular, for unemployment unequivocal support is found for the new classical model, but for inflation, the empirical results support the Keynesian model for Sweden, and reflect mixed results for Denmark, Finland and Norway. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Title: More evidence concerning the relationship between high and variable inflation: a more general approach Abstract: This study, employs an extended EGARCH-M model and finds further support for the hypothesis that both inflation and deflation increase uncertainty about price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:59-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of a bargaining model of wages for the UK economy 1870-1995 Abstract: This paper presents estimates of an error correction model for the real wage rate using annual data over the period 1870-1995. We find strong evidence for the existence of a cointegrating relationship between real wages, unemployment and the ratio of unemployment benefits to wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Saba Arbache Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Saba Author-X-Name-Last: Arbache Title: A comparison of different estimates of interindustry wage differentials: the case of Brazil Abstract: This paper compares the results from two procedures for estimating wage differentials. Using Brazilian data, the standard procedure of Krueger and Summers (Econometrica, 56, 259-193, 1988) is shown to provide an overestimation of standard errors and a biased estimation of the measure of wage dispersion, in comparison to the methodology proposed by Haisken-DeNew and Schmidt (Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming, 1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Gaussian versus count-data hurdle models: cigarette consumption by women in the US Abstract: Cigarette consumption by US women is investigated. The dependent variable is discrete and censored at zero. The Gaussian hurdle model and negative binomial hurdle model are used to accommodate zero observations in the sample. Elasticities derived from the two models are extremely close. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-76 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:73-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Di Iorio Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Di Author-X-Name-Last: Iorio Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: An international market model and exchange rate risk: Australian evidence Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the sensitivity of Australian stock returns to US market returns, via an international market model. Our study investigates the relative sensitivity to (1) the US return denominated in Australian dollars and (2) the US market return decomposed into its two component factors (the US market return expressed in US dollars and the AUDUSD exchange rate return). Our results suggest that Australian industries are differentially sensitive to changes in the US market and to exchange rate movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Vainiomaki Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Vainiomaki Author-Name: Seppo Laaksonen Author-X-Name-First: Seppo Author-X-Name-Last: Laaksonen Title: Technology, job creation and job destruction in Finnish manufacturing Abstract: Job creation, destruction and reallocation rates is examined using data on Finnish manufacturing establishments for the period 1987-93, focusing on differences in these rates across the technology levels, and on the effects of the 1990s recession on the rates. The results indicate that the high technology sector has higher job creation and destruction rates, and it has responded to the recession somewhat differently than other sectors. It is also found that the high and low technology sectors are contributing differently to job reallocation: high technology is more important (compared to its employment share) in job creation, entry, and gross reallocation, while low technology is more important in job destruction, exit, and net job decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:81-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical examination of exchange market efficiency Abstract: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is empirically examined for three major currencies, over the volatile 1980s. The recently available null of cointegration procedure is applied to test for the stationarity of the series under consideration and also for the cointegration status between series, the market efficiency determinant. The strength of this methodology is its ability to distinguish between unit and near unit roots. These results are then compared with our previous study where we applied the PhillipsHansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) procedure, which can separate between strong and weak form efficiency. In both cases, the market efficiency hypothesis is rejected for one out of three currencies, possibly due to the presence of the risk premium and/or market imperfections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Asseery Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Asseery Title: The statistical skeleton of the demand for real money balances during the German hyperinflation episode January 1921-November 1923 Abstract: The aim of this study is to re-examine the common belief that the existence of the demand for real money balances during the German hyperinflation episode 1921:01-1923:11 is conditioned on truncating the data on June/July 1923 or on the omission of the first 18 months. It is demonstrated in this study that a stable relation can be found for the period 1921:03-1923:11 through taking into account the nonlinear functional relationship amongst the variables of the cointegrating regression. Using a variant of Phillips-Loretan ECM it is shown that, while the equilibrium error is forecastable on the basis of lagged change of real wage and the variability of inflation alone, the adjustment of actual to desired real money balances is, indeed, instantaneous as predicted by Cagan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-96 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:93-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donggyu Sul Author-X-Name-First: Donggyu Author-X-Name-Last: Sul Title: Does Ex post uncovered interest differential reflect the degrees of capital mobility? Abstract: This paper examines whether ex post uncovered interest differential between the US and the UK reflects the degrees of capital mobility over the time period 1973-92 by using GMM, GARCH and Kalman filter methods. The empirical results, however, do not support the hypothesis that the magnitude of the absolute deviation from UIP or the conditional variance of the deviation becomes smaller as the degrees of capital mobility increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-102 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:97-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Martin Boyle Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: Deirdre Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Deirdre Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: A comparison of methods for trend estimation Abstract: This paper analyses a number of methods for trend estimation focusing on their ability to pick up turning points quickly at the end of a series. An application to the Bank of England flows M4 series is provided which shows that some of the proposed methods may be more reliable than others for this task. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:103-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Igbekele Ajibefun Author-X-Name-First: Igbekele Author-X-Name-Last: Ajibefun Author-Name: Abdullahi Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: An investigation of technical inefficiency of production of farmers under the National Directorate of Employment in Ondo State, Nigeria Abstract: This study was carried out to investigate technical inefficiency of production among the food crop farmers of the National Directorate of Employment in Ondo state of Nigeria. The study considers translog stochastic frontier production functions in which the technical inefficiency effects are defined by three different sub models. Given the specifications of the stochastic frontier production function, the null hypothesis, that the frontier is adequately represented by the Cobb-Douglas function, is accepted, but the null hypothesis that the farmers are fully technically efficient, which implies that inefficiency effects are absent from the model, is rejected. Further, the null hypothesis of half-normal distribution for the inefficiency effects is rejected. Predicted technical efficiencies vary widely across farms, ranging between 21.7% anal 87.8% and a mean technical efficiency of 67%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-114 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:111-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodor Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Theodor Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Jayen Patel Author-X-Name-First: Jayen Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: A new time-of-the-month anomaly in stock index returns Abstract: This paper documents a new 'time-of-the-month' pattern in the daily returns of the Standard & Poor's and the NASDAQ indices. Splitting a month into three time segments, the results show that the returns are highest during the 'first third', experience a drop during the 'second third', and are lowest, and in most cases negative, during the 'last third' of a month. This pattern remained remarkably consistent for the two indices examined. It also held up well over business cycles and many different subperiods tested. Thus, the results of this study provide convincing evidence of a new monthly anomaly which displays a remarkable degree of robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The January effect and monthly seasonality in the Hang Seng index: 1985-97 Abstract: In this paper we employ a data set of logarithmic nondividend adjusted daily returns from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng Index, over a thirteen and a half year period to investigate the presence of the January effect, or other monthly seasonalities. Further, we partition our data set into two subsamples, which allows us to test for persistence of any monthly seasonality we uncover. However, our results are somewhat surprising, we can find no evidence of a January effect or any other monthly seasonality. Indeed, we note that for two of our data sets, the mean return for December is less than that for January. We conclude that these results are peculiar to the Hang Seng Index, as the overwhelming majority of previous studies of other Stock Indices, generally detect some form of monthly seasonality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:121-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Muller Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Muller Title: The impact of the production composition on the nutrition status of agricultural households in Rwanda Abstract: In a context of perfect markets, the impact of production decisions of peasants on their nutritional status is conveyed through an income effect and the structure of the output does not matter. Because of the imperfect and missing markets in LDCs, the levels of their agricultural outputs may directly affect the nutritional status of agricultural households. We estimate a production function for the nutritional status of agricultural households in Rwanda, that depends on sociodemographic characteristics and on past levels of agricultural outputs. The most beneficial outputs are tubers and an aggregate good composed of food products of high quality, while the traditional beers output and the nonfood products have a negative impact on the nutrition indicators. The sociodemographic characteristics of the household are influential, but they do not seriously modify the effects of the agricultural outputs. The results suggest that the nutrition policy in Rwanda could use incentives so as to modify the composition of the agricultural output of peasants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:125-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilde Christiane Bjørnland Author-X-Name-First: Hilde Christiane Author-X-Name-Last: Bjørnland Title: Structural breaks and stochastic trends in macroeconomic variables in Norway Abstract: This paper analyses the dynamic properties of several macroeconomic variables in Norway, using different unit root tests and measures of persistence. For none of the variables can we reject the hypothesis of a unit root in favour of a deterministic linear trend alternative. However, when allowing for a structural break in the trend alternative, we can reject the hypothesis of a unit root for unemployment, government consumption, investment and real wage. Most of the Norwegian time series display little persistence. However, for those series that show a high degree of persistence, adjusting for the break in the trend, persistence falls considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-138 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:133-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Rosser Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Rosser Title: Determinants of graduates' demand for housing Abstract: During the early 1990s the number of UK graduates increased substantially while the number of young first time home buyers was diminishing and student loans began to replace maintenance grants. In the light of these changes, this paper examines the influences on home ownership based on a sample of 1991-95 Coventry University graduates. Significant explanatory variables are years of work since leaving university, household income, living with a partner, children and a lump sum inheritance or gift. Student loans, age, gender, house prices and relative buy/rent costs do not significantly affect the probability of home ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chongwoo Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Modelling addictive consumption: some theoretical and econometric issues Abstract: This note addresses some theoretical and econometric aspects of modelling addictive consumption. We show that the solution to the optimization problem leads to a specification of the reduced form equation which is different from what has been estimated in the literature. We also demonstrate that it is valid to apply OLS to estimate this reduced form equation and those used in the literature although the underlying variables are integrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:143-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doganlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doganlar Title: Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for Asian countries Abstract: This study presents an empirical analysis of purchasing power parity for five developing Asian countries, namely India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines and Turkey. This is done by using cointegration technique. Time series properties of nominal exchange rate and price series show that they are nonstationary. The exchange rate and relative price series do not appear to be cointegrated for most of the countries. We reject the validity of purchasing power parity for India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines, but we can accept it for Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel Driffield Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Driffield Title: Determinants of entry and exit in the foreign owned sector of UK manufacturing Abstract: This paper examines the extent to which foreign entry and exit in the UK is related to domestic industry characteristics. The units of analysis are firm numbers, and thus entry and exit at the industry level are treated as being generated by Poisson processes. This therefore uses quasimaximum likelihood estimation, to estimate entry and exit functions simultaneously. The results demonstrate that foreign entry is attracted by industry level profitability and performance, but that firm specific 'ownership' advantages are also impor2 tant. The results also demonstrate that inward investors that are motivated by the desire to exploit firm-specific assets, are unlikely to be more transient than domestic firms. This however, cannot be said of those foreign entrants who are attracted to the UK by location advantage or investment incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-156 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:153-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Title: A Nordic convergence club? Abstract: Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis, or the tendency for per capita income levels to narrow over time, have generally utilized cross-sectional data from a wide range of disparate coun7 tries and resulted in conflicting evidence. Using modern time series tests we find evidence of a Nordic Convergence Club comprising Sweden, Denmark and Finland. It excludes Norway which overtakes Sweden in the 1970s showing no tendency to reversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:157-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Author-Name: Richard Sprinkle Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Sprinkle Title: Openness and industrialization in developing countries Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between trade policy orientation and industrialization. Growth rates of manufacturing value added, rather than output growth rates, are related to index of real exchange rate distortion to establish the superiority of outward-oriented strategies in fostering industrial development. Results suggest developing countries will industrialize faster by adopting outward-oriented trade strategies than by using import substitution industrialization policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: Real exchange rates and hysteresis: does nominal exchange rate volatility matter? Abstract: Many of the empirical studies on purchasing power parity (PPP) have relied on unit root tests of the real exchange rate. With stationarity of the real exchange rate as a necessary condition for PPP, failure to reject the unit root null is taken as evidence against the PPP hypothesis. Finding a unit root in real exchange rates is consistent with a class of theoretical models with nominal price rigidities such as menu costs. These models suggest that a hysteresis effect should be found in real exchange rates. The failure to reject the unit root null is often interpreted as evidence of hysteresis. This study asks whether nominal exchange rate volatility is a contributing factor for the observed hysteresis effect. Using data from EU countries we do not find nominal exchange rate volatility as a significant determinant of hysteresis in real exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-167 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:165-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fiona Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Export-led growth and the US economy: some further testing Abstract: The export-led growth hypothesis is tested using quarterly time series data for the US economy using the Granger no-causality procedure, developed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Economics, 66, 1995), in a six-variable vector autoregression (VAR) model. Moreover, we follow Riezman, Whiteman and Summers (Empirical Economics, 21, 1996) to test the export-led growth hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result; and finally, the empirical results are tested for the robustness using different lag structures. The findings in the paper indicate a two-way Granger causality between output and exports, a result from earlier export-growth studies on the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:169-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Efficiency of the black market for foreign exchange and PPP: the case of the Dominican Republic Abstract: Efficiency of the black market for foreign exchange in a developing country can be assessed by testing whether that market complies with the 'relative' version of the purchasing power parity hypothesis. This paper applies nonstationarity and cointegration to investigate this hypothesis for the Dominican Republic. Both the Engle-Granger and Johansen techniques support cointegration, so the black market for foreign exchange in the Dominican Republic is efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Title: Investment strategy evaluation with cointegration Abstract: This paper discusses a simple testing procedure based on cointegration that can be used to assess and compare the historical performance of trading systems and investment strategies. The proposed procedure, coined the 'cointegration cumulative profit' test, is applied in evaluating technical analysis-based trading systems on the daily Dow Jones Industrial Average and FT30 indexes, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Lutz Title: Unit roots versus segmented trends in developing country output series Abstract: This paper examines the null hypothesis that output series contain a unit root against the alternative of a segmented trend in a representative sample of 31 developing countries. Nearly two-thirds of the countries reject the unit root hypothesis at least once in favour of a segmented trend representation. A large majority of endogenously determined structural breaks occur around the time of the first or the second oil price shock, and are of negative sign. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: The rise and fall of the New Zealand underground economy: are the responses symmetric? Abstract: Earlier research by the author indicates a causal relationship from measured real output in New Zealand, to output in the real underground economy. We investigate the possibility of asymmetries in this relationship, and test to see if the response of the underground economy to downturns in real GDP differs from the response to such upturns. No such evidence is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-189 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:185-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Cain Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Estimates of the degree of insider trading in two disparate betting markets Abstract: Conditional on the Shin (Economic Journal, 103, 1993) model, the incidence of insider trading is estimated in two different British betting markets: those for horse-racing and the 1997 general election. Formal testing confirms that insider trading is significantly lower in handicap than non-handicap races. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:191-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Title: Alternative approach to measuring oligopoly power: a wheat market example Abstract: A new approach for estimating oligopoly power coefficients is proposed. The methodology used sidesteps the difficulties of obtaining cost data and obtaining coefficients which do not satisfy the theoretical properties of the cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:195-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Mark Yanochik Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Yanochik Title: Budget deficits and the term structure of interest rates in Italy Abstract: This paper tests the hypothesis that changes in the federal budget deficit impact the term structure of interest rates in Italy. The results suggest that budget deficits increase the yield spread between long term government bonds and the three month Treasury bill. The implication is that budget deficits may hinder long-term economic growth in Italy, via a crowding out effect, by increasing long-term interest rates relative to short-term interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Morelli Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Morelli Title: Tests of structural change using factor analysis in equity returns Abstract: Ever since the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) was developed by Ross, it has been empirically tested in many countries in studying the behaviour of Stock Market returns. The statistical technique of factor analysis is used in the testing of the APT. The objective of this paper is to determine how the hypothesis of structural change in Stock Market returns can be investigated within the context of factor analysis. A total of 257 monthly security returns listed on the London Stock Exchange covering the period January 1976 to December 1993 are used. The data period incorporates the Stock Market Crash of October 1987. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Modelling the risk premium in the black-market zloty-dollar exchange rate Abstract: This paper tests for the presence of nonlinear dependence in the black-market Polish zloty-dollar exchange rate. Using the GARCH-M model, we illustrate use of the Marquardt (Journal of the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 2, 1963) alternative to the Berndt (Annals of Economical Social Measurement, 4, 1974) iterative nonlinear algorithm for the estimation of such models, and discrimination between estimated models on the basis of the Brock and Potter (Handbook of Statistics, 11, 1993) test for so conditional variance misspecification. We find evidence of a time-varying risk premium such that foreign speculators are compensated for increased exchange rate risk by appreciation which increases the dollar value of zloty holdings, and which is able to account for all of the apparent nonlinearity in the zloty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:209-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Road fatalities, modal split and Smeed's Law Abstract: The international variation in road death rates is investigated using cross-sectional data for 19 countries. It is proposed that road fatality rates are influenced by modal substitution between relatively vulnerable trips by foot and bicycle, and motorized journeys which have a smaller exposure to risk of fatal injury. Although available data do not permit a direct test of this hypothesis, regression results suggest that motor vehicle use is inversely associated with death on the roads across OECD countries all else equal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-217 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:215-217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: On convergence accounting Abstract: This paper analyses a simple and direct way to break down the convergence for labour productivity into contributions from different sources by running separate convergence regressions of the contribution to growth of each factor on the initial labour productivity level. This is because the total convergence parameter is simply the sum of parameters of convergence in such separate regressions. An application for OECD countries over the period 1965-90 shows that TFP growth is the main factor in explaining OECD labour productivity convergence. Physical investment was an important source of convergence, but only until 1980. Finally human capital accumulation had little effect throughout the period, with a minor positive effect in the last years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:219-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Heil Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Heil Author-Name: Thomas Selden Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Selden Title: Panel stationarity with structural breaks: carbon emissions and GDP Abstract: This paper uses panel data methods to test for unit roots in data series for carbon dioxide emissions and gross domestic product. By allowing for a structural break in 1973, we reject the unit root hypothesis for both series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenhui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The exchange rate and long-run price movements in the US and Japan Abstract: The close economic relationship between the US and Japan raises an interesting question about the effect of price movements in the US and Japan on the bilateral exchange rate. This paper investigates the long-run purchasing power parity between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. While earlier empirical studies often rejected the PPP hypothesis for the US and Japan, our results show that allowing measurement errors in price indices, the long-run PPP between the two countries is supported based on both the Engle-Granger and the Johansen cointegration tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-230 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:227-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aying Liu Author-X-Name-First: Aying Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On the measurement of spatial differentials in economic growth: an application of a shift-share method for China in 1985-94 Abstract: Spatial differentials in economic growth has become an important economic, social and political issue in China in her rapid industrialization drive over the last two decades. Measuring such differentials and quantifying their relevant components are important for policy making on regional development. This paper shows how a traditional shift-share method can be used for these purposes by use of provincial level panel data on GDP growth in China for the period 1985-94. The results provide some essential information on the diversity and complexity of the Chinese economy under transition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Henriette Maassen Van Den Brink Author-X-Name-First: Henriette Maassen Van Den Author-X-Name-Last: Brink Title: Overpayment and earnings satisfaction: an application of an ordered response Tobit Model Abstract: In this paper an ordered response Tobit model is specified to determine the effects of absolute wages and relative overpayment on satisfaction with earnings. The joint estimations of wages and satisfaction with earnings allows us to disentangle the effects of relative and absolute wages on satisfaction with earnings. The model is estimated on two different data sets. All estimations show that satisfaction with earnings is determined by relative wages rather than by absolute wage levels. The results may have implications for pay policies of firms Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Eisenhauer Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Eisenhauer Author-Name: Martin Halek Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Halek Title: Prudence, risk aversion, and the demand for life insurance Abstract: We estimate the effect of household wealth on the demand for life insurance using survey data from a broad cross-section of the USA. This procedure allows us to test the Pratt-Arrow hypothesis of decreasing absolute risk aversion (DARA). Additionally, we estimate the relative magnitude of prudence, the propensity to take precautions when faced with risk. We find that life insurance purchases increase with wealth, and that on average American households exhibit about 94 per cent as much prudence as risk aversion. On the basis of this evidence, we reject the DARA hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: Testing for long run relationship between infrastructure and private capital productivity: a time series analysis for the Greek industry Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether there is a long run relationship between infrastructure and private capital productivity of Greek industry. Causality issues are also discussed. The results provide evidence in favour of productivity enhanced by public capital stock, and of no feedback from the former to the later. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Some additional Australian evidence on the day-of-the-week effect Abstract: This paper re-investigates the day-of-the-week effect in Australia. This issue has been previously investigated using an Australian dataset over the period 1974-95 by Easton and Faff (Applied Financial Economics, 4, 1994). They find that the robust techniques suggested by Connolly (Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24, 1989) do not alter results of standard OLS techniques. This paper shows that the day of the week effect has disappeared in recent years and that given an adjustment, for large sample size may not have been evident in the data over the period 1983-96. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:247-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: The determination of bank-small business loan premia in the UK Abstract: The results indicate that the closeness of the small firm-bank relationship tends to result in lower bank premia, notwithstanding the predicted firm-size effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:251-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Roed Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Roed Title: A note on the macroeconomic modelling of unemployment hysteresis Abstract: In macroeconomics, unemployment hysteresis typically arises as a special case of an otherwise stationary model. Imposing hysteresis is often equivalent to imposing a random walk, i.e. a situation in which the permanent fraction of a shock is equal to unity. This paper develops a more general linear model of unemployment hysteresis in which permanency is viewed as a continuous, rather than a discrete, phenomenon. Stationarity arises as a special case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Liquidity constraints and financial liberalization: the case for Asian developing countries Abstract: The Euler equation model is used to determine the fraction of consumers who are liquidity constrained in ten Asian developing countries. Our estimates of the fraction of liquidity constrained consumers range between 0.5 and 0.9. We further investigate whether financial liberalization has resulted in the reduction of liquidity constraints in these countries. However the results find support for this only in the case of South Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-262 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:259-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaakko Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Title: Unemployment and home-ownership Abstract: Oswald (mimeo, University of Warwick, 1996) theorizes that a secular rise in homeownership constitutes a possible explanation for the observed rise in unemployment in Europe. Our results provide support for this notion. In particular, the results based on the regional data on Finnish labour districts imply that a 10% difference in the owneroccupation rate is associated with a 1 percentage point difference in the unemployment rate. The results are tentative, since the regressions are based on a small number of observations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-265 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:263-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Neill Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Neill Title: Hypothetical versus real willingness to pay: comment Abstract: The purpose of this comment is to examine the experimental design and empirical results presented by Johannesson, M., Liljas, B. and Peterson, G. (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). Their paper attempts to confirm the Neill, H. R., Cummings, R. G., Ganderton, P., Harrison, G. W. and McGuckin, T. (Land Economics, 70, 1994) results. Their results are noteworthy since they find no statistical difference between real and hypothetical willingness-to-pay responses between groups. Their results also differ from earlier studies where hypothetical willingness to pay exceeds actual willingness to pay. This comment will examine important differences between the two studies. These differences make any substantive comparison of results difficult, if not impossible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed Zakir Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Zakir Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Title: Factors affecting infant mortality rates: evidence from cross-sectional data Abstract: This paper empirically tests for factors affecting infant mortality rates. Based on a crosssectional model (covering 117 countries for the year 1993) that corrects for heteroscedasticity, the results show that fertility rates, female participation in the labour force, per capita GNP, and female literacy rates significantly affect infant mortality rates. Surprisingly, government expenditure on health-care, as a percentage of GNP, does not play a major role in determining infant mortality rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-273 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:271-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Richard Tiffin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Tiffin Title: Is there a long-run relationship between ODA and GDP? The case of India Abstract: The existence of a long-run relationship between ODA and per capita GDP in India is examined, using annual data for 1961-92. A necessary condition for such a relationship is that the two series are integrated of the same order. Unit root tests indicate that ODA is I (0) while GDP is I (1), hence no long-run relationship exists. Thus, at the macroeconomic level, aid neither stimulates economic development nor detracts from it. A corollary is that aid is not responsive to changes in India's income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-277 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:275-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Riese Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Riese Title: An illfare approach to the measurement of unemployment: comment on Paul (1992) Abstract: It is shown, that the unemployment index proposed by Paul (Applied Economics, 24, 1992) implies unwarranted results as to the disparity of unemployment duration. This is due to the usage of the concept of 'interrupted spell length of the stock' as the duration measure. Replacing this concept by the 'complete spell length in a cohort' allows to construct a consistent and superior index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-281 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:279-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Linear versus nonlinear technical progress: theory and some evidence Abstract: In this paper the theory of technical progress functions is briefly examined and its appropriate shape is tested. The main conclusion reached is that linearity is not supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Vandenbroucke Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenbroucke Title: General trigger values of optimal investment Abstract: We consider a general real option model which allows finite values for all parameters influencing the value of waiting in case of uncertain and irreversible investment. We show that the traditional net present value rule and the commonly known Dixit-Pindyck approach are nested in the same general real option model and hence produce optimal investment decisions only in their specific scenario. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: The incidence of loan collateralization in small business lending contracts: evidence from the UK Abstract: The results indicate that age of firm and closeness of the small firm-bank relationship tend to reduce the incidence of loan collateralization, which implies that relationship banking can yield tangible benefits to small businesses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-293 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:291-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Renuka Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Renuka Author-Name: K. P. Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Title: On measuring total factor productivity growth in Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper concerns the recently published article on Singapore's manufacturing industries' total factor productivity growth (TFPG) by Leung (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). While agreeing with his overall results, the issues discussed in this paper are about the limitations in the method of his analysis and explanation. The stochastic production frontier approach is also suggested as an alternative method to study TFPG. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-298 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:295-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norbert Funke Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Funke Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The demand for money in Italy, 1861-1988 Abstract: We report estimates of long-run and short-run money demand functions in Italy over the period 1861-1980 which are robust in terms of passing a range of diagnostic tests and exhibit a fairly high degree of parameter stability. The results are comparable to those of previous analysis of long-run data for the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:299-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Whak Roh Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Whak Author-X-Name-Last: Roh Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Occupant death: a study with directed graphs Abstract: We apply directed graphs to an empirical analysis of traffic occupant fatalities based on a model by Crandall. In this paper, we use Crandall's data on US traffic fatalities for the period 1947-81 and extend the sample to include 1982-93. Based on the 1947-81 annual data, directed graph algorithms reveal that occupant traffic deaths are directly caused by income, vehicle miles, and safety devices. Vehicle mileage is caused by income and rural driving. Estimation is conducted using three stage least squares regression. Results show a difference between the traditional regression methodology and causal graphical analysis. We also find that forecasts from the directed graph model outperform forecasts from the regression-based models, in terms of mean squared forecasts error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: The effects of advertising restrictions on cigarette prices: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of cigarette advertising restrictions on the price of cigarettes in OECD countries. Using data from 1964 through 1990, we find that outright proscription of advertising does not influence the price of cigarettes. On the other hand, restrictions placed on advertising actually reduce the price of cigarettes. The results reinforce those of Stewart (International Journal of Advertising, 12, 1993) and suggest that public policy directed at cigarette advertising may not be a good vehicle to dissuade cigarette consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:307-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. H. Blackaby Author-X-Name-First: D. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Blackaby Author-Name: P. D. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: P. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: N. C. O'Leary Author-X-Name-First: N. C. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Leary Title: Graduate earnings in Great Britain: a matter of degree? Abstract: In this paper we show that whilst there appear to be substantial private earnings gains to be had from a university education, these are greater for women than they are for men. Due to substantial asymmetries in post-graduation earnings performance, choice of subject is more important for men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Breda Lally Author-X-Name-First: Breda Author-X-Name-Last: Lally Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The relationship between inflation and wage growth in the Irish economy Abstract: This paper tests for the long-run and short-run relationship between prices and wages in the Irish economy over the 1975-92 period. Using recent econometric techniques in the analysis of time series, we conclude that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between prices, wages and an excess demand variable in agreement with the expectations augmented Phillips curve theory of inflation. Making use of error-correction equations in order to study the short-run dynamics, we find that the long-run relationship between prices and wages is due to Granger causality running from wage inflation to price inflation. In addition, the predictive ability of excess demand is weak with respect to wage inflation but very strong with respect to price inflation. These results imply (a) relatively strong evidence in favour of a mark-up price equation consistent with the expectations augmented Phillips curve theory of inflation, and (b), very weak evidence for the predictive power of past inflation and the output gap for wages, i.e., a wage-type Phillips curve effect. In other words, the results provide strong support for the claim that inflation in Ireland has cost-push elements and very weak support for the existence of demand-pull elements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-321 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:317-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Robio Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-Last: Robio Title: Forecast intervals in ARCH models: bootstrap versus parametric methods Abstract: This paper proposes an alternative bootstrap method for constructing prediction intervals for an ARMA process, when its innovations are represented by a linear GARCH model. The potential of this bootstrap method is assessed through a study which compares the proposed technique with a standard one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-327 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:323-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naoko Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Stability of the money demand function in Germany Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the stability of the money demand function in Germany. Important results may be summarized as follows. There was a stable relationship between money supply and real economic activity, and the money demand function was stable prior to German re-unification. The stability of money demand tends to be rejected, however, when the sample period is extended to cover German re-unification. When the stability of parameters was checked to confirm the occurrence of a structural change, it is evident that such a change did occur around 1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials: evidence from bivariate cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper seeks to explore the possible long-run causal connection between the excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials (differences between the federal funds rates and discount rates) within the well-known bivariate cointegration framework. It uses monthly data from February 1984 through March 1992. Each time series is nonstationary and reveals I (1) behaviour. There is evidence of a long-run equilibrium relation between the two variables. The estimates of the error-correction models reveal a unidirectional long-run causality flowing from the short-term interest rate differentials to the excess US bank reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rainer Winkelmann Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Winkelmann Title: Wages, firm size and absenteeism Abstract: This paper examines two competing explanations for workers' absenteeism, the shirking hypothesis and the adjustment-to-equilibrium hypothesis. Data on German workers for 1985-88 from the German SocioEconomic Panel are used in order to estimate the determinants of workers' absenteeism. The results indicate that firm size matters after wage effects are controlled for. This evidence supports the shirking hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. E. Boyle Author-X-Name-First: G. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: T. G. McCARTHY Author-X-Name-First: T. G. Author-X-Name-Last: McCARTHY Title: Simple measures of convergence in per capita GDP: a note on some further international evidence Abstract: We apply simple measures of convergence in per capita GDP, namely, the trends in the coefficient of variation (σ-convergence) and rank concordance (γ-convergence), for the period 1960-92 to a wide group of countries which are classified using the World Bank typology. The findings indicate sigma-convergence, albeit at a slow rate, for 'High Income' and 'Upper Middle Income' countries, very slow to negligible convergence for 'Lower Middle Income' countries and divergence for 'Low Income' countries. Our results also suggest several periods for all country categories when σ-convergence is constant. However, since we do not find γ-convergence during these episodes, we conclude that β-convergence is not demonstrated. The rank concordance measure emerges as significant only from about the late 1980s, save in the case of 'Low Income' countries where 'leap frogging' is observed from about 1981. The implications of these results for the neoclassical growth model are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Author-Name: Jesus Clemente Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Title: Real exchange rates and structural breaks: evidence for the Spanish peseta Abstract: This paper analyses the fulfilment of the long-run PPP hypothesis between the Spanish Peseta and the currencies of the most important trade partners of the Spanish Economy. We show that the bilateral real exchange rate of the Spanish Peseta can be characterized as being stationary around a mean which exhibits some changes in its evolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Cornelius Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Cornelius Author-Name: Andreas Gottschling Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Gottschling Title: The monetary impulse measure as an explanation for Fed policy Abstract: In response to the perceived instability of the relations between traditional monetary aggregates and nominal aggregate demand a number of nonstandard indicator variables have been developed to enable monetary policy to respond to, and counteract, incipient inflationary pressures before much inflation has developed. While the Federal Reserve Board is believed to pay increasing attention to such indicator variables, it is unclear which ones are perceived as particularly important. In this note, we present a variation of the monetary impulse measure (MIM), which was recently developed by McCallum and Hargraves (Staff studies for the World Economic Outlook, 1995). Modifying the original specification of the measure, we show that the new MIM's performance in explaining actual Fed decisions is clearly superior to other indicator variables, which are widely believed to guide US monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-358 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:353-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Some evidence on the countercyclicality of the trade balance Abstract: The cyclical behaviour of the trade balance is examined using quarterly data for eight countries covering the period 1960:1-1995:3. Two methods are employed: the calculation of the correlation coefficient between the HP-filtered series and the estimation of a structural time series model. Both methods produce results which are supportive of the hypothesis of countercyclicality of the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-360 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:359-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Su Yin Thong Author-X-Name-First: Su Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Thong Title: Technology, investment and trade: empirical evidence for five Asia-Pacific countries Abstract: Traditional models of international trade flows find that prices explain significant growth in export market shares. In the new international trade theory nonprice factors are seen to be of great importance for the explanation of trade. Following Magnier and Toujas-Bernate (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv., 130, 1994), this study introduces nonprice factors, namely gross fixed investment and technology (number of patents accepted), into the export market share equation. Empirical estimation is carried out on five Asia-Pacific countries for the period 1978 to 1993. Results are similar to those of Magnier and Toujas-Bernate (1994) for the OECD, which show that nonprice factors have played an important role in determining export market share during the last decade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-363 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:361-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Author-Name: D. K. Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: D. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Title: Dearth of private capital flows in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This paper offers an empirical investigation of dearth of private capital flows to Sub-Saharan Africa in a context where there is a surge in private capital flows to the rest of the developing countries. Using panel data on thirty Sub-Saharan African countries over the time period from 1986 to 1993, we find that the domestic fundamentals play a crucial role in explaining this phenomenon. Our findings also imply that these countries may begin to receive private inflows if they implement structural policy reforms which will strengthen domestic fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: Productivity effects of enterprise-related training Abstract: In this paper we use data on individual productivity ratings to analyse the productivity and wage effects of enterprise-related training. The average productivity growth of training is 16%, while the average productivity difference between trained and nontrained workers is 8%. The average wage growth is less than a quarter of the average productivity growth. Further, a sizeable fraction of the workers contributes to the costs of training but receives none of its benefits, while another fraction of the trained workers shares in the benefits of training without having contributed to it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:369-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Leon-Ledesma Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Leon-Ledesma Title: Verdoorn's Law and increasing returns: an empirical analysis of the Spanish regions Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test for the presence of increasing returns in the Spanish regions through the estimation of the Verdoorn Law. Alternative specifications of the Law will be tested using panel data techniques. The results strongly support the hypotheses of increasing returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Gradual switching regression estimates of alcohol demand elasticities Abstract: Given that alcohol remains a heavily taxed good, studies of the demand for alcohol are numerous in the literature. This paper uses annual data from 1964-92 to estimate key elasticities of the US demand for distilled spirits. Unlike previous studies, which typically assume elasticities are constant over time, we allow elasticities to vary over time by estimating a gradual switching regression model. The results indicate that the demand for distilled spirits today differs substantially from the 1960s, suggesting that the efficacy of proposed policies is dependent on knowledge of this change in demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Looks unimportant? A demand function for male attractiveness by female personal advertisers Abstract: Data from 119 placements of 'personal' advertisments in a national English newspaper were analysed, using logit estimation, to estimate a demand equation for male looks. The results indicate that the women's declaration of wealth offered and divorced status had positive effects on the demand for male looks. The age of the woman had a negative effect on the demand for male looks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-384 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:381-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Prior Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: A profitable trading rule using mean reverting investment trusts discounts Abstract: This paper makes use of the finding that discounts of individual investment trust shares are mean reverting to their sector mean. This suggests limits to the degree to which individual shares in a sector can vary in price behaviour before competitive pressures bring individual shares back into line. Hence a buy low-sell high strategy can be constructed and its performance compared to an market index based on an equal weight portfolio of all shares in a sector. Such a stratagy outperforms the market index for the two main, conventional investment trust sectors for the sample period 1976-1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-388 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:385-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Author-Name: Jose Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Lorenzo Seranno Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Seranno Title: Economic integration, efficiency and economic growth: the European Union experience Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the effect of the process of progressive economic integration among the countries of Europe on their economic evolution, paying special attention to gains in efficiency and productivity. We use a nonparametric frontier technique together with the construction of Malmquist indices to permit analysis of the contribution of efficiency to gains in productivity. For this purpose we study the evolution of the countries of the European Union and the impact on efficiency and productivity of the successive expansions during the period 1965-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-392 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:389-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Author-Name: Kajal Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Title: Discrete Poisson kernel density estimation-with an application to wildcat coal strikes Abstract: This paper proposes a nonparametric Poisson kernel density estimation technique for discrete distributions. Economists have been using continuous kernels to approximate discrete distributions. This work introduces a discrete kernel as more appropriate for approximating discrete distributions. Simulation results are presented to compare with standard parametric approaches. We apply our discrete Poisson kernel estimator to approximate the distribution of coal mine wildcat strikes in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:393-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Toshifumi Tokunaga Author-X-Name-First: Toshifumi Author-X-Name-Last: Tokunaga Title: Habit formation and durability and consumption: some evidence from income quintile groups in Japan Abstract: The present study analysed Japan's stock market by modelling habit formation and durable effects in consumption, based on data from income quintile groups. The sample period for the empirical research was January 1971 through December 1993. Results of this analysis revealed that durable effects were more influential than habit formation effects for all income quintile groups. This fact leads to wider fluctuations in consumption in Japan, and results in good performance with this type of modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-402 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:397-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Approximating the term structure of interest rates in Japan Abstract: This paper uses B-spline functions to approximate the term structure of interest rates implied in Japanese government bonds. The results indicate that the estimated short rate curve exhibits a slight dip in the long end of the curve. This may be attributed to an excess demand for long-term bonds in general and specifically on the run bonds in the Japanese market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-407 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:403-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Estimation of the probit model with autocorrelated errors via the MCECM algorithm Abstract: Estimation of the probit model with autocorrelated errors often involves the calculation of a multiple integral which is usually intractable. A stochastic version of the EM algorithm is proposed to solve the problem. The approach implements the E-step by retrieving the latent values via a Monte Carlo method (MCE-step) and replaces the M-step by a sequence of conditional maximizations (CM-step). The practicality of this MCECM algorithm is illustrated by estimating the reaction function of the monetary policy in Taiwan by a probit model with first-order serial correlation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-412 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:409-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Cointegration, causality and Wagner's Law in 19th century Europe Abstract: The long-run tendency for government expenditure to grow relative to GNP, Wagner's law, is tested for six European countries using data from around the mid-19th century to 1913. With few exceptions the results suggest that: nominal and real GNP, nominal and real government expenditure, and population were nonstationary in their levels but stationary in first differences; either nominal GNP and nominal government expenditure and/or real GNP and real government expenditure were cointegrated in five of the six countries, and that these variables were cointegrated with population in the remaining country; and Granger-causality was mainly unidirectional from income to government expenditure. Thus, there is considerable support for Wagner's law in 19th century Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joanne Copp Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Copp Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Variance ratio testing of the Australian forward foreign exchange market Abstract: This paper explores variance ratio testing of the Australian forward foreign exchange market. Our results support autocorrelation in our first sample period (July 1985 to January 1990) but an absence of autocorrelation in our second sample period (February 1990 to September 1995). This is consistent with greater efficiency in the forward foreign exchange market post 1990. This is consistent with the 'peso' problem associated with Australia's foreign debt disappearing with the acceptance of the arguments of Pitchford (Economic Papers, 8, 1989) and Corden (Economic Papers, 10, 1991) that the foreign debt does not matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-419 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:417-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Stephen Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Ethnic differences in British employer-funded on and off-the-job training Abstract: This paper highlights the lower incidence of employer-funded on and off-the-job training received by full-time ethnic minority employees in Britain. Estimates of the determinants of on and off-the-job training, obtained using trinomial logistic models, are remarkably consistent across white and ethnic minority male and female workers. At least 67% of the male ethnic training disadvantage, and over 94% of that experienced by females, cannot be explained by differences in average group characteristics. These findings raise serious questions about the effectiveness of existing equal opportunities provisions in the area of work-related training and may have adverse implications for the future occupational attainment and wages of ethnic minority employees in Britain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:421-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugenia Kazamaki Ottersten Author-X-Name-First: Eugenia Kazamaki Author-X-Name-Last: Ottersten Author-Name: Thomas Lindh Mellander Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Lindh Author-X-Name-Last: Mellander Title: Evaluating firm training, effects on performance and labour demand Abstract: A quality-adjusted measure of labour is developed, where labour efficiency depends on firm training. This specification is integrated into a flexible neoclassical cost function, representing the firm's production technology. Unlike traditional production functions, the cost function does not constrain all inputs to be substitutes and it allows capital to be fixed in the short run. These features are found to be important in the evaluation of the indirect effects of training. Short-run indirect effects arise through the relative price mechanism; an increase in labour efficiency decreases the quality-adjusted price of labour. Long-run indirect effects stem from the equilibrium adjustment of the quasi-fixed capital stock. The methodology is illustrated by means of a small firm panel data set. The results show that previous analyses have been overly restrictive in assuming all inputs to be substitutes. E.g., labour and capital are found to be long-run complements, implying that training increases long run labour demand, although the short-run effect is negative. The training outcomes are imprecisely estimated, but indicate that cost savings and productivity gains can be substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-437 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:431-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: A dynamic and stochastic analysis of decision making in arranged marriages Abstract: In a recent paper, Batabyal (Theory and Decision, 1997) has analysed the decision making process in arranged marriages. In particular, Batabyal shows that a marrying agent's optimal policy depends only on the nature of the current marriage proposal, independent of whether there is recall of previous marriage proposals. In this paper, this line of enquiry is continued by focusing on the decision problem faced by a marrying agent who wishes to maximize the probability of getting married to the best possible person. Inter alia, it is shown that this agent's optimal policy calls for waiting a while, and saying yes to the first candidate thereafter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Nonparticipation and corner solution: extramarital affairs reconsidered Abstract: A nonparticipation-censored model is estimated to re-examine the determinants of extramarital affairs considered by Fair (Journal of Political Economy, 86, 1978) and Wang (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). Derived from a mixed utility maximization framework, the proposed model features a probit mechanism to accommodate nonparticipation and a Tobit mechanism for additional censoring among potential adulterers. The model allows interaction between the two latent equations, includes the Tobit and Tobit with natural nonresponse (Wang, Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997) as special cases, and offers a more interesting behavioural explanation. Results from the same sample suggest the proposed model outperforms the two restricted specifications and produces different effects of explanatory variables from those reported in the earlier studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-445 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:443-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Murchison Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Murchison Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: A suggestion for a simple cross-country empirical proxy for trend unemployment Abstract: We propose a proxy for trend unemployment derived from the cointegration property between unemployment rates and world oil prices. Evidence from a sample of OECD countries is presented in support of the hypothesis. We argue that our empirical proxy is superior from an economic perspective to at least one popular empirical alternative and may be especially useful in cross-country type studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-451 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:447-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Lekakis Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Lekakis Author-Name: Christos Pantzios Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pantzios Title: Agricultural liberalization and the environment in Southern Europe: the role of the supply side Abstract: The argument advanced by free market optimists that liberalized agricultural policies will lead to conservation, through reductions in outputs and environmentally damaging inputs, leaves many more things to be decided. Critics have pointed out that lower prices may induce farmers either to abandon land with loss of biodiversity and rural landscape ecology as a result, to increase production and pollution in order to sustain current revenues, or to switch to more environmentally damaging crops. This article follows a different route. It proposes that overall reductions in the total volume of agricultural output or the total amount of agro-chemicals used does not guarantee environmental enhancement. Environmental problems are usually location specific and crop specific. The cultivation of industrial crops is responsible for serious ecosystem offences in areas around the World. Thus, to actually have some measure of which way a lower price regime would be going in terms of conservation, we need to study the effects of either technology shifts or production shifts. Looking at cotton, maize and sugar beet supply response in two Southern EU countries, under given production technologies, it concludes that price reductions will lead to minimal if any reductions in the supply of these crops. Thus, conservation efforts will need to assume explicit forms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:453-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: A. Alasdair Lonie Author-X-Name-First: A. Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Lonie Author-Name: David Power Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Does the issue method influence the market reaction to seasoned equity offer announcements? Abstract: The evidence in this note indicates that the average stock market reaction to news of ordinary equity issues by quoted companies may depend on the share issue method employed. Using a sample of announcements made in the UK between 1989 and 1991 we find that the market response is significantly negative when the disclosure relates to a rights issue, but that there are no significant share price changes when announcements about equity placings and open offers take place. This result appears to be inconsistent with the theoretical analysis contained in Myers and Majluf (Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 1984). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Blackaby Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Blackaby Author-Name: Stephen Drinkwater Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Drinkwater Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Philip Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Ethnic differences in labour market transitions: an exploration using the British household panel survey Abstract: The paper uses the first five waves of the British Household Panel Survey to explore the dynamics of the labour market experience of Britain's ethnic minorities relative to the white majority. The issue to be explored is labour market transitions. Ethnic minorities are shown to exhibit greater volatility. Only panel data can reveal this important labour market effect. Overall, the British Household Panel Survey should be seen as a useful addition to increasing our knowledge of Britain's ethnic minorities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Nonsymmetric error correction revisited Abstract: Granger and Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, 1989) contains seminal research on nonsymmetric error correction, where the familiar error correction term is partitioned into positive and negative elements. Cook et al. (Applied Economics, 1998) have recently argued that for this no symmetric representation to be valid, the coefficients on these partitioned terms must be both significant and significantly different from each other. As Cook et al. note, these conditions have rarely been satisfied in subsequent applications of the Granger-Lee method. As these issues were not considered by Granger and Lee they are formally tested here using their data. The results derived show this problem to be apparent, but unconsidered, in the seminal study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Ben Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Sarah Keast Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Keast Author-Name: Nick Wiseman Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Wiseman Title: Differences in household income per head over the UK trade cycle; a comment Abstract: In a recent short paper Dewhurst (1998) demonstrated that, from 1984-93, there was convergence in GB regional and household incomes per head during slumps and divergence during booms. This paper suggests that these findings are the result of two main influences. The first is the fact that the cycle is damped in more peripheral and lower mean household income per head areas and the second that there is a time in the cycle lag between an upturn or downturn in Greater London / the rest of the South East and the same effect in more distant locations. Various suggestions are put forward for these results. There is also discussion of the usefulness of these results for forecasting purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352754 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352754&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:471-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keun-Yeob Oh Author-X-Name-First: Keun-Yeob Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Bong-Han Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bong-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hong-Kee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Byung-Chul Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Savings-investment cointegration in panel data Abstract: Existing cointegration tests for the savings-investment model are limited because of low testing power. In this paper the savings-investment correlation is re-examined using a panel cointegration test by which the power seems to be improved greatly. A cointegration relationship is obtained between the two variables with panel data, and the savings retention coefficient is far from zero. This seems to be consistent with results based on traditional regression methods. Thus, it is concluded that cointegration techniques do not provide the solution to the savings-investment puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-X-Name-First: Jan Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Berk Title: Did markets expect Italy to join EMU? Evidence from options markets Abstract: This note quantifies the movements in the distribution of future short-term market interest rates in reaction to the selection of countries that were to participate in stage three of Economic and Monetary Union as of 1 January 1999. We conclude that, before the various national central banks and the European Monetary Institute published their convergence reports, financial markets were already convinced that Italy would participate. They furthermore interpreted these reports, when published, as an indication that Italy would indeed participate. The official decision in May 1998 therefore came as no surprise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Weixian Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Weixian Title: An empirical study of the foreign trade balance in China Abstract: The objective of this letter is to investigate the dynamic relationship between China's trade balance (T) and macroeconomic variables: domestic and foreign output (Y and Y*), real exchange rate (E), domestic and foreign money supply (M and M*). The ADF unit root results show that the variables are all integrated of order I(1). The trade balance in China is not cointegrated with a number of variables, including the exchange rate. Absorption, elasticity, and monetary models are compared, and the elastic model performs better. There has been J-curve in China, and the devaluations have had significant effect on the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-490 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:485-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdaus Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Ferdaus Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Economic reform and inequality: evidence from Lithuania Abstract: Economic reforms in former socialist societies caused massive reallocation of resources, rapid increases in prices and severe erosion in real income and wages with potentially important distributional consequences. Using the Lithuanian Household Budget Survey, this study estimates an expenditure-based inequality index to evaluate the effects of price liberalization policy on inequality. Empirical results suggest that during the early years of reforms, inequality within society showed very little sign of increase. However, since 1994 inequality has increased rapidly: further, inequality has increased at a faster rate among households without children than those with children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-495 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:491-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact critical values of unit root tests when there is a constant term and a time trend Abstract: Using a method proposed by Imhof in 1961 the exact distribution of the test statistics for the unit root when the AR(1) process has a constant term and a time trend is evaluated numerically. Detailed tables of the exact critical values are presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. D. Rossiter Author-X-Name-First: R. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Rossiter Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Sufficient cointegration and Wald tests of the monetary transmission mechanism Abstract: This letter re-examines the role of commercial loans versus demand deposits in the monetary transmission mechanism using short-run and long-run sequential causality testing procedures designed by Toda and Phillips. Empirical results support the credit view that bank loans are as good a predictor of income as demand deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:501-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Farrell-type efficiency under demand and price fluctuations Abstract: Nonparametric measurement of productive efficiency is generalized with respect to the impact of market demand and price fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-507 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:505-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xing-Qiu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xing-Qiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Stock prices, inflation and output: evidence from China Abstract: This study documents some unique statistical properties in the relationships among inflation, output and stock prices in the Chinese economy. The relationship between stock returns and unexpected output growth is significantly positive, but that between stock returns and expected output growth is significantly negative. The relationship between stock prices and inflation is significantly negative, and the inverse relationship disappears after controlling for the effects of output growth. This result is consistent with Fama's conjecture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:509-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Campolieti Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Campolieti Title: Workers' compensation benefits and claim duration: some Canadian evidence Abstract: This paper explores the effect of workers' compensation benefits on the duration of workers' compensation claims from Ontario, Canada. The models estimated in this paper also investigate the robustness of the results to a nonparametric specification of the unobserved heterogeneity distribution. The results indicate that, with Canadian data, changes in the expected duration of workers' compensation claims, in response to a change in workers' compensation benefits, is at the lower range of the existing evidence for the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Univariate analysis of asymmetry in the DHSY model Abstract: Cook and co-workers recently uncovered evidence of asymmetric adjustment in the data used by Davidson et al. An economic interpretation was provided in terms of more rapid adjustment of consumers' expenditure during recessionary periods. In the present letter this hypothesis, derived indirectly at a structural level by Cook et al., is tested directly via univariate analysis. The results presented support the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pak-Wai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pak-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Junsen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junsen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Assortative mating versus the cross-productivity effect Abstract: This paper shows how the allowance for unobserved ability and assortative mating will change the interpretation of the coefficient on own education in a log wage equation. Using data from Taiwan it is found that the coefficient on own education is almost zero but that on spouse's education is around 10%. The cross-productivity hypothesis cannot plausibly explain this puzzling result, but the model presented in this paper can. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Fuj Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Fuj Author-Name: Makoto Ohta Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Ohta Title: Stochastic cost frontier and cost inefficiency of Japanese hospitals: a panel data analysis Abstract: This letter considers the following two questions: How much are the estimates of the parameters of stochastic cost frontier and cost inefficiency of Japanese hospitals affected (1) by the utilization of the panel structure of data in estimation; and (2) by considering a hospital-specific intercept in the cost frontier? Three models are estimated: a stochastic cost frontier model with a hospital-specific intercept treated as a random variable for panel data; a stochastic cost frontier model without a hospital-specific intercept for panel data; and the conventional stochastic frontier model that treats the data as if they were cross-sectional. The main findings are: (1) the introduction of panel structure into the frontier estimation changes the cost inefficiency estimate significantly compared with the estimate based on cross-sectionally treated data; (2) the intercept of the cost frontier is significantly different among hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-532 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:527-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Title: Swiss residential demand for electricity Abstract: A residential demand for electricity is estimated using aggregate data at a city level for 40 Swiss cities over the period 1987 to 1990. For this purpose, a log linear stochastic equation for electricity consumption was estimated. The empirical analysis has highlighted some of the characteristics of the Swiss residential electricity market. The price elasticity was estimated to be -0.30, which shows a moderate responsiveness of electricity consumption to changes in prices. This result indicates a price-inelastic demand for electricity with a lower price elasticity than those reported in previous studies. From an energy policy point of view this result implies that there is little room for discouraging residential electricity consumption using price increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-538 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:533-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manabu Asai Author-X-Name-First: Manabu Author-X-Name-Last: Asai Title: Time series evidence on a new Keynesian theory of the output-inflation trade-off Abstract: This letter reconsiders the empirical tests of the new Keynesian and new classical models performed by Ball, Mankiw, and Romer (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1988) and Akerlof, Rose and Yellen (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1988). The original tests confirm basically to cross-section analysis. We propose time-series testing procedure of these issues. Our tests find supports for the new Keynesian hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-541 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:539-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Regional variation in the cyclical asymmetry of UK unemployment Abstract: In this letter regional variation in the asymmetric behaviour of the cyclical element of UK unemployment is examined. Strong evidence of asymmetry in the level of the cyclical element of unemployment is found for both the UK as a whole and all of the regions considered. Strong evidence of asymmetry in the rate of growth of this cyclical element is also found for the aggregate series. However a similar consensus for this form of asymmetry is not found in the individual regions, with some disagreeing over its extent while others fail to detect its presence at all. The results for the aggregate series therefore mask some interesting variation at a regional level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-546 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:543-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reinaldo Arellano-Valle Author-X-Name-First: Reinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Arellano-Valle Author-Name: Silvia Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Author-Name: Francisco Cribari-Neto Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Cribari-Neto Title: Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections for testing linear restrictions Abstract: This letter shows how to extend a number of published results on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections to likelihood ratio and score test for the test of linear restrictions in regression models. A few applications and simulation results are also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-549 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352574 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352574&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:547-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Kazumi Asako Author-X-Name-First: Kazumi Author-X-Name-Last: Asako Title: Government consumption and fiscal policy: some evidence from Japan Abstract: Japanese data from 1971 and 1995 are used to estimate the marginal rate of substitution between private consumption and government consumption, and to empirically analyse the validity of the Ricardian equivalence theorem. The marginal rate of substitution between government expenditure and private consumption is found to be higher in Japan than in studies using US data. In other words, these two types of consumption are closer substitutes in Japan than in the US. The data negate the Ricardian equivalence theorem. However, it should be noted that the perceived wealth effect is small and has a value between 0.0087 and 0.019. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Farhang Niroomand Author-X-Name-First: Farhang Author-X-Name-Last: Niroomand Title: Openness and economic growth: an empirical investigation Abstract: Unlike previous research that investigated the relation between exports and output, in this paper we assess the long-run relation between the degree of openness and economic growth. For the many countries considered here, we find a positive long-run relation between openness and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Levin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Why does the bid-ask spread vary over the day? Abstract: This paper shows that the findings of Chan, Christie and Schultz (Journal of Business, 68, 1995) of no intraday variation in the average bid-ask spread is not general to all competitive markets, and in particular does not apply to the London Stock Exchange during the mandatory quote period. This is important because it revives the possibility of explanations of intraday variation in the bid-ask spread which involve individual market-makers widening their individual spreads for example in response to informed trading, inelastic demand or the need to discover prices at the start of the day. However there is no evidence of individual market makers widening their bid-ask quote spreads during the warm up and cool down periods at the start and the end of the trading day outwith the mandatory quote period. The only single explanation which might explain the whole day variation observed in the inside and the average bid-ask spreads both inside and outside of the mandatory quote is inventory control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Piscitelli Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Piscitelli Author-Name: Michael Grinfeld Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Grinfeld Author-Name: Harbir Lamba Author-X-Name-First: Harbir Author-X-Name-Last: Lamba Author-Name: Rod Cross Author-X-Name-First: Rod Author-X-Name-Last: Cross Title: On entry and exit in response to aggregate shocks Abstract: This note extends the Dixit-Pindyck analysis of investment, in the form of market entry and exit under sunk costs, to the case of heterogeneous sunk costs. The implication is that the market displays full hysteresis, in the form of remanence and dependence on the nondominated extremum values of the aggregate shocks experienced. These implications are illustrated by numerical simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Are the adjustment of actual to desired international reserves in nominal or real terms? Abstract: In this note we employ two procedures to determine whether the adjustment of international reserves is in real or nominal terms. Using panel data from 17 DCs and 16 LDCs, we show that adjustment of actual reserves to their desired level is indeed in nominal terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Klug Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Klug Author-Name: Carmel Nadav Author-X-Name-First: Carmel Author-X-Name-Last: Nadav Title: On the predictive power of the term structure during the 1930s Abstract: This paper investigates the predictive power of the interest rates during the period 1929-1940 in the United States. Our empirical evidence finds no support for the one-to-one relationship between the term structure of short-term interest rates and inflation for forecasting horizons of six months less or greater than one year. The hypothesis is not rejected for a 3 to 12 month horizon or for the 12 to 24 month horizon with a structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:577-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alpana Trivedi Author-X-Name-First: Alpana Author-X-Name-Last: Trivedi Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Autocorrelations, returns and Australian stock indices Abstract: This paper explores whether predictable autocorrelation structures exist in returns data on Australian stock indices. We explore the data using the power transformations of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) and Hentschel (1995). We find that for a large number of different market indices there exists an autocorrelation structure in power transformations of returns that could be exploited in forecasting. To illustrate the forecasting potential we conduct a limited forecasting comparison using the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index. Our results show some gain in forecasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: Exchange market pressure during the current managed float Abstract: Due to intervention in the foreign exchange market, any pressure on the external account of a country could be absorbed either by a change in reserves or by a change in the exchange rate. In this paper we employ Girton and Roper's EMPM model to investigate the experience of G7 countries. The results show that most of the pressure in G7 countries is absorbed by a change in reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-588 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:585-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Willenbockel Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Willenbockel Title: On apparent problems with the use of the Armington aggregator in computable general equilibrium models Abstract: This letter points out that the problems Senhadji (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 23-5, 1997) attributes to the use of the Armington aggregator in CGE models do not arise, provided that applied modellers employ the calibration procedure for CES function parameters frequently described in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:589-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Lambert Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Title: Scale and the Malmquist productivity index Abstract: The Malmquist index has gained acceptability in empirical analyses of productivity in recent years. Some question has been raised concerning the index's ability to accurately portray productivity change in the presence of nonconstant returns to scale. This letter demonstrates that the index does accurately measure productivity change under an appropriate characterization of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guano Hua Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guano Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: An empirical assessment on alternative functional forms of the Lorenz curve Abstract: Different parametric Lorenz curves are estimated and evaluated using household survey data from rural China. None of them, however, is found to yield an adequate description of income distributions. Thus, new and better functional forms are called for, despite the fact that many already exist in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-599 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:597-599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Paul Sommers Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sommers Title: A simple cross-section model of economic growth stands the test of time Abstract: The simple three-equation Sommers-Suits model of economic growth published in 1971 was one of the first that used a cross-section approach to study the effects of endogenous population growth rates on economic development. Re-estimation (following the same functional form as in the Sommers-Suits model) suggests that the model has stood the test of time reasonably well. There is evidence of convergence over time (as before), but the re-estimated model indicates the presence of a 'poverty trap'- a threshold GNP per capita below which countries fail to grow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-603 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:601-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Forecasting unemployment Abstract: Results are reported of a forecasting competition between linear autoregressive, GARCH, threshold autoregressive and neural network models of the UK monthly unemployment rate series. Evidence is uncovered suggesting the existence of nonlinearities in the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-607 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:605-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Title: Macroeconomic time series and the monetary aggregates approach to estimating the underground economy Abstract: This paper examines the monetary aggregates approach to estimating the size of the underground economy. It is shown that estimates of the size of the underground economy using Canadian data may not be robust, as the time series properties of these aggregates are often inconsistent with simple ordinary least squares regression. Correcting for the problem, usually by first differencing the data, may yield overstated or inappropriate estimates of the size of the underground economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khosrow Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: Khosrow Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: Testing the law of one price under the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems Abstract: This paper examines if the law of one price holds under different exchange rate regimes and if a simultaneous relationship exists among prices of different countries. The findings show that prices in industrial countries are related, as suggested by the monetary approach. Confirming the law of one price, our results show relative price movements play a negligible role in removing a disequilibrium in the balance of payments. These findings provide supportive evidence for the purchasing power parity (PPP) doctrine under the floating exchange rate system but not under the fixed exchange rate system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-616 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:613-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Rational addiction and the demand for cinema Abstract: This paper estimates Becker's rational addiction model using a demand for cinema equation. The results do not seem to be strongly supportive of the rational addiction model. As in Becker, Murphy, Grossman we find a significant coefficient on the lead consumption term and a quite plausible discount rate in OLS estimation with significant price effects. However the IV estimates preferred by Becker et al. fails to give support for any elements of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-620 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:617-620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Domestic versus foreign capital and returns to scale in China's provincial industries Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with estimating an appropriate production function for the Chinese industry using provincial data. The estimated equations suggest that the appropriate production function is a Cobb-Douglas which reveals statistically significant economies of scale. The results reported also reveal that the marginal product of foreign capital is significantly higher than that of domestic capital used in the production process in all but one province. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Edward Wei-Te Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Edward Wei-Te Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Welfare implications of Pigovian taxation of a durable goods monopolist Abstract: This paper examines the effectiveness of Pigovian taxation in checking the behaviour of a durable goods monopolist who generates some externality in the production process. The durable good lasts two periods. It is found that while the effect of an increase in the tax is to lower the first period output, the second period output decreases only under certain conditions. The overall welfare effect of a Pigovian tax can either be positive or negative depending on the relative magnitudes of the price-cost margins, the extent of the negative externality, the extent of longevity (durability) of the first period output and the underproduction relative to social optima. Public policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-627 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:625-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Efficiency measurements with R&D inputs and learning by doing Abstract: Two characteristics of R&D inputs, learning by doing and knowledge diffusion, are explored here for generalizing the nonparametric methods of efficiency measurement known as data envelopment analysis Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Brown Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Inside information and public news: R 2 and beyond Abstract: This paper finds that the majority of stock price movements remain unexplained after controlling for both public and private information. This suggests that economists' inability to explain asset price movements is the result of either noise or naive asset pricing models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Long-run neutrality of money in the Mexican economy Abstract: The long-run neutrality of money on real output is tested for Mexico using a model developed by Fisher and Seater. The empirical evidence supports the neutrality hypothesis. The results are robust for both M1 and M2 and an alternative model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-639 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:637-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: The causal nexus of government spending and revenue in Finland: a bootstrap approach Abstract: Applying VAR(5), a bootstrap simulation approach and a multivariate Rao's F-test indicate that government revenue Granger-causes spending in Finland. This does not agree with Barr's tax smoothing hypothesis. This explanation of this is due to the institutional factors that are specific for Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Author-Name: Tan Khay Boon Author-X-Name-First: Tan Khay Author-X-Name-Last: Boon Title: Small sample estimation of a cointegrating vector: an empirical evaluation of six estimation techniques Abstract: A large number of techniques are now available for estimating a cointegrating regression. Although many of these techniques provide asymptotically equivalent estimators, their small-sample properties are known only with respect to a limited number of Monte Carlo studies. In light of the growing controversy over the nature of non-stationarity of economic time series, a comprehensive evaluation of these techniques within an applied framework can shed more light on the relative merits of these techniques. An estimation of long-run demand elasticities by six such techniques based on annual data from Canada, China and Singapore show rather disconcerting results. In small samples OLS may still be the best choice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352420 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352420&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marjon Vanr De Pol Author-X-Name-First: Marjon Vanr Author-X-Name-Last: De Pol Author-Name: John Cairns Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cairns Title: Individual time preferences for own health: an application of a dichotomous choice question with follow-up Abstract: This paper explores the use of the dichotomous choice question with follow-up to examine intertemporal preferences for non-fatal changes in own health. Maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression is used to analyse the data collected from the general public. The results show that the average estimated implied discount rate is equal to 0.073 for the full sample and 0.106 for respondents who have positive implied discount rates in the open-ended questions which were also contained in the questionnaire. The implied discount rates vary from 0.024 to 0.166 depending onthe age of the respondent andthe periodof delay offered(5 or 13 years). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-654 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352439 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352439&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:649-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunnyeong Heo Author-X-Name-First: Eunnyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Heo Author-Name: Seong-Yun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Estimating learning effects on nuclear power plants: A count data model with a varying time interval as a duration variable Abstract: This paper analyses learning effects in nuclear power plant operation, which are reflected on the reliability growth and operating cycle decision. To consider two aspects of learning, a count data model with a varying time interval as a duration variable is suggested. A possibly complicated model canbe estimatedrelatively easily by a Gibbs sampling technique. The estimates are then used to investigate the effects of three types of operating experiences on the plant operation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertainty in the Central Bank's weight on output: some new results Abstract: The purpose in this letter is to demonstrate the implications of uncertainty in the weight the Central Bank attaches to output for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and inflation targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-662 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:659-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenny Diggle Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Diggle Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: John Shannon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Shannon Title: International diversification of the funds management industry Abstract: One of the main benefits that has flowed from increasing capital markets liberalization has been the opportunities that this has provided to facilitate international diversification. This paper aims to determine the benefits of the asset allocation process undertaken by fund managers in 15 countries. The benefits analysed are whether the fund managers have added value to their portfolios by generating higher risk adjusted returns. In addition, the minimum risk portfolios are determined for the international markets represented by the 15 countries and a minimum risk benchmark is constructed. The analysis was conducted using data from 1983 to 1993 and the data were provided by the Union Bank of Switzerland Asset Management Group (UBSAM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Bakhshi Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Bakhshi Title: Is the demand for retirement consumption linear? Abstract: When estimating the welfare gains from moving from 2% inflation to price stability, Feldstein assumes that the compensated demand curve for retirement consumption is linear. Lucas has argued, in the shoe leather costs literature, that money demand functions are best specified as log-linear rather than linear. And the implications for the welfare costs of inflation are consequently very large. This note argues that linearity of the demand curve for retirement consumption is a good approximation for plausible parameter values and for the changes in inflation that Feldstein is considering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-671 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:669-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yutaka Kurihara Author-X-Name-First: Yutaka Author-X-Name-Last: Kurihara Title: Speculative attacks or fundamentals? Empirical evidence from some European currencies Abstract: The European Monetary System experienced pressure on exchange rates, which led toa devaluation or a subsequent widening of bands of EMS currencies. In this paper the source(s) of pressure on the exchange rate are identified. Currency crises were caused by fundamentals in 1992; however, they were caused by speculation in 1993. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-675 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:673-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwei-Lin Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Hwei-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Estimating the determinants of the unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan Abstract: This paper incorporates unmeasured heterogeneity into the econometric specification to estimate the determinants of the unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan. Empirical results indicate that personal characteristics and job search variables are significant determinants while family background variables show little effect. The insignificance of the financial constraint variable suggests that the scheduled unemployment compensation programme may not have any impact on the search unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352493 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352493&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Thurston Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: On the decline of employment-based health insurance in the US Abstract: Many recent papers have documented that there has been a steady decline in the fraction of workers in the US who receive health insurance through their employer. This paper presents an economic model of the labour market that is consistent with observed trends. The primary finding is that the trend is explained by a change in optimal compensation structures for workers due to the increase in the relative price of health care. The paper concludes with an application to the analysis of the increased prevalence of capitated contracts among employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Clemente Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Author-Name: Montserrat Ponz Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Ponz Title: Are the consumption/output and investment/output ratios stationary? An international analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the integration order of the consumption/output and investment/output ratios for a group of the most important OECD countries. Results show that these ratios can exhibit some structural breaks. Thus, the use of those statistics which do not take into account the presence of breaks leads to the acceptance of the unit root null hypothesis. A clear increase in the number of rejections of the unit root null hypothesis is found when these structural breaks are included in the model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Amsler Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Amsler Title: Size and power: lower tail KPSS tests and anti-persistent alternatives Abstract: Evidence is presented on the size and power of the lower tail Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin stationarity test for testing the null hypothesis of short memory against the alternative hypothesis of anti-persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Sam Hak Kan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Sam Hak Kan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Technical change and total factor productivity growth: a study of Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: The paper focuses onthe difference between the dual rate of technical change and the total factor productivity growth (TFPG). It estimates directly the dual rate of technical change from an integrated model that describes the cost structure and equilibrium condition of Singapore's manufacturing industries. It then calculates TFPG using the conventional productivity accounting approach. By showing the difference between the two measures, it is demonstrated that the non-parametric calculated TFPG cannot be interpreted wholly as a cost saving technical change since the preconditions required in the calculation of TFPG are not met. It is found that the majority of Singapore's manufacturing industries exhibit, on the one hand, substantial increasing returns to scale and, on the other hand, no significant technical change. However, the largest and fastest growing industries such as Electronic Products and Components show both significant cost-saving technical progress and decreasing returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-701 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:697-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuyoshi Yamori Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamori Title: Contagion effects of bank liquidation in Japan Abstract: The letter discusses the contagion effect of the first bank liquidation in Japan. Performing the traditional t-test and Corrado's non-parametric rank test, it is found that the effects of the liquidation were concentrated only on banks that resembled the failing bank. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:703-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: Bootstrapping the Malmquist productivity index - a simulation study Abstract: This paper presents a Monte Carlo simulation study of the bootstrap algorithm proposed by Lothgren and Tambour for calculation of bootstrap confidence intervals for the firm-specific Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Malmquist productivity index. The simulation results indicate that the coverage accuracy of bootstrap confidence intervals are near the nominal confidence level for small to moderate sized samples. For larger sample sizes, a clear convergence of empirical to nominal level is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Fitzroy Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzroy Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: Discrimination, segregation and firm effects: some UK microevidence Abstract: In samples of employees from two firms, women are segregated in low-pay occupations and therefore receive lower returns on their (similar) educational qualifications than men. In the primary-sector, capital-intensive, unionized firm, all wages are much higher. In the secondary-sector firm, rewarding qualifications and experience at the rates found in the primary firm would increase earnings (including fringe benefits) by about 80%, much more than the usual firm-size or industry differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Title: Exchange rate volatility in the EMS before and after the fall Abstract: The paper presents the results of applying an indicator of local (daily) volatility, based on the literature on forecasting in nonlinear systems to six EMS currencies, using data for the period January 1974-April 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Perraton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Perraton Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of industrial country export and import demand functions: implications for 'Thirlwall's Law' Abstract: The paper presents estimates of export and import demand functions for fifteen industrial countries. To allow for common shocks use is made of the Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimator (SURE). These estimates are then used to construct predictions of the growth rate consistent with balance of payments equilibrium along the lines of the Thirlwall hypothesis. Regressions of actual growth rates on the predicted values indicate that the hypothesis performs better when the observations are weighted by relative GDP. It is concluded that 'Thirlwall's Law' is more useful for understanding the overall growth rate of the aggregate of industrial countries than cross-country growth performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-727 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:723-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guiseppe Cavaliere Author-X-Name-First: Guiseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Cavaliere Author-Name: Michele Costa Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: Firm size and the Italian Stock Exchange Abstract: The presence of a relation between firm size and asset returns is investigated by referring to the Italian Stock Exchange. In order to explain asset return variability, the excess return on a market portfolio as well as the difference between the return on a portfolio of small stocks and the return on a portfolio of large stocks are considered. The resultant two-factor model seems to improve the explanation of the returns of the portfolios formed on size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-734 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:729-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Barry Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Patterns of seasonality in employment in tourism in the UK Abstract: Tourism employment has grown rapidly (a fact which has been of interest to policymakers concerned with job generation) but it has a marked seasonal character. Several attempts have been made by the industry to lessen seasonality in tourism demand (and hence in tourism employment) by fillng troughs. This paper uses recent advances in econometric work to investigate whether seasonality has lessened as a result of these policies, and if so, the nature of the changes in seasonality. A quarterly UK data series from 1982:1 to 1996:4 is examined. The distinction between stochastic and deterministic trend is made, and it is found that seasonality has in fact lessened and is best modelled as a break in deterministic seasonality. There has been approximately a 30% fall in the summer (second quarter) effect and approximately a 24% fall in the winter (fourth quarter) effect: thus the seasonal smoothing comes from lower hiring at the start of the peak season and lower firing at the end of the season. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-739 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:735-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Tuckman Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Tuckman Author-Name: Cyril Chang Author-X-Name-First: Cyril Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Albert Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: A transform-both-sides modulus power model: an application in health care Abstract: The Box-Cox transformation is suitable for stabilizing variance of the response variable and for inducing functional form flexibility in single-equation regression models. However, it becomes incapacitated if the data contain zero or negative values. This paper, using profitability data for US psychiatric hospitals, illustrates the capability of modulus power transformations to symmetrize the response variable distribution. Compared with the untransformed data model, the ML estimates of the modulus power model are found to be superior. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Cater Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Cater Author-Name: J. Barry Smith Author-X-Name-First: J. Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Inferring disability from post-injury employment duration Abstract: The paper examines the extent to which occupational-injury-induced permanent impairment translates into work-related disability. While most permanently impaired workers return to their time-of-accident employer, job and wage, these workers then experience high initial rates of turnover. This turnover can be seen as a manifestation of the dynamics of information, as the time-of-accident employer re-employs the impaired worker, then 'tests' his/her post-injury productivity in order to resolve initial uncertainty regarding the impairment's impact. These turnover patterns can, accordingly, be utilized as a source of disability inference. A statistical model based on the notion of sequential testing is derived and confronted with data reflecting the post-injury labour market experiences of permanently impaired workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352330 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352330&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Cherry Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Cherry Title: Unobserved heterogeneity bias when estimating the economic model of crime Abstract: Using unique and unpublished panel data from selected US cities, the paper investigates the consequences of ignoring unobserved heterogeneity in the unit of observation when estimating the economic model of crime. Results confirm that neglecting to control for unobserved heterogeneity overstates the ability of sanctions to deter criminal activity. Further, this upward bias is found to vary significantly across crime types. Interestingly, heterogeneity is insignificant in the tightly reported crimes of murder and auto-theft while being significant in assault, robbery, burglary and larceny where individuals and police have greater discretion in reporting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick McEwan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McEwan Title: Private costs and the rate of return to primary education Abstract: The paper suggests that typical estimates of returns to primary education are over-estimated, because import costs to individuals are excluded. In calculations with Honduran data, private returns are found to drop significantly when private costs are included. It is suggested that lower private rates of return are consistent with low educational attainment in many developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-760 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352358 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352358&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:759-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berta Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Berta Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Author-Name: Luis Currais Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Currais Title: Economic growth and health: direct impact or reverse causation? Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to identify the role of health status in productivity. In order to check the existence of reverse causation suggested by previous studies the Hausman test was carried out and different sets of instruments were used as exogenous determinants of health expenditure. Variables related to health expenditure were used to estimate the elasticity and these produced accepted results. Evidence was obtained to support the positive effect of health on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-764 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:761-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Matteo Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Title: Are business cycles all alike? Evidence from long-run international data Abstract: Most recent empirical analyses of aggregate economic fluctuations rely on the implicit assumption that business cycles are all alike. This paper investigates this assumption for the long-run international data set of Backus and Kehoe and presents the results of statistical tests of the 'representative cycle' hypothesis. Findings show that there is substantial heterogeneity across individual cycles and phases in terms of duration, amplitude, and co-movements between variables, and that such heterogeneity is generally statistically significant. These results underline, at an empirical level, the limitations of measuring business cycles in terms of sample second moments, and, at a theoretical level, the difficulties of developing theories providing a unified explanation of the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:765-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Earnings news and the behaviour of large and small traders in the Finnish stock market Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of earnings news on the trading behaviour of different types of traders in Finland. The results indicate that small and large traders behave differently around the earnings announcements, small traders increasing their sell orders after negative earnings surprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Empirical evidence for export promotion strategies Abstract: The paper examines the validity of export promotion strategies using a structural vector autoregressive model. Empirical results based on Korean monthly data indicate that: (i) export specific shocks have permanent effects on output; and (ii) the effects are not small. These results provide some support for export promotion strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Rhoads Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhoads Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: On Coasean bargaining with transaction costs Abstract: The letter explores how transaction costs affect the efficiency and rationality of Coasian bargaining. Efficiency remained relatively robust with low transaction costs, but was significantly reduced with high transaction costs. A cheap talk protocol increased efficiency. Rationality was dominated by constrained self-interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Laband Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laband Author-Name: Bernard Lentz Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Lentz Title: The impact of having a mentor on earnings and promotion: evidence from a panel study of lawyers Abstract: Based on our analysis of longitudinal data from the American Bar Association's National Survey of Career Satisfaction/Dissatisfaction, we report on the economic consequences of having a mentor. Specifically, we find that individuals who reported having a mentor in 1984 were more likely (in 1990) to have achieved partner status. However, we find no evidence of any statistically significant link between protegeship in 1984 and earnings in 1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-787 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:785-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Title: Place returns between the tote and bookmakers: empirical evidence of a market anomaly Abstract: This letter examines the relationship between returns to win and place betting between the tote and bookmakers when explicit allowance is made for the degree of insider trading employing the Shin measure. The results are not readily reconcilable with market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-792 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:789-792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Monetary policy design and the buffer-stock hypothesis: further evidence from European Union countries Abstract: The buffer-stock hypothesis is examined through a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model across European Union (EU) countries. Variance decompositions do not provide uniform evidence in favour of the buffer-stock hypothesis in all case studies. The results are very important for the design of monetary policy within EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Author-Name: Janet Millington Author-X-Name-First: Janet Author-X-Name-Last: Millington Author-Name: Roberts Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Roberts Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Elasticity of demand for Rugby League attendance and the impact of BskyB Abstract: This note adds to the literature on price elasticity of demand for attendance at sports league fixtures using a cross-section study of English Rugby League for 1994/95. A price elasticity of demand of -0.57 we found. Impacts on attendance of live televising of matches by BSkyB are identified and uncertainty of outcome effects is shown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Title: Market movers and tote and bookmakers returns: further empirical evidence on a market anomaly Abstract: This letter provides empiricial evidence on the impact of market movements in odds between opening and closing prices on relative tote and bookmaker returns when explicit allowence is made for insider trading. The results support an asymetric impact and are not readily reconcilable with market effciency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-804 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:801-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Isaacs Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Isaacs Author-Name: David Laband Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laband Title: Within-group homogeneity and exit in religious clubs Abstract: We investigate empirically the influence of homogeneity of populations in fixed geographic jurisdictions on the structure of religious clubs in these same jurisdictions. Using county-level data, we find that variation in the number of religous clubs is influenced strongly by measured heterogeneity in each county's population. Our findings support Tiebout's voting-with-the-feet model of competition in the supply of public goods, in a club context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Regional poverty lines, poverty profiles, and targeting Abstract: The most labour-intensive task in building a poverty profile consists in the estimation of the poverty lines. Does it matter whether poverty lines are estimated for the urban and rural sectors as a whole or by geographical area within each sector? Using a decomposition of the Gini index of inequality in poverty measures, it is shown that it does, but not too much in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Title: A note on generality of the Cagan model for money demand Abstract: The generality of the Cagan model for money demand is questioned. Some high inflationary economies are hit by external shocks that may have a non-transitory effect on macroeconomic variables including consumer prices, high-powered money, or narrow money which are usually used in these studies. When a structural break exists, standard unit-root tests such as the augmented Dickey-Fuller test or Phillips-Perron test are biased in favour of accepting the hypothesis of non-stationarity. An alternative Perron's testing procedure, which includes dummy variables that recognize the possibility of exogenous changes in level or trend, was applied on high inflation plagued Yugoslavia and Mexico. Consumer price and money variables are in both cases stationary around a deterministic breaking trend function. Therefore, no cointegration between the variables exists and the Cagan model cannot explain the nature of inflationary processes in these countries. Alternative specifications are necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-815 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:813-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Koutmos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Koutmos Title: Asymmetric index stock returns: evidence from the G-7 Abstract: There is able empirical evidence that the conditional volatility of stock returns is asymmetric in the sense that negative innovations increase volatility more than positive innovations of an equal magnitude. Less attention, however, has been paid to possible asymmetries in the conditional mean. This paper uses time-varying asymmetric distributions to model index stock returns of the Group of Seven (G-7) industrialized nations. In agreement with the extant literature, all index stock returns exhibit asymmetric volatility. More importantly however, the conditional mean is also an asymmetric function of past innovations, in most cases. Interestingly, the asymmetry in the conditional mean case is the reverse of that observed in the conditional variance, that is, positive innovations have a greater impact than negative innovations of an equal sign. Equivalently, positive innovations (up markets) are more persistent than negative innovations (down markets). Overall, the evidence suggests that taking into account both size as well as the sign of past innovations can improve forecasts of the conditional first and second moments of stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-820 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:817-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raghbendra Jha Author-X-Name-First: Raghbendra Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: Puneet Chitkara Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Chitkara Author-Name: Santanu Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Santanu Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Productivity, technical and allocative efficiency and farm size in wheat farming in India: a DEA approach Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to estimate allocative and technical inefficiency in the cultivation of wheat on 300 farms in the Indian Punjab for the periods 1981-82 and 1982-83. These measures of efficiency as well as farm yield are related to farm size. The paper appears to be the first to measure technical and allocative efficiency in agriculture jointly. It is discovered that, on the whole, large farms are technically and allocatively more efficient than small farms for both years. At the disaggregated level a broadly similar result obtains. Policy implications, particularly for land reforms, are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Title: Common trends and cycles in G-7 countries exchange rates and stock prices Abstract: In this paper we investigate the nature of the relationship between stock prices and spot exchange rates using recent developments in time series modelling. We are able to explain why traditional econometric techniques show little correlation between bilateral exchange rates and stock prices. The reason is that stock prices and exchange rates do not exhibit common trends, but do exhibit common cycles. Common cycle tests are used in this paper to show this result for the G-7 countries exchange rates and relative stock market prices indices using monthly data over the period from 1982 to 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David King Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Yue Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Decentralization and macroeconomic performance Abstract: The paper examines the relationship between some key measures of macroeconomic performance and fiscal decentralization in OECD countries, and the impact on this relationship of increased policy co-ordination among countries since 1985. It is shown that prior to 1985 there was a significant relationship between decentralization and macroeconomic performance on all of these measures, with decentralized performing better. By 1996, however, the relationships had all ceased to be significant. This suggests that, as a result of harmonization, the tendency for decentralized economies to have more effective economic policies has weakened. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: To what degree do central banks sterilize the effects of capital flows on domestic money supply? Abstract: Under the current system of managed float exchange rates, large countries are able to absorb changes in their balance-of-payments by either manipulating international reserves to sterilize capital flows or by accepting changes in their exchange rates. In this system, the monetary authorities of the G7 countries have found it beneficial to sterilize capital flows thereby stabilizing their exchange rates and gaining greater control of their domestic money supply. Previous empirical work on the effects of sterilization were conducted using shortrun models on fixed exchange rates. Using the monetary approach to the balance-of-payments which emphasizes the money market from which balance-of-payments imbalances are derived, this article combines the current managed float system of exchange rates with cointegration techniques in considering the long-run relationship that has developed between the monetary base and money demand of the G7 countries from sterilized capital flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ursicino Carrascal Author-X-Name-First: Ursicino Author-X-Name-Last: Carrascal Title: AIDS extended by means of family composition Abstract: The aim of this paper is to put forward an alternative to the model previously presented in this journal, an alternative that implies no additional restrictions, satisfying the requisites of Economic Theory. Furthermore, this model is seen to behave well in practice, especially when working with very large samples, and its integrability has been proven. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Hofer Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Hofer Author-Name: Gerhard Runstler Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Runstler Author-Name: Thomas Url Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Url Title: The dynamic effects of aggregate supply and demand disturbances: further evidence Abstract: For the decomposition of GDP into its trend and cyclical components, Blanchard and Quah (1989) proposed to extract the cycle by imposing a long-run restriction on the moving average polynomial of a bivariate autoregressive process for GDP and a cyclical indicator. We investigate the robustness of this decomposition with respect to the specification of the process and the choice of the cyclical indicator. We find that low order VARMA processes are sufficient for capturing the joint dynamics of the bivariate process. The decomposition seems rather stable, however, there are differences in the impulse response functions associated with permanent shocks. Moreover, the inflation rate, though used in several studies, seems not suitable for the usage as a cyclical indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Measuring effectiveness of fiscal policy in OECD countries Abstract: The paper discusses the measurement of fiscal policy effects in the OECD/EU countries. The analysis is based on a simple VAR model for output growth, inflation and a fiscal indicator. Empirical analyses with data from 21 OECD countries for 1960-1996 show that fiscal policy effects differ considerably between EU countries. The core EMU countries do not seem to include France and Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:29-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Anstine Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Anstine Title: Consumers' willingness to pay for recycled content in plastic kitchen garbage bags: a hedonic price approach Abstract: Consumers' willingness to pay for recycled content in their purchase of 13 gallon kitchen garbage bags is examined. Products made from recycled material are perceived to be less detrimental to the environment by some consumers than products made from virgin material only. It is possible that some consumers might be willing to pay more for goods made with recycled material in an attempt to improve environmental quality. Overall, environmental quality would improve slightly, but the improvements would not necessarily be perceived by the individual purchasing the product. Perhaps due to this public good aspect of others receiving the benefits of the individual's decision, it is found that consumers are not willing to pay more for kitchen garbage bags made from recycled plastic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352068 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352068&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: The demand for currency in the presence of indexed money: the case of Brazil Abstract: The presence of indexed money modifies the demand for currency equation. An optimal demand for currency is derived from a transaction cost model, which includes indexed money. This money demand considers inflation an argument along with output and nominal interest rate. The estimation for the Brazilian case shows that inflation and nominal interest rates are found negatively and output positively related to the demand for narrow money. The parameter stability tests show that the disequilibrium error should not reflect the impact of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-43 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352077 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352077&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:41-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolter Hassink Author-X-Name-First: Wolter Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Title: Job destruction through quits or layoffs? Abstract: It is demonstrated that for existing firms quits are important in the destruction of jobs. Although layoffs are relatively more used than quits, it is found that in absolute terms a substantial part of the destruction is accomplished through quits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352086 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352086&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Macroeconomic forecasts: an empirical test of rationality and parameter stability Abstract: The consistency property of a select group of macroeconomic variables, representing both the real and the financial sector of the economy, is re-examined. Consistency is a precondition to rationality in the expectation formation process. The theoretical foundations are similar to those used to study exchange rate expectations. A very reliable and continuous data set, the ASA-NBER survey, is used, which has forecasts over multiple horizons. The Hansen test, which has the dual advantage of being a test of parameter stability over time and also examines the cointegration properties of the actual and forecast series using the modern null of cointegration approach, was applied. This is able to distinguish between unit root and near unit root processes, which is of vital interest in cases of near stationarity. Results show that experts' predictions are inconsistent over all time horizons in the data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: On the consistency of the DEA-based average efficiency bootstrap Abstract: It is shown that the bootstrap method should be applied with care for the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) estimator of average technical efficiency if the production frontier is stochastic. A stochastic production frontier leads to an inconsistency of the DEA estimator, which in turn leads to inconsistent and potentially highly misleading bootstrap confidence intervals. A Monte Carlo simulation study reveals that the empirical coverage accuracy of the bootstrap confidence intervals approaches zero as the sample size increases, even for small contributions of frontier variance to total frontier and efficiency variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Fox Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Title: Information-rich expressions for model selection criteria Abstract: While many model selection criteria have been suggested over the last thirty years, applied researchers still rely on R2 and R -2 to a surprising degree. It is suggested that this is mainly due to the extra informational content of these criteria compared to other alternatives. Expressions for other (superior) criteria are derived which allow the same dimensions of information to be conveyed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Title: Identifying the mechanism: is there a bank lending channel of monetary transmission in the Netherlands? Abstract: The paper investigates the role of bank lending in the monetary transmission process in the Netherlands. The Johansen approach is used to identify supply and demand relationships in the credit market, and it is concluded from the short-run dynamics that this market is demand-determined. In this way, an important identification problem of studies based on aggregate data is explicitly addressed. Results are consistent with earlier fundings that banks hold a buffer stock of securities which they use to offset monetary shocks. The main implication of the study is that a bank lending channel is not an important monetary transmission mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Kauffman Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Kauffman Title: Economic factors in the choice of an early form of capital: draught animals in early twentieth century South Africa Abstract: The most important capital choice decision in a pre-mechanized agricultural economy was that of which type of draught animal to use. This paper provides an economic explanation for the varied use of draught animals in early twentieth century South Africa. It is argued that the abuse-resistant mule was used primarily on large white-owned farms by the hired workers to mitigate the inherent principalagent problem. This suggests that at least the allocation of draught animals in South African agriculture was efficient similar to what has been found for the US and Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:69-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Donn Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Donn Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Race and compensation in professional football Abstract: Although there have been numerous studies on the effect of race on the compensation of National Basketball Association and Major League Baseball players, there have been only three prior studies that investigated the effect of race on the compensation of National Football League (NFL) players. Two found no evidence of racial discrimination in NFL player compensation, while one found that, at most, whites earn on average 4% more than African-Americans. Using salary data for 938 NFL players from the 1996 season and player and market characteristic data from the 1995 season, a log-linear wage equation was estimated, and a Chow Test was performed. The results indicate that white players earned 10% less than African-American players. Other important factors affecting an NFL player's salary were experience, position, percentage of games started, and the draft status of the player. These results indicate that reverse wage discrimination based on race may exist in the NFL. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Nicolaas Groenewold Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaas Author-X-Name-Last: Groenewold Title: The effect of exchange rate shocks on the volatility of Australian sector excess returns: a note Abstract: The study uses GARCH-M methodology to examine the effect of exchange rate shocks on the volatility of excess returns for the nineteen sectors of the Australian stock market. The data covers the period December 1979 through April 1994. The evidence suggests that news on exchange rates can improve the volatility forecasts of certain Australian stock market sector excess returns. The findings have implications for the professional investor looking to diversify risk and, in addition, give some support to asset pricing models that place information on the state of the economy as central to the process determining equity returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-81 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:77-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Author-Name: Moise Sidir Opoulos Author-X-Name-First: Moise Sidir Author-X-Name-Last: Opoulos Title: On the stability of the long-run money demand in Greece Abstract: The paper examines the existence and the stability of the long-run demand for narrow money balances (M1) in Greece over the deregulated period 1986:Q1-1995:Q4 using time series techniques. Cointegration tests have revealed the existence of a systematic long-run relationship between real money balances, real income, and the interest rate. An interesting aspect of the stability analysis is the evidence that the long-run money demand equation is stable over the sample period, implying that the narrow money aggregate could have been used as an intermediate target of monetary policy in Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Another look at the rationality of the stock market Abstract: A model due to Lucas is estimated between the real stock market returns and real dividends on the market index. The sample spans the period from 1872 to 1987 on an annual basis. The results are close to theoretical expectations: the coefficient of relative risk aversion, which minimizes the sum of square residual, is estimated to be around 0.89, and the discount rate around 8%. This means that a relatively simple valuation model is capable of describing the stock market, lending support to the rationality of this market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-89 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:87-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuddalore Sundar Author-X-Name-First: Cuddalore Author-X-Name-Last: Sundar Author-Name: John Hill Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Author-Name: John Lajaunie Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lajaunie Title: Tax incentives and individual investor behaviour Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gan Wee Author-X-Name-First: Gan Author-X-Name-Last: Wee Author-Name: Soone Le Ying Author-X-Name-First: Soone Le Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Exchange rate and interest rate differential: the case of the Malaysian Ringgit/US Dollar Abstract: The paper tests for the systematic empirical relationship between the Malaysian Ringgit/US Dollar real exchange rate and the real interest rate differential between Malaysia and the US using the Johansen maximum likelihood cointegration procedure. The results indicate the existence of a fairly robust long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and the real interest rate differential. The estimated error correction models also indicate the existence of stable adjustment dynamics when either the real exchange rate or the real exchange rate differential deviates from their long-run equilibrium position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Lettau Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Lettau Title: Cross-variable restrictions in Euler equations and risk premia Abstract: The paper argues that all restrictions beween variables in Euler equations should be taken into account when estimating them. If this is not done, the volatility of the marginal rate of substitution is overstated. This is shown in context of two models in which it is crucial to use restriction between consumption and wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Inflation expectations: are they rational? An empirical examination Abstract: The rationality of the inflation expectation formation process is examined using the NBER-ASA survey's annual inflation forecasts. The non-stationarity of the relevant series, i.e. the actual (future spot) and the corresponding forecast inflation series allows for the application of cointegration techniques. The rationality hypothesis is separated into weak form (error stationarity) and strong form (parameter restriction) models, and sequentially tested. The powerful and robust null of cointegration technique is implemented, which also examines model stability over time. Inflation forecasts are weak (not strong) form rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Title: The incentive for rural to urban migration: a re-examination of the Harris-Todaro model Abstract: An attempt is made to provide a more accurate measure of the incentive for rural to urban migration in developing countries. The study uses data from Kenya to estimate the urban to rural wage gap and then decomposes the gap into the portion due to differences in explained characteristics of rural non-migrant workers and migrant urban workers, and the portion due to returns to observed attributes. The results suggest that the returns to observable attributes constitute the largest portion of the wage gap, and may offer a more accurate measure of the incentive for rural to urban migration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Jean Lloyd-Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Lloyd-Williams Title: Have VAT rates reached their limit?: an empirical note Abstract: Value-added taxes (VAT) have increased in a number of developed economies in recent years. The shift towards consumption taxes in general and VAT in particular has made it a politically sensitive tax. While it is generally accepted that an expenditure tax such as VAT is less distortionary and more efficient to collect than an income tax, there is increasing concern that VAT rates have reached or are close to their revenue maximizing limit. Empirical evidence is produced to support this view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:111-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Cecilio Tamarit Author-X-Name-First: Cecilio Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarit Title: Convergence in fiscal pressure across EU countries Abstract: The degree of convergence in fiscal pressure registered in the European Union during the 1967-94 period is studied. To that end, OECD data is used and both the traditional cross-sectional convergence indicators and the time series analysis of the longrun properties of the data set are examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:117-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Seyf Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Seyf Title: Can more FDI solve the problem of unemployment in the EU? A short note Abstract: This letter, using regression analysis, attempts to quantify the relationship between foreign direct invetment (FDI) and jobs in the European Union. A sample of 401 Japanese firms in four EU member states has been chosen. It is shown that despite the clear enthusiasm of governments in these countries to attract FDI, its impact on job creation is not substantial, and hence, as a policy to reduce unemployment in the EU, this option may have to be seriously re-examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351951 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351951&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Grace Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Grace Title: Black-Scholes option pricing via genetic algorithms Abstract: Investors use the Black-Scholes option pricing model to find theoretically correct option prices. These prices are then compared to market prices to discover mispriced options. However, a difficulty arises in the use of the model, because one variable in the model must be estimated: the instantaneous variance of the underlying security's returns. This is usually proxied by the implied volatility of the security's returns. The more accurately investors are able to estimate this value, the more accurate their estimates of theoretical option values will be. It is argued that investors can find more precise theoretical values of options by using genetic algorithms than by using traditional calculus-based search techniques to find estimates of the implied volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kirikos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kirikos Title: Forecasting exchange rates out of sample: random walk vs Markov switching regimes Abstract: A random walk is compared with a Markov switching regimes process in forecasting exchange rates out of sample, using quarterly data on three currencies relative to the US dollar over the period 1973:3-1997:3. The results show that the relative performance of the models varies with the length of the post-sample period suggesting that the availability of more past information may be useful in forecasting future exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351979 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351979&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lonnie Hamm Author-X-Name-First: Lonnie Author-X-Name-Last: Hamm Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Trading futures markets based on signals from a neural network Abstract: A neural network trading model is developed for hard red winter wheat and Deutsche Mark futures markets. The inputs to the neural network are lagged prices. The results are generally unfavourable. The neural network does not produce statistically significant profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:137-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Thomas Willett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: Is the negative correlation between inflation and growth real? An analysis of the effects of the oil supply shocks Abstract: This paper investigates the view that the often-documented negative relationship between inflation and economic growth is largely spurious, resulting primarily from supply shocks which raise inflation and hurt growth. Evidence from tests of structural breaks is consistent with this hypothesis, but more detailed examination finds that while incorporation of supply-shock considerations does lower some of the estimates of the effects of inflation on growth for the industrial countries, these remain quite substantial. Little influence is found on the much lower estimates for developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:141-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Laszlo Matyas Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Matyas Title: Performance of the operational Wansbeek-Bekker estimator for dynamic panel data models Abstract: Wansbeek and Bekker considered a new estimator for simple dynamic panel data models (where there are no exogenous variables) which involved a complex weighting matrix. An operational variant of this estimator is proposed which is applicable to the more realistic case where there are exogenous variables. Also proposed is an easy-to-compute approximation to the weighting matrix. The performance of this (these) new estimator(s) is examined, revealing very desirable small sample properties in a wide range of situations that the applied researcher is likely to encounter, especially in moderate time series length panels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ina Levitzky Author-X-Name-First: Ina Author-X-Name-Last: Levitzky Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: William Robinson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Determinants of gaming revenue: extent of changing attitudes in the gaming industry Abstract: Analysis of monthly gaming activities in Clark County, Nevada from 1988:1 to 1995:6 reveals that the County's gaming revenue is positively associated with the amount of playable slot machines and visitors, and negatively to the nation's travel price index. The analysis also reveals the negative effect of playable table games on gaming revenue, hence signalling changing attitudes toward gaming in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Monetary shocks, inflation and the asymmetric adjustment of UK industrial output Abstract: There is evidence that real output responds asymmetrically to monetary shocks. Models advanced by Tsiddon and Ball and Mankiw argue that the degree of asymmetry to demand shocks is sensitive to inflation. Using data on manufacturing, services, construction, energy and agricultural output, this study tests whether this is the case for UK industry. Maximum likelihood estimation offers confirmation for manufacturing and construction output but evidence is much weaker in the cases of service, energy and agricultural sector output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:159-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Soo Chua Author-X-Name-First: Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Chua Title: ASEAN: economic integration and intra-regional trade Abstract: The study shed some light on the economic integration and intra-regional trade in the ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Towards this goal, a gravity model is estimated for each of the five ASEAN countries based on the data from 1980 to 1995. Analysis reveals that the trade in ASEAN countries increases with the size of the economy. The ASEAN integration scheme did not increase intra-ASEAN trade, but an increase in trade occurred with members of a wider APEC group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:165-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: Portfolio diversification and filter rule profits Abstract: Previously, it has been shown that the profits from a simple market timing trading rule applied to a portfolio of shares can be affected by the inter-relationships between the returns of the component securities. In this short letter, the results from applying a more sophisticated 'filter' rule to the same data are reported. Unlike the simple trading rule, the filter rule does produce some evidence of economic profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:171-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of budget deficits on ex post real long-term interest rates Abstract: The study investigates the impact of budget deficits on ex post real long-term interest rates over the 1973-1995 period, thereby addressing an interest rate measure and time period, i.e. beyond the mid-to late-1980s, that have received only limited attention in the literature. The instrumented variables (IV) estimate provides strong evidence that budget deficits do raise the long-term real ex post rate of interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Tai-Yoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Dealing with zero response data from contingent valuation surveys: application of least absolute deviations estimator Abstract: Data on willingness-to-pay (WTP) collected from contingent valuation surveys are usuallycensoredat zero. Insuch cases, ordinary least squares estimationof the WTP equation produces inconsistent parameter estimates. The maximum likelihood estimation of the Tobit model, which is widely used in this case, is not robust to heteroscedasticity and non-normal error structure. A least absolute deviations estimator allows for the censored data structure and is robust to these problems. In addition, the technique is useful in the case of small amounts of data. It is applied to household survey data in which the contingent valuation question involved the benefit of greenhouse gases reduction policy in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinglou Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jinglou Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: An optimal quality cost model Abstract: A model is developed for the quality cost of a product as the product perfection rate varies and the minimum quality cost model is discussed. The sample data from STMT Inc. for the years 1994 and 1995 is used to show how to establish the model using the linear regression model method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:185-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: Mark-ups, industry structure and the business cycle Abstract: Information on the primal and dual productivity measure is used to estimate industry mark-ups for 4-digit US manufacturing industries. Investigating the relationship between these estimates and various industry characteristics as well as their cyclical movements, it is found that mark-ups are significantly higher in concentrated and capital-intensive industries with high growth rates and advertising-to-sales ratios. In contrast to previous research, significant differences inmark-ups over the business cycle are not found. It is argued that the procyclicality of margins reported in earlier studies might be caused by the (false) assumption of identical average and marginal costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:189-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Decades of daily data versus one week data with ultra-high frequency: a note on estimating expected rate of return and volatility Abstract: Are twodecades of daily observations more plausible thana set of hourly data of the same size? Is it true that the more data there is the better the estimate? To answer those questions, an understanding of two types of consistency associated with estimates of return andvolatility is fundamental. The first consistency depends critically upon the total length of observation period and reciprocates with estimation of return; while the second emphasizes the role of sampling frequency and is more relevant when dealing with estimation of volatility. This letter addresses certain important issues from estimating return and volatility with focuses on the nature and the distinction of these two consistencies as well as their respective empirical implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alistair Bruce Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: Bruce Author-Name: Johnnie Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Johnnie Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Market efficiency analysis requires a sensitivity to market characteristics: some observations on a recent study of betting market efficiency Abstract: This short paper offers a critical appraisal of a recent contribution to the debate on efficiency in the particular context of horserace betting markets. A number of specific criticisms are detailed. These include the failure of the authors to capture inefficiency signals which relate to non-winning horses and the weakness of the rule developed to identify inefficiency signals, in terms especially of its arbitrary nature and the fact that it captures a wide range of non-equivalent changes in underlying subjective probability. The nature of the inefficiency signals identified by the rule also arouses suspicions of sample bias. Further concerns relate to the operational limitations of a rule for identifying inefficiency which is only observable at the close of the trading period and the lack of acknowledgement of the highly limited arbitrage opportunities which exist between the parallel bookmaker and parimutuel betting markets which operate in the UK. In general, it is argued that the main limitation of the earlier paper lies in the fact that its methodology, analysis and interpretation of results fail to address the idiosyncrasies of structure and process which characterize betting markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Youn Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Youn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Alternative specifications of consumer intertemporal budget constraint and measures of wealth and saving Abstract: This note examines several alternative specifications of the consumer's intertemporal budget constraint and shows that while different specifications give the same first-order conditions, they produce different results with respect to measures of wealth and saving and hence consumption when interest is paid on money balances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:203-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Title: On the linkages between equity markets in Latin America Abstract: This paper utilizes a VAR model to analyse the extent of interdependency of equity markets in Latin America. The results from estimating impulse response functions suggest that there are strong linkages between the equity markets of Mexico and the US, and weaker but significant linkages between the stock markets of Argentina, Brazil and Chile. These cross-country differences in transmission patterns may result from country-specific differences in both the financial market structure as well as economic fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:207-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Title: Some evidence on the export-led growth hypothesis for Ireland Abstract: The paper tests the export-led growth hypothesis in Ireland over the last 40 years using the modern econometric analysis of nonstationary time series. It is found that over the 1950-1990 period there is no long-run relationship between real GDP and export volume and no evidence for the export-led growth hypothesis either. The analysis of the more recent 1981-1994 period provides strong evidence in favour of a long-run relationship between industrial production and export volume and Granger-causality from exports to output. These results support the export-led growth hypothesis over the last fifteen years and highlight the importance of export-promoting policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: A. Abu-Bakar Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abu-Bakar Author-Name: P. Wylie Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Wylie Title: A yen bloc in Pacific Asia: natural economic symbiosis or overblown rhetorics? Abstract: Unlike earlier studies, this paper argues that the relevant determinants of East Asian integration ought to be gravity (proximity and size of the regional economics). Using a gravity model of 1975-95 merchandise trade flows, strong evidence was found by East Asian economies integrating and interacting like never before. Interestingly, the most recent evidence also suggests that Japan is in danger of losing its place at the centre of this potentially self-sustaining economic system. In other words, the East Asian situation is still unfolding as the regional economies experience a dynamic process of changing comparative advantage which is enhancing their competitiveness against one another, as well as against other developed economies, including Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziy Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziy Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: W. David McCausland Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: McCausland Title: The dynamics of bond versus treasury bill deficit financing Abstract: Many governments have a long-run target of lowering budget deficits in the future through current deficit spending, relying on economic growth to deliver their policy objective. This paper shows that this is unattainable under bond finance, since there exists no stable equilibrium. However, it is shown that a sustainable growth equilibrium is possible, but only if the deficit is treasury bill financed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:219-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: On the substitution effect of the minimum wage increase: new evidence Abstract: The impact of the minimum wage increase on the part-time/full-time employment ratio (PTFT) is re-examined. Contrary to some previous findings, strong evidence is found of the substitution effect that if the relative wage (the ratio of the minimum wage to the average hourly earning in the private sector) rises, PTFT decreases. The linear and logarithmic forms can be rejected. The partial adjustment process describes the lag response better. Real GDP growth is found to be insignificant and may be proxied by the unemployment rate for experienced workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:225-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Yamada Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: M2 demand relation and effective exchange rate in Japan: a cointegration analysis Abstract: The paper examines whether M2 demand in Japan does not form a cointegrated system unless the effective exchange rate is included. We focus on testing statistical significance of the coefficient for the effective exchange rate in the long-run equilibrium M2 demand relation. Empirical results indicate that it is significant, which suggests that the effective exchange rate is necessary for Japanese M2 demand cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-232 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:229-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangyong Joo Author-X-Name-First: Sangyong Author-X-Name-Last: Joo Title: Stock returns and inflation: a covariance decomposition Abstract: The paper introduces the concept of covariance decomposition in a vector autoregression system. It is applied to the negative relationship between real stock returns and inflation in the postwar United States, and examine whether monetary policy accounts for the negative covariance. When the Federal funds rate is used to identify changes in monetary policy, for the 1959-1990 sample, about 30% of the observed negative covariance is attributable to monetary shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margarita Katsimi Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimi Title: Stochastic shifts in the natural rate of unemployment: evidence from Greece Abstract: The paper aims at estimating the natural rate of unemployment in Greece. The methodology adopted follows that of Hamilton. It is assumed that the rate of unemployment follows a stochastic process with periodic shifts in the mean and variance. The natural rate is then estimated using a Markov switching process. Empirical evidence is found that the Greek economy switches over time between two regimes: a regime in which the natural rate and the variance of the rate of unemployment are low (the 1970s); and a regime in which both the natural rate and the variance of the rate of unemployment are high (the 1960s, 1980s and 1990s). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Cromwell Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Cromwell Author-Name: Walton Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Walton Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: James Yoder Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yoder Title: Diversification across mutual funds in a three-moment world Abstract: The standard deviation and skewness of returns of mutual fund portfolios is examined as the number of funds in the portfolio increases. Diversifying across mutual funds substantially reduces portfolio dispersion but also causes an undesirable increase in negative return skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:243-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Nonparametric measurement of cost competitiveness and productivity Abstract: A nonparametric method of measuring cost competitiveness is empirically applied over international airlines data and a comparison made of the two subsets: competitively efficient and the nonefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satish Chand Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Chand Author-Name: Kunal Sen Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: The business cycle, market structure and mark-ups: an Indian case study Abstract: The new industrial organization theories as applied to macroeconomics predict that the relationship between the business cycle and profit mark-up is mediated by market structure. This prediction is tested using panel data on Indian manufacturing and evidence is found to support the above proposition. In particular, it is found that mark-ups are more counter-cyclical in concentrated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Herce Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Herce Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Juan Jose de Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Jose Author-X-Name-Last: de Lucio Title: Social protection benefits and growth: evidence from the European Union Abstract: Using a harmonized data set for the European Union and panel data techniques, and following a production function approach, we find a positive growth effect of total social protection expenditure on growth. When evaluating the effects of different programmes, the results are mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Cointegration and disaggregation: evidence from UK consumers' expenditure Abstract: Recent work has shown the components of consumers' expenditure to exhibit differing temporal properties. Evidence from univariate tests of asymmetric behaviour and time deformation models have found durable consumption to possess excessive cyclicality and display a greater degree of asymmetric behaviour than other components of aggregate consumption. In light of this, and the work of Gonzalo (mimeo, University of California, San Diego, 1988) and Granger (Long Run Economic Relationships (Eds) R. F. Engle and C. W. J. Granger, OUP, Oxford, 1991) on the relationship between aggregation and cointegration, the extent of cointegration between income and the components of consumers' expenditure is examined. The findings of the above studies suggest that durable goods are more likely to be cointegrated with income than other components of consumption. The results of this letter support this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-262 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:259-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Reluctant respondents and contingent valuation surveys Abstract: Using an innovative telephone survey design, this study investigates the possibility that 'reluctant' respondents may give significantly different willingness to pay (WTP) responses in contingent valuation surveys. Two different measures of respondent reluctance are evaluated (interviewer assessed and respondent assessed). Evidence of a reluctant respondent effect is present in an open-ended elicitation format but not in a dichotomous choice elicitation format. Implications for survey design and WTP modelling are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guido Luchters Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Luchters Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Title: Chaotic signals from HDI measurement Abstract: The Human Development Index (HDI) is designed to provide a development measure competing with GDP, and it has been reformed several times to this end. The 1996 and 1997 reports, however, reveal a severe new flaw in the HDI: the transformation of GDP changes into the index of human development is completely misleading, as higher real per capita GDP often causes lower HDI values, and vice-versa. This transformation is generally highly sensitive to the initial GDP, resulting in chaotic transformation patterns. Relatively marginal modifications to the measurement of HDI could solve this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Hertel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Hertel Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Title: Managerial heterogeneity and the compositional effect Abstract: Standard microeconomic theory has long recognized firm-level substitution and output effects in explaining aggregate responses to taxation of an input such as nitrogen fertilizer. However, in the presence of managerial heterogeneity, a nitrogen tax will also affect the composition of the industry, with profligate users of nitrogen shrinking in relative importance, and low-nitrogen users expanding. In this paper, we assert that a substantial share of the reduction in nitrogen normally attributed to firm-level substitution may in fact owe its origin to this type of industry-wide compositional effect. We also demonstrate that, while such a tax will have only a minor effect on industry average net returns, its impact on individual corn producers will be quite significant in some cases, with nitrogen-intensive producers losing while those farmers with low rates of commercial nitrogen usage stand to gain from the tax. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro Gaviria Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Gaviria Title: Is soccer dying? A time series approach Abstract: A Markov switching regime model is used to investigate structural breaks in the average goals per game in the premier soccer leagues of England, Italy and Spain. The analysis reveals a structural break around 1965 in the three countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Spurious regression problems in the determinants of health care expenditure: a comment on Hitiris (1997) Abstract: In a recent article in this journal Hitiris used panel data for ten EC countries to analyse the determinants of aggregate health care expenditure. This comment shows that the model was plagued by a spurious regression problem. The data are reexamined using standard unit root and cointegration testing procedures, as well as new tests for unit roots in panels and for long-run relationships when the orders of integration of the underlying regressors are not known. There is overwhelming evidence for non-stationarity of the variables, and no conclusive evidence regarding the existence of equilibrium relationships. The apparent significance of the dependency rate and the rate of inflation in the Hitiris model were simply due to the influence of common stochastic trends. New results confirm the overriding importance of income in determining aggregate health care spending, but suggest a shortrun income elasticity significantly less than one. The results also uncover a number of problems in modelling the determinants of health care expenditure and warn against drawing firm conclusions from aggregate level models in an area where theory provides little guidance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucio Sarno Author-X-Name-First: Lucio Author-X-Name-Last: Sarno Title: Real exchange rate behaviour in high inflation countries: empirical evidence from Turkey, 1980-1997 Abstract: The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis is re-examined using data for Turkey and its major trading partners during the period 1980-97, extending recent work by Telatar and Kazdagli. The empirical analysis suggests that, while conventional unit root tests do not enable the detection of mean reversion in real exchange rates and hence imply rejection of long-run PPP over the sample, using recently developed nonlinear modelling techniques, strong support is provided for the validity of long-run PPP as well as for theoretical models which predict nonlinear adjustment in real exchange rates. Results are in accord with previous evidence that PPP holds more closely on data for countries which have experienced unusually high inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-291 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:285-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samy Ben Naceur Author-X-Name-First: Samy Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Naceur Title: An examination of the Tunisian IPO pricing in the short and long run: 1992-1997 Abstract: The new issue process in Tunisia is examined and evidence for underpricing and aftermarket performance of Initial Public Offerings are presented. Substantial positive abnormal returns are obtained in the short run and this finding is similar to that reported in other nations. A positive aftermarket return of 11.04% is found confirming underpricing but contrasting with all previous studies except that of Dawson. Solutions are proposed to reduce underpricing dealing with mechanisms by which companies initially offer shares of common stock to institutional and individual investors and the allocation procedures of new issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Cyclical behaviour of productivity growth and price-cost margins: asymmetry and market power effects Abstract: A cross-sectional analysis was performed on the NBER Manufacturing Productivity database (450 four-digit industries) to investigate the behaviour of total factor productivity growth rates (PROD) and price-marginal cost ratios (PMC) in US manufacturing industries. This analysis allows for asymmetric behaviour and determines the effects of imperfect competition on cyclicality. Results indicate that PROD is procyclical, more so in contractions, and that market power is associated with an even greater increase in PROD during expansions; this suggests that variable input utilization (e.g. labour hoarding) is responsible for productivity growth fluctuations, and that firms in less competitive industries have more slack and can thus use inputs more intensively during booms. PMC decreases in both expansions and contractions, and the contractionary decrease is smaller in monopolistic industries; this can be attributed to capacity constraints in expansions and price cutting in contractions, with monopolistic industries less likely to engage in price competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali El-Agraa Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: El-Agraa Author-Name: Anthony Jones Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: On 'CU can dominate UTR' Abstract: For a decade and a half, Cooper and Massell's (1965) conclusion that a policy of unilateral tariff reduction (UTR) is superior to the formation of a customs union (CU) remained unchallenged. However Wonnacott and Wonnacott (1981) using a more realistic model, claimed to show that UTR need not dominate a CU. Here, we point out that the Wonnacott and Wonnacott model is incomplete since their CU does not have a common external tariff, and demonstrate that the incorporation of such a tariff in their analysis restores the validity of the Cooper and Massell proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Sotiris Tsola Cos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Tsola Author-X-Name-Last: Cos Title: Does orthogonalization really purge equitybased property valuations of their general stock market influences? Abstract: This paper uses a recently developed nonlinear Granger causality test to determine whether linear orthogonalization really does remove general stock market influences on real estate returns to leave pure industry effects in the latter. The results suggest that there is no nonlinear relationship between the US equity-based property index returns and returns on a general stock market index, although there is evidence of nonlinear causality for the corresponding UK series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Feve Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Feve Author-Name: Y. Le Pen Author-X-Name-First: Y. Le Author-X-Name-Last: Pen Title: On modelling convergence clubs Abstract: A switching regression approach with imperfect sample separation information is used to determine convergence clubs. Regime classification allows one to determine which countries belong to the related convergence clubs. Initial per capita GDP does not provide a perfect sample separation information, but the regimes classification obtained from an endogenous switching model provides unusual results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Bruce Cater Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Cater Author-Name: Saud Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Saud Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: A causality analysis of untied foreign assistance and export performance: the case of Germany Abstract: Three questions regarding the relationship between untied assistance and donor country exports are investigated. First, do untied aid flows cause donor country exports to increase, reflecting the goodwill of the recipient towards the donor? Second, does strong export performance financially enable or politically encourage the donor country to increase its level of untied aid to the recipient? Third, does causality proceed in both directions simultaneously? Using German data for the period 1973-1995, results vary across subsamples defined according to the recipient countries' region, income and ties to Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-319 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:315-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Broome Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Broome Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Long-run and short-run linkages between stock prices and interest rates in the G-7 Abstract: The paper investigates the nature of the relationship between stock prices and interest rates, using the cointegration and co-dependence techniques. Using data for the G-7 economies, the evidence suggests that in general stock prices and interest rates do not exhibit a long-run common trend, but rather follow a short-run cyclical pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Papahristodoulou Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Papahristodoulou Title: The Dayton division of Bosnia and other core allocations Abstract: The paper evaluates the Dayton Peace Agreement division of Bosnia. Based on Census data from 1991 and under plausible assumptions on all territories (pure ethnic and mixed as well), cooperative core allocations are applied to divide the country into its three parts. The highest share, which is received by the Serbs (the nucleolus solution), is 459 square km less than the respective Dayton share. Serbs, however, benefit from the goal programming implementation of that solution, since less of them are forced to leave their homes, compared to the Dayton division In general, the redrawn nucleolus map of Bosnia, is approximately 93% identical to the Dayton Peace Agreement map. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-336 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:325-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Kidd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kidd Author-Name: Todd Goninon Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Goninon Title: Female concentration and the gender wage differential in the United Kingdom Abstract: The paper utilizes the methodology proposed by Johnson and Solon (American Economic Review, 76 (5), 1117-1125, 1986) to examine the impact of job segregation on the gender wage gap in the UK in 1991. The results suggest that despite implementation of the UK 1983 Equal Pay Amendment there remains clear evidence that male/female workers in female dominated jobs continue to earn less for work of 'similar worth' than their counterparts in male dominated jobs within the same firm. This conclusion is insensitive to whether one adopts an occupation or firm based measure of gender concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:337-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Title: Interdependence of international equity market volatility Abstract: This paper investigates whether equity market volatility in one major market is related to volatility elsewhere. This paper models the daily conditional volatility of equity market wide returns as a GARCH-(1,1) process. Such a model will capture the changing nature of the conditional variance through time. It is found that the correlation between the conditional variances of major equity markets has increased substantially over the last two decades. This supports work which has been undertaken on conditional mean returns which indicates there has been an increase in equity market integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The alternative asymmetric behaviour of Australian consumers' expenditure Abstract: In this letter tests for asymmetric dynamic behaviour are applied to Australian consumers expenditure. In contrast to recent findings for the UK provided by the seminal work of Holly and Stannett (1995), where asymmetric behaviour is found in the form of heightened levels during booms, Australian consumers expenditure exhibits asymmetry in the form of rapid falls in recessionary periods. These results are indicative of differing expectations and/or attitudes towards risk between the two sets of consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshiaki Watana Author-X-Name-First: Toshiaki Author-X-Name-Last: Watana Title: Excess kurtosis of conditional distribution for daily stock returns: the case of Japan Abstract: Not only the unconditional distribution but also the conditional distribution of daily asset returns are known to be leptokurtic. Thus, some authors have suggested using ARCH-type models with leptokurtic distributions such as the t-distribution and the generalized error distribution (GED) for the conditional distribution. The purpose of this paper examines what distribution is fit for the conditional distribution of daily Japanese stock returns. In particular, we estimate an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model developed by Nelson (1991) jointly with the generalized t-distribution, which nests both the Student's t-distribution and the generalized error distribution (GED) employed by other researchers. It is shown that the Student's t-distribution is suited for capturing the excess kurtosis of conditional distribution for daily Japanese stock returns, which does not depend on sample period and is consistent with what Bollerslev et al. (1994) have found by fitting a similar model to daily US stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-355 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:353-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abu Wahid Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Wahid Title: Stagflation and stability of the Keynesian consumption function: an empricial analysis Abstract: In macroeconomics, consumption functions supposedly demonstrate stable relationships between consumption and disposable income. This letter constructs a simple consumption function of Keynesian type. It also estimates the function and tests if any structural change had taken place in this function in 1974 following the beginning of the stagflationary era caused by the great oil-crunch of the early 1970s. The estimation and testing follow standard statistical procedures and use annual time series data for Canada (1947-78). The findings suggest that the Keynesian function for Canada had not undergone any significant structural change in 1974. The function was found quite stable in terms of intercept as well as slope parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 357-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:357-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Peters Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: On the use of the RESET test in microeconometric models Abstract: The letter notes that a generalized RESET test can be employed as a test for misspecification in a variety of parametric and semi-parametric micro-econometric models. The test's performance is illustrated using three models commonly used in labour supply studies: the linear, censored (Tobit), and duration (Weibull) regression models. All are estimated by fully parametric (maximum likelihood) and semiparametric methods. Comments are provided on the finite sample performance of the test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Crompton Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Crompton Title: Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers Abstract: The variance of the inflation rate estimator in the stochastic approach of Clements and Izan will be biased in most applications due to stringent restrictions on the variance of the OLS error term. To overcome this weakness, the stochastic methodology is reformulated and extended by deriving a variance estimator which is robust to unknown forms of heteroscedasticity. Under this new approach the exact nature of the error variance is of no concern, and can remain unidentified. A major innovation of this work is the derivation of a scalar representation for the variance estimator which has considerable intuitive appeal since it uses consumer expenditure shares to weight the relative price movements used in the calculation of the inflation rate variances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of state regulations on boating accidents and fatalities Abstract: Various federal and state regulations on recreational boating were enacted with the intention of reducing recreational boating accidents and fatalities. Based on multivariate analysis of state regulations on recreational boating and boating statistics from 1990 to 1994, this study indicates that laws and educational programmes focusing on youths are effective in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. The empirical results suggest that the minimum age requirement for boat operators is a significant factor in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. Furthermore, states which offer boating safety classes as part of their public school curriculum have significantly less boating accidents than states which do not. On the other hand implied consent laws and mandatory education for boat operators are not statistically significant factors in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. Mandatory wearing of personal floating devices may have offsetting effects on boating by inducing more 'driving' intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:373-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Efficiency analysis by stochastic data envelopment analysis Abstract: The nonparametric approach of efficiency analysis is generalized here in the stochastic case, when the input prices and capital adjustment costs vary. An empirical application illustrates the economic implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-383 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:379-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Erotokritos Varelas Author-X-Name-First: Erotokritos Author-X-Name-Last: Varelas Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: Money supply, consumption and deregulation: the case of Greece Abstract: This paper investigates empirically the impact of monetary deregulation that occurred in 1988 on the relationship betwen consumption and money supply in Greece. The results provide evidence that the deregulation has significantly affected the behaviour of consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Title: Intergenerational mobility and occupational status in Britain Abstract: This paper examines the link between parents occupational attainment and that of their children. The existence of such a link implies dependence on inherited conditions and the stronger the link the less the potential for intergenerational mobility. The degree to which occupational mobility is influenced by parental achievements is investigated using data from the British Household Panel Survey. The evidence obtained suggests that individual attainment is strongly influenced by parental status. In particular, the occupational attainment of sons is found to depend significantly on the socioeconomic status of their fathers. The implication is that occupational mobility in 1990s Britain was still to some extent constrained by the achievements of the previous generation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Herce Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Herce Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Juan Jose De Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Jose Author-X-Name-Last: De Lucio Title: Social protection benefits and growth: evidence from the European Union Abstract: Using a harmonized data set for the European Union and panel data techniques, and following a production function approach, we find a positive growth effect of total social protection expenditure on growth. When evaluating the effects of different programmes, the results are mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garey Durden Author-X-Name-First: Garey Author-X-Name-Last: Durden Author-Name: Patricia Gaynor Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Gaynor Title: Relative changes in gender and race-based earnings costs, 1970-1995 Abstract: The major purpose of this paper is to determine absolute and relative changes in gender and race based, inflation-adjusted earnings costs over the period 1970-1995. Yearly estimated earnings comparisons of white males with white females, African-American males and females suggest that total earnings gaps have narrowed considerably. For African-American males, remaining costs are mostly associated with labour market and other measurable differences. For white and African-American females, however, the unexplained, possibly discriminatory portion of the earnings gap has increased in absolute (as compared to white males) and relative terms (as compared to African-American males). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helena Skyt Nielsen Author-X-Name-First: Helena Skyt Author-X-Name-Last: Nielsen Title: Wage discrimination in Zambia: an extension of the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition Abstract: Recently, there has been growing interest in reducing gender and race discrimination. Hence, interest in exploring what causes the discriminatory wage gap has also grown. An often applied tool for this type of analysis is the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition technique. However, it turns out that this technique is inadequate when it comes to calculation of separate contributions to discrimination for indicator variables. This is because the contributions are not robust against a change of reference group. In this paper the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is extended to handle this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting-Wong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Kuo-Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chih-Chiang Weng Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Economies of scale and scope in Taiwan's CPA service industry Abstract: Based on the 1994 survey data of certified public accountant (CPA) firms in Taiwan, and by applying the iterative seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) technique to a simultaneous system of a translog multi-product cost function and its corresponding factor share equations, an attempt is made to investigate the extents of economies of scale and scope in Taiwan's CPA service industry. The empirical results show that product-specific scale economies exist for auditing, tax and management advisory services. Ray scale economies are significantly present. Significant economies of scope exist in providing tax and management advisory services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:409-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Title: Implied continuous time lag distributions: further evidence for the UK Abstract: This paper presents implied continuous time lag distributions of the main UK economic variables obtained from recent estimates by Nowman of the Bergstrom, Nowman and Wymer continuous time dynamic macroeconometric model of the UK economy. The lag distributions provide further evidence of the richer dynamic specification allowed for in second-order continuous time macroeconomic models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandros Milionis Author-X-Name-First: Alexandros Author-X-Name-Last: Milionis Author-Name: Demetrios Moschos Author-X-Name-First: Demetrios Author-X-Name-Last: Moschos Title: On the validity of the weak-form efficient markets hypothesis applied to the London stock exchange: comment Abstract: The empirical work and interpretation of the results of Al-Loughani and Chappell (1997) is commented upon. On the basis of the reported results, and contrary to the authors' conclusion, it is argued that although the random walk hypothesis is rejected, the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis (WFME), for the London stock exchange cannot be rejected. Some further comments on WFME in the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity are made. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: A note on the computation of time series model roots Abstract: The roots of time series models are important for analysing model dynamics and have a special importance in the unit root and co-integration literature. In this paper known results about the equivalence of state space and auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) models are exploited to give better calculations of VAR and ARMA model roots. The improved computational accuracy is illustrated with an especially difficult example. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-424 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:423-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Kamuran Malatyali Author-X-Name-First: Kamuran Author-X-Name-Last: Malatyali Title: The implicit reaction function of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Abstract: Reviewing the implicit reaction function estimation under different specifications, it appears that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) responds to the lagged inflation rate rather than the forward one, M2Y growth is targeted on an annual basis and a serious output targeting policy was implemented while neither real nor nominal depreciation of the foreign currency basket was taken into consideration during the period 1989:07-1997:03. Also, we conclude that the CBRT does not target currency issued, M2, net domestic assets or net foreign assets nor does it take any of the budget deficit measures into account while determining its monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-430 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:425-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panos Fousekis Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Fousekis Author-Name: Christos Pantzios Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pantzios Title: Meat demand in Greece with quality decomposition Abstract: This paper investigates the demand for major types of meat in Greece for the 1976-1995. The findings indicate that beef and veal has the highest income and price elasticities compared to the rest of meats (mutton, poultry and pork). A quality decomposition reveals the importance of different factors for the quality change in meat consumption in Greece over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Loomis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loomis Author-Name: Cynthia Pierce Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Pierce Author-Name: Mike Manfredo Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Manfredo Title: Using the demand for hunting licences to evaluate contingent valuation estimates of willingness to pay Abstract: Taking advantage of differences in inflation adjusted licence prices over time, the demand for hunting licences is estimated. This introduces a different type of validity test which compares willingness to pay derived from actual licence demand to estimates of hunting benefits derived by the contingent valuation method. Willingness to pay estimates for deer and elk hunting derived from contingent valuation are statistically less than corresponding estimates from the actual licence sale demand analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-438 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:435-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Butterworth Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Butterworth Title: The impact of futures trading on underlying stock index volatility: the case of the FTSE Mid 250 contract Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of futures trading in the FTSE Mid 250 index on the underlying spot market using symmetric and asymmetric GARCH methods. Tests for the presence of asymmetries suggest a symmetric model adequately captures the response of volatility to news. Results indicate that following the onset of futures trading the quantity of information flowing into the market increased. However, the rate at which news is impounded into prices fell, with an associated rise in the persistence of information. These findings are consistent with the institutional characteristics and trading history of the FTSE Mid 250 market in the period following the onset of futures trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Title: Inter-country inequality in human development indicators Abstract: This paper compares the degree of inter-country inequality in three measures of human development (the Human Development Index (HDI), the Gender-Related Development Index (GDI) and the Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM)) to those in real income as measured by real GDP per capita in PPP$ (RY) and adjusted real GDP per capita in PPP$ (ARY). To this end, three inequality measures with convenient decomposition properties are used. The results show that inter-country inequalities in RY and ARY are greater than those in all the three human development indicators, irrespective of the inequality measure used. Furthermore, GDI and GEM both exhibit higher degrees of inter-country inequality than does HDI. In addition, GEM exhibits the highest level of inter-country inequality among the three human development indicators, irrespective of the inequality measure used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lon Carlson Author-X-Name-First: J. Lon Author-X-Name-Last: Carlson Title: Hypothetical surveys versus real commitments: further evidence Abstract: The contingent valuation method is frequently used to estimate willingness to pay for environmental services. However, numerous studies have raised serious questions about the validity and reliability of such estimates. The study reported here extends the analysis of hypothetical versus real commitments by considering the effects of alternative indicators of WTP in the hypothetical setting. While part of the results confirm the findings of previous studies-CV methods can result in an overestimate of actual mean WTP-evidence is also produced that a carefully designed CV instrument can produce an estimate of mean WTP that is much closer to actual mean WTP than previous studies would suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Bratsiotis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Bratsiotis Title: Political parties and inflation in Greece: the metamorphosis of the Socialist Party on the way to EMU Abstract: This paper examines the inflationary consequences of elected political parties in Greece before and after its commitment to the Single European Act (SEA). It is shown that prior to the SEA there is evidence of an inflation bias following elected Socialist governments in Greece, whereas after the SEA this bias is shown to move the opposite direction. Political wins to conservative governments are shown to have insignificant effects on inflation. With no change in the inflationary effects following conservative wins, the change of Socialists from inflationary to anti-inflationary is shown to have overturned the political partisan cycle in Greece since the SEA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Cost efficiency in the UK water and sewerage industry Abstract: The paper quantifies the relative efficiency of the ten privatized water and sewerage companies between 1987 and 1997. A one-component fixed-effects panel data model is used to estimate a cost function from which distribution-free firm-specific estimates of operational cost efficiency are derived. The study differs from previous studies through the use of differing econometric techniques and by considering the water and sewerage companies as integrated firms. Overall, a moderate level of dispersion in operational cost efficiency is recorded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Asymmetry and non-linearity in UK output Abstract: The diagnostic tests of time deformation presented by Stock are applied to UK output. In contrast to previous findings, significant evidence of time deformation is detected. It is shown that the success of this analysis is due to closely following the approach outlined in the seminal work of Stock for stochastically trending variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact and bootstrap distributions of a unit root test Abstract: Using Imhof's method, the exact distribution of a unit root test is evaluated and detailed critical values are given of the unit root test when the sample size is small and moderate. Then, the bootstrap critical values are generated by Monte Carlo experiments, and compared with the exact ones. The Monte Carlo results show that the bootstrap critical values are reasonably precise. It is also shown that the parametric bootstrap tends to yield more precise estimates of the percentiles than the nonparametric bootstrap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: James Wilkinson Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Wilkinson Title: Is rent-seeking immoral? Examining the behaviour of religion-based political action committees and coalitions Abstract: Tullock recently offered six possible explanations for the observed size disparity between the rent-seeking industry in the major democracies and the value of the actual rent to be derived. One of these is the possibility that rent-seeking is considered immoral by large segments of society, who therefore are unwilling to engage in the activity. The purpose of this study is to provide an empirical response to this possible explanation provided by Tullock. The statistical evidence presented here suggests the lack of an ethical or moral basis against rent-seeking. Therefore, attempts to explain the disparity noted by Tullock should, perhaps, proceed down other avenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-473 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:467-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuhiro Hosoe Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoe Title: Dependency of simulation results on the choice of numeraire Abstract: There have recently been a growing number of computable general equilibrium (CGE) analyses for developing economies. These analyses often employ so-called structuralist CGE models equipped with fixed wage rates and unemployment (or an unlimited supply of labour). However, the assumption of fixed prices can cause a problem: simulation results can be dependent on the choice of numeraire. This problem is numerically examined with a simple structuralist CGE model. By analysing numerical examples, it was found that simulation results with structuralist CGE models can crucially depend on the choice of numeraire. The simulation results are different qualitatively as well as quantitatively by cases. The results suggest that the numeraire must be chosen carefully and simulation results should be evaluated in light of the chosen numeraire when we assume fixed prices in CGE models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-477 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:475-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: Power in non-nested models: a comparative study Abstract: The main objective of this letter is to compare two concepts of the power of a test developed in the literature on non-nested hypotheses. Using Monte Carlo techniques it is shown that both definitions of power are asymptotically equivalent, but for small samples they differ in some cases very dramatically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability Abstract: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability is studied. Results show that the first period optimal R&D and output with durability exceed the respective levels without durability. The second period R&D and output are identical to the no durability case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-488 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:487-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Author-Name: Mohamed Sheikh Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Sheikh Title: The January effect and monthly seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 1987-1997 Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of the January effect and monthly seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange over an 11 year period, 5 January 1987 through 15 May 1997, and for three subsamples of equal length. The results are in severe contrast to the international evidence documented for the stock markets of many other countries, be they developed or emerging markets; there appears to be no January effect or monthly seasonality present in the All Gold Index over the sample period. Although this is perfectly consistent with the notion of market efficiency, it is suggested that the lack of any detectable monthly seasonality, may, in part, be due to the particular market microstructure or operational procedures of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, consequently it is suggested that further research is required in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033229 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033229&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Gokcekus Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Gokcekus Title: How do university students value economics courses? A hedonic approach Abstract: This paper adopts a hedonic approach and uses a multinomial logit model to assess students' valuation of courses based on their characteristics, e.g. presentation, organization, knowledge, accessibility, responsiveness, enthusiasm of the instructor (i.e. instructor), student's amount and type of thinking (i.e. intellectual stimulation), and how demanding a course is (i.e. demand level). Students applied the same quality standards consistently across courses regardless of the class size and the title, degree and position of the instructor. However, elective courses valued more favourably. The most important course attribute is the instructor, intellectual stimulation is the close second, and demand level has a negative impact on the value of a course. Yet, having found that intellectual stimulation's positive contribution is much bigger than the negative impact of demand level, the following emerges as an important yard stick for increasing the value of a course: as long as intellectual stimulation level gets higher, students are willing to put more time into a course. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Luis Borge Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Borge Title: Inequality and growth: inverted and uninverted U-shapes Abstract: Inequality follows different patterns along a high-income sector enlargement growth. Even under Kuznets' basic assumptions inequality may show a convex shape at the end of the process. Moreover, when some of the basic assumptions are removed, the inequality path may be convex along the whole process or display a reversal from inverted to uninverted U-shapes along the same process. That is why empirical studies should specify which process and which phase within it they are dealing with on testing Kuznets' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Joses Kirigia Author-X-Name-First: Joses Author-X-Name-Last: Kirigia Title: The determinants of the use of alternative methods of contraception among South African women Abstract: The objectives of this study are: (a) to estimate the impact of women's socioeconomic and access characteristics on the choice of specific contraceptive methods; and (b) to identify the wider determinants of family planning behaviour that warrant attention in the policy-making process. A multinominal logit model is estimated using crosssectional data from the South African National Household Survey of Health Inequalities in 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-504 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033256 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033256&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:501-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Aggregate advertising, sales volume and relative prices in the long run Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between advertising expenditures, sales and the cost of advertising using annual UK data over the period 1967-1997. Strong evidence is found for the existence of a cointegrating relationship between real advertising expenditures, sales volumes, goods prices and the cost of advertising messages. Error correction models fit the data well although the estimated price elasticities are not consistent with the equilibrium relationship derived from the Dorfman-Steiner equilibrium condition with a Cobb-Douglas demand function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dodo Thampapillai Author-X-Name-First: Dodo Author-X-Name-Last: Thampapillai Title: Willingness to pay and willingness to accept: a simple conceptual exposition Abstract: A simple explanation within the theory of indifference curves is offered for the experimental observations concerning the disparity between willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA). Following Morrison's evidence, this explanation rests largely on the endowment effect. Two demand curves which are distinguished in terms of WTP and WTA are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033274 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033274&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:509-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability Abstract: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability is studied. Results show that the first period optimal R&D and output with durability exceed the respective levels without durability. The second period R&D and output are identical to the no durability case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:513-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Flavia Terr Ibile Author-X-Name-First: Flavia Terr Author-X-Name-Last: Ibile Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The endogeneity of tariffs in Italy, 1890-1969 Abstract: The theory of tariff endogeneity suggests that tariffs are influenced by macroeconomic disturbances. The paper tests a simple endogenous tariff model for Italy applying cointegration techniques to time-series data for the period 1890-1969. It is found that the average tariff level is cointegrated with industrial production, consumer prices, the terms of trade and the foreign trade balance (as a percentage of GNP) and that tariff setting has responded to disturbances in these variables. In particular, tariffs appear to have been raised in response to low output growth, increases in the terms of trade and a deteriorating foreign trade balance, and reduced in response to higher inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Comparing dynamic efficiency using a two-stage model Abstract: Dynamic efficiency of firms involves both optimal investments over time and optimal operating costs in the short run. These two stages are separately but sequentially analysed to compare different firms in an industry using a Pareto optimality criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-523 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033300 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033300&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:521-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Garin-Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Garin-Munoz Author-Name: Teodosio Perez Amaral Author-X-Name-First: Teodosio Perez Author-X-Name-Last: Amaral Title: An econometric model for international tourism flows to Spain Abstract: The reported study measures the impact of the economic determinants of the international demand for tourist services in Spain. A panel data set of seventeen countries over the period 1985-1995 is used. By using appropriate panel data techniques the effects of real per capita income, exchange rates and real prices on the demand for Spanish tourist services. The estimated elasticities are +1.40, +0.50, and -0.30, respectively. The negative effect of the Gulf War is also detected, with a coefficient of -0.15. These results are comparable to previous empirical studies for other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iris Yeung Author-X-Name-First: Iris Author-X-Name-Last: Yeung Author-Name: Nelson Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: An outlier analysis of the Hong Kong stock market index Abstract: The joint estimation procedure of Chen and Liu was applied to the 1997 daily Hong Kong stock market index data for outlier detection and model estimation. The results indicate that the handover of Hong Kong's sovereignty to China on 30 June 1997 seems to have had no effect on the index. The 14 outliers found during the period 2 January to 5 December 1997 are all related to economic events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-534 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033328 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033328&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:531-534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Owyong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Owyong Title: Measuring the trickle-down effect: a case study on Singapore Abstract: The present paper examines the 'trickle-down' effect, which is the diffusion of economic gains from the rich to the poor when the economy expands. While many studies in the literature attempt to measure the extent of trickling-down in different countries, the speed of this trickle-down effect has largely been ignored. This paper proposes a method to measure both the extent and the speed of the trickle-down process in a dynamic framework. This methodology is then applied to data on Singapore, which serves as a good candidate to examine trickle-down effects because it has experienced steady economic growth during the last three decades. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: The impact of growth and distribution on poverty in Papua New Guinea Abstract: Changes in poverty in Papua New Guinea during the 1990s adjustment programme are analysed. Data from urban household surveys in 1986 and 1996 are used to calculate the change in the incidence, depth and severity of poverty. The change in poverty rates is decomposed into distribution and growth components, using a methodology proposed by Datt and Ravallion. There was a rise in both the depth and severity of poverty in the 1990s, with the major contributor being the growth in inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Testing PPP for Asian economies during the recent floating period Abstract: The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) is examined between seven Asian countries and the US during the flexible exchange rate period, in the framework of the Johansen cointegration approach with and without restrictions of the PPP parameters. It is found that a long-run comovement exists between the nominal exchange rate and the prices, but the PPP vector does not exist in the cointegration space and the nominal exchange rate and domestic and foreign prices do not move one by one as implied by the theoretical PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Seasonal adjustment and cointegrating relationships: consumption and income Abstract: The cointegrated nature of UK consumption and income is examined using 'official' seasonally adjusted data and data which have been seasonally adjusted using an alternative well-established method. It is found that the presence of cointegrating relationship is dependent upon the method of adjustment used, a result reflecting the warnings of Wallis (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 18-31, 1974). This result has major implications given the plethora of cointegration studies conducted using seasonally adjusted data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-551 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:549-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Cynthia Lay Harter Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Lay Author-X-Name-Last: Harter Title: Co-movements of Alaska North Slope and UK Brent crude oil prices Abstract: In order to study the inter-relationships of international crude oil markets, empirical analyses are used to investigate univariate and multivariate relationships between Alaska North Slope and UK Brent oil prices. Using monthly data from the period 1974-1996, the results show that both price series follow a random walk and that these oil markets share a long-run common trend. The empirical results suggest that the two markets are 'unified'. That is, they are competitive, and there is price convergence in the markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-558 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:553-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahim Al-Marhubi Author-X-Name-First: Fahim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Marhubi Title: Export diversification and growth: an empirical investigation Abstract: Using recent theories of growth, this paper presents empirical evidence that export diversification promotes economic growth. This result is robust to different specifications of the growth equations and different measures of export diversification. In developing countries, export diversification is associated also with higher investment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. F. Darrat Author-X-Name-First: A. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Author-Name: M. K. Hsu Author-X-Name-First: M. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: M. Zhong Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: Testing export exogeneity in Taiwan: further evidence Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uma Kambhampati Author-X-Name-First: Uma Author-X-Name-Last: Kambhampati Title: Industry competitiveness: leadership identity and market shares Abstract: Industry competitiveness is analysed by considering the stability of leadership positions across industries over time. Unlike earlier studies of competition which have concentrated solely on market shares the paper begins by establishing the significance of both the changes in market shares and the identity of market leaders in reflecting industry competitiveness. To do this, the identity, and market shares, of industry leaders is mapped out, across 11 years and 32 industries in India. It was found that market leaders are very stable in 12 industries but are relatively less stable in 20 industries. When they are stable, market shares are an adequate reflection of competitiveness but when they are not, leadership identity also becomes significant. A dummy variable of proxy for leadership stability is then constructed. Modelling leadership stability using this proxy, it was found that industry profitability, economies of scale and industry growth are all significant determinants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Business failure of new software firms Abstract: This paper investigates business failure of newly-established software firms. Using a proportional hazards model, we estimate the determinants of business failure among software firms in Japan founded during 1986-1995. The main findings of this paper are as follows. First, software firms with sufficient size or paid-up capital are less likely to fail. Secondly, vertical integration increases the probability of failure. Thirdly, manager's attributes, such as age, affect the probability of failure. Finally, local agglomeration increases the probability of failure, while macroeconomic growth decreases the probability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mudit Kulshreshtha Author-X-Name-First: Mudit Author-X-Name-Last: Kulshreshtha Author-Name: Barnali Nag Author-X-Name-First: Barnali Author-X-Name-Last: Nag Title: Some methodological comments on 'Public investment and private capital formation in a vector error-correction model of growth' by K. H. Ghali Abstract: The note comments on the application of Granger non-causality tests of short-run vector error correction models as attempted by Ghali. It is noted that when the dimension of VAR is greater than two, block Granger causality needs to be performed, and that checking variable to variable causality has little meaning in multivariate context as the covariance matrix is positive definite. It is also noted that identification of cointegrating relationships does not provide information on short-run structural relationships, which requires modelling of contemporaneous innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-583 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:581-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Andy Thorpe Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Thorpe Title: Human capital investment in agricultural communities: lessons from Honduras Abstract: A recent paper by Bedi and Gaston, in estimating the returns to endogenous education in Honduras, examined the determinants of educational attainment through the use of official government statistics. This letter seeks to corroborate their findings using independently collected data and a wider selection of explanatory variables. A binary logit function is estimated using a sample of 424 rural-based individuals who have completed secondary schooling. Results, which indicate the predominance of economic factors (income and wealth) over social factors (gender, household structure, relationship with, or membership of, rural-based organizations) in the educational investment decision, offer some qualified support to the findings of Bedi and Gaston. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-589 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:585-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Akira Tokihisa Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Tokihisa Title: Seasonal integration and Japanese aggregate data Abstract: The presence of seasonal integration in Japanese macro data is tested. The targeted variables are real values and deflators for GDP, consumption, investment, government expenditure, exports, and imports. First, with respect to seasonality, an entirely different conclusion is obtained for the real values and the deflators of the data series examined. Second, it is clear that there is a difference between the analytical results obtained when a structural break is considered and those obtained when a structural break is not considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James MacGee Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: MacGee Author-Name: Weiqiu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Weiqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The behaviour of productivity growth rates and composition bias in the labour input Abstract: The conventionally calculated Solow residual has been used as a measure of exogenous productivity shocks that contribute to the business cycle. However, recently this residual has been shown to be endogenous and has led to the conclusion that the aggregate economy is characterized by increasing returns to scale and imperfect competition. Another hypothesis is that the Solow residual may fail to be exogenous due to measurement errors in labour and capital. Using an efficiency hours series corrected for the composition bias in the labour force and a capital series adjusted for capacity utilization for Canada, it was found that adjusting the Solow residual for cyclical variations in labour and capital inputs over the business cycle re-establishes exogeneity of productivity shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:595-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Konstantinos Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Author-Name: Nicholas Tabakis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Tabakis Title: Current account deficit sustainability: The case of Greece Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the sustainability of the current account deficit in Greece over the 1960-1994 period. The empirical analysis makes use of various unit root and cointegration tests which allow for structural breaks. The results provide evidence in favour of the sustainability of the current account deficit and against a required (and unnecessary) devaluation of the drachma. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-603 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:599-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: The impact of growth and distribution on poverty in Papua New Guinea Abstract: Changes in poverty in Papua New Guinea during the 1990s adjustment programme are analysed. Data from urban household surveys in 1986 and 1996 are used to calculate the change in the incidence, depth and severity of poverty. The change in poverty rates is decomposed into distribution and growth components, using a methodology proposed by Datt and Ravallion. There was a rise in both the depth and severity of poverty in the 1990s, with the major contributor being the growth in inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-607 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:605-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: On the extinction of species in jointly determined stochastic systems Abstract: The sizeable literature on extinction in economics has paid scant attention to the problem of constructing measures of species extinction. Moreover, this literature has not studied the question of species extinction in stochastic systems that are jointly determined. Consequently, the objective of this paper is to use probability theory to construct a measure of species extinction in jointly determined ecological-economic systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-612 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:609-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Yuriko Imamura Author-X-Name-First: Yuriko Author-X-Name-Last: Imamura Title: International transmission of stock prices among G7 countries: LA-VAR approach Abstract: The reported study analysed interdependence among stock prices in G7 countries using the LA-VAR method. Monthly data for the period from December 1969 to May 1995 were used and stock prices were analysed not only in local currencies but also in US dollars. The study revealed that the causal relationship between US stock prices and those in the rest of the world is significant. This may be due to the dominant influence of the US economy on the world market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-618 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:613-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Regime-switching investment-saving correlation and international capital mobility Abstract: International capital mobility in Taiwan is tested by estimating the regime-switching investment-saving correlation. A Markov-switching model is applied which allows the samples to be drawn from two different regimes; high mobility and low mobility. Empirical results are investigated and specifications tests are performed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piyash Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Piyash Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Mortgage termination due to prepayments in India Abstract: Mortgage termination due to prepayment is an important issue in the pricing of mortgage and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) due to its stochastic nature. In developing countries where MBS is not yet fully developed, mortgage termination affects the flow of funds to the lenders. Recent literature has used option price models (OPM) to analyse prepayments. Prepayment is a 'call option' whose price is dependent on fluctuation in market interest rates. However, the termination of mortgage in housing is not as 'ruthless' as OPM theory would suggest, primarily because households are not financiers in a 'strict sense'. Recent literature has used the Cox proportional hazard model to model mortgage termination. The idea is that other household-related variables besides option price of the instrument jointly determine the mortgage termination. The Cox proportional hazard model is used to analyse prepayment of mortgage behaviour in India. The results indicate that financial concerns (like option price, loan to value ratio and monthly principal and interest to income ratio) are important determinants besides household characteristics. Self- employed or low educated or single borrowers have less probability of prepaying the loan. An important variable inducing prepayment is irregular repayment behaviour of borrower. If loan repayment is in arrears for some months, borrowers often terminate their liability by prepaying. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-628 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:623-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. V. Bhanoji Rao Author-X-Name-First: V. V. Bhanoji Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Shandre Mugan Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Mugan Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Title: Do poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries? Abstract: The observation by Barro that cross-country evidence is inconsistent with the hypothesis that poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries is examined. The overall sample of countries employed in the Barro studies is adjusted by excluding those with small sample sizes (less than 15 observations) and/or those with not statistically significant trend growth rates. It is found that, in general, poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries. However, this observation holds especially strongly for 17 countries with real per capita product above $1000. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Title: Are budget deficits inflationary? A reconsideration of the evidence Abstract: This paper returns to the issue of whether high budget deficits have had any inflationary consequences in Greece. In a recent paper, Hondroyiannis and Papapetrou (1997) report results denying any direct impact of the deficit on inflation. It is shown here that their evidence lacks weight owing to several modelling and estimation problems. Upon rectifying these problems, the results consistently suggest that, besides money growth, budget deficits have also played a significant and direct role in the Greek inflationary process. Thus, efforts to curtail budget deficits in Greece as required by the EMU should also prove useful in mitigating inflationary pressures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Anomalous daily seasonality in Ireland? Abstract: Substantial evidence exists to indicate that a negative Monday, or in some case Tuesday, mean return is achieved by stock market indices. In contrast to these and to previous Irish studies, this paper finds that there is no negative Monday or Tuesday return, there being a persistent and positive Wednesday return. This is seen across two indices and over a number of sub-periods. It is also seen, using a GARCH-M specification, that this 'Wednesday effect' cannot be attributed to systemic daily variation in risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Author-Name: Gregory Goering Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Goering Title: Additional results on the power of unit root and cointegration tests under threshold processes Abstract: Recently researchers have begun to develop methods to detect stationarity or cointegration when the underlying error correction process follows a threshold model. In the context of one type of threshold model, Pippenger and Goering found that the power of unit root or cointegration tests decay substantially under many economically relevant parameterization. However, in a recent article Balke and Fomby conclude that linear tests work 'reasonably well when threshold cointegration is present' and based on these findings propose a modelling methodology under threshold cointegration. This study examines the threshold processes they analysed under a wide range of parameterizations and finds that linear unit root and cointegration tests display relatively low power even under large sample sizes. Hence, contrary to Balke and Fomby linear cointegration tests appear to be an inappropriate test under threshold cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415932 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415932&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Testing the hypothesis of Phillips curve trade-off: a regime switching approach Abstract: The hypothesis of Phillips curve trade-off is tested by applying a two-state first-order Markov switching model to estimate a simple expectation-augmented Phillips curve, which allows for the possibility that samples are drawn from two normal distributions. Evidence from the UK shows that, two Phillips-curve regimes are identified, and the regime with ineffective trade-off dominates the other over time, which verifies the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Seasonal adjustment and the univariate testing of asymmetry Abstract: Following Holly and Stannett, a standard approach has emerged in the implementation of Sichel's tests of business cycle asymmetry, whereby seasonally adjusted data is detrended via Hodrick-Prescott filtering. While Speight and MacMillan have considered the impact of alternative methods of detrending upon these tests, the role of seasonal adjustment has yet to be examined. In this letter the impact of seasonal adjustment is examined by means of an application to durable, non-durable and aggregate UK consumers' expenditure. Whereas alternative means of detrending most noticeably effect the deepness test and its significance, alternative methods of seasonal adjustment are shown to primarily effect the steepness statistic and its size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: Performance related pay in Belgium and The Netherlands Abstract: Individual worker data is used to identify which types of workers and firms choose PRP in Belgium and The Netherlands. The results show that there are significant differences across these neighbouring countries in terms of the workers who choose PRP systems and the firms who adopt them. Results support the previously identified and positive relationship between firm size and use of PRP. In addition, interesting differences are found concerning the natue of industrial relations and the use of PRP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziggy MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Ziggy Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: The impact of under-reporting on the relationship between unemployment and property crime Abstract: There is considerable debate in the literature about the relationship between the economic cycle and property crime. Much of the debate centres on the statistical methods used to explore the importance of various economics factors in determining crime. This study argues that more attention should be paid to the process that generates the data used in this work. Findings indicate that the reporting rate for property crime is sensitive to economic conditions, but in the opposite direction to the sensitivity of crime itself. This suggests a disparity between the true rate of crime and the measured crime rate, which increases during periods of economic downturn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Frykblom Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Frykblom Title: Willingness to pay and the choice of question format: experimental results Abstract: This study revisits the issue of hypothetical and actual willingness to pay. In two recent letters the validity of the contingent valuation method has been questioned. The studies include comparisons of hypothetical and actual economic commitments that were elicited through two different question formats. However, in order to attribute a difference in responses to a hypothetical bias, it must first be shown that the question formats generate equal responses under the same conditions. This letter not only contains the same comparison as the two recent letters, subsequent comparisons to investigate the question formats are also conducted. The rejection of equality between the two question formats raises questions concerning previous results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415987 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415987&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:665-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical note on the monetary exchange rate model Abstract: The validity of the monetary approach as a model of long-run exchange rate determination is examined under both fixed and flexible rate regimes. The powerful KPSS and JJ multivariate cointegration procedures are sequentially applied to test the order of integration and common trends in the monetary model under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-671 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:669-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabeel Al-Loughani Author-X-Name-First: Nabeel Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Loughani Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Covered interest parity and the relative effectiveness of forward and money market hedging Abstract: In this paper it is shown that obtaining equally effective forward hedging and money market hedging implies and is implied by the validity of covered interest parity. This proposition is demonstrated by constructing combined positions consisting of long exposures on five currencies and short exposures on the hedging instruments. An indirect test of CIP would then boil down to testing the difference between the variances of the rates of return on the combined positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-675 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:673-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Estimation of the Cobb-Douglas with zero input levels: bootstrapping and substitution Abstract: New informational technologies have led to a rebirth of interest in primal production functions. This study revisits the vexing question of the estimation of the Cobb-Douglas production function given zero input levels for some observations. A resampling technique is proposed that produces a sample with nonzero input levels. The results of the resampling technique are then compared with the substitution results using informational measures of the implied cost shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-679 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:677-679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Lukacs Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Lukacs Title: A decomposition of price-cost margins in UK manufacturing Abstract: The paper follows a methodology developed by Schmalensee to decompose the time varying behaviour of price-cost margins into an intra-industry and an inter-industry component. By doing so light can be shed on whether cyclical movements in industry price-cost margins reflect industry effects such as concentration or collusion or firm effects such as the performance of large versus small firms. Findings for the UK confirm Schmalensee's for the US in attributing most of the variance over time to size effects rather than industry effects but contrary to Schmalensee the size effect is positive in the sample not negative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-686 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416021 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416021&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:681-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bertrand Candelon Author-X-Name-First: Bertrand Author-X-Name-Last: Candelon Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Stability of activity-unemployment relationship in a codependent system Abstract: A recursive codependence analysis is proposed for investigating the stability of the activity-unemployment relationship. Besides some noticeable statistical advantages, this new method provides a more accurate evaluation of conjunctural employment policies. It appears that for most countries, the delay necessary to absorb a shock is low, indicating that conjunctural stabilization mechanisms and/or employment policies serve their purpose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-693 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:687-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Employment news and exchange rates: policy implications for the European Union Abstract: The relationship between employment news and exchange rates in five European Union (EU) countries is investigated over the period 1980 to 1996. The empirical evidence reveals that employment news has a negative impact on bilateral exchange rates with respect to the Deutschmark (DM) in all cases as a result of larger actual than expected employment figures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. P. Caselli Author-X-Name-First: G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: M. Battini Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Battini Title: The changing distribution of earnings in Poland from 1989 to 1996 Abstract: In this paper the changing earnings distribution in Poland from 1989 to 1996 is investigated using Gini coefficients, other economic inequality indicators and Generalized Lorenz Curves Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-702 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:699-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nan-Ting Chou Author-X-Name-First: Nan-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Ramon Degennaro Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Degennaro Author-Name: Raymond Sauer Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sauer Title: The efficiency of the price system: evidence from an alternative market Abstract: Most economists take it for granted that a price mechanism is usually the most effective means of resource allocation. This paper compares two methods of allocating resources in the thoroughbred racing market: a price mechanism and bureaucratic restrictions. It is shown that a simple price mechanism does a superior job of allocating racing ability than a myriad of conditions and restrictions set by even a highly informed expert. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-706 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:703-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Rajyasri Neogy Author-X-Name-First: Rajyasri Author-X-Name-Last: Neogy Author-Name: Debesh Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Debesh Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Sustainability of marine fishing: a case study of West Bengal Abstract: The marine fishery sector in India is important not only for domestic demand for protein food requirements but also from the imperatives of exports. An increased investment in this sector has taken place during the last few years and the fishing fleet has expanded at a very rapid rate. Presently, however, marine fishers are facing difficulties in fish capture in spite of exerting the same and sometimes more effort. Thus the question of the sustainability of marine fishing arises. The sustainability of marine fishing in the Digha-Shankarpur coastal region has been studied through estimation of the maximum sustainable yield based on a simple bioeconomic model. WLS estimation has been done to remove heteroscedastic disturbances. Estimated results show that actual yields of all varieties are still below maximum sustainable yield (MSY) except prawn, which has reached near optimal levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421313 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421313&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Author-Name: Barry Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: The Gibson paradox and the Gold Standard: evidence from the United Kingdom, 1821-1913 Abstract: The paper uses cointegration techniques and a variety of different price-level and interest-rate proxies to investigate the presence of the Gibson paradox in UK data for the period 1821-1913. Qualified evidence is found in favour of the paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: Do state appropriations influence cost efficiency in public higher education? Abstract: The note has two primary purposes. The first is to extend the literature examining costs in higher education to a frontier cost function framework. The second goal is to determine whether the source of funds in public higher education influences the degree of efficiency Results show that larger university systems are more efficient than smaller university systems. Also, the source of funds is important as states with the lowest and highest share of total expenditures provided by state appropriations are less efficient than states in the middle of the expenditure distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-719 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:715-719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Further results on the detection of asymmetric adjustment in macroeconomic time series Abstract: Cook recently revisited the seminal study of Granger and Lee on asymmetric error correction. Formal criteria found asymmetry to be detected less frequently than was initially suggested by informal inspection. Further results on the detection of asymmetry using the original author's data are provided here via the application of Sichel's univariate techniques. The increased detection of asymmetry using these alternative methods emphasizes previous results on the poor performance of the asymmetric error correction model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Learning-by-doing through knowledge capital: the case of South Korea (1971-1994) Abstract: Diffusion of knowledge capital and its impact on economic growth are discussed empirically for the case of South Korea (1971-1994). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421359 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421359&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marius Brulhart Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Brulhart Author-Name: Michael Thorpe Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Thorpe Title: Intra-industry trade and adjustment in Malaysia: puzzling evidence Abstract: The structure of Malysia's trade expansion over the high-growth period 1970-1994 and its implications for labour-market adjustment is examined. An econometric analysis of trade and employment data suggests that intra-industry trade is related with relatively large inter-industry payroll changes. Results therefore cast doubt over the widely held smooth-adjustment hypothesis of intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-733 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:729-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Elena Condon Author-X-Name-First: Maria Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Condon Author-Name: Carmen Marcuello Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Marcuello Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Title: Are health care functions stable? An application to the Canadian and US economies Abstract: The paper examines the stability of the long-run health care expenditure function for the Canadian and US economies. The use of Hansen, and Gregory and Hansen statistics leads to rejection of the stability of both functions. When the instability problems are solved through the inclusion of some dummy variables, it is found that the estimation of income elasticity significantly diminishes, especially for the Canadian economy, in such a way that one can no longer accept health care spending to be a luxury good in this economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421377 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421377&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Price-cap regulation and uncertain technical change Abstract: The paper studies the effect of price-cap regulation on the research behaviour of a regulated firm and an external developer who are pursuing an uncertain innovation. Contributions of this work include incorporating innovation uncertainty and imperfect appropriability of innovation rewards into the analysis. In contrast to existing literature, it is found that a tighter price-cap diminishes the incentives for cost-reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-742 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:739-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Roder Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Roder Author-Name: Roland Herrmann Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Herrmann Author-Name: John Connor Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Connor Title: Determinants of new product introductions in the US food industry: a panel-model approach Abstract: Economic theory suggests that market structure variables influence technical change, growth and new product introductions. Based on a broad data set for new product introductions in various food industries, it is elaborated in this article how market structure variables affect innovative activities in the US food sector. It is different from earlier studies in the way that cross-sectional and time-series data are combined and panel data models are used in the econometric analysis. A major result is that new product introductions are driven by market structure variables and industry-specific characteristics, i.e. fixed effects. A significant determinant of new food product introductions is the concentration ratio which affects the number of innovations in a nonlinear form. The fixed-effects estimates reveal a U-type effect of concentration on innovations. Furthermore, the number of firms, the degree of existing product differentiation and the size of a market show a positive influence on the number of innovations. From a methodological point of view, plain OLS models yield biased results on the concentration-innovation linkage and on the relationship between the size of a market and innovations. Therefore, it is very important to include sector-specific characteristics as is done in the fixed-effects models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-748 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:743-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rand Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Title: Is offering a degree in law an effective strategy for increasing state educational appropriations? Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between universities which house law schools and appropriations per student. Specifically, it is hypothesized that universities with law schools will have higher state appropriations, other things the same, because these universities are likely to have more alumni in the state legislature. This argument is supported by both Ordinary Least Squares and Two Stage Least Squares analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Del Rio Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Del Author-X-Name-Last: Rio Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Empirical regularities for the currencies of European monetary system during the 1976-1993 period Abstract: Empirical evidence about the behaviour of the exchange rates in terms of the US Dollar (USD) has shown different regularities (autocorrelation, daily seasonality, heteroscedasticicity, long memory). In this sense, we are interested in analysing the regularities that can be found in the behaviour of the European currencies in terms of Deutsche Mark (DEM) specifically those related to the mean because they could lead to the design of potentially exploitable strategies. The hypothesis is that the existence of a monetary system, which operates with bands around the bilateral central rate, can have an important influence on the behaviour of the exchange rates. Thus daily prices of four foreign currencies (French Franc (FRF), British Pound (GBP), Italian Lira (ITL) and Spanish Peseta (ESP)) are analysed over the period from 1 January 1976 to 31 December 1993. The results have confirmed a previous hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-764 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444750 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444750&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:755-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Towards a broader explanation of male-female wage differences Abstract: Most analyses of wage discrimination have followed the traditional Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of wage differences into endowment and discrimination components. This approach has neglected the possibility of wage discrimination at point of entry to the labour market and also the issue of selectivity bias. Using some recently developed techniques of Neumann and Oaxaca this paper decomposes male-female wage differences taking account of discrimination in terms of access to the labour market and also selectivity bias. It finds considerable evidence of discrimination at point of entry but that discrimination owing to selectivity bias is minimal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-770 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:765-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertain central bankers' preferences: some implications of multiplicative versus additive uncertainty Abstract: In this note the implications of modelling uncertainty in the parameters of the central banks loss function are examined in a multiplicative rather than additive manner. The implications for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and targets are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:771-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Low income energy assistance and disconnection in France Abstract: Electricite de France, the French monopoly provider of electricity, has been testing a number of new policy instruments to avoid disconnection among its low income customers. This paper uses decentralization, a common feature of social programmes, to identify the impact of Electricite de France's energy assistance programmes on the probability of disconnection for households with difficulties of payment. Naive estimates of programme impact are shown to be seriously biased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444787 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444787&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: The Sydney Olympic Games announcement and Australian stock market reaction Abstract: On 23 September 1993 the International Olympic Committee announced that Sydney would host the 2000 Olympic Games. Given the keen competition between rival cities bidding for the Olympics it could be argued that the winning city anticipates economic benefits to accrue from hosting the games. To the extent that this is valid, some stock market reaction may be found to the Olympic announcement. Testing the hypothesis for Australia the following results are found. First no overall impact on the stock market is found. Second, only a limited number of industries portfolios show a significant positive impact to the Olympic games announcement. Specifically the industry portfolios are: building materials, developers and contracts, engineering and miscellaneous services. This is consistent with the economic boost for the Olympics being in infrastructure and development and thus in the general building and construction sector. Third the results clearly demonstrate that for the industries where there was a significant positive stock market reaction to the Olympic Games announcement, that significant positive stock market reaction is confined to stocks based in the state which will host the games, New South Wales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444796 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444796&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: Are entrepreneurs different across countries? Abstract: Results show that there are significant differences across countries in terms of who becomes an entrepreneur. In particular age, gender and education were found to be key variables, although the nature and strength of the relationship varies considerably across countries. It was concluded that entrepreneurs are not a homogenous group in the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444804 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444804&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: The monetary approach to the exchange rate: empirical observations from Korea Abstract: This note re-examines the flexible-price monetary approach to the exchange rate between the Korean won and the three key currencies: the US dollar, the German mark and the Japanese yen. The note reports the important findings. First, at least one cointegrating vector exists, which indicates that an unrestricted flexible-price monetary model is a valid framework for analysing the long run exchange rate. Second, it is found that some popular monetary restrictions on this model are valid for the Korean won-German mark rate and the Korean won-Japanese yen rate: especially all variables in the model are correctly signed and mostly statistically significant for the Korean won-German mark rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-794 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:791-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Butterworth Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Butterworth Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Mispricing in stock index futures contracts: evidence for the FTSE 100 and FTSE mid 250 contracts Abstract: This paper investigates the pricing efficiency of the FTSE 100 and FTSE mid 250 index futures contracts traded in the UK. The results show that while there are many deviations from fair value, these are generally quite small in magnitude with both contracts tending to be efficiently priced. Although mispricings are larger and more persistent for the mid 250 contract than for the FTSE 100 contract, this is consistent with the larger transactions costs and difficulties associated with trading the illiquid constituents of the mid 250 index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-801 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:795-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Title: Monetary stability and interest-free banking revisited Abstract: This paper revisits the issue of the efficiency of the Islamic interest-free banking system. Recently, Yousefi et al. (1997) used a testing methodology proposed in Darrat (1988) and claimed that the evidence does not support interest-free banking in the case of Iran. However, by their own admission, the empirical results they report are consistent with the superiority of interest-free over interest-based banking system in Iran, in three out of the four operational criteria used. Only over one criterion, the monetary aggregate/price link, do Yousefi et al.'s results appear in conflict with the efficiency of the Islamic banking system. On this score too, it is shown that their 'evidence' is in doubt due to the possibility of significant specification errors. Once these errors are corrected, the results seem unanimous in their support of the efficiency of interest-free banking system in Iran. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Hua Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Decomposing changes in the Gini index by factor components Abstract: Changes in inequality as measured by the Gini index are decomposed into structural effects, real inequality effects and interactive effects. In light of such a decomposition, a refined version of the Kuznets hypothesis is proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Ex-day effects for rights issues in Hong Kong Abstract: In a fair/efficient market, the ex-adjustment in a rights offering should ensure that trading strategies around this date yield zero returns on average (after netting out market movements and transaction costs). This adjustment is assessed in this paper for one particular market - Hong Kong - which, a priori, offers a clearer picture of ex-adjustments given the general absence of market frictions (notably income and capital gains on locally-consummated share transactions). The analysis generally confirms an efficient adjustment process and also shows that perturbations from this correlate positively with the proportionate increase in the nominal share capital of the issuer, stemming from the rights issue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:5-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Carey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Carey Title: Inflation pressure and European unemployment Abstract: While the recent failure of unemployment to fall in many OECD economies is often attributed to labour market rigidities, there is a strong cross-sectional correlation between changes in unemployment since the last recession and changes in inflation over the same period (1993-1997). Furthermore, this linkage is dominated by the influence of initial (i.e. 1993) inflation. This can be interpreted in terms of two effects: countries with higher 1993 inflation had less scope for relaxation of monetary policy, and may have experienced larger increases in expected inflation. These inflation pressure effects in turn are related to the EMU inflation convergence criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:9-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis: panel data evidence from 96 countries Abstract: Regression results from a panel data set of high-quality comparable data on Gini coefficients, income quintiles and real GDP per capita in 96 countries over the postwar period, suggest that the relation between income inequality and development corresponds to an inverted-U, as hypothesized by Kuznets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-16 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:15-16 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertain central bankers preferences: some implications of multiplicative versus additive uncertainty Abstract: In this note the implications of modelling uncertainty in the parameters of the central banks loss function in a multiplicative rather than additive manner are examined. The implications for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and targets are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Competition in Major League Baseball: the impact expansion Abstract: Numerous empirical studies of competition within Major League Baseball (MLB) have highlighted the recent rise in competitive balance. While most explanations for the increased competitiveness have revolved around the establishment of the amateur draft or the introduction of free agency, the present paper maintains that the movement towards increased competition occurred much earlier. In particular, it is an outgrowth of the move to expand beyond the original 16 teams. The results from estimating the time-series behaviour of competitive balance within the two leagues suggests that the movement toward greater competitive balance occurred quickly after the two leagues began expanding. Finally, rather than use the conventional standard deviation measure for competitive balance, the present paper incorporates a more traditional measure of inequity, the Gini coefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Bergman Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bergman Title: Testing government solvency and the No Ponzi Game condition Abstract: The paper derives new conditions for government solvency. It is shown that the No Ponzi Game condition is satisfied when government debt is integrated of any finite order but not when government debt is an explosive process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:27-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Murali Jagannathan Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Jagannathan Title: The incidence and determinants of multiple corporate directorships Abstract: Contrary to the concerns of the Council of Institutional Investors and other shareholder activists, it is reported that the incidence of multiple board memberships appointments by corporate directors is low, with only 4% of the sample holding three or more seats. It is found that directors in regulated industries hold fewer board memberships than those in unregulated businesses. Firm size, board size, firm performance and corporate growth opportunities positively influence the number of directorships held by individual directors. It is further discovered that increased equity ownership of the firm by the board is associated with fewer external appointments by the board members. It is concluded that proposals to limit the number of directorships held by an individual may be ill-advised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Bargaining versus non-cooperation; transaction costs within marriage Abstract: Household labour supply models, which assume separate utility functions for the two principle household members, can be categorized as either non-cooperative or Pareto efficient bargaining games. In this paper a revealed preference non-parametric test is applied to UK family expenditure data to determine why some data observations are consistent with a Pareto efficient outcome. The empirical findings support the view that there are costs of bargaining within marriage and that they are typically related to the cost of female time. The implication being that as the cost of female time increases so do the transaction costs associated with a bargaining outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:37-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Title: Economies of scale in the Swiss nursing home industry Abstract: The paper examines costs in the Swiss nursing home industry, an issue of concern to Swiss policy makers because of the explosion of elderly care costs and the ageing of the population. The paper considers estimation of a translog cost function employing panel data for a sample of 36 nonprofit nursing homes operating in Ticino, a canton of Switzerland, over the period 1993-1995. Using a set of dummy variables quality differences are considered. The results of this analysis indicate the existence of economies of scale for most output levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Abbott Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: Adrian Darnell Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Darnell Author-Name: Lynne Evans Author-X-Name-First: Lynne Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: The influence of exchange rate variability on UK exports Abstract: This paper examines the influence of exchange rate variability on UK exports in the period of 'floating' sterling 1973Q2-1990Q3. Using the most recently developed bounds tests (appropriate when the cointegrating vector incorporates both I(1) or I(0) variables) the long-run demand for UK exports invariant to exchange rate variability is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: Beer and the business cycle Abstract: The beer industry has traditionally been viewed as 'recession-proof': drinkers will have their beer notwithstanding the ecomomy's ups and downs. Few empirical studies have examined the veracity of the claim of beer's non-cyclicality and none have used monthly data. This paper uses an error-correction specification to test the sensitivity o mfonthly beer consumption to cyclical macro-economic variables over the period January 1955-December 1994. Strong support was found for the traditional view: beer is mostly immune to economic cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A robust estimation of hedonic price models: least absolute deviations estimation Abstract: Conventional parametric estimation of the hedonic price models is not robust to heteroscedastic and/or non-normal error structure. This paper applies least absolute deviations (LAD) estimation as a robust approach to estimating the hedonic price models, using the Korea housing markets data. The paper finds that LAD estimation produces more reasonable results and that it proves robust in a situation where other estimation results based on various functional form models produce inaccurate or misleading results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Angela Bate Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Bate Title: Testing the assumptions of rationality, continuity and symmetry when applying discrete choice experiments in health care Abstract: In the absence of revealed preference behaviour, economists use experimental techniques to estimate welfare changes. Such an approach relies on a number of assumptions concerning individual behaviour. This paper uses a discrete choice experiment to test three of these assumptions - rationality, continuity and symmetry. The experiment was carried out with users of a rheumatology clinic in the Grampian area of Scotland and was concerned with preferences for a specialist-nurse-led clinic. Two tests of 'rationality' were included in the experiment. Tests were carried out to see if respondents always chose on the basis of their preferred staffing, suggesting discontinuities in the utility function. The axiom of symmetry was tested using a split sample design, with respondents divided into two groups. Each group received a different questionnaire that varied with respect to the order of the choices. Over 30% of respondents provided at least one 'irrational' response. Such respondents did not differ significantly in their characteristics from 'rational' responses, suggesting that utility estimates would not be biased if this group were excluded from the analysis. Seventeen per cent of respondents showed signs of having non-compensatory utility functions. Evidence was found to support the axiom of symmetry. Future work should explore the axioms of rationality and continuity in more detail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Habib Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Habib Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Title: Effects of monetary variables on real output: sensitivity analysis Abstract: This paper uses Leamer's sensitivity test in a VAR framework and examines the robustness of the relationship between different monetary and output variables. Output variables at the aggregated level include GDP, consumption, and gross private investment. Disaggregated variables comprise components of consumption (durables, non-durables and services) and investment (business inventories, fixed residential, and fixed nonresidential). All aggregated variables are robustly Granger caused by M2, the federal funds rate and the federal funds 3-months treasury rate spread. At the disaggregated level, only consumption of durables is Granger caused by these variables. Consumption of services, business inventories, and non-residential fixed investment are only Granger caused by money supply variables, while consumption of non-durable goods and residential investment are Granger caused by interest rates and/or interest rate spreads only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:65-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Pozo Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Pozo Author-Name: Lucia Amboj Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Amboj Title: Noise reduction methods and the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm. A simulation study Abstract: The behaviour of the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm is analysed when applied to noisy data and the possibility of improving its performance by pre-filtering the series with some of the noise reduction methods proposed in the literature. The results, obtained from series simulated from well known chaotic systems with different levels of noise added, allow us to conclude: (1) that the distortion caused by noise is unequal, and (2) that the best result is obtained when the series are pre-processed by means of the 'singular value decomposition' method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:71-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mushinski Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mushinski Title: Using non-parametrics to inform parametric tests of Kuznets' hypothesis Abstract: Simon Kuznets hypothesized that inequality in a country's distribution of income worsens in the early stages of its economic development and that the inequality improves as the country reaches higher stages of development (the 'inverted U hypothesis'). Empirical support for the inverted U hypothesis has been mixed. In testing Kuznets hypothesis, analysts have specified a variety of parametric forms for the relationship between inequality and development, including a quadratic form (a second-degree polynomial). Using data on income distributions on Native American reservations in the USA, the present analysis indicates that non-parametric estimates of the relationship can inform a parametric analysis. Specifically, while a regression with a second-degree polynomial finds mixed support for the hypothesis, the non-parametric analysis suggests the presence of such an inverse relationship. Indeed, the non-parametric form suggests that a polynomial of greater degree might better capture the relationship between economic development and income inequality. Hypothesis testing supports estimating a fourth-degree polynomial rather than a second-degree polynomial. All terms in the fourth-degree polynomial are statistically significant and the estimated coefficients support the Kuznets hypothesis. These regression results counsel caution in testing the inverted U hypothesis by estimating only parametric forms which produce strictly concave functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:77-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of Schumpeterian dynamics Abstract: Two key element of Schumpeterian dynamics - new innovations in technology and creative destruction - are used here to develop a growth model, which is then applied empirically for two economies: Japan and Korea in their rapid phases of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-84 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:81-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Purnendu Nath Author-X-Name-First: Purnendu Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Title: Estimates of the continuous time Cox-Ingersoll-Ross term structure model: further results for the UK gilt-edged market Abstract: Estimates are made of multi-factor versions of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model of the term structure of interest rates using the Kalman filter. Estimates are obtained using weekly UK Gilt-edged market data over the period 1982-1997. Empirical results support the need for a multi-factor model and support recent findings of Babbs and Nowman for this market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Sayan Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Sayan Author-Name: Arzdar Kiraci Author-X-Name-First: Arzdar Author-X-Name-Last: Kiraci Title: Identification of parametric policy options for rehabilitating a pay-as-you-go based pension system: an optimization analysis for Turkey Abstract: Publicly managed pension systems operating on the basis of pay-as-you-go (PAYG) schemes face financial difficulties worldwide. The expenditure-revenue balances of such a system are determined jointly by the selected configuration of system parameters, and interrelated developments in the labour market and demographic structure. In a country where pension coverage is compulsory, these developments occur completely beyond the control of pension system administrators implying that any imbalances that may arise over time can be corrected only by adjusting the existing configuration of contribution and replacement rates, and minimum retirement ages. It can be shown, however, that there are infinitely many configurations of these system parameters that could be used to maintain a selected intertemporal balance between the amounts of contributions collected from workers and pensions paid to the retirees. This paper describes an algorithm developed to identify all possible configurations compatible with this goal and illustrates its use with reference to the pension reform debate in Turkey, a country whose PAYG-based pension system already faces a severe financial crisis despite a relatively young workforce/population. The results indicate that for contribution and replacement rates to remain around their current values, the minimum retirement age must be increased substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-93 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:89-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Concentration of international trade in high-technology products Abstract: International trade in high-technology products has been increasing at a rate faster than overall trade and world output. This paper examines whether trade in high-technology products has been associated with increased concentration of trade among a few countries. The paper explores market shares of leading exporters of high-technology products and concentration of trade in these products, measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. The main finding is that trade concentration in high-technology products has declined during the 1980-1996 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Title: Estimating the contribution of public capital with times series production functions: a case of unreliable inference Abstract: This paper assesses the magnitude of bias in reported estimates of the productive contribution of public capital stock to private factors productivity and growth. The standard approach is taken, based on a production function, in order to estimate structural parameters on simulated pseudo samples generated from a stochastic general equilibrium model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-103 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:99-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Denning Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Denning Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Robert Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Title: Serial bankruptcy: plan infeasibility or just bad luck? Abstract: Through a comparison of serial and once bankrupt firms over the period 1970-1996, those factors that lead to a successful reorganization are examined. It is found that serial bankrupt firms generally fail to restructure their top management around the time of their initial reorganization while over 70% of the sample of once bankrupt firms replace their senior executives. Serial bankrupt firms increase their level of fixed payments, are less able to lower their debt coupon rate and issue more equity than their once-bankrupt matches. It is further found that firm growth, performance, liquidity and size are associated with a greater likelihood of a successful reorganization. Firm risk as measured by financial leverage increases the probability of a subsequent bankruptcy. These results are useful to both bankruptcy courts and corporate managers seeking to discriminate between feasible and unrealistic reorganization plans following bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: John Sessions Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sessions Title: Actual and optimal labour supply Abstract: The implications of assuming a coincidence of actual and desired work hours for labour supply estimates are investigated. Results suggest significant differences in the wage elasticities of British male employees reporting that their work hours have been constrained vis-a-vis those reporting satisfaction with actual hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Ranking economics departments in the US South Abstract: A ranking is provided of Southern economics departments and Southern economists using research output data indexed by the Journal of Economic Literature's EconLit database from 1982-1997. Ranking results from a smaller 'core' of each Southern institution's American Economic Association members (the top five) is compared with a ranking which employs scholarly production from all of a department's AEA members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:115-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Terregrossa Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Terregrossa Title: Robust informational tests on the CAPM Abstract: The paper demonstrates the existence of an independent informational content in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that financial analysts are not fully utilizing in their forecast-generating mechanism. This existence is discovered by regressing actual values of five-year firm earnings growth against financial analysts ex-ante forecasts and simulated ex-ante forecasts generated by the CAPM. Regressions are run over a cross-section of firms for each of four adjacent five-year horizons: January 1982-1987; 1983-1988; 1984-1989; 1985-1990. In three out of four test periods, the coefficient of the CAPM forecasts is significantly positive. This is essentially the same experiment with the same results as obtained previously, with one exception: a diagnostic analysis and corrective procedures are performed and results are generated that are heteroscedasticity-robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204183 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204183&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Jesus Miguel Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Miguel Title: Testing heteroscedasticity: are parametric ARCH models appropriate? Abstract: Many researchers have used parametric ARCH models to specify the conditional variance of financial series. However, the usual tests do not provide any information on the form of the conditional variance. The objective of this paper is to present a test for heteroscedasticity, i.e. to decide whether the use of the parametric model can be justified. The test statistic is based on the distance between a non-parametric and a parametric estimator for the conditional variance. The critical values are calculated using a bootstrap method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:125-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Peter Hans Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Peter Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Paul Sommers Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sommers Title: Net interstate migration revisited Abstract: The paper revisits the work of Sommers and Suits on net interstate migration in the USA. Adopting the same framework, consideration is given to the effects of differences in income, welfare expenditures, employment opportunities and 'regional preferences' on the behaviour of migrants in the mid-1990s. The question is asked whether variations in health insurance coverage have produced interstate 'job lock'. The robustness of the model is also evaluated in some detail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barron Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barron Author-Name: Beck Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Beck Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: John Umbeck Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Umbeck Title: New evidence on price discrimination and retail configuration Abstract: In a frequently cited paper in the industrial organization literature, Shepard examines the extent to which gasoline stations can price discriminate by offering both selfand full-service gasoline rather than offering only a single service choice. Given the idiosyncratic nature of the data used in Shepard's original study and the recommendations of the author, this issue is re-examined using a larger and richer data set with a more typical smaller proportion of full-service-only stations. Using a panel of station-level data from the Los Angeles retail gasoline market from 1992'1995, Shepard's original findings are confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Author-Name: Ananda Weliwita Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Weliwita Title: Testing for relative economic efficiency without imposing arbitrary farm size Abstract: Past test of differences in economic efficiency between small and large farms in developing countries used arbitrary criteria to divide samples of farms into the two size groups. Given the inferential danger from such arbitrary groupings, this paper presents a method for conducting the efficiency tests where the cut-off point between small and large farms is determined statistically. The test is applied to dryland food grain farming in Morocco. The estimated cut-off point was significantly different from the conventional one, but the efficiency test results were similar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-144 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:141-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nilss Olekalns Author-X-Name-First: Nilss Author-X-Name-Last: Olekalns Title: Cyclical asymmetries in Australian macroeconomic data Abstract: The concepts of steepness and deepness are used to investigate the existence of asymmetries at the business cycle frequencies in a number of Australian macroeconomic time series. The results suggest that Australian macroeconomic variables do not display any detectable asymmetries at the business cycle frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Borland Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Joe Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: Data reduction of discrete responses: an application of cluster analysis Abstract: One form of data reduction is cluster analysis which is used to separate detailed data into constituent groups. This paper illustrates a useful application of cluster analysis to the data reduction of detailed discrete responses of a type that are often found in large surveys. This method is illustrated using the ABS Training and Education Experience Survey 1993a (TEES). This survey provides a detailed range of information on individuals' computer skills. The information given in the survey is simplified by using a form of cluster analysis to combine categories of computer ability and skills. Wage equations are estimated using different assumptions on the degree of clustering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gita Persand Author-X-Name-First: Gita Author-X-Name-Last: Persand Title: Seasonality in Southeast Asian stock markets: some new evidence on day-of-the-week effects Abstract: This paper examines the evidence for a day-of-the-week effect in five Southeast Asian stock markets: South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand. Findings indicate significant seasonality for three of the five markets. Market risk, proxied by the return on the FTA World Price Index, is not sufficient to explain this calendar anomaly. Although an extension of the risk-return equation to incorporate interactive seasonal dummy variables can explain some significant day-of-the-week effects, market risk alone appears insufficient to characterize this phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Measuring scale and scope economies in multiproduct banking? A stochastic frontier cost function approach Abstract: Most studies on the economies of scale and scope in the banking industry assume no x-inefficiencies. That is, banks are assumed to be always on their efficient frontier, which can in empirical studies confound scale and scope efficiencies with x-efficiencies. The current paper employs a stochastic frontier cost function incorporating technical and allocative inefficiencies, as well as a system of share equations, to estimate scale and scope efficiencies. Using data from Taiwan's banking industry, evidence is found that both scale and scope economies exist, and that the assumption of no x-inefficiencies results in underestimating such economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Jeffrey Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: C. Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Title: Unionism and poverty-level wages in the service sector: the case of Nevada's hotel-casino industry Abstract: A significant union presence in Las Vegas's hotel-casino industry juxtaposed to the near absence of union representation in Reno provides a unique setting to assess the impact of unions on the incidence poverty-level wages among workers in a highprofile, expanding service sector industry. Results of the analysis show a significantly higher incidence of poverty-level wages among hotel-casino workers in Reno compared to workers in the identical occupations in Las Vegas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Lekakis Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Lekakis Author-Name: Maria Kousis Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Kousis Title: Demand for and supply of environmental quality in the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis Abstract: Demand for and supply of environmental quality, which constitute the underlying forces that lead to turning points of Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKCs), are only implicitly referred to in the fast growing literature. Unlike conventional approaches to EKCs, which look at indices of single pollutants per capita as per capita incomes rise, this paper estimates the impact of GDP per capita on all actions per capita seeking environmental quality in Greece, Spain and Portugal during the period 1974-1994. The findings indicate that rising GDP per capita leads to higher environmental actions per capita, implying either that we are on the rising segment of an EKC or that EKCs do not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:169-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Torben Drewes Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Drewes Title: Are there biases in German bilateral aid allocations Abstract: This paper presents new evidence on the nature of German bilateral foreign aid allocations. In particular, the paper focuses on the question of whether there are population and middle-income biases present in the disbursement of German assistance. Using data on German bilateral aid to 85 countries from 1973 to 1995 evidence supporting existence of a population bias is found, but no evidence is found of a middle-income bias. A bias, however, associated with a recipient's coverage under the Lome Convention is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-177 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:173-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Sachsida Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Sachsida Author-Name: Roberto Ellery Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ellery Author-Name: Joanilio Rodolpho Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Joanilio Rodolpho Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Uncovered interest parity and the peso problem: the Brazilian case Abstract: The uncovered interest parity (UIP) test for Brazil is presented from the standpoint of rational expectations hypothesis. The period is January 1984 to October 1998. The econometric tests validate the UIP just for the sub-period January 1990 to June 1994. The result suggests fail with the UIP in the Real Plan, validating the theoretical point proposed by Krasker. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-181 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:179-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Index futures trading and spot price volatility Abstract: A modified Levene statistic and a switching GARCH(1,1)-MA(1) model are employed to examine the impact of index futures contracts on the volatility of the spot market. The findings suggest that, following the introduction of index futures, the volatility of stock returns in the USA, France, Japan and Australia, rose significantly, while no significant changes in the volatility were found in the UK and Hong Kong. The different results might be attributed to macroeconomic factors and the structure of the various markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rene Teboul Author-X-Name-First: Rene Author-X-Name-Last: Teboul Author-Name: Emmanuelle Moustier Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuelle Author-X-Name-Last: Moustier Title: Foreign aid and economic growth: the case of the countries south of the Mediterranean Abstract: Mediterranean countries provide a test case for examining the effectiveness of foreign capital in promoting economic growth. Focusing on the supply side of the economy, the econometric model answers two questions, using available panel data from 1960 to 1996: does foreign aid have a positive impact on growth of per capita income? does aid substitute or complete domestic savings? Three significant results are found: aid efficiency is indirect, it is dependent on the way it will be transmitted to other exogenous variables, specially to savings and to FDI and thus, on the efforts of the Mediterranean countries to change in-depth their productive structure; aid must be differentiated, in its contents as well as in its objectives depending on the development model of the beneficiary country; aid must be more regular. Aid allocation south of the Mediterranean is often chaotic and caused by geopolitical logic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504577 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504577&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Identifying the external effects of human capital: a two-stage approach Abstract: In this study microdata from the Guatemala household Survey are analysed using a testable model of endogenous growth in order to detect any external effects of education. In the first stage of the analysis, a wage equation is estimated and the internal effects of education are filtered out. In the second stage, the resulting industry wage premiums are regressed on average human capital as well as industry-specific characteristics to account for external effects. While stronger conclusions cannot be drawn, the hypothesis that external effects may be present cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Albala-Bertrand Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Albala-Bertrand Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: Is public infrastructure productive? Evidence from Chile Abstract: This study assesses the extent to which public infrastructures have contributed to output in the Chilean economy over the period 1960-1995. For the long-run, it uses a vector error correction model for cointegration tests, while for the short-run, it resorts to the use of impulse response functions and variance decompositions. The results appear to show that public infrastructures in Chile have been significantly productive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:195-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Cecchini Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Cecchini Title: A logit analysis of the car market Abstract: The model presented associates demands for differentiated products, defined by a nested multinomial logit model, to an oligopolistic supply offered by multiproduct firms. An application is performed on the French car market. The characteristics of the vehicles and of the individuals that have an influence on the choices and the producer margins are defined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: E. Antony Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Australia and the three little dragons: are their equity markets interdependent? Abstract: This paper analyses price linkages between the equity market of Australia and those of Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan using cointegration, Granger-causality, variance decomposition and impulse response analyses based on MSCI database covering the period 1975-1995. The results show that the Australian market is not significantly linked with any of these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504612 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504612&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gun Sundberg Author-X-Name-First: Gun Author-X-Name-Last: Sundberg Title: A note to Jaume Puig Junoy and Angel Lopez Nicolas, Assessing health care infrastructure at the regional level: a statistical approach. Applied Economics Letters, 1995, 2, 463-6 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-209 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:209-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Ex-day effects for rights issues in Hong Kong Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:210-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Julian Escario Author-X-Name-First: Jose Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Escario Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Testing for the rational addiction hypothesis in Spanish tobacco consumption Abstract: This paper tests whether tobacco consumption generates addiction in Spanish people and, if so, then whether such addiction can be explained in the context of rational addiction theory. To that end, time-series data of per-capita consumption and prices of tobacco during the period 1964 to 1995 are employed. The results show the addictive and rational character of Spanish tobacco consumption, which implies that smokers fall into addiction after a maximization process of the utility that was obtained during their total lifetime, taking into account the future consequences of current decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103854 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103854&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Swati Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Swati Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: W. Jos Jansen Author-X-Name-First: W. Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Title: Has the emergence of China hurt Asian exports? Abstract: It is investigated as to whether the exports of manufactured products by the South Asian and South East Asian countries have been negatively affected by the rise of China. Using a panel data approach, it is found that increases in world market shares of China are statistically correlated with declines in world market shares for some Asian countries since 1994, but not before 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theo Hitiris Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: Hitiris Author-Name: John Nixon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Nixon Title: Convergence of health care expenditure in the EU countries Abstract: The European Union's common policies for market integration have also had an impact on the health care sectors. A panel of EU member states' data reveals that their health care expenditures exhibit β-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:223-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Egger Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Egger Author-Name: Michael Pfaffermayr Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaffermayr Title: A note on labour productivity and foreign inward direct investment Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) is not only a transfer of capital, but a complex bundle of capital and firm-specific assets. In particular, the transfer of production know-how improves overall productivity of FDI-receiving firms and to some extent also that of the other firms due to spillovers. The present note uses a small panel of Austrian manufacturing sectors and investigates this hypothesis empirically. In a flexible CES-framework, general and labour-augmenting productivity improving effects of inward FDI are found. Thus, the job creation potential of FDI highlighted in previous studies is likely to be overestimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-232 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103917 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103917&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:229-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Andreou Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Andreou Author-Name: Rita Desiano Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Desiano Author-Name: Marianne Sensier Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Sensier Title: The behaviour of stock returns and interest rates over the business cycle in the US and UK Abstract: The paper studies the dynamic behaviour of the conditional mean and volatility of weekly financial variables in relation to the business cycle for the USA and UK economies. The mean US S&P stock returns steadily increases before a recession, then declines approximately six weeks prior to the trough date. Volatility reaches a local maximum 6 weeks prior to the recession, then peaks with the business cycle peak, but falls prior to the trough where the minimum is reached three weeks before. In the UK the FTSE volatility also falls before a recession but reaches its maximum 10 weeks after the peak date and has its minimum after the trough. Similarly, US interest rates are falling before a recession but there is no clear effect in the UK. The volatility of UK interest rates increases before and after the recession date. Overall more leading indicator information is provided by US stock returns and short interest rates whereas the respective UK variables seem to lag the business cycle phases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103935 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103935&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moon-Kee Kong Author-X-Name-First: Moon-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Hoe-Kyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hoe-Kyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Income-related inequalities in health: some evidence from Korean panel data Abstract: Using individual-level Korean panel data, it is shown that inequalities in health favour higher income groups. A close relationship is also found between health inequality and income inequality across time, supporting previous studies which used cross-sectional data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103953 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103953&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacek Cukrowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Cukrowski Author-Name: Emil Stavrev Author-X-Name-First: Emil Author-X-Name-Last: Stavrev Title: Central bank seigniorage in the Czech Republic Abstract: The concept of total gross seigniorage is used to analyse sources and uses of central bank seigniorage in the Czech Republic during the period 1993-1997. A comprehensive framework for measuring total seigniorage and its main components is presented and estimates of seigniorage revenues (sources and uses) are computed and analysed. The study explains why the concept of monetary seigniorage should not be used as an estimate of government gains from money creation and shows that seigniorage revenues have never been extensively used as a tool for financing expenditures of the Czech government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-247 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:243-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: T. Zohar Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Zohar Title: Nonparametric analysis of portfolio efficiency Abstract: A nonparametric method is empirically applied here to test the efficiency in performance of mutual fund portfolios. It provides a more flexible and robust alternative to the traditional mean variance theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-252 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:249-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chor-Yiu Sin Author-X-Name-First: Chor-Yiu Author-X-Name-Last: Sin Author-Name: Wing-Fai Leung Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Fai Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Impacts of FDI liberalization on investment inflows Abstract: Developing economies often impose restrictions on foreign direct investment (FDI). In recent years many developing economies liberalize external trade as well as FDI inflows. The economists have neglected the importance of government policies on economic performance until recently. This paper makes use of the panel data from different economies in order to provide a clearer picture on the FDI inflows. The results confirm that the governments are successful in absorbing foreign capital inflows through more liberal policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-256 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104015 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104015&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:253-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Enders Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Enders Title: Improved critical values for the Enders-Granger unit-root test Abstract: Enders and Granger provide critical values to test the null hypothesis of a unit-root against the alternative of threshold adjustment. However, in obtaining their critical values, Enders and Granger did not use a consistent estimate of the threshold nor did they use a lag-augmented data generating process. This note remedies both of these problems. The power of the test statistics using the consistent estimate of the threshold are compared to those of Enders-Granger and of Dickey-Fuller. Surprisingly, the original Enders-Granger statistic often has the highest power. As such, the Enders-Granger statistic using a lag-augmented data generating process is calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-261 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104033 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104033&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:257-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Asli Bayar Author-X-Name-First: Asli Author-X-Name-Last: Bayar Author-Name: Ozgur Berk Kan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Berk Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Title: Stock returns, seasonality and asymmetric conditional volatility in world equity markets Abstract: The paper tests four hypotheses at the same time using an autoregressive return-generating process and an asymmetric conditional variance specification, both also including deterministic day of the week dummies. The daily stock index returns from 19 countries are employed to test: (H1) predictable time variation in conditional volatility; (H2) asymmetry in volatility and leverage effect; (H3) effects of estimated volatility on returns; and (H4) day of the week effects on both returns and their volatility. Evidence is provided for predictable time varying daily volatility in all markets among which eight also exhibit a significant leverage effect. There is a significantly positive relationship between returns and their conditional volatility in only three countries. The nature of the day of the week effects on returns and their conditional volatility differs greatly among countries and across days. Thirteen countries exhibit seasonality in either mean returns (seven countries) or volatility (eight countries) or both (two countries). Each day is at least once reported to exhibit significant positive and negative effects in both mean and volatility with the exception that there is no negative effect on mean returns and no positive effect in volatility on Wednesdays. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-268 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104051 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104051&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:263-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Author-Name: Rafal Wojakowski Author-X-Name-First: Rafal Author-X-Name-Last: Wojakowski Title: On the expected payoff and true probability of exercise of European options Abstract: The continuous-time formula for expected payoff to holding an option, which nests several major pricing tools, is derived. It is shown also that under current market conditions the true exercise probability, N (d4), lies halfway between the two more familiar terms: N (d1) and N (d2). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-271 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:269-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio del Rosal Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio del Author-X-Name-Last: Rosal Author-Name: Alberto Fonseca Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Fonseca Title: Rent-seeking measurement by means of labour unrest in trade-related adjustment processes. A note Abstract: The purpose of this work is to discuss an empirical method to estimate the social costs originated by the rent-seeking behaviour in declining industries. Due to competition from imports, the factors of one particular industry undergo losses in real income, and have incentives to seek protection. In the case of declining industries, workers play a central role and the losses in output due to strikes are used to quantify the social cost of rent-seeking. This approach is applied to the case of Spanish coal mining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Ken Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Causality between trade and tourism: empirical evidence from China Abstract: Current literature concerning tourism forecasting points out the role played by international trade in affecting international tourism flows. This study investigates the nature of causal relationship, if any, between international tourism and international trade flows using the case of China. The study applies the Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto in a vector autoregresion (VAR) model, and attempts to improve previous tourism forecasting studies, in the context of tourist demand function, by identifying the direction of the endogeniety between tourist travel and international trade. Findings indicate a two-way Granger causality between international travel and international trade and hence imply that trade flows do link with tourism in the case of China. Thus, previous tourism forecasting studies using a single equation approach may lead to biased estimates since they fail to consider possible feedbacks between international trade and international tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104114 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104114&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiqiang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The effects of economic reforms on wage inequality: some evidence from China Abstract: The effects of economic reforms on wage inequality in China are investigated. The results, based on a sample of workers who joined the labour force during the reform period, show that economic reforms have increased wage inequality and over 90 percent of the wage differential is attributable to the rise in returns to human capital as a result of economic reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antony Dnes Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Dnes Title: Commitment in licensing contracts: an application of hostage analysis Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:289-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Toolsema Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Toolsema Title: Reserve requirements and double Bertrand competition among banks Abstract: The paper considers a model of double Bertrand competition among banks, in which banks compete for deposits as well as loans. It is shown that the introduction of reserve requirements can have an effect on the existence and efficiency properties of Nash equilibria of this model. This provides a new rationale for imposing reserve requirements on banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-293 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157404 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157404&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:291-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loren Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Input aggregation and computed technical efficiency Abstract: Using data simulated from a random production function it is shown that technical efficiency estimates computed by Data Envelopment Analysis are biased even if the exact aggregator function is used to aggregate inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:295-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramon Tremosa-Balcells Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Tremosa-Balcells Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Title: Measuring monetary policy shocks in the European Monetary Union Abstract: The paper tries to estimate whether a unique and centralized European monetary policy would have had similar or different effects across countries in the European Union. By estimating a vector auto-regression (VAR model), it is revealed that there are two different groups of countries with considerable differences in the response to changes in the monetary policy. Germany and the North-Central European countries would be less sensitive to these changes, whereas the Mediterranean countries (and Belgium) would be noticeably more sensitive to the mentioned variations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-303 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:299-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Akira Tokihisa Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Tokihisa Title: Seasonal cointegration and the money demand function: some evidence from Japan Abstract: The stability of the Japanese money demand function is empirically analysed employing the notion of seasonal cointegration. It is found that money balances, interest rates, and real GDP have unit roots in different cycles. The seasonal cointegration tests reveals that seasonal cointegration is rejected in every case. This fact indicates that no stable relationship exists between money supply and the real economy during the period under analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:305-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: Linkages among agricultural commodity futures prices: evidence from Tokyo Abstract: This paper investigates alternative explanations of long-term comovements among the prices of agricultural commodity futures contracts. A long-term interdependency of these prices can exist because of common economic fundamentals or herd behaviour by market participants. An analysis of Tokyo Grain Exchange futures prices supports the common economic fundamentals hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-313 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:311-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Public pension and wealth inequality in Canada Abstract: A methodology for estimating public pension wealth is presented and employed to cross-sectional data of Canadian households. Public pension wealth is measured as the present value of the future stream of benefits from public retirement savings plans in Canada. These plans include the Canada/Quebec pension plan, old age security and guaranteed income supplements. The results show that public pension wealth constituted 47% of household entitlement wealth and that the provision of public pension benefits significantly reduced wealth inequality in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:315-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Copeland Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Copeland Author-Name: Sally-Anne Jones Author-X-Name-First: Sally-Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Default probabilities of European sovereign debt: market-based estimates Abstract: For a number of EMU member Governments, prices of their (mainly) DM-denominated debt are compared with otherwise identical debt issued by the German Government, so as to extract implied risk-neutral default probabilities. In most cases, the probabilities are small, though in the case of Italy they average over 4% even under the most conservative assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157521 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157521&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:321-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shengxiu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Shengxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Testing models of growth - a two-sector model of the USA Abstract: The paper makes two contributions to the literature on economic growth. Firstly, a two-sector growth model is extended to consider m -types of capital. Conditions are identified which aid classification of models as either exogenous or endogenous. Secondly, a preliminary empirical application based upon US annual data 1959-1990 finds in favour of 'observational equivalence' of exogenous and endogenous explanations of growth, whereas a 'second-round' of testing suggests weak evidence in favour of an exogenous explanation of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-329 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:325-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Title: On the welfare gain from stabilizing cyclical fluctuations Abstract: Welfare gains of optimal cyclical fiscal policies as computed from previous dynamic general equilibrium models seem to be small and generally do not exceed 1% of total consumption if preferences are described by a standard isoelastic utility function. It is demonstrated that the assumption of certainty equivalence and the negligence of binding constraints results in the underestimation of the magnitude of potential welfare effects from stabilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N'zue Fofana Author-X-Name-First: N'zue Author-X-Name-Last: Fofana Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: GARCH option pricing with implied volatility Abstract: Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) option pricing models (OPM) with historical volatility have proven superior to the log-normality assumption of the Black option pricing model with historical volatility. This paper estimates implied volatilities from GARCH OPM. The estimated implied volatilities are used to forecast option premia. The GARCH OPM with implied volatility provided more accurate estimates of option premia than the Black option pricing model with implied volatility for options ranging from six to sixteen days to maturity. For options ranging from 21 to 50 days to maturity the Black OPM with implied volatility was more accurate than the GARCH OPM with implied volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:335-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Author-Name: Helen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Modelling commodity prices using continuous time models Abstract: Nine continuous time models applied to metal prices are applied, following a recent study of these models on Eurocurrency interest rate data by Nowman (1998). In particular models for copper, gold, nickel, silver and tin are estimated and it is found that the volatility of prices is highly dependent on the level of prices for these metals and is larger than usually assumed in these models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Benrud Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Benrud Title: The negative relationship between the average and dispersion of stock analysts' buy/hold/sell opinions Abstract: This paper measures the relationship between the level of stock analysts opinions and the dispersion of those opinions. The proposed theory is that analysts notice when there is less agreement and tend to lower their reported opinions in such cases. Hence, the thesis of the paper is that a negative relationship exists between the level of analysts opinions of a given stock and the dispersion of those opinions. Using a sample selection process that controls for outliers and the effect that the varying number-of-analysts per stock might introduce, this paper analyses the opinions of 245 stocks from the Standard and Poor's 500. With respect to the main thesis, all the test statistics have the correct sign; however, some statistics are not significant or are only marginally significant. One innovative random variable used in the tests involves assigning to a stock the cumulative distribution function value associated with the standard deviation of the opinions conditional on the average and number of those opinions. This procedure rescales the data so that comparisons can be made between stocks with different average opinions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157620 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157620&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akbar Marvasti Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Marvasti Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The impact of trend and cyclical behaviour of inventories and inflation on barter Abstract: This paper extends analyses of the determinants of the level of transactions among barter exchanges in the US economy by separating the trend elements of the explanatory variables from their cyclical elements. The results suggest that the level of barter is positively influenced by the expected inflation as well as by the rising unexpected business inventories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:351-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Convergence of labour's factor reward between regions of the EU Abstract: This note reports research undertaken to establish whether the factor price for labour has converged across regions of the European Union between 1980 and 1994. A Markov chain is employed to examine relative average regional pay for a cross-section of 57 EU regions. Results suggest average regional pay converged over the whole period. This finding supports the hypothesis that economically integrating economies face a progressively similar level of factor rewards. However, the process slowed around 1992 and the reason for this warrants investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157666 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157666&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Joshy Easaw Author-X-Name-First: Joshy Author-X-Name-Last: Easaw Title: Unemployment hysteresis and the NAIRU: a ratchet model Abstract: In the 1970s and 1980s the USA and European economies experienced unemployment rates that persistently drifted upwards. The present paper captures this phenomenon by a simple extension of the hysteresis approach to the natural rate hypothesis of unemployment using a ratchet model. The impact of peak unemployment levels on unemployment hysteresis is incorporated using a traditional ratchet model. The model is estimated for the USA economy for the period 1948 to 1998. The results indicate that the relationship approximates a full hysteresis effect for peak-to-peak unemployment levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Temporal aggregation and time deformation Abstract: Building upon the results of Rossana and Seater (1995) the impact of temporal aggregation on Stock's (1987) tests of time deformation is examined. Using disaggregated UK consumption data the effect of temporal aggregation is found to be substantial, masking the non-linearity present in higher frequency data Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-365 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237784 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237784&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:363-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: C. Coskun Kucukozmen Author-X-Name-First: C. Coskun Author-X-Name-Last: Kucukozmen Title: The empirical distribution of stock returns: evidence from an emerging European market Abstract: There is now substantial evidence that daily equity returns are not normally distributed, but instead display significant leptokurtosis and, in many cases, skewness. Considerable effort has been made in order to capture these empirical characteristics using a range of statistical distributions. However, the evidence to date is confined entirely to the returns of developed stock markets, and in particular to the USA. In this paper, the daily returns of a large emerging European stock market, Turkey, are modelled. Two very flexible families of distributions that have recently been introduced are employed: the exponential generalized beta (EGB) and the skewed generalized t (SGT). These distributions permit very diverse levels of skewness and kurtosis and, between them, nest most of the distribution previously considered in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237793 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237793&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Real per capita GNP of USA: examination of the presence of a unit root via overdifferencing Abstract: This letter examines the first difference of the logarithm of real per capita GNP of the USA (approximately growth rate) to see whether it possesses a moving average unit root (overdifferencing). The presence of such a moving average unit root implies that the logarithm of real per capita GNP of the USA has no unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-375 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010001084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010001084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:373-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: Testing the null of stationarity in the presence of a structural break Abstract: A test for stationarity in the presence of a structural break is proposed. An unknown break point is endogenously determined at the value minimizing the test statistic. The break point can be estimated reasonably well under the null hypothesis of stationarity, especially when the magnitude of the break is large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:377-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Author-Name: Jose Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Title: Cost and profit efficiency in banking: an international comparison of Europe, Japan and the USA Abstract: This study analyses the cost and profit efficiency of a sample of 14 countries of the European Union, as well as Japan and the USA. The results obtained show that since the start of the 1990s increasing competition has led to gains in profit efficiency in the USA and Europe but not so in the Japanese banking system. The results also show that the inequalities of profitability between countries would be considerably reduced if inefficiency were eliminated, efficiency gains thus being a very important source of improvement in profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-387 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:383-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shafiq Alvi Author-X-Name-First: Shafiq Author-X-Name-Last: Alvi Title: The impact of strikes on Canadian trade balance Abstract: Studies abound which systematically analyse the economic impact of work stoppages on the two protagonists as well as on specific industries. The results of such micro studies are a mixed bag. The findings of the first macro study, involving Canada were published in 1975. Employing input-output analysis, it measured the impact of strike losses on the Canadian economy as a whole, and found the strike impact statistically insignificant. This study is flawed on two counts: (a) it depends on an arbitrarily chosen sample, and (b) it covers a period of only one year. The current study measures the impact of strikes on the Canadian economy, which heavily depends for its growth on external trade, via their impact on its merchandise trade. Using a simultaneous approach towards export and import functions, it covers a period from 1971 to 1993. The results indicate that strikes seem to exert some impact on those categories of trade which constitute a small percentage of total Canadian external trade. Major trade sectors experience a statistically insignificant impact. Put together, therefore, there is little evidence of a negative strike impact on merchandise trade and, hence, on the national economy as a whole over a significant period of time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237838 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237838&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:389-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of Schumpeterian innovations Abstract: Two key elements of Schumpeterian dynamics: new innovations and creative destruction are developed here in a stochastic framework to develop a model of stochastic growth. This model explores the diffucion process and the existence of nonlinearities in technological progress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-401 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:397-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: Cross-country inequalities in aggregate welfare: some evidence Abstract: International inequality in aggregate welfare levels has been estimated with the help of Sen and Theil indexes. Results reveal that welfare inequalities have reduced recently and that mean income differences explain most of these inequalities, and its reduction. These findings imply that, at least from the perspective of the Sen Index, no significant information is lost if per capita incomes inequalities are used as a proxy of welfare levels differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwong-C. Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Kwong-C. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: A note on weak form market efficiency in security prices: evidence from the Hong Kong stock exchange Abstract: This paper employs variance ratio tests with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic error variances to examine the random walk hypothesis for the Hang Seng Index on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The empirical investigation leads us to suggest that the Hang Seng follows a random walk model and consequently that the index is weak form efficient. This conclusion offers both confirmatory and conflicting support for the conclusions of previous research, which has investigated the presence of random walks in the indices of both developed and emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Bolton Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Bolton Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The differing consequences of low and high rates of inflation Abstract: Economic theory is inconclusive on the linkage between inflation and economic growth. Most existing evidence points to negative effects of inflation on growth emerging only at quite high levels of inflation. Making use of the spline regression technique, levels of inflation below 3% are found to be positively associated with growth while higher levels of inflation are negatively associated with growth. This sample consists of all countries with data of quality C or better and the data is fiveyearly averaged, with inflation being captured by a geometric average. The underlying model is the Mankiw et al. (1992) adaptation of the Solow-Swan model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amanda Hollenbacher Author-X-Name-First: Amanda Author-X-Name-Last: Hollenbacher Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Third party evaluations and resale prices in the US used vehicle market Abstract: This paper examines the impact upon used vehicle resale prices in the USA from the annual reliability evaluations done by Consumer Reports magazine. In contrast to prior work finding no announcement effects upon prices from the evaluations, this study finds significant announcement effects. Vehicles in the subcompact/compact category experience an increase in their annual rate of depreciation relative to comparable vehicles following a negative evaluation by Consumer Reports. These results are consistent with the behaviour of rational consumers operating in a market with asymmetric information problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Title: Increasing returns to information: further evidence from the UK film market Abstract: A sample of 153 films from the UK top 15 chart is examined to test the hypothesis of increasing returns to information. The results are consistent with those presented by De Vany and Walls, suggesting that increasing returns to information is a general feature of the film market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Chong Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: On the lags between submission and acceptance: are all referees created equal? Abstract: This short note links days and delays in refereeing with some basic characteristics of the reviewers. An altruistic approach is used, and 1994 data from Hamermesh is augmented and it is found that (i) long articles, (ii) referees outside the USA and Canada, (iii) lack of academic experience, (iv) relatively less requested referees, and (v) lower income, are linked with possible delays in response of the referees. There are no differences in gender, type of journal (general or specialized) or prestige of referees. Academic experience is not non-monotonic. 'Networking' effects are not present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-425 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:423-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity, a weakly stationary unit-root process and a useful diagnostic test Abstract: A specific form of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity is examined. A non-trivial unit root process which has exponentially heteroskedastic innovation and as a consequence, a variance that vanishes asymptotically is detailed. Such a unit root stochastic process, with exponential heteroskedasticity, may be perceived as weakly stationary by the usual unit root tests. In view of the importance of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity, a new general diagnostic test for detecting the presence of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity is developed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237919 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237919&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Paul Bloxham Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bloxham Title: Asian and OECD international R&D spillovers Abstract: Previous studies have demonstrated an empirical relationship between accumulated R&D expenditures and total factor productivity (TFP), and have shown that the benefits of R&D can spill across countries through trade. This paper extends these analyses to a sample of 15 OECD countries and six Asian countries, Chinese Taipei, India, Indonesia, Korea, Singapore and Thailand. An empirical model is estimated which relates TFP to domestic and foreign R&D activity, TFP catch-up and business cycle variables. Model estimates show that TFP and domestic R&D capital are positively related, and that domestic R&D has a relatively large impact on TFP growth in the NICs and LICs. Country-specific international R&D spillover elasticities are of mixed sign, and no apparent pattern by country group is evident. While this result does not change the earlier qualitative conclusions, it suggests that estimates of sample average R&D spillover elasticities should be cautiously interpreted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750267097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750267097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: The efficacy of job-sharing policy Abstract: The paper examines whether the form of job-sharing strategy adopted in Nordic countries is theoretically effective. This strategy converts workers approaching the age of retirement to part-timers by giving them partial pensions, which thereby creates job openings for younger unemployed workers. This job-sharing results in a Pareto-improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-439 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750267105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750267105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:437-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Are there any long-run benefits from international equity diversification for Taiwan investors diversifying in the equity markets of its major trading partners, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the USA Abstract: This note provides evidence that there exist long-run benefits for Taiwan investors from diversifying in the equity markets of the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the USA over the period of 6 January 1997 to 30 December 1998. The evidence is based on tests for pairwise cointegration between the Taiwan national stock price index and the stock price indexes for the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US markets, using three cointegrating tests, namely the Multivariate Trace statistic P z, Harris-Inder approach, and the Johansen method. The results from these three tests are robust and consistent in suggesting that the Taiwan stock market is not pairwise cointegrated with the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US stock markets. These findings could be valuable to Taiwan individual investors and financial institutions holding long-un investment portfolios in the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010001921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010001921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:441-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Spyros Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Stock returns and inflation: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: Theory suggests that equities are a good hedge against inflation. However, most of the empirical evidence suggests that the relationship between stock returns and inflation is negative. One explanation is the negative correlation between inflation and real output growth. In this paper the relationship between inflation and stock returns is examined for the emerging economy of Greece, during the 1990s. To anticipate the results, the relationship seems to be negative and significant, but only for the period until 1995. Since then, the relationship is not statistically significant, and it is argued that this may be due to the increased role of monetary fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010003280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010003280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesca Lotti Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Lotti Author-Name: Enrico Santarelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Santarelli Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: The relationship between size and growth: the case of Italian newborn firms Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between size and growth for a group of Italian newborn firms in the instruments industry. The main finding is that Gibrat's Law of Proportionate Effect exhibits a behaviour dependent on the firm's life cycle. In particular, even if in the years immediately following start-up the law could be rejected, since smaller firms have to rush in order to survive in the market, in subsequent years growth rates seem to converge towards a Gibrat-like pattern. This result is confirmed by the separate analyses carried out for micro-firms and larger firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010003299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010003299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: F-tests for lag length selection in augmented Dickey-Fuller regressions: some Monte Carlo evidence Abstract: This paper investigates the empirical performance of sequential f-tests as a criterion for selecting the lag length in Augmented Dickey-Fuller regressions. This criterion performs approximately as well as the AIC and a criterion based on eliminating residual autocorrelation. However, no single criterion is clearly superior to the other two. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010004027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010004027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-X-Name-First: Jan Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Berk Author-Name: Klaas Knot Author-X-Name-First: Klaas Author-X-Name-Last: Knot Title: The term structure of UIP: evidence from survey data Abstract: This note focuses on uncovered interest parity (UIP) in the short and medium run using survey-based exchange rate expectations. Analysing the major world currencies over the period 1985-1998 the paper finds that the validity of the UIP relation increases with the term of the investment, thereby supporting the theoretical notions developed by literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010004036 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010004036&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gad Saad Author-X-Name-First: Gad Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Author-Name: Tripat Gill Author-X-Name-First: Tripat Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Title: The effects of a recipient's gender in a modified dictator game Abstract: In the two-person dictator game, player A (allocator) chooses how to split a given sum of money with player B (recipient). Player B has no power in terms of either accepting or rejecting payer A's offer. This paper investigates the gender dynamics within the four possible dyads in a modified Dictator game. Both men and women gave more money to women. In other words, contrary to other studies that have investigated dictator game behaviour, the current study finds a main effect for the recipient's gender (rather than for the allocator's gender). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: On the M2 demand relationship Abstract: Recently numerous studies have maintained that post-1990 data no longer supports a long-run M2 demand relationship. Suggestive of the failure, several authors have shown that the errors associated with forecasting real income fluctuations increase once the M2 demand vector error-correction information is introduced. However, the present study finds that these results are an outgrowth of the Gulf War and that once the sample is extended the cointegrating information significantly improves the income forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-469 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:467-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Author-Name: Peter Van Diermen Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Van Diermen Title: Some determinants of small firm 'presence' in Indonesia's manufacturing sector Abstract: The determinants of small firm 'presence' in the Indonesian manufacturing sector are investigated using data for eight small industries over eight time periods. Vertical integration, higher productivity and a robust economic environment are factors that determine small firm presence in the Indonesian manufacturing sector. It was also found that economies of scale in management do not have an important role in determining small firm presence and that the activities of cottage firms do not deter the presence of small firms and vice+versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-474 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:471-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Seabra Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Seabra Title: A cointegration analysis between Mercosur and international stock markets Abstract: This paper deals with an empirical investigation on the existence of long-run relationships among the two most important Mercosur stock market indexes (the Argentine Merval and the Brazilian Ibovespa) and two major international stock price indexes (the Japanese Nikkei and the US Dow Jones) and also with the estimation of short-run responses of those two emerging stock markets. Bivariate and multivariate cointegration tests indicate that there is no common trend linking the Argentine and the Brazilian stock price indexes. This result can be seen as a drawback to a proposal of stock market integration in Mercosur. On the other hand, cointegration between the two Latin American stock markets and the Dow Jones cannot be rejected. Based on an error correction mechanism, the estimated short-run elasticities show that the Ibovespa index is more responsive to changes in the Dow Jones than the Merval index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-478 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:475-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panos Fousekis Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Fousekis Author-Name: Giannis Karagiannis Author-X-Name-First: Giannis Author-X-Name-Last: Karagiannis Title: Wholesale level demand for fish grades in Greece Abstract: Differential inverse systems are used in this paper to investigate the structure of wholesale level demand for fish grades in Greece. Model selection tests suggest that the inverse CBS performs better that the competing differential systems. Homo-theticity and separability tests indicate that the underlying distance function is homothetically separable in the medium- and the low-value species. The own-quantity flexibilties suggest that the response of prices to own-quantity changes are inelastic while the cross-quantity flexibilities indicate that the substitution possibilities among fish grades are rather limited. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Selcuk Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Selcuk Author-Name: Erinc Yeldan Author-X-Name-First: Erinc Author-X-Name-Last: Yeldan Title: On the macroeconomic impact of the August 1999 earthquake in Turkey: a first assessment Abstract: The devastating earthquake that struck the most densely populated and industrialized area of Turkey on 17 August, 1999 was one of the most damaging natural disasters during this century. This paper is a first attempt to estimate the transition path of the Turkish economy to its new equilibrium after the earthquake. An applied general equilibrium model is utilized to provide an initial assessment and to obtain the second best policy options to mitigate the negative effects of the earthquake. The analytical foundations of the model rest upon intertemporal dynamics as laid out in neoclassical growth theory. Simulation results suggest that the initial impact of the earthquake on GDP may range from -4.5% to + 0.8% of GDP, conditional upon policies followed by the government and international donors. The policy implication of the paper is that best outcomes might be reaped via a negative indirect tax (a subsidy financed by foreign aid) to individual sectors to recover their capital losses. On the other hand, an indirect tax to finance the extra fiscal spending would result in an output loss, further deepening the impact of the earthquake on the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010007501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010007501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Investors preferences and dividend payouts Abstract: A compelling motivation for dividends remains elusive in the face of double taxation, yet firms continue to pay dividends. This note identifies two previously unrecognized benefits of dividends. First, positive dividends can finance investors preferred consumption streams under some conditions, but the associated payout policy is not unique. Moreover, a specific form of dividend smoothing can facilitate dynamic portfolio insurance when risk-free securities exist. It is not claimed that these benefits solve the riddle of dividends, since both outcomes can be replicated by equity sales, but they do extend the known spectrum of such benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-491 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010009905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010009905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:489-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Do innovative start-ups really wish to go public? Evidence from Japanese electrical manufacturing companies Abstract: This paper examines whether innovative start-ups have the intention to go public. Using a sample of electrical manufacturing firms in Japan, it is found that firms investing heavily in research and development (R&D) are more likely to have the intention to go public. From the viewpoint of entrepreneurs, the result may support the trend toward the creation of new stock markets for innovative start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010009914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010009914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Unit roots in the CAPM? Abstract: Excess returns calculated using nonstationary risk-free interest rates will also be nonstationary and this may cause an unbalanced regression problem in the estimation of Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM). Under such circumstances, beta coefficients could be both biased and inconsistent. The implications of these issues are investigated through a simulation study and an empirical application using data on the FTA index and the 91-day UK Treasury Bill (T-Bill) rates. Although the simulation results are alarming, the empirical analysis suggests that the problem of unbalanced regression is not likely to cause significant problems in estimating the CAPM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:499-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonia Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Title: Monetary targeting in the EMU: lessons from Australia Abstract: Following Arnold (1997), this paper examines demand-for-money functions in Australia and its states. The results suggest that the stability and fit of demand-for-money exercises carried out on an artificially constructed pre-EMU European monetary aggregate may not survive the regime change to the Euro. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-508 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:503-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Wagner's law revisited: cointegration and exogeneity tests for the USA Abstract: This paper re-examines Wagner's hypothesis of an expanding government sector with progress of the economy using advanced econometric techniques such as cointegration and exogeneity tests not used in previous empirical studies. This study also uses much longer time series data for the USA than previously utilized. The empirical results based on cointegration and exogeneity tests provide strong support for the hypothesis for the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018743 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018743&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:509-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Cadoret Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cadoret Title: The saving investment relation: a panel data approach Abstract: Numerous studies have confirmed the initial 1980 finding of Feldstein and Horioka of a high positive correlation between saving and investment, a result that is difficult to reconcile with the increasing integration of financial markets. This current study re-examines the correlation between saving and investment with a panel data approach. The empirical analysis concerns 19 OECD countries over the period 1970-1998. Stability tests have led to the identification three periods: 1970-1980, 19817ndash;1990 and 1991-1998 and estimated results show that, when a country-specific effect is introduced, there is no correlation between private saving and national investment and that there is high correlation between public saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010023107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010023107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Lyhagen Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyhagen Author-Name: Lars Forsberg Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Forsberg Title: Starting values in estimation of cointegrating vectors with restrictions Abstract: In cointegration analysis, when considering a hypothesis of the kind β = (H <1 ϕ 1,..., H n ϕ n) the estimation technique is a simple switching method that requires starting values. Using additional restrictions, the solution of an eigenvector problem may be used as starting values. Using a real world data set the proposed starting values seem to be better than the old, and sometimes they are much better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010022658 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010022658&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Testing for the specification of the wage equation: double selection approach or single selection approach Abstract: The wage that a worker receives is observed only when he/she is employed. The employment of the worker, however, depends on two sequential decisions: the worker's decision to work and the employer's decision to hire. The wage sample, thus, is obtained through a double selection process. Estimation of the wage equation ignoring the roles of both selection decisions may result in omitted variable misspecification, leading to biased estimates. This study rejects the wage specification that allows only one selection decision, and shows that the wage equation with double selection specification cannot be rejected at any conventional level of significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500011957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500011957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gad Saad Author-X-Name-First: Gad Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Author-Name: Tripat Gill Author-X-Name-First: Tripat Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Title: Gender differences when choosing between salary allocation options Abstract: Individuals chose between two 'salary increase' options: (1) an increase of $500 for themselves and $500 for a colleague; or (2) an increase of $600 for themselves and $800 for a colleague. The gender of the colleague was manipulated, hence permitting the investigation of four possible gender dyads (male-male, male-female, female-male, female-female). A main effect was found for the subjects' gender, namely a majority of women preferred option 1 while the majority of men preferred option 2. No interaction was found between the gender of the subjects and those of the colleagues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:531-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Ekelund Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ekelund Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Mark Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The measurement of merger delay in regulated and restructuring industries Abstract: Delay due to multiple merger reviews in regulated industries is analysed empirically. Tests on a sample of over 500 mergers between 1990 and 1998 reveal that delay is 80% longer in regulated industries than unregulated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-537 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005828 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005828&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:535-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Author-Name: Stratos Loizou Author-X-Name-First: Stratos Author-X-Name-Last: Loizou Author-Name: Konstantinos Giannakas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakas Author-Name: Konstantinos Mattas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Title: Co-integration and error-correction modelling of olive oil consumption in Greece Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of olive oil consumption in Greece for the period 1969-1998 using co-integration analysis. The estimated long and short-run elasticities suggest that prices of olive oil and other seed oils are more significant determinants of olive oil consumption than disposable income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485001320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485001320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilia Mazur Author-X-Name-First: Emilia Author-X-Name-Last: Mazur Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: Financial sector development and economic growth in New Zealand Abstract: Most of the empirical evidence on how development of the financial sector impacts on economic growth is in a cross-country context. This paper considers the evidence from one country, New Zealand, which has in recent times been subject to substantial economic reforms, not least in the financial sector. Some valid long-run relationships are found between indicators of both banking and stock market development and private savings, but rather more mixed results when considering either real GDP per capita or its growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010012974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010012974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho Yeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ho Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effects of regulations on land transactions: The case of Korea Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between government regulations and land transactions using Korean data for 1994. The results indicate that a heavy burden put on land ownership does not affect the frequency and amount of land transacted, nor does it accelerate the urbanization process. However, regulations of the sale and acquisition of land are important influences on the decisions of market players. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-553 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:551-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Basudeb Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Basudeb Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: E. Bruce Godfrey Author-X-Name-First: E. Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Godfrey Title: The stocking rate versus time in range management: a review of recent theoretical developments Abstract: A long-standing question in range management concerns the relative importance of the stocking rate versus the length of time during which animals graze a particular rangeland. Recently, Batabyal and co-workers provided a theoretical answer to this question. Given the importance of this question for practical range management, this paper has two objectives. First, it provides a non-technical discussion of the methodology employed and the analysis conducted by Batabyal and co-workers. Second, it points out and discusses the significance of two range management questions that are suggested by the previous analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Devlin Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Devlin Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Health care spending and economic output: Granger causality Abstract: Granger causality is tested for to examine the exogeneity of GDP which is assumed in previous research on the determinants of aggregate health care spending. In theory, the causal relationship between these variables could be in either or both directions. For some of the 20 OECD countries tested it appears that health care expenditure Granger causes GDP, and vice versa for others. Therefore care must be taken when specifying health care expenditure and growth equations respectively in defining the appropriate 'independent' (and exogenous) and 'dependent' variables. In particular, these results suggest that standard models of aggregate health care expenditure may be misspecified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-564 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:561-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Structural break, unit root, and the causality between government expenditures and revenues Abstract: Government expenditures and revenues are shown to be trend stationary with a break in the deterministic trend. This is in contrast to the claim that these two series are non-stationary and integrated of order 1. It is therefore inappropriate to first difference data to achieve stationarity. Instead, data is appropriately de-trended using endogenously determined break dates. Tests using the de-trended data show that causality is unidirectional, with expenditures causing revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-567 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:565-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Regime switching and the forecasting bias of asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The potential forecasting bias of asymmetric error correction models is examined via an application of the Granger and Lee and Escribano and Pfann specifications to the earlier data of Davidson et al. Cook's results concerning sample space regularities are extended, with partitioning of the error correction term shown to induce regularities in the forecasting space in the form of forecasting bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-571 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:569-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Seasonal long memory in the US monthly monetary aggregate Abstract: The seasonal structure of the US monthly M1 monetary aggregate is investigated in this article by means of seasonal long memory processes. Using a version of the tests proposed by Robinson in 1994, the results show that the orders of integration are higher when seasonal monthly differences are used rather than quarterly or first differences. Thus, the dependence between observations seems to be stronger when seasonal monthly roots are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010026078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010026078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Friday the 13th: international evidence Abstract: The Friday the 13th anomaly discussed by Kolb and Rodriguez in 1987 is revisited in an international context. Using the FTSE world indices over the period 1988-2000, for 19 countries, it is found that there is some evidence that returns on Friday the 13th are statistically different from, and generally greater than, returns on other Fridays. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Urban Gråsjo Author-X-Name-First: Urban Author-X-Name-Last: Gråsjo Title: A Monte Carlo simulation study of Tobit models Abstract: This study focuses on a comparison of different kinds of Tobit models. According to the findings, a simple Tobit I method can produce results that are similar to and in some cases better than much more sophisticated methods. This is especially true if the participation or index equation is incorrectly specified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010027581 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010027581&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaushik Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Kaushik Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Himanshu Joshi Author-X-Name-First: Himanshu Author-X-Name-Last: Joshi Title: Modelling currency in circulation in India Abstract: In the literature, currency in circulation is typically estimated either by specifying a standard currency demand equation based on the theory of transaction or portfolio demand for money or by a univariate time series model. The paper argues that while these approaches work well for low frequency data, their scopes become limited for high frequency series. Using the weekly data of currency in circulation from the year 1992-1993 to 1999-2000, the paper proposes an alternative approach of modelling the growth of currency in circulation by incorporating the 'day of the month' effect. The estimated equation behaves very well in and out of sample and the prediction performance achieved from the model has been good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-592 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010020146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010020146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:585-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Michael Haigh Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Haigh Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Agricultural liberalization policy and commodity price volatility: a GARCH application Abstract: This study examines the effect of the recent radical agricultural liberalization policy, i.e. the 1996 FAIR Act, on agricultural commodity price volatility using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. Results of the study indicate that the agricultural liberalization policy has caused an increase in the price volatility for three major grain commodities (corn, soybeans and wheat) and little change for oats, but a decrease for cotton. These findings stand in sharp contrast to Crain and Lee's observations in 1996 based on wheat markets that market-oriented measures in government farm policies tend to reduce agricultural price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018734 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018734&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:593-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferenc Szidarovszky Author-X-Name-First: Ferenc Author-X-Name-Last: Szidarovszky Title: The area monotonic solution in dynamic negotiations Abstract: The area monotonic solution is examined, when the utilities of the players as well as the Pareto frontier change in time. A divert method is introduced to characterize the change in the solution of the conflict which is based on deriving a special ordinary differential equation such that its trajectory follows the solution in time. This method can be used to determine the optimal timing of agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-600 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010021145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010021145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:599-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Breakage and betting market efficiency: evidence from the horse track Abstract: In this research the effect of breakage—the rounding down of payoffs to winning bets—on the measured efficiency of racetrack betting markets is examined empirically. Over twenty thousand horse races are analysed and it is demonstrated that evidence of betting market inefficiency is systematically related to the expected breakage. These empirical results suggest that failure to control for breakage may bias statistical tests towards rejection of the efficiency hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010021154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010021154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Common stochastic volatility trend in European exchange rates Abstract: This paper examines the nature of stochastic volatility in the deutschemark/dollar and French franc/dollar exchange rates. In particular using a multivariate random walk stochastic volatility model the study examined whether volatility in each series can be ascribed to a single common trend. Results for univariate stochastic volatility models show very high persistence in the autoregressive component of volatility supporting the model specification where volatility follows a random walk. Estimation of the multivariate model reveals a very high correlation between the volatility innovations, and suggests that they follow a common trend, in essence the volatilities are cointegrated. A multivariate model with a single volatility trend is then estimated. Finally, support for this specification is further received when estimation of a stochastic volatility model for the ratio of the two series reveals no stochastic volatility present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010023099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010023099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Suryanarayana Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Suryanarayana Title: Livestock service sector reform in India: efficiency versus equity Abstract: This paper examines the potential scope for efficiency and equity with reference to the recent public policy decision to commercialize the livestock service sector in India. The livestock service is provided free by the veterinary clinic in the public sector which operates virtually as a monopolist in Indian villages. The paper, using the discriminatory monopoly framework, shows that the government would succeed in its efforts to recover the cost of livestock service; the burden of cost recovery would fall on both the poor and rich beneficiary farm households. As regards to the effective cost of utilization of livestock service, the poor would end up bearing proportionately less than the rich. In the process, the market size for livestock service would decline in the short run but not output from animal husbandry. In the long run, there will be both growth and equity in the livestock sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying-Foon Chow Author-X-Name-First: Ying-Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: Jinli Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Jinli Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Foreign capital in a neoclassical model of growth Abstract: The impact of foreign capital inflows on the growth of developing countries remains controversial. Utilizing the neoclassical growth model, this paper shows that foreign capital inflows have a positive effect on the capital stock and consumption in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-615 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:613-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Bayesian analysis of the SUR Tobit model Abstract: This paper develops a practical sampling scheme for Bayesian analysis of correlated censored data using the seemingly unrelated Tobit regressions model. Posterior inference is performed via the Gibbs sampler with data augmentation algorithm. In particular, the relevant full conditional distributions needed in the use of Gibbs sampler are derived. The method is then applied to a real data set on the determination of the payments of cash and stock dividends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010026069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010026069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:617-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Azeez Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Azeez Title: Utilization of optimal capacity in Indian manufacturing, 1974-1996 Abstract: This paper attempts to estimate a consistent series for the economic capacity utilization of the Indian non-electrical machinery manufacturing sector. The economic or optimum capacity is defined as the output where the short-run average total cost is minimized. Using an iterative version of Zellner's seemingly unrelated regression estimation technique, a translog short-run cost function is estimated, imposing the conditions for economic optimizing behaviour of firms to calculate the optimal output. Such a measure assumes that variations in capacity utilization (CU), defined as the ratio of actual to optimal output, are the systematic results of rational optimization procedures, depending on price and cost conditions of firms. A comparison of the new series with the conventional engineering measures of CU shows that the widely used 'installed CU' figures clearly underestimate the true economic utilization levels, mainly due to definitional problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-628 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010027572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010027572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:623-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: Team and player effects on NHL player salaries: a hierarchical linear model approach Abstract: This paper employs a hierarchical linear model (HLM) to assess the importance of both player- and team-level attributes in determining National Hockey League (NHL) player salaries. Empirical results show that there are significant differences in mean salaries and rewards to performance across teams and that these differences can be partially explained by differences in team revenues. Implications for research in other industries are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Title: A normality test for the mean estimator Abstract: This note proposes a tool to investigate and demonstrate the adequacy of the central limit theorem in small samples. The suggested procedure tests if the mean estimator is approximately normally distributed, given data and sample size at hand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-634 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:633-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Denny Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Denny Author-Name: Colm Harmon Author-X-Name-First: Colm Author-X-Name-Last: Harmon Title: Testing for sheepskin effects in earnings equations: evidence for five countries Abstract: Using a dataset that allows consistent cross-country comparisons the non-linearity in a conventional earnings equation is tested with respect to schooling. The findings suggest that the assumption of linearity is not robust and that there are well-determined positive returns to the completion of educational levels. However, inferences are sensitive to the choice of functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-637 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:635-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lata Gangadharan Author-X-Name-First: Lata Author-X-Name-Last: Gangadharan Title: Compliance in environmental markets Abstract: One of the reasons given for compliance with environmental programmes is that firms want to project an environmentally friendly image, as this would have a positive effect on their sales and eventually on their market share. This paper tries to test the effect of environmental friendliness on compliance behaviour using data from a tradable emissions programme currently running in Los Angeles. A large fraction of the firms comply with the environmental regulations. To study the reasons for this compliance behaviour, variables are created that represent the environmentally friendly characteristics of the firms. These variables are: how close the firm is to the final consumer and whether the firm has employed a manager to look after its environmental policies. Of all the firm characteristics, the capital level of the firm is seen to be significant in explaining non-compliance. Contrary to expectations, the environmental friendliness variables do not have significant explanatory power. Environmental consciousness as an explanatory variable for compliance therefore needs to be reconsidered in this kind of a pollution prevention programme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: Size and power of non-nested hypothesis tests and their bootstrap versions Abstract: In this paper the behaviour of various non-nested hypothesis testing procedures are studied, namely the J and JA tests and the same bootstrap-adjusted tests, using graphical methods. These methods are the P value plot, the P value discrepancy plot and the size-power graph. The size and power of the four tests are compared for all the possible nominal sizes and not only for 1% or 5%. It is found that the best test is the bootstrap-adjusted J test, given that its size is close to the nominal, independently of the nominal size, whilst it has a higher power than the JA test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-653 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:649-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen Den Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen Den Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Evaluation of the long memory relationship between gross national product and saving in Taiwan Abstract: To enhance precise analysis of the relationship between GNP (gross national product) and Saving (gross national saving), a long memory relationship function is applied. From experience, it is known that assuring the variables are always cointegrated or fractionally cointegrated is not easy, so this letter develops a measure function to estimate the long memory relationship between two variables. The empirical study shows that GNP and saving have the long memory relationship d= 0.1449. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:655-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josea. Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Josea. Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Author-Name: Sukhjit Sethi Author-X-Name-First: Sukhjit Author-X-Name-Last: Sethi Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Title: The impact of promotion/advertising expenditures on citrus sales Abstract: This study analyses the impact of advertising expenditures on citrus sales from the Texas Rio Grande Valley. A bivariate vector autoregressive model is estimated using weekly data on the dollar value of advertising expenditures and carton equivalent shipments for the 1993-1999 growing seasons. The estimated impulse response functions show that a one-time increase in advertising expenditures leads to increases in orange sales with a one-month lag. However, the impact of advertising on grapefruit sales is more immediate and relatively large. Carton shipments remain high for about three weeks after a one-time advertising shock. There is also no evidence of causality from sales to advertising. The results suggest that Federal Marketing Order regulations that facilitate funds for the promotion and advertising of citrus are effective in increasing the domestic consumption of oranges and grapefruit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chin-Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The impact of settlement time on the volatility of stock market revisited: an application of the iterated cumulative sums of squares detection method for changes of variance Abstract: Volatility changes before and after a major event cannot be effectively modelled without considering the impact of other events during the sample period. This paper reexamines the impact of settlement time changes on the volatility change in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange by Li et al. (1997) via the iterated cumulative sums squares (ICSS) method developed by Inclan and Tiao. This study detected three other events during the sample period (two before and one after the structural break). After removing these factors, it is found that change in settlement time does not impact the volatility of the stock returns in a noticeable way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-668 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:665-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Usha Nair-Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair-Reichert Title: R&D investment and import competition in unionized industries Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of unionization on the flow of research and development (R&D) investment and import competition in US manufacturing industries. If the unions adopt a myopic strategy, they may attempt to maximize current rents, even if it reduces strategic R&D necessary to compete against imports. However, if unions are employment oriented and realize that R&D is essential to compete effectively against imports and reduce job losses for their members, they may favour a more co-operative strategy. This issue is empirically investigated at the industry level using data from 1975-1984. One of the main contributions of this study is the attempt to distinguish between strategic and non-strategic R&D. The results of this analysis indicate that depending on the extent of unionization, there is a significant amount of variation in the magnitude and direction of the impact of strategic R&D on import penetration. Supporting evidence also indicates that the union rent-seeking behaviour related to strategic R&D investments varies between import and export-competing industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-674 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:669-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Finnie Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Finnie Author-Name: Ronald Meng Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Cognitive skills and the youth labour market Abstract: With the use of test score data it is found that literacy, numeracy and education strongly influence the probability of being employed, unemployed, having a wage-paying job and obtaining government transfer payments in addition to incomes, weeks worked and weeks unemployed for a sample of 16 to 24-year-olds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-679 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110037877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110037877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:675-679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacint Balaguer Author-X-Name-First: Jacint Author-X-Name-Last: Balaguer Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Examining the export-led growth hypothesis for Spain in the last century Abstract: The relationship between real income and real exports is examined for the Spanish economy in the last century (1901-1999) using annual data. The significant changes of the Spanish economy during this period have made of the analysis a mixed one. The export-led growth hypothesis is supported during the economic liberalization period whereas for the protectionist and autarkic period neither a long-run nor a short-run relationship between those two variables are found. When the century as a whole is considered, then, a unidirectional causality running from income to exports is exhibited. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-685 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010038687 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010038687&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:681-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yir-Hueih Luh Author-X-Name-First: Yir-Hueih Author-X-Name-Last: Luh Author-Name: Ziau-Ning Liao Author-X-Name-First: Ziau-Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: An econometric assessment of the productivity consequences of low-input farming Abstract: This study examines the possible impacts of low-input farming on the growth of productivity. Specifically, emphasis is placed upon disentangling the effect of overusing chemical inputs and that of the market determinants. Taking into account both production and price uncertainty, the expected utility maximization criterion explicitly incorporating damage control function of pesticides is used to determine farmers' rational demand of chemical inputs. The actual use of chemical inputs and the theoretical use consistent with expected utility maximization are used to establish an overusing index, which later is incorporated into the dual cost function to examine the productivity consequences of overusing chemicals. Simulation analyses of various policy scenarios suggest the positive impact of low-input farming. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-692 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110061681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110061681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:687-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Bernard Bollen Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Bollen Title: Is there a maturity effect in the price of the S&P 500 futures contract? Abstract: The maturity effect is re-examined using the S&P 500 futures contract. A model is estimated in which daily volatility, measured on the basis on intraday data, is determined by its previous value and the number of days remaining to maturity. The estimation results do not support the maturity effect. This finding is in line with existing evidence that indicates the absence of the maturity effect in financial futures prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: R&D effects of incomplete procurement contracts Abstract: This paper examines auctions of incentive contracts, where the principal (a government agency) contracts with a private vendor to supply a given quantity. The contract is incomplete as the agent's research behaviour is unobservable and is not in the principal's objective function. The agent, however, has an incentive to engage in research. Therefore, the principal's actions inadvertently affect research spending. It is shown that the agent's optimal research spending responds to changes in contractual design. In general, the agent's research response is dependent upon the size of the bid and the probability of product innovation. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-699 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:697-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joe Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: The interpretation of multiple dummy variable coefficients: an application to industry effects in wage equations Abstract: The traditional textbook approach to avoiding the dummy trap problem is to delete a category from each qualitative variable. This paper illustrates an alternative constraint which can be used to transform conventional dummy variable coefficients. This constraint serves to simplify their interpretation when the regression equation contains several qualitative variables and allows the computation of a coefficient for the deleted class. Using this constraint the intercept term can be written as the mean Y macron and the coefficients for the dummy variables are now interpreted as differences from the mean of the dependent variable rather than the deleted class. Computation of a standard error for the estimated coefficient of the deleted class is also discussed. An application to examine the importance of industry wage affiliation in explaining relative wages is presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110042187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110042187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:701-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: A slowing of national income convergence Abstract: Shocks to the international economy that occurred around 1973 may have altered the rate of convergence of national income across countries. Markov chains are used to examine whether the rate of convergence of national income was different pre- to post-1973 for a cross-section of 104 countries between 1960 and 1990. Results suggest that real GDP per worker did converge continuously, and the rate of convergence was faster before rather than after 1973. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-711 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045715 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045715&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:709-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A model for ex ante real interest rates Abstract: This paper proposes a new model for estimating economic agents' anticipation of the real rate of interest. It decomposes the nominal short-term interest rate into an ex ante real interest rate and an expected inflation rate, according to Fisher's equation. Assume the ex ante real interest rate follows an autoregressive structure and inflation follows an IMA(1, 1) process. Using the information in the nominal short-term interest rate and the inflation series, the ex ante real interest rate is estimated by maximum likelihood using the Kalman filter to calculate the likelihood function. The results show that the time series of estimates of the ex ante real interest rate extracted from the model rejects the random-walk hypothesis at the 1% significance level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:713-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Gorg Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Gorg Author-Name: Eric Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Title: Capital structure and labour demand: further evidence Abstract: This paper provides further evidence on the relationship between a firm's capital structure and its labour demand. This study estimates dynamic labour demand equations using firm-level panel data for firms in the electronics sector in Ireland for the period 1982 to 1995. These results suggest that labour demand is not affected by a firm's capital structure, proxied by its debt-to-asset ratio. This may give statistical support to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, which conjectures that the market value of a firm is not influenced by its capital structure, implying that a firm's labour demand decision is independent of capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Robert Fok Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Fok Title: Stock market integration - an application of the stochastic permanent breaks model Abstract: Using the Stochastic Permanent Breaks (STOPBREAK) model, this study examines the relationships of the US stock market with the Japanese and eight European stock markets. The evidence indicates that the US stock market is temporally cointegrated with the markets in Japan, Germany, Netherlands and Switzerland. However, cointegration relationship exists only between the US and Netherlands market when the Johansen cointegration test is used. In other words, some sort of cointegrating relationships may exist between two markets even if the standard cointegration test indicates that the two markets are not cointegrated. According to the STOPBREAK model, when two markets are temporally cointegrated, the movement of the two markets does not follow a random walk and market inefficiency is implied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-729 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500110036337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500110036337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:725-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Effects of physical attributes on the wages of males and females Abstract: Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (1993), this study analyses the effects of physical attributes, namely, height and weight, on the wages of males and females in professional and blue-collar occupations. A parallel theme of analysis is whether physical attributes have any impact on the wages of workers with high mathematics and computational skills. The results of this study show that among professionals and blue-collar workers, physical attributes significantly affect the wages of women and have no impact on the wages of men. Taller women enjoy wage premiums, while overweight women experience significant wage penalties. Another important finding is that among women with above average quantitative skills, the effects of physical attributes on wages are insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110047605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110047605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: A note on the relationship between medical care resources and mortality Abstract: This paper reconsiders how the availability of physicians affects mortality rates within geographic areas. Studies typically find that mortality rates are lower in areas with greater medical care resources. While currently available care is important, this paper shows that young adult mortality rates are influenced by physician availability during childhood as well. Studies that examine that link between medical care resources and mortality should consider the availability of care over the lifetime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-739 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036328 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036328&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:737-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Shields Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: S. Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: S. Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Language fluency and immigrant employment prospects: evidence from Britain's ethnic minorities Abstract: Using data from the Fourth National Survey of Ethnic Minorities, the determinants of location-specific language capital and its impact upon the employment prospects of male and female ethnic minority immigrants in Britain are investigated. It is found that lack of English language fluency reduces average predicted employment probabilities by 20-25 percentage points. Increasing the provision of English language training directly or indirectly, by requiring immigrants to obtain UK qualifications, would go a long way to eliminating the 10% employment gap between Britain's white and ethnic minority communities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010038678 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010038678&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Parviainen Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Parviainen Author-Name: Hannu Schadewitz Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Schadewitz Author-Name: Dallas Blevins Author-X-Name-First: Dallas Author-X-Name-Last: Blevins Title: On the non-linear relationship between disclosure and its determinants Abstract: A linear relationship exists between interim disclosures submitted to the Helsinki Exchanges and their determinants over the period 1985-1993. A non-linear model better explains the relationship. This finding has implications for the design of other disclosure index studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-750 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110043771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110043771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:747-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: On flood occurrence and the provision of safe drinking water in developing countries Abstract: Developing countries in South Asia and elsewhere are frequently ravaged by floods. An important part of most flood management programmes is the provision of safe drinking water (SDW) to prevent the spread of diseases. How should a government agency that is interested in distributing SDW to flood victims, go about its task? Further, how might this agency maximize the net social benefit from the provision of SDW? Finally, given that SDW is a particularly scarce commodity in a flood situation, how likely is it that this agency will be unable to meet the stochastic demand for SDW? In this paper, we use queuing theory to shed light on these three questions regarding the disbursement of SDW to flood victims. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-754 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:751-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Cointegration and predictability in prereform east European black-market exchange rates Abstract: This paper examines the time series properties of the monthly black-market dollar exchange rates of the Bulgarian lev, Czech koruna, East German mark, Hungarian forint, Polish zloty, Rumanian lei and Soviet ruble over the period 1955-1990. All series other than the mark exhibit a unit root in logarithms, and there is evidence of at least two cointegrating vectors linking the remaining rates. Weak exogeneity is rejected for the lev, forint and lei, but strong exogeneity cannot be rejected for the koruna, zloty and ruble, implying causality running from the latter group to the former group, which may be interpreted as reflecting channels of policy interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-759 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Measuring unemployment persistence in terms of I(d) statistical models Abstract: In the paper the unemployment rate series of nineteen countries are examined by means of fractionally integrated techniques. The results show that unemployment series are more persistent in some countries, such as Finland, Belgium or Spain, than in others, like the USA, Japan, Austria, Italy or Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044220 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044220&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose J. Sempere Monerris Author-X-Name-First: Jose J. Sempere Author-X-Name-Last: Monerris Author-Name: Vincent Vannetelbosch Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vannetelbosch Title: The patent holder's bargaining power and the licensing of an innovation Abstract: A bargaining licensing game is developed to study how the patent holder's bargaining power affects his licensing policy as well as the social welfare. Indeed, a modification in the patent's holder bargaining power is not innocuous for the economy. Therefore, a social agency that is concerned with a social welfare measure may raise the question of who should hold the bargaining power in order to increase the welfare of the economy. Consumers and the world economy are better off with the complete diffusion of the technology. This is only possible if the patent holder is attributed greater bargaining power than the one attributed to the potential licensees and the size of the innovation is small enough. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:765-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Black Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Black Author-Name: Michael Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Author-Name: Kristen Keith Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Keith Title: The inflation/growth relationship: evidence from state panel data Abstract: Employing US state data, a positive correlation is found between inflation and growth during the 1980s, accompanied by a downward trend in inflation. During the 1960s and 1970s, a negative correlation was accompanied by an upward trend in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Author-Name: Guillermo Benavides Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Benavides Title: The demand for money and inflation in Mexico 1980-1999: implications for stability and real seigniorage revenues Abstract: This paper presents estimates of the demand for money function and the Phillips curve using quarterly data for the Mexican economy over the period 1980--1999. These estimates are used to test restrictions on the dynamic process of the errors and cross-equation parameter restrictions suggested by economic theory. The parameter estimates obtained are used to investigate the stability of the inflation process and the extent to which real seigniorage revenues have been exploited within the Mexican economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044211 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044211&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gazi Shbikat Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shbikat Title: The liquidity effect and the transmission mechanism of money Abstract: The positive relationship between money and interest rates and the procyclical behaviour of interest rates found by empirical studies contradict predictions of macroeconomic theories. This paper incorporates disaggregated measures of investment (residential and nonresidential investment) along with disaggregated measures of money (outside and inside money) into the analysis of the impact of money on economic activity. The Vector Error Correction model is employed to deal with the issues of stationarity and cointegration in the data. Disaggregating money and output produces the expected liquidity effect of money on interest rates and helps to detect the transmission mechanism by which interest rates affect real economic activity. Further, the evidence presented in this paper underscores the importance of Residential Fixed Investment as a major player in explaining the money-output relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-785 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:779-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: Cohort effects and job satisfaction of academics Abstract: Previous studies of job satisfaction in the labour force as a whole have found that women generally express themselves as more satisfied at work than men. This paper examines the relationship between age and individual job satisfaction using a uniquely detailed dataset on Scottish academics. The insignificant gender effect on job satisfaction for the whole sample of academics is found to be made up of two offsetting effects. Male academics under the age of 36 are found to have significantly higher job satisfaction than the female under 36 cohort. Men over 36 however have a significantly lower satisfaction than their female academic equivalents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:787-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Paul Newbold Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Newbold Title: Unit root tests based on inequality-restricted estimators Abstract: This study considers the possibility of estimating a Dickey-Fuller regression, constraining the autoregressive parameter to be at most one, and imposing prior knowledge of the sign of the drift parameter. In spite of apparently encouraging asymptotic results, it emerges that no feasible test of the unit root null hypothesis with superior finite sample properties follows from such inequality-restricted estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-797 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:793-797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Honohan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Honohan Title: Does PPP-adjusted data exaggerate the relative size of poor economies? Abstract: Though excellent for comparing living standards, conventional PPP-adjusted real income measures may be a poor basis for ranking economies by total size. They assign a far larger share of World output to poor countries than would a more relevant alternative based on valuing output using the equilibrium prices of an hypothetical world of full economic integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-802 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:799-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: A macroeconomic analysis of the impact of union wage increases on nonunion wages Abstract: Based on the augmented Phillips curve and the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model, the author finds that the growth of nonunion wages are positively associated with expected inflation, productivity growth, and the growth of union wages and are negatively correlated with the unemployment rate. The partial adjustment process is confirmed. Error variance can best be modelled by the ARCH(2) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Fujii Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujii Title: Determinants and probability distribution of inefficiency in the stochastic cost frontier of Japanese hospitals Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to estimate the cost inefficiency of Japanese municipal hospitals using the stochastic cost frontier approach. It is assumed that hospital cost inefficiency has a truncated normal distribution in order to avoid the restrictive feature of the half-normal distribution. A model of hospital cost inefficiency in which the inefficiency is a function of some explanatory variables was defined. The stochastic cost frontier and the inefficiency model were estimated simultaneously. The results indicate that the half-normal distribution is not appropriate for the inefficiency distribution of municipal hospitals in Japan. It is also found (i) that the level of cost inefficiency is related to the government subsidy and the geographical location of the hospital; and (ii) that, when compared to the truncated normal cost inefficiency model, the half-normal model underestimates the marginal costs while it overestimates the cost inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-812 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:807-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Schich Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Schich Author-Name: Florian Pelgrin Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Pelgrin Title: Financial development and investment: panel data evidence for OECD countries from 1970 to 1997 Abstract: Applying a panel error correction approach to data for 19 OECD countries from 1970 to 1997, the paper provides evidence that financial development is significantly related to investment levels. Different indicators of financial development are used. The results appear to be strongest for stock market capitalization, although the contribution of private credit issued by deposit money banks is also significant. The results go beyond previous work on the topic, which has found a significant link for low and middle-income economies, but not for those with relatively high income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:1-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Author-Name: Thitima Puttitanun Author-X-Name-First: Thitima Author-X-Name-Last: Puttitanun Title: New unit root tests of the Nelson-Plosser data Abstract: Weighted symmetric and GLS tests for unit roots are applied to the fourteen time series tested by Nelson and Plosser in 1982. Due to the greater power of these two tests, unit roots are rejected for three to five of the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:9-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umberto Triacca Author-X-Name-First: Umberto Author-X-Name-Last: Triacca Title: The partial autocorrelation function of a first order non-invertible moving average process Abstract: In this paper an expression is obtained for the determinant of a particular patterned matrix. The result is then used to derive the partial autocorrelation function of a first order non-invertible moving average process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050665 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050665&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:13-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laszlo Goerke Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Goerke Title: Statutory and economic incidence of labour taxes Abstract: A revenue-neutral substitution of a payroll tax for an income tax reduces unemployment in a general efficiency wage model in which firms are characterized by a constant returns to scale technology. This employment variation is the reverse of the change which arises in collective wage bargaining models. Hence, empirical work on the determinants of unemployment should always allow for the possibility of differential effects of taxes levied on workers and firms. The positive employment effect in the efficiency wage economy occurs since the income tax, in contrast to the payroll tax, is characterized by a positive level of tax exemption. Therefore, a revenueneutral substitution requires a less pronounced increase in the payroll tax than it allows for a fall in the income tax. Profits rise and an employment expansion is needed to reduce the workers' effort and, subsequently, the firms' profits to their equilibrium level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Title: A delegated agent in a winner-takes-all contest Abstract: A standard winner-takes-all rent-seeking contest with a principal-agent relationship is extended. One of the two players offers a contract to an agent to act as a delegate on his behalf. The wage offered to the agent is deliberately chosen. The equilibrium of the extended contest is characterized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Title: Net entry and exit patterns of Bangladesh manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of net entry and net exit patterns of manufacturing industries in Bangladesh. The analysis is based on a panel data set consisting of five census years' three-digit level data from the Bangladesh Census of Manufacturing Industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:25-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gangadhar Darbha Author-X-Name-First: Gangadhar Author-X-Name-Last: Darbha Title: Testing for long-run stability - an application to money multiplier in India Abstract: In testing for a stable long-run relation between monetary aggregates and reserve money most previous studies have used the conventional tests for cointegration. Using the recently developped residual-based cointegration tests of Gregory and Hansen that explicitly allow for regime shifts, the present paper, contrary to the findings of previous studies, finds that there exists a stable, but time-varying, longrun relation between measures of money stock and reserve money in the Indian context. It also finds that the observed variation in cointegrating relations is better characterized by a discrete one-time shift, rather than a gradually evolving random walk process, attributable, probably, to discrete changes in monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110047155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110047155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Bockerman Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Bockerman Author-Name: Jaakko Kiander Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Kiander Title: Has work-sharing worked in Finland? Abstract: This study is about the effects of work-sharing on employment in Finland. The results reveal that a reduction in average hours seems to deliver an increase in employment on the condition that output does not deteriorate as a result of shorter working time. However, the maintenance of output level in the case of shorter average working hours is a challenging exercise. In addition, the conduct of worksharing as a policy scheme is limited by the Lucas critique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:39-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Obben Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Obben Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Author-Name: V. Wesley Thompson Author-X-Name-First: V. Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: A logit model of the incidence of long-term unemployment Abstract: A logit model of the incidence of long-term unemployment is estimated using a random sample of completed unemployment spells in New Zealand over the period 1988-97. The regressions results are sensible, but the predictive power of the model seems to depend on the share of long-term unemployed in total unemployment. In particular, if one-third or less of annual observations are made up of long-term unemployment spells, the model is incapable of predicting any such spells, unless it is constrained to do so. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Phillip Frese Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Frese Title: The impact of state personal and corporate tax rates on firm location Abstract: The present study attempts to determine the effect of state personal and corporate tax rates on firm location at the 2-digit SIC level. Using a random effects model on a data set of 14000 observations, the present study finds that a state's personal tax rate has a negative effect on firm location but that a state's corporate tax rate has no statistically-significant effect on firm location. These results suggest that the locational decision of a firm is affected more by the impact that high personal taxes will have on the manager's and/or owner's income than by the negative impact of high corporate tax rates on firm profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Amaza Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Amaza Author-Name: J. K. Olayemi Author-X-Name-First: J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Olayemi Title: Analysis of technical inefficiency in food crop production in Gombe State, Nigeria Abstract: This study investigated technical inefficiency in food crop production among farmers in Gombe State, Nigeria. A stochastic frontier production function, which incorporates technical inefficiency effects, using the Maximum-Likelihood Estimation (MLE), was used as the analytical technique. Given the specification of the stochastic frontier production function, the first null hypothesis, which specifies that the technical inefficiency effects are not stochastic is rejected. The second null hypothesis, which specifies that the explanatory variables in the model for technical inefficiency factors have zero coefficients, is also rejected. This implies that the explanatory variables in the inefficiency effects contribute significantly to the explanation of inefficiency in food crop production in Gombe State, Nigeria. Predicted technical efficiencies vary widely among farms, ranging between 13% and 89%, and a mean technical efficiency of 69%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Matsubayashi Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsubayashi Title: The terms of trade and private savings: empirical evidence with a structural approach Abstract: This paper proposes a structural approach to investigate the relationship between the terms of trade and private savings in Japan and the US. A small open economy model is developed in which an infinitely-living representative agent consumes both tradable and non-tradable goods and a stochastic Euler equation is derived. Then, the GMM estimation method developed by Hansen (1982) is applied to estimate structural parameters and test model specifications. The main result is that the estimate for the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution is more than one for both countries. It may therefore be concluded that an improvement in the future terms of trade can decrease the private savings in Japan and the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049342 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049342&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bang Nam Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Bang Nam Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Author-Name: Euiseong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Euiseong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Foreign exchange market efficiency, cointegration, and policy coordination Abstract: This paper examines market efficiency of the major foreign exchange markets during the post-Bretton Woods era by applying the bivariate and multivariate cointegration estimations to the weekly data of seven major foreign exchange rates. In particular, this study investigates whether the major foreign exchange policy coordinations, such as the Plaza Agreement (1985) and the Louvre Accord (1987), affected the long-run relations of the bilateral spot-forward and multivariate exchange rates. The findings of this study are: first, empirical evidence based on the bivariate and multivariate cointegrations is mostly consistent with the efficient market hypothesis in the major foreign exchange markets during the post-Bretton Woods era; second, the international policy coordinations during the late 1980s have affected acrosscountry market efficiency by introducing common stochastic trends in the system of the seven major foreign exchange markets during the period of the policy implementation, but the market inefficiency did not last long; and third, within-country market efficiency appears to have become stronger in the post-Plaza agreement period than before, evidenced by exhibiting more cointegrating vectors, and have not been affected by the major foreign exchange policy coordinations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:61-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Branko Milanovic Author-X-Name-First: Branko Author-X-Name-Last: Milanovic Title: Do we tend to overestimate poverty gaps? The impact of equivalency scales on the calculation of the poverty gap Abstract: The standard formulae used to calculate poverty gaps are incorrect when the poverty analysis is conducted in terms of equivalent units (rather than in per capita terms). An exact calculation requires access to individual level data. If this is unavailable, the paper proposes an approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049397 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049397&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: A jackknife maximum likelihood estimator for the probit model Abstract: The maximum likelihood estimator for the Probit model can be substantially biased in small samples.This paper proposes a bias-corrected jackknife maximum likelihood estimator (JMLE) for the Probit model which corrects bias up to O(1/n-squared) unlike the ordinary MLE which corrects bias up to O(1/n). An application of the JMLE to Spector and Mazzeo (1980) data for analysing the effectiveness of a new method of teaching economics is also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050683 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050683&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:73-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Jiang Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: What could potentially aggravate implicit volatility 'smile' and 'asymmetry'? - a note Abstract: This research note shows that the implied Black-Scholes volatility calculated using the bisection algorithm can have significant biases, which are more severe for in-themoney (ITM) options than for out-of-the-money (OTM) options. The biases are shown to have important implications as they could potentially aggravate the well-documented smile or smirk and asymmetry of implied Black-Scholes volatility for equity options. The findings caution the use of bisection algorithm for the calculation of Black-Scholes implied volatility. This research note also shows that the biases can be eliminated using the optimization algorithm which uses at least the first derivative of the objective function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:75-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaakov Lavi Author-X-Name-First: Yaakov Author-X-Name-Last: Lavi Author-Name: Michel Strawczynski Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Strawczynski Title: Policy variables and growth: evidence from Israel Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of policy variables on the per-capita Business Sector GDP in Israel in the framework of an extended neo-classical model. The methodology assesses the impact of policy variables on the components of the production function: factors of production (capital and labour) and total factor productivity. Using the cointegration approach, both long-run and short term specifications are tested. It is shown that: i) in the long-run the reduction of taxes, public sector deficit and inflation enhance growth mainly through an increase in total factor productivity; ii) in the short-run transitory changes in taxes do not affect business sector GDP, while persistent changes in taxes do affect it. It is also shown that persistent mass immigration waves to Israel enhanced production through a 'scale effect', since they implied an increase in the market size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krishna Mazumdar Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumdar Title: A note on cross-country divergence in standard of living Abstract: Convergence in 'standards of living' across countries is an important phenomenon that drew attraction of the researchers in economics during the last two decades. These studies take into account the growth of per capita gross domestic product or labour productivity as a measure of standard of living. The present study attempts to measure the standard of living in terms of the human development index which reflect the human well-being better than income or productivity and examines whether standards of living converge across economies over a fairly long period of time, such as 35 years (1960-1995). The convergence test has been attempted for the full sample as well as for three levels of human development. The study uses the convergence test introduced by Baumol. The tests indicate that in almost for all the cases divergence has been observed. Divergence is also observed for per capita real gross domestic product for all types of sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049388 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049388&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Connock Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Connock Title: Is arbitrage possible in the housing market? Abstract: It is widely accepted that no obvious serial correlation exists, nor can exist in a perfect market, in the pattern of changes away from the trend in equity share prices; for, if it did, arbitrageurs would step in and make money by buying when positive changes were anticipated, and vice versa. Yet in the UK at least, such correlation does appear to exist in the prices of another, arguably equally important set of assets, namely housing. This note shows, on the basis of the leading UK house price indices, the evidence that this is so, and discusses how this pattern can continue without being arbitraged away. The tentative conclusion is that there are likely to be some individuals and firms who will be able to profit from the situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-93 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:91-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Jose Angelo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Angelo Author-Name: C. A. Divino Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Divino Author-Name: Carlos Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Title: Revisiting the Fisher hypothesis for the cases of Argentina, Brazil and Mexico Abstract: This paper investigates the validity of the Fisher effect hypothesis that it is the interest rate that moves to adjust to anticipated changes in the rate of inflation. The analysis is carried out with monthly data for the period 1980-1997 for three countries that have a recent history of chronic high inflation: Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. A cointegration analysis provided evidence of a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between nominal interest rates and the inflation rate for the cases of Argentina and Brazil only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Non-market insurance and intrafamily transfers Abstract: This paper investigates the possibility that transfers of money between household members arise because a family member wishes to pay another an insurance premium in exchange for the right to collect an insurance coverage if a loss is suffered. The motive for the transfers is known as non-market insurance, and it is compared with altruism, bequests, and child-services-for-money (ABC). Some empirical evidence for non-market insurance is found based upon the panel study of income dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-102 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:99-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: He-Ling Shi Author-X-Name-First: He-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Ownership reform and total factor productivity growth in Chinese industry Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on total factor productivity (TFP) in Chinese industry. First, an adjusted TFP index is calculated through deflating raw data on TFP in Chinese industry using indexes on technological innovation in Japan and the United States. Second, the TFP index is regessed on the percentage of gross industrial output produced by non-state firms for the period 1980 to 1995. The results suggest that ownership reform was an important determinant of growth in industrial TFP over the period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corredor Pilar Author-X-Name-First: Corredor Author-X-Name-Last: Pilar Author-Name: Santamaria Rafael Author-X-Name-First: Santamaria Author-X-Name-Last: Rafael Title: Does derivatives trading destabilize the underlying assets? Evidence from the Spanish stock market Abstract: This paper analyses the effect of the introduction of derivatives (futures and options) in the Spanish market on the volatility and on the trading volume of the underlying index. The period analysed covers from October 1990 to December 1994. To study this effect, a GJR model is used. It is found, that although the asymmetry coefficient has increased, the conditional volatility of the underlying index declines after derivative markets are introduced. The trading volume of Ibex-35 increases significantly. Consequently, the introduction of the derivative contracts in Spain confirms a decrease in uncertainty in the underlying market and an increase in liquidity, which possibly enhances their efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Author-Name: Christian Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Scandinavian exchange rate expectations Abstract: This paper extends the analyses of Frankel and Froot (1987b), Cavaglia et al. (1993a), and others, to a new data set of exchange rate expectations on Scandinavian exchange rates. It corroborates the earlier finding that exchange rate forecasts are not rational, and that agents do not use all available information in an efficient manner. The evidence suggests that Scandinavian exchange rate expectations were stabilizing and that an unexpected depreciation was typically followed by an expected appreciation of smaller magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049757 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049757&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:111-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjetil Haugen Author-X-Name-First: Kjetil Author-X-Name-Last: Haugen Author-Name: Arild Hervik Author-X-Name-First: Arild Author-X-Name-Last: Hervik Title: Estimating the value of the Premier League or the worlds most profitable investment project Abstract: This paper shows that market values for UK football (soccer) teams may be described by a remarkably simple regression model. This model is used to estimate the value of the Premier league. A tentative estimate of the Norwegian club Rosenborg Ballklubb is also established. As Rosenborg Ballklub is a 'membership club' - meaning that a small entrance fee (independent of the clubs performance) is the real price of 'a share' in the club - the return of an investment in the club is shown to be 'unbelievable'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050674 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050674&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Decomposing ethnic differences in the incidence of employer-provided training in New Zealand Abstract: Minority workers in New Zealand are significantly less likely to receive employer-provided training. The contribution of differences in average characteristics and differences in the returns to those characteristics across ethnic groups are highlighted in this paper. The decomposition used deals with the index problem that results from the choice of a base group whose coefficients are used to predict the probability of training. The results show that the gap in training probabilities, and the part of this gap due to differences in the returns to characteristics, differs widely between specific minority groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:121-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. M. Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: X. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: D. Miles Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Statistical precision of DEA: a bootstrap application to Spanish public services Abstract: The aim of this paper is to discuss how the efficiency conclusions obtained from DEA are affected when they are complemented with bootstrap confidence intervals. Bootstrap approximations to DEA estimator distribution functions have not been practically used in empirical analysis, despite being an important statistical tool to discuss the sensitivity of the efficiency point estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:127-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ming Kuan Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Kuan Author-Name: Mai-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mai-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Response surfaces of MOSUM critical values Abstract: The response surfaces of MOSUM critical values are computed, from which the finite sample and asymptotic critical values for different moving window bandwidths can easily be calculated. Results also show that the finite-sample critical values originally suggested by Bauer and Hackl and the asymptotic critical values are much too large in finite samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact critical values of unit root tests with drift and trend Abstract: This paper, using the Imhof method, evaluates the numerically exact critical values of unit root tests based on the OLS estimator when there are drift and trend. The somewhat detailed tables of the exact critical values are presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-145 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:137-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Competition in the US lemon market Abstract: This paper investigates the nature of competition in the US market for fresh lemons. Empirical results indicate that market dominance on the part of Sunkist Growers, Inc. enhanced supra-competitive prices, while a change in the scheme of orderly lemon marketing did not influence competition in a noticeable manner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-149 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053284 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053284&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:147-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lance Bachmeier Author-X-Name-First: Lance Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmeier Title: Is the term structure nonlinear? A semiparametric investigation Abstract: A semiparametric error correction model (ECM) is estimated using US term structure data. We use 5 and 10 year interest rates to predict short-term (1 month to 12 month) interest rates. It is found that the semiparametric ECM model predicts better than the popular linear ECM. These results provide further evidence of nonlinearity in the term structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:151-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Panel data evidence on inflation convergence in the European Union Abstract: This letter investigates the extent of long-run inflation convergence among the major EU economies using panel data unit root and cointegration tests. Potentially, these methods have key advantages over time-series methods which, in the light of limited data, can suffer from power deficiency with a tendency to accept the null of nonstationarity or noncointegration. Using monthly inflation data over the period 1972-99, this study finds that inflation convergence was strongest during 1983-90 whereas the turbulence experienced within in the ERM in the early 1990s conferred some degree of macroeconomic independence among EU members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Intergenerational dependence in education and income Abstract: This paper takes up Goldberger's suggestion to investigate the links across generations using nonmonetary measures of status. It is found that the links in educational attainment are somewhat stronger than, and statistically significant from, those in income even if the income data are adjusted for measurement errors. This result accords well with the theoretical work of Galor and Zeira and others which emphasizes the role of market imperfections in human capital accumulation persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Forecasting stock market volatility with non-linear GARCH models: a case for China Abstract: This paper studies the performance of the GARCH model and two of its non-linear modifications to forecast China's weekly stock market volatility. The models are the Quadratic GARCH and the Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle models which have been proposed to describe the often observed negative skewness in stock market indices. It is found that the QGARCH model is best when the estimation sample does not contain extreme observations such as the stock market crash, and that the GJR model cannot be recommended for forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Perez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Maria Dolores Prada Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Prada Author-Name: Mercedes Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Title: Explaining inequality in Spanish income. A multifactor ANOVA model Abstract: To explain inequality, a multifactor ANOVA model is applied to the logarithm of income. Three definitions of income are analysed to see how they influence the results. Regardless the definition used, education and activity of the household head turn out to be the most significant factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-170 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:167-170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwang Soo Cheong Author-X-Name-First: Kwang Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheong Title: An empirical comparison of alternative functional forms for the Lorenz curve Abstract: Using US income data, several functional forms for the Lorenz curve are evaluated. On the basis of the goodness of fit, estimated income shares and Gini coefficients, the form proposed by Kakwani (Electrometrica, 48, 437-46, 1980) is found to be overall superior to the other forms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:171-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aslihan Altay-Salih Author-X-Name-First: Aslihan Author-X-Name-Last: Altay-Salih Author-Name: Gulnur Muradoglu Author-X-Name-First: Gulnur Author-X-Name-Last: Muradoglu Author-Name: Muhammet Mercan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammet Author-X-Name-Last: Mercan Title: Performance of the efficient frontier in an emerging market setting Abstract: This study applies the Markowitz analysis to the Istanbul Stock Exchange and empirically investigates the performance of this tool in an emerging market setting. The results show that during the early years of establishment of an emerging stock exchange, an active strategy of mean variance portfolio, investing with monthly balancing, outperforms the passive strategies. However, at later stages the capital market liberalization changes market participants. Together, with the increase in foreign participation and integration of the market with the rest of the world, the performance of means variance efficient portfolios detoriate. The study also reports that the strategy is not effective during financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-183 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:177-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao-Yen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: To-Far Wang Author-X-Name-First: To-Far Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Social incidence and economic costs of carbon limits: a computable general equilibrium analysis for Taiwan Abstract: In this paper, a computable general equilibrium model is constructed and is applied to analyse the economic costs of carbon emissions limits on the Taiwanese economy. The counterfactual simulation technique is applied to investigate the economic effects of mitigating carbon emissions via a carbon tax with a compensation policy. Empirical results basing on the Taiwan's data show that both compensation policies, i.e. income tax rate decrease and carbon tax revenues transfer, can reduce the costs of carbon emissions limits and possibly offset welfare reductions due to implementation of a carbon tax. These results also show that, with respect to allocation and distributional effects, the carbon tax revenues transfer is better than the income tax rate decrease for the selection in compensation policy. From the acceptability of national greenhouse policy, this finding reveals that the economic costs of limiting carbon emissions via a carbon tax can be reduced, if carbon emissions limits are accompanied by redistributing carbon tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-189 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054076 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054076&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:185-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Interest rate spread and real activity: evidence for the UK Abstract: Results of recent studies for the USA, Canada and Australia have suggested that the term structure of interest rates contains predictive power for real GDP growth, and that this result is robust to the inclusion of additional variables, such as stock market indicators and lagged growth rates. Using a k-quarter growth rate model this paper attempts to ascertain whether similar results are obtained for the UK. In short, the results suggested here state that although the interest rate spread between the 10-year governemt bond and the 3-month T-bill contains some predictive power for UK output growth, it is less than reported for other countries. Finally, this result is robust to the inclusion of lagged growth and the FT-ALL index return, the latter leading to a marginal improvement in predictive power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054922 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054922&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: The effects of currency depreciation on stock returns: evidence from five East Asian economies Abstract: By using stock daily data for Thailand and the four Asian Tigers, this paper provides clear evidence that currency depreciation affects adversely stock returns and/or increases market volatility over the period of the Asian crisis 1997-1999. The implication is that international investors and fund managers who plan to invest in the East Asian newly emerging stock markets have to evaluate the stability of the foreign exchange markets before taking action. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tser-Yieth Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tser-Yieth Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Measuring firm performance with DEA and prior information in Taiwan's banks Abstract: This paper combines data envelopment analysis (DEA) measurements and manager prior opinion measurements to generate a posterior measurement for an overall measurement of the technical efficiency of banks in Taiwan. The involvement of mutual participation of bank managers in the evaluation process provides refined evaluation results and explicit corporation atmosphere among bank's evaluation operations. The empirical results indicate that the posterior measurement differs from the original DEA efficiency scores and/or financial ratios, which in turn indicates that bank efficiency can be measured by applying the methodology of Bayesian concept. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Alessandro Goglio Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Goglio Title: Regional bias and intra-regional trade in southeast Asia Abstract: Southeast Asia exhibits a bias towards intra-regional trade but not one that is out of line with the size, growth rates and geographical proximity of these countries; there is more trade bias than exhibited by the EU but less than that of NAFTA and, unlike in the EU and NAFTA, southeast Asian trade bias has not increased in recent years. Tests using a gravity model of trade confirm the importance of economic size, geographic distance and common language in intra-region bilateral trade and also show that re-exports and membership of ASEAN have been important factors promoting intra-regional trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058955 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058955&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Inter-regional wage differentials in Spain Abstract: The paper analyses the wage differentials among different Spanish regions. Hedonic wage equations are first formulated for those regions and then the wage decomposition method is applied, which allows separation of the effects due to characteristics from those due to returns. The results show that in the Centre and South, half of the wage differential corresponds to each concept, whereas in the North and East the difference is due more to the different remuneration than to the different characteristics. The variables that exert greatest influence on the characteristic differences are seniority, possessing a university degree, the command of a second language, the sector of activity, the supervisory tasks undertaken and the occupation. With respect to the different returns, the largest differences correspond to remuneration for seniority, a second language, the sector of activity, the working hours and discrimination by gender. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:209-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Author-Name: David Nickerson Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Nickerson Title: Crime and residential mortgage default: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper is the first to quantify the effect of crime rates on rates of default of residential mortgages. Based on a model of default in which crime rates can affect the liquidity of mortgageholders as well as their default option through property values, regression analysis is used to analyse default rates over a pooled sample of residential mortgages for all US states during 1981-1994. This study finds that crime, possibly acting as a proxy for more general economic conditions, significantly affects both the rate and timing of mortgage default. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-220 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:217-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Yi Tse Author-X-Name-First: Chung Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Author-Name: Charles Ka Yui Leung Author-X-Name-First: Charles Ka Yui Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Weslie Yuk Fai Chan Author-X-Name-First: Weslie Yuk Fai Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Unemployment and vacancy in the Hong Kong labour market Abstract: This paper combines unemployment and vacancy data to analyse the efficiency of the Hong Kong labour market for the period 1976 to 1997. It is confirmed that the negative relationship between unemployment and vacancy, commonly known as the Beveridge curve, applies to the Hong Kong labour market. There was an inward shift of the Beveridge curve around 1982, which implies falling match frictions since then. Systematic evidence is also found that Hong Kong has been close to full employment, for on average, around 80% of unemployment in the period was due to structural and frictional unemployment with only 20% attributable to cyclical unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:221-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Title: Endogeneity of tenure in the determination of quit behaviour of young workers Abstract: This paper finds that ignoring the endogeneity of wage and tenure in the determination of quit behaviour biases their measured effects on quit propensity of young workers toward zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:231-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariam Camarero Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Title: The IMF fiscal impulses and the determination of the real exchange rate of the Spanish peseta Abstract: In this paper a Keynesian model is applied for real exchange rate determination based on the concept of fiscal impulses. This model was proposed by Obstfeld (1985) and studies the effect of relative demand shocks on the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:235-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jow-Ran Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jow-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Intertemporal hedge for inflation risk Abstract: An asset pricing model is developed in which price of consumption good is unknown and investors have a general time and state nonseparable preference. It is shown that the expected return on an asset is determined by a weighted average of market risk, inflation risk and consumption risk. The sum of these weights is equal to one. Moreover, a log-linear approximation proposed by Campbell (1993) to budget constraint is used to substitute out consumption to obtain an asset pricing model with inflation hedging risk. In this setup, expected asset return can be rewritten as a weighted average of market risk, market hedging risk, inflation risk and inflation hedging risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-243 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:241-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Papageorgiou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Papageorgiou Title: On scale effects: further evidence Abstract: One of the main issues associated with recent R&D-based growth models is their prediction concerning 'scale effects'. That is, these models ask the question as to whether economic growth is a function of the level or the growth rate of human capital at steady state. This note presents some cross-country and historical time series evidence that supports scale effects in the early stages of development and non scale effects in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Hoskins Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Hoskins Title: Aggregation, technological change and the skill structure of the British Economy 1951-1991 Abstract: This paper presents quantitative estimates of the effects of technological and sectoral change on skill composition in the United Kingdom, in each decade 1951-1991 and assesses the effect of sectoral aggregation on these effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Author-Name: Haoming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haoming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Income inequality in the United States: what the individual tax files say Abstract: Recent studies find the response error in the CPS is systematically related to income and gender. How such systematic misreporting of earnings can affect income inequality estimates is shown. Income inequality in the US can be more acute than is thought. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randal Verbrugge Author-X-Name-First: Randal Author-X-Name-Last: Verbrugge Title: Longitudinal inflation asymmetry Abstract: Using an assymetry test which has high power and is not dominated by outliers, a longitudinal asymmetry is detected in most of the disaggregated price series investigated. This finding is intriguing, as neither money nor output growth is asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:261-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: M. Troy Gibson Author-X-Name-First: M. Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Simultaneous estimation of complementary political economic models: an application to concealed-carry handgun legislation Abstract: The present note provides an extension of the Mixon and Gibson (2001) study of the retention of various types of concealed gun laws across the 50 states of the US by developing a simultaneous system of demand (interest group) and supply (legislative) equations as a 'market for laws'. This construct follows theoretical foundations laid in the public choice literature by Crain (1979) and Benson and Engin (1988). Full information maximum likelihood results presented here suggest the importance of the property rights and the Second Amendment (of the US constitution) movement on the demand side and legislator characteristics on the supply side as determinants of the prescence of unrestricted right-to-carry laws across states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:265-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Author-Name: Daniel Slottje Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Slottje Title: An environmental Paglin-Gini Abstract: The concept of an environmental Gini coefficient has been used recently by several researchers. In line with Paglin's historical critique of the income Gini coefficient, an environmental Paglin-Gini is proposed and estimated, more carefully considering the notion of 'perfect environmental inequality.' Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Sean Holly Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Holly Title: A statistical analysis of regime switching under asymmetric error correction Abstract: A novel approach is presented for the analysis of regime switching behaviour based upon the use of Geary's runs test. The proposed method is used to examine recent evidence presented concerning the application of alternative models of asymmetric error correction. The results derived show the runs test to detect a significant difference in regime switching behaviour under the rival models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Weill Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Weill Title: Does restructuring improve banking efficiency in a transition economy? Abstract: This paper analyses the comparative evolution of the cost efficiency of banks in Poland and the Czech Republic during the nineties. Using the stochastic frontier approach, it finds mixed evidence in favour of the restructuring programmeme implemented in Poland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-281 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:279-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Author-Name: Daniel Tirado Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Tirado Author-Name: Elisenda Paluzie Author-X-Name-First: Elisenda Author-X-Name-Last: Paluzie Title: Integration of markets and industrial concentration: evidence from Spain, 1856-1907 Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the phenomena of trade liberalization and market integration in 19th century Spain and their effect on the geographical concentration of industrial activity. This empirical analysis confirms the existence of positive relationships between the degree of scale economies and industrial concentration and also between the degree of centrality and industrial concentration. The empirical data on trade policy show that protectionist policies did not foster a geographical concentration of industry in the 19th century Spanish economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-287 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110066109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110066109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:283-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Balle Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Balle Author-Name: Ashish Vaidya Author-X-Name-First: Ashish Author-X-Name-Last: Vaidya Title: A regional analysis of openness and government size Abstract: The effects of international trade have been studied primarily from the perspective of a nation, often overlooking the more direct effects that occur on a regional or state level. Studies have illustrated the relationship between international trade and openness to the size of a nation's government as well as to specific categories of government spending. Because the United States retains strong state governments it is important to correlate openness with government size at the state level. The purpose of this paper is to ascertain whether increased state openness has resulted in state governments responding to the increased international trade activity by offering greater social protection. It is found that both public welfare and health services expenditures are positively correlated with the level of a state's openness. This suggests that US states have had to respond to the adverse effects of increased international trade activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067450 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067450&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Mahendhiran Nair Author-X-Name-First: Mahendhiran Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Title: A cointegration analysis of Malaysian import demand function: reassessment from the bounds test Abstract: This paper presents an empirical analysis of the aggregated import demand behaviour for Malaysia. The study involved a small sample of annual data from 1970 to 1998. To estimate the long-term relationship between import demand, and its determinants, namely income and relative prices, a robust estimation method known as the Unrestricted Error Correction Model - Bounds Test Analysis was used. The results show that import volume, income and relative prices are cointegrated. The estimated long-run elasticites of import demand with respect to income and relative prices are 1.5 and -1.3 respectively. This implies that monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies can be used as instruments to maintain favourable trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110073471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110073471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duncan McVicar Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: McVicar Title: Spillovers and foreign direct investment in UK manufacturing Abstract: Evidence is presented for the existence of negative spillovers through both foreign direct investment (FDI) and goods imports for UK manufacturing sectors. Support is given to the argument that FDI and imports have a market-stealing effect on domestic firms and can therefore reduce productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hyland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hyland Author-Name: Steve Swidler Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Swidler Title: Trading behaviour of stocks added to New Zealand's NZSE40 index Abstract: This paper looks at the addition of stocks to New Zealand's NZSE40 index and investigates whether price and volume effects support the price pressure hypothesis or the informational efficiencies described by Merton's attention hypothesis. Unlike the US experience, a description of trading on the New Zealand Stock Exchange includes: (1) mechanical index listing rules; (2) few index arbitrage opportunities; and (3) less liquid markets. The empirical results support the attention hypothesis and suggest informational efficiencies that lower a firm's cost of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimation of discrete/continuous choice model: application of Bayesian approach using Gibbs sampling Abstract: The paper suggests a different model for estimating a discrete/continuous choice framework using Gibbs sampling. The basic idea of using Gibbs sampling for the multinomial probit model is extended to the case of a discrete/continuous framework. To check the applicability of this method, it was applied to estimate the parameters of a 'vehicle ownership and use' model in Seoul, Korea. Also estimated was the price elasticity of gasoline demand, calculated to be -0.7601. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Brown Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Using a multiple imputation technique to merge data sets Abstract: Surprisingly, despite the fact that the information needed to address a research question is often spread across separate surveys, there is not a well established method for merging data sets prior to analysis. This letter presents a relatively straightforward method for merging information from separate surveys of representative samples drawn from the same population. It uses a multiple imputation technique that was originally developed to correct for missing values on items from survey data. The advantage of the process is that it accounts for the variance related to merging separate data sets, as well as the sample variance present in any sample survey. This provides more accurate estimates of the precision of the coefficients of interest than ad hoc alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110069980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110069980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Extending dichotomous choice contingent valuation methods to pre-test-market evaluation: the case of a cable television service Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to introduce and test an extension of dichotomous choice contingent valuation methods to pre-test-market evaluation using the specific case of a cable television service. On the whole, respondents accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount, on average. This willingness varies according to individual characteristics and concerns about the service. It is concluded that the methods are potentially a useful tool for decision-makers in considering the provision of the service. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110070005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110070005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Mean and variance spillovers among size-sorted UK equity portfolios Abstract: The paper extends Lo and MacKinlay's 1990 findings by testing for mean and variance spillovers among size-sorted portfolios for the UK stock market. The London Business School Share Price Database, which contains the returns of approximately 6000 companies, is used to construct two sets of size-sorted portfolios using two alternative weighting schemes. Evidence is found of mean and variance spillovers from large- to small-firm portfolios, but not vice versa. This result holds for both weighting schemes. The existence of such spillovers suggests that profitable mean- and variance-based trading strategies exist in the UK stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Chang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Joseph Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Inflation and relative price variability: a revisit Abstract: Bomberger and Makinen reported in 1993 that the significant positive relationship between relative price variability and the rate of inflation, documented by Parks in 1978 and by others, disappears when the oil-shock years 1974 and 1980 are excluded from the sample. Using a sample of yearly and monthly observations of both a 12- category group and a 202-category group of personal consumption expenditures, evidence is found that Bomberger and Makinen's finding is sensitive to the level of commodity aggregation and to sampling intervals. Specifically, Parks' results are reinstated when the supply shock years of 1974, 1980 and 1990 are eliminated from the annual and monthly samples. Allowing for asymmetrical responses of relative price variability to positive and negative inflation further strengthens the relation between relative price and inflation. The overall evidence renders strong support for the classic findings by Parks and is consistent with the hypothesis of downward price rigidity of some sectors in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-330 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:325-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Productivity measurement: a profit function approach Abstract: This article provides an analytical framework to measure and decompose total factor productivity growth into technical change and economies of scale, using a profit function approach. Both single and multiple output cases are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshitsugu Kitazawa Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Kitazawa Author-Name: Makoto Ohta Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Ohta Title: Testing the shirking version of the efficiency wage model in Japanese electric-machinery firms: a panel data approach Abstract: This paper investigates whether electric-machinery firms in Japan paid the efficiency wage to their employees after the Plaza Accord. The estimations are implemented using a dynamic formulation of the shirking version in the efficiency wage model. This formulation is developed by Machin and Manning (1992). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatith Ozatay Author-X-Name-First: Fatith Author-X-Name-Last: Ozatay Title: Effects of contemporaneous aggregation on the predictive power of information variables Abstract: Obtaining reliable forecasts of the future path of inflation is crucial for inflation targeting. The importance of information variable approach in forecasting inflation is widely stated. Studies that explore the information content of money basically rely upon the Granger-causality tests and use contemporaneously aggregated time series. For a potential information variable such as a monetary variable, failing to find predictive power for a contemporaneously aggregated series such as the inflation level does not necessarily imply that the potential information variable lacks predictive power. This letter shows that, provided that such a causal relationship is valid for, at least, one of the components of the aggregate, then it is possible to obtain better forecasts of the aggregate using a disaggregated model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:339-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment and input prices: a fractional cointegration approach Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, fractional integration/cointegration techniques are used which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, it is found that all three variables are I(1). But only cointegration is found in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that the relationship between these variables also has a dynamic component. Furthermore, there is evidence of fractional (as opposed to classical) cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-351 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086044 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086044&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:347-351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Author-Name: Roberto Golinelli Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Golinelli Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Core inflation in the Euro area Abstract: Using a common trends model, a forward-looking 'core' inflation measure is estimated for the Euro area based on long-run relations among major macroeconomic variables, bearing the interpretation of long-run inflation forecast. The proposed measure may be particularly suitable for the 'two-pillar' monetary policy strategy of the ECB which focuses on medium-term inflation prospects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates: some further evidence Abstract: This paper reconsiders the time-series properties of inter-war pound-franc and pound-dollar exchange rate returns in the context of a smooth transition variant of the threshold autoregressive model. It is found that autoregressive structure in returns is largely confined to values in proximity with thresholds which are possibly associated with market intervention points or market sentiment. Under joint estimation in conjunction with GARCH models of time-varying conditional volatility, these models satisfactorily capture all non-linearity in the data, and in the case of pound-dollar returns provide out-of-sample forecasts superior to alternative linear and non-linear models previously considered in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Title: The producer, the baker, and a test of the mill price-taker Abstract: The purpose of the research in this paper was to test for upstream and downstream market power in the US hard wheat milling industry. This is an industry with very high and increasing levels of processing concentration, and one of the industry's largest firms (Archer Daniels Midland) was implicated in price-fixing in US lysine markets. The principal finding is that the hypothesis of competition could not be rejected in both the upstream and downstream markets. No evidence was found of market power in US hard wheat milling and social concerns about the conduct of incumbent firms seem unwarranted at this time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068846 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068846&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Hun Park Author-X-Name-First: Hun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Kwangwoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwangwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Volatility, open interest, volume, and arbitrage: evidence from the S&P 500 futures market Abstract: Using a vector autoregressive (VAR) approach, the dynamic interactions and causal relationships among volatility, open interest, trading volume and arbitrage opportunities in the S&P 500 index futures market is examined. It is found that increased volatility lowers pricing error. This implies that as market volatility increases, investors sell off their equity and futures positions with relatively larger drops in futures prices. Pricing error plays a critical role in linking implied volatility and the level of open interest. Open interest rises for a few days in response to a pricing error shock, but pricing error declines over the next day after an initial rise in response to an innovation in open interest. This suggests that the level of open interest is a good proxy for examining the capital flows into and out of the nearest S&P 500 index futures contract. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110074155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110074155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Nilson Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Nilson Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Permanent structural changes in the Brazilian economy and long memory: a stock market perspective Abstract: The paper assesses long memory patterns in the Brazilian stock market index (Ibovespa) for sub-periods before and after the Real Stabilization Plan. Evidence favours the existence of short memory for both periods despite the so-called reforms the Brazilian economy went through in the 1990s and, in particular, after the Real Plan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-375 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110073480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110073480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:373-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Harms Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Harms Title: Political risk and equity investment in developing countries Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of a measure of political risk on equity investment flows to developing countries. Using a panel data set that includes a larger number of low-income countries than previous studies, it is found that political risk is an important determinant of the sum of foreign direct investment and portfolio equity investment per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-380 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110084064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110084064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:377-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Cheng-Yu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of futures trading on spot index volatility: evidence for Taiwan index futures Abstract: This paper investigates the influences of inception of Taiwan Index futures trading on the spot price volatility on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). The macroeconomic effects are controlled and the asymmetric response behaviour is studied. The empirical evidence shows that the trading of TAIEX futures has major impacts on spot price volatility mechanism while the trading of MSCI Taiwan futures does not. In addition, the trading of both index futures has altered the asymmetric response behaviour of spot price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-385 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:381-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Jha Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: H. K. Nagarajan Author-X-Name-First: H. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nagarajan Title: Wholesale spreads and the dynamics of retail price volatility in Indian rice markets Abstract: A general model is proposed of asymmetric price transmission to examine the volatility of retail spreads in vertical markets, with endogenous overshooting of the wholesale spreads. The model is tested with Indian data and significant asymmetries are discovered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: On the GARCH estimates of exchange rate volatility in India Abstract: The study estimates the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model for a comprehensive set of both weighted (export and trade) as well as unweighted (official and black market) real exchange rate series in India. The study finds the evidence of dimensionally weak and statistically insignificant autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) effects as compared to GARCH effects in almost all the exchange rate series. The estimates of GARCH model are sensitive to the measure of exchange rate used. Besides, the GARCH effects remain invariant to the choice of sample period, and this evidence points towards the regime neutrality of exchange rate volatility in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:391-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Epstein Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Epstein Author-Name: P. Tillack Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tillack Title: Classification of agricultural enterprises by their financial standing Abstract: Since 1994 the majority of Russian agricultural enterprises have been unprofitable, and have accumulated large liabilities. Their reorganization and liability restructuring is necessary. However, the differences in the financial standing of enterprises should be identified and taken into consideration. Here arises an important methodological task: to choose relevant studies, i.e. criteria for enterprise selection and classification by qualitatively different groups depending upon their financial and economic standing. This is a complex and still unsolved task. This article offers to evaluate the financial standing of an unprofitable enterprise by means of the ratio of the sufficiency coefficient to cover factor costs (K1). Factor costs are determined as a sum of labour costs, depreciation deductions and land costs. K1 enables one to evaluate the ability to preserve basic factors of production. K2 and K3 ratios, which make it possible to account for enterprise ability to survive by means of minimization of depreciation deductions and accumulation of accounts payable, are composed similarly. The ratios between enterprise liability levels and different asset components are also offered, and these make it possible to classify the enterprises by their liability level. Experimental confirmation of the developed scheme were performed with the figures of agricultural enterprises of the Leningrad Region (Oblast) for 1998. These enterprises were classified into five groups. Different approaches to their reorganization were offered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086071 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086071&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:397-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Confidence intervals for fractionally integrated hypotheses in the real output across Europe Abstract: Confidence intervals for the fractional differencing parameter are established in this article for the real output in several European countries. They are based on a testing procedure due to Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 1420-37, 1994) and the results indicate that these confidence intervals are relatively wide, the unit root null hypothesis being rejected in practically all cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-409 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086783 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086783&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:407-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kenneth Lin Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Pitfalls in using Granger causality tests to find an engine of growth Abstract: This paper discusses the reliability of using a Granger causality test to find an engine of growth. The paper first focuses on growth models' cointegration implications since causality must exist in an error-correction model. As a complementary, Monte Carlo experiments with independently generated I(1) variables also indicate a significant probability for rejecting the Granger non-causality null. Given the persistency and cointegration of variables in growth models, rejecting the non-causality null may reflect a spurious causal relationship, rather than confirm a theoretical causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110088132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110088132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Author-Name: Tatyana Zabotina Author-X-Name-First: Tatyana Author-X-Name-Last: Zabotina Title: Smooth transition in aggregate consumption Abstract: The STAR model is used to characterize the time series of aggregate consumption. It makes smooth transition from one optimal level to another, as heterogeneous individuals reach their optimal revision points over time. These results suggest that consumption adjustment costs and heterogeneity among investors are responsible for the empirical failure of the consumption-based CAPM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110094478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110094478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Title: Endogenous organizational change and the expected demand for different skill groups Abstract: Between 1993 and 1995, the majority of German firms in services introduced new organizational practices (OC), in particular total quality management systems, certified ISO 9000, lean administration, flatter hierarchies, delegation of authority and ICT-enabled organizational changes. This paper analyzes the impact of organizational change on employment expectations. A system of probit equations will be estimated by simulated MLE. To account for endogeneity of organizational change in the labour demand equations a selection equation explaining organizational change is added to the system of equations. The empirical results suggest that organizational change has a positive impact on expected employment for all skill groups except for unskilled labour. Employment effects are robust to endogeneity of organizational change. New ICT and the share of training expenditures are primary forces behind OC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110088141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110088141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Carlos Posada Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Posada Title: Unemployment rate and the real wage behaviour: a neoclassical hint for the Colombian labour market adjustment Abstract: The Colombian urban unemployment rate has grown dramatically over the last six years. At the same time the real wage also had a sharp increase. The empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that an exogenous increase in the real wage was a cause of the unemployment growth. The long-run elasticity suggests a 1% increase of the real wage index increases unemployment rate something between 0.7% and 1.0%. Therefore it seems necessary that the real wage goes back to its equilibrium path for the reduction of the unemployment rate to the natural level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096142 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096142&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: Robert Moore Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Changes in the welfare of two-earner families across the income distribution, 1983-1993 Abstract: This paper illustrates that even during periods of sustained economic growth, gains in family welfare may not be spread evenly across income classes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-431 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:429-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Is the Government's intertemporal budget constraint fulfilled in Sweden? An application of the Kalman filter Abstract: This paper deals with the issue of whether the Government complies with its budget constraint for the case of Sweden during the period 1963-2000 using quarterly data. It is found that government spending and government revenue are nonstationary (integrated) but cointegrated. A random coefficient model against a fixed coefficient model is also tested for. The results show that the random coefficient model, which is nonlinear, is preferred to the linear fixed parameter model. This model, which takes into account the Lucas critique, is estimated by the Kalman filter and it provides further empirical evidence that the government follows its intertemporal budget restriction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-439 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086792 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086792&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:433-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ada Ho Author-X-Name-First: Ada Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Alan Wan Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Testing for covariance stationarity of stock returns in the presence of structural breaks: an intervention analysis Abstract: This paper investigates whether the stock return series of Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore and the US are covariance stationary using Omran and McKenzie's (The Statistician, 48, 361-69, 1999) testing procedure which comprises the Loretan and Phillips (1994) test and an intervention analysis. The main objective of the procedure is to ascertain the role of structural breaks on the stochastic properties of the stock return series. It is found that the intervention due to the 1997 Asian financial crisis is significant in the case of Hong Kong and Singapore, for which the hypothesis of covariance stationarity cannot be rejected after the effects of the financial crisis have been properly filtered. On the other hand, the evidence suggests that neither the Asian crisis nor the 1998 currency crisis of Russia and Latin America has any significant impact on the stock return series of Australia and the US, which are found to be covariance stationary and covariance nonstationary, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110090210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110090210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:441-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chang-Yang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A simple model of R&D: An extension of the Dorfman-Steiner theorem Abstract: This paper extends the seminal Dorfman-Steiner (American Economic Review, 44, 826-36, 1954) theorem by putting underlying structures on the determination of market share and on the production of quality or technology. The model developed in this paper yields a demand-pull, technology-push theory of R&D, where the profit-maximizing R&D intensity (i.e., the ratio of R&D expenditure to sales) is determined jointly by consumer characteristics, represented by the elasticities of consumer value with respect to price and quality, and firm-specific technological competence or simply R&D productivity, measured as the R&D elasticity of quality or technological output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091787 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091787&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Author-Name: Ourania Korka Author-X-Name-First: Ourania Author-X-Name-Last: Korka Title: Modelling farmers' land use decisions Abstract: This paper aims at analysing and predicting farmers' land use decisions. For this purpose, farmers' decision processes are described by a nested discrete choice model. At all levels of estimation, the values of the dependent variable indicate the proportion of land allocated to each agricultural activity. Then, the share of land assigned to each activity is estimated by employing the random utility model of the logit specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Testing stationarity against unit roots and structural changes Abstract: In this paper, performance of the KPSS tests of Kwiatkowski et al. (Journal of Economics, 54, 159-78, 1992) and the generalized fluctuation tests (GFL) of Kuan and Hornik (Economic Reviews, 14, 135-61, 1995) and Kuan (Journal of Econometrics, 84, 75-91, 1998) are investigated for the null of stationarity against alternatives of unit root and structural changed individually. Simulation results show that both the KPSS and the GFL tests have similar size and power performance under different DGPs considered. The number of truncation lags used in estimating the long-run variance plays a crucial role in test performance. Under the null of stationarity, the GFL tests have less size distortion than the KPSS tests given the same number of truncation lags. On the other hand, the KPSS tests have better powers for detecting structural changes occurring at the beginning and the end of a sample. This finding suggests that a more robust inference for the null of stationarity can be obtained by combining both information from the KPSS and the GFL tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091895 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091895&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baban Hasnat Author-X-Name-First: Baban Author-X-Name-Last: Hasnat Author-Name: Charles Callahan Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Callahan Title: A political economic analysis of Congressional voting on permanent normal trade relations of China Abstract: The paper provides an empirical examination of the determinants of support for Permanent Normal Trade Relations Status (PNTR) for China in the United States Congress. A logistic regression model and control is estimated for both economic and political influences. It is found that business political action committee (PAC) contributions to lawmakers and the skill level of the constituency had a significant positive influence on lawmakers' voting in favour of PNTR. Political affiliation, import-competing industries in the constituency, labour PAC contributions, and lawmakers' political ideology had a significant negative influence on the PNTR vote. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110095792 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110095792&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Røed Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Røed Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A note on the Weibull distribution and time aggregation bias Abstract: The application of continuous time Weibull models on discrete unemployment duration data may result in severely biased baseline estimates. The bias can be substantial even for weekly duration data, and it is seriously aggravated if the Weibull model is erroneously mixed with a Gamma distribution for unobserved heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. P. Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: J. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Author-Name: L. M. Levin Author-X-Name-First: L. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Title: Calculation of returns to job tenure revisited Abstract: This study considers the robustness of the effects on wages of job tenure and work experience among white adult men in the United States. The Survey of Income and Programme Participation data is used from 1983-1992 and the same methodology is also used to generate results to compare to earlier findings for Panel Study of Income Dynamics data from 1968-1983. Results are remarkably consistent across data sets and time periods in finding significant returns to job tenure, although a slightly flatter wage growth profile is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110097385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110097385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrilyn Billger Author-X-Name-First: Sherrilyn Author-X-Name-Last: Billger Title: Admitting men into a women's college: A natural experiment Abstract: This study explores the effects of attending a women's college on college major, degree attainment, and occupation. Previous work on the effects of such attendance is quite limited, focusing primarily on role-model effects at coeducational institutions. To explore this issue in a new way, alumnae data from a college that was chartered as a women's college and later became coeducational was cold. This study finds that, after the admission of men into the college, the alumnae were less likely to pursue many traditionally male-dominated majors and occupations, but were not less likely to attain advanced degrees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110095440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110095440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Le Bihan Author-X-Name-First: Herve Le Author-X-Name-Last: Bihan Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy in a simple Euro area model Abstract: The 'Brainard conservatism principle' states that the optimal monetary policy rule should be less aggressive when uncertainty about parameters is taken into account. However, this principle is not fully general and may be reversed in some cases. This paper examines the implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy using a simple empirical model of the Euro area. The Brainard principle is found to be empirically relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Spurious rejection using Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: In recent research Leybourne and co-workers examined the behaviour of the Dickey-Fuller τ test in the presence of structural breaks under the null. It was found that breaks in either level or drift occurring early in the sample period resulted in severe size distortion, with the unit root hypothesis spuriously rejected. Using Monte Carlo methods, the present letter analyses the finite-sample properties of the Dickey-Fuller K and τ tests. The results obtained show that in comparison to the τ test, the K test suffers far less size distortion in the presence of structural breaks under the null, dramatically so in the case of breaks in drift. The empirical analysis of Leybourne and co-workers is also revisited to further illustrate the contrasting behaviour of the two tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:557-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Richard Tiffin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Tiffin Title: Bootstrap testing of the expectations hypothesis with the term structure of interest rates Abstract: The Expectations Hypothesis (EH) for the term structure of UK monthly interest rates is tested using Johansen's procedure. Differing results are found depending on the method of lag length selection. The application of the stationary bootstrap reconciles these results, lending support to the Expectations Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108076 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108076&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toru Konno Author-X-Name-First: Toru Author-X-Name-Last: Konno Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: The Canada-United States bilateral import demand functions: gradual switching in long-run relationships Abstract: By estimating long-run relationships in bilateral import functions, the effects of the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement is analysed. We also incorporate the gradual switching model into the import function to capture the phased tariff reductions. The result shows that the free trade agreement made both countries sensitive to domestic and foreign prices and insensitive to the domestic income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111216 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111216&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. M. M. Jamal Author-X-Name-First: A. M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Title: The term structure of interest rates and the demand for money Abstract: This paper investigates the money demand behaviour when the entire term structure of interest rates is taken into account. The results show that the interest elasticity of money demand does not vary with the level of the term structure of interest rates. It is also found that the quantity of money demanded varies directly with the tilt of the term structure. Both these findings have useful implications for macroeconomic policy and analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108085 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108085&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:571-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Rouvinen Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Rouvinen Title: Characteristics of product and process innovators: some evidence from the Finnish innovation survey Abstract: The characteristics of product and process innovators among Finnish manufacturing firms with Community Innovation Survey (CIS) data are studied. Results of bivariate probit estimations suggest that, while the product and process innovations are related, they are largely driven by different factors. The ability to benefit from inward spillovers is the only variable having a symmetric effect onboth types of innovation. Cooperation with non-academic outside partners is the only other variable that becomes significant in both equations. Process innovations benefit from capital embodied technology, whereas product innovations require disembodied forms of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Guillaume Meon Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Meon Title: Distributive consequences of a monetary union: what can we learn from a referendum? Abstract: A logit model is used to study the approval rate during the referendum on the Maastricht Treaty held in France in 1992. Results show a remarkable correlation between the approval rate in French departments and their economic characteristics as defined by the theory of optimum currency areas. They support the view that individual agents' opinions towards EMU depended on its impact on their welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111180 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111180&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Dominguez Author-Name: Alfonso Novales Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Novales Title: A factor model of term structure slopes in Eurocurrency markets Abstract: Recent empirical work has documented the existence of specific information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic activity. A good forecasting model of term structure slopes could therefore be helpful to anticipate changes in economic activity with an even longer anticipation. Firstly, it is analysed whether a good forecasting model can be found for term structure slopes in different currencies. After that, a factor model is constructed of term structure slopes, and the quality of slope forecasts obtained from factor models are compared to those obtained from univariate models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-593 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:585-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Campolieti Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Campolieti Title: The recurrence of occupational injuries: estimates from a zero inflated count model Abstract: The recurrence of workers' compensation injuries is studied using data from the unemployment histories of permanently disabled workers from Ontario, Canada. Estimates are obtained with a zero inflated Poisson regression model and it is found that employer accommodations can reduce the number of subsequent work absences workers experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Linder hypothesis revisited Abstract: Linder posed a hypothesis in 1961 that the closer the preference structure between two countries is, the bigger the trade volume becomes. The empirical results using pooled trade data from 63 countries for 1970, 1980, 1990, and 1992 are in support of the Linder hypothesis. It is also found that the Linder hypothesis gained strength in the 1990s. Recent globalization may have strengthened the Linder hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. R. Shanmugam Author-X-Name-First: K. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Shanmugam Author-Name: Saumitra Bhaduri Author-X-Name-First: Saumitra Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaduri Title: Size, age and firm growth in the Indian manufacturing sector Abstract: The conventional wisdom on the relationship of firm growth with its size and age is typically based on the studies in developed economies. In contrast, this study analyses the firm growth patterns for an emerging economy, namely India. It uses a balanced panel of 392 manufacturing firms over the years 1989-1990 to 1992-1993 to explore unobserved heterogeneity among firms. Results indicate that age positively influences growth, which is the opposite of the result obtained in previous studies. The current size negatively impacts growth as in earlier studies. Results also indicate that smaller and older firms grow faster than their counterparts. Size effect is larger in food industry while the age effect is larger in non-metal industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-613 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:607-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Author-Name: Sanjay Ramchander Author-X-Name-First: Sanjay Author-X-Name-Last: Ramchander Title: Is differential sentiment a cause of closed-end country fund premia? An empirical examination of the Australian case Abstract: One of the most puzzling empirical irregularities in finance is the persistence of discounts and premia on the net asset values (NAV) of closed-end country funds. Unlike previous papers, the present study adopts a novel approach to directly test the hypothesis that such premia are a reflection of differences in foreign and domestic investors' sentiments. The study employs Australian and US consumer survey data to illustrate how divergent consumer sentiments are useful in explaining the time varying pattern of discounts and premia on the First Australian Fund. While controlling for foreign and domestic market returns, as well as exchange rate changes, it is found that the more optimistic US consumers are over Australian consumers, the greater the premium on the fund, and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali El-Agraa Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: El-Agraa Title: The UTR versus CU Formation Analysis and Article XXIV Abstract: In 1965, Cooper and Massell (Economic Journal 75: 742-7) showed that a policy of unilateral tariff reduction (UTR) was superior to the formation of a customs union (CU). Although their model was concerned with only static resource reallocation effects, many analysts treated the Cooper/Massell 'criticism' as if it applied to the entire CU formation issue. This was incomprehensible, especially when they themselves almost simultaneously developed a different model to demonstrate that two countries together can do more than each acting alone. Wonnacott and Wonnacott (1981,American Economic Review 71: 704-14) tried to revive the issue by claiming that the use of a three-country general equilibrium model with transportation costs and tariffs by the rest of the world could show that UTR need not dominate CU formation, but El-Agraa and Jones (2000,Applied Economics Letters 7: 301-4; Journal of Economic Integration 15: 239-59) have demonstrated that their claim is unwarranted, due to inadequacies in their model. This paper shows that the incorporation of WTO/GATT rules (Article XXIV) into an appropriately adjusted orthodox framework leads to the Wonnacott's conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111225 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111225&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Prieger Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Prieger Title: A model for regulated product innovation and introduction with application to telecommunications Abstract: This empirical examination compares product innovation under price caps and Rate of return regulation (RoRR) in US telecommunications. The econometric model comprises a count process (for product innovation) followed by a duration process (for regulatory delay). More services were created under price caps than under RoRR. The model may also be useful for other regulatory settings and issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:625-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunbae Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunbae Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Jeungil Oh Author-X-Name-First: Jeungil Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: An instrumental variable estimate of the effect of fertility on the labour force participation of married women Abstract: This study estimates the effect of fertility on the labour force participation of married women in Korea. Since Korean households prefer sons to daughters, there is exogenous variation in the number of children among households, depending on their first child's sex. Using this exogenous variation as an instrumental variable for fertility, it is found that having children reduces the labour force participation of married Korean women by 27.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-634 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110117850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110117850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:631-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Input aggregation and technical efficiency Abstract: This paper defines the notion of unbiased aggregation of inputs and provides a necessary and sufficient condition for this to apply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:635-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: US Social Security rules in the 1990s: a natural experiment in myopic and farsighted behaviour Abstract: During the 1990s changes in the earnings test threshold and the delayed retirement credit had the potential to impact the labour supply of 65 to 69-year-olds. These changes in Social Security rules are used to examine whether labour supply behaviour of elderly men and women is 'myopic' or 'farsighted'. Men are found to be more farsighted than previously realized, perhaps due to increases in life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Troyer Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Troyer Title: Decomposing the effect of marital status on migration Abstract: An econometric technique is developed to decompose the difference in the predicted migration probability of married and unmarried individuals into three parts. This technique allows one to examine the degree to which personal characteristics influence differences in migration between the two groups. The decomposition reveals that differences in human capital characteristics explain only 15.5% of the migration probability gap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Economic growth and EMU: a note on UK membership Abstract: One of the arguments against monetary union is that it can impose growth costs on fast growing countries following the loss of their exchange rate policy. Thus, differential growth rates among potential members can be seen as an obstacle to forming a monetary union. This letter shows that as a member of EMU, the UK will be able to maintain its current growth rate without facing serious balance of payments problems. Thus, the 'differential growth rates' argument against EMU cannot be considered an obstacle to UK membership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Deborah Cobb-Clark Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Cobb-Clark Title: Old-age labour supply in the developing world Abstract: Rapid population ageing is becoming an increasingly important policy issue in many developing countries. Without broad-based pension schemes, the elderly are left to rely on their own current and accumulated earnings and support from children as their primary means of old-age support. This is the first study of which one is aware that jointly estimates the determinants financial transfers from children and elderly labour supply in a developing country context. It is found that many Indonesians continue to work well into old age and there is little evidence that financial transfers are a substitute for the income generated by elderly parents' own labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Author-Name: Soumya Srinivasan Author-X-Name-First: Soumya Author-X-Name-Last: Srinivasan Title: Structure-pricing linkages among singlemarket banks, controlling for credit quality Abstract: Structure-pricing linkages are estimated for single-market banks, to measure structure and pricing more accurately. Loan loss ratios are controlled for predicted to be important by information-theoretic models of lending. A strong structure-pricing linkage is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Market direction and moment seasonality: evidence from Irish equities Abstract: The first four moments of four indices of equity returns produced by the Irish Stock Exchange are examined across different market directions. Using standard F, Kruskal-Wallis and Levene tests daily seasonality is confirmed in all, although in a pattern different to that found elsewhere. In particular, there appears to be a Wednesday effect in mean returns and, counter to evidence elsewhere, daily seasonality appears stronger in rising than falling markets. In addition, this note applies a method introduced by Tang (Journal of Economics and Business, 21(1), 1997) in finding a daily seasonal in skewness and kurtosis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-664 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110117841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110117841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:657-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Pitfall of unit autoregressive root testing Abstract: This paper examines whether the usually tested unit autoregressive (AR) root null hypothesis can be informative about the presence of a unit AR root (integration). This is considered null in generic models when the underlying time series is mean or linear trend stationary. It is concluded that non rejection of the unit AR root null hypothesis is not sufficient for integration of a time series. For sufficiency, absence of a unit MA root from the MA representation of the first difference is required. Hence, the analysis here is in line with the general statistical argument that non rejection of a null should not be taken as acceptance of the null; a false practice which is widespread in the unit root and (especially) cointegration literature. An empirical example, involving real quarterly UK GDP, is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Smith Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Tests of the random walk hypothesis for London gold prices Abstract: The hypothesis that London gold prices follow a random walk is tested for three prices, those determined at the morning and afternoon fixings and the closing price, using the multiple variance ratio test. For the prices set in the twice-daily fixings, the random walk hypothesis is rejected because of autocorrelation in returns. However, the closing price, which is determined by additional information and involves many more participants in the market, follows a random walk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-674 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485021012458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485021012458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:671-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Pita Barros Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Pita Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Convergence and information technologies - the experience of Greece, Portugal and Spain Abstract: The paper attempts to shed some light on the role of information and communication technologies (ICT) in industry convergence in the European Union. In particular, whether it has improved the convergence process of the less developed countries within the European Union. While ICTs may play a significant role in the US recent growth record, it is found that the contribution of more traditional industries is at least as significant for the convergence process within the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210125517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210125517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluigi Giorgioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgioni Author-Name: John Thompson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Which volatility? The case of the exports of wheat Abstract: In the paper it is suggested that the level of demand for exports and its variability are more important than the variability of the exchange rate for a commodity whose storage costs are not negligible. Evidence in favour of this hypothesis is provided by panel data analysis for the USA exports of wheat for the period 1980-1996. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-684 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:681-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Hakan Tasci Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Tasci Title: Monetary policy, income and prices: a stability assessment Abstract: This paper assesses the stability of the money-income relationship for seven OECD countries. When the sample was split into two subsamples: pre- and post-1980, the empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that even if the inferences gathered across countries are not always parallel, the inferences gathered from the VAR specification across the samples for each country are mostly parallel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-694 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:685-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Seung Jick Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung Jick Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: The steady state distribution of animals in short duration grazing Abstract: This note addresses the following hitherto unstudied question in rangeland management: What is the steady state distribution of livestock animals for rangelands that are managed using short duration grazing? This paper uses the theory of alternating renewal processes to answer this question and this answer has two desirable features. First, this paper does not assume a specific functional form for the cumulative distribution function of the amount of time that the animals spend in the various paddocks. Second, this paper permits the amount of time spent by the animals in distinct paddocks to be represented by dissimilar cumulative distribution functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112558 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112558&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel Van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Van Leuvensteijn Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Title: How different are the determinants of population versus labour migration in Germany? Abstract: This paper studies whether population migration data can be used to answer questions on labour mobility between regions. Using regional data of the Statistisches Bundesamt for population and labour migration, panel data estimations are conducted for the period 1993-1995, as the high average migratory flows of the earlier period, 1989-1992, had settled down. The conclusion emerges that if normalized population and labour migration data are used, the discrepancy in the results is small and this study's results on elasticity coefficients for identical models in each of the cases by and large produce similar results. The major difference emerges with the elasticity coefficient of the housing variable. In general, one may conclude that population migration may be used to examine labour migration issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Reform in China's 'B' share markets and the shrinking A/B share price differential Abstract: The use of capital controls in mainland China has meant that shares in listed PRC state enterprises - traded in either Shenzhen or Shanghai - have been broadly separated into 'A' and 'B' share categories. 'A' shares are traded in Chinese RenMinBi and are restricted to trades between indigenous investor concerns, whilst 'B' shares trade in US$ in Shanghai and HK$ in Shenzhen and have, until recently, been the legal preserve of investors emanating from outside the PRC mainland. Reforms, instituted with effect from 28 February 2001, have altered this picture, however, with certain parties from the PRC mainland now able to participate in the 'B' markets. The opening of the 'B' market has resulted in a rapid increase in 'B' prices. The effects are analysed in this paper for 40 companies with concurrent 'A' and 'B' share listings in Shanghai. Prior to the reforms, the 'A' shares traded at prices that were, on average, over four times the level on corresponding 'B' shares. By the middle of June 2001, this multiple had been squeezed substantially. This short paper examines the relative changes to the 'A'/'B' share price differential and finds that 'B' price movement are related to the absolute price levels in 'A' and 'B' share prices prior to the reforms. The results are consistent with a retail market in which a 'trading range' obtains for prices in the two market sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Sean Holly Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Holly Title: Threshold specification for asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The consistent threshold estimation method is used to improve the threshold specification of the Granger-Lee asymmetric error correction model. Although only previously considered in the context of univariate analysis, the approach is found to uncover asymmetry undetected under the typical mean-based partitioning scheme of the Granger-Lee method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Title: Ranking Production Subsidies and Import Tariffs under Different Scenarios Abstract: Both a tariff and a production subsidy can be used to protect the import competing industry. Yeh (1971) has shown that if the country is large, a tariff will be superior to a production subsidy, assuming that the level of support required for the import competing industry is not greater than the one needed when the optimum tariff is in operation. Maintaining the hypothesis that exporters do not react to importing country policies, the paper shows that tariffs and subsidies can always be ordered. Tariffs will remain superior to subsidies even if the support guaranteed to domestic producers exceeds that achieved under the optimum tariff. A tariff though is inferior to production subsidy only when the country wishes to produce a quantity significantly in excess of the optimum tariff production. However, this ranking is sensitive to the behaviour of trade partners. In fact, when foreign suppliers fix their export quantity at the free-trade equilibrium through whatever means, production subsidy is shown to be always superior to tariff. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112576 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112576&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:715-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Demand for M3 and expenditure components in Malaysia: assessment from bounds testing approach Abstract: This study examines the effects of various demand components of real income on money demand, M3 for a small open developing Asian economy. The disaggregated components of real income are final consumption goods, expenditure on investment goods, and exports. Other determinants are domestic interest rate and exchange rate. Using Malaysian annual data over the period 1973-1998, the results of the 'bound' test based on Unrestricted Error-Correction Model estimation (Pesaran et al., 2001), indicates a long run equilibrium relationship between demand of real M3 and its determinants. The results also highlight that different domestic demand components yields different effects on money demand behaviour. The results have important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-725 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:721-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Boileau Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Boileau Author-Name: Michel Normandin Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Normandin Title: General equilibrium macroeconomic models and superior information Abstract: This paper presents and assessess a procedure to evaluate dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium macroeconomic models when agents in the economy use an information set superior to that used by researchers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Epaminondas Panas Author-X-Name-First: Epaminondas Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: Further evidence on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Abstract: The Export-Led Growth Hypothesis (ELGH) is an interesting subject of research in the field of applied economics. This paper investigates the causal links between exports and output growth in the empirical framework of the Greek economy, using error-correction modelling and multivariate Granger causality. A sensitivity analysis based on impulse responses is implemented to check the robustness of the results. The estimation procedure generates robust results, indicating that the ELGH is not valid in the case of Greece. Furthermore, the empirical findings suggest a strong and consistent causation from output growth to export performance in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: An illfare approach to the measurement of unemployment: a reply Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:737-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ross McCown Author-X-Name-First: James Ross Author-X-Name-Last: McCown Title: Real interest rates in the early 1980s Abstract: This paper examines the causes behind the high ex post real interest rates experienced in the United States during the early 1980s. This paper shows that expected long-term inflation rates were very high during the period, resulting in ex ante long-term real interest rates that were much lower than the ex post rates. Ex ante real rates in the high-deficit early 1980s were not much higher than those experienced during 2000, a year that had a large budget surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-743 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:739-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Morana Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: IGARCH effects: an interpretation Abstract: This article shows how IGARCH effects can arise as an artifact of unaccounted structural change. Using daily returns for the DM/US$ and Yen/US$ exchange rates, the finding is shown to have empirical relevance. GARCH models appear to be useful approximations, for short-term forecasting, to a data generating process that shows time varying conditional variance due to switching heteroscedasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Dulce Contreras Author-X-Name-First: Dulce Author-X-Name-Last: Contreras Title: Higher-order residual analysis for AR-ARCH models with the TR test Abstract: Ramsey and Rothman (1996) design a statistical device to test for time reversibility (TR test). They claim that their procedure is not powerful against ARCH-type alternatives, which also allows Rothman (1998) to propose a strategy based on the TR test to detect bilinear and threshold autoregressive (TAR) models. However, this work shows through Monte Carlo analysis that the size of the TR test may be seriously distorted by this class of uncorrelated non-i.i.d. processes, and not necessarily time irreversible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. D. Stanley Author-X-Name-First: T. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Stanley Title: When all are NAIRU: hysteresis and behavioural inertia Abstract: Smyh and Easaw (2001) use a fully flexible ratchet model to estimate the US NAIRU. However, such flexible notions of NAIRU cleanse the natural rate hypothesis of all policy and theoretical relevance. Six successive years of unemployment rates below these estimated NAIRUs produce declining inflation, not the accelerating inflation promised by the natural rate hypothesis. An alternative model of inflation dynamics, the behavioural inertia hypothesis, is offered and shown to fit the US inflation-unemployment relation quite well. This behavioural inertia model is consistent with the recent US experience of low and falling unemployment accompanied by low and falling rates of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128785 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128785&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esin Cakan Author-X-Name-First: Esin Author-X-Name-Last: Cakan Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Policy regime change and structural break in the velocity of money: the Turkish evidence Abstract: The integration properties of Turkish velocity series are investigated by employing recently developed procedures (Zivot and Andrews (1992) and Perron (Journal of Econometrics, 80, 355-85, 1997)) which allows stationarity around an endogenously estimated structural break point under the alternative hypothesis. The evidence suggests that real currency balances and currency velocity are stationary around a broken trend. The estimated break point coincides with a major policy regime change in Turkey. Broad money velocity and real broad money balances are found to be nonstationary even after allowance for a broken mean and trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128794 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128794&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Bird Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Title: Advertise or die: advertising and market share dynamics revisited Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of advertising expenditure on market shares of the seven leading firms in the Indonesian cigarette industry using recent advances in time series analysis, namely the error correction model. Own and rival's advertising elasticities for the short run and long run are estimated. In addition, the 'durability' of advertising effects is estimated. Empirical results show that the effect of advertising on market shares is relatively short-lived, appearing to be substantially depreciated within one year for all firms. It is also found that advertising is less effective for foreign firms in the Indonesian market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Author-Name: Valerie Dickie Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Dickie Title: National Lottery participation and expenditure: preliminary results using a two stage modelling approach Abstract: Using data from the Family Expenditure Survey, this paper analyses participation in, and expenditure on, the UK National Lottery by individuals for the period 1995/1996 to 1999/2000. Probit and truncated Tobit models are employed in a two part estimation. The results highlight the importance of gender, age, education, marital status and occupation in individual participation and expenditure decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210129441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210129441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Curtis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Title: Estimates of fishermen's personal discount rate Abstract: Most empirical research on personal discount rates (PDRs) relates to individuals purchasing household appliances and inter-temporal choices on monetary transactions. No estimates of PDRs associated with natural resource exploitation were found in the literature and the purpose of this letter is to present estimates of commercial fishermen's PDRs implicit in choices on a hypothetical fish-stock recovery programme. Knowledge of such PDRs are necessary for the design of effective voluntary programmes for fish stock conservation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Restricted EM algorithm with application to probit models Abstract: The EM algorithm is a widely used technique for finding maximum likelihood (ML) estimates when the data are not fully observed. Despite its popularity for computing ML estimates in unrestricted problems and the need for simplified computations for problems with equality and inequality restrictions, there have been few applications of the algorithm to restricted ML estimation. The EM algorithm is presented for restricted ML estimation and provides its applications to the probit model under equality and inequality restrictions using two small data sets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-781 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:779-781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Breunig Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Breunig Title: Bias correction for inequality measures: an application to China and Kenya Abstract: An analytical bias correction technique for inequality measures is applied to income data from China and Kenya. The coefficient of variation squared is used and it is illustrated how the bias is downward for positively skewed distributions. The analytical bias correction technique is then compared to a jackknife estimator in a simulation exercise. The bias will be important, even for moderately large sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-786 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:783-786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Real exchange rates: evidence from black markets using fractionally integrated semiparametric techniques Abstract: The behaviour of the real exchange rates (relative to the US dollar) is examined in this article using monthly data obtained from the black markets for foreign exchange of eight Asian developing countries. Using the quasi maximum likelihood estimation procedure of Robinson (Annals of Statistics, 23, 1630-61, 1995), the results indicate that the order of integration of all currencies except the Indian and the Pakistani rupees are close but below 1, implying that mean reversion occurs in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Orn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Author-Name: Shawn Pettman Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Pettman Title: Racial wage discrimination in major league baseball: do free agency and league size matter? Abstract: Does competition suppress racial wage discrimination? Previous research in this area is quite limited and generally inconclusive. This paper tests for the effects of reduced monopsony power on racial wage discrimination against nonwhite Major League pitchers during the 1992 and 1993 seasons. Major League Baseball during this period is a good test case because: (1) older players' salaries are competitively determined, whereas younger players' salaries are not; and (2) more teams entered the league in the later season. We found discrimination in the form of lower incremental rewards to nonwhites for improving performance, as well as reverse discrimination against older white pitchers prior to league expansion. League expansion and free agency eligibility did bring relief from discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:791-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Christopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Christopoulos Author-Name: Efthymios Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Efthymios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: Unemployment and government size: Is there any credible causality? Abstract: This paper investigates the Abrams curve, that is the relationship between government size and unemployment, for 10 European countries over the period 1961-1999. This paper uses credible causality inferences that do not depend on the stationarity or cointegration properties of the data. The results support the idea that there is an Abrams curve but the relation between government size and the unemployment rate is not likely to be simple. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210129432 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210129432&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregg Frasco Author-X-Name-First: Gregg Author-X-Name-Last: Frasco Title: The expansion path for industry employment under perfect competition in long-run equilibrium Abstract: Beginning from long-run equilibrium under perfect competition, an increase in the wage due to an upward shift in labour supply generates negative profits. In order for long-run equilibrium to be restored, the price of output must increase. This causes the marginal revenue product curve for labour to shift upward. Consequently, even though the wage is higher, it is possible for the firm to end up employing a larger quantity of labour. This raises the following question. After the wage increases due to an upward shift in labour supply, is it possible, in long-run equilibrium, for industry employment of labour to increase? The concavity of the long-run equilibrium input demand functions is used to prove that industry employment will indeed decrease. Hence conventional analysis is proved to be correct. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Freire-Seren Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Freire-Seren Title: On the relationship between human capital accumulation and economic growth Abstract: The central concern of this article is to give new empirical conclusions on the relationship between human capital and economic growth. With this aim, it runs an estimation that allows us to analyse not only the contribution of human capital to output growth, but also the effect of the level of income on human capital accumulation. In particular, it uses Spanish economic data to jointly estimate the equations of the dynamic system that describes the behaviour of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. G. Mein Author-X-Name-First: D. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mein Title: Research productivity and career status Abstract: Measurement of the productivity of economists, economics departments at universities and economics institutes has a tradition, which dates back to the 1950s. This study attempts to show that such measurement can be used to explain long-run changes in the overall productivity of university departments and institutes involved in research. The underlying notion in this study is that the productivity of departments and institutes in terms of total output (publications) decreases when the productivity of research staff members and their position (career status) in their departments or institutes do not correlate well. The empirical data used by this study relates to an economics research institute and cover a period of 30 years. The hypothesis that a mismatch between productivity and position leads to a decline in the overall productivity of departments and institutes could not be refuted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-815 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:809-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassan Omet Author-X-Name-First: Ghassan Author-X-Name-Last: Omet Author-Name: Mohammad Khasawneh Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Khasawneh Author-Name: Jamal Khasawneh Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Khasawneh Title: Efficiency tests and volatility effects: evidence from the Jordanian stock market Abstract: This paper examines the efficiency of the Jordanian stock exchange and the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. An AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M model is estimated for five daily indices. The empirical results indicate significant departures from the efficient market hypothesis; in only two cases there is a significant relationship between risk and return, and returns tend to exhibit high persistent volatility clustering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-821 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:817-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Resende Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: L. O. Facanha Author-X-Name-First: L. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Facanha Title: Privatization and efficiency in Brazilian telecommunications: an empirical study Abstract: This article evaluates the technical efficiency in Brazilian telecommunications after privatization by comparing the relative efficiency scores for July 1998 and December 1999, obtained by means of Data Envelopment Analysis methodology. The main result indicated that no differential levels of efficiency could be detected across the two periods. Moreover there was evidence of a decreasing returns to scale pattern in 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-826 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:823-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Julian Andrada-Felix Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Felix Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Title: Further evidence on technical trade profitability and foreign exchange intervention Abstract: New evidence is presented on the positive correlation between returns from technical trading rules and periods of central bank intervention. To that end, the profitability of a trading strategy based on nearest-neighbour (nonlinear) predictors is evaluated, which may be viewed as a generalization of graphical methods widely used in financial markets. Daily data on the US dollar/Deutschmark and US dollar/Japanese Yen covering the 1 February 1982-31 December 1996 period are used. The results suggest that the exclusion of days of US intervention implies a substantial reduction in all profitability indicators (net returns, ideal profit measure, Sharpe ratio and directional forecast), being the reduction grater in the US dollar-Deutschmark case than in the US dollar-Japanese yen case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-832 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210137802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210137802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:827-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Zongyi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zongyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Economic growth and diverging clubs: a case study of the Chinese regions Abstract: A production model is proposed to explain why economic growth may lead to regional inequality and club divergence. Economic growth starts from a few centres and spills over to other regions. The spillover effect diminishes as distance rises, causing club formation with a clear geographical pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: An econometric analysis of household donations in the USA Abstract: This study investigates philanthropy, an American tradition. A censored system of donation equations is estimated by full-information maximum likelihood, using data from the 1995 Consumer Expenditure Survey. Results suggest that the censored system estimates are more appropriate than the single-equation estimates attempted in much of the donation literature. Income, age, and education are contributing factors of donation, regardless of whether it is to charity, religious organizations, or other organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:837-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vassilis Monastiriotis Author-X-Name-First: Vassilis Author-X-Name-Last: Monastiriotis Title: Human capital and wages: evidence for external effects from the UK regions Abstract: A large panel of regional UK data is used to provide detailed estimates of the direct and external effects of education and labour market experience on wages. The results offer strong evidence in support of the predictions of the endogenous growth theory (Lucas, 1988), where the - spatial or sectoral - concentration of human capital is expected to generate increasing returns in the production process. The findings are stronger for labour market experience, while no supportive evidence is found for the case of years of schooling. Possibly, better data on the quality of educational qualifications could offer a better measurement of the external education effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-846 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:843-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Darity Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Darity Author-Name: Darrick Hamilton Author-X-Name-First: Darrick Author-X-Name-Last: Hamilton Author-Name: Jason Dietrich Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Dietrich Title: Passing on blackness: Latinos, race, and earnings in the USA Abstract: One strategy to address the charge that previous statistical measures overestimate the degree of antiblack discrimination in the US labour market because cultural factors have been omitted, has been to control for culture and vary colour. The procedure is to examine labour market outcomes for all persons self-reporting their ancestry as Hispanic (or Latino) while comparing outcomes among them based upon their self-reported race. The results demonstrate that black Latinos, especially males, suffer substantial discriminatory losses in wages. However, there are two problems: (1) a very small proportion of Latinos self-report themselves as black and (2) controlling for culture by combining all persons with Latino ancestry, regardless of specific national origin, into the gross category of Hispanic is potentially unsatisfactory. In this paper, the Hispanic population is disaggregated by nationality using the 5% Public Use Micro Sample from the 1980 and 1990 censuses to compare outcomes by self-reported race. It is still found that male Latino blacks, regardless of their specific national subgroups, were subjected to significant wage discrimination. The paper also reports on studies that have used the Latino National Political Survey that demonstrates that Hispanics tend to self-identify as black at rates inconsistent with the ascriptive profile of the Latino population. It is explained why this suggests that Latinos who choose to self-report their race as black in the US censuses genuinely are likely to 'look black' by American norms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-853 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210149133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210149133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:847-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Baslevent Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Baslevent Title: Preference of the unemployed between full-time and part-time jobs Abstract: This paper examines the factors that determine the preference of the unemployed between the employment states of part-time, full-time, and either kind of job. Evidence is sought in support of an ordering between the three choices and find that the ordering which places the 'either' category in the middle is the most sensible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-857 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:855-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Title: Estimating the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports: evidence from Asian countries Abstract: The paper examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on the exports of five Asian countries. The countries are Turkey, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia and Pakistan. The impact of a volatility term on exports is examined by using an Engle-Granger residual-based cointegrating technique. The results indicate that the exchange rate volatility reduced real exports for these countries. This might mean that producers in these countries are risk-averse. The producers will prefer to sell in domestic markets rather than foreign markets if the exchange rate volatility increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nakanishi Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nakanishi Title: Employment and IT capital in Japan Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the relation of employment and IT capital. In particular, it examines whether employment increases or decreases as IT capital increases. The elasticity of substitution between IT capital and labour has drastically increased in the latter part of the measuring period. An increase in capital and IT capital was associated with a reduction of labour. Recently, the impact of IT capital on labour demand has increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Financial development and economic growth in Mainland China: a note on testing demand-following or supply-leading hypothesis Abstract: In this note two competing hypotheses are empirically tested, namely those of the demand-following and supply-leading, using multivariate VAR models for Mainland China over the period 1987Q1 to 1999Q4. Johansen cointegration results indicate that there exists one cointegrating vector among GDP, financial development and the degree of openness of three variables. The results from Granger causality tests based on multivariate error-correction models (ECM) suggest independence between financial development and economic growth. This empirical result supports neither the demand-following nor the supply-leading hypothesis for Mainland China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-873 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:869-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Andoh Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Andoh Author-Name: David Chappell Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappell Title: Stability of the money demand function: evidence from Ghana Abstract: This paper estimates the demand for money (M2) in Ghana for the period 1960 to 1996. The hypothesis is that the different macroeconomic adjustment policies (privatization, removal of foreign exchange controls etc.) which began in the mid 1980s would alter the demand for money function. The results of the study clearly show a structural break in the demand for money function in 1983. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-878 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:875-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoming Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jian Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: A note on New Zealand Stock Market efficiency Abstract: This paper studies the efficient market hypothesis using four New Zealand Stock Exchange indexes (NZSE 10, NZSE 30, NZSE 40, and NZSE SC) within the random walk, cointegration and Granger causality test framework. The test results have shown that the small-firm stock market is semistrong form efficient to a certain degree. However, results concerning large firms are sensitive to the choice of index. The share market of the top ten companies only is not even weak-form efficient, while the share markets covering the top 30 and 40 large companies are weak-form efficient but not semistrong form efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-883 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:879-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miles Cahill Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Cahill Title: Diminishing returns to GDP and the Human Development Index Abstract: This paper investigates the assumption of the human development index (HDI) that per capita GDP has diminishing returns to development. Alternative returns to scale assumptions for per capita GDP are evaluated using correlation and principal components analyses conducted on four separate samples of countries. Specifically, the correlation between various transformations of GDP and the other elements of the HDI are examined, and the principal components method of factor analysis is used to construct HDI-like indexes with the alternative transformations of GDP. Results generally support the diminishing returns assumption employed by the HDI, as a concave transformation of GDP is most highly correlated with the other variables, and the corresponding principal components HDI construction explains the largest amount of the variance of the original variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-887 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:885-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Yung Kam Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Kam Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The effects of the pollution cost internalization on Taiwan's hog industry Abstract: Duality theory is utilized to develop a translog profit function (TPF) which includes one output (hog), three variable inputs (labour, fodder, and piglet), four fixed inputs (capital, farm size, location, and pollution cost). Based on the trade theory for small country, the factors of corn and soybean imports are introduced into the TPF model to examine the effects of pollution cost internalization on Taiwan's hog supply, input demand, and cereal imports, respectively. Through the analysis of output supply and input demand elasticities, the empirical results show that hog supply decreases 1.60%. The demands for labour, fodder, and piglets decrease 4.18%, 1.44%, and 1.3Percnt;, respectively. The decrease in fodder demanded leads the importation of corn and soybean to decrease 1.58% and 1.43%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 889-892 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210159006 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210159006&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:889-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: Arranged or love marriage? That is the question Abstract: Although arranged and love marriages have been around for a long time there seems to be no comparative analyses in the economics literature of the relative merits of one or the other kind of marriage. As such, the purpose of this note is to conduct a theoretical inquiry into the desirability of arranged versus love marriages. A simple model of decision making in a dynamic and stochastic setting is analysed and it is shown that the decision to have an arranged or a love marriage depends on a comparison of the expected amount of time it takes the agent's well-wishers to find a spouse with the expected total time it takes this agent to find a spouse by himself or herself. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Mun Oz Author-X-Name-First: Laura Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Oz Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Manuel Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: Variations in returns/volatility and persistence in variance. An application to the Spanish stock market Abstract: A methodology is proposed to select the information set in ARMA-GARCH models in order to forecast the future evolution of an univariate heteroscedastic time series when it is suspected that the DGP is time changing. Using this methodology the stability of the DGP in the Spanish Stock Market is analysed. In this case it is shown that the DGP is time-varying and, in particular, the persistence in variance is over-valued using classical methods. Furthermore, the predictive intervals obtained have better coverage properties, by more adequately reflecting the uncertainty associated to the evolution of the time series being analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-905 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:899-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Green Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Green Author-Name: Andrew Melnyk Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Melnyk Author-Name: Dennis Powers Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Powers Title: Is economic freedom necessary for technology diffusion? Abstract: Benhabib and Spiegel (1996) argue that human capital increases technological diffusion and, as a result, has a positive effect on economic growth. When human capital is accounted for in this way they find that other institutional variables do not affect growth. Their finding are re-examined by considering the effects of economic freedom on technology spillovers, hence on growth, and it is found that the greater the economic freedom in a country, the greater the amount of technological diffusion. More generally, this research suggests that institutional variables which are captured by economic freedom do indeed have an impact on growth, but only through technological diffusion. However, after accounting for the effects of economic freedom on technological diffusion, there is only weak evidence that human capital has a positive effect on technological diffusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-910 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:907-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Miles Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Small sample behaviour of quantile estimators Abstract: The Koenker and D'Orey (Econometrica, 46, pp. 43-61, 1987) algorithm is compared with the Minimum Distance estimator proposed by Buchinsky (Econometrica, 62, pp. 405-58, 1994) to estimate the parameters of conditional quantiles specified as linear models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-913 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210137794 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210137794&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:911-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Chevalier Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Chevalier Author-Name: T. K. Viitanen Author-X-Name-First: T. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Viitanen Title: The causality between female labour force participation and the availability of childcare Abstract: It is typically found that the labour force participation of women is negatively affected by the presence of young children. This paper focuses on the causality, in the sense of Granger's definition, between the participation of mothers of young children and childcare provision. It is found that childcare Granger causes participation without feedback, which supports the claim that women could be constrained in their participation by the lack of childcare facilities. The absence of a feedback mechanism raises the issue of childcare supply not reacting to market mechanisms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-918 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:915-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. -H. Chung Author-X-Name-First: J. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: An empirical analysis on government capital controls and international capital flows in Korea Abstract: The present paper analyses government controls of international capital flows using Korean data. First, indexes of liberalizations are constructed on controls of capital inflows and outflows based on documented policy changes made by the Korean government. Second, VAR models are estimated that include the constructed capital liberalization indexes, capital flows, and other macroeconomic variables. It is found that capital inflows increase persistently after shocks to liberalization policy while capital outflows increase temporally. It is also found that shocks to liberalization of capital outflows attract capital inflows, a result explicable by two competing theories - that liberalization of capital outflows: (1) removes investment irreversibility; and (2) signals more friendly government policy in the future. Examination of the effects of separate capital liberalization measures concerning only Korean residents and those concerning only nonresidents confirms the importance of the 'signal effect'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-923 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:919-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Milas Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Milas Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: Smooth transition vector error correction models for the spot prices of coffee Abstract: The nonlinear behaviour of four coffee price series is examined, that is, unwashed Arabicas (i.e. coffee from Brazil), Colombian Mild Arabicas (i.e. coffee from Colombia), other Mild Arabicas (i.e. coffee from other Latin American countries), and Robusta coffee (i.e. coffee from Africa and Southeast Asia). First is identified the cointegrating relationships and then that these enter the error correction equations in a nonlinear way is shown. The estimates suggest a rather common pattern of nonlinear adjustment for the same variety Arabica coffees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Using a spike model to deal with zero response data from double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys Abstract: Modelling public behaviour with the data from double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys is often complicated by zero willingness to pay (WTP) responses in the sample. To deal with the zero response data to obtain an appropriate welfare measure such as the mean and median WTP, the spike model suggested by Kristrom (American Journal Agricultural Economics, 79, 1013-23, 1997) is used. The overall results indicate that the spike model outperforms the conventional model significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Prazmowski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Prazmowski Title: Endogenous credibility and stabilization programmes: evidence from the Dominican Republic Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of policy misalignments and structural reform policies on credibility and the long-term success of an exchange rate based (ERB) stabilization programme to reduce inflationary inertia. A controlled signal state-space model is used to test this hypothesis for the Dominican Republic, a country that introduced an ERB programme in the early 1990s. The results indicate that fiscal and monetary malpractice will deteriorate credibility whereas structural reform policies, when perceived as beneficial, will enhance credibility, contributing to economic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Houston Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: Dennis Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Income, leisure and proficiency: an economic study of football performance Abstract: The influence of income, across countries, on the proficiency of leisure, as measure by international football achievement is addressed. It is widely concluded that leisure is a normal good, however; little research has been conducted on the influences of efforts to become proficient at a specific leisure activity. While the law of diminishing marginal productivity indicates that leisure proficiency will increase at a decreasing rate with increases in time allocated toward the leisure activity, the second-order effect of income on neither leisure nor leisure proficiency can theoretically be determined. To estimate these effects, an empirical examination of FIFA's World Rankings has been conducted. The results indicate that leisure proficiency on an aggregate level is positively associated with income and increases at a decreasing rate. This subsequently provides evidence that the consumption of leisure on an aggregate level also increases at a decreasing rate with increases in income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210140150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210140150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hans Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Peter Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Ivan Kandilov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Kandilov Author-Name: Bradford Maxwell Author-X-Name-First: Bradford Author-X-Name-Last: Maxwell Title: Interstate differences in insured unemployment: some recent evidence Abstract: Recent panel data is used to reconsider the determinants of interstate differences in the ratio of insured to total unemployment. It is concluded that previous research on the influence of replacement rates, duration of jobless spells and female labour force participation is robust, but it is found that political affiliations and attitudes could be more important, and unionization rates less important, than once believed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: A 'hybrid' monetary policy model: evidence from the Euro area Abstract: The New IS and Phillips curves state that output and inflation are purely forward-looking but this theory is conflicting with the empirical results. This note analyses how some augmented version of those curves, called hybrid IS and Phillips curves are more consistent with the data properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-955 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:949-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: The co-movement between output and prices in the EU15 countries: an empirical investigation Abstract: The paper studies the co-movement between output and prices in the EU15 countries. Following Den Haan, the correlations of VAR forecast errors at different horizons are used to analyse the dynamics in the output-price relationship. The empirical results show that ten countries display a significant negative co-movement between output and prices in the 'long run' whereas this is positive in the 'short run' only for three countries. Finally, four countries do not exhibit any significant co-movement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-966 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146695 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146695&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:957-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Davila Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Davila Author-Name: Erika Mendez Author-X-Name-First: Erika Author-X-Name-Last: Mendez Title: Mortgage lending and the entrepreneur Abstract: While existing literature assumes that financial institutions penalize entrepreneurs because of this group's perceived higher income risk, this paper contends the opposite, owing to, for example, potentially profitable customer relationships that financial institutions might have with entrepreneurs and the stylized fact that these institutions provide more flexible guidelines to the home mortgage applications of entrepreneurs. The 1995 National Microdata file of the American Housing Survey is employed to empirically address and provide support for this contention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-970 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:967-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Author-Name: Randy Moffett Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Moffett Author-Name: Michael Margolis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Margolis Title: Coasean bargaining with nonconvexities Abstract: It is found that nonconvexities do not reduce the overall efficiency of Coasean bargaining in the laboratory. Also, it is observed that most bargainers act in their own constrained self-interest when bargaining over an efficient corner solution relative to the standard baseline case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-977 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:971-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zijun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zijun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Victoria Salin Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Salin Author-Name: Neal Hooker Author-X-Name-First: Neal Author-X-Name-Last: Hooker Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Stock market reaction to food recalls: a GARCH application Abstract: How food recalls due to bacterial contamination affect the stock prices of two companies are examined using a version of the financial market model that accounts for Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) effects. GARCH methodology was necessary to uncover the time-varying volatility in the series and it contributed to more efficient econometric results. The initial food recall undertaken by the company is associated with reduced mean returns and higher volatility of the companies studied. Repeated recalls by the same company are not associated with strong reactions. Volatility spillovers across firms suggest potential industry-wide repercussions from bacterial contamination incidents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-987 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:979-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Guanming Shi Author-X-Name-First: Guanming Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yi Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Changes in income inequality and welfare under economic transition: evidence from urban China Abstract: The paper examines the changes in income inequality and welfare in urban China from 1981 to 1999. While the Lorenz curves estimated using Kakwani's interpolation method indicate that the level of income inequality in urban China has increased significantly since 1981, welfare comparisons based on generalized Lorenz curves suggest that the rise in real average income has more than compensated for the increase in inequality and has therefore brought about continuous improvement in welfare since 1981, except in 1988 and 1989 due to high inflation rates. Nevertheless, it is becoming very critical for China to develop welfare programmes and a social security system to provide a guaranteed living standard for low-income households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-991 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148134 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148134&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:989-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anabela Botelho Author-X-Name-First: Anabela Author-X-Name-Last: Botelho Author-Name: Ligia Costa Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Ligia Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Title: Hypothetical, real, and predicted real willingness to pay in open-ended surveys: experimental results Abstract: This study reports the results of experiments designed to elicit, within a controlled laboratory environment, hypothetical and real willingness to pay for an environmental educational programme using the open-ended question format. By maintaining both the good and the question format constant across the treatments, the experiments overcome the shortcomings of recently reported experimental results, providing a clean test for hypothetical bias in open-ended valuations. Having found a statistically significant difference between the hypothetical and real values, the question of whether hypothetical valuations may nonetheless provide useful statistical information concerning individuals' real valuations is turned to. This question, which is perhaps the key question in the current state of the debate surrounding the contingent valuation method, is answered affirmatively in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-996 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:993-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Jacques Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Jacques Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Relationship between types of school district expenditures and student performance Abstract: An educational production function is estimated using achievement test scores to proxy school output, with socio-economic characteristics and expenditures in various categories as inputs. The data are school district level expenditures. Unlike most past research, a correction is made for the heteroscedasticity created by differences in school district size. Correcting for heteroscedasticity leads to statistical tests with greater power. Test scores were positively related to expenditures on instruction and instructional support, and are negatively related to expenditures on student support, such as counselling and school administration. The negative effect of counselling and administration could be due to counsellors taking up classroom time or administrators using classroom time with announcements or assemblies. Alternatively, the causality could go the other way. It could be that schools with problems hire more administrators and counsellors. The socioeconomic variables included may not fully capture the problems that a school faces. The results show that spending is useful when targeted towards instruction. The effect, although statistically significant, is not large. But, the research still finds that money matters if it is spent on instruction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1002 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:997-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Biewen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Biewen Title: Measuring inequality in the presence of intra-household correlation Abstract: This note develops a method for computing confidence intervals for estimates of decomposable inequality indices when the sample is characterized by contemporaneous dependence across members of the same household. This is particularly relevant in the context of measuring inequality among wage earners. An application to the German wage distribution shows that the error made by not taking into account intra-household correlation is probably small in practical applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1006 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1003-1006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: The impact of globalization on income distribution: the Korean experience Abstract: The paper examines the impact of changes in trade values and FDI inflows on the Gini coefficients for Korea. The empirical evidence shows that the concerned variables can, in general, be assumed to be integrated of order one. Johansen-Juselius cointegration tests reveal that the Gini coefficients tend to increase with trade liberalization measures and FDI inflows. That is, the progress of globalization tends to deteriorate the situation of income inequalities in Korea, which supports the Feenstra-Hanson (1997) hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1009 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210149124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210149124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1007-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Marijn Verhoeven Author-X-Name-First: Marijn Author-X-Name-Last: Verhoeven Author-Name: Erwin Tiongson Author-X-Name-First: Erwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tiongson Title: Decomposing social indicators using ecological inference Abstract: Cross-country data on the distribution of health indicators by income classes are rare. Several methods for estimating disaggregated data have been proposed. The method of decomposing average health indicators for the population as a whole into averages for the poor and nonpoor using a random coefficients model can lead to difficulties, including out-of-bounds country-level estimates. An alternative methodology from ecological inference is proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1015 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1011-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Mahadevan Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Mahadevan Title: Productivity growth in Australian manufacturing sector: some new evidence Abstract: This article examines the productivity performance of Australia's manufacturing sector by decomposing its output growth into input growth, technological progress and gains in technical efficiency. This three-way decomposition is done with an improved version of the stochastic frontier model using eight, two-digit industry level data from 1968/9 to 1994/5. Empirical evidence shows that input growth fueled output growth from 1968/9 to 1973/4, but since then, total factor productivity (TFP) growth has been the main contributor of output growth. While the trend of TFP growth was found to be promising for most industries with positive and increasing technological progress, the negative gains from technical efficiency over time is however cause for concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1023 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1017-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: D. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: Skewness as an explanation of gambling by locally risk averse agents Abstract: Within the expected utility framework skewness of return has been suggested as a rationale for why risk averse gamblers might choose to gamble when expected returns are negative. The argument is that risk-averse agents desire positive skewness, ceteris paribus, and are prepared to trade off a lower mean return for more skewness. This article demonstrates with a counter example that this argument is, in general, erroneous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1028 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1025-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Hisamatsu Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Hisamatsu Title: Does foreign demand affect corruption? Abstract: This article examines the impact of foreign demand on corruption. It creates an index that represents foreign demand for corrupt acts and regress it on corruption perception index. The result is positive and statistically significant relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-2 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165838 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165838&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:1-2 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: Tax rate changes and fiscal deficits: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper shows that changes in effective tax rates on capital income, labour income and consumption affect the incentives that individuals have to work and to accumulate capital, depending on the tax structure of each country. These incentive effects can induce large differences in the time paths of output and government deficits, thus (in)validating the dynamic Laffer curve proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:3-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Author-Name: Jean-Charles Le Vallee Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Charles Le Author-X-Name-Last: Vallee Title: Unit roots versus trend stationarity in growth rate estimation Abstract: This paper estimates growth rates of quantity and trade variables of 32 primary commodities for the periods 1970-1980, 1980-1990, and 1990-1999 through log-linear trend regressions. The properties of the models were assessed through conventional and stationarity statistics. Based on Monte Carlo experiments, of the 105 regressions examined, in only 35 cases the error term was found to be stationary at the 5% level of significance, implying that in many cases the stochastic component is far more important in explaining the behaviour of the series under consideration, in turn implying that the validity of growth rates should be interpreted with some degree of caution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:9-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. -Y. Ho Author-X-Name-First: K. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Long-run stock price performance after IPOs: what do tests for stochastic dominance tell us? Abstract: Traditional studies of long-run stock price abnormal performance after corporate events compare the mean returns of an event firm portfolio and a benchmark firm portfolio or index. However, it is well known that long-run abnormal returns are non-normal leading to problems with statistical inference on abnormal performance. Instead in this paper, the entire return distributions of event firms and the benchmark index using non-parametric tests of stochastic dominance are compared. Tests are applied for first and second order stochastic dominance to Ritter's (1991) IPO data. It is found, contrary to results that compare only mean returns, that IPO firms do not underperform a benchmark index. The results are robust to extreme values of buy-and-hold return of IPO firms and underline the fact that long-run abnormal performance measurement is sensitive to the methodology used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210167197A File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210167197A&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frida Lie Author-X-Name-First: Frida Author-X-Name-Last: Lie Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Global industry betas Abstract: The stability of global industry betas is analysed over the twenty-year period 1975 to 1994. In addition, the impact of the October 1987 international stock market crash on these betas is investigated. Generally, a considerable variation in betas is found. In terms of the effect of the 1987 stock market crash on beta risk, it is found that the magnitude of the effect of the crash varied markedly across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210167197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210167197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Onno Lint Author-X-Name-First: Onno Author-X-Name-Last: Lint Author-Name: Enrico Pennings Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Pennings Title: The V-shaped value evolution of R&D projects Abstract: On average the expected value at the moment of commercialization of an R&D project should remain constant during the different stages of new product development. Contrary to this intuition however, a systematic, non-constant pattern is found in the average expected value of an R&D project. First, the value declines after the initial screening, then rises after the first market analysis, but on average does not reach the initial level at the final stage of development when resources for market introduction are approved. Moreover, uncertainty about the project value declines over time. The findings suggest a V-shaped value function of R&D projects. The study seems to be the first attempt to make direct measurements of valuing R&D projects through time in a real managerial setting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000016067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000016067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:27-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Long memory in the Spanish GDP using fractional integration with Bloomfield disturbances Abstract: The persistence of output in the Spanish economy is examined by means of looking at its order of integration. The procedure used is due to Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89 1420-1437, 1994) that permits us to test I(d) statistical models. However, instead of assuming a fully parametric model, the case where the underlying I(0) disturbances follow the Bloomfield's (Biometrika, 60, 27-226, 1973) model is considered. In doing so, the potential loss of power of the tests is eliminated in the case of autoregressive disturbances. Also, this method permits determination of the degree of dependence of the series even in the presence of weakly autocorrelated disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139396 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139396&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Rossini Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Rossini Author-Name: P. Zanghieri Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Zanghieri Title: A simple test of the role of foreign direct investment in the Feldstein- Horioka puzzle Abstract: The purpose of this article is to test the dependency of domestic investment on domestic saving in the Feldstein-Horioka spirit. Its innovation is to use a definition of investment that does not include foreign direct investment. It does so since FDI should not be considered in the intertemporal budget constraint of a recipient country and therefore should not be related to domestic saving in a meaningful way. Once it adopts, as the dependent variable, pure domestic investment the result is a weakened relationship between internal saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161869 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161869&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:39-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Li Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: J. L. Tobias Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Tobias Title: A semiparametric investigation of the school quality-gs relationship Abstract: This article estimates a partially linear model that permits non-linearities of unspecified form in the school quality-earnings relationship. It examines the joint effect of teacher education and pupil-teacher ratios on 1990 earnings using NLSY data. It finds some evidence of non-linearities in this relationship, and that teacher education has a positive effect on log wages at some points in the pupil-teacher ratio support. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161887 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161887&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:43-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Another example of a non-linear time series with misleading linear properties Abstract: Granger and Terasvirta provided an abstract example of a non-linear model that can generate data with the misleading linear property of long memory. They suggested that other non-linear models with this property are worth searching for. The empirical results of this article indicate that data generated from an exponential smooth transition autoregressive model can exhibit the long memory property whether in raw or temporally aggregated form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161904 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161904&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:47-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Some analysis of the properties of the Harville place formulae when allowance is made for the favourite-long shot bias employing Shin Win probabilities Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161922 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161922&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miriam Chau RodrIGuez Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Chau Author-X-Name-Last: RodrIGuez Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Currency substitution and the demand for money in Mexico Abstract: Demand functions for broad money and foreign currency deposits are estimated using quarterly Mexican data for the period 1978:1 to 2000:4. Significant evidence is found for currency substitution in the broad money equation. While the demand function for foreign currency deposits is harder to interpret, significant evidence of substitution between domestic money balances and US$ deposits is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000035868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000035868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Kandogan Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Kandogan Title: Reconsidering the adjustment costs of the Europe agreements Abstract: The paper argues that vertical intra-industry trade (IIT) should be separated from horizontal IIT to have a better judgement about adjustment costs of a trade liberalization, contrary to the assumption in the literature that all IIT changes are costless. A simple method to decompose IIT is presented. Using this method, it is seen that, contrary to expectations, after the Europe Agreements, share of vertical IIT has not increased much between Germany and Central and Eastern European countries. However, when adjustment costs are analysed, it is seen that the resulting labour displacement has been substantial, explaining partly the EU's reluctant approach in these agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-68 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:63-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Zbigniew Kominek Author-X-Name-First: Zbigniew Author-X-Name-Last: Kominek Title: Speculative processes and stable distributions: some simulation results Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between parameters of stable distributions and characteristics of speculative processes. An empirically feasible estimation method of parameters of speculative processes through a conversion from stable distribution parameters is suggested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Measurement error in schooling data: the OECD case Abstract: The effect of human capital is difficult to estimate in cross-country analysis due to measurement errors in schooling data. Using data for OECD countries over the period 1960-1990, the reliability of the widely used Barro and Lee's data set and also the new De la Fuente and Domenech's data set is analysed. Results show that both suffer from measurement errors, but the latter seems to reflect the rate of growth of schooling more accurately, especially when taking long differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. T. Valev Author-X-Name-First: N. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Valev Author-Name: J. A. Carlson Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carlson Title: Sources of dispersion in consumer inflation forecasts Abstract: Cross-section dispersion of expected inflation is often explained by differences in information sets across agents, but there is little empirical evidence attesting to that. This paper uses unique survey data from Bulgaria to show that consumers' perceptions of past movements and expectations of future movements in the general price level are influenced by their direct observations of the price dynamics of particular products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-81 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:77-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Costa Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: The factor structure of financial markets: a simulation study of the Italian case Abstract: This article develops a new information criterion for the analysis of the factor structure of financial markets. The new proposal is obtained by resorting to a Monte Carlo experiment, which allows one to evaluate the behaviour of different information criteria by a priori knowing the true number of unobservable factors. The financial markets factor structure is found to be different from those suggested by traditional factor analysis methods, and for the Italian stock market in particular, only two or three factors are signalled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalia Aldaz Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Aldaz Author-Name: JoaquIn MillAN Author-X-Name-First: JoaquIn Author-X-Name-Last: MillAN Title: Regional productivity of Spanish agriculture in a panel DEA framework Abstract: A new procedure for the measurement of efficiency and technical change is presented, using DEA with full panel data. Under the assumption of non-regressive technical change, upper and lower bounds for efficiency and technical change are obtained. The results for Spanish regional agriculture are compared with those in Millan and Aldaz (1998). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Testing Purchasing Power Parity: results from a new foreign exchange market Abstract: This study examines whether the Purchasing Power Parity hypothesis holds in the foreign exchange market of Armenia, following the initiation of an independent foreign exchange market, after the country seceded from the Soviet Union and the rouble zone in 1993. OLS and highly efficient unit root tests provide results suggesting that PPP fails to hold both in the short-run and in the long-run, respectively. In addition, variance decompositions justify - in terms of the Balassa-Samuelson effect - why in the long-run the PPP is rejected by identifying real shocks as the main determinant of the Dram real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000029306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000029306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:91-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: The effects of tax rate changes on output and government deficits Abstract: In this paper, it is shown that changes in effective tax rates on capital income, labour income and consumption affect the incentives that individuals have to work and to accumulate capital, depending on the tax structure of each country. These incentive effects can induce large differences in the time paths of output and government deficits, thus (in)validating the dynamic Laffer curve proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000035877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000035877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:97-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Confidence intervals for the seasonal fractional differencing parameter in the US monetary aggregate Abstract: Confidence intervals for the seasonal fractional differencing parameter are established in this article for several measures of the US monetary aggregate. They are based on a testing procedure following Robinson and the results indicate that these confidence intervals are in all cases below 1, the seasonal unit roots being rejected in favour of smaller degrees of integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000038540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000038540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:103-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Bautista Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: Interest rate-exchange rate dynamics in the Philippines: a DCC analysis Abstract: This article examines interest rate-exchange rate interaction using dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) analysis, a multivariate GARCH method. Weekly Philippine data from 1988 to 2000 are used in the study. The results show that the correlation between these variables is far from constant. Structural changes in the correlation structure are largely seen to be the effects of policies or policy responses to exogenous events. The shift in the direction of correlation, observed after the liberalization of the capital markets in 1993, is shown as evidence. Strong positive correlations observed during the two crisis episodes covered by the study present evidence of ineffective interest rate defense of the currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:107-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Convergence clubs among 15 OECD countries Abstract: This study investigates the question of convergence among 15 OECD countries, where convergence is defined in several ways, for example as joint stationarity of differences of log per capita real output. No convergence is found for the entire set of OECD countries, so a clustering algorithm is used to identify sets of countries for which convergence occurs. The sensitivity of these 'convergence clubs' is investigated to the definition of convergence, the data used, and various details of the econometric procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:113-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Li Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: A model-combined estimator of elasticity of scale Abstract: Zellner and Ryu examined several popular specifications of elasticity of scale that characterizes production functions. This note goes further by combining these functional forms and proposing a model-averaged estimator of elasticity of scale. The methodology used in Bayesin Model Averaging, and the procedure is illustrated by an empirical example. Results show that the data clearly prefer some models over the others, but it can be difficult to select a model that overwhelmingly dominates the rest. This model-combined estimator of elasticity of scale is free of choosing a single specification from many competing ones. Moreover, this approach is readily applicable to comparable issues regarding production functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:119-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Author-Name: Daniel Slottje Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Slottje Title: Industrial and environmental specialization Abstract: The presence of threshold effects or convex damage functions implies that the composition of pollutants may be as important in the determination of health outcomes as the level of pollution. As such, greater specialization in particular environmental hazards may suggest increasing costs from pollution even if overall pollution levels are declining. Using panel data from the US, it is verified that 'environmental specialization' is important, and likely to increase in the future due to greater industrial specialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-128 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicent AragO-Manzana Author-X-Name-First: Vicent Author-X-Name-Last: AragO-Manzana Author-Name: M Angeles Fernandezizquierdo Author-X-Name-First: M Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandezizquierdo Title: Monthly seasonality of the returns and volatility of the IBEX-35 index and its futures contract Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-133 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:129-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A new method to choose optimal lag order in stable and unstable VAR models Abstract: A crucial aspect of empirical research based on the vector autoregressive (VAR) model is the choice of the lag order, since all inference in the VAR model is based on the chosen lag order. Here, a new information criterion is introduced for this purpose. The conducted Monte Carlo simulation experiments show that this new information criterion performs well in picking the true lag order in stable as well as unstable VAR models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-137 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:135-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank A. G. Den Butter Author-X-Name-First: Frank A. G. Den Author-X-Name-Last: Butter Author-Name: Florian Eppink Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Eppink Title: The influence of labour flows on wage drift: an empirical analysis for The Netherlands Abstract: The wage level in The Netherlands is, by a large part, determined in collective labour agreements. However, the result of the processes of job destruction, job creation and job-to-job mobility is that workers move from less productive to more productive jobs. The empirical analysis shows that the resulting productivity gains are reflected in the wage drift, i.e. wage increases which are not part of the collective agreements. Yet, the size of the effects appears to be rather modest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ege Yazgan Author-X-Name-First: M. Ege Author-X-Name-Last: Yazgan Title: The purchasing power parity hypothesis for a high inflation country: a re-examination of the case of Turkey Abstract: The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis is re-examined for Turkey and strong evidence on long-run PPP is provided by using standard multivariate cointegration techniques. It is argued that the refutation of PPP by Telatar and Kazdagli does not necessarily imply the failure of taking the non-linearity in real exchange rate adjustment into account, as proposed by Sarno, but it may be due to the use of univariate framework for testing PPP chosen by Telatar and Kazdagli. By using persistence profiles, half-life deviations from PPP are estimated as low as one and a half years. Since these estimates are substantially lower than those previously obtained in the literature, the analysis suggests that high inflation environment does not constitute a case for the PPP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Author-Name: Ian Mcdonald Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Mcdonald Title: Vintage versus homogeneous capital in simulations of population ageing: does it matter? Abstract: The vintage and homogeneous capital forms of the aggregate production function can be calibrated to generate the same output level from a given data set in steady state. However, it is shown show that this equivalence breaks down during the adjustment process to an employment shock, such as that caused by an ageing population. Simulations are conducted illustrating the magnitude of the difference in optimal labour productivity growth under the two models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000043995 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000043995&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'? Abstract: This paper investigates volatility spillover effects between relative food prices and explicit macroeconomic fundamentals, i.e. exchange rates, money balances, inflation, and the deficit to income ratio, through the methodology of GARCH models. The findings showed that significant and positive macroeconomic volatility effects influence the volatility of relative food prices. Moreover, the volatility of relative food prices exerts a positive and statistically significant impact on its own volatility. The results imply that the participation of Greece in EMU will diminish the volatility of those macroeconomic factors, implying lower volatility in food prices and thus higher benefits for both producers and consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044011 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044011&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:155-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Gottschalk Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gottschalk Title: Testing for breaks in inertia: an alternative approach Abstract: This paper tests for breaks in inflation inertia. It proposes an alternative method that can be relied upon when inflation follows a stationary process that fluctuates around a segmented deterministic trend. This method is then applied to the Brazilian case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044048 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044048&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Bende-Nabende Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bende-Nabende Author-Name: J. L. Ford Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: B. Santoso Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Santoso Author-Name: S. Sen Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: The interaction between FDI, output and the spillover variables: co-integration and VAR analyses for APEC, 1965-1999 Abstract: In this empirical study, it is considered whether FDI has directly induced long-run effects on output in a selection of East Asian countries or whether such an influence, if any, has been transmitted indirectly through spillover effects. The Johansen cointegration methodology and resultant VECs are employed, and the use of that methodology within a panel framework tested. Equal evidence of negative and positive direct significant long-run relationship between FDI and output in the countries is found in the sample. In addition, indirect spillovers effects are found, which are positive for some country variables and negative for others. There is also an indication that the statistically significant positive spillovers occur in the economically less developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:165-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Cunado Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunado Author-Name: L. A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: F. PErez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: F. PErez Author-X-Name-Last: de Gracia Title: Empirical evidence on real convergence in some OECD countries Abstract: The real convergence hypothesis in Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK is examined. For this purpose, the order of integration of the real GDP per capita series in these countries is examined as well as their differences with respect to the US which is used as a benchmark country. Both parametric and semiparametric methods are used and the results show that convergence is achieved in all countries, especially for the cases of Australia and Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044066 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044066&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: Herding in ranch operations: an analysis of a search problem Abstract: Herding is an integral part of ranch operations in contemporary times. An aspect of herding that has received scant attention in the literature concerns the pros and cons of searching for livestock animals that have wandered away from a pasture and are hence missing from this pasture. Under what circumstances should a rancher search for these missing animals? This paper provides the first theoretical analysis of this question. Specifically, a formal model is constructed and examined that provides conditions under which it makes sense to search for these missing animals and conditions under which it does not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Application of a mixture model to approximate bottled water consumption distribution Abstract: Approximating bottled water consumption (BWC) distribution is complicated by zero observations in the sample. To deal with the zero observations, a mixture model of BWC distributions is considered to allow a point mass at zero. The model is empirically verified for household BWC survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhenquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Stress testing analysis of the effects of Japanese yen's depreciation on Chinese exports Abstract: The effects of Japanese yen's depreciation on Chinese exports in 2002 (only considering the exports of the Mainland of China) are analysed. An AR(2) valuation function for the Chinese exports is constructed. The results on sensitivity tests show that the depreciation of Japanese yen would not bring severe effects on the Chinese exports in 2002, though the increasing trend of Chinese exports would become slower. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:185-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Osamu Kamoike Author-X-Name-First: Osamu Author-X-Name-Last: Kamoike Title: Designs of pension management with the rapid ageing Abstract: The rapid ageing of the population and the strong desires for working by the retired old has become a serious issue on the Japanese pension management. This paper suggests a partial solution for the issue in an overlapping generation framework. It is shown that providing the old with jobs rather than pensions can result in a Pareto improvement at a steady state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiichi Tomiura Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tomiura Title: Capacity constraint and seasonal productivity variations at plant level Abstract: The paper examines seasonal productivity variations by using monthly plant-level physical output and capacity data. The regression results confirm that seasonal output elasticity is substantially larger than non-seasonal elasticity not only at the industry level, but also at the plant level. The productivity becomes low in the demand-peak season particularly at plants where capacity is highly utilized, consistent with the capacity constraint interpretation. The effect of capacity constraint on productivity fluctuations, however, is modest compared with that of seasonal demand variations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment and real oil prices in Australia: a fractionally cointegrated approach Abstract: The article examines the relationship between unemployment and real oil prices in Australia using fractionally cointegrated techniques. Using a two-step procedure based on the univariate tests of Robinson, the results show that both variables are fractionally cointegrated, with the long-run equilibrium errors being nonstationary but mean reverting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Veld Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Veld Title: Analysis of a practical formula for the valuation of employee stock options Abstract: In The Netherlands employee stock options are taxed when they are rewarded. The Dutch tax authorities have developed a formula for the valuation of these options. This formula is analysed and it is shown how it can be used for tax and accounting purposes in The Netherlands and in other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sikandar Siddiqui Author-X-Name-First: Sikandar Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiqui Title: Can interest rate changes help predict future stock price movements? Evidence from the German market Abstract: By applying a linear regression model to monthly time series data from the German equity and money markets, this paper challenges the conventional viewpoint that historical data do not possess any explanatory power for future stock market returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:209-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers: a comment on Crompton Abstract: Stochastic approach has received renewed attention in recent years (e.g. Clements and Izan, and Selvanathan and Rao). However, there was some criticism about the form of the error variance used in the new stochastic approach (see work by Diewert). In a recent paper in Applied Economics Letters, Crompton provided a solution to this problem. This article presents some comments and corrections on Crompton's work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350435022000043986 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350435022000043986&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:213-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Burak Doan Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Doan Title: Openness and the effectiveness of monetary policy: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: The empirical evidence suggests that openness decreases the effect of monetary policy on output, however the effect on prices is not statistically significant. In this study these predictions are tested over the open economy of Turkey for quarterly data from 1987:1 to 2001:1. This study assesses how the openness affects the effectiveness of monetary policy on output and prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000015842 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000015842&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. -S. Chen Author-X-Name-First: A. -S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: P. -F. Shen Author-X-Name-First: P. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Computational complexity analysis of least-squares Monte Carlo (LSM) for pricing US derivatives Abstract: One of the most important problems in option pricing theory is the valuation and optimal exercise of derivatives with American-style exercise features. These types of derivatives are found in all major financial markets. Simulation is a promising alternative to traditional numerical methods and has many advantages as a framework for valuing American options. Recently, Longstaff and Schwartz presented a simple, yet powerful, least-squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm to approximating the value of US options by simulation. This article provides computational complexity analysis of the LSM algorithm. Essentially, the technique of computational complexity analysis is to break down a computational algorithm into logical modules and analyze the effect on the algorithm of adding or deleting logical modules. Computational complexity analysis is important in algorithm design because of structural differences in computer and human logic. Algorithms that seem perfectly natural and logical from the human perspective may sometime be found to contain unnecessary complexity when analysed from the computer's perspective. The results showed that a new algorithm constructed by removing the least-squares module altogether from the LSM algorithm improves not only the computational speed, but also produces results that are more accurate than the LSM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:223-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Zhou Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Evidence on the stationarity of ERM exchange rates Abstract: This article applies standard unit root tests to the spot and forward exchange rates of four core members of the European Monetary System participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). In contrast to the findings of most previous studies, the results show strong evidence of stationarity for the ERM rates, for the period when there were no significant realignments in the rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:231-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Terai Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Terai Title: Electoral alliance and implemented redistribution: an interpretation on non-competitive politics of Japan Abstract: This article shows that a pre-election alliance between the ruling coalition parties with different ideological motivations may result in bias toward the large size of government. In equilibrium, the reelected coalition government implements a redistributive policy that is greater than the median voter's preference. The results can explain why the Japanese coalition government, which colludes for winning elections, has frequently implemented more diffuse fiscal policies than the previous single-party government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Author-Name: Su San Leong Author-X-Name-First: Su San Author-X-Name-Last: Leong Title: The stationarity of Australian real interest rates with and without structural breaks Abstract: The Australian cash rate is generally unstable, while surveyed expected inflation and the 90 day bank bill rate are stationary subject to breaks. Real bond rates (2, 5, 10 years) are stationary in levels. Policy and market implications are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:239-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Piga Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Piga Author-Name: M. Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Sample selection in estimating the determinants of cooperative R&D Abstract: This article treats the selectivity issue in the analysis of cooperative R&D and also presents some new results, e.g. that a firm's organization, vertical relationships and innovation strategy are important drivers of a decision to engage in R&D both independently and with external partners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Non-linear modelling of daily exchange rate returns, volatility, and 'news' in a small developing economy Abstract: This paper models daily returns, volatility, and 'news' in the parallel foreign exchange market of a small developing economy, namely the Dominican Republic, during the period 1989-2001. The research adopts a non-linear specification that encompasses several members of the GARCH family. A leftward tilted news impact reveals that positive shocks (depreciations) have a higher impact than negative ones (appreciations) on the volatility of exchange rate returns. This result has significant implications for policymakers. For instance, it could help in the assessment of the potential effect of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange rate market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000050635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000050635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Bisaglia Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Bisaglia Author-Name: Silvano Bordignon Author-X-Name-First: Silvano Author-X-Name-Last: Bordignon Author-Name: Francesco Lisi Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Lisi Title: k -Factor GARMA models for intraday volatility forecasting Abstract: This paper studies the ability of the k -factor GARMA processes to model and forecast the volatility of an intraday financial time series. Forecasting results from the k -factor GARMA model are obtained and compared with those produced by a conventional SARIMA model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000050653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000050653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Gao Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Multinational activity and country characteristics in OECD countries Abstract: This article uses data on multinational activity in OECD countries to test three alternative models of multinational production: the vertical multinational firm model the horizontal multinational firm model and the knowledge capital model. Unlike the evidence from US data in Markusen and Maskus' work, the results in this article show that the knowledge capital model performs significantly better than the horizontal model. The article presents the empirical evidence and concludes with a discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of the OECD and US data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalie Stoeckl Author-X-Name-First: Natalie Author-X-Name-Last: Stoeckl Title: Measurement error and functional form: implications for welfare estimates Abstract: This paper describes a series of Monte Carlo simulations which investigate the accuracy of final estimates generated from the travel cost model (TCM). The results are of interest to all applied researchers who: (a) cannot select functional form on theoretical grounds; and (b) wish to use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimates for further calculations. This is because the simulations indicate that certain types of measurement error decrease the probability that researchers will be able to determine the correct functional form of the estimating equation on the basis of goodness of fit statistics. While this does not necessarily mean that slope (partial coefficient) estimates will be biased, it can cause substantial and unpredictable bias in welfare estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-270 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485031000112673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485031000112673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:259-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria L. Loureiro Author-X-Name-First: Maria L. Author-X-Name-Last: Loureiro Author-Name: Wendy J. Umberger Author-X-Name-First: Wendy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Umberger Author-Name: Susan Hine Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Hine Title: Testing the initial endowment effect in experimental auctions Abstract: In experimental auctions, participants are usually given an initial endowment or cash compensation that will cover the costs associated with their bids in the experiment as well as their participation time. This study analyses participants' bids in a randomly binding second-price auction to test the effect of the initial endowment on participants' willingness-to-pay estimates. Three different endowments: $2, $4, and $6 are used to compensate participants in an experimental auction. It is found that participants receiving $4 or $6 as an initial endowment, bid statistically higher than those receiving only $2. Thus, willingness-to-pay estimates are sensitive to the initial endowment. Based on the results obtained in this experiment, it is concluded that endowments that are closer to the value of the auctioned good may be a more appropriate way to compensate auction participants in order to reveal their true willingness to pay for a private good, and to reduce overbidding. Additionally, the findings illustrate that an initial compensation closer to the participants' value of time may inflate their bids, and consequently may not be a correct compensation mechanism to elicit true willingness-to-pay for private goods. New ways of compensating participants in experimental auctions should be investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-275 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:271-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John D. Bone Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bone Author-Name: John D. Hey Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: John R. Suckling Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: Suckling Title: Do people plan ahead? Abstract: A crucial basic assumption of economic theories of dynamic behaviour is that people plan ahead. This paper reports on an extremely simple experimental test of this fundamental principle. Indeed the experiment is so simple and so straightforward that it is difficult to believe that anyone would not plan ahead. However subjects are found who do not. What are they doing? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:277-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Lemke Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lemke Author-Name: Isaac C. Rischall Author-X-Name-First: Isaac C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rischall Title: Skill, parental income, and IV estimation of the returns to schooling Abstract: Recently, attention has moved away from using parental background variables, such as parental education, in favour of using institutional features of the education system as instruments when estimating the return to schooling. In this paper, these possible instruments are revisited. Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, several specifications of the wage equation are estimated and three types of instruments used - parental education, quarter of birth, and college proximity. It is shown that under some specifications - in particular, by including parental income and individual skill in the wage equation - parental education appears to be a valid and useful instrument. On the other hand, when using the institutional instruments, the weak correlation between the instruments and years of schooling produces imprecise and likely biased estimates of the return to schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850320000078653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850320000078653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:281-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masayo Sato Author-X-Name-First: Masayo Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: The relationship between smoking initiation and time discount factor, risk aversion and information Abstract: The paper is the first to discuss the relationship between smoking initiation and gender, time discount factor, risk aversion, and information about diseases due to smoking. The estimated results show that gender and time discount rate significantly affect smoking initiation but risk aversion and information do not. Since information does not discourage smoking initiation, public policies aimed at educating young people about the harmful effects of smoking may not be effective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-289 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:287-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal C. Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Factor productivity and technical change Abstract: This paper deals with (i) decomposing total factor productivity growth into input-specific components, (ii) measuring input-specific productivity/efficiency growth, and (iii) testing several neutrality hypotheses in technical change. These issues are addressed in a general framework without assuming any functional form on the underlying production technology, and without imposing any structure on the behaviour of input productivity/efficiency growth. Using NBER panel data on 450 U.S. manufacturing industries for the period 1959--1992, it is found that technical change can be characterized by neither Hicks, Harrod, nor Solow neutral form. It is also found that productivity of capital has increased, on average by 6.5%, whereas those of labour and material declined by 5.10% and 0.4%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485031000077349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485031000077349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:291-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Lima De Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Charles Lima De Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Marco Aur�LIO Peres Author-X-Name-First: Marco Aur�LIO Author-X-Name-Last: Peres Author-Name: Geraldo Da Silva E Souza Author-X-Name-First: Geraldo Da Silva E Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Optimal monetary rules: the case of Brazil Abstract: Within a dynamic programming approach, an optimal rule for the central bank to attain its inflation targeting goals is derived. The short-run nominal interest rate is used as an instrument to achieve monetary objectives. The model is tested for the Brazilian economy and compared with results found for other countries. Evidence for the estimated feedback interest rule for the Central Bank suggests that the cost of reducing inflation in an open economy is lower than that of a closed economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-302 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0003684032000066804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:299-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: MAHMOUD A. M. BUSHEHRI Author-X-Name-First: MAHMOUD A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: BUSHEHRI Title: Dynamic generalization of the Rotterdam model Abstract: Demand systems that are normally used in the empirical demand literature are static, in the sense that consumers are assumed to adjust instantly to the new equilibrium following changes in expenditure or prices. In reality this assumption may be incorrect because in many cases consumers' reaction to change in price or expenditure may be gradual, there may be a partial adjustment. In this paper a dynamic Rotterdam model is developed; extending the existing static version. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2003.10800382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2003.10800382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herbert Y. T. Lam Author-X-Name-First: Herbert Y. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Author-Name: Spyros I. Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros I. Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Fundamental variables and the cross-section of expected stock returns: the case of Hong Kong Abstract: Recent empirical evidence indicates that size and book-to-market ratios explain adequately a large part of average stock returns. This paper examines the association of a number of fundamental variables with the cross section of stock returns in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The results suggest that, during the 1990s, the small-firm effect has actually gone into reverse and that size and book-to-market equity have a statistically significant relationship with average returns. Beta has little or no role as an explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0003684032000066840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: David Walls Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Title: Broken odds and the favourite-longshot bias in parimutuel betting: a direct test Abstract: This research examines empirically the effect using broken odds - the rounded off odds reported by horse track operators - on statistical tests of market efficiency in parimutuel gambling. It finds that using rounded-off odds to test for market efficiency, instead of using the exact values, introduces a downward bias in the test statistics for favourite horses. Previous studies, because they relied on the rounded-off odds data, may have overstated the extent of the favourite-longshot bias in parimutuel wagering markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210147162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850210147162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. C. Bautista Author-X-Name-First: C. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: Stock market volatility in the Philippines Abstract: Regime-switching-ARCH regression was used on weekly aggregate Philippine stock return data from February 1987 to October 2000 to estimate its conditional variance. The estimated volatility was then related to major political/economic events and to fluctuations in economic activity as measured by real GDP growth. Four high volatility episodes were observed for the period under study. It was seen that high stock return volatility preceded a bust cycle, defined as a sequence of low growth periods. The study showed the sensitivity of the Philippine stock market to drastic changes in the political environment as well. This was observed twice during the late 1980s when a series of military coup attempts led to large fluctuations in the stock price index. In the 1990s, high return volatility was also observed twice. The lifting of the remaining foreign exchange and capital account restrictions in 1993 led to the third high volatility episode. In 1997, the start of the fourth volatility episode preceded the onset of the Asian financial crisis by a few months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850210148107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Alvarez-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Diaz Author-Name: Alberto Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Title: Forecasting exchange rates using genetic algorithms Abstract: A novel approach is employed to investigate the predictability of weekly data on the euro/dollar, British pound/dollar, Deutsche mark/dollar, Japanese yen/dollar, French franc/dollar and Canadian dollar/dollar exchange rates. A functional search procedure based on the Darwinian theories of natural evolution and survival, called genetic algorithms (hereinafter GA), was used to find an analytical function that best approximates the time variability of the studied exchange rates. In all cases, the mathematical models found by the GA predict slightly better than the random walk model. The models are heavily dominated by a linear relationship with the most recent past value, while contributions from nonlinear terms to the total forecasting performance are rather small. In consequence, the results agree with previous works establishing explicitly that nonlinear nature of exchange rates cannot be exploited to substantially improve forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-322 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158250 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158250&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:319-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Morgan Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Author-Name: D. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The optimal output target and degree of banker conservativeness in a model with a non-linear Phillips curve Abstract: The purpose in this article is to investigate the implications of a non-linear supply curve for the standard discretionary inflation outcome obtained when the central bank has quadratic preferences. Some implications for the optimal output target and degree of conservativeness of the central banker are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-330 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161896 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161896&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:323-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Ashiya Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ashiya Title: The directional accuracy of 15-months-ahead forecasts made by the IMF Abstract: A considerable number of studies have investigated the directional accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts, and have obtained mixed results for long-term forecasts. This paper re-examines this issue using the IMF forecasts for the G7 countries, and find that combining the long-term and the short-term forecasts significantly improves the directional accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-333 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:331-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Katranidis Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Katranidis Author-Name: Gregory Kordas Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Kordas Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: Welfare analysis and bootstrapping Abstract: This paper examines the effects of the entry and the 1992 CAP reform on maize producers' welfare and on economic efficiency. This welfare analysis used a bootstrap resampling technique that provided standard errors and confidence intervals for the estimates. These empirical analysis has shown that the price-policy induced changes in farmers' economic welfare were significant at commonly used levels of statistical significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Man-Joe Leung Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Man-Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: An empirical comparison of moving average envelopes and Bollinger Bands Abstract: This paper endeavors to compare the profitability of Moving Average Envelopes and Bollinger Bands. Despite the fact that Bollinger Bands can capture sudden price fluctuations which Moving Average Envelopes cannot, our study reveals that Bollinger Bands do not outperform the Moving Average Envelopes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:339-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wen-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Panel unit root tests of firm size and its growth Abstract: This paper investigates Gibrat's law by using a panel unit root test, as a panel unit root can increase power in contrast to a conventional individual ADF test. At first this paper uses the panel unit root test to testify Gibrat's law under independent and identical distribution, with the test results rejecting the null hypothesis of Gibrat's law. Independent and identical distributions are not reasonable in a real situation. Any firm in a given industry may have some correlation with other firms. Moreover, the limiting distribution of Im, Pesaran, and Shin (IPS) statistic is invalid and will produce a large distortion. This paper applies the Taylor and Sarno (1998) MADF test to deal with a cross-sectional correlation problem and study the issue. This paper finds that the conclusion is not the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:343-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Title: The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note Abstract: The standard loss function counts both positive and negative deviations from the output and inflation targets as losses. But if the sample period is long enough, then output growth in excess of the target, and often also inflation rates that are below target, should be counted as gains instead of losses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-349 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056891 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056891&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:347-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Long-run growth and government consumption Abstract: This paper tests the null hypothesis implied by exogenous growth that the share of government consumption in output affects the level of output but not its growth rate against the alternative hypothesis implied by endogenous growth that the growth rate is also affected. The results provide evidence that cross-country differences in income per capita result from differences in their public policies, but no evidence that differences in trend growth rates result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Cole Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Author-Name: Eric Neumayer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Neumayer Title: The pitfalls of convergence analysis: is the income gap really widening? Abstract: A number of studies have tested whether, globally, per capita incomes are converging over time. To date, the majority of studies find no evidence of absolute convergence, but many find evidence of conditional convergence, i.e. convergence having controlled for differences in technological and behavioural parameters. The lack of evidence of absolute convergence has led to claims that global income inequality is deteriorating. This is believed to be untrue. Most convergence studies are aimed at proving or disproving the neoclassical growth model and hence take the 'country' as the unit of measurement. However, if inferences are being made about world income distribution the focus should be on 'people' rather than 'countries' to prevent China and Luxembourg, for example, receiving equal weighting in the analysis. The β-convergence method and two different measures of per capita income are used and it is shown that there is indeed evidence of income divergence between countries. However, crucially, convincing evidence is found of income convergence if the regressions are weighted by population. Thus, it is found that poor peoples' incomes are growing faster than rich peoples' incomes, suggesting that global income inequality is in fact improving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000072361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000072361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryann Keating Author-X-Name-First: Maryann Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Author-Name: Barry Keating Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Title: Measuring the sustainability of Latin American external debt Abstract: This article, based on a theoretical model of external debt sustainability, compares Latin American GDP growth with the debt service to total debt ratio. A country-by-country forecast of external debt composition is presented and discussed. External Debt Forecasting is accomplished using yearly data from Global Development Finance 1999. Data for the years 1970 to 1999 are used for a Latin American composite and cross-country comparisons between Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Venezuela. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000079120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000079120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Kholodilin Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilin Title: US composite economic indicator with nonlinear dynamics and the data subject to structural breaks Abstract: Composite economic indicator is a very useful tool designed to trace and predict the business cycle conditions. This paper studies possible extensions of this approach intended to cope with the potential data problems caused by various structural breaks affecting both level and volatility of the component series. The structural shifts are introduced in the composite economic indicator model via deterministic dummies capturing breaks in the observed variables' intercepts and in the residual variances of the specific factors. As an illustration the Post-Second World War US monthly macroeconomic series are utilized for which different specifications of the single-factor linear and regime-switching model are evaluated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000079139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000079139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:363-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Ribba Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Ribba Title: Short-run and long-run interaction between inflation and unemployment in the USA Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate both the short-run and long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment characterizing the US economy in the last 30 years. To this end a cointegrated structural VAR vs built. Since unemployment does not cause inflation at frequency zero a recursive structure, with inflation ordered first, allows the identification of a permanent and a transitory shock (cf. Ribba, Economics Letters 56, pp. 253-6, 1997). The main conclusions of the investigation are that: (i) in the short run, the existence of a tradeoff induced by the transitory shock is confirmed; (ii) in the long run, the two variables move one-for-one in the same direction driven by a permanent supply shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Parai Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Title: Foreign capital inflow and economic growth in LDCs Abstract: The implications of foreign capital inflow are re-examined in a neoclassical model of economic growth (a la Chow-Zeng, Applied Economics Letters, 8, pp. 613-15, 2001). By following the definition of the steady state stock of aggregate capital, it is shown that under normal depreciation of foreign capital and the natural rate of growth of labour force, an inflow of foreign capital may or may not increase the per capita domestic capital and consumption of the host nation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082036 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082036&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Mean and volatility spillover effects in Greek producer-consumer meat prices Abstract: This study investigates causality, price transmission and volatility spillover effects between producer and consumer prices in lamb, beef, pork and poultry markets in Greece, using the methodology of the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) approach. The empirical findings indicate significant price effects in the markets under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-384 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:381-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaj Malchow-Møller Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaj Author-X-Name-Last: Malchow-Møller Author-Name: Michael Svarer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Svarer Title: Estimation of the multinomial logit model with random effects Abstract: In the present paper, it is shown how to perform estimation of the random effects multinomial logit model in the SAS program. Inference in the random effects multinomial logit model is complicated because it requires evaluation of multi-dimensional integrals. Presumably for this reason, no statistical software packages allow for direct estimation of the model. It is shown how modifications of the likelihood function enable the applied researcher to make inference using SAS. While the procedure works well for small samples/models, estimation time might become considerable for larger samples/models. A possible explanation for this is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-392 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:389-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Therese Grijalva Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Grijalva Author-Name: Alok Bohara Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: A seemingly unrelated Poisson model for revealed and stated preference data Abstract: A seemingly unrelated Poisson regression model is proposed as an alternative to single equation Poisson models for joint estimation of revealed preference (RP) and contingent behaviour (CB) trip demand. Findings indicate that RP and CB data should be estimated jointly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018B File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018B&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cademartori Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cademartori Author-Name: Cecilia Romo Author-X-Name-First: Cecilia Author-X-Name-Last: Romo Author-Name: Ricardo Campos Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: Manuel Galea Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Galea Title: Robust estimation of systematic risk using the t distribution in the chilean stock markets Abstract: This article deals with the estimate of the systematic risk of a share, assuming that returns follow an independent t distribution. In order to analyse the sensibility to possible outliers and/or atypical returns of the maximum likelihood estimator of the systematic risk, the local influence method was implemented. The results are illustrated by using a set of shares of companies belonging to the Chilean stock market. The main conclusion is that the t model with small degrees of freedom is able to incorporate possible outliers and influential returns in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-453 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018A File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018A&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:447-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The nonstationarity of the consumption-income ratio: Evidence from more powerful Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: In this letter the question of whether the consumption-income ratio is mean reverting is revisited. To address known problems of low power associated with previous studies, more powerful modifications of the Dickey-Fuller (DF) test are applied. The results of weighted symmetric and recursively mean-adjusted DF tests provide strong evidence of the UK consumption-income ratio being nonstationary. This finding is further supported by reduced bias estimation of the autoregressive parameter, the estimated value of ρ derived being much closer to unity than that obtained under a conventional DF test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Rubio Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Rubio Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Juan Vicente Perdiz Author-X-Name-First: Juan Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Perdiz Title: SAM multipliers and inequality measurement Abstract: Atkinson and Bourguignon (2000) 'lack research that integrates distribution centrally into the examination of how the economics works'. To fill in such lack this study put in touch recent developments from Inequality Measurement and National Accounting literatures. This paper presents a reduced and rearranged Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) taking forward chapter 20 of SNA93 and after showing the limits of Jacobi multipliers to analyse inequality, this study proposes the calculation of border norms when distributive judgements are not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000029324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000029324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Kanas Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Non-linear cointegration between stock prices and dividends Abstract: This article uses the ACE algorithm to non-linearly transform stock prices and dividends for the USA for the period 1871-1999. It finds strong evidence of cointegration between the transformed variables, which can be characterized as non-linear cointegration. It concludes that departures from the linear present value model may be explained by misspecification of the model, which is attributed to the absence of appropriate nonlinear transformations of the variables. Our findings are in line with models that introduce nonlinearities in the relation between stock prices and dividends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-405 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:401-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Cristina Ubach Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Ubach Title: Testing for an experience endowment effect in health care Abstract: Preferences have been shown to be influenced by initial endowments of wealth in the valuation literature. This paper tested for the influence of initial endowments of experience on preferences, using a discrete choice experiment. The experiment was carried out within the context of a randomized controlled trial evaluating the introduction of a new repeat prescribing system. The 'intervention group' experienced the proposed new system and the 'control group' the existing system. Evidence of an experience endowment effect was found, with only the 'intervention group' valuing attributes of the new repeat prescribing system. The implications of these results for economic evaluations alongside randomized controlled trials are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Author-Name: Susan Charles Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Title: Benefit payments, informal care and female labour supply Abstract: This article examines the impact of informal care responsibilities on female earnings and labour supply. It extends previous work on the labour market costs of informal care by examining who, among the full set of carers has access to the two most relevant existing social security benefits (Attendance Allowance and Invalid Care Allowance) and to what effect. Results from previous work using an earlier data set are compared with those obtained here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Author-Name: Hashem Dezhbakhsh Author-X-Name-First: Hashem Author-X-Name-Last: Dezhbakhsh Title: On the typical spectral shape of an economic variable Abstract: In a classic article, Granger (Econometrica 34, 1966) asserted that most economic time series measured in level have spectra that exhibit a smooth declining shape with considerable power at very low frequencies. There has been no systematic attempt to examine Granger's assertion with international data. Output level spectra are estimated for 58 countries, divided into developed, high-income developing, and low-income developing groups. The shapes of the estimated spectra are found to be strikingly similar to Granger's typical shape, particularly for the developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000102187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000102187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:417-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guyonne Kalb Author-X-Name-First: Guyonne Author-X-Name-Last: Kalb Author-Name: Jenny Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Delinquency and gender Abstract: The determinants of juvenile delinquency for males and females using the Delinquency in a Birth Cohort II Study are investigated. Ordered probit models for juvenile arrest are estimated separately for males and females. The results indicate that juvenile arrests for both males and females are more likely for non-whites and for those who leave education early. Males and females behave differently, in that males are more likely to be repeat offenders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Funda Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Funda Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: The relationship between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty in Turkey Abstract: The relationship between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty is investigated in Turkey during the period of 1995:3-2000:12. A time-varying parameter model of inflation with heteroscedastic disturbances is used to generate different sources of inflation uncertainty and then Granger methods are employed to test for causality between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty. The findings show that there is a causative influence of inflation on its uncertainty arising due to time-varying parameters of the inflation model. No evidence is found on the correlation between inflation and inflation uncertainty arising due to heteroscedasticity in the disturbance terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000066868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000066868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Title: Evidence on the extent of relationships among investment opportunity set proxies Abstract: A number of recent empirical studies have examined the extent to which growth indicators (or 'proxies') affect the market reaction to major corporate announcements. Although the method employed in these studies is broadly similar, the results to date have varied quite markedly. One key difference amongst the previous studies relates to the nature of the proxy measures used; although each one is intended to measure a firm's investment opportunity set, more than 100 different variables have now been examined and this proliferation may represent part of the explanation for the inconsistency in overall conclusions. The present paper provides some preliminary evidence about the extent of any correlation among growth measures using UK data for 83 of the most commonly employed variables. The study reports that the various measures are generally correlated with each other in a manner which suggests that they provide a coherent signal about firms' growth prospects, and that inconsistency in the measures used may not provide the underlying reason for heterogeneity in the earlier findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-441 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:437-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jussi Tolvi Author-X-Name-First: Jussi Author-X-Name-Last: Tolvi Title: Unemployment persistence of different labour force groups in Finland Abstract: Fractional integration long memory models are used to estimate the unemployment persistence of different labour force groups. The data comes from Finland, and has youth and total labour force unemployment rates for both males and females. It is found that unemployment is less persistent for females and young people than for males and the whole labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000089886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000089886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Using prior bias to improve forecast accuracy Abstract: The study tests whether removing bias can improve out-of-sample forecast accuracy in two series of interest rates. The samples are larger than previously studied in this context, and the test is cleaner since reported interest rates are never revised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: A note on the interregional movement of new companies Abstract: This note presents some new data on the extent and nature of the interregional movement of new companies in England and Wales. It shows that Wales is by far the largest gross exporter of new companies, followed by Greater London and Eastern England. Eastern England and the East Midlands have the highest rates of inward migration. Greater London and the North West have the lowest inward migration rates. Wales, Greater London and the North East all have negative net migration rates. Survey work is now required to identify any differences in the characteristics and performance of 'stayers' and movers and the factors behind regional differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-465 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090767 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090767&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:463-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Vernon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Vernon Title: The relationship between price regulation and pharmaceutical profit margins Abstract: In the USA, prescription drug prices are largely unregulated. In most other countries, however, drug prices are regulated. This is typically accomplished directly through price controls (e.g. France and Italy), indirectly through limits on reimbursement under social insurance schemes (e.g. Germany and Japan), or indirectly through profit controls (e.g. the United Kingdom). Using current data on firm pre-tax pharmaceutical profit margins and the proportion of firm pharmaceutical sales subjected to price regulation (i.e., non-US pharmaceutical sales), it is demonstrated that price regulation may be exerting a substantially negative influence on pharmaceutical price-cost margins. The analysis finds that pharmaceutical price-cost margins in the USA are, on average, approximately four times higher than non-US pharmaceutical price-cost margins. While price regulation may not be the only factor responsible for this striking difference in price-cost margins, it is likely to be a prominent factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090776 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090776&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Export intensity in UK firms Abstract: The determination of export intensity for a panel of 1623 UK firms from 1988 to 2001 was investigated. The results support most theories of export intensity, and in particular the role of firm size, product differentiation, governance and technological factors. By exploiting the heterogeneity of firm financial calendars a unique Sterling-Dollar exchange rate is calculated for each firm which is found to have a significant effect on export intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-477 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090785 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090785&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:471-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Medoff Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Medoff Title: Article placement and market signalling Abstract: Does article placement by journal editors influence the number of citations an article receives? Articles that appear in eight top economics journals in 1990 are examined. Holding constant author quality, article length, journal quality and subject area, the empirical results show that being a lead article or the article placement position number in a journal issue have a statistically insignificant effect on the number of citations an article receives. The impact of favourable article placement on citations is initially positive, but diminishes over time. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that journal editors use favourable article placement as non-monetary compensation to authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Gugler Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Gugler Author-Name: Jurgen Weigand Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Weigand Title: Is ownership really endogenous? Abstract: For a large panel of US firms it is found that managerial ownership is (econometrically) endogenous as Himmelberg et al. (Journal of Financial Economics, 53, 353-384, 1999) found. The largest shareholder, however, affects performance exogenously. This also holds for German firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Asset storability and hedging effectiveness in commodity futures markets Abstract: This paper examines risk minimization hedging effectiveness for major storable and nonstorable agricultural commodity futures markets. Based on the error correction model - bivariate GARCH frameworks, some evidence is found that the hedging effectiveness is stronger for storable commodities than nonstorable commodities under consideration. The finding illustrates an important difference between storable and nonstorable commodities with regard to their hedging function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Mark Leung Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Option straddle trading: Financial performance and economic significance of direct profit forecast and conventional strategies Abstract: The present study focuses on the trading of at-the-money straddles using options on foreign currency futures, namely British Pound, Canadian Dollar, and Japanese Yen. The financial performance and economic significance of a direct profit forecast trading strategy are examined. This strategy uses a linear projection to directly forecast the profit (net of transaction costs) of engaging in a straddle. The straddle is purchased when the forecast is positive and sold when negative. This differs from the conventional option trading strategy of basing trading decisions on a two-step procedure of first generating a volatility forecast and then inputting the volatility forecast into an appropriate option pricing model to price the straddle. The direct profit forecast trading strategy removes volatility forecasting and option pricing models from the straddle trading decision process altogether. This method has only one source of model risk, compared to the conventional two step method which has two sources of model risk. It is possible that the direct forecast trading strategy with only one source of model risk may outperform the conventional method of trading straddles. The experimental investigation confirms this notion and the out-of-sample results indicate that, for each of the currencies analysed, the direct forecasting strategy is more profitable than the conventional two-step method. Furthermore, the results are robust with respect to different transaction cost assumptions. Finally, tests of economic significance indicate consistent market timing value for the direct forecast method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-498 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:493-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Shively Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Shively Title: International evidence of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations: a multivariate approach Abstract: The existence, size, and dynamic effect of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations has been a prominent issue in financial economics. Previous univariate and multivariate studies find that temporary innovations exist, but they do not yield a consensus regarding the size and dynamic effect of the temporary and permanent stock-price innovations. Real interest rates are intrinsically related to real stock prices through standard present-value models. This note applies Blanchard and Quah's (American Economic Review, 79, 665-673, 1989) bivariate, structural VAR model to monthly real stock returns and real interest rates from six major international financial markets including the US. Using 12 monthly VAR lags in order to capture annual variation in stock prices, this model finds a dramatic range in the size and dynamic effect of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations across the six international financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000116263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000116263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esmaiel Abounoori Author-X-Name-First: Esmaiel Author-X-Name-Last: Abounoori Author-Name: Patrick McCloughan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McCloughan Title: A simple way to calculate the Gini Coefficient for grouped as well as ungrouped data Abstract: Numerous methods have been proposed for calculating the Gini coefficient, the most widely used statistical measure of income inequality. The Milanovic (Bulletin of Economic Research, 46, 81-90, 1994) measure is simple, accurate and has attractive decomposition properties. However its use is confined to ungrouped data. This paper derives and applies the analogue of the Milanovic 94 measure for the case of grouped data. Both the grouped and ungrouped formulae offer a useful toolkit for inequality measurement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-509 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:505-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlie Cai Author-X-Name-First: Charlie Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Kevin Keasey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Keasey Title: Trading frequency and the compass rose Abstract: The paper uses market microdata to examine how the frequency with which share trading takes place affects the appearance of the compass rose. The results show that, for a share traded with a given frequency, there will be an optimum frequency of observation to produce the best compass rose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:511-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annabelle Mourougane Author-X-Name-First: Annabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Mourougane Author-Name: Moreno Roma Author-X-Name-First: Moreno Author-X-Name-Last: Roma Title: Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth? Abstract: We investigate the usefulness of the European Commission confidence indicators for forecasting real GDP growth rates in the short run is investigated in selected euro area countries (Belgium, Spain, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands) which account for almost 90% of the euro area. A linear relationship between real GDP and confidence indicators is estimated and the forecasting performance of the estimated models compared with a benchmark ARIMA model. It is generally found that confidence indicators can be useful for forecasting real GDP growth rates in the short-run in most of the above-mentioned countries. Notwithstanding some signs of instability in the relation between confidence indicators and real GDP, improvements with the use of time-varying parameter models appear to be fairly limited but confirm the findings obtained with constant parameter techniques. The results obtained are robust to a wide range of variant tests implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100305 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100305&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Happich Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Happich Author-Name: Kurt Geppert Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Geppert Title: A note on regional convergence within the EU Abstract: A recently published article suggested that factor prices within the EU converged between 1980 and 1992 but diverged between 1992 and 1994. However, these findings largely reflect inflation differentials and exchange rate adjustments. Markov chain analysis on the basis of an alternative income aggregate, GDP per capita measured in Purchasing Power Standards, leads to different results: Convergence was close to non-existent from 1980 to 1994 but resumed significantly thereafter. This is likely to be attributable to the establishment of the Single Market and subsequent integration steps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100314 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100314&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: J. Yang Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: D. A. Bessler Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Financial crisis and African stock market integration Abstract: This article examines long-run relationships and short-run dynamic causal linkages among the five largest emerging African stock markets and the US market, with particular attention to the 1997-1998 global emerging market crisis. In general, interdependence between the African markets and the influence of the US on these markets was limited during 1996-2002. There is evidence that both long-run relationships and short-run causal linkages between these markets were substantially weakened after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-533 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:527-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Ioannides Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Ioannides Title: Empirical nonlinearities and neighbourhood effects in the intergenerational transmission of human capital Abstract: This letter reports an empirical analysis of individuals' education as a function of their parents' education and of education in the census tract of their upbringing. The analysis is conducted with data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, including confidential geocoded data that links individuals to contextual data from the 1980 and 1990 US Census. The results validate those of Kremer's on the role of neighbourhood effects, but also confirm, using both parametric and nonparametric methods, that parents' education and neighbours' education have nonlinear effects that are broadly consistent with theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000146017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000146017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. K. Sapra Author-X-Name-First: S. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Pre-test estimation in Poisson regression model Abstract: Pre-test estimation has been studied extensively for linear regression and simultaneous equation models. Recently attention has turned to pre-test estimation in non-linear models. This article studies pre-test maximum likelihood estimation in Poisson regression model. It presents its risk characteristics and compare them with those of restricted and unrestricted maximum likelihood estimators based on squared error loss function in a Monte Carlo experiment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:541-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Title: Demand, cost elasticities and pricing benchmarks in the hypothetical monopoly test: the consequences of a simple SSNIP Abstract: The hypothetical monopoly test for market power is translated into an operational 'formula' involving cost and demand elasticities. The importance of the choice of the pricing benchmark is emphasized - and of why it is important to incorporate an assessment of cost structure when conducting such tests. Recent work in the EU and the UK (notably in Telecoms) has ignored cost structures when making assessments of market power. It is shown in this article that ignoring cost structure leads to bias in that market power will often be found when in fact none is present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Molina Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: R. Ortega Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Effects of employee training on the performance of North-American firms Abstract: This article analyses the impact of employee training on the performance, measured in terms of Tobin's Q and total returns to shareholders, of North-American firms, by using a survey of senior executives in human capital management carried out in 2000. The results indicate that higher training can have a positive effect on firm performance through factors such as employee satisfaction and customer loyalty. Overall, it is found that higher levels of training are associated with significant benefits which can increase firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-552 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:549-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. J. G. Gisbert Author-X-Name-First: F. J. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gisbert Title: Further convergence accounting Abstract: This article extends the convergence accounting framework established by Serrano and proposes a simple way to statistically test for the significance of different factors of production affecting labour productivity convergence. The result comes from expressing the log of labour productivity as a sum of different factors in a Cobb-Douglas production function. The end result is that a similar accounting exercise to that in Serrano can be done using the different factors driving convergence. Its application to OECD countries over the period 1965-1990 illustrates the approach and shows that, in agreement with most of the literature, total factor productivity is the factor that has contributed most to labour convergence and that physical investment in non-residential capital is the second most important one. Human capital accumulation, on the other hand, has had little effect throughout the period, but has taken on an increasing importance in recent years. However, from the point of view of the convergence of each factor considered individually, all factors have converged, human capital having done so the most quickly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100233 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100233&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: B. El Murr Author-X-Name-First: B. El Author-X-Name-Last: Murr Title: A model of glutting: human capital and labour markets in the long-run Abstract: For over a century and a half, there have been cyclical phases of saturation and shortage in the numbers of students enrolled at German and Prussian universities. Starting from this observations, this article constructs a neoclassical glutting theory. A twofold hypothesis is put forward. First, the behaviour of students in their choice of curriculum depends on the expected rewards. Indeed, the allocation of students to the various faculties depends on the comparative yields of the latter in terms of expected earnings and job availability in the corresponding professional sectors. Thus, the rewards expected by a student are represented by the earnings on the labour market at a given moment and that he or she considers to be sustainable in time. Second, an attraction phenomenon may appear for certain curricula when a shortage occurs in different professional sectors. Once the shortage has been made up, the demand effect continues as a result of delay in the perception of the situation by young people. This may gradually lead to comparative over-production of qualified university leavers. This unbalanced situation diverts new cohorts of students to other sectors of education and may cause a new shortage, finally resulting in a cyclical movement modulated according to job availability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Apergis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: A. Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Housing prices and macroeconomic factors in Greece: prospects within the EMU Abstract: This article analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables, for example housing loan rates, inflation, employment and money supply, on the price of new houses sold in Greece. An error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used in modelling the impact of the above macroeconomic variables on housing price. The results obtained through impulse response functions suggest that housing prices respond to all macroeconomic variables under consideration. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of housing price, followed by inflation and employment, while money supply does not seem to show any substantial impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. -W. Hung Author-X-Name-First: M. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: C. -F. Lee Author-X-Name-First: C. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: L. -C. So Author-X-Name-First: L. -C. Author-X-Name-Last: So Title: Impact of foreign-listed single stock futures on the domestic underlying stock markets Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate whether foreign-listed single stock futures (SSFs) would have any impact on their domestic underlying stock markets. GARCH (1,1) and GJR-GARCH (1,1) are used to analyse the data from the London International Financial Future and Options Exchange (LIFFE) in this research. Results show that the introduction of the foreign listed SSF contracts seems to have more explanatory power with respect to the higher volatility of their domestic spot markets than the announcement of the SSF contracts. Also, for two of the nine securities, the daily activity shocks of the foreign-listed SSFs are responsible for the higher conditional volatility of their home underlying stocks, while the activity that is forecastable but highly variable across days diminishes the conditional volatility of the underlying stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:567-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Sussmuth Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sussmuth Title: Are procyclical lumpiness and asymmetry in capital adjustment dateless phenomena? the case of firms in German industrialization: 1880-1913 Abstract: Based on a descriptive, non-parametric methodology, this article examines lumpiness and investment episodes in the capital formation process of firms in German industrialization. The findings are, not as necessarily expected, remarkably concordant with recent findings for contemporary plant-level data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100224 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100224&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Managi Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Title: Luenberger and Malmquist productivity indices in Japan, 1955-1995 Abstract: The Luenberger productivity index can simultaneously contract inputs and expand outputs, and is dual to profit maximization. The index is a generalization of the Malmquist productivity index, which is commonly used in productivity studies. Both the Luenberger and Malmquist productivity indices are applied to the prefectural level data in Japan over 1955-1995. If profit maximization assumption is more appropriate than revenue maximization, Malmquist productivity index overestimates productivity changes, since it provides nearly twice growth rate compared to the rate given by the Luenberger productivity index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. J. Smyth Author-X-Name-First: D. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: S. W. Taylor Author-X-Name-First: S. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Presidential popularity: what matters most, macroeconomics or scandals? Abstract: What accounts for the widely divergent impact of political scandal on the Nixon and Clinton administrations? This article argues that the extent to which an administration suffers in the public's eye from a scandal depends on the economic conditions prevailing at the time. Using Gallup poll data, it estimates a quadratic social preference function for each administration and finds that the impact of Watergate on Nixon's decline in the polls has been over-emphasized and that the Lewinsky affair had no impact on Clinton's popularity. The role of the economy contributed more to political success or failure in both cases than did scandal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-588 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:585-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Loizides Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: Do interest rates predict real economic activity? Abstract: This paper employs a structural VAR procedure to test some fundamental propositions of the business cycle using a developing economy framework. The focus of the paper is on KBC, MBC and RBC theories as well as on the alternative view, which has been propagated mainly by Sims. The empirical analysis intends to report extensive evidence on the dynamics between money, output, interest rates and prices. The results suggest that the effects of system shocks conform to the alternative view supporting the central role of interest rates. Interest rate shocks explain a majority of the variation in money, output and prices. The results are generally robust across different orderings, alternative interest rate measures and various sample periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-595 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:589-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Prieger Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Prieger Title: Bootstrapping the conditional moment test for parametric duration models Abstract: The performance of auxiliary regression-based specification tests for parametric duration models estimated with censored data is evaluated. The test using asymptotic critical values has poor size. Bootstrapping corrects the size problem but results in a biased power curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Medoff Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Medoff Title: Article placement and market signalling Abstract: Does article placement by journal editors influence the number of citations an article receives? Articles that appeared in eight top economics journals in 1990 were examined. Holding constant author quality, article length, journal quality and subject area, the empirical results show that the article placement position in a journal issue has a statistically insignificant effect on the number of citations an article receives. The impact of favourable article placement on citations is initially positive, but diminishes over time. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that journal editors use favourable article placement as non-monetary compensation to authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125218 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125218&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. C. Kwan Author-X-Name-First: A. C. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Title: Sample partial autocorrelations and portmanteau tests for randomness Abstract: This article proposes a new portmanteau test based on sample partial autocorrelations. The test statistic is asymptotically χ2 under the null hypothesis of randomness. Simulation results indicate that the proposed test, which utilizes Anderson's mean and variance formulae of sample partial autocorrelations, outperforms the Ljung-Box test in terms of controlling test size and minimizing dispersion bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-609 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:605-609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: A sensitivity analysis of threshold determination for asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The properties of the Granger-Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, S145-59, 1989) asymmetric error correction model under consistent-threshold estimation are considered, with the relationship between the threshold range and rejection of the symmetry hypothesis examined. The results of Monte Carlo experimentation show rejection of symmetry to depend positively upon the size of the threshold range employed. However, even if consistent-threshold estimation is employed with a relatively small threshold range, the resulting test exhibits a substantial increase in power relative to the use of the Granger-Lee test is its original form using an imposed deterministic threshold. This increase in power and its dependence upon the size of the threshold range are further illustrated by application to the data of the seminal study of Granger and Lee. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-616 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:611-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Acharya Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: M. Daly Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Title: Tariffs in the 'Quad': some unfinished business for WTO negotiations Abstract: Despite low average rates, the tariff remains an important instrument of trade policy in the 'Quad'. This article presents some summary tariff indicators, highlighting the main features of these tariffs that warrant attention in the current round multilateral trade negotiations at the WTO. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-622 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000154559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000154559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:617-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Desli Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Desli Author-Name: Subhash Ray Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: A dynamic stochastic frontier production model with time-varying efficiency Abstract: In this paper technical efficiency is introduced via the intercept that evolve over time as a AR(1) process in a stochastic frontier (SF) framework in a panel data framework. Following are the distinguishing features of the model. First, the model is dynamic in nature. Second, it can separate technical inefficiency from fixed firm-specific effects which are not part of inefficiency. Third, the model allows estimation of technical change separate from change in technical efficiency. It is proposed that the ML method be used estimate the parameters of the model. Finally, expressions are derived to calculate/predict technical inefficiency (efficiency). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: The time series behaviour of Brazilian inflation rate: new evidence from unit root tests with good size and power Abstract: Various unit roots tests are suggested over the years. However, many of them suffer severe size problems as well as low power. Recently, Ng and Perron (Econometrica, 69, 1519-1554, 2001) propose new modelling strategy that yields good power and reliable size. This letter applies their testing method to the Brazilian inflation rate, which is contaminated by various government interventions to bring hyperinflation under control and for which standard unit root tests produce unintuitive results. The new method is found to yield reliable results for the current data and a possible explanation is also provided for its performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-631 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:627-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Aissa Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Title: Structural breaks in the US inflation process Abstract: The empirical evidence of the instability based on some selection procedures is explored. The focus is on the problem of choosing the number of structural breaks and their locations for the US inflation series. The obtained results give reason for thinking that they are very significant since they coincide with important facts and economic events. They show in particular that the evolution curve of inflation in the USA was flattened during the last 20 years since it is noted that this reduction in extent of inflation is stable and durable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: On the power of the multivariate KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally integrated alternatives Abstract: It shown that the multivariate version of KPSS test of Nyblom and Harvey (Econometric Theory, 16, 176-199, 2000) is consistent for the null of I(0) against the I(d) alternative. Simulation evidence is given to show the gain in power that is obtained from the multivariate approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133336 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133336&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Author-Name: Burak Saltoglu Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Saltoglu Title: An empirical comparison of interest rates using an interest rate model and nonparametric methods Abstract: A continuous time interest rate model is estimated using Gaussian estimation methods of Nowman (Journal of Finance, 52, 1695-706, 1997; Asia Pacific Financial Markets, 8, 23-34, 2001) and compare forecasts of interest rates with nonparametric methods on a range of currencies. Generally it is found that the continuous time model and local linear regression perform the best. The results give further evidence to the empirical results in Saltoglu (Applied Financial Economics, 13, 169-176, 2003). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-645 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133318 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133318&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:643-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Montagnoli Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Montagnoli Author-Name: O. Napolitano Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Napolitano Title: Dynamics of inflation in Turkey during the 1990s Abstract: This article assesses the credibility of disinflation programmes in Turkey during the nineties, where several programmes of reform took place. The empirical results show that there was a sharp loss of credibility at the end of the 1991 and at the beginning of the 1994 and during the Asian crisis. The programme that the Central Bank implemented after the crisis was able to increase the level of credibility of the CBRT policies. Loss of credibility is registered during the end of the 1995, while various political events took place and during the 1997 following the world economic conditions and the outflow of capitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125209 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125209&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:647-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco de Castro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: de Castro Title: Non-Keynesian effects of public expenditure in Spain Abstract: Evidence is provided of non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy in Spain within a VAR framework. Shocks to government expenditure expand activity, although moderately, in the short term, with output multipliers slightly above one. In the medium term, however, the response of output becomes significantly negative. The two main explanations proposed in the literature seem to apply here, namely higher real interest rates as a result of higher risk premia on the demand side and higher equilibrium wage reducing entrepreneurial profits and investment accordingly on the supply side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-655 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136397 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136397&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:651-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gonzalo Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Title: The effect of a constant or a declining discount rate on optimal investment timing Abstract: This paper shows that exponential discounting may have an advancing effect on the timing of investment, not captured by sensitivity analysis carried out for the complete range of instantaneous discount rates implicit in declining discounting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-659 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:657-659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phu Nguyen Van Author-X-Name-First: Phu Nguyen Author-X-Name-Last: Van Title: A semiparametric analysis of determinants of a protected area Abstract: A semiparametric additive model is used to study the relationship between protected area, income, trade, population, education, and political institutions in a sample of 89 countries. The results show the nonexistence of an environmental Kuznets curve in the data sample. The study also points out the existence of nonlinearity in the relationship between protected area and the ratio of net secondary school enrolment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-665 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:661-665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiko Tsukuda Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Tsukuda Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: An alternative method for predicting technical inefficiency in stochastic frontier models Abstract: The median is proposed as an alternative to the expectation of the conditional distribution in order to predict the technical inefficiency in stochastic frontier production models with panel data. Numerical comparison reveals that the two predictors can take different values when the distribution is skewed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-670 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136388 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136388&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:667-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Shocks to macroeconomic state variables and the risk premium of REITs Abstract: Following the work of Chen, Roll, and Ross (Journal of Business, 59, 383-403, 1986), there has been considerable work examining the influence of macroeconomic state variables on the excess returns of REITs. While most of the previous research has focused on the examination of equity REITs, this paper examines the three broad classification of REITs: equity, mortgage, and hybrid. This exploratory study identifies the response of REIT excess returns to unexpected changes in the broader stock market, real output growth, inflation, term structure of interest rates, default risk, and the federal funds rate using the generalized impulse response analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-677 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:671-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Does information technology contribute to economic growth in developing countries? a cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper explores the impacts of information technology (IT) investment on economic growth using a cross-country analysis based on data from 56 developing countries for the years 1970-1998. The results show that IT investment significantly contributes to economic growth in the developing world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Mark Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Anthony Siouclis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Siouclis Title: Modelling firm innovation using panel probit estimators Abstract: Firm-level innovation is investigated using three probit panel estimators, which control for unobserved heterogeneity, and a standard probit estimator. Results indicate the standard probit model is misspecified and that inter-firm networks are important for innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Testing Lazear's jack-of-all-trades view of entrepreneurship with German micro data Abstract: This article tests the theory recently put forward by Edward Lazear that individuals with competence in many skills should have a higher probability of being self-employed than others. The empirical results for Germany support this jack-of-all-trades view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-689 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133273 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133273&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:687-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Author-Name: A. A. Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Gender differences in job satisfaction in Great Britain, 1991-2000: permanent or transitory? Abstract: This article analyses job-satisfaction differences between men and women in Great Britain for the years 1991-2000 using data from the first 10 waves of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). The results show that women's job satisfaction has declined substantially in the past decade, whereas men's job satisfaction has remained fairly constant. The positive job-satisfaction differential in women's favour has been halved in the past decade, implying that this paradoxical situation is most likely transitory. This result supports Clark's expectations interpretation of the gender differences in job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 691-694 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:691-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tarzwell Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzwell Title: The impact of diverse preferences on government expenditures Abstract: This article analyses the importance of cultural diversity on Canadian government growth. The argument for analysing culture centres on: the belief that agreement on provision levels of government goods and services will be difficult when citizens are different from one another; the belief that individuals would rather see transfers directed to people who are like themselves; and, the importance of maintaining cultural diversity as a societal goal. This article finds that mother tongue diversity is relevant in determining government expenditure levels in Canada while religious diversity is not. These findings represent a unique approach to the determination of government expenditure in Canada and point out consequences for immigration policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138953 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138953&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Smyth Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: M. Nandha Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nandha Title: Bivariate causality between exchange rates and stock prices in South Asia Abstract: This article examines the relationship between exchange rates and stock prices in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka using daily data over a six-year period from 1995 to 2001. Both the Engle-Granger two-step and Johansen cointegration methods suggest that there is no long-run equilibrium relationship between these two financial variables in any of the four countries. Granger causality tests find that there is uni-directional causality running from exchange rates to stock prices in India and Sri Lanka, but in Bangladesh and Pakistan exchange rates and stock prices are independent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-704 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:699-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Author-Name: F. G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: F. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Merger activity and unemployment in the USA Abstract: This article presents estimates of the effect of merger activity on the unemployment rate in the US economy using time-series data from 1895 to 1992. Utilizing the methodology suggested by Wickens and Breusch (Economic Journal, Supplement, 189-205, 1988), both the short-run and long-run impacts are estimated. The estimated results suggest that merger activity had a significant negative effect on the unemployment rate in the long run. Even in the short run, merger activity, at the margin, has helped to reduce the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136342 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136342&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:705-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: San-Lin Chung Author-X-Name-First: San-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Title: The simplest American and Real Option approximations: Geske-Johnson interpolation in maturity and yield Abstract: The American early exercise feature of the Real Option to invest in a new project is important in capital budgeting and project valuation. Closed form solutions for American, and therefore Real, Options are known for two special cases; an infinite horizon generates the Merton (Bell Journal of Economics, 4, 141-83, 1973) solution while a zero dividend yield on the project generates Black-Scholes (Journal of Political Economy, 81, 637-59, 1973) prices since early exercise is never optimal. Geske-Johnson (Journal of Finance, 39, 1511-24, 1984) approximation is extended to a bivariate case by assuming various forms of separability for option prices as a function of time to maturity and yield to produce fully explicit and asymptotically correct approximations. These methods are compared with another simple approximation method due to Barone-Adesi and Whaley (Journal of Finance, 42, 301-20, 1987) and MacMillan (Advances in Futures Options and Research, 2, 117-42, 1987) and the estimated error these expressions contain compared to an accurate numerical benchmark technique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-716 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:709-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raja Kali Author-X-Name-First: Raja Author-X-Name-Last: Kali Title: The city as a giant component: a random graph approach to Zipf's law Abstract: The emergence of a 'city' out of a set of locations in space can be considered akin to the evolution of a random graph. Interaction between individuals who are connected to each other is at the source of the benefits associated with a city. If the interaction probability rises, a threshold is eventually crossed at which point most of the graph becomes connected, giving rise to a grand component. It is at this point that a viable 'city' emerges. This view suggests an interpretation of Zipf's law, which we test using US Census data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000139006 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000139006&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:717-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. K. Narayan Author-X-Name-First: P. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Macroeconomic impact of natural disasters on a small island economy: evidence from a CGE model Abstract: Natural disasters are common in the Pacific Island countries. Fiji has been affected by many of these disasters. The most recent cyclone exerted substantial damage to infrastructure, agricultural and industrial activity in Fiji. The aim of this article is to incorporate these damages into Fiji's computable general equilibrium model and examine the short-run macroeconomic impact. Among the key results, it is found that cyclones negatively impact private income, consumption, savings, real GDP and real national welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:721-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Brannas Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Brannas Author-Name: Niklas Nordman Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Nordman Title: Conditional skewness modelling for stock returns Abstract: Two approaches to modelling conditional skewness in a nonlinear model for stock returns are studied. It is found that a normal distribution can be rejected. A log-generalized gamma distribution with one time-varying density parameter, and a Pearson IV specification with three parameters are better supported by data. While the log-generalized gamma indicates that time-varying skewness is an important feature of the daily composite returns of NYSE, the Pearson IV model suggests that excess kurtosis rather than skewness should be accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000139015 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000139015&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. H. Smith Author-X-Name-First: F. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Historical evidence on the monocentric urban model: a case study of Cleveland, 1915-1980 Abstract: Much of the empirical work in urban economics focuses on Chicago because of the land value data gathered by Hoyt and Olcott. This article presents new land value data for Cleveland, Ohio and I uses it to show that while the urban form of Cleveland evolved much as Chicago's did, the timing of the changes was quite different. These results suggest that urban economists must be careful about inferring too much about the evolution of urban form from the work that has been done on Chicago. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:729-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Author-Name: P. Smith Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Use of ratios in data envelopment analysis Abstract: It is often necessary to use ratios rather than absolute numbers as inputs and outputs in data envelopment analysis. This may be necessary in order to reflect accurately the underlying production function, or because of the nature of the data available. This note explains why the Banker, Charnes and Cooper formulation of DEA must be used when a ratio model is deployed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. R. Bhatia Author-X-Name-First: M. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatia Author-Name: J. A. Fox-Rushby Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fox-Rushby Title: Validity of Willingness to Pay: hypothetical versus actual payment Abstract: Questions concerning the criterion validity of contingent valuation studies have been raised for years. However, the few examples that exist concentrate on willingness to pay (WTP) for goods like chocolate bars, where a market exists. This article examines the criterion validity of WTP for treated mosquito nets (TMNs) in Gujarat, India. Three hundred households, in 20 villages, were interviewed twice within one month. The first interview ascertained maximum hypothetical WTP for one TMN using a bidding format with an open-ended final question, along with questions about the socio-economic and health factors that were likely to influence demand. The second interview reminded the respondents about TMNs and asked whether they would be willing to buy one for Rs75 (the modal value). If so, they were invited to buy as many TMNs as desired for their household. Analysis is based on a 2 × 2 contingency table with estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of the hypothetical WTP. At an aggregate level, there is no discrepancy between hypothetical and observed WTP, although there was considerable variation amongst individuals. Sensitivity was 62% and specificity 67%. It is concluded that these WTP estimates are robust at the population level but less so at the individual level. Further research is required to examine the determinants of change in household behaviour between hypothetical and actual WTP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. B. Cadsby Author-X-Name-First: C. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Cadsby Author-Name: V. Torbey Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Torbey Title: Time-of-month anomaly: reality or mirage? Abstract: This article asks two questions concerning the robustness of Kohers and Patel's (1999) time-of-month pattern. First, does it appear in other countries, or is it unique to US markets? Second, is it independent of the well-known turn-of-the-month anomaly, or merely a reflection of it? It finds that the time-of-month pattern is largely a mirage in the post-1980 period. For the USA, it disappears when turn-of-month days are removed from the sample. For three out of nine other countries in the sample, some elements of the time-of-month pattern remain once turn-of-month days are removed. However, two other countries exhibit significant effects in the opposite direction. Overall, these patterns do not add up to a consistent and robust international anomaly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Gelan Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Author-Name: G. N. Price Author-X-Name-First: G. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: African economies and the Kuznets curve: an exploratory investigation Abstract: This article examines the relationship between income inequality and economic development in a cross-section of countries. It estimates, on a small exploratory sample, an explicit Kuznets-type inequality relationship where inequality between skilled and unskilled labour is a function of the determinants of growth implied by a standard neoclassical growth model. Parameter estimates suggest that sub-Saharan African Economies are dualistic and are situated on the segment of the Kuznets' curve where inequality increases with respect to development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133255 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133255&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Maguire Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Maguire Author-Name: Laura Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Shiferaw Gurmu Author-X-Name-First: Shiferaw Author-X-Name-Last: Gurmu Title: Do students behave like adults? Evidence from valuation experiments Abstract: The use of convenience samples in experimental economics has long been the standard practice. However, little evidence exists regarding behavioural differences between students and adults in contingent valuation experiments using a payment mechanism other than a referendum vote. Evidence is provided that students do in fact behave in a manner similar to adults using an open-ended willingness to pay payment question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-756 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:753-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A robust approach to dealing with zero expenditures on mobile communications Abstract: Conventional parametric approach to dealing with zero expenditures is not robust to heteroscedastic and/or non-normal error structure. This paper applies symmetrically censored least squares estimation as a robust approach to dealing with zero expenditures on mobile communications in Seoul, Korea. The result of specification test indicates the robust approach outperforms the parametric approach significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Empirical evidence on the robustness of the weighted symmetric unit root test Abstract: Recent research has shown the Dickey-Fuller (Econometrica, 49, pp. 1057-72, 1979) test to suffer severe size distortion in the presence of structural breaks under the unit root null hypothesis. In contrast, further theoretical results have suggested the weighted symmetric Dickey-Fuller test to be robust to such breaks. In this study, the empirical results of the seminal study of Leybourne et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 87, pp. 191-203, 1998) are revisited to provide an empirical illustration of the robustness of the weighted symmetric Dickey-Fuller test to structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082009 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082009&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Nikitas Pittis Author-X-Name-First: Nikitas Author-X-Name-Last: Pittis Author-Name: Nicola Spagnolo Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Spagnolo Title: IGARCH models and structural breaks Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulations, it is shown that fitting a mis-specified GARCH model to a true MS-GARCH process tends to produce IGARCH parameter estimates. In other words, the presence of structural breaks can result in spuriously high estimates of the degree of persistence of shocks to the conditional variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Khadaroo Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Khadaroo Title: A smooth transition regression equation of the demand for UK M0 Abstract: The econometric analysis of UK M0 has, so far, been confined to linear models. Using quarterly data over the period 1970:4-1997:2 in a single-equation money demand system, this article shows that a linear error-correction equation of the demand for UK M0 contains significant non-linearity and parameter non-constancy of smooth transition regression (STR) type. A constant-parameter exponential STR (ESTR) equation is then estimated, suggesting that interest rate changes have been an important factor in explaining fluctuations in the demand for UK M0. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Matallin-Saez Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin-Saez Title: Asymmetric relation in omitted benchmarks and market timing in mutual funds Abstract: Within portfolio management evaluation the aim of this study is to show the effect of omitting benchmarks with asymmetric correlation when measuring market timing ability. The results show the extent of this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126695 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126695&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Emrouznejad Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Emrouznejad Title: An alternative DEA measure: a case of OECD countries Abstract: Analysis of the production efficiency of industrialized countries, questioning whether certain countries perform better than others in producing more output with the same or less inputs, is an example of the importance of estimating production relationships. In order to estimate efficiency one needs an appropriate model for the two major inputs into production activity, namely labour and capital. A physical asset once installed is capable of contributing several years of output. This implies that investments made in previous years must be taken into account in order to produce a measure of the efficiency and productivity for any given year. The purpose of this article is to introduce a dynamic efficiency model and compare the results with previous work on the analysis of efficiency and productivity of OECD countries. The article proposes that dynamic models capture efficiency better than static models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-782 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:779-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. K. Ashton Author-X-Name-First: J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Author-Name: B. Gerrard Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerrard Author-Name: R. Hudson Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Economic impact of national sporting success: evidence from the London stock exchange Abstract: In this article strong association is reported between the performance of the England football team and subsequent daily changes in the FTSE 100 index, representing the price of shares in the 100 largest companies traded on the London stock exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-785 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:783-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Fjell Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Fjell Title: Elasticity based pricing rules: a cautionary note Abstract: The inverse elasticity rule is all too often described in a way that implies a myopic application, sometimes with a numerical example with input values for price elasticity of demand and marginal cost thus determining profit maximizing price. Conversely, the rule's shortcomings are not given deserved attention. This is unfortunate, as the rule may be adopted at face value, which will lead to erroneous pricing. If marginal cost and price elasticity depend on price, as is usually the case, a myopic application of the rule will, in most cases, lead to a bypassing of optimal price; if the initial price were too low, then the prescribed price would be too high, and vice versa. Continued myopic use may even lead to divergence from the profit maximizing price. Only if both price elasticity of demand and marginal cost are constant, which is rarely the case, will the rule return the optimal price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:787-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Pietro Author-Name: Peter Urwin Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Urwin Title: Intergenerational mobility and occupational status in Italy Abstract: This study examines the intergenerational transmission of socio-economic status, using data from the 2000 wave of the Bank of Italy's Survey on Household Income and Wealth: specifically, analysing the relationship between the occupational status of parents and their children. Reducing the extent to which an individual's economic or social success is shaped by the economic or social position of their parents has been on the agenda of the Italian government for a long time and is at the root of the Italian centralized and egalitarian system of education. However, our empirical results suggest that the achievements of children continue to be highly dependent on the social status of their parents, especially their fathers. Whilst Italy's egalitarian education system may have removed some of the inequities in human capital accumulation arising from capital market imperfections, it would seem that additional measures are required to further facilitate intergenerational social mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-797 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:793-797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Apergis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: A. Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Housing prices and macroeconomic factors in Greece: prospects within the EMU Abstract: This study analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables, i.e. housing loan rates, inflation, employment, and money supply, on the price of new houses sold in Greece. An error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used in modelling the impact of the above macroeconomic variables on housing price. The results obtained through impulse response functions suggest that housing prices respond to all macroeconomic variables under consideration. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of housing price, followed by inflation and employment, while money supply does not seem to show any substantial impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-804 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:799-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Youth smoking prevalence in developing countries: effect of advertising bans Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tobacco advertising bans on youth smoking prevalence in developing countries. Despite little direct empirical analysis of this issue, public health professionals frequently propose advertising bans as a first step in dealing with youth smoking. Using a Bayesian learning model, the paper first develops a plausible mechanism for an effect of advertising bans on youth smoking. Advertising is hypothesized to alter youth perceptions of the ubiquity of smoking and the risks associated with this behavior. Using survey-based data, a cross-country linear probability model of youth smoking prevalence is estimated, including gender results, pooled results, and results by frequency of smoking (30-day, ever-smoked). Explanatory variables are included for income, demographics, advertising bans, and several other important policy variables (health warnings, prohibition of sales to minors, school classes, antismoking messages, access in retail stores). The empirical results indicate that advertising bans have no effect on youth smoking prevalence in developing countries. This result holds for complete bans as well as partial bans. Some of the results suggest that school classes and other education efforts would be effective as a means to alter or affect youth perceptions of the risks associated with smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-811 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:805-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: R. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: M. A. Nelson Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Use or abuse of highway tax revenues? An economic analysis of highway spending Abstract: This article develops a theoretical model and employs recent state-level data on highway finance to assess the consequences of using highway levies for non-highway purposes. It examines whether states that divert some of their highway-related levies to fund general government services spend systematically less on highway services than jurisdictions that do not; the 'displacement effect' of revenue diversion. The results show that states that use highway related levies to fund general government services do systematically spend less on highways than states that do not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-819 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:813-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. A. Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: D. M. Lee Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Aspects of land use in slash and burn agriculture Abstract: This article first constructs a theoretical model of land use by swidden cultivators when these cultivators can choose whether to grow a cash crop or a food/subsistence crop. Second, it studies the land quality accumulation decision faced by shifting cultivators and, in the process, it shows how to compute the optimal length of time during which cleared land is to be left fallow. Finally, it investigates the implications that the optimal land quality accumulation decision has for the relative price of the food crop in particular and slash and burn agriculture in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-824 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:821-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: G. Gupta Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: O. Johansson-Stenman Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson-Stenman Title: Choosing from behind a veil of ignorance in India Abstract: Social inequality aversion is measured through a veil-of-ignorance experiment with Indian students. The median relative risk aversion is found to be quite high, about 3, and independent caste. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 825-827 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:825-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Yuhong Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhong Author-Name: G. Johnes Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Influence of expected wages on occupational choice: new evidence from Inner Mongolia Abstract: Occupational choice is modelled as a function of expected wages in each of a number of occupational regimes, using data from a region of Inner Mongolia whose economy is relatively undeveloped and which remains heavily dominated by state activity. The results share much in common with similar studies conducted using data for developed Western economies, but in contrast to the latter there is evidence of labour market segmentation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-832 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000137477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000137477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:829-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Financial development and growth in economies in transition Abstract: The hypothesis that financial development promotes economic growth is largely supported by empirical studies. This hypothesis is tested for 13 Central and East European Countries (CEECs) during transition using panel data. Results show that financial development, as measured by liquid liabilities as a proportion of gross domestic product, has an insignificant effect on economic growth: economic growth in CEECs is not constrained by underdeveloped financial sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000154243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000154243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. -P. Chung Author-X-Name-First: T. -P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Returns to education: updates for Malaysia Abstract: This article provides updated returns to education estimates for Malaysia. Current returns as presented in international updates are 32.6 and 34.5 for the secondary and higher education levels. New estimates were obtained using data from the Malaysian Household Income Survey 1997, a nationally represented survey. The findings show that returns to education remain high and positive, in particular, the returns to the higher educational level, encompassing the pre-university qualification and higher education qualifications. Results also display marginal gross returns of 14.1 for those completing the upper secondary education level and 16.4 for those completing the higher education level for the overall sample. By gender, the marginal gross returns for males are 12.0 at the upper secondary level and 18.1 at the higher education level and for females, 15.7 and 16.4 respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:837-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Pirotte Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pirotte Title: Convergence of the static estimation toward the long-run effects of dynamic panel data models: a labour demand illustration Abstract: This article focuses on the estimation of long-run effects on panel data. Pirotte showed that the probability limit of the between estimator of a static relation - whereas the true specification is a dynamic error components model - converges to the long-run effects. This article illustrates this theoretical result by an empirical study to labour demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-847 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000137486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000137486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:843-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cook Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: C. Thomas Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: An alternative approach to examining the ripple effect in UK house prices Abstract: This article examines the possibility of a ripple effect being present in the UK housing market using a previously unconsidered two-stage procedure. According to Drake, the ripple effect hypothesises that changes in house prices occurs earlier and more extensively in the South East of England than in other regions of the UK. Via application of non-parametric testing and business cycle dating techniques, evidence in favour of a ripple effect is derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-851 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000143119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000143119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:849-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Konishi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Konishi Author-Name: Y. Yasuda Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Yasuda Title: Evidence on a cause of Japan's prolonged banking crisis Abstract: This article shows that during the 1990s bank relationships tightened liquidity constraints when firms had good prospects, and relaxed the constraints when firms had poor prospects. These results suggest that both under- and over-investment problems were more prevalent for firms that had close ties to banks, providing an additional reason for the delay in solving the bad loan problem in Japan. Furthermore, the results cast doubt on the conventional view that main banks are efficient at restructuring financially distressed firms, at least during the 1990s when bank health was severely damaged by the bad loans problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-855 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:853-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Hedonic prices for crude oil Abstract: This article presents a hedonic analysis of crude oil, the price and quality of which varies considerably from one stream to another. Different from common hedonic applications in the literature, the estimated implicit prices for the physical characteristics of crude oil have a clear interpretation: it reflects the market's valuation, but not the production cost of the characteristics, for crude oil characteristics are determined by nature. Crude oil hedonic price equations are found to be non-linear in the major physical characteristics, indicating that a refiner's valuation of crude quality depends on its refining technology. The estimation results yield insights into the current pricing system of the world crude oil market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hang Keun Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Hang Keun Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Choice of representation system for economic analysis Abstract: Many well-known economic assumptions and desired restrictions can be readily established with the proper choice of a coordinate representation system. For example, the homotheticity assumption can be readily established with the polar coordinate system, the concavity restriction with the Muntz-Sartz series, the convexity restriction with the polynomial series, the orthogonality of regression functions with the orthonormal bases expansion, and the covariance stationary process with the Fourier series expansion. To describe a backward-bending curve, the radial regression can be defined and utilized. Thus, many economic assumptions and desired properties have their own corresponding coordinate representation systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-866 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000160417 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000160417&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:863-866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stanislav Anatolyev Author-X-Name-First: Stanislav Author-X-Name-Last: Anatolyev Author-Name: Sergey Korepanov Author-X-Name-First: Sergey Author-X-Name-Last: Korepanov Title: The term structure of Russian interest rates Abstract: Using the series of Moscow Interbank Offer Rates, this paper estimates a flexible parametrization of the diffusion process following the approach of Ait-Sahalia (1996) of matching parametric and nonparametric estimates of the marginal density. On the basis of the estimated model, the implied term structure using simulations is computed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 867-870 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:867-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Abbas Grammy Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Grammy Title: An assessment of the growth and inequality causality relationship Abstract: Applying multivariate cointegration analysis to US data, we find growth unidirectionally and significantly Granger causes inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-873 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850310001635249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850310001635249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:871-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: High-breakdown point estimation of some regression models Abstract: Common econometric estimators such as least squares, least absolute deviations (LAD), instrumental variables, maximum likelihood, and semiparametric estimators are non-robust against data contamination. Despite the known superiority of high-breakdown point (HBP) estimators in such situations, the HBP estimators have rarely been used in economics. This article presents some applications of an HBP estimator called the S-estimator (Rousseeuw and Yohai, Robust and Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (Eds) W.H. Franke and R.D. Martin, Springer-Verlag, NY, pp. 256-72, 1984) to the estimation of a linear regression model and compares the results with those obtained by ordinary least squares (OLS) and LAD methods. It is found that significance of variables as well as signs of coefficient estimates can be quite different under HBP estimation than under OLS and LAD estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-878 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000162820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000162820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:875-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Choosing a regulatory regime Abstract: Privately owned gas undertakings were subject to three different price regulation regimes during the inter-war years and were free to choose which regime applied to them. This paper investigates the determinants which caused undertakings to switch from one regime to another. Since the historical record gives us few clues about this, the plentiful statistical data is used in a probit analysis. The results suggest that larger, more efficient firms were more likely to switch regimes and that distribution costs were an important factor in the decision to switch. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-881 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:879-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Laboratory markets in counterfeit goods: Hong Kong versus Las Vegas Abstract: “Black markets” represent an extreme challenge to empirical researchers due to the almost insurmountable obstacle of obtaining high-quality data. The dearth of high-precision data precludes not only empirical analysis—including the quantification of various elasticities—but also the informed policy analysis that results from the integration of empirical results with government, market, and social institutions. We propose and conduct a controlled laboratory market in counterfeit goods on several groups of subjects in Hong Kong and Las Vegas. The data generated in the experiments are used to estimate a random-effects model of individual choice behavior. The main empirical findings are that subjects in Hong Kong are more likely to purchase the counterfeit good than are subjects in Las Vegas; the price and penalty elasticities are substantially larger (in absolute value) in Las Vegas than in Hong Kong; and that in both locations the price effects of legitimate and counterfeit goods are asymmetrical in the monetary price and expected penalty cost. An equal increase in the price of an authentic good and the expected penalty cost of a counterfeit good increases the probability that a consumer will purchase the authentic good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-887 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000155431 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000155431&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:883-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Robust European monetary policy rules Abstract: This note applies H∞ methods to an estimated hybrid monetary policy model and derives standard and robust optimal interest rate rules. We find that the 'robust' central banker responds more aggressively than it does without concerns for robustness and that the responses of the state variables in this case are not necessarily always stronger than the standard ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 889-894 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850310001635212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850310001635212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:889-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Maria Iregui Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Iregui Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: On the dynamics of unemployment in a developing economy: Colombia Abstract: This paper estimates an asymmetric error correction model to analyse the dynamic behaviour of the Colombian unemployment rate. It is found that wages above their long-run equilibrium level do increase unemployment, but wages below this level do not reduce it. This finding provides evidence of the existence of hysteresis in the Colombian unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000162811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000162811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:895-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Desimone Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Desimone Author-Name: Sara Markowitz Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Markowitz Title: The effect of price on counselling sessions attended by depression patients Abstract: We estimate the price elasticity of counselling sessions attended by outpatient depression treatment recipients. Instrumental variable regression indicates a significant negative price elasticity ranging between -0.26 and -0.35 that is not apparent from ordinary least squares regression. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-903 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:899-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Cointegration analysis for Japanese import demand: revisited Abstract: Using Xu's (2002) import demand equation, the present study re-investigates the presence of a cointegrating relation of Japan's aggregate import demand. The sample period covers quarterly data from 1973 to 2000. The results of various cointegration techniques confirm that the volume of import, domestic real activity variable, and relative prices term are not cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. B. Connelly Author-X-Name-First: L. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: The paternity of the price-quality 'value map' Abstract: In the literature on firm strategy and product differentiation, consumer price-quality trade-offs are sometimes represented using consumer 'value maps'. These involve the geometric representation of indifferent price and quality combinations as points along curves that are concave to the 'quality' axis. In this paper, it is shown that the value map for price-quality tradeoffs may be derived from a Hicksian compensated demand curve for product quality. The paper provides the theoretical link between analytical methods employed in the existing literature on firm strategy and competitive advantage with the broader body of economic analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nesri-super-˙n Okay Author-X-Name-First: Nesri-super-˙n Author-X-Name-Last: Okay Author-Name: Uğur Akman Author-X-Name-First: Uğur Author-X-Name-Last: Akman Title: Index tracking with constraint aggregation Abstract: A generic index tracking (IT) problem is formulated and solved using a constraint aggregation (CA) technique for the first time. This technique makes the number of constraints independent of the cardinal of the universe of assets and enables the handling of large IT problems with one constraint only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-916 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:913-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ka-Fu Wong Author-X-Name-First: Ka-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Hai-Jun Wu Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Testing Fisher hypothesis in long horizons for G7 and eight Asian countries.1 Abstract: Using monthly data from G7 and eight Asian countries, support is found for the Fisher hypothesis, as well as a positive relation between long-horizon nominal stock returns and expected inflation but not between long-horizon nominal stock returns and contemporaneous inflation. These empirical results complement and strengthen those of Boudoukh and Richardson. 1 The MATLAB program and data to compute the results in this paper are available from http://kafuwong.econ.hku.hk/research/fisher/. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-923 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:917-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Economic growth and returns to scale for reproducible factors Abstract: A regression equation nesting a variant of Rebelo's (Journal of Political Economy, 99, 500-21, 1991) AK model with Solow's (1956) neoclassical model is developed. The null hypothesis implied by endogenous growth tests that individual countries face constant returns to the accumulation of reproducible capital and per capita incomes of these countries diverge against the alternative hypothesis implied by exogenous growth that individual countries face diminishing returns to the reproducible capital. These empirical results are more consistent with endogenous growth than exogenous growth when the regression model is examined with a large sample of countries including OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000159031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000159031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rakesh Bali Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Title: Seasonality in ex dividend day returns Abstract: It is documented that for both high- and low-yield stocks, ex day raw returns are systematically higher in January than for the other months of the year. Although such patterns are not predicted by any known tax-clienteles model, they are consistent with the price discreteness and spread models in the spirit of Bali and Hite (Journal of Financial Economics, 47, 127-59, 1998) and Bali (Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 190-210, 2003). For high-yield stocks in January, the returns are about one-fourth those for low-yield stocks, and for the remaining months they are significantly negative. The rents that arbitrageurs earn for supplying liquidity are higher for low-yield stocks and are significantly higher in January. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000159022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000159022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Jones Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Jo Danbolt Author-X-Name-First: Jo Author-X-Name-Last: Danbolt Title: R&D project announcements and the impact of ownership structure Abstract: This paper examines the stock market reaction to research and development (R&D) announcements made by listed UK companies. R&D projects on average are found to be associated with significant positive abnormal returns. However, the level of these abnormal returns varies significantly with the ownership structure of the firm. In particular, it is found that the level of abnormal returns are significantly lower for companies with large institutional investors. This negative relationship may be associated with short-term pressures on the performance of institutional investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sirimon Treepongkaruna Author-X-Name-First: Sirimon Author-X-Name-Last: Treepongkaruna Title: Quasi-maximum likelihood estimates of Kiwi short-term interest rate Abstract: This paper examines various short-term interest rate models in New Zealand. We estimate ten stochastic models of short-term interest rates using Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation. All models examined allow the conditional mean (drift) and conditional variance (diffusion) to be functions of the current short rate. We find no evidence of mean reversion but strong evidence of the need for the volatility of interest rate changes to be highly sensitive to the level of the Kiwi short rate. Specifically, we find the conditional volatility of the Kiwi short rate is monotonically increasing with a convex shape. We also find that the dependence of the conditional volatility of the Kiwi short rate on the level of the interest rate is significantly higher than is generally assumed by the traditional models. Finally, we find that the AS model outperforms all remaining nine models, the CKLS beats seven models, except for the CEV model, whereas the CEV beats the GBM, Dothan, and the CIR VR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-942 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:937-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ambrose Leung Author-X-Name-First: Ambrose Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Delinquency, schooling, and work: time allocation decision of youth Abstract: This paper examines the possible factors that affect the time allocation decision of youth between delinquency, schooling, and work. Based on a joint-decision model, evidence from Montreal shows that influences from different social institutions such as family, church, school, peers, and the workplace are important determinants of how young people decide to spend their time on various activities. The findings provided here take into account the joint-decision nature of the problem and therefore provide more precise estimates than those of the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-949 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:943-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Million Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Million Title: The Fisher Effect revisited through an efficient non linear unit root testing procedure Abstract: As the Fisher Effect is either rejected or accepted without a real consensus in empirical studies, it is interesting to test for a unit root in a local-to-unity framework. Moreover, given the inflation expectation behaviour before and after 1979, we shall let a shift occur at a significant time break of our sample, so as to deal with potential non stationarity in the real interest rates series, instead of using Markov switching regimes models. The main innovation is to rely on structural breaks in the deterministic part while combining this method with an efficient unit root test. Empirical results reject a stochastic trend for the US short-term real interest rate from 1951 to 2000. This is consistent with an ex ante real rate constant over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: C. J. McDermott Author-X-Name-First: C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: Testing for asymmetric price stickiness using NZ business opinion data: a bootstrap approach Abstract: The analysis of business opinion data price expectations data in NZ is re-evaluated. Biases induced by inaccurate measurement of population proportions are accounted for using simulations and bootstrapping. While substantial biases in the parameters are identified, prices are found to be relatively upwardly rigid before and after bias correction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-958 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:955-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Financial integration: some evidence from Australia Abstract: This paper seeks to examine the efficiency of the Australian foreign exchange market by using the methods of seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) and spectral analysis. Uncovered interest rate differentials for five countries, namely the U.S., U.K., Japan, Malaysia and Singapore, are examined with Australia as the 'home' country. The data covers the post-float period, 1984.1-2000.12. The empirical results indicate that the restrictions of the hypothesis of uncovered interest parity are rejected. The spectral densities for the interest rate differentials suggest the absence of systematic cyclical fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-966 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164396 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164396&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:959-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Galip Altinay Author-X-Name-First: Galip Author-X-Name-Last: Altinay Title: Estimating growth rate in the presence of serially correlated errors Abstract: The aim of this study is to address the difficulties frequently encountered in estimating average growth rates by a log-linear time trend in the presence of serially correlated errors. There are a few studies in the literature that provide some guidance on choosing the appropriate method depending on the degree of first order serial correlation. However, the higher order serial correlation case is generally ignored. This study proposes the Nelder-Mead simplex method as a general solution to estimating linear trend in the presence of serial correlation of any order. The proposed method and the conventional methods are applied to the real GDP per capita series of 27 OECD countries. Twelve series seem to be better modelled by a log-linear trend with AR(2) residuals, and five of them yield remarkably different growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-970 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165485 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165485&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:967-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece Abstract: This paper investigates whether the Greek data actually support the monetarist hypotheses as argued by Karfakis. The results based on both ARDL and Johansen procedures consistently suggest that money and nominal income (prices) are endogenous for the parameters of the long-run evolution of velocity (real money balances). Thus, the basic postulation of monetarism, the exogeneity of money, appears not to be supported by the Greek data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-974 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164044 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164044&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:971-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo Heon Park Author-X-Name-First: Joo Heon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: A test of the answering mechanisms of the double-bounded contingent valuation method Abstract: The double-bounded contingent valuation method (DBCVM) has long been criticized as an inappropriate estimation method because of respondents' inconsistent behavior during a course of DBCVM survey. Many experimental studies have reported that two subsequent answers are not made independently, but the second answer depends upon the first. There are many kinds of hypotheses, each of which contends a different pattern of dependence of the answers. In this study, it will be tested which hypothesis is more appropriate in explaining the dependence of the answers. For the test, the DBCVM under uncertainty is newly developed here in which some uncertainties associated with the CVM are recognized and the risk premium plays a criterion for respondents to answer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-984 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:975-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Jouini Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Author-Name: M. Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Title: Structural breaks in the U.S. inflation process: a further investigation Abstract: The selection procedure of Bai and Perron (Econometrica, 1998, 66, 47-78), based on a sequence of tests for multiple structural changes, is used to explore the empirical evidence of the instability by selecting the number of breaks and their locations for the post-war monthly U.S. inflation rate. The obtained results indicate that the U.S. inflation process is unstable after June 1982 as there is a break at the beginning of the 1990s. This conclusion contradicts that of Ben Aissa and Jouini (Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, 633-6), who show that using some information criteria, the evolution curve of U.S. inflation was flattened during the last 20 years, making the process stable. Hence this points to the fact that the procedure used is more powerful than the information criteria in detecting changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 985-988 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:985-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Galrao Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Galrao Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Jorge Saba Arbache Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Saba Author-X-Name-Last: Arbache Title: Assessing the impacts of trade on poverty and inequality Abstract: This paper uses a computable general equilibrium model to simulate different trade liberalization policy scenarios and counterfactual microsimulations to assess the impacts of greater trade openness on household income distribution and poverty ratios. Our conclusion is that trade liberalization alone may not be sufficient to significantly reduce poverty and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-994 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165421 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165421&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:989-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Gurtler Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Gurtler Author-Name: Matthias Krakel Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Krakel Title: Who is declared dead lives longer Abstract: We consider a contest between a small and a large team. On the one hand, the large team has the advantage of more people exerting effort (quantity effect). On the other hand, the large team suffers from more free riding (free-riding effect). The results show that - depending on the convexity of the cost function - the small team will have a higher probability of winning the contest, if the free-rider effect dominates the quantity effect. Moreover, even if the large team has a higher winning probability, an individual player prefers to belong to the small team. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-997 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:995-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaesun Noh Author-X-Name-First: Jaesun Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Behaviour of cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks in variance Abstract: In this paper, we show that spurious cointegration can occur when there are breaks in the variances of the innovation errors of time series, especially when the breaks occur early in the sample period. An empirical example is provided to demonstrate the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1002 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:999-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Cole Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Title: Economic growth and water use Abstract: In recent years the issue of global water scarcity has attracted increasing attention within academia, non-governmental organizations and the media. The aim of this short note is to ascertain whether there is a systematic relationship between water use and income, and particularly whether an inverted U-shaped relationship exists, as has been found for other resources and pollutants. Using a new data set of water use, evidence of such a relationship is provided, suggesting that water use may benefit from composition and technique effects. While this finding appears optimistic, regional forecasts are made that suggest that levels of water use in developing regions will continue to increase for many years to come. The implications of these findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187435 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187435&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emre Unlu Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Unlu Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Gregory Noronha Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Noronha Title: IPO underpricing over time: evidence from the UK Abstract: The changing nature of initial public offering (IPO) underpricing is examined using a sample of 513 IPOs launched in the UK from 1993 to 2001. It is found that the mean UK underpricing is initially less than that in the USA, reverses itself in the mid-1990s, returns to a lower level during the bubble period, but exceeds US underpricing for the last years of the sample. A growing amount of money left-on-the-table by UK underwriters is also observed. The analysis of IPO characteristics shows the simultaneous presence of changing composition and incentive realignment effects in the UK IPO market. These effects are most evident during the technology/internet equity bubble, which spans the last two subperiods of this study. It is concluded that although the market frenzy of the technology/internet bubble was present in the UK IPO market, its influence appears more limited than that documented for the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:5-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Title: A note on transition stock return behaviour Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between expected stock returns and size, and market-to-book ratio in four transition emerging markets, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Russia. Overall, we find a premium for large firms and growth stocks; factors that drive cross-sectional differences in expected transition stock returns are qualitatively different to those documented for many other emerging and developed equity markets. As our finding applies to the post-1996 period, we confirm the assertion of Black (Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, 8-18, 1993) and MacKinlay (Journal of Financial Economics, 38, 3-28, 1995) that 'the value premium is sample-specific'. Thus, the higher average return on value stocks that has been documented for developed and emerging equity markets may not be considered as a local manifestation of a global phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:11-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: South Koreans' willingness to pay for Korean unification Abstract: This paper analyses the willingness to pay (WTP) of South Koreans for Korean unification. To deal with zero WTP responses given by a large number of people, a mixture model is used. The mean annual WTP for Korean unification is 5765 Korean won (GBP 2.88) per person. The aggregate value to South Koreans would then be 194.62 billion Korean won (GBP 97.31 million) annually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Growth of new start-up firms: evidence from the Japanese manufacturing industry Abstract: This paper investigates firm growth as the post-entry performance of new start-up firms. Using data on Japanese manufacturing firms founded during 1992-1996, the determinants of growth among new start-up firms are identified. The effect not only of firm-specific characteristics, but also of entrepreneur-specific, industry-specific and local characteristics on firm growth are examined. It is found that younger and small-sized firms are more likely to grow among the start-ups. It is also found that entrepreneur's age and educational background affect the growth of start-ups. It is not shown, however, that industry specialization induces the growth of start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187417 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187417&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:21-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Title: Earnings biases and convergence in the UK: a county level analysis Abstract: Cameron and Muellbauer (Economic Journal, 110, pp. 412-19, 2000) have convincingly argued that problems in the methods used to compile UK Regional Accounts data have resulted in a misleading picture of regional differentials and σ convergence. This short paper extends their analysis to a wider range of measures of convergence and adopts a more disaggregated approach by analysing data at the county level. The results provide general support for their hypothesis and indicate that different measures of income can result in different conclusions concerning convergence. Thus, it is essential that future studies of convergence investigate the implications of using different measures of income where possible, rather than relying upon a single data source. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187444 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187444&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Salvador Gil-Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Pareja Title: Price convergence in the European Union Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between market integration and price convergence in international markets. Using a panel data set of consumer price indices (general and by groups and classes), it examines how European market integration has affected cross-country dispersion in the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187453 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187453&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:39-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Gyeong Rok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Gyeong Rok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Mincheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Mincheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Stock market volatility and trading activities in the KOSPI 200 derivatives markets Abstract: The relationship between the trading activities of the Korea Stock Price Index 200 derivatives contracts and their underlying stock market volatility is examined. A positive contemporaneous relationship between the stock market volatility and the derivatives volume is found while the relationship is negative between the volatility and open interest. For the cash volatility and derivatives volume two-way causality is found for both futures and options contracts, but for the cash volatility and open interest two-way causality is found only in options markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187462 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187462&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xulia Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Xulia Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Consuelo Pazo Author-X-Name-First: Consuelo Author-X-Name-Last: Pazo Title: Firms' R&D dilemma: to undertake or not to undertake R&D Abstract: It is well known that in most industries a significant proportion of firms do not perform innovative activities. Although empirical studies on the determinants of R&D often have taken this fact into account by considering the dependent variable as a censured one, there is not an explicit theoretical model to explain the zeros. The concern of this letter is to discuss a simple theoretical model where firms simultaneously decide whether to undertake or not R&D activities jointly with the level of the R&D investment. It is shown that a firm performs R&D activities only when its optimal level of R&D expenditure is higher than a threshold. Additionally, it is shown that both the probability of undertaking R&D activities and the R&D expenditure increase with market power, with the elasticity of demand with respect to quality and with the elasticity of quality with respect to R&D. Finally, from this simple theoretical framework we discuss a suitable econometric model that threats these decisions simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Capelle-Blancard Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Capelle-Blancard Author-Name: H. Raymond Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Title: Empirical evidence on periodically collapsing stock price bubbles Abstract: According to the dividend discount model (DDM), a long run relationship should exist between stock prices and dividends. In this study, in order to test the validity of the DDM on the French, German, Japanese, UK and US stock markets from 1973 to 2002, cointegration tests corrected for skewness and excess kurtosis are implemented. As dividends distribution may be affected by stock repurchases strategies, the test is adjusted by taking earnings into account. It is found that the speculative bubble hypothesis cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:61-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Inchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Inchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of parametric and nonparametric quantile regressions Abstract: This study compares parametric and nonparametric quantile regression methods using Monte Carlo simulations. Simulation results indicate that the nonparametric quantile regression approach is more appropriate, particularly when the underlying model is nonlinear or the error term follows a non-normal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaurav Datt Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Datt Author-Name: Thomas Walker Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Recent evolution of inequality in East Asia Abstract: This study uses a decomposition of the Theil inequality index across eight countries to examine the recent evolution of inequality in East Asia. It is found that inequality in the region rose between 1990 and 1997, but that the increase was driven by higher inequality within countries, rather than between them. The most significant contribution to the overall rise in regional inequality came from urban China, where inequality doubled between 1990 and 1997. Our analysis suggests that policies to tackle inequality should be aimed at national and sub-national levels, and particularly at addressing growing rural-urban disparities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cal Muckley Author-X-Name-First: Cal Author-X-Name-Last: Muckley Title: Empirical asset return distributions: is chaos the culprit? Abstract: This study employs Rescaled-range analysis; the Correlation Dimension test, and the BDS test, to analyse lengthy daily time series of financial data. Two equity and two commodity indices are examined. The results reject the hypothesis that the series are purely random, independent and identically distributed. Rather, they suggest consistency with the Pareto-Levy family of processes. Motivated by the capacity of certain chaotic models to generate data consistent with these processes, evidence is accumulated consistent with a strange attractor, a long-term memory effect, and a-periodic motion. The evidence is consistent with insights derived from the theory of non-linear dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brigitte Granville Author-X-Name-First: Brigitte Author-X-Name-Last: Granville Author-Name: Sushanta Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Sushanta Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Title: Fisher hypothesis: UK evidence over a century Abstract: Using annual data over a long time horizon from 1900 to 2000 for the UK, this study finds the existence of a Fisher relation via Johansen cointegration tests. The cointegrating relationship between the two variables suggests a significant long-run equilibrium with a positive coefficient of more than one during the stated period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Ilmakunnas Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Ilmakunnas Author-Name: Mika Maliranta Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Maliranta Title: Hiring from unemployment and separation to unemployment Abstract: Linked employer-employee data from Finland are used for studying plant-level worker flows, to unemployment and from unemployment. The flow rates are explained by various characteristics of the plants and their employees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:91-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. A. Depken Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: L. C. Simmons Author-X-Name-First: L. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Social construct and the propensity for software piracy Abstract: This study offers evidence that cross-country variation in software piracy is a combination of both traditional economic influences and institutional social mores. Software piracy rates are related to various economic variables and two measures of social construct. The study includes an individualism score, which measures horizontal social relationships, and a measure of power distance, measuring vertical social relationships. It is found that economic variables do play a role in the decision to pirate software and that increased power-distance, or the further individuals feel from their superiors, for example law enforcement officials, the greater the propensity to pirate software. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:97-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Fiaschi Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiaschi Author-Name: Andrea Mario Lavezzi Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Lavezzi Title: Nonlinear growth in a long-run perspective Abstract: This study analyses the pattern of long-run growth of a cross-section of countries, adopting the distribution dynamics approach. The relationship between growth rates and income levels appears first increasing and then decreasing, indicating the existence of different growth regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Budget and trade deficits in Lebanon Abstract: This study addresses one of the main problems facing the Lebanese economy during its recovery from many years of war: the relationship between budget and trade deficits. The results suggest that measures aimed at reducing the budget deficit may also lead to a reduction of the Lebanese trade deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Aissa Author-Name: Mohamed Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Title: Bai and Perron's and spectral density methods for structural change detection in the US inflation process Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of estimating the number of breaks and their locations in the monthly US inflation series using two different approaches to testing for structural changes. The first approach considers Bai and Perron's selection procedure based on a sequence of tests. This approach focuses on the instability problem in time. The second method uses a test similar to the one based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics applied to the evolutionary spectrum. The results obtained are similar and economically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:109-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Th. Fiotakis Author-X-Name-First: Th. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiotakis Author-Name: N. Philippas Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Philippas Title: Chasing trend and losing money: open end mutual fund investors' trading behaviour in Greece Abstract: This study examines the trading behaviour of mutual fund investors, its medium-term profitability and its impact on the performance of individual funds. An important yet thinly investigated subject is examined under the prism of a small emerging stock market growing to maturity, during both a strong bull and a violent bear market. The findings of this study are insightful: Mutual fund investors do not chase past returns. The empirical evidence also suggests that they do not hunt past superior performance. However, they do seem to employ a current-performance momentum screen to pick their funds, while their trading behaviour doesn't seem to affect the concurrent performance of the fund. Finally, it is claimed that mutual fund investors are perverse fund pickers. The suggested conclusion can only be that money is inefficiently invested in mutual funds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Allan Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Allan Title: Satellite television and football attendance: the not so super effect Abstract: Previous studies of football attendance in England have produced contradictory results as to the effects of live satellite television coverage of football matches on the attendance of the televised matches. Using attendance data of Aston Villa Football Club's home matches in the Premier League from the 1995/96 season to the 2000/01 season, this note estimates a semi-logarithmic function of attendance. The results highlight a significant negative impact on attendance of live satellite television coverage of 7.75%, ceteris paribus, and also suggest that the England national team's performances are important in affecting attendance at Premier League games. Despite concentrating on only one club, this investigation brings into question what effect the new television rights just announced for the next three seasons may have on attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:123-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The effectiveness of protection through a fixed cost Abstract: This paper identifies to which extent a discriminatory protection through a fixed cost can protect inefficient firms. The effectiveness of a discriminatory device is measured by a critical market size at which a marginal firm can survive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Han Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Is the forward premium puzzle universal? Abstract: The forward premium puzzle, or violation of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), has been documented by many. Studies, using methodologies more sophisticated than regression analysis, tend to suggest that the rejection of UIP may be false, due to cointegration, biased parameter estimates, time-varying risk premium, etc. In this study, from data for the two decades (1979-1998) and nine major currencies of the developed world, it is shown that the forward premium puzzle is not always present for any arbitrary time period, or for any pair of countries, even using the regression analysis that established the puzzle in earlier works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Hichri Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Interior collective optimum in a voluntary contribution to a public-goods game Abstract: This study shows a public good experiment with four different treatments. The payoff function is chosen so that the Nash equilibrium (NE) and the collective optimum (CO) are both in the interior of the strategy space. This study tries to test the effect of varying the level of the collective optimum, which changes the 'social dilemma', involved in the decision as to how much to contribute to the public good. The results show that contributions increase with the level of the interior CO. There is overcontribution in comparison to the NE and undercontribution in comparison to the CO. But contributions are as far from the CO as the level of the former increases. An overcontribution index that takes into account the effective contribution relative to both the NE and the CO, shows that subjects adopt a constant behaviour while passing from one treatment to another: they contribute a constant share of the CO. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-140 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:135-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert-Paul Berben Author-X-Name-First: Robert-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Berben Title: Exchange rate pass-through in the Netherlands: has it changed? Abstract: This study assesses whether the degree of exchange rate pass-through in the Netherlands has changed during the run-up to Economic and Monetary Union. VAR models are estimated on rolling sample periods to show that the pass-through of changes in the guilder-mark exchange rate has increased, while the pass-through of changes in the guilder-pound and guilder-dollar have remained more or less stable. This supports the view that the Netherlands and Germany have become increasingly integrated. This is in contrast to Taylor's (Economic Review 44, 1384-408, 2000) claim that the decline in inflation has been associated with a significant decline in the degree to which firms pass-through changes in costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:141-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: Jose de Hevia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: de Hevia Title: More on the estimation of the human capital depreciation rate Abstract: This study formulates an alternative empirical model to that of Groot (Applied Economics Letters, 5, 535-8, 1998) to estimate the rate of depreciation of human capital, in which the post-schooling investment and the difference between the potential and the observed earnings of the individuals are taken into account. As an illustration, the model has been estimated for a sample of Spanish men and women. The results show depreciation rates of human capital of around 1-1.5% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: The predictive power of an experimental transportation output index Abstract: A monthly output index for the US Transportation sector over January 1979-June 2003 is reported covering air, rail, water, truck, transit and pipeline activities. Separate indexes for freight and passenger are also constructed. The strong cyclical movements observed in the transportation output appear to be well synchronized with the NBER-defined recessions and growth slowdowns of the US economy. The series reflects the profound impact of 9/11 on the transportation sector, especially on the airlines. By December 2002 it has reached its historical peak. Given the observed relationship of the transportation output with the economy, the recent upward trend in the freight transportation strongly suggests that both the sector and the overall economy have recovered from their latest slump. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-152 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:149-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: J. Seaton Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Explaining the decision to export: evidence from UK firms Abstract: In this study the determinants of export probability are investigated for a panel of 2134 UK firms between 1988 and 2001. Firm size, product diversification, innovation and human-capital are all found to increase the probability of exporting. It is also found that the variance of the sterling-dollar rate has a positive effect on export probability in a majority of industries, lending support to stock option theories of export behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203760 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203760&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:153-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Schank Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schank Author-Name: Claus Schnabel Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabel Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Works councils - sand or grease in the operation of German firms? Abstract: Using a large panel data set it is investigated whether works councils act as sand or grease in the operation of German firms. Stochastic production frontier analysis indicates that establishments with and without a works council do not exhibit significant differences in efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Abul Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Mohammed Mohsin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Mohsin Title: PPP tests in cointegrated panels: evidence from Asian developing countries Abstract: This study tests the relative version of purchasing power parity (PPP) for a set of ten Asian developing countries using a panel cointegration framework. A 'between-dimension' dynamic OLS estimator as proposed by Pedroni is employed. The test results overwhelmingly reject the PPP hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203788 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203788&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: N. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: V. Pandey Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Pandey Author-Name: T. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Title: The disappearing day-of-the-week effect in the world's largest equity markets Abstract: The well-documented day-of-the-week effect has shown that stock returns on some days of the week are often significantly higher than on other days. To investigate whether improvements in market efficiency may have caused this anomaly to disappear over time, this study examines the day-of-the-week effect in the world's largest developed equity markets over the last 22 years. The results indicate that, during the 1980s, this anomaly was clearly evident in the vast majority of developed markets, but it appears to have faded away in the 1990s. The implications of these findings are that long-run improvements in market efficiency may have diminished the effects of certain anomalies in recent periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Li Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: R. P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: R. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: A. K. Bohara Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: H. C. Jenkins-Smith Author-X-Name-First: H. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins-Smith Author-Name: C. L. Silva Author-X-Name-First: C. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: L. Weimer Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weimer Title: Telephone versus Internet samples for a national advisory referendum: are the underlying stated preferences the same? Abstract: Using telephone and Internet (web-based) survey samples for a national advisory referendum, this study investigates whether the underlying preferences across two survey modes are equivalent. Results from a structural test support the conclusion of common preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. OğunC Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: OğunC Author-Name: D. Ece Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ece Title: Estimating the output gap for Turkey: an unobserved components approach Abstract: This study specifies a basic univariate and a bivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output using information from observable aggregates and presents results for the Turkish economy. The first specification used in the study, i.e. univariate approach, decomposes actual output into potential output that follows a random walk with a time-varying potential growth rate and a stationary output gap. The univariate specifications commonly ignore some economic content, which might be relevant for the measurement of the output gap. In this respect, the univariate model is extended by utilizing the relationship between inflation and the output gap, namely the Phillips curve. Whereas both models give similar output gap estimates, signal extraction statistics suggest that incorporating the supply side to the system reduces the parameter uncertainty and the total standard error and improves the gap estimate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:177-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: A note on efficiency and solvency in banking Abstract: Banking competition induces an efficient outcome but may also induce risk-taking behaviour that reduces solvency. This study examines the relationship between efficiency and solvency in banking at the empirical level. The empirical findings support that greater efficiency with respect to a risk-return frontier leads to a greater solvency level, but solvency is not related to efficiency. So, an increase in banking competition generates both more efficiency and solvency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:183-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Pietro Title: The determinants of university dropout in Italy: a bivariate probability model with sample selection Abstract: This study analyses the determinants of university dropouts in Italy using a bivariate probit model with sample selection. The empirical findings provide some support for the appropriateness of this technique and hence suggest that the estimates obtained from a univariate decision framework are likely to be inefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:187-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoine Bommier Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Bommier Author-Name: Sylvie Lambert Author-X-Name-First: Sylvie Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Title: Human capital investments and family composition Abstract: This study explores how human capital investment of a child is affected by the number and the gender of his/her siblings. Two alternative explanations are tested for: competition for scarce resources versus direct interactions between siblings. An empirical application is provided using Brazilian data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-196 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:193-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hahn Shik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hahn Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: International transmission of stock market movements: a wavelet analysis Abstract: This study investigates the international transmission mechanism of stock market movements via wavelet analysis. While GARCH-type models have mainly been used in most recent research in this area, the discrete wavelet decomposition is used in this study to propose a new methodology for investigating the dynamics and the potential interaction in international stock markets. Using the data on daily stock indices from the USA and Korea, strong evidence is found for price as well as volatility spillover effects from the developed stock market to the emerging market, but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:197-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giles Atkinson Author-X-Name-First: Giles Author-X-Name-Last: Atkinson Author-Name: Brett Day Author-X-Name-First: Brett Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Susana Mourato Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Mourato Author-Name: Charles Palmer Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Palmer Title: 'Amenity' or 'eyesore'? Negative willingness to pay for options to replace electricity transmission towers Abstract: A frequent scenario in public decision-making is that of choosing between a number of proposed changes from the status quo. In such a case, stated preference surveys, such as the contingent valuation method, are often undertaken to assess the size of the benefits associated with each proposed change. For certain undesirable options, respondents may prefer the status quo; however, it may not be credible to directly elicit negative willingness to pay or willingness to accept to endure the change. This study, using contingent valuation, outlines an indirect means of measuring negative willingness to pay - for the problem of visual disamenity arising from alternative electricity transmission tower designs - based on the elicitation of indicators of how inconvenienced respondents would feel if a less preferred option were to replace the status quo; that is, the time and cost respondents were prepared to commit to opposing the change. The results show that taking account of negative willingness to pay matters and this significantly changes value estimates for some of the least liked options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674803 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674803&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:203-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Benedict Clements Author-X-Name-First: Benedict Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Emanuele Baldacci Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Baldacci Author-Name: Carlos Mulas-Granados Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mulas-Granados Title: The persistence of fiscal adjustments in developing countries Abstract: This study assesses effects of expenditure composition and other variables on the duration of fiscal adjustment episodes in a sample of 29 developing countries. Using survival analysis, the study finds that expenditure composition, size of the fiscal consolidation, and past performance on fiscal consolidation affect the persistence of adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-212 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:209-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Killing four unit root birds in the US economy with three panel unit root test stones Abstract: This study tests for the presence of unit roots in four US macroeconomic time series using panel unit root tests. The Im, Pesaran and Shin (Journal of Econometrics, 115, pp. 53-74, 2003) test, the Multivariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (Taylor and Sarno, Journal of International Economics, 46, pp. 281-312, 1998) and the Johansen (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, pp. 231-54, 1988) likelihood ratio test are applied to unemployment, the real exchange rate, the nominal interest rate and inflation. The three tests all have ways of controlling the obvious cross-sectional dependence in the panel. Using monthly data from 1960 to 2002 there is evidence that all time series are generated by stationary processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Higgs Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Higgs Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: Transmission of returns and volatility in art markets: a multivariate GARCH analysis Abstract: This study examines the transmission of returns and volatility among eight major art markets. The art indices included in the analysis are Contemporary Masters (CM), 20th Century English (TE), 19th Century European (NE), French Impressionist (FI), Modern European (ME), Modern US Paintings (US), Old Masters (OM) and Surrealists (SR). A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model is used to identify the source and magnitude of spillovers. The results indicate the presence of large and predominantly positive mean return and volatility spillovers, though the spillovers between art markets are not homogeneous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-222 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Shelley Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Shelley Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Inflation, money, and real GDP in Mexico: a causality analysis Abstract: The relation between inflation, M1 money, and real GDP in Mexico is examined using annual data from 1944 to 1991. When investigating the relation between changes in inflation and real GDP growth it is found that it is important to separate the changes in inflation into predictable and unpredictable components. Predictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, negative effect on real GDP growth. Unpredictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, positive effect on real GDP growth. In contrast, changes in M1 growth fail to Granger-cause real GDP growth even when the changes in money growth are divided into predictable and unpredictable components. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000193834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000193834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kemper Moreland Author-X-Name-First: Kemper Author-X-Name-Last: Moreland Title: The rise or fall of graduated income tax rates Abstract: This study constructs a wage distribution for the US from CPS data and then uses simulations to determine the optimal piecewise-linear-income tax. Previous optimal tax studies have generally found optimal marginal tax rates decline as income rises. This study argues this result arises because these previous studies assume that society will be willing to fund substantial guarantees. This study assumes that such a guarantee will not be politically acceptable, but that an exemption will be. In these circumstances it is found that optimal marginal tax rates rise as income rises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:227-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Mahmud Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmud Author-Name: Aman Ullah Author-X-Name-First: Aman Author-X-Name-Last: Ullah Author-Name: Eray Yucel Author-X-Name-First: Eray Author-X-Name-Last: Yucel Title: Testing Marshall-Lerner condition: a non-parametric approach Abstract: In this study, non-parametric kernel estimation technique has been employed to estimate import and export price elasticities for six developed countries. Based on the estimates of these elasticities Marshall-Lerner condition has been examined. In general the condition is only partially satisfied in the sub-sample periods. The results also suggest that the condition is more likely to be satisfied under fixed exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-236 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:231-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Lee-Hong Seah Author-X-Name-First: Lee-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Seah Author-Name: Diane Hite Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Hite Author-Name: Tim Haab Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Haab Title: Telephone presurveys, self-selection, and non-response bias to mail and Internet surveys in economic research Abstract: A telephone presurvey is used in conjunction with mail and Internet follow-up surveys to assess self-selection and item nonresponse bias. Findings suggest that self-selection is present, but item nonresponse bias is limited. The Internet version exhibited no item nonresponse bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:237-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: The compensating wage differentials for a career at sea - an empirical study of Taiwan Abstract: Using a unique Taiwan JCEE data set, this study finds that the compensating wage differential for marine engineers is about one third of their received wage, and for nuclear engineers is about one fifth of their received wage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:241-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corinna Czujack Author-X-Name-First: Corinna Author-X-Name-Last: Czujack Author-Name: Maria Fraga Martins Author-X-Name-First: Maria Fraga Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Do art specialists form unbiased pre-sale estimates? An application for Picasso paintings Abstract: This work investigates whether art specialists provide good predictors of realized prices for Picasso paintings. A sample selection model is proposed to represent the decision of the seller and the price equation. The model is applied to data on 675 Picasso paintings for the period 1975-1994. It is found that the two auction houses, Sotheby's and Christie's, have given good predictions for the works that have been sold. However, for the unsold works, it would have been possible to give estimates better than those given by the salerooms. As a consequence they could perhaps have sold more paintings than they actually did. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674894 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674894&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Two maps for the world's trade integration Abstract: This study aims to identify the position of Asia in the world's trade integration by the hierarchical cluster analysis. The world's 30 largest exporters in 2002 are the object of the investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:251-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Jose Araujo Lima Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Jose Araujo Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Tests of the random walk hypothesis for equity markets: evidence from China, Hong Kong and Singapore Abstract: This study tests the random walk hypothesis for China, Hong Kong and Singapore. Using variance ratio tests, robust to heteroskedasticity and employing a recently developed bootstrap technique to customize percentiles for inference purposes it is found that Class A shares for Chinese stock exchanges and the Hong Kong equity markets are weak form efficient. However, Singapore and Class B shares for Chinese stock exchanges do not follow the random walk hypothesis, which suggests that liquidity and market capitalization may play a role in explaining results of weak form efficiency tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674911 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674911&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Title: Do employers use education as a signal for ability in developing countries? Evidence from Ghana Abstract: This study investigates whether employers in developing countries use education as a signal for employees' productivity using data for Ghana manufacturing. Evidence is found supportive of this for individuals who were not hired through direct contacts in the firm, and thus for individuals for whom employers are likely to have relatively less information about their productive abilities. This result seems to rest on adequately controlling for on-the-job-training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-261 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674920 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674920&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:259-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. -F. Gau Author-X-Name-First: Y. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gau Author-Name: M. Hau Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Hau Title: Public information, private information, inventory control, and volatility of intraday NTD/USD exchange rates Abstract: This study uses the periodic GARCH (P-GARCH) model of Bollerslev and Ghysels (1996) to capture the irregularly repetitive seasonal variation in the volatility of 15-minute NTD/USD exchange rate changes. The specification of state variables enables us to test the microstructure hypotheses in the FX market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masasaki Fuse Author-X-Name-First: Masasaki Author-X-Name-Last: Fuse Title: Estimating intertemporal substitution in Japan Abstract: In this study, the intertemporal elastisity of substitution (IES) by consumers in Japan is estimated using the two-step estimating method used by Ogaki and Reinhart (Journal of Political Economy, 106, pp. 1079-98, 1998). This method is estimating the IES in consideration of intratemporal substitution between durables and nondurables. Consequently, the acquired estimated values are larger than the US values used by Ogaki and Reinhart. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674948 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674948&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Modelling firm heterogeneity with spatial 'trends' Abstract: The hypothesis underlying this article is that firm heterogeneity can be captured by spatial characteristics of the firm (similar to the inclusion of a time trend in time series models). The hypothesis is examined in the context of modelling electric generation by coal powered plants in the presence of firm heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: A cautionary note on cointegration testing Abstract: Inferences from the Johansen procedure regarding cointegration, and the magnitude, significance and even the sign of the estimated parameters of a familiar macroeconomic relation, are shown to be extremely sensitive to the treatment of its deterministic components and to the assumed lag structure. An unrestricted error-correction model yields unambiguous inferences and performs better in a range of tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Dejuan Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Dejuan Author-Name: Simon Gurr Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Gurr Title: On the link between volatility and growth: evidence from Canadian Provinces Abstract: This study examines the relationship between business-cycle volatility and economic growth using data from 10 Canadian provinces over the 1961-2000 period. Test results based on cross-section and panel data estimation indicate, at best, a weak positive volatility-growth relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-282 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:279-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Title: Input and output biased technological change in US agriculture Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) techniques are applied to a state-level data set to measure the total factor productivity in US agriculture over 1960-1996. Total factor productivity is decomposed into input and output biased technological change, efficiency change, and scale change, under both constant return to scale (CRS) and variable return to scale (VRS). Assumption of Hick neutral technological change is discussed. Technological change is found to be the result of efficient use of inputs much more than the effects of output capability increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221526 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221526&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The relationship between the real exchange rate and balance of payments: empirical evidence for China from cointegration and causality testing Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the renminbi real exchange rate and China's foreign exchange reserves using cointegration and Granger causality testing. The main findings are that in the long run foreign exchange reserves Granger cause the real exchange rate. Meanwhile, in the short run there is unidirectional Granger causality running from foreign exchange reserves to the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Author-Name: Jean-Marc Figuet Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Figuet Title: What explains Bordeaux wine prices? Abstract: The aim of this article is to explain Bordeaux wine prices for the 1996-1999 vintages. The hedonic price method is applied to determine the main explanatory factors of price differences. It shows that reputation remains an important determinant of the price. However sensory characteristics have greater explanatory power compared to previous studies. Increasing competition and reductions in information asymmetries on the wine market are two important factors explaining this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Empirical estimation of production risk using a cost function with panel data Abstract: The purposes of this study are twofold. First, it extends production risk from a production function to a more general cost function. The theoretical model is able to account for the effects of risk on a firm's minimum cost and optimal input demands. Second, the present paper provides an estimable framework for an analysis of the impacts of the risk on firm behaviour. Employing the model to Taiwan's electronics and information industry, it is found that production risk appears to play an important role in production cost. Evidence is found that the vast majority of sample firms belong to risk-averters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221553 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221553&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:297-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ata Assaf Author-X-Name-First: Ata Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Title: Rescaled variance analysis of real exchange rates Abstract: The characterization of real exchange rate series as random in nature has been questioned in recent times by the application of new statistical tools. This study uses a new test proposed by Giraitis et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 112, pp. 265-9, 2003) and based on KPSS (Journal of Econometrics, 54, pp. 159-78, 1992) test. The rescaled variance (V/S) statistic is shown to have a simpler asymptotic distribution and achieve a better balance of size and power than Lo's (1991) and KPSS (1992) test. Application of the new test suggests that real exchange rate movements do not show evidence of long memory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221562 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221562&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Author-Name: Yuri Khoroshilov Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Khoroshilov Title: Anchoring and transaction utility: evidence from on-line auctions Abstract: This article presents empirical evidence that people use anchoring to form their valuation of an object. Using data from the on-line auction Bidz.com, we found that people bid more for an item with a higher posted 'buy now' price than for an identical item with the lower posted 'buy now' price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Galera Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Galera Author-Name: Gema Carrera-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Gema Author-X-Name-Last: Carrera-Gomez Author-Name: Pablo Coto-Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Coto-Millan Title: Free to choose. A different answer to a known puzzle Abstract: Nalebuff (Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1(2), 157-63, 1987) proposes a puzzle and a standard solution to the mentioned puzzle based on Bayes theorem. After giving the standard solution to this problem, Professor Nalebuff asked: 'Since many if not most individuals choose to stay with their original choice, does this suggest we should look for alternatives to Bayes rule?' In this paper a right answer to that question is proportionated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:311-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoshin Chiao Author-X-Name-First: Chaoshin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiao Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Suresh Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: Suresh Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Title: Testing lead-lag relations between portfolio returns under price-limits Abstract: A methodology is proposed to test the lead-lag relation between portfolio returns under price-limit restriction. The price-limit restriction is an important microstructure of the Taiwan stock market. Prior research on US stock return found that the lagged return of large-cap portfolios are correlated with the current return of small-cap portfolios. The results provide no evidence to indicate that the price adjustments of small capitalization portfolios are slower than that of large capitalization portfolios. Further, there is no evidence to imply a positive leading role of large capitalization portfolio returns over small capitalization portfolio returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-317 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221599 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221599&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:313-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Title: Behavioural biases among interest rate forecasters? Abstract: Several studies have found evidence that views expressed by other forecasters in the previous period influence individuals' current forecasts, while other analyses have stressed that occasionally forecasters may have other objectives in addition to minimizing forecast errors. This paper presents evidence, using data from Livingston Survey, that these strategic behaviours are less likely to occur when the accuracy of the economic forecasts can be easily and quickly assessed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-321 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:319-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cosme Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Market equilibrium with FSS search Abstract: It is acknowledged that in the trading of homogeneous goods there is persistent price dispersion. However, it is theoretically derived that if buyers are optimizers there is no price dispersion. This negative result motivates the emergence of alternative paths in the literature that studies price dispersion. In Burdett and Judd's seminal work, buyers follow the sub-optimal fixed sample size search strategy, FSS. These authors claim that under this sub-optimal strategy there are, ex ante, three points of Nash equilibrium, two of them associated with price dispersion and search. This article shows that these two points of equilibrium with price dispersion are not empirically relevant because they will not be ex post enforced, being unproductive for explaining equilibrium price dispersion using the FSS sub-optimal search strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:323-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Mora Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Title: Role of mobility in evolution of disparities: European regions evidence Abstract: A decomposition of an inequality measure is proposed in order to compute the role of mobility in the evolution of disparities between European regions. Our results confirm that economic growth when integration process succeeds in the European Union have decreased inequality, narrowing gaps rather than moving low-income regions ahead of higher-income ones. Also, results have revealed the importance of studies about intradistributional movements when we pretend to analyse a regional growth process comparison, although it is not the more relevant factor in the evolution of inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Katsimi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimi Title: Inflation divergence in the euro area: the Balassa-Samuelson effect Abstract: This study estimates the Balassa-Samuelson effect for 7 EU countries. According to this effect, inflation differential between the tradable and the non-tradable sector can be attributed to unbalanced productivity growth between the two sectors. For the euro area this implies that countries with higher relative productivity growth in the tradable sector will suffer from higher inflation. We test the Balassa-Samuelson effect by using cointegration techniques. The empirical analysis supports the existence of a Balassa-Samuelson effect for 6 of the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221634 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221634&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Telatar Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: N. Bolatoglu Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Bolatoglu Author-Name: F. Telatar Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: A new approach on testing the behaviour of the governments towards sustainability of fiscal policy in a small-open and politically instable economy Abstract: This study extends Bohn's (1998) model to the context of a small-open economy suffering from political and economic instabilities. A Markov-switching model is developed by incorporating a Bayesian Gibbs sampling simulation. The model is estimated for Turkish economy over the period of 1980-2001 to analyse the relationship between primary surpluses and government total liabilities. The main result of the study is that the relationship might be unstable due to the changes in intentions of the governments towards sustainability of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Differences in earnings, skills and labour market experience among young black and white men Abstract: This study examines the role of racial differences in skills and labour market experience on recent earnings differences between young black and white men. Our analysis of the 2000 sample of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979 Cohort (NLSY79), indicates that nearly all of the earnings gap between black and white men can be accounted for with a relatively parsimonious empirical model. In particular, it finds that approximately 44% of the racial earnings gap results from higher average skill and work experience levels of white men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Author-Name: Ramin Maysami Author-X-Name-First: Ramin Author-X-Name-Last: Maysami Title: Lucas type external effects of human capital: strong evidence using microdata Abstract: Past evidence on the existence Lucas type external effects of education has been, at best, mixed. This study re-visits a two-stage microeconometric approach which allows for the estimation of the external effects of human capital on wages (and therefore productivity). Strong evidence is found of external effects to education - and in particular, years of schooling and job-related training - using microdata from Venezuela. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cobham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cobham Author-Name: Peter Macmillan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Macmillan Author-Name: David Mcmillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mcmillan Title: The inflation/output variability trade-off: further evidence Abstract: The trade-off between the variability of inflation and that of output is estimated for the UK, using several different approaches to obtain the output gap, and then for a range of other countries; in all cases the trade-off retains the 'sharp turning point' found for the UK and US by other authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: New Zealand's trade balance: evidence of the J-curve and granger causality Abstract: This article tests for the existence of any cointegration relationship between trade balance and real effective exchange rate (REER), foreign income and domestic income for New Zealand during the period 1970-2000. It also examines the direction of the casual relationship between the above variables, and applies the impulse response analysis to determine whether shocks to the REER induce the trade balance to follow a J-curve pattern. The results indicate that there is no cointegration relationship between the above variables; there is a casual connection in both directions between trade balance and foreign income; and New Zealand's trade balance exhibits a J-curve pattern when there is a depreciation of the New Zealand dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Tzouramani Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouramani Author-Name: K. Mattas Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Title: Employing real options methodology in agricultural investments: the case of greenhouse construction Abstract: The latest developments in investment analysis offer a number of valuable insights into how to evaluate investment opportunities encountering the weaknesses of net present value criterion. More specifically, irreversibility, uncertainty and the choice of timing are conditions that net present value does not include but they alter the investment decision in a determinant way. By employing contingent claims analysis in tangible investments better assessment results can be derived. In this work, an attempt is made to modify the NPV criterion by incorporating the real options approach, and its application is demonstrated in a greenhouse construction investment plan. A discounted cash flow approach indicates that the adoption of a new technology project under uncertainty is feasible while the real options approach differentiates the results. The corollary is that the real options approach can be proved useful when assessing projects with uncertainty and irreversibility and it can provide a new way of examining agricultural investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189550 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189550&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Luisa Abras Author-X-Name-First: Ana Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Abras Author-Name: Braulio Borges Author-X-Name-First: Braulio Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Rodrigo Sekkel Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Sekkel Title: Breaking trend, Lagrange multiplier test statistic and the presence of a unit root in the Brazilian gross domestic product Abstract: Standard unit root tests provided mixed evidence on the stochastic behaviour of the Brazilian gross domestic product series. This study uses the minimum Lagrange multiplier statistic suggested by Lee and Strazicich to test for the presence of a unit root with two endogenously determined structural changes. Contrary to previous works utilizing endogenous break points, the authors were not able to reject the null of unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chang Shu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Title: Consumption and stock markets in Greater China Abstract: This study investigates the causal links between stock market performance and consumption for Greater China using a VECM framework. Bi-directional causality between stock prices and consumption is found for Hong Kong and Taiwan. This indicates that the previous studies may have overestimated the wealth effect of stock markets without taking account of the reverse causation from consumption to the stock markets. Only one-way causality running from consumption to stock prices has been established for Mainland China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Christine Helliar Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Helliar Author-Name: David Power Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: The benefits and costs of deeply-discounted rights issues - practitioners viewpoints Abstract: Deeply-discounted rights issues (DDRIs) remain rare on the world's largest stock markets, but the costs and benefits of such issues have attracted renewed attention in recent years as market regulators search for ways of driving down the cost of external fund raising. The relative scarcity of DDRIs presents a puzzle to researchers because the rationale normally suggested - concern about the diluting effect of a heavily discounted rights issue on earnings per share - is easily shown to be irrelevant in theory (Patterson and Ursel, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 20, 115-24, 1993). The present study therefore reports the results of a series of discussions with firms, investors and advisers in the UK regarding DDRIs and the extent to which concerns about the impact on earnings continue to hamper growth in their use. The results suggest that firms are fully aware of the potential cost savings associated with DDRIs, but concerns about investor reaction to any offer-induced earnings dilution continue to mitigate against any significant increase in their popularity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariacristina Piva Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Piva Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Technological change and employment: some micro evidence from Italy Abstract: Consistently with previous evidence of the microeconomic literature on the subject and applying GMM-SYS on a unique Italian panel dataset, this study finds a significant - although small in size - positive relationship between innovation and employment at the firm's level in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Long Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ching-Chun Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Economies of scale, gender discrimination, and cost of children Abstract: New empirical evidence is provided on the measurement of the cost of a child with emphasis on the issue of household economies of scale and gender bias. Most empirical results suggest the plausible conclusion that there are household economies of scale in rearing children. By using the utility-based approach with considering the gender discrimination, the present results show that there are diseconomies of scale in rearing a male child after having any female child within the household. This indicates a significant gender bias issue in intra-household allocation in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:377-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kohei Daido Author-X-Name-First: Kohei Author-X-Name-Last: Daido Title: Risk-averse agents with peer pressure Abstract: This article studies the effects of peer pressure on the incentives of risk-averse agents. It defines the peer pressure function and then assumes that each agent feels peer pressure not only when his effort level is below the standard level, but also when it is above that level. It also supposes that agents are heterogeneous in terms of their productivity and the degree to which they respond to peer pressure. It shows that a principal provides incentives that depend on the effects of peer pressure and risk-sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Alexiadis Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexiadis Author-Name: J. Tomkins Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomkins Title: Convergence clubs in the regions of Greece Abstract: Although there have been numerous studies on economic convergence, at both national and regional levels, the concept of club convergence has received far less attention. A convergence club implies the existence of a set of economies that in the long run are driven to a common steady-state position. This study contributes to the empirical literature on Greek regions by testing for the existence of a convergence club over the period 1970-2000. Time series techniques and two empirical approaches to the common convergence point are employed. Results suggest that, while there is no uniform pattern across all regions, four central regions follow a common convergence path. One important conclusion also to emerge from the study is that, in the case of Greece, a measure of average economic performance as a proxy for the steady-state convergence point would appear to be more appropriate when seeking to identify the members of a convergence club. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bassam Abual-Foul Author-X-Name-First: Bassam Author-X-Name-Last: Abual-Foul Title: Testing the export-led growth hypothesis: evidence from Jordan Abstract: The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the export-led growth hypothesis in Jordan over the period 1976-1997. The empirical results from three bivariate models of VAR-L, VAR-D and ECM indicate a unidirectional causation from exports to output. These findings lend support to the export-oriented growth strategy pursued by Jordan. In promoting faster economic growth, such government institutions as Free Zones Corporations, Jordan Investment Board and Jordan Export Development Corporation should continue pursuing their mission in attracting foreign investments and boosting exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:393-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zajac Jaroslav Author-X-Name-First: Zajac Author-X-Name-Last: Jaroslav Title: Uncertainty fluctuations and multi-agent economies with equilibrium Abstract: This article discusses some issues involved in economies composed of dynamically interacting agents, who makes decisions about consumption, transformation and exchange of information, and other resources, expand their facilities, formulate their strategies in order to achieve specific aims, and their strategies are taken in an asynchronous and distributed manner. Agents may combine different roles within an economic system undergoing rapid technological and structural change in order to find adequate approaches to treating non-stationarity and uncertainty, bounded rationality of agents, rich variety, and complexity of dynamic interrelations between different agents. Internal uncertainty is due to the fact that each agent takes decisions without full knowledge about states and actions of other agents, and all agents have the flexibility to choose different behavioural patterns. Complexity leads to the multitude of positive and negative feedbacks in the system. Under different values of system parameters, these feedbacks can lead to different equilibria, and even to chaotic behaviour. In certain points the system abruptly switches between different equilibria with arbitrarily small change of itself. The bounded rationality of agents implies that their decisions on their actions result from the set of heuristics, which vary according to changing of informational patterns, environment and goals. When the agents inject money through an open market operation, only those agents that are currently trading absorb these injections, and agents must pay a fixed cost to transfer money between the asset market and the goods market. Money injections are absorbed by active agents, the injections increase active agent's current consumption. Open markets operations have been thought to have liquidity effects: money injections lead initially to a decline in short-term nominal interest rates, in the case of segmented asset markets they can produce both two different features, whereas persistent injections increase expected inflation, but have no effects on real interest rates. However, in dynamic setting and in the case of the expected utility maximizing approach, one has to distinguish between individual's utility smoothing motive and his risk aversion. The effect of tax rate uncertainty on labour supply and savings when the agent both works and saves during fluctuations is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: On the tradeoff between cultural sensitivity and aggregate size in population control policy Abstract: Recently, Batabyal proposed an unconventional population control policy that is sensitive to the cultural desire for male progeny in many Asian nations. Although the proposed policy is culturally sensitive, a potential problem with this policy is that the aggregate size of the national population that is sought to be controlled may be quite high. Consequently, this note addresses the tradeoff between cultural sensitivity and aggregate population size. Specifically, the study analyses the properties of a modified policy that is desirable not only because it is culturally sensitive but also because it caps the aggregate size of individual families and thereby the size of the national population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000204697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000204697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Bredin Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Bredin Author-Name: Caroline Gavin Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Gavin Author-Name: Gerard O'Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: O'Reilly Title: International monetary policy shocks and Irish market rates Abstract: The influence of international interest rate changes on the Dublin interbank money market rates (Dibor) is investigated. Specifically, the impact of (un)expected changes in German(Euro) area and US policy rates on various Dibor rates between 1991 to 2002 is analysed in an event type study. Decomposition of (un)expected changes of policy rates are based on future markets and is akin to the method of Kuttner. Overall, results suggest that Dibor rates respond positively and significantly to unanticipated Euro and US policy rate changes while expected changes have an insignificant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-414 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000204697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000204697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:409-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. M. Gross Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gross Title: Impact of immigrant workers on a regional labour market Abstract: This article analyses the ability of a regional labour market to absorb growing flows of immigrant workers with declining levels of skills in relatively high unemployment times. In the short-run, unemployment increases with larger immigration flows, however, in the longer run, unemployment is permanently lowered. The level as well as the composition of skills of immigrant workers matter. Increasing the discrepancy between the skill distribution of immigrants and that of the existing workforce is desirable to mitigate some of the adverse effects on unemployment in the short run as both types of labour appear to be complement. Strengthening the existing screening system for immigrant candidates is then a possibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Author-Name: Ilham Haouas Author-X-Name-First: Ilham Author-X-Name-Last: Haouas Title: The effects of union wage-settings on firms' production factor decisions Abstract: This study is concerned with the development of a theoretical model of the interaction between firms and trade union in determining wages and employment. In a two-step process the union and firm determine wages and capital stock, conditional on which the firm decides on production factors of employment, working hours and capital operating time. This paper suggests the use of a panel data approach applied to manufacturing data. A dynamic model is specified in which the optimal levels of the variables of interest and the speed of their adjustments are modelled in terms of observable policy variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-420 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:415-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: F. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: L. J. TreviNO Author-X-Name-First: L. J. Author-X-Name-Last: TreviNO Author-Name: T. C. Minto Author-X-Name-First: T. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Minto Title: Touchdowns and test scores: exploring the relationship between athletics and academics Abstract: This article examines the relationship between college football success and SAT scores using an updated data series on football winning percentages. The finding here of a positive and significant relationship supports the idea that collegiate athletics, namely football, serves the institution's admissions process. Selective institutions are able to enhance the quality of their student populations. The spinoff benefit of winning teams is such a well-known phenomenon among university administrators that they even have a name for it - 'the Flutie factor,' for the 33 percent increase in applications that Doug Flutie helped bring Boston College when he was a football star there in the early 1980s. (Allen, 1999: 2) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-424 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000201906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000201906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:421-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Wage curve for urban China: a panel data approach Abstract: The panel data evidence in this article shows that the wage curve does not exist in China when utilizing the provincial unemployment rate. However, the wage curve exists when utilizing the provincial youth unemployment rate. Youth unemployment data are more reliable in China, as they are not distorted by the exclusion of significant numbers of adult laid off workers from the more familiar unemployment statistics. It is also found that the semi-log function is a good approximation for urban wage curve of China. The wage unemployment relationship becomes more negative when utilizing fixed effects and random effects models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The dynamics of the real exchange rates in Europe: a comparative study across countries using fractional integration Abstract: The annual structure of the real exchange rates in sixteen European countries is examined in this article by means of fractional integration techniques. The results show that the highest degree of dependence between the observations is obtained for countries Finland or Spain whereas Switzerland and the UK present the smallest orders of integration. Thus, stronger policy actions are required in the former countries to bring the variables back to their original levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-steeley Author-Name: Antonios Siganos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Siganos Title: Momentum profits and macroeconomic factors Abstract: This article tests whether macroeconomic variables and market sentiment influence the size of momentum profits. It finds that although returns to the winner and loser portfolios are influenced by a range of macroeconomic and market wide variables; momentum profits are influenced only by the scale of portfolio outflows. Thus, when investors are sending their capital elsewhere, reduced funds at home, dampen the profitability of the momentum trading strategy. It also finds that when the market closes, below its opening level in the previous six months, momentum profits are higher, which might be a reflection of mean reversion in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-436 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:433-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Wang Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: B. M. Burton Author-X-Name-First: B. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: D. M. Power Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Analysis of the overreaction effect in the Chinese stock market Abstract: Several recent studies have examined whether the main Chinese stock markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen are weak-form efficient. A consistent feature of the findings is that the pricing of foreign-owned B shares is more predictable than domestically-owned A shares. However, none of the earlier investigations examine the overreaction effect, one of the most commonly-employed tests of weak-form efficiency in developed stock markets. The present study therefore reports the results of such an analysis for a sample of more than 300 Chinese shares over a six-year period beginning in August 1994. In contrast to earlier evidence, the article finds that the overreaction effect is most pronounced in the market for A shares, suggesting that the normal impression of greater efficiency in the pricing of Chinese-owned equities may be open to further challenge and debate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:437-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: The elevated status of the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption Abstract: The latest UK Treasury guidance on appraisal and evaluation in central government raises the status of the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption (e). While estimates of e are sensitive to a measurement approach, a case is made for placing some emphasis on a method based on consumer demand analysis. Alternative demand models are estimated for the UK and from the best results an e value of 1.6 emerges. For EU countries both this and other methods can be used to measure e. This, for example, permits a cross-country comparison of alternative measures of the social discount rate on a methodologically consistent basis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189541 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189541&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Sobhee Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Sobhee Title: The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC): a logistic curve? Abstract: This study argues that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) can be shaped as a logistic curve rather than a mere quadratic equation. Instead of being modelled as a polynomial of degree two, the EKC can be characterized by a polynomial of degree three. The inverted-U shape remains. However, in the proposed specification, what matters, is the rate at which total environmental degradation (TED) occurs, that is, marginal environmental degradation (MED). When TED is quadratic, MED is linearly represented with respect to per capita output. This is considered to be inconsistent with real-life situations, and instead a quadratic MED is postulated, from which a logistic EKC is derived. Prior to a given income threshold, MED rises, attains a maximum at the threshold, and falls ultimately beyond it. This formulation of the EKC conforms to the probabilistic econometric models usually applied in environmental studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207216 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207216&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Maris Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Maris Author-Name: G. Pantou Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Pantou Author-Name: K. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Author-Name: E. PagourtzI Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: PagourtzI Author-Name: V. Assimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Assimakopoulos Title: A study of financial volatility forecasting techniques in the FTSE/ASE 20 index Abstract: Forecasting financial market volatility is an important task that has absorbed the interest of many academics in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. This strong interest of the academic world reflects the importance of volatility in several financial and business activities. Volatility forecast, crucially affects investment choice and is the most important parameter affecting prices of market listed options, of which trading volume has proliferated in the last years. The purpose of this article is to compare various volatility forecasting approaches using data on the Greek FTSE/ASE 20 stock index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Author-Name: Carsten Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Martin Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Manipulation in political stock markets - preconditions and evidence Abstract: Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioural model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during the Berlin 1999 state elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-463 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:459-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Gruben Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Gruben Author-Name: Darryl Mcleod Author-X-Name-First: Darryl Author-X-Name-Last: Mcleod Title: The openness-inflation puzzle revisited Abstract: Dynamic panel estimates show the negative relation between trade openness and inflation found by Romer (Quarterly Journal of Economics, (VIII, 869-903, 1993) but questioned by Terra (Quarterly Journal of Economics, (XIII, 641-48, 1998) became more robust in the 1990s, both among high income OECD and developing countries. Trade openness was also associated with less variable inflation during the 1990s and had a stronger disinflation effect in economies with floating exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Mills Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Sourushe Zandvakili Author-X-Name-First: Sourushe Author-X-Name-Last: Zandvakili Title: Analysis of gender-based family income inequality in Canada Abstract: Using decomposable measures of inequality and applying bootstrapping methods in order to draw statistical inference, gender-based earnings inequality in conjunction with education and immigration status in Canada is investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: Meetings and exposure before an arranged marriage: a probabilistic analysis Abstract: It is now common for parents and relatives of an individual seeking to have an arranged marriage to set up one or more meetings between this individual and prospective spouses. As a result of these meetings, prospective spouses get exposed to this marrying individual. Even though this exposure level has a significant bearing on the eventual likelihood of marriage, as best as can be told, the economics literature has paid no attention to the probabilistic attributes of meetings and the resultant level of exposure. As such, this note has three objectives. First, a simple stochastic model is analysed that focuses on the links between the trinity of meetings, exposure levels, and an arranged marriage. Next, the conditional density function of the exposure level random variable is derived under two assumptions about the eventual likelihood of marriage. Finally, an interesting property of a specific ratio of densities that is related to the above mentioned trinity is commented on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: Market structure and ad valorem taxes: cross-country evidence from the magazine industry Abstract: Using data describing the magazine industries of 23 countries it is shown that specific ad valorem taxes on magazines reduce the number of magazines published in a country. This result is consistent with previously developed theories about the impact of ad valorem taxes on market structure. However, limitations on magazine ownership seem to have little impact on the number of magazines published, perhaps indicating that reduced limitations on cross-media ownership may not have the deleterious effects many predict. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Zubeyir Kilinc Author-X-Name-First: Zubeyir Author-X-Name-Last: Kilinc Title: The effect of foreign income on economic performance of a small-open economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: The effect of a shock in the foreign economic performance on the domestic economy is an attractive research area. It has consistently been found that this effect is non-negligible. However, the countries examined are mostly developed countries. In this study, the effects of a shock in foreign economy on the economic performance of Turkey are examined. The estimates suggest that a positive shock in the foreign economy positively affects Turkish output, increases the inflation rate, and appreciates the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: Unilateral delegation and reimbursement systems in an environmental conflict Abstract: How unilateral delegation by a citizens' group with lower ability than a firm affects individual and total effort and the contest favourite under the two reimbursement systems are examined. A citizens' group that unilaterally hires a delegate to represent them causes the firm to increase its effort level so that it always exceeds the group's delegate - irrespective of the relative strength of the two parties. In contrast to earlier work without either delegation or reimbursement, a citizens' group that hires a delegate could now be the contest favourite; although it is more likely to occur under the asymmetric reimbursement rule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-493 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:489-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Cheng-Hsiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Intradaily relationship between information revelation and trading duration under market trends: the evidence of MSCI Taiwan stock index futures Abstract: This paper investigates the duration dynamics and relationship between price volatility and durations under different market trends for the Morgan Stanley Taiwan stock index futures traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). It is found that conditional durations are related to durations and conditional expected durations as found in previous studies. The price volatility is related to duration related variables. Moreover, the intradaily price dynamics will vary according to the size of the observation interval, the size of price changes, and the market trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-501 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244521 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244521&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:495-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Title: The bidimensional decomposition of the Gini ratio. A case study: Italy Abstract: This research is based on the decompositions of the Gini index. The two existing procedures of decomposition are connected: subgroup decomposition and income source decomposition. This bidimensional decomposition enables the computation of some new determinants of inequalities. It is possible to reckon the contribution of each source to the within-group and the between-group components of the overall inequality. This bidimensional decomposition is applied to the Italian consumption in 1989 and 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-505 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:503-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Mantzouneas Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mantzouneas Author-Name: George Mergos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Mergos Author-Name: Chrysostomos Stoforos Author-X-Name-First: Chrysostomos Author-X-Name-Last: Stoforos Title: Modelling food consumption patterns in Greece Abstract: Modelling consumption patterns is of interest for both theoretical and policy reasons. This paper presents a methodology for modelling consumption patterns combining a theory-based with a data-based approach and it continues with an application to Greek data. The adopted AIDS-ECM quantitative methodology aims to estimate the expected trends in consumption patterns in Greece following an increase in available income over the 2001-2010 period. Three scenarios are examined: the first scenario considers the EU projections for private consumption expenditure, 3% per annum, the second scenario assumes a higher growth of 5% per annum and the third scenario a 1% increase. The results of the first stage expenditure aggregation show a decrease in the budget share for the food group in all scenarios under consideration while the opposite is true for 'transportation and communication' and 'others'. Finally, the second stage expenditure aggregation estimates show an increase in the budget share for meat, fruits and vegetables and oils and fats, while the opposite is true for bread and cereals and other food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-512 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:507-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: Skill intensity and export growth in West German manufacturing Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the skill-structure and the export performance of 26 West German manufacturing sectors in the second half of the 1980s. Using several sets of controls it is found that export growth is inversely linked to the high-skill intensity of labour. Implications of and possible explanations for this finding are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244558 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244558&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:513-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Author-Name: Jose Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Villaverde Title: Regional disparities in the EU: mobility and polarization Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse some relevant aspects of regional disparities in the EU. The paper departs from standard analysis of convergence by tracking the evolution of the entire distribution, both by using nonparametric techniques and spatial econometric techniques. The main results confirm that: (a) regional disparities across the EU are large and persistent; (b) the ranking among the European regions is very stable; (c) there is a noticeable regional income polarization in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207225 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207225&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:517-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Lazaridis Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Lazaridis Title: Demand elasticities derived from consistent estimation of Heckman-type models Abstract: As proved lately, the use of the Inverse Mill's Ratio as a correction factor in the second step of Heckman-type models leads to inconsistent estimates. One area where this type of model has been extensively used is the applied food demand analysis. As a consequence the derived demand elasticities are no longer valid. In this paper the appropriate expressions for demand elasticities are derived and are applied to 23 food items using family budget survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Grant Coble-Neal Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Coble-Neal Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Title: United States internet penetration Abstract: United States (US) Department of Commerce data suggests a necessary precursor to the success of electronic commerce (e-commerce) is active engagement in Internet activities by the population at large. However, without empirical assessment it is difficult to determine the relative importance of the drivers of Internet access, and ultimately e-commerce development. This study provides empirical estimates of the factors that impact on Internet access. A statistical model relates US Internet host penetration to information processing costs (a proxy for the price of Internet access), income, technology change, and the size of the network. Model estimates suggest that affordable access to information technology and telecommunications, technology change, and the network externality are driving rapid Internet take-up. Endogenous Internet growth, generated by the network externality, becomes important to e-commerce retailers (e-tailers) as their potential market size increases with each additional subscriber to the Internet. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000218016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000218016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Mark Gehlhar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gehlhar Title: Locating seasonal cycles in demand models Abstract: An approach is offered that lets data determine the exact location of seasonal cycles. Rather than use deterministic variables that define the season, it allows seasonal cycles to be identified and modelled as dictated by the data in demand modelling framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-535 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000230724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000230724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:533-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Cigarette demand in Canada and the US-Canadian cigarette smuggling Abstract: Using annual data from Canadian provinces, this paper studies the effects of a drastic reduction in Canadian cigarette taxes in 1994 on cross-border smuggling. The results show that the policy was successful in that the border prices seem to not have had a statistically significant impact on cigarette sales. The own price elasticity of cigarette demand in Canada is estimated to be around -0.7. The elasticity is slightly lower when the border-price effects are taken into account and is larger than the corresponding estimates for the USA, implying that dollar-for-dollar there might be greater opportunities for reducing smoking in Canada through higher taxes than the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece: reply to Ozmen Abstract: Ozmen (Applied Economics Letters, 10, 971-4, 2003) re-examines money exogeneity in Greece using data from Karfakis (Applied Economics, 34, 583-7, 2002) and claims, contrary to Karfakis, that money exogeneity is rejected. This reply demonstrates that money exogeneity is sensitive to lag length specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:541-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ataullah Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ataullah Author-Name: Hang Le Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Financial repression and liability of foreignness in developing countries Abstract: Using non-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis, this paper suggests that the era of financial repression in developing countries, by providing policy-induced competitive advantages to domestic banks, may create liability of foreignness for foreign banks that impeded their resource utilization. Implementation of financial liberalization programme, which endeavours to create a more market-oriented financial sector, may enable foreign banks to overcome the liability of foreignness and enhance their resource utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Title: Money demand function: a heterogeneous panel application Abstract: An aggregate data panel is constructed for the GCC's six countries and the cointegration hypothesis among the variables of the money demand function is verified using Pedroni's heterogeneous panel cointegration tests. The idiosyncratic, panel and group-mean cointegrating vectors are then estimated using FMOLS and a modified version of FMOLS developed by Pedroni. The idiosyncratic elasticities have the expected signs in general but are significant only in the case of the scale variable. However, when the power of the test is increased, and allowance made for heterogeneous cointegrating vectors, the group-mean estimator shows a significant negative semi-elasticity of money demand with respect to interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000225739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000225739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: Haluk Sezer Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Sezer Title: Social discount rates for six major countries Abstract: Social discount rates are estimated for six major economies: Australia, France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. A common methodology based on social time preference is employed and the information required is taken from the same OECD database. The main policy implications of applying consistently measured discount rates in the context of social project appraisal are then discussed. This is an important matter because, up to now, these countries have set their official discount rates using strikingly different methods and such disparities may have resulted in inconsistent decision-making in relation to the allocation of funds to long-term social projects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048504200028007 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048504200028007&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ling Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Lu Han Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Daivd Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Daivd Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Theories of target zones and realignment of RMB (currency of China) exchange rate Abstract: On the basis of introducing the theory of Target Zones and Exchange Rate, this paper tests for the significant to reform Chinese currency Renmingbi (RMB) exchange regime, and the possibility to build a target zone. It is pointed out that, under the tendency of economic globalization and entered WTO, it is necessary and urgent for China to realign and innovate its present exchange arrangement; target zones and its exchange rate mechanism is feasible for the reality of contemporary global economy and the situation of China. The authors analysis how to determine equilibrium of exchange rate and border of RMB target zones, and what kind of actions the Chinese government should do in such procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-568 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:561-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: Hung-Gay Fung Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Gay Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Title: The informational role of open interest in futures markets Abstract: This study examines the long-run information role of open interest in futures markets. It is found that open interest of the futures markets for storable commodities shares the same long-run information as the futures prices, but not for the nonstorable futures markets. Furthermore, the futures prices tend to drive open interest for storable commodities in the long run, but not the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001692795 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001692795&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: An econometric estimation of the aggregate import demand function for Bangladesh: some further results Abstract: This study empirically estimates some critical parameters of the aggregate import demand function for Bangladesh for Bangladesh using quarterly time series data and by applying the Johansen-Juselius multivariate cointegration technique. Cointegration results indicate that the import demand function is dominated by income and relative prices. The income elasticity is significantly positive and exceeds unity indicating that aggregate imports are to be considered as 'luxury' goods. The effect of the relative price variable is significantly negative but its elasticity coefficient is less than unity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000217990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000217990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wipon Aiew Author-X-Name-First: Wipon Author-X-Name-Last: Aiew Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Author-Name: Richard Woodward Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Woodward Title: The treatment of income variable in willingness to pay studies Abstract: This paper evaluates income variable specification and functional form issues in contingent-valuation studies using the utility-theoretic approach. Applying data from a study of willingness to pay for irradiated beef, results suggest that functional form does affect the estimates, but variable specification does not introduce statistically significant differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sambit Bhattacharyya Author-X-Name-First: Sambit Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharyya Title: Deep determinants of economic growth Abstract: A survey of the recent literature on cross country development reveals that there is an agreement on the key role played by institutions in explaining variation in the level of income per capita. Rodrik et al. (NBER Working Paper No. w8119, February, 2002) goes further to argue the primacy of institutions over integration and geography in a level accounting framework. The robustness of this result is checked by changing the dependent variable from level to growth and find that the same holds true. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leila Nouira Author-X-Name-First: Leila Author-X-Name-Last: Nouira Author-Name: Ibrahim Ahamada Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahamada Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Author-Name: Alain Nurbel Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Nurbel Title: Long-memory and shifts in the unconditional variance in the exchange rate euro/US dollar returns Abstract: In this paper two characteristics a priori contradictory and yet coexistent in the daily returns of exchange rate euro/US dollar are drawn. The non-stationarity of the covariance structure of the series is shown and, after the extraction of the unstable variance using the algorithm based on the cumulative sums of squares of Inclan and Tiao (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1994, 89(427), 913-23), the existence of long-memory in the filtered series. Does the non-stationarity of the unconditional variance explain the phenomenon of long-memory? Thus a classic debate is found of which the exit does not again elucidate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000230733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000230733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: A dynamic factor model of the coincident indicators for the US transportation sector Abstract: This paper studies the business cycle features of the transportation sector using dynamic factor models. The transportation reference cycles peak ahead of the economic cycles, but lag by a few months at troughs. The asymmetric relationship between these two suggests the usefulness of transportation in monitoring business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000271125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000271125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: I. Paya Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: I. Venetis Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Venetis Title: Estimates of US monetary policy rules with allowance for changes in the output gap Abstract: This article estimates a reduced form Taylor rule for the Pre-Volcker and Volcker-Greenspan periods. A novelty is that it follows a suggestion of Walsh and includes changes in the output gap as an explanatory variable. Either this variable or an interaction term between inflation and changes in the output gap are highly significant in both periods. The response to inflation and the interaction term are higher in the Volcker-Greenspan period of office. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: An aggregate import demand function for India: a cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the behaviour of Indian aggregate imports during the period 1971-1995. In the empirical analysis of the aggregate import demand function for India, cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been used. In the aggregate import demand function for India, import volume is found to be cointegrated with relative import price and real GDP. The econometric estimates of the import-demand function for India suggest that import-demand is largely explained by real GDP, and is generally less sensitive to import price changes. Import liberalization is found to have had little impact on import demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-613 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350455042000271134 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350455042000271134&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:607-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Gascoigne Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Gascoigne Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Asymmetries in Bank of England monetary policy Abstract: This article estimates limited dependent variable models for Bank of England monetary policy using monthly data over the period June 1997-March 2003. During this period the Bank had operational independence to set the interest rate in order to meet the inflation target set by the government. The study finds evidence that the Bank has responded to current output growth rather than inflation, which is consistent with targeting future inflation when there is a lag in the response of inflation to the output gap. It also finds evidence of an asymmetry in the sense that the link between the interest rate and output growth is stronger when an increase in the interest rate is required than when circumstances dictate it should be cut. On the other hand there is considerably more inertia for interest rate cuts, in the sense that a cut in the rate in one month significantly increases the probability of a cut in the next month which is not the case for increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Huber Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Title: Inter-regional mobility in Europe: a note on the cross-country evidence Abstract: This paper uses data on 11 EU countries to explain cross-national differences in internal migration rates. It is found that 89% of the variance in gross migration in current member states can be explained by variations in employment protection, international migration, the share of ownership occupied housing and the average region size of a country. Results concerning net migration rates suggest that although disparities in unemployment are important determinants of net migration, so are employment protection, long-term unemployment and the share of owner occupied housing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-624 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:619-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Parker Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Emmanuel Skoufias Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Skoufias Title: The added worker effect over the business cycle: evidence from urban Mexico Abstract: This paper investigates whether the added worker effect is an important determinant of the increased labour force participation by women and whether the magnitude of the added worker effect differs between the peak and trough of the business cycle. Use is made of repeated observations from spouses in urban Mexico, collected during the Peso crisis (1994:4-1995:4) and during the period of economic prosperity (1998:4-1999:4). Significant added worker effects are found in both periods. The magnitude of the added worker effect during the crisis period is found to be twice as large as that observed during the period of economic prosperity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-630 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235693 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235693&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:625-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngjun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Youngjun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Market structure and technology licensing: evidence from US manufacturing Abstract: This paper empirically investigates how market structure, including firm- and industry-level variables, influences the incentives of companies to license out their technology. Empirical analysis is provided with the help of a panel data set of observed licensing transactions worldwide involving manufacturing companies publicly traded in the USA. The findings show that dominant firms with bigger market shares are actively involved in granting technology licenses. It was also found that company's prior involvement in licensing, the concentration and the market size of its primary industry, and the propensity to receive patents (i.e. strength of the intellectual property protection) in that industry are important determinants of the propensity to transfer technology through licensing agreements. Results suggest that transaction costs, strategic considerations, and knowledge appropriability weigh in heavily in explaining firms' licensing behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235675 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235675&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:631-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Maddison Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Maddison Title: Increasing returns to information and the survival of broadway theatre productions Abstract: Many similarities exist between films and live theatre. Examination of the relationship between the log rank of a Broadway show and the number of performances reveals a significant departure from the Pareto distribution. This matches findings made for the corresponding relationship between log rank and film revenues. Using models of duration it is shown that a variety of characteristics, including genre, determine the number of performances on Broadway and whether the show is in receipt of prestigious awards. These findings are also similar to those for films except for the fact that as the duration of a run increases, the hazard rate declines. This is consistent with a situation when individuals base decisions on which show to attend partially on the observed length of a theatrical run. Over time theatrical productions are tending to survive longer in the market place and original shows tend to outlast revivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-643 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:639-643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Unit roots or nonlinear stationarity in Turkish real exchange rates Abstract: The objective of this paper is to test if Turkish real exchange rates have a linear unit root or are generated by an Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model for the post-1980 period. Using two real exchange rates, one with the USA and the other with Germany, strong evidence of nonlinear stationarity was found for the US CPI-based series but no such evidence for the DM CPI-based series. When compared with earlier results in a previous paper where the alternative of the linear unit root test was stationarity with multiple shifts in the deterministic terms, it was found that similar results were obtained for the US CPI-based series but not for the DM CPI-based one, possibly implying that the multiple shifts approach may be more appropriate for the Turkish series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000238870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000238870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:645-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Jurajda Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Jurajda Title: Recalls and unemployment insurance taxes Abstract: The US unemployment insurance (UI) system draws its funds from a payroll tax on employers. The tax rate varies directly with an employer's layoff history. There exists extensive evidence on the effect of this so-called experience rated tax on layoff decisions. However, since firms are typically liable for each dollar of regular UI benefits paid to laid off former employees, experience rating may also affect recall behaviour. This note therefore measures the effect of the UI financing system on the duration of unemployment. This article finds some evidence that higher layoff tax costs shorten the duration of recall unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-656 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000238861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000238861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:651-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Aggregation bias and its bounds in measuring technical efficiency Abstract: The discussion about the bias due to input (or output) aggregation in efficiency measurement based on data envelopment analysis, recently revisited by Tauer (2001) and Fare and Zelenyuk (2002) is continued. Attention is focused on the direction and the bounds of the aggregation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Darren Frechette Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Frechette Title: A new t-test for the R/S analysis and long memory in agricultural commodity prices Abstract: This article tests for long memory in daily and weekly agricultural cash price returns, using the modified rescaled range (R/S) test. A new corrected t-test is constructed for the R/S test to measure statistical significance properly. Empirical results indicate evidence of long memory in more than half of the agricultural commodities analysed. However, the values of estimated H statistics are less than 0.6, indicating relatively weak memory. The corrected t-test reduces type-I error for H statistics on the persistent long memory side and increases the power of the test for H statistics on the anti-persistent side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-667 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:661-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Manez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Manez Author-Name: Maria Rochina Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina Author-Name: Juan Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Title: The decision to export: a panel data analysis for Spanish manufacturing Abstract: This paper aims to empirically analyse the determinants of the decision to export using a sample of Spanish manufacturing firms during the 1990s. The data are drawn from the Encuesta sobre Estrategias Empresariales. A panel data probit model is used that is estimated using maximum-likelihood techniques. The results show that regional and local spillovers and firm characteristics such as age, size, productivity, corporation, foreign ownership, R&D and advertising intensity, have a positive and significant influence on the probability of exporting. Furthermore, public sector oriented sales have a significant and negative impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Author-Name: Jung-Duk Lichtenberger Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Duk Author-X-Name-Last: Lichtenberger Title: Empirical estimates of the impact of the euro on the corporate bond market in the euro area Abstract: Empirical estimates of an error-correction model, nested in a partial adjustment framework, show that the euro had a temporary impact, via mergers and acquisitions activity, on corporate bond issuance in the euro area. In addition, a permanent effect is found for corporate bonds issued by non-monetary financial corporations. For the first five years of the single currency, these effects are estimated to have been up to 2½ and around 5½ percentage points, respectively, of the annual bond market growth. Other significant determinants of corporate bond issuance are economic activity, the cost of bond issuance relative to other sources of external finance and mergers and acquisitions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-678 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:675-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hsiou-wei William Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiou-wei William Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Estimating value-at-risk via Markov switching ARCH models - an empirical study on stock index returns Abstract: This paper estimates the Value-at-Risk (VaR) on returns of stock market indexes including Dow Jones, Nikkei, Frankfurt Commerzbank index, and FTSE via Markov Switching ARCH (SWARCH) models. It is conjectured that structural changes contribute to non-normality in stock return distributions. SWARCH models, which admit parameters based on various states to control structural changes in the estimating periods, may thus help mitigate kurtosis, tail-fatness and skewness problems in estimating VaR. Significant kurtosis and skewness in return distributions of Dow Jones, Nikkei, FCI and FTSE and significant tail-fatness (tail-thinness) in the 1% (5%) region critical probability are documented. Moreover, it is shown that the more generalized SWARCH outshines both ARCH and GARCH in capturing non-normalities with respect to both in- and out-sample VaR violation rate tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236539 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236539&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:679-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Alvarez-Albelo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Albelo Title: Endogenous versus exogenous efficiency units of labour for the quantitative study of social security: two examples Abstract: This paper explores the role of endogenous versus exogenous efficiency units of labour for the quantitative evaluation of the impact of pay-as-you-go Social Security on labour supply. Pension response to a population growth rate change is also studied. Two dynamic general equilibrium models are used: one with human capital accumulation through learning-by-doing, and a second with exogenous efficiency units of labour. The main differences in the results are the following: (a) the shift in the working time-age profile induced by the elimination of Social Security considerably differs in both models. The increase in average hours worked is 4% higher under human capital accumulation than in the alternative model; and (b) the pension falls by a similar percentage in both models when the population growth rate is set to zero. This occurs because the capital-labour ratio changes less under learning-by-doing than with exogenous efficiency units of labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Hsun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Fiscal decentralization, collusion and government size in China's transitional economy Abstract: This paper examines the public sector in China's transitional economy, with the aim of testing the validity of a variety of hypotheses, namely the Brennan and Buchanan (1980, The Power to Tax: Analytical Foundations of a Fiscal Constitution, CUP, Cambridge); Oates-Wallis (1985, American Economic Review, 75(4) 748-57) version of the decentralization hypothesis and the Brennan and Buchanan collusion hypothesis, on the impact of fiscal decentralization at the provincial level. Pooled cross-section (province) and time-series data are employed with the period under consideration being 1986-1998. An error components technique is also used for the empirical testing. The empirical results provide evidence to support both the Oates-Wallis hypothesis and the collusion hypothesis that an increase in fiscal decentralization leads to a higher level of provincial government expenditure. The study also finds that the central and provincial governments are provided with an incentive to form collusive agreements through extra-budgetary funds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:699-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? Abstract: This letter applies the Zivot and Andrews (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 251-70, 1992) one break and the Lumsdaine and Papell (Review of Economic and Statistics, 79, 212-8, 1997) two break unit root tests to examine the random walk hypothesis for stock prices in South Korea. The results provide strong evidence that stock prices in South Korea are characterized by a unit root, which is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure: a causality analysis Abstract: This paper examines the long-run and short-run causality issues between public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure in Korea by using the cointegration and error-correction models. The overall results show that there exists bidirectional causality between public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure. This means that increasing public R&D expenditure has a direct effect on private R&D expenditure and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agustin Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Agustin Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Julian Ramajo Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Ramajo Title: Budget deficit and interest rates: empirical evidence for Spain Abstract: Evidence, whether international or national, of the significance of the links between budget deficits and interest rates, is in general terms inconclusive. The aim of the present work is to contribute new findings for the Spanish economy using annual data for the period 1964-2000. It is found that budget deficits did not appear to raise long-run nominal interest rates during our sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hildegart Ahumada Author-X-Name-First: Hildegart Author-X-Name-Last: Ahumada Author-Name: Maria Lorena Garegnani Author-X-Name-First: Maria Lorena Author-X-Name-Last: Garegnani Title: An estimation of deep parameters describing Argentine consumer behaviour Abstract: This paper investigates the microfoundation of consumer decisions in Argentina (1980:1-2001:3). Structural parameters are estimated following the Euler Equation-GMM approach. Attention is focused on parameter instability, an empirical difficulty for applying this method often pointed out in the literature. The rates of return on assets are approximated by the real interest rate and the rate of growth of real exchange rate as they have been considered as the main variables explaining variations of Argentine 'wealth'. The results show that parameter estimates have the expected values and the correct signs. Overidentifying restrictions are tested and the null hypothesis of validity of instruments is not rejected. Estimates are also robust for different specifications of the weighting matrix. However, parameter constancy is jointly rejected. Recursive estimates show that the risk aversion coefficient appears as more unstable than the impatience parameter, which is also the less uncertain within sample. Observed changes in estimates seem to be an expected response to different macroeconomic frameworks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Jared Loftus Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Loftus Author-Name: Windy Keenel Author-X-Name-First: Windy Author-X-Name-Last: Keenel Title: The decay of norms and the production of social order: conceptual and empirical models Abstract: This note explores the decay of social norms using a model of the production of social order in the context of 'rules' employed by cities/municipalities to 'govern' activities during Halloween. The empirical results suggest that population homogeneity, the upper class' scope for 'purchasing' norm conformity from middle and lower classes, the abundance of social capital and the cohesiveness of family units are all important determinants of the likelihood that a city or locale will employ formal order-producing mechanisms during the Halloween period. The results are supportive of the seminal work on norms by Becker (1996) and others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-730 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000249797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000249797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:725-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Idson Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Idson Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: Teammate effects on pay Abstract: This paper explores the question of whether a worker's pay is affected by the attributes of co-workers. Using data from the NBA on players who have switched teams, it is found that teammate attributes do influence an individual's pay. Comparisons to the NHL suggest that differential co-worker effects reflect the nature of complementarity in different production environments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-733 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:731-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vijay Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Author-Name: R. Raymond Sant Author-X-Name-First: R. Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sant Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Title: The price of corporate acquisition: determinants of cash takeover premia Abstract: A sample of cash-only acquisitions of Nasdaq targets during 1973-1999 is examined. It is found that the mean (median) percentage premia declines from 74% (65%) during the 1970s to 47% (42%) in the 1990s. Consistent with recent research on the value reduction associated with diversification, it is observed that acquirers generally will not pay higher prices to acquire firms operating in different industries. It is found that over-invested firms pursue acquisitions more aggressively by paying higher premia while under-invested firms pay less, on average. Finally, the evidence suggests that agency rather than synergistic or hubris effects influence the level of merger premia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-739 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:735-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Author-Name: Jan Willem Van Den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Van Den Author-X-Name-Last: End Title: Do stock prices affect house prices? Evidence for the Netherlands Abstract: The relationship between stock prices and house prices is investigated by comparing different segments of the Dutch housing market. This connection is strongest for the most expensive segment, and is also related to homeowners' stock market exposure. These findings support the idea that equity is a determinant of house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254863 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254863&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Bockerman Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Bockerman Title: Does labour market reorganization reduce unemployment? Abstract: This study addresses the connection between reorganization and unemployment in the labour market. Reorganization of regional labour markets measured by simultaneous gross migration flows lowers the unemployment rate, based on evidence from a panel of Finnish regions. However, reorganization is shown to be unrelated to long-term unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Veraros Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Veraros Author-Name: Evangelia Kasimati Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Kasimati Author-Name: Peter Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: The 2004 Olympic Games announcement and its effect on the Athens and Milan stock exchanges Abstract: Through an event study methodology, the effect of the nomination of Athens as the hosting city for the Olympics of 2004 on the stock exchanges of Greece (winner) and Italy (loser), the two primary candidates for the Games is examined. Academic literature suggests that sporting mega events have a positive contribution to the host area economy. This implies that the stock exchange should react positively to the announcement of such events. Berman et al. (2000), in a similar study on the announcement of the Sydney 2000 Olympics, found no significant effect on the overall market and only limited effect on infrastructure-related companies based in the specific area hosting the Games. This study reveals a significantly positive effect on the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) as a whole, as well as on infrastructure-related industries. No significant effect was identified on the Milan Stock Exchange (MSE). The differences in the impact of the announcement to economy size differences between the two countries and to the assessment is attributed to the fact that due to the highly competitive nature of the bidding process the financial markets assign higher probability to losing instead of winning. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sheng-Yung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Foreign exchange risk, world diversification and Taiwanese ADRs Abstract: This study tries to answer the following question: Should the US investors purchase American depository receipts (ADRs) issued by Taiwanese multinationals? The conditional international asset pricing model of Dumas and Solnik (Journal of Finance, 50, 445-79, 1995) is applied to price these Taiwanese American depository receipts (ADRs). Empirical results show that foreign exchange risk is priced in Taiwanese ADRs. Moreover, Taiwanese ADRs are shown to help US investors diversify their portfolios globally. These findings suggest that Taiwanese ADRs are valid investment tools for US investors who seek international diversifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elmer Sterken Author-X-Name-First: Elmer Author-X-Name-Last: Sterken Title: Demand for money and shortages in Ethiopia Abstract: The paper discusses the long-run monetary conditions in Ethiopia in the last three decades. These decades can be characterized by large political changes, leading to shocks on income and population growth, and two serious periods of drought. Both affected inflation and real demand for M1 through shortages of food. Shortage due to drops in rainfall might have long-run monetary consequences. Despite regime shifts we find support for stability of Ethiopian narrow money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000245511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000245511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:759-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheolbeom Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheolbeom Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Pei Fang Lim Author-X-Name-First: Pei Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Excess sensitivity of consumption, liquidity constraints, and mandatory saving Abstract: Using Singapore mandatory saving system, it is examined whether liquidity constraint is a major reason for the excess-sensitivity of consumption to predictable income growth. Although the mandatory saving rate for employees could be a good measure for the financial condition of a liquidity-constrained consumer, it is found, through the nonlinear instrumental variable estimation, that consumption growth is not sensitive to changes in the mandatory saving rate for employees. This finding suggests that liquidity constraints would not be a major reason for the excess-sensitivity puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Does financial variable(s) explain the Japanese aggregate import demand? A cointegration analysis Abstract: This study is an extension of the study by Tang (Japan and the World Economy, 15, 419-36, 2003b), which has documented no long-run equilibrium relationship among the Japanese aggregate imports, real income and relative price of imports. This finding, however, is probably due to the bias of variable(s) omission. To fill this gap, financial variable(s) has been empirically incorporated into the Japan's import demand analysis. Using a cointegration approach, this study has provided empirical support for the inclusion of financial variable(s) into the Japanese aggregate import demand function. This is an important finding from the viewpoint of policymakers upon the implications of momentary policies on the Japanese trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:775-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Smallwood Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smallwood Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Title: Estimating cointegrating vectors using near unit root variables Abstract: This paper argues that the predominant method of estimating equilibrium relationships in macroeconometric models, namely the VECM system of Johansen, is severely flawed if the underlying variables are distributed as near unit root processes. Researchers may apply cointegration techniques to these processes, as the power of rejecting near unit roots using standard unit root tests is extremely low. Using Monte Carlo analysis, problematic behaviour of cointegration analysis is found in detecting the true underlying form of the connection between the near unit root processes. Furthermore the connecting vector is imprecisely estimated, resulting in problematic inference for error correction models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000245520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000245520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Jorge Andraz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Andraz Title: Public highway spending and state spillovers in the USA Abstract: The empirical results reported in this paper suggest that only about 20% of the aggregate effects of public investment in highways in the US are captured by the direct effects on each state output of public investment in the state itself. The remaining 80% correspond to the spillover effects from public investment in highways in other states. This result may provide an answer to the paradox in the literature that the findings of large effects at the aggregate level have not been matched at the regional level. This is because regional analysis has typically ignored the possible existence of spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuhide Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhide Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: On the equity aspect of the 'quasi-market' in educational services: the case of the North-West region in England Abstract: This paper considers the equity aspect of the educational reform in English secondary education. By using data from the School Performance Tables in the North West region of England, two indices of equity measurement, the 'dissimilarity index' and the Gini coefficient, are calculated. From the results, it is found out that the disparity between schools in the region has not been a serious problem so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Neumayer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Neumayer Title: The super-rich in global perspective: a quantitative analysis of the Forbes list of billionaires Abstract: Why are there more super-rich people in some countries than in others? Extra-ordinary wealth is often regarded with envy and might raise the suspicion that it can only be accumulated with the help of a minimalist state that does not concern itself with the plight of the many. This raises the issue whether a high number of billionaires can co-exist with a high-taxing, interventionist, social and welfare spending government? These two questions are at the heart of this paper's analysis. To answer them a quantitative analysis of the global Forbes list of billionaires is undertaken. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Paya Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: Term spread and real economic activity in Korea: was the crisis predictable? Abstract: This paper has three objectives. First, it examines the link between the term spread (difference between long-term and short-term rate of interest) and GDP growth in the Korean economy for the period 1980-1999. Second, it tests for the independent information content of the term spread by including current and expected monetary policy indicators. Third, it explores the usefulness of the spread as a leading indicator of recessions and poses the question, was the crisis of 1997-1998 predictable? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-801 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:797-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: A social discount rate for France Abstract: Each of the member countries of the European Union should, ideally, employ the same approach to measuring a discount rate for application in the appraisal of social projects. This, however, is far from the case! The German rate is based on financial market data, the British measure reflects social time preference and the French rate is usually based on the marginal product of capital. While the German and British rates are similar in value, the French rate of 8% is over twice as high! In this paper, a discount rate based on social time preference is estimated for France and the policy implications of the result are then considered. The main finding is that the real rate of discount would fall to less than half its current level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-808 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254638 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254638&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:803-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Christopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Christopoulos Title: Currency devaluation and output growth: new evidence from panel data analysis Abstract: Using panel data unit root tests and panel cointegration tests including Johansen maximum likelihood cointegration tests, as well as estimation techniques appropriate for heterogeneous panels such as fully modified OLS, this study examines the effect of currency devaluation on output expansion in a sample of eleven Asian countries over the period 1968-1999. The results suggest that, in the long run, output growth is affected by currency devaluation in the majority of countries under examination and in the panel as a whole. This finding stands at variance with other recent studies, which concluded that devaluation does not exert any important influence on aggregate output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunday Osaretin Iyare Author-X-Name-First: Sunday Osaretin Author-X-Name-Last: Iyare Author-Name: Troy Lorde Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Lorde Title: Co-integration, causality and Wagner's law: tests for selected Caribbean countries Abstract: In this paper, six versions of Wagner's Law were empirically tested employing aggregate annual time-series data on nine Caribbean countries. The results indicate that a long-run equilibrium relationship between income and government expenditure does not exist for the countries studied, with the exceptions of Grenada, Guyana and Jamaica for a particular formulation of Wagner's Law. However, the direction of causality runs from income to government expenditure only for Guyana, while for the other two, the causality runs in the other direction. Results for short-run causality are mixed, but the predominant causal relationship appears to run from income to government expenditure. In light of the empirical results in this paper, one may tentatively conclude that Wagner's Law finds broad support in these islands. These results run counter to what has been previously reported for a subset of the islands studied in this paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-825 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:815-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Partial indexation and inflation dynamics: what do the data say? Abstract: New evidence is provided on the fit of the hybrid Phillips curve based on indexation of prices to lagged inflation and trend inflation for the Euro area and the USA over the period 1970-2002. The GMM-West estimates suggest that (i) a full indexation scheme is not data consistent whereas a partial indexation scheme allows a good fit and (ii) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4% of the probability to not change the price, for reasonable values of trend inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-832 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:827-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Fernandez De Guevara Author-X-Name-First: Juan Fernandez Author-X-Name-Last: De Guevara Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Title: Measuring welfare loss of market power: an application to European banks Abstract: From a model of imperfect competition among banking firms, this study derives an analytical expression that allows empirical quantification of the welfare loss associated with imperfect competition. Its application to the specific case of the European banking system shows that in spite of the process of deregulation, market power increased during the 1990s in 10 out of the 15 countries of the EU. The welfare loss associated with market power represents close to 2.5% of EU GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Frequency domain principal components estimation of fractionally cointegrated processes Abstract: This study introduces a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the loading matrix for the common factors for fractionally cointegrated long memory processes. A Monte Carlo simulation exercise reveals that the proposed estimator has already good properties with relatively small sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-842 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:837-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Llop Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Llop Author-Name: Antonio Manresa Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Manresa Title: The general equilibrium effects of social security contributions under alternative incidence assumptions Abstract: This study deals with the economic effects of a firm's social security taxes in the Catalan economy, using an applied general equilibrium model. A novel aspect of the analysis is that it hypothesizes about the incidence of firm's contributions on both employers and employees. The results of a reduction in firm's social security taxation are sensitive to the incidence assumption. In particular, the study shows that the effects on regional unemployment, income distribution and relative prices of factors depend considerably on the incidence hypothesis assumed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-850 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:847-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Merino Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Merino Title: Firms' productivity and internationalization: a statistical dominance test Abstract: The literature on firm's internationalization establishes a direct relationship between productivity and foreign activities. This paper extends the usual tests on this relationship in two areas: first, it distinguishes the main stages in the internationalization process (multinationals and exporters); second, as tests of difference of means may be insufficient, statistical dominance tests of the productivity distribution have been formulated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-854 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:851-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irvin Tucker Author-X-Name-First: Irvin Author-X-Name-Last: Tucker Title: Pigskins and publications revisited Abstract: Using a sample of US universities, Shugart et al. (Atlantic Economic Journal, 14, pp. 45-50, 1986) reported a regression model estimation that the winning percentage of a football team was inversely related to the average number of pages published in top economics journals by an economics department faculty. To re-examine this finding, a similar empirical model was applied to more recent data and this investigation found that the football winning percentage has no statistically significant impact on the per capita number of pages published in top economics journals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-845 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:843-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact distribution and critical values of a unit root test in the presence of change in variance Abstract: This paper, using the Imhof (1961) method, shows the method of evaluating numerically the exact distribution of a unit root test statistic when the error variance changes. Based on the method, the effect of the change in variance on the exact distribution is examined, and we tabulate numerically exact critical values when the sample size is small and moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-860 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:855-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreea Andronescu Author-X-Name-First: Andreea Author-X-Name-Last: Andronescu Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Long-run estimates of money demand in Romania Abstract: This paper estimates the long-run demand for money in Romania using monthly data from January 1994 to August 2003. The Johansen-Juselius cointegration procedure provides evidence of one cointegrating vector for both narrowly and broadly defined money demand functions. Real money balances are not only sensitive to real income, but also the domestic interest rate and the depreciation of the domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 861-864 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:861-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Title: Does more time improve test scores in micro principles? Abstract: This note reports on an empirical exercise designed to examine the connection between a student's decision on test-taking time and resulting test scores. Based on a small sample of microeconomics principles students observed over several tests, evidence is found supporting a positive impact of added time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gi Choon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Gi Choon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Sonya Kostova Huffman Author-X-Name-First: Sonya Kostova Author-X-Name-Last: Huffman Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: An empirical analysis of joint decisions on labour supply and welfare participation Abstract: Economic and welfare programme factors affect the wellbeing of low-income families and their labour supply decisions. This study uses recent data from the US Survey of Income and Programme Participation. A nested logit model is estimated to explain the joint decisions to participate in Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) and the labour market for the population of families potentially eligible for TANF. The empirical findings indicate that higher wages increase labour and decrease welfare programme participation; an increase in non-labour income decreases both labour market and welfare participation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-872 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000269885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000269885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:869-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sotiris Staikouras Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Staikouras Title: A chronicle of the banking and currency crises Abstract: The research undertaken in the area of banking and currency crises is surveyed. The causes and implications of the twin crises are discussed, along with the theoretical and empirical framework for investigating them. The overview has highlighted a number of interesting aspects. A consistent set of economic indicators is identified as being able to predict possible financial jitters. Non-quantified factors such as expectations, herding behaviour and contagion are also crucial beyond and above economic fundamentals. The direction of the twin crises' causality is not clearly established yet. It is usually a banking crisis that precedes a currency downfall, with the latter creating a vicious spiral. Finally, a few other points are identified as issues of future concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-878 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:873-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Spurious rejection by cointegration tests incorporating structural change in the cointegrating relationship Abstract: In recent research, Leybourne and Newbold have shown commonly employed tests of cointegration to exhibit spurious rejection when applied to independent unit root processes subject to breaks in either level or trend. In the present paper, this research is extended to consider the finite-sample properties of cointegration tests which explicitly incorporate structural change. It is shown that when applied to independent unit root processes subject to regime shifts, cointegration tests permitting structural change in the cointegrating relationship can spuriously reject the null of no cointegration more frequently than the standard tests considered by Leybourne and Newbold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-884 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485040000267012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485040000267012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:879-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: International production sharing and economic development: moving up the value-chain for a small-open economy Abstract: This study theoretically examines the factors required by a small-open economy to move up the value-chain. To carry out the study, a framework of production sharing involving a large developed country and a less developed small-open economy is used. Service bundles are modelled as inputs for coordinating the manufacturing activities located across the countries. It is found that the small-open economy can move up the value-chain when the size of its skilled labour force increases and the production cost of its service bundles decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-889 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:885-889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Some frequency domain properties of fractionally cointegrated processes Abstract: The paper shows that the multiple squared coherence at the zero frequency for fractionally differenced (fractionally) cointegrated processes is equal to one, while the simple squared coherences assume a value greater than zero but lower than one. In the bivariate case the multiple and simple squared coherence coincide and, therefore, the simple squared coherence at the zero frequency assumes a unitary value. It is also found that processes that are not fractionally cointegrated show, in general, positive, but lower than one, multiple and simple squared coherences at the zero frequency. In the case the dependent and independent variables are driven by different long memory factors, i.e. in the case when the dependent variable is orthogonal at the zero frequency to any of the regressors, the squared multiple coherence will assume a zero value, as any of the squared simple coherences. It is finally shown that all the above results also hold for the series in levels, as the frequency tends to zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-894 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:891-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: Information processing and the UK weekend effect: do investors cut their losses on Mondays? Abstract: This paper complements earlier work by the author that shows that the pattern of information arrivals into the UK stock market may explain the behaviour of returns. It is argued that delays or other systematic behaviour in the processing of this information could compound the impact of information arrival patterns. It is found, however, that this does not happen, and so it is the arrival and not the processing of news that is most important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-899 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:895-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Pindado Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Pindado Author-Name: Chabela De La Torre Author-X-Name-First: Chabela Author-X-Name-Last: De La Torre Title: Why is ownership endogenous? Abstract: A recently published paper by Gugler and Weigand (2003) addresses the problem of the endogeneity of ownership, but an unresolved question remains. Where does this endogeneity come from? It is shown that the main source of endogeneity is the simultaneity between ownership and value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-904 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000267003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000267003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:901-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Author-Name: Jean-Sebastien Pentecote Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecote Title: Tax degression and the political budget cycle in French municipalities Abstract: This paper explores local incumbent behaviour during office. First, empirical evidence is given about the fiscal policy instruments by which French municipalities try to influence election outcome. Special care is taken about the econometric issues raised by the dynamic panel data setting. Secondly, a theoretical framework is built to investigate the political budget cycle when local taxation is degressive as in France. Its main results help understanding of the empirical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000268642 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000268642&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Short run real exchange rate dynamics: a SUR approach Abstract: This paper examines the convergence question by contrasting the half-lives of deviations across the producer price index (PPI) and consumer price index (CPI) in a bivariate error correction model. To improve efficiency, the models are estimated jointly using a seemingly unrelated regressions approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-913 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000269876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000269876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:909-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ya-Ming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: An application of adverse selection: rural agricultural production in China since the 1950s Abstract: Asymmetric information problems in collective rural agricultural production in China after 1955 is examined by applying the theory of adverse selection. This application shows the movement of equilibrium stages from a pooling contract to a separating one can explain the process of rural reform in China from the collective institution arrangement to the household responsibility system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-917 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:915-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Size properties of cointegration tests in misspecified systems Abstract: The small sample size properties of three frequently used cointegration tests when a system has been misspecified are investigated. Specifically, the misspecification consists of one relevant variable being omitted from a system with one cointegrating vector. A Monte Carlo study shows that the Johansen (1991) trace test, adjusted by a simple finite sample correction, has the most robust behaviour when lag length in the test equations is chosen according to traditional information criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-924 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:919-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Jarvinen Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Jarvinen Author-Name: Harri Toivonen Author-X-Name-First: Harri Author-X-Name-Last: Toivonen Title: Pricing European commodity swaptions Abstract: In this paper, formulas for commodity swaptions are presented. By utilizing the forward price based approach a simple closed form solution for European swaptions is derived based on the assumption of deterministic volatility for lognormal variables. The formulas result from applying the Margrabe (1978) exchange option concept to the present problem. A special case of constant volatility yields the Black (1976) formula that has been the market standard in the interest rate swaption markets for many years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-929 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:925-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Determinants of subscription time for portable internet service Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of the subscription time for portable Internet service (PIS). To this end, a two-equation model, which incorporates a two-level decision structure: a decision on whether to subscribe for the PIS and a decision on the subscription time conditional on deciding to subscribe for it, is proposed. The two-equation model is appropriate for analysing the determinants of the subscription time for PIS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 931-934 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:931-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Title: Productivity transitions in the US manufacturing sector Abstract: This note investigates productivity dynamics of US manufacturing industries during the period 1958-1996. Nonparametric methods are used to calculate total factor productivity relative to a frontier production function and to estimate the transition density. The shape of the transition density leads to the conclusion that persistence relative to the frontier function plays a substantial role in sectoral productivity development, thereby contradicting the existence of strong intertemporal spillover effects between sectors as supposed in recent growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-937 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:935-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Walkenhorst Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Walkenhorst Title: EU exporter-concerns about non-tariff measures Abstract: As customs tariffs have been reduced in subsequent rounds of trade negotiations, increasing attention has focused on the impacts of domestic policies on international trade and the use of non-tariff measures (NTMs). According to evidence from an inventory of business complaints, natural resource based industries, such as agriculture and food, mining, and textiles, are most strongly affected by NTMs relative to their export volumes. Certification procedures, quantity control measures, and technical regulations are the types of NTM most frequently complained about. Concerns about domestic governance practices, such as impediments related to government procurement, investment restrictions, or insufficient intellectual property rights protection account for almost a third of all NTM observations and are in most cases not sector-specific, but of a general nature. These complaints are frequently associated with discriminatory practices or inappropriate regulations, while delays and obstructions are repeatedly mentioned in relation to customs and certification procedures and technical regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cosme Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Statistical variability of top ranking economics journals impact Abstract: Four issues concerning the quality of scientific economics papers are addressed. First, the ex-ante procedure of computing the average impact of economic papers are validated by comparing its results with the ex post values. Second, an estimator of papers normalized impact is calibrated. Third, the ranking variability of journals is computed using a bootstrap procedure. Fourth, the statistical hypothesis that journals' ranking did not change over the time interval between 1980 and 2000 is tested. It is concluded that this hypothesis is rejected only for the Quarterly Journal of Economics and Econometrica, which saw their citation impact improved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Wada Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Wada Title: Informational content of stock exchanges versus over-the-counter markets: the behaviour of stock indices around the Asian financial crisis in Japan and Korea Abstract: The daily returns of the stock exchange index and the over-the counter (OTC) index in Japan and Korea around the Asian financial crisis are investigated. The stock exchange index contains information on relatively old technology sectors, while the OTC index contains information on relatively new technology sectors. Although previous studies focused only on the performance of the former, the behaviour of these two indices around the crisis is shown to be different. Thus, additional insight is obtained by considering these two market indices at the same time Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-955 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291358 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291358&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:949-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Measuring market power of the US cigarette industry Abstract: The US cigarette industry is attributed to have been involved in cartel practices from time to time. Such practice undermines the actual purpose of deregulation. So far, there have been sparse studies on measuring their market power. The studies done so far have mostly found that the US cigarette industry has not been perfectly competitive. Most of the studies were done a long time ago and the industry has undergone substantial structural changes since then (in the late 1980s and 1990s). Therefore, this study attempts to measure their market power in recent years. Evidence that the US cigarette industry is competitive is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-959 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:957-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: A multifactor model of Philippine stock returns using latent macro risk factors Abstract: This study addresses the measurement problem inherent in using published macroeconomic data to proxy for unobservable macro risk factors. Using a structural equation modelling framework, four latent risk factors are identified in addition to the exchange rate and market timing risk factors. The latter two are proxied one-for-one by fluctuations in the nominal peso-dollar exchange rate and the excess return on the portfolio represented by the Phisix. Using transformations of published macroeconomic data as indicator variables, the measurement part of the model appears to capture the essence of the unobservable risk factors they are supposed to measure. The betas or factor loadings generated by the structural model indicate that fluctuations in the risk factors have significant effects on the time variation of stock returns. However, the effects are more pronounced after the onset of the Asian financial crisis than before. Tests of model fit do not reject the hypothesis that the returns are consistent with the six-factor model for the entire period covered by the study, although individual factors are priced only during the 1997-2001 sub-period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-968 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:961-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Weaver Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Weaver Author-Name: Justus Wessler Author-X-Name-First: Justus Author-X-Name-Last: Wessler Title: Monopolistic pricing power for transgenic crops when technology adopters face irreversible benefits and costs Abstract: Pricing of biotechnology innovation under a patent grant is reconsidered in a model with uncertain returns and irreversible costs and benefits. Past results on restricted monopoly pricing in the presence of competing technologies showed that pricing power is reduced. The timing of adoption of an innovation is delayed and the pricing power of the restricted monopolist is further reduced when uncertainty and irreversibility is considered. The presence of irreversible benefits results in increased willingness-to-pay for the innovation, accelerating adoption, and increasing the innovator's restricted monopolist pricing power. Using Monte-Carlo simulation, the quantitative effects were approximated by a linear function through the hyper-plane. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lynn Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lynn Title: Restaurant tips and service quality: a commentary of Bodvarsson, Luksetich and McDermott (2003) Abstract: Bodvarsson et al. (2003) argue that a non-recursive relationship between service and tipping has led researchers to underestimate the strength of the causal impact of service on tipping. In this paper, their arguments, analyses, and conclusions are criticized. Then, their data is re-analysed to draw more appropriate conclusions as to what the data say concerning the effects of service on tipping. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-978 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:975-978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. -Y. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Y. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Gresham's law in the late Chosun Korea Abstract: The issue of Gresham's law in the late Chosun Korea is addressed. Available historical records are interpreted to provide evidence that undervalued money was taken out of circulation because of both the legal tender law and Rolnick and Weber's law. Later, however, undervalued money replaced overvalued money because of the inflationary effect of the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-984 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:979-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Jared Loftus Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Loftus Author-Name: Windy Keene Author-X-Name-First: Windy Author-X-Name-Last: Keene Title: The decay of norms and the production of social order: conceptual and empirical models Abstract: This note explores the decay of social norms using a model of the production of social order in the context of 'rules' employed by cities/municipalities to 'govern' activities during Halloween. The empirical results suggest that population homogeneity, the upper class' scope for 'purchasing' norm conformity from middle and lower classes, the abundance of social capital and the cohesiveness of family units are all important determinants of the likelihood that a city or locale will employ formal order-producing mechanisms during the Halloween period. The results are supportive of the seminal work on norms by Becker (1996) and others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000249797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000249797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Mossialos Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mossialos Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Konstantina Davaki Author-X-Name-First: Konstantina Author-X-Name-Last: Davaki Author-Name: Konstantinos Karras Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Karras Title: Is there 'patient selection' in the demand for private maternity care in Greece? Abstract: The influence of private health insurance (PHI) and gynaecologists' demand for leisure in determining a caesarean section (CS) delivery is examined. A database collected in January 2002 is exploited which contains records on women who attended the second largest private hospital in Greece. A joint maximum-likelihood probit estimation for the PHI subscription and the decision to undertake CS is employed. Results suggest that the obstetrician's decision to undertake CS is not independent of the women having PHI coverage. The probability of a CS taking place increases by about 20% if mothers have PHI. Furthermore, CS deliveries were more likely to take place between 12.00 and 16.00 pm and on working week days and Saturdays. The results support the hypothesis of patient selection on the basis of holding PHI and exhibit evidence of gynaecologists' 'demand for leisure'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850420007099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850420007099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:7-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Belman Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Belman Author-Name: Kristen Monaco Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Monaco Title: Are truck drivers underpaid? Abstract: There is an emerging debate over whether truck drivers are 'underpaid' given their human capital and working conditions. Using data from the 2000 Current Population Survey, the pay differentials between truck drivers and other blue collar occupations are investigated. While truck drivers appear to receive a small premium in their hourly wage compared to workers with similar skill requirements, they receive substantial premium in their weekly wage. This weekly wage differential is primarily the result of a substantially longer work week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:13-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Terregrossa Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Terregrossa Title: On the efficacy of constraints on the linear combination forecast model Abstract: Combination forecasting has been demonstrated to be a successful technique for enhanced forecast accuracy of economic and financial variables. An established method to generate the component-forecast weights is the ordinary-least-squares (OLS) regression technique: Actual values of a variable are regressed on within-sample values of forecasts generated by alternative forecast sources. The estimated regression coefficients then serve as weights for out-of-sample combination forecasts. The present study addresses the controversy regarding the efficacy of placing restrictions on the combining model when generating weights for out-of-sample forecasts. Combinations are formed of component earnings-growth forecasts generated separately by financial analysts and a statistical model. Both restricted and unrestricted OLS are used in turn to generate the component-forecast weights. The findings suggest that combinations formed with weights generated by OLS with the constant suppressed and the sum-of-the-coefficients constrained to equal one, lead to enhanced forecast-accuracy and generally perform best. This study differs from a previous related study appearing in Applied Financial Economics1 in at least three main ways: (1) Combination forecasts are formed using actual regression-coefficients as forecast weights; (2) Forecast weights are generated using unrestricted OLS, as well as restricted OLS; (3) All combination forecasts are strictly ex-ante simulated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:19-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tung Liang Liao Author-X-Name-First: Tung Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Mei-Chu Ke Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Ke Author-Name: Hsiang-Tai Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiang-Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Anomalous price behaviour around stock repurchases on the Taiwan stock exchange Abstract: This study examines the impact of stock repurchases on a repurchasing firm's stock returns on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). It is clear that significant negative abnormal returns are observed most days prior to the announcement day and that significant positive abnormal returns are detected on the announcement day and during the first few days of the post-announcement period. The total sample is further divided into various sub samples on the basis of the purpose of repurchasing, the industrial sector, firm size and the size of the repurchase. On account of the feature of industrial development in the last ten years in Taiwan, the peculiar finding is that the book-to-market ratio, which has been used to partition the repurchasing sample in the USA and Canada in previous studies, may be more appropriately substituted by the industrial sector. This finding indicates that the stock repurchase announcements of financial firms or conventional firms generate a greater impact on stock returns than do electronics firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:29-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Cross-country disparities in welfare, 1970-1998 Abstract: In this study we explore the evolution and origin of international welfare inequality in a sample of 39 countries between 1970 and 1998. To achieve this aim, different theoretical results taken from the literature on personal income distribution have been applied to an additive decomposition of Sen's welfare index. In relation to the evolution of international disparities in welfare, the conclusions obtained vary depending on the inclusion in the analysis of population shares. In addition, cross-country productivity differences emerge as playing the major role in accounting for observed patterns of welfare inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manh Vu Le Author-X-Name-First: Manh Vu Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Terukazu Suruga Author-X-Name-First: Terukazu Author-X-Name-Last: Suruga Title: Foreign direct investment, public expenditure and economic growth: the empirical evidence for the period 1970-2001 Abstract: The simultaneous impact of public expenditures and foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth is studied. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study that takes into account the interaction between FDI and public expenditures in determining the economic growth rate. Using a sample of 105 developing and developed countries for the period 1970-2001, the main findings are (i) FDI, public capital, and private investment play important roles in promoting economic growth, (ii) public non-capital expenditure has a negative impact on economic growth, and (iii) excessive spending in public capital expenditure can hinder the beneficial effects of FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:45-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Amin Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Amin Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Modelling entrepreneurship in small-scale enterprises Abstract: In the small-scale enterprises, the entrepreneurs and managers are often one and the same. This paper attempts to estimate the entrepreneurial competence in small-scale enterprises decomposing into entrepreneurial ability and managerial efficiency using the frontier production function. The empirical results show that most of the sample enterprises fail to realize their full entrepreneurial potential. The important implication of these results is that small enterprises should generate a different set of rules than large enterprises in the decision-making process that best conduces them to move toward their potential frontier. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307071 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307071&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:51-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lanier Nalley Author-X-Name-First: Lanier Author-X-Name-Last: Nalley Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Gregory Parkhurst Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Parkhurst Title: The initial endowment effect in experimental auctions revisited: further evidence Abstract: This analysis employs a uniform 4th price sealed-bid auction to test the impact of endowment heterogeneity on participant bids. A mechanism to legitimize the wealth of participants consistent with prior research on endowments is employed. Second, unlike some previous literature, a mechanism to endogenously induce endowment heterogeneity is employed. Results from a Tobit analysis of participant bids indicate that endowment heterogeneity has no significant impact on bidding behaviour. Therefore, it is concluded that when wealth is legitimized within an experiment, bidding behaviour is more likely rational leading to more robust experimental results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307080 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307080&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Siegler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Siegler Title: International growth and volatility in historical perspective Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between the volatility and growth of real GDP using a newly constructed panel data set from twelve countries over the 1870 to 1929 period. In addition, many other variables are examined that are related to economic growth. The goal has been to uncover robust empirical regularities on this issue for the period prior to the Great Depression - a period which has been relatively neglected in previous empirical work. The main finding is that there is a robust negative partial correlation between volatility and growth, after controlling for other factors. This result is consistent with recent empirical evidence on the post-World War II period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaughan Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Price-cost margins, prices and concentration in US manufacturing: a panel study Abstract: This study tries to separate the efficiency and market power effects of higher concentration for a panel of 253 US manufacturing industries covering the years 1963 to 1992. To do so, two fixed effects estimations of price equations are introduced. The first includes, among the independent variables, average variable cost and a mark-up term dependent on the four firm concentration ratio and isolates the partial effect of concentration on price holding cost constant (the market power effect). The second omits average cost and uses the bias induced to make inferences about the efficiency effect. The results suggest both market power and efficiency effects exist, with the latter dominating. Specifically, for given average cost, higher concentration leads to higher prices, but when average cost are relegated to the error term, higher concentration leads to lower prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:79-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Wavelet-based beta estimation and Japanese industrial stock prices Abstract: This paper applies the multi-scale beta estimation approach based on wavelet analysis proposed in Gencay et al. (2002) to Japanese industrial stock prices. Betas are calculated based on the wavelet rough and smooth from the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and it is argued that the conventional beta estimate is an 'average' of the wavelet-based beta estimates. Some empirical evidence is shown that implies that the multi-scale beta estimation approach is useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saurabh Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saurabh Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: The post-offering performance of IPOs in the Indian banking industry Abstract: In the literature, the underperformance of IPOs is a well-documented empirical anomaly. This study concentrates on IPOs from the banking sector of an emerging economy, India. In a developing country, the role of the banking sector for economic development is undisputed. In view of its importance in economic resource allocation and its distinction from other industries in general, this paper analyses the post offering performance of banking sector IPOs in detail. The performance evaluation on the basis of stock returns did not find significant evidences of underperformance for the IPOs from the banking sector. Moreover, the study, based on key accounting parameters, found improvement in the performance of the banks in the post-listing period. There were no significant differences across ownership groups (public sector banks vis-a-vis their private counterpart) in the IPO performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:89-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Title: Job search skills, employer size and wages Abstract: Many theories concerning the underlying cause of the observed positive correlation between employer size and wages have been evaluated empirically, with a sizeable residual remaining unexplained. This study presents and tests a new theory: successful applicants for vacancies in larger employers possess greater job search skills and therefore are able to obtain a wage closer to their maximum potential wage. Empirical results confirm that differential job search abilities can account for approximately 20% of the difference in average observed wages across large and small employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314316 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314316&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:95-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ossama Mikhail Author-X-Name-First: Ossama Author-X-Name-Last: Mikhail Author-Name: Curtis Eberwein Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Eberwein Author-Name: Jagdish Handa Author-X-Name-First: Jagdish Author-X-Name-Last: Handa Title: On the evidence of non-linear structure in Canadian unemployment Abstract: This study focuses on and examines the empirical evidence of non-linearity in aggregate Canadian unemployment. Contrary to the conclusion reached in many studies, and using a corrected for bias simple non-parametric test (SNT), the null hypothesis of a linear structure for Canadian unemployment is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Export expansion, economic growth and causality in China Abstract: This paper examines the causality between export expansion and economic growth in China using data covering the period from 1979 to 2001. A model allowing for different orders of integration reveals that they are cointegrated. The results of the error correction model show a bi-directional causality between them, supporting previous findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-107 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314343 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314343&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:105-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: Paloma Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Paloma Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Francisco Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: The BDS test and delay time Abstract: One of the most popular tests for detecting non-linear structure is the BDS test. This test is based on the correlation integral, and some studies have proved the sensitivity of this concept in relation to the choice of one particular parameter: delay time. However, the BDS test considers fixed delay time equal to one. In this paper it is investigated whether a flexible choice of delay time might improve the capacity of the BDS test. It is shown that the BDS-G test (generalized BDS test, including delay time choice) can capture non-linearities that are undetected by the classical BDS test. Finally, the robustness of the BDS-G test in the presence of noise is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:109-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: Overeducation, undereducation, and the theory of career mobility: a comment and a note on underemployment Abstract: Overeducated workers are commonly defined as having more schooling than required and more schooling than others in their occupations. Accordingly, the concept of overeducation compares the educational levels of workers within occupational categories. In subtle contrast, underemployed workers are employed in occupations requiring less education than the individuals have, comparing the occupational levels of workers with similar educational attainment. This subtle difference potentially leads to interpretation flaws. For example, Buchel and Mertens (2004) claim 'overeducated workers in Germany have markedly lower relative wage growth rates than adequately educated workers.' Since Buchel and Mertens control for educational attainment and not occupational levels, this statement and others are shown to be potentially flawed and subject to misinterpretation. Such statements need to clearly indicate that similarly educated individuals are being compared across occupational levels. This is because the common definition of overeducation suggests the opposite - that individuals with similar occupation levels are being compared across levels of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337770 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337770&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:115-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ujo Goto Author-X-Name-First: Ujo Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Title: A test of the credibility of temporary protection: evidence from the Japanese oil industry Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the temporary protection policy for the Japanese oil industry provided by the Provisional Law on Importation of Specific Petroleum Products (Tokusekiho) between 1986 and 1996 was a credible policy. This policy plays a role as an incentive device forcing competition, but whether it functions effectively depends on whether the oil industry regarded the 'Temporariness' of the policy as being credible. The effectiveness of the law is analysed by measuring changes in the cost structure of four oil firms in the oil industry before, during and after the period of protection. It is found that the cost function of each firm shifted upwards during the period of protection, suggesting that the incentives did not work effectively. This implies that the temporary protection policy lacked credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:119-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayotis Kapopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis Author-X-Name-Last: Kapopoulos Author-Name: Fotios Siokis Author-X-Name-First: Fotios Author-X-Name-Last: Siokis Title: Stock and real estate prices in Greece: wealth versus 'credit-price' effect Abstract: An attempt is made to clarify the relationship between price fluctuations of two major assets in Greece, real estate and stocks. Two mechanisms have been proposed to interpret this relationship. The first one is well known as 'wealth effect', which claims that households with unanticipated gains in share prices tend to increase the amount of housing. The second one is the credit price effect, which claims that a rise in real estate prices can stimulate economic activity, future profitability of firms and, as a consequence, stock market prices by raising the value of collateral and reducing the cost of borrowing for both firms and households. To test the above transmission, channel tests of Granger causality are employed. Empirical findings are in favour of the wealth effect hypothesis for Athens real estate prices but not for other urban real estate prices. Since real estate at the Athens Metropolitan area could be considered as an investment vehicle, it is reasonable to argue that higher stock prices increase the share of households' portfolios in the stock market and cause a rebalancing of their portfolios by selling stocks and purchasing other assets like houses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Filson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Filson Author-Name: Bunchon Songsamphant Author-X-Name-First: Bunchon Author-X-Name-Last: Songsamphant Title: Horizontal mergers and exit in declining industries Abstract: Previous work on exit in declining industries has neglected mergers. This paper examines a simple model that illustrates how mergers can affect the order of exit. The model also predicts which declining industries experience horizontal mergers. Mergers are more likely if (1) the inverse demand curve is steep at high levels of output and flat at low levels of output; (2) the industry declines slowly early on and rapidly later on; and (3) market concentration is high. The conditions that make mergers privately profitable also tend to make them socially optimal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314334 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314334&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andy Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Author-Name: Yangru Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yangru Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: On the use of the sample partial autocorrelation for order determination in a pure autoregressive process: a Monte Carlo study and empirical example Abstract: Sample partial autocorrelations are one of the main statistical tools of time series analysis. They are especially useful in identifying the order of an AR(p) process. In this note, we show via a simulation experiment that normalizing each sample partial autocorrelation with Anderson's (1993a) means and variances, instead of the large-sample moments, can yield asymptotic distributions that are better approximated by the N(0,1) distribution. The important implication of this result is that the true order of a pure autoregressive process can be incorrectly identified due to use of the large-sample mean and variance of sample partial autocorrelations. An empirical example given in Box and Jenkins (1976) is used to highlight this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-139 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000319195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000319195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:133-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Should we really care about building business cycle coincident indexes! Abstract: Quite often, the goal of the game when developing new coincident indexes of the economic activity is the comparison with NBER turning points. Using Monte Carlo simulations, this note illustrates that for the USA, any random linear combination of the four coincident variables would do the job as good as other more complicated methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-144 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:141-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Predicting the equity premium with dividend ratios: a matter of balance Abstract: Goyal and Welch (2003) used recursive residuals and plots of cumulative sum-squared errors to examine the predictive accuracy of dividend ratios in forecasting the equity premium. After a thorough specification search, Goyal and Welch were unable to find evidence in favour of dividend ratios as predictors of the equity premium. This note extends their analysis, further demonstrating the empirical fallacy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318439 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318439&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: A SVAR model for estimating core inflation in the Euro zone Abstract: A traditional role of central banks has been to protect the purchasing power of money by keeping a roof on inflation. Recently, several central banks have explicitly assumed an inflation control target. This is the case, among others, of the European Central Bank (ECB) whose monetary policy goal is to keep an annual inflation rate below 2% over a medium-term horizon (ECB, 2001). In practice, inflation is often measured in terms of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, the headline inflation rate is not totally under the control of the ECB. In this study core inflation is measured by means of the structural VAR approach, in particular it is based on long-run restrictions over crucial macroeconomic variables: inflation, money and output. Core inflation is estimated and compared with the standard measured inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-154 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:149-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Prazmowski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Prazmowski Title: A recursive cointegration test using the Kalman filter and its application to fiscal equilibrium in the Dominican Republic Abstract: This letter puts forward a recursive version of the Engle and Granger cointegration test, using the Kalman filter, for the analysis of fiscal equilibrium in the Dominican Republic. The method employs a time-varying-coefficient augmented Dickey and Fuller test and finds that government income and spending display movements both toward and away from equilibrium that can be associated to various policy reforms and shocks to the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:155-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Service liberalization, endogenous industrial composition and modernization Abstract: This paper presents a simple two-sector two-factor model with endogenously determined industrial composition. It is shown that by shrinking the cone of diversification, service liberalization may enable the economy to switch from equilibrium where both traditional and modern goods are produced to another where specialization in the modern good takes place. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323677 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323677&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Kazem Yavari Author-X-Name-First: Kazem Author-X-Name-Last: Yavari Title: The welfare cost of inflation in Italy Abstract: This paper follows Lucas (2000), and Serletis and Yavari (2004) and estimates the welfare cost of inflation in Italy. It uses recent advances in the field of applied econometrics to estimate the interest elasticity of money demand in Italy and reports welfare cost estimates close to those reported by Serletis and Yavari for Canada and the USA, but an order of magnitude smaller than those reported by Bullard and Russell (2004) for the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-168 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:165-168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Do consumers have imperfect recollection about airline safety? Abstract: The inquiry examines whether consumers exhibit imperfect recollection about airline accidents. The state of the world is modelled with a Poisson distribution that updates over time. It is found that passengers of small carriers forget about accidents over time, thus leading to a 539% cumulative increase in enplanement while passengers of large carriers do not exhibit such a behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323631 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323631&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:169-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: The dynamic responses of growth to tax structure for Greece Abstract: This paper estimates how output growth responds to shocks in the tax mix and tax burden over a long period of time. In particular, the underlying dynamic interactions between output growth, tax mix and tax burden are considered. To this purpose, Impulse Response Function analysis is applied. The chosen specification suggests that an appropriate tax-mix is one that would give weight to indirect taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318420 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318420&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:177-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: Douglas Owens Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Owens Title: Determinants of betting market efficiency Abstract: Previous studies of efficient markets in parimutuel betting isolated only one race characteristic, determining efficiency by comparing subjective to objective probabilities of different groupings. By incorporating regression analysis and looking at a wide range of race specific variables, this study is able to isolate various factors which influence efficiency. Using a data set of 5020 races at 18 US racetracks, a standard favourite-longshot bias was found, which diminishes for races with larger pools and more horses in a field, and increases for races with higher quality fields and maiden races. When track-specific characteristics are factored out, similar results occur and it is also found that races on grass reduce the bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Yongsheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Single housing starts and macroeconomic activity: an application of generalized impulse response analysis Abstract: Most studies that have examined the relationship between the housing market and the macroeconomy have focused on how changes in housing supply affect real activity and the like. In this paper, the possibility that housing starts respond to sudden changes or shocks to macroeconomic factors is explicitly accounted for. The empirical methodology employs the recently developed technique of generalized impulse response analysis Pesaran and Shin (1998). The results highlight the endogeneity that exists among the housing market and macroeconomic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: How to assess happiness? A tale of three measures Abstract: A growing literature in economics points to the importance of targeting policy towards making people happy rather than towards making them well-off. Empirical work in this area relies, however, on a simple direct question to survey respondents on how happy they feel. This study shows, using three different measures of happiness/unhappiness, that while there was a commonality in the factors making for happiness (or unhappiness), the quantitative strength of the factors, in terms of their effects on the various outcomes, differed according to the definition used. Moreover, some factors influenced particular measures of happiness but did not influence others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Author-Name: Byung-In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung-In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Redistributive effect of Korea's income tax: equity decomposition Abstract: The redistributive effect of Korea's income tax is relatively low as it has too low an average tax rate irrespective of high progressivity. The most serious problem is the excessively high level of horizontal inequity with unequal tax treatment of equal income groups. By examining changes over three research periods (1991, 1996, 2000), it was discovered that horizontal inequity with classical notion was the most serious in 1996 as it allowed extremely generous deductions and exemptions at that time. It is illustrated that Korea's income tax system can have a greater redistributive effect while increasing the level of horizontal equity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:195-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Forecasting inflation using the term structure and MARS Abstract: This study revisits the issue of forecasting changes in inflation using non-linear non-parametric methods. The results indicate the presence of threshold effects in the relationship between the information in the term structure and changes in the rate of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Estimating the autoregressive parameter: recursive mean adjustment and the initial condition Abstract: The simulation results of Shin and So (2001) are revisited. It is shown that the properties of the initial condition of a time series have a substantial impact on the ability of recursive mean adjustment to reduce the negative bias associated with estimation of the autoregressive parameter. Interestingly, it is found that recursive mean adjustment can generate positive bias for a range of values of the initial condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337761 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337761&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Pfeiffer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeiffer Author-Name: Louis Velthuis Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Velthuis Title: On the optimality of linear contracts to induce goal-congruent investment behaviour Abstract: It has become increasingly popular in practice to implement incentive systems that create goal-congruent investment behaviour between central and divisional management. In the following paper, it is shown that only linear contracts enable goal-congruent investment decisions if central management does not have information about the investment project. This might cast a new light on why linear compensation schemes are often used in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:207-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: On the rationality of professional forecasts of corporate bond yield spreads Abstract: In evaluating the multiperiod forecasts of the corporate bond yield spread from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), it is shown that the consensus forecasts are generally unbiased and consistently outperform the comparable ARIMA forecasts and are thus, at least, weakly rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Niaz Asadullah Author-X-Name-First: M. Niaz Author-X-Name-Last: Asadullah Title: The effect of class size on student achievement: evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: This study examines the effect of class size on student achievement in Bangladesh using national secondary school survey data. A Ministry of Education rule regarding allocation of teachers to secondary grades is exploited to construct an instrument for class size. This rule causes a discontinuity between grade enrolment and class size thereby generating exogenous variation in the latter. It is found that OLS and IV estimates of class size effects have perverse signs: both yield a positive coefficient on the class size variable. The results suggest that reduction in class size in secondary grades is not efficient in a developing country like Bangladesh. Last, as by-product, some evidence is found suggesting that greater competition among schools improve student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Optimal fares under uncertainty about airline safety Abstract: This paper models consumers as expected utility maximizers in order to provide a theoretical assessment of the optimal fares that consumers are willing to pay when faced with uncertainty about airline safety. It is found that under an unsafe state of the world, consumers are willing to pay higher fares and under a safe state of the world, they are willing to pay lower fares. In addition, it is also found that consumers are willing to pay higher fares to maximize the compensation received from airlines in reaction to accidents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Clement Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Clement Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Author-Name: Fabien Serres Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Serres Title: Downgrading in the first job: who and why? Abstract: The study estimates the probability of being downgraded at the time of the first employment according to individual socio-demographic, professional and education characteristics. This study, based on a very large French database, reveals the influence of the subjective or objective definitions of over-education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:227-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: A note on cointegrated relationships estimated with genetic algorithms Abstract: Estimation techniques based on Genetic Algorithms (GA) have been studied in the presence of cointegrated variables. Several applications of GA to time-series have ignored the fact that the equation estimated by GA might be spurious. In this line, in this study it is shown that: (1) GA robustly detects this kind of relationship when the process contains a linear cointegrated relationship, (2) estimated models provide real fitness instead of spurious fitness. The well known cointegrated relation between income and consumption is estimated using GA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dimitropoulos Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitropoulos Author-Name: Lester Hunt Author-X-Name-First: Lester Author-X-Name-Last: Hunt Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Estimating underlying energy demand trends using UK annual data Abstract: Employing the Structural Time Series Model (STSM) approach suggested by Harvey (1997), and based on annual data for the UK from 1967-2002, this paper reiterates the importance of using a stochastic rather than a linear deterministic trend formulation when estimating energy demand models, a practice originally established by Hunt et al. (2003a, 2003b) using quarterly UK data. The findings confirm that important non-linear and stochastic trends are present as a result of technical change and other exogenous factors driving demand, and that a failure to account for these trends will lead to biased estimates of the long-run price and income elasticities. The study also establishes that, provided these effects are allowed for, the estimated long-run elasticities are robust to the different data frequencies used in the modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337789 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337789&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Testing Hall's permanent income hypothesis for a developing country: the case of Fiji Abstract: Hall (1978) has stimulated considerable controversy and empirical work on testing the validity of the permanent income hypothesis (PIH). Much of this work is on the developed countries. In the developing countries per capita incomes show larger fluctuations and for the majority, opportunities for intertemporal substitution are limited. This paper uses the extended framework of Campbell and Mankiw (1989) and finds that current consumption is determined by current income for more than two thirds of the consumers in Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-248 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:245-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Altunbas Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Altunbas Author-Name: Blaise Gadanecz Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gadanecz Author-Name: Alper Kara Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Kara Title: Key factors affecting internationally active banks' decisions to participate in loan syndications Abstract: The impact of banks' financial characteristics on their decisions to participate in loan syndications is assessed. From the analysis, it appears that poorly performing banks tend, on average, to be more involved in syndications. Policymakers should perhaps monitor more closely the concentration of credit risk associated with syndicated loans held on the books of under-performing banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:249-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haitham A. Al Zoubi Author-X-Name-First: Haitham A. Al Author-X-Name-Last: Zoubi Author-Name: Aktham Maghyereh Author-X-Name-First: Aktham Author-X-Name-Last: Maghyereh Title: Examining complex unit roots in the MENA countries industrial production indices Abstract: An estimation of complex unit roots is presented based on the standardized periodogram of the Jordanian and Israeli Industrial Production indices over the period 1982-2003. Both indices are found to have six complex cyclical unit roots contents. In contrast, the propagation mechanism rather than impulse tends to drive the business cycles in those economies. Propagation consists of those forces which carry the influences of the shock forward over time and cause deviation from the steady state to be persistent. The periodogram-based cycle duration analysis reveals that both Kitchin and Juglar cycles exist in the Israeli economy. However, no investment cycles are found in the Jordanian economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Nizamul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nizamul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: A Monte Carlo evaluation of discrete choice labour supply models Abstract: This paper is based on a Monte Carlo simulation in order to evaluate the properties of the discrete labour supply model. The data is generated by a continuous model and a discrete choice model is estimated assuming a translog utility function. The robustness of the results for different number of points in the discrete choice set, as well as for measurement errors in income and hours are compared. The discrete model produces similar results as the 'true' continuous model and apart from large measurement errors in hours these results are robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data - the case of Sweden Abstract: Theory predicts that life cycle saving and consumption behaviour could cause real exchange rate variations as the age structure varies. Time series regressions show that the Swedish demographic structure has significant explanatory power on the real exchange rate during 1960 to 2002. A model using age shares as regressors is used for medium-term out-of-sample forecasts, which perform well both compared to naive forecasts and forecasts based on an autoregressive model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-272 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:267-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volodymyr Bilotkach Author-X-Name-First: Volodymyr Author-X-Name-Last: Bilotkach Title: Two results for asymmetric multiproduct duopoly Abstract: A case of multiproduct duopoly is considered with a different number of products produced by each firm. Given logit and nested logit substitutability patterns, it is shown that a firm offering more products charges higher price in equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-276 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042561 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042561&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:273-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Maloney Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Maloney Author-Name: Gabriel V. Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel V. Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: How elastic are sea, sand and sun? Dynamic panel estimates of the demand for tourism Abstract: This paper employs recent advances in dynamic panel data analysis to study the determinants of tourist flows to the Caribbean. Consistent with the theoretical literature, the results are found to be highly sensitive to estimation technique. The preferred GMM system suggests income and price elasticities substantially above those found in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:277-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Shelton Brown Author-X-Name-First: H. Shelton Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Luke Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: Market failure in long-term private health insurance markets: a proposed solution Abstract: Recently, private health insurance rates have declined in many countries. In places requiring community rating in their health insurance premiums, a major cause is age-based adverse selection. However, even in countries without community rating, a de facto type of partial community rating tends to occur. In this note, a modified version of Pauly et al.'s guaranteed renewability model, which addresses the problem of age-based adverse selection (Pauly et al., 1995) is presented. Their model is extended from three to 35 periods. Also, probabilities are allowed to increase by age for low-risk types using actual age-based probabilities. This extension of their work shows that private health insurance contracts available stray far from optimal contracts that deal with age-based adverse selection. This suggests that government actions to affect private insurance options are warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-284 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500041944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500041944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:281-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Malcolm Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Malcolm Author-Name: Joshua Duke Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Duke Author-Name: John Mackenzie Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mackenzie Title: Valuing rights of first refusal for farmland preservation policy Abstract: The economic literature has failed to derive an explanation for the current value of rights of first refusal (ROFR) that may or may not manifest at some future time. A model explains this ex ante value in the context of agricultural land that may be converted to developed uses in the future. The results should help governments decide what prices should be paid to farmers for ROFR in urbanizing areas. ROFR ensure that governments have the opportunity to match a land developer's price for important agricultural parcels. Governments can then impose a conservation easement and market the land to farmers. Compared to traditional conservation easement policy, the ROFR variant should be cost effective because only parcels truly threatened with conversion are preserved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stuart Hyde Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Hyde Author-Name: Mohamed Sherif Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Sherif Title: Don't break the habit: structural stability tests of consumption asset pricing models in the UK Abstract: This paper investigates the structural stability of four alternative consumption based asset pricing models, the traditional power utility consumption based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM), the recursive preferences model proposed by Epstein and Zin (1989, 1991), and two habit formation specifications, the form proposed by Abel (1990) and the model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999), using the tests of Hall and Sen (1999). The ability of the models to price stocks and stocks and a short-term interest rate (i.e., the equity premium) is assessed. Evidence is found supportive of both the habit formation specifications and the traditional C-CAPM. The preferred specification based on parameter estimates and structural stability is that of Campbell and Cochrane. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338662 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338662&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:289-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Analysing household bottled water and water purifier expenditures: simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model Abstract: Household bottled water and water purifier expenditures are examined by taking into account three important characteristics: expenditures may be censored at zero, may be interdependent across expenditure type, and may be endogenously and jointly determined. Censoring, interdependence, and endogeneity of the two expenditures are examined through simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model using household survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293121 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293121&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:297-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: Carlos Arguello Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arguello Title: A hybrid approach based on neural networks and genetic algorithms to the study of profitability in the Spanish Stock Market Abstract: This paper studies predictability and profitability of using neural networks (NN) in the Spanish security market. This is carried out through a hybrid approximation which entails evolving a genetic algorithm in order to obtain an optimal NN's architecture. To that end, (NNs) forecasts are transformed into a simple trading strategy, whose profitability is evaluated against a simple buy-and-hold strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-308 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:303-308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Jimmy Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Jimmy Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Pierre-Alexandre Noual Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Noual Title: Investment in ICTs: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether differences in the price elasticity of demand for Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) could explain why Europe lags behind the USA in terms of ICT diffusion. Annual macroeconomic data covering the period 1975-2001 is used and five countries considered: France, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK and the USA. Europe's lag in ICT diffusion does not appear to be linked to cross-country differences in the price elasticity of demand for ICT products. The results suggest that at least part of the gap in ICT diffusion should be ascribed to more structural cross-country differences. The estimated value of the price-elasticity of computer hardware and software is generally lower than -1 which, given the decline in the relative price of these products, explains the increase in their share of investment expenditure and GDP. This situation is characteristic of a diffusion stage and is necessarily temporary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:309-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Author-Name: Chihwa Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chihwa Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Bootstrapping and hypothesis testing in non-stationary panel data Abstract: This paper uses the wild bootstrap to compute empirically relevant critical values for the test statistics proposed by Emerson and Kao (2001). Monte Carlo simulations were then performed to evaluate the size and power properties of the bootstrapped tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500043965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500043965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Bautista Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: How volatile are East Asian stocks during high volatility periods? Abstract: This study reports estimates of the magnitude of volatility during abnormal times relative to normal periods for seven East Asian economies using a rudimentary univariate Markov-switching ARCH method. The results show that global and regional events such as the 1990 Gulf War and the 1997 Asian currency crisis led to high volatility episodes whose magnitude relative to normal times differ from country to country. Country-specific events such as the opening up of country borders in the mid-1990s are also observed to lead to high volatility periods. Additional insights are obtained when volatility is assumed to evolve according to a three-state Markov regime switching process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-326 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:319-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Petropoulos Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Petropoulos Author-Name: K. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Author-Name: A. Patelis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Patelis Author-Name: V. Assimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Assimakopoulos Title: A technical analysis approach to tourism demand forecasting Abstract: Tourism demand forecasts are of great economic value both for the public and private sector. Any information concerning the future evolution of tourism flows, is of great importance to hoteliers, tour operators and other industries concerned with tourism or transportation, in order to adjust their policy and corporate finance. In the last few decades, numerous researchers have studied international tourism demand and a wide range of the available forecasting techniques have been tested. Major focus has been given to econometric studies that involve the use of least squares regression to estimate the quantitative relationship between tourism demand and its determinants. However, econometric models usually fail to outperform simple time series extrapolative models. This article introduces a new approach to tourism demand forecasting via incorporating technical analysis techniques. The proposed model is evaluated versus a range of classic univariate time series methods in terms of forecasting and directional accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-333 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500065745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500065745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:327-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Connor Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Connor Title: Collusion and price dispersion Abstract: While there are suggestions in applied cartel studies that price dispersion changes when cartelization of a market occurs, there are few theoretical or empirical analyses of this effect. This article surveys the thin economic literature on the link between overt collusion and price dispersion. Formal theories and observation of cartel behaviour suggest that during successfully collusive periods prices become less variable and more negatively skewed compared to relatively competitive periods. Four empirical studies of cartels verify these predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: The determinants of solvency in the United Kingdom life insurance market Abstract: This paper examines the solvency determinants, including economic and firm-specific factors, in the United Kingdom life insurance market. Using panel data for 1986-1999, it is found that solvency was positively related to bonds-to-total assets, equities-to-total assets, and level of new business, but negatively related to unexpected inflation, market competition, assets held to cover linked liabilities-to-total assets, life and general annuity reserves-to-total reserves, pension reserves-to-total reserves, permanent health reserves-to-total reserves, other reserves-to-total reserves, firm size, and insurance leverage. Based on panel data for the three subperiods, 1986-1990, 1990-1994, and 1994-1999, it was further found that solvency determinants changed from one epoch to another. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-344 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:339-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Őrn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Őrn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Title: Restaurant tips and service quality: a reply to Lynn Abstract: In his 'Comment' in this journal on a recent article in Applied Economics by myself and two coauthors (Bodvarsson, Ő. B., Luksetich, W. A. and McDermott, S. (2003), Lynn (forthcoming) makes three criticisms of the study on the relationship between service quality and tips. In one of these criticisms, he reanalyses the data and concludes that the two stage least squares estimate of the marginal effect of service quality on tips is invalid and should be replaced with his own ordinary least squares estimate. The purpose of this 'Reply' is to address each criticism and, in particular, to explain why Lynn's ordinary least squares estimate is not valid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500076981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500076981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:345-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Proposed modified probit model incorporating non-parametric density estimation: how to measure asymmetric information in the health insurance market? Abstract: On the basis of the theory of Chiappori and Salanie (2000), this paper proposes a simple modified bivariate Probit model incorporating non-parametric kernel density estimation. The model is applied to test asymmetric information in a health insurance market, using MEPS96 data.1 Results show that asymmetric information (whether moral hazard or adverse selection) exists between the contract of insurance coverage, and some non-emergency visits services, which appear to support the conclusions of Cardon and Hendel (2001). It is also shown how this non-parametric approach plays an important role in the delicate task of correctly testing, by computing generalized residuals, the existence of asymmetric information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Lawford Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Lawford Title: Finite-sample quantiles of the Jarque-Bera test Abstract: The finite-sample null distribution of the Jarque-Bera Lagrange multiplier test for normality differs considerably from the asymptotic χ2(2). However, asymptotic critical values are commonly used in applied work, even for relatively small sample sizes. Here, very accurate response surface approximations are developed for the 10% and 5% critical values of the test, which enable correct practical implementation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: A mean squared error estimator of market size in hedonic price analysis Abstract: This paper presents a spatial kernel estimator that allows coefficients and market size to be estimated at the observation of interest. In economic terms, the bandwidth length of the spatial kernel estimator captures the size of the market incorporated in estimation at the location of interest, and this optimal size of the market included in regression minimizes mean square error (MSE). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. A. Al Mamun Author-X-Name-First: K. A. Al Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Author-Name: H. K. Nath Author-X-Name-First: H. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Export-led growth in Bangladesh: a time series analysis Abstract: This article examines time series evidence to investigate the link between exports and economic growth in Bangladesh. Using quarterly data for a period from 1976 to 2003 the article finds that industrial production and exports are cointegrated. The results of an error correction model (ECM) suggest that there is a long-run unidirectional causality from exports to growth in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: The number of working hours a salary earner is willing to reduce for leisure activities Abstract: This paper analyses the number of working hours a salary earner is willing to reduce for more time for leisure activities (henceforth, WH) based on data collected from a nationwide survey conducted on 1259 salary earners in Korea. To deal with zero WH responses given by a considerable number of respondents in the survey, the author uses a mixture model of WH distributions. The mean of the WH for the respondents who gave a positive value of WH was estimated as 3.04 hours per week, and that for all the respondents as 0.67 hour per week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338680 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338680&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Did the bubble burst cause structural breaks in the Japanese economy? Evidence from 84 manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper examines the existence of structural breaks in the output time series of 84 Japanese manufacturing industries. The main result is that the effect of the bubble burst in the early 1990s was so limited that on the basis of value added, only 28% of production had structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044278 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044278&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are exports and imports cointegrated? Evidence from 22 least developed countries Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate whether there is a long-run relationship (cointegration) between exports and imports for 22 least developed countries (LDCs). This is an important issue, for evidence of cointegration will ensure that trade imbalances are sustainable. The article explores this issue using the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The results indicate that exports and imports are cointegrated only for six out of the 22 countries, and the coefficient on exports is less than one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500067774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500067774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan-Ramon Borrell Author-X-Name-First: Joan-Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Borrell Title: Patents and the faster introduction of new drugs in developing countries Abstract: This paper finds that product patent regimes spur faster introduction of new HIV/AIDS drugs only in those developing countries with relatively equally distributed incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:379-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Bridging the gap between the measurement of poverty and of deprivation Abstract: One way of measuring the deprivation or poverty of persons is to use monetary-based measures: a person is regarded as 'poor' if his/her income (or expenditure) falls below a poverty line value. Such an approach - usually termed poverty analysis - has spawned a large literature embodying several sophisticated measures of poverty. The downside to this is that low income or expenditure may not be very good indicators of deprivation. Another way, usually termed deprivation analysis, is to define an index whose value, for each person, is the number (or proportion) of items, from a prescribed list, that he/she possesses: persons are then regarded as 'deprived' if their index value is below some threshold value. This offers an alternative method of identifying deprived persons. The downside of deprivation analysis is that it measures deprivation exclusively in terms of the proportion of deprived persons in the total number of persons. The purpose of this article is to bridge the gap between poverty and deprivation analysis by constructing a wider set of deprivation measures and showing, with data for Northern Ireland, how they might be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-389 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:383-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Anderson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Orn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Orn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Title: Do higher tipped minimum wages boost server pay? Abstract: Do tipped servers in states with higher tipped minimum wages earn more, ceteris paribus, than servers elsewhere? Using 1999 data on waitpersons and bartenders, little evidence is found of a premium to servers in states with more generous minimum wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Ilmakunnas Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Ilmakunnas Author-Name: Mika Maliranta Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Maliranta Author-Name: Jari Vainiomaki Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Vainiomaki Title: Worker turnover and productivity growth Abstract: Total factor productivity growth is positively related to the worker inflow rate and negatively related to the worker outflow rate in Finnish manufacturing. The churning rate, which measures separations that lead to replacement hiring, speeds up productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moritz Cruz Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Cruz Title: A three-regime business cycle model for an emerging economy Abstract: A three-regime business cycle model is proposed based on Minsky financial instability hypothesis. Using this framework and a Markov switching autoregressive model Mexico's business cycle turning points are identified published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-402 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500118775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500118775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:399-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radha Shiwakoti Author-X-Name-First: Radha Author-X-Name-Last: Shiwakoti Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Helen Short Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Short Title: A study of the initial returns and the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings of demutualized building societies in the UK Abstract: This article examines the initial returns and the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) of demutualized building societies in the UK. The size of the IPOs and the unusual features of the process involved allow for the testing of a number of hypotheses developed from established theories regarding IPOs and mutual to stock conversions. In broad terms, the findings of the study are in accordance with the previous literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-409 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:403-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A test for multivariate ARCH effects Abstract: This paper extends Engle's LM test for ARCH affects to multivariate cases. The size and power properties of this multivariate test for ARCH effects in VAR models are investigated based on asymptotic and bootstrap distributions. Using the asymptotic distribution, deviations of actual size from nominal size do not appear to be very excessive. Nevertheless, there is a tendency for the actual size to overreject the null hypothesis when the nominal size is 1% and underreject the null when the nominal size is 5% or 10%. It is found that using a bootstrap distribution for the multivariate LM test is generally superior in achieving the appropriate size to using the asymptotic distribution when (1) the nominal size is 5%; (2) the sample size is small (40 observations) and/or the VAR system is stable. With a small sample, the power of the test using the bootstrap distribution also appears better at the 5% nominal size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-417 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:411-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Christopher Fogelstrom Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Fogelstrom Title: Monetary policy implications of electronic currency: an empirical analysis Abstract: Using the 2001 Survey of Consumer Finances, evidence is found that electronic currency is not a substitute for demand deposits: electronic currency ownership is associated with holding higher balances in checking accounts. These findings allay concerns that private sector issuance of electronic currency will inhibit the ability of central banks to conduct monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monzur Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Monzur Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Can Japan avert any future banking crisis? Abstract: This paper suggests that the weaknesses of corporate governance are enough to explain the Japanese banking crisis in the 1990s. Bank size and lack of operating and management efficiency contributes to low return, thereby lead to the failure of the banks. Emergence and burst of the bubble in the late 1980s just accelerated the situation to an early crisis in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Convergence hypothesis of regional income in Korea Abstract: Using data on per capita income among 13 regions in Korea over the period 1985-2002, regional convergence is evaluated. This study uses panel cointegration tests and a random coefficient model that allows both regional differences and similarities to estimate the Solow growth model. The model also corrects for heteroscedasticity and serial correlation. Evidence is found in favour of regional convergence in Korea, with a rate of convergence of around 8% a year. The results also indicate that the investment rate in physical capital has a significantly positive effect and the population growth has a significantly negative effect on the growth rate of per capita income, holding its initial level constant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Marika Zola Author-X-Name-First: Marika Author-X-Name-Last: Zola Title: Economies of scale and cost efficiency in the postal services: empirical evidence from Switzerland Abstract: This paper investigates the scale and cost efficiency of the Swiss Post using an econometric approach. Our empirical analysis considers a sample of postal offices operating in the Italian-speaking part of Switzerland. The paper considers estimation of a log-log cost function employing a data set for the year 2001 with information on 47 small local post offices. The empirical evidence indicates the existence of economies of scale. Further, the outcome of this analysis shows that approximately 50% of the postal offices operate close to the regional standard for efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-441 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:437-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Agricultural productivity convergence across Europe and the United States of America Abstract: This paper applies time series techniques to test for convergence in agricultural total factor productivity among the USA and a sample of nine European countries for the period 1973-1993. The data set used in this paper obtained from Ball et al. (2001). The wide spectrum of unit root test results obtained in the present study support the presence of convergence among the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Parkhurst Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Parkhurst Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: Does complexity reduce coordination? Abstract: Herein it is shown that increased complexity does not necessarily imply more coordination failure. Experienced people playing a 4-player spatial grid game with over 68 000 strategy choices and (68 000)4 potential outcomes were as likely to find the Pareto dominant Nash equilibrium as in a corresponding normal form game. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:447-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsuyoshi Toshimitsu Author-X-Name-First: Tsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Toshimitsu Title: Quality choice, the Coase problem, and a fixed cost function of quality: a note Abstract: Chi (1999) shows that the durable-good monopolist facing the Coase problem not only over-supplies, but decreases the price per unit of quality, so that the high-demanded consumers do not postpone their purchase. The results derived by Chi are re-examined in the case of a fixed cost function of quality and it is shown that his results are sensitive to the cost function of quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:453-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Oliver Gurtler Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Gurtler Title: An empirical study on risk-taking in tournaments Abstract: Individuals faced by a tournament can often not only choose their effort level, but also the risk level of their strategy. There are some theoretical contributions on risk-taking in tournaments, which mainly point out disadvantages with respect to exerted effort. Empirical evidence is rare. This letter analyses the risk-taking behaviour of professional soccer coaches. It is found that risk-taking concerning the kind of observed substitutions is, indeed, relevant. However, risk-taking does not pay off. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: German dominance in the European Monetary System: a reprise using robust Wald tests Abstract: This study re-examines the German dominance hypothesis in the EMS. A VAR in levels approach is adopted and modified Wald tests, which are robust to cointegration properties of the variables, are used. The findings indicate that, although Germany played a measurable role, the extent of monetary cooperation in the system was greater than previously detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120359 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120359&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of macroeconomic policies on the Latvian output and policy implications Abstract: The author applies the IS-MP-IA model (Romer, 2000) to examine short run economic fluctuations for Latvia. The results show that equilibrium GDP is negatively associated with the expected inflation rate and the US federal funds rate and positively influenced by real depreciation and stock prices due to the wealth effect, Tobin's q theory, and the balance-sheet effect. The impact of the government deficit/GDP ratio on output is positive but insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-471 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120136 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120136&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:467-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Author-Name: Dan Rickman Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Rickman Title: Why some US nonmetropolitan counties moved out of persistent high-poverty status in the 1990s Abstract: Nearly one-third of US nonmetropolitan counties that began the 1990s with persistent high poverty were not high-poverty counties by the end of the decade. Aside from the poverty rate at the beginning of the decade, it is found that employment growth, along with indicators of the initial quality of the labour force and level of human-capital, increased the probability of counties moving out of persistent high-poverty status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-478 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120250 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120250&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:473-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Bengoa Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Bengoa Author-Name: Blanca Sanchez-Robles Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Robles Title: Does equality reduce growth? Some empirical evidence Abstract: This study intends to provide some empirical evidence on the connection between equality and growth. Accordingly, two different samples of countries have been explored over the last three decades using panel data. In the first subsample, encompassed by medium income nations, the relationship between equality (proxied by the Gini index) and growth seems to be hump shaped. In the second subsample, made up by high-income countries, the connection is unambiguously negative - more equality is detrimental for growth. These results suggest that the impact of equality on growth may be different at the various stages of development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Applications of a more for less result to labour markets and to auctions Abstract: A general more for less result is established. A labour-market application then shows, how, by connecting previously unconnected labour markets, costs of skilling or reskilling labour may be reduced. Another application shows how auction proceeds may increase if certain bidders are removed from the bidding process. An example relating to auctions of categories of access to airport ramps illustrates this case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:485-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cotter Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotter Title: Extreme risk in futures contracts Abstract: This article uses Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to measure extreme risk in futures contracts with diverging underlying assets. The approach provides a framework for analysing the distributional properties of extreme returns. EVT is statistically robust at estimating Value at Risk (VaR) for different asset classes and at very low probabilities. By way of contrast, the estimation bias by relying on the thin-tailed normal distribution for measuring extreme price movements is illustrated. Back-tests confirm the relative accuracy of the approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Why explore for oil when it is cheaper to buy? Abstract: This article uses results of independent US oil companies to examine their decisions in a high-risk environment. When these companies seek to replace oil production, the available choices fall into two broad classifications, each with its own distribution of expected costs and returns: explore for oil; or buy proven oil reserves. Firms prove risk-sensitive in their decisions as the balance struck between building reserves by acquisition and by exploration responds to firm characteristics. The crossover from risk embrace (exploration) to risk aversion (acquisition) occurs when the probability of success from the more risky strategy drops below about 15%. This matches the behaviour of decision makers when facing risks as diverse as acquisitions and racetrack betting. Shareholders, however, do not support risk-taking for its own sake, although they bid up the price of successful risk-takers. This reveals a divergence in goals between principals and agents; and an inverse relationship between risk-taking and return as measured by shareholder value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lokman Gunduz Author-X-Name-First: Lokman Author-X-Name-Last: Gunduz Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey? Abstract: Like many developing countries, Turkey has also given priority to the development of tourism industry as a part of its economic growth strategy. This study intends to investigate whether tourism has really contributed to the economic growth in Turkey. The interaction between tourism and economic growth is investigated by making use of leveraged bootstrap causality tests. This method is robust to the existence of non-normality and ARCH effects. Special attention is given to the choice of the optimal lag order of the empirical model. It is found that the tourism-led growth hypothesis is supported empirically in the case of Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-504 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:499-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cabral Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Jose Cabral Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Author-Name: Antonio Menezes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes Author-Name: Patricia Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Low pay, higher pay and job quality: empirical evidence for Portugal Abstract: This paper examines to what extent low pay jobs can be considered of low quality. For this purpose, we use three waves (1997-1999) of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) for Portugal. The results indicate that low pay workers report a lower level of job satisfaction when compared with their higher paid counterparts. Moreover, some of the determinants of job satisfaction differ between these two types of workers. This supports the idea that low wage employment mainly comprises low quality jobs and is consistent with the segmented labour market theory, which claims the existence of good and bad jobs. This is, however, at odds with some empirical evidence recently reported for the British labour market where low pay individuals report a higher level of satisfaction, which is more in line with the notion that these workers obtain compensating differences in the form of non-pecuniary benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:505-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hsiou-Wei William Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiou-Wei William Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Rau Hsiu-hua Author-X-Name-First: Rau Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiu-hua Title: The performance of the Markov-switching model on business cycle identification revisited Abstract: This study examines the performance of Markov-switching model on business cycle by applying the model to various economies. Specifically, three comparison groups are used: (1) the USA and Japan serving as the representatives for the industrialized economies (or IEs hereafter); (2) Taiwan and South Korea serving as the representatives for newly industrialized economies (or NIEs hereafter); and (3) Malaysia and Indonesia serving as the representatives for the developing economies (or DEs hereafter). The empirical results are consistent with the following notions. First, the Markov-switching model serves well to depict the business cycles for IEs and DEs. Nevertheless, the model is ineffective for the two NIEs, which underwent structural economic shifts to slower growth during our sample period of 1970-1998. Second, the two-period Markov-switching by dividing the sample periods into two sub-periods thus more effectively measures the two NIEs' business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119963 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119963&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:513-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: The effects of income and children on marital happiness — evidence from middle- and old-aged couples Abstract: This study finds that marital happiness initially increases with income and then remains more or less constant. It is likely that there exists an optimal number of children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120045 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120045&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Can real exchange rate devaluation improve the trade balance? The 1990-1998 Brazilian case Abstract: The Brazilian Trade Balance deficit in the 1990s was blamed on the adopted crawling-peg exchange rate regime in which the real exchange rate was supposedly appreciated. The purpose in this letter is to assess this relationship by using VEC-M model to check if Marshall-Lerner condition and J-curve phenomenon hold. The results indicate that the Marshall-Lerner condition holds and the J-curve would be present in the aftermath of a real exchange rate devaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500076908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500076908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Forster Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Forster Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Bank efficiency ratios in Latin America Abstract: Previous literature has shown a strong association between the financial sector and economic growth, but theory predicts ambiguous associations between banking efficiency and size or market share. The relationships among efficiency ratios, absolute scale, and rank category are explored for a relevant subset of banks in each of four Latin American countries. The results indicate a robust association between efficiency and absolute scale but not between efficiency and relative scale, which suggests that the observed efficiency of larger banks is not an artefact of market power among dominant banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120623 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120623&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Le Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Author-Name: Catherine Baumont Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Baumont Author-Name: Sandy Dall'erba Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Dall'erba Author-Name: Cem Ertur Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Ertur Title: On the property of diffusion in the spatial error model Abstract: The aim of this paper is to illustrate the property of global spillover effects in the first-order spatial autoregressive error model and the associated diffusion process of spatial shocks. An application is provided on a sample of 145 regions over 1989-1999 and highlights the most influential regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-536 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120722 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120722&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:533-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Jarrett Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jarrett Author-Name: Eric Kyper Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Kyper Title: Evidence on the seasonality of stock market prices of firms traded on organized markets Abstract: Studies of capital market efficiency are important because they infer that there are predictable properties of the time series of prices of traded securities on organized markets. The weak form of the efficient markets hypothesis is put in dispute by the results of this study. Furthermore, this study of individual securities prices of US traded securities corroborates previous findings of studies of stock market indexes both in the USA and for foreign stock exchanges that seasonality is present in the times of securities prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500123288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500123288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:537-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Fritsch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsch Author-Name: Pamela Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Pamela Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Author-Name: Antje Weyh Author-X-Name-First: Antje Author-X-Name-Last: Weyh Title: Direct and indirect effects of new business formation on regional employment Abstract: The impact of new business formation on regional employment has been investigated. The main effects occur after a considerable time lag. Obviously, a large part of the effect is not due to job creation by the newcomers but rather is of indirect nature. This implies that a large part of the debate about job creation by new business so far has been misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Author-Name: Peter Kooreman Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kooreman Title: No cure, be paid: super-contingent fee contracts Abstract: A general principal-agent problem with two possible outputs, high or low is considered. The agent's utility function is additively separable in wealth and effort. It is shown that under the optimal contract, the agent should pay a penalty fee to the principal if the low output occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-551 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:549-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Agudo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-Last: Agudo Author-Name: Luis A. Vicente Gimeno Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Gimeno Title: Effects of multicollinearity on the definition of mutual funds' strategic style: the Spanish case Abstract: This study is an approach to the strategic styles followed by Spanish mutual funds investing in domestic equities. The methodology applied is based on Sharpe's suggested Style Analysis. The study highlights the distortion of results caused by the phenomenon of multicollinearity in the benchmarks proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120698 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120698&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Macroeconomic and institutional determinants of current account deficits Abstract: This study empirically investigates the effects of institutional and macroeconomic policy variables on current account deficits (CAD). Based on cross-section data for a broad number of countries, the results suggest that better governance increases whilst 'original sin' decreases the ability of an economy to sustain CAD. Exchange rate flexibility and openness appear to put a discipline on CAD. Consistent with the equity home bias and Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, CAD decrease with country size. The net impacts of the financial deepening and monetary credibility on CAD are found to be insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Garcia-Feijoo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Feijoo Author-Name: John Howe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Author-Name: Tie Su Author-X-Name-First: Tie Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Completely predictable and fully anticipated? Step ups in warrant exercise prices Abstract: Some warrants are issued with a scheduled increase in their exercise price. This increase, referred to as a 'step up' in exercise price, occurs after the warrant is issued but prior to its expiration. The price behaviour of warrants and common stock at the scheduled step up date is examined. The evidence suggests that the market correctly anticipates this event, and that warrant holders exercise (actually, refrain from exercising) rationally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Requena Silvente Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-Last: Silvente Title: Changing export status and firm performance: evidence from UK small firms Abstract: The export premium is measured for a sample of 1940 small-sized UK manufacturing firms over the period 1994-2000 by evaluating the performance of entrants versus exiters in the foreign markets. It is found that new exporters witnessed a substantial increase in their employment, wages, sales and productivity growth rates compared to non-exporters. On average the estimated export premium coefficient varied from 5% in productivity to 1% in wages. Companies that interrupt the exporting activity suffered significant losses in employment, employees' wages, director's wages, sales and productivity. The negative estimated impact on the growth rates vary from -7% for director's wage to -3% in employment and productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120649 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120649&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Jamal Ouenniche Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Ouenniche Author-Name: Danae Politou Author-X-Name-First: Danae Author-X-Name-Last: Politou Title: A note on return distribution of UK stock indices Abstract: The aim of this paper is to provide empirical evidence on the statistical distributions of returns on 32 UK sector indices as well as the FTSE-All and the FTSE-100 indices. These data are modelled for several holding periods, ranging from one day to one quarter, using symmetric stable Paretian distributions and their characteristic exponents are estimated. Numerical results suggest that both short and long horizon returns are non-normal and that deviation from normality is stronger for short horizon returns, with the exception of few sectors. In sum, these results suggest that asset pricing and risk management models, among others, should be modified to take into account departures form normality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120383 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120383&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Capital mobility: evidence from four South Asian economies Abstract: This paper examines the degree of capital mobility in four South Asian economies, namely, India, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Bangladesh. The paper extends the Shibata and Shintani (1988) model to incorporate the interest rate differential. While the empirical results appear to be country specific, in general, capital does not appear to be mobile in South Asia. The results suggest that the interest rate differential is not related to changes in consumption in South Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Title: The role of human capital in economic growth Abstract: This study presents stylized facts for economic growth for the second half of the 20th century, and evaluates the explanatory capacity of these facts by two of the main theoretical approaches that deal with the relation between human capital and growth: the Lucas (1988) model, and the Nelson and Phelps (1966) model. The results obtained indicate that the Lucas (1988) model satisfactorily explains the growth of 'rich' countries, but does not explain the poverty traps in which poor countries found themselves during the period under study. Conversely, the simulations conducted according to the Nelson-Phelps approach (1966) adequately replicate the poverty traps, but the approach is unable to do so for rich country dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-587 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500077013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500077013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:583-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: William Schulze Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Schulze Author-Name: Timothy Mount Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Mount Title: Bidding behaviour in the multi-unit Vickrey and uniform price auctions Abstract: Theory provides limited understanding of auctions in complex, multi-unit settings. This absence became apparent when performance concerns were raised over wholesale electric power auctions in England and California. This research used experiments involving 234 subjects to partially bridge the gap in knowledge with regard to bidding behaviour. Using a complex procurement setting motivated by power markets, bidding in the last accepted and first rejected uniform price auctions and the multi-unit Vickrey were examined across group sizes of 2, 4, and 6. To allow opportunity for tacit collusion, constant cost and demand conditions were maintained for 75 periods. Group size and experience were found to be most significant in explaining the differences between bids and costs. For groups of 2, this difference was significantly higher than with the other sizes, suggesting market power. Across sizes, after experience there was no significant difference in bidding behaviour between the uniform price auctions, with subjects in both bidding well above costs. Differences in the multi-unit Vickrey decreased after experience but, unexpectedly, bids were often below costs. Under no combinations did bids equal costs as would be desired by market designers. Results should give concern to policy analysts, and research suggestions to theorists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-595 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:589-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Okmyung Bin Author-X-Name-First: Okmyung Author-X-Name-Last: Bin Title: A semiparametric hedonic model for valuing wetlands Abstract: A semiparametric hedonic price function is estimated to examine the effects of proximity to wetlands on property values using extensive wetland inventory and housing market data from Portland-Oregon, USA. The semiparametric method used in this study allows for estimation of the hedonic price function with flexible functional form and is computationally easier than most non-parametric models. Four general categories of wetlands - open water, emergent vegetation, forested and scrub shrub wetlands - are differentiated. The results indicate that proximity to open water wetlands has a positive association with property values, while the other types of wetlands have either a negative or insignificant relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-601 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:597-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Aslı Bayar Author-X-Name-First: Aslı Author-X-Name-Last: Bayar Title: Stock returns and volatility: empirical evidence from fourteen countries Abstract: This is a pioneering effort to test in 14 countries the relationship between stock market returns and their forecast volatility derived from the symmetric and asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity models. Both weekly and monthly returns and their volatility are investigated. An out-of-sample testing methodology is employed using volatility forecasts instead of investigating the relation between stock returns and their in-sample volatility estimates. Expected volatility is derived from the ARCH(p), GARCH(1,1), GJR-GARCH(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) forecast models. Expected volatility is found to have a significant negative or positive effect on country returns in a few cases. Unexpected volatility has a negative effect on weekly stock returns in six to seven countries and on monthly returns in nine to eleven countries depending on the volatility forecasting model. However, it has a positive effect on weekly and monthly returns in none of the countries investigated. It is concluded that the return variance may not be an appropriate measure of risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-611 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:603-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samiran Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Samiran Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: James Murphy Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: The scope test revisited Abstract: Sensitivity to scope has become an acid test for the validity of responses to non-market valuation scenarios. The theoretical relationship between whether a subject's responses exhibit sensitivity to scope and whether consistent preferences underlie those responses is examined. It is found that sensitivity to scope is neither necessary nor sufficient for preference consistency. Moreover, while continuous, strongly monotonic and total preferences yield scope, the converse fails to hold. The results suggest caution in scope's application as a survey validation tool. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-617 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:613-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. D. Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Demand stochastics, supply adaptation, and the distribution of film earnings Abstract: A market is analysed in which demand is a stochastic process and supply is contingent on the expected level of demand - a model that provides a realistic depiction of the motion picture market where consumer demand is a process of discovery and information sharing, and the supply of theatre screens expands through contingent contracts to accommodate demand. This model predicts that motion picture earnings will deviate from a power law and instead be distributed according to an exponential of a power law due to finite-size effects in demand. Empirical analysis on a large sample of motion pictures finds significant deviation from the power law distribution and a remarkably good fit for the stretched exponential distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-623 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:619-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Title: R&D spillovers and productivity growth: evidence from Italian manufacturing microdata Abstract: Recently the focus of R&D impact on productivity moves from internal to external innovation. This paper assesses the link between R&D spillovers and productivity of 1017 Italian manufacturing firms over 1995-2000. Different proxies of R&D spillovers and several specification tests are used to select a well-behaved fixed effect model. As predicted by various new growth theory models, external R&D exerts a positive and highly significant effect on firms' productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-631 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:625-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kalyan Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Kalyan Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Consumers' attitude towards hormone-free milk: what have we learned? Abstract: Consumers' negative attitude and perception about bST-treated milk has not changed much since its first introduction in 1994 in the USA. The objectives of this study are to measure consumers' willing to pay for bST-free milk and to explore the factors influencing their willingness-to-pay. The empirical application uses consumers' survey data from the state of Kansas and applied to a probit model for willingness-to-pay. The results show consumers prefer mandatory labeling for bST-treated milk and milk products, and are willing to pay a premium for bST-free milk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:633-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwangsuck Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kwangsuck Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: In-Moo Kim Author-X-Name-First: In-Moo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimating the value of leisure time in Korea Abstract: To estimate the value of leisure time, this paper suggests the enodogenous switching model which incorporates individual's willingness to take more leisure time. The empirical results show that the value of leisure time in terms of willingly give-up shadow wage is greater than the market wage by 9% in Korea. The Korea economic crisis in 1997 seems to reduce the value of leisure time nearly 14%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-641 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:639-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Joon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Persistent wage differential and its implications on the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis Abstract: The objective of the study is to empirically examine the wage equalization assumption in the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. The wage equalization between the traded and the non-traded sectors is tested primarily based on resampling methods, permutation tests. The results show that the assumption does not hold uniformly. This study argues that a more general condition, which allows for wage differential between the sectors, can be used in the BS hypothesis as long as the wage differential is persistent. The persistent wage differential condition is empirically supported in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:643-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hon-Kwong Lui Author-X-Name-First: Hon-Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Lui Author-Name: Yui-Tim Wong Author-X-Name-First: Yui-Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Do loyal subordinates get higher wages? Experience from China Abstract: This paper classifies loyalty to supervisor into five dimensions, namely identification, internalization, dedication, effort and following supervisor. The results show that the 'effort' dimension has a positive effect on wage whereas the 'following supervisor' dimension has a negative effect on wage. Contrary to common perception, loyal subordinates may not get higher wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500183639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500183639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongbin Li Author-X-Name-First: Hongbin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Partial privatization and screening Abstract: It is shown that the government, in privatizing state owned enterprises, can use partial privatization as a screening mechanism to elicit private information from the manager about the firm's value. Although some new owners do not have maximum incentives, this screening contract allows the government to maximize its privatization revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-655 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500184215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500184215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:653-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joocheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Joocheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An investigation of the relationship between bond market volatility and trading activities: Korea treasury bond futures market Abstract: This study proposes a new proxy variable for the speculative trading activities in the analysis of relationship between volatility and trading activities. With the new variable, the dynamic interaction among underlying bond market volatility, futures trading volume, open interest and speculation ratio in Korea treasury bond and futures markets is examined under the vector autoregressive analysis (VAR) framework. A positive relationship is found between the bond market volatility and the speculation ratio. The result implies that the new variable could be a good candidate, reflecting the speculative trading activities in derivative markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Gour Gobinda Goswami Author-X-Name-First: Gour Gobinda Author-X-Name-Last: Goswami Title: Military spending as another cause of the failure of the PPP Abstract: In a recent article, with a strong theoretical argument but poor empirical support, military spending was identified to be a determinant of real exchange rate or a factor causing the PPP to deviate from equilibrium exchange rate. The poor empirical results were mostly due to a small number of observations (21 cross-sectional). This article employs pooled data from across 37 developing countries over the 1985-1998 period and provides very strong empirical support for the notion that indeed increased military spending could cause the PPP to deviate from equilibrium exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188380 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188380&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Fournier Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Fournier Title: Exploiting information from path dependency in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition procedures Abstract: This article addressed the issue of path dependency in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition procedures. It shows that obtaining different results from decompositions computed on different base models and population structures should not be considered as a limitation but as valuable information about the underlying discrimination processes. Illustration is provided for the evaluation of racial discrimination in health in South Africa for 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500191152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500191152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Chun-Da Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wan-Wei Tang Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Political elections and foreign investor trading in South Korea's financial markets Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between foreign investors' trading behaviour and political election events in South Korea and the effect of the relationship on the financial markets via a bivariate GARCH (1,1) model analysis. The empirical results show that the KOSPI 200 index return (total trading volumes of spot) and the derivatives volume have a negative (positive) relationship for foreign investors. South Korea shifted to a free floating exchange rate system, however, it did not have an effect on foreign investors' trading behaviour. In particular, foreign investors showed significant decrease in trading options contracts during the parliamentary election periods and the parliamentary elections stabilized derivatives trading volatility. It is evident from the results that the presidential elections create far more financial uncertainty in comparison to parliamentary elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-677 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:673-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: The Taylor rule and real-time data - a critical appraisal Abstract: In a number of recent papers, it has been argued that the use of ex post data can distort the picture when trying to analyse monetary policy reaction functions. This paper aims to establish whether the Taylor rule has been a reasonable representation of US monetary policy using both ex post and real-time output gap data. Results show that real-time data generate only minor differences to ex post data and, more interestingly, that the Taylor rule appears to be a questionable tool for evaluation of the Federal Reserve during the investigated samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-685 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:679-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Title: Evidence of affiliation of values in a repeated trial auction experiment Abstract: Most auction experiments designed to determine subjects' values use repeated trials. This is primarily to give subjects a chance to understand the auction and to learn from market feedback. However, concerns exist that repetition could lead to affiliation of values with subjects following final prices over trials. This could be especially true for items consumers are unfamiliar with. To test these hypotheses, the current research employed repeated auction trials for conventional, organic, and non-GM chocolate bars, with each respectively considered less familiar to subjects. The auction results were first analysed to determine whether the premiums, calculated as the differences in bids between bar types, were statistically significant over each trial. A tobit regression analysis was then conducted to determine which factors statistically influenced premiums over each trial. Analysis showed that the premium for the non-GM bar over the conventional and most of the factors explaining the premiums in the first trial became insignificant after repetition. This suggested strong evidence of affiliation and demonstrated how it can lead to loss of information about subjects' initial formulation of values. It is recommended that, depending on the focus of the study, single trials should be used to avoid these problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Exports, economic growth and causality in Korea Abstract: Using recent developments in econometric techniques, this article re-examines the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis for Korea over 1963-2001. The Granger-causality tests was based on two testing approaches: vector error correction modelling (VECM) approach outlined in Toda and Philips; and the augmented levels VAR modelling with integrated and cointegrated processes (of arbitrary orders) separately introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutkepohl (1996). Empirical evidence from causality tests based on the two alternative approaches indicates that the causal link between real exports and real GDP growth is bi-directional. Additional determinants of growth are also found to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-696 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:693-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Villaverde Title: Provincial convergence in Spain: a spatial econometric approach Abstract: This article examines the process of provincial convergence in labour productivity that has taken place in Spain between 1985 and 2002. In order to quantify the influence of space on the convergence process, it applies a spatial econometric approach, concluding that although spatial effects do indeed exist, they do not seem to be too relevant for the aforementioned process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Alba Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Donghyun Park Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Non-linear mean reversion of real exchange rates and purchasing power parity: some evidence from Turkey Abstract: Evidence was found of non-linear mean reversion in Turkey's real exchange rates. This suggests that a more complete examination of the empirical validity of PPP requires a joint examination of the non-linearity and non-stationarity of the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-704 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:701-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Author-Name: Jacqueline Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Jacqueline Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Title: Sources of gender difference in rural to urban migration in Kenya: does human capital matter? Abstract: Using data from Kenya this article estimates the urban to rural gender gap in the rate of migration and then decomposes the gap into the explained portion and the portion due to gender differences in coefficients. The former is further decomposed to unveil the relative influence of each explanatory variable on the explained portion of the gender gap in the rate of migration. A non-trivial finding suggests that human capital variables may exert the strongest influence on gender differences in migration, partially explaining the higher incidence of male migration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The information content of M0 in the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper examines the empirical characteristics of target-goal relationships between M0 on the one hand, and output, prices, interest rates and the current account balance on the other hand, in terms of a good intermediate target and informational variable. The results of a five-variate vector error correction model are indicative of feedback relationships between M0 and output, prices and output, and prices and M0, which is consistent with the Keynesian 'monetary accommodation' hypothesis. The finding of a reverse causality from output, prices and interest rates to M0 suggests that M0 may not serve well as a good intermediate target and informational variable of British monetary policy. The evidence therefore suggests the reduced effectiveness of monetary targeting strategy as a stabilization tool. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500243904 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500243904&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:711-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Mialon Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Mialon Author-Name: Sue Mialon Author-X-Name-First: Sue Author-X-Name-Last: Mialon Title: Sinful indulgences, soft substitutes, and self-control Abstract: For several harmful goods (e.g., junk food and cigarettes), less-harmful substitutes are available (e.g., light cigarettes and reduced-fat junk food). A simple individual-decision model is developed to analyse the effects of less-harmful substitutes on consumption and health outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-722 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:719-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Gerasimou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Gerasimou Title: Price substitutes: the case of entrance to Greek universities Abstract: This note provides evidence that the equilibrium between supply and demand in higher education in Greece is determined by what is argued to be the substitute for the non-existing market prices: the academic departments' entrance grades. This leads to the investigation of some implications of a policy change in Greek higher education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-728 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500191723 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500191723&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:723-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Incorporating decision makers' risk preferences into real options models Abstract: This study develops a framework to link the expected utility analysis to real options models in order to capture the joint effects of risk aversion and irreversibility. It aims at modifying the theory of investment under uncertainty by incorporating decision makers' risk preferences and allows explicitly analysing the impacts of risk aversion, uncertainty and irreversibility on decisions such as investment and resource allocations. It addresses the shortcomings of the commonly used expected utility and investment under uncertainty models by generalizing the theory of irreversible investment to allow for risk-averse investors. It was found that uncertainty, irreversibility and risk aversion are important determinants of the optimal timing of irreversible decisions. Ignoring risk preferences in real options models would lead to overestimation or underestimation of the magnitude of investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-734 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:729-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jared Cahan Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Cahan Author-Name: Christopher Malone Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malone Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Udomsak Wong Choti Author-X-Name-First: Udomsak Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Choti Title: Stock market political cycles in a small, two-party democracy Abstract: Real stock market returns in New Zealand are lower when the left-leaning Labour party is in power than under National party governments, in contrast to the USA where returns are higher under Democratic presidents than under right-leaning Republicans. The difference in real stock market returns between National and Labour is not reversed even when account is taken of the effect of the US political cycle and returns on New Zealand. The results of the study therefore suggest that the presidential puzzle does not transfer directly to other countries with two similar party democracies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192895 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192895&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:735-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Logit models: smallest versus largest extreme value error distributions Abstract: The general term 'type I extreme value distribution' underlying the logit model is not fully precise. Through a case study, this study compares two models based on the distribution - one with the smallest specification and one with the largest. Results show these two models are different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Martin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Vikram Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Vikram Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Detecting outliers and influential observations with heteroscedasticity-corrected models Abstract: Heteroscedasticity-correction masks signals from standardized residuals, so analysts should examine the residuals to identify outliers and should use likelihood dispersion to identify influential observations. These points are demonstrated with a model that examines the effect of exchange rate volatility on intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken-ichi Ishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Ken-ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Ishiyama Author-Name: Yoshitaka Saiki Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Saiki Title: Unstable periodic orbits embedded in a chaotic economic dynamics model Abstract: We numerically find unstable periodic solutions embedded in a chaotic attractor in a generalized Goodwin model with an interaction between two countries and focus on a class of simple periodic orbits extracted from them. We confirm that chaotic behaviour represented by the model is qualitatively and quantitatively related to the unstable periodic solutions. The viewpoint in this article is based on recent work in physics. The result implies significance and usefulness of unstable periodic solutions embedded in chaotic economic dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120318 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120318&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Morteza Haghiri Author-X-Name-First: Morteza Author-X-Name-Last: Haghiri Author-Name: Alireza Simchi Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Simchi Title: An application of the residual deviance analysis in testing input separability restrictions Abstract: Using the analysis of residual deviance, the separability of input in the Quebec dairy industry between 1990 and 1998 is examined. A nonparametric production regression function based on the theory of generalized additive models is estimated by using the spline smoothing approach. Results support that all additive inputs are separable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Duro Title: International income polarization: a note Abstract: International income polarization is mainly analysed through the use of EGR (Esteban et al., 1999). The main empirical results can be summarized as follows: first, polarization followed a curvilinear trajectory over time, with a slight increase up until the mid-1970s followed by a significant decrease; secondly, the evidence indicates that distributive inequality followed a similar pattern; and finally, the data suggest that the best simplified description of international income distribution, based on this approach, would be one structured around three income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500184298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500184298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Is there convergence in income inequality levels among the European regions? Abstract: The regional distribution of income inequality in the European Union between 1993 and 1998 is examined. The results obtained reveal the existence of a process of convergence in regional inequality levels over the period analysed. This was due basically to the reduction in income dispersion that took place in regions registering relatively high levels of inequality in 1993. Polarization in the distribution under study is also found to decrease, irrespective of the number of groups considered. Nevertheless, since the observed level of intradistributional mobility is low, the European regions tend, over time, to maintain their relative positions in terms of inequality. Finally, the analysis carried out highlights the relevance of the national component in explaining the dynamics of regional inequality distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500245669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500245669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R.Andrew Luccasen Author-X-Name-First: R.Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Luccasen Author-Name: R. Morris Coats Author-X-Name-First: R. Morris Author-X-Name-Last: Coats Author-Name: G. Karahan Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Karahan Title: Cigarette smuggling mitigates the public health benefits of cigarette taxes Abstract: Merriman (2002) argues that cigarette smuggling does not reduce the health benefits of cigarette taxation, because, in addition to the purchase price of smuggled cigarettes, those purchasing smuggled cigarettes have to pay a higher inconvenience price for their cigarettes, so that smuggled cigarettes no more than replace legal cigarettes. Here, it is argued that Merriman is incorrect, that while smuggled cigarettes have the same full cost as legal cigarettes at the margin, they have a lower inframarginal full price, which has the effect of increasing smoking behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500278264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500278264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Title: A cautionary note on the detection of multifractal scaling in finance and economics Abstract: The scaling properties of the multifractional Brownian motion (mBm), a generally not multifractal process is investigated, and it is argued that, when calibrated on actual financial time series, its partition function as well as its spectrum behave as those of genuine multifractal processes. The examples here provided, based on the analysis of two major stock indexes, are intended to solicit a prudent evaluation of the recent findings about the multifractal behaviour in finance and economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:775-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Title: Changes in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA Abstract: This paper analyses changes in segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA across 13 broad occupational groups over the period 1983-2002. It is found that overall segregation between Blacks and Non-Blacks modestly declined while overall segregation between Hispanics and Non-Hispancis significantly increased during this period. It is also found that Blacks and Hispanics remained underrepresented in higher-paying occupations and overrepresented in lower-paying occupations. However, Blacks tended to be less underrepresented in the former occupations and less overrepresented in the latter occupations than Hispanics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Technical efficiency bias caused by intra-input aggregation in data envelopment analysis Abstract: The study shows that technical efficiency scores in Data Envelopment Analysis are biased by linear aggregation of the quantities of the same type of input that are used by all outputs (intra-input aggregation). Fare et al. 's (2004) models are expanded to account for this additional bias, and the extent of its impact on reported technical efficiency scores is commented on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Joan Rovira Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Rovira Title: When do smokers 'underestimate' smoking related mortality risks? Abstract: This article examines the role of relative mortality risk perceptions in explaining smoking decision making. Some studies have provided evidence that perceptions of risks of smoking are overestimated. However, estimates tend to be sensitive to the estimate it is compared to. Using the same representative survey for Spain, as in other studies, this article finds that though relative mortality risk perceptions explain the decision to smoke and perceived life expectancy loss associated with smoking in Spain was not underestimated, smokers' mortality risk perceptions seem to underestimate the risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-794 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:789-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdi Aarts Author-X-Name-First: Ferdi Author-X-Name-Last: Aarts Author-Name: Thorsten Lehnert Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Lehnert Title: On style momentum strategies Abstract: Barberis and Shleifer (2003) suggest that US investors classify assets into different styles based on, for example, market capitalization or B/M ratios. They find that prices can deviate substantially from fundamental values as a style's popularity changes over time. In this paper, we discuss implications of this prediction and empirically investigate the profitability of style momentum strategies for the UK stock market. Results suggest that a simple trading rule can generate significant positive returns, but for our sample of FTSE 350 stocks those strategies are less profitable and more risky compared to regular momentum strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-799 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500373602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500373602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:795-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gulnur Muradoglu Author-X-Name-First: Gulnur Author-X-Name-Last: Muradoglu Author-Name: Morten Bakke Author-X-Name-First: Morten Author-X-Name-Last: Bakke Author-Name: Gyrid Kvernes Author-X-Name-First: Gyrid Author-X-Name-Last: Kvernes Title: An investment strategy based on gearing ratio Abstract: This study investigates the predictive ability of gearing in the long term for UK firms. Robustness tests are carried out to examine the returns in excess of that attainable using book to market, price earnings and size as risk factors. It is shown that by pursuing an investment strategy based on gearing ratios and a holding period of three years, returns of 9.9% in excess of market return are attainable. Excess returns, up to 21% are attainable when portfolios are constructed based on price earnings ratio and gearing ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-804 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:801-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisa Alvarez Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Alvarez Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Rafael Myro Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Myro Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Specialization and openness to foreign trade in the European Union Abstract: This study explores the relations between inter-industry specialization and openness to foreign competition in the European countries. By controlling for other variables influencing specialization, the study found a negative relationship between openness and inter-industry specialization, meaning that the closer the countries become in their degree of openness to trade, the closer are their industrial structures, as is expected from the Hecksher-Olhin-Vanek framework with equalization of factor prices. Nevertheless, control variables powerful influence specialization, claiming for a more complete theoretical framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-810 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500363579 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500363579&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:805-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn Ulrick Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ulrick Title: A nonparametric analysis of the black/white wage gap Abstract: This article estimates a nonparametric model of earnings to examine the black/white wage gap. This article extends the Oaxaca decomposition and adjusted wage ratios to a nonlinear form, to allow the use of this nonparametric approach. It finds that the results obtained nonparametrically are very similar to those obtained with variants of the (misspecified) Mincer model, suggesting that the parametric models may be appropriate in situations where the nonparametric estimator could not be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-815 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193166 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193166&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:811-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Rousu Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Rousu Author-Name: Katherine Kosa Author-X-Name-First: Katherine Author-X-Name-Last: Kosa Title: Allowing options in experimental auctions Abstract: Experimental auctions are a popular method to examine economic issues. However, given a fixed budget, a concern among experimental economists is maximizing the number of usable bids. A new experimental auction method has the potential to increase the number of usable responses. The options in auctions method allows the winning participant(s) to choose the product they most prefer to purchase from multiple products in the auction. The results of the experimental auction show that allowing options in auctions can increase the number of usable bids, especially when products are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-821 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:817-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasser Al-Mawali Author-X-Name-First: Nasser Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Mawali Title: Bilateral intra-industry trade flows and intellectual property rights protection: first empirical evidence Abstract: This study provides the first empirical evidence on the effects of intellectual property rights (IPRs) protection on bilateral intra-industry trade (IIT) flows. The empirical investigation is based on pooled South African data and takes advantage of the theoretical distinction between horizontal and vertical IIT. A gravity equation of international trade is estimated in the context of fixed and random effects models. The principal findings suggest that IPRs and imitation abilities separately are not important factors in determining IIT flows. However, the interaction between them is important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping-Huang Chou Author-X-Name-First: Ping-Huang Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Huimin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Huimin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Erh-Yin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Erh-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Detecting mutual fund timing ability using the threshold model Abstract: This paper proposes a new method based on threshold regression to test mutual fund market-timing abilities. The traditional Henriksson and Merton model is shown to represent only a special case within the proposed model. The potential bias of using the traditional model is demonstrated and it is argued that the proposed model provides more accurate inferences on the market-timing effects of mutual funds. The empirical results for a set of randomly-selected US mutual funds indicate the superior performance of the proposed method in detecting the market-timing ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Shyr Dai Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Shyr Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Yuh-Yuan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Yuh-Dauh Lyuu Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Dauh Author-X-Name-Last: Lyuu Title: Analytics for geometric average trigger reset options Abstract: The geometric average trigger reset option resets the strike price based on the geometric average of the underlying asset's prices over a monitoring window. Similar contracts have been traded on exchanges in Asia. This paper derives an analytic formula for pricing this option with multiple monitoring windows. The analytic formula in fact is a corollary of a general formula that holds for a large class of path-dependent options: It prices any option whose value can be written as a linear combination of  [image omitted], where X is a multinormal random vector and b is some constant vector. Numerical experiments suggest that the pricing formula approximates the values of arithmetic average trigger reset options accurately. Thus pricing the arithmetic average trigger reset option can benefit from using this formula as the control variate in Monte Carlo simulation. Numerical results also suggest that the geometric average trigger reset option does not have significant delta jump as the standard reset option, and this useful property reduces the hedging risk dramatically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-840 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:835-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thierno Balde Author-X-Name-First: Thierno Author-X-Name-Last: Balde Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Finite sample effects of additive outliers on the Granger-causality test with an application to money growth and inflation in Peru Abstract: We established, via finite sample simulations, that additive outliers have important effects on the exact size of the statistic for testing for Granger causality. An empirical application illustrates the effects of neglecting for additive outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-844 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500372992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500372992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:841-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng-Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The approximate slopes and the power of the GMM overidentifying restrictions test Abstract: The concept of approximate slopes is employed to study the power properties of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) overidentifying restrictions test. Two versions of the overidentifying restrictions test are compared globally by means of the approximate slopes approach. With no autocorrelation in the moment functions, it is found that the GMM overidentifying test with the mean deviation covariance matrix is more powerful than the test using the conventional non-mean deviation one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-848 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500282324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500282324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:845-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikos Vafeas Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Vafeas Author-Name: Catherine Shenoy Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Shenoy Title: An empirical investigation of capital expenditure announcements Abstract: The market reaction to capital expenditure announcements is studied in the backdrop of Jensen's (1986) free cash flow hypothesis. Initial results confirm McConnell and Muscarella's (1985) original findings suggesting that announcement-period returns follow in sign announced changes in capital spending. Moreover, estimating regressions similar to Lang et al. (1991) provides evidence that is somewhat weak, supportive of the free cash flow hypothesis in explaining announcement-period returns. Finally, an alternative information-signalling explanation for the market reaction cannot be ruled out entirely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-911 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:907-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ossama Mikhail Author-X-Name-First: Ossama Author-X-Name-Last: Mikhail Author-Name: Curtis Eberwein Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Eberwein Author-Name: Jagdish Handa Author-X-Name-First: Jagdish Author-X-Name-Last: Handa Title: Testing for persistence in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment Abstract: Persistence in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment is tested for. Using the corrected for short-range dependency modified rescaled-range test, it is concluded that the fluctuations in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment exhibit persistence. Policies aimed at reducing inflation should embody and account for the extra cost of sustained unemployment due to its persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500282407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500282407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:893-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Export-led growth and the Japanese economy: evidence from VAR and directed acyclic graphs Abstract: This paper explores the causal relationship between real exports and GDP growth in Japan using two recently developed causal modelling approaches. Using Japanese time series, the paper employed the augmented VAR methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto to test for Granger non-causality. Then, a more recently developed technique of directed acyclic graphs (DAG) was also used in providing over-identifying restrictions on the innovations from a vector autoregression (VAR). In contrast to prior analyses, the application of DAG techniques allows for the examination of both contemporaneous and dynamic causal structure of the exports-productivity nexus. The empirical results reveal that the causal path between exports and GDP growth in Japan is bi-directional. Furthermore, other variables such as capital and foreign output are also significant determinants of productivity growth in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-858 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:849-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Cross-country analysis of high employment-generating industries Abstract: The objective of this paper is to identify high employment industries in Australia, Japan and the USA using input-output (IO) analysis. It is found that (1) the high and low employment-generating industries in 1980 and/or 1990 are almost the same as those in 1997. Thus on a relative basis, there is no evidence that high employment-generating industries have changed since 1980; and (2) the high and low employment-generating industries are very similar across these three countries. Four of the consistently high employment-generating industries in these countries are Food, Beverage and Tobacco; Chemicals, Petroleum, Coal, Rubber & Non-Metallic Minerals; Basic Metals/Fabricated Products; and Electricity, Gas and Water, with the first three industries being part of manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-869 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:865-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Suicide and business cycles: new empirical evidence Abstract: This paper provides an empirical test for the hypothesis that suicides are related to economic determinants. More precisely a hypothesis is tested that changes in the suicide rate are determined by changes in the expected growth rate of income. This hypothesis is tested with an error-correction model which also takes into account various demographic and socioeconomic variables. Empirical results with Finnish data covering the period 1878-1999 provide strong support for this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500359411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500359411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristian Jonsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristian Author-X-Name-Last: Jonsson Title: Cross-sectional and serial correlation in a small-sample homogeneous panel data unit root test Abstract: In this paper, response surface parameters are provided that can be used to obtain critical values for an augmentation of an existing homogeneous panel data unit root test. The augmentation is performed to account for serial correlation in the disturbances. As the existing panel data unit root test is robust against cross-sectional correlation, the augmented test is robust against both cross-sectional and serial correlation. By running a Monte Carlo simulation study, the small-sample properties of the augmented test are shown to be good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-905 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500359510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500359510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:899-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samer Al-Rjoub Author-X-Name-First: Samer Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Rjoub Title: The adjustments of stock prices to information about inflation: evidence from MENA countries Abstract: This study extends the empirical evidence by analysing the reaction of monthly stock returns to the unexpected portion of CPI inflation rate and by capturing the asymmetric shocks to volatility of unexpected inflation in five MENA countries. Both Threshold GARCH and Exponential GARCH are used to catch the news affect that unexpected inflation may have on stock returns. Results document a negative and strongly significant relationship between unexpected inflation and stock returns in MENA countries. Results also indicate that the stock markets of the listed MENA countries do not feel the high up and down movements in the markets and as such the volatilities. The asymmetric news effect is absent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-879 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:871-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Elias Mossialos Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mossialos Title: Is dread of Genetically Modified food associated with the consumers' demand for information? Abstract: We argue that the dread of Genetically Modified (GM) food is an expression of the individual's demand for information as a self-protective action. This study empirically examines the determinants of the demand for information on Genetically Modified Food and tests whether this demand is jointly determined with the individual's dread of GM food. A UK representative sample of the 1999 Eurobarometer Survey is employed and the study undertakes multivariate analysis of information-related survey responses. The results provide some evidence for the hypothesis that demand for information stands as a self-protective attitude that occurs in the absence of information. Furthermore, knowledge of science and information channels are both associated with a larger demand for information and lower dread of GM food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Ching-Chun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: An empirical note on testing hysteresis in unemployment for ten European countries: panel SURADF approach Abstract: The hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment for ten European countries are tested using newly developed Panel SURADF tests of Breuer et al. (2001) for the 1961-1999 period. While the other Panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and, therefore identifies how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The hysteresis hypothesis is confirmed for all the European countries except Belgium and the Netherlands when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-886 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:881-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Does leverage influence banks' non-performing loans? Evidence from India Abstract: The study examines the association between corporate leverage and banks' non-performing loans. Using data on Indian manufacturing sector in India for 1993-2004, the findings indicate lagged leverage to be an important determinant of bad loans of banks. In terms of magnitudes, a 10 percentage point rise in the corporate leverage is, on average, associated with 1.3 percentage point rise in sticky loans relative to loans, after a one period lag. In terms of policy implications, the analysis suggests that the leverage ratio can serve as a useful signpost of asset quality and second, the analysis points to the need to improve the collection of data from the corporate sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-918 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:913-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Title: Exchange rate variability, pressures and optimum currency area criteria: some empirical evidence from the 1990s Abstract: This paper estimates the medium-term determinants of the bilateral exchange rate variability and exchange rate pressures for 20 developed countries in the 1990s. The results suggest that optimum currency area criteria explain the dynamics of bilateral exchange rate variability and pressures, to a large extent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-922 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:919-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Forecasting economic time series with measurement error Abstract: Many variables used in economic forecasting are recorded with measurement error (ME). It is therefore found that an autoregressive model without exclusion of ME from observed time series may fail to correctly detect any periodicity contained and this results in poor forecasting performances. The purpose of this paper is to propose a model-selection method for forecasting economic time series with ME. In this method the existence or nonexistence of ME is determined by evaluating the values of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) of a battery of alternative models with and without ME. The results of forecasting 26 business cycle indicators in Japan are shown in order to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-927 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:923-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Heaney Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Heaney Author-Name: Kerry Pattenden Author-X-Name-First: Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Pattenden Title: Change in unconditional foreign exchange rate volatility: an analysis of the GBP and USD price of the Euro from 2002 to 2003 Abstract: Unconditional foreign exchange rate variance is generally assumed to be constant in analysis of foreign exchange rates. It is noted that there is evidence of a change in unconditional foreign exchange rate variance during the two-year period surrounding the Iraq war, January 2002 to December 2003, for the GBP price of the Euro, although not for the USD price of the Euro. This has implications for the indiscriminate use of models that assume constant unconditional variance, such as the GARCH family of models, in the analysis of foreign exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Title: Monetary policy rules and the information content of the term structure of interest rates Abstract: The study incorporates information on the term structure of interest rates into empirical reaction functions for the Bundesbank and the European Central Bank. The results suggest that the term structure played a statistically significant role for the monetary policy of both central banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toni Mora Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Title: Evidencing European regional convergence clubs with optimal grouping criteria Abstract: Growth literature has considered the existence of groups of economies that have been termed convergence clubs. This paper groups European regions in order to detect whether the existence of convergence clubs can be defended in this context. To this end, we define optimum criteria using an inequality measure. Our classification shows stability for extreme groups based on a stratification index. Results show evidence in favour of the presence of convergence clubs for the backward European regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-940 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:937-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: A three components subgroup decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index and household's income inequalities in Cameroon Abstract: This research proposes a new subgroup decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index (or half the square of the coefficient of variation) into three components: the within group, the net between group and the transvariational (or overlapping) between group. The approach here is similar to the one used by Dagum (1997a, b) when decomposing the Gini index. This method is applied to analyse the incomes inequalities in the distribution of income among Cameroonian households according to their matrimonial status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 941-947 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:941-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben-David Nissim Author-X-Name-First: Ben-David Author-X-Name-Last: Nissim Title: The separation rate cannot be exogenous Abstract: Many articles that used the matching frame model considered the separation rate as an exogenous variable and concentrated on the matching process. This assumption is inconsistent with the findings of many empirical studies, which indicate that business cycles are driven primarily by changes in the separation rate. This study demonstrates that, within the matching frame model, given uncertain productivity of newly employed workers the separation rate cannot be constant. Any change in the asset value of occupied jobs will lead to a change of the separation rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-951 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:949-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Videras Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Videras Title: Luck and giving Abstract: This study finds that individuals who consider themselves lucky in finances donate more than individuals who do not consider themselves lucky even after controlling for income, wealth and relevant socio-demographic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-956 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500366267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500366267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:953-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Fiscal policy sustainability: test of intertemporal borrowing constraints Abstract: This paper examines sustainability of the fiscal stances of South Korea, Mexico, the Philippines, South Africa and Turkey. Using the usual intertemporal borrowing constraint, we have tested for a long-run relationship between revenue and expenditure plus interest payments. In our empirical analysis of the sustainability of fiscal stances, cointegration approaches have been used. Empirical results suggest that there exists a unique long-run or equilibrium relationship among variables for South Korea and Turkey. The cointegration results suggest that the Turkish and South Korean fiscal stances satisfy the weak sustainability condition. In the case of Mexico, the Philippines and South Africa cointegration results suggest that in these countries the fiscal stance is not sustainable (and violates their intertemporal budget constraints) in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-962 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:957-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Title: Decentralization and health care expenditure: the Spanish case Abstract: This study analyses the evolution of health care expenditure in Spain. A panel data model is used to explain the main factors which affect health care expenditure in the period 1993-1999. The empirical results show that the most important determinant in the explanation of the regional health care expenditure is ageing population while other factors such as income differences and structural characteristics of the supply variables have less importance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-966 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:963-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Mauleon Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Mauleon Author-Name: Vincent Vannetelbosch Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vannetelbosch Title: Strategic union delegation and incentives for merger Abstract: A unionized duopoly model to analyse how unions affect the incentives for merger is considered. It is found that both firms will merge if and only if unions are weak. However, once surplus-maximizing unions have the option to delegate the wage bargaining to wage-maximizing delegates (such as senior union members), both firms may have incentives to merge even if the union bargaining power is strong. Moreover, the option of strategic delegation may harm both the unions and the firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The influences of economic openness on Japan's balancing item: an empirical note Abstract: Exploring the factors influencing the balancing item of balance of payments accounts has seldom been a subject of research in international economics. Following Brooks and Fausten (1998), and using Japan's data, this study has empirically examined the influences of economic openness on balancing item. The results of subset VAR (Vector Autoregression) approach, Granger causality test, impulse responses function, and variance decomposition have showed that, to a certain extent, economic openness does influence the behaviour of Japan's balancing item. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Do governments lead or lag in fighting crime? Abstract: We examine the Granger causal relationship between police strength and a variety of different types of crime for South Australia. We find that with the exception of assault and homicide in the long run, the crime rate and police strength are neutral. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:11-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Fritsch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsch Author-Name: Andreas Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Title: Measuring performance heterogeneity within groups - a two-dimensional approach Abstract: We introduce a two-dimensional measure for the heterogeneity of performance within groups. It leads to a much more differentiated description of heterogeneity than alternative measures and it is relatively robust with regard to extreme values of small units ('outliers'). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Implications of alternative stochastic processes for investment in agricultural technologies Abstract: Considerable research and analyses exist concerning applying the option value to investment decisions. A model has been developed to examine the extent to which two alternative stochastic processes, geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and mean reversion, have impacts on investment decisions. The results show that the impacts of uncertainty and irreversibility on investment decisions differ under GBM and mean reversion. Studies that assume the returns evolve as GBM without drift would overestimate the value of the investment opportunity, while they would underestimate it if they assume the returns follow GBM with drift. The magnitude of error one could make by using GBM when the returns follow mean reversion is high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:21-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Title: Earnings convergence in UK counties: a distribution dynamics approach Abstract: This study applies a distribution dynamics approach to examining the evolution of average earnings of UK counties. An analysis of both transition probability matrices and stochastic kernels suggests considerable persistence in the overall distribution rather than economic convergence. However, there is evidence of a large number of counties congregating at the lower end of the distribution reflecting some downward mobility from the middle. Spatial effects are also important with counties in the South East appearing to gravitate towards the upper end of the distribution. The analysis reveals a more complex pattern of dynamics than is typically apparent from β regression approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188588 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188588&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheila Amin Gutierrez de Pineres Author-X-Name-First: Sheila Amin Gutierrez Author-X-Name-Last: de Pineres Title: What a difference a source makes! An analysis of export data Abstract: This study examines real export data from two common sources: IMF and UN Commodity Trade Statistics to determine the comparability of these data in level and percentage change form, and if the export-led growth models are robust to the data source. Additionally, the comparability of the data deflated at a disaggregated level data or by a single export unit price index is examined. The results reveal that the data are neither comparable nor in a number of cases, correlated, suggesting that much of the debate regarding export led growth is fuelled by data choice and methodology of deflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Huan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Tsai-Hung Fan Author-X-Name-First: Tsai-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Title: Bootstrapping prediction intervals on stochastic volatility models Abstract: The parametric bootstrap method is applied to derive the prediction intervals for stochastic volatility models. The study adopts the parameters estimation developed by So et al. (1997) and proves the validity of the proposed bootstrap procedure for this process. The basic stochastic volatility model specifies the mean equation with standard normal error. It is found, via simulation study, that the same algorithm can be employed to the model with heavy-tailed innovations, which demonstrates the potential of the bootstrap techniques. This methodology is also applied to a real data example to predict the daily observations on the S&P 500 index and the results confirm that our interval predictions are satisfactory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377967 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377967&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:41-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Granero Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Granero Author-Name: Juan Carlos Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: Competition and R&D in retail banking under expense preference behaviour Abstract: Cost-reducing R&D activities are examined in the context of a retail banking sector where some entities exhibit an expense preference. The results reveal that the effects from R&D interact with the effects in the previous literature in shaping the equilibrium configuration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:47-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Shiuh Chang Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Shiuh Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Teng-Yuan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Teng-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Scale of variance, unit of data and the power of unit root tests under structural changes - a strategy for analysing Nelson-Plosser data Abstract: Lee and Strazicich (LS) designed a state-of-the-art statistic for testing for a unit root under structural changes. Using Monte Carlo experiments on the Nelson and Plosser data, this present study analyses the effects of scale of variance and data unit on the size-adjusted power of the LS unit root test. It is found that under the null and the alternative hypotheses of unit root shifts from right to left, the goodness of fit of the statistic worsens, and the power increases systematically when the scale of variance increases from 0.01 w to w and from w to 100 w (w being a weighting factor). The power increases when the data unit is reduced to one tenth and per cent (i.e. one hundredth) except for the Industrial Production Index, Total Unemployment Rate and Nominal Wages. To achieve the goal of higher power and better goodness of fit in the LS test, results suggest using the original variance rather than the best goodness-of-fit variance, changing the data unit to per cent, or using a mixed strategy selecting the data unit corresponding to a higher power for each data series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:51-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georg Muller Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Muller Author-Name: Mark Bergen Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bergen Author-Name: Shantanu Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Shantanu Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Title: Private label price rigidity during holiday periods Abstract: Using weekly retail transaction scanner price data from a large US supermarket chain, significantly higher retail price rigidity is found for private label products than for nationally branded products during the Christmas and Thanksgiving holiday periods relative to the rest of the year. The finding cannot be explained by changes in holiday period promotional practices because it is found that private label promotions appear to diminish at least as much as national brands. The increased rigidity of private label products relative to national brands is only partially accounted for by increased rigidity of wholesale prices. After ruling out other potential explanations, it is suggested that the higher private label price rigidity might be due to the increased emphasis on social consumption during holiday periods, raising the customers' value of nationally branded products relative to the private labels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:57-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Badri Narayanan Author-X-Name-First: G. Badri Author-X-Name-Last: Narayanan Title: Effects of trade liberalization on firm profits and social welfare: the role of technology Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyse the effects of trade liberalization on profits of a capital-intensive exporting country and a labour-intensive one with different cost functions and the welfare of the importing country under an oligopolistic competition framework. The results show that output is increasing in the degree of trade liberalization and price falls with it. However, the effects of freer trade on profits of the exporting countries are ambiguous and depend on the net gains in profit from free trade. Given the same level of output for both countries, a suffciently high output would bring more profits to the capital-intensive country than to the labour-intensive country. Welfare of the importing country, at least within this framework, is increasing in the degree of trade liberalization, provided that the initial level of restrictions in trade are not too high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: An experimental analysis of impacts of uncertainty and irreversibility on willingness-to-pay Abstract: Several empirical studies demonstrated large discrepancies between willingness-to-accept and willingness-to-pay measures. This paper uses an experimental method to determine the extent to which uncertainty about the value of the environmental improvement and the irreversibility of the decision affects the willingness-to-pay to preserve an endangered species. The results show that risk preferences, uncertainty about environmental improvements, and irreversibility significantly influence the willingness-to-pay measure. These results have implications for design and implementation of contingent valuation surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/135054850500119203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135054850500119203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:67-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: ITC decisions on antidumping duties under the WTO Abstract: This study reveals the determinants of injury decisions on antidumping duties under the WTO system using US data. The empirical evidence reveals that all commissioners consider the changes in profits of concerned industries seriously. Changes in profits/sales ratio influence the behaviour of a few commissioners. Changes in other factors illustrated in the Antidumping Code, the macroeconomic situation and the President's term do not influence commissioners' voting behaviour; nor are country effects found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-76 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:73-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Verlinda Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Verlinda Title: A comparison of two common approaches for estimating marginal effects in binary choice models Abstract: Two approaches for estimating marginal effects are examined: conditioning on sample means and averaging across observations. The difference between the two quantities are signed and it is found that the magnitude increases with both the slope parameters and the covariates' variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Japan's balancing item: do timing errors matter? Abstract: This study aims to answer the question of whether Japan's balancing item patterns are a matter of timing errors or not. Using time series econometrics techniques, and the components of balance of payments accounts, this study provides an empirical answer that Japan's balancing item pattern is essentially due to timing errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:81-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Samuelson's multiplier-accelerator model revisited Abstract: As demonstrated by Samuelson, the interplay between the multiplier analysis and the principle of acceleration may generate temporary business cycles. We extend Samuelson's seminal framework in the sense that investors now apply a nonlinear mix of extrapolative and regressive expectation formation rules to predict changes in national income. As it turns out, the emergence of booms and slumps may depend on the sentiment of the investors. If they are optimistic (pessimistic), the economy performs well (badly). Moreover, the model produces sustained and intricate fluctuations in economic activity for realistic values of the marginal propensity to consume and the capital to output ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-92 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:89-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zouhaier M'Chirgui Author-X-Name-First: Zouhaier Author-X-Name-Last: M'Chirgui Author-Name: Walid Hichri Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Horizontal merger in bilaterally duopolistic industries with differentiated products Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to focus on the strategic decision as to whether or not merger is profitable according to the degree of final product differentiation in bilaterally duopolistic industries. We find that, under some conditions on the factor of substitution, a horizontal merger is profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390747 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390747&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florine Livat Author-X-Name-First: Florine Author-X-Name-Last: Livat Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Title: Expert opinion and brand reputation: an analysis from a French Cuban cigars guidebook Abstract: The role of expert opinion and its ability to reflect true quality are discussed. If the expert is theoretically expected to make objective decisions, the empirical evidence does not enable clear answers to be established. Using data from the 32 Cuban brands commercialized in France in the years 2000 to 2003, we estimate experts' rating hedonic equations. Our results show that the quality of the cigar, measured with a note coded on a scale of 1 to 5, is independent of its price but is linked to its physical attributes. Moreover, these 'objective' characteristics play an increasing role over time. Finally, it appears that some brands are favourably considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:97-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Rodriguez Andres Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Title: Software piracy and income inequality Abstract: We investigate the extent to which income inequality influences national piracy rates across a sample of 34 countries. Economic inequality seems to have a negative significant effect on national rates of piracy. Consistent with previous studies, we also find that judicial efficiency affects piracy rates. Additionally, research results show that income and education are not important determinants of piracy rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:101-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Anna Montini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Montini Title: The determinants of residential water demand: empirical evidence for a panel of Italian municipalities Abstract: We present empirical evidence on the determinants of residential water demand for one Italian region, Emilia-Romagna, by using municipal panel data. The estimated water demand price elasticity is negative, showing values between -0.99 and -1.33, never significantly different from one, if we consider different specifications without and with additional socio-economic factors. Income results associated to a positive elasticity, though lower than one. The role of other socio-economic territory-specific determinants is less relevant, with the exception of altitude. The relative high value of price elasticity is deemed consistent with the higher level of regional water prices compared to the national average. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390788 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390788&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:107-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Title: On multi-decomposition of the aggregate Luenberger productivity index Abstract: The purpose of this note is twofold. First, it proposes a multi-decomposition of the Luenberger productivity index, that is, a combined decomposition both by attribute, which is characterized by technical change or efficiency change, and by firm. Second, it applies this technique to the European Union to measure the most important contributions to European productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Title: Comparative analysis of the effective income tax function: empirical evidence using LIS data Abstract: The effective income tax function is a useful and practical method to analyse the relationship between income and tax amounts. It includes measures of tax progressivity, the maximum effective tax rate, and the horizontal inequity. The effective income tax function was estimated statistically using the seven countries of LIS datasets and Korean data. The estimated maximum effective tax rate is less than or very close to its maximum statutory marginal tax rate, except for Norway and Korea. This implies that estimation of the effective tax function is of great use and significance in evaluating the charateristics of income tax law. The mean squared error from the effective income tax function can be used to represent the degree of horizontal inequity as a 'quick' measure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: Are trading rules based on genetic algorithms profitable? Abstract: In this letter the profitability of a simple trading rule based upon genetic algorithms has been investigated. The referred technical trading rule has been contrasted in four different sample periods of the Spanish stock market index known as IBEX-35. Results suggest that in general the profitability of the simple trading rule is superior to the buy-and-hold strategy. This conclusion is clearer in 'bull', 'bear' and 'volatile' market episodes. These results can be compared with those that apply artificial neural networks as simple trading strategies to the general index of Madrid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Geisler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Geisler Author-Name: Harald Wiese Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Wiese Title: Entry deterrence in the Schmalensee-Salop model Abstract: The question of entry deterrence in a Schmalensee type product differentiation market, that is in a market that can be depicted by a circle with circumference of 1, is investigated. It is normally assumed that incumbent firms or brands locate equidistantly whereas an entrant settles exactly in the middle between two firms. For questions of entry deterrence it has become customary to treat the n + 1 model with n incumbents and one entrant as if there were 2n firms located equidistantly. For this to hold, strong assumptions are needed. Using the Salop specification of the Schmalensee model, but without these strong assumptions, the number of entry deterring firms is calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Cajueiro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Cajueiro Author-Name: Benjamin Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: The long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns: the Chinese case Abstract: This paper studies the segmented structure of the Chinese stock market, which is a unique opportunity to investigate the possible sources of the long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns. Using the Hurst's exponent evaluated by the Local Whittle method as the measure of long-range dependence, evidence is found supporting that while type B shares present strong evidence of the long-range dependence phenomena, type A shares present only weak evidence of such dependence. This result suggests that liquidity and information transmission play a role in explaining results of market efficiency tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392214 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392214&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:131-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Title: Does labour respond to cyclical fluctuations? The case of Italy Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse whether labour mobility is likely to act as a sufficient adjustment mechanism in the face of asymmetric shocks in Italy. In particular, the paper examines if the interregional migration responds, among other factors, also to the GDP's regional cyclical component. The results show that interregional labour mobility appears to respond adequately to current and past cyclical fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: John Byrne Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Title: A citation analysis of ARC Discovery and Linkage grant investigators in economics and finance Abstract: This study has explored whether recipients of 2004 ARC grants have different citation track records across Discovery and Linkage grants. Consistent with track record having a higher weighting in the Discovery grants the results indicate that Discovery grant recipients have statistically significantly higher citation counts than Linkage grant recipients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394244 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394244&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:141-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Connie Bayudan Author-X-Name-First: Connie Author-X-Name-Last: Bayudan Title: Portfolio decomposition and intrahousehold environments: evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: Using a survey data from Bangladesh, this paper employs a simple decomposition method to investigate the possible role of inequality in husband and wife's portfolio holdings to various intrahousehold issues. Results indicate that wives' intrahousehold environments are affected more by their portfolio than by their husband's asset and income holdings. Wives who have inherited plots from their parents-in-law appear to belong to the better off group as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-152 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:147-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: On the ratio of gamma and levy random variable Abstract: The exact distribution of the ratio X/Y is derived when X and Y are gamma and Levy random variables distributed independently of each other. Extensive tabulations of the associated percentage points are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariam Camarero Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Author-Name: Josep Lluis Carrion-i-Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Josep Lluis Author-X-Name-Last: Carrion-i-Silvestre Author-Name: Cecilio Tamarit Author-X-Name-First: Cecilio Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarit Title: Short-term modified Phillips curves for the accession countries Abstract: This study uses NAIRU short-term measures obtained using univariate methods as a basis to analyse inflation developments in the eight Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) that joined the European Union in 2004 during the transition process. The results point to the role of short-term NAIRU as an attractor and support a shifting natural rate hypothesis for unemployment in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Title: Demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries Abstract: This study concerned with the estimation of demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries. Three representatives demand systems with their extensions, namely the Rotterdam Model, An Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), and CBS model are used. These models are estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method. The procedures to estimate demand systems suggest significant empirical regularities for agricultural products in OECD countries. The study also applies a procedure for model selection. This procedure implies the superiority of AIDS and CBS models over the Rotterdam model. The main contribution of this study is to model demand for agricultural products over a wide array of items and across large number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:163-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Halloran Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Halloran Title: The 2002 Farm Bill commodity programs: a tool for improving rotation crop profitability and reducing risk in potato cropping systems Abstract: The Farm Security and Rural Investment Act ('Farm Bill') of 2002 has modified the provisions under Title 1 (Commodity Programs) regarding commodity eligibility. Concurrently, potato producers in Maine have expanded their use of program crops as rotations in potato cropping systems. These changes could affect the economic viability of the potato cropping system. An economic simulation model using budgeting techniques that incorporate stochastic elements to measure risk was developed to evaluate profitability and income risk of four cropping systems with and without participation in the 2002 Farm Bill. The four systems modeled were barley-potato, canola-potato, corn-potato, and soybean-potato. Participation in the 2002 Farm Act's commodity support programs increases the profitability of each cropping system, ranging from $26.00/acre for canola-potato to $122.00/acre for corn-potato. The use of stochastic dominance criteria shows that participation is more risk-efficient than non-participation. Furthermore, two measures of income risk - coefficient of variation and probability of loss - are also reduced with participation. For those growers using program crops in rotation with potatoes, participation in the commodity programs is a valuable tool to improve economic viability and reduce risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:171-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: A forecast based NAIRU measure of the US Abstract: This paper proposes a method to estimate the NAIRU for the U.S. It shares the notion of Estrella and Mishkin (1999) that defines the NAIRU as a leading indicator of inflation changes over the policy horizon. Our alternative construction offers a more theoretically sound and practically useful estimate of the NAIRU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:177-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerome Creel Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Creel Title: The 'price puzzle', once more Abstract: The VAR monetary literature has long exhibited a 'price puzzle': after a positive innovation on the policy interest rate, the price level tends to increase rather than to decrease. This paper shows that introducing fiscal data (primary surplus and net debt) proves fruitful in a VAR model also featuring the output gap, the inflation rate and the nominal short-term interest rate: the 'price puzzle' vanishes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-187 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:183-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam-Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The wealth effect of housing on aggregate consumption Abstract: This study measures the effect of changes in net housing and financial wealth on household consumption using Australian data over the period Q2:1988-Q1:2003. It is found a permanent one dollar rise in housing wealth leads to a six cent increase in consumption, three times the effect of financial wealth. The result speaks strongly against the notion of assets fungibility, and suggests that a sharp movement in house prices is potentially more disruptive than a corresponding movement in financial asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500391075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500391075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:189-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Episodic nonlinearity in Latin American stock market indices Abstract: This letter applies the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test jointly with the windowed testing procedure to detect nonlinear behaviour in the rate of returns series for seven Latin American stock market indices. Our results suggest that the nonlinear serial dependencies are episodic in nature. All the stock returns series are characterized by few brief periods of highly significant nonlinearity, followed by long time periods in which the returns follow a pure noise process. Our findings help explain why there are difficulties in forecasting asset returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392750 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392750&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Is it really the Fisher effect? Abstract: Many researchers have used a cointegration approach to test for the Fisher effect. This note argues that the cointegration of the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate is consistent with any theory implying a stationary ex post real interest rate and so is not a sufficient condition for the Fisher effect to hold. The sufficient condition is the unpredictability of the inflation forecast error implied by the nominal interest rate and this condition may be tested using the signal extraction framework of Durlauf and Hall (1988, 1989). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-203 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:201-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: The unequal distribution of the public-private sector wage gap in Greece: evidence from quantile regression Abstract: Quantile regression analysis is used to estimate the public-private sector wage differential in Greece. The results suggest that wage differences between sectors are mainly attributed to the employee's endowment. The decomposition of the wage differential shows that the endowment component (characteristics differential) increases as we move up to the upper quantiles and the unobserved components decrease at higher quantiles. (The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and not those of the Bank of Greece.) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-210 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393063 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393063&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:205-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Blot Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Blot Author-Name: Francisco Serranito Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Serranito Title: Convergence of fiscal policies in EMU: a unit-root tests analysis with structural break Abstract: The aim of this study is first to determine whether the fiscal policy among EMU countries have converged and then to identify the source of the convergence process. The convergence of fiscal policies was at the core of the fiscal criteria imposed by the Maastricht treaty but it may also have resulted from the economic and financial integration that preceded the Treaty. Some unit-root tests are implemented on the cross-country variance for various fiscal policy indicators where a break in the intercept and the trend is allowed to catch whether the convergence is due to institutional arrangements or to economic integration. We conclude that the fiscal position has converged but the break date, selected before 1992, indicates that the convergence process preceded the Maastricht treaty. Considering the fiscal receipts, the hypothesis of convergence is accepted only when they are adjusted from the cyclical component. The convergence of fiscal expenditures is finally clearly rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396009 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396009&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:211-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: A game theoretic analysis of tariffs, dynamic inconsistency, resource conservation, and trade Abstract: Batabyal and Beladi (2004) have used a game model to study trade in a renewable resource between a single buyer and a single seller. The buyer uses a unit tariff to obliquely encourage conservation of the renewable resource and the entire harvest from the resource is exported to the importing nation. In this setting, it is shown that the efficacy of the unit tariff in promoting conservation depends crucially on whether harvesting costs are stock dependent or independent. When harvesting costs are stock independent (dependent), the optimal open loop unit tariff is time consistent (inconsistent). Does this result hold when the buyer and the seller consume a portion of the harvest from this resource? It is shown that the Batabyal and Beladi result holds even when there is domestic consumption of a portion of the harvest in the exporting country. The study concludes by discussing the implications of this finding for renewable resource conservation in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-222 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nezir Kose Author-X-Name-First: Nezir Author-X-Name-Last: Kose Author-Name: Nuri Ucar Author-X-Name-First: Nuri Author-X-Name-Last: Ucar Title: Effect of cross correlations in error terms on the model selection criteria for the stationary VAR process Abstract: In this paper we investigate the finite sample properties of several model selection criteria in case of bivariate Vector AutoRegressions (VARs) of order one and two by a simulation study, particularly focusing on the effects of the degree of cross correlation in the error terms in combination with the values of more or less extreme values of the characteristic roots of the VAR-process. The Monte Carlo experiments show that the degree of cross correlation has an influence on the model selection criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:223-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiko Tsukuda Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Tsukuda Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: Practical illustrations of the two recent contributions to stochastic frontier models Abstract: In a recent year, the conditional expectation for technical inefficiency (i.e., the predictor) in stochastic frontier production models and its confidence interval are proved to be increasing in the individual firm's inefficiency effect, which is defined as the mean of the normal distribution that is truncated at zero. This paper illustrates how the two recent contributions work in practice and how these findings are significant, by using the Battese and Coelli (1995) type specification and giving an empirical study on the Japanese pharmaceutical industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imed Drine Author-X-Name-First: Imed Author-X-Name-Last: Drine Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Title: Testing for inflation convergence between the Euro Zone and its CEE partners Abstract: Inflation convergence between the Euro Zone and its CEE partners is investigated using panel data methods that incorporate structural shifts. Strong rejections of the unit root hypothesis are found, and therefore evidence of PPP, in the East-European countries for the 1995:1 to 2000:4 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:235-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Quality bias in price elasticity Abstract: This article examines the potential quality bias in price elasticities in cross-sectional demand analysis and develops a framework that can be used to avoid this problem. Both analytical and empirical results indicate that ignoring quality adjustment in either prices or quantities can cause biased price elasticities, which may lead to erroneous marketing decisions and policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395316 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395316&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsungwu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsungwu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The smooth-saving-retention-coefficient with country-size Abstract: The study uses data on 14 countries (Taylor, 1994) to investigate if the saving-retention coefficient varies with country size. A novel semiparametric smooth-coefficient approach of Koop and Tobias (2005) is employed to make posterior inference via the Gibbs sampler algorithm. Empirical results show an overwhelming evidence in support of a positive (nonlinear) relationship between the saving-retention coefficient and country size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Haan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Title: Much ado about nothing: conditional logit vs. random coefficient models for estimating labour supply elasticities Abstract: This study compares several specifications of discrete choice labour supply estimations on basis of the German Socio Economic Panel. The results suggest that despite the restrictive assumptions of the error terms the conditional logit model provides an adequate model choice for the analysis of labour supply functions. Significance tests, which are based on bootstrapped confidence intervals, show that labour supply elasticities derived within the conditional logit model do not significantly differ from elasticities derived in flexible random coefficient models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-256 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:251-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. -L. Chian Author-X-Name-First: A. C. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chian Author-Name: E. L. Rempel Author-X-Name-First: E. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rempel Author-Name: F. A. Borotto Author-X-Name-First: F. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Borotto Author-Name: C. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: An example of intermittency in nonlinear economic cycles Abstract: Intermittent behaviour of economic dynamics is studied by a nonlinear model of business cycles. Numerical simulations show that after an economic system evolves from order to chaos, the system keeps its memory before the transition and its time series alternates episodically between periods of low-level (quiescent) and high-level (bursting) activities. This model of economic intermittency exhibits power-law spectrum similar to the nonlinear time series observed in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:257-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The power of single equation tests for cointegration Abstract: In recent research, Kanioura and Turner (2005) have proposed an F-test for cointegration based upon the joint significance of the level terms in an error correction model. In the present study, the analysis of this test is extended via comparison with the GLS-based cointegration test of Perron and Rodriguez (mimeo, 2001). The simulation evidence presented indicates that for the data generation process considered by Kanioura and Turner, the F-test possesses greater power than both the Engle-Granger and the GLS-based cointegration tests. An empirical examination of the relationship between UK non-durable consumers' expenditure and disposable income illustrates the findings of the simulation analysis, with the F-test alone able to reject the null of no cointegration between the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-267 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398534 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398534&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:265-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Borrmann Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Borrmann Author-Name: Jorg Finsinger Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Finsinger Title: An alternative way of determining the range of Averch and Johnson's Lagrange multiplier: a note Abstract: In this note, an alternative method is developed for determining the range of values assumed by the Lagrange multiplier of Averch and Johnson's constrained maximization problem. By assuming that the regulated firm's profit function is single-peaked, the approach is rather general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-271 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:269-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mari Kan Author-X-Name-First: Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: The demand for medical care in Japan: initial findings from a Japanese natural experiment Abstract: This study examines the effect of the 1997 increase in the coinsurance rate for household heads on the demand for medical care and estimates the price elasticity of demand using the change as a natural experiment. It analyses both outpatient and inpatient utilization by using health insurance claim data from 111 insurance associations. A differences-in-differences type estimator is employed with household heads as the treatment group and dependents as the control group. This represents the first comprehensive analysis of medical care demand in Japan using a natural experiment. The results indicate a price elasticity of outpatient care ranging from -0.05 to -0.06 but no significant effects on inpatient care of the increase in cost sharing. The price elasticity for outpatient care is lower than those from previous studies that have used observational comparisons of individuals in Japan and also smaller than those derived from a randomized experiment in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Title: The evolution of the Swedish wage structure: new evidence for 1992-2001 Abstract: Changes in the Swedish wage structure from 1992 to 2001 are investigated and placed in a longer-term perspective. The results show that the increase in overall wage dispersion that began in the early 1980s have continued during the 1990s, and that the increase during the 1990s is driven by increased wage differentials in both the lower and upper half of the wage distribution. The results also show that the university wage premium in Sweden has exhibited a clearly positive trend since the early 1980s whilst the returns to lower levels of education have been constant since the mid 1970s. Unlike the 1980s, relative supply changes do not appear to have been responsible for the rise in the university wage premium over the most recent decade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600581906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600581906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:279-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: A new approach to examining the sustainability of external imbalances: the case of Japan Abstract: This study aims to solve the puzzle of the conventional practice of examining the sustainability of external accounts by initially looking for cointegration between imports and exports. This study proposes a new approach to examine this thesis using unit root tests (with unknown break date) on trade balance series rather than testing the cointegration relationships between imports and exports. In contrast to previous findings, this study has shown empirically that Japan's trade balances are unsustainable. This finding has important policy implications for Japan's external accounts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:287-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Calculating the optimal hedge ratio: constant, time varying and the Kalman Filter approach Abstract: A crucial input in the hedging of risk is the optimal hedge ratio - defined by the relationship between the price of the spot instrument and that of the hedging instrument. Since it has been shown that the expected relationship between economic or financial variables may be better captured by a time varying parameter model rather than a fixed coefficient model, the optimal hedge ratio, therefore, can be one that is time varying rather than constant. This study suggests and demonstrates the use of the Kalman Filter approach for estimating time varying hedge ratio - a procedure that is statistically more efficient and with better forecasting properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-299 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:293-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samir Saadi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Saadi Author-Name: Devinder Gandhi Author-X-Name-First: Devinder Author-X-Name-Last: Gandhi Author-Name: Khaled Elmawazini Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Elmawazini Title: On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of non-synchronous trading and non-linear dynamics in returns generating process Abstract: Based on the recent developments in market microstructure and applications of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory to financial time series, the subsequent article questions the validity of traditional methods used to test the efficient market hypothesis. In particular, it emphasizes the invalidity of unit roots tests since they are not predictability tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-305 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:301-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wong Hock Tsen Author-X-Name-First: Wong Hock Author-X-Name-Last: Tsen Title: Is there a long-run relationship between trade balance and terms of trade? The case of Malaysia Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between trade balance and terms of trade in Malaysia. It employs commodity terms of trade and income terms of trade. The results show that there is a long-run relationship between trade balance and commodity terms of trade. However, there is no long-run relationship between trade balance and income terms of trade. Commodity terms of trade and income terms of trade are found respectively to Granger cause trade balance and not vice versa. Thus, a change in terms of trade will have an impact on trade balance in Malaysia. In the long run, the impact of terms of trade on trade balance is depending on the measure of terms of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-311 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393428 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393428&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:307-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Cheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chun-Yao Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Valuation of patent - a real options perspective Abstract: Both the theoretical model and the empirical analysis methods are examined for valuing patents from the real options perspective. This study not only sets up a real options approach for evaluating patent to conform to the main sensitivity analysis of patent activities, but also establishes an empirical method about valuing patents by a panel data. Cross-sectional and time-series data from 101 Taiwanese electronic firms between 1993 and 2002 are employed for the fixed effects analysis in the panel data model. This study concludes the consist results from the theoretical model and empirical analysis. That is, the patent value increases with increasing the underlying asset, time to maturity and risk-free rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: evidence for Chile Abstract: This study examines the export-led growth hypothesis using annual time series data from Chile. It addresses the problem of specification bias under which previous studies have suffered and focuses on the impact of manufactured and primary exports on the economic growth. In order to investigate if and how manufactured and primary exports affect economic growth via increases in productivity, the study uses the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) procedure for testing for Granger non-causality in Vector Autoregressive models that involve variables that are integrated in an arbitrary order and that are possibly cointegrated. The estimation results support the export-led growth hypothesis for Chile and at the same time point out to the differentiated impact of manufactured and primary exports on the economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:319-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A flexible nonlinear inference to Okun's relationship Abstract: The study implements the flexible nonlinear inference approach of Hamilton (2001) to assess the validity of Okun's law. Using US quarterly data from 1948:1 to 2004:2, overwhelming evidence is found of nonlinearity between cyclical components of unemployment and output. However, the relationship is still negative and provides strong support of (nonlinear) Okun's law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:325-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Measuring efficiency in allocating inputs among outputs with DEA Abstract: Building on Data Envelopment Analysis technical efficiency models developed by Fare et al. (2004) and Barnum and Gleason (2005), a procedure is illustrated for estimating a firm's efficiency in allocating inputs among the production technologies producing its outputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some notes on informational coalition in a vertical market structure Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-340 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:337-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michelle Trawick Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Trawick Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Title: Crime and community heterogeneity: race, ethnicity, and religion Abstract: Prior studies have explored the relationship between race and religion and their effect on various crimes. In the USA race is typically defined as the proportion of a community that is African-American or nonwhite. Likewise, religion is defined as the proportion of a community that adheres to any religious denomination. This study extends earlier work by employing Herfindahl indices as measures of community homogeneity with respect to race and ethnicity as well as religious denominations. It also measures religiosity based on four different denominational groups, rather than religiosity as an aggregate. Results indicate that as a community's degree of homogeneity increases, in terms of both race/ethnicity and religion, crime decreases; and that the effects of religion on crime may vary by denomination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Exports, foreign direct investment, and productivity: evidence from German firm level data Abstract: This study presents the first empirical test with German establishment level data of a hypothesis derived by Helpman et al. (2004) in a model that explains the decision of heterogeneous firms to serve foreign markets either through exports or foreign direct investment: only the more productive firms choose to serve the foreign markets, and the most productive among this group will further choose to serve these markets via foreign direct investments. Using a non-parametric test for first order stochastic dominance it is shown that, in line with this hypothesis, the productivity distribution of foreign direct investors dominates that of exporters, which in turn dominates that of national market suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-349 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:347-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Brunner Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Brunner Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Estimates of learning by watching and endogenous technical progress in six OECD countries Abstract: A testable model of 'learning by watching', where the rate of technical progress is related to the investment rate, is formulated and estimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Adapting a nonparametric pooling test for use in panel cointegration models Abstract: Baltagi and Kao (2000) chronicle the emergence of panel applications of the cointegration approach. This study builds on this literature by proposing a reformulation of the pooling statistic proposed by Baltagi et al. (1996) that can be used to test for the appropriateness of this panel specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wasseem Mina Author-X-Name-First: Wasseem Author-X-Name-Last: Mina Title: Does contract enforcement matter for international lending? Abstract: Contract enforcement plays an important role in international lending. The hypotheses that better contract enforcement increases the level and lengthens the maturity of international debt are examined. Panel data are used for 83 developing and emerging market economies for the period 1982-1997 to examine these hypotheses. The empirical evidence supports these hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Author-Name: Richard Just Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Just Title: A note on commodity price aggregation bias without separability Abstract: This study identifies sources of price aggregation bias when separability restrictions do not apply. It shows that even though the assumption of the generalized composite commodity theorem guarantees aggregate integrability, it does not guarantee consistent price aggregation except in the homothetic translog model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Zietz Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Zietz Title: Detecting neglected parameter heterogeneity with Chow tests Abstract: The paper demonstrates through a number of Monte Carlo experiments that, for the type of cross-section data sets typically encountered in applied economics, Chow tests on sorted variations of the data matrix can detect neglected parameter heterogeneity. The paper focuses on heterogeneity in the behavioural responses of economic actors that belong to different economically meaningful groups, such as the young, middle-aged, and old. Since the suggested methodology is easy to implement yet powerful, its routine use by applied economists would be desirable given the very significant estimation bias that can result from neglecting parameter heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-374 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378759 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378759&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:369-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Title: Does distance matter for determining regional income in the European Union? An approach through the market potential concept Abstract: This paper focuses on the relationship between market potential and income for the European Union (EU) regions over the period 1982-1999. It is proved that closeness to large consumer markets or in other words, market potential, is an important explanatory variable for regional income in the early 1980s, but it has decreased its significance in determining EU regions income in the 1990s. Thus dynamic income regions have also emerged in the EU periphery, and need not necessarily be close to rich regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600650073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600650073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moawia Alghalith Author-X-Name-First: Moawia Author-X-Name-Last: Alghalith Title: Price and output risk: empirical analysis Abstract: Without relying on duality theory and the indirect utility function, an estimation method is devised that accommodates both price and output uncertainty. This method enables easy testing for risk neutrality. Moreover, it enables empirical comparative statics results to be derived that can be compared to the theoretical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600685079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600685079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Barker Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Barker Author-Name: Sebastian de-Ramon Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: de-Ramon Title: Testing the representative agent assumption: the distribution of parameters in a large-scale model of the EU 1972-1998 Abstract: This study considers the validity of an assumption of the representative agent often made in economic models, that the behaviour of an economic group is adequately represented by each member of the group having the identical characteristics of the average. It can be tested whenever sufficient data are available to estimate sets of parameters of a model with and without the assumption that they are equal to some average. The specific test of the assumption is done for a set of 720 estimated parameters associated with the effects of technological change on industrial employment for 18 regions of Europe. The main finding is that the parameters are significantly different across industries and across regions and that an assumption that all responses to technological change are the same is not justified. Similar results are found for other parameters studied. This finding implies that the assumption that each industry has the same responses as an average, chosen from a literature review, is likely to be misleading. The data strongly suggest that behaviour is differentiated by industry and region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600650115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600650115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Does consumer debt cause economic recession? Evidence using directed acyclic graphs Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between consumer debt and aggregate economic activity based on time series methods and directed acyclic graphs (DAG). Quarterly US data, measured over the period 1980 to 2003, on consumer debt, gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, housing starts, and domestic auto sales, are analysed in an Error Correction Model (ECM). Contemporaneous innovations from this ECM are given a structural representation, using recent developments in DAG modelling. The ECM and DAG components are summarized using innovation accounting techniques (impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition). The DAG causal pattern reveals a causal flow from GDP to consumer debt; the subsequent innovation accounting results also show that consumer debt is not exogenous in contrast to GDP and other indicators. This result concurs with a previous study based on Granger causality, but contradicts other works that claim consumer debt is a root cause of aggregate economic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-407 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398658 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398658&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:401-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masako Oyama Author-X-Name-First: Masako Author-X-Name-Last: Oyama Title: Measuring cost of children using equivalence scale on Japanese panel data Abstract: In this study, the cost of child rearing is estimated in order to examine the hypothesis that the recent fertility decline in Japan has been caused by increases in the cost of child rearing. Although there are various ways to estimate the cost of children, the research uses an equivalence scale. The results of the traditional Rothbarth estimation showed that the cost of child raising in Japan is not very high. However, the results of the equivalence scale estimation using 'satisfaction for the income' as the utility measure showed that the cost of child raising is much higher than calculated in the Rothbarth model. The latter subjective scale approach is now said to have more advantages. Thus, the cost of child raising in Japan is much higher than was believed to be the case, and this could be one of the reasons for the decline in the fertility rate in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-415 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:409-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Kholodilin Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilin Author-Name: Vincent Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Modelling the structural break in volatility Abstract: Recent studies suggest that US and other developed economies have become considerably stabilized in terms of volatility since the mid-1980s (Stock and Watson, 2002). This study models the structural break in volatility using a dynamic factor model with two state variables: one capturing cyclical fluctuations and another reflecting volatility decline. The new model confirms a one-time volatility reduction in the US economy in February 1984. Four-regime models appear to outperform two-regime models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: The impact of local taxes on public school performance: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: This study investigates how education inputs impact school performance. The focus is on local taxes since local tax revenues are the primary source of financing public schools. Using both OLS and 2SLS and examining 507 school districts in Pennsylvania during 1996 to 1999, results reveal that local taxes are strongly related to school performance implying that they have a direct effect on education inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Macas Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Macas Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Title: The Coase problem: a transformation of the usual utility function Abstract: Given that demand for durable goods is not constant over time, this article proposes a transformation of the utility function which accounts for discontinuous time and for the effect of different levels of income on the utility of buying. As a result, the original Coase paradox will collapse. The smaller the difference between the disposition of consumers with high level income and those with low level income to pay, the greater the probability of marginal cost pricing in the present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:427-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: The distribution of income over life: an empirical approach Abstract: The aim of the present work is to provide new findings looking at the direct link between age and the distribution of earnings. In particular, it studies the general movement of earnings of individuals with their age using different econometric models and panel techniques which explain the relationship between age and earnings. Inequality measures based only on cross-sectional income do not adequately reflect lifetime income inequality. Cohort data for different age groups in Spain over the years 1993 to 2000 are considered using data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). The evidence obtained suggests that there exists a strong influence between earnings and age. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Do board characteristics affect corporate performance? Firm-level evidence for India Abstract: The study examines the association between financial performance and boards of non-financial firms. Using data on 127 listed manufacturing firms in India for 2003 the findings indicate that, after controlling for various firm-specific factors, larger boards tend to have a dampening influence on firm performance, judged in terms of either accounting or market-based measures of performance. In terms of policy implications, the analysis suggests that compensation of the CEO has a significant effect on the performance of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-443 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:435-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: P. Perez Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: B. Sanz Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Title: Testing for parameter stability: the Spanish consumption function Abstract: This study tests for parameter instability in the Spanish consumption function. To that end, a new test for time dependence of parameters is used and compared with other relevant tests. As opposed to other tests this new one is concerned with detecting parameter variation in frequency domain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-448 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:445-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evren Erdoğan Cosar Author-X-Name-First: Evren Erdoğan Author-X-Name-Last: Cosar Title: Seasonal behaviour of the consumer price index of Turkey Abstract: In this study, the seasonal properties of the consumer price index (CPI) of Turkey are investigated with the use of Hylleberg et al. (HEGY) and Canova-Hansen (CH) seasonal unit root tests. According to the test results, there is evidence of nonstationary stochastic seasonality as well as deterministic seasonality in the Turkish consumer prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:449-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Title: Long-run validity of Purchasing Power Parity and cointegration analysis for Central Asian countries Abstract: This study investigates the long-run validity of Purchasing Power Parity for three transition Asian countries, namely Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. The results show that the nominal exchange rates, domestic and foreign price series are not cointegrated when four different types of cointegration techniques were applied. Time series properties of the real exchange rates for these countries also show that they are non-stationary. All these results confirm that validity of the Purchasing Power Parity in the long-run can be rejected for these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: Efficiency of the Philippine stock market Abstract: The study examines the efficiency of the Philippine stock market using stock price movements during the period July 1987 to May 2004. Characterizing stock price movements as an AR(1) process with Laplace residuals, the statistical evidence supports the hypothesis that the Philippine stock market is weak-form efficient. An examination of major events that could plausibly affect share prices and large price movements from an event study perspective indicates fairly rapid absorption by the market of information, except in cases of extreme stress caused by political and economic shocks. Furthermore, factors other than information about fundamentals appear able to cause major share price movements. Given these, the support for the semistrong-form efficiency of the stock market is mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-470 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:463-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Time deformation in UK consumers' expenditure: an empirical analysis of highly disaggregated data Abstract: The literature on testing for the presence of cyclical asymmetry in consumers' expenditure is extended via the application of tests for time deformation to UK data subject to a high degree of disaggregation. The initial empirical findings provide evidence of significant time deformation in total, durables and semi-durables expenditures. Closer examination of highly disaggregated expenditure further reveals that time deformation is an intrinsic property of a particular set of expenditure categories including household fittings and furnishings, communication and information technology, vehicles and utilities. These results suggest that such consumers' expenditures 'speed up' during expansions, most likely being driven by the relaxation of credit rationing constraints due to transient income windfalls or the easing of credit conditions, and possibly associated with housing market conditions subsequent to financial market liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-478 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:471-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Response surfaces for an F-test for cointegration Abstract: This study builds on earlier work by Kanioura and Turner (2005) in generating response surfaces for critical values for an F-test for cointegration based on an error-correction relationship between a set of variables of interest. It also builds on work by Pesaran et al. (2001) in generating response surfaces for the critical bounds of this test generated by the possibility that there are cointegrating relationships between the variables on the right hand side of the error-correction equation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: How much happiness is there in the world? A cross-country study Abstract: This paper complements the burgeoning literature on country-specific studies of happiness by taking a global look at happiness and its determinants. In so doing, it makes two contributions. First, it presents indicators of happiness that are 'equity adjusted' and compares their values to those of unadjusted indicators. This comparison shows that countries with the lowest mean happiness scores have their unhappiness compounded when these means are adjusted to take account of the glaring inequality in their inter-personal distribution of happiness. Second, using data on nearly 113 000 respondents, drawn from 80 countries, it shows that people everywhere want broadly the same things in order to be happy: faith in a deity; a decent standard of living; a job; a good family and social life; a good neighbourhood in which to live; and, above all, good health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Is capital really mobile across the border? Abstract: The existing theories on capital mobility use either the saving-investment parity condition or the interest parity condition. The assumptions of balanced budget or purchasing power parity condition underlying these theories, however, are rarely met. This study, therefore develops a different approach called 'current account surplus saving surplus parity condition' to measure the degree of capital mobility and apply the model on US time series data. It is found that US capital is mobile internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymund Abara Author-X-Name-First: Raymund Author-X-Name-Last: Abara Title: Estimation and evaluation of asset pricing models with habit formation using Philippine data Abstract: This study tests the habit-formation model, an extension of the consumption-based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM). Using Philippine stock market data, seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted consumption datasets, the study tracks the performance of these resulting models in terms of forecast performance both in-sample and out-of-sample. Several statistical measures such as the Diebold-Mariano test and the success ratio test are used to compare these habit models against the standard power utility/C-CAPM, the random walk with drift model, and the traditional static CAPM. Based on the criteria set by this study, only the external habit model performs better than all the other models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Nildag Basak Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Nildag Basak Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Bengisu Vural Author-X-Name-First: Bengisu Author-X-Name-Last: Vural Title: The effects of Japanese economic performance on Indonesia Abstract: This paper assesses how Japanese economic performance affects the Indonesian economy for the 1988 to 2004 period. The empirical evidence provided here suggests that Japanese growth appreciates the local currency in real terms, decreases the inflation and increases growth. As a side issue, we also documented that real exchange rate depreciation accelerates inflation and decreases growth in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840500400582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:499-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Howie Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Howie Author-Name: John Wicks Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wicks Author-Name: John Fitzgerald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzgerald Author-Name: Douglas Dalenberg Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Dalenberg Author-Name: Rachel Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: Mothers' time spent in care of their children and market work: a simultaneous model with attitudes as instruments Abstract: Using a model that addresses the potential endogeneity of employment hours on mothers' child care time and vice versa, by including instruments based on parental attitudes, we find a significant negative (but inelastic) relation between the two time uses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-506 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:503-506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate: the case of China's trade with the USA Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the nexus between China's trade balance and the real exchange rate vis-a-vis the USA. Using the bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find evidence that China's trade balance and real exchange rate vis-a-vis the USA are cointegrated, and using the autoregressive distributed lag model we find that in both the short run and the long run a real devaluation of the Chinese RMB improves the trade balance; as a result, there is no evidence of a J-curve type adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-510 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:507-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Manuel Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: The efficacy of university training programmes: a semi-parametric Bayesian approach Abstract: A semi-parametric Bayesian methodology based on Cox's proportional hazards model is proposed in order to evaluate the efficacy of training programmes offered by the University of Zaragoza (Spain) in the labour market insertion process. To this end, a matched comparison group has been designed in which university students completing vocational training courses are compared with eligible non-participants especially chosen for their similarity to the former group in terms of the factors affecting future employment prospects. The study shows that training courses were generally effective for job market insertion of university leavers, increasing their chances of avoiding unemployment by around 6.56% for a standard course. Effectiveness depends, however, on the university leaver's professional career choice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-518 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400470 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400470&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:511-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Udaya Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Udaya Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: S. Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: On measuring group-differentials displayed by socioeconomic indicators Abstract: This is a very short and elementary note which points (in a continuation of a recent tradition in the literature) to the importance of taking account of the level of a socioeconomic indicator in comparing group-differentials displayed by it. The requirement of 'level sensitivity' is captured in a couple of axioms, and a measure of differential, which satisfies both these axioms, is advanced. An empirical illustration of the note's concerns is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-521 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400413 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400413&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:519-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Bassanini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bassanini Title: Training, wages and employment security: an empirical analysis on European data Abstract: Data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) are used to assess the effects of employee training on the average wage and employment security of different labour market groups in EU countries. Significant training wage premia are found only in the case of young or highly educated employees. By contrast training appears to have a strong impact on employment security, measured through subjective measures, in the case of both older and low-educated workers. To reconcile this apparent contradiction, one needs to take into account that, as standard in the literature, wage premia are estimated on a truncated sample including only employed workers. Due to downward wage rigidity, those workers who are unable to maintain their productivity are more frequently laid-off - rather than experiencing a wage fall and be retained in employment - and thereby excluded from the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Zixiong Xie Author-X-Name-First: Zixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Nonlinear relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Taiwan Abstract: Using Taiwan data, the study employs Hamilton's (2001) flexible regression model to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty. The results convincingly support Friedman's hypothesis that a rise in the inflation rate increases inflation uncertainty. This result, however, holds only in a positive inflation regime. When the inflation rate is in a negative inflation regime, one clearly notes that a drop in the inflation rate also increases inflation uncertainty. Thus Friedman's argument is complemented by advocating that a rise in the absolute inflation rate increases inflation uncertainty. Turning to Cukierman-Meltzer's hypothesis, both linear and nonlinear inflation uncertainties affect the inflation rate, where the former has positive but the latter has negative effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:529-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramaprasad Bhar Author-X-Name-First: Ramaprasad Author-X-Name-Last: Bhar Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Linkages among agricultural commodity futures prices: some further evidence from Tokyo Abstract: Booth and Ciner (2001) find that the prices of commodity futures traded on the Tokyo Grain Exchange (TGE) do not move together in the long run. This study analyses whether their empirical results remain true for a more recent period. The empirical results suggest that the cointegrating relation exists among commodity futures contracts from 2000 to 2003, but not earlier during the 1990s. This indicates that the price mechanism works better and the long-run relationships among prices become more apparent as a market develops. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400421 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400421&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Krause Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Krause Title: Optimal monetary policy and the equivalency between the one-period AD-AS model and the forward-looking New Keynesian model Abstract: It is shown how a one-period aggregate demand-aggregate supply (AD-AS) model yields equivalent expressions for inflation and output under optimal monetary policy as a forward-looking New Keynesian model. Furthermore the advantage that the AD-AS model has over the New Keynesian specification when evaluating policy efficiency is evaluated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600691093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600691093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Hysteresis and non-linearities in unemployment rates Abstract: This study tests whether there is evidence of mean reversion in unemployment rates using the recently developed unit root test of Kapetanios et al. (2003). In this framework, the null hypothesis of a unit root process is tested against the alternative of a globally stationary exponential smooth transition autoregressive process. Applying the test to monthly data for Australia, Canada, Finland, Sweden and the USA, it is concluded that unemployment hysteresis finds less support when non-linearities are allowed for compared to the benchmark of using a standard Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryoko Morozumi Author-X-Name-First: Ryoko Author-X-Name-Last: Morozumi Title: The impact of smoke-free workplace policies on smoking behaviour in Japan Abstract: The aim of this study is to quantify the effect of a smoke-free workplace policy on smoking decision, smokers' cigarette consumption, and smoking cessation. The data used in the analysis were gathered from the original Japanese household surveys of 2001. A two-part model was estimated for all workers during the survey period and probit model and difference-in-differences for smokers at workplaces without the smoke-free policy at the time of hiring. The results suggest that total smoking prohibition or a separation of smoking areas reduces smoking prevalence and smokers' cigarette consumption and causes smokers to quit smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500399201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500399201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:549-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Siriopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Siriopoulos Author-Name: Antonios Georgopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Georgopoulos Author-Name: Athanasios Tsagkanos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsagkanos Title: Does the 'Market for Corporate Control' hypothesis explain takeover targets? Abstract: This study tests the 'Market for Corporate Control' hypothesis in a small open economy. The results appear to favour rejection of this hypothesis indicating that acquisitions have not been driven by managerial-disciplinary motives. Moreover, it is found that a logit model outperforms other statistical tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600731329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600731329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Author-Name: J. Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Market access and human capital accumulation: the European Union case Abstract: This study evaluates the role that market access plays in determining the spatial distribution of educational attainment levels among EU regions. Evidence is provided showing that in the EU educational attainment levels are higher in those regions with greater market access. This finding proves that remoteness is a penalty for the economic development and convergence of the European Union regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita De Siano Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: De Siano Author-Name: Marcella D'Uva Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: D'Uva Title: Club convergence in European regions Abstract: This study investigates the 'club convergence' hypothesis applying the stochastic notion of convergence to groups of European regions. In order to avoid the group selection bias problem, the innovative regression tree technique was applied to select endogenously the most important variables in achieving the best identification of groups on the base of per capita income and productive specialization. Tests on stochastic convergence in each group evidences a strong convergence among the wealthiest regions of the European Union and a trend of weak convergence among the remaining groups, confirming Baumol's hypothesis of convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600733473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600733473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:569-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Author-Name: Hermann Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Hermann Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Luis Felipe Lagos Author-X-Name-First: Luis Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Lagos Title: Is fiscal policy effective? Evidence for an emerging economy: Chile 1833-2000 Abstract: This paper studies the impact of fiscal policy on economic activity by using Chilean annual data from 1833 to 2000. The data allows us to disentangle the impacts on economic activity -- due to the large variation in fiscal policy in the period under study -- by using a SVAR methodology. The study finds evidence of non Keynesian impacts of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxime Fougere Author-X-Name-First: Maxime Author-X-Name-Last: Fougere Author-Name: Simon Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Title: The regional impact of population ageing in Canada: a general equilibrium analysis Abstract: This study explores the long-term economic effects of population ageing by region in Canada using a dynamic regional computable overlapping generations model. The model has six regions, six goods and 15 overlapping generations of heterogeneous workers by skill level and immigration status. The analysis indicates that regional differences in retirement decisions, fertility rates and location of skilled immigrants will cause a substantial increase in regional income disparity in Canada between faster-ageing and slower-ageing regions of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Author-Name: Chung Mo Koo Author-X-Name-First: Chung Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Title: A method to allocate GDP statistical discrepancy Abstract: There is a considerable discrepancy between GDP estimates which should be equal to one another. A method of allocating this discrepancy is proposed to derive an accurate measure of GDP with applications to the US and Korean economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osama Sweidan Author-X-Name-First: Osama Author-X-Name-Last: Sweidan Author-Name: Aktham Maghyereh Author-X-Name-First: Aktham Author-X-Name-Last: Maghyereh Title: Monetary policy and the central bank's securities Abstract: Open market operation (OMO) is one of the major instruments of conducting the monetary policy in both developing and developed countries. Using this instrument requires a well-developed secondary financial market. OMO can be implemented by using either government or central bank (CB) securities. Developing countries are using the second which raises a question about CB profits and the effect on the economy. This study, through evidence from a small developing country, Jordan, shows that issuing CB securities causes losses which affect the monetary policy continuity. Moreover, the paper extends a model introduced by Walsh (1998) to study the impact of the CB losses on some macroeconomic variables. The model shows that if the CB profits are part of the objective function then inflation, output and growth of the money supply tend to have a positive bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:593-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Gloria Rubert Author-X-Name-First: Gloria Author-X-Name-Last: Rubert Title: The effect of outsourcing on the demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing industry Abstract: This study analyses the effect of outsourcing on the demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing industries. For the first time in the literature the origin of outsourcing is taken into account, distinguishing imports coming from developing countries and imports produced in developed countries. As theoretically expected, a positive link is found between outsourcing to developing countries and a higher demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing sectors. However, it is found that outsourcing to developed countries also has a positive effect on the demand for skills. This later result may cast some doubts on previous studies' conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-604 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:599-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Hong Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yong Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: First and second order instability of the Shanghai and Shenzhen share price indices Abstract: First and second order instability tests are applied to China's two major share market price indices (SPIs), Shanghai share market price index (SES) and Shenzhen share market price index (SZS) using daily data from 2 January 1992 to 16 July 2004. First order instability is synonymous with non stationarity and second order instability with structural breaks. Applying procedures developed by Perron (1997) and Zivot and Andrews (1992), it is found that both share price indices are unstable in the first and second order. The Shanghai series breaks in December 1999 and Shenzhen in May 1999. Existence of the share A (domestic listing) and share B (foreign listing) seem to buffer both markets against the worst effects of the Asian Crisis and September 11 attack. These shocks were apparently absorbed by the foreign listings of shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Title: Capital mobility and savings-investment correlations: panel data evidence from transition economies Abstract: This study examines the relationship between savings and investment for 26 transition economies using a panel data set covering the 1991 to 2002 period. Estimates of the saving coefficient based on cross-sectional, fixed-effect, random-effect and mean-group estimators range from 0.263 to 0.315, which are significantly less than one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-613 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:611-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Susanne Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Susanne Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: The impact of gender differences in occupational attainment on the relative earnings of young workers Abstract: This study investigates the potential influence that gender differences in occupational structures have upon the relative earnings of young women in the US labour market. The empirical methodology integrates a multinomial logit model of occupational attainment with estimated human capital wage equations across occupations. Empirical analysis of data from the 1979 cohort of the NLSY suggests that nearly two-thirds of the gender gap in hourly earnings results from men having more favourable earnings structures within occupations, relative to their female colleagues. Gender differences in occupational distributions apparently have a minor impact on the relative earnings of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Title: Day-of-the-week effects in emerging stock markets Abstract: This study uses both unconditional and conditional risk analysis to investigate the day-of-the-week effect in 21 emerging stock markets. In addition, risk is allowed to vary across the days of the week. Different models produce different results but overall day-of-the-week effects are present for the Philippines, Pakistan and Taiwan even after adjusting for market risk. The results in this study show that while the day-of-the-week effect is not present in the majority of emerging stock markets studied, some emerging stock markets do exhibit strong day-of-the-week effects even after accounting for conditional market risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-628 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:621-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: The effects of bandwidth changes on model validity: an empirical study Abstract: This simple study uses a variant of the Hsiao et al. (2006) test to analyse the impact of bandwidth changes on model validity using actual labour force data on workers in the Philippines. The test framework is used to verify the validity of several wage specifications. Results indicate that the tests are quite sensitive to chosen bandwidths for discrete regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-633 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:629-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Muge Karacal Author-X-Name-First: Muge Author-X-Name-Last: Karacal Title: The demand for money in Turkey and currency substitution Abstract: Over the last three decades, the Turkish economy has experienced severe macro-shocks, among which depreciation of the Turkish lira is the most noticeable one. The Turkish lira (TL) has depreciated from 13 TL per US dollar in 1973 to more than 1.5 million TL per dollar today. It is expected that because of these shocks, some of the macro-relationships could suffer from structural instability which makes policy formulation and predictions difficult. This paper considers the demand for money in Turkey. To take account of currency substitution, the demand for money that includes the exchange rate in addition to income, interest rate and inflation rate is estimated. After incorporating the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests in bounds testing approach for cointegration, it is shown that in Turkey for a successful and effective monetary policy, the monetary authorities would rather concentrate on M1 because not only is it cointegrated with its determinants and it is stable, all four determinants belong to the cointegrating space. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-642 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:635-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabanita Datta Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Nabanita Datta Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Ronald Oaxaca Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Oaxaca Author-Name: Nina Smith Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Analysing trends in US and Danish gender wage gaps in the 1980s and 1990s Abstract: Trends in US and Danish gender wage gaps in the 1980s and 1990s are analysed within the framework of simple auto-regressive time-series models. Results show a saturation effect in the wage progress of women in Denmark at a level of 85% but no similar signs of stabilization in the USA. Also, no evidence is found that business cycle variables can explain the development of the gender wage gap in either country during this time period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600684825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600684825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Kakamu Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kakamu Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Productivity convergence of manufacturing industries in Japanese MEA Abstract: The study presents (1) the convergence of labour productivity in manufacturing industries in Japanese MEAs during 1985 to 2000, using Markov chain transition matrix and (2) the speed of convergence to an ergodic distribution. The results indicate that (1) the labour productivities of all MEAs converge to different levels in the long-run and (2) its speed is as slow as the Solow's growth model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-653 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400371 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400371&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:649-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chien-Hua Lai Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Substitute effects between Lotto and Big Lotto in Taiwan Abstract: Lotto was inaugurated in January 2002 and immediately became a popular activity in Taiwan. The purpose of this investigation is to examine the effective price elasticity of Big Lotto and the substitute effects between Lotto (6/42) and Big Lotto (6/49). The analytical results can provide suggestions to the Taipei Bank on ways to improve lottery sales. The empirical findings of investigation include: (1) no significant substitutive or complementary relationships exist between Big Lotto and Lotto in Taiwan (2) the effective price elasticity of Big Lotto is -0.145, Taipei Bank can increase the revenue gained from Big Lotto by increasing the effective price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: James Opaluch Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Opaluch Author-Name: Di Jin Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Thomas Grigalunas Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Grigalunas Title: Alternative technology indexes in the offshore oil and gas industry Abstract: R&D policies play an important role for developing technologies. Alternative technology indexes are tested to provide an improved understanding of technology index in the offshore oil and gas industry. The analysis compares ten alternative technology indexes including technology diffusion counts, importance-weighted diffusion, innovation counts, importance-weighted innovation, patent counts, importance-weighted patent counts, and a simple measure of time. It is found that utilizing weighted diffusion count as an index of technology is clearly superior to all other indexes. The results also show the time as an index of technology is clearly inferior to most other indexes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Author-Name: I. Theodossiou Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Theodossiou Title: Returns to qualifications and occupation for males and females: evidence from the British Workplace Employee Relations Survey (WERS) 1998 Abstract: This study explores the returns to qualifications by occupation for males and females by utilizing a matched employer-employee dataset. It shows that educational qualifications are of a major and significant importance in explaining earnings variation but the effect progressively disappears as one examines their impact at lower ranks of occupational status. Thus, it appears that precisely where workers are located in terms of occupation will determine the pay that they are likely to receive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-673 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:665-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chul-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Donggeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donggeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does Korea have twin deficits? Abstract: Using the modified Wald test suggested by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), the study examines whether higher budget deficits lead to greater current account deficits in Korea. This test allows one not only to examine the general validity of twin deficits hypotheses, but also to predict future Korean external balance positions. The empirical results indicate that a unidirectional causal relation running from the current account deficit to the budget deficit is present in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404910 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404910&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: On the finite sampling properties of the Zheng test for omitted and irrelevant variable problems Abstract: The paper conducts simple Monte Carlo simulation investigations to ascertain the finite sample properties of the Zheng test when applied to familiar specification errors in the form of omitted and irrelevant variable problems. Results indicate that the respective estimated sizes underestimate the nominal sizes. In an omitted variable setting, the Zheng test performs rather well with estimated powers being sensitive to increasing bandwidth parameters. However, the test exhibited contrasting results in examining power performance for testing irrelevant regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-684 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600829651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600829651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:681-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Vandenberge Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenberge Title: Achievement effectiveness and equity: the role of tracking, grade repetition and inter-school segregation Abstract: Grouping students together according to their ability - in vocational versus academic tracks, in different grades or schools - is frequently denounced as being ineffective and/or a source of additional inequality. Yet very few international studies have evaluated the effects of these practices on educational performance. This study attempts to fill this gap using standardized scores in maths, science and reading literacy at the age of 15 published by the OECD in 2000. Results are that ability grouping has no impact on effectiveness (country mean scores). And the intensity of inequality (within country dispersion of scores) is also hard to predict. It is only for maths that higher inter-school segregation, but not tracking or grade repetition, leads to higher inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-693 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:685-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Troy Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: A more flexible decomposition of productivity growth Abstract: Conventional productivity growth decompositions, such as those of Baily, Bartelsman and Haltiwanger (2001) and Grilliches and Regev (1995), first aggregate each firm's productivity level into an aggregate productivity index, and then allocate aggregate growth back to the firms forming the aggregate. It is shown that this can produce misleading results, and two more flexible decompositions are proposed that are consistent with the superlative Tornqvist productivity growth index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600903837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600903837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: Kunal Sen Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Probit with heteroscedasticity: an application to Indian poverty analysis Abstract: This study argues that in limited dependent variable models, when there is heteroscedasticity, a probit model with a heteroscedastic structure should be estimated. The problem is illustrated using unit record data from the Indian National Sample Survey to analyse the determinants of poverty at household level. It is found that these biases are large even with large number of observations because in the limited dependent variable case, the bias does not vanish asymptotically when the assumption of homoscedasticity breaks down. Both regression coefficients and marginal effects differ widely between probit and hetprobit models in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500402096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500402096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:699-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Buonanno Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Buonanno Author-Name: Leone Leonida Author-X-Name-First: Leone Author-X-Name-Last: Leonida Title: Education and crime: evidence from Italian regions Abstract: This study examines the impact of education on criminal activity in Italy. A number of hypotheses are tested regarding the effects of education and past incidence of crime on criminal activity, using annual data for the 20 Italian regions over the period 1980 to 1995. Empirical results show that education is negatively correlated with delinquency and that crime rates display persistence over time. The results are robust to model specifications and endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:709-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. K. Randolph Tan Author-X-Name-First: G. K. Randolph Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Efficiency estimates for Singapore manufacturing: new evidence from the Malmquist Index Abstract: A nonparametric technique is employed, data envelopment analysis, to derive estimates of technical efficiency change in Singapore manufacturing industries for 1975 to 1998 using the Malmquist index. The results show that on average, there have been improvements in technical efficiency over the sample period for overall manufacturing. This broadly corroborates the results from an earlier stochastic frontier analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-721 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:715-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinyoung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jinyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Kun-Oh Jung Author-X-Name-First: Kun-Oh Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: A cross-country study on income distribution and school enrolment Abstract: This study examines whether income distribution affects school enrolment at primary, secondary and tertiary levels. Using cross-national evidence, it is found that a country's income inequality is positively and significantly associated with primary school enrolments. However, there is a negative association between income inequality and enrolment at both secondary and tertiary levels, even after controlling for some explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500402013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500402013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Christian von Hirschhausen Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: von Hirschhausen Title: Convergence of European spot market prices for natural gas? A real-time analysis of market integration using the Kalman Filter Abstract: This letter provides a textbook example of an econometric analysis of the integration between two commodity markets and the subsequent price convergence or absence thereof. Price relations between spot markets are analysed for natural gas in Europe. The European market for natural gas is currently undergoing a liberalization process with the aim of creating a single, unified market. Time-varying coefficient estimation models are used, applying the Kalman filter to test whether price convergence between different locations is really taking place. The results reveal that the construction of a pipeline between the UK and Zeebrugge (Belgium) has led to almost perfect price convergence between these locations in the time period under consideration; on the other hand, liberalization on the European continent does not seem to be working so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-732 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:727-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Title: Wage flexibility and the EMU: a nonparametric and semiparametric analysis for the Spanish case Abstract: According to OCA theory, the creation of the EMU reinforces the role of wage flexibility as an adjustment instrument alternative to the exchange rate in order to mitigate the negative effects of asymmetric shocks. This paper uses the case of Spain as the frame of reference within the EMU - in order to ensure data homogeneity - and examines wage flexibility in the Spanish provinces using both nonparametric and semiparametric techniques. The main result of the paper is that the labour market appears to be quite rigid and, therefore, adverse shocks could have serious consequences in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Ninon Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Ninon Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Theodor Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Theodor Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Title: The risk and return characteristics of developed and emerging stock markets: the recent evidence Abstract: Finance theory suggests that the higher volatility typically associated with emerging stock market returns translates into higher expected returns in those markets. This study compares the risk and return profile of emerging and developed stock markets over the period from 1988 through April 2003. Specifically, this study investigates whether a difference in risk characteristics exists between the two markets and whether the realized rates of return in these two types of markets reflect these risk characteristics. The results show that the risk associated with emerging markets, as measured by the standard deviation of returns, is higher than the risk in developed markets in most periods. Also, the returns in emerging markets have been higher than those in developed markets for most of the time frames examined. The findings suggest that risk-averse investors seeking higher returns in emerging markets have been compensated for assuming the higher risk associated with these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-743 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:737-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yir-Hueih Luh Author-X-Name-First: Yir-Hueih Author-X-Name-Last: Luh Author-Name: Kuo-Chen Shih Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Title: International spillovers and East Asian growth: the experience of Japan, Korea and Taiwan Abstract: This study analyses the sources of economic growth for three East Asian economies - Japan, Korea and Taiwan - with special emphasis on international spillovers as an explanation of the differential patterns of growth. Three different proxy measures of international spillovers are constructed in the empirical analysis. Explicitly accounting for country-specific differences, both fixed effect and random effect regressions are applied to obtain coefficient estimates. It is found that technology spillovers going beyond geographic boundaries is a significant determinant of GDP growth for the three East Asian economies. Nevertheless, the direction of the spillover effect differs. For Japan and Korea, the empirical findings support the view that international spillovers contribute to GDP growth. International spillovers, however, are found to have dampened Taiwan's GDP growth during the period 1978 to 1992. These results suggest, for economies whose research effort is relatively low, a negative relationship between productivity and international spillovers might be revealed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-750 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:745-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Empirical causality between bigger banknotes and inflation Abstract: Monetary theory predicts that high inflation rates may imply the need for bigger banknotes. At the same time, monetary authorities may fear that introducing higher-valued banknotes leads to inflation. This paper concerns an analysis of 40 years of data on inflation and denominations for 59 countries, and it reports that causality runs from inflation to banknotes and not the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-752 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:751-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ethan Cohen-Cole Author-X-Name-First: Ethan Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen-Cole Title: Housing quality, neurotoxins and human capital acquisition Abstract: Much existing literature on age-earnings variation has focused on identifying the connection between ability and wage and salary income. This is often done through the careful selection of an instrument, believed to be correlated with ability but not with earnings, and typically for data on individuals older than 18. Recent efforts have discussed the path of human capital acquisition from younger ages, including discussions of the relevance of early childhood education on the long-term path of human capital. This paper approaches the issue by selecting a more plausibly exogenous factor in human capital acquisition - infant exposure to household neurotoxins (e.g. lead, mercury, PCBs, etc.). I capitalize on the time varying usage of paint and PCBs in household constructions to use housing vintage (year of construction) as a proxy for exposure. I measure this exposure at the state level. State level variation in the age of housing stock is found to explain a large portion of the individual level age-earnings profile. Living in an old vintage house with a high probability of neurotoxin exposure translates to loss of earnings equivalent to about six years of schooling. This supports the medical literature's view that neurotoxins affect both mental capacity as well as the ability to learn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:753-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Seung Jick Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung Jick Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A complete characterization of mean wait times for citizens in the non-preemptive corruption regime Abstract: Recently, Batabyal and Yoo (2004) have used a queuing model with two types of citizens (high and low opportunity cost of time) to compute mean wait times in queue for the so called non-preemptive corruption regime. The purpose of this note is to extend the Batabyal and Yoo (2004) analysis. Specifically, a queuing model with  [image omitted] types of citizens is first studied. Next, mean wait times in queue are calculated for all n types of citizens. Finally, the implications of the findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gairuzazmi Ghani Author-X-Name-First: Gairuzazmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ghani Title: Balance of payments constrained growth model: an examination of Thirlwall's Hypothesis using McCombie's Individual Country Method Abstract: The balance of payments constrained growth (BOP) model is tested using the McCombie's cross-country and individual country test for 90 developed and developing countries for the period 1980 to 2000, and the McCombie's test is extended using export elasticity. If in the long run, the growth of exports is equal to the growth of imports and the affect of prices are not statistically significant, the estimated import elasticity from time series regression should not be statistically different from the BOP implied import elasticity, this also implied that the estimated export elasticity, also should not be statistically different from the BOP implied export elasticity. However, the finding shows that for only about 45% of the countries under study the individual country test is accepted even though cross-country analysis support the BOP model. Furthermore, for some countries where its estimated and implied import elasticity are not statistically different, its estimated and implied export elasticity are statistically different and vice-versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:763-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Gallardo-Sejas Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Gallardo-Sejas Author-Name: Salvador-Gil Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador-Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Pareja Author-Name: Rafael Llorca-Vivero Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Llorca-Vivero Author-Name: Jose Martinez-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Serrano Title: Determinants of European immigration: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of international immigration in 13 European destination countries using a data set on 139 origin countries in 2000. The results indicate that gravity variables (population and distance), the macroeconomic conditions, cultural proximity, and the existence of narrow trade relationships are important explanatory factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424975 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424975&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Giuseppe Arbia Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Arbia Title: Testing the stochastic convergence of Italian regions using panel data Abstract: This paper examines stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for Italian regions using recent non-stationary panel data methodologies over the period 1951 to 2002. Economies stochastically converge when regional differences across economies are not persistent, and long-run movements in a region's real per capita GDP are driven by technological shocks. Four panel unit root tests are used to evaluate stochastic convergence and Monte Carlo simulation is performed to obtain critical values. The results indicate that there is no stochastic convergence among Italian regions. They also provide some evidence in favour of stochastic convergence of regions in the Northern part of Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-783 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:775-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Ayla Ogus Author-X-Name-First: Ayla Author-X-Name-Last: Ogus Title: Increasing returns to information and the survival of Turkish public theatre plays Abstract: This paper investigates increasing returns to information and the survival of Turkish public theatre productions. Log size and rank relationship is found to display autocorrelated growth in a sample of 556 plays put on stage in the Turkish public theatre system in 12 different cities between 1998 and 2003. The lifetime of plays is also investigated and the features of plays are found not to matter for duration which can be explained by the non-profit nature of public theatre. However, the lifetimes of plays in more developed cities are longer than in less developed cities. In contrast to Broadway shows, the hazard function for Turkish public theatre plays is increasing in the number of performances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407533 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407533&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Ilias Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Title: Forecasting the stationary AR(1) with an almost unit root Abstract: Although unit root tests have made a great contribution in time series econometrics, their major disadvantage is the low powers they attain on certain occasions, as for the case of the stationary AR(1), when φis close to one. In this study, considering the random walk as the true model, we derive the probability of the prediction interval to include any future value yT+s of AR(1). Using certain estimates from Monte Carlo simulations, we proceed to numerical computations, resulting in the main finding that the values for the specific probability depend upon the location the most recent available observation in the sample possesses in its marginal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407491 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407491&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yuri Park Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jongsu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jongsu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Using stated-preference data to measure the inconvenience cost of spam among Korean E-mail users Abstract: E-mail is an efficient communication tool, but at the same time it is an efficient vehicle for Internet pollution in the form of spam—unsolicited, bulk e-mailings. Spam is a global phenomenon, and debate about possible means of controlling it is lively. Spammers impose a negative externality on users. The volume of spam-type e-mail sent is above the social optimum and thus produces dead-weight. To solve the spam problem and evaluate spam-control measures, one needs to measure the disutility experienced by e-mail users who receive spam. The current study employs conjoint analysis of stated-preference data to estimate e-mail users' overall inconvenience cost attributable to spam. The results show the inconvenience cost of spam to be about 3.067 won (US$ 0.0026) per spam message. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:795-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: New evidence on export expansion, economic growth and causality in China Abstract: This paper extends the work by Mah (2005) on the causality between export expansion and economic growth in China by adding imports as additional variable in a trivariate framework. Interestingly, this paper has empirically found no long-run relationships among exports, real Gross Domestic Product, and imports. This paper further shows no long- and short-run causality, at least in Granger's sense, between export expansion and economic growth in China, but economic growth does Granger-cause imports in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Stephen Holoviak Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Holoviak Title: Unemployment and crime: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between labour market conditions and various crime series in three Asia-Pacific countries: Australia, Japan and South Korea. Johansen's maximum likelihood cointegration tests are applied to annual, aggregate data to see whether there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between unemployment and crime variables. In a society with a high unemployment rate, especially among young males, the opportunity cost of crime is relatively low so that criminal activities tend to increase. Although theoretically well-formulated, previous empirical studies of this hypothesis have yielded mixed evidence. The results of this study, however, appear to provide strong support for a long-run equilibrium relationship between unemployment and several crime series. This may be due to the use of cointegration method in the study, which is quite common in the area of economics and finance, but has not been applied extensively to the study of crime. Empirical support seems to be even stronger for the relationship between unemployment among young males and crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-810 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:805-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Does foreign direct investment affect domestic income inequality? Abstract: Using pooled Gini coefficient 1993 to 2002 data for 119 countries from World Development Indicators 2004, World Bank, we find that income inequality, defined as the Gini coefficient, increases as FDI stocks as a percentage of GDP increase. Increases in per capita GDP and real per capita GDP growth rate reduce income inequality in a country, whereas an increase in GDP deteriorates income distribution. Furthermore, Latin American and Caribbean countries proved to have a less equal income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-814 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:811-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Title: Objective 1 regions versus non-objective 1 regions. What does the Theil Index tell us? Abstract: The evolution of regional income disparities between two blocks of regions, objective 1 regions and non-objective 1 regions is analysed for the period 1982 to 1997, by using a Generalized entropy index such as the Theil index. The results show that between 1982 and 1987 the income disparities between objective 1 regions and non-objective 1 regions have increased, while from 1987 onwards objective 1 regions catch up with the non-objective 1 regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-820 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:815-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Chanel Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Chanel Author-Name: Susan Cleary Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Cleary Author-Name: Stephane Luchini Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Luchini Title: Does public opinion influence willingness-to-pay? Evidence from the field Abstract: Contingent valuation (CV) surveys have been criticized for assuming that respondents have well-defined preferences. Using an innovative field experiment dealing with a privatized public good, it is shown that respondents are not influenced by public opinion but are positively responsive to scientific information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-824 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:821-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teit Luthje Author-X-Name-First: Teit Author-X-Name-Last: Luthje Title: Does intra-industry trade exist in the real world? Abstract: If foreign trade is related to that part of a product category which includes foreign trade in quality varieties between countries with identical factor endowments, intra-industry trade makes up a far smaller share of total foreign trade than normally assumed. Thereby, the Heckscher Ohlin model is the essential incentive explaining foreign trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 825-827 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424991 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424991&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:825-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Uncertain innovation with uncertain product durability Abstract: This paper adds to two strands of the economics literature, the literature on product durability and on technical change, in a small way by introducing the possibility that an uncertain invention may be exogenously durable. Durability makes otherwise fully appropriable innovation porous. We consider a duopoly where firms maximize the present discounted rewards from innovation that might turn out to be a durable good or a non-durable good. Comparative-static results show that greater appropriability of rewards from the durable good innovation induces the firm to increase its profit-maximizing research spending. The effect of a change in the probability of the durable innovation is shown to depend on the degree of appropriability. The consideration of the effect of changes in the probability of durable innovation is unique to the literature. The effects of change in R&D competition are ambiguous and in line with earlier findings. Two special cases are considered and policy implications discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anil Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Nonparametric conditional density estimation of labour force participation Abstract: Labour force participation decision has been studied primarily in a parametric framework. The weaknesses of the parametric estimators to misspecification of the error distribution and to functional form assumptions are well known. This paper compares the predictive performance of widely used parametric and semiparametric estimators with results obtained from nonparametric kernel conditional density estimation with likelihood cross-validated bandwidth selection and mixed data type. The results are striking. The predictive performance of the nonparametric estimator is 95% against 71% to 77% of the parametric and semiparametric estimators. The nonparametric estimator is able to correctly predict the outcome for 83% of non-participants in the labour force as against 15% by probit and logit models. This underscores the need to use nonparametric estimators in studying labour market behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:835-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Willingness to pay for a cyber ecological park Abstract: We attempt to value a cyber ecological park on the Internet by applying willingness to pay (WTP) survey techniques. The respondents' judgements required in the survey were within their abilities and the household's mean WTP for visiting the Woopo wetland cyber ecological park was estimated as 1203 Korean won (GBP 0.653) per connection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-846 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:843-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: Jorge Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS Abstract: This study provides empirical evidence on the determinants of exchange rate credibility under the European Monetary System (EMS). To that end, it considers both economic variables and political factors using data of eight currencies participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism, covering the complete EMS history (1979 to 1998). The results suggest that the level of international reserves, the real interest rate and right-wing governments would have positively affected the credibility of a given central parity, while the unemployment rate and the inflation rate would have negatively influenced such credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-850 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:847-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does globalization matter to income distribution in Asia? Abstract: This study attempts to examine the impact of globalization on the income inequality in Asia. The pooled regression results covering eight Asian countries over the period 1970 to 2002, show the regular-U shape with globalization variables. It gives a policy implication for growth, equity, and globalization in Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-855 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:851-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chia-Ling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Granger causality test on R&D spatial spillovers and productivity growth Abstract: This paper uses panel data of Taiwanese electronics firms to investigate the Granger causality relationship between R&D and productivity growth, while taking into account the effect of R&D spatial spillovers. Unlike previous studies, the R&D spatial spillover effect is calculated by a geographic formula of longitude and latitude. Before determining the direction of causality between the TFP growth and R&D effort, we execute the panel unit root test to examine the stationarity of the data. Results indicate that all variables in the model are stationary, and that R&D stock and R&D spatial spillovers Granger cause productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Troy Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: A semiparametric estimator of the Zellner production function for corn: fitting the univariate primal Abstract: Recent developments in production agriculture have resurrected interest in the primal production approach. This study develops a semi-parametric procedure for estimation of the Zellner production function for a single input. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-867 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:863-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Guy Cox Author-X-Name-First: Richard Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Cox Title: A perverse effect of lowering the threshold blood alcohol content Abstract: Recent legislation in the USA encourages states to lower the legal threshold for drunk driving blood alcohol content. The intention of such legislation is to reduce the number of accidents and fatalities associated with drunk driving. This note shows that lowering the threshold blood alcohol content has an ambiguous impact on the incidence of drunk driving accidents and will not reduce the number of drunk drivers with blood alcohol content above a previous threshold. The formal analysis serves to encourage further empirical research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-871 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425428 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425428&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:869-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Title: A note on uncertainty and investment across the spectrum of irreversibility Abstract: There is a lack of consensus regarding the sign of the uncertainty-investment relationship, with a strand of the literature suggesting a positive sign, and the Real Options Theory (ROT) advocating a negative relationship. As a way of testing the ROT, this paper empirically investigates its main prediction that the negative effect of uncertainty on investment is an increasing function of the degree of irreversibility. Empirical results provide support for the ROT since uncertainty is found to exert a higher impact on investment spending across the irreversibility spectrum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-876 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425451 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425451&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:873-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Contests with interdependent preferences Abstract: Relaxing the common assumption of purely self-interested preferences in contests, it is shown that altruism (bilateral or unilateral) reduces equilibrium rent-seeking effort. The effects on net payoffs are more complex. Strategic interdependence is possible, but the symmetric equilibrium is pure self-interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-880 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:877-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Hyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Hyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Business corruption, public sector corruption, and growth rate: time series analysis using Korean data Abstract: With annual data for 1986 to 2001 from South Korea (hereafter Korea), the regression results are consistent with the hypothesis that business corruption and public sector corruption have detrimental effects on real per capita growth rate. It is also evident that two causal relationships between each pair of corruptions exist; reducing one is likely to result in reductions in the other, implying that business and public sector corruptions may be one package in policy formulation. The elasticity of real per capita growth rate with respect to two indicators of public sector corruptions indicate that corruption in terms of number is more sensitive to real per capita growth rate than corruption in the amount of money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Caleiro Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Caleiro Title: How is confidence related to unemployment in Portugal? Abstract: By the use of fuzzy logic, this paper shows how confidence is related to unemployment in Portugal. The results indicate it to be a worthwhile exercise, as the apparent importance of unemployment upon confidence is only revealed by the fuzzy logic approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-890 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:887-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: 'Turn-of the-month' return effects for small cap Hong Kong stocks Abstract: Intra-month returns for a liquid pool of small-cap stocks in Hong Kong are analysed over the period January 2000 to June 2005. A strong and persistent 'turn-of-the-month' effect is apparent where returns, measured between the close of trading on the penultimate day of business in a calendar month and the subsequent close five business days later, are recorded at levels averaging almost 1.5%. This compares to returns over the preceding five-day period-capturing the 'end of month' effect-of almost -0.3% on average. Further analysis also points to differential 'day-of-the-week' effects with Tuesday and Friday returns in particular at noticeably lower levels during the final week of a month as compared to earlier weeks. The Tuesday effect may well be an analogue of the US Monday effect given Wang et al.'s evidence of notably lower Monday returns toward month-ends, and the suggestion of a 'delayed Monday effect' in Asian time zones due to the opening of US Monday trading hours after Hong Kong trading hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426046 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426046&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:891-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Claudio Lupi Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Lupi Title: Divergence and long-run equilibria in Italian regional unemployment Abstract: The Italian labour market is characterized by large and persistent regional unemployment differentials. This study uses recent panel unit root and cointegration tests to derive the long-run properties of the Italian regional unemployment disparities. The empirical evidence suggests that the stochastic convergence hypothesis can be rejected. However, the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among regional unemployment rates cannot be excluded. Some possible implications of this finding are sketched. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-904 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:899-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Acosta Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta Author-Name: Enlinson de Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Enlinson Author-X-Name-Last: de Mattos Author-Name: Ana Fava Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Fava Title: Monte Carlo properties of spatial dependence LM tests Abstract: This paper compares the power and size of both spatial one-directional and robust to local misspecification LM test using Monte Carlo techniques under different set ups. Confirming the results found in Anselin et al. (1996), under local misspecification the robust LM test improves its size and power of tests. However, under no misspecification, the robust LM test is severely penalized and the usual one-directional LM test has a much better performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-910 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:905-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Martins Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: External recruitments and firm performance Abstract: In the context of tournament theory, and drawing on a panel data set of several firms and their employees, evidence is presented of a negative relationship between the share of external recruitments for top management positions and firm productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-915 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:911-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: Skill premia in Mexico: demand and supply factors Abstract: Skill premia trends for the Mexican urban labour market are analysed, decomposing into demand and supply factors. Moreover, among the former both between and within effects are studied, in line with the Katz and Murphy decomposition. It is shown that demand factors are more important for explaining the initial increment in skill premia, but supply factors are responsible for driving them down. It is concluded that the North American Trade Agreement (NAFTA) favours unskilled labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-924 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:917-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: Conditional and unconditional inequality and growth relationships Abstract: This study tests the conditional and unconditional relationship between income inequality and growth in the post-Second World War period using WIDER inequality database. Regression results suggest that income inequality is declining over time. Inequality is also declining in growth of income. There is a significant regional heterogeneity in the levels and development of inequality over time. The Kuznets hypothesis represents a global U-shape relationship between inequality and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-931 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:925-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Chul-Oh Shin Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Oh Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Inconvenience cost of spam mail: a contingent valuation study Abstract: Controlling unsolicited commercial spam mail has become an increasingly critical issue. This study applies a contingent valuation method to measuring the inconvenience cost of spam mail. The mean willingness to pay for controlling the commercial spam mail per individual is estimated as 1836 Korean won (approximately GBP 1.0) per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsui-Fang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tsui-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jennjou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jennjou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Cumulative class attendance and exam performance Abstract: This study considers the effect of cumulative class attendance while estimating the relationship between class attendance and students' exam performance, using an individual-level data. We find that, cumulative attendance has produced a positive and significant impact on students' exam performance. Attending lectures corresponds to a 4% improvement in exam performance, and the marginal impact of cumulative attendance on exam performance is also close to 4%. It is of note that the impact of attendance on exam performance is reduced about 0.4% after one controls for the cumulative attendance effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-942 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:937-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ter Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ter Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Product differentiation and the export subsidy dispute Abstract: In a Cournot duopoly market, this paper studies the role of product differentiation in the resolution of the export subsidy dispute. It is shown that the optimal export subsidy decreases with the degree of product differentiation and the export subsidy will be eliminated completely when the competitive goods are made perfectly different. Furthermore, increasing the degree of product differentiation will also increase the profits of the firms and the welfare of the exporting countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-945 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:943-945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sawkut Rojid Author-X-Name-First: Sawkut Author-X-Name-Last: Rojid Title: COMESA trade potential: a gravity approach Abstract: The aim of this study is twofold: first, to find out whether COMESA is a building or stumbling bloc; and second, to estimate trade potentials within the COMESA region for COMESA members. In addressing the issue of regionalism, the gravity model can be used to simulate trade potentials corresponding to any regional integration scheme. This study uses a panel data analysis to estimate export flows from 147 exporting countries for a period of 21 years (1980-2001). The equation is estimated using a Tobit model. The coefficients on the observable effects determining bilateral trade, except real effective exchange rate, are as expected and highly significant. COMESA seems to be a building bloc; that is, the bloc liberalized trade more internally than it diverted trade from the rest of the world. These results suggest that COMESA's trade potential within the region is limited. In fact, the results suggest that members of COMESA trading bloc are overtrading within the region. Potentials for more trade exist for Angola and Uganda. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 947-951 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:947-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodore Papadogonas Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Papadogonas Author-Name: Yannis Stournaras Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Stournaras Title: Financial integration, national savings and national investment in the EU member-states Abstract: Financial integration in the EU is reflected in a lower correlation coefficient between national savings and national investment with different implications for “European South” and “European North” member-states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-956 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:953-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhangkai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhangkai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Non-credible privatization Abstract: This paper analyzes government incentives in privatization and shows that governments' cheap talk results in non-credible policy. Ex-post, only bad firms will take a sequential strategy in privatization, which will reveal its type and lead to a price drop. These results are used to analyse China's share issue privatization plan and market reaction to it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-959 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:957-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Consumption in Brazil: myopia or liquidity constraints? A simple test using quarterly data Abstract: Several papers have put serious doubt on the validity of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis. However, a few of them have focused on the reasons behind the failure. In this study, quarterly data from Brazil is used to check whether the rejection of the life cycle hypothesis could be attributed to the presence of either liquidity constraints or Keynesian-type consumers. The findings indicate that neither liquidity constraints nor myopic consumers could generate the finding that consumption is sensitive only to expected income declines. A possible explanation would be that consumers have some kind of loss aversion preference. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-964 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:961-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Long memory at the long-run and the seasonal monthly frequencies in the US money stock Abstract: This study shows that the monthly structure of the US money stock can be specified in terms of a long-memory process, with roots at both the zero and the seasonal monthly frequencies. It uses a procedure that enables one to test simultaneously for the roots at all these frequencies. The results show that the root at the long-run or zero frequency plays a much more important role than the seasonal one, though the latter should also be taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Hichri Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Individual strategies and aggregate behavior in a public-goods experiment Abstract: Our aim is to see whether the general result of a decreasing over contribution over time in a public goods game is still available at the group and at the individual levels. We find that individuals are heterogeneous and that they interact differently. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Cheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Jaime Malaga Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Malaga Title: Alcoholic beverage consumption in China: a censored demand system approach Abstract: China's admission in the WTO and commitment to cut tariffs on alcohol related goods provide a considerable opportunity for the USA, Europe and other countries. The present study examines Chinese consumer behaviour with regard to alcoholic beverages (wine, wine cooler and beer) using a Chinese household survey data. The results show that beer and wine cooler are normal goods while wine is still a luxury good in China. The price elasticities of wine and wine cooler are larger than that of beer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Nowak-Lehmann Felicitas Author-X-Name-First: Nowak-Lehmann Author-X-Name-Last: Felicitas Title: Is there a long-run relationship between exports and imports in Chile? Abstract: This study examines the long-run relationship between Chilean exports and imports during the 1975 to 2004 period using unit root tests and cointegration techniques that allow for endogenously determined structural breaks. The results indicate that there exists a long-run equilibrium between exports and imports in Chile, despite the balance-of-payments crisis of 1982/83. This finding implies that Chile's macroeconomic policies have been effective in the long-run and suggests that Chile is not in violation of its international budget constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-986 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:981-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Demand for money for Fiji with PcGets Abstract: Methodological controversies on the relative merits of estimating time-series models with alternative approaches exist. However, applied researchers may eventually opt for an easy to use and computationally less demanding approach. This article shows that the LSE/Hendry approach, known as GETS, is promising when it is implemented with PcGets. To illustrate we report the GETS and the Johansen co-integration-based ECM equations, with PcGets, of the demand for money for Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-991 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:987-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Corporate liquidity: evidence from the United Kingdom life insurance industry Abstract: This study analyses the extent and effects of macroeconomic and firm-specific factors on insurer liquidity in the context of UK life companies with panel data for the period 1985 to 2002. Ordinary least squares regressions, static and dynamic panel data models are estimated. Econometric tests indicate a preference for the random effects estimation procedure over other alternatives. The results indicate that the life office liquidity is an increasing function of equity returns, free asset ratio, termination rate, and claims ratio and a decreasing function of pension reserves-to-total reserves. Also, it is found that mutual companies tend to hold more liquid assets than do stock companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-998 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:993-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Author-Name: Lee Chew Ging Author-X-Name-First: Lee Chew Author-X-Name-Last: Ging Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Author-Name: Bala Ramasamy Author-X-Name-First: Bala Author-X-Name-Last: Ramasamy Title: International women's football and gender inequality Abstract: A number of authors have identified the determinants of international sporting performance differentials in men's sporting events. This study compares the determinants of men's international soccer team performance with that of their female counterparts and find that a partially different set of variables are important in the two contexts. While economic and demographic influences hold for both, their particular political and cultural factors diverge. These findings highlight different degrees of gender inequality among the countries in the sample in terms of the greatly different economic, political and social significance of the sport depending whether it is played by men or women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1001 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:999-1001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Is per capita real GDP stationary in African countries? Evidence from panel SURADF test Abstract: This note uses the newly developed panel SURADF tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) to investigate the time-series properties of real GDP for 47 African countries for the period 1980 to 2004. While the other Panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and, therefore identifies how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that the per capita real GDP for all the countries studied are non-stationary, however, when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted, one finds unit root in per capita real GDP only exist in two-third of countries studied. These results have important policy implications for African countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1008 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1003-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viviana Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Viviana Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Title: Specification tests for a parsimonious random-effects model Abstract: A random-effect model is devised with individual- and time-specific components for uncensored data, based on a specification for censored data developed by Anderson (1985) and extended by Kim and Maddala (1992). In addition, specification tests are devised that allow one to choose between the model and a conventional random-effects model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1012 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425766 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425766&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1009-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jahyeong Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jahyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Yune Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yune Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do historical events matter in geographic agglomeration? The case of South Korea Abstract: This study examines whether historical events are as important as Krugman (1991a) had suggested they are in determining geographic agglomeration. Using the time series of Korean manufacturing (1955-2003), which is longer than other country studies, the study also examines how the mean reversion factor and dispersion factor have evolved during substantial economic development. The results confirm that industry mobility in Korea is high and the historical events may not be so important in geographic agglomeration of industries. The analysis of the mean reversion factor and dispersion factor supports the argument that transport costs are a major source of change in geographic agglomeration in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1016 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1013-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Responses of output in Poland to shocks to the exchange rate, the stock price, and other macroeconomic variables: a VAR model Abstract: A general equilibrium model is specified to examine possible impacts of real or nominal depreciation, stock market movements, and changes in other macroeconomic variables on real output for Poland. The VAR model is applied in empirical work. Real depreciation is contractionary in the first quarter, expansionary in the second quarter, and neutral thereafter, and nominal depreciation is contractionary in the first quarter and neutral thereafter. Real output does not respond significantly to stock market movements or the government deficit spending/GDP ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1022 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1017-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgia Kosmopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Kosmopoulou Author-Name: Nicholas Buttry Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Buttry Author-Name: Jeremiah Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Jeremiah Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Adam Kallsnick Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Kallsnick Title: Suburbanization and the rank-size rule Abstract: In this article, we revisit Zipf's law and test the rank-size rule on US cities for different periods of time and city limits. We show that Zipf 's law holds more closely for urban places in 1900 and recently, in 1990 and 2000, for metropolitan areas. With the evolution of the modern city, the changes in infrastructure and the cost of commuting that have contributed to an urban spread, the metropolitan area is perhaps representing today's communities better, as urban places did 100 years ago. In that sense, the rank-size rule continues to hold with the appropriate redefinition of a city. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425675 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425675&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: E. Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Title: Do government sponsored vocational training programmes help the unemployed find jobs? Evidence from Russia Abstract: The study estimates the employment effect of vocational training programmes for the unemployed in urban Russia. The results of propensity score matching indicate that training programmes had a non-negative overall effect on the programme participants relative to non-participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: J. George Wang Author-X-Name-First: J. George Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The value of probability forecasts as predictors of cyclical downturns Abstract: The joint subjective probabilities for negative GDP growth during two consecutive quarters obtained from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) are evaluated as predictors of cyclical downturns in the economy using the prequential approach of Dawid (1984) and the skill score decomposition of Murphy (1988). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoungsoo Zang Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Author-Name: Young Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right Abstract: This paper studies whether there is any causal link between financial development indicators and economic growth, using Sims-Geweke causality tests performed in the large panel data set provided by Levine, Loayza and Beck. In sharp contrast to their findings, no evidence was found of any positive unidirectional causal link from financial development indicators to economic growth. On the contrary, a substantial indication that economic growth precedes subsequent financial development was found. As argued by Robinson, financial development might primarily follow economic growth, as a result of increased demand for financial services. Although the present result does not quite imply that the role of financial development in the development process is not important, the bottom line is that a more balanced approach to studying the relationship between growth and finance needs to be adopted. As termed by Lucas, the importance of financial development in economic growth might be very badly 'over-stressed'. Robinson and Lucas might be right. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: On advertising durability and product durability Abstract: This paper uses a simple two-period model to examine the behaviour of a monopolist who produces a durable good and engages in advertising that is also somewhat durable. It is found that changes in product durability and advertising durability have opposite effects on profit-maximizing output and advertising. Policy implications for antitrust and health regulation are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425550 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425550&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:21-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: The multi-decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index: measuring household inequality in Cameroon, 1996-2001 Abstract: This research proposes a new decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index (which is equal to half the square of the coefficient of variation) into subgroup and income source. The method for decomposing into subgroups is similar to that used by Dagum when decomposing Gini's index. This bidimensional decomposition helps measure the contributions of income sources taken independently and the contributions arising from links between pairs of these income sources within and between subgroups. This approach gives rise to new components of the total inequality. The method is used here to break down and analyse the evolution of household expenditure inequality in Cameroon during the period 1996 to 2001. The analysis reveals that the inequality has substantially increased in the urban areas, a situation blamed to a large extent on expenditures on equipment-furniture-goods and services; while inequality declined in the rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:27-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: The effect of war and other factors on Sri Lankan tourism Abstract: A number of articles have appeared in the literature analysing the factors that influence international tourism. This paper identifies the factors that affect tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka and the impact of the various disturbances due to the Tamils independence war (which commenced in 1983) and the introduction of the free-trade policy (in 1977) in Sri Lanka. It is found that the disturbances related to the war have led to a significant (about 21%) decline in international tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka. It was also found that the free-trade policy introduced in 1977 by the Sri Lankan government has had a significantly positive impact on increasing its international tourist arrivals. The results also show that the weaker the value of the Sri Lankan local currency with respect to the US dollar, the more attractive it is for international tourists. Furthermore, it was also found that the Sri Lankan consumer prices and world consumer income level have no significant impact on the number of international tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425576 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425576&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Menegatti Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Menegatti Title: Consumption and uncertainty: a panel analysis in Italian Regions Abstract: This work tests precautionary saving theory in Italian regions, examining the relationship between consumption growth and income uncertainty in a panel of five-year averages in the period 1981 to 2000. The analysis used two different measures for income uncertainty. The first is a naive measure given by the variance of GDP growth rates while the second is a more sophisticated one obtained by computing the conditional variance by means of the expectation of GDP growth. This expectation is obtained by using the best ARMA process for each region. The results obtained confirm the importance of the precautionary saving motive in consumption decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:39-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiing Jia Loke Author-X-Name-First: Yiing Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Loke Author-Name: Wei Yoong Chan Author-X-Name-First: Wei Yoong Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Seasoned and potential internet shoppers: a multinomial logit analysis Abstract: This paper extends the existing literature on the characteristics of Internet shoppers in two ways. First, the paper looks at the potential of Internet shopping by consumers in the future. Second, the paper divides consumers into four different categories of shoppers based on their past Internet shopping experience and enthusiasm towards Internet shopping. Based on a survey of Malaysian consumers and using a multinomial logit model, this paper explores the factors that determine the likelihood of consumers who will conduct Internet shopping in the next five years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:43-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuemei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xuemei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Optimal dynamic path of effort on marriage: differences between arranged and love marriages Abstract: People benefit from good marriages. Thus, everyone is willing to put effort into marriage to improve the quality of marriage. However, effort is costly. Then everyone faces the same question: how much effort should I put into marriage? A dynamic optimal control model is used in trying to answer this question. The study shows that for arranged marriages that start with little love, an agent should devote a great deal of effort to marriage in the very beginning, and then reduce the effort until a steady state level. However, for love marriages that start with deep love, there is no need for an agent to devote as much effort as in the steady state. The agent should start to put low effort on marriage, high effort on other activities, and continuously increase the effort on marriage up to the steady state level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Title: A neurofuzzy model for stock market trading Abstract: This study investigates the forecasting ability of trading strategies based on neurofuzzy models, recurrent neural networks and linear regression models. The performance of the trading strategies was considered upon the prediction of the direction-of-change of the market in case of Nikkei 255 Index returns. The results demonstrate that the profitability of the trading rule based on the neurofuzzy model is consistently higher to that of the other models as well as of a buy and hold strategy during bear market periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Recent publishing trends at the AER, JPE and QJE Abstract: This note summarizes recent trends in institutional affiliation of authors who publish in three leading general interest journals, American Economic Review (AER), Journal of Political Economy (JPE), and Quarterly Journal of Economics (QJE). The statistics show that well over 40% of the pages published in the QJE between 2000 and 2003 are by authors affiliated with one of four institutions. This represents a significant increase from analogous figures during the 1980s and earlier periods. The concentrations of affiliations are not as high at the AER or JPE, but they still show a reversal of the declining trend in concentration that occurred from 1950 to 1989. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalampos Botsaris Author-X-Name-First: Charalampos Author-X-Name-Last: Botsaris Author-Name: Athanasios Tsagkanos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsagkanos Title: Growth and volatility in the European Union: a linear or a non-parametric approach? Abstract: The paper reports an investigation of the relationship between business-cycle volatility and economic growth in the European Union before (EU-15) and after broadening (EU-25) using cross-sectional models. Results based on the superiority of the pseudo-likelihood ratio test as a more reliable tool for testing the robustness of the model used, indicate that the above relationship is linear only in the case of EU-15. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:65-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Samir Saadi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Saadi Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? A note Abstract: In an attempt to examine efficiency of South Korea's stock market (SKM), Narayan and Smyth (2004) used a battery of unit root tests to investigate the random walk hypothesis and on the basis of the reported evidence for unit root, they concluded that the SKM is efficient. The authors have unfortunately confused random walk with unit root hypothesis. The present note stresses the fact that it is insufficient to test for stationarity when examining efficiency, casting serious doubt on Narayan and Smyth's conclusions. Furthermore, we provide comments on the shortfalls of the unit roots tests employed and not accounted for in Narayan and Smyth's study which may lead to spurious results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruey Yau Author-X-Name-First: Ruey Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Title: Output convergence revisited: new time series results on industrialized countries Abstract: Cross-country output convergence is re-examined using a flexible concept of unit roots. While the presence of a constant unit root in output-differences implies nonconvergence, the presence of a stochastic unit root on the contrary implies convergence. Using the output-differences between the USA and the other 14 OECD countries, we find output divergence only for the USA/UK and USA/Sweden country-pairs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425543 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425543&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:75-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Gambling and nonexpected utility: the perils of the power function Abstract: The use of the power utility function is problematic in expected utility theory. We show that, this is also the case in cumulative prospect theory, where the power function violates the assumption of loss-aversion at small stake levels, so that an optimal model of gambling is precluded. In the case of rank-dependent expected utility it has the counterfactual implication that agents will gamble all of their wealth at actuarially unfair odds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Accounting and the potency of open market operations Abstract: Through a mathematical programming setup, reserve accounting is shown to be auxiliary to accomplishing monetary policy operating objectives. This article outlines a theoretical way of comparing the potency of open market operations under different reserve accounting procedures. It is shown that if the interest sensitivity of reservable liabilities is greater than the interest sensitivity of reserves, then lagged reserve accounting makes Federal Reserve open market purchases and 'sells' of securities more powerful in affecting the federal funds rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisa Giuliani Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliani Title: Towards an understanding of knowledge spillovers in industrial clusters Abstract: Since Marshall's contribution on the localization of economic activities, increased consideration has been given to geography in economics. This study focuses on the relationships between industrial clustering and knowledge spillovers. It illustrates empirically that, even in the condition of serendipitous business interactions among nearby firms, knowledge spillovers are diffused unevenly and within restricted subgroups of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Brixner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Brixner Author-Name: Andreas Walter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Title: Stock prices and the dissemination of second-hand information-new evidence from Germany Abstract: We analyse a large sample of second-hand information published in the Tendenzen & Tips column of the prominent German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ), which is free of any contamination from first-hand information. We find strong evidence for the price-pressure hypothesis because we observe a highly significant abnormal return of 0.19% for buy recommendations on the publication day. Additionally, our data supports the attention hypothesis, since the market reaction is more pronounced when relatively few stocks are recommended in the column. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540600959887 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540600959887&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustapha Baghli Author-X-Name-First: Mustapha Author-X-Name-Last: Baghli Title: NAWRU and potential output in France Abstract: This article presents theory-consistent estimates of nonaccelerating wage rate of unemployment (NAWRU) and potential output in France. These estimates are obtained from an unobserved-components system approach combining a wage-Phillips curve and an Okun law's relationship. By applying the Apel and Jansson (1999) specification, the potential output and the NAWRU are both treated as unobserved stochastic processes and estimated simultaneously. In order to control the effect on wage setting of reductions in employers' social security contributions (SSC), we construct and add in the wage-Phillips curve an index of SSC exemptions. According to the results, from the mid-1990s, and especially over the years 2000-2004, the estimated NAWRU is consistent with this period of labour cost moderation and reductions in employer social security contributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Beltratti Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Beltratti Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Does the stock market affect income distribution? Some empirical evidence for the US Abstract: What is the relation between the stock market and income distribution? There are many potential links between the two, some of which are associated with the relations of each of these with the rate of economic growth. An empirical analysis set in the framework of the neoclassical growth model shows that the key mechanisms explaining income distribution in the US operate through the labour market rather than through the stock market, even though stock market shocks appear to have some short time relevance for the dynamics of income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:99-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: A nonparametric test of the conditional normality of housing demand Abstract: This study provides a nonparametric test for the parametric conditional distribution in the sample selection model. The nonparametric test statistic proposed by Fan et al. (2006) is applied to the Korean housing demand model. Test results indicate that the conditional normality in the housing expenditure equation is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500406956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500406956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Kazem Yavari Author-X-Name-First: Kazem Author-X-Name-Last: Yavari Title: On the welfare cost of inflation in Europe Abstract: This article follows Lucas (2000) and Serletis and Yavari (2005) and estimates the welfare cost of inflation in the Euro zone. It uses recent advances in the field of applied econometrics to estimate the interest elasticity of money demand and reports that the welfare cost of inflation is lower in big countries than it is in small countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Title: Point and interval nowcasts of the Euro area IPI Abstract: Opinion surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. The aim of this article is to propose a procedure to nowcast in real-time the fluctuations of the industrial production indices (IPI) for the aggregated euro area, by incorporating the information contained in the industrial opinion surveys. We present a pooling procedure, each nowcasted value stemming from a calibration model. The confidence intervals for IPI nowcasts are computed by bootstrap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hon-Kwong Lui Author-X-Name-First: Hon-Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Lui Title: The returns to language ability in Hong Kong: before and after the handover Abstract: This article examines the economic returns to language ability of natives and Chinese immigrants in Hong Kong. Upon learning that the People's Republic of China would resume the exercise of sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997, local residents flocked to learn Putonghua. Until now, the general belief was that Putonghua would gain importance in the labour market and the ability to speak Putonghua would substantially raise their productivity and earnings. The empirical results in this article prove ironically otherwise. Speaking Putonghua has little very impact on native and immigrant workers' earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shieh-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shieh-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shian-Chang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shian-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Using multivariate stochastic volatility models to investigate the interactions among NASDAQ and major Asian stock indices Abstract: In this article, we employ a multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) model to investigate the return and volatility interactions among three major Asian stock indices and the NASDAQ index. Using Laplace approximation to simplify the calculation of the likelihood function of the MSV model, we estimate the complex dynamics among these indices relatively quickly. A interesting phenomenon of our empirical results is that all the market indices examined exhibit significant leverage effects, especially the TWSI (Taiwan) index. Moreover, the return correlations are large in links between these Asian markets, but small in links between every Asian index and the NASDAQ index. However, the volatility correlations display a totally different pattern that is large in links of NASDAQ-TWSI, NASDAQ-KOSPI (South Korea), but small among links between these Asian indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:127-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Promoting market discipline through interest rates: does financial liberalization matter? Abstract: This article explores whether financial liberalization promotes market discipline in Indian banking in the form of lower deposit interest rates. Using annual data on banks from 1993 to 2004, the findings reveal that, after controlling for a myriad of factors, financial liberalization is influential in promoting market discipline by lowering deposit rates, particularly for state-owned and old private bank groups. More importantly, under financial liberalization, banks that are well-capitalized and have low levels of sticky loans pay lower deposit rates. The policy implication of the analysis is that promoting greater financial liberalization can have important ramifications in promoting market discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-143 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:135-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Further results on the detection of changes in persistence in linear time series Abstract: Recent research concerning the properties of 'change in persistence' tests in the presence of structural change is extended. It is found that the recently proposed tests of Leybourne, Kim and Taylor (2004) are subject to severe size distortion in the presence of both breaks in level and drift under the unit root null hypothesis. The present analysis suggests that any results obtained from these tests should be treated with caution to avoid drawing a spurious inference of a change in persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:145-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pål Schøne Author-X-Name-First: Pål Author-X-Name-Last: Schøne Title: Does increased international competition increase the need for training? Abstract: Both politicians and parties in the labour market have in recent years stressed the importance of work-related training. Globalization, an increased international competition, is often said to be one important factor determining the need for more work-related training. The relationship between increased international competition and more training has almost become a stylized fact. However, we argue that this relationship is not empirically well enough founded. Therefore, in this note we test this relationship by answering the following question: Is it true that firms operating in an international competitive arena invest more in training for their workers compared to firms not operating in an international competitive arena? Evidence from representative firm-level data suggests that the answer is yes. Manufacturing firms operating in an international competitive arena do invest more in training for their workers compared to firms not operating in an international competitive arena. A natural interpretation of this result is that these firms respond to demands from fierce international competition by skilling their workforce through training at work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425493 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425493&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Benford's law and naturally occurring prices in certain ebaY auctions Abstract: We show that certain winning bids for certain ebaY auctions obey Benford's Law. One implication of this is that it is unlikely that these bids are subjected to collusion among bidders, or 'shilling' on the part of sellers. Parenthetically, we also show that numbers from the naturally occurring Fibonacci and Lucas sequences also obey Benford's Law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: A structural common factor approach to core inflation estimation and forecasting Abstract: In the article we propose a new methodological approach to core inflation estimation, based on a frequency domain principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally co-integrated processes. The proposed core inflation measure is the common persistent feature in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterized by all the properties that an 'ideal' core inflation process should show, providing also a superior forecasting performance relative to other available measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:163-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esmeralda Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Esmeralda Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Author-Name: Joaquim Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Title: On the weighted maximum likelihood estimator for endogenous stratified samples when the population strata probabilities are unknown Abstract: The popular weighted maximum likelihood estimator for endogenous stratified samples requires knowledge on the population proportions of each stratum. In this paper we extend their estimator for cases where such information is not available. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:171-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Happich Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Happich Author-Name: T. von Lengerke Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: von Lengerke Title: Convergence of life expectancy in the European Union: a Markov approach Abstract: Given efforts of integration within the European Union (EU), convergence of life expectancies in member-states should be observed. A Markov approach classifying 15 EU member-states is applied to OECD data covering 1980 to 1989 and 1989 to 1998. The dynamics of cross-sectional distributions and the pace of their transitional processes are analyzed. In the 1980s slow convergence can be observed, whereas in the 1990s convergence is close to non-existent. Markov modelling shows that EU member states did not continue to converge in life expectancy following 1989, suggesting that efforts of socio-economic integration do not affect this public health indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-178 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425261 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425261&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:175-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some remarks on purchasing power parity and exchange rate determination mechanism Abstract: This article shows how larger, under a Cournot oligopoly model with international linkage, a long-run equilibrium exchange rate deviates from the purchasing power parity (PPP) in factor prices than the PPP in product prices does, with the asymmetry in the degree of competitiveness, consumer's preference and market volume between countries, or with the asymmetry in the marginal costs between firms, although into the same direction. Our result may well explain the phenomenon of so-called 'overshooting' from a different angle from the existing related literatures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Author-Name: Udo Bonn Author-X-Name-First: Udo Author-X-Name-Last: Bonn Title: Cross-national income distribution in the European Union: divergence or convergence? Abstract: Income inequality in general can be understood in an absolute or a relative sense. Income inequality across nations can be viewed from the perspective of countries or of persons. The choice of an inequality concept and associated measure along these dimensions dramatically influences conclusions concerning cross-national income convergence in the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eralp Bektas Author-X-Name-First: Eralp Author-X-Name-Last: Bektas Title: The persistence of profits in the Turkish banking system Abstract: Most of the studies on persistency of profits investigate profit persistency in non-financial sectors. This study uses the panel data method to test for unit roots of profitability data and their persistency in the banking sector of an emerging country. Unit root hypothesis of data is rejected and concluded that in the long run persistency of profits does not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Ilias Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Title: Critical values for testing a unit root in finite samples from the MA(1) Abstract: This study, using a certain simulation strategy, for the exact maximum likelihood estimator of θ from the MA(1), estimates appropriate percentiles, together with their standard errors, offering a new set of critical values for testing in finite samples H0: θ = -1, against H1: θ>-1. In this way, appropriate regions for rejecting the null or being in uncertainty are defined, regardless of the values of MA(1) parameters. The new set of critical values produce both actual level of significance close to the nominal one and, when θ is not very close to -1, comparable power with the up to now suggested asymptotic values. These asymptotic values, unfortunately, lead to actual level of significance considerably greater than the nominal one, especially in large samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leila Ali Author-X-Name-First: Leila Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Marie Lebreton Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Lebreton Title: The ERM breakdown: a spatial econometric approach Abstract: This study proposes a spatial autoregressive model to investigate whether pure contagion effects occurred during the European exchange market turmoil in 1992. It defines pure contagion as spatial autocorrelation between countries in excess to that which can be explained by economic fundamentals. By doing so, it is possible to predict the effectiveness of rescue packages and foreign supports for each country of the dataset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:197-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: On wage density comparisons: bandwidth selectors and test outcomes Abstract: This study compares wage densities for female workers in the Philippines during the 1990s. Using a non-parametric consistent test developed by Li (1996), the study finds that test outcomes from various optimal bandwidth selectors are fairly comparable. On the other hand, the use of standard deviation as a bandwidth parameter appears to introduce misleading inferences concerning equality of densities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-208 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:203-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Diaz-Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Moreno Title: Growth regressions in business cycle models Abstract: We derive a convergence regression using all the restrictions implied by the stochastic growth model. Therefore, the stochastic structure is built into the model as a productivity shock and not just added as an error term. In this way, we take the view that growth and fluctuation are not distinct phenomena, and show that the deviations from the growth regression are compatible with the size of the technological shocks in business cycle theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:209-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. -L. Chian Author-X-Name-First: A. C. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chian Author-Name: E. L. Rempel Author-X-Name-First: E. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rempel Author-Name: C. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: Crisis-induced intermittency in non-linear economic cycles Abstract: A new type of economic intermittency is found in non-linear business cycles. Following a merging crisis, a complex economic system has the ability to retain memory of its weakly chaotic dynamics prior to crisis. The resulting time series exhibits episodic regime switching between periods of weakly and strongly chaotic fluctuations of economic variables. The characteristic intermittency time, useful for forecasting the average duration of contractionary phases and the turning point to the expansionary phase of business cycles, is computed from the simulated time series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-218 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425436 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425436&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:211-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming Yu Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Ming Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: R. Ghulam Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghulam Title: Knowledge gap and earnings differential in the knowledge-based economy Abstract: This article examines the effect of the 'quantity' and 'quality' of education on earnings. The 'quantity' of education is measured by the level of the highest education attained while the 'quality' of education is determined by degree of the knowledge gap between knowledge acquired in school and skills required in the work place. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:219-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pu-yan Nie Author-X-Name-First: Pu-yan Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: Selection games in Economics Abstract: A model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics, based on selection in finite populations, is recently proposed by Taylor et al. (2004) and it is successful to explain some phenomena in biology. We now extend this model to the economic field. Some corresponding results are also obtained and some economic phenomena are rationally explained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangjun Su Author-X-Name-First: Liangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Business output and business experience — Evidence from China's nongovernmental businesses Abstract: We study the application of the Solow growth model in China's non-governmental businesses and propose a reasonable modification for it. Our analysis indicates that business experience is closely tied to the output of China's non-governmental businesses. Our major findings include: (1) the business experience has little overall impact on the elasticity of output with respect to labour; (2) the business experience has a large impact on the elasticity of output with respect to capital and the elasticity increases as the business experience increases; (3) the adjusted Solow residual that reflects technological progress exhibits a negative relationship with the business experience, indicating that a newly established business tends to have higher technology content than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-231 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:227-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Aissa Author-Name: Olivier Musy Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Musy Title: Persistence with staggered price setting in nominal and real terms Abstract: We analyse the behaviour of an economy characterized by staggered pricing, with price contracts either specified in nominal terms (Taylor, 1980), or in real terms (Fuhrer and Moore, 1995). We focus on the response of these models to a permanent and unexpected disinflation policy. It is advanced that this policy implies very different responses from the two models, with the former being unable to reproduce any inflation persistence or output depression, while the latter is able to generate it. We argue that this result builds on the unjustified neglect of a structural error term present in both models. Taking into account this term partly erases the differences between the models, who display comparable inflation persistence and output costs in response to a disinflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398930 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398930&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Nicolas Dromel Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Dromel Author-Name: Dominique Meda Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Meda Title: Opportunity costs of having a child, financial constraints and fertility Abstract: Economic theory often assumes that the opportunity costs of having a child and financial constraints have a simultaneous but opposite influence on fertility. This empirical study aims to test the concomitance of these effects using the answers to an original survey carried out in 2003 amongst nearly 1000 French employees, giving information about the impact of their working schedule on the number of children they intend to have. The statistical analysis, based on a 'ceteris paribus' approach using Logit estimates, strongly confirms the simultaneous presence of these two explanatory dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Bruggemann Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Bruggemann Author-Name: Carsten Trenkler Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Trenkler Title: Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland Abstract: The catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland is analysed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP vs. the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous breaks in the level and the trend. We find that Czech Republic and Hungary are stochastically converging towards the Mediterranean group, while only Czech Republic is stochastically converging towards EU15. Remaining per capita GDP differences are only reduced by deterministic trends. Extrapolating these trends we find that catching up will take about 20 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425782 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425782&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Sustainability of balancing item of balance of payments accounts: fresh empirical evidence for G7 countries Abstract: Using a simple balance of payments accounts framework and unit root tests (with level shift), this study provides empirical evidence that, balancing items of balance of payments accounts in the G7 countries are sustainable. The findings of this article may have relevant implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Valuing drinking water quality improvement using a Bayesian analysis of the multinomial probit model Abstract: This article estimates a multinomial probit model structured according to the defensive expenditures for drinking water (DW) choice, using a Bayesian analysis with Gibbs sampling. We also approximate the nonmarginal benefit from discrete improvement in DW quality by calculating the willingness to pay for safe DW. The result shows that the average household of the Seoul Metropolitan Area in Korea is willing to pay 6048 Korean won (GBP 2.91) per month to obtain improved DW similar to boiled water in quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harrison Hartman Author-X-Name-First: Harrison Author-X-Name-Last: Hartman Title: Deficit-related explanations for the US interest rate conundrum Abstract: This study offers two potential explanations related to the United States federal budget deficit for the recent interest-rate puzzle in the USA where long-term rates have fallen while short-term rates have risen. A VAR quantifies the relationships between real deficits, real GDP growth rates and ex ante real long-term rates. Impulse-response functions show the assumed time-invariant responses of real GDP and long-term real interest rates to a one-standard-deviation increase in the real deficit, providing some support for the crowding out theory but possibly also the crowding in theory in the short term. Findings include that expectations of future deficits could impact real interest rates today. This study notes that the interest-rate impact of expected changes in deficits is unclear because the changes in rates due to changes in (1) federal borrowing and (2) forecasted GDP growth would be in opposite directions, assuming that crowding out occurs at some point. Thus, it is not clear whether reductions in long-term rates imply that people expect larger or smaller budget deficits in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:261-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Raffinot Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Raffinot Title: A monthly indicator of GDP for Euro-Area based on business surveys Abstract: Policy-makers and analysts are continually assessing the state of the economy. But, gross domestic product (GDP) is only available on quarterly basis with a time span of 1-3 months, and sometimes with significant revisions. The aim of this article is to develop a monthly indicator of GDP for Euro-Area based on business surveys and to give the outlook of the economy activity induced by the indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447406 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447406&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Jose Martinez-Zahonero Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zahonero Title: Testing the long-run relationship between health expenditures and GDP in the presence of structural change: the case of Spain Abstract: This article examines the long-run relationship between per capita US$ PPP health expenditures (HE) and per capita US$ PPP national income (GDP), using Spanish data over the period 1960 to 2001. We extend previous analyses by addressing the question of whether this relationship is stable over time, allowing for structural changes at an unknown date. Our empirical results are consistent with the existence of a long-run relationship between both variables, with two structural changes in 1971 and 1991. On the other hand, health would have been characterized as a luxury commodity, even though increasingly less over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-276 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:271-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Hope Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Hope Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Daily seasonality in 19th century stocks -- some evidence from the Dublin stock exchange Abstract: We document, for a new data set, the existence of daily seasonality. The data set consists of the trades in four equities and two bonds on the Dublin stock exchange for the mid nineteenth century. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-282 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601137609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601137609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:277-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derick Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Derick Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Author-Name: Ron Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Institutions and inflation persistence in the Caribbean Abstract: The study examines how institutional framework provided varying degrees of constraints on monetary policy and economic performance in 12 Caribbean economies. A univariate analysis is used on the price variables to conduct a comparative analysis on the persistence of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601056593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601056593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magali Jaoul-Grammare Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Jaoul-Grammare Title: Social attributes, equity and higher educative path. Microeconometric study of a discrete choice model with logistic regression Abstract: Developed countries are subjected to many social inequalities of which access at various stages of schooling is one of the most important. Regarded as more equitable in this context, is one education system which will less make dependent the results on individuals of their social origin. While taking Boudon's model as a starting point, the study seeks to determine, using logistic modelling, factors determining the university path. The analysis shows that if the continuation of studies depends on multiple factors, the role of the social origin is not negligible. The results join those of Peraita and Sanchez (1998) concerning Spain and Sawkins (2002) concerning Scotland. However, the various estimates show that it is primarily at the university end of the course that the role of the social factors takes place. Thus, the results would be more in favour of Boudon's model at the beginning of the course, against Bourdieu's, after. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Dual-class stocks and the benefits of control Abstract: Using the hand-collected data of dual-class listed firms in the USA, I find that industry, age and stock-return volatility affect the likelihood that a firm will issue dual-class shares. I explore the implications of these results for our understanding of ownership and control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-297 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:293-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yohane Khamfula Author-X-Name-First: Yohane Author-X-Name-Last: Khamfula Author-Name: Montfort Mlachila Author-X-Name-First: Montfort Author-X-Name-Last: Mlachila Author-Name: Ephraim Chirwa Author-X-Name-First: Ephraim Author-X-Name-Last: Chirwa Title: Donor herding and domestic debt crisis Abstract: This article presents a new model based on the loan-pushing model by Basu (1991) to show how a domestic debt crisis can occur in a low-income country following donor herding. The model focuses on the rational herding behaviour of donors due to payoff and information externalities. Although there are many theoretical models on herding behaviour, these models have not formally considered the relationship between donor herding and domestic debt crisis in a low-income country. This article is an attempt to fill this gap. The article shows that due to donor herding behaviour a domestic debt crisis can occur once the actual debt level is above the desirable one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-302 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:299-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuyuki Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Title: Consumption insurance against natural disasters: evidence from the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake Abstract: We investigated whether people were insured against unexpected losses caused by the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake in 1995 and found that the full consumption insurance hypothesis was rejected overwhelmingly, suggesting the ineffectiveness of the formal/informal insurance mechanisms against the earthquake. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Grote Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Grote Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: Examining the 'Halo Effect' in lotto games Abstract: The 'Halo Effect' occurs when lotto ticket sales are unexpectedly high following a large jackpot. An examination of the Powerball lottery finds evidence that the halo effect exists and that it is the result of bettors exchanging prize winnings for new tickets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Author-Name: Christiana Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Christiana Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Title: Dissertation advisors and initial job placements for economics PhD recipients Abstract: Using a unique data set that matches economics PhD recipients with their advisors, we find that after controlling for programme quality, the relative standing of a student's dissertation advisor has a significant impact on his or her initial job placement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Author-Name: Jacopo Zotti Author-X-Name-First: Jacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Zotti Title: The economic costs of a well-placed bomb. Lebanon and the assassination of Mr Hariri Abstract: Destabilizing political incidents may have dramatic effects on economic conditions. Foreign creditors and investors, in particular, may be reluctant to lend resources to a country whose internal stability seems shaky. We use a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to quantify the effect of a single bomb-the bomb which killed Lebanon's former Prime Minister Rafiq al Hariri in February 2005. We show that the economic loss caused by this bomb was larger than the expected gains from even the most optimistic scenarios of Lebanon's recently implemented trade liberalization strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:315-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Reece Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Reece Title: Household mobility and cellular telephone demand Abstract: Cellular telephones are mobile, and this mobility is one of the key factors influencing the demand for cellular service. This article examines the household demand for cellular telephone and finds that the numbers of vehicles and drivers in the household strongly influence the demand for cellular telephones. Income has the strongest effect. We find some evidence that telephone landlines and cellular telephone service are substitutes. The results are based on data from the 2001 National Household Travel Survey conducted the US Department of Transportation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-326 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:321-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Increasing returns to information in the US popular music industry Abstract: Using data relating to 'number one' hits on the Billboard Hot 100 chart, we find clear evidence of increasing returns to information in the US market for popular music. This evidence supports related findings for the motion picture industry in various countries, and for Broadway productions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:327-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Lima Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Convergence of per capita GDP in Brazil: an empirical note Abstract: The article investigated the convergence of real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita at the state level in Brazil during the 1985-1999 period. Departures across states were evaluated in terms of panel data unit root tests advanced by Im et al. (2003). The evidence indicated that one cannot reject the null hypothesis of unit root for the (log) of the ratio of GDP of each state relative to a reference unit. The results, therefore, favour a very strong form of persistence for regional inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magali Jaoul-Grammare Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Jaoul-Grammare Title: The labour market segmentation: empirical analysis of Cain's theory (1976) Abstract: Criticisms addressed to the theory of the human capital take mainly into account the specificity of the labour market. Doeringer and Piore (1971) and Cain (1976) highlight the influence of the situation on the labour market on the individual wage determination. This influence has been studied for various countries (Theodossiou and Yannopoulos, 1998; Yuhong and Johnes, 2003). Sloane et al. (1993), Orr (1997) and Roig (1999) shed light especially the existence of labour market segmentation. On the contrary, for Van Ophem (1987), the theory of the segmentation of the labour market has been to be rejected. Following this, the aim of this article is to test the existence of the labour market segmentation described by Cain (1976) for the case of France on the last twenty years. The use of various statistical techniques allows us to check on the one hand, the connection between the qualifications and the place occupied on the labour market and on the other hand to identify the existence of several labour markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koichi Yoshimine Author-X-Name-First: Koichi Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshimine Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Title: The effect of the corporate tax rate on the trade balance Abstract: Past research indicates that MNCs may be engaging in income shifting practices. Such practices could bias the trade balance, if the intrafirm trade is substantial. This article examines the effect of the tax differential on the trade balances of OECD countries. The results indicate that the trade balance is adversely affected when the tax differential is positive, for a number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426301 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426301&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: The world distribution of carbon dioxide emissions Abstract: This article examines the spatial distribution of per capita carbon dioxide emissions in 140 countries during the period 1960 to 1999. To overcome the methodological limitations of conventional convergence analysis, we have applied a nonparametric approach, which allows to study the dynamics of the entire cross section distribution. The results show that the probability mass concentrated around the average has increased over time, which helps to explain the observed reduction in cross-country disparities. In any event, the intra-distribution mobility level is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: An empirical investigation on derivatives usage: evidence from the United Kingdom general insurance industry Abstract: This article reports the holdings of derivatives contracts in the UK general insurance industry and investigates the relationship between the usage and insurer organizational characteristics with panel data for the period 1994 to 2002. Overall it seems that the use of derivatives instruments in this industry is limited and shows a downward trend. The empirical results indicate, among other things, that a general insurer's size, liquidity, interest rate risk exposure, line of business concentration and organizational form are important factors associated with the decision to employ derivatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-360 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:353-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Feehan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Feehan Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Title: Distribution of UK National Lottery grants across local authority areas Abstract: Much of the high taxation on UK national lottery products is hypothecated to 'Good Causes' distribution funds which make grants for projects in fields such as sport, the arts and heritage. We examine the distribution of grants across 376 local authority areas in England and Wales. The proportion of highly educated people and social class composition are shown to be determinants of an area's grant receipts. The results indicate regressivity in the spending of lottery taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virmantas Kvedaras Author-X-Name-First: Virmantas Author-X-Name-Last: Kvedaras Title: Testing the demand-led and BOP-constrained growth model: a system approach Abstract: In a series of articles of the journal Applied Economics there was an extensive debate on the Balance-of-Payments (BOP)-constrained growth model and its testing. This led to a single-equation-based test for the necessary condition of the BOP-constrained growth model that the BOP constraint binds. Since then many extensions and applications of the basic BOP-constrained growth model have appeared in the related literature, but the empirical model evaluation methodology has not been developed to further test the sufficient condition that causality runs from foreign demand or exports determined by it to GDP rather than the other way round. This study utilizes the standard vector error correction model (VECM) to formalize a system approach to empirical testing of both the necessary and sufficient conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-370 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:367-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Shik Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Shik Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: A comparison of MA and RSI returns with exchange rate intervention Abstract: This study compares the efficacy of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) vis-a-vis the Moving Average (MA) trading rules on the daily exchange rates of six currencies. The results indicate that the trading rules can yield positive risk-adjusted returns, and the profitability of these trading rules is positively related to central bank interventions. It is also found that the impact of interest rate differentials on the trading rule return is immaterial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-383 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:371-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-Kyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Home production function and the productivity effect of air pollution Abstract: This article examines whether there is an indirect productivity effect of pollution on preference. In doing so, an indirect productivity effect is introduced into the home production function. The estimates show that there is a strong positive indirect productivity effect on preference. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-387 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:385-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Travis Lybbert Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Lybbert Title: Polarization & pricing to the rich Abstract: Income polarization directly affects monopoly pricing and profits when a monopolist cannot segment markets. When income and price elasticity of demand are negatively correlated, increasing income disparity ultimately leads the monopolist to target the rich at the exclusion of the poor. This paper uses a simple model to demonstrate how income polarization, as distinct from income inequality, affects monopoly price and profit in such a situation. Without income polarization, price increases and profit decreases with income disparity when the monopolist targets the rich. With income polarization, price increases sharply and profit increases with income disparity when the monopolist targets the rich. Preliminary evidence suggests that pharmaceutical prices may indeed increase with polarization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-394 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:389-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Search theory and subsidized housing demand in New Zealand Abstract: A search-theoretic model of housing demand is presented and evidence is found in its support based upon the 1995 records of 260 000 New Zealand (NZ) tenants eligible to have received an unrestricted housing subsidy. In the model, a unit increase in search costs is predicted to increase the optimal rent according to a factor proportion less than one while a unit increase in moving cost is predicted to decrease the rent. The factor-proportion increase in the rent, also a marginal propensity to rent, is around 21 NZ cents for every NZ dollar increase in search costs. The moving-cost decrease is supported by the rent effects of some indicative characteristics. The empirical findings are found to be stable across a range of applicable estimators including those that may have been needed to correct for censoring and reverse-causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-399 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:395-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Baltzer Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Baltzer Author-Name: Gerhard Kling Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Kling Title: Predictability of future economic growth and the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany, 1870-2003 Abstract: Our study tries to quantify the predictability of economic growth and links it to the capability of regimes to fight against inflation. A regime with a high persistence of inflation and, hence, low credibility exhibits a high level of predictability of economic growth using the yield curve as indicator. Based on structural VAR models, we evaluate the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany from 1870 to 2003. The period of the Classical Gold Standard exhibited the highest credibility compared to the interwar period, the Bretton Woods and free float era. The reliability of the Bretton Woods agreement deteriorated years before the official breakdown in 1971. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: The incidence of long-term unemployment: evidence from Greece Abstract: In this article, I use the 2000-2004 data from the Greek Labour Force Survey in order to estimate a logit model for the incidence of long-term unemployment. The model computed is similar to the one estimated by Obben et al. (2002). It is found that attributes of the individual such as gender, age category, marital status and region of residence affect the odds of being long-term unemployed. On the other hand, the level of someone's qualification does not affect the odds of whether someone will be short or long-term unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarbani Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Sarbani Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Rama Parai Author-X-Name-First: Rama Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Author-Name: Amar Parai Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Title: Computer use and wage differentials: US and foreign born male and female workers Abstract: The dual issues of nationality and on-the-job computer use are introduced into the analysis of gender wage gap in the United States, and some new results are reported. It is shown that, all other things remaining the same, (i) inter-gender wage differentials across different groups based on computer use and/or nationality vary from 23% to 35%; (ii) among computer nonusers, the inter-gender wage differentials are quite high and invariant of the country of birth; and (iii) intra-gender wage gap based on computer use at work is high for both native and foreign born workers, but the intra-gender wage gap based on nationality is low for both users and nonusers of computer at work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-413 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447307 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447307&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:409-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunhua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A dynamic stochastic frontier production model with time-varying efficiency: comment Abstract: Based on Desli et al. (2003), this comment defines a stochastic frontier production model in a panel data framework. The firms can learn from their past errors to improve technical efficiency. This is done by introducing the inefficiency error term as an AR(p) process. The ways to estimate the production function and technical inefficiency are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-417 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447455 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447455&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:415-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dipanwita Sarkar Author-X-Name-First: Dipanwita Author-X-Name-Last: Sarkar Title: The role of human capital in economic growth revisited Abstract: Benhabib and Spiegel (1994) examine the role of human capital in the development process empirically using a theory-driven specification rather than the standard production function approach. While they find evidence of a positive impact of human capital on income growth, their result is not robust to the inclusion of inequality as an additional covariate. Using an alternate dataset and different measures of inequality, we find robust support for the hypothesis that human capital matters even when we account for the adverse effect of income inequality on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447323 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447323&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Aggregate concentration and the cost of systemic risk Abstract: Aggregate concentration may exacerbate systemic risk if the social cost of business failure is a superlinear function of the fraction of industry capacity lost to failure. This result suggests new empirical tests to inform policy debates, as well as supporting an efficiency rationale for restricting aggregate concentration under certain conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barıs Yoruk Author-X-Name-First: Barıs Author-X-Name-Last: Yoruk Title: Negative externalities, productivity growth and the catching-up hypothesis Abstract: This article investigates the catching-up hypothesis for OECD countries. Unlike the previous studies, the results show that countries with low initial per capita income levels catch-up at a faster rate only when the presence of negative externalities is ignored in growth analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-434 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438710 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438710&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:429-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucie Samson Author-X-Name-First: Lucie Author-X-Name-Last: Samson Author-Name: Maxim Armstrong Author-X-Name-First: Maxim Author-X-Name-Last: Armstrong Title: Preferences and observed risk premia: an empirical analysis Abstract: The fundamental prediction of the Consumption-based Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) relates asset returns to their covariance with the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution (IMRS). With utility subjected to constant relative risk aversion, the IMRS is characterized by only one economic variable namely, consumption growth. One explanation for the disappointing empirical performance of the CCAPM model may be that the constant relative risk aversion specification is too restrictive. In this article we consider alternative specifications and compare their empirical performance with the reference model using Canadian data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-439 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601057823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601057823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:435-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Author-Name: Mario Nosvelli Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Nosvelli Title: Dynamics of residential water consumption in a panel of Italian municipalities Abstract: The purpose of this study is to estimate a residential water demand function in a dynamic framework for a panel of Italian municipalities and to calculate both short-run and long-run price elasticities. The Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) provides a suitable framework for obtaining asymptotically efficient estimators in this context. Specifically, the system GMM estimator is applied, which improves the properties of the standard first-difference estimator. The most relevant result shows that persistence of habits is coupled with high long-term price elasticity which is higher, in absolute value, that the instantaneous (one-year) price elasticity. Under an economic policy perspective, the effects of policy interventions can be suitably evaluated only in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425642 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425642&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Manjon Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Manjon Title: Does the proxy for shareholders' control make a difference in firm-performance regressions? Evidence from a blockholder system of corporate governance Abstract: One of the critical determinants of firm performance in corporate governance investigations is the degree of control exercised by large shareholders. This article empirically assesses the use of ultimate-owner ship shares and solutions of voting games (i.e. power indices) as alternative proxies for this control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-449 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:445-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Population weighted growth, convergence clubs and objective 1 regions performance: delors I and II packages Abstract: This article analyses population weighted growth for the periods 1989-1993 and 1995-1999 in EU15 covering the period of time in which Delors I and II packages were operational. Two important results were found, first, the existence of a polarized growth either at the lowest or highest income levels that proves the existence of a twin-peak structure in the growth process and second a better performance of objective 1 regions than non-objective 1 regions during both periods of time, showing a tendency of objective 1 regions to catch up with the average EU15 income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-455 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:451-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Romero-Avila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Avila Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: Unit root tests and persistence of unemployment: Spain vs. the United States Abstract: In this article, we investigate the existence of infrequent shocks and the degree of persistence of unemployment in the US and Spain over the period 1976-2004. We first apply the minimum Lagrange Multiplier unit root test with up to two endogenous changes in level. The evidence gives support to the hysteresis hypothesis for Spain and to regime-wise stationarity for the US. The computation of median unbiased estimates of half-lives directly from the impulse-response function indicates a much higher degree of persistence of unemployment in Spain than in the US. Our results thus give an indication that aggregate demand policies may have different effects in these two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: The single market and geographic concentration in the regions of the European Union Abstract: This note examines industrial concentration in the regions of the European Union during the period following the implementation of the Single Market. To achieve this objective, we have applied a new methodology in this literature based on the second degree inverse stochastic dominance concept. The results obtained reveal an increase in geographical concentration in most industrial activities between 1992 and 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Modelling swine supply response using a structural time series approach Abstract: Swine supply response was analyzed using a structural time series model (STSM) with both seasonal and yearly effects introduced stochastically. Swine production is divided into four production phases. Parameters of each phase were then estimated using a structural time series model. Out-of-sample forecasting robustness of the STSM was compared against a commonly used deterministic trend and deterministic seasonally (DTDS) using root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error criteria. The STSM model produced lower RMSE and MPE values than those obtained using a DTDS modeling approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:467-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: The convergence of electricity prices in Europe Abstract: The ambition to create a single European market for electricity has been explicit since the Single European Act of 1988. This article investigates the degree to which this goal has been achieved in terms of the convergence of electricity prices. Two commonly used tests of convergence are applied, β-convergence and a cointegration test using annual electricity price data for nine European Union member states from 1978 to 2003. The results suggest that convergence did occur for most of the countries in the sample over this period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461597 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461597&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minkyu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Minkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Youngsang Cho Author-X-Name-First: Youngsang Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: The diffusion of mobile telecommunications services in Korea Abstract: This study investigates the diffusion of mobile telecommunications in Korea. The aim is to compare the performance of logistic model of diffusion with that of a time series autoregressive moving average model and to identify factors that determine the diffusion adoption process. Empirical results are based on annual data on cellular mobile subscribers covering 1984 to 2002. Results suggest that, the diffusion speed increases with per capita GDP, but it decreases with the number of main telephone lines in operation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461431 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461431&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Author-Name: Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires Author-X-Name-First: Manoel Carlos de Castro Author-X-Name-Last: Pires Title: Capital account liberalization and inflation: evidence from Brazil Abstract: The argument that capital account liberalization attenuates the time inconsistence problem in the conduction of monetary policy and thus, could improve the control of inflation, was tested for Brazil, in the short run, for different exchange rate regimes. The findings denote that a decrease in the capital account liberalization is capable of attenuating inflationary pressure and that the duration of this effect depends on the exchange regime used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-487 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:483-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Is market potential robust in explaining regional educational levels in Europe? Abstract: This article analyses the robustness of market potential as an explanatory variable of regional educational levels in the European Union. When included by its own, market potential is shown to be statistically significant and quantitatively important in explaining cross-region variation in educational levels. This finding is robust in controlling for a wide range of considerations, including other geographic and economic characteristics, showing that economic geography matters in determining educational attainment levels in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Title: R&D and productivity in 16 OECD countries: some heterogeneous panel estimations Abstract: This study further investigates the long-run impact of various sources of technological progress on productivity for a panel of 16 OECD countries during the period 1981 to 1998. Given the length of the series, the application of an heterogeneous estimator could be suitable from an econometric point of view. Our results, based on the Mean Group and the Pooled Mean Group estimators, show that technology spills over across countries through the channel of trade flows and that academic research significantly contributes to productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manami Ogura Author-X-Name-First: Manami Author-X-Name-Last: Ogura Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Testing demand homogeneity when error terms have an elliptically symmetric distribution Abstract: In this article, we show that the exact test for the homogeneity restriction developed by Laitinen (1978) is robust when the error terms have an elliptically symmetric distribution. The power performance of the test is also examined, assuming that the error terms have a multivariate t distribution. Our empirical example shows that the homogeneity restriction is not rejected at the 5% level by the exact test though it is rejected by the asymptotic Wald test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-502 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:497-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Hung Hsu Ku Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hung Hsu Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Author-Name: Ho-Chyuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kuang-Hua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: On the application of the dynamic conditional correlation model in estimating optimal time-varying hedge ratios Abstract: This article applies the dynamic conditional correlation model of Engle (2002) with error correction terms in order to investigate the optimal hedge ratios of British and Japanese currency futures markets. For a comparison, the estimates of three other models -- traditional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), ordinary least square (OLS) and error correction model (ECM) -- are also reported. Results show that the dynamic conditional correlation model yields the best hedging performance in both futures markets. Nonetheless, the traditional multivariate GARCH model (which exhibits constant conditional correlations and time-varying hedge ratios) performs the worst hedging effectiveness, even inferior to the time-invariant hedging methods (OLS and ECM). The inclusion of dynamic conditional correlations in the GARCH model can therefore better capture the frequent fluctuations in futures markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-509 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:503-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilaria Mosca Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Mosca Title: Decentralization as a determinant of health care expenditure: empirical analysis for OECD countries Abstract: Territorial decentralization involves the transfer of responsibilities from a central government to lower levels of government. A common trend in different developed countries has been to decentralize some health functions (managerial and/or financial) to local governments. The set-up of the health care system and its degree of decentralization are here utilized in a panel data analysis as a determinant of health care expenditure in a sample of 20 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for the period 1990 to 2000. These findings lend support that demographic, supply-related and socio-economic factors impact on overall health care costs and a decentralized health care setting implies higher health expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Chen Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Title: Rational bubbles in the US stock market? Further evidence from a nonparametric cointegration test Abstract: In this study, we revisit the issue as to the presence of rational bubbles in the US stock market during the 1871 to 2002 period using both the Johansen cointegration and the Bierens 1997 nonparametric cointegration tests. The results from the conventional Johansen cointegration test fully support the existence of rational bubbles, whereas those from the Bierens nonparametric cointegration test attest to the absence of rational bubbles. On account of the superiority of the nonparametric method to detect cointegration when the error-correction mechanism is nonlinear, we firmly believe that the results from the nonparametric cointegration test are considerably more reliable than those derived from the conventional Johansen approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-521 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601103221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601103221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:517-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Spyros Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Author-Name: Georgia Siougle Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Siougle Title: Mergers and acquisitions of non-financial firms in Europe: the case of the Athens Stock Exchange Abstract: This study examines whether mergers and acquisitions create value for shareholders in the Athens Stock Exchange, during an extremely volatile period. The results indicate, on average, statistically insignificant investor reaction around merger announcements. However, further analysis suggests that investors react negatively to announcements by bidder firms in the food and fish farm sectors, and positively to announcements in the commercial/advertising and technology sectors. There is also evidence that information arrives at the market a few days before the official announcement. Contrary to earlier empirical evidence, insignificant returns are reported for target firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500406972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500406972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miyoung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Miyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: An iterative method for flattering the ridge in the Ridge regression Abstract: In many cases of multiple regression in an undefined system, some independent variables may not be orthogonal to each other. In such cases, the systems either are not solvable or induce incorrect results which could vary with the data used. Such problems are often overcome by using the Ridge regression method. This article proposes an alternative way of getting an exact least square estimator by using an iterative method. We prove the solvability of the proposed algorithm and demonstrate that our method outperforms traditional approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-531 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:529-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Jayaraj Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Jayaraj Author-Name: S. Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: Comparing the age structures of populations Abstract: This is an analytically simple note, motivated by the modest objective of presenting a visual aid to the scanning and comparison of the age structures of alternative populations. The means to the end are achieved by a graphical devise which is called a binary age comparison (or BAC) curve, which is obtained by plotting the cumulative age density function of one population against that of another within the unit square. The BAC curve allows a quick ascertainment of the unambiguous dominance of one population over another in terms of 'agedness', where such dominance obtains; and where thoroughgoing dominance does not obtain, it permits an assessment of the differentiated age structures, over different age segments, of a pair of populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-537 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:533-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangheon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangheon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A more accurate measurement of tax effort Abstract: Even though it is commonplace in many countries for federal governments to give fiscal support to local governments, this may work as a deterrent in providing incentives to local governments to increase their own revenue. To address this problem of moral hazard, various techniques of measuring the local governments' tax effort have been suggested in the literature. However, all of these techniques share a drawback: 'biasedness'. To solve this problem, this article presents an unbiased estimator, which is the Kalman filter estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation shows evidence that the Kalman filter estimator is more accurate than other methods suggested in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Mohamadou Fadiga Author-X-Name-First: Mohamadou Author-X-Name-Last: Fadiga Title: Price asymmetry in the US fibre markets Abstract: In this article, price linkages between cotton and polyester markets are investigated. After determining that the causality is present in both the directions, the nature of the price linkages was studied. The results suggest that polyester price responds asymmetrically to cotton price changes, whereas asymmetric response from cotton price to changes in polyester price is found to be weak. The results also did not support the hypothesis of contemporaneous effects between the polyester and cotton prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Villaverde Author-Name: Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Juan F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio-Ramirez Title: On the solution of the growth model with investment-specific technological change Abstract: Recent work by Greenwood et al. (1997, 2000) and Fisher (2003) has emphasized the importance of investment-specific technological change as a main driving force behind long-run growth and the business cycle. This article shows how the growth model with investment-specific technological change has a closed-form solution if capital fully depreciates. This solution furthers our understanding of the model and it constitutes a useful benchmark to check the accuracy of numerical procedures to solve dynamic macroeconomic models in cases with several state variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: William Shambora Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Shambora Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: The relationship between stock returns and inflation in four European markets Abstract: We study the effects of expected and unexpected inflation on real stock returns for France, Germany, Italy and the UK. We find evidence that unexpected inflation affects stock returns in France, Italy and the UK, but that expected inflation does not. Unexpected interest rates also affect real stock returns in the three countries. However, we find no evidence of these variables affecting real stock returns in Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-557 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600580452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600580452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:555-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuntawan Thiratanapong Author-X-Name-First: Nuntawan Author-X-Name-Last: Thiratanapong Title: Market discipline in banking: evidence from Thailand during the 1997 crisis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of banking crisis on deposit market discipline using evidence from Thailand. The empirical evidence suggests that depositors' responsiveness to bank risk taking increases in the aftermath of the crisis. However, an explicit blanket guarantee provided by the government since the 1997 crisis weakens the extent of an increase in market discipline during the post-crisis period. The results have relevant implications on the implementation of an explicit deposit insurance scheme for Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-563 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:559-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Neelesh Gounder Author-X-Name-First: Neelesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gounder Title: Investment ratio in growth equations Abstract: In the cross-country and time series studies on the determinants of the growth rate, capital stock is often proxied with the investment ratio due to lack of reliable data. While investment ratio may give good results with OLS, their robustness is doubtful. In addition there are other problems: (a) investment ratio may be a good proxy for the change in capital stock, but combining it with the level of employment to estimate a production function leads to misspecification bias; (b) it is not possible to impose any valid constraints on the coefficients of these variables and (c) if instrument variables are used to minimize any endogenous variable bias, the equation with the investment ratio seems to be fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-568 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461365 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461365&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:565-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hayes Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Hayes Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of quarterly GDP for the interwar UK economy Abstract: This article uses the Chow--Lin (1971) procedure to generate estimates of quarterly gross domestic product for the UK economy over the period January 1920 to April 1938. This series is then used to estimate a cointegrating relationship between employment, real wages and aggregate output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Title: Empirical evidence from fourteen countries with explicit inflation targeting Abstract: This article attempts to contribute to the empirical research on inflation targeting (IT) making an inquiry of the relation between macroeconomic variables for 14 countries with explicit IT. The main results denote that the adoption of IT is a good framework for reducing inflation, and thus contributes to diminish interest rate without apparent costs on economic growth, although unemployment increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461464 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461464&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: Returns to education and wage equations: a dynamic approach Abstract: We study the impact of education on within-groups wage inequality using quantile-regression techniques and US data for the period 1980 to 1987. Our contribution consists of comparing estimates based on a standard Mincer equation with estimates based on a modified Mincer equation in which past earnings play the role of additional explanatory variable. We find that a dynamic model does not give the same answer as a static model regarding the impact of schooling on earnings dispersion, and provide an explanation for this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Purchasing power parity under high and low volatility regimes Abstract: This article adopts Markov switching models to establish and examine several types of nonlinear dynamics in exchange rate returns and provide a new test to analyse presence of purchasing power parity (PPP) after controlling for various market states. In contrast with Engle and Hamilton (1990) focusing on discussing the dual state setting on the first moment of quarterly data for major industrial countries' currencies, we concentrate more on the second moment for monthly data and add an analysis of developing countries' currencies. Our empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, volatility-switching behaviours are more (less) remarkable for developing (industrialized) countries' currencies. Second, we denote the high volatility state of exchange markets of developing (industrialized) countries as a crisis (an unusual) condition. Moreover, PPP would be valid at the low (high) volatility state for developing (industrialized) countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-589 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:581-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Chong Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Virgilio Galdo Author-X-Name-First: Virgilio Author-X-Name-Last: Galdo Title: Should state-owned firms change CEOs before privatization? Some evidence from the telecommunications industry Abstract: Should state-owned enterprises change chief executive officer (CEO) before privatizing? We test competing views on this question by complementing a recently released database with newly collected data. We are able to cover 77 telecommunications privatizations, which account for nearly 80% of the sector in terms of value. We find that CEO replacement will improve performance in the telecommunications industry before privatization as measured by penetration, operating efficiency and profitability. Chief executive officer change before privatization does appear to have real consequences in firm performance before privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-595 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:591-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Saving-investment correlations and capital mobility in OECD countries: an error correction analysis Abstract: This article studies the time series properties of saving and investment rates for 23 OECD countries using error correction model (ECM) developed by Jansen and Schulze (1996) and Jansen (1996). Applying the ECM to the OECD countries, we find that Denmark, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United Kingdom indicate low capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-601 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592390 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592390&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:597-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bellak Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bellak Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Author-Name: Roman Romisch Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Romisch Title: On the appropriate measure of tax burden on foreign direct investment to the CEECs Abstract: We argue from a conceptual and empirical point of view that tax-rate elasticities of foreign direct investment (FDI) to Central and East European Countries (CEECs) derived from statutory tax rates (STRs) are likely to be flawed. STRs are problematic measures of tax burden as they capture neither tax base effects, nor effects of the home country or international and supranational tax laws. From an empirical point of view STRs are questionable as their behavior over time and between country-pairs may differ from that of the conceptually superior bilateral corporate effective average tax rates (BCEATRs) of the Devereux-Griffith type. The variability of host-country STRs and BCEATRs of seven major home countries of FDI in eight major CEEC host countries is compared via Levene-tests for 1995--2005. Results indicate that using STRs instead of BCEATRs in empirical investigations of FDI is likely to result in tax-rate elasticities which are too low in absolute value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Badri Narayanan Author-X-Name-First: G. Badri Author-X-Name-Last: Narayanan Title: Effect of mergers on firm profits with trade liberalization: the role of technology Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyse the effects of trade liberalization on the firm-level profit-enhancing effects of mergers and its dependence on whether the technology is labour intensive or capital-intensive, under an oligopolistic competition framework. Mergers, as considered in this article, cause an increase in the firm-level profits. The extent to which they enhance the profits is inversely proportional to the number of firms in the country. With a freer trade, the profit effect of mergers depends on the extent to which the fall in profit due to fall in price outweighs the gain in profit due to increased output. A firm in the capital-intensive country can gain more from a merger than one in the labour-intensive country, if the aggregate output is at sufficiently large scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Sahin Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Sahin Author-Name: A. Burca Kizilirmak Author-X-Name-First: A. Burca Author-X-Name-Last: Kizilirmak Title: Determinants of duration of unemployment insurance benefits in Turkey Abstract: This article is the first empirical study on the duration of unemployment insurance benefits in Turkey. Turkey has adopted an unemployment insurance programme in 2000, and the first payment of the benefit was made in 2002. Thus, it is new and the first programme to partially compensate the income of workers when they are unemployed. The unemployment insurance programme has been criticized for low benefits and strict eligibility requirements. However, the number of people claiming unemployment benefit has been increasing steadily since 2002. This study provides an empirical evaluation on the determinants of duration of unemployment insurance benefits by a hazard modelling approach. We find that age, sex, marital status, significantly affect insurance duration after controlling effects of types of workplace, job types and regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-615 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:611-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Examining the interactions of high reserves and weak fundamentals in currency crises Abstract: This article tackles the issue of reserve adequacy measure by examining the interaction of high reserves and weak fundamentals in crises. The author extends the analysis of Sachs et al. (1996) by adopting on two-step regressions. The first helps find the significant weak fundamental variables. The second determines the appropriate adequate reserve level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-621 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:617-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold T. Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold T. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John M. Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Technical efficiency bias in data envelopment analysis caused by intra-output aggregation Abstract: We show that an organization's technical efficiency scores are biased downward by linear aggregation of the quantities of the same type of output that are produced by multiple subunits (intra-output aggregation). We expand the models of Fare et al. (2002, 2004) and Barnum and Gleason (2005) to account for intra-output aggregation bias, yielding an expanded model in which technical efficiency is unbiased by any type of input or output aggregation. We illustrate intra-output aggregation bias with data envelopment analysis results from Canadian paratransit operations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomokazu Nomura Author-X-Name-First: Tomokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Nomura Title: Contribution of education and educational equality to economic growth Abstract: In this article we examine how the contribution of investment in education to economic growth varies if the initial level of education and the improvement of educational equality are different. Our main finding is that the contribution of education to economic growth is larger and statistically more significant in the countries with relatively low level of initial education and in the countries with relatively high improvement of educational equality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-630 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:627-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piero Conforti Author-X-Name-First: Piero Author-X-Name-Last: Conforti Author-Name: Ugo Pica-Ciamarra Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Pica-Ciamarra Title: Scaling-up community-driven development. Evidence from the Philippines Abstract: Community-driven development programmes are an increasingly common component of poverty reduction strategies. Most have been on a small-scale so far, but efforts are being made to scale successful experiences up to the country level. This article quantifies the impact of the community-driven 'farming system development' (FSD) adopted by the Philippine government in selected rice-producing agrarian communities and simulates the potential effects of scaling FSD up to the country level using a general equilibrium framework. Results show that the FSD approach could be an effective poverty reduction strategy, instigating poor farmers to diversify towards nontraditional crops and the rice processing industry to benefit from lower prices; however, existing rice import quotas severely constraint the size of such potential benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-636 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:631-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: Evaluating forecasting accuracy of the temporally aggregated space-time autoregressive model Abstract: This article aims at analysing the effect of temporal aggregation in space-time autoregressive models. By means of a simulation experiment, it is shown that, the greater the spatial dependence in time series, the lower the bias due to temporal aggregation. However, the ratio between the average mean squared forecasting errors for daily data and that for yearly data seems to decrease for high parameter values. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tam Bang Vu Author-X-Name-First: Tam Bang Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Title: An alternative approximation to consumer durables expenditures Abstract: Consumer durables expenditures are normally assumed to be of linear form with additive error term. Hansen and Singleton (1983) derive the log linear form for consumption, but they do not employ a depreciation rate. In this article, we use a multiplicative error term to obtain a log linear AR(1) with a unit root as an approximate process that drives durables expenditure. The Box-Cox test rejects the linear form in favour of the log linear one. The Box-Jenkins model selection procedure and the augmented Dickey-Fuller test support an AR(1) in log linear form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461589 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461589&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Do inflation targeting handcuffs restrain leviathan? Hard pegs vs. inflation targets for fiscal discipline in emerging markets Abstract: Inflation targeting has been increasingly adopted in emerging markets as fixed exchange rates have fallen in popularity. An important question is whether inflation targeting provides the same level of fiscal discipline as a hard peg. Using the methodology of Fatas and Rose (2001), results here indicate that multilateral currency unions and currency boards lead to tighter fiscal policy than inflation targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-651 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:647-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Vindelyn Smith-Hillman Author-X-Name-First: A. Vindelyn Author-X-Name-Last: Smith-Hillman Title: Competition policy, inflation and corruption: evidence from African economies Abstract: Using regression analysis, the study examines the relationship between competition policy, inflation and corruption within 23 African economies. The inclusion of a group of 20 industrial countries acts as a benchmark enabling the evaluation of the significance of competition policy within countries with good governance records. The results reveal the absence of a statistically significant relationship when the two groups are independently assessed however, when all 43 countries are combined the results prove to be statistically significant. Whilst the results do not provide the unambiguous support of a relationship, this does not negate a role for competition policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461415 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461415&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Denny Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Denny Author-Name: Vincent O'sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: O'sullivan Title: Can education compensate for low ability? Evidence from British data Abstract: This article investigates whether the returns to education vary with the level of cognitive ability. Unlike much of the literature, this article finds that the return to schooling is lower for those with higher cognitive ability indicating that education can act as a substitute for observed ability. Using quantile regressions we also find that, again unlike most of the literature, returns are higher at lower quintiles of the conditional earnings distribution. This suggests that education is also a substitute for unobserved ability. The policy implications are that increasing education in general and particularly for those with lower ability should reduce income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noriko Ishikawa Author-X-Name-First: Noriko Author-X-Name-Last: Ishikawa Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure to remote islands: the case of the Amami islands in Japan Abstract: The Amami islands are located 380 km southwest of Japan proper. These islands have two economic features: they are islands that many tourists visit because of their natural resources and they are an undeveloped area where the central government of Japan provides large fiscal subsidies. We investigate the impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure simultaneously. The results show that one tourist and about 52 000 yen (about US$480) fiscal expenditure are substitutable in the end. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-666 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461423 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461423&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:661-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod Author-X-Name-First: Josep-Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arauzo-Carod Title: A note on spatial autocorrelation at a local level Abstract: In this article, we analyse the existence of spatial autocorrelation at a local level in Catalonia using variables such as urbanisation economies, population density, human capital and firm entries. From a static approach, our results show that spatial autocorrelation is weak and diminishes as the distance between municipalities increases. From a dynamic approach, however, spatial autocorrelation increased over the period we analysed. These results are important from a policy point of view, since it is essential to know how economic activities are spatially concentrated or disseminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-671 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:667-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: Inverse Gaussian random variables with application to price indices Abstract: Inverse Gaussian distributions have proved to fit economic indices remarkably well in empirical investigations (Aase, 2000). In this note, the exact distribution of the ratio W = X/(X + Y) is derived when X and Y are independent inverse Gaussian random variables. This distribution arises when one is interested in comparing the performances of two economic entities. Several computer programs are given for computing the associated pdf, cdf, percentile points and the random numbers. A detailed application is illustrated for consumer price indices from the six major economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-677 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447398 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447398&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:673-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Musy Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Musy Author-Name: Sebastien Pommier Author-X-Name-First: Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Pommier Title: Inflation expectations and the structure of the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve Abstract: We extend the analysis of Ball (2000) on near-rational expectations. We show that near-rational expectations imply nontrivial additional forecast errors and the degree of error depends on the monetary regime. Moreover, this scheme of expectations does not by itself give support to the New Keynesian Phillips Curve but only to the version built on the staggered prices model of Taylor 1980). The standard model of Calvo 1983 is rejected both under rational expectations and under near-rational expectations in the sense of Ball (2000). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-683 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:679-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: On the study of confidence intervals of Taiwan's banking sector efficiency Abstract: This article applies a distribution-free approach to estimate the economic efficiencies of Taiwan's multioutput banking industry, under the framework of the cost frontier. The joint confidence interval estimates for economic efficiencies are constructed using multiple comparisons with the best (MCB) procedure. A salient characteristic of MCB procedure is that it is able to identify multiple efficient firms lying on the minimum cost frontier. The MCB intervals reveal at the 95 and 75% confidence levels that four out of 22 banks in the sample may be statistically efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-689 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:685-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-In Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-In Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: An investigation of preference uncertainty in the contingent valuation study Abstract: This study investigates the respondents' preference uncertainty in the dichotomous choice (DC) contingent valuation study for gathering information on willingness to pay (WTP). To this end, we use polychotomous choice (PC) question and DC question with certainty level for two split samples. We find that incorporating preference uncertainty has a significant effect on the WTP estimates and, more importantly, the DC question with certainty level produces more efficient WTP estimate than the PC question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 691-695 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:691-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin K. Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin K. Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Dipanwita S. D. Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Dipanwita S. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Title: Are 'complementary and alternative medicines' alternative to conventional medical system? An economic evaluation Abstract: The availability of conventional medical services (i.e., allopathy) is the basic need for a modern day living. Though this clause is easily met in the developed countries, but in the developing countries it is very difficult to accomplish. Hence in the developing countries a dearth is often created, which is filled to some extent by complementary and alternative medicines (CAM). In India this phenomenon is acutely noticied. In this regard, a study is highly needed to understand why do people go for complementary and alternative medicines? Is it for the very concept that the alternative medicines involve low cost, and/or are they equally or more effective than the familiar allopathic tretment? So, this study is an approach to (i) the determination of the socio-economic factors that influence the choice of complementary and alternative medical services by health purchasers, and also (ii) the estimation of the cost-effectiveness of these medical services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dijkgraaf Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dijkgraaf Author-Name: R. H. J. M. Gradus Author-X-Name-First: R. H. J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gradus Title: Fair competition in the refuse collection market? Abstract: We estimate whether fair competition exists for tendering refuse collection in the Netherlands. The results indicate that concentration increases prices and offsets the advantage of contracting out. The presence of competing public firms might be essential to ensure fair competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-704 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:701-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pallab Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Author-Name: Robert P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Investigating hypothetical bias: induced-value tests of the referendum voting mechanism with uncertainty Abstract: Following Taylor et al. (2001), we design an induced-value experiment to test for hypothetical bias in a referendum voting mechanism. In our experiment, the level of benefit from the public good increases with the number of Yes votes (conditional on the referendum passing by majority rule). This is intended to introduce uncertainty. In contrast to Taylor et al. (2001), we find evidence of significant hypothetical bias in a referendum voting mechanism, when the level of benefits is uncertain. A cheap-talk treatment is shown to eliminate this bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Examining the robustness of cointegration analysis under weighted symmetric estimation Abstract: The research of Leybourne and Newbold (2003) is extended to examine the finite-sample size of the weighted symmetric cointegration test when applied to independent unit root processes subject to structural change. The results obtained show the weighted symmetric cointegration test to be more robust to structural change than previously examined cointegration tests. Combined with its previously noted higher power, the findings of the present analysis suggest the recently proposed weighted symmetric cointegration test to be of use to the practitioner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Subal C. Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Author-Name: Ragnar Tveterås Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Tveterås Title: Testing cost vs. profit function Abstract: The empirical literature on estimation of production technology mostly focuses on estimation of dual cost functions. Estimation of a profit function is not that common. Here, we formally test whether the production technology should be represented by a cost or profit function. We also derive elasticities associated with the long-run profit function from the estimated cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong Seok Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jong Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Paul Missios Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Missios Title: Does size really matter? Landfill scale impacts on property values Abstract: The economic advantage of constructing and operating large-scale landfills over small-scale landfills has been used to justify regional landfills as a solution to the municipal waste disposal problem. In addition to the dampening effects on social efforts to divert waste away from landfills, higher external costs of larger landfills may in fact offset the private cost advantages. In this study, the negative effects of a landfill that are capitalized in property values of houses located in the proximity of two landfill sites of significantly different sizes in Toronto, Canada, are examined. The results suggest that larger landfills have greater adverse impacts on property values than smaller landfills, implying consumers perceive (and markets reflect) differences in external costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doh-Khul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Doh-Khul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: William D. Lastrapes Author-X-Name-First: William D. Author-X-Name-Last: Lastrapes Title: The cost channel of monetary transmission-revisited Abstract: This article empirically re-examines the importance of the cost channel of monetary transmission-the effect of money supply shocks on the costs of production and supply, as opposed to the traditional effect on demand. Unlike Barth and Ramey (2002), this article identifies the response of industry-level wages to money supply shocks by assuming long-run monetary neutrality. The pervasive findings of a positive response of real wages to money supply shocks in this study provide even stronger support for the cost channel than Barth and Ramey (2002). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-730 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:725-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Stephanie Leach Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Leach Title: Technical efficiency in the English Football Association Premier League with a stochastic cost frontier Abstract: This article uses an econometric frontier model to evaluate the technical efficiency of English Premier League clubs from 1998/99 to 2002/03 combining sport and financial variables. A Cobb-Douglas cost specification of the technical efficiency effects model is used to generate football club efficiency scores, allowing for contextual variables which affect inefficiency. We conclude that the efficiency scores are mixed. A policy is devised for the management of this sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-741 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:731-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Aren't small stock markets the same? Abstract: In a recent interesting article, Minier (2003) uses results from regression tree techniques to conclude that, for countries with high stock market capitalization, there exists a significantly positive relationship between the level of financial development and economic growth. However, the relationship becomes significantly negative for low-capitalization subsample. Using same data set, this short article re-examines Minier's results by the threshold regression approach of Hansen (2000), but finds no evidence supporting that the full sample can be classified into two distinct regimes as in Minier (2003). Our formal test result suggests that one should be more cautious regarding the conclusions made by Minier (2003). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-748 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592432 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592432&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:743-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai S. Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Economic growth, exports and export composition in China Abstract: This article examines the causality among economic growth, export expansion and export composition in China since economic reform. The cointegration tests show that cointegrating vectors do not exist either between economic growth and export composition or between export expansion and export composition. Meanwhile, the null hypothesis that economic growth and export expansion are not cointegrated is rejected. The error correction model shows that there is a bi-directional causality between export expansion and economic growth. Meanwhile, there appears no causal relationship between export composition and the other variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Title: Governance and foreign direct investment links: evidence from panel data estimations Abstract: This article presents panel data estimates of the relationship between indicators of governance and foreign direct investment (FDI) using a sample of countries from Asia and Latin America. While controlling for standard FDI variables, the results provide strong confirmation that the rule of law; control of corruption; regulatory quality; government effectiveness and political stability are positively correlated with FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-756 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:753-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Kassinis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Kassinis Author-Name: Nikos Vafeas Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Vafeas Title: Interest group pressures and US county-level toxic emissions Abstract: We address the relation between interest group characteristics and industry environmental performance. Using data on industrial activities from 2097 US counties, we show that there is an inverse relationship between variables proxying for pressures associated with varying levels of county income, population densities and environmental preferences and toxic emissions at the county level. Our results are broadly consistent with the notion that administrators are receptive to interest group pressures in shaping firm policies towards the natural environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Internet access charge and economic activity Abstract: This article investigates empirically the impacts of the internet access charge on economic activity using a cross-country analysis based on data from 76 countries for the year 1998-2001. The results show that the level of the Internet access charge has a significantly negative effect on the level of economic activity. In other words, a low Internet access charge of a country increases its economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-764 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:761-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland K. Cheo Author-X-Name-First: Roland K. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheo Title: Adopting Shapley values to address embedding biases in contingent valuation studies Abstract: A variation of the contingent valuation model is used to determine the value of a special education school in Singapore. Shapley values have long been used in game theory in determining value in n-tuple games. An extension of the Shapley value is used in this exercise to show how it may be effective in removing the embedding effect in survey responses with respondents well-acquainted with the service under evaluation in order to determine option and use values for a specialist audience. A case study using a special school in Singapore is used for illustrative purpose in the following sections, but should not detract from the main thrust of the article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Reexamination of the effects of monetary policy using spectral decomposition Abstract: International evidence on the effects of monetary policy presented by Sims (1992) is reexamined by spectral decompositions as well as by impulse response functions. The results obtained using spectral decompositions suggest that money stock innovations can be regarded as monetary policy shocks, while the results obtained using impulse response functions show little clear evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-774 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:769-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo A. Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Title: Market power and primary commodity prices: the case of copper Abstract: This study identifies the economic fundamentals of the evolution of copper price. Its main hypothesis is that copper price is mainly determined by the evolution of demand of countries with large market power on that market. The novelty is that nominal exchange rates are one of the fundamentals of market power. Monthly data are used ranging from 1994 to 2003 and by means of a cointegration analysis; it is found that the Asian bloc significantly affects the price of this tradable good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601058508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601058508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tauhidur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Tauhidur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Measuring the well-being across countries Abstract: Dissatisfied with any measure of income as a sufficient indicator of well-being, emphasis has shifted to identification of alternative measures. However, identifying robust Quality of Life (QOL) indicators, or providing a coherent and robust definition of the concept, remains problematic. Over the years, alternative measures of well-being have been suggested. Probably the best-known composite indices of well-being are the Human Development Index and Physical Quality of Life Index (PQLI). These alternative measures are recognized as improvements in terms of representing various dimensions of QOL, but they still suffer from various limitations. Using information on eight indicators of QOL for 43 developing countries of the world, in this article I show that various measures of well-being are highly sensitive to the domains of QOL that are considered in the construction of comparative indices, and also sensitive to how measurable inputs into the well-being are aggregated and weighted to arrive at composite measures of QOL. I find results that support the result obtained by Dasgupta and Weale (1992) that measures of health are closest to overall measure of QOL. Thus, if we had to choose a single domain of aggregate well-being, the domain of health would seem to be the most appropriate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Exchange rate fluctuations in Croatia: test of uncovered interest rate parity and the open economy model Abstract: This study finds that the US dollar/kuna exchange rate for Croatia is positively influenced by the expected exchange rate and negatively associated with real M1, the US T-bond rate, the euro interest rate, the expected inflation rate, and the relative price. Deficit spending does not affect the exchange rate. Most of the variation in exchange rates can be explained by the open economy model and uncovered interest-rate parity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Keen Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Keen Author-Name: Yongsheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: What is a realistic value for price adjustment costs in New Keynesian models? Abstract: Rotemberg's (1982) price adjustment costs framework is a popular sticky price specification; yet, the data provides little information on the magnitude of those costs. This article finds a plausible range of parameterizations for those price adjustment costs. Our results show that the specific size of the price adjustment costs depends on the average markup of price over real marginal cost and the average time firms wait to reoptimize their price. In particular, the price adjustment costs are higher when the average markup is lower and the mean time between price reoptimizations is longer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo A. Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Title: Inflation of tradable goods Abstract: This article explores which large economy blocks determine foreign inflation around the world. In the analysis, we focus on importable goods of 15 countries ranging from 1992 to 2003 at monthly basis. Using a SUR estimation, we find the US driving the inflation of importable goods around the world. However, decomposing the variation of importable good price indexes by frequency, by means of the Baxter-King approximate band pass filter, we find that the Asian area might be a source of considerable inflation on the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Estimating export equations Abstract: Accurate estimates of the price and income elasticities of exports are valuable for growth policies based on trade promotion. However, not sufficient attention seems to have been paid to the specification of the relative price variable in some influential empirical works. This article estimates the export equation for Fiji, to show that inappropriate specification of the relative price variable may give underestimates of the price elasticity and overestimates of the income elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-802 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:799-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martha Misas Author-X-Name-First: Martha Author-X-Name-Last: Misas Author-Name: Maria Teresa Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Depressions in the Colombian economic growth during the twentieth century: a Markov switching regime model Abstract: In this article, we modelled the Colombian long run economic growth (1925-2003) using a two-regime first order Markov switching model. We found evidence of nonlinearity in the annual rate of economic growth. The results show that changes between regimes are sudden and sporadic. The Colombian economy remains in the sustainable growth regime most of the time. The turning points from the Markov switching model capture very well the behaviour of real output through time. In fact, they identify the four main depressions of the century. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-808 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:803-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Song Zan Chiou Wei Author-X-Name-First: Song Zan Chiou Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: A revisit to the outward FDI determinants: further evidence from count panel data models with fixed effects Abstract: Given the discrete nature of the outward foreign direct investment (FDI) data, the count data regression models are set up as vehicles for our empirical work. We propose and test various econometric specifications that address the main problems inherent in the traditional Poisson regression. Empirical estimates derived from these models are found quite similar. We find that exchange rate and openness are not as significant factors in attracting FDI as previous studies had portrayed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Swaby Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Swaby Author-Name: A. O. Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: A. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: Should husband and wife really pool their incomes? Abstract: This article addresses the problem of optimal provision of household public goods in family decision-making. In particular, we attempt to answer the question of whether or not the family is better off as an entity when spouses pool their incomes. Our findings suggest that the equilibrium attained when incomes are pooled is Pareto superior to the Cournot-Nash equilibrium outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-816 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675476 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675476&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:813-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weixing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A new measure of liquidity Abstract: We propose a new measure of market liquidity based on the investors' optimal searching behaviour. Thus, we add a wealth filter on Pagano (1989)'s measure of liquidity to build the strong tie between endogenous market participation and investor wealth, as has been documented by empirical works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-820 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:817-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hsing Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: George J. Y. Hsu Author-X-Name-First: George J. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Ching-Kai Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Title: Measuring efficiency of domestic banks in Taiwan: application of data envelopment analysis and Malmquist index Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate relative efficiency of management and variation of managerial efficiency among 37 domestic banks in Taiwan. The relative efficiency of management is analysed through Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate the competitiveness of each bank and managerial efficiency is to show the efficiency variation of each bank through Malmquist index. This article also links those two types of efficiency by constructing a matrix of relative efficiency and managerial efficiency defining of eight different categories of banks. The empirical results show that all 37 banks possess an average relative efficiency value of 0.591, with a SD of 0.228. And there are 6 banks with an efficiency value of 1. From the results estimated by Malmquist model, it indicates there are 20 banks with an efficiency variation greater than 1. This means that managerial efficiency of those 20 banks has been improving. However, there are 17 banks with an efficiency variation less than 1. This means that managerial efficiency of those 17 banks has been declining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-827 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:821-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicola Lamedica Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Lamedica Author-Name: Roberto Reno Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Reno Title: Integration of international bond markets: did anything change with EMU? Abstract: In a recent article, Barr and Priestley (2004) show that using a conditional asset pricing model that allows variation in the price of, and exposure to, risk, there is strong evidence that national markets are partially integrated into world markets. This letter extends their analysis to the European monetary union period. We show that the level of integration raised in all countries except in Japan, which experienced a deflation period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-832 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:829-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Matsuki Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuki Title: Over-rejections by the weighted symmetric unit root test in multiple structural breaks Abstract: This study investigates the behaviour of the weighted symmetric unit root test (Pantula et al., 1994) when the data generating process has a unit root and multiple structural breaks in the level of its trend function. The results obtained from this study reveal that the test can be biased towards over-rejections of the unit root null hypothesis in large samples as well as small samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-837 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:833-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A simple specification test for conditional moment restrictions Abstract: In this article we extend the martingale difference test of Kuan and Lee (2004) to tests of conditional moment restrictions involving unknown parameters. The proposed test is asymptotically pivotal, easy to implement and capable of diagnostic checking misspecifications of quantile regressions. The simulation results show that the proposed test performs quite well in finite samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-843 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:839-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jose Presno Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Presno Author-Name: Carmen Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Title: Misspecification of the breaking date in series with a change in the growth rate. Effect on the LBI test for stationarity Abstract: We study the asymptotic behaviour of the LBI statistic for testing stationarity around a trend with a change in the growth rate when the breaking date is erroneously positioned, showing its divergence. The analysis is completed with Monte Carlo simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-850 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:845-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Carmen Lima Author-X-Name-First: M. Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Title: The effects of European funds on a regional economy: an applied general equilibrium analysis Abstract: In this work we conduct an impact analysis of European Structural Funds to assess their effect on output, prices and consumers' income on the European region of Andalusia, in the south of Spain. For this purpose we present an Applied General Equilibrium Model for Andalusia (AGEM_A) and proceed to compare the reception of regional funds scenario to a hypothetical situation where this financial support has been removed. The AGEM_A has been numerically implemented by supplementing the statistical information provided by the Social Accounting Matrices for Andalusia corresponding to 1990, 1995 and 1999, with data included in the three Community Support Frameworks approved by the European Commission. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-855 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:851-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augustin de Coulon Author-X-Name-First: Augustin Author-X-Name-Last: de Coulon Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Language proficiency of immigrants and misclassification Abstract: We study the determinants of language proficiency, reading and speaking, for a sample of immigrants living in France and allow for misclassification errors since language proficiency is based on subjective self-reported evaluations. Using a parametric maximum likelihood method, we find that the probabilities of misclassification are large. Misclassification is mainly due to immigrants experiencing actual language problems, but who do not report them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701295802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701295802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Normal and abnormal information transmissions: evidence from China's stock markets Abstract: This article investigates normal and abnormal information transmissions by examining diffusion volatility and jump intensity spillovers in China's stock markets. We analyse the impact of releasing investing restriction to information transmission mechanism, and also the interactions between 'A' and 'B' share markets of Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges during the pre- and post-event periods. A CBP-GARCH model is employed in our empirical analysis. The empirical results exhibit the evidence of bidirectional normal information transmissions between 'A' and 'B' share markets of both exchanges. However, abnormal information transmissions are unidirectional, flowing from 'B' share market to 'A' share market only. Our results are consistent with the information transfer hypothesis (Chiu and Kwok, 1998). Moreover, information transmissions mechanism is affected by the removal of investing restriction, thus the two markets are more integrated gradually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-870 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425444 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425444&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:863-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Parker Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Eric Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Addressing the revenue impact of smoking ordinances Abstract: The need for accurate assessment of the revenue impact of smoking ordinances is rising as more state and local governments consider their implementation. This article provides a concise model demonstrating the effect of smoking ordinances on taxable restaurant and bar revenues in the State of California. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-875 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592382 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592382&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:871-875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cansino Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cansino Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Author-Name: Rocio Roman Author-X-Name-First: Rocio Author-X-Name-Last: Roman Title: Regional evaluation of a tax on the retail sales of certain fuels through a social accounting matrix Abstract: The goal of this article is to calculate the cumulative impact of the tax on the retail sales of certain fuels (IVMH, in Spanish initials) and its effects on some fundamental economic variables, on the price indices and on remaining tax collections. The novel aspect of this work is to use as methodology a very simple price model applied to a regional Social Accounting Matrix (SAM)-instead of a input-output table-done for Andalusia where we introduce a new tax. The main results of this article show that the introduction of the IVMH in the regional economy may be provoke marginal variations on economy prices. There is also a global increase of tax collections of 0.057%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-880 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600660692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600660692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:877-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Cointegration analysis and the choice of lag length Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the choice of lag length on the estimation of long run cointegration relationships using the Johansen estimation procedure. This issue is of particular interest to applied researchers using time series data, see for example Awokuse (2005), Bacchiocchi et al. (2005), Gallegati (2005), Gomes and Paz (2005), Hasan (2005) and Pieroni and Ricciarelli (2005), among many others. An empirical example is used to demonstrate some of the issues that applied researchers face when they wish to use cointegration analysis. First, the number of lags to include in the model must be determined. However, different lag length selection criteria often lead to a different conclusion regarding the optimal lag order that should be used. Second, as demonstrated in this article, the choice of lag length can drastically affect the results of the cointegration analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Jack Houstan Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houstan Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Dairy supply response under stochastic trend and seasonality Abstract: Developing a dairy supply model assuming deterministic trend and seasonality a priori could lead to model misspecification. A structural time series methodology was used to examine the role of stochastic trend and seasonality in a dairy supply response model using quarterly time series data. Four versions of a time-linked model of dairy supply response were compared. A dairy supply model with stochastic seasonality and deterministic trend performed the best, as evidenced by diagnostic tests, goodness-of-fit measures, and forecasting accuracy. Our analysis suggested against the classic approach of incorporating the deterministic seasonality component in dairy supply models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunmi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Eunmi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Determinants of US antidumping decisions: four perspectives of international trade policymaking Abstract: There are four theoretical perspectives that can be used to explain foreign trade policy tendencies: the international political view, the international economic view, the domestic statist view and the domestic societal view. By reflecting these four theoretical perspectives the determinants of US antidumping decisions are analysed. The findings indicate that the international political and domestic societal perspectives dominate the analysis. Specifically, international tension and the level of organization of interest group since 1980 appear to be highly relevant for understanding US antidumping decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706313 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706313&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blanca Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Ana Jesus Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Combining economic forecasts through information measures Abstract: The increasing number of prospective sources and methods provides a wide variety of forecasts for a given economic variable. Therefore, the theory suggests the convenience of combining the individual results to obtain a single aggregated prediction. The traditional methods for combining forecasts are based on the relative past performance of the forecasts to be combined. However, the number of forecasters is increasing considerably in the last years so it is not possible to have enough information about their past forecast task. This article focuses on the information theory as a framework to combine experts' forecasts when information is limited. More specifically, we use the principle of entropy maximization to obtain a combined forecast from Shannon's measure (1948) and we also propose its extension to the quadratic uncertainty measure (Perez, 1985). The empirical behaviour of both procedures is tested over a pool of forecasts referring to Spanish economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-903 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:899-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Understanding asymmetries in macroeconomic aggregates: the case of Singapore Abstract: For robust policymaking and econometric modelling, it is essential to know whether macroeconomic aggregates contain asymmetric behaviour. The aim of this note is to investigate asymmetries in Singapore's macroeconomic aggregates using the Randles et al. (1980) Triples test. We examine both deepness and steepness asymmetries, and find that for Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rate there is evidence for deepness asymmetry. On the basis of this finding, we caution policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: How does trade composition affect productivity? Evidence for Chile Abstract: This article examines the long-run impact of capital goods imports, intermediate goods imports, and exports of manufactured and primary goods on total factor productivity in Chile. Using cointegration techniques, we find productivity-enhancing effects of capital and intermediate goods imports as well as manufactured exports, and productivity-limiting effects of primary exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Modification of the LM unit root test Abstract: This article proposes a modified version of the Langrange Multiplier (LM) test for a unit root, which is efficient and avoids arbitrary estimation of the levels regression intercept. If required, this intercept can be estimated indirectly in the second-step autoregression. In addition to simple-hypothesis LM unit root tests, a new F-type version of the test is proposed, which is based on a joint hypothesis. Parametric augmentation is discussed in detail, and simulated new critical values are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-917 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:913-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Falck Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Falck Title: Mayflies and long-distance runners: the effects of new business formation on industry growth Abstract: This note analyses the effects of new business formation on industry growth. Dynamic panel techniques are used to test two hypotheses. First, does hit-and-run competition secure efficiency in an industry? Second, do innovative startups lead to amplified innovations by diminishing the knowledge filter? The results illustrate how new businesses can be viewed as either mayflies or long-distance runners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-922 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:919-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Are trend and cycle innovations uncorrelated? International evidence Abstract: The zero-correlation restriction for trend and cycle innovations is empirically examined using an international data set. Unlike the result obtained by Morley et al. (2003), a model with zero-correlation restriction is selected for all nine countries. Since the adequacy of zero-correlation restriction depends on the autoregressive (AR) order assumed, an information-criterion-based model-selection method is applied. In this method, first, possible alternative models are considered by changing the AR order and by including or excluding the zero-correlation restriction, and then the best model is selected from among them. Consequently, it is determined on the basis of the selected model whether the zero-correlation restriction should be imposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-926 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705893 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705893&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:923-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Title: Accounting for pairwise heterogeneity in bilateral trade flows: a stochastic varying coefficient gravity model Abstract: This paper suggests an alternative way for estimating the gravity equation that takes into consideration country-pair heterogeneity in bilateral trade flows. Specifically, a stochastic varying coefficient gravity model based on Hildreth and Houck's (1968) random coefficient regression is proposed, that eliminates heterogeneity bias inherent in standard econometric methods. The results indicate that the standard gravity estimates can differ substantially from what is obtained when heterogeneity is accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-930 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705919 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705919&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:927-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norashidah Mohamed Nor Author-X-Name-First: Norashidah Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Author-Name: Nor Ghani Md. Nor Author-X-Name-First: Nor Ghani Md. Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Author-Name: Ahmad Zainuddin Abdullah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zainuddin Author-X-Name-Last: Abdullah Author-Name: Suhaila Abd. Jalil Author-X-Name-First: Suhaila Abd. Author-X-Name-Last: Jalil Title: Flexibility and small firms' survival: further evidence from Malaysian manufacturing Abstract: This study investigates the role played by production flexibility in explaining the lasting presence of small firms alongside their larger counterparts in the market. The production flexibility hypothesis postulates that the market place provides room for both large and small firms because large firms benefit from low minimum average costs and static production efficiency, while small firms, with higher minimum average costs, are more flexible. Unlike previous studies that used data from developed economies, this study tests the hypothesis using industry data from a developing country, Malaysia. Results show that there exist a negative relationship between firm size and sales variability suggesting that large and small firms each have their own efficiency niches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 931-934 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:931-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Mark Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Asymmetric mean reversion in corporate profits Abstract: This article applies the Enders and Granger (1998) unit root test against the stationary alternative with asymmetric adjustment to after-tax corporate profits. Both the standard Dickey-Fuller (1981) model and the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model reject the null hypothesis of a unit root; however, asymmetric mean reversion is found with the MTAR model. The findings are consistent with economic theories of entry and exit and traditional competitive macroeconomic models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706271 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706271&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Jack Houston Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Impact of low carbohydrate information on vegetable demands in the United States Abstract: An almost ideal demand system was estimated to examine the impacts of low carbohydrate information on the demand of vegetables in the United States. Analysis was extended to examine the performance of alternative carbohydrate information indices. Results show significant impacts of low carbohydrate information across all included vegetables. Results indicated the superiority of the general and weighted carbohydrate information index specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuttawat Visaltanachoti Author-X-Name-First: Nuttawat Author-X-Name-Last: Visaltanachoti Author-Name: Hang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Dongqiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Dongqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Performance of market order execution strategy: the Australian evidence Abstract: This study examines the performance of market order execution strategy in a pure limit order driven environment based on three bid-ask spread forecasting models. While a naive spread forecasting model based on previous day's spread and average 10 trading days' spread could deliver a cost saving of 3.94% and 14.87%, this benefit increases to 22.14% for a seasonal autoregressive moving average spread forecasting model. The empirical results are evident that the intraday spread forecasting benefits follow a downward-sloping pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705927 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705927&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Foley Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Fred Smith Author-X-Name-First: Fred Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Consumer discrimination in professional sports: new evidence from major league baseball Abstract: Previous research in sports economics has looked for the presence of consumer discrimination among sports fans of professional teams and it has produced mixed results. Scully (1974a, b) found evidence to suggest that fans of Major League Baseball (MLB) clubs did engage in consumer discrimination in the 1970s, but more recent work by Sommers and Quinton (1982) found no such evidence. In this article, we present evidence that suggests that consumer discrimination persisted in MLB into the early 1990s. Specifically, our empirical work suggests that consumers in Boston, Cleveland, Houston, San Diego and Saint Louis chose to attend fewer baseball games-ceteris paribus-when the home team in these cities added Hispanic players to the roster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-955 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705935 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705935&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:951-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: A skewed truncated Cauchy distribution with applications in economics Abstract: Skewed symmetric distributions have attracted a great deal of attention in the last few years. One of them, the skewed Cauchy distribution suffers from limited applicability because of the lack of finite moments. This article proposes an alternative to the skewed Cauchy distribution, which we refer to as skewed truncated Cauchy distribution. It is defined by the pdf f(x) = 2g(x)G(γx), where g(·) and G(·) are taken, respectively, to be the pdf and the cdf of a truncated Cauchy distribution. This distribution possesses finite moments of all orders and could therefore be a better model for certain practical situations. One such situation in economics is discussed. This article also derives various properties of this distribution, including its moments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-961 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:957-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carluccio Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Carluccio Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Mario Menegatti Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Menegatti Title: On the potential pitfalls in estimating β-convergence by means of pooled and panel data Abstract: We show that the use of pooled and panel data in estimating β-convergence across countries (or other territorial areas) may involve some pitfalls, since these techniques cannot properly distinguish between actual convergence and the possibility of decreasing growth rates over time within each country (or territorial unit). We also show how the possible bias in the estimates can be eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-967 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705968 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705968&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:963-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Ashiya Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ashiya Title: Consensus and accuracy of Japanese GDP forecasts Abstract: This article investigates the real gross domestic product forecasts of Japanese institutional forecasters for 25 years. It finds that a consensus forecast does not exist in 9/8 years for the current-year/year-ahead forecasts. The variance of the forecast distribution is positively correlated with the absolute forecast error of its mean forecast, but the correlation is significant for the current-year forecasts only. The economy tends to hit the peak or the bottom when forecast dispersion is large, but nonparametric analysis shows that the correlation is statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-974 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705976 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705976&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:969-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Ida Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ida Author-Name: Eiichi Ito Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Shin Kinoshita Author-X-Name-First: Shin Author-X-Name-Last: Kinoshita Title: Post-regulatory reform productivity gains in Japan's electricity industry Abstract: Following two periods of regulatory reforms in 1996 and in 2000, there has been rapid progress in restructuring Japan's electricity industry. The purpose of this study is to analyse the effect of the regulatory reforms on the technical efficiencies of electric power companies. Our findings show that first-period reforms implemented in 1996-1999 were able to decrease costs by 7.5%, while second-period reforms, during the period of 2000 to 2002, effectively cut costs by 11.8% with respect to the base costs before regulatory reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706008 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706008&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Olbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Olbrecht Title: The economic return to college attendance for major league baseball players Abstract: Using recently collected Major League Baseball free agent data, this study identifies a contract value premium for nonpitchers who attended college. Simultaneous equations and the more traditional earnings regressions are used to report results which support the implications of the human capital model and the schooling-earnings theory. The results also suggest that the labour market for baseball players may not be purely talent driven and that choosing college may slow down a player's accession to the majors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-985 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:981-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Nonlinear event detection in the Chilean stock market Abstract: This study searches for economic and political events that may explain the episodic nonlinearities detected in the returns series of the Chilean stock market index. This methodology is a reverse form of event study. After applying the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to detect episodes of nonlinear behaviour of the index, we investigate what might be the explanation of this behaviour. Our findings may help to explain the difficulty to forecast asset returns. We also shed some light into the major political and economic events that contribute to the numerous short bursts of nonlinear dependence in the Chilean stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-991 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:987-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Chin Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: Zulkornain Yusop Author-X-Name-First: Zulkornain Author-X-Name-Last: Yusop Author-Name: Mohammed Yusoff Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Yusoff Title: The monetary model of exchange rate: evidence from The Philippines Abstract: This note examines the empirical validity of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for The Philippines via cointegration and vector error-correction model. It is found that the monetary model is a valid framework for the long-run exchange rate between Philippines peso-US Dollar exchange rate. However, the typical linear restrictions of flexible-price monetary model and proportionality between the exchange rate and relative money are rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-997 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:993-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A test for the export-led growth hypothesis in possibly integrated vector autoregressions Abstract: This article re-examines the direction of causation between exports and output by testing for Granger noncausality under the framework of four-variable vector autoregression. Both the methodologies developed in Toda and Phillips (1993, 1994) and Toda and Yamamoto (1995) are applied. A country is recommended to enforce export promotion policies as its appropriate development strategy, if its manufacturing sector takes up a relatively large share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn Ulrick Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ulrick Title: Measuring the returns to education nonparametrically Abstract: This article uses a nonparametric model of earnings to measure the returns to education. Under very general smoothness conditions, a nonparametric estimator reveals the true shape of the earnings profiles up to random sampling error. Thus, the nonparametric model should provide better predictions than its parametric counterpart. We find that the nonparametric model predicts very different estimated returns than standard Mincer formulations. Depending on the experience and education level, returns measured in log earnings estimated from nonparametric model can be nearly twice those obtained from the Mincer model. Finally, this article examines what structural features parametric models should include. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1011 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:1005-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabien Rondeau Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Rondeau Title: Pattern of trade and European economic integration Abstract: In this article, the degree of integration between European countries is linked to the evolution of the pattern of trade. Evolution of the long-run sensitivity between European outputs is estimated by recursive Fully-Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) and compared to a recursive index of intra-industry trade. Significant correlations are found between integration and intra-industry trade share: positive for most countries but negative for others. The explanatory variable seems to be the initial intra-industry trade share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1018 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706578 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706578&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1013-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Title: Sources of gender wage gap in different economic sectors: the Israeli case Abstract: The purpose of the article is to examine the importance of personal characteristics vs. the importance of human capital returns in explaining the existing gender wage gap in different economic sectors in Israel. Using simulations on Israeli census data for 1983 and 1995, the analysis predicts women's wages in two cases. The first case predicts a woman's wages if she had the same personal characteristics as a man, and the second case predicts a woman's wages if she had the same human capital returns. By comparing the two predicted gender wage gaps to the existing gender wage gap, we can learn about the dominant explanation for the existing gender wage gap. The results show that the gender wage gap in all economic sectors stems mainly from differences in gender returns rather than differences in gender characteristics. Moreover, in the products sector and the low-services sector, the gender wage gap would have been larger if women had the same characteristics as men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Author-Name: Michelle Trawick Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Trawick Title: Teachers, race and student achievement revisited Abstract: Within the education literature, a controversy exists with respect to the issue of matching student and teacher race in an effort to improve student performance. Ehrenberg et al. (1995) finds very little support for this issue, while more recently Dee (2004) finds that there are significant educational gains when students are assigned to an own-race teacher. Dee's result is found after confirming that there was no association between assignment of an own-race teacher and student characteristics, i.e., sorting of students did not transpire. We extend Dee's work by including the effects of student innate ability and teacher gender on student achievement. Our findings indicate that once these two variables are taken into consideration, sorting of students does transpire, and matching students and teachers of similar race has no statistically significant affect on student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1027 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706453 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706453&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1023-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Are married women's jobs career or secondary source of household income? Evidence from a simultaneous probit approach Abstract: This article examines whether married women in the US treat their jobs as careers or as secondary source of household income. A simultaneous probit model is applied to cross-section data obtained from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. I show that married women are more likely to work when the household is less financially constrained, suggesting that their jobs appear more like careers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706255 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706255&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Margolis Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Margolis Title: Are economists human? Abstract: A controversy among economists and others interested in the limits of rational choice analysis, still running after an onset at least two decades ago, concerns whether intelligent people and especially experts, can be subject to cognitive illusions. This note provides a striking illustration supporting that disconcerting conjecture. It analyses the apparent inability of professional economists to give a better than chance response to a very elementary question about consumer surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1037 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1035-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Title: The oil cycle and the tax-spend hypothesis: the case of Angola Abstract: The intertemporal relationship between oil revenues, real government spending and real output over the oil cycle is investigated for the case of Angola, the second largest oil producer in Sub-Saharan Africa. The results of a trivariate VAR, impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis provide empirical support for the tax-spend hypothesis. In addition, the Angolan economy is found victim of the resource curse, as real output does not respond to aggregate demand shocks such as changes in real government spending. The policy implications for Angola are 2-fold. First, to alleviate the constraints associated with the resource curse, Angola needs to find ways to diversify its economy. Second, given the direction of causality found between government expenditures and oil revenues, in order to avoid fiscal disequilibria, efficient management of oil revenues is as important as controlling public spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1045 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1039-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Castellani Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Castellani Author-Name: Antonello Zanfei Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Zanfei Title: Multinational companies and productivity spillovers: is there a specification error? Abstract: Recent empirical works on the within-sector impact of inward investments on domestic firms' productivity have found rather robust evidence of no (or even negative) effects. We suggest that, among other reasons, a specification error might explain some of these results. A more general specification, which includes the usual one as a special case, is proposed. Using data on Italian manufacturing firms in 1992-2000, we find positive externalities only once we allow for the more flexible specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1051 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1047-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evrim Imer Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Imer Title: Contagion and surprises of the stock market returns Abstract: This article provides an empirical analysis for the existence and direction of Granger causality between Turkey and Russian Federation by using structural breaks of seven developing stock market returns as a measure of contagion. Empirical results also reveal that there is an increase in the number of causalities in turmoil periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1058 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706347 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706347&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1053-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Will Carrington Heath Author-X-Name-First: Will Carrington Author-X-Name-Last: Heath Author-Name: Sarah Skinner Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Skinner Author-Name: John Keith Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: An international assessment of the relative contribution of economic freedom and mathematical test scores to labour productivity Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1063 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706461 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706461&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1059-1063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Dieter Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Title: Using the gravity equation to differentiate among alternative theories of trade: another look Abstract: This study compares two alternative approaches-the traditional ordinary least square (OLS) and the Poisson Quasi Maximum Likelihood (PQML) procedures-to estimation of the home market effects for the heterogeneous, the reference priced and the homogeneous goods in the gravity model derived in Feenstra et al. (2001). Despite our findings that the PQML estimation results oftentimes (significantly) differ from those obtained by the OLS procedure, both estimation procedures largely lead to the qualitatively similar conclusions on the existence of the home market effect for the different types of goods with several exceptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1073 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706446 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706446&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1065-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Chen Chien Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chien Author-Name: Tsung-Cheng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The impact of Lunar New Year on the January anomaly in Taiwan's stock market Abstract: This study empirically investigates the impact of Lunar New Year on the January anomaly in Taiwan's stock market. The Lunar New Year is the most significant festival for ethnic Chinese around the world, wherever they come from. It is a very jubilant occasion mainly because it is the time when people take a break from work to get together with family and friends. We hypothesize that the withdrawal of capital from the stock market to meet financial needs during this festival would compromise the anomaly when the Lunar New Year is in January. Empirical results support our hypothesis that the anomaly exists only when the Lunar New Year is in February. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1077 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1075-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Estimation of household tap water demand function with correction for sample selection bias Abstract: This article attempts to estimate household tap water demand function using the data from a survey conducted on households in the Korean metropolitan cities by employing a sample selection model. The results show that there exists sample selection bias in the sample and that failure to correct for sample selection bias distorts the mean estimate of water demand upward by 13.8%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1082 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1079-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Title: Ready for Euro? Evidence on EU new member states Abstract: This article estimates optimum currency area (OCA) index for the EU New Member States (NMSs). We find that, as compared to the current Euro area countries, the NMSs meet OCA conditions largely and in this respect, are likely good candidates for Euro adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1086 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1083-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ter Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ter Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The number of firms, international product differentiation and an import tariff Abstract: By using an n-firm Cournot model, this article examines the relationships among the number of domestic and foreign firms, the product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms and an import tariff. It is shown that the relative number of domestic and foreign firms as well as the degree of product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms indeed affects the level of the tariff on imports. Furthermore, whether or not an increase in product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms reduces the level of the import tariff is dependent on the relative number of domestic and foreign firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1089 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1087-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Author-Name: Francis O'Toole Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: O'Toole Title: Decomposing demand for public expenditure in Ireland Abstract: This article, via the analysis of stated preferences from a nationwide representative survey of 1149 adults, examines the determinants of preferences for overall government expenditure and estimates a Seemingly Unrelated Regression model of demand for the three major categories of public expenditures in Ireland, namely, social welfare, education and health. Those on higher incomes are less in favour of government expenditure overall. However and consistent with the available evidence on the utilization and financing of the three main categories of government expenditures, decomposing the preferences demonstrates that those on higher incomes are particularly less in favour of social welfare expenditure but more in favour of spending on health and education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1095 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600567632 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600567632&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1091-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Title: US Treasury primacy in monetary policy signalling: a public choice perspective Abstract: This note reviews the signalling models presented in the monetary economics literature, and offers a supplementary interpretation regarding the observed US Treasury primacy in signalling. It is argued here that the legal authority given to the US Treasury, under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, for managing the exchange value of the dollar in international markets provides an avenue for the Treasury, and thus the Administration (i.e., the Executive Branch), to use foreign exchange intervention policy to reduce the credibility of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. This legal relationship is likely the source of much tension between the two institutions, especially during periods for which the Administration and the Federal Reserve are at odds regarding the proper direction for monetary policy. Given that the Federal Reserve is aware of this implicit power of the Treasury, it should not be surprising that monetary policy signals from that quarter have been found to have a dominant influence on monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1102 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601043229 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601043229&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1097-1102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Wing-Shing Lam Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Wing-Shing Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Profitability of intraday and interday momentum strategies Abstract: In this article, we examine whether a day's surge or plummet in stock price serve as a market entry or exit signal. Returns of five trading rules based on 1-day and intraday momentum are estimated for major world stock indices. It is found that the trading rules perform well in the Asian indices but not in those of Europe and the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1108 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1103-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Cornelia Luchsinger Author-X-Name-First: Cornelia Author-X-Name-Last: Luchsinger Title: Economies of scale in the Swiss hydropower sector Abstract: The study considers the estimation of a translog cost function employing panel data for a sample of 43 Swiss hydropower companies, over the period of 1995 to 2002. The results of this analysis indicate the existence of economies of scale and density for most output levels. The basic novelty in this study is the estimation of a cost function for a sample of hydropower companies. In the economic literature, no study on the cost structure of the hydropower plants using an econometric approach has been published so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1109-1113 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1109-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Title: Capital mobility in Sweden: a time-varying parameter approach Abstract: This article investigates the degree of capital mobility in Sweden during 1993 to 2004 using quarterly data. A time varying parameter model is estimated by the Kalman filter, and it shows that the relationship between investment as share in gross domestic product (GDP) and saving as share in GDP is much less than one (within the interval of 0.25-0.35), indicating substantial capital mobility. However, since the coefficient in each period is statistically different from zero, capital is still not perfectly mobile. Nevertheless, capital mobility seems to have increased until 1995 when Sweden became a member of EU and after membership there seems to be no significant increase in capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1118 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606018 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606018&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1115-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arranz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Juan Muro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Muro Title: Duration data models, unemployment benefits and bias Abstract: Traditional approaches to measurement conditional probabilities of leaving welfare do not deal with unemployment benefits data in a proper way leading thus to biased estimates of unemployment-employment transition probabilities. In fact, these approaches overestimate hazard rates and hence underestimate the expected welfare duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1119-1122 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1119-1122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: The impact of flood hazards on local employment Abstract: In a spatial model of aggregate municipal employment, this article shows statistically that floods disrupt employment in municipalities. Flood events decrease local employment on average by 3.4%. Employment levels, however, recover after one year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1126 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1123-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Chen Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Optimal prepayment behaviour Abstract: Commercial loan borrowers meet random cash needs via multi-period loans from the bank, but fluctuations in interest rates may justify paying off some outstanding loans before they mature. The objective is to minimize the expected present value of the interest and prepayment penalties paid to the bank subject to a liquidity constraint. From Chiang (2005), it is shown that a firm should not inventory cash if contingent opportunities are ignored. By extending her article, it is also found that if a borrower is not risk neutral, a more risk-averse borrower prepays a larger amount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1129 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1127-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ned Corron Author-X-Name-First: Ned Author-X-Name-Last: Corron Author-Name: Xue-Zhong He Author-X-Name-First: Xue-Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Butter mountains, milk lakes and optimal price limiters Abstract: It is known that simple price limiters may have unexpected consequences in irregular commodity price fluctuations between bull and bear markets and complicated impacts on the size of buffer stocks. In particular, imposing a lower price boundary may lead to a huge buffer stock, e.g. to a 'butter mountain' or a 'milk lake' and this is a real problem for regulators since storage costs may become impossible to finance over time. The relation between price limiters and the size of buffer stocks is nontrivial and there may exist some optimal price limiters which require only weak market interventions and thus provide a rather inexpensive option to regulate commodity markets. In this article, we use a simple commodity market model to explore the relation between price limiters and the average growth rate of the buffer stocks. It is found that these optimal price limiter levels are simply the minimum values of unstable periodic orbits of the underlying deterministic system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1131-1136 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1131-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Ayla Ogus Author-X-Name-First: Ayla Author-X-Name-Last: Ogus Title: Increasing returns to information and survival of Istanbul public theatre plays Abstract: In this article, we analyse the size and rank relationship for two administratively different public theatres, city and state, in Istanbul along with survival probabilities. We find returns to information for Istanbul public theatre plays. We present a comparison of our findings with related literature on Turkish state plays and Broadway shows. We find that the number of performances exhibits a lot less variation in centralized systems. Duration analysis reveals that run length of state theatres is larger than city theatres. This is an indication of greater accountability of city theatres as compared to state theatres. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1137-1140 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606083 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606083&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1137-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Hayakawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hayakawa Title: Consistent OLS estimation of AR(1) dynamic panel data models with short time series Abstract: In this article, we examine the usefulness of the bias-corrected first-difference (BCFD) estimator by Chowdhury (1987) from two angles: inference and testing. First, we compare the BCFD estimator with Bun and Carree's (2005) estimator and the GMM estimator in terms of accuracy of inference. Second, we propose to use the Hausman test based on these three estimators to test the null of no individual effects. Simulation results show that the BCFD estimator and the Hausman test based on the BCFD estimator perform better than the other two estimators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1145 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1141-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Growth by trade-induced adjustments Abstract: This article measures the impact of trade adjustment on the growth in the Korean economy. Using principal components trade adjustments are found to significantly explain the rate of growth over the period of 1989-2004. We also focused on the case of bilateral trade with China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1147-1150 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1147-1150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Khadaroo Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Khadaroo Author-Name: B. Seetanah Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Seetanah Title: Assessing the contribution of land, sea and air transport capital to the economic performance of the small island state of Mauritius Abstract: Research on the contribution of transport capital to economic growth has so far focused on the concept of 'overall' transport capital. The present article innovates by modelling explicitly the contribution of 'disaggregated' transport capital in the form of road, port and airport capital to economic performance. A uniquely constructed time series data set dating back to the year 1950 for the small island state of Mauritius is investigated within a dynamic framework which allows for feedback effects. Essentially, road capital and port capital are found to have a more important contribution to Mauritian economic growth than airport capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1151-1155 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600639852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600639852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1151-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Robust nonnested hypothesis testing Abstract: This article presents robust J and encompassing tests for testing nonnested hypotheses in the presence of outliers in the data. The proposed tests are based on least absolute deviations (LAD) and M-estimators unlike the conventional J and encompassing tests, which are based on least squares or maximum likelihood estimators. These tests can lead to more reliable inference in the presence of outliers than tests based on nonrobust estimators. The tests are illustrated with applications to two economic data sets and an artificially generated data set and compared with their nonrobust counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Yueh Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Yueh Title: Do social networks increase labour supply elasticity? Abstract: Using an original data set including measures of social networks of migrants in China, we find that social networks increase the elasticities of labour supplies for migrant workers. The effects differ for men and women and can help explain part of the importance of developing social networks to improve labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolin Xing Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Title: Does price converge on the internet? Evidence from the online DVD market Abstract: We compare pricing behaviours and market dynamics between online branches of traditional retailers and pure Internet retailers. Our results suggest that the two types of retailers not only will charge similar average prices in the long run, but also will have similar price dispersions. But we find no evidence of price convergence in the market. Brand names make significant differences in both price levels and price dispersions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Lokshin Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Lokshin Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of alternative estimators for dynamic panel data models Abstract: This article compares the performance of three recently proposed estimators for dynamic panel data models (LSDV bias-corrected, MLE and MDE) along with GMM. Using Monte Carlo, we find that MLE and bias-corrected estimators have the smallest bias and are good alternatives for the GMM. System-GMM outperforms the rest in 'difficult' designs. Unfortunately, bias-corrected estimator is not reliable in these designs which may limit its applicability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706545 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706545&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: War and regional economic growth: winners and losers Abstract: Using an AK-type model this article argues that joining the Armed Forces may have two opposing effects on the growth rates of economically depressed areas depending upon whether the country goes to war or not. On the one hand when individuals from relatively economically depressed areas join the Armed Forces, they gain access to education and build human capital which may translate into economic growth. On the other hand, however, if the country goes to war, these regions may end up losing their labour force, leading to a decline in the growth rate. We also argue that regions providing equipment may experience increased income and employment levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:19-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Okano Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Okano Title: Has inflation targeting improved social welfare in practice? Abstract: This article verifies empirically the proposition that inflation targeting can improve social welfare. To analyse this, we construct a cashless small open-economy model conforming to the New Keynesian Open-Economy Macroeconomics and use data in the United Kingdom. We estimate the feedback rule, before estimating the deep parameters using GMM. Using the estimated structural model and identified shock processes, we simulate the imaginary paths of the nominal interest rate, producer price index inflation rate and output if the central bank has not adopted an inflation targeting policy. This simulation shows that the variances of output and the inflation rate under a noninflation targeting regime are larger than those under the actual inflation targeting regime. We also calculate social loss, as defined by the second-order approximated utility function under each regime. The results indicate that social loss brought about by an inflation targeting regime is less than that associated with a noninflation targeting regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:23-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Finite-sample power properties of threshold cointegration tests Abstract: The empirical powers of recently proposed threshold cointegration tests are examined. Using an empirically realistic data generation process two crucial results are derived. First, relative to the implicitly symmetric Engle-Granger test, threshold cointegration tests lack power even in the presence of substantial asymmetry. Second, the use of consistent-threshold estimation to endogenise or optimize threshold selection is found to reduce the power of both threshold autoregressive and momentum threshold autoregressive cointegration tests. The implications of these findings are noted in light of the increased use of threshold cointegration tests in recent empirical research in economics and finance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:27-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Egelkraut Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Egelkraut Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Predicting S&P 500 volatility for intermediate time horizons using implied forward volatility Abstract: This paper finds that the implied forward volatility of S&P 500 futures options contains significant explanatory power regarding sunsequent realized volatility during intermediate future time intervals. It provides rational, unbiased, and informationally efficient predictions and dominates all alternative volatility forecasts considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:31-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of the exchange rate and the foreign interest rate on the Argentine money demand function Abstract: This article finds that the demand for real M1 in Argentina has a positive relationship with real income and peso depreciation and a negative relationship with the domestic deposit rate, the foreign interest rate, and the expected inflation rate. Real stock prices do not affect the demand for real M1. The nonlinearity test shows that the double-log form cannot be rejected at the 1% level while the linear form can be rejected at the 1% level. The CUSUMSQ test shows that the money demand function is relatively stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706685 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706685&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virginia Sanchez Marcos Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Sanchez Author-X-Name-Last: Marcos Title: What accounts for the increase in college attainment of women? Abstract: The objective of this article is to explain the reduction in the US sex college attainment ratio (SCAR) from 1.57 to 1.19. over the last decades. We use a model where altruistic parents make decisions on daughters and sons' education taking into account the effect of education on earnings, marriage opportunities, fertility and home production. The main finding is that observed changes in earnings and fertility explain part of the decrease in the SCAR, while observed changes in marital status and marital sorting imply a decrease in college attainment of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Beaumont Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Beaumont Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Author-Name: F. Pinar Yigit Author-X-Name-First: F. Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Yigit Title: Time series evidence on the linkage between the volatility and growth of output Abstract: Prior research on the relationship between volatility and growth has produced mixed results. However, the times series research has only been done for a few countries, namely the United States, United Kingdom and Japan. We extend the prior research by performing a systematic search over several GARCH in mean model specifications, including nonGaussian and asymmetric GARCH models, for 20 OECD countries. The results indicate very little evidence of any connection between volatility and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600607446 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600607446&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Application of the three-stage DEA in measuring efficiency - an empirical evidence Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the environmental factors and statistical noise on the efficiency of 89 global forest and paper companies in 2001 using the three-stage DEA method. Empirical evidences indicate the existence of environmental effects on the variation in the efficiency scores measurement. Furthermore, the final adjusted efficiency scores are lower than those scores measured in the traditional first-stage DEA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675435 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675435&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Cleomar Gomes da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Cleomar Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: da Silva Title: Hysteresis vs. natural rate of unemployment in Brazil and Chile Abstract: This article examines the hysteresis hypothesis in the unemployment rates of Brazil and Chile using an LM unit root test with two endogenous breaks. The phenomenon is confirmed for both countries. However, the hysteresis hypothesis is able to account for only a small part of the unemployment evolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675450 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675450&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:53-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Regional convergence and efficiency in Korea Abstract: This study evaluates regional convergence and efficiency among 13 regions in Korea over the period 1985-2002 using stochastic frontier production model which allows for regional inefficiency and heterogeneity. Evidence is found in favour of regional convergence in Korea, with a lower rate of convergence of around 2% a year, because we find that inefficiency in production does exist in regional economy. The results also indicate that the improvement of education and reforms of local government policies have contributed to an increased level of efficiency. Since the average estimates of technical efficiency have increased over time, the results show that regional economy has brought the significant improvement in efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:57-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Ragacs Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Ragacs Title: On the empirics of minimum wages and employment: evidence for the Austrian industry Abstract: We investigate the empirical evidence of the 'textbook theory' of minimum wages for Austrian industry. In Austria, minimum wages are the result of wage bargaining which may be best described using a 'right to manage' model. In contrast to the predictions of the 'textbook analysis', no significant negative effects of minimum wages on employment have been found. This could be the result of the nature of the typical Austrian wage-bargaining situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:61-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosario Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Rivero Author-Name: Rodrigo Vergara Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Vergara Title: Do large retailers affect employment? Evidence from an emerging economy Abstract: This article studies the effect of the emergence of large retailers (hypermarkets and department stores) on employment in the commerce sector in the regions of Chile. We use a panel with quarterly data from 11 Chilean regions for the period 1996 to 2004. Our results indicate that the entry of large retailers produces a discrete increase in employment in the commerce sector in the quarter that the entry occurs. We also find that there is an additional positive effect on employment throughout the year entry occurs, suggesting that suppliers or other parts of the chain of production follow the large retailer into the local market. However, after the first year of the entry there is a partial reversion, suggesting that smaller retailers exit or contract in response to the entry of the large retailer. The net effect on employment of the entry of a large retailer is an increase of 300 jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:65-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Ishita Datta Ray Author-X-Name-First: Ishita Datta Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Monopolistic competitive market in religion: a case study of Hindu temples Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine, based on field survey, the market behaviour of the Hindu temples in India. The cost and revenue functions have been estimated for the Hindu temples, and it has been found that the market of Hindu temples does not strictly follow the monopoly models. The estimated average revenue curve has been observed to be slightly negatively sloped. Moreover, like perfect competition here exist a large number of small temples with easy entry and exit. The actions of any single temple do not have significant impact on the other temples in the market. Thus is resembles the monopolistic competition model rather than the pure monopoly model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706214 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706214&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: A social discount rate for Italy Abstract: Because of the budgetary constraints imposed by the Stability and Growth Pact, the need for cost and benefit evaluation of public investment has become increasingly relevant. In a cost-benefit analysis framework, the definition of the social discount rate is key to the selection of projects and programmes on the basis of their socio-economic return. To this extent, the Italian Ministry of the Economy has passively adopted the 5% rate proposed by the European Commission to evaluate projects financed by Structural Funds. In this article, we estimate a social discount rate for Italy, finding that a 3.7-3.8 rate would be appropriate, thus 1.2-1.3% lower than the official one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:73-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Rusco Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Rusco Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Per-unit bidding rules and buyer under-performance in natural resource sales Abstract: In this article, we examine the role of per-unit bidding rules on firm-level contractual performance. In particular, we test the hypothesis that buyers will act on incentives to under-perform when bids are accepted in per-unit form. The empirical application uses data from per-unit auction sales of US Forest Service timber. The statistical analysis indicates that buyers systematically undercut when per-unit bids exceed the value of individual units of timber. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705901 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705901&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:79-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: The total impact of schooling on within-groups wage inequality in Portugal Abstract: Using Portuguese data from the 2001 wave of the European Community Household Panel, we analyse to what extent the endogeneity of schooling affects the estimation of the total impact of schooling on within-groups wage inequality by means of quantile-regression techniques. We conclude that the standard techniques assuming schooling-exogeneity may underestimate the total impact of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706677 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706677&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:85-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Boucher Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Boucher Author-Name: Sofiane Aboura Author-X-Name-First: Sofiane Author-X-Name-Last: Aboura Title: Testing the fed and the Graham & Dodd models: asymmetric vs. symmetric adjustment Abstract: We examine the empirical validity of the Fed model and the Graham & Dodd model for five countries and over a time period spanning three decades by applying the Enders and Granger (1998) and Enders and Siklos (2001) threshold unit-root and cointegration tests. Our results support the hypothesis that the adjustment back to equilibrium is asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706693 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706693&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masakatsu Okubo Author-X-Name-First: Masakatsu Author-X-Name-Last: Okubo Title: Public capital and productivity: a nonstationary panel analysis Abstract: This article applies a method of Mark and Sul (2003) to deal with one of potential endogeneity issues that accompany estimation of a log-linear Cobb-Douglas production function with public capital. We show that if nonstationarity in data is admitted, the panel cointegration approach is useful for obtaining more precise estimates of the output elasticity of public capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706701 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706701&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:95-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Author-Name: Ibrahim Ahamada Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahamada Author-Name: Alain Nurbel Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Nurbel Title: Multiple structural regimes in real exchange rate misalignment: the case of Australian dollar Abstract: We apply the Bai and Perron method (Econometrica, 1998, 66, 47-78) to search for several structural changes in the real exchange rate misalignment data of the Australian dollar over January 1976 to February 2000. Then, the estimated structural breaks dates are compared with Australian monetary and exchange rate regimes from 1976. This brings us to conclude that a good monetary management is needed to face real exchange rate distortions. Besides, implementing a policy-mix by combining an inflation targeting policy and a dirty flexible exchange rate policy turns out to be really effective to struggle real misalignments as far as Australia is concerned. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: FDI and growth: a varying relationship across regions and over time Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and economic growth for a panel of 110 countries over the period 1973 to 2002. The results show that the growth effect of FDI varies by region and over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Analysing the impact of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes: empirical evidence from Spain Abstract: The aim of this article is to explore the impact of decentralization on health care outcomes in Spain. We develop a model and use it to investigate empirically the hypothesis that shifts towards greater decentralization would be accompanied by improvements in population health in Spain between 1992 and 2003 by using infant mortality and life expectancy as dependent variables. The empirical analysis suggests that income, decentralization and health care resources in Spain did have an important influence on infant mortality and life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:109-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Bing Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Regional differences in wage inequality across industries in China Abstract: Using a panel of 29 provinces over the years 1995-2001, we explore the large regional variation in industry wage differentials in China and examine the provincial characteristics that are consistent with greater inequality. We find that the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) varies by province. One of the reasons that FDI can have differential effects is that the type of FDI (export vs. import-oriented) varies substantially across the provinces. Export-oriented FDI raises the wages of workers in industries that rely more on unskilled workers and lowers the wages of workers in industries that rely more on skilled workers, lowering the industry differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Evan Poh Hock Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Poh Hock Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: An empirical investigation on sustainability of balancing item in Asian countries Abstract: This study explores the sustainability of the balancing item in Asian economies. The conventional unit root tests (includes panel tests) illustrate that the results are rather inconclusive. However, the results from the series-specific panel unit root test consistently illustrate that five of the countries (Singapore, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Korea and Malaysia) balancing item is on the sustainable path. For other remaining eight countries (Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand), there is evidence that her balancing item of balance of payments accounts is unsustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:117-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keun Yeong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Keun Yeong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Causal relationships between stock returns and inflation Abstract: This article studies correlations and dynamic interactions between real stock returns and inflation in the UK for 1830-2000. The BLS test suggests that an endogenous break point exists in 1970, and therefore the pre- and post-break periods are required to be analysed separately. According to the empirical results, for the post-break period, unpredictable stock returns present little correlation to unpredictable inflation, and an increase in stock returns has an insignificant effect on inflation. Impulse response analyses also demonstrate that a positive shock to inflation does not have a negative impact on stock returns. These results are in contrast to the well-known empirical results for the pre-break period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:125-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brenda Gannon Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Gannon Title: Total factor productivity growth of hospitals in Ireland: a nonparametric approach Abstract: This article analyses the development of productivity growth and efficiency in the production of hospital care in Ireland from 1995 to 1998. Using output measures of treated cases adjusted for casemix, we apply Malmquist Productivity Indices to analyse changes in efficiency over time. This approach provides information on the types of hospitals that have increased or decreased efficiency during each time frame and the type of inefficiency involved - pure technical, scale or technological. Our results show that on average between 1995 and 1998, both technological and efficiency changes contribute to higher levels of productivity in larger hospitals, but lead to lower levels of productivity in smaller hospitals. However, the contribution of these components of productivity varies over time and technological improvements play a more important role in increasing the productivity of larger hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:131-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Peter Sher Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sher Author-Name: Ming-Liang Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Revisiting Gibrat's law using panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the newly-developed Panel SURADF tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to investigate whether the growth rate of electronics firms is independent of their size, as postulated by Gibrat's (1931) Law of Proportionate Effects. Time-series data for the total assets of 48 electronic firms in Taiwan during the 1995-2004 period are used. Whereas other panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of a panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in a panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests investigate a separate unit root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and are, therefore, able to identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that the total assets of all firms studied here are nonstationary, implying that Gibrat's Law holds for all 48 firms; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) Panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that Gibrat's Law is only valid for 27 of those firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-143 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:137-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: How biased are the estimated wage impacts of overeducation? A propensity score matching approach Abstract: This article uses Propensity Score Matching (PSM) techniques to assess the extent to which the costs of overeducation are likely to have been over-estimated as a result of unobserved skill heterogeneity in studies adopting the standard ordinary least squares (OLS) wage equation framework. It was found that the PSM estimates were very much in line with those generated by OLS, suggesting that the overeducation phenomenon is likely to be imposing real and significant wage and productivity costs on individuals and the economy more generally and therefore cannot be dismissed as merely arising as a result of an omitted variables problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-149 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:145-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Barcenilla Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Barcenilla Author-Name: Carmen Lopez-Pueyo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Pueyo Author-Name: Jaime Sanau Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Sanau Title: Just openness or technological spillovers? A note Abstract: The paper shows that the indexation bias may condition the results of empirical studies on international technological spillovers. It suggests a solution to this bias and shows how trade openness favours economic growth through its effects on the international diffusion of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:151-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A revisit to the nonlinear stationarity of real exchange rates Abstract: This article applies the test by Kapetanios et al. (2003) to re-examine the nonlinear stationarity of real exchange rates in which we emphasize both the real bilateral exchange rates and the real effective exchange rates. Our empirical findings provide weak evidence on the nonlinear mean-reverting adjustment of real exchange rates in both fixed and floating regimes, which is in sharp contrast to that in the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:155-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Title: Is there really a unit root in the inflation rate? More evidence from panel data models Abstract: Time series unit root evidence suggests that inflation is nonstationary. By contrast, when using more powerful panel unit root tests, Culver and Papell (1997) find that inflation is stationary. In this article, we test the robustness of this result by applying a battery of recent panel unit root tests. The results suggest that the stationarity of inflation holds even after controlling for cross-sectional dependence and structural change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706305 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706305&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Ericson Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ericson Title: The effects of wage compression on general and firm-specific training Abstract: The issue of who finances on-the-job training has important implications for labour markets. It is persistently difficult to test empirically whether it is the employer or the employee who carries the costs of general training. This article presents a simple method that compares the effect of wage inequality on duration of general training and firm-specific training. The result is consistent with the proposition that it is the worker who bears a greater part of the costs associated with general training than in the case of firm-specific training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722054 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722054&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:165-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Malaric Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Malaric Author-Name: Tomislav Katic Author-X-Name-First: Tomislav Author-X-Name-Last: Katic Author-Name: Dubravko Sabolic Author-X-Name-First: Dubravko Author-X-Name-Last: Sabolic Title: The market efficiency of the soccer fixed odds internet betting market Abstract: The strong form of market efficiency requirement states that expected returns are equal across wagering prospects, and weak form efficiency requirement states that there is an absence of profit opportunities, meaning that all historical information relevant to the assessment of the match outcome probabilities are reflected in the odds quoted. This article empirically tests the market efficiency of the European soccer fixed odds Internet-betting market, and also presents simple betting strategy that appear to be profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722021 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722021&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:171-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Requena Silvente Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-Last: Silvente Author-Name: Juana Castillo Author-X-Name-First: Juana Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo Author-Name: Andres Artal Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Artal Title: Is Spain a lumpy country? A dynamic analysis of the 'lens condition' Abstract: We implement the 'lens condition' of Deardoff (1994) to investigate whether lumpiness, an excessively uneven geographic distribution of production factors, is large enough to allow for regional specialization of production at different factor prices. Using data from 50 Spanish provinces over the period 1964 to 2001, we show that Spain evolved from being a lumpy economy to a state where lumpiness no longer mattered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600735288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600735288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:175-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ulyses Balderas Author-X-Name-First: J. Ulyses Author-X-Name-Last: Balderas Author-Name: Hiranya Nath Author-X-Name-First: Hiranya Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Inflation and relative price variability in Mexico: the role of remittances Abstract: This article derives generalized impulse responses from the estimation of a vector autoregression (VAR) model using monthly data between 1995 and 2005 for Mexico, to examine the inflation-relative price variability (RPV) relationship, and to investigate if remittances could account for the observed relationship. While the positive relationship between inflation and RPV is a robust result, remittances are found to have significant positive effects on both inflation and RPV. These results are interpreted as providing evidence in support of our intuition that remittances could be responsible for generating a positive relationship between inflation and RPV. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722070 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722070&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Czaika Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Czaika Title: Cheap talk in the UN arenas? Some evidence on the impact of UN speeches on aid allocation decisions Abstract: This study examines the relationship between bilateral and multilateral aid giving patterns and the number of speeches country representatives delivered in the two core bodies of the United Nations (UN)-the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly, respectively. For the 1990s, empirical evidence indicates a financial return on voice solely for appeals addressed in the Security Council whereas the General Assembly plenary seems to be an ineffective floor for attracting international development assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749008 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749008&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:187-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu Author-X-Name-First: Furkan Author-X-Name-Last: Emirmahmutoglu Author-Name: Nezir Kose Author-X-Name-First: Nezir Author-X-Name-Last: Kose Author-Name: Yeliz Yalcin Author-X-Name-First: Yeliz Author-X-Name-Last: Yalcin Title: The Kalman filter method for break point estimation in unit root tests Abstract: In this study, in addition to Zivot-Andrews (1992), Perron (1997) and Schwarz Bayesian Criteria (SBC) approaches of the true break point estimation performances of the Kalman filter method is examined using Monte Carlo simulation experiments. Our simulation results show that the SBC and Kalman filter methods both exhibit a good performance in estimating true break point. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:193-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emiliya Lazarova Author-X-Name-First: Emiliya Author-X-Name-Last: Lazarova Author-Name: Ilaria Mosca Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Mosca Title: Does governance matter for aggregate health capital? Abstract: The point of departure of our analysis is the seminal work of Rodgers (1979) on the absolute and relative income hypotheses. We find that substituting the governance index for the Gini index is statistically the preferred regression model. Our findings lend support to the argument that governance matters. Further investigation provides evidence for two types of threshold effects: in terms of both absolute income and governance. For those countries below a threshold, absolute income is the most significant determinant of health, while for those above it, governance matters the most. The regression analyses are conducted on a sample of 112 states, which is representative of a wide range of absolute income and governance levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Darne Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darne Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Title: The purchasing power parity in Australia: evidence from unit root test with structural break Abstract: The unit root test with structural break developed by Perron and Rodriguez are used to study the purchasing power parity (PPP) in the spirit of Balassa-Samuelson in Australia for the period January 1977 to April 2004. The results indicate that there is a break in February 1985 which coincides with the exchange rate crisis in 1985, occurring after the establishment of the dirty flexible exchange rate system. We also show that there is no tendency to the PPP in Australia to hold in the long-run during this period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cumhur Erdem Author-X-Name-First: Cumhur Author-X-Name-Last: Erdem Author-Name: Meziyet Sema Erdem Author-X-Name-First: Meziyet Sema Author-X-Name-Last: Erdem Title: Turkish banking efficiency and its relation to stock performance Abstract: In this study, technical, allocative and economic efficiency scores of the banks whose stocks traded in Istanbul Stock Exchange are measured using data envelopment analysis (DEA) for the time period 1998 to 2004. Economic efficiency scores of banks obtained from DEA model was related to their stock prices to determine whether there is an explanatory power of efficiency scores on stock price returns. The average banks' efficiency decreased from 0.781 in 1999 to 0.504 in 2001 and started to increase after this year except the year of 2003 indicating that financial crises affected the efficiency scores of the banks. During the time period 1998 to 2004, six banks appeared to be technically efficient at least once. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-211 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:207-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Garcia Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Author-Name: Julio Lopez Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Julio Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz Title: How much do socio-economic conditions influence people's schooling duration? Abstract: A wide sample of countries has been used to contrast the effective influence on the population's schooling duration of some variables usually considered in theoretical models. But we have also found that socio-economic conditions have a special influence because they reduce the chance that people have to access the educational system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Silles Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Silles Title: Sheepskin effects in the returns to education Abstract: This article, using a data set for the United Kingdom, re-examines the sheepskin hypothesis at the secondary school level using test scores and public examinations for men and women who left school at the minimum school leaving age. Net of learning outcomes, there are no additional returns to the possession of formal credential at the secondary school level. The finding refutes the sheepskin effect hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-219 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:217-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seonyoung Park Author-X-Name-First: Seonyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Donggyun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Donggyun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: New evidence on the Korean wage curve Abstract: Our new empirical evidence suggests that wages are substantially flexible in South Korea. In particular, our longitudinal evidence on the wage curve follows the minus-point-one rule, set up by Blanchflower and Oswald (1994) and is consistent with evidence from other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-224 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:221-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: An alternative estimation algorithm for innovation regime-switching models Abstract: In this article, we derive an alternative estimation algorithm for the innovation regime-switching model, which avoids the potential divergence problem that may arise from the algorithm proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES). Our simulation demonstrates that the proposed algorithm compares favourably with that of Kuan et al. (2005), in terms of both numerical accuracy and computing time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-229 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:225-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Omar Azfar Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Azfar Title: Corruption and trade regulations: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: We find that tariff rates decreased less rapidly in more corrupt countries in instrumental variables (IV) estimation, using mortality rates of European settlers at the time of colonization as IV. Our finding implies that tariff rates are endogenous to corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706180 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706180&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jihn-Yih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jihn-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Are stock returns on the US used as an exogenous predictor to the Asian emerging equity markets Abstract: By using a block recursive vector autoregression model and two new out-of-sample tests, this study has found that the US stock returns have predictive ability for the four Asian emerging equity markets. The estimates from weekly data suggest that returns on S&P500 positively predict stock returns of Asian emerging markets up to three weeks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:235-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Forecasting properties of a new method to determine optimal lag order in stable and unstable VAR models Abstract: This simulation study investigates the forecasting performance of a new information criterion suggested by Hatemi-J (2003) to pick the optimal lag length in the stable and unstable vector autregression (VAR) models. The conducted Monte Carlo experiments reveal that this information criterion is successful in selecting the optimal lag order in the VAR model when the main aim is to draw ex-ante (forecasting) inference regardless if the VAR model is stable or not. In addition, the simulations indicate that this information criterion is robust to autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461613 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461613&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georg Duernecker Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Duernecker Title: To begrudge or not to begrudge: consumption and leisure externalities revisited Abstract: This article employs a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the implications of a nonstandard preference structure for the short-run dynamics of the economy. Preferences in this model are assumed to contain comparison elements for consumption and leisure, i.e. agents care about how their own consumption and leisure compares to a certain reference stock that is determined by the economy's average level of consumption and leisure. This specification inevitably creates externalities. We then estimate the model and find that these externalities are both positive and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-252 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592481 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592481&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:245-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: On the product of generalized Pareto random variables Abstract: The distribution of products of random variables arises explicitly in many areas of the sciences, engineering and medicine. This has increased the need to have available the widest possible range of statistical results on products of random variables. In this note, the distribution of the product XY is derived when X and Y are independent generalized Pareto random variables. Extensive tabulations of the associated percentage points are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:253-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Author-Name: Andreas Ortmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Ortmann Title: A first experimental test of multilevel game theory: the PD case Abstract: The prisoner's dilemma (PD) is played by two players in each of two groups. The two groups compete for an external prize whose allocation is determined by the degree of within-group coordination. The experimental evidence supports the predictions of multilevel game theory well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:261-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John O'Connell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connell Title: Asymmetry and probit models: the case of labour unions Abstract: Binary choice models fail to capture the strength of one's preferences. An attempt is made to measure the context and environment which influence choice. Union elections provide some insight into the process because the electorate may vote either for or against a particular union. The roles that general sentiments as well as specific preferences play in an election can be examined. Negative sentiment dominates the positive and apathy in affecting the election outcome. In the case of union elections the administrative process does not appear to have an impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600567640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600567640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:265-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ismael Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Ismael Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Ferran Martinez Coma Author-X-Name-First: Ferran Martinez Author-X-Name-Last: Coma Title: Skill and support to globalization in the EU Abstract: Are individuals' attitudes towards globalization consistent with the predictions of the Heckscher-Ohlin (HO) theory? Using newly available data from the Flash Eurobarometer 151b of the European Commission, we find that globalization preferences are significantly and robustly correlated with an individual's relative level of human capital, consistent with the HO theory. The impact of skill on globalization preferences is positive in skill-abundant EU countries and strongly negative in EU countries that are well-endowed with low-skill labour. This study is the first to find a robust and significant negative association between skill and support to globalization in low-skill-abundant countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-275 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592416 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592416&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:271-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilham Haouas Author-X-Name-First: Ilham Author-X-Name-Last: Haouas Author-Name: Mahmoud Yagoubib Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Yagoubib Title: The effect of international trade on labour-demand elasticities: empirical evidence from Tunisia Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of trade liberalization on labour demand elasticities. The employment demand equation is estimated by using data for manufacturing industries in Tunisia covering the period from 1971 to 1996. The empirical results suggest a weak support for the idea assuming that trade liberalization will lead to an increase in labour demand elasticities: in the vast majority of industries considered, we cannot reject the hypothesis of no relationship between trade openness and labour-demand elasticities. This weakness of labour demand elasticity in practice is perhaps explained by the tight labour market regulations in place during the 1987-1996. However, these results are robust to the type of labour considered (contract labour and permanent labour). This supports the conclusion that under liberalization labour markets have become more flexible, and that employers prefer recruiting contract workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-286 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:277-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Title: Is waste generation de-linking from economic growth? Empirical evidence for Europe Abstract: The article provides empirical evidence on the de-linking of waste generation from economic growth. The data used refer to the European countries. An investigation carried out into packaging and municipal waste indicators shows that any de-coupling which has eventually taken place has been of a relative nature. Estimated waste elasticities with respect to income highlight that a hypothetical turning point, that would eventually characterize a Kuznets curve for waste, is far from being reached. Europe thus appears to be lagging behind in the effort to invert the relationship between waste and income/consumption indicators. The lack of policy targets in reference to waste prevention at source, in addition to recovery/recycling goals, may be considered as a primary policy-related reason behind the absence of a stronger de-linking process for waste in Europe. The applied panel investigation, though informative since it refers to a homogenous regional area, reveals the need for further work, exploring de-linking processes that focus on specific materials and/or countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Chung Chan Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Firm-specific stock return variation and capital structure decisions Abstract: We evaluate the association between the pace of the adjustment toward target capital structure and the extent to which equity prices reflect firm-specific information. The evidence indicates that firm-specific stock return variation explains significantly the pace of the adjustment toward target capital structure. We also show that the financing decisions of most Taiwanese firms support trade off theory. Only the samples of high (low) firm-specific stock return variation support pecking order (market timing) theory. Our findings suggest that firm-specific stock return variation provides considerable insight to capital structure decisions. In other words, corporate financing decisions cannot divorce from the efficiency of capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-299 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426244 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426244&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:293-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca De Benedictis Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: De Benedictis Author-Name: Marco Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Author-Name: Massimo Tamberi Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Tamberi Title: Semiparametric analysis of the specialization-income relationship Abstract: In this article we investigate the empirical relationship between overall specialization and per capita income. The metric we use to measure overall specialization is the median of the sectoral distribution of the Balassa Index of Revealed Comparative Advantages applied to four-digit (SITC rev.2) sectoral export manufactured data for 39 countries over the period 1985 to 2001. Once we take into account countries' specificities using fixed effects GAM, the results of the semiparametric analysis indicate that sectoral diversification of manufactured exports increases monotonically with development, and thus the reconcentration observed at high levels of income in the recent literature may not be linked to trade-induced specialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500428299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500428299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:301-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Title: The purchasing power parity hypothesis in Turkey: evidence from nonlinear STAR error correction models Abstract: This study re-examines the validity of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis for Turkey using nonlinear cointegration technique. The finding of this article provides the evidence that the long run PPP hypothesis is valid by using nonlinear cointegration technique. This finding argues the validity of the long-run PPP hypothesis in bilateral Turkish real exchange rates with the USA, which is also supported by Sarno (2000) and Erlat (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447315 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447315&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:307-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vishal Jaunky Author-X-Name-First: Vishal Author-X-Name-Last: Jaunky Title: The real exchange rate and productivity differentials: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: Balassa (1964) and Samuelson (1964) have expressed the view that economic development is normally accompanied by a real exchange rate appreciation. The aim of the study is twofold: first, we investigate whether the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis holds, and second we appraise the performance of the commonly used productivity differentials proxy. Results from the Prais and Winsten (1954), Im, Pesaran and Shin (2003) and McCoskey and Kao (2001) panel data techniques suggest that it is legitimate to consider the BS hypothesis at different stages of economic development. Additionally, the proxy works quite well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461670 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461670&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Baslevent Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Baslevent Title: Equalizing and disequalizing income components: how to decide which is which Abstract: The purpose of this note is to clarify what is meant by the 'proportionate contribution' of an income source to total inequality when the contributions of income sources are examined contemporaneously as opposed to simply measuring the impact of the addition (or exclusion) of an income source. It is shown that the proportionate contribution figures that come out of decomposition by factor components analyses need to be interpreted with caution. They may be misleading if one ignores the fact that those figures depend on the shares of the factors in total income. Another problem could be that the equalizing effect of a relatively more equally distributed factor is overlooked in the interest of treating the factors simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-321 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:319-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Show-Ling Jang Author-X-Name-First: Show-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Yen-Ting Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Jennifer Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Persistent innovation: a cross-country study of output and diversity over time Abstract: This article analyses firms' dynamic behaviours of patent persistence and technology proximity in innovation activities for United States, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan during 1990-2003. We find that on average, the persistency of Japanese firms in sustaining their innovative activities is stronger than US firms, while South Korean firms are more tenacious than their Taiwanese counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-326 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:323-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Chris Bilson Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Bilson Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: Valuation uncertainty risk compensation and IPO prospectus earnings forecasts Abstract: Younger, riskier, less credible firms do not voluntarily supply initial public offering prospectus earnings forecasts. Nondisclosure increases valuation uncertainty risk, thus necessitating higher first-day underpricing and long-run performance as compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:331-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senhui He Author-X-Name-First: Senhui Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jeffrey Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Economic evaluation of bottled water consumption as an averting means: evidence from a hedonic price analysis Abstract: This study alerts researchers and policy makers to the importance of the price effect of bottle size in an economic evaluation of using bottled water as a means to avoid health risks from drinking home tap water. It derived a proxy for the economic value of smaller bottle size by analysing a hedonic price model. The results show that, by not accounting for the economic value of smaller bottle size, we can overstate consumer willingness-to-pay for safer drinking water by more than 100%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:337-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: Demand for money in Sri Lanka, 1952-2002 Abstract: The key issue in the analysis of demand for money in Sri Lanka is shown to be the specification of opportunity cost. A coherent definition yields stable long-run estimates of the demand function consistent with economic theory for all measures of money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matz Dahlberg Author-X-Name-First: Matz Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlberg Author-Name: Eva Mork Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Mork Author-Name: Per Tovmo Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Tovmo Title: Power properties of the Sargan test in the presence of measurement errors in dynamic panels Abstract: This article investigates the power properties of the Sargan test in the presence of measurement errors in dynamic panel data models. The conclusion from Monte Carlo (MC) simulations and an application on the data used by Arellano and Bond (1991), is that in the very likely case of measurement errors in either the dependent or any of the independent variables, we will, if we rely on the Sargan test, quite likely accept a misspecified model and end up with biased results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:349-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Dopke Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Dopke Author-Name: Ulrich Fritsche Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsche Title: Shocking! Do forecasters share a common belief? Abstract: We evaluate the interaction of inflation and growth forecast errors based on 17 distinct forecasts for the German economy for the period from 1970 to 2004. The forecasts were produced by 14 institutions. Our findings show that, in general, the forecasters did not share a common belief about the shocks driving the economy at the time at which they made their forecasts. We use a standard textbook aggregate-demand/aggregate-supply curve to identify the nature of the shocks expected by the forecasters. This exercise reveals that the forecasters have very divergent expectations regarding the nature of the shocks predicted to hit the economy in the coming year. Moreover, the lion's share of forecast errors can be attributed to unexpected demand shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Lillywhite Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Lillywhite Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Author-Name: James Eales Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Eales Title: Maintaining parameter invariance in seemingly unrelated regressions estimation Abstract: Seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) is an important estimation methodology in demand analysis. While possessing qualities that make it attractive to applied demand analysts, the SUR estimation technique poses several difficulties, including the lack of parameter invariance in some instances e.g. estimation of consumer demand systems with micro-level data. When data includes zero consumption, corrections used to account for censoring may result in different parameter estimates when different share equations are dropped for estimation. This article proposes an alternative estimation objective which results in invariant parameter estimates when imposing adding-up by dropping equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact distribution and critical values of a unit root test when error terms are serially correlated Abstract: In this article we consider the unit root test based on the ordinary least squares (OLSs) estimator for a coefficient of a lagged dependent variable when the error terms are serially correlated. Using Imhof's (1961) method, we show how we numerically evaluate the exact distribution function of the unit root test when the error terms are serially correlated. Our numerical results show that when the error terms are serially correlated, the size distortion is not small even if the sample size is considerably large. Also, based on the distribution function, we evaluate numerically exact critical values when the sample size is small and moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastasios Koukoumelis Author-X-Name-First: Anastasios Author-X-Name-Last: Koukoumelis Title: On the measurement of convergence as an ongoing process Abstract: Time-varying parameter techniques are commonly used to examine whether convergence in income has been a stable process. This article incorporates additional local features to a model studying 14 EU countries, thereby providing better estimates of the current state of the system when the relative income series are highly nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:363-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: The validity of trend-cycle decomposition using unobserved component model: Monte Carlo evidence Abstract: The validity of trend-cycle decomposition using the unobserved component model is examined via Monte Carlo simulations. It is shown that the nearer to the unit-root process the assumed cycle component and/or the larger the assumed innovation covariance, the more frequent the occurrence of the boundary estimate for the innovation covariance, that the nearer to the unit-root process the assumed cycle component in the case of applying the model with zero restriction on the innovation covariance, the more frequent the occurrence of a linear time trend in the trend estimation, and that a linear time trend cannot be obtained from the model without zero restriction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-369 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:367-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Langnan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Langnan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xun Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The effectiveness of joint intervention on the yen/US dollar exchange rate Abstract: This paper assesses the effectiveness and its duration of joint intervention on the yen/US dollar exchange rate by utilizing the intervention analysis model and employing the data for the period from 15 August 1996 to 6 January 1999 that are released from Reuters. The results suggest that there should be no significant difference between the effectiveness of joint intervention and independent intervention. In addition, joint intervention has significant impact on the exchange rate, but only lasts for short periods of time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Simon Fan Author-X-Name-First: C. Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yifan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Imports of capital goods and enterprise performance: a firm-level analysis in China Abstract: Much recent research on openness and productivity has shifted attention away from regions and countries to firms. Most of those studies have focused on exports and productivity. However, empirical study on the relationship between imports and productivity with firm-level data is scarce. This note attempts to help fill this gap using firm-level data in China. Controlling firms' other characteristics, we find that firms with imports of capital goods have higher productivity. It implies that, in a developing country, firms utilizing foreign products, which embody foreign technologies, have better performance than those only using domestic technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Ferto Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Ferto Title: Dynamics of intra-industry trade and adjustment costs. The case of Hungarian food industry Abstract: The structure of Hungary's food trade expansion over the transition period 1992 to 2002 and its implications for labour-market adjustment is examined. An econometric analysis of trade and employment data suggests that changes in domestic consumption and productivity have significant influence on employment changes. But our results do not provide support for the smooth-adjustment hypothesis of intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-384 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:379-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oxana Babetskaia-Kukharchuk Author-X-Name-First: Oxana Author-X-Name-Last: Babetskaia-Kukharchuk Author-Name: Ian Babetskii Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Babetskii Author-Name: Jiri Podpiera Author-X-Name-First: Jiri Author-X-Name-Last: Podpiera Title: Convergence in exchange rates: market's view on CE-4 joining EMU Abstract: We empirically analyse currency fluctuations in four central European states (CE-4) against the USD and Euro, employing daily data over 1 January 1994 to 10 October 2005 and constructing a dynamic correlation coefficient based on the estimates of a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model. We find evidence of convergence in exchange rate volatilities between CE-4 currencies and the Euro. In other words, from the US market's point of view, currencies of the CE-4 region and the Euro tend to behave quite similarly. This degree of synchronicity is in line with the composition of currency baskets and the share of the Euro as a trade-invoicing currency in the CE-4 economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cho Joonmo Author-X-Name-First: Cho Author-X-Name-Last: Joonmo Author-Name: Cheon Byung You Author-X-Name-First: Cheon Byung Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Exploring reasons why cross-section analysis underestimates the union premium in Korea Abstract: This study evaluates the cartel effects of Korean labour unions from the perspectives of job separation and loss of wage premium. Unlike the previous cross-sectional analysis showing that the wage premium of Korean labour unions is small, a high level of wage premium was observed in unionized companies. This was more prominent among long tenured union workers and among union workers in monopoly firms than it was amongst workers in other comparable groups. This demonstrates that those who work in unionized companies and enjoy a high level of employment security concentrate on building up firm-specific skills, and not on building-up alternative skills as preparation for potential job turnover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Pena Lopez Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Pena Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: J. M. Sanchez Santos Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Sanchez Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Effects of competition on religious markets: some empirical evidence Abstract: The aim of this article is to assess, from an empirical point of view, the relative explanatory capacities of two hypotheses that address the link between economics and religion: the religious markets and the secularization hypothesis. First, we estimate a baseline model that takes into account both hypotheses jointly. Secondly, we study in a separate way the influence of socioeconomic development and market structure. Finally, we investigate the relationship between group size and religious commitment. Overall, the results suggest some supporting evidence for the predictions derived from the hypothesis of religious markets that emphasize the over-riding importance of the degree of competition as a determinant factor of religious behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-374 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:371-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Jong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Jong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: An analysis of lifestyles and health in Taiwan Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between lifestyles and health in Taiwan, and also examines the determinants of health outcomes. The analysis is based on data obtained from the 2001 National Health Interview Survey in Taiwan using ordered probit models. The results indicate that those who have healthier lifestyles tend to have better self-assessed health. In addition, gender, age, income, education and social support are also important factors affecting health outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: A. Bailey Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: A. Chalak Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Chalak Author-Name: I. Fraser Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: Modifying willingness to pay estimates where respondents mis-report their preferences Abstract: The likelihood for the Logit model is modified, so as to take account of uncertainty associated with mis-reporting in stated preference experiments estimating willingness to pay (WTP). Monte Carlo results demonstrate the bias imparted to estimates where there is mis-reporting. The approach is applied to a data set examining consumer preferences for food produced employing a nonpesticide technology. Our modified approach leads to WTP that are substantially downwardly revised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-330 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:327-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Market shares and rivalry in the U.S. cigarette industry Abstract: In a recent article Gallet and List (2001) examined whether relative market shares in the U.S. cigarette market were mean-reverting using traditional univariate unit root tests and a test that allows for a breaking trend. Their results indicated most of the series were nonstationary, suggesting rivalry remained strong throughout most of the 20th century, a result confirmed recently by Adhikari (2004) using a different methodology. The purpose of this note is to apply univariate and panel tests of stationarity to determine whether relative market shares can be assumed to be individually trend-stationary. If the relative shares are characterized by a unit root, the stationarity tests should confirm the results of the unit root tests. Additionally, panel unit root tests have been shown to have greater power than univariate tests. Results based on several different panel tests for stationarity and for unit roots, some of which allow for a structural break, are presented. These results suggest the U.S. cigarette industry was not as competitive as one might expect on the basis of univariate tests and the estimates reported by Adhikari (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Macha Kemperman Author-X-Name-First: Macha Author-X-Name-Last: Kemperman Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: State capture, income and institutional quality Abstract: This article argues that the impact of income on institutional quality depends on state capture, and that a rise in income contributes to institutional development only if the degree of state capture is low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706172 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706172&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goh Soo Khoon Author-X-Name-First: Goh Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Khoon Title: Consumption correlation and international capital market integration: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: By evaluating the Malaysian consumption patterns, this article measures capital mobility in Malaysia with three main trading countries, namely the United States, Japan and Singapore. The results indicate that Malaysia's national consumption was fully integrated with the United States over the period 1960-2000. Since the consumption models are based on a high degree of capital mobility, there is some evidence that this condition is met in the Malaysian data. This indicates that Malaysia exhibited a substantial amount of financial openness despite periodic exchange controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675443 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675443&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Gyaneshwar Rao Author-X-Name-First: Gyaneshwar Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Are US gasoline price adjustments asymmetric? Abstract: We use the LSE-Hendry general to specific approach to analyse if US gasoline price adjustments are asymmetric with respect to changes in crude oil prices. Furthermore, we modify some weaknesses in the earlier works by Borenstein et al. (1997) and Bachmeier and Griffin (2003) and shows that if the price adjustment equations are properly specified and estimated, alternative specifications and temporal aggregation of data do not affect the results. Monthly US data are used to show that alternative specifications give equally good results and there is no asymmetry in the US gasoline price adjustments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706412 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706412&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Ono Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ono Title: Searching for nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability in G-7 countries Abstract: This article investigates the possibility of nonlinearities and sustainability in the fiscal policy of G-7 countries. A large number of studies using unit root tests have been conducted on fiscal sustainability and the effects of nonlinearities. However, a majority of these have given scant attention to the combination of structural change and the effect of the threshold. We improve Sollis's (2004) test and investigate nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability. Empirical evidence supports the fact that G-7 countries excluding Japan have nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-460 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706248 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706248&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:457-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Real GDP growth rates across countries: long memory and mean shifts Abstract: This article deals with the analysis of the long memory property in the growth rates of the real GDP series across various countries, allowing for a mean break at an unknown period of time. We use a procedure suggested by Hsu and Kuan (1998, 2000) and the results show that the mean break takes place at 1933 for the UK, at 1944 for the US and at 1946 for Germany and Japan. The order of integration seems to be around zero for Germany and Japan; it is slightly positive for the UK, and negative for the US. Thus, we only obtain some evidence of mean reversion in the real GDP series for the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-455 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:449-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Smart Saensuk Author-X-Name-First: Smart Author-X-Name-Last: Saensuk Title: The corporate effects of equity block creation and elimination Abstract: This study examines how changes in block ownership effects firm value and performance for a sample of US firms over the period 1993-2001. We find that the creation of a new block has a significant impact on shareholder wealth while block elimination does not. The wealth effect is most pronounced when the new block-holder is a corporation. We also determine that announcement period returns are larger when purchasers are classified as permanent rather than temporary block-holders. We find that the creation of a permanent block-holder improves industry-adjusted operating performance more than that of a temporary block-holder. Block elimination, however, does not impact the firm's subsequent operating performance. Our analysis of the sequencing of changes in the number of block-holders shows that firm value increases only when a block purchase produces an initial block-holder. We find that the superior long-term market performance of firms with new block-holders is due to the presence of permanent block-holders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-436 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706362 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706362&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:431-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mayssun El-Attar Author-X-Name-First: Mayssun Author-X-Name-Last: El-Attar Author-Name: Enrique Lopez-Bazo Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Bazo Title: Firm size and the entire distribution of wages: a semiparametric approach Abstract: In this article we argue that parametric regression analysis might well provide only partial evidence on the firm size-wage effect and propose a methodology that focuses on the entire distribution of wages. Results for a sample of Spanish workers show that the size premium is almost completely concentrated in the middle of the distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Newton Da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Da Costa Author-Name: Carlos Mineto Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mineto Author-Name: Sergio Da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Da Silva Title: Disposition effect and gender Abstract: Investors seem to hold on to their losing stocks to a greater extent than they hold on to their winning stocks. This well-documented behavioural regularity is termed disposition effect (Shefrin and Statman, 1985). We set an experiment to replicate results from a previous study of the disposition effect (Weber and Camerer, 1998) and further show that a subject's gender may interfere with the effect's detection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706560 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706560&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:411-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christiana Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Christiana Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Author-Name: Michael Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Title: How does a 48-hour test-taking window affect performance? Results from a testing centre Abstract: This note examines the effect that different self-selected test-taking strategies have on a student's performance in an introductory economics course. Due to the policies of a centralized testing centre, students are allowed to choose when in a 48-hour period they take each exam as well as how long they work on the exam. The results suggest that the relationship between completion time and exam score follows an inverted U-shape while the relationship between relative order and exam score follows a U-shape. In other words, students who turn in their exams in a relatively short or a relatively long time tend to perform worse while students who choose to take their exams relatively early or relatively late tend to perform better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-498 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:495-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Warr Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Warr Title: The transmission of import prices to domestic prices: an application to Indonesia Abstract: The manner in which the landed price of imports affects domestic prices is central to trade policy analysis. This study clarifies the relationship between two methods of modelling this relationship. These are the pass-through elasticity and the 'Armington' elasticity of substitution in demand between imported and domestically produced goods. The latter treatment is commonly used within applied general equilibrium models. The properties of the models are sensitive to the assumed values of these elasticities, but empirical estimates of Armington elasticities are rare. The theoretical relationship between the pass-through elasticity and the Armington elasticity is derived from a simple supply and demand model which incorporates Armingtion assumptions. The relationship is then illustrated empirically in the context of rice imports into Indonesia. Even though imported and domestically produced rice are considered relatively close substitutes in demand within Indonesia, time series econometric estimates of the pass-through elasticity imply Armington elasticities no greater than about 5. The Armington elasticities implied by the estimates of the pass-through elasticity presented here are well within the range of parameter estimates normally assumed within applied general equilibrium models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peter Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: Does the linkage between stock market performance and economic growth vary across Greater China? Abstract: Despite the phenomenal development in stock markets in China, there is little research on the linkage between stock prices and economic growth in Greater China: mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. This article represents a step towards systematically investigating the relationship between stock market performance and economic growth in Greater China by conducting causality tests within the VECM framework. We find one-way causality running from growth to stock prices in the long run and also running from stock prices to economic growth in the short run. These findings suggest that economic fundamentals are the main determinants of movements in stock prices in the long run and stock markets act as a leading economic indictor of future economic growth in Greater China in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Power comparison of invariant unit root tests Abstract: In the context of a model with linear trend plus AR(1) error, this paper studies power of various unit root tests, under proper stationarity alternatives. A large number of invariant tests is examined to compare their power properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Bardong Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Bardong Author-Name: Thorsten Lehnert Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Lehnert Title: TIPS and inflation expectations Abstract: Previous research suggests that the market for index-linked bonds is not entirely efficient and that these inefficiencies can be exploited by including inflation forecasts in trades on break-even inflation. Inspired by those results, we test the informational content of inflation expectations using survey data generated by the Survey of Professional Forecasters. We develop trading strategies speculating on the movement of break-even inflation. The results indicate that the market for US inflation-indexed government bonds offers the possibility to obtain excess returns. These results are fairly consistent regardless of market frictions introduced in the return calculation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Title: The causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate Abstract: This article examines the causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate. We find evidence of instantaneous causal relationships in mean and variance and feedback causal relationships in mean. It suggests that the expectation for exchange rate and volatility is influenced by information on foreign exchange intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoo Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoo Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: High-technology exports and economic output: an empirical investigation Abstract: This article explores the impacts of high-technology exports on economic output using a cross-country analysis based on data from 91 countries over the period 1988 to 2000. The results show that high-technology exports significantly contribute to economic output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721882 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721882&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Title: Interaction between formal and informal sector credit: new evidence from India Abstract: Using a new pan-Indian data set, we examine the factors that potentially influence joint access to formal and informal credit markets. Our results are consistent with the literature and bring some new factors influencing access to credit to the fore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-531 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:527-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Hung Hsu Ku Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Ku Author-Name: Jai Jen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jai Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Estimating portfolio value-at-risk via dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH model - an empirical study on foreign exchange rates Abstract: This study compares efficiencies of five Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models in terms of value at risk (VaR) backtesting on the number of prediction failures and the average deviation between VaR and realized return series. Unlike the previous literature which presumes constant correlation coefficients, a new model proposed by Engle (2002, the DCC model) is applied to highlight time-varying conditional correlations amongst positions, which is essential for portfolio risk management. From the empirical studies of exchange rates data including the US Dollar to British Pound, Japanese Yen and Euro Dollar, we find that the DCC model produces least prediction failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-538 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706958 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706958&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:533-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlo Altavilla Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Altavilla Title: The (UN-) stable relationship between the exchange rate and its fundamentals Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the euro--dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals by adopting nonlinear time series modelling. We found that this relationship is episodically unstable. We also found that an equilibrium-distorting shock is likely to have a greater effect on the exchange rate during periods when the deviation between exchange rate and fundamentals is large; as a consequence, when the exchange rate is close to its equilibrium value it tends to be less sensitive to any shocks in the fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-544 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:539-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Empirical analysis of political uncertainty on TAIEX stock market Abstract: This article examines the relationship of between political activity and TAIEX stock market behaviour by the asymmetric GARCH. The results found that the congressional effect is negative on stock returns but volatility is not significant. The congressional effect on stock market returns following financial reform significantly dropped before financial reform, and significantly exceed for the volatility in the same circumstances. These results provide evidences that investors would hold a conservative position during the congressional sessions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-550 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:545-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Pei-Fen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Do CO2 emission levels converge among 21 OECD countries? New evidence from unit root structural break tests Abstract: This study empirically re-investigated whether carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions series were stationary in 21 OECD countries during the 1960-2000 period. A suite of test statistics were employed, proposed by Sen (2003), with a model that simultaneously allows for a break within the context of Perron's (1989) mixed intercept and slope (Model C). The distinction between this study and previous ones lies in its control for breaks. Compared with the results from traditional unit root tests, the empirical findings provide further evidence that relative per capita CO2 emissions were stationary and were stochastically converging. In addition, structural breaks are identified in each country, and some important policy implications emerge from the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-556 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426236 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426236&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:551-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Technology- and investment-led growth effects of economic integration: a panel cointegration analysis for the EU-15 (1960-2000) Abstract: Using a panel cointegration approach we test for technology- and investment-led growth effects of economic integration for the EU-15 Member States over the period 1960 to 2000. Integration is measured by an index that is mainly based on tariff reductions and accounts for both GATT-liberalization and European integration. We find that integration has induced sizeable level effects on GDP per capita of some 44%, with both technology-led and investment-led effects playing an important role. While integration-induced efficiency increases materialize within a few years, integration-induced effects on the equilibrium stock of capital require a long time to work themselves out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600711669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600711669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augustin Kwasi Fosu Author-X-Name-First: Augustin Kwasi Author-X-Name-Last: Fosu Title: Inequality and the growth-poverty nexus: specification empirics using African data Abstract: Applying analysis-of-covariance to 1990s African data, the study finds the impact of growth as a decreasing function of inequality and a poverty-growth elasticity range of 0.02-0.68 across the sample of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Li Xindan Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Xindan Title: A variance ratio test of the behaviour of Chinese stock indices Abstract: This study utilizes tests based on ranks and signs suggested by Wright (2000) together with the traditional variance ratio test to examine the behaviour of some Chinese stock indices. The results have shown that the null hypothesis of martingale difference behaviour of the Chinese index returns series examined is rejected for the whole samples. However, when the heteroskedastic stochastic disturbance term is used, the finding supports the random walk hypothesis for B shares by end of 1996, the Chinese stock market has become more efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Agudo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-Last: Agudo Author-Name: J. L. Sarto Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarto Author-Name: L. Vicente Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: Herding behaviour in Spanish equity funds Abstract: We analyse the herding phenomenon in the management style of Spanish equity funds. Using the methodology of Lakonishok et al. (1992) and Sharpe's style analysis (1992), we find interesting conclusions in the investment behaviour of fund managers, a barely-explored aspect, especially in the Spanish market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Author-Name: Marie Diron Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Diron Title: Investment, financing constraints and profit expectations: new macro evidence Abstract: Regression results show that the external financing costs, the financing gap and profit expectations significantly matter for US and euro area aggregate (nonconstruction) investment. This finding supports the view that external and internal financing constraints hamper investment also at the macro level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722088 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722088&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Neil Garston Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Garston Title: Impact of the introduction of index-linked bonds on a nonindexed bond Abstract: In 1982 the British government began to issue bonds indexed to the inflation rate. This article investigates the impact of the introduction of this asset on the market for a nonindexed security. The impact is estimated in the context of a model derived from the literature on interest rate determination and, implicitly, from the consumption technology model. As expected, the introduction of the new asset is found to reduce the price of a pre-existing nonindexed asset, as the introduction of a substitute good should do. Further, changes in the prices of indexed bonds are positively related to the price of the nonindexed security. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-586 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:583-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Cigarette smuggling: price vs.nonprice incentives Abstract: This article uses recent US state level data to estimate the demand for cigarettes. The main contribution of this work is that, unlike previous studies, it takes into account both price and nonprice incentives behind the smuggling of cigarettes. The results show the demand for cigarettes to be elastic and greater than that found in the previous literature. The effects of greater literacy and income on smoking are insignificant. Also, the magnitude of own price elasticity seems affected by whether a correction is made for border prices. Comparing the price and nonprice influences on cigarette smuggling, it seems that price inducements remain the main force behind smuggling. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-592 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:587-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svetlana Poukliakova Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Poukliakova Title: Bayesian estimates of FDI flows: the governance problem Abstract: This study uses Bayesian methods to estimate the impact of various governance measures on cross-country Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows. The governance measures are highly correlated such that estimation by standard methods does not provide reliable estimates of their individual impact. The results suggest that FDI inflows are influenced by a country's governance structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Santin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santin Title: On the approximation of production functions: a comparison of artificial neural networks frontiers and efficiency techniques Abstract: The aim of this article is to show how Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is a valid semi-parametric alternative for fitting empirical production functions and measuring technical efficiency. To do this a Monte-Carlo experiment is carried out on a simulated smooth production technology for assessing efficiency results of ANN compared with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). As ANNs provides average production function estimations this article proposes a so-called thick frontier strategy for transform average estimations into a productive frontier. Main advantages of ANN are in contexts where the production function is smooth, completely unknown, contains nonlinear relationships among variables and the quantity of noise and efficiency in data is moderate. Under this scenario, the results display that an ANNs algorithm can detect, better than traditional tools, the underlying shape of the production function from observed data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721973 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721973&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Title: Does move to market have an impact on earnings gap across gender? Some evidence from India Abstract: We use Indian National Sample Survey employment-unemployment data for the urban sector for the years 1987 and 1999. Our results indicate that the gender wage gap had narrowed considerably between these two years, for all earnings deciles and for all education cohorts. The narrowing of the earnings gap can be attributed largely to a sharp increase in the returns to the labour market experience of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Leverage, foreign borrowing and corporate performance: firm-level evidence for India Abstract: This article examines the association between corporate leverage and profitability. Using firm-level data on manufacturing sector in India for 1995-2004, the findings indicate that corporate profitability and cash flows declines as leverage rises. More importantly, the marginal effect of an increase in leverage on earnings is larger for firms that participate in international debt markets than other firms. The results are robust after controlling for the economic environment and various firm-specific controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-616 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722047 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722047&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:607-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Kaskarelis Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Kaskarelis Title: The determinants of investment in Greek manufacturing: a reply Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-617 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802128837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802128837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:617-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Manuchehr Irandoust Author-X-Name-First: Manuchehr Author-X-Name-Last: Irandoust Title: The Fisher effect: a Kalman filter approach to detecting structural change Abstract: This article uses quarterly data on short-run nominal interest rates and inflation rates over the last four or three decades collected from Australia, Japan, Malaysia and Singapore to test whether the Fisher relation has empirical support. Since meaningful Fisher effect tests critically depend on the integration and cointegration properties of the variables, we present some empirical evidence on these issues and we also apply the Kalman filter to estimate the time-varying parameters. The results show that the data are generally rejecting a full Fisher effect. This implies that nominal interest rates do not respond point-for-point to changes in the expected inflation rates. The possible reasons for the inability to detect a full Fisher effect are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-624 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:619-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ash Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Ash Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: Loss aversion and a kinked demand curve: evidence from contingent behaviour analysis of seafood consumers Abstract: Several laboratory experiments and market-based research in the fields of psychology, economics and marketing have provided increasing evidence of individuals exhibiting loss aversion tendencies, with decision-making based on a pre-existing reference point. This creates an S-shaped value function and associated kink in the demand curve. This research provides contingent behaviour analysis of 1790 seafood consumers across the Mid-Atlantic region. A survey is specifically designed to elicit respondents' change in consumption from their reference point when faced with price variations in the seafood market. Results from a Tobit model with random effects provide empirical support of consumers behaving in a manner consistent with loss aversion theory, revealing a kinked demand curve for seafood meals at the respondents' reference point. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-628 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:625-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dillon Alleyne Author-X-Name-First: Dillon Author-X-Name-Last: Alleyne Author-Name: Claremont Kirton Author-X-Name-First: Claremont Author-X-Name-Last: Kirton Author-Name: Georgia McLeod Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: McLeod Author-Name: Mark Figueroa Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Figueroa Title: Short-run macroeconomic determinants of remittances to Jamaica: a time varying parameter approach Abstract: This article uses a time varying parameter model (TVP) to examine the macroeconomic determinants of cash remittances to Jamaica over the period January 1983 to April 2001. We anticipated a positive relationship between changes in remittances and foreign income. We find an investment component in the relationship between changes in remittances and domestic income. In addition, the relationship between changes in remittances, the unofficial exchange rate premium and the exchange rate differential are in line with our expectations. In terms of the policy dimension of the results, it is clear that domestic policy has a significant impact on the responses of remitters. These responses do not merely reflect altruistic concerns for relatives but also investment related considerations. This means that policy makers might be able, through deliberate policy, to influence the flow of remittances over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-634 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:629-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Duration dependence test for rational bubbles in Chinese stock market Abstract: This article applies duration dependence tests to analyse the rational speculative bubbles in Chinese stock market. The results show that the probability of ending a run of positive excess returns decreases with the length of the run. Together with the evidence of autocorrelation and leptokurtosis, we confirm the existences of speculative bubbles. This can be explained by Chinese stock market's institutional characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706966 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706966&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Environmental performance in China's agricultural sector: a case study in corn production Abstract: This article reviews environmental performance in China's corn production. It proposes that the improvement in environmental and technical efficiency of agricultural production is indispensable for the increased demand for green food and the increasing awareness of environmental protection. This article measures the environmental and technical efficiency of China's corn production. According to the result of estimate, the improvement of environmental performance in China's corn production is feasible, but it may encounter some difficulties with respect to the fragment of farming land blocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-645 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:641-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Miin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Miin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Measuring the efficiency and return to scale status of multi-mode bus transit - evidence from Taiwan's bus system Abstract: In this article not only the multi-activity DEA model is applied to determine the efficiency of individual services within different but highly homogeneous multi-mode transit firms, but the relationship between size and local returns to scale status of each transit service is also investigated. The empirical findings indicate that it does not necessarily imply that the transit firm will be as efficient as a single-activity model when the multi-activity model is estimated, and there are different optimal scale sizes for highway bus and urban bus service in the Taipei metropolitan area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-653 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:647-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. G. R. Chandran Author-X-Name-First: V. G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chandran Author-Name: Veera Pandiyan Author-X-Name-First: Veera Author-X-Name-Last: Pandiyan Title: Technical efficiency and technological change in Malaysian service industries Abstract: This article examines the total factor productivity (TFP) growth by decomposing it into technical efficiency and technological change for the 20 service industries in a developing country - Malaysia from 1987 to 1992. On average, the TFP growth of the service industries experienced positive TFP growth of 1.8%. The contributing factors for TFP growth was technical efficiency while technological regress was found to dampen the TFP progress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-657 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721932 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721932&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:655-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Estimating labour supply and time allocation by married Japanese men and unmarried Japanese women Abstract: In this article, I estimate the uncompensated and compensated wage elasticities and the income elasticity of time, for married men and unmarried women in Japan. For the purpose of the estimation, I control for the potential endogeneity of the wage and income variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-666 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:659-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: More uncertainty: on the trending nature of real GDP in the US and UK Abstract: While there is disagreement concerning the integrated nature of US Gross domestic product (GDP) over the long-run, there is a consensus that it is best characterized as I(1) over the post-World War II period. In this article the existing literature is extended via the use of an exponential smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR)-based unit root test. It is shown that in contrast to the conventionally applied ADF test and the more powerful GLS-based ADF test, introduction of an alternative hypothesis of ESTAR adjustment results in the overwhelming rejection of the presence of a unit root. Similar results are presented for UK GDP over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-670 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:667-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Cross-country evidence on the productivity effects of trade: the role of competition and country size Abstract: Using aggregate manufacturing data and a cross-section of 40 countries, we estimate the effects of trade, competition and country size on productivity. Endogeneity of trade and competition is accounted for using instruments that are based on entry barriers and geographical characteristics of the countries. We establish several empirical regularities: (i) Both trade and competition are statistically and economically significant determinants of productivity. (ii) The pro-competitive effect of trade accounts for a quarter of trade's total productivity effects. (iii) Country size appears to play no role, once trade and competition are controlled for. (iv) There is no evidence for a nonlinear relation between competition and productivity or for the hypothesis that larger countries gain less from trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-675 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:671-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: A. Gelan Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Title: Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis revisited: a time-series approach using US data Abstract: Kuznets' inverted-U hypothesis implies that economic growth worsens income inequality first and improves it later at a higher stage of economic development. In addition to economic growth, other factors such as population growth, resource endowment, price instability, openness, currency devaluation, etc. have been identified as determinants of income inequality. Previous research used cross-sectional data to test not only the Kuznets' hypothesis, but also empirical validity of other factors and provided mixed conclusions. In this article we use time-series data from the US and recent advances in time-series modelling to show that economic growth worsens income inequality in the short-run and improves it in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Eva Maria Andres Author-X-Name-First: Eva Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Author-Name: Jose Tomas Alcala Author-X-Name-First: Jose Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Alcala Title: Studying the relationship between unemployment periods in Spain: a nonparametric approach Abstract: The effect of successive periods of unemployment according to household type has not been analysed in any depth with respect to the Spanish labour market. In this article, we propose a nonparametric methodology based on a data-driven likelihood ratio function to describe the dependence between the duration of successive periods of unemployment according to different household typologies. This study, which uses a very large data set, specifically, the Spanish sample of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP), first reveals a weak dependence between the consecutive unemployment durations in the case of the most frequent household typology. In addition, we find that the first months of the previous spells of unemployment have a significant impact on subsequent expected unemployment duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: Benford, Zipf and the blogosphere Abstract: The blogosphere is a relatively recent development on the Internet and, for this reason, has received limited empirical investigation. This short note investigates whether the popularity of the 500 most popular blogs during August and September of 2005, as measured by in-coming links, followed the first-digit distribution attributed to Benford (1938) and the rank-size distribution attributed to Zipf (1949). The evidence suggests that the blogs investigated were not characterized by either empirical regularity, consistent with blog popularity being caused by network externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600735270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600735270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroaki Chigira Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Chigira Title: A test of cointegration rank based on principal component analysis Abstract: Using principal component methods, we construct a cointegration rank test that is less restrictive than Johansen's tests, easy to calculate, and independent of the dimension of the process. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the proposed test outperforms Johansen's tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-696 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:693-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rob Euwals Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Euwals Title: Evaluation of a tax reform: a model with measurement error Abstract: Parts of the Dutch tax reform 2001 are directed towards fiscal partners in a household and aim at lowering the marginal tax burden of the partner with the lowest (potential) labour income. An important goal of the reform is to increase the employment rate of these partners, which are in majority women. The Dutch Labour Force Survey 1992-2003 shows that the growth of the employment rate of married women after 2001 was larger for a comparable group of single women. A statistical analysis using a model that accounts for measurement error shows that the growth of the employment rates of women without young children is in line with the predicted effect of the tax reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Size performance of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root test in the presence of a neglected break under the null Abstract: Via simulation, the size of the lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root test is examined, when there is a neglected level or trend break under the null hypothesis. It is found that unlike other more popular unit root tests in the literature, the size of the LM is not distorted/inflated. Thus, rejections of the LM tests must not be viewed as spurious with respect to this issue of neglected breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-705 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:701-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cademartori Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cademartori Author-Name: Rodrigo Navia Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Navia Author-Name: Manuel Galea Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Galea Author-Name: Felipe Osorio Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Osorio Title: Prediction of the economic activity from the short and long-term interest rate differential: new evidences in Chile and the United States of America cases Abstract: The purpose of this work is to verify the stability of the relationship between real activity and interest rate spread. The test is based on Chen (1988) and Osorio and Galea (2006). The analysis is applied to Chile and the United States, from 1980 to 1999. In general, in both cases the relationship was statistically significant in early 80s, but a break point is found in both countries during that decades, suggesting that the relationship depends on the monetary rule follow by the Central Bank. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-712 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:707-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Virginie Terraza Author-X-Name-First: Virginie Author-X-Name-Last: Terraza Title: The Shapley decomposition for portfolio risk Abstract: The aim of this article is to provide an application of the Shapley value to decompose financial portfolio risk. Decomposing the sample covariance risk measure, gives us relative measures, which can be, classified securities of a portfolio according to risk scales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-715 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748968 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748968&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:713-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weide Mao Author-X-Name-First: Weide Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Author-Name: Chien-Ting Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chia-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ching-Chang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A fuzzy approach to water pricing: the case of Shanghai Abstract: In this article, we device a methodology to value water using Fuzzy theory that incorporates not only the physical cost of delivery but also the social and sustainable resource costs that water regulators often ignore. Specifically, we include the cost of water quality, cost of water resource, gross domestic product per capita and the household's willingness to pay into our estimation. We demonstrate the approach using the household sector in Shanghai where the residents face potential water shortage and poor water quality. We estimate a theoretical price of 1.82 Chinese Yuan per cubic meter for the average household. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748976 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748976&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junning Cai Author-X-Name-First: Junning Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: PingSun Leung Author-X-Name-First: PingSun Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Towards a more general measure of revealed comparative advantage variation Abstract: The change of Balassa's 'revealed comparative advantage' index is often directly used to measure comparative advantage variation over time, yet the theoretical foundation of this traditional measure has not been clarified. In this article we derive a 'revealed comparative advantage variation' index, which turns out to be a more general measure of comparative advantage variation than the traditional one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: German works councils and productivity: first evidence from a nonparametric test Abstract: This article presents the first nonparametric test whether German works councils go hand-in-hand with higher labour productivity or not. It distinguishes between establishments that are covered by collective bargaining or not. Results from a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for first-order stochastic dominance tend to indicate that pro-productive effects are found in firms with collective bargaining only. However, the significance level of the test statistic is higher than a usually applied critical level. This somewhat weak evidence casts doubts on the validity of results from recent parametric approaches using a regression framework that point to high positive effects of works councils on productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Long-run aggregate import demand function in Taiwan: an ARDL bounds testing approach Abstract: This article adopts the bounds test, developed by Pesaran et al. (2001), to determine whether there is a level long-run relationship exists between Taiwan's real import demand function and it determinants, namely real domestic income and relative prices. It is found that aggregate import quantities and their determinants do indeed exhibit a level long-run relationship. In addition, the empirical results show that estimated short-run elasticity and long-run income elasticity are both elastic but that short-run income elasticity is considerably greater than that of its long-run counterpart. This indicates that economic growth should have a relatively greater negative impact on trade balance in the short-run than in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minxian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minxian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Normal log-normal mixture, leptokurtosis and skewness Abstract: The normal log-normal mixture (NLNM) is considered for modelling leptokurtosis and skewness. The moment of the mixture is shown to be finite for any positive order. The expectations of exponential functions of the NLNM variable are also investigated. The kurtosis and skewness of the NLNM are explicitly shown to be determined by the variance of the log normal and the correlation between the normal and log normal. A set of cross-sectional data is fitted to the NLNM to illustrate that idiosyncratic variances may be modelled by the mixture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-742 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:737-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramin Cooper Maysami Author-X-Name-First: Ramin Cooper Author-X-Name-Last: Maysami Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Financial liberalization, deposit insurance and bank stability Abstract: This article investigates the impact of implementing an explicit deposit insurance scheme on the likelihood of banking crisis in countries with well-liberalized financial systems. We estimate the probability of a systemic banking crisis using a multivariate logit model in which alternative variables capturing the nature of the deposit protection arrangement enter as explanatory variables along with a set of control variables. We conclude that deposit insurance will be successful in alleviating moral hazard and increase the stability of the financial system only if a sufficient degree of financial liberalization exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-747 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:743-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Vargas-Silva Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas-Silva Title: The effect of monetary policy on housing: a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach Abstract: This study examines the link between monetary policy and the housing market. The analysis is conducted using impulse response functions derived from a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) model. The FAVAR methodology as developed by Bernanke et al. (2005) avoids the degrees of freedom problem present in standard vector autoregression (VARs) models. The estimations are conducted using 120 macroeconomic time series in monthly frequency for the period January 1959 to August 2001. Results indicate that housing starts respond negatively to monetary policy shocks. This result is consistent across regions in the United States. In the case of housing permits and mobile home shipments, the response to a monetary policy shock is positive at first, but becomes negative after a few periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozge Senay Author-X-Name-First: Ozge Author-X-Name-Last: Senay Author-Name: Alan Sutherland Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Sutherland Title: A quantitative analysis of cost-push shocks and optimal inflation volatility Abstract: This article presents a quantitative analysis of optimal inflation volatility in a simple sticky-price general equilibrium model subject to both supply and cost-push shocks. It is found that optimal policy implies a relatively small degree of inflation volatility even when cost-push shocks are the dominant source of economic disturbance. In addition, it is found that optimal policy generates only a very small welfare gain when compared to strict inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Maria Noel Pi Alperin Author-X-Name-First: Maria Noel Author-X-Name-Last: Pi Alperin Title: Inequalities in multidimensional poverty: evidence from Argentina Abstract: This article presents a new synthetic methodology that gauges simultaneously the inequalities in multidimensional poverty within and between groups of population and the dimensions that tend to increase inequality in poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-765 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:759-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Author-Name: A. Jamal Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Title: Does inflation affect stock prices? Abstract: Incorporating demand and supply factors, this article investigates the relationship between inflation and stock prices, in a capital gains tax regime in USA. Based on annual data, the results show that inflation has a negative impact on stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-769 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:767-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amaechi Nkemakolem Nwaokoro Author-X-Name-First: Amaechi Nkemakolem Author-X-Name-Last: Nwaokoro Title: Trade-restriction policies ineffectiveness in the US steel industry Abstract: This study examines the impact of the trade restrictions on steel imports in order to protect the US steel industry. During the period of 1963 to 1988, the industry experienced a tremendous decline in its output. Trade restrictions are implemented to limit steel imports. The overall goal of this study is to estimate the impact of the steel trade restriction regimes on the output of the industry. Beside foreign competition, the study addresses the impact of other factors - other shipments (nonsteel shipments) and the prices of steel substitutes - aluminum, and plastic and rubber that may have also caused variation in steel production. The study makes two major contributions. First, the study constructs the trade restriction regimes and other high-frequency monthly data set on steel output and factor prices. Second, output is modelled as a function of the trade restriction regimes, other shipments and factor prices. Regression results show that the protection regimes are not statistically significant to enhance output expansion. This implies policies ineffectiveness and invalidates the call for the trade restrictions. The other shipments variable enhances output demand while the prices of the steel substitutes do not. Given the results here and for the fact that the mini-mills were competitive during the regime periods, a competition, not protective trade may be warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-776 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770863 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770863&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:771-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: On the size of the DF-GLS test Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulation, the size of the DF-GLS test is examined when there is a neglected level or trend break under the null hypothesis. Unlike the original DF test, the DF-GLS test has size which is not distorted/inflated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Bruneau Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bruneau Author-Name: O. de Bandt Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: de Bandt Author-Name: A. Flageollet Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Flageollet Title: Measuring co-movements in the Euro area using a nonstationary factor model Abstract: This article investigates to what extent business cycles co-move in the four largest euro area economies, using a large-scale database of nonstationary series for the euro area over the 1980:Q1 to 2003:Q4 period. We apply the methodology proposed by Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) to construct a coincident indicator of the euro area business cycle, based on the first common factor estimated from a dynamic factor analysis on the level of the variables. The indicator appears to be significantly close, from a statistical point of view, to the level of the euro area GDP in the most recent period. We also show that national developments are increasingly correlated to the indicator at the business cycle frequencies. We finally suggest a decomposition of GDP growth along the different stationary and nonstationary factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oskar Nordstrom Skans Author-X-Name-First: Oskar Nordstrom Author-X-Name-Last: Skans Title: How does the age structure affect regional productivity? Abstract: The article studies the effects of a changing age structure on regional productivity using lagged population structure to purge estimates of the influence of endogenous migration. It is shown that workers aged 50-60 years have a positive effect on regional productivity. Together with evidence from previous research showing that the effect of the same age group on unemployment is positive, the results support the notion that well-matched workers gives rise to both high productivity and high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathalie Colombier Author-X-Name-First: Nathalie Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Author-Name: Laurent Denant Boemont Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Denant Author-X-Name-Last: Boemont Author-Name: Youenn Loheac Author-X-Name-First: Youenn Author-X-Name-Last: Loheac Author-Name: David Masclet Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Masclet Title: Risk aversion: an experiment with self-employed workers and salaried workers Abstract: In this article we present the results of a lottery-choice experiment to address the following questions: Do risk vary across individuals? What is the impact of context on risk aversion? The originality of this research lies in introducing variability in socio-demographic characteristics by recruiting not only students but also 'real people' among salaried workers and self-employed workers. Our results indicate that risk attitude strongly varies across individuals. In particular, individuals who are self employed tend to be significantly less risk averse than others. In addition, we replicated Holt and Laury (2002, 2005) and Harrison et al. (2005)'s findings that individuals tend to be more risk averse with higher payoffs. Finally, our results concerning a potential experience effect indicate the existence of a significant order effect for both treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Ehrhart Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Ehrhart Author-Name: Matthieu Llorca Author-X-Name-First: Matthieu Author-X-Name-Last: Llorca Title: The sustainability of fiscal policy: evidence from a panel of six South-Mediterranean countries Abstract: This article aims at assessing the sustainability of fiscal policies in a panel of six South-Mediterranean countries, namely Egypt, Israel, Lebanon, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey. First, using panel data unit-root tests proposed by Im et al. (2003), Maddala and Wu (1999), and Choi (2001), econometric findings reveal that the variables of public expenditure, revenue and domestic debt in level are not stationary. However, employing panel cointegration tests designed by Pedroni (1999), it is found that government spending and revenue are cointegrated. This implies that fiscal policies in these countries are sustainable in the long run, i.e. they are consistent with inter-temporal budget balance in accordance with the present-value approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-803 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:797-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Han Mo Oh Author-X-Name-First: Han Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Ronald McNiel Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: McNiel Title: Determinants of online shoppers' satisfaction in Korea Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that might lead to the customer satisfaction in the online shopping malls across Korea. It is hypothesized that customer's positive perception of usefulness of internet shopping, security, technical competence, customer support and the interface of shopping mall positively affects the customer satisfaction. It is also hypothesized that satisfied customer becomes loyal customer. The survey results confirm that customer satisfaction has a significantly positive impact on the customer loyalty, which reveals that internet shoppers show high loyalty when they are satisfied with the service. We also find that online customers' risk perception about the security of the transactions, customer support to the online shopping and interface of the shopping mall are positively related to the customer satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boopen Seetanah Author-X-Name-First: Boopen Author-X-Name-Last: Seetanah Title: Financial development and economic growth: an ARDL approach for the case of the small island state of Mauritius Abstract: The article investigates the dynamic empirical link between financial development and economic performance for the case of the developing small island state of Mauritius using a unique time-series data set over the period 1952 to 2004. The analysis was performed using two different proxies for financial development in an ARDL framework. The results suggest that financial development have been contributing to the output level of the economy in both short and long run. It thus highlights the economic importance of financial development and provides new evidence for the case of island economies using recent cointegration approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guadalupe Fugarolas Alvarez-Ude Author-X-Name-First: Guadalupe Author-X-Name-Last: Fugarolas Alvarez-Ude Author-Name: David Matesanz Gomez Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matesanz Gomez Title: Long- and short-run balance of payments adjustment: Argentine economic growth constrained Abstract: This article addresses insights on Argentina's slowness growth performance throughout the period 1968 to 2003 and, especially, on its recent crisis in 2002. Using time series unit roots tests, vector auto-regresive models and cointegration tests, this study deals with the effect of the external sector constraint on Argentinean output expansion and, in particular, with the empirical validation of a variant of Thirlwall's Law. The results suggest that, in the long-run, there exists a stable relationship between economic growth, exports and even terms of trade. These findings allow us to conclude that Argentina's international payments position constraints its economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-820 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770897 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770897&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:815-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Author-Name: Dilek Cetin Author-X-Name-First: Dilek Author-X-Name-Last: Cetin Author-Name: Derya Findik Author-X-Name-First: Derya Author-X-Name-Last: Findik Title: Effect of technology on gender wage differential: a panel analysis Abstract: There is a vast amount of literature focusing on the relationship between wage and technology. A panel of 13 countries from 1980 to 1998 period is used in attempt to find an answer whether technology has any effect on gender wage differential in manufacturing industry. The results indicate that as technological change accelerates approximated by the number of patents, wage difference between man and woman will diminish. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-825 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:821-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan-Ramon Borrell Author-X-Name-First: Joan-Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Borrell Author-Name: Mara Tolosa Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Tolosa Title: Endogenous antitrust: cross-country evidence on the impact of competition-enhancing policies on productivity Abstract: This article presents empirical evidence regarding the effect of simultaneous antitrust and trade policy on productivity. We find that treating antitrust across countries as an exogenous policy overestimates the impact of competition on productivity by as much as 18%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-831 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949137 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949137&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:827-831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: On the finite sample size and power of the generalized KPSS test in the presence of level breaks Abstract: The KPSS stationarity test is oversized when it is applied to a series containing a strong autoregressive process. Hobijn et al. (2004) demonstrated that the test appears to be better-sized when an automatic-data dependent bandwidth selection procedure is used to estimate the long-run variance of the series. This article examines the impact of level breaks under the null on the finite sample size and power of their generalized KPSS test. It demonstrates that empirical sizes depend critically on the location and the magnitude of the break and that the generalized test is not as robust to variance estimation as was previously thought. The results are shown to be similar to those based on the traditional approach to calculating the KPSS test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-843 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:833-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Aggregation of Nerlovian profit indicator Abstract: This note shows that the Nerlovian profit indicator may be aggregated over firms into an industry measure of profit efficiency. The note also provides conditions under which the technical component of the indicator may also be aggregated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-847 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:845-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Borrmann Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Borrmann Author-Name: Michaela Schaffhauser-Linzatti Author-X-Name-First: Michaela Author-X-Name-Last: Schaffhauser-Linzatti Title: Franchise bidding with differences in demand Abstract: With a given static market demand and given static cost functions of all potential suppliers as well as sufficient competition, Demsetz' (1968) concept of franchise bidding leads to the selection of the welfare-maximizing supplier. However, with differences in demand among bidders, franchise bidding may lead to an inefficient choice of supplier. If the bidder with the lowest bid were barred from the auction, total surplus might rise, even under economies of scale. This result does not hold, if demand is noncrossing and if bidders' cost functions are identical and exhibit economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-852 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600829123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600829123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:849-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tauhidur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Tauhidur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Determinants of public health expenditure: some evidence from Indian states Abstract: This study examines the evolution of public health expenditure in India. A panel data model is used to explain the main factors which affect public health expenditure in the period 1971 to 1991. The empirical results show that the key determinants in the explanation of the regional health expenditure are real state per capita income and literacy rate, while other structural demand variables such as the proportion of the state population over age 60, population per primary health care center and population per doctor are statistically insignificant factors. An income elasticity of 0.47 implies that health care is not a luxury good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-857 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:853-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Afonso Henriques Borges Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Afonso Henriques Borges Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime de Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Filho Title: The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in South American countries:a time-varying approach Abstract: Inasmuch as the investment-savings correlation is related to capital immobility and each country has specific and time-varying capital account liberalization and financial deregulation processes, we might not expect a constant and identical correlation for a group of countries. We performed both a constant (OLS) and a time-varying (Kalman filter) estimation of the investment-savings coefficient for Argentina, Brazil and Chile. As expected, the time-varying model presented a better fit, but our findings suggested that the investment-savings correlation is a misleading measure of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Medcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Medcalfe Title: English league transfer prices: is there a racial dimension? A re-examination with new data Abstract: Reilly and Witt (1995) examined the role of race in determining English football transfer prices. The aim of this article is to update their work with new and later data on productivity of football players. Using data from the 2001-2002 English league season, a transfer price equation is estimated to establish if equally productive black players command lower transfer prices. The evidence suggests they do not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoon-Jun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yoon-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Strategy of start-ups for IPO timing across high technology industries Abstract: The technology-based start-ups have emerged as important drivers of innovative activity across many industries. For these start-ups, the initial public offering (IPO) has been used as a measure for performance and leads to an influx of capital that enables these firms to implement their ideas. In this study, we focus on the timing of IPO between two industries. Empirically, we investigated corporate disclosure data and patent application data from 36 biotechnology (BT) firms and 166 information technology (IT) firms that are registered in KOSDAQ between 2000 and 2004. The results show that IT start-ups had better wait until the stock market becomes bullish, while BT start-ups had better go public quickly if possible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-877 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600820650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600820650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:869-877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karim Eslamloueyan Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Eslamloueyan Title: The effect of an interest-free banking system on level and volatility of inflation: a GARCH model Abstract: Some Muslim researchers argue that a no-interest financial system better achieves the goal of price stability. Using a GARCH model, this article examines the effect of an interest-free banking system on level and volatility of inflation in a country with a full-fledged no-interest financial system. Iran is chosen for our case study because it has initiated the most far-reaching experiments with interest-free banking in the Muslim world. The results indicate that the new financial setting in Iran has reduced inflation uncertainty but has failed to lower the level of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-882 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600892840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600892840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:879-882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gee San Author-X-Name-First: Gee Author-X-Name-Last: San Author-Name: Wen-Jhan Jane Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jhan Author-X-Name-Last: Jane Title: Wage dispersion and team performance: evidence from the small size professional baseball league in Taiwan Abstract: By using professional baseball teams in Taiwan as an example, these articles address the issue of how wage disparities affect organizational performance. Salary and performance data on 364 players on seven teams for the years 1990 through 2000 in Taiwan are collected and both fixed and random effect models together with an index to measure the intra- and inter-salary dispersion are used to investigate the effects of player's wage dispersion on the team's winning percentage, i.e. the team performance. Our empirical results show that teams with less total salary expenditures or greater wage disparity reduce the team's winning percentage and thus hinder the organizational performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-886 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:883-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Kailei Wei Author-X-Name-First: Kailei Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Genfu Feng Author-X-Name-First: Genfu Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Lin Song Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Economic growth in the presence of FDI: the perspective of newly industrializing economies Abstract: This article presents two propositions on the role of FDI in economic growth: (1) FDI is a mover of production efficiency and (2) FDI is a shifter of the host country's production frontier. It then employs a production function with a large panel data set from the Chinese regions over 1979-2003 to test the propositions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Identifying US turning points revisited: the panel model with the regime switching approach Abstract: This article proposes a panel model with a regime switching mechanism to analyse the feature of US business cycles. This Markov Switching Panel model is simple and can easily be estimated using Hamilton's (1989) method. We test the ability of the Markov Switching Panel model to identify US turning points using the US coincident indicator data. The empirical evidence shows that this model is highly capable of identifying US recessionary dates. It also has a better forecast performance than the Markov Switching vector autoregressive model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: John Smithin Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Smithin Title: Canadian monetary policy and the US federal funds rate Abstract: This article examines the empirical relation between the Canadian overnight rate and the US federal funds rate over the period 1975 to 2005. There is evidence of cointegration in the earlier part of the period from 1975 to 1988, but not in the post-1988 period to date. The inference is that the Bank of Canada has been pursuing monetary policy independently of the USA at least during the 1988 to 2005 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-904 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905048 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905048&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:899-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Hsun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Nai-Fong Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Nai-Fong Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Author-Name: Cheng-Da Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Nonlinear vs. nonstationary of hysteresis in unemployment: evidence from OECD economies Abstract: This study examines the lower and higher boundaries for the threshold value to be considered an indicator of unemployment in a specific country. Specially, the objective is to conduct the critical moment of hysteresis effects happening in unemployment rate using a group of 16 OECD countries. The methodological strategy applies a developed tool of threshold tests involving unit root against stationary but nonlinear alternative by Caner and Hansen (2001). A significant contribution of this study is identifying a trigger point from the nonstationary of time series process for the first time in the literature. Our empirical results finds strong evidence of the existence of nonlinear stationary in Australia, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Japan, Netherlands and the USA when the threshold effect holds. The hysteresis hypothesis is further confirmed by the fact that the unemployment rate exceeds the boundaries of the band, for Australia, Finland, France, Germany, Japan and the USA when the threshold unit root test of Caner and Hansen is rigorously implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-909 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:905-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Feige Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Feige Author-Name: Jeffrey Miron Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Miron Title: The opium wars, opium legalization and opium consumption in China Abstract: The effect of drug prohibition on drug consumption is a critical issue in debates over drug policy. One episode that provides information on the consumption-reducing efffect of drug prohibition is the Chinese legalization of opium in 1858. In this paper we examine the impact of China's opium legalization on the quantity and price of British opium exports from India to China during the nineteenth century. We find little evidence that legalization increased exports or decreased price. Thus, the evidence suggests China's opium prohibition had a minimal impact on opium consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-913 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:911-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Antoine Parent Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Parent Title: 1861 Abstract: We apply the outlier methodology to the issue of the regulation of Bimetallism. Did French and British central banks use their discount rates as a policy tool for currency stabilization over the period 1850-1870? The common view identifies Bimetallism as a pure automatic system constrained by specie points. Using outliers methodology we give evidence that the influence of the discount rate differential between France and England on the Sterling-Franc spot exchange rate was taken in default only on one occasion, on February 1861. The assessment of the historical context helps to understand this peculiar event which was only transitory. This article is an illustration of the importance of the outlier methodology in cliometrics as a mean to test conventional wisdom in economic history. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Title: Zipf's law and world income distribution Abstract: The aim of this article is to demonstrate regularity in the world income distribution. In particular, using GDP per capita data for the period 1980 to 2004, the article shows that the world income distribution follows the well know 'rank-size rule'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-923 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972261 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972261&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:921-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Maximization of nonresidential property tax revenue by a local government Abstract: The article presents a model of the market for commercial or industrial real estate at the local level that is used to derive an equation for the property tax rate that maximizes tax revenue - given that demand for real estate at the local level is highly elastic and capital is mobile in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: An alternative perspective on the stochastic convergence of incomes in the United States Abstract: In recent years a number of studies has examined the potential stochastic convergence of incomes in the United States. This research has been based upon examination of the order of integration of the ratios of regional levels of per-capita income relative to US aggregate per-capita income, with stationary of the ratios taken as evidence of stochastic convergence. In the present article this research and its implicit assumption that the individual regional and aggregate per-capita series are I(1), are revisited. In a departure from previous research, application of a more robust testing procedure incorporating two structural breaks to the individual aggregate and regional per-capita series, rather than their ratios, is seen to result in overwhelming rejection of the unit root hypothesis for all of the series examined. The unit root hypothesis is rejected also for more disaggregated State level data. The evidence of stationarity presented for the component per-capita income series suggests that care should be exercised when both interpreting results presented previously in the literature and conducting further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-934 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:929-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srijit Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Srijit Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: On measuring group-differentials displayed by socio-economic indicators: an extension Abstract: In a recent paper, Mishra and Subramanian (2006) propose a measure to explain group-differential which is sensitive to levels in the sense that a given hiatus at lower levels of failure (or higher levels of attainment) is considered worse off. This article critically evaluates their method - refines their two axioms, adds an additional axiom of normalization and proposes an alternative which is more general. It proposes to reduce subjectivity when there is lower hiatus at lower levels of failure and also addresses scenarios when rank ordering of sub-groups will be reversed. Empirical illustration with infant mortality rate data for selected Indian states is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Okmyung Bin Author-X-Name-First: Okmyung Author-X-Name-Last: Bin Author-Name: Carlos Martins-Filho Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Martins-Filho Title: Vehicle price and hydrocarbon emissions: evidence from the used-vehicle markets Abstract: This study examines how used-vehicle markets responded to the automobile hydrocarbon emissions by linking used-vehicle price to the large scale emission test data that contain 74 vehicle models manufactured over 18 years. An additive semiparametric hedonic model is estimated to analyse the relationship between vehicle price and hydrocarbon emissions. The estimation procedure is novel and involves a local polynomial estimator nested in a backfitting algorithm with the bandwidths chosen by a data-driven plug-in method. The results indicate that hydrocarbon emissions have a significant negative impact on vehicle price, but the negative association is evident only at low emission levels. The price discount appears to be unrelated to the increased costs from recent emission regulations that mainly target high-polluting vehicles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Ruey Yau Author-X-Name-First: Ruey Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Title: A dual-target monetary policy rule for open economies: an application to France Abstract: This article proposes a dual targets monetary policy rule for small open economies. In addition to a domestic monetary target, this rule targets the nominal exchange rate at a fixed level. The policy rule is derived from a dynamic programming problem and evaluated in the context of an open-economy model. Using French quarterly data from April 1977 to March 1998, counterfactual simulations show that the dual targets rule performs better than both the historical discretionary policy and the single money-targeting rule in reducing the inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972220 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972220&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Proposed separability restriction tests using nonparametric regression methods Abstract: This article proposes some tests for separability restriction incorporating nonparametric regression methods, as well as offering their general statistic characteristics. An effective separability restriction test is essential for appropriate model specification or appropriate implementation of semi-parametric estimation. In this article, I describe two procedures to yield the estimated residuals, which is very sensitive to separability restriction, upon which one test statistics is proposed. In some benchmark models of sine/cosine functions, I simulate out the probability density function of test statistics in a small sample. These presented results and analysis show that the proposed estimator is robust and effective to variable functional form of regression curves and to variable scale factors, broader than the 'optimal' level, and can be put conveniently and widely into a practical use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-954 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:949-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Nor Aishah Hamzah Author-X-Name-First: Nor Aishah Author-X-Name-Last: Hamzah Title: Real interest rate parity in the ASEAN-5 countries: a nonlinear perspective Abstract: This article aims at testing real interest parity (RIP) by using nonlinear unit root tests. The results from Kapetanios et al. (2003) demonstrated that the adjustment of ASEAN-5 real interest rates towards real interest rates in Japan and the US follows a nonlinear (stationary) process. Overall, the evidence is in favour of RIP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-958 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:955-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The asymmetric behaviour of stock returns and volatilities: evidence from Chinese stock market Abstract: This article investigates the partial adjustment process with asymmetries on Chinese stock index returns and volatilities. Rolling sample windows method is proper to capture evolving asymmetric behaviours of Chinese emerging stock market. The empirical evidence shows that index returns do have asymmetric adjustment behaviours in most of periods and the market tends to overreact to information contained in negative returns. No asymmetry volatility effect was present at the initial stages of the stock market. Along with the development of the market, the leverage effect are present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-962 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600970042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600970042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:959-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: The 'natural' bidimensional decomposition of inequality indices: evaluating factor contributions to households welfare inequality in Cameroon, 1996-2001 Abstract: This article proposes a simultaneous (income source and population subgroup) decomposition of inequality indices. The starting point is the Shorrocks' natural income source decomposition. The approach adopted leads to a factor contributions formula, which is independent of the inequality measure chosen. This method is applied to decompose and analyse Cameroonian households' inequality during the 1996-2001 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-970 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:963-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujin Oh Author-X-Name-First: Yujin Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Beong Soo So Author-X-Name-First: Beong Soo Author-X-Name-Last: So Title: A new robust sign test for cointegration Abstract: We propose new tests for cointegration based on signs of the residuals of the conventional t-test. Our tests have the limiting normal distribution under the null hypothesis and are robust to heavy tailed disturbances. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows the new tests have a stable size property and are locally more powerful than that of Engle and Granger (1987) for heavy tailed error distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-974 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:971-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hosung Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hosung Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: New results for nonstationary panel regression Abstract: This article derives the limiting distributions of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Least Square Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in both spurious and cointegrated panel regressions. The limit theories employed in this article are different from those of Kao (1999) and Phillips and Moon (1999), in which the time dimension of the panel is fixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: The impact of cross-border mergers on investment Abstract: This article examines the empirical link between mergers and investment using a panel of 61 developed and developing countries between 1987 and 2001. The results indicate that, on average, a rise in cross-border merger and acquisition activity tends to reduce investment. However, in high-income countries, the number of mergers had a positive impact on investment. This finding could be due to stock market inefficiencies in these low- to middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-984 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:981-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Author-Name: Francis O'Toole Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: O'Toole Title: Preferences for specific social welfare expenditures in Ireland Abstract: Many articles examine general level preferences for redistribution. However, few articles examine preferences for specific forms of redistribution. This article examines the decomposition of demand for three major categories of social welfare expenditure in Ireland: unemployment payments, old age pensions and child benefit. The determinants of preferences are found to be fairly consistent with a self-interested economics perspective with respect to the utilization and financing of these three specific schemes. In addition, the split sampling procedure used in the nationwide survey indicated that the provision of information on the schemes' costs did not have a significant effect on preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 985-989 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:985-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Author-Name: Venkata Puduri Author-X-Name-First: Venkata Author-X-Name-Last: Puduri Title: The influence of Agro-terrorism on consumers' preference for locally grown products: a case-study from New Jersey Abstract: The economics of agro-terrorism has not been fully developed within the economics literature, yet with increasing concerns about agro-terrorism it is important to understand how consumers will generally respond. This article presents an overview of food safety issues, and develops an economic model that can be used to illustrate and establish hypotheses regarding consumer behaviour and agro-terrorism. We then present sample and econometric results from a survey of 304 New Jersey consumers and explain the characteristics of the 33% that confirmed that they have increased purchases of locally grown produce due to terrorism fears. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-995 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:991-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Marvao Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Marvao Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Rui Manuel Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Rui Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Controlling the public wage bill in Portugal: the case of university professors Abstract: Public wages are a large share of the public budget in Portugal and, therefore, hiring freezes are a central feature of the efforts to control the public deficit. The system of public career advancement, however, may lead to increases in the wage bill even in the presence of hiring freezes. We estimate this wage drift effect in the case of university professors. We use a logit analysis with 1999 census data to identify the determinants of career advancement, to estimate the employment distribution in previous years and to obtain the corresponding wage bill. We estimate that the annual wage drift is 2.6%, a figure well above the gross domestic product growth rate and, therefore, we conclude that hiring freezes may be far from enough to stop the expansion of the public wage bill. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1000 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:997-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Title: Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with multi-breaks Abstract: In this article, we propose residual-based tests for cointegration in models with multi-breaks. Cointegration can be tested regardless of whether there exist structural breaks. For a one-point break, we usually use the test proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996). However, this test has not been considered in the case of multistructural breaks. Therefore, we extend this test by considering multi-point breaks. We derive the asymptotic distribution and critical values of the test statistics. Since the critical values of the test statistics are not exact values, we derive these using the Monte Carlo simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1006 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1001-1006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Final modification of the LM unit root test Abstract: This article proposes a modified version of the LM unit root test, which is efficient and independent from the levels regression intercept, under both null and alternative hypotheses. Simulated critical values are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1009 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1007-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yewfoong Lam Author-X-Name-First: Yewfoong Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Title: Resource booms and economic development: the time series dynamics for 17 oil-rich countries Abstract: This article examines the time series properties of oil prices and economic development for 17 oil-rich developing countries. Cointegration and error-correction estimation results indicate that in the majority of cases oil booms are followed by increases in both GDP per capita and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1014 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1011-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Rosalia Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosalia Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Ana Jesus Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Some empirical evidence on Internet diffusion in the New Member States and Candidate Countries of the European Union Abstract: This article contributes to the line of research devoted to the diffusion of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT). In particular, we analyse Internet adoption in the New Member States (NMS) and Candidate Countries (CC) of the European Union, for which empirical evidence is quite scarce. Results confirm that income, educational attainment and age are the main determinants of Internet use. Nonetheless, there are substantial differences in the impacts of such variables in the nine analysed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1015-1018 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1015-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiichi Tomiura Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tomiura Title: Foreign outsourcing and the product cycle: evidence from micro data Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on the product cycle and the firm's make-or-buy decision by using a firm-level data set with a direct measure of foreign outsourcing. Across industries, foreign outsourcing tends to be inactive in R&D-intensive industries. Within each industry, products exported from the home country are on average significantly more R&D intensive than those outsourced to independent foreign firms. Products manufactured within subsidiaries at South tend to have medium R&D intensity. This ordering in R&D intensity is consistent with the theoretical prediction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: What determines the spatial distribution of homeless people in Japan? Abstract: The number of homeless people has been increasing dramatically in Japan since the collapse of the bubble economy in the early of 1990s. This article is the first economic analysis using Geographic Information System (GIS) data to study the spatial distribution of Japan's homeless population. Results suggest that the availability of employment, public medical care and food significantly affect the spatial distribution of Japan's homeless. New supportive facilities and shelters for the homeless should be located in areas with a high availability of employment, inexpensive or free medical care and food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1026 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1023-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Measuring inflation targeting's impact on the macroeconomy Abstract: This article analyses inflation targeting's (IT) impact on key macroeconomic variables in Australia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Israel, Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom in the spirit of Mishkin and Posen (1997). Across this sample, inflation and interest rates predicted from parsimonious, automatically reduced VARs consistently overestimate those observed following IT adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1035 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1027-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaliappa Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: Kaliappa Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Title: Gravity model specification and estimation: revisited Abstract: The gravity model is one of the most frequently estimated empirical relationships in economics. However, the most commonly used form of the relationship is not correctly specified. This article discusses the specific sources of imprecision in modelling and estimation of gravity equations and suggests a method to correct the specification bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1039 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1037-1039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Duro Title: Cross-country inequalities in welfare and its decomposition by Sen factors: the virtues of the Theil index Abstract: In this study a new decomposition of the Theil index is proposed using multiplicative factors, which improves on that suggested in Duro (2001), and that, in particular, makes it possible to obtain, in isolation, the role attributable to the elements of factorial correlation. The Theil index, as a referential index in analysis, seems more attractive to us than log variance (Ezcurra and Pascual, 2005) for a variety of reasons. The application of the said decomposition for the analysis of international inequalities in terms of welfare levels, taking the Sen's factors (Sen, 1974, 1976), demonstrates that the bulk of these are determined by disparities in income per capita as well as their recent decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1045 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1041-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Fiscal policy, profits and investment: some additional evidence Abstract: This article provides time series evidence on the effects of fiscal policy on profits and investment in the US. In addition to neoclassical models of investment and profits we also consider Keynesian models. Our findings provide some support for the neoclassical views. However, Keynesian explanations, which allow for the effects of the real interest rate, receive strong support from the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1051 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1047-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Kou Shang Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Kou Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Wei-Ting Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Fei-Ching Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fei-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Service outsourcing and hotel performance: three-stage DEA analysis Abstract: This article is the first to apply the three-stage DEA procedure to analyze the impact of service outsourcing on the performance of hotels. In the first stage of analysis, outsourcing hotels are more efficient than nonoutsourcing hotels. However, after purging the effects of exogenous factors, this study found that the average managerial efficiency score computed in the three-stage DEA procedure was 0.917 or alternatively that hotels on average are 8.3% resources waste. Furthermore, service outsourcing is not the main determinant of the efficiency of international tourist hotels in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1057 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1053-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Competitive structure of Canadian wheat exports in the world market Abstract: This article re-examines competitive structure of Canadian wheat exporters for evidence of pricing-to-market by the Canadian Wheat Board (CWB), and extends the extant literature by utilizing a broader range of data over importing countries, which better facilitates the detection of pricing behaviour. Our analysis yields interesting empirical results that contrast with other recent arguments. In particular, we find that the CWB exercises mixed practices having market power in a limited extent, getting premiums with better quality of its wheat in some markets and providing wheat at discounted prices in some other destination countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1064 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1059-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Jinyoung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jinyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Empirical investigation of disintegrations and nationalism Abstract: This article empirically investigates the relationship between government size and country size for the new countries that gained independence between 1990 and 1993. The relationship between democracy and country size is also investigated. It is found that new independent states have higher public expenditures in gross domestic product and this may be a sign of inefficient use of public resources. However, political disintegrations do not necessarily deliver more civil liberties and political rights. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1071 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1065-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Interregional productivity variations in Chinese manufacturing and mining industry Abstract: A shift-share model is employed to analyse the interregional productivity variations in Chinese manufacturing and mining industry. Our empirical results show that sector productivity difference is huge; surprisingly, the most productive coastal regions are found to be specialized in low-productive sectors; the inland provinces suffer a uniform productivity lag, which suggests policies geared to increase regional productivity, such as infrastructures and human capital, are crucial to close the productivity gap between the inland and the costal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taufiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taufiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Myles Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Myles Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Interest rate convergence in the Baltic countries of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia Abstract: For the three Baltic countries we find foreign interest rates a more important determinant of domestic interest rates than domestic inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1083 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1079-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: John Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: 'D' is for dilly-dally? Abstract: Evidence from online assignments in an intermediate microeconomics course suggests that nonprocrastinators (both early-starters and front-loaders) score higher than their dilly-dallying counterparts. Students who are busier in school tend to start their assignments earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1085-1088 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1085-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haruko Noguchi Author-X-Name-First: Haruko Author-X-Name-Last: Noguchi Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Nonprofit wage premium in the Japanese child care market: evidence from employer-employee matched data Abstract: Using unique employer-employee matched data, this study reveals the existence of a nonprofit wage premium in Japan's child care industry. Nonprofits reward experienced workers with higher education, associated with the quality of care, more than their for-profit counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1092 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1089-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Further evidence on purchasing power parity over two centuries with multiple changes in persistence Abstract: By allowing for multiple changes in persistence, this note shows that the US/UK real exchange rate spanning two centuries is stationary. This result is consistent with the previous one in Lothian and Taylor (1996, 2000) and purchasing power parity is a useful approximation in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1096 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1093-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang-Young Rhyu Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Rhyu Title: Determining the existence of Amakudari in publicly-traded Japanese companies: a Poisson regression approach Abstract: Amakudari is a political-economic phenomenon frequently observed in the Japanese economy and other modern societies. Retired high-ranking bureaucrats are appointed as top executives in lucrative private firms that are controlled by the government ministry or main banks that Amakudari once regulated. These high-ranking ex-government officials use their influence for favourable legislation and treatment to help their companies. Due to the fact that Japanese publicly traded companies hire mostly a smaller portion of directors through Amakudari and sometimes none of them are hired, the most commonly used classical linear regression framework cannot be applied due to violating an assumption on the continuous dependent variable. Instead, this study adopts a counting-process regression approach in order to explain the existence of Amakudari using 2003 data of all publicly traded companies in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1103 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1097-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Title: Diversity and employment growth in sub-regions of Great Britain Abstract: This article presents evidence from an empirical study of employment growth across 203 sub-regions of Great Britain using OLS and maximum likelihood spatial econometric techniques. The results suggest a positive relationship between diversity and local employment growth implying that cross-sector externalities may be of considerable importance to the local growth process. The presence of spatial autocorrelation in the data suggests the existence of substantive interactions across contiguous sub-regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1105-1109 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1105-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Kam Ng Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Kam Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Title: Technical analysis and the London stock exchange: testing the MACD and RSI rules using the FT30 Abstract: This article examines two oscillators - the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) - to see if these rules are profitable. Using 60-year data of the London Stock Exchange FT30 Index, it is found that the RSI as well as the MACD rules can generate returns higher than the buy-and-hold strategy in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1114 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1111-1114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarcisio da Graca Author-X-Name-First: Tarcisio Author-X-Name-Last: da Graca Title: Leaving money on the table: evidence of underpricing in the Brazilian privatization auctions Abstract: The Brazilian privatization program raised about US$100 billion as a result of the sale of state-owned firms and assets over the period 1990 to 2001. Despite official claims that the privatization auctions were successful in revenue raising, statistical evidence suggests that the buyers, not the government, profited from the auctions. Using an event-study methodology and financial market data, I estimated the abnormal returns realized by the winning bidders on the days of the Brazilan privatization auctions. Statistically significant evidence suggests that the acquirers accrued, on average, positive 0.70% abnormal returns on those days. In other words, if the privatization auctions had been able to extract the entire surplus from the buyers, the Brazilian government could have raised another US$ 13 billion. This finding contrasts with two branches of literature related to mergers and acquisitions in the private sector and to the privatization programs in other countries Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1121 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1115-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandru Todea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Todea Author-Name: Adrian Zoicas-Ienciu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Zoicas-Ienciu Title: Episodic dependencies in Central and Eastern Europe stock markets Abstract: This article introduces a modified version of the Hinich and Patterson (1995) windowed-test procedure and uses it to detect linear and nonlinear dependencies in the case of six Central and East European stock markets. Testing the original methodology leads us to the same conclusions as those found on other emerging markets: relatively long random walk periods are interrupted by short and intense linear and/or nonlinear correlations. But, our findings diverge when we run the modified test procedure, additional windows rejecting the random walk hypothesis (RWH) being isolated. This divergence, heavily weighing the task of correctly evaluating the informational efficiency degree (the weak form), is significant for the Czech, Hungarian and Romanian markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1126 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1123-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Fielding Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Author-Name: Anja Shortland Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Shortland Title: What drives national attitudes towards the threat of violence? Cross-sectional evidence from foreign tourism in Israel Abstract: We explore the factors explaining cross-sectional variation in changes in international tourist arrivals into Israel during the Intifada. Much of the variation is attributable to identifiable socio-economic characteristics, providing evidence on what drives public sensitivity to violence around the world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1130 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1127-1130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Varoutas Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Varoutas Author-Name: K. Deligiorgi Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Deligiorgi Author-Name: C. Michalakelis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Michalakelis Author-Name: T. Sphicopoulos Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Sphicopoulos Title: A hedonic approach to estimate price evolution of telecommunication services: evidence from Greece Abstract: Following a description of the leased lines telecommunication market, a single index (based on hedonic approach) for this market is introduced based on data across Europe. This article aims to provide a framework for analysing telecommunication prices over time and study how the prices will fluctuate during coming years, especially as new technologies are commercially provided. The behaviour of the Greek market is analysed from 1997 to 2002. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1131-1134 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1131-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Yin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jue-Shyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jue-Shyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Capital outflow and unemployment: evidence from panel data Abstract: The effect of moving capital abroad on the domestic labour market is ambiguous. We examine the relation between capital outflow and unemployment with the use of panel data techniques. The result shows that in developing countries, the outward direct investment is beneficial to employment and the effect of portfolio investment abroad on domestic employment is negative. However, the association between outward investment and employment is insignificant in industrial countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1139 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1135-1139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: On the dynamic relationship of exchange rates and monetary fundamentals: an impulse-response analysis by local projections Abstract: Meese and Rogoff (1983) first examined the dynamic relationship between exchange rates and monetary fundamentals and indicated that monetary fundamentals do not contain predictive component of exchange rates changes at short horizon. This note re-examines this relationship by estimating the local projections (Jorda, 2005) to calculate the responses of the exchange rate to monetary fundamental impulse. As a result, we confirm the dynamic relationship: Evidence from both cubic and linear projections show that monetary fundamentals contain information of future exchange rate changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1145 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1141-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengsi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chengsi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Structural instability of US inflation persistence Abstract: The article employs recently developed unknown break tests to characterize the nature of structural instability in inflation persistence and find multiple structural breaks in the persistence of six major US inflation series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1147-1151 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1147-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valerie Cerra Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Cerra Author-Name: Sweta Saxena Author-X-Name-First: Sweta Author-X-Name-Last: Saxena Title: Business cycle dynamics in a small open economy Abstract: This article combines common factor extraction techniques with permanent and temporary regime switching to analyse Chile's business cycle fluctuations. We find asymmetries across business cycle episodes as well as within the cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1157 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1153-1157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: A note on reverse competition and the Martha Stewart sentencing Abstract: This study notes that the light sentence for insider trading that resulted in a nearly 37% gain for Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia, Inc. also may have been responsible for a small but significant average loss for industry rivals on the sentencing date. The sentence that was 'good' news for Martha was also 'bad' news for her competitors on the sentencing date. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1159-1161 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1159-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gail Shields Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Four themes to explain the rise in hours worked in the United States Abstract: This article examines why hours worked in the United States have risen for the last thirty years. This increase has been contrasted by Prescott and Blanchard to the European experience of falling hours worked. Four basic explanations of this divergence are combined in a reduced form model of hours worked in the United States from 1965 to 2001. The explanation that seems to fit the data best is that rising health care costs in the United States is a key explanation. Other explanations for the increase in United States average hours worked per week include a decline in marginal tax rates, a rise in income inequality coupled with a decline in real wage rates, and productivity growth. A reduced form model is estimated using four explanatory variables representing each of these four themes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1163-1166 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1163-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nishiyama Title: German leadership: evidence from retail mortgage rates Abstract: The article finds evidence that the converging trend of euro-zone countries' retail mortgage rates, observed before and shortly after the introduction of the euro, is dictated by the German mortgage rate, hence supporting the German leadership role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1170 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1167-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saumik Paul Author-X-Name-First: Saumik Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Ronita Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Ronita Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: How predictable are the FIFA worldcup football outcomes? An empirical analysis Abstract: Since 1993 the Federation of International Football Association's (FIFA) monthly world ranking system for senior national football teams has become a reliable source to judge a team's potentiality in football. In the past four FIFA worldcup football tournaments from 1994 to 2006, the top seeded team never won the FIFA worldcup except in 1994 when Brazil won as the number one team. This article examines the strength of this element of uncertainty in FIFA worldcup using two empirical models. We find empirical evidence of the fact that in spite of the number of cases of surprise upsets from the lower ranked teams or poor performance by the top seeded teams; overall the results are strongly in favour of the higher ranked teams. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1176 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1171-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kong Weng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Kong Weng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Randy Tan Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Nonmonotonic relationship between human capital and unemployment: an exploratory study with empirical evidence on Singapore Abstract: We examine empirically the role of human capital, together with global and domestic technologies, in the evolution of unemployment in Singapore. Our results show a threshold level of human capital, below (above) which increases (decreases) in human capital will reduce (raise) unemployment. This nonmonotonic relationship is caused by a greater substitution from labour toward technology feasible at higher levels of human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1185 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461399 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461399&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1177-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minchoul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minchoul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Ronald McNiel Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: McNiel Title: Predicting survival prospect of corporate restructuring in Korea Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the success factors of corporate restructuring by studying the firms that have survived from the financial distress in South Korea. The logit analysis is used with the two qualitative variables of success and failure. Selected independent variables are firm risk, free asset, audit opinion, liquidity, firm size and period of existence. The results show that audit opinion, risk of the firm and firm size are the important variables in predicting the survival prospect of financially distressed firms. The percentage of correct prediction is 81.4% for the estimation sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1190 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018080 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018080&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1187-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young-Yong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Some reasons for the existence of real bills Abstract: It is profitable to accept a bill as long as dishonouring probability of the bill is less than the ratio of operating income to sales, which is supported by empirical observations. Also accepting bills tends to establish high quality customer relationships, thereby increasing the long-run profits and decreasing their variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1191-1195 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1191-1195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Author-Name: Eleftherios Goulas Author-X-Name-First: Eleftherios Author-X-Name-Last: Goulas Title: The relative importance of sector and country factors for leasing penetration rates across European industries Abstract: We investigate the relative importance of sector and country factors in explaining the variation of leasing penetration rates across industries in Europe. According to our results, country effects represent the dominant driving factor for leasing when compared to sector effects. An explanation might be that the country factors overshadow the corresponding sector ones for they capture the depth and development of the leasing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1200 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007083 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007083&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1197-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Consumer sentiment and business cycles: a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation scenario Abstract: We seek to demonstrate that consumer sentiment may create fluctuations in economic activity. Our nonlinear discrete-time model possesses, for instance, a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, after which a stable steady state is replaced by (quasi-)periodic motion. Countercyclical interventions to stabilize the economy may even produce complex (chaotic) business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1205 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1201-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Huang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Huang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yun-Wu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jer-Shiou Chiou Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Shiou Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou Title: The impacts of sociopolitical instability on construction dimension Abstract: Most existing studies focus on establishing models of interdependence between the construction sector and performance of the national economy, this issue was initiated from financial markets in this study. By adopting an autoregressive conditional jump intensity model, this study examined how various unpredictable events impact the construction sector. Dependence on the arrival process governing jump events in a discrete-time setting was explored, in addition to the behaviour of the fundamental properties of structure index during periods of distinct events. Although the market efficiency hypothesis still holds, results of this study demonstrate that acquisition announcements are perceived as discrete sudden shocks by the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Kumar Bundoo Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bundoo Title: An augmented Fama and French three-factor model: new evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: There were forty equity stocks listed on the stock exchange of Mauritius as at end of December 2004. Fama and French (1993) posit that a possible explanation for the size and book-to-market equity effects could be due to other risk factors not captured in a standard capital asset pricing model. This paper therefore investigates whether on the stock exchange of Mauritius, when taking into account the time variation in risk (as measured by time-varying betas), the two additional factors are still priced. The paper presents an augmented model, which takes into account the time variation in beta, in addition to the size and book-to-market equity factors. It is found that the coefficients for the size effect and the book-to-market equity effect are all significant at the one percent level and with the expected signs. These effects do not disappear. This shows that the Fama and French three factor model is robust to taking into account time-varying betas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1218 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1213-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chih Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do foreign trading patterns cause abnormal information from Taiwanese stock markets? Abstract: This study investigates whether foreign investors cause abnormal information by jump process in the Taiwanese stock market during before and after relaxation of the restrictions on QFII investors on 2 October 2003 (pre- and post-QFII). By conducting further analysis, this study conducts detailed analysis and explores how abnormal information and QFII behaviour are related by performing correlation and Granger causality analyses. This study concludes that the release of restrictions on QFII has been extremely helpful in improving the domestic investment environment and stabilizing the Taiwanese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1224 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018056 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018056&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1219-1224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: A note on spurious regressions between stationary series Abstract: This article examines if the convergent t-test suggested by Sun (2004) is able to solve spurious regressions with stationary series. In brief, we find that the convergent t-test does provide better control over size compared to the usual t-test and its Newey-West modification and, in most cases implementing a pre-whitening procedure size is further controlled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1225-1230 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1225-1230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Diffusion of home computers and social networks: a study using Japanese panel data Abstract: In this article, I explore the interaction effects of social networks and local spillovers in the diffusion of computers using the panel data from 47 Japanese prefectures for the years 1988-2000. Controlling for unobserved prefecture-specific fixed effects and an endogeneity bias of the lagged dependent variable (the computer possession rate), I find that people are more likely to own computers in areas where the possession rate of computers is higher and where social networks are more strongly connected. Further results suggest a robust complementarity between existing computer owners and the social network. Overall, the empirical study provides evidence that the people learn from neighbours who own computers via a social network enhancing spillovers and reducing transaction costs. That is, the social network reduces the cost of being acquainted with experienced computer owners and so being able to learn from them, thereby attracting new adopters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1235 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1231-1235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Editorial: Long-run purchasing power parity and real exchange rates: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 18 empirical studies that make up this special issue on long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) and real exchange rates. The motivation for the special issue was to bring together a set of studies as diverse as possible in terms of countries, real exchange rates and methodology, as a means of testing the robustness of long-run PPP. Overall, the results of the various studies provide robust support for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802704280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802704280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Arti Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Evidence on PPP from a cointegration test with multiple structural breaks Abstract: Despite a plethora of studies on purchasing power parity (PPP), those that take a cointegration approach have found mixed evidence on PPP. The goal of this article is to obviate existing tensions in the PPP literature by using a simple test for cointegration between nominal exchange rate and relative prices that accounts for multiple structural breaks. We find that for 14 out of 15 OECD countries, there is evidence of a cointegration relationship between nominal exchange rate and relative prices at the 5% level. Only for Japan, we find evidence for cointegration at the 2.5% level. These results suggest overwhelming evidence of support for PPP for the OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-8 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:5-8 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Christoph Hanck Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Hanck Title: Cointegration tests of PPP: do they also exhibit erratic behaviour? Abstract: We analyse whether tests of PPP exhibit erratic behaviour (as previously reported by Caporale et al., 2003) even when (possibly unwarranted) homogeneity and proportionality restrictions are not imposed, and trivariate cointegration (stage-three) tests between the nominal exchange rate, domestic and foreign price levels are carried out (instead of stationarity tests on the real exchange rate, as in stage-two tests). We examine the US dollar real exchange rate vis-a-vis 21 other currencies over a period of more than a century, and find that stage-three test statistics are also somewhat erratic, though less than stage-two ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802092198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802092198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:9-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Are real exchange rates more likely to be stationary during the fixed nominal exchange rate regimes? Abstract: By testing for the presence of multiple changes in persistence at a priori unknown dates in the real exchange rates spanning more than 100 years over different nominal exchange rate regimes, this note shows that the real exchange rates are more likely to be stationary during the fixed nominal exchange rate regimes than during the floating ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:17-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozgur Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: Levent Korap Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Korap Title: Are real exchange rates mean reverting? Evidence from a panel of OECD countries Abstract: In our article we employ some contemporaneous panel unit root tests (Maddala and Wu, 1999; Im et al., 2003) to examine whether the real exchange rates are mean reverting. Considering a panel of 26 OECD countries from 1987 to 2006 both using monthly and quarterly observations, we find that assuming a panel framework significantly increases the power of unit root tests. As a result, we find that the nonstationarity of the real exchange rate has strongly been rejected in favour of giving support to the purchasing power parity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735773 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735773&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:23-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Financial integration and parity reversion in real exchange rates of emerging markets Abstract: Johansen's cointegration technique was utilized with annual data on exchange rates and GDP deflators to investigate the validity of long-run PPP (power purchasing parity) in emerging markets during the 1955-2005 period. We found support for PPP. Given the globalization of financial markets and their impacts on the macroeconomy, PPP is a useful guide for exchange rate policy reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. V. Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: J. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: F. Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: S. Torra-Porras Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Torra-Porras Title: Purchasing power parity and nonlinear adjustment Abstract: In this article we study the out-of-sample real exchange rate forecasts of an Artificial Neural Network model, an AR model and a random walk model. The results confirm the relevance of nonlinear adjustment in the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minoas Koukouritakis Author-X-Name-First: Minoas Author-X-Name-Last: Koukouritakis Title: Testing the purchasing power parity: evidence from the new EU countries Abstract: This article examines the validity of the purchasing power parity (PPP) between each of the 12 new EU countries vis-a-vis the Eurozone. Using the Johansen cointegration methodology for a period that begins from the mid-1990s and allowing for a structural break for the countries that joined the EU on May 2004, it is found that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship among the nominal exchange rate, the domestic prices and the foreign prices, for all the new EU countries. The evidence also suggests that the PPP vector enters the cointegration space for Bulgaria, Cyprus, Romania and Slovenia, which means that only for these countries the long-run PPP vis-a-vis the Eurozone is verified. For the rest of the new EU countries the long-run PPP is violated, may due to the fact that the currencies of these countries have been pegged to the euro and cannot reflect the inflation differences vis-a-vis the Eurozone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Oh Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: K. Han Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Purchasing power parity in Korean city panels with disaggregate price indices Abstract: We examine whether the purchasing power parity holds between Korean major cities. We use the disaggregated consumer price index data for Korean cities including 13 tradable or nontradable goods. We apply panel unit root tests of Maddala and Wu (1999), Choi (2001) and Im et al. (2003). From the empirical result, we are able to reject the nonstationary null hypothesis for six of eight tradable goods and for two of five nontradable goods at the 10% level. Thus we could conclude that the theory holds between Korean major cities. Also, it holds more for tradable goods than nontradable goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964323 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964323&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:45-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Hock-Ann Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hock-Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Purchasing power parity in Asian economies: further evidence from rank tests for cointegration Abstract: The finding of nonlinear cointegration between Asian exchange rates with the corresponding relative prices and aggregate price levels based on Breitung's (2001) nonparametric rank tests reinforces previous validations of purchasing power parity (PPP) by the parametric testing procedures. Hence, the long-run Asian exchange rates are in equilibrium with the relevant fundamentals as suggested by the PPP hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Purchasing power parity and long memory Abstract: This article examines the validity of purchasing power parity by estimating long memory parameters with recently suggested exact local Whittle estimators of Shimotsu and Phillips (2005). Little evidence is found for stationarity in the real exchange rates spanning more than 100 years from 16 advanced countries. However, most of the estimates of long memory parameters are less than 1, so that they indicate mean-reversion to parity. Hence, purchasing power parity holds for most real exchange rates studied here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601044961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601044961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:55-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: New evidence of the validity of purchasing power parity from Turkey Abstract: The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) is examined between Turkey and trading partners, namely USA, Germany, Japan, France, Netherlands and UK. Different unit root test and different base countries are used to determine if the validity of PPP is influenced by the type of test and/or the base country. According to estimation results PPP in Turkey is sensitive to the choice of the base country and can be influenced by the type of test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701351902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701351902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Financial globalization and purchasing power parity in the G7 countries Abstract: Financial globalization has huge opportunities and risks as it transforms supply and demand conditions in various countries. Competent macroeconomic management is needed to address the growing links between national economies and global financial markets. Johansen's cointegration technique was utilized with annual data on exchange rates and four price deflators (e.g. consumer price index, Wholesale Price Index (WPI), food price index and producer price index for manufacturing) to investigate the validity of long-run purchasing power parity in the G7 countries during the 1951 to 2006 period. We found support for purchasing power parity, thereby making it a useful guide for exchange rate policy reforms. Depending on the price index used, adjustment to exchange rate and price shocks take 0.35-8.20 years to return to equilibrium levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802360058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802360058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:69-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi Keung Marco Lau Author-X-Name-First: Chi Keung Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: A more powerful panel unit root test with an application to PPP Abstract: Applying the new panel unit root test developed in this article, we can overcome the pitfalls of old-fashioned panel unit root tests making it possible for researchers testing individual series for a unit root while taking contemporaneous cross- sectional dependence into account. The proposed test is indeed more powerful than univariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test in rejecting false I(1) time series. The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis on four OECD countries was tested between year 1950 and 1995. Evidence in favor of long-run PPP was absent when using single ADF and traditional panel data unit root test, however, when using the new test developed in this article we find strong evidence in favour of long-run purchasing power parity for three out of four OECD countries. The finite sample performance of the new test is examined though Monte Carlo Simulation, and was superior as compared to that of single ADF unit root test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-80 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:75-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasip Bolatoglu Author-X-Name-First: Nasip Author-X-Name-Last: Bolatoglu Author-Name: Funda Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Funda Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: Stochastic behaviour of the real exchange rate for Jordan: a re-examination Abstract: The purpose of this article is to re-examine the validity of the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis for Jordan. Using a Markov-switching model, we provide some evidence that the real exchange rate of Jordan is stationary during periods of low real exchange rate volatility and nonstationary during periods of high real exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:81-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Title: Purchasing power parity in Central and Eastern European countries: an analysis of unit roots and nonlinearities Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the empirical fulfilment of purchasing power parity (PPP) in a number of Central and Eastern European countries. For this purpose we apply two different unit root tests in order to control for two sources of nonlinearities, i.e. Bierens (1997) and Kapetanios et al. (2003). We find that PPP holds in most of these countries once account has been taken of nonlinear deterministic trends and smooth transitions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-94 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:87-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Functional forms and PPP: new evidence for eight Asian countries Abstract: This article applies the extended Box-Cox model to test functional forms of purchasing power parity (PPP) for eight selected Asian countries. Both the CPI and the PPI are considered. The relative price is the major determinant of the nominal exchange rate except for Malaysia when the CPI is used. The widely used double-log form for PPP can be rejected in seven of the eight countries when the CPI is used and in six of the eight countries when the PPI is used. The unitary elasticity cannot be rejected for Korea when the CPI is used and can be rejected for other cases. Hence, most countries have a nonlinear functional form of PPP and exhibit a nonunitary elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yilmaz Akdi Author-X-Name-First: Yilmaz Author-X-Name-Last: Akdi Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Hasan Olgun Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Title: Testing the PPP hypothesis for G-7 countries Abstract: This article applies the model free, seasonality robust periodogram test, and the conventional augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test to the real exchange rates (RER) of the G-7 countries. The empirical results show that the periodogram test rejects the null of unit root for a larger number of countries compared to the ADF test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018551 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018551&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Kamrul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Kamrul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Does the relative population growth affect purchasing power parity? Abstract: Relative population growth affects price levels through its effect on money demand and that in turn impacts Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Standard time series econometrics is used to investigate this issue using data from 30 selected countries. The empirical results show that there is stable relationship between PPP exchange rate and relative population growth in selected countries in the long run. These findings demonstrate that population growth influences exchange rate determination through PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-107 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:103-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Acosta Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta Author-Name: Gabriel Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: A simple IM test for exponential distributions Abstract: We construct a simple information matrix misspecification test for exponential distributions that can be applied in duration models. We evaluate the test performance using Monte Carlo simulation experiments. We found good empirical size properties and good power against Weibull and Gamma distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:109-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Peter DaDalt Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: DaDalt Title: Does founding family control affect earnings management? Abstract: Because of concentrated ownership stakes, board composition and longer-investment horizons, founding-family controlled firms provide an interesting setting for examining issues relating to governance and control. Anderson and Reeb (2003a, b, 2004), find that the founding-family controlled structure results in superior stock market and accounting performance and lower cost of debt compared to their nonfamily controlled counterparts. We add to their findings by examining the relationships between founding family control and earnings management. The unique characteristics of family controlled firms could insulate these firms from pressures to manage earnings. Our results support this notion, and find that family firms are significantly less likely to manage earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540701720592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540701720592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:113-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: A comparison of forecasting performance between ECM and the difference ARX model Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulations, we compare the forecasting performance of the single equation error correction model (SEECM) with that of the (misspecified) difference autoregressive model with exogenous variables (ARX). The main result of the article is that the SEECM produces superior forecasts for short horizons, but not for long horizons, as shown analytically by Christoffersen and Diebold (1999). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haibin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Haibin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Entry barriers and markup ratios: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article examines the effects of industrial natural entry barrier and country entry regulation on industrial markups for 13 OECD countries. We find that markup ratios are high in industries with high natural entry barrier and in countries with high-entry regulation. In addition, markups are high in high natural entry barrier industries in high-entry regulation countries. However, all these effects are not significant, thus implying that entry barrier may not have a strong effect on the market power or profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:125-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruth Williams Author-X-Name-First: Ruth Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: D. P. Doessel Author-X-Name-First: D. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Doessel Title: Improving mental health inequality? Some initial evidence from Australia Abstract: This study statistically analyses the location and distribution of some aspects of mental health in Queensland. The health status measured here is not the conventional 'count' approach, i.e. counting people diagnosed with/without illness, but rather an approach that was developed in the context of mortality, by Silber and subsequently Le Grand. The present context is morbidity. We measure the years lived free of serious mental illness, for people who subsequently contract these illnesses. A complete enumeration dataset (i.e. not a sample), namely, the Queensland hospital admissions dataset commencing in 1964, is available. Specific illness codings are for conditions so consistently serious that hospital admission invariably occurred throughout the 40-year period. The present study is partial, but has two major advantages. First, the measure incorporates the notion that the later in life is the onset of serious mental illness, the better. Second, although age distribution measurement is not possible with 'count' data, it is possible with this approach. Inequality measures, such as the Gini coefficient, are applied to measure the inequality in the distribution. Time series on mental health and mental health inequality, for males and females, are thus generated and statistically analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:131-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Is there a natural suicide rate? Abstract: In order to explore whether societies have a natural (nonzero) suicide rate, regression equations were derived predicting the suicide rate over the regions of 11 nations and over time in 13 nations from the divorce and unemployment rates. All of the regression equations had positive constant terms, indicating a nonzero, positive natural suicide when socio-economic conditions were set to minimize the suicide rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:137-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bayer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bayer Author-Name: Carsten Burhop Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Burhop Title: If only I could sack you! Management turnover and performance in Great German Banks between 1874 and 1913 Abstract: We analyse the relation of firm performance and managerial turnover in 19th century German banking by probit estimation. This period covers a major reform of corporate governance. Before the reform performance and turnover were unrelated, whereas after the reform more successful managers left firms more seldom. However, only short-run performance matters in this turnover-success relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:141-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Wayne Everson Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Everson Author-Name: Lynn Gray Author-X-Name-First: Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: Gray Title: Effect of unemployment insurance tax on wages and reallocation of labour Abstract: We develop a labour market equilibrium model and show how the federally collected Unemployment Insurance (UI) Tax affects labour force allocation between regular labour and contract labour. We also analyse the effect of UI tax on wages of the two types of labour. Our model suggests that the effect of a UI tax will be to increase the employment and wages of contract labour and to reduce the employment and wages of regular labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:147-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: On the relevance of t-ratios in empirical modelling: two special cases Abstract: It is a common practice to rescale data to assist model estimation. Rescaling in general does not affect the model fit or the statistical inference from the estimation results. This article however, describes two cases where care is called upon when interpreting the t-ratio associated with the constant terms. One case is a linear model with a continuous dependent variable and the other case is a nonlinear model with a discrete dependent variable. It is proved in this article that in these two cases, one can arbitrarily manipulate the t-ratio associated with the constant term by rescaling the data. Implications from these results on empirical modelling are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guneratne Wickremasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Guneratne Author-X-Name-Last: Wickremasinghe Title: Are real exchange rates of Papua New Guinea mean-reverting? Evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: This article examines mean-reversion of real exchange rates of Papua New Guinea (PNG), which is the crucial condition for purchasing power parity (PPP) to hold. Taking a departure from the most previous studies, we used six panel unit root tests to investigate the empirical validity of the PPP hypothesis to PNG. Both the preliminary analysis performed by examining time series plots of real exchange rates and the results of the panel unit root tests indicate that the PPP does not hold for PNG. These results may be attributed to frictions, such as transportations costs, prevailing in international trade that lead PPP to follow a nonlinear stochastic process. This issue will be investigated in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? Evidence from a nonlinear unit root test Abstract: In this article we re-examine efficiency of the South Korea's stock market, extending recent work of Narayan and Smyth (2004). For this purpose we apply the nonlinear unit root test procedure recently developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003). The nonlinear unit root test rejects the null hypothesis of unit root, suggesting that the South Korea's stock market is not weak form efficient, contrary to the findings of Narayan and Smyth (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Yuksel Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Yuksel Author-Name: Y. Akdi Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Akdi Title: The effect of different inflation risks on interest rates of the US Abstract: This article examines the effect of different inflation uncertainty measures on interest rates of the US in a Fisher hypothesis framework. Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) specification with a time-dependent parameter model is used to obtain three types of inflation uncertainties, namely, impulse uncertainty, structural uncertainty and steady-state uncertainty. It has been observed that the impulse uncertainty has negative but the structural uncertainty has positive impact on both short-term and long-term interest rates. Both of these effects are statistically significant. The influence of steady-state uncertainty on interest rates is positive, but the level of significance depends on the inclusion of output gap. Without the inclusion of output gap, the effect is insignificant, whereas the effect becomes significant when output gap is introduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018072 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018072&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:169-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. -Y. Chen Author-X-Name-First: M. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: F. -L. Lin Author-X-Name-First: F. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: C. -K. Chang Author-X-Name-First: C. -K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Relations between health care expenditure and income: an application of local quantile regressions Abstract: In this article, local relationship between per capita health care expenditure (HCE hereafter) and GDP is investigated with local quantile regressions. Logarithmic per capita GDP and HCE of 154 countries in 2001 and 25, 50 and 75% quantile regressions are considered. Three main findings are obtained from our empirical study. First, conditional distribution of per capita HCE on GDP is asymmetric. For lower GDP countries, the conditional distribution is skewed to the right which means less health care tends to be consumed. On the contrary, the conditional distribution is skewed to the left which implies more health care is apt to be consumed for high GDP countries. Second, variance of the conditional distribution is larger when per capita GDP is low and smaller when per capita GDP is high. This confirms the necessity of restricting the sample observations to OECD countries for holding the homogeneity of HCE when the conditional mean is considered. Third, whether health care is 'necessary' or 'luxury' depends on the level of per capita GDP. For 50% quantile, the income elasticity is significant >1 when per capita GDP is greater than US$ 1882 (ln(1882) = 7.56), which indicates that health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1882. For 75% quantile, the elasticity is significantly >1 and health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1737 (ln(1737) = 7.46). As to 25% quantile, the elasticity is significantly >1 and health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1920 (ln(1920) = 7.56). These results indicate that health care is a necessity for 37 countries with per capita income lower than $ 1920 and is luxury for other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-181 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018114 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018114&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:177-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Multiple asymmetries in index stock returns from boom/bust and stable/volatile markets states- an empirical study of US and UK stock markets Abstract: This article tries to answer the question: is the response of current returns to past returns asymmetric when the returns follow an autoregressive, spillover GARCH model? Our empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, both US and UK markets appear to overreact to the drastic events in the 1990s. Second, the impacts of the 1-week-ahead foreign market returns were marked during the 1980s, especially when the home market returns were both volatile and negative. In contrast, the impacts were insignificant during the 1990s. Third, in the 1990s, the UK (US) investors' behaviour during the bust appears to be consistent (inconsistent) with the leverage effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-191 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:183-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziano Razzolini Author-X-Name-First: Tiziano Author-X-Name-Last: Razzolini Title: A note on the estimation of the PD-GEV models Abstract: This note provides a formula to compute the value of the mean utilities as a function of market shares in Bresnahan et al.'s (1997) production differentiation models (PD-GEV) (1997). Such a formula avoids the time consuming contraction mapping procedure suggested by Berry et al. (1995). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hironobu Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Hironobu Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: An analysis of the relation between R&D and M&A in high-tech industries Abstract: This article discusses the relation between research and development (R&D) investment and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Japanese high-tech industries. Using a count data model, it is found that there exists a positive correlation (complementarity) between R&D investment and M&A. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018163 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018163&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belen Rey Author-X-Name-First: Belen Author-X-Name-Last: Rey Author-Name: Vicente Inglada Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Inglada Author-Name: Cipriano Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Cipriano Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros Author-Name: Ana Rodriguez-Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Alvarez Author-Name: Pablo Coto-Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Coto-Millan Title: From European to Asian leadership in the economic efficiency of the world air industry Abstract: This article sets out to compare the economic efficiency (EE) and decomposing of the changes in productivity of international air transport companies, during the period of 1996-2000. In these years, competition has been increased with the low-cost carriers and changes in Asian markets. Our purpose is to prove if these kinds of changes have damaged the EE of European and American companies compared with Asian carriers, and if Asian carriers are the new leaders in the air transport market. A stochastic frontier is estimated for cost function. From these estimations, we obtain indices for EE. For measuring productivity change, we use Malmquist indexes. They are computed using nonparametric programming techniques and we decompose them into technical and efficiency change. Our evidence suggests that the benefits of increasing competition in terms of EE and productivity are large for the Asian companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-209 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:203-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeti Nisha Madhoo Author-X-Name-First: Yeti Nisha Author-X-Name-Last: Madhoo Title: Policy and nonpolicy determinants of progressivity of block residential water rates - a case study of Mauritius Abstract: This article presents empirical results on increasing block water rates that contradict conventional wisdom in developing countries and many developed countries. Unlike in other countries, family size in Mauritius increases with income. Due to this unusual demographic dimension, increasing block tariffs coupled with lifeline rates that are below long-run marginal cost applicable to low-volume users produce a different result. Regional variations in water demand and extensive metering both in rural and urban areas reinforce the redistributing nature of water charges. Traditional incidence analysis with adjustment for family size, linear expenditure systems approach and interactive demand models empirically support this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilberto Paula Author-X-Name-First: Gilberto Author-X-Name-Last: Paula Author-Name: Francisco Jose Cysneiros Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cysneiros Title: Systematic risk estimation in symmetric models Abstract: The aim of this article is to discuss the estimation of the systematic risk in capital asset pricing models with heavy-tailed error distributions to explain the asset returns. Diagnostic methods for assessing departures from the model assumptions as well as the influence of observations on the parameter estimates are also presented. It may be shown that outlying observations are down weighted in the maximum likelihood equations of linear models with heavy-tailed error distributions, such as Student-t, power exponential, logistic II, so on. This robustness aspect may also be extended to influential observations. An application in which the systematic risk estimate of Microsoft is compared under normal and heavy-tailed errors is presented for illustration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018239 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018239&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: Non-normality, heteroscedasticity and recursive unit root tests of PPP: solving the PPP puzzle? Abstract: In this article, we carry out unit root tests on real exchange rates recursively as in Caporale et al. (2003), but, following Arghyrou and Gregoriou (2007), we adjust the residuals for non-normality and heteroscedasticity using a wild bootstrap method. The results are striking: this correction sharply increases the rejection percentages of the unit root null and attenuates the erratic behaviour of the t-statistic, providing evidence in favour of purchasing power parity (PPP) and suggesting that such a correction might at least go some way towards solving the 'PPP puzzle'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802167321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802167321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: What determines self-employment? A comparative study Abstract: This article consists of a comparative study of the incidence of self-employment (SE) between Greece, which has the highest rate of SE in the European Union and the United Kingdom, which has amongst the lowest. Data from the Greek and the UK Labour Force Surveys are used in order to assess how personal attributes of an individual have an impact on the incidence of SE. It is found that common patterns exist between these two countries. In particular, it is found that for both countries, males have greater odds of being self-employed than females, older people have greater odds than younger, individuals employed in the primary and tertiary sectors have greater odds than the ones employed in the secondary, and that individuals with primary or secondary education have greater odds of being self-employed than individuals holding higher degrees. The incidence of SE is also found to differ according to the occupation of the individual. On the other hand, the findings indicate that individuals, residing in London, have greater odds of being self-employed than individuals working outside UK's capital, whereas in Greece the pattern is reversed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:227-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Inflation targeting and the inflation-inflation uncertainty relationship: evidence from Thailand Abstract: This study extends the literature on the relationships between inflation and inflation volatility by examining the impact of inflation targeting on inflation volatility in Thailand. The ARIMA-GARCH model reveals that inflation targeting marginally reduced the degree of volatility persistence in response to inflationary shocks (i.e. inflation uncertainty). Granger-causality tests show that an increase in inflation causes an increase in inflation uncertainty. However, an increase in inflation uncertainty causes a decrease in inflation. Thus, the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Thailand support Holland's (1995) stabilization hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-238 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802078007 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802078007&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Ma Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jeffrey Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: A variance decomposition in the evaluation of the effects of educational policies in economic education Abstract: A student's grade is decomposed into a part due to ability plus a part due to random guessing. Holding the variance of the ability distribution constant, we show that the introduction of a positive educational policy will increase the mean but decrease the variance of the grade distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Garrett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett Title: Evaluating state tax revenue variability: a portfolio approach Abstract: This article develops a volatility model based on portfolio theory to examine state tax revenue variability. Unlike traditional parametric methods used to analyse state tax revenue variability, the portfolio approach allows the computation of a tax's share of total tax revenue that minimizes the overall variability in total state tax revenue given a state's portfolio of tax revenue sources. The model can thus be used to evaluate how closely a state's revenue portfolio is constructed to minimize variability in total state tax revenue. An empirical application of the model is conducted on a sample of US states. The volatility model presented here serves as a useful complement to parametric techniques that have been used to estimate tax revenue variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Lynn Gray Author-X-Name-First: Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: Gray Author-Name: Jackie Burns Author-X-Name-First: Jackie Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: Effect of unemployment insurance tax on wages and employment: a partial equilibrium analysis Abstract: We develop a partial equilibrium model under a cost minimization problem to derive the effect of an unemployment insurance tax. The model suggests that a portion of the tax is passed on to employees by means of reduced wages and employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Myers Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Author-Name: Inhyuck “Steve” Ha Author-X-Name-First: Inhyuck “Steve” Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Title: Estimation of race-neutral goals in public procurement and contracting Abstract: Federal guidelines require that public entities receiving federal transit authority (FTA) funds take affirmative steps to allocate funds to disadvantaged business enterprises (DBEs). Business firms owned and operated by women and/or racial minority group members are presumptively classified as disadvantaged. To assure that the affirmative efforts to allocate contract dollars to DBEs don't discriminate against nonDBEs and white male-owned firms, the guidelines require that maximum use of race-neutral means be adopted to assure the inclusion of women and minority-owned firms in public contracting. The guidelines do not provide specific guidance on how to determine the size of the race-neutral portion of contracts awarded to DBEs. This article provides an empirically valid and easy to implement method for achieving race-neutral goals when a public agency or authority collects information on contracts with and without targeted goals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-256 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018338 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018338&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:251-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Neugart Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Neugart Title: Pensions with early retirement and without commitment Abstract: In this article it is shown that more generous early retirement provisions as well as lower employment lead to lower steady state pension rates if governments weigh the welfare of the older persons relatively strongly. A relatively stronger weight on the welfare of the young reverses the results. The driving force behind those findings are governments that cannot commit to pension policies and consequently take into account future governments' policies when maximizing electoral support from the currently young and old constituencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-260 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:257-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Technology transfer and convergence of performance: an economic study of FIFA football ranking Abstract: The seminal work of Gerschenkron (1962) stated that latecomers borrow advanced technology from their predecessors, resulting in convergence of productivity among nations. Additionally, the diffusion of technology among developing nations has been fulfilled not only directly from developed nations but also from surrounding nations through local spillovers such as learning from others. Recently, the disparity in national football performance among the nations appears to have improved, and it is evident that talented players are mobilized from developing nations to developed ones. The present article attempts to apply the framework of development economics, as introduced earlier, to the case of international football. An empirical examination of FIFA's world ranking points considered as reflecting nations' performances was conducted, applying panel data to control for unobserved nations' specific effects (Baltagi 2005). The results indicate that both technology transfer and the local information spillover play a crucial role in improving the performance of developing nations, but not of developed nations. The presented results are interpreted as implying that developing nations are able to catch up with developed ones due to the effects of technology transfer and local information spillover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:261-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Albertson Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Albertson Author-Name: Jonathan Aylen Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Aylen Title: Long lags or seasonal mis-specification? A note on co-integration testing and the consumption function Abstract: Writing in this journal, Sumner (2004) advocates use of long lag lengths when conducting co-integration tests. Replication of Sumner's consumption model suggests long lag lengths are a mis-specification: the true underlying model is periodic. We test for periodically distributed unit roots - unit roots that differ with the season and vary with past behaviour. Co-integration between income and consumption, based on a periodic error correction model, is rejected. A PADL specification is preferred for modelling the income-consumption relationship, using seasonally unadjusted data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:267-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Title: Another view of the social costs from rent seeking Abstract: No matter whether the Posner or the game theory approach for measuring rent-seeking losses is utilized, the trapezoidal social costs of monopoly are significantly greater than the Harberger deadweight triangle allocative efficiency losses. This means public policy can improve social welfare in any country by reducing nonnatural monopolies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:273-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glauco de Vita Author-X-Name-First: Glauco Author-X-Name-Last: de Vita Author-Name: Khine Kyaw Author-X-Name-First: Khine Author-X-Name-Last: Kyaw Title: Growth effects of FDI and portfolio investment flows to developing countries: a disaggregated analysis by income levels Abstract: What is the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio investment flows on the economic growth of low-, lower middle- and upper middle-income countries? In this article we address this question using a dynamic panel model and a large data set of 126 developing countries for the period 1985 to 2002. Employing the system-generalized methods of moments (GMM) estimation approach, our findings suggest that only developing countries that have reached a minimum level of economic development and absorptive capacity are capturing the growth-enhancing effects of both forms of investment inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:277-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Terje Skjerpen Author-X-Name-First: Terje Author-X-Name-Last: Skjerpen Author-Name: Kjetil Telle Author-X-Name-First: Kjetil Author-X-Name-Last: Telle Title: Unit roots, polynomial transformations and the environmental Kuznets curve Abstract: Properties of estimators of long-run parameters in a polynomial regression with nonstationary, strongly exogenous regressors are considered in the context of the Environmental Kuznets Curve using Monte Carlo simulations. Standard inferential procedures seem to work well in this context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariacristina Piva Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Piva Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Demand-pulled innovation under liquidity constraints Abstract: Using a panel of 211 Italian manufacturing firms for 1995-2001 and the Least Squares Dummy Variable Corrected (LSDVC) estimator recently discussed in the econometric literature, it is shown that demand-pull innovation is particularly significant in liquidity-constrained companies in both the short run and long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:289-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Mak Arvin Author-Name: Byron Lew Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Lew Title: Foreign aid and ecological outcomes in poorer countries: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article examines the relationship between foreign aid and ecological harm in developing countries. The study covers three types of ecological injury: carbon dioxide damage, water pollution and net deforestation. Results based on an empirical model where aid and injury are jointly determined, suggest that aid flows affect ecological conditions in poorer countries as well as being the result of these conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-299 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:295-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Author-Name: Helen Higgs Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Higgs Title: Efficiency in the Australian stock market, 1875-2006: a note on extreme long-run random walk behaviour Abstract: This article examines the weak-form market efficiency of the Australian stock market. Daily returns from 6 January 1958 to 12 April 2006 and monthly returns from February 1875 to December 2005 are examined for random walks using serial correlation coefficient and runs tests, augmented Dickey-Fuller, Phillips-Perron and Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin unit root tests and multiple variance ratio tests. The serial correlation tests indicate inefficiency in daily returns and borderline efficiency in monthly returns, while the runs tests conclude that both series are weak form inefficient. The unit root tests suggest weak-form inefficiency in both return series. The results of the more stringent and least restrictive variance ratio tests indicate that the monthly returns series is characterized by a homoscedastic random walk, but the daily series violates weak-form efficiency because of the short-term autocorrelation in returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-306 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:301-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: On the return-risk link in education Abstract: In a contribution to Economics Letters, Pereira and Martins (2002) point out that there exists a positive link between risk and return in education. We perform a sensitivity analysis and argue that the evidence on this link is not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:307-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hefa Gui Author-X-Name-First: Hefa Author-X-Name-Last: Gui Author-Name: Mingchao Cai Author-X-Name-First: Mingchao Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The overconfident, or the more informed? Abstract: We discuss some problems with the modelling methods in the overconfidence literature. We argue that overconfidence models should be well constructed such that overconfident investors in the behavioural model could be distinguished clearly from the more informed investors in the rational asset-pricing model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: Scale economies of lotto once more Abstract: Under the assumption of random number selection, higher moments of a lotto ticket payoff seem to exhibit a peculiar behaviour; variance (and probably skewness) rises up to some number of bets before approaching its limit from above. A close inspection of the 'simplest' expression obtained by means of a hypergeometric summation algorithm suggests that the payoff variance (and probably skewness) is unimodal and attains its highest at a realistic scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018445 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018445&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manoj Raj Author-X-Name-First: Manoj Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Title: Financial dependence and growth: further evidence Abstract: This article empirically shows that in developing countries, financial development facilitates firms to grow disproportionately in industries with higher external finance dependence or better growth opportunities. This effect is absent in developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-330 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:325-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: Craig Maher Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Maher Title: Is the treatment of intergovernmental aid symmetric? Abstract: In this note we use a variable parameter model to test for asymmetries in the treatment of intergovernmental aid. The central question is whether local government officials treat intergovernmental aid differently during periods of aid certainty and uncertainty. We find evidence of fiscal replacement for 94% of Wisconsin municipalities and fiscal inducement for only a small handful of municipalities. The lower the dependency on shared revenues, the higher the odds that the municipality will replace lost shared revenues with own source revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-335 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:331-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: Two aspects of waste management from the viewpoints of a waste generator and a recipient Abstract: Regulations specify the maximum amount of waste that can be stored on site by a waste generating firm. When this regulatory threshold is reached, a polluting firm must move its on site waste to an off site recipient. In this setting, we analyse two questions in a stochastic framework from the viewpoints of a waste generator and a recipient that have received scant theoretical attention in the literature. First, given that off site storage is costlier than on site storage, we derive the long-run average cost incurred by a waste generating firm that stores waste both on and off site. Second, we compute the expected amount of time until the off site recipient's waste storage facility is full. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Ball Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: International reserve holdings: interest rates matter! Abstract: We argue that the literature on optimal international reserve holdings in an era of high-capital mobility fails to find interest rates is a strongly significant factor because of the endogeneity of interest rates and reserves under fixed exchange rate regimes. Using two-stage least squares we control this and regain statistical significance for interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Modification of the point optimal unit root test Abstract: A modification of the existing point optimal unit root test is proposed. The new test has very good finite sample power and is easily correctable via semi-parametric methods. Critical values are provided along with power simulation and empirical examples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Evaluating NAFTA - an impulse function approach Abstract: Models developed under ex ante approach are mostly based on some utility function. The assumptions underlying these models are hard to meet. These models also have stringent data requirements. The models developed under ex post approach, on the other hand, are simple to use, avoid the need of using a utility function and require less information. However, these models only offer two points in time: one before a trade reform and the other after the reform. As such, they do not provide a region of acceptance or rejection, which enables us to test the models empirically. Our study overcomes those problems, develops an intervention model, estimates the impulse response function and estimates the short-term and the long-run impacts of NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) on the variable representing Canada's welfare. Our results show that both the short-term and the long-term impacts are negative. Therefore, we conclude that Canada's welfare has, in fact, deteriorated, or at least not improved due to NAFTA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Bansak Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Bansak Author-Name: Christopher McLaren Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: McLaren Title: Parental eligibility for public health insurance: a study of the State Children's Health Insurance Program and child coverage rates Abstract: This article investigates whether offering parental coverage for public health insurance increases coverage rates among children. Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS), we examine the effect of parental benefits on participation rates of children in the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). Our findings indicate a significant difference in take-up rates for children in states offering parental coverage compared to neighbouring states that did not in the period surrounding the introduction of the SCHIP program (1997-2002). Specifically, states offering parental coverage have greater program participation (on the order of 10% points) among children even after controlling for observable demographic characteristics and the household's position in the income distribution. Thus, extending coverage to the parents of SCHIP-eligible children appears to be an effective strategy to reduce uninsurance rates among children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-363 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018536 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018536&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:359-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lloyd Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Lloyd Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Author-Name: Danhua Wu Author-X-Name-First: Danhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Long-term interest rates and expected future budget deficits: evidence from the term structure Abstract: This article examines the relationship between current and expected future real Treasury bond yields, forecasts of budget deficits and market risk. Both expected future deficits and risk strongly influenced expected future real Treasury bond yields in the United States in the 1983-2005 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: C. Nicholas McKinney Author-X-Name-First: C. Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: McKinney Title: The effect of late money on betting market efficiency Abstract: This article is an analysis of the price movements in a speculative market at closing. Specifically, we look at 1644 US horse races and analyse the change in betting pool totals and their suggested probabilities to confirm that late wagers on average come from more informed bettors. Almost 40% of all wagering dollars enter betting pools in the last minute of wagering. This 'late' money is found to increase efficiency and itself is the best prediction of the true win, place and show probability of a horse. A clustered tobit regression shows that late increases in the betting share on a specific horse increase net returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018577 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018577&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brad Trenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Brad Author-X-Name-Last: Trenkamp Title: Does the advertising effect of athletics impact academic rankings? Abstract: The study presented here examines the relationship between athletic success and academic quality among Division 1 universities. The analysis begins by revisiting models that have seen previously examined by other researchers. The current literature is then extended using a new model incorporating academic rankings. The previously used models incorporate objective measures of academic quality. The new model presented here uses rankings which have a subjective input. It is then examined to see whether the subjective opinions present in the academic rankings are influenced by athletic success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-378 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:373-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Rauterkus Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Rauterkus Title: Do bank lending relationships always enhance financial distress resolution? The case of Germany Abstract: This article examines the financial distress resolution benefit of bank lending relationships in a system where because of the lack of access to public debt and equity markets, banks do not face competition as providers of capital. For a sample of German firms, this article finds that companies in financial distress are more likely to be liquidated if they have high amounts of bank debt. Furthermore, companies that are saved show higher potential for financial distress a year prior to bankruptcy. This suggests that certain aspects of value of bank lending relationships are dependent on the financial system in which they occur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802129784 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802129784&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:379-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Dealing with the willingness to pay data with preference intensity: a semiparametric estimation Abstract: This article considers the Type 3 Tobit models to deal with the willingness to pay data with preference intensity by employing both parametric and semiparametric estimation methods. The overall results show that the semiparametric estimation significantly outperforms the parametric estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Schank Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schank Author-Name: Claus Schnabel Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabel Author-Name: Hans-Dieter Gerner Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Gerner Title: Stimulating part-time work by legal entitlements? Evidence from a German policy experiment Abstract: Difference-in-difference estimates indicate that the new law on part-time work in Germany has raised the share of part-time workers in those plants that already used part-time employment whereas it has not stimulated the introduction of part-time work in other plants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Moore Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: The nonpecuniary effects of smoking cessation: happier smokers smoke less Abstract: The objective of this article is to describe the relationship between past changes in daily cigarette consumption and happiness using a national longitudinal panel survey. Data from 724 smokers who participated in the first 11 waves of the British Household Panel Survey were analysed using a fixed effects regression model. An increase in daily smoking frequency corresponded with a decrease in happiness (β = -0.004, 95% confidence interval -0.006 to -0.001). Independent of this relationship, happiness decreased as health deteriorated with a transition to the poorest health group associated with greatest unhappiness (β = -0.190, 95% confidence interval -0.258 to -0.123) followed by those in the next poorest health group (β = 0.114, 95% confidence interval -0.176 to -0.051) and as health improved further, the effect on happiness diminished (β = -0.077, 95% confidence interval -0.127 to -0.027) indicating a dose-repose relationship between health and happiness. Smokers who reduce cigarette consumption can expect greater happiness in a relationship that is not mediated by changes in health. This relationship is interpreted as cigarettes showing reference dependence Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Casquel Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Casquel Author-Name: Ezequiel Uriel Author-X-Name-First: Ezequiel Author-X-Name-Last: Uriel Title: The determinants of post-compulsory education in Spain Abstract: In this article we explain why Spain is at the bottom of the developed countries in secondary education. We have made use of extensive information contained in the ECHP supplemented with labour market data. We find that higher rates of unemployment diminish the probability of investing in post-compulsory education and this effect differs across the population. Our results suggest that a 'poverty effect' makes access more difficult to secondary education in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Ochsen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Ochsen Title: On the measurement of mismatch Abstract: We use a definition of an equilibrium rate of unemployment as a mismatch indicator. An application of the indicator to nine Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries leads to diverging results. Most of the considered countries have experienced increasing mismatch in the 1970s and decreasing mismatch in the 1990s. The latter result is somewhat surprising, since mismatch was expected to be increasing in the 1990s. However, the estimates for Germany are against this international trend. Mismatch is not in general lower in countries with a more flexible labour market, but is decreasing in some of the countries which have chosen more flexibility on the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masayoshi Maruyama Author-X-Name-First: Masayoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Maruyama Author-Name: Le Viet Trung Author-X-Name-First: Le Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Trung Title: High shopping frequency of Vietnamese consumers: theory and measurement Abstract: Almost all Vietnamese consumers shop at least five or six times a week or everyday or more. We formulated a basic model of the optimal level of shopping frequency. Hanoi consumer survey data has been analysed using the binary choice Probit model to measure factors that influence the major characteristics related to the high-shopping frequency patterns of Vietnamese consumers. The results consolidate the validity of the basic model and show that freshness, convenience (distance), gender and the presence of children in the household had a significant effect on the frequency of shopping. In contrast, factors such as owning a refrigerator as well as income did not have a significant effect in shaping consumer shopping behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Estimation of a regional wage curve and policy implications Abstract: Based on all the metropolitan statistical areas in the state of Texas during 2002-2004, this study finds that the real wage rate and the unemployment rate have a significant negative relationship. However, the value of R2 is relatively low. Policy implications are that the efficiency wage model may be used to explain the outcome and that there are other factors explaining the behaviour of wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-419 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:417-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Hatcher Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Hatcher Title: A note on relative violation arguments in expected penalty functions for permit noncompliance Abstract: Models of firm noncompliance under imperfectly enforced standards and permit regimes normally include a level violation argument in the firm's expected penalty function, analogous to the constraint term in a Lagrangian function. This article suggests that a relative violation argument may be more appropriate in many cases and demonstrates how this can change our predictions about firm behaviour under permit regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-423 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:421-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Mangeloja Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Mangeloja Author-Name: J. Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Title: Availability and consumption of alcoholic beverages: evidence from Finland Abstract: The study examines the consumption of alcoholic beverages in Finland over the period 1960 to 2004. Consumption is explained by its own real price, relative prices, expenditure and variables measuring the availability of alcohol. The empirical analysis utilizes information on linkages across different beverages and uses co-integration techniques. The study finds that changes in the availability of alcohol, typically related to institutional changes, have played an important role in determining consumption, especially of beer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Author-Name: Martin Siegel Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Siegel Title: Development and determinants of systemic risk in European banking - an empirical note Abstract: Compared with the broad supply of theoretical approaches towards systemic risk in (international) banking systems empirical contributions measuring its degree or potential triggering factors are rather scarce. Kwast and de Nicolo (2002) put systemic risk and (conditional) stock price correlations into a unique relation. Adopting this perspective, we provide a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC, Engle, 2002) analysis for the European banking sector. Our sample period covers establishment and advent of the Euro. Apart from time variation of correlation measures we investigate the content of exogenous factor variables to explain correlation patterns. Overall, we find a moderate and stable average level of systemic risk in European banking. The advent of the Euro came along with a 1-year period of short-run transition dynamics. Systemic risk is found to increase over states of high uncertainty in national stock markets and states of small-to-medium variation in European interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-438 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100802047027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/09603100802047027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:431-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivar Kolstad Author-X-Name-First: Ivar Author-X-Name-Last: Kolstad Title: The resource curse: which institutions matter? Abstract: Two types of models are dominant in the current resource curse literature. One type of model studies the selection of entrepreneurs into rent-seeking versus productive activities. The other type analyses the use of patronage by politicians seeking re-election. The policy implications of the two models are quite different. The first model suggests that institutions governing the private sector ought to be improved. The second model suggests that institutions governing the public sector should be emphasized. This article empirically tests the impact of the private versus public sector institutions on the resource curse, using cross-country data from Sachs and Warner (1997a) and Polity IV. The main result is that only improved private sector institutions ameliorate the resource curse. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802167339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802167339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some notes on statistic robustness of nonparametric bivariate probit model in a finite sample Abstract: This article describes qualitatively some interesting statistic aspects of the nonparametric bivariate Probit model, which was examined in Aoki (2005) as a nonparametrically modified version of the estimator to test asymmetric information, originally proposed in Chiappori and Salanie (2000). My computation results and analysis show that even in a finite sample case the nonparametric version is very robust to the variable bandwidth, which is relatively smaller than the optimal bandwidth policy. This statistic characteristics enables the proposed nonparametric estimator to be put widely and conveniently into practical use, without applied researcher's necessity to pay too much attention to the precise value of optimal bandwidth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: L. Upton Hatch Author-X-Name-First: L. Upton Author-X-Name-Last: Hatch Title: Impact of nostalgia and past experience on recreational demand for wilderness Abstract: This primary objective of this study was to examine whether nostalgia plays any role in determining the demand for wilderness recreation using onsite survey data from Cheaha Wilderness in Alabama. In addition, an attempt was made to determine the impact of past wilderness experience and current residential setting on recreational demand. Since experience is a latent construct, a number of indicators, measuring the visitor's experience use history, were used to measure it. The results based on a truncated count data model show that trip cost and other visitor characteristics such as age, income, residential setting, and past wilderness experience were significant determinants for the visitation frequency. Moreover, the rural to urban migrants, who were expected to be more sensitive to nostalgic feelings, were making seven more trips than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-453 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:449-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshihiko Mukoyama Author-X-Name-First: Toshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Mukoyama Title: A simple model of productivity slowdown Abstract: This article demonstrates a simple mechanism of productivity slowdown. There are two types of technological change: exogenous and endogenous. After news arrives that there will be an acceleration of exogenous technological progress in the future, endogenous technological progress may slow down. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018734 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018734&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Is self-reported disability status endogenous to labour force status? Abstract: By estimating a simultaneous equation model on panel data, this study examines whether self-reported disability status is endogenous to labour force status. While for males the exogeneity of disability status cannot be rejected, it is rejected for females. However, for both males and females the results reject the justification hypothesis on self-reported disability status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Tenn Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Tenn Title: Demand estimation under limited product availability Abstract: Consumer purchases are determined, in part, by the assortment of products available at retailers. Despite this, commonly employed aggregate demand models fail to control for the fraction of stores that carry a given item. We detail the conditions under which aggregate demand is consistently estimated when heterogeneity in product assortment is ignored. The required assumptions are quite strict and likely violated in many empirical applications. Even when they hold, however, a problem of inference arises. One cannot tell whether a lack of interaction between two products is due to limited substitution in those stores where both are available or because many stores do not carry both products. This is a significant shortcoming since in many situations it is important to distinguish between these two possibilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Estimating the time-varying NAIRU for Germany and policy implications Abstract: This article extends Ball and Mankiw (2002) and applies the Hodrick-Prescott filter (1997) to estimate the time-varying NAIRU for Germany. The slope estimate of the Phillips curve is insignificant when the widely used lagged inflation rate πt-1 is selected as a proxy for the expected inflation rate. The average inflation rate in past 4 years is a better proxy for the expected inflation rate. Estimated NAIRUs with λ = 1000 show a steady rising trend. The estimated NAIRU of 9.84% with λ = 1000 in 2005 is slightly higher than the actual unemployment rate of 9.70% in 2005, suggesting that monetary easing or large deficit spending may cause the inflation rate to accelerate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-473 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:469-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monzur Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Monzur Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Divergence from de jure exchange rate regime: a stochastic process of learning Abstract: This article provides a model framework to characterize the process of stochastic learning during the period of divergence from a de jure currency regime. The model outcome shows that divergence from a de jure regime is a process of slow learning in small steps, which indicates that the learning completes over time. Therefore, divergence does not have a long-term effect on the distribution of exchange rate regime. Empirical illustration indicates that countries work toward the development of their financial sector during the period of divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-479 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:475-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinpeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Consumption and aggregate constraints: new evidence from Chinese provinces Abstract: Using a newly created panel dataset at the provincial level in China, this article revisits the hypothesis that state-specific consumption exhibits less sensitivity to lagged state-specific disposable income once aggregate income and consumption fluctuations are controlled for, as proposed by Ostergaard et al. (2002). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wiston Adrian Risso Author-X-Name-First: Wiston Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Risso Title: The informational efficiency: the emerging markets versus the developed markets Abstract: The purpose of the article is to study the difference between the informational efficiency levels between the emerging and developed markets. We applied the symbolic time series analysis approach and the Shannon entropy in order to measure and rank the informational efficiency of 20 stock markets from 1 July 1997 to 14 December 2007. Three Asian markets take the first positions as the most efficient (Taiwan, Japan and Singapore). The last positions are taken by the ex-socialist countries as the most inefficient markets. The latter could be due to the lack of experience of these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-487 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802216219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802216219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:485-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquim Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Title: A test statistic equation for obtaining alternative Wald and score statistics in the generalized method of moments framework Abstract: In this article we derive a test statistic generating equation (TSGE) from which several statistics suitable for testing parametric restrictions in models estimated by the generalized method of moments (GMM) may be obtained. This statistic presents three main features: it is valid for producing statistics appropriate for testing constraints expressed in very general forms, which may involve not only the parameters of interest but also a vector of nuisance parameters; some of the tests proposed in the GMM literature are special cases of the TSGE; it can be evaluated at any consistent and asymptotically normal estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Buonanno Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Buonanno Author-Name: Daniel Montolio Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Montolio Title: Juvenile crime in Spain Abstract: This article studies the role of age structure and gender on crime rates across Spanish regions. Using a regional dataset for the period 1993 to 2003, and after controlling for social and economic factors such as unemployment, urbanization, migration, regional welfare and economic development, results support the existence of an age-crime profile: Spanish youngsters are more prone to commit crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-500 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:495-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Volatility spillover effects amongsix Asian countries Abstract: This article examines the volatility spillover effects among six Asian country stock markets using bivariate vector autoregression-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity [VAR(p)-GARCH(1,1)] model. The six Asian countries are India, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore and Taiwan. This study found that there are statistically significant volatility spillover effects within the stock markets of these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-508 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:501-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Title: Linkages among Latin American foreign exchange markets: a long-run perspective in the presence of structural breaks Abstract: This article examines stationarity properties, linkages and market efficiency of the Latin American foreign exchange markets over the 1994 to 2005 period. By using daily data for 14 countries we apply bivariate and multivariate cointegration estimations and we further account for the presence of structural breaks or changes in regime. Bivariate cointegration tests revealed that most currencies have a long-run equilibrium relationship with the Brazilian real. Moreover, approximately between 1999 and 2001, there was a shift to a new 'long-run' equilibrium relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:509-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Author-Name: Ignacio Moral-Arce Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Arce Title: A semiparametric approach to examine wage flexibility Abstract: This article analyses wage flexibility within the framework of a semiparametric panel data model by using a bi-dimensional nonparametric term in the wage regression. The results point to a high degree of wage rigidity in Spain. However, semiparametric estimation allows us to find an interaction effect involving regional unemployment and productivity when explaining regional wages and, as a result of that, some signs of flexibility in the Spanish labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-518 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:515-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Weak-form market efficiency and nonlinearity: evidence from Middle East and African stock indices Abstract: This study examines the existence of nonlinear serial dependence in five stock markets in the Middle East and Africa. The results from the application of a battery of nonlinearity tests reveal that after removing all short-term linear dependence, the stock returns still contain predictable nonlinearities that contradict the unpredictable criterion of weak-form efficient markets hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Audet Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Audet Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Title: Assessing the impact of historical changes in social protection on poverty in Canada Abstract: In this article, we analyse how various historical modifications to welfare and old age pensions programmes have affected poverty in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: The 'Resource Curse' and regional US development Abstract: The 'Resource Curse' is a stylized fact that has been observed consistently in a number of development studies: countries that are relatively well-endowed with natural resources tend to grow more slowly than resource-poor economies. This article documents evidence that the Resource Curse extends to the individual states of the US Using a variety of specifications, regression of state GSP growth on resource intensity consistently shows a negative and significant relationship. There is evidence that crowding out of the manufacturing sector may contribute to the slower growth of resource-based economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-530 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:527-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanos Papadamou Author-X-Name-First: Stephanos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadamou Title: Yield spreads and real economic activity in East European transition economies Abstract: Recent research in developed countries provides evidence for the significant role of the yield spread on real economic activity. Using k-months industrial production growth rate model, this article attempts to ascertain whether similar results are obtained for countries from East Europe (Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Slovakia). The results suggest that the interest rate spread does indeed have some predictive power over the 24-months across the countries. These results remain qualitative robust to the inclusion of additional variables and to the change of unemployment rate as a different measure of economic activity. Cyclical movements of volatility appear to be unable to account for the usefulness of the spread for forecasting industrial production growth. Finally, it is found that the term spread is a better indicator of future real growth in countries with low and stable inflation (Czech Republic) and not in countries characterized by high and volatile inflation (Hungary). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-537 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:531-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell James Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: James Title: An econometric analysis of household political giving in the USA Abstract: Advocates of political contribution limitations contend that such contributions can transform economic and social inequalities into political inequalities. This article examines the extent to which traditional markers of social and economic power are associated with political giving. A Tobit analysis of 56 663 households participating in the Consumer Expenditure Survey from 1995 to 2005 indicates that political giving is positively associated with income, wealth, education and White racial status and is negatively associated with single female (but not single male) status. A double-hurdle analysis indicates that nonWhite or single female status affects expected giving most clearly through diminished participation in political giving, rather than simply through lower amounts given by such contributors. Descriptive statistics and a multinomial logistic regression suggest that the importance of traditional markers of social and economic status is greater for political giving than for charitable giving or religious giving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subadar Agathee Ushad Author-X-Name-First: Subadar Agathee Author-X-Name-Last: Ushad Title: Seasonality, returns and volatility on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius Abstract: This article investigates the effects of any seasonality on stock market returns and volatility on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius. A standard GARCH model was used on daily SEMDEX returns from 1998 to 2006. The results obtained indicate that the return series are leptokurtic, indicating a higher peak and a thicker tail than a normal distribution. Also, the mean returns on Fridays seem to be the highest while average returns on Mondays turn out to be insignificant. Finally, significant effects of weekdays were found on the conditional variance on the stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Industrial structure and economic stability Abstract: Motivated by prior results predicting contrasting linkages between industrial structure and economic stability, we present exploratory empirical evidence on this important issue. Consistent with the turnover hypothesis, we find that employment grew more steadily where business establishments in all sectors were larger, suggesting an offsetting benefit to the first-moment costs of establishment size identified by previous research. Consistent with the job-matching hypothesis, we find that employment grew more steadily where more establishments per capita operated in all sectors. Similar but less consistent results were also found regarding the stability of income growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-555 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206536 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206536&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:549-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: A choice experiment approachin evaluating publictransportation projects Abstract: The necessity of applying cost benefit analysis in evaluating the validity of a public transportation project is well recognized by policy makers in recent days. Originating in this fact, we implement CBA in a new project called Osaka Monorail Saito Line Extension by applying a choice experiment approach. It is estimated that the benefit-cost ratio is 1.87 under a basic scenario. In addition, with a consideration on different kinds of uncertainty in the future, a number of sensitivity analyses are implemented. The results of sensitivity analyses indicate that the possibility of generating net benefit is extremely high for the project studied in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Note rate modifications and subprime default rates Abstract: An important instrument to mitigate credit losses is modification of note rates of distressed borrowers. From a logistic model of early default, this article inferred the note rate impact on loan default probabilities, while controlling for loan characteristics (credit quality) and borrower location. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Firat Demir Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty and private investment in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey Abstract: This article by using micro-level data analyses the impacts of macroeconomic uncertainty and country risk on real investment under financial liberalization. The results suggest that increasing macroeconomic volatility and country risk hurt fixed investment spending of real sector firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Miguel Benavente Author-X-Name-First: Jose Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Benavente Author-Name: Sabien Dobbelaere Author-X-Name-First: Sabien Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbelaere Author-Name: Jacques Mairesse Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Mairesse Title: Interaction between product market and labour market power: evidence from France, Belgium and Chile Abstract: This article jointly estimates price-cost mark-ups and union bargaining power of manufacturing firms in France, Belgium and Chile. Our GMM results provide strong evidence of price-cost mark-ups being underestimated when labour market imperfections are ignored, corresponding to the omission of the part of product rents captured by the workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-577 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:573-577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Asymmetric business cycle co-movements Abstract: We investigate the presence of common cyclical features at different data points separated by a threshold variable. Our two-step procedure consists of first estimating the unknown threshold in a VAR or a VECM (Tsay, 1998). Next, cofeature test-statistics are carried out on the parts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-584 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:579-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Flores-Fillol Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Flores-Fillol Title: Airline alliances: parallel or complementary? Abstract: This article provides a rationale for the present trend towards complementary airline alliance formation, by studying the strategic behaviour of carriers that may decide whether to form an alliance (that may be either parallel or complementary) or stay alone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: On the evolution of wage inequality in Acemoglu's model of directed technical change Abstract: In Acemoglu's model of directed technical change, the skill-premium increases in consequence of an increase in the relative supply of skilled labour. In this article, I argue that other measures of wage inequality such as the Gini-coefficient do not necessarily rise as well. The Gini-coefficient depends positively on the skill-premium, but the effect of an increase in the relative supply of skilled labour is ambiguous. A simulation of Acemoglu's model shows that the growth in the relative supply of skilled labour has led to increased wage inequality in the past, but will lead to decreasing wage inequality in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-595 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:591-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolay Zubanov Author-X-Name-First: Nikolay Author-X-Name-Last: Zubanov Title: Too many, too fast? Dynamics of net migration in OECD, 1984-2001 Abstract: A dynamic model of migration developed by Hatton (1995) has been applied to the panel of 23 OECD countries observed during 1984-2001. Migration flows have been found to have a tendency to overreact to changes in economic conditions. Thus, simulations have shown that in the Anglo-American group of countries (Australia, Canada, Ireland, UK and USA) a given relative improvement in economic circumstances which brings an extra 0.840 immigrants per 1000 population per year (334 800 in total) in the short run, brings somewhat fewer (288 700 in total) in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:597-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: On the relation between central and sub-national government fiscal balances Abstract: Unbalanced panel least squares regression results (with fixed cross-section and period effects) suggest that changes in the fiscal balances of central and sub-national tiers of government in OECD countries tend to be highly positively correlated and that this partly reflects the existence of administrative controls and fiscal rules that govern central- and sub-national government fiscal relations. In contrast, cooperative institutional frameworks and reliance on market forces do not appear to have secured complementary fiscal adjustment at the sub-national tier of government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-608 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601118260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601118260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:603-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Author-Name: Jeff Richardson Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Richardson Title: A conceptual model of the economic impact of international movements in the health labour force Abstract: Many developed countries are net recipients of skilled health professionals from developing countries. Potentially these movements provide major economic benefits to developed countries. The distribution of any benefits and any associated health and social costs, however, need investigation that is more systematic and thorough than has been documented thus far, especially the consequences to net donor countries. This article proposes a model that could be adopted to examine systematically the impact of the international movement of health workers upon the health of populations (and health related institutions) affected by these movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-613 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:609-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Author-Name: Bernd Sussmuth Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Sussmuth Title: The savings-inflation puzzle Abstract: We find that inflation does not unanimously decrease savings in the US during the postwar period. This result is puzzling as it contradicts the implications of most monetary general equilibrium models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:615-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fotios Pasiouras Author-X-Name-First: Fotios Author-X-Name-Last: Pasiouras Author-Name: Chrysovalantis Gaganis Author-X-Name-First: Chrysovalantis Author-X-Name-Last: Gaganis Title: Are the financial characteristics of acquired banks similar across the EU? Evidence from the principal markets Abstract: We use a sample of acquired and non-acquired commercial banks from the principal EU markets and logistic regression analysis to investigate the relationship between bank characteristics and the likelihood to be acquired. The results indicate the existence of differences across countries either in terms of the significance of the variables or the sign of their coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-623 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:619-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hossein Asgharian Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Asgharian Author-Name: Bjorn Hansson Author-X-Name-First: Bjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Hansson Title: An analysis of momentum and contrarian anomalies using an orthogonal portfolio approach Abstract: We use a latent factor approach to investigate if the momentum and contrarian profits, observed in the US stock market, should be considered as risk premiums or have nonrisk-based explanations. The model is also employed as a benchmark to assess the explanatory power of the traditional asset-pricing models in this context. Our findings show that the profits of the long-run contrarian strategy are related to some other background risk factors, whereas the momentum and the short-run contrarian profits are mostly nonrisk based. The latter finding mainly supports investors' behavioural irrationality as an explanation of these anomalies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-628 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:625-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manapon Limkriangkrai Author-X-Name-First: Manapon Author-X-Name-Last: Limkriangkrai Author-Name: Robert Durand Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Durand Author-Name: Iain Watson Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: A robustness test of asset-pricing models using individual security returns Abstract: Tests of asset-pricing models typically form portfolios of stocks (based on criteria such as market capitalization and book-to-market values). The validity of this approach has been debated (see, for example, Berk, 2000). We consider a simple method of testing asset-pricing models using the returns of individual securities and illustrate the approach in a test of the robustness of analyses reported by Durand et al. (2006) and Limkriangkrai et al. (2008). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-637 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:629-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Bank risk, charter value and depositor discipline: a simultaneous equations approach Abstract: Using data on listed Indian banks for 1996-2006, the article finds that charter value, depositor discipline and bank risk-taking are intertwined, with each tending to reinforce the other. Whereas charter value is found to be a nonlinear determinant of market discipline, the latter is found to positively impact charter value. Additionally, higher risk-taking is found to exert a weakening effect on market discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802243775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802243775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: On the negative relationship between the wage rate and the unemployment rate: application of efficiency wage models Abstract: Applying efficiency wage models, this article finds that there is a strong evidence of a negative wage curve for the state of Alabama. The elasticity of the wage curve is estimated to be -0.28, suggesting that the wage rate in Alabama is much more sensitive to a change in the unemployment rate than the USA and there exist segmented labour markets. The log-linear function performs slightly better than the semi-log function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of nonsynchronous trading and nonlinear dynamics in returns generating process: a further note Abstract: Given the growing empirical evidence that returns predictability follows an evolutionary path, it calls into question not only the usefulness of conventional statistical tests of market efficiency as highlighted by Saadi et al. (2006), but also the adequacy of the efficient markets hypothesis to explain observed market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Toma Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Author-Name: Richard McGrath Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: McGrath Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Hotel tax receipts and the 'Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil': a time series intervention seasonal ARIMA model with time-varying variance Abstract: This study examines the influence of the release of a best-selling book and movie, Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil, set in Savannah, Georgia on local tourism demand. Tourism demand is proxied by revenue collected from an ad valorem hotel room tax in Savannah. The hotel tax revenue series is first modelled as a seasonal ARIMA model with three intervention variables: an index variable to capture the influence of the best-selling book and two dummy variables to represent the impact of the 9/11 terrorist attacks and hurricane Floyd. The presence of time-varying variance in the residuals is captured through an ARCH model. The results indicate that the book index had a positive and significant impact on hotel tax receipts, while the dummy variables for the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and hurricane Floyd were each negative with only the dummy variable for hurricane Floyd marginally significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Author-Name: Marshall Garland Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Garland Title: An evaluation of the effects of major trading partner growth using a GMM system Abstract: While the models used in evaluating the effect of a country's trading partners' growth rate on their own are fairly consistent across studies, the results are not. We propose using a GMM system instead of the standard instrumental variables method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Prostate cancer: a New Brunswick tale Abstract: This note provides a descriptive view of prostate cancer mortality in the Canadian province of New Brunswick over a ten year period spanning the 1980s and 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wentworth Boynton Author-X-Name-First: Wentworth Author-X-Name-Last: Boynton Author-Name: Henry Oppenheimer Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Oppenheimer Author-Name: Sean Reid Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Reid Title: The day-of-the-week anomaly: the role of institutional investors in Japan Abstract: A large 'day-of-the-week' literature shows abnormal losses on Mondays. Recent articles for US stocks focus on the role of the type of investor. The central idea in these articles is that the marginal-price setting changes on Monday. To identify the type of investor, these articles look at the proportion of stock ownership held by individuals and institutions. For an out-of-sample test to the US market studies, we study the Japanese stock market. Consistent with the US results, Japanese day-of-the-week patterns show Monday losses and strong Monday losses predicted by Friday losses. However, we find no evidence that the type of investor influences the Monday loss or Friday-to-Monday autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260894 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260894&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:669-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Title: An experimental test of anchoring effect Abstract: This article presents an experimental evidence of the anchoring effect for people's valuations of different items. We show that people who were given both retail and wholesale prices of the item bid less aggressively than people who were given the retail price only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-678 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221766 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221766&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:677-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven-Olov Daunfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Sven-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Daunfeldt Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Revenues as a proxy for profits: a cautionary note Abstract: In the entry literature, researchers sometimes use revenues as a proxy for profits because this is the only data available. Doing so could seriously bias the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:679-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung-In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Title: What makes the income tax system so progressive? - the case of Korea Abstract: We analyse the impact of each component of Korea's income tax system, which includes tax rates, allowance, deduction and tax credit, on overall level of progressivity, using micro-level data in 1991, 1996 and 2000. We find that Korea's income tax system has a surprisingly high level of gap between economic income and taxable income, due to remarkably generous levels of allowance and deduction. These have made nearly half of total taxpayers, specifically 47% in 2000, to pay no taxes effectively. Having analysed the impact of each component of Korea's income tax system on overall progressivity, we find that deduction policy has more impact on progressivity than tax rates and allowance. We highlight that tax credit has played an opposite role in determining the level of progressivity, which is regressive. Our recommendation is that decision makers in Korea should pay more attention to tax credit to increase the progressivity of the income tax system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601131644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601131644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fuhmei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fuhmei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The inflation rate and financial premium Abstract: The conventional wisdom recognizes that depreciating the official exchange rate reduces the spread between official and financial exchange rates and hence financial premium decreases in the financial market. This article aims to investigate whether a trade-off between the inflation rate and financial premium does exist. Both theoretical examinations and numerical simulations indicate that the support for this property is extremely fragile. We also find that the less patient the government, the more stability of domestic price and financial premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Rethinking rational addictive behaviour and demand for cinema: a study using Japanese panel data Abstract: In this article, I explore the extent to which the rational addiction model developed by Becker and Murphy (1988) can account for cinema attendance, using panel data from 47 Japanese prefectures for the years 1994-1998. Controlling for unobserved prefecture-specific fixed effects and an endogeneity bias of the lagged and lead-dependent variables (the volume of cinema attendance), by using a fixed effect two-stage least squares estimation, I find that people in Japan are likely to be addictive. This finding is contrary to that found in the United Kingdom (Cameron, 1999). Further results suggest that the younger the people are, the more video is a favoured substitute for the cinema. If other factors are equal, the past accumulated consumption of young people is, of course, smaller than that of older people. Hence, the addictive behaviour is more attenuated for younger people because of their lesser past consumption. The complementary effect of past consumption is more likely to outweigh the substitution effect of preferring video as people become older. These findings are in accord with the Becker and Murphy (1988) model of rational addiction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221782 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221782&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: Models for over reported income Abstract: Over reported income is commonly expressed as Z = X/Y, where X denotes the true income and Y a multiplicative error taking values in (0, 1). If Y has the power function distribution then it is well known that X is Pareto distributed if and only if Z is also. Often, the gamma distribution is preferred as a model for income. In this note, we derive the exact distribution of Z as well as the associated percentage points assuming X is gamma distributed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Kiuila Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Kiuila Author-Name: Anil Markandya Author-X-Name-First: Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Markandya Title: Can transition economies implement a carbon tax and hope for a double dividend? The case of Estonia Abstract: This article presents a simulation of the impact of the carbon tax reform on the Estonian economy using a computable general equilibrium model. Nine different scenarios have been considered. The long-term results of the proposed tax reform should not hamper the country's economic development, provided that the appropriate tax option is used. The reform has to be implemented as a package of changes in the entire tax system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Lai Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Tsung-Chyan Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Chyan Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Analysing the c-minus-age strategy for life-cycle investing Abstract: The c-minus-age strategy is a popular strategy for life-cycle investing. When applying the c-minus-age strategy, an investor first chooses an indirect preference parameter c and at age t will hold a percentage of c minus t in equity assets. In this article, we use a linear and a multiplicative mean-variance utility function to quantitatively analyse the term structure of the mean-variance tradeoffs implied by the c-minus-age strategy. We also provide an optimal procedure to determine c, based on the two direct preference parameters, elicited from an investor, of a multiplicative mean-variance utility function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-718 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:711-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Anna Montini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Montini Author-Name: Roberto Zoboli Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zoboli Title: Municipal waste generation and the EKC hypothesis new evidence exploiting province-based panel data Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on delinking and Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for municipal waste generation in Italy. A disaggregated panel data-set on Italian Provinces is exploited. The empirical analysis of different specifications shows a first evidence in favour of an EKC relationship with regard to waste generation. Nevertheless, the turning point (TP) is at very high levels of added value per capita (around 23 000-26 000€), which concern a very limited number of wealthy Northern Italian provinces. Finally, the test on some waste management instruments proxies, leads to the conclusion that they are not yet impacting waste generation. To lower the TPs and to avoid an increasing gap between geographical areas, market based and more effective policy instruments should be implemented. In particular, the weight of waste policies should be rebalanced towards waste prevention targets according to the European waste hierarchy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-725 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:719-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Author-Name: Bazoumana Ouattara Author-X-Name-First: Bazoumana Author-X-Name-Last: Ouattara Title: What type of economic growth does foreign aid support? Abstract: This article contributes to the aid effectiveness literature by investigating the type of economic growth that foreign aid spurs. The impact of foreign on agricultural growth and industrial growth is examined. Results provide strong evidence to suggest that foreign aid is effective at increasing the former in recipient countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Patti Author-X-Name-First: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Patti Author-Name: Pietro Navarra Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: Navarra Title: Globalization, democratization and economic growth Abstract: Using a two-equations model we estimate whether and to what extent the interplay between FDI and democratization affects economic growth. Two results emerge. First, endogenous FDI impact significantly on economic growth. Second democracy is a substantive predictor of both FDI and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-734 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:731-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Matha Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Matha Author-Name: Ladislav Wintr Author-X-Name-First: Ladislav Author-X-Name-Last: Wintr Title: Commuting flows across bordering regions: a note Abstract: This article analyses the bilateral commuting flows across bordering regions of four European Union countries. The results suggest that aggregate cross-border commuting increases as the asymmetries in income per capita and the unemployment rate increase. Commuting time or distance and language differences between the bordering regions impede cross-border commuting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: I-Ting Chen Author-X-Name-First: I-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The level of technology employed and the internal hierarchical wage structure Abstract: This study demonstrates that the level of firm-specific technology significantly enlarges the wage gaps of managers. Firm-specific technology is found to be more powerful than industrial risk or the promotion rate in explaining the wage gaps of managers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-744 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:739-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: Testing the home-country self-employment hypothesis on immigrants in Sweden Abstract: This article tests the home-country self-employment hypothesis on immigrants in Sweden. The results show that the self-employment rates vary between different immigrant groups but we find no support for the home-country self-employment hypothesis using traditional estimation methods. However, when applying quantile regression method we find such evidence when testing results from the 90th quantile. This indicates that home-country self-employment traditions are important for the self-employment decision among immigrant groups with high self-employment rates in Sweden. Furthermore, the result underlines the importance of utilizing robust estimation methods when the home-country self-employment hypothesis is tested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Combined signal approach: evidence from the Asian-Pacific equity markets Abstract: This article tests the profitability of the Combined Signal Approach (CSA) (Lento and Gradojevic, 2007) in the Asian-Pacific equity markets. The CSA is based on the premise that the consensus agreement of profitable trading signals should outperform any single signal. The results present further evidence that the CSA improves the profitability of individual trading rules and consistently earns profits in excess of the buy-and-hold trading strategy. The significance of the results is tested through a bootstrap simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amelia Correa Author-X-Name-First: Amelia Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Romar Correa Author-X-Name-First: Romar Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: D. Tripati Rao Author-X-Name-First: D. Tripati Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Graciella Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Graciella Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Title: The dynamic inefficiency of financial capitalism Abstract: We show that the interest rate cannot both coordinate the savings plans of borrowers and lenders and equal the marginal product of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-757 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:755-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adnan Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Title: The impact of sudden changes on the persistence of volatility: evidence from the BRIC countries Abstract: This article analyses sudden changes of volatility in the stock markets of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) using the iterated cumulative sums of squares algorithm for the period 1990 to 2007 and examines their impacts on the persistence of volatility. The results show that when endogenously determined sudden shifts in variance are taken into account in the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, the estimated persistence in return volatility is reduced significantly in every return series. These results suggest that the findings of previous studies could have overestimated the degree of the persistence of volatility existing in the financial time series. These results have important policy implications for the financial market participants and policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-764 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:759-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaines Liner Author-X-Name-First: Gaines Author-X-Name-Last: Liner Author-Name: Ellen Sewell Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Sewell Title: Research requirements for promotion and tenure at PhD granting departments of economics Abstract: We surveyed 125 chairs of PhD granting departments of economics for their valuation of articles in top-tier journals relative to less prestigious journals, for co-author contribution relative to single author contribution and for the worth of books and grants relative to journal articles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Pedro Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Philipp Rother Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Rother Title: Ordered response models for sovereign debt ratings Abstract: Using ordered logit and probit plus random effects ordered probit approaches, we study the determinants of sovereign debt ratings. We found that the last procedure is the best for panel data as it takes into account the additional cross-section error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Twm Evans Author-X-Name-First: Twm Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Asymmetric return patterns: evidence from 33 international stock market indices Abstract: Recent evidence has suggested an asymmetric effect in US equity return dynamics on the basis of positive and negative consecutive return or holding days. This note extends that analysis by considering 33 international stock indices and longer consecutive day and holding periods. The results of this analysis may be of interest to those engaged in both technical trading and portfolio management. Our results support asymmetric return patterns for all stock markets and on the two definitions of return continuations. Further, we also identify that consecutive positive return days exhibit greater persistence than consecutive negative return days. Finally, using the holding-period definition we also identify whether longer holding periods are always associated with increased returns. Evidence whilst generally supportive is not ubiquitous, furthermore, the majority of the increase in returns occurs over a holding period of 7-10 days, with more limited increases over the remainder of the 45-day holding-period considered. This latter result may be of particular importance to those engaged in portfolio building. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glynn Tonsor Author-X-Name-First: Glynn Author-X-Name-Last: Tonsor Author-Name: Terry Kastens Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Kastens Title: Do starting values really matter? Development of a genetic algorithm approach Abstract: Evaluating the impact of using different starting conditions in econometric models is increasingly critical. This study demonstrates implications of using alternative starting value conditions and how these implications vary with econometric model complexity. This piece also proposes a universal approach in developing appropriate starting values for use in subsequent model estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222046 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222046&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: A note on democratization: does history still matter? Abstract: This article examines associations between historical factors and whether or not autocratic regimes in 1972 later democratized after controlling for current characteristics. Many historical factors are not relevant, although European influence as measured by the fraction of the population speaking a western European language is an exception and is positively associated with democratization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayse Evrensel Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Evrensel Title: Determinants of bank supervisory agencies' power and accountability: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article empirically investigates the recent hypothesis advanced by Demirguc-Kunt et al. (2004) and Barth et al. (2006) that countries' choices regarding bank regulations reflect their historical and political characteristics. Based on a dataset with 151 developed and developing countries, the empirical results verify that banking freedom, constraints on the political power, longer history of institutional evolution and the presence of common law are associated with less powerful and more accountable bank supervisory agencies. Therefore, policy efforts that are directed toward a change in banking regulations should be mindful of countries' historical and political characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Karafiath Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Karafiath Title: Detecting cumulative abnormal volume: a comparison of event study methods Abstract: A growing body of research in accounting and finance examines the reaction of trading volume to new information. The typical 'volume event study' employs a single-index market model borrowed mutatis mutandis from abnormal returns event studies. In this article, several alternative event study test statistics are compared using Brown and Warner (1985) style simulations, i.e. random samples of securities are drawn from the data set provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and the empirical distributions of alternative test statistics are compared. In contrast to the extant literature, these simulations show that estimated generalized least squares with first- and second-order autoregressive structures do not offer material improvement over ordinary least squares (OLS) regression. A first-order moving average structure also does not offer material improvement. These simulations also show that test statistics that are robust with regard to cross-sectional heteroskedasticity are essential for testing the hypothesis that the cross-sectional mean cumulative abnormal log turnover is zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-802 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:797-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Author-Name: Fang Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Panel data model comparison for empirical saving-investment relations Abstract: The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle has triggered a broad range of econometric specifications to investigate saving-investment (SI) relations. In this article, we attempt to determine a family of econometric models that is most suitable in explaining actual ratios of domestic investment to GDP via cross-validation techniques. Comparing between, pooled, time and country dependent specifications of the SI relation, the country dependent model is best performing. Moreover, error correction models formalizing adjustment dynamics of domestic investment ratios are markedly outperformed by static panel models. Supporting evidence for a cointegration relation between domestic saving and investment ratios is not found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-807 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:803-807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Carsten Hefeker Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hefeker Title: Trade, labour market regulations and growth Abstract: We empirically analyse the role of labour market regulations for the impact of trade on growth. The results indicate that countries with flexible labour markets are more likely to harness the gains from trade. This outcome may help to explain the diverse impact of trade on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Argentino Pessoa Author-X-Name-First: Argentino Author-X-Name-Last: Pessoa Title: Kuznets's hypothesis and the data constraint Abstract: Five decades ago, Simon Kuznets expressed an important hypothesis about the relationship between the degree of income inequality within a country and its level of economic development: the Kuznets's inverted-U hypothesis. The lack of longitudinal data has forced the use of cross-section or pooled datasets in order to draw conclusions about that relationship. In the present note we highlight the lack of international comparability of surveys where the measures of inequality are based, and we show two main findings: (1) data comparability goes on constituting a problem, particularly in what respects to the different welfare indicators used in national surveys, and (2) the procedure usually used to minimize the problem of noncomparability is likely to enforce the bias rather than to solve it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-818 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:813-818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monish Chhabra Author-X-Name-First: Monish Author-X-Name-Last: Chhabra Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Nilanjan Sen Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Investor protection effects on corporate liquidity and the cost of capital Abstract: Studies by LaPorta et al. (2000, 2002) show that the strong protection of investor rights encourage the development of capital markets and are associated with higher levels of firm valuation as measured by Tobin's Q. Related research finds that well-developed capital markets produce higher rates of economic growth and allocate capital more efficiently. These studies fail, however, to explain how the investor protection environment produces higher firm values or facilitates the more efficient allocation of investment capital. Using a sample of 158 ADRs representing 26 different countries, this study provides such a linkage by examining the effect of investor protection levels on share liquidity and the firm's cost of capital. We find that lower levels of investor protection reduce share liquidity while simultaneously resulting in a higher cost of equity capital. The combination of less liquidity with a higher cost of capital suggests an explanation for the lower values observed for firms incorporated in countries with fewer investor protections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 819-826 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:819-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does overconfidence always matter for asset prices? Abstract: Research in behaviour finance has provided seemingly persuasive evidences that overconfidence affects asset prices. We provide a model with model uncertainty and overconfidence in which overconfidence could have no effect on asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-830 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:827-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Arti Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Modelling Fiji-US exchange rate volatility Abstract: In this article, we examine the Fiji-US exchange rate volatility using daily data for the period 2000 to 2006. Our modelling framework is based on the EGARCH model. We find robust evidence of conditional shocks having a positive effect on exchange rate volatility, shocks having asymmetric effects on exchange rate volatility and shocks having a transitory effect on exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-834 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:831-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Aleksanyan Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Aleksanyan Title: Does the information environment affect the value relevance of financial statement data? Abstract: Recent studies demonstrate that the usefulness of financial statement data for valuation of stocks varies depending on specific economy- and firm-level conditions. This empirical study identifies a novel firm-level influential condition. It hypothesizes and finds that for firms that trade at a premium to book value the value-relevance of two fundamental financial statement value drivers (i.e. earnings and book value), is negatively related to the level of sophistication of the firm's information environment. However, for firms that trade at a discount to book value, the level of sophistication of information environment does not affect the value-relevance of these financial statement value drivers. The level of complexity of the firm's information environment is proxied by the firm's capitalized value. The empirical analysis is based on a sample of nonfinancial firms listed on the London Stock Exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wann-Yih Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wann-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Cheng-Feng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The optimal internal marketing strategy in services under open economy Abstract: This article attempts to develop a conceptual model to evaluate the optimal internal marketing strategy in services under open economy, and then verifies the effect of this marketing strategy on the satisfaction of marketing channel members. For its conceptual model, this study employs the concept of natural logarithm and Lagrange function to optimize an internal marketing strategy for international service that can maximize satisfaction of marketing channel members. The results suggest that service providers should increase the proportion of their portfolio's standardization strategy in their overall international marketing strategy if the positive association between their standardization strategy and strategic performance is relatively strong. We also provide optimal guideline for determining the allocation of resources. Furthermore, the results of structural equation modelling also ascertain the fitness of structure of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-845 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:841-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Growitsch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Growitsch Author-Name: Borge Hess Author-X-Name-First: Borge Author-X-Name-Last: Hess Title: On the sensitivity of US electric utilities' efficiency estimates - a distance function approach Abstract: Previous applications of different benchmarking techniques, both in academia and regulation practice, have shown substantial differences among the models' results. To analyse the sensitivity of efficiency estimates of a sample of US electricity distribution utilities, we compare the results of the generalized least squares frontier model proposed by Schmidt and Sickles (1984) and the maximum likelihood estimation frontier model of Pitt and Lee (1981) with the true random effects frontier model introduced by Greene (2004, 2005). We find substantially higher efficiency scores for the Greene model, indicating that the other formulations underestimate firms' efficiency due to an insufficient consideration of firm specific heterogeneity. In contrast to other studies, the efficiency estimates in this article do not differ considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-851 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:847-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Currency appreciation, rising financial asset values, and output fluctuations in China Abstract: Applying a general equilibrium model and the Newey-West method, this article finds that real output in China has a positive relationship with real M2, the government deficit/GDP ratio, and the real stock price and a negative relationship with real appreciation. The expected inflation rate is insignificant. It is estimated that when the real effective exchange rate rises 1%, real GDP in China is expected to decrease by 0.938% and that a 1% increase in real stock prices would raise output by 0.126%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-857 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:853-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amelia Correa Author-X-Name-First: Amelia Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Romar Correa Author-X-Name-First: Romar Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Title: Microfinance: equity and debt contracts Abstract: We offer an explanation, drawn from first principles, of the belief that the consumption needs of the asset-poor are best met by debt contracts, whereas equity arrangements are tailored to the financing requirements of poor entrepreneurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-862 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:859-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongchern Su Author-X-Name-First: Yongchern Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Weiling Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Weiling Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Peiwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Peiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Intraday return and order imbalance relation in NASDAQ speculative new highs Abstract: According to previous studies, speculative trades generate positively autocorrelated returns. Therefore, we focus on speculative stocks that reach to 52-week new high records. They might be possibly with more information inside because they have kept good performance in earnings or revenues. Order imbalance (OI) is employed as a proxy of information asymmetry in this article. Relation between intraday return and OI is investigated under a time-varying framework. A contemporaneous significant positive relation exists in all kinds of interval tests, especially for 90-second and 3-minute intervals. The coefficients of lagged OIs are negative but not significant. It can be explained as asymmetric information effect. After controlling for contemporaneous OI, it shows continuation in lag-one relations in 90-second interval. In 3-minute and 15-minute interval tests, the results are mixed. Finally, the relation of contemporaneous coefficients and market capitalization is significantly negative. It implies that there is more information asymmetry in smaller firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-869 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:863-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Zapf Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Zapf Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Asymmetric modelling of the revenue-expenditure nexus: evidence from aggregate state and local government in the US Abstract: This study examines the time series dynamics between US aggregate state and local government receipts and expenditures in differentiating between four hypotheses related to the revenue-expenditure nexus: tax-spend, spend-tax, fiscal synchronization and institutional separation hypotheses. Unlike previous research at the state and local level, the possibility of asymmetries in the budgetary process is explored using the threshold autoregressive (TAR) and momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) cointegration framework of Enders and Siklos (2001). The results indicate the absence of any asymmetries (TAR or MTAR) in the adjustment towards budgetary equilibrium. The symmetric error correction model provides support for the spend-tax hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-876 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:871-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Caliendo Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Caliendo Author-Name: Ludovica Gambaro Author-X-Name-First: Ludovica Author-X-Name-Last: Gambaro Author-Name: Peter Haan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Title: The impact of income taxation on the ratio between reservation and market wages and the incentives for labour supply Abstract: This article extends previous research about the determinants of reservation wages by analysing the effect of progressive income taxation on the ratio between reservation and net market wages. Based on micro data for Germany Socio-Economic-Panel (SOEP) we show that joint income taxation in Germany which discriminates by marital status, has a strong and highly significant impact on the reservation/market wage ratio. Relative to single filers, this leads to strong negative labour supply incentives for secondary earners and to positive incentives for first earners in married couples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-883 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:877-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rene Fahr Author-X-Name-First: Rene Author-X-Name-Last: Fahr Author-Name: Uwe Sunde Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Sunde Title: Gender differentials in skill use and skill formation in the aftermath of vocational training Abstract: This article investigates gender differentials in skill-use and training participation in the aftermath of vocational training in Germany. We find that women use less of their apprenticeship skills than men once they have left their apprenticeship occupation. Moreover, women are significantly less likely to obtain further formal training upon completing apprenticeship than men, whether staying within the same occupation or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-889 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222137 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222137&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:885-889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maximo Mejia Author-X-Name-First: Maximo Author-X-Name-Last: Mejia Author-Name: Pierre Cariou Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Cariou Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Is maritime piracy random? Abstract: Far from being an extinct phenomenon, piracy still exists in the modern world and is a growing menace to the security and safety of shipping. Using the data on attacks against vessels reported between 1996 and 2005 merged with the data on the total world merchant fleet, this article inquires whether acts of piracy are a truly random occurrence. Results show that both flag of registry and type of vessel are significant factors in explaining maritime piracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-895 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:891-895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: Polarization trends across the US states Abstract: This note examines the level of polarization in the US state per capita income distribution during the period 1929 to 2005, using, for the first time in this context, the set of measures proposed by Esteban and Ray (1994) and Esteban et al. (2007). Our results show that income polarization has decreased over the sample period, regardless of the number of groups considered in the study or the value assigned to the polarization sensitivity parameter. In addition, the analysis carried out reveals the existence of a statistically significant relationship between the evolution of spatial autocorrelation and income polarization, which highlights the relevance of physical-geography spillover effects in explaining the observed changes in the distribution under consideration between 1929 and 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-902 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:897-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Title: Market frictions and overpriced favourites: evidence from arena football Abstract: Prior academic studies find that bets on underdogs persistently win more often than expected in National Football League (NFL) and National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) football gambling markets. We extend this stream of literature by examining this 'underdog bias' in the market for Arena Football League (AFL) bets, a setting in which both betting limits and bettor sophistication are comparatively low. Results show that the underdog bias is significantly stronger in the AFL, suggesting that smaller and less liquid markets are more heavily influenced by these, and perhaps other, behavioural biases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 903-906 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:903-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Da Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Return autocorrelations in the stock markets Abstract: This article investigates the return autocorrelation in four stock markets around the Asia-Pacific rim: the USA, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea. The results indicate that there are conditional return autocorrelation in Taiwan's and South Korea's stock markets for daily data. Moreover, there are negative relationships between autocorrelation and two factors (trading volume and return volatility) significantly in Taiwan and South Korea, implying that the stock markets in Taiwan and South Korea are not as efficient as those in developed countries (the USA and Japan). For weekly data, however, none of the above four markets has significant return autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-911 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:907-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gyu-Hyen Moon Author-X-Name-First: Gyu-Hyen Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: Wei-Choun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Choun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Chung-Hyo Hong Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hyo Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Dynamic hedging performance with the evaluation of multivariate GARCH models: evidence from KOSTAR index futures Abstract: This article examines the hedging performance of the conventional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model and a variety of dynamic hedging models for the in-sample and out-of-sample periods of Korean daily Korea Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (KOSDAQ) STAR (KOSTAR) index futures. We employ the rolling OLS and various popular multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models to estimate and forecast the conditional covariances and variances of KOSTAR spot and futures returns. This article finds that dynamic hedging methods outperform the conventional method for the out-of-sample period. However, the simple rolling OLS is superior to all the other popular multivariate GARCH models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-919 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314527 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314527&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:913-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Author-Name: Jean-Marc Figuet Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Figuet Title: Estimation of a hedonic price equation for Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wines Abstract: The aim of this article is to explain Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wine prices. The hedonic price method is applied to determine the main explanatory variables factors of price differences. This method indicates that the relationship between quality and price of the Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wine areas is poor. This result explains, at least partially, the fall from favour of French wines in the eyes of foreign consumers and the resulting crisis in the French wine industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-927 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:921-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eelke de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Eelke Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Author-Name: Remco Zwinkels Author-X-Name-First: Remco Author-X-Name-Last: Zwinkels Title: A heterogeneous route to the European monetary system crisis Abstract: We estimate a dynamic heterogeneous agents model for the British pound during the European monetary system crisis. We illustrate the chain of events leading to the suspension of the pound from the exchange rate mechanism in terms of switching beliefs, from fundamentalist to chartist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Decomposing the characteristics of undergraduate student attrition Abstract: The authors use the techniques of decomposition analysis to explain differences in survival rates between different groups of 1st year undergraduate students at the University of Ulster in Northern Ireland and explain how much of the overall inequality in survival rates can be explained by inequality within groups and how much can be explained by inequality between groups. They find that 45.1% of the observed difference of 8.2 points in survival rates between female and male students can be explained by gender whereas only 1.4% of the observed difference of 7.4 points in survival rates between Protestant and Catholic students only 1.4% can be explained by religion. Therefore, attribute differences are important in explaining differences in survival rates between males and females, but not between Protestants and Catholics. When looking at how much of the overall inequality in survival rates could be explained by inequality within groups and how much by inequality between groups; they find that the best explanation for the observed inequality in the distribution of survival probabilities was given by the type of course studied accounting for nearly 2/3 of the inequality between students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Sonora Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Sonora Title: City relative price convergence in the USA with structural break(s) Abstract: As in international tests of purchasing power parity, new more powerful univariate unit root tests have been successful in rejecting a unit root process in US city relative prices over the period 1918-1997. However, convergence rates calculated with these tests are at odds with theories of price convergence. This article addresses structural breaks that may be misinterpreted as nonstationary permanent stochastic process. Using unit root tests with structural breaks, we are able to reject a unit root process in the majority of US city relative prices over the entire sample period. Moreover, convergence rates fall to those more in line with theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Foldvari Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Foldvari Author-Name: Bas van Leeuwen Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: van Leeuwen Title: An alternative interpretation of 'average years of education' in growth regressions Abstract: The majority of the empirical literature uses average years of education as a proxy of the human capital stock. Based on Lucas (1988) we argue that the level of average years of education can also be seen as a proxy for the growth rate of the per capita human capital stock. This has fundamental impact on the interpretation of the coefficient and may explain some of the contradictory empirical results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Author-Name: Ralitza Dimova Author-X-Name-First: Ralitza Author-X-Name-Last: Dimova Title: Economic reforms as a tool to attract foreign direct investment: is it a chimera? Abstract: The policy implication of the existing literature on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows is that countries that require FDI can attract it by adopting policy measures that facilitate the emergence of appropriate regulatory and institutional environment, greater integration with the global economy and the development of resources like human capital. We test the plausible hypothesis that, on the contrary, FDI flows are largely path dependent, and our empirical exercise finds prima facie support in favour of this hypothesis. This has obvious implications for FDI flows to poor countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-957 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:951-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Tests of currency substitution, capital mobility and nonlinearity of Hungary's money demand function Abstract: The demand for M2 in Hungary is positively associated with real output and the nominal effective exchange rate and negatively influenced by the deposit rate, the euro interest rate, and expected inflation rate. The coefficient of the euro interest rate for the demand for M1 is insignificant. Hence, depreciation of the forint or a higher euro interest rate would help raise Hungary's real output. The Box-Cox transformation shows that the log-linear form for M1 or M2 demand cannot be rejected at the 5% level while the linear form for M1 or M2 demand can be rejected at the 5% level. However, the log-linear form for M2 demand can be rejected at the 10% level. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests show that M2 demand based on the Box-Cox model and M1 demand are relatively stable. Based on the mean absolute percent error and the Theil inequality coefficient, M2 demand based on the Box-Cox model yields better forecasting outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-964 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:959-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Landeras Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Landeras Title: Student effort: standards vs. tournaments Abstract: In this article we compare a competency system based on an absolute standard vs. a competitive grading system (tournament) in terms of the student effort level they are able to motivate. We prove, unlike other previous work, that more risk does not always discourage effort under a competency grading system. Furthermore, relative advantage depends crucially on the nature of the noise distorting academic achievement. If systematic factors prevail then a tournament is preferred to a competency system based on absolute standards, while if idiosyncratic factors predominate the last is more efficient. Comparisons are effective only and only if the passing standard is fixed at the efficient level that promotes in the student the highest optimal effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-969 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:965-969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tonghua Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tonghua Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Re-estimation of capital flights from China: 1982-2005 Abstract: Cuddington and World Bank-method are modified with trade credits and trade misinvoicing to estimate the short-term and total capital flight (CF) from China. Trade Misinvoicing are adjusted with the transit trade through Hong Kong. It is shown that the short-term is the main component of the CFs from China. Export under-invoicing is the main channel of CFs since 1994, and illegal capital inflow and CF exist simultaneously in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-976 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:971-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Wallace Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Wallace Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: Regulation, shareholder rights and corporate governance: an empirical note Abstract: We investigate the impact of regulation on shareholder rights and corporate governance. We gauge the strength of shareholder rights by measuring the number of restrictive governance provisions that suppress shareholder rights - the more restrictive the governance, the weaker the shareholder rights. We find that financial firms have less restrictive corporate governance, suggesting that financial regulations promote shareholder rights. On the other hand, regulation does not seem to impact shareholder rights in the utility industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-982 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:977-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dejan Krusec Author-X-Name-First: Dejan Author-X-Name-Last: Krusec Title: The monetary transmission in the euro area: post-1999 data assessment Abstract: This article investigates the transmission of monetary policy shocks in the euro area after 1999. To examine this we use empirical structural vector error correction models, built on the data for the period from 1999 to mid-2005. We identify a monetary shock by restricting it to have only temporary effects on output and inflation. We obtain negative responses of inflation and output to a restrictive monetary shock in the period under investigation. These results are obtained with the HICP based as well as the core inflation measure included in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-988 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:983-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Author-Name: Stephen Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Xinzhong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Empirical pricing kernels obtained from the UK index options market Abstract: Empirical pricing kernels for the UK equity market are derived as the ratio between risk-neutral densities, inferred from FTSE 100 index options, and historical real-world densities, estimated from time series of the index. The kernels thus obtained are almost compatible with a risk averse representative agent, unlike similar estimates for the US market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-993 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:989-993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Azetsu Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Azetsu Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: The estimation of asymmetric adjustment costs for the number of workers and working hours - empirical evidence from Japanese industry data Abstract: Using monthly data on Japanese industries, we estimate a model of dynamic labour demand that incorporates adjustment costs for hiring and firing workers, and for changing working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701320147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701320147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: Olga Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Title: The impact of 9/11 on hours of work and labour force participation in the US Abstract: The purpose of this article is to use observed changes in hours of work and labour force participation to draw inferences regarding behavioural responses to the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US. Using the Current Population Survey and controlling for differences in demographics, labour market conditions and a time-invariant unobserved individual fixed effect, we determine that for most sub-samples there was no change in labour force participation or in hours of work after 9/11 relative to before. Exceptions were women, who increased their labour force participation, and workers living in the proximity of one of the 9/11 events, who increased their hours of work. These results are consistent with a precautionary increase in labour supply during an uncertain time, and with others' documentation of women responding more dramatically to external stressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701250252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701250252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Soderlind Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Soderlind Title: An extended Stein's lemma for asset pricing Abstract: Stein's lemma is extended to the case where asset returns have skewed and leptokurtic distributions. The risk premium is still the negative of the covariance of the excess return with the log stochastic discount factor. The risk-neutral distribution has a simple form but is a nontrivial transformation of the physical distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1008 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1005-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adel Boubaker Author-X-Name-First: Adel Author-X-Name-Last: Boubaker Author-Name: Saber Sebai Author-X-Name-First: Saber Author-X-Name-Last: Sebai Title: Inter-market information flow: a nonlinear approach Abstract: This article attempts to characterize the pattern of information flows between the stock markets by determining mean and variance causal relationships. A two-step procedure proposed by Cheung and Ng (1996) is used. Stock market returns are specified as Autoregressive-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (AR-GARCH) models with Monday and Friday effects. Stock markets of our sample are chosen to analyse the main causes of information flows documented in the literature: linkage between economic fundamentals and the time lag between the stock markets' opening hours. Results provide evidence of nonlinear causality between stock markets, even when linear Granger causality is rejected. Causality seems to be attributed to both economic linkage and time lag between market openings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1015 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1009-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dave Lane Author-X-Name-First: Dave Author-X-Name-Last: Lane Title: The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment: a refinement Abstract: The proof of Proposition I in the work of Modigliani and Miller (MM) (1958) is based on the mechanism of arbitrage. Two cases are considered: first, the case where the value of the levered firm is larger than that of the unlevered one; second, the case where the value of the levered firm is smaller than that of the unlevered one. The first case involves the investor engaging in personal borrowing. This article shows that the amount borrowed is greater than the amount envisaged by MM, and that the proof of Proposition I is slightly altered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1019 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1017-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Udaya Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Udaya Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Rudra Narayan Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Rudra Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: On comparison of nutritional deprivation: an illustration using Foster Greer Thorbecke criterion Abstract: This is an illustrative note on application of Foster Greer Thorbecke (FGT) criterion to measurement and comparison of undernourishment among children. Given the semblance between head-count measure of poverty and measuring undernourishment among children, there arises a need for application of FGT criterion in assessment of undernourishment as well. This not only helps in assessing intensity and inequality aspect but also can adjust the head count accounting for both to make a valid comparison on levels of undernourishment across situations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1021-1024 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1021-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Title: High-tech exports and economic growth in industrialized countries Abstract: The present article provides new evidence on the impact of the change in the high-tech export share on economic growth in OECD countries. We estimate a dynamic growth model on panel data for 22 OECD countries for 1980-2004, in which the data is measured as 5-year averages. Using the system GMM panel estimator, which corrects for simultaneity, we find that both business R&D intensity and the share of high-tech exports are significantly positively related to the GDP per working age population. The estimated elasticities are rather sizable but the magnitude suggests that business R&D intensity is more important than the share of high-tech exports in explaining GDP per working age population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1028 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1025-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: On skewness of return and buying more than one ticket in a lottery Abstract: The purpose in this article is to demonstrate that buying more than one ticket in a lottery is readily explicable in models of utility that permit gambling at actuarially unfair odds. However, contrary to popular view, we show this choice cannot be explained in terms of a variance-skew trade-off. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1032 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701320154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701320154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1029-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Economic factors, firm characteristics and performance: a panel data analysis for United Kingdom life offices Abstract: This article examines panel data evidence to investigate the linkage between insurer performance proxied by investment yield and several economic and firm-specific factors in the United Kingdom life insurance industry. The empirical results indicate that investment yield is positively related interest rate level, but negatively related to interest rate changes, reinsurance dependence, assets held to cover linked liabilities and instability of asset structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1037 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1033-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natividad Blasco Author-X-Name-First: Natividad Author-X-Name-Last: Blasco Author-Name: Pilar Corredor Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Corredor Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Information spillovers between derivative markets with differences in transaction costs and liquidity Abstract: In line with the transactions cost theory, this article shows that the futures market with its higher liquidity and lower transactions costs, leads the options market in the price discovery process. Liquidity and transaction costs are also shown to play a key role in market sensitivity to information, since the futures market s response to shocks is quicker, which means that it receives higher volatility spillovers than does the options market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1047 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1039-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Jirjahn Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Jirjahn Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Author-Name: Georgi Tsertsvadze Author-X-Name-First: Georgi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsertsvadze Title: Class size, student performance and Tiebout bias Abstract: If students tend to choose instructors with high teaching ability, a negative link between class size and student performance may remain obscured until this kind of sorting has been taken into account. Using data from student evaluation surveys, we confirm that it is crucial to control for instructor fixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1052 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1049-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bicket Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bicket Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Demographics and living arrangements of the minority elderly in the United States Abstract: Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau, this study assesses the demographics and living arrangements of the minority elderly population of the United States. Rapid growth in both the number and the proportion of all elderly minority populations are expected. By 2050, one-third of the elderly population will be other than a non-Hispanic White. While existing literature primarily focuses on the demographics and living arrangements of the White elderly population, this study attempts to show the diversity and differences in economic and cultural patterns among the minority elderly population and the implications of such diversity on the living arrangements of the elderly. The data show variations in elderly living arrangements in minority population groups by gender, and across and within the groups themselves. Such differences in living arrangements have important policy implications on both macro and micro level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1057 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1053-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Knezevic Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Knezevic Title: Estimating the long-term costs of diabetic kidney disease: an economic approach Abstract: Healthcare spending in Australia has increased rapidly in recent decades, partly due to the prevalence of lifestyle related illness, as physical inactivity and ageing have become common. Diabetes is a chronic and costly illness resulting from poor lifestyle choice and ageing. In this study, we estimate the long-run cumulative costs of a complication of diabetes, diabetic kidney disease, using well-known techniques from health economics. We find that spending on treatment for diabetic kidney disease will amount to $9.2 billion over the next 30 years. Most of the cost from this complication comes from the clinical stage of diabetic kidney disease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1064 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335301 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335301&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1059-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Author-Name: Thomas Leoni Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Leoni Title: Characteristics of self-employment among university graduates Abstract: In this article, we investigate the characteristics of nonagricultural self-employment (SE) among university graduates in Austria. Probit regressions based on 380 000 observations from the country's 2001 population census indicate that the probability of choosing SE rises significantly with age. We find that men are more likely to be entrepreneurs than women. There are also strong sectoral and regional effects, such as higher probabilities in rural areas. Furthermore, we observe a significant link between the propensity to be self-employed and the type of university degree. Our findings concerning the relationship between citizenship and SE indicate that highly-skilled immigrants from low-wage countries are less likely to be entrepreneurs than native-born citizens and graduates from high-wage countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1071 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1065-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell James Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: James Title: Tenant time preference as a barrier to homeownership Abstract: Many US government programs focus on reducing the financial barriers to homeownership. This paper uncovers evidence of an additional barrier - high time discounting by renters. Results from cumulative logistic and ordinary least squares models of 4228 households participating in the 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances indicate that renters self-report a significantly shorter financial planning time-horizon than owners do. Additionally, a tobit analysis reveals that renters tend to choose short-term, low-return investments when they save. A probit analysis of 14 743 household observations in the 2003-2004 Consumer Expenditure Survey reveals a significantly higher probability for consumption of tobacco by renters-a choice frequently associated with high time discounting due to negative long-term health effects. Each of these results is consistent with high time discounting by renters. Such discounting of future consequences can impede the transition to homeownership, which often requires delaying current consumption in exchange for future benefit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: Alternative methods of calculating optimal timber rotations: a critique of the Stokey/Lucas/Prescott tree-cutting problem Abstract: The traditional question of optimally deciding when to cut down a tree is among the most commonly posed questions asked of students learning the technique of dynamic programming. This paper shows that the traditional tree-cutting example is improperly formulated when the question of replanting is addressed, derives the proper method of finding optimal harvest length, and applies this method to an empirical forest growth function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1081 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1079-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Corporate foreign currency debt in Brazil: will dollar indebted firms invest more after real exchange rate depreciations? Abstract: In this article the effect of real exchange rate movements over the investment of Brazilian firms with foreign currency debt is assessed. Moreover, the hypothesis of currency matching between firm s revenues and expenditures will be tested. To do so, a new theoretical model is provided. Contrary to previous results of a positive effect of exchange rate devaluations over investment, our results show that the effect is decreasing on the share of the foreign currency liabilities. For small shares of foreign debt, the effect is positive, but by increasing the share it turns negative. We didn t find evidence of currency matching in our data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1088 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1083-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Gail Shields Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Estimating external returns to education in the US: a production function approach Abstract: Individual US data are merged with aggregate data by state for the US and used to estimate the external benefits of education. Aggregate state-wide variables used are the average level of education and per capita physical capital for each state. Individual variables used are each working adult's labour force experience, years of completed schooling, gender and immigration status. One difference from previous studies that estimate external benefits to education is that data on physical capital for each region (state) are available and used. Hence, the study is based on an explicit production function of the form suggested by Lucas. Strong evidence of the presence of external benefits to education for the US is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1092 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335343 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335343&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1089-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Occupation and the labour market participation of women: why do some people trade down jobs when careers are interrupted? Abstract: A dynamic structural discrete choice model of labour market participation, schooling and occupational choice is applied to data for women drawn from the British Cohort Study. It is established that, for relatively highly educated workers, the return attached to childrearing is higher in the part-time non-managerial work regime than in the part-time managerial work regime. As a consequence, following childbirth, many female managers switch to occupations that underutilise their skills. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1096 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1093-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Title: A note on Taylor rules and the term structure Abstract: This article augments the well-known dynamic macro-economic model of Svensson (1997) to include the term structure of interest rates, in order to support the empirical findings of Fendel and Frenkel (2005) on the information content of the term structure of interest rates for monetary policy published in Applied Economics Letters. The derived Taylor-type rule is an implicit rule that cannot be used mechanically, because it contains an additional forward-looking argument. Only under special conditions of a stable and flat yield curve and/or an aggregate demand specification that only depends on the short-term interest rate this augmented rule collapses to the class of well-known Taylor-type rules. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1101 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1097-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Fractional integration of inflation rates: a note Abstract: This note studies the persistence of CPI inflation for 12 OECD countries. The fraction order of integration is estimated through the wavelet-OLS estimator of Jensen (1999). The results show that CPI inflation is characterized by mean reversion in the long run with finite variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1105 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1103-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Estimation of simultaneous equation models with latent dependent variables: a Monte Carlo evaluation Abstract: Three methods can be used to estimate simultaneous equation models with latent dependent variables: two-stage, minimum distance (MD) and full-information maximum likelihood. Theoretically all the three methods provide asymptotically consistent estimates, but the performance of these estimators in finite samples cannot be determined in theory. This letter evaluates the performance of these estimators in finite samples using Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that the MD estimator performs very poorly; overall the full information maximum likelihood estimator performs better than the other two estimators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1112 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1107-1112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Naoko Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: International term structure of interest rates in the Euro area Abstract: This article empirically analyses the international term structure of interest rates in the Euro area over the period from 1999 to 2006. To address the small sample problem, we apply the nonstationary panel data analysis to two data sets: (1) seven countries (Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain) from 1999 to 2006 and (2) eight countries (Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain) from 2001 to 2006. Our results support the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1113-1116 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1113-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Estrada Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Estrada Title: Black swans, market timing and the Dow Abstract: Do investors in the US stock market obtain their long-term returns smoothly and steadily over time or is their long-term performance largely determined by the return of just a few outliers? How likely are investors to successfully predict the best days to be in and out of the market? The evidence from the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the 1900-2006 period shows that a few outliers have a massive impact on long-term performance. Missing the best 10 days resulted in portfolios 65% less valuable than a passive investment and avoiding the worst 10 days resulted in portfolios 206% more valuable than a passive investment. Given that 10 days represent 0.03% of the days in the sample, the odds against successful market timing are staggering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1121 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802360074 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802360074&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1117-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Does the United Kingdom have regional banking markets? An assessment of UK deposit provision 1992-2006 Abstract: This study examines whether geographical differences in deposit interest rate setting persists in a bank market with national bank branching. As most UK retail banks have located their branch networks in different combinations within the regions and nations of the United Kingdom, the availability of banking services across the United Kingdom differs. This study examines whether this uneven dispersion of bank branching is associated with deposit account interest rate setting by UK banks over the sample period 1992 to 2006. While banks with branch networks predominately located in certain regions set deposit interest rates at different levels, the degree of overlap between bank branch networks is not a significant factor in deposit interest rate setting. These findings have importance for the definition of banking markets in competition assessments and future assessments of interest rate setting within international banking markets where bank branching restrictions have been lifted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1128 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1123-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Efficiency tests of the UK financial futures markets and the impact of electronic trading systems: a note on relative market efficiency Abstract: The literature on weak-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has experienced a phenomenal growth over the past few decades, with the empirical framework mostly directed towards testing the absolute version of market efficiency. Evans (2006) represents a small amount of studies that addressed the relative efficiency of financial markets. The present paper discusses the limitations of absolute market efficiency and surveys some measures proposed for assessing relative efficiency in extant literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1129-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan O'Donnell Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: O'Donnell Author-Name: Dirk Baur Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Baur Title: Momentum in the Irish stock market Abstract: This article is the first to study momentum trading strategies in the Irish stock market. The findings can be summarized as follows: (i) unconditional momentum trading strategies do not outperform the market, (ii) winner and loser trading strategies do outperform the market and (iii) controlling for heteroscedasticity significantly changes the results and yields positive and significant excess returns for most of the 16 momentum trading strategies analysed. These findings illustrate that investors can persistently earn excess returns in the Irish stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1138 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1133-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pontines Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pontines Title: Optimal common currency basket in East Asia Abstract: This article employs the currency invariant index due to Hovanov et al. (2004) to construct an optimal or stable common G-3 currency basket across different groups of countries in East Asia. Calculated optimal weights show a larger weight for the US dollar but a nonnegligible role for the Japanese yen. The volatility of the optimal common G-3 currency basket is several times smaller than that of a similarly proposed common G-3 currency basket in East Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1141 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335392 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335392&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1139-1141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Yaw-Bin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaw-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Feasibility of riskless hedged portfolios in imperfect markets Abstract: The Black-Scholes model (1973) is developed under the concept of the riskless hedged portfolio by hedging the call option against the underlying stock. If the riskless hedged portfolio is feasible, investors' preference is independent of option pricing and the implied growth rate of stock price will be the riskless interest rate. Noticeably, the feasibility of this concept is based on the perfect market assumptions and no riskless arbitrage opportunity. However, none of the conditions of perfect capital markets is true in real capital markets. Therefore, whether the growth rate of the hedged portfolio is the riskless interest rate is an interesting and challenging topic. The purpose of this article is to provide a theoretical relationship between the return of the hedged portfolio and risk in imperfect markets. This theoretical foundation can be viewed as a supplementary work to Hsu and Wang (2004) and Wang and Hsu (2006). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1153 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1149-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vince Daly Author-X-Name-First: Vince Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Author-Name: Jalal Siddiki Author-X-Name-First: Jalal Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiki Title: The twin deficits in OECD countries: cointegration analysis with regime shifts Abstract: We investigate the question of whether or not government budget deficits and real interest rates have a long-run relationship with the current account of the balance of payments in 23 Organization for Economic cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. Such an investigation is important, since large and persistent budget deficits may impose strains on the foreign exchange markets and are considered by some to be one of the main causes of crises in international financial markets. We permit regime shifts in the cointegration analysis, which extends empirical modelling relative to existing studies. We find that the admission of regime shifts substantially influences the empirical conclusions: we find a long-run relationship between budget deficits, real interest rate and current account deficit in 13 out of 23 countries, whereas the number of countries with apparent long-run relationships is dramatically reduced when regime shifts are not permitted. We argue that, when structural breaks are taken into account, it seems to be the countries with a more extensive financial infrastructure in which the twin deficits are less likely to be conjoined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1155-1164 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1155-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanas Christev Author-X-Name-First: Atanas Author-X-Name-Last: Christev Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: A note on Allen-Uzawa partial elasticities of substitution: the case of the translog cost function Abstract: This note provides a useful property of the Allen-Uzawa partials for the translog cost function. It also suggests how the main results extend to any functional form with certain properties. The curvature of the Allen-Uzawa matrix is the same as the curvature of the Hessian matrix. Intuitively and empirically, the Allen-Uzawa partials allow for the verification of curvature properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1169 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1165-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Author-Name: Stephane Blancard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Blancard Author-Name: Philippe Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Jean-Pierre Title: Testing for nominal convergence in the Central American area: evidence from panel data unit-root tests Abstract: Inflation convergence between the Central American Area and the United States is investigated using both recent homogeneous and heterogeneous panel data unit-root methods. Strong rejections of unit-root hypothesis are found, and therefore evidence of Purchasing Power Parity, in the Central American countries for the 1981:1-2005:4 period. Then by considering the nominal convergence criterion, the dollarization system seems to be suited to this region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1174 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1171-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zsolt Darvas Author-X-Name-First: Zsolt Author-X-Name-Last: Darvas Author-Name: Zoltan Schepp Author-X-Name-First: Zoltan Author-X-Name-Last: Schepp Title: Long maturity forward rates of major currencies are stationary Abstract: Using eight unit root tests and a stationarity test and three decades of monthly data for the currencies between the US, Germany, UK and Switzerland, we find that, while spot exchange rates are nonstationary, long maturity forward rates are stationary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1181 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367163 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367163&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1175-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Comparing the reliability of a discrete-time and a continuous-time Markov chain model in determining credit risk Abstract: This article compares the reliability of a discrete-time and a continuous-time Markov chain model for estimating credit risk and for investigating loans of Chiao Tung Bank in Taiwan. The continuous-time Markov chain model can capture the migration of rare events. The time-varying risk premium was also extracted from the loan value and corresponding risk-free price and the transition matrix was transferred to risk-neutral transition matrix by the time-varying risk premium. Finally, the empirical results indicate that the discrete-time Markov chain model may be underestimating the default probability in both the lowest risk and speculative rating class. Comparing the loss given default and the NPL ratio, the continuous-time Markov chain model is more reliable and effective for gauging the credit risk of bank loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1148 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1143-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venkata Puduri Author-X-Name-First: Venkata Author-X-Name-Last: Puduri Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Benjamin Onyango Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Onyango Title: Country of origin labelling of fresh produce: a consumer preference analysis Abstract: This article investigates the relationships between country of origin labelling issues and consumers concern about safety and health towards use of foreign produce. A consumer survey showed that about 84% of respondents overall, and more specifically, about 84% of female and 83% of male respondents would like markets to provide information about country of origin of fresh produce. The result also shows that about 73% of respondents regularly read food advertisements in newspapers and grocery brochures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1185 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1183-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaddour Hadri Author-X-Name-First: Kaddour Author-X-Name-Last: Hadri Author-Name: Yao Rao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: KPSS test and model misspecifications Abstract: The KPSS test is very popular and used extensively by practitioners. The test considers two models under the null: stationarity around a deterministic level or around a deterministic trend. There is no study, as far as we know, on the statistical properties of the test when the wrong model is used. This article endeavour to fill this gap. We found, using simulation, that choosing a deterministic trend when a deterministic level is true does not affect significantly the properties of the test. But, choosing a deterministic level when a deterministic trend is true leads to extreme over-rejection of the null. These results are obtained for i.i.d. and autocorrelated errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1190 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367239 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367239&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1187-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Owyang Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Owyang Author-Name: Howard Wall Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Wall Title: Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy Abstract: We find that the magnitudes of the regional effects of monetary policy were considerably dampened during the Volcker-Greenspan era. For this era, regional differences in the depths and total costs of monetary-policy-induced recessions were related to the concentration of the banking sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1191-1194 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1191-1194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Official dollarization in El Salvador and the inflation-inflation uncertainty nexus Abstract: This study extends the literature on the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty by examining the impact of official dollarization on inflation uncertainty in El Salvador. The ARIMA-GARCH model reveals that official dollarization significantly reduces the degree of volatility persistence in response to inflationary shocks. However, based on Granger causality tests, if inflation should increase there would be an increase in inflation uncertainty as suggested by the Friedman-Ball hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1195-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: Why do financially distressed firms pay dividends? Abstract: In this study we use a sample of 334 S&P500 companies to examine the extent to which financially distressed firms pay dividends in order to attract investors. We find a higher dividend yield and a higher pay-out ratio for financially distressed firms than for financially stable firms. We also find that financially distressed firms tend to change the dividend per share more rapidly than stable firms. Furthermore, these firms' dividends depend more on earnings than do the dividends of stable companies. This finding is consistent with the frequent dividend changes observed in distressed firms. Stable firms, in contrast, prefer paying dividends that are less dependent upon earnings. These results may stem from the relatively high level of importance that financially distressed firms ascribe to dividend payments or to the aggressive dividend policy that eroded the firms' financial stability and forced them to reduce the dividend per share rapidly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1204 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1201-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Choun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Choun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Markov switching and long memory: a Monte Carlo analysis Abstract: This article finds the close relationship between long memory and some forms of Markov-switching models. The simulation results suggest: (1) when the transition probabilities are closer to unity, it is more likely to generate long memory process; (2) magnitude of regime-switching plays an important role in generating long memory; and (3) process with switching in variance (disturbance) is much less likely to explain long-memory process than switching in mean (intercept) and autoregressive coefficient. Therefore, given the observed high persistence in financial volatility data, volatility modelling by switching in mean and AR coefficient is preferred to that by switching in variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1210 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1205-1210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amy Moore Author-X-Name-First: Amy Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Michael Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Why buy when you can rent? A brief investigation of differences in acquisition mode based on duration Abstract: This article highlights an intriguing finding that the duration of use significantly affects consumers' choice of acquisition mode. When the duration is short, renting is preferred, while buying is preferred for longer durations, even when the economic consequences of both choices are exactly the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1211-1213 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1211-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafedh Bouakez Author-X-Name-First: Hafedh Author-X-Name-Last: Bouakez Author-Name: Takashi Kano Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Kano Title: Tests of the present-value model of the current account: a note Abstract: Using a Monte Carlo approach, we evaluate the small-sample properties of four different tests of the present-value model (PVM) of the current account: the nonlinear Wald, linear Wald, Lagrange multiplier and likelihood ratio tests. We find that the nonlinear Wald test is biased towards over-rejecting the cross-equation restrictions implied by the PVM, and that the test statistic is uncorrelated with the goodness of fit of the PVM. The three alternative tests are essentially equivalent and are more reliable in evaluating the PVM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1215-1219 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1215-1219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Scandizzo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Scandizzo Author-Name: Raghav Gaiha Author-X-Name-First: Raghav Author-X-Name-Last: Gaiha Author-Name: Katsushi Imai Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Imai Title: Does the employment guarantee scheme stabilize household incomes in rural India? Abstract: Our analysis, based on the ICRISAT panel survey of villages in the semi-arid region of south India, confirms the income stabilizing effect of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in India. Variability of household income is measured by an unconditional variance of residuals of an income equation. A (variant) of Heckman's sample selection model is employed to allow for the endogeneity of EGS participation and to assess its income stabilizing role. The (instrumented) EGS participation reduces the residual variance of household income, implying consequent income stabilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1221-1225 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1221-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Lokshin Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Lokshin Title: Further results on bias in dynamic unbalanced panel data models with an application to firm R&D investment Abstract: This article extends the LSDV bias-corrected estimator in (Bun and Carree, 2005) to unbalanced panels and discusses the analytic method of obtaining the solution. Using a Monte Carlo approach the article compares the performance of this estimator with three other available techniques for dynamic panel data models. Simulation reveals that LSDV-bc estimator is a good choice except for samples with small T, where it may be unpractical. The methodology is applied to examine the impact of internal and external R&D on labour productivity in an unbalanced panel of innovating firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1227-1233 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1227-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: Estimating individual rates of discount: a meta-analysis Abstract: In this article, we present the results from a meta-analysis conducted over 44 experimental and field studies, which report individual discount rate estimates. We find in our research that the experimental design of a study has a decisive impact on these estimates, and conclude that meta-analysis, in the case of individual discount rates, has a low transfer value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1235-1239 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1235-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Fouquau Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Fouquau Author-Name: Ghislaine Destais Author-X-Name-First: Ghislaine Author-X-Name-Last: Destais Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Title: Energy demand models: a threshold panel specification of the 'Kuznets curve' Abstract: This article proposes an original panel specification of the energy demand model. Based on panel threshold regression models, we derive country-specific and time-specific energy elasticity. We find a fall of the elasticity when the income level increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1241-1244 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1241-1244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Yusuf Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Yusuf Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Title: Income convergence: fresh evidence from the Nordic countries Abstract: Using the recently developed linearity test and nonlinear unit root test, this study shows that the income gaps of Finland, Norway and Sweden with respect to Denmark are nonlinear but stationary with no significant trend effect, implying the Nordic countries have already attained steady state of income equality, a state beyond catching up as identified earlier in Oxley and Gresley (1999). This fresh evidence strengthens the finding of Nordic Convergence Club by these authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1245-1248 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1245-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Kinstantin Kholodilim Author-X-Name-First: Kinstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilim Title: On selection of components for a diffusion index model: it's not the size, it's how you use it Abstract: This article suggests a novel approach to pre-selection of the component series of the diffusion index based on their individual forecasting performance. It is shown that this targeted selection allows substantially improving the forecasting ability compared to the diffusion index models that are based on the largest available data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1254 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1249-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tzu-Pu Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tzu-Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Jin-Li Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Incorporating a leading indicator into the trading rule through the Markov-switching vector autoregression model Abstract: This article examines the profitability of trading rules based on the smoothed probability of Markov-switching models and executes two models in Taiwan's case. The results present that both proposed models can earn excess returns over the buy-and-hold strategy and support that both can be used to trade. However, the univariate Markov-switching model, which only uses daily returns series does not successfully capture the trend in the stock market, especially during a bull market. This implies that high-frequency returns series contain lots of noises. In order to overcome this problem, the Markov-switching vector autoregression model that combines a leading indicator and returns is performed in this study. The results indicate a better trading pattern. We conclude that the leading indicator chosen from open interest in the future market increases useful information and reduces noises to improve model estimation, which can well identify the position of bull and bear markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1259 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1255-1259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Murat Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Murat Author-Name: Barbara Pistoresi Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Pistoresi Title: Emigrant and immigrant networks in FDI Abstract: This article studies the relationship between emigration, immigration and the bilateral foreign direct investments (FDI), inward and outward, between Italy and 51 foreign countries. The results suggest that the networks of Italian emigrants abroad significantly promote both inward and outward bilateral FDI. The overall influence of immigrants is weaker. Their role is positively dependent on distance for FDI inward, only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1264 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1261-1264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Black Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Black Author-Name: Michael Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Title: The changing composition of output and the great moderation Abstract: An additional explanation is provided for the decline in output variability that began in the mid-1980s. Using state, regional and aggregate data for the US, we examine the shifting influence from manufacturing to services on this variability. At all levels, we find support for this output composition change contributing to the reduced variability of output growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1270 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1265-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Lunnemann Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Lunnemann Author-Name: Thomas Matha Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Matha Title: Mean reversion and sales Abstract: This article analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15 using disaggregate HICP price indices. The results, based on a nonparametric measure proposed by Marques (2004) suggest a very moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. The modified treatment of sales in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices tends to reduce the measured degree of inflation persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1275 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1271-1275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Haas Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Haas Title: Modelling skewness and kurtosis with the skewed Gauss-Laplace sum distribution Abstract: An asymmetric extension of the recently proposed (symmetric) Gauss-Laplace sum distribution for stock returns is developed, motivated by the fact that many stock return distributions display significant asymmetries. The properties of the new distribution, insofar as relevant for estimation, testing, and the modelling of skewness and kurtosis, are derived. An application to three major US stock return indices shows an excellent fit of the model, which outperforms many popular alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1283 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802400441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802400441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1277-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khaled Hussainey Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Hussainey Title: Do dividends signal information about future earnings? Abstract: This article aims to examine the extent to which dividends signal information about future earnings. It examines the effects of dividend payment status and the change in dividend payment on the relation between current stock returns and future earnings. The results show that dividends contain value relevant information about future earnings and that this information is incorporated into current stock returns. In particular, we find that firms that pay dividends at the current year exhibit higher levels of share price anticipation of earnings than nondividend-paying firms. We also find that the change in dividends is positively related to changes in the importance of future earnings news for current stock returns. Finally, we find that the relevance of dividends for forecasting future earnings is greater for loss-making firms than for profitable firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802403635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802403635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Title: Predictive content of the stock market for output revisited Abstract: In-sample and out-of-sample evidence for major countries shows that stock price determinants (earnings, risk-free interest rate and equity risk premium) accurately predict real Gross Domestic Product beyond 1 year compared to the stock price index, dividend yield, price/earnings ratio and the Fed model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: Further evidence for the negative relationship between stock returns and volatility Abstract: Using a simple autoregression with exogenous variables (and its transformed error-correction model), we investigate relationships between realized return and risk measured by realized volatility. The empirical results obtained from analysing the German Stock Index (DAX) and the Dow Jones Index (DJ) show a negative relationship between the realized return and risk and also between changes of the realized return and risk for both monthly and quarterly frequencies. There is also some weak evidence of a negative impact of large volatility on changes of the return that can be detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1295-1300 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481854 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481854&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1295-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Montserrat Font Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Font Title: Does 'early purchase' improve the willingness to pay for long-term care insurance? Abstract: Coverage for long-term care insurance (LTCI) is scant. One common reason analysts refer to is individual's myopia in planning insurance well ahead of need. We attempt to test this by empirically eliciting the willingness to pay for a hypothetical long-term care insurance policy at two different periods of time namely: (a) current respondent time and (b) assuming the respondent is 40. We draw upon data from Spain where no insurance was available at the time of the study. We find that on average only one-fifth of the respondents find LTCI a suitable alternative and that interestingly, the willingness to pay does not seem to change significantly when individuals are at an 'optimal' purchasing age. The willingness to pay for LTCI is driven by individual's perceptions of risks conditional on survival instead. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1305 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1301-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: James McConnon Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: McConnon Title: Microenterprises and economic growth: a panel study of the US states 1977-1997 Abstract: In this study, we examine the role of microenterprises in US economic growth. Using a panel of the 48 lower US states from 1977 to 1997, we estimate an expanded Carlino-Mills type model of growth. Microenterprises are defined as having between one and four employees. Results suggest that a higher share of goods producing firms that are microenterprises tend to be associated with lower levels of population, employment and income growth, while a higher share of service producing firms classified as micro are associated with higher levels of growth. These results suggest that care must be taken when promoting microenterprises as a major engine of economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1307-1312 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1307-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Pricing delinquent mortgages Abstract: One of the most challenging tasks facing financial institutions is how much to mark down mortgage loans with delinquency events in the book of business. Since delinquent loans are not actively traded in the market, a modelling approach is needed for re-pricing these loans. Here, we show a two-step methodology for re-pricing delinquent loans. The first step uses the history of mortgage delinquencies to mark down the Fair Isaac Corporation Credit (FICO) score. The second step applies the mark down FICO score to a risk price model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802534306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802534306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1313-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Diane Hite Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Hite Title: A note on combining on-site samples and supplemental samples in a logit model of recreation demand Abstract: In recreation demand studies much of the data is collected via on-site samples. Thus, no data is collected for those not visiting the recreation site. The fact that no information is available for those not visiting the recreation area complicates statistical analyses because the result is an endogenously stratified sample. A supplemental sample contains information on the exogenous variables but no information on the response variable. A supplemental sample can be used, along with an on-site sample, to estimate a probability model for site visitation. In this article, we develop and apply the logit formulation of the model of Lancaster and Imbens (1996). We use an on-site sample from the Sipsey wilderness area in northwest Alabama. For our supplemental sample, we use the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series for corresponding counties in Alabama. Together, these samples are used to estimate factors influencing the probability of visiting the site. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1322 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701426563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701426563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1319-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Higgins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Higgins Author-Name: Shohreh Majin Author-X-Name-First: Shohreh Author-X-Name-Last: Majin Title: Inflation uncertainty and money demand Abstract: We enter inflation uncertainty into error-correction models (EC) of US M1 and M2 money demand. We estimate the models using an instrumental variables procedure that is robust to mis-specification of inflation uncertainty. We find inflation uncertainty has a negative effect on M1 demand and a positive effect on M2 demand. Our results suggest that when confronted with increased inflation uncertainty, agents substitute away from M1 and to the interest bearing components of M2. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1328 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701452023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701452023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1323-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Terrence Hallahan Author-X-Name-First: Terrence Author-X-Name-Last: Hallahan Author-Name: Michael McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Nonlinear linkages between financial risk tolerance and demographic characteristics Abstract: We explore the nonlinear linkage between financial risk tolerance and demographic characteristics. Our tests support the nonlinear role of age, income and number of dependents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1329-1332 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701381123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701381123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1329-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joe Akira Yoshino Author-X-Name-First: Joe Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshino Author-Name: Edson Bastos e Santos Author-X-Name-First: Edson Bastos Author-X-Name-Last: e Santos Title: Revisiting the interest rate puzzle Abstract: This article makes a connection between Lucas' (1978) asset pricing model and the macroeconomic dynamics for some selected countries. Both the relative risk aversion and the impatience for postponing consumption by synthesizing the investor behaviour can help to understand some key macroeconomic issues across countries, such as the savings decision and the real interest rate. I find that the government consumption makes worse the so-called 'equity premium-interest rate puzzle'. The first root of the quadratic function for explaining the real interest rate can produce this puzzle, but not the second root. Thus, Mehra and Prescott (1985) identified only one possible solution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1340 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802403643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802403643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1333-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shamim Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Shamim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Brian Cozzarin Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Cozzarin Title: Start-up funding sources and biotechnology firm growth Abstract: Biotechnology is one of the world's fastest growing industries, expanding almost four times faster than the G-7 average for all sectors with global demand of US$50 billion in 2005. Biotechnology offers significant economic benefits, particularly in exports and job creation, as well as important health, safety and environmental benefits. Although it has the potential to be an important engine of economic development in the twenty-first century, its research-intensity and the associated long lead times have intensified the equity gap faced by all rapidly growing firms. As a result, there are concerns about start-up financing on growth and performance. Our results show that angel, venture and conventional capital have contributed significantly to R&D capital formation and sales growth. Conversely, the contribution of funding from government, IPO and alliance capital sources are unimportant for our sample of biotechnology firms. These are counter intuitive results for conventional capital's importance for firm growth rates. It was expected that venture capital would be most important; however, it may be that older firms with more mature products or products ready for market are chosen as bank customers. In that case, perhaps it makes sense that bank capital is correlated with higher growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1345 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367338 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367338&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1341-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Title: Trends in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA: evidence from detailed data Abstract: This article analyses trends in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA over the period 1983 to 2002. During this period, racial segregation markedly declined, while there was a fairly sizable increase in ethnic segregation. Almost all the changes in racial and ethnic segregation were due to the racial or ethnic composition effect. This finding is important since the composition effect truly measures the change in racial or ethnic segregation by eliminating the effect of changes in the size of occupations. During the period 1983-2002, the service, managerial, sales, operators and professional specialty occupations contributed the most to the decline in segregation between Blacks and NonBlacks, while the service, production and farming occupations contributed the most to the increase in segregation between Hispanics and NonHispanics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1350 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1347-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guido Heineck Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Heineck Title: Sexual orientation and earnings: evidence from the ISSP Abstract: There is a small literature suggesting for earnings differentials of nonheterosexual individuals. This study adds to this research using 1994 International Social Survey Programme data. While earnings of lesbian women and bisexual individuals are unaffected, results from selection corrected Mincer-type regressions indicate earnings penalties of about 17-20% for gay men. Oaxaca decomposition suggests that two-thirds of this differential arise from discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1354 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1351-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Einat Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Einat Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Author-Name: Shoshana Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Shoshana Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Title: Agency in health-care: are medical care-givers perfect agents? Abstract: It has been suggested in the literature that a source of incompleteness in the agency relationship between the doctor and the patient is that the provider may respond to an incomplete or biased perception of the patient's interests. However, this has not been shown empirically. This article is novel in presenting an empirical test of the fundamental assumption of the agency model that health-care professionals understand what their patients want. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are conducted simultaneously within samples of patients (women who gave birth) and care-givers (doctors and nurses), to elicit and contrast patients' authentic preferences (for five maternity ward attributes) with what care-givers believe them to be. Conclusion: agents have a biased perception of principals' preferences, and therefore a complete agency relationship does not exist. Our findings add a novel empirical contribution to the agency relationship literature. Moreover, parallel preference patterns of patients and care-givers are certainly of much interest to the field of health economics: Informing the unaware medical care-givers about the patients' preferences, will improve treatment and patients' satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1360 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1355-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Edwyna Harris Author-X-Name-First: Edwyna Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Yovina Joymungul Author-X-Name-First: Yovina Author-X-Name-Last: Joymungul Title: Market depth in an illiquid market: applying the VNET concept to Victorian water markets Abstract: In the context of highly liquid markets and intra-day data, Engle and Lange (2001) successfully develop a measure of market depth they call VNET. This article explores the applicability of a modified version of this measure in the case of the weekly market for seasonal water in rural Victoria. The modified VNET measure is found to be successful in this much more illiquid market, and interestingly our results on determinants are qualitatively similar to those obtained in Engle and Lange (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1361-1364 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701426571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701426571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1361-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Convergence in income inequality in the United States: a nonparametric analysis Abstract: This note investigates the spatial distribution of income inequality in the US over the period 1969 to 1999. Taking into account the methodological limitations of traditional convergence analysis, a non parametric approach is applied to examine the dynamics of the entire cross-sectional distribution. The study reveals the presence of a process of convergence in income inequality across the US states throughout the sample period, as a result of the evolution experienced by those sates located at both ends of the distribution in 1969. Nevertheless, the estimates performed suggest that this process will not continue indefinitely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1365-1368 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701439319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701439319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1365-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Young Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: The effect of communication between doctor and patient on patient's medical care use Abstract: Although rapidly developing information technologies, like the Internet, can improve the patient's access to health information, a patient still doesn't have enough ability to appropriately use health information. Hence doctors' efforts to help patient understand and interpret medical information by efficiently communicating with patient might enhance the patient's ability to utilize relevant medical information by which the patient's use of medical care would be affected. Furthermore, by manipulating doctor's payment method, doctor's effort of effectively communicating with patient would be affected and in turn patient's medical care use would be affected. This research seeks to determine whether a doctor's effort mentioned above can affect the patient's use of medical care, and in the policy perspective, whether the doctor's payment method can affect effort level provided to patients. The empirical results suggest the doctor's rate of supply-side cost sharing, representing a doctor's financial constraint, has a statistically significant positive effect on doctor's effort level and the doctor's effort level in turn has a statistically significant negative effect on medical care use of those patients who are prone to overuse it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1374 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701439335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701439335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1369-1374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Who stopped flying around September 11? Abstract: This article presents the first set of empirical results on the effects of the events of 11 September 2001, on individual flying demand using data collected before and after these atrocities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1375-1381 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701452031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701452031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1375-1381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Thrane Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Thrane Title: Explaining variation in wine prices: the battle between objective and sensory attributes revisited Abstract: The relative influence of objective and sensory attributes' effects on wine prices have intrigued scholars recently. In this regard, a study by Lecocq and Visser (2006) concluded that the objective attributes were of primary importance. Against this background the purpose of this article is two-fold: (i) to establish that Lecocq and Visser's (2006) conclusion might be premature and (ii) to demonstrate how any study aiming at comparing the relative strengths of different sets of explanatory variables might be carried out more effectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1386 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701466056 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701466056&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1383-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enlinson Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Enlinson Author-X-Name-Last: Mattos Title: Median-voter, size of the government and budget spillover: evidence for US states Abstract: The article tests an extended version of Meltzer and Richard's model where the redistributive policy of the government is made through in kind transfer. The median-voter of one region decides the size of the government of her region taking into account the expenditures made by neighbours' location. The theoretical model predicts that the poorer the median-voter, the higher the size of government must be. Also, the effect of neighbour's region expenditures on own location's decision of government size is undetermined. Estimations for the American states for 1999-2000 year data suggest that there is no spatial interaction among states' expenditures. However, there is evidence in favour of the positive relation between the size of the government and inequality which supports Meltzer and Richard's theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1387-1392 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701493704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701493704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1387-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Usha Sambamoorthi Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Sambamoorthi Title: Wage differential by disability status in an agrarian labour market in India Abstract: This article is the first to estimate the magnitude and determinants of a wage differential by disability status in the context of an agrarian labour market through a wage decomposition method. In rural Uttar Pradesh, India, we find evidence of an unexplained wage gap in favour of nondisabled men of 8% after controlling for selection bias into employment and using different reference groups for wage decomposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1398 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802047011 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802047011&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1393-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. H. Berry Author-X-Name-First: R. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Berry Author-Name: X. Zuo Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: Calculating implied volatility using the bisection algorithm: a note Abstract: In a recent article in this journal Jiang (2002) argues that the bisection method is unable to cope with the task of calculating implied volatility from either the Black Scholes or Merton's jump diffusion option pricing models. A re-examination of the bisection method fails to support Jiang's contention. The bisection method proves capable of correctly calculating the implied volatility in a wide range of circumstances. The circumstances in which the bisection and other root finding methods struggle are highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1399-1402 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1399-1402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Title: Relationship between stock returns and inflation Abstract: The question of whether common stocks can act as a hedge against inflation has received tremendous attention in the economics and finance literature, but with little or no evidence for African countries. This letter examines the Fisher hypothesis for 6 African countries. Using OLS estimates we find positive relationship between inflation and stock returns in Kenya and Nigeria. However, instrumental variable estimates provide consistent results and confirms the validity of a generalised Fisher hypothesis in 3 markets: Kenya and Nigeria at the 12 month horizon, and Tunisia at 60 month horizon. This suggests that investors should expect stocks to be a good hedge against inflation over long horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1403-1408 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701537682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701537682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1403-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Chikhi Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Chikhi Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Title: The Reichsbank: a nonparametric modelling of historical time series Abstract: This article applies nonparametric methods to the monthly monetary stock time series of the Reichsbank, constructed in weekly data, with 2160 observations, covering the time period January 1876 to December 1920. Our analysis begins with a historical description followed by a cliometric application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1409-1414 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1409-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Vance Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Vance Title: Marginal effects and significance testing with Heckman's sample selection model: a methodological note Abstract: This article illustrates two techniques for calculating the statistical significance of the marginal effects derived from Heckman's sample selection model, an increasingly common econometric specification in economics and political science. The discussion draws on an analysis by Sweeney (2003) of the incidence and intensity of interstate disputes. After replicating his results, the article presents the delta method and the nonparametric bootstrap as alternative techniques for obtaining SEs of the marginal effects, which themselves are calculated from a transformation of the model parameters. The analysis reveals two variables for which misleading inferences are drawn with respect to the precision of the estimated coefficients in the original study, suggesting that significance testing of the derived marginal effects is warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1419 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701466049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701466049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1415-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jannett Highfill Author-X-Name-First: Jannett Author-X-Name-Last: Highfill Author-Name: Kevin O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: The determinants of sales on eBay: the case of baseball cards Abstract: The popularity of online auctions has grown immensely with the eBay site being the largest auction site. One issue that has not received sufficient attention in the eBay auction literature is the effect of reserve-prices (or minimum prices) on the probability of a sale. Studies that have included this variable in their empirical specifications include Lucking-Reiley et al. (2000), Eaton (2002) and Jin and Kato (2002). However, all these studies used the book-price itself to determine its effect on auction outcomes. This study used alternative specifications of the reserve-price to determine if there were different effects of this variable on the probability of sale of baseball cards. These alternative specifications combined the reserve-price with the published book-prices for the baseball cards being sold. None of the three specifications of the reserve-price affected the probability of a sale including a binary variable representing reserve to book-price ratios >2.00. The rationale offered for these results is that there is a geographic mismatch when baseball cards are distributed and eBay extends the reach of the card market, which allows collectors to buy desirable cards at a premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1424 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701493712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701493712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1421-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: Yi-Chen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shih-Kuo Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Ren-Raw Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ren-Raw Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: An empirical analysis of the CDX index and its tranches Abstract: The desire of market participants to go long or short a portfolio of corporate credits led to the introduction of various types of indices of credit default swaps. In this article, we empirically investigate the relationships between the spreads of the North America CDX index and its tranches and their theoretical determinants. We find (1) support for a number of results predicted by the structural models used in credit risk modelling, such as the Merton model and (2) that CDX spreads are highly responsive to microstructure variables but not to macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1425-1431 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802584889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802584889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1425-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chien-Wen Mo Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: International equity diversification between Japan and its major trading partners Abstract: This study attempts to re-investigate whether there exist long-run benefits from international equity diversification between Japan and its major trading partners, Asian countries (Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan) and the USA, using a more powerful nonparametric cointegration test developed by Bierens (1997), over the period 1 July 1999 to 31 December 2004. The results from this test suggest that the Japanese stock market is pairwise cointegrated with the Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and the US stock market but not with the market of South Korea. These findings should prove valuable to individual investors and financial institutions holding long-run investment portfolios in these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1433-1437 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802597212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802597212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1433-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Title: The impact of preferences on the WTP premium and the WTA premium Abstract: The study examined the impact of preferences for an item on the Willingness to Pay (WTP) and Willingness to Accept (WTA). The results show that the differences between biddings for preferred and less preferred items are smaller in the selling position than in the buying position. This result can be explained by the existence of the ownership effect in the selling position for both preferred and less preferred items. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1442 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1439-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Author-Name: Harun Bal Author-X-Name-First: Harun Author-X-Name-Last: Bal Author-Name: Mehmet Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for selected emerging market economies Abstract: This study presents an empirical analysis of purchasing power parity for 10emerging market economies, namely Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, South Africa and Turkey. This is done by using cointegration technique. Time series properties of nominal exchange rate and price series show that they are nonstationary. The exchange rate and price series do not appear to be cointegrated for most of the countries. We reject the validity of purchasing power parity for Brazil, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines, South Africa, South Korea and Turkey, but we can accept it for Mexico and Peru. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1448 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701522817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701522817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1443-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Snuff the puff: international evidence on the determinants of anti-smoking laws Abstract: Using data from a cross-section of countries, we find to varying degrees of significance that the probability governments adopt smoking bans and youth access restrictions depends upon per capita income, per capita cigarette consumption, life expectancy, government health care expenditures, economic freedom and population density. Because some results differ from studies of US anti-smoking policy, this highlights a limitation of using US results to draw inferences about other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1453 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701537690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701537690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1449-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Author-Name: Margarida Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Margarida Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Social or human infrastructure? Re-examining essential determinants of output per worker among countries Abstract: Hall and Jones (1999) presented Social Infrastructure as an essential determinant of differences in Output per Worker among countries. We show that other types of infrastructure may influence Production per Worker even more. We call this type of infrastructure Human Infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1459 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1455-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The (non)impact of revenue decentralization on fiscal deficits: some evidence from OECD countries Abstract: Recent studies examining the relation between fiscal decentralization and consolidated government fiscal balances generally have not taken proper account of the extent of the independent taxing powers available to sub-national governments and thus have overstated the degree of effective revenue decentralization. Results from a panel regression study of 19 OECD member countries suggest that when the measure of fiscal decentralization is limited to the revenues over which sub-national governments have full autonomy, its impact on fiscal balances is not statistically significant. Accordingly, when accurately measured revenue decentralization appears to have had no negative impact on fiscal discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1461-1466 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1461-1466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Gans Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Gans Author-Name: Andrew Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Title: The millennium bub Abstract: How much do nonmedical factors affect the timing of conceptions, births and deaths? To test this, we estimate the effect of the millennium on conceptions, births and deaths. With a highly flexible empirical specification, we find large and significant increases in conceptions and births, and suggestive evidence of an effect on deaths. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1467-1470 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1467-1470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Desiderio Romero-Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Desiderio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Jordan Author-Name: Jose Felix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Author-Name: Inmaculada Alvarez-Ayuso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Ayuso Title: Further considerations on the link between adjustment costs and the productivity of R&D investment: evidence for Spain Abstract: This article constructs a dynamic model to estimate the impact of adjustment costs on the productivity of investment in R&D. In order to take into account the possible endogeneity of adjustment costs, the model is estimated by means of instrumental variables (IV), using a panel of Spanish companies. The results show that the elasticity of the productivity of R&D investment with regard to adjustment costs is high, with a value close to -1 (-0.96). This confirms that it is essential to include adjustment costs in the empirical analysis of R&D productivity, as suggested by Jones and Williams (1998) and Comin (2002, 2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1476 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1471-1476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Identifying turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices: evidence from the Taiwan stock market Abstract: In this article, we apply the innovation regime-switching model, recently proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES), to identify turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices. Based on the predictions of both regimes, we construct simple trading rules and investigate their profitability. Our results suggest that the proposed trading rules outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1477-1481 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578793 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578793&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1477-1481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Borra Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Borra Author-Name: Francisco Gomez-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Garcia Author-Name: Manuel Salas-Velasco Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salas-Velasco Title: Entry of young economists into working life: analysis of the determinants of first unemployment duration Abstract: This article studies the determinants of the unemployment duration for a cohort of young graduates: those who obtained their university degree in Business, Economics, Management and Marketing in the academic year 2001/2002 at the University of Seville, Spain. After estimating an ordered logit model for duration data, we conclude that graduates' final marks effect a positive impact on their labour insertion. Working while studying and the educational level of the mothers of the graduates also decrease the duration of this first unemployment. No significant effect is found for gender or type of degree dummies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1488 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1483-1488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Andrews Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Andrews Author-Name: Andrew Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Title: More inequality, less social mobility Abstract: We investigate the relationship between inequality and intergenerational mobility. Proxying fathers' earnings with using detailed occupational data, we find that sons who grew up in countries that were more unequal in the 1970s were less likely to have experienced social mobility by the late-1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1489-1492 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1489-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Power of significance test of dummy variables in two-stage efficiency analysis model Abstract: In this note we investigate the power of significance test for dummy variables in the context of Simar and Wilson (2007) two-stage efficiency analysis model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1495 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578884 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578884&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1493-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Puller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Puller Title: Estimation of competitive conduct when firms are efficiently colluding: addressing the Corts critique Abstract: I address a recent critique by Corts (1999) who finds that traditional approaches in New Empirical Industrial Organization to estimate the competitive conduct in an oligopoly market can yield inconsistent estimates of the conduct parameter if firms are engaged in efficient collusion. This article derives a general empirical model that allows consistent estimation of the conduct parameter that is robust to efficient collusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1500 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578900 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578900&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1497-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The labour scarcity paradox reconsidered: a simple growth theoretic explanation Abstract: By calibrating a Solow model augmented by natural resources, this paper offers a simple explanation of the labor scarcity paradox during the process of America's catching up with Britain, which static models have difficulties in accounting for so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1501-1504 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1501-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Kerr Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kerr Author-Name: Bruce Domazlicky Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Domazlicky Title: Tipping and service quality: results from a large database Abstract: Tipping is a big business in the United States economy. We use a large data base from a restaurant delivery service to determine if the quality of service, as measured by the delivery time, is a significant determinant of the percentage tip by the customer. After controlling for the demographic characteristics, the location and income of the customer as well as the payment method, we find that the percentage tip decreases by 0.12% for every minute of delivery time. Similar to other studies we find that minorities and the elderly tend to tip smaller amounts than do other groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1510 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1505-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Carree Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Carree Author-Name: Ingrid Verheul Author-X-Name-First: Ingrid Author-X-Name-Last: Verheul Title: Time allocation by the self-employed: the determinants of the number of working hours in start-ups Abstract: This article examines determinants of working hours by self-employed, explicitly discriminating between preference and productivity effects. A simple model of working hours is derived, not requiring expected profit data. The model is estimated using data from a Dutch survey of 1350 start-ups. Outsourcing and number of employees appear related to both preference and productivity. The model has out-of-sample predictive power for the number of working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701580542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701580542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Grigorios Livanis Author-X-Name-First: Grigorios Author-X-Name-Last: Livanis Title: Implementation of stochastic dominance: a nonparametric kernel approach Abstract: The empirical application of stochastic dominance in the selection of crop alternatives under risk has typically been based on a step function specification of the empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf). This specification has questionable consequences for the analysis, particularly with regards to the tails of the distribution. This article proposes an alternative nonparametric approach based on a nonparametric regression of the cdf. The effect of this alternative specification is then demonstrated using data from Northern Florida. Results are more realistic. The first-degree stochastic dominance results are less discriminating under the new specification while the second-degree results are more discriminating. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1522 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1517-1522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Leightner Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Leightner Author-Name: Tomoo Inoue Author-X-Name-First: Tomoo Author-X-Name-Last: Inoue Title: Negative fiscal multipliers exceed positive multipliers during Japanese deflation Abstract: Bi-Directional Reiterative Truncated Projected Least Squares is used with quarterly Japanese data for 1955 to 2001 to find that the multiplier effect from increases in public and private investment was less than the multiplier effect from decreases in public and private investment between 1989 and 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1523-1527 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1523-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Altruism and externalities Abstract: The Coase theorem and the Rotten-Kid theorem are compared against each other in a simplified model of altruism and externalities. The efficiency predictions of the Coase theorem are found to be unaltered by the altruism, whereas those of the Rotten-Kid theorem are found to be applicable only to a more specialized type of social-welfare function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1529-1531 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1529-1531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabell Koske Author-X-Name-First: Isabell Author-X-Name-Last: Koske Title: International R&D spillovers: the role of financial markets Abstract: This article examines the role of financial markets as a catalyst for international technology diffusion using a panel data set on 72 countries over the period 1981 to 2005. The results suggest that countries with better developed financial markets benefit more from foreign R&D stocks to promote domestic productivity growth. This finding is robust to the inclusion of proxies for human capital and domestic R&D stocks as alternative measures of absorptive capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1536 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748917 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748917&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1533-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Author-Name: Yasuyuki Todo Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Todo Title: Are immigrants more likely to commit crimes? Evidence from France Abstract: Using French data, we find that the share of immigrants in the population has no significant impact on crime rates once immigrants' economic circumstances are controlled for, while finding that unemployed immigrants tend to commit more crimes than unemployed nonimmigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1541 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1537-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naveen Srinivasan Author-X-Name-First: Naveen Author-X-Name-Last: Srinivasan Author-Name: Vidya Mahambare Author-X-Name-First: Vidya Author-X-Name-Last: Mahambare Author-Name: M. Ramachandran Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramachandran Title: Preference asymmetry and international reserve accretion in India Abstract: Reduced-form estimates of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) first-order condition indicate that its preferences have been asymmetric with respect to exchange-rate management, with the response to the rate of rupee appreciation being relatively larger than to the rate of rupee depreciation of the same magnitude. This behaviour is shown to account for a sizable fraction of reserve accretion in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1546 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1543-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Author-Name: Robert Sova Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Sova Author-Name: Ana Maria Sova Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Sova Title: Modelling international trade flows between CEEC and OECD countries Abstract: This article deals with econometric developments for the estimation of gravity model, which allow to get convergent parameter estimates even when a correlation exists between the explanatory variables and the specific unobservable characteristics of each individual. We implement panel data econometric techniques to characterize bilateral trade flows between heterogeneous economies. Our econometric results based on a sample of 4 Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC-4) and 19 OECD countries over a 18-year period highlight the importance by taking into account the unobservable heterogeneity to obtain a robust empirical specification and unbiased coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1554 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564330 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564330&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1547-1554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Price discovery for copper futures in informationally linked markets Abstract: The purpose of this article is to contribute to the research on informationally linked markets by investigating the relationships between the Chinese copper futures market and its London counterparts. There is a long run relationship between the Shanghai Futures Exchanges (SFE) with London Metals Exchange (LME) copper futures prices. Furthermore, we find that three regime Markov switching model with changing intercept and variance turns out to be good description of the data. The influence of LME on SFE is bigger than that of SFE on LME. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1555-1558 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1555-1558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The determinants of foreign direct investment in MENA countries: an extreme bounds analysis Abstract: The determinants of foreign direct investment inflows are examined by applying extreme bounds analysis to a cross-sectional sample encompassing data on 18 Middle Eastern and North African countries. With the gross domestic product growth rate serving as the free variable, eight potential explanatory variables are tried as the variables of interest in combination with three other variables. The results reveal that only one variable is robust when traditional EBA is used. However, when restricted EBA is used, the results based on the 60% of the regressions with the highest R2 reveal three more robust variables. Some explanations for the results are put forward. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1563 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1559-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Mohamed Soliman Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Soliman Title: Federal Reserve vs. consumer forecasts of inflation: 1979-1983 Abstract: This article tests the asymmetric information hypothesis using the CPI inflation forecasts of the Federal Reserve and consumers for the volatile inflationary period of 1979-1983. The Fed generally over-predicted inflation, but consumers produced unbiased forecasts with superior predictive content. In fighting inflation, the Fed was, perhaps, cautious by assigning much cost to under-predictions, but little or no cost to over-predictions. Under such an asymmetric loss function, the bias in the Federal Reserve forecast of inflation appears to be rational. However, this explanation, while plausible, cannot be substantiated from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) transcripts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1568 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1565-1568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Turan Katırcıoglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Turan Author-X-Name-Last: Katırcıoglu Author-Name: Sami Fethı Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Fethı Author-Name: Meryem Duygun Fethı Author-X-Name-First: Meryem Duygun Author-X-Name-Last: Fethı Title: Twin deficits phenomenon in small islands: an empirical investigation by panel data analysis Abstract: This article empirically investigates the direction of causality between current account balance and the overall budget balance of a selected 24 small island state economies by conducting panel data econometric techniques. The results of both bivariate and pairwise Granger causality tests suggest that there is unidirectional causation which runs from current account balance to the overall budget balance. On the other hand, no evidence has been obtained on the causation which runs from budget balance to current account balance in small island states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1569-1573 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1569-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Stock market returns and terrorist violence: evidence from the Basque Country Abstract: We analyse the extent of the negative effects of violence in the Basque Country on the financial and economic activity of the region. We use daily data of the Basque stock market index and employ long memory regression models, with the Spanish stock market index and an index for violence employed as weakly exogenous regressors. The results show that violence significantly reduces the stock market returns in the area. On the other hand, the volatility processes are positively correlated with violence, though not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1575-1579 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1575-1579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Bonin Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Bonin Author-Name: Amelie Constant Author-X-Name-First: Amelie Author-X-Name-Last: Constant Author-Name: Konstantinos Tatsiramos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Tatsiramos Author-Name: Klaus Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Native-migrant differences in risk attitudes Abstract: This article questions the perceived wisdom that migrants are more risk-loving than the native population. We employ a new large German survey of direct individual risk measures to find that first-generation migrants have lower risk attitudes than natives, which only equalize in the second generation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1581-1586 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1581-1586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Smoking restrictions and spillovers across jurisdictions Abstract: We use state-level data to estimate the demand for cigarettes and the determinants of smoking prevalence in the United States. The main contribution lies in considering spillovers from geographic smoking restrictions. Results show that price affects cigarette demand, but not smoking prevalence. Cigarette demand turns out be unit elastic and similar in magnitude to the border-price elasticity. Home-based smoking restrictions lower both cigarette demand and participation, while work restrictions only lower participation. Border home restrictions seem inconsequential, whereas border work restrictions have a marginally positive effect, especially on cigarette demand. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1587-1592 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1587-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reidar Hagtvedt Author-X-Name-First: Reidar Author-X-Name-Last: Hagtvedt Title: Stock return dynamics and the CAPM anomalies Abstract: In this study the chaotic properties of stocks were calculated at the firm level rather than focusing on the properties of indices. The dominant Lyapunov exponent and the Correlation Dimension were estimated for weekly returns to individual stocks, and the relationships between these and the firm characteristics size (market value) and book-to-market-equity (BME) ratio were examined. Size was found to have an effect on the dynamic characteristics of the stocks, but BME had no statistically significant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1593-1596 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701582159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701582159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1593-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Yong Tan Author-X-Name-First: Kang Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: A pooled mean group analysis on aid and growth Abstract: This article uses the pooled mean group estimator and an extended annual dataset to examine the effectiveness of aid on growth. The results indicate a significant long-run impact of aid and 'good' policy on growth, but conditioning aid on 'good' policy reduces the long-run growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1597-1601 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604128 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604128&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1597-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Fratianni Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Fratianni Author-Name: Chang Hoon Oh Author-X-Name-First: Chang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Size of regional trade agreements and regional trade bias Abstract: We test the relationship between size of regional trade agreement (RTA) and regional trade bias using a gravity equation on a large sample of 143 countries for the period 1980-2003. We find that regional trade bias declines with the size of the club and that three of the four expanding RTAs have already surpassed their 'optimal' sizes. There is no evidence that RTAs have set protection levels against outsiders noncooperatively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1606 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1603-1606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: Modelling the incidence of unemployment: the case of Greece Abstract: In this article, micro-data from the 2004 Labour Force Survey are used to model the incidence of unemployment in Greece and assess whether personal attributes of the individual, such as educational level, affect the probability of being unemployed. For that purpose, a logit regression model was constructed. It is found that the type of qualification (PhD, Masters, University degree, etc.) that an individual holds does not affect the probability of being unemployed. However, the incidence of unemployment is found to be affected by the subject studied. Other attributes of the individuals that were found to affect the probability of unemployment are: gender, marital status and region of residence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1607-1611 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1607-1611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Davis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Environmental regulations and the increasing seasonality of gasoline prices Abstract: We analyse gasoline prices over the past 27 years and find that there has been an increase in the seasonal variation since 2000. This finding is attributed to an increase in the environmental regulations on gasoline during the summer months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1613-1616 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1613-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Andresen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Andresen Title: The border puzzle is solved Abstract: This article solves the border puzzle that asks why countries have such a strong preference for consuming their own goods. After replicating the negative impact of the border on Canada-United States international trade using the methods of previous research, it is shown that past estimates that find the border to be a significant barrier to international trade are the result of statistical misspecification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1617-1620 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1617-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: Over education among older workers: impact on wages and early retirement decisions Abstract: As baby boomers approach the later years of their careers and potentially face early retirement decisions, it is worth remembering that their average level of schooling exceeds that of all previous generations. Accordingly, this paper examines the effects of overeducation on wages and early retirement decisions. The impact of overeducation on the wages of older workers is remarkably similar to that found in younger cohorts. With regards to the retirement decision, the literature suggests a link between overeducation and job dissatisfaction and a separate link between job dissatisfaction and early retirement. However, overeducation late in one's career may not be reflective of genuine skill mismatches or job dissatisfaction if skill mismatches occur. If overeducation has any impact on the likelihood of early retirement it is small as the empirical analysis finds no such evidence Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1621-1626 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604052 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604052&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1621-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Title: Economic significance of downside risk in developed and emerging markets Abstract: This study examines in the cross-section the association between excess return and systematic risk measured in the downside framework. Two measures of risk in the downside; downside beta and downside co-skewness are investigated. Both downside risk measures perform poorly compared to the CAPM beta in developed markets. In emerging markets there is evidence to suggest that downside co-skewness may be a better measure of risk compared to the CAPM beta and downside beta. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1627-1632 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604060 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604060&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1627-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Rebeca Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Marcelo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Oil shocks and the macro-economy: a comparison across high oil price periods Abstract: Oil prices are found to exert nonlinear effects on major advanced economies. Real output's reaction is much more visible during the periods of high oil prices of the mid-1970s and early 1980s. Oil prices have had inflationary consequences in several economies not only in those two periods, but also during the spike of 1990. There is also evidence that inflation has picked up in some economies as a result of the oil price hikes of 1999-2000, and even more recently in the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1638 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604086 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604086&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1633-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Bastos Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bastos Author-Name: G. Leao Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: G. Leao Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Author-Name: J. Passos Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Passos Title: Analysis of school failure based on Portuguese micro data Abstract: In this article we investigate the main causes of school failure in the primary public schools in Lisbon. Poisson count-data models are used to analyse the relationship between the number of failures and a wide set of explanatory variables. However heterogeneity due to unobserved differences in intellectual abilities of the students is of primary concern. Neglecting it causes biased estimates and therefore a proper method is required to accommodate it. In this article we suggest a finite mixture of Poisson's. We found that variables associated to gender, ethnicity, family dimension, parent's level of education and income poverty are the most important observable determinants of school failure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1639-1643 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1639-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Martin-Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Martin-Oliver Author-Name: Vicente Salas-Fumas Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Salas-Fumas Author-Name: Jesus Saurina Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Saurina Title: Informational differentiation, interest rate dispersion and market power Abstract: This article investigates the existence and determinants of interest rate dispersion in loans and deposits of Spanish banks under the lens of informational differentiation. We find that interest rate dispersion and market power co-vary in the same direction across bank products under differences in variables that affect customers' incentives to search. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1645-1649 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604144 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604144&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1645-1649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zafer Caliskan Author-X-Name-First: Zafer Author-X-Name-Last: Caliskan Title: The relationship between pharmaceutical expenditure and life expectancy: evidence from 21 OECD countries Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the effect of pharmaceutical expenditures on life expectancy for 21 OECD countries. An unbalanced panel data model is used to investigate the role of socio-economic, lifestyle and demographic factors as well as public and private pharmaceutical expenditures in determining life expectancy for six age-gender strata over the period 1985 to 2002. The empirical results show that pharmaceutical expenditure has a positive, but different effect on life expectancy for females and males with various ages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1651-1655 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604136 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604136&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1651-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Shyr Dai Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Shyr Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Yuh-Dauh Lyuu Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Dauh Author-X-Name-Last: Lyuu Title: Accurate approximation formulas for stock options with discrete dividends Abstract: Pricing options on a stock that pays discrete dividends has not been satisfactorily settled in the literature. Frishling (2002) shows that there are three different models to model stock price with discrete dividends, but only one of these models is close to reality and generates consistent option prices. We follow Frishling (2002) by calling this model Model 3. Unfortunately, there is no analytical option pricing formula for Model 3, and many popular numerical methods such as trees are inefficient when used to implement Model 3. A new stock price model is proposed in this article. To guarantee that the option prices generated by this new model are close to those generated by Model 3, the distributions of the new model at exdividend dates and maturity approximate the distributions of Model 3 at those dates. To achieve this, a discrete dividend in Model 3 is replaced by a continuous dividend yield that can be represented as a function of discrete dividends and stock returns in the new model. Thus, the new model follows a lognormal diffusion process and the analytical option pricing formulas can be easily derived. Numerical experiments show that our analytical pricing formulas provide accurate pricing results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1657-1663 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1657-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Einat Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Einat Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Title: What is important in a fight for life? - preferences of women diagnosed with breast cancer for attributes of an oncological institute Abstract: A Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) is used to establish preference patterns for attributes of a medical institute that are exhibited by Israeli women who were diagnosed with breast cancer. It contributes and adds to the growing body of studies in Health Economics that use DCEs: (i) the domain of experimentation is extended to a country other than the UK or the US, where most experiments took place; (ii) a life-threatening disease has been chosen for the DCE, to test whether in this case too individuals relate to trade-offs between attributes, or alternatively focus only on quality of treatment; (iii) substitution or complementarities between attributes have been investigated; and (iv) differences in preference patterns within diverse socio-economic groups have been explored. The findings are followed by suggestions for possible extensions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1670 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578967 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578967&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1665-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maritta Paloviita Author-X-Name-First: Maritta Author-X-Name-Last: Paloviita Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: The role of inflation expectations in the EMU Abstract: This article analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On the one hand, the question is how inflation expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these variables. The analysis makes use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and output, which allows for scrutinizing the dynamic interrelationships between these variables. Empirical results strongly suggest that inflation expectations are the key ingredient of the inflationary process for the euro area and they have a significant negative effect on output. Inflation expectations are found to be relatively persistent - almost as persistent as output - albeit they do adapt to developments in both output and (actual) inflation, especially in the medium term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1675 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1671-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The nexus of income and size distribution of Chinese cities, 1984-2003 Abstract: We estimate the distribution dynamics of city income and size in China during 1984-2003 using stochastic kernel. Our results show that intra-distribution mobility are significant in both income and size and provide evidences on China experienced internal brain drain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1682 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1677-1682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: Characteristics of female managers in the US labour market Abstract: We use 1% Public Use Micro Data Samples 1990 and 1% Public Use Micro Data Samples 2000 data to investigate characteristics of female managers in the US labour market. The results of this study indicate that the presence of husbands affected the probability of female presence in management-type occupations negatively during the 1980s. However, during the 1990s, the results show a reversed pattern. Also, having higher education positively affected this probability both during the 1980s as well as the 1990s. However, the premium for a higher education was not as high during the 1990s as it was during the 1980s. '… highly qualified women have an importance beyond their numbers. This is partly due to the fact that women in senior positions are better placed to look after the work interests of other women in their organization.' Dolton et al. (1996, p. 551). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1683-1686 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701663249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701663249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1683-1686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effect of gun ownership rates on homicide rates: a state-level analysis Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to examine the link between gun ownership rates and homicide rates. Using a very large cross-sectional survey dataset in order to obtain estimates for household-level gun ownership rates, and state-level data on homicides, the results indicate that gun ownership rates have a statistically significant and positive effect on the homicide rates at the 10% significance level. This result suggests that efforts to restrict access to firearms may reduce murders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: The sustainability of trade accounts of the G-7 countries Abstract: This article has examined the sustainability of the trade accounts of the G-7 countries by analysing the long-run equilibrium between exports and imports. We applied the techniques of the recently developed nonstationary panel data analysis and found that the trade accounts of the G-7 countries are very likely to be nonstationary variables. This implies that trade accounts are not sustainable for the G-7 countries. Therefore, some appropriate policies must be implemented to prevent trade imbalances from increasing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1694 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675490 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675490&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1691-1694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: The optimal reservation utility in models of decision making in arranged marriages Abstract: The notion of a reservation quality or utility is a key feature of Batabyal's (2003a) recent analysis of decision making in arranged marriages. In this model, the magnitude of the reservation utility has a nontrivial impact on the decision to accept or decline a marriage proposal. Even so, Batabyal (2003a) treats the marrying agent's reservation utility as an exogenous variable. Consequently, the purpose of this article is to endogenize the reservation utility variable in the context of a dynamic and stochastic model of decision making in arranged marriages. Our analysis leads to two results. First, we demonstrate that the optimal reservation utility is the solution to a particular maximization problem. Second, we show that theoretical circumstances exist in which the optimal reservation utility is unique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1695-1698 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701625800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701625800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1695-1698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tran Viet Ha Author-X-Name-First: Tran Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Title: A discussion on power of ADF F-test with unexpected initial value Abstract: This article attempts to show when the series is a stationary autoregressive process, of which, the initial value is far from the deterministic trend, power of Augmented Dickey-Fuller(ADF) F-test is not only superior to the tests, which are most powerful for small and moderate initial value, such as GLS-DF test (Elliott et al., 1996) but also to ADF t-test, given small and moderate sample sizes; and especially, when the autoregressive coefficient is close to unity. The procedure proposed by Holden and Perman (1994), which takes advantage of both t- and F-type ADF tests is recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1699-1703 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1699-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Dane Rowlands Author-X-Name-First: Dane Author-X-Name-Last: Rowlands Title: The IMF's role in mobilizing private capital flows: are there grounds for catalytic conversion? Abstract: Recent theoretical and empirical research suggests that under certain conditions IMF agreements induce additional inflows of finance from private international capital markets. This article provides new empirical evidence on this catalytic effect using a treatment effects model to correct for selectivity. It concludes that catalysis remains weak or negative overall, with nuances that support recent theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1705-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1705-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Cloninger Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Cloninger Author-Name: Roberto Marchesini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Marchesini Title: Reflections on a critique Abstract: Critiques of scholarly research contain their own flaws; sometimes even more so than the work they are critiquing. Such is the case of the critique of our research authored by John Donohue and Jason Wolfers. Published in the Stanford Law Review their paper avoided the blind peer review process and consequently contains elements that undoubtedly would not have survived peer review. That possibility aside, we show that their alternative measures of criminal activity have no theoretical basis nor any empirical precedent within the modified portfolio approach employed in our research. Putting even that aside, we show that their empirical results are not inconsistent with ours. Thus, upon reflection, we see no justification to amend, modify or otherwise alter our methods or results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1711 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1709-1711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul-Antoine Beretti Author-X-Name-First: Paul-Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Beretti Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Title: Indirect ICT investment Abstract: Numerous economic studies have highlighted that information and communication technology (ICT) investment expenditure appears to be greater in the field of services, and above all in certain activities such as financial services and wholesale trade, than in industry. This analysis examines whether the investment data compiled by national accountants underestimate productive ICT expenditure, and whether this is more pronounced in the case of industry than for services. For that purpose, we propose an assessment of the size of ICT inputs (termed 'indirect ICT investment') in non-ICT investment expenditure for France in 2000. The main result of our analysis is that the amount of 'indirect ICT investment' appears to be small, compared with 'direct ICT investment', suggesting that the biggest investors in ICT remain services, regardless of whether we consider 'direct' or 'direct' plus 'indirect investment'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1713-1716 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675524 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675524&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1713-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Bao Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Author-Name: Thomas Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Borderplex menu evidence for the law of one price: a convergence approach Abstract: A convergence approach is utilized to examine deviations from the law of one price. Sample data are menu prices for eight identical products sold by international restaurant franchises in Mexico and the United States. The results suggest mean reverting behaviour in real exchange rate movements in response to recent information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1717-1720 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1717-1720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bisakha Sen Author-X-Name-First: Bisakha Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: Laura Argys Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Argys Author-Name: Daniel Rees Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Rees Title: The effect of substance use on the delinquent behaviour of adolescents Abstract: Adolescents who drink or smoke marijuana are more likely to engage in delinquent activities than their peers who do not use substances, but it is not clear whether this association is causal or driven by other difficult-to-measure underlying factors such as an individual's discount rate. Using several empirical strategies that are designed to control for the influence of unobservables, we explore the relationship between substance use and four outcomes: fighting, property-destruction, theft, and running away. Our results suggest that, for males, the positive association between substance-use and these outcomes is probably spurious. In contrast, there is some evidence that female substance use may be causally related to destroying property, theft, and running away. These results are of importance to parents and policymakers who wish to reduce the incidence of delinquent behaviour of adolescents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1721-1729 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1721-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matias Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Juan Carlos Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Title: Determinants of housing expenditure in Mexico Abstract: Few studies estimate housing demand for developing countries. We contribute to the literature by estimating housing demand in Mexico, and analysing its main determinants. An advantage of this study is the use of market-based data of actual housing transactions. Our results show a strong positive influence of permanent and temporary income on housing demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1731-1734 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1731-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Lieh Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Decomposition of the cost growth for the US forest product industries Abstract: This article investigates sources that lead to the cost growth of eight U.S. forest products industries during the period 1997 to 2005. The cost growth rate decomposes into two components: the cost efficiency change and the cost technical change. Empirical evidences indicate that the cost growth in wood product industries is predominantly from cost technical change. In contrast, cost inefficiency primarily drives the cost growth in the pulp and paper industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1741 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604193 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604193&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1735-1741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of the real median price of single-family homes on US internal net migration: an exploratory empirical note Abstract: This exploratory study investigates the impact of the real median price of single-family homes on US net internal migration flows over the 2000 to 2004 period. After allowing for factors such as the growth rate of GSP, the presence of hazardous waste sites, climate, the presence of state income taxes, and other factors, it is found that the rate of net state in-migration over the 2000 to 2004 period was negatively and significantly affected by higher real median prices on single-family homes, a finding consistent with the absence of 'money illusion'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1743-1746 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604151 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604151&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1743-1746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manish Pandey Author-X-Name-First: Manish Author-X-Name-Last: Pandey Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: Social networks and trade liberalization Abstract: We consider a representative family in which there are location specific network effects from interactions with other family members, such as joint consumption, joint emotional support and coinsurance. The benefits an individual receives from the network they participate in are nonlinearly related to the number of family members located in urban and rural areas. Family members choose whether to locate in urban or rural areas and average and marginal network benefits differ. In a model with internationally traded urban and rural produced goods, with differential network effects in urban and rural areas free trade will no longer be the best policy. We show this through a numerical example, and suggest that the case for free trade may need to be more nuanced once social considerations of this type are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1747-1749 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701642003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701642003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1747-1749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluca Lagana Author-X-Name-First: Gianluca Author-X-Name-Last: Lagana Title: A structural factor-augmented vector error correction (SFAVEC) model approach: an application to the UK Abstract: This note presents a new structural factor-augmented vector error correction model approach to solve the limited information problem present in traditional vector error correction models. We apply this approach to the UK and obtain a reasonable characterization of the long-run equilibrium concerning real activity, taxation, inflation and the rate of interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1751-1756 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604185 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604185&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1751-1756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ten-Der Jane Author-X-Name-First: Ten-Der Author-X-Name-Last: Jane Author-Name: Cherng Ding Author-X-Name-First: Cherng Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Title: On the multivariate EGARCH model Abstract: In this aticle, the extension of Nelson's (1991) univariate EGARCH model to the multivariate version has been reexamined and compared with the existing one given by Koutmos and Booth (1995). The magnitude and sign of standardized innovations have been constrained in Koutmos and Booth's multivariate EGARCH model, but not in the actual multivariate EGARCH model. The constraints imposed on Koutmos and Booth's EGARCH model may lead to inaccurate parameter estimates. Since the actual multivariate EGARCH model obtained is more general, and can produce more accurate inferential results, we suggest that the actual multivariate EGARCH model be used in future financial empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1757-1761 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604383 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604383&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1757-1761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saadet Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Saadet Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: Evrim Turgutlu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Turgutlu Author-Name: A. Duygu Ayhan Author-X-Name-First: A. Duygu Author-X-Name-Last: Ayhan Title: Long memory in stock returns: evidence from the major emerging Central European stock markets Abstract: This article analyses the long-memory properties of the daily stock market returns of four major emerging Central European countries, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and the Slovak Republic. We use the semi-parametric method of Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983) and parametric method of Sowell (1992). The results indicate a significant long memory in the return series of the Slovak Republic. The evidence of long memory in Hungary and the Czech Republic is, however weak. Poland is the only market exhibiting short memory. Since long-memory property is inconsistent with the market efficiency, there is still room for the investors to receive unexploited profits in the stock market of the Slovak Republic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1763-1768 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701663231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701663231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1763-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Marrett Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Marrett Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: An empirical note on the holiday effect in the Australian stock market, 1996-2006 Abstract: This note examines the holiday effect in Australian daily stock returns at the market and industry level and for small capitalization stocks from Monday 9 September 1996 to Friday 10 November 2006. The eight annual holidays specified are New Years Day, Australia Day (26 January), Easter Friday and Easter Monday, ANZAC Day (25 April), the Queen's Birthday (second Monday in June), Christmas Day and Boxing Day. A regression-based approach is employed. The results indicate that the Australian market overall provides evidence of a pre-holiday effect in common with small cap stocks. However, the market level effect appears to be solely the result of a strong pre-holiday effect in the retail industry. No evidence is found of a post-holiday effect in any market or industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1772 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1769-1772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Measuring the safety elasticity of advertising Abstract: This article presents theoretical evidence of an inverse relationship between the advertising elasticity of demand and the safety elasticity of advertising. It also finds that under a lower level of safety, advertising expenditure is driven directly by the responsiveness of demand to advertising. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1773-1776 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1773-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwagyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hwagyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Chetan Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: Chetan Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: Velocity of money and inflation dynamics Abstract: There have been large changes in the velocity of money which could be a potential source of inflation variability. This article investigates how the velocity of money affects inflation dynamics by estimating the Phillips curve derived from a New Keynesian model in which money is introduced via transactions technology. The resultant Phillips curve becomes a function of velocity as well as an output gap and a forward looking inflation terms, a feature for which we provide empirical support. Specifically, we adopt the GMM methodology to estimate the velocity-augmented forward looking Phillips curve using the US data between 1951 and 2005. We observe that historical inflation dynamics is consistent with the view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1781 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1777-1781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Vahamaa Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Vahamaa Title: A note on the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on implied volatility Abstract: This note demonstrates that different methodological approaches may lead to somewhat different conclusions about the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on implied volatility. While there is no doubt that implied volatilities are significantly affected by macroeconomic releases, the analysis presented in this note shows that different approaches provide inconsistent results regarding the direction of the effect and also about the relative importance of different types of macroeconomic announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1783-1789 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1783-1789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fassil Fanta Author-X-Name-First: Fassil Author-X-Name-Last: Fanta Author-Name: Mukti Upadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Mukti Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyay Title: Poverty reduction, economic growth and inequality in Africa Abstract: We study the relationships among economic growth, inequality and poverty. Economists agree that growth is fundamental to reducing poverty. But the links among growth, distribution and poverty is still a subject of debate because the growth elasticity of poverty seems to differ from one country to another. Using a data set for 16 African countries, based on household budget surveys, we find strong support that poverty decreases in response to economic growth, with the estimated elasticity ranging between -0.5 and -1.10. Other variables, albeit important in varying degrees, are much less significant as determinants of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1791-1794 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719587 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719587&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1791-1794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Conte Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Conte Title: Mapping innovative activity using microdata Abstract: I discuss the determinants of three alternative measures of innovative output among firms of different size. Moreover, I provide an econometric procedure for testing a Tobit model (Tobin, 1958) against a two-part model. This procedure is alternative to Cragg's (1971) test and feasible for weighted survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1795-1799 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719553 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719553&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1795-1799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Melzer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Melzer Author-Name: Thorsten Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: Monetary policy in the euro area - has it become more powerful on the road to EMU? Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the effects of monetary policy in the euro area. With the help of a time-varying coefficient vector autoregressive model we find that monetary policy shocks have had a greater impact on real output since the mid-1980s and that their transmission has become faster. Our findings indicate a change in the monetary transmission mechanism that can be explained by the changes in the European financial system over the last 20 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1801-1804 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1801-1804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Friedrich Eckey Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Eckey Author-Name: Christian Dreger Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Dreger Author-Name: Matthias Turck Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Turck Title: Regional convergence in the enlarged European Union Abstract: There are only a few studies which examine regional convergence in the enlarged European Union. None of these approaches uses a conditional convergence model, which considers different initial conditions of regions. We refer to the Mankiw et al. (1992) model to examine convergence including the New Member States. Note that most researchers use equal values of depreciation rate and rate of technological progress for all regions. Our analysis is based on country specific values of both variables, which vary markedly. We give empirical evidence for a convergence process which exceeds the often measured value of 2%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1805-1808 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1805-1808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Lofgren Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofgren Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Puzzling tax attitudes and labels Abstract: We find that through labelling one can significantly affect attitudes towards a tax. The gasoline tax meets a stronger reluctance than virtually the same tax when it is called the CO2 tax on gasoline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1809-1812 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719660 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719660&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1809-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira Author-X-Name-First: Reginaldo Pinto Author-X-Name-Last: Nogueira Title: Testing credibility with time-varying coefficients Abstract: The article presents evidence on credibility gains from the adoption of Inflation Targeting (IT), for a set of developed and emerging markets. We carry out our analysis for Brazil, Mexico, Sweden and the UK, and ask whether the adoption of this monetary framework strengths monetary policy credibility. To answer this question we apply a time-varying coefficients methodology to estimate the time path of the trade-off between inflation and output. Following the literature a more favourable trade-off is believed to be linked to improvements in monetary policy credibility. The results show a clear picture of credibility gains from the adoption of IT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1817 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1813-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanna-Mari Hynninen Author-X-Name-First: Sanna-Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Hynninen Title: Heterogeneity of job seekers in labour market matching Abstract: This study examines the matching of heterogeneous job seekers and vacant jobs. Job seekers are divided into four employability groups according to their labour market status. The dataset consists of highly disaggregated monthly data from 146 Local Labour Offices in Finland over 14 years. The results indicate that the employability of job seekers differs. Therefore, the composition of the pool of job seekers in a local labour market affects the ability of that market to form successful matches. The long-term unemployed have a negative effect on matches while job seekers out of the labour force notably improve the production of matches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1819-1823 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719561 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719561&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1819-1823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Paul White Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: An alternative test to check the validity of convergence results Abstract: This article presents a simple method for identifying distributional dynamic properties of economies using the ideas of concordance and discordance. It can be employed to examine the strength and validity of the results of other methods. The method has the advantage of comparing distributions at two points without relying on intermediary data between the two time points. We present results that suggest there is more 'strong-divergence' than 'strong-convergence' in GDP between countries over the time period 1960 to 2000 although the distribution exhibits both convergent and divergent characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1825-1829 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719579 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719579&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1825-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfred Greiner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Greiner Title: Estimating penalized spline regressions: theory and application to economics Abstract: This article gives a brief survey of penalized spline smoothing. Penalized spline smoothing is a general nonparametric estimation technique which allows to fit smooth but else unspecified functions to empirical data. We depict the theory behind this estimation technique and we present an example demonstrating how this nonparametric estimation technique can help to gain insight into economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1831-1835 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1831-1835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Fozia Nisha Author-X-Name-First: Fozia Author-X-Name-Last: Nisha Title: An extension to the neoclassical growth model to estimate growth effects Abstract: The neoclassical growth model was extended by Mankiw et al. (1992) to estimate the level-effects of human capital. We suggest a further extension to capture their permanent growth-effects. Time-series data from Fiji are used to show that the growth-effects of human capital, although small, are significant and specifications with growth-effects perform better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1837-1841 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1837-1841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Yu-Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yu Han Hung Author-X-Name-First: Yu Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Basel II and bank bankruptcy analysis Abstract: Due to keen competition, banks may increase their market share and profits by imposing price policies, such as raising deposit rates, lowering loan rates, or even worse by loaning to those with high risks, which all could increase the probability of bankruptcy. Under these circumstances, the literature has paid great attention to the topics of bankruptcy and risk management. We adopt a two-stage approach, the Super-SBM and logistic regression, to investigate a bank efficiency index and the bank bankruptcy effect from incorporating capital adequacy regulations and a supervisory review process. This study uses data on 36 Taiwanese commercial banks for the 3-year period from 2002 to 2004. This article's empirical results from the Super-SBM and logistic regression approach are summarized as follows: (1) The efficiency factor is proven to be influential in evaluating bank bankruptcy. (2) If certain prerequisites on capital adequacy are imposed on each bank, then it results in a lower risk to the bank and this reduces bank bankruptcy. (3) Corporate governance plays an important role in bank bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1843-1847 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701704241 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701704241&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1843-1847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Long Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: En-Hua Hu Author-X-Name-First: En-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Meng-Xi Yue Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: The relationship between size and growth: the case of Chinese listed companies Abstract: To extend the research on Gibrat's law in transformational countries, this article uses quantile regression to test whether the Law holds for Chinese listed companies in six industries from 1997 to 2003. Results indicate that Gibrat's law demonstrated a behaviour dependent on the length examined. Although it was rejected in four out of six industries for the 6-year period, it received strong support in five industries year by year, which implied that size convergence was a slow process in China. Results also show that Gibrat's law is conditional on industrial characters. It received unbalanced support from different industries, suggesting that the industries examined had distinct growth trajectories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1849-1853 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1849-1853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Fryges Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Fryges Title: The export-growth relationship: estimating a dose-response function Abstract: The relationship between individual firms' export behaviour and firm performance has been studied extensively in the economic literature. However, most studies from the field of economics only distinguish between exporting and nonexporting companies, using the firms' export status as a binary treatment variable and comparing the performance of exporting and nonexporting firms. This article introduces the newly developed generalized propensity score (GPS) methodology to the literature of individual firms' export behaviour. Instead of a binary treatment variable, the GPS method allows for continuous treatment, that is, different levels of the firms' export activities. Based on the GPS methodology, a dose-response function is estimated, depicting the relationship between the firms' export-sales ratio and their subsequent sales growth rate as a measure of firm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1855-1859 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1855-1859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Author-Name: Attila Karoly Soos Author-X-Name-First: Attila Karoly Author-X-Name-Last: Soos Title: Treating trade statistics inaccuracies: the case of intra-industry trade Abstract: We investigate the accuracy of trade statistics employing intra-industry trade analysis for 29 countries. We exploit the fact that country A's exports to country B are country B's imports from country A. The data published by the two sides can be compared with each other. Are A's or B's data more accurate? Our analysis is based on the average degree of 'similarity' between country A's and country B's data and the 'mirror' data of all the other countries in the sample. The ranking of the countries by the accuracy of their data yielded by our calculations mainly confirm our a priori expectations. We also investigate whether the data of 'good' reporting countries can be more trusted than some averages of the latter and the data reported by the 'bad' reporters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1861-1866 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1861-1866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Nonlinear interrelations between ADRs and their underlying stocks revisited: application of threshold VECM Abstract: This study examines the dynamic interrelations between American depository receipts (ADRs) and their underlying stocks (UNDs) by using the threshold vector error correction model. In contrast to prior studies focusing on examining the effects of arbitrage threshold on stock return means, this study not only analyse the dynamics of return means but also return volatilities. Moreover, this article adopts two representative ADR issuers: UK VOD and Brazil CVDO and compares the differences between them. The empirical findings of this study are consistent with the following notions. First, for both of the case of UK VOD and Brazil CVDO, once the price relationship of ADRs and UNDs deviates away from the long-run cointegrated equilibrium, the re-establishing equilibrium process is more/less remarkable when the price deviations do (do not) exceed a critical threshold. However, for the case of UK VOD (Brazil CVDO), the tendency to adjust to correct a disequilibrium situation mostly depends on the UND (ADR) markets. Furthermore, this article denotes the threshold estimate in the case of UK VOD (Brazil CVDO) as an unusual (extreme) condition. Last, the arbitrage behaviours between the ADR and UND markets will increase the volatility in these two markets and reduce the correlation between them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1867-1873 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1867-1873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Simon Ville Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Ville Title: Discipline-specific forecasting of research output in Australian universities Abstract: This article presents a cross-sectional model for forecasting research output across the Australian university system. It builds upon an existing literature that focuses either on institutional comparisons or studies of specific subjects, by providing discipline-specific results across all of the 10 major disciplinary areas as defined by Australia's Department of Education, Science and Training. The model draws upon four (highly significant) discipline-specific explanatory variables; staff size, research expenditure, PhD completions and student-staff ratios to predict the output of refereed articles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1875-1880 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1875-1880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorah Ramlan Author-X-Name-First: Jorah Author-X-Name-Last: Ramlan Author-Name: Elsadig Musa Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Elsadig Musa Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and human capital management trend in Malaysia's economic development Abstract: Testing for stationarity, cointegration and structural break for the ICT data are significant to determine Malaysia's economic growth. This article finds that the ICT follows similar trend as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), capital and employment data. The cointegration test suggests that ICT follows a long-run equilibrium in relation to GDP, capital and employment variables. The test for parameter instability for ICT indicates 1986 as the breakpoint, which is indicative of the structural transformation in Malaysia's economy. This is crucial finding as it provides more conclusive evidence on structural breakpoint in Malaysia's economic data, as opposed to noneconometric method. Human capital is synonymous to knowledge accumulation, thus significant in the development of the ICT and long-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1881-1886 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1881-1886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand D. Vinuya Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand D. Author-X-Name-Last: Vinuya Title: Technical efficiency of shrimp fishery in South Carolina, USA Abstract: The increased inflow of imported shrimp into the US has lowered shrimp prices in the marketplace and with it, ex-vessel prices received by shrimp fishermen. Proposed remedies are aimed at strategies to increase the prices received by domestic producers. This study looks into issues related to the production side by estimating the technical efficiency of South Carolina shrimp boat operators. Estimates using a stochastic production frontier method show that average efficiency is 46%. This finding has strong implications on the long-term survival and viability of the local shrimp industry as it continues to face competition from low-priced imports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiujian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiujian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: W. Robert Reed Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: A Monte Carlo evaluation of the efficiency of the PCSE estimator Abstract: Panel data characterized by groupwise heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional correlation, and AR(1) serial correlation pose problems for econometric analyses. It is well known that the asymptotically efficient, Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) estimator (Parks) sometimes performs poorly in finite samples. In a widely cited paper, Beck and Katz (1995) claim that their estimator panel-corrected SE (PCSE) is able to produce more accurate coefficient SE without any loss in efficiency in 'practical research situations'. This study disputes that claim. We find that the PCSE estimator is usually less efficient than Parks - and substantially so - except when the number of time periods is close to the number of cross sections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andre V. Mollick Author-X-Name-First: Andre V. Author-X-Name-Last: Mollick Author-Name: Joao R. Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao R. Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Capital and labor in thelong-run: evidence fromTobin's q for the US Abstract: This paper assesses different measures of Tobin's q on the US labor market over 1948--2002. We find a negative long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and Tobin's q, which is consistent with capital and labor being complements in production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc-Andr� Gosselin Author-X-Name-First: Marc-Andr� Author-X-Name-Last: Gosselin Author-Name: Greg Tkacz Author-X-Name-First: Greg Author-X-Name-Last: Tkacz Title: Using dynamic factor models to forecast Canadian inflation: the role of US variables-super-1 Abstract: This article evaluates the forecasting performance of dynamic factor models for Canadian inflation. We find that factor models are as good as more conventional forecasting models, while a model estimated using only US data, is at least as useful as a model that incorporates Canadian data. This suggests that the United States is a source of data that could be beneficial to its trading partners for forecasting purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dany Jaimovich Author-X-Name-First: Dany Author-X-Name-Last: Jaimovich Author-Name: Ugo Panizza Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Panizza Title: Public debt around the world: a new data set of central government debt Abstract: Commonly used data sets on the level of public debt provide incomplete country and period coverage. This article presents a new data set that includes complete series of central government debt for 89 countries over the period 1991 to 2005 and for 7 other countries for the period 1993 to 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hening Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hening Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Le Wang Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Time series analysis of income convergence in China Abstract: In this article, we examine both pre- and post-reform economic convergence behaviour in China using the time-series procedures developed in the Hobijn and Franses (2000). Our results are striking: First, we find a number of extremely small convergence clubs for both the pre- and post-reform periods, and these clubs cannot be characterized by geography or the extent of policy preference level. Second, our results show that economic reform led to more divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Wijeweera Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Wijeweera Author-Name: John A. Deskins Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Deskins Title: Do recent data provide evidence that the US trade deficit will correct itself? Abstract: We use monthly data from the 23 largest US trading partners for the years 1985-2005 to examine the long-run relationship between imports and exports. Results indicate that a long-run equilibrium relationship is identifiable in most of the countries we analyse. However, the country with which the US has the largest trade deficits do not exhibit any long-run relationship, indicating that any self-correcting mechanism on the trade account is either nonexistent or slow in these cases. Further, the presence of a long-run relationship is most apparent in the countries with which the US has a trade surplus. Taken together, these results provide evidence that continued growth in the US trade deficit is likely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Reza Arabsheibani Author-X-Name-First: G. Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Arabsheibani Author-Name: Jie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Asian-white male wage differentials in the United States Abstract: The analysis of the wage differential between Asian Americans and whites indicates that discrimination against Asians (except Japanese) is still substantial in the U.S. labour market. However, the second-generation Asians have, by large, achieved income parity with comparable whites. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-43 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:37-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arif Sultan Author-X-Name-First: Arif Author-X-Name-Last: Sultan Title: Lemons and certified pre-owned cars in the used car market Abstract: I use a modified version of Bond (1982) lemon model to test the quality of certified pre-owned (CPO) and noncertified pre-owned (nonCPO) cars. I use a Tobit model to deal with the censoring problem in the data and apply sensitivity analysis to check the robustness of the coefficients. The data is collected from 'The Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID)' from the University of Michigan for this study. The results show that nonCPO cars required more maintenance expenditures than CPO cars of a similar age, which means that the CPO cars are of better quality. The study also implies that the institutions of leasing and certification have substantially improved, which in turn, have contributed to reducing adverse selection and improved the average quality of traded cars in the used car market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:45-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar�a Rosal�a Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a Rosal�a Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Ana Jesús L�pez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: L�pez Title: What drives broadband diffusion? Evidence from Eastern Europe Abstract: Recent studies stress the crucial role of broadband diffusion to enhance economic growth and performance. Therefore, the analysis of the factors shaping its diffusion becomes a matter of special importance. In this context, this article examines the impact of several socio-economic factors on the likelihood of broadband subscription, using a bivariate probit model, and making use of a unique data survey among Eastern European households. This is an area where broadband diffusion is just starting to take off and there is a lack of empirical evidence. In this context, a first interesting point is the fact that certain demographic variables (income and education) appear to be more correlated with Internet access as such than with the type of access. Moreover, the substantial differences in cross-country penetration rates are mainly explained by investments in information and communication technologies together with the level of competition in telecommunications markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Hwan Noh Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Title: To be or not to be: an economic shock, stress and suicidal ideation Abstract: The probit estimation using a large individual data set associated with the Korean economic crisis in 1997 shows that the suicidal ideation demonstrates strong response to economic crisis, depression and stress. The elasticity of income on suicide risk is greater for males than females and greater for youths and adults than olds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:55-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Resource curse: the role of institutions versus policies Abstract: Recent work suggests that countries with good institutions can escape the resource curse. This article shows that in the developing countries where the curse is of primary concern, institutional quality does not seem to have much influence; instead, it appears that it is a country's policies which play a significant role in neutralizing the negative impact of resource abundance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:61-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert Ooghe Author-X-Name-First: Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Ooghe Author-Name: Christophe Spaenjers Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Spaenjers Title: A note on performance measures for business failure prediction models Abstract: This note briefly describes three performance measures that can be used in business failure prediction models: the unweighted error rate (UER), D-max and the Gini-coefficient. The use of these measures (and the mathematical relationship between them) is illustrated with numerical examples. We hope that this note may help the reader to better understand (and possibly use) these classification criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:67-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zaixia Hu Author-X-Name-First: Zaixia Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Shaohua Tan Author-X-Name-First: Shaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Cross-sectional stock return analysis using support vector regression Abstract: We adopt ε-Support Vector Regression, a nonlinear regression method, to analyse the relationship between stock return and explanatory factors. Computational results show ε-SVR outperforms significantly the Ordinary Least Squares linear regression with a much higher R -super-2 and a lower standard error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Dragos Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Dragos Title: ROC curve for discrete choice models an application to the Romanian car market Abstract: In this article we define the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve for discrete choice models, both for an alternative of choice and globally, for the whole set of alternatives. One application depicts the differences that may occur between two models based on this criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Stav�rek Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Stav�rek Title: Exchange rate volatility and the asymmetric fluctuation band on the way to the Eurozone Abstract: It is highly probable that the fulfillment of the exchange rate stability convergence criterion (ERSC) in the European Union (EU) New Member States (NMS) will be evaluated within the asymmetric fluctuation bank around the central parity. Obviously, there is a necessity for analysis of the asymmetric effects in the NMS and candidate countries exchange rate volatility. In this article, the TARCH model extended by the concept of implicit target exchange rate is applied on daily data from seven NMS and candidate countries. The results suggest that symptoms of asymmetry were found in volatility of almost all exchange rates while some pose a potential threat to fulfillment of the criterion. By contrast, the most positive results were revealed in Slovakia where the increase in the exchange rate volatility is driven by the appreciation of the national currency and the appreciation-side deviation from the target exchange rate. Such a finding is consistent with the asymmetric fluctuation band which allows substantially larger deviations on the appreciation side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. J�rges Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: J�rges Title: Health inequalities by education, income and wealth: a comparison of 11 European countries and the US Abstract: I compare education-, income- and wealth-related health inequality using data from 11 European countries and the US. The health distributions in the US, England and France are relatively unequal independent of the stratifying variable, while Switzerland or Austria always have relatively equal distributions. Some countries such as Italy dramatically change ranks depending on the stratifying variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen L. Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Stephen L. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Title: A test of employer learning in the labour market for young Australians Abstract: This paper reports a test of employer learning for a panel of young Australian men. The information contained in a test score is found to already be observed by employers at the time a worker enters the labour market. However the return to parental education is found to increase with experience, indicating that the attributes reflected in this variable are initially harder for employers to observe, and that learning occurs with respect to them. When the sample is partitioned by hiring channel, these effects are confined to workers who were recruited through less informative channels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:93-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Gluschenko Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Gluschenko Title: Price mobility of locations Abstract: This article applies the concept of mobility to cross-location price dynamics. Exploiting data on prices across Russian regions over 1994-2000, a contribution of relative and absolute mobility of regions to price convergence among them is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-103 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:99-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe: new evidence Abstract: Using alternative approaches to determine fiscal episodes, I assess expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe, via panel models for private consumption. There is some concurring evidence for several budgetary spending items while the asymmetric effects of fiscal episodes do not seem to be corroborated by the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph P. Byrne Author-X-Name-First: Joseph P. Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Author-Name: Michela Vecchi Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchi Title: Does labour productivity flow across industries? Estimation robust to panel heterogeneity and cross sectional correlation Abstract: We consider labour productivity convergence between the United States and the United Kingdom and France, using industry level data. We find evidence of panel heterogeneity, cross sectional correlation and weak evidence of productivity convergence at the industry level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:111-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Modelling product and foreign market diversification decisions for UK firms Abstract: This article contributes to the firm market diversification literature by using a bivariate probit model analogous to SURE vs. OLS for probit estimation to examine the market diversification decisions for a panel of UK firms. We extend the current literature to include director remuneration and firm-specific exchange rates. We find that firm size, wages, R&D, directors remuneration and the level and variability of exchange rates all have a significant impact on the probability of a firm diversifying into foreign markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Bond Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: Michael J. Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Michael J. Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Edward J. O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward J. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Exploring nonlinearity with random field regression Abstract: Random field regression models provide an extremely flexible way to investigate nonlinearity in economic data. This article introduces a new approach to interpreting such models, which may allow for improved inference about the possible parametric specification of nonlinearity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timo Baas Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Baas Author-Name: Herbert Br�cker Author-X-Name-First: Herbert Author-X-Name-Last: Br�cker Title: Macroeconomic impact of Eastern enlargement on Germany and UK: evidence from a CGE model Abstract: The Eastern enlargement of the EU is accompanied by a substantial increase in trade, capital movements and migration between the incumbent and the new member states. This article examines the effects of these trade and factor flows on Germany and United Kingdom using a CGE model which considers wage rigidities. We find that Eastern enlargement positively impact real GDP, wages and employment in both economies. The effects are substantially larger than those found in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Title: Residual-based tests forcointegration with gradual switching Abstract: In this article, we propose residual-based tests for cointegration in models with gradual switching. The cointegration test proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996) is employed to consider the structural break. However, this test has not been considered in the case of gradual switching. Therefore, we extend this test by considering gradual switching. We derive the asymptotic distribution and critical values of the test statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:129-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hagen Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hagen Title: Effects of parliamentary elections on primary budget deficits in OECD countries - robustness of the results with regard to alternative econometric estimators Abstract: Using an unbalanced panel of OECD countries for the period 1989 to 2005, the study tests the political budget cycle hypothesis empirically. The econometric approach is based on the equation proposed by Bohn (1998) for testing the sustainability of fiscal policy and various panel estimators. The empirical results strongly support the hypothesis of smaller primary surpluses (only) in election years. Brender and Drazen's (2005) result - an election effect exists only in new democracies - cannot be verified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herv� Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herv� Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: On the persistence of the gender unemployment gap: evidence from eight OECD countries Abstract: We examine the extent of persistence in the gender unemployment gap of eight OECD countries: Australia, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States using data over the period 1965 to 2002. Although we are unable to reject the unit root null hypothesis for all countries with the exception of Finland and Italy, the half-life measure suggests that the extent of persistence is relatively low for all countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:141-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedassa Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: Bedassa Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Cultural distance as a determinant of bilateral trade flows: do immigrants counter the effect of cultural differences? Abstract: We introduce 'cultural distance' as a measure of the degree to which shared norms and values in one country differ from those in another country, and employ a modified gravity specification to examine whether such cultural differences affect the volume of trade flows. Employing data for US state-level exports to the 75 trading partners for which measures of cultural distance can be constructed, we find that greater cultural differences between the United States and a trading partner reduces state-level exports to that country. This result holds for aggregate exports, cultural and noncultural products exports as well, but with significantly different magnitudes. Immigrants are found to exert a pro-export effect that partially offsets the trade-inhibiting effects of cultural distance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:147-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Michael Toma Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Title: Determinants of interstate differentials in the cost of housing, 2006 Abstract: This empirical study investigates determinants of interstate differentials in the cost of housing for the year 2006. While the literature on geographic cost-of-living differentials is well developed, the literature on geographic cost-of-housing (as opposed to housing-price) differentials is much less so. Housing costs consist of the price of housing per se for owners or rental payments per se for renters plus utility costs. The significance of this research is elevated by the fact that the cost of housing is the main driver of cost-of-living differences between states. The OLS results imply that the cost of housing in a state is positively a function of the state's median family income, its heating degree days, and its mean January temperature, and negatively a function of toxic waste releases in the state, the state's property crime rate, and the presence of right-to-work laws in the state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Is the arms race between the PRC and Taiwan simply a myth? The long-run and causal relationship between their defence spending ratios Abstract: This article investigates the long-run and causal relationship between the defence spending-GDP ratios of the People's Republic of China and Taiwan. The results clearly indicate that there is a long-run level equilibrium relationship between the ratio of defence spending of mainland China and that of Taiwan. The estimated long-run relationship shows that this level relationship is negative, indicative of a convergence phenomenon for the defence spending ratios of the two rivals. Moreover, causality test results substantiate that there is neutrality between the defence spending ratios of the PRC and of Taiwan in the short run but long-run causality running from Taiwan to the PRC. Based on the causality results, it is concluded that there is no arms race between the PRC and Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:159-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Author-Name: R. Paul Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: Transfer payment distribution and increases in gambling activity Abstract: Attendance and wagering volume is examined at a greyhound racing track to determine if the distribution of transfer checks resulted in significant increases in these variables. Specifically, the impact of United States Social Security and federal assistance checks, which were released on the third of the month during the time frame studied, are investigated. Significant increases on check day were found for both attendance at the track and for betting volume in dollars. Lump-sum transfers from the government appear to lead to increases in gambling activity for liquidity-constrained consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:165-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Author-Name: J. Timmins Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Timmins Title: Education and labour productivity in New Zealand Abstract: We estimate the effect of four types of education qualifications, as a proxy for human capital and skill levels, on GDP per capita, and compute the average percentage returns. We also test the effect of the product of each proxy of human capital with R&D on GDP per capita. We find that only university qualification and its product with R&D to have a positive effect on the average economy-wide productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-173 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:169-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. X. Aguilar Author-X-Name-First: F. X. Author-X-Name-Last: Aguilar Author-Name: R. P. Vlosky Author-X-Name-First: R. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Vlosky Title: Gender differences in determinants of job satisfaction among cooperative extension workers in the United States Abstract: This study compares levels of job satisfaction among male and female cooperative extension workers in the United States. There is a high level of job satisfaction among cooperative extension workers and no statistically significant differences between males and females. However, when modelling job satisfaction as a function of (1) Control/Autonomy/Influence, (2) Challenge, (3) Performance Measures, (4) Feedback, (5)Instrumentality and (6) Stability/Security, we detect gender differences. Women place a higher importance on job Stability/Security as a factor influencing job satisfaction. However, the levels of Feedback and Instrumentality are less important determinants of job satisfaction to females than to males. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand Mager Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: Mager Author-Name: Tobias Jesswein Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Jesswein Title: The fundamental performance of newly privatized firms: evidence from continental Europe Abstract: We examine the fundamental performance of 32 companies from 10 Continental European countries that were privatized through public share offerings since 1992. We document strong performance improvements. Specifically, after being privatized, firms significantly increase real sales, become more profitable and improve their operating efficiency. The results remain robust when we split our data into subsamples of companies in regulated and nonregulated industries. Although employment does not change significantly, it decreases in regulated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-186 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:181-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Andrew Batten Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Volatility in the gold futures market Abstract: We investigate the volatility structure of gold, trading as a futures contract on the Chicago Board of Trade using intraday (high frequency) data from January 1999 to December 2005. Apart from investigating the now familiar GARCH properties we also utilize a rarely used measure of volatility - the Garman Klass estimator - to provide new insights in intraday and interday volatility. This nonparametric measure incorporates the open, close, high and low price within a particular time interval. Both sets of results suggest significant variation across the trading day and week consistent with microstructure theories, although volatility is only slightly positively correlated with volume when measured by tick-count. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Teacher quality and student performance: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: In this article, alternative proxies for teacher quality and student performance were developed for an empirical analysis. Both education-level elasticity of teacher-quality and teaching-years elasticity of teacher-quality were estimated. The analysis showed a positive and significant relationship between teacher quality and student performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Gutierrez Title: Simple tests for cointegration in panels with structural breaks Abstract: In the article we propose new panel cointegration tests which allow for structural breaks. We show that the panel tests have good size and power. We apply the test statistics to the analysis of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle for a sample of 16 OCDE countries. After allowing for breaks, we find strong evidence that investment and saving rates are cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Tomberlin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Tomberlin Author-Name: Garth Holloway Author-X-Name-First: Garth Author-X-Name-Last: Holloway Title: Bayesian hierarchical estimationof technical efficiency in a fishery Abstract: This article presents a Bayesian hierarchical approach to estimating stochastic production frontiers in fisheries. Based on our application of this approach to the US West Coast hake fishery, we conclude that (1) panel models with hierarchical structure to allow for boat- and year-specific efficiency measures are preferable to simpler specifications, and (2) there appears to have been a progressive outward shift in the efficient frontier in the shore-based hake fishery during 1987-2003. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Title: Customer discrimination against black major league baseball pitchers reconsidered Abstract: The proposition that customer prejudices reduce attendance at major league baseball games with black starting pitchers is re-examined. In contrast to earlier studies, no such effect is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: The effects of currency crises on the long-run growth Abstract: We attempt to analyse the effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth by using a cross-sectional country dataset. After controlling for the post-crisis period, we find that the effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth are strictly negative and significant. We also find that the negative effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth increase as the number of the currency crises increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:209-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: The impact of capital gains tax exemption on housing sales Abstract: The Taxpayer Relief Act (TRA), enacted in 1997, allows tax exemption of capital gains up to $500 000 for married couples filing jointly and $250 000 for singles, on the sale of primary residence. By making it easier to sell a house that has appreciated in price, this tax exemption provides an additional incentive for purchasing a house. The study utilizes a simple regression model to demonstrate that TRA has had a statistically significant positive impact on housing sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Yong Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Sang Young Jei Author-X-Name-First: Sang Young Author-X-Name-Last: Jei Title: Determinants of volatility on international tourism demand for South Korea: an empirical note Abstract: This article examines volatility and its determinants of international tourism demand for Korea. Based on the exponential generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity model, some evidences are found such that the leverage effects are presented in the tourism demand, and the determinants of volatility are country specific. The finding illustrates that the specific characteristics of a particular origin country should be taken into account to develop policies or plans for tourism industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-223 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:217-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Hertz Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Hertz Title: Heteroskedasticity-robust elasticities in logarithmic and two-part models Abstract: Logarithmic models are widely used to study highly skewed positive outcomes, either alone or in combination with an equation that first distinguishes between zero and nonzero values (the two-part model). A well-known drawback of such models is that to obtain marginal effects that pertain to the arithmetic mean, rather than the mean of logs, we must exponentiate, and this retransformation is complicated in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This article presents a simple method for correcting estimated elasticities for the effects of heteroskedasticity, in both log-linear and log-log (constant elasticity) equations. An example, drawing on Bulgarian farm survey data, demonstrates that this correction leads to significantly different estimates of the elasticity of expenditures on agricultural inputs with respect to land area and the age of the household head. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-228 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:225-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Brian Silverstone Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Silverstone Title: Business confidence and cyclical turning points: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: Markov regime-switching analysis is used to consider the relationship between business confidence and the probability of turning points in cyclical GDP. We find, in an application to New Zealand, that confidence is related to both the deepness and duration of the business cycle and is asymmetric regarding the probability of the economy remaining in a given regime. Overall, the New Zealand business confidence series is a useful indicator of cyclical turning points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720247 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yihua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Determinants of variations in state per capita personal income: a panel data approach Abstract: This article employs a panel data analysis to examine factors that affect variations in state real per capita personal income (PCPI) by using a panel of 48 contiguous US states over the period 1950-2000. The preferred Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) approach reveals that the important explanatory variables are, respectively, the percentage of the population with a college education (COLLEGE), the percentage of the population with a high school education (HIGHSCHOOL), the percentage of the population employed in the manufacturing sector (MANUFACTURING), the percentage of population employed in the service sector (SERVICE) and the percentage of the population that was African American (BLACK). The results are found to be sensitive to estimation technique, suggesting formal model misspecification tests are required in order to choose an approach with better statistical properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-239 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:235-239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Tillmann Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tillmann Title: A note on the stability of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Europe Abstract: This note investigates how the explanatory power of the forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips Curve evolves over time. We exploit the present-value implications of the model and use VAR forecasts to assess whether the model matches the behaviour of actual inflation in the Euro area. A set of rolling regressions shows that the model's explanatory power varies substantially over the sample. Regime changes in the underlying monetary framework, i.e. realignment crises in the European Monetary System, the Maastricht treaty and, eventually, the introduction of European Monetary Union, are reflected in a deterioration of the model's explanatory power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin S�derstr�m Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: S�derstr�m Title: Wage scales and centralized bargaining - a binding constraint on the wage-setting? Abstract: The wage-setting for Swedish teachers was up and until 1996 characterized by centralized bargaining and wage scales. According to the scales, wages were exclusively determined by teacher type and years in the profession. In 1996, the scale system was replaced by individual wage bargaining. This study uses this change in bargaining structure to examine whether the scale system was a binding constraint on the wage-setting. The results suggest that the scales did impose such a constraint, since the earnings structure changed after the reform. More precisely, entry-wages and earnings dispersion increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ajay Singh Behl Author-X-Name-First: Ajay Singh Author-X-Name-Last: Behl Title: Children and labour supply Abstract: This article analyses the role of parents' expected payoffs of children and their labour supply. It uses the current education and income status of the parent and the educational expectations, health and behaviour problems of the child in order to form the expectations regarding the payoffs. We use a three stage (child, adult and old) model for individuals in order to capture the trade-off between supply of labour in the adult stage and consumption (from savings, investments and transfers from government and child) in the old age. The labour supply increases with the educational expectations, hopefulness and expected future income of the parent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-255 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:251-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Am�lie Charles Author-X-Name-First: Am�lie Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Title: Does the day-of-the-week effect on volatility improve the volatility forecasts? Abstract: This study tests the presence of the day-of-the-week effect on stock market volatility of six European stock markets. Using a GARCH or GARCH-GJR specifications for the variance equation, we find that the day of week effect is present in volatility equation. Finally, we test whether the statistically significant in-sample findings regarding seasonality in volatility lead to better out-of-sample forecasts of volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-262 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:257-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Globalization, Taylor rulesand inflation Abstract: This article provides evidence that globalization has contributed to global disinflation by making policy makers more aggressive towards fighting inflation. We estimate Taylor rules for 83 countries over the period 1985 to 2004 and find that the relative weight attached to the output gap is negatively related to trade and financial openness in a simple cross-section model. This result does not hold up for the OECD subsample, suggesting that this group of countries has successfully solved the time inconsistency problem and uncoupled central bank behaviour from otherwise relevant determinants of the inflation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-267 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:263-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Franck Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Franck Title: What do macroeconomic and political-economy data tell us about economic freedom? Abstract: We use OLS cross-country regressions and a competitive neural network approach to evaluate the performance of macroeconomic and political-economy data in assessing economic freedom. Our results point to a reasonable performance of the cross-sectional approach in explaining economic freedom scores but to a poor performance of the neural network approach in replicating country rankings provided by the Index of Economic Freedom. Our results thus justify the use of qualitative elements but at the same time call in question the relevance of macroeconomic data in the construction of economic freedom rankings Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:269-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Title: The relationship between the price of oil and macroeconomic performance: empirical evidence for the UK Abstract: This study adopts a vector autoregressive (VAR) approach towards investigating the relationship between the price of oil and UK macroeconomic performance over the period of floating exchange rates. Its distinctive feature is the allowance for a systematic variation in the macroeconomic effects of a change in the price of oil, in recognition of fundamental developments which have occurred with respect to the structure of the UK economy. Empirical analysis indicates that the accommodation of this characteristic within a VAR model increases both the prominence and the pervasiveness of the impact of an oil price shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:273-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicky Bamiatzi Author-X-Name-First: Vicky Author-X-Name-Last: Bamiatzi Author-Name: Konstantinos Bozos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Bozos Author-Name: Konstantinos Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Title: On the predictability of firm performance via simple time-series and econometric models: evidence from UK SMEs Abstract: This article examines the predictive accuracy of simple time-series and econometric models on forecasting firm performance in terms of sales turnover. Evidence from Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs) in the United Kingdom are presented. The study identifies operational rules under which the class of simple econometric regression models is more accurate than simple time-series forecasting alternatives, thus more appropriate to back-up multiple investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-282 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:279-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Batten Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: P. G. Szilagyi Author-X-Name-First: P. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Szilagyi Title: Is covered interest parity arbitrage extinct? Evidence from the spot USD/Yen Abstract: We investigate the long-term covered interest parity (CIP) relationship between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. We find that the CIP relation tends to be one way and favours those with the ability to borrow US dollars. Regression analysis reveals that negative changes in spot exchange rates, positive changes in US interest rates and negative changes in yen interest rates generally affect the deviation from parity. Evidence of declining deviations from equilibrium over the sample period is consistent with a more efficient trading environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:283-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Government size and unemployment in developing countries Abstract: Using data from 52 developing countries, this article analyses how the size of government affects unemployment. It tackles the reverse causality issue by instrumenting for the government size variable. According to the regression results, a large government sector is likely to increase the unemployment rate. The magnitude of the effect appears to be substantial, both among the total labour force as well as among women and young people. Furthermore, the estimates indicate that a large government sector is likely to substantially increase the share of long-term unemployed in the total number of unemployed. The results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew J. Higgins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Higgins Author-Name: Andrew T. Young Author-X-Name-First: Andrew T. Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Title: Robust correlates of county-level growth in the United States Abstract: Higgins et al. (2006), report several statistically significant partial correlates with US per capita income growth. However, Levine and Renelt (1992) demonstrate that such correlations are hardly ever robust to changing the combination of conditioning variables included. We ask, whether the same is true for the variables identified as important by Higgins et al. Using the extreme bounds analysis of Levine and Renelt, we find that the majority of the partial correlations can be accepted as robust. The variables associated with those partial correlations stand solidly as variables of interest for future studies of US growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumine Kondo Author-X-Name-First: Kazumine Author-X-Name-Last: Kondo Title: Do ATMs influence bankprofitability in Japan? Abstract: Holden and El-Bannany (2004) showed that Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) play an important role in increasing Return On Asset (ROA) in their analysis of banks in the United Kingdom. The present article investigates whether this conclusion also applies to Japanese banks. We found that ATMs do not have any influence on the ROA of Japanese banks; however, it was revealed that ATMs had positive effects on fees and commissions (income) from 2000 to 2003, and positive effects of ATMs on interest income were also seen recently. We conclude that in Japan, ATMs do not influence ROA, which includes the overall profits of bank transactions, but do contribute to particular businesses in that they can make the most of their abilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:297-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myoung Shik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Myoung Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Currency risks hedging for major and minor currencies: constant hedging versus speculative hedging Abstract: Focusing on the recent experience of major and minor currencies, this study examines the effectiveness of constant hedge and speculative hedge respectively with the objective of identifying whether there are any significant differences between both hedges. Our finding is that the speculative hedge is very slightly more effective than the constant hedge in reducing the currency risk. This supports that the speculative hedge about major currencies can be a relevant hedging tool. The analysis also shows that our multiple currency futures hedge can be a good hedging instrument for some minor currencies such as Cyprus pound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-311 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701735757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:305-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nam Anh Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nam Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Gerald Shively Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Shively Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Title: A new method for detecting outliers in Data Envelopment Analysis Abstract: We introduce a simple method for detecting outliers in Data Envelopment Analysis. The method is based on two scalar measures. The first is the relative frequency with which an observation appears in the construction of the frontier when testing the efficiency of other observations, and the second is the cumulative weight of an observation in the construction of the frontier. We provide a link to computer programming code for implementing the procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-316 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:313-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Scandizzo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Scandizzo Author-Name: Marco Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: Estimating the value of natural resources under legal constraints: an application to marine resources in Sicily Abstract: In this article, we use the Contingent Evaluation methodology to develop an economic evaluation of natural resources in a protected marine area of Sicily. Assuming a nonnormal distribution for the ML estimation, the article shows that a variant of the stochastic utility model appears to capture well the dependence of the willingness to pay (WTP) on the socioeconomic characteristics of a sample of stakeholders of the natural resources in question. The estimates obtained are consistent and robust across different policy measures, no embedding or sequencing effects emerge and option values also appear to have been elicited in a consistent way. Once these values are added to the basic WTP, the income elasticities estimated fall in the range reported by other studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:317-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Nizamul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nizamul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Thomas Sterner Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sterner Title: Are demand elasticities affected by politically determined tax levels? Simultaneous estimates of gasoline demand and price Abstract: Raising the price of fossil fuels is a key component of any effective policy to deal with climate change. Just how effective such policies are is decided by the price elasticities of demand. Many papers have studied this without recognising that not only is there a demand side response: quantities are decided by the price but also there is a reverse causality: the level of consumption affects the political acceptability of the taxes which are the main component of the final price. Thus prices affect consumption and consumption levels, in turn, have an affect on taxes and thus consumer prices. This article estimates these functions simultaneously to show that there is indeed an effect on the demand elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suryadipta Roy Author-X-Name-First: Suryadipta Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Is corruption anti-labour? Abstract: This article investigates the effect of corruption on trade openness in low-income and high-income countries. The results suggest corruption is anti-labour, since it reduces trade in low-income countries and increases trade in high-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-333 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:329-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: Douglas Jackson-Smith Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson-Smith Author-Name: Sandy Marquart-Pyatt Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Marquart-Pyatt Title: Does 'free-sampling' enhance the value of public goods? Abstract: This study investigates whether 'free sampling' enhances the value of public goods. Using data from a unique field experiment, we find that the WTP premium effect associated with a brief opportunity to consume a local public good for free is relatively small and temporary. It therefore may not be cost effective to offer free-participation incentives for public goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-339 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:335-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amy Moore Author-X-Name-First: Amy Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Michael Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Waste not, even if it's free: an experimental explanation for apparently unprofitable promotions Abstract: This article highlights an intriguing finding that consumers are averse to wasting even items gotten for free, and provides waste-aversion as an explanation for the prevalence of store promotions that at first glance appear to be unprofitable to a store. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-343 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748891 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748891&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:341-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Long memory in return volatility Abstract: This article reports, confirming evidence for long memory in the return volatility from equity, and foreign exchange markets with the newly proposed increment ratio statistic by Surgailis et al. (2007). The test is robust to changing means, slowly varying trends and other nonstationarities. In contrast to the widely held belief, we also find that the absolute returns have the most memory for all the markets examined here and that the so-called Taylor effect holds for the foreign exchange rate markets as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-349 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748909 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748909&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:345-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuka Takeda Author-X-Name-First: Yuka Author-X-Name-Last: Takeda Title: Equivalence scales for measuring poverty in transitional Russia: Engel's food share method and the subjective economic well-being method Abstract: This study estimates the equivalence scales for measuring poverty in transitional Russia using the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey data of 1994 and 2002, i.e. before and after the 1998 economic crisis. To examine the robustness and plausibility of the two estimates, we compared the estimate results in both the periods. For constructing the equivalence scales, the costs of children and additional adults are estimated. Further, in order to investigate the most plausible equivalence scales for measuring poverty, the following two methods are employed for the estimations: Engel's food share method (Engel method) and the subjective economic well-being method (SW method). The estimation results show that the equivalence scales for a child, obtained from the Engel and SW methods, could be similar; however, the results for an additional adult are very different. It reveals that poverty evaluation is highly underestimated when the SW method is used. In conclusion, although the Engel method has a theoretical flaw, it might be more plausible than the SW method in the context of poverty evaluation for transitional Russia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-355 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:351-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Tin Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Tin Title: The buffer stock model of money demand: evidence from panel data Abstract: One of the tenets of the buffer stock model of money demand is that transactions money balances are shock absorbers and transitory money balances would dissipate in the long run as actual money demand adjusts to its desired level following an unanticipated income shock. However, poor performance of the standard partial dynamic aggregate money demand model since the middle 1973s has seriously challenged the validity of the buffer stock model. Utilizing panel data, this study empirically shows that the speed of adjustment is fast at the microeconomic level, and the long-run parametric estimates are not as implausible as those suggested in past aggregate studies on money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 357-360 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735765 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735765&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:357-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozgur Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: H. Levent Korap Author-X-Name-First: H. Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Korap Title: Does the uncovered interest parity hold in short horizons? Abstract: In this article, one of the contemporaneous monetary theories of exchange rate determination, namely uncovered interest parity (UIP), is examined. The UIP hypothesis assumes that if capital is perfectly mobile, then investors around the world will be indifferent between holding their portfolios in domestic or foreign securities because they obtain the same return from these assets. Based on a theoretical formulation, our ex post estimation results employing four developed countries exchange rates vis-a-vis US dollar indicate the failure of the UIP hypothesis using short-horizon interest differential and future spot exchange rate data in line with most empirical papers in the economics literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jer-Yuh Wan Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Chung-Wei Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Effects of Japanese intervention on yen/dollar exchange rate volatility: a conditional jump dynamics approach Abstract: This article investigates the effects of foreign exchange interventions by the Japanese authorities on the level as well as the volatility of yen/dollar exchange rate. The empirical results show interventions in the last decade were effective not only in altering the exchange rate level, but also in volatility reduction. Jump events that tended to drive yen's appreciations and volatility increases have been effectively reduced by the 'large-in-size' interventions during the last decade. Our findings are in compliance with the coordination channel that explains the effectiveness in intervention proposed by Taylor (2004) and Reitz and Taylor (2006). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-373 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:367-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Hayakawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hayakawa Author-Name: Minoru Nogimori Author-X-Name-First: Minoru Author-X-Name-Last: Nogimori Title: New transformation methods in dynamic panel data models with heterogeneous time trends Abstract: In this paper, we introduce new type of within groups transformations so called the double within groups (DWG) and the long within groups (LWG) transformations. Both transformations eliminate individual effects and heterogeneous deterministic time trends jointly. Asymptotic analysis shows that both the DWG and LWG estimators are consistent when T is large. Simulation results show that both estimators have smaller root mean squared errors than the modified within groups estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-379 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:375-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bulent Guloglu Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Guloglu Author-Name: Mehmet Ivrendi Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ivrendi Title: Output fluctuations: transitory or permanent? the case of Latin America Abstract: This article investigates the time series properties of per capita real output for 19 Latin American Countries over the period 1965 to 2004. This empirical study examines the significance of contemporaneous correlations among cross sectional residuals using two newly developed tests. The tests find evidence of cross sectional dependence and induce us to use the SURADF and the CADF panel unit root tests, which allow for cross sectional dependence. The tests indicate that the real output in Latin American countries are characterized by a difference stationary process and output fluctuations seem to be permanent. These findings have important policy implications for these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-386 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:381-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Alberta Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alberta Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Carlos Santos Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Looking for a change point in French monetary policy in the early eighties Abstract: We investigate where, in the early eighties, did a change occur in French monetary policy. The novelty in our treatment of this subject is the use of the impulse saturation break test. The results clearly identify the adoption of the Franc Fort policy as the key change in the period. The resulting econometric model is congruent and reveals no signs of persistence in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-392 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:387-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. N. W. Azman-Saini Author-X-Name-First: W. N. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Azman-Saini Author-Name: Evan Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Zulkefly Abdul Karim Author-X-Name-First: Zulkefly Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Karim Title: Hedge funds, exchange rates and causality: evidence from Thailand and Malaysia Abstract: This article contributes to the debate on hedge funds and exchange rates in Thailand and Malaysia. It provides the first empirical evidence on causal relation between hedge funds and exchange rates. Using a new Granger noncausality procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and monthly data for the January 1994 to April 2002 period, two important findings emerge. First, hedge funds lead Thai baht during the 1997 crisis. Second, there is a bidirectional causality between hedge funds and Malaysian ringgit for the pre-crisis period. In all other cases, no causal relation can be established. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:393-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Yeon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Author-Name: Hyeong Ho Mun Author-X-Name-First: Hyeong Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jinook Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Jinook Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Title: The effect of a variance shift on the Breusch-Godfrey's LM test Abstract: In this article, we study the impact of an abrupt change in variance on the Breusch-Godfrey's LM test for autocorrelation. It is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations that a break in variance can generate spurious rejections of the null hypothesis of no serial correlation. Hence, a researcher might conclude that the error terms are serially correlated when in fact the contrary is true. It has been found that the likelihood of making this mistake depends on three factors: (i) break size, (ii) break location and (iii) the number of lagged terms included in the LM test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Maria Prats Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Prats Title: Threshold cointegration and nonlinear adjustment between stock prices and dividends Abstract: According to several empirical studies, the linear present-value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long run. We analyse the possible presence of threshold cointegration between real stock prices and dividends for the US market during the period from 1871:1 to 2004:6. According to our results, the null hypothesis of linear cointegration between stock prices and dividends is rejected in favour of a two-regime threshold cointegration model. We find also that stock prices do not respond to equilibrium error, and dividends respond to the past divergence only if the deviation from the equilibrium error does not exceed the estimated threshold parameter. This in turn would support theoretical models assuming that the stock price-dividend relation is nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-410 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765085 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765085&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:405-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Jack Houston Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Low carbohydrate information, consumer health preferences and market demand of fruits in the United States Abstract: We assessed the impacts of low carbohydrate information on the market demand of US fruits using almost ideal demand system, Rotterdam and double-log models. Results indicated significant positive impacts of low carbohydrate information on the market demand of grape and lemon. However, a significant negative effect exists on market demand of apples and bananas. Majority of the estimated elasticities are consistent in terms of expected sign and magnitude across all models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iza Lejarraga Author-X-Name-First: Iza Author-X-Name-Last: Lejarraga Author-Name: Peter Walkenhorst Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Walkenhorst Title: On linkages and leakages: measuring the secondary effects of tourism Abstract: Tourism multipliers are widely used tools of services trade analysis. Yet, their derivation and interpretation has often been inconsistent and confusing. This article presents a unifying approach for calculating indicators of tourism linkages and leakages, derives these multipliers for a large sample of more than 150 countries and statistically assesses the relationship among the multipliers, along with several other economic indicators. Contrary to widely held views, the multipliers for tourism linkages and leakages are noncomplementary, as they are based on different economic concepts, so that no particular correlation is to be expected. This independence is confirmed in the empirical cross-country analysis. Moreover, the analysis finds a positive association between the degree of linkages and per-capita income, trade openness and the friendliness of the business climate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-421 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765127 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765127&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:417-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Income inequality and cigarette consumption: evidence from the United States Abstract: There is enormous literature on the determinants of consumption of cigarettes and other tobacco products, and on the magnitude of the impact of a wide variety of economic and noneconomic factors. Also, a huge amount of research has been done on the association between income inequality and health for which numerous proxies have been used. We seek to link these two strands of scholarship by treating smoking as a major health hazard and considering the association between income inequality and smoking. Using US state-level data for the year 2004, we estimate an augmented model of cigarette consumption in which income inequality is added to a fairly standard specification. Subject to the caveats appropriate for such studies, there is little indication of a significant association between income inequality and the health-retarding behaviour in the form of cigarette smoking. Estimates for other variables are broadly consistent with similar studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765135 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765135&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: J. Lye Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: A reinterpretation of interactions in regressions Abstract: Regression specifications in applied econometrics frequently employ regressors, which are defined as the product of two other regressors to form an interaction. Unfortunately, the interpretation of the results of these models is not as straight forward as in the linear case. In this article, we present a method for drawing inferences for interaction models by defining the partial influence (PI) function. We present an example that demonstrates how one may draw new inferences by constructing the confidence intervals for the PI functions based on the traditional published findings for regressions with interaction terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701842843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701842843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: A note on the performance of Chinese American Depository Receipts Abstract: In this note, New York Stock Exchange-listed American Depository Receipts (ADRs) from China are examined to determine overall investment performance for the first 3 years of trading. The segmented results show that while Chinese ADRs perform roughly the same as the S&P 500 Index, those trading during the bull market under-performed the market index by over 26% while those trading through the bear market (listed after 1 January 1998) outperformed the S&P 500 by nearly 40%. Furthermore, issues from Hong Kong under-performed the S&P Index by nearly 73% while those issued from other areas of China exceeded the index by over 29%. These results provide evidence that market timing and regional issues affect portfolio returns from Chinese ADRs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701842850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701842850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enchuan Shao Author-X-Name-First: Enchuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Title: Credit rationing and endogenous monetary policy Abstract: The implication of credit rationing models states that the effect of monetary policy on output may be stronger when credit conditions are tight than when they are loose. Therefore, there may be a threshold effect on the relation between real money supply and output. Existing empirical studies on testing threshold effects ignore the fact that the monetary policy which follows optimal rules is endogenous. This article provides a test of threshold effects when monetary policy is endogenous and finds that the US aggregate data cannot provide substantial evidence of a threshold effect on the relation between money and output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-443 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701857858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701857858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:437-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Woojin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Woojin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Kwangwoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwangwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: The informational quality of implied volatility and the volatility risk premium Abstract: This article examines the informational quality of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility using daily S&P 500 and S&P 100 index option prices from 2000 to 2006. In contrast to many previous studies, we find that implied volatility is an unbiased and efficient estimator of future realized volatility. Unlike implied volatility estimates; both historical and conditional volatility estimates using GARCH and EGARCH models possess limited explanatory power. A delta-hedged trading strategy with long positions in calls, however, generates significantly negative profits that imply a misspecification of constant volatility models. These results suggest that implied volatility estimates from constant volatility models contain valuable information, even though the model might be misspecified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-450 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:445-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. A. Park Author-X-Name-First: T. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: L. Lohr Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lohr Title: A Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition for count data models Abstract: Little research has examined the factors influencing differential adoption of organic farming practices by women and men farmers, a sector where women account for a significant and rapidly growing proportion of farmers. Female organic farmers adopt more crop disease management practices than male organic farmers and use a different portfolio of techniques. Results from a count data model are used to decompose observed differences in the adoption of management practices into an endowment effect and a coefficients effect. The analysis indicates that 50% of the adoption differential is due to differences in characteristics of male vs. female farmers with percentage of vegetable acreage a key factor influencing the gap in adoption practices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-455 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964307 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964307&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:451-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Nihat Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Nihat Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Title: Exchange rate exposure and real exports Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between real exports and exchange rate risk for Turkish firms between 2001 and 2003. Different from earlier studies, the analysis is conducted at the firm level with an exchange rate risk specific to the individual firm. Results show that real exports are negatively impacted by an increase in exchange rate risk. In addition, size of the trade volume and the dependence on domestic market for revenue generation are found to be important for the aforementioned relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-462 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:457-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Mirman Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Mirman Author-Name: Rajneesh Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Rajneesh Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Stock market reaction to Olympic Games announcement Abstract: This article analyses stock market reactions in countries competing to hold the Olympic Games around the time of the winning bid announcements, using both regular and abnormal returns. We analyse the announcement effects of winning and losing for both Summer and Winter games, beginning with 1996 games announced in 1990, up until the announcement of the 2012 games in 2006. We find significantly negative stock market reaction for winners of the bid to host Winter Games and insignificant positive reaction for winners of the Summer Games. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Alex Mandilaras Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Mandilaras Title: Revisiting Mrs. Machlup's wardrobe: the accumulation of international reserves, 1992-2001 Abstract: A fature of the late 1990s was the accumulation of International reserves in many countries. Against the background of this phenomenon, in what follows we investigate the following questions: how widely has the tendency to accumulate reserves been seen? Does the incidence of a currency crisis increase the subsequent demand for reserves? Do countries make choices between different combinations of exchange rate regime and reserve holding? Does an arrangement with the IMF encourage countries subsequently to build up reserves more than they otherwise would have done? Do different patterns emerge depending upon the measure of reserves used? In addressing the above questions, we find significant support for the 'Mrs. Machlup's Wardrobe Theory' of international reserves, which purports that irrespective of the amount of reserves countries have accumulated, they continue to add to their stock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-471 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:467-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Laurenceson Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Laurenceson Author-Name: Kam Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Measuring long-run equilibrium exchange rates using standardized products with different specifications Abstract: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is an appealing theory of the determination of long-run equilibrium exchange rates as it is founded on the intuitive proposition that opportunities for arbitrage will not go unexploited. However, in practice, measuring PPP exchange rates is hindered by difficulties in isolating the cost of tradeable inputs in the price of a reference product basket. This article proposes a method that can extract this component using price information embodied in slightly different specifications of otherwise identical, standardized products. The method is illustrated using two well-known information and telecommunication (ICT) products, and could readily be applied to a broader, more representative product basket. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964315 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964315&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ari Van Assche Author-X-Name-First: Ari Van Author-X-Name-Last: Assche Author-Name: Byron Gangnes Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Gangnes Title: Electronics production upgrading: is China exceptional? Abstract: In this article, we make use of a unique world electronics production dataset to assess China's upgrading trajectory in the global electronics industry. Contrary to existing trade studies, we find no evidence that China's electronics production activities are more sophisticated than one would expect from its level of development. We also find little evidence that China is rapidly upgrading into more sophisticated production activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-482 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:477-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Title: The role of R&D spillovers in product and process innovation Abstract: The goal of this article is to assess the effectiveness of innovation activities and technological diffusion in Italy. In particular, we provide an econometric evaluation of the impact of technological efforts on the innovative output. Using a panel of 1203 firms over the period 1998 to 2003, we estimate a bivariate probit, which models the probability of introducing product and process innovations. Results show that the probability of implementing a product or a process innovation is positively correlated with innovative activities and negatively correlated with technological spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-493 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:483-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kuan-Min Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Finance, investment and growth: nonlinear time series evidence from 10 Asian economies Abstract: This article employs financial development as the threshold variable to construct a threshold model and to re-examine the findings in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005) for 10 Asian economies. Our results show that in the high financial development regime, financial development could fuel economic growth, which is consistent with the conclusion in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005); however, there is no evidence shows that financial development could affect investment. In the low financial development regime, financial development has negative influence on investment growth, which is contradictory to the findings in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005); as to the relation between financial development and economic growth, the causality could not be supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-501 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701857841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701857841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:495-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Ormerod Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Ormerod Title: Resilience after localeconomic shocks Abstract: The rapid closure of pits during the 1980s in the UK is an example of an economic shock which is not only specific to a particular industry but also to local economic areas. In 1983, only 29 of the 459 local authority areas in the UK was coal mining more than 10% of total employment. Over the 20-year period 1983-2002, average percentage employment growth in these areas was less than the UK as a whole. But the key feature is the huge diversity across areas, with three showing employment falls of nearly 20% and three exhibiting employment gains of more than 30%. Some areas showed great resilience in the face of a serious shock. Two general factors account for over half the variability of this experience. First, the greater the percentage in coal mining in 1983, the lower was 20-year employment growth. Second, the more militant an area was during the miners' strike of 1984/85, the lower also was employment growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-507 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:503-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Alvarez-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Diaz Author-Name: Alberto Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Title: Forecasting exchange rates using local regression Abstract: In this article we use a generalization of the standard nearest neighbours, called local regression (LR), to study the predictability of the yen/US$ and pound sterling/US$ exchange rates. We also compare our results with those previously obtained with global methods such as neural networks, genetic programming, data fusion and evolutionary neural networks. We want to verify if we can generalize to the exchange rate forecasting problem the belief that local methods beat global ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801987217 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801987217&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:509-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Sisto Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sisto Author-Name: R. Zanola Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Zanola Title: Cinema attendance in Europe Abstract: Although there exists a large body of literature which has empirically investigated the impact of various determinants on cinema attendance, studies that analyse the addictive component of cinema consumption seem to be relatively rare. The aim of this article is to empirically investigate the addictive component of cinema consumption by adopting a cross-country focus. To this aim, the Becker and Murphy's rational addiction model has been tested using a pooled cross-section and time-series data on 12 European countries over the period 1989 to 2004. Results provide evidence that cinema consumption seems to conform to a rational addiction hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-517 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:515-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Robust vs. classical principalcomponent analysis in the presence of outliers Abstract: Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very versatile technique for dimension reduction in multivariate data. Classical PCA is very sensitive to outliers and can lead to misleading conclusions in the presence of outliers. This article studies the merits of robust PCA relative to classical PCA when outliers are present. An algorithm due to Filzmoser et al. (2006) based on a modification of the projection pursuit algorithm of Croux and Ruiz-Gazen (2005) is used for robust PCA computations for a financial data set as well as simulated data sets. Our simulation results indicate that robust PCA generally leads to greater reduction in model dimension than classical PCA in data sets with outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-523 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:519-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Massomeh Hajilee Author-X-Name-First: Massomeh Author-X-Name-Last: Hajilee Title: On the relation between currency depreciation and wages Abstract: Devaluation is said to redistribute income from the poor, who have a high Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) to the rich, who have a low MPC. Assuming the high MPC group to be unskilled labour and the low MPC group to be skilled labour, we investigate the impact of currency depreciation on skilled and unskilled wage rates by drawing data from 18 countries. While in most countries we found short-run effects, the long-run effects of devaluation on both wage rates were limited to a few countries. Indeed in these countries, devaluation raised the skilled labour wages and reduced unskilled labour wages in the long run as theory dictates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-530 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112278 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112278&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:525-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: M. Melinda Pitts Author-X-Name-First: M. Melinda Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Title: The demand side of the penalty for intermittent labour market behaviour Abstract: The purpose of this article is to determine whether there is any empirical evidence for the contribution of employer, or demand-side, determinants of the labour market intermittency penalty. The documented negative relationship between the size of the penalty and the labour market strength is interpreted as evidence that labour market intermittency is viewed as an undesirable characteristic that employers penalize more severely when the labour market is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-535 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167181 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167181&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:531-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jose Castillo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo Author-Name: Pilar Useche Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Useche Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Missing agricultural price data: an application of mixed estimation Abstract: This article shows the convenience of combining the Country-Product- Dummy (CPD) model and the Theil-Goldberger (TG) mixed estimator to obtain better estimates of missing prices than those obtained by marginal mean imputation. We use the TG estimator to combine aggregate price data for regions of Ecuador with producer-level data (the sample data) to fill-in the missing price observations. Our results show better price estimates for predicting missing data than estimates obtained from using the CPD model on the sample data only. Through this approach, missing data can be replaced with economically meaningful data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-541 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:537-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niclas Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Author-Name: Mikael Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Good times are drinking times: empirical evidence on business cycles and alcohol sales in Sweden 1861-2000 Abstract: This article studies the relationship between the business cycle and alcohol sales in Sweden using a data set for the years 1861-2000. Using wavelet-based band-pass filtering, it is found that there is a pro-cyclical relationship, i.e. alcohol sales increases in short-term economic upturns. Using moving window techniques, we see that the pro-cyclical relationship holds over the entire time period. We also find that alcohol sales are a long-memory process with nonstationary behaviour, i.e. a shock in alcohol sales has persistent effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-546 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:543-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Teacher salaries and student achievement: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: In this article, we developed an empirical model and tested the hypothesis that teacher salaries and student achievement are positively and significantly related. A total of 500 school districts in the state of Pennsylvania for 3 school years (1999-2000, 2000-2001 and 2001-2002) were selected for a case study. Consequently, the empirical evidence revealed that the hypothesis was accepted, implying that higher teacher salaries attract better qualified teachers and thus benefits student learning and improves student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-550 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167223 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167223&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:547-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayse Evrensel Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Evrensel Title: Institutional and economic determinants of corruption: a cross-section analysis Abstract: In recent years, corruption and possible anti-corruption measures have been extensively discussed at the national, international and multilateral levels. This article provides an empirical analysis of corruption by viewing corruption as an evolutionary process. It assumes that the institutional set-up of the country such as the characteristics of the political and judicial system determines the extent of corruption. The empirical results confirm that countries with totalitarian political regimes, ineffective judicial systems and lower levels of education as well as slower economic growth and higher inflation rates tend to have higher levels of corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Edith Bissey Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Edith Author-X-Name-Last: Bissey Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Stefania Ottone Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Ottone Title: Jekyll and Hyde Abstract: Jekyll and Hyde were in fact two people inside the same person - an obviously dynamically-inconsistent person. In the book and in the movie, the dynamic inconsistency was resolved in a rather dramatic way. We investigate its resolution in the laboratory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802260853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802260853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silke Anger Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Anger Author-Name: Michael Kvasnicka Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kvasnicka Title: Does smoking really harm your earnings so much? Biases in current estimates of the smoking wage penalty Abstract: Empirical studies on the earnings effects of tobacco use have found significant wage penalties attached to smoking. This article produces evidence that suggests that these estimates are significantly upward biased. The bias arises from a general failure in the literature to control for past smoking behaviour of individuals. Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) regressions show that the smoking wage penalty is reduced by as much as a third, if past smoking of individuals is controlled for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-564 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802260846 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802260846&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:561-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razvan Pascalau Author-X-Name-First: Razvan Author-X-Name-Last: Pascalau Title: Unit root tests with smooth breaks: an application to the Nelson-Plosser data set Abstract: This article reconsiders the nature of the trends (i.e. deterministic or stochastic) of the Nelson-Plosser macroeconomic time series. For this purpose, the article employs two new tests that display robustness to structural breaks of unknown forms, irrespective of the date and/or location of the breaks. These tests approximate structural changes as smooth processes via flexible Fourier transforms. In general, it appears that real variables are stationary while nominal ones have a unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-570 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:565-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Naude Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Naude Title: Does sexual strategies theory help explain high violent crime in South Africa? Abstract: In sexual strategies theory (SST), risky behaviour such as crime is the outcome of males' sexual reproduction strategies. Using panel data from South Africa, one of the countries with the highest crime rates in the world, a random-effects GLS regression finds support for the SST as an explanation for violent crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-574 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802064586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802064586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:571-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Analysis of movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate: comparison of four major models Abstract: Four different models are considered in examining the movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate. Based on the value of R2, the uncovered interest parity model performs best, followed by the purchasing power parity model, the monetary model, and the Mundell-Fleming model. The opposite signs of the relative interest rate in the uncovered interest parity model and the monetary model and the insignificant coefficient of the domestic interest rate in the Mundell-Fleming model suggest that more study is needed to examine the behaviour of exchange rate fluctuations for the Australian dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802047003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802047003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dustin Chambers Author-X-Name-First: Dustin Author-X-Name-Last: Chambers Title: Does a rising tide raise all ships? The impact of growth on inequality Abstract: Using semiparametric methods and an up-to-date panel dataset on income inequality, the impact of past economic growth on current inequality is examined in a group of nations with widely differing initial incomes. Regardless of a nation's initial development, past economic growth stimulates inequality over short and medium-run periods. However, in the long-run, inequality in developed and developing nations reacts differently to comparable rates of economic growth. Specifically, inequality declines with growth in developing nations, while rising with growth in developed nations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-586 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:581-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Marital status and unobserved heterogeneity: Do twins suggest a genetic inheritance? Abstract: The purpose of this study is to measure the importance of the background for marital status. The role of unobserved circumstances, including the genes, is of particular interest. Unobserved heterogeneity is, as expected, found to be important for marital status. The results for monozygotic (identical) and dizygotic (fraternal) twins indicate an important genetic component in marital status. The genetic inheritance of marital status is found to be particularly strong for females. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802077992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802077992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Binner Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Author-Name: Thomas Elger Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Elger Author-Name: Barry Jones Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Birger Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Birger Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Inflation forecasting, relative price variability and skewness Abstract: This article presents out-of-sample inflation forecasting results based on relative price variability and skewness. It is demonstrated that forecasts on long horizons of 1.5-2 years are significantly improved if the forecast equation is augmented with skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Nonlinear adjustment of short-term deviations impacts on the US real estate market Abstract: This study examines whether nonlinear adjustment of short-term deviations impacts US real estate market returns by applying an exponential smooth transition threshold error-correction model with Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (ESTECM-GARCH). Empirical results demonstrate that the ESTECM-GARCH captures the dynamics of returns more effectively than the Error-Correction Model (ECM) and Exponential Smooth Transition Error-Correction Model (ESTECM). Consequently, the nonlinear behaviour of returns is driven by momentum noise traders and heterogeneous arbitrageurs in Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-603 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:597-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: Samuel Mulenga Bwalya Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Mulenga Author-X-Name-Last: Bwalya Title: Foreign direct investment and technology spillovers in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an effective conduit for technology transfer through technology spillovers to domestically owned firms in the host country. This study analyses the significance of productivity externalities of FDI to local firms, in terms of both intra-industry and inter-industry spillovers, using firm-level data from Kenya, Tanzania and Zimbabwe. The results show evidences in support of intra- and inter-industry productivity spillovers from FDI for Kenya and Zimbabwe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167173 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167173&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: How homogeneous are balance of payments movements? Abstract: The article conducts panel data Granger causality tests for current and financial accounts in 53 countries over the period of 1970Q1 to 2007Q3. We found that there is no homogeneity within the same income groups of economies unlike the previous studies. It implies that push and pull factors of capital mobility are independent of income levels of economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Assaf  Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf  Author-Name: K. M. Matawie Author-X-Name-First: K. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matawie Title: A bootstrapped metafrontier model Abstract: The major aim of this article is to apply the bootstrapping methodology to the estimation of the metafrotnier model. The article has two parts. The first part deals with the technical details of the metafrontier model, and the second presents the application of the model using cross-sectional input/output data on health care foodservice operations. The results obtained by bootstrapping the metafrontier model are presented and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802232613 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802232613&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:613-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Suk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Public's willingness to pay for preventing climate change Abstract: In order to develop the proper policies for preventing climate change, it is necessary to know the public preference for preventing climate change. This study attempts to analyse public Willingness To Pay (WTP) for preventing climate change by applying a Contingent Valuation (CV) method. The estimated mean WTP per household per month in Seoul, Korea, is about 3326 Korean won (approximately GBP 1.60). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802277113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802277113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roisin O'Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Roisin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Sullivan Author-Name: Ayse Ozsoz Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Ozsoz Title: Foreign bank presence in emerging markets: help or hindrance to banking system stability? Abstract: With financial liberalization during the 1990s, there was a marked increase in the involvement of foreign banks in emerging market economies. This study uses data from 32 emerging markets for the period 1999 to 2005 to investigate whether the presence of foreign banks promotes or hurts the stability of the banking systems in these economies. We find consistently that a greater presence of foreign banks does not harm banking system stability and, under some definitions, is associated with a statistically significant fall in the probability of a banking crisis. This result is robust across different ways of distinguishing foreign from domestic banks, thus providing useful information to policy makers and banking regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: DEA efficiency analysis involving multiple production processes Abstract: This article addresses Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) efficiency analysis in organizations with multiple production processes. It shows how to measure the impact on an organization's overall efficiency of (a) inefficient and superefficient subunits and (b) the efficiency with which input resources are allocated to the subunits. It introduces a simple model for efficiently allocating inputs among subunits and applies the entire analytical process to a large urban transit agency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-632 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:627-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Church Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Church Author-Name: Han Donker Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Donker Title: Profit warnings: will openness be rewarded? Abstract: We investigate the information content of profit warnings released by firms on the abnormal returns for a sample of 149 firms listed on the Euronext Amsterdam in 2000-2002. We propose that firms can diminish the negative influence of profit warnings on shareholder's returns by releasing detailed information, thereby reducing the information asymmetry between shareholders and management. We find empirical evidence that a greater degree of disclosure has a significantly positive impact on the abnormal returns of firms with multiple successive profit warnings. We argue that negative abnormal returns will occur with firms which provide external reasons in their press releases indicating that the causes of the current situation are a market-wide phenomenon and beyond their scope. We report a negative - but not significant - impact of information regarding external reasons on the abnormal returns to shareholders of firms with profit warnings. Our research findings offer valuable insights into the practical implications of the information content of profit warnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-637 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:633-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Title: The determinants of health care expenditure in Australia Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine the long-run relationship and short-run dynamics of the health care expenditure in Australia during the period 1960-2003. Consistent with the conventional findings, the income elasticity for health care is found to be greater than one, suggesting that health care is a luxury good in Australia. Demographic structure is found to exert a significant positive impact on health care expenditure. An increase in the accessibility to health care services is associated with higher per capita real health care expenditure. Finally, public funding of health care appears to have a contributory effect on the formation of health care expenditure in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802297868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840802297868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judith Stallmann Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Stallmann Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Title: Impacts of local and state tax and expenditure limits on economic growth Abstract: We focus on the impact of statutory and constitutional Tax and Expenditure Limits (TELs) on growth levels and rates of convergence. Using a panel of US state data from 1987 to 2004, we report a family of neoclassical growth models. Using simple dummy variables to identify states with and without strict TELs, we find that local property tax levy limits do not significantly influence income growth and convergence rates. Results for state revenue and expenditure limits suggest that more recent limits may have negatively affected income growth and slowed convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: US rural land value bubbles Abstract: Real estate bubbles have attracted much attention in the research literature following substantial growth in prices. Given the recent subprime mortgage crisis, this article is concerned with the related problem of possible bubbles in rural land values, given that at the margin urban real estate exerts pressure on rural land markets. Land is the most important financial asset for the agricultural economy, and income risk caused by farmland price volatility creates economic hardship for rural communities. Farmland valuation remains to a large extent a puzzle as it is only partially explained by fundamentals including inflation. This article tests the hypothesis of a price bubble in the real option value to future land development using land value data for all 48 contiguous US states and finds strong evidence that a short-run bubble has been active in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:649-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: In search of a critical value for the real crude oil price for the United States Abstract: Applying the GARCH(1,1) model, this article finds that a higher real oil price may have a positive or negative impact on the US real output and that the critical value of the real oil price for output maximization is estimated to be $50.09 per barrel. Hence, real crude oil prices of $54.90 in 2006 and $59.07 in 2007 are expected to affect real output negatively. In addition, more deficit spending, real depreciation, a higher real stock price and a lower expected inflation rate would cause real output to rise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaughan Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Cost pass-through elasticities, concentration and productivity growth Abstract: Cost pass-through elasticities measure the percentage decrease in prices from a percentage cost reduction. For given cost reductions, lower elasticities harm consumers through a lower pass-through to prices. But these same lower elasticities may increase cost-reducing innovation by firms and thereby help consumers by leading to lower prices. To explore this trade-off, pass-through elasticities are first estimated for 253 US manufacturing industries. After this, two second-stage regressions that use the estimated elasticities are introduced. The first regression finds that higher seller concentration leads to lower pass-through elasticities, whereas the second finds that the lower pass-through elasticities, which accompany higher concentration, lead to higher average annual productivity growth. This means there is a trade-off, and lower elasticities can benefit consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-666 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:663-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linus Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Fixed cost efficiency with infinitesimal competitors Abstract: Suppose that infinitesimal firms have identical variable costs, but there is heterogeneity in their fixed costs. Regardless of the ordering of entry and exit, fixed costs will be minimized for a given industry size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-671 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:667-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Author-Name: Kazuta Sakamoto Author-X-Name-First: Kazuta Author-X-Name-Last: Sakamoto Title: Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example Abstract: Forecasts for the current year that are made sometime during the current year are not true annual forecasts because they include already known information for the early part of the year. The current methodology that evaluates these 'forecasts' does not take into account the known information. This article presents a methodology for calculating an implicit forecast for the latter part of a year conditional on the known information. We then apply the procedure to Japanese forecasts for 1988-2003 and analyse some of the characteristics of those predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bjorn Thor Arnarson Author-X-Name-First: Bjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Thor Arnarson Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: The Paternity Leave Act in Iceland: implications for gender equality in the labour market Abstract: The Icelandic Act on Maternity/Paternity and Parental Leave (2000) introduced some major changes. The leave was extended from 6 to 9 months, and parents who were active in the labour market were paid 80% of their average salaries during the leave. The 9 months' leave was distributed so that mothers could take 3 months' leave, fathers could take 3 months' leave and the remaining 3 months could be shared by the mother or father in any manner that the parents saw fit. Using information and data from the Althingi and Statice, this article discusses the new legislation and the implications of such a policy in reducing gender inequality in the Icelandic labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-680 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:677-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoa Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hoa Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Does the type of derivative instrument used by companies impact firm value? Abstract: We explore the relationship between the type of derivative instrument used and firm value, in a sample of Australian firms. Specifically, we examine the impact of the corporate use of swaps, futures, forwards and options, and the extent of such usage, on firm value. Our findings suggest that a 'discount' is most severely imposed on users of swaps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-683 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:681-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Lartey Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Lartey Title: A note on the effect of financial development on economic growth Abstract: A common result from the literature has been a positive monotonic effect of financial development on growth. This article presents an empirical investigation of the financial development-economic growth relationship by estimating a variant model to those in Levine et al. (2000) while allowing for the coefficient on the financial development index to vary by the level of financial development. Using dynamic panel techniques, coefficient estimates suggest that the exogenous component of financial development has a positive effect on economic growth and does not vary with the level of financial development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297897 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297897&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:685-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randy Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Author-Name: Patrick Rutherford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Rutherford Title: The impact of early DVD release on box office revenues Abstract: In recent years, film studios have accelerated the release of films on DVDs, prompting theatre owners to express concerns about the possible negative impact of the early release of DVDs on a film's box office revenues. This study examines the impact of releasing a film on DVD before the film ends its theatrical run. Based on a sample of the top 50 grossing films in the USA over the period 2001 to 2005, our results indicate that roughly a quarter of the films appear on DVD before exiting the theatres, and that studios release these films on DVD after they have been in the theatres for an average of 20 weeks. By delaying the DVD release until the twentieth week, studios minimize the impact on box office revenues, as the average films take in 95% of its total box office growth by the seventh week in distribution. Regression results indicate that an early DVD release reduces box office revenues by 46%, or $303 989, which represents an average of 0.21% of a film's total box office revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:689-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaskara Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Do we need time series econometrics? Abstract: It is argued that whether the need for unit roots and cointegration-based econometric methods is a methodological issue. An alternative is the econometrics of the London School of Economics (LSE) and Hendry approach based on the simpler classical methods of estimation. This is known as the general to specific method (GETS). Like all other methodological issues this is also difficult to resolve, but we think that GETS is very useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:695-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silke Anger Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Anger Author-Name: Guido Heineck Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Heineck Title: Cognitive abilities and earnings - first evidence for Germany Abstract: We provide first evidence on the relationship between cognitive abilities and earnings in Germany using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) Study. The estimates suggest that mechanics abilities are positively related to wages of West German workers, even when educational attainment is controlled for. Pragmatics of cognition are not related to earnings. In line with studies for other countries, we find that ability and education are inseparable determinants of earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-702 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:699-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Paul Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Gius Title: An analysis of the 2006 congressional elections: does campaign spending matter? Abstract: The results of research on the effects of political campaign expenditures on congressional elections are somewhat mixed although most suggest that incumbent campaign spending has a minimal to no statistically significant effect on election outcomes, whereas challenger spending has a rather significant effect. This study differs from the prior research by including as an explanatory variable the percentage of registered voters who have the same party affiliation as the candidate. Results suggest that spending by both the incumbent and the challenger have significant effects on the percentage of votes obtained, while the percentage of own party affiliation has a positive, but minimal, effect. Finally, it was found that incumbents possess a 24-point advantage over their challengers; this result may partially explain why incumbents are re-elected over 90% of the time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-706 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802298002 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802298002&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:703-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Gibrat's law for counties in medieval England: an empirical study Abstract: The article investigates a distributional implication of Gibrat's Law (GL) in the context of English counties in the eleventh century, taking as reference population data from the Domesday Book. Tests for the log-normality of the size distribution (including specific assessments of the skewness and kurtosis) provided evidence that favours the prevalence of GL. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olumuyiwa Adedeji Author-X-Name-First: Olumuyiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Adedeji Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Fiscal sustainability in a panel of Asian countries Abstract: Panel cointegration techniques indicate that government revenue (REV) and expenditure (EXP) in a panel of five Asian economies for the period 1974 to 2001 were nonstationary and cointegrated series. However, the cointegration coefficient was significantly less than unity, indicating 'weak' fiscal sustainability and the likelihood that policy measures would be needed to put the public finances on a more sustainable basis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Stamatopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Stamatopoulos Author-Name: Harilaos Harissis Author-X-Name-First: Harilaos Author-X-Name-Last: Harissis Title: Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate disconnect and exchange rate regimes Abstract: This article investigates the degree of Exchange Rate Pass-Through (ERPT) into import prices for the Hellenic economy, during its post-Bretton Woods and pre-European Monetary Union (pre-EMU) era 1975-1998. Using multivariate cointegration techniques, we provide empirical evidence for complete long-run and incomplete short-run ERPT coefficients. The pattern of trade, which reflects the production pattern as well as intervention policies, appearing from the country's course towards EMU, justifies these estimations. Complete ERPT and estimated disconnection of the exchange rate of the Hellenic Drachmae from the real industrial production may be accepted as an argument in favour of joining the euro, within a single criterion of Optimum Currency Areas' theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Santiago Lago-Penas Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Lago-Penas Title: The determinants of health care expenditure: a reexamination Abstract: In this article, the determinants of health care expenditure per capita in Spanish regions are analysed. The coexistence of several models concerning the degree of spending power decentralization and financing systems makes Spain a singular case and allows us to draw conclusions relevant for other countries decentralizing their health care systems. Analysing the Spanish case also serves to show a number of pitfalls affecting econometric estimation of the effects of income and demographic structure on health expenditure. Because the reliability of parameter estimates is a key issue in the literature on the determinants of health expenditure, these potential problems should be taken into account when estimating and interpreting results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Craig Dunphey Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Dunphey Title: On the Athey-Levin model of skewed bidding Abstract: Using data from 39 first-price, sealed-bid auctions from three Wisconsin State forests, we examine the fragility of the sealed-bid auction portion of Athey and Levin's (2001) study of skewed bidding behaviour in US forest service auctions. The results of our analysis compare favourably with their results, suggesting that their model is robust across data sets similar to, but distinct from, the data used in their study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-732 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802375487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802375487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:727-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Government size and the stability of output: evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: Fatas and Mihov (2001a, b) reported a negative and statistically significant relation between government size and output variability in a cross-section of 20 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and concluded that large governments stabilize output. This conclusion does not appear to be valid for Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). Results from cross-section and combined cross-section and time series regressions for a sample of 21 EMEs for the period 1970 to 2001 indicate that the relation between government size and output volatility is statistically significant and positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802464117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802464117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Who chooses to adopt fiscal responsibility laws? Evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: In recent years, at least 10 emerging market economies have sought to anchor their fiscal frameworks in fiscal responsibility laws. Key factors in the decision appear to include a prior improvement in fiscal discipline, particularly in the context of a federal fiscal system, substantial ethnic fractionalization and vulnerability to adverse shocks, such as real exchange rate volatility and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Financial development and economic growth: a panel approach Abstract: This article examines the finance-growth nexus for a panel of less developed countries using panel cointegration methods. The financial development elasticity of gross domestic product is 0.46, and this varies little between broad income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Alison Davis Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Desert recreation: economic values of management and service strategies Abstract: This study focuses on the management of a desert area. It utilizes survey data to assess visitors' preferences and values for several management strategies designed to alleviate conflicts in this region. The implications may help to understand management issues in other similar environments. The results show distinctive differences between how these management strategies may be valued by the resource users, depending on the intended goals of the strategies. A key conclusion is that the best management strategy is interrelated with the characteristics of the resource users. A heterogeneous analysis and diversified policy may achieve better management goals and social welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359911 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359911&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Karen Wong Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: A note on the intraday and intraweek patterns in premiums of exchange-traded funds: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, the first launched exchange-traded fund in Asia except Japan, aims to track the performance of the Hang Seng Index. This article examines the fund's characteristic via investigating the intraday and intraweek patterns of the fund's premiums. Empirical results suggest that no such patterns exist on the mean premium. However, a weak intraweek pattern is found for the volatility of premium and the number of transactions. Furthermore, for all measures except the mean premium, we find that a significant intraday pattern with a double-U shape or a W-shape exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-760 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:753-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Andraz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Andraz Author-Name: Paulo Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Events that marked tourism in Portugal Abstract: This article uses outlier detection procedures to investigate events that may have had a pronounced effect on tourism in Portugal. Interestingly, we confirm the evidence that the effects on tourism are lagged in time. As a result, expected business volumes are only attained later than originally anticipated and arising difficulties affect tourism leading to possible destination rerouting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-766 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314445 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314445&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:761-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong-Hoon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Dayton Lambert Author-X-Name-First: Dayton Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Author-Name: Zhuo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Geographically weighted regression bandwidth selection and spatial autocorrelation: an empirical example using Chinese agriculture data Abstract: This research note examined the performance of Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) using two calibration methods. The first method, Cross Validation (CV), has been commonly used in the applied literature using GWR. A second criterion selected an optimal bandwidth that corresponded with the smallest spatial error Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test statistic. We find that there is a tradeoff between addressing spatial autocorrelation and reducing degree of extreme coefficients in GWR. Although spatial autocorrelation can be controlled for by using the LM criterion, a substantial degree of extreme coefficients may remain. However, while the CV approach appears to be less prone to producing extreme coefficients, it may not always attend to the problems that arise in the presence of spatial error autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-772 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:767-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: De-Chih Liu Author-X-Name-First: De-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Monetary policy and the asymmetric job creation and destruction behaviour Abstract: This article explores whether monetary policy can account for the asymmetric job creation and job destruction behaviour in the Taiwanese manufacturing and service sectors during the period 1987 to 2003. This article finds evidence for positive steepness in the job destruction rate in the manufacturing sector and negative steepness in the job creation rate in the service sector. This article also finds that the monetary policy (discount rate) can help to explain the asymmetric job creation and job destruction behaviour. Importantly, this article finds that monetary policy stimulated job flow behaviour to a better regime. This evidence suggests that monetary policy may be an efficient instrument in stimulating the labour market in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-780 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359903 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359903&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:773-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Author-Name: Ilhan Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Ilhan Author-X-Name-Last: Ozturk Title: Sustainability of current account for Latin America and Caribbean countries Abstract: This article examines sustainability of current account for Colombia, Peru, Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina. Using the usual intertemporal borrowing constraint, we have tested for a long-run relationship between exports and imports plus net transfer payments and net interest payments. In our empirical analysis of the sustainability of current account, cointegration approaches have been used. Empirical results suggest that in the case of Peru, there exists a unique long run or equilibrium relationship among real exports and imports. In the case of Colombia, Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina, cointegration results suggest that these countries' current accounts are not sustainable in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359937 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359937&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Mancuso Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Mancuso Author-Name: Cassandra Dirienzo Author-X-Name-First: Cassandra Author-X-Name-Last: Dirienzo Author-Name: Jayoti Das Author-X-Name-First: Jayoti Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Assessing terrorist risk and FDI using relative information measures Abstract: Recent research has explored the determinants of terrorism and the impact that terrorist activity has on a country. However, to date, no research has examined what specific aspect of terrorist risk most significantly impacts a country's ability to operate in the global market. Using the five sub-indices of the World Market Research Center's Global Terrorism Index, this study explores how the different dimensions of terrorist risk impact the inflow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) using a Shannon information measure of relationship. The results of this research suggest that a country's proven ability to prevent terrorist activity has the most significant impact on investment decisions in regard to FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802375479 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802375479&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadullah Celik Author-X-Name-First: Sadullah Author-X-Name-Last: Celik Author-Name: Huseyin Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Real exchange rates and bilateral trade dynamics of Turkey: panel cointegration approach Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse Turkey's bilateral trade dynamics with respect to a panel of seven countries. Employing several panel cointegration techniques, we show that the effect of a devaluation of Turkish currency on trade balance is country specific and there is no J-curve effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802388993 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802388993&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinear mean reversion in real exchange rates: threshold autoregressive models and stochastic unit root processes Abstract: Threshold-type nonlinear relations are pretty popular in modelling the deviations from purchasing power parity. This article shows that there is a close relation between the nonlinear band Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) models studied by Obstfeld and Taylor (1997) and Stochastic Unit Root (STUR) processes discussed by Granger and Swanson (1997) and McCabe and Tremayne (1995). Employing the real exchange rates from four major countries against the US dollar, this article finds little evidence for TAR but some support for STUR during the post-Bretton Woods sample periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-804 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802403610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802403610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:797-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Leeds Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Leeds Title: Is bad news always bad? The impact of Floyd Landis's rise and fall on Phonak Abstract: In the space of one week, cyclist Floyd Landis went from hero to villain when his remarkable comeback to win the 2006 Tour de France was nullified by a positive drug test. I use event study techniques to analyse the impact of Landis's rise and fall on the profitability of Phonak, his team's sponsor. I find that neither his spectacular win nor his rapid fall had an immediate impact on Phonak but that there was a significant cumulative abnormal return to Phonak stock in the wake of these events. I conclude that Phonak benefited from both the good and bad news about Landis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802464109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802464109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hart Hodges Author-X-Name-First: Hart Author-X-Name-Last: Hodges Author-Name: Stein Østbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Østbye Title: Is small firm gardening good for local economic growth? Abstract: Based on panel data for the manufacturing and retail industries in a sample of 2645 US counties spanning the last two decades of the twentieth century, we find that firm size matters for industry growth. Contrary to previous research, our results suggest that there is a positive linkage between the average size of manufacturing and retail firms on the one hand and industry growth on the other. Our results are consistent with a Schumpeterian growth model, where bigger firms are needed to carry out effective Research and Development, leading to higher growth. The results, therefore, do not support the idea of small firm gardening as a local development strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802481780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802481780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Mei-Lan Lo Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Hsiao-Yuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: On the currency effect to home bias puzzle Abstract: We propose an international asset allocation model to investigate whether home currency concern has impacts on home bias puzzle. Domestic investors choosing their international portfolios depend on home currency premium and thus will behave in home bias scenarios. Besides, the optimal portfolio suggests that it is isolated with nontradable and tradable consumptions. After employing the market-clearing condition, we price the equilibrium exchange rate and it tells that Interest Rate Parity (IRP) has more potential influence than Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) on exchange rate pricing in our model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-822 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481839 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481839&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:815-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Does nonlinearity help resolve the Fisher effect puzzle? Abstract: Even though there is little evidence for linear cointegration, Christopoulos and Leon-Ledesma (2007) recently have found nonlinear cointegrating relations between the US quarterly nominal interest rate and CPI inflation rate. Through Monte Carlo simulations, they also show that the nonlinear relations are responsible for the 'Fisher effect puzzle' of less than a proportional coefficient of inflation in the linear Fisher relation. We provide, in this study, an explanation of their simulation results on the Fisher effect puzzle and further examine if nonlinear relations really help resolving the puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802481772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802481772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Nonparallel demand increases in an asymmetric Cournot oligopoly Abstract: We examine equilibrium responses of a Cournot oligopoly to two typical types of nonparallel demand increases. The results based on a linear demand curve show that in terms of profits, increases in demand that result in a more elastic demand curve are beneficial to every firm, with large firms benefiting disproportionately. In sharp contrast, only certain small firms benefit from demand increases that result in a more inelastic demand. Our results have implications in marketing and government policy making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-833 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:829-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns? Abstract: We demonstrate for the first time the existence of a lunar cycle on precious metal returns. This appears to be more pronounced in silver than gold, with very little evidence for an effect in platinum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-838 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802516188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802516188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:835-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Miguel St. Aubyn Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: St. Aubyn Title: Public and private investment rates of return: evidence for industrialized countries Abstract: We compute the macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment implicit in a VAR for 14 European Union countries, Canada, Japan and the United States. Results point mostly to positive effects of public and private investment on output, whereas public investment crowds out private investment in a significant number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-843 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599425 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599425&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:839-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Lofgren Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofgren Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Attitudes towards CO2 taxation - is there an Al Gore effect? Abstract: Fuel taxes are one of the most powerful climate policies. Yet, these taxes have not been given very much attention in the global debate regarding climate policy, compared with other instruments, such as tradable emission permits. This article shows, however, that the immense media coverage during fall 2006 significantly affected people's attitudes towards the CO2 tax on gasoline. We conducted a survey where we asked for people's opinions about the CO2 tax in September and in December 2006, i.e. before and after the release of Al Gore's 'An Inconvenient Truth' and the Stern Review. We found that the attitude towards the level of the CO2 tax was significantly changed after these events; people became much more positive towards the tax. This signals that using the CO2 tax as an important climate policy becomes more politically feasible and legitimate when more attention is drawn to climate change problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-848 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:845-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alice Melkumian Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Melkumian Title: The cost of a short-selling constraint - welfare implications for investors under uncertainty Abstract: In this article, I analyse investors' welfare losses from being restricted from short-selling. To measure those losses, I use the concept of the proportionate opportunity cost along with various Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility functions. Two sets of asset returns are used with a Vector Autoregressive process for generating joint returns distributions: the original historical asset returns data set and the historical asset returns with extreme values exaggerated. In each case, 1000 alternative sets of assets, including one with a risk-free nominal return, are randomly made available for investment. I show that the optimal portfolio strategy with the short-selling constraint performs almost as well as the unconstrained portfolio strategy for investors with medium and high levels of risk aversion. The results, derived from the original historical asset returns data set, show that investors' welfare losses reach 12.8% of initial wealth when risk aversion is low and reach 13.5% of initial wealth with extreme returns exaggerated. The results in both cases indicate that less risk-averse investors experience greater welfare losses and that the short-selling constraint reduces the cost of sub-optimal diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-860 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:849-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian David Dick Author-X-Name-First: Christian David Author-X-Name-Last: Dick Author-Name: Qingwei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The economic impact of the Olympic Games: evidence from stock markets Abstract: By means of an event study of stock market reactions to the announcement of the Olympic Games host cities, we find a significant and positive announcement effect of hosting the Summer Games, with a cumulative abnormal return of about 2% within a few days. Yet, we find no significant results for the Winter Games and for losers. Our results differ from those of Mirman and Sharma (2008), who found that the Winter Games have a significantly negative announcement impact, whereas there is no effect for the Summer Games. Our results rely on a larger sample of 15 Olympic events and are obtained by assessing the abnormal returns after the announcement against a 'business-as-usual' situation (instead of testing the difference between winners and losers). Our findings are in line with economic intuition: the Summer Games represent a larger event and are thus more likely to make a significant impact. We also find that among the winners, small economies tend to exhibit greater cumulative abnormal returns than their larger peers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 861-864 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:861-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: The sources of volatility transmission in the Euro area money market: from longer maturities to the overnight? Abstract: This article investigates the transmission of volatility from longer maturities to the overnight segment of the Euro area money market. I use nonparametric estimates of the daily variance of swap rates to test for block exogeneity with respect to the overnight. The results suggest that there exists transmission of volatility shocks from the 1-year swap rate to the overnight market. The reform of the operational framework of March 2004 has improved the segmentation of the market, as it has insulated the overnight segment from volatility spillovers stemming from swap rates of up to 6 months of maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-868 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802498809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802498809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:865-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Soderlind Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Soderlind Title: Predicting stock price movements: regressions versus economists Abstract: The forecasting performance of the Livingston survey and traditional prediction models of stock prices is analysed. The survey forecasts look similar to those from a 'too large' prediction model: poor out-of-sample performance and too sensitive to recent and irrelevant information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-874 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802584871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802584871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:869-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Syuichi Nagata Author-X-Name-First: Syuichi Author-X-Name-Last: Nagata Author-Name: Yuzo Honda Author-X-Name-First: Yuzo Author-X-Name-Last: Honda Title: A comparison of two alternative composite leading indicators for detecting Japanese business cycle turning points Abstract: The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has developed a system of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs) for its member countries. On the other hand, the Japanese government has released another CLI for detecting the Japanese business cycle turning points. Both CLIs are widely used alternatives. These two CLIs may provide different business forecasts. When different forecasts occur, how can we interpret the discrepancies? This article tries to answer this question by clarifying their relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-879 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802570384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802570384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:875-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Fei Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: A note on applying option pricing theory to emerging mortgage and mortgage-backed securities markets Abstract: Option-based models have been the dominant paradigm for researches on the risks and pricing of mortgages and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) in the USA. However, the adaptability and flexibility of option-based models in the emerging mortgage markets has been obviously neglected. This study provides the first analysis of the potential strengths and weaknesses of application of the option pricing theory to emerging markets with referring to both theoretical and empirical literatures. This study finds that the mortgage type, the attitude of mortgagees to risk and the institutional features are the key determinants of success of application of the option pricing theory to emerging mortgage and MBS markets. The option pricing literature in finance has been extended to study the risks and pricing of mortgages and MBS in the USA over the last three decades. However, given the robust and rapid growth of emerging mortgage and mortgage-related capital markets, there is surprisingly little known about to what extent the option pricing theory can be applied to the emerging mortgage and MBS markets in the global arena. The purpose of this study is to fill this gap by analysing the potential strengths and weaknesses of application of the option pricing models to emerging markets with specifically referring to both theoretical and empirical literatures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802552332 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802552332&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Iniguez-Montiel Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Iniguez-Montiel Title: Government expenditure and national income in Mexico: Keynes versus Wagner Abstract: This article examines the relationship between government expenditure and national income in Mexico by testing the validity of Wagner's law and Keynes's hypothesis for the period between 1950 and 1999. More specifically, by applying time-series analysis, government-spending and national-income variables were found to be nonstationary and cointegrated, thus satisfying a long-run equilibrium condition. In addition, through the application of Granger causality tests to error-correction models, unidirectional causality, running from Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to government-expenditure variables, could be established between the variables and, therefore, only Wagner's law was found to be valid in Mexico's case for the period of study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-893 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599433 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599433&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:887-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Spencer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Spencer Title: Loyalty, protocol, bargainer characteristics, and rationality in an experimental investigation of bilateral bargaining in dyads Abstract: This article analyses data from a bargaining experiment where dyads (i.e. two players) bargain over the chances (in terms of lottery tickets) to win a shrinking monetary reward. The analysis models both time-independent and time-dependent measures of rationality, which are derived from the negotiated distribution of lottery tickets, as a function of bargainers' stated loyalty, individual characteristics, and bargaining protocol. Statistical results suggest that constrained self-interest dominates both measures of rationality, which are significantly affected by pre-bargain cheap talk, first-offer restrictions, loyalty, gender, and academic major. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-900 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:895-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Lange Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: Culture and life satisfaction in developed and less developed nations Abstract: Defining culture by reference to deeply engrained societal values and beliefs, this article makes two contributions to the growing field of satisfaction research: first, it explores whether and to what extent a range of cultural values serve as important moderators of individuals' life satisfaction; and second, it also tries to uncover if the economic development status of countries in which individuals live mitigates the impact of these cultural values. Based on sub-samples of the fourth wave of the World Value Survey, the empirical results show that several cultural values are indeed very significant influences on individuals' assessment of their life satisfaction. The importance of work, family, religion and interpersonal trust play a particularly prominent role. However, contrary to previous assertions, cultural values also appear to have a rather different effect on life satisfaction when examined in the context of developed versus less developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-906 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:901-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Periodically collapsing bubbles in the German stock market, 1876-1913 Abstract: The present-discounted value model of stock price determination implies that, rational bubbles being absent, stock prices and dividends should be cointegrated. The results of tests for noncointegration indicate that the possibility of periodically collapsing rational bubbles in the German stock market before World War I cannot be ruled out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-908 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802552324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802552324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:907-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dawson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: Time-series tests of income convergence with two structural breaks: evidence from 29 countries Abstract: This article uses data on real per capita incomes from 1900 to 2001 to test for stochastic convergence in a diverse group of 29 countries. We utilize LM unit root tests to endogenously determine the number and location of structural breaks for each country. These tests avoid spurious rejections that can occur in Dickey-Fuller-type endogenous break tests used in many previous studies. We find significant evidence that incomes are stochastically converging in 23 of the countries, with World War II most often identified as the time period of structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Pilar Socorro Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pilar Socorro Author-Name: Gines de Rus Author-X-Name-First: Gines Author-X-Name-Last: de Rus Title: The effectiveness of the Spanish urban transport contracts in terms of incentives Abstract: We consider a principal-agent model in which the regulator faces a moral hazard problem as he cannot observe the effort exerted by public transit operators. In this context, we analyse the effectiveness of the different urban transport contracts signed by the Spanish Central Government since 1990 in terms of incentives. The main result is that none of these contracts provides the appropriate incentives to public transit operators. Thus, we propose a fixed-quantity contract as an alternative financing mechanism. The fixed-quantity contract is a high-powered incentive contract that allows the regulator to perfectly forecast the amount of public funds to be used in the urban transport system. Moreover, the fixed-quantity contract can be adjusted to attain the equilibrium between incentives and optimal allocation of risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-916 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:913-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Malik Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: The importance of output for the monetary policy rules Abstract: We examine the importance of variable output (Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate) on the preferences of the policy makers. We do so by examining the effect of output regimes on the form of monetary policy implemented by the central banks. We use simple monetary policy rules to characterize the monetary policy of the central bank. Regime switching models are utilized to model output and monetary policy regimes separately. The importance of output is then examined for the UK and the USA by corresponding the output and monetary regimes together. We find some evidence supportive of the fact that the phase of output existent can change the preferences of the policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-923 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:917-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand Vinuya Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: Vinuya Author-Name: Ferdinand DiFurio Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: DiFurio Author-Name: Erica Sandoval Author-X-Name-First: Erica Author-X-Name-Last: Sandoval Title: A decomposition analysis of CO2 emissions in the United States Abstract: This article decomposes the growth in US CO2 emissions by state. Using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method, we account for CO2 emissions change in each state between 1990 and 2004. The change is decomposed into five effects: (a) emissions per unit of fossil fuel; (b) share of fossil fuel in total energy consumption; (c) energy intensity; (d) gross state product per capita and (e) population. Results show that for the past 15 years gains in the efficiency of energy use in the economy, the lowering share of fossil fuels in total energy consumption and lowering of emissions intensity of fuels all contributed to offsetting the effect of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and the population growth in carbon emission across the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-931 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762688 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762688&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:925-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Ali Marouani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Marouani Title: More jobs for university graduates: some policy options for Tunisia Abstract: The combination of demographic factors and an increase in education has caused a significant rise of university graduates' unemployment in the Middle-East and North Africa regions. This article provides a prospective cost-effectiveness analysis of the impact of alternative labour market policies using a dynamic general equilibrium model. The model allows for an endogenous determination of unemployment through a multisectoral efficiency wage setting mechanism. The main finding is that a wage subsidy targeted at highly skilled intensive sectors is more effective than tax reductions or investment subsidies. However, wage subsidies are not enough to reduce unemployment significantly. Other policy options need to be considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Serial correlation, drift and range unit root testing Abstract: The finite-sample properties of recently proposed range unit root tests are examined in the presence of serial correlation and drift. The results obtained show that both tests suffer from severe size distortion when applied to unit root process which either possess serially correlated disturbances or exhibit drift. Consequently, the noted robustness of the tests and the appropriateness of the previously provided critical values are both questioned. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802660367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802660367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Author-Name: Carol Boyer Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Boyer Title: Knightian uncertainty: evidence of uncertainty premium in the capital market Abstract: We empirically verify two predictions of asset pricing with a role for uncertainty: return premium to increase with uncertainty, and to decrease with the resolution of uncertainty over time and experience. These properties are found among Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) of new industries where uncertainty is created by innovations of new products and services, and resolution of uncertainty from early IPOs is to decline with later IPOs. Return premium for uncertainty is shown to be separate from all known measurable risks. Evidence that uncertainty is priced also lends support to the notion that investors are in general, averse to uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuk Ying Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yuk Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Chuan-Yang Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Chuan-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Testing seasonality in the liquidity-return relation: Japanese evidence Abstract: We study liquidity (share turnover) effects of stock returns and their seasonality using Japanese data. We find a significant and negative turnover/return relation. Moreover, we find that the liquidity effect is not impacted by either January or June seasonality. There is weak evidence that stocks with higher liquidity risk have on average higher rates of return for non-June months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Jen Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Ching-Hsiang Chao Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chao Author-Name: Tsai-Ling Liao Author-X-Name-First: Tsai-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: The joint decision to signal through IPO underpricing and lockup Abstract: Before Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), the decisions on the offering price and lockup are made simultaneously. This study examines the endogenous relation between underpricing and lockup duration. We adopt the three-stage least square method to estimate a set of the simultaneous equations model, including the inverse Mill's ratio to correct the self-selective bias into the use of lockup. The results indicate a negative association between underpricing and the length of lockup, supporting our signalling hypothesis that IPO firms and underwriters employ underpricing and lockup duration in a substituted way to signal the firm quality. The bivariate analysis provides further support for this view. Our findings offer new insights into how pre-IPO shareholders and underwriters might combine both the underpricing and lockup strategies to signal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-961 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616476 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616476&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:955-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Idil Uz Author-X-Name-First: Idil Author-X-Name-Last: Uz Author-Name: Natalya Ketenci Author-X-Name-First: Natalya Author-X-Name-Last: Ketenci Title: Exchange rate determination: monetary approach in the new EU members and Turkey Abstract: This study is based on the evaluation of the long-run performance of the monetary model approach of exchange rate determination for the newly entered EU members and Turkey. First, we tested the cointegration relationship between exchange rates and monetary variables. Then, the forecast estimates of the monetary approach were used for comparing the performances with the random walk model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-967 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:963-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guan-Ru Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guan-Ru Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Miao-Ling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Miao-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Substitution effect of advertising on resale price maintenance: using a real options approach Abstract: This article investigates the incentives to impose Resale Price Maintenance (RPM) from the real options perspective, how manufacturers use national advertising as a substitute for RPM when RPM is made illegal. Purchase delay caused by frequent markdowns among retailers encourages the manufacturers to impose RPM. But advertising mitigates the impacts of frequent markdowns by decreasing the demand price elasticity. When RPM is prohibited, we find that manufacturers increase national advertising expenditures to reduce the negative externality of frequent markdowns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-972 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:969-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Panagopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Panagopoulos Title: Basel II and the money supply process: some empirical evidence from the Greek banking system Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the Basel II influence on the money endogeneity process in the Greek banking system. The importance of equity, through Basel II directives, is initially discussed by creating and applying a 'new credit (equity) multiplier'. Then a new multivariate loan model, which contains bank's equity as explanatory variable, is briefly presented and next tested. From the econometrics, it is obvious that although the equity multiplier is not operative, the loan model favours Structuralism regarding the Greek monetary system and its money supply process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-976 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:973-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cho-Min Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cho-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Friends or enemies? Foreign investors in Taiwan Abstract: This study investigates how foreign investors impact the Taiwanese stock market using the AutoRegressive Jump Intensity (ARJI) model proposed by Chan and Maheu (2002), in which stock volatility in Taiwan is classified as either normal or abnormal and the net purchases of foreign investors, together with the classified volatilities, are included in the bivariate Vector Autoregression (VAR) model for further analyses. The sample period comprises of two parts, namely before and after relaxation of the restrictions on Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) investors on 2 October 2003 (pre- and post-QFII). The forecast error variance decompositions and impulse-response functions are obtained via simulating the VAR model. Our results indicate why previous studies, in which abnormal volatilities were not taken into account, confronted biased and inconsistent results. Biased results from previous studies tend to be caused by not differentiating between normal and abnormal volatilities, and the results of this study provide a valuable reference for efforts to end conflicting arguments for whether destabilizing or stabilizing stock markets of foreign investor transactions. Furthermore, the study results also indicate why Taiwan was less affected during the Asian financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-982 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:977-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pravish Kumar Nunkoo Author-X-Name-First: Pravish Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Nunkoo Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Title: The empirical determinants of target capital structure and adjustment to long-run target: evidence from Canadian firms Abstract: The main objective of this article is to provide more insight into the empirical determinants of target capital structure of Canadian firms. Panel data covering the period 1996 to 2004 was analysed using a much stronger estimation technique, that is, a dynamic regression model. The results show that profitability and tangibility have a positive and significant impact on the firm leverage, whereas growth opportunities and size have a negative influence on the leverage of Canadian firms. The study also suggests that firms have long-term target leverage ratios, but the speed of adjustment to the target leverage ratios is relatively slow in the context of Canadian firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-990 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:983-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hanke Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hanke Author-Name: Klaus Schredelseker Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Schredelseker Title: Index funds should be expected to underperform the index Abstract: A widespread belief is that index funds should earn the index return. We argue that this would lead to a serious paradox. In our model, we analyse the effects of an increasing number of investors switching from active to passive investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-994 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:991-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karim Ben Khediri Author-X-Name-First: Karim Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Khediri Author-Name: Didier Folus Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Folus Title: Does hedging increase firm value? Evidence from French firms Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between corporate hedging and firm value for a large sample of French firms. The aim is to extend the existing literature on corporate hedging by empirically investigating the effect of hedging with derivatives on the market value of firm. We find, from the univariate analysis, that the derivative users have lower firm value (as proxied by Tobin's Q) than the nonusers. However, multivariate tests have not reported significant results that are consistent with the documented US sample examinations that the use of derivatives increases the firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Title: Residual-based block bootstrap for cointegration testing Abstract: We propose a new testing procedure to determine the rank of cointegration. This new method is based on the nonparametric resampling procedure, so-called Residual-Based Block Bootstrap (RBB), which is developed by Paparoditis and Politis (2003) in the context of unit root testing. Through Monte Carlo experiments we show that, in small samples, the RBB cointegration test has good power properties in relation to the other two well-known tests for cointegration, such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), applied to the residual of a cointegrating regression, and the Johansen's maximum eigenvalue tests. Likewise, this article looks at the influence played by the correlation of the 'X' variables with the errors of the cointegrating regression on the size and power properties of the above cointegration tests. In particular, we show that, when this correlation decreases, the RBB test for cointegration is the most powerful one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ocean Fan Lu Author-X-Name-First: Ocean Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Lu Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Benford's Law and psychological barriers in certain eBay auctions Abstract: Using generalizations of Benford's Law we test for the absence of psychological barriers at various price levels in eBay auctions for professional football tickets. Our empirical results indicate that this hypothesis cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1008 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802631814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802631814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1005-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: The different impacts of socio-economic factors on suicide between males and females Abstract: I used the national panel data of Japan to investigate the determinants of suicide. The major findings are twofold. First, the social capital that enhances community integration had a greater effect on the suicide of females than that of males. This is probably because females are less likely to have full-time jobs and thus have more spare time, leading them to seek social involvement in their neighbourhoods and participate in community activities. Second, divorce causes the propensity to commit suicide among males to become about two times higher than that among females because of the compensation costs that males are more likely to pay to females. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1012 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1009-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Roberto Arvate Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Arvate Author-Name: Andrea Zaitune Curi Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Zaitune Author-X-Name-Last: Curi Author-Name: Fabiana Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Fabio Miessi Sanches Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Miessi Sanches Title: Corruption and the size of government: causality tests for OECD and Latin American countries Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the causality between government size and corruption, and to verify if there is a different pattern of causality between developed Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries (excluding Mexico) and developing countries (Latin American countries) during the period 1996 to 2003. Applying Granger and Huang's (1997) methodology we find evidence that size of government Granger causes corruption in both samples. Since a larger government involvement in private markets today will be followed in future by a higher level of corruption a policy advice would be to enhance governance. The promotion of good governance helps to combat corruption given that it complements efforts to reduce corruption more directly, and it is strongly recommended by the International Monetary Fund, other multilateral institutions, and all worried with the negative impacts of corruption on economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1017 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1013-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Title: Financial crises, bank losses, risk management and audit: what happened? Abstract: This article discusses some of the highly topical issues linked to financial crises, bank losses and audit. In addition to a theoretical discussion of the recent bank losses and financial turmoil, our analysis of a 10-question questionnaire indicates, as in the work of Stonham (1996), strong evidence of auditing weaknesses and erroneous management decisions that explain such bank losses. Our analysis also highlights the fact that trading and arbitrage are riskier and more hazardous during periods of crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Mylonidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Mylonidis Author-Name: Maria Semertzidou Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Semertzidou Title: Uncovered interest parity puzzle: does it really exist? Abstract: Most studies indicate the violation of the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) restrictions, and indeed, there are many who find a statistically significant and negative interest rate differential slope. This finding has now become known in international economics as the UIP puzzle. Using recent data on four major currencies vis-a-vis the US dollar and employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, our estimation results indicate the absence of any relationship between the interest rate differential and the expected change in the exchange rate, rather than the presence of the UIP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1026 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762696 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762696&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1023-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Nilanjan Sen Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Author-Name: Nguyen Thi Anh Thu Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Thi Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Thu Title: Firm value and the diversification choice: international evidence from global and industrial diversification Abstract: Our study examines the nature of industrial and global diversification for a sample of more than 12 000 firms across 35 emerging and developed countries during the period 1991-2006. Consistent with previous studies, we find that industrial diversification, either alone or combined with global diversification, results in a reduction of firm excess value. Global diversification alone, however, does not exert a significant impact on excess value. In an analysis of the decision to diversify, we find that firms in civil law countries or less developed nations are more likely to diversify, suggesting the greater utility of internal capital markets in economies where it is difficult to raise external capital. We observe that high leverage, larger size, lower levels of growth, R&D, free cash flow, profitability and Tobin's q encourage firms to diversify industrially. Higher values of q, firm size, R&D expenditures, free cash flow and liquidity, but reduced growth rates and profitability are associated with global diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1031 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817433 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817433&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1027-1031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Author-Name: Dominik Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Title: On the look-out for a white knight: options-based calculation of probability and expected value of increased bids in hostile takeover battles Abstract: Takeover bids provide an option right to the target's shareholders; they guarantee the offered price but maintain the chance of higher offers. Using Option Pricing Theory (OPT) we estimate the probability and expected value of higher bids from target stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1036 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1033-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang-Chul Jung Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does the star power matter? Abstract: This study investigates the role of superstars in the Korean movie industry. We apply a two-step approach: the first step is to test the significance of the star power during 1988-1999 in Korea; the second step is to estimate the magnitude of star power. The appearance of a star actor increases the probability of a hit or success by 15-19% and star power is higher than a director power. A domestic award is associated with positive performance. We find that the top 15 players among 68 actors and actresses significantly impacts on the success of movies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1041 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817490 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817490&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1037-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Olumuyiwa Adedeji Author-X-Name-First: Olumuyiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Adedeji Title: Fiscal decentralization and fiscal consolidations in emerging market economies Abstract: Results using event study analysis based on a data panel of expenditure and revenue developments in emerging market economies during 1972-2001 indicate that subnational governments supported fiscal consolidation efforts by cutting their capital expenditure and increasing their revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1043-1047 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1043-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Power properties of the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests for parameter instability Abstract: This article investigates the power of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests for parameter stability and demonstrates that this depends on the nature of the structural change taking place. If the break is in the intercept of the regression equation then the CUSUM test has higher power. However, if the structural change involves a slope coefficient or the variance of the error term, then the CUSUMSQ test has higher power. This may help to explain why the two tests often produce contradictory findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1053 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1049-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angela Cipollone Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Cipollone Author-Name: Carlo D'Ippoliti Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: D'Ippoliti Title: Discriminating factors of women's employment Abstract: Italy exhibits a dramatic level of territorial heterogeneity in terms of socio-economic dynamics and in the economic position of women. We employ this territorial variance to assess the impact of selected policies and institutions on men's and women's employment using microeconomic data. Such an analysis provides results partly different from what was expected on the basis of cross-country aggregate evidence on industrialized countries. Aggregate growth and tertiarization of the economy are surprisingly found beneficial only to men's employment, while culture and discrimination are relevant for women's. Social Assistance is found highly significant too, with the provision of services being more beneficial to women's employment than monetary transfers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1055-1062 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1055-1062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Berck Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Berck Author-Name: Jonathan Lipow Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lipow Author-Name: Yakir Plessner Author-X-Name-First: Yakir Author-X-Name-Last: Plessner Title: Defense planning and fiscal strategy Abstract: In this article, we consider the optimal fiscal strategy of a government interested in maximizing expected social welfare in the face of a potential future security threat. While the common wisdom is that countries facing security threats should seek to bolster their fiscal position in order to 'save for a rainy day', we find that the optimization of expected social welfare may require governments to run 'precautionary' fiscal deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1063-1065 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1063-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: The micro-firm health insurance hypothesis Abstract: The objective of this study is to investigate the 'micro-firm health insurance hypothesis', a hypothesis that the greater the percentage of domestic firms that are 'very small', i.e. have four or fewer employees, the greater the percentage of the US population that will be without health insurance. The focus of this study is based on the premise that very small firms (as defined), 'micro-firms', which constitute 58.6% of all private sector firms in the US, face bargaining-power, financial, and competitive constraints that tend to limit their ability to provide group health insurance benefits to their employees, with the result being that employees at very small firms are relatively more likely than employees at larger firms to be without a health insurance fringe benefit. Weighted Least Squares (WLS) estimates provide strong empirical support for the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1072 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1067-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Ricky Chee-Jiun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Ricky Chee-Jiun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Tai-Hu Ling Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hu Author-X-Name-Last: Ling Title: Long-run validity of purchasing power parity and rank tests for cointegration for Central Asian countries Abstract: This study finds that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds in the long-run for Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, based on Breitung's (2001) rank tests for cointegration. Results from further analysis indicates that nominal exchange rates and relative prices are nonlinearly interrelated. Trade barriers, transportation costs and government intervention in the pricing system in these countries may have resulted in the establishment of the above-mentioned nonlinear relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Multiple cyclical fractional structures in financial time series Abstract: This article analyses multiple cyclical structures in financial time series. In particular, we focus on the monthly structure of the Nasdaq, the Dow-Jones and the S&P stock market indices. The three series are modelled as long-memory processes with poles in the spectrum at multiple frequencies, including the long-run or zero frequency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1081 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817425 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817425&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1079-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Pei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Long-run purchasing power parity and asymmetric adjustment in BRICs Abstract: The primary aim of this study is an attempt to determine whether the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis holds for those countries that have collectively come to be known as 'BRICs', namely, Brazil, Russia, India and China. We use the momentum threshold cointegration tests (advanced by Enders and Siklos, 2001) to investigate whether any asymmetric adjustment is discernible for BRICs, and show that whilst the Engle-Granger test (which assumes only symmetric adjustment) fails to reveal any cointegrational relationship for BRICs, the threshold cointegration test (with asymmetric adjustment) provides clear evidence of long-run PPP for BRICs, with the notable exception of China. We conclude that asymmetric adjustment of nominal exchange rates plays an important role in eliminating deviations from long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1087 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1083-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Vaona Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Vaona Title: A survival analysis approach to the duration of union membership in Italy Abstract: Thanks to direct access to union databases, this article applies survival analysis to a sample of 47 637 Italian workers trying to explain the determinants of the duration of union membership. The results show that union membership duration is a positive, though declining, function of age. Furthermore, women, flexible workers, foreign ones and those working in cities tend to show less attachment to union membership than other workers. The estimated median duration is about 6 years. Positive hazard duration dependence is also found. Unobserved heterogeneity is detected but it does not significantly affect model estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1093 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1089-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanie Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Author-Name: Brid Gleeson Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Brid Gleeson Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Title: Willingness to pay for a clear night sky: use of the contingent valuation method Abstract: This article applies the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) to the issue of night sky pollution. Light pollution decreases the ability to view a clear, unobstructed night sky. We administered a survey to the students of the Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) to obtain estimates of Willingness To Pay (WTP) to improve night sky visibility and to prevent deterioration in visibility. This is the first CVM study that attempts to distinguish between these different WTPs. We find that students are willing to pay significantly more for a larger improvement in night sky conditions. We also find significant differences in WTP to improve versus prevent deterioration in night sky conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1095-1103 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1095-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lee Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: G. Stewart Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Implicit amenity prices and the location of retirees in England and Wales Abstract: General equilibrium models in which compensation for local amenities occurs in both housing and labour markets have been widely used to generate implicit amenity prices and regional quality of life indices. An implication and prospective test of such models is that individuals who are outside the labour market have an incentive to locate in regions where amenities are capitalized into wages. In this article we construct a measure of the extent of amenity capitalization into wages for each county in England and Wales. We then test the multimarket amenity model by applying this measure to county-level data on the location of retirees. Our results provide strong support for the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1105-1109 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1105-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Winters Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Winters Title: Teacher moonlighting: evidence from the US Current Population Survey Abstract: This article reports new evidence on teacher moonlighting from the US Current Population Survey. I investigate the determinants of teacher moonlighting and examine the effect that the teacher moonlighting has on the number of hours teachers spend on their primary job. I find that male teachers and teachers with advanced degrees are more likely to moonlight, but teacher pay appears to have little or no effect on the propensity to moonlight. I also find that holding a second job reduces the amount of time teachers spend on their primary jobs by about 1 h per week. Thus, teacher moonlighting may have harmful effects on education, though the effect on hours worked is neither trivial nor especially large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1114 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817524 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817524&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1111-1114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: On the accuracy of Federal Reserve forecasts of the budget deficit-output ratio Abstract: Monetary authorities, while unable to resolve fiscal imbalances, have to deal with their consequences in formulating monetary policy. This article asks whether the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is provided with accurate forecasts of the federal budget deficit-output ratio. We show that the forecasts made in the period 1982 to 2002 are unbiased with useful predictive information above that contained in time-series forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1118 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1115-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for major OPEC countries: evidence based on nonlinear panel unit-root tests Abstract: In this study, we apply nonlinear panel unit-root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for seven major Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). We find that nonlinear panel unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Breuer et al. (2001) if the true data generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We re-examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the panel nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence clearly indicating that PPP holds true for four countries, namely Angola, Indonesia, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1119-1123 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1119-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinearity in real exchange rates: an approach with disaggregated data and a new linearity test Abstract: Employing disaggregated real exchange rates from nine European counties in 16 goods categories, we assess in this study the nonlinearity in the real exchange rates. Surprisingly, we find evidence for nonlinearity in only four (10) out of 143 series with the linearity test proposed by Harvey et al. (2008) at the 5% (10%) significance level. This result differs greatly from those of Juvenal and Taylor (2008), Imbs et al. (2003), Sarno et al. (2004) and Berka (2009), who report ample evidence for nonlinearity for the same or similarly disaggregated real exchange rate datasets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1125-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Realdon Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Realdon Author-Name: Cheng Qin Shi Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: 'Extended black' sovereign credit default swap pricing model Abstract: This article presents and tests an 'Extended Black' sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) pricing model, whereby the default intensity is driven by truncated Gaussian latent factors. CDS pricing requires numerical solutions through finite differences, yet maximum likelihood estimation is still feasible. Empirical evidence from sovereign CDS rates supports the Extended Black model. The addition of a second truncated Gaussian latent factor driving the default intensity significantly improves performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Beckworth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Beckworth Author-Name: Kenneth Moon Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: J. Holland Toles Author-X-Name-First: J. Holland Author-X-Name-Last: Toles Title: Monetary policy and corporate bond yield spreads Abstract: Firm characteristics, economic conditions and policy regimes are the key determinants that most researchers have used to explain corporate bond yield spreads. In this article, we examine whether monetary policy shocks are also important determinants given their ability to affect default risk, risk aversion and liquidity premiums. Using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) with long-run monetary neutrality, we find that monetary policy shocks do, in fact, account for a large portion of the variation in corporate bond yield spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1144 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1139-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Kwaku Opong Author-X-Name-First: Kwaku Author-X-Name-Last: Opong Title: Testing for random walk in euro exchange rates using the subsampling approach Abstract: This study utilizes variance ratio tests based on the subsampling approach to test the behaviour of euro-based exchange rates markets. Results are mixed, although the random walk behaviour is dominant among the three major currencies namely the Japanese yen, the US dollar and the British pound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1151 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817581 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817581&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1145-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: John Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Sarah Skinner Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Skinner Title: HAC standard errors and the event study methodology: a cautionary note Abstract: In support of Fomby and Murfin's (2005) article published in this journal, we demonstrate empirically, rather than theoretically, the severe consequences of using Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent (HAC) SEs in regression-based financial event studies. Applying an event study to a recent merger, we show that the use of HAC SEs render misleading conclusions. Critical values for t-tests on the event dummy variables are about 15 times larger than the nominal values using only a year of daily return data. Even with samples of only 100 returns, critical values exceed nominal critical values by a factor of 10. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Title: A note on model selection in (time series) regression models - general-to-specific or specific-to-general? Abstract: This article provides Monte Carlo evidence on the performance of general-to-specific and specific-to-general selection of explanatory variables in linear (auto)regressions. In small samples the former is markedly inefficient in terms of ex-ante forecasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1160 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845418 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845418&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1157-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Burger Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Author-Name: John Lynham Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lynham Title: Betting on weight loss … and losing: personal gambles as commitment mechanisms Abstract: Professional bookmakers rarely accept bets from individuals who directly control the outcome of the bet. We analyse a unique exception to this rule and a potential policy innovation in the battle against obesity: a weight loss betting market. If obese individuals have time-inconsistent preferences then commitment mechanisms, such as personal gambles, should help them restrain their short-term impulses and lose weight. Correspondence with the bettors confirms that this is their primary motivation. However, it appears that the bettors in our sample are not particularly skilled at choosing effective commitment mechanisms. Despite payoffs of as high as $7350, approximately 80% of people who spend money to bet on their own behaviour end up losing their bets. Empirical analysis of the betting market yields further insights. Males are treated very differently compared to females: being male is considered equivalent to having an extra 6 months to lose the same amount of weight. Movements in the market price also confirm the belief that rigidity is preferred to flexibility in setting successful weight loss targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1166 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845442 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845442&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1161-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Etienne Farvaque Author-X-Name-First: Etienne Author-X-Name-Last: Farvaque Author-Name: Jerome Hericourt Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Hericourt Author-Name: Gaël Lagadec Author-X-Name-First: Gaël Author-X-Name-Last: Lagadec Title: Central bank independence and ageing Abstract: We contrast the influence of demography and Central Bank Independence (CBI) on inflation. The recent demographic trends in developed countries are shown to weight more on inflation than CBI, while the contrary stands for the period from 1960 to 1979. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1171 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1167-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Kin Keung Luk Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Luk Title: Does the 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy work better in blue chips? Abstract: The 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy is a dividend-yield trading strategy, which invests in stocks that give the highest dividend. This article examines whether the 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy is profitable in the Hong Kong stock market. Using the data from 1992 to 2007, we show that a portfolio consisting of the top dividend-yielding stocks generates a negative return for investors, whereas a portfolio with top dividend-yielding Hang Seng Index constituent stocks can fetch a positive return of about 8% per year. The result is in agreement with that of McQueen et al. (1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1173-1175 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902845495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902845495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1173-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronny Freier Author-X-Name-First: Ronny Author-X-Name-Last: Freier Author-Name: Viktor Steiner Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Steiner Title: 'Marginal employment' and the demand for heterogeneous labour - elasticity estimates from a multi-factor labour demand model for Germany Abstract: We develop a structural multi-factor labour demand model which distinguishes between eight labour categories including marginal employment, i.e. low-paying jobs with only a few working hours and partially exempted from employee's social security contributions. Using a new panel data set for Germany, the model is estimated both for the number of workers and total working hours. For unskilled and skilled workers in full-time employment, we find labour demand elasticities similar to previous estimates. Our new estimates of own-wage elasticities for marginal employment range between -0.13 (number of male workers in West Germany) to -1 (working hours for women). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1182 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902862140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902862140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1177-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Fernando Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Author-Name: Maria Vargas Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas Title: Correcting the Merton and Henriksson timing model Abstract: This article provides evidence of a common bias found in traditional timing models, which is related with a negative correlation between timing and stock-picking abilities resulting in spurious coefficients. We consider as a possible cause for this bias the failure to include in the timing models the cost of the option implied in timing activities, and on this basis we opt for a corrected version of the Merton and Henriksson's model (1981). As far as we know, this correction has not previously been applied. Our results confirm both the existence of this bias and the correction of the problem when the cost of the option is included in timing models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1187 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1183-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linus Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: The weight of bad governance in foreign mutual funds Abstract: Empirical studies show that mutual funds are less likely to hold poorly governed foreign stocks. This theoretical model shows that foreign mutual fund managers will optimally lower their weight of badly governed stocks because they have higher costs of actively managing these holdings than their domestic rivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1192 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1189-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Lonnbark Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Lonnbark Title: A corrected Value-at-Risk predictor Abstract: In this article, it is argued that the estimation error in Value-at-Risk (VaR) predictors gives rise to underestimation of portfolio risk. We propose a simple correction and find in an empirical illustration that it is economically relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1196 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1193-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung-Hoon Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Asymmetric reimbursement system in an environmental conflict Abstract: This article explores how a fair-minded regulator has to set policy through an asymmetric reimbursement. The lawyer for a citizen group works on a contingent-fee basis, whereas a polluting firm has either in-house legal advice or lawyers on retainer. Under an asymmetric reimbursement rule we show: (i) the case goes to settlement if the objective merits of the case favour the citizen group; (ii) whereas it goes to trial, the probability winning the citizen group has is less than 50%, and the reimbursement policy incurs the total effort in trial to increase if the merits of the case favour the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1197-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrica Carbone Author-X-Name-First: Enrica Author-X-Name-Last: Carbone Title: Ownership herding and informational herding Abstract: This article takes as its point of departure the herding model of Bikhchandani et al. (1992). We extend earlier experimental evidence to distinguish between informational herding, as in the model, and ownership herding, an alternative explanation for observed behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1204 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845392 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845392&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1201-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Artur Tamazian Author-X-Name-First: Artur Author-X-Name-Last: Tamazian Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: What is the long run growth rate of the East Asian Tigers? Abstract: New panel data estimates for the four East Asian Tigers show that the contribution of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) to growth is much higher than past estimates. An extended production function with learning by doing implies that TFP is about 3.5% and these countries will grow at this rate in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1208 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1205-1208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: A reassessment of the twin deficits relationship Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the relationship between the United States budget and current account deficits. Using a testing procedure advocated by Bierens, both deficits are found to be stationary around a nonlinear deterministic trend and are co-trended insofar as they share a common nonlinear deterministic trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1209-1212 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845434 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845434&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1209-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masanori Ohkuma Author-X-Name-First: Masanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkuma Title: Between Mao and markets: new evidence on segmentation of the bank loan market in China Abstract: This article examines the local bank lending's dependency upon local deposits within China in the Feldstein-Horioka vein. In the case of a transition economy like China, it would be appropriate to assume the presence of a significant level of disparity in the cost of funds between State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs. For this purpose, a dataset of the provincial deposit rates and the provincial loan rates for the state and the nonstate sectors is built. Even after controlling the national- and province-specific shocks, the correlation between the local deposit rates and the local loan rates for the nonstate sector, in contrast with that for the state sector, is even higher than for the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries. The findings suggest that serious asymmetric information problems between banks and non-SOEs might impede cross-regional lending and prevent the development of the nonstate sector within China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1218 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1213-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Title: Effect of price quoting on financial asset prices: an experimental analysis Abstract: Stock options are usually sold in bundles of 100 units, and their price can be quoted either per unit or per bundle. In this article, the effect of different methods of quoting financial asset prices on the subjective value of a contract was examined experimentally. In particular, we examined differences in participants' Willingness-To-Pay and Willingness-To-Accept for financial assets depending upon whether prices are quoted per unit or per bundle. We found that participants bid (ask) a higher price when prices are quoted per unit than when they are quoted per bundle. The results indicated that different quoting methods affect the bidding price for risky assets. These results can have important implications for trading on financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1222 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902845487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902845487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1219-1222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Purchasing power parity for G-7 countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period 1980M1 to 2008M5. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for G-7 countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for half of the G-7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1223-1228 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845467 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845467&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1223-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Asymmetries in the Thai lending-deposit rate spread: an econometric analysis Abstract: This study examines the asymmetric behaviour of lending-deposit rate spread in the emerging Thai economy over the period 1991:1 to 2007:1. Although both the threshold autoregressive model and the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model detect asymmetries, the MTAR model is a better fit for the sample data. The finding that Thai banks exhibit faster adjustment in lending rates when the spread is widening (i.e. falling deposit rates) than when the spread is narrowing (i.e. rising deposit rates) supports the consumer reaction hypothesis of Stiglitz and Weiss. This phenomenon is the result of the 'oligopsonistic' relationship between the banks and their powerful corporate customers, and the attendant practice of the 'name'-based lending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1229-1236 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902902201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902902201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1229-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Bond Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: Michael Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Niall Hession Author-X-Name-First: Niall Author-X-Name-Last: Hession Author-Name: Edward O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Nonlinearity as an explanation of the forward exchange rate anomaly Abstract: This article shows that nonlinearity can provide an explanation for the forward exchange rate anomaly (Fama, 1984). Using sterling-Canadian dollar data and modelling nonlinearity of unspecified form by means of a random field, we find strong evidence of time-wise nonlinearity and, significantly, obtain parameter estimates that conform with theory to a high degree of precision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1239 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902950564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902950564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1237-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Misao Endo Author-X-Name-First: Misao Author-X-Name-Last: Endo Author-Name: Shiwei Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Author-Name: Kazuo Kishimoto Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Kishimoto Title: Order imbalances explain 90% of returns of Nikkei 225 futures Abstract: This article introduces a new kind of order imbalance - limit order imbalance - in addition to the conventional order imbalance to explain the intraday stock returns. The conventional order imbalance together with our new order imbalance are shown to explain more than 90% of intraday returns of the Nikkei 225 Futures in the Osaka Stock Exchange in Japan. It is also found that a scaling by spreads substantially increases the explanatory power in thinner markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1241-1245 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1241-1245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Peng Fu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Andrew Wood Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: Momentum in Taiwan: seasonality matters! Abstract: Previous studies suggest that momentum exists in international stock markets with the exception of Asia. Using a large data set of Taiwanese stocks, we show that momentum does exist, but it is restricted to the months following the deadline for annual statements. During the remaining months, a reverse momentum, or contrarian, strategy produces significant returns. These contrarian returns are particularly high during the national holidays linked to the Lunar New Year and the Lunar Moon Festival. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1253 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917589 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917589&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1247-1253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thouraya Boujelbene Author-X-Name-First: Thouraya Author-X-Name-Last: Boujelbene Author-Name: Younes Boujelbene Author-X-Name-First: Younes Author-X-Name-Last: Boujelbene Title: Long run determinants and short run dynamics of inflation in Tunisia Abstract: The essential idea of this study is to analyse the origins of inflation at short and long runs in Tunisia relying on annual data during the period 1962 to 2003. We also suggest a model that has a structure determined by monetary and structural factors, and estimated by Johansen's cointegration technique. The empirical results show that inflation is explained by mixed factors: monetary ones such as money supply, the interest rate and the real effective exchange rate; and structural ones like the nominal average annual wage rate, the import prices and the real output. The analysis aims at pointing out the long run determinants of inflation and studying its short run dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1263 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902862157 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902862157&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1255-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donglin Pei Author-X-Name-First: Donglin Author-X-Name-Last: Pei Author-Name: Philip Anthony Hamill Author-X-Name-First: Philip Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Hamill Author-Name: Kwaku Kyekyeku Opong Author-X-Name-First: Kwaku Kyekyeku Author-X-Name-Last: Opong Title: An analysis of quasi-qualification, modified auditor opinions and special treatment status on China's Shenzhen market Abstract: The development of accounting, auditing and capital markets in China were an integral component of China's economic reforms; auditing was regarded as being critically important to achieving the desired policy objective of delivering a market economy (Yang and Yang, 1998). This article examines the quasi-qualification hypothesis and tests whether investors valued the introduction of Special Treatment (ST) status for firms in 1998. Our empirical analysis fails to find significant support for the quasi-qualification hypothesis. In contrast, it appears that the issuance of ST status was valued by investors; the issuance of ST status led investors to discriminate between firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1271 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1265-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kunihiro Hanabusa Author-X-Name-First: Kunihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hanabusa Title: The effects of zero interest rate commitment in Japan Abstract: This article examines the effectiveness of the Bank of Japan's Zero Interest Rate Commitment Policy (ZIRCP). Using the Exponential Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model, we present an empirical analysis of the volatility of return on Japanese interest rates for the short-, medium-, long- and super long-term. We find that each interest rate is affected by the ZIRCP. However, the ZIRCP stabilizes the daily change for only the super long-term interest rate. This suggests that the ZIRCP effect includes the decrease in interest rate and the reduction in super long-term variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1277 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1273-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: The relationship between the Vietnam stock market and its major trading partners - TECM with bivariate asymmetric GARCH model Abstract: This study employs threshold error-correction model with bivariate Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to examine the relationship between the Vietnam stock market and its major trading partners, the United States, Japan, Singapore and China. The results indicate that the Vietnam stock market and return risks are influenced by Japan and Singapore stock markets. We also find that the volatility of stock market in Vietnam and its trading countries have an asymmetrical effect. These findings could be valuable to individual investors and financial institutions holding long-run investment portfolios in the Vietnam stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Price clustering of IPOs in the secondary market Abstract: This article studies the integer price clustering of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in the secondary market trading during the first 240 trading days after their IPO dates. The results indicate the huge difference between the integer price frequency of IPOs in the primary market and that of matched stocks in the secondary market almost disappears on the first trading day after IPO. The integer price frequency of IPOs is still significantly higher than that of matched stocks during the first 240 trading days. However, after controlling for price level, trading characteristics and IPO price support, the integer price frequency of IPOs conforms to that of matched stocks and that those IPOs with integer offer prices have the same integer price frequency as IPOs without. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1292 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1285-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guoma Alrgibi Author-X-Name-First: Guoma Author-X-Name-Last: Alrgibi Author-Name: Mohamed Ariff Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Ariff Author-Name: Louis Murray Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: What factors discriminate developed and emerging capital markets? Abstract: This article identifies variables that might help an analyst to classify a stock market as either a developed or an emerging market. Although these terms are used widely, the basis for the application of the two descriptors has not been examined, using quantitative method(s) to verify the characteristics associated with each. The aim of this article is to do that, through identification of those variables associated with developed and with emerging markets. Discriminant analysis is applied, to identify a number of characteristics that do successfully differentiate between each group of markets, and helps to provide authenticity to the terms - developed and emerging. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1298 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1293-1298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Rakotomavo Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Rakotomavo Title: Payout and asymmetric information Abstract: This article investigates the effects of payout policy on the level of asymmetric information in the market for common equity shares. The results suggest that higher dividend levels are associated with lower price impact, both as a percentage of economic value and as a percentage of the spread. And greater share repurchase ratios are associated with lower price impacts as a percentage of the spread. Overall, the results suggest that managers may have more than the choice of market settings as a means to improve the quality of the market for their stock and the efficiency of price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1299-1304 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1299-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolai Dokuchaev Author-X-Name-First: Nikolai Author-X-Name-Last: Dokuchaev Title: Optimal gradual liquidation of equity from a risky asset Abstract: We consider a problem of optimal gradual liquidation of equity from a risky asset for continuous time stochastic market model. The owner of the risky asset uses this equity as a source of steady cash flow by borrowing money permanently against this equity. At the terminal time, there is no equity for him in this asset, and the bank gains ownership of this asset. Optimal strategy is obtained explicitly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1308 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1305-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yen-Ching Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: The impact of subprime mortgage on correlation between stock and FX markets Abstract: Our researching period contains the American subprime mortgage crisis, an insignificant financial crisis and the Asian financial crisis periods. We analyse and compare the interrelations between the stock and Foreign Exchange (FX) markets in Taiwan by the daily data of stock prices and NTD/US exchange rates. The empirical results found that there is no effect on the long-term equilibrium between the stock and FX markets during the American subprime mortgage crisis. It also shows that, whether financial crisis occurs or not, there is no cointegration between the stock and FX markets. Furthermore, the results find that there exists bidirectional causality between the stock and FX markets among the American subprime mortgage crisis and the Asian financial crisis period. However, there is only unidirectional relationship from stock prices to exchange rates during insignificant financial crisis period. Such results imply that two financial crises do significantly affect the short-term interrelationships between the stock and FX markets and lead to more importance for the connection between two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1309-1312 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1309-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of bank failures in the US revisited Abstract: This study investigates factors influencing the bank failure rate in the United States over the period 1970 to 2007. The bank failure rate was found to be an increasing function of the unemployment rate, the average cost of funds, volatility of the S&P 500 Stock Index, and charge-offs as a percentage of outstanding loans and a decreasing function of the mortgage rate on new 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. The evidence implies also that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act acted to reduce bank failures whereas the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking Act of 1994 may inadvertently have (by increasing competition and/or increasing costs through branch bank expansion) induced increased bank failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881884 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881884&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1313-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Title: Do short sellers outperformthe market? Abstract: During the current financial crisis, short sellers have been blamed for causing or at least accelerating the crash of the financial market. They have been accused of manipulating stock prices so that they would fall and getting rich at the 'naive' investors' expense. This study investigates the validity of these accusations by following the TA100 Index and four designed portfolios during the period 2006 to 2008. The designed portfolios were constructed in accordance with the weekly report on short selling activity issued by the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. The results show that short sellers did not succeed in outperforming the market during that 3-year period. Moreover, the portfolios that did not include the stocks picked by the short sellers performed more poorly (they should have been sold short) than the portfolios that included stocks chosen by the short sellers. These results contradict the hypothesis that short selling disrupts market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1322 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1319-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: El Hedi Arouri Author-Name: Mondher Bellalah Author-X-Name-First: Mondher Author-X-Name-Last: Bellalah Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The comovements in international stock markets: new evidence from Latin American emerging countries Abstract: We analyse the time variations in the comovements of Latin American stock markets. Conditional correlations are estimated from the dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model. Then, Bai and Perron's (2003) structural break technique is employed to test for changing nature of market comovements. Main findings are as follows. First, the degree of cross-market comovements changed over time and has significantly increased since 1994. However, room for international diversification still remains largely possible. Second, the comovements are subjected to various regime shifts, essentially due to major economic events. Finally, stock markets move much more together in times of crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1328 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1323-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regression Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries over the 1985M3 to 2008M5. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for East Asian countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests indicate that PPP is valid for most of the East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1329-1334 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902958356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902958356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1329-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: Bounds testing cointegration methods and PPP: evidence from 123 Countries Abstract: Cointegration analysis is often used in empirical studies of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to test whether there is a long-run relationship among countries' bilateral exchange rates and price levels. But the presence of a cointegrated relationship is not enough to support PPP, as other restrictions must be met as well. Nevertheless, even simple cointegration has been rejected for many countries in previous studies. We apply the 'bounds testing' approach of Pesaran et al. (2001), which has only seen limited use thus far, to analyse 123 countries' bilateral rates with the United States. Besides testing for cointegration, we also assess whether our long-run coefficients support the PPP hypothesis. We find that while most rates are indeed cointegrated, only a few have coefficients that meet even one of the necessary restrictions for PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1340 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1335-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Lee Van Scyoc Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Van Scyoc Title: Adverse selection, seller reputation and buyer insurance in online auctions for 1960s-era collectible baseball cards Abstract: We investigate the differences between Beckett book values and eBay auction prices using an original data set of 876 auctions for 30 baseball cards from the 1960s era. We find that cards of lower quality generally sell (on eBay) above book price, whereas cards of higher quality generally sell below book price. We find that both the presence of buyer insurance and the number of bids increase eBay prices relative to book values and that the seller's reputation and the number of bids increase the probability that the eBay price will be greater than the corresponding book value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1345 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1341-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yuan-Hong Ho Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Is per capita real GDP stationary in China? More powerful nonlinear (logistic) unit root tests Abstract: In this study, we use a more powerful nonlinear (logistic) unit root test advanced by Leybourne et al. (1998) to investigate the time-series properties of real gross domestic product for 25 Chinese provinces for the period 1952 to 1998. We strongly reject the null of unit root process for over half the provinces. These empirical results have important policy implications for China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1349 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903007567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903007567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1347-1349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: Short-term wealth effects from debt buyback announcements Abstract: This study provides evidence that, as with stock buyback announcements, investors believe that debt buyback announcements signal good news about the future cash flows of the announcing firm. This information is contained in the stock price reaction on the announcement date. On average, the firms sampled experienced an average 5.51% increase in their stock price on the day their plans to repurchase debt were announced in the financial media. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1354 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1351-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Mulhern Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Mulhern Author-Name: John Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Spanish inter-regional migration: an enigma resolved Abstract: This article demonstrates that Spanish inter-regional migration, for many years unresponsive to traditional explanatory variables, is now explicable in terms of such variables. These include gaps in real wages, unemployment and distance. In the middle of the 1990s, there arose an increased responsiveness of regional migration to such explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1359 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967464 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967464&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1355-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Boulatoff Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Boulatoff Author-Name: Carol Boyer Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Boyer Title: Using contingent valuation with undergraduate students to elicit a community's preferences for wind farm development Abstract: This article presents the results of a survey that elicited the value of the perceived net benefits associated with the implementation of a wind farm in a rural community in upstate New York. The survey was designed and administered by upper level undergraduate students enrolled in an environmental economics course at Saint Lawrence University. Results may give instructors interested in introducing more applied research in the classroom an idea of what to expect. The analysis of this project may also suggest policy implications for the implementation of wind farms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1361-1366 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1361-1366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nico Dewaelheyns Author-X-Name-First: Nico Author-X-Name-Last: Dewaelheyns Author-Name: Cynthia Van Hulle Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Van Hulle Title: Bankruptcy reform: evidence from a survey among judges and receivers Abstract: Because of low success rates, several European countries have recently reformed their US Chapter 11-type bankruptcy procedures or are planning future reforms. Using unique data from a survey among judges and insolvency practitioners (receivers), we explore the ex ante expectations of the impact of the 2009 adjustments to the Belgian reorganization procedure, including cost reductions, improvement of the procedure's reputation, encouraging informal reorganizations and appointing a mediator. The general assessment is moderately positive, although judges are significantly more optimistic than receivers. In addition, we find that the respondents' expectations are related to their views on the current system, perceived causes of failure and regional characteristics. We conclude by formulating policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1367-1371 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1367-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pontines Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pontines Title: Fat-tails and house prices in OECD countries Abstract: It is a well-known stylized fact that the distributions of financial asset returns are non-normal and fat-tailed. In this study, we explore whether this stylized fact also applies to the log changes in house prices. Using house price indices data for 16 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries, we find that there is an apparent tail-fatness in the empirical distribution of log changes in house prices. Furthermore, the Student's t provides an adequate fit for almost all the house price indices under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1377 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1373-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alper Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: Ferit Kula Author-X-Name-First: Ferit Author-X-Name-Last: Kula Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Additional evidence of long-run purchasing power parity with black and official exchange rates Abstract: In this study, the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis is investigated by using unit root test on official and black market exchange rates for Turkey. When we used the classical unit root test, we found poor evidence for the validity of PPP in classical PP test but no evidence for PPP in the augmented Dickey-Fuller test. However, by using Zivot-Andrews test allowing for one structural break in the series of PPP, we find stronger evidence for both official and black market exchange rates. Our findings illustrate that the unit root test with structural break is powerful than classical ones for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1379-1382 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1379-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for G7 countries: further evidence based on panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in G7 countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for G7 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for more than half of the G7 countries. Further, our results point out that the real exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. These results have important policy implications for G7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1387 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1383-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: On the performance of a nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity in the presence of linearity Abstract: In this study, we have assessed the performance of the nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity, as previously suggested by Shintani (2006). While the measure, which is also applicable to nonlinear processes, should correspond to the exact half-life of a linear process when the true data-generating process is linear, we find, in practice, that it is too far off the mark and thus should not be employed. We recommend testing linearity first, before applying the measure of convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1389-1396 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1389-1396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Iglesias Antelo Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Antelo Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Levy Mangin Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Mangin Title: An analysis of the risk-return relationship in the Spanish capital market using a structural equation model Abstract: This work is a contribution to an incipient third line of empirical analysis within the context of the use of multifactor models to explain the covariation among asset returns. Such a line of research establishes a bridgehead between the one based on the selection of economic variables and that based on the extraction of factors by means of factor analysis. Specifically, this study focuses on macroeconomic magnitudes as potential sources of risk and uses a structural equation model to analyse data relative to the Spanish market. The market return is the only factor that is found to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1397-1403 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1397-1403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Song-Zan Chiou-Wei Author-X-Name-First: Song-Zan Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou-Wei Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yung-Hsing Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Government size and economic growth: an application of the smooth transition regression model Abstract: This article employs a smooth transition autoregressive model to investigate the effects of government size (measured as the share of government consumption expenditure in gross domestic product) on economic growth using South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand as sample countries during the period 1961 to 2004. The empirical results reveal that there is a nonlinear relationship among variables for each country except Malaysia and confirm the view of Barro (1990) that the government size over a certain threshold will have an adverse impact on economic growth rate for Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. Through the smooth transition autoregressive framework, we find that the estimated threshold of government size is 11% for most countries while the threshold government size of Taiwan is 16% and further conclude that the bigger government size is not really the better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1415 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1405-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aitor Ciarreta Author-X-Name-First: Aitor Author-X-Name-Last: Ciarreta Author-Name: Ainhoa Zarraga Author-X-Name-First: Ainhoa Author-X-Name-Last: Zarraga Title: Electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain Abstract: This article investigates linear and nonlinear causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain for the period 1971 to 2005. We use the methodology of Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutkepohl (1996). We also apply the standard Granger causality test in a vector autoregression for the series in first differences. We find unidirectional linear causality running from real GDP to electricity consumption. By contrast, we find no evidence of nonlinear Granger causality between the series in either direction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1421 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1417-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jasim Al-Ajmi Author-X-Name-First: Jasim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Ajmi Title: Modelling the dividend policy of banks in Gulf Cooperation Council countries Abstract: This article presents the results of an investigation on the determinants of banks' dividend decisions among banks listed on seven stock exchanges in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. The results show that dividend decisions are determined by current earnings and lagged dividends and that only banks in Abu Dhabi resist curtailing/skipping dividend payments. The results are mixed as to the role of dividend decisions in reducing agency problems and as a signalling device, but the results offer strong support for the transaction cost hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1423-1428 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1423-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Title: On the valuation of American exchange options: an analytical approximation Abstract: We adopt a quadratic approach to the valuation of the option to exchange one asset for another, when the option owner has the right to exercise before option expiration. Accurate pricing results are obtained and tested against competitive models in the literature, building on the hypothesis that option value is the product of two functions, one being a function of time and the other one being a function of the stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1429-1435 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1429-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Long-term government bond yields and economic forecasts: evidence for the EU Abstract: I use a panel of semi-annual vintages of growth and fiscal forecasts of the European Commission, covering the period 1998:II-2008:II, to assess its effects on 10-year government yields for 14 EU countries. Results show that yields increase with better growth forecasts and with decreases in budget balance-to-GDP rations, signaling that sovereigns may need to pay more to finance higher budget deficits in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1441 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1437-1441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabah Arezki Author-X-Name-First: Rabah Author-X-Name-Last: Arezki Author-Name: Frederick van der Ploeg Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: van der Ploeg Title: Trade policies, institutions and the natural resource curse Abstract: We offer new cross-country evidence on the natural resource curse. We investigate the impact of the interaction of natural resource abundance and policies on growth. We find that the resource curse is less severe in countries with less restrictive trade policies and good institutions. However, we show that empirical evidence on the resource curse is not robust to correcting for the endogenous nature of some regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1451 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1443-1451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ali Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Su Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Black and official market exchange rates and purchasing power parity: evidence from Latin America Abstract: A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In this article, we use a nonlinear ADF test and show that when nonlinearity is incorporated in the testing procedure, the nonlinear tests support PPP more often than the linear test regardless of whether we use official or black market exchange rate. Besides, for the post-Bretton Woods period, PPP is almost equally supported using either the black market exchange rates or the official rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1453-1459 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1453-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uriel Spiegel Author-X-Name-First: Uriel Author-X-Name-Last: Spiegel Author-Name: Tchai Tavor Author-X-Name-First: Tchai Author-X-Name-Last: Tavor Author-Name: Joseph Templeman Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Templeman Title: The effects of rumours on financial market efficiency Abstract: During the last decade the world has faced a tremendous development of information technology and telecommunication. This study investigates the impact of rumours (released on the web) on common stock returns. The findings indicate that the market responds positively to rumours. During the event day and the five preceding days, the abnormal stock return is positive and statistically significant. In particular, the impact is stronger for single than for multi-rumours, for initial rather than subsequent rumours and for realized rumours than for nonrealized rumours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1461-1464 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1461-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Wahlberg Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Wahlberg Title: The gender wage gap across the wage distribution in the private and public sectors in Sweden Abstract: This study examines gender wage differentials across the wage distribution in the Swedish private and public sectors using quantile regression. There is a glass ceiling effect for women in both the private and the public sectors in Sweden. Although this is true for both sectors, it is especially pronounced in the public sector. The gender wage differentials across the whole distribution in the private sector are lower in Sweden than in the USA and in 11 European countries, whereas the opposite can be said about the public sector; here the gap is higher across the entire distribution in Sweden. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1465-1468 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1465-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Adam Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Mark Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Petersen Author-Name: Mmboniseni Phanuel Mulaudzi Author-X-Name-First: Mmboniseni Phanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mulaudzi Author-Name: Janine Mukuddem-Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuddem-Petersen Author-Name: Ilse Schoeman Author-X-Name-First: Ilse Author-X-Name-Last: Schoeman Title: A note on the subprime mortgage crisis: dynamic modelling of bank leverage profit under loan securitization Abstract: In this brief research article, we consider the financial modelling of the process of mortgage loan securitization that has been a root cause of the ongoing Subprime Mortgage Crisis (SMC). In particular, we suggest a Levy process-driven model of bank leverage profit that arises from the securitization of a pool of subprime mortgage loans. To achieve this, we develop stochastic models for mortgage loans, mortgage loan losses, credit ratings and mortgage loan guarantees in a subprime context. These models incorporate some of the most important issues related to the SMC and its causes. Finally, we provide a brief analysis of the models developed earlier in our contribution and its relationship with the SMC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1474 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1469-1474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: Should the US Congress appropriate funds for the repurchase of older vehicles? Abstract: Proponents of vehicle buyback programmes maintain that the earlier retirement of older vehicles will reduce pollution, increase income for lower income households and stimulate the automobile industry. This article provides a brief assessment of costs and benefits of vehicle buyback programmes. There are environmental benefits from the early retirement of automobiles and light trucks; however, some pollutants are not closely related to vehicle age. Moreover, vehicle buyback programmes are unlikely to reduce consumption of gasoline by a substantial amount and may even increase gasoline consumption in the short run because vehicle age is associated with an increase in miles travelled. Vehicle buyback programmes are not unambiguously progressive because they will increase the price of older vehicles, the only source of transportation for lower income groups. This analysis does not justify the creation of a national large-scale vehicle buyback programme. However, vehicle buyback programme targeting the highest emission vehicles and vehicles likely to fail emission inspections creates support for more stringent vehicle emission standards and systems, a proven method to reduce mobile source air pollution. It may be useful to expand subsidies for existing local vehicle buyback programmes and create incentives for the creation of these programmes by additional municipalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1475-1478 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1475-1478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirofumi Shimizu Author-X-Name-First: Hirofumi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizu Author-Name: Todd Sandler Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Sandler Title: Recent peacekeeping burden sharing Abstract: This article investigates peacekeeping burden sharing during the period 2001 to 2006 for NATO allies and a more inclusive sample, which contains the main peacekeeping contributors. A Kendall rank correlation test for peacekeeping burdens and gross domestic product is applied to ascertain whether rich countries assume disproportionately large burdens. With recent increases in peacekeeping expenditures, burdens are being disproportionately shouldered by the rich countries for UN-financed operations. For non-UN-financed peacekeeping missions, disproportionality of burden sharing holds for NATO allies but not for the large sample. Unequal burden sharing is most prevalent in the years where peacekeeping spending is the greatest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1479-1484 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1479-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Humala Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Humala Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate volatility in Peru Abstract: Flexible exchange rate experience in Peru has been accompanied by frequent official interventions in the form of foreign exchange purchases or sales. Monetary authority pursues reducing excess volatility in the exchange rate through its direct intervention. However, in recent years, this intervention has concentrated on US dollar purchases, apparently signalling a bias towards defending a given exchange rate level (not necessarily fixed). For the period 1994 to 2007, this document assesses consistency of the empirical evidence with the goal of reducing exchange rate volatility. Thus, it uses univariate and multivariate time series models subject to stochastic shifts to study currency pressures. Results suggest consistency with the reduced-volatility goal. Nonetheless, in line with other studies, factors such as the foreign exchange gap with respect to its trend also induce foreign exchange intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1491 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1485-1491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Paul Gentle Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gentle Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Examining the CRB index as a leading indicator for US inflation Abstract: This article analyses historical movements in the commodity futures market and its relationship to inflation. Specifically, the relationship between the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) index and US inflation is investigated. The results show that the CRB index continues to be an effective early indicator of inflation. However, as the composition of the US economy changes, the CRB should continue to realign the index to maintain its long-term viability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1496 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1493-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: SBTC versus trade: testing skill-premia evidence across 25 OECD countries Abstract: The recent widening of intra-country wage inequality in favour of high-skilled labour has been attributed by some authors to Skill-Biased Technological Change (SBTC) and by others to International Trade (IT) liberalization. As few empirical studies have tried to assess both explanations across a comprehensive sample of countries, we analyse the impact of both explanations within a unified framework and across 25 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Results suggest that the SBTC (IT) explanation dominates in developed (developing) countries and when intra-country wage inequality is measured by the wage ratio of college-to-lower (upper)-secondary graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1501 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1497-1501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed El Hedi Author-X-Name-Last: Arouri Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Stock market integration in Mexico and Argentina: are short- and long-term considerations different? Abstract: This article aims to study the issue of short- and long-term stock market integration in two of Latin America's biggest emerging economies - Mexico and Argentina - with the US stock market using multivariate cointegration tools. Our study covers a period of two decades and shows strong evidence of Argentina and Mexico's short-term financial dependence on the US market. However, our results show no long-term linkages between the markets studied, indicating that Mexican and Argentinean stock markets are governed more by their fundamentals in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1503-1507 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1503-1507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Betty Agnani Author-X-Name-First: Betty Author-X-Name-Last: Agnani Author-Name: Henry Aray Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Aray Title: Subsidies and awards in movie production Abstract: This article analyses the effect of subsidies and awards on the Spanish motion picture industry. We estimate a Cobb-Douglas production function using regional data and show that Spanish motion picture industry exhibits constant returns to scale and that awards positively affect movie production whereas subsidies have no effect. In fact, awards affect the productivity of the sector as they allow for an increase in the output, which is not explained by an increase in inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1509-1511 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1509-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sehoon Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Sehoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Sang Buhm Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sang Buhm Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Title: Duration analysis of corporate bankruptcy in the presence of competing risks Abstract: The bankruptcy duration of reorganized firms should be different from that of failed firms. Adopting a competing risk model and using the Korean corporate bankruptcy data, we confirm the differences in reorganized and failed cases. We find that the failure decision of bigger firms seems delayed (the too-big-to-fail-too-early hypothesis). In systemic bankruptcy, the bankruptcy period is shortened and the reorganization bias is increased (Super Chapter 11 principle). Also, if bankruptcy is filed in a poor business environment, reorganization may occur faster and failure slower for that company (handicapped signal theory). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1513-1516 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1513-1516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: YiChun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: YiChun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity for ASEAN-8 countries: panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations)-8 countries over the period January 1999 to June 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for the ASEAN-8 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for two (four) of these ASEAN-8 countries when the US dollar (the Japanese yen) is used as a base country. These results have important policy implications for these ASEAN-8 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1523 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1517-1523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ming Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Author-Name: Sheng-Chieh Pan Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Po-Chin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Po-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Can intervention indices detect central bank's actual intervention behaviour? Abstract: This article employs the Weymark (1997) and Baig et al. (2003) models to evaluate the central bank's intervention behaviour and utilizes ex post intervention news to check the models' estimation results. Empirical results show that the Baig et al. model's evaluation performance in intervention behaviour is inferior to the Weymark model. The scale of intervention index is not an excellent indicator to detect intervention behaviour. Intervention indices and intervention news all support that the intervention frequency in expansion period is higher than in recession period and in face of fatal events the intervention exhibits cluster phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1525-1530 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1525-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Hsi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Rern-Jay Hung Author-X-Name-First: Rern-Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Ching-Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuan-Pei Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Does fund manager herding vary over the business cycle? Abstract: This article aims to explore whether business cycle has any bearing on herding by fund mangers. Using the sample of open-end mutual funds in Taiwan from January 2003 to February 2007, the main results are as follows. First, excluding the impact of business indicator, herd behaviours for balanced and growth fund managers are more significant than growth-income and aggressive-growth ones. Next, the business indicator has significantly negative influence on the herding for balanced and growth fund managers. Finally, without considering the impact of business indicator, there are no significant differences of the herding among various types of fund managers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1535 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1531-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Rebeca Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Marcelo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Oil-induced stagflation: a comparison across major G7 economies and shock episodes Abstract: This article finds strong evidence of oil-induced stagflation in major G7 economies. Oil shocks provoked output losses and higher inflation on a widespread basis from the mid-1970s to the early 1980s, as well as - to a lesser extent - in the new millennium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1541 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1537-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugene Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: Anton Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: Ludmila Nivorozhkina Author-X-Name-First: Ludmila Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkina Author-Name: Lilia Ovcharova Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Ovcharova Title: The urban-rural divide in the perception of the poverty line: the case of Russia Abstract: In this article, we analyse the differences in the perception of the poverty line between rural and urban settlements in the Russian Federation. We show that although the level of absolute poverty increases as the size of the settlement decreases, the level of subjective poverty moves in the opposite direction. These results have potential implications for targeting poverty in urban and rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1546 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1543-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Christian Helmers Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Helmers Author-Name: Christoffer Koch Author-X-Name-First: Christoffer Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Firm growth and firm size Abstract: This article analyses the growth rates of the complete population of UK-registered firms for the period 2001 to 2005. We estimate Gibrat's law - that growth rates are independent of firm size - by deciles of the firm size distribution. Whether we are able to reject Gibrat's law varies across deciles. We also show how estimates vary according to the measure of firm size, time period and sample selection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1550 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1547-1550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Josh Davis Author-X-Name-First: Josh Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Robust value-at-risk: an information-theoretic approach Abstract: We present a robust value-at-risk model that takes into account the possibility of model misspecification. In place of a single prior distribution, we utilize multiple priors in the form of an 'uncertainty set' around the estimated expected returns and covariance matrix, constructed using the information-theoretic notion of Kullback-Leibler divergence. An extension to conditional value-at-risk is also specified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1551-1553 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085019 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085019&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1551-1553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Title: More on the energy/nonenergy price link Abstract: This note re-examines the energy/nonenergy price link. Using annual data from the period 1960 to 2008, it finds that the pass-through of energy price changes to the overall nonenergy commodity index is 0.28. At a more disaggregated level, the fertilizer index exhibited the largest pass-through (0.55), followed by agriculture (0.26) and metals (0.25). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1555-1558 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120683 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120683&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1555-1558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Do 'African American' films perform better or worse at the box office? An empirical analysis of motion picture revenues and profits Abstract: This article investigates the box office performance of films defined as being 'African American', with respect to their cast and content material, against those which are not. Using a large sample of films released in the North American market from 1997 to 2007, the analysis shows that, in general, African American films earn higher revenues yet are typically produced on lower budgets. Regression results of revenues show that this difference is highly statistically significant. Further, the profit functions are also statistically different, leading to the conclusion that, ceteris paribus, African American films perform better at the box office. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1564 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903103689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903103689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1559-1564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Rainer Klump Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Klump Title: Poverty and government transfers in the United States Abstract: This article examines the long-term impact of government transfers on poverty in the United States using cointegration techniques. In contrast to most existing studies, we find that government transfers play an important poverty-reducing role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1569 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903051516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903051516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1565-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Managerial entrenchment and corporate bond financing: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article investigates whether managerial entrenchment of controlling shareholders affects corporate bond financing. Using data on Japanese manufacturing firms, we find that firms with large corporate shareholders as controlling shareholders issue less straight corporate bonds than other firms. The results show that managerial entrenchment of controlling shareholders has an influential impact on corporate bond financing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1574 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903051508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903051508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1571-1574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Shuchen Kang Author-X-Name-First: Shuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Purchasing power parity for 10 Latin American integration association countries: panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This empirical study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of 10 Latin American Integration Association (LAIA) countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for the LAIA-10 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for half of these LAIA-10 countries. These results have important policy implications for these LAIA-10 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1575-1580 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1575-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Reschreiter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Reschreiter Title: The inflation protection from indexed bonds Abstract: Indexed bonds provide protection against inflation if they are (i) insensitive to revisions of inflation expectations but (ii) adjust one-for-one to unexpected inflation. The sensitivity of British index-linked gilts to unexpected inflation is statistically significant and consistent with a unit response. This protection of British index-linked gilts against a loss of contemporaneous purchasing power is consistent with the view that indexed bonds avoid the inflation risk compensation of conventional bonds. This suggests that issuing indexed instead of conventional government bonds reduces the long-run funding costs of the public sector borrowing requirement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1581-1585 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903066639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903066639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1581-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Marzo Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Marzo Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Volatility forecasting for crude oil futures Abstract: This article studies the forecasting properties of linear GARCH models for closing-day futures prices on crude oil, first position, traded in the New York Mercantile Exchange from January 1995 to November 2005. To account for fat tails in the empirical distribution of the series, we compare models based on the normal, Student's t and generalized exponential distribution. We focus on out-of-sample predictability by ranking the models according to a large array of statistical loss functions. The results from the tests for predictive ability show that the GARCH-G model fares best for short horizons from 1 to 3 days ahead. For horizons from 1 week ahead, no superior model can be identified. We also consider out-of-sample loss functions based on value-at-risk that mimic portfolio managers and regulators' preferences. Exponential GARCH models display the best performance in this case. The swings in oil prices that gave investors and traders whiplash in 2004 are not preventing new investors from rushing into oil and other energy-related commodities this year. (…) Ultimately, the rising number of speculator could lead to even more price volatility in 2005, pushing the highs higher and the lows lower. (…) After a generation in the wilderness, the oil futures that are used to make a bet on oil prices have become a bona fide investment, said Charles O'Donnell, who manages Lake Asset Management, a small energy fund based in London. Heather Timmons, The New York Times1 Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1587-1599 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903084996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903084996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1587-1599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinearity in US macroeconomic time series Abstract: In this study, we evaluate the linearity of 170 major monthly US macroeconomic time series spanning the years 1959-2002. Employing the linearity test recently proposed by Harvey et al. (2008), which is applicable when the order of integration is uncertain, we determined that more than half of the macroeconomic time series were nonlinear. In particular, approximately 75% of the time series in nominal prices, wages and money category were determined to be nonlinear, whereas the least abundant evidence, corresponding to approximately 43% of the series, was detected in the category of construction, inventories and order. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1601-1609 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085001 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085001&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1601-1609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Lally Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Lally Title: The risk-adjusted costs of financial distress: a comment Abstract: Almeida and Philippon (2007) argue that the present value of the costs of financial distress is considerably larger than previously estimated through failure to recognize that the relevant probabilities to use in this assessment are the risk-adjusted probabilities rather than the historical probabilities. However, Almeida and Philippon have still underestimated the present value of the costs of financial distress through failure to recognize that the costs are expected to grow over time, and correction for this more than doubles their present value. Accordingly, the present value of the tax benefits of debt net of the financial distress costs is now clearly negative rather than marginally positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1611-1613 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1611-1613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Wong Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Wai Cheong Shum Author-X-Name-First: Wai Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Shum Title: Exchange-traded funds in bullish and bearish markets Abstract: An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) aims to track the performance of market indices. This article examines the performances of 15 worldwide ETFs across bearish and bullish markets over the period 1999 to 2007. The results indicate that ETFs always provide higher returns in a bullish market than in a bearish market by the Sharpe ratio test that shows that ETF returns are not positive, proportional to the market volatility. Additionally, ETFs with the same underlying index do not perform exactly the same. It is believed that active portfolio management plays an important role in ETFs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1615-1624 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1615-1624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Burren Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Burren Author-Name: Klaus Neusser Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Neusser Title: The decline in volatility of US GDP growth Abstract: The decline in volatility of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a well-known stylized fact of post WWII macroeconomic data. Economists call this observation the Great Moderation. This article contributes to the discussion whether the drop in GDP volatility was a one-time break or a trend decrease (Blanchard and Simon, 2001; Fang and Miller, 2007). We provide evidence for a nonlinear time trend in the volatility of GDP growth and give support for the hypothesis that the 1970s were special in the sense of Blanchard and Simon (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1625-1631 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1625-1631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Banghan Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Banghan Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Ming-Te Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Te Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ming-Long Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kevin Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Time-varying real estate sensitivities of mortgage REITs Abstract: This study examines the linkage between mortgage Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) returns and the private real estate factor. The results show that real estate sensitivities of mortgage REITs are time varying and have been significant since 2000. Furthermore, home-financing mortgage REITs appear to be more sensitive to real estate market fluctuations than commercial-financing mortgage REITs are. This differential sensitivity is consistent with the notion that the default risk and the prepayment risk associated with residential mortgage loans are more closely related to real estate market conditions than are commercial mortgage loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1640 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1633-1640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Munisamy Gopinath Author-X-Name-First: Munisamy Author-X-Name-Last: Gopinath Title: Demand estimation when some prices are unobserved: an application to fresh lettuce Abstract: This study proposes a linear two-stage approach to derive prices of observations when reported consumption is zero. In the first stage, demand equations are estimated using an ad hoc filling of unobserved prices. Then, each estimated demand equation is solved for price and a numerical estimate of the price, which drives consumption to zero, referred to as the choke price, is calculated. The demand equations are re-estimated with the choke-price series replacing the initial ad hoc prices. Although differing claims can be made on the appropriateness of the chosen method for filling prices, we demonstrate significant differences in statistical fit of the demand model and own-price demand elasticities among alternative approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1641-1646 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903166165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903166165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1641-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Link Author-Name: Bryan Townsend Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Townsend Title: Who receives statins? Variations in physician prescribing patterns for patients with coronary heart disease Abstract: Using a nationally representative data set including patients most likely to benefit from statins, we find racial/ethnic and insurance-related disparities in physician prescribing patterns. Whites and patients who have private insurance are more likely to be prescribed a statin than nonwhites and those with public insurance. Because coronary heart disease is the leading cause of death in the USA and currently is estimated to cost over $150 billion annually, observed differences in prescribing patterns along these dimensions should be part of discussions dealing with health care reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1647-1652 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903266783 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903266783&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1647-1652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Currency, credit, confidence and bubbles Abstract: The popular media suggest that the Federal Reserve is 'all powerful' in determining things like interest rates and inflation, but this is not true. The Fed controls currency and reserves - imperfectly - but the money supply is determined by the numerous decisions of borrowers and lenders to expand credit. Thus, the Fed can try to pump reserves into the financial system, but it will not result in an expansion of any monetary aggregates. Monetary policy can also lead to price bubbles. When people think of money and inflation, they usually think about inflation in goods prices. This stems from the quantity theory of money that treated the number of transactions taking place as being proportional to goods and services produced. That may have been appropriate for a society in which most transactions were indeed for goods and services, but today, the transactions for real estate and securities dwarf the transactions for goods and services. This means that the quantity theory of money needs to be rethought, and this rethinking illuminates how excess money supply growth can cause price bubbles in securities, real estate and commodities as well as traditional inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1653-1655 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1653-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Movie producers and the statistical distribution of achievement Abstract: This article investigates De Vany's (2004) application of the Pareto distribution to the careers of actors and directors by considering a sample of movie producers. The results support the Pareto distribution for describing the 'number of films produced' and the 'sum of box office revenue' earned by a producer. The results suggest that a producer is more likely to produce another film as the number of films which they have already produced increases. Also, although an early career producer faces more chance of securing a further film by pure luck, an established producer greatly benefits from his/her previous success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1657-1661 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903194183 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903194183&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1657-1661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: John Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: Can fighting grade inflation help the bottom line? Abstract: This article uses a rich set of student transcript data to estimate the economic cost incurred by a university when it does not adopt a 'mean-shift grading policy' to fight grade inflation. We show that even in the face of moral hazard constraints a university can enhance its profitability by fighting grade inflation with a distribution-shifting policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1663-1667 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1663-1667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Smith Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Bond portfolio duration, cash flow dispersion and convexity Abstract: Immunization is a well-known fixed-income strategy to lock in a target rate of return over a known investment horizon. This is accomplished by structuring the bonds so that the duration of the portfolio matches the time horizon and then rebalancing the portfolio to maintain the match as time passes and yields change. The structural risk to the strategy can be measured by the cash flow dispersion or by the convexity of the immunizing portfolio. The general relationship between the duration, cash flow dispersion and convexity statistics for any date in the current period is derived in the article. Although both statistics measure the risk, convexity is significantly easier to implement in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1669-1672 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1669-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: David Stifel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stifel Title: Race and gender differences in the cognitive effects of childhood overweight Abstract: The increase in the prevalence of overweight children (ages 6-13 years) in the United States over the past two decades is likely to result in adverse public health consequences. We use data from the children of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 cohort to investigate an additional consequence of childhood overweight - its effect on relative cognitive development. To control for unobserved heterogeneity, we estimate individual (child) fixed effect (FE) models and instrumental variable (IV) models. Although recent research suggests that there is a negligible effect of childhood overweight on cognitive ability, our results demonstrate that the effects are uncovered when examining the relationship separately by race. In particular, we find that overweight white boys have math and reading scores approximately an SD lower than the mean. Overweight white girls have lower math scores whereas overweight black boys and girls have lower reading scores. Our results suggest that in addition to well-documented health consequences, overweight children may also be at risk in terms of experiencing adverse education outcomes, which could lead to lower future wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1673-1679 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251256 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251256&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1673-1679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Hyndman Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Hyndman Author-Name: Antoine Terracol Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Terracol Author-Name: Jonathan Vaksmann Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Vaksmann Title: Strategic interactions and belief formation: an experiment Abstract: Traditional models of belief formation in repeated games assume adaptive players who do not take strategic interactions into account. We find that these approaches are limited in the sense that people think more strategically and realize that, in contrast with the classical view, their own actions are likely to influence their opponents' behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1681-1685 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1681-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of trade freedom on per capita real GDP growth among OECD nations: recent panel data evidence Abstract: Motivated by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s call to nations to resist protectionism and keep markets open to competition in the midst of the current world economic crisis, this study empirically investigates the impact of trade freedom (TF) on recent per capita real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth among OECD nations. In addition to TF, the study controls for the impacts of Business Freedom (BF), Monetary Freedom (MF) and Property Rights (PR), along with various economic factors. The study period runs from 2005 to 2007. Panel Least-Squares (PLS) estimation finds that the natural log of per capita real Purchasing-Power-Parity (PPP)-adjusted GDP in OECD nations is in fact an increasing function of TF, as well as BF, MF and PR security. The OECD appears correct in its position on behalf of maintaining TF. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Author-Name: Reinhard Madlener Author-X-Name-First: Reinhard Author-X-Name-Last: Madlener Title: Impact of disaggregated ICT capital on electricity intensity in European manufacturing Abstract: In this article we empirically analyse the impact of disaggregated ICT capital on the electricity intensity in five major European manufacturing industries (chemical, food, metal, pulp and paper, textile). The analysis of each industrial sector is based on an unbalanced panel including data for eight EU member countries (Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden and the UK) for the period 1991 to 2005. The panel-econometric approach, in which we account for country-specific fixed effects, is based on a factor demand model similar to the one derived in Collard et al. (2005) for the French service sector. On the one hand, our analysis provides some evidence for an electricity-saving effect on production, induced by communication technologies in all sectors considered. On the other hand, the effect of computers and software on the electricity intensity of industrial production is not that clear-cut, but it does seem to be strongly dependent on the sector-specific production processes involved. Overall, the net effect of ICT diffusion on electricity intensity of production appears to be in favour of an enhancement of electricity efficiency in production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1695 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1691-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shi Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Shi Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sanghack Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sanghack Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sung Hee Jun Author-X-Name-First: Sung Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Jun Title: Author and article characteristics, journal quality and citation in economic research Abstract: Citation count serves as an indicator of quality of research in economics as well as in many other disciplines. The purpose of this article is to examine the effects of author and article characteristics on the citations in economics research. We investigate empirically the relationship between citations and author and article characteristics for different journal quality. We found that the same institution (affiliation) and the location of authors may affect the citation positively. Moreover, journal quality affects some of these variables differently. This article also provides rationales for these results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1697-1701 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1697-1701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Luiz Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Alex Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: The determinants of default risk in Brazil Abstract: We formulated a general unrestricted model of the Brazilian Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) spreads, a proxy for the country's default risk. Employing algorithms that perform automated model selection, we found that macroeconomic fundamentals, such as current account deficit ratio to gross domestic product, public deficit ratio to gross domestic product and imports over foreign exchange reserves, can explain a great part of the variation in EMBI+ spreads. There is also robust evidence of systematic contagion from Argentina and Mexico and that the variance of the spread also affects its mean. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1703-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1703-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senay Asma Author-X-Name-First: Senay Author-X-Name-Last: Asma Title: Conditional entropy distribution of Istanbul stock market value Abstract: In this study, the conditional distributions of Istanbul stock market value are obtained by using entropy optimization. The aim is to observe how the fluctuation of the conditional distributions changes according to different correlation values between the value of the firm and its stock price fluctuation. The entropy optimization problem, which is taken into account, is bivariate, so a geometric programming approach is used to convert it to a univariate problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1713 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903136655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903136655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1709-1713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Miriam Marcen Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Author-X-Name-Last: Marcen Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: How do children affect parents' allocation of time? Abstract: There is an extensive literature examining the relationship between elder care, child care and labour market activities, although these studies have largely overlooked their simultaneity. This article explores the relationship between these three activities, accounting for the influence that children have on parental allocation of time, using the 2002-2003 Spanish Time Use Survey (STUS). We find that the presence of children has quantitatively significant positive effects on the extent of dependent care-giving activities, with this increase in care-giving being compensated for by a decrease in the time devoted to the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1715-1719 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903153767 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903153767&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1715-1719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: De-Piao Tang Author-X-Name-First: De-Piao Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity for 15 COMESA and SADC countries: evidence based on panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for 15 countries belonging to the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) over the period of December 1994 to July 2008. The empirical results from the univariate unit root and panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for these 15 countries; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for three of these 15 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1721-1727 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903153775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903153775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1721-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariasole Banno Author-X-Name-First: Mariasole Author-X-Name-Last: Banno Author-Name: Lucia Piscitello Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Piscitello Title: The effectiveness of incentives to firms' outward internationalization Abstract: This article provides an empirical analysis on the effects of incentives to firms' outward internationalization on the firm's growth. Specifically, the analysis is conducted on 237 Italian firms that received an incentive in the period 1991 to 2007 versus a counterfactual sample of 307 firms that internationalized their activity in the same period without any incentive. The econometric results, stemming from a two-step treatment effect model, reveal that selection for getting the incentive tended not to be a random event and that incentives to firms' internationalization are highly effective especially when targeted towards smaller companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1729-1733 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903183459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903183459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1729-1733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Raquel Ortega-Lapiedra Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega-Lapiedra Title: Self-employment and time stress: the effect of leisure quality Abstract: Levels of time stress have increased markedly over the last 30 years, affecting well-being. Self-employment is viewed as allowing the individual greater autonomy and more flexible hours, which may reduce time stress. This article analyses time stress of the self-employed, compared to the employed, using the Spanish Time Use Survey (2002/03) finding that, when objective indicators of time allocation are included, being self-employed increases the time stress perceived by men, with our interpretation being based on the notion that not only the quantity but also the quality of leisure matters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1738 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903266791 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903266791&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1735-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rada Dakovic Author-X-Name-First: Rada Author-X-Name-Last: Dakovic Author-Name: Claudia Czado Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Czado Author-Name: Daniel Berg Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Bankruptcy prediction in Norway: a comparison study Abstract: In this article we develop statistical models for bankruptcy prediction of Norwegian firms in the limited liability sector using annual balance sheet information. We fit generalized linear, generalized linear mixed and Generalized Additive Models (GAM) in a discrete hazard setting. It is demonstrated that careful examination of the functional relationship between the explanatory variables and the probability of bankruptcy enhances the models' forecasting performance. Using information on the industry sector we model the unobserved heterogeneity between different sectors through an industry-specific random factor in the generalized linear mixed model. The models developed are shown to outperform the model with Altman's variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1746 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1739-1746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hillard Huntington Author-X-Name-First: Hillard Author-X-Name-Last: Huntington Title: Oil demand and technical progress Abstract: This analysis provides an empirical perspective on the role of technical progress in OECD oil demand since 1971. It differentiates the role of price-induced and exogenous technical progress from other time-related factors that may influence oil demand growth. Results confirm that both sources of technical progress operate but that price-induced improvements appear to be substantially larger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1747-1751 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1747-1751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allen Dennis Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Dennis Title: Global economic crisis and trade: the role of trade facilitation Abstract: The onset of the global economic crisis has led to a slump in global demand. However, the extent to which major trading powers have reduced their imports has differed by trading partner. Like financial contagion, could it be the case that countries that are better integrated in the global trading system via efficient trade facilitation environment suffered the most because of their interconnectedness? Using recent data from the US census bureau, this study finds that the efficiency of the trade facilitation environment actually helped to mitigate the effects of the global slump in demand. Other countries with a better trade facilitation environment suffered less of a drop in their exports to the United States compared to those with a weaker trade facilitation environment. Specifically, an extra day's delay in the exporting country accounted for about a 0.5% more fall in import demand from the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1753-1757 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1753-1757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manfred Gartner Author-X-Name-First: Manfred Author-X-Name-Last: Gartner Title: Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices: guinea pigs versus the pros Abstract: The notion that US stock prices follow a pattern that is synchronized with presidential elections has been discussed among financial investors for a long time. Academic work exists that supports this idea, quantifies the pattern and has demonstrated its robustness over several decades and across parties in power. This article takes the existence and robustness of this presidential election cycle for granted and asks whether individuals exploit it when they predict stock prices. It considers and contrasts two types of such forecasts: Those made by professionals included in the Livingston survey and those made by students in a laboratory experiment. A key result is that neither group fares particularly well, though participants in the experiment outperformed the professionals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1765 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1759-1765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: The most simple methodology to create a valid correlation matrix for risk management and option pricing purposes Abstract: We present a methodology for obtaining a valid correlation matrix from an invalid one for financial applications. In contrast to other approaches, the methodology described only requires the use of elementary matrix algebra and a simple randomization procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1767-1768 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1767-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lakshmi Balasubramanyan Author-X-Name-First: Lakshmi Author-X-Name-Last: Balasubramanyan Author-Name: Spiro Stefanou Author-X-Name-First: Spiro Author-X-Name-Last: Stefanou Author-Name: Jeffrey Stokes Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Stokes Title: Declining cost efficiency as a signal of increasing bank vulnerability: an entropy-based approach Abstract: The mortgage crisis of 2007/08 has impacted the health of both small and large commercial banks in the financial services industry. The pressing question is how do regulators and bank monitors identify the warning signals of bank vulnerability and bank risk because of weakening credit and asset markets. Linking poor bank performance and efficiency, we employ an information theoretic approach to derive the cost efficiency scores and evaluate the effects of crisis signalling factors such as different types of loans on cost efficiency of the smallest and largest commercial banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1781 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1769-1781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Did the turmoil affect money-market segmentation in the Euro area? Abstract: Yes. For the preturmoil period, exogeneity tests from vector autoregression (VAR) models suggest the presence of a transmission channel from longer maturities to the overnight. This disappears in the subsample starting in 9 August, 2007. The results of the semiparametric tests of Cappiello et al. (2005a) report evidence of an increase in volatility contagion within the longer end of the money-market curve, which takes place in the lower tail of the empirical distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1783-1788 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1783-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: Seigniorage revenue or consumer revenue? Theoretical and empirical evidences Abstract: The purpose of this article is to propose a seigniorage model including the contributions of Bailey (1956) and Marty (1976), using an alternative framework from Mankiw (1987), to test how much degree their results are supported and to estimate the seigniorage model. The government decides the money growth rate to maximize the social welfare function for each of seigniorage revenue aversion, loving and neutrality. The Japanese data shows that the social welfare function supports seigniorage revenue aversion, supporting the results of Bailey and Marty, and that the degree of seigniorage revenue aversion is stronger in the 2000s than in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1789-1795 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1789-1795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiale Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiale Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of a diagnosis-related group-based prospective payment experiment: the experience of Shanghai Abstract: The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the 2004 and 2005 Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG)-based Prospective Payment Experiments (whereby a ceiling was set on per case payments for 15 DRGs) of the health insurance system in Shanghai using Differences-In-Differences (DID) and Differences-in-Differences-in-Differences (DDD) empirical strategies. The results show that the Length Of Stay (LOS) of all inpatients suffering from the target diseases during the two test periods responded quickly to the experiment (even though only insured inpatients living in Shanghai were eligible for the DRG-based experiments), thus implying that the DRG-based prospective payment system does not induce physicians to significantly reduce inpatient expenditures but does induce them to reduce the LOS of those suffering from the target diseases. Moreover, costs were shifted to uninsured inpatients suffering from the target diseases: their overall inpatient expenditures increased by 33.6 percentage points more than that of uninsured inpatients during the nontest period in 2005. Thus, the experiments were of limited effectiveness, and cost-shifting to uninsured inpatients was observed during at least the latter test period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1797-1803 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903317347 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903317347&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1797-1803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aikaterini Andronikidi Author-X-Name-First: Aikaterini Author-X-Name-Last: Andronikidi Author-Name: Vasileios Kallinterakis Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Kallinterakis Title: Thin trading and its impact upon herding: the case of Israel Abstract: Emerging markets have been found to accommodate higher herding levels compared to their developed counterparts, yet very little attention has been drawn to the possible impact of thin trading over herding estimations, even though these markets are often typified by thin trading. We address this issue by testing for herding in the Israeli market using the methodology proposed by Hwang and Salmon (2004). Results indicate that correcting for thin trading renders herding more persistent and smoother in its evolution, thus indicating that thin trading leads to an underestimated picture of herding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1805-1810 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1805-1810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Gritti Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Gritti Author-Name: Nicolai Foss Author-X-Name-First: Nicolai Author-X-Name-Last: Foss Title: Customer satisfaction and competencies: an econometric study of an Italian bank Abstract: We empirically address how Customer Satisfaction (CS) and loyalty in the banking industry may affect profitability. This helps in identifying the strategy and competencies necessary to benefit from customer relationships, which are important sources for improved performance in the banking. We do this by analysing data collected on 2105 customers of 118 branches of one of the biggest banks of an Italian banking group. We find that CS impacts loyalty, which in turn has a direct effect on financial and nonfinancial customer value/total customer value/complex customer value. Moreover, loyalty is a mediator between financial and nonfinancial customer value and two sources of CS, namely, relationships with the front office and the branch, on the one hand, and the products offered, on the other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1811-1817 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1811-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasco Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Vasco Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Pataaree Sangduan Author-X-Name-First: Pataaree Author-X-Name-Last: Sangduan Title: An efficient test of fiscal sustainability Abstract: We suggest using the efficient test with prespecified cointegration vectors of Horvath and Watson (1995) for the 'strong' fiscal sustainability hypothesis. Unlike this procedure, conventional methodologies tend to penalize the sustainability hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1819-1822 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1819-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theologos Dergiades Author-X-Name-First: Theologos Author-X-Name-Last: Dergiades Author-Name: Apostolos Dasilas Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Dasilas Title: Modelling and forecasting mobile telecommunication services: the case of Greece Abstract: In this article we try to model the adoption pattern of mobile telecommunication services into the Greek market for the period 1993 to 2005. Two separate sigmoid curves, the Gompertz and the Logistic, are fitted to the observed number of subscribers by means of nonlinear least squares. Our empirical results reached three conclusions. First, the introduction of the pre-paid mobile telephony in 1997 along with the entry of the third mobile operator in 1998 has boosted the diffusion process in Greece; second, the levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun; third, the average expected growth rate in new subscribers is less than half percent for the period between 2006 and 2015. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1823-1828 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903373258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903373258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1823-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaoquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The model-free measures and the volatility spread Abstract: In this article, we empirically investigate the relationship between realized and risk-neutral volatilities by applying the model-free measures to FTSE-100 index and index options from April 1992 to March 2005. Based on the deviation between the risk-neutral and the physical volatilities, we estimate the volatility spread through the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and reveal the volatility risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1829-1833 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1829-1833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicky Yeong Author-X-Name-First: Nicky Author-X-Name-Last: Yeong Author-Name: Chong Mun Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chong Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Ho Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Author-Name: Mori Kogid Author-X-Name-First: Mori Author-X-Name-Last: Kogid Title: A test of the present value model of stock prices under rational and adaptive expectations using Bursa Malaysia data from 1983 to 2003 Abstract: The rational expectations model has been the central expectations hypothesis used by economists while the adaptive expectations hypothesis has been considered by many as inefficient because expectations cannot fully exploit all available information. The aim of this study is to determine which of these two expectations formation hypotheses best explains the behaviour of investors in the Malaysian stock market. We employ the Chow (1988) methodology in which the two expectations hypotheses are applied to the present value model of stock prices for Malaysian stock market data consisting of stock prices and dividends for 13 companies over 21 years. Our results provide strong statistical support for the adaptive expectations hypothesis. This finding is in line with the empirical findings of Chow and his collaborators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1835-1839 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903317354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903317354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1835-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irene Daskalopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Daskalopoulou Author-Name: Panagiotis Liargovas Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Liargovas Title: Regional determinants of manufacturing start-ups in Greece: evidence on the effect of agglomeration economies Abstract: This article analyses the regional determinants of manufacturing start-up ratios in Greece. Emphasis is placed on the effect of agglomeration economies, which are distinguished between urbanization and localization economies. The data refer to the establishments realized in the 51 Greek prefectures (NUTS III level) in 2005. Results indicate that negative urbanization economies prevail. Localization economies in the form of positive Marshallian and negative Jacobian externalities are observed and constitute important determinants of start-up ratios. Results regarding the effect of other factors such as expected demand and profit, cost and human resources factors are as anticipated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1841-1844 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903388272 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903388272&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1841-1844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ricardo Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Assessing long-term fiscal developments: evidence from Portugal Abstract: We use a Three-Stage Least Square (TSLS) method and a system of equations to recursively estimate two components of fiscal policy - responsiveness and persistence - and to infer about the sources of fiscal deterioration (improvement). The results suggest that (i) government spending exhibits higher persistence than government revenue and (ii) government revenue is more responsive to the business cycle than government spending, pointing to fiscal deterioration issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425090 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425090&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Who cut the cheese? Abstract: In this article I examine whether retail and producer prices for American processed cheese follow a long-run linear relationship. The results suggest that wholesale and retail prices are not cointegrated, even when allowance is made for nonlinear and threshold effects, suggesting little evidence of pass-through of costs to the retail level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425082 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425082&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Michiel Glasbeek Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Glasbeek Title: The ECB's survey of professional forecasters and financial market volatility in the euro area Abstract: Since 1999, the European Central Bank (ECB) conducts a quarterly survey of the economic outlook in the euro area among professional forecasters. This article investigates the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty, measured as the dispersion in economic forecasts across survey participants, and financial market volatility. We find a significant positive short-run relationship between stock market volatility and uncertainty about the future level of economic activity. In contrast, bond market volatility is mainly affected by inflation uncertainty. In addition, we find long-run cointegration relationships between asset market volatilities and macroeconomic uncertainties. We also investigate the sensitivity of our results to the inclusion of the extremely volatile post-Lehman period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:11-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annette Bergemann Author-X-Name-First: Annette Author-X-Name-Last: Bergemann Author-Name: Regina Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Female labour supply and parental leave benefits - the causal effect of paying higher transfers for a shorter period of time Abstract: We study the labour supply effects of a major change in child-subsidy policy in Germany in 2007 designed to increase both fertility and shorten birth-related employment interruptions. The reform involved a move from a means-tested maternity leave benefit system that paid a maximum of 300 Euro for up to 2 years to a benefit system that replaced two-thirds of pre-birth earnings for at most 1 year. As the reform took place very recently, we estimate the labour supply effect by using data drawn from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) on the intention of women to return to the labour market. Our results show that the reform yields most of the intended effects: the fraction of mothers who plan to return to the labour market within a year after the interview increased by 14 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425173 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425173&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Title: Measuring performance in the Portuguese banking industry with a Fourier regression model Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of banks' profitability in the Portuguese banking sector during the period 1990 to 2005. The study extends the established literature on modelling the banks'k performance by applying a Fourier approximation in order to detect for possible nonlinearities between the profitability variables and the explanatory variables. In so doing, we verify that the introduction of the Fourier coefficients in the analysis quite improved the quality of the adjustments, the need to accept the existence of nonlinear relationships among the variables involved in the study thus becoming evident. The results of this article suggest that the best performing banks in the Portuguese banking sector are those which have endeavoured to improve their capital and labour productivity, those which have maintained a high dimension and, finally, those which have been able to reinforce their capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409755 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409755&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:21-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Cunha Marques Author-X-Name-First: Rui Cunha Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Performance of European airports: regulation, ownership and managerial efficiency Abstract: This article analyses regulation, ownership and unobserved managerial ability as factors affecting the performance of a representative sample of European airports by means of frontier models. The Alvarez et al. (2004) frontier model is used. These airports are ranked according to their technical efficiency during the period 2001 to 2004 and homogenous and heterogeneous variables are disentangled in the cost function, which leads us to advise the implementation of common policies as well as policies by segments. Economic implications arising from the study are also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:29-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clifford Lipscomb Author-X-Name-First: Clifford Author-X-Name-Last: Lipscomb Author-Name: Brandon Koford Author-X-Name-First: Brandon Author-X-Name-Last: Koford Title: Conservative dichotomous choice responses in the active policy setting: the case of University Parking Abstract: This study presents evidence of strategic behaviour in faculty/staff members' reports of willingness-to-pay at a public university. The results suggest that (1) students have a higher mean willingness-to-pay than faculty/staff and that (2) faculty/staff reject clear gains because they expect a revision to the parking permit fee structure in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:39-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Author-Name: Lionel Richefort Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Richefort Title: Diffusion of irrigation technologies: the role of mimicking behaviour and public incentives Abstract: We develop a conceptual framework designed to assess the impact of public incentives on the diffusion process of modern, water-saving irrigation technologies. Diffusion patterns of the integral sprinkler cover system in the sugarcane sector of Reunion Island (France) are estimated using a sample of 110 farmers aggregated over the period 1990 to 2006. We show that imitation is the main explanatory factor of the adoption dynamics. We also show that the characteristic diffusion path is not perfectly symmetric and is significantly affected by equipment subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425025 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425025&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:43-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Castillo-Manzano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Manzano Author-Name: Manuel Marchena-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Marchena-Gomez Title: Analysis of determinants of airline choice: profiling the LCC passenger Abstract: This article analyses the socioeconomic characteristics and trip attributes that influence or correlate with airline choice using a database of 20 000 passengers. One of the conclusions that should be highlighted is the lack of significance of socioeconomic variables except when the passenger is non-Spanish and the frequency with which one travels. And yet there are many trip attributes that condition the choice. Of these the following can be highlighted: the destination, the purpose, the need to transfer to another flight, the duration of the trip, the passenger's choice of accommodation or whether the trip is made on a weekend or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425108 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425108&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wade Pfau Author-X-Name-First: Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Pfau Title: An optimizing framework for the glide paths of life cycle asset allocation funds Abstract: In choosing a glide path strategy for asset allocation over their working lives, retirement savers face a trade-off between the higher expected wealth provided by strategies that maintain or increase equity holdings over time and the greater potential security offered from shifting into more conservative assets. We quantify this trade-off with an expected utility framework for our simulated distribution of target-date wealth accumulations under a variety of life cycle, fixed and contrarian glide path strategies. We find justification for the life cycle strategy for savers with very reasonable amounts of risk aversion, and we also provide guidance about utility-maximizing glide paths. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Chaitanya Author-X-Name-Last: Vadlamannati Title: The level and growth effects of human capital in India Abstract: In the extended Solow growth model of Mankiw et al. (1992), human capital has only permanent level and no growth effects. In the endogenous growth models human capital is a growth-improving variable. Human capital may have both a permanent level and a permanent growth effect, we show how both can be estimated with an extension to the Solow model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shu-Chen Kang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for major oil-exporting countries using panel SURADF tests Abstract: The panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for eight major oil-exporting countries over the 1992:06 to 2008:02. Empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for eight major oil-exporting countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for five countries with the exception of three countries, Kuwait, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. These results have important policy implications for these eight oil-exporting countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Changing volatility of long-term UK interest rates during Pax Britannica Abstract: It is generally believed that the political and economic stability pertaining during the heyday of Britain's imperial power contributed to reduced uncertainty in the UK financial markets at that time. Employing quite a unique data set for the sample period spanning 1850-1914, we examine in this study the stability of four long-term UK interest rates, including the yield on Consols. Although we find some evidence for changing volatility in three interest rates, it appears that overall the interest rates did indeed exhibit remarkable stability over the long sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:69-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pao-Peng Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Pao-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Chen-Hui Yen Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Author-Name: Ya-Hui Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Li-Ling Chou Author-X-Name-First: Li-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Cycle and performance of mutual funds - an application of spectral analysis Abstract: This study investigates the daily and monthly data of nine major categories of funds from 1997 to 2008. It hopes to verify if lead-lag relations exist amid different categories of funds. The study has come up with two major conclusions: (1) the funds in respective categories mostly have a regular cyclical phenomenon; (2) three kinds of lead-lag relations in return exist amid various categories of funds, in which the first kind of relations is bond funds leading equity funds and equity funds leading energy funds, the second kind of relations is bond funds leading technology funds and technology funds leading energy funds and the third kind of relations is currency funds leading real estate funds. Thus, the investors can not only optimize their investment portfolios but also know the timing that they should buy or sell the funds' position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: How stable is the seasonal pattern in cinema admissions? Evidence from the UK Abstract: Conventionally, the seasonal pattern in a time series is taken as exogenous. However, two recent studies from the US have suggested, the seasonal component in box office revenue may in part be endogenously determined. Films that are expected to do well tend to be released at times of peak demand. Hence, the seasonal pattern may reflect both the underlying seasonal pattern and the market expansion effect of the films; evidence from the US suggests the former dominates the latter. This article investigates the same issue for the UK using a structural time series model. We find that, although the seasonal pattern varies over time, we are unable to reject the hypothesis that the seasonal factors are constant. This is consistent with findings from the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:81-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Pei-Chien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Price level convergence across cities? Evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: This article empirically tests for convergence in Consumer Price Indices (CPIs) across 17 major cities in the United States over the period 1918 to 2008. Although the conventional panel unit root tests generally fail to reject the null hypothesis of nonstationarity, the panel LM tests of Im et al. (2005), by taking the presence of structural breaks into account, find overwhelming evidence in support of the hypothesis of price convergence The main finding is confirmed even when we consider both the structural changes and the cross-sectional dependence by using the recent advanced panel unit root approach of Bai and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2009). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-93 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425157 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425157&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:87-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Tarzijan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzijan Author-Name: C. Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Firm, industry and corporation effects revisited: a mixed multilevel analysis for Chilean companies Abstract: The relative importance of the corporate, industry and firm effects on business performance has been studied profusely in the literature. Until now, little has been said about the nested structure of the problem. The multilevel analysis appears as a good alternative over the approaches used so far to better understand this phenomenon. This article analyses the significance of the aforesaid effects on Chilean firms and assesses the impact of various regressors on residual variances. The export intensity of firms and industries proved to have a significant impact on the estimated industry effect, making the industry-related variance statistically not different from zero. However, the industry's influence did not totally disappear, because the effect of export intensity on firms' profitability depends on the industry to which the firm belongs. Moreover, firm size turns out to be significant and positively associated with firm's return, which can be evidence of economies of scale or more efficient processes as a company grows in size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-100 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:95-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Author-Name: Galina Schwartz Author-X-Name-First: Galina Author-X-Name-Last: Schwartz Title: Transaction costs and iceberg costs Abstract: Iceberg costs are modelled as a transaction cost function, which increases exponentially in an action chosen by each player. The model estimates how much the players' joint ex post shares shrink in terms of their transaction constants and production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-102 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:101-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Labonne Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Labonne Author-Name: Robert Chase Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Chase Title: So you want to quit smoking: have you tried a mobile phone? Abstract: Using spatially coded data on mobile phone coverage and panel data from 2100 households in 135 communities of the Philippines, we estimate the impact of mobile phone ownership on tobacco consumption. Purchasing a mobile phone leads to a 17.1% decrease in tobacco consumption per adult over the age of 15. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prakash Kannan Author-X-Name-First: Prakash Author-X-Name-Last: Kannan Author-Name: Pau Rabanal Author-X-Name-First: Pau Author-X-Name-Last: Rabanal Author-Name: Alasdair Scott Author-X-Name-First: Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Title: Recurring patterns in the run-up to house price busts Abstract: We present evidence that shows that large increases in credit and residential investment shares, along with deteriorating current account balances, provide useful leading indicators of house price busts. These variables also explain cross-sectional patterns in the build-up to the 2007 crisis. Interestingly, movements in output and inflation have little ability to predict house price busts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:107-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Israel Waichman Author-X-Name-First: Israel Author-X-Name-Last: Waichman Author-Name: Till Requate Author-X-Name-First: Till Author-X-Name-Last: Requate Author-Name: Ch'ng Kean Siang Author-X-Name-First: Ch'ng Kean Author-X-Name-Last: Siang Title: Managers and students playing Cournot - evidence from duopoly and triopoly experiments Abstract: This article reports results from Cournot duopoly and triopoly experiments with different subject pools: German students, Malaysian students and Malaysian managers. We find that Malaysian managers perform significantly more collusively than Malaysian students. We also find that country matters insofar as German students perform significantly more collusively than their Malaysian counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Beckworth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Beckworth Title: The stance of US monetary policy: an alternative measure Abstract: Knowing the stance of monetary policy is important for its successful implementation. Typically, observers look to the changes in the money supply and short-term interest rates to determine the stance of monetary policy. Sometimes, however, discerning the stance of monetary policy through these measures can be misleading. In this article, an alternative measure of the stance of US monetary policy is proposed and empirically examined, which appears to be a promising improvement over the standard metrics currently used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903459727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903459727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Volpe Martincus Author-X-Name-First: Christian Volpe Author-X-Name-Last: Martincus Author-Name: Jeronimo Carballo Author-X-Name-First: Jeronimo Author-X-Name-Last: Carballo Author-Name: Andres Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Title: The impact of export promotion institutions on trade: is it the intensive or the extensive margin? Abstract: This article provides evidence on the channels through which export promotion institutions affect bilateral trade using a sample of Latin American and Caribbean countries over the period 1995 to 2004. We find that these institutions have a larger impact on the extensive margin of exports, especially in the case of trade promotion organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:127-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Finlay Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Finlay Author-Name: Callum Jones Author-X-Name-First: Callum Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Time-varying term premia and the expectations hypothesis in Australia Abstract: This article investigates whether the (rational) expectations hypothesis holds for Australian yield data (it does not), whether the hypothesis holds after adjusting for term premia estimated from an affine term structure model (it appears to) and whether the yield process implied by the term structure model can match the failure of the hypothesis on unadjusted yields (it can). These results suggest that the term structure model used in Finlay and Chambers (2009) does a reasonable job in capturing the risk-neutral and real-world dynamics of Australian interest rates, at least as measured through the prism of the expectations hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Farmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Farmer Author-Name: Eric Belasco Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Belasco Title: A finite mixture model of heterogeneous anchoring with distinct anchoring patterns Abstract: Bayesian models of starting price effects in contingent valuation studies have been used to track and to correct for starting price effects for more than two decades. Since then, the single parameter form that has been used to estimate the starting price effect has been adapted to distinguish among strategically induced, Bayesian or yea-saying responses (Whitehead, 2002). Recent works, however, show that these diagnostics can be inaccurate if heterogeneity exists in the value of the updating parameter. This work allows a more flexible functional form, beyond the single updating parameter, to capture a potentially richer set of starting price effects that may operate in a single dataset. First we employ a finite mixture model to sort respondents into latent classes. The finite mixture model locates three distinct types (latent classes) of respondents, and each exhibits a discretely different starting price-affected behaviour in a subsequent regression. Heterogeneity does not follow a continuous distribution across one starting price effect, such as a Bayesian updating parameter, that might be captured by a random parameter estimator. Rather effects fall into discrete classes. Researchers will need to better match theory to the diverse array of starting price effects detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-141 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:137-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Author-Name: Myra Yazbeck Author-X-Name-First: Myra Author-X-Name-Last: Yazbeck Title: Assessing the redistributive impact of higher education tuition fees reforms: the case of Quebec Abstract: In this article, we analyse the redistributive impact of a recent reform of tuition fees in Quebec. We adapt Duclos et al.'s (2005) methodology to a generalized Lorenz framework. Many policy analysts argued that maintaining low higher education tuition fees is regressive. We take a look at the empirical validity of this argument using data from Statistics Canada's Survey of Labor and Income Dynamics. We show the importance of using data to validate this argument. The results obtained allow for the conclusion that this redistributive argument is empirically not verified for the province of Quebec. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Author-Name: Mariana Spatareanu Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Spatareanu Title: Foreign direct investment and labour rights: a panel analysis of bilateral FDI flows Abstract: The article analyses the impact of fundamental labour rights on bilateral Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows to 82 developing countries. The results indicate that investments by multinationals are significantly higher in countries that adhere to labour rights, thereby refuting the hypothesis that repression of these rights fosters FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:149-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pieter de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Pieter Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Title: Are revenue forecasts rational? Evidence surrounding Reg FD Abstract: I test the rationality of analysts' revenue forecasts for a sample of value and growth stocks, which have been shown to have different valuation properties in previous research. Using one-quarter-ahead revenue forecasts and actual sales figures in a firm-by-firm and panel setting in the period 1997 to 2007, I find that all revenue forecasts are rational and actually improved after the introduction of regulation fair disclosure, albeit in larger proportion for value stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:153-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Boudreau Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Boudreau Title: All-pay auctions with discrete action spaces Abstract: This article describes all-pay auctions with discrete action spaces and shows that pure-strategy Nash equilibria may exist. Such equilibria are shown to be potentially more favourable to both buyers and sellers than the more standard mixed-strategy equilibria, thus suggesting that it can be in the interest of both sides to limit bidders' action spaces. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-162 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:161-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: FDI and human capital in the USA: is FDI in different industries created equal? Abstract: We use data in the USA to study the effect of inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in different sectors/industries on the state-level human capital, measured by the average years of tertiary schooling. We find that inward manufacturing FDI tends to lower the tertiary schooling in a host state while information FDI increases the tertiary schooling in a host state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hua Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Eric Lin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Does purchasing power parity hold following the launch of the euro? Evidence from the panel unit root test Abstract: Using a richer panel data set with more representative price indexes, this article adopts Pesaran's (2007) panel unit root test to study the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) across the eurozone countries both before and after the launch of the euro in 1999. We find that PPP holds before the introduction of the single currency, whereas it fails to hold after 1999. Our result is consistent with the finding in Engel and Rogers (2004) and Rogers (2007) that there is no longer a tendency to support the law of one price following the birth of the euro. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:167-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Ramprasath Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramprasath Title: Simpler proofs in finance and shout options Abstract: In the discrete binomial model for option pricing, the price of an American option is obtained using a backward recursion algorithm. However, the currently available justification for this algorithm is long and circuitous. Similarly, the key result used in the justification for antithetic sampling is not proved in standard financial texts. The proof is relegated to an older article, where the required result is masked by general details about association of random variables. This article gives self-contained, considerably simpler, proofs for both these basic results and extends these results to more general applications. In particular, it settles the question of optimality of early shouting for the buyer of Shout call options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903493189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903493189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:173-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niclas Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Title: The impact of economic fluctuations on crime: a multiscale analysis Abstract: In this article we use a wavelet-based approach in order to analyse the periodicity in the relationship between economic fluctuations and different types of crime. All examined types of crime share seasonal behaviour with variations of real economic activity. Removing the intrayear dynamics, we find that the effect of real economic activity is different between different types of crime. We conclude that property crimes, violence crimes and sex crimes are countercyclical. The reverse is true for both alcohol/drug-related crimes and economic crimes, because there is a highly significant increase of these types of crime during economic expansions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefania Mojon-Azzi Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Mojon-Azzi Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Hypertension and life satisfaction: an analysis using data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe Abstract: This study examines the relationship between hypertension and life satisfaction using more objective measures of hypertension from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Our results confirm the analysis in Blanchflower and Oswald (2008): there is a significant negative correlation between high blood pressure problems and life satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:183-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Gabas Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Gabas Author-Name: Maria-Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Gadea Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Title: Change in the persistence of the real exchange rates Abstract: We investigate the existence of multiple structural changes in the persistence of a broad sample of Real Exchange Rate (RER) using a new methodology proposed by Kejriwal et al. (2009). The application of this procedure shows that RER persistence has been unstable during the twentieth century. Yoon (2009) reaches the noteworthy conclusion that stationary RERs are more likely to be found in fixed nominal exchange rate regimes than in floating ones. Nevertheless, we find no support for this conclusion when the deterministic trend is withdrawn from the equation specification and the sample is extended by a decade with data belonging to the current float. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-192 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:189-192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Title: NFL bettor biases and price setting: further tests of the Levitt hypothesis of sportsbook behaviour Abstract: Empirical support for the Levitt hypothesis of sportsbook behaviour, where sportsbooks set prices to maximize profits, not to clear the market, is shown using data from actual sportsbooks. Betting percentages on favourites and underdogs (pointspread market) and overs and unders (totals market) were obtained using actual dollars bet (www.sportsbook.com) and percentage of bets made (www.sportsinsights.com). Both data sets reinforce the idea that sportsbooks are not setting prices to attract even betting dollars on both sides of the proposition. Big favourites, road favourites and overs on high totals are all shown to attract a significantly higher percentage of bets in both samples. Betting against public sentiment is shown to be statistically profitable for the National Football League pointspread market, but not in the market for totals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajen Mookerjee Author-X-Name-First: Rajen Author-X-Name-Last: Mookerjee Author-Name: Jellina Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jellina Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Banking services, transaction costs and international remittance flows Abstract: Using a unique data set on the financial sector, this article assesses the impact that financial sector development has on international remittance flows for a sample of 64 countries. The results show that greater financial sector development - as measured by bank branches per 1000 km2 - results in greater remittance flows to a country. However, this study also documents that transaction costs have no impact on remittance flows. This latter finding has important policy implications as reductions in transaction costs are often cited as an important approach to increase remittance flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:199-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matias Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Troy Quast Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Quast Title: Are recessions good for everyone's health? The association between mortality and the business cycle by race/ethnicity in the US Abstract: This article studies the effect of the business cycle on the mortality rates of the major racial/ethnic groups in the USA. We use county-level data from 1999 to 2005 and employ a panel econometric approach that includes county- and year-fixed effects. We found that the mortality rates for whites and latinos are procyclical, i.e, that economic expansions (contractions) are associated with increases (decreases) in mortality. Moreover, the magnitude of this relationship is larger for latinos than for whites. However, we generally do not find a statistically significant relationship for blacks. Finally, the procyclical relationship for whites and latinos increases in magnitude as the county becomes less racially/ethnically diverse. Taken together, these findings suggest that the procyclical association identified in previous studies of the overall US population may vary by race and ethnicity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:207-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Feenstra Schultz Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Feenstra Author-X-Name-Last: Schultz Author-Name: David John Doorn Author-X-Name-First: David John Author-X-Name-Last: Doorn Title: Employer health benefit costs and demand for part-time labour Abstract: The current healthcare policy debate in the USA has stressed the fact that a growing number of Americans are going without health insurance coverage. Much of this decline in coverage is due to rising costs affecting employer's provision of health insurance benefits to their employees. One potential avenue for this is through employers changing their employment mix and decreasing the number of employees eligible for such benefits in an effort to reduce costs. In this study we investigate the link between rising employer costs for health insurance benefits and the demand for part-time workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Time-varying X-efficiency: evidence from US property casualty insurers Abstract: The existing efficiency studies for the insurance industry rely on the time-invariant efficiency assumption, presumably because of the short duration of observation. However, temporal variation in firm efficiency could be substantial even for a short period of time. We demonstrate this point by examining the X-efficiency for the US property casualty insurers utilizing stochastic panel frontier models. Efficiencies are estimated under both time-invariant and time-varying efficiency assumptions using a large panel dataset from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) of years 2001-2006. It is shown that the two assumptions result in significantly different estimates. To test whether the estimated efficiencies correspond well to the properties that the true efficiencies should have, we investigate the relationship between the efficiency measures and other indicators of firm performance. The results suggest that the stochastic panel frontier model with time-varying efficiency provides more reasonable estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Claeys Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Claeys Author-Name: Fabio Manca Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Manca Title: A missing spatial link in institutional quality Abstract: History tells that institutions evolve gradually over time, pushing new ideas across borders and cultures. Globalization is argued to accelerate this process. We examine the spatial links of different political institutions across borders. Applying various tests for spatial proximity, we do not find evidence of contemporaneous spatial links. This result is robust to various measures of distance and of cultural proximity across countries. Instead, when we analyse long-run dynamics, diffusion of institutions seems to occur only gradually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:223-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Alessandro Girardi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Girardi Title: Price formation on the EuroMTS platform Abstract: This article examines the process of price discovery in the Mercato Telematico dei Titoli di Stato (MTS) system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using 27 months of daily data for 107 pairs of bonds, we present unambiguous evidence that trades on EuroMTS have a sizeable informational content. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kozyra Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kozyra Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Filter rules: follow the trend or take the contrarian approach? Abstract: This article compares a trending approach to the filter trading rule against a contrarian approach. It is found that, after adjusting for transaction costs, the contrarian approach consistently outperforms the trending approach and is able to earn returns in excess of the buy-and-hold trading strategy. The significance and the robustness of the results are supported by a bootstrap simulation and sub-period analysis, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:235-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francois Delcourt Author-X-Name-First: Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Delcourt Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: To what extent is resampling useful in portfolio management? Abstract: We take a new look at the resampled efficiencyTM technique developed by Michaud (1998) and compare it with the Markowitz mean-variance portfolio construction technique by assessing the performance of three representative portfolios, i.e. the Global Minimum Variance (GMV) portfolio, the Intermediate Return (I) portfolio and the Maximum Return (M) portfolio. We show that resampling leads to more stable and more diversified portfolios. However, the out-of-sample analysis shows that resampling does not systematically increase (decrease) the risk adjusted performance (turnover) of the portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Inyeob Ji Author-X-Name-First: Philip Inyeob Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: The impact of Asian crisis on market integration: evidence from East Asian real interest rates Abstract: This article examines the linkage of real interest rates for a group of East Asian countries. Monthly real interest rates data are considered for the USA, Japan, Korea, Singapore and Thailand from 1980 to 2005. It is found that the degree of capital market integration has increased after the Asian financial crisis in 1997. Before the crisis, both the US and Japanese capital markets dominated the region. After the crisis, the dominance of the Japanese market has completely disappeared while the US market remains the sole dominant player. Also it appears that Korea was insulated from the regional market influence before the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003596038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003596038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ralph Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Chen Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, we apply the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests developed by Breuer et al. (2001) to revisit the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for 16 Latin American countries. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for these 16 countries under study. However, panel SURADF tests indicate that PPP is valid for 3 of these 16 countries. These results have important policy implications for these 16 Latin American countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-255 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:251-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Buhm Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sang Buhm Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Seungyeon Won Author-X-Name-First: Seungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Won Title: The behaviour of individual traders and the persistence of arbitrage trading Abstract: This article analyses the influence of individual traders on the persistence of arbitrage opportunities, using futures market data from the Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200. The empirical results show that individual traders traded towards increasing arbitrage opportunities unlike other types of traders. This study helps explain the reason why arbitrage opportunities persist even when arbitrage trading is executed in the real world. According to our empirical results, arbitrage opportunities can persist if the behaviour of individual traders regarding arbitrage opportunities overwhelms other traders who are against arbitrage opportunities. This is not fully explained by previous studies that attributed the persistence of arbitrage opportunities to the limit to arbitrage. In this context, this study suggests that two separate arguments need to be combined for explaining arbitrage trading in the real world, namely studies of arbitrage trading and the behavioural approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-261 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559526 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559526&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:257-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Author-Name: Stephen Lile Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Lile Title: The role of politics and economics in the allocation of federal stimulus spending Abstract: This study identifies the political and economic variables that explain differences among US states in per capita funding resulting from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We find a marginal statistically significant negative relationship between states that have been traditionally Democratic (Blue states) versus those that have traditionally been Republican (Red states). Additionally, we find a highly statistically significant negative relationship between states that were traditionally Republican but voted for President Obama in the 2008 election (Blue states) and traditionally Red states. Furthermore, our findings suggest that there is a statistically significant positive relationship between union representation for a state and per capita funding and between per capita electoral votes and per capita funding. With regard to economic variables, we find that a state's unemployment rate has a positive and statistically significant influence with regard to funding, but a state's poverty rate has no statistically significant impact on funding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559534 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559534&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Fountain Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Fountain Author-Name: Glenn Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: What do prediction markets predict? Abstract: We show that prediction markets cannot be relied on to always elicit any interesting statistic of aggregate beliefs. Formal derivations of the bets placed in prediction markets can be viewed as demands for state-contingent commodities. We provide derivations for two popular cases, log utility and Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility, connecting these derivations to familiar scoring rules. We then use these results to demonstrate how the properties of prediction markets depend critically on the assumed homogeneity of participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:267-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russ Ray Author-X-Name-First: Russ Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Econophysics: finance, economics and physics Abstract: This article examines the new science of 'econophysics' that utilizes physics models to explain economic and financial behaviour. First neologized in 1995, this innovative research methodology combines non-linear models, scaling laws, statistical mechanics and the Cauchy and Levy distributions to explain economic and financial behaviour more robustly than traditional economic and financial tools, which predominantly utilize linear models and Gaussian distributions. The conclusion of this article is that economics and finance will eventually absorb the powerful tools of econophysics as they continue to evolve as dominant social sciences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003596020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003596020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Mohamed Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Hedi Author-X-Name-Last: Arouri Title: The current international financial crisis in 10 questions: some lessons Abstract: This article aims to explore the most important sources and implications of the current international financial downturn, while analyzing and discussing a recently published book on finance by Professor Michel Aglietta, written in 2008, in which the author expands on the sources of the current international financial crisis and suggests several possible solutions. In particular, while analyzing Aglietta's answers to 10 questions, we examine, firstly, the most important microeconomic sources (i.e. governance problems, market imperfections, audit and new international financial reporting standard limitations) and macroeconomic explanations (i.e. the impact of the Asian crisis and the development of emerging models) for the current financial downturn. We then investigate the most notable features and characteristics of the current crisis. Finally, we identify the most widely expected economic, social, political and geopolitical outcomes of the present market turmoil and explain what we expect the financial world to look like once the crisis is over. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osman Suliman Author-X-Name-First: Osman Author-X-Name-Last: Suliman Title: The large country effect, contagion and spillover effects in the GCC Abstract: This article examines contagion and crisis propagation (spillovers) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies over the period 1960 to 2002. It also examines whether contagion occurred in Saudi Arabia (large country) after the 1987 US stock market crash and the 1997 Thai exchange rate devaluation and whether these contagion shocks spillover to smaller countries of the region. Spillovers are likely to occur among interdependent countries within the same geographical region. Tests based on correlation coefficients, ARCH/GARCH estimates and direct change (generalized least squares regression) propagation effects indicate that contagion from the US stock market crash and the Thai devaluation occurred in Saudi Arabia, and these external shocks were propagated to smaller GCC countries. This suggests that GCC countries are likely to mitigate such propagations through economic integration. Thus, the idea of GCC formation may help insulate Gulf economies against crisis propagation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-294 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:285-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Turan Katircioglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Turan Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioglu Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) and macroeconomic fundamentals in Turkey using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) within the framework of the canonical currency crisis models. The results of the bounds tests suggest the existence of a level relationship between EMP and the selected macroeconomic fundamentals. The results of the VECM also suggest that there exists a unidirectional causation that runs from those macroeconomic fundamentals to EMP in the case of the Turkish Economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-300 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036841003636110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:295-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: On the arbitrariness of consumption Abstract: We discuss a simple model of choices of joint consumption by a working couple who place maintenance of their marriage (relationship) above all else. Any proposal made by one partner seeking to provide maximal utility to the other so as to preserve the marriage, in the case where preferences of partners are unknown, will be accepted. In this sense consumption is arbitrary. In the concluding section, we suggest that while overly simple, this structure may characterize to some degree significant amounts of observed consumption, emphasizing how social arrangements and the value placed on them by individuals can impact on observed economic behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003655024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003655024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ciaran Driver Author-X-Name-First: Ciaran Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Katsushi Imai Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Imai Title: Testing the uncertainty-investment relationship using survey data on capital stock disequilibrium Abstract: This article uses unique survey-based data that record the extent of positive and negative disequilibrium in capital stock at industry level. Change in these disequilibria are hypothesized to take account of planned and revised targets, and the influence of uncertainty on adjustment. We find that increased uncertainty slows the adjustment of fixed capital towards equilibrium levels. That is consistent with the predictions of real options theory and partial irreversibility models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:305-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. P. Gius Author-X-Name-First: M. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effects of curfews on juvenile criminal activity: an individual-level analysis Abstract: The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of juvenile curfews on the criminal activities of young adults. Using individual-level data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth - Geocode (NLSY) data set and estimating an economic model of crime for young adults, this study finds that although curfews have no statistically significant effect on the criminal behaviour of young adults, they do have a negative effect on the arrests of young adults. These results differ somewhat from the results of prior studies but lend support to community officials who believe that curfews are an effective tool in combating juvenile crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-313 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:311-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Public debt financing, ownership structures and bankers on boards: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article provides new insights on determinants that affect the allocation of bankers to firm boards by focusing on the benefits and costs they bring to the boards. Using data on Japanese firms during the period 2003-2007, we find that firms with lower credit ratings have higher proportions of bankers on their boards to gain easier access to bank credit. In contrast, firms with large shareholders face potential costs arising from conflicts of interest between large shareholders and banks, and accept fewer bankers on their boards. The results indicate that availability of public debt financing and ownership structures are important factors affecting the allocation of bankers to firm boards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Auer Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Author-Name: Martin Schuster Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schuster Title: Does the financial crisis influence the random walk behaviour of international stock markets? Abstract: In this note, we use several modern multiple variance ratio tests (VR tests) to investigate whether the financial crisis has an impact on the random walk behaviour of international stock markets. Grouping a pre-crisis- and a crisis-panel in developed, emerging and frontier markets, respectively, and using daily returns of selected Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) International Equity Indices we find that markets classified as developed or emerging mostly follow a random walk whereas we find the opposite for frontier markets. Frontier markets show a higher proportion of countries that experience changes in the random walk behaviour and changes from random walk to nonrandom walk are more frequent. We also find that the choice of multiple VR test does not matter for this kind of analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Dahlbom Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlbom Author-Name: A. Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: N. Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: A. Kotsadam Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kotsadam Title: Gender and overconfidence: are girls really overconfident? Abstract: Previous research finds that people are overconfident and that men are more overconfident than women. Using a very precise confidence measure, this article shows, however, that whereas boys are overconfident, girls are actually underconfident regarding their mathematics performance. We conducted a survey where 14-year-old high school students were asked what grade they thought they would get in a mathematics test a week later. These results were then compared with their actual grade. Boys were overconfident about their grades, whereas girls were underconfident. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-327 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:325-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Ajilore Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Ajilore Author-Name: John Smith Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Ethnic fragmentation and police spending Abstract: Using a two-stage least-squares procedure, we estimate the relationship between ethnic fragmentation and police spending using a cross-section of the US counties. Our results show that, when controlling for community characteristics and accounting for simultaneity bias, ethnic fragmentation is positively related to police spending. This article contributes to the understanding of the stylized fact that public spending on police increased over a period in which the incidence of crime decreased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Mazeda Gil Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Mazeda Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Technological-knowledge dynamics in lab-equipment models of quality ladders Abstract: The Perpetual Inventory Model (PIM) assumes that, in each period, an arbitrary constant fraction of technological-knowledge stock is lost. We give a theoretical background to the PIM by showing that the technological-knowledge accumulation follows a dynamic process with an endogenous depreciation rate, which remains stable in steady state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullah Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Ihsan Isik Author-X-Name-First: Ihsan Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Cross-border impact of the Financial Services Modernization Act: evidence from large foreign banks Abstract: This article investigates the impact of the Financial Services Modernization Act (FSMA) on foreign banks. We find that the banking sectors of most developed countries experience significant negative spillover effect. However, the impacts on any two countries' banking sectors are not identical. Most importantly, we show that exposure to systematic risk with respect to the world equity index can explain the cross-sectional variation of the wealth effects. We also find that larger banks are more adversely affected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuyoshi Yamori Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamori Author-Name: Kei Tomimura Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Tomimura Author-Name: Kozo Harimaya Author-X-Name-First: Kozo Author-X-Name-Last: Harimaya Title: What kinds of credit associations favour introducing new financial technology? Abstract: Since 2003, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) has set relationship banking enhancement program as an important strategic task to improve the functions of regional financial institutions. In this enhancement program, the FSA recommended that regional financial institutions introduce new financial products such as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and collateralized bond obligations (CBOs). However, this was left up to each institution's discretion rather than being mandatory. This resulted in a large difference in the introduction of new products. Therefore, this article has analysed what kinds of credit associations favourably increased the use of new financial products. As a result, it has been confirmed that the larger their lending shares and management scale and the better their business conditions are, the more positively they work on the introduction of new products. Considering the fact that relationships between financial institutions and enterprises tend to be fixed in Japan, this means that medium and small enterprises will have restrictions on the financial products they can use depending on the situation of their main banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Purchasing power parity in Mexico: a historical note Abstract: Purchasing power parity has been the subject of many empirical studies. Much of this work has focused on recent history in developed countries. This article reports results of tests for nonlinear, mean reversion of the real exchange rate for a less-developed country, Mexico, using a previously unexploited data set of monthly observations for 1930-1960. The test results provide limited support for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenshu Gao Author-X-Name-First: Wenshu Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Firm size and wages in China Abstract: We find that larger firms in China actually pay lower wages. The most plausible explanation for this result is that larger firms in China employ a higher ratio of blue-collar workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Nunez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Nunez Author-Name: Andrea Tartakowsky Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Tartakowsky Title: The relationship between income inequality and inequality of opportunities in a high-inequality country: the case of Chile Abstract: Based on Bourguignon et al. (2005, 2007), we explore the extent to which income inequality in Chile is associated with inequality of 'opportunities', proxied by inequality in observed socioeconomic circumstances of origin. We found that equalizing a diverse set of observed circumstances across individuals reduces the Gini and the Theil coefficients by about 15 and 25%, respectively. Almost half of the effect of observed circumstances on incomes is transmitted directly to earnings, whereas the rest is indirectly transmitted through the accumulation of schooling. Further results suggest that the influence of unobserved circumstances on income inequality may be limited; hence aspects such as preferences, choices, transitory income shocks and income measurement errors may be important factors behind observed income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-369 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636172 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636172&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:359-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joëlle Noailly Author-X-Name-First: Joëlle Author-X-Name-Last: Noailly Author-Name: Dinand Webbink Author-X-Name-First: Dinand Author-X-Name-Last: Webbink Author-Name: Bas Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Title: Should the government stimulate enrolment in science and engineering studies? Abstract: In many countries there is a deep concern about shortages of Science and Engineering workers (S&E). This article focuses on the effectiveness of policies aimed at stimulating the supply of S&E workers in the Netherlands. Despite the 'common wisdom' of severe and increasing shortages, we do not find evidence for a tight labour market of S&E workers. Instead, the data suggest that S&E workers have become less scarce since 1996. Stimulating enrolment in S&E studies may not be an effective policy for increasing R&D activity in the Netherlands because the majority of Dutch S&E freshmen do not end up working in R&D. They drop out during their S&E study or choose other jobs. In addition, the internationalization of the market for S&E workers tends to counter the effects of supply-side policies because the growing supply of foreign S&E graduates puts downward pressure on wages. As a result, demand-side policies may be more effective because they are directly targeted at fostering R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-375 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003652385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003652385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:371-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. -W. Kim Author-X-Name-First: B. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: S. -H. Seol Author-X-Name-First: S. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Seol Author-Name: D. -H. Lee Author-X-Name-First: D. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Indirect access to mobile networks: economic effects and policy implications Abstract: This study investigates the economic effects that may be expected from the introduction of an indirect access (IA) scheme, a potentially effective tool for stimulating competition, into Korea's mobile market. We estimate the changes in consumer surplus and operator's net revenues attributable to the IA system, using actual or estimated market data such as the price elasticity, call traffics, prices and interconnection charges, combined with some competition scenarios. Our results suggest that the increase of consumer surplus by the introduction of an IA scheme would be sizeable, regardless of its type and that is largest under the scheme access charge is regulated on cost-plus basis and mandated for Significant Market Power (SMP) only to provide interconnection service if IA providers (IAP) request. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:377-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Geronikolaou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Geronikolaou Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: Is there an adverse effect of uncertainty on Venture Capital? The European evidence Abstract: Early-stage and, to a lesser degree, expansion Venture Capital (VC) investment exhibits evident irreversibility characteristics and, according to the irreversibility-delay theory of investment, should thus be sensitive to real and financial uncertainty. The objective of this article is to examine to what extent VC investment is adversely affected by macroeconomic uncertainty on the basis of a European dataset from 1995 to 2005. Our results indicate that price uncertainty and interest rate volatility do not significantly affect European VC finance and that only growth and cost of capital considerations seem to matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-388 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:383-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Haupt Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Haupt Author-Name: Verena Petring Author-X-Name-First: Verena Author-X-Name-Last: Petring Title: Assessing parametric misspecification and heterogeneity in growth regression Abstract: A fully nonparametric analysis is applied to address the problems of nonlinearity and heterogeneity in classical growth regression models using original data from seminal contributions in this field. Nonparametric specification tests and in-sample goodness-of-fit measures, as well as cross-validation based out-of-sample measures provide considerable evidence for parametric misspecification and a superior performance of a nonparametric model, despite the small sample size. In contrast to recent contributions identifying heterogeneity as the primal source of misspecification, a formal and graphical analysis does not reveal evidence for heterogeneity in a parametric and nonparametric quantile regression framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-394 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:389-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziana La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Title: Debt-maturity, corporate diversification and relatedness Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the financing choices of multibusiness firms, in terms of debt-maturity. The results suggest that the degree of product diversification and the direction of diversification (related or unrelated) translate into different corporate financial behaviours. In particular, diversification related or unrelated had opposite effects on debt-maturity; the former strategy has a negative effect whereas the latter has a positive influence on debt-maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudiger Ahrend Author-X-Name-First: Rudiger Author-X-Name-Last: Ahrend Author-Name: Jens Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Fabrice Murtin Author-X-Name-First: Fabrice Author-X-Name-Last: Murtin Title: Have more strictly regulated banking systems fared better during the recent financial crisis? Abstract: We assess whether during the recent financial crisis banking systems in countries with more stringent prudential banking regulation have proved more stable. We find indicators of regulatory strength to be relatively well correlated with the extent to which countries have escaped damage during the recent crisis, as measured either by the degree of equity value destruction in the banking sector or by the fiscal cost of financial sector rescue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-403 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:399-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hammond Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hammond Title: Auctioning to buyers with correlated values Abstract: In a laboratory setting, a monopolistic auctioneer sells to buyers as the level and nature of demand changes. I ask whether sellers correctly recognize the role played by correlation among buyers' values. The prices set by subjects closely match the risk-neutral benchmark predictions when demand follows the independent-private-values framework. In contrast, subjects fail to correctly account for correlation among buyers' values once the independence assumption is dropped. I offer two new models of pricing in a correlated-values environment. The model that suggests sellers ignore correlation outperforms both the benchmark and the model that suggests sellers incorrectly account for correlation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Pei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Re-examining long-run purchasing power parity for Central and Eastern European countries: nonlinear panel unit root tests Abstract: This study applies nonlinear panel unit root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for seven Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC). We find that nonlinear panel unit root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Breuer et al. (2001) if the true data-generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We re-examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the panel nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for five countries, namely, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Russia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724218 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724218&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bruner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bruner Title: Multiple switching behaviour in multiple price lists Abstract: A common mechanism to elicit risk preferences requires a respondent to make a series of dichotomous choices. A recurring problem with this mechanism is a frequently observed tendency to switch from the less to the more risky choice multiple times, multiple switching behaviour. We introduce an instructional variation which our evidence suggests practically eliminates such behaviour. We read a script emphasizing only one decision will determine earnings before providing written instructions. Emphasizing the incentive compatibility of the payment rule reduces observed multiple switching behaviour from 13.3% to 2.3% in one format and from 25.8% to 6.7% in another. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-420 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:417-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Pasten Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Pasten Author-Name: J. P. Cover Author-X-Name-First: J. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cover Title: Does the Chilean government smooth taxes? A tax-smoothing model with revenue collection from a natural resource Abstract: This article uses a present value test to examine whether the Chilean government has smoothed taxes optimally since 1973. An important portion of the Chilean government's revenue is the result of royalties it earns from the extraction of copper. An appropriate test for tax-smoothing therefore must recognize that this part of the government's revenue is not completely under its control. The results provide strong evidence for tax smoothing when royalties from copper are treated as not being under government control, but only weak evidence if they are treated as if they are under government control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-425 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705274 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705274&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:421-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Heck Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Heck Author-Name: Rajneesh Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Rajneesh Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Leading contributing institutions to the elite finance journals: affiliation on publication versus current institutional affiliation Abstract: This study examines the ranking by institutional affiliation of authors appearing in the six leading finance journals (Financial Management, Journal of Banking and Finance, Journal of Finance, Journal of Financial Economics, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis and Review of Financial Studies) over the past 25 years (1984-2008). Unlike previous studies that rank schools' appearances in finance journals, this study compares the rankings of schools that appear on the articles at the time of publication versus the ranking of schools based on authors' current institutional affiliation. In a mobile academic marketplace, the schools with faculty appearing most frequently in the leading journals may change over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-432 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:427-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. R. Hughes Author-X-Name-First: D. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Author-Name: D. T. Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: D. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: D. P. Molinari Author-X-Name-First: D. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Molinari Title: Heeding the call: seminary enrollment and the business cycle Abstract: We examine a panel of divinity school enrollments to explore the motivations of prospective clergy considering post-graduate training in preparation for the ministry. Employing the fixed-effects within estimator allows us to see pecuniary motivations while controlling for the differences between types of divinity school and denomination. We find decisions by prospective clergy to enroll in seminary are responsive to changes in the business cycle as well as salaries. Our results reinforce the view that variation in opportunity costs associated with business cycles plays a significant role in the timing of human capital formation even for those with mostly nonmonetary motivations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-437 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:433-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Berg Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: An application of kernel-based versus one-to-one propensity score matching for a nonexperimental causal study: example from a disease management program evaluation Abstract: Objective: To discuss and compare kernel-based matching with one-to-one propensity score matching applied to disease management. Data sources: Administrative claims data from a US Medicaid fee for service plan. Study design: Matched two group analyses using both kernel-based matching and one-to-one propensity score matching. This comparison is applied to the estimation of diabetes disease management treatment effects. Principle findings: Kernel-based matching is found to be better than one-to-one propensity score matching when there is no sufficient number of potential controls from which to draw a matched cohort but similar when there is a sufficient number of potential controls. Matching was applied in the context of a diabetes disease management program that showed an increase in management of each person's medical care through the disease management program. Conclusions: The approach provides a methodology for researchers to evaluate healthcare service innovations without a randomized trial design and delineates the requirements for a matched analysis. Matching was applied in the context of a disease management program showing better patient management through the disease management program. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-447 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:439-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: William Wilson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: The impact of emergence of Chinese international corn markets on Chinese and US corn prices Abstract: Because of reduced stockholding, Chinese domestic corn markets are becoming much more interdependent with the rest of the world. As China's economy continues to transition from centrally planned to market oriented, internal pressure for increased use of market mechanisms in trading corn and other commodities is continuous. Moreover, there is also external pressure for increased use of market mechanisms because of the accession of China to the World Trade Organization (WTO). The objective of this article is to evaluate the dynamic interrelationships between Chinese corn prices in producing, consuming and export/import locations and the US Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) price. A novel dataset including daily prices from dominant cash markets at producing regions, at export/import ports and at major consuming regions within China, as well as prices at Chicago is used in the analysis. Based on results of Vector Error Correction (VEC) model, prices in these markets are correlated in short run while error correction terms indicate long-run relationship among Chinese prices only. Causality relationships suggest that Dalian export price in China precedes the US price in the short run. However, shocks to any of Chinese prices have no long-term impact on the behaviour of US corn prices and the vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-454 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:449-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianfranco Giulioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianfranco Author-X-Name-Last: Giulioni Author-Name: Edgardo Bucciarelli Author-X-Name-First: Edgardo Author-X-Name-Last: Bucciarelli Title: Agent's behaviour in a sequential Dutch auction: evidence from the Pescara wholesale fish market Abstract: In this article we perform an empirical investigation to detect whether and to what extent agents' behaviour departs from those foreseen by the orthodox economic theory in the Pescara wholesale fish market, which has a centralized structure. Using non-parametric techniques and tools from statistical physics, we tackle the issue investigating features such as the dynamics of the structure of attendance in auctions, the varieties of fish presentation during the seller's turn and the presence of long-term relationships between buyers and sellers. We follow this way instead of focusing on the price dispersion and dynamics to avoid risking that the unobserved quality differences of the traded products might bias the results of the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-460 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:455-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bojesteanu Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bojesteanu Author-Name: Gabriel Bobeică Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Bobeică Title: The propagation of European monetary policy shocks into Romania's economy Abstract: This article analyses the role of monetary shocks in transmitting macroeconomic fluctuations across countries within a two-country framework, with a special emphasis on the case of Romania. Based on the estimation results for various specifications of the European Central Bank reaction function, we argue that the proper framework for isolating the European monetary policy shocks includes survey data. To determine the magnitude of the effects of European monetary fluctuations on the Romanian economy, we employ a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model identified using long-term restrictions that comprises key Romanian macro-indicators and the variables considered suitable for isolating the European monetary policy shocks. Our findings are important to establish the degree of vulnerability of the Romanian economy to external disturbances and the degree of fulfilment of the prerequisites for becoming a full member of the Economic and Monetary Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:461-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ankita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ankita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Is the Indian stock market efficient? Evidence from a TAR model with an autoregressive unit root Abstract: This study uses a two-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) model with an autoregressive unit root to examine the efficiency of the Indian stock market. Using 11 years' weekly data for two indices and 10 common stocks from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, this study applies the Caner and Hensen (2001) methodology to simultaneously test for the presence of nonlinearities and unit root in the stock prices data. The main finding of this study is that Indian stock prices follow a random walk albeit the presence of nonlinearities in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-472 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:467-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon Chae Author-X-Name-First: Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Chae Author-Name: Eun Jung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: An analysis of split orders in an index options market Abstract: This study presents the empirical evidence of Kyle (1985) that informed traders spread their orders over time to camouflage their information. Our proprietary data, which contain account numbers in the Korean options market, identify whether traders break up his or her order (split orders) or not. We show that split orders are associated with a larger proportion of cumulative price change than nonsplit orders are. Furthermore, nonsplit orders, even small- or medium-size ones, cause much smaller cumulative price changes. These results improve upon the tests of Barclay and Warner (1993). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zoya Nissanov Author-X-Name-First: Zoya Author-X-Name-Last: Nissanov Author-Name: Jacques Gabriel Silber Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Silber Title: On some extensions of the concept of growth incidence curves Abstract: This article proposes a decomposition of what Grimm (2007) called individual growth incidence curve into two components measuring the impact of structural mobility (measured through the traditional growth incidence curve) and of exchange mobility, respectively. It also suggests introducing a growth incidence curve that checks whether pure mobility was pro-poor. An illustration based on Israeli census data for the years 1983 and 1995 seems to confirm the usefulness of the proposed breakdown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724226 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724226&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Author-Name: Delio Jose Cordeiro Galvao Author-X-Name-First: Delio Jose Cordeiro Author-X-Name-Last: Galvao Author-Name: Renato Falci Villela Loures Author-X-Name-First: Renato Falci Villela Author-X-Name-Last: Loures Title: Estimation of economic capital for operational risk in banking industry: a Brazilian case Abstract: This article presents an analysis for the estimation of economic capital concerning operational risk in a Brazilian banking industry case making use of Markov chains, Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and Peaks Over Threshold (POT) modelling. The findings denote that some existent methods present consistent results among institutions with similar characteristics of loss data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-491 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:485-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hooi Hooi Lean Author-X-Name-First: Hooi Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Lean Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Will Obama's economic stimulus package be effective? Evidence from the misery index Abstract: We apply Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root tests with one and two structural breaks to the US misery index. The results indicate that aggregate demand shocks, such as the economic stimulus package passed by the Congress in 2009, will only have a temporary effect on the long-run growth path of the misery index. The implication is that the benefits of the Obama package in terms of initiating recovery from the Global Financial Crisis will only be transitory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-495 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:493-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chul-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Donggeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donggeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do capital inflows cause current account deficits? Abstract: This article examines the causal relationship between the Current Account (CA) and the Capital Account (KA) for Korea in a multivariate framework. The estimation results indicate the existence of bidirectional causality between the KA and the CA. The findings imply that an inflow of capital causes an appreciation of the Exchange Rate (ER), which in turn worsens the CA balance and may even trigger a currency crisis in the absence of adequately supervised banking systems and ER flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Prince Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Author-Name: Daniel Shawhan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Shawhan Title: Is time inconsistency primarily a male problem? Abstract: We conduct a simple experiment, using real money, that tests whether men and woman differ in time consistency. The experiment provides strong evidence of time inconsistency among males, but no evidence of such behaviour among females. Furthermore, the difference between males and females is statistically significant. This result could have important implications in marketing and in efforts to improve intertemporal decision-marking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-504 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:501-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Moon Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: James LeSage Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: LeSage Title: Revisiting the question - Does corporate headquarters location matter for stock returns? Abstract: We show that the ordinary least squares applied to right-hand-side variables consisting of averages of neighbouring observations such as stock returns representing a portfolio of firms in the same location or industry result in biased and inconsistent estimates. A maximum likelihood estimation procedure that will produce consistent estimates for this type of model is set forth. In addition, we show how to correctly interpret the maximum likelihood parameter estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Holl Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Holl Author-Name: Robert Kunst Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kunst Title: Unit root in unemployment - new evidence from nonparametric tests Abstract: We apply Range Unit Root (RUR) tests to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) unemployment rates and compare the results to conventional tests. By simulations, we find that unemployment is represented adequately by a new nonlinear transformation of a serially correlated I(1) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003725934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003725934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Author-Name: Gunther Schnabl Author-X-Name-First: Gunther Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabl Title: The theory of optimum currency areas and growth in emerging markets Abstract: We test for the impact of exchange rate volatility on growth in emerging market economies based on the theory of optimum currency areas. Our findings provide evidence for a positive impact of exchange rate stability on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742434 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742434&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Yamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaguchi Author-Name: K. Ueta Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ueta Title: Capital depreciation and waste accumulation in capital-resource economies Abstract: In this article, we investigate how the depreciation of a manufactured stock and the related accumulation of a waste stock can alter the optimal path of the capital-resource economy. It is shown that the optimal consumption path is affected by how the disuse pattern of the manufactured stock in question is distributed, specifically with forward-looking terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Grossman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Grossman Author-Name: Matthew Parrett Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Parrett Title: Religion and prosocial behaviour: a field test Abstract: Religious people are thought to be more prosocial than nonreligious people. Laboratory studies of this using ultimatum, dictator, public goods and trust games have produced mixed results, which could be due to lack of context. This article examines the relationship between religion and prosocial behaviour using data from a context-rich, naturally occurring field experiment that closely resembles the dictator game - tipping in restaurants. Customers were surveyed as they left a set of restaurants in Richmond, Virginia, in the summers of 2002 and 2003. Our findings reveal no evidence of religious prosociality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Holian Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Holian Author-Name: Ali Reza Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Reza Title: Firm and industry effects in accounting versus economic profit data Abstract: This article presents estimates of firm and industry fixed effects on profit rates for large US corporations, using Economic Value Added (EVA), the popular measure of profits produced by Stern Stewart & Co., and simple (unadjusted) accounting measures as the dependent variables. We find that the improvement in explanatory power of the fixed-effect model is substantially greater when using EVA than has been documented with alternative measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-529 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761756 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761756&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:527-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Serbera Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Serbera Title: Partial horizontal and vertical ownership Abstract: Others have shown that in vertically related Cournot oligopolies, partial ownership could have no real effects on total output or price choice, and in a separate way that increasing cross-ownership among rivals leads to more collusive outcome. In a complementary manner we study the interactions between vertical and horizontal partial ownership giving no control over target. This article shows that when the choice of optimal cross-ownership profile is simultaneous, a mixed equilibrium with upward vertical and horizontal participations can be achieved, vertical and horizontal ones being strategic substitutes. We finally exhibit the significant influence of vertical shareholdings on output price as on profits and on consumer surplus, which in our model is harmful at optimum from a consumer and a social point of view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-537 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:531-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Leightner Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Leightner Title: Fiscal stimulus for the USA in the current financial crisis: what does 1930-2008 tell us? Abstract: This article uses Bi-directional Reiterative Truncated Projected Least Squares (BD-RTPLS) to estimate annual dGDP/dG (GDP, Gross Domestic Product and G, government spending) multipliers for the USA between 1930 and 2008. The analysis is redone with quarterly data from 1947 to 2008. To account for the influence of omitted variables, BD-RTPLS produces a separate dGPP/dG estimate for every observation in the data set. I find that whenever the US government increases government spending by an unusually large amount in a given year or quarter, the resulting government spending multiplier plummets. This is not good news for the current US government which is hoping that a huge fiscal stimulus package will rescue the USA from the current crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-549 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:539-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Howe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Author-Name: David Maslar Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Maslar Title: The intra-industry effects of the acquisition of Dow Jones Abstract: We examine the intra-industry effects associated with the acquisition of Dow Jones and Company by News Corporation. We test the significance of the market's reaction to news releases throughout 2007 using event study methods. We find evidence of a direct relation between the stock price reaction of Dow Jones and the stock price reaction of its competitors, indicating that the market viewed the acquisition as beneficial to Dow Jones's industry rivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Micaela Ciarrapico Author-X-Name-First: Anna Micaela Author-X-Name-Last: Ciarrapico Author-Name: Stefania Cosci Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Cosci Title: European banks and cross-selling Abstract: According to a part of economic literature, the growing competition among financial intermediaries, together with the consequent interest margin shrink, induced many banks to enter new markets and adopt cross-selling strategies. Our results show that two kinds of banks coexist in Europe: cross-selling banks, more interested in 'depositors' than in loans, and traditional banks, interested in granting loans to good borrowers. The awareness of the deep difference existing between these two types of banks now operating in Europe is very important for the implementation of an effective economic policy in the face of the financial crisis. We find evidence that cross-selling banks tend to be localized in countries where the banking system is less concentrated but they are not characterized by lower interest margins. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Ozyigit Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ozyigit Author-Name: Fehiman Eminer Author-X-Name-First: Fehiman Author-X-Name-Last: Eminer Title: Bounds test approach to the relationship between human capital and foreign direct investment as regressors of economic growth in Turkey Abstract: Although the linkages between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Human Capital Investment (HC) and economic growth have been of special interest in many lines of research for quite some time, there is no clear-cut evidence as to suggest a concrete arrow of causality between these variables. This article employs a bounds test analysis for co-integration and Granger causality test to investigate a long-term relationship between FDI, HC and economic growth in Turkey after 1970. Our results indicate that although there is no evidence for the FDI-led growth hypothesis in Turkey, there is evidence for causality in the backwards direction. There is also a strong arrow of causality running from HC to FDI and economic growth. Our findings are in line with the existing literature on the linkages between HC and economic growth; however, the fact that FDI does not cause economic growth contradicts a vast range of work in the literature. To this end, we employ a trivariate framework to analyse whether FDI and HC jointly Granger-cause per capita economic growth. Although FDI alone does not exhibit a causal relationship with per capita income growth, it is the case where FDI and HC jointly produce this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratap Chandra Pati Author-X-Name-First: Pratap Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Pati Author-Name: Prabina Rajib Author-X-Name-First: Prabina Author-X-Name-Last: Rajib Title: Intraday return dynamics and volatility spillovers between NSE S&P CNX Nifty stock index and stock index futures Abstract: Using 5-min intraday transaction prices, this study investigates the relationship between the National Stock Exchange (NSE) S&P CNX Nifty futures and its underlying spot index in terms of both return and volatility. By applying Johansen-Juselius (J-J) cointegration analysis, we find evidence of single common stochastic trend, to which spot and futures prices move together in a long-run equilibrium path. The vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test find that there is unidirectional causality running from futures to spot market. To examine the volatility spillovers between the markets, this study has used bivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) (1, 1) model with Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner (BEKK) parameterization and finds evidence of bidirectional volatility spillovers between spot and futures markets. However, there is pronounced spillover effect of a previous shock and volatility from the futures market to spot market. Hence, we conclude that Nifty futures prices lead spot prices and futures market largely contributes to price discovery. These findings have significant implications for traders in implementing hedging and arbitrage trading strategies, for portfolio managers in managing risk and also for policymakers in assessing market stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-574 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742442 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742442&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:567-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Konstantinos Bloutsos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Bloutsos Title: Comparing estimates of risk between markets and telecommunications institutions in Europe Abstract: We examine and evaluate the concept of risk for the financial market of telecommunications in Europe using the Value-at-Risk (VaR) method. In particular, we compare the estimates of risk between stock market indices and stock prices of telecommunications institutions in Europe. The estimates of risk are obtained as a one-step-ahead forecast using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) analysis with Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: value-at- risk method, ARIMA analysis, GARCH models, telecommunications market, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Loureiro Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Loureiro Author-Name: Melina Barrio Author-X-Name-First: Melina Author-X-Name-Last: Barrio Title: Do entreaties reduce the WTA-WTP disparity when valuing public goods? Abstract: In this work we investigate the effects of entreaties to reduce the disparity between willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA) estimates in the valuation of a public program. We find that entreaties are very effective on reducing the hypothetical bias inherent to the WTA estimates, as well as the gap between both WTP and WTA welfare estimates. The success of such entreaties warrants future research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742467 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742467&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. H. Hung Author-X-Name-First: S. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: M. J. Weng Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Panel unit root tests of purchasing power parity for Central Asian countries Abstract: Is the real price of commodities among the Central Asian countries similar? Prior research suggests that for Central Asian countries the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) doctrine does not hold. This article employs alternative cross-section correlations of panel unit root tests to examine the validity of the PPP hypothesis for three Central Asian countries vis-a-vis the Russian Federation. The empirical results show significant support for the PPP doctrine in these Central Asian countries when the testing takes into account the cross-sectional dependence on panel unit root tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingxi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mingxi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shulin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shulin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The simple economics of bid criteria Abstract: Bid criteria are of prime importance to bidders because they are the basis for the bidders to select bid price or bid mark-up. This article presents the alternative expressions of the bid criteria of the conditional negative and positive profit ratios proposed by Seydel and Olson (1990) and Lai et al. (2002), respectively, and interprets them in the traditional demand and supply theory. It is found that there is a 'frontier' bid mark-up if the bidders adopt the conditional profit ratio as their sole bid criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761731 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761731&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uğur Soytas Author-X-Name-First: Uğur Author-X-Name-Last: Soytas Author-Name: Engin Kucukkaya Author-X-Name-First: Engin Author-X-Name-Last: Kucukkaya Title: Economic growth and financial development in Turkey: new evidence Abstract: We examine the link between financial development and economic growth in Turkey for the period 1991 to 2005 using quarterly data. We use relatively new time series techniques that are less prone to bias to examine this relationship. We also construct a comprehensive financial development index using principal component analysis. When we control for the possible effects of inflation and monetary and fiscal policies on monetary aggregates and the economic growth rate, we fail to find any long-run causality in either direction. The result is also confirmed by generalized impulse response analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761764 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761764&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Title: Equity wealth effects: fundamental or bubble-driven? Abstract: This article estimates equity wealth effects on euro area consumption, splitting equity returns into fundamental- and bubble-related components. The equity wealth effect is fundamental-driven, particularly strong since 1994, and operates comparatively quickly during negative bubble returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Habermalz Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Habermalz Title: The speed of employer learning and job market signalling revisited Abstract: This article discusses the claim made by Altonji and Pierret (AP) (1997) and Lange (2007) that a high Speed of Employer Learning (SEL) indicates a low value of Job Market Signalling (JMS). It is first discussed intuitively in the light of Spence's original model and then evaluated in a simple extension of a model developed by AP (1997). The analysis provided indicates that, if Employer Learning (EL) is incomplete, a high SEL is not necessarily indicative of a low value of JMS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.482514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.482514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Persistence of cigarette advertising across media and smoking rates Abstract: This article uses state-level US panel data to examine the effects of cigarette advertising on smoking. We disaggregate cigarette advertising into (1) print, (2) outdoor, (3) entertainment and (4) store. How does advertising persist over time across advertising media? Are there differences in effectiveness of advertising across different smoking rates? Results show that the price elasticity of cigarette demand is negative and within the range of recent estimates, whereas border price elasticities and income elasticities are positive. All elasticities, however, are uniquely sensitive to smoking rates, as is the effectiveness of the Master Settlement Agreement. Current aggregate advertising increases cigarette demand, whereas accompanying negative advertising takes hold in the third year. Upon disaggregation, current store advertising increases smoking in most cases. However, store advertising has a negative effect by the third year, especially in states with smoking rates at or above the median. Other advertising media have weak or no effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-619 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:611-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: Revealing the impact of index traders on commodity futures markets Abstract: Commodity futures prices and volatility increased dramatically from 2006 to 2008, following a period during which index traders, a class of large investment funds, took on massive commodity futures positions. This article presents a method to reveal the extent to which index trader trading activity (volume) might have caused increases in futures price volatility. This approach is useful when position-level data are incomplete or confidential, as with index trader position data. The method is applied to leading agricultural commodity futures data. The impact of index traders is identified during their period of greatest activity, that is, 2005 to 2006, using aggregated volume data that are filtered using wavelet transforms. The filtering decision rule is guided by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) finding that index traders do not engage in short-run trades. A joint model of futures (filtered) volume and (unfiltered) price volatility is estimated by 2SLS to account for the endogeneity of prices and volume. As a robustness check, both log-range and GARCH measures of volatility are used. The evidence provides no support for the claim that index traders have increased price volatility for storable commodities (grains/oilseeds) and only weak support in the case of nonstorable commodities (meats). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-626 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:621-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: M. Finke Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Author-Name: N. Harness Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Harness Title: The impact of self-efficacy on wealth accumulation and portfolio choice Abstract: Self-efficacy is a psychological construct based on the evaluations of one's ability to accomplish certain behaviours or achieve certain outcomes (Bandura, 1977). Although self-efficacy has been linked to health, task accomplishment, greater socio-economic status and income (Seeman and Seeman, 1983; Stretcher et al., 1986; Gecas and Seff, 1990; Judge et al., 2002; Zagorsky, 2007), there has been no study that investigates whether self-efficacy is also a predictor of greater wealth creation over a specific period of time. Applying a theoretical framework based on self-efficacy, this article investigates household financial behaviours using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) data-set. For the purpose of this study, change in wealth across time and financial market participation is modelled as a function of socio-economic and demographic variables drawn from prior literature. Findings from this research reveal that self-efficacy is indeed a predictor of investment for financial assets and is also a predictor of wealth creation across time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-631 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:627-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Sarinda Taengnoi Author-X-Name-First: Sarinda Author-X-Name-Last: Taengnoi Title: The skill transferability of high-skilled US immigrants Abstract: Using the 2000 US Census data, we explored the effect of international transferability of skills on the earnings of high-skilled US immigrants. We confirmed that education and labour market experience received by immigrants from Japan and English-speaking developed countries before migrating have the greatest transferability; immigrants from non-English-speaking and Less Developed Countries (LDCs) make a greater investment in US-specific skills after arrival and earn a salary commensurate with the acquired skill level. Nevertheless, high-skilled workers from English-speaking developed countries still receive higher earnings, other things equal. We explore factors that influence this earnings differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.491438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.491438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Mossfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Mossfeldt Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: The persistent labour-market effects of the financial crisis Abstract: This article estimates the effects of the financial crisis on the Swedish labour market. Using an unobserved components model and an external forecast, we estimate a future path for the Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). Judging by this analysis, the labour market will be in equilibrium again in 2013. Linking the NAIRU to other labour-market variables through an estimated vector error correction model and population projections, it is found that this new equilibrium is associated with a smaller equilibrium labour force and lower equilibrium employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-642 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003781424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003781424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:637-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Mean reversion in the US unemployment rate - evidence from bootstrapped out-of-sample forecasts Abstract: This article investigates whether the US unemployment rate is best described as a unit-root or mean-reverting process. An out-of-sample forecast exercise is conducted in which the performance of an autoregressive (AR) model with an imposed unit root is compared with that of a mean-reverting AR model. A bootstrap distribution for the relative root mean square forecast error is generated and provides strong support for mean reversion in the US unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmood Yahyazadehfar Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Yahyazadehfar Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Zali Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Zali Author-Name: Hooman Shababi Author-X-Name-First: Hooman Author-X-Name-Last: Shababi Title: Determinants of investors' financial behaviour in Tehran Stock Exchange Abstract: Decision-making and investors' behaviours are affected by various factors in Tehran Stock Exchange. Based on theoretical perspective, investors collect the key information of decision-making by the study of macro- and micro-levels of investment environments. To analyse the research data, path analysis and Linear Structural Relationships (LISREL) software are used. The results indicate that political factors with 62%, psychological factors with 53%, economic factors with 47% and internal factors with 31% are the most important factors that affect the stocks trading in Tehran Stock Exchange. Political and psychological factors not only have direct effect but also affect the investors' financial decision-making indirectly (through intended interest rate) 16 and 11%, respectively. The total effect of political and psychological factors on investors' financial decision-making is 79 and 64%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-654 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003781416 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003781416&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:647-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Gazi Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Determinants of the long-run growth rate of Bangladesh Abstract: This article estimates Total Factor Productivity (TFP) for Bangladesh and analyses its key determinants. According to the Solow (1956) growth model, long-run growth rate equals TFP. Estimated β-coefficients show that trade openness, foreign direct investment and development of financial sector increase TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800760 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800760&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Logan Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Logan Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: The current stock of money: an aggregation theoretic measure of narrowly defined money Abstract: While the usual definition of narrowly defined money is in terms of grouping of assets to be included in the aggregate, the Current Stock of Money (CSM) focuses on the function of those assets. By isolating the portion of each monetary asset that functions as currency, the CSM measures the amount of currency needed to provide an equal level of monetary service to that of the current monetary portfolio. This makes the CSM suitable for use in any model that contains currency, that is, narrowly defined money. Thus, the main contributions of this research are to derive the CSM and to show that the Currency Equivalent (CE) index is an unbiased measure of the CSM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-664 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:659-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Garcia-Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Jimenez Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Role of ethnicity in consumption of meat products Abstract: Previous studies on the demand for meat products have not received much attention on the role of ethnicity on consumption. Using data from the US Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) and LinQuad demand systems, this study investigates the impact of ethnicity on the demand for meat products in the United States. Results indicate that ethnicity plays a significant role in the consumption of meat products. Specifically, results show that, compared to Hispanics, African American households consume significantly more bacon, pork chops and chicken meats. In general, White households consume lower quantities of meat products, compared to Hispanics, specifically chicken and seafood products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800786 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800786&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horacio Sobarzo Author-X-Name-First: Horacio Author-X-Name-Last: Sobarzo Title: Tax reform in Mexico: a general equilibrium assessment Abstract: This article reports the results of an Applied General Equilibrium Model (AGEM) built to simulate a recent fiscal reform initiative of the Mexican government. Treating public revenues as endogenous and tax rates as exogenous variables, the model explicitly incorporates both the tax structure and the oil-exporting sector as important sources of government revenues. The results confirm that the fiscal problem in Mexico lies in the low degree of tax compliance. By simulating the reform starting in the year 2008, the results suggest that consumption taxes are not necessarily the unique solution to the tax collection process in a developing country like Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-678 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.483999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.483999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:671-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Pistoresi Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Pistoresi Author-Name: F. Salsano Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Salsano Author-Name: D. Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Title: Political institutions and central bank independence revisited Abstract: We build on earlier studies regarding Central Bank Independence (CBI) by relating it to political, institutional and economic variables. The data suggest that CBI is positively related to the presence of federalism, the features of the electoral system and parties, the correlation between the shocks to the level of economic activity in the countries included in the sample and, for a sub-sample of economies, the convergence criteria to join the European Monetary Union (EMU). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.485923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.485923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dominguez Author-Name: M. Ullibarri Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ullibarri Author-Name: I. Zabaleta Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Zabaleta Title: Reduction of working hours as a policy of work sharing in the face of an economic crisis Abstract: In times of economic crisis, with a high unemployment rate expected to continue rising, governments such as those of the European countries which establish the number of hours to be worked can share out work by reducing the length of the working week. This article constructs a general equilibrium model in which the effects of reduction in working hours on the main macroeconomic variables are studied. To do so, the model includes two important new features with regard to the production function: a parameter measuring the productivity of working hours and another parameter of adjustment costs measuring the unproductive time in the course of the working day. Results show that the employment level always improves as the length of the working week is reduced but also reveal an inflection point in terms of the productivity of working hours, below which a reduction in the number of working hours improves the results of macroeconomic variables and above which this policy aggravates the economic situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.485924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.485924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. M. Doncel Author-X-Name-First: L. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Doncel Author-Name: P. Grau Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Grau Author-Name: J. Otamendi Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Otamendi Author-Name: J. Sainz Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sainz Title: The truth about mutual funds across Europe Abstract: Traditional measures of mutual funds persistence are based on measures like Jensen's alpha, factor models and so on. As expected, their results on a broad data-set of European mutual funds show a small, but relevant, amount of persistent funds, depending on the method of estimation used. We go further in our analysis and, by using a multiple hypothesis testing methodology, find that those measures overstate the performance on the sample across countries, signalling persistence in situations where the positive results are due to luck. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-692 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:687-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes-Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes-Castro Title: Leverage and bubbles: a note on the Spanish property market between 1998 and 2006 Abstract: Financial leverage means the debt taken to make a property investment is revalued in the same proportion as the speculative asset acquired. When the expected price rises above a certain threshold, it becomes rational to take on long-term debt to finance a short-term investment. This causes bubbles, which can have disastrous consequences for the economy as a whole. We model here the economics of speculative leverage and calculate the speculative threshold for the Spanish property market over the last decade, showing how far prices were above the mark. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boitumelo Dudu Moffat Author-X-Name-First: Boitumelo Dudu Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Efficiency of Botswana's financial institutions: a data envelopment analysis Abstract: This article examines technical and pure technical efficiencies of 10 major financial institutions in Botswana during the period 2001 to 2006 using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). To obtain more robust and reliable results, the sensitivity of our efficiency indices were put to test by choosing three alternative approaches in specifying the mix of inputs and outputs. The empirical results indicate that (a) no matter which approach and year are taken into consideration, Bank of Baroda (BoB) and First National Bank (FNB) (which are both foreign banks) and Botswana Savings Bank (BSB) (which is a publicly owned institution) are consistently among the most efficient institutions and Botswana Development Corporation, African Bank Corporation and National Development Bank (NDB) are the least efficient ones; and (b) the most efficient banks are either small or large institutions in terms of their asset sizes. One can conclude that financial institutions can further enhance efficiency by adopting Self-Service Technologies (SSTs) such as telephone and Internet banking, which can substantially reduce their service delivery costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-702 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.491456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.491456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:697-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Treme Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Author-Name: R. Burrus Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Burrus Author-Name: B. Sherrick Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sherrick Title: The impact of recruiting on NCAA basketball success Abstract: This study examines whether highly ranked recruiting classes significantly impact the number of games won by an NCAA men's basketball team the following year. The results suggest that highly regarded freshman guards increase the number of wins whereas freshman players at other positions do not have a significant impact. Although both experience and incoming talent significantly affect regular season wins, the results imply that experience trumps freshman talent in post-season play in the NCAA tournament. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: Alejandro Dellachiesa Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Dellachiesa Title: Cross-country pollution patterns Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between pollution emissions and levels of economic activity as countries move up the per capita income scale. Previous studies examine the relationships between pollution and per capita income. Pollution emissions are found to be highly concentrated among the lower income countries. Poorer countries account for much more pollution than would be expected from their levels of economic activity. Findings suggest that the proposed US legislation to curb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will have a minor effect on global warming. The United States should not attempt costly emission reductions until there is a global agreement on CO2 emissions that includes lower- and middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-804 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:799-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Merkl Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Merkl Author-Name: Dennis Wesselbaum Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wesselbaum Title: Extensive versus intensive margin in Germany and the United States: any differences? Abstract: This article analyses the role of the extensive vis-a-vis the intensive margin of labour adjustment in Germany and in the United States. The contribution is twofold. First, we provide an update of older US studies and confirm the view that the extensive margin (i.e. the adjustment in the number of workers) explains the largest part in the overall variability in aggregate hours. Second, although the German labour market structure is very different from its US counterpart, the quantitative importance of the extensive margin is of similar magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Author-Name: Thi Thu Tra Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thu Tra Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: On the signalling property of debt maturity: empirical evidence from a private bank in Vietnam Abstract: This article provides new empirical evidence for the relevance of the signalling view on debt maturity, using data from a private bank in Vietnam. More specifically, we test the empirical predictions of the two main signalling models on debt maturity, that is, the models by Flannery (1986) and Diamond (1991), and compare this with the debt covenant view. The results of our regressions provide strong evidence for a downward-sloping effect of firm quality on maturity, which is in line with the signalling model of Flannery (1986), and contradict the debt covenant view. Our empirical analysis does not support the model by Diamond (1991). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-816 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507167 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507167&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:809-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Berman Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Jerome Hericourt Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Hericourt Title: Debt denomination, exchange-rate variations and the margins of trade Abstract: Using firm-level data, we find that a currency depreciation has two opposite effects on exports when firms are indebted in foreign currency: (i) a pro-competitive effect that increases both the amount of exports by firm (the intensive margin) and the number of firms (the extensive margin); and (ii) a balance-sheet effect that forces some firms to exit the export market and decreases the extensive margin. These results both provide an explanation for the negative reactions of trade after recent emerging market crises and document a finance-based empirical microfoundation to the 'exchange-rate disconnect puzzle'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-822 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.510462 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.510462&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:817-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. G. Menezes Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes Author-Name: D. Sciulli Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Sciulli Author-Name: J. C. Vieira Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Wage persistence and labour market institutions: an analysis of young European workers Abstract: This article investigates the effects of Labour Market Institutions (LMIs) on wage persistence among young European workers at the beginning of their careers. We use European Community Household Panel (ECHP) data from 1995 to 2001 for 13 EU countries and estimate a three-level random intercept probit model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity both at the individual and country level. Overall, we find that LMIs explain wage persistence. In particular, we find a high level of Employment Protection Legislation (EPL) and a high level of Bargaining Centralization (BC) increase wage persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.505554 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.505554&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Bang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Gender bias and the female brain drain Abstract: This article contributes to the emerging literature on gender differences in the causes and consequences of brain drain. Differentiating between gender bias in the access to economic opportunities and gender differentials in economic outcomes, we find that differences in access have a significant impact on the emigration of highly skilled women relative to that of men. However, differentials in outcomes do not have a significant impact. Additionally, the structure of political institutions in the source countries does not have a significant impact on the difference in emigration rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-833 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503928 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503928&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:829-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arne Bigsten Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Bigsten Author-Name: Abebe Shimeles Author-X-Name-First: Abebe Author-X-Name-Last: Shimeles Title: The persistence of urban poverty in Ethiopia: a tale of two measurements Abstract: This article investigates dynamics of poverty in urban Ethiopia using both subjective and objective definitions of poverty. The two sets of estimates of persistence and recurrence of poverty are similar, suggesting that consumption-based mobility or poverty persistence estimates are not seriously distorted by measurement error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503930 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503930&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Ebersberger Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Ebersberger Author-Name: Christine Pirhofer Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Pirhofer Title: Gender, management education and the willingness for academic entrepreneurship Abstract: This article explores the determinants of academic entrepreneurship. In particular, it investigates the effects of gender and supplementary management education on academics' willingness to start up a company. The analysis is based on a survey of academics. Controlling for academic achievement, field of science and perceived hampering factors, we find that female academics show a significantly lower propensity to have a high willingness to start up. Our results indicate that supplementary management education does not in general have a significant effect on the willingness to start up. Yet, for female academics supplementary management education exerts a significantly positive effect almost offsetting the gender effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-844 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:841-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Stock markets and unemployment in industrial countries Abstract: Using data on 20 industrial countries for the period 1982 to 2003, this article finds that more active stock markets are likely to lower the unemployment rate. The magnitude of the effect appears to be modest but noticeable. We control for both endogeneity of stock market activity and all major determinants of unemployment. Our results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-849 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503929 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503929&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:845-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Kasimati Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Kasimati Title: Did the climb on the Greek sovereign spreads cause the devaluation of euro? Abstract: Despite the minimal size of the Greek economy within eurozone, our Error-Correction Model (ECM) identified that the deterioration in the public finances of the Greek government caused the euro depreciation over the last weeks of 2009 and first weeks of 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-854 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503927 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503927&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:851-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A re-examination of the Fisher effect using an alternative approach Abstract: The Fisher Effect (FE) is of fundamental importance in financial markets. The majority of previous studies have not managed to obtain the expected one-for-one reaction of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate. The aim of this article is to reinvestigate the FE for the USA and the UK using a case-wise bootstrap approach developed by Hatemi-J and Hacker (2005). This method is robust to nonnormality or heteroscedasticity and it is used to calculate and test the statistical significance of the coefficients. The results support a tax-adjusted FE in the presence of a structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-858 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.505551 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.505551&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:855-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeti Nisha Madhoo Author-X-Name-First: Yeti Nisha Author-X-Name-Last: Madhoo Title: Fish imports as an environmental policy Abstract: Although Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system has not been successful in management of fisheries, fish imports have shown features of an environmental-friendly policy. Imports emerge as a significant tool to improve fish productivity through biodiversity conservation and induce the use of less capital intensive technology. Conversely, TAC system harms biodiversity leading to increased capital effort and reduced catch levels. Another interesting finding is the existence of an Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC)-type relationship between per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and fish catch. As development proceeds, propensity to import increases, having favourable impact on biodiversity through reduced fish production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-864 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.508712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.508712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:859-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cedric Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Cedric Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Title: How important are noncorporate patents? A comparative analysis using patent citations data Abstract: This article analyses the innovative performances of noncorporate inventors using patent citations data from the European Patent Office. The results show that inventions patented outside an established corporate framework are on average less 'important' than corporate patents, but with large variations across technology classes. Patents applied for by independent inventors, start-ups and corporate firms are of comparable 'quality' in emerging technologies. The results also highlight that in these fields noncorporate patents are more 'radical' than corporate patents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-871 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:865-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Smolny Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Smolny Author-Name: M. Kirbach Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirbach Title: Wage differentials between East and West Germany: are they related to the location or to the people? Abstract: Despite rapid economic integration and massive help from the Federal Government, large wage differences between East and West Germany still persist. We ask whether those differences are related to disadvantageous locational conditions in East Germany or could be found in the characteristics of the people living there. This article analyses income adjustment of East-West migrants based on the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP), 1990-2008. Because migrants earned their income in both East and West Germany, the effect of the location can be identified. The results indicate that the wage differences cannot be attributed to the people. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-879 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.511990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.511990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:873-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: further evidence from China Abstract: This study applies threshold cointegration test advanced by Enders and Siklos (2001) to investigate the properties of asymmetric adjustment in long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for China during the period of March 1985 to September 2008. Although there is evidence of long-run PPP for China, when both the United States and Japan are served as the base country, the adjustment mechanism is asymmetric only when the United States is served as the base country. These results have particularly important policy implications for China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-886 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.513673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.513673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:881-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meijui Sun Author-X-Name-First: Meijui Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Pei-Gi Shu Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Gi Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Title: The valuation effects of equity carve-outs Abstract: In an examination of 136 equity carve-outs in Taiwan in 1994-2007 we first find significantly positive stock price reactions associated with the announcements, consistent with the global findings. We further examine the sources of wealth gains on the basis of the asymmetric information hypothesis (Nanda, 1991) and the divestiture gains hypothesis (Schipper and Smith, 1986) and find that the results lend more support to the latter than the former. Specifically, two ramifications of the divestiture gains hypothesis are supported: firms that divest unrelated business (refocusing strategy hypothesis) and use the proceeds to undertake new investments (the investment strategy hypothesis) draw favourable market appraisals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Abrantes-Metz Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Abrantes-Metz Author-Name: Sofia Villas-Boas Author-X-Name-First: Sofia Author-X-Name-Last: Villas-Boas Author-Name: George Judge Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Tracking the Libor rate Abstract: With an eye to providing a methodology for tracking the dynamic integrity of prices for important market indicators, in this article we use Benford second digit (SD) reference distribution to track the daily London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) over the period 2005 to 2008. This reference, known as Benford's law, is present in many naturally occurring numerical data sets as well as in several financial data sets. We find that in two recent periods, Libor rates depart significantly from the expected Benford reference distribution. This raises potential concerns relative to the unbiased nature of the signals coming from the 16 banks from which the Libor is computed and the usefulness of the Libor as a major economic indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-899 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:893-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Erlinda Mutuc Author-X-Name-First: Maria Erlinda Author-X-Name-Last: Mutuc Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Don Ethridge Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Ethridge Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: The effects of the removal of US safeguards on imports from China Abstract: The expiration of temporary safeguard measures against Chinese exports of certain cotton apparel to the US beginning 2009 is estimated to result in lower apparel prices in the US by $0.02/kg, on average, whereas cotton prices in the US remain unaltered in the medium term (2009-2015). A price equilibrium simulation model (of both the cotton apparel and cotton sectors) was used to estimate the trade effects of China's increased access into the US import market on other Asian and Latin American exporters to the US, and ultimately in these exporters' demand for US cotton. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-913 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.517186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.517186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:901-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cuesta Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Title: Music to my ears: the (many) socioeconomic benefits of music training programmes Abstract: A simple cost-benefit analysis is used to estimate substantive social benefits associated with a universal music training programme in Venezuela (B/C ratio of 1.68). Those social benefits accrue from both reduced school dropouts and declining community victimization. Biases affecting these results (omission of other social benefits and selection bias) work in opposite directions, which reduce the potential error associated with the results. This evidence of important social benefits adds to the already existing evidence of individual gains reported by the developmental psychology literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-918 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.517187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.517187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:915-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Reback Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Reback Author-Name: Kristin Stowe Author-X-Name-First: Kristin Author-X-Name-Last: Stowe Title: Unnatural experiments: the case of television game shows Abstract: Economists often use television game shows as 'natural experiments' to test theories on risk aversion. This article demonstrates that some of these natural experiments may not be so natural after all. Using data from Jeopardy!, we show that contestants are chosen to maintain a gender balance, with the result that men outperform women across several dimensions. This selection bias suggests that caution should be exercised in generalizing findings based on these shows to the population as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-923 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:919-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Doytch Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Doytch Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Employment effects of mergers and acquisitions in the United States by sector Abstract: This article studies the employment effects of mergers and acquisitions in the manufacturing, financial and service sectors of the US economy using annual time series data from 1978 to 2008. An empirical model is developed in which average wages per hour and the total value of mergers and acquisitions are the explanatory variables, with the number of people employed as the dependent variable. Before estimating the model, the time series properties of the data are diagnosed. The estimated results suggest that mergers and acquisitions have helped to increase employment in both the short-run as well as in the long-run in all three sectors of the economy. To ensure the robustness of the finding, a panel data set is created and the model is re-estimated using the fixed effects estimator. The finding is consistent with the sectoral results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: Central bank transparency: another look Abstract: This article extends the Dincer and Eichengreen (2007) index of central bank transparency. Improvements in transparency are notable in Central and Eastern Europe, whereas the index has shown much smaller rises in most other parts of the world. The pattern observed by Dincer and Eichengreen, consistent with a permanent increase in central bank transparency, is also evident in the updated results. The dramatic enhancements in central bank transparency reported earlier appear to be a feature of the late 1990s and the early 2000s. Whether the subsequent data reflect limits to central banks' transparency or, to some extent, transparency 'fatigue' is unclear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:929-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Driving under the influence: the breathalyser fallacy Abstract: The use of breathalysers to determine whether a person is 'Driving Under the Influence' (DUI) is an example of situations in which the outcome of a test - positive or negative - is used to determine whether a condition exists. As such, it is susceptible to a fallacy that is inherent in such situations: confusing the chances that a person would test positive if he/she was DUI with the chances that a person was DUI if he/she tested positive. This is referred to here as the breathalyser fallacy and this article provides quantitative estimates of the size of this fallacy. Almost all of the criticism of the conclusions of breathalyser tests (namely, a person over the limit is DUI, a person below the limit is not) concerns the likelihood of a person who is not DUI being incorrectly identified. This analysis questions this argument. We show that the likelihood of an innocent person testing positive depends on two further factors: (i) the a priori likelihood that a person selected for breath analysis is, in fact, DUI and (ii) the reliability of the test in terms of the likelihood of a DUI person being found to be over the limit. If these two likelihoods are high, then the probability of a person being guilty of DUI for a positive outcome on the breathalyser test would also be high, even though there is a significant chance that a person who is not DUI will be incorrectly identified as being over the limit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Biagetti Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Biagetti Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Title: A note on the gender wage gap among managerial positions using a counterfactual decomposition approach: sticky floor or glass ceiling? Abstract: In this article, we apply a counterfactual decomposition approach using Quantile Regression (QR) to the wage distribution of managerial workforce in Italy. We find evidence of both significant sticky floor and glass ceiling effects for the Gender Wage Gap (GWG). Furthermore, the U-shaped figure of the pay gap is mostly due to the difference in rewards that the two genders receive for their characteristics, whose relative incidence is also continuously increasing as we move to upper quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Longley Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Longley Title: Congressional complicity in the baseball antitrust exemption: analysing senate voting patterns Abstract: This article examines a key congressional vote on preserving baseball's antitrust exemption. It finds that the most important factor influencing a legislator's vote was whether there was a Major League Baseball (MLB) team in the legislator's constituency. This supports the notion that the professional sports industry has been effective in 'capturing' their political overseers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-947 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518945 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518945&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:945-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Thomas Pencek Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pencek Title: The value of SmartMoney's stock recommendations Abstract: We examine the value of expert picks published by SmartMoney, a popular investment periodical. Most can be described as 'hot' stocks - those that have experienced run-ups in price before publication. However, these stocks subsequently underperform the market by 0.45% per month in the 6-month post-publication period. We also observe that market risk-adjusted abnormal returns (AR) are -1.18% per month over the same time period, which is significantly below expectations. Results suggest SmartMoney's recommendations have negative value to its subscribers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-953 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518946 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518946&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:949-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwai-Chung Ho Author-X-Name-First: Hwai-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Chien-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Influence of heterogeneous beliefs on volatility when agents' degree of confidence differs Abstract: This study provides theoretical and empirical evidences of the effects of heterogeneous beliefs on asset volatility when agents' level of confidence differs. We derive a stock price formula that is applied to simulating stock volatility using Monte Carlo method. Through the simulation results, we observe that the influence of heterogeneous beliefs on volatility depends on the confident agents' level of optimism. Some empirical results are provided to confirm those observations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-959 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:955-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Bounie Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bounie Author-Name: A. Francois Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Francois Title: The economics of bill payments: an empirical analysis Abstract: The growing economic literature dedicated to payment instruments mainly focuses on the point of sale payments. Yet, credit transfers and direct debits used in bill payments are much more used in the euro area than cheques, payment cards and other payment instruments. The main objective of this article is, therefore, to verify whether the theoretical standard framework stated for studying the choice of payment instruments at the point of sale is relevant to study bill payments. Using an original data set, we show that the main predictions of the standard model do not hold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-966 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: payment instruments, bill payments, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520660 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520660&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:961-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ameeta Jain Author-X-Name-First: Ameeta Author-X-Name-Last: Jain Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Dianne Thomson Author-X-Name-First: Dianne Author-X-Name-Last: Thomson Title: The relationship between exchange rates, interest rates and Australian bank returns Abstract: Although there has been significant research on US financial intermediaries' stock returns and sensitivity to interest yields, there has only been limited research on Australian bank stock returns and key macro variables, such as interest rates and exchange rates. The aim of this article is to examine this relationship for four major Australian banks, namely the Australia New Zealand bank (ANZ), the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the National Australia Bank (NAB) and the Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC). We use the EGARCH model and examine the relationship using monthly data covering the period 1992 to 2007. The results suggest that for all four banks: (1) there is a similar and statistically significant negative relationship between interest rates and stock returns; and (2) there is evidence of an increase in returns during the period of appreciation of the Australian dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-972 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520661 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520661&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:967-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robin Chou Author-X-Name-First: Robin Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Yi-Min Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Information trading around open market share repurchases: evidence from the Taiwan Stock Exchange Abstract: We examine the information trading around open market share repurchases on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). Because of the distinctive regulations of share repurchases in Taiwan, our samples offer a unique opportunity to test changes in information trading during share repurchases. We show that the risk of information trading significantly increases during the repurchase execution period and reverts back in the post-expiration period. It is likely that some uninformed traders leave the market in the execution period, in anticipation of higher information uncertainties. Therefore, the remaining uninformed traders collectively face higher possibility of trading with informed traders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-981 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520662 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520662&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:973-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jo-Hui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jo-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The spillover and leverage effects of ethical exchange traded fund Abstract: Using the Exponentially Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-AutoRegressive Moving Average (EGARCH-ARMA) model, there are no differences in terms of the spillover of returns from volatilities and leverage effects between ethical and non-ethical Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) against benchmark indexes after applying negative ethical screening on ETFs. The lagged ethical ETF returns unilaterally influence current stock index returns or the bilateral relationships between them. This article sheds new light on the selection process involved in ethical ETFs and may provide clues for fund managers as they reward investors who prefer ethical value investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-987 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:983-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Nishimura Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nishimura Author-Name: Satoshi Nakano Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Nakano Title: Measuring innovations in the Japanese LCD TVs using market data Abstract: Quality-adjusted price indexes based on a discrete choice model and a weighted hedonic function are estimated using market data for Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) TVs obtained from a large Internet price comparison service in Japan. Implicit values of attributes were used to unify marginal values of attributes into a scalar quality measure, and thus, we measure innovations by the price shift while controlling the levels of the attributes. We also report estimates on welfare gains through the discrete choice approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-995 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: innovation, measurement, discrete choice, LCD TV, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:989-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Åstrom Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Åstrom Author-Name: Robert Nakosteen Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Nakosteen Author-Name: Olle Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Olle Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Author-Name: Michael Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: See the future by looking at the past: predicting divorce with premarital earnings Abstract: The effect of spouse's premarital earnings capacity on the probability of divorce is examined. This study is based on longitudinal register data on married and cohabitating couples in Sweden. We use the residuals from estimated earnings equations of men and women based on observations before their marriage in estimation of a logit model of divorce. By using information on individuals as singles, we can identify the impact of relative earnings power on the probability of divorce, per se, without the confounding effect of the marital relationship. The results indicate that differences in spouse's conditional earnings capacities increase the probability of divorce. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1000 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: divorce, earnings, marriage, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520665 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520665&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:997-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Garcia-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Rubio Author-Name: Andres Picazo-Tadeo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Picazo-Tadeo Author-Name: Francisco Gonzalez-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Gomez Title: Does a red shirt improve sporting performance? Evidence from Spanish football Abstract: Recent research has linked red shirts to sporting success. In this article, we analyse the relationship between the colour red and sporting performance in the Spanish Professional Football League. Our foremost conclusion is that once the effect of the different endowments of resources and the ability of managers have been discounted, teams with red shirts do not show greater performance than teams wearing shirts of other colours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1004 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520666 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520666&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1001-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Aizaki Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Aizaki Author-Name: Yasuhiro Nakashima Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Nakashima Author-Name: Kiyokazu Ujiie Author-X-Name-First: Kiyokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Ujiie Author-Name: Hironobu Takeshita Author-X-Name-First: Hironobu Author-X-Name-Last: Takeshita Author-Name: Kengo Tahara Author-X-Name-First: Kengo Author-X-Name-Last: Tahara Title: Intention to access food risk information through Internet-enabled mobile phones: the role of critical thinking Abstract: Although the development of an Internet-based communication system could decrease the cost of accessing food risk information, a strong intention to access information through the Web would also be required to activate consumer behaviour. We examined how consumers' critical thinking attitudes influence their intention to contract a hypothetical pay website that provides food risk information, through an Internet-enabled mobile phone. A payment card contingent valuation method was applied to capture a Japanese co-op members' intention to contract the website and the willingness to pay for it. A critical thinking attitude was found to have a statistically significant effect on the respondents' intention to access food risk information, suggesting that to strengthen consumer participation in food risk communication through the Internet, it is important to examine measures that promote critical thinking among consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1009 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1005-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. J. Classen Author-X-Name-First: T. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Classen Author-Name: R. A. Dunn Author-X-Name-First: R. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dunn Title: Suicide, social integration and fertility rates Abstract: We measure the association between rates of suicide and fertility in the United States using a panel of states from 1981 to 2005. We find a positive relationship between suicide and fertility rates, in contrast to previous empirical work from other countries that has reported a strong negative relationship between fertility and suicide. This suggests that differences in the health-care system and social safety net between the United States and Europe may influence the relationship between childbirth and suicide. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1014 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1011-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Marcano Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Marcano Author-Name: Inder Ruprah Author-X-Name-First: Inder Author-X-Name-Last: Ruprah Title: Incapacity to pay or moral hazard? Public mortgage delinquency rates in Chile Abstract: High delinquency rate of publicly provided mortgages in social housing programmes are often interpreted to be due to moral hazard. In this article we show that the typically used parametric approaches give misleading results because of overlooked confounding and selection biases. We show that using the more appropriate impact or treatment nonparametric approach the problem of high delinquency rate in publicly provided mortgages is due to the incapacity to pay and not due to moral hazard. The results caution against public policies to encourage private mortgage providers to move down market, and suggest eliminating mortgages and correspondingly increasing the grant component of the programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1015-1020 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1015-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Yin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Su-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Han Hou Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Chia-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Title: Financial systems and mechanisms of growth in different conditions of country risk Abstract: This article uses panel data from 1976 to 2003 to investigate the ways in which banking and stock markets influence economic growth in situations of high and low country risk. The mean and Standard Deviation (SD) of country risk are adopted to classify 28 countries into Low Risk Low Volatility (LRLV) and High Risk High Volatility (HRHV) subgroups. Through the technique of error correction-based panel co-integration developed by Westerlund (2007), several results are obtained. First, LRLV countries can expand the capitalization of stock market to enhance long-term economic growth. Second, HRHV countries, on the other hand, use two distinct strategies to promote long-term economic growth. Initially they develop their equity markets, which promote economic growth directly. Strengthened equity markets, in turn, aid in the development of credit markets, which subsequently brings an economic boom. Finally, regardless of selected subgroups, the contribution of stock market capitalization to economic growth appears to be substantially larger than that of bank credit, highlighting the importance of stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1021-1028 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1021-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kenourgios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kenourgios Author-Name: Athanasios Katevatis Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Katevatis Title: Maturity effect on stock index futures in an emerging market Abstract: This article examines the maturity effect or Samuelson hypothesis on stock index futures in the emerging Greek market, using a range of methodologies such as linear models and conditional variance specifications. The results obtained show that the Greek index futures exhibit the phenomenon of maturity effect. Furthermore, we document a positive relationship between futures price volatility and volume and a negative one between volatility and open interest. However, including trading volume and open interest in a conditional variance framework, we provide evidence on the simultaneous diminution of maturity effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. F. Baklaci Author-X-Name-First: H. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Baklaci Author-Name: O. Olgun Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Author-Name: E. Can Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Can Title: Noise traders: a new approach to understand the phantom of stock markets Abstract: In microstructure literature, the ambiguity regarding the distinctive features of noise traders suggests that a further exploration of their behaviour is needed. In this study, we attempt to illuminate the intraday behavioural aspects of noise traders in the Turkish stock market using a novel approach. The diagnostic results in the initial phase of the analysis reveal that residual volume is a suitable proxy to identify noise traders' activities. The second phase of the analysis manifests that the noise traders significantly contribute to the volatility in spreads and that the duration of the volatility impact is short lived. These results are consistent with our prior conjectures and affirm the validity of our approach and propositions. The approach and findings, when generalized to other emerging markets, carry some implications for policy markers. In Turkey, revival of capital gain taxes abolished after the inception of global crisis might be a resolution to alleviate noise trader activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1041 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1035-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Martinez-Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Sanchez Title: Collusion, competition and piracy Abstract: In this article we analyse firms' ability to tacitly collude on prices in an infinitely repeated duopoly game of vertical product differentiation. We show that firms collude if and only if their discount factor is high enough, that is, if they value future profits sufficiently. We also show that a lower cost of copying facilitates collusion but that a higher quality of the copy hinders collusion. Thus, the overall effect of these new characteristics of copies made by consumers is ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1043-1047 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1043-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boram Lee Author-X-Name-First: Boram Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yulia Veld-Merkoulova Author-X-Name-First: Yulia Author-X-Name-Last: Veld-Merkoulova Title: The persistence of memory of Marilyn: the diversification potential of individual artists Abstract: We investigate the investment performance of the art of Andy Warhol and Salvador Dali through constructing hedonic price indices from auction sales records. Although the arithmetic average returns are higher for the art than for equities, the geometric returns and the Sharpe ratios of the art indices underperform the market, because of their higher volatilities. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) regression results indicate that Dali artworks were negatively correlated with the stock market and achieved a positive and significant Jensen's alpha of 12.3%. Therefore, investment in selected artists' works can provide sufficient diversification benefits even for individual investors unable to diversify their art portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1052 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1049-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naoko Akashi-Ronquest Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Akashi-Ronquest Author-Name: Paul Carrillo Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Carrillo Author-Name: Bruce Dembling Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Dembling Author-Name: Steven Stern Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Measuring the biases in self-reported disability status: evidence from aggregate data Abstract: Self-reported health status measures are generally used to analyse Social Security Disability Insurance's (SSDI) application and award decisions as well as the relationship between its generosity and labour force participation. Due to endogeneity and measurement error, the use of self-reported health and disability indicators as explanatory variables in economic models is problematic. We employ county-level aggregate data, instrumental variables and spatial econometric techniques to analyse the determinants of variation in SSDI rates and explicitly account for the endogeneity and measurement error of the self-reported disability measure. Two surprising results are found. First, it is shown that measurement error is the dominating source of the bias and that the main source of measurement error is sampling error. Second, results suggest that there may be synergies for applying for SSDI when the disabled population is larger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1060 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1053-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Has split share structure reform improved the efficiency of the Chinese stock market? Abstract: Split share structure reform brings about fundamental changes to the Chinese stock market. This article compares the market efficiency before and after this reform. The generalized spectral derivative method is applied, which can capture linear and nonlinear serial dependence, and has stronger power against departures from market efficiency. The results show that although the markets were inefficient before the split share structure reform, they have reached the weak-form efficiency after that. This fundamental reform has improved the Chinese stock market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1064 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524604 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524604&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1061-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xianbo Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xianbo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impact of openness and domestic performance on growth using nonparametric estimation Abstract: This article distinguishes openness from domestic performance as different growth determinants and uses nonparametric estimation to reveal their direct effects on GDP. On average, openness promotes growth, but its effect on growth is negative when the levels of openness and domestic performance both are very low. The effect of domestic performance on growth is always positive averagely and locally, but its effect on growth is decreasing when the economy experiences the initial stage of globalization and domestic performance. Our result makes a useful contribution to the globalization debate because the distinction between openness and domestic performance shows how different economies can perform and improve in each aspect. Among the developing economies, openness is a necessary and prerequisite condition for growth, but the achievement of a high level in domestic performance is also important for growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1065-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Author-Name: Susana-Maria Paleologou Author-X-Name-First: Susana-Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Paleologou Title: Budgetary trade-offs between defence, education and social spending in Greece Abstract: We examine the presence of budgetary trade-offs between defence spending and welfare expenditure in the case of Greece, the country with the highest defence burden in the European Union. The findings reported herein point to a positive trade-off between education, social expenditure and defence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1075 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1071-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shah Danyal Author-X-Name-First: Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Danyal Author-Name: Pankaj Maskara Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj Author-X-Name-Last: Maskara Author-Name: Annaheeta Naqvi Author-X-Name-First: Annaheeta Author-X-Name-Last: Naqvi Title: Impact of computer skills on wages in USA Abstract: Using US NLSY panel data set, staggered every 2 years from 2000 to 2006 for a cross section of 12 686 individuals, we investigate the effect of computer skills on wages. We use the definition of computer skills as having a personal computer with Microsoft Windows at home. Unlike most previous studies in the United States, which used instrumental variables for controlling the unobserved factors, we use fixed-effects estimation methodology. Based on the unique data set and the robust fixed-effects estimation, we find that individuals possessing computer skills earn a wage premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1077-1081 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1077-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Mazumder Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumder Title: Inflation and marginal cost: on the importance of their covariance Abstract: Many researchers have found that estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) using the output gap to proxy for real marginal cost tends to produce a counter-intuitive coefficient sign in the model, whereas using the labour income share produces the expected coefficient sign. This article investigates the potential cause of this puzzle: What causes these differing signs for the coefficient for real marginal cost? We find that this coefficient sign crucially depends on the covariance between inflation and marginal cost. Moreover, this covariance in turn critically depends on the cyclicality of the marginal cost proxy that is used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1089 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1083-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moul Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moul Author-Name: John Nye Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Nye Title: Money isn't everything: linking college choice to winning prizes and professorships Abstract: We expand upon the literature that considers how characteristics of undergraduate schools affect nonincome outcomes by considering Nobel Prize winners and full professors at top 25 universities. We introduce National Merit Scholars (NMS) as a percentage of 1960-1961 class as a time-appropriate measure of student quality and show how this measure largely matches up with prior expectations and observed outcomes. We conclude with the discussion of the convex relation between NMS and these professional outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1098 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1091-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Women are not always less competitive than men: evidence from Come Dine with Me Abstract: Are women less competitive than men? Many experimental and nonexperimental studies have documented gender differences in competitiveness. This article presents the results from a study that examines gender differences in competitiveness in the television show Come Dine with Me. It is a cooking show in which amateur chefs compete against each other for a cash prize. The show provides an unusual opportunity to study gender differences in a high-stakes game environment. The results demonstrate that there are no gender differences in competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1099-1101 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1099-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Baumohl Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Baumohl Author-Name: S. Lyocsa Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lyocsa Author-Name: T. Vyrost Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Vyrost Title: Shift contagion with endogenously detected volatility breaks: the case of CEE stock markets Abstract: Using data from three Central and Eastern European (CEE-3) and two developed stock markets, we present a methodology for validating the existence of shift contagion between these markets. The use of endogenously detected changes in the volatility of stock market returns allows us to define relatively high- and low-volatility regimes for particular stock markets. We verify whether volatility regimes are significantly associated with dynamic conditional correlations (DCCs), thus providing evidence for contagion between stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1109 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1103-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Jui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Jui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Financial liberalization and banking performance: an analysis of Taiwan's former 'Top 10 Banks' Abstract: This article examines, from a unique sample of once-oligopolized 'Top 10 Banks' in Taiwan between 1981 and 2001, the dynamic effect of cost-side efficiency structure and revenue-side market structure on performance gauged by the Return on Asset (ROA) and the Return on Equity (ROE). Financial liberalization with market reopening by the Taiwanese government in 1991 reduces ROA. Cost Efficiency (CE) and Allocative Efficiency (AE) assessed with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) increase procyclical ROA but are unrelated to ROE, suggesting effectiveness of cost control over productivity innovation for the 'Top 10' to maintain performance. Operation expansion merely aggravates hierarchical complexity. Market Share (MS) and Market Concentration (CR) behave oppositely and profit is unaffected by their interaction term, substantiating the standard efficient structure hypothesis and confirming inappropriateness of using MS as a proxy for efficiency. Under the trend towards universal banking, longer-term revenue generated from geographical and operational diversification, on balance, is likely to overweigh the cost linked with greater asymmetry of information in loan making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1120 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1111-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chich-Jen Shieh Author-X-Name-First: Chich-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Shieh Title: Management innovation, corporation core competence and corporate culture: the impact of relatedness Abstract: This study reports the results of a study of Management Innovation of Taiwanese businesses in China. Over 800 questionnaires were sent out to the Taiwanese owners/managers in Kun-Shan City, China, with 260 valid responses included in the study. Four relationships were examined in the study: the correlation between management innovation and corporation core competence, between management innovation and the corporate culture, between corporation core competence and the corporate culture and finally the effect of the corporate culture on the relationship between management innovation and corporation core competence. Findings and conclusions are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michio Yuda Author-X-Name-First: Michio Author-X-Name-Last: Yuda Title: The effect of habitual smoking on labour productivity Abstract: This article investigates the effect of habitual smoking on full-time employees' hourly wages, which represent one of the social costs of smoking. Because the decision whether to smoke is affected by the cigarette tax level and by various socioeconomic factors, it is appropriate that we treat smoking indicators as endogenous in econometric analyses. To control this endogeneity, I use the levels of state and federal cigarette taxes per package and family attributes as instrumental variables for habitual smoking. According to the estimation results, there is no difference in wages between smokers and nonsmokers of both genders after appropriately controlling for the endogeneity of smoking. This result is different from the results of most previous studies, most of which suffer from several methodological problems. I also found that cigarette taxes have a strong impact on smoking participation for both genders. However, it is also found that cigarette taxes do not make smokers without rationality quit smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1132 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1125-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javed Younas Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Younas Title: Role of foreign direct investment in estimating capital mobility: a reappraisal of Feldstein-Horioka puzzle Abstract: As investment by nonresidents is not subject to inter-temporal budget constraint of the recipient country, it may not belong to Feldstein-Horioka equation. This article finds that capital mobility is remarkably high in both developed and developing countries when Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is excluded from domestic investment. Moreover, economic openness and financial markets' liberalization are also found to have increased the degree of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Author-Name: Danielle Zanzalari Author-X-Name-First: Danielle Author-X-Name-Last: Zanzalari Author-Name: John Jasina Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jasina Title: What are the odds? A measure of the small sample problems Abstract: Decisions on whether to retain recent hires are often limited by small sample size. We empirically assess whether uncertainty in employee retention decisions could be significantly reduced by increasing sample size. Using a unique data set from professional tennis matches to measure small sample outcomes, we find little difference in giving three chances, relative to five chances, in determining innate ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1143 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526570 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526570&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1139-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sun-Tien Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sun-Tien Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chieh-Hsuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chieh-Hsuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The relationships between rent multiplier and user cost - a case study of Taipei Abstract: The value of Rent Multiplier (RM) for the city of Taipei has been in extraordinary magnitudes and remains to be a myth to most housing economists. Why does the RM in Taipei exhibit such a peculiarity? Is it because the populace there are so peculiar in their housing behaviours that can be held to account for such an extraordinary phenomenon or because there are logically consistent economic factors behind the scene that might have led the people to make their housing choices rather differently from the way usually envisaged by the conventional wisdom in economics? In this article, we try to uncover the myth by examining whether the economic factors such as user cost, vacancy rate and people's disposable income can be held to account for the above-mentioned consequence through a vector error correction model. More specifically, we examine whether there are long-term relationships between those explanatory variables and the RMs in question. The results show that our argument that the extraordinary RM phenomenon can be explained with user cost is empirically verified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1148 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1145-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Soderberg Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Soderberg Title: Firm-level inefficiency and its determinants in the Swedish water and wastewater sector Abstract: The Swedish Water and Wastewater (WW) utilities are subject to a cost-of-service regulation with no regulatory incentives to reduce costs. An estimation of firm-level inefficiency using stochastic frontier models on a cross-sectional sample of 148 utilities from 2006 suggests that overall the sector has at least a 15% cost reduction potential. Utilities can increase efficiency by reducing network losses. The cost frontier shifts to a higher level when (1) two or more municipalities merge their WW operations and when (2) utilities receive tax subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1153 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1149-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cipriano Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Cipriano Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros Title: Liberalization and efficiency in the European postal sector Abstract: Market competition has been widely considered as one of the main determinants of business efficiency. This study evaluates this hypothesis for European postal operators. In particular, it takes advantage of the coexistence of various degrees of competition in national postal markets and the differences in regulations established among countries. For this purpose, a stochastic production frontier model is estimated, using a database of 17 European national postal operators. The results show that the degree of competition in domestic markets and the independence of national regulatory authorities are the main factors to explain the increase in efficiency in the postal sector. This reinforces the need for transposing the European regulatory framework into all national postal markets and opening them up to competition with no further delay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1155-1158 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1155-1158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julide Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: Julide Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Author-Name: Erdogan Yilmaz Author-X-Name-First: Erdogan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmaz Author-Name: Nebile Korucu Author-X-Name-First: Nebile Author-X-Name-Last: Korucu Title: The determinants of out-of-pocket payments: evidence from selected hospitals in Ankara, Turkey Abstract: The aim of this study is to explore the determinants of the out-of-pocket expenditures on health in selected hospitals of the capital city Ankara, Turkey. Maximum likelihood logistic analysis is used to estimate the relationship between the likelihood of incurring out-of-pocket payments and a set of individual- and facility-level covariates, such as income, education level and wealth of the patient. Empirical findings indicate that as the level of education, age and income increase the likelihood of making out-of-payment expenditures on health increases. Additionally, the attitudes of patients towards the health-care system and their possible impacts on the decision of out-of-pocket payments have also been considered. The distrust in the public health-care system is reflected in patients' choices regarding the first applied medical centre. It appears that patients with high levels of income prefer private health-care rather than the public health-care services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1159-1162 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1159-1162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Title: Social time preference and the optimal carbon price Abstract: This article examines the implications of alternative social time preference assumptions for the optimal carbon price by numerical simulations of a simple Ramsey model. Three specifications of social time preferences are compared: a constant social time preference rate (stpr), decreasing social impatience or hyperbolic social preferences and increasing social impatience. The results show nontrivial effects on the optimal carbon price. The policy implication is that value judgements about intergenerational welfare, reflected in stpr, have implications for policies aimed at achieving a target carbon price. These value judgements therefore ought to be made explicit in setting target carbon prices over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1163-1166 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1163-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. van Groezen Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: van Groezen Author-Name: R. Jadoenandansing Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jadoenandansing Author-Name: G. Pasini Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Pasini Title: Social capital and health across European countries Abstract: In this article we compare the effect of trust and civic participation on self-assessed health across 10 European countries. We find that, after controlling for a rich set of socio-economic characteristics, for actual health status and for health-related behaviours, trust has a significantly positive effect on perceived health in Sweden and Germany, but none in the other countries. Civic participation does have a positive and quite similar effect in all countries. Our conclusion is that they measure two different aspects of social capital that must be treated separately. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1170 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1167-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Garrett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett Author-Name: Lesli Ott Author-X-Name-First: Lesli Author-X-Name-Last: Ott Title: Crime and arrests: deterrence or resource reallocation? Abstract: We use monthly time-series data for 20 large US cities to test the deterrence hypothesis (arrests reduce crimes) and the resource reallocation hypothesis (arrests follow from an increase in crime). We find (1) weak support for the deterrence hypothesis, (2) much stronger support for the resource reallocation hypothesis and (3) differences in city-level estimates suggest much heterogeneity in the crime and arrest relationship across regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1175 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1171-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: Openness and capital flow volatility: comparisons between transition economies and Latin America Abstract: The transition economies of Eastern Europe, much like Latin America, have attracted a great deal of capital and thus become vulnerable to external crises. As a result, assessing the volatility of capital movements, and distinguishing between stable and transitory flows, is particularly important. This study looks at nine transition and six Latin American countries individually, modelling Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), portfolio and other inflows separately as functions of macroeconomic variables that include economic openness. Cointegration analysis shows that Latin American flows seem to experience more of a reduction in volatility due to increased openness, suggesting that this region enjoys more risk-sharing as a result of financial integration than do transition economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1180 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1177-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago de. V. Cavalcanti Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: de. V. Cavalcanti Author-Name: Kamiar Mohaddes Author-X-Name-First: Kamiar Author-X-Name-Last: Mohaddes Author-Name: Mehdi Raissi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Raissi Title: Does oil abundance harm growth? Abstract: This article explores whether natural resource abundance is a curse. Our results reveal that oil abundance has a positive effect on both long-run income levels and short-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1181-1184 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1181-1184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Author-Name: Bernardita Silva Author-X-Name-First: Bernardita Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Did George W. Bush increase the happiness of US Republicans? Abstract: Using information from the US General Social Survey (GSS) between 1972 and 2006, we examine the effects of political affiliation on happiness. Regression results show that Republicans are always happier than Democrats, but members of both parties tend to be happier during a Democratic presidential administration. We do not find compelling evidence that Americans are happier when their own political party is in power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1185-1188 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1185-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bywaters Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bywaters Author-Name: David Thomas Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Real money demand and supply meets Federal debt Abstract: This article presents the empirical results of an econometric investigation of the demand and supply of real money (M2) with real Federal debt in the USA economy as a Vector Auto-Regressions (VARs) system. This allows the study to focus on the crucial variables of fiscal and monetary policies, specifically the debt (wealth-creating instruments), the real monetary base and the relevant rates of interest. The long- and short-run effects of these variables over the quarterly data, spanning from 1960 to 2007, are analysed. Clearly, this is a well-researched field, where others have published excellent work, although this investigation differs in its choice of variables. The idea is to explain the dynamics and mechanisms of adjustment, generally left unexplained by economic theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1193 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532089 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532089&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1189-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Economic effects of grades on course evaluations Abstract: In this article, we develop econometric models to test the hypothesis that students rate their professors primarily based upon their midterm grades. Our findings reveal that students' midterm grades are positively and significantly related to professors' overall evaluations, indicating that the hypothesis is accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532090 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532090&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1195-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep Maria Raya Author-X-Name-First: Josep Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Raya Title: The effect of time on hotel pricing strategy Abstract: Tourist product distribution over the Internet is encouraging companies to implement dynamic pricing policies. The aim of this article is to present an empirical model of the dynamics of room prices in tourist resorts on the Catalan coast. We estimate a discrete time duration model for the probability of a price change occurring at any particular time and a count model for the number of price changes occurring over the period. The results suggest that the largest marginal effects are caused by a change in the location, the hotel category and the market share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1205 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1201-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Peri Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Peri Author-Name: Lucia Baldi Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Baldi Title: Nonlinear price dynamics between CO2 futures and Brent Abstract: The growing expansion of European Union Emission Trading futures market and the parallel increase in the tendency of using such products also as financial instruments in the capital market outline the interest in the analysis of European Union Allowances (EUA) futures prices drivers. We applied recent developments in the threshold cointegration approach to investigate the presence of asymmetric dynamic adjusting processes between CO2 futures and spot Brent prices. We found evidence of the existences of long-run nonlinear relationships, with Brent prices driving EUA futures prices to a long-run equilibrium up to a point where the gap between the two prices exceeds a critical threshold. Hence, EUA futures market currently do not act only as a tool for compliance within the environmental regulation (i.e. to contain CO2 emissions), but has become a financial instrument to support firms' profit-maximizing behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532092 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532092&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Carmen Pasca Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Pasca Title: On choosing a constitution (at least the part relating to the distribution of income) Abstract: A constitution is a collection of principles or axioms determining how society should be organized and a description of the ordering of the axioms in terms of their importance and invocation. We report on an exploratory experiment aimed at discovering preferred axioms relating to the distribution of income within society. Unlike most previous experiments, we inquired directly into preferred axioms, rather than indirectly (done by asking subjects to choose between distributions). In addition to learning that the experimental design was, in principle, appropriate, we discovered that preferences expressed in this direct way appear to differ from preferences expressed indirectly. Interestingly, we also get an insight into the order in which people prefer principles to be implemented, thus suggesting something about relative importance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1217 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1213-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josef Loening Author-X-Name-First: Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Loening Author-Name: Masato Higashi Author-X-Name-First: Masato Author-X-Name-Last: Higashi Title: Decomposing terms of trade fluctuations in Ethiopia Abstract: This article proposes a technique to decompose short-run fluctuations in the terms of trade. Using Ethiopia as an example, we decompose the commodity terms of trade into various components to measure the impact of price and volume shifts as well as export diversification. We use monthly data from the past decade, including periods during the global food and financial crises. Our findings suggest that diversification out of traditional coffee exports to other export commodities successfully mitigated the terms of trade shock. Continued export diversification will be beneficial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1224 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1219-1224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Brenda Carron Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Carron Title: The effect of gender on stock price reaction to the appointment of directors: the case of the FTSE 100 Abstract: We examine the effect of the appointment of directors on the share price of FTSE companies. We find that the share price reaction to the appointment of directors suggests that gender is not an issue in the appointment of nonexecutive directors, but it does have an effect on the market reaction to the appointment of executive directors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1225-1229 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: FTSE 100, gender, directors, event study, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1225-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens Matthias Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Jens Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Andreas Worgotter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Worgotter Title: Structural reforms and the benefits of the enlarged EU internal market: still much to be gained Abstract: In the light of recent calls for additional structural reforms in Europe, this article looks at the role that a reduction of remaining barriers for integration and competition in the EU internal market can play in this context. This article presents new estimates of the likely impact of product market reform on labour productivity in old and new EU member countries, with a particular focus on network industries, professional services and retail trade. These estimates reveal that labour productivity could be boosted by an average of 10% over a time horizon of 10 years, in reward for a reform agenda that would align the stringency of anti-competitive regulation in services sectors to European best practice across all countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1235 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1231-1235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naomi Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Naomi Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Author-Name: Kazuhiko Odaki Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Odaki Title: Gender difference in the probability of success in starting business turns negligible when controlling for the managerial experience Abstract: This study analyses the difference in the probability of success in starting a business between male and female entrepreneurs. The novel data set of the participants of business start-up seminars enables us to control for entrepreneurial drive, educational level and managerial experience. In contrast to the existing literature, the gender difference proves to be negligible after controlling for the managerial experience. Our finding implies that the training programmes for women to improve their management skill will reduce the gender gap in starting a business. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1241 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1237-1241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Harris Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Q. C. Li Author-X-Name-First: Q. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: J. Moffat Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Title: The impact of higher education institution-firm knowledge links on firm-level productivity in Britain Abstract: This article estimates whether knowledge links with universities impact on establishment-level Total Factor Productivity (TFP). Using propensity score matching, the results show a positive and statistically significant impact although there are differences across production and nonproduction industries and domestically and foreign-owned firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1246 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1243-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Author-Name: Elena Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio Title: The Fisher effect in the EU revisited: new evidence using panel cointegration estimation with global stochastic trends Abstract: This article is aimed at verifying the fulfilment of the Fisher hypothesis for a panel of 15 EU countries using the recent developments in the estimation of panel cointegration models with cross-sectional dependence generated by unobservable global stochastic trends (Bai et al., 2009). Bai et al. (2009) propose two iterative procedures that jointly estimate the slope parameters and the stochastic trends. The resulting estimators are referred to, respectively, as Continuously Updated and Bias Corrected (CupBC) and Continuously Updated and Fully Modified (CupFM) estimators. Our results show that, if we ignore the cross-sectional dependence generated by global stochastic trends when estimating the Fisher equation, we could erroneously infer that there is a full Fisher effect, as found by Westerlund (2008) for a panel of OECD countries. However, if we explicitly introduce the common factors in the Fisher equation, the CupBC and CupFM estimators of the slope parameter on inflation are significantly lower than unity, which implies the existence of a 'partial' Fisher effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1251 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1247-1251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Forrest Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Author-Name: L. Perez Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Football pools and lotteries: substitute roads to riches? Abstract: Football pools offer an older alternative to lotto games for gamblers seeking high prizes with low stakes. The article models football pools demand in Spain over nearly 40 years. The introduction of lotto games to the market led to substantial cannibalization of the pools but, subsequently, there is no evidence that the products were substitutes when the relative value for money fluctuated. Entry fee is shown to be a determinant of demand independent of the expected loss per euro, implying that long-odds games should not be analysed as if buyers were acquiring a purely financial asset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1257 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532100 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532100&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1253-1257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana-Isabel Guerra Author-X-Name-First: Ana-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Guerra Author-Name: Ferran Sancho Author-X-Name-First: Ferran Author-X-Name-Last: Sancho Title: Budget-constrained expenditure multipliers Abstract: Standard expenditure multipliers capture economy-wide effects of new government projects only when financing constraints are not binding. In actual policy-making, however, new projects usually need financing. We show that under liquidity constraints, new projects are subject to two opposite effects: an income effect and a set of spending substitution effects. The former is the traditional, unrestricted, multiplier effect; the latter is the result of expenditure reallocation to uphold effective financing constraints. Unrestricted multipliers will therefore be, as a general rule, upward biased and policy designs based upon them should be reassessed in the light of the countervailing substitution effects. We also propose a novel decomposition of multiplier effects based on internal and external dependencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1259-1262 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1259-1262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Olaskoaga-Larrauri Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Olaskoaga-Larrauri Author-Name: Ricardo Alaez-Aller Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Alaez-Aller Author-Name: Eneko Arrospide-Zabala Author-X-Name-First: Eneko Author-X-Name-Last: Arrospide-Zabala Title: Determinant factors in the convergence of welfare effort in OECD countries: a decomposition of the Theil indices Abstract: This article uses Theil's index to confirm the convergence of welfare effort in 21 developed countries. Taking advantage of the properties of this index, this article decomposes the dispersion of effort into its immediate determinants and thus illustrates that it is possible for there to be convergence in welfare effort but not in the intensity with which national systems protect their citizens. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1263-1266 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1263-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Khediri Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Khediri Author-Name: H. Ben-Khedhiri Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben-Khedhiri Title: Determinants of bank net interest margin in Tunisia: a panel data model Abstract: This article examines the determinants of Net Interest Margins (NIM) in Tunisia and tests some of the bank's characteristics that are derived mainly from the dealership model (Ho and Saunders, 1981). The research considers the heterogeneity of individual banks through the use of random-effect as well as fixed-effect models. It tests the robustness of the results by running the Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data and robust cluster estimation. Operating Costs (OC) and Bank Capital (BC) are found to be consistent to the theoretical model implying positive association to NIM. In addition, NIM is positively related to Opportunity Costs of Bank Reserves (OCBR), Implicit Interest Payments (IIP) and negatively related to Quality of Management (QM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1267-1271 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534052 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534052&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1267-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viktors Ajevskis Author-X-Name-First: Viktors Author-X-Name-Last: Ajevskis Title: A target zone model with the terminal condition of joining a currency area Abstract: This study aims to generalize the Krugman target zone model for the case of terminal condition of joining a currency area. Using the terminal condition and the 'smooth pasting conditions', both analytical and numerical solutions of the problem are obtained. The proposed model is more adequate than the Krugman one when the moment of joining currency area approaches. The properties of the model highlight that monetary authorities have some degree of monetary independence until the moment of entering a currency zone. The model's outcomes are consistent with dynamic properties of the exchange rate time series of the European countries that entered euro zone in January 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1278 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1273-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ellen Sewell Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Sewell Title: Competition and dealership agglomeration in new car markets Abstract: The theoretical literature addressing firm agglomeration is rich and varied. Yet few empirical studies have been published. This article investigates the impact of competition on dealership agglomeration in new car markets in the United States. The driving distance between Dodge and Ford dealerships is used as a proxy for the extent of market agglomeration. The number of new car dealers, used car dealers and automotive service facilities are included to measure the extent of competition in the market. Both the land area and the population of the county are used as measures of market size. The geographical dimension for the market is taken to be the county, with counties included in multi-county Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) excluded from the study. The empirical results provide no support for the expectation that competition drives agglomeration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534054 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534054&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Moersch Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Moersch Author-Name: Armin Pohl Author-X-Name-First: Armin Author-X-Name-Last: Pohl Title: Predicting recessions with the term spread - recent evidence from seven countries Abstract: Using data including the most recent recession and employing two different definitions of recessions, this article examines the ability of the term spread of interest rates to predict recessions for seven countries. The empirical results indicate that the predictive power of the term spread is best for Canada, Germany, the United States and the United Kingdom. It is not solely a result of the link with monetary policy but for the most part reflects information independent of monetary policy actions. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)/Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) chronology of recessions provides the best fit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534055 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534055&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rupert Rhodd Author-X-Name-First: Rupert Author-X-Name-Last: Rhodd Author-Name: Sandra Schrouder Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Schrouder Author-Name: Marcus Allen Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Title: Weekend business school degrees: Levelling the playing field? Abstract: Using a sample of 6001 students in the traditional Bachelor of Business Administration (BBA) programme and 228 students in the weekend BBA programme, this study considers whether undergraduate students who participate in a weekend bachelor degree programme at an Association to Advance Collegiate Schools of Business (AACSB)-accredited business school perform as well as students who attend the traditional programme at the same university as measured by their final Grade Point Averages (GPAs). The results of this study demonstrate that some demographic factors that are correlated with the level of overall academic performance in the weekend programme significantly differ from the demographic factors that are correlated with students' performances in the traditional programme. Although the mean performances of students in the traditional and weekend programmes differ only slightly (2.95 GPA and 3.00 GPA, respectively), gender and age were a factor only in the traditional programme as females and older students outperform males and younger students. Underperformance by minority students is consistent in both programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jomana Amara Author-X-Name-First: Jomana Author-X-Name-Last: Amara Title: Testing for stationarity using covariates: an application to purchasing power parity Abstract: We examine the evidence for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using post-Bretton Woods exchange rate data for 20 industrialized countries. The two tests used are the covariate tests for stationarity where the null hypothesis of stationarity is tested against the unit root alternative. These tests are generalizations of existing univariate stationarity tests and improve the power of univariate tests by utilizing the information contained in related stationary covariates. We conclude that PPP holds for 17 out of the 20 countries tested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1295-1301 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1295-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherif Khalifa Author-X-Name-First: Sherif Author-X-Name-Last: Khalifa Author-Name: Ousmane Seck Author-X-Name-First: Ousmane Author-X-Name-Last: Seck Author-Name: Elwin Tobing Author-X-Name-First: Elwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobing Title: Financial wealth effect: evidence from threshold estimation Abstract: Using Hansen's (1999) threshold estimation technique and Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data set for the waves of 2001, 2003 and 2005, we estimate the effects of the fluctuations in financial wealth on the consumption behaviour of households for different endogenously determined income groups. We found a threshold income level of almost $130 000, below which the financial wealth effect is insignificant, and above which the effect is 0.004. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1303-1305 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535777 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535777&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1303-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: John Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Income inequality dynamics in rural China from 1991 to 2006: the role of alternative income sources Abstract: This article decomposes income inequality in rural China into five income sources and studies the marginal effect of each income source on total income inequality. We find that rising wage income and declining agricultural income play important roles in the rapid increase of income inequality in rural China from 1991 to 2006. Only increases in agricultural income appear to reduce total income inequality. China has recently eliminated taxes on agricultural income. These findings suggest that such a policy will help reduce income inequality in rural China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1307-1310 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1307-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Bystrom Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Bystrom Title: An index to evaluate fund and fund manager performance Abstract: I propose a new index, the b-index, to measure the performance of funds and fund managers. A fund or fund manager has a b-index equal to b if b is the highest number for which it holds that the fund/fund manager has returned more than b% at least b years throughout the history of the fund/fund manager. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1311-1314 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1311-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Juan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A gravity analysis of international stock market linkages Abstract: The last decade has witnessed a marked improvement in information technology. Such an improvement has reduced the information cost for market participants. Thus, whether the influence of geographic factors on international financial linkage is still significant nowadays is an important question yet to be addressed. This article develops a gravity model of international financial linkages. Using the panel data of bilateral cross-country stock market correlations of 23 countries, it is found that the correlations are negatively associated with the Great Circular Distance (GCD) between the financial centres of these countries and positively associated with the duration of overlapping trading hours among stock exchanges and the colonial links between countries. However, whether the countries share a common border or language does not affect the stock market correlations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1315-1319 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1315-1319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Jean Sepulveda Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Sepulveda Title: Stock returns in emerging markets and the use of GARCH models Abstract: We use the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to detect for the adequacy of using GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) as the data-generating process to model conditional volatility of stock market index rates of return in 13 emerging economies. We find that a GARCH formulation or any of its variants fail to provide an adequate characterization for the underlying process of the 13 emerging stock market indices. We also study whether there exist evidence of ARCH effects, over windows of 200, 400 and 800 observations, using Engle's LM (Lagrange Multiplier) test, and find that there exist long periods of time with no evidence of ARCH effects. The results suggest that policymakers should use caution when using autoregressive models for policy analysis and forecast because the inadequacy of GARCH models has strong implications for the pricing of stock index options, portfolio selection and risk management. Specially, measures of spillover effects and output volatility may not be accurate when using GARCH models to evaluate economic policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1321-1325 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537615 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537615&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1321-1325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vedat Yorucu Author-X-Name-First: Vedat Author-X-Name-Last: Yorucu Author-Name: Ozay Mehmet Author-X-Name-First: Ozay Author-X-Name-Last: Mehmet Title: The bounds-test approach for co-integration between international tourist arrivals, per capita income and cost of living: the case of All Cyprus Abstract: Tourism is a major income earner for Cyprus, but the market is a divided destination. Since 1974 the country has been divided into the North and the South, each competing with one another in the same tourism market. For the first time, this empirical study investigates an island-wide tourism demand. Extending earlier work (Yorucu, 2001), All Cyprus tourism time series data covering 1980-2006 has been used in this article to estimate demand applying standard bounds-test approach for co-integration within a disaggregated framework. The results confirm a special long-run equilibrium relationship between Turkey/North Cyprus and Greece/South Cyprus. Thus, per capita tourist arrivals from Greece to South Cyprus and those from Turkey to North Cyprus are statistically significant with cost of living and per capita income variables. So long as incomes per capita increase in Turkey and Greece, a reunited All Cyprus will gain as one destination as Turkish and Greek citizens will become mobile island-wide. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1331 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1327-1331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Author-Name: Theodore Panagiotidis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Panagiotidis Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Why a diversified portfolio should include African assets Abstract: We employ parametric and nonparametric cointegration approaches to investigate the extent of integration between African stock markets and the rest of the world. Long-run correlation estimates imply very low association between these two. The two distinct cointegration approaches confirm the latter through recursive estimation. The implication is that global markets have little impact on African stock markets. However, including African assets in a mean-variance portfolio would be beneficial to international investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1340 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1333-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo Barigozzi Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Barigozzi Author-Name: Biagio Speciale Author-X-Name-First: Biagio Author-X-Name-Last: Speciale Title: Immigrants' legal status, permanence in the destination country and the distribution of consumption expenditure Abstract: This article considers the distribution of consumption expenditures for a large sample of documented and undocumented immigrants in Italy. Using the one-sided and two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests, we show that the distribution of consumption of immigrants with higher permanence in the host country first-order stochastically dominates the one of immigrants with lower permanence. These distributions are first-order stochastically dominated by the ones of natives with similar characteristics. Apart from differences in the first years since migration, undocumented immigrants show similar consumption distributions to the ones of documented immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1347 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1341-1347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Goncu Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Goncu Title: Pricing temperature-based weather contracts: an application to China Abstract: This article is the first study to price temperature-based weather derivatives based on the daily average temperatures of Chinese cities, namely Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen. A dynamic model with a piecewise constant volatility function, proposed by Alaton et al. (2002), is used for pricing Heating Degree Days (HDD) and Cooling Degree Days (CDD) options. Price estimates for these options are obtained using Monte Carlo simulation and analytical approximation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1354 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1349-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The long-run effect of outward FDI on domestic output in developing countries Abstract: This article examines the long-run effect of outward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on domestic output in developing countries. Using panel cointegration techniques, we find a significant positive long-run effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1358 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537620 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537620&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1355-1358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Author-Name: Antonio Andres Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Title: International evidence on the determinants of alcohol advertising restrictions Abstract: Unlike previous studies, which address the impact of alcohol advertising restrictions on alcohol demand, this article turns the issue around by investigating the determinants of alcohol advertising restrictions. Estimating a series of Probit models, our results show that the probability of adopting advertising restrictions tends to be higher in countries with higher life expectancy, higher per capita income, having a majority of the population that is Muslim and having a higher share of the population that is young. Population density, alcohol consumption and economic freedom play largely insignificant roles in the determination of advertising restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1359-1362 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1359-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Nonlinearities in central and eastern European stock markets Abstract: In this article we use nonlinear tests to investigate the mean reverting properties of stock prices in a group of Central and East European (CEE) markets. We also test whether returns in our target group of countries demonstrate characteristics of persistence and cross-sectional dependence. Our results indicate that ignoring the nonlinearity in the stock prices of CEE countries could result in misleading inferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1366 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1363-1366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kozyra Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kozyra Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Using VIX data to enhance technical trading signals Abstract: The purpose of this article is to provide new insights into the relationship between technical analysis and implied market volatility (VIX) by calculating technical trading rules with the VIX price data, as opposed to the stock prices. Three trending trading rule signals are calculated on the prices of three major US indices and the VIX prices. The results reveal that the trading signals calculated with the VIX level provide large, statistically significant profits that are in excess of the profits from the traditional computation. Sub-period analysis reveals that technical trading rules were most (least) profitable during the period with the highest (lowest) volatility levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1367-1370 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537623 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537623&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1367-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: WenShwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: WenShwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The lag in effect of inflation targeting and policy evaluation Abstract: The lag in effect of monetary policy contains vital information for the policy evaluation. Allowing for a time-varying treatment effect, we show that Inflation Targeting (IT) effectively lowers inflation for both developed and developing countries. Developed countries reach their targets rapidly with a 2-year lag in effect. Developing countries, however, reduce inflation gradually towards their targets and do not reach their ultimate goal by the end year of 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1371-1375 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1371-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. You Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Evaluating poverty duration and transition: a spell-approach to rural China Abstract: This article uses a discrete-time multivariate duration model to study poverty transition in rural China between 1989 and 2006. The analysis identifies nonlinear negative duration-dependence for both exit and re-entry rates of poverty. There is significant difference in hazard rates of exit and re-entry associated with geographic location and educational level of households, but less related to gender, occupation or ethnic background of household head. The factors facilitating households' ending a poverty spell are found to be education, land ownership, asset accumulation, health insurance and outmigration, whereas larger family size and dependence ratio may reduce the chance of exit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1377-1382 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1377-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Title: Quantifying environmental sustainability using an aggregate index reflecting increasing marginal damage costs Abstract: In an environmental economics context increasing marginal damage costs are usually assumed, and a methodology for calculating a sustainability index in accordance with this assumption is presented. The aggregate index is constructed from an n-element vector including the values of the (n) subset indicators, and the length of this vector in Euclidian space is perceived as an alternative measurement scale. Increasing values for any of the elements in the vector will influence the total result more than proportionately and hence in accordance with an assumption of increasing marginal damage costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1386 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1383-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: How stable is the demand for international reserves? Abstract: Previous research that has tested the stability of the reserve demand function uses panel data, without incorporating any adjustment process into the testing procedure when providing evidence of instability in reserve demand. In this article, we use time-series data, as well as a bounds testing approach to error-correction modelling that incorporates the adjustment process, to show that reserve demand function is stable in 20 of the 22 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in our study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1387-1392 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1387-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Health status and wage differences: measuring productivity penalty and discrimination patterns Abstract: In this study by utilizing the 2008 Athens Area Study (AAS) data set, I examine to what extent inequalities in the Greek labour market between health-impaired and healthy employees may be attributed to differences in productivity and/or discrimination. A group of health-impaired male and female employees who self-reported that their productivity is not affected by their impairment is used to measure the effects of discrimination separately from the effects of poor health on wages. A penalty for heath-impaired employees having work limitations exists. Evidence of wage discrimination against health-impaired employees having no work limitations is also observed. Both findings are statistically significant. Currently, health-impaired people do not appear to face a level playing field in the Greek labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1396 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1393-1396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: A Bayesian approach to building robust structural credit default models Abstract: We present a methodology for constructing robust credit default estimates using Bayesian mixture models. Robust models explicitly take parameter uncertainty into account by allowing the modeller to formally express his degree of confidence in the model he is using and thus generate new model parameters that more accurately reflect his views on the soundness of his model. In the context of credit risk modelling, robust models are beneficial to practitioners because they provide a more structured way to err on the side of caution when estimating default probabilities. We conclude by briefly comparing the model presented with so-called credit risk models of incomplete information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1397-1400 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1397-1400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giulio Bottazzi Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Bottazzi Author-Name: Federico Tamagni Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Tamagni Title: Big and fragile: when size does not shield from default Abstract: Analysing a large sample of Italian firms we find that the probability of default increases with size. This contrasts with the common observation, based on measures of exit from business registry data, that firms' death rate is inversely related to the scale of their operation and suggests a rethinking of the economic role of larger companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1401-1404 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1401-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: M. C. Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Sunny Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Inward FDI, remittances and out-migration Abstract: In this study, we look at the relationship between remittances received at home, inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and out-migration of individuals with different levels of education. Using the bilateral international migration data in 1990 and 2000, we find that inward FDI tends to deter the out-migration of individuals with secondary and tertiary education, but has no significant impact on the out-migration of individuals with primary education. In addition, remittances received at home induce the out-migration of individuals with primary education, but not the out-migration of individuals with secondary and tertiary education. The stock of existing migrants in a foreign country encourage future out-migration regardless of migrants' levels of education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1409 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1405-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Deng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Li Si-fei Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Si-fei Author-Name: Wu Wei-xing Author-X-Name-First: Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei-xing Title: Market discounts and announcement effects of private placements: evidence from China Abstract: This article examines the market discounts and announcement effects of private equity placements in China. We find that, on average, Chinese firms have about 30% market discounts for private placements, which is higher in number than those of US firms. Firms experience positive announcement effects for private placements and such effects are positively related with the market discounts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1414 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1411-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Baba Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Baba Author-Name: Y. Sakurai Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Sakurai Title: Predicting regime switches in the VIX index with macroeconomic variables Abstract: In this article, we investigate the role of US macroeconomic variables as leading indicators of regime shifts in the VIX index using a regime-switching approach. We find that there are three distinct regimes in the VIX index during the 1990 to 2010 period: tranquil regime with low volatility, turmoil regime with high volatility and crisis regime with extremely high volatility. We also show that the regime shift from the tranquil to the turmoil regime is significantly predicted by lower term spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1419 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1415-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Hsiu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Len-Kuo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Len-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The role of ownership on control right allocation and compensation contract design Abstract: We propose a corporate control model that deals with control right allocation and compensation contract design. By drawing upon a special feature of human nature, that is the sense of gain and loss affiliated with initial ownership as described by the prospect theory in Kahneman and Tversky (1979), we find that it helps mitigate the inefficiency stemming from the agency problem. In particular, there exists a most desirable level of 'managerial irrationality' that completely offsets the social efficiency loss inflicted by the moral hazard problem. Moreover, less control right should be allocated to outside investors and more compensation should be granted to the manager as the latter reveals more serious concern about his ownership gain and loss. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1426 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1421-1426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Miguel St. Aubyn Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: St. Aubyn Title: Assessing health efficiency across countries with a two-step and bootstrap analysis Abstract: Regressing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) output efficiency scores on nondiscretionary variables, with a two-stage DEA/Tobit and bootstrap procedures, we show that health inefficiency in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries is related to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per head, education level, obesity and smoking habits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1427-1430 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1427-1430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Dong Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: Optimal tariff calculations in tariff games with climate change considerations Abstract: We discuss whether the introduction of climate change considerations into Nash tariff games increases or reduces post-retaliation tariffs. We briefly discuss how climate change considerations can be introduced into computational trade models. We then calculate optimal tariffs in comparable conventional (no climate change considerations present) and with climate change trade models. Results show that compared with conventional trade models, adding climate change considerations reduces the level of optimal tariffs, but this only occurs when the damage effects involved are large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1431-1435 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541391 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541391&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1431-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Wei-Jen Wen Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Determinants of performing arts attendance in Taiwan: a multivariate probit analysis Abstract: This article uses data collected from a telephone survey of Taiwanese residents to investigate the live performance attendances at four types of performing arts: contemporary drama, traditional theatre, dance and music. We estimate a Multivariate Probit (MVP) model to characterize the audience for each type of performing arts and to find out the pairwise correlations across performing arts. The audience of traditional theatre appears to be quite different from that of the other three types of performing arts. We also show significant and positive correlations across attendances at all four performing arts, with the correlation coefficient between dance and music being the highest. This indicates that performing arts are complements and audiences tend to be 'omnivorous' rather than 'univorous'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1442 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543060 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543060&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1437-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Further evidence on money and inflation in the long run Abstract: The long-run money-inflation relation is re-examined in the context of De Grauwe and Polan's (2005) recent claim that the monetary aggregates are of no use for monetary analysis at low rates of inflation, and Nelson's (2002) counterclaim that in cross-country analysis money should be defined as currency and allowance should be made for lags. I report cross-section results that support a role for the monetary aggregates at low inflation when currency is the monetary aggregate, and panel data results that find no such role, notwithstanding the use of currency and allowing for lags. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1447 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1443-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huai-I. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Huai-I. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Len-Kuo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Len-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Ching-Chung Lin Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Portfolio insurance with ratcheted floor as a long-term asset management strategy: implications of loss aversion Abstract: The existing literature has revealed that the performance of current portfolio insurance strategies as long-term asset management is limited. Prospect theory implies that creation of ladder return distributions by portfolio insurance can improve long-term asset management with criteria of loss avoidance and gain protection. Based on this principle, we propose the Ratcheted Floor Variable Proportion Portfolio Insurance (RF-VPPI) as a competing strategy with the Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI) and rolling-CPPI strategies. Simulations and empirical tests demonstrate that the RF-VPPI outperforms the CPPI and the rolling-CPPI in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1454 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1449-1454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: A. I. Sanjuan Author-X-Name-First: A. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanjuan Title: Calorie consumption and income: panel cointegration and causality evidence in developing countries Abstract: Two theories characterize the relationship between calorie consumption and income. The Engel curve hypothesizes that calories are determined by income whereas the efficiency wage hypothesis posits the converse. This article examines the validity of these hypotheses for 41 developing countries using panel cointegration methods. Results show bidirectional causality and both hypotheses are supported. The long-run income elasticity of calorie demand is 0.25, and the calorie elasticity of income generation is 1.78. Thus, increases in income can alleviate malnutrition to a limited extent, and increases in calorie consumption lead to greater work effort and income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1461 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543063 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543063&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1455-1461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: A note on subsidy-free prices and scope economies Abstract: The necessary admissible range of subsidy-free prices is bounded from above by the incremental scope economy measure for the service - the difference between total scope economies and the scope economies associated with the complement of the service. These incremental scope economy measures provide an alternative, though no less computationally burdensome, approach for deriving sufficient (necessary) conditions for subsidy-free prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1463-1468 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1463-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Tax-induced multiple equilibria Abstract: In this article, we present examples of tax-distorted general equilibrium economies in which equilibria are unique in the absence of taxes, but taxes generate multiplicity when introduced over a range of tax rates. We also provide converse examples of economies with multiple no-tax equilibria, but where taxes when introduced induce uniqueness. Both Foster and Sonnenschein (1970) and Kehoe (1985) discussed the possibility of tax-induced multiplicity. Here, we show how in 2-individual 2-good pure exchange economies with Constant Elasticity of Substitution/Linear Expenditure System (CES/LES) preferences such cases can occur. We also provide ranges of consumption tax rates over which these cases can occur for alternative parameterizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1477 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1469-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: How to offset the negative trend growth rate in the Italian economy? Abstract: The trend growth rate of the Italian economy has been declining since the 1980s. To examine how to offset this trend, we estimate a simple specification of an endogenous growth model. Cointegrating equations for the long-run output growth and its determinants are estimated with alternative time series methods. Our results imply that policies to double trade openness are necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1479-1483 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543066 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543066&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1479-1483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vahe Lskavyan Author-X-Name-First: Vahe Author-X-Name-Last: Lskavyan Title: Democracy levels and the income-military expenditure relationship Abstract: I explore whether the level of democracy has an impact on the income sensitivity of military expenditures. Such an impact can exist if military support is a substitute for popular support in nondemocracies but not in democracies. For a panel of developing and less developed countries, I find that the sensitivity of military expenditures to income changes decreases with the level of democracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1489 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1485-1489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Author-Name: Philipp Wichardt Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Wichardt Title: Why not sell lottery tickets in a pharmacy: on conflicting product features and consumer choice Abstract: This article reports data from a questionnaire study indicating that in a consumer choice problem, additional choice options can cause a tangible disutility that people prefer to avoid if the additional options exhibit features that conflict with those of the old ones, for example, lottery tickets (gambling) and health-care products (health and reliability). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1491-1495 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543068 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543068&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1491-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Mulligan Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Mulligan Title: Market size, service quality and competition in the US downhill ski industry Abstract: Using a two-sector model of congestion, I explain theoretically how lower travel costs and increased consumer income over time resulted in endogenous investment in quality and higher real prices at both national and local ski resorts despite limited market entry. I also provide empirical evidence for the US ski industry in support of the implications of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1500 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543072 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543072&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1497-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Liang Lei Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Determinants and information of REIT pricing Abstract: Utilizing advanced asset pricing techniques, we investigate the long-term relation between the general economy, the broad equity market and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Both monetary and real economy factors, along with the stock market factor, are found to be determinants in REIT pricing. On a quarterly basis, we provide evidence that the REIT market is efficient in terms of incorporating information from the economy and the stock market. Furthermore, we test and find that REITs provide significant forward-looking information regarding the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1501-1505 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543074 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543074&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1501-1505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Why real estate values decline with leverage: a Modigliani-Miller example Abstract: This article shows that, because real estate investors borrow at an interest rate that is greater than the rate at which they can lend, the reservation value of real estate investments declines with the amount borrowed. The proof is a modified version of the home-made leverage examples introduced by Modigliani and Miller (1958). Market value is established as the reservation value of the marginal investor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1507-1510 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.544639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.544639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1507-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunchi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chunchi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Stochastic volatility, liquidity and intraday information flow Abstract: This article examines the relationship among intradaily information flows, volatility and volume based on the Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH). We generalize the MDH model to accommodate both informed and uninformed trading effects on return volatility. Using a Fourier filtering technique, we uncover the salient long-run dependence of information flow from high-frequency data with a relative short time span. The positive relationship between volatility and volume is primarily driven by the informed component of trading. We find a negative correlation between uninformed volume and volatility. Uninformed trading seems to add depth and liquidity to the market and therefore reduces volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543077 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543077&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Zanforlin Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Zanforlin Title: Domestic lending when financial markets are integrated: Is it all for real? Abstract: Recent episodes of strong growth in banks' credit to the private sector have been accompanied by large appreciations of the real exchange rates. I conjecture that such appreciations have been associated with cross-country interest rate differentials, and integrated financial markets generated increases in domestic liquidity. I also conjecture that real exchange rates alter the relative values of domestic and foreign collateral goods and thus they affect total financing available to a country. I use panel data for 91 countries from 1970 to 2000 to investigate the association between cross-country interest rate differentials, real exchange rate levels and private sector credit growth, through dynamic panel data techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1520 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: bank lending, exchange rate policy, emerging markets, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1517-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Snowball Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Snowball Author-Name: K. G. Willis Author-X-Name-First: K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Willis Title: Interview versus self-completion questionnaires in discrete choice experiments Abstract: Since the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) panel (1993) on Contingent Valuation (CV), it has been accepted that Willingness to Pay (WTP) data should ideally be collected using only face-to-face interviews and not self-completion surveys. However, there has been little testing of the accuracy of Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) data collected using self-completion methods, which may actually produce more reliable results because of a reduction in interviewer bias and because respondents are given more time to think. This research, conducted at the South African National Arts Festival (NAF), compares the findings of face-to-face and self-completion surveys using a choice experiment eliciting the willingness of attenders to pay for various attributes of live theatre performances. Results show that attribute coefficients are consistently lower for the self-completion data than for the interview data and, for the model including interaction terms, have lower SEs for the majority of the coefficients. WTP estimates are also lower and, given ticket prices, more realistic, when using the self-completion data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1525 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: discrete choice, questionnaires, interview, self-completion, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548770 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548770&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1521-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bidisha Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Author-Name: Rudra Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Finance-growth nexus revisited for some Asian countries Abstract: This article investigates the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth for Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, China, India and Singapore for the period between 1979 and 2009, using Johansen cointegration tests and vector error correction models. The results suggest that in the case of Indonesia, Singapore, the Philippines, China and India financial development leads to economic growth, whereas in the case of Thailand there exists a bidirectional causality between these variables. The results further suggest that in the case of Malaysia financial development does not seem to cause economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1527-1530 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: financial development, economic growth, multivariate VAR, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1527-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Andrew Perumal Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Perumal Title: Are Asian-Pacific real exchange rates (trend) stationary? Abstract: We apply the Range Unit-Root (RUR) test, a new nonparametric test advanced by Aparicio et al. (2006), to the exploration of stationarity for 19 Asian-Pacific currencies. The RUR test is exceptionally well suited to this analysis because it is robust against multiple structural breaks, parameter shifts and certain additive outliers, does not depend on the variance of any stationary alternative and thereby outperforms standard tests in terms of power on near-unit-root stationary time series. We find strikingly favourable results for trend-stationarity for most of the 19 Asian-Pacific currencies studied. Our results indicate that the long-run equilibrium Real Exchange Rate (RER) varies with changes in some real economic factors, hinting at some type of Balassa-Samuelson effects, which is particularly plausible for export-led, fast-growing economies such as many of the Asian-Pacific countries included in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1535 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: real exchange rates, trend-stationarity, RUR, FB-RUR, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1531-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Garcia-Quevedo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Quevedo Author-Name: Francisco Mas-Verdu Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Mas-Verdu Author-Name: Jose Polo-Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Polo-Otero Title: R&D human resources in firms: What determines the educational level required? Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of the demand for R&D employees with different educational levels. The results from the estimations of an ordered logit model show that the main characteristics of the firms that explain the level of education required are university-firm cooperation, R&D intensity and how internal R&D activities are organized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1540 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: R&D, skills, human resources, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1537-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Bank insolvency risk and different approaches to aggregate Z-score measures: a note Abstract: We discuss to what extent existing approaches to the construction of aggregate Z-score measures capture the notion of systemic soundness, propose some alternative ones that could be just as informative and have potential complementary value, and illustrate how these different approaches compare using a data set of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) commercial, cooperative and savings banks for the period 1994-2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1541-1543 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: insolvency risk, aggregate Z-score, systemic soundness, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1541-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Hauck Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Hauck Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: Health dynamics, adaptation to illness and resource allocation Abstract: The increased availability of panel data has made it possible to estimate and measure health dynamics for population subgroups who may have systematically different levels of dynamics. We use a straightforward hypothetical example to investigate the implications of different levels of health dynamics on health outcomes, considering in addition the effects of adaptation to illness over time. The results demonstrate implications for the assessment of health technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1545-1548 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: health dynamics, panel data, quality-adjusted life years, adaptation, response shift, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548776 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548776&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1545-1548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guo Li Author-X-Name-First: Guo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lee Sanning Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Sanning Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Forecasting bank failures: timeliness versus number of failures Abstract: Motivated by the observation that very few banks fail in normal years, we explore the impact of that pattern on the precision of a standard statistical failure model and discuss implications for regulation and risk management. Out-of-sample forecasting is found to be worse for a model fitted to recent data with few failures than for a model fitted to much older data with more failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1549-1552 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: bank failure, early warning, rare events, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548777 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548777&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1549-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhong Chunping Author-X-Name-First: Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: Chunping Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: Can households form consistent/convergent and unbiased expectation of interest rate? Abstract: Expectation reliability remains a question. In this article, we test whether the households could form unbiased expectation of interest rate. From the Survey of Consumer Finance (SCF), we find that the majority of households hold higher interest rate expectation, and by simple t-test, the interest rate movement in 5 years does not support such expectation. Additional evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations (SEE) confirms that it is hard to accept that the households could form unbiased expectation of interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1553-1557 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: interest rate, expectation, survey, t-test, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1553-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: A note on sibling rivalry and good-kid, bad-kid equilibria Abstract: When parents with concave utility reward good behaviour on the part of their children with a share of the marginal utility they derive from good behaviour, a decrease in good behaviour by kid i causes kid j to increase the amount of good behaviour he/she supplies in equilibrium. This may explain why simultaneous good-kid behaviour is rare and also why children try to get their siblings into trouble. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1563 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: sibling rivalry, kid behaviour, bribery, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1559-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Escobari Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Escobari Title: Frequent flyer programs premium and the role of airport dominance Abstract: This article estimates a Frequent Flyer Programs (FFP) price premium - higher fares associated with a larger proportion of travellers using FFP. The results show that FFP affect the entire price distribution, but the effect is larger on lower end fares. In addition, airport dominance increases the premium on less expensive fares but has no effect on the premium associated with the right tail of the price distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1569 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: frequent flyer programs, pricing, airlines, panel data, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1565-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunbae Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunbae Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Jung-Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Capital allocation, stock return volatility and productivity growth in US industries Abstract: Using firm-level Compustat data from 1971 to 2000, we report a substantial cross-industry variation of allocative efficiency in capital expenditure in the US economy. Industries with higher allocative efficiency are the ones with higher firm-level value-added growth heterogeneity, higher information transparency captured by firm-specific stock return volatility and faster long-run productivity growth. This finding is consistent with the idea of creative destruction, where a well-functioning market mechanism sharply distinguishes winners from losers and thus enhances economic growth in the long run. Allocative efficiency has a substantial economic significance and explains as much as 24.5% of the difference in long-run industry productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1576 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: allocative efficiency, capital expenditure, stock return volatility, productivity, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1571-1576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Perdomo Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perdomo Title: A methodological proposal to estimate changes of residential property value: case study developed in Bogota Abstract: This article is an empirical study of residential land values in the vicinity of the TransMilenio system (Bus Rapid Transit, BRT) in Bogota (Colombia). The results have been established through impact evaluation by means of nonparameteric approaches (Propensity Score Matching, PSM) and econometric approaches (Spatial Hedonic Price, SHP) indicating that access to the BRT system generates benefits on the change of property value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1577-1581 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: TransMilenio, Bogota, impact evaluation, propensity score matching, spatial hedonic price, change of property value, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1577-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Colombier Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Title: Does the composition of public expenditure affect economic growth? Evidence from the Swiss case Abstract: In the light of tightening budget constraints caused by the recent financial and economic crisis and population ageing, it has become increasingly important to explore which portfolio of public expenditure generates economic growth. This article, therefore, estimates the growth effects of the composition of public expenditure for the Swiss case. One main finding is that public expenditures on transport infrastructure, education and administration foster growth. As nonhigh-quality data, which can bias least square estimators, are pervasive in economics, statistically robust estimation methods are applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1583-1589 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: fiscal policy, economic growth, composition of public expenditure, robust estimator, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1583-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: Liquidity on the outside from the inside Abstract: We describe an extension to a Liquidity-Adjusted Value-at-Risk (LVaR) model originally developed by Bangia et al. (1999) that incorporates liquidity risk into the traditional VaR model using random bid-ask spreads. By applying the Hellinger distance measure, we show how the bid-ask spread can be partially endogenized by adjusting it to reflect the influence of trade size on prices and ultimately on the measurement of market risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1591-1593 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: VaR, liquidity, bid-ask spread, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554362 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554362&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1591-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Hearn Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hearn Author-Name: Shuk Yin Man Author-X-Name-First: Shuk Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Man Title: An examination of price integration between stock market and international crude oil indices: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the degree of price integration between aggregate equity market indices of Hong Kong, the Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A and B share markets, and the international Brent crude oil price. The application of Vector Autoregressive (VAR) methods reveals that the regions' markets are generally price-segmented, with the prominent exception of Shanghai B market which is price-integrated with the domestic A share markets in both Shanghai and Shenzhen. The evidence would suggest that Chinese markets are more heavily influenced by domestic events in the long term than external influences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1595-1602 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: financial market integration, causality, oil, China, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1595-1602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Bansak Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Bansak Author-Name: Mary Graham Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Allan Zebedee Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Zebedee Title: The effects of gender composition of senior management on the economic fallout Abstract: In this article, we test the proposition that the presence of women in management impacts decision-making outcomes. In particular, we hypothesize that the greater the proportion of women on the senior management team, the lower the degree of risks taken at the firm level. Using data from the US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and the US Treasury in this study, we create firm-level gender ratios and control for firm size to assess the impact on two separate risk outcome measures. We find some evidence that financial institutions with more women in the senior management team avoided having to accept Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds, but that the proportion of women executives has no impact on stock return volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1607 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: gender, risk management, financial crisis, senior management, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funding, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1603-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Julia Paxton Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Paxton Title: From debt crisis to tequila crisis: inflation stationarity through Mexico's turbulent decades Abstract: The volatility of Mexican inflation throughout the 1980s' debt crisis and the 1994 tequila crisis provides an interesting backdrop to test for structural breaks and inflation stationarity in a developing country context. By allowing for multiple breaks, four inflationary regimes are identified during the period 1980 to 2004. Initial unit root tests reject stationarity; however, by incorporating structural break analysis, inflation is found to be I(0). The structural break analysis and the stationarity analysis point to monetary and fiscal determinants of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1609-1612 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Mexico, inflation, structural breaks, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554365 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554365&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1609-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunhee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yunhee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jae Young Choi Author-X-Name-First: Jae Young Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Complementarity and contextuality in the adoption of information systems Abstract: To understand the impact of Information Systems (ISs) on actual performance, we employed 616 Korean firms to estimate the complementarities among such systems and to uncover the contextual factors influencing them. In particular, we introduced various contextual variables and analysed their effects on the complementarities of firms. Our results indicate that Information Technology (IT) stock serves as an important contextual factor for enhancing the complementarity between the adoption of Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) and Customer Relationship Management (CRM). Furthermore, although IT stock has a strong positive direct and indirect IS-mediated impact on the performance of firms, other IT-related variables such as IT organization and the use of firewalls generally have a positive influence only when they are combined with the adoption of ISs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1613-1618 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: information systems, performance of firms, complementarity, contextuality, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1613-1618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoine Belgodere Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Belgodere Author-Name: Charles Vellutini Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Vellutini Title: Identifying key elasticities in a CGE model: a Monte Carlo approach Abstract: This article presents a simple Monte Carlo (MC) procedure to improve sensitivity analysis in Computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling. MC experiments provide the modeller with a population of randomly drawn exogenous parameters and corresponding endogenous outcomes. Standard econometrics can then shed light on the relationship between them and help to identify key parameters, particularly key elasticities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1619-1622 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Monte Carlo, elasticities, CGE, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1619-1622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Feng Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Forecasting comparison between two nonlinear models: fuzzy regression versus SETAR Abstract: In this article, we compare the forecasting performances of the Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR) model and a fuzzy clustering regression model. The series used in this study are high-frequency financial data in the form of seven major stock prices in the US stock markets; the stock indices from seven world stock trading centres; the daily prices for two important commodities, gold and crude oil; and the daily exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar. We find that the two models are not too different from each other in terms of the within-sample fit, but in terms of the forecasting performance, the fuzzy model gives better and stable forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1623-1627 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: one-step-ahead forecast SETAR, fuzzy set, fuzzy regression, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1623-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Kuhl Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Kuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Author-Name: Renato Joiozo Author-X-Name-First: Renato Author-X-Name-Last: Joiozo Title: Human capital and innovation: evidence from panel cointegration tests Abstract: Panel cointegration techniques applied to pooled data for 27 countries for the period 1960 to 2000 indicate that (1) government spending in education and innovation indicators is cointegrated; (2) education hierarchy is relevant when explaining innovation; and (3) relationship between education and innovation can be obtained after an accommodation of a level structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1629-1632 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: human capital, innovation, panel cointegration, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1629-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yukio Fukumoto Author-X-Name-First: Yukio Author-X-Name-Last: Fukumoto Title: International price dispersions of the Big Mac and economic integration Abstract: McDonald's Big Mac hamburger is available all over the world, and its recipe and quality are almost identical around the world and have changed little over time. However, Big Mac prices are widely disparate even across countries with more similar per capita incomes. This fact would be amazing because world tariff levels have been falling steadily and world trade volumes have been increasing dramatically in recent decades. We pay attention to the situation of international goods markets' integration and attempt to clarify why the deviations from absolute Big Mac parity are common across countries. To summarize our main results, global price dispersion of the Big Mac did not decrease although per capita income dispersion reduced. On the other hand, price dispersions of the Big Mac decreased within countries where trade ties are strong. These results suggest that Big Mac prices of countries in the world converge to several levels and that existence of trading bloc accounts for deviations from absolute Big Mac parity to some extent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1638 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Big Mac parity, dispersion, price convergence, economic integration, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1633-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Huan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ya-Li Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Do you have credit cards? The expansion of the credit card market in Taiwan Abstract: This article discusses the expansion of credit cards in Taiwan. The intention of the study is (1) to compare the performance of various diffusion models, such as logistic models, Fourier models and autoregressive models; (2) to identify the important explanatory factors regarding the expansion of the credit card market in Taiwan. The data set comprised annual data regarding the number of credit cards in circulation between 1991 and 2005. Empirical results show that the diffusion rate increased with per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but decreases with number of banks and net savings. The rate of market penetration for the number of credit cards in circulation will reach 204.3% of the population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1639-1644 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: credit cards in circulation, diffusion model, market penetration rate, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1639-1644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koon Nam Henry Lee Author-X-Name-First: Koon Nam Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Estimating demand elasticities for intra-regional tourist arrivals to Hong Kong - the 'bounds' testing approach Abstract: The aim of this study is to develop econometric models for estimating tourism demand elasticities using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration analysis, and to explain the effects of economic determinants on inbound tourist flows to Hong Kong from four major short-haul markets. The cointegration test used is the 'bounds' test of Pesaran et al. (2001) that is based on the estimation of an Unrestricted Error-Correction Model (UECM). This article addresses one of the major problems of how to use a relatively small sample to estimate tourism demand elasticities using cointegration approaches, which is faced by many researchers in modelling tourism demand. The results show that permanent income is the most important explanatory variable for all origin countries, but there are substantial variations between countries with the long-run elasticity ranging between 1.74 for China and 3.05 for Australia. Price elasticity is the next most important variable with the long-run elasticities ranging from 0.35 (Australia) to 0.98 (Taiwan). The findings are consistent with economic theory and have implications for government policies and strategies on investment, marketing and promotion and pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1645-1654 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: tourism demand, demand elasticities, cointegration, bounds testing, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1645-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chih Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tin-Chia Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chia Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: The nonlinear dynamic process of macroeconomic development by modelling dry bulk shipping market Abstract: The purpose of this research is to study the trough of the global economics crisis in 2007 by studying business cycle of dry bulk shipping market using an integrative model over the period from January 1999 to October 2008 with developing an integrative model. This market is comprised of three different vessel sizes (Capesize, Panamax and Handymax), which were affected to varying degrees by the global economic crisis. Empirical results indicate that there is one complete cycle during the research period, which was methodologically determined by X11 decomposition and the Phase Average Trend (PAT). The values of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for the predictive model are 4.0383% (Capesize), 0.8393% (Panamax) and 15.5012% (Handymax). The values of MAPE for the forecasting models are 19.4276%, 10.146% and 8.0399%, respectively. Results indicate that the troughs are September 2009 (Capesize and Panamax) and July 2009 (Handymax). This article concluded that the shipping and macroeconomic recession will persist until the end of 2009. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1655-1663 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: dynamic process, integrative model, dry bulk market, X11, MAPE, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558470 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558470&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1655-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. van Es Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: van Es Author-Name: D. J. van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: D. J. Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: A decomposition of the growth in self-employment Abstract: We decompose the rise of self-employment in the Netherlands in the period 1992 to 2006. Using Logit estimates we identify the most important determinants of the recent upturn, separately for women and for men. In contrast with findings for the United States, we find that changes in the industrial composition only play a small role. For women, we find that intra-sectoral developments have been important in spurring self-employment. In particular, it has become more common for women to be self-employed in the Trade and Culture sectors. The ageing of society (older people are more often self-employed) is an important cause of the observed increase. This effect is partly compensated by the negative effect of a higher educated labour force. The estimation results imply that both policies to foster self-employment and a socio-cultural trend have been important. We postulate that generic policy effects have been the most important cause of the increase in self-employment. The largest effects were seen just in the last few years of our sample (2004-2006), which appears to be inconsistent with the notion of a longer lasting socio-cultural trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1669 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: self-employment, trend, decomposition, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1665-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Michael Naretta Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Naretta Title: Determinants of various aspects of smoking behaviour in the United States Abstract: Using state-level data for the United States, this study uniquely examines the effects of cigarette prices and income on seven dimensions of smoking behaviour. Results show that income-based policies are relatively more effective than price- or tax-based policies. Smokers considering quitting smoking respond in expected ways to changing cigarette prices and income. Strong habit effects in most cases stress the need for early intervention programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1675 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: smoking, demand, intensity, smuggling, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1671-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Samuel Chang Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Maty Konte Author-X-Name-First: Maty Author-X-Name-Last: Konte Title: The decreasing returns on working time: an empirical analysis on panel country data Abstract: An empirical analysis is conducted on two panels of 18 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries to test whether the elasticity of hourly productivity to working time is negative and decreasing with working time itself. If so, the decreasing returns on working time could be indicative of a fatigue effect that increases with working time. We find that the elasticity of productivity per hour to working time is negative and decreases with working time, but its coefficient is not strongly significant. This study offers empirical support for the hypothesis of a fatigue effect that increases with working time, but with some reservations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1682 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: productivity, working time, decreasing returns, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1677-1682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Bank insolvency risk and Z-score measures with unimodal returns Abstract: We specialize the established justification for using Z-scores as a risk measure reflecting a bank's probability of insolvency to the case where the bank's distribution of returns is unimodal, obtaining a refined upper bound of the probability of insolvency for this potentially useful special case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1683-1685 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: insolvency risk, Z-score, unimodal, Vysochanskii-Petunin inequality, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1683-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hector Bellido Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Bellido Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Measuring satisfaction of the unemployed: a composite indicator and policy implications Abstract: Given that unemployment is one of the main economic problems, policymakers debate the possible solutions. We contribute to this debate by analysing the general satisfaction of the unemployed in Spain and comparing it with that of the employed. To this end, we create a composite indicator of general satisfaction using responses in the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) (1994-2001) relating to specific satisfaction in different areas, work, financial, home and leisure time. We find that being unemployed has a significant and negative association with the general satisfaction of individuals and, in consequence, we conclude that the Spanish unemployment problem cannot be attributed, at least not entirely, to a lack of incentives for seeking work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: unemployment, general satisfaction, Spain, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: An empirical test of the purchasing power parity for transition economies: Panel SURADF tests Abstract: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for transition economies is tested using Panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests of Breuer et al. (2001) for the period of January 1995 to December 2008. Although the other panel-based unit-root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests test a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and therefore identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The PPP hypothesis is not confirmed for all the nine transition countries except Estonia and Romania when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1696 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: purchasing power parity, transition economic, Panel SURADFtests, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1691-1696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumihide Takeuchi Author-X-Name-First: Fumihide Author-X-Name-Last: Takeuchi Title: The exact import price and its implications for the US external imbalance Abstract: This article calculates the Feenstra's (1994) 'exact price index' for each category of US-imported goods and aggregates them to analyse the US import demand equation for assessing the seriousness of the external imbalance. What distinguishes Feenstra's exact price index is that it incorporates new product varieties. The exact import price index thus calculated suggests that US conventional import prices are biased upwards. The consequent downward adjustment in import prices causes appreciation in the real exchange rate and lowers the excessive portion of imports (the difference between actual and theoretical amounts of imports obtained from the import demand equation). Since the early 2000s, however, the role that new product varieties play in lowering the excessive portion of imports has declined because the impact of new products on import prices has been outweighed by the impact of the spike in primary commodity prices, which has resulted in a substantial depreciation of the real exchange rate. It is possible that this depreciation combined with relatively large excessive imports has caused the subsequent US current account deficit to stop expansion from the late 2000s onwards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1697-1703 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: exact import price index, import demand equation, real exchange rate, US external imbalance, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1697-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Cavenaile Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Cavenaile Author-Name: David Dubois Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Dubois Title: An empirical analysis of income convergence in the European Union Abstract: In this article, we investigate the convergence process within the European Union. More particularly, we study the convergence process of the new entrants from Central and Eastern Europe and of the 15 Western countries between 1990 and 2007. Applying a panel approach to the convergence equation derived from the Solow model, we show that new entrants and former members of the European Union can be seen as belonging to different groups of convergence. The existence of heterogeneity in the European Union or the Eurozone might affect their stability as the recent Greece's sovereign debt crisis illustrates it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1705-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: income convergence, European Union, heterogeneity, panel approach, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1705-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Author-Name: Luigino Bruni Author-X-Name-First: Luigino Author-X-Name-Last: Bruni Author-Name: Marco Mantovani Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Mantovani Title: The effect of motivations on social indirect reciprocity: an experimental analysis Abstract: This article investigates the effect of motivations on the perceived kindness of an action within the context of social indirect reciprocity (if A helps B, then C helps A). We test experimentally the hypothesis that, for a given distributional outcome, an action is perceived by a third party to be less kind if it can be strategically motivated. As a consequence, intention-based reciprocity should be stronger in the absence of strategic motivations. The results do not support this hypothesis: social indirect reciprocity is found to be less strong when strategic motivations can be ruled out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1711 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: indirect reciprocity, motivations, laboratory experiments, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1709-1711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Silvestrini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Silvestrini Title: The revision policy of seasonally adjusted balance sheet data in Italy Abstract: This article illustrates the seasonal adjustment procedure for bank deposits and loans in Italy focusing on the revision policy of seasonally adjusted data. Seasonal adjustment is conducted in a semi-automatic way, employing TRAMO-SEATS, one of the software packages most often used for the production of seasonally adjusted series. Regarding the frequency of data revisions, three alternative methods (current adjustment, concurrent adjustment and partial concurrent adjustment) are tested according to a quantitative criterion. An empirical application allows us to measure the speed of convergence of the estimates obtained with the aforementioned updating methods towards a 'final' value that can be considered a benchmark. The results suggest using the method of partial concurrent adjustment, which is based on the identification of the ARIMA model and of the deterministic components once a year, whereas the updating of the corresponding coefficients is undertaken every month. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1713-1717 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: seasonal adjustment, revisions, partial concurrent adjustment, balance sheet data, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1713-1717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Josh Davis Author-X-Name-First: Josh Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Incorporating uncertainty into the Black-Litterman portfolio selection model Abstract: We present a robust Black-Litterman (BL) model that takes into account the possibility of model misspecification. In place of a single prior distribution, we utilize multiple priors around the estimated expected excess returns and covariance matrix. The model has two primary advantages over the original BL model: (1) it systematically incorporates model misspecification in the form of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence and (2) by explicitly targeting robust allocations, it improves upon traditional bootstrap approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1719-1722 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Black-Litterman, robust optimization, Kullback-Leibler divergence, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562151 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.562151&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1719-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Panas Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Author-Name: V. Ninni Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ninni Title: Is there a software Kuznets curve? Abstract: This study investigates the effect of the per capita income, national culture, quality of governance, education, informal market and corruption on the level of software piracy across 61 countries over a 4-year period (1996, 1998, 2000, 2002). Cross-country regressions as well as panel data analysis show that there is an inverted U-shaped relation between the per capita income and software piracy, very similar to the one described by the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). We address this relation as the Software Kuznets Curve (SKC) and we find that our results are robust to the inclusion of the aforementioned variables. Moreover, the choice of a random or fixed effects model does not seem to affect these findings. We have also tried to relax the homogeneity assumption, by grouping the countries of our sample to classes, according to an indicator of well-being, namely the Human Development Index (HDI). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1723-1728 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1723-1728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henning Mühlen Author-X-Name-First: Henning Author-X-Name-Last: Mühlen Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Title: FDI by early movers, followers and latecomers: timing of entry by German firms during transition in the Czech Republic Abstract: We analyse Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) decisions by German firms with and without affiliates in the Czech Republic at different stages of transition. We find that FDI entry strongly depends on firm productivity immediately after the political and economic regime change, but less so with diminishing uncertainty. Likewise, distance-related transaction costs discourage FDI by latecomers considerably less than FDI by early movers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1729-1734 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1729-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: The performance of NASDAQ-listed UK ADRs: a note Abstract: The author examines NASDAQ-listed American Depository Receipts (ADRs) from the United Kingdom to determine overall investment performance for the first 21 days of trading and the first 3 years of trading. Long-term results also show the effects of market timing. In early trading, the 22 UK ADRs outperformed the NASDAQ by 8.81% for the first 21 days. Long-term results show the entire sample of UK ADRs outperformed the NASDAQ index by nearly 20% for the first 3 years of trading. Those ADRs trading during the bull market (listed before 1998) performed roughly equal to the NASDAQ index whereas those trading through the bear market (listed after 1 January 1998) outperformed the NASDAQ by nearly 39% during the first 36 months of trading. These results suggest that market timing affects long-term portfolio returns from UK ADRs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1738 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1735-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Maxwell Maesepp Author-X-Name-First: Maxwell Author-X-Name-Last: Maesepp Title: A self-reflective inverse demand system Abstract: This article introduces an inverse differential demand system that has exactly the same form as the corresponding direct version. Its application is illustrated with the case of Australian fruit, whose prices were substantially affected by Severe Tropical Cyclone Larry in 2006. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1743 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1739-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C�sar R. Sobrino Author-X-Name-First: C�sar R. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobrino Title: Current account, productivity and terms of trade shocks in Norway Abstract: Economic theory suggests that a permanent rise in terms of trade should result in a permanent rise in the standard of living. The increase comes from a permanent rise in productivity following an efficient reallocation of resources in a frictionless economy. This article presents Norway as a counterexample using three-variable Structural Vector Moving Average (SVMA) with long-run restrictions. The results show that permanent shocks to terms of trade improve the current account and have almost no effect on the output per capita growth. An over-identification test that restricts the permanent shocks to terms of trade to have only temporary effects on output per capita growth cannot be rejected as well. Overall, those shocks that have permanent effects on terms of trade or output per capita growth do not have permanent effects on each other. The empirical evidence suggests that strong intersectoral rigidities to reallocation of resources are present in Norway. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1745-1750 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1745-1750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Kenichi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: The existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in the international public good model Abstract: The international public good model is an extension of the public good model, allowing for different productivities of producing the public good across countries. By extending the proofs of Bergstrom et al. (1986, 1992), which are the seminal studies in the public good literature, this article develops an international public good model with proofs of the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1751-1754 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1751-1754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Title: Testing the permanent income hypothesis using unit root quantile autoregression tests Abstract: In this article the covariate quantile autoregression approach was used to test whether consumption is a constant unit root process, as predicted by the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH). The evidence suggests that at low quantiles of the conditional quantile function of consumption the persistence of shocks are lower than that predicted by the PIH. This asymmetry is consistent with credit constraints and/or buffer-stock savings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1755-1758 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1755-1758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar�a-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: A Monte Carlo study to compare two recent modifications of the KPSS test for near integration Abstract: The objective of this article is to compare the size and power properties of two modifications of the KPSS test of Kwiatkowski et al. (1992) proposed by Sul et al. (2005) and by Harris et al. (2007), using Monte Carlo simulations, in order to decide which version to use in applied research. The two modifications have been proposed to deal with those cases in which the null hypothesis specifies that the time series is near integrated, in the sense that it is very close to the alternative hypothesis of a unit root. It has been shown in the literature that in these cases the KPSS test tends to over-reject the null hypothesis. The modification by Sul et al. (2005) is based on an alternative long-run variance estimator. Harris et al. (2007) propose applying the KPSS test to the filtered series instead of to the original series. We conclude that the test based on the transformation proposed by Sul et al. outperforms the test based on the transformation proposed by Harris et al. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1764 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1759-1764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus Hogan Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: Hogan Author-Name: Laura Meriluoto Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Meriluoto Title: On the probability of winning a lottery with a random number of competitors Abstract: This article is concerned with models in which an agent faces a lottery with j other agents for a prize, so that the probability of winning the prize is 1/(j + 1), and where j is stochastic. After describing four different situations where such a lottery is present, we construct the expected value of the probability of winning such a lottery and prove a theorem that presents the expected value in a simpler form. We then give an example of the theorem being applied to gain new insights into auction theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1765-1768 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1765-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Maria Fraga O. Martins Author-X-Name-First: Maria Fraga O. Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Understanding the determinant factors of Internet business solutions adoption: the case of Portuguese firms Abstract: The purpose of our article is to identify the determinants of Internet Business Solutions (IBS), using a representative sample of Portuguese business sector in 2006. This article is based on a theoretical framework in which the adoption of IBS is done in two stages. At the first stage, the firm decides to adopt or not a website; at the second stage, those who adopted a website decide on the level of IBS adoption. We considered that the determinants of the adoption decisions can be internal or external and that their effect may be different at the two adoption stages. Based on these assumptions, we develop and test an integrated model of IBS adoption allowing for sample selection. Our results show that the two adoption decisions are taken sequentially and that selectivity bias is not present in our sample. Our findings also suggest that the relevant drivers of website and the level of IBS adoption are not necessarily the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1775 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1769-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catalin Angelo Ioan Author-X-Name-First: Catalin Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Ioan Author-Name: Gina Ioan Author-X-Name-First: Gina Author-X-Name-Last: Ioan Title: A generalization of a class of production functions Abstract: In this article we shall give a generalization of Cobb--Douglas, Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES), Lu--Fletcher, Liu--Hildebrand, Variable Elasticity of Substitution (VES) and Kadiyala production functions. We compute the principal indicators such as the marginal products, the marginal rate of substitution, the elasticities of factors and the elasticity of substitution. Finally, we formulate three theorems of characterization for the functions with a proportional marginal rate of substitution, with constant elasticity of labour and for those with constant elasticity of substitution (for n = 1). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1784 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1777-1784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junichi Nagami Author-X-Name-First: Junichi Author-X-Name-Last: Nagami Author-Name: Hikaru Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Hikaru Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: Partial coordination in local debt policies Abstract: This article compares several rules of coordinated debt policies to show that the central government intervention is not required to carry out an efficient local debt policy. The main argument is that a form of partial coordination results in the efficient outcome rather than a full coordination in local debt policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1785-1787 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1785-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theara Horn Author-X-Name-First: Theara Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Title: Incorporating water purification in efficiency evaluation: evidence from Japanese water utilities Abstract: This study attempts to show that the inclusion of water purification efforts should be another crucial dimension in the efficiency measurement. I use a Stochastic Cost Frontier (SCF) to estimate the technical efficiency of 392 Japanese water utilities in 2005. The results show that a water purification effort may increase cost, and that its inclusion in efficiency evaluation leads to some specific changes in efficiency score and the ranking of water utilities. Furthermore, this incorporation enables the impact of different qualities of source water on efficiency to be controlled. The result suggests that to encourage water purification efforts, it is crucial to incorporate purification in benchmarking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1789-1794 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1789-1794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for G-7 countries using nonparametric rank test for cointegration Abstract: This study applies the nonparametric rank test for cointegration, proposed by Breitung (2001), to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period of January 1980 to January 2009. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all G-7 countries studied and that the nominal exchange rate and the domestic and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) are nonlinearly interrelated with the exception of France and Germany cases. Our results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1795-1800 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1795-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Purchasing power parity with threshold effects for Central and Eastern European countries Abstract: This study applies nonlinear threshold unit-root test to assess the nonstationarity properties of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) for seven Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC). We find that nonlinear threshold unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Caner and Hansen (2001) if the true data-generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for three countries, namely Slovakia, Romania and Bulgaria. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment mean-reverts towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1801-1806 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1801-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Hsien Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yi-Chun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity in Mainland China and Taiwan: an empirical note based on threshold unit root test Abstract: This empirical note applies the threshold unit root test proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in Mainland China and Taiwan over the period of January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for the two areas under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1812 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1807-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Man Chiu Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: Man Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Sunny Wong Title: Leisure and happiness in the United States: evidence from survey data Abstract: We study the relationship between leisure and happiness, controlling for income and other determinants. Using survey data for the United States in 2007, our results show that certain aspects of leisure, such as leisure activity satisfaction, have a significant impact on individual well-being whereas the amount of leisure time may not play an important role in affecting happiness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1816 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1813-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bulent Guloglu Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Guloglu Author-Name: Serdar Ispira Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Ispira Author-Name: Deniz Okat Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Okat Title: Testing the validity of quasi PPP hypothesis: evidence from a recent panel unit root test with structural breaks Abstract: In this article we test the validity of quasi Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for 18 Turkish real exchange rate series using a panel unit root test that allows for structural breaks in the level and the trend. Test results based on a long span of data find evidence of the validity of quasi PPP hypothesis for almost all the exchange rate series under study and for the whole of panel as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1817-1822 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1817-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zerihun Gudeta Alemu Author-X-Name-First: Zerihun Gudeta Author-X-Name-Last: Alemu Title: Causality links between consumer and producer price inflation in South Africa Abstract: This study investigates causal relationships between consumer and producer inflation. In so doing, it makes the following contributions to the literature. First, the methodology allows causality testing within a bivariate system, with other important variables included in the system. Second, the analysis is based on a model chosen out of three other competing models. The models consider the possibility of both symmetric and asymmetric responses to demand and supply shock inflationary situations. This approach differs from the traditional Engle--Granger (EG) approach, which implicitly assumes symmetric adjustment towards equilibrium (Enders and Siklos, 2001). Third, causality testing is conducted within an error correction framework to handle possible inferential biases resulting from invalid asymptotic critical values. The chosen model was used to conduct short- and long-run causality tests within a framework that takes into account differentiated responses to changes in inflation regimes. The following are major findings of this study: There exists dynamic relationship between producer and consumer prices, characterized by unidirectional causality running from producer to consumer inflation. On the issue of asymmetric responses, it is found that consumer inflation reacts differently to positive and negative trends in producer inflation. In other words, consumer price rises faster than it falls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:13-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ragnar Bengtsson Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Bengtsson Author-Name: Ellis Iverman Author-X-Name-First: Ellis Author-X-Name-Last: Iverman Author-Name: Björn Tyrefors Hinnerich Author-X-Name-First: Björn Tyrefors Author-X-Name-Last: Hinnerich Title: Gender and ethnic discrimination in the rental housing market Abstract: We use a field experiment to measure discrimination in the housing market in Stockholm. Four fictitious persons, of different gender, with distinct-sounding Arabic or Swedish names, are randomly assigned to vacant apartments. We extend the study by Ahmed and Hammarstedt (2008). There are two new results. First, we provide evidence that there is no or little gender premium for the female with the Arabic name, which suggests that ethnic discrimination dominates the effects of gender. Second, discriminatory behaviour is only found in the suburbs or satellite cities/towns of Stockholm County not in the densely populated, affluent, city centre. Moreover, we can replicate that there is a gender premium for females with Swedish names. However, we are not able to confirm that males with Arabic names face discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity in major OPEC countries: flexible Fourier stationary test Abstract: This study applies stationary test with a Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to assess the nonstationary properties of the Real Exchange Rates (RERs) for seven major countries of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). We find that our approximation has higher power to detect U-shaped breaks and smooth breaks than linear method if the true Data-Generating Process (DGP) of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of PPP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for six countries, namely Algeria, Angola, Indonesia, Kuwait, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment mean-reverts towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Title: Regime shift of Japanese foreign exchange policy: some findings Abstract: This article examines the regime shift of Japanese foreign exchange policy using monthly data from 1973:1 to 2005:9. We employ the residual-based tests for cointegration with regime shifts proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996) to detect the change of Japanese exchange rate policy. The result of cointegration test with break shows that exchange rate and Japanese international reserves have long-run relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nawshaba Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nawshaba Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Motiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Motiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: An assessment of crop diversification in Bangladesh: a spatial analysis Abstract: The main aim of this article is to assess the crop diversification in different districts of Bangladesh. As there are some variations in topology and rainfall across regions, crop diversification index is computed for 23 old districts. The trend in diversification between 1980/81 and 2002/03 is analysed to see changing pattern over the years. Spatial analysis is also made to examine variations in diversification across regions, using time series data on acreage under different crops. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Chu Ng Author-X-Name-First: Ying Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Li-Qun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Li-Qun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Efficiency of Chinese enterprises: Does human resource management matter? Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was applied to Chinese enterprises with different forms of ownership to estimate their efficiency. The efficiency scores obtained were further regressed against scores rating the implementation of Strategic Human Resource Management (SHRM) and other explanatory data. State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) were the least efficient, whereas foreign-owned firms were the most efficient. Tentative evidence was found of a relationship between SHRM practices and enterprise efficiency, but only in foreign- and collectively owned enterprises, indicating that Chinese enterprises lack management skills or/and are still subject to tight institutional constraints than their foreign-invested counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Author-Name: Jürgen Wolters Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Wolters Title: The US term structure and central bank policy Abstract: The Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure (EHT) implies cointegration between interest rates of different maturities and predicts certain values for adjustment speed. We estimate reduced-form Vector Error Correction Models (VECMs) of the US term structure. These are derived from a structural model combining the EHT, autocorrelated risk premia, interest rate smoothing and monetary policy feedback, which is able to capture a wide range of empirical outcomes. We explicitly test the necessary preconditions for the validity of the theoretical model. Premia persistence rises with longer-rate maturity, whereas the influence of the according spreads in the central bank reaction function diminishes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:41-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan (River) Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan (River) Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yi-Chen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: An appropriate test of the Kuznets hypothesis Abstract: The Kuznets hypothesis, that is, inequality first rises and then falls as the economy advances, is often tested by regressing inequality on income and its squared term (along with other determinants). Findings of a significantly negative coefficient on income and a significantly positive estimate on the quadratic term are commonly taken as evidence supporting the inverted-U Kuznets curve. Although intuitive, Lind and Mehlum (2010) argued that the conventional approach is flawed and proposed an appropriate test for a U-shaped association. We revisit the validity of the Kuznets hypothesis by applying the novel testing strategy of Lind and Mehlum (2010) to annual US data over the period 1917 to 2007. Inconsistent with the Kuznets hypothesis, the test results overwhelmingly reject the combined null hypothesis of an inverted-U or monotone relationship in favour of a U-shaped linkage between income inequality and economic development. Moreover, the results are robust to changes in inequality measures and functional specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:47-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Credit securitization decisions Abstract: To balance capital requirements and manage credit risk, lenders slice and dice mortgages for securitization versus holding unsecured loans for investment in their portfolios. This article estimates factors that explain credit securitization decisions with Government Sponsor Enterprises (GSEs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:53-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: An EBIT-based variant of the Duffie--Lando credit risk model Abstract: The Duffie--Lando (DL) credit risk model is based on the structural model developed by Leland and Toft, but modifies it by adding a noise term to the observation of firm value. This is done to reflect the fact that the asset process cannot be observed directly and thus that default times are basically unpredictable. Here we present a variant of the DL model that substitutes an earnings process for the asset value process used in the original version of the model. Using an earnings process as the state variable ties default to a piece of publicly available information widely considered to be a sign of a firm's financial well-being. It also allows for the precise specification of accounting noise, which is only sketched in the original DL model. In the last section, we specify a Bayesian methodology for applying the model in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:57-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon C. Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon C. Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Emilio Congregado Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Congregado Author-Name: Antonio A. Golpe Author-X-Name-First: Antonio A. Author-X-Name-Last: Golpe Title: Testing for hysteresis in entrepreneurship in 23 OECD countries Abstract: We explore the macrostructure of entrepreneurship rates in a panel of 23 OECD countries over 1972--2006. We find that rates of entrepreneurship in OECD countries exhibit persistence rather than hysteresis. Implications for the design of entrepreneurship policies are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:61-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian J. Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Successive monopolies and product variety Abstract: If there is a shift of market power from manufacturers to retailers or from retailers to manufacturers, how are consumers affected? When the value chain has successive firms, each with market power, the shifting balance of power up or down the chain (away from the consumer or towards the consumer, respectively) can lead to a further fractionation of the consumer market, meaning greater product variety. If retailers have a minimum efficient scale greater than manufacturers, a shift in bargaining power from manufacturers to retailers will increase consumer welfare while market fractionation can enhance firms' abilities to price discriminate, capturing some of this consumer surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Antonakakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakakis Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: The synchronization of GDP growth in the G7 during US recessions Abstract: Using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model due to Engle (2002), we estimate time-varying correlations of quarterly real GDP growth among the G7 countries. In general, we find that rather heterogeneous patterns of international synchronization exist during US recessions. During the 2007--2009 recession, however, international co-movement increased substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:7-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yukiko Hirao Author-X-Name-First: Yukiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hirao Title: Efficiency of the top 50 business schools in the United States Abstract: This article measures efficiency of the top 50 business schools in the United States in 2006, using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method. We use peer assessment (to represent school quality) and average Graduate Management Admission Test (GMAT) scores (to represent student ability) as inputs and average starting salary and the percent of graduates employed upon graduation as outputs. The 50 business schools consist of 27 private schools and 23 public schools, and their efficiency scores are compared. We find that although technical efficiencies of private and public schools are both high, scale and overall efficiencies of the public schools are lower than those of the private schools. And most public schools exhibit Increasing Returns To Scale (IRTS). The returns to scale in this article refers to increases in the output measures -- starting salary and the employment rates -- in response to increases in the quality of inputs -- peer assessment and the average GMAT scores. Hence, schools that exhibit IRTS will experience more than proportionate increases in starting salary and the employment rates by raising the quality of inputs. The policy implication is that for many public schools, efficiency will be improved if they could improve school and student quality levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:73-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Masakure Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Masakure Title: An empirical test of Lazear's leadership theory using evidence from Ghana Abstract: This article tests Lazear's theory of leadership which suggests that leaders emerge by acquiring a wide range of publicly demonstrable skills. I use cross-sectional data from a labour force survey in Ghana covering small, medium and large firms and find that individuals with more roles in their previous jobs are more likely to hold a leadership role in their current occupation. This confirms Lazear's theory which he tested using data from Stanford MBA graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Breaking deterministics, test size and the efficient Wald test for fractional unit roots Abstract: Lobato and Velasco (2007) introduced a test for a unit root against fractional alternatives with good power and performance properties. The purpose of this article is to examine the size of the test in the presence of level and trend breaks under the null hypothesis. The results suggest that test size remains relatively unaffected by level breaks but that the test can be undersized when there are breaking trends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:83-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Title: Are we getting closer to purchasing power parity in Central and Eastern European economies? Abstract: In this article we examine the theory of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) on a sample of Central and Eastern European economies. This article makes two main advances with respect to previous PPP studies. First, it employs a monthly database on real exchange rates for a panel of 12 Central and Eastern European economies by testing the theory separately with respect to the US dollar and to the euro for the period January 1994 to December 2008. Second, we utilize, among other panel unit root tests, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey--Fuller (SURADF) test proposed by Breuer et al. (2002), which allows us to identify how many and which members of the panel contain a unit root. As our study found support for the validity of PPP in some reforming European economies, special attention should be devoted to individual country-specific factors that cause PPP deviations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Wever Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Wever Author-Name: David Aadland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aadland Title: Herd behaviour and underdogs in the NFL Abstract: Previous research has failed to draw any clear conclusions about the efficiency of the billion-dollar gambling industry for National Football League (NFL) games. We build on previous research and expose a new market inefficiency, which is consistent with the well-documented notion of herd behaviour in behavioural finance. A differential strategy of betting on home and visitor underdogs with large closing lines can produce statistically significant positive returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:93-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Dai Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: The relationship between plan characteristics and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan bids Abstract: This article assesses the relationship between plan characteristics and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan (PDP) bids. Medicare PDP information data are used to link plan and geographic data for stand-alone prescription drug plans participating in the Part D programme from 2006 to 2008 (N = 5101). Firm fixed effects models are estimated to measure the relationship between plan characteristics including formularies, beneficiary cost sharing and utilization controls and PDP bids. Firm fixed effects models show a negative inelastic relationship between member cost sharing and plan bids. Among the utilization controls, only prior authorization is associated with lower bids. The use of quantity limits and step therapy is associated with higher bids, although this reflects their likely use for nonpreferred brand name medications. Bids are positively related to the number of preferred brand name medications and specialty medications covered, gap coverage of generics and brand name medications and the regional risk score. Lower bids are associated with higher deductibles and market size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-104 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:99-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Sun Horng Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Horng Author-Name: Yung-Wang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ting-Yi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does insurance demand or financial development promote economic growth? Evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This study examines the dynamic relationship among insurance demand, financial development and economic growth in Taiwan between 1961 and 2006. Using a three-variable Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the competing hypotheses of demand-following versus supply-leading are empirically tested. Extending the conceptual link among these variables proposed by Hussels et al. (2005), we find that there is an equilibrium relationship between demand, financial development and economic growth. In the short run, economic growth Granger causes insurance demand, and financial development Granger causes economic growth. In other words, financial development does promote real GDP growth, and a change in real GDP leads to deviation in real insurance demand in Taiwan. Managerial implications are proposed based on the empirical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:105-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: On the specification of the asset evolution equation in consumption models Abstract: Dynamic programming is often used by researchers to find the first-order Euler relation when the discounted utility of an infinite stream of consumption is maximized, subject to one or more constraints. Although the consumption model is the same in most studies, the specification of the constraint, that is, the asset evolution equation, differs from author to author. In fact there are two general formulations of this equation. The purpose of this article is to check whether these two different formulations alter the first-order conditions. The surprising but reassuring result is that they do not. This result holds for both discrete and continuous-time variables. This article also solves the Euler relations for two customary functional forms of the utility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John F. McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John F. Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Optimal leverage with a variable borrowing rate Abstract: This article is a theoretical examination of optimal leverage to maximize the value of an investment asset, assuming that the interest rate on loans increases with leverage. The expected rate of return to equity for the investing firm (that is subject to taxation at the entity level) and market equilibrium for the model are derived. The amount of risk that is assumed by investing firms that borrow is set by the competitive market. The article also includes a model of the capitalization rate for commercial real estate, defined as net operating income divided by property value (which depends upon leverage). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-I Chou Author-X-Name-First: Pei-I Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in G-7 countries Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in G-7 countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all G-7 countries, with the exception of Canada, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear but in a symmetric way. These results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Sovereign credit default swaps and the macroeconomy Abstract: The aim of this study is to determine whether the domestic economy as represented by the interest rate, the international economic status as represented by the exchange rate or both determine sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads. Using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Granger noncausality tests, the results suggest that it is the exchange rate that has the most important effect on sovereign CDS spreads, with domestic interest rates having only a limited effect. There is also some evidence of causality running from the CDS spread to the exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Dotsis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Dotsis Author-Name: Vasiliki Makropoulou Author-X-Name-First: Vasiliki Author-X-Name-Last: Makropoulou Author-Name: Raphael Nicholas Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Title: Investment under uncertainty and volatility estimation risk Abstract: This article considers the implications of volatility estimation risk in real options theory. We construct confidence intervals for critical project values and options prices. An empirical example in lease investment evaluation for an offshore petroleum tract shows that confidence intervals can be substantial when a limited amount of data are used to estimate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-137 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:133-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pelin Öge Güney Author-X-Name-First: Pelin Author-X-Name-Last: Öge Güney Author-Name: Erdinç Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinç Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Mübariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mübariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Re-examining purchasing power parity for selected emerging markets and African countries Abstract: The validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is re-examined using data for some emerging market economies and African countries, extending recent works of Doğanlar et al. (2009) and Chang et al. (2010), respectively. For this purpose, we apply new unit root tests that allow for nonlinearities and structural change in the data-generating process. The results of this study suggest that although linear unit root test provides evidence in favour of PPP only in a few cases, the new nonlinear unit root tests suggest that the PPP proposition holds in majority of the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:139-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Biswo Poudel Author-X-Name-First: Biswo Author-X-Name-Last: Poudel Author-Name: Krishna P. Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna P. Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Trust, institutions and development Abstract: This article suggests an explanation as to why relatively prosperous societies in the 1500s were unable to protect themselves from the colonialist powers. It reasons that while the prevalence of institutions fostering mutual trust among citizens allowed the earlier prosperous societies to achieve a degree of prosperity that same trust led to lower investments in defence and the eventual fall of the society. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Won-Cheol Yun Author-X-Name-First: Won-Cheol Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Title: Yuan revaluation and its implications Abstract: This study analyses the impacts of economic activity and exchange-rate movement and its volatility on exports and imports between Korea and China. Using monthly data from April 1994 to December 2007, Error-Correction Models (ECMs) are specified to estimate the cumulative effects of determinants for export and import demand. According to the empirical results, the depreciation of exchange rate would stimulate the export growth. In addition, it would be desirable to stabilize exchange rate in order to boost trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:149-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Title: Investment strategies of institutional investors: evidence from Dutch flow-of-funds data Abstract: This article investigates investment strategies of Dutch pension funds, life insurers and nonlife insurers, using quarterly flow-of-funds data. The results suggest that all three investor types buy past losers and sell past winners, although they only partially rebalance their portfolios that way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:155-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiro Hashiguchi Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hashiguchi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: The sustainability of trade balances in sub-Saharan Africa: panel cointegration tests with cross-section dependence Abstract: This article investigates the sustainability of trade balances in the sub-Saharan African regions, using both the panel unit root (Im--Pesaran--Shin (IPS)) test proposed by Im et al. (2003) and the cross-sectionally augmented version of the IPS (Pesaran Cross-sectional IPS (CIPS)) test suggested by Pesaran (2007), where the former test is based on the assumption of cross-section independence and the latter actually considers cross-section independence. Although the empirical results based on the IPS test indicate that the balance of trade in the sub-Saharan African regions is sustainable, the empirical results of the CIPS test reveal that it is not sustainable. Since Cross-section Dependence (CD) was recognized using the CD test developed by Pesaran (2004), there is a possibility that the empirical results based on the IPS test are spurious. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-165 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:161-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: Golaleh Moshrefi Author-X-Name-First: Golaleh Author-X-Name-Last: Moshrefi Title: Fiscal policy and the current account new evidence from four East Asian countries Abstract: The long-run relation and short-run dynamics of fiscal policy and current account is examined using time-series data on four East Asian economies -- South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. The purpose of the study is to test the validity of two alternative views on budget deficits -- the Ricardian and Keynesian theories. According to Ricardians, given the path government spending, a rise in budget deficits has no effect of national savings, investment and the current account. In contrast, Keynesian theory suggests that such tax cuts reduce national savings and result in current account deficits. Empirical results based on cointegration model and Error Correction Model (ECM) over 1975--2008 are broadly consistent with the Ricardian view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-173 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:167-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Caporin Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Caporin Author-Name: Paolo Santucci de Magistris Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Santucci de Magistris Title: On the evaluation of marginal expected shortfall Abstract: In the analysis of systemic risk, Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES) may be considered to evaluate the marginal impact of a single stock on the market Expected Shortfall (ES). These quantities are generally computed using log-returns, in particular when there is also a focus on returns conditional distribution. In this case, the market log-return is only approximately equal to the weighed sum of equities log-returns. We show that the approximation error is large during turbulent market phases, with a subsequent impact on MES. We then suggest how to improve the evaluation of MES by means of a second-order approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akio Matsumoto Author-X-Name-First: Akio Author-X-Name-Last: Matsumoto Author-Name: Ugo Merlone Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Merlone Author-Name: Ferenc Szidarovszky Author-X-Name-First: Ferenc Author-X-Name-Last: Szidarovszky Title: Some notes on applying the Herfindahl--Hirschman Index Abstract: The Herfindahl--Hirschman Index is one of the most commonly used indicators to detect anticompetitive behaviour in industries. In fact, an increase in the value of the index is usually interpreted as an indicator of actions which may lessen competition or even create a monopoly. In this article we show that this is not always the case, since in certain instances it is impossible to detect cooperation. We also show an example when competition even has a decreasing effect on the value of the index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Blankmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Blankmeyer Title: Estimating an inflation index by quantile regression Abstract: This article gives a methodology for estimating an inflation index using the quantile regression of Bassett and Koenker. The regression -- orthogonal in the logarithmic price changes -- is computed by linear programming for each percentile of inflation; and the results are bootstrapped to estimate standard errors. The procedure is applied to monthly data on seven metals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:185-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Sun Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Corporate governance, stock options and earnings management Abstract: Firms often compensate executives with stock options when empirical studies find that these contracts lead to severe earnings management problem. In order to understand the use of stock options as a prevailing compensation strategy in practice, we derive the optimal contract between a firm's shareholders and its manager, the latter of whom exerts unobservable effort and is privately informed about economic earnings as well as his own expertise in managing earnings. The optimal contract is characterized analytically in different corporate governance systems. The model indicates that the inactive region below a threshold in the compensation should be more economically significant when the corporate governance is weaker. The model suggests that, while the use of options leads to earnings management incentives, it is an optimal contract in the presence of reporting latitude and uncertainty over an executives' ability to manage earnings. The model result is in accordance with the observed positive association between the level of earnings management and the use of stock options in both time series and cross section. Empirical evidence on the changes in the intensity of option grants in executive compensation in response to corporate governance legislations also lends support to the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-196 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:189-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity for Germany's real exchange rate relative to its major trading partners Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit-root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Germany's real exchange rate vis-à-vis its trading partner countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for Germany relative to its major trading partners, with the exception of Canada, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear and asymmetric. This result provides support for PPP for Germany relative to its major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-202 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:197-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew J. Salois Author-X-Name-First: Matthew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Salois Title: Biases in the distribution of bilateral aid: a regional decomposition analysis Abstract: This article investigates income and population biases in the distribution of aid and decomposes recipients by geographic region. Previous analyses aggregate recipients and assume biases have an equal impact. Results demonstrate that although while a bias towards middle-income and medium-sized countries persists in the full sample, the extent of such biases differs significantly by region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angel Estrada Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Estrada Author-Name: Pablo Hernández de Cos Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández de Cos Title: Oil prices and their effect on potential output Abstract: This article describes some of the mechanisms by which oil price fluctuations produce changes in the long-run growth of the economy. The analysis suggests that a (permanent) increase in oil prices can significantly reduce potential output. From an economic policy point of view, this effect may be more marked when competition in the product markets is low or when wage indexation is high; thus, reforms aiming to increase competition and improve wage-setting mechanisms help to reduce the negative effects of higher oil prices on long-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-214 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:207-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon-Mo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Joon-Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Note on estimating effectiveness of demand management Abstract: This article suggests a method for estimating the effectiveness of electricity demand management and improving the accuracy of future peak load forecasting. The measurement accuracy is essential for deciding the optimal size of power plants. The measurement issue has been very controversial because the real effectiveness of demand management policy is not observable. This article uses the state space modelling technique to capture the effectiveness of the demand management. From the application of this technique to the Korea's case, this article finds that the effectiveness of the policy relatively becomes smaller than before and that the peak load forecast should be adjusted. This enhanced measurement technique will help the Korean government to have the theoretical base for the national energy plan in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-220 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:215-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Mikami Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Mikami Title: Sunk costs of physical capital and the form of enterprise: investor-owned firms, consumer cooperatives and public enterprises Abstract: This article considers how the efficiency of organizational forms of enterprise can depend on the level of sunk costs of physical capital in relation to market size, informational asymmetry and the heterogeneity of firm owners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:221-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Flávio Lenz-Cesar Author-X-Name-First: Flávio Author-X-Name-Last: Lenz-Cesar Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: An econometric approach to identify determinants of cooperation for innovation among firms Abstract: R&D cooperation has received great attention among industrialists, decision-makers and researchers. This article introduces an econometric approach for identifying the factors that lead firms to cooperate in order to achieve innovation. The determining factors were defined according to empirical findings from the Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) 2005, captured in a multivariate probit regression model. The aim is to subsidize further research by applying agent-based modelling to simulate innovation networks in the Korean manufacturing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-235 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:227-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: Are project appraisers chiromancers? Abstract: The accuracy of ex ante project appraisal has been subject to scrutiny by scholars in recent years. It has often been claimed that the inaccuracy of project evaluation leads to a waste of public spending. In this article I acknowledge that the appraisal of a project consists in long-run predictions of several variables, so that the accuracy of ex ante evaluations should be assessed on the basis of forecasting rationality. I test for the rationality of a sample of World Bank project appraisals and find no significant discrepancy between ex ante and realized rates of return. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-241 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:237-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hing Lin Chan Author-X-Name-First: Hing Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Kai-Yin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Kai-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Title: Day-of-the-week effect on the return and conditional variance of the H-shares index in Hong Kong Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the day-of-the-week effect on both the return and conditional variance (volatility) of the H-shares index in Hong Kong from 3 January 2000 to 1 August 2008. Using an Exponential General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) specification to model the conditional variance, we find that the day-of-the-week effect is present in both return and variance equations. In particular, higher risk-adjusted returns are found on Monday and Friday. However, after adjusting for market risks that vary across the days of the week, only the Monday effect remains. The conditional variance model also finds that the highest volatility of return also occurs on Monday. Thus, the Monday effects on risk-adjusted returns may be a reward for higher volatility on that day. However, after adjusting for transaction costs, the abnormal returns for Monday become negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:243-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rahmi Erdem Aktug Author-X-Name-First: Rahmi Erdem Author-X-Name-Last: Aktug Author-Name: Geraldo Vasconcellos Author-X-Name-First: Geraldo Author-X-Name-Last: Vasconcellos Author-Name: Youngsoo Bae Author-X-Name-First: Youngsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Title: The dynamics of sovereign credit default swap and bond markets: empirical evidence from the 2001 to 2007 period Abstract: This article evaluates the dynamic relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond markets over the period 2001 to 2007 across 30 emerging markets. Our results suggest that the bond markets play a significant role in the price discovery process, which is in contrast with the corporate studies. We also show that the CDS markets play a more dominant role in lead--lag relationships compared to earlier studies on the sovereign credit markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-259 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:251-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun-Jae Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Hyun-Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: Testing for the possibility of a monetary union in the ASEAN+3 countries: rationality and asymmetric loss functions Abstract: This study uses market variables, such as the rates of foreign exchange, interest and inflation, to determine if a market-led monetary integration in the ASEAN+3 countries is possible. Following Batchelor and Peel (1998), rationality is revealed in the presence of an asymmetric Linex loss function. In order to generate an expected value for a target variable, arithmetically weighted, pseudo-numeraire and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA(1,1,1)) process information matrices are generated. It is found that certain preconditions have to be fulfilled in the ASEAN+3 countries for monetary unification to take place and that this process must be gradual. In particular, an economic infrastructure has to be built to strengthen foreign exchange markets in this region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-268 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:261-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Jing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jane Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Tsz Leung Yip Author-X-Name-First: Tsz Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Yip Title: Ship investment at a standstill? An analysis of shipbuilding activities and policies Abstract: In the wake of the global financial crisis which started around mid-2008, the global shipbuilding industry is no longer in a state of euphoria as before. The volume of new ship orders dropped dramatically after August 2008. We are motivated to examine three issues in this article: First, in the context of shipping industry, which variable(s) play the most important role in a ship investment decision? Second, do government support and favourable investment conditions really help to save shipbuilding industry from the distressing situation? Third, if we separate Japan, South Korea and China as leading shipbuilding clusters, what will the cluster effect be? Our results indicate that the investment of ships can be decided by the freight level, the supply of the market (fleet size), the demand of the ships (trade volume) and the transport service share (location advantage). However, the state of the freight market is of major importance to the investment decision of ships. Shipbuilding price, second-hand ship price and foreign direct investment in transport are proved to have no linkage to ship investment. Besides, the rising role of Japan, South Korea and China in shipbuilding is also identified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:269-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongliang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hongliang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Michael Pollitt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pollitt Title: Incorporating undesirable outputs into Malmquist TFP indices with an unbalanced data panel of Chinese power plants Abstract: In this article, we examine the effects of undesirable outputs on Malmquist Total Factor Productivity (TFP) indices. Our empirical work uses an unbalanced panel of 1626 real observations on coal-fired power plants in China during 1996--2002. In order to meet the requirement of a balanced panel for calculating the Malmquist indices, an innovative fake unit approach has been introduced. To the authors' knowledge, no other published papers on TFP change have used this method before. Our final results show that (1) the original growth path of the Chinese electricity till 2002 heavily depended upon an increase of resource input and (2) the environmental TFP change of Chinese coal-fired power plants was about 2--3% (at least with respect to SO2), which mainly comes from technical change rather than efficiency change during the report period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:277-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Michael McEvoy Author-X-Name-First: David Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McEvoy Title: Paying to punish on a free ride: member and nonmember punishments in voluntary coalitions Abstract: We explore public good experiments in which players have the opportunity to form cooperative coalitions. The decision to join a coalition is voluntary as is a member's decision to comply with the terms of the coalition. An informal enforcement mechanism is examined in which coalition members and nonmembers can impose costly punishments on one another. We find that when punishments are purely voluntary, coalition members and free-riding nonmembers are equally likely to punish noncompliant coalition members. Moreover, the extent to which nonmembers punish noncompliance does not change regardless of whether the members can credibly enforce compliance within their coalition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan (River) Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan (River) Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: A reassessment of inequality and growth in the United States Abstract: In a recent interesting paper, Frank (2009) investigated the long-run inequality--growth nexus with a large panel of annual data for the 48 states in the United States over the 1945 to 2004 post-war period. By implementing the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimators, Frank (2009) concluded that there is a significant and positive relationship between inequality and growth. However, we find that Frank (2009) was actually measuring the effect of inequality on economic development (proxied by the logarithm of the real state income per capita) rather than on economic growth (defined by the first difference of the logarithm of the real state income per capita). To this purpose, we suggest a more adequate specification to reassess the relationship using the same data set and estimation technique. The fresh empirical results indicate that the inequality--growth connection continues to hold in a positive and significant manner, and the findings are robust to alternative lag order structures and income inequality measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-295 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:289-295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gülistan Erdal Author-X-Name-First: Gülistan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdal Author-Name: Hilmi Erdal Author-X-Name-First: Hilmi Author-X-Name-Last: Erdal Author-Name: Kemal Esengün Author-X-Name-First: Kemal Author-X-Name-Last: Esengün Title: The effects of exchange rate volatility on trade: evidence from Turkish agricultural trade Abstract: In this article, an empirical study of the effect of Real Effective Exchange Rate Volatility (REERV) on Agricultural Export (AGX) and Agricultural Import (AGM) in Turkey was conducted. Studied period covers 1995 to 2007. In order to reach REERV, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) model was used. Long-term relationship between series was determined using Johansen cointegration test. The direction of this relationship, on the other hand, was determined using pairwise Granger causality. Our empirical results indicated that there was a positive long-term relationship between REERV and AGX series, while there was a negative long-term relationship between REERV and AGM. The relationship is unidirectional for both AGX and AGM series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:297-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiao-Yi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chiao-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Fu-Shuen Shie Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Shuen Author-X-Name-Last: Shie Title: The nonlinear relationship between autocorrelation and volatility: the case of the Asian financial crisis Abstract: In this article we explore how autocorrelation impacts volatility in stock markets. We use the Threshold Autoregressive-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (TAR-GARCH) model to obtain a better approximation of the volatility pattern with the threshold of a positive or negative prior return autocorrelation. In contrast to the general regime-switching model that focuses on the mean equation or on the variance equation with prior shocks as the threshold variable, we consider the asymmetric response of volatility to the autocorrelation of stock returns and apply a nonlinear relationship between autocorrelation and volatility to refine the volatility equation. The empirical results indicate that different levels of autocorrelation are related to stock return volatility. Regardless of whether there is positive or negative correlation, the volatility increases under larger absolute values of autocorrelation both during and after the Asian financial crisis. Stock returns are observed in 10 countries before, during and after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:305-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chih Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chin-Yuan Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Yung-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A predictive model of the freight rate of the international market in Capesize dry bulk carriers Abstract: This study examines the considerable fluctuations of the world's dry bulk shipping market from November 1995 to September 2008. The major objective is to provide a forecasting model for the freight rate in relation to the second-hand ship price. The results indicate an acceptable level of prediction according to Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), with a value no more than 20%. It is anticipated that this research will prove germane to major stakeholders, including owners, charters, investors and bankers, by forecasting the freight rate and thereby expediting the decision-making process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-317 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:313-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourdes Badillo Amador Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Amador Author-Name: Ángel López Nicolás Author-X-Name-First: Ángel Author-X-Name-Last: López Nicolás Author-Name: Luis E. Vila Author-X-Name-First: Luis E. Author-X-Name-Last: Vila Title: The consequences on job satisfaction of job--worker educational and skill mismatches in the Spanish labour market: a panel analysis Abstract: The effects of job--worker mismatches on job satisfaction are examined using the eight waves (1994--2001) of Spanish data in the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). The impacts of both educational and skill mismatches are estimated considering unobserved heterogeneity, state dependence and attrition bias. Dynamic analysis shows that skill mismatches emerge as a much better predictor of job satisfaction than educational mismatches as the effects of the latter are related to unobserved heterogeneity among workers. Moreover, the current level of job satisfaction appears to be influenced by workers' previous job perceptions, suggesting a dynamic structure for job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-324 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:319-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Dolan Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dolan Author-Name: Nattavudh Powdthavee Author-X-Name-First: Nattavudh Author-X-Name-Last: Powdthavee Title: Thinking about it: a note on attention and well-being losses from unemployment Abstract: This article investigates Schkade and Kahneman's (1998) maxim that ‘Nothing in life is quite as important as you think it is while you are thinking about it.’ This article shows that whilst becoming unemployed hurts psychologically, unemployment has a greater impact on happiness if the person also regards it as an important event that took place in the last year. This finding, particularly if it is replicated for other domains, such as health and income, will have important implications for how we think about the impact of objective circumstances on well-being and about well-being more generally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Chao-Hsiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yu-Sheng Kao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Who has more influence on Asian stock markets around the subprime mortgage crisis -- the US or China? Abstract: This article employed the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (M-TAR) model to investigate the changes in the asymmetric co-integration relationship between the US and China's stock markets and Asian stock markets of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, Korea and India around the subprime mortgage crisis. The main empirical findings demonstrated that with the application of traditional symmetric co-integration tests, the subprime mortgage crisis did not reinforce the co-movement trends between the US and China's markets and Asian markets. However, with the application of the M-TAR model for the threshold co-integration test, there was significant increase in these asymmetric co-integration relationships between them during the period of the subprime mortgage crisis, and our empirical results show evidence that the linkage between the US and China's stock markets is low, and investors can somewhat diversify risks by investing in the United States and China simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-335 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:329-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rong-Her Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Rong-Her Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Yu-Chang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The inter-industrial linkage of maritime sector in Taiwan: an input--output analysis Abstract: The main purpose of this article is to investigate the role and influence of the maritime sector on the national economy of Taiwan by using Input--Output (I--O) analysis. Results show that the maritime industry has relatively high backward linkage and production-inducing effects, but has relatively low forward linkage, supply-shortage cost and price effects. This study reveals the difficulty in considering the maritime sector as a leading sector for the national economy based on the low values of both power and sensitivity of dispersion, no matter how many shipping companies who request government incentives for promoting the shipping industries and underscore the importance of maritime transport in conveying the national imports and exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-343 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:337-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixu Chi Author-X-Name-First: Lixu Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Author-Name: Xintian Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Xintian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Dalei Song Author-X-Name-First: Dalei Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Investor sentiment in the Chinese stock market: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article focuses on investor sentiment and its relationships to stock returns and volatility in the Chinese stock market. By using mutual fund flows as a substitute for investor sentiment for different stocks, this study finds that investor sentiment has a tremendous impact on stock returns in the Chinese stock market. However, some of our results are inconsistent with previous research. Since the Chinese stock market is still an emerging capital market, one explanation for the inconsistency is that investor sentiment has comparatively stronger impact on stock returns in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:345-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Huber Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Title: Do commuters suffer from job--education mismatch? Abstract: Cross-border commuters from EU15 countries have lower over- but higher undereducation rates than noncommuters. For cross-border commuters from the NMS12 countries the opposite applies. Within-country commuters have lower over- but higher undereducation rates than noncommuters in both regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao-Hsiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chi-Tai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yu-Sheng Kao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Exploring stationarity and structural breaks in commodity prices by the panel data model Abstract: This article applies the panel unit root test of Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005) to examine the relative prices of 24 nonfuel commodities over the period from 1900 to 2003. This test method allows for endogenous multiple structural breaks and the presence of cross-sectional dependence among commodities. The empirical results provided evidence of stationarity in relative prices of most commodities and supported the price theory in economics. In addition, the findings show that the locations of structural breaks coincided with the occurrences of some exogenous events over the past 100 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-361 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:353-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmod Qadan Author-X-Name-First: Mahmod Author-X-Name-Last: Qadan Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: Fear sentiments and gold price: testing causality in-mean and in-variance Abstract: This study investigates the causal relationship between the Volatility Index (VIX), as an indicator of fear sentiment, and the price of gold futures. We apply tests of causality in-mean and in-variance to recent data about US gold futures and find bidirectional causality in-mean and in-variance patterns between both variables. We also observe a significant lagged causality in-mean, implying that changes in the VIX drive the returns of gold contracts but not vice versa. While prior studies explain gold price movements through macroeconomic variables and events, this study expands our understanding of how psychological sentiments (risk aversion) move the gold price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-366 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:363-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongjing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yongjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A Lotka--Volterra evolutionary model of China's incremental institutional reform Abstract: Integrating evolutionary game theory with modern political economics, this article develops a Lotka--Volterra evolutionary model to explain China's incremental institutional reform. In this model, growth-oriented central leaders are intelligent designers of institutional changes; provincial and local leaders are potential predators; and private firms are potential prey. This model finds that improvements in the rule of law and in the protection of private property rights are not essential for short-run growth in China. Instead, the primary institutional source of China's economic success is the incremental reductions of discrimination policy against the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Examining the power of stochastic unit root tests without assuming independence in the error processes of the underlying time series Abstract: Many studies have examined the power of Stochastic Unit Root (STUR) tests. However, these studies assume that the two error processes of the underlying time series are independent. In this study, we undertake a Monte Carlo study on the power of STUR tests without the condition of independence among the error processes. The results show that the correlation between the two error processes may profoundly impact the power of STUR tests. Given the extensive use of STUR tests as both a diagnostic tool and a tool of analysis in economics and finance, this result therefore has very important implications for both theory and practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-377 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:373-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Author-X-Name-Last: Maria Caporale Author-Name: Alessandro Girardi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Girardi Author-Name: Marco Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: The euro changeover and price adjustments in Italy Abstract: By estimating a staggered price model over the period 1980Q1 to 2010Q2, this article documents that, after the euro changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate, with a detrimental effect on the competitiveness of the Italian economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-382 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:379-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian-Fa Li Author-X-Name-First: Jian-Fa Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yih-Bey Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Bey Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Cheng-Yih Hong Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Effects of unusual R&D expenditures on stock returns -- evidences from the listed companies in Taiwan Abstract: This study examines the Research and Development (R&D) effect on stock returns. By modifying Kyle's (1985) model, we construct an asset pricing model and propose a related hypothesis to investigate the information-related content of unusual increases in R&D expenditures. The empirical evidence shows that R&D increases might not be beneficial investments and the information-related value of R&D increases is gradually incorporated in the stock price system. Therefore, we document that the stock market is informationally efficient in the semi-strong form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Mazumder Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumder Title: The Volcker--Greenspan--Bernanke Phillips Curve Abstract: This article addresses the issue of Phillips Curve stability between different Federal Reserve (Fed) chairmen, from the time Paul Volcker took office in the late 1970s all the way up until 2010 under the leadership of Ben Bernanke. Phillips Curves are estimated both across and within the regimes of Volcker, Greenspan and Bernanke, and thereafter we also check for the existence of potential structural breaks. The results suggest that the Phillips Curve is very much a robust macroeconomic relationship: not only across time, but across Fed chairmen as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szu-Hsien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Szu-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: You-Jie Chen Author-X-Name-First: You-Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tz-Li Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tz-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ya-Chiu Angela Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Angela Liu Title: FDIs in life cycle stages: firm-level evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This study aims to examine how attainment discrepancy and financial slack affect risk-taking behaviour across a Firm's Life Cycle (FLC) stages. The empirical results show that the investment behaviour of the firms is deeply affected by the industry's investment behaviour in all FLC stages. Especially in the mature stage, slack search can appropriately explain Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) behaviour, and long-run resource is an essential factor. In the growth stage, financial soundness is a prerequisite for firms to launch FDIs. In the recession stage, firms seem to be insensitive to performance or slack resources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:393-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Lo Prete Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Prete Title: Current account imbalances, trade and finance Abstract: This article analyses how trade-related policy choices and financial development affect current account imbalances in OECD countries. Once the policy-related component of trade openness is estimated using exogenous-to-policy indicators of globalization pressures, legal origins and natural openness, financial development plays a significant role and is negatively associated with the current account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-402 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:399-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali M. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Lina Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Title: Does age matter for employability? A field experiment on ageism in the Swedish labour market Abstract: This article presents the findings of the first field experiment on age discrimination in the Swedish labour market. Pairs of matched applications, one from a fictitious 31-year-old male applicant and one from a fictitious 46-year-old male applicant, were sent to employers with job openings for restaurant workers and sales assistants. Employers' responses to the applicants were then recorded. The experimental data provide clear and strong evidence of significant ageism in the Swedish labour market. On average, the younger applicant received over 3 times more responses from employers looking to hire a restaurant worker and over 4 times more responses from employers looking to hire a sales assistant than the older applicant. Therefore, the older applicant received significantly fewer invitations for interviews and job offers than the younger applicant in both occupations examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Author-Name: Alfred Maußner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Maußner Title: Log-normal approximation of the equity premium in the production model Abstract: The conditional equity premium in the model with production is often approximated by assuming a jointly log-normal distribution of the marginal rate of substitution in consumption and the marginal productivity of capital. We show that, for standard parameterization, this premium is about one-third less than that implied by a nonlinear approximation of the Euler equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:407-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Time-varying expected returns: evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom Abstract: I assess the relative performance of several exmpirical proxies developed in the literature of asset pricing to capture time variation in expected future returns using data for the United States and the United Kingdom. I show that the wealth composition risk by Sousa (2010a) exhibits strong forecasting power and tracks risk premium better than many economically motivated variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mu Shun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mu Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Income convergence within ASEAN, ASEAN+3: a panel unit root approach Abstract: This article aims to test the income convergence hypothesis in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region using new panel unit root tests. As the newer member states of ASEAN are gradually developing in order to enter the economic zone, it was found that the great majority of original members showed income convergence over a long time period of 50 years. However, when a 22-year period was explored to encompass these newer member states, only three countries were found to support the existence of a ‘catch-up’ effect. This testing method as applied to the ASEAN economic zone results in outcomes that vary from other examples, which can be explained by the diverse political histories of the member countries and their relatively recent reform processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-423 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:417-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: New evidence on the convergence of international income from a group of 29 countries Abstract: We evaluate the empirical evidence regarding stochastic convergence in income across a group of 29 countries. Our results are based on a new unit root test developed by Popp (2008) that estimates the break-date more accurately and does not suffer from size distortions in the presence of a break. Our results reveal considerably less evidence of stochastic convergence compared with previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Fractional cointegration in US term spreads Abstract: This article examines the stochastic properties of US term spreads with parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration techniques. Since the observed data (rather than the estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression) are used for the analysis, standard methods can be applied. The results indicate that US Treasury maturity rates are I(1) in most cases, although the order of integration decreases with maturity. Furthermore, mean reversion occurs for the 5-, 7- and 10-year rates as well as for several term spreads, suggesting that the expectation hypothesis of the term structure is supported empirically in these cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Menno Broos Author-X-Name-First: Menno Author-X-Name-Last: Broos Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: Government bond yields and foreign ownership of debt Abstract: We analyse the government bond yield spread vis-à-vis Germany for 10 countries in the euro area for the period 1991 to 2009. Our results suggest a positive relationship between the marginal impact of government debt on the spread and foreign ownership of the government debt of the country concerned for countries currently facing difficulties to finance their deficits. This conditioning effect is absent in other countries in our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-438 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:435-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Aizaki Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Aizaki Author-Name: Manabu Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Manabu Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Author-Name: Kazuo Sato Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Toshiko Kikkawa Author-X-Name-First: Toshiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kikkawa Title: A noncompensatory choice experiment analysis of Japanese consumers' purchase preferences for beef Abstract: In this article, we consider the noncompensatory valuation of food safety among Japanese consumers with regard to the purchase of beef. Using a choice experiment with a wide range of choice rules, we examine the valuation of beef by Japanese consumers in terms of the country of origin and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE)-test status of beef. The results reveal that a Random Parameters Logit (RPL) model along with the noncompensatory choice rules is more suitable than a compensatory model for measuring the valuation of food safety with regard to beef by consumers who are conscious of food safety. Further, the Willingness to Pay (WTP) for each BSE-tested type of beef reveals that Japanese consumers regard the BSE test as rather important for ensuring the food safety of beef. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-444 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:439-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Henr�quez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Henr�quez Author-Name: Bernardo Lara Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo Author-X-Name-Last: Lara Author-Name: Alejandra Mizala Author-X-Name-First: Alejandra Author-X-Name-Last: Mizala Author-Name: Andrea Repetto Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Repetto Title: Effective schools do exist: low-income children's academic performance in Chile Abstract: The aim of this article is twofold. First, we show that despite students' disadvantaged backgrounds and despite not having more financial resources than similar schools, there are schools in Chile that serve low-income students and that obtain superior academic outcomes. Second, we present qualitative evidence to identify school and classroom processes that might explain these good results. Specifically, we analyse a network of Chilean private voucher schools called Sociedad de Instrucción Primaria (SIP). In the econometric analysis we use a number of propensity score-based estimation methods to find that SIP students' achievement is not due to observables or selection on measured variables. We also perform a number of interviews in SIP schools and other neighbouring schools. Our qualitative analysis suggests that having children's learning as a central and permanent goal, an aim that is shared and that drives the community's efforts, seems to best summarize what makes SIP schools special. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-451 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:445-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratompong Srinuan Author-X-Name-First: Pratompong Author-X-Name-Last: Srinuan Author-Name: Erik Bohlin Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Bohlin Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: The determinants of mobile subscriber retention in Sweden Abstract: A binomial logit model is estimated on individual telecommunications service use data. The model examines whether operator-specific switching costs and termination-based prices impact on retention. The results show that service attributes (brand image and on-net prices) are significant in retaining subscribers. As customers of larger networks face higher switching costs, only the largest operator can use termination-based pricing to retain mobile subscribers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Auteri Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Auteri Author-Name: Antonello Maruotti Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Maruotti Title: Modelling waiting times in the Italian National Health Service Abstract: Understanding health-care utilization is important to design efficient and effective health-care systems. Towards this end, we propose a relatively simple and intuitively appealing microeconometric framework based on a two-part model to investigate the determinants that increase the probability and the length of waiting for a health-care service provision. This article attempts to accommodate all data features in one model focusing on overdispersion in the data due to unobserved heterogeneity and zero-inflation, with an application to the Italian National Health System. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:459-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Gómez-Bezares Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Bezares Author-Name: Fernando R. Gómez-Bezares Author-X-Name-First: Fernando R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Bezares Title: Classic performance indexes revisited: axiomatic and applications Abstract: In this short article we revisit three classic performance indexes: Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen, adding a fourth index, the Penalized Internal Rate of Return (PIRR), which is perfectly coherent with those three. We propose some axioms that support the logic of these indexes, identifying one exception for the Treynor index and warning about the problems of quotients use. All these are empirically supported. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Title: How has the financial crisis affected the fiscal convergence of Central and Eastern Europe to the Eurozone? Abstract: This article reports empirical findings on the convergence of the government debt to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio of seven Central and Eastern European (CEE) member states of the European Union (EU) to the European Monetary Union (EMU) over the period 2000 to 2010. This study tests stochastic and β convergence in a time series framework allowing for two structural breaks identified endogenously. The results help to evaluate the distortions in the fiscal convergence process of the CEE countries after the 2008 global financial crisis and the future accession possibilities of each CEE state conditional on the current levels and trends of the debt/GDP ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:471-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary R. Skoog Author-X-Name-First: Gary R. Author-X-Name-Last: Skoog Author-Name: James E. Ciecka Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ciecka Title: Interchangeability of the median operator with the present value operator Abstract: It is well known that the expected present value of a life annuity is smaller than the present value of an annuity certain with term equal to life expectancy. This result can be viewed as a consequence of the lack of interchangeability between the present value operator and the mathematical expectation operation. However, we prove that the median and present value operators can be interchanged; that is, the median of the present value of a life annuity equals the present value of an annuity certain whose term is the median additional years of life. At young ages and through late middle age, median additional years of life exceed life expectancy. Therefore, the median value of a life annuity exceeds an annuity certain paid to life expectancy which exceeds the expected present value of a life annuity - the fair price of a life annuity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jangkoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Jangkoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Hwa-Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hwa-Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An interrelation of time preference and risk attitude: an application to the equity premium puzzle Abstract: In the fields of behavioural economics and finance, several researchers show that the time preference of an investor is related to his/her attitude towards risky assets. This article investigates whether the equity premium puzzle laid out in Mehra and Prescott (1985) can be accounted for when this relation is imposed on the representative agent model of asset pricing. Three primary features of our analysis allow us to investigate the relationship. First, we derive an equation satisfied by the rate of time preference. Second, our model can yield an equity premium that is consistent with the observed data even in the standard power utility setting. Third, to fit the observed equity premium, we show that it is required to assume a negative rate of time preference, which is consistent with Kocherlakota (1996) and Brennan and Xia (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear and asymmetric smooth adjustment for the Middle Eastern countries Abstract: This empirical note uses a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Middle Eastern countries. Empirical test results indicate that PPP is valid for most of these Middle Eastern countries, with the exception of Bahrain. These results have important policy implications for the Middle Eastern countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrián Fernández-P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Adrián Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-P�rez Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Detecting trends in the foreign exchange markets Abstract: We test for the existence of trends in exchange-rate series for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we make use of Taylor's (1980) price trend model that, instead of focusing on the mean reverting behaviour of exchange rates measured over a long horizon, concentrates on the short-term pattern of the price trend. Employing a maximum likelihood method and a genetic algorithm to estimate the model parameters, in 39 of the 95 cases considered we find evidence in favour of the presence of trends, the trends being more frequent in intermediate exchange-rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:493-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: Physical attractiveness, employment and earnings Abstract: Survey data are used to estimate the impact of physical attractiveness rated by the interviewer as well as by the respondent on employment probability and labour income of men and women. In addition to mean linear and nonlinear effects on earnings, simultaneous quantile regressions are applied to analyse heterogeneity across the wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-510 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:505-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Generalized safety first and the planting of crops Abstract: This article adapts a modern shortfall-based portfolio selection rule developed by Stutzer (2000) and Haley and Whiteman (2008) to the farm manager's land allocation problem. The approach provides a useful normative model of land allocation that obviates distributional assumptions and expected utility specifications, and one that selects an optimal allocation that weighs skewness and other higher order moments in addition to mean and variance. This is of particular interest because crop returns often exhibit skewness, which is not accounted for by traditional Mean-Variance (MV)-based approaches. The rule is demonstrated using the data from Lence and Hart (1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Blumenfeld Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Blumenfeld Author-Name: Andres G. Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres G. Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Union wages, strikes and profits Abstract: A model is used to propose the countervailing effects of a strike upon wages. Wages may rise if unions succeed in obtaining concessions. They may fall if firms succeed in neutralizing the potential damage to their profits. Some US evidence suggests that wages fall whenever strikes increase in intensity, somewhat corroborating the view that unions have continued to become weaker over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Auer Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Author-Name: Philip Saur� Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Saur� Title: CHF strength and Swiss export performance -- evidence and outlook from a disaggregate analysis Abstract: Why has Swiss export performance been so strong during the past quarters despite the marked appreciation of the Swiss Franc (CHF)? What is the outlook for Swiss exports given the still elevated CHF? In this article, we shed light on these questions by analysing a panel of Swiss exports disaggregated along both the regional and the industry dimension. To explain the export performance of the recent past, we estimate how the exchange rate and demand growth in each export market affect trade flows and also, how this varies across different industries. The appreciation of the CHF has considerably dampened Swiss export performance. As a counterfactual, we ask how Swiss exports would have developed had the CHF stayed flat against other currencies during the 5 years leading up to October 2010. Compared to this scenario, the Swiss export industry has already lost a cumulative of CHF 35 billion in revenues due to the CHF appreciation. At the current juncture, monthly exports are reduced by CHF 2.7 billion (around 17%). We show that the key reason for the strong export performance despite the CHF strength was the rebound in global demand in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Moreover, we also document that the timing of global demand growth has completely masked the effect of the CHF strength: during the last quarters, periods of pronounced CHF appreciation always coincided with strong recovery of global demand. Failure to account for this coincidence could lead to the wrong assumption that the exchange rate matters very little for Swiss export performance. Last, to gauge the likely evolution of Swiss exports and their regional composition in the years to come, we combine our estimation results with the regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and exchange rate forecasts provided by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Following this approach, we predict that over the next 3 years, Swiss exports will rise a combined 16%, with little less than half of this increase going to Emerging Asia and 30% to the euro zone. We also document the key industries that will drive Swiss export growth in the near future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-531 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:521-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Mart�nez Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Mart�nez Title: Inequality and the new human development index Abstract: Taking as a reference the new human development index introduced by the UN in 2010, we study inequality in the world with respect to achievements in human development. We consider four of the most widely known measures of inequality: the Gini, Theil, Atkinson and Kolm indices. We analyse the evolution of each index over the whole history of UN human development reports (every 5 years, from 1980 to 2010). We find that according to the Gini, Theil and Atkinson measures, the world was significantly more equal in 2010 than in 1980. However, the Kolm index shows that the distribution of human development has worsened. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-535 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:533-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rakesh Bali Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Author-Name: Jack C. Francis Author-X-Name-First: Jack C. Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Title: Further evidence from ex-dividend days Abstract: We tested how dividend pricing is impacted by the reduction in capital gains tax rate to 20% (May 1997) and the move to trading in 6.25¢ (June 1997). Price behaviour does not support tax clienteles but is consistent with transaction costs-based explanation. Raw returns, for all groups, are within or close to weak no-arbitrage bounds and are unchanged around these events. We find that taxes may impact investor behaviour but they do not impact marginal dividend pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: The effectiveness of the order-splitting strategy: an analysis of unique data Abstract: This letter first examines the effectiveness of the order-splitting strategy by analysing the unique intraday dataset of the KOSPI200 futures market, which contains high-quality information on the classes and identification of investors. The empirical finding indicates that a significant number of traders fragment their trades, and these split trades are generally more informative than nonsplit trades. When trades are fragmented, the price impact of buy trades is significantly larger than the price impact of sell trades. By conducting an analysis of investor type, we also find that the order-splitting strategy of domestic individuals, banks and foreign institutions is quite successful in the futures market; on the other hand, the split orders submitted by domestic money managers typically incur a substantial loss. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-549 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:541-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Title: Foreign ownership, sales to multinationals and firm efficiency: the case of Brazil, Morocco, Pakistan, South Africa and Vietnam Abstract: Using a one-step stochastic frontier model for five developing countries, this article shows that foreign firms benefit from a better investment climate, which significantly explains why they are more efficient than local firms. This article uses the share of each firm's sales to multinationals located in the country to assess the importance of vertical spillovers, while controlling for the direct impact of the investment climate on efficiency. The results show that firms, particularly small local firms, selling more of their production to multinationals are more efficient, highlighting the presence of vertical spillovers through backward linkages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: MeiChi Huang Author-X-Name-First: MeiChi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Forecasts and implications of the current housing crisis: switching regimes in a threshold framework Abstract: This article aims to explore the implications of the recent housing crisis from a forward-looking perspective in the form of the two-regime switching phenomena under a Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. Three categories of thresholds, which are housing prices, housing volumes and price-to-income ratios, are adopted in an attempt to examine the US state-level housing market cycles in multiple dimensions. In general, while lagged differenced thresholds fail to capture the recent housing boom-and-bust regime switching, moving-average thresholds succeed in signalling a housing crisis in many states. The regime-switching autoregressive structures show that housing price cycle has remarkable series dependence, and the housing volume cycle tends to show a mean-reversion pattern. Most importantly, only four states, Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada, display the bust regime of housing price growth during 2006 to 2010. The price-over-income also indicates that less than five states have significant two switching regimes. Otherwise, most states exhibit low-growth regime of housing permits, implying a nationwide housing volume cycle during the current housing crisis. The forecasting system provides a helpful guideline for policy-making of the government as well as household decisions of consumption and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-568 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:557-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Siyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-I Chou Author-X-Name-First: Pei-I Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries from January 1986 to October 2009. Empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all the countries studied, with the exception of Japan and Philippines, and the long-run PPP adjustment process towards its equilibrium is asymmetric. Our results have important policy implications for these East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear and asymmetric smooth adjustment Abstract: This empirical note applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Japan's Real Exchange Rate (RER) vis-à-vis its eight trading partner countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for Japan relative to her major trading partners, with the exception of Hong Kong and Thailand, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear and in an asymmetric way. This result provides support for PPP for Japan relative to its major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-578 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:575-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dany Jaimovich Author-X-Name-First: Dany Author-X-Name-Last: Jaimovich Title: A Bayesian spatial probit estimation of Free Trade Agreement contagion Abstract: This article analyses the spatial interdependence of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) in a cross-section framework using the Contagion Index proposed by Baldwin and Jaimovich (2010). A Bayesian heteroskedastic probit model is estimated, where a spatial lag is built based on the Contagion Index, finding evidence of interdependence related with a domino-like effect. I compare the results with other spatial specifications previously used in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-583 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabamita Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Nabamita Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Deepraj Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Deepraj Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Is culture a determinant of financial development? Abstract: This article investigates the missing link in the literature -- whether informal institutions, or what is known as culture, can affect the level of financial development for a country? Our hypothesis stresses that the cultural dimensions of a country can have an impact on its financial set-up. We consider multiple dimensions of culture, identified in the literature by Tabellini (2008), to test our hypothesis. As culture evolves in the form of greater trust, control and other traits, individuals' attitudes towards financial market change, and they engage in greater financial transactions. This, in turn, leads to better financial development. Using quantile estimation technique for a cross section of 90 countries, we find that culture significantly influences the level of financial development. To ensure the robustness of our findings we use Hofstede's cultural dimension -- ‘Uncertainty Avoidance Index’ (UAI) -- as an alternative measure for culture. Our results hold for multiple measures of financial development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.589800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.589800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrián Fernández-P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Adrián Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-P�rez Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Exploiting trends in the foreign exchange markets Abstract: We offer further evidence on the relevance of technical trading in exchange-rate markets using daily data for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we investigate the profitability of a simple technical trading rule based on Taylor's (1980) price trend model, generating optimal one-step-ahead forecasts of returns using genetic algorithms. These trading rules, that bear similarity to the popular trading rules based on moving averages, overcome the buy-and-hold strategy in 25 of 39 cases where trends are detected, even in the presence of transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-597 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.589801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.589801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:591-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António S. Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: António S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ribeiro Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Portuguese football league efficiency and players' wages Abstract: In this article, we use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to measure the efficiency of Portuguese football clubs in the First League for seasons 2002/03 to 2008/09. Clubs spend different amounts of money on their players and use different incentive devices to achieve their aims for each season. Our first aim is to find out whether clubs are spending more money than they need to. Evidence shows that this is the case for several clubs, suggesting that buying players solely with a view to selling them on for future financial gain can seriously damage clubs' accounts and efficiency. This is all the more remarkable as the competitive level is increasing and Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) is issuing more stringent financial stability conditions. Our second aim is to ascertain the relationship between the players' wage distribution and the clubs' efficiency. We demonstrate that a higher wage spread tends to be associated with an increase in efficiency. The implication is that clubs should structure wages so as to have the optimal pay ranking for inducing players' effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Drehmann Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Drehmann Author-Name: Leonardo Gambacorta Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gambacorta Title: The effects of countercyclical capital buffers on bank lending Abstract: This article provides a simulation on how the countercyclical capital buffer designed in the Basel III package could impact on bank lending. It finds that the buffer could help to reduce credit growth during booms and attenuate the credit contraction once it is released. This would help to dampen procyclicality in addition to the beneficial effects of higher capital levels in terms of higher banking sector resilience to shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-608 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:603-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicki L. Bogan Author-X-Name-First: Vicki L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bogan Author-Name: Chad M. Sandler Author-X-Name-First: Chad M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sandler Title: Are firms on the right page with Chapter 11? An analysis of firm choices that contribute to post-bankruptcy survival Abstract: Historically, corporate bankruptcy reorganization has generated varying results with respect to subsequent firm performance. Some firms reorganize effectively and emerge as more efficient and productive enterprises. However, other inefficient companies strive to survive by utilizing the rehabilitative process of Chapter 11; though liquidation might be a more suitable course of action. This study investigates which characteristics of firm performance and Chapter 11 bankruptcy are linked to successful emergence upon reorganization. We find that the strongest contributor to post-bankruptcy survival is having new management in place. This suggests that Chapter 11 can be utilized as an effective rehabilitative tool in the ‘right hands’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-613 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:609-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Fabling Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Fabling Author-Name: Arthur Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Author-Name: Philip Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: The relatives are fine: use of qualitative firm data in economic analysis Abstract: We use qualitative and quantitative data for the same firms to examine the robustness of firms' qualitative responses regarding their performance. In contrast to some prior studies, firms accurately respond to qualitative questions regarding productivity and profitability relative to other firms. One reason for this accuracy is that the qualitative response options specifically include a don't know category that reduces misreporting and bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Wealth-to-income ratio and stock returns: evidence from the Euro Area Abstract: I find that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth falls, investors become more exposed to labour income shocks and demand a higher risk premium for stocks. I show that the residuals of the trend relationship among wealth and labour income, wy, predict future stock returns in the Euro Area. The results are robust to additional control variables and show the superiority of wy vis-a-vis other benchmark models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jyh-Jiuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Jiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ching-Hui Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: A note on selling distressed loans with bank bailouts: modelling of bank interest margins with default probabilities Abstract: This article extends the framework of Merton (1974) with Vassalou and Xing (2004) to value a troubled but solvent bank's equity by explicitly incorporating distressed assets purchased by the government in an imperfectly competitive loan market. We show that the bank may be willing to take this bailout when the purchased amount is relatively small and the margin is relatively low. However, the bank may be harder to entice even when the unit price of the bailed-out assets subsidized by the government is relatively high. As a consequence, most of the first half of the Troubled Asset Relief Program's money is not used to buy troubled assets (Wilson, 2010). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-627 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:623-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of transition countries (i.e. Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Russia) over January 1995 to December 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP only holds true for five of these transition countries under study. Our results have important policy implications for the transition countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-633 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:629-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Casadio Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Casadio Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: The dynamics of Italian public debt: alternative paths for fiscal consolidation Abstract: This article analyses possible targets for the Italian debt-to-GDP ratio with a small macroeconomic model. The role of international macroeconomic variables such as the US GDP growth, prices of raw materials, EUR/USD exchange rate and European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy stance and domestic policy instruments is analysed in the debt dynamics. We find that external conditions play a fundamental role for the Italian fiscal consolidation. To reach a target of 100% of debt-to-GDP ratio by 2020, a further growth-sustaining policy has to be implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiping Kostenko Author-X-Name-First: Weiping Author-X-Name-Last: Kostenko Title: Australian migration policy change: selecting winners and making losers Abstract: I investigate the effects of 1997 Australian migration policy changes on the skilled immigrants' labour market and social assimilation. I find that, after the changes, notwithstanding the overall success and stronger favourable self-selection of skilled immigrants, females, Asians and the ‘poorer’ are at risk of underemployment and mental disorder. The findings facilitate the debate on economic gains and social costs of policy reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: The effect of social trust on achievement test performance of students in Japan Abstract: Empirical results using Japanese data suggest that social trust improves student language and mathematics achievement test scores in primary and junior high school. After controlling for endogeneity bias, social trust had a greater effect on scores for primary school students than on scores for junior high school students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elwin Tobing Author-X-Name-First: Elwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobing Title: How do housing wealth effects vary with age? Abstract: This article investigates whether the housing wealth effect is constant across age. The data are drawn from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) for the waves of 2001, 2003 and 2005. Using threshold estimation to endogenously split the sample by age group, we find three threshold age groups of 49, 55 and 65. Housing wealth has a significant and positive effect on the consumption for individuals aged 49 and 55 years, but a negative effect for individuals aged 65 years and older. If age is below 49 or between 55 and 65 years, the housing wealth effect is insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Rhein Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhein Author-Name: Parvati Trübswetter Author-X-Name-First: Parvati Author-X-Name-Last: Trübswetter Title: Occupational mobility and the change in the occupational structure in Britain and Germany, 1993--2008 Abstract: We investigate the relationship between occupational mobility and the change in the occupational structure at the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) two-digit level in Britain and Germany between 1993 and 2008. We find that although gross mobility rates in Britain were almost 3 times as high as those in Germany, this did not translate into more structural change, as measured by the Lilien index. Furthermore, we find that net mobility flows are more closely correlated with structural change in Germany than Britain, leading to the conclusion that the more highly regulated occupational system in Germany does not hinder occupational change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: Ian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Author-Name: Anthony D. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Anthony D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Inducing risk preferences in economics experiments Abstract: A common procedure in experiments is to use binary lotteries to induce in all subjects pre-specified risk preferences. The validity of this procedure has been established only for a subject performing a single task, yet the procedure is normally applied in multi-task settings. This article formally analyses the multi-task case and establishes necessary and sufficient conditions relating to experimental design. New guidance is provided for the design of experiments involving interdependent tasks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Veld Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Veld Author-Name: Yuriy Zabolotnyuk Author-X-Name-First: Yuriy Author-X-Name-Last: Zabolotnyuk Title: The optimal call policy for convertible bonds: Is there a market memory effect? Abstract: This article examines the market memory effect in convertible bond markets. We look at the pricing of convertible bonds issued after the original issuer redeemed previous issues without giving an opportunity for investors to benefit from bond value appreciation. We find evidence that the market underprices new convertible bond issues of firms that called their previous convertible bonds early compared with new convertibles bonds of firms that called their previous convertibles late. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-664 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:661-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Vita Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Vita Title: Endogenous discount rate and elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption Abstract: Using an endogenous growth model where the discount rate is a function of consumption, we show that the condition in which the elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption is greater than 1 ensures, at the same time, the existence of an unique saddle point equilibrium and the maximization of capital and consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Edmund Allen Author-X-Name-First: David Edmund Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Robert John Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Abhay Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Beyond reasonable doubt: multiple tail risk measures applied to European industries Abstract: Using a comprehensive range of metrics, this article determines how relative market and credit risk change among European sectors during extreme market fluctuations. Differences are found between conditional and nonconditional outcomes, and sectors which were most risky prior to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) are found to be different to the riskiest sectors during the GFC. These findings are consistent across the metrics used. The insights into extreme sectoral risk are important to investors in portfolio selection and to banks in setting sectoral concentration limits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:671-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Michael Elder Author-X-Name-First: Erick Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Author-Name: Gary A. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Gary A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: A simple approach to balancing government budgets over the business cycle Abstract: Despite the renewed interest in fiscal rules to constrain government deficits and debt, most rules provide no guidelines for reaching fiscal objectives in practice. This note demonstrates how to construct simple and transparent savings-rate rules that could aid policymakers if balancing the budget over the business cycle is a goal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simeon Vosen Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Vosen Author-Name: Torsten Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Torsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on Internet search query data Abstract: This study introduces a monthly coincident indicator for consumption in Germany based on Google Trends data on web search activity. In real-time nowcasting experiments the indicator outperforms common survey-based indicators in predicting consumption. Unlike those indicators, it provides predictive information beyond that already captured in other macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes-Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes-Castro Title: Labour productivity and compensation of employees in Europe Abstract: The current international crisis has highlighted the need to improve productivity. This article examines labour productivity and compensation of employees in the main European economics over the past 15 years. The decomposition of labour productivity suggests that, during the most recent phase of expansion, capital stock per hour worked hides a widespread decline in Multifactor Productivity (MFP). There was also a significant deterioration in the equity of primary income distribution. The crisis seems to be correcting this trend, with some exceptions, but at the expense of rising unemployment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:689-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Shiuan Lu Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Shiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: How significant is the role of reallocation to long-term growth? Abstract: This article investigates the contribution of labour and capital reallocation from the farm to the nonfarm sector to Total Factor Productivity (TFP) Growth (TFPG). We find that if labour reallocation is hypothetically suppressed in economies experiencing rapid structural transformation, that is, South Korea and Taiwan, the annualized long-term TFPG rate can be reduced by more than 0.8 percentage points. Such an effect is significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Youssef El-Khatib Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: El-Khatib Title: Stochastic optimal hedge ratio: theory and evidence Abstract: The minimum variance hedge ratio is widely used by investors to immunize against the price risk. This hedge ratio is usually assumed to be constant across time by practitioners, which might be a too restrictive assumption because the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) might vary across time. In this article we put forward a proposition that a stochastic OHR performs differently than an OHR with constant structure even in the situations in which the mean value of the stochastic OHR is equal to the constant OHR. A mathematical proof is provided for this proposition combined with some simulation results and an application to the US stock market during 1999--2009 using weekly data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melina Dritsaki Author-X-Name-First: Melina Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsaki Author-Name: Chaido Dritsaki Author-X-Name-First: Chaido Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsaki Title: A panel data approach to the demand for money in Bulgaria and Romania Abstract: This article aims to investigate the relationship between real money, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the nominal short-term rate of interest in the two new European Union (EU) member states. In pursuit of this objective, the tests of panel cointegration and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) are conducted by using panel data. The data used in this study consist of annual data during period 1990 to 2008. The panel cointegration results confirm a long-run relationship between real money, real GDP and the nominal short-term rate of interest. Our empirical results also show that real GDP elasticity is 0.739 and nominal short-term rate of interest elasticity is −0.013 for the panel of the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-710 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:705-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St�phanie Peltier Author-X-Name-First: St�phanie Author-X-Name-Last: Peltier Author-Name: François Moreau Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Moreau Title: Internet and the ‘Long Tail versus superstar effect’ debate: evidence from the French book market Abstract: From a comprehensive database of monthly sales of comic books and literature books in France over the period 2003 to 2007, we show that (i) bestsellers got smaller market shares online than offline, contrary to medium- and low-sellers; (ii) both online and offline sales shift from the head of the distribution to the tail with increasing magnitude over the period; and (iii) the Long Tail appears to be more than just a short-lived phenomenon caused by the specific preferences of early adopters of e-commerce. These three results suggest that online information and distribution tools, whose use increased over the period 2003 to 2007, do have an impact on book distribution and on consumers' purchase decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Kevin McGee Author-X-Name-First: M. Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: McGee Author-Name: Lee Van Scyoc Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Van Scyoc Author-Name: Nancy J. Burnett Author-X-Name-First: Nancy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burnett Title: ‘The best defence…’ or optimal offence/defence spending ratios in the NFL Abstract: An original data set built from all 32 National Football League (NFL) teams, covering 2000--2009, is used to produce a production function for professional football. We use spending on salaries, divided between offensive and defensive players, as inputs to produce season wins. Our data suggest that the optimal strategy is simply to have a strategy, meaning teams with balanced spending tend to do worse than those with a more strategic allocation towards either offence or defence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-720 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:717-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranjula Bali Swain Author-X-Name-First: Ranjula Bali Author-X-Name-Last: Swain Title: Differential impact of microfinance delivery mechanism on vulnerability Abstract: Microfinance reduces vulnerability. We investigate if this impact varies by the delivery mechanism used. Correcting for the membership selection bias using Propensity Score Matching (PSM), the household's vulnerability is estimated using the Self-Help Group (SHG) microfinance programme data in India. The results show that the reduction in vulnerability is greater for villages with better infrastructure and for SHGs that are formed by NGOs and linked by banks (linkage model 2). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Baomin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Baomin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: A simple model of two-country bargaining for financial integration Abstract: This article treats financial openness as a practical dimension on which two countries can negotiate for capital mobility benefit sharing. A capital-exporting country has some first-mover advantage in bargaining with its importing counterparts for their opening. Yet the former country's impatience can act against its own interests when faced with the latter's reluctance to fully liberalize financial systems. Hence it may be unwise to push them into prematurely opening up their capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mónica Meireles Author-X-Name-First: Mónica Author-X-Name-Last: Meireles Author-Name: Isabel Soares Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Dirty versus ecological technology in an endogenous growth model Abstract: An endogenous growth model with renewable and nonrenewable Intermediate Goods (IGs) is developed to study the exogenous environmental quality effects on technological-knowledge bias and on Final-Good (FG) sector bias. Solving the transitional dynamics numerically and removing the scale effects, FG sector bias is showed to be caused by both technological-knowledge bias, through the price channel, and technological-knowledge-absorption effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-733 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:729-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgiana Nicoleta Rosoi Author-X-Name-First: Georgiana Nicoleta Author-X-Name-Last: Rosoi Title: Financial integration and international transmission of business cycles: evidence from dynamic correlations Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Sabrina Khanniche Author-X-Name-First: Sabrina Author-X-Name-Last: Khanniche Title: Are hedge fund clones attractive financial products for investors? Abstract: The subprime crisis, which proved devastating for the hedge fund industry, induced significant losses for investors who ploughed into absolute return funds. In such a context, investigating the opacity surrounding the hedge fund industry and its prohibitive fee structure is of real interest as, within the context of the Madoff scandal, there is strong evidence of a reduction in investor confidence. On the other hand, investors are still looking for attractive returns. Hedge fund clones therefore appear to offer a promising solution as they seek to replicate hedge fund returns at lower fees and with more transparency and liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-743 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.599783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.599783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:739-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara E. Helms Author-X-Name-First: Sara E. Author-X-Name-Last: Helms Author-Name: Brian L. Scott Author-X-Name-First: Brian L. Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Jeremy P. Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy P. Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Choosing to give more: experimental evidence on restricted gifts and charitable behaviour Abstract: It is common for charitable organizations to allow donors to place material restrictions on their gifts. Nonprofit firms and fundraisers generally believe that allowing gift restrictions will increase donation revenue. Restricted gifts are costly to the nonprofit firms because of increased management expenses and an inability to reallocate gifts to higher valued uses. We report the results of an experiment which tests the influence of charitable gift restrictions on donor behaviour. We find that allowing restricted gifts significantly increases the amount given in a laboratory setting. However, we find no evidence that grant restrictions increase the probability of giving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.599784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.599784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Author-Name: Megha Mukim Author-X-Name-First: Megha Author-X-Name-Last: Mukim Title: The clustering of FDI in India: the importance of peer effects Abstract: We assess the location choices of 6020 foreign investors at the level of Indian districts. Employing conditional logit models, we find that clustering of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is driven strongly by herding among investors from both, the same and other countries of origin. However, the behaviour of Nonresident Indians (NRIs) and German investors is strikingly different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.602007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.602007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matallin-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin-Saez Author-Name: Amparo Soler-Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Soler-Dominguez Author-Name: Emili Tortosa-Ausina Author-X-Name-First: Emili Author-X-Name-Last: Tortosa-Ausina Title: Mutual fund performance: banking versus independent managers Abstract: We examine the performance of mutual fund managers for a sample of Spanish mutual funds considering data on active management, loads, size and the number of funds managed per manager. We find evidence of differences in fund performance according to management: independent managers outperform their banking counterparts even when the lower associated fees are considered. Overall, our results suggest that superior active managers do exist and the slight discrepancies which arise between managers can be interpreted as agency problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.602008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.602008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elina Lampi Author-X-Name-First: Elina Author-X-Name-Last: Lampi Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Nature and nurture: the relation between number of siblings and earnings Abstract: In this study, we examine the relation between different kinds of siblings and earnings and find that both nature and nurture matter: full-siblings are equally negatively related to earnings regardless of whether one grew up with them or not. The number of step-siblings, on the other hand, also turns out significant if one grew up together. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd A. McFall Author-X-Name-First: Todd A. Author-X-Name-Last: McFall Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Title: Pandora's groove: analysing the effect of the U-groove ban on PGA Tour golfers' performances and strategies Abstract: This study examines how PGA Tour golfers' playing strategies offset a ban on technologically superior golf club grooves and how the strategy changes translated into performance changes. The ban, which was implemented at the beginning of the 2010 season, effectively decreased golfers' abilities to spin the golf ball from all on-course environments and offers a unique opportunity to examine offsetting behaviour in the light of a ban on the type of technology. We compare 2009 and 2010 PGA Tour results in a manner consistent with previous studies of offsetting behaviour and golf club groove construction. Our results suggest that offsetting behaviour mitigated the effects of the technological regulations on golf clubs in an economically and statistically significant way, as golfers' performances improved following the technological ban. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-768 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:763-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farrukh Suvankulov Author-X-Name-First: Farrukh Author-X-Name-Last: Suvankulov Author-Name: Fatma Ogucu Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Ogucu Title: Have firms with better corporate governance fared better during the recent financial crisis in Russia? Abstract: We assess whether during the recent (2008--2009) financial crisis in Russia firms with better corporate governance have experienced a milder decline in stock prices and market value as well as lower stock price volatility. Using a structural break analysis, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Instrumental Variable (IV) techniques, we find that firms that had better corporate governance prior to the crisis suffered a smaller decline in both stock prices and market value. We report no evidence of statistically significant relationship between corporate governance and volatility of stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatih Cemil Ozbugday Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Cemil Author-X-Name-Last: Ozbugday Author-Name: Erik Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: Competition law, networks and innovation Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of innovative activities at the industry level for the Dutch manufacturing industries during the period 1993 to 2007. The results indicate that the transition from the old Economic Competition Act to the new Competition Act is statistically insignificantly associated with decreased innovation intensity, while it is positively and statistically significantly linked to an increased share of firms with patent applications. Furthermore, we find that cooperation with their suppliers for innovative activities boosts both innovation intensity of the industry and the ratio of firms with patent applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arup Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Arup Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Chandan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chandan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Marie-Ange V�ganzonès-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: V�ganzonès-Varoudakis Title: Estimating impact of infrastructure on productivity and efficiency of Indian manufacturing Abstract: Drawing on a recent data set of the Indian manufacturing industry for the period 1994--2008, this article shows for eight sectors that core infrastructure matters in determining Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and Technical Efficiency (TE). Results suggest that the impact is rather strong on both measures (elasticity of 0.32 and 0.17, respectively). This finding is of particular importance in the Indian context characterized by infrastructure bottlenecks and strongly supports the view that a lack of infrastructure can hamper growth in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lajos Zoltán Bakucs Author-X-Name-First: Lajos Zoltán Author-X-Name-Last: Bakucs Author-Name: Bernhard Brümmer Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Brümmer Author-Name: Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: von Cramon-Taubadel Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Title: Wheat market integration between Hungary and Germany Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the price transmission between German and Hungarian wheat producer prices using weekly prices. Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Model (MS-VECM) with three regimes seems to appropriately capture the dynamics in the price relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Health-impaired employees' job satisfaction: new evidence from Athens, Greece Abstract: This study by utilizing the 2008 Athens Area Study (AAS) data set investigates four aspects of job satisfaction -- total pay, promotion prospects, respect received from one's supervisor and total job satisfaction -- between healthy and heath-impaired employees. Health-impaired employees are found to be less satisfied according to all job satisfaction measures even when a large number of productivity features and job characteristics are controlled for. The outcomes also suggest that women are more satisfied with their jobs than men are, regardless of health status. Moreover, the estimations show that health-impaired employees' job satisfaction is affected more than healthy employees' job satisfaction by adverse mental health symptoms (life dissatisfaction). Finally, health-impaired employees are found to become more satisfied with their jobs with time after disability onset. This study concludes that health-impaired employees may have higher expectations about what they will obtain from their work, as well as they may have job satisfaction adjustments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William R. Hauk Author-X-Name-First: William R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hauk Title: Trade restriction indices and US trade policy Abstract: The proper way to measure differences in trade protection across countries and economic sectors has been a vexing problem for economists studying international trade. Based on research by Anderson and Neary (2005) and Kee et al. (KNO) (2009), this article proposes the use of Trade Restriction Indices (TRIs) when studying US trade policy. TRIs can potentially solve several problems related to measuring the restrictiveness of trade policy. To this end, this article creates a data set of TRIs for US imports by sector at several different levels of aggregation using the Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HS), the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and the Standard International Trade Classification industry coding systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-799 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:795-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Wai-Yip Alex Ho Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Yip Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Examining the role of risk aversion in calculating the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations Abstract: This note examines the role of risk aversion in computing the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under different utility and consumption process specifications. We find that the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under a Constant-Relative-Risk-Aversion (CRRA) utility specification does not necessarily increase with the degree of relative risk aversion unless it fulfils certain conditions. The case of China is used as an illustration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-806 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2010.548773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:801-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Hua Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Measuring productivity in the biotechnology industry using the global Malmquist index Abstract: This study applies the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)-based Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) to measure productivity growth in Taiwanese biotechnology industry over time. The contemporaneous MPI and the global MPI are used to estimate and compare changes in productivity. In this study, we provide a single measurement of productivity change and its decompositions, that is, the global MPI. This index satisfies the circularity property and is free from the problem of base period dependency. Our results show that changes in productivity in the biotechnology industry are progressing. Under the assumption of Variable Returns to Scale (VRS), the sources of productivity change could be decomposed into Efficiency Change (EC), Best Practice Change (BPC) and Scale Change (SC). As result, the BPC and SC are progressing except for EC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-812 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:807-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyungna Oh Author-X-Name-First: Hyungna Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Aggregation bias in stochastic frontier models employing region-level data: an empirical analysis with Korean manufacturing data Abstract: A stochastic frontier study often employs aggregate data to analyse the productivity and technical efficiency of regions. In this article, a stochastic frontier model is run on plant-level data and region-level aggregate data. Comparisons of estimated coefficients and characteristics of regional production based on estimation outcomes suggest that an empirical model employing regional-level data can provide misleading results concerning the production function faced by a representative plant in a region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-821 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:813-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongseung Han Author-X-Name-First: Yongseung Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Modelling a stochastic profit system using gauge function Abstract: This article provides an analytical solution to the ‘Greene problem’; use of McFadden's gauge function successfully separates technical inefficiency from the profit function and its share equations, even though allocative inefficiency is incorporated into the profit system, and establishes an exact relationship between allocative inefficiency in the profit function and its share equations to make the system readily estimable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-827 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:823-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James T. Bang Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Bharati Basu Author-X-Name-First: Bharati Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Title: Marriage, fertility and the selection of women into high-skill industries Abstract: This article focuses on the selection of women into industries of different skill intensities as another dimension in the discussion of the differences in wages among similarly skilled women. Using the Current Population Survey (CPS) data and controlling for education and other factors, we find evidence that married women tend to work in industries that are less skill intensive and that pay lower wages. We also find that education and experience affect this selection process less favourably for married women compared with single women. Since less skill-intensive industries often pay lower wages for similar occupations, our results contribute to the broader debate over the gaps in wages between single and married women as well as men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Title: Whither human capital? The woeful tale of transition to tertiary education in India Abstract: In this article, we examine the issue of high dropout rates in India which has adverse implications for human capital formation and hence for the country's long-term growth potential. Using the 2004--2005 National Sample Survey (NSS) employment--unemployment data, we estimate transition probabilities of moving from a number of different educational levels to higher educational levels using a sequential logit model. Our results suggest that the overall probability of reaching tertiary education is very low. Further, even by the woeful overall standards, women are significantly worse off, particularly in rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-838 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:835-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear threshold unit root test Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear threshold unit root test proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of nine East Asian countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for more than half of these nine East Asian countries under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-842 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:839-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in China Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to investigate the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for China's real exchange rate vis-à-vis her nine trading partner countries over the period January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicate that China's real exchange is a nonlinear process and a unit root in real exchange rate was not found for most of the cases under study. These results provide strong support for PPP for China relative to her major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-848 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:843-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Maças Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Maças Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Z�lia Serrasqueiro Author-X-Name-First: Z�lia Author-X-Name-Last: Serrasqueiro Title: Are young SMEs' survival determinants different? Empirical evidence using panel data Abstract: Based on two subsamples of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs), 495 young SMEs and 1350 old SMEs, using probit regressions, we investigate whether the survival determinants of young SMEs are different from those of old SMEs. The multiple empirical evidence obtained allows us to conclude that the survival determinants of young SMEs are considerably different from those of the old SMEs: (1) determinants related to scale effects, financial situation and macroeconomic situation are of greater relative importance in explaining young SMEs' survival; and (2) a determinant related to technological intensity is of greater relative importance in explaining old SMEs' survival. The results let us provide different guidelines for economic policy in general, and industrial policy in particular, in support of young and old SMEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-855 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:849-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: D.P. Tang Author-X-Name-First: D.P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in Latin American countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of 15 Latin American countries from December 1994 to February 2010. Empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for most of the countries studied, with the exception of Brazil, Chile, Dominica, Haiti and Uruguay, and the long-run PPP adjustment process towards its equilibrium is asymmetric. Our results have important policy implications for these Latin American countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-862 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:857-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos� Mar�a Mart�n-Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Mar�a Author-X-Name-Last: Mart�n-Moreno Author-Name: Rafaela P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Rafaela Author-X-Name-Last: P�rez Author-Name: Jesús Ru�z Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Ru�z Title: Private consumption and sector price behaviour in the Spanish economy: a business cycle approach Abstract: In this article we examine the consequences of introducing tradable, nontradable and investment goods in a small open economy business cycle model in the case of Spain. The stochastic simulation of the model and its comparison to the Spanish economic data show that the model is able to mimic two prominent features of the Spanish cycle: (1) the dual inflation phenomenon, that is, the cyclical properties of the divergent behaviour between nontradable and tradable prices; and (2) the high volatility of private consumption relative to the volatility of output, a feature known as the Dolado et al. puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-868 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:863-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Phillip Reicher Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Reicher Title: A simple decomposition of the variance of output growth across countries Abstract: This article outlines a simple regression-based method to decompose the variance of an aggregate time series into the variance of its components, which is then applied to measure the relative contributions of productivity, hours per worker and employment to cyclical output growth across a panel of countries. Measured productivity contributes more to the cycle in Europe and Japan than in the United States. Employment contributes the largest proportion of the cycle in Europe and the United States (but not Japan), which is inconsistent with the idea that higher levels of employment protection in Europe dampen cyclical employment fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-872 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:869-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Declan Trott Author-X-Name-First: Declan Author-X-Name-Last: Trott Title: A capital mistake? The neglected effect of immigration on average wages Abstract: Much recent literature on the wage effects of immigration assumes that the return to capital, and therefore the average wage, is unaffected in the long run. If immigration is modelled as a continuous flow rather than a one-off shock, this result does not necessarily hold. A simple calibration with pre-crisis US immigration rates gives a reduction in average wages of 5%, larger than most estimates of the effect on relative wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-876 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:873-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for 18 African countries: sequential panel selection method Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to test the validity of the long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of 18 African countries over the period January 1985 to September 2008. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of nonstationary series. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results indicate that the PPP holds true for only four of these African countries studied. Our results have important policy implications for these African countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-881 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:877-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Michael Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Experience, social pressure and performance: the case of soccer officials Abstract: This study examines the relationship between experience, social pressure and performance of match officials (referees) in professional soccer. Using data from European Cup competitions, it is found that officials with more experience are marginally less biased towards the home side in the issuing of disciplinary sanctions. However, it is also the case that officials with greater levels of experience are just as likely to be influenced by social pressure as their less experienced counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-886 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:883-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Jude Salois Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Jude Author-X-Name-Last: Salois Title: The effect of quasi-hyperbolic discounting on rural land conversion timing Abstract: This article explores how the presence of a quasi-hyperbolic discount parameter in a land investment model can affect conversion times for undeveloped rural land. A simple model of land development is compared using both exponential discounting and quasi-hyperbolic discounting. The presence of quasi-hyperbolic discounting tends to increase the rate of land conversion and may lead to possible overdevelopment of rural lands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-890 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:887-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Duc-Tho Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc-Tho Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: On maintaining the power of the Kapetanios--Snell--Shin (KSS) test under uncertain initial conditions Abstract: This article investigates the impact of initial condition (specifically, the deviation of the initial observation from the underlying deterministic component) on the power properties of the nonlinear Kapetanios-- Snell--Shin (KSS) unit root test. While the Generalized Least Squares (GLS)-detrended KSS test has significant power advantage over the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)-detrended KSS test if the initial deviation is small, the opposite occurs if the initial deviation is large. These results are similar to those found previously for the Dickey--Fuller (DF) test. To maintain good power properties across different initial conditions, a Union of Rejections (UR) strategy is adopted; the strategy is demonstrated to be useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-896 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:891-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: A simple in-sample test of futures market efficiency based on rolling regressions Abstract: Given the tremendous volatility of commodity prices, models used to test the efficiency of futures markets often contain unstable parameter estimates. This instability may cause the results of hypothesis tests to become sensitive to the sample period. As a result, tests based on constant parameter specifications may be inconclusive. This article proposes an in-sample test of efficiency based on rolling regressions. Using data for crude oil futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange between 1985 and 2010, no significant evidence of inefficiency is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-900 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:897-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Li-Min Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Li-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Chien-Min Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: A study on the urban competitiveness of two-straits Abstract: This study attempts to help cities enhance their competitiveness, doing so primarily by demonstrating the competitiveness of individual cities through economic indicators. This study focuses primarily on 20 major cities in Taiwan and China. Using annual data for each city over the period 2001--2007, this study observes the relative efficiency of major cities on both sides of the Taiwan Strait with the authentication of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model and Bootstrap confidence interval model. This study measures the long-term competitiveness achieved through urban changes through the Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) and also measures the structural productivity changes to understand the strengths and weaknesses of individual cities as well as differences in their competitiveness, and to establish future development directions for each city. Finally, this study applies the Bootstrap to obtain an accurate confidence interval for evaluating the accuracy of various efficiency indicators through the MPI. Based on multi-input and multi-output data, this study examines whether the main cities in Taiwan and China use their resources effectively to enhance urban efficiency of competitiveness and provide inefficient cities with suggestions on improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1005 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:1001-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinar Derin-Güre Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Derin-Güre Title: Happiness and parental altruism in the United States Abstract: This article focuses on the relationship between happiness and standard of living compared with kids and parents in the United States. Using General Social Survey (GSS) data from 1993 to 2010, I find that people who are poorer than their parents or those whose kids are worse off than them are unhappier than the people who have the same standard of living compared with their parents or kids. On the other hand, people who are richer than their parents and people who have richer kids are not significantly happier. These results might suggest that people in the United States are altruistic towards their children only if they are poorer than them but not if their children are richer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-904 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:901-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Weiwei Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: The weak-form efficiency of Asian stock markets: new evidence from generalized spectral martingale test Abstract: The most appropriate approach to test for weak-form market efficiency is to examine whether the stock returns are Martingale Difference Sequence (MDS). However, the MDS tests have been largely ignored by previous studies, as the empirical analysis is dominated by Variance Ratio (VR) tests and Independent and Identically Distributed (IID)-based nonlinearity tests. This article re-examines the weak-form efficiency of 14 Asian stock markets using the generalized spectral martingale test. The result shows that all the return series are not MDSs, indicating the presence of return predictability and hence market inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alisher Akhmedjonov Author-X-Name-First: Alisher Author-X-Name-Last: Akhmedjonov Author-Name: Berna Izgi Author-X-Name-First: Berna Author-X-Name-Last: Izgi Title: Does it pay to work in the public sector in Turkey? Abstract: This article examines wage gap between the public and private sectors in Turkey. Relying on microdata from Turkey's Household Budget Survey (HBS) for the year 2009, we estimate separate earnings functions for public and private sectors by gender with appropriate correction for selectivity bias. The results suggest that while the observed pay advantage of public male employees can be explained entirely by differences in their observed characteristics, for female employees these differences only partly explain the observed public--private pay differential. Decomposition of male--female wage differentials by sector of work suggests that women are facing discrimination in both sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-913 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:909-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Alves Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: The impact of education on household income and expenditure inequality Abstract: This article uncovers the distribution of returns to education at the household level using quantile regression techniques applied to a representative household survey in Portugal. We conclude that education has a positive impact on within-level income inequality, but no significant impact on expenditure inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacek Wallusch Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Wallusch Title: How frequently do consumer prices change in transition countries? Abstract: A common feature of recent literature regarding inflation dynamics is the Calvo pricing mechanism. Using this model and aggregate series, I estimate the price change probability and the mean time between price changes in 13 transition countries. The average price change probability is much larger than suggested by the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) literature. The corresponding mean time between price changes is slightly longer than 6 months. Moreover, a forward-looking pricing has been found only for four countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-928 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:921-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junko Koeda Author-X-Name-First: Junko Author-X-Name-Last: Koeda Title: How does yield curve predict GDP growth? A macro-finance approach revisited Abstract: This article analyses the yield-curve predictability for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth by modifying the time-series property of the interest rate process in Ang et al. (2006). When interest rates have a unit root and term spreads are stationary, the short rate's forecasting role changes, and the relationship between the shift of yield curves and GDP growth is intuitively revealed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:929-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam John Anthony Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam John Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Title: The underdog should always fire the first salvo against Brazil Abstract: A popular myth in football (soccer) that it is unwise tactically to score early against Brazil is busted using data from 1993 to 2010. This result provides further evidence about the choice of timing of effort exertion by an underdog in a finite-length industry contest against a more favoured opponent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Nagayasu Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Nagayasu Title: Regional deposits and demographic changes Abstract: This article empirically analyses the relationship between regional deposits and demographic changes. Using different types of deposit data from Japan which has experienced a sharp increase in the number of retirees, we provide clear evidence that an increase in the dependency ratio has led to a decline in overall deposits but an increase in most liquid deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-942 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:939-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. Kortt Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kortt Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Title: Religion and the rate of return to human capital: evidence from Australia Abstract: We estimated the relationship between religion and the rate of return to human capital for Australia. Data from the Household Income Labour Dynamics Survey were analysed for men aged between 25 and 54 years. Conventional human capital functions were estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Our results suggest that Catholic men benefit from a wage premium of 6.7%, controlling for an extensive range of controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-946 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:943-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wei-Ming Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: A note on bank bailout: equity quality and direct equity injections Abstract: Previous research on market-based evaluation of bank equity with government bailout has modelled the bank as a corporate firm with risky assets and liabilities. No attempt was made to analyse explicitly equity quality expressed as a situation when the carrying value of the bank's equity book is above the market price, in particular, during the financial crisis. The purpose of this article is to model bank equity quality explicitly and examine the relationships between direct equity capital injections by the government and bank interest margin (and thus bank equity quality). Comparative static results with simulation exercises show that the bailout programme of direct equity injections may be efficient in terms of bank equity quality when the bailout amount is relatively small-size and the bank's interest margin is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 947-951 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:947-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvo Dajcman Author-X-Name-First: Silvo Author-X-Name-Last: Dajcman Title: Time-varying long-range dependence in stock market returns and financial market disruptions -- a case of eight European countries Abstract: The long-range dependence (or long memory) in stock market returns has many implications for modern financial economics. The existent empirical studies on long-range dependence in stock market returns, however, do not examine it on a dynamical basis. In this article we applied a rolling window approach to prove that long-range dependence parameter for eight European stock market returns is time-varying. Our findings show that sharp, but temporary, increases of long-range dependence parameter for investigated stock market returns in the period October 1999 to April 2011 coincided with the major financial market disruptions in the world and Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-957 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608637 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:953-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filippo Belloc Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Belloc Author-Name: Antonio Nicita Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Nicita Title: Partisan privatizations: assessing the ideological bias Abstract: Previous empirical literature suggests that privatization choices are driven by ideology. However, available measures of this political bias are weakly grounded as they neglect crucial factors affecting privatizations, such as the liberalization levels and the public finance structure. To fill this gap, we perform an econometric analysis explicitly considering such neglected factors. Our findings conclude that privatization choices in OECD network industries are determined by right-wing ideology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-963 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:959-963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don P. Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don P. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: Scale economies and trade Abstract: While previous research has shown that industries with high-scale economies more frequently have low rather than high intra-industry trade shares, this study provides strong support for other predictions of modern trade models. Industries with high-scale economies more frequently have high rather than low export and import shares. A finding that high-scale economies is associated with low net export shares may be due to the role scale economies play in generating both high industry export and import shares. Theoretical and empirical studies should focus attention on relationships among scale economies, trade flows and net exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Bleich Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Bleich Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Title: Monetary policy and oil price expectations Abstract: This article provides robust estimates that the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Federal Reserve Bank and the European Central Bank (ECB) respond to a 1% increase in oil price expectations with an increase in the interest rate of on average about 11 basis points. To correctly assess the information set of a central bank we use private sector forecasts and disentangle oil price expectations from inflation expectations. We also find asymmetries in the central bank's behaviour and report that those central banks do not respond to the realized oil price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity nonlinear threshold unit root test for East-Asian countries Abstract: This study applies the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) of nine East-Asian countries over the period January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicated that PPP holds true for more than half of these nine East-Asian countries under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farrokh Nourzad Author-X-Name-First: Farrokh Author-X-Name-Last: Nourzad Title: Assessing the predictive power of labour-market indicators of inflation Abstract: This article examines two different measures of wages as predicators of prices in a Vector Error-Correction (VEC) framework using quarterly data for the United States for the period from 1947Q1 to 2008Q1. Based on cointegration and a series of exogeneity tests, it is found that (i) there is a stable, long-run relationship between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Deflator (PCED) on the one hand and Unit Labour Cost (ULC) and Average Hourly Earnings per Unit of Output (AHE) on the other; (ii) ULC is weakly exogenous for both price indices while the two price indices are weakly exogenous for AHE; (iii) ULC is strongly exogenous for CPI but not for AHE; and (iv) ULC is super exogenous for CPI. Taken together, these findings lead to the conclusion that ULC is a reliable indicator of price inflation but productivity-adjusted hourly earnings is not. Thus, monetary policymakers are justified in using information about the behaviour of ULC in formulating policy actions for achieving the goal of price stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-985 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:981-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Frondel Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Frondel Author-Name: Colin James Vance Author-X-Name-First: Colin James Author-X-Name-Last: Vance Title: Interpreting the outcomes of two-part models Abstract: Interaction effects capture the impact of one explanatory variable x 1 on the marginal effect of another explanatory variable x 2. To explore interaction effects, the so-called interaction terms x 1 x 2 are typically included in estimation specifications. While in linear models the effect of a marginal change in the interaction term is equal to the interaction effect, this equality generally does not hold in nonlinear specifications (Ai and Norton, 2003). This article provides for a general derivation of marginal and interaction effects in both linear and nonlinear models and calculates the formulae of the marginal and interaction effects resulting from the Two-Part Model (2PM), a commonly employed censored regression model. Drawing on a survey of automobile use from Germany, we illustrate several subtleties inherent to the substantive interpretation of interaction effects gleaned from nonlinear models, such as the 2PM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-992 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:987-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariusz Krzak Author-X-Name-First: Mariusz Author-X-Name-Last: Krzak Author-Name: Paweł Panajew Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Panajew Title: The possibility of mineral deposit exploitation control with Bellman's optimality principle use -- a Polkowice--Sieroszowice copper mine case study Abstract: Decision-making problems in mineral deposit management can be solved with mathematical techniques. Accomplishment of geological mining projects is usually long lasting and expensive as well as it proceeds in uncertainty conditions and is burdened with a considerable risk. The article presents possible applications of Bellman's optimality principle in exploitation control in the Polkowice--Sieroszowice copper mine. Exploitation blocks of a certain area in the mine differ mutually in ore quality and geological mining conditions. The blocks can be exploited in a certain sequence, which at optimal financial means allocation guarantees maximization of the incomes. In the first step of solving the decision-making problem the price of ore has been calculated. In the second the optimality equations have been constructed. These equations describe possible to achieve incomes related to allocated and consumed financial means. Mathematically solving the equations has allowed selecting the sequence of optimal decisions constituting the optimal strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-999 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:993-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Santos Regan Author-X-Name-First: Colin Santos Author-X-Name-Last: Regan Title: The price of efficiency: examining the effects of payroll efficiency on Major League Baseball attendance Abstract: From 1998 to 2008, the Oakland Athletics were the most payroll efficient team in Major League Baseball (MLB), recording the 5th highest win percentage despite having the 7th lowest payroll to work with. Their remarkable success has been widely attributed to the innovative strategies employed by general manager Billy Beane designed to identify undervalued statistics and players. However, these strategies also had the unintended effect of diminishing fan interest. An estimated 1600 fans per game were lost as a result of these payroll efficiency strategies, which produce teams composed of young, relatively unknown players and game tactics perceived as less exciting than more traditional approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1015 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1007-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bowon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bowon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Fouad El Ouardighi Author-X-Name-First: Fouad Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouardighi Author-Name: Sangsun Park Author-X-Name-First: Sangsun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Optimal dynamics of technology and price in a duopoly market Abstract: This article examines a case where the demand of a new product follows an applied diffusion model influenced by innovation and price differential effects, and the potential market size expands as the technology level embodied in the product advances. For a duopoly, we set up a differential game model and derived open-loop Nash equilibrium solutions, showing that the optimal dynamics between the competitors' technology and price levels depend on the relative magnitude of innovation and price differential coefficients. If the price differential coefficients of the two competitors are symmetrical, the optimal prices become constant and in general the technology levels increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1022 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1017-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manami Ogura Author-X-Name-First: Manami Author-X-Name-Last: Ogura Title: Estimation of a fractionally cointegrated demand system: evidence from the Japanese expenditure data Abstract: In this article, we investigate the exact integration of series and analyse the cointegration relationship in the Japanese demand system. We find that the series considered in this analysis follow a fractionally I(d) process, not an exact I(1) one. Further, the Japanese demand system comprises the fractional cointegration relationships. Therefore, the use of a standard cointegration analysis might have a possibility of misleading the demand system with a fractionally cointegrated I(d) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1028 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1023-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias W. Uhl Author-X-Name-First: Matthias W. Author-X-Name-Last: Uhl Title: And action: TV sentiment and the US consumer Abstract: With a novel data set, we test whether sentiment in TV news can be used as a proxy for consumer sentiment in order to explain changes in private consumption growth in the United States. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) is taken to compare its explanatory power with TV sentiment in classical consumer behaviour models. We find that TV sentiment can be used at least as good a proxy for consumer sentiment as the ICS, while TV sentiment can best explain private consumption behaviour with personal income and savings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1034 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1029-1034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sachiko Kuroda Author-X-Name-First: Sachiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kuroda Author-Name: Isamu Yamamoto Author-X-Name-First: Isamu Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamoto Title: The era of the 24-hour society?: assessing changes in work timing using a Japanese time use survey Abstract: Using data from a Japanese time use survey, we show a noteworthy increase in the share of employees working at unusual hours (late night and early morning) over a period of a decade since the mid-1990s. When controlling for changes in hours worked, however, we find that the notable increase in the fraction of people at work at unusual hours was for low-income nonregular employees (part-time, temporary and contract workers) while relatively higher income regular employees' work timing remains stable. These observations imply that there is a trend of diversification of work timing in Japan between regular and nonregular employees. A possible explanation is that the increase in the average hours worked per weekday by regular employees, possibly because of the spread of the 5-day workweek since the 1990s, increased services and goods demand at unusual hours as they returned home. An Oaxaca--Blinder type decomposition suggests that such an increase in the average hours worked by regular employees explains partially the rise in the employment rate of nonregular employees at unusual times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1038 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1035-1038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makoto Kakinaka Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Kakinaka Author-Name: Hiroaki Miyamoto Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Miyamoto Title: Unemployment and labour force participation in Japan Abstract: This article studies a long-run relationship between the labour-force participation rate and the unemployment rate in Japan. By using cointegration analysis, we demonstrate that there exists a long-run relationship between the two variables for male workers but not for female workers. Furthermore, using labour-force data by age group, we find the added-worker effect for young males and the discouraged-worker effect for middle-aged and old male groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1043 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1039-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kozo Otsuka Author-X-Name-First: Kozo Author-X-Name-Last: Otsuka Title: University patenting and knowledge spillover in Japan: panel-data analysis with citation data Abstract: University-based patents, by their nature, tend to embody scientific knowledge, which can contribute to technological innovation. University patents, therefore, can be an important catalyst between science and technology. This article examines the contribution of university patents to technological innovation. Using patent citation data, we investigate how the knowledge embodied in university patents influences technological innovation. We conclude that university-based patents convert scientific knowledge into generic knowledge and contribute to technological innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1045-1049 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1045-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Searching for the picture: forecasting UK cinema admissions using Google Trends data Abstract: This article investigates whether Google Trends search information can improve forecasts of cinema admissions. Using monthly data for the United Kingdom for the period 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2008, we examine various forecasting models that incorporate Google Trends search information. We find clear evidence that Google Trends data on searches relevant to cinema visits (as opposed to searches for specific films) do have the potential to increase the accuracy of cinema admissions forecasting models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1055 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1051-1055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niklas Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Title: Gender and confidence: are women underconfident? Abstract: Previous research finds that schoolgirls tend to be underconfident with respect to their mathematics performance, while schoolboys tend to be overconfident. We asked Swedish university students (aged 18--35) what grade they thought they would get in a macroeconomics exam 1 week later. These results were compared with their actual grade and we find no evidence of men being overconfident, but women are underconfident about their test performance. These results suggest that the findings that schoolgirls are underconfident about their math performance also carry over to grown-up women studying macroeconomics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1057-1059 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1057-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pui Sun Tam Author-X-Name-First: Pui Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Title: Size properties of Lagrange Multiplier cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks Abstract: The size properties of the recently advanced Lagrange Multiplier (LM) cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks in time series are investigated. It is shown that misspecification of the types of breaks is liable to spurious rejection. In contrast, severe undersizing may result when ignoring the presence of any break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1064 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1061-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wo-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Wo-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hui-Na Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Na Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Threshold effects in the relationships between USD and gold futures by panel smooth transition approach Abstract: Using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model, this study sets crude oil as threshold variable, and Volatility Index (VIX) and Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) for Emerging Market Index (MSCI-E) as control variables to investigate the nonlinear dynamic relationship between USD/yen and gold futures in the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). Empirical results show that the transition function is a logistic type. In region 1, the price of crude oil is low. The sign of VIX is positive. USD/yen exerts negative impact on gold market due to the way that gold market functions as a factor of hedge against portfolio and geopolitical risk. In region 2, the price of crude oil is higher (the demand for crude oil may be stronger). The economy is prosperous; VIX turns low; USD/yen increases. Investors have more money from other financial markets to buy gold, thus, causing gold futures price to rise. Besides, gold is both a hedge and a safe haven for developing countries but not for emerging countries; therefore, the relationships between gold and MSCI-E are positive in both regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1065-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naotaka Sugawara Author-X-Name-First: Naotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sugawara Title: Fiscal adjustment in Greece under the financial rescue programme: the distributional effects on Greek households Abstract: This article examines the distributional effects of the fiscal adjustment programme in Greece agreed with the European Commission (EC) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2010. It deals with adjustment measures that are front loaded and directly related to the household welfare: an increase in Value-Added Tax (VAT) and excise rates and a reduction in wages and pensions. Analysing these two effects reveals that the programme decreases the welfare of all households in Greece but that the adverse effects of the adjustment are mitigated in favour of the poor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1074 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1071-1074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Cirillo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Cirillo Author-Name: Gabriele Tedeschi Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Tedeschi Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: The Boulogne fish market: the social structure and the role of loyalty Abstract: We examine the Boulogne wholesale fish market, analysing the structure of the trading network between sellers and buyers. Differently from other works in the literature, our analysis indicates a significant amount of ‘bilateral loyalty’ seller--buyer. Loyalty is from buyers to a few sellers as well as from sellers to a few buyers. We also show that loyalty has an impact on prices, discriminating among agents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1079 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1075-1079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Cassia Marchon Author-X-Name-First: Cassia Author-X-Name-Last: Marchon Title: Testing rationality of foreign exchange forecasts under flexible loss: survey evidence from Brazil Abstract: This study asks whether the Brazilian exchange rate (R$/US$) survey forecasts are rational under flexible loss. For 2001--2011, the forecasts overpredict. The bias in shorter-horizon forecasts is due to an inefficient use of information, while the bias in longer-horizon forecasts seems to reflect asymmetric loss. Further evidence indicates that the shorter-horizon (longer-horizon) forecasts are significantly less accurate than (as accurate as) those of the random walk. These forecasts, however, are not directionally accurate and are thus of no value to a user. The backward-looking nature of the forecasts may be due to reliance on simple forecasting rules (heuristics) since experts have great difficulty understanding the complex market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1081-1084 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1081-1084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Wealth-to-income ratio, government bond yields and financial stress in the Euro Area Abstract: I show that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth, wy, falls, investors become more exposed to idiosyncratic shocks and demand a higher government bond risk premium. Using data for the Euro Area as a whole and conditioning the forecasting ability of wy on the financial stress conditions, one is able to track better future time-variation in risk premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1085-1088 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1085-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renatas Kizys Author-X-Name-First: Renatas Author-X-Name-Last: Kizys Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Why do speculative bubbles gather steam? Some international evidence Abstract: We combined tests for speculative bubbles in stock markets with a cross-country regression framework to analyse whether economic and institutional variables can be identified that make speculative bubbles in stock markets more likely to occur. The list of variables that we found to have a significant effect on the probability that a speculative bubble arises includes an index of shareholder rights (with a negative sign), the share of assets of foreign-owned banks in total banking assets (with a positive sign) and the ratio of gross private saving to gross private disposable income (with a positive sign). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1093 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1089-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Grade surprise and the decision to stay on into post-compulsory education Abstract: This article argues that an important influence on boys' decisions to stay on into post-compulsory education is the attainment of maths grades that differ from expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1095-1099 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1095-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seo Bin Hong Author-X-Name-First: Seo Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: A comment on survival of the hippest: life at the top of the hot 100 Abstract: Giles (2007) analysed the survival characteristics of musical recordings that reached ‘number one hit’ spot in the US popular music charts over the period 1955 to 2003. From the empirical analyses of data from the Billboard Hot 100 chart, he concluded that a number one hit's ‘life at the top’ is enhanced significantly if it is recorded by a female solo artist, if it is an instrumental piece or if it is able to ‘bounce back’ for a second spell. We found that, however, the data set he used contains a number of errors in it. In this article, we have corrected such errors and obtained the more reliable results about the survival characteristics of number one hit songs. In addition to these corrections, we have asked five new different questions to the corrected data set to investigate if there are any other survival characteristics that Giles (2007) did not indicate in his article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1101-1105 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1101-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann L. Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann L. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Brent Palmer Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Palmer Title: Macroeconomic conditions and technical trading profitability in foreign exchange markets Abstract: We simulated portfolios for a momentum trading strategy in the foreign exchange market and investigated the determinants of its profitability. We found that the profits exhibited a downward trend in all nine countries that we examined, but that this trend may be somewhat explained by declining exchange rate volatility and to a greater extent by declining rates of inflation. We did not find similar evidence about the effects of fiscal policy or openness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1110 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1107-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity with flexible Fourier function in G-7 countries Abstract: This study applied the nonlinear Kapetanios et al. (2003) test with a Fourier function (capturing the smooth breaks) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period January 1994 to April 2010. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for all the G-7 countries studied. Our results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1116 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1111-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Further examples of the impact of skewness on the expected utility of a risk-averse agent Abstract: Recent literature contains numerous examples where researchers continue to assert that a positive third derivative of the utility function of a risk-averse agent implies a preference for skewness, ceteris paribus. The purpose in this letter is to provide some examples pertinent to occupational choice, the gambling literature and experimental work where the assertion is incorrect and an example relevant to experimental work where it is correct. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1121 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1117-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Can the PPP stand on the BRICS? The ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: We apply a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of BRICS countries (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) over January 1996 to July 2010. The empirical results indicate that PPP only holds true for most of these countries under study, with the exception of Brazil. Our results have important policy implications for the BRICS countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1127 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1123-1127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentino Dardanoni Author-X-Name-First: Valentino Author-X-Name-Last: Dardanoni Author-Name: Paolo Li Donni Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Donni Title: Reporting heterogeneity in health: an extended latent class approach Abstract: This article explores how individual socio-economic characteristics affect unobserved heterogeneity in self-reporting behaviour and health production using a multivariate finite mixture model. Results show a positive relationship between objective and subjective observable health indicators and true health and support the existence of self-reporting bias related to socio-economic characteristics and individual life styles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1133 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1129-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Title: The economics of terrorism against two targets Abstract: A terrorist without capacity constraints attacks two independent targets. As the target defence efficiency decreases, the target first increases its defence, and thereafter decreases and eventually does not defend because of the high cost. With terrorist capacity constraints, targets become interdependent. The attack gets gradually shifted towards the most vulnerable target. When only the most vulnerable target is attacked, only the nonattacked target benefits relatively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1138 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1135-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland Cheo Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Cheo Title: Gamblers hate inequality: evidence from China Abstract: Two gambles are presented in this article along with two treatments which allow us to test for inequality aversion without having to consider risk aversion. This work complements existing studies by extending it to the gambling environment. In gambling decisions made from a ‘losses from an initial endowment’ approach, we find that regardless of whether out-of-pocket losses are an issue, both Chinese male and female students bet less when they know that losses will be distributed to the winners of gambles with excessive winnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1142 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1139-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Reinstaller Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Reinstaller Author-Name: Fabian Unterlass Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Unterlass Title: Comparing business R&D across countries over time: a decomposition exercise using data for the EU 27 Abstract: This article develops a simple decomposition of Business R&D Expenditures (BERD) panel data and applies it to analyse the development of R&D intensities in the business sector in the EU 27 countries and important non-EU countries over time. The results show that changes in aggregate BERD figures are driven by ‘within’ and ‘between’ effects that differ considerably across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1148 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1143-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter J. DaDalt Author-X-Name-First: Peter J. Author-X-Name-Last: DaDalt Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Do derivatives affect the use of external financing? Abstract: We examine whether derivatives use reduces the utilization of external financing for a large sample of nonfinancial firms over the period 2002 to 2004. Using the measures of net external finance as discussed in Bradshaw et al. (2006), we find a negative association between corporate derivative use and the use of external financing. Further, we find the relationship is driven by differences in the use of debt, as opposed to equity financing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1152 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1149-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig A. Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: A note on the determinants of substance abuse spending Abstract: Although many studies have addressed policies directed towards the use of licit drugs, namely, alcohol and tobacco, less attention has been paid on policies affecting the use of illicit drugs. Accordingly, similar to studies of tobacco control spending, this article addresses the determinants of US state-level spending on substance abuse. Substance abuse spending is found to be higher in states with higher illicit drug use, as well as more rural states with higher per capita income, whose legislatures are controlled by Democrats. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wenfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Oliver M. Rui Author-X-Name-First: Oliver M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rui Title: What drives regional differences in the stock market wealth effect in China? Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of stock market wealth effect across regions. Using panel data from China, we find that the stock market wealth effect is more prevalent in regions with more stockholders, regions in which households have higher levels of stock ownership and regions in which households have lower incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1160 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1157-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Garvey Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Garvey Author-Name: Fei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Who cancels in electronic markets? Abstract: We study differences in trading between US equity market participants with high and low cancellation activity. Traders with high (low) cancellation rates are significant net suppliers (takers) of liquidity and, overall, less (more) informed about future prices. The findings suggest that recent US government considerations to impose a fee on traders who cancel often could, if enacted, adversely impact market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1164 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1161-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenkai Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wenkai Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xianghong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xianghong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yean Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yean Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: How free do people feel to express their opinions? A study in urban China Abstract: This article reports the freedom of expression in China using a unique survey to urban residents in the provincial capital cities. The degree of freedom is measured by the respondents' openness about expressing their opinions about the society, the government and public policies. More than half of the people do not feel they can express their views freely. We examine how such freedom is related to the observed government actions and trust of others. We find that perceived corruption significantly inhibits individuals' freedom of expression, while the government's information transparency has a significant positive impact. Trust of other people and the government is positively related to the tendency to express one's opinions freely. We also report the impact of individual characteristics and the freedom of expression across cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1169 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1165-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo G. Esposto Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo G. Author-X-Name-Last: Esposto Title: Tort reform and caesarean deliveries Abstract: This study examines the effects of state-level, tort law reforms on the rate of caesarean deliveries in the United States. The central thesis focuses on the rate of caesarean deliveries as an indicator of defensive medicine and the role, if any, of legal reform. Specifically, if physicians reduce their level of defensive medicine in the wake of liability reforms, this will show up as a reduction in the share of births in which a caesarean section was used. I discover after analysing panel data reflecting the rate of caesarean deliveries by states and for the years 1987, 1990 and 1993 that differences in rate of caesarean deliveries are partially the result of state-level liability reforms. The results provide further evidence of the existence of defensive medicine and of the impact of the legal environment on physician's choice of medical procedures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1174 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1171-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. Kortt Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kortt Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Author-Name: Simon Pervan Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Pervan Title: Religion and education: recent evidence from the United States Abstract: While there is evidence to suggest that education is positively related to religious activity, it is possible that education may be endogenous. We re-examine this relationship using the cumulative US General Social Survey (GSS) data file. While we observe a positive correlation between education and attendance at religious services, we find no evidence to support a causal inference. Moreover, while we observe a positive association between education and religious contributions, the possibility of causal connection cannot be dismissed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1178 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1175-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Fuleky Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Fuleky Title: On the choice of the unit period in time series models Abstract: When estimating the parameters of a process, researchers can choose the reference unit of time (unit period) for their study. Frequently, they set the unit period equal to the observation interval. However, I show that decoupling the unit period from the observation interval facilitates the comparison of parameter estimates across studies with different data sampling frequencies. If the unit period is standardized across these studies, then the parameters will represent the same attributes of the underlying process, and their interpretation will be independent of the sampling frequency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1182 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1179-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Buehn Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Buehn Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Smuggling illegal goods across the US--Mexico border: a political-economy perspective Abstract: We analyse the impact that political business cycles and party preferences have on smuggling illegal goods across the US--Mexico border during the years 1980--2004. We find that smuggling is significantly reduced prior to Congressional elections -- but only if the incumbent President is Republican. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1187 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1183-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cinthia Barbosa Author-X-Name-First: Cinthia Author-X-Name-Last: Barbosa Author-Name: Cristiano M. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Cristiano M. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Bruno Funchal Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Funchal Title: The effects of privatization on the capital structure of Brazilian firms Abstract: This article investigates the effects of privatization under Brazil's National Privatization Program (PND) during the 1990s on companies' capital structure. Our model suggests that privatized firms increased their market leverage by 10--14% on average relative to the level before privatization. The effect of privatization on book leverage level was 8--12% on average. These results indicate a positive effect of the privatization process on the levels of leverage of privatized firms, as predicted by signalling and agency theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1192 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1189-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jahyun Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jahyun Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Ivan Paya Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: David A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The Bank of Korea's nonlinear monetary policy rule Abstract: A new test for nonlinear causality and also nonparametric procedures suggest significant nonlinearity in the implementation of the Taylor rule by the Bank of Korea (BOK). In particular, the response to the output gap appears nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1202 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1193-1202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatih Cemil Ozbugday Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Cemil Author-X-Name-Last: Ozbugday Author-Name: Erik Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: Competition law and profits: a dynamic panel data analysis for Dutch manufacturing firms Abstract: This article tests whether the transition from the old Economic Competition Act, which was based on the so-called ‘abuse system’, to the new Competition Act, which was based on ‘prohibition system’, in the Netherlands had an impact on the Price-Cost Margins (PCM) of manufacturing firms during the period 1993 to 2006. The results indicate that the transition from the old system to the new system, which was aimed at fostering competition, did not result in lower profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1203-1206 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1203-1206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bob J. Barnes Author-X-Name-First: Bob J. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnes Title: The change in the CD rate--target federal funds rate linkage during the financial crisis Abstract: This study examines the target federal funds rate-Certificate of Deposit (CD) rate link over two time periods. The first period is 16 May 2000 to 31 July 2007 and the second is 1 August 2007 to 31 July 2009. August 2007 begins the initial stages of the financial crisis. A time-series analysis compares the two time periods. The results reveal a breakdown in the typical target--CD rate linkage in August 2007. For the 2-year period after August 2007 banks remained resilient to lower CD rates. This resiliency confirms the noted tightening of credit and bank uncertainty. During the 2-year period banks maintained firm CD rates as a way to attract funds in a period of growing uncertainty even with the target and other short-term rates falling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evren Erdoğan Coşar Author-X-Name-First: Evren Author-X-Name-Last: Erdoğan Coşar Title: Analysis of cyclical behaviour of investment expenditures for the Turkish economy Abstract: This article aims to analyse the cyclical behaviour of fixed investments in Turkey and then construct a Composite Leading Indicators Index (CLI) to forecast the turning points of investment. The cycles of investment and selected leading indicators are identified following the growth cycle approach. The series are detrended using the Hodrick--Prescott (HP) detrending filter. After identification of the cycles and turning points of the selected leading indicators, they are combined into a single composite index. Then a probit model is estimated to evaluate the forecast performance of the composite index. The results show that the constructed CLI is considered to be helpful in monitoring and predicting investment expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1221 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1213-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuqing Ji Author-X-Name-First: Xiuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Momentum profitability: the pre-CRSP evidence Abstract: There is tremendous interest and research on the existence and sources of momentum profitability. This article is the first to examine momentum strategy in the pre-Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) era. The results show that momentum is profitable during the period of 1815 to 1925. Moreover, the profits are negative in January and positive in non-January months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1223-1226 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1223-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew J. Cassey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassey Title: An application of the Ricardian trade model with trade costs Abstract: Deardorff's (2004) broad definition of technology in Ricardian trade models is useful for extending the explanatory power of comparative advantage to account for a fact on firm level exporter clustering unexplained under the standard definition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1227-1230 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1227-1230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renuka Mahadevan Author-X-Name-First: Renuka Author-X-Name-Last: Mahadevan Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Impact of socio-economic factors and social affiliation on living standards: a quantile regression approach Abstract: The influence of socio-economic factors and social affiliation on living standards is shown to be contingent on the living standard status of the household. This new result casts doubt on studies that use conditional mean regression analysis and the Oaxaca--Blinder decomposition analysis to study the impact of ‘characteristics’ and ‘structural’ components in areas such as poverty, health and labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1236 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1231-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdurrahman Nazif Çatik Author-X-Name-First: Abdurrahman Nazif Author-X-Name-Last: Çatik Author-Name: Mehmet Karaçuka Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Karaçuka Title: The bank lending channel in Turkey: has it changed after the low-inflation regime? Abstract: In this article we aim to analyse the role of credit channel in the monetary transmission mechanism under different inflationary environments in Turkey covering the period from January 1986 to October 2009. Our results suggest that traditional interest rate channel is only valid for the post-inflation targeting period. This variable is also a more effective monetary policy tool in terms of its impacts on economic activity in both the regimes. Credit shocks itself have significant power on economic activity and prices. However, the effect of monetary shocks on credit volume is very limited, especially in the low-inflation regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1242 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1237-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean M. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Sean M. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Dan L. Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Title: Patients' perceptions and treatment effectiveness: a reassessment using generalized maximum entropy Abstract: Recent research using Prospect Theory (PT) suggests that treatment history contributes to a frame of reference that introduces heterogeneity in patients' perceptions of how further treatment will improve their health status and carries over into an assessment of how effective the recent treatment was. Analysis using the Monotone Rank Estimator (MRE), a semi-parametric classical statistical technique that allows for heterogeneity across individual responses, supported this idea. This article checks whether the MRE results are accurate using an alternative technique, Generalized Maximum Entropy (GME), which more effectively incorporates heterogeneity through the assignment of support points (based on prior information) for the error term. The results are compared to those obtained previously with the MRE. In the new results, prior treatment outcomes do not appear to significantly affect patients' perceived outcomes for subsequent treatments, which contradicts the earlier findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1248 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1243-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvo Dajcman Author-X-Name-First: Silvo Author-X-Name-Last: Dajcman Author-Name: Mejra Festic Author-X-Name-First: Mejra Author-X-Name-Last: Festic Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Title: European stock market comovement dynamics during some major financial market turmoils in the period 1997 to 2010 -- a comparative DCC-GARCH and wavelet correlation analysis Abstract: This article examines the comovement dynamics between the developed European stock markets of the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Austria. After applying a Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (DCC-GARCH) and wavelet multiscale analysis on a daily return series for the period 1997 to 2010, we found that (1) comovements between stock market returns are time varying and scale dependent; (2) financial crisis in the observed period did not uniformly increase comovement between stock market returns across all scales; (3) the global financial crisis of 2007--2008 only slightly and temporarily increased the already high level of comovement between the observed stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1256 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1249-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Title: Are central bank projections rational? Abstract: Central bank projections have gained considerable attention for monetary policy modelling. However, less is known about the nature of central bank projections. This letter explores the unbiasedness and rationality of more than 2000 growth and inflation projections published by 15 major central banks. The results indicate that central bank projections are rational and unbiased in most cases. Interestingly, inflation projections are more biased than growth projections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1257-1263 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1257-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Michael D'Antoni Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Michael Author-X-Name-Last: D'Antoni Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Testing dependence using copulas: the case of dual employment Abstract: Copulas are functions that parameterize the dependence between univariate marginal distribution functions to form a joint distribution function. Copulas provide a consistent procedure for testing dependence and guiding the choice of empirical model. In this study we use copulas to measure the dependence in labour supply by married farm couples. Using individual data our research provides an easy method that researchers can use to address the issues of dependence. The method outlined here reduces computational time and provides a more efficient method of testing dependence early in the investigative process. Unlike previous studies findings from this study show with robustness that labour supply decision of married farm couples is best modelled jointly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1269 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1265-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adalbert Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Adalbert Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Title: The structure of social networks and labour market success Abstract: I use data on the complete Facebook networks of university students to test Granovetter's weak-ties hypothesis. I am not able to detect a relationship between the structure of a student's Facebook network and the initial employment outcomes. At the same time, I cannot reject Granovetter's weak-ties hypothesis. This nonfinding is consistent with prior research based on surveys of job search methods. These studies present some evidence for a connection between the use of weak ties in the job search process and the employment outcomes, but the results are sometimes not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1274 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1271-1274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra J. Huston Author-X-Name-First: Sandra J. Author-X-Name-Last: Huston Author-Name: Michael S. Finke Author-X-Name-First: Michael S. Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Author-Name: Hyrum Smith Author-X-Name-First: Hyrum Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: A financial sophistication proxy for the Survey of Consumer Finances Abstract: The Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) contains detailed US household balance sheet information and is frequently used to study outcomes in household finance. There is no variable that explicitly measures financial sophistication in the SCF. We propose a factor score composed of four questions that can serve as a proxy of financial sophistication to correct a possible important omitted variable bias. The results using the sophistication factor show how controlling for financial sophistication provides a more precise estimate of the marginal effects of control variables such as education and race. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1275-1278 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1275-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Author-Name: Connie Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Connie Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: Decomposing temporal changes in covariate contributions to wage inequality Abstract: This article provides counterfactual extensions to the Fields inequality decomposition framework and at the same time uses the nonparametric methodology in estimating bootstrap SEs and constructing confidence intervals. For methodological illustration, we decompose changes in schooling's inequality contribution into changes in attributes and returns using a simple counterfactual measure that combines return to schooling in a given year with the distributional characteristics of schooling in another year. Using data from the Philippine Labour Force Surveys (LFSs) in 1988 and 1995 and replication methodologies from Racine (2010), the results show that schooling's contribution to inequality in the Philippines is robust but has declined in 1995 relative to 1988. The decline in the said measure is due to the reduced variability of schooling achievement in 1995 but is mitigated by the rise in schooling returns in 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cassandro Maria Mendes Author-X-Name-First: Cassandro Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Author-Name: Sabino Porto Junior Author-X-Name-First: Sabino Porto Author-X-Name-Last: Junior Title: Deforestation, economic growth and corruption: a nonparametric analysis on the case of Amazon forest Abstract: This article aims to analyse the relationship between deforestation, corruption and economic growth. We focused our analysis on the Brazilian municipalities situated in the Amazon region. We used the cross-sectional data from 538 municipalities in the Legal Amazon area for the year 2004. We constructed the municipal corruption index based on the objective data delivered by the reports from Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU). We performed a nonparametric analysis, that is, we applied the Generalized Additive Model (GAM). We found statistically significant effects of the economic growth rate on the level of deforestation. However, the corruption seems to have no significant impact. Given the first results, we divided our data and analysed just the data from 25 municipalities from the states Pará and Matogrosso. In the second approach, corruption was statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1291 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1285-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Title: The male--female pay gap across the managerial workforce in the United Kingdom: a semi-parametric decomposition approach Abstract: Using the last wave of the Community Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) survey, this article employs a semi-parametric decomposition method to examine the male--female pay gap over the entire conditional wage distribution of the managerial workforce in the United Kingdom. The results make clear a U-shaped pattern for the pay gap, thus showing both significant sticky floor and glass ceiling effects. The counterfactual decomposition also displays that the gap is mostly due to the difference in rewards, whose relative effect grows as we move to the upper quantiles of the whole wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1297 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1293-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Statistical evidence on the mean reversion of real interest rates: SPSM using the Panel KSS test with a Fourier function Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) to test the mean reversion properties in the real interest rates for the G-10 countries (i.e. Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States) over the period 1980M1 to 2010M12. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary countries and a group of nonstationary countries. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results from the SPSM using the Panel Kapetanios et al. (KSS; 2003) test with a Fourier function indicate that the mean reversion holds true for all the G-10 countries. Our results have important policy implications for the G-10 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1299-1304 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1299-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: A monetary approach to the exchange market pressure index under capital control Abstract: The conventional Exchange Market Pressure Index (EMPI), originated from Girton and Roper (1977) and popularized by Eichengreen et al. (1994, 1995) and Weymark (1995), uses weighted average of loss of foreign reserves and depreciation of local currency to capture foreign exchange market pressure. However, it does not take into account the effect of capital control on foreign exchange market pressure. With effective capital control, the conventional EMPI tends to under- or overestimate the actual foreign exchange market pressure, depending on the magnitude of capital control. We adopt a monetary approach to derive a formula for new EMPI under capital control. Then we test the difference between the old and the new EMPI with China's data. The result shows that the conventional EMPI overestimates the actual foreign exchange market pressure by 91% in average. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1309 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.624079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.624079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1305-1309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: On a class of bi-polarization variance-based measurement: evidence from Cameroonian data Abstract: This article revisits one of the bi-polarization indices of the large class of Duclos--Estebane--Ray polarization measures. The relationship between polarization, inequality and poverty is analysed via the index. The preceding results are applied to study the Cameroonian household's consumption distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1311-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.626395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.626395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1311-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elsa Cristina Vaz Author-X-Name-First: Elsa Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Vaz Title: Sectoral leadership in international competitiveness: the Portuguese case Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the type of labour and the sectors where labour productivity should be improved to elevate the international competitiveness of Portugal. A static multisectoral general equilibrium model, with multinational and single-country versions, is used. This model permits the identification of sectors that are leaders in competitiveness improvement. In some countries, traditional export sectors are expected to assume this role, whereas the suppliers of intermediate goods possess the potential to fulfil this function in other countries. The results of this study show that the choice of sector and the type of labour are crucial for improving the international competitiveness of the Portuguese economy. The criterion used to measure competitiveness also has an important role. Whereas multifactor productivity is especially increased when the promotion of labour competencies occurs in import and export sectors, population welfare has a greater impact, with the generalized improvement of unskilled labour competencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1330 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.624270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.624270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1319-1330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Humala Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Humala Author-Name: Gabriel Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr�guez Title: A factorial decomposition of inflation in Peru: an alternative measure of core inflation Abstract: A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for January 1995--July 2008. This model allows the identification of changes in three relevant inflation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices and absolute prices. Furthermore, following Reis and Watson (2007), the model allows measuring pure inflation as the common factor in the inflation rate that has a proportionate effect to all prices and that is not correlated with relative-price changes at any period of time. This pure inflation estimate relates closely to standard measures of core inflation. The results are robust to different lag structures and various stochastic assumptions on the estimated factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1331-1334 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.627207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.627207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1331-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umut Oguzoglu Author-X-Name-First: Umut Author-X-Name-Last: Oguzoglu Title: Is there a better measure of self-assessed disability? Abstract: Activity limitations and work limitations are often used interchangeably to proxy work disability. The findings of this article show that both definitions produce very similar estimates of disability effect on labour force participation if a two-step model is used to address the endogeneity of these self-assessed measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1338 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.627208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.627208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1335-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guzin Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Guzin Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Measuring the persistence in trade patterns: the case for Turkey Abstract: We investigate whether the pattern of Turkish trade has a persistent nature or is dynamic, by considering 5-digit Rev.3 trade data for the period 1969 to 2001 and investigating whether their distribution between sectors which are in surplus, in balance or in deficit, has shown persistence over time. The tools we use involve classifying the sectors as surplus, balance and deficit sectors and constructing a 3 × 3 contingency table, indicating whether sectors that, say, showed a surplus at the beginning of a period remained surplus sectors at the end of the period or moved into the balance and deficit categories, testing whether the beginning pattern is independent of the pattern at the end of a period and constructing histograms regarding the distribution of how long the sectors have been showing surpluses over the period. We used these tools on Turkish trade for the full 1969 to 2001 period and for two (1969 to 1979, 1980 to 2001) and three (1969 to 1979, 1980 to 1996, 1997 to 2001) subperiods. We conclude that when one considers long enough periods, the pattern of Turkish foreign trade has a very dynamic nature, and it appears safe to say that this dynamic nature shows itself in the post-1980 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1339-1348 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1339-1348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena D'Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: D'Agostino Author-Name: Emiliano Sironi Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Sironi Author-Name: Giuseppe Sobbrio Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Sobbrio Title: Lawyers and legal disputes. Evidence from Italy Abstract: We test the hypothesis that, being clients not fully informed on the expected benefit from fulfilling the disputes and being incentives of lawyers not aligned to those of their clients, the demand for legal disputes in Italy is induced. This hypothesis finds empirical support for a sample of Italian legal districts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1352 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1349-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Steven T. Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven T. Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Alcohol consumption by individuals in the United States: a sample selection approach Abstract: We investigate the socio-economic determinants of alcohol consumption in the United States with a Sample Selection Model (SSM). The dependent variable is log-transformed that facilitates the estimation of the model. In addition, marginal effects of explanatory variables are calculated in both SSM and Two-Part Model (TPM). Our results suggest that the use of proper marginal effect formulae is important, and that the socio-economic variables play important roles in alcohol consumption. The probability of drinking decreases with age, income and education. Men are more likely to drink and drink more than women. Marriage decreases drinking, and drinking are more likely to occur on weekends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1353-1358 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1353-1358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Buchholz Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Buchholz Author-Name: Cesar Cupertino Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Cupertino Author-Name: Roberto Meurer Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Meurer Author-Name: Andre Portela Santos Author-X-Name-First: Andre Portela Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Author-Name: Newton Da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Da Costa Title: The market reaction to changes in the Brazilian official interest rate Abstract: This study is aimed at investigating the effects of monetary policymaking on the short-term and long-term interest rates for the Brazilian economy for the period August 1999 to March 2011. It is shown that the reversal of the current account deficit and the alleviation of political uncertainties in 2003 affect the impact of monetary policy on market interest rates. In particular, it is observed that surprises in policymaking are substantially reduced after the macroeconomic and political stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1359-1364 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1359-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: Inequality factor decomposition under uniform additions property with applications to Cameroonian rural data Abstract: In this article, we generalize and extend the Morduch and Sicular's (2002) Coefficient of Variation (CV)-squared decomposition approach. This leads to a class of decomposition methods which satisfy the uniform additions principle, especially in the case of the Gini index. The regression-based method using the new formulations of component contributions is carried out. An application using Cameroonian data is provided to support the appropriateness of the procedure and to contrast our results to those of Morduch and Sicular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1365-1371 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1365-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Andrew Fenrick Author-X-Name-First: Steven Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Fenrick Author-Name: Lullit Getachew Author-X-Name-First: Lullit Author-X-Name-Last: Getachew Title: Estimation of the effects of price and billing frequency on household water demand using a panel of Wisconsin municipalities Abstract: A demand function of residential water consumption is developed from a 1997 to 2006 panel of 200 Wisconsin water utilities. A double-log functional form is assumed and parameters are estimated using a random effects model. The results suggest that the price is inelastic yet negative and statistically significant and this elasticity response grows stronger as the marginal price level is increased. Additionally, the model reveals water savings due to monthly billing and also the annual water savings from technology adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1380 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1373-1380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinfeng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jinfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Shancun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shancun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A method to overcome the numerical difficulties in PIN estimation Abstract: The Probability of Information (PIN)-based trading introduced by Easley et al. (1996, 2002) has been adopted to address a variety of issues in empirical finance. To obtain PIN using numerical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) from transaction data, one may suffer from the numerical overflow or underflow problems which are more pronounced for active stocks than for inactive stocks. As buy and sell orders increase, more and more stocks fall into the category for which the PIN estimation simply falls. Based on the round-off error in digital computing, this article proposes a recipe to eradicate such numerical difficulties, which sheds light on heavily traded stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1381-1384 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1381-1384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean P. Sepúlveda Author-X-Name-First: Jean P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sepúlveda Title: On the relationship between concentration and competition: evidence from the Chilean private pension system Abstract: I use Panzar and Rosse (1987) methodology to estimate the degree of competition among Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) in the Chilean private pension system for the period 1996 to 2008. The results indicate that the industry can be described as a cartel (or monopoly) during this period. There is evidence that in this industry there is a negative, and statistically significant, correlation between concentration and competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1385-1389 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1385-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali K. Malik Author-X-Name-First: Ali K. Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: A comparison of equilibrium under alternative monetary policy rules Abstract: We evaluate the Taylor rule and the nominal income-targeting rule at alternative horizons, along the dimension of determinacy and E-stability of the rational expectations equilibrium. We use the New Keynesian model frequently used as a benchmark model for the evaluation of alternative monetary policy rules in the recent literature, for this purpose. Evaluating the two policy rules along this dimension, our results clearly prefer the Taylor rule over the nominal income-targeting rule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1391-1399 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1391-1399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathleen Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Title: Inter-board pay differentials for directors with multiple appointments Abstract: We analyse uniformity in the market's valuation of director human capital by comparing director compensation across firms with and without director overlaps. We find that although there is less variation in director compensation for connected boards, which share a common director, than for unrelated boards, there remains a high variation in director compensation for directors with multiple directorships. We also find that active Chief Executive Officers (CEOs), on average, command higher total director compensation in subsequent board appointments. This result holds for appointments where the individual already holds two or more directorships and is counter to the prediction of a busy director effect. Overall, our evidence suggests that active CEOs are high-quality directors or have a high disutility of additional board work and are able to command higher compensation when added to subsequent boards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1401-1404 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1401-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman V. Loayza Author-X-Name-First: Norman V. Author-X-Name-Last: Loayza Author-Name: Naotaka Sugawara Author-X-Name-First: Naotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sugawara Title: Would liberalization lead to epidemic cocaine consumption? Abstract: This article uses cross-country data to estimate the potential effect of drastic reductions in the price of cocaine on the share of the population that consumes this drug. In order to identify movements along the cocaine consumption/demand function, this article instruments for cocaine prices with variables that affect the supply of cocaine. Liberalization of drug policies would produce an increase in the prevalence of cocaine consumption. However, the quantitative evidence presented here suggests that, even if substantial, this increase would not amount to epidemic cocaine use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1409 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1405-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Malhotra Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Malhotra Author-Name: Edmund Helmer Author-X-Name-First: Edmund Author-X-Name-Last: Helmer Title: Inflation in weekend box office estimates Abstract: Do movie studios inflate box office estimates that they report every Sunday? Is the pattern of this inflation consistent with the studios’ strategic incentives? Analysing actual and estimated box office returns of major movie releases between 2003 and 2010, we find that movie studios substantially overestimate weekend box office performance and that this overestimation is highly unlikely to be due to chance. Our findings also suggest that box office inflation is strategic because (1) inflation is substantially higher in the first weekend of release when the incentives are greatest to generate positive word of mouth and (2) inflation for the top two films in a weekend increases with the degree of competition between the films. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1415 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1411-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moritz Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Edward J. O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward J. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Weak instruments in estimating business cycle effects on banks' interest income Abstract: This article explores the link between the real business cycle and core bank earnings. Using bank-level data and an estimation technique which corrects for weak instruments, evidence confirms that pre-provision Net Interest Income (NII) is determined by the term structure of interest rates rather than output fluctuations. Output growth is only found to be significant when Loan-Loss Provisions (LLP) are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1420 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1417-1420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory A. Gilpin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gilpin Author-Name: Anton Bekkerman Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Bekkerman Title: Cost-effective hiring in US high schools: estimating optimal teacher quantity and quality decisions Abstract: Extensive literature has shown that student attainment outcomes are affected by student-to-teacher ratios and overall teacher aptitude levels, but offers little information about which method offers the greatest student attainment return relative to associated costs. This study provides empirical evidence that staffing policies should consider the cost-effectiveness of teacher-hiring decisions when multiple education policies are effective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1424 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1421-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: How do banking crises impact on income inequality? Abstract: We show that banking crises have an important effect on income distribution: inequality increases before banking crisis episodes and sharply declines afterwards. We also find that, while a large government size does not per se seem to reduce inequality, a rise in financial depth (i.e. better access to credit provided by the banking sector) contributes to a more equal distribution of income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1425-1429 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1425-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroki Uematsu Author-X-Name-First: Hiroki Author-X-Name-Last: Uematsu Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Rebekah Rachel Powell Author-X-Name-First: Rebekah Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: An alternative method to estimate income variance in cross-sectional data Abstract: A popular approach to estimating income variance in cross-sectional data is to use an aggregate method by categorizing sample observations into arbitrarily formed groups, taking into account some socio-economic attributes. This study proposes an alternative technique that can be used to estimate income variance from cross-sectional data. Results indicate that this multiplicative heteroskedastic feasible least squares estimation procedure is consistent and efficient, consumes less time and requires less manipulation of data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1431-1436 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1431-1436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: Mark Fergusson Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Mark Fergusson Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Movies and holidays: the empirical relationship between movies and tourism Abstract: Governments around the world believe that tourism will increase if locations within their nations are featured in films. Money and other inducements are often offered to moviemakers to encourage them to shoot within a particular constituency. This article finds a positive and statistically significant relationship between successful films and tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1440 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1437-1440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: Can L-moments beat central moments in modelling risk? An empirical analysis Abstract: This article applies a new statistical moment, Trimmed L-comoment, in modelling Expected Shortfall (ES) and exploits an empirical study on China's stock markets. In comparison with existing models, out-of-sample forecasts and backtests indicate superior accuracy and precision for the models based on Trimmed L-comoments, especially to those based on central moments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1441-1447 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1441-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Qijia Wei Author-X-Name-First: Qijia Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The Taylor rule and house price uncertainty Abstract: The aim of this article is to determine whether house price uncertainty has been an important determinant of the Taylor rule-based interest rate during the years leading up to the financial crisis. A Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-based specification has been used to produce a time-varying measure of volatility, and the results indicate that it has had a significant negative effect on the interest rate, but that its addition only produces a slightly better fit to the actual interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1453 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1449-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce A. Rayton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rayton Author-Name: Konstantinos Georgiadis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Georgiadis Title: Workplace self-selection into Investors in People Abstract: This article estimates the effect of the Investors in People Standard on training while controlling for self-selection. Our results show that high-training workplaces self-select into Investors in People and question the value of the Standard for promoting training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1458 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1455-1458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Paichou Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paichou Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The Gramm--Leach--Bliley Act: optimal interest margin effects of commercial bank expansion into insurance underwriting Abstract: We examine the optimal bank interest margin effects of the Gramm--Leach--Bliley Act (GLBA), particularly allowing commercial banks to engage in insurance underwriting. This article models bank equity explicitly integrating the Down-and-Out Call (DOC) option of insurance underwriting with the standard call option of commercial banking activities. We conclude that commercial banks may not appear to benefit from broader product mix when the expansion of insurance underwriting is relatively large scale or insurance asset quality is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1459-1463 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1459-1463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: Early warning indicator for financial crashes using the log periodic power law Abstract: In this article, we apply the Log Periodic Power Law (LPPL), introduced by Johansen et al. (2000), for capturing the recent stock market crash in the German stock index (Deutscher Aktien Index, DAX). The contribution of this article consists not only in describing the historical crash by the LPPL, but also in demonstrating how the LPPL can be used as an early warning indicator for financial crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1465-1469 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1465-1469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bárcena-Mart�n Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bárcena-Mart�n Author-Name: Santiago Budr�a Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Budr�a Author-Name: Ana I. Moro-Egido Author-X-Name-First: Ana I. Author-X-Name-Last: Moro-Egido Title: Skill mismatches and wages among European university graduates Abstract: This article uses comparable international data to examine the extent and wage effects of skill mismatches among European university graduates. The results show that the mismatched earn on average 11.7% less than their well-matched counterparts. This effect, however, cannot be regarded as constant across the conditional earnings distribution: workers with lower unobserved earnings capacity tend to be exposed to greater wage losses when they end up in mismatched jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1475 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1471-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda S. Ghent Author-X-Name-First: Linda S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghent Author-Name: Alan P. Grant Author-X-Name-First: Alan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Grant Title: Estimating the extent of cross-border lottery shopping: evidence from South Carolina Abstract: The South Carolina Education Lottery (SCEL) began selling tickets in 2001. Early studies indicate significant cross-border shopping, especially in counties bordering North Carolina (NC), which created its own lottery in 2006. We examine the impact of the North Carolina Education Lottery (NCEL) on sales of lottery tickets in South Carolina (SC). We find that the introduction of the NCEL coincides with a significant drop in lottery sales in SC counties bordering NC. By creating its own lottery, NC successfully redirected the flow of lottery dollars to its own coffers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1477-1481 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1477-1481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuki Toyoshima Author-X-Name-First: Yuki Author-X-Name-Last: Toyoshima Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Panel cointegration analysis of co-movement between interest rate swap and treasury markets Abstract: Extending Ito's (2009) analysis, this article investigates the co-movement between interest rate swaps and treasury markets by using the panel cointegration tests developed by Maddala and Wu (1999). Empirical results show that there exists a single cointegration relationship between the swap rates and treasury rates for all maturities. The cointegration vector for the 2-, 3- and 4-year maturities is 1, showing that a 1% increase in the treasury rates will lead to a 1% increase in the swap rates. On the other hand, in the 5-, 7- and 10-year maturities, the cointegration vector is found to be more than 1, implying that a 1% increase in the treasury rates will lead to a more than 1% increase in the swap rates. Thus, a rise (decline) in the treasury rates is associated with a rise (decline) in the swap spread. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1486 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1483-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Laura Lamb Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Lamb Title: Does the effectiveness of tax incentives on the decision to give charitable donations vary across donation sectors in Canada? Abstract: This article explores the effectiveness of tax incentives on the decision to make a charitable donation in Canada and extends the analysis to compare the effectiveness of tax incentives across different types of giving. The data set employed is the 2007 Canada Survey of Giving, Volunteering and Participating (CSGVP), which is analysed using probit and probit selection models. The results imply that public policy can be used to influence the likelihood of making a donation in general and that the degree of influence varies across different donation sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1487-1491 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1487-1491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: A. K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: R. Powell Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: A Gourmet's delight: CAViaR and the Australian stock market Abstract: Value at Risk (VaR) is the metric adopted by the Basel Accords for banking industry internal control and regulatory reporting. This has focused attention on the measuring, estimating and forecasting of lower tail risk. Engle and Manganelli (2004) developed the conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) model using quantile regression to calculate VaR. In this article we apply their model to Australian stock market indices and a sample of stocks, and test the efficacy of four different specifications of the model in a set of in-sample and out-of-sample tests. We also contrast the results with those obtained from a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH(1,1)) model, the RiskMetrics™ model (Morgan, 1996) and an Asymmetric Power Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (APARCH) model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1498 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1493-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: US residential electricity consumption: the effect of states' pursuit of energy efficiency policies Abstract: This empirical note seeks to provide evidence identifying key factors that have influenced the per residential customer consumption of electricity in the United States during recent years, with particular emphasis on the degree to which each state has pursued energy efficiency policies. This preliminary empirical analysis takes the form of Panel Two-Stage Least Squares (P2SLS) estimations. State-level data are adopted for the 4-year period from 2002 through 2005. The P2SLS findings indicate that the consumption of electricity per residential customer is an increasing function of the annual number of cooling degree days, the real personal disposable income and the real price of natural gas, as well as the maximum electricity generation capacity, while being a decreasing function of the real unit price of electricity, the extent of usage of natural gas for residential heating and the degree to which each state has pursued energy efficiency policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1503 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1499-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Kai Hielscher Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Hielscher Title: Output sensitivity of monetary policy and macroeconomic performance Abstract: Employing dynamic panel estimation techniques we derive an empirical measure of central banks' degree of output sensitivity. When relating this measure to macroeconomic outcome variables, we find that a decrease in output sensitivity results in larger business-cycle movements and higher medium-term inflation uncertainty. However, the level of inflation is decreased and the output gap is increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1509 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1505-1509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaus Bartzsch Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Bartzsch Author-Name: Gerhard Rösl Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Rösl Author-Name: Franz Seitz Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Seitz Title: A simple way to capture currency abroad Abstract: In this article, we analyse the volume of euro banknotes issued by Germany that circulate abroad. Inferences are drawn from a coin model. Our approach suggests that foreign demand has increased since 2002. At the end of 2009 nearly 50%, the equivalent of €170 billion, is held outside the euro area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1514 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1511-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Faruq Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Faruq Title: Multinational presence and the export participation of local firms in Ghana Abstract: This article examines whether the presence of multinationals affects the export participation of local firms in the same industry using data on manufacturing firms in Ghana. We find robust evidence consistent with the idea of spillovers from multinationals to Ghanaian exporters. We also observe that larger firms and firms that exported in the past are more likely to export. Our results remain unchanged after we control for potential spillovers from other exporters. These results have useful implications for both Ghana's trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1515-1519 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1515-1519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai S. Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Foreign direct investment, labour unionization and income inequality of Korea Abstract: The Korean economy has witnessed significant expansion of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows and decrease in labour unionization ratio. This article analyses their effect on income inequality during 1982--2008. The small sample cointegration test and the error correction model confirm the existence of cointegration among the concerned variables. The error correction model shows that the increasing values of FDI inflows and the decreasing labour unionization ratio have led to deterioration in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1524 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1521-1524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sriram Shankar Author-X-Name-First: Sriram Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Estimates of the long-run growth rate of Singapore with a CES production function Abstract: This article estimates using the Bayesian methods a Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) production function for Singapore for 1960--2009. It is found that the elasticity of substitution is 0.6, technical progress is labour augmenting and the Steady-State Growth Rate (SSGR) of Singapore is about 1.8%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1525-1530 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1525-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Pei-Long Shen Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Lin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Real interest rate parity in East Asian countries based on China with nonlinear threshold unit-root test Abstract: This study applies nonlinear threshold unit-root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the Real Interest Rate Parity (RIRP) for 10 East Asian countries relative to China. We find that nonlinear threshold unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Caner and Hansen (2001) if the true Data-Generating Process (DGP) of real interest rate convergence is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of RIRP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that RIRP holds true for eight countries in this region. It implies that the choices and effectiveness of the monetary and fiscal policies in the East Asian economies will be highly influenced by external factors originating from China. Also, our findings point out their real interest rate convergence relative to China is mean reversion towards RIRP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1536 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1531-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Title: PPP in Central and Eastern European economies: further evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: The question of the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis in European transition countries remains relevant and empirically unsettled. This article aims to contribute to this debate by using an updated monthly database on real exchange rates for 12 Central and Eastern European economies. We implemented a range of panel unit root tests characterized by the rejection of the cross-sectional independence hypothesis and taking the US Dollar (USD) and the euro as numeraire currencies separately into account in the testing procedures. The results reported in this study provide additional evidence supporting the PPP proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1548 Issue: 16 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:16:p:1543-1548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Exchange-rate forecasts and asymmetric loss: empirical evidence for the yen/dollar exchange rate Abstract: We used the yen/dollar exchange-rate forecasts of the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) poll to analyse whether exchange-rate forecasters have an asymmetric loss function. To this end, we applied an approach recently developed by Elliott et al. (2005). We found that only few forecasters seem to form forecasts under an asymmetric loss function. For some forecasters, accounting for the asymmetry of their loss function makes their forecasts look rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1763 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1759-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hajizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hajizadeh Author-Name: Luke Brian Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Luke Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: James Robert Gerard Butler Author-X-Name-First: James Robert Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Butler Title: Health policy and horizontal inequities of health-care utilization in Australia: 1983--2005 Abstract: We used five National Health Surveys (NHSs) in order to measure horizontal inequity (equal health care for equal need) in health-care utilization in Australia over five time points from 1983 to 2005. The direct standardization method was used to estimate the horizontal inequity indices for six measures of health-care utilization. The results suggest that the distributions of General Practitioner (GP) services and any physician visits in Australia were generally pro-poor, whereas the distributions of specialist visits, dentist visits and any ambulatory visits were pro-rich. The computed indices demonstrate that the introduction of Medicare in 1984 had a pro-poor effect on the utilization of GPs, any physician visits and any ambulatory visits. In contrast, the implementation of Private Health Insurance (PHI) policies over the period 1997 to 2000 had a pro-rich effect on the distribution of health-care utilization in recent years, but this finding is based on the assumption that PHI policies affected health-care consumption in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1765-1775 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1765-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Ding Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does inflation targeting matter for PPP? An empirical investigation Abstract: This article examines whether Inflation Targeting (IT) matters for long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). For this purpose, we formally assess the evidence on PPP for a panel of 19 countries using two price indices and two panel unit root tests with cross-sectional dependence. The empirical results show that IT plays an important role in providing favourable evidence for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1780 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1777-1780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Siyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Dongxiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Purchasing power parity -- nonlinear threshold unit root test for transition countries Abstract: This study applies the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) of eight transition countries over the period January 1995 to October 2011. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for only one country (i.e. Romanian) under study and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1781-1785 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1781-1785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco J. Callado-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Callado-Muñoz Author-Name: Jana Hromcová Author-X-Name-First: Jana Author-X-Name-Last: Hromcová Author-Name: Natalia Utrero-González Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Utrero-González Title: Transformation of payment systems: the case of European Union enlargement Abstract: In this article, we analyse how the accession to an economic and monetary union and the influence of new institutions may shape consumers' payment decisions in newly acceded countries. Our analysis focuses on the 2004 European Union (EU) enlargement process. Results confirm the prediction of theoretical models about the relevance of economic development, institutional environment and payment infrastructure in retail payment system decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1787-1791 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1787-1791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam J. Hoffer Author-X-Name-First: Adam J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffer Author-Name: Adam Pellillo Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Pellillo Title: The political economy of tobacco control spending Abstract: This article investigates why some US states spend so comparatively little on Tobacco Control Funding (TCF). We find that cross-state variation in spending on tobacco control is significantly driven by a tobacco special interest effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1793-1797 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1793-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura H. Atuesta Author-X-Name-First: Laura H. Author-X-Name-Last: Atuesta Author-Name: Dusan Paredes Araya Author-X-Name-First: Dusan Author-X-Name-Last: Paredes Araya Title: A spatial cost of living index for Colombia using a microeconomic approach and censored data Abstract: This article describes a methodology to calculate a Spatial Cost of Living (SCOL) index using the Colombian data for 2006 that considers the microeconomic behaviour of households. Estimating an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) to recover the expenditure function of the 23 main Colombian cities, the index is compared to the fixed basket approach and to an alternative methodology proposed by Romero (2005). This comparison suggests that the index is biased when the substitution effects are not considered, and this bias increases when the difference in expenditure levels between cities increases. According to our calculations, Bogota is still the most expensive city in the country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1799-1805 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1799-1805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradeepa Malkanthi Korale-Gedara Author-X-Name-First: Pradeepa Malkanthi Author-X-Name-Last: Korale-Gedara Author-Name: Shyama Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: Shyama Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: Jayatilleke Bandara Author-X-Name-First: Jayatilleke Author-X-Name-Last: Bandara Title: Soaring food prices and food security: Does the income effect matter? Abstract: While the existing literature on rising food prices in recent years has mainly focused on the causes and calculating the number of people falling below the poverty line in developing countries, less attention has been paid to rising food prices and food security in terms of calorie intake. The main objective of this study is to fill this gap using a case study of a developing country, Sri Lanka. In this study, we estimate the change in individual calorie intake associated with food inflation using the Stone--Geary utility function. The impact at national level is assessed using a calorie intake distribution curve. The results demonstrate that the percentage of undernourished population in Sri Lanka is expected to rise rapidly with food inflation on the basis that there is no income increase during the period under consideration. However, the rise in undernourished population is remarkably low when the income effect is taken into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1811 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1807-1811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Marius Eikseth Author-X-Name-First: Hans Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Eikseth Author-Name: Snorre Lindset Author-X-Name-First: Snorre Author-X-Name-Last: Lindset Title: Are taxes sufficient for CAPM rejection? Abstract: From simulated data, we infer that heterogeneous asset taxes may contribute towards rejection of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1816 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1813-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Empirical evidence on the effectiveness of environmental taxes Abstract: The aim of this study is to determine whether environmental taxes affect levels of pollution and energy consumption. Using a panel of European Union (EU) members and Norway, there is a significant negative relationship between environmental taxes and pollution, but no relationship between environmental taxes and energy consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1817-1820 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.650324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.650324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1817-1820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth Abstract: We use a panel of developed and emerging countries for the period 1970 to 2008 to assess how fiscal policy volatility and financial crises affect growth. We find that economic growth is lower in the presence of more volatile fiscal policy. Moreover, with a financial crisis government spending is stickier than revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1821-1826 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1821-1826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Marzo Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Marzo Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Trading directions and the pricing of Euro interbank deposits in the long run Abstract: We investigate the relation between aggregate trading imbalances and interest rates in the Euro money market. We use data for OTC contracts as well as information from the major electronic trading platform in Europe to study the presence of cointegration between trading pressures and money market rates. We report strong evidence of a long-term linear relation between trading imbalances and liquidity prices for Euro interbank deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1827-1839 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.663467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.663467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1827-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Author-Name: Abu Jamal Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Author-Name: Tanweer Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The impact of foreign participation on stock prices in the United States Abstract: Using a standard demand--supply model, this study investigates the relationship between foreign participation in the equity market and stock prices, incorporating the effects of inflation and the demographic structure. The results show that while foreign participation in the equity market and the proportion of population in their prime earning age have a positive impact, inflation has a negative impact on stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1841-1845 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1841-1845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Berck Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Berck Author-Name: Jonathan Lipow Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lipow Title: Trade, tariffs and terrorism Abstract: Insurgencies and terrorist activities are often dependent on foreign sources of funding. When this is the case, trade barriers such as import tariffs can prove to be an effective means of combating violence and enhancing social welfare. In this article, we identify the optimal tariff for a country facing an externally financed insurgency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1847-1849 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1847-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Title: PPP and nonlinearity of real exchange rates: new evidence from transition economies Abstract: In this article, we investigate the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) concept by utilizing a database of monthly real exchange rates from 12 Central and Eastern European economies with respect to different numeraire currencies. Owing to the elaborated limitations of linear specifications by verifying this exchange rate theory, we apply a nonlinear unit root test based on the Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model proposed by Kapetanios et al. (KSS; 2003). Our analysis shows that after taking into account the nonlinear reversion of real exchange rates of European transition economies with respect to the euro, the validity of PPP is confirmed for the majority of countries in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1851-1855 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1851-1855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Lovaton Davila Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Lovaton Davila Author-Name: Inhyuck “Steve” Ha Author-X-Name-First: Inhyuck “Steve” Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Samuel L. Myers Author-X-Name-First: Samuel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Title: Affirmative action retrenchment in public procurement and contracting Abstract: This article provides estimates of the impacts of a race-neutral programme called an Emerging Small Business Enterprise (ESBE) Programme in New Jersey in 2003--2004 on women- and minority-owned contractors. We show that although women- and minority-owned firms conceptually benefit from ESBE set-asides, they do not benefit as much as non-Disadvantaged Business Enterprises (DBEs), resulting in a reduced share of total contract dollars awarded to DBEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1857-1860 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1857-1860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Dan-Olof Rooth Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Rooth Title: Revealing taste-based discrimination in hiring: a correspondence testing experiment with geographic variation Abstract: The standard Correspondence Testing Experiment (CTE) does not identify whether employer prejudice, as opposed to statistical discrimination, drives discriminatory behaviour when hiring. This article proposes a new methodology using geographic variation to explore the link between employer attitudes towards ethnic minorities and the ethnic difference in callbacks for a job interview. Using already existing Swedish data we find that a randomly selected employer is more likely to discriminate against a minority job applicant in regions where the average employer has more negative attitudes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1861-1864 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1861-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: L. Kelly Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: Measuring economic conditions: an extension of the Stock/Watson methodology Abstract: This study develops an economic indicator tailored to measure economic conditions at the state level by recognizing that a state's economy is an integrated part of the region and responds to both regional and national economic outlooks. This article applies our methodology to the state of Rhode Island. In the case of Rhode Island, the addition of a regional economic indicator appears to make a significant improvement over the Federal Reserve Bank (FED) of Philadelphia coincident index. Therefore, this preliminary study indicates that it is worthwhile to expand this project to include all 50 states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1865-1869 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1865-1869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdoul G. Sam Author-X-Name-First: Abdoul G. Author-X-Name-Last: Sam Author-Name: Stanley R. Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Stanley R. Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Country of origin advertising and US demand of imported wine: an empirical analysis Abstract: We investigate the impact of media advertising on the US consumption of imported wine. Panel data from six countries over 15 years (1994--2008) are used to estimate an aggregate demand function for US wine imports. Our empirical analysis reveals evidence of important effects of advertising of domestic and imported wines on imported quantities; the advertising of imported wines significantly increases the quantity of imports for most countries while the advertising of domestic wines has a mixed effect on imported wine volumes. Other determinants such as price and real income are also found significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1871-1877 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1871-1877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shishu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shishu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Gregory J. Soukup Author-X-Name-First: Gregory J. Author-X-Name-Last: Soukup Title: Analysis of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey and the impact of family structure on children's well-being in the United States Abstract: Different family structures can significantly impact the well-being of children. From 1980 to 2008, reported births to unwed mothers in the United States rose from 18.4% to 40.6% and children in single-parent households in the United States increased from 19.5% to 29.5%. The Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) (2001--2005) collected data on 13 582 American children 5--19 years old. A multiple-regression analysis tested for differences regarding family structure and income and the MEPS results on physical health, mental health, Body Mass Index (BMI) and class attendance. Level of significance for the study was p > 0.05. Children from single-mother households had significantly higher absentee rates than children from single-father households. Children from single-father families had significantly better rates of well-being when compared to single-mother families in general by income level. Children from higher income households had significantly better rates of mental and physical health and lower BMI and absentee rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1879-1883 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1879-1883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandro Garcia Duarte Peixoto Author-X-Name-First: Sandro Garcia Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Peixoto Author-Name: Fabiana Fontes Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Fontes Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Marislei Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Marislei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Fernando Antonio Slaibe Postali Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Antonio Slaibe Author-X-Name-Last: Postali Title: Decentralization and corruption: evidence from primary health-care programmes Abstract: The aim of this article is to evaluate whether there is an association between decentralization and corruption. In order to do so we analyse Brazilian health-care programmes that are run locally. To construct objective measures of corruption, we use the information from the reports of the auditing programme of the local governments of Brazil. Results point that there is no relationship between decentralization and corruption, whatever the measure of decentralization used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1885-1888 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1885-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daehwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Daehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Taeyoon Sung Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoon Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Efficiency of internal capital market under a controlling-minority-shareholder structure Abstract: We examine the efficiency of the internal capital market under three alternative ownership structures -- the dispersed ownership, the concentrated ownership and the Controlling-Minority-Shareholder (CMS) structure. Although the highest efficiency is achieved under the concentrated ownership, our analysis shows that the efficiency is higher under the CMS structure than under the dispersed ownership. The efficiency gain is greater if the agency problem between shareholders and the Headquarter (HQ) manager is greater. The conclusion of the analysis is in line with the observed patterns of firm organization in developing economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1889-1892 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1889-1892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Saarela Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Saarela Author-Name: Dan-Olof Rooth Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Rooth Title: Uncertainty and international return migration: some evidence from linked register data Abstract: This article provides the first empirical evidence about the role of uncertainty in international return migration decisions using high-quality and detailed micro-data that cover migrants who were observed in both the source country before emigration and in the host country subsequent to immigration. We find that uncertainty in the initial migration decision might be an important driving mechanism behind the decision to return migrate, because migrants with a worse-than-expected outcome in the host country upon arrival and shortly thereafter have a notably higher probability of return migration than other migrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1893-1897 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1893-1897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Perri Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Perri Title: Between the penthouse and the outhouse: the sorting of economics professors Abstract: Oyer (2007, 2008) considered the turnover of economics professors early in their careers. He found professors are more likely to move down from higher ranked schools than up from lower ranked schools. An asymmetric information model suggests this phenomenon is explained by imperfect screening at one's initial hiring. The smaller the fraction of more able individuals, and the more accurate the screening, the greater the chance downward movement exceeds upward movement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1899-1902 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1899-1902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Cheng Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Michael Mendy Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Mendy Title: Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship? Abstract: This study examines the effects of trade policies on economic growth in Africa. The econometric methodology follows the cross-country studies by Barro (1991) and Kandiero and Chitiga (2003) with empirical application to a panel of 36 African countries observed over the period 1980 to 2009. Panel regressions are carried out using the fixed-effects models. The aim is to provide an empirical evidence for the driving force of Africa's economic growth. The results illustrate that openness in trade and investment is positively related to economic growth significantly. However, foreign aid, gross national savings and investment have negative relationships to both Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and GDP. Using South Africa as benchmark, the regional performance indicates that North Africa is the best one in generating positive GDP growth from Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), followed by Middle Africa whilst East Africa and West Africa compete for the third and fourth positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1903-1907 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1903-1907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Rachid Boumahdi Author-X-Name-First: Rachid Author-X-Name-Last: Boumahdi Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Title: Nonexpected discrimination: the case of social housing in France Abstract: This research is a study of the differences in duration of waiting time between European and non-European households to obtain social housing, drawing on the housing survey carried out by the French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE, Paris, 2006). The idea here is to bring to light eventual discrimination against non-European households. We show that these households, all else held constant, spend more time on the waiting lists. Appropriate decomposition techniques enable us to demonstrate that a nonnegligible portion of this gap could well be due to discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1909-1916 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1909-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Chih-Hsiang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yining Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yining Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A retrospective analysis of financial research by worldwide central banks and international monetary organizations Abstract: We examine the publications by Central Banks (CB) and International Monetary Organizations (IMO) in renowned finance journals over the past two decades. Unsurprisingly, the most productive CB in financial research are the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Although the worldwide CB have, more or less, increased productivity over the years, more than a few CB in Europe have made noticeable progress and revealed sizeable upsurge in financial research productivity. Also noteworthy is that the most productive central bank researchers are affiliated with a few highly productive institutions whereas the majority of them have prior or concurrent academic experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1917-1922 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1917-1922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brahim Boudarbat Author-X-Name-First: Brahim Author-X-Name-Last: Boudarbat Author-Name: Victor Chernoff Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Chernoff Title: Education--job match among recent Canadian university graduates Abstract: This study uses data from the 2005 Follow-up of Canadian Graduates -- Class of 2000 -- to look at the determinants of education--job match among university graduates. The question of education--job match is relevant given the substantial investment society puts into its postsecondary institutions and the role devoted to human capital in economic development. We find that 35.1% of graduates are in a job that is not closely related to their education 5 years after graduation. The education--job match strongly depends upon education characteristics, with fields that focus on providing specific skills for the job market (such as ‘Health sciences’ and ‘Education’) being associated with the highest likelihood of obtaining an education--job match. In addition, the level of education, good grades and time devoted to studying strongly affect the match. Employment characteristics also affect the match, but to a mixed extent. One of our main findings is that predetermined characteristics (age, gender and family background) do not significantly affect the match. However, immigrants are significantly disadvantaged even if they hold Canadian degrees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1923-1926 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1923-1926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randy McFerrin Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: McFerrin Author-Name: Stephen Norman Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: Douglas Wills Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Wills Title: Determinants of homestead claims and the expansion of Western settlement Abstract: This article examines the impact economic variables had on the rate of settlement, measured by original homestead claims, in the Western United States. Our results from the estimated panel regressions indicate that the underlying rationale for the Homestead Act, namely that economic factors were important for settlement, was justified. The two most important economic variables, output prices, measured by real wheat prices, and the cost of capital, measured by real interest rates, were statistically significant in explaining the change in the original homestead claims. Furthermore, contrary to previous studies, railroad mileage was not found to be significant. This study also reveals that the location of a homestead relative to the 100th meridian, the traditional boundary of humid and sub-humid areas, had little effect on the response of homesteaders to economic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1927-1932 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1927-1932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Alda Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Title: Linear and nonlinear financial time series: evidence in a sample of pension funds in Spain and the United Kingdom Abstract: In this article, we examine whether traditional linear models are suitable to assess financial samples, because financial data usually present nonnormality or nonlinear patterns, therefore linear models do not always adequately capture them. For this reason, as returns series usually follow autoregressive patterns, nonlinear models such as Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR), Logistic STAR (LSTAR), Additive Autoregressive (AAR) or Neural Network (NNET) could provide a good fit. We study whether two samples of pension funds' returns in Spain and the United Kingdom present these features, and we find that the most appropriate model for the Spanish sample is an autoregressive model, but in the United Kingdom sample, we fit a neural network. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1933-1937 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1933-1937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marianne Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Denise Robson Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: Sarinda Taengnoi Author-X-Name-First: Sarinda Author-X-Name-Last: Taengnoi Title: Study design's influence on empirical findings in economic education Abstract: We use Meta-Regression Analysis (MRA) to investigate how study design influences the finding of a gender gap in the economics education literature. We survey 65 studies published in the American Economics Review Papers and Proceedings and the Journal of Economic Education over the past 30 years, containing 279 distinct regressions. We find that studies with more explanatory variables, include statistics courses taught by economists, or sample preadolescent children are associated with a reduced likelihood of observing a gender gap; in contrast, studies that employ a stock model methodology or use course grade as the dependent variable are significantly more likely to find evidence of a gender gap. Estimation strategy seems to have little impact. We conclude that much of the conventional view of a gender gap in economics performance can be attributed to study design. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1939-1942 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1939-1942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Cook Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Susmita Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: Susmita Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: Dipika Sur Author-X-Name-First: Dipika Author-X-Name-Last: Sur Author-Name: Dale Whittington Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Whittington Title: Measuring risk aversion among the urban poor in Kolkata, India Abstract: We examine risk preferences in an urban setting in a low-income developing country with nonstudent subjects by adapting the experimental approach of Holt and Laury (HL; 2002). We conducted 22 group experiments with 404 participants and used in-kind payoffs. The average respondent was ‘risk-averse’ (the midpoint of Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) intervals among participants was 0.53, roughly in line with most similar studies in poor countries). Like most other studies, we find weak correlations between risk aversion and most socio-economic characteristics. Importantly, a sizeable minority had difficulty understanding the experiment, and participants were influenced by the context in which the experiments occurred (these problems are not unique to our study). Our article adds to a growing literature that suggests that risk aversion elicitation approaches are sensitive to context and cognitive abilities of participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.644235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.644235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:1-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koki Arai Author-X-Name-First: Koki Author-X-Name-Last: Arai Title: Note on the need for rules on misleading representation based on experimental evidence Abstract: This article examines the rules for misleading representation with an experimental approach using Internet questionnaire data from a recent research article. The findings indicate that consumers who have been closely associated with the goods or who fully intend to purchase the goods are highly likely to understand any (alleged) deceptive advertising. Therefore, advertising regulations should protect marginal consumers from deceptive advertising rather than the actual or potential purchasers. The findings therefore corroborate the inducing requirement of the rules for misleading representation presently applied in Japan and other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 10-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.665591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.665591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:10-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Author-Name: Ricardo Cabral Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cabral Title: How do mobile-voice operators compete? IVQR estimates Abstract: This article proposes a novel procedure to test whether firms compete à la Cournot or perfectly collude when firms' conduct is allowed to be heterogeneous along the conditional distribution of price–cost margins. We apply the procedure to a panel of quarterly data for 177 mobile-voice operators in 45 countries from 1999:1 to 2004:2. Particularly, we find that the hypothesis of perfect collusion can be rejected even for very high-margin operators while the hypothesis that very low-margin operators compete à la Cournot cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 18-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:18-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. Li Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: A. H. Anis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Anis Title: Cost sharing of prescription drugs and demand for health-care utilization among seniors with rheumatoid arthritis Abstract: We employed a pre-post study design with a control group - a Difference-In-Difference (DID) estimator - to evaluate the effect of prescription drug policy reform on the number of prescriptions filled, the number of physician visits, the likelihood of hospitalizations and the number of hospitalizations among seniors with Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Our study demonstrates that when patients have to pay part of all of their drug costs, they often have more doctor visits and hospitalization events. Our results show that in a predominantly publicly funded health-care system, piecewise introduction of market-driven cost containment concepts such as patient cost sharing might have the unintended impact of increasing overall health utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:23-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Carnis Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Carnis Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Author-Name: Benoît Dervaux Author-X-Name-First: Benoît Author-X-Name-Last: Dervaux Title: Is injury compensation inequitable? Evidence from road accidents victims in France Abstract: This article analyses the heterogeneous character of compensation amounts awarded by insurance companies and the courts. The information source – the Association for Insurance Risk Information (AGIRA) database – covers all surviving victims of injuries resulting from road accidents in France over the period 2002 to 2008. Three results emerge: first, compensation amounts awarded under different headings – Partial Permanent Incapacity (PPI), solatium (emotional harm), disfigurement and loss of amenity – are not determined independently of each other; second, victim characteristics, notably age and sex, play a major part; and third, inequalities of treatment across the country are strikingly low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 28-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:28-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Do fiscal rules matter for growth? Abstract: We study the relevance of fiscal rules for growth in an European Union (EU) panel. Our results show that they foster growth, while stricter fiscal rules mitigate the adverse impact on growth from big governments. Moreover, more recent EU member states have gained from the implementation of fiscal rules. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:34-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriela Mundaca Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Mundaca Title: Oil prices and exchange rate volatility in Arab countries Abstract: I test the bipolar view hypothesis on the exchange rates of countries of the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) which are countries with relative free capital mobility. I find that oil price shocks seem to be the source of less flexible exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:41-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Mohl Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Mohl Author-Name: David Sondermann Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sondermann Title: Has political communication during the crisis impacted sovereign bond spreads in the euro area? Abstract: Using thousands of news agencies reports from May 2010 to June 2011, we find that statements about restructuring, bailout and the involvement of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) have impacted bond spreads of countries in the periphery vis-à-vis Germany. Our findings also indicate that the more different euro area governments issued statements at the same time, the more bond spreads have increased. Finally, statements from politicians from AAA-rated countries seemed to have a particularly strong impact on spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 48-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:48-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongxiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: sequential panel selection method Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) procedure proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries over the period March 1985 to September 2011. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of nonstationary series. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results from the SPSM using the Panel Kapetanios et al. (KSS) unit root test (Ucar and Omay, 2009) with a Fourier function indicate that PPP holds true for most of these East Asian countries studied, with the exception of Hong Kong. Our results have important policy implications for these East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 62-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:62-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Ayllón Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Ayllón Title: Unemployment persistence: not only stigma but discouragement too Abstract: This article shows how stigma effects and discouragement counterbalance as sources of state dependence in unemployment throughout the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Silva Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Maria Batista Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Batista Author-Name: Nelson Elias Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Elias Title: Fuel price transmission mechanisms in Portugal Abstract: This study aims to analyse the behaviour of fuel prices at the pump (unleaded gasoline and diesel) in Portugal, relative to positive and negative variations in Brent crude oil price. Applying an Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model to weekly time series data for the period of January 2004 through May 2009, we detected some signs of asymmetry in the transmission price mechanism. However, these patterns are not statistically significant enough to reject hypotheses of symmetry in the price adjustment mechanisms of fuel in Portugal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:72-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey A. Livingston Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Livingston Author-Name: David L. Ortmeyer Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ortmeyer Author-Name: Patrick A. Scholten Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Scholten Title: A hedonic approach to testing for indirect network effects in the LCD television market Abstract: Using data from CNet's Shopper's.com on prices and television characteristics, we use a quality-adjusted, hedonic price regression to test for the presence of indirect network effects in the television market. In 2009, broadcasters were mandated to cease programme transmission using analog signals, and convert to digital signal transmission, necessitating changes to the reception mechanisms themselves, televisions. Digital signal transmission permits broadcasters to offer greater programming variety, which makes televisions more valuable to consumers. Similarly, the presence of adapters on televisions enables compatibility with a multitude of complementary devices, also increasing consumers' values of televisions. Our results are consistent with the presence of indirect network effects arising from each of these sources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 76-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:76-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig A. Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Tobacco control and obesity: evidence from a cross section of countries Abstract: Although several studies of highly developed countries find tobacco control efforts impact obesity rates, whether such results extend to less developed countries is unclear. Accordingly, this study re-examines this issue by using data from countries that lie across the development spectrum. Similar to the existing literature, evidence suggests higher cigarette prices increase the per cent of the population that is overweight or obese. Yet, other tobacco control efforts have less influence. A number of other factors, including health-care expenditure, urban concentration and undernourishment, are also found to influence population weight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:80-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell S. Sobel Author-X-Name-First: Russell S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobel Author-Name: Nabamita Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Nabamita Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Sanjukta Roy Author-X-Name-First: Sanjukta Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Does fiscal decentralization result in a better business climate? Abstract: Previous literature generally finds that greater fiscal decentralization is associated with faster economic growth, improved government performance and stronger constraints on the Leviathan behaviour of governments. Because economic growth critically depends on the presence of good government policies and institutions, the likely but untested link between these strands of literature is that greater decentralization probably improves growth because it results in government policies more conducive to entrepreneurship and business success. We test (and confirm) this hypothesis using several business climate measures for the US states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:84-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Home production and the welfare cost of labour supply tax distortions Abstract: The traditional model of household labour supply incorporates leisure into preferences rather than focusing on how relative costs of production at home and via market activity determine market labour supply. In part, this reflects the lack of simple closed form solutions for the home production model. This article uses numerical techniques to compare the welfare costs of tax distortions of labour supply in models with and without home production. When observationally equivalent models of each type are calibrated to the same aggregate labour supply elasticity, the home production model of labour supply produces a much smaller welfare cost of tax distortions of labour supply than the standard model. Our results thus suggest that home production is important for understanding the welfare effects of labour tax policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-95 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:92-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Rachid Boumahdi Author-X-Name-First: Rachid Author-X-Name-Last: Boumahdi Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Title: The easiest way to estimate the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition Abstract: This article studies the relation between the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition and the estimated coefficient of a dummy variable for a linear regression. We calculate the unexplained part of the decomposition from the estimated coefficient of the dummy variable. More precisely, if the exogenous variables are uncorrelated to the dummy variable, the estimated coefficient and its variance give directly the value and the variance of the unexplained part of the decomposition. If the independent variables are correlated a simple relation is obtained. Moreover, we show that the significance of the unexplained part can be deduced from the significance of the estimated coefficient of the dummy variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:96-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Silvia H. Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Silvia H. Author-X-Name-Last: Miranda Author-Name: Saleem Shaik Author-X-Name-First: Saleem Author-X-Name-Last: Shaik Title: Trade openness and technical efficiency in Brazilian agriculture Abstract: This study is conducted (1) to examine the possible link between increased trade openness and technical efficiency in Brazilian agriculture and (2) to contribute to the scholarly debate in the literature by measuring the impact of trade openness on technical efficiency. The analysis is conducted by using the Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) method. Our results indicate large and significant impact of capital, and lesser but significant impact of labour on sectorial output, while expanding farmland would not increase the output. The estimates of trade openness are not statistically significant, indicating that it does not impact technical efficiency. Trade liberalization as an underlying motive for increasing technical efficiency does not exist based on our results. The primary markets for Brazilian agricultural commodities are still the domestic markets, which are still relatively well protected from foreign competition. This implies that domestic producers are not forced to use existing inputs more efficiently given the relative lack of competition domestically and enlarged foreign markets expanding primarily in the booming and large Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Mar�a del Carmen Ramos-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a del Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Herrera Title: On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: the Spanish PwC Survey Abstract: We examine the predictive ability and consistency properties of exchange rate expectations for the dollar/euro using a survey conducted in Spain by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) among a panel of experts and entrepreneurs. Our results suggest that the PwC panel have some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months, although only for the 3-month ahead expectations we obtain marginal evidence of unbiasedness and efficiency in the forecasts. As for the consistency properties of the exchange rate expectation formation process, we find that survey participants form stabilizing expectations in the short run and destabilizing expectations in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Ventosa-Santaulària Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ventosa-Santaulària Author-Name: M. Gómez-Zald�var Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Zald�var Title: A comment on ‘Testing the validity of quasi-PPP hypothesis: evidence from a recent panel unit-root test with structural breaks’ Abstract: In a recent study, Guloglu et al. (2011) took 18 Turkish real exchange rate series and used a panel unit-root test, which allows for structural breaks in the level and the trend of the real exchange rate. When the practitioner allows for structural breaks, the rejection of the null hypothesis of unit root in the real exchange rate does not imply that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds. The authors claim that they found evidence of Quasi-PPP (Q-PPP). Yet, the latter does not include either linear trend or trend breaks. Their results cannot be considered evidence of either Trend-PPP (T-PPP) or Trend-Qualified PPP (TQ-PPP), since both exclude trend shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption in the United States for the period 2001 to 2005 Abstract: This empirical study focuses on identifying the key economic factors and other conditions that have influenced the per customer commercial and industrial consumption of electricity in the United States during recent years. Unlike most previous studies, this study uses a 5-year state-level panel data set for the period 2001 to 2005. The Panel Least Squares (PLS) estimation provided in this study implies that per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption is an increasing function of the annual number of Cooling Degree Days (CDDs), per capita real disposable income (a de facto ‘control’ variable) and the peak summer electricity-generating capacity. Furthermore, per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption is a decreasing function of the average real unit price of electricity to commercial and industrial enterprises and the degree of each state's commitment to energy efficiency programmes, as reflected in an ‘LEEP’ score, where the term ‘LEEP’ stands for Level of Energy Efficiency Programmes. The latter result provides evidence that public policies to promote energy efficiency have yielded at least some benefits in terms of reducing commercial and industrial electricity consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 114-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:114-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kun Ho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kun Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Inference of the environmental Kuznets curve Abstract: This article provides inference of the pollution and income relationship, typically known as the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). We construct the Uniform Confidence Band (UCB) of the nonparametric component in the semiparametric EKC and test the hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:119-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Koske Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Koske Author-Name: I. Wanner Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Wanner Title: The drivers of labour income inequality -- an analysis based on Bayesian Model Averaging Abstract: Many Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries have seen income inequality rising over the past decade, which has led to a renewed interest among researchers and policy makers in understanding the causes of income inequality. To shed light on this issue, this article investigates the determinants of labour income inequality for a sample of 22 OECD countries. As model uncertainty is likely to be a major issue in such an underpinning, the empirical analysis relies on a Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) technique. The results suggest that in particular labour, education and tax policies have an important influence on the distribution of labour income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Author-Name: Yaniv Shani Author-X-Name-First: Yaniv Author-X-Name-Last: Shani Title: What is more important, the outcome or the probability? Abstract: According to basic economic theory, people wish to maximize their expected utility. In order to do so they should integrate the likelihood (i.e. probability) and the possible outcomes (good or bad). Nevertheless, research has shown that people do not always account for their decisions on the basis of a rational or a cold evaluation of utility. We suggest that when choosing between two risky alternatives people determine the relative perceived importance of the outcomes and probabilities before making their choice. If the outcome is more important, they will tend to choose the option with the best outcome. If the probability is more important, they will tend to choose the option with the higher probability for the desirable outcome, or the option with the lower probability for the undesirable outcome. This means that people maximize their utility based on their perceived importance of probabilities and outcomes. To test our argument, we conducted an experiment in which we asked the participants to decide between two uncertain outcomes. The results support our claim that the importance of the probability and the importance of the outcome affect the choice between two risky alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. E. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: J. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: US tax acts and their effects on average tax rates Abstract: Tax legislation since the early 1980s has significantly altered Average Tax Rates (ATRs) across the income distribution in the United States. Using a consistently defined ATR series for the years 1979--2003, this study finds that the 1980s reduced ATRs for all taxpayers except those in the bottom quintile whose ATRs rose. The reforms of the early 1990s generally had the effect of raising ATRs at the top of the income distribution and lowering those at the bottom, although the magnitude of the effects was smaller than the reforms of the 1980s. Reforms of the late 1990s and early 2000s significantly reduced ATRs virtually across the board. The only exception occurred in the bottom quintile where the effects of the various tax acts have been mixed. The tax acts of 2001 and 2003 reduced ATRs significantly in the top and middle quintiles, although the size of the ATR reduction in both cases was greater in the middle quintile than in the top quintile. Within the top percentile, the ATR reductions due to Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 (JGTRRA03) are larger than those due to Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 (EGTRRA01), but they are only modestly larger than the ATR reductions due to TRA86. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Sen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Author-Name: Jen-Tsai Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Ching Liao Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: Do variable length moving average trading rules matter during a financial crisis period? Abstract: When analysing the data periods including the pre-financial and financial crisis periods, the results show that investors might make profits by using Variable Length Moving Average (VMA) trading rules as buying signals rather than as selling signals shown for the Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) stock markets. However, investors may find it difficult to make profits in a financial crisis period, suggesting that more detailed information should be investigated, since the significant results shown during the full period might not reveal the differences between the pre-financial and financial crisis periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-141 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:135-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Brzoza-Brzezina Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Brzoza-Brzezina Author-Name: Jacek Kotłowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Kotłowski Author-Name: Agata Miśkowiec Author-X-Name-First: Agata Author-X-Name-Last: Miśkowiec Title: How forward-looking are central banks? Some evidence from their forecasts Abstract: We estimate forward-looking Taylor rules on data from macroeconomic forecasts of three central banks in order to determine the extent to which these banks are forward-looking. We find that all three banks are to some extent forward-looking, albeit to a varying degree. In general, the horizons for inflation seem to be longer than for output. We also find that central banks prefer to concentrate on one particular horizon rather than take into account the whole forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 142-146 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:142-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byeongchan Seong Author-X-Name-First: Byeongchan Author-X-Name-Last: Seong Title: Bootstrap test for seasonal cointegrating ranks Abstract: We consider a bootstrap algorithm for the Likelihood Ratio (LR) test of seasonal Cointegrating (CI) ranks as the extension of Swensen (2006). Through a small Monte Carlo simulation experiment, we find that the bootstrap algorithm can effectively improve size distortions of the LR test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Maravalle Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Maravalle Title: Oil shocks and the US terms of trade: gauging the role of the trade channel Abstract: Recent theoretical literature claims that demand-driven transmission mechanisms are the key to understand how oil shocks affect the economy. Following this literature, we measure the economic strength of one of these demand-driven channels, the trade channel, in the transmission of oil shocks to the US economy. We use Kilian's (2009) decomposition of oil price shocks to identify three possible sources of oil shocks: oil supply, oil-market specific demand and global demand shocks. We then estimate the impact of each shock on the US terms of trade controlling for nonlinear effects in the sign and the size of the shocks. All oil shocks have persistent and statistically significant effects on the US terms of trade. However, we find that only oil supply shocks have an impact on the terms of trade that is nonlinear in the size of the shock. This last result is in accordance with the theoretical findings in Maravalle (forthcoming). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:152-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. Brixy Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Brixy Author-Name: R. Sternberg Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Sternberg Author-Name: H. Stüber Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Stüber Title: Why some nascent entrepreneurs do not seek professional assistance Abstract: As the high share of failed new businesses shows, the marked success of new firms is still rather low. Hence, enhancing the quality of new firms is an important goal of entrepreneurship support policies. Schemes that give professional assistance to individuals who want to start up a business are a key feature of most developed countries' policies towards improving the performance of new firms. In our sample, only approximately half of nascent entrepreneurs seek professional assistance. Given that assistance is highly subsidized and available to everyone interested in starting up a firm, we ask why certain nascent entrepreneurs do not seek assistance. By using survey data consisting of an initial screening interview and a follow-up interview after 1 year, we are able to show that men and well-educated founders tend to refrain from professional assistance. Notably, those without any experience in the industry of the planned business are more apt not to seek assistance. This finding suggests that cognitive biases such as overconfidence might play a role in explaining the assistance-avoiding behaviour. Policy measures aiming at improving the knowledge of potential entrepreneurs are therefore well advised to target well-educated males in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Altunbaş Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Altunbaş Author-Name: Edward Jones Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Knowledge spillovers and the growth of British cities Abstract: The relative importance of intra-industry or inter-industry knowledge spillovers for the growth of cities remains an open question. Using a unique data set on the growth of 109 British cities during 1951--1991, we find evidence suggesting that the most important knowledge spillovers occur between rather than within industries, which is consistent with Jacobs (1969, 1985). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 162-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:162-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Larry Li Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The frequency and severity of operational losses: a cross-country comparison Abstract: We examine the proposition that cross-country differences in the factors determining the frequency and severity of operational losses lead to cross-country differences in the distribution and incidence of operational loss events in terms of frequency and severity. For this purpose, we consider 4388 operational loss events covering 11 countries or country groups. The results reveal differences with respect to the type of loss events prevailing in each country or country group as well as differences with respect to the dominance of events of certain type in a particular business line and corporate entity type. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:167-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. P. McCullough Author-X-Name-First: M. P. Author-X-Name-Last: McCullough Author-Name: T. L. Marsh Author-X-Name-First: T. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Author-Name: R. Huffaker Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Huffaker Title: Reconstructing market reactions to consumption harms Abstract: We investigate dynamic market reactions from harmful events using phase space reconstruction to analyse nonlinear dynamical systems. Phase space reconstruction analysis is applied to US beef consumption data, demonstrating market deviations and transitions from plausible, stable consumption patterns in response to product attributes (latent or nonlatent) coinciding with longer or shorter term human health harms (e.g. cholesterol) or food safety harms (e.g. Escherichia coli and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE)). The results support complex, nonlinear dynamic behavioural responses to perceived consumption harms. Consistent with previous research, the perceived negative long-run health effect from cholesterol caused consumers to transition their consumption behaviour from a higher to a lower level while retaining a persistent seasonal pattern. In contrast, responses to food safety information (i.e. E. coli or BSE) about beef derived from phase space reconstruction demonstrated temporary deviations from stable consumption patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.687091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.687091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:173-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott W. Fausti Author-X-Name-First: Scott W. Author-X-Name-Last: Fausti Author-Name: Matthew A. Diersen Author-X-Name-First: Matthew A. Author-X-Name-Last: Diersen Author-Name: Bashir A. Qasmi Author-X-Name-First: Bashir A. Author-X-Name-Last: Qasmi Author-Name: Jing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Brent Lange Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: The effect of animal gender on producer marketing behaviour Abstract: Weekly grid market share by volume for slaughter steers is compared with slaughter heifers. Summary statistics indicate average grid market share for steers (42%) is higher relative to heifers (33%). The literature indicates that pregnancy and increased dark cutter incidence associated with heifers relative to steers create additional financial risk when heifers are sold on a grid. Empirical evidence suggests that carcass quality risk is a plausible contributing factor to gender disparity with respect to grid market share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-185 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:180-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tajul Ariffin Masron Author-X-Name-First: Tajul Ariffin Author-X-Name-Last: Masron Author-Name: Eliza Nor Author-X-Name-First: Eliza Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Title: FDI in ASEAN-8: Does institutional quality matter? Abstract: The importance of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as a driver of economic development is no longer a secret. As a result, the competition to attract FDI is getting stiffer as any economy in the world is currently eyeing for FDI, including the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). With the emergence of China as a new attractive location for FDI, and as part of the alternatives to further enhance the attractiveness of ASEAN, this study analyses the role of institutional quality on FDI inflows into ASEAN. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 186-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.687090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.687090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:186-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongjai Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Hongjai Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: An empirical relationship between price elasticity and price levels Abstract: This study examines price competition between Duty-Free Stores (DFSs). The primary research question is the relationship between the own- and cross-store price elasticities, on the one hand, and the average price levels of DFS products, on the other hand. Using a unique data set of DFS sales in Korea combined with a hierarchical Bayesian model, we show that the own- and cross-store price elasticities increase significantly with the average price level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 190-193 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:190-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierpaolo Pattitoni Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Pattitoni Author-Name: Barbara Petracci Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Petracci Author-Name: Massimo Spisni Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Spisni Title: NAV discount in REITs: the role of expert assessors Abstract: Using a unique hand-collected data set that comprises the 2009 balance sheets of all Italian listed Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), we test whether Net Asset Value (NAV) discount can be explained by expert assessor overestimations. Our results suggest that expert assessors make conservative assessments of NAV values; thus, they are not responsible for NAV discounts. Furthermore, using the balance sheet disaggregated data of each REIT, we cluster properties by region and intended use and find that certain regions and types of properties are more discount-prone than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-198 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:194-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bidisha Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Xi Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Structural break between small and large firms' behaviour in trade credit and bank credit: evidence from India's retail sector Abstract: This article recognizes the simultaneity of firms' decision in choosing between the various options of external financing. Additionally, the analysis allows the combination of bank finance and trade credit finance to vary with the firm's size even when all the firms are operating within the same financial infrastructure. We use cross-sectional data for the retail sector in India and apply structural break analysis common to time-series analysis to a system of simultaneous equations to split the sample into small and large firms. We find that the smaller firms depend more strongly on trade credit than the larger firms. Bank credit is found to be strongly related with the proxy for available collateral for the small firms but not for the large firms indicating that the large firms are unconstrained with respect to bank credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Optimal size of currency swap between central banks: evidence from China Abstract: Currency swaps are used by central banks to provide short-term liquidity to help enhance financial stability for both counterparts. We apply the newsboy inventory optimization to interpret the factors related to the optimal size of a currency swap, and we find that the mean value of foreign exchange demand, its volatility and the distribution form are important for the optimal swap size. Empirical studies regarding swap arrangements between China and its trading partners show that total trade volume and its long-term SD are robust explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seonyeong Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seonyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Beomsoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Beomsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The impacts of air pollution on low birth weight Abstract: This study examines the impacts of air pollution on low birth weight by considering overtime variation in Korea in early 2000, when some parts of Korea experienced huge drop in air pollution due to regulation. The mother's exposure to ozone level above 0.12 ppm per hour during the first trimester increased the probability of low birth weight by 0.4 percentage point (0.08% of the sample mean). Exposure to carbon monoxide or sulphur dioxide (SO2) during the third trimester also led to a significant but modest increase in the probability of low birth weight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 208-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:208-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Woody M. Liao Author-X-Name-First: Woody M. Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Yen-Yu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Financing policy, executive stock options and cash flow forecasts Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between management voluntary disclosures of cash flow forecasts and external financing policy, earnings management, earnings forecasts and executive stock option compensation. We find that management is more likely to issue cash flow forecasts when a firm has external financing needs or when a firm has more executive stock option compensation. However, management is less likely to disclose cash flow forecasts when a firm has more earnings management. Consistent with the prior research, we document that a firm with high dividend payout, large asset value and high profitability tends to disclose cash flow information to convey good news. Further, if analysts have released earning forecasts, management is likely to issue cash flow forecasts to complement those analyst earnings forecasts. If analysts release cash flow forecasts, management is less likely to disclose cash flow forecasts to avoid issuing repeat forecasts. Our results, therefore, suggest that different incentives drive management disclosure decisions regarding cash flow forecasts in actual practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-226 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:213-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anichul Hoque Khan Author-X-Name-First: Anichul Hoque Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Hasnat Dewan Author-X-Name-First: Hasnat Author-X-Name-Last: Dewan Title: Factors correlating with long-lasting banking crises: a special focus on crisis resolution policy measures Abstract: The costs of a long-lasting banking crisis are high because both the depositors and the investors lose confidence in the banking system. For a rapid recovery from such a crisis, the government often undertakes Crisis Resolution Policy (CRP) measure(s). Existing studies have paid little attention to these CRP measures and their correlations with long-lasting banking crises. This study fills that literature void. The major finding is that the CRP measure that allows the regulation forbearance to keep the insolvent banks operative is strongly significant in increasing the duration of a banking crisis. Another CRP measure, which relieves bank borrowers from paying debt, is also significant but weakly significant in increasing the duration of a crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.688936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.688936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:227-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Cl�ment Marsilli Author-X-Name-First: Cl�ment Author-X-Name-Last: Marsilli Title: Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession Abstract: The global economic recession, referred to as the Great Recession, endured by the main industrialized countries during the period 2008--09, in the wake of the financial and banking crises, has pointed out the current importance of the financial sector in macroeconomics. In this article, we evaluate the predictive power of some major financial variables to anticipate GDP growth in euro area countries during this specific period of time. In this respect, we implement a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS)-based modelling approach, put forward by Ghysels et al. (2007), that enables to forecast quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates using exogenous variables sampled at higher frequencies. Empirical results show that, overall, stock prices help to improve the accuracy of GDP forecasts by comparison with a standard opinion survey variable, whereas oil prices and term spread appear to be less informative. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Banque de France. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Author-Name: Keiko Yamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: Keiko Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaguchi Title: A note on the yen/dollar rate without foreign exchange intervention Abstract: This article shows what the yen/dollar rate would be without foreign exchange interventions by the Japanese government for 61 086 billion yen. If there had been no interventions, then the yen/dollar rate in June 2011 may have been 54.30 instead of the actual rate of 80.52. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 238-243 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:238-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Does health capital have differential effects on economic growth? Abstract: Investigating the impact of health capital disaggregated by gender on economic growth in a sample of 210 countries over the period 1990 to 2008, this study suggests that the influence of health capital across countries cannot be generalized. The results for the full sample indicate that health capital does not have a robust and significant effect on economic growth unless through their interactions with health expenditure and education. The results disaggregated by income group reveal that health capital has a positive robust influence on economic growth in high and upper middle income economies. In low and low middle income economies, health capital gains statistical significance only through their interaction with education and health expenditure. Increased fertility rates act to reduce the influence of health capital on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 244-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:244-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dewei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dewei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Foreign exchange reserves management in the presence of jump risk Abstract: This article investigates how the jump in the exchange rate and risky asset can affect the central bank's foreign management. We find that the jump in the exchange rate has a positive impact on the need for the risky asset, whereas the jump in the risky asset has a negative impact. However, the overall impact relies on how effective the central bank can intervene in the exchange market. Specifically, if the central bank can intervene in the market effectively, the safety of foreign reserves becomes a more important issue, which will decrease the need for risky asset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 250-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:250-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: ’Til recession do us part: booms, busts and divorce in the United States Abstract: A general hypothesis regarding the impact of permanent income levels and business cycle fluctuations on divorce rate at the state level in the United States is analysed in this article. Based on the data for 45 states over the sample period of 1978--2009, it is shown that the higher the level of transitory income, the higher the incidence of divorce. In other words, divorce is pro-cyclical. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-261 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:255-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Go Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Go Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Volatility and mean spillovers between sovereign and banking sector CDS markets: a note on the European sovereign debt crisis Abstract: This article empirically assesses causality-in-variance and causality-in-mean between the Eurozone banking sector Credit Default Swap (CDS) index and the Greek sovereign CDS spread. We employ the Cross-Correlation Function (CCF) approach developed by Hong (2001) to daily data from January 2008 to December 2011. Our key findings are twofold. First, before the European sovereign debt crisis, significant unidirectional causality-in-variance and causality-in-mean were found from the bank CDS to the Greek sovereign CDS spreads. Second, during the crisis period, we detected significant causality-in-variance from the Greek sovereign CDS spreads to the bank CDS, implying that the deteriorated Greek sovereign solvency might have triggered contagion effects on the banking sector in the area. Our results are relevant for policymakers who provide regulations for the CDS markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 262-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:262-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: The messenger of inflation -- how media change political competition Abstract: Voters do not like bad economic news, especially rising inflation rates. How voters learn about this news, not simply the news itself, can affect electoral behaviour. This article reports a study of media and electoral behaviour between 1960 and 2006 in 70 democratic states. It demonstrates that high inflation rates, combined with intense media coverage, resulted in more political competition and tight electoral races. Our detailed results show that European (EU-27) voters are more sensitive to television and radio coverage than they are to printed press coverage of negative economic news when compared with non-European electorates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:267-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taggert J. Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Taggert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Kristen Monaco Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Monaco Title: Your cheatin’ heart: joint production, joint consumption and the likelihood of extramarital sex Abstract: Using data from the General Social Survey (GSS), we model the probability of engaging in Extramarital Sex (EMS) with a focus on variables that allow us to discern evidence of assortative mating. We find that couples with the same religion and both having high levels of education are less likely to engage in EMS. We also find that work status matters: those who are employed are more likely to cheat if their spouses are not working. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:272-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Marchand Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Marchand Author-Name: Sara Olfert Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Olfert Title: The US gender gap through the Great Recession using an alternative approach to cyclicality Abstract: Annual changes in the US gender gap are analysed before, during and after the Great Recession using a quasi-experimental approach, with treatment and comparison groups based on the industry composition within states. During this recession, the hourly wage gap was differentially reduced by seven to ten percentage points in states with a higher concentration of employment in male-dominant and cyclical industries, whereas the employment gap was differentially reduced by five to seven percentage points. Neither outcome was significantly altered in the years immediately before or after the recession. The evidence supports the pro-cyclicality of the gender gap movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 276-281 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:276-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Wen-Yi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Energy consumption and economic growth in 12 Asian countries: panel data analysis Abstract: This study examines ‘growth, conservation, neutrality or feedback’ hypotheses in 12 Asian countries for the period 1970 to 2010, using panel causality analysis, which accounts for dependency and heterogeneity across countries, supports evidence on the direction of causality and is consistent with the neutrality hypothesis in two-thirds of these 12 Asian countries. Growth hypothesis and conservation hypothesis hold for India and Philippines, respectively. However, a feedback was found for both Thailand and Vietnam. Thereby, the findings provide important policy implication for 12 Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 282-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:282-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. Lin Author-X-Name-First: J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: M. J. Wang Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: X. H. Xia Author-X-Name-First: X. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of panel unit root tests under factor structure Abstract: This article investigates and compares, through Monte Carlo experiments, the finite sample sizes and powers of the proposed ‘second-generation’ Panel Unit Root Tests (PUTs) under the strict and approximate factor structures, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 288-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.695067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.695067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:288-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Show-Lin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Show-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ching-Chin Chou Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Nen-Jing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Nen-Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A wavelet transform analysis of the relationship between unexpected macroeconomic news and foreign exchange rates Abstract: This study applies the wavelet transform technique to analyse the relationship between exchange rates of major currencies and the unexpected macroeconomic news. Hourly closing exchange rates of major currencies from 2000 to 2009 are utilized for wavelet analysis and those of 2010 are used for ex ante test. It is found that JPY and CHF are the most affected exchange rates, which are followed by EUR and GBP. The least affected exchange rates are AUD and CAD. In general, the most influential news is NFP, which is followed by ISM_M. These two factors have an impact on at least four currency exchange rates in the short, intermediate and long terms. UR is a short-term factor and the effect of NFP lasts for all the three time horizons considered. Ex ante test is carried out and the accuracy rates for EUR, AUD, GBP, CAD, CHF and JPY are 0.75, 0.5, 0.67, 0.83, 0.83 and 0.58, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 292-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:292-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petre Caraiani Author-X-Name-First: Petre Author-X-Name-Last: Caraiani Title: The uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: a wavelet-based perspective Abstract: One of the controversial issues in macroeconomics consists in whether the macroeconomic time series are better characterized as being driven by permanent shocks or by temporary shocks. We provide here new evidence using a recent unit-root test based on the wavelets methodology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-299 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:297-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Hasnat Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Hasnat Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Title: 3G spectrum auction aftermarket network deployment Abstract: This study empirically examines national 3G spectrum assignments for the years 2000--2007 to identify the sources and inhibitors of aftermarket network deployment. The analysis reveals that variables controlled by regulators have conflicting impacts on the deployment probability. In particular, placing more than one licence bid and stringent minimum prices enhance deployment. Conversely, encouraging entry and mandating infrastructure sharing discourage deployment. These findings should inform regulators' calculus in designing future 4G spectrum auctions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 300-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:300-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinuk S. Jayasuriya Author-X-Name-First: Dinuk S. Author-X-Name-Last: Jayasuriya Author-Name: Paul J. Burke Author-X-Name-First: Paul J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burke Title: Female parliamentarians and economic growth: evidence from a large panel Abstract: This article investigates whether female political representation affects economic growth. Panel estimates for 119 democracies using fixed-effects specifications and a system generalized method of moments approach suggest that, over recent decades, countries with higher shares of women in parliament have had faster growing economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 304-307 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:304-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michal Brzezinski Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Brzezinski Title: Top income shares and crime Abstract: This article estimates the relationship between income inequality approximated by the top 10% and 1% income shares derived from income tax return data and nine crime categories for the US states between 1979 and 2003. We fail to find a positive relationship between inequality and crime, except for the case of the top 10% share and motor vehicle theft. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-315 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:309-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Dungey Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Author-Name: J. P. A. M. Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: J. P. A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: J. Tian Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: S. van Norden Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: van Norden Title: On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition Abstract: This article places the data revision model of Jacobs and van Norden (2011) within a class of trend-cycle decompositions relating directly to the Beveridge--Nelson decomposition. In both these approaches, identifying restrictions on the covariance matrix under simple and realistic conditions may produce a smoothed estimate of the underlying series, which is more volatile than the observed series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-319 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:316-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Magdalene Silberberger Author-X-Name-First: Magdalene Author-X-Name-Last: Silberberger Title: Trade in pollutive industries and the stringency of environmental regulations Abstract: This article analyses the impact of trade in pollution-intensive industries on the stringency of environmental regulation. Using system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) regressions for a panel of 92 countries and the period 1998 to 2007, we find that an increase in net exports of pollution-intensive goods leads to a lowering of the stringency of environmental regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 320-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.695068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.695068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:320-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miki Malul Author-X-Name-First: Miki Author-X-Name-Last: Malul Author-Name: Daniel Shapira Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Shapira Author-Name: Amir Shoham Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Shoham Title: Practical modified Gini index Abstract: The Gini index is the most common method for estimating the level of income inequality in countries. In this article, we suggest a simple modification that takes into account the moderating effect of in-kind government benefits. Unlike other studies that use micro-level data that are rarely available for many countries or over a period of time, the proposed Modified Gini (MGINI) index could be calculated using just the regularly available data for each country. Such data include the original Gini coefficient, government consumption expenditures, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and total tax revenue as a percentage of GDP. This modified version of the Gini index allows us to calculate the level of inequality more precisely and make better comparisons between countries and over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-327 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.699182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.699182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:324-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Title: How to measure the progressivity of an income component Abstract: We argue that a general measure of progressivity should consider the ordering of the final incomes and not, as is usual, the ordering before the inclusion of the component being analysed. We also show that the general measure of progressivity is relevant in the decomposition of changes in the overall Gini index by components of income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 328-331 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.699181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.699181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:328-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Multiple Nash equilibria in tariff games Abstract: Unlike the case of competitive equilibria for which there is the index theorem, almost nothing is known about multiple equilibria in Nash games. Multiple Nash equilibria are hard to find computationally accounting for spare prior literature discussion. Existing numerical literature on tariff games either assumes uniqueness or uses restrictive functional forms that guarantees this is the case. Here, we show for pure exchange Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) two country models with tariffs both how the introduction of a tariff can generate multiple competitive equilibria and related examples of widely separated multiple Nash equilibria. These typically occur when substitution elasticities are low, although implied import demand elasticities can still be high if the shares of trade in consumption are small. The implication seems to be that as one moves away from the constant elasticity excess demands (offer curve) formulations used in the optimal tariff literature to explicit structural models of international trade, multiplicity of Nash equilibria may well be present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 332-342 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.701003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.701003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:332-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid A. Alkhathlan Author-X-Name-First: Khalid A. Author-X-Name-Last: Alkhathlan Title: Contribution of oil in economic growth of Saudi Arabia Abstract: This article examines the relationship between oil production and economic growth based on time-series data of Saudi Arabia from 1971 to 2010, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model approach for cointegration has been used. The innovative contribution of this study is to determine long-run relationship between oil production and economic growth by disaggregating oil production into domestic consumption of oil in industrial sector and revenues earned from export of oil. Results show that oil revenues have a strong positive impact on real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in both the short and the long runs, and this positive relationship holds for different specification of the model. Domestic consumption of oil in industrial sector has negative impact on GDP in both the short and the long runs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristiana Donati Author-X-Name-First: Cristiana Author-X-Name-Last: Donati Author-Name: Domenico Sarno Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Sarno Title: The impact of ICT on productivity of Italian firms: evaluation of the micro-complementarity hypothesis Abstract: The seminal work of Milgrom and Roberts (1990) established that interactions between factors such as Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), organization and human capital entail a complementary relationship between these inputs; from such interactions, firms are able to exploit productivity gains arising from ICT investment. The empirical analysis is conducted on a panel of Italian manufacturing firms covering the period 2001--2006. The application of a suited System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) estimator shows that for firms engaging ICT there exists a more coherent relationship between pair inputs and also among all three inputs considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dean R. Lillard Author-X-Name-First: Dean R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lillard Author-Name: Andrew Sfekas Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Sfekas Title: Just passing through: the effect of the Master Settlement Agreement on estimated cigarette tax price pass-through Abstract: In 1998, cigarette manufacturers and state attorneys general in the United States settled a group of lawsuits in an agreement known as the Master Settlement Agreement (MSA). Among the provisions of this agreement were a set of mandated escrow payments to the states that would be based on cigarette sales. The result of these provisions is that the apparent relationship between taxes and prices changed substantially following implementation of the MSA. This article estimates whether the MSA escrow amounts are reflected in prices and compares the pass-through rate of state and federal cigarette taxes only and the rate when one adds escrow payments. We find much different pass-through rates for the two measures. State and federal taxes are not fully passed to smokers. In years that escrow payments were made, cigarette prices increased by more than the sum of the state and federal taxes and the escrow payments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio Moral-Arce Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Arce Author-Name: Stefan Sperlich Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Sperlich Author-Name: Juan M. Rodriguez-Póo Author-X-Name-First: Juan M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Póo Title: Consumer behaviour analysis for luxury goods: a technical note for empirical studies Abstract: Today, many econometric tools are provided for studying consumer expenditures. Less attention has been paid to the fact that, when analysing expenditures for superior goods, these tools have to be adapted to some particularities that have a serious impact on the estimation outcome. First, the considered data, in our case household expenditures for jewellery in Spain, exhibit a strong censoring that must not be ignored. Second, our confidence bands show serious nonlinearities for basically all continuous covariates. Finally, it turns out that especially in the case of luxury goods, one has to control for endogeneity of the covariate ‘total expenditure’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 358-363 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:358-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Çule Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Çule Author-Name: M. E. Fulton Author-X-Name-First: M. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Fulton Title: Corporate governance and subjective well-being Abstract: The results from a cross-country empirical analysis show that corporate governance and ethics are linked to national scores of subjective well-being. This impact is over and above the effect that corporate governance has on national income, suggesting that people value corporate governance for additional reasons besides its economic impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 364-367 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:364-367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Which economic freedoms influence per capita real income? Abstract: Several recent empirical studies find a strong, positive impact of economic freedom on economic growth. This finding is predicated upon the argument that increased economic freedom elevates the pace of economic activity through incentives and other means and hence generates higher economic growth. This study focuses on a similar, but not identical, potential impact of higher economic freedom levels. In particular, this study investigates the hypothesis that higher levels of economic freedom promote higher levels of economic activity and hence higher levels of per capita real income. The context of this empirical study is the 30 nations of the OECD over the study period 2003 to 2006. Panel Least Squares (PLS) estimations reveal that the level of per capita real income is an increasing function of business freedom, freedom from corruption, investment freedom, monetary freedom, government size freedom, trade freedom and property rights freedom, whereas fiscal freedom, labour freedom and financial freedom do not appear to influence per capita real income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 368-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:368-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofia N. Andreou Author-X-Name-First: Sofia N. Author-X-Name-Last: Andreou Author-Name: Nicoletta Pashourtidou Author-X-Name-First: Nicoletta Author-X-Name-Last: Pashourtidou Title: A consumer demand approach to estimating the education quality component of housing cost Abstract: A consumer demand-based approach is proposed for estimating the shadow price of education relative to housing for households with children in state schools. This approach can be used together with or in place of a hedonic approach in countries in which the location of households is not disclosed in publicly available data. An empirical illustration is provided using UK data from the family expenditure surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Malamud Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Malamud Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: Slow growth and slow convergence in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: We expand on the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)--Rest of World (ROW) growth difference literature and find a robust and consistently negative coefficient of an SSA dummy variable over the period 1965 to 2000. Most importantly, we find that SSA countries converge more slowly, if at all, than ROW countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:377-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Cassey Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassey Author-Name: K. Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Six comparisons of firm-level and product-level data Abstract: We compare readily available product-level export data with hard-to-obtain firm-level export data along six dimensions such as value and the number of destination countries. We find the product data qualitatively match the firm-level data, but not quantitatively, particularly on dynamics. This is due to the categorization of products. However, product data can be used to establish a lower estimate on statistics compared with firm-level data that may be useful in monopolistic competition models of international trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 382-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:382-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Mussini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Mussini Title: A subgroup decomposition of the inequality change over time Abstract: This article proposes a subgroup decomposition of the determinants of the change in the Gini index over time. The decomposition allows one to explain the link between inequality change, reranking and income growth for the various subgroup components of the inequality index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 386-390 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:386-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos S. Thomaidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos S. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomaidis Title: On the application of cointegration analysis in enhanced indexing Abstract: We investigate the application of cointegration techniques in designing trading portfolios that outperform a market benchmark. Of particular interest is the situation of enhanced indexation with incomplete portfolios, that is, by imposing a limit on the maximum number of assets included in the portfolio. We present a technique for solving cardinality-constrained portfolio selection problems using cointegration analysis. We investigate the empirical performance of cointegration-based trading strategies in the context of benchmarking portfolios relative to a common stock market index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Peri Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Peri Author-Name: Lucia Baldi Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Baldi Author-Name: Daniela Vandone Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Vandone Title: Price discovery in commodity markets Abstract: This article investigates the long-run relationship between spot and futures prices for corn and soybean. We apply cointegration methodology, allowing for the presence of potentially unknown structural breaks and then study the causality relationships between spot and futures prices within each specific subperiod identified with the aim of analysing the price discovery. Empirical estimates highlight (i) multiple breaks exist in the cointegrating relationship between prices and (ii) subperiods consequently identified express different dynamics in the causal relationship between spot and futures prices and support the idea that fundamentals are important in explaining the 2007/08 food price increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-403 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:397-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: S. Hamori Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Dynamic linkages among cross-currency swap markets under stress Abstract: This article examines the impacts of the European sovereign debt crisis on the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) between three European currencies (EUR, CHF and GBP) and the US dollar for 1-year maturities. We found that the correlation between each pair of the swap prices significantly fluctuated over time and exhibited a higher co-movement during the crisis period, suggesting a higher degree of market integration. Importantly, applying a linear regression framework with a crisis dummy variable to the derived DCC, we find evidence of spillover effects of the sovereign debt turbulence to the cross-currency swap markets, as reflected in the increased co-movement between the EUR/USD and CHF/USD swap prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 404-409 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:404-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Ilker Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ilker Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Author-Name: Samer Kherfi Author-X-Name-First: Samer Author-X-Name-Last: Kherfi Title: Do changes in consumers' home buying attitudes predict directional change in home sales? Abstract: The Survey of Consumers probes consumer sentiment on personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. We focus on the latter category by examining the surveys question ‘Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house?’ and the follow-up question ‘Why do you say so?’ The responses to these questions provide us with several measures of consumers' home buying attitudes. We show that changes in survey data on home buying attitudes (measured by consumers' assessments of current and future mortgage interest rates and house prices) accurately predict the direction of change in home sales 3 months later. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Mongeon Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Mongeon Author-Name: Neil Longley Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Longley Title: A methodology for identifying the impacted groups in referee discrimination studies Abstract: This article presents an empirical methodology that allows one to identify the group being discriminated against by sport referees. Reestimating Price and Wolfers (2010, PW) discrimination in foul-calling analysis with our methodology, we find evidence that only black players are discriminated against. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 416-419 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:416-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eleftherios Goulas Author-X-Name-First: Eleftherios Author-X-Name-Last: Goulas Author-Name: Athina Zervoyianni Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Zervoyianni Title: Economic growth and crime: does uncertainty matter? Abstract: This article contributes to the crime literature by exploring how the crime--uncertainty interaction impacts on economic growth. Using a panel of 25 countries over the period 1991 to 2007, we find evidence suggesting that increased crime has an asymmetric effect on growth depending on the future prospects of the economy as reflected in the degree of macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, our results indicate that higher-than-average macroeconomic uncertainty enhances the adverse impact of crime on growth implying that a 10% increase in the crime rate can reduce annual per-capita GDP growth by between 0.49% and 0.62%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 420-427 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:420-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Al-Najjar Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Najjar Author-Name: Mohammed M. Elgammal Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elgammal Title: Innovation and credit ratings, does it matter? UK evidence Abstract: This study investigates the under-researched topic of credit rating predictions in the United Kingdom, using a sample of credit rated firms from FTSE 350 nonfinancial firms for the period 1999 to 2008. We aim to provide further insights regarding the credit ratings--capital structure hypothesis and to test whether innovation impacts credit ratings. We employed logit model and ordered probit analysis. Our results show that credit ratings are improved by innovation, profitability, growth, size, and reduction of leverage and business risk. However, firms with more innovation activities than internal optimum level have lower ratings. These results provide evidence that credit ratings can be viewed within the context of capital structure theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 428-431 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:428-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Beccarini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Beccarini Title: Economic reforms and the indirect role of monetary policy Abstract: Due to pressure from some lobbies, the government is unwilling to perform structural reforms. The probability of its re-election depends, however, on a positive business cycle. The central bank may create surprise deflation even though it maximizes the public's utility function and even if it faces a rational market. This may explain why the European Central Bank (ECB), but not the US Federal Reserve (FED), is found to be unaffected by the inflation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:432-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Serenis Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Serenis Title: Does exchange rate volatility hinder export flows for South American countries? Abstract: This article examines the influence of exchange rate volatility on exports for three South American countries (Bolivia, Colombia and Guyana) in the period January 1973 to February 2010. Using a new measure of volatility, a significant negative relationship is found between aggregate exports and volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 436-439 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:436-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Author-Name: Lee A. Craig Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Craig Title: Celebrity star power: Do age and gender effects influence box office performance? Abstract: Celebrity media exposure is an increasingly strong source of actor popularity and is a viable star power variable that focuses on the impact of celebrity, not acting talent. Using People to calculate an actor's popularity, we analyse how the gender and age of a movie's lead actors affect box office success using quantile regression. We find that male celebrity media exposure can positively impact the success of a movie, whereas female celebrity exposure tends to decrease box office revenues. The results also suggest that although it may be harder for older actresses to land a lead role, it is actually the older male actors who lack the ability to carry a movie. The results highlight that a linear regression may not be the optimal solution to assess the relationship between star power and box office revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-445 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:440-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Muhammad Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Muhammad Title: Estimating import demand in the presence of seasonal trade and unobserved prices Abstract: Estimating import demand is particularly difficult when trade is seasonal because prices do not exist for observations with no recorded transaction. Fresh apple imports in the United Kingdom provide a perfect case of this particular problem due to periodic trade. In this study, the differenced version of the almost ideal demand system is employed for estimating import demand by source and an iterative procedure is developed for deriving choke prices (prices at which imports are zero) and import demand estimates. The appeal of this procedure is that the final estimates and choke prices are not sensitive to the starting values used for the initial estimation. When comparing the results of the choke price procedure to a more traditional approach of eliminating zeros by aggregating across countries, significant differences emerge. Results clearly show that the aggregate estimates do not adequately reflect the pattern of UK imports from seasonal suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 446-451 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:446-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Wijeweera Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Wijeweera Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Title: J-curve disparity between the goods sector and the services sector: evidence from Australia Abstract: The J-curve effect phenomenon suggests that the currency devaluation would worsen the trade balance in the short run, but improve it in the long run. This article uses quarterly Australian data over the period 1988 to 2011 to examine whether J-curve effects are different between the two main components of the trade account: the goods sector and the services sector. Using the bound testing approach to cointegration and error correction modelling, we find some evidence to support the J-curve phenomenon, but the impact of real exchange rate on the trade account seems complex. While the services sector displays a J-curve effect, the goods sector response is quite the opposite: it has a positive response in the short run, but a weak negative response in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 452-456 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:452-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Lamotte Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Lamotte Author-Name: Thomas Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Author-Name: Christophe Schalck Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schalck Author-Name: Stephan Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Silvestre Title: Asymmetric gasoline price responses in France Abstract: This article examines the response of gasoline prices in France to shocks to crude oil prices in the international market. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach of cointegration, we investigate potential price asymmetries in the French diesel and premium gasoline markets using weekly data over the period from May 1990 to April 2011. We find that gasoline prices gradually adjust towards a long-term equilibrium after a shock to the crude oil price, but this adjustment is lower when the crude oil price decreases than when it increases. We also find that the estimates differ slightly depending on the chosen gasoline price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Blankmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Blankmeyer Title: Exploring Theil's best linear indexes Abstract: Theil (1960) estimates price and quantity indexes jointly by orthogonal regression. This letter shows how to bootstrap Theil's indexes and how to detect outliers. Aggregation issues are discussed, and the methodology is applied to a cross section of nursing facilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 462-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:462-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Public sector unions and government size Abstract: Although various studies have concluded that public sector unions raise wages and employment for members, very little research has examined whether public sector unionism influences the overall size of state and local government. The relationship is examined within a pooled data set on all states over selected years during 2003--2010. Wide variation in union membership trends across states provides a rich data set to examine. Empirical results indicate that 10 percentage point increases in public union membership raise several measures of government size within a range of 2.25--4.25%. A similar increase in union membership is estimated to raise annual real wages by $1603 for the average government worker, which amounts to a rise of 3.48%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-470 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:466-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoping Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The role of heterogeneous expectations in forward exchange market Abstract: We build a Markov regime switching model to examine the role of heterogeneous expectations in the forward exchange market, where the regime could be fundamentalists or chartists. Our empirical analysis of EUR/USD and USD/JPY forward markets suggest that the fundamen-talists who follow negative feedback rule provide a mean-reverting dynamics into the market, while the chartists who follow positive feedback rule would reinforce the forward exchange rate movement. Finally, we find the chartists tend to switch to fundamentalists when the forward rate deviates away from its equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-475 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:471-475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Magonis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Magonis Author-Name: Andreas Tsopanakis Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsopanakis Title: Real interest rate parity in OECD countries: new evidence from time series and panel cointegration techniques Abstract: We examine the existence of Real Interest Rate Parity (RIRP) for a number of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Using time series techniques, we manage to identify cointegrating relationships. For a subset of countries our findings suggest the existence of a structural break. The panel results are also in favour of the RIRP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 476-479 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:476-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Giles Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Constructing confidence bands for the Hodrick--Prescott filter Abstract: By noting that the Hodrick--Prescott (H--P) filter can be used as the solution to a particular regression problem, we are able to show how to construct confidence bands for the filtered time-series. This procedure requires that the data are stationary. The construction of such confidence bands is illustrated using annual US data for real value-added output and monthly US data for the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 480-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:480-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Benrud Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Benrud Title: Was there an option-listing effect for the IRX options? Abstract: Properties of the 3-month Treasury bill rate changed on and around the listing date of the IRX options for which the Treasury bill rate is the underlying. The level of return declined, the volatility declined and dummy variables for the day of listing and the 2 days after are negative and significant in an econometric model. The changes are consistent with the option-listing effect observed with the listing of options on stocks and American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-488 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:485-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Currency crises, uncertain fundamentals and private-sector forecasts Abstract: The cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts has been used in recent research on currency crises as a measure of uncertainty over expected fundamentals. We argue that the cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts need not only reflect uncertainty over expected fundamentals but may also arise due to a deliberate scattering of forecasts. Using data on foreign exchange (FX) reserve forecasts for 11 South-American and Eastern-European countries, we report evidence of such a forecast scattering that seems more pronounced during the economic crisis of 2008/09. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.716149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.716149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Estefania Santacreu-Vasut Author-X-Name-First: Estefania Author-X-Name-Last: Santacreu-Vasut Author-Name: Amir Shoham Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Shoham Author-Name: Victor Gay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Gay Title: Do female/male distinctions in language matter? Evidence from gender political quotas Abstract: This article studies the determinants of gender political quota and enforcement sanctions, two key policy instruments for increasing female participation in politics. We find a novel empirical fact: language (the pervasiveness of gender distinctions in grammar) is the most significant related variable to quota adoption, more than traditional explanations such as economic development, political system and religion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-498 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:495-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Waël Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Waël Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Hachmi Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: Hachmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ameur Title: Do the US trends drive the UK--French market linkages?: empirical evidence from a threshold intraday analysis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of US stock market openings on linkages between the UK and French markets. Using intraday data over the period December 2004 to March 2009, we find significant time-varying dependence between the UK and French stock returns, which alter according to the state of the US market. Indeed, not only does the opening of the US market itself significantly affect the UK stock dependency, but such linkages also seem to be closely dependent on bearish or bullish US market trends. Interestingly, the estimation of a two-regime Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model indicates that the bearish US trends are a source of minor linkage (lower regime), whereas the bullish US trends involve higher interdependency (upper regime). This finding is particularly interesting as following the US trend expectations enables us to better forecast future European stock prices and to calculate the level of their potential contagion effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harold Creusen Author-X-Name-First: Harold Author-X-Name-Last: Creusen Author-Name: Arjan Lejour Author-X-Name-First: Arjan Author-X-Name-Last: Lejour Title: Market entry and economic diplomacy Abstract: This article analyses the role of economic diplomacy on the export market entry decisions of Dutch firms. We show that the presence of government support offices in middle-income countries and government trade missions stimulate Dutch firms to enter export markets in these countries. These conclusions follow from using detailed international trade data combined with firm and export market characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 504-507 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:504-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Edward W. McLaughlin Author-X-Name-First: Edward W. Author-X-Name-Last: McLaughlin Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Salience and taxation: salience effect versus information effect Abstract: Posting tax-inclusive price tags on grocery products can reduce demand through an information effect that corrects consumers who misperceive the actual tax status. We disentangle the information effect from the salience effect developed by Chetty, Looney and Kroft (2009, CLK for short). By utilizing CLK's survey finding that 20% of shoppers mistakenly think there is no sales tax on toothpaste, we show that the information effect actually explains 31% of the sales drop in CLK's field study. Therefore, ignoring the information effect may overestimate the salience effect by a large degree. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 508-510 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:508-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos González-Aguado Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: González-Aguado Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Title: Determinants of corporate default: a BMA approach Abstract: In this article, we aim to identify the main determinants of corporate default by considering Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) techniques. Our empirical findings suggest that the most robust determinants of firm default are firm-specific variables such as the ratio of working capital to total assets and the SD of the firm stock return. In contrast, aggregate variables do not seem to play a relevant role once firm-specific characteristics (observable and unobservable) and model uncertainty are taken into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-514 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:511-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-François Arvis Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Arvis Author-Name: Ben Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: The Poisson quasi-maximum likelihood estimator: a solution to the ‘adding up’ problem in gravity models Abstract: This article shows that the Poisson Quasi-Maximum Likelihood (QML) estimator applied to the gravity model produces estimates in which, summing across all partners, actual and estimated total trade flows are identical. Other methods such as OLS do not have this desirable property. Indeed, Poisson is the only QML estimator that preserves total trade flows. This result is an additional reason for preferring Poisson as a workhorse gravity model estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-519 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:515-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shao-Chi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ming-Tse Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Tse Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Long-run performance of mergers and acquisition of privately held targets: evidence in the USA Abstract: In this study, we examine the long-run performance of firms acquiring privately held targets. Past studies have documented a positive market reaction to the announcement of Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) of privately held targets. The M&As of privately held targets involve uncertain information, which investors are more likely to misestimate. In this study, we tested the long-run performances of acquiring firms and found negative results. We further found that the stock performance of acquiring firms was superior prior to the M&A. Our results suggest that investors may over-extrapolate prior good performance and that the long-run reversed return corrects the overestimation in response to announcements of M&A. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 520-524 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:520-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyung-Gun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyung-Gun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sang Young Jei Author-X-Name-First: Sang Young Author-X-Name-Last: Jei Title: Empirical test for purchasing power parity using a time-varying parameter model: Japan and Korea cases Abstract: This study examines the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for Japan and Korea by using a smooth time-varying cointegrating regression model. When we use the usual approaches, including unit root and cointegration tests, we fail to find the existence of the PPP for Japan and Korea. However, we find there is a time-varying cointegrating relationship between the logarithm of nominal exchange rates and the logarithm of the Producer Price Indices (PPI) ratio for Japan and Korea. This relationship does support the PPP theory. Moreover, we also find that the exact PPP theory holds for some periods in Japan and Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarko Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jarko Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: Financial development and the magnitude of business cycle fluctuations in OECD countries Abstract: We study empirically how the development of financial systems influences the magnitude of output growth fluctuations in a sample of OECD countries between 1995 and 2005. While the development of banking sectors is not significantly related to the magnitude of macroeconomic fluctuations, countries characterized by developed stock markets experience less pronounced fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 530-533 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:530-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo Ph. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Ph. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Lee W. Sanning Author-X-Name-First: Lee W. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanning Author-Name: Nathan V. Stuart Author-X-Name-First: Nathan V. Author-X-Name-Last: Stuart Title: On the relation between the relative size of acquisitions and the wealth of acquiring firms Abstract: There are dozens of studies in the mergers and acquisitions literature that include the relative size of an acquisition as an additive control variable in models explaining acquisition wealth effects. A majority of these studies document a positive coefficient estimate on relative size, but many document a negative coefficient estimate instead. Our study demonstrates that these seemingly contradictory findings stem from a misspecification of the functional form of the relation between Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR) and relative size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 534-539 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:534-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David C. Broadstock Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Broadstock Author-Name: Xun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A possible role for discriminatory fuel duty in reducing the emissions from road transport: some UK evidence Abstract: It is shown that the relative demands for gasoline and diesel fuels are price-responsive. Given the differing emissions-based externalities from these two fuel types, it is contended that discriminatory fuel duty might be a means to reduce these externalities. Results are derived from an Almost Ideal Demand System with time-varying technological progress, estimated using a bootstrap procedure given the nonnormalities and relative small sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 540-544 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:540-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Trezzi Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Trezzi Title: Perfect risk-sharing restrictions in the state space Abstract: I propose a state-space approach to test for international risk sharing at different horizons. Running the tests on US data vis-à-vis the rest of the world, I find that market incompleteness is pervasive: the null is rejected at all horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew T. Young Author-X-Name-First: Andrew T. Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Hernando Zuleta Author-X-Name-First: Hernando Author-X-Name-Last: Zuleta Title: Remeasuring labour's share Abstract: Krueger (1999) provides a measure of ‘raw’ labour's share for the US post-war economy based on Mincerian regressions. He finds that raw labour's share fell by over 8 percentage points from 1959 to 1996. We provide an alternative estimate using direct observations on the wage rates of raw labour units, i.e. those with 8 years of education or less; aged 16--18 years. Our measure of raw labour's share is considerably higher on average than Krueger's. Furthermore, our measure rises during the later part of the sample and is over 22% by 1996. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Income elasticity of poverty in developing countries: updated estimates from new data Abstract: New data on poverty released by World Bank in March 2012 are used to provide estimates of income (growth) elasticity of poverty for 2005--2008 and to compare these with two earlier periods. Five points are noted. First, there is a big drop in the overall elasticity for developing countries for 2005--2008, indicating a considerably weaker response of poverty to increased income. Second, the drop is particularly sharp for $1.25 poverty rate but is fairly substantial for $2.00 line also. Third, the fall largely reflects a slowdown in poverty reduction in China from the extremely high declines in previous periods and the consequent drop in the elasticities for that country. Fourth, the elasticities, particularly that for $2.00 line, continue to be extremely low in poverty-dense India where $2.00 poverty rate is still higher than that even in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Fifth, the good progress towards the poverty goal of the Millennium Declaration is once again noted to be almost entirely due to the huge poverty declines that have occurred in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 554-558 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:554-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Corsini Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Corsini Title: Is there really no link between international trade and wage differentials? Abstract: This article investigates empirically the relationship between international trade (in particular with non-OECD countries) and wage differentials of workers with different skills. We examine years from 1996 to 2005 in several countries and, whereas past studies (using data from previous years) had not detected any relevant relationship, we find a clean-cut positive effect of imports from non-OECD countries on differentials. In addition, we find evidence that technological change is having a polarization effect on wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-565 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:559-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Capital account liberalization and unemployment in industrial countries Abstract: Using data on 21 industrial countries over 1973 to 2005, this article finds that the liberalization of capital accounts implemented during this period has probably reduced unemployment. The magnitude of the estimated effect is substantial. We control for both endogeneity of capital account regulation and all major determinants of unemployment. The results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 566-571 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:566-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aberra Senbeta Author-X-Name-First: Aberra Author-X-Name-Last: Senbeta Title: Remittances and the sources of growth Abstract: This article studies the effects of remittances on economic growth and the sources of growth:capital accumulation and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth. This approach is different from previous studies, in that, it focuses on the transmission mechanism instead of the impact of remittances on economic growth. We find that remittances have conflicting effects on the two sources of growth: capital accumulation and productivity growth. Remittances have a significantly positive impact on capital accumulation while the impact on TFP growth is insignificant. These findings suggest that while remittances enhance investment and contribute to physical capital accumulation, the lack of efficiency enhancing effect or possible adverse impact on TFP growth would make the net effect on economic growth ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 572-580 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:572-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bobby Davis Author-X-Name-First: Bobby Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Author-Name: Louis Whitesides Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Whitesides Title: The intertemporal stability of the US money demand function: new evidence from switching regressions Abstract: The demand for money remains one of the topics most extensively studied in macroeconomics. This article contributes to the debate on the money demand stability and presents further evidence of a structural shift in the US money demand function. The switching regression technique developed by Goldfeld and Quandt (1972) shows that the US money demand function displays a gradual structural break during the 1994--1995 period. The traditional Goldfeld money demand model was estimated by the nonlinear optimization methods. Consumer and corporate interest rates were included in the model specifications. In all specifications, the results show a two-regime money demand model with a significant structural shift common to the 1994--1995 period. The study period from 1966:I to 2009:IV suggests that any identified shift is the most significant break in the series. Thus, this study demonstrates that the most significant transition from the first to the second regime is gradual rather than abrupt, as suggested by the previous studies. We believe that the cause of the gradual break may be associated with the US recession in the 1992--1993 period. This finding suggests that a two-regime demand model can be used in US money demand analysis and forecasting in future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-586 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:581-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beldi Amira Author-X-Name-First: Beldi Author-X-Name-Last: Amira Author-Name: Djelassi Mouldi Author-X-Name-First: Djelassi Author-X-Name-Last: Mouldi Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Growth effects of inflation targeting revisited: empirical evidence from emerging markets Abstract: This study investigates the impact of Inflation Targeting (IT) on real economic growth and real economic growth volatility for a panel of 36 emerging economies from 1979 to 2009. The results suggest that although IT regime results in higher economic growth, it does not necessarily guarantee a more stable growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Bouvier Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Bouvier Author-Name: Tahir M. Nisar Author-X-Name-First: Tahir M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nisar Title: Managerial capital and firm types: findings from private bond contracts Abstract: Field experiments have variously discovered that modern management practices enhance productivity, but not all firms adopt such practices. In this study, we examine private bond contracts used by the public house operators to explore if such variations are due to the differences in the types of the firms. Bond covenants make management actions in areas such as acquisitions and disposals contingent on meeting specified performance targets. We find that managed firms that provide greater flexibility in managing their operations are more responsive to these constraints than tenanted firms. The significant variations in the propensity of the firms to respond to covenant restrictions suggest that firms vary in their capacity to take different management actions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 592-595 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:592-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elitza Mileva Author-X-Name-First: Elitza Author-X-Name-Last: Mileva Title: Voluntary private sector involvement and the financial crisis in emerging Europe Abstract: In 2009, as part of the European Bank Coordination Initiative (also known as the Vienna Initiative (VI)), foreign banks with significant interests in emerging Europe signed voluntary commitment letters to maintain exposure to five countries as long as their International Monetary Fund/European Union (IMF/EU) stabilization programmes remained on track. Using panel regressions based on international bank lending data for 19 emerging European states for 2000--2010, this article shows that countries with Stand-by Arrangements with the IMF attracted less foreign bank lending than justified by fundamentals. However, countries that obtained official financing and participated in the VI did not experience the decline in foreign private loans associated with IMF programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 596-600 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.724157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.724157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:596-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: A Monte Carlo test for the identifying assumptions of the Blanchard and Quah (1989) model Abstract: In their VAR model, Blanchard and Quah (BQ, 1989) employed uncorrelatedness between Aggregate Supply (AS) and Aggregate Demand (AD) shocks and the long-run output neutrality condition as identifying assumptions. This article conducts a simple Monte Carlo experiment to gauge how well the BQ procedure can approximate the true structure if the underlying assumptions of uncorrelatedness and long-run output neutrality are not supported by data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio del Rosal Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: del Rosal Title: Delivery terms in international trade: some evidence for Spain Abstract: Although there is abundant literature on the analysis of transportation costs in international trade, there are practically no studies concerning delivery terms defined in the International Commercial Terms (Incoterms). This article aims to take a first step using the information on Incoterms usage provided by the Spanish Foreign Trade Statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 606-610 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:606-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iwan Bos Author-X-Name-First: Iwan Author-X-Name-Last: Bos Author-Name: Ronald Peeters Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Peeters Author-Name: Erik Pot Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Pot Title: Do antitrust agencies facilitate meetings in smoke-filled rooms? Abstract: This article identifies a potential adverse effect of antitrust enforcement. We show that if tacit collusion is not sustainable, firms are able and willing to collude explicitly when demand is viscous, the expected antitrust penalty is limited and antitrust agencies are sufficiently effective in catching cartels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroaki Miyamoto Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Miyamoto Title: Ins and outs of the long-run unemployment dynamics Abstract: This article studies the contribution of inflow and outflow rates to the unemployment dynamics in the long-run. I find that both inflow and outflow rates contribute significantly to variation in the long-run trend in the unemployment rate in both the United States and Japan. In the United States, the inflow and outflow rates account for roughly similar proportions of overall unemployment variability in the long run. On the other hand, in Japan, the inflow rate accounts for much of unemployment variation in the long run, and the contribution of the inflow rate to overall unemployment fluctuation is around 62%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-620 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:615-620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: Interpolating flow and stock variables in a continuous-time dynamic framework Abstract: A continuous-time dynamic interpolation method for deriving high-frequency data is illustrated by deriving monthly data from quarterly data on two US macroeconomic variables: industrial production as a flow variable and the money supply as a stock variable. Analysis of the actual and interpolated series shows that they do not differ significantly in terms of the basic statistics and that they are cointegrated with a cointegarting vector of (--1,0,1). Unlike other interpolation methods, this method distinguishes between stock and flow variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-625 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:621-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Ebersberger Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Ebersberger Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Title: The relationship between international innovation collaboration, intramural R&D and SMEs’ innovation performance: a quantile regression approach Abstract: In the current global economic landscape, it is virtually impossible for any single firm to stay abreast of all relevant technological advances. Thus integration in global innovation networks is becoming more and more important for competitiveness and growth. However, the fact that international collaboration is organizationally demanding raises important questions concerning the relative importance of international collaboration and intramural R&D for innovation performance, and how they interact in determining it. These questions are particularly relevant in the context of SMEs due to the narrower internal knowledge bases of smaller organizations. In the following they are investigated using Norwegian innovation survey data and quantile regression. Firms in the upper quantile of the innovation performance distribution face a trade-off between engaging in global innovation collaboration and engaging in systematic R&D, where both individually have a positive effect. This is consistent with baseline OLS findings. By contrast, firms in the lower quantiles of the distribution are found to strengthen their performance by means of R&D only. Consequently, the baseline OLS regression results fail to capture the determinants of innovation performance for the population of SMEs that are not already strong innovation performers. This leads to a risk of excessive SME innovation policy emphasis on inducing international collaboration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 626-630 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.724158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.724158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:626-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Leandro de Moura Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Leandro Author-X-Name-Last: de Moura Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: de Jesus Filho Author-Name: Paulo S�rgio Braga Tafner Author-X-Name-First: Paulo S�rgio Braga Author-X-Name-Last: Tafner Author-Name: Ligia Helena da Cruz Ourives Author-X-Name-First: Ligia Helena Author-X-Name-Last: da Cruz Ourives Title: Social security effects on income distribution: a counterfactual analysis for Brazil Abstract: One of the reasons for the existence of social security systems is that they function as an income redistribution mechanism (Diamond, 1977). Nevertheless, there is no obvious consensus about this social security property. We test it to the Brazilian case and try to answer an additional question: is the trend of social security systems increasingly progressive or regressive? We conclude that the changes in Brazilian Social Security legislation reduced inequality between 1987 and 1996, but only for the elderly. For the other age groups, there is a stable trend. Results for the period between 1996 and 2006 reveal that the Brazilian system is neutral for all cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-637 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:631-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan J. Ashby Author-X-Name-First: Nathan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ashby Author-Name: Avilia Bueno Author-X-Name-First: Avilia Author-X-Name-Last: Bueno Author-Name: Deborah Mart�nez Villarreal Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Mart�nez Author-X-Name-Last: Villarreal Title: The determinants of immigration from Mexico to the United States: a state-to-state analysis Abstract: The determinants of undocumented immigration flows from Mexican states to US states utilizing data recently released by the Mexican Consulate are analysed. The results generally support that immigrants tend towards states with higher Mexican immigrant populations, shorter distances, higher wages and smaller populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 638-641 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:638-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Homo certus in professional basketball? Empirical evidence from the 2011 NBA Playoffs Abstract: The current article builds on Berri and Eschker's (2005) research on the impact of crunch time, or pressure-packed performance, in professional basketball by searching for changes in individual player performance near the end of the game. In this way, our study is similar to the study of Savage and Torgler (2012), which examined World Cup soccer performances. Here, we focus solely on National Basketball Association (NBA) Playoff games (from 2011), which are the most stressful games to players. The empirical analyses presented in this study generally confirm earlier research contending that the existence of a prime time or clutch player in the NBA is a myth. On the contrary, our work supports the idea that professional basketball fans often exhibit confirmation bias, wherein they tend to overweight clutch performances that support their a priori beliefs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 642-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:642-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles R. Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Link Author-Name: Shreekant Parasuraman Author-X-Name-First: Shreekant Author-X-Name-Last: Parasuraman Author-Name: Michael F. Pollack Author-X-Name-First: Michael F. Author-X-Name-Last: Pollack Title: The effects of hypertension and obesity on total health-care expenditures of diabetes patients in the United States Abstract: We identify a representative sample of US diabetes patients with comorbid hypertension and obesity and then evaluate health-care expenditures in this population across comorbidity categories. The underlying hypothesis is that the presence of comorbid obesity and hypertension poses an additional burden on patients with diabetes, thus impacting their overall resource utilization. More than one-third of diabetes patients suffer from comorbid obesity and hypertension, which outnumbers diabetes patients with neither or only one of these comorbidities. The results of multivariate regressions clearly show the significant impact these comorbidities have on the health-care expenditures of the diabetes population. For example, a person with diabetes and obesity has health-care expenditures 14% greater than a diabetes patient without obesity. Adding hypertension to a diabetes patient raises health-care expenditures by 26%. Finally, diabetes patients with both comorbid obesity and hypertension -- the fastest growing group of diabetes patients -- have health-care expenditures 40% higher than those without these comorbidities. Our results indicate that diabetes patients are placing an increasing strain on health-care resources, and health-care providers should consider the management of comorbid hypertension and/or obesity, as these have significant effects on resource utilization and expenditures beyond the underlying diabetes condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Structural breaks and nonlinearity in US and UK public debts Abstract: This article investigates the short-term dynamics of public debts in the United States and the United Kingdom over more than four decades. We check for structural changes in the data and assess nonlinearity and switching-regime hypotheses using several linearity tests. Our findings point to multiple structural breaks due to economic downturns, oil shocks and financial and political instability. We also identify different regimes for which the adjustment is asymmetric and nonlinear, in particular, since 2003 and around the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Poschke Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Poschke Title: ‘Entrepreneurs out of necessity’: a snapshot Abstract: ‘Entrepreneurs out of necessity’ as identified by the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) survey are a sizeable group across countries. This article documents that they tend to have low education, run smaller firms, expect their firms to grow less, but are likely to stay in the market. This evidence matters for policy supporting small businesses. It is a challenge for existing theories of heterogeneous firms and points to the importance of heterogeneous outside options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 658-663 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:658-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bilin Neyapti Author-X-Name-First: Bilin Author-X-Name-Last: Neyapti Title: Turkey's experience with disinflation: where did all the welfare gains go? Abstract: This article measures the welfare gains from disinflation in Turkey during the 2000s. Estimated welfare gains exceed the real output gains, which is likely to arise from persisting allocative inefficiencies, pointing at the need for further structural and institutional reforms for the benefits of price stability to be utilized towards achieving sustainable development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 664-668 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:664-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending Abstract: We use a panel of developed and emerging countries for the period 1970 to 2008 to assess the cyclicality of education, health and social security government spending. We mostly find acyclical behaviour, but evidence also points to counter-cyclicality for social security spending, particularly in OECD countries, consistent with the operation of automatic stabilizers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Scott Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: The effect of assassinations on political institutions: Are the Jones--Olken findings robust? Abstract: Jones and Olken (JO; 2009) report that the outcome of an assassination attempt -- whether it is successful or not -- matters for political institutions. We question how these institutions are classified. Revisiting their methodology shows that their findings are generally robust to reasonable differences in classification, thereby strengthening their conclusions that leadership and luck matter for political outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Podlich Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Podlich Author-Name: M. Wedow Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wedow Title: Are insurers SIFIs? A MGARCH model to measure interconnectedness Abstract: We examine whether insurance companies should, like banks, be regulated as Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs). For this purpose, we empirically model the interconnectedness between different sectors of the financial system with a multivariate GARCH model using the information content of Credit Default Swap (CDS) prices. Our findings suggest that large insurers transmit risks to other parts of the financial system. The magnitude of these contagion effects is substantially lower than those of large banks that are currently treated as SIFIs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Xiliang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The relative importance of the Chinese stimulus package and tax stabilization during the 2008 financial crisis Abstract: The general presumption in the policy literature has been that China's sustained high growth since 2008 and the global financial crisis (with a dip in Q1 2009) have been heavily reflections of the November 2008 4-trillion Renminbi stimulus package. Less attention has been paid to the revenue side of the government account, even though immediately following the onset of the crisis, government revenues fell after growing at roughly 30% annually pre-crisis. The issue we address in this article is the relative importance of expenditure stimulus and tax stabilization after the onset of the 2008 crisis. We use a Keynesian macroeconomic model of China recast in changes form to quantitatively evaluate the relative importance of the stimulus and automatic tax stabilization components. Our simulation results indicate that without the stimulus package, the economic growth in 2009 would have been only 6.8%, and without slowed growth of government revenues, the growth rate in 2009 would have been only 6.0%. Our conclusion is that while increases in government spending and revenue reduction stimulus from automatic revenue responses both contributed to the speedy recovery of the Chinese economy from the crisis, the tax side may have contributed more than the expenditure side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 682-686 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:682-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Author-Name: Marie-Helene Le Manchec Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Helene Author-X-Name-Last: Le Manchec Title: Heterogeneity in the allocation of external public financing: evidence from post-MDRI countries Abstract: This article revisits the evidence on the allocation of external public financing to post-MDRI countries while controlling for heterogeneity across recipient economies through quantile regressions. The results show that donors were more selective in terms of institutional quality when allocating aid to countries with the highest income per capita in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.652774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.652774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: International mobility of capital in the OECD countries: a robust evidence from panel data estimators Abstract: This study estimates the Feldstein and Horioka (FH, 1980) model and examines the International Mobility of Capital (IMC) for a balanced panel of 24 OECD countries. The results provide consistent support for moderate mobility of capital and for cointegrating relationship between domestic saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 692-696 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:692-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Levent Bulut Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Bulut Title: Current account dynamics and degree of capital mobility Abstract: By modelling the current account balances (as a percentage of GDP) in a dynamic AR(1) model, Taylor (2002) proposed to use speed of mean reversion of the dynamics of the current account as a tool for measurement of capital mobility and confirmed the stylized fact of U-Shape degree of capital mobility through the last two centuries with this new approach. With the assumption that countries obey their Long-Run Budget Constraint (LRBC), the OLS estimate of the degree of current account persistency in Taylor (2002) is downward bias due to small sample and high serial correlation of current account ratios with its lags. By correcting these biases with the Andrews (1993) exact median-unbiased estimation, we find that the confidence intervals for half-life estimates include 1 year (which was used as a benchmark) in 37 out of 75 country--period cases, which cast some doubt on the use of half-life estimate as a practical measure of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-701 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:697-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dijkgraaf Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dijkgraaf Author-Name: R. H. J. M. Gradus Author-X-Name-First: R. H. J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gradus Title: Cost advantage cooperations larger than private waste collectors Abstract: For refuse collection, we estimate the cost effects of different institutional modes using panel data for almost all Dutch municipalities between 1998 and 2010. The modes we consider are private enterprises, intermunicipal cooperation, municipality-owned enterprises and in-house collection. For private companies, the cost advantage becomes substantially smaller and nonsignificant if municipal fixed effects are included. The cost advantage of intermunicipal cooperation is larger in this case than that of privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 702-705 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:702-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Celia Bilbao-Terol Author-X-Name-First: Celia Author-X-Name-Last: Bilbao-Terol Author-Name: Verónica Cañal-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Verónica Author-X-Name-Last: Cañal-Fernández Title: The price of secondary school quality: a hedonic approach Abstract: The aim of this article is to calculate the market valuation of quality characteristics and locational attributes of private secondary school in Spain. In order to achieve this, a hedonic price regression is estimated. The quality characteristics of a school appear to be important determinants of tuition in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:706-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: Red cards, referee home bias and social pressure: evidence from English Premiership Soccer Abstract: This article uses player/match-level data from five seasons of the English Premiership League (EPL) to test for home bias and referee susceptibility to social pressure in the application of the most stringent disciplinary sanction available to a referee. We find persuasive evidence for the former but none for the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 710-714 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:710-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Ljungwall Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Ljungwall Author-Name: Patrik Gustavsson Tingvall Author-X-Name-First: Patrik Gustavsson Author-X-Name-Last: Tingvall Title: Is China different? A meta-analysis of China's financial sector development Abstract: We examine whether China has benefited more from financial development than other countries. The results show that financial development has been less significant for growth in China than in other countries, even when China is compared with other transition economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Measuring credit risk by using a parameterized model under risk-neutral measure Abstract: This article assesses credit risk by using a parameterized model under risk-neutral measure, elaborating the assumption of Byström and Kwon (2007) by using interpolation to estimate the risk-free yield curve. The required data are minimal; the proposed model only necessitates information regarding loans, such as loan rates, and risk-free rates that can avoid shortcomings of rating data. The default probabilities are estimated under risk-neutral measure though few studies have done so. The empirical results show that default probabilities of financial distress are higher compared to those of normal firms. Furthermore, the proposed model is also closely associated with the economic state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena D'Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: D'Agostino Author-Name: Emiliano Sironi Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Sironi Author-Name: Giuseppe Sobbrio Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Sobbrio Title: The role of education in determining the attitudes towards crime in Europe Abstract: Using data from the European Social Survey (ESS), we investigate the relationship between education and attitudes towards offences and crime. The results suggest that in a European context years spent in education are positively associated with more permissive attitudes towards criminal behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 724-727 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.739280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.739280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:724-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Fábio Sanches Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Author-X-Name-Last: Sanches Author-Name: Igor Souza Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: Jos� Carlos Domingos da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Author-X-Name-Last: Carlos Domingos da Silva Title: Does monitoring affect corruption? Career concerns and home bias in football refereeing Abstract: This article evaluates refereeing bias in football games. Using a data set for Brazilian Championship, we find that referees systematically favour home teams setting more extra time in close matches in which home teams are behind. Career concerns seem to be relevant, since monitoring inhibits this behaviour and the effect of the refereeing bias on the probability of scoring in the extra time is quantitatively negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 728-731 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.736938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.736938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:728-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Erik Bohlin Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Bohlin Author-Name: Hajime Oniki Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Oniki Author-Name: Thien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Potential demand for m-government services in Japan Abstract: This article attempts to identify factors that influence the potential demand for m-government service adoption in Japan by analysing survey responses. This study identifies smartphone ownership, mobile application activity and e-government subscription as demand drivers. These results suggest government should encourage Juki cards and the e-tax payment system adoption and support programmes to encourage smartphone ownership and mobile application subscriptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 732-736 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.736939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.736939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:732-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Imran Husssain Shah Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Husssain Shah Title: Stability price index, core inflation and output volatility Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the ‘exclusion’ type Core Inflation (CI) measures and the stability price index. Empirical results for Malaysia and Pakistan suggest that if targeting CI index is to stabilize output, weights of the export-oriented sectors (energy for Malaysia and foodstuffs for Pakistan) should be reduced, in relation to the CPI weights, and weights of the import-oriented sectors should be increased. It also indicates that, in order to maintain real sector stability, central bankers should include the fundamental component of the stock market prices in the price index they target. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-741 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.739279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.739279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:737-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasunori Yoshizaki Author-X-Name-First: Yasunori Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshizaki Author-Name: Yuki Toyoshima Author-X-Name-First: Yuki Author-X-Name-Last: Toyoshima Author-Name: Shigeyuki Haomori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Haomori Title: The causal relationships between sovereign CDS premiums for Japan and selected EU countries Abstract: In this article, we apply the cross-correlation function approach developed by Hong (2001) in order to investigate how the recent sovereign debt crisis has influenced interrelations between sovereign credit default swap (CDS) premiums for Japan and for Europe's major countries. We confirm the existence of a causal linkage between the mean of Japan and those of EU countries except Greece. In addition, this causal linkage has strengthened remarkably since the crisis. Further, we detect a causal linkage in terms of variance between Japan and certain EU countries including Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 742-747 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:742-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Hernández de Cos Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández de Cos Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Title: What drives a successful fiscal consolidation? Abstract: Fiscal consolidations are currently in the agenda of fiscal authorities in many countries. Using Bayesian Model Averaging to overcome the problem of model uncertainty, we find that growth-enhancing policies and cuts in public wages are the most appropriate ingredients for successfully reducing debt levels and budget deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 748-753 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:748-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Author-Name: Jorge Dresdner Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Dresdner Title: Survival of micro-enterprises: Does public seed financing work? Abstract: We estimated a hazard function for the duration of micro-enterprises after they had been subject to a public seed financing programme in southern Chile. The programme aims to encourage innovative new firms and uses sponsors to support and follow-up on the benefiting firms. Using an administrative database, specially recovered for this purpose, we were able to follow a sample of 76 firms throughout a period of 9 years. This article offers new evidence about how a firm promotion subsidy programme works in a medium developed country. The results indicate that the amount of funds granted increases survival time. In contrast, the type of support organization does not seem to affect the duration of the micro-enterprises, while the sponsors' individual characteristics do seem to have an impact on survival. Thus, the public institution should periodically assess the sponsors' performance as part of the programme evaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 754-757 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:754-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radu Vranceanu Author-X-Name-First: Radu Author-X-Name-Last: Vranceanu Author-Name: Damien Besancenot Author-X-Name-First: Damien Author-X-Name-Last: Besancenot Title: The spending multiplier in a time of massive public debt: The Euro-area case Abstract: This article argues that in Euro-area economies, where the European Central Bank (ECB) cannot bail out financially distressed governments, the spending multiplier is adversely affected by the amount of public debt. A regression model on a panel of 26 EU countries over the last 16 years shows that a 10 percentage point increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio is connected to a slowdown in annual growth rates of 0.28 percentage point. Furthermore, the effectiveness of fiscal spending is adversely affected by the amount of public debt; in particular, when the public debt exceeds 150% of GDP, the growth impact of the deficit might turn negative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 758-762 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:758-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Gabriella Barschdorff Author-X-Name-First: Gabriella Author-X-Name-Last: Barschdorff Title: Liabilities -- a multi-objective approach Abstract: The majority of pension plans today are underfunded, uncertain about the market, the economic and regulatory environment and searching for a more stable approach to meeting their pension benefit obligations. For plan sponsors who want to adopt a more structured approach to asset--liability management, adopting a glide path framework that gradually de-risks their investment portfolio as funded status improves has become an attractive way to move towards their funding goal. To that end, this article describes a multi-objective optimization methodology known as the goal attainment method, an approach which can accommodate the simultaneous optimization of distinct objective functions, and shows how it can be used to construct glide path strategies for asset--liability applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-766 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:763-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michail Kiriakidis Author-X-Name-First: Michail Author-X-Name-Last: Kiriakidis Author-Name: Antonios Kargas Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Kargas Title: Greek GDP forecast estimates Abstract: The papers scope is to use historical data in order to forecast Greek Gross Domestic Product (GDP). By using a range of forecasting models the Greek economy's performance is investigated and the main indicators are revealed. Main findings are the revealing of important economic indexes determining the Greek GDP as retail trade index, industrial production index, unemployment rate and touristic index, and the forecast of high recession for the year 2012. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-772 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:767-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Rua Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Rua Title: Worldwide synchronization since the nineteenth century: a wavelet-based view Abstract: Resorting to wavelet analysis, a novel measure is used to assess synchronization of economic activity across a large set of countries. As it has long been acknowledged in the literature that synchronization can vary over time and may depend on the type of fluctuation, the use of a wavelet-based measure of synchronization becomes particularly useful as it can capture both time and frequency varying features within a unified framework. Considering the period since 1870s up to 2011 for a set of 23 countries, it is found that worldwide synchronization has increased over the last decades and it has attained an unprecedented level during the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-776 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:773-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernadine De Waal Author-X-Name-First: Bernadine Author-X-Name-Last: De Waal Author-Name: Mark A. Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Mark A. Author-X-Name-Last: Petersen Author-Name: Lungile N. P. Hlatshwayo Author-X-Name-First: Lungile N. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hlatshwayo Author-Name: Janine Mukuddem-Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuddem-Petersen Title: A note on Basel III and liquidity Abstract: In this article, we obtain numerical results involving new Basel III liquidity regulation. More specifically, we compute the net stable funding ratio in accordance with the prescripts of the proposed banking rules. In this regard, we investigate the effects of shareholder cash flow rights on the aforementioned funding ratio and a non-Basel III liquidity coverage ratio for certain developing countries during the period 2005 Q1 to 2009 Q4. Our study finds that the funding ratio appears to have satisfied Basel III minimum liquidity standards during this period. Also, we conclude that more concentrated cash flow rights result in improved liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Hyuk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does competition affect evolutionary dynamics? Evidence from a collegiate university Abstract: This article shows that competition is inversely related to the strength of evolutionary dynamics using a collegiate university's admission statistics during the period 2004--2009. Specifically, estimated coefficients of the replicator dynamic equation is inversely related to the subject's applications-to-offers ratio. This suggests that competition favours a choice of strategies that is serially independent of the previous round's pay-offs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Melser Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Melser Title: Multilateral index number theory and generalized repeat sales house price indexes Abstract: One of the most common approaches to constructing home price indexes is the repeat sales method. In this article, it is shown that this approach is part of a family of widely used multilateral index number methods known as weighted GEKS. Here, the price index is constructed in two stages. First, elementary indexes are constructed between each period. Second, these bilateral indexes are aggregated into a transitive set of multilateral indexes using weighted least squares regression. We show that the repeat sales index has precisely this form and identify the specific elementary index formula and weights used. This observation provides a basis upon which to consider generalized repeat sales indexes which use different elementary indexes and weights. We apply some of these methods to repeat sales data and show that these choices matter empirically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 786-789 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.745924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.745924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:786-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Şaziye Gaziog̃lu Author-X-Name-First: Şaziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gaziog̃lu Author-Name: Azize Bastıyalı-Hafavi Author-X-Name-First: Azize Author-X-Name-Last: Bastıyalı-Hafavi Author-Name: Özge Sezgin Author-X-Name-First: Özge Author-X-Name-Last: Sezgin Title: Jumps in an stochastic optimization: self-financing portfolio for risk averse investors: does bequest matter? Abstract: We optimized consumer/investor behaviour, subject to self-financing constraint by using stochastic dynamics system with jumps. Our aim in this article was to compare a stochastic optimization model with and without jumps in a self-financing portfolio model, for the risk averse investors. In this article, our contribution to the literature was to introduce an analytical solution of the utility maximizing model and to investigate the consequences of jumps and bequest to the economic system. A previous model by Gazioglu and Bastiyali-Hafavi (2010) used optimization, only with a Brownian motion during optimization. In this article, we introduced jump difussion to Brownian motion during optimization. We compared the model with and without jumps for the risk averse investors. Furthermore, as a form of wealth, we compared the results with and without bequest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-794 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:790-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshito Funashima Author-X-Name-First: Yoshito Author-X-Name-Last: Funashima Title: Reassessing the Fed's behaviour towards presidential elections Abstract: This article re-examines the existence of opportunistic political monetary cycle in the United States using frequency-domain analysis. We reveal the cyclical propensity that expansionary monetary policy emerges prior to the presidential elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.745925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.745925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andr� Betzer Author-X-Name-First: Andr� Author-X-Name-Last: Betzer Author-Name: Markus Doumet Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Doumet Author-Name: Ulf Rinne Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Rinne Title: How policy changes affect shareholder wealth: the case of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear disaster Abstract: This article analyses how policy changes affect shareholder wealth by exploiting the unexpected German reaction to the Japanese nuclear disaster. Event study results show that energy companies' shareholder wealth was affected by the policy reaction and not by the disaster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-803 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:799-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Manjón Antolín Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Manjón Author-X-Name-Last: Antolín Author-Name: Juan A. Máñez Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Máñez Author-Name: María E. Rochina Barrachina Author-X-Name-First: María E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina Barrachina Author-Name: Juan A. Sanchis Llopis Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Llopis Title: Export intensity and the productivity gains of exporting Abstract: This article analyses whether the productivity gains associated with Learning-by-Exporting (LBE) (controlling for self-selection) depend on the intensity of the firm's exporting activity. The results from a representative sample of Spanish manufacturing firms indicate that the yearly average gains in productivity are larger for those firms that increase their export-to-sales ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 804-808 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:804-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St�phan Marette Author-X-Name-First: St�phan Author-X-Name-Last: Marette Author-Name: Sandrine Blanchemanche Author-X-Name-First: Sandrine Author-X-Name-Last: Blanchemanche Author-Name: Jutta Roosen Author-X-Name-First: Jutta Author-X-Name-Last: Roosen Title: Multiple equilibria with a multiple price list Abstract: A multiple price list is useful for eliciting a Willingness-to-Pay (WTP) and a possible Lower Limit (LL) under which the demand is zero. This multiple price list implies an aggregate demand determined by the number of participants whose WTP is greater than the market price and whose LL is below this market price. From a survey focusing on meat demand, we show that this aggregate demand leads to multiple price equilibria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Charles Larkin Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Larkin Author-Name: Fergal A. O'Connor Author-X-Name-First: Fergal A. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connor Title: London or New York: where and when does the gold price originate? Abstract: We investigate the Information Shares (ISs) of the two main centres of gold trading, over a 25-year period, using nonoverlapping 4-month windows. We find that neither London nor New York is dominant in terms of price IS, that the dominant market switches from time to time and that these switches do not appear to be very clearly linkable to macroeconomic or political events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-817 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:813-817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Christensen Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Title: Danish mutual fund performance Abstract: This article provides the first independent performance analysis of Danish mutual funds. We analyse selectivity and market timing abilities for 71 mutual funds that have been in operation from 2001 to 2010. The results show great fund performance diversity. Half the funds have performed neutrally, whereas 42% of the funds have shown significantly negative performance and only 7% of the funds have over-performed their benchmark. Furthermore, 14% of the funds analysed possess market timing abilities, but for 8 out of 10 funds, their market timing ability has been unsuccessful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 818-820 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:818-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Hutengs Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Hutengs Author-Name: G. Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Age effects in Okun's law within the Eurozone Abstract: We estimate Okun's coefficients for five different age cohorts for several Eurozone countries. We find a stable pattern for all countries: the relationship between business cycle fluctuations and the unemployment rate is the strongest for the youngest cohort and gets smaller for the elderly cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-825 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:821-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Devicienti Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Devicienti Author-Name: Mariacristina Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: Liquidity constraints, uncertain parental income and human capital accumulation Abstract: This note analyses the effect of parental income variability on investments in education when capital markets are imperfect. Our empirical results show that educational choices might act as a buffer choice when the environment is uncertain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 826-829 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:826-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Rank variability of the Publish or Perish metrics for economics and finance journals Abstract: This article analyses the 10 citation-based journal ranking metrics reported by Harzing's (2007) Publish or Perish (PoP) software (http://www.harzing.com/pop.htm) for 163 economics and finance journals. The results indicate that the 10 metrics produce rankings that are highly correlated. However, closer examination reveals that the variability in rank across the 10 metrics is significantly larger for some journals than others; this article identifies journals for which this is most poignant and offers possible solutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 830-836 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:830-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filippo Belloc Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Belloc Author-Name: Mauro Bernardi Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Bernardi Author-Name: Antonello Maruotti Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Maruotti Author-Name: Lea Petrella Author-X-Name-First: Lea Author-X-Name-Last: Petrella Title: A dynamic hurdle model for zeroinflated panel count data Abstract: This article proposes an approximate conditional dynamic finite mixture hurdle model for panel count data with excess of zeros and endogenous initial conditions. We provide parameter estimates by using the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in a Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood (NPML) framework. An application to a unique data set on traffic violation counts of a subpopulation of Italian drivers is given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-841 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:837-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Eling Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Eling Author-Name: K. K. Sudheesh Author-X-Name-First: K. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Sudheesh Author-Name: L. Tibiletti Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Tibiletti Title: How skewness influences optimal allocation in a risky asset? Abstract: This article extends the classic Samuelson (1970) and Merton (1973) model of optimal portfolio allocation with one risky asset and a riskless one to include the effect of the skewness. Using an extended version of Stein's Lemma, we provide the explicit solution for optimal demand that holds for all expected utility maximizing investors when the risky asset is skew-normally and normally distributed. A closed expression is achieved for investors with constant absolute risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 842-846 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.752567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.752567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:842-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: On the internal consistency of the term structure of forecasts of housing starts Abstract: We use the term structure of forecasts of housing starts to test for rationality of forecasts. Our test is based on the idea that short-term and long-term forecasts should be internally consistent. We test the internal consistency of forecasts using data for Australia, Canada, Japan and the United States. Using a simple model of forecast formation, we find that forecasts are not internally consistent, leading to a rejection of forecast rationality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-851 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.752568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.752568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:847-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Thien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Do regulators consider welfare when assigning spectrum via comparative selections? Abstract: This study asks whether regulators consider societal welfare in assigning radio spectrum via comparative selections and also whether assignment competitiveness matters to regulators. The short answers are that regulators do focus on welfare goals in short and medium terms and vehicles to achieve these goals are fees and deployment obligations, respectively. Attempts are also made to reduce entry barriers via financial obligations. Also evident is that competitive assignments are desired by regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 852-856 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.752569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.752569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:852-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuan Hock Ng Author-X-Name-First: Tuan Hock Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Chun Teck Lye Author-X-Name-First: Chun Teck Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Author-Name: Ying San Lim Author-X-Name-First: Ying San Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Broadband penetration and economic growth in ASEAN countries: a generalized method of moments approach Abstract: Broadband infrastructure has numerous economic potentials. This study examines the impact of broadband penetration on economic growth in the panel of 10 countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) from 1998 to 2011. Based on the pooled Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), fixed effects and random effects estimates, we found that broadband deployment has a positive relationship with economic growth. In addition, we used the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) dynamic panel data model to address the reverse causality and potential endogeneity issues in this study. The result also reveals that broadband penetration appears to be a key factor in the explanation of Gross Domestic Product growth. The finding remains robust even after the control for Information and Communication Technology (ICT) goods imports. This result in turn suggests that the utilization of broadband infrastructure and application is expected to enhance the national aggregate outputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-862 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.754538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.754538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:857-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwesi Enninful Author-X-Name-First: Kwesi Author-X-Name-Last: Enninful Author-Name: Michael Mark Dowling Author-X-Name-First: Michael Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Dowling Title: Robust weak-form efficiency tests in volatile European equity indices Abstract: Robust weak-form efficiency tests are conducted to examine market efficiency in two pan-European indices: the large capitalization EuroStoxx 50 and the small capitalization EuroStoxx Small from January 2000 to March 2012. Application of the nonparametric Belaire-Franch and Opong (2005) multiple Variance Ratio (VR) test and Kim's (2006) wild bootstrap technique shows that large capitalization stocks display evidence of negative serial correlation in the recent time period, and these indices do generally have greater weak-form efficiency over longer time windows. This finding contrasts with Hung et al. (2009), particularly in large capitalization equities, and suggests that weak-form efficiency can be influenced by high market volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-868 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.754539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.754539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:863-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Author-Name: Martin O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Does the interest rate for business loans respond asymmetrically to changes in the cash rate? Abstract: This article examines the dynamic relationship between the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA's) cash rate and the variable interest rate for lending to small businesses. The relationship is evaluated via an asymmetric GARCH model using monthly data spanning from August 1990 to October 2012. Our results show that a 1 percentage point increase in the cash rate results in an instantaneous 1.086 percentage point rise in the variable rate for small businesses, whereas an equivalent 1 percentage point cut only leads to a 0.862 percentage point fall with a delay of up to 2 months. This outcome has obvious implications for the RBA's monetary policy transmission mechanism and the effectiveness of the expansionary policy versus contractionary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-874 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.754540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.754540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:869-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. J. Van Scyoc Author-X-Name-First: L. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Scyoc Author-Name: N. J. Burnett Author-X-Name-First: N. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burnett Title: How times have changed: racial discrimination in the market for sports memorabilia (baseball cards) Abstract: Since the early days of racial integration in baseball, the issue of fan prejudice has been in question. Evidence of fan reaction to an individual players' race, however, has been nearly impossible to distinguish through means such as game attendance or ticket revenue. Looking at baseball card valuation, however, allows us to parse out effects of race from other variables that contribute to a card's value. We use the Oaxaca--Blinder decomposition to explore an original data set consisting of all single-player, nonpitcher baseball cards issued in 1969 and 2 years of pricing data on those cards (1981 and 2008) to find evidence of a reduction in discriminatory preferences among card collectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-878 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.756573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.756573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:875-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: Trade times, importing and exporting: firm-level evidence Abstract: This article uses data on 11 industries in 85 developing countries to show that trade times matter for import and export performance at the firm level. Firms import more intermediate inputs if import licensing times are shorter. They export more of their production if border clearance times are shorter, but tend to use third-party distributors more if clearance times are longer. This is the first time that imports and indirect exports have been considered in the firm-level literature on trade facilitation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-883 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.756574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.756574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:879-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anouk G. P. Claes Author-X-Name-First: Anouk G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Claes Author-Name: Marc J. K. De Ceuster Author-X-Name-First: Marc J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: De Ceuster Title: Estimating the economics Nobel Prize laureates' achievement from their fame Abstract: This article estimates the achievement of Nobel Prize winners in Economics according to a simple model that exponentially relates fame to achievement. Based on Google hits, Paul Krugman, Joseph Stiglitz and Milton Friedman turn out to be the top-three economists that achieved the most. It is clear that fame in economics is not merely based on pure academic achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 884-888 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.758836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.758836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:884-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. McPherson Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: McPherson Author-Name: Myungsup Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myungsup Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Megan Dorman Author-X-Name-First: Megan Author-X-Name-Last: Dorman Author-Name: Nishelli Perera Author-X-Name-First: Nishelli Author-X-Name-Last: Perera Title: Research output at US economics departments Abstract: Using curricula vitae and EconLit, we examine the publication records of nearly 2000 academic economists. We consider the probationary period and the years between tenure and promotion to professor. Faculty tenured at top programmes average 3.44 articles in top-ten journals (and 8.75 total articles). The quality of faculty members' publications decreases with programme ranking; the quantity of publications does not differ much among top-100 programmes. Those promoted to professor generate fewer top-ten and total articles. There is some evidence that females produce fewer top-ten and total journal articles than males at many programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 889-892 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.761331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.761331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:889-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernesto R. Gantman Author-X-Name-First: Ernesto R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gantman Author-Name: Marcelo P. Dabós Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo P. Author-X-Name-Last: Dabós Title: Finance and economic growth: new evidence from time series analysis (1961--2009) Abstract: Using time series techniques that deal with the problem of cross-sectional dependence and relax the constraint that the slope parameters of the independent variables should be the same for all countries, we demonstrate that financial development does not have a significant influence upon economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-896 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.761332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.761332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:893-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarcisio da Graça Author-X-Name-First: Tarcisio Author-X-Name-Last: da Graça Author-Name: Robert Masson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Masson Title: Ignorance is bliss? Uncertainty about product valuation may benefit consumers Abstract: Product information which is beneficial for an individual consumer may hurt if disseminated widely. Even with rational expectations, a fallacy of composition may occur if information leads to demand and price increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-902 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.761333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.761333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:897-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Cummins Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cummins Title: Multiple comparisons problem: Recent advances applied to energy and emissions Abstract: Within the field of empirical finance, the econometric analysis of markets commonly suffers from the well-established problem of data-snooping bias, whereby there is a likelihood that statistically significant results may be identified by pure random chance alone. This is the multiple comparisons problem resulting from Multiple Hypothesis Testing (MHT). Recent advances in MHT techniques to control the multiple comparisons problem are uniquely showcased within a VAR and Granger causality testing of energy and emissions market interactions. Four generalized p-value-based MHT techniques show no evidence of interactions between European Union Allowance (EUA) prices and a range of energy prices -- spanning key oil, gas, coal and electricity markets -- over the first half or so (2008--2010) of Phase II of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. The generalized familywise error rate procedures show evidence of regional and cross-regional interactions within European electricity markets. However, in contrast, the more conservative false discovery proportion procedures identify much fewer statistically significant relationship and, indeed, show little evidence of such cross-regional electricity market interactions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 903-909 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.761334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.761334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:903-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: A note on a simplified and general approach to simulating from multivariate copula functions Abstract: Copulas have become an important analytic tool for characterizing multivariate distributions and dependence. One is often interested in simulating data from copula estimates. The process can be analytically and computationally complex and usually involves steps that are unique to a given parametric copula. We describe an alternative approach that uses ‘Probability-Proportional-to-Size’ random sampling with weights formed from the copula likelihood function. The method is flexible and can be applied to parametric and nonparametric marginal density estimates. The precision of the simulation can be calibrated by adjusting the density of the multidimensional grid used in the simulation process. The approach is fully transparent to any copula function with continuous random variables. An example evaluates a number of goodness-of-fit criteria and provides strong support for the validity and practicality of the method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 910-915 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.761418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.761418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:910-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bodo Knoll Author-X-Name-First: Bodo Author-X-Name-Last: Knoll Author-Name: Hans Pitlik Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Pitlik Author-Name: Martin Rode Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Rode Title: A note on the impact of economic regulation on life satisfaction Abstract: Are people happier if they experience freedom from regulations, and how do individual attitudes towards liberalization influence personal life satisfaction? Based on the data from European and World Values Surveys and the Economic Freedom of the World project, we find evidence for positive effects of low regulation and pro-market attitudes on life satisfaction. Paradoxically, people who are opposed to market-oriented policies sometimes benefit most from deregulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 916-920 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.762709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.762709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:916-920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: An empirical analysis of changes of the impact of federal budget deficits on stock market returns: evidence from the US economy Abstract: We investigate the causality between the real federal budget deficit returns and real stock market returns for the US economy. We divide the overall sample into two sub-samples running from 1968:1 to 1988:3 and from 1988:4 to 2011:3. In contrast to earlier studies, we find a significant positive relationship between real stock market returns and real federal budget deficit returns for both samples. Moreover, we find that the stochastic interrelations between these variables have considerably changed over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-924 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:921-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariasole Bannò Author-X-Name-First: Mariasole Author-X-Name-Last: Bannò Author-Name: Valentina Morandi Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Morandi Author-Name: Celeste Amorim Varum Author-X-Name-First: Celeste Amorim Author-X-Name-Last: Varum Title: Public policy for innovation and internationalization: are they worth it? Abstract: This study contributes to the debate about the role of industrial policies for innovation and internationalization on local economic performance. A panel data analysis on Italian regions examines the interrelationships between public grants, level of innovation and internationalization and economic performance. The main findings are that (1) the impact of pro-innovation policies on economic performance is higher in internationalized regions and (2) the level of local R&D expenditures does not contribute to the effectiveness of subsidies for internationalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-930 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:927-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Signori Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Signori Author-Name: M. Meoli Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Meoli Author-Name: S. Vismara Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Vismara Title: Short covering and price stabilization of IPOs Abstract: Underwriters underprice Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) and often, immediately after, repurchase shares in an attempt to stabilize the price. This ancillary service is not mandatory and can be provided by underwriters in the first month of trading. Using a sample of Italian IPOs, we investigate whether the price stabilization activity is carried out when actually needed. We document that only half of the IPOs that require this service are actually stabilized after going public. The fees charged by underwriters are not informative about the provision of this ancillary activity. Rather, the underwriter's reputation is negatively associated with the stabilization activity. Negative price revisions and negative (or low) underpricing also drive the provision of price stabilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 931-937 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765536 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:931-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Hartwig Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwig Title: Distribution and growth in demand and productivity in Switzerland (1950--2010) Abstract: I investigate whether demand growth and productivity growth in Switzerland have benefitted from the wage moderation that set in at the beginning of the 1990s in this country. The results suggest that the Swiss demand regime is profit-led while the productivity regime is wage-led. This means on the one hand that wage moderation has added almost one Percentage Point to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth after 1990. On the other hand, it has also contributed to the drop in productivity growth. The latter effect, however, is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 938-944 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:938-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul A. Raschky Author-X-Name-First: Paul A. Author-X-Name-Last: Raschky Title: The media and discretionary behaviour of bureaucrats Abstract: Due to the public good character of protective measures against natural disasters, their allocation is very often in the realm of bureaucratic and expert agencies. I analysed the effect of negative media reports on a bureaucratic agency's output decisions by applying a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model on annual data of the US Army Corps of Engineers' (USACE) spending on flood protection from 1968 to 2008. The results showed that the negative media reports about the agency subsequently increase formal output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Yang Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: J. Beirne Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Beirne Author-Name: G. Liu Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: P. Sheng Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: Labour supply and pollution in China Abstract: In the context of sharply declining labour supply in China, this article analyses the relationship between pollution and labour supply theoretically. In addition, using Chinese provincial data, we find that pollution impacts negatively on labour supply and that this is aggravated by rising labour income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-952 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.765539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.765539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:949-952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: T. R. Beard Author-X-Name-First: T. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Beard Author-Name: H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: L. V. Stern Author-X-Name-First: L. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Fear and Closed-End Fund discounts Abstract: Closed-End Fund (CEF) discounts have intrigued researchers for decades. Of the many explanations offered, the behavioural framework of Lee et al. (1991), which posits noise traders subject to sentiment, is the most discussed. In this article, we contribute some novel evidence to the evaluation of this theory by examining the role of implied market volatility (VIX, i.e., the ‘fear index’) in fund discounts using a Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) approach. We find that VIX has almost no role in determining discounts except during periods of extreme market turbulence, providing strong but indirect evidence for the sentiment story. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 956-959 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:956-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nkunde Mwase Author-X-Name-First: Nkunde Author-X-Name-Last: Mwase Title: Tourism flows to Caribbean islands: an empirical note Abstract: This article examines the determinants of tourism flows to 31 small-island Caribbean economies, from 12 source countries, using an empirical approach that accounts for the inherent heterogeneity of the tourism product and tourism consumers. The results show that tourism flows from the source markets to the Caribbean are income elastic, with the exception of flows from Spain and the USA, but are not very sensitive to price changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-965 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:957-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lilia Cavallari Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Cavallari Author-Name: Stefano D'Addona Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: D'Addona Title: Business cycle determinants of US foreign direct investments Abstract: This article investigates the role of output fluctuations and exchange rate volatility in driving US FDIs. Using a sample of 46 economies over the period 1982 to 2009, we provide the evidence of a positive relation between US FDI and host country's cyclical conditions. Allowing for asymmetry over the business cycle, we find that the output elasticity of foreign investments is higher in booms than in recessions. An increase in exchange rate volatility, on the other hand, has a strong deterrent effect on US foreign investments. This effect is fairly stable over the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 966-970 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:966-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaowei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaowei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Kyle W. Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle W. Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Title: Economic analysis of the US fluid milk industry Abstract: In the literature, mixed results have been obtained from the studies that have examined the market power of dairy cooperatives and processors. As the main objective of the present work, we intend to find further empirical evidence to investigate whether the dairy cooperatives’ oligopoly power that is implicit in the dynamic pricing games exists and how it influences the beverage milk margins from 1983 to 2012. We studied three regional markets: California, New York and Wisconsin. In all regions, we found clear evidence of alternating high- and low-margin regimes during the study years which indicates slight departures from perfect competition in the US fluid milk market. But the levels of departure vary across different states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-977 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:971-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: On international stock market co-movements and macroeconomic risks Abstract: We use Bayesian dynamic factor models to disentangle the global and idiosyncratic country-specific factors of the stock market prices and other macroeconomic variables from a large group of countries. We find that the global factors account for significant portions of an individual country's stock market volatility and its macroeconomic fluctuations. The global macroeconomic shocks have strong effects on the stock price movement across countries in addition to domestic macroeconomic shocks. And a country's exposure to the global stock market risk to a large extent reflects that country's exposure to the global macroeconomic risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 978-982 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:978-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Kosse Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Kosse Author-Name: Friedhelm Pfeiffer Author-X-Name-First: Friedhelm Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeiffer Title: Quasi-hyperbolic time preferences and their intergenerational transmission Abstract: This study explores the intergenerational transmission of time preferences and focuses on the question of which specific aspects of mother's time preference are related to her preschool child's ability to delay gratification. We provide a new procedure for calculating the parameters of a ‘quasi-hyperbolic’ discount function (Laibson, 1997) using two trade-off experiments. We apply the procedure to a sample of 213 mother-child pairs and show that especially mother's beta parameter is related to her preschool child's ability to delay gratification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-986 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.767974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.767974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:983-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Eem Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Eem Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chin-Yu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lim-Thye Goh Author-X-Name-First: Lim-Thye Author-X-Name-Last: Goh Title: Exchange rate and oil price: asymmetric adjustment Abstract: This article aims to investigate whether the interaction between exchange rate and oil price exhibits asymmetric adjustment in Philippines using quarterly data over the period 1970Q1 to 2011Q4. The Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model reveals that exchange rate and oil price are not cointegrated. However, these two variables are asymmetrically adjusted in Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model. Thus, it suggests that adjustment mechanism towards equilibrium may not be necessarily constant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-990 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.770118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.770118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:987-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Figueiredo Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Figueiredo Author-Name: Pedro Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Author-Name: Jill Rubery Author-X-Name-First: Jill Author-X-Name-Last: Rubery Title: Unequal futures? Mass higher education and graduates' relative earnings in Portugal, 1995--2009 Abstract: This article analyses the evolution of relative earnings premiums for young university graduates in Portugal (1995--2009), suggesting that the previous picture of a successful transition towards mass higher education changed significantly. Our results indicate a decline in the average premium and an increasing dispersion in the returns to higher education. The relative position of graduates at the top of the wage distribution, in jobs in which the majority of workers have a degree, has, however, remained stable. These trends raise the risk of increasing expectations mismatches among recent graduate cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-997 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.770119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.770119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:991-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chong Wha Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chong Wha Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does religion affect international trade in services more than trade in goods? Abstract: This study used gravity modelling to examine the impact of religion on international trade in goods and services. The Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator was used to correct for the presence of heteroscedasticity, and religion-related dummy variables were incorporated to investigate the relationship between religion and trade. The results indicate that religion creates positive institutional and network effects, increasing international trade in goods and services; these effects enhance trade in services more than trade in goods; institutional effects exert a greater trade-creating effect than deliberately designed institutional regimes, but a lesser effect than historically established cultural regimes, such as common language and colonial ties; network effects on trade in services, although less significant than common language and colonial ties, promote trade to nearly the same degree as regional trade agreements and shared legal systems. Religion establishes co-religious networks that positively affect interpersonal trust, thereby reducing institutional distances between countries. This effect is similar to that of trading diaspora. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 998-1002 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.770120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.770120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:998-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard A. Parsons Author-X-Name-First: Richard A. Author-X-Name-Last: Parsons Title: A question of bias in the US unemployment numbers Abstract: During the recently US presidential election, questions were raised about bias in the widely published unemployment numbers released each month by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This article will examine the BLS unemployment data for any outward sign of prejudice or systematic bias. This pragmatic look at the numbers should help build confidence that there is neither systematic nor purposeful bias in the numbers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1007 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772285 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:1003-1007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: Florian Ielpo Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Ielpo Title: Cross-market linkages between commodities, stocks and bonds Abstract: This article assesses the cross-market linkages between commodities, stocks and bonds in a cointegration framework during 1993--2011. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1008-1018 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772286 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:1008-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Author-Name: Tore Sandven Author-X-Name-First: Tore Author-X-Name-Last: Sandven Author-Name: Espen Solberg Author-X-Name-First: Espen Author-X-Name-Last: Solberg Title: Location, education and enterprise growth Abstract: There is a long-standing tradition of attributing the growth of enterprises to unique capabilities expressed through entrepreneurial activities. These are contingent on their exposure to information that signals opportunities, access to external resources that enable capabilities to be built and the existence of prior related knowledge and routines within the firm. This article uses the Norwegian employer--employee register data to investigate whether the likelihood of achieving high growth as defined by the OECD is contingent on the location of the firm, the educational background of its employees and their employment performance prior to the period 2006--2009 for which growth and survival probabilities are estimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772287 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Roach Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: On the nature and causes of carbon dioxide emissions in the United States Abstract: This letter estimates the long-run impacts of shocks to real disposable personal income on the environment in the United States through the use of a structural vector autoregression model. Coal use in the electricity sector and vehicle use data are considered specifically as these are major contributors to carbon dioxide emissions and capture demand from both firms and households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1026 Issue: 10 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:1023-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shingo Umino Author-X-Name-First: Shingo Author-X-Name-Last: Umino Title: Re-evaluation of Japan's monetary policy in the late 1980s with the interest rate gap Abstract: This article presents reconsideration of whether the monetary policy in the late 1980s was delayed. No report in the literature describes studies evaluating past monetary policy using the model-consistent latent variable from Bayesian estimation. No delay of monetary policy can be found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1031 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1027-1031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Iselin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Iselin Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: The R-word index for Switzerland Abstract: In a pioneering attempt, we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of GDP growth using real-time vintages of GDP data, closely simulating flow of information in the past. We find that inclusion of the R-word index led to a statistically significant improvement in forecast accuracy over the benchmark autoregressive (AR) model. Largest improvements in forecast accuracy were observed in the period around the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1032-1035 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1032-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: P. Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Title: Corporate social responsibility (CSR) and CEO luck: are lucky CEOs socially responsible? Abstract: ‘Lucky’ CEOs are given stock option grants on days when the stock price is the lowest in the month of the grant, implying opportunistic timing, severe agency problems and poor corporate governance. We find that lucky (opportunistic) CEOs invest significantly less in CSR. The evidence thus does not support the notion that CSR is primarily used to enhance managers’ private benefits at the expense of shareholders. Rather, lucky CEOs appear to view CSR investments as depriving them of the free cash flow they could otherwise exploit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1036-1039 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.772291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.772291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1036-1039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro De Matteis Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: De Matteis Title: Evidence of ‘foreign aid Keynesianism’ Abstract: Recent literature on the determinants of the US foreign aid budget has raised the hypothesis of a relationship between the latter and the extent of domestic poverty. This is particularly relevant at times of economic crisis and has led to talk of ‘foreign aid Keynesianism’. The present study is based on the experience of members of the Development Assistance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD-DAC). It supports previous findings related to the United States and shows that the influence of domestic poverty on donor decision-making regarding the foreign aid budget is shared by other countries, strengthening support for the poverty--aid relationship. However, this positive result refers to only half of the sample considered and an opposite relationship can be detected in a few other cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1040-1045 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.774455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.774455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1040-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabiana Fontes Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Fontes Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Marislei Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Marislei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Sandro Garcia Duarte Peixoto Author-X-Name-First: Sandro Garcia Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Peixoto Title: Primary health care policies: investigation on morbidity Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the impact of primary health care policies on infant morbidity and mortality, by using as health indicators the number of infant hospitalizations and infant mortality rates, respectively, in Brazilian cities. Our sample comprises towns and cities in the South-East of the country, where there is some controversy about the impact of the Family Health Program on mortality for the 1999--2003 period. We found that the preventive health care model did achieve its goal of reducing hospitalizations and mortality rates in municipalities without hospitals, and to some extent, achieved its goal in municipalities with hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1046-1051 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.774456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.774456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1046-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Modelling money demand: further evidence from an international comparison Abstract: This article aims at estimating money demand for the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom using a Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimator. Our findings show that (1) wealth effects on money demand are important in the euro area and the United Kingdom; (2) the impact of changes in the interest rate on real money holdings is negative and small; (3) goods are a reasonable alternative to money and (4) international currency substitution has a major influence on the behaviour of real money demand in the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1052-1055 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.758835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.758835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1052-1055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangkyom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangkyom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Innwon Park Author-X-Name-First: Innwon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Soonchan Park Author-X-Name-First: Soonchan Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Trade-creating regime-wide rules of origin: a quantitative analysis Abstract: Regime-wide rules of origin (ROO), such as diagonal cumulation, de minimis and self-certification requirement, can be applied to reduce additional administrative and compliance costs for verifying restrictive ROO. However, empirical evidence related to the trade effect of various regime-wide ROOs is very few. We quantitatively investigate the trade effect of regime-wide ROOs by estimating the modified gravity equation with panel data on 36 238 country pairs covering 151 countries for 16 years from 1990 to 2005 at 5 year intervals. From our empirical experiments, we find that implementation of regime-wide ROOs such as diagonal cumulation and de minimis generate more trade between members of free trade agreements (FTAs). However, we also find that certification requirement does not produce positive trade effects. In addition, we confirm the effectiveness of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) estimator dealing with the zero trade issue and the presence of heteroscedasticity compared to the traditional log-linearized model estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1056-1061 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.781259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.781259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1056-1061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Pouw Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Pouw Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Title: What drives bank earnings? Evidence for 28 banking sectors Abstract: The crisis has revived interest in the determinants of bank earnings. We investigate the relationship between profitability and balance sheet composition of 28 national banking sectors. Using Statistical Cost Accounting, we find a plausible pattern of individual assets’ and liabilities’ contributions to earnings and costs. Both wholesale and retail activities yield positive margins, while interbank lending and customer deposits are the most expensive funding sources. Wholesale finance has a positive effect on profitability, which may explain banks’ increasing reliance on it prior to the crisis. Economic growth and unemployment have a procyclical impact, while inflation tends to erode profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1062-1066 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.783676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.783676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1062-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: N. Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: P. Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: The effect of entrenched boards on corporate risk-taking: testing the quiet life hypothesis Abstract: The quiet life hypothesis posits that entrenched managers are well insulated from removal and thus prefer to enjoy a quiet life, i.e. they tend to be less ambitious, avoid difficult decisions and engage in less risk-taking (Bertrand and Mullainathan, 2003). We utilize the staggered board (or classified board) to test this hypothesis. The staggered board is a powerful takeover defence that enables inefficient managers to evade the discipline of the takeover market, thereby exacerbating managerial entrenchment (Bebchuk and Cohen, 2005). We find that managers entrenched by the staggered board adopt significantly less risky strategies, consistent with the quiet life hypothesis. In particular, the presence of a staggered board reduces the volatility of stock returns by 4.46%. We also show that our conclusion is unlikely affected by the presence of endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.783677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.783677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1067-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Determinants of revenues in the motion picture industry Abstract: This article examines the determinants of revenue in the motion picture industry. The sample consists of 435 films released during 1965 to 2010. This study finds that the main actor or actress and director in a movie are the most likely determinants of whether or not a movie is a box office success. Further, if the production budget is high and the running time is longer, the probability of success is much greater. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1075 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.783678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.783678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1071-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Efthimiadis Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Efthimiadis Author-Name: S. Papaioannou Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Papaioannou Author-Name: P. Tsintzos Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsintzos Title: Economic growth in Greece: the cost of a failed adjustment programme Abstract: This article aims to assess the cost of failure of Greece's ‘First Economic Adjustment Programme’, in terms of potential Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. In particular, real GDP trends are estimated through filtering techniques and compared with those had the first programme been successful. The trend growth rate of GDP is estimated at −3.84% (2012Q2), against −2.21% if the targets and forecasts of the first adjustment programme had been realized. The results indicate that the failure of the first programme has had a signifying adverse effect on the country's future growth prospects as current GDP dynamics are far worse than those forecasted in the first programme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1076-1080 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.783679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.783679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1076-1080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Cui Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Liutang Gong Author-X-Name-First: Liutang Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Xiaojun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Heng-fu Zou Author-X-Name-First: Heng-fu Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: The Z-transform method for multidimensional dynamic economic systems Abstract: This article uses the Z-transform to develop a method for solving the linearised multidimensional discrete-time systems, which can be used to discuss the effects of policies on economy (including the welfare gains and initial effects on economy) raised by multi-sector perfect-foresight-discrete-time models. Our method is not restricted to the dimension of the dynamic system, and it can not only analyse the effect of permanent policy change on the economy but also can be used to analyse the effect of temporal policy change on the economy. As an application example, we analyse the effects of fiscal policy on the initial economy and social welfare in the discrete-time Uzawa--Lucas model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1081-1088 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.787156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.787156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1081-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel J. Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: John R. C. Robinson Author-X-Name-First: John R. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Commodity futures price volatility, convenience yield and economic fundamentals Abstract: Commodity price volatility increased during 2006 to 2011 first with the commodity bull cycle of 2006 to 2008 and then with the credit freeze crisis and Great Recession. This letter uses both high- and low-frequency data over 1990 to 2011 to examine the link between economic fundamentals and measures of realized volatility and convenience yield computed from estimated futures price forward curves. The possible influence of institutional investors (index traders) is also examined. Affine term structure models are estimated using Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) futures prices on cotton, a commodity for which economic fundamentals can be readily identified and measured. The results, robust across specifications, suggest that the determinants of volatility, but not convenience yield, changed during the period 2006 to 2011. There is no evidence that index traders are responsible for increased volatility or changes in convenience yield. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1095 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.788775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.788775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1089-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Stodder Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Stodder Title: The strange persistence of consumer surplus Abstract: Despite its abandonment in theoretical work, a literature search shows that variation in consumer surplus (VCS) is the overwhelming choice in applied work -- not compensating variation (CV) or equivalent variation (EV). How can this be explained? Besides the obvious ease of computation, there are three good reasons for the persistence of VCS. (1) The Willig bounds on VCS usually give close upper and lower bounds on CV and EV, respectively, and are thus conservative in the estimation of EV. (2) Without integrability, all three measures are inaccurate. Common quasi-linear utility assumptions for VCS, however, imply integrability. (3) Even with integrability, the expected values of highly nonlinear CV and EV measures cannot be determined by substituting prices or quantities into the estimated equations; simulations are required. Thus, VCS is not only simpler, it may also be more accurate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1096-1099 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.788776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.788776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1096-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iwan Bos Author-X-Name-First: Iwan Author-X-Name-Last: Bos Author-Name: Frederick Wandschneider Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wandschneider Title: A note on cartel ringleaders and the corporate leniency programme Abstract: Cartel ringleaders can apply for amnesty in some jurisdictions (e.g., the EU), whereas in others they are excluded (e.g., the US). This note shows that ringleader exclusion loosens the incentive constraint of regular cartel members and tightens or loosens the incentive constraint of ringleaders. The latter may occur when the first firm that applies for leniency receives a sufficiently high discount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1100-1103 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.788777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.788777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1100-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John F. McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John F. Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Author-Name: Houston H. Stokes Author-X-Name-First: Houston H. Author-X-Name-Last: Stokes Title: The housing price bubble, the monetary policy and the foreclosure crisis in the US Abstract: This article presents a monthly vector autoregressive (VAR) model of housing prices, the federal funds rate, foreclosures, the unemployment rate and the mortgage interest rate for the United States for the period of 2000(1)--2010(8). Impulse response functions show that negative shocks to the federal funds rate increased housing prices. The interaction effect between the foreclosure rate and the housing prices shows that an initial shock to the foreclosure rate produced further increases in the foreclosure rate through a reduction in housing prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1104-1108 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1104-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan A. Kent Author-X-Name-First: Ryan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kent Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Rules changes and competitive balance in European professional soccer: evidence from an event study approach Abstract: This study examines the effectiveness of successive rules changes on competitive balance, as measured by score differential in a match, over the history of seven European professional soccer leagues. Poisson regression results show that various rules changes do have an effect on match competitiveness in European professional soccer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1109-1112 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1109-1112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dario Sciulli Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Sciulli Title: Conviction, gender and labour market status Abstract: Applying propensity score matching to the National Child Development Study, we found that conviction reduces the employment probability of middle-aged British females by about three times more than that of comparable males. Moreover, while males recover a part of the disadvantage by increasing self-employment, conviction results in a strong labour market marginalization for females, as unemployment and, overall, inactivity increase. Robustness checks tend to confirm these findings. This suggests both a stronger discouragement effect for females and/or a different attitude towards self-employment and/or excluding factors (e.g. access to borrowing). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1113-1120 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1113-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atef Al-Rashidi Author-X-Name-First: Atef Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Rashidi Author-Name: Bidisha Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Title: The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade: correcting for selection bias and asymmetric trade flows Abstract: The gravity model that serves as an important framework to explore the relation between exchange rate volatility and international trade suffers from two weaknesses: selection bias caused by dropping of observations with zero trade flows and the inability to predict asymmetric bilateral trade flows. The latter includes situations of bilateral trade in one direction but not in the opposite direction. While some recent literature has addressed the selection bias, there are no studies that address both problems in the context of the effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade. The article contributes to the literature by applying a recent model of firm selection to control for both biases. We found that the effect of exchange rate volatility on trade, that appears to be weak under the standard gravity model or in those models that only correct for sample selection bias, emerges as a strong negative effect as both biases get controlled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1126 Issue: 11 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:11:p:1121-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulrich Fritsche Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsche Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph R�lke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: R�lke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: On the directional accuracy of survey forecasts: the case of gold and silver Abstract: We use a nonparametric market-timing test to study the directional accuracy of survey forecasts of the prices of gold and silver. We find that forecasters have market-timing ability with respect to the direction of change of the price of silver at various forecast horizons. In contrast, forecasters have no market-timing ability with respect to the direction of change in the gold price. Combining forecasts of both metal prices to set up a multivariate market-timing test yields no evidence of joint predictability of the directions of change of the prices of gold and silver. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1129 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1127-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Jacob Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Jacob Title: Taxes and life cycle capital gains realizations Abstract: This article analyses heterogeneity in capital gains tax elasticities across individuals. Using panel data of over 260 000 individuals, I find that the sensitivity of capital gains to taxes is decreasing over the individual life cycle. Younger individuals respond more strongly to changes in capital gains taxes than older individuals. An increase in age of 18 years decreases the lock-in effect of capital gains taxes by approximately 10%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1130-1134 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.792988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.792988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1130-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Evaluating corporate executives' exchange rate forecasts under a flexible loss function Abstract: We examine asymmetry in the loss function of corporate executives in their exchange rate forecasts and test for rationality of the forecast under the assumption of a possibly asymmetric loss function. We find evidence that the loss function of the forecast with a 1-year horizon is symmetric and support for rationality. These findings hold for manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1138 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.792989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.792989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1135-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brahim Boudarbat Author-X-Name-First: Brahim Author-X-Name-Last: Boudarbat Author-Name: Lee Grenon Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Grenon Title: Attrition and the estimation of employment and wage equations: the Canadian survey of labour and income dynamics Abstract: This article provides an analysis of the effects of attrition on employment and wages using the Canadian survey of labour and income dynamics. We consider a structural model composed of three freely correlated equations for nonattrition, employment and wages. The model is estimated using microdata from 22 990 individuals who provided sufficient information in the first year of the 1996--2001 panel. The main findings of this article are that attrition is not random. Attritors likely are less attached to employment and come from low-income population. The correlation between nonattrition and employment is positive and statistically significant, though small. Also, wage estimates are biased upwards. Observed wages are on average higher than wages that would be observed if all the individuals initially selected in the panel remained in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1144 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.795270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.795270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1139-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Areum Han Author-X-Name-First: Areum Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Are individual investors less informed than institutional investors? Unique evidence from investor trading behaviours around bad mergers in Korean financial market Abstract: This article presents the trading behaviours of individual and institutional investors in Korean mergers and acquisitions market. Based on Chen et al. (2007), we consider a bidder's negative abnormal announcement-period return as a measure for bad merger. To investigate the investor trading behaviours around the bad mergers, we employ a unique daily trading data of different groups of investors in Korean stock market. Our finding shows that institutional investors sell their shares on a bidding firm before announcement of a bad merger, while individual investors buy the shares. In addition, we find that institutional investors continue to sell their shares on a bidding firm even after announcement of a bad merger, but individual investors keep buying them. Hence, our results newly support the hypothesis that individual investors are less informed and/or less sophisticated than institutional investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1149 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1145-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Parker Ballinger Author-X-Name-First: T. Parker Author-X-Name-Last: Ballinger Author-Name: Bradley T. Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley T. Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Mark A. Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark A. Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Rivalry and the dynamic instability of venture capital investment shares Abstract: This article examines the time-series properties of the US venture capital investments (VCI) to determine whether or not various sectors compete in the same market for venture capital funds. Using a battery of unit root tests, we find substantial evidence that VCI shares are nonstationary. Our findings are consistent with a high degree of rivalry for VCI among the different sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1150-1154 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1150-1154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: The distribution of power in governing coalitions of the German Laender Abstract: In this article, we analyse the distribution of voting power in governing coalitions of the German Laender (states). In a first step, we use the number of votes of parties in a parliament to determine the voting power of the parties. Based on these results, we apply the -power index (Casajus, 2009) to calculate the power of parties within governing coalitions (Wiese, 2007). For this, we consider the limitations of coalition possibilities. In three scenarios, we analyse how these affect the parties' voting power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1155-1159 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1155-1159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alok Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Wenshu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wenshu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Health, education and the dynamics of cross-country productivity differences Abstract: In this article, we study the impact of health and education on the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) in a sample of 97 countries for the period 1960 to 2005. We find that both health and education have a positive and significant effect on GRTFP. The result that health has a positive effect on GRTFP is new to the literature. The result suggests that in designing policies which facilitate technology diffusion we need to broaden the concept of human capital to include health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1160-1164 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1160-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Lamo Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Lamo Author-Name: Javier J. P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Javier J. Author-X-Name-Last: P�rez Author-Name: A. Jesús S�nchez-Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: A. Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: S�nchez-Fuentes Title: Institutional determinants of public--private sector wages' linkages Abstract: We estimate the probability of public sector wage leadership -- defined as Granger causality from public to private sector wages -- in a pool of 15 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries as a function of countries' institutional features, and notably wage-setting institutions. Government's involvement in collective bargaining and collective bargaining centralization are positively correlated with the probability of finding public wage leadership. Among the factors that reduce its probability, we can underline the impact of globalization and the degree of unionization of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1169 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1165-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ana Lurdes Albuquerque Author-X-Name-First: Ana Lurdes Author-X-Name-Last: Albuquerque Author-Name: Alexandre Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Title: Wage inequality determinants in European Union countries Abstract: The explanation of the recent increase in intra-country wage inequality in favour of high-skilled labour has been dominated by two explanations: skill-biased technological change (SBTC) and international trade (IT) liberalization. Since few empirical studies have tried to assess both explanations across a comprehensive sample of countries, we analyse the impact of both and add some new variables within a unified framework and across 18 European Union countries. Results show that the SBTC, the immigration and education present an impact positive on wage inequality measured by the wage ratio of college to secondary graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1170-1173 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1170-1173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Castriota Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Castriota Author-Name: D. Curzi Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Curzi Author-Name: M. Delmastro Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Delmastro Title: Tasters' bias in wine guides' quality evaluations Abstract: Using a new database on Italian wines rated by the Guida dei Vini di Veronelli from 2004 to 2009, we show that the tasters' quality evaluations are affected by two sources of personal bias, namely generosity and personal preferences towards certain types of wine characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1174-1177 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1174-1177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: P. Chatjuthamard Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chatjuthamard Author-Name: P. Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: How do entrenched boards reduce human rights violations? An empirical analysis Abstract: As part of corporate social responsibility, companies invest in activities that promote human rights or refrain from activities that violate human rights. Investments in human rights, however, usually do not yield immediate benefits. Rather, they are expected to improve the reputation of the firm over time as a good corporate citizen. As one of the most effective takeover defences, a staggered board insulates managers from the takeover market. Secured in their positions, managers are less likely to be myopic and are more likely to adopt policies that yield long-term benefits, such as investments in human rights. Consistent with this notion, our results show that firms with a staggered board exhibit much better human rights performance. We also show that our results are not likely driven by endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1178-1182 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1178-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Stuetzer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Stuetzer Author-Name: Martin Obschonka Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Obschonka Author-Name: Per Davidsson Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Davidsson Author-Name: Eva Schmitt-Rodermund Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitt-Rodermund Title: Where do entrepreneurial skills come from? Abstract: Applying Lazear's jack-of-all-trades theory, we investigate the formation of entrepreneurial skills in two data sets on innovative new firms. Our results suggest that traditional human capital indicators individually have little or no influence on entrepreneurial skills. However, consistent with Lazear's theory, those entrepreneurs who exhibit a varied set of work experience have higher entrepreneurial skills relevant for starting and growing a firm. This supports the notion that a varied set of work experiences rather than depth of any particular type of experience or education is important for the development of entrepreneurial skills. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1186 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.797554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.797554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1183-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Kasman Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: S. Kirbas-Kasman Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirbas-Kasman Title: The dynamic relationship between earnings volatility, concentration, stability and size in the Turkish banking sector Abstract: This article investigates the causal relationship between earnings volatility, concentration, stability and bank size in the Turkish banking sector in the period 2002 to 2011. A relatively new empirical methodology, dynamic panel Granger-causality test, is used to analyse the causal relationship between these variables. The empirical result shows that bank size and concentration negatively Granger-cause earnings volatility, suggesting that larger banks and more concentrated banking market decrease earnings volatility. Moreover, the result also indicates that concentration in the banking sector increases bank stability and supports the 'concentration-stability' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1192 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1187-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Joint evaluation of the directional accuracy of corporate executives' forecasts Abstract: Although most research on directional analysis focused on either increase/decrease or acceleration/deceleration of variables of interest, we jointly evaluate the two-directional changes in the real GDP predicted by corporate executives. We applied an approach recently developed by Pesaran and Timmermann (2009) in addition to the tests extensively used in the literature. Besides determining that, the forecast is not useful in predicting an increase/decrease and acceleration/deceleration in real GDP, joint evaluation of the forecast illustrates the advantage of the new test. Further, we examine the two data vintages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1196 Issue: 12 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:12:p:1193-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elsy Thomas Kizhakethalackal Author-X-Name-First: Elsy Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Kizhakethalackal Author-Name: Debasri Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Debasri Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Author-Name: Eskander Alvi Author-X-Name-First: Eskander Author-X-Name-Last: Alvi Title: Quantile regression analysis of health-aid and infant mortality: a note Abstract: Empirical literature examining the effectiveness of foreignaid on infant mortality, using mean regressions, has not found robust evidence in favour of foreignaid. The present article uses quantile regression technique to perform detailed scrutiny of the effect of multilateral health-aid on various quantiles of infant mortality rates in developing economies. We find that at relatively lower quantiles of infant mortality, health-aid is effective but it loses its effectiveness at relatively higher quantiles (i.e. for countries faced with more infant mortalities). This implies that more effective policy measures need to be undertaken for countries swamped with infant mortalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1201 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1197-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristopher J. Kemper Author-X-Name-First: Kristopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kemper Author-Name: Ramesh P. Rao Author-X-Name-First: Ramesh P. Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Credit watch and capital structure Abstract: We study the capital structure reactions of firms that have been added to Standard & Poor's (S&P's) CreditWatch list in order to test the role of credit ratings in firm financial decisions. Survey evidence by Graham and Harvey (2001) indicates that Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) consider credit ratings as the second most important determinant of financing policy. If credit ratings are indeed important, we should observe that firms facing a potential downgrade should react by reducing debt financing in an attempt to avert the potential rating downgrade. In the case of a potential upgrade, we should also observe a scaling back of debt financing to reinforce the rating upgrade. We find evidence for the latter but for potential downgrade firms, contrary to expectations; we find that these firms issue more debt relative to equity. Overall, we conclude that while credit ratings may be a consideration in determining corporate financing policy, it is probably a secondary determinant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1202-1205 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1202-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Lamotte Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Lamotte Author-Name: Ana Colovic Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Colovic Title: Do demographics influence aggregate entrepreneurship? Abstract: Analysing a cross-country panel of 53 countries from 2001 to 2009, we find that the age distribution of a population is related to entrepreneurial activity. More specifically, a high share of young people in a country positively influences nascent entrepreneurship, whereas a high share of older people has a negative influence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1206-1210 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1206-1210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: Florian Ielpo Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Ielpo Title: Volatility spillovers in commodity markets Abstract: This article investigates volatility spillovers in commodity markets by following the methodology pioneered in Diebold and Yilmaz (2012). By using a broad data set during 1995--2012, we address three key research questions: are there volatility spillovers within commodities? between standard assets and commodities? between commodities and commodity currencies? The main results indicate first that commodities exhibit weaker than other asset classes volatility spillovers. These spillovers have, however, been increasing over the period. Second, agricultural commodities are the commodities exhibiting the lowest spillovers, whereas precious metals and energy are the biggest net contributors. In a diversified portfolio, including commodities -- and especially agricultural products -- helps decreasing the total spillover index. This stylized fact has, however, been less and less valid over the years. Third, some currencies are more responsive than others to commodity volatility spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1211-1227 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1211-1227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Anthony Fusaro Author-X-Name-First: Marc Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Fusaro Author-Name: Donald H. Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald H. Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: What explains consumption and money holding in the very short-run?: evidence from checking account data Abstract: This article investigates consumption and money-holding behaviour within an intertemporal optimization model of the individual household. Our data set consists of deposits and withdrawals from individual household checking accounts that received pay cheques by direct deposit. We construct samples of panel data for households with weekly, biweekly and semi-monthly pay periods and form two different measures of consumption. Generalized Method of Moments estimates of structural parameters provide limited evidence for habit formation or durability. The results indicate small but positive marginal utility of money within a well-behaved utility function, with ‘rule of thumb’ consumption a close approximation. These findings are uniform for sub-samples split according to household age or income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1228-1232 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1228-1232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margot Quijano Author-X-Name-First: Margot Author-X-Name-Last: Quijano Title: Is unsystematic risk priced in bank loan contracts? Abstract: We demonstrate that a firm's unsystematic risk is positively related to its cost of bank debt. A borrower's unsystematic risk needs to be costly monitored by the lender and some of this cost is included in the bank contract. A one SD increase in unsystematic risk results in a 14.0--19.5% increase in the cost of the loan, or 24--34 basis points for the median loan. Our results complement recent literature about the relevance of unsystematic risk and its effect on the cost of capital of corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1233-1237 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1233-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Illoong Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Illoong Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: Risk-taking in subjective promotion tournaments Abstract: This article considers a promotion tournament where the winner is decided by the principal's posterior belief about the agents’ abilities, called a subjective promotion tournament. If the agents can choose the risk of their performance as well as their effort, this article shows that such a subjective tournament can be better than an objective tournament where the winner is decided by the agents’ verifiable performance measures only. This is because the subjective tournament leads to lower uncertainty about the agents’ abilities and a higher level of agents’ effort, thereby providing better sorting and incentive effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1243 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1238-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvador Gil-Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Pareja Author-Name: Rafael-Llorca Vivero Author-X-Name-First: Rafael-Llorca Author-X-Name-Last: Vivero Author-Name: Jordi Paniagua Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Paniagua Title: The effect of the great recession on foreign direct investment: global empirical evidence with a gravity approach Abstract: This article estimates the effect of the present global systemic banking crisis on foreign direct investment (FDI) using the gravity equation on a sample of 161 countries over the period 2003 to 2010. Systemic banking crises, through demand shocks and credit constraints, may impact FDI in two ways: aggregate monetary flows and individual projects count. Since gravity equations account for output variations, our research relies on the financial constraints channel. We find that the great recession, through credit constraints on home supply markets, has reduced the number of FDI projects, but not their size, forcing investors to become more selective on their international endeavours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1244-1248 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1244-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weidong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Weidong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Numerical method to calculate Gini coefficient from limited data of subgroups Abstract: A numerical method is proposed to calculate the income distribution and Gini coefficient of the total population from the limited data of subgroups. The method is optimized to simulate the Lorenz curve of each subgroup with the third spline interpolation, and the cumulative income distribution curve of each subgroup and the total population is calculated. Thus the Lorenz curve of the total population can be predicted to obtain the Gini coefficient. The method can simulate the complex income distribution with a relative error of less than 4%. It overcomes the defect of the present method with a function to simulate the complex income distribution of subgroup such as the multiple peaks which will introduce much more error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1253 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1249-1253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Common change-points in long-term UK bond yields, 1870--1914: a piecewise linear trends approach Abstract: This article estimates common structural breaks among four long-term UK bond yields, which shared a V-shaped trending behaviour during the sample period of 1870 to 1914. By applying the new inference procedure proposed by Qu and Perron (2007) for structural breaks in multivariate regressions, we find that the four bond yields had six common change-points and that the estimated common piecewise linear trend well represents their long-run movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1254-1258 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1254-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Jeremy K. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: GLS detrending in Sollis nonlinear unit root tests Abstract: The Sollis (2009) nonlinear unit root test has been shown to possess attractive power properties, especially where the series being tested follows an Asymmetric Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (AESTAR) process. In this article, we propose a modification of this test, namely, using GLS rather than OLS to detrend the relevant series. Simulation results indicate that, in general, the modified Sollis test is more powerful than the original test. An application to real GDP data for 20 OECD countries is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1259-1262 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1259-1262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Castro Title: An international comparison of the impact of the 2008 crisis on productivity Abstract: This article seeks to shed light on the puzzle of productivity after the 2008 crisis in the United States, the United Kingdom and the main countries in the Euro Zone. First of all, we calculate the productivity according to the Solow model. Afterwards, we study the TPF cycle in each country applying the Bai and Perron structural break test. Finally, we measure the productivity gap in relation to the pre-crisis trend, and the contribution of TFP, capital and labour. The United States and the Euro Zone have a similar productivity gap, but TFP reduction is more important in Europe (partially offset by better behaviour of the capital to labour ratio than in the United States). Significant differences arise within the Euro Zone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1263-1269 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1263-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugen Dimant Author-X-Name-First: Eugen Author-X-Name-Last: Dimant Author-Name: Tim Krieger Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Krieger Author-Name: Daniel Meierrieks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meierrieks Title: The effect of corruption on migration,1985--2000 Abstract: We examine the influence of corruption on migration for 111 countries between 1985 and 2000. Robust evidence indicates that corruption is among the push factors of migration, especially fuelling skilled migration. We argue that corruption tends to diminish the returns to education, which is particularly relevant to the better educated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1270-1274 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1270-1274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: Predicting Bank of England's asset purchase decisions with MPC voting records Abstract: We use the MPC voting records to predict changes in the volume of asset purchases. We find, first, that minority voting favouring an increase in the volume of asset purchases raises the probability of an actual increase at the next meeting. Second, minority voting supporting a higher Bank Rate decreases the likelihood of further asset purchases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1275-1278 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1275-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerstin Bruckmeier Author-X-Name-First: Kerstin Author-X-Name-Last: Bruckmeier Author-Name: Georg-Benedikt Fischer Author-X-Name-First: Georg-Benedikt Author-X-Name-Last: Fischer Author-Name: Berthold U. Wigger Author-X-Name-First: Berthold U. Author-X-Name-Last: Wigger Title: The willingness to pay for higher education: does the type of fee matter? Abstract: University level data are used to determine whether different types of fees affect university enrolment of first-year students differently at public universities in Germany. We find a significantly negative effect of the recently introduced tuition fees on enrolment. In contrast, the effect of administrative fees is insignificant. This is striking as both types of fees serve similar purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1282 Issue: 13 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:13:p:1279-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. A. Mridha Author-X-Name-First: H. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mridha Author-Name: F. C. Khan Author-X-Name-First: F. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: Does unemployment affect compensating wage differentials for work-related fatal injuries? Empirical evidence from occupational data Abstract: The study examines the hypothesis that high unemployment rates in local labour markets weaken the bargaining power of workers and reduce the wage premium given to compensate for the risk of death in the workplace. Analysis of fatal occupational injury risk and demographic data from the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) and the Current population Survey (CPS) over 2004 to 2007 finds strong evidence for this hypothesis. Results show that both blue-collar union and nonunion workers are likely to receive a lower wage premium in locations where unemployment rates are high. They also indicate that the compensating differentials for fatal injury risks are larger for union workers than those of their nonunion counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1283-1287 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.788774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.788774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1283-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Laporšek Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Laporšek Title: Minimum wage effects on youth employment in the European Union Abstract: The purpose of this article is to estimate minimum wage effects on youth employment in the European Union (EU). The analysis employs a panel regression method with fixed effects and uses data for 18 EU member states with statutory minimum wage over the period 1996 to 2011. The analysis is restricted to teenage workers between 15 and 19 years of age and young workers between 20 and 24 years of age. The study finds a negative, statistically significant impact of minimum wage on youth employment, by which the disemployment effect appears to be stronger for teenage workers. The effect remains negative and statistically significant also when controlled for other labour market institutions. Taking into account empirical results, we can conclude that EU countries should be more cautious when setting up minimum wages for young workers, as disemployment effects may have been downplayed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1288-1292 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1288-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: The monetary model of exchange rates is better than the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting Abstract: It is demonstrated that the monetary model of exchange rates is better than the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting if forecasting accuracy is measured by metrics that take into account the magnitude of the forecasting errors and the ability of the model to predict the direction of change. It is suggested that such a metric is the numerical value of the Wald test statistic for the joint coefficient restriction implied by the line of perfect forecast. The results reveal that the monetary model outperforms the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting for four different exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1297 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1293-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Vecchio Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchio Author-Name: Eugenio Pomarici Author-X-Name-First: Eugenio Author-X-Name-Last: Pomarici Title: An empirical investigation of rewards’ effect on experimental auctions outcomes Abstract: We examine the effect of earned participation rewards on willingness to pay (WTP) bids in experimental auctions. Our results show that when subjects are provided with a fixed reward, they bid more than those who had to earn their reward. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1298-1300 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.799751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.799751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1298-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Huck Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Huck Title: The high sensitivity of pairs trading returns Abstract: Pairs trading is a simple and popular relative value trading strategy. This article deals with the most common implementation of the method based on a distance criterion. It demonstrates the high sensitivity of the return to changes in the length of the formation period and shows that a reasonable modification of this parameter may lead to generate positive excess returns which are robust to data snooping. This empirical result underlines the difficulty in understanding pairs trading returns, dynamics and sources of profitability through time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1304 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1301-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Fen Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Are ‘stock returns’ a hedge against inflation in Japan? Determination using ADL bounds testing Abstract: In this study, the ADL bounds test, developed by Pesaran et al. (2001), is used to test whether the Japanese stock market can provide a hedge against inflation based on monthly data over the period 2001M1 to 2011M7. Granger causality between stock market returns and inflation is also examined. The results of this study provide a reference for participants in developed stock markets and provide evidence that stock returns hedge against inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1309 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1305-1309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianpaolo Iazzolino Author-X-Name-First: Gianpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Iazzolino Author-Name: Maria Elena Bruni Author-X-Name-First: Maria Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bruni Author-Name: Patrizia Beraldi Author-X-Name-First: Patrizia Author-X-Name-Last: Beraldi Title: Using DEA and financial ratings for credit risk evaluation: an empirical analysis Abstract: The article deals with the methodologies for credit risk evaluation. It describes an empirical analysis carried out on a sample of Italian firms belonging to the leather manufacturing and wholesale industry. The study uses the efficiency, calculated through data envelopment analysis (DEA), and the credit rating at the same time. As long as efficiency is calculated by using inputs and outputs strictly linked to the credit reliability of the firm, the study confirms that there is a relationship between efficiency and credit rating, and then that efficiency can be considered as an early warning index for evaluating credit risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1310-1317 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1310-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Hekman Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hekman Author-Name: D. B. Deisenroth Author-X-Name-First: D. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Deisenroth Title: An empirical approach for directly accounting for expectations in behavioural models Abstract: Demand and choice behaviour models in economic literature often involve demand determinants such as product quality. In theory, decisions are based on expected quality; however, in practice, reported or actual values are used as a proxy for expectations. This paper presents a novel approach to measure expectations directly and then compares the predictive success of this explanatory variable with that of the traditional reported values in modelling behaviour. We use recreational fisheries as a case study, and find, as expected, that a priori expected catch rates are a better determinant of demand than ex post revealed catch rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1318-1321 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.802087 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.802087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1318-1321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Uzeda Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Uzeda Author-Name: Callum Jones Author-X-Name-First: Callum Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Detection of anticipated structural changes in a rational expectations environment Abstract: When agents have rational expectations, anticipated changes in the structure of the economy have an immediate affect on their behaviour. In this article, we investigate the interplay between a linear rational expectation model with predictable structural changes and reduced-form evidence of structural breaks. In our study, we vary the length of time between the announcement and the implementation of an inflation target change. Using a model similar to Ireland (2007) and the method presented in Bai and Perron (1998) and Bai and Perron (2003) to estimate unknown structural breaks, Monte Carlo simulation results suggest that reduced-form evidence of structural breaks are broadly in line with what is predicted by forward-looking rational expectation models; that is, as the transition period increases, break estimates gradually move farther from the policy announcement date. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1322-1327 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.791033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.791033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1322-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Maria Arranz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Carlos Garcia-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Serrano Title: The ‘effective’ measure of unemployment benefit duration: data on spells or individuals? Abstract: Using administrative data, this article measures the ‘effective’ duration of unemployment benefit recipiency. Our results suggest that this duration varies considerably when we use spells instead of data on individuals. The exit hazard rate from unemployment using spells is overestimated when compared to the one obtained with data on individuals and, therefore, the expected duration of unemployment benefit recipiency is underestimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1328-1332 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1328-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Ardia Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ardia Author-Name: Lennart F. Hoogerheide Author-X-Name-First: Lennart F. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoogerheide Title: Worldwide equity risk prediction Abstract: Various GARCH models are applied to daily returns of more than 1200 constituents of major stock indices worldwide. The value-at-risk forecast performance is investigated for different markets and industries, considering the test for correct conditional coverage using the false discovery rate (FDR) methodology. For most of the markets and industries, we find the same two conclusions. First, an asymmetric GARCH specification is essential when forecasting the 95% value-at-risk. Second, for both the 95% and 99% value-at-risk, it is crucial that the innovations’ distribution is fat-tailed (e.g. Student-t or -- even better -- a nonparametric kernel density estimate). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1339 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1333-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Artz Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Artz Title: The impact of supervisor age on employee job satisfaction Abstract: As workers in the United States get older, it is increasingly likely that they will have significantly younger supervisors. In these instances, workers experience status incongruence -- the supervisor--subordinate relationship does not conform to social ‘norms’. As a result workers may, in some instances, be dissatisfied with their opportunities for advancement if they have a significantly younger supervisor. This is most likely the case among more educated workers, potentially leading to lower job satisfaction and increased likelihood of quits. Ordered probit estimations of the 2008 wave of the National Study of the Changing Workforce confirm these hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1340-1343 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1340-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Title: Subnational trade flows and state-level energy intensity: an empirical analysis Abstract: In one strand of research, analysts examine the trends and determinants of energy usage and intensity. In the second strand, researchers analyse the impact of trade flows on environmental outcomes. Recently, Cole (2006) bridges this gap, analysing the impact of trade intensity on energy usage utilizing panel data at the country level. In line with Cole (2006), we analyse the impact of subnational trade flows across US states on state-level energy usage and intensity, controlling for the endogeneity of trade flows. The model treating trade as endogenous confirms the cross-country result in Cole (2006); trade causes energy intensity to rise on average. However, the impact is not homogeneous across sectors as the increase in intensity is concentrated in the industrial and transportation sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1344-1351 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1344-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Heinrich Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Heinrich Author-Name: Manuel Kreutner Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kreutner Title: On the provision of public goods under credit constraints Abstract: This article develops a model with indivisible infrastructure projects which are too large to operate on regional level due to credit constraints. We investigate the performance of different forms of centralized governments. Our focus is on central legislatures with regional representatives with and without agenda setter. We show that a central legislature without agenda setter performs better in the case of a soft credit constraint, whereas a central legislature with agenda setter is more successful in the case of a hard credit constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1352-1356 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1352-1356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Carling Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Carling Author-Name: Johan Håkansson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Håkansson Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Optimal retail location and CO2 emissions Abstract: In this article, the p-median model is used to find the location of retail stores that minimizes CO2 emissions from consumer travel. The optimal location is then compared with the existing retail location, and the excess CO2 emissions compared with the optimal solution is calculated. The results show that by using the environmentally optimal location, CO2 emissions from consumer travel could be reduced by approximately 22%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1357-1361 Issue: 14 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.808306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.808306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:14:p:1357-1361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rongxi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Rongxi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xianliang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xianliang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Guanqun Tong Author-X-Name-First: Guanqun Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: Forecasting macroeconomy based on the term structure of credit spreads: evidence from China Abstract: This article establishes an original methodology to forecast macroeconomy based on the term structure of credit spreads. It combines the traditional Svensson model with genetic algorithms to obtain the interest rate term structures of government bonds and corporate bonds and calculates credit spreads as their differences. And this article defines three factors of the term structure of credit spreads: level, slope and curvature. Based on these three factors and several macroeconomic variables, VAR models are developed and tested to forecast macroeconomic variables. The empirical results confirm that VAR models can predict the changes of China's macroeconomy well, which indicates that the term structure of credit spreads contains information of future changes of macroeconomic variables. We believe this result has significant implications for macroeconomy policy-makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1367 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1363-1367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ning Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A note on bank default risk under government capital injection coinciding with high future loss expectation Abstract: This article proposes a framework for bank default risk measure under government capital injection explicitly coinciding with an adverse signal that a rescued bank is expected to have significant future losses. A bank facing a serious problem of early closure may have a strong incentive to participate in a government assistance programme. Recipients of government capital injections are encouraged to make additional loans at a reduced margin, and then increase the default risk in the bank's equity returns. These results may be due to the conflicting goals of the government's capital injection programme for bank recapitalization and bank lending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1368-1373 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.810326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.810326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1368-1373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johann Fuchs Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Fuchs Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: A new look at the discouragement and the added worker hypotheses: applying a trend--cycle decomposition to unemployment Abstract: This article proposes an unobserved components approach to disentangle the influence of unemployment on labour participation into a permanent and a cyclical part, connected to discouragement and added worker effect, respectively. By splitting up the participation effect of changes in the unemployment rate, our analysis differs profoundly from previous studies that present the net of both or only a single effect. The results for Germany confirm that both the discouragement and the added worker effect exist, but different age groups respond differently to permanent and transitory changes in the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1374-1378 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.812777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.812777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1374-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eike Emrich Author-X-Name-First: Eike Author-X-Name-Last: Emrich Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Joining the international fight against doping Abstract: We develop a simple two-country model to trace out conditions under which countries join the international fight against doping. We show that the support for an internationally coordinated anti-doping policy depends on the extent to which the rules of the anti-doping fight, as formulated by the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA), account for national preferences and on the cross-country substitutability of sporting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1379-1382 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.812778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.812778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1379-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: Mathieu Gatumel Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Gatumel Author-Name: Florian Ielpo Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Ielpo Title: Understanding momentum in commodity markets Abstract: This article investigates momentum strategies in commodity markets. Using a Markov-switching model and formal tests for the number of regimes in the data, we identify momentum trends for a variety of commodities, exchange rates, interest rates and equities. The data cover the period 1995--2012 at a daily frequency. The results shed light on the key differences between commodities and standard assets with regard to the presence of trends, mean-reverting behaviour and number of regimes that would need to be accurately taken into account to build profitable trend-following strategies. The results are also of economic significance for researchers interested in the modelling of commodity time series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1402 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1383-1402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Are production managers' forecasts useful? Joint evaluation and robustness Abstract: We jointly evaluate the two directional changes (increase/decrease and acceleration/deceleration) in monthly manufacturing production activity predicted by production managers using a new market-timing test. Besides determining that the forecasts are useful in predicting an increase/decrease and acceleration/deceleration in monthly production activity, joint evaluation of the forecast illustrates the advantage of the new test. Moreover, we find that the results are broadly robust to two data vintages and outlying observations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1403-1406 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1403-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Lucio Gaeta Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Lucio Author-X-Name-Last: Gaeta Title: Do influential contacts help in receiving fair treatment from public officials? Abstract: Using data provided by the International Social Survey Programme (ISSP) module Role of Government IV, we empirically investigate the micro-foundations of citizens' perceptions of public officials' fairness. Our results support the idea that (perceived) fairness of public officials is associated with a number of citizens' characteristics. In greater detail, we find evidence that receiving fair treatment from public officials is positively and significantly correlated to having connections with influential people. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1407-1412 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1407-1412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Do public sector unions erode business climates? Abstract: This article addresses whether the growing prevalence of public sector unions exerts effects that spill over to the private sector. The hypothesis that higher prevalence erodes business climate is tested on an index of CEO ratings of the best and worst states in which to conduct business. Evidence indicates that business climates are inversely related to public sector union prevalence. An implication is that erosion of business climates should be a concern to union members as well since they rely on businesses, their employees and customers to pay for government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1413-1417 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1413-1417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berta Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Berta Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Author-Name: Bruno Casal Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Casal Author-Name: Luis Currais Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Currais Author-Name: Paolo Rungo Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Rungo Title: Illicit drug use and labour market participation: evidence of simultaneity Abstract: Empirical research into the relationship between illicit drug use and labour market success has been found to have mixed results in the literature. The relevant sources of variability are the methods used to account for the potential endogeneity of drug use. This article utilizes clinical data for drug use and a recursive simultaneous equations approach as an alternative method for estimating the effect of consumption on labour participation and as a means for controlling for the endogeneity problem. Our results confirm that drug use is endogenously determined, and provide evidence to support the thesis that frequent use of dependency drugs greatly decreases the likelihood of being employed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1418-1422 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1418-1422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helga Kristj�nsd�ttir Author-X-Name-First: Helga Author-X-Name-Last: Kristj�nsd�ttir Title: Foreign direct investment in a small open economy Abstract: Think of a small open economy interestingly positioned between the trade blocs of the NAFTA and the EU, with FDI in recent years resembling the pattern before the economic crash, making a pre-crash data set useful for exploring potential long-term trends. In this research, investment is explained by geographic location and country size, using a gravity model to account for the country's exceptional remoteness and sparseness. A unique extension of the gravity model applies the inverse hyperbolic sine (IHS) function. The IHS functional form is estimated together with fixed difference between investment sectors and trade blocs being estimated simultaneously, an analysis that is rarely possible. Results indicate that under these conditions, investment appears to be more driven by wealth than market size effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1423-1425 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1423-1425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andr�s Barge-Gil Author-X-Name-First: Andr�s Author-X-Name-Last: Barge-Gil Author-Name: Alberto L�pez Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: L�pez Title: The complementarity effect of research and development on firm productivity Abstract: Returns to investment in research and development (R&D) are a subject of considerable interest in the literature on economics of innovation. However, a drawback of this literature is that R&D is mostly treated as a homogeneous activity. This article analyses the differentiated effect of research and development on productivity and tests the existence of complementarity between these activities. We find evidence supporting the existence of a direct effect of both innovation activities. Most interestingly, our results suggest that there is complementarity between research and development in determining productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1426-1430 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1426-1430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Rui Neiva Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Neiva Title: Spatial autocorrelation in the European air navigation system Abstract: The fragmentation of the European air navigation system has been identified as a cause of inefficiencies and additional costs. One of the problems is that since the different national systems are not independent of their neighbours, there might be issues of spatial autocorrelation, where the efficiency of a system is dependent on the efficiency of others, and thus an inefficient system might negatively impact the economic efficiency of those around it. This article will explore that possibility by applying spatial autocorrelation techniques to data envelopment analysis efficiency results for 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1431-1434 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1431-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: J. Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Raquel Ortega-Lapiedra Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega-Lapiedra Title: Health status and time allocation in Spain Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between health status and the time devoted to both market and nonmarket work by individuals responding to the Spanish Time Use Survey 2002--2003. We find that better health of individuals is associated with an increase in the hours of market work, while reducing the time devoted to nonmarket work. We show that OLS estimations yield biased results, and the use of instrumental variables (IV) is needed to deal with endogeneity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1435-1439 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.818205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.818205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1435-1439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao-Ping Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chun-Yang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Chong-Feng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chong-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The economic role of jumps in EUR/USD and USD/JPY exchange rates Abstract: This study investigates the economic role of jumps in foreign currency market. We fit exchange rates by the stochastic volatility with correlated jumps (SVCJ) model, and use Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to estimate the model and identify jumps in exchange rates. Our empirical analysis of EUR/USD and USD/JPY exchange rates suggest that SVCJ model is a good characterization for exchange rates. We find that the jumps in the currency markets are closely connected with significant economic and political events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1440-1444 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.818206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.818206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1440-1444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Puqing Lai Author-X-Name-First: Puqing Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Solving the Wallis--North paradox in transaction cost measurement Abstract: This note contributes to solving the Wallis--North paradox in transaction cost measurement. By distinguishing latent transaction costs from actual transaction costs, the note showed that when the latent transaction costs were prohibitively high, no transaction and actual transaction costs would happen and thus the share of transaction sectors should be zero; nevertheless, with latent transaction costs declining, transaction sectors and actual transaction costs will increase. Therefore, a higher share of transaction sectors in an economy reveals that the economy actually has a lower level of (latent) transaction costs. The Wallis--North approach is still workable for the transaction cost measurement but with an inverted interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1445-1448 Issue: 15 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.818207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.818207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:15:p:1445-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dewei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dewei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Optimal liquidity reserve with funding liquidity risk Abstract: In this article, we take the funding liquidity risk into account when determining the optimal liquidity reserve ratio for a commercial bank. A simple continuous-time model is developed, and a discrete-time model is built as a benchmark. We find that compared with the continuous-time model, the discrete-time model would generate a higher reserve ratio when the illiquid project has low haircut rate, and a lower reserve ratio when the project has high haircut rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1452 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1449-1452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristie Briggs Author-X-Name-First: Kristie Author-X-Name-Last: Briggs Title: Institutional quality as a barrier to trade Abstract: Improvement of institutional quality abroad encourages new domestic firms to export to these countries, but has no effect on the volume of exports from incumbent firms. Thus, poor institutional quality acts as a barrier to the extensive margin of trade. As a result, policies that encourage the strengthening of foreign institutions coincide with national export initiatives such as the one launched by President Obama in 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1453-1458 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1453-1458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoni Cunyat Author-X-Name-First: Antoni Author-X-Name-Last: Cunyat Author-Name: Celia Melguizo Author-X-Name-First: Celia Author-X-Name-Last: Melguizo Title: Effective leadership in teams: a simple model Abstract: This article explores the determinants of effective leadership in a team of production. We obtain that for leadership to be effective, the leader must be at least as productive as the follower. In the case of a charismatic leader, we obtain that efficiency can be restored with a homogeneous team. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1459-1461 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1459-1461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilsun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Pilsun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: Marginal or copula: which one is critical? Abstract: We construct twelve marginal--copula combinations using three marginal distributions (normal, t and SU -normal) and four types of copulas (normal, skewed normal, t and skewed t). Bivariate empirical evidence shows that the choice of marginal distribution plays a more important role in the Value at Risk (VaR) estimation than the selection of copula specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1462-1465 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1462-1465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. D. Procher Author-X-Name-First: V. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Procher Author-Name: D. Urbig Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Urbig Author-Name: C. Volkmann Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Volkmann Title: Time to BRIC it? Internationalization of European family firms in Europe, North America and the BRIC countries Abstract: For a sample of 1243 European companies, we analyse the link between firm type and foreign direct investment (FDI) locations. We find substantial empirical evidence that being a family firm does not only affect the overall propensity for FDI, but that this effect is also specific to target regions. Overall, family firms invest more than managerial-led firms, particularly in Europe and North America. Furthermore, the BRIC countries, Brazil, Russia, India and China do not constitute a homogeneous attractiveness cluster for FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1466-1471 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.815302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.815302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1466-1471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C�line Az�mar Author-X-Name-First: C�line Author-X-Name-Last: Az�mar Author-Name: Rodolphe Desbordes Author-X-Name-First: Rodolphe Author-X-Name-Last: Desbordes Title: External financial dependence and FDI responsiveness to corporate tax rates Abstract: We investigate whether the impact of higher corporate tax rates on foreign direct investment (FDI), at home or abroad, depends on the external financial dependence of a given sector. By structurally relying on debt for the funding of their operations, firms operating in externally dependent (ED) sectors in OECD countries benefit from the tax shield provided by the tax-deductibility of debt interest payments. We conjecture that this tax advantage is likely to make them less sensitive to changes in home and host countries' corporate tax rates than firms in non-ED sectors when engaging in FDI. Using a new proprietary data on bilateral greenfield manufacturing FDI in OECD countries over the period 2003 to 2010, we find empirical support for this hypothesis as firms operating in externally dependent sectors appear to be much less sensitive to home and host corporate tax rates than firms operating in nonexternally dependent sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1472-1476 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1472-1476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Dreber Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dreber Author-Name: Ch. Gerdes Author-X-Name-First: Ch. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdes Author-Name: P. Gr�nsmark Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gr�nsmark Author-Name: A. C. Little Author-X-Name-First: A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Little Title: Facial masculinity predicts risk and time preferences in expert chess players Abstract: In this study, we examine the relationship between risk-taking, impatience and facial masculinity in expert chess players. We combine a large panel data set from high-level chess games with measures of both risk-taking and impatience in chess with facial masculinity, a proxy for testosterone exposure in puberty. We find that male players with high pubertal testosterone exposure are more impatient by playing shorter chess games. For female players, we find that facial masculinity is negatively correlated with risk-taking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1477-1480 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1477-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John C. Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John C. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Author-Name: Christopher F. Dumas Author-X-Name-First: Christopher F. Author-X-Name-Last: Dumas Author-Name: Craig E. Landry Author-X-Name-First: Craig E. Author-X-Name-Last: Landry Author-Name: Jim Herstine Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Herstine Title: A recreation demand model of the North Carolina for-hire fishery: a comparison of primary and secondary purpose anglers Abstract: In this article, we estimate a single trip random utility model for primary purpose and secondary purpose anglers with data from a field survey of charter and head-boat passengers in North Carolina. We find that primary and secondary purpose anglers exhibit significantly different behaviour with regards to cost. However, once costs are weighted for secondary purpose anglers, the value of catch is not statistically different across groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1481-1484 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1481-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Mongeon Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Mongeon Author-Name: Ron Mittelhammer Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Mittelhammer Title: To discriminate or not to discriminate -- Is data aggregation the question? Abstract: Previous professional sports discrimination studies rely heavily on aggregated data to the game level and therefore do not control for unobservable within game heterogeneity. This article uses an established testing methodology for assessing discrimination among professional sports adjudicators and compares inferences when data are and are not aggregated above an influential factor that affects within game foul/penalty rates. Substantial differences in conclusions are found suggesting that a number of inferences in the literature relating to discrimination in various contexts may be fragile. The issue and findings have potential relevance to a wide range of related studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1490 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1485-1490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Financial system sophistication and unemployment around the world Abstract: Using data on 78 countries from 1984 to 2008 and a large number of controls, this article studies the unemployment effect of a major characteristic of the financial system: its level of sophistication, i.e. the variety of financial institutions and instruments available to the economy. It finds that a higher level of sophistication is likely to reduce unemployment. The magnitude of the estimated effect is moderate but noticeable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1491-1496 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1491-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: An exploratory inquiry into the impact of budget deficits on the nominal interest rate yield on Moody's Aaa-rated corporate bonds, 1973--2012 Abstract: This exploratory empirical article provides recent evidence on the impact of the US federal budget deficit on the nominal interest rate yield on Moody's Aaa-rated long-term corporate bonds. The study is couched within a loanable funds model that includes an ex ante real short-term real interest rate yield, the monetary base, expected inflation and the change in per capita real GDP. Using data for the period 1973--2012, which time frame includes 'quantitative easing' monetary policies in the US, autoregressive two-stage least squares estimation reveals the preliminary finding that the federal budget deficit, expressed as a per cent of GDP, has exercised a positive and statistically significant impact on the nominal interest rate yield on Moody's Aaa-rated long-term corporate bonds, even after allowing for 'quantifying easing' and other factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1500 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1497-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Potts Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Potts Author-Name: R. Edwards Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Title: The decreasing returns to gender equality: evidence from the 2012 summer Olympics Abstract: This article uses data from the World Economic Forum to examine the role that closing the gender gap played in promoting national success at the 2012 summer Olympics. Tobit analysis reveals that economic equality increases weighted medal shares, while political equality is associated with lower success, ceteris paribus. The inverse relationship between political equality and Olympic success becomes manifest once nations reach the 58th percentile in political equality, a category associated with high degrees of overall gender equality. A nonlinear relationship between composite gender equality and Olympic success is found, with 71% of complete equality maximizing weighted medal shares and further increases in equality lowering success, all else equal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1501-1505 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1501-1505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Spread and depth adjustment process: an analysis of high-quality microstructure data Abstract: This study examines liquidity dynamics by observing changes in bid-ask spreads and market depths in response to new information and trading activities. By analysing high-quality data from the KOSPI200 futures market, we determine that spread and depth effectively adjust to new information and trading activities. Our empirical results indicate that the size of the equilibrium spread is positively related to trade frequency, the degree of informed trading, volatility and the relative portions of individual trades, and negatively related to trade size. We also find that equilibrium depth is positively associated with the trade frequency and volatility, and negatively associated with the informed trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1506-1510 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.828401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.828401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1506-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Samadhan Bele Author-X-Name-First: Samadhan Author-X-Name-Last: Bele Author-Name: Shashikant Pandey Author-X-Name-First: Shashikant Author-X-Name-Last: Pandey Title: Internet-growth nexus: evidence from cross-country panel data Abstract: The article investigates the causal relationships between internet, economic growth, government expenditure and inflation in 34 OECD countries during the period 1990 to 2010. Using panel co-integration, empirical results show that they are co-integrated. Moreover, there exists bidirectional causality between internet and economic growth, inflation and economic growth and inflation and internet. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Collins Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: A. E. Scorcu Author-X-Name-First: A. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Scorcu Author-Name: R. Zanola Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Zanola Title: Read the book and see the film? The consumption of different versions of cultural goods Abstract: Using a sample of individuals that consumed both the book and movie versions of some cultural experience goods, we investigated the precedence and the preference for a particular version. The likelihood of consuming a version increases as information about that version increases. The preference and the precedence in consumption are related to genre, age and reading habits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1516-1520 Issue: 16 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:16:p:1516-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Helms Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Helms Author-Name: Brian Scott Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Jeremy Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: New experimental evidence on charitable gift restrictions and donor behaviour Abstract: Gift restrictions are a common tool used by donors to ensure charitable intent. Owing to increased monitoring costs and the loss of flexibility, gift restrictions are costly to the recipient nonprofit organizations. Using an economic experiment, we studied the impact of offering donors the option to restrict their charitable gift. Our primary finding demonstrates that allowing the option to restrict a charitable gift increases the average gift size, whether or not the donor chooses to exercise that option. This result implies that restricted gifts both are an important tool for increasing donations and may be less costly to the nonprofit organizations than originally believed. We further demonstrate that high levels of religious attendance are associated with an increased use of gift restrictions and an increased responsiveness to those restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1526 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1521-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Ladenburg Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Ladenburg Title: Does gender-specific starting point bias in choice experiments prevail among well-informed respondents: evidence from an empirical study Abstract: Welfare estimates in discrete choice experiments studies are found to be sensitive towards the applied bid vector, i.e. anchoring bias or starting point bias. Furthermore, there are some evidence that female respondents might be more prone to starting point bias compared to male respondents. Using a market good, starting point bias is tested and found on the preference margin only to be evident among female respondents with less experience with the market good. Experienced female and male respondents do not state significant starting point biased preferences. This suggests that starting point bias might be less severe among well-informed respondents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1527-1530 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1527-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anichul Hoque Khan Author-X-Name-First: Anichul Hoque Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Hasnat Dewan Author-X-Name-First: Hasnat Author-X-Name-Last: Dewan Title: Who should supervise banks for the banking sector stability? Abstract: We empirically examine by whom the commercial banks should be supervised for the stability of a banking sector. With a cross-sectional dataset from 78 countries and using a logit estimation model, we find that the probability of the instability of a country's banking sector reduces if the commercial banks are supervised exclusively by the country's central bank. This probability is even higher if the central bank can conduct its supervision in a less-corrupt institutional environment. Finally, by carrying out some counter-factual thought experiments, we confirm that banking supervision causes banking sector instability, not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1537 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1531-1537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Pieri Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pieri Author-Name: Enrico Zaninotto Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Zaninotto Title: Technical efficiency and the vertical boundaries of the firm: theory and evidence Abstract: This article provides a theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between firms' technical efficiency and the vertical organization of production. Technical inefficiency is explicitly introduced as the source of firms' heterogeneity in a Bertrand--Nash model of industry competition: the main prediction of the model is that the most efficient firms choose vertical integrated structures and the less-efficient ones choose disintegrated structures. The empirical part of the article rests on a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) in a sample of about 400 Italian machine tool (MT) builders, and the result supports the prediction of the theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1538-1543 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1538-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takehisa Kumakawa Author-X-Name-First: Takehisa Author-X-Name-Last: Kumakawa Title: Evaluating others' behaviour: a public-good experiment with ex-post communication Abstract: The present study investigates the effect of ex-post communication on the voluntary provision of public goods. The experiment consists of two stages. In the first stage, paired subjects play a standard public-good game; in the second, each of them evaluates his or her partner's contribution in the first stage and sends a free-form written message to him or her. The experimental results show that the mere presence of an opportunity for ex-post communication is not enough to promote cooperation. However, once subjects actually receive negative messages, they contribute significantly more in the following round. Positive messages, by contrast, do not have such an effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1544-1547 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1544-1547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuebing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xuebing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The relative importance of distance in restricting international trade Abstract: Based on a general setup, this article shows that distance consistently accounts for about 40% of the international trade costs over the years for both developed and developing countries if we assume that trade costs take the iceberg form. The result helps us have a clear perspective of the relative importance of distance in restricting international trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1548-1552 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1548-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Roach Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: Mean reversion or a breath of fresh air? The effect of NFL coaching changes on team performance in the salary cap era Abstract: Just as firms must consider the impact of changes in management, sports teams must consider whether a coaching change will improve the team's on-field performance. I examine the effects of coaching changes for National Football League (NFL) teams between the 1995 and 2012 seasons. A variety of factors contribute to an NFL team's performance reverting towards league-average levels between seasons. Thus, a nominal improvement in team performance could be due to improved management or it could simply be mean reversion. I find that, after accounting for the highly significant mean reversion effect during this time period, firing a coach reduces a team's expected performance during the next season and the team's average performance over the next two seasons. This effect is present when wins are used to measure performance, but also when performance is measured by point differential and playoff appearances, two variables that avoid some shortcomings of using team wins as a measure of performance. I conclude that teams are firing coaches an inefficiently high percentage of the time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1553-1556 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1553-1556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Financial crisis, Taylor rule and the Fed Abstract: We investigate how the Federal Reserve (Fed) hit the zero lower bound (ZLB) interest rate while operating under a Taylor-type policy rule. We estimate a reaction function, and the results indicate that during the crisis Fed increased the weight on output without also increasing the weight on inflation which led them to hit the ZLB.0 Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1557-1561 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1557-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Nihat Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: M. Nihat Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Title: The role of gender diversity on firm performance: a regression quantile approach Abstract: The relationship between gender diversity and firm performance has been investigated using a regression quantile approach for the largest Turkish firms. Overall, results show that gender diversity has a different effect on firm performance over the different points of the conditional distribution. Moreover, the type of industry seems to be important for the sign and significance of the impact of gender diversity on performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1562-1566 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1562-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvo Dajcman Author-X-Name-First: Silvo Author-X-Name-Last: Dajcman Title: Tail dependence between Central and Eastern European and major European stock markets: a copula approach Abstract: This article analyses dynamic tail dependence between the returns of the three largest Central and Eastern European (CEE) stock markets (Hungary, Czech Republic and Poland) and two major Eurozone stock markets (Germany and France). Tail dependence is modelled by a constant and dynamic 'symmetrized Joe-Clayton' (SJC) copula assuming GARCH stock market return processes. The results of the dynamic SJC copula model show that the dependence between pair-wise observed stock markets is time-varying and asymmetric with lower tail dependence mostly exceeding upper tail dependence. The results of the article imply that advantages of international portfolio diversification are reduced in downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1567-1573 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1567-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina-Selini Katsaiti Author-X-Name-First: Marina-Selini Author-X-Name-Last: Katsaiti Author-Name: Amany A. El Anshasy Author-X-Name-First: Amany A. Author-X-Name-Last: El Anshasy Title: What determines obesity in oil-rich UAE? New evidence from survey data Abstract: We conduct a survey on university undergraduate students and use the novel data set to investigate the possible determinants of overweight and obesity in the UAE. Our results indicate that being male, married, rich and non-national is associated with higher BMI and students with these features are in greater risk of overweight/obesity. For students originating from MENA countries, we find a positive effect for eating out, income and computer use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1574-1579 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1574-1579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Gonz�lez-Val Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Gonz�lez-Val Author-Name: Arturo Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Arturo Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Author-Name: Fernando Sanz-Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Gracia Title: The accuracy of graphs to describe size distributions Abstract: This  article analyses the performance of the graphs traditionally used to study size distributions: histograms, Zipf plots (double logarithmic graphs of rank compared to size) and plotted cumulative density functions. A lognormal distribution is fitted to urban data from three countries (the United States, Spain and Italy) over all of the twentieth century. We explain the advantages and disadvantages associated with these graphic methods and derive some statistical properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1580-1585 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1580-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Turan G. Bali Author-X-Name-First: Turan G. Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Author-Name: Nusret Cakici Author-X-Name-First: Nusret Author-X-Name-Last: Cakici Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: The new issues puzzle: evidence from non-US firms Abstract: For non-US stocks of firms in the G7 countries, we empirically test the new issues puzzle -- stocks of firms that issue new equity are, on average, very poor investments relative to various benchmarks -- by market capitalization. Only for the United Kingdom do we find evidence for a significantly negative relation between net share issues and expected returns for larger capitalization stocks. There is some evidence for Japanese stocks. For the other four countries, a positive relation between net share issues and expected returns is observed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1586-1591 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1586-1591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norabajra Asava-vallobh Author-X-Name-First: Norabajra Author-X-Name-Last: Asava-vallobh Author-Name: Timothy J. Gronberg Author-X-Name-First: Timothy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Gronberg Author-Name: Dennis W. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Dennis W. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Title: Introducing a new DEA methodology for environmental inputs Abstract: Data envelopment analysis or DEA is a standard methodology for assessing technical efficiency. In many DEA applications, e.g. in the case of schools or hospitals, the issue arises of calculating efficiency in the presence of nondiscretionary/environmental inputs. We propose a three-stage DEA model to address the environmental input issue, and we provide a simulation analysis that illustrates the implementation and potential advantages of our approach relative to the leading existing multi-stage model of nondiscretionary inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1592-1595 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1592-1595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yu Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Specification tests of habit formation Abstract: Campbell and Cochrane (1999) propose the habit formation model to explain the equity premium puzzle. They assume that an agent's consumption is affected by habit and describe how habit adjusts to the history of consumption. We use the simulated moment method to test these two specifications. Empirically, we find that habit plays an important role in an agent's consumption choice, however not in the way Campbell and Cochrane (1999) specify. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1596-1601 Issue: 17 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:17:p:1596-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: The unemployment effect of hiring and firing regulation in developing countries: survey evidence Abstract: Using the results of surveys of senior company managers to measure the strictness of hiring and firing regulation, this article finds that stricter regulation moderately increased unemployment in developing countries over 1992 to 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1607 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1603-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamel Saadaoui Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Saadaoui Author-Name: Jacques Mazier Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Mazier Author-Name: Nabil Aflouk Author-X-Name-First: Nabil Author-X-Name-Last: Aflouk Title: On the determinants of exchange rate misalignments Abstract: The literature on exchange rate misalignments as well as on exchange rate determinants is very extensive. To our knowledge, however, no study has analysed the determinants of exchange rate misalignments. As huge capital inflows have been pouring into emerging countries since the climax of the crisis, exchange rate misalignments are becoming a crucial issue for policymakers. For a large panel of emerging and industrialized countries and over the period 1982--2008, we identify, empirically, the main determinants of exchange rate misalignments obtained thanks to a FEER approach. Our analysis put forward trade openness, financial openness and regional specialization as determinant variables of exchange rate misalignments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1608-1610 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1608-1610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stevens Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: Testing the efficiency of the futures market for crude oil using weighted least squares Abstract: It is well known that parameter estimates obtained from ordinary least squares can be distorted by outliers. Given the dramatic fluctuations observed in the price of crude oil, it is surprising that the robustness of parameter estimates has not been scrutinized more closely. This article investigates the efficiency of the New York futures market for crude oil using the basis regression. In addition to ordinary least squares, the model's parameters are estimated using weighted least squares and trimmed least squares. The results suggest that the presence of outliers may distort parameter estimates obtained from ordinary least squares away from a finding of an inefficient futures market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1611-1613 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1611-1613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Curzi Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Curzi Author-Name: L. Pacca Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Pacca Author-Name: A. Olper Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Olper Title: Trade collapse, quality and food exports Abstract: This article revisits the so-called 'Collapse in Quality' hypothesis, according to which, during the 2008--2009 crisis, higher quality goods experienced a stronger export reduction compared to low-quality ones. Using disaggregated trade data from three European countries that traditionally export high-quality food products -- France, Italy and Spain -- we do not find any econometric evidence supporting this hypothesis. In contrast, we provide preliminary evidence for the concurrent hypothesis, namely that firms reduced their markup to preserve market share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1614-1617 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1614-1617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofiane Aboura Author-X-Name-First: Sofiane Author-X-Name-Last: Aboura Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Title: An equicorrelation measure for equity, bond, foreign exchange and commodity returns Abstract: This article provides the first empirical application of the dynamic equicorrelation (DECO) model to a cross-market data set composed of equities, bonds, foreign exchange and commodity returns during 1983--2013. The results reveal that the average cross-market equicorrelation is around 47%, although it is found to be time-varying and mean-reverting. Besides, we display the equicorrelation across markets as a natural way of looking at the DECO dynamics, which overcomes the cumbersome estimation difficulties encountered with multivariate GARCH models. Implications are derived in terms of asset management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1618-1624 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1618-1624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pattitoni Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Pattitoni Author-Name: Barbara Petracci Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Petracci Author-Name: Massimo Spisni Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Spisni Title: Insider trading and blackout periods: evidence from Italy Abstract: Using a unique hand-collected data set, we investigate the effectiveness of internal dealing regulation and self-imposed blackout periods on companies in Italy. While insiders comply with the internal dealing regulation in reporting their transactions, managers are still able to realize abnormal returns from their trades. We find that company self-imposed blackout periods are often violated as insiders continue trading around corporate events, to the point that managers realize their most profitable trades specifically during these periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1625-1629 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1625-1629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haifeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xianguo Yao Author-X-Name-First: Xianguo Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does attending a key school have a quality premium? A regression discontinuity analysis Abstract: This article investigates the effect of attending a key high school using unique administrative data collected from China. We employ regression discontinuity design to mitigate selection bias arising from unobservable individual ability. Our results show that attending a key high school has a positive effect on student's college entrance examination score. The results are robust to various robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1630-1635 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1630-1635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chew Ging Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chew Ging Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pek Kim Ng Author-X-Name-First: Pek Kim Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Cassey Lee Author-X-Name-First: Cassey Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Short-run and long-run causalities between happiness, income and unemployment in Japan Abstract: This article examines the short-run and long-run causal interactions between happiness and two economic variables in Japan, namely, unemployment and income. Results suggest that whilst more rapid economic growth and lower levels of unemployment are important in raising people's well-being in the short run, it is the relative growth performance of the economy that matters in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1636-1639 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1636-1639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: When are fiscal adjustments successful? The role of social capital Abstract: High levels of social capital, by fostering cooperation and coordination, have direct implications for the intensity of collective action problems in a society. While it has been shown that high levels of social capital facilitate the implementation of institutional reforms we argue that the extent of social capital also determines the success of reforms. Specifically, we analyse fiscal adjustments in a sample of OECD countries and find that higher levels of social capital significantly increase the probability that adjustments are associated with persistent declines in debt-to-GDP ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1640-1643 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829261 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829261 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1640-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Clemente Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Author-Name: G. Larramona Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Larramona Author-Name: V. Montuenga Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Montuenga Title: Scale and composition effects of human capital on Spanish regional migration Abstract: The aim of this article is to test the effects of human capital on Spanish internal migration, decomposed into two components: the size and the composition of the labour force. Our results indicate that those Spanish regions that experienced increases in the ratio of skilled to unskilled workers attracted less immigration in the period 1965 to 1984. Between 1985 and 2000, when employment rates turned nonsignificant in determining migration, the opposite was observed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1644-1647 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.831162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.831162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1644-1647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Title: Information search in pension plan decisions Abstract: This study empirically investigates consumer information search behaviour with respect to supplemental employer-based and private pension plans. The analysis shows that households collect as much information from their social environment as from experts. Regarding the dissemination of information, this suggests that governments should put more emphasis on information that is easily accessible to general public. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1648-1650 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.831163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.831163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1648-1650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: On the accuracy of Federal Reserve forecasts of the saving rate Abstract: This study investigates the unbiasedness and efficiency of the Federal Reserve forecasts of the saving rate for two distinct periods. For 1984--1997, when the saving rate was relatively stable, the forecasts are generally unbiased and efficient. For 1998--2007, when the saving rate experienced significant declines, the forecasts are generally biased (over-predicting) but still efficient. Evidence of efficiency or 'weakly' rationality implies that the Federal Reserve forecasts were generated under symmetric (asymmetric) loss for 1984--1997 (1998--2007). Under asymmetric loss where the forecast errors of the same magnitude but of different signs possess different costs, biased forecasts may still be optimal if the bias is strictly due to asymmetric loss. As such, for 1998--2007, the Federal Reserve staff may have assigned high cost (loss) to under-predictions but little or no cost to over-predictions due to, perhaps, perceiving the unusual declines in the saving rate as temporary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1651-1655 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.831164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.831164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1651-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caterina Forti Grazzini Author-X-Name-First: Caterina Forti Author-X-Name-Last: Grazzini Author-Name: Massimo Guidolin Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Guidolin Title: Forecasting yield spreads under crisis-induced multiple breakpoints Abstract: We perform a real time, out-of-sample forecasting exercise concerning seven fixed income spreads sampled at weekly frequency over a sample that spans the US financial crisis. We compare the predictive accuracy obtained from univariate, mean-reverting models of spreads that ignore the evidence of structural breaks in correspondence of the crisis, with models that take estimated and exogenous break dates into account. We also benchmark these predictive performances to standard random walk models. We find little or no evidence that accounts for breaks in the conditional mean process of yield spreads that would have improved real time predictive accuracy. We speculate on the reasons of such failure and we find informal indications that poor estimation of the breakpoint and the higher variance characterizing the post-break period is responsible for our results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1656-1664 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.831165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.831165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1656-1664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Aristei Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aristei Title: A Blinder--Oaxaca decomposition for double-hurdle models with an application to migrants' remittance behaviour Abstract: This article extends the Blinder--Oaxaca decomposition to double-hurdle (DH) models. The proposed methodology focuses on a generalized non-Gaussian DH specification with correlated errors and allows decomposing the gaps in participation probabilities and outcome levels for a wide range of nested specifications. The decomposition technique is applied to analyse differences in remittance behaviour of temporary and permanent migrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1672 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1665-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hachmi Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: Hachmi Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Ameur Author-Name: Yacouba Gn�gn� Author-X-Name-First: Yacouba Author-X-Name-Last: Gn�gn� Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Title: Measuring time-varying equity risk premium in the context of financial crisis: do developed and emerging markets differ? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1673-1677 Issue: 18 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:18:p:1673-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam J. Hoffer Author-X-Name-First: Adam J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffer Author-Name: Ryan Freidel Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Freidel Title: Does salary discrimination persist for foreign athletes in the NBA? Abstract: This study empirically examines Becker's (1971) wage discrimination theory using foreign-born National Basketball Association (NBA) players. Despite the rapid growth in the NBA, particularly in foreign markets, existing literature suggests that foreign-born players continue to be underpaid relative to players born in the United States. Becker's theory predicts that, over time, wage discriminators will be priced out of the market and that wages will eventually equilibrate. This study uses the most recent data, from the 2010 to 2011 NBA season, to test if foreign-born discrimination persists. The empirical results from this study reveal that not only have wages for foreign players caught up to the wages of their American counterparts, but foreign-born players received an average wage premium of approximately $900 000. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory G. Lubiani Author-X-Name-First: Gregory G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lubiani Author-Name: Albert A. Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert A. Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: Quality-adjusted output cost economies of US adult versus paediatric physical therapy production Abstract: With rapid population ageing and continuing proliferation of diseases limiting physical mobility and flexibility, timely research is needed on the operational economics of US physical therapy clinics at the disaggregated level (e.g., adult versus paediatric). This is because of potential variations in the cost economies, reimbursement structures and quality-adjusted outcome mandates of the reformed health care system. As such, the production technology structure and resource use flexibility implications in adult compared with paediatric physical therapy would tend to differ. Specifying a Generalized Translog (GTL) cost-minimization model, the core innovation in this article is investigating the cost structure differences between 'for-profit' adult and paediatric physical therapy operations. Using a uniquely rich data set of 4552 bi-weekly, site-specific operations across 27 US states with measurements on output, labour inputs (clinical, technicians, support staff) and capital, we separately model the economic contents of adult and paediatric physical therapy clinics. Results suggest that paediatric clinics do, indeed, have a statistically different operational cost structure compared with adult centres. The estimated factor demand elasticities of pair-wise factor substitutions (own and cross-price, Morishima and Shadow) and scale economies also differ, among other technological characteristics. These results have operational policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 6-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.831166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.831166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:6-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayotis G. Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis G. Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Author-Name: Theofanis Papageorgiou Author-X-Name-First: Theofanis Author-X-Name-Last: Papageorgiou Author-Name: Efthymios G. Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Efthymios G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: Is the Greek crisis in the EMU contagious? Abstract: In this article, we employ a number of econometric techniques in order to examine, on a quarterly basis, the transmission of fluctuations between the Greek and the other economic and monetary union (EMU) countries, respectively, after the introduction of the common currency in the period 2001--2012, which fully captures the recent recession. Our main finding is that the Greek crisis is, indeed, transmitted to several of its EMU counterparts, especially due to its various forms of debt but cannot (Granger) cause their economic activity except for in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:13-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cary Deck Author-X-Name-First: Cary Author-X-Name-Last: Deck Author-Name: Jungmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: Investing versus gambling: experimental evidence of multi-domain risk attitudes Abstract: Economists have noted the empirical regularity that an individual's attitude towards risk is not constant across elicitation settings. Such a pattern is conceptually consistent with the argument in psychology that risk is domain specific. To explore this view, we frame a common risk elicitation tool in laboratory experiments as both a gambling game and an investment opportunity. A survey instrument used to measure one's attitudes towards risks on different domains is found to explain partially within-subject variation in observed behaviour between the two tasks. The evidence presented in this article demonstrates the need to consider more nuanced approaches to modelling risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Unions and income inequality: evidence from Ireland Abstract: Using cointegration and causality techniques, we find for Ireland that there is a negative long-run relationship between union density and income inequality and that causality runs in both directions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 24-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:24-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Ormerod Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Ormerod Title: The persistence of unemployment at the local area level: evidence from the US and the UK Abstract: In the 1990s and 2000s, unemployment was seen, both by academic labour market economists and policymakers, as a short-run disequilibrium phenomenon. Policy was aimed at increasing the 'flexibility' of the labour market, at removing obstacles to the workings of the market, which would ostensibly restore equilibrium in the labour market. In this article, I examine the correlations over time of relative unemployment rates at the detailed disaggregated level of both US counties and UK local authority areas, using the 1990--2010 period. The United States and to some extent the United Kingdom are held up as examples of the more 'flexible' labour markets to which other countries should aspire. But even over a period of 20 years, there is strong persistence in relative unemployment rates at local area levels in both countries, and especially the United Kingdom. This result extends to counties and local authority areas within individual states and regions. Local areas with high (low) unemployment in 1990 are likely to have high (low) unemployment in 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 28-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:28-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrice Bougette Author-X-Name-First: Patrice Author-X-Name-Last: Bougette Author-Name: Kai H�schelrath Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: H�schelrath Author-Name: Kathrin M�ller Author-X-Name-First: Kathrin Author-X-Name-Last: M�ller Title: Do horizontal mergers induce entry? Evidence from the US airline industry Abstract: Theoretical research has investigated the relevance of entry-inducing effects as countervailing factor to a merger-related increase in market power. We use route-level data for the America West Airlines--US Airways merger (2005) to investigate whether such an effect can be identified empirically. Our results show that both entry-inducing and entry-dissuading effects can be observed depending on the type of affected route and the carrier under investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:31-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norbert Hirschauer Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschauer Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Author-Name: Syster C. Maart-Noelck Author-X-Name-First: Syster C. Author-X-Name-Last: Maart-Noelck Author-Name: Sven Gruener Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Gruener Title: Eliciting risk attitudes -- how to avoid mean and variance bias in Holt-and-Laury lotteries Abstract: This article shows that including inconsistent subjects in a Holt-and-Laury analysis will bias the mean, as well as the variance of the risk attitudes of the subject group of interest to an extent that cannot be determined a priori and that must not be neglected. One might be tempted to simply drop inconsistent subjects from the analysis to avoid such biases in a population-level analysis. Unfortunately, however, this is not a solution: first, the sample size may fall to an unacceptably low level. Second -- and even more important -- simply dropping inconsistent subjects from the analysis may introduce another unknown bias since systematic differences may exist in the risk preferences of those who answer consistently and those who do not. One must thus conclude that, if the group of interest contains a large proportion of inconsistent subjects, the whole set-up of the Holt-and-Laury lottery (HLL) experiment must be critically reconsidered and the experiment eventually repeated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandra Catozzella Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Catozzella Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Beyond absorptive capacity: in-house R&D as a driver of innovative complementarities Abstract: This article shows how in-house R&D may play a role in affecting innovative output beyond its direct impact and its indirect effect through absorptive capacity, generating additional synergies that amplify the impacts of innovative inputs other than R&D itself. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.835475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.835475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:39-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Sen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Author-Name: Pao-Yu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Pao-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Are investors' portfolios enhanced by incorporating CTA index funds? Abstract: By exploring the CTA index with other representative indices across stock, bond, currency, futures, oil, gold and commodity markets, we reveal several impressive findings for the CTA index. First, an upward trend exists for the CTA index without obvious drops. Second, a lower correlation is shown between the CTA index and each of these indices without exceptions. Third, neither causality nor cointegration is revealed as well. The findings revealed above seldom coexist for other financial commodities, implying that investors are able to enhance their portfolios by incorporating CTA index funds according to the portfolio selection proposed by Markowitz (1952). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.837571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.837571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: Determinants of fair own wage perceptions: the moderating effect of works councils and performance evaluations Abstract: This empirical research note uses large-scale German survey data in order to analyse the determinants of fair wage perceptions. The probability to perceive the own wage as fair increases significantly with earned wages and is larger if a works council exists. Moreover, works councils and performance evaluations have a significant moderating effect on the link between the size of earned wages and fair wage perceptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.837572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.837572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:47-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Author-Name: Jodi E. Pelkowski Author-X-Name-First: Jodi E. Author-X-Name-Last: Pelkowski Title: Voter demand for fluoridated water: a tale of two c(av)ities Abstract: Government fluoridation of public water systems to promote dental health has long been advocated by many health associations, based on the findings of mainstream scientific studies. Despite this, fluoridation remains a controversial issue. Some in the public are antithetical to the science behind fluoridation while others view it as an infringement on individual choice. Voting data from referendums in two of the six largest US cities without fluoridated water (Portland, Oregon, and Wichita, Kansas) are used to examine the factors driving voter demand for and against fluoridation. Although regression analysis reveals differences between the cities, a strong commonality is greater support for fluoride coming from voting precincts with higher concentrations of college graduates. Additionally, even though advocates often laud water fluoridation as a relatively inexpensive way to extend dental health benefits to all children (regardless of income levels), presence of children in households surprisingly does not appear to translate into voter support. Lastly, after controlling for socio-economic factors, results suggest that opposition to fluoridation does not appear to come from the political centre, but from the libertarian right and environmental left. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.837573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.837573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung Hwan Min Author-X-Name-First: Jung Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: A note on the role of price risk in soya bean supply functions Abstract: This article examines whether the inclusion of the price risk variable as an explanatory variable in a Gardner-type acreage response model is statistically significant. By estimating six separate soya bean acreage response equations, including two linear equations with and without risk, two double logarithmic equations with and without risk and two semi-logarithmic equations with and without risk, we find that adding a risk variable to the futures price model yields a better statistical result in every case. Furthermore, the models that have incorporated the risk variable have higher own and cross-price elasticities. This is a desirable result, since in the literature, many previous estimated supply elasticities were considered lower than plausible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.837574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.837574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahad Almudhaf Author-X-Name-First: Fahad Author-X-Name-Last: Almudhaf Title: Testing for random walk behaviour in CIVETS exchange rates Abstract: This article investigates the random walk behaviour of CIVETS (Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa) foreign exchange rates against the US dollar using weekly data from February 2007 to April 2012. Using variance ratio tests, the results suggest that the nominal exchange rates of Vietnamese dong and Egyptian pounds violate the random walk hypothesis and do not follow a martingale process. However, the Colombian peso, Indonesian rupiah, Turkish lira and South African rand exchange rate markets are considered weak-form efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 60-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.839856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.839856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:60-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Janice Boucher Breuer Author-X-Name-First: Janice Boucher Author-X-Name-Last: Breuer Author-Name: William Hauk Jr. Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Hauk Jr. Author-Name: John McDermott Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: The return of convergence in the US states Abstract: We analyse convergence of per capita income across the US states for the period 1929--2011. We find that absolute convergence was in evidence early, but it broke down around 1978. It appears to have returned in 1990, although more weakly than before. We use two standard metrics to evaluate convergence: (1) σ-convergence, a reduction in the SD of state per capita income and (2) β-convergence, the fact that poor states grow faster than rich states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 64-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:1:p:64-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Title: Bank deregulation and relative wages in finance Abstract: Rising wages in the finance industry have been a source of debate and are usually linked to financial deregulations. Exploiting the cross-state and over-time variation in the timing of US bank deregulations, this article investigates the causal impact of each type of deregulation on the relative wages in the finance industry. I document that relative wages in finance began to rise in the early 1980s in almost all states, including those that deregulated before 1970 and those that deregulated in the 1990s. Consistently, after controlling for aggregate macro shocks that affected all states, there is no evidence that relative finance wages increased more following any type of deregulation. If anything, I find a negative impact of bank branching deregulation on relative wages in finance. These results together with those found in the study by Philippon and Reshef (2012) call for a better understanding of the dynamics of wages in the finance industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.829180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.829180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:69-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esin Cakan Author-X-Name-First: Esin Author-X-Name-Last: Cakan Author-Name: Aram Balagyozyan Author-X-Name-First: Aram Author-X-Name-Last: Balagyozyan Title: Herd behaviour in the Turkish banking sector Abstract: This study looks for evidence of investor herding in the Turkish banking sector. We apply the methodology of Chang et al. (2000) to daily stock returns between 2007 and 2012 and find evidence of herding. This result is robust under model specifications that control for market and firm fundamentals. Herding behaviour shows asymmetric effects, and investors herd only in rising markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sartaj Rasool Rather Author-X-Name-First: Sartaj Rasool Author-X-Name-Last: Rather Author-Name: S. Raja Sethu Durai Author-X-Name-First: S. Raja Sethu Author-X-Name-Last: Durai Author-Name: M. Ramachandran Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramachandran Title: Does inflation asymmetrically affect relative price variability? Abstract: The U-shaped relationship between inflation and price dispersion around nonzero inflation rate is due to the use of aggregate measure of relative price variability (RPV), which amounts to specification errors in a piecewise linear regression models. However, the true underlying relationship between inflation and inflation-induced RPV is found to be U-shaped around zero inflation and inflation seems to have asymmetric impact on price dispersion as predicted by menu cost models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:80-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Determinants of state laws addressing obesity Abstract: Little is known about why some states enact more laws addressing obesity than others. This study examines what factors influence the enactment of laws using a data set of the 90 laws enacted over 2001--2010 in 30 states. Odds of enacting laws are mostly unrelated to state variation in education, population density, income, political party structure and obesity prevalence. Factors that significantly influence number of laws include education, black and Hispanic percentages of population and age. Examination of categories of laws indicates cases where political party structure and obesity prevalence influence cumulative numbers of laws, but often in conflicting directions. The negative but weak (p = 0.054) effect of obesity prevalence on the cumulative number of all laws also suggests that state governments that enact most laws are those with relatively low obesity prevalence. This study indicates opportunities for future research to examine which laws addressing obesity are most effective among the diverse experiments taking place across the states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-89 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:84-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiř� Lahvička Author-X-Name-First: Jiř� Author-X-Name-Last: Lahvička Title: What causes the favourite-longshot bias? Further evidence from tennis Abstract: In sports betting markets, bets on favourites tend to have a higher expected value than bets on longshots. This article uses a data set of almost 45 000 professional single tennis matches to show that the favourite-longshot bias is much stronger in matches between lower-ranked players, in later-round matches and in high-profile tournaments. These results cannot be solely explained by bettors being locally risk-loving or overestimating chances of longshots, but are consistent with bookmakers protecting themselves against both better informed insiders and the general public exploiting new information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 90-92 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:90-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Author-Name: Jan-Christoph R�lke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: R�lke Title: Do interest-rate forecasters herd? International evidence Abstract: Results of earlier empirical research on whether survey data on forecasts of interest rates exhibit signs of forecaster herding are mixed. We reconsider the question of forecaster herding using a large international data set of interest-rate forecasts. We do not find much evidence of forecaster herding. Rather, forecasters seem to anti-herd, that is, they seem to intentionally scatter their interest-rate forecasts around the consensus forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:93-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: HuiMing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: HuiMing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: WanHai You Author-X-Name-First: WanHai Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Yinghua Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: A note on the long-run determinants of economic growth Abstract: Variable selection is the issue of major concern in practical regressions. This note provides a simple and efficient method to examine the robustness of predictor variables in cross-country economic growth models. Our results confirm the general findings of Sala-i-Martin et al. (2004), indicating the importance of a number of same predictor variables. In addition, we also identify that some other variables are associated with economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-102 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:99-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tianran Niu Author-X-Name-First: Tianran Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Title: Bank finance heterogeneity in China: micro-level evidence Abstract: This article finds that there is a nonlinear relationship between a city's development level and a bank's impact on firm performance in China, by using firm level data. In particular, bank's impact on firm performance is largest in cities with intermediate level of development. This article reconciles the work done by Allen et al. (2005) and that done by Ayyagari et al. (2010). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Espinosa Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Espinosa Author-Name: Juan Gorigoit�a Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Gorigoit�a Author-Name: Carlos Maquieira Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Maquieira Author-Name: João Paulo Vieito Author-X-Name-First: João Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Vieito Title: Nonlinear behaviour in EMBI series from Eastern Europe: evidence of 'window size effect' Abstract: The main objective of this article is to explore how the number of observations included in a window may impact the rejection rate of linear windows. We employ two methodologies proposed in the literature in order to study the linear and nonlinear behaviour. We use daily Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) index spreads from six of the most important Eastern European countries (Bulgaria, Hungry, Poland, Russia, Serbia and Ukraine). The empirical results show what we call 'window size effect' because when we include more than 50 observations in each window, the rejection rate increases using the two different methodologies. Therefore, our findings support the idea that, even in this well informed and sophisticated market, the weak-form of the efficient market hypothesis cannot be confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:107-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven P. Cassou Author-X-Name-First: Steven P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassou Author-Name: Hedieh Shadmani Author-X-Name-First: Hedieh Author-X-Name-Last: Shadmani Author-Name: Jesús V�zquez Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: V�zquez Title: Did asymmetric monetary preferences for the output gap disappear during recent economic times? Abstract: Surico (2007) showed that the Federal Reserve Bank (FED) asymmetric preferences for the output gap disappeared during recent times. We show that this result is sensitive to the starting date chosen for the regressions. Using a starting date of 1984:01 or later, we find that the hypothesis of the FED exhibiting symmetric preferences is consistently rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-117 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:113-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhengxun Tan Author-X-Name-First: Zhengxun Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Shu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A comparison of two housing markets Abstract: China is experiencing rapid increases in house prices similar in magnitude to that observed in the US housing market bubble. We use a simple vector autoregression model (VAR) to compare housing market dynamics in these two countries. We find that the US housing market responds very strongly to interest rate shocks and very little to money supply shocks. In contrast, the Chinese housing market responds strongly to both interest rate and money supply shocks. An inflation shock produces a larger response of house prices in China than in the US, and changes in house prices have a much stronger wealth effect in China than in the US. A major decline of house prices in China is likely to have a much bigger impact on the Chinese economy. Monetary policy in China needs to reply on both interest rate and quantitative measures to curb unsustainable increases in house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.842633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.842633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:118-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: Geography and CEO luck: where do CEOs tend to be lucky? Abstract: CEOs are 'lucky' when they receive stock option grants on days when the stock price is the lowest in the month of the grant, implying opportunistic timing (Bebchuk et al., 2010). We extend Bebchuk et al. (2010) by investigating the geographic peer effects of CEO luck. Our evidence shows that a CEO is significantly more likely to be lucky when other CEOs in the surrounding area are not lucky. It appears that a CEO tends to practice opportunistic timing of option grants when such a practice is less prevalent and thus less noticeable in the nearby area, probably in order to avoid detection. We estimate that the marginal geographic effect on a given CEO's luck is 18.36%, which is both statistically and economically significant. Our results suggest that regulators should look for corporate opportunistic behaviour where it is not expected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.826866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.826866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Segura Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Segura Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Pilar Gargallo Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Gargallo Author-Name: Manuel Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: EU ETS CO2 emissions constraints and business performance: a quantile regression approach Abstract: The European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is the first and largest international scheme for the trading of greenhouse gas emission allowances (European Union Allowances (EUA)). Considering that the global economic crisis is hurting corporate profits, analysing the implications of CO2 emissions constraints for company business performance (BP) is a crucial task for both policymakers and companies. In this context, we analyse the relationship between surplus of allowances (SA) and BP in Spanish firms during the period 2005 to 2010. Using quantile regression techniques that provide a more complete picture of the relationship between the analysed variables, we draw two conclusions. First, an increase in company activity effectiveness led to a decrease in SA, indicating that activity effectiveness was not linked to good environmental performance, in terms of wasting the minimum number of allowances. Second, a decrease in SA, i.e., buying more or selling less EUAs is linked to an increase in company profitability. This provides evidence that the price of EUA was not sufficiently high to create a cost advantage for firms reducing their emissions. Based on our results, two policy measures are proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:129-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P�r Österholm Author-X-Name-First: P�r Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth Abstract: In this article, we evaluate forecasting models for Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden's most important business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey. Employing nine years of quarterly real-time data, we conduct an out-of-sample forecast exercise. Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of survey data for GDP forecasters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nimantha Manamperi Author-X-Name-First: Nimantha Author-X-Name-Last: Manamperi Title: The short and long-run dynamics between inflation and economic growth in BRICS Abstract: The short-run and long-run dynamics between the inflation and economic growth is one of the prominent debates in the economics literature. This article investigates the short- and long-run relationships between the inflation and economic growth in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) over the last three decades. The Johansen cointegration and the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) bound test were used for the long-run relationship, and a VAR analysis sheds light on the short-run dynamics. The results found a positive long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth for India but no long-run relationship in other four countries. A significant negative short-run relationship is found for Brazil, Russia, China and South Africa while a positive short-run relationship is found for India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 140-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:2:p:140-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernhard Rauch Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Rauch Author-Name: Max G�ttsche Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: G�ttsche Author-Name: Gernot Br�hler Author-X-Name-First: Gernot Author-X-Name-Last: Br�hler Author-Name: Thomas Kronfeld Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Kronfeld Title: Deficit versus social statistics: empirical evidence for the effectiveness of Benford's law Abstract: When analysing the quality of data, nonconformity with Benford's law can be a useful indicator of poor data quality, which may be a result of fraud or manipulation. In this article, we use Benford's law to compare government social security statistics with deficit related data reported by the EU member states to Eurostat. Unlike deficit related data, social security statistics are not subject to the fiscal monitoring connected with excessive deficit procedures (EDP) and the incentive to manipulate such statistics is therefore lower. Our results show that, across all but one 27 EU member states, the deviations from the Benford distribution in the social security statistics are considerably smaller than those shown by the deficit data. This leads us to conclude that, as would be expected, European governments behave in accordance with the incentives, i.e. while the quality of the social security statistics appears to be higher, there is a widespread tendency to report incorrect deficit data. We therefore consider our results to be evidence of the effectiveness of Benford's law in identifying manipulated data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Wenting Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wenting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Do past decisions influence future decisions? Abstract: The random lottery incentive (RLI) mechanism (which involves subjects taking many decisions, only a randomly chosen one of which determines the payment to the subject) is widely used in many experiments, and hence its validity is of crucial importance to the inferences that can be drawn from the experiment. Its validity has been investigated in two main ways: first, in simple experiments where subjects were presented with just two decision problems, and second, in experiments where subjects were presented with many problems. In the first set, the hypothesis under test was whether the decisions made on the two problems were connected; in the second set, whether the set of all (previous) decisions affected the current decision. This article combines and extends these two ways by investigating, in experiments with many questions, whether the immediately preceding decision affects the current decision. This is a cognitively less-demanding hypothesis than that all previous decisions are taken into account, but allows for an indirect effect of previous decisions on current ones. Reassuringly, we find little effect and hence our results complement the previous evidence indicating that the RLI mechanism is robust and can safely be used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:152-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: James Wuh Lin Author-X-Name-First: James Wuh Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The relation between gold and stocks: an analysis of severe bear markets Abstract: No prior research has (1) studied the relation between gold and stocks for the four severe bear markets since 1960s, (2) used different segments of stock markets simultaneously for analysis and (3) implemented a system of equations to control for exogenous and endogenous variables to investigate the role of gold for investments hedge in these severe bear market periods, and compare the results with its role in nonbear market periods. Results show that gold was a good instrument for hedging stock market risk for only two of the four severe bear market periods analysed. For nonbear market periods, except for small-cap stocks, gold also did not offer good risk hedging. The findings are of interest, as it coincides with the fact that small-cap stocks are the riskiest and most volatile investment even during economic good times, and gold is found to offer a risk-hedging power for this segment of the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-170 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:158-170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Chung Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Ali F. Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali F. Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Chinese superstition in US commodity trading Abstract: We examine the potential effect of Chinese superstition on the prices of four commodities traded in the US commodity market using daily data from January 1994 to September 2012. We focus on market responses to days that Chinese traders superstitiously deem as either lucky or unlucky. Our results suggest that day 4 in the month (considered unlucky) is associated with significantly lower returns for three commodities (copper, cotton and soybean). The evidence controls for the possible effects of other anomalies and emerges despite the fact that China buys only about half of the US total exports of these commodities. These results seem in conflict with an efficient US commodity market as it opens the possibility for formulating profitable trading rules based on day 4 trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:171-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: Export and FDI premia among services firms in the developing world Abstract: There is extensive econometric evidence showing that goods exporters are larger, more productive, and pay higher wages than nonexporters ('export premia'). However, evidence for firms in the services sector is much more limited. This article uses firm-level data from a range of developing countries to show that export premia also exist for services firms in the developing world. Internationalized services firms display similar characteristics to internationalized manufacturers: they are larger, employ more workers, pay higher wages, invest more heavily and grow faster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 176-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:176-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M'hand Fares Author-X-Name-First: M'hand Author-X-Name-Last: Fares Title: Using a multinomial probit to test for complementarity Abstract: This note shows that the structural parameter estimate of complementarity among innovation strategies can be recovered when the strategies are dichotomous if we use a multinomial probit model. That is, we can separate the complementarity between the innovation strategies from the unobserved heterogeneity, by estimating both the parameter of complementarity and the correlation coefficients in the error terms. This result holds because the multinomial probit, in contrast to the bivariate probit, is not an incoherent model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:180-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Leite Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Leite Author-Name: Maria C�u Cortez Author-X-Name-First: Maria C�u Author-X-Name-Last: Cortez Title: Selectivity and timing abilities of international socially responsible funds Abstract: This article analyses the selectivity and market timing abilities of international Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) funds, from eight European markets, in comparison to conventional funds with similar characteristics. The results show that differences in market timing abilities of international SRI funds and their conventional peers are not statistically significant. However, SRI funds investing in European equities are significantly worse stock pickers than conventional funds, whereas for funds investing globally, selectivity abilities are similar among both fund groups. Hence, our results suggest that a broader investment universe might increase SRI fund managers' stock picking abilities and, consequently, improve SRI fund performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:185-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Shen Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Do Asia-Pacific stock prices follow a random walk? A regime-switching perspective Abstract: This article tests for stock market efficiency among 12 Asia-Pacific countries. A novel approach is applied where unit-root tests of real stock prices are embedded within a Markov regime-switching framework. Although standard univariate unit-root tests provide little support for stock price mean reversion, we find that each country is characterized by two stationary regimes with different speeds of adjustment. Further analysis suggests that the recent global financial crisis is associated with a shift in regimes, where the aftermath of the crisis is more likely associated with a faster speed of mean-reversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:189-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Malikane Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malikane Author-Name: Tshepo Mokoka Author-X-Name-First: Tshepo Author-X-Name-Last: Mokoka Title: What really drives inflation? Abstract: We derive a broad measure of real marginal cost which features the labour share, output gap and supply shock variables. We evaluate the contribution of each of these components of real marginal cost as driving forces for inflation. We find that supply shock variables dominate the output gap and the labour share in driving inflation dynamics. This finding suggests that a more elaborate real marginal cost function should be considered by the new Keynesian literature. Tests of the new Keynesian Phillips curve that are based on the restrictive one-factor production technology should therefore be reconsidered. In the light of this, forecast-based policy rules require more serious study, since they permit more flexibility to respond to supply shocks without generating significant output loss. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 196-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:196-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Ebersberger Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Ebersberger Author-Name: S. J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: S. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Author-Name: C. Koller Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Koller Title: Does the composition of regional knowledge bases influence extra-regional collaboration for innovation? Abstract: There is a growing research interest in the relationship between the composition of regional knowledge bases and the extra-regional collaborative ties maintained by actors during their development work. To investigate this relationship, we use patent data to characterize European NUTS 3 regions by their (i) comparative technological specializations; and (ii) related technological variety. We find domestic, extra-regional collaboration to be negatively associated with regional technological specialization and related technological variety. At the same time, we find related technological variety to serve in support of international innovation collaboration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: The convergence of regional house prices in China Abstract: This aim of this study was to determine the extent of any convergence in house prices across China, using a regional panel data set. The results showed little evidence of convergence across the regions, although there is evidence of a ripple effect starting in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing, although only the former two regions are affected by the distance from them to the respective cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. R. Tomlinson Author-X-Name-First: P. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomlinson Author-Name: J. Robert Branston Author-X-Name-First: J. Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Branston Title: The demand for UK beer: estimates of the long-run on- and off-trade beer price elasticities Abstract: Over the last 30 years, UK beer sales have been falling while the market itself has experienced a dynamic shift from on-trade to off-trade sales. This article provides estimates of the long-run price, cross price and income elasticities, for both on- and off-trade beer consumption. The results shed light on the changing UK beer market, while also having different implications for imposing beer excise duties and the debate on a minimum price per unit for alcohol. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-214 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:209-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John H. Huston Author-X-Name-First: John H. Author-X-Name-Last: Huston Author-Name: Roger W. Spencer Author-X-Name-First: Roger W. Author-X-Name-Last: Spencer Title: Housing and behavioural factors Abstract: The field of behavioural finance is well established. Studies of housing bubbles are less common than studies of equity overvaluation and studies of the behavioural aspects of real-estate pricing are rare. This article examines the housing market from 1987 to the present with particular attention to the 2003 to 2007 bubble. Both behavioural and traditional variables are considered. Models with behavioural variables are seen to provide a better fit during the housing bubble. A state-space model shows that the coefficients on those behavioural variables vary in ways consistent with the emergence and dissipation of the recent housing bubble. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-219 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.849374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.849374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:215-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Amanda Couch Author-X-Name-First: Amanda Author-X-Name-Last: Couch Title: The impact of federal, state and local taxes on student achievement in public schools: the case of Indiana Abstract: In this article, data from 286 Indiana school districts during the 2009--2010 school year were used in a case study to investigate whether fiscal funding has a direct effect on education output (i.e. student achievement). Two results were found: (1) while federal taxes are not significantly associated with student achievement in public schools, both state and local taxes are strongly related to student achievement in public schools, implying a direct effect on education output; and (2) state tax funding has a greater impact on education output than local tax funding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 220-223 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.849376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.849376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:220-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Trezzi Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Trezzi Title: Exchange rates and commodity prices: Granger causality in the time--frequency domain Abstract: I study the asset approach to exchange rates in the time--frequency domain. Using Australian data, I show that the Granger causality runs from the exchange rate to commodity prices -- a proxy for economic fundamentals. This result holds at any point in time at business cycle and higher frequencies confirming the exchange rate present-value framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 224-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.849377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.849377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:3:p:224-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erasmus L. Owusu Author-X-Name-First: Erasmus L. Author-X-Name-Last: Owusu Author-Name: Nicholas M. Odhiambo Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Odhiambo Title: Stock market development and economic growth in Ghana: an ARDL-bounds testing approach Abstract: This article examines the relationship between stock market development and sustainable economic growth in Ghana. The study employs the recently developed ARDL-bounds testing approach and multidimensional stock market development proxies to examine this linkage. The article finds that in the long run, stock market developments and capital account liberalization policies have no positive effect on economic growth in Ghana. This finding supports the numerous past studies, which have reported negative or inconclusive results on the effects of stock market development on economic growth. The article, therefore, concludes that it is the increase in credit to the private sector, rather than stock market development that drives the real sector development in Ghana. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.844315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:229-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huei-Chu Liao Author-X-Name-First: Huei-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Shu-Chuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Are crude oil markets globalized or regionalized? Evidence from WTI and Brent Abstract: This study applies a novel quantile unit root with structural breaks approach to explore whether the international crude oil markets are better characterized as 'globalized' or 'regionalized'. By using the spreads between WTI and Brent crude oil prices as a benchmark, we find that the spreads contain a unit root in the lower quantiles but display mean reversion behaviour in the upper quantiles. However, instead of focusing on some selected (local) quantiles, the quantile Kolmogorov--Smirnov tests over a range of quantiles suggest that the price differentials are universally mean-reverting and, thus, provide strong support to the 'globalization' view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.851766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.851766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:235-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boado-Penas Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Boado-Penas Author-Name: Carlos Vidal-Meli� Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal-Meli� Title: Nonfinancial defined contribution pension schemes: is a survivor dividend necessary to make the system balanced? Abstract: The survivor dividend, at a specific age, is the portion of participants' credited account balances that is distributed on a birth cohort basis from the account balances of participants who do not survive to retirement. This article develops a model to show whether it would be justified to include the survivor dividend in the calculation of affiliate pension balances. The main findings are that the survivor dividend has a strong financial basis which enables the macro contribution rate applied to be the same as the individual credited rate, and that including the survivor dividend in the calculation of the initial pension is not irrelevant because the initial pension could rise by up to 21.84%, depending on the mortality scenario used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 242-247 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.851767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.851767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:242-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ethan Hamilton Author-X-Name-First: Ethan Author-X-Name-Last: Hamilton Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Was the Euro good for Greece? Abstract: Taylor (1979) posits a permanent trade-off between the volatility of output gap and the volatility of inflation. This trade-off serves as an efficiency envelope for optimal monetary policy. Using data from 1960, we examine the efficiency of monetary policy in Greece by measuring the orthogonal distance between the observed volatilities of the output gap and inflation from their optimal levels. As expected in an optimal currency area, we find that the Maastricht convergence criteria greatly benefited Greece in improving macroeconomic stability but at the cost of monetary policy efficacy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 248-251 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:248-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Q. Li Author-X-Name-First: Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: L. Bao Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Author-Name: Q. L. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Q. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Multi-scale tracking dynamics and optimal index replication Abstract: We investigate the index tracking model with the analysis and optimization of tracking dynamic properties. The return deviations between tracking portfolio and the index are first decomposed into several components with different time-scale features. Our model then filters out components at low frequencies. Our approach is implemented to five data sets drawn from major world markets. The results show that our method could control the tracking dynamics and such control could also improve the terminal performance of index tracking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 252-256 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:252-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Title: Does growth affect volatility? An empirical study on developing countries Abstract: Whereas economic growth and business cycles have received significant attention in the literature, they are typically examined separately. However, recent studies have found a causality in which short-term output volatility affects economic growth (volatility-growth causality). In contrast, in this study, we examine whether the opposite causality, from economic growth to short-term output volatility (growth-volatility causality), exists. The existence of volatility-growth causality does not necessarily exclude the existence of growth-volatility causality, and the two causalities may coexist. We empirically examine growth-volatility causality, and the results of our econometric analyses confirm its existence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-260 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:257-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. Qin Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: X. Zhu Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Too non-traditional to fail? Determinants of systemic risk for BRICs banks Abstract: This article empirically tests the 'too non-traditional to fail' argument by exploring the determinants of systemic risk for the BRICs banks. The argument is found not applicable for the BRICs banks, since the systemic risk is merely determined by balance-sheet characteristics, rather than non-traditional activities such as interbank exposures and off-balance commitment. In contrast, systemic risk for banks from the developped countries is related with both aspects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:261-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: An examination of the effects of concealed weapons laws and assault weapons bans on state-level murder rates Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of state-level assault weapons bans and concealed weapons laws on state-level murder rates. Using data for the period 1980 to 2009 and controlling for state and year fixed effects, the results of the present study suggest that states with restrictions on the carrying of concealed weapons had higher gun-related murder rates than other states. It was also found that assault weapons bans did not significantly affect murder rates at the state level. These results suggest that restrictive concealed weapons laws may cause an increase in gun-related murders at the state level. The results of this study are consistent with some prior research in this area, most notably Lott and Mustard (1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-267 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:265-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Moreno Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Rosa Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr�guez Author-Name: Chieh Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Accurately measuring gold mutual fund performance Abstract: Since the price of gold began climbing dramatically over a decade ago, gold-related industries have received a great deal of attention from investors. Moreover, investing in gold mutual funds has become a promising alternative to investing in gold directly because of the inherent difficulties involved in purchasing the commodity. However, gold's insensitivity to market factors requires a novel benchmark to adjust the returns of gold funds to risk. In the absence of this risk correction, gold mutual fund managers appear to perform systematically better than equity fund managers, although incorporating the new benchmark shows that this appearance is deceptive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 268-271 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854295 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:268-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Maggie Foley Author-X-Name-First: Maggie Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Robert Boylan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Boylan Title: The impact of unionization and other factors on undocumented immigrant settlement patterns in the US Abstract: In this study, we seek to add to the literature on undocumented immigrants by (1) identifying key determinants of the settlement patterns of undocumented immigrants and (2) testing a new hypothesis, what is referred to here as the 'union-aversion hypothesis'. This hypothesis is elaborated upon in Section II of this study, but ultimately it argues that undocumented workers prefer to settle in states where the percentage of the labour force that is unionized is lower. Our findings suggest that the state-level settlement pattern of undocumented immigrants in the US is an increasing function of a state's median family income level, the mean January temperature in a state and the relative size of the documented Hispanic population in the state, while being a decreasing function of the overall cost of living in the state. In addition, strong empirical support for the union-aversion hypothesis is obtained, namely the settlement pattern of undocumented immigrants is a decreasing function of the percentage of a state's labour force that is unionized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-275 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:272-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahram Adrangi Author-X-Name-First: Bahram Author-X-Name-Last: Adrangi Author-Name: Arjun Chatrath Author-X-Name-First: Arjun Author-X-Name-Last: Chatrath Author-Name: Rohan A. Christie-David Author-X-Name-First: Rohan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Christie-David Author-Name: Mariia Guk Author-X-Name-First: Mariia Author-X-Name-Last: Guk Author-Name: Gaurav Malik Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: Hedging price risk when no direct hedge vehicle exists: the case of silicon Abstract: Silicon has wide applications in the electronic, ferrous foundry and chemical industries but does not possess a well-developed forward or futures market. Here we investigate potential candidates to cross-hedge silicon's price risk. Our results show that a proxy for a newly introduced Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) ferrous contract, iron and steel scrap, explains close to 60% of the variation in silicon price changes. Estimated Generalized Least Squares (EGLS) estimations of hedge ratios are shown to produce more consistent hedge-effectiveness over OLS counterparts. Thus, it appears that the ferrous contract could fulfil this role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 276-279 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.854293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.854293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:276-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles R. Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Link Title: Racial differences in the effects of hypertension and obesity on health expenditures by diabetes patients in the US Abstract: Using a representative sample of US diabetes patients with comorbid hypertension and obesity, we estimate the determinants of health care expenditures. The hypothesis is that the presence of comorbid obesity and hypertension is associated with higher expenditures in the health care system. We are unaware of any study that examines the effects of these conditions taken together. The results confirm our hypothesis. For all races/ethnicities, the addition of hypertension and/or obese to diabetes substantially increases health care expenditures: by over 25% for whites, by over 70% for Blacks and by over 48% for Hispanics. We further find that interactions of obesity and hypertension with race indicate lower health expenditures by minorities compared to whites having the same combination of conditions. Diabetic-obese-not-hypertensive blacks spend 37.7% ($4224 per year) less than their white counterparts. Diabetic-obese-not-hypertensive Hispanics spend 41% ($4591 per year) less than diabetic-obese-not-hypertensive whites. Blacks and Hispanics who are diabetic but not obese or hypertensive spend $5923 and $6409 less than whites with equivalent conditions. The results have implications for efficiency and equity in the health care system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 280-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:280-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Karmann Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Karmann Author-Name: Alexander Ludwig Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Ludwig Title: A two-step approach to examine the dynamics of market convergence Abstract: We present an improved approach to examine convergence of markets such as those for equity, bonds or commodities. The approach is motivated by Monte Carlo simulations and consists of two steps. First, we test for regime-shifts in the cointegration paths and cointegration with structural breaks. If equilibrium errors are stationary, we then obtain the degree of convergence by rolling speeds of adjustment in a vector error correction model. Our approach is illustrated by an application on stock market convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 284-288 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.851765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.851765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:284-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Kifle Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kifle Author-Name: P. Kler Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Author-Name: S. Shankar Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Title: The power of the pram: do young children determine female job satisfaction? Abstract: Policy-makers worldwide have attempted a number of strategies over the last few decades to increase female labour-force participation without jeopardizing their choice of also maintaining a fulfilling family life, should they choose to do so. One such Australian strategy heavily subscribed by females with young children has been to promote part-time employment. Results provide evidence that females with young children at home engaged in part-time employment are generally more satisfied with their working hours and work--life balance relative to those with older and no children, whilst the opposite holds when looking at those in full-time employment. This suggests that part-time employment should be pursued as a policy tool to aid females with young children maintain a relationship with the labour market without having to also give up being the primary carer of their children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z. K. Dong Author-X-Name-First: Z. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: D. S. Huang Author-X-Name-First: D. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: F. F. Tang Author-X-Name-First: F. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Information disclosure and job search: evidence from a social networks experiment Abstract: We report the results of an experiment that determined the importance of an information disclosure policy in job search behaviour. We controlled the level of employment information disclosed after every experimental round. When we announced the subjects' wage levels, which at that point they had accepted along with their counterparts in a social network, the subjects' average reservation wages increased significantly according to their initial preference. However, when this information was not revealed, the reservation wage remained the same despite the availability of the social network. We suggest that the green-eyed monster effect may be significant in explaining these results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 4 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:4:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manfred G�rtner Author-X-Name-First: Manfred Author-X-Name-Last: G�rtner Author-Name: Bj�rn Griesbach Author-X-Name-First: Bj�rn Author-X-Name-Last: Griesbach Author-Name: Florian Jung Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Is there a transatlantic divide in undergraduate macroeconomics teaching? Abstract: The global financial crisis triggered different policy responses in Europe and the United States. Interestingly, survey results suggest that there is also a significant difference in how undergraduate macroeconomics instructors responded to the crisis, with US instructors placing significantly more emphasis on financial topics than their European peers. This note considers whether such differences may be attributed to differences in instructors' profiles and teaching environments. The results suggest that, rather than explaining this gap, the transatlantic divide becomes even wider when analysed in a multivariate setting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-303 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:297-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Acosta-Gonz�lez Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-Gonz�lez Author-Name: Fernando Fern�ndez-Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fern�ndez-Rodr�guez Author-Name: Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim�n Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: An empirical examination of the determinants of the shadow economy Abstract: Using a statistical methodology guided only by data and based on a genetic algorithm, we select the best econometric model for explaining the determinants of the size of the shadow economy, its main determinants being: taxes on capital gains of individuals, corporate taxes on income, profits and capital gains, domestic credit, bank secrecy, ethnic fractionalization, urban population, globalization, corruption and the socialist legal origin of country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 304-307 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:304-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgios Kavetsos Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Kavetsos Author-Name: Marika Dimitriadou Author-X-Name-First: Marika Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitriadou Author-Name: Paul Dolan Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dolan Title: Measuring happiness: context matters Abstract: We test for calendar effects and the presence of others in reports of life satisfaction using Eurobarometer data from 31 countries over 20 years. We find significant day and month, but not time of day, effects. Life satisfaction is significantly reduced in the presence of others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 308-311 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:308-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Israel Luski Author-X-Name-First: Israel Author-X-Name-Last: Luski Author-Name: Miki Malul Author-X-Name-First: Miki Author-X-Name-Last: Malul Title: The effects of a back-loaded compensation policy on the recruiting of older workers Abstract: The goal of this article is to investigate the impact of back loading on the hiring of older workers. We argue that the impact of back loading on the motivation of a worker to put effort into work depends, among other variables, on the probability of being able to find another job. The less likely it is that one can find another job the more likely one is to exert a greater effort at work. Given that older workers are less likely to be able to find another job if they are dismissed from their current position, they are also less likely to shirk their obligations at work. Therefore, firms have to expend fewer resources monitoring their work. In addition, we demonstrate that the probability of employee misconduct declines with the number of years on the job even when the probability of detection remains constant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 312-316 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:312-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Koutmos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Koutmos Author-Name: Wei Song Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Si Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Si Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Firm location and the method of payment in mergers and acquisitions Abstract: This article examines the impact of a bidding firm's geographical location on the choice of method of payment in mergers and acquisitions. We find that rural bidders are more likely to offer pure stock deals and have lower propensity to use cash as the method of payment compared to their nonrural counterparts. Such findings are possibly attributable to recent empirical evidence which finds that rural firms face higher costs of debt and have limited access to soft information that can help in determining the true value of target firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:317-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuezhou Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yuezhou Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Aoife Hanley Author-X-Name-First: Aoife Author-X-Name-Last: Hanley Title: Innovation rankings: good, bad or revealing? Abstract: The standard indicators used to compare cross-country innovation are in the Global Competitiveness Report (GCR). But there are problems with aggregation and response bias with these largely self-reported measures (Hollanders and van Cruysen, 2008).We propose a theory-based metric using Data Envelopment Analysis which corrects for sample bias and considers returns to scale. The derived ranking compares well to components of the GCR. Moreover, in second-stage estimations, our corrected efficiency score correlates well with standard Growth Theory indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joilson Dias Author-X-Name-First: Joilson Author-X-Name-Last: Dias Author-Name: Florian Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Title: Geographic and sector externalities from highly qualified human capital: the importance of the business service sector Abstract: This article develops a simple model where knowledge spillover is related to geography and sectors of the economy. Knowledge externality comes from those with college degree at sector level and the relative size of the business service sector at geographic level. We examine the model using data from Brazilian National Household Survey (PNAD) for the year 2008. We find evidence that sector concentration of highly qualified workers (with at least a college degree) generates knowledge externalities. Hence, workers benefit from the skills of their peers by learning from them. Also complementing the literature, we find a geographic knowledge spillover played by the business service sector. This last result holds even if we estimate rates of return to education by sectors or estimate wage regressions over sectors (not shown). This article also provides evidence of increasing returns to schooling in Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:329-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo G. Colombo Author-X-Name-First: Massimo G. Author-X-Name-Last: Colombo Author-Name: Annalisa Croce Author-X-Name-First: Annalisa Author-X-Name-Last: Croce Author-Name: Massimiliano Guerini Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Guerini Title: Does informal risk capital relax the financial constraints of high-tech entrepreneurial ventures? Abstract: This work analyses the effect of informal risk capital financing on a firm's investment/cash flow sensitivity (ICFS) in a sample of 498 Italian privately held high-tech entrepreneurial ventures (HTEVs) observed from 1996 to 2008. To detect financial constraints, we resort to an error correction model (ECM). We find that the receipt of informal risk capital in the seed stage results in reduced ICFS, indicating a persistent relaxation of financial constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-339 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:335-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen DeLoach Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: DeLoach Author-Name: Stephanie Franz Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Franz Author-Name: Jennifer Platania Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Platania Title: Reconsidering the effect of work intensity on study time Abstract: Recent evidence on the impact of youth employment on study time has found only small, negative effects. However, previous estimates may be biased downward due to weak identification and measurement error. In this article, we re-examine the question with more recent data from the American Time Use Survey (2003--11) using a number of alternate estimation techniques. Results show that using a longer time span, state unemployment rates appears to be a stronger instrument for part-time work than was previously found. Depending on the estimation method used, the negative effects of part-time work on study time may be considerably larger than previously thought. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 340-343 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:340-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. P. Cozzarin Author-X-Name-First: B. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cozzarin Author-Name: S. A. Jeffrey Author-X-Name-First: S. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jeffrey Title: Human resource management practices and longitudinal workplace performance Abstract: Recent studies have examined the impact of human resource management (HRM) practices on workplace performance. Most find that the adoption of a coherent system of new HRM practices such as flexible job definitions, cross-training and work teams, along with extensive reliance on incentive pay, results in substantially higher levels of productivity than more traditional HRM practices. Studies have found that there is a correlation between HRM systems and labour productivity. We find that greatest contributor to labour productivity is the employee's wage is congruent with the literature. The literature to date has shown that HRM practices in isolation may increase productivity or may reduce productivity because they have an inefficient side to them. Our study shows that when aggregated, HRM practices reduce productivity in Canada. Somewhat surprisingly, when combined with benefits, they increase productivity substantially. The main message from the aggregate productivity regressions is that: HRM by itself reduces productivity while HRM with BENEFIT increases productivity. Training by itself increases productivity and training with HRM also increases productivity. Wages clearly have the greatest impact on voluntary quits. HRM is not found to be statistically significant in the reduction of voluntary quits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 344-349 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:344-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Carnis Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Carnis Author-Name: Hamza Achit Author-X-Name-First: Hamza Author-X-Name-Last: Achit Title: The injured victim's health care spending: is there an effect of the origin of accident? Abstract: The aim of this study is to identify if the origin of an accident makes a difference in health care spending incurred by disabled victim. We analyse and model the amount of medical spending for victims whose disabilities are resulting from accidents occurring at home, at work and on road. Data about medical spending were provided by the social security fund in France. These data outline the amount incurred by different disabled persons in the different medical specialties. The results of the model show that although the victims of different types of accident are suffering from the same chronic diseases, they show different levels of medical spending. Persons injured in a road accident have a higher recourse to medical treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 350-355 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:350-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Are consumer sentiments useful in Japan? An application of a new market-timing test Abstract: We investigate whether consumer sentiment in Japan is a useful predictor of household consumption, durable goods consumption and the CPI using a recently developed market-timing test. We find that consumer sentiment is not useful for predicting an increase/decrease in household consumption, durable goods consumption, and CPI. The findings suggest that policy-makers may have difficulties obtaining useful qualitative information from consumers. However, using estimated threshold values for the increase/decrease, consumer sentiment became a useful predictor of durable goods consumption and CPI. This suggests that estimating relevant thresholds could enhance the use of directional analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 356-359 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:356-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evgenia Motchenkova Author-X-Name-First: Evgenia Author-X-Name-Last: Motchenkova Title: Cost minimizing sequential punishment policies for repeat offenders Abstract: This article discusses optimal sanctions for repeat offenders. We analysed a multi-period decision problem, where the regulator's main objectives are to block any violations of law and to minimize the costs of crime control. We conclude that, when offenders are identical and wealth constrained, the government is resource constrained, can perfectly observe illicit gains and commits to a certain policy throughout the whole planning horizon, forward-looking solution implies that cost minimizing deterrence is decreasing in the number of offenses. This analysis is relevant in case when imprisonment is not commonly used, only monetary sanctions are allowed and limited liability of offenders plays an important role. The examples are tax evasion, violations of environmental regulations and violations of competition law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 360-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:360-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenming Xu Author-X-Name-First: Wenming Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Law matters?: a Bayesian analysis of the cross-country relationship between anti-self-dealing rules and stock market outcomes Abstract: This article examines robustness of the cross-country relationship between anti-self-dealing rules and proxies for stock market development proposed by Djankov et al. (2008) using the weighted-average least squares estimator. The claimed relationship is not robust considering the model uncertainty problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 366-371 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:366-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Sik Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jun Sik Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: ELW pricing kernel and empirical risk aversion Abstract: This study examines the pricing kernel and empirical risk aversion implied by Korea's equity-linked warrants (ELWs). The estimated pricing kernel is clearly time-varying and exhibits a monotonic decrease with the underlying return state, which is consistent with mainstream economic theories on marginal utility. The movement of empirical risk aversion captures the economic conditions reflecting the recent global and liquidity crises. Particularly, empirical risk aversion has a highly significant relationship with the overall stock market return and credit spread change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 372-376 Issue: 5 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:5:p:372-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasudeva N. R. Murthy Author-X-Name-First: Vasudeva N. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Author-Name: Albert A. Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert A. Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: Population health status and economic growth in Chinese provinces: some policy implications Abstract: Using recent cross-sectional, public use, data set on 31 Chinese provinces, we empirically model the core determinants of life expectancy (population health status) using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, instrumental variables estimation and the relatively more efficient Hubert robust estimator. The empirical regression model results and diagnostic tests indicate that the core determinants of life expectancy are the real GDP per capita, illiteracy rates and daily visits to physicians. Using results of the robust regression estimator (mimic the instrumental variables model estimation), the statistically significant elasticities of life expectancy are 0.033 (t-ratio = 2.45) with respect to per capita real GDP, 0.41 (t-ratio = 2.54) with respect to daily visits to the physicians and is - 0.026 (t-ratio =  - 2.26) with respect to the illiteracy rate. That is, income and daily visits to physicians are positively linked to life expectancy while the illiteracy rate stifles life expectancy production. Our findings are consistent with received theories. Policy implications are explored. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.859369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.859369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:377-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Nobuhiko Daito Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Daito Title: Sharing out the costs of a public--private partnership Abstract: This article looks at factors which have affected the shares of public and private money that have been going into public--private transportation partnership investments in the US. It looks at a number of recent partnerships and relates the importance of the private sector to sets of institutional and technical variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.856995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.856995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Eun Kang Author-X-Name-First: Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Ying Li Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Local long-term institutions, growth and cash holdings Abstract: We provide empirical evidence that support both 'outcome' and 'substitute' models of agency theories related to cash holding. Local long-term institutional investors are associated with lower excess cash in firms with less growth and easier access to external financing, and with higher excess cash in firms with higher growth in our US sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Maria Iacus Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Iacus Author-Name: Giuseppe Porro Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Porro Title: Does European Monetary Union make inflation dynamics more uniform? Abstract: Using a non-parametric method to characterize Markovian operators, we describe the evolution of the short-run inflation processes among the EMU countries between 1996 and 2012. While a progressive clustering pattern can be outlined in the first half of the period -- showing that the monetary union makes price dynamics more homogeneous -- starting from 2004, an increase in price volatility makes the clustering pattern unstable, as the analysis of the changing points of the inflation processes confirms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xianming Fang Author-X-Name-First: Xianming Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Identify regimes in post-war US GDP growth Abstract: This article attempts to simultaneously investigate different regimes in both mean and volatility of post-war US GDP growth using a four-regime Bayesian Markov switching model. Bayesian approach suffers from the label switching problem that leads to the failure of identifying regimes. We introduce two methods to deal with the label switching problem in posterior simulations of parameters. The four regimes identified by either of the two methods capture different characteristics in mean and volatility of US GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-401 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:397-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixing Cai Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Hang Li Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Cheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Competition or privatization: which is more effective in China's banking sector reform? Abstract: Using provincial panel data for Chinese commercial banks in the period 2002--2007, this article investigates the impact of competition and privatization on bank lending efficiency. We find evidence of noncommercialization in lending activities. In comparison with privatization, competition plays a more important role in improving lending efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 402-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.861583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.861583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:402-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Haavio Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Haavio Author-Name: Caterina Mendicino Author-X-Name-First: Caterina Author-X-Name-Last: Mendicino Author-Name: Maria Teresa Punzi Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Punzi Title: Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries Abstract: This article empirically studies the linkages between financial variable downturns and economic recessions. We present evidence that real asset prices tend to lead real cycles, while loan-to-GDP and loan-to-deposit ratios lag them. Using a probit anaylsis, we document that downturns in real asset prices, particularly real house prices, are useful leading indicators of economic recessions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-412 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:407-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoung-Goo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Hyoung-Goo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Hailey Hayeon Joo Author-X-Name-First: Hailey Hayeon Author-X-Name-Last: Joo Author-Name: Janghee Cho Author-X-Name-First: Janghee Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Brand-size complementarity in the choice of retail stores Abstract: Shopping patterns of consumers vary as the level of size and brand of stores change jointly or separately. Brand and size can be either complementary or substitutable with respect to consumers' shopping characteristics. They are complementary to spending per visit, or brand magnifies the positive effect of size to spending per visit. Weekend consumers also tend to view size and brand complementary, which is so strong that there exists polarized shopping at either large nationwide brand or small unbranded stores during weekend. Car owners exhibit very similar patterns as weekend consumers. On the other hand, substitutability exists to explain shopping frequency. This effect is so high as to generate the polarized pattern; shopping frequency is high with regard to small nationwide brand and large unbranded stores. Substitution patterns also arise for working women, people older than 50, and high-income consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Truong Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Truong Author-Name: Dang T. Tran Author-X-Name-First: Dang T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: The price momentum and discounting effects on stock prices after earnings announcements: an empirical analysis Abstract: The purpose of this study is to test price momentum and the discounting effects on the stock prices of a firm immediately after its quarterly earnings announcement. The approach is holistic and cross-sectional. The model consists of a series of regressions in which the dependent variables were of several differing durations of price reaction periods and the explanatory variables account for timing effects, price momentum, market co-movement, earnings forecast, analyst effects, forecast revisions, earnings surprises and sectoral differences. There is evidence that points to mid- and long-term momentum that extend a day or two after the earnings release. After that point, there seems to be a net discounting effect. That is, there is evidence of an inverse relationship between the price change prior to the earnings announcement and the price change after the earnings announcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-420 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:417-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep Domenech Author-X-Name-First: Josep Author-X-Name-Last: Domenech Author-Name: Victor Martinez-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Gomez Author-Name: Francisco Mas-Verdú Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Mas-Verdú Title: Location and adoption of ICT innovations in the agri-food industry Abstract: This article identifies the web technologies adoption pattern of agri-food industries considering a set of characteristics which include location, economic performance and previous history of adopting innovations. Our main results highlight that, together with certain firm characteristics, rural locations act as an accelerator for the adoption of web technology, compared to the slower adoption rate in urban areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-424 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:421-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Engler Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Engler Author-Name: Alexander Wulff Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Wulff Title: Opposition to capital market opening Abstract: We employ a neoclassical growth model to assess the impact of financial liberalization in a developing country on capital owners' and workers' consumption and welfare. We find for an average non-OECD country that capital owners suffer a 42% reduction in permanent consumption because capital inflows reduce their return to capital while workers gain 8% of permanent consumption because capital inflows increase wages. These huge gross impacts contrast with the small positive net effect found in a neoclassical representative agent model by Gourinchas and Jeanne (2006). Our findings provide an estimate of the amount of redistribution needed to overcome capitalists' opposition to capital inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. Spiegel Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Spiegel Author-Name: L.D. Gonen Author-X-Name-First: L.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Gonen Author-Name: M. Weber Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Duration and optimal number of shifts in the labour market Abstract: Significant conflicts impacting production costs and efficient use of labour are associated with shift work. We examine the relationship between the number of shifts and their duration in order to maximize efficient use of labour. We focus on the debate between two basic elements: (1) a greater number of shifts of shorter duration which require more idle time between shifts, and may lead to increased expenses and inefficient use of resources; and (2) shifts of shorter duration that generate higher productivity. We develop a formula for achieving a balance between the two elements and determining the optimal number of shifts and their duration. We present several applications that can be derived from our formula. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qihui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qihui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tade O. Okediji Author-X-Name-First: Tade O. Author-X-Name-Last: Okediji Title: What is behind class attendance in college economics courses? Abstract: How class attendance influences students' performance remains unclear. Specifically, do students learn more in class if they attend more classes, or does class attendance create incentives for students to study harder outside class? To better understand this relationship, we designed an attendance policy in an economics course that does not significantly change students' attendance rates. Students who scored below a cut-off on the midterm exam were required to attend subsequent class lectures even though attendance had been implicitly made mandatory for all students, accounting for 10% of the course grade. Our regression discontinuity analysis suggests that our attendance policy significantly improved students' performance on the final exam, even though it had minimal impacts on their attendance rates. We also found that the policy worked via inducing students to reallocate their time spent studying other courses outside class to economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-437 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:433-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Gambacorta Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gambacorta Author-Name: Michela Scatigna Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Scatigna Author-Name: Jing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Diversification and bank profitability: a nonlinear approach Abstract: Using information on 98 internationally active banks headquartered in 27 countries over the period 1994--2012, we analyse the nonlinear link between income diversification (defined as noninterest income to total income) and bank return on assets (ROA). The main result is that income diversification is positively correlated with bank profitability only up to a certain degree (30% of the diversification ratio). Diversification benefits for global systemically important banks (GSIBs) are less sizable and significant, especially when we use volatility-adjusted return as a measure of bank profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 438-441 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.866196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.866196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:438-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huong Vu Author-X-Name-First: Huong Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Steven Lim Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Tuyen Tran Author-X-Name-First: Tuyen Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Exports and profitability: a note from quantile regression approach Abstract: Studies of the linkage between exports and profitability often use mean regression approaches and focus only on European countries. Using a panel data quantile regression approach, this study analyses the linkage between export behaviour and profit growth in Vietnam. Using a panel dataset from 2005 to 2009, our results show an insignificant linkage between export status and firm profit growth when using OLS. However, when using a quantile approach, export participation is found to be positively related to profitability for those firms with high profit growth but negatively related for those firms with low profit growth. This might suggest that the productivity advantages of exporters with low profit growth are absorbed by costs relating to trading activities in overseas markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 442-445 Issue: 6 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.866197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.866197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:6:p:442-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Author-Name: Cristina Savescu Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Savescu Title: Monetary conditions and metal prices Abstract: The monetary easing of the past few years by the world's major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created expectations of a likely reversal in commodity price trends. Based on a reduced form, price-determination model which accounts for all quantifiable sectoral and macroeconomic fundamentals, this note finds that the effect of short-term interest rates on metal prices is mixed and modest. But, changes in longer term rates have a positive and highly significant impact. The note also concludes that metal prices respond (in that order) to industrial production, input prices, US dollar movements and physical stocks of metals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:447-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Inflation targeting on unemployment rates: a quantile treatment effect approach Abstract: This article explores the treatment effects of inflation targeting (IT) on unemployment rates across a large panel of 74 countries over the 1980--2010 period. By addressing the 'self-selection' problem of policy adoption via a variety of propensity score matching algorithms, we first find that, on average, IT exerts no discernible effect on unemployment rates in the full sample. However, when the full sample is split into subgroups, the results strongly indicate that the adoption of IT is associated with higher (lower) unemployment rate in the industrial (developing) countries. Further outcome from a novel quantile treatment effects approach points out that the higher the unemployment rate is in the first place, the more harmful (beneficial) the implementation of IT becomes in the industrial (developing) subsample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.866198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.866198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:453-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christina Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Author-Name: Nicole M. Coomer Author-X-Name-First: Nicole M. Author-X-Name-Last: Coomer Title: Children's public health insurance and scholastic success Abstract: There are currently two public health insurance options available to United States children, Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). The programmes are similar in that they both target improvements in children's health through increased access to medical care. A well-developed body of literature has examined the effect these programmes have on a child's health and to a large extent has found that the programmes perform as desired. This article uses data from the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study--Kindergarten Cohort to determine whether access to public health insurance translates to an improvement in a child's academic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.866200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.866200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Consumer preference changes in the logit demand model Abstract: I characterize how changes in consumer preferences for an attribute affect demand in the logit random utility model. The expressions take on simple and intuitive forms. Additionally, the expressions do not depend on observing or estimating the consumer's taste parameters and can be calculated based on knowledge of choice probabilities and product attributes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-465 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:463-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Test of the bank lending channel: the case of US consumer loans Abstract: Based on a simultaneous-equation model incorporating potential substitution of credit card loans for conventional consumer loans, this article finds that the demand for conventional consumer loans is negatively affected by the personal loan rate and positively associated with the credit card rate and real per capita disposable income and that the supply of conventional consumer loans is positively affected by the personal loan rate and bank deposits and negatively impacted by the federal funds rate and the real effective exchange rate. Hence, the bank lending channel for conventional consumer loans is confirmed as monetary easing to reduce the federal funds rate or increased deposits/reserves is expected to increase loan supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-469 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:466-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: European ADRs: what a difference a decade makes Abstract: The long-term excess returns for European American Depository Receipts (ADRs) listed on the NYSE over the period 1990 to 2009 are tested to determine differences in performance and evidence of market timing effects for the decades of the 1990s and the 2000s. While the overall sample outperformed the S&P 500 index during the first 36 months of trading by 7%, those ADRs listed before 1 January 2000 underperformed by less than 2% and those issued after outperformed the index by nearly 26%. These results suggest diversifying a portfolio internationally with European ADRs helps to overcome losses in times of market crashes and extreme volatility (as occurred in the 2000s). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 470-476 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:470-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H�seyin Kaya Author-X-Name-First: H�seyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Does the level of the yield curve predict inflation? Abstract: This article addresses the issue of forecasting inflation using the term structure of interest rates. I use several measures for the level and the slope of the yield curve and investigate their predictive content for inflation. The results show that the forecasting performance of the indicators varies across countries. The findings suggest that the level of the yield curve is a better predictor for inflation than the slope of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos N. Konstantakis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos N. Author-X-Name-Last: Konstantakis Author-Name: Panayotis G. Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis G. Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Author-Name: Theodore Mariolis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Mariolis Title: An endogenous Goodwin--Keynes business cycle model: evidence for Germany (1991--2007) Abstract: This article studies business cycles with the use of a novel Goodwin--Keynes type model. Based on its derived equations of motion and dynamic properties, we estimate the proposed model for the case of the German economy, the locomotive of the EMU, in the period 1991 to 2007, using relevant econometric techniques. The empirical estimation of the proposed model is very satisfactory, in contrast to previous efforts to empirically implement the original Goodwin model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-486 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:481-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. E. Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: P. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: S. Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: A longitudinal analysis of the union wage premium for US workers Abstract: Estimates of the union wage premium for US workers are presented based on longitudinal data from the 1979 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. Our results indicate that the long-term private-sector union wage premium for men has remained fairly steady at nearly 22% over the period 1990 to 2010. For women, the wage premium exhibits greater volatility, although no clear downward trend, and is approximately one-half of the male premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-489 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.868583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.868583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:487-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. J. Allan Author-X-Name-First: G. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Allan Author-Name: J. Moffat Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Title: Muscle drain versus brain gain in association football: technology transfer through player emigration and manager immigration Abstract: To test theories of migration and economic development, this article examines whether international football teams benefit from having players playing abroad in stronger leagues and from employing managers from countries with stronger leagues. The results provide evidence in support of the former effect. However, there is a negative impact from employing managers from countries with superior leagues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 490-493 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:490-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Zhenhua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Demand forecasting errors and the ownership of infrastructure Abstract: This article examines the argument that the introduction of more private sector expertise into public sector transportation demand forecasting will improve its accuracy. An examination of a number of pure public and public--private US highway investment traffic demand forecasts, however, finds no significance evidence that latter are more accurate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 494-496 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:494-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudhanshu Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Sudhanshu Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: The varying interest elasticity and the cost of inflation in India Abstract: This article estimates the welfare cost of inflation in India using the time-varying interest semi-elasticity from the money demand schedule. The estimated interest semi-elasticity and the welfare cost of inflation for India show variation over time. The result suggests increasing welfare cost of inflation for Indian economy in recent times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan S. Blyde Author-X-Name-First: Juan S. Author-X-Name-Last: Blyde Title: The participation of Mexico in global supply chains: the challenge of adding Mexican value Abstract: There is a general perception that Mexico's insertion in global supply chains has been mostly in assembly operations and that efforts should be made to incorporate additional domestic value in the international production networks in which the country participates. To examine this issue properly one needs to have a measure of the share of domestic value added that is effectively embodied in Mexico's exports. We analyse firm-level data from the Manufacturing Industry, maquiladora and Export Services Program census which covers all the firms that benefit from the Maquiladora and the Program of Temporary Imports to Produce Export Goods programs. We find that the share of domestic value added as a proportion of the firm's exports has been declining in the last 6 years. We show that the decline is not the result of market share reallocations; that it persists after controlling for price changes and that is observed across firms of all sizes. The results suggest that more segments of the supply chains are generally not moving into Mexico and that on the contrary there is a trend of falling domestic value added. This result contrasts with that of other countries engaged in similar export processing activities, like China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-504 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:501-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lie-Jane Kao Author-X-Name-First: Lie-Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Dividend changes and information about future profitability: an application of difference GMM Abstract: This research examines whether dividend changes convey information about future profitability. The difference GMM approach is employed to overcome the heterogeneity and endogeneity problems inherent in dynamic panel data models. Our evidence shows that previous abnormal earnings are a good predictor for subsequent abnormal earnings. Other than previous abnormal earnings, only dividend increases are strongly related to future profitability. Subsequent to dividend increases, profitability can last for four years. On the other hand, dividend decreases, initiations and omissions tend to reflect only concurrent profit performance. It is possible that previous abnormal earnings convey the most information about subsequent profitability, undermining the signalling of the dividend changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Desamparados Blazquez Author-X-Name-First: Desamparados Author-X-Name-Last: Blazquez Author-Name: Josep Domenech Author-X-Name-First: Josep Author-X-Name-Last: Domenech Title: Inferring export orientation from corporate websites Abstract: The purpose of this article is to infer indicators about the export orientation of firms from the analysis of their corporate websites. Using a data set of manufacturing firms, two logistic regressions were performed and compared: one considering some firm structural variables, and another considering some web-based variables. Results showed that the website features are good predictors of the export orientation of firms, performing as well as the classic economic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 7 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:7:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Guerini Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Guerini Author-Name: Cristina Rossi-Lamastra Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi-Lamastra Title: How university and industry knowledge interact to determine local entrepreneurship Abstract: This article discusses and empirically investigates whether and how university knowledge and industry knowledge interact to determine the creation of knowledge-intensive firms (KIFs) in a geographic area. In line with the knowledge spillover theory of entrepreneurship (KSTE), we find that both knowledge types matter for stimulating local entrepreneurship. However, our findings document that university knowledge exerts an effect just in areas where industry knowledge is low. In other words, the two types of knowledge do not generate synergetic gains, but are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-516 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.864031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:513-516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: A macroeconomic investigation of funding liquidity and monetary policy shocks in the United States Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence that aggregate funding liquidity shocks and monetary policy shocks contribute to the business cycles in the United States. I estimate a structural VAR model with monthly macro-financial data, and identify the structural shocks based on the recursiveness assumption. Both adverse funding liquidity and monetary policy shocks, which are orthogonal to each other by construction, cause significant recessions, with monetary policy shocks generating relatively deeper and longer recessionary effects. Only funding liquidity shocks significantly reduce market liquidity. These two shocks account for over 30% of the cyclical fluctuations of the unemployment rate and industrial production two years after the shocks hit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-521 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:517-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Inoue Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Inoue Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Market efficiency of commodity futures in India Abstract: This article aims to examine the market efficiency of the commodity futures market in India, which has been growing phenomenally over the last few years. We estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between multi-commodity futures and spot prices and then test for weak-form market efficiency by applying both the dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares methods. The entire sample period is from 2 January 2006 to 31 March 2011. The results indicate that a cointegrating relationship exists between these indices and that the commodity futures market appears efficient during the more recent sub-sample period since July 2009 onwards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 522-527 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:522-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Michael Malcolm Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Malcolm Title: Marriage, divorce and economic activity in the US: 1960--2008 Abstract: We utilize a time-series model to examine the interrelationship between marriage and divorce and their connections with macroeconomic conditions for the period 1960 to 2008. Our findings suggest that marriage and divorce are pro-cyclical, although macroeconomic conditions affect divorce only when the economy is underperforming. Marriage is pro-cyclical in all circumstances. Further, bidirectional causation exists, with marriage (divorce) affected by lagged rates of divorce (marriage). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 528-532 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:528-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiko Shibamoto Author-X-Name-First: Masahiko Author-X-Name-Last: Shibamoto Author-Name: Yoshiro Tsutsui Author-X-Name-First: Yoshiro Author-X-Name-Last: Tsutsui Title: Note on the interpretation of the convergence speed in the dynamic panel model Abstract: Studies using dynamic panel regression approach have found a high speed of income convergence among the world and the regional economies. For example, Lee et al. (1997, 1998) report 30% per annum. This note argues that their estimates of the convergence speed can be seriously overstated. Using a factor model, we show that the coefficient of the lagged income in their specification may not be the long-run convergence speed, but the adjustment speed of the short-run deviation from the long-run equilibrium path. We give an example of an empirical analysis, where the short-run adjustment speed is about 40%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-535 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:533-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suleyman Bolat Author-X-Name-First: Suleyman Author-X-Name-Last: Bolat Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Ahmet Utku Erdayi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Utku Author-X-Name-Last: Erdayi Title: Unemployment hysteresis in the Eurozone area: evidences from nonlinear heterogeneous panel unit root test Abstract: Our article tests for hysteresis of unemployment rate for 17 Eurozone countries over the period 2000:1 to 2013:1 through the use of new nonlinear panel unit root tests by adopting the sequential panel selection method (SPSM), proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) and a nonlinear panel unit root test developed by Ucar and Omay (2009). The results show that the unemployment rates for 17 Eurozone countries are not stationary and conform to the hysteresis hypothesis for both panel unit root tests of Ucar and Omay (2009) and SPSM without Fourier. We reported the results of the Panel Kapetanios, Shin and Snell (KSS) test with a Fourier function and found that the unemployment rates in 11 countries are stationary and this result is in accord with natural rate hypothesis. On the other hand, unemployment rates in six countries, namely Netherlands, Slovakia, Slovenia, Italy, Portugal and Cyprus, show hysteresis effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 536-540 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:536-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Greenhalgh-Stanley Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Greenhalgh-Stanley Title: Can the government incentivize the purchase of private long-term care insurance? Evidence from the Partnership for Long-Term Care Abstract: Using data from the Health and Retirement Study, I show that state adoption of Partnerships for Long-Term Care incentivized the purchase of private long-term care insurance, particularly for households displaying the greatest risk aversion and long-term financial planning horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. E. T. Holgersson Author-X-Name-First: H. E. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Holgersson Author-Name: T. Norman Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: S. Tavassoli Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Tavassoli Title: In the quest for economic significance: assessing variable importance through mean value decomposition Abstract: Economic significance is frequently assessed through statistical hypothesis testing, which however, does not always correspond to the implicit economical questions being addressed. In this article we propose using mean value decomposition to assess economic significance. Unlike most previously suggested methods the proposed one is intuitive and simple to conduct. The technique is demonstrated and contrasted with hypothesis tests by an empirical example involving the income of Mexican children, which shows that the two inference approaches provide different and supplementary pieces of information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.872757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju-Fang Yen Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Author-Name: Yan-Shing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yan-Shing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chih-Yung Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chih-Hong Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Can political and business connections alleviate financial constraints? Abstract: This article examines the relationship between political and business connections (PBCs) and firms' financial constraints. We proxy a firm's PBCs by whether or not the firm's CEO should hold a directorship in major trade organizations. Using an endogenous switching regression model, we find that firms with a connected CEO are less likely to be classified as financially constrained firms. Our results can provide a possible explanation why firms allow their CEOs to hold directorships in trade associations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 550-555 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:550-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Spohr Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Spohr Title: The share is down 8% after the profit warning, is it time to buy? Abstract: Variables explaining the market response to a profit warning are of interest to both market participants and the managers of the firm. Several variables have been used in previous research to explain the market response to profit warnings with varying outcomes. This study uses a framework of surprise and risk to explain the market response and tests it on a sample of 474 profit warnings collected from Nasdaq OMX Nordic. The findings show that surprise and risk variables can be used to estimate the size of the market response to a profit warning. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 556-559 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:556-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisca M. Antman Author-X-Name-First: Francisca M. Author-X-Name-Last: Antman Title: Spousal employment and intra-household bargaining power Abstract: This article considers the relationship between work status and decision-making power of the head of household and his spouse. I used household fixed effects models to address the possibility that spousal work status may be correlated with unobserved factors that also affect bargaining power within the home. Consistent with the hypothesis that greater economic resources yield greater bargaining power, I found that the spouse of the head of household is more likely to be involved in making decisions when she has been employed. Similarly, the head of household is less likely to be the sole decision-maker when his spouse works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 560-563 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:560-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Manohar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Manohar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Powerful CEOs and capital structure decisions: evidence from the CEO pay slice (CPS) Abstract: Motivated by agency theory, we explore how powerful CEOs view leverage. Because of the agency conflict, CEOs may adopt sub-optimal leverage levels that promote their own private benefits at the expense of shareholders. Using Bebchuk et al. (2011) CEO pay slice (CPS) to gauge CEO power, we find that powerful CEOs view leverage negatively and avoid high debt. However, CEOs appear to adopt sub-optimal leverage only when their power is sufficiently consolidated. Relatively weak CEOs do not seem to avoid leverage. The effect of CEO power on capital structure decisions is thus nonmonotonic. Our results imply that agency problems lead to self-serving behaviour only when managers command sufficient influence in the company. Finally, we also show that our conclusion is unlikely confounded by endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 564-568 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:564-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoshi Yamazaki Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamazaki Author-Name: Jing Tian Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Firmin Doko Tchatoka Author-X-Name-First: Firmin Author-X-Name-Last: Doko Tchatoka Title: Are per capita CO2 emissions increasing among OECD countries? A test of trends and breaks Abstract: We empirically analyse the trend characteristics of per capita CO2 emissions in OECD countries from 1971 to 2009. We use a statistically robust procedure, which is valid regardless of whether per capita CO2 emissions are trend stationary or contain a stochastic trend, to test for the presence of a deterministic trend and a structural break in the trend. Our results suggest that the trend in per capita CO2 emissions shifts downward or is reversed for a number of OECD countries either after the 1970s oil shocks or during the early- to mid-2000s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean P. Sepúlveda Author-X-Name-First: Jean P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sepúlveda Author-Name: Claudio A. Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Title: The factors affecting the risk attitude in entrepreneurship: evidence from Latin America Abstract: This article departs from the traditional analysis of the effects of risk aversion in entrepreneurship to study the determinants of entrepreneurial risk aversion in developing a new venture and becoming an entrepreneur. We took fear of failing as a proxy for risk aversion and applied our analysis to the most important Latin American economies. We observed that being male, having more years of formal education and believing to have the necessary skills to develop a new venture decreased the probability of feeling a fear of failing and, thus, eventually increased the probability of developing a new venture. Age affects risk quadratically (first positively, but after some point, negatively), and if there is a prior experience of having shut down a business, risk aversion increases, that is, the probability of feeling a fear of failing, which reduces the probability of becoming an entrepreneur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-581 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:573-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Joint evaluation of the directional accuracy of federal budget forecasts Abstract: Most research focused on deficit, revenue and outlay in budget forecasts has addressed these issues separately. In this study, we investigate changes in budget forecasts from the Congressional Budget Office, applying a recently developed market-timing test. We find that the combined forecasts of revenue and outlay are useful with a horizon of 8 months in predicting an increase/decrease, and useful with a horizon of up to 20 months in predicting an acceleration/deceleration in the deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 582-585 Issue: 8 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:582-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. L. Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: M. M. Pitts Author-X-Name-First: M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Author-Name: F. Rios-Avila Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rios-Avila Title: A search for evidence of skill mismatch in the aftermath of the great recession Abstract: Using matched individual-level data from the Current Population Survey, this article identifies a significant trend shift upwards in schooling among prime-age labour force leavers following the 2008--2009 recession. However, further evidence discredits skill mismatch as an explanation for that trend shift. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-592 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.870645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.870645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:587-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Title: Balance-constrained growth rates: generalizing Thirlwall's law Abstract: In this article, we show how the concept of balance of payments-constrained growth rate developed by Thirlwall (1979) can be generalized as the growth rate constrained by the balance between any two economic variables. In particular, we derive two new concepts: the government balance-constrained growth rate and the private balance-constrained growth rate. Some extensions of the basic model are also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Baert Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Author-Name: L. Decuypere Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Decuypere Title: Better sexy than flexy? A lab experiment assessing the impact of perceived attractiveness and personality traits on hiring decisions Abstract: We present a laboratory experiment to assess the relative and independent effect of perceived attractiveness and personality traits on hiring decisions. Our results indicate that attractiveness and conscientiousness, followed by emotional stability, are important drivers of recruiters' decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-601 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:597-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Botao Qin Author-X-Name-First: Botao Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: A test of competition in Chinese banking Abstract: We apply the Bresnahan--Lau model (1982) to test the degree of competition of China's banking industry over the period 1986 to 2011. Results strongly reject monopoly power and indicate perfectly competitive behaviour. China's entry into the WTO did not cause any measurable shift in banking competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 602-604 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:602-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: May Hu Author-X-Name-First: May Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Jingjing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Can analyst coverage reduce the incidence of fraud? Evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the impact of security analyst coverage on the incidence of corporate financial fraud in China. After controlling for the endogeneity between analyst following and fraud, we find that financial analyst coverage cannot significantly influence the incidence of fraud. The empirical findings suggest that financial analysts do not serve as external monitors to managers and large shareholders in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherman D. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Sherman D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Author-Name: KyoungTae Kim Author-X-Name-First: KyoungTae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Time preference assumptions in normative analyses of household financial decisions Abstract: Economists conducting normative analyses of household financial decisions typically assume specific values of parameters of the household utility function. We review 12 normative analyses and discuss justifications for the personal discount rates assumed. None of the normative articles cited an independent estimate of the personal discount rate. Instead, the authors made arbitrary assumptions or cited another article's assumption. We conclude with recommendations for assumptions about the personal discount rate in normative analyses of household financial decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-612 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:609-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Gregory T. Fiorentino Author-X-Name-First: Gregory T. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorentino Title: The impact of risk preference on health insurance and health expenditures in the United States Abstract: The Affordable Care Act includes an individual mandate whereby persons are required to carry health insurance. This mandate will bring currently uninsured persons into the insurance pool. The uninsured are a heterogeneous group that includes persons with diverse risk preferences. It is important, therefore, to understand the role risk preference plays in (1) the likelihood of being uninsured and (2) the health care expenditures. Using the recently available data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), we analyse eight years of US data using multivariate regression and quantify the role of risk preference in insurance and expenditure equations. The results provide evidence that a person with high risk preference is less likely to hold health insurance, and spends less on healthcare even when controlling for insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-616 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:613-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pengfei Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Low-energy development in China Abstract: Energy is a nonrenewable resource. Hence, long-term sustainable development cannot be guaranteed by an increase in energy efficiency but to use the least energy as possible. Therefore, this article builds an index of low-energy development (LEDI) to describe the shift from high-energy development to LEDI. This research, which uses Chinese provincial data set, reveals that the LEDI of China is at the low level, but has a significant upward trend after 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-621 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:617-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ratul Lahkar Author-X-Name-First: Ratul Author-X-Name-Last: Lahkar Author-Name: Viswanath Pingali Author-X-Name-First: Viswanath Author-X-Name-Last: Pingali Title: Risk diversification through multiple group membership in microfinance Abstract: We consider group formation in the joint liability setting in microfinance. Joint liability imposes additional liability of having to repay for group partners should they fail to repay. Multiple group membership allows diversification of that risk, and therefore, is welfare enhancing for risk averse agents. Welfare enhancement occurs even when the total loan of an agent is unchanged. Therefore, multiple borrowing is not synonymous with over-borrowing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 622-625 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:622-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guan-Chun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Guan-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Insurance activities and banking credit causal nexus: evidence from China Abstract: Employing an advanced bootstrap VAR model with a fixed rolling window, we investigate the causal nexus between insurance activities and banking credit in China. Parameter stability tests show that none of the traditional VAR models have stable parameters, and hence the full sample results are unreliable. Rolling window results indicate the time-varying causal nexus between them in various subsamples in China and two key structural change points -- the years 2002 and 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 626-630 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:626-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bingqing Li Author-X-Name-First: Bingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Han Wang Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xinrong Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Xinrong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Measuring financial contagion using general social interaction model with trade network structure Abstract: This article applies general social interaction model to measure contagion across stock markets in a given trade network. We divide the whole sample period into five types of subperiods according to the extent of negative and positive coexceedances. We find that interdependence and contagion in the given trade network exist significantly. Our empirical results also confirm previous evidences that contagion is stronger for extreme negative returns than for positive ones. However, the direction of asymmetry reverses when the degree of coexceedances becomes somewhat smaller. In addition, trade partners' macroeconomic fundamentals in trade network significantly impact on domestic stock market during extreme periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-635 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:631-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Biewen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Biewen Title: A general decomposition formula with interaction effects Abstract: This note presents a general way to decompose differences over time or between objects into the ceteris paribus effects and the interaction effects of an arbitrary number of factors. The decomposition addresses the issue of interaction effects between factors which have been neglected in the decomposition literature. It has the additional advantage of being path-independent and aggregation consistent. An empirical application studying distributional change demonstrates that interaction effects may be a relevant feature of reality that is overlooked if other decomposition methods are used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 636-642 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:636-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Raising food prices and welfare change: a simple calibration Abstract: This article proposes a simple and straightforward method which only requires the information of expenditure share and the compensated own price elasticity to calibrate ex ante consumer welfare change due to price change, while specific price information is not required. It is applied to calculate the welfare loss due to recent food price inflation and find that recent food price inflation after January 2009 in the world causes 22%, 14% and 9% welfare loss, respectively, for low-, middle- and high-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-645 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:643-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raquel L�pez Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: L�pez Title: Volatility contagion across commodity, equity, foreign exchange and Treasury bond markets Abstract: Over the last years, the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) has launched a set of implied volatility indices based on new asset classes following the success of equity-based volatility indices. Using some of the newly created volatility indices, this study shows that evidence of implied volatility transmission across commodity, equity, foreign exchange and Treasury bond markets cannot be accounted for by news announcements on economic fundamentals, suggesting volatility contagion. The findings are robust over the recent financial crisis period and the post-crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 646-650 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.879282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.879282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:646-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hail Park Author-X-Name-First: Hail Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Estimation of affine term structure models under the Milstein approximation Abstract: This article suggests the Milstein approximation in the estimation of affine term structure models by the Kalman filter. By doing so, affine term structure models with various specifications of the market price of risk can be estimated in a tractable and reasonable manner. In regard to both in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecast, the performance of the Milstein approximation is very close to that of the closed form of the conditional moments. Monte Carlo simulation also shows that the properties of estimators under the Milstein approximation are comparable to those using the closed form of the conditional mean and variance. These indicate that the Milstein approximation can be a good alternative when the closed form of the conditional moments is impractical. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-656 Issue: 9 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:9:p:651-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Ladenburg Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Ladenburg Author-Name: Kirsten Lund Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Kirsten Lund Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Christa Lassen Author-X-Name-First: Christa Author-X-Name-Last: Lassen Title: Does it matter why power outages occur? An example of information-induced gender-heterogeneous preference on the intensive and extensive margins of choice Abstract: People experience welfare losses in the event of power outages. A higher share of wind power in the power generation mix increases difficulties in forecasting power generation. This, in turn, challenges an effective utilization of wind power and increases the risk of power outages. Using a split sample approach, we test whether private households' preferences for power outages are sensitive to information regarding the positive influence that controlled power outages can have on the utilization of wind energy in particular. Information increases the overall acceptance of contracts with low compensation, but influences females and males differently. Relative to female respondents, information increases male respondents' preferences for accepting a contract, whilst information reduces preferences among females, relative to males, for contracts with higher levels of compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-664 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:657-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Daiyan Peng Author-X-Name-First: Daiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Dynamics of social tolerance in the economic interaction model with three groups Abstract: The dynamics of social tolerance among three groups of economic agents have been discussed. We show that dynamics of social tolerance between two groups can be greatly influenced by the third group, and a society with three groups exhibits rich behaviours which are very different from the two-group case. In the three-group case, a fully intolerant society may also get total welfare maximization, while a society with higher social costs gets lower total welfare. Cultural integration is vitally important in achieving full tolerance and total welfare maximization. In particular, suitably increase the number of groups, which can reduce the necessary condition of achieving full tolerance, is an effective method if cultural integration is invalid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-670 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:665-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Krenz Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Krenz Title: Adjustment dynamics of countries' specialization patterns in the European Union Abstract: We investigate the adjustment dynamics of countries' specialization patterns in terms of labour market participation in manufacturing industries for the European Union. Using cointegration and error correction modelling techniques, we find that imbalances in European countries' specialization are being set off at a rate of about 63% within the next period. Adjustment rates for Denmark, France, Germany and Spain are lower than for the entire EU. These patterns deliver valuable information about labour market rigidities and the suitability of a common monetary union in the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-674 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.882069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.882069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:671-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Barrett Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Barrett Author-Name: V. O'Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Sullivan Title: The wealth, health and well-being of Ireland's older people before and during the economic crisis Abstract: The economic crisis of 2008/9 was felt more acutely in Ireland relative to most other countries and culminated in the international bailout in 2010. Given the economic collapse, Ireland provides an ideal case study of the link between wealth collapses and movements in variables such as health and well-being. Using nationally representative samples of older people collected before and during the crisis, we show that mean net assets fell by 45% between 2006/7 and 2012/13. In spite of this massive fall in wealth, measures of health and well-being remained broadly unchanged. However, expectations about future living standards became less optimistic. The results tend to support the findings of other recent studies that recessions do not have widespread negative effects on health and well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-678 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:675-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johnny Ducking Author-X-Name-First: Johnny Author-X-Name-Last: Ducking Author-Name: Peter A. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: James Richard Hill Author-X-Name-First: James Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Title: Compensation discrimination in the NFL: an analysis of career earnings Abstract: Using NFL data from 2000 to 2008, we test for compensation discrimination on career earnings in the NFL. We use both the traditional dummy variable technique applied to Ordinary Least Squares regression and the quantile regression analysis to measure the effect of race on earnings. We focus on six positional groups: defensive backs, defensive linemen, linebackers, running backs, tight ends and wide receivers. Our analysis finds that a player's performance determines career earnings and not their race. Perhaps, using a Becker-like argument, market competition for the best players in a competitive environment to achieve a winning team has overcome personal prejudice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: The US Dow and the US dollar Abstract: This article considers the relation between the US Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) and the US dollar. Monthly data sets that cover the float period of foreign exchange rates are used. Least square regressions with calendar breakpoints are estimated. The evidence is strong that for the ten currencies that have breakpoints the recent samples uncover a significant relation between the US Dow and the US dollar, while the older samples negate such a relation. The conclusion is that this relation is subject to shifts and, when these shifts are accounted for, the relation is found to be statistically very significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Bologna Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Bologna Title: Is the Internet an effective mechanism for reducing corruption experience? Evidence from a cross-section of countries Abstract: This article develops an indicator of Internet awareness on corruption as described in Goel et al. (2012) to see how this impacts both corruption perceptions and corruption experience. The results confirm the finding of Goel et al. (2012) that corruption perceptions are highly influenced by Internet awareness. However, the effect Internet awareness has on corruption experience is unclear. This article finds that Internet awareness decreases the frequency of corruption experience of households, while it increases the frequency of corruption experience in firms. Overall, the results suggest that the effect Internet awareness has on corruption is highly sensitive to the corruption measures used and the time the Internet data is constructed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Kontolaimou Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kontolaimou Title: An efficiency analysis of European banks considering hierarchical technologies Abstract: This article, introduces the notion of hierarchical technologies in measuring banking efficiency, which arise from type- and country-specific characteristics of European banks. Adopting a meta-metafrontier framework, efficiency and technology gaps are measured for a sample of commercial, savings and cooperative European banks. In a hierarchical setting of banking technologies, the results reveal significant technology gaps among national banking systems, while minor technology gaps are identified among bank types within each country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 692-696 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:692-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos� E. G�mez-Gonz�lez Author-X-Name-First: Jos� E. Author-X-Name-Last: G�mez-Gonz�lez Author-Name: Jair N. Ojeda-Joya Author-X-Name-First: Jair N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ojeda-Joya Author-Name: H�ctor Manuel Z�rate Author-X-Name-First: H�ctor Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Z�rate Author-Name: Fernando Tenjo-Galarza Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Tenjo-Galarza Title: Testing for causality between credit and real business cycles in the frequency domain: an illustration Abstract: We estimate credit and GDP cycles for three Latin American economies and study their relation in the frequency domain. We compute coherence statistics between credit and GDP cycles and find that the highest correlations between these two cycles are obtained in medium-term frequencies. Spectral cross-correlations suggest a positive relation among lags in credit cycles and contemporaneous GDP cycles. Furthermore, this relation is higher approximately at medium-term frequencies. We perform frequency-domain Granger-type causality tests and find evidence of causality running from credit cycles to GDP cycles in all three economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-701 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:697-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Lohse Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Lohse Author-Name: Salmai Qari Author-X-Name-First: Salmai Author-X-Name-Last: Qari Title: Gender differences in deception behaviour -- the role of the counterpart Abstract: In a tax compliance experiment with real face-to-face communication between declaring subjects and officers, we analyse the role of both the subject's and the officer's gender for deceptive behaviour. We do not find, first, that the amount of underreporting generally depends on the officer's gender, and second, that the matching of genders plays a role for the deceptive behaviour. Moreover, as a reaction to a high rather than a low penalty, women and men both reduce deceptive behaviour to the same extent and therefore exhibit the same risk-taking attitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 702-705 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.848020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.848020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:702-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Devaluation expectations based on cross-listed stocks: evidence for financial crises in Argentina then and now Abstract: I use the relative prices of American Depositary Receipts and their underlying stocks to derive devaluation expectations. I find that stockholders currently perceive an overvalued peso. Devaluation expectations are driven by the incentive of competitive devaluation and sovereign default risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-710 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884691 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884691 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:706-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty: does it matter for commodity prices? Abstract: Using a new uncertainty index from Baker et al. (2013), we evaluate the time-varying correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and commodity prices. Estimation results from a multivariate DCC-GARCH model reveal that increased volatility in uncertainty leads to increased price and volatility in commodity markets, while increased volatility in commodity markets enhances policy uncertainty. Our results also indicate that the dynamic linkage between uncertainty and commodity prices varies over time substantially. It becomes more correlated since the later part of 2003, and behaves largely different before and after the 2008 financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-716 Issue: 10 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:10:p:711-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cormac O'Keeffe Author-X-Name-First: Cormac Author-X-Name-Last: O'Keeffe Author-Name: Liam A. Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: Momentum in Irish stocks: evidence from the credit crisis Abstract: This article examines return momentum in Irish shares over a 24-year period, including the recent credit crisis. The optimal momentum strategy generates significant risk-adjusted abnormal returns that are robust to the return generating model and seasonal effects. The extent of underreaction is more symmetrical than previous research has indicated, with both past winners and losers contributing to momentum returns. Momentum is found to be significantly higher in the pre-credit crisis period. The source of the positive returns in the momentum strategy changes from the winner portfolio to the loser portfolio as we move into the credit crisis, with this latter period showing positive but insignificant moment returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saki Sugano Author-X-Name-First: Saki Author-X-Name-Last: Sugano Author-Name: Yusuke Matsuki Author-X-Name-First: Yusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuki Title: Poisson analysis of suicide in Japan using municipal data Abstract: This article investigates the nexus between suicide and socio-economic factors in Japan using municipality-level data using Poisson-based regression methods. We demonstrate the advantage of this method over the OLS approach and show that our method yields reasonable results compared to OLS. Our results show that economic difficulty and social isolation are significantly associated with suicide rate, and accessibility to hospitals can reduce suicide rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soheil R. Nadimi Author-X-Name-First: Soheil R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nadimi Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: Nonexclusionary input prices Abstract: This article models a vertically integrated provider that is a monopoly supplier of an input that is essential for downstream production. An input price that is 'too high' can lead to inefficient foreclosure and one that is 'too low' creates incentives for nonprice discrimination. The range of nonexclusionary input prices is circumscribed by the input prices generated on the basis of upper-bound and lower-bound displacement ratios. The admissible range of the ratio of downstream to upstream price--cost margins is increasing in the degree of product differentiation and reduces to a single ratio in the limit as the products become perfectly homogeneous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-732 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:727-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mogens Dilling-Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Mogens Author-X-Name-Last: Dilling-Hansen Author-Name: Valdemar Smith Author-X-Name-First: Valdemar Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: R&D, export and productivity: testing the Bustos model on Danish data Abstract: In this article, a unique data set for Danish manufacturing firms has been used to analyse the interplay between export, R&D investments and productivity. In addition to traditional tests, a nonparametric test for differences in stochastic distributions gives evidence that the productivity distribution of firms that export and engage in R&D dominates the productivity distribution of firms that are exporters without engaging in R&D. Furthermore, the productivity distribution of the latter group of firms dominates that of firms who are neither R&D-active nor exporters. This conclusion applies to the years before, under and after the economic downward spiral in the world economy, i.e. 2007 to 2010. Overall, this result confirms the hypothesis of Bustos (2011) for Argentina, and for the results for German firms, see Wagner (2012b) and Vogel and Wagner (2012). However, for 2009 the findings are less clear, mainly due to the relative productivity cutback, which some exporting firms faced at the beginning of the downturn in the world economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-737 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:733-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Amin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Author-Name: Asif Islam Author-X-Name-First: Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Imports of intermediate inputs and country size Abstract: The article analyses the relationship between country size and the use of imported intermediate inputs by firms in 76 developing countries. Recent evidence indicates that the use of imported inputs can have a large positive effect on productivity and growth, thus motivating a better understanding of the determinants of foreign inputs. Our results confirm that as is the case with exports, use of imported intermediate inputs is much higher at the extensive and intensive margin in small relative to large countries. Our results for imported inputs are comparable in magnitude with that for exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 738-741 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:738-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoshi Urasawa Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Urasawa Title: Japan's deflation: the role of wage costs Abstract: Is weak demand pressure alone sufficient to explain Japan's long-standing deflation? The empirical evidence, based on a structural VAR model consisting of productivity, wage costs and prices, provides the robust facts for understanding Japan's deflation. It suggests that sluggish wage growth since the mid-1990s, along with productivity recovery from the collapse of the Japanese asset price bubble, contributed to the persistence of deflation, while weak demand pressure had a large negative implication for Japan's inflation. Going forward, the result implies that the translation of productivity gains into adequate wage growth, in addition to boosting demand, is important to help bring a definitive end to Japan's deflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 742-746 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:742-746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Title: Empirical estimation of market power in Greece Abstract: The aim of this study is to estimate industry markups for 2-digit Greek manufacturing and services industries over the period 1970 to 2007. The empirical model estimates the markups following the Roeger (1995) methodology, separately for the two industries by using two different panel data econometric techniques. The results are robust revealing that Greek manufacturing and services industry operate in noncompetitive conditions. The findings also support the view that markup ratios vary significantly between the two industries, with services having higher markups than manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-750 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:747-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjib Bhuyan Author-X-Name-First: Sanjib Author-X-Name-Last: Bhuyan Title: Visiting an old battleground in empirical industrial organization: SCP versus NEIO Abstract: There are two principal approaches to analysing market power -- the new empirical industrial organization (NEIO) approach and the structure--conduct--performance (SCP) approach. The existing literature on market power shows that there is no unanimous agreement on which of these two methods should be used to analyse the market power. Users seem to select whichever method is best suitable to their situation, such as data availability. Here we compare these two methods of analysing market power using a single US brewing industry data set and hypothesize that both the methods would yield identical results. On the basis of the empirical results, we conclude that the debate over the use of the SCP approach versus the use of the NEIO approach to analyse market power will continue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-754 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:751-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Komivi Afawubo Author-X-Name-First: Komivi Author-X-Name-Last: Afawubo Author-Name: Samuel Mathey Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mathey Title: Employment and education effects on HIV/AIDS prevalence rate and economic growth: empirical investigation in ECOWAS Abstract: We analyse the simultaneous effects of employment and education on GDP growth and HIV/AIDS prevalence rate in the long and short run across the 15 countries of ECOWAS. Our results suggest that employment and primary education are the main HIV/AIDS prevalence rate reduction drivers in the short run with primary education having a simultaneous effect on HIV/AIDS prevalence rate (reduction) and GDP growth (increase) while secondary education drives the HIV/AIDS prevalence rate reduction in the long term. Education and employment may therefore become the short-run policy targets in combatting HIV/AIDS prevalence rate among the active population and achieving economic growth. Our results equally suggest that GDP growth by itself may not be an HIV/AIDS reduction driver. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-759 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Yuret Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Yuret Title: Why do economists publish less? Abstract: We estimate that the economists publish much less than their colleagues in natural sciences, health and engineering disciplines even after we control for the quality of the publications. A possible explanation for the poor performance of economists is that the journals specialized in economics have a smaller capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 760-762 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:760-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nurullah Gur Author-X-Name-First: Nurullah Author-X-Name-Last: Gur Title: Taxation and democracy: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: Our article investigates the effect of taxation on democracy. We exploit exogenous variation in taxation driven by wars from the pre-modern era and document a positive and highly significant first-stage relationship between pre-modern war casualties and taxation. Using this instrumental variable strategy, we find that taxation has a positive effect on democracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-766 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:763-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Rui Neiva Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Neiva Author-Name: Junyang Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Junyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Economic development and the impact of the EU--US Transatlantic Open Skies Air Transport Agreement Abstract: This article examines the economic impacts on the United States east coast regions of the EU--US Open Skies Agreement that liberalized air service over the North Atlantic. It considers the link between air travel volumes before and after the Agreement and the economies of the main metropolitan areas. It finds, using a number of model specifications, that the economic impacts of air traffic increased after the enactment of the Agreement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-770 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:767-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathryn Birkeland Author-X-Name-First: Kathryn Author-X-Name-Last: Birkeland Title: Eating in: employment and home production during the Great Recession Abstract: The shift from market purchases to home production is a prevalent feature of the macroeconomy during a recession. However, the nature of aggregate data makes observing this phenomenon difficult. Using the American Time Use Survey, this work highlights the substitution between eating out and eating in at the aggregate level in the United States during the Great Recession by comparing food service industry employment and estimates of time spent on food preparation at home. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-775 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:771-775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan A. Correa Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Christian Ferrada Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrada Author-Name: Pablo Guti�rrez Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Guti�rrez Author-Name: Francisco Parro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Parro Title: Effects of fiscal policy on private consumption: evidence from structural-balance fiscal rule deviations Abstract: We use a new narrative measure of fiscal shocks to study how private consumption reacts to government spending increases. Our fiscal shocks arise from three announcements of expansionary fiscal rule deviations in a small and open economy where fiscal policy follows a structural-balance fiscal rule. All those deviations were announced to be mainly on the spending side. We find a negative response of private consumption in the face of those announcements. Our findings are consistent with the existence of consumers expecting some irreversibility in government spending increases and, as a consequence, a rise in future taxes to make the newly announced fiscal spending path consistent with the intertemporal government budget constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 776-781 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:776-781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Author-Name: John M. Paleologos Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Paleologos Title: Too big to merge? Evidence from the US banking sector Abstract: This article tries to cast light on the main determinants of the merger waves reported in the banking sector. For this reason, we investigate the recently developed merger wave theories by estimating an empirical model covering the US for the period 1987 to 2013. The empirical results, based on four alternative methodologies, are robust, claiming that merger waves in the banking sector are driven by stock market booms, a finding that is consistent with the behavioural hypothesis about the causes of merger waves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 782-785 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:782-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Convergence in sovereign debt ratios across heavily indebted EU countries: evidence from club convergence Abstract: We study the convergence of sovereign debt accumulation in five European Monetary Union (EMU) countries using quarterly data from June 2009 to June 2013, with a focus on debt ratio convergence following the 2009 sovereign debt crisis and the adoption of fiscal consolidation programmes. We test the Phillips and Sul (2007) club convergence hypothesis. We find the evidence of a lack of debt convergence for Greece and Portugal. Our results support the view that there is not a uniform austerity prescription for all, especially, without emphasizing friendly growth policies, which makes these countries more prone to investors' sentiments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 786-788 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.889798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:786-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiyuan Pan Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Modelling tail dependence between energy market and stock markets in the BRIC countries Abstract: This article investigates the tail dependence structure between energy market and stock markets returns in the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries over the period from 12 January 2000 to 28 December 2012. Using the regime switching dynamic symmetrized Joe--Clayton (SJC) copula model, we find that the tail dependence increased rather substantially in the financial crisis of 2008/12; moreover, the lower tail dependence for all the paired returns is almost larger than the upper one. Finally, the tail dependence is found to be the strongest for Russia and the weakest for China. The empirical results documented in this study have important implications for portfolio and risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-794 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:789-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Llop Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Llop Author-Name: Antonio Manresa Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Manresa Title: Comparing the aggregation bias in the input--output model and the social accounting matrix model Abstract: In economic literature, some information deficiencies and computational complexities have traditionally been solved through the aggregation of data. In input--output (IO) modelling, researchers have been interested in aggregation since the 1950s. Extending the conventional IO aggregation approach to the social accounting matrix (SAM) framework may help to identify the effects caused by the problems of information that usually appear in the linear SAM models. This article applies the theory of IO aggregation to the SAM model and presents a comparison of the IO aggregation bias and the SAM aggregation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-800 Issue: 11 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:795-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-chin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-chin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kai-ping Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kai-ping Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yung-lieh Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yi-hao Lai Author-X-Name-First: Yi-hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Dynamic hedging in stock index futures via copula multiplicative error model Abstract: This article combines a copula function and multiplicative error models to capture the dependence structure and the volatility patterns simultaneously, named copula-multiplicative error model (cMEM). We examine hedging performance of the presenting cMEM with different estimation window sizes for the futures contract of Taiwan stock price index. The results have shown that the cMEM with 1250-day window size for Clayton survival, Gumbel and OLS has better performance in which Clayton survival survives during the crisis and has the best out-of-sample hedging effectiveness. The empirical evidence indicates that the cMEM performs well for the turmoil periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-805 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.849373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.849373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:801-805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ina Ganguli Author-X-Name-First: Ina Author-X-Name-Last: Ganguli Author-Name: Ricardo Hausmann Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Hausmann Author-Name: Martina Viarengo Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Viarengo Title: Marriage, education and assortative mating in Latin America Abstract: In this article, we establish facts related to marriage and education in Latin American countries. Using census data from IPUMS International, we show how marriage and assortative mating patterns have changed from 1980 to 2000 and how the patterns in Latin America compare to the United States. We find that in Latin American countries, highly educated individuals are less likely to be married than the less educated, and the pattern is stronger for women. We also show that while it has been increasing over time, there is less positive assortative mating in Latin America than in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 806-811 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.849375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.849375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:806-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerstin Bruckmeier Author-X-Name-First: Kerstin Author-X-Name-Last: Bruckmeier Author-Name: Gerrit M�ller Author-X-Name-First: Gerrit Author-X-Name-Last: M�ller Author-Name: Regina T. Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina T. Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Who misreports welfare receipt in surveys? Abstract: We match survey and administrative data and determine the extent of misreporting on welfare receipt. In our data, 10.5% of German welfare recipients under-report and 1% over-report benefit receipt. The analysis shows that particularly households who are close to the labour market, without children, and with relatively high household incomes and savings are prone to under-report their welfare receipt. This information is important for the study of transfer programmes based on survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 812-816 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.877566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.877566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:812-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastasios Evgenidis Author-X-Name-First: Anastasios Author-X-Name-Last: Evgenidis Author-Name: Costas Siriopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Siriopoulos Title: Does the yield spread retain its forecasting ability during the 2007 recession? A comparative analysis Abstract: We review spread's predictive ability by implementing a number of linear and probit models. We conduct a comparative analysis of the forecasting performance of various specifications by focusing on the last three major US economic slowdowns: 1990, 2001 and 2007. The results indicate that although linear models are useful in predicting the 1990 and 2001 decline in economic activity, none of these give signal of the major 2007 decline in output. Moreover, we find evidence that there is more information in the shape of the yield curve about the future economic activity than that provided by the spread alone. We also document that probit models are doing well in signalling the onset of 2007 subprime crisis although they fail to capture its duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-822 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.884694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.884694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:817-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Joung Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Joung Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: A bias in measuring consumer responses towards food safety issues due to imperfect substitution between foods Abstract: This study attempts to show that observed consumption change may not correctly depict consumer opinions and responses towards food safety issues due to the lack of suitable substitutes for foods with controversial safety. If there is no suitable alternative for consumers to alter their eating habits, consumers may not change consumption patterns, although they feel that consuming problem foods is risky. This study provides empirical evidence of this phenomenon using a consumer survey regarding the 2010-2011 foot and mouth disease outbreak in South Korea. The results show that the ratio of respondents who did not cease consumption of the implicated products due to lack of a suitable substitute was sizeable. This suggests that when we utilize observed consumption data, we may underestimate consumer responses to food safety issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-827 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:823-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhibai Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhibai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xinyue Zou Author-X-Name-First: Xinyue Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Different measures in testing absolute purchasing power parity Abstract: In popular studies, the theory of purchasing power parity (PPP) is tested for the real exchange rate (RER) that is constructed by price indexes and all variables are logarithmic. In this article, we test the absolute PPP theory for the RER that is constructed by general price levels and is in its original form. Panel unit root and cointegration tests reveal that the RER is stationary and a cointegration relationship exists between nominal exchange rate and PPP rate, which supports the PPP theory. But the RER misalignment is not a normal distribution with zero mean, and the coefficient restriction test also rejects the PPP theory. One reason that leads to the conflicting conclusions is given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 828-831 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.887185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.887185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:828-831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhuwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hui An Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: An Author-Name: Xiaoting Yin Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoting Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Lin Chi Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Title: Risk amplification effect of asset securitization among financial institutions: evidence from CDO products in the USA Abstract: This article theoretically and empirically investigates the risk amplification effects of asset securitization among financial institutions in the USA based on a risk model and a single-factor time series model. Results show that systemic risk of financial institutions is enlarged by asset securitization, and the reaction is faster with a larger issuance and holdings of collateralized debt obligation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 832-835 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:832-835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jangryoul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jangryoul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Gieyoung Lim Author-X-Name-First: Gieyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Understanding the Irish price-rent ratio: an unobserved component approach Abstract: This article examines the movements in the Irish price-to-rent ratio over the period 1976 to 2012. We use the Campbell-Shiller present value formula to decompose the price-rent ratio into the present discounted values of expected future housing market fundamentals, i.e., rent growth, real interest rate and risk premium for investing in housing. Treating the expectations of the fundamentals as unobserved components, we cast the Campbell-Shiller formula into a state-space model and estimate the deep parameters by maximum likelihood method. It is found that that the variations in the price-rent ratio are mostly due to the expected housing premium, while the expected rent growth and real interest rate account for only small fractions of variations in the price-rent ratio. It is also found that, while the individual contributions of the expected market fundamentals sum up much larger variations than in the price-rent ratio itself, the correlations among them considerably dampen fluctuations in the ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 836-841 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:836-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Busch Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Busch Author-Name: Thorsten Lehnert Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Lehnert Title: The impact of policy responses on stock liquidity Abstract: The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 marked the peak of a financial crisis that is affecting the entire world of finance. This period is characterized by increasing fear of further defaults by corporations (including banks) or even by countries. In reaction, investors began shifting their assets to more stable and secure investments and this resulted in stock market crashes. Various policy interventions were initiated to restore stability. In this article, we analyse the impact of these interventions on stock liquidity, proxied by a new liquidity measure. The interventions, which we consider, are published by the Federal Reserve Bank (FED) in the form of a crisis timeline. Here, they are further combined to the following categories: bank liability guarantees, liquidity and rescue interventions, unconventional monetary policy and other market interventions. The results indicate that the market reacts positively to liquidity and rescue interventions, whereas bank liability guarantees reduced stock liquidity. In addition, we show that international events have a significant impact on the domestic market. By analysing the spreads of different trading volumes, an asymmetric effect can be detected, where the impact on lower trading volumes is substantially more pronounced compared to higher trading volumes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 842-845 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:842-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlo Gallier Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Gallier Author-Name: Andreas L�schel Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: L�schel Author-Name: Bodo Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Bodo Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Did Fukushima matter? Empirical evidence of the demand for climate protection in Germany Abstract: This article investigates the extent to which the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster of March 2011 has had an impact on the private demand for climate protection in Germany. Data are taken from two framed field experiments (L�schel et al., 2013a, b) conducted before and after the disaster. We find that the demand for climate protection in the experiment after the nuclear disaster is significantly higher than in the experiment before the disaster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 846-851 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:846-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Measuring economic freedom: a comparison of two major sources Abstract: Overall country ratings on economic freedom by Fraser Institute and Heritage Foundation, which are probably the two most widely-used sources, are compared. Numerous cases of huge differences between country ranks for the two sets of ratings are noted. A simple illustration shows that inferences based on one set of ratings can be very different from those suggested by the other set. Researchers, policy-makers and other users are urged to exercise caution in drawing strong conclusions on the basis of ratings from either source. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 852-856 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:852-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caterina Giannetti Author-X-Name-First: Caterina Author-X-Name-Last: Giannetti Author-Name: Raimondello Orsini Author-X-Name-First: Raimondello Author-X-Name-Last: Orsini Title: Being nice with the experimenter? Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of reciprocity towards the experimenters in the lab under a flat-wage scheme. We find that personality attributes - such as agreeableness - help predict the behaviour of the subjects. We additionally propose and assess a general measure of reciprocity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adem Y. Elveren Author-X-Name-First: Adem Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Elveren Title: Women's labour force participation and pay inequality: evidence from panel cointegration Abstract: This article examines the relationship between women's labour force participation and pay inequality for 58 countries for the 1990-2005 period using a panel cointegration analysis. The findings show that while higher women's labour force participation increases pay inequality in developing countries, it leads to a reduction in developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 862-865 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:862-865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subir Bairagi Author-X-Name-First: Subir Author-X-Name-Last: Bairagi Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Title: Does the Grameen Bank exert market power over borrowers? Abstract: In this article, we use the recently developed stochastic frontier estimator of market power to test whether or not the Grameen Bank's lending rates are consistent with marginal cost pricing. We find that they are not and, on average, the markup is about 3% above marginal cost. However, the markup is considerably dwarfed when compared to the markups charged by commercial microfinance institutions. Their lending rates are reported to range from 97% to 165% above marginal cost. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 866-869 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:866-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim�n Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Mar�a del Carmen Ramos-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a del Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Herrera Title: Exchange-rate regimes and economic growth: an empirical evaluation Abstract: Based on a data set of 123 economies, this article empirically investigates the relation between exchange-rate regimes and economic growth. We find that growth performance is best under intermediate exchange-rate regimes, while the smallest growth rates are associated with flexible exchange rates. Nevertheless, this conclusion is tempered when we analyse the countries by income level: even though countries that adopt intermediate exchange-rate regimes are characterized by higher economic growth, the higher the level of income, less difference in growth performance across exchange-rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 870-873 Issue: 12 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:12:p:870-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Willem van den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Author-X-Name-Last: van den End Title: The breakdown of the money multiplier at the zero lower bound Abstract: Unconventional monetary policy intends to influence the economy at the zero lower bound. However, this policy becomes less effective due to a diminishing money multiplier in a liquidity trap. We show that this creates an extreme low interest rate, low multiplier regime. This insight contributes to the literature, which shows there is uncertainty over the effects of unconventional monetary policy and the precise channel through which it works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-877 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:875-877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos� I. Castillo-Manzano Author-X-Name-First: Jos� I. Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Manzano Author-Name: Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Valpuesta Title: Can LCCs' economic efficiency create negative externalities for air transport? An analysis of passenger waiting time Abstract: Some features of the low-cost carrier (LCC) management model, such as quick turnaround times, the use of uncrowded airports and expediting check-in processes should have a favourable knock-on effect on their passengers' waiting times at the airport. This article seeks to quantify these possible savings in the low-cost model compared to traditional companies using a database of 37226 passengers and methodology based on statistical causal inference and the generalized ordered logit model. The results show that LCC passengers are less likely to experience delays of 2hours or less, although the likelihood that they will have to endure long delays of over 3hours increases by almost 7.5%. Compared to the greater efficiency of LCCs in the daily movement of passengers averting the most common delays of up to 2hours, the intensive use of their airplanes results in their lesser ability to respond to unforeseen eventualities with no on-the-spot solution. The little cover that LCCs provide for delays is a strong incentive for their passengers to take out or extend their travel insurance, while airport F&B concessions can benefit from these longer waiting times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 878-881 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:878-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jord� Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jord� Title: Dealing with an error correction model when trade balances are trend-stationary Abstract: The present research shows how one can deal with stationary plus trend trade balance variables in a trade model whenever the rest of the variables contain a unit root. Data are used in a monthly and a quarterly basis from January 1980 to June 2011 and applied to four countries (Germany, France, Italy and United Kingdom). It is proved that an error correction mechanism suits better when detrending trade balances once they have been verified to have a deterministic trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 882-886 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:882-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Charles Larkin Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Larkin Author-Name: Fergal O'Connor Author-X-Name-First: Fergal Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connor Title: Gold markets around the world - who spills over what, to whom, when? Abstract: Gold is traded worldwide, mainly in London, New York, Tokyo and Shanghai. We apply the recently developed spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) to investigate the degree to which these markets are integrated, and which are net senders or recipients of information. The evidence suggests that Shanghai remains isolated as a market, both in terms of volatility and return spillovers. The strongest and most integrated pair of markets is the London cash market and COMEX. Returns spill over more strongly than do volatilities. Spillovers show significant time variation Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-892 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:887-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don P. Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don P. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Title: Stages of diversification in Latin America Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between sectoral concentration and per capita income over the period 1963 to 2009 for 17 Latin American countries. Results confirm the existence of a U-shaped relationship between sectoral concentration of manufacturing value added and the level of per capita income. Import substitution industrialization policies encouraged excessive sectoral diversification early in the development process. Re-specialization in comparative advantage activities by higher per capita income countries coincided with a shift towards more market-oriented policies. The 'Lost Decade' of macroeconomic turmoil did not disrupt the evolving pattern of sectoral concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherif Khalifa Author-X-Name-First: Sherif Author-X-Name-Last: Khalifa Title: Direction of trade and wage inequality Abstract: Contrary to the predictions of the 2×2×2 Heckscher-Ohlin model, empirical evidence shows that the skill premium increased in some developing countries and decreased in others after trade liberalization. Khalifa (2014) attempts to reconcile the empirical evidence with the theoretical predictions by introducing a theoretical set-up that includes the additional aspect of South-South trade. The model shows that South-South trade openness can cause the skill premium to increase in the Southern country that is relatively more skill abundant, and to decrease in the Southern country that is relatively less skill abundant. This article introduces an empirical analysis to test the theoretical predictions of Khalifa (2014) using threshold estimation techniques introduced by Hansen (1999). The results suggest the presence of a statistically significant skill abundance threshold, below which the estimate of the coefficient of the relationship between South-South trade openness and wage inequality is negative, and above which the point estimate is positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 898-901 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:898-901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven P. Lanza Author-X-Name-First: Steven P. Author-X-Name-Last: Lanza Title: The effect of firearm restrictions on gun-related homicides across US states Abstract: The Newtown massacre has raised the issue of gun violence to a fever pitch. While several states have responded with tough new controls on firearms, most states have loosened restrictions. This study explores what effect such changes might have on gun-related homicides in the United States. The results, based on panel data for the 50 states over the 2007-2010 period and estimated under several alternative model specifications, suggest that looser restrictions will likely do little to lessen the incidence of gun deaths but that tighter restrictions may produce a modest reduction in firearm fatalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 902-905 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:902-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles W. Hodges Author-X-Name-First: Charles W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hodges Author-Name: Bingxuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bingxuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Product market competition, corporate governance, and cost of capital Abstract: We investigate how market competition and corporate governance affect a firm's cost of equity and debt. We find firms with better corporate governance have a lower cost of equity and cost of debt. However, we find that the negative relation between cost of capital and governance primarily holds for firms in highly competitive industries. The relation between governance and cost of capital does not hold if the industry competition is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 906-913 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.896978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.896978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:906-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sturn Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sturn Title: Macroeconomic policy in recessions and unemployment hysteresis Abstract: I adopt Ball's (1999) cross-sectional approach to test for unemployment hysteresis to panel data. Long-run unemployment is explained with standard institutional controls, and proxies for monetary and fiscal policy reactions in recessions. The sample consists of 20 OECD countries for the period 1985 to 2008. The results indicate that fiscal consolidation in recessions has long-lasting effects on unemployment. No significant impact of monetary policy is found. However, tentative evidence suggests that the effects of fiscal spending are stronger when accommodated by expansionary monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 914-917 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:914-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Samarina Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Samarina Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Factors leading to inflation targeting - the impact of adoption Abstract: This article examines how the analysis of inflation targeting (IT) adoption is affected by allowing for a structural change after adoption, using panel probit models for 60 countries over the period 1985 to 2008. Our findings suggest that there is a structural change after IT adoption. Including the post-adoption period when estimating the factors of IT adoption leads to biased results when interested in the question as of what drives countries' decision to adopt IT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 918-923 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:918-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Crawford Charman Author-X-Name-First: Crawford Author-X-Name-Last: Charman Author-Name: Ann L. Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann L. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Title: Collective happiness: labour union membership and life satisfaction Abstract: Labour union membership is associated with higher levels of life satisfaction in low-income countries, but not in high-income countries. Evidence suggests that union membership affects life satisfaction in low-income countries through better working conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 924-927 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:924-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juyoung Cheong Author-X-Name-First: Juyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheong Author-Name: Do Won Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Do Won Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Kam Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The WTO puzzle, multilateral resistance terms and multicollinearity Abstract: Since Rose's (2004) striking finding of negligible WTO trade effects, numerous studies have attempted to solve the so-called WTO puzzle. These studies have progressively improved model specifications to control for potential sources of bias, but they often lead to conflicting results. Multilateral resistance terms (MRTs) are considered to be one of the most crucial factors to be accounted for to avoid the omitted variable bias in the gravity model. What has gone unnoticed, however, is that the control for MRTs leads to near-prefect multicollinearity because of the structural relationship between the variables that measure the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade/World Trade Organization (GATT/WTO) membership status of any country pairs. This multicollinearity contributes to the fragility of the WTO effect estimates, as it dramatically increases SEs. In this article, we explain how this multicollinearity arises and provide evidence of it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 928-933 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:928-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaeseong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaeseong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Joonmo Cho Author-X-Name-First: Joonmo Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Who teaches economics courses better?: using student-professor matched data for the principle of economics course Abstract: This study investigates the influences on student evaluation of teaching of the principle of economics course using the student-professor matched data, which combines students' course evaluations and professors' research performance. The results indicated that professors with better research performance, majored in applied rather than theoretical economics and using global standard textbooks received higher course evaluations than otherwise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 934-937 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:934-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Spillovers of macroeconomic uncertainty among major economies Abstract: Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector auto-regression, this article examines both average and time-varying spillovers of macroeconomic uncertainty across major economies since 1997 and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. We show that spillover effects of macroeconomic uncertainty across major economies display no trend but clear bursts and reach its respective peaks during the 2008 global financial crisis, which attests to the severity of the current episode. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 938-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:938-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John M. Amis Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Amis Author-Name: Andrew Hussey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hussey Author-Name: Albert A. Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert A. Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: Adolescent obesity, educational attainment and adult earnings Abstract: We estimate the effects of being obese during adolescence on the likelihood of high school graduation, post-secondary educational attainment and labour market earnings as an adult (over 13 years later). We use longitudinal data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health (Add Health), conducted by the Carolina Population Center of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. This is a nationally representative sample of students in grades 7 through 12 for the 1994-1995 first wave survey. Three subsequent waves of follow-up interviews occurred in 1996, 2001-2002 and finally in 2007-2008, when the sample was aged 25-31. Probit and linear regression models with a large set of controls (to minimize any bias that may result from omitting factors related to both adolescent obesity and adult outcomes) are fitted to carry out analyses separately by gender or racial groups. Pathological body weights are most notably present among males, blacks and Hispanics, suggesting possibility that diverging obesity effects may be found across race and gender groups. Unlike some prior research, we find no significant effects of adolescent obesity on high school graduation, but for some demographic groups, negative effects are found on college graduation and future income. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-950 Issue: 13 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.899666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.899666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:13:p:945-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Hvid Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Hvid Title: Agricultural rent-seeking in developing countries: an empirical investigation Abstract: Recent increases in demand for agricultural land has fuelled academic, as well as public, interest in the potential effects of high value agricultural land, particularly in developing countries. The dominating question seems to be: will increasing demand for agricultural land imply land grabbing or rural development? This article finds empirical support for a proposed theory which suggests that the extent of agricultural rent-seeking, in the form of large-scale land acquisitions, is determined by the relative political power of an elite and a farmer group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Bilbao-Ubillos Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Bilbao-Ubillos Author-Name: Ana-Isabel Fern�ndez-Sainz Author-X-Name-First: Ana-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Fern�ndez-Sainz Title: The impact of austerity policies in the Eurozone: fiscal multipliers and 'adjustment fatigue' Abstract: This article seeks to compare the significance of the links between fiscal policies and economic growth in the Eurozone before and after the imposition of adjustments on the countries bailed out, in an effort to estimate the scale of fiscal multipliers and to evaluate pro-cyclical or counter-cyclical orientation of the measures. The results of the regression serve to bear out the theoretical forecasts of those authors who warned of high fiscal multipliers in a context of recession, also characterized by a credit crunch, massive deleveraging in the private sector and near-zero interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-959 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:955-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loren W. Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren W. Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Are two heads better than one head in managing the family business? Abstract: The return to operator's labour and management in sole proprietorship firms and partnership firms is compared using matching samples to determine if multi-managed firms produce greater returns. Data were obtained from a farm business management program for the years 1998 through 2001. Managers in a parent-child partnership did not generate more returns than a sole proprietorship, but nonparent-child partnerships generated $36442 more labour and management income per manager per year than the sole proprietorship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 960-964 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:960-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Nihat Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: M. Nihat Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Author-Name: Nazmi Demir Author-X-Name-First: Nazmi Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Sentimental herding in Borsa Istanbul: informed versus uninformed Abstract: This study searches for sentimental herding in Borsa Istanbul (BIST) using a state-space model for two distinct groups of investors/traders. We expect to find no sentimental herding in BIST30 as the investors are closely following the market, given their access to maximum amount of information and high quality of guidance from the world-known intermediaries that reduce information asymmetries. However, as the SNM investors are mostly local investors with smaller assets and with higher level of information asymmetry, we expect to find evidence of sentimental herding. As expected, we find no evidence of herding by the BIST30 investors from 2000 to 2013. In contrast, our findings provide evidence that the SNM investors demonstrate sentimental herding persistently and independently from market fundamentals in three stages: evidence of herding in the first stage (2000-2004), a 4-year (2005-2008) no-herding calm period and finally a volatile adverse herding pattern (2009-2013) where fundamentals about the firm values became more important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Javier Ord��ez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ord��ez Title: Smooth transitions, asymmetric adjustment and unit roots Abstract: The aim of this article is to develop a unit root test that takes into account two sources of nonlinearites in data, i.e. asymmetric speed of mean reversion and structural changes. The asymmetric speed of mean reversion is modelled by means of a exponential smooth transition autoregression (ESTAR) function for the autoregressive parameter, whereas structural changes are approximated by a smooth transition in the deterministic components. We find that the proposed test performs well in terms of size and power, in particular when the autoregressive parameter is near unity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-972 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:969-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Russell Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Title: ARCH and structural breaks in United States inflation Abstract: United States Phillips curves are routinely estimated without accounting for the shifts in mean inflation. As a result, we may expect the standard estimates of Phillips curves to be biased and suffer from auto-regressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH). We demonstrate this is indeed the case. We also demonstrate that once the shifts in mean inflation are accounted for, the ARCH is largely eliminated in the estimated model and the model defining expected rate of inflation in the New Keynesian model plays no significant role in the dynamics of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-978 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:973-978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher A. Hartwell Author-X-Name-First: Christopher A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwell Title: Capitalism and (versus?) democracy: stock markets and democratization in transition Abstract: This article takes a look at the determinants of democracy in transition economies, with reference to the role of financial markets. Using three different proxies for financial market development, I find that stock exchanges appear to correlate with lower levels of democracy on average, although the most successful democracies also have the largest stock markets. Nonlinearities thus appear to exist in the relationship between financial markets and political institutions in transition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-983 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.902018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:979-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meredith Beechey Author-X-Name-First: Meredith Author-X-Name-Last: Beechey Author-Name: P�r Österholm Author-X-Name-First: P�r Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Policy interest-rate expectations in Sweden: a forecast evaluation Abstract: In this article, we evaluate two types of Swedish policy interest-rate expectations: survey expectations and expectations inferred from market pricing. The data are drawn from the most prominent survey of financial-market economists and from Swedish financial markets, and they are carefully matched by date to ensure comparability. Results show that both kinds of expectations suffer from bias and inefficiency, and in terms of forecast precision there is no clear winner. We do find, though, evidence that the forecast accuracy of both kinds of policy-rate expectations has improved since the Riksbank started publishing its own policy-rate forecast, suggesting that this communication strategy has been beneficial from a policy perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 984-991 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:984-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur J. Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur J. Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Title: Measuring the surplus of superficiality: the case of dented bumper repair Abstract: This article uses data from a survey administered to 400 automobile owners in northern Utah to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for removal of a superficial dent in the bumper of a typical owner's vehicle. A unique set of controls are used to estimate the determinants of WTP for this particular manifestation of superficiality. Both parametric and nonparametric measures of mean WTP are also derived. To the extent that a driver's demand for superficiality represents a market failure, e.g., due to imperfect information, or, in a normative sense, the influence of wasteful social norms, our welfare measures represent estimates of the potential social deadweight loss associated with the purchase of this particular good. In this case, potential social deadweight loss is defined as total surplus from the market for dented-bumper repair that remains 'untransferred' to markets for non-(or less)superficial goods. Best-guess estimates of the annual potential deadweight loss from dented-bumper repair in the US fall in the range of $122000 to $609000, depending upon the estimated number of superficially dented bumpers per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 992-996 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:992-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayesha Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Ayesha Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The effects of greenfield investment and M&As on domestic investment in developing countries Abstract: This article examines the effects of greenfield investment and M&As on domestic investment using panel data for 100 developing countries for the period 2003 to 2011. It is shown that while cross-border M&As do not have a significant effect on domestic investment, greenfield FDI has a large crowding-out effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1000 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:997-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subrata Kumar Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Nonlinear impact of rain on foodgrain production in India Abstract: Owing to a very high population and low land resources, the economic importance of crop production is very high in India. However, in the absence of adequate irrigation facility, crop production of the country largely depends on rainfall during monsoon months. I, therefore, analysed the impact of rainfall on crop production using the ARDL approach of Pesaran et al. (2001). As the impact of rain might have an asymmetric effect on crop production, I analysed such possibility using the nonlinear ARDL model proposed by Shin et al. (2013). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1005 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:1001-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurmas Akdoğan Author-X-Name-First: Kurmas Author-X-Name-Last: Akdoğan Title: Threshold adjustment in the current account: sustainability for danger zone economies? Abstract: We explore the presence of nonlinear adjustment behaviour in current accounts of 29 countries, using linear and nonlinear unit root tests. Our results suggest threshold adjustment in the current accounts of countries with relatively higher average current account deficits. Nonlinear mean reversion might be an indication of sustainability of the current account for these danger zone economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1006-1009 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:1006-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Sica Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Sica Author-Name: S. Sušnik Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sušnik Title: Geographical dimension and environmental Kuznets curve: the case of some less investigated air pollutants Abstract: The present article provides preliminary results about the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis in the Italian case for some less investigated air contaminants, such as benzene, sulphur hexafluoride and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). By using an emission data set disaggregated at the provincial level, it investigates whether the EKC is influenced by the geographical dimension, by splitting the national sample into four provincial subsets, according to the characteristics of the Italian productive system. Results suggest that southern provinces follow an EKC for the benzene and sulphur hexafluoride emissions, along with north-eastern provinces that follow a U-shaped trend for HFCs, thus providing evidence that geographical dimension significantly influences the relationship between income and pollutant emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1010-1016 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:1010-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos A. Medel Author-X-Name-First: Carlos A. Author-X-Name-Last: Medel Title: The typical spectral shape of an economic variable: a visual guide Abstract: Granger (1966) describes how the spectral shape of an economic variable concentrates spectral mass at low frequencies, declining smoothly as frequency increases. His empirical exercise focused on the evidence obtained from a handful of series. In this article, I focus on a broad range of economic variables to investigate their spectral shape. After performing several exercises, the results show that Granger's assertion holds more often than not. Especially fuzzy cases are those that exhibit some degree of transition to a different regime, as are those estimated with a very short bandwidth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1024 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.904486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:1017-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Duncan Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Duncan Title: Financial liberalization, low world interest rates and global imbalances: a note with a simple two-country model Abstract: We can understand the role of the liberalization of capital outflows on the global imbalances, the increasing share of US equities in foreign investors' portfolio and the decline in the world interest rate and the S&P dividend-price ratio, facts observed during the last three decades, when taxes on international asset holdings are reduced in a simple two-country model with costs of portfolio adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1029 Issue: 14 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:14:p:1025-1029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fousseini Traor� Author-X-Name-First: Fousseini Author-X-Name-Last: Traor� Title: Assessing the impact of China net imports on the world cotton price Abstract: China is the first cotton producer and importer in the world. This article investigates the impact its net imports have on the world cotton price. Using annual data from 1976 to 2009, the results show a strong positive and significant impact both in the short and in the long run. These findings are important as it helps policy makers and forecasters to improve the quality of their models. This work could also be extended to other commodity markets as China becomes a major player in the world economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1031-1035 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1031-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Durmus Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Durmus Author-X-Name-Last: Özdemir Title: Economic growth and financial liberalization in the EU accession countries Abstract: This article investigates the impact of financial liberalization on aggregate productivity growth. Based on a sample of the EU accession countries and using quarterly longitudinal panel data between 1995 and 2007, the static robust and dynamic panel data estimates indicate clear evidence of a link between the long-run growth and a number of indicators of financial liberalization. The empirical results illustrate that financial liberalization is negatively related to economic growth significantly. The results imply that higher levels of post-EU-membership growth are not caused by liberalized financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1036-1044 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1036-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: What do abnormal investor trading patterns around corporate mergers indicate? Further evidence from the Korean M&A market Abstract: This article examines the abnormal trading patterns by investor types around corporate mergers in the Korean financial market. Extending Han and Chung (2013), I investigate standardized abnormal net buy (SANB) of institutional and individual investors around both good and bad merger announcements based on unique daily trading data. I find that institutional investors abnormally buy (sell) their shares on a bidding firm before the announcement of a good (bad) merger, while individual investors abnormally sell (buy) the shares. I also find that institutional investors continue to abnormally buy (sell) their shares on a bidding firm even after the announcement of a good (bad) merger, while individual investors continue to abnormally sell (buy) the shares. Since good (bad) mergers exhibit positive (negative) cumulative abnormal returns around the announcement, the findings support the evidence of informed and/or sophisticated (uninformed and/or unsophisticated) trading by institutional (individual) investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1045-1049 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1045-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Author-Name: Thomas Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: The determinants of margins in French retail gasoline markets Abstract: When studying oligopolies, a tension exists between models supporting tacit collusion and those supporting the noncollusive behaviour of firms. Using a panel on retail fuel margins in France over more than 20years, we find mitigated evidence of collusive behaviour in the retail gasoline industry. On the one hand, we find lower margins when demand is expected to increase in the next period, which is a standard prediction for the noncooperative models. On the other hand, we also find evidence of tacit collusion as margins respond to input cost changes in the manner that the tacit collusion models predict: margins decline when the expected marginal cost increases. Our results leave open the question of collusion in the retail gasoline market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1050-1053 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1050-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: Event studies correcting for nonnormality using the wild bootstrap Abstract: We explore stock price effects following index additions to the Hang Seng Stock Index (HSI). Unlike previous event studies, we correct the critical values of the standard event study market model using a wild-bootstrap technique. Our findings show that after correcting for nonnormality, the stock price reaction associated with HSI index revisions ceases to exist. This demonstrates the importance of correcting event study methodology for nonnormality of residuals, when undertaking empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1054-1056 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1054-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Estimating the time-varying NAIRU and the Phillips curve slope simultaneously: a note Abstract: This article presents a new method for estimating the unobservable nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU). We improve upon the method employed in Ball and Mankiw (2002) so that (i) the new method can estimate simultaneously both the time-varying NAIRU and the Phillips curve slope and (ii) it can yield traditional constant NAIRU estimates as an extreme. As an empirical illustration, we estimate the time-varying US NAIRU with the moving block bootstrap confidence intervals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1057-1059 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1057-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Hee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Joocheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Joocheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Intra and offshore trade in the euro zone and trade imbalances Abstract: By examining trade imbalances using 40 countries including Euro-zone countries, we show that the trade imbalance has been exacerbated after joining the Euro zone for the member countries, and the intra trade has greater impact on the imbalance than the offshore trade. For the trade between northern countries and southern countries in the Euro-zone, the imbalance worsens after joining the Euro zone. The bilateral gaps in the government expenditure and the unemployment have significant effect. Excessive government expenditure leads to the increase in the trade imbalance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1060-1064 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1060-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Title: Did financial crisis alter the level of competition in the EMU banks? Abstract: The goal of this article is to empirically assess the level of competition in the European Monetary Union (EMU) banking sector. The empirical findings provide sufficient evidence in favour of a monopolistic competition regime. The industry structure of the banking sector seems to have been left unaltered after the adoption of the euro currency and the recent financial crisis with the estimated values of the H-statistic range between zero and unity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1069 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1065-1069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toby Huskinson Author-X-Name-First: Toby Author-X-Name-Last: Huskinson Author-Name: Robert Lawson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lawson Title: Clusters of economic freedom Abstract: This article uses K-means clustering to group countries using the information from the five areas of the Economic Freedom of the World (EFW) index. The resulting clusters of countries are similar but not identical to quartile groupings found using the overall EFW index. Simple comparisons of socio-economic outcomes along the one-dimensional EFW index yield different results compared with the multidimensional-based country clusters. In particular, social democratic market economies appear to outperform liberal market economies using these simple comparisons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1070-1074 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1070-1074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel A. Latorre Author-X-Name-First: Miguel A. Author-X-Name-Last: Latorre Author-Name: Bego�a Herrero Author-X-Name-First: Bego�a Author-X-Name-Last: Herrero Author-Name: Jos� E. Farin�s Author-X-Name-First: Jos� E. Author-X-Name-Last: Farin�s Title: Do acquirers' stock prices fully react to the acquisition announcement of listed versus unlisted target firms? Out-of-sample evidence from Spain Abstract: Previous results are ambiguous about whether prices fully reflect value creation or destruction at the time of the acquisition announcement when samples are split into listed and unlisted target firms. We find that the Spanish market fully reacts to the acquisition announcement (showing value creation only for unlisted target firm acquisitions), except for the smallest bidders of public targets since we find significant positive abnormal returns for a 24-month post-acquisition window. This evidence is consistent with investors extrapolating the performance of large acquirers of public firm to smaller ones and, therefore, only identifying value creation in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1078 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1075-1078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziemowit Bednarek Author-X-Name-First: Ziemowit Author-X-Name-Last: Bednarek Title: Predicting R&D investment with ex ante productivity Abstract: In this article I demonstrate the relationship between research and development expenditure and firm productivity. Using data envelopment, I construct a measure of the firm-level distance from the industry-wide productivity frontier. Firms ex ante further from the productivity frontier invest more in R&D. On average, a 1% larger distance from the frontier causes a 0.6% to 1.2% increase in the R&D intensity next quarter. The effect is statistically and economically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1082 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1079-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nino Speziale Author-X-Name-First: Nino Author-X-Name-Last: Speziale Title: Does unemployment increase crime? Evidence from Italian provinces Abstract: Criminality is one of the most worrying phenomena that affect economic development and social well-being. Authorities employ various schemes to prevent and discourage illegal behaviours. This article presents an analysis of the economic determinants of crime in Italy, with a special focus on unemployment effect on crime. Using a dynamic specification for the 103 Italian provinces over the period 2000 to 2005, results are in line with the predictions of the economic model of crime (Becker, 1968). The deterrence variables have the expected sign in all crime rates. The unemployment rates have a positive correlation with all crime rates. The juvenile unemployment rate shows a lower estimated coefficient than that of the overall unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1089 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1083-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aditya R. Khanal Author-X-Name-First: Aditya R. Author-X-Name-Last: Khanal Author-Name: Ashok K. Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok K. Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Is the 'buying winners and selling losers' trading strategy profitable in the New Economy? Abstract: Using recent US financial market data, this study tested whether relative strength trading strategy was profitable in two different sample periods (1990 to 2012 and 1965 to 2012). In contrast to the previous findings, our study finds no clear evidence for profitable zero-cost buy and hold strategy for 3- to 12-month periods for the period 1990 to 2012. However, we find few profitable zero-cost strategy for the period 1965 to 2012, but the returns are much smaller than previously reported. These findings may imply gain in market efficiency in the US financial markets in recent period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1090-1093 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1090-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Donaubauer Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Donaubauer Title: Does foreign aid really attract foreign investors? New evidence from panel cointegration Abstract: This article examines whether foreign aid contributes to attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) in aid receiving countries. Using both homogeneous and heterogeneous panel cointegration techniques, I find that the effect of foreign aid on FDI is negative. This is in contrast to previous studies that usually found a positive association between aid and FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1094-1098 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.909570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1094-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: On the interaction between government spending and economic performance in Sweden: an asymmetric approach Abstract: This article applies newly developed asymmetric impulse response functions and asymmetric variance decompositions to investigate the dynamic relationship between government spending and the GDP at constant prices in Sweden. The estimated results show that an innovation in the government spending does not lead to a significant response in the GDP regardless of whether or not the asymmetric property is taken into account in the estimation of the impulses. The asymmetric variance decompositions also provide support for this conclusion. This might support the view that the Ricardo equivalence theorem is valid in the case of Sweden. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1099-1103 Issue: 15 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1099-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P�r Österholm Author-X-Name-First: P�r Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Author-Name: P�r Stockhammar Author-X-Name-First: P�r Author-X-Name-Last: Stockhammar Title: The euro crisis and Swedish GDP growth - a study of spillovers Abstract: In this article, a Bayesian VAR model is used to study the effects of euro area shocks on GDP growth in the small open economy of Sweden. A novel feature is that the new policy uncertainty index of Baker et al. (2013) is introduced in the model. The model behaves well in terms of reasonable impulse response functions. The specific effects of the euro crisis is investigated through a historical decomposition which shows that shocks to euro area GDP growth have been a reasonably important factor for Swedish GDP growth, supporting it during 2010 and holding it back thereafter. Generally, shocks to policy uncertainty have held back Swedish GDP growth during the euro crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1105-1110 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1105-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hosin Song Author-X-Name-First: Hosin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Revisiting Aschauer via ICM estimation Abstract: In this article, the effect of public expenditure on consumers' welfare is considered by estimating the substitutability of public expenditure for private consumption in the context of Aschauer (1985). Aschauer's full information maximum likelihood estimation requires much more assumptions than the equilibrium condition of his model. Therefore, this study proposes an alternative estimation approach under a weaker condition, which is equivalent to the equilibrium condition of the model. In particular, I propose to use an integrated conditional moments estimation and apply the proposed estimation to US economy. The estimation results show that Aschauer's model specification is not rejected at conventional significance levels, even though substitutability of public expenditure for private consumption is not significantly different from zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1115 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1111-1115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mao Liang Li Author-X-Name-First: Mao Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chin Man Chui Author-X-Name-First: Chin Man Author-X-Name-Last: Chui Author-Name: Chang Qing Li Author-X-Name-First: Chang Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Is pairs trading profitable on China AH-share markets? Abstract: Using the daily data for 38 companies during the period of 2009-2013, this article examines the long-run equilibrium between the stock prices of firms dual listed on A-share market in China and H-share market in Hong Kong, and exploits the arbitrage opportunity for investors. We propose a simple self-financing trading strategy which is derived from the short-run disequilibrium price path. Our results demonstrate that cointegration and error-correction mechanism exist between the A-share and the H-share. In addition, our proposed trading strategy actually beats the markets and provides superior performance in terms of Sharp Ratio and value at risk statistics. Further analysis on international asset pricing model demonstrates that our trading strategy yields an average annualized excess return of about 17.6% when adjusted for the systematic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1116-1121 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1116-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Wei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Hsien-Hung Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Turning counterfeiting into advantage: the case of a durable good monopolist Abstract: This article argues that the presence of nondeceptive counterfeits may benefit the monopolist of genuine products in a durable good scenario. For a monopolist selling a durable good over time, the presence of counterfeits mitigates the monopolist's incentives to lower the price in later periods because lower valuation consumers are more likely to purchase the counterfeit. While the counterfeit diminishes the demand for the genuine product, we show that, under some circumstances, the presence of counterfeits may raise the price and boost the monopolist's profit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1122-1127 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1122-1127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard-Kitsabunnarat Author-X-Name-First: Pattanaporn Author-X-Name-Last: Chatjuthamard-Kitsabunnarat Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: Does religious piety inspire corporate social responsibility (CSR)? Evidence from historical religious identification Abstract: We explore the effect of religious piety on corporate social responsibility (CSR). Prior research links religion to honesty and risk aversion. Accordingly, religion induces managers to be more honest and likely view as opportunistic and unethical an exploitation of other stakeholders. Risk aversion also implies that managers are unlikely to take advantage of other stakeholders as stakeholders can take retaliatory actions against them. Religion therefore motivates managers to treat other stakeholders and the society at large more favourably, resulting in stronger CSR. Our evidence, based on over 17000 observations across 16 years, shows that religious piety leads to stronger CSR. However, this is the case only when religious piety is sufficiently strong, that is, when it is beyond a certain threshold. To draw a causal inference, we use as our instruments religious piety in the distant past, that is from 1971 to 1952. Religious piety from decades ago is unlikely correlated with current CSR, except through its impact on contemporaneous piety. Our instrumental-variable analysis shows that the effect of religion on CSR is likely causal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1128-1133 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.912032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1128-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guifeng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Guifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Li Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Product market competition and unemployment: a county-level analysis Abstract: By using a competition measure derived from the textual analysis of firms' 10-K filings, we examine the relationship between product market competition and the county-level unemployment. We find that unemployment is negatively related to product market competition pressure and the result is robust in additional tests. We also find that this relationship is strengthened in a good economy. Our findings are consistent with the previous theoretical prediction that competition can reduce unemployment. This article provides new evidence on the interactions between product markets and the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1134-1138 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1134-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Evans Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: Ji Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The spatial dynamics of growth and convergence in Korean regional incomes Abstract: We investigate whether the convergence hypothesis in 13 Korean regional economies for the period 1985 to 2011 exists allowing technological spillover and spatial interdependence. We use the spatial dynamic panel data approach including the spatial Durbin model. When we use the spatial lag model (SAM) with spatial fixed, we find that there is a positive spillover effect of growth among Korean regions and that convergence speed rate is faster than the model without spatial interdependence. However, when we use the SAM with time period fixed, or spatial fixed and time-period fixed effects, these results do not support convergence hypothesis of regional incomes. Therefore, we have to be careful to approach conclusion about convergence hypothesis in Korean regional incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1143 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1139-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stella Capuano Author-X-Name-First: Stella Author-X-Name-Last: Capuano Author-Name: Tat-kei Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tat-kei Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Hans-J�rg Schmerer Author-X-Name-First: Hans-J�rg Author-X-Name-Last: Schmerer Title: The US finance wage premium before and after the financial crisis: a decomposition exercise Abstract: Does the recent financial crisis change the wage structures of the US finance and nonfinance sectors? In this article, we study the wage gap between workers in these two sectors between 1990 and 2011. Using data from the Current Population Survey, we find that the finance wage premium increased over time and only dropped modestly during the crisis. Using the Oaxaca-Blinder method to decompose the wage gap into 'explained' and 'unexplained' parts, we also find that the wage gap was entirely driven by unexplained factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1144-1147 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1144-1147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viktor Manahov Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Manahov Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: The implications of high-frequency trading on market efficiency and price discovery Abstract: This study investigates the implications of high-frequency trading (HFT) on market efficiency and price discovery by using state-space models and real-life one-minute high-frequency data of the six most traded currency pairs worldwide - USD/EUR, USD/JPY, USD/GBP, USD/AUD, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. We found significant evidence that HFT enhances market efficiency and has a beneficial role in price discovery by trading in the direction of the permanent component of the state-space model and in the opposite direction of its transitory component. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1148-1151 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1148-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Kleykamp Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kleykamp Author-Name: Jer-Yuh Wan Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Unemployment and participation rates? Revisiting the US data Abstract: This article applies the method of Gonzalo and Pitarakis (2006) to investigate the relationship of unemployment and labour force participation in the United States. Empirical analysis indicates the long-run relationships between these two variables are regime dependent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1152-1155 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1152-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos F. Alves Author-X-Name-First: Carlos F. Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: Evidence for the seasonality of European equity fund performance Abstract: The literature provides broad evidence for the seasonality of stock market returns, but is very scarce regarding the potential seasonality of investment funds performance. Using a sample of 5349 Equity Europe or Equity Eurozone investment funds, this article contributes to fill this gap by providing evidence that investment funds globally exhibit higher performances in the first than in the second 6 months of the year, and that they exhibit negative abnormal performances in the first compared to the intermediate and final months of each quarter. Finally, the article reports a summer holiday effect, such that investment funds outperform negatively in August compared to the other intermediate months of the quarter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1156-1160 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1156-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Kautonen Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kautonen Author-Name: M. Minniti Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Minniti Title: 'Fifty is the new thirty': ageing well and start-up activities Abstract: This article examines the impact of ageing well on the employment behaviour of ageing workers. We focus on start-up activities because doing so circumvents potential constraints on labour market participation imposed by statutory retirement and employer practices. Using Finnish survey data, we find a positive and significant relationship between ageing well and the likelihood of engaging in start-up activities for individuals in their late forties and throughout their fifties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1164 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1161-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Anders Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Anders Author-Name: Kurt William Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt William Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: Is home-field advantage driven by the fans? Evidence from across the ocean Abstract: Some have claimed that referee and home-field bias in football (American soccer) have been impacted by the fans at the match. When fans are hostile, the threat referees feel to their health and well-being influences their ability to call a fair match. We analyse two leagues with differing fan types: one 'hostile' league (Germany's Bundesliga) and one league perceived as 'peaceful' (America's Major League Soccer). Although there is a strong home-field bias inherent in football, we find evidence that part of the bias is due to the prospect of fan violence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1168 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.914139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.914139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1165-1168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmelo J. Le�n Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Le�n Author-Name: Jorge E. Arana Author-X-Name-First: Jorge E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arana Author-Name: Anastasia Hern�ndez Alem�n Author-X-Name-First: Anastasia Author-X-Name-Last: Hern�ndez Alem�n Title: CO2 Emissions and tourism in developed and less developed countries Abstract: Tourism is a major contributor to CO2 emissions and therefore to climate change. In this article, we look at the relationships between CO2 emissions and tourism in the context of both developed and less developed countries. We utilize a STIRPAT approach applied to a balanced panel data of developed and less developed countries for the period from 1998 to 2006. The results show that tourism contributes significantly to CO2 emissions in both less developed and developed countries. However, the impact in developed countries is larger than in less developed countries. Tourism should find sustainable development paths involving less CO2 emissions in the production and consumption of tourist services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1169-1173 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1169-1173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Author-Name: Hiroyuki Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Long-term consequences of birth in an 'unlucky' year: evidence from Japanese women born in 1966 Abstract: This article explores the long-term consequence of a prevailing superstition regarding women who were born in 1966, a year of the fire horse, who were around 44 years of age in 2010. The findings indicate that 'fire horse women' are disadvantaged in some aspects such as divorce rates, educational attainment and their own and household level income, suggesting discrimination against fire horse women as a result of the superstition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1174-1178 Issue: 16 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:16:p:1174-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud Author-X-Name-First: Siti Nurazira Mohd Author-X-Name-Last: Daud Author-Name: Jan Podivinsky Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Podivinsky Title: Government debt and economic growth in Malaysia: the role of institutional quality Abstract: We examine the role of economic freedom in the debt-growth model. There is evidence of the contingency effect of institutional quality on the relationship between government debt and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1183 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1179-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Title: The relationship between financial asset returns and the well-being of US households Abstract: This note considers the effect of changes on the well-being of US residents owing to changes in the value of various financial assets. Ordinary least squares estimates reveal that equity market returns have a significant and asymmetric, impact on the well-being. This result is likely the result of a wealth effect whereby rising (falling) stock markets increase (decrease) the ability to meet basic needs and this contributes to a shifting assessment of life-situation and overall well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1184-1188 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1184-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xulia Gonz�lez Author-X-Name-First: Xulia Author-X-Name-Last: Gonz�lez Author-Name: Daniel Miles-Touya Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Miles-Touya Title: Admission policies and immigrant skills Abstract: It is often argued that stricter immigration policies have a positive selection effect on immigration from the perspective of the host country, as it makes migration less attractive for less-skilled individuals. However, there is relatively little evidence confirming this argument. The aim of this letter is to analyse how the change of the European immigration policy in 2002 and 2003 with regard to Colombia and Ecuador citizens affected the sorting of immigrants arriving to Spain. Our findings suggest that following the imposition of visa requirements for immigrants from Colombia and Ecuador, the proportion of the least-skilled emigrants diminished while the proportion of most-skilled immigrants to Spain from these two countries increased with respect to those migrating to the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1193 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1189-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Real Arai Author-X-Name-First: Real Author-X-Name-Last: Arai Author-Name: Masahiko Nakazawa Author-X-Name-First: Masahiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nakazawa Title: A numerical analysis of Japan's fiscal sustainability in a simple OLG model Abstract: We investigate the size of primary balance that can be sustained and the change in public debt and physical capital under transition dynamics in the Japanese economy. For our investigation, we construct a simple overlapping generations model. We find that a large primary surplus, 13.8-18.7% of GDP, is needed to prevent the public debt-to-GDP ratio from diverging infinitely. We also show that even if the large primary surplus can be maintained, the Japanese economy faces a sharp reduction in physical capital from 191 to 70.0% of GDP on the transition path. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1194-1197 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1194-1197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Causality for the government budget and economic growth Abstract: We use a panel of 155 countries for the period 1970 to 2010 to study the (two-way) causality between government spending, revenue and growth. Our results suggest the existence of weak evidence supporting causality from expenditures or revenues to GDP per capita and provide evidence supporting Wagner's law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1198-1201 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1198-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary A. Silles Author-X-Name-First: Mary A. Author-X-Name-Last: Silles Title: The impact of children on marital stability in the United Kingdom Abstract: We examine the effect of fertility on marital stability in the UK using twin births and sex composition to tackle the endogeneity of family size. For women with children younger than age 12, we find little evidence that family size affects the probability of marital dissolution. For women with children at least 12 years or older, we do find evidence of a causal effect of children, but that this effect depends on how family size is increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1202-1205 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1202-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Rueilin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Rueilin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jung-Fang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Wei-Yu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Default probability anomalies in the momentum strategies Abstract: This study examines the usefulness of default probability (DP) in explaining momentum profits. We follow Merton (1974) in computing the DP and then follow Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) in conducting default momentum investing. We consider emerging Taiwanese stock market and divide its stocks into three DP groups. Our findings show that adding DP to momentum investing leads to an increase in momentum profits, suggesting that momentum pay-off increases as DP increases. Moreover, a significant and positive momentum profit of buying winners in the high-DP group and selling losers in the low-DP group is observed, implying that DP anomalies exit in momentum strategies. These findings shed light on the source of profitability of momentum strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1206-1209 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1206-1209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Author-Name: Tore Sandven Author-X-Name-First: Tore Author-X-Name-Last: Sandven Title: Marked for life? On researcher involvement at infancy and the innovative capabilities of survivor firms Abstract: This article investigates the marks left on the innovative capabilities of Norwegian firms by science system researchers engaged during their infancy, i.e. during the first year of operation. The analysis is based on Community Innovation Survey (CIS) data gathered in 2010. Using additional information generated from linked employer-employee registers, firms in the CIS sample that were established in the 2001 to 2010 period are identified, as is the background of the individuals involved. Subsequent regressions find that researcher participation during infancy is positively and significantly associated with successful innovation activity reported in CIS2010. Estimates are robust to the inclusion of fine-grained sector controls and variables capturing age and size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1210-1213 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1210-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Title: Reaction to nonscheduled news during financial crisis: Australian evidence Abstract: News analytics software applies linguistic algorithms to newswire releases in order to assign a sentiment score; this allows users to comprehend the unstructured data flowing through newswires. I examine the market reaction of leading Australian stocks to stock-specific news flow during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. A high-frequency VAR model with GARCH effects modelled through a VECH(1,1) specification is utilized. I find a significant market impact induced by contemporaneous news items, a significant and positive relationship between volume and volatility, an increase in bid-ask spreads following periods of increased volatility, and evidence of volatility persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1214-1220 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1214-1220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Galera Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Galera Author-Name: Pedro Mendi Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendi Author-Name: Juan Carlos Molero Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Molero Title: Unit taxes and ad valorem taxes with vertically differentiated products Abstract: This article analyses a model in which a local monopolist that produces low-quality goods competes against a foreign competitive industry that produces a higher quality version of the goods. We use the model to analyse the welfare implications of introducing a unit tax on the local producer, relative to an ad valorem tax. We find parameter values for which the unit tax dominates the ad valorem tax, in the sense of increasing welfare while not reducing government revenues. This result contrasts with the mainstream results on the dominance of ad valorem over unit taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1221-1225 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1221-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell S. Sobel Author-X-Name-First: Russell S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobel Title: The elephant in the room: why some states are refusing to expand Medicaid Abstract: After the US Supreme Court overturned the Affordable Care Act's mandate that states expand Medicaid, roughly half the states have declined to expand. Declining states blame the high state budgetary cost. While these states do have significantly higher expansion costs, they are also significantly more likely to have Republican Party control of the legislature and governor office. Statistical inquiry confirms that after controlling for costs, it is indeed political party control, particularly of the lower chamber of the state legislature that is the most important statistical determinant of state Medicaid expansion decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1226-1229 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1226-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp H�hne Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: H�hne Author-Name: Birgit Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Birgit Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Title: Does Aid for Trade from the North promote South-South trade? Abstract: Our empirical estimations indicate that Aid for Trade (AfT) granted by OECD donors strengthens the trade relations of recipient countries with other developing countries. By focusing on South-South trade, we mitigate endogeneity concerns that have plagued analyses of trade between recipients and donors of AfT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1230-1233 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1230-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niclas Berggren Author-X-Name-First: Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Berggren Author-Name: Therese Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Market institutions bring tolerance, especially where there is social trust Abstract: Tolerant societies seem to function better than nontolerant societies both economically and socially. This makes it worthwhile to identify ways to stimulate tolerance. While previous research indicates that market-oriented formal institutions and policies offer such stimulus, it does not investigate what role cultural factors, like social trust, plays. We find that trust is a catalyst: The more there is, the more positive the effect of economic freedom on tolerance. Formal institutions hence interact with the culture of a society and work better as generators of tolerance in alignment with trust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1237 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1234-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphaël Homayoun Boroumand Author-X-Name-First: Raphaël Homayoun Author-X-Name-Last: Boroumand Author-Name: Stephane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Author-Name: Thomas Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: Correlation evidence in the dynamics of agricultural commodity prices Abstract: The article studies the correlation structures of a large panel of agricultural commodities prices between January 1990 and February 2014. We use a various collection of mathematical and statistical methodologies (estimated correlation matrix and principal component analysis) to capture these correlations. Our results show that there exist different degrees of correlation between commodities. We also demonstrate, through data mining analysis, that there are hidden correlations between some commodities. Indeed, some commodities' price behaviours are very similar in trend. Our results contribute to a better understanding of agricultural prices' behaviours by producers, investors and market intermediaries. The results contribute to a more efficient strategic asset allocation process within agricultural markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1242 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1238-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carole Toque Author-X-Name-First: Carole Author-X-Name-Last: Toque Author-Name: Virginie Terraza Author-X-Name-First: Virginie Author-X-Name-Last: Terraza Title: Histogram-valued data on value at risk measures: a symbolic approach for risk attribution Abstract: In this article, we develop the concept of histogram-valued data on value at risk for the classification of hedge fund risk. By using recent developments in data mining, it is a question of the classification of heterogeneous data in order to sort hedge funds by risk class. In practical terms, risk levels relative to measures of histogram-valued data on VaR are calculated as an aid to decision-making. The empirical study was carried out on 1023 HFR-based hedge funds, where we had estimated monthly ARMA-GARCH or asymmetric GARCH VaR and CVaR measures between 01 January 2003 and 31 December 2008. We identify two sub-periods: from 2003 to 2005, and from 2006 to 2008 in order to identify a recovery period after the 2001-2002 crisis and the impact of the 2007-2008 crisis. First, the symbolic approach allows us to construct the measures of histogram-valued data on VaR by optimizing the definition of categories. A symbolic principal component analysis shows that the indices coming from the VaR of the GARCH and asymmetrical GARCH are the most pertinent. Second, we apply a criterion of inter-class inertia and retain a partitioning of hedge funds into three classes by dynamic K-means cluster analysis. For each of our sub-periods and for each class, a risk level is defined on the basis of the categories of the most discriminating variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1251 Issue: 17 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:17:p:1243-1251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pavlo Buryi Author-X-Name-First: Pavlo Author-X-Name-Last: Buryi Author-Name: Scott Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: Effects of college education on demonstrated happiness in the United States Abstract: Among the many documented benefits of a college education is a higher level of self-reported happiness. The present work considers instead the level of demonstrated happiness and unhappiness within groups, the latter proxied by the conditional probability of suicide within groups having a college education and those without. Those with college are not happier for it, in these terms, and actually have slightly higher rates of suicide than those without college, based on a recent US data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1256 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1253-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junyeup Kim Author-X-Name-First: Junyeup Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jaeram Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaeram Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: The impact of monetary policy on banking and finance stock prices in China Abstract: In this study, we examine the impacts of changes to the required reserve ratio (RRR) on banking and finance stock prices in China from 2007 to 2012 using multiple variance ratio tests and vector error correction models. The efficient market hypothesis is rejected during the earlier increases in required reserve ratio (2007-2008) in the Shanghai A-market, and A-share prices negatively respond to increases in RRR. In contrast, both Shanghai A- and Hong Kong H-markets are efficient, and negative effects of RRR are not clearly observed during periods of stable RRR (2009-2010) and during a recent increase in RRR (2010-2012). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1257-1261 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1257-1261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam T. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Adam T. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Mathew W. Snyder Author-X-Name-First: Mathew W. Author-X-Name-Last: Snyder Title: Federal Reserve independence: the Fed Funds Rate under different regimes Abstract: The independence of central banks is an important feature of a properly functioning and stable monetary system. The structure of the Federal Reserve is designed to minimize political influence and insulate policy makers from political pressure. Nevertheless, members of the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee are members of society and informed about public opinion, potentially opening them to political bias, even if unintentional. This article uses a Taylor rule structure to examine changes in the Fed's reaction function to unemployment and inflation under different political administrations and chairman. Preliminary results show that the Fed is more responsive to the output gap under Republican presidential administrations and sets the Federal Funds Rate at a lower level under Republican administrations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1262-1265 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1262-1265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henning Finseraas Author-X-Name-First: Henning Author-X-Name-Last: Finseraas Author-Name: Niklas Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Title: Does a simple information intervention change the perception of a reform? Abstract: We present the results of a survey experiment where the respondents were randomly assigned the opportunity to read an information brochure regarding recently implemented changes in the Norwegian pension system. We find that those given the opportunity to read the information material are more likely to believe that the reform has made the pension system easier to understand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1266-1268 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1266-1268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. E. Blose Author-X-Name-First: L. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Blose Author-Name: V. Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Title: Overnight gold returns Abstract: Overnight returns on the COMEX gold front month contract are significantly positive, whereas day returns are significantly negative (1985 through 2012). Similarly, overnight returns on the SPDR Gold Shares exchange traded fund are significantly greater than day returns. The asymmetry has weakened substantially over the years, but it is still present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1269-1272 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1269-1272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Crawley Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Crawley Title: The relationship between commuting time and workers' utility Abstract: Numerous studies have looked at the multitude of aspects affecting the utility workers gain from their job. Within these studies, a common proxy for utility is job satisfaction, measured as a self-reported score. A variable often neglected within this research has been commuting time and modes of transport. This article utilizes a unique survey conducted in a UK city region and analyses the effect of commuting time and mode of transport on self-reported job satisfaction. Two cohorts of respondents are constructed based upon income levels, thus establishing the offsetting effect of income on commute. The study finds that commuting time has a negative effect on the utility of workers. However, the effect is found to be income dependent, with those earning the most having no negative effect from commuting time. Using a number of modes of transport is found to not have an effect on the utility of workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1276 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1273-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew S. Hanks Author-X-Name-First: Andrew S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanks Author-Name: Kevin M. Kniffin Author-X-Name-First: Kevin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kniffin Title: Early career PhD salaries: the industry premium and interdisciplinary debate Abstract: Despite the fact that earning the PhD in any given field requires clear investments, the individual returns for such commitments have not been closely studied. This article utilizes data from the Survey of Earned Doctorates to address three questions concerning the salaries earned by recent PhD recipients. We find that (1) industry salaries are significantly higher than other employment sectors and (2) salaries for people who complete interdisciplinary dissertations appear to show - with some noted exceptions - neither a premium nor a penalty when interacted with employment sector and discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1282 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1277-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity in 34 OECD countries: sequential panel selection method Abstract: Since introduction of unit roots, researchers have tried to solve the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle or its failure by testing for stationarity of the real exchange rates. Failure to support the PPP is mostly said to be due to low power of these tests. Panel unit root testing is more prevalent due to at least increased size of the sample and relatively more power of the tests. Within the panel, since some rates could be stationary and some nonstationary, Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) should be used to distinguish the series. Furthermore, since some series could suffer from unknown structural break, the SPSM should be supplemented with Fourier function. We apply these proposed procedures to real effective exchange rate data from 34 OECD countries from January 1994 to June 2012. We find that the PPP is supported in most members of the panel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1283-1287 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.923553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.923553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1283-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: Momentum, sovereign credit ratings and global equity markets Abstract: This article investigates the link between momentum-based trading strategies implemented in global equity markets and country-specific credit ratings. The findings indicate that only the momentum strategy based on intermediate past returns generate statistically significant profits. Notably, the winner portfolios exhibit a higher average credit rating than the other portfolio groups. Surprisingly, neither global asset pricing models nor a conducted world credit risk factor can explain these profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1288-1292 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.922662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.922662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1288-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claire Bonnard Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnard Author-Name: Jean-Fran�ois Giret Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Fran�ois Author-X-Name-Last: Giret Author-Name: Marielle Lambert-Le Mener Author-X-Name-First: Marielle Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert-Le Mener Title: Educational intentions, cognitive skills and earnings expectations of French undergraduates Abstract: This article aims to study the earnings expectations of first-year students at a French university. Our findings highlight the importance of the environment in which students make their choices about education. Expected earnings are proportionally higher when their parents seem to be involved in the careers guidance, taking into account the effect of parental socio-economic status. The positive opinion of parents about the orientation or the connection between the discipline and the father's occupation are generally associated with higher earnings. In addition, our results show a strong impact of cognitive variables which are far more significant than variables relating to past educational performances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1296 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1293-1296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Alexander Ludwig Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Ludwig Title: The export-led growth hypothesis for India: examining causality by a new approach in the time-frequency domain Abstract: The literature on the relationship between export and growth is inconsistent in its conclusions regarding the direction of causality. Most recent contributions argue that inconclusive results among studies are likely to be related to the instability of causal relationships over time or over frequencies. To unify these two aspects in one approach, we compute a time-varying Diebold-Yilmaz (2012) spillover measure for the relationship between output and growth at different frequency scales which are obtained from discrete wavelet transforms. Our results confirm the time and scale dependence of causalities between export and output growth in India in the period 1960 to 2011. This new methodological approach can also be applied to systems of more than two variables and thus shows an avenue to modelling the time and scale dependence of causalities between many other economic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1297-1301 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1297-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Hauner Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hauner Author-Name: J. Lee Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: H. Takizawa Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Takizawa Title: In which exchange rate models do forecasters trust? Abstract: Using survey data of market expectations, we describe which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated with inflation differentials and productivity differentials, indicating that the relative PPP and the Balassa-Samuelson effect are common inputs into the expectation formation of market forecasters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1302-1308 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.804158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.804158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1302-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarko Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jarko Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Author-Name: Iikka Korhonen Author-X-Name-First: Iikka Author-X-Name-Last: Korhonen Author-Name: Jitka Poměnkov� Author-X-Name-First: Jitka Author-X-Name-Last: Poměnkov� Title: Wavelet spectrum analysis of business cycles of China and G7 countries Abstract: We employ a wavelet spectrum analysis to study globalization and business cycles in China and G7 countries. The co-movement synchronization between G7 countries and China is shown to have undergone frequent and large changes during our sample period. The co-movements for business-cycle frequencies are generally different from those for other frequencies. We find a significant relationship between the time-varying wavelet measure of synchronization and trade only for business-cycle frequencies. The co-movements at longer frequencies are negatively related to trade, so that the overall co-movements and trade tend not to be significantly related. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1309-1313 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1309-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Garc�a-Bernal Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Garc�a-Bernal Title: The Bertrand solution revisited: strategic price setting Abstract: The industrial organization literature typically uses different models of strategic interaction to represent different degrees of competitive intensity. The current work shows how the Bertrand solution can converge towards the Cournot solution by modelling the presence of firms' strategic behaviours during the process of mutual price adjustment that takes place until the equilibrium solution is reached. Specifically, the results of this work show how price competition between firms can lead to an equilibrium solution with a lower competitive intensity than initially expected. The author illustrates this process using a concrete example. Introducing the concept of rational altruism, the author shows how firms can have an incentive to strategically modify their reaction functions and, as a consequence, to increase their prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1314-1318 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1314-1318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yves Surry Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Surry Author-Name: Konstantinos Galanopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Galanopoulos Title: A random matrix theory approach to test for agricultural productivity convergence Abstract: Originating from multivariate statistics, random matrix theory (RMT) is used in order to test whether the elements of an empirical correlation coefficient matrix are noise dominated or contain true information. In this article, an attempt is made to apply the properties of RMT in macroeconomic time series data, by investigating the degree of convergence in agricultural labour productivity growth among a set of 32 European and Middle East and North Africa countries. Once the distribution of the eigenvalues of the empirical correlation matrix is found to differ from that of a pure random matrix, data are further analysed by means of hierarchical clustering techniques which allow for the creation of data clusters with common properties. This two-step procedure is an alternate means for club convergence tests, while some sensitivity analysis tests indicate an acceptable level of robustness of the proposed methodology even in small sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1323 Issue: 18 Volume: 21 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.806781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.806781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:18:p:1319-1323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wendy K. Tam Cho Author-X-Name-First: Wendy K. Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Cho Author-Name: George Judge Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: An information theoretic approach to network tomography Abstract: In this article, we formulate an information theoretic approach to information recovery for a network flow transportation problem as an ill-posed inverse problem and use nonparametric information theoretic methods to recover the unknown adaptive-intelligent behaviour traffic flows. We indicate how, in general, information theoretic methods may provide a solution to the ill-posed inverse information flow problems, when a function must be inferred from insufficient sample information. As an application, we examine a data set which comprised traffic volumes at Bell Labs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.866199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.866199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yao-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yuh-Ju Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Ju Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Ker-Tah Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ker-Tah Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Keng-Shen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Keng-Shen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yu-Der Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Der Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Universal pension scheme and risk-taking Abstract: This article examines whether the existence of a universal pension scheme has any effect on a typical individual's willingness to take risks at a young age. The pension system will give the individual who is assumed to live for two periods a fixed amount in the second period regardless of his initial choice between certain and uncertain income patterns. It is found that with a grant in place for everyone after retirement that satisfies the basic need of consumption in any part of life where the typical individual is more risk-averse, he will always accept the risky projects that at least make him indifferent between sure incomes and uncertain profits in the first period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.881965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.881965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:7-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeroen Ruijg Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Ruijg Author-Name: Hans van Ophem Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: van Ophem Title: Determinants of football transfers Abstract: The analysis of football transfers is hampered by selectivity bias. In most empirical estimations, simple regression is used and selectivity is ignored. In this article we propose an estimation method that corrects for sample selectivity and allows the use of more observations in a simple manner. The ordered probit estimates point in a similar direction as the estimates from commonly applied estimation techniques but the significance is higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.892192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.892192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:12-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zouha�er M'Chirgui Author-X-Name-First: Zouha�er Author-X-Name-Last: M'Chirgui Title: Determinants of success in setting standards coalition: empirical evidence from the standard war of the blue laser DVDs Abstract: This article examines what determines the success of a standard coalition. We test empirically for network effect, experience effect, and industrial and geographical relatedness in the Blu-ray versus HD-DVD standard war. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 20-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.894624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.894624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:20-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Detailed decompositions in nonlinear models Abstract: We propose a new approach for performing detailed decompositions of average outcome differentials when outcome models are nonlinear. The method can be flexibly applied to all generalized linear models, which are widely used in empirical research. The advantage over other approaches in the literature is that the effects of group-specific differences in covariate distributions are taken into account. At the same time, desirable features such as path independence are still satisfied. A simulation exercise demonstrates that our decomposition method produces more convincing results than existing methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.907469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Baek Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: M. Elbeck Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elbeck Title: Bitcoins as an investment or speculative vehicle? A first look Abstract: We use Bitcoin and S&P 500 Index daily return data to examine relative volatility using detrended ratios. We then model Bitcoin market returns with selected economic variables to study the drivers of Bitcoin market returns. We report strong evidence to suggest that Bitcoin volatility is internally (buyer and seller) driven leading to the conclusion that the Bitcoin market is highly speculative at present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 30-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.916379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.916379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:30-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Sile Li Author-X-Name-First: Sile Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: What precious metals act as safe havens, and when? Some US evidence Abstract: Gold's role as a safe haven asset has been intensively studied in recent years. This article extends the previous literature and examines the safe haven properties of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium) in a time-varying manner. Results from the United States show that during some periods of time silver, platinum and palladium act as a safe haven when gold does not. We also provide evidence as to the strength of the safe haven, with a finding that at times gold is not the strongest, safest, haven. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.920471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.920471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:35-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Marian Risse Author-X-Name-First: Marian Author-X-Name-Last: Risse Author-Name: Sebastian Rohloff Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Rohloff Title: Forecasting gold-price fluctuations: a real-time boosting approach Abstract: We use a real-time boosting approach to study the time-varying out-of-sample informational content of various predictor variables (inflation rate, exchange-rate fluctuations, stock market returns and interest rates) for forecasting gold-price fluctuations. While the predictor variables have predictive power, the economic value added of forecasts does not suffice to leverage the performance of a simple trading rule above the performance of a buy-and-hold strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 46-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:46-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Ma�ãs Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Ma�ãs Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Z�lia Serrasqueiro Author-X-Name-First: Z�lia Author-X-Name-Last: Serrasqueiro Title: Profitability determinants of Portuguese knowledge-intensive business services: empirical evidence using panel data models Abstract: This article studies the profitability determinants of knowledge-intensive business services (KIBS). To do so, we consider a sample of 187 Portuguese KIBS for the period 2002 to 2009, using dynamic panel estimators as estimation method. The results indicate that size, age, liquidity, long-term debt and R&D expenditure are determinants stimulating the profitability of Portuguese KIBS, with risk being a restrictive determinant. In addition, profitability is found to be persistent over time. The empirical evidence lets us make important suggestions for political decision-makers and the owners/managers of Portuguese KIBS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:51-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenhua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kingsley E. Haynes Author-X-Name-First: Kingsley E. Author-X-Name-Last: Haynes Title: Impact of high-speed rail on international tourism demand in China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the Chinese high-speed rail (HSR) systems on its international tourism demand. A panel data set of 21 countries over the period 1997 to 2012 is analysed using dynamic panel modeling following the classical tourism demand model. The empirical examination confirms the overall impact of HSR is positive, but the small elasticity of HSR station on international tourism demand may imply the negligible influence of the large number of small HSR stations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:57-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Author-Name: D. Bond Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: E. Ramsey Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramsey Title: Northern Ireland's property market bubble: a preliminary analysis Abstract: This article applies a recursive regression technique developed by Phillips and Yu (2011) to examine recent property market movements in both the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland in the context of an asset market bubble. This technique, which interprets explosiveness in the price series as evidence of the existence of a bubble, provides a method for identifying not only bubble behaviour but also a dating mechanism. Statistically significant bubble characteristics are identified in both series. For the Republic of Ireland, a prolonged period of explosiveness is detected ranging from 1996Q2 to 2007Q2. Interestingly, the explosiveness is stronger in the late 1990s and early 2000s. For Northern Ireland, the analysis identifies a short yet intense bubble when the market in the Republic had matured, extending from 2005Q3 to 2009Q1 and reaching a peak in 2007Q2. These results taken together indicate the possibility of a spillover effect between the two regions; however, further research to investigate this possibility is necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-65 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.925044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.925044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:61-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Balios Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Balios Author-Name: N. Eriotis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Eriotis Author-Name: S. Missiakoulis Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Missiakoulis Author-Name: D. Vasiliou Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Vasiliou Title: Delisted versus voluntary delisted versus remain listed: an ordered analysis Abstract: Public companies were classified according to whether they remain public or they have been delisted voluntarily or not. Proxy variables were separated according to accounting and/or market information and an ordered polytomous logit model was then applied in order to estimate the probability of delisting. Companies with poor liquidity, high leverage, big stock price decline and lack of interest from investors' point of view (low trading activity) have higher probability to be delisted, voluntarily or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 66-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927559 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:66-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner B�nte Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: B�nte Title: Gender differences in competitive preferences: new cross-country empirical evidence Abstract: This article provides new empirical evidence on gender differences in competitive preferences using a representative data set of more than 25 000 individuals from 36 countries. The empirical results show that the gender differences in competitive preferences are statistically significant in almost all countries, with women having, on average, a lower preference for competitive situations than men. Although relatively substantial in most countries, the magnitude of gender differences varies considerably between countries. Results of a regression analysis suggest that the gender differences persist even when controlling for a number of potentially relevant variables. Furthermore, gender differences among adult men and women are hardly affected by the stage of life cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:71-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Howley Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Howley Title: Addressing endogeneity in estimating the effect of social capital on psychological health Abstract: This study examines the relationship between social capital and psychological health. Endogeneity concerns are addressed through the development of a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) model. I provide robust evidence that levels of social trust and support from friends significantly affect self-reported psychological health. Estimates obtained relating to the effect of these variables using the 2SRI method as well as two-stage least squares greatly exceed those obtained through standard ordered logit and OLS models. This illustrates the importance of controlling for endogeneity bias in any future studies of the relationship between social capital and psychological health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 76-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:76-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas A. Jolly Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jolly Title: Revenue sharing and within-team payroll inequality in Major League Baseball Abstract: Using data from the 2000 to 2012 Major League Baseball seasons, this article investigates how changes to revenue sharing in the 2007 collective bargaining agreement altered within-team payroll inequality. Results indicate that inequality within teams decreased after the 2007 bargaining agreement. This reduced inequity is concentrated among those teams that were already experiencing relatively higher levels of inequality. This indicates that changes to revenue sharing should help increase competitive balance within the league. Additionally, the reduction in inequality occurs only among hitters and not pitchers. These results highlight how collective bargaining can have heterogeneous effects on groups of workers despite there being no requirement of differential treatment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:80-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weidong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Weidong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Weijun Xu Author-X-Name-First: Weijun Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Weilin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Weilin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Pricing black-scholes options with correlated credit risk and jump risk Abstract: This article follows the framework of Klein (1996) to present an improved method of pricing vulnerable options under jump diffusion assumptions about the underlying stock prices and firm values which are appropriate in many business situations. In contrast to Klein's (1996) model, jumps allow not only for sudden changes in stock prices and firm values, but also for a firm to default instantaneously because of an unexpected drop in its value. Therefore, our model is able to provide sufficient conceptual insights about the economic mechanism of vulnerable option pricing. In particular, an analytical pricing formula for vulnerable European options under jump diffusion model is derived. The numerical results show that a jump occurrence in firm values can increase the likelihood of default and reduce the vulnerable option prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-93 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2013.875098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:87-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaitlyn Harger Author-X-Name-First: Kaitlyn Author-X-Name-Last: Harger Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Obedience and income levels Abstract: We revisit the relationship between informal institutions and income levels. The empirical literature on institutions finds that indices of 'informal institutions' such as trust, respect, respect, self-determination and obedience are more important than 'formal institutions' such as constitutional constraints in explaining income levels across countries. We add to this literature in two ways. First, we separate out the index of informal institutions into its component parts to see which informal institutions are primary. Second, we construct two new measures of obedience to test the robustness of obedience. Our reduced-form results indicate the primacy of obedience over other informal institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 94-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:94-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esther C�ceres Author-X-Name-First: Esther Author-X-Name-Last: C�ceres Author-Name: David Moreno Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Rosa Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr�guez Title: A study on short-selling constraints: total ban versus partial ban Abstract: This article analyses the effect of short-selling constraints on market volatility. Between 2011 and 2012, two different types of short-sale bans were imposed on the Spanish stock market: first, a partial ban on financial companies, and later, a total ban affecting all stocks. Using panel data and different measures of risk, we study whether both types of constraints were effective in reducing market volatility or whether there were differences between them. Our results show evidence that market volatility was reduced under both types of bans, with a more powerful effect observed under the total ban. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-103 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:99-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: How do powerful CEOs view corporate risk-taking? Evidence from the CEO pay slice (CPS) Abstract: We explore the role of powerful CEOs on the extent of risk-taking, using Bebchuk, Cremers and Peyer's (2011) CEO pay slice (CPS). Based on more than 12,000 observations over 20 years (1992-2012), our results reveal a nonmonotonic association. In particular, relatively less powerful CEOs exhibit risk aversion, resulting in less risky strategies. However, when the CEO has his power consolidated beyond a certain point, he is less likely to compromise with other executives, leading to less moderate decisions and more risky strategies. We estimate that the CEO has to wield considerable power, that is, around the 75th percentile of CPS, before significantly more risk-taking is observed. Finally, we show that our results are unlikely vulnerable to endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 104-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.927565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.927565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:104-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Rosmy Jean Louis Author-X-Name-First: Rosmy Author-X-Name-Last: Jean Louis Title: Modelling the tourism receipt's volatility Abstract: Using data from 87 countries, we show that proximity of recipient countries to the economic centres of the world, a diversified source of international tourist supplies, and larger share of GDP as tourism revenues are conducive to lower volatility in tourism receipts. We also find that the volatility of tourism revenues is quite dispersed across countries and intensifies when tourism flow originates from a specific set of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 110-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:110-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Renna Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Renna Title: Obesity history and male employment Abstract: Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979, this article computes the stock of obesity as the number of obese years in the adult life of an individual. Then it estimates the effect of the stock of obesity on the probability of being employed. It is found that the accumulated years of morbid obesity (i.e. obesity associated with a body mass index above 40) has a large negative impact on employment status. This effect remains significant even after conditioning on time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity. The results of the IV probit analysis indicate that the stock of morbid obese years can be regarded as exogenous. Less severe levels of obesity do not seem to have an impact on employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 116-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:116-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Manley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Manley Author-Name: Lia Fernald Author-X-Name-First: Lia Author-X-Name-Last: Fernald Author-Name: Paul Gertler Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gertler Title: Wealthy, healthy and wise: does money compensate for being born into difficult conditions? Abstract: Recent studies have linked transfers from Mexican conditional cash transfer programme Oportunidades (formerly PROGRESA) to improvements in child development (Fernald et al., 2008, 2009), but this work has been criticized as failing to account for endogeneity of the transfers. We create an exogenous instrument for the amount of transfers and use it to test programme and transfer effects. Applying the new instrument confirms that improvements in child development are more linked to the transfers themselves than to other portions of the programme, which involve medical check-ups as well as educational sessions for mothers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:121-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Author-Name: Simon Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Author-Name: Olivier Thebaud Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Thebaud Title: Allocating repairs and maintenance costs to fixed or variable costs in fisheries bioeconomic models Abstract: The objective of maximum economic yield in fisheries requires the use of bioeconomic models for the estimation of appropriate economic-based catch or effort targets. These in turn require detailed information on costs of fishing, and how these costs may change under different fleet size and effort conditions. Economic information is generally collected (if at all) on an annual basis. While some costs can be easily designated as fixed or variable, others, such as repairs and maintenance, have both a fixed and variable component that is not identifiable from annual information. In this note, we present a means for separating these costs into a fixed and variable component for Australian fisheries and find that the ratio varies considerably by fishing method and environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:127-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo M. Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Jorge M. Andraz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge M. Author-X-Name-Last: Andraz Title: On the long-term macroeconomic effects of social spending in the United States Abstract: We estimate the long-term impact of changes in social security and social protection spending on economic performance in the United states. We estimate a VAR model relating GDP, unemployment rates, saving rates and social spending. Our results suggest that social spending has significant distortionary effects in the labour markets as measured by its long-term effects on the unemployment rate, which translate into a detrimental effect on long-term output, this despite a positive, albeit small, effect on the gross savings rate. There are important policy implications of these results. If one considers the systems as they are, any further expansion in their generosity would have detrimental long-term effects. These detrimental effects, however, are neither an indictment of social spending nor evidence against extension of benefits. What they highlight is the need to carefully consider the financing mechanisms currently used and the need to align benefits and contributions in the pension component of social security and the need to find a tax revenue mix that is less distortionary for the unfunded benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:132-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Vecchio Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchio Author-Name: Azzurra Annunziata Author-X-Name-First: Azzurra Author-X-Name-Last: Annunziata Title: The effect of monetary versus nonmonetary endowment on WTP in BDM auctions Abstract: We evaluate the effects of monetary and nonmonetary endowments on willingness to pay (WTP) bids in Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) experimental auctions. Results indicate that subjects provided with a monetary endowment bid more than those that received a nonmonetary endowment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:137-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard C. K. Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard C. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Xinzhu Li Author-X-Name-First: Xinzhu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Tiananmen Square 1989: the view from financial markets Abstract: This article examines the effects of the Tiananmen Square incident on Hong Kong stock prices, which fell by more than 22% on the first day of trading after the event. Notwithstanding the expected negative across-the-board impact, we find some partial protection from the worst of the negative effects enjoyed by investors in utility stocks and companies with ownership ties to mainland China. Whereas some of the harder hit sectors enjoyed some degree of catching up after the first 2 months since the crisis, continued underperformance is seen for the hotel and property sectors throughout the empirical testing. The most domestically focused sectors therefore were also the ones that experienced the most lasting damage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.929622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.929622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:141-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: A satisficing approach to factor portfolio construction Abstract: Multifactor models and the construction of factor-matching portfolios are by now pervasive in investment management. In textbook discussions, the construction of factor-tracking portfolios is presented as a simple exercise solved using well-known optimization methods such as linear programming. While mathematically correct, the standard approach does not address two practical considerations. First, when building portfolios, investment managers typically consider matching the target loadings of some factors as more important than matching the target loadings of other factors. Second, investment managers generally seek to achieve their investment objectives in the most efficient way possible, by minimizing turnover and/or transaction costs. In short, portfolio construction generally requires prioritizing and reconciling multiple objectives. To address the shortcomings of the standard factor-matching framework, we show how a multi-objective optimization methodology known as 'goal programming' can be effectively employed to build portfolios that successfully balance competing investment aims. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:148-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arne Martin Fevolden Author-X-Name-First: Arne Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Fevolden Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Author-Name: Tore Sandven Author-X-Name-First: Tore Author-X-Name-Last: Sandven Title: Specialist supplier or systems integrator? The relationship between competencies and export performance in the Norwegian defence industry Abstract: This article investigates how defence contractors' competence profiles affect their export performance. It explores two competing hypotheses derived from international economics and business studies that (i) it is beneficial to be a specialist supplier and focus on a related set of competencies and (ii) it is beneficial to be a system integrator and assemble a broad set of competencies. It makes use of a unique and especially rich data set that includes close to 250 competency variables. These competency variables are used to compute entropy scores for the defence contractors, which again are used in in a fractional logit model to test the two hypotheses. The article concludes that the data only support the second hypothesis - that it is favourable to be a systems integrator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shuo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaobo He Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobo Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Road to success? The effects of road toll on economic growth in China Abstract: This article examines the effects of road tolls on economic growth in China. Using a provincial panel data and pool mean group method, we find that a 1% rise in road tolls leads to 0.005% and 0.03% reduction in GDP growth and GDP per capita, respectively. Moreover, it shows that although more road tolls may contribute to financing local transportation networks, they hinder inter-regional trade thus result in more serious market segmentation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-162 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:158-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B�lent Ulaşan Author-X-Name-First: B�lent Author-X-Name-Last: Ulaşan Title: Trade openness and economic growth: panel evidence Abstract: This article examines openness-growth nexus in a dynamic panel data framework by using various openness indicators. We assess the robustness of our findings by reducing the number of instruments. Our findings show that lower trade barriers are not associated with higher growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:2:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stevens Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: Do transaction costs prevent arbitrage in the market for crude oil? Evidence from a threshold autoregression Abstract: Recent evidence suggests that transaction costs may prevent arbitrage in the market for crude oil. If these costs are significant, they could have serious implications for the value of the basis as a predictor of movement in the spot price.Given the importance of the basis within the existing literature, this article investigates the effect of transaction costs on its dynamics. Using a threshold autoregression model, transaction costs are found to increase the persistence of the basis in most periods, suggesting the absence of arbitrage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:169-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Arampatzi Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arampatzi Author-Name: M. J. Burger Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Author-Name: R. Veenhoven Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Veenhoven Title: Financial distress and happiness of employees in times of economic crisis Abstract: Using data for 28 European countries for the period 2008 to 2012, we examine whether employed individuals are affected by the economic crisis. We provide robust evidence that unfavourable macroeconomic conditions are negatively associated with the life satisfaction of employees. In addition, we find that higher levels of regional unemployment and inflation are predominantly associated with lower levels of life satisfaction for employees who are in a bad financial situation or who expect that their future financial situation will be worse. By contrast, employed people who do well financially and who have good prospects are not affected by the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:173-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John D. Hey Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Noemi Pace Author-X-Name-First: Noemi Author-X-Name-Last: Pace Title: Changes in individual and/or aggregate? Abstract: The majority of papers reporting the results of experimental tests on individual behaviour concentrate on the average or aggregate behaviour of the subjects, even though different subjects may exhibit different kinds of behaviour. At the same time, it is well known that subjects are noisy in their responses and thus may change their behaviour during an experiment. The question then arises as to whether this noise causes average behaviour to change during an experiment. We take the data from an experiment on behaviour under ambiguity, which try to identify which preference functional subjects are using, and analyse it in two halves. We find that, while some individual preferences seem to change from the first to the second half, on average, preferences are unchanged (though there is a reduction in the noise exhibited by subjects in the second half). This is a reassuring message for those who want to draw inferences from experiments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-183 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:180-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Kukla-Gryz Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Kukla-Gryz Author-Name: Joanna Tyrowicz Author-X-Name-First: Joanna Author-X-Name-Last: Tyrowicz Author-Name: Michał Krawczyk Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Krawczyk Author-Name: Konrad Siwiński Author-X-Name-First: Konrad Author-X-Name-Last: Siwiński Title: We all do it, but are we willing to admit? Incentivizing digital pirates' confessions Abstract: In this study, we try to assess the prevalence of illicit downloading in the market of audio books and the willingness to admit to such practices. We compare the Bayesian Truth Serum (Prelec, 2004) treatment in which truthful responses and precise estimates are rewarded to the control treatment with a flat participation fee. We find a sizable treatment effect - incentivized 'pirates' admit approximately 60% more often than the nonincentivized ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 184-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.931918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.931918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:184-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amir Moradi-Motlagh Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Moradi-Motlagh Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Ali Salman Saleh Author-X-Name-First: Ali Salman Author-X-Name-Last: Saleh Title: Rising efficiency and cost saving in Australian banks: a bootstrap approach Abstract: The purpose of this article is threefold. First, we measure both technical and scale efficiency of major Australian banks during the period 2006 to 2012 using data envelopment analysis (DEA). Second, the robustness and sensitivity of efficiency scores are tested based on a bootstrap approach. Third, the bootstrap results are employed to examine by how much different scenarios of improving technical efficiency scores can result in cost savings for individual banks. The results indicate a notable difference between the original and bootstrap efficiency estimates. While the conventional DEA results show that more than half of banks are fully technical efficient, the bootstrap results reveal a more accurate account of efficiency disparities from best-practicing banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.932044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.932044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:189-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Paniagua Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Paniagua Author-Name: Juan Sapena Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Sapena Title: Do credit constraints reduce foreign jobs? A note on foreign direct employment Abstract: This article studies the effect of credit constraints on the jobs created by multinational enterprises in host countries. Although most FDI is labour intensive, few studies delve into the determinants of foreign direct employment (FDE). This article constructs a model of limited commitment between the financed and financing parties to explain how FDE is affected by financial frictions. Moreover, this study examines FDE's determinants empirically on a global data set including FDE data from 161 countries during 2003-2010 by means of the gravity equation. Results show that credit constraints during the Great Recession roughly halved FDE, tripling the effect on FDI and suggesting that domestic jobs slightly outpaced foreign jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:195-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Rungo Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Rungo Author-Name: Bruno Casal Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Casal Author-Name: Berta Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Berta Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Author-Name: Luis Currais Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Currais Title: Parental education, child's grade repetition and the modifier effect of cannabis use Abstract: Previous research on the relationship among family socio-economic status (SES), cannabis use and educational attainment has concentrated on finding a causal pathway from SES and illicit drug use to educational achievement. However, the association between family background and a child's cannabis use is weak. When analysing both family SES and education as determinants of a child's educational attainment, cannabis use should be treated as an effect modifier rather than a confounder. This article examines how cannabis use alters the protective effect of better family education on a child's school performance. By means of a retrospective cohort study using data from the Spanish National Survey on Drug Use in Secondary Education, this study illustrates that, as expected, children of better-educated parents are less likely to repeat a grade, although the positive impact of higher family education vanishes when students use cannabis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-203 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:199-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurice J. G. Bun Author-X-Name-First: Maurice J. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Bun Title: Identifying the impact of deterrence on crime: internal versus external instruments Abstract: We consider estimation of the economic model of crime exploiting instrumental variables (IV) techniques for panel data. We extend the empirical analysis of Cornwell and Trumbull (1994) and show that their instruments are very weak. We propose an alternative identification strategy based on the sequential moment conditions of Arellano and Bond (1991). The resulting GMM estimates of deterrence effects on crime are considerably more precise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 204-208 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:204-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naceur Essaddam Author-X-Name-First: Naceur Author-X-Name-Last: Essaddam Author-Name: Ayman Mnasri Author-X-Name-First: Ayman Author-X-Name-Last: Mnasri Title: Event-study volatility and bootstrapping: an international study Abstract: This paper examines the impact of terrorism on volatility of stock returns over 17 market indices between 1994 and 2005. Using a volatility event study approach methodology, we find that terrorism has a significant impact on the stock market volatility. We also propose a new semi-parametric bootstrap technique which consists in re-sampling the rescaled residuals obtained from the estimations of GARCH equations before the event and using a moving block approach where the residuals are chosen in a chronologically consecutive manner each time we generate a bootstrap sample. This technique provides a better way to perform inference that is more reliable on finite samples than inference based on conventional asymptotic theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-213 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:209-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: P�rez Author-Name: �ngel Mart�n-Rom�n Author-X-Name-First: �ngel Author-X-Name-Last: Mart�n-Rom�n Author-Name: Alfonso Moral Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Moral Title: The impact of leisure complementarity on the labour force participation of older males in Spain Abstract: This work seeks to gauge the complementarity or shared leisure effect in Spain. The study evidences the importance which the increase in female activity rates has on the decision of their male spouses to prolong their labour market participation. Thus, if active ageing is to be encouraged, vis-�-vis nonearly exit from the labour force of those in the latter stages of their working lives, and if the burden on public pensions is to be alleviated, comprehensive economic policies need to be adopted addressing the family unit of older persons as a whole rather than focusing on each individual member. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 214-217 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:214-217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xiaoquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Wuyi Ye Author-X-Name-First: Wuyi Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Do intraday data contain more information for volatility forecasting? Evidence from the Chinese commodity futures market Abstract: We compare volatility forecasts using daily data and intraday data at different frequencies from the Chinese commodity futures market. Focusing on aluminium, copper and fuel oil futures contracts with 3 months to maturity, our empirical results suggest that in the out-of-sample forecasting tests, there is little informational advantage in generating volatility forecasts using intraday data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 218-222 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934425 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:218-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi Hong Hanh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi Hong Hanh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: China's sovereign bond yield: some lessons Abstract: This article aims to address the question of why China's bond market, particularly sovereign bond, is still quite underdeveloped while the country has enjoyed a spectacular economic growth since the launch of economic reforms. To do so, we provide an empirical analysis on the long-run and short-run determinants of China's sovereign bond yield over the period 1994 to 2012. We find that China's sovereign bond yield is not well-constructed because of not considering the fundamental macroeconomic conditions. This should be considered as one of the most important reasons hampering the advancement of bond market in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:223-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cary Deck Author-X-Name-First: Cary Author-X-Name-Last: Deck Author-Name: Jungmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: Are subjects making financial decisions in lab auctions or are they just gambling? Abstract: Optimal bidding strategies in first-price and Dutch auctions are theoretically isomorphic but depend on bidder risk attitudes. However, laboratory experiments consistently find different behaviour between auction formats. This article explores whether the notion in psychology that financial and gambling risks are viewed differently can explain the discrepancy. Ultimately, the evidence does not support this hypothesis, but a bidder's propensity to gamble is associated with how much risk he takes in both auctions whereas his propensity to take financial risks is not. The results suggest that subjects may view themselves as gambling in laboratory auctions rather than making financial decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 228-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:228-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Alper Ҫenesiz Author-X-Name-First: M. Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Ҫenesiz Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Sports and (real) business cycles Abstract: We extend a basic real business cycle model to incorporate households doing sports. Households decide on spending time at the workplace and spending time on doing sports. Sports acts as an investment in health and, thereby, affects total factor productivity. We study the implications of sports for the propagation of technology shocks and for the volatility and persistence of output at business cycle frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-238 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wentworth Boynton Author-X-Name-First: Wentworth Author-X-Name-Last: Boynton Author-Name: Gregory Blosick Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Blosick Author-Name: Robert F. Rainish Author-X-Name-First: Robert F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rainish Title: The principal-agent problem, tracking error, and the optimal investment portfolio Abstract: The principal seeks a portfolio manager to manage funds. The principal uses a tracking-error constraint that restricts the portfolio's volatility. Without the constraint, the manager may increase the portfolio return by adding high-variance assets. Tests assume that the benchmark is the value-weighted market portfolio less the risk-free rate (MKT). Tests then add the Fama and French four long-short portfolios to test if they can increase return without a large increase in the portfolio variance. SMB (Small Minus Big) is long in small stocks and short in big stocks and picks up the small-firm premium. HML (High Minus Low) is long in high book-to-market stocks and short in low book-to-market stocks and picks up the value premium. WML (Winners Minus Losers) is long in past winners and short in past losers and picks up the momentum premium. Tests find that SMB adds tracking error and small returns, HML adds tracking error and large returns, and WML adds modest tracking error and large returns. WML requires heavy trading. Net of trade costs, the WML gain disappears. However, the trade execution costs to hold HML are modest. Net of trade costs, we see a gain from adding HML to MKT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-246 Issue: 3 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.934429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.934429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:3:p:239-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Glenn Baigent Author-X-Name-First: G. Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Baigent Title: M-Squared and ranking issues for risky assets Abstract: Adjusting returns for risk is essential and the methodology employed should be universally representative. M-Squared is an attempt to provide a risk-adjusted measure of performance, but it has two serious shortcomings: the absence of a benchmark return and the use of leverage. Analytical and empirical observations highlight these issues. Jensen's alpha does not contain these problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Merav Malcman Author-X-Name-First: Merav Author-X-Name-Last: Malcman Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Title: Does attachment to money affect reciprocity behaviour? Abstract: In this study, we test experimentally how a player who must decide how much money to transfer back in a trust game is affected by the experiment's monetary incentive. We find that positive reciprocity or altruism in a trust game is affected by the player's attachment to the money he received. We also argue that in a trust game played with virtual money, the players are affected by their willingness to punish the other player, consistent with the 'altruistic punishment' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danbee Park Author-X-Name-First: Danbee Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Joocheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Joocheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Revisiting a story of two countries in East Asia after Abenomics Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence of the relationship between currency depreciation and stock market return using Korean and Japanese nonfinancial firms' data. Although the recent FX market circumstances have changed compared to Choi et al. (2010), we can still confirm the beggar-thy-neighbour using the extended sample period. Beggar country may change depending on the sample period, but Eichengreen and Sachs (1985) hypothesis can hold across the different macroeconomic circumstances. Currency depreciation is positively related to stock market return controlling for the firm-specific variables. The result shows that Japanese exporting firms would be advantageous due to the Japanese Yen (JPY) depreciation, and this situation is expected to continue under the Abenomics policy regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-260 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:255-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tao Guo Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Michael Finke Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Author-Name: Barry Mulholland Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Mulholland Title: Investor attention and advisor social media interaction Abstract: In this article, we use a unique data set of financial advisors' daily tweets to study investor attention. We develop an investor attention measure based on tweets between individual investors and their advisors in order to study the relation between investor attention and market fluctuations. Tweet frequency data indicate that investor attention increases on days with larger price fluctuations. Investors pay more attention to smaller gains than to smaller losses. However, attention increases by a greater magnitude for large losses than for large gains. Our findings provide evidence that daily equity return fluctuations are associated with individual investor attention and that large negative returns have the strongest impact on attention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:261-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofie J. Cabus Author-X-Name-First: Sofie J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cabus Author-Name: Kristof De Witte Author-X-Name-First: Kristof Author-X-Name-Last: De Witte Title: Does unauthorized school absenteeism accelerates the dropout decision? - Evidence from a Bayesian duration model Abstract: School absenteeism (or truancy) may be a signal of an ongoing process of student attrition that eventually leads to early school leaving. This article estimates how unauthorized school absenteeism accelerates the dropout decision. In particular, the timing of the dropout decision of truants is compared with the timing of regular school attendees using administrative data with insights into wrongly specified truancy spells. We correct in a Bayesian duration model for issues on data uncertainty and show that only a Bayesian structure on the data yields insightful and consistent results. The results indicate that the risk of truants to leave school early before the end of the compulsory education age increases with as much as 37.4%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 266-271 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:266-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Managed portfolio performance and transaction costs Abstract: In this work the economic value of conditioning information within a multi-asset dynamic portfolio setting is examined. The article innovates by deriving a simple closed-form expression for the optimal portfolio weights in the presence of quadratic transaction costs. An application to US stock and bond data provides an estimate of the maximum transaction cost level that will allow the value of conditioning information to be statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-280 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.937032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.937032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:272-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The impact of state and federal assault weapons bans on public mass shootings Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of federal and state assault weapons bans on public mass shootings. Using a Poisson effect model and data for the period 1982 to 2011, it was found that both state and federal assault weapons bans have statistically significant and negative effects on mass shooting fatalities but that only the federal assault weapons ban had a negative effect on mass shooting injuries. This study is one of the first studies that looks solely at the effects of assault weapons bans on public mass shootings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-284 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:281-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Oeking Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Oeking Title: The European periphery during the crisis: fix or float? Abstract: This article empirically investigates the growth performance of European noneuro area countries during the recent global crisis depending on their respective exchange rate regime. Usually, floating exchange rate regimes are considered to better help countries cope with negative real shocks. However, for countries with close ties to the euro area, the advantages of pegging their exchange rate to the euro might dominate even during such a crisis. By applying standard panel growth regressions, the empirical analysis shows that during the crisis, countries with a floating exchange rate (i.e. those that should be better able to react to a crisis) did indeed grow more successfully. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-290 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:285-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Heng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Kuang-Ping Ku Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Title: The effects of inflation and openness on inequality across alternative monetary regimes Abstract: This article provides the first empirical evidence by employing an endogenous switching regression model to investigate whether the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) alters the relationships between inflation and inequality as well as between openness and inequality. Using a large panel of countries over the 1980-2010 period, we find that policies aiming at stabilizing prices and opening to trade will benefit more from the reduction of income inequality, and the inequality-reducing effects are more pronounced in the IT countries. As a by-product, we find that the inverted-U relationship between inequality and development, that is, the Kuznets' hypothesis, holds only in the Non-IT countries, not in the IT economies. The findings are unlikely to be driven by the presence of outliers, the use of estimators and the assumptions of errors distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-298 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:291-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Luypaert Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Luypaert Author-Name: Wouter De Maeseneire Author-X-Name-First: Wouter Author-X-Name-Last: De Maeseneire Title: Antecedents of time to completion in mergers and acquisitions Abstract: Literature on mergers and acquisitions (M&As) performance and wealth effects is abundant. Yet, we know very little about the pre-completion stage, in particular about aspects such as the likelihood of deal closing and time to completion. Understanding the drivers of completion time is however important as prolonged deal duration is costly and postpones realizing synergy gains. In this article, we study the antecedents of deal duration for a sample of 1150 M&As between listed US companies during 1994-2011. Not surprisingly, deal complexity critically affects time to completion. Stock offers, deal hostility, mergers and larger deals are characterized by a lengthier acquisition duration. Strong and clear shareholder support accelerates deal completion, as does the likelihood of overpayment. Finally, experienced bidders succeed in more rapidly completing transactions, implying learning effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-304 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:299-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Farrow Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Farrow Author-Name: S. Costa Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: G. Grolleau Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Grolleau Author-Name: L. Ibanez Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ibanez Title: The impact of goals and public rewards on a prosocial behaviour: an exploratory economic experiment Abstract: Given that private rewards have mixed effectiveness in the realm of prosocial behaviours (B�nabou and Tirole, 2006), we explore whether a 'public' reward (denominated in additional units of public good provision) successfully encourages prosocial behaviour in the form of increased donations to a project aimed at improving atmospheric air quality. Our experiment consists of a dictator game designed to address (1) if the presence of a goal increases voluntary contributions to improving environmental quality and (2) if an additional public reward further increases voluntary contributions. We find a significant goal effect overall, yet no added public reward effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:305-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Young Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jang-Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jang-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does corporate governance quality affect analyst coverage? Evidence from the Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) Abstract: We examine the impact of corporate governance quality on the extent of analyst coverage. The evidence based on nearly 3000 firms indicates that more analysts are likely to cover firms with weaker corporate governance. In particular, as corporate governance quality falls by one SD, analyst following increases by 11.40%. Our evidence is consistent with the notion that poor governance results in a wider divergence between the stock's market price and the fundamental value. Analysts prefer to cover companies with poor governance because it allows them to generate trading commissions by offering shareholders a particularly compelling story about why a stock's fundamental value and the current price differ. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 312-317 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.939372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.939372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:312-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanlin Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yanlin Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Can we distinguish regime switching from long memory? A simulation evidence Abstract: It is well known that long memory can be caused by regime switching and is easily confused with it. However, recent study suggests that if the cause of confusion was properly controlled for, long memory and regime switching could be distinguished. Motivated by this idea, our study aims to distinguish regime switching from long memory for the financial time series. In this article, we model long memory and regime switching via the ARFIMA and Markov regime-switching (MRS) frameworks, respectively. A theoretical proof is provided to show that the time-varying smoothing probability series can induce the presence of significant long memory in the regime-switching process. We then propose a two-stage two-state-ARFIMA (2S-ARFIMA) model to control for the effect of the smoothing probability and use a simulation study to demonstrate that it can effectively distinguish the pure MRS process from the pure ARFIMA process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 318-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.941526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.941526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:318-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: The importance of players in teams of the German Bundesliga in the season 2012/2013 - a cooperative game theory approach Abstract: In this article, we employ team games (Hern�ndez-Lamoneda and S�nchez-S�nchez, 2010) and the Shapley (1953) value to analyse the performance/importance of players in teams of the Bundesliga (German football league) in the season 2012/2013. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-329 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.941527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.941527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:324-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan de Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: de Lucio Author-Name: Raúl M�nguez Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: M�nguez Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: Do new exporters grow so fast? Abstract: The literature shows that new exporters have small levels of exports relative to regular exporters upon entry, and, if they survive, they have very high export growth rates between the entry year and the next year. However, these empirical facts might be biased by the partial year effect: firms that start to export late during the year have a lower level of exports upon entry and a higher growth rate between the entry year and the next year. We test the partial year effect for the whole universe of Spanish new exporters during the period 2002 to 2012. We confirm that the partial year undervalues entry levels and overvalues growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 330-333 Issue: 4 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.941528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.941528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:330-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bangzhu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Bangzhu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: Shujiao Ma Author-X-Name-First: Shujiao Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Yiming Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Examining the structural changes of European carbon futures price 2005-2012 Abstract: The aim of this research was to examine the structural changes of European carbon futures price under the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme during 2005-2012. More specifically, by relying on the daily EU allowance futures contract, we investigate the structural changes of the European carbon futures price. Structural breakpoints are detected based on the iterative cumulative sums of squares algorithm and event study models. The results show that since 2005, there have been three major breakpoints of the European carbon futures price, stemming from the two extreme events of the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2011 European debt crisis. This study contributes to understanding the pricing mechanism of the EU ETS and effectively forecasting carbon prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:335-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Kupfer Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Kupfer Title: Revisiting Svensson's test of inflation target credibility Abstract: I revisit Svensson's (1993) test of inflation target credibility by applying it to the European Central Bank (ECB)'s credibility regarding the maintenance of price stability. By selecting seven European bond pairs, each consisting of an inflation-linked and nominal bond, I show that Svensson's test is applicable during relatively calm times but does not work properly during the recent financial and sovereign debt crisis. Risk premia and flight-to-liquidity effects bias yields of both bond types and hamper a meaningful analysis during this time. However, in line with existing literature, the ECB's credibility can be confirmed during calm financial times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brantley Liddle Author-X-Name-First: Brantley Author-X-Name-Last: Liddle Author-Name: George Messinis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Messinis Title: Which comes first - urbanization or economic growth? Evidence from heterogeneous panel causality tests Abstract: Heterogeneous panel causality tests are employed to consider the relationship between urbanization change and economic growth. Urbanization causes economic growth in high-income countries, but noncausality could not be rejected for both middle-income and Latin American countries. A bi-directional, equilibrium relationship is observed for low-income, predominately African countries where economic growth has a positive, causal effect on urbanization, but where urbanization has a negative, causal effect on economic growth. Hence, urbanization and economic growth either co-evolve in low-income/African and high-income countries, or else the two processes are decoupled for middle-income and Latin American countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-355 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:349-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Vitor Castro Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Castro Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Do debt crises boost financial reforms? Abstract: Using a panel of developed and developing countries and data for the period 1980 to 2005, we find that debt crises trigger financial reforms. We also show that (i) when general economic conditions deteriorate, financial reforms become more likely to take place; (ii) IMF-stabilization programmes and sovereign debt restructurings favour the implementation of financial reforms; and (iii) the quality of economic institutions strongly boosts financial reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 356-360 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:356-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Lemos Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Lemos Title: The immigrant-native earnings gap across the earnings distribution Abstract: Using the underexplored, sizeable and long longitudinal 1978-2006 UK Lifetime Labour Market Database (LLMDB), we estimate the immigrant-native earnings gap across the entire earnings distribution. We found that immigrants earn 2.3% more than natives on average. Whilst the gap was zero at the 30th percentile, it was negative at the bottom of the distribution and positive above the median. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-369 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:361-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-H�l�ne Gagnon Author-X-Name-First: Marie-H�l�ne Author-X-Name-Last: Gagnon Author-Name: Gabriel J. Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Dominique Toupin Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Toupin Title: Dynamics between crude oil and equity markets under the risk-neutral measure Abstract: This article investigates the time series relationship between equity and crude oil markets using option-implied risk-neutral moments. We recover daily time series of constant-maturity risk-neutral volatility (RNV), skewness and kurtosis using options data for the S&P 500 and WTI oil futures over the period January 1996 to October 2011. The transmission of shocks is analysed for each risk-neutral moment using a vector autoregression model where each market is represented by one equation. Impulse response functions and variance decompositions are recovered and analysed. Our contribution is to document the transmission of shocks measured through investor anticipations in both markets. Our results suggest the transmission of shocks measured through investor anticipations is different under the risk-neutral measure than under the physical measure previously studied in the literature. Shocks to equity market RNV and skewness are transmitted to oil RNVand skewness while the reverse is not observed. However, shocks to risk-neutral kurtosis in one market do not affect the other market. The crystallized changes in investor anticipations in equity markets are eventually passed on to oil markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 370-377 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:370-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suxiao Li Author-X-Name-First: Suxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Bert Scholtens Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: Scholtens Author-Name: Haizhen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Haizhen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Are international fund flows pro- or counter-cyclical? Abstract: We investigate whether international fund flows are pro-or counter-cyclical by employing a concordance index. International fund flows are investments in bond and equity markets by institutional investors, such as mutual funds, exchange traded funds, closed-end funds and hedge funds. We find that fund flows are pro-cyclical ahead of the business cycle and counter-cyclical contemporaneously after the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 378-384 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.943881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:378-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco J. Ib��ez-Hern�ndez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ib��ez-Hern�ndez Author-Name: Miguel �. Pe�a-Cerezo Author-X-Name-First: Miguel �. Author-X-Name-Last: Pe�a-Cerezo Author-Name: Andr�s Araujo Author-X-Name-First: Andr�s Author-X-Name-Last: Araujo Title: Countercyclical capital buffers: credit-to-GDP ratio versus credit growth Abstract: This article provides a comparative analysis of the performance of the credit growth variable compared to the credit-to-GDP ratio as an early warning indicator of banking crises. We find that both variables correctly detect expansive credit growth leading to financial stability problems. However, the timing of the early warning indicators is closer in keeping with cycle changes when the credit growth variable is used. The results obtained are important to design prudential policies aimed at preventively monitoring and fostering banking sector stability and, particularly to manage the countercyclical capital buffer envisaged in the Basel III package. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: Establishing a hawkish reputation: interest rate setting by newly appointed central bank governors Abstract: In this article, we explore the interest rate setting behaviour of newly appointed central bank governors. We estimate an augmented Taylor (1993) rule for 15 OECD countries and the period 1974 to 2008. We find that newly appointed governors fight inflation more aggressively during the first four to eight quarters of their tenure in an effort to establish a reputation for being inflation averse. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. S. Sisodia Author-X-Name-First: G. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sisodia Author-Name: I. Soares Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Title: Panel data analysis for renewable energy investment determinants in Europe Abstract: This study is an empirical approach to understand the determinants of renewable energy (RES) investment in European Union (EU-27) through panel data study over the period 1995 to 2011. Random effect panel data modelling technique was used to understand the variables that affect solar and wind energy investments in EU-27. Results suggest that the strong regulation perception plays negative role in the solar energy investment, and lower sunshine hours lead to higher wind investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-401 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:397-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: Idiosyncratic volatility and global equity markets Abstract: This article investigates the relation of idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and future returns on a portfolio level in global equity markets. In contrast to previous studies (Ang et al. 2006, 2009), it reveals that the spread between stock indices exhibiting a high IVOL and stock indices with low IVOL is positive and unrelated to movements in the business cycle. Traditional asset pricing models cannot explain the spread. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 402-405 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:402-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia P�schel Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: P�schel Title: Measuring task content and offshorability Abstract: Trade economists increasingly relate the offshoring of service occupations to occupational task characteristics. This article provides empirical insights into this relationship and supports the importance of the task dimension as a determinant of offshoring patterns. The results further suggest that offshoring is a multidimensional phenomenon and it is advisable to use a comprehensive set of tasks in the empirical analysis to capture most of the relevant offshorability characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 406-410 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:406-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristiano M. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Cristiano M. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Luciana D. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Luciana D. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Renata C. Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Renata C. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Title: Family member incarceration and delinquent behaviour in the classroom: evidence from Brazil Abstract: This article extends the empirical literature on the economics of crime and delinquency. Using a unique data set from Brazil, we investigate how having a family member behind bars influences the behaviour of adolescents in the classroom. Results from a series of probit model estimations show that having close relatives incarcerated increases the adolescents' probability of fighting with a classmate by 2.69 p. p. and the probability of misbehaving in class by 4.8 p. p. This result is in line with social learning theories of crime, and it complements recent empirical evidence about the influence of peers on adolescent's time allocation and engagement in delinquent activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The long-run effect of trade on life expectancy in the United States: an empirical note Abstract: This note analyses the long-run impact of trade on population health by applying cointegration techniques to US time series data for the period 1960 to 2011. Despite the concerns of many commentators and observers, it is found that trade has a positive and significant long-run impact on population health, as measured by life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 416-420 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:416-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Hector Carcel Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Carcel Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Modelling African inflation rates: nonlinear deterministic terms and long-range dependence Abstract: This article estimates a fractional integration model with nonlinear deterministic trends for the inflation rates of five African countries. The results indicate that nonlinearities are present in the case of Angola and Lesotho, but not in the case of Botswana, Namibia and South Africa. Moreover, the degrees of differentiation are higher in the latter group of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-424 Issue: 5 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.946181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.946181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:5:p:421-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivica Rubil Author-X-Name-First: Ivica Author-X-Name-Last: Rubil Title: Regional heterogeneity in growth and inequality elasticities of poverty in transition countries Abstract: Using data for 25 transition countries, this article provides estimates of the growth and inequality elasticities of poverty for three regions: Central Europe (CE), South-East Europe and the former Soviet Union (FSU). Regional differences in the elasticities are decomposed into the contributions of (i) differences in initial conditions (expenditure density at the poverty line and inequality) and (ii) differences in sensitivity of the elasticities to these initial conditions. The elasticities are highest for CE and lowest for the FSU. Using a common poverty line, regional elasticity differences are explained predominantly by differences in the mean consumption expenditures per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. M. Aldanondo Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Aldanondo Author-Name: V. L. Casasnovas Author-X-Name-First: V. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Casasnovas Title: Input aggregation bias in technical efficiency with multiple criteria analysis Abstract: We extend the Tauer (2001) and F�re et al. (2004) analyses of aggregation bias in technical efficiency measurement to multiple criteria decision analysis. We show input aggregation conditions consistent with multiple criteria evaluation of overall efficiency in conjunction with the variation in aggregation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 430-435 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:430-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zouha�er M'Chirgui Author-X-Name-First: Zouha�er Author-X-Name-Last: M'Chirgui Author-Name: Asma Guerfali Author-X-Name-First: Asma Author-X-Name-Last: Guerfali Author-Name: Wadid Lamine Author-X-Name-First: Wadid Author-X-Name-Last: Lamine Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben A�ssa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Author-X-Name-Last: Ben A�ssa Title: Boosting new venture projects through incubator development programme Abstract: This article adopts a resource-based view to help understand why some of the incubators are more successful than others in supporting the development of new science and technology-based firms (NSTBFs). We provide this evidence using an original longitudinal data set collected from a decade-old public incubator programme funded after the passage of the 1999 French law on innovation and research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 436-440 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948667 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948667 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:436-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan �lke Author-X-Name-First: Volkan Author-X-Name-Last: �lke Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: Effectiveness of monetary policy under different levels of capital flows for an emerging economy: Turkey Abstract: This article assesses the effect of tight monetary policy on economic performance under different levels of capital flows. Empirical evidence from Turkey between 1990 and 2013 suggests that tight monetary policy measured with a positive innovation on interest rate appreciates the Turkish Lira and decreases output and prices. However, the effectiveness of monetary policy decreases for interest rate and increases for exchange rate and prices if capital flows are high. Specifically, interest rate, local currency value of foreign currency and prices will be lower for higher levels of capital flows. However, the relative effectiveness of monetary policy on output is virtually unchanged. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-445 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:441-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhavesh Garg Author-X-Name-First: Bhavesh Author-X-Name-Last: Garg Author-Name: K. P. Prabheesh Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Prabheesh Title: Causal relationships between the capital account and the current account: an empirical investigation from India Abstract: This article provides an empirical investigation of the causal relationship between the current account (CA) and the capital account (KA) in the case of Indian economy. The results indicate the nonexistence of causal relationship between the CA and the KA. Furthermore, we examine the causal relations between the components of the KA and the CA along with exchange rate as the linking factor between them. The causal findings, in the above mentioned case, show different results. Our finding suggests that there exist a causal relationship from Nondebt flows to the CA via the real effective exchange rate. This implies that decomposition of the KA helps in identifying the source of flows that drives the CA the most. The results also indicate that volatile capital flows may deteriorate the CA balance and therefore, emphasis should be laid on improving the soundness of the financial sector before moving towards the full KA convertibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 446-450 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:446-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Author-Name: M. Carmen Delgado Author-X-Name-First: M. Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado Title: Future of European funds in a regional economy: Andalusia 2014-2020 Abstract: Since the adhesion of Spain to the European Union, Andalusia has been catalogued as an Objective 1 region because its GDP was inferior to 75% of the community average. In this way, funds have contributed to the generation of regional GDP and reduced unemployment during these years, causing that levels exceed 75% with respect to average GDP per capita in the European Union. So, Andalusia will not be considered as one of the Objective 1 priority areas for European Regional Policy. With the changes in the region and the threat of an expected withdrawal of funds, this article proposes an analysis to explain the meaning of this withdrawal of European Funds in Andalusia in the period 2014-2020. With this aim, we develop a Dynamic Applied General Equilibrium Model that will assess the effects of the loss of this funding on the main regional economic indicators and under different simulation scenarios. The model will analyse the effect of economic policy actions on the economy, satisfying the requirements of welfare and technological feasibility when given some restrictions on available resources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego V�ctor de Mingo-L�pez Author-X-Name-First: Diego V�ctor Author-X-Name-Last: de Mingo-L�pez Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matall�n-S�ez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matall�n-S�ez Title: Mutual fund performance: dividends do matter Abstract: This article studies the bias in mutual fund performance when a nondividend-reinvesting benchmark is used. Our empirical findings show how performance worsens when using a benchmark that includes reinvestment dividends. We also find that inferences about managers' ability related to economic states are biased by the effect of omitting dividends when selecting a benchmark. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-460 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.948671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.948671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:455-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samer Adra Author-X-Name-First: Samer Author-X-Name-Last: Adra Title: On mergers, monetary policy and output durability Abstract: This article examines the causal relation between monetary policy decisions and the variation in the US mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity in the durable and nondurable goods sectors between 1990 and 2013. The deviation of the monetary policy-set federal funds rate from the natural interest rate estimated by Laubach and Williams (2003) is shown to have significant causal effects on the M&A activity. In the nondurable goods sector, the funds rate's deviation from the natural rate, rather than the funds rate itself, is the main macroeconomic factor influencing the M&A activity. In the durable goods sector, the variation in the funds rate, only when this rate is significantly below the natural one, is the main macroeconomic factor influencing the M&A activity. Setting the funds rate below the natural rate reflecting long-term fundamentals (a) leads to relatively lower financing costs which, in turn, lead companies to favour M&A relative to internal growth and (b) makes the M&A activity in the durable goods sector, which is sensitive to the variation in the cost of capital, highly dependent on the monetary policy-set rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-465 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.950787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.950787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:461-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan A. Batten Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Which precious metals spill over on which, when and why? Some evidence Abstract: Much academic and investor analysis and commentary see the four main precious metals as a single market, integrated and to some degree with each metal a substitute for the other. This proposition, which can be explicit or implicit, can be challenged on economic and statistical grounds. Using the Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) methodology, we show that the market is only weakly integrated, that this degree of integration is time varying and that it differs as between returns and volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-473 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.950789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.950789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:466-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Spillovers from health insurance to the US underground economy Abstract: Employing recent data on the prevalence of the underground economy across states in the United States, this article uniquely studies the nexus between health insurance coverage and the underground economy. We find a positive effect of health insurance coverage on the spread of the underground sector. Upon disaggregation, while private health coverage promotes the underground sector, government health insurance has the opposite effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 474-482 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.950790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.950790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:474-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: Effects of ECB balance sheet policy announcements on inflation expectations Abstract: We investigate whether ECB balance sheet policy announcements in the wake of the global financial crisis have affected the ECB's monetary policy credibility as measured by long-term inflation expectations, by looking at their effects on euro area inflation swap rates of maturities up to 10 years. We consider asset purchase programmes and long-term refinancing operations with maturities above 6 months. We find that these announcements only led to a slight increase in long-term inflation expectations. We therefore find no strong evidence to suggest that ECB balance sheet policy announcements have led to much higher long-term inflation expectations, suggesting that the monetary policy credibility of the ECB has not been harmed by these policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-487 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.950791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.950791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:483-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Amin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Author-Name: Asif Islam Author-X-Name-First: Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Use of imported inputs and the cost of importing: evidence from developing countries Abstract: For a representative sample of manufacturing firms in 26 countries, the article shows that changes in the cost of importing over time is significantly and negatively correlated with changes in the percentage of firm's material inputs that are of foreign origin. Furthermore, we show that there may be a non-linear relationship between import costs and imports. These findings are important as recent studies point towards a significant positive effect of imported inputs on productivity and growth. We hope that the present article inspires more work on the determinants of imported input usage especially in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 488-492 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.952883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.952883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:488-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel L. Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Author-Name: Joan Hamory Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Joan Hamory Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Author-Name: Beatriz Maldonado Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Maldonado Title: Are female politicians more responsive to international crises? Abstract: This article analyses bilateral foreign aid flows over the period 1973 to 2010 to investigate whether the gender composition of legislatures in donor nations affects the aid response to recipient country crises. Our findings suggest that donors with higher shares of women in office provide larger amounts of foreign aid in the wake of a disaster or war in a recipient nation. This response increases in size with the magnitude of the crisis and is especially pronounced for aid flows designated as disaster relief. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-498 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.952884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.952884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:493-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Alan Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez Author-Name: Yu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Adam G. Walke Author-X-Name-First: Adam G. Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Title: Gasoline price predictability in a border metropolitan economy Abstract: This study examines the predictability of local retail gasoline prices in the El Paso metropolitan economy. Given its location on the border with Mexico, the potential influence of cross-border economic variables on gasoline prices in El Paso is taken into account. The study uses monthly frequency time series data from 2001 to 2013. Because historical consumption data are not available, the error correction econometric model employs a reduced form equation in which gasoline prices are functionally dependent on several explanatory variables. Out-of-sample price simulations are compared against random walk and random walk with drift benchmarks. Results obtained indicate that the econometric approach performs fairly well relative to both benchmarks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-502 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.952886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.952886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:499-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Realized volatility forecasting in an international context Abstract: The value of overseas information within a volatility forecasting setting is examined. The article innovates by considering the forecasting performance of an augmented version of a popular realized volatility model in which this information is incorporated. An application based on realized volatility data from 13 international stock markets demonstrates that this volatility model delivers improved out-of-sample forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-509 Issue: 6 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.952887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.952887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:6:p:503-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: In�s Moussa Author-X-Name-First: In�s Author-X-Name-Last: Moussa Author-Name: Thibault Laurent Author-X-Name-First: Thibault Author-X-Name-Last: Laurent Title: Indirect and feedback effects as measure of knowledge spillovers in French regions Abstract: The aim of this article is to provide a precise measure of the role of geographical proximity in the innovation process on the French metropolitan NUTS (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) 3 regions over the period 1995 to 2008. We study the relationship between patents applications and internal R&D, and we propose a spatial decomposition coefficient of the independent variables to measure more explicitly the spatial extent of knowledge spillovers (LeSage and Pace, 2009). Our estimation result shows that the internal R&D expenditures have a positive direct and indirect effect on the patents applications, but only for the regions with a strong innovation activity. For these regions, the spillover effect is observed in the first-order neighbourhood, but the spatial lag coefficient is not significant enough to get a positive feedback effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-514 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.950788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.950788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:511-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastião Messias Marques Author-X-Name-First: Sebastião Author-X-Name-Last: Messias Marques Author-Name: Margarida Catalão-Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Margarida Author-X-Name-Last: Catalão-Lopes Title: Portuguese stock market returns and oil price variations Abstract: This article investigates the existence of a dynamic link between oil prices and stock market returns. A vector autoregressive model is estimated for Portugal, a small open non-producer economy. Results show that none of the three types of oil price shocks addressed - global supply shocks, global demand shocks for all industrial commodities and precautionary demand shocks - affect Portuguese stock market returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-520 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.952888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.952888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:515-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: A time-series analysis of US entrepreneurship: evidence from fractional integration Abstract: This empirical note employs fractional integration techniques with allowance for seasonality to infer the degree of persistence in US self-employment rate using monthly data from 2000:01 to 2014:05. The results indicate orders of integration in the range of [0.5,1] implying nonstationary, but mean-reverting behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.955165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.955165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter N. Posch Author-X-Name-First: Peter N. Author-X-Name-Last: Posch Author-Name: Joachim Erhardt Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Erhardt Author-Name: Tarek Hard Author-X-Name-First: Tarek Author-X-Name-Last: Hard Title: The impact of commodity finance on resource availability Abstract: Most industrial nations are reliant on a secure supply of raw materials but typically do not possess access to primary resources; a situation widely accepted by their respective governments which have instigated a variety of programs to secure availability. In this article, we explore the effect of financing conditions on the availability of base metals. Using fixed effects regression on international trade and banking data we find a consistent negative relationship between the financing costs and imports of base metals after allowing for prices and country risk. These results indicate that resource availability with respect to base metals is increased with a reduction in financing costs to market participants. The amount differs across the base metals where copper sees the highest reduction of 3.3 tons for an increase of short-term financing costs by one basis point. Furthermore, the effect differs across countries with the European Union's states being highly dependent of imports in these materials. We interpret this at a firm level by considering the funding requirement during the import process and the relative sensitivity of market participants to financing costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.955166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.955166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven D. Silver Author-X-Name-First: Steven D. Author-X-Name-Last: Silver Title: Human capital in personal consumption and labour force productivity: evidence from an OECD panel Abstract: The relationship of household stocks of information cumulated from personal consumption to a labour productivity index (LPI) is investigated. The regression model in an OECD panel controls for effects of domestic and foreign R&D, educational level and institutional factors on LPI. Human capital is proxied by mean years of education, and stocks of household information are constructed from deflated expenditure on a set of information goods in personal consumption. After unit root and cointegration testing, models were estimated with dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS). Results show that the stocks of information constructed from consumer expenditure flows are related to LPI after control variables are accounted for. Effects of LPI on the stock of information are also investigated. In these results, the stock of information had a larger effect on LPI than LPI had on the stock. Policy implications for productivity objectives that include differential tax rates on consumption of information and conventional goods are noted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-538 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.955250 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.955250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:529-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anca M. Grecu Author-X-Name-First: Anca M. Author-X-Name-Last: Grecu Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: Economic growth and obesity: findings of an Obesity Kuznets curve Abstract: Simon Kuznets' (1955) hypothesis that as a country develops, a natural cycle develops where inequality first increases, then decreases, has become known as the Kuznets curve. This pattern has also been applied to the environment, an 'Environmental Kuznets curve', showing that as development occurs, pollution first increases; then decreases because people value clean air. We expand the Kuznets curve to an 'Obesity Kuznets curve'; as incomes rise, resources become available to buy more food. As such, people consume more calories and obesity rates increase. However, as incomes continue to rise, personal health becomes a more valued asset and people decrease their obesity levels (increasing their health levels). We find evidence of an Obesity Kuznets curve for white females. In addition, we find that as income inequality increases, obesity rates fall. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.955251 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.955251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David C. Kingsley Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kingsley Author-Name: Thomas C. Brown Author-X-Name-First: Thomas C. Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Endogenous and costly institutional deterrence Abstract: Modern economies rely on central-authority institutions to regulate individual behaviour. Despite the importance of such institutions little is known about their formation within groups. In a public good experiment, groups selected the level of deterrence implemented by the institution, knowing that the administrative costs of the institution rose with the level of deterrence. Results suggest that groups readily self-impose costly deterrent formal institutions. The strictly deterrent institutions implemented here increased contributions sufficiently to completely offset the administrative cost and significantly increase earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 544-548 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.955252 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.955252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:544-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto A. De Santis Author-X-Name-First: Roberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: De Santis Title: Heterogeneity, monetary policy and banks' balance sheets: evidence from Euro area countries Abstract: We find that during the sample period 1999-2011 monetary policy easing in the Euro area has favoured loan provision relative to other banks' activities in Germany, Italy and France, but not in Spain with a largest extent of unobserved heterogeneity in France and Italy. The impact on the balance sheets of banks also operates through size in Germany, Italy and France; liquidity in Germany; and capital in Spain. During the financial crisis, the direct impact of monetary easing on loan provisions relative to other assets has decreased in Germany and France, while its indirect impact has increased for smaller banks in France and less liquid banks in Germany. These results suggest that monetary policy easing has supported relatively more French small banks and German banks with liquidity constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-557 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.957435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.957435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:549-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaideep Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Jaideep Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Gokhan Sonaer Author-X-Name-First: Gokhan Author-X-Name-Last: Sonaer Title: Executive compensation and product market behaviour Abstract: There is little empirical evidence on the effect of a CEO's incentive compensation on the firm's product market behaviour. This article reports that performance (risk)-based incentive compensation delta (vega) of a firm's CEO positively affects its industry-adjusted sales growth (proxy for product market behaviour). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 558-562 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.957436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.957436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:558-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Mills Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Jason A. Winfree Author-X-Name-First: Jason A. Author-X-Name-Last: Winfree Author-Name: Mark S. Rosentraub Author-X-Name-First: Mark S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosentraub Author-Name: Ekaterina Sorokina Author-X-Name-First: Ekaterina Author-X-Name-Last: Sorokina Title: Fan substitution between North American professional sports leagues Abstract: We use Canada-to-US border crossing data to estimate market penetration and fan substitution across sports leagues. We find that passenger car crossings into the US increase by more than 2000 when the National Football League's Buffalo Bills are playing a home game just across the border. This accounts for as much as 5% to 8% of Bills home attendance. Additionally, we find evidence of price competition, but not quality competition, between the Bills and Toronto-based teams in the three other major North American pro sports leagues. Given the exclusive market rights and antitrust privilege extended to professional sport in North America, these findings have important implications with respect to competition policies as they apply to major sports leagues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.957437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.957437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Alex Mandilaras Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Mandilaras Title: Transitions in exchange rate regimes in the aftermath of the global economic crisis Abstract: Has the global economic crisis resulted in countries shifting their exchange rate regimes and, if so, in what way? Focusing on the relevant period of 2008-2012, and using the IMF's Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions classification of exchange rate regimes and database, we calculate exchange rate regime transition probabilities and test their statistical significance. Even though there is some evidence of state dependence, in the sense that transitions are relatively infrequent, we do find that these are significant, especially in the direction of fixity. Our testing procedure employs the Wilson (1927) statistic, which is appropriate for drawing inference based on relatively rare events. By examining all transitions in detail, we also find further evidence that countries that shift often flip back to their previous regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.957438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.957438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Cavoli Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Cavoli Title: FDI inflows; how do they interact with non-FDI inflows during crises? Some evidence from Asia Abstract: This article examines the interactions of FDI inflows with the other components of capital inflows - namely debt, equity and bank - by analysing both the causes and effects of FDI flows, emphasizing those effects that might occur during crisis periods for a small sample of Asian countries: Korea, Indonesia and Thailand. It is found that crisis periods magnify the relationships between FDI and non-FDI inflows and that crises tend to make inflow substitutes, regardless of what the relationship might have been in noncrisis periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 572-575 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.957439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.957439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:572-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eva Hagsten Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Hagsten Title: Distributed access to linked microdata: the example of ICT and exports Abstract: This article describes the novelty of how the relationship between Information and Communication Technology (ICT) usage in firms and exports behaviour has been analysed across countries by the use of the distributed microdata approach (DMD). This approach opens a window for research access to multiple sets of official firm-level data over national borders and in dimensions not earlier available. The process starts by an extensive metadata analysis, where microdata from different sources (in this case, business registers, production, trade, education and ICT statistics) are harmonized to ensure comparability over time and across countries. An identical code is then run on each national data set, linking and aggregating information and analytical results to a level where disclosure issues disappear. Subsequently, the aggregated data are pooled into a cross-country data set. This data set is called the Micro Moments Database and is available for research purposes at the Eurostat safe centre. Initial results show that there is a relationship between the decision to export and the ICT usage of firms. However, what kind of ICT is most beneficial for the firms seems to vary across countries, possibly connected to the general level of ICT intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 576-580 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.959648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.959648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:576-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: 'Bribing' regulators Abstract: The regulator's welfare function is a convex combination of consumer surplus, profits shared with the regulator and profits retained by the regulated firm. This analysis seeks to determine the conditions under which the regulated firm is able to 'bribe' the regulator with profit sharing to raise prices and realize positive profits in equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-586 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.959649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.959649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:581-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Buehler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Buehler Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: A simple solution to the distance puzzle: balanced data and Poisson estimation Abstract: We propose the use of a balanced panel data set and Poisson regression as a solution to the distance puzzle. Employing annual data for the period 1972-2010, we confirm the existence of the puzzle by applying OLS regression to both an unbalanced panel data set and a narrowly defined balanced panel. We find that Poisson regression remedies the distance puzzle, producing a constant trend for the distance coefficient when the unbalanced panel is examined and a positive trend for the balanced data. The findings confirm the common intuition that the influence of transport costs on trade flows has decreased over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-592 Issue: 7 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.959650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.959650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:7:p:587-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Braymen Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Braymen Author-Name: Kristie Briggs Author-X-Name-First: Kristie Author-X-Name-Last: Briggs Title: Income differences in services trade partners Abstract: This article examines how differences in the income levels of trading partners influence the bilateral trade of services from 2000 to 2010. Overall, the results show that dissimilar per capita income levels across trade partners positively and significantly influence services trade. These findings hold not only when utilizing bilateral data on aggregate services trade, but also when considering bilateral services trade at the industry level. Our findings suggest that policy-makers looking to expand trade in services should foster trading relationships with partners that have dissimilar income profiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.959651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.959651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lee Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: J. Park Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: S. Park Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Revisiting CEO power and firm value Abstract: Prior literature associates CEO power with agency problems and documents the negative relationship between CEO power and firm value (e.g., Bebchuk et al., 2011). However, the 'optimal' level of CEO power may differ for every firm and for individual CEO depending on firm and CEO characteristics. In this study, we estimate the normal ('optimal') level of CEO power and show that the association between CEO power and firm value is nonmonotonic. Our results reveal that the normal level of CEO power is positively associated with firm value while excess and deficient CEO power is negatively associated with firm value. Using the residuals from our estimation model of CEO power, we illustrate that our measure of residual CEO power has an inverse U-shaped relationship with firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-602 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:597-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick A. Puhani Author-X-Name-First: Patrick A. Author-X-Name-Last: Puhani Title: Employment industry and occupational continuity in Germany: from the Nazi regime to the post-war economic miracle Abstract: Using retrospective survey data that cover 1939, 1950, 1960 and 1971, I compare individual-level changes in employment industry and occupational status in Germany from the beginning of World War II to the post-war reconstruction era dubbed the Economic Miracle (Wirtschaftswunder). This comparison reveals that, with only a few exceptions, labour allocation developments remained relatively stable even in the face of huge political and macroeconomic change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-612 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:603-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross J. Hallren Author-X-Name-First: Ross J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hallren Title: Quasi-experimental analysis of the impact of exchange rate regime selection on crisis recovery: evidence from the Asian Financial Crisis Abstract: Research typically treats exchange rate regime selection as exogenous. Using the Asian Financial Crisis as a case study, we show that countries that peg in 1996 and countries that float in 1996 are, on average, different from each other on variables that affect the outcomes of interest. After accounting for endogenous exchange rate regime selection using propensity score matching, we find that a country's exchange rate regime choice in 1996 had no significant impact on the size of the shock to real income levels, but reduced subsequent income growth and weakly increased inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-618 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:613-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Binder Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Binder Author-Name: Alex Coad Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Coad Title: Unemployment impacts differently on the extremes of the distribution of a comprehensive well-being measure Abstract: Unemployment has a heterogeneous effect on well-being. We combine a quantile analysis with matching techniques to analyse the negative impact of unemployment along the well-being distribution of a comprehensive well-being variable. In our analysis of British Household Panel Survey data (1996-2008) we focus on transitions into unemployment and find that average effects of unemployment on a comprehensive well-being variable are less strong than on typical life satisfaction measures. The effect of unemployment on a broad mental well-being variable (GHQ-12) is reversed and mentally less well-off individuals suffer from unemployment more strongly than those scoring high in mental well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-627 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:619-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marko Korhonen Author-X-Name-First: Marko Author-X-Name-Last: Korhonen Author-Name: Mikko Puhakka Author-X-Name-First: Mikko Author-X-Name-Last: Puhakka Title: Revisiting unit roots in divorce rates Abstract: We explore the persistence of the divorce rates in OECD countries. We provide evidence to reject the null hypothesis of a unit root and propose that changes in divorce rates are nonlinear time series processes that could be modelled by stationary threshold autoregressive (TAR) or smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 628-631 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:628-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Gigi Alexander Author-X-Name-First: Gigi Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: An exploratory empirical note on the impact of labour market freedom on the female labour force participation rate in the US Abstract: The purpose of this exploratory empirical note is to provide at least preliminary insight into whether a greater degree of labour market freedom (LABMKTFREE) elicits an increase in the female labour force participation rate (FLFPR) in the US. Initial empirical support for this hypothesis is provided in this study since the estimated coefficient on the LABMKTFREE index is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level. This result implies that, other things held the same, the higher the LABMKTFREE index, the greater the FLFPR. Indeed, the findings imply that a 1% increase in the LABMKTFREE index would lead to a 0.294% increase in the FLFPR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 632-636 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.962221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.962221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:632-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danko Tarabar Author-X-Name-First: Danko Author-X-Name-Last: Tarabar Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: The Seventeenth Amendment, Senate ideology and the growth of government Abstract: The Seventeenth Amendment disturbed the existing electoral system in the United States by requiring direct elections for state Senators. Scholars have argued this made the Senate more populist and contributed to the growth of government in the US post-1913. We employ econometric tools to investigate whether the mean ideology of the Senate and its winning policies experienced a structural change around the time of the enactment. We find no compelling evidence of a structural break at that time but do find some evidence for a change in the mid-to-late 1890s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.964824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.964824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujun Lian Author-X-Name-First: Yujun Author-X-Name-Last: Lian Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Fangping Peng Author-X-Name-First: Fangping Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Economies of scale in the demand for money by firms in China Abstract: This empirical study investigates the magnitude of economies of scale in the demand for money by firms in China. A panel threshold model is estimated. It is found that the estimated elasticity of scale in small firms is lower than that in large firms, indicating that small firms have larger economies of scale in demand for money in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-645 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.964825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.964825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:641-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Conesa Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Conesa Author-Name: Leonardo Gambacorta Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gambacorta Author-Name: Sergio Gorjon Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Gorjon Author-Name: Marco J. Lombardi Author-X-Name-First: Marco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lombardi Title: The use of payment systems data as early indicators of economic activity Abstract: Payment system data are available with virtually no time lag and could therefore help in tracking the evolution of GDP in real time. Using data from the Spanish national system for retail payments, we compare the performance of GDP nowcasts against that of alternative indicators. The main result is that payment system data can make a significant contribution to nowcasting GDP and they can also improve the performance of simple models that are currently based only on purchasing managers indices (PMIs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 646-650 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.964826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.964826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:646-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Paitoon Kraipornsak Author-X-Name-First: Paitoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kraipornsak Author-Name: Inayat Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Inayat Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Title: The determinants of digital terrestrial radio aftermarket coverage Abstract: This article examines 29 national digital terrestrial radio (DTR) markets to identify sources of aftermarket service deployment. Unlike mobile phones, potential revenues from DTR are small. Censored model estimation is intended to inform what is important to regulators in driving deployment when maximum revenue is not the primary goal. Results indicate markets with only public broadcasters have better coverage. Also, public broadcaster trials provide guidance in the regular service delivery. Further, public broadcasters network coverage usually exceeds that for commercial providers. Other significant factors are: technology (regional multiplex numbers), geography (size of covered area) and service type (data, simulcast, exclusivity). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-653 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.964827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.964827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:651-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Semenova Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Semenova Author-Name: Polina Savchenko Author-X-Name-First: Polina Author-X-Name-Last: Savchenko Title: Sitting on the fence: does having a 'dual-director' add to bank profitability? Abstract: This article investigates how the combination of positions between the Board of Directors and the management affects bank's profitability. We use the 2010 bank-level data from 112 countries (Bankscope). Our results suggest that the positions combination reduce both banks' ROA and ROE. We also show that the higher is the proportion of the Board members, who also hold a managerial position, the lower is the profitability of a bank. Thus, the corporate governance regulation should go beyond a simple restriction on holding simultaneously the CEO and the head of Board of Directors positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 654-657 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.964828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.964828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:654-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Gabriel Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr�guez Author-Name: Rafael Salas Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Salas Title: Majority voting and Gini-based social welfare: testing the hypothesis of symmetry Abstract: Majority voting accords with the class of social evaluation functions consistent with the Gini coefficient when income distributions are symmetric under a rank-dependent transformation (Rodr�guez and Salas, 2014). Under this assumption, median income and the equally distributed equivalent income are the same, and the Gini coefficient is an affine function of the median-mean ratio. Despite the importance of these findings, the empirical plausibility of the symmetry hypothesis has not been tested yet. In this article, we contrast the symmetry assumption with an empirical exercise based on the Survey on Income and Living Conditions data set for the European Union in the period 2005-2007. We find that the symmetric condition is generally fulfilled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 658-663 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.967374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.967374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:658-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akihiko Kawaura Author-X-Name-First: Akihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kawaura Title: A tale of two duopolies: collusion and exit in a local airline industry Abstract: This article investigates two episodes of market adjustments in Hawaii's interisland civil aviation market. One is collusion in which duopolists of similar size agreed to reduce their supply to the market. The other is unilateral exit by an individual company, which resulted in the asymmetric duopoly with respect to firm size. The analysis demonstrates that even a dominant duopolist cannot maintain sufficient market power to manipulate prices as long as competitive forces are present, while cooperative adjustment in the capacity dimension is likely to lead to higher prices on a sustainable basis. The results confirm the importance of competitive forces for mitigating price hikes in the process of adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 664-667 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.967375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.967375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:664-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wongi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wongi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do government spending multipliers depend on the level of government debt? US historical data evidence Abstract: This article examines state-dependent effects of government debt on government spending multipliers. For the estimation, a new quarterly US historical debt series is constructed. The empirical findings reveal that effects of government spending on the economy as well as the estimated multipliers significantly differ by the level of debt. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 668-672 Issue: 8 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.967376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.967376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:8:p:668-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Hopp Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hopp Title: Does the presence of a formal business plan increase formal financial support? Empirical evidence from the PSED II on the signalling and mimetic nature of formal business planning Abstract: In this article, we examine longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics II to infer whether formal business planning affects the amount of formal financing raised by nascent entrepreneurs. Our findings suggest that by and large the use of business plans is mimetic and reveals only limited information about the underlying entrepreneur. Yet, entrepreneurs that write formal business plan receive more formal financial support than had they not planned formally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-678 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.967377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.967377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:673-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: A note on firm age and the margins of imports: first evidence from Germany Abstract: This article uses a new tailor-made data set to investigate the link between firm age and the extensive margins of imports empirically for the first time for Germany. Results turn out to be fully in line with the theoretical considerations. Older firms are more often importers, import more different goods, and import from more different countries of origin. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.967378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.967378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayse Y. Evrensel Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Evrensel Title: Happiness, economic freedom and culture Abstract: The cultural dimension of the subjective well-being (SWB)-economic freedom relationship has been largely absent from the current literature. This article's argument for the inclusion of culture is twofold. First, culturally distinct groups may view the desirability of freedom in general and economic freedom in particular differently. Second, the inclusion of culture may explain some of the results presented in the existing research, such as positive contributions of freedom to SWB being confined to mostly developed countries. In this article, the respondent-based results use the World Values Survey (WVS) data with over 180 000 subjects in 86 countries and indicate that freedom of choice felt by individuals is an important determinant of SWB along with health and satisfaction with finances. While the respondent-based estimations do not show any variation in the effect of freedom of choice on SWB among different religious affiliations, the cross-section data-set that contains the same countries as in the WVS data yields different results. When the latter data-set is used, the interaction terms between economic freedom and religious affiliations indicate that higher economic freedom increases SWB in mainly Christian countries, while this effect is negative for mainly Muslim and Buddhist/Hindu countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.969819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.969819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blaise Gadanecz Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gadanecz Author-Name: Ken Miyajima Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Miyajima Author-Name: J�rg Urban Author-X-Name-First: J�rg Author-X-Name-Last: Urban Title: Optimized Taylor rules with domestic bond yields in emerging market economies Abstract: We study optimized Taylor rules with the appropriate lag structure, which has been little done for emerging market economies. Setting the policy interest rate in response to movements in domestic long-term bond yields, in addition to the output gap, the inflation gap and the exchange rate, can make monetary policy more effective. But a more complex rule can reduce monetary policy effectiveness, notably in the presence of uncertainty about the effects of capital flows on domestic monetary conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 688-692 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.969820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.969820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:688-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Sotoudeh Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Sotoudeh Author-Name: Andrew C. Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: Nonlinear interest rate effects of global oil price changes: the comparison of net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries Abstract: In this article, we test nonlinear causality between global oil price (OP) changes and short-term real interest rate (IR) in large net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries. Applying nonlinear nonparametric Hiemstra-Jones model and nonlinear parametric Mackey-Glass model, we find no evidence to suggest that potential direct effects of global OP changes on short-term IR are nonlinear in net oil-consuming countries. In contrast, we find such effects to be nonlinear and asymmetric in net oil-producing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-699 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.969821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.969821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:693-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Tomaž Kramberger Author-X-Name-First: Tomaž Author-X-Name-Last: Kramberger Title: European Union expansion and seaport efficiency in the North Adriatic Abstract: This article looks at the relative economic efficiency of seaports in the North Adriatic, and the effects of expansions of the European Union (EU) on this. Taking the main container ports in the region between 2004 and 2012, variations in efficiency are found over time dependent on whether constant or variable returns to scale are assumed. The consistently high number of ports on the efficiency frontier, however, suggests relatively high degrees of competition between them. The Slovenian port of Kope that came under the EU umbrella in 2014 is consistently efficient, as is the main Croatian seaport that remained outside of the Union over the period considered indicating that membership did not impact on economic efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 700-703 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.969822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.969822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:700-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Janet Rubin Author-X-Name-First: Janet Author-X-Name-Last: Rubin Author-Name: Rodrigo Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Destroying collateral: asset security and the financing of firms Abstract: Posting collateral encourages credit provision under the assumption that lenders can appropriate the pledged assets in case of default. When institutions work imperfectly, though, banks discount the value of effective collateral, thereby reducing lending volume. This process has been described in US states with difficult foreclosure procedures, but here we show that it also matters for poor countries after a violent conflict, when collateralizable assets have a heightened probability of being destroyed. We use firm-level data on loans in Sub-Saharan Africa to show that to get a loan, firms in countries with recent conflict need to pledge additional collateral. While some OLS offer supporting evidence, the effect is larger and more precisely estimated when we use quantile regressions to focus on the subgroup of firms that face tougher collateral requirements, which suggests that this effect is heterogeneous within countries. This mechanism is a novel channel that relates peace to economic growth and convergence through financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 704-709 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.969823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.969823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:704-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Author-Name: Barry O'Grady Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: O'Grady Author-Name: Yi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Examining the impact of macroeconomic announcements on gold futures in a VAR-GARCH framework Abstract: This article considers the impact of major scheduled US macroeconomic announcements on the COMEX gold futures market in a high-frequency setting. A VAR-GARCH framework identifies the significant relationship between the release of macroeconomic news and measures of market activity. There is a well-defined link between (higher) volatility, (higher) trading costs and (lower) transaction volume. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 710-716 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.972538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.972538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:710-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Jungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Further evidence on Orcutt's hypothesis using Korean-US commodity data Abstract: Orcutt's hypothesis in international economics asserts that trade flows respond to exchange rate changes faster than to changes in relative prices. Previous research has provided mixed support by using trade flows of one country with the rest of the world, an aggregate concept. A second group of studies is now emerging which use prices and trade flows at commodity level. We add to this second group by using data from 10 Standard International Trade Classification single-digit industries that trade between Korea and the United States. The hypothesis was supported in small fraction of industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-724 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.972539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.972539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:717-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomoko Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tomoko Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Health-care expenditure, GDP and share of the elderly in Japan: a panel cointegration analysis Abstract: By employing a panel data set of 47 prefectures in Japan, this article investigates the cointegrating relationship between health-care expenditure, GDP and population share of the elderly by using panel cointegration tests developed by Pedroni (1999). Our empirical result shows that there is a cointegrating relationship between the three variables. We also estimate the effects of GDP and share of the elderly on health-care expenditure by employing the group-mean fully modified ordinary least-squares (FMOLS) method of Pedroni (2001) and find that the coefficient on the share of the elderly is positively significant. These findings highlight the importance of addressing the issue of an ageing society to curb rising health-care expenditures in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-729 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.972540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.972540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:725-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Atkinson Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Atkinson Author-Name: John C. Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John C. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Title: Predictive validity of stated preference data: evidence from mountain bike park visits before and after trail system expansion Abstract: This article investigates the validity of stated preference data for use in recreation demand estimation. We use stated preference and revealed preference data from users of a mountain bike park collected before and after an expansion of the trail system. The ex-ante stated preference data elicited before the change exhibits hypothetical bias, but it would provide useful information for demand prediction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 730-733 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.972541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.972541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:730-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Kampk�tter Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Kampk�tter Title: Pay-performance sensitivity of compensation contracts for nonexecutive employees: the case of the financial crisis Abstract: In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the appropriateness of bonus payments for employees in the banking and financial services sector has been discussed controversially. While past research has predominantly focused on the pay-performance sensitivity for CEOs or top executive employees, little is known about this relationship for employees below the top executive level. We contribute to the literature by investigating a large sample of German and Swiss banks and find that nonexecutive bonus payments significantly followed firm performance prior to the financial crisis, but this effect vanished in the crisis period. Furthermore, in both periods, the estimated performance sensitivity is higher when negative returns are capped at zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 734-738 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.972542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.972542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:734-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angeles Carnero Author-X-Name-First: M. Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Carnero Author-Name: Blanca Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Author-Name: Roc�o S�nchez-Mangas Author-X-Name-First: Roc�o Author-X-Name-Last: S�nchez-Mangas Title: Explaining transactions in time banks in economic crisis Abstract: This article studies the services exchanged in a particular Spanish time bank. Using data from users and transactions, we analyse the users' profile as well as the determinants of providing and receiving different services. Our results show that the representative user is a Spanish female, not married, middle aged, highly educated and unemployed. We also find differences in the personal characteristics driving the supply and demand of services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-744 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.975323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.975323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:739-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giacomo Livan Author-X-Name-First: Giacomo Author-X-Name-Last: Livan Author-Name: Simone Alfarano Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Alfarano Author-Name: Mishael Milaković Author-X-Name-First: Mishael Author-X-Name-Last: Milaković Author-Name: Enrico Scalas Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Scalas Title: A spectral perspective on excess volatility Abstract: We perform a careful spectral analysis of the correlation structures observed in real and financial returns for a large pool of long-lived US corporations and find that financial returns are characterized by strong collective fluctuations that are absent from real returns. Once the excessive comovement is subtracted from individual financial time series, the behaviour of real and financial returns is virtually identical in both the cross-sectional and time series domains, thereby demonstrating the inherently collective nature of excessive fluctuations. Put differently, if excess volatility is to be reduced, then one would do well to inhibit excess comovement first. At any rate, the excessive behaviour in volatility and comovement should no longer be studied in isolation of each other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-750 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.975324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.975324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:745-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. C. Montes Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Montes Author-Name: A. Scarpari Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Scarpari Title: Does central bank communication affect bank risk-taking? Abstract: This article examines whether bank risk-taking is influenced by monetary policies as well as by communication policies of a central bank. In particular, we analyse whether the signal emitted by the central bank about a likely rise (fall) in the basic interest rate for the next policy meeting and its pessimistic (optimistic) perception regarding the macroeconomic environment are responsible for inducing banks to take less (more) risks. We provide evidence for the link between monetary policies, central bank communication and bank risk-taking. The findings reveal central bank communication influences the behaviour of banks once their risk perceptions are affected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-758 Issue: 9 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.975325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.975325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:9:p:751-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Jelena Budak Author-X-Name-First: Jelena Author-X-Name-Last: Budak Author-Name: Edo Rajh Author-X-Name-First: Edo Author-X-Name-Last: Rajh Title: Private sector bribery and effectiveness of anti-corruption policies Abstract: This article examines the determinants of private-sector bribes, focusing on the relative effectiveness of anti-corruption policies. Using survey data on Croatian firms, results show that, of the different anti-corruption policies (including internal and external policies), firms' internal code of ethics proved to be an effective deterrent. Firms might also be engaging in corruption among themselves to strategically counter perceived bureaucratic power. In other findings, male employees were more likely to engage in private-sector bribery, while firms located in the capital were less likely to do so. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-766 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.975326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.975326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:759-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Morales-Zumaquero Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Author-X-Name-Last: Morales-Zumaquero Author-Name: Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim�n Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Growth dynamics, financial crises and exchange rate regimes Abstract: We empirically investigate the impact of financial crises and nominal exchange rate regime changes on growth dynamics. To that end, we estimate autoregressive models using panel data for 163 countries classified into four income groups during the period 1970-2011. Results suggest that financial crises significantly reduce short-run and long-run growth for high-income and lower-middle-income countries. In the case of the upper-middle-income countries, financial crises inflict a negative and statistically significant impact on short-run growth but only a marginally significant effect on long-run growth, while for lower-income countries they only have a short-run influence. As for the exchange rate regimes, we find that they only positively affect the short-run growth rate for lower-middle-income and low-income countries, not showing any significant impact on long-run growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-771 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.975327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.975327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:767-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anton Bekkerman Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Bekkerman Author-Name: Gregory Gilpin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Gilpin Title: On understanding inconsistent disciplinary behaviour in schools Abstract: Inconsistent disciplinary administration across schools can inequitably impact students' education access opportunities by separating certain students from familiar learning environments, especially in misconduct cases that result in longer-term removal. We empirically estimate whether such inconsistencies are attributable to heterogeneity in student body demographic characteristics. The results indicate that a greater number of disciplines that remove students from school for an extended period of time are observed in schools with a higher proportion of black students, but no significant differential punishment effects are observed in schools with a higher Hispanic student population. Furthermore, results of decomposing the marginal effects into conditional and unconditional elasticities indicate that it is not the case that schools with predominantly white student bodies have the least severe punishments and schools with more minority students have the most severe punishments. Rather, schools with inconsistent disciplinary behaviour have a proportion of the inconsistency attributable to the race of the student body. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 772-776 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:772-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phillip A. Cartwright Author-X-Name-First: Phillip A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cartwright Author-Name: Natalija Riabko Author-X-Name-First: Natalija Author-X-Name-Last: Riabko Title: Preliminary evidence on relationships between agricultural commodities futures prices, spot prices and oil prices using reverse regressions Abstract: The focus of this research was on hypothesized relationships between agricultural commodities futures prices, respective spot prices and oil prices. The research uses reverse regressions to test for empirical relationships between variables. This article analyses the possible relationships taking into account intertemporal effects, temporal aggregation (daily and weekly), alternative time series model specifications (GARCH, E-GARCH) and assumptions on the distribution of residuals. Preliminary evidence indicates the significance of the hypothesized relationships for some cases. As evidence is by no means conclusive, directions for ongoing research are indicated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-782 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:777-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Dean Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Dean Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: On the correct model specification for estimating the structure of a currency basket Abstract: A strand of literature has focused on inferring the weights of the anchor currencies in a country's currency basket. With the growing importance of China's economy, there has been a surging research interest in the role of the renminbi as an international anchor currency and in China's de facto exchange rate regime. In this article, we show by a simple model and demonstrate using the observed data on the Special Drawing Rights basket that the correct specification to estimate the weights of anchor currencies in a currency basket is to use the rates of change in exchange rates and to write exchange rates in quantity term. When one is to estimate the structure of a currency basket, close attention should be paid to using the rates of change or the levels of exchange rates as well as writing exchange rates in quantity or price term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-787 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:783-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myeong Jun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sung Y. Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Sang Young Jei Author-X-Name-First: Sang Young Author-X-Name-Last: Jei Title: An empirical test for Okun's law using a smooth time-varying parameter approach: evidence from East Asian countries Abstract: This article investigates Okun's law for Japan, Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore over the period 1986-2011. Two time-varying parameter models, first-order difference and gap models, are considered to find a negative time-varying relationship between the real output and the unemployment rate. The empirical findings show that there exist time-varying negative relationships between the real output and the unemployment rate for all economies. We also find that the estimated time-varying Okun's coefficients are dominated by changes in the real GDP for Korea. However, the Okun's coefficients are dominated by changes in the unemployment rate for Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 788-795 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:788-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: The life cycle of social media Abstract: Using weekly data on the interest for 17 social media via Google trends and using quarterly data on actual users for 3 social media, it is reported in this letter that the life cycles of social media mimic those of durable consumer goods. On average, the popularity of social media peaks after 4 years since entry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 796-800 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:796-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Donadelli Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Donadelli Title: Google search-based metrics, policy-related uncertainty and macroeconomic conditions Abstract: We propose three novel measures of policy-related uncertainty based on the volume of Google searches for (i) 'US stock market'; (ii) 'US politics'; (iii) 'US Fed'. In a VAR context, we find that a Google-search-based uncertainty shock has sizable adverse effects on US macroeconomic conditions. In particular, it produces (i) a drop in industrial production, consumer sentiment, equity prices, long-term rates and consumer credit; (ii) a rise in the unemployment rate. These effects are nearly identical to those generated by a shock to a standard policy-related uncertainty indicator. Our empirical findings suggest that a rise in the volume of internet searches for economic policy-related topics is a symptom of increasing uncertainty. It turns out that the proposed Google-search-based metrics meet standard policy-related uncertainty indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-807 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:801-807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Otsubo Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Otsubo Title: Measuring the bid-ask spreads: a note on the potential downward bias of the Thompson-Waller estimator Abstract: The upward bias of the widely used Thompson-Waller estimator has been pointed out in the literature. In contrast, the current article provides a case the estimator would have downward bias: frequent continuous arrivals of orders in the same side associated with a small price change. The upward bias might be cancelled out by downward bias, and the estimator might perform better than the other methods such as Wang-Yau-Baptiste used by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The high-frequency data of the emissions market allows us to provide an empirical evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 808-814 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.978071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.978071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:808-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Bannò Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bannò Author-Name: D. Giuliani Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliani Author-Name: E. Zaninotto Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaninotto Title: The nature of export spillovers on trade: an analysis at NUTS 3 level in Italy Abstract: Using the region as unit of analysis, this article examines the existence of destination, industry and region-specific export spillovers on both the decision of export and subsequent flow of trade between 2004 and 2008, according to data on Italian nomenclature of units for territorial statistics 3 regions. We identify the source and quantify the effect of spillovers generated by other firms with a selection-bias corrected panel data model. Results show evidence of spillovers on both extensive (i.e. decision to start exporting) and intensive (i.e., export flow) margins of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-819 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.980393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.980393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:815-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaojun Chu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: Modelling impact of monetary policy on stock market liquidity: a dynamic copula approach Abstract: This article investigates the dependence structure between monetary policy and stock market liquidity in China. The dynamic 'symmetrized JC' copula copula is applied to capture evolving asymmetric behaviours and tail dependence. The empirical evidence shows that less liquid stock markets are influenced by contractionary monetary policy, and highly liquid stock markets are dependent on expansionary monetary policy. The asymmetric effect of monetary shocks on stock market liquidity is also found. The empirical results also indicate that the strength of lower-tail dependence between monetary liquidity and stock liquidity rises significantly for the post-crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 820-824 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.980566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.980566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:820-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ismail M. Cole Author-X-Name-First: Ismail M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Title: Interest group activity and economic growth: some new evidence from the US states Abstract: Empirical studies of the claim that special interest group activity has harmful effects on growth have produced mixed results with limited supportive evidence. This article provides new evidence on the issue in the context of the US states (1975-2004), using the pooled mean group estimator which allows for more flexible assumptions in a dynamic panel data framework. The results reveal an inverted U-shaped relationship in which the activity is, in fact, harmful for long-term state growth but only after a certain threshold level of activity is reached. Also, the short-run growth effects, not considered by previous studies, were found to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 825-829 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.980567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.980567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:825-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shouwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Shouwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xin Sui Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Sui Author-Name: Tao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Loss distribution of interbank contagion risk Abstract: In this article, we propose a method to measure the loss distribution of interbank contagion risk by using market-based and balance sheet information and conduct an empirical analysis for Chinese banking industry. This would be useful to derive standard risk measures for the interbank market as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 830-834 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.980568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.980568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:830-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Blyde Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Blyde Author-Name: Alejandro Graziano Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Graziano Author-Name: Christian Volpe Martincus Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Volpe Martincus Title: Economic integration agreements and production fragmentation: evidence on the extensive margin Abstract: In this article we present evidence on the impact of economic integration agreements (EIAs) on production fragmentation based on a direct measure of offshoring: the number of vertically integrated foreign subsidiaries located in partner countries. We find that EIAs favour the formation of cross-border production networks. Further, this effect is stronger when agreements are deeper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-842 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.980569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.980569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:835-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katrin Hussinger Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Hussinger Author-Name: Sebastian Pacher Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Pacher Title: Information ambiguity and firm value Abstract: A recent theoretical model by Epstein and Schneider (2008) predicts that a firm's assets will be undervalued by the market if the information surrounding these assets is ambiguous. The model further predicts that this effect is amplified if the underlying fundamentals are volatile. This article provides an empirical test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-847 Issue: 10 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.982848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.982848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:10:p:843-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alina Synyavska Author-X-Name-First: Alina Author-X-Name-Last: Synyavska Author-Name: Numan Ülkü Author-X-Name-First: Numan Author-X-Name-Last: Ülkü Title: 'Leverage Effect' in country betas and volatilities? Abstract: Leverage effect hypothesis predicts past returns to have a negative effect on equity riskiness. We document a surprising pattern: the effect of past returns on country index betas and volatilities turns into positive as past-return horizon is extended. Past 60-month returns have a significant positive effect, which provides a direct means of ruling out leverage hypothesis as an explanation of asymmetric volatility. The positive effect of distant-past returns is puzzling. It appears to be due to mean reversion in stock indexes and international investors' trading patterns consistent with mean reversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 848-853 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.982849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.982849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:848-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Morales-Zumaquero Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Author-X-Name-Last: Morales-Zumaquero Author-Name: Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim�n Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Temporary ban on short positions and financial market volatility: evidence from the Madrid Stock Market Abstract: This article analyses the effect of the introduction of temporary ban on short positions in the Spanish market on the volatility of both the closing price and the trading volume of the underlying index as well as on the price of the main financial institutions. Using an econometric procedure for detecting structural breaks in the series, we study the period January 2000-December 2013. Our results do not suggest any significant impact on variance, neither on price nor on trade volume. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 854-859 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.982850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.982850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:854-859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Bl�zquez-Fern�ndez Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bl�zquez-Fern�ndez Author-Name: D. Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Author-Name: P. Perez-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Gonzalez Author-Name: J. Llorca-D�az Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Llorca-D�az Title: Does early-life health enhance growth? Evidence from Spain Abstract: This article focuses on the causal effect of early-life health on economic growth for the Spanish regions over the period 1980-2007. The hypothesis follows from recent literature, in which mortality affects growth by diminishing incentives for behaviour with short-run costs and long-run pay-offs. We provide empirical evidence that higher infant mortality has a direct negative impact on per capita income growth. Also, that a greater risk of early-life death is associated with losses on accumulation of both physical and human capital, and fertility gains, which in turn more even reduces growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 860-864 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.982851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.982851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:860-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Does renewables production affect income inequality? Evidence from an international panel of countries Abstract: This article empirically investigates the impact of renewable energy production on income inequality across a panel of OECD countries, by applying a panel methodological framework, spanning the period 1998-2013. The effect on income inequality turns out to be positive and consistently robust across alternative types of renewables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-868 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.982852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.982852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:865-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziyao Luo Author-X-Name-First: Ziyao Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Christophe Schinckus Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schinckus Title: Herding behaviour in asymmetric and extreme situations: the case of China Abstract: This paper will investigate herding behaviour in asymmetric (bearish versus bullish context) and extreme market conditions (characterized by significant changes in stock prices) through daily data from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange markets. Results show that a bullish context generates a herding behaviour for B-shares while a bearish situation rather favours a crowd movement for A-shares. Given that sophisticated investors are known to trade on B-shares, these results suggest that this category of actors is more likely to follow the trend when they face with a bullish context while they can reduce their herding behaviour in a bearish context by using technical/analytical tools allowing them not to follow the crowd behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-873 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:869-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Binder Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Binder Title: Volunteering and life satisfaction: a closer look at the hypothesis that volunteering more strongly benefits the unhappy Abstract: Volunteering positively impacts on life satisfaction and mental well-being over the deciles of the distribution for a sample of the British populace from 1996 to 2008 (BHPS data set); however, this effect is decreasing for those in the upper parts of the well-being distribution. This can be seen as support for the contention that volunteering can play a protective role for individuals and increase their well-being in the face of otherwise unsatisfactory life conditions. Looking at the effect on satisfaction with life domains, there is evidence for a positive impact of volunteering on satisfaction with health, one's social life and amount and use of leisure time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 874-885 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:874-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mika Nieminen Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Nieminen Author-Name: Kari Heimonen Author-X-Name-First: Kari Author-X-Name-Last: Heimonen Author-Name: Esa Mangeloja Author-X-Name-First: Esa Author-X-Name-Last: Mangeloja Title: Culture and current account balances Abstract: This article contributes to the literature of current account balances by introducing cultural variables that until now have been omitted. The World Values Survey indicates that the Roman Catholics do not consider thrift as important as others. We propose that Catholic countries tend to run current account deficits. This result remains robust even if we control for close to all of the determinants that have been included in previous studies. We find evidence that the inclination of Catholic countries to have high levels of uncertainty avoidance goes to a great length in explaining the result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 886-890 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:886-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason A. Winfree Author-X-Name-First: Jason A. Author-X-Name-Last: Winfree Author-Name: Philip Watson Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Substitution of liquor sales across states Abstract: This study estimates revenue changes in Idaho state liquor sales from a change in Washington state's policy. On 1 June 2012, the state of Washington passed a ballot initiative to change existing liquor law. The net effect of the change resulted in increased liquor prices in Washington. This increase in price is hypothesized to raise demand for liquor in bordering counties in Idaho. We estimate that sales increased 10% in Idaho counties that border Washington. This represents $4.86 million dollars in increased sales, which translates into 42 new jobs for the state of Idaho. We find that a change in liquor laws in one state that result in higher prices to consumers has a statistically significant and measurable effect on liquor sales in a bordering state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-894 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:891-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Douglas Campbell Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Campbell Author-Name: Andrew Hussey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hussey Title: Experimental evidence of the effects of an early intervention programme on economics student achievement Abstract: Early Intervention programmes are used in various ways in higher education in an attempt to identify struggling students at an early point in their coursework and to enable improvement in student outcomes. Despite being an increasingly common policy measure that is relatively easy to implement, little empirical evidence exists regarding the effectiveness of such programmes. Based on a study design that randomly assigns treatment eligibility across economics classes, we find that those who were reported for Early Intervention received final grades that were on average almost 4.3% higher than those who were not. The estimated effect of the programme on grade improvement, however, is smaller and not statistically significant. Some evidence exists for heterogeneous treatment effects, most notably the higher estimated effect for students in introductory classes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-899 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:895-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Mechelli Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Mechelli Author-Name: Riccardo Cimini Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cimini Author-Name: Francesca Mazzocchetti Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchetti Title: Is regulatory capital more value relevant than book value of equity? A cross-country analysis Abstract: This research aims to enter in the debate about the pros and the cons of regulatory capital (RC) disclosure providing empirical evidences that this measure of capital is more value relevant than book value of equity (BV). To verify our hypothesis, we collected data from the consolidated annual reports issued over the period 2009-2012 by 170 entities listed in 22 of the 27 countries that belong to the Basel Committee and that issue their annual reports complying with the IASB standards. Methodologically, by using a modified version of the Ohlson (1995) model, we use five different techniques that confirm that the RC is more value relevant than BV. So, our findings show that not only RC is issued to strengthen the soundness and the stability of the international banking system and to diminish an existing source of competitive inequality among international banks, but also to provide useful information to investors for their economic decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 900-903 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.985368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.985368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:900-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendon �a Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendon �a Author-Name: Thiago Cacicedo Author-X-Name-First: Thiago Author-X-Name-Last: Cacicedo Title: Size of government and economic growth in the largest Latin American country Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence regarding the effect of the size of government on economic growth in the Brazilian economy for the period from January 2000 to March 2013. In particular, an analysis is conducted to see whether the Armey curve fits well for the Brazilian case and the optimal government size is also estimated. The findings indicate that an increase in the size of government contributes to economic growth and that the optimal size for the Brazilian government would be approximately 22% of GDP. Brazil crossed over this limit in 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 904-910 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:904-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven Anders Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Anders Author-Name: Milena Beye Author-X-Name-First: Milena Author-X-Name-Last: Beye Title: Social consumption and price rigidity of quality-tier differentiated private labels Abstract: We are interested in the extent to which quality-tier differentiation of private label (PL) contributes to explaining their greater price rigidity during holiday periods, when social consumption motives may influence retailer category management. After controlling for wholesale cost pass-through, product and store effects, we find social consumption theory to provide the best explanation for greater PL price rigidity during the Christmas period. Although this effect does not extend to other periods of peak demand or across product categories, our results underscore the importance of consumer considerations in firm-level price setting discussed by Blinder et al. (1998). More generally, this article emphasizes the growing importance of quality-tier differentiated PLs in retailer's pricing and promotional strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-915 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:911-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Gajewski Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gajewski Title: Is ageing deflationary? Some evidence from OECD countries Abstract: We present a theoretical and empirical discussion related to interconnections between inflation and ageing, providing some empirical results regarding the impact of ageing-related variables on inflation in a sample of OECD countries. According to the macroeconomics textbook ageing is generally inflationary, but a growing body of arguments can be identified to support the opposite impact. The simple empirical model is estimated via Fixed Effects (FE) and panel-corrected SE (PCSE), robust to groupwise heteroscedasticity and serial correlation. Generally, our results suggest that ageing exerts downward pressure on prices. The findings contradict the common view, but also do not fully conform with some of the recent hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 916-919 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:916-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ana Sofia Guimarães Author-X-Name-First: Ana Sofia Author-X-Name-Last: Guimarães Title: The relevance of fiscal rules for fiscal and sovereign yield developments Abstract: We assess whether numerical fiscal rules impact budget balances and sovereign yields. For a panel of 27 EU countries between 1990 and 2011, we find that fiscal rules reduce budget deficits, specifically expenditure rules, while countries with better fiscal rules experienced lower sovereign bond yields. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 920-924 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:920-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies Abstract: We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries using panel unit root and cointegration analyses. Results show no cointegration (no sustainability) between revenues and expenditures, improvement of the primary balances after worsening debt ratios and causality from government debt to primary balances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-929 Issue: 11 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:11:p:925-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Author-Name: Eva Hagsten Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Hagsten Title: Exporter productivity premium for European SMEs Abstract: Estimates based on robust regression methods show that the level of labour productivity of exporting small- and medium-sized entreprises (SMEs) is 13 percentage points higher than that of nonexporting ones in a given industry and country. The data are based on the Community Innovation Survey (CIS) for 19 European countries with about 110 000 firms for the year 2010. The exporter productivity premium is highest in manufacturing, and professional and business services. Furthermore, SMEs that export to both the European and non-European markets exhibit a 19% higher level of labour productivity than nonexporting firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 930-933 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.987914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.987914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:930-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Sin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Sin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kuan-Ling Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Yu-Ko Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ko Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Information transparency and idiosyncratic risk Abstract: This study investigates the relation between information transparency and idiosyncratic risk with the unique and nonpublic data of listed companies violating the material information disclosure rules in Taiwan. This study employs the violated companies that do not report or delay the disclosure of material information as sample of worse information transparency. The results show that the companies with worse information transparency have higher idiosyncratic risk and total risk than other companies. The negative connection between information transparency and idiosyncratic risk implies that the current regulations of material information disclosure in Taiwan work efficiently. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 934-937 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:934-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: 'Big box stores and obesity' Abstract: This article examines whether obesity prevalence is influenced by the market structure of retail food outlets. A few studies have examined the effects of 'big box' stores on prices, food choices and obesity, but the present study extends empirical examination to all types of stores to determine if there are significant differences in their effects on obesity prevalence. Four types of retail food outlets are examined: supermarkets, supercentres and warehouse club stores (i.e. 'big box' stores), convenience stores and specialty stores. Counties with more retail food stores experience lower prevalence of adult obesity, but this inverse relationship appears to stem from greater numbers of supermarkets and specialty food stores. Obesity prevalence is positively associated with market shares of 'big box' and convenience stores. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 938-944 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:938-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Charl Jooste Author-X-Name-First: Charl Author-X-Name-Last: Jooste Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Vassilios Babalos Author-X-Name-First: Vassilios Author-X-Name-Last: Babalos Title: Are there long-run diversification gains from the Dow Jones Islamic finance index? Abstract: We compare a nonlinear (time-varying) cointegration test with the standard cointegration test in studying the long-run relationship of the Dow Jones Islamic finance index with three other conventional global equity market indices. Our results show that there is a long-run nonlinear cointegrating relationship between the Dow Jones Islamic stock market index and other conventional stock market indices, which is not picked up by the linear cointegration test. Thus, Islamic markets seem to offer little, if any, long-run diversification to international investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-950 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:945-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Asymmetric real exchange rate pass-through and poverty in China: evidence from a nonlinear model Abstract: This article provides evidence on asymmetric real exchange rate pass-through to poverty for the Chinese economy by using the nonlinear auto-regressive distributed lag model spanning the period 1981-2012. The results corroborate the asymmetric pass-through predictions, with depreciations having a stronger impact on poverty. They also survive an alternative measure of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandler Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Chandler Author-X-Name-Last: Lutz Title: The international impact of US unconventional monetary policy Abstract: Using a structural factor-augmented vector autoregression model and a large data set of daily time series, we study the impact of US unconventional monetary policy on British and German financial markets. Our findings indicate that a surprise US unconventional monetary policy easing leads to increased equity returns and lower government bond yields for both Germany and the United Kingdom. These effects then nearly completely dissipate after approximately 750 days. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-959 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:955-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Sotoudeh Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Sotoudeh Author-Name: Andrew C. Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: Long-term effects of global oil price changes on the macroeconomy and financial markets: a comparative panel co-integration approach Abstract: In this article, we evaluate the long-term co-integrating relationships between global oil prices (OP) and selected macroeconomic and financial market variables between large net oil-consuming (NOC) and net oil-producing (NOP) countries. Our findings indicate that as opposed to NOP countries, the macroeconomies of NOC countries have long-term co-integrating relationships with OP. However, the financial markets of both country panels exhibit long-term co-integrating relationships with OP. Finally, excluding the case of the consumer price index, the sample economies, whether NOC or NOP, respond to global OP shocks very similarly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 960-966 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.990617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:960-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meifen Qian Author-X-Name-First: Meifen Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Bin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Do mutual fund managers manipulate? Abstract: This is the first study to document the evidence for performance manipulation in the US equity mutual fund industry based on the performance manipulation-proof measure. Characteristics of the funds likely to be manipulated are identified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-971 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.993124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.993124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:967-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G�lcan Önel Author-X-Name-First: G�lcan Author-X-Name-Last: Önel Title: Do producers respond to every input price change? A note on nonlinearities in factor demand systems Abstract: Factor demand relationships, as they are represented by parameters of the cost function, are generally assumed to be linear (in the parameters) in the existing empirical literature. In this note, we argue that this might not always be true, because firms may incur adjustment costs that are inherent in the act of adjusting the mix of inputs applied in the underlying production technologies. We estimate a two-regime threshold system of factor demand equations for several manufacturing industries in the United States. Our results suggest significant nonlinear effects in the factor demand relationships in most nondurable goods sectors. Failure to account for this threshold sensitivity to input price change may cause the estimates of price elasticities to be biased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 972-977 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.993126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.993126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:972-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. R. Vicente Author-X-Name-First: M. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: Determinants of C2C e-commerce: an empirical analysis of the use of online auction websites among Europeans Abstract: E-commerce has opened up new commercial opportunities for businesses and consumers. In consumer-to-consumer (C2C) online markets, not only can individuals buy from other individuals but also sell. This article investigates the socio-economic factors shaping individuals' decisions to undertake C2C e-commerce. By means of a multinomial logit model and a unique data set of individuals across the full European Union, C2C purchasing and selling online patterns are analysed. This is an area where empirical evidence has usually focused on consumers' purchasing behaviour and less is known about sellers. Interestingly enough, results point out that the profile of sellers and buyers differs greatly, except for gender. Hence, certain socio-economic features, social online networks and the breath of internet use show different effects over e-selling and e-buying. Moreover, cross-region differences in incomes appear to be correlated with consumers' e-commerce use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 978-981 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.993127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.993127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:978-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: The nexus between top managers' human capital and firm productivity Abstract: The author uses panel data from the World Bank enterprise survey for the Egyptian manufacturing sector in order to analyse the nexus between top managers' human capital and productivity of firms. Pooled as well as firm fixed effects linear regressions indicate that firms are indeed on average more productive if the top manager has some kind of university degree, more experience in management activities and foreign experience in management jobs. Therefore, the overall results emphasize the importance of top managers and more generally of human capital in the determination of firm productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 982-986 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.993128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.993128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:982-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyein Shim Author-X-Name-First: Hyein Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junyeup Kim Author-X-Name-First: Junyeup Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Weather and stock market volatility: the case of a leading emerging market Abstract: This study examines how weather affects the stock market volatilities of a leading emerging market. By analysing both historical and model-free implied volatilities, we find that the historical volatility better captures the weather effect than the implied volatility. We also find that volatilities tend to increase in cloudy, wet and windless weather, and that investors asymmetrically react to extremely high weather conditions in comparison with extremely low weather conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-992 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.993129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.993129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:987-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Trade credit, international trade costs and exports: cross-country firm-level evidence Abstract: This article finds that firms' trade credit, the financing provided by upstream input suppliers along the supply chain, plays an important role in determining firms' exportation. In a panel data set of manufacturing firms in 25 Eastern European and Central Asian countries between 2001 and 2007, we employ international trade cost shocks to identify the causal impacts of trade credit on firms' exportation. We find that when trade costs decline, firms with less trade credit increase their exports disproportionately more because of the alleviation of their financing burdens. Results are robust after controlling for bank and other financing channels, country financial development, and the endogeneity of trade credit. Our findings contribute to the empirical identification of financial frictions on firms' exports and to the role of trade credit on firms' performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-998 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:993-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lieven De Moor Author-X-Name-First: Lieven Author-X-Name-Last: De Moor Author-Name: Piet Sercu Author-X-Name-First: Piet Author-X-Name-Last: Sercu Title: Characteristics of pricing errors in stocks implied by autocovariance and 'drag' Abstract: In this article, we estimate the lower bounds on the volatility and autocorrelation of pricing errors in stocks and infer the market-wide component in the pricing errors, by combining information from the autocovariance and 'drag' in stock returns. For the smaller US stocks, we estimate lower bounds of 8 - 10% for the volatility and 0.3 - 0.5 for the autocorrelation of the pricing errors, at monthly horizon. We infer that approximately 50% of the pricing errors of the smaller stocks originate from the market-wide component, whereas for larger stocks, virtually all of the pricing errors are market-wide. In practice, this evidence means that market-wide bubbles and busts are far more important than idiosyncratic sources of pricing errors, like thin trading, low liquidity or little analyst following. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1004 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:999-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar�a L. Gall�n Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a L. Author-X-Name-Last: Gall�n Author-Name: Carlos Peraita Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Peraita Title: A comparison of corporate social responsibility engagement in the OECD countries with categorical data Abstract: This note presents a new method to compare the engagement level of the OECD countries with the corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities when achievements of their companies are described by CSR standards. We introduce the eigenvector procedure developed by Herrero and Villar (2013), applying the analysis of group performance with categorical data. We find that differences in CSR engagement across OECD countries are quite low in the top and the bottom of the eigenvector classification compared with those of the GRI index. However, there are important differences across countries placed in the middle rank of these two classifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1009 Issue: 12 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:12:p:1005-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: St�phane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: St�phane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Title: Detecting jumps and regime switches in international stock markets returns Abstract: This article explores seven international stock markets (DJIA, Euro STOXX 600, Russell 2000, Nikkei, NASDAQ, FTSE and Global Dow) in the quest for jumps and regime switches. The methodological framework borrows from the Markov-switching approach and the stochastic modelling literature based on L�vy processes. The econometric procedure is detailed in a two-step fashion. The data set covers the period from June 2004 to July 2014. The main results uncover changing market dynamics according to economic and/or financial phenomena (e.g., economic crises/growth, news events) with the occurrence of several episodes characterized by a high jump intensity. We advocate the use of such a jump-robust model modulated by a Markov chain to further study the dependence structure of financial time series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1019 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1011-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margarita Barrera-Lozano Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Barrera-Lozano Author-Name: Alfredo J. Mainar Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mainar Author-Name: Jos� Vall�s Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Author-X-Name-Last: Vall�s Title: Disaggregation of sectors in social accounting matrices using a customized Wolsky method Abstract: The aim of this work is to enable the implementation of disaggregation processes for specific and homogeneous sectors in Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs), while taking into account the difficulties in data collection from these types of sectors. The method proposed is based on the Wolsky technique, customized for the disaggregation of SAMs, within the current-facilities framework. The Spanish SAM for 2008 is used as a benchmark for the analysis, and the specific sector chosen for disaggregation is that of the Spanish Optical Sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1020-1024 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1020-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Ortiz Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Ortiz Author-Name: Jos� Mar�a Ortiz de Z�rate Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Mar�a Author-X-Name-Last: Ortiz de Z�rate Author-Name: Luis Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: New evidence of quarterly return patterns in the Spanish stock market Abstract: This article updates the evidence found by Ortiz et al. (2010) in the Spanish stock market. Our results provide a lack of significant return anomalies around the first three quarter ends of the year, which questions the role of window dressing in these return patterns. Nevertheless, the results confirm a significant turn-of-the-year effect for small-cap stocks with poor return records, which may be consistent with the tax-loss selling hypothesis despite the wash sales regulation. Using a new approach, we find that this January effect is a widespread sector anomaly. Finally, the turn-of-the-year anomaly definitively exceeds the first trading days for the small-cap stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1029 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1025-1029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Yelowitz Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Yelowitz Author-Name: Matthew Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Characteristics of Bitcoin users: an analysis of Google search data Abstract: The anonymity of Bitcoin prevents analysis of its users. We collect Google Trends data to examine determinants of interest in Bitcoin. Based on anecdotal evidence regarding Bitcoin users, we construct proxies for four possible clientele: computer programming enthusiasts, speculative investors, Libertarians and criminals. Computer programming and illegal activity search terms are positively correlated with Bitcoin interest, while Libertarian and investment terms are not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1030-1036 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.995359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.995359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1030-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Title: Does ownership duration really matter? - Experimental study Abstract: This study tests experimentally how ownership duration affects the value attributed to different items, like a USB memory stick or a lottery ticket. Holding the item for 2 weeks increased the value of a lottery ticket but not the value of a USB memory stick. We argue that in the case of utilitarian items (such as USB memory stick), the holding time has no effect on the value since the owner can benefit from them while they are in his possession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1040 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.997916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.997916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1037-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eike Emrich Author-X-Name-First: Eike Author-X-Name-Last: Emrich Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Gender and generosity in charitable giving: empirical evidence for the German Red Cross Abstract: Results of earlier empirical research on gender differences in generosity regarding donations to charitable and other organizations are mixed. Our empirical study contributes to this research in that we analyse a new data set on the donations made by volunteers working for the German Red Cross. We report that women are more likely to spread their donations to more organizations than men, but among donors, the likelihood of making a large donation is larger for men than for women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1045 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.997917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.997917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1041-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannick Lucotte Author-X-Name-First: Yannick Author-X-Name-Last: Lucotte Title: Euro area banking fragmentation in the aftermath of the crisis: a cluster analysis Abstract: Using a hierarchical cluster analysis and considering a large range of harmonized banking indicators, this article assesses the impact of the recent crisis on the fragmentation of the euro area banking system. Results show that the crisis has led to a growing heterogeneity of banking structures across euro area countries. There is a lack of banking integration for Greece and Italy since the creation of the euro zone. Our findings confirm, therefore, the need to construct a banking union that will mitigate cross-country differences in terms of banking structure and promote a fully integrated banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1046-1050 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.997918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.997918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1046-1050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raúl Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Author-Name: Javier Garc�a-Bernal Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Garc�a-Bernal Author-Name: Marta Fern�ndez-Olmos Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Fern�ndez-Olmos Author-Name: Manuel A. Espitia-Escuer Author-X-Name-First: Manuel A. Author-X-Name-Last: Espitia-Escuer Title: Expected quality in European football attendance: market value and uncertainty reconsidered Abstract: The aim of this article was to deepen the study of the determinants of the sporting event's demand. Specifically, this study is focused on the relationship between the expected quality of the event and attendance at the European football stadiums. The study explores the Rottemberg Hypothesis (1956), which states the existence of a positive effect of the outcome uncertainty on attendance demand and approximates with dynamic indexes the outcome uncertainty and the quality of the contestant teams. From the estimation of the attendance equation using quantile regression (which takes into account the heterogeneity of the demand) highlights the fact that the attractive aspect of the event, approximated by the market value of the players taking the field, has a positive and significant impact whatever typology of venue. In addition, this study provides empirical support to the assumption that game day demand is more related to the quality of contestant teams than to outcome uncertainty level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1054 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.997919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.997919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1051-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziyao Luo Author-X-Name-First: Ziyao Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Christophe Schinckus Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schinckus Title: The influence of the US market on herding behaviour in China Abstract: This article investigates the influence of the US market on the herding behaviour on Chinese financial market through an analysis of daily data from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange markets for the period 2006-2012. This period is very informative because the financial crisis that emerged on the US market quickly widespread at a global level and that specific situation can generate herding behaviour. Results confirm the influence of the US market on the Chinese stock markets, but they show there is no contagion effect between these two countries. These results can be partly explained by the difference in terms of market structure: China stock markets have a unique micro- and macro-structure within which the government can easily intervene in case of destabilizing situation while the US markets are mainly independent of government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1055-1058 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.997920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.997920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1055-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Title: The instantaneous return and volatility of a covered call position Abstract: This article derives and examines the instantaneous return and volatility of a covered call position under standard Black-Scholes dynamics and compares it with that of a long position in the underlying asset. It is demonstrated that the instantaneous volatility and instantaneous expected return of the covered call position are always less than or equal those of being long the underlying asset, while the instantaneous Sharpe Ratios of these two positions are equal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1063 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1000514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1000514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1059-1063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Angeles Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles Title: Credit expansion and the economy Abstract: Credit expansion has been associated with faster economic growth and with a higher occurrence of financial crises - a pair of results which seem to contradict each other. This paper advances an explanation for these results by separating credit to the private sector into credit to firms and credit to households. The empirical analysis shows that credit to firms is responsible for the positive growth effect, while the higher occurrence of crises is mainly due to credit to households. The events of the last decade, where fast credit expansion led to crises and very little growth, can be understood as a shift in the composition of credit towards its household component. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1064-1072 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1000515 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1000515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1064-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: A note on the directional accuracy of interest-rate forecasts Abstract: I use data from the Livingston survey to study the informational content of forecasts with respect to the direction of subsequent changes in short-term and long-term interest rates. Using techniques developed to analyse relative operating characteristic (ROC) curves, I find that interest-rate forecasts often contain useful information with respect to the direction of future changes in interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1000516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1000516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Nan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: An empirical analysis of interest rates and exports under imperfect credit markets Abstract: This article studies the empirical relationship between interest rates and exports under imperfect credit markets. Our findings show that a well-developed credit market with ample credits has a positive effect on exports and interest rates exert a negative effect on exports. In particular, we find that in a well-developed credit market with ample credits, interest rates have a stronger negative effect on the exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1078-1082 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1002882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1002882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1078-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. Ko Author-X-Name-First: J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ko Title: Does an active fiscal policy work under a high level of government debt? Abstract: This article theoretically investigates the effect of expansionary fiscal shocks when the government faces a high debt-to-GDP ratio, under the regime of an active fiscal policy with a passive monetary policy in the terminology of Leeper (1991). We find that expansionary fiscal shocks become less effective when the government faces a high level of debt because the wealth effect on households decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1088 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1002883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1002883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1083-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Ajilore Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Ajilore Title: The militarization of local law enforcement: is race a factor? Abstract: Recent events have placed a spotlight on the increasing militarization of local law enforcement. While ample anecdotal evidence suggests a link between race and the militarization of police, empirical analysis has yet to be performed. In this study, I find that, conditional on crime rate, the presence of a large African-American population is negatively correlated to police acquisition of mine-resistant ambush protected (MRAP) vehicles. Conversely, greater residential segregation is positively correlated to MRAP procurement. This result highlights the problem with growing segregation, in suburbs as well as urban centres, in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1093 Issue: 13 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1002884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2014.1002884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1089-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mari�n V�vra Author-X-Name-First: Mari�n Author-X-Name-Last: V�vra Title: Empirical evidence of joint nonlinearity in economic area and US economic variables using two modified multivariate nonlinearity tests Abstract: This article examines the joint nonlinearity of 15 subsets of US and economic area (EA) economic variables using two modified multivariate nonlinearity tests recently developed in the literature. Clear evidence of joint nonlinearity in both US and EA economic variables is found. Our results thus cast doubts on the adequacy of using linear multivariate (VAR-type) models, structural or not, in applied economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1094-1099 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1005808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1005808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1094-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin R. Auer Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin R. Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: On the evaluation of soccer players: a comparison of a new game-theoretical approach to classic performance measures Abstract: In this article, we analyse the relation of a new measure for evaluating the importance of soccer players, recently proposed by Hiller (2015), to classic metrics of player performance. Using state-of-the-art bootstrap correlation testing and a data set of teams for the German soccer league (Bundesliga), we find evidence that even though this new game-theoretical approach has no significant correlation to a large number of performance measures, it is significantly related to some of the most important measures typically used in academic research (e.g. the player scores published by sports magazines and the number of played matches). These results indicate that the theoretically appealing new measure can be considered an interesting variable in pay-performance regressions and should be used accordingly in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1100-1107 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1005809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1005809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1100-1107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marianna Marino Author-X-Name-First: Marianna Author-X-Name-Last: Marino Author-Name: Pierpaolo Parrotta Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Parrotta Title: Self-employment: does parental cultural diversity matter? Abstract: We find evidence that parents with different cultural background favour self-employment experiences of their children. The effect of parental cultural diversity turns out to be stronger for children with no siblings or having at least a parent with universitary degree. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1108-1115 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1005810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1005810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1108-1115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshiho Matsunaga Author-X-Name-First: Yoshiho Author-X-Name-Last: Matsunaga Title: Salary commensurate with social capital Abstract: People who possess richer social capital can earn more than others can. An econometric analysis reveals that social capital increases a person's wage income even as human capital does. Previous empirical studies have clarified that gender, academic history, work history and similar social attributes are determinant factors of earnings. They also hint at other social attributes, apart from those mentioned above, that determine earnings. This article suggests that the positive effect of social capital on annual salary is the same for both men and women. This social capital feature differs from the gender inequality effect of human capital on annual salary in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1116-1121 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1008622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1008622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1116-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Parsons Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Parsons Author-Name: David Reavis Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Reavis Title: GDP estimation errors: bias or white noise Abstract: Questions have been raised about the accuracy and bias in the widely used advanced estimates of gross domestic product published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. This article will examine the data for any outward sign of prejudice or systematic bias. This pragmatic look at the numbers should help policy and business users of this information build confidence in the early GDP estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1122-1126 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1008755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1008755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1122-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: R. White Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Do immigrants reduce bilateral trade costs? An empirical test Abstract: We use the first comprehensive estimates of bilateral trade costs to test the extensively stated, but rarely evaluated, hypothesis that immigrants reduce trade-related transaction costs. Our results provide robust and direct evidence supporting this often-posited hypothesis. We examine the period from 1995 through 2010 using data that represent 174 im-migrant home countries and 19 OECD member host countries. We find that a 10% increase in the stock of immigrants from a given home country that reside in a given host country corresponds with a 1.04% decrease in the overall bilateral trade costs between the home and host countries. While different in magnitudes, we also find that the effect of immigrants, in reducing trade costs, persists across both manufactured and agricultural products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1132 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1008756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1008756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1127-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Jamal Elbaz Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Elbaz Author-Name: Lamia Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Lamia Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Title: Empirical evidence on SMEs' tax management Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the approaches that Moroccan SMEs adopt with respect to taxation using survey data. After the major approaches were identified from the tax management literature and were extracted by applying the principal component analysis to the survey data, we conducted a confirmatory factor analysis to determine the tax management approach of Moroccan SMEs. Our study suggests that Moroccan SMEs adopt a proactive approach to taxation and consider it as a decisional component of their overall strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1008757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1008757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Giusto Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Giusto Title: Approximate aggregation revisited: higher moments do matter Abstract: This article addresses the 'approximate aggregation' result by Krusell and Smith (1998) who show that in a heterogeneous-agent model it is possible to obtain near-perfect forecasts disregarding distributional information. While this fact is generally interpreted causally, the forecasting model is misspecified and thus unfit for inference. Approximate aggregation does not hold in the baseline economy of Krusell and Smith (1998) when inferences are drawn from an econometric model showing no evidence of misspecification: the higher moments of the wealth distribution are important for the aggregate dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1138-1143 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1011302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1011302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1138-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danlin Pu Author-X-Name-First: Danlin Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Author-Name: Shanping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shanping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of pricing mechanism reform on underpricing of initial public offerings in China Abstract: Using a sample of initial public offerings (IPOs) (A-shares) at the Shanghai Securities Exchange from 2003 to 2007, we examine the effect of introducing the bookbuilding method upon IPO underpricing in China. The results show that after the pricing mechanism reform, the underpricing of IPOs was significantly higher than that of fixed price offerings. The possible reason is that underwriters have no discretionary allocation in the hybrid bookbuilding/open offer method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1144-1149 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1011303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1011303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1144-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Dewenter Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Dewenter Author-Name: Ulrich Heimeshoff Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Heimeshoff Title: Do expert reviews really drive demand? Evidence from a German car magazine Abstract: A wide range of media provide information on many products based on reviews or expert opinions. A natural question is, whether these reviews and expert opinions have any effect on sales. A small but growing literature in economics and marketing science deals with this issue, by testing the relevance of such product information for goods such as financial instruments, wine, books and movies. However, most of these products have in common that quality is very difficult to measure. It is always also a matter of taste whether these products can be seen as high- or low-quality goods. Based on a unique data set, we test whether test scores published in a major German car magazine have significant impact on registrations of new cars in Germany. We find that test scores for certain cars have statistically significant impact on the number of new cars sold by several leading manufacturers on the German car market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1150-1153 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1011304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1011304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1150-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Crawford Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Crawford Author-Name: Bryan Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: John R. Wingender Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: Wingender Title: The impact of Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) events on firm value Abstract: To date, no research has examined the impact of events related to the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) on the value of firms with publicly traded equity, despite the importance of this legislation to the economic and legal environments of business. To examine the impact of the ADA on firm valuation, we analyse ADA-related media events associated with publicly traded firms. We find that the effects of ADA-related events are concentrated in the retail industry, where firms interact more frequently with the public. We find some evidence that positive events result in positive cumulative abnormal returns, but we do not find corresponding returns for negative events. Furthermore, we show that returns accrue to firms with positive ADA events, irrespective of firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1154-1157 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1011305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1011305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1154-1157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yihua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yonghui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yonghui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Feng Song Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: World energy intensity revisited: a cluster analysis Abstract: The aim of this article is to empirically identify convergence clubs in energy intensity among 109 countries from 1971 to 2010 by using a recently developed methodology, i.e., a new regression-based convergence test, introduced by Phillips and Sul (2007). This log t test allows us to endogenously identify the groups of countries that converge to different equilibriums and those that do not converge to any convergence clubs. We mainly find that, first, world countries do not seem to converge at the same steady-state level; instead, they form four separate clubs converging to their own steady-state paths and few countries are found to converge to no group at all. In addition, although the world as a whole shows the evidence of convergence, economic and geographic groups seem to converge at different speeds. Last, estimates from an ordered-logit model reveal that initial energy intensity level and openness are mainly responsible for the formation of the world convergence clubs, whereas industry share and R&D share are not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1158-1169 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1013603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1013603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1158-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Binyam Afewerk Demena Author-X-Name-First: Binyam Afewerk Author-X-Name-Last: Demena Title: Publication bias in FDI spillovers in developing countries: a meta-regression analysis Abstract: We used a recent meta-regression-analysis (MRA) method to investigate the publication bias of the intra-sectoral foreign direct investment (FDI) spillovers in a large sample of developing countries. Recent meta-analyses on this topic suggest that publication bias is not a problem for this field. Using a much larger sample of studies this article, however, finds substantial evidence of publication bias. Evidence suggests a preferential tendency to publish the article if studies reject the null hypothesis, that is, when the investigations produce positive and statistically significant findings. We collected 1450 spillover estimates conducted by 93 researchers from 69 primary empirical studies dealing with 31 developing countries for the period 1986-2013. We found that the FDI spillover effects are suffering from significant and meaningful publication bias. The bias ranges from 0.51 to 1.34, implying that the empirical effect size appears substantially much larger than the actual spillovers. Our results also indicate that for this field of research, publication bias is largely due to self-censorship rather than the censorship by reviewers and editors of journals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1170-1174 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1013604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1013604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1170-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Khan Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: Gift exchange anomaly: evidence from incentives vis-�-vis performance of Islamic insurance operators Abstract: This article provides evidence on the gift exchange anomaly using standard field data on the performance of Islamic insurance (takaful) operators (TOs). Takaful is a type of mutual insurance where policyholders insure each other and hire an operator to manage operations against a hybrid of financial incentives. These incentives include an upfront agency fee, which is found to have an inverted U-shaped relationship with performance of TOs. We use our results to identify an optimal hybrid contract for TO and find optimal agency fee as a percentage of net earned premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1178 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1016202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1016202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1175-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Docherty Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Docherty Author-Name: Adrian Melia Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Melia Title: The race that stops the equity market Abstract: The Melbourne Cup is a major horse racing event that is colloquially known as the 'race that stops the nation' in Australia. We use constituent stock intraday volume data on the Australian Securities Exchange S&P/ASX 200 equity index from 2003 to 2013 within a regression framework to examine whether this major horse race reduces investor attention. Results show that trading volume on the Australian equity market is significantly reduced during and immediately surrounding the running of the Melbourne Cup, supporting the claim that this is the 'race that stops the equity market'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1183 Issue: 14 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:14:p:1179-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarma Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Sarma Author-Name: Parinduri Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Parinduri Title: Children and maternal migration: evidence from exogenous variations in family size Abstract: Both theoretically and empirically, childbearing decreases female labour supply, but few papers examine the effects of children on whether women emigrate to work. Using exogenous variations in family size induced by parents' preferences for mixed sibling-sex composition in instrumental variable estimations, we find that in Sri Lanka where most migrants are women and mothers, children decrease maternal labour supply in the domestic market but they increase maternal labour supply abroad. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1184-1187 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1016203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1016203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1184-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: McMullen Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: McMullen Author-Name: Rouse Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Rouse Author-Name: Justin Haan Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Title: The distributional effects of the multi-track year-round calendar: a quantile regression approach Abstract: Year-round school (YRS) calendars that redistribute the 180 school days more evenly across the calendar year are growing in popularity. Learning loss theory predicts student response to year-round calendars could vary substantially across achievement levels. Existing research on the heterogeneous effects of YRS focuses on estimating mean treatment effects by subgroup. We instead use a quantile regression approach with school and grade-by-year fixed effects to estimate the distributional impact of year-round calendars using a natural experiment setting in Wake County, NC. Contrary to the prior literature, we find evidence of a positive impact of year-round calendars for the lowest-performing students. However, even for these students, the estimated academic impact is small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1188-1192 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1016204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1016204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1188-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Parenti Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Parenti Author-Name: E. De Simone Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: De Simone Title: Explaining determinants of national UNESCO Tentative Lists: an empirical study Abstract: The analysis empirically tests the determinants of the demand for acknowledgement in the Tentative List, an inventory of properties that States Parties intend to consider for the nomination in the World Heritage List (WHL). We find evidence that there are some sociopolitical and institutional variables that influence in a significant way the choice of states in requiring the admission of their properties in Tentative List. Namely, these variables represent the cultural relevance of a country and its role inside UNESCO, this last result being consistent with the findings of other previous analyses (Bertacchini and Saccone, 2012; Frey et al., 2013). Our conclusions unveil the possible reasons behind WHL imbalance, which date back to the submissions of Tentative Lists, the first act of national initiative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1198 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1019029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1019029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1193-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Mohammadzadeh Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadzadeh Title: Regulations on direct investment in ASEAN: do they reduce currency instability? Abstract: Many authors have studied the impact of capital controls on currency crises. However, few attempts have been made to explore the impact of separate controls on each type of capital flow on currency instability. To date, no study has examined the impact of regulation and control of direct investment on the probability of currency instability. The hypothesis of this study is that direct investment control decreases currency instability, especially when there is no control over the liquidation of direct investment. Regression analysis of probit panel data from eight ASEAN members over 1998-2011 supported this hypothesis. Another interesting outcome, which confirms the results of previous studies, is that overall capital control insufficiently protects countries against currency attacks. This study underlines the importance of considering various types of capital flows separately during external reform policy in emerging economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1199-1203 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1019030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1019030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1199-1203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo Ph. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Ph. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Title: Trading volume around announcements of mergers and acquisitions Abstract: This study investigates the volume reaction to merger and acquisition (M&A) announcements for acquiring firms. It identifies the method of payment, target ownership, firm size and the relative size of acquisitions as important cross-sectional determinants of the volume reaction. This research is important because volume is a fundamental attribute of securities markets. Moreover, the analysis of trading volume and its determinants provides insights about which M&A attributes cause investor disagreement about the value of M&A activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1204-1208 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1019031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1019031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1204-1208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam J. Hoffer Author-X-Name-First: Adam J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffer Author-Name: Jared A. Pincin Author-X-Name-First: Jared A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pincin Title: The effects of conference realignment on NCAA athletic departments Abstract: This study uses a panel of National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Division I athletic department revenue and expenditure data from 227 public colleges and universities to empirically investigate the effects of conference realignment over the period 2006-2011. The results show that schools moving into automatic-qualifying conferences experienced nearly $12.15 million in increased revenue, nearly matched by $10.12 million in added expenditures. Schools moving into any FBS conference saw revenues increase by $6.43 million, with expenses growing $5.03 million. Schools switching conferences to a non-FBS conference did not see a statistically significant change in revenues or expenses. Schools with football programs saw revenues increase by $2.94 million and profits increase by close to $1 million. Despite the increase in revenues, no change to institutional subsidies was observed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1209-1223 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1209-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feler Bose Author-X-Name-First: Feler Author-X-Name-Last: Bose Title: The determinants of sexual freedom from 1990 to 2010 Abstract: With sexual freedom represented by the changing definition of marriage in the news lately, the question this article seeks to answer is what drives the issue of sexual freedom. This article focuses on the hypothesized link between sexual freedom and possible explanatory factors. Data are obtained from 1990 to 2010. The examination of data shows that median income, ideology, median age, population density and religion variables are significant in understanding sexual freedom in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1224-1229 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1224-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bego�a Cueto Author-X-Name-First: Bego�a Author-X-Name-Last: Cueto Author-Name: Mat�as Mayor Author-X-Name-First: Mat�as Author-X-Name-Last: Mayor Author-Name: Patricia Su�rez Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Su�rez Title: Entrepreneurship and unemployment in Spain: a regional analysis Abstract: Self-employment is usually associated with entrepreneurship and it is often promoted as a way of reducing unemployment. Our aim in this article is to analyse the relationship between self-employment and unemployment taking into account its spatial dimension. The entrepreneur activity in each region depends not only on its own endowment but the entrepreneurship environment may be exerted some influence. Regional Spanish data are used to obtain evidence about this relationship using a Spatial Durbin model to embed the spatial dimension. The results reveal that both the direct and indirect effects are relatively small. Further, if unemployment increases in a region, self-employment decreases. However, if unemployment grows in neighbouring regions, incentives for entering self-employment increase, implying that there is a 'refugee' effect (self-employment as an answer to the lack of wage employment). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1230-1235 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1230-1235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Souleymane Soumahoro Author-X-Name-First: Souleymane Author-X-Name-Last: Soumahoro Title: Leadership favouritism in Africa Abstract: In this note, I document a strong and positive relationship between the ethnic affiliation of African leaders and satellite night-time luminosity in the historical homelands of ethnic groups. Using a unique data-set on 630 ethnicities and 86 leaders from 48 African countries, I show that luminosity is on average 75% relatively higher in leaders' ethnic homelands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1236-1239 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1236-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Po-Hsin Ho Author-X-Name-First: Po-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Yu-Chun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chih-Yung Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Do political connections matter to bondholders? Evidence from China Abstract: This article examines the association between political connections and the pricing of bonds in China. Political connections are associated with higher at-issue spreads on corporate bonds, implying that political connections do not ensure the alignment of interests between managers and bondholders. The adverse effects of political connections on borrowing costs are eliminated when the chairman and the CEO are politically connected. Evidence suggests that bondholders price new debt issuances by using the information about the political backgrounds of top managers. Moreover, the costs and benefits of political connections for bondholders vary with the extent of the connectedness of a firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1240-1245 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1240-1245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Chan Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: Extreme value analysis of electricity demand in the UK Abstract: For the first time, an extreme value analysis of electricity demand in the UK is provided. The analysis is based on the generalized Pareto distribution. Its parameters are allowed to vary linearly and sinusoidally with respect to time to capture patterns in the electricity demand data. The models are shown to give reasonable fits. Some useful predictions are given for the value at risk of the returns of electricity demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1246-1251 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1021453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1021453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1246-1251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixing Cai Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Fangming Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fangming Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Cheng (Colin) Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng (Colin) Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Why do Chinese local governments transfer their rights of control over SOEs to the central government? Abstract: This article investigates local authorities' motives for transferring their rights of control over state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to the central government. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we find that both employment and investment improves significantly following such transfers, and these findings are more pronounced among firms located in regions where the political pressure on local officials is higher. However, we fail to find any significant improvement in profitability. Our findings suggest that local governments tend to alleviate the political pressure they face by giving up their control rights and even sacrifice long-term economic benefits to do so. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1252-1256 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1252-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Posso Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Posso Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Title: Income, democracy and European colonization Abstract: The Modernization Hypothesis states that economic development drives democracy within countries. Until recently, this view was widely accepted by scholars, with cross-country regressions indicating that higher per capita incomes are indeed associated with higher levels of democracy. However, recent empirical work has shown that the positive effect of per capita income on democracy disappears with the inclusion of country fixed effects. Moreover, a heterogeneous effect of income on democracy has been found for countries that were colonized relative to those that were not. This article revisits the issue by examining whether the identity of the colonizer matters. Results reveal a negative association between income and democracy for former British colonies. The formation of the Commonwealth of Nations together with Dependency Theory is used to explain this finding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1257-1261 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1257-1261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. F. Li Author-X-Name-First: J. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Z. X. Lin Author-X-Name-First: Z. X. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The impact of sales tax on economic growth in the United States: an ARDL bounds testing approach Abstract: This article investigates the impact of sales tax on economic growth in the United States during the 1960-2013 period using the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach of cointegration. We estimate the long- and short-run elastic coefficients of sales tax on growth and find that economic growth in the United States responds negatively to sales tax in the long run, although it produces positive effects in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1262-1266 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1262-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Aaron Yelowitz Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Yelowitz Title: The short-run impacts of Connecticut's paid sick leave legislation Abstract: In 2012, Connecticut became the first state to enact paid sick leave legislation. Using a difference-in-differences framework, we find the law had modest but negative effects on the labour market, particularly on the likelihood of working in the past week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1267-1272 Issue: 15 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:15:p:1267-1272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyejin Song Author-X-Name-First: Hyejin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Shin Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Long-memories and mean breaks in realized volatilities Abstract: An extended sequential test of Bai and Perron (1998) to a long-memory process is applied to four sets of realized volatilities (RVs) of the US dollar-EU euro, the Japan yen-US dollar, the Korea won-US dollar exchange rates and the S&P 500 index to find significant structural breaks in the means. Even after the mean breaks are adjusted out, the RVs still have persistent memories, which will be shown to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of RVs if properly addressed than ignored. Contrary to the recent report of Choi et al. (2010) that 'short-memory + break' models have better forecast power than 'long-memory only' models in forecasting some foreign exchange rate RVs, models with 'long-memory + mean breaks' turn out to produce better out-of-sample forecasts than models with 'short-memory + mean breaks' and models with 'long-memory only'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1280 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1013605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1013605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1273-1280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lai Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Structural change and long-run reversion in the ex ante real interest rate Abstract: This study examines recent US data on Treasury inflation-protected securities and presents new evidence supporting the Fisher hypothesis. The real interest rate may appear to display no mean reversion when in fact it is mean-reverting and a structural shift is responsible. According to break date estimates, the structural change occurred shortly after the collapse of Lehman Brothers at the height of the US financial crisis. The timing also coincided with the launch of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1281-1286 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1023936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1023936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1281-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bebonchu Atems Author-X-Name-First: Bebonchu Author-X-Name-Last: Atems Title: A note on the determinants of long-run aggregate state productivity growth Abstract: We use data envelopment analysis to estimate state-level productivity and then use the pooled mean group approach to investigate its long-run determinants. Results indicate that human capital, infrastructure, energy shocks, a diverse mix of industries and states with large urban populations are associated with higher long-run aggregate state productivity growth, while unionisation has no long-run effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1287-1292 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1287-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arin Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Arin Author-Name: Torben Kuhlenkasper Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Kuhlenkasper Author-Name: Nandialath Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Nandialath Title: Critical thresholds for budget consolidations: a semi-parametric approach Abstract: While a lot is known regarding the determinants of successful fiscal consolidations, previous studies do not allow for the possibility of nonlinearities in factors impacting budget consolidations. By using a semi-parametric modelling approach employing penalized spline regression on a data-set for 28 OECD countries for the period 1978-2007, we demonstrate the existence of critical thresholds not only for the initial debt level but also for the accompanying monetary policy. The latter result shows when monetary policy matters most and suggests, counter to previous studies, that too lax a monetary policy decreases the success probability of a fiscal adjustment episode. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1297 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1293-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Klemm Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Klemm Title: Fiscal policy over the cycle: the role of automatic stabilizers Abstract: This article suggests a new adjusted fiscal balance to be used in studies of the cyclicality of fiscal policy. The suggested approach takes into account both discretionary policy action and those automatic stabilizers that are a systematic component of the tax and benefit system, but excludes additional revenues that are due to applying an unchanged average tax rate to nominal GDP in excess of potential. This article argues that this has advantages over the previous approaches relying either on the overall or the cyclically adjusted (or structural) primary balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1298-1302 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1298-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Title: Comparing data sources of real GDP in purchasing power parities Abstract: When comparing the development in international incomes, e.g. GDP per capita, the data used refer most often to incomes in real purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. The present analysis compares the most used data sources - Maddison's Historical Statistics, Penn World Table (PWT) and OECD - and includes four countries, the USA, Japan, the UK and France. These time-series data from the respective sources might be expected to be rather identical for a specific country, but the analysis reveals that there will be some differences, probably created by methodological procedures, which can influence, e.g. the very often applied unit root and cointegration tests of income convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1303-1308 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1303-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mogens Dilling-Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Mogens Author-X-Name-Last: Dilling-Hansen Author-Name: Valdemar Smith Author-X-Name-First: Valdemar Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: R&D, export and productivity in business services firms: testing the Bustos model Abstract: This article uses data for Danish business services firms to analyse the nexus between the decision to export, invest in R&D and firm productivity. Testing the hypothesis derived by Bustos (2011) by the use of a nonparametric test for differences in stochastic productivity distributions, see Delgado et al. (2002); it is found that the productivity distribution of exporting business services firms dominates the productivity distribution of nonexporting firms who do not invest in R&D. Except for 2007, this result holds for all the years included in the sample, i.e. 2007-2010. Exporting firms that are R&D active are more productive than nonexporting firms without R&D in all years between 2007 and 2010. This result is in accordance with Vogel and Wagner (2013) who test the Bustos model with German data for business services firms. The results are mixed when testing productivity differences for non-R&D active exporting firms with exporting firms that are R&D active. In this case the Bustos hypothesis holds only for 2009. Export of services has become increasingly important in foreign trade for developed countries. And the results add to the sparse empirical evidence on the interplay between R&D, export and productivity for firms in the business services industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1309-1314 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1309-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luc Arrondel Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Arrondel Author-Name: Majdi Debbich Author-X-Name-First: Majdi Author-X-Name-Last: Debbich Author-Name: Fr�d�rique Savignac Author-X-Name-First: Fr�d�rique Author-X-Name-Last: Savignac Title: Stockholding in France: the role of financial literacy and information Abstract: We use an original household survey to study the links between stockholding, financial literacy and acquisition of financial information within the French population. Controlling for subjective expectations on stock market returns and for risk aversion, we find that stock market participation is positively related to basic financial literacy and financial information acquisition through the press reading and the family financial context during childhood. We also find that basic financial literacy is not correlated with the share of stocks in financial assets conditionally on stockownership, while the correlation with information acquisition is significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1315-1319 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1315-1319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blaise Gadanecz Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gadanecz Author-Name: Ken Miyajima Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Miyajima Author-Name: J�rg Urban Author-X-Name-First: J�rg Author-X-Name-Last: Urban Title: Introducing financial stability considerations into Taylor rules in emerging market economies Abstract: We study optimized Taylor rules that incorporate financial stability considerations, which have been little analysed for emerging market economies. Setting the policy interest rate with a greater financial stability consideration reduces monetary policy effectiveness: a greater effort to reduce output volatility in the nontradables sector, where asset bubbles are prone to build, leads to greater inflation volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1320-1324 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1026579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1026579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1320-1324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Title: Is there ownership for money? Abstract: The experimental results from this study show that at least 50% of the subjects ask for more than a bill's face value when selling it (they ask for a premium), which indicates that there is an ownership effect for money. We also found that subjects who were asked to record the serial number of the bill requested a higher premium, indicating that this act strengthened the ownership effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1325-1328 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1029110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1029110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1325-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoyou Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chaoyou Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuanyuan Guo Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Qiang Ye Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: An anatomy of Chinese stock and futures markets' dynamic features Abstract: This letter uses a fusion model to investigate the coexistence of three distinctive dynamic features of Chinese stock and stock index futures markets: permanent volatility, transitory volatility and jumps. These three features are included in the component-GARCH-jump model proposed in the research. The empirical results show that permanent volatility has smooth movement and that the transitory volatilities strongly resemble each other. Jumps and volatility do not coincide significantly, indicating that the model divides them efficiently. In addition, the stock market is often restrained by daily price limits and processes abrupt information more slowly. Therefore, the stock market has more transitory part and the futures market has more jumps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1329-1334 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1029111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1029111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1329-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rishav Bista Author-X-Name-First: Rishav Author-X-Name-Last: Bista Author-Name: Rebecca Tomasik Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Tomasik Title: The not so distant effect of distance within a time zone Abstract: This article extends the distance and time zone trade literature by examining the impact on trade of larger distance within a time zone between a country pair. Although countries cannot control the physical distance between them and other countries, they do have some control over the time zone difference. We find the quartile for distance within each time zone difference and use these to create conditional distance quartiles which measure the overall impact of falling in the 25th-90th quartile for distance, given the time zone difference. We find that a larger distance within a time zone comes at an additional cost. For trade purposes, countries that could move from the 90th to the 25th conditional quartile for distance by increasing their time zone difference by two hours are better off doing so. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1339 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1029234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1029234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1335-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Gokcekus Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Gokcekus Author-Name: Eva Muchova Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Muchova Author-Name: Zuzana Brincikova Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Brincikova Title: Level and quality of openness and corruption in the ECA countries Abstract: Despite recent progress, corruption is frequently cited as an obstacle inhibiting business in the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region, and there are considerable differences in corruption across the ECA countries. Regression analyses show that both the level and quality of openness significantly affected corruption in the ECA countries between 1996 and 2009. These findings are robust; they do not depend on the addition of a number of other relevant variables or the choice of estimator - OLS, robust or random-effects generalized least squares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1340-1344 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1340-1344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Author-Name: J. Viinikainen Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Viinikainen Author-Name: P. B�ckerman Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: B�ckerman Author-Name: L. Pulkki-R�back Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Pulkki-R�back Author-Name: L. Keltikangas-J�rvinen Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Keltikangas-J�rvinen Author-Name: O. Raitakari Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Raitakari Title: Relative age at school entry, school performance and long-term labour market outcomes Abstract: This article examines the impact of relative age at school entry on school performance, educational attainment and labour market outcomes later in life. We find that the advantages of maturity at school entry are short-lived with relative age having no impact on the years of formal education, adulthood earnings or employment. Our findings are consistent with the view that assumes modest maturity effects in countries where formal education begins late and there are no ability-differentiated learning groups at initial grades. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1345-1348 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1345-1348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kemper Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Kemper Title: Do ratings matter? An examination of nonrated firms Abstract: I attempt to add to the credit rating literature by empirically testing a hitherto untapped sample. While increased attention is being paid to credit rating agencies through academic studies, the examination of nonrated firms has yet to be investigated. An analysis of this subset of firms can begin to answer the question of whether firms are responding to some omitted variable, rather than an adherence or preference for a credit rating. After creating hypothetical ratings for a nonrated sample, I examine if these firms react in a similar fashion to credit rating threats as do rated firms since a response to a rating stimulus by a nonrated firm that is qualitatively similar to a rated firm would open up a new argument against firms' regard for ratings. My results alleviate the concern of firm response to an omitted variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1354 Issue: 16 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:16:p:1349-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Durmus Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Durmus Author-X-Name-Last: Özdemir Title: The demand for Turkish wine: estimates of the wine price elasticities Abstract: This article examines the impacts of the recent high taxation policy on Anatolian wine demand and wine price elasticities. This article uses quarterly data between 1997 and 2013 to estimate key elasticities of the Turkish demand for wine. No prior study has estimated specific elasticities for wine consumption and the results also indicate that the high taxation policy is significantly reducing the wine demand and production in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1360 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1355-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Li Liu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zhichao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhichao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Forecasting realized range volatility: a regime-switching approach Abstract: In this study, we introduce the regime changes to the heterogeneous autoregressive realized range-based volatility model (HAR-RRV). The different regimes are specified depending on the expectations of volatility of RRV volatility. Our out-of-sample findings indicate that considering regime switching can significantly improve the forecasting accuracy of volatility models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1361-1365 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1361-1365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Title: Changes in aggregate food demand over the business cycle Abstract: The globally flexible Fourier functional form is used to provide estimates of how substitution between types of food varies over time. Estimates of Morishima elasticities of substitution between food and nonfood aggregates often show considerable variability over time, typically during recessions. In contrast, estimates from locally flexible functional forms only provide estimates at a single data point and fail to provide insight into changes in substitution over the sample. Evidence of changes in substitution over time has important policy implications, especially attempts to encourage increased consumption of fruits and vegetables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1366-1371 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1366-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Cleon Tsimbos Author-X-Name-First: Cleon Author-X-Name-Last: Tsimbos Author-Name: Apostolos Tsimpanos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsimpanos Title: Is spurious behaviour an issue for two independent stationary spatial autoregressive SAR(1) processes? Abstract: Spurious regression occurs when two independent stationary or nonstationary time series are found to be correlated. Spurious behaviour is also detected in spatial data. Using a Monte Carlo analysis, this study examines the spurious phenomenon for two independent stationary spatial autoregressive processes of order one, that is, SAR(1), and it finds that when spatial econometric models are estimated, as suggested by the LM specification tests, the spurious behaviour is not detected nor the presence of spatially autocorrelated errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1372-1377 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1031869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1031869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1372-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura L�pez-Torres Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: L�pez-Torres Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: Should we charge environmental factors for poor students' achievement? Abstract: The literature states that an unfavourable environment negatively affects students' performance. However, there is evidence showing that low socio-economic status does not always have a negative influence on students' outcomes. To shed some light on this issue, we develop a conditional order-m efficiency estimation. The results confirm that the environment impacts differently among schools and unfavourable socio-economic background does not always imply a negative influence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1378-1381 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1378-1381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Liya Shen Author-X-Name-First: Liya Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xiaoke Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoke Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haomiao Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Haomiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: The role of variance risk premium in predicting excess stock market return: out-of-sample evidences Abstract: This paper examines the out-of-sample performance of variance risk premium in predicting excess stock market returns across nine international markets. We assess the out-of-sample predictability through statistical and economic significance tests and find that the variance risk premium has strong forecasting power at the 4-month horizon for most of the international markets considered in this study. In addition, we find the predictability is even stronger during the recent financial crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1382-1388 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1382-1388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Ali Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: Productivity bias hypothesis: evidence from South Asia Abstract: Most existing studies have attempted to test the productivity bias hypothesis by making use of the cross-section data. This article utilizes country-level time series data from Penn World Tables to examine the productivity bias hypothesis for five South Asian economies (namely, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka). We make use of Johansen's cointegration approach and vector error correction modelling. The empirical analysis presented in this article shows that purchasing power parity theory holds for all countries considered. However, the productivity bias hypothesis appears to hold only in the case of Bangladesh and Nepal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1389-1394 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1389-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: Equities as long-term inflation hedges: small versus large company stocks Abstract: The central argument of this article is that small company stocks are better inflation hedges than large company stocks. That is because smaller companies tend to be more flexible to adjust their prices when inflationary shocks exist. Our econometric analysis provides supportive evidence for this hypothesis in the US context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1395-1398 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1395-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Past�n Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Past�n Author-Name: Rodrigo Saens Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Saens Author-Name: Roberto Contreras Mar�n Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Contreras Mar�n Title: Does energy use cause economic growth in Latin America? Abstract: This study analyses the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, using annual panel data from 16 Latin American countries over the period 1971-2001. We use a random coefficient (RC) method to control for both finite sample and sample-heterogeneity biases. Our results show (1) a long-run relationship between real GDP, energy consumption, labour force and real capital stock and (2) a long-run unidirectional causality running from energy to economic growth. These results support the energy-driven growth hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1399-1403 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1399-1403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiuling Hua Author-X-Name-First: Qiuling Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Tingfeng Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Tingfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: The prediction for London gold price: improved empirical mode decomposition Abstract: Gold has a strong anti-risk ability, and the price trend attracts much attention for most investors all over the world. This letter investigates and predicts the price of London gold by using the improved empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method. The prediction results after decomposition approximate well to the real ones and suggest more accurate gold price trend that can help investors in choosing better strategies in the big data era. Moreover, the forecasting methods and techniques used in the study provide inspiring new thoughts for high-frequency data analysis in theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1404-1408 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1404-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jones Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: McDermott Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: Linking environmental management to health outcomes: a case study of the emerald ash borer Abstract: Research has linked the environment to improved health outcomes; however, environmental policy continues to ignore this connection. This is particularly important with invasive species, such as the emerald ash borer (EAB), that are destroying ash trees throughout North America. This oversight has potential impacts in terms of increased mortality rates due to a loss of ash trees. To address this issue, we use a health production function to map heterogeneous environmental amenities to changes in health. We find that inclusive of health impacts, management of the EAB is qualitatively different than current practices and varies according to spatial distributions of wealth. This model has policy implications for the optimal management of environmental amenities where a link between nature and health exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1409-1414 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1034836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1034836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1409-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peters Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Author-Name: Asha Sundaram Author-X-Name-First: Asha Author-X-Name-Last: Sundaram Title: Country of origin and employment prospects among immigrants: an analysis of south-south and north-south migrants to South Africa Abstract: We study the relationship between country of origin and employment prospects for immigrants to South Africa, an emerging host country characterized by high levels of unemployment, labour market imperfections and a scarcity of skills. Using the 2001 South African census, we estimate the probability of being employed for working-age immigrant men and South African internal migrants. We find that, conditional on individual characteristics and education levels, the probability of being employed varies by country of origin, and that it is different for immigrants relative to native internal migrants. Immigrants from advanced countries outperform natives, while those from certain central, west-African and Asian countries underperform them. Additionally, results indicate that education increases the probability of employment for immigrants from all countries. These probabilities converge at high levels of education, resulting in greater dispersion of employment probabilities across countries at lower levels of education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1418 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1415-1418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miki Malul Author-X-Name-First: Miki Author-X-Name-Last: Malul Title: The process of brain drain in peripheral regions Abstract: The aim of this research is to explore the effect of a lower return on human capital in peripheral regions of a country compared to core regions on the decision of individuals in each region to acquire human capital by advancing their education. In addition, the study examines how these decisions may endogenously increase the income gap between the core region and the peripheral region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1419-1423 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1419-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Author-Name: Florian Neumeier Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Neumeier Title: Party affiliation rather than former occupation: the background of central bank governors and its effect on monetary policy Abstract: We find that tenures of central bank governors who are affiliated with a political party are characterized by a relatively dovish monetary policy stance. In general, party affiliation is more important than occupational background for the degree of hawkishness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1424-1429 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1424-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Korbinian Nagel Author-X-Name-First: Korbinian Author-X-Name-Last: Nagel Title: The long-run and short-run effects of health aid on life expectancy Abstract: This article examines the long-run and short-run effects of health aid on health, as measured by life expectancy at birth. Using panel cointegration techniques, it is found that while in the short run health aid has significant positive effects on life expectancy, in the long run, an increase in health aid leads to a small but significant reduction in life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1430-1434 Issue: 17 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:17:p:1430-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abel Fran �ois Author-X-Name-First: Abel Author-X-Name-Last: Fran �ois Author-Name: Raul Magni-Berton Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Magni-Berton Title: Partisan and bureaucratic changes in public education spending. French empirical evidence Abstract: Political economy provides four explanations of the changes of public education spending per pupil: that education expenditure is electoral, partisan, pro-cyclical or bureaucratic. The econometrical analysis of annual changes of French public education spending confirms the partisan and bureaucratic factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1435-1438 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1435-1438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariam Camarero Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Author-Name: Yurena Mendoza Author-X-Name-First: Yurena Author-X-Name-Last: Mendoza Author-Name: Javier Ordo�ez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ordo�ez Title: Energy use-GDP deterministic cointegration: progress towards EU-15 Kyoto targets Abstract: This article examines whether the energy consumption-GDP relationship is in long-term equilibrium for EU-15 countries. Unlike many previous works, we apply a nonlinear unit root test introduced by Kapetanios et al. (2003a) and extended by Chong et al. (2008) that identifies not only deterministic cointegration, but also the stronger concept of stochastic cointegration. The results yield a clear pattern: Austria, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain must achieve greater emissions reductions between 2009 and 2012 to reach their respective Kyoto targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1442 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1037433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1037433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1439-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Yin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Deposit insurance and effectiveness of monetary policy Abstract: This article discusses the impact of deposit insurance on the effectiveness of monetary policy. We apply the technique suggested by Zeileis et al. (2010) and use the data of Taiwan to investigate whether there are structural changes in the effectiveness of monetary policy. The empirical results show there are several break points in the interbank interest rate regression and the bank loan regression. The insignificance of estimated coefficients on open market operations in some segmented regressions implies the ineffectiveness of monetary policy during the period of full deposit guarantees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1449 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1443-1449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yan Ding Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Anni Su Author-X-Name-First: Anni Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Assessing the impact of the demographic dividend on real estate prices: empirical evidence from China Abstract: To elucidate the impact of the demographic dividend on real estate prices, this article uses the latest Chinese provincial data over the 2002-2013 period. The panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model combined with the impulse response function (IRF) is used to investigate the direct and indirect mechanisms of the demographic dividend that cause real estate price escalation in both the short and long term. The empirical results indicate that the demographic dividend, particularly city residents' disposable income, can not only directly increase real estate prices but also indirectly increase prices through intervening channels, such as real estate loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1450-1456 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1450-1456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xundi Diao Author-X-Name-First: Xundi Author-X-Name-Last: Diao Author-Name: Bin Tong Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: Forecasting intraday volatility and VaR using multiplicative component GARCH model Abstract: We use the multiplicative component GARCH model (mcsGARCH) to decompose the volatility of high-frequency returns of CSI 300 index into three components, namely the daily, the diurnal and the stochastic intraday volatilities. As expected, the diurnal volatility features an important intraday seasonality. Surprisingly due to the unique 'T + 1 trading rule' in Chinese stock market, the diurnal volatility of the 5-minute returns of CSI 300 index does not show a U-shaped pattern as in European and American stock markets. Moreover, we investigate the out-of-sample performance of the mcsGARCH model in forecasting the intraday volatility of the CSI 300 index. The results show that the mcsGARCH model performs well in Chinese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1457-1464 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1457-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parai Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Title: Does a cutback in external funding reduce incidence of foreign sponsored terrorism? Abstract: It is shown that a cutback in external funding would reduce the incidence of foreign sponsored terrorism in the home country, but the magnitude of the reduction will be somewhat smaller than normally expected because of the precipitous fall in the price of terror caused by home currency depreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1465-1468 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1465-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edmond Berisha Author-X-Name-First: Edmond Author-X-Name-Last: Berisha Author-Name: John Meszaros Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Meszaros Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Income inequality and household debt: a cointegration test Abstract: This article employs the Johansen and Engle-Granger methodology to determine if there is a cointegrating relationship between household debt and income inequality as measured by Atkinson, Piketty and Saez (2011). The results suggest a cointegrating relationship between the two series. A vector error correction model is estimated showing that a shock to household debt has statistically significant effects on income inequality in the United States over the time period 1919-2009. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1473 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1469-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Aristizabal-Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Aristizabal-Ramirez Author-Name: G. Canavire-Bacarreza Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Canavire-Bacarreza Author-Name: F. Rios-Avila Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rios-Avila Title: Revisiting the effects of innovation on growth: a threshold analysis Abstract: Since Schumpeter's (1934) seminal work, the existing literature has examined the relationship between innovation and economic growth, arguing for a strictly positive relationship. The recent literature suggests that this relationship might be non-linear. Low levels of innovation will not affect economic growth; yet, when a certain threshold is reached, innovation significantly promotes economic growth. Using panel data information for 147 countries from 2006 to 2012, we employ threshold regressions � la Hansen (1999) to test the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between innovation and growth. We find evidence that the relationship between innovation and growth is not linear and that only high levels of innovation increase economic growth. The results tend to be stronger when investment and public expenditure are present, suggesting that the quality of institutions is important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1474-1479 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1039699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1474-1479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheilla Nyasha Author-X-Name-First: Sheilla Author-X-Name-Last: Nyasha Author-Name: Odhiambo Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Odhiambo Title: Banks, stock market development and economic growth in South Africa: a multivariate causal linkage Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic causal relationship between bank-based financial development, stock market development and economic growth in South Africa - during the period 1980-2012. The study includes savings and investment as intermittent variables - thereby creating a multivariate Granger-causality model. Using the newly developed autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)-bounds testing approach, the empirical results of this study reveal that there is a distinct short- and long-run unidirectional causal flow from stock market development to economic growth in South Africa. The results also indicate that there is a unidirectional causal flow from bank-based financial development to stock market development in the short run. The study, however, fails to find any causality between bank-based financial development and economic growth. The study, therefore, concludes that the development of the real sector in South Africa is largely driven by stock market development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1480-1485 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1480-1485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Outreville Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Outreville Title: The market structure-performance relationship applied to the Canadian wine industry Abstract: The purpose of this research is to examine the relationship between market structure and performance in the wine sector using data from two Canadian provinces. Investigation is conducted on alternative hypothesis defined as the Structure-Conduct-Performance hypothesis, the Relative-Market-Power hypothesis and the Efficiency Structure (ES) hypothesis. The measure of performance is related to the reputation of wineries and expert ratings. Using regression analysis, we find support to the ES hypothesis. The empirical findings suggest that more research should be done on the ES of wineries in their respective markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1486-1492 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1486-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shi-jie Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shi-jie Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Long-run and short-run dynamics of nonlife insurance consumption in China Abstract: Insurance consumption has been growing rapidly around the world, but there are few theories of insurance consumption in the literature. With data from China, we investigate the dynamics of nonlife insurance consumption for both the long run and short run in an integrated framework by employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model developed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Our study focuses on two specific lines of nonlife insurance: personal accident insurance and automobile insurance, from which we discovered that the relationship between nonlife insurance consumption and its determinants is different across insurance lines and periods. The empirical findings of this article extend the results of previous works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1498 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1493-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simkin Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Simkin Author-Name: Roychowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Roychowdhury Title: Chess players' fame versus their merit Abstract: We investigate a pool of international chess title holders born between 1901 and 1943. Using Elo ratings, we compute for every player his expected score in a game with a randomly selected player from the pool. We use this figure as the player's merit. We measure players' fame as the number of Google hits. The correlation between fame and merit is 0.38. At the same time, the correlation between the logarithm of fame and merit is 0.61. This suggests that fame grows exponentially with merit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1504 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1499-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cunha Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Cunha Author-Name: Jeremy Arkes Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Arkes Author-Name: Lester Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Author-Name: Yu-Chu Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Employee retention and psychological health: evidence from military recruits Abstract: We estimate the relationship between psychological attributes of US Army recruits soon after enlistment and their propensity to leave service. We find that those with the worst psychological health are more likely to terminate employment, and we show how identifying psychologically unfit candidates prior to their employment can reduce the likelihood of future turnover and associated personnel costs. These findings have broad application to other stressful occupations such as firefighters, policemen and first-responders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1510 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1505-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Guillermo Bad�a Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Bad�a Title: A sector strategy from the Fama and French model Abstract: In this article, we test the degree of possible interest there may be in developing an investment strategy based on the three-factor Fama and French model (1992). To this end, we construct a sectorial strategy, taking as a market risk factor the sectorial index to which the securities belong. From our results, we conclude that the aforementioned strategy is of limited use, given that no extraordinary consistent yields are obtained. From this, we conclude that the hypothesis of the efficient market can be accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1514 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1511-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Guillemette Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Guillemette Author-Name: Chris Browning Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Browning Author-Name: Patrick Payne Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Don't like the picture? Change the frame: the impact of cognitive ability and framing on risky choice Abstract: This article identifies the effect a perceived upfront cost (UFC) has on the subsequent risky choice of older Americans with varying levels of cognitive ability. When respondents are faced with outcome alternatives framed with and without a UFC, we observe variation in respondents' required outcomes based on the order in which the two frames are presented. We provide evidence that among respondents with lower cognitive ability, losses need not be realized to affect subsequent risky choice, and that a UFC lowers the willingness to take risk in a future period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1515-1518 Issue: 18 Volume: 22 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1044643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1044643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1515-1518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Jalles Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks Abstract: We assess how demand and supply shocks (identified via the Blanchard and Quah (1989) structural vector autoregression approach) in 14 OECD countries affect markups. We find that individual responses of markups to demand shocks push down the markup for most countries (confirmed in the panel analysis). On the other hand, a supply shock has a more mixed effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1044640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1044640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Gechert Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Gechert Author-Name: Katja Rietzler Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Rietzler Author-Name: Silke Tober Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Tober Title: The European Commission's new NAIRU: Does it deliver? Abstract: The non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is a key component of potential output and as such critically affects output gap estimates. In May 2014, the European Commission changed its specification of the NAIRU for several countries and lowered its NAIRU estimates - in the case of Spain from 26.6% to 20.7% for 2015. To test the dependence of the new NAIRU on unemployment versus structural factors, we run counterfactual simulations applying 1SD shocks to actual unemployment and to the structural variable - real unit labour costs. We find that the NAIRU in its new specification is still largely determined by actual unemployment. This calls in question both the interpretation of potential output estimates as barriers to more vigorous inflation-stable economic activity and the accuracy of structural deficit figures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 6-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1044641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1044641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:6-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarcisio da Gra �a Author-X-Name-First: Tarcisio Author-X-Name-Last: da Gra �a Author-Name: Robert Masson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Masson Title: Market demand of smart but uninformed consumers rotates counterclockwise with better information: surprising welfare effects Abstract: Providing truthful and unbiased information about the true value of a good to a priori heterogeneous consumers generates a mean-preserving counterclockwise rotation of demand. The welfare analysis of such rotation in monopoly and perfectly competitive models indicates that consumers can lose surplus if they become better informed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1044642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1044642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Beilfuss Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Beilfuss Title: New evidence on factors affecting the level and growth of US health care spending Abstract: The dual problems of high and rising medical care expenditures and substantial differences in spending across geographic regions have long plagued the US health care system. We provide new evidence to explain why some states and regions of the country spend much more on medical care than others, and why health care spending for the nation as a whole has been growing rapidly over the last several decades. To do this, we estimate a health care spending panel data model using annual data on all 50 states for the period 1993-2009. Our model includes a number of socio-economic, health care provider, lifestyle and environmental variables that past studies indicate may affect the level or growth of aggregate health care spending. We exploit the time effect component of our model to obtain an upper-bound estimate of the effect of advances in medical technology. Our findings indicate that the most important factors influencing the level of spending are availability of providers, income, excessive alcohol consumption, Medicaid coverage, HMO health plans and the proportion of the population elderly and African-American. The principal drivers of growth have been the continual introduction of new medical technologies, and the growth of providers and income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1044644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1044644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Karagoz Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Karagoz Title: Comparative performances of EU-15 and Turkey: a PIN analysis Abstract: Turkey started the accession process with European Union (EU) in 2005. One of the main topics of EU Turkey negotiations was the economic convergence of Turkey to EU norms. This study devises and uses Panel Index Numbers (PIN) analysis to evaluate the performance and convergence prospects of Turkish economy in the face of EU-15 economies. As evaluation areas, we have selected two main macroeconomic indicators as GDP and Export. Our results have shown that, for both indicators, Turkish economy outperforms rest of the EU-15 economies, a point that should be valuable in the process of accession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1047081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1047081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:19-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Jamshid Mehran Author-X-Name-First: Jamshid Author-X-Name-Last: Mehran Title: Simultaneous board and CEO diversity: does it increase firm value? Abstract: There remain open questions regarding whether board of director ethnic and gender diversity increases or decreases firm value. Additionally, prior research has yet to examine the value effects of a diverse board in the presence of a gender/ethnic minority CEO. Using the KLD social ratings database, we examine 13 000 firm-years and provide robust evidence that board diversity increases firm value. However, we also show that any value added via board diversity is nullified when a diverse board operates in the presence of a female and/or minority CEO. Results suggest that a significant portion of the value in board diversity may come from gender/ethnic differences between the board members and the CEO. One implication of our study is that when hiring a CEO or electing directors relative gender/ethnic make-up is important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1047082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1047082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:23-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Author-Name: Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Applying a CRESH aggregate labour index to generate age-wage profiles Abstract: This article shows how a CRESH (Constant Ratios of Elasticity of Substitution, Homothetic) labour index can generate more realistic optimal wage profiles than traditional (restrictive) functional forms. The CRESH index function allows for age-specific elasticities of substitution that are implied by a proper choice of CRESH parameters. The ability to generate plausible optimal age-wage profiles can be useful in, for example, calibrating demographic macroeconomic models. The CRESH analysis also provides one explanation for the well-established divergence of actual relative wages by age from the relative age-specific intensity parameters of a simple additive labour index. Moreover, CRESH labour index may explain the increasing relative wages for middle-aged workers as a result of employing larger numbers of older workers (population aging). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1047083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1047083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:27-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V�tor Castro Author-X-Name-First: V�tor Author-X-Name-Last: Castro Author-Name: Rodrigo Martins Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Are there political cycles hidden inside government expenditures? Abstract: This article examines the presence of political cycles inside the Portuguese governments' aggregate expenditures by using annual data for 10 expenditure components. The results indicate that the choice of the expenditure components to be increased during election periods by Portuguese governments generally relates to more visible items such as general public services, social protection and health care. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1047084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1047084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:34-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: Masabala Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Masabala Author-Name: Simo-Kengne Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Simo-Kengne Author-Name: Weideman Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Weideman Title: The causal relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth: evidence from the G7 countries Abstract: This article re-examines the nature of the causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in G7 countries over the period from 1965 to 2011. We employ the Granger causality procedure proposed by Emirmahmutoglu and Kose (2011) which takes into account cross-sectional dependency and heterogeneity across countries. Our overall empirical results support the neutrality hypothesis for the panel while the individual country results confirm the same result with the exception of the case of UK, where the conservation hypothesis is confirmed, showing that GDP causes natural gas consumption in the country. These results make policies that promote the consumption of natural gas risk-free with regard to their effects to the economic growth and development levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 38-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1047085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1047085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:38-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hartwell Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwell Title: Quantifying nontariff barriers in Ukraine: a comprehensive trade cost approach Abstract: Great strides have been made recently in the theoretical approach to quantifying nontariff barriers. Modifying an approach proposed by Novy (2013), this article attempts to understand the extent of nontariff barriers between Ukraine and its major trading partners in goods by fashioning a new approach to trade in services as well. I provide the first comprehensive estimates of ad valorem equivalents of the nontariff measures that exist in Ukraine. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1049331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1049331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:47-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annie Tubadji Author-X-Name-First: Annie Author-X-Name-Last: Tubadji Author-Name: Vassilis Angelis Author-X-Name-First: Vassilis Author-X-Name-Last: Angelis Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: Kuznets' swings and intangible investments in forecast: the case of Greece Abstract: This article offers an analysis of the relationship between intangible investments and the pattern of local economic productivity in Greece. There are two main objectives in the article: (i) to explore the pattern of economic development in the country; (ii) to find evidence whether this pattern - and its trend - can be better predicted through a forecasting model including intangible investments (next to other relevant factors). To operationalize our study, we use the World Bank Development Indicators database which offers a time-series for Greece for the period from 1981 till date. This data set has two alternative relevant measures for intangible investments: knowledge- and health-related investments. In our analysis we employ first, a centred moving average with a stochastic estimation of the trend, and second a double exponential smoothing, as two alternative ('deductive' and next 'inductive') approaches to identifying a trend in our data for Greece. We find evidence for a Kuznets swing type of cyclical pattern for Greece - confirmed by triangulation. Most significantly, we also find a relationship between local economic development and intangible investments. These results prompt an evidence-based query about underlying Myrdalian and Tieboutian foundations of wave theory for understanding local economic crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1049332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1049332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:56-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brad Graham Author-X-Name-First: Brad Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Caleb Stroup Author-X-Name-First: Caleb Author-X-Name-Last: Stroup Title: Does anti-bribery enforcement deter foreign investment? Abstract: This article presents the first empirical evidence that bilateral fixed capital flows fall in response to anti-bribery enforcement actions. We hand-collect data on individual enforcement actions initiated by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) and show that anti-bribery enforcement in a country is followed by a 40% reduction in foreign fixed capital investments made by US companies in that country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1049333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1049333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Caputo Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Caputo Author-Name: Rodrigo Vald�s Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Vald�s Title: A fiscal vaccine against the Dutch disease Abstract: The Dutch disease is a concern when a country is blessed with positive terms of trade (ToT) shocks. This article assesses the effects of a structural balance fiscal rule - which saves part of the revenues from better ToT - in limiting the real exchange rate (RER) appreciation. We find that the elasticity of the RER to ToT has declined (or is zero) in Chile and Norway, during the years in which the fiscal rule has been in place, although only for the part of ToT that accrue to government revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 68-73 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1049334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1049334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:68-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mjelde Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Mjelde Author-Name: Tae-Kyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Choong-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Choong-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Comparison of Internet and interview survey modes when estimating willingness to pay using choice experiments Abstract: With the increasing use of the Internet as a survey mode, questions of mode effects and how potential effects influence inferences arise. Using a choice experiment combined with mixed logit estimation, willingness-to-pays (WTPs) for attributes are compared between the Internet mode and the more traditional interview survey mode. The results suggest that there are differences in WTP between the two survey models for three of four attributes. Furthermore, WTPs obtained from the interview survey are larger than the WTPs obtained from the Internet survey, suggesting potential social desirability behaviour by the interview respondents. Internet surveys involving sensitive issues may be desirable because of potential social desirability behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 74-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1051648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1051648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:74-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dove Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Dove Title: Judicial independence and economic freedom in the US states Abstract: This article addresses the extent to which differences in judicial independence across US states influence economic freedom by using the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom of North America Index. Overall, the results suggest that, as judicial independence increases within a state's court of last resort, so does a state's overall economic freedom score, along with each of the subcomponent index scores. These findings add important nuances to the literature and provide opportunities for future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 78-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1051649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1051649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:1:p:78-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Opfinger Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Opfinger Title: The Easterlin paradox worldwide Abstract: The Easterlin paradox states that, although richer people report higher levels of well-being within one country, no such relationship exists across countries or over time. Several authors disagree and claim a robust positive relationship. A percentage increase of income always leads to higher well-being. This article reassesses the relationship, but analyses regional differences. I find that the positive relationship is strong in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and North African countries and Latin America. The relationship is not significant in Western Europe and Asia. In North America/Oceania and Sub-Saharan Africa, the marginal effect even becomes negative. Materialistic attitudes or the degree of collectivism may serve as explanations for the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1051650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1051650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paweł Baranowski Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Baranowski Author-Name: Paweł Gajewski Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Gajewski Title: Credible enough? Forward guidance and perceived National Bank of Poland's policy rule Abstract: Forward guidance effectiveness is conditional upon its credibility. This policy, when taken as credible, should reduce the perceived impact of macroeconomic variables on the interest rate. Using the Taylor rule framework and employing micro-level data set, we test the perception of monetary policy in Poland among professional forecasters. Our results show that the Taylor principle is violated in the forward guidance period, which provides evidence for forward guidance credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-92 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1051651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1051651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:89-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul E. Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: The doughboy premium: an empirical assessment of the relative wages of American veterans of World War I Abstract: This article examines 1940 US census data to assess the relative wages of World War I (WWI) veteran and nonveteran men. Our empirical analysis indicates a 3.6% wage premium for veterans, after controlling earnings-related characteristics. Although lower than comparable estimates for WWII veterans, our results suggest that American veterans of the Great War earned a higher wage premium than those of the Vietnam or Korean conflicts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-96 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1051652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1051652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:93-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasios Koulakiotis Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Koulakiotis Author-Name: Apostolos Kiohos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Kiohos Title: Positive feedback trading and long-term volatility links: evidence from real estate markets of USA, Be/Lux and Switzerland Abstract: This article investigates the positive feedback trading strategies in the real estate markets of USA, Belgium/Luxembourg (Be/Lux) and Switzerland, linking these strategies with long-term volatility. The results are in favour of a positive feedback trading strategy which negatively influences investors' risk-return position on real estate markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:97-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soheil R. Nadimi Author-X-Name-First: Soheil R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nadimi Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: Nonexclusionary input prices under quantity competition: vertical integration, foreclosure and sabotage Abstract: A vertically integrated provider is a monopoly supplier of an input essential for its rival to produce downstream output. Market exclusion in the form of inefficient foreclosure or sabotage can arise when input prices are, respectively, 'too high' or 'too low' relative to the downstream price. The range of nonexclusionary input prices within which neither form of market exclusion arises is determined by displacement ratios. The safe harbour range of downstream-to-upstream 'price-cost' margin ratios is decreasing in the degree of product homogeneity and approaches a single ratio in the limit as the products become perfectly homogeneous. The bounds of nonexclusionary input prices are markedly wider under Bertrand-Nash competition than they are under Stackelberg competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:101-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim de Vries Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: de Vries Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: Credit ratings and bond spreads of the GIIPS Abstract: We examine the relationship between credit ratings and bond yield spreads of peripheral countries in the euro area (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) for the period 1995-2014. Since 2012, bond spreads of those countries have come down very fast, whereas credit ratings have hardly changed. Our results suggest that credit rating agencies have become more cautious and have changed their approach to assess credit risk of sovereigns, and that the impact of sovereign credit risk ratings on sovereign bond spreads has changed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:107-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari H�nnik�inen Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: H�nnik�inen Title: The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity Abstract: We analyse the predictive content of the mortgage spread for US economic activity. We find that the spread contains predictive power for real GDP and industrial production. Furthermore, it outperforms the term spread and Gilchrist-Zakrajšek credit spread in a real-time forecasting exercise. However, the predictive ability of the mortgage spread varies over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 112-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:112-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Glas Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Glas Author-Name: Michael H�bler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: H�bler Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Title: Catching up of emerging economies: the role of capital goods imports, FDI inflows, domestic investment and absorptive capacity Abstract: We show that the impact of capital goods imports and FDI inflows on economic convergence depends on the local capacity of emerging economies to absorb superior technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Galletta Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Galletta Title: On the determinants of happiness: a classification and regression tree (CART) approach Abstract: This article studies the determinants of the individual's subjective well-being by applying a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to data from the Survey on Household Income and Wealth (SHIW) provided by the Bank of Italy. The results support the primary importance of economic conditions but show that their effect is heterogeneously dependent on other individual characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1054066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1054066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos A. Medel Author-X-Name-First: Carlos A. Author-X-Name-Last: Medel Author-Name: Pablo M. Pincheira Author-X-Name-First: Pablo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pincheira Title: The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model Abstract: We analyse the forecasting performance of several strategies when estimating the near-unity AR(1) model. We focus on the Andrews' (1993) exact median-unbiased estimator (BC), the OLS estimator and the driftless random walk (RW). We also explore two pairwise combinations between these strategies. We do this to investigate whether BC helps in reducing forecast errors. Via simulations, we find that BC forecasts typically outperform OLS forecasts. When BC is compared to the RW we obtain mixed results, favouring the latter while the persistence of the true process increases. Interestingly, we find that the combination of BC-RW performs well in a near-unity scheme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 126-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1057890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1057890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:126-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Kitenge Author-X-Name-First: Erick Author-X-Name-Last: Kitenge Title: Effects of food and agricultural imports on domestic factors in the U.S. agricultural sector: a translog cost function framework Abstract: The translog cost function of the U.S. agricultural sector unveils dynamic relationships between foreign and domestic inputs. On average, capital and labour are weak substitutes, but they are strong substitutes to food and agricultural imports. Therefore, enhancing trade policies on food and agricultural products should be supplemented by strategic policies aiming at protecting domestic factors' income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-137 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1058897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1058897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:132-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James T. Peach Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Peach Author-Name: Steven L. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Steven L. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: An empirical analysis of the 2014 Major League Baseball season Abstract: An econometric analysis of the 2014 Major League Baseball season is conducted with respect to regular season victories. Results obtained confirm many, but not all, results reported in prior research. The importance of solid team pitching and offence is underscored. Team defence did not vary sufficiently to play a statistically significant role in team victory differences. Outcomes for total payrolls and salary disparities differ substantially from prior seasons. History may serve as a guide to what occurs on the field, but it does not always replicate the patterns of bygone years. Ultimately, 2014 represents another departure from the standard baseball norm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 138-141 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1058898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1058898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:138-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Christina Christou Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Christou Title: Energy productivity convergence: new evidence from club converging Abstract: The goal of this study is to explore the convergence of energy productivity across 31 countries from 1972 to 2012 by using the convergence club algorithm developed by Phillips and Sul (2007). The empirical results lead to the rejection of full convergence and to the presence of a certain number of clubs. The transitional curves, however, indicate that over the long run energy productivity tends to converge, indicating the strong attempts of the countries under investigation to adopt energy policies that eventually contribute to a convergence pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 142-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1058899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1058899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:142-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. C. Montes Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Montes Author-Name: P. C. Paschoal Author-X-Name-First: P. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Paschoal Title: Corruption: what are the effects on government effectiveness? Empirical evidence considering developed and developing countries Abstract: This study analyses the impact of corruption on government effectiveness for a sample of 130 countries. The findings suggest that less-corrupt countries have better quality of public service, better quality in the formulation and adoption of policies and greater credibility and government's commitment to such policies. The findings also suggest that the effect of corruption on government effectiveness is higher in developed countries. Moreover, the estimates also reveal that countries with the most indebted governments and with higher inflation rates have less-efficient governments, and an increase in rule of law represents a good strategy to improve government effectiveness. In turn, regarding developing countries, the findings show that countries with more democratic regimes have a higher degree of government effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 146-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1058900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1058900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:146-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: S. Hamori Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Testing cointegration between health care expenditure and GDP in Japan with the presence of a regime shift Abstract: Using quarterly data from 1994 through 2013, this article is the first to use the Hansen and Seo (2002) tests to examine the long-term relationship between real per-capita GDP (PGDP) and real per-capita health care expenditure (PHCE) in Japan with threshold effects. We detect the presence of a threshold cointegrating relationship between the two variables. In addition, we find that error correction adjustments are significantly conducted only through PGDP in a typical regime, whereas both PGDP and PHCE drive the adjustments in the extreme regime. We find that the extreme regime occurred mainly after Q4 2008, implying that the policy introducing the late-stage medical care system for the elderly in April 2008, which expanded the ratio of personal expenses for the elderly, may be effective for attaining a long-run equilibrium between PGDP and PHCE. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1058901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1058901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:2:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Beneito Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Beneito Author-Name: M. E. Rochina-Barrachina Author-X-Name-First: M. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina-Barrachina Author-Name: A. Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Title: Foreign capital, credit constraints and continuity of firms' R&D Abstract: In this article, we investigate the role of foreign capital participation as a means for firms to overcome the obstacle posed by credit constraints to sustain R&D investments. Using data for Spanish manufacturing firms in the period 1990-2006, we show that firms with foreign capital are significantly less likely to stop already initiated R&D projects and also more likely to sustain R&D investment when facing credit constraints. Our results are robust to positive selection into foreign capital participation, which we control through a set of variables chosen from a propensity score estimation, and to firms' fixed-effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Giesen Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Giesen Author-Name: Rolf Scheufele Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Scheufele Title: Impulse response analysis in a misspecified DSGE model: a comparison of full and limited information techniques Abstract: In this article, we examine the effect of estimation biases - introduced by model misspecification - on the impulse responses analysis for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Thereby, we use full and limited information estimators to estimate a misspecified DSGE model and calculate impulse response functions (IRFs) based on the estimated structural parameters. It turns out that IRFs based on full information techniques can be unreliable under misspecification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 162-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:162-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Vikas Agrawal Author-X-Name-First: Vikas Author-X-Name-Last: Agrawal Author-Name: Robert Boylan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Boylan Author-Name: Donald Horner Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Horner Title: The impact of the net percentage growth rate in the number of small firms on differential state-level employment growth rates in the US: an exploratory empirical note Abstract: This brief exploratory empirical note seeks to identify key determinants of geographic differentials in the percentage growth rate of state-level employment in the US, with the primary focus being on the percentage net growth rate in the number of small firms (i.e., those with fewer than 20 employees) in each state, where this variable serves as a de facto reflection of 'entrepreneurship'. In the interest of identifying other key factors that influence state-level employment growth rates, the effective income tax rate in each state, quality of life elements and labour market considerations are also included in the analysis. The study period runs from the year 2000 to the year 2007, ending just prior to the 'Great Recession'. The estimation results imply that the state-level employment growth rate in the US was an increasing function of the percentage net growth rate in the number of small firms in each state. Thus, it appears that the small firms growth rate may in fact be a significant source. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-170 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061637 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:167-170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Debt uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from five highly indebted Eurozone countries Abstract: The goal of this study is to examine the relationships between economic growth and debt uncertainty by applying the threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity modelling methodology in five Eurozone countries spanning the period 2001-2013. The results document that during the European fiscal crisis period, debt uncertainty exerts a significant negative effect on economic growth across all five Eurozone countries that experienced the deterioration of their fiscal positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:171-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: M. McAleer Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: R. J. Powell Author-X-Name-First: R. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: A. K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: A capital adequacy buffer model Abstract: We develop a new capital adequacy buffer model (CABM) that is sensitive to dynamic economic circumstances. The model, which measures additional bank capital required to compensate for fluctuating credit risk, is a novel combination of the Merton structural model, which measures distance to default and the timeless capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which measures additional returns to compensate for additional share price risk. We apply the model to a portfolio of mid-cap loan assets over a 10-year period that includes pre-GFC (global financial crisis), GFC and post-GFC. An analysis of actual defaults over this period shows the model to be far more accurate in determining the capital adequacy levels needed to counter credit risk than an unresponsive ratings model such as the Basel standardized approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agustin Casas Author-X-Name-First: Agustin Author-X-Name-Last: Casas Author-Name: Yarine Fawaz Author-X-Name-First: Yarine Author-X-Name-Last: Fawaz Title: Altitude as handicap in rank-order football tournaments Abstract: The structure of professional sports allows us to document predictions from the theory of rank-order tournaments (Lazear and Rosen 1981). In the context of South American FIFA World Cup Qualifiers, under the presence of heterogeneous agents, handicapping the best quality players may increase the tournaments' efficiency by making the contest more competitive. In particular, we show that playing in high-altitude stadiums (above 2500 m) constitutes a handicap as the otherwise least competitive teams benefit from the existence of an altitude advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-183 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1061640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1061640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:180-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aysit Tansel Author-X-Name-First: Aysit Author-X-Name-Last: Tansel Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Emre Aksoy Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Aksoy Title: Unemployment and labour force participation in Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between labour force participation rate and unemployment rate in Turkey a developing country. Cointegration analysis is carried out for the aggregate and gender-specific series. The findings indicate that there is no long-run relationship between labour force participation and unemployment rates in Turkey. Thus, unlike in the case of the developed countries, the unemployment invariance hypothesis is supported in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 184-187 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:184-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Fagiolo Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Fagiolo Author-Name: Gianluca Santoni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluca Author-X-Name-Last: Santoni Title: Revisiting the role of migrant social networks as determinants of international migration flows Abstract: This note revisits the role of migrant social networks (MSNs) as determinants of bilateral migration flows. We do so using two alternative databases, covering about 190 world countries for the period 1960-2000. In line with previous estimates, we consistently find a significant, positive, impact of MSNs at destination. We also find that such an impact decreases very slowly as the year when MSNs are observed is farther back in the past. We also find that geographical distance is becoming less and less important over time but significantly explains the absence of a migration corridor only when MSNs at destination have very small sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 188-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:188-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masafumi Kozuka Author-X-Name-First: Masafumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kozuka Title: Exchange rate, marginal q and investment behaviour of small and medium-sized enterprises in Japan: time series evidence of manufacturing industries Abstract: In this article, we investigate Granger's causality among the exchange rate, Tobin's marginal q and investment-capital ratio with quarterly data on firms categorized as small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Japan. We utilize the data of the following industries: chemical, iron and steel, production machinery, electric machinery and equipment, automobile and accessories and all manufacturing. The empirical results we obtain show that the null hypotheses of no Granger's causality from the exchange rate to other variables, investment and marginal q, are accepted in all industries. The reason is the lower percentage of export by SMEs. Thus, it is considered that the effects of Abenomics on SMEs are limited, and that other kinds of reflation measures for SMEs are needed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:194-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The impact of the death penalty and executions on state-level murder rates: 1980-2011 Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the effect of capital punishment on state-level murder rates. Using a large current data-set and a two-stage fixed effects model, results of the present study suggest that states with death penalties and at least one execution in a given year had 28% lower murder rates than other states. These results hold regardless of the functional form used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Robin Christmann Author-X-Name-First: Robin Author-X-Name-Last: Christmann Title: Do judges react to the probability of appellate review? Empirical evidence from trial court procedures Abstract: The appellate review system is intended to serve as an efficient remedy for imperfect judicial decision making. However, it can fulfil this task only when appeals are ex ante unpredictable to the judge, and thus can be expected to occur primarily in case of a bad verdict. Using data from case records of a German trial court, we show that the probability of appeal can be predicted based on easily observable exogenous factors. Controlling for the complexity of a legal case, we find that judges also tend to decrease their effort when the ex ante probability of appeal is low. Thus, our empirical evidence indicates an inefficiency in the appellate review system because trial judges allocate their effort to cases not exclusively according to case complexity, but particularly according to the ex ante probability of being reviewed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 202-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:202-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Conrads Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Conrads Author-Name: Tommaso Reggiani Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Reggiani Author-Name: Rainer Michael Rilke Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Rilke Title: Reducing ambiguity in lotteries: evidence from a field experiment Abstract: Ambiguity about the chances of winning represents a key aspect in lotteries. By means of a controlled field experiment, we exogenously vary the degree of ambiguity about the winning chances of lotteries organized to incentivize the contribution for a public good. In one treatment, people have been simply informed about the maximum number of potential participants (i.e. the number of lottery tickets released). In a second treatment, this information has been omitted as in all traditional lotteries. Our general finding shows that simply reducing the degree of ambiguity of the lottery leads to a sizable and significant increase (67%) in the participation rate. This result is robust to alternative prize configurations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 206-211 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:206-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: Stock price leads and lags before the golden age of high-frequency trading Abstract: In this article, I take advantage of the revision of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index membership in 1999, to study the environment for high-frequency trading back then. Between stocks leaving or joining the DJIA, and similar stocks remaining in the DJIA, consistent price lead and lag relationships can be established. This provides evidence that statistical arbitrage is entirely feasible at the time, and it is plausible that a significant portion of the trading volume in 1999 is due to high-frequency trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 212-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:212-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Author-Name: I. Kyritsis Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Kyritsis Author-Name: V. Patsika Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Patsika Title: The dynamic linkages between economic growth, environmental quality and health in Greece Abstract: Increasing economic activity ignoring environmental quality may distort economic growth, leading to a negative rate. The expected deterioration of health in the near future may lead to further environmental degradation, with a continuation of a spiral-type path towards worsening growth and efforts to catch up with the developed economies. Τhis article examines the dynamic interdependence between economic activity, health quality and environmental degradation for Greece over the period 1960-2012. We employ Kuznets-type models and apply several co-integration techniques along with Granger causality tests. The results reveal strong causal effects, running from income towards CO2 and infant mortality. In the multivariate context, a significant long-run impact is directed towards infant mortality, with economic growth performing rather exogenously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aparna Mathur Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mathur Author-Name: Sita Nataraj Slavov Author-X-Name-First: Sita Nataraj Author-X-Name-Last: Slavov Author-Name: Michael R. Strain Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Strain Title: Has the Affordable Care Act increased part-time employment? Abstract: We examine the impact of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on part-time employment. Because the ACA's employer health insurance mandate applies to individuals who work 30 or more hours per week, employers may try to avoid the mandate by cutting workers' hours below the 30-hour threshold in order to avoid having to provide them with health insurance. Although the employer mandate only went into effect in 2015, many observers have argued that forward-looking employers began to shift towards a part-time workforce well in advance of the mandate. To test this hypothesis, we examine relative shifts across two categories of part-time workers (25-29 hours and 31-35 hours). We find some evidence of a shift from the 31-35-hour category into the 25-29-hour category after the passage of ACA in March 2010. However, that shift is not more pronounced among low-wage workers or among workers in industries and occupations most likely to be affected by the mandate. Thus, there is little evidence that the ACA has caused the shift across hours categories, or led to an increase in part-time employment. However, the ACA could cause a shift towards part-time work in the future as the mandate takes effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 222-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:222-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Perri Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Perri Title: Does signalling solve the lemons problem? Abstract: Maybe. Lemons and signalling models generally deal with different welfare problems, the former with withdrawal of high quality sellers, and the latter with socially wasteful signals. Absent signalling, with asymmetric information, high productivity workers may not be employed where they are valued the most. If one's productivity is known in alternative employment, signalling that overcomes the lemons problem will only occur if it increases welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:227-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Charalampos Agiropoulos Author-X-Name-First: Charalampos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiropoulos Title: The balance between size and power in testing for linear association for two stationary AR(1) processes Abstract: The classical statistical procedure in testing the null hypothesis of zero correlation for two independent stationary AR(1) processes produces spurious correlations, contrast to the alternative testing approach that has been proposed by Agiakloglou and Tsimpanos (2012). This study examines the trade-offs between size distortions and power using both testing techniques, including the case where the true values of the autoregressive parameters are replaced by their estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 230-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:230-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmud Yesuf Author-X-Name-First: Mahmud Author-X-Name-Last: Yesuf Author-Name: Robert M. Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Title: Ambiguity aversion among student subjects: the role of probability interval and emotional parameters Abstract: In the literature on decision-making under uncertainty, it has been shown that decision-makers tend to prefer taking gambles with known-risk probabilities (pure risk) over equivalent gambles with ambiguous probabilities. This article contributes to the ongoing discussion in the literature on cognitive and non-cognitive covariates of ambiguity aversion. Through a series of experiments, it finds that subjects are more ambiguity-averse to prospects with wide probability intervals than to an equivalent prospect with narrow intervals, and that subjects' inherent trust, happiness and level of optimism affect the level of ambiguity aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Berck Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Berck Author-Name: Sofia B. Villas-Boas Author-X-Name-First: Sofia B. Author-X-Name-Last: Villas-Boas Title: A note on the triple difference in economic models Abstract: This article shows when a triple difference strategy using an imperfect control category improves on the double difference strategy for estimating an average treatment effect. For example, a product is treated in one place and not another leading to a double difference strategy. When does comparison with an untreated product in triple difference strategy improve accuracy? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian P. Cozzarin Author-X-Name-First: Brian P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cozzarin Title: Advanced technology, innovation, wages and productivity in the Canadian manufacturing sector Abstract: In this article, we used a two-step estimation procedure, where in the first stage, the number of advanced manufacturing technologies used in the firm was estimated using a negative binomial regression, and the expenditure on process and product innovation was estimated using a type II Tobit procedure. In the second stage, we used the predicted values from the first stage in wage and labour productivity equations. The data were from the 2009 Survey of Innovation and Business Strategy which was linked to the General Index of Financial Information (2004-2009) and the Longitudinal Employment Analysis Program (2004-2009). The implications for policy are that we should not expect large aggregate effects of innovation on productivity and employment. We should expect wage increases and productivity increases, with process innovation. We should also expect moderate wage increases with product innovation, and contrary to process innovation, the effect on productivity of product innovation was negative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:243-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Horst Baruffaldi Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Baruffaldi Author-Name: Marianna Marino Author-X-Name-First: Marianna Author-X-Name-Last: Marino Author-Name: Pierpaolo Parrotta Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Parrotta Title: Self-employment, start-up incentives and political ideology Abstract: We find evidence that public start-up incentives promote self-employment. This public policy seems to affect more women than men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 250-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:250-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Christensen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Author-Name: Michael Vangsgaard Christensen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Vangsgaard Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Author-Name: Ken Gamskjaer Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Gamskjaer Title: Delegated portfolio management and diversification Abstract: This article analyses the potential diversification benefits available to high-net-worth investors utilizing multiple portfolio managers. We show that enlisting seven actively managed portfolios from multiple portfolio managers generate significant benefits in terms of risk reduction, and, interestingly, diversification benefits are shown to be larger for low-risk portfolios compared to high-risk portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Frick Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: P. Wicker Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Wicker Title: The trickle-down effect: how elite sporting success affects amateur participation in German football Abstract: The trickle-down effect assumes that sporting success at the elite sport level descends down to the amateur sport level in the sense that people are inspired by sporting success to participate themselves. Previous research failed to find convincing evidence for this relationship, mostly because the data used and the methods applied (e.g. cross-sectional data, primary data, correlations) were not adequate. This study addresses these shortcomings and examines the effect of national sporting success on amateur sport participation in German football using longitudinal data from 1950 to 2014. Since an individual's decision to participate in sport also depends on other factors, the regression models also control for working hours, real wages etc. The results show that only World Cup title wins of the men's national team have a positive and statistically significant impact on the number of and percentage changes in individual club memberships, clubs and teams. The coefficients of European Championship titles and title wins of the women's national team turn out to be mostly insignificant. Future research should examine the reasons as to why only title wins by the men's team have a measurable inspirational effect on amateur sport participation in football. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:259-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Michalis Gkouvakis Author-X-Name-First: Michalis Author-X-Name-Last: Gkouvakis Author-Name: Aggelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Aggelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Causality in EU macroeconomic variables Abstract: This article investigates the interdependence of macroeconomics, financial and other variables for European Union countries using a multivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) approach for quarterly data. The VAR analysis is applied to all bivariate cases, and the best fitted models are selected in order to conduct Granger causality testing and impulse response functions. Contrary to the existing literature, this study reveals evidence of a unilateral direction between several cases and ambiguous results regarding Impulse response functions analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 264-277 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1068919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:264-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Feyzrakhmanova Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Feyzrakhmanova Author-Name: Constantin Gurdgiev Author-X-Name-First: Constantin Author-X-Name-Last: Gurdgiev Title: Patents and R&D expenditure effects on equity returns in pharmaceutical industry Abstract: As costs of pharmaceutical R&D soar and productivity falls, the role of research pipelines in firm valuations is changing. To date, surprisingly little work has been published on the effects of R&D pipeline performance on equity returns, while controlling for coincident factors, such as legacy patents and presence of blockbuster drugs in production. Using 1996-2013 data for nine largest pharmaceutical companies in the world, this article assesses the role of the above factors on returns to pharmaceutical companies equity. We show significant positive link between changes in the number of blockbusters on patent six months prior and returns in excess of pharmaceutical equity index. The number of patents granted by United States Patent and Trademark Office in a quarter is also a significant factor. On the other hand, we find that increases in R&D expenditure in large-cap pharmaceutical companies are viewed negatively by investors in the short term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 278-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:278-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Title: On the temporary and permanent components of global construction Abstract: This letter applies unobserved components models to decompose global construction series. By examining the temporary and permanent trends in a structural time-series framework, the uninterpretable difficulties inherent in bandpass filters are overcome and the trend-cycle decomposition of the construction series is treated as a special case. Overall global construction mimic patterns in the global economy: falling with recessions and rising with upturns. Understanding the cyclical behaviour of global construction output and its long run trend holds important lessons for smoothing the construction cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 284-289 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:284-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luciana De Andrade Costa Author-X-Name-First: Luciana De Andrade Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Emerson Wagner Mainardes Author-X-Name-First: Emerson Wagner Author-X-Name-Last: Mainardes Title: The role of corruption and risk aversion in entrepreneurial intentions Abstract: The literature on entrepreneurship has suggested that an individual's entrepreneurial intention depends on three types of factor: personal characteristics, the individual's expertise and professional background, and external factors. Our study investigates how corruption, an external factor, and risk aversion, a personal characteristic, may simultaneously affect individuals' entrepreneurial intentions. With data on 76 203 individuals in 53 countries, our estimation results indicate that risk aversion decreases the individual's probability of having an entrepreneurial intention by 6.67 percentage points. In addition, an increase in 1 SD in the perceived level of corruption in a country decreases the individual's probability of having an entrepreneurial intention by 0.96 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 290-293 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:290-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weigang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Weigang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Yun Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Does speculation Granger cause return in Chinese commodity markets? Abstract: We test the Granger causal relations between speculation and returns in Chinese commodity markets using quantile regression method. We find that speculation Granger causes returns in rebar, bean pulp and rapeseed oil markets. At lower quantiles, estimates are negative; but estimates are positive at upper quantiles. This indicates that larger speculation results in larger return volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 294-297 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:294-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradit Withisuphakorn Author-X-Name-First: Pradit Author-X-Name-Last: Withisuphakorn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: The effect of firm maturity on corporate social responsibility (CSR): do older firms invest more in CSR? Abstract: Motivated by the literature on corporate life cycles, we explore the effect of firm maturity on corporate social responsibility (CSR). Our results based on over 26 000 observations across 21 years reveal that more mature firms invest significantly more in CSR. Furthermore, we find that the effect of firm maturity is not uniform across different categories of CSR. As firms get older, they become much more responsible in terms of diversity and environmental awareness, whereas the effect of firm ageing is much weaker in terms of human rights and product safety. Our study is the first to link corporate life cycles to CSR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-301 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:298-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Caruso Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Caruso Author-Name: Marco Di Domizio Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Di Domizio Title: Interdependence between US and European military spending: a panel cointegration analysis (1988-2013) Abstract: The aim of this article is to study the interdependence of military spending between US and a panel of European countries in the period 1988-2013. The empirical estimation is based on a: (1) unit root tests and a cointegration analysis and (2) fully modified ordinary least squares and dynamic ordinary least squares estimations. General results highlight that military spending of European countries is: (1) positively associated with US military spending and (2) negatively associated with average military spending of other European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-305 Issue: 4 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:302-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fathali Firoozi Author-X-Name-First: Fathali Author-X-Name-Last: Firoozi Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: On the joint Fourier--ESTAR testing of PPP Abstract: The purchasing power parity (PPP) is the hypothesis that the real exchange rate series are stationary. This study briefly reviews and applies six competing unit root test procedures to test PPP. Reflecting the existing literature, the results are mixed. The Kiliç test is the most favourable while the Kapetanios, Shin, and Snell (KSS) test is the least favourable to PPP and the standard ADF test lies in between. The same conclusion applies to the Fourier extensions of those three tests. The results support a recently suggested F-test for the significance of Fourier terms in unit root test equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-983 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:979-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Galvis Ciro Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Title: Inflation targeting credibility and sovereign risk: evidence from Colombia Abstract: This article relates to the literature on sovereign risk in developing countries. In particular, we present empirical evidence to address the effect of inflation targeting credibility on sovereign risk based on the Colombian experience. The findings denote that credibility is an important improvement in the institutional framework to reduce the sovereign risk premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 984-990 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125425 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:984-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Title: Can the Islamic bank be an emerging leader? A panel data causality analysis Abstract: This short note investigates the ability of Islamic banks (IBs) to play a leading role in revamping and driving conventional banking. To this end, we used a panel of 10 major conventional banks (CBs) and 10 IBs over the period 2006--2013. We applied panel regression tests and carried out a panel causality analysis. Our findings identified no significant causality effect from IBs to CBs and indicated that IBs are not able to play a role of leader. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-994 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:991-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Mrittika Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Mrittika Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: The causal interaction between financial development and human development in Bangladesh Abstract: This note investigates the causal relationship between financial development measured as the domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP) and human development measured by the Barro--Lee index in Bangladesh. The bootstrap causality tests with leverage adjustments are implemented in order to avoid any distributional assumption. It is found that human development is causing financial development. However, there is no significant causality running from financial development on human development. The policy implication of these empirical findings is also elaborated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Yao Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Shan Lei Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Prior investment outcomes and stock investment in defined contribution plans Abstract: In this study, we employ the 2001--2013 Survey of Consumer Finances to examine how prior investment outcomes affect portfolio allocation in defined contribution (DC) plans. Results show that investors with prior gains are more likely to invest all DC plan assets in stocks. Factors such as risk tolerance and investment horizon positively affect investors’ tendency to allocate all DC assets to stocks. These findings have important implications for investors, researchers and financial professionals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1002 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:999-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terrance K. Martin Author-X-Name-First: Terrance K. Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Michael A. Guillemette Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Guillemette Author-Name: Christopher M. Browning Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Browning Title: Do retirement planning strategies alter the effect of time preference on retirement wealth? Abstract: An individual’s willingness to accumulate retirement wealth is influenced by their preference for intertemporal consumption. People with a strong preference for current consumption (high personal discount rate) may choose to save less and face the risk of decreased retirement preparedness. A negative relation between a high personal discount rate and retirement wealth may be reduced when individuals engage in some form of retirement planning. Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we provide evidence that respondents with a high personal discount rate accumulated 37% less retirement wealth, on average, between 2004 and 2008, when compared with respondents with a low personal discount rate. However, when retirement planning strategies were included in the model, there was no statistical difference in retirement wealth between people with high and low personal discount rates. The retirement planning strategies included calculating a retirement income need, hiring a financial planner for retirement or engaging in both of these activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1005 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1003-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ana Sarabanda Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Sarabanda Title: The impact of health sector on R&D, economic growth and wages Abstract: We extend the existing R&D growth literature by focusing on the short-, medium-, long-run effects of the health sector on R&D intensity, economic growth and wages, and by considering 21 OECD countries between 1991 and 2008. We show that: (i) there is a unique and stable steady state; (ii) an increase in health-labour share in skilled population has no effect on growth, but affects negatively (positively) the R&D intensity (the skill premium); (iii) Anglo--Saxons countries have the lowest health-labour share in skilled-labour population, and Nordic countries have the lowest skill premium and the highest consumption/production of healthcare per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1006-1011 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1006-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José María Serrano Author-X-Name-First: José María Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Author-Name: María Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-First: María Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Gadea Author-Name: Marcela Sabaté Author-X-Name-First: Marcela Author-X-Name-Last: Sabaté Title: Lost in intervention. The Harrod--Balassa--Samuelson effect on the peseta/dollar real exchange rate (1870--1998) Abstract: We have decomposed the peseta/dollar real exchange rate (1870--1998) into its trend and cyclical components and used the former to proxy its time-varying equilibrium. Then, we have compared changes in the equilibrium with changes in the Spanish and the USA productivity differentials to identify years that do not fit with the Harrod--Balassa--Samuelson (HBS) hypothesis. The greatest maladjustment is found in the 1940s and 1950s, decades of strong exchange rate intervention in Spain. Conversely, the link between equilibrium and differentials adjusts to the hypothesis when using the non-intervened peseta/dollar exchange rate on the Tangier black market. These contrasting results back up the idea that exchange rate intervention, so common in developing countries, might explain their scanter evidence in favour of the HBS effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1012-1017 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1012-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James W. Mjelde Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mjelde Author-Name: Alicia A. Israel Schwarzlose Author-X-Name-First: Alicia A. Author-X-Name-Last: Israel Schwarzlose Author-Name: Rebekka M. Dudensing Author-X-Name-First: Rebekka M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dudensing Author-Name: Yanhong Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yanhong Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Linda K. Cherrington Author-X-Name-First: Linda K. Author-X-Name-Last: Cherrington Author-Name: Junyi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Subject pool effects among the general population and students: a choice experiment example Abstract: Rising costs of conducting research coupled with limited budgets are forcing researchers to use samples of convenience. Students represent one such sample, but are students an appropriate population? The objective is to ascertain how students’ willingness to pay (WTP) differs from the general public’s WTP. Students and county residents are surveyed. Results suggest the study’s goal may determine if student responses are generalizable to the general population. The samples are similar in many characteristics, but WTP amounts vary. The student samples show some inconsistencies. If the goal is general behavioural inferences, the results provide support for the use of students. If the goal is to estimate specific WTPs for use in policy analysis, the use of students may not be advisable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1018-1021 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1018-1021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Hermann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Hermann Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Title: Anchoring effects in experimental discount rate elicitation Abstract: Discount rates are often elicited using incentivized or hypothetical multiple price lists. We conduct two multiple price lists according to Coller and Williams (Experimental Economics 2: 107--127, 1999) with varying ranges of larger--later payments. Participants carry out both tasks and are randomly assigned to a task order as well as to a payment or no-payment treatment. Our results indicate that the range of the first completed task anchors discount rate decisions. Participants who begin the task with the lower range of the larger--later payments stated lower discount rates than participants who start with the task containing a wider range. Paying monetary incentives does not influence the detected anchor effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1022-1025 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1128072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1128072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1022-1025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Fei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A simple IID test for autoregressive conditional duration models Abstract: We propose using the rank-based variance ratio test as an easy-to-implement test for testing the independent and identically distributed assumption of autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models. We apply the proposed test to duration data of five stocks and get the same conclusions as previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1026-1028 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1130212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1130212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1026-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Brzoza-Brzezina Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Brzoza-Brzezina Title: Amplification of shocks at the zero lower bound in a small open and large closed economy Abstract: This letter compares the consequences of hitting the zero lower bound in small open and large closed economies. I show that in a large economy shocks are modified by the zero lower bound on interest rate much more than in a small one -- as a result, the large economy may suffer more. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1130213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1130213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lawson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lawson Author-Name: Ryan Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Does antitrust policy promote competition? Abstract: Using new measures of the scope and strength of antitrust policies, we find no evidence that more robust antitrust regimes correlate with more intense local competition or less corporate dominance. The results cast doubt on the common textbook assumption that antitrust policies improve levels of competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1034-1036 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1130784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1130784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1034-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bala Ramasamy Author-X-Name-First: Bala Author-X-Name-Last: Ramasamy Author-Name: Matthew C. H. Yeung Author-X-Name-First: Matthew C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yeung Title: Diversity and innovation Abstract: Although the effect of culture on national innovation levels is well-established, previous literature assumes cultural homogeneity within a nation. In this article we analyse two aspects of diversity -- ethnic and values -- and their impact on national innovation output. We show that ethnic diversity or fractionalization and values diversity are distinct and while the former has a negative effect on innovation, the latter contributes positively. However, countries are bound to have both types of diversity. We find that countries that are ethnically homogenous but diverse in values orientation are the best innovators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1041 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1130785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1130785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1037-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Bailey Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Nathan Blascak Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Blascak Title: The effect of state health insurance benefit mandates on premiums and employee contributions Abstract: The average US state has 40 benefit mandates, laws requiring health insurance to cover particular conditions, treatments, providers or people. We investigate the extent to which these mandates increase the health insurance premiums paid by employers, and the extent to which these higher premiums are passed on to employees in the form of higher employee contributions. We use state-level data on premiums and employee contributions to health insurance from the insurance component of the 1996--2011 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Our main analysis is a fixed effects regression that controls for age, race, income, union membership and the presence of state mandate waivers. We find robust evidence that the average mandate increases premiums by approximately 0.6%, and that mandates lead to similar increases in employee contributions for single-coverage health insurance plans. Alternative specifications using an AR(1) error structure estimate a larger effect of mandates, while those using generalized estimating equations estimate smaller effects. We find that mandates requiring insurers to cover a specific benefit, as opposed to a specific type of provider or person, lead to the largest increases in employee contributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1042-1046 Issue: 14 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1130786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1130786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:14:p:1042-1046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terrance K. Martin Author-X-Name-First: Terrance K. Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Michael A. Guillemette Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Guillemette Author-Name: Fabiola E. Urgel Author-X-Name-First: Fabiola E. Author-X-Name-Last: Urgel Title: The effect of disability income on retirement decisions and wealth Abstract: Using the 2008 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, this study examines the impact of receiving disability income on a respondent’s decision to calculate a retirement income need, use tax-advantaged accounts and accumulate retirement wealth. Respondents who received disability income were 4.4% less likely to report calculating a retirement income need and 4.5% less likely to report using a tax-advantaged account, compared to a reference group of respondents who did not receive disability income. Respondents who received disability income also accumulated 41% less retirement wealth compared to the same reference group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1335 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1333-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia- Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia- Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hong-Xuyen Thi Ho Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Xuyen Thi Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Shih-Hsiung Luo Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Hsiung Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Yu-Shiuan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Using Malmquist index to select the strategic partners in vertical integration: the case of Taiwan LED supply chain Abstract: In recent years, green technology efficiency has been one of the most interesting issues when referring to energy saving. The light-emitting diode (LED) is one of the competitive industries on green technology in Taiwan. The objective of this article is to select the vertical strategic partners of the 22 LED companies through investigating performance of integration. The Malmquist productivity index (MPI) is used to evaluate the average efficiency change from 2011 to 2015. The empirical results show that the productivity change was influenced by both catch-up effects and frontier effects. For upstream companies, the MPI of Tekcore is superior to others because it maintained technical efficiency and technological change. For downstream companies, most of them are performed well in technical efficiency than technological change. This article helps LED manufacturers select the appropriate strategic partners to achieve competitive advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1336-1341 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1336-1341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Jones Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Lu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Regional job multipliers Abstract: Job multipliers are often cited as justification for economic development incentives in particular industries. In this article, we use Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for counties in the State of Ohio to estimate the tradable sector’s job multiplier. We find that for each additional job in the tradable sector over a 10-year period, there are 1.6 jobs created in the nontradable sector. This multiplier estimate is lower for shorter periods of 1 year and 3 years. For the manufacturing sector specifically, we find the multiplier effect to be 1.2 jobs in the nontradable sector over a 10-year period. We also provide evidence that the multiplier varies over time. During the recessionary period of 2008 and 2009, the multiplier appears lower compared to the time period preceding and proceeding the recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1342-1345 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1342-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Al-Hadi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Hadi Author-Name: Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee Author-X-Name-First: Khamis Hamed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Yahyaee Author-Name: Syed Mujahid Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Syed Mujahid Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Author-Name: Grantley Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Grantley Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Market risk disclosures, corporate governance structure and political connections: evidence from GCC firms Abstract: This paper investigates the joint effect of political connections, in the form of the royal family member on board, and corporate governance on the market risk disclosures of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) financial firms from 2007 to 2011. Previous research suggest that politically connected firms reduce the level of transparency in the GCC. However, we find that better corporate governance improves transparency and can be used as an effective tool in curbing the potentially adverse impact of politically connected board members on firms’ transparency. Our results have important implications for policy makers and can be generalized to other emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1346-1350 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1346-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jieun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jieun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Privacy and security concerns in online health services Abstract: There is a growing interest in Internet privacy and security concerns. This article investigates Internet privacy and security concerns to determine whether such concerns hinder online health service use under different policies that enhance privacy and security protection. Empirical findings show a negative association between online privacy and security concerns and the use of online health services. Regulations enhancing customers’ privacy and security moderate the negative relation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1354 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1351-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Chavez Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Chavez Author-Name: Marco Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Author-Name: Alba Collart Author-X-Name-First: Alba Author-X-Name-Last: Collart Title: Using eye-tracking to model attribute non-attendance in choice experiments Abstract: We investigate revealed attribute attendance in discrete choice experiments using eye-tracking. A simple theoretical framework is proposed in which choices are a function of visual attention. Consistent with the existing literature, the assumption that participants use all the available information to make their decisions does not hold. The results also illustrate that model fit and predictive power are greatly increased by using visual attendance measures as regressors. The use of eye-tracking technology has value for measuring revealed attention and to benchmark with existing choice models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1359 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1355-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivana Lolić Author-X-Name-First: Ivana Author-X-Name-Last: Lolić Author-Name: Petar Sorić Author-X-Name-First: Petar Author-X-Name-Last: Sorić Title: A critical re-examination of the Carlson–Parkin method Abstract: The euro area has been experiencing a long period of inflation well below the targeted 2%. This has once again brought the problem of quantifying inflation expectations into the scientific focus. Within the framework of the Carlson–Parkin (CP) method, previous research has mostly focused on altering the probability distributions. Analysing as much as 2688 versions of the CP method, we prove that the distribution choice provides only minor improvements in the forecasting accuracy. On the other hand, the method assumptions (unbiased expectations and the number of survey response categories) play the pivotal role. We make an attempt to provide an assumptions-free quantification method by recognizing the fact that agents perceive ‘moderate’ inflation through the inflation targeting policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1360-1363 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1360-1363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benoit Dostie Author-X-Name-First: Benoit Author-X-Name-Last: Dostie Title: Complementarities between firm-sponsored training and information technology use Abstract: In this article, we investigate the presence of possible complementarities between investments in information technology (IT) and firm-sponsored training using economy-wide longitudinal representative workplace-level data. Since information on the firm’s capital stock is often missing in such representative data, we match our workplace records to tax data to construct measures of the firm’s capital stock. We find some evidence of positive complementarities between investments in human capital and IT, suggesting that on-the-job training can also have a positive impact on productivity when complemented with investments in CAD or other technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1364-1367 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1364-1367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesper Stage Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Stage Title: Living in a bubble: potential gains from flexible water management policies Abstract: We study Swedish implementation of the European Union’s Water Framework Directive, and compare the current implementation strategy with more flexible ‘bubble’ schemes, where measures can be traded among various locations within the same river system to reach the overall environmental target. Two different Swedish river systems, the Mörrum system with small-scale hydropower plants, and the Ångerman system with larger plants, are studied. We find that the environmental benefits that current policies are likely to accomplish could be achieved at well under half the cost in the Mörrum system, and at less than a tenth of the cost in the Ångerman system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1368-1372 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1368-1372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amith Vikram Megaravalli Author-X-Name-First: Amith Vikram Author-X-Name-Last: Megaravalli Author-Name: Gabriele Sampagnaro Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Sampagnaro Title: Firm age and liquidity ratio as predictors of firm growth: evidence from Indian firms Abstract: The result of the study shows that liquidity ratio and firm age increases the probability of firm becoming high growth or low growth. However, the result indicates that the chances of being high-growth firm are higher for young firms. Quantile results show that the coefficient of liquidity ratio switches from negative in lower quantiles to become positive in upper quantile with the strong positive effect and firm age coefficients are largest in the lower quantiles. These results also confirm the probit result as per which firm age is negatively significant with the growth of the firm. The present study considers an innovative approach that considers balance sheet issued the year prior to the observation of rapid growth as predictors of firm growth (similar to the credit scoring models, i.e. the Z-score model, to measure the probability of default). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1375 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1373-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Manuel Cordero Author-X-Name-First: José Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero Author-Name: Nickolaos G. Tzeremes Author-X-Name-First: Nickolaos G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeremes Title: Financial crisis and hotels’ labour productivity growth: evidence from Spanish islands Abstract: The article examines hotels’ labour productivity growth over the period of financial crisis. We decompose hotels’ labour productivity into three components: technological change, technological catch-up (efficiency improvement/convergence) and capital deepening. Specifically, we apply our analysis over a sample of 820 Spanish hotels from Balearic and Canary Islands distinguishing three different stages during the crisis period. The results suggest that average terms hotels’ labour productivity was resistant to the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1376-1382 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1376-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Salaga Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Salaga Author-Name: Katie M Brown Author-X-Name-First: Katie M Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Momentum and betting market perceptions of momentum in college football Abstract: Past research has demonstrated that bettors believe positive momentum carries over from contest to contest. This article examines whether there is any empirical support for this belief by testing for the presence of across-contest momentum effects in college football. We characterize momentum in multiple fashions and after controlling for between-team heterogeneity find no evidence that systematic relationships exist between the degree of momentum a team enters a contest with and the outcome of that contest. From a wagering market perspective, this indicates that there is no statistically significant advantage to betting on teams perceived to possess positive momentum. Our results also suggest that the combination of the opening betting line set by odds makers and the subsequent market movement of that line does not systematically overreact to teams on streaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1388 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1383-1388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Borah Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Borah Author-Name: Andreas Knabe Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Knabe Title: There and back again – estimating equivalence scales with measurement error Abstract: Using income satisfaction data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we find large differences in the equivalence weight of a partner when it is being estimated by direct and reverse regressions. We argue that neither of the two models will produce consistent estimates when there is stochastic error in satisfaction and measurement error in incomes. We propose a correction of mismeasured incomes using a constructed alternative income measure. The corrected results are relatively close to those obtained from direct regression. We do not find evidence that previous studies, using the direct regression method, severely suffer from measurement error in incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1389-1392 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1389-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. P. Prabheesh Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Prabheesh Author-Name: Bhavesh Garg Author-X-Name-First: Bhavesh Author-X-Name-Last: Garg Title: Capital-enhanced equilibrium exchange rate: evidence from India Abstract: This article examines the validity of the capital-enhanced equilibrium exchange rate (CHEER) approach using quarterly data ranging from 1993Q1 to 2016Q2. Using unit root break test and structural break cointegration technique,  our overall results indicated that the CHEER is invalidated once a structural break is accounted for in the cointegration relationship. The rejection of the validity could be attributed to the asymmetry in the capital flows and exchange rates being not fully flexible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1397 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1393-1397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Kukla-Gryz Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Kukla-Gryz Author-Name: Katarzyna Zagórska Author-X-Name-First: Katarzyna Author-X-Name-Last: Zagórska Title: ‘If I can set my own price for tonight’s show I will pay more after watching it!’ – evidence from Pay What You Want experiment Abstract: In a field experiment conducted in cooperation with city theatres in Warsaw, we allowed some of the visitors to pay whatever they wanted for the tickets. Half of these visitors were asked randomly to make a voluntary payment after (instead of before) the performance. We found a significant positive difference between payments made after and before the show. In a specially designed survey we capture factors that may potentially explain this difference: the visitors’ general expectations towards the performance and different aspects of the audience experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1398-1401 Issue: 19 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:19:p:1398-1401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danny Nam Chien Khiew Author-X-Name-First: Danny Nam Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Khiew Author-Name: Chew Ging Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chew Ging Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Floor-level premiums in private housing: the case of condominiums in Singapore Abstract: Using a sample consists of 3367 actual condominium sales transacted in resale market from May 2012 to April 2015 from the Singapore Urban and Redevelopment Authority, a hedonic pricing model is used to investigate for the presence of floor-level premiums in the private housing market, condominium, in District 23 of Singapore. Unit size, types of land tenure and the distance to the nearest mass rapid transit (MRT) station are also used as other independent variables. The estimated coefficient of each of these independent variables is statistically significant. Each of these independent variables also has positive estimated coefficient, suggesting that they have positive effects on condominium resale prices. Main findings are (a) there is a presence of floor-level premium; (b) the condominiums with a distance more than 400 m to the MRT station get higher resale prices; and (c) there is an increasing effect of floor level on condominium price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 436-439 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:436-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renzo Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Renzo Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Author-Name: Amin Shoja Author-X-Name-First: Amin Author-X-Name-Last: Shoja Author-Name: Syed Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: Daily exchange rate pass-through into micro prices Abstract: This article estimates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) by using good-level daily data on wholesale prices of imported agricultural products, where the identification is achieved by using daily data on the domestic inflation rate. The results of standard empirical analyses are in line with existing studies that employ lower frequencies of data by showing evidence for incomplete daily ERPT of about $$5$$5%. The key innovation is achieved when nonlinearities in ERPT are considered, where ERPT is doubled to about $$10$$10% when daily nominal exchange rate changes are above $$0.55$$0.55%, daily frequencies of price change are above $$3.12$$3.12% and storage life of a product is above $$10$$10 weeks. Important policy implications follow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-445 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:440-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shahriar Kibriya Author-X-Name-First: Shahriar Author-X-Name-Last: Kibriya Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: Edwin Price Author-X-Name-First: Edwin Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Linkages between poverty and income inequality of urban–rural sector: a time series analysis of India’s urban-based aspirations from 1951 to 1994 Abstract: This study examines the impact of urban and rural development on poverty and inequality in India before economic reform. The methodology comprises two dimensions. Modern time series methods are used to uncover the dynamic patterns of urban–rural poverty and income inequality. A machine-learning algorithm is used to determine the causal structure among the development indicators. Our results show that reductions in rural poverty appear to be a more effective in reducing both urban and rural poverty, although the costs of achieving these reductions have not been considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 446-453 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:446-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Albuquerque Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Albuquerque Title: Household heterogeneity and consumption dynamics in the presence of borrowing and liquidity constraints Abstract: I study the effects of borrowing and liquidity constraints on the response of consumption to anticipated income changes. Using the PSID over 1999–2013, I find that the well-documented strong excess sensitivity of consumption to income of highly constrained households can be explained by episodes of income increases. In addition, I look into the heterogeneity of households without debt, a group that has been largely disregarded by the literature. My fixed-effects estimates show that only those without debt tend to increase their saving in response to anticipated income declines, irrespective of the amount of liquid assets held. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 454-459 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:454-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armando R. Lopez-Velasco Author-X-Name-First: Armando R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Velasco Title: Tax smoothing with immigration in an overlapping generations economy Abstract: Immigration policy in an overlapping generations economy is politically determined in response to government spending shocks, where the government finances its spending with proportional income taxes and is subject to a balanced budget. The young cohort is always the majority and dictates policy. The equilibrium Markovian strategy allows immigrants when the spending shock is above some threshold and this implies a particular form of tax smoothing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 460-464 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:460-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei. Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lei. Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Takuji. Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: Takuji. Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Title: Changing patterns of Asian currencies’ co-movement with the US dollar and the Chinese renminbi: Evidence from a wavelet multiresolution analysis Abstract: We extend the Frankel–Wei approach by using wavelet analysis to evaluate the relative importance of the dollar and the renminbi as anchor currencies at different time scales. We find that Asian currencies’ co-movement with the dollar weakened after the global financial crisis, while that with the renminbi strengthened particularly after China introduced a new exchange rate management system in 2015. The evidence suggests that emerging Asian economies have recently attached more importance to the renminbi as an anchor in exchange rate management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-472 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:465-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štefan Lyócsa Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyócsa Author-Name: Tomáš Výrost Author-X-Name-First: Tomáš Author-X-Name-Last: Výrost Author-Name: Eduard Baumohl Author-X-Name-First: Eduard Author-X-Name-Last: Baumohl Title: Social aspirations in European banks: peer-influenced risk behaviour Abstract: We test a sample of 3,586 banks from 33 European countries to determine whether performances above or below a social aspiration level (median performance of peer banks) influence banks’ aggregate risk levels. Our results are consistent with the behavioural theory of the firm and prospect theory in that we find that bank performance below a bank’s social aspiration level is followed by increased aggregate risk, i.e. risk-taking behaviour in the subsequent year. Although under-performing banks tend to be risk-takers, large banks and banks with high aggregate risk levels tend to limit the increase in their aggregate risk levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-479 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:473-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tracy Collins Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Pursuing efficiency: a data envelopment analysis of MFIs in Latin America Abstract: This article analyses the overall profitability efficiency (PE) of Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) in Latin America. The PE of each MFI in the study is broken down into two components: pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency. One data envelopment model is used to analyse each component. Each MFI was labelled as either a bank, cooperative and credit union, nonbanking financial institution or non-governmental organization, and then the analysis was performed on each separate group. The results suggest that, on average, banks are the most efficient MFIs; while NGOs are, on average, the least efficient MFIs. On average, all 4 groups are more pure technically efficient than scale efficient. Banks, nongovernmental organizations, nonbanking financial institutions, cooperatives and credit unions all seem to have problems with scale efficiency. Many MFIs seem to be operating on the increasing returns to scale frontier and are in a more favourable position for expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 480-484 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:480-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Dan Xi Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Xi Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Title: More evidence on the asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money: evidence from Asian Abstract: We try to assess the impact of exchange rate changes on the demand for money in eight Asian countries. When we followed the previous literature and the standard linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, we found exchange rate changes had no long-run significant effects in five out of the eight countries in our sample. However, when we applied the nonlinear ARDL approach and separated appreciations from depreciations, at least one of them or both had significant effects on the demand for money in India, Indonesia, Korea, the Philippines, and Singapore, supporting asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes. There was also evidence of short-run asymmetric effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-495 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:485-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rishav Bista Author-X-Name-First: Rishav Author-X-Name-Last: Bista Author-Name: Rebecca Tomasik Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Tomasik Title: Time zones, GDP & exports Abstract: Recent studies have established a negative effect of time zone differences on trade flows. We extend this literature by examining whether a country’s economic size is relevant in its’ response to an increase in time zone differences. We argue that the negative impact of time zone differences should be more important for low-income countries as these countries often face higher trade costs and have firms with lower productivity compared to its high-income counterparts. To examine this heterogeneous impact, we interact the time zone measure with various quartiles of GDP. We find that these low-income countries face a much higher negative impact of time zone differences on exports compared to high-income countries. Our results help explain why the small countries of Samoa and Tokelau changed time zones to closely align with their main trading partners, while high-income countries have not taken such steps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 496-500 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:496-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Farzanegan Author-Name: Bernd Hayo Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Title: Sanctions and the shadow economy: empirical evidence from Iranian provinces Abstract: Using Iranian province level data from 2001 to 2013, this study finds that the international sanctions of 2012/2013 had a significantly stronger negative impact on the growth rate of the shadow economy than they did on the official GDP growth rate. Thus, the international sanctions on Iran have damaged the informal economy even more than the formal economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-505 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:501-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Dávalos Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Dávalos Title: Trade openness effects on informality and the real exchange rate channel Abstract: The theoretical frameworks that explain the impact of trade openness on informal employment suggest an ambiguous effect. This has been verified in a few countries, based solely on microeconometric evidence. This study contributes to the literature by specifying a macroeconometric relationship for a panel of 17 Latin American countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 506-510 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:506-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Paul Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: S. Raja Sethu Durai Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Raja Sethu Durai Title: Monetary aggregates and core inflation: evidence from India Abstract: This study constructs a model-based core inflation for India using Divisia monetary aggregates instead of traditional money measures with the methodology proposed by Bagliano and Morana (2003) and evaluates its forecasting abilities. The core inflation derived from Divisia monetary aggregates is found to be a better leading indicator of measured inflation than the core inflation derived from traditional money measures. These results argue for a case in favour of using monetary aggregates in the construction of core inflation for policy purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanouil Platanakis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Platanakis Author-Name: Athanasios Sakkas Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Sakkas Author-Name: Charles Sutcliffe Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sutcliffe Title: The role of transaction costs and risk aversion when selecting between one and two regimes for portfolio models Abstract: Estimation of the inputs is the main problem when applying portfolio analysis, and Markov regime-switching models have been shown to improve these estimates. We investigate whether the use of two-regime models remains superior across a range of values of risk aversion and transaction costs, in the presence of skewness and kurtosis and no short sales. Our results for US data suggest that, due to differences in their risk preferences and transactions costs, most retail investors may prefer to use one-regime models, while investment banks may prefer to use two-regime models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 516-521 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:516-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan Ülke Author-X-Name-First: Volkan Author-X-Name-Last: Ülke Author-Name: Serdar Varlik Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Varlik Author-Name: M. Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: M. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: The effect of output growth volatility on output growth: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article assesses the effect of output growth volatility on output growth within a stochastic-volatility-in-mean model with a time-varying framework for an open small economy: Turkey. Until now, the empirical evidence on industrial production mainly reveals that this relationship is negative. However, in further examining different sectors and sub-sectors of industrial production, we find the sign of the relationship changes depending on the sector. Moreover, there is limited evidence that the sign of the relationship changes over time. Thus, the evidence reveals that the nature of the output growth volatility–output growth relationship is not uniform across sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 522-531 Issue: 6 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:6:p:522-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Author-Name: Abdulrasheed Zakari Author-X-Name-First: Abdulrasheed Author-X-Name-Last: Zakari Author-Name: Mallaiah Jalle Author-X-Name-First: Mallaiah Author-X-Name-Last: Jalle Author-Name: Seenaiah Kale Author-X-Name-First: Seenaiah Author-X-Name-Last: Kale Author-Name: Prasad Begari Author-X-Name-First: Prasad Author-X-Name-Last: Begari Title: The dynamic impact of bilateral trade linkages on stock market correlations of Australia and China Abstract: This article aims to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship between bilateral trade linkages and stock market correlations of Australia and China using quarterly data from 1993 to 2015. Further, this study explores the impact of trade intensity on stock market correlations using OLS, Dynamic OLS (DOLS) and Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) models. The empirical results confirm that there is a significant long-run relationship among the variables. In addition, our results, based on OLS, DOLS and FMOLS, show that increasing trade intensity between Australia and China has a significant and positive impact on their stock market correlations. The Global Financial Crisis also contributed for their stock market interdependence. Our results therefore suggest that the bilateral trade relations between Australia and China have brought their stock markets together over time. The findings of this study offer significant policy and practical implications. The policymakers need to be aware of the economic changes in those countries as they will immediately reflect on their stock market performance and relationship. Similarly, the global investors need to be aware of the fact that the diversification opportunities between Australia and China have considerably declined over time as their markets became more interdependent in the recent past. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-145 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:141-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hahn Shik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hahn Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Woo Suk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Woo Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Housing market volatility connectedness among G7 countries Abstract: This study investigates international linkages among housing markets in the G7 countries, using the connectedness methodology developed in Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2015). We find that volatility connectedness varies over the business cycle, with a surge during the global financial crisis. We also show that the United States and Italy were major net transmitters of housing market volatility shocks to other countries during the global financial crisis and the European debt crisis, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 146-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:146-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hao Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Wei Wei Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Are women more likely than men to oppose corruption in China? Not yet Abstract: We examine the relationship between the ratio of females in the population and the level of corruption in China using annual panel data from 29 provinces during the period 1995–2012. We find that the influences of women on corruption are ambiguous and vary across regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:152-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tao Qian Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: A note on the effect of patents in endogenous growth models Abstract: This note examines the effect of patent protection in an endogenous growth model with a generic innovation process. It indicates that increasing patent breadth stimulates innovation when R&D is less intermediates-intensive than production, whereas it has a non-monotonic effect on innovation when the former is more intermediates-intensive than the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:158-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryusuke Shinohara Author-X-Name-First: Ryusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Shinohara Title: One-sided provision of a public good through bargaining under representative democracy Abstract: We examine a trade-off between strategic delegation and the internalization of interregional externalities through bargaining in the context of political economy. We show that in the case of one-sided provision of a public good, if the public good produced by one region generates a sufficiently significant spillover to another region, then interregional negotiation increases the total surplus of the entire economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 162-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:162-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Cincera Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Cincera Author-Name: Antonio Estache Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Estache Author-Name: Alexander Wolf Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Wolf Title: Decentralization and sectoral expenditures in Europe Abstract: This article presents an empirical analysis of the recent impact of fiscal decentralization in Europe on total expenditure for specific government functions as well as on total government size. A panel data set for the years 2000–2009 for European countries has been constructed from EUROSTAT data. The effects of decentralization interact with the degree of vertical imbalances and tend to be negative as predicted by the Leviathan view of government. Effects vary strongly across government functions and are strongest in relative terms for social spending and infrastructure. Moderate restraining effects are found for education, while health spending is not significantly affected. This is consistent with competition between subnational entities, which try to attract taxpayers and shift expenses away from policies that benefit neighbouring jurisdictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard V. Adkisson Author-X-Name-First: Richard V. Author-X-Name-Last: Adkisson Author-Name: Jim Peach Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Peach Title: The determinants of the vote for Trump: an analysis of Texas 2016 primary results Abstract: This article analyses the 2016 primary vote for Donald Trump in Texas. Much of Trump’s campaign rhetoric has been anti-immigrant. A major Trump campaign theme was his proposal to build a wall along the Mexico-U.S. border and make Mexico pay for it (Trump 2016). The econometric model estimated below uses county-level data for Texas. The dependent variable is the percent of the 2016 republican primary vote for Mr Trump. The model examines the electoral effects of Trump’s anti-immigrant rhetoric in a heavily Hispanic border state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 172-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:172-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahad Almudhaf Author-X-Name-First: Fahad Author-X-Name-Last: Almudhaf Title: Backtesting expected shortfall: evidence from European securitized real estate Abstract: Events such as the European sovereign debt crisis, terrorism and Brexit cause more uncertainty and volatility in capital markets. This encourages us to use both conditional and unconditional forecasts (backtests) for expected shortfall (ES) in 8 indices of listed European real estate securities and Real estate investment trusts (REITs). Using the method proposed by Du and Escanciano, we find that ES is generally superior to Value-at-Risk in describing and capturing risk during extreme events such as the financial crisis. Our results are important to regulators, risk managers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 176-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:176-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaoping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Sanpan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sanpan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Constructing a dynamic financial conditions indexes by TVP-FAVAR model Abstract: A factor augmented vector autoregressive models with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility is used to constructing financial conditions index to explore the link between composite index of financial indicators and future inflation. Time variation in the models’ parameters allows for the weights attached to each financial variable in the index to evolve over time. A monthly data of Chinese CPI and a wide range of macroeconomic variables are adopted to construct FCI and the experiment result shows its good forecasting performance to inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jingbing Feng Author-X-Name-First: Jingbing Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Newspaper reports of food safety scandals: evidence from an online take-out application in China Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence that marketization or deregulation of newspapers might help improve timely media supervision. Newspaper reports of the food safety scandal of an online take-out application ‘Eleme’ were here used to analyse heterogeneity between the attitudes of politically controlled party newspapers and marketized independent newspapers. OLS regression results indicate that, before official exposure of Eleme’s food safety scandal on World Consumer Rights Day, local independent newspapers showed more supervision and concern about the local potential food safety scandal. However, the government newspapers only followed up after official exposure, and presented attitudes similar to those expressed in marketized newspapers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:187-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heejin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Option moneyness and price disagreements Abstract: This article investigates price disagreements between actual and options-implied futures prices by considering option moneyness. Out-of-the-money (OTM) options trading induces price disagreements more frequently than at-the-money (ATM) options trading. Examining price adjustments to eliminate disagreements, we find that the futures (options) market tends to move less (more) for OTM option disagreements than ATM option disagreements, suggesting that the price dynamics of OTM options are less informative and noisier than that of ATM options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 192-196 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1307931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1307931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:192-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majlinda Joxhe Author-X-Name-First: Majlinda Author-X-Name-Last: Joxhe Title: Do ethnic networks influence circular migration? Evidence from the UK Abstract: This article identifies ethnic network effects among temporary migrants in the UK. Using microdata from Understanding Society and the UK Census, the empirical results show that ethnic networks change the individual probability for circular migration. These effects are strong and significant only for some ethnicities, when controlling for a set of socio-economic characteristics and when adding spatial variability Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meagan McCollum Author-X-Name-First: Meagan Author-X-Name-Last: McCollum Author-Name: Gregory B. Upton Author-X-Name-First: Gregory B. Author-X-Name-Last: Upton Title: Asymmetric effects of housing wealth on college enrolment Abstract: We investigate the impact of housing wealth, credit availability and financial distress on college enrolment decisions. We find that housing wealth is negatively related to enrolment in public schools and positively related to enrolment in private schools. This evidence suggests that, on average, students substituted away from private schools towards public institutions during the recent financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:201-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Arbex Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Arbex Author-Name: Sidney Caetano Author-X-Name-First: Sidney Author-X-Name-Last: Caetano Author-Name: Michel Souza Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Title: Asymmetric effects of shocks on TFP Abstract: We study the TFP distribution and examine the non-stationarity of productivity series at various quantiles. Using the quantile autoregression unit root test, we find that the US TFP exhibits an asymmetric adjustment dynamics, that is, positive and negative shocks might have different (permanent or temporary) effects on the TFP. Shocks dissemination depends on the local behaviour of the TFP. We find that positive shocks have permanent effects on the TFP, while negative shocks can potentially have only transitory effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 206-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:206-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seok-Kyun Hur Author-X-Name-First: Seok-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: A novel measure of liquidity premium: application to the Korean stock market Abstract: This study proposes a novel measure for an asset’s liquidity premium. Applying Brownian first-passage time distribution properties, we derive an explicit form of liquidity premium embedded in the asset price. Our liquidity premium measure is intuitive because it assesses the extent to which the value of the asset should be increased from the current market price if investors were allowed to retain the asset until they achieve an investment goal. This measure is readily available for assessing an asset’s liquidity because it does not require information on the asset’s transactional characteristics. Our empirical experiment using Korean stock market data suggests that the liquidity premium in this study is inversely related to Amihud’s (2002) illiquidity ratio, which is commonly used to measure stocks’ illiquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 3 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Is income growth among children pro-poor? The case of rural China Abstract: This paper estimates child income poverty in rural China and evaluates the pro-poor nature of income growth during the period 2005–2015. The results show that the growth is absolutely pro-poor but not relatively pro-poor. Although the child poverty level in rural China has decreased, the relative income level of children at the bottom levels of income decreased and the inequality level among rural children increased, which slowed the process of poverty reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1553-1557 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1553-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gunes Gokmen Author-X-Name-First: Gunes Author-X-Name-Last: Gokmen Author-Name: Annaig Morin Author-X-Name-First: Annaig Author-X-Name-Last: Morin Title: Inequality in the aftermath of financial crises: some empirical evidence Abstract: Analyzing 70 countries over the period 1973–2006, we empirically show that, in the aftermath of financial crises, income inequality exhibits no general pattern of change. This holds for both advanced and emerging economies. However, when we break down the analysis by crisis types, we find that, after stock market crises, inequality goes down in advanced countries, while there is no statistically significant association in emerging ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1558-1562 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1558-1562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaakko Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Author-Name: Tapani Neuvonen Author-X-Name-First: Tapani Author-X-Name-Last: Neuvonen Author-Name: Jari Ojala Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Ojala Title: Technological change and wage premiums amongst high-skilled labour Abstract: This study examines the impact of the steam engine, which produced wide and long-lasting economic growth from the 19th century to the early 20th century, on the wages of high-skilled seamen in the Swedish merchant maritime shipping industry. The analysis focuses on the years 1869–1914, which was a transition period during which traditional sailing ships were replaced by steam-powered vessels. The study shows that all high-skilled occupations received wage gains under steam technology. The evidence on wage polarization amongst the high-skill occupations remains subtle, although there is certain evidence that wage premiums vary by occupation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1563-1566 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1563-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Hannum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Hannum Title: Market concentration in real estate brokerage in economic downturns: evidence from spatial agent-based models Abstract: Anecdotal evidence suggests that firms and individuals participating in property markets, such as real estate brokers, consider that competition among them intensifies during property market downturns. This is at odds with conventional microeconomic theory, which suggests that in a downturn competition will decrease as some firms faced with losses leave the market. We argue that this disconnect may be caused by an unnoticed spatial dimension to competition in these markets, where firms choose the area in which they will operate. We demonstrate using spatial agent-based models (ABM) that a model of firm location in which brokers accept all customers, while customers prefer brokers who are both cheap and nearby, is inconsistent with this phenomenon, and will result in lower market concentration with good market conditions than with bad. Further, we demonstrate that a model of spatial location in which the desire by a broker to restrict market area to appeal to clients within that local area is consistent with expanded market areas by brokers and hence intensified competition during downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1567-1571 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1567-1571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Midori Matsushima Author-X-Name-First: Midori Author-X-Name-Last: Matsushima Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Author-Name: Hiroyuki Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: New evidence on predictable validity of grip strength on later life outcomes in Japan Abstract: This study provides new evidence on the predictable validity of grip strength on later life outcomes using a population-based longitudinal survey of middle and older generations in Japan. We show that the level of grip strength contains significant information on health outcome and mortality in the later years although the loss of grip strength does not. Moreover, we confirm that grip strength is associated with socio-economic status, particularly with educational attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1572-1578 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1572-1578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmoud Arayssi Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Arayssi Author-Name: Ali Fakih Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Fakih Author-Name: Nathir Haimoun Author-X-Name-First: Nathir Author-X-Name-Last: Haimoun Title: Did the Arab Spring reduce MENA countries’ growth? Abstract: This paper examines the economic ramifications of the recent political reconfigurations that the MENA region witnessed, commonly known as the Arab Spring, utilizing MENA countries’ data for the period 2005–2016. Using the Arellano-Bond dynamic panel estimation, the paper estimates a growth model using the difference in the log of GDPC between periods t and t + 1. Buttressed by sufficient empirical evidence, the paper’s findings corroborate that the Arab Spring had been negatively associated with growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1579-1585 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1579-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujiao Li Author-X-Name-First: Yujiao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Johan Håkansson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Håkansson Author-Name: Oana Mihaescu Author-X-Name-First: Oana Author-X-Name-Last: Mihaescu Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Agglomeration economies in urban retailing: are there productivity spillovers when big-box retailers enter urban markets? Abstract: Previous studies have found that big-box retail entry does not affect the productivity of incumbent retailers when entry occurs in urban areas. In this paper, we show that there are positive spillover effects of big-box retail entry for incumbent retailers in urban areas, but these effects are limited to relatively small retailers; thus, it is difficult to detect these effects in a full sample of firms by using traditional econometric methods, such as difference-in-difference estimation. In a two-step procedure, we first use panel smooth transition regression to determine size thresholds that delimit incumbent retail firms by their possible reactions to the new big-box entry. We then use difference-in-difference estimations to determine the direction and magnitude of the effects of big-box entry on the productivity of firms in each subgroup. For the group of small incumbent retailers, we find positive spillover effects on productivity of approximately 9%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1586-1589 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1586-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: The impact of FOMC announcements on currency futures markets Abstract: We examine the impact on developed and emerging markets of the FOMC announcements on currency futures during the period 1994–2017. The effects are significant for high-yielding major currencies and emerging market currencies. Expansionary monetary policy shocks give positive returns, and contractionary shocks give negative returns, not only on the day of announcements but also three weeks before and after the announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1590-1596 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1590-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Rherrad Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Rherrad Author-Name: Mardochée Mokengoy Author-X-Name-First: Mardochée Author-X-Name-Last: Mokengoy Author-Name: Landry Kuate Fotue Author-X-Name-First: Landry Author-X-Name-Last: Kuate Fotue Title: Is the Canadian housing market ‘really’ exuberant? Evidence from Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal Abstract: Since the 2008 financial crisis, federal and provincial governments in Canada has consistently monitored its housing market. However, real estate markets in Canada seem to have significant regional imbalances with moderate evidence of overheating and price exuberance and strong evidence of over-evaluation for several quarters. In this perspective, this paper seeks to test the existence of real estate bubbles in Canada and their contagion. Our methodology, based on monthly data, relies on two steps: First, we build on a GSADF test developed by Phillips, Shi, and Yu (2015) to detect bubbles. Second, using a method developed by Greenaway-McGrevy and Phillips (2016), a non-parametric regression with time-varying coefficient, we verify if, in case of bubbles, there is a contagion among Canadian cities. Our results suggest that there are bubbles in the real estate markets of Toronto and Vancouver, while this is not the case for Montreal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1597-1602 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1588941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1588941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1597-1602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nedal Al-Fayoumi Author-X-Name-First: Nedal Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Fayoumi Author-Name: Bana Abuzayed Author-X-Name-First: Bana Author-X-Name-Last: Abuzayed Author-Name: Talah S. Arabiyat Author-X-Name-First: Talah S. Author-X-Name-Last: Arabiyat Title: The banking sector, stress and financial crisis: symmetric and asymmetric analysis Abstract: This study investigates the impact of economic and financial stress on US banking sector returns during periods of crisis and tranquility. It further examines symmetric and asymmetric effects. The study applies GARCH (1, 1) methodology and describes stock returns based on the Fama–French–Carhart extended capital asset-pricing four systematic factors model. The results indicate that during the entire study period (from 10 January 2003 to 29 September 2017), US banking sector returns responded negatively to stress-induced changes, and investors were more sensitive to stress increases (negative news) than stress declines (positive news), especially during the financial crisis. These results support the view that stress shocks constitute a systematic asset price risk to the US banking sector. Investors and policymakers should both consider these shocks when modelling asset prices and evaluating banks’ stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1611 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1603-1611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona-Gabriela Masca Author-X-Name-First: Simona-Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Masca Author-Name: Simona Nistor Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Nistor Author-Name: Viorela Ligia Vaidean Author-X-Name-First: Viorela Ligia Author-X-Name-Last: Vaidean Title: Do government arrangements matter for CEE countries’ growth? A two-piece puzzle perspective Abstract: Confronted with an economic decline or slower growth rates in crisis and post-crisis periods, CEE governments have searched for new means to re-launch growth. The aim of this work is to evaluate the extent to which government arrangements sustain economic growth in CEECs. The centralized economy legacy and crisis related pressures on public budgets make this objective to be challenging. Results indicate an idiosyncratic relationship between government arrangements and economic growth in CEE countries, compared to other countries. We found that government size is the key piece of government settings in CEE. It exerts a strong negative influence upon growth by reducing total factor productivity. On the other hand, government effectiveness, in spite of its positive evolution, does not represent a relevant CEE growth determinant when considered alone. Public sector quality induces growth only when it is accompanied by a small government size. The paper presents the implications of our research and provides some policy suggestions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1612-1626 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1612-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Vidal-Tomás Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal-Tomás Author-Name: Ana M. Ibáñez Author-X-Name-First: Ana M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ibáñez Author-Name: José E. Farinós Author-X-Name-First: José E. Author-X-Name-Last: Farinós Title: Weak efficiency of the cryptocurrency market: a market portfolio approach Abstract: Cryptocurrencies have attracted the attention of many investors and policymakers given the increase in popularity of Bitcoin. In this context, we analyse the cryptocurrency market by means of cap-weighted and equally weighted market portfolios that include all the altcoins available for three different periods (2015–2017, 2016–2017 and 2017). By using the most traditional tests of efficiency, we observe three main features of the cryptocurrency market: it is weak-form inefficient due to the behaviour of all the altcoins, it is more inefficient over time, especially in 2017, and the creation of new cryptocurrencies has not significantly changed the efficiency of the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1627-1633 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1627-1633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soonho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Soonho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hosung Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hosung Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Haejung Na Author-X-Name-First: Haejung Author-X-Name-Last: Na Title: Tax haven investors, firm value and investor protection Abstract: Tax haven investors’ large shareholding may lead to more lenient surveillance of the target company, which is expected to have a negative effect on firm value by deteriorating agency problems for companies with relatively poorer investor protection. By crawling data from online filings and constructing a unique dataset of tax haven investors’ shareholding, we find that disclosures of large shareholding by tax haven investors lead to a significantly larger decreases in firm value than those by non-tax haven investors. Moreover, the decrease in value is related to market participants’ concerns about agency problems when tax haven investors increase their shareholding. We suggest that financial supervisory authorities recognize and reflect these findings in their foreign investment promotion and monitoring policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1634-1640 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1634-1640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Calvin Blackwell Author-X-Name-First: Calvin Author-X-Name-Last: Blackwell Author-Name: Peter T. Calcagno Author-X-Name-First: Peter T. Author-X-Name-Last: Calcagno Title: Party-crashers or wallflowers? The lack of strategic voting in experimental primaries Abstract: Open and semi-open primaries allow members of opposing political parties to participate in the selection of candidates for the general election. This feature has led to the claim that partisans will ‘cross-over’ and vote in the rival party’s primary, thereby sabotaging that party’s selection process. Using an experimental election, in which it is costly to vote, we find that most voters vote sincerely or not at all, and find little evidence of strategic voting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1641-1648 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1641-1648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Itai Agur Author-X-Name-First: Itai Author-X-Name-Last: Agur Title: Revisiting the institutional determinants of central bank independence Abstract: Reform towards greater central bank independence is generally seen as intertwined with institutional development more broadly. However, the largest empirical study to date on the determinants of central bank independence found a negative relationship to institutional quality variables. This paper argues that this is related to sample length: using a different dataset for central bank independence with a considerably longer sample, institutional variables are found to be positive and highly significant determinants of central bank independence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1649-1654 Issue: 19 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:19:p:1649-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Winter Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Winter Title: The impact of government debt on the long-run natural real interest rate – a quantitative evaluation Abstract: Persistently low natural real interest rates are a problem for monetary policy and financial stability. I analyse to what extent a permanent increase in government debt that is financed by higher taxes could raise the long-run natural real interest rate. As a measurement tool, I use an incomplete markets model with capital and government bonds. Increasing the public debt/GDP ratio by one percentage point raises the real interest rate by between 0.4 and 1.5 basis points, depending on the degree of inequality generated by the model and the tax instrument used to balance the government’s budget constraint. I also show that the interest rate effect of a change in public debt/GDP predicted by the model is significantly smaller than its empirical counterpart for the US, due to the fact that the model understates the empirical fraction of households that are constrained in their consumption decision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1429-1434 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1429-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicole M. Coomer Author-X-Name-First: Nicole M. Author-X-Name-Last: Coomer Author-Name: Melissa Morley Author-X-Name-First: Melissa Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Melvin J. Ingber Author-X-Name-First: Melvin J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ingber Author-Name: Allison Briggs Author-X-Name-First: Allison Author-X-Name-Last: Briggs Author-Name: Barbara Gage Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Gage Title: A preliminary look at readmission and mortality among chronically critically ill and other medically complex Medicare patients Abstract: Chronically critically ill and other medically complex patients (CCI/MC-Ps) are those who are hospitalized with long-term intensive care needs and require extended periods of hospital-level care. CCI/MC-Ps may be at higher risk for readmission and mortality than other populations due to the severe nature their illnesses. This article examines factors that lead to increased probability of hospital readmission or mortality among CCI/MC Medicare patients. Logistic regression analyses are used to examine mortality and readmissions among the CCI/MC population. Numerous factors including length of stay in the acute hospital, age and gender affect whether a patient is readmitted to the acute care hospital within 90 days of discharge or dies within 60 days following a hospital stay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1435-1438 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1435-1438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoo-Mi Chin Author-X-Name-First: Yoo-Mi Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: Joon Jin Song Author-X-Name-First: Joon Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: James D. Stamey Author-X-Name-First: James D. Author-X-Name-Last: Stamey Title: A Bayesian approach to misclassified binary response: female employment and intimate partner violence in urban India Abstract: We examine the effect of female employment on the odds of physical spousal violence using a Bayesian misclassification model combined with propensity score regression estimation. While a classical propensity score model finds a significant violence-provoking effect of female employment, our model finds no evidence of a significant effect. This suggests that misleading inferences are caused by falsely small standard errors in a model that does not account for uncertainties around propensity scores. Further, we confirm our misclassification model as a preferred specification using Deviance Information Criterion (DIC). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1442 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1439-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Tillmann Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tillmann Title: ‘Talking down monetary policy’ – a note Abstract: There is a recent debate about whether ultra-expansionary monetary policy is no longer effective in stimulating demand, a concern often voiced in the euro area in light of persistently low and even negative inflation. As a response, the European Central Bank (ECB) warns against ‘talking down monetary policy’ (ECB Vice-President Vítor Constâncio, 2016). This note uses a textbook model of optimal monetary policy to study a situation in which the public misperceives the interest rate elasticity of aggregate demand, which reflects policy effectiveness. We show that as a result of underestimating policy effectiveness demand shocks can no longer be stabilized perfectly, thus resulting in inefficient inflation and output dynamics. In the presence of misperceptions, a negative demand shock leads to a prolonged period of negative inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1447 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1443-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphaël Homayoun Boroumand Author-X-Name-First: Raphaël Homayoun Author-X-Name-Last: Boroumand Author-Name: Stéphane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Title: Intraday hedging with financial options: the case of electricity Abstract: As market intermediaries, electricity suppliers purchase electricity from the wholesale market or self-generate to deliver their customers. However, electricity suppliers are uncertain about how much electricity their residential customers will use at any hour of the day until they actually turn switches on. While demand uncertainty is a common feature of all commodity markets, suppliers generally rely on storage to manage it. Singularly, electricity suppliers are exposed to joint volumetric and price risk on an hourly basis given the physical attributes of electricity. In the literature on electricity markets, few articles compare the efficiency of forward contracts, options and physical assets (i.e. power plants) within intraday hourly hedging portfolios, whereas electricity markets are precisely hourly markets. We analyse portfolios made of forwards, options and/or power plants for specific hourly clusters (9 am, 12 pm, 18 pm, 9 pm) based on electricity market data from 2013 to 2015 from the integrated German–Austrian spot market. Through a VaR model, we prove that intraday hedging with forwards is structurally inefficient compared to financial options and physical assets, no matter the cluster hour. Moreover, our results demonstrate the contribution of ‘out of the money’ options for all hours within volatile spot markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1448-1454 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1448-1454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing-Ping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jing-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jiao-Jiao Fan Author-X-Name-First: Jiao-Jiao Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Oana-Ramona Lobonţ Author-X-Name-First: Oana-Ramona Author-X-Name-Last: Lobonţ Title: Investment coordinates in the context of housing and stock markets nexus Abstract: This study examines the causal relationship between Chinese housing market (HM) and stock market (SM), using the bootstrap Granger full-sample causality test and subsample rolling-window estimation test. The results show that stock price (SP) has both positive and negative impacts on housing price (HP) in several sub-periods, and HP has the same effects on SP. The substitution effect drives their adverse consequences. Meanwhile, the positive effect indicates that SP has a wealth effect on HP, and HP has a credit-price effect on SP. Results provide information to Chinese financial institutions and individual investors for constructing investment portfolios within these asset markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1463 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1455-1463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soo Khoon Goh Author-X-Name-First: Soo Khoon Author-X-Name-Last: Goh Author-Name: Joe Yee Yong Author-X-Name-First: Joe Yee Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Author-Name: Cheng Chan Lau Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Bootstrap ARDL on energy-growth relationship for 22 OECD countries Abstract: Applying a recent bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag method, this article re-examines the energy-growth relationship for 22 OECD countries over the period 1966–2013. The empirical results suggest degenerate cases for eight countries. Only Japan is truly cointegrated. Some causality patterns are identified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1464-1467 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1464-1467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaitlyn Harger Author-X-Name-First: Kaitlyn Author-X-Name-Last: Harger Author-Name: Mitchell Page Author-X-Name-First: Mitchell Author-X-Name-Last: Page Title: Do non-citizens affect U.S. Congressional elections? Abstract: U.S. citizens against immigration argue that immigrants commit voter fraud and skew election outcomes towards progressive candidates. These arguments have increased in number and severity since the Supreme Court ruled in 2013 that states cannot require photo identification from voters. We examine whether the size of the non-citizen population is related to election outcomes. Previous research indicates that non-citizens sway elections in favour of progressive candidates but only in elections where the victory margin is small. We find no evidence of a relationship between non-citizens and vote outcomes. We find evidence that the percent of the population that is non-white is positively related to percent of votes cast for democratic candidates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1468-1471 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1468-1471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Title: Uncertainty and the United States’ election effect on the economy: some thoughts and empirical illustrations Abstract: This study discusses the general impact of Donald Trump’s election on the US and European economies as well as the effect of this political news on financial markets. To this end, we discuss different hypotheses from a theoretical view and empirically illustrate these thoughts when possible. Our analysis suggests that while the expected Trump measures might boost the US economy in the short term, these actions would have negative long-term consequences in the United States. Further, this new US policy will affect European economies and destabilize financial markets while increasing uncertainty, which could constrain growth and increase the downside risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1472-1475 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1472-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Frick Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Rob Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: The impact of exogenous shocks on exits from the Catholic and Protestant churches in Germany, 1953–2015 Abstract: In Germany, exits from the Catholic and Protestant churches have fluctuated considerably over the last 60 years. Much of the observable variation in these exits can be explained by exogenous shocks such as unpopular encyclicals by the Pope, German reunification, sexual abuse cases and financial scandals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1476-1480 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1284985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1284985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1476-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Fracasso Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Fracasso Author-Name: Rocco Probo Author-X-Name-First: Rocco Author-X-Name-Last: Probo Title: When did inflation expectations in the Euro area de-anchor? Abstract: Long-term inflation expectations in the Euro area (EA) remained well anchored during the global financial crisis. Less is known about the following period. By investigating whether inflation expectations have become sensitive to the arrival of economic news, this article empirically analyzes the behavior of inflation expectations in the EA during the most recent period. It finds evidence that the de-anchoring of expectations started in December 2011 and never reversed. This is in line with the more aggressive stance held by the European Central Bank (ECB) in the following months as well as with the pattern of ECB Professional Forecasters’ expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1481-1485 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1481-1485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shinn-Shyr Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shinn-Shyr Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Li-Chen Chou Author-X-Name-First: Li-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: The determinants of pornography actress production Abstract: This study investigates empirically the influences of physical appearances and risky sex in the production of adult video (AV) actresses. By analysing data concerning the Japanese AV actresses whose careers commenced between 2002 and 2013, we found that significant increases in the number of video shots of actresses are brought by cup sizes, working experiences, experiences as models or entertainers, and acting in videos of risky sex, but acting in risky sex videos has no significant influence on the production of those with greater cup sizes or serving as models or entertainers. We interpret that these actresses attract the market attention by their favoured appearances, and thus have no incentives to raise their production by acting in risky sex videos. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1486-1489 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1486-1489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keisuke Okada Author-X-Name-First: Keisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Okada Author-Name: Sovannroeun Samreth Author-X-Name-First: Sovannroeun Author-X-Name-Last: Samreth Title: Corruption and natural resource rents: evidence from quantile regression Abstract: This study examines the impacts of oil rents on corruption for 157 countries. While existing studies have primarily focused on average effects, we employ quantile regression to estimate the effects of natural resource abundance for different corruption levels. We consider the effects of natural resource rents, mainly oil rents and then compare them with those of total and non-oil natural resources rents. The estimation results show that, generally, more oil rents increase corruption. Specifically, impacts are larger in countries with an intermediate level of corruption and smaller in highly corrupt countries. While total resource rents increase corruption significantly, non-oil resource rents do not. This may be due to non-oil resource rent management (mainly inland) being more subject to public scrutiny. Non-oil natural resources are concentrated in the less-developed sub-Saharan African countries, where corruption is prevalent; therefore, the impacts of natural resource rents are unremarkable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1490-1493 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1490-1493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quanda Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Quanda Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Alberto Posso Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Posso Title: Microfinance and gender inequality: cross-country evidence Abstract: Microfinance enables poor women to engage in income-generating activities, which helps them become financially independent, strengthening their decision-making power within the household and society. Consequently, microfinance has the potential to reduce gender inequality (GI). Case-study evidence from across the developing world both supports and contradicts this hypothesis. We therefore revisit this issue using macroeconomic cross-country panel data for 64 developing economies over the period 2003–2014. We find that women’s participation in microfinance is associated with a reduction in GI. However, regional interactions reveal that cultural factors are likely to influence the GI–microfinance nexus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1494-1498 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1494-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: Jesper Haga Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Haga Title: Are momentum crashes pervasive regardless of strategy? Evidence from the foreign exchange market Abstract: This article studies the option-like behaviour of popular momentum strategies implemented in foreign exchange markets. The results confirm recent research findings of strong option-like behaviour for momenutm measures, based on the cumulative return from 12 and 6 months prior to the formation date Surprisingly, there is no such evidence for the popular momentum strategy accounting for a 1-month formation period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1503 Issue: 20 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:20:p:1499-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanna Nivakoski Author-X-Name-First: Sanna Author-X-Name-Last: Nivakoski Author-Name: Anne Nolan Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Nolan Title: Expected widowhood duration varies with socio-economic status Abstract: This article examines the expected duration of widowhood and its variation by socio-economic status (SES). The relationship between widowhood duration (WD) and SES and how they relate to annuitization and longevity risk is relevant in the light of ongoing changes in many pension systems. Using data from Ireland, WD is estimated for older married individuals, as a function of spousal age gap and spousal longevity gap. Both of the gaps are negatively correlated with SES. Thus, WD is negatively correlated with SES. Wives in the bottom of the SES distribution have the highest degree of annuitization, protecting them against longevity risk brought about by a higher WD. The movement towards less automatic annuitization may impact future widows differently, depending on their SES. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1218-1223 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1218-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yin Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The choice between bank loans, affiliated loans, and non-affiliated loans: evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: Using 1944 matched transaction level data over the period 2003 to 2015, we examined the determinants of choice between bank loans, affiliated loans and non-affiliated loans by listed firms in China. Our results show that firms engaged with affiliated loans or non-affiliated loans, which belong to the shadow-banking system, are more likely to pay a higher interest rate and have a shorter loan maturity when compared with a bank loan. In addition, large firms and firms with low liquidity have a higher likelihood of establishing an affiliated loan and non-affiliated loan relationship. Moreover, compared with bank loans, affiliated loans and non-affiliated loans tend to flow to the electricity, gas and water supply industries, which are very limited entry industries that are dominated by state-owned firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1224-1227 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1224-1227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenxi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chenxi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Kangni Dang Author-X-Name-First: Kangni Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Chen Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A driving force for sustainable economic growth in China from the wave-like effects of technological diffusion Abstract: This paper analyses the influence of the spatial association of different provinces on technological diffusion and economic growth, using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2005 to 2016. The results show that firstly, there is a strong spatial correlation in economic growth between the provinces from Moran’s I index and Geary’s C index. Secondly, the decomposition of the direct and indirect effects in the spatial Durbin model reveals that foreign direct investment is a crucial factor for sustained economic growth. Last but not least, technological diffusion, exhibited in wave-like characteristics in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1228-1233 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1228-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haowen Luo Author-X-Name-First: Haowen Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Zafar Nazarov Author-X-Name-First: Zafar Author-X-Name-Last: Nazarov Title: Can the affordable care act provisions explain the recent wave of acquisitions in the health insurance industry? Abstract: This research shows that the ACA health insurance exchanges have generated more merger activity in the health insurance market. The impact is robust to control for an extensive set of factors suggested by both neoclassical and behavioural frameworks. The economic impact of this ACA provision is substantial with 3.8 more months of unusually high merger activity or 52 more merger bids per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1237 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1234-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Wang Erda Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Erda Author-Name: Liu Guangdong Author-X-Name-First: Liu Author-X-Name-Last: Guangdong Title: Empirical study on the fish farmers’ willingness to participate in the Chinese rural cooperative financing organizations Abstract: This article attempts to identify the key factors which potentially contribute to the fish farmers’ willingness to participate in the new-form of the rural cooperative finance organization (NFRCFO) sponsored by the Chinese governments. A total of 116 fish farmer households as well as small-micro agricultural enterprises are sampled from the villages of Liaoning province in China. A discrete LOGIT model is used for parameter estimations. The results show that most of the factors being considered exhibit statistically significant effects on the fish farmers’ willingness to take part in the NFRCFO following by addressing the associated policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1242 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1238-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gioacchino Pappalardo Author-X-Name-First: Gioacchino Author-X-Name-Last: Pappalardo Author-Name: Roberta Selvaggi Author-X-Name-First: Roberta Author-X-Name-Last: Selvaggi Author-Name: Jayson L. Lusk Author-X-Name-First: Jayson L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lusk Title: Procedural invariance as a result of commitment costs: evidence from an economic experiment on farmers’ willingness to pay for digestate Abstract: We offer a conceptual explanation for some of the procedural invariance witnessed in experimental studies related to the concept of commitment costs, which is confirmed in a field experiment with Sicilian farmers valuing a renewable soil conditioner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1246 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1243-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murad A. Bein Author-X-Name-First: Murad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bein Title: Interrelationship between crude oil and the stock markets of major demanders and suppliers in emerging and developed markets Abstract: This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between the stock markets of advanced and emerging oil-exporting and oil-importing countries and the international crude oil price indices. The results reveal that the time-varying among the oil-exporting and oil-importing countries responds similarly to aggregate supply- and demand-side effects. Oil-exporting countries have a slightly higher integration with the oil markets, while oil supply shocks have a slightly higher impact on emerging oil-exporting countries. The oil markets exhibit a lower time-varying relationship with the Asia-Pacific oil-importing markets, which indicates those markets may be attractive to investors during periods of turbulence in the oil market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1252 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1247-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Semih Emre Cekin Author-X-Name-First: Semih Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Cekin Author-Name: Menelik S. Geremew Author-X-Name-First: Menelik S. Author-X-Name-Last: Geremew Author-Name: Hardik Marfatia Author-X-Name-First: Hardik Author-X-Name-Last: Marfatia Title: Monetary policy co-movement and spillover of shocks among BRICS economies Abstract: The 2008 global financial crisis has revealed the possibility of cross-border spillover effects of domestic Monetary Policy (MP) on financial stability and capital flows around the world. Recognizing these facts, Central Banks in Advanced Economies (AE) have undertaken simultaneous Monetary Policy actions to minimize collateral damage and contain financial risks. In this paper, we investigate whether a similar spillover and co-movement of Monetary Policy exist among BRICS countries. Specifically, we study the transmission of monetary policy shocks among the member countries using monthly data. We use the method of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Vector Autoregression Model to identify possible dynamic relationships. Our results indicate possible co-movement in interest rates and significant cross-border transmission of monetary policy shocks among the BRICS countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1263 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1253-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Economic Policy Uncertainty and Investor Sentiment: linear and nonlinear causality analysis Abstract: In this paper, we study the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiment. US data were analysed based on linear and non-linear Granger causality analysis. We reveal the obvious impact that economic policy uncertainty has on the investor sentiment, which can be explained by the real option and financial constraint theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1264-1268 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1264-1268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stavros Degiannakis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros Author-X-Name-Last: Degiannakis Author-Name: George Filis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Filis Author-Name: Stefanos Tsemperlidis Author-X-Name-First: Stefanos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsemperlidis Title: Economic announcements and the 10-year U.S. Treasury: Surprising findings without the surprise component Abstract: In the current study, we identify the announcements that trigger substantial changes in the behaviour of the 10-year US Treasury market, without using the surprise component and, therefore, expectational data. We use a novel model-free approach based on extreme market movements related to price returns, volatility and traded volumes. Our findings corroborate those of previous studies, which were based on expectational data. More importantly, though, we identify two additional announcements (Oil Inventories and the Mortgage Applications), which have not been previously reported. These findings are primarily important to financial analysts and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1269-1273 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1269-1273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volker Nitsch Author-X-Name-First: Volker Author-X-Name-Last: Nitsch Title: Passport, please! Travels, travails and trade Abstract: A country’s visa policies are widely assumed to have economic consequences. In this short paper, I examine the effect of the ease with which a country’s citizens can enter foreign countries on international trade. Using a specification of the gravity model that avoids the endogeneity problems that typically arise when analyzing the association between ease of travel and the extent of bilateral interactions, I find that countries which issue powerful passports experience more international trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1274-1278 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1274-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesús Peiró-Palomino Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Peiró-Palomino Author-Name: Francesco Perugini Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Perugini Author-Name: Andrés J Picazo-Tadeo Author-X-Name-First: Andrés J Author-X-Name-Last: Picazo-Tadeo Title: Well-being and the Great Recession in Spain Abstract: This letter assesses the impact of the Great Recession on well-being in Spanish provinces using two alternative composite indicators of objective well-being that include somewhat different dimensions. Whereas the crisis notably eroded economic well-being, its impact on overall well-being – which in addition to economic dimensions also includes non-economic ones – was imperceptible. This result points to the need to carefully define and assess well-being in empirical analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1284 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1545076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1545076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1279-1284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngwon Nam Author-X-Name-First: Youngwon Author-X-Name-Last: Nam Author-Name: Sherman D. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Sherman D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Title: The effects of risk aversion on life insurance ownership of single-parent households Abstract: This study investigates the effect of risk aversion of single-parent households with at least one child under 18 on life insurance ownership. Analysing the 1992–2013 Survey of Consumer Finances datasets, we found that the likelihood of owning term life insurance decreases as risk aversion increases, but the likelihood of owning cash-value life insurance increases as risk aversion increases. Smokers were less likely to own term life insurance but more likely to own cash-value life insurance than comparable non-smokers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1546044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1546044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akira Kamiguchi Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Kamiguchi Author-Name: Kazuki Hiraga Author-X-Name-First: Kazuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hiraga Title: Endogenous longevity, public debt and endogenous growth Abstract: This study explores the mechanism that causes an inverted U-shaped relationship between the public debt to GDP ratio and the economic growth rate which is observed in empirical studies. We show that this relationship is caused even when the government does not introduce the golden rule of public finance, and government health care expenditure has important role in generating this relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1293 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1557318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1557318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1289-1293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qianhua Lei Author-X-Name-First: Qianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Huili Chen Author-X-Name-First: Huili Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhentao Liang Author-X-Name-First: Zhentao Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Large shareholders’ shareholding and earnings’ longitudinal persistence Abstract: This paper is the first to adopt longitudinal data analysis methods, such as the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis model, hierarchical linear model and Cox proportional hazards regression model, to investigate the relationship between large shareholders’ shareholding and earnings persistence. We find that large shareholders’ shareholding has a negative effect on corporate longitudinal persistence. The large shareholders’ shareholding will increase the risk of earnings decline and strengthen the declining trend of earnings. The effects of large shareholders’ shareholding on earnings’ longitudinal persistence for SOEs are different from those for non-SOEs, the effects in the pre-crisis period are also different from those in the post-crisis period. These findings contribute to the literature by adopting longitudinal data analysis methods and present new empirical evidence on the economic consequences of large shareholders’ shareholding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1294-1300 Issue: 15 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:15:p:1294-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lawson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lawson Author-Name: Ryan Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Economic freedom and growth specification debate: a retrospective Abstract: This article revisits a 2006 theoretical debate on the appropriate specifications for testing the relationship between economic outcomes and economic freedom. It provides out-of-sample empirical tests corresponding to each of the theoretical positions of the two sides of the debate. The two methods of testing the relationship essentially tie in their ability to predict out-of-sample, although neither model predicts very well for the decade following the debate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1038-1040 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1038-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristin J Kleinjans Author-X-Name-First: Kristin J Author-X-Name-Last: Kleinjans Author-Name: Andrew Gill Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Title: Institutions, parental selection, and locus of control Abstract: Locus of control, that is, people’s perception of how much influence they have over their lives, is an important predictor for economic outcomes – earnings, health and education, to name a few. This article uses difference-in-differences analysis to investigate the importance of the institutional environment for the development of locus of control, using the fall of the Berlin Wall as exogenous shock to the educational system in East Germany. Using data from the German Socioeconomic Panel (SOEP), we find that women showed less external locus of control following the fall of the Berlin Wall but less clear results for men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1044 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1041-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Gründler Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Gründler Author-Name: Sarah Sauerhammer Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Sauerhammer Title: Do expectations matter? Reassessing the effects of government spending on key macroeconomic variables in Germany Abstract: This article contributes to the debate on how to properly identify exogenous fiscal shocks in the data. We include expectations held by consumers and firms into the standard vector autoregression (VAR) framework based on information from historical issues of the German political magazine Der Spiegel. The findings underscore the need to account for expectations, as failing to do so leads to significant misinterpretation of the effects of government spending. When neglecting anticipation effects, our results support the recent findings for Germany by pointing to a rather positive effect of government spending on GDP. However, inclusion of expectations yields a change in this effect, suggesting that government spending is much less beneficial for GDP, as it crowds out private consumption and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1045-1050 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1394967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1394967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1045-1050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Ouyang Hongbing Author-X-Name-First: Ouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hongbing Title: Effects of house-sale restrictions in China: a difference-in-difference approach Abstract: Chinese housing prices have increased rapidly in recent years. Concerned about the potential for a burst bubble, the Chinese government has been intervening in the market to rein in the rising price trend since 2010. In March 2017, a new housing policy, called house-sale restriction, was developed to curtail speculation in the Chinese housing market. This study uses a difference-in-difference model to examine the policy effect of this new restriction. By using house-sale and price data of 43 cities across 30 provinces in China, we find that house-sale restrictions could effectively reduce speculation in the market as well as decrease housing prices in the short term. This study analyses only the short-term effect of this new housing policy; the long-term effect requires further examination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1057 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1394968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1394968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1051-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaoru Nabeshima Author-X-Name-First: Kaoru Author-X-Name-Last: Nabeshima Author-Name: Mila Kashcheeva Author-X-Name-First: Mila Author-X-Name-Last: Kashcheeva Author-Name: Byeongwoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Byeongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: The impacts of export competition on international technology flows Abstract: Knowledge flow is a key to building technological capabilities. This article investigates how competition in international trade affects knowledge flow between countries using patent data and trade data for analysis. The main finding is that export competition in the third market (in our study, the US market) seems to have a positive impact on the flow of knowledge. The findings from this study contribute to the debate on ‘learning-by-exporting’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1058-1061 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1394969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1394969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1058-1061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Title: Product innovation and employment growth at the firm level: a quantile regression approach to inter-industry differences Abstract: This article demonstrates that the relationship between product innovativeness and employment growth at the firm level depends on (i) market responses to innovations with different degrees of novelty, (ii) the location of firms on the growth distribution and (iii) industry conditions. As a result, research that uses standard regression techniques such as OLS and does not account for innovation characteristics and industry differences fail to properly describe this relationship Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1062-1065 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1394970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1394970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1062-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongseung Han Author-X-Name-First: Yongseung Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The estimation of profit efficiency Abstract: This article discusses a way of solving the ‘Greene Problem’ that has been termed for a technical difficulty in estimating a profit system with technical and allocative inefficiencies. As the ‘Greene Problem’ is due to the existence of unobserved technical inefficiency interactive in a nonlinear form, the article proposes a use of homogeneity in technology to untangle the nonlinear form, enabling the estimation of a profit system as well as the identification of the source of inefficiencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1066-1070 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1066-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peixin Li Author-X-Name-First: Peixin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Baolian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Baolian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The costs of foreign single listing Abstract: A significant number of firms conduct their initial public offerings in a foreign market without a domestic listing; this is known as a foreign single listing. The existing literature has mainly focused on examining cross-listings – where firms are listed in both the domestic market and one or more foreign markets – with little attention to foreign single listings. This study examines the costs of foreign single listings. Using a sample of Chinese firms, we show that – on average – the stocks of foreign single-listed firms are undervalued by around 20–30% relative to cross-listed firms. The results are robust in both panel regressions and in a natural experiment analysis. Our findings have strong implications for firms which may consider listing overseas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1077 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1071-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Benshan Shi Author-X-Name-First: Benshan Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Does default point vary with firm size? Abstract: This article aims to improve the predictive ability of KMV model by distinguishing firm size. The evidence suggests that default point would vary with firm size. Using the method of particle swarm optimization, we obtain the optimal default point separately for large firms and small firms. Several statistical tests such as the model confidence set methodology show that our relatively tractable model is more likely to have the strongest predictive ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1078-1082 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1078-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Garvey Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Garvey Author-Name: Tao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Fei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Size and information revelation in securities trading Abstract: We examine differences in information content between order submission sizes and trade sizes by U.S. equity traders. Increasing (decreasing) order submission (trade) size is reflective of information. The result suggests that better-informed traders want to trade in a large size, but that they engage in stealth trading practices or break larger orders into smaller sizes in order to conceal information. While prior studies tend to narrowly focus on trade executions at the market-centre level, our findings indicate that order submission size varies significantly from trade size and that both sizes are informative about future prices, albeit in an inverse manner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1086 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1083-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Gunji Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Gunji Author-Name: Yuan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Bank diversification and monetary policy Abstract: Using bank-level data in Asia, we examine the relationship between the effectiveness of monetary policy and the business diversification of banks. We find that bank diversification enhances the effect of monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1090 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1087-1090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benedikt Rotermann Author-X-Name-First: Benedikt Author-X-Name-Last: Rotermann Author-Name: Bernd Wilfling Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Wilfling Title: A new stock-price bubble with stochastically deflating trajectories Abstract: We propose a new, rational stock-price bubble that is able to generate recurringly explosive and stochastically deflating trajectories. Our flexible bubble process entails stock-price volatility dynamics that are consistent with real-world data. To demonstrate this, we fit our bubble specification to NASDAQ data and analyse the volatility dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1096 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1091-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Blankmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Blankmeyer Title: Simultaneous-equation estimation with no instrumental variables Abstract: For a single equation in a system of linear equations, estimation by instrumental variables is the standard approach. In practice, however, it is often difficult to find valid instruments. This letter outlines a maximum-likelihood method that does not require instrumental variables; it is applied to the estimation of a demand function and an Engel curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1100 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1097-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vandana Arya Author-X-Name-First: Vandana Author-X-Name-Last: Arya Author-Name: Rajabrata Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Rajabrata Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Tony Cavoli Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Cavoli Title: The relative importance of capital inflows: some evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: This article examines the relative importance of the main components of capital inflows for a sample of emerging market economies. Does composition matter? Is there a nexus between capital inflow components? We assess, firstly, how each capital inflow component reacts to important macro and policy variables, and secondly, how the components themselves interact. We find that bank inflows appear the most sensitive to macro factors, institutions matter more for Latin America and external financial factors matter more for Asia. Further, for Latin America, capital inflows interact largely as complements, while for Asia, any expansion of bank inflows might crowd out FDI and portfolio flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1101-1106 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1101-1106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lili Wu Author-X-Name-First: Lili Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yang Bian Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Bian Title: Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the first-, second- and third-tier cities in China? Abstract: This article presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between house prices and the real economy in China’s first-, second- and third-tier cities. A Structural Vector Autoregression model is applied to study the impacts of monetary policy shocks and housing demand shocks on various housing markets across China. We also investigate the role of house prices in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. The results reveal that in first-tier cities, raising interest rates has a stronger negative effect on house prices. Also, as house prices decrease in first-tier cities, private consumption declines sharply. There is a stronger role of housing markets in the transmission of monetary policy shocks in these cities. Our findings indicate that interest rate adjustment could effectively curb spikes in housing prices in the first-tier cities, but the impact of such adjustments on household consumption must also be considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1111 Issue: 15 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:15:p:1107-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xunxiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xunxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xundi Diao Author-X-Name-First: Xundi Author-X-Name-Last: Diao Author-Name: Yixiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yixiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: What are returns outside trading hours capturing for volatility of individual stocks? Abstract: This study is the first to harness the negative returns and squared returns outside trading hours, trading volume and leverage effects in an augmented heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting volatility of individual stocks. Besides significant leverage effects and trading volume impact, we find that an increase in the negative returns is associated with a decline in volatility, but an increase in the squared returns is associated with a rise in volatility. This new finding suggests that the negative returns and squared returns outside trading hours are capturing additional leverage effects and additional volatilities, respectively. Moreover, the relations display differences amongst various firm categories which arise from firm heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1042138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ewelina Sokołowska Author-X-Name-First: Ewelina Author-X-Name-Last: Sokołowska Title: Is the growing wealth the driving force for venture capital fundraising in Europe? An empirical analysis Abstract: There has been no study aimed to determine to what extent the growth of wealth, on a global scale, contributes to stimulating investments in high-risk ventures. This article intents to answer the question: Does the growing wealth drive venture capital fundraising in Europe? Additionally, we will calculate short-term forecasts of the increased-risk capital market for the years 2015–2017. Recognition of the factors impacting the vc/pe market allows stimulation of development of the increased-risk capital. Venture capital serves as a source of financing of prospective projects, stimulates innovation and promotes small and medium enterprises. Owing to counteracting unemployment, this capital economically supports development of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1129 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1125-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petr Janský Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Janský Author-Name: Ondřej Kokeš Author-X-Name-First: Ondřej Author-X-Name-Last: Kokeš Title: Profit-shifting from Czech multinational companies to European tax havens Abstract: Although tax havens have been affecting other countries for decades, only in recent years have the associated challenges been subject to intensive scrutiny in both research and policy areas. We contribute to the growing evidence of corporate tax base erosion and profit-shifting by testing multinational companies’ ownership links to individual tax havens rather than to groups of them, as is the case with most previous research. Our company-level analysis suggests that profit shifts through debt financing from the Czech Republic to Luxembourg, Switzerland and, to a lesser extent, the Netherlands. We have ascertained that tax havens are not limited to tiny islands and may actually be found among European countries. We also provide rough estimates of the impact of this profit-shifting on tax revenues as well as a policy recommendation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1130-1133 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1130-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fangping Peng Author-X-Name-First: Fangping Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: R. J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: R. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: M. Foley Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Kai Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Title: Estimation of the liquidity trap using a panel threshold model Abstract: This empirical study investigates, unlike previous studies, the presence of a liquidity trap using firm-level data. The study focuses on the case of China. A panel threshold model is employed. The empirical estimation reveals that the interest elasticity of money demand declines as the interest rate falls, a finding indicating that China has not been in a liquidity trap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1134-1137 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1134-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Gechert Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Gechert Author-Name: Andrew Hughes Hallett Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Hughes Author-X-Name-Last: Hallett Author-Name: Ansgar Rannenberg Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Rannenberg Title: Fiscal multipliers in downturns and the effects of Euro Area consolidation Abstract: We estimate the impact of the fiscal consolidation actions in the Euro Area between 2011 and 2013 on output and public finances. We identify the discretionary fiscal consolidation effort based on new data by the European Commission. We combine these data with robust estimates from a rich meta-regression analysis on multipliers for various fiscal measures under different business cycle regimes. The frontloaded consolidation came at a considerable cost with an output loss of 7.7% and only a small gain to the primary balance of 0.2% of GDP. Backloading would have been much less costly due to lower multipliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1138-1140 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1138-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Mak B. Arvin Author-X-Name-First: Mak B. Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: John H. Hall Author-X-Name-First: John H. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Mahendhiran Nair Author-X-Name-First: Mahendhiran Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Title: Innovation, financial development and economic growth in Eurozone countries Abstract: Using a panel vector auto-regressive model, we study interactions between innovation, financial development and economic growth in 18 Eurozone countries between 1961 and 2013. We focus on whether causality runs between these variables both ways, one way, the other way or not at all. Our empirical results show that development of the financial sector and enhanced innovative capacity in the Eurozone contributes to long-term economic growth in the countries in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1144 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1141-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Amin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Author-Name: Asif Islam Author-X-Name-First: Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Alena Sakhonchik Author-X-Name-First: Alena Author-X-Name-Last: Sakhonchik Title: Does paternity leave matter for female employment in developing economies? Evidence from firm-level data Abstract: Analysis using firm-level data for a sample of 33,302 firms in 53 developing countries shows that women’s employment among private firms is significantly higher in countries that mandate paternity leave versus those that do not. A conservative estimate suggests an increase of 6.8 percentage points in the proportion of women workers associated with mandating paternity leave. The empirical specification is immune to spurious correlations that affect the level of women and men employment equally and also robust to a large number of controls for country and firm characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1148 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1145-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rémi Bazillier Author-X-Name-First: Rémi Author-X-Name-Last: Bazillier Author-Name: Cristina Boboc Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Boboc Title: Labour migration as a way to escape from employment vulnerability? Evidence from the European Union Abstract: Free Movement of people is a fundamental principle of the European Union (EU). In a context of strong divergence in employment and working conditions among EU member states, migration can be seen as a way to increase employment opportunities but also to escape from poor working conditions at home. In this article, we focus on the possible influence of employment vulnerability by comparing its individual level among migrants and native workers in EU countries. We implement propensity score matching methods using data from the European Social Survey (2008) and indexes of employment vulnerability proposed by Bazillier et al. (2014). Overall, we show that migrants face the same level of employment vulnerability than natives, all other things being equal. But there are strong differences by skill-level. Low-skilled migrants have a lower level of vulnerability mainly because of a lower level of employer vulnerability while high-skilled migrants face a higher level of vulnerability, because of a higher level of job vulnerability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1152 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1149-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiwei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Estimating the elasticities of gasoline demand: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: This article uses a new identification strategy to estimate the demand for gasoline. I show that the monthly gasoline price is endogenous to gasoline demand at the state level, and that gasoline tax and domestic oil first purchasing price together are strong and valid instruments to correct for the endogeneity bias. In addition to estimating the price elasticity, this article also provides an estimate of the income elasticity. These updated estimates are critical factors in evaluating the environmental effect of gasoline tax and forecasting gasoline consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Engel Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Engel Author-Name: Lilia Zhurakhovska Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Zhurakhovska Title: When is the risk of cooperation worth taking? The prisoner’s dilemma as a game of multiple motives Abstract: This experimental article helps to understand the motives behind cooperation in the prisoner’s dilemma. It manipulates the pay-off in case both players defect in a two-player, one-shot prisoner’s dilemma and explains the degree of cooperation by a combination of four motives: efficiency, conditional cooperation, fear and greed. All motives are significant but some become only significant if one controls for all remaining ones. This seems to be the reason why earlier attempts at explaining choices in the prisoner’s dilemma with personality have not been successful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1161 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1157-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Meub Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Meub Author-Name: Till Proeger Author-X-Name-First: Till Author-X-Name-Last: Proeger Author-Name: Tim Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Author-Name: Kilian Bizer Author-X-Name-First: Kilian Author-X-Name-Last: Bizer Title: The victim matters – experimental evidence on lying, moral costs and moral cleansing Abstract: In an experiment on moral cleansing with an endogenously manipulated moral self-image, we examine the role of the addressee of an immoral action. We find that cheating is highest and moral cleansing lowest when subjects cheat at the expense of the experimenter, while cheating is lowest and moral cleansing highest once cheating harms another participant. A subsequent measurement of subjects’ moral self-image supports our interpretation that the occurrence of moral cleansing crucially depends on the moral costs resulting from immoral actions directed at individuals in different roles. Our results can help to explain the different propensity to cheat and conduct moral cleansing when immoral actions harm either another person or representatives of organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1162-1167 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1139674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1139674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1162-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald J. Lacombe Author-X-Name-First: Donald J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lacombe Author-Name: Stuart G. McIntyre Author-X-Name-First: Stuart G. Author-X-Name-Last: McIntyre Title: Local and global spatial effects in hierarchical models Abstract: Hierarchical models have a long history in empirical applications; recognition of the fact that many datasets of interest to applied econometricians are nested; counties within states, pupils within school, regions within countries, etc. Just as many datasets are characterized by nesting, many are also characterized by the presence of spatial dependence or spatial heterogeneity. Significant advances have been made in developing econometric techniques and models to allow applied econometricians to address this spatial dimension to their data. This article fuses these two literatures together and combines a hierarchical model with the two general spatial econometric models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1168-1172 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1168-1172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingxin He Author-X-Name-First: Qingxin Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jonathan M. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Zagros Madjd-Sadjadi Author-X-Name-First: Zagros Author-X-Name-Last: Madjd-Sadjadi Title: Cost savings and deregulation: an analysis of fuel cost savings in deregulated electricity markets Abstract: Unregulated utilities face competitive pressures that lead to cost-minimizing activities, but regulated monopolies in the US electricity generation sector face pressures only from regulators who must balance a desire for lower prices against the need for the utility to generate a sufficient return to encourage investment. This paper analyses the cost-minimizing behaviours of regulated utilities by comparing their average input coal costs with those of deregulated utilities purchasing coal from the same mine during the same month of the same year. Results indicate that coal-fired electric plants operating in deregulated electricity markets negotiate prices that are 6.1 ¢/MMBtu (3.5%) less than their regulated counterparts. In percentage terms, this is a fairly small discount for deregulated plants, but it happens to be on par with the restructuring gains that others have estimated for labour and nonfuel costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1173-1176 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1173-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Correia Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Correia Author-Name: P. Martins Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Are remittances an instrument of stabilization and funding in the euro area? Abstract: In this study, we explore the specific question of the counter cyclicality of remittances in the euro area, namely, if they could be used to stabilize the business cycle and as an additional source of external financing. This research uses data for 13 euro area countries in the period 2004–2013. For whole of the sample, our two hypotheses concerning stabilization and external financing are rejected, but Lithuania and Greece are outliers. Remittances seem to have had a macroeconomic stabilizing effect on Lithuania and to have mitigated in part the liquidity problems that Greece has faced since the sovereign debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1181 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1177-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Luis Lample Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Lample Title: Analysis of the impact of excess mortgages on housing prices using the cointegration test Abstract: This article attempts to explain and predict housing prices by constructing a model based on the variables that most influence demand: the theoretical purchase effort index without tax deductions as well as a new and innovative indicator that includes the excess of mortgages granted. The Johansen methodology for cointegration analysis reveals the existence of long-run equilibrium and the model’s subsequent ECM, to verify the statistical significance of the variables, confirms the validity of the model concerning this Spanish case study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1182-1186 Issue: 16 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:16:p:1182-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ufuk Selen Author-X-Name-First: Ufuk Author-X-Name-Last: Selen Title: Why do countries use temporary trade barriers? Abstract: In this study, the factors affecting the use of temporary trade barriers in international trade are analysed based on country groups through negative binomial-regression analysis. The empirical results showed that the country groups use TTB by the aim of the macroeconomic necessities and protective policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-440 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1630703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1630703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:437-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Jay E. Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Jay E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: The price puzzle revisited Abstract: This paper addresses the price puzzle that contractionary monetary policy increased inflation rates between 2000 and 2014 in the U.S. Previous studies tried to explain the puzzle, but we analyze it from a unique angle by tracing the credit generated by the Fed. Our findings show that the increased federal credit did not flow into business investment. Instead, U.S. financial institutions invested it in risky but profitable financial derivatives. The missing link between federal credit and business investment explains the price puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-446 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1630705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1630705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:441-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju-Hee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyo-Jin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyo-Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: External benefits of increasing bioethanol consumption: a choice experiment study Abstract: This article aims to evaluate the external benefits of increasing bioethanol consumption by applying a choice experiment (CE) approach. The attributes considered are improvement in energy security, reduction of air pollutants emissions, mitigation of carbon dioxide emissions, and new job creation. In order to reflect the preference heterogeneity in investigating the CE data gathered from a survey of 600 South Korean people, Bayesian estimation of a mixed logit model is applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Barati Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Barati Author-Name: Hadiseh Fariditavana Author-X-Name-First: Hadiseh Author-X-Name-Last: Fariditavana Title: Technology progress and rising healthcare expenditure in the U.S. Abstract: Technology is widely recognized as a core driver of healthcare expenditure (HCE) in the literature. Since technology is not an easily measurable variable, past studies have incorporated measures to proxy technological changes. However, there is no comprehensive study that has compared the technological effects on U.S. HCE, using alternative input and output technology proxies. Our estimates suggest that, depending on the technology proxy, the effect of technology on HCE, ranging from 0.25 to 0.87, is smaller when output proxies are used relative to input proxies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kanish Debnath Author-X-Name-First: Kanish Author-X-Name-Last: Debnath Title: To lend or not to lend: identifying habitual multiple-borrowers Abstract: Since multiple-borrowing often leads to over-indebtedness, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) issued new directives to Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs) including restrictions against lending to borrowers having two or more outstanding loans. We argue that such conditions will push productive borrowers to exit the market. We examine whether potential errants can be flagged from available borrower information collected by a Credit Information Company (CIC). We find that borrowers with higher counts of active loans are more likely to furnish different ID cards for taking loans and also take multiple loans on the same ID card. We, therefore, recommend the gradual softening of RBI’s curbs and suggest incentivizing MFIs to train errant borrowers to better manage their finances before loan disbursal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassem A. Homaifar Author-X-Name-First: Ghassem A. Author-X-Name-Last: Homaifar Author-Name: Frank A. Michello Author-X-Name-First: Frank A. Author-X-Name-Last: Michello Title: A generalized algorithm for duration and convexity of option-embedded bonds: a correction Abstract: This note is intended to clarify an error in our first definition involving the valuation of the convertible callable as a portfolio of a long pure convertible bond and a short call in Homaifar and Michello (2018). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-460 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:459-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marlon R. Tracey Author-X-Name-First: Marlon R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tracey Author-Name: Ariel R. Belasen Author-X-Name-First: Ariel R. Author-X-Name-Last: Belasen Title: Heterogeneous parental impacts on infant health outcome Abstract: Policymakers have long sought to mitigate the losses associated with single-mother child rearing relative to dual-parenting. Using the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing (FFCW) data, we apply a flexible IV-ordered probit (IV-OP) model to show that the infant health impact of nonresident paternal time diminishes as single-mothers’ earnings increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-465 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:461-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Title: Wavelet analysis of the conventional and Islamic stock market relationship ten years after the global financial crisis Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between conventional and Islamic stock markets in the US and worldwide ten years after the recent global financial crisis (GFC). Specifically, it empirically verifies whether the Islamic stock market would be a reliable alternative to the conventional one. Using wavelet analysis, we show a positive and significant correlation between the two stock markets, which has increased significantly in the aftermath of the GFC. This finding qualifies the Islamic stock market as a rather different market that could become a real alternative only if it proposes a less risky investment framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-472 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1631438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1631438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:466-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deniz ikizlerli Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: ikizlerli Title: Institutional investors and stock market volatility. Evidence from Korea Abstract: This article examines the impact of institutional investors on return volatility in Korea stock market from 4 January 2000 to 15 September 2017 using actual trading data. We find that net purchases of institutions increase the market level of volatility but find no evidence that trades by institutional investors had a destabilizing impact on Korea’s equity market over our sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1632413 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1632413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh Author-X-Name-First: Nidhaleddine Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Cheikh Author-Name: Younes Ben Zaied Author-X-Name-First: Younes Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Zaied Title: Nonlinear analysis of employment in waste management Abstract: This paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the employment effects of waste management policy. We examine the dynamic linkage between waste tonnage and employment in the region of Paris (France), at the point when the waste management policy by delegation of service is adopted. To account for the presence of possible policy shifts, we propose the implementation of nonlinear causality tests based on the smooth transition autoregressive regression (STAR) framework. Using weekly data for four waste streams over the period January 2015–June 2017, the linearity tests reveal the presence of nonlinearity in most of the data series. When applying nonlinear Granger tests, our results provide strong support for nonlinear dependencies between waste tonnage and employment across different waste streams. For instance, we find strong statistical evidence that the causal relationship is consistently bidirectional in the miscellaneous and outdoor garbage waste streams. From a policy point of view, our findings suggest that waste management practices should factor the presence of these strong linkages and how they would affect environmental jobs creation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-483 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1635676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1635676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:477-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Sekine Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Sekine Title: Oil price pass-through to consumer prices and the inflationary environment: a STAR approach Abstract: Previous studies on the effects of oil price changes indicate that oil price pass-through to inflation has decreased in the United States since the Great Moderation. This paper investigates why oil price pass-through has decreased from the viewpoint of an inflationary environment. By estimating a smooth transition autoregressive model that considers past US inflation rates, I show that oil price pass-through is low in a low-inflation environment. This result suggests that the inflationary environment is important in explaining the declining oil price pass-through in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-488 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1636931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1636931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:484-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lihua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lihua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wei Ye Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Will urbanization reduce residential traffic energy consumption? Evidence from China urban household survey Abstract: This article empirically tests the effects of urban scale and density on residential traffic expense by utilizing micro-level data from ‘China Urban Household Survey’. Results show high level of urban scale and density both will increase household’s total traffic expense at the city level. Urban density influences residential traffic energy consumption only by changing the structure of household’s traffic mode. Currently, eastern areas should pay attention to the phenomenon of the geographical separation of residential and working sites so as to alleviate the problem of increasing commuting distance. Mid and western areas should instead focus on providing more public transport facilities and networks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-493 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:489-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghanshyam Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Ghanshyam Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: The impact of unexpected natural disasters on insurance markets Abstract: In this paper, we examine the impact of unexpected natural disasters on the insurance industry. The industry is exposed to greater risks in states with large populations. Hence, we normalize the unexpected disasters with the population of the state. We find evidence that the total sales of the insurance industry goes up in response to an unexpected disaster. However, we also find evidence that unexpected disasters lead to higher market concentration. This could either be because some insurance firms becoming insolvent or people preferring to purchase insurance from larger firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 494-497 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:494-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Poplawski-Ribeiro Title: Labour force ageing and productivity growth Abstract: This paper reassesses the empirical relationship between ageing and total factor productivity (TFP) growth at the country level. We contribute to the literature by (i) extending the sample coverage to 2014; (ii) adding a new identification strategy to instrument labour force ageing both in advanced (AEs) and emerging market economies (EMEs); and (iii) refining the empirical test with a focus on the age structure of employed workers. Our econometric evidence indicates that ageing has played a significant role in slowing down TFP growth both for AEs and EMEs over the recent decades, and may remain a drag on productivity growth in the years to come. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 498-502 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:498-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaewon Jung Author-X-Name-First: Jaewon Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Introducing Roy-like worker assignment into computable general equilibrium models Abstract: This article develops a new computable general equilibrium model incorporating a Roy-like worker assignment in which heterogeneous workers endogenously sort into different technologies based on their comparative advantage. The model predicts significantly higher welfare-improving effects of trade liberalization due to the technology-upgrading mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-510 Issue: 6 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:6:p:503-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudeshna Maitra Author-X-Name-First: Sudeshna Author-X-Name-Last: Maitra Title: Class matters: tracking urban inequality in post-liberalization India using a durables-based mixture model Abstract: We identify the (urban) lower, middle and upper classes in India in 1993–1994, 1999–2000 and 2004–05, using a durables-based mixture model after Maitra (2016). This approach allows a comparison of Indian consumption inequality in the 1990s, despite the well-documented non-comparability of expenditure data from this period. Shorrock’s (1980) inequality index is then used to break up inequality into between-class and within-class components. We find evidence that the interim year 1999–2000 was a year of transition (following economic liberalization in 1991), and that between-class inequality became more pronounced in the later years, relative to within-class inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1203-1207 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1203-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Young Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: How does governance affect tax avoidance? Evidence from shareholder proposals Abstract: I examine the effect of corporate governance on tax avoidance. Specifically, I use a regression discontinuity design to analyse the effect of governance-related shareholder proposals that pass or fail by a small percentage of votes. The passage of such proposals around the 50% threshold can be viewed as random assignment of improved governance and thus cleanly identifies a causal estimate. I find that the adoption of governance proposals decreases cash effective tax rates (ETR), which suggests that improved governance increases tax avoidance. The result contributes to our understanding of the determinants of firms’ ETR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1208-1213 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1267837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1267837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1208-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ellen Sewell Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Sewell Title: Should I guess? Abstract: Formula scoring, or the use of a correction (or penalty) for guessing, has been commonly practiced on standardized tests for almost 100 years. The correction deducts a portion of the question’s point value for an incorrect response, with no points awarded or deducted for an omitted response. The optimal response strategy is dependent on the student’s risk attitude and is thus difficult to identify and convey, as discussed. This study uses survey data to examine the advice that has been provided (often at some cost) to students facing a test with a correction. The impact of some of this advice as well as explanations for its persistence is discussed. In so doing, the study does provide support for the apparent ongoing abandonment of this scoring practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1214-1217 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1267838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1267838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1214-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: SeyedSoroosh Azizi Author-X-Name-First: SeyedSoroosh Author-X-Name-Last: Azizi Title: Altruism: primary motivation of remittances Abstract: This article examines primary incentives of remittances. After controlling for host country’s GNI per capita, real exchange rates and real interest rates, a rise in home country’s GNI per capita leads to fewer remittances. A rise in host country’s GNI per capita motivates migrants to remit more. Real interest rates have no effect on remittances. These results indicate primary incentive of remittances is altruism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1218-1221 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1267840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1267840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1218-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Kassis Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Kassis Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Who gets promoted? Personality factors leading to promotion in highly structured work environments: evidence from a German professional football club Abstract: Much of the research on how human capabilities contribute to labour market success focuses on traditional human capital predictors. However, researchers are becoming increasingly aware of the important role of personality traits in determining individual labour market outcomes, both positive and negative. Using data from young professional football players in Germany, this study investigates the relationship between individual personality traits and cognitive abilities on career success. Our results suggest that individuals who score low on the tendency to be principled but high on cognitive processing speed are significantly more likely to enjoy career success through job promotion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1222-1227 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1267841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1267841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1222-1227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Kerry Smith Author-X-Name-First: V. Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Sharon L. Harlan Author-X-Name-First: Sharon L. Author-X-Name-Last: Harlan Author-Name: Michael McLaen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McLaen Author-Name: Jacob Fishman Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Fishman Author-Name: Carlos Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Valcarcel Author-Name: Marcia Nation Author-X-Name-First: Marcia Author-X-Name-Last: Nation Title: Does reputation enhance response rates? Abstract: Declining response rates and the potential for deterioration in the quality of survey data require reconsideration of the role of incentives to participate in interviews. This article argues that the strategies associated with linking public goods to private goods to establish reputation effects for the private goods involved can also be used to enhance confidence in the objectives of the request for an interview. In this literature, an assured reputation is established for those selling products by offering to contribute some of the proceeds of a sale to charity. The results of our field experiment indicate that combining charity with financial incentives appears to increase confidence in survey objectives for those familiar with the interview process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1228-1231 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1267842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1267842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1228-1231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: Initial wealth effects of the Brexit vote on UK ADRs Abstract: On 23 June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to exit the European Union. The outcome of this vote, called Brexit, impacted financial markets in the days following the vote results. This article investigates the impact of Brexit upon UK equities trading as American Depository Receipts (ADRs) on the New York Stock Exchange. On the day after the vote results were in, UK ADRs lost over 10% of their value with an additional loss of over 5% the following day. These losses were significantly greater than those of the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100 indexes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1232-1236 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1232-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Frick Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Daniel Kaimann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kaimann Title: The impact of customer reviews and advertisement efforts on the performance of experience goods in electronic markets Abstract: When searching products online, costumers are facing a multitude of information signals of product quality they need to process – both separately and jointly – for relevance and reliability. A potentially reliable informations source is past experience of customers expressed in online reviews. In this article, we analyse the impact of customer reviews and additional signals of quality on buying behaviour in electronic markets. To empirically estimate and separate the effects, we use data from the Apple App Store covering 5792 daily observations from 2015. We find clear evidence to suggest that reviews and ads have a significantly positive influence on download rates. We also find empirical evidence to suggest that a considerable degree of interaction is important in explaining variations in market performance, especially between customer average ratings and unanimity of customer reviews. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1240 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1237-1240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumitaka Furuoka Author-X-Name-First: Fumitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Furuoka Title: An econometric analysis of global warming hiatus Abstract: There is an avid debate concerning the presence of a hiatus in global warming. Recognizing that this phenomenon has considerable economic implications, this study aims to make a threefold contribution to the climate econometrics literature. Firstly, it formulates a testable hypothesis; secondly, it proposes a systematic empirical procedure; thirdly, it performs the Bai–Perron test to detect the starting point of the global warming hiatus. The findings supported the existence of the global warming hiatus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1241-1246 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1241-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Life expectancy and human capital: long-run evidence from a panel of countries Abstract: This article examines the long-run impact of life expectancy on human capital investment for a panel of 14 countries over the period 1870–2010. Using recently developed panel time series techniques, we find (i) that life expectancy at birth has a statistically significant long-run effect on schooling and (ii) that long-run causality is unidirectional from life expectancy to schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1250 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1247-1250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip C. Hanke Author-X-Name-First: Philip C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanke Title: Do stock prices react to immigration restrictions? Evidence from an event study in Switzerland Abstract: This article tests the effects of sudden immigration restrictions on stock prices of firms in industries with high shares of immigrants. It estimates the abnormal returns as a function of the share of migrants by industry. To do so, one specific event – a referendum on migration policy with an unexpected outcome – that will potentially cut off Swiss listed companies from the supply of foreign labour is studied. Although operating in an industry with a high share of immigrants is associated with lower returns, the effect is not very strong, which indicates that investors seem to trust the government to leave some leeway in the implementation of the constitutional amendment that was voted on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1251-1254 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1251-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yacob A. Zereyesus Author-X-Name-First: Yacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Zereyesus Author-Name: Allen M. Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: Empirical analysis of profit maximization and cost minimization behaviour of Kansas farms Abstract: A farm-level deterministic and stochastic nonparametric tests of profit maximization and cost minimization behaviour for a sample of 112 Kansas farms was completed from 1996 to 2013. Allowing for monotonic non-regressive technological change and using a 10% significance level, 73 farms violated the profit-maximization hypothesis and 58 farms violated the cost minimization hypothesis. More profit maximization violations existed relative to cost minimization violations. However, comparing these results with results for 289 Kansas farms using data from 1973 to 1990, farms have significantly reduced profit maximizing violations. Cost minimizing behaviour has not changed substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1258 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1255-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabíola Zambom-Ferraresi Author-X-Name-First: Fabíola Author-X-Name-Last: Zambom-Ferraresi Author-Name: Fernando Lera-López Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Lera-López Author-Name: Belén Iráizoz Author-X-Name-First: Belén Author-X-Name-Last: Iráizoz Title: And if the ball does not cross the line? A comprehensive analysis of football clubs’ performance Abstract: The football club market is changing fast in the social media era. In this global market, clubs must maintain or improve fans’ attendance at the stadium; simultaneously, they need, more than ever, to take care of social media. The aim of this article is to test and discuss a comprehensive approach to analysing the performance of football clubs regarding their multiplicity of objectives. We analyse the efficiency of English Premier League (EPL) clubs during three seasons (2012/13–2014/15). The methodologies employed are data envelopment analysis (DEA) and a bootstrapped DEA model. The input is the market value of the squad, and the outputs are sports results, total revenue, the ratio of stadium utilization during the season and an index of social media impact. The results are robust to alternative estimation methods and indicate that EPL clubs still have a margin for improving their overall efficiency, mainly the medium clubs. The analysis of football clubs’ performance with the proposed comprehensive approach provides a useful tool to help managers with evaluation and feedback considering the actual context of the market. The approach brings closer the opportunity to design appropriate strategies to improve clubs’ efficiency as well as competition policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1259-1262 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1259-1262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Author-Name: Stefan Schneck Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Schneck Title: Do unfair perceived own pay and top managers’ pay erode satisfaction with democracy? Abstract: Many people are relatively unsatisfied with the democratic system as it currently exists. In this empirical research note, the authors present evidence that German workers, who perceive their own pay or top managers’ pay as unfair, are on average significantly less happy with the democracy in Germany. Thus, fairness perceptions in the labour market and of income inequality seem to have spillover effects on the overall satisfaction with the democratic system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1263-1266 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1263-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moira Daly Author-X-Name-First: Moira Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Author-Name: Fane Groes Author-X-Name-First: Fane Author-X-Name-Last: Groes Title: Who takes the child to the doctor? Mom, pretty much all of the time Abstract: We document the degree to which Danish mothers are responsible for handling their children’s medical services. Using unique administration data on detailed medical services that were performed on all Danish children from 1992 to 1995, we find that, on average, more than 90% of all children’s medical services were handled by their mothers rather than their fathers. To our knowledge, this is the first study to use medical register data to quantify domestic time use. As these services are mainly performed during work hours, this finding provides one mechanism by which absenteeism increases as a consequence of motherhood. Furthermore, the economic variables that should affect a household’s assignment of a task like taking the child to the doctor are shown to explain very little, suggesting that other factors, such as societal norms, are at play. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1267-1276 Issue: 17 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:17:p:1267-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ihtisham ul Haq Author-X-Name-First: Ihtisham ul Author-X-Name-Last: Haq Author-Name: Shujin Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Shujin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Does export variety determine economic growth in Pakistan? Abstract: This study explores the impact of export variety on economic growth in Pakistan. Export variety is decomposed into export related (within sector) and unrelated variety (between sectors) to examine the long run effect of export related variety and unrelated variety on economic growth. For this purpose, we incorporated export related variety and unrelated variety into the production function. The result of cointegration test shows that variables of the study are cointegrated in the long run. The result of fully modified ordinary least squares confirms the positive and significant effect of export related variety and unrelated variety on economic growth. Furthermore, the long run estimates show that the magnitude of export related variety is more than export unrelated variety. This study also finds the positive and significant effect of human capital on economic growth in the long run. It can be deduced from the results of the study that a specific sector shock will not disturb the economic pace of Pakistan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-536 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:533-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul M. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Paul M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Luke Collins Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: A change in the time-varying correlation between oil prices and the stock market Abstract: We investigate the time-varying correlation between oil prices and stock prices. Estimation results from a multivariate DCC-GARCH model reveal that the correlation has changed since the financial crisis. Historically, the correlation has been close to zero or slightly negative. However, the correlation changed to positive during the Great Recession and continued to be positive through the first half of 2017. We investigate the role quantitative easing played in this change in correlation using a threshold model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-542 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:537-542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Zao Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zao Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Hang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Decomposing the contribution of firm innovation to aggregate productivity growth: the case of Chinese manufacturing industry Abstract: This article proposes a generalized productivity decomposition approach to evaluate the contribution of firm innovation to aggregate productivity growth (APG) of China’s manufacturing industry. Results indicate that APG is mainly driven by firm-level productivity improvements, while across-firm resource misallocations lead to sizable productivity losses. The weak contribution of firm innovation to APG is found to be mainly caused by resource misallocations within innovating firms. The results suggest that firm innovation has not yet taken a dominant driving force for APG. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-548 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:543-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yangbin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yangbin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Yaqin Su Author-X-Name-First: Yaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Shenggang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Venture capital, innovation, and growth: evidence from Chinese metropolitan data Abstract: Using panel data from 282 Chinese cities from 2003 to 2015, we estimate the impact of venture capital (VC) on innovation, employment, and payroll in metropolitan areas. Controlling for endogeneity, VC investments are significantly positively related to metropolitan innovation, employment, and payroll in a fixed effects panel regression and dynamic GMM estimation. Using the number of IPOs (Initial public offerings) in the city as an instrumental variable to again control for endogeneity, VC remains significant. Our results show that VC is significantly contributing to the metropolitan economy as a whole by supporting innovation, creating jobs, and generating wealth in the local cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam S. Hayes Author-X-Name-First: Adam S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hayes Title: Bitcoin price and its marginal cost of production: support for a fundamental value Abstract: This study back-tests a marginal cost of production model proposed to value the digital currency Bitcoin. Results from both conventional regression and vector autoregression (VAR) models show that the marginal cost of production plays an important role in explaining Bitcoin prices, challenging recent allegations that Bitcoins are essentially worthless. Even with markets pricing Bitcoin in the thousands of dollars each, the valuation model seems robust. The data show that a price bubble that began in the Fall of 2017 resolved itself in early 2018, converging with the marginal cost model. This suggests that while bubbles may appear in the Bitcoin market, prices will tend to this bound and not collapse to zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 554-560 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:554-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agostino Consolo Author-X-Name-First: Agostino Author-X-Name-Last: Consolo Author-Name: Marco Langiulli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Langiulli Author-Name: David Sondermann Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sondermann Title: Business investment in euro area countries: the role of institutions and debt overhang Abstract: The recovery of business investment in the euro area has been sluggish, thereby hampering aggregate demand in the short term and potential growth in the long run. While we show that business investment can be associated to cost and supply of credit, cyclical demand conditions and economic uncertainty. But we also find evidence of additional factors. We suggest that there exists a link between excess leverage and weak economic institutions on the one hand and subdued investment growth on the other hand. Moreover, in euro area countries with both larger excess leverage and weaker economic institutions, the link with business investment is found to be stronger. The link between investment and weak institutions or excess leverage highlights the importance of structural reforms aimed at easing business regulations, reducing administrative burdens and increasing the efficiency of insolvency frameworks. These reforms are thus expected to reduce distortions in the allocation of resources and be supportive of a smoother deleveraging process, hence fostering business investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-575 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:561-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangyeon Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sangyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Hyejoon Im Author-X-Name-First: Hyejoon Author-X-Name-Last: Im Title: Why did the terms of payment in international trade change so much? Abstract: This article examines factors contributing to the substantial change in the terms of payment, such as letter of credit (LC) and cash terms, in Korean export transactions during the period 1997–2015, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test approach. We find that high competition in the world market, the expansion of exports of information technology products and intra-firm trade, and the improvement of information and communication technology (ICT) decrease the share of exports on LC terms in total exports in the long run. However, the increase in exports to developing countries raises the use of LC terms. On the other hand, the increase in intra-firm trade and ICT improvement raise the share of exports settled in cash, and higher trust between trading partners increases the use of cash terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 576-581 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:576-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wonse Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonse Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sungjae Jun Author-X-Name-First: Sungjae Author-X-Name-Last: Jun Title: Effects of a price limit change on market stability at the intraday horizon in the Korean stock market Abstract: This article investigates the effects of a price limit change on the volatility of the Korean stock market’s (KRX) intraday stock price process. Based on the most recent transaction data from the KRX, which experienced a change in the price limit on 15 June 2015, we examine the change in realized variance after the price limit change to investigate the overall effects of the change on the intraday market volatility. We then analyse the effects in more detail by applying the discrete Fourier transform to the data set. We find evidence that the market becomes more volatile in the intraday horizon because of the increase in the amplitudes of the low-frequency components of the price processes after the price limit change. Therefore, liquidity providers are in a worse situation than they were prior to the change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 582-586 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:582-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuxin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yongping Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yongping Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between WTI crude oil price fluctuations and investor fear gauges Abstract: This article investigates the cross-correlations between WTI crude oil prices and fear gauges using cross-correlation statistic test and multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis. The results show that the cross-correlations between crude oil prices and three different kinds of fear gauges are multifractal. By finding the ‘crossover’, we separate the three pairs of time series into the short term and long term, and find that cross-correlations of small fluctuations are persistent in the short and long terms, cross-correlations of large fluctuations are strongly anti-persistent in the short and long terms. The relationship is useful to profit in future markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-593 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:587-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-jun Ding Author-X-Name-First: Yi-jun Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Yun Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: The impact of market trading mechanism on A-H share price premium Abstract: After the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect policy was launched, markets become integrated, while A-H premium rises. This phenomenon is contrary to the existing market segmentation hypotheses. We provide a supplementary explanation for the A-H share price premium based on stock market trading mechanism. As margin trading and securities lending mechanism in Chinese mainland stock market is still immature and incomplete, limited arbitrage and asymmetric margin buying power amplifies the A-H premium even after markets are integrated. Our findings complement the financial microstructure researches on how trading mechanism may influence the dynamic price discovery process, especially those related to issues of short constraints and levered investing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 594-600 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:594-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Do colleges around low income areas accept more low income students? Evidence from California State Universities Abstract: Using the data of California State Universities from 2000 to 2011, this article examines whether colleges around low income areas accept more low income students. The results show that campuses around low income areas have higher access rates of students who come from families in the bottom quintile of the income distribution. No relationship is shown for other quintiles. This indicates that public universities located in low income areas have played an important role in providing access to low income students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-603 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:601-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark DeSantis Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: DeSantis Author-Name: Matthew W. McCarter Author-X-Name-First: Matthew W. Author-X-Name-Last: McCarter Author-Name: Abel M. Winn Author-X-Name-First: Abel M. Author-X-Name-Last: Winn Title: Land assembly with taxes, not takings Abstract: We use a novel tax mechanism – ‘rejected offer reassessment’ (ROR) – in laboratory experiments to discourage seller holdout and facilitate land assembly. Under this mechanism, if a landowner rejects a developer’s offer, his taxable property value is reassessed to be equal to the rejected offer, increasing his taxes. We find that, relative to a control treatment, ROR discourages the magnitude of seller holdout (but not its frequency) and increases the rate of successful land assembly by almost 60%. It also increases the gains from trade by 22.1% relative to the control treatment, but the difference is not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 604-607 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:604-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael J. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Michael J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Brian M. Mills Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Opportunistic shirking behaviour during unpaid overtime Abstract: We identify the presence of shirking by Major League Baseball umpires during indefinite unpaid overtime, as defined by extra innings. In the presence of new information about expected game length, umpires exert biases in ball and strike calls consistent with opportunistically reducing the likelihood of working additional time. General implications with respect to the effectiveness of salaried workers during unpaid overtime hours are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 608-612 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:608-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Education expansion and decline in cohort quality in Brazil: 1995–2013 Abstract: This letter explores whether the expansion of tertiary education in Brazil has caused any significant decline in the average quality of the recent cohorts with higher share of tertiary education. Using Brazil National Household Survey 1995–2013 data, we find evidence shows that the recent cohorts earn a relatively smaller tertiary premium after controlling everything else that also affect the tertiary premium, which indicates the decline in average quality of the recent college graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-617 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:613-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wisal Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Wisal Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Cahit Adaoglu Author-X-Name-First: Cahit Author-X-Name-Last: Adaoglu Title: Cash management in the travel and leisure sector: evidence from the United Kingdom Abstract: This study investigates the determinants of cash holdings for companies operating in the travel and leisure (TL) sector of the United Kingdom (UK) between 2005 and 2016. The study finds that growth opportunities, cash flow, and cash flow volatility affect cash holdings positively, while size, leverage, liquidity, asset intangibility and dividend payments affect negatively. Companies operating in the airlines sub-sector hold more cash, while companies in the hotels and restaurants and bars sub-sectors hold less cash than the reference sub-sector of travel and tourism. Except for the free cash flow model, the trade-off and pecking order models of cash holdings are empirically supported for the TL sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 618-621 Issue: 7 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:7:p:618-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Bruno Deschamps Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Deschamps Title: The effectiveness of exchange-rate-based monetary policy: evidence from survey data Abstract: Singapore’s monetary policy is centred on the management of the exchange rate. We examine how macroeconomic forecasters perceive the effectiveness of this unconventional policy. We provide empirical evidence that forecasters’ expectations are consistent with a forward-looking exchange-rate-based Taylor-type policy rule. They expect monetary authorities to actively manage the currency against expected future changes in inflation and output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1265 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1414930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1414930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1261-1265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gayane Barseghyan Author-X-Name-First: Gayane Author-X-Name-Last: Barseghyan Author-Name: Hayk Hambardzumyan Author-X-Name-First: Hayk Author-X-Name-Last: Hambardzumyan Title: The effects of exchange rate volatility on exports: evidence from Armenia Abstract: The article examines how the volatility of exchange rate affected Armenia’s export to its main trading partner, Russia, in the period from January 2007 to February 2016. Along with real foreign income and competitiveness, the exchange rate volatility is considered as a determinant of real export. The estimation results indicate that the exchange rate volatility has negative significant effects on real export both in the long run and in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1266-1268 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1266-1268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaojia Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojia Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Haitao Yin Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Jiaxin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiaxin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Is China’s banking industry embracing sustainable investment? Abstract: Built upon an analysis of 2858 publicly listed companies in China, we found that although polluting companies historically received more loans from banks than nonpolluting companies, this trend has recently changed in China. Polluting companies receive fewer loans from banks and the borrowing cost increases over time. This suggests that the Chinese banking industry is becoming more environmentally responsible in its loan decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1269-1272 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1269-1272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veli Yılancı Author-X-Name-First: Veli Author-X-Name-Last: Yılancı Author-Name: Murat Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: Önder Özgür Author-X-Name-First: Önder Author-X-Name-Last: Özgür Title: Testing the validity of PPP theory for African countries Abstract: This study examines the purchasing power parity theory for 14 African countries by applying a recent composite time series method that incorporates the Fourier approximation. The structural breaks are modelled as a gradual smooth process by means of a Fourier component. The Fourier unit root test failed to find any evidence showing that real exchange rates for these 14 countries have mean-reverting tendencies. However, both cointegration and Fourier cointegration tests detect a stable long-term relation between the nominal exchange rate and relative price levels for 8 out of 14 countries; moreover, for five countries Fourier component in cointegration analysis is found to suit quite well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1277 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1273-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marigee Bacolod Author-X-Name-First: Marigee Author-X-Name-Last: Bacolod Author-Name: Michael Griner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Griner Author-Name: Chad W. Seagren Author-X-Name-First: Chad W. Author-X-Name-Last: Seagren Title: War versus peace: does military officer quality adjust? Abstract: In this study, we demonstrate the quantity–quality trade-off between the size of the U.S. military force and the quality of its junior military leaders. We employ a difference-in-differences methodology and compare measures of job performance before and after to show that in periods of military force expansion, the average quality of U.S. Marine officers decline; the converse holds in times of relative peace. This has implications for both military effectiveness and understanding labour market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1278-1282 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1278-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Junge Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Junge Author-Name: Anders Sørensen Author-X-Name-First: Anders Author-X-Name-Last: Sørensen Title: Domestic R&D and offshoring: does offshoring reduce knowledge production? Abstract: An important question in industrialized countries is whether offshoring activities reduce the probability of performing own research and development (R&D) or whether the R&D intensity falls in firms that already have R&D activities. This question is addressed using a unique data set that combines survey and register data. No evidence is found for a lower probability of own R&D after offshoring takes place compared to before. Moreover, offshoring does not lead to lower R&D intensity in general. However, firms that offshore R&D activity have larger R&D intensity after offshoring has taken place, which suggests that R&D performed at home is complementary to foreign R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1283-1287 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1283-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tutsirai Sakutukwa Author-X-Name-First: Tutsirai Author-X-Name-Last: Sakutukwa Author-Name: Hee-Seung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The role of uncertainty in forecasting employment by skill and industry Abstract: We show that the macroeconomic uncertainty series from Jurado, Ludvigson, and Ng (2015) contains information to forecast employment. The results indicate that the uncertainty measure is weak at forecasting the skilled labour but significantly carries forecasting information on the unskilled labour. The forecasting information increases if the sample is restricted to construction and manufacturing industries. Using rolling regressions to conduct a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that the uncertainty measure contains forecasting information for the unskilled labour in those industries for two quarters ahead. By providing detailed information about the forecasting power of uncertainty by skill and industry, this study will be helpful in designing more efficient labour market policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1288-1291 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1288-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karam Shaar Author-X-Name-First: Karam Author-X-Name-Last: Shaar Author-Name: Mohammed Khaled Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Khaled Title: Why you should use high frequency data to test the impact of exchange rate on trade Abstract: This study suggests that testing the impact of exchange rate on trade should be done using high-frequency data. Using different data frequencies for identical periods and specifications between the US and Canada, we show that low-frequency data might suppress and distort the evidence of the impact of exchange rate on trade in the short run and the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1292-1295 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1292-1295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Abad-González Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Abad-González Author-Name: Cristina Gutiérrez-López Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Gutiérrez-López Author-Name: Ana Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: Banking solvency determinants in the EU: a model based on stress tests Abstract: Using a multilevel regression model, this article aims to find determinants of banking solvency in the European Union. The endogenous variable is defined as the capital ratio determined by stress tests. Both internal (financial ratios and sovereign debt exposures) and external (macroeconomic indicators) variables are proposed as covariates. The results reveal that capitalization, earnings, assets structure and exposure to PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain) sovereign debt are significant among the former, and economic growth, interest and exchange rates, and real estate prices among the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1296-1300 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1418071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1418071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1296-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolin Tang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Zhaojun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Irreversible investment, ambiguity and equity default swaps Abstract: We study the impact of ambiguity on the pricing and timing of the option to invest. There is a funding gap to undertake the investment, which is covered by entering into an equity-for-guarantee swap. Our model predicts that the more ambiguity-averse the agents, the less the option value, the later the investment and the higher the guarantee cost and the leverage. If the entrepreneur is more ambiguity-averse than the insurer, the investment threshold slightly rises as the perceived ambiguity increases, and on the contrary, if the entrepreneur is less ambiguity-averse than the insurer, the investment threshold increases sharply as the perceived ambiguity rises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1305 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1301-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Insu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Evaluation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: evidence from the Euro Area and United States Abstract: Empirical relevance of inflation expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is highly controversial in the macroeconomics literature. With this in mind, this article evaluates the purely forward-looking NKPC useful for policy analysis with respect to their abilities to account for the dynamic relationship between output and inflation. Our findings show that the NKPC heavily relying on firms’ forward-looking behaviour is hardly supported by the Euro Area and the US data. The failure of the NKPC in matching the data is consistently observed across the sub-samples divided before and after the early 1980s. For comparison, we also investigate the performance of the hybrid NKPC and the traditional backward-looking Phillips curve associated with ad hoc price indexation assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1306-1315 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1306-1315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoe Sang Chung Author-X-Name-First: Hoe Sang Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The price effect of allowing non-pharmacy outlets to sell OTC drugs in Korea Abstract: By the amendment of the Pharmaceutical Affairs Act in 2012, non-pharmacy outlets (confined to 24-hour convenience stores) in Korea were permitted to sell 13 over-the-counter (OTC) drugs. This article empirically examines the effect of the regulatory reform on OTC drug prices. To do so, we use county-level price data of 7 OTC drugs for the years of 2012 and 2013. Among them, 2 OTC drugs are available at non-pharmacy outlets due to the deregulation, and the remaining 5 are still only available at pharmacies. Employing a difference-in-differences estimation strategy, we find that after the regulatory reform, prices of the 2 OTC drugs increased by only 1.1% while those of the rest 5 increased by 6.5%. This result has implications for the government’s policy of designating non-pharmacy outlets that can sell OTC drugs from the viewpoint of consumer welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1316-1318 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1316-1318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia Koralun-Bereźnicka Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Koralun-Bereźnicka Title: Firm size and debt maturity as indirect determinants of capital structure: evidence form European panel data Abstract: The study aims at verifying whether the firm size and debt maturity affect the relationship between capital structure and its main determinants. Using panel data models, the impact of the primary factors on leverage is compared across three size groups of firms and for different measures of debt in order to identify the size effect and the debt maturity effect in these relationships. The study covers 11 EU countries during the period 2000–2013. Findings provide evidence that financing choices of small firms provide more support for the pecking-order theory, whereas medium and large-sized firms tend to follow the trade-off predictions on leverage. It also appears that the trade-off theory is more applicable for short-term debt, while pecking order – for long-term debt. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1322 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1319-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hien Thu Phan Author-X-Name-First: Hien Thu Author-X-Name-Last: Phan Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: W. Robert J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The determinants of banking efficiency in Hong Kong 2004-2014 Abstract: The cost efficiency of the Hong Kong Banking sector over the period 2004–2014 is estimated by data envelopment window analysis. A second stage regression analysis finds that bank size and GDP growth are positively associated with efficiency, whereas revenue diversification and inflation are associated with lower efficiency. Stock exchange listing status is associated with lower efficiency but no clear relationship between measures of market structure and efficiency is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1326 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1323-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xiangbo Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiangbo Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Multivariate filter estimation and ARDL model analysis of China’s potential output Abstract: In this article, we apply a new multivariate filter approach to estimate China’s potential output. Furthermore, we build an ARDL model to analyse the influence on potential growth caused by important factors that contribute to estimation and China’s development. Our results show that the current economic slowdown is not a cyclical phenomenon and China’s potential growth has declined since 2010. We also show that fixed asset investment and trade, which have a long-run relationship with potential output, exert negative long-run effect on potential growth justifying the implementation of China’s recent supply-side reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1332 Issue: 18 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:18:p:1327-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Re-assessing international stock return predictability: evidence from directional accuracy and excess profitability tests Abstract: In this article, we assess the informational content of monthly lagged US excess stock returns for sign and mean predictability of stock market returns in 10 industrialized countries using the directional accuracy and excess profitability tests of Pesaran and Timmermann (1992) and Anatolyev and Gerko (2005), respectively. We find only a limited evidence supporting the earlier findings of Rapach et al. (2013) based on the test of Clark and West (2007). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1156226 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1156226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olaf Hübler Author-X-Name-First: Olaf Author-X-Name-Last: Hübler Title: Men earn less under working time accounts: a puzzle? Abstract: In recent years more and more working time accounts (WTA) have been introduced. From a theoretical perspective both employers and employees benefit from such an instrument. Indeed, empirical studies show that life satisfaction of workers is larger under a WTA regime than under a non-WTA regime. However, more detailed investigations in this article reveal wages to be lower for men under WTA regimes. Why should men accept WTA when they earn less? Subgroup analyses show that these results are only valid for some groups of individuals. Our analysis allows us to deliver some explanations and to exclude other possible reasons. The major results are: (1) High-income workers suffer higher losses; (2) the shorter the compensation period of WTA systems the lower the wage reduction imposed by WTA; (3) the length of total working time does not seem to affect the link between WTA and wages but the length of overtime; (4) men accept wage losses from WTA if they can adjust actual to desired working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 4-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1156228 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1156228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:4-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heeho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Heeho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunchul Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyunchul Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does the traditional exchange rate fully explain firms’ exposure? Abstract: This study aims to explore the role of the cross exchange rate as a form of market competition, which has previously been omitted as an explanatory variable in estimating the risk exposure of the standard exchange. To the end, we develop a model of exporting firms that reflects exposure to market interaction and mark-up in a duopolistic export market. Using monthly data of stock returns and cross exchange rates of two oligopoly industries (i.e. semiconductor and steel & iron), our empirical evidence supports our hypothesis that cross exchange rates significantly explain firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 8-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1156229 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1156229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:8-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Francisco Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Title: The nonobserved economy in the European Union Abstract: To better understand the share of the nonobserved economy (NOE) in the European Union, especially on the PIIGS, we estimate, through the multiple indicators multiple causes model, the path between 1980 and 2013. The model includes (i) the tax burden (disaggregated into direct and indirect taxes), a proxy of regulation burden, the unemployment rate and self-employment as causes of the NOE economy; (ii) the GDP and the labour force participation ratio as indicators of the NOE economy. In particular, the estimated weight of NOE as a percentage of official GDP was always higher in the PIIGS group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 14-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:14-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miriam Krieger Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Author-X-Name-Last: Krieger Author-Name: Thomas Mayrhofer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Mayrhofer Title: Prudence and prevention: an economic laboratory experiment Abstract: In an economic laboratory experiment, we study the relationship between prudence and prevention in general decision situations. Previous theoretical research on this relationship posits a negative impact of prudence on the optimal level of prevention. Overall, we find both risk-averse and prudent behaviour among our subjects. Moreover, prudent subjects chose significantly less prevention than nonprudent subjects, confirming the theoretical results of one-period models in the literature. Our findings might have implications for health policy if prudence – rather than irrational decision behaviour, as previously assumed – is responsible for low levels of preventive effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Petrescu Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Petrescu Author-Name: Michael Wedow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wedow Author-Name: Natalia Lari Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Lari Title: Do dark pools amplify volatility in times of stress? Abstract: In this article, we explore the relationship between trading on dark pools and equity volatility in the context of the recent concerns about increase in frequency of market shocks combined with changes in market microstructure. In order to understand the potential role of dark pools in times of stress and implications for financial stability, it is essential to investigate the relationship between investor trading preferences and market volatility. For our analysis, we use data on daily trading volumes of FTSE100 stocks on dark and lit order books. We find evidence that dark pool trading has explanatory power in predicting volatility, implying that dark pools may affect the dynamics of price formation through liquidity. Our findings suggest that increased use of dark pools does not increase volatility, but may in fact lower it. Thus, dark pools may not be significantly detrimental to market stability in times of stress. This highlights the need for further analysis of the effects that shifting financial market structure might have on financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard Author-X-Name-First: Pattanaporn Author-X-Name-Last: Chatjuthamard Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Napatsorn Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Napatsorn Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: Estimating the market value of Steve Jobs using an event study Abstract: Using an event study approach, we seek to estimate the value investors placed on Steve Jobs by investigating the stock market reactions to his death. In the three-day window surrounding his death, the estimated cumulative abnormal returns are −5.76%. Given the market capitalization of Apple at the time, it can be inferred that investors valued Steve Jobs at 20 billion dollars. While tragic, the news about Jobs’ death is greeted favourably by Apple’s competitors. The competitors appear to be convinced that, without Steve Jobs, they can compete with Apple better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 30-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:30-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Donald J. Lacombe Author-X-Name-First: Donald J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lacombe Author-Name: Joylynn Pruitt Author-X-Name-First: Joylynn Author-X-Name-Last: Pruitt Title: Collective bargaining and school district test scores: evidence from Ohio bargaining agreements Abstract: We revisit the relationship between collective bargaining by teachers unions and school performance. The empirical literature in this area has found mixed results at both the state and district levels. We contribute to this literature in two ways. First, rather than simply dummy union status, we proxy for the restrictiveness of collective bargaining agreements with the number of pages per agreement. Second, we employ Bayesian spatial methods to deal with spatial dependence in school district activities. Our reduced-form results indicate that collective bargaining directly lowers scores on high school math scores, but that the total effect is zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Rui Sarabanda Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Sarabanda Title: The impact of the informal economy on R&D, wage inequality and economic growth Abstract: We extend the existing research and development (R&D) growth literature by focusing on the short–medium–long run effects of the informal sector on R&D intensity, wage inequality and economic growth, and by considering 18 OECD countries between 1990 and 2008. We show that: the steady state is unique and stable; the share of informal economy (IE) in production affects negatively R&D intensity and wage equality; Nordic countries have the lowest share of IE in production, while Mediterranean countries have the highest share of IE, wage inequality and R&D intensity but R&D spillovers are lower. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The impact of 11/13 Paris terrorist attacks on stock prices: evidence from the international defence industry Abstract: This study explores the effect of the Paris terrorist attacks on the stock returns and the volatility for the most important companies in the global defence industry. To this end, it employs the General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity methodology. The findings clearly indicate that this terrorist event has a positive impact on both the returns and the volatility of these stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1158914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1158914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jooryang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jooryang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Myoungju Koh Author-X-Name-First: Myoungju Author-X-Name-Last: Koh Author-Name: Gicheol Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Gicheol Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Title: Analysis of the impact of agricultural R&D investment on food security Abstract: This article investigates how agricultural R&D investment affects the food self-sufficiency ratio (SSR). Several studies have argued a causal relationship between agricultural R&D investment and food security. However, most of these studies are based on conceptual logic and few studies have conducted an empirical analysis. This study verifies whether agricultural R&D investment affects the food SSR as a representative indicator of food security. A total of 822 data sets of 41 countries have been used in the analysis in this study and include developed and developing country data over the period 1981–2009. Food self-efficiency is used as a dependent variable, and agricultural R&D investment and other variables are used as explanatory variables. The estimation results show that, first, the cereal SSR and income are in an inverted U-shaped relationship. Second, increases in land productivity increase the cereal SSR and, lastly, the cereal SSR ratio and agricultural R&D investment are in a U-shaped relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Peiran Jiao Author-X-Name-First: Peiran Author-X-Name-Last: Jiao Author-Name: Qilin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qilin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Second-party and third-party punishment in a public goods experiment Abstract: We experimentally investigate whether third-party punishment is more effective than second-party punishment to increase public goods contribution. In our experiment, third parties first played the standard public goods game and then made punishment decisions as independent bystanders. We find that third parties punished more frequently, severely and less antisocially, resulting in a higher contribution level than that driven by second-party punishment. The third party’s exaggerated emotion towards free riders is proposed to explain their superior punishment effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 54-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:54-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Russell Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Title: ‘Modern’ Phillips curves and the implications for the statistical process of inflation Abstract: ‘Modern’ theories of the Phillips curve imply that inflation is an integrated, or near integrated’ process. This article explains this implication and why these ‘modern’ theories are logically inconsistent with what is commonly known about the statistical process of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 58-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:58-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gideon Boako Author-X-Name-First: Gideon Author-X-Name-Last: Boako Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Title: Should Africa’s emerging markets still be considered as a separate asset class? Abstract: This article examines the correlation of Africa’s emerging markets regionally and globally using the Continuous Morlet Wavelet (CMW) transform. The superiority of this technique is that it is able to estimate correlation in a time-varying manner and derive all information about structural changes in the data through a phase difference technique. We find that Africa’s emerging equity markets are partially segmented regionally and globally. Although correlations may have increased over time, we suggest that emerging markets in Africa should still be considered as a separate asset class. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:61-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Title: UK business cycle synchronization with Germany and the US: New evidence from time–frequency domain and structure of economic growth Abstract: This article uses a time–space approach to check the UK business cycle synchronization with Germany and the US. As a novelty, we consider the co-movements in terms of economic growth rate structure. In line with the existing studies, we discover that the UK business cycle is more synchronized with the US then with Germany, and that the co-movements have intensified lately. We also show that co-movements are reduced in terms of business cycle structure and are time–frequency-dependent. Finally, we point out that the UK business cycle became more synchronized with the US cycle given the contribution of investments and external balance to the real growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Editorial Board Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 1 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1248138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1248138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:1:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harold Glenn A. Valera Author-X-Name-First: Harold Glenn A. Author-X-Name-Last: Valera Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Gazi Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Stock market uncertainty and interest rate behaviour: a panel GARCH approach Abstract: Using a dynamic panel GARCH model for Asian countries, we find that interest rates are significantly lower when stock market uncertainty is high. Evidence of a positive relationship between stock market uncertainty and interest rate volatility is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 732-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:732-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tienwei Lou Author-X-Name-First: Tienwei Author-X-Name-Last: Lou Title: Nonlinear causality relationship between stock and real-estate returns in PIGS countries: wealth effect or credit-price effect Abstract: It is the first research to investigate for nonlinear interdependence of these two markets in the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain) countries based on the quantile causality test. The results reveal the existence of the nonlinear causality relationship between the stock returns and real-estate returns in the PIGS countries.The empirical results of the quantile causality test suggest a significant causal relationship between these two markets in the PIGS countries, especially in the tail quantile. The existence of a significant tail interdependence implies that investors are unable to hedge the risk across the real-estate and stock markets when they are extremely volatile. Therefore, when there exist extreme returns between the two markets in the PIGS countries, both continuous negative impacts imply that instability in the real-estate market drives instability in the stock market and vice versa. It could be one of the major reasons why it deepened the systemic risk of the European sovereign debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 736-741 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:736-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinhyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jinhyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Impact of hospitalist care on hospital malpractice premiums using California hospital data Abstract: This study assessed the impact of hospitalist care on hospital malpractice premiums. The retrospective cohort study used hospital financial data from the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development and the annual hospital survey conducted by the American Hospital Association. The sample included 1000 California hospitals from 2006 to 2010. The effect of hospitalist care on hospital malpractice premiums was evaluated using generalized estimation equation models with log link normal distribution after controlling for hospital and market characteristics, patient utilization and staffing patterns. In multivariable analyses, hospitals with more full-time hospitalists per average daily census were associated with lower malpractice insurance premiums. For example, a one-hospitalist increase per 100 daily censuses resulted in a 5.1% reduction in malpractice insurance premiums. Hospitalist care was associated with a reduction in malpractice insurance expenses. The data reveal that hospitalist care is more efficient and effective in patient treatment and preventing complications. The improved efficiency may reduce malpractice insurance expenses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 742-752 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:742-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Yan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Willingness to pay to control PM2.5 pollution in Jing-Jin-Ji Region, China Abstract: This letter aims to study individual willingness to pay (WTP) to mitigate PM2.5 pollution in the Jing-Jin-Ji region by using contingent valuation method. Our survey indicated that residents in this region were highly concerned about PM2.5 pollution control and supported PM2.5 pollution control policies. In this study, a payment card (PC) format is used to elicit residents’ perceived WTP. With a two-part model, we estimate the mean WTP for an 80% reduction of severe PM2.5 polluting days in this region is 602 CNY a year, approximately accounts for 1% of the GDP per capita. This result indicates an important funding source for the government to control PM2.5 pollution in the region. In the econometric analysis, the mean WTP is found to significantly relate with income, expense, age and education level. It decreases with income, age and educational level, but increases with expense, and it is higher for females, people who have children, own cars and apartments but lower for those having larger families. By comparing with relevant researches, this letter indicates a strong and ever-increasing WTP for air pollution control among residents in the Jing-Jin-Ji region, China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-761 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:753-761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Huntington-Klein Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Huntington-Klein Title: Estimating local average treatment effects in aggregate data Abstract: In some contexts, the effect of a treatment can be estimated with easily accessible aggregate rather than individual data, using difference-in-difference estimation. However, under imperfect assignment within groups, this produces intent-to-treat estimates, which may not be the treatment effect of interest. This article provides a method for estimating local average treatment effects using aggregate data. I also suggest a data source that allows the method to be applied when treatment rates are not recorded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 762-765 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:762-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Richard M. Proctor Author-X-Name-First: Richard M. Author-X-Name-Last: Proctor Title: Using demographic identification to estimate the effects of board size on corporate performance Abstract: Motivated by agency theory, we investigate the effect of board size on corporate outcomes. To address endogeneity, we exploit the variations in the director-age populations across the states in the US. We argue that firms with access to a larger pool of potential directors tend to have larger boards. Consistent with this notion, our empirical results show that firms located where the size of the director-age population is larger have significantly larger board size. Because the director-age population represents broad demographic trends outside of any firm’s control, it is unlikely related to firm outcomes or policies and should be exogenous. Using the director-age population as our instrument, we estimate the effects of board size on firm value and profitability. Our approach is less vulnerable to endogeneity and is more likely to show a causal effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 766-770 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:766-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: International stock return predictability: on the role of the United States in bad and good times Abstract: In this article, we document the asymmetric role that the US stock market plays in the international predictability of excess stock returns during recession and expansion periods. Most of the positive evidence accrues during the periods of recessions in the United States. During the expansions, there is only a limited evidence supporting the importance of lagged US returns in predictability of stock returns in 10 industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-773 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:771-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Chmura Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Chmura Author-Name: Christoph Engel Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Engel Author-Name: Markus Englerth Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Englerth Title: At the mercy of a prisoner three dictator experiments Abstract: We test male juvenile prisoners on a dictator game with another anonymous co-prisoner as recipient. Prisoners give more than students, but less than nonstudents of their age. They give more to a charity than to another prisoner. In one of two experiments, those convicted for violent crime give more than those convicted for property crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 774-778 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1226486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1226486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:774-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Do consumers’ home buying attitudes explain the behaviour of US home sales? Abstract: This article asks whether consumers’ home buying attitudes explain the behaviour of home sales by focusing on two tranquil and two uncertain periods within 1978–2015. We utilize monthly data to formulate and estimate four augmented autoregressive models with the results indicating that improvements (deteriorations) in consumers’ home buying attitudes lead to higher (lower) home sales. This conclusion remains unchanged when controlling for economic and financial indicators often cited as determinants of home sales. Overall, our article has key implications for future studies aiming to forecast home sales using attitudinal measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarkko Peltomäki Author-X-Name-First: Jarkko Author-X-Name-Last: Peltomäki Author-Name: Michael Graham Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Title: Commodity-driven integration of stock markets in Africa Abstract: This article examines stock market integration for commodity-dependent African countries. The analysis is carried out in two phases – first we adjust the respective national equity returns for changes in commodity prices and examine integration in the context of commodity-adjusted stock returns, and second we focus on integration associated with changes in commodity prices in a novel modelling framework. The results for this unexamined area of research are interesting: (a) African stock markets are not driven by more than one common component and (b) commodity-adjusted integration is significantly lower than nonadjusted integration. We discuss the implications of the results for index construction, modelling and diversification in the conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 784-789 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:784-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jianqin Hang Author-X-Name-First: Jianqin Author-X-Name-Last: Hang Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Multi-scale causality between saving and growth: evidence from China Abstract: In this article, we use a wavelet-based Granger causality approach to examine the multi-scale causality between saving and growth for China. We show that significant causality runs from saving to growth for most timescales, whereas multi-scale causality from growth to saving is not statistically significant. Our subsample results suggest that economic systems have remarkable effects on the multi-scale causality. Overall, our study provides a novel perspective to deeply explore the relationships between macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-794 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:790-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomomi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Tomomi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Public investment and regional business cycle fluctuations in Japan Abstract: This article examines the relationship between public investment and regional business cycle fluctuations in Japan. In particular, we focus on the effects of ‘discretionary’ changes in public investment, a portion of investment unrelated to the current state of macroeconomic circumstances. The empirical results show that such portions of public investment amplify regional business cycle fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-799 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:795-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donatella Saccone Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Saccone Title: Economic growth in emerging economies: what, who and why Abstract: This article proposes a general definition of emerging economies (EEs) and investigates the main determinants of their high rates of economic growth by extending the basic framework of neoclassical growth models to include various dimensions of economic development. According to the proposed definition, we find a list of 38 EEs for the period 2000–2014, whose emergence is proved to be strictly associated with the decline of the age dependency ratio, the increasing rates of investment growth and the improvements in human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 800-803 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:800-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: Laura Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Author-Name: Jodie-gaye Hunter Author-X-Name-First: Jodie-gaye Author-X-Name-Last: Hunter Title: Re-assessing the impact of academic performance on salary level and growth: a case study Abstract: This study examines the relationship between GPA and salary level and growth using a unique data set of Bryant University graduates in different stages of their careers. This study adds to a divided literature plagued with issues of heterogeneity and omitted variable biases. Results of the empirical analysis suggest that male graduates with higher GPA at graduation have experienced higher salary level and faster salary growth, while GPA has had no significant impact on women’s salary or salary growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 804-808 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:804-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vera Sommer Author-X-Name-First: Vera Author-X-Name-Last: Sommer Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Citations, journal ranking and multiple authorships reconsidered: evidence from almost one million articles Abstract: In this article, we reconsider the investigation by Moosa (2016) using a much larger data set of almost one million articles listed in Research Papers in Economics. This article provides new insights into the effects of co-authorship on citation counts and the correlation between quality of papers and quality of the publishing journal. Our evidence is partially in contrast to the results reported in Moosa (2016). We find a positive correlation between the h-index of a journal and the quality of papers measured in terms of citations. This correlation becomes almost perfect using a nonlinear model. Results from a regression of citation counts on the number of authors show evidence of a positive and significant effect of co-authorship on the quality of a paper when time effects and large sets of top-cited articles are taken into account. The inclusion of time effects and the large data set, that allows to differentiate between top-cited cohorts, adds further insights to the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-814 Issue: 11 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1229410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1229410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:11:p:809-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pfaffermayr Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaffermayr Title: Gravity models, PPML estimation and the bias of the robust standard errors Abstract: In gravity models with exporter and importer dummies, the robust standard errors of the slope parameters tend to be severely downward biased when estimated by PPML. The coverage rate of confidence intervals of the estimated slope parameters may thus be much too small in cross-sections of the size typically used in empirical research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1467-1471 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1581902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1581902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1467-1471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dohyoung Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Dohyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: Oil shocks, US economic uncertainty, and emerging stock markets Abstract: This paper investigates the impacts of oil price shocks and US economic uncertainty on emerging equity markets within a structural VAR model. I find that both precautionary oil demand and US economic uncertainty shocks have significant negative effects on emerging stock returns, whereas aggregate demand shocks cause a sustained rise of the returns. In particular, the direct effects of oil shocks on emerging stock returns are amplified by the endogenous response of US economic uncertainty. Variance decomposition analysis shows that oil market fundamentals and US economic uncertainty are an important determinant of emerging equity returns, accounting for 35% and 24% of their long-term variations, respectively. The heterogeneous impacts of structural shocks on individual emerging markets, however, suggest that a well-diversified portfolio can be obtainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1472-1479 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1581903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1581903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1472-1479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Maguire Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Maguire Author-Name: Arthur Santos Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Miranda Author-Name: John V. Winters Author-X-Name-First: John V. Author-X-Name-Last: Winters Title: The opioid crisis in Appalachia: the effect of blue-collar employment Abstract: The effects of the American opioid crisis have been widespread, leading to increases in addictions, poor health outcomes, and death. We expect that these effects may vary across the workforce, in particular, that blue-collar employment, which generally requires more physically demanding labour, may be associated with a higher use of pain medication including opioids. This paper analyses the relationship between the share of blue-collar employment and the number of opioid prescriptions from 2014 to 2016 for the Appalachian region as compared to the contiguous US We find that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship in the Appalachian region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1480-1484 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1581904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1581904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1480-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Noda Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Title: Disability insurance and environmental tax policy in a zero net emissions society Abstract: This study aims to show the importance of disability insurance from an environmental policy perspective. Within the framework of an overlapping generations model, we derive the emissions tax rate required to achieve zero net pollution. Our model implies that the emissions tax rate is always lower in the presence of disability insurance than it is in the absence of disability insurance. The results suggest that disability insurance can be used as an instrument for increasing gross domestic product performance when the government implements a zero net emissions policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1493 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1582845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1582845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1485-1493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideki Sato Author-X-Name-First: Hideki Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Cross-border pollution abatement and its synergy Abstract: The present study shows that in the case of cross-border pollution between two neighbouring jurisdictions, residents in each jurisdiction should undertake a competitive pollution abatement program. The present study considers an economy comprising two homogeneous regions, with each regional government competing to provide some local public good that can benefit not only the regions supplying them but also the other neighbouring regions. This study investigated the circumstances under which such regional spillovers mutually arise by comparing cases without spillover effects with those featuring varying levels of spillovers. The study result indicates that regions exhibiting a different levels of spillover provide higher welfare measures than those without spillover and that the higher the level of spillover the greater the social welfare measures yielded. The study also compares cases without synergy effects with those featuring varying levels of spillover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1494-1496 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1582846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1582846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1494-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucas W. Davis Author-X-Name-First: Lucas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: How much are electric vehicles driven? Abstract: The prospect for electric vehicles as a climate change solution hinges on their ability to reduce gasoline consumption. But this depends on how many miles electric vehicles are driven and on how many miles would have otherwise been driven in gasoline-powered vehicles. Using newly-available U.S. nationally representative data, this paper finds that electric vehicles are driven considerably fewer miles per year on average than gasoline-powered vehicles. The difference is highly statistically significant and holds for both all-electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, for both single- and multiple-vehicle households, and both inside and outside California. The paper discusses potential explanations and policy implications. Overall, the evidence suggests that today’s electric vehicles imply smaller environmental benefits than previously believed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1502 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1582847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1582847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1497-1502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Gook Jung Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Gook Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Evaluating inflation persistence considering model uncertainty and structural break Abstract: There is little consensus about the historical change in inflation persistence. One of the reasons is that researchers cannot choose a uniform model structure due to model uncertainty. In this study, a model to investigate inflation persistence is proposed. Unlike previous studies, I try to overcome model uncertainty by being agnostic about the structure of the model. Estimation results indicate that inflation has become less persistent over time, implying that inflation persistence is related to the way how monetary policy is conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1503-1510 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1503-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuchen Shao Author-X-Name-First: Yuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Author-Name: Chengrui Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Chengrui Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Bank system reform and outward foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises Abstract: Using a panel of Chinese domestic enterprises over the 2002–2008 period, we assess the effect of the state-owned commercial bank shareholding reform on the domestic enterprises' outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) decisions. We find that a modern market-oriented bank system significantly increases the likelihood of OFDI, especially for the purpose of facilitating trade and services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Gunadi Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Gunadi Title: Interior immigration enforcement policy and the subjective well-being of US residents: evidence from secure communities Abstract: There were increased efforts to enhance interior enforcement of immigration laws in the United States in recent years. Considering that more interior immigration enforcement measures are going to be proposed in the near future, there is a need to evaluate whether such policy can achieve its objective and imparts some benefits to the population it is supposed to help. In this article, I examine the impact of one of the largest interior immigration enforcement effort – Secure Communities – on the subjective well-being of US residents. The analyses show that there is no evidence that Secure Communities statistically significantly increased the proportion of white or black non-Hispanics reporting that they were satisfied with their life. Evaluated at the mean, at 10% significance level, the results suggest that I can rule out an effect size larger than 0.5% and 1% for white and black non-Hispanics, respectively. Since only a small share of white or black non-Hispanics are foreign-born, this finding suggests that the benefit of Secure Communities to US-born individuals that are coming through an increase in their life satisfaction is not economically large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1516-1523 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1516-1523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuhei Nishitateno Author-X-Name-First: Shuhei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishitateno Title: Does privatization of daycare affect maternal employment? Abstract: This article is the first attempt to examine the privatization effects of daycare centres on the employment of mothers with preschool children. Analysing newly constructed municipality-level data for 2000, 2005 and 2010 in Japan, the results suggest that an increased proportion of private daycare centres has positive effects on mothers’ labour force participation, and the effects are large for municipalities in Tokyo metropolitan area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1524-1527 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1524-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandra K. Dhakal Author-X-Name-First: Chandra K. Author-X-Name-Last: Dhakal Author-Name: Cesar L. Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Cesar L. Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Author-Name: Charles Dodson Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Dodson Title: Heterogeneity of farm loan packaging term decisions: a finite mixture approach Abstract: This article revisits the minority borrowers’ discrimination issue in farm lending by departing from traditional loan approval-rejection or default rate-based analytical models to focus on loan packaging decisions. This study analyses such decisions using a Finite Mixture Model that optimally separates the borrowers into two sub-classes allowing for a priori unspecified heterogeneity in borrowers’ data, which has not been accounted for in previous loan discrimination analyses. Results show that non-white farm borrowers tend to receive larger loans among those in the lower loan latent class, but receive relatively lower loans in the larger loans borrower category. These farmers are also charged higher interest rates vis-à-vis their peers in both the low and high interest rate latent classes. This study’s results also indicate that male borrowers are accommodated with larger loans and longer maturities in all loan amount and maturity latent classes. This study validates the interplay among significant trends in loan packaging terms for racial and gender minority borrowers that seems logical from the lenders’ credit risk management perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1528-1532 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1528-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murugappa (Murgie) Krishnan Author-X-Name-First: Murugappa (Murgie) Author-X-Name-Last: Krishnan Title: Stock price impact of diversity in investor beliefs Abstract: I re-examine the association between diverse investor beliefs and stock prices within the context of an imperfect competition model. The relationship is ambiguous because of several different effects of a change in diversity in investor beliefs. This has implications for empirical design and explains why 40 years of evidence on this association is inconclusive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1536 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1533-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuandong Mu Author-X-Name-First: Yuandong Author-X-Name-Last: Mu Author-Name: Chaohua He Author-X-Name-First: Chaohua Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Re-examining differences between momentum and time series momentum among individual stocks Abstract: In this paper, we provide a comprehensive comparison of momentum (CSMOM) and time series momentum (TSMOM) among individual stocks in the US stock market from January 1964 to December 2015 and find that the two are distinct among individual stocks. With zero-cost strategies on both of them, we find that the explanations in Goyal and Jegadeesh (2018) cannot fully explain the differences between the performances of CSMOM strategies and TSMOM strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1543 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1537-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaseem Akram Author-X-Name-First: Vaseem Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Author-Name: Badri Narayan Rath Author-X-Name-First: Badri Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Title: Is there any evidence of tax-and-spend, spend-and-tax or fiscal synchronization from panel of Indian state? Abstract: We examine the government revenue and government expenditure nexus using a panel of 26 Indian states from 1980–1981 to 2014–2015. While most of the previous literature claims that revenue and expenditure series are non-stationary at level, we employ both Narayan and Popp two structural break and cross-sectional augmented Im-Pesaran-Shin (CIPS) panel unit root tests, and found two series are stationary. Further, our results derived from Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test support the ‘fiscal synchronization’ hypothesis for Indian states. Finally, the revenue and expenditure of Indian state governments are segregated into revenue account and capital account, and again our results support the existence of ‘fiscal synchronization’ hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1544-1547 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1544-1547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katsuyuki Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Katsuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Author-Name: Takuji Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: Takuji Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Asymmetric technological distance measure based on language model Abstract: This article introduces a novel technological distance measure between companies based on their patent portfolios. We describe the technological position or characteristics of companies by applying the framework of language modelling technique in information retrieval on their patent portfolios. The proposed novel approach is an asymmetric measure and better captures the technological characteristic of a company and hence is a more accurate distance measure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1548-1551 Issue: 18 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1584364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1584364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:18:p:1548-1551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xi Fang Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Haiming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haiming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xianhang Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xianhang Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Political incentives and the effectiveness of monetary policy: evidence from China’s city commercial banks Abstract: From the perspective of official-and-director (OAD), this article takes studies of the effect of monetary policy on bank loans to the heterogeneity of bank. We explore how political incentives affect the lending channel of monetary policy transmission, using a sample of China’s city commercial banks during 2006–2014. And we further analyse the role of OAD’s characteristics, including administrative rank and age. The results indicate that although tight monetary policy can reduce bank loans, the OAD can weaken this relationship, and the higher is the administrative rank of OAD, the larger is the effect. And the older is OAD, the larger is the effect. More importantly, the relationship between monetary policy and bank loan is insignificant in banks with OAD, implying that the lending channel of monetary policy is absent when considering the role of OAD. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 70-73 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1296538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1296538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:70-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shahar Sansani Author-X-Name-First: Shahar Author-X-Name-Last: Sansani Title: Ethnicity and risk: a field test of the white-male effect Abstract: In this article, I analyse the different risk-taking tendencies of students comprising the two major ethnic groups in Israel, Ashkenazi and Mizrahi Jews, in a field setting. I determine ethnicity by students’ last names, and I measure risk by students’ propensity to give up a passing grade on a final exam in order to be able to retake the exam in pursuit of a higher grade, but with the risk of earning a lower grade and possibly not passing the course. Differences in preferences for risk may be part of the explanation for differential labour market outcomes between gender and ethnic groups. I find evidence that Ashkenazi men take more exam risk than both Ashkenazi and Mizrahi women, and Mizrahi men. This finding is consistent with the ‘White-Male Effect’, the notion that white males, or males from the dominant socio-economic group, perceive lower risks than females and non-whites. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 74-77 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1296540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1296540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:74-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuang-Liang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Asymmetric downside and upside co-movements between stock and REIT markets Abstract: This article aims to investigate whether stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) returns have asymmetric downside and upside co-movements. The investigation is carried out by employing a mixture copula with Markov-switching coefficients for weight, upper tail dependence and lower tail dependence. Empirical result demonstrates that an asymptotic independence and a positive relationship, which has greater dependence in the left tail than in the right tail, coexist. The empirical result provides useful information for making portfolio decisions. In the independent state, the inclusion of stock and REIT indices in a portfolio builds a diversified portfolio. However, a portfolio with stock and REIT assets cannot get the benefit of risk reduction in the positive dependence state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 78-82 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1296541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1296541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:78-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Han Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Number of siblings and educational attainment: application of son preference Abstract: This article examines the relation between the number of children in Taiwanese families and the educational attainment of those children. To identify the causal relation, our analysis operationalizes the traditional Taiwanese parental preference for male children as an instrumental variable to generate exogenous variations in the number of siblings. Ordinary least square estimates reveal that a larger number of siblings results in lower educational attainment. However, after addressing for the endogeneity of the number of siblings, our two-stage least square estimates result in doubt of the existence of a trade-off between child quantity and quality within a family. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1296543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1296543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baoxia Li Author-X-Name-First: Baoxia Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhi Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Time-varying dependence structures of equity markets of China, ASEAN and the USA Abstract: Popular time-varying Copulas are used to analyse the dependence structure between the CSI 300 index return, the S&P 300 index return and the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) 80 index return. Results show that these three types of stock index returns have obvious time-varying characteristics. The US sub-prime mortgage crisis has strengthened the correlation among the three-stock index returns, whereas the dependence between China and the ASEAN stock markets is more sensitive to the financial crisis. The time-varying features of the extreme dependence risk between China-ASEAN and China-US are very different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1296545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1296545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kichun Kang Author-X-Name-First: Kichun Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: The effect of immigrants on the extensive and intensive margins of trade Abstract: This study examines the impact of immigrants on the extensive and intensive margins of South Korean exports. Since trade data contain excessive zero trade flows, we adopt recently suggested Poisson and Gamma pseudo maximum likelihoods. ​​​Our finding shows that immigrant stock in South Korea has significant effect on both the extensive and intensive margins of South Korean exports. Immigrants’ network seems to decrease variable as well as fixed costs of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299092 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:92-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Kettlewell Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Kettlewell Author-Name: Olena Stavrunova Author-X-Name-First: Olena Author-X-Name-Last: Stavrunova Author-Name: Oleg Yerokhin Author-X-Name-First: Oleg Author-X-Name-Last: Yerokhin Title: Premium subsidies and demand for private health insurance: results from a regression discontinuity design Abstract: This article investigates the impact of a private health insurance (PHI) subsidy on the demand for PHI in the context of the Australian health care system. In particular, we focus on the subpopulation of elderly Australians and exploit discontinuous increases to the universal ‘PHI rebate’ that occur when people turn 65 and 70 years. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find the policy has little effect on take-up of PHI and is best interpreted as a wealth transfer to elderly Australians who already have insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299094 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299094 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:96-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Why does the trend extracted by the Hodrick–Prescott filtering seem to be more plausible than the linear trend? Abstract: Why does the trend extracted by the Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filtering (HP trend) seem to be more plausible than the linear trend estimated by OLS? This article provides an answer for it. Because the HP filtering is a basic econometric tool, it is necessary to have a precise understanding of the nature of it. This article concludes that the HP trend is calculated by adding the low-frequency component (the long-term periodic fluctuation) of the linearly detrended series to the linear trend, which leads to that the HP trend seems to be more plausible than the linear trend. Other than this key result, this article shows that the HP cycle, which is defined as the residuals of the HP filtering, can be interpreted as the high-frequency component (the short-term periodic fluctuation) of the linearly detrended series. An empirical illustration is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 102-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299095 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299095 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:102-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel-Eduard Vîlcu Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel-Eduard Author-X-Name-Last: Vîlcu Title: On a generalization of a class of production functions Abstract: In Appl. Econ. Lett. 18 (2011), 1777–1784, as a natural generalization of some famous production models with two inputs, C.A. Ioan and G. Ioan introduced a new class of production functions with constant return to scale, called sum production function, and proved three theorems of characterization for such production models. In this article, we give new and more simple proofs of these theorems, extending also the results to the case of increased/decreased return to scale. The generalization to the case of an arbitrary number of inputs is also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 106-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:106-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayato Ashihara Author-X-Name-First: Ayato Author-X-Name-Last: Ashihara Author-Name: Keigo Kameda Author-X-Name-First: Keigo Author-X-Name-Last: Kameda Title: Is fiscal expansion more effective in a financial crisis? Abstract: After the Great Recession, the Keynesian expansionary policy has been regarded as an effective measure, especially under imperfect financial market conditions. Among literature related to fiscal policy in financial crises, Fernández-Villaverde (2010) suggests that the fiscal policy multiplier increases in a financial crisis through the Fisher effect. However, we should note that the author simply compared the multiplier computed in the standard new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) with that in the DSGE with financial accelerator settings. As the financial accelerator is considered effective during both financial crises and normal financial conditions, the author’s comparison should be considered insignificant for showing a greater multiplier in the financial crisis. In this study, to make the exact comparison, we first estimate parameters regarding the Fisher effect under each regime separately and then compute and compare the estimated fiscal multipliers using these 2 estimates in the same DSGE model. Using Japanese financial data that provide enough observations under the good and bad regimes of financial conditions, we find that fiscal multipliers are smaller in the bad regime than in the good regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-114 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:111-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Piccoli Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Piccoli Author-Name: Mo Chaudhury Author-X-Name-First: Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhury Title: Overreaction to extreme market events and investor sentiment Abstract: This article investigates the role of investor psychology, captured here by investor sentiment index, in driving individual stock price reactions to extreme movements in the broader market. In addition to confirming prior evidence of overreaction, we find much stronger overreaction when investor sentiment is low rather than high. This is consistent with the role of the contrast dimension of an uncommon event, suggested in the psychology literature, over and above the emotion of surprise it brings about. In a low sentiment environment, the contrast is sharper and hence leads to stronger overreaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:115-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Jason G. Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Kent Jason G. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Sarah Lynne S. Daway Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Lynne S. Author-X-Name-Last: Daway Title: The role of domestic financial and economic development in financial integration Abstract: Using two-step system generalized method-of-moments on an unbalanced panel of 75 countries from 1996 to 2010, this study shows that financial development’s effect on the pace of a country’s financial integration is conditional on economic development. Indeed, the results validate the observation that greater financial development conditioned on similar levels of economic development should precede closer financial integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:119-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thanarerk Thanakijsombat Author-X-Name-First: Thanarerk Author-X-Name-Last: Thanakijsombat Author-Name: Treerapot Kongtoranin Author-X-Name-First: Treerapot Author-X-Name-Last: Kongtoranin Title: Performance and diversification benefits of foreign-equity ETFs in emerging markets Abstract: This study provides a comprehensive review of the risk-return characteristics, performance and international diversification benefits of an uncharted fast-growing segment of the global exchange-traded fund (ETF) market by examining 17 foreign-equity ETFs traded in 6 emerging markets. The results indicate that the sample ETFs domiciled in these economies perform poorly providing relatively low returns while exposing emerging market investors to substantial total and systematic risks. In addition, these ETFs are found to be more sensitive to downside risk, making them relatively more vulnerable to market downturns. Although the foreign-equity ETFs are designed to provide investors with full international diversification benefits, we find that they are significantly affected by their local market conditions and sentiments, making them ineffective international diversification tools. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:125-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Sebastian Leguizamon Author-X-Name-First: J. Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Leguizamon Author-Name: Susane Leguizamon Author-X-Name-First: Susane Author-X-Name-Last: Leguizamon Title: Health insurance subsidies and the expansion of an implicit marriage penalty: a regional comparison of various means-tested programmes Abstract: Any subsidy provision for healthcare premiums, including those embedded in Affordable Care Act (ACA), has the potential to result in some couples facing an implicit penalty when married relative to unmarried. To illustrate such consequences of means-tested subsidies of health insurance premiums, we construct hypothetical households earning different levels of income who are eligible for current subsidies in the USA. and compare the estimated implicit marriage penalty faced by these households to the one faced by low-income households who are eligible for various means-tested programmes (e.g. TANF, WIC, SNAP) for each of the 48 contiguous states. We find that, like very low-income households, marriage can potentially penalize couples who receive health insurance premium subsidies by decreasing their overall disposable income by as much as 14%. We find that the ACA increases the number of households subject to marriage penalties embedded in means-tested programmes for low-income couples. This distortion will exist for any future health insurance premium subsidies that are means tested at the household income level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 130-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:130-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard C. K. Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard C. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Eric Hughson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Hughson Author-Name: Jinlin Gu Author-X-Name-First: Jinlin Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Title: A first look at Brexit and global equity markets Abstract: Global equity markets fell by nearly 5% overall on 24 June 2016 following news of the Brexit referendum result. Although nearly all EU stock market indices experienced additional significantly negative abnormal returns, especially poor performance was registered by the debt-ridden PIIGS group (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). In this article, we identify a systematic tendency for more severe stock market responses to be concentrated amongst countries with higher debt to GDP ratios. This effect endures even after controlling for the degree of openness, EU membership and for being part of the PIIGS group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 136-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:2:p:136-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Chi Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yu-Chun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Corporate social irresponsibility, CEO overconfidence, and stock price crash risk Abstract: This study examines whether and how corporate social irresponsibility (CSI) influences stock price crash risk for firms with overconfident CEOs. We find that the positive association between CEO overconfidence and stock price crash risk as shown in prior studies is significantly weakened when firms have higher CSI concerns. As a result, our intriguing findings demonstrate that investors are less surprised at the negative news hoarded by overconfident CEOs of CSI firms, possibly because they are already aware of and have previously reacted to the socially irresponsible behavior in their daily operations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1147 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1143-1147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Bossler Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Bossler Author-Name: Philipp Grunau Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Grunau Title: Chasing the carrot – actual working hours of fixed-term employees Abstract: Fixed-term contracts can serve as a screening device to reveal the true ability of workers. To achieve promotion to a permanent position, fixed-term employees have an incentive to prove themselves by providing higher effort than competing co-workers by means of longer working hours. Applying fixed effects estimation to the German register data, we find that employees work longer hours on fixed-term contracts. This effect is stronger for labour market entrants and employees that are newly hired. We further show that actual hours of work are particularly large when there is competition among co-workers to receive promotion to a permanent position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1148-1152 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1148-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Yong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ji Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: John A. Fox Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Author-Name: Rodolfo M. Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Effect of substitutes in contingent valuation for a private market good Abstract: Economic theory predicts a decrease in valuation as the availability of substitutes increases. This paper describes a contingent valuation (CV) survey that investigates the effect of substitutes on valuation of private market goods. Using an approach that compares willingness to pay (WTP) values elicited from a CV question that accounts for substitutes with WTP values elicited from a similar question without substitutes, we find that allowing for substitutes can moderate WTP values. For the item valued in this study, a hamburger sandwich, allowing for substitutes was associated with a reduction of from 10% to 16% in stated values. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Denisa Vasilescu Author-X-Name-First: Maria Denisa Author-X-Name-Last: Vasilescu Author-Name: Liviu Stelian Begu Author-X-Name-First: Liviu Stelian Author-X-Name-Last: Begu Title: Youth reservation wages in Romania: are wage expectations realistic? Abstract: Romania has been experiencing difficulties in integrating young people into the labour market in recent years. Moreover, the problem of migration is extremely acute, young people being the most eager to leave the country. Considering also the demographics – declining birth-rates and an aging population, the risk of imbalance is extremely high. Thus, it is important to design strategies targeting young people, helping them find quality jobs so they contribute to the sustainable growth and development of the Romanian economy. In this context, the paper aims to identify the determinants of youth reservation wages and to analyse whether youth wage expectations are too high and prevent the acceptance of available jobs. The article contributes to the explanation of youth unemployment by analysing their behaviour, complementing the existing studies that focus mainly on macroeconomic and institutional factors. The results indicated that young unemployed people really have high reservation wages, expecting more than we estimated to earn on the market, considering their personal characteristics. The main factors influencing their reservation wage are: age, gender, education, intention to emigrate, duration of unemployment, and friends’ wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1161 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1157-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Financing constraints for R&D in China: the role of state ownership Abstract: We investigate financing constraints for R&D in China. We find that Chinese private firms are financially constrained for R&D, while state-owned enterprises are not. Mature private firms encounter more severe financing constraints for R&D than young private firms. Moreover, the expansion of external financing supply does not relax the financing constraints for R&D faced by private firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1162-1166 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1162-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Yuret Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Yuret Title: Citation performance of thirty keywords in economics Abstract: Keywords of a publication may be indicative of its subfield. In this paper, we analyse citation performance of thirty keywords to understand differences in intra-field citation performance in economics. First, citation performance of publications that contain a certain keyword is computed. Then, adjustments are made for the publication year and the publishing journal. Keywords such as ‘growth’, ‘inference’ and ‘institutions’ have above average citation performance in all adjustments. Lastly, the trend in the frequency of publications that contain a certain keyword is explored. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1170 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1167-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuen C Lo Author-X-Name-First: Yuen C Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Francesca Medda Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Medda Title: Bitcoin mining: converting computing power into cash flow Abstract: Bitcoin is the world’s leading cryptocurrency, with a market capitalization briefly exceeding $300 billion. This hints at Bitcoin’s amorphous nature: Is this a monetary or a corporate measure? Hard values become explicit in the processing of transactions and the digital mining of Bitcoins. Electricity is a primary input cost. Bitcoins earned are often used to circumvent local currency controls and acquire US dollars. For the period August 2010 to February 2018, we examine the financial components of Bitcoin mining revenues, their statistical contribution to daily changes, and to its variance. We provide empirical evidence that Bitcoin transaction processing is capacity constrained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1176 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1171-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lutz Bellmann Author-X-Name-First: Lutz Author-X-Name-Last: Bellmann Author-Name: Olaf Hübler Author-X-Name-First: Olaf Author-X-Name-Last: Hübler Author-Name: Ute Leber Author-X-Name-First: Ute Author-X-Name-Last: Leber Title: Works council and training effects on satisfaction Abstract: This paper investigates the direct and indirect impact of works councils via further training on job satisfaction. Basic estimates on an individual level do not reveal clearly direct effects, but on an establishment level, the existence of a works council increases the average job satisfaction. We also find a positive, weakly significant effect on an individual level accompanied by training under instrumental variables estimation and if we control for personal characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1181 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1177-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher J. Skousen Author-X-Name-First: Christopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Skousen Author-Name: Li Sun Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Do employee dimension ratings reflect employee performance? Evidence from MSCI’s ESG database Abstract: We investigate whether the ratings of employee dimension in MSCI’s ESG database reflect employee performance of a firm. Using a large panel sample with 23,739 observations from 1991 to 2015, we find a significant positive relation between employee performance and employee dimension ratings. To mitigate concerns about endogeneity issues and robustness of our study, we perform various additional tests and still obtain consistent results. Overall, our findings suggest that the employee dimension ratings in MSCI’s ESG database accurately reflect employee performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1182-1185 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1182-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Kaas Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kaas Author-Name: Georgi Kocharkov Author-X-Name-First: Georgi Author-X-Name-Last: Kocharkov Author-Name: Edgar Preugschat Author-X-Name-First: Edgar Author-X-Name-Last: Preugschat Title: Does homeownership promote wealth accumulation? Abstract: It is well known that homeowners are richer than renters, even after controlling for observable household characteristics. This is often used as an argument for policies that foster homeownership. However, the causal link between homeownership and wealth is difficult to establish due to many potential sources of endogeneity. Utilizing the Household Finance and Consumption Survey for the Euro area, we correct for endogeneity by using inheriting the household’ s main residence as an instrument. The exclusion restriction is that conditional on the total amount of inheritance, inheriting a home affects the wealth position of the household only through homeownership. For the sample of inheritors we find that the local average treatment effect for households that inherit a home and stay homeowners is negative. Owning a home reduces riches due to sizable reductions in the net holdings of financial and other real wealth of the treated households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1186-1191 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1542117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1542117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1186-1191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuhua Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wuhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Debu Gao Author-X-Name-First: Debu Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Pengfei Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: The impact of education on healthcare expenditure in China: quantity or quality Abstract: With respects to the low level of the healthcare expenditure, China has been experiencing a rapid growth of the education. This article is designed to test the education quantity and the education quality on the healthcare expenditure and conducts China’s provincial data set over the period 2001–2016. The results suggest that the education quantity has no significant effect on the healthcare expenditure, while the education quality has a positive and significant effect. Thus, it is suggested that China’s expansion on education cannot maintain the quality, and is not conducive to the improvement of human capital in education and health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1192-1195 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1542118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1542118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1192-1195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Adams Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Adams Author-Name: Hyunchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Early adopters of new supermarket products Abstract: New goods and expanding product variety are thought to provide enormous welfare gains. New products can influence the pricing of competing products, but often the most important way that new products improve the welfare is through their direct consumption value. The demographic profile of the buyers of new goods suggests those welfare gains are unequally distributed. For supermarket products in the US, expenditures on new goods are disproportionately concentrated among high earners and younger consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1196-1201 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1542482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1542482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1196-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adriaan Van Velthoven Author-X-Name-First: Adriaan Author-X-Name-Last: Van Velthoven Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Finance, income inequality and income redistribution Abstract: Using a panel fixed effects model for a large sample of countries covering 1975–2005, we test the hypothesis that income inequality caused by finance (financial development, financial liberalization and banking crises) is related to more income redistribution than inequality caused by other factors. Our results provide evidence in support of this hypothesis. We also find that the impact of inequality on redistribution is conditioned by ethno-linguistic fractionalization. Our findings are robust to the inclusion of several control variables suggested by previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1202-1209 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1542483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1542483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1202-1209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei He Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Na Li Author-X-Name-First: Na Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The threshold effect of longevity: life expectancy and economic growth Abstract: Differing from the nonlinear effect of life expectancy (LE) estimated by previous empirical studies based on a quadratic equation which may be inapplicable for asymmetric nonlinear relationships, this note uses dynamic threshold model to investigate the asymmetric threshold effect of LE. The results show that the significant positive effect of LE on income per capita can only be realized above the threshold, whereas there is an insignificant linkage between LE and economic growth below the threshold level when inflation is eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1210-1213 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1210-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The president and asymmetric use of information Abstract: While presidents try to allocate resources to their interests in budgeting process, they have limited power to influence because the government budget is approved by the legislative body. This study investigates whether presidents asymmetrically use information on the efficiency of programs to allocate more resources to their interests. Specifically, I focus on leftover funds in the government reporting. Growing leftover funds indicate inefficiency of the programs as they are the results of lack of demand or operational problems in implementation. Using data from the Korean government, I find that the change of leftover funds of programs and the following year’s budget has a negative relation only when the change of leftover funds is negative, which suggests that the efficiency of the program improves. This phenomenon becomes more salient when the programs are related to the president’s political interests. This suggests that presidents allocate resources to the programs of their interests by asymmetrically using the information on efficiency. This study contributes to the extant literature by identifying one of the presidents’ tools to affect the budgeting process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1214-1217 Issue: 14 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1543933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1543933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:14:p:1214-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1289880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1289880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: ii-ii Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1289881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1289881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:ii-ii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Wichmann Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Wichmann Author-Name: Meng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Blue Beijing: estimating the effects of temporary emissions restrictions on air quality Abstract: The article uses a quasi-experimental regression discontinuity approach to estimate the effect of temporary emissions restrictions on air quality in China. While temporary emissions control is an effective strategy in response to high-pollution events, China has been using this temporary policy instrument to improve air quality during events of international exposure. We find that post-restrictions peak levels of fine particulate matter are extremely high. This finding uncovers unintended consequences of temporary polluting restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1504-1510 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1299093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1504-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiro Sato Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Måns Söderbom Author-X-Name-First: Måns Author-X-Name-Last: Söderbom Title: GMM estimation of panel data models with time-varying slope coefficients Abstract: A difference/system generalized method of moments (GMM) model that imposes time-constant coefficients is common in empirical studies using panel data. However, a rejection by the Sargan–Hansen test is sometimes a serious concern for researchers. We highlight the fact that the Sargan–Hansen test for GMM estimators applied to panel data is a joint test of valid orthogonality conditions and coefficient stability over time. A possible reason for a rejection is therefore that the slope coefficients vary over time. One solution is to estimate an empirical model in which the coefficients are time specific. We apply this solution to the system GMM estimator of simple nondynamic Cobb–Douglas production functions for a selection of Swedish industries and find that relaxing the assumption of constant slope coefficients results in more satisfactory outcomes of the Sargan–Hansen test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1518 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1302053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1302053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1511-1518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Usman Bashir Author-X-Name-First: Usman Author-X-Name-Last: Bashir Author-Name: Yugang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yugang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Muntazir Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Muntazir Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Author-Name: Xiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ahmed Ali Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: Do banking system transparency and competition affect nonperforming loans in the Chinese banking sector? Abstract: The increasing importance of transparency practices and the improving status of bank competition in China are rarely explored in nonperforming loans (NPLs) literature. Thus, the purpose of this study is to examine banking system transparency and competition along with macroeconomic and bank-specific variables as determinants of NPL. We use the two-step system GMM dynamic panel model for Chinese banks based on annual data from 2000 to 2014. Our results indicate that high transparency in the Chinese banking system decreases poor-quality assets but not in the case of government-owned banks, whereas increase in competition increases NPL. Moreover, we find mixed results in the context of macroeconomics and bank-specific variables. Our study has practical implications in risk management practices and macro prudential policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1519-1525 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1519-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Whyte Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Whyte Author-Name: Esther T.L. Lau Author-X-Name-First: Esther T.L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Lisa M. Nissen Author-X-Name-First: Lisa M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nissen Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: You should know better! Do health students have different risk attitudes to unplanned pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases? Abstract: Because healthcare professionals are in the best position to assess, assist and educate those participating in risky sexual behaviour, understanding if (and how) their risk attitudes differ from the wider population is of vital importance. In this study, we explore university health students’ risk attitudes towards unplanned pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). We examine whether university students pursuing health-related degrees, who hypothetically should have more exposure to and understanding of the risks associated with unplanned pregnancy and STD, have more risk averse attitudes to sexual behaviour. We find that health students’ sexual attitudes are significantly more risk averse than those of their nonhealth peers in relation to STDs but not unplanned pregnancy. In line with previous research, age and no previous sexual history (virginity) appear to increase risk-averse attitudes to both unplanned pregnancy and STDs. Moreover, males and singles are more risk seeking in their sexual attitudes. These findings suggest that, because unplanned pregnancy and STDs are ongoing global issues, further research is warranted into the risk attitudes of those healthcare professionals most able to provide education and support for individuals participating in risky sexual behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1526-1532 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1526-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: iii-iii Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:iii-iii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuhua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiuhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Okun’s law revisited: a threshold in regression quantiles approach Abstract: This article proposes, for the first time, a threshold in regression quantiles approach to the analysis of Okun’s law. By applying to US data over the 1948Q1–2016Q4 period, we have three major findings. First, a single threshold is detected for both multiple and individual quantiles cases. However, the effect of threshold nonlinearity is only present in the middle to upper quantiles of the conditional unemployment distribution in the individual quantiles case. Second, the first-order autoregressive coefficients of unemployment are significantly larger in the lower-growth regime, indicating that shocks to unemployment appear to be more persistent during recessions. Finally, the Okun’s coefficients are all negative across the recessionary and expansionary regimes, confirming the validity of Okun’s law. Moreover, the Okun’s coefficients are smaller (more negative) in the lower-growth regime, suggesting that the effect of differenced output on differenced unemployment is asymmetric, and is more pronounced in recessions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1541 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1533-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Meer Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Meer Author-Name: David Miller Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Elisa Wulfsberg Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Author-X-Name-Last: Wulfsberg Title: The Great Recession and charitable giving Abstract: We examine the impact of the Great Recession on charitable giving. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we estimate a variety of specifications and find sharp declines in overall donative behaviour that is not accounted for by shocks to income or wealth. These results suggest that overall attitudes towards giving changed over this time period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1542-1549 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1542-1549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Till Proeger Author-X-Name-First: Till Author-X-Name-Last: Proeger Author-Name: Ann-Kathrin Blankenberg Author-X-Name-First: Ann-Kathrin Author-X-Name-Last: Blankenberg Title: Pay-what-you-want in groups – evidence from a field experiment Abstract: Pay-what-you-want (PWYW) mechanisms are a specific form of voluntary market payment. While a large number of recent studies have considered their design options, the aspect of group behaviour in PWYW situations has not been investigated, although a substantial part of payment decisions occur in group constellations. We provide initial evidence by running a field experiment implementing a PWYW mechanism in a cinema characterized by group attendance, finding that groups chose to pay similar amounts as individuals. Group payments can be increased by a prosocial framing of the decision, while an increase in group size and repeated participation reduce voluntary payments. We thus show that group payment decisions in PWYW situations are characterized by altruism concerns rather than in-group egoism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1550-1557 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1550-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Schimanski Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Schimanski Title: ‘Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals’ – revisited Abstract: This article revisits the study by Dhammika Dharmapala and Nadine Riedel on income shifting between European multinationals published in the Journal of Public Economics in 2013. It used a promising alternative causal identification strategy for profit-shifting based on earnings shocks, which has over a short time period been frequently cited in the literature. Using data from the same database, albeit for a period 10 years later, for 2006–2015, the significant causal evidence for profit-shifting from European parent firms to their lower taxed European subsidiaries cannot be reproduced. Neither can similar results be obtained by considering profit-shifting to subsidiaries located anywhere in the world. Results in line with those of the original study can however be found when using effective rather than statutory corporate tax rates. While these findings raise concerns about the external validity of earlier studies’ result, it should not put the existence and extent of profit-shifting into question. It rather raises concerns about the focus on statutory tax rates in measuring profit-shifting. Moreover, rather than a decrease in profit-shifting, it may illustrate the database’s and the methodology’s limitations and ability to capture all shifts and channels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1558-1566 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1558-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nana Kwame Akosah Author-X-Name-First: Nana Kwame Author-X-Name-Last: Akosah Author-Name: Ivy Acquaye Author-X-Name-First: Ivy Author-X-Name-Last: Acquaye Author-Name: Francis White Loloh Author-X-Name-First: Francis White Author-X-Name-Last: Loloh Title: Monetary policy credibility and macrodynamics: evidence from Ghana Abstract: We compute a time-varying metric of monetary policy credibility based on Ghana’s experience, using both symmetric and asymmetric approaches. We then follow-up with some empirical evidence to address the linkages between macroeconomic developments and central bank credibility. The empirical results reveal high and low credibility cycles with an average duration of 2 years over the study period. Particularly, higher levels of credibility were associated with stable domestic currency and lower nominal interest rates. This reinforces the notion that efficient monetary policy delivers higher central bank credibility with better outcomes for macroeconomic variables. In contrast, the level of credibility tends to worsen in the wake of weakening macro fundamentals which are not adequately countered by monetary policy decisions. There is therefore the need for efficient monetary policy formulation to achieve a stable macroeconomic environment in Ghana. This will in the long-run build policy credibility towards attaining the central bank’s medium-term inflation target. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1567-1574 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1567-1574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Rodemeier Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Rodemeier Author-Name: Andreas Löschel Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Löschel Author-Name: Roland Kube Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Kube Title: Casting light on energy efficiency: evidence on consumer inattention and imperfect information Abstract: We investigate consumer inattention and imperfect information regarding the financial benefits of energy-efficient lighting using a randomized controlled trial with 1084 observations. Results suggest that subjects generally know about cost savings of light-emitting diode (LED) bulbs – the central lighting technology of the future – but largely underestimate the magnitude of these savings. As a result, stated willingness-to-pay for an LED bulb increases on average by 2.53€ through the provision of information on expected lifetime costs. Additional evidence hints at further consumer confusion about attribute differences between lighting technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1575-1587 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1575-1587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aida Isabel Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Aida Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Title: Infant mortality in Europe, socio-economic determinants based on aggregate data Abstract: A great deal of research has been conducted on the determinant factors of infant mortality. In this work, the focus is placed on the aggregate determinants of infant mortality in the EU. Data is collected from Eurostat and World Health Organization – Health for All databases for the period 2005-12. Robust regressions and panel data regressions are estimated in order to test the main determinants of infant mortality in the EU. Both the GDP and birth before the age of 20 influence infant mortality rate. It is likely that as mothers mean age at the first child increases, the rate of infant mortality decreases. The results found here contribute to the discussion on the factors explaining infant mortality in Europe and to future health policy. In particular, controlling teen motherhood may help to reduce infant mortality rate in the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1588-1596 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1588-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sukanya Basu Author-X-Name-First: Sukanya Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Title: Intermarriage and the labour-force participation of immigrants: differences by gender Abstract: Studies of the impact of intermarriage on labour market outcomes of immigrants focus on labour-force participants. However, intermarriage itself can change participation options and heterogeneously so for men and women. Using data from the 2010 American Community Survey, we find that the raw impact of intermarriage is to reduce labour-force participation for men and increase it for women. However, upon controlling for observable and unobservable selection into intermarriage, the gains from intermarriage for women are reversed. The importance of human capital controls of education and experience in determining the labour-force participation of married immigrants is underscored. Birthplace fixed effects play an important role in explaining the gender differences in labour-force participation among intermarried immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1597-1604 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355530 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1597-1604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margarita Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio Author-Name: Scott Schuh Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Schuh Title: Monetary policy and the role of inventory investment Abstract: In this article, we develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and inventory investment to explore the relationship between inventories and monetary policy. We use the traditional inventory literature as a basis to motivate this extension of the benchmark model and propose inventories as a factor of production. Within this setting, we test the empirical findings in the literature that, since the mid-1980s, monetary policy changed its target towards the inventory component of GDP. We explore this idea in our theoretical model and conclude through simulations that this is a plausible complementary explanation for the reduction in output volatility that was observed during the Great Moderation period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1605-1612 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1363855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1363855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1605-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: iv-iv Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1364526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1364526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:iv-iv Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seul-Ki Park Author-X-Name-First: Seul-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Ji-Eun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Ji-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Dong Wan Shin Author-X-Name-First: Dong Wan Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Value at risk forecasting for volatility index Abstract: Forecasts of values at risk (VaRs) are made for volatility indices such as the VIX for the US S&P 500 index, the VKOSPI for the KOSPI (Korea Stock Price Index) and the OVX (oil volatility index) for crude oil funds, which is the first in the literature. In the forecasts, dominant features of the volatility indices are addressed: long memory, conditional heteroscedasticity, asymmetry and fat-tails. An out-of-sample comparison of the VaR forecasts is made in terms of violation probabilities, showing better performance of the proposed method than several competing methods which consider the features differently from ours. The proposed method is composed of heterogeneous autoregressive model for the mean, GARCH model for the volatility and skew-t distribution for the error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1613-1620 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1613-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiyang Hou Author-X-Name-First: Haiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Shihuang Hong Author-X-Name-First: Shihuang Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Chunyu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Chunyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: On the role of network externalities in strategic delegation contracts with an industry-wide union Abstract: This article analyses the role of network externalities in managerial delegation contracts for differentiated products when the marginal product costs (the wage) are set by an industry-wide union. The results show that, in both Bertrand and Cournot equilibria, each owner offers a profit-oriented incentive scheme to his or her managers by penalizing sales maximization, irrespective of the strength of the network externalities. In the presence of weak network externalities and low product differentiation, firms can obtain higher profits in the equilibrium under Cournot-type quantity competition compared with that under Bertrand-type price competition. Furthermore, the wage chosen by the union is higher in the Cournot than in the Bertrand equilibrium. In the Cournot equilibrium, the wage increases with the strength of the network externalities. However, in the Bertrand equilibrium, there exists a threshold level of the degree of product differentiation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1621-1628 Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:1621-1628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: v-v Issue: 21 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1379745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1379745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:21:p:v-v Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Junling Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junling Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Baomin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Baomin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Huiqing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Quantifying the impacts of China’s currency depreciation and capital control: a CGE analysis Abstract: A dynamic global multi-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is built to study the effects of Renminbi (RMB) depreciation and capital account liberalization. The simulation results suggest that although the depreciation of RMB can promote China’s trade surplus, it will nevertheless discourage domestic investment, consumption and lead to a decrease of real GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 964-967 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:964-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia Bronnmann Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Bronnmann Author-Name: Julia Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Title: Product differentiation in the German soft drink market: which attributes matter? Abstract: In this study, we apply a hedonic pricing model to a unique data set of the German carbonated soft drink market. We distinguish between traditional brands and private label brands and include a variety of product attributes such as flavour, sugar content and bottle size in our analysis. Our results show that most traditional brands yield highest price premiums. However, organic niche products seem to be even more profitable. Also, unconventional flavours, small bottle sizes and retailing in supermarkets lead to higher price premiums. Private label brands are associated with highest negative price premiums. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 968-971 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:968-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Seasonal U.S. beer demand: socio-economic determinants and relation with other products Abstract: This article employs quarterly U.S. state-level data from 2009 to 2015 to estimate the demand for beer. Other contributions of this work involve the incorporation of demographic factors and wine prices. Results show beer demand to be inelastic, and beer and wine to be substitutes. Further, males, whites, and blacks were, ceteris paribus, likely to have greater beer demand. The income effects, however, were mixed, showing some support for beer being a normal good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 972-979 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:972-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Dang A Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Dang A Author-Name: L. Houanti Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Houanti Author-Name: A. Ammari Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ammari Author-Name: N. T. Lê Author-X-Name-First: N. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lê Title: Is there a ‘business case’ for board gender diversity within French listed SMEs Abstract: Many studies have investigated the relationship between women on corporate boards (WOCB) and firm performance in accordance with the ‘business case’ for board gender diversity. However, these have been conducted on large firms. This study re-examines this relationship for a sample of French listed SMEs over the period 2010–2014 using a dynamic panel GMM estimator to mitigate endogeneity issues. We find that the percentage of WOCB is positively and significantly related to firm performance. However, the other proxies for board gender diversity are not statistically different from zero. We argue that the relationship is not straightforward. This finding is interesting as it sheds light on the ‘business case’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 980-983 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1390308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1390308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:980-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Dang A. Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Dang A. Author-Name: L. Houanti Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Houanti Author-Name: N. T. Le Author-X-Name-First: N. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: M.-C. Vu Author-X-Name-First: M.-C. Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Title: Does corporate governance influence firm performance? Quantile regression evidence from a transactional economy Abstract: This study examines the impact of corporate governance structures on firm performance using a unique sample of 478 non-financial companies listed on the two main Vietnamese stock exchanges. Given the contrasting existing empirical results, we adopt the method of quantile regression (QR) and report some robust and significant negative relationship between board independence/Chief Executive Officer duality and firm performance. These findings seem rather corroborate the agency theory. Furthermore, the use of QR may be more insightful than estimating the mean effect of the response variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 984-988 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1390309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1390309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:984-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Néstor Duch-Brown Author-X-Name-First: Néstor Author-X-Name-Last: Duch-Brown Author-Name: Bertin Martens Author-X-Name-First: Bertin Author-X-Name-Last: Martens Title: A new perspective on the exporter productivity premium: online trade Abstract: We use a unique firm-level data set including 9000 companies from 26 European Union countries covering four different sectors to take a close look at the relationship between online exports and productivity. The online exporter productivity premium is estimated using different techniques (ordinary least squares, quantile regressions and robust estimation). Results consistently indicate that the estimated online exporter productivity premium is statistically different from zero, positive and significant from an economic point of view. European online exporters, according to these results, are approximately 2% more productive than non-online exporters. Productivity differences between firms could be related to variables that are not included in the empirical model. More research would be needed to address this issue in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-993 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:989-993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoonseok Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yoonseok Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Jong-soo Han Author-X-Name-First: Jong-soo Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Time preference and savings behaviour Abstract: A number of studies have examined various determinants of savings rate. This article contributes to this literature by empirically testing whether the time preference (discounting behaviour) is another important determinant of savings rate. To this end, we estimate the hyperbolic Euler equation using the generalized method of moments (GMM) to examine whether the short-run discount factor can account for savings behaviour. The empirical results show that people exhibit short-run patience (impatience) when savings rate increases (decreases), which is in line with the theoretical prediction. This result implies that the time preference also plays an important role in determining savings behaviour. Various sets of instruments and different sample periods do not reverse the main finding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 994-997 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:994-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Ouyang Hongbing Author-X-Name-First: Ouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hongbing Title: Dynamic probability of informed trading and price movements: evidence from the CSI300 index futures market Abstract: This article first uses dynamic probability of informed trading (DPIN) for measuring the probability of informed trading in the CSI300 index futures market and proves its validity for predicting future price movements. Instead of using the original Lee–Ready algorithm, this study uses bulk volume classification (BVC) for classifying volume. BVC could effectively improve the predictive power of DPIN for future price movements. The relationship between DPIN and returns indicates that informed buying raises the futures price while informed selling moves the futures price downward. DPIN could effectively capture price information in the index future markets in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 998-1003 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:998-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clément Malgouyres Author-X-Name-First: Clément Author-X-Name-Last: Malgouyres Author-Name: Clément Mazet-Sonilhac Author-X-Name-First: Clément Author-X-Name-Last: Mazet-Sonilhac Title: Political uncertainty, risk of Frexit and European sovereign spreads Abstract: Using data from a prediction market (crowd-based forecasts), we build a daily measure capturing the risk of Frexit related to the 2017 French presidential elections. We study how unexpected changes in this new measure of political uncertainty in France affect European sovereign spreads vis-à-vis Germany. We show that our uncertainty proxy drives not only the French sovereign spread but also the spreads of those EU countries deemed the most vulnerable to the risk of desegregation of the Euro Zone. These results suggest that specific political uncertainty affects short-term investor’s expectations and may outweigh other economic determinants of sovereign spreads shortly prior to high stake elections Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1004-1009 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1004-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Comparison of cross-country measures of sigma-convergence in per-capita income, 1960–2010 Abstract: The evidence on sigma-convergence in income indicated by (a) coefficient of variation (CV) and (b) SD of logarithms (SDLOG) is considered for a large cross-country sample covering the period 1960–2010. Three main points are noted. First, the two measures yield qualitatively similar scenarios, and both indicate sigma-divergence in income over the period. Second, however, they do show large differences in the rate of change in income inequality, and SDLOG indicates divergence at a much higher rate than CV. It seems likely that SDLOG would indicate greater divergence, or weaker convergence, than CV in many cases. Third, therefore, researchers are urged not to rely too heavily on one or the other measure for an inference on sigma-convergence, and it seems appropriate to consider both for drawing reasonable conclusions on convergence in income and many other variables studied by scholars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1010-1014 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1010-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Carlos Nogueira Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Nogueira Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Elias Soukiazis Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Soukiazis Title: Skill premium in Portuguese manufacturing industries Abstract: The debate between the skill-biased technological change (SBTC) approach and the international trade (IT) explanation to obtain the best explanation for the wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers continues. In this article, we divide the Portuguese manufacturing industries into high-tech and low-tech and study the approach that best justifies the wage gap, for the period between 2007 and 2014. The results point out that the SBTC approach is the main explanation to the formation the wage gap between the labour force with tertiary education (skilled) and with secondary and primary education (unskilled). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1015-1018 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1015-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Gourley Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Gourley Title: The Obama effect? Inspiration and ACT scores Abstract: After Barack Obama’s 2008 election to the presidency of the United States, many predicted that the first Black president would inspire a generation of Black Americans, especially students. While stories of Obama inspiring individuals to overachieve are common, it remains to be seen if there was a systemic shift in Black student achievement after Obama’s election. Given the persistent racial score gap between Blacks and Whites on standardized tests, it is important to know if an inspirational figure could have a significant impact. Using ACT data from Chicago Public Schools, I find there is no evidence that Obama’s election had an impact on Black test scores. The racial ACT gap has been increasing since the beginning of the 21st century, and that trend continued after Obama was elected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1023 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1019-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Friehe Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Friehe Author-Name: Mario Mechtel Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Mechtel Author-Name: Markus Pannenberg Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Pannenberg Title: Positional income concerns and personality: evidence from Germany Abstract: Positional income concerns (PIC) strongly influence economic behaviour and life outcomes. However, very little is known about the underlying heterogeneity regarding their importance across individuals on the one hand and across different reference groups on the other. Our analysis builds on representative survey data reporting PIC vis-à-vis seven reference groups, allowing us to identify marked heterogeneity both between and within subjects. We present evidence about who (in terms of personality) compares to whom (in terms of reference group). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1024-1028 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1024-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasilios Plakandaras Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Plakandaras Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Periklis Gogas Author-X-Name-First: Periklis Author-X-Name-Last: Gogas Author-Name: Theophilos Papadimitriou Author-X-Name-First: Theophilos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadimitriou Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty, growth and inflation in the Eurozone: a causal approach Abstract: In this article, we evaluate the causal relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty indices, inflation and growth rate for 17 Eurozone countries on a county-level examination. In performing a series of linear and nonlinear causality tests, we find little evidence of a causal relationship between uncertainty and macroeconomic variables. Thus, macroeconomic analysis based on uncertainty indices should be treated with caution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1391996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng-hua Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Peng-hua Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Hung-Gay Fung Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Gay Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Chinese firms’ crash risk and CEO media exposure Abstract: This study uses panel data from China over the period 2008–2015 to examine the effect of CEO media exposure on crash risk. We show that CEO media coverage in Chinese firms has a wide dispersion and mitigates crash risk at firms. Our study confirms the important role of media to monitor effectively firm behaviours in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1034-1037 Issue: 14 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1420871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1420871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:14:p:1034-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C.F. Chen Author-X-Name-First: C.F. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: J. Han Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Energy conservation, emission reduction and winwin development of China’s industry: 20132050 – MDI analysis framework based on directional distance function Abstract: As the biggest developing country, China faces the heavy pressure of energy conservation and emission reduction (ECER). China’s industry takes first place in energy consumption and pollution emission among the industrial entities. How to get rid of China’s industrial stagnant growth under the restriction of resources and environment, and find out the optimal path between ECER and industrial development is the main task of this study. The article adopts the historical data of China’s industry from 2003 to 2012, establishes a managerial disposability intensity analysis framework based on the directional distance function, and designs four energy conservation scenarios and nine CO2 emission paths for a total of 36 kinds of alternative policy combinations to predict the win–win development and find the optimal path of industrial ECER from 2013 to 2050. Research shows that on the whole, industry will fail to achieve a win–win development in the future, while 6% growth rate of industrial output, 2.8% growth rate of energy consumption, and the peak of CO2 in 2040 is the most optimum path. At the same time, the feedbacks of ECER constraints on specific industrial sectors are different, there are 16 industrial sectors that can achieve win–win development in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1191 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1187-1191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bader S. Alhashel Author-X-Name-First: Bader S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alhashel Title: Rights offering announcements and the efficiency of the Kuwaiti market Abstract: This study tested the semi-strong form of the EMH in the Kuwait Stock Exchange. This test is conducted by examining the behaviour of stock prices around the date of rights offering announcements. Based on a sample of 69 rights offerings over the period 2004–2013, we find that prices incorporate new information within an average of 4 days. We take this observation as evidence that the Kuwaiti market is semi-strong efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1192-1196 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1192-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Payne Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Christopher Browning Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Browning Author-Name: Charlene M. Kalenkoski Author-X-Name-First: Charlene M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalenkoski Title: Public reaction to stock market volatility: evidence from the ATUS Abstract: How does the public react to changes in the stock market? We know from the existing body of research that sentiment can predict future stock-market movements. However, do market movements affect sentiment? This article addresses these questions by testing whether market movements precede changes in the emotional well-being of the general public. Using Granger causality analysis, we compare how market movements affect public well-being during periods of increased (2010) and decreased (2012) volatility. The results show that 30-day-lagged returns are associated positively and significantly with the public’s emotional well-being, and that this effect is stronger during periods of increased volatility. The results also show that this effect may persist for up to 120 days. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1200 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1197-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrei Shynkevich Author-X-Name-First: Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Shynkevich Title: Predictability of equity returns during a financial crisis Abstract: An occurrence of a market crash or a financial crisis has long been considered a cause of market inefficiency. An inefficient market commonly implies return predictability and the existence of profitable opportunities for traders and speculators. Technical analysis has been a popular tool to identify predictable patterns in asset prices. The usefulness of a large universe of technical trading rules popularized in the existing literature on technical analysis is tested when they are applied to a set of equity markets that are generally considered developed and efficient during the two most recent periods of major financial turmoil: the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis. Three major statistical deficiencies that existing studies on return predictability are commonly criticized for – data snooping bias, nonsynchronicity bias and transaction costs – have been incorporated in the analysis. Technical trading rules are largely unable to yield abnormal excess returns over the passive benchmark after data snooping bias, nonsynchronous pricing and transaction costs are accounted for. Chaotic price movements typical for a volatile market during a financial crisis are likely to have an adverse effect on the performance of active trend chasing trading strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1205 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1201-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Hovi Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Hovi Author-Name: Jani-Petri Laamanen Author-X-Name-First: Jani-Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Laamanen Title: Mind the gap? Business cycles and subjective well-being Abstract: We examine the relationship between output fluctuations and within-country variation in subjective well-being using country panels. We show that the deviation of output from trend, unlike trend growth, is positively associated with well-being. The explanatory power of the business cycle is found to be better than that of the level of output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1206-1209 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1206-1209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. Walters Author-X-Name-First: A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Walters Author-Name: V. Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Title: Is it possible to be too risk averse? Considerations for financial management in the public sector Abstract: Within the financial management discipline, risk aversion is viewed as ‘secure’ and ‘responsible’. Yet, frequently risk aversion is associated with delays, failure to take action, decreased employee morale and stakeholder frustration. This article considers the role of risk aversion within the public sector and questions whether the risk-averse nature of the organization, coupled with risk-averse leaders can result in negative outcomes for the agency. The article concludes that while risk aversion is important, there are actions that a risk-averse leader can take to minimize the implications of risk-averse behaviour on the organization as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1210-1214 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1210-1214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Donadelli Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Donadelli Author-Name: Adriana Grasso Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Grasso Author-Name: Jean-Paul L’Huillier Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: L’Huillier Author-Name: Valentina Milano Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Milano Title: Differences in measures of the fiscal multiplier and the reduced-form vector autoregression Abstract: The literature has recently asked whether the effects of fiscal policy vary with the state of the economy (Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Rebelo 2011; Rendahl 2014; Auerbach and Gorodnichenko 2012). We study this question in the context of vector autoregression (VAR) estimation. We show formally that, if (asymptotically) the parameters of the reduced-form VAR differ, then the dynamic effects of fiscal policy differ as well, generically and for any set of identification assumptions. Thus, in theory, the econometrician can detect these differences (either across time or space) generically just by relying on reduced-form VAR estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1215-1218 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1215-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Helmuth Chavez Author-X-Name-First: Helmuth Author-X-Name-Last: Chavez Author-Name: Carlos Mendez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mendez Title: Model stability and forecast performance of Beta--EGARCH Abstract: We show that the model stability of the recent QAR(1) plus Beta-t-EGARCH(1,1) is superior to that of the well-known ARMA(1,1) plus t-GARCH(1,1) because QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH discounts extreme observations, while ARMA plus t-GARCH accentuates them. Model stability of QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH is an elegant property; however, we show that the out-of-sample density forecast performance of ARMA plus t-GARCH is superior to that of QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH. We study model stability and density forecast performance for a set of rolling data windows. We use data on the S&P 500 index for the period 1990–2015. For robustness analysis, we also study Monte Carlo simulations of asset returns for the stochastic volatility model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1223 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1219-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Ranking economics departments in the US South: an update Abstract: This study provides an update to Mixon and Upadhyaya’s (2001) ranking of Southern economics departments using research output indexed in EconLit. Ranking results from a ‘core’ (i.e. the top five faculty researchers) of each institution’s economics department reveal that Vanderbilt University, George Mason University, Johns Hopkins University, the University of Maryland and Georgia State University currently maintain the top five economics departments, respectively, in the US South. Relatedly, the five institutions rising the most from Mixon and Upadhyaya (2001) are Tulane University, Georgia State University, University of Texas–Dallas, Rice University and Florida International University, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1224-1228 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1145344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1145344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1224-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Lehmann Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lehmann Author-Name: K. Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany Abstract: This article looks into the ‘fine print’ of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four different forecasting horizons. It turns out that a number of hard indicators like turnovers, as well as a small number of survey results, get selected frequently by the algorithm and are therefore important to forecasting the performance of the German economy. However, there are indicators such as money supply that never get chosen by the boosting approach at all. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1229-1233 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148246 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1229-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung C. Bae Author-X-Name-First: Sung C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ha-Chin Yi Author-X-Name-First: Ha-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Title: The impact of corporate social responsibility activities on corporate financing: a case of bank loan covenants Abstract: We examine the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities on the intensity of loan covenants, one of the most important nonpricing terms of syndicated loan contracts. Undocumented in the existing literature, we offer new evidence that while CSR strengths have little impact on loan covenants, CSR concerns lead to stricter loan covenants. These asymmetric results suggest that while lenders view CSR strengths as discretionary, they are more concerned about value-destroying CSR concerns, which induces the lenders to screen out firms engaging in nonsocially responsible activities and penalize these firms with stricter loan covenants. Combined with the evidence on the CSR-loan spread association in the existing literature, our results provide strong evidence that CSR matters to both pricing and nonpricing terms of loan contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1237 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148247 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1234-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ute Filipiak Author-X-Name-First: Ute Author-X-Name-Last: Filipiak Title: Gender differences in financial performance: new empirical evidence Abstract: This article provides new empirical evidence on gender differences in self-reported and observed financial performance. Using a quasi-experimental framework, comparing people who live in a matrilineal and a patrilineal environment in India, the results show that no significant gender differences in observed and self-reported performance exist among respondents who belong to the matrilineal culture. In contrast, women who live in a patrilineal environment self-report more often than men that they are not dealing well with economic and financial problems. However, no significant gender differences in observed financial performance are found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1243 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148248 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148248 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1238-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carolina Laureti Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Laureti Author-Name: Ariane Szafarz Author-X-Name-First: Ariane Author-X-Name-Last: Szafarz Title: The price of deposit liquidity: banks versus microfinance institutions Abstract: Using data from Bangladesh, this article finds that the liquidity premium – the difference between the interest paid on illiquid and liquid savings accounts – is higher in commercial banks than in microfinance institutions. One possible interpretation lies in the higher prevalence of time-inconsistency among the poor. The observed difference in liquidity premia could be due to poor time-inconsistent agents willing to forgo interest on illiquid savings accounts in order to discipline their future selves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1244-1249 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1244-1249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Author-Name: Bianca Zuniga Author-X-Name-First: Bianca Author-X-Name-Last: Zuniga Title: Consumer debt and unemployment Abstract: We present evidence that US consumer debt has varied inversely with unemployment rates since 1990, potentially reflecting responses by households and/or lenders to adverse labour market conditions, and helping explain why consumer debt recently fell despite low interest rates. For several measures of debt, unemployment exhibits greater explanatory power and economic significance than interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1250-1252 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148250 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1250-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Gomtsyan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Gomtsyan Title: Exploring the boundaries of services trade Abstract: The level of international trade in services is relatively low. This can be the consequence of policy barriers and regulations or it may be due to the nature of products produced in the services sector. To understand the relative importance of both factors, this article uses data for Scottish bilateral services exports and imports to the UK to estimate theory-based trade costs for a wide range of sectors for two economic regions that are almost perfectly integrated. The results of this analysis provide important insights for future trade policy by identifying those narrowly defined industries which are more tradable by nature and have the potential to expand internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1256 Issue: 17 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148251 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:17:p:1253-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan L. Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: Julie K. Smith Author-X-Name-First: Julie K. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Yang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers Abstract: This article examines the effect of minimum wage increases on the self-reported health of teenage workers. We use a difference-in-differences estimation strategy and data from the Current Population Survey, and disaggregate the sample by race/ethnicity and gender to uncover the differential effects of changes in the minimum wage on health. We find that white women are more likely to report better health with a minimum wage increase while Hispanic men report worse health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1130 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1127-1130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Matti Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Matti Author-Name: Yang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The political economy of Brexit: explaining the vote Abstract: The UK’s closely contested Brexit vote to leave the EU is expected to have a significant impact on the UK and EU. While calculating the impact of Brexit is difficult since the UK is still formally a member of the EU, understanding the vote is possible. Leading up to the referendum, public opinion was divided along demographic and economic lines. This article uses referendum results at the local government level to test whether national, racial, religious and economic factors actually influenced the vote. Results indicate that demographic variables played a role while economic variables did not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1131-1134 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1131-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Arvidsson Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Arvidsson Author-Name: James Sjöstrand Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Sjöstrand Author-Name: Jesper Stage Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Stage Title: The economics of the Swedish online gambling market Abstract: In this article, we study how the Swedish online gambling market has developed and how the availability of foreign-based online gambling has affected the domestic state-owned gambling monopoly, AB Svenska Spel. We find that online gambling and the traditional state-managed gambling are relatively weak substitutes. Thus, concerns about the availability of online gambling being able to undercut domestic gambling policies may be overstated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1137 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1135-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katja Heinisch Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Heinisch Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output Abstract: The European Commission follows a harmonized approach for calculating structural (potential) output for EU member states that takes into account labour as an important ingredient. This article shows how the recent huge migrants’ inflow to Europe affects trend output. Due to the fact that the immigrants immediately increase the working population but effectively do not enter the labour market, we illustrate that the potential output is potentially upward biased without any corrections. Taking Germany as an example, we find that the average medium-term potential growth rate is lower if the migration flow is modelled adequately compared to results based on the unadjusted European Commission procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1138-1142 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1138-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Travis Roach Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: Renewable energy and low-carbon policy spillover effects on natural gas demand Abstract: Recent legislation intended to increase the use of renewable energy sources and lower the amount of carbon dioxide emissions from energy has changed the structure of energy markets. The effect of these policies on carbon-intensive fuel sources is rather obvious. For natural gas, though, the effect is not immediately clear. This letter uses a structural model of natural gas demand to uncover whether these policies have led to increased demand because natural gas is a relatively clean source of energy that couples well with renewables or if these policies have crowded out natural gas on net. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1147 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1143-1147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Title: Effect of investor fear on Australian financial markets Abstract: We examine the relationship between changes in the level of investor fear (proxied by the ASX 200 implied volatility index) and Australian financial market returns. We document a statistically significant relationship, across asset classes, where returns decline as investor fear increases. Returns are more sensitive to changes in the level of investor fear during the financial crisis of 2008–2009, when investor fear spikes sharply. Taken together, the results confirm that Australian financial market returns are closely related to prevailing levels of investor fear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1148-1153 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1148-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Liang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shaobo Long Author-X-Name-First: Shaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Long Title: Unified efficiency evaluation of regional industries in China: a nonradial directional distance function approach Abstract: This article extends a nonradial directional distance function (DDF) to allow decision-making units to adjust inputs in two directions. Based on this nonradial DDF, we evaluate the regional industrial unified efficiency (operational efficiency and environmental efficiency) in China between 2005 and 2014. We find that East China has the highest industrial unified efficiency score, followed by the West and Central China. To avoid methodological biases, three other models are also applied to assess the unified efficiency. The results indicate that a nonradial DDF under natural and managerial disposability (our model) has a greater discriminating power than a nonradial DDF under either of the disposabilities and the radial DDF. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1154-1160 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1262506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1262506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1154-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoli L. Etienne Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli L. Author-X-Name-Last: Etienne Title: Irrational exuberance in the Chinese iron ore market? Abstract: The rapid run-ups in the Chinese iron ore market in the first half of 2016 have sparked much concern about the appearance of speculative bubbles in this market among many market analysts. Using a recently developed bubble testing procedure, we confirm that there indeed existed periods of irrational exuberance in the Chinese iron ore market. However, most of the bubble periods are short-lived, reflecting the market’s ability to quickly respond to price deviations unjustified by fundamentals. The longest bubble period occurred in mid-2014, corresponding to a period of relatively low trading volume. Using a fractional probit model, we find evidence consistent with the hypothesis that market liquidity may play a role in bubble occurrences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1166 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1262507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1262507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1161-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia De Poli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: De Poli Author-Name: Niklas Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: Simone Schüller Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Schüller Title: The drowning-refugee effect: media salience and xenophobic attitudes Abstract: We study whether salient media coverage of refugees drowning in the Mediterranean affects individual xenophobic attitudes. We combine a randomized survey experiment – a variant of the classic ‘trolley dilemma’ – that implicitly elicits individual attitudes towards foreigners, with variation in interview timing, and find that such issue salience significantly decreases xenophobic attitudes by 2.2 percentage points. Our results thus support the idea that exposure to news describing immigrants as victims (instead of a threat) can significantly affect public opinion and mitigate bias against immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1172 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1262513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1262513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1167-1172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo R. Scalco Author-X-Name-First: Paulo R. Author-X-Name-Last: Scalco Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Xi He Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Buyer and/or seller power? An application to the Brazilian milk market Abstract: Despite its importance, the co-existence of buyer and seller power has been largely neglected in the empirical literature. In this article, we develop a stochastic frontier model to measure channel market power as deviations from a perfectly competitive frontier and decompose it into buyer and seller power. We provide an empirical illustration using milk data from five Brazilian states and find that channel market power ranges between 4% and 12% of the wholesale price, but that 75% of the market power is accounted for by retail buyer power. The methodology proposed can provide a rapid assessment of the degree of market power in other markets and a method for separating out buyer and seller power in the market channel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1173-1176 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1262515 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1262515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1173-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Author-Name: Jason Childs Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Childs Title: Re-examining the economic determinants of alcohol consumption in Canada: controlling for the presence of common correlated effects Abstract: Alcoholic beverages represent both an important source of revenue and a driver of expenditure for provincial governments in Canada. As a result, the pricing of alcoholic beverages has substantial public policy implications. In this context, we re-examine existing work estimating the demand for three classes of alcoholic beverage (beer, wine, and spirits) by controlling for common correlated effects. The results reveal that any conclusions regarding the government’s ability to influence alcohol consumption is sensitive to the assumption that the relationship between the demand for alcoholic beverages and economic variables is identical across provinces. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1180 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1177-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Liang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shaobo Long Author-X-Name-First: Shaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Long Title: Government intervention, sectoral productivity growth and structural transformation Abstract: This article examines the long-term impact of government intervention and sectoral productivity on structural transformation. We construct a multi-sector Dynamic General Equilibrium model that explicitly incorporates government intervention as a force of structural transformation. The government affects the economy through taxation and lump sum transfers. We show that in the steady state, a reduction in the tax rate and an increase in sectoral productivity will decrease the agricultural employment share, and when nonhomotheticity of preference is strong enough, these changes can also increase the share of services employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1181-1188 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1181-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Killins Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Killins Title: The impact of payroll allocation has on winning in major league baseball Abstract: This article presents evidence that allocating additional payroll to specific positions is positively related to the overall success of a sample of Major League Baseball from 2011 through 2015. When examining the two subsamples of the group, American League versus National League, the results show that the management staff of teams from respective leagues would be well served to increase payroll to certain positions such as catching and pitching. Additionally, this article investigates the impact payroll allocation has on runs scored, runs against and attendance and finds some significant relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1193 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1189-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hernan Winkler Author-X-Name-First: Hernan Author-X-Name-Last: Winkler Title: How does the internet affect migration decisions? Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the impact of the internet on migration decisions. I find that an increase in internet adoption among migrant-sending countries reduces the stock of migrants from these locations. The results are robust to a number of specifications, including an instrumental variable approach that addresses the endogeneity of internet adoption. The findings suggest that the internet may weaken the importance of push factors in the decision to migrate, and that these effects outweigh declines in mobility costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1194-1198 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1194-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jayson L. Lusk Author-X-Name-First: Jayson L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lusk Author-Name: Brenna Ellison Author-X-Name-First: Brenna Author-X-Name-Last: Ellison Title: A note on modelling household food waste behaviour Abstract: Food waste is increasingly recognized as a global challenge, with both public and private efforts aimed at reducing food waste from farm to fork. However, analyses of food waste often fail to treat the problem as an economic phenomenon, where consumers’ utility maximizing decisions result in discarded food. In an effort to guide future research, this article presents a conceptual model of household food waste, showing that decisions to discard food depend on food prices and wage and nonwage income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1199-1202 Issue: 16 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1265070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1265070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:16:p:1199-1202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Author-Name: Peter MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Author-Name: Vangelis Chiotis Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Chiotis Author-Name: Laurence Somers Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Somers Title: Age discrimination in the UK labour market. Does race moderate ageism? An experimental investigation Abstract: Governments encourage people to work longer in order that pension promises are sustainable as populations age. This approach presupposes that older workers are welcome in the market. This study undertakes a correspondence test to investigate whether ageism is prevalent in the UK at the initial stage of the hiring process. This study adds to the literature by investigating whether race can moderate the relationship between age and labour market outcomes. The results suggest that older people are penalized in the labour market. They have lower access to vacancies and sorting in lower-paid jobs. A minority racial background exacerbates both penalties. These new results call for anti-ageism and anti-racial policy actions in the workplace. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: Return seasonality in the foreign exchange market Abstract: I examine return seasonality in the foreign exchange market using currency futures during the period 1973−2015. All the G10 currency futures yield negative returns in January and this effect happens more often in the countries that have a tax year ending in December. In contrast, returns offered in April are positive. To exploit these anomalies, I use a seasonality strategy that selects portfolios based on their historical same-calendar-month returns. I find that this strategy does not work in the currency market, although I find consistent results with Keloharju et al. in the stock portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-8 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:5-8 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seon-Woong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seon-Woong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Author-Name: Jayson Lusk Author-X-Name-First: Jayson Author-X-Name-Last: Lusk Title: Not everybody prefers organic food: unobserved heterogeneity in U.S. consumers’ preference for organic apple and milk Abstract: Despite organic food’s growing market share and the often-found premiums for organic foods in willingness-to-pay studies, the ultimate size of the organic food market remains unclear. Due to perceived taste, safety or appearance, some people may, in fact, not prefer organic. This study uses data from choice experiments to determine preference for organic versus conventional milk and apples. Using latent class and random parameter models, nontrivial shares (at least 33%) of consumers in both markets are not willing to pay a premium for organic. These results have implications for food marketers but also for economists modelling the organic food sector, which typically assume vertical differentiation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:9-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kon S. Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kon S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Mann Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Mann Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinear trend stationarity in global and hemispheric temperatures Abstract: This study investigates the issue of whether our Earth’s surface temperature exhibits a stochastic trend. Using state-of-the-art econometrics, we analyse the latest available temperature anomaly data. Our results indicate that both global and hemispheric temperatures may appear to have a stochastic trend when in fact they are stationary around a nonlinear deterministic trend and structural breaks are responsible. Furthermore, the nonlinearity found in the temperature trend is more complex than what has been reported in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The dynamic impact of intellectual capital on firm value: evidence from China Abstract: We examine the dynamic relationship between intellectual capital (measured by human capital and organizational capital) and firm value of Chinese listed firms. We do causality identification using system GMM and IV estimation, and find no significant relation between human capital and firm value, but organizational capital positively affects firm value with a lag. Our findings are robust to firms with different property rights, of different sizes, or in different industries, with the only exception of capital-intensive firms, in which human capital has a significant influence on firm value. The results imply that the improvement of organizational system plays a more important role in raising the value of a firm in a typical developing country, like China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parvinder Kler Author-X-Name-First: Parvinder Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Author-Name: Azhar Hussain Potia Author-X-Name-First: Azhar Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Potia Author-Name: Sriram Shankar Author-X-Name-First: Sriram Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Title: Underemployment in Australia: a panel investigation Abstract: This 2001–2013 panel study finds 33% of part-time employees to be underemployed, disproportionately affecting males, immigrants, youth, the blue-collared and new to our study, those on casual contracts. Within the underemployed sample, we report that the gap between preferred and actual hours (working hour tension) also varies by personal and labour characteristics, largely consistent with that found for the determinants of underemployment. The continued growth of part-time employment and casualization in recent years has been more pronounced among males, raising their rates of underemployment as they disproportionately prefer to work more hours vis-à-vis their part-time female peers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 24-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290770 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:24-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dorine Boumans Author-X-Name-First: Dorine Author-X-Name-Last: Boumans Author-Name: Johanna Garnitz Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Garnitz Author-Name: Günther G. Schulze Author-X-Name-First: Günther G. Author-X-Name-Last: Schulze Title: Who has terror angst? Perceptions of the effects of terror on the world economy Abstract: We examine sources of biased terror perceptions. In particular, we investigate how international experts of the IFO World Economic Survey assess the effect of terror on the world economy and the economy of their own country. The results show that respondents from terror-stricken countries have more favourable views on the effect of terror on the word economy (but not on their own countries). Male respondents and those from democratic and richer countries are likewise more optimistic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Garrett Roth Author-X-Name-First: M. Garrett Author-X-Name-Last: Roth Author-Name: William P. McAndrew Author-X-Name-First: William P. Author-X-Name-Last: McAndrew Title: To each according to their ability? Academic ranking and salary inequality across public colleges and universities Abstract: This article compares the salary structure of tenured and tenure-track faculty across schools within the university systems of North Carolina and New York. Specifically, we establish a positive relationship between school prestige and salary inequality, both overall and within specific academic ranks. This result suggests that the value to teaching is less discipline-specific than the value to research output. Marked differences in the aforementioned statistical linkage across academic ranks also confirm prior speculation that junior faculty salaries are more closely tied to academic value than senior faculty salaries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:34-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Díaz-Lanchas Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz-Lanchas Author-Name: Carlos Llano Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Llano Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: Cities export specialization Abstract: We analyse whether more populated cities have an export specialization different from the one of less populated cities. Using very detailed product-level export data for Brazilian urban areas over the period 2000–2013, we show that more populated cities export proportionately more skill-intensive and complex goods than less populated cities. This result is consistent with the larger diversity of skills and the higher share of skilled workers in more populated cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 38-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1290784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1290784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:38-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Is social expenditure responsible for recent rise in public debt in OECD countries? Abstract: In developed economies, social expenditure is alleged to cause the rise in public debt over the last three decades. With dynamic panel data of 34 OECD countries from 1980 to 2014, we find robust evidence that the rise in public debt is not attributable to social expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lijie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lijie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhuo Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xinhan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xinhan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Stock liquidity and firm value: evidence from China Abstract: Empirical evidence for the effect of stock liquidity on firm value is limited and mixed due to a severe endogeneity problem. This article adds to the literature on this topic by providing new empirical evidence using the nontradable share reform in China as a quasi-natural experiment. Our results show that higher stock liquidity can lead to significant firm value improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:47-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: J. Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: J. Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Title: Teens and twenties: cultural and preferences differences in the uses of time in Spain Abstract: In this article, we analyse differences in the use of time between teenagers and young adults in Spain, with a focus on differences according to the nationality of individuals. Using the Spanish Time Use Survey for the years 2002/2003 and 2009/2010, we analyse the time devoted to the different time use categories by both teenagers and young adults. We find differences in time allocation decisions between the two groups, which also depend on the nationality of the respondents, pointing to cultural differences as a factor affecting time allocation decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Williams Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Are remittances good for economic growth? The role of political institutions Abstract: Within a sample of 109 developing countries for the period 1975–2014 and controlling for country and time-fixed effects, this article presents evidence that workers’ remittances are more effective in promoting growth in developing countries with strong democratic institutions. The evidence is robust to alternative samples and different measures of democratic institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:56-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Tsegay Gebrekidan Tekleselassie Author-X-Name-First: Tsegay Gebrekidan Author-X-Name-Last: Tekleselassie Title: The role of United States Visa Waiver Program on cross-border travel Abstract: This study investigates the role of the United States Visa Waiver Program on inbound travel. We employ Difference-in-Difference estimation using panel data on US inbound travel. We conclude, ceteris paribus, that admitting a country to the programme increases inbound travel from the origin country to the US by between 29% and 44% depending on the specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-65 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:61-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Gomtsyan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Gomtsyan Title: Getting income shares right in agriculture Abstract: Most economic studies assume that factor shares are constant across countries and sectors. This article calculates factor shares in the agricultural sector across all US states and shows that there are huge differences, which can be explained by crop composition. In states that focus on more labour-intensive crops, such as fruits, the share of income going to labour is larger than in grain-growing states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 66-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1293783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1293783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:1:p:66-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabetta de Cao Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta de Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Marloes Huis Author-X-Name-First: Marloes Author-X-Name-Last: Huis Author-Name: Samson Jemaneh Author-X-Name-First: Samson Author-X-Name-Last: Jemaneh Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: Community conversations as a strategy to change harmful traditional practices against women Abstract: This article conducts a series of list experiments to detect whether community conversations contribute to a change in thinking about harmful traditional practices in Ethiopia. While our findings are mixed, we provide evidence that community conversations are indeed a valuable instrument to induce a change in social values in order to empower women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1161713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1161713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:72-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Min Pan Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Evolutionary dynamics of social tolerance in the economic interaction model with local social cost functions Abstract: The evolutionary dynamics of social tolerance in a society with local social cost functions have been discussed. We show that, very different from the global function case studied previously, dynamics of social tolerance in a society with local social cost functions is integrable in phase space. The exact solution of the evolutionary dynamics in phase space is obtained, and the evolutionary trajectories are discussed by using the Kolmogorov–Arnold–Moser theorem. We show that the property of steady states is closely related to the group populations. We also discuss the necessary condition of the full tolerance steady state, and it is demonstrated that both global and local social cost functions have the same necessary condition of achieving full tolerance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quinn Steigleder Author-X-Name-First: Quinn Author-X-Name-Last: Steigleder Author-Name: Chad Sparber Author-X-Name-First: Chad Author-X-Name-Last: Sparber Title: The effect of legal status on immigrant wages and occupational skills Abstract: Native and foreign-born workers with a high school degree or less education work in different types of occupations. This article exploits the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act to examine whether legal status causes immigrants to work in occupations that use skills similar to those of natives. Legal status decreases the manual skill intensity of immigrants’ occupations by about two percentiles. It increases communication skill intensity by a similar amount. This reduces the skill gap between Mexican-born and native-born American workers by 11–15%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-84 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:80-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: On the inauspicious incentives of the scholar-level h-index: an economist’s take on collusive and coercive citation Abstract: Faculty renewal, promotion, tenure, merit and awards are typically tied to scholarship performance, which is often measured in several ways, among them citation-based metrics like the scholar-level h-index. With the relatively recent developments of ‘one-touch’ Google Scholar citation tracking and Harzing’s Publish or Perish Software, it is simple to monitor and potentially game one’s personal h-index. This article explores this possibility by assessing the incentives embedded in the scholar-level h-index through the lens of cartels, uncertainty, insurance and game-theoretic best response. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-89 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:85-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Fergal O’connor Author-X-Name-First: Fergal Author-X-Name-Last: O’connor Title: Are gold bugs coherent? Abstract: We use wavelet models to surface the relationship between gold miners stock prices and the price of gold. We find that there is little relationship in the short run but some significant and long-standing long-run relationships. Gold prices appear to lead gold miner stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 90-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:90-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Ford Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Charles Yuji Horioka Author-X-Name-First: Charles Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Horioka Title: The ‘real’ explanation of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle Abstract: This article shows that global capital markets cannot, by themselves, achieve net transfers of financial capital between countries and that both the integration of global financial markets and the integration of global goods markets are needed to achieve net transfers of capital between countries. Frictions (barriers to mobility) in one or both of these markets can impede net transfers of capital between countries, produce the Feldstein and Horioka (1980) results and prevent real interest rates from being equalized across countries. Moreover, there is empirical evidence that barriers to the mobility of goods and services are an important obstacle to international capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Parsons Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Parsons Author-Name: James Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Bank consolidation before and after the 2008 crisis Abstract: This article statistically tests the impact of the financial crisis and of Dodd-Frank on the decade-long trends in banking consolidation in developed countries. The results show that though the trends have been consistent, widespread and powerful, the financial crisis was significant enough to increase the rate of decrease in commercial banks. However, the crisis seems to have moderated the trend towards greater concentration as measured by the Herfindahl Index. The identification of the global nature of these trends and their recent changes is critical in directing future research targeted to resolving the debate over the social good of bank concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 98-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1164815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1164815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:98-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adebayo Abass Author-X-Name-First: Adebayo Author-X-Name-Last: Abass Author-Name: Paul Amaza Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Amaza Author-Name: Beatrice Bachwenkizi Author-X-Name-First: Beatrice Author-X-Name-Last: Bachwenkizi Author-Name: Kelly Wanda Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Wanda Author-Name: Ambrose Agona Author-X-Name-First: Ambrose Author-X-Name-Last: Agona Author-Name: Nicolaus Cromme Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Cromme Title: The impact of mechanized processing of cassava on farmers’ production efficiency in Uganda Abstract: The study investigates the impact of adopting mechanized processing of cassava on farmers’ production efficiency in Uganda. A stochastic production function, using translog functional form, was used to compare efficiency measures of farmers in mechanized cassava-processing villages compared with the farmers in nonmechanized cassava-processing villages in 2014. Given the specification of the translog production function, the mean technical efficiencies of the farmers were 0.69 and 0.52 in mechanized and nonmechanized villages, respectively. The significant determinants of technical inefficiency among the respondents are farming experience, education, membership of farmer association, access to markets, sale of cassava to processors and farmers who planted cassava as sole crop are all negative, which confirm to a priori expectations and significant at different levels. The policy implication of the study is that mechanization of cassava processing, particularly if done at the right scale, could create demand that can transform primary production for increased yields, higher incomes and production efficiency of smallholder farmers who constitute a significant proportion of Uganda’s agricultural sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 102-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1167817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:102-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Jorge Silva Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Determinants of nonresident government debt ownership Abstract: We examine the determinants of nonresident government debt ownership, accounting for domestic and external factors and financial variables during the period 2000Q2–2014Q4, focussing on a small euro area open economy: Portugal. Our results show that better fiscal positions, higher systematic stress in Europe and higher shares of monetary and financial institutions (MFI) cross-border holdings of public debt, increase the share of nonresident held debt, and rising sovereign yields decrease that ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1167818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:107-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald H. Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald H. Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Author-Name: Ryan S. Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Ryan S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Title: Excise taxes, over-shifting, cross-elasticity, and tax revenue Abstract: This article examines cross-elasticity effects in excise taxation for markets characterized by monopolistic competition and over-shifting. Extending the constant elasticity demand model to consider cross-elasticity leads to notably different results regarding tax revenue maximization. With nonzero but weak cross-elasticity effects relative to the price elasticity, we derive a higher optimal tax-price ratio compared to prior research. With strong cross-elasticity, revenue can continually be increased by raising the excise tax. Overall, the study offers government greater incentive to use excise taxes to obtain revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1167821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Young Baek Author-X-Name-First: H. Young Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: David Cho Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Family firm succession and performance Abstract: We analyse more than half a million businesses from the Census Bureau’s 2007 Survey of Business Owners with less survivorship and size biases. After controlling for firm- and owner-specific characteristics, we find family businesses generate fewer receipts and less employment and payroll. Family businesses involving a second-generation owner-manager show better performance. On the other hand, those managed by founder-owners show worse performance. These results of all firms, mostly small businesses, are contrary to the previous studies of large public firms. However, for a subsample of 2064 businesses large enough to be listed on a US stock exchange, the results become consistent with the previous large-firm studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1167822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saurabh Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saurabh Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Mridul Saggar Author-X-Name-First: Mridul Author-X-Name-Last: Saggar Title: Volatility spillovers to the emerging financial markets during taper talk and actual tapering Abstract: On 22 May 2013, Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke surprised markets by indicating to the media that the US Fed may taper its quantitative easing programme. This set out financial volatility across the globe over the next several months that spilled over to the financial markets of emerging market economies (EMEs). It prompted many EME central banks to take varied policy actions. Looking into this widely known event, this article presents formal empirical evidence establishing that (i) conditional volatility during taper talk exceeded that during actual tapering and (ii) volatility spillovers took place ‘contemporaneously’ from the US markets to the key EMEs during this period. The results suggest importance of careful communications by advanced economy central banks and the possibility of establishing ‘rules of the monetary game’. They also suggest that in the absence of international policy coordination to contain spillovers, EME central banks should build adequate buffers and reinforce financial stability ahead of the reversal of the global interest rate cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 122-127 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:122-127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ventura Charlin Author-X-Name-First: Ventura Author-X-Name-Last: Charlin Author-Name: Arturo Cifuentes Author-X-Name-First: Arturo Author-X-Name-Last: Cifuentes Title: On the correlation between stocks and art market returns Abstract: We estimate the correlation between the returns of an S&P 500-based portfolio and Renoir paintings. Unlike previous studies that relied on single-point estimates of the correlation to explore the merits of adding art assets to a portfolio of stocks, we rely on a wild bootstrap algorithm to determine confidence intervals for the correlation estimates. We find that these confidence intervals are so wide (a situation not peculiar to our example) that it seems impossible to make absolute remarks about the merits of adding art-related assets to stocks portfolios. Moreover, our results suggest that previous conclusions regarding the correlation between art and stocks should be taken with some scepticism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 128-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:128-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jianqin Hang Author-X-Name-First: Jianqin Author-X-Name-Last: Hang Author-Name: Dengbao Yao Author-X-Name-First: Dengbao Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: A regime-switching approach to estimating the nonlinear quantity-based monetary policy rule in China Abstract: This article focuses on the quantity-based monetary policy rule in China. The article applies a Markov regime-switching approach to estimate the nonlinear policy rule using quarterly data from 1997Q1 to 2015Q2. Overall, the performance of the estimated two-state rule is significantly better than the performance of the linear rule. The regime-switching estimation suggests that the quantity-based policy tool displays a countercyclical response to the inflation gap but a pro-cyclical response to the output gap during recessions. In addition, this article provides notable evidence of the fact that China’s central bank has been targeting inflation over the gradual course of financial liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:132-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment rate cycles in Europe Abstract: This article analyses the duration of cycles in the unemployment rate series in a group of EU countries. It extends the model by Bierens (2001) and follows Gil-Alana (2001) by allowing for fractional cyclical integration. Once cycles are introduced in the model, we have more evidence of mean reversion than in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 136-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:2:p:136-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasir Shahab Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Shahab Author-Name: Zhiwei Ye Author-X-Name-First: Zhiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Yasir Riaz Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Riaz Author-Name: Collins G. Ntim Author-X-Name-First: Collins G. Author-X-Name-Last: Ntim Title: Individual’s financial investment decision-making in reward-based crowdfunding: evidence from China Abstract: This article extends the work of Cecere et al. (Appl. Econ., 49(57): 5802–5813, 2017) and explores the antecedents of backers’ decision to invest in projects from eight categories on a reward-based crowdfunding platform in China. We extract data from 2011 to 2016 from the pioneer Chinese reward-based crowdfunding site ‘Demohour’. Our empirical investigation using OLS reveals that feedback score, social capital (followers on Weibo, project sharing on social media) and project quality (number of updates) are key motivating factors in investment decision and subsequently, project success or failure. Robustness tests also confirm the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1464643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1464643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:261-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashish Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Ashish Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Investigating household choice for health and life insurance Abstract: The objective of this article is to investigate the joint determination of household choice for health and life insurance. Using the 2008–2009 Consumer Expenditure Survey data, we model household choice for health and life insurance assuming households consider purchasing them to manage financial risks in their life, after accounting for household characteristics, insurance characteristics, health status, and disability status. The model allows assessing the impact of health insurance choice on the choice of life insurance and the correlation between these two choices. The result suggests that health insurance choice positively affects the choice of life insurance and these two choices are positively correlated indicating complementary nature of these insurances in the basket of households’ risk minimising goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-273 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:267-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Beyer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Beyer Author-Name: Eva Tebbe Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Tebbe Author-Name: Korbinian von Blanckenburg Author-X-Name-First: Korbinian Author-X-Name-Last: von Blanckenburg Author-Name: Elke Kottmann Author-X-Name-First: Elke Author-X-Name-Last: Kottmann Title: Subject pool effects in price competition games: students versus professionals Abstract: Questioning the external validity of experiments that rely on student participants is an evergreen theme in experimental economics. Yet, there is ambiguous evidence of potential subject-pool bias. We add to the subject-pool debate by enlarging the set of experiments for which subject-pool differences have been studied. In a duopolistic Bertrand market setup designed to test for collusive behaviour, we test two treatments. The first is a baseline treatment, where participants cannot communicate with each other, while the second is a communication treatment in which participants are allowed to communicate. Each treatment is first conducted with students and then replicated with professionals. Our results show that student subjects and professionals differ significantly. However, these differences manifest themselves in quantitative rather than qualitative terms. Professionals do collude more, but their behavioural difference between treatments is similar. Students are thus a valid surrogate, if the research question is qualitative, but results generated by student samples should be handled with caution, if quantitative differences matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 274-280 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:274-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barnabé Walheer Author-X-Name-First: Barnabé Author-X-Name-Last: Walheer Title: How foreign investments contribute to economic growth of industrial parks in China: a production-frontier decomposition approach Abstract: We study the importance of foreign direct investment for economic growth of 52 Chinese industrial parks from 2007 to 2015. For this task, we extend a production-frontier methodology, specially designed to decompose economic growth into different sources, to take two types of capital into account. Our results reveal that foreign capital is necessary for boosting economic growth of the parks, but domestic capital played the main role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-285 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:281-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Title: Examining the relationship between academic performance and workplace position: does the glass ceiling exist among graduates from the same university? Abstract: This study examines the relationship between academic performance and workplace position. Academic performance is measured by undergraduate grade point average (GPA). A series of ordered probit regression models are estimated to isolate the impact of undergraduate GPA on the probability that female and male graduates from the same university hold middle or upper management jobs within their companies. After all potential heterogeneity and explanatory variables are controlled for, results of the pooled regression models suggest that women are less likely to hold both middle and upper management positions. Further analysis also suggests that lower GPA significantly decreases the probability that women hold these positions, while GPA seems to have no significant impact on workplace position for men. Moreover, most factors which positively impact the probability that women attain these positions also benefit men more at the highest level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 286-289 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:286-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosaria Distefano Author-X-Name-First: Rosaria Author-X-Name-Last: Distefano Author-Name: Livio Ferrante Author-X-Name-First: Livio Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrante Author-Name: Francesco Reito Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Reito Title: Keeping up by robbing the Joneses Abstract: In this article, we find evidence of a ‘keeping up with the Joneses’ effect in the relationship between inequality and crime in Italy. We use data on minor and major crimes in the 20 Italian regions in the years 2004–2015 and show that for higher (lower) income levels, inequality leads individuals to commit major (minor) crimes to try to keep up with richer people. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 290-294 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:290-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Akira Shimada Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Shimada Title: Which countries show favour towards negative, zero or positive population growth? Abstract: This article develops an overlapping generations model with eldercare by migrants and children in the context of the ageing problem and examines what conditions cause people to prefer a negative, zero or positive population growth rate. We find that a wage ratio of around 0.7 for eldercare by migrants can explain well the coexistence of negative, zero and positive population growth rates in the European Union. A country that does not need eldercare and has an optimistic view of the future will have a positive population growth rate. Other countries will have zero or negative population growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-301 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:295-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Igor Fedotenkov Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Fedotenkov Title: Corporate labour share of income and the shadow economy: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article addresses a link between the size of the shadow economy and the corporate labour share of income in the European Union. Fixed individual and time effects models suggest that there is a negative link between these two indicators. The coefficients are statistically significant if we control for other variables related to labour markets, such as unemployment rates or strictness of employment protection (regular contracts). Depending on the exact model specification, our estimates suggest that an increase in the shadow economy by 1% of GDP results in a 0.5–1% decline in the labour share of income in the corporate sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-305 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:302-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard Author-X-Name-First: Pattanaporn Author-X-Name-Last: Chatjuthamard Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Young S. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Exploring the causal effect of religious piety on dividend policy: evidence from historical religious identification Abstract: Theory suggests that religious piety is associated with greater risk aversion and more conservative financial policies. Returns to shareholders through dividends are much more certain than returns through capital gains expected to be realized far into the future. We hypothesize that religious piety leads to a higher likelihood of dividend payments. We exploit the variation in religious piety across the US counties and estimate the effect of religion on dividend policy. To draw a causal inference, we use historical religious piety in 1971 as the instrument. Our two-stage least squares results confirm that religious piety induces firms to pay larger dividends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 306-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1467550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:306-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Zoicas-Ienciu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Zoicas-Ienciu Title: Trading timing and the returns to trend-following Abstract: We document a negative impact of realistic trading timing on trend-following profits, across an international sample of equity indexes and stocks. The discount effect is substantial but reduces as trend signals become less accurate. The size of this trading timing bias is largely driven by the volatility of buy-and-hold returns and that of trend signals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1468547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1468547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Yan Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Xiaoer Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoer Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Haoqi Li Author-X-Name-First: Haoqi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Finite-maturity stock loans under the constant elasticity of variance model Abstract: This article expresses the constant elasticity of variance stock loans pricing formula in terms of the noncentral chi-square distribution. By using the numerical solutions of the integral equation for the early exit boundary, we calculated the valuation of the stock loans. Numerical analysis is carried out to establish explicitly the value of such a loan, as well as the loan amount and the fee for providing such a service. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-320 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1468548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1468548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:316-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mushfiq Swaleheen Author-X-Name-First: Mushfiq Author-X-Name-Last: Swaleheen Author-Name: Mohamed Sami Ben Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ali Author-Name: Akram Temimi Author-X-Name-First: Akram Author-X-Name-Last: Temimi Title: Corruption and public spending on education and health Abstract: Existing country and regional studies show that the effect of corruption on public spending on health and education is mixed. This letter reveals that the effect of corruption on health and education spending is significant and non-linear in a panel of 134 countries observed over two decades: For an overwhelming majority of countries, corruption has a positive effect on the share of public resources spent on public health and a negative effect in the case of education. The results presented are robust to several econometric challenges ignored in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-325 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1468549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1468549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:321-325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoni Cunyat Author-X-Name-First: Antoni Author-X-Name-Last: Cunyat Title: Crowding-out effect and sorting in competitive labour markets with motivated workers Abstract: This article makes a contribution to the economics literature by inducing proper self-selection into contracts based on workers’ motivation. The novelty of our results is that it points out the alternative potential role of the crowding-out effect to separate workers based on their motivation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 326-330 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1468550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1468550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:326-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongxing Ji Author-X-Name-First: Dongxing Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Unusual patterns in China’s prefectural GDP growth rates Abstract: This article examines the last (rightmost) digit of China’s prefectural GDP growth rates, and find that they are unevenly distributedamong 0 to 9. There are too many 0s, 1s, 2s, 5s and too few 4s, 7s, 9s. Moreover, the distribution of the last digit is less skewed when the macro economy grows quickly and when the prefecture’s growth rate ranks high within the province. These patterns reveal that local officials artificially influence the data in order to exceed some thresholds. However, they do not necessarily imply that China's GDP data are falsified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1468551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1468551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boren Sargon Author-X-Name-First: Boren Author-X-Name-Last: Sargon Author-Name: Salih Katircioğlu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioğlu Title: The role of innovation in venture capital: empirical evidence from European Union and EFTA countries Abstract: This article investigates the effects of innovation attempts on the venture capital and investment activity in the cases of the selected European Union plus European Free Trade Agreement countries using annual panel data and by controlling for real income growth and business sophistication. Our findings suggest that innovation has positively significant effects on venture capital in the cases without opt-out countries (United Kingdom and Denmark); however, these effects become negative in the cases with opt-out countries. Policy implications are provided in the conclusion section of this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-340 Issue: 4 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1470310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1470310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:4:p:335-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nima Nonejad Author-X-Name-First: Nima Author-X-Name-Last: Nonejad Title: Crude oil price volatility dynamics and the great recession Abstract: Using a very simple econometric framework, we identify two major changes in the dynamics of crude oil price volatility based on data from 1997 to 2017. More precisely, we model weekly West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price realized volatility in a two-regime setting, one where realized volatility evolves as a plain autoregressive (AR) process (static), and the other where the level, persistence and innovation volatility of the AR process are subject to changes (dynamic). We use a Markov chain to model the probability that the process is in the static regime. The post Great Recession period sees a longer duration of the dynamic regime as well as smaller changes in the level and conditional volatility of realized volatility when switching actually occurs. Crude oil volatility also responds more aggressively to changes in economic variables, such as the t-bill rate and equity market volatility in the dynamic regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 622-627 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:622-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumine Kondo Author-X-Name-First: Kazumine Author-X-Name-Last: Kondo Title: The governance structures of Japanese credit associations and their objective functions Abstract: Although Japanese credit associations are non-profit cooperative financial institutions, they assume the same financial functions as regional banks that are stock companies and they could compete with each other in a regional market. On the other hand, the governance structures of credit associations tend to exhibit weaker discipline than those of regional banks, and, for this reason, the financial performances of credit associations and regional banks might differ. In this article, we empirically investigated whether the objective functions of credit associations are different from those of regional banks considering their different governance structures. As a result, although significant differences of profitability of these two types of institutions were not detected, it was demonstrated that credit associations can capture a greater share of deposits than regional banks and the former are more conservative in risk taking than the latter. From these, there is a possibility that Japanese credit associations have different objective functions from regional banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 628-632 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:628-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: João F. Caldeira Author-X-Name-First: João F. Author-X-Name-Last: Caldeira Author-Name: Emanuelle N. Smaniotto Author-X-Name-First: Emanuelle N. Author-X-Name-Last: Smaniotto Title: The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates: The Brazilian case revisited Abstract: This article tests the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) using Brazilian monthly data for bond yields spanning the 2000–2017 sample period and ranging in maturity from 3 months to 5 years. Three tests are examined: the first is based on interest rates spread and the other two are based on the forward rates. On balance our results suggest rejection of the EH throughout the maturity spectrum examined, and are broadly consistent with previous findings that a linear combination of forward rates provides a statistically significant prediction of bond excess returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-637 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1488053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:633-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ke Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Sheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Changsheng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Changsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Xuesong Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xuesong Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Effect of political connections on corporate financial constraints: new evidence from privatization in China Abstract: Taking advantage of the SOEs privatization events in China, our research looks to identify the causal effect of political connections on corporate financial constraints. In a difference-in-differences framework, we demonstrate that after the transfer of control from state to private owners, privatized SOEs hoard more cash, save more cash from incremental cash flow, and exhibit higher cash flow sensitivity of investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 638-644 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:638-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu You Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Xiaochun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaochun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Cyclicality of stock market volatility Abstract: By utilizing the significance and stochastic dominance tests, this paper formally tests the relationship between stock market volatility and the business cycle. Results show that, for most matured markets, stock market volatility is countercyclical, while for emerging markets, the volatility can be procyclical. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-649 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:645-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhifang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Zhifang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Chunding Li Author-X-Name-First: Chunding Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: China’s welfare gain from involved mega-regional trade agreements Abstract: This article draw upon a 29-country numerical general equilibrium model with trade cost and endogenous trade imbalance to simulate China’s welfare gain from negotiating mega-regional trade agreements (mega-RTAs). We introduce elasticity of substitution distributions instead of normally definite values in the model and generate a distribution of impact results ranging among some specific intervals, which injects a new kind of effect presentation style to existing literature. The results of our article reveal that China will gain from all undergoing negotiation mega-RTAs we mentioned in this article, comparatively Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership will benefit China the most. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 650-656 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:650-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter A. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: Austin F. Eggers Author-X-Name-First: Austin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Eggers Author-Name: Parker T. Redding Author-X-Name-First: Parker T. Author-X-Name-Last: Redding Title: The impact of NCAA men’s basketball probations on the quantity and quality of student applications and enrollment Abstract: Collegiate sports programmes have been characterized as the front porch of a university, serving to publicize the institution and draw students to the door. Previous research in this area has indicated a positive correlation between athletic success and the quantity and quality of students attending the university. Conversely, we seek to analyse if athletic malfeasance, as measured by NCAA probations of men’s basketball programmes, negatively affects either the quantity or quality of students at a university. Our findings suggest that while basketball probations do not change the overall quantity of applications nor enrolment at a university, there is a significant adverse impact on the quality of freshman enrolling at the university as measured by Scholastic Aptitude Test scores. Our finding suggests that athletics do indeed serve as a front porch to a university and that athletic sanctions in men’s basketball have a detrimental effect on the average quality of students attending a university. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hee-Soo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Dong Wan Shin Author-X-Name-First: Dong Wan Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Forecast of realized covariance matrix based on asymptotic distribution of the LU decomposition with an application for balancing minimum variance portfolio Abstract: We derive the asymptotic distribution for the LU decomposition, that is, the Cholesky decomposition, of realized covariance matrix. Distributional properties are combined with an existing generalized heterogeneous autoregressive (GHAR) method for forecasting realized covariance matrix, which will be referred to as a generalized HARQ (GHARQ) method. An out-of-sample forecast comparison of a real data set shows that the proposed GHARQ method outperforms other existing methods in terms of optimizing the variances of portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-668 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:661-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Nagengast Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Nagengast Title: An N-dimensional generalization of the Amiti–Weinstein estimator Abstract: Amiti and Weinstein proposed an estimation framework to disentangle credit demand and supply shocks using matched bank-firm loan data. Here, we show that their estimator can be generalized to capture shocks arising in an arbitrary number of dimensions. Our algorithm permits empirical researchers to analyse multi-dimensional data sets using the Amiti–Weinstein framework. This may be beneficial both for studies on micro-level outcomes as well as for the literature on assessing the macroeconomic impact of idiosyncratic shocks. In an empirical application to a firm-product-country export data set, we highlight the usefulness of the generalized Amiti–Weinstein estimator, and we demonstrate the importance of considering additional dimensions when gauging the effect of granular shocks on aggregate fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-676 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:669-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Jung Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Kyuseok Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyuseok Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A weighted Fama-MacBeth two-step panel regression procedure Abstract: We propose a weighted Fama-MacBeth (FMB) two-step panel regression procedure and compare the properties of the usual unweighted versus our proposed weighted FMB procedures through a Monte Carlo simulation study. We find evidence that when the cross-sectional regression explanatory power changes over time as well as the standard errors of the coefficient estimates, the proposed weighted FMB procedure produces more efficient coefficient estimators and more powerful tests compared to the usual unweighted FMB procedure across various model specifications in terms of the sampling distribution, sample size, and time-series $${R^2}$$R2 distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-683 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:677-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunjoon Lim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: The response of household debt to income inequality shocks: a heterogeneous approach Abstract: This article explores the impact of changes in income inequality on household indebtedness using Pedroni's heterogeneous panel VAR. As a result, we find evidence in support of large cross-country heterogeneity in the responses of household leverage to income inequality shocks. We also find that such heterogeneity stems from differences in the strength of financial regulations and supervision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 684-689 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:684-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumitaka Furuoka Author-X-Name-First: Fumitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Furuoka Title: Do CLMV countries catch up with the older ASEAN members in terms of income level? Abstract: This article examined whether Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam were catching up in terms of real per capita Gross Domestic Product with the older six Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members, namely Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. The findings indicated that Cambodia succeeded in reaching Indonesia’s income level and Vietnam was catching up with Indonesia and the Philippines. However, the income gap between Laos and Myanmar and the older ASEAN members was not reduced. These findings have some policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 690-697 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:690-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Levi A. Russell Author-X-Name-First: Levi A. Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Author-Name: Dallas W. Wood Author-X-Name-First: Dallas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Author-Name: Gregory A. Ibendahl Author-X-Name-First: Gregory A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ibendahl Author-Name: Michael R. Langemeier Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Langemeier Title: The effect of the 2007 ethanol mandate on downside risk in agriculture: evidence from Kansas farmers Abstract: The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 increased the amount of corn ethanol that must be blended into motor vehicle and other fuels as part of the renewable fuel standard. The purpose of this article is to look at how the increase in demand for corn influenced the profitability and downside risk of farms. We conducted this investigation using annual data for more than 300 farms in Kansas from 1997 through 2014. We find that the probability of a farmer’s experiencing a negative return on equity (i.e. the ‘downside risk’ of farming) decreased by 25 percentage points after 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 698-702 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:698-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Solomon Zena Walelign Author-X-Name-First: Solomon Zena Author-X-Name-Last: Walelign Author-Name: Martin Reinhardt Nielsen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Reinhardt Author-X-Name-Last: Nielsen Author-Name: Xi Jiao Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiao Author-Name: Jette Bredahl Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Jette Bredahl Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Is households’ risk attitude robust to different experimental payoffs? Abstract: We compared risk attitudes among rural people in Tanzania and Kenya using an experimental design where payoffs were defined and quantified in maize and milk production. About 42% of the sample revealed different risk attitude between the two payoff types. The difference was mainly explained by household livelihood strategy, geographical location and ethnicity. Hence, appropriate pay-off metrics differ across contexts and different metrics may provide noncomparable results that does not reflect intrinsic risk attitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-706 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:703-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ningyu Qian Author-X-Name-First: Ningyu Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: How does anti-corruption affect firm labour inputs? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of anti-corruption on firm labour inputs. Using the province-by-province rollout of the central inspection team campaign in China, we find that the labour intensity rises by 9% in the firms located in the provinces inspected by the central inspection teams. Moreover, firms with low corruption are more susceptible to the policy shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-711 Issue: 8 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:8:p:707-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qianwei Ying Author-X-Name-First: Qianwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Author-Name: Jinsong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jinsong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Anti-corruption campaign in China: good news or bad news for firm value? Abstract: This article investigates the effects of an anti-corruption campaign on firm value by testing market reactions to the investigation of top local officials during the recent anti-corruption campaign in China. We find that the anti-corruption events are more likely to be bad news for the market values of local state-owned enterprises (SOEs) but good news for the market values of non-SOEs less dependent on political connections. Besides, anti-corruption events are also more likely to be bad news for firms in regulated industries or low-marketization regions but good news for firms in nonregulated industries or high-marketization regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1188 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1406651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1406651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1183-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Devin Brady Author-X-Name-First: Devin Author-X-Name-Last: Brady Author-Name: Adam T. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Adam T. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Ethan Watson Author-X-Name-First: Ethan Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Producing drama: a comparison of film tax incentives to alternative uses Abstract: Incentive packages are popular tools for economic development. However, development projects are often considered in isolation without an analysis of opportunity costs. In this study, we use an intuitive framework for comparing projects and weigh alternate projects against North Carolina’s film incentive programme. The results indicate that there are substantial differences in the economic impact of the projects we consider in this study. Our results suggest that policy decisions by governments and economic development officials should weigh a potential project against alternative uses in order to optimize the use of incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1192 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1406652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1406652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1189-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danlin Pu Author-X-Name-First: Danlin Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Title: Politically connected managers, government ownership and corporate socially responsible investments: evidence from China Abstract: We investigated the effects of politically connected managers on the corporate socially responsible investments of firms with different types of ownership. The results show that SOEs with politically connected managers are more likely to invest in corporate socially responsible investments compared to SOEs without such managers. However, private firms with politically connected managers are less likely to invest in corporate socially responsible investments than private firms without such managers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1197 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1409413 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1409413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1193-1197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Blyde Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Blyde Author-Name: Valeria Faggioni Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Faggioni Title: International supply chains and trade agreements Abstract: There is a growing literature that examines the role of trade agreements on the formation of international supply chains. The evidence indicates that in general countries that share trade agreements are more likely to develope cross-border supply chains. In this analysis, we argue that in order to examine the effects of trade agreements on the formation of supply chains between two countries, it is not enough to analyse the impact of the trade agreements that the two countries share but it is also important to assess the impact of the trade agreements that they share with third countries. Using data on trade in value added for 129 countries, we show empirically that about 40% of the potential increase in trade in value added induced by a trade agreement between an importing country and a sourcing partner is wiped out by each additional trade agreement signed by the importing country with third nations in which the sourcing partner is not a member. The result has important implications for regions seeking to develop international supply chains but in which the process of integration is highly fragmented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1198-1203 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1409414 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1409414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1198-1203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhi Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Yu Qi Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Ming Ge Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Title: Is health care a necessity or a luxury? Evidence from urban China Abstract: This article uses a smooth transition regression (STR) model to research the income elasticity of the health care expenditure of China’s urban residents in the 1990–2013 period. The results demonstrate that if the real income of China’s urban residents that lags a period is taken as a transition variable, urban residents’ health expenditure follows an LSTR1 nonlinear two-regime model. Here, the income elasticity of health care expenditure of China’s urban residents is 1.4919 in 1990–2002 and 1.2216 in 2003–2013. Overall, the income elasticity of health care of China’s urban residents is greater than 1, indicating that health care is a luxury. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1204-1207 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1409415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1409415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1204-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanhyung Pyo Author-X-Name-First: Hanhyung Author-X-Name-Last: Pyo Author-Name: Sangheon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sangheon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Are there spillover effects of large firms’ growth in supply chain networks? Evidence from the Korean economy Abstract: Previous literature has found that inter-firm cooperation leads to higher growth rates for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). However, these studies have focused only on direct effects, such as subcontracting, rather than on spillover effects in supply chain networks (SCNs). Regarding the spillover effects, this article investigates whether a large firm’s growth leads to the growth of the directly and indirectly related SMEs in its SCN, using Korean firm-level data with the system  Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The estimation results show that increases in the sales of large firms significantly affect the growth rates of the related SMEs. These effects, however, diminish as the relationship with the large firm goes down from the first vendor to the second vendor and from the second vendor to the third vendor. In the case of Korea, when a large firm grows by 1%, the first vendor grows by 0.38–0.44%, but the growth rates of the second and third vendors are only 0.036–0.047% and 0.003–0.005%, respectively. Thus, while there are spillover effects, the effects are weak. We discuss what these findings mean for national economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1208-1211 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1208-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bertil Holmlund Author-X-Name-First: Bertil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmlund Title: Estimating matching functions when recruiting intensity matters Abstract: The article estimates matching functions – the relationships between new hires, job vacancies and unemployment – using monthly time series data for Sweden. The data contain rich information on types of job vacancies which provides information on firms’ recruiting efforts. The analysis shows that the aggregate flow of new hires is well explained by an augmented version of a standard matching function that incorporates data on firms’ recruiting intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1212-1217 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1212-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Eun Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Author-Name: Hyoungjong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungjong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does income inequality increase marginal propensity to consume? Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effects of income inequality on the marginal propensity to consume (MPC), using panel data of 22 OECD countries over the period 1994–2015. We find that MPC increases dramatically as income inequality increases. In subsample analyses, the MPC of a high inequality group is more than twice that of a low inequality group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1218-1221 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1218-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zouheir El-Sahli Author-X-Name-First: Zouheir Author-X-Name-Last: El-Sahli Author-Name: Joakim Gullstrand Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Gullstrand Author-Name: Karin Olofsdotter Author-X-Name-First: Karin Author-X-Name-Last: Olofsdotter Title: Exploring outward FDI and the choice of destination: evidence from Swedish firm-level data Abstract: Using Swedish firm-level data on all firms and their affiliates abroad, we investigate what observable firm and country characteristics affect the size of an affiliate in a particular destination. We employ the richness of the data to investigate the importance of destination country factors in explaining firm outward FDI activities and distinguish between the factors that affect such activities in manufacturing versus services firms as well as vertical versus horizontal investments. Our results lend support to existing theories of multinational activity of manufacturing but not services firms. We also find observable differences between vertical and horizontal manufacturing firms that are not always explained by theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1222-1225 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1222-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paweł Baranowski Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Baranowski Author-Name: Marcin Komor Author-X-Name-First: Marcin Author-X-Name-Last: Komor Author-Name: Szymon Wójcik Author-X-Name-First: Szymon Author-X-Name-Last: Wójcik Title: Whose feedback matters? Empirical evidence from online auctions Abstract: The seller rating systems based on feedback are routinely used to minimize risks in online auctions. We explore the effects of the feedback from buyers and sellers separately. The results reveal that feedback from auction issuer’s selling activity increase both sales and new visits of auction. The effects of feedback from buying activity are significant only for visits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1226-1229 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1226-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jooyong Jun Author-X-Name-First: Jooyong Author-X-Name-Last: Jun Author-Name: Jeong Wook Byun Author-X-Name-First: Jeong Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Byun Author-Name: Eunjung Yeo Author-X-Name-First: Eunjung Author-X-Name-Last: Yeo Title: Upstream regulation in mature network industry: evidence from Nordic mobile telecommunications markets Abstract: This article investigates the effects of upstream regulation that aims to create niches and attract new type of entrants on the competitive environment of downstream markets. Using unique cross-country data of Nordic mobile telecommunications markets, we show that upstream regulation leads to (i) increases in both number and aggregate market share of service-based providers in the downstream market, (ii) an increase in the number of service-based providers, thus increasing their aggregate market share, but no opposite direction of results and (iii) a lower retail price level, proxied by average revenue per user. Our findings imply that upstream regulation may be able to achieve better outcomes when the policy objectives are to revitalize mature network industries and to enhance consumer welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1230-1236 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1230-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Kridsda Nimmanunta Author-X-Name-First: Kridsda Author-X-Name-Last: Nimmanunta Title: Estimating the effect of board independence on managerial ownership using a quasi-natural experiment Abstract: Grounded in agency theory, this article investigates the effect of board independence on managerial ownership. We exploit the passage of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act and the associated exchange listing requirements as an exogenous regulatory shock that raises board independence. Our difference-in-difference estimates show that board independence leads to significantly higher managerial ownership. In particular, firms forced to raise board independence exhibit managerial ownership that is 26.35% higher, relative to firms not required to raise board independence. Thus, board independence and managerial equity ownership constitute governance mechanisms that act as complements, rather than substitutes. Our empirical strategy relies on a quasi-natural experiment and is far more likely to show a causal effect than what has been documented in the literature. Finally, an instrumental-variable analysis reinforces our conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1243 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1412072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1412072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1237-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. V. M. Mendes Author-X-Name-First: B. V. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Author-Name: R. A. C. Martins Author-X-Name-First: R. A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Determinants of stock market classifications Abstract: We use discriminant analysis to describe and predict market classifications. Potential discriminators are derived from relevant characteristics of market indices, in particular from the returns’ volatility. Using a training data set, an initial screening on the predictors is carried out and a model-based simple rule is constructed with 96.6% of correct classifications. 10 new markets are allocated to one of the previously defined groups: Developed, Emerging, or Frontier, with only one misclassification. The quantitative approach was able to anticipate classification reviews. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1244-1249 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1414927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1414927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1244-1249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meijie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Meijie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Ciheng Song Author-X-Name-First: Ciheng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Zengji Song Author-X-Name-First: Zengji Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: State ownership, political connections and entry barriers: evidence from China Abstract: Private enterprises may encounter high industrial barriers in China because of government administrative restrictions. We analyse the effect of partial state ownership on a privately controlled company’s participation in industries with state-imposed barriers. The results indicate that state ownership in privately controlled enterprises has a significantly positive effect on participation in high barrier industries. After controlling for partial state ownership, we find that personal political identity of entrepreneurs, a previously investigated dimension of political connections, becomes less important in explaining private enterprises’ participation in barrier industries. We also find the effect of state ownership on access to barrier industries will become weaker when local economy is more developed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1250-1254 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1414928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1414928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1250-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danvee Floro Author-X-Name-First: Danvee Author-X-Name-Last: Floro Title: Monetary policy surprises and firm-level stock return predictability: evidence from a new panel-based approach Abstract: We employ a new panel-based testing procedure that is robust to the uncertain persistence of regressors, time-varying volatility and cross-sectional error dependence in studying the predictive dynamics between conventional US monetary policy surprises and firm-level stock returns. We find that accounting for cross-sectional dependence by means of (estimated) factors considerably alters the predictive significance of monetary policy surprises depending on the sample period being studied. Concretely, during the period 1990–2000, monetary policy has no influence on future stock returns when cross-sectional dependence is accounted for by means of common factor augmentation. By contrast, the predictive power of monetary policy is even boosted when introducing common factors into the model when the period of analysis covers 2002–2007. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1260 Issue: 17 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1414929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1414929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:17:p:1255-1260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jia Ji Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: The time-varying effect of monetary policy in China Abstract: A sound understanding of monetary transmission mechanism is valuable because it helps the central bank to determine the proper course of monetary policy to balance growth and inflation. As China’s domestic financial markets deepen and develop further towards a market-based system, the country’s monetary policy instrument and transmission should continue to improve for managing economic conditions. Using a short-term key interest rate as standard monetary policy tool and time-varying parameter techniques, this study empirically demonstrates that China’s monetary policy framework is in the midst of transitioning to a market-based approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1378-1383 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1378-1383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arie Sherman Author-X-Name-First: Arie Author-X-Name-Last: Sherman Author-Name: Guy Barokas Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Barokas Title: Are happy people more employable? Evidence from field experiments Abstract: This novel study investigated the response of the labour market to employee happiness. Two field experiments examined the role of happiness in the hiring process. We found that including a personal happiness statement in the curricula vitae significantly increases employer callbacks for men. Strikingly, women do not enjoy the same happiness premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1384-1387 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1384-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cong Minh Huynh Author-X-Name-First: Cong Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Huynh Author-Name: Hong Hiep Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Hiep Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Title: Foreign direct investment and air pollution in Asian countries: does institutional quality matter? Abstract: This paper empirically studies how foreign direct investment (FDI) affects air pollution, and how this effect depends on institutional quality. By using a panel data for 19 developing Asian countries over the period of 2002–2015, we find that FDI inflows initially increase air pollution in Asia, and the institutional quality improvement helps reduce this effect until the institutional quality achieves a threshold, then beyond this threshold, FDI reduces air pollution. The findings indicate that the pollution haven hypothesis and the pollution halo hypothesis are not contradictory when the institutional quality is taken into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1388-1392 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1563668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1563668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1388-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinghua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ning Mao Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Title: Mercantile culture and corporate innovation: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the role of mercantile culture in corporation innovation from the perspective of Chinese historical culture. Using a sample of listed firms located in areas with cultural origin in China, we show that mercantile culture has a significantly positive effect on firm innovation. Higher level of marketization with better legal environment and less market distortion strengthen the association of culture and corporate innovation. Furthermore, much more internal resource slack also helps to realize the positive role of mercantile culture on firm R&D activities. We conclude that regional culture, as an informal institution, makes a difference in corporate innovation decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1401 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1393-1401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengcheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chengcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peng Song Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Bai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The dynamic effectiveness of monetary policy in China: evidence from a TVP-SV-FAVAR model Abstract: We use a broad set of China’s macroeconomic indicators and a dynamic factor model to estimate latent factors of economic output and inflation, which are used to measure the ultimate objectives of monetary policy. The above factors and policy variables are incorporated into a TVP-SV-FAVAR model to investigate the dynamic effectiveness of Chinese monetary policy. Our results confirm that the effects of Chinese monetary policy are time-varying. By comparing the quantity rule with the price rule, we find that the price rule is more effective in managing China’s macro-economy, especially after the financial crisis. Moreover, the results can be regarded as a division of policy rules in a way that different rules are directed at different objectives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1402-1410 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1402-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Mike Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Mike Author-Name: Oktay Kızılkaya Author-X-Name-First: Oktay Author-X-Name-Last: Kızılkaya Title: Testing the theory of PPP for emerging market economies that practice flexible exchange rate regimes Abstract: This study aims to test the long-run validity of purchasing power parity by using Fourier quantile unit root and Fourier cointegration analyses for 12 emerging market economies that practice a flexible exchange rate regime. With the Fourier approach, structural breaks are modelled as a gradual and smooth process. Fourier quantile unit root test results show that real exchange rate series are stationary for Colombia, India, Philippines, Poland, South Africa, and Turkey. On the other hand, Fourier cointegration test results reveal that purchasing power parity is valid for Brazil, Colombia, India, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, and Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1417 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1411-1417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshiki Kodera Author-X-Name-First: Toshiki Author-X-Name-Last: Kodera Author-Name: Koji Yoneda Author-X-Name-First: Koji Author-X-Name-Last: Yoneda Title: Efficiency and the quality of management and care: evidence from Japanese public hospitals Abstract: We study how the quality of hospital management and medical care both affect efficiency in Japanese local public hospitals. The efficiency is estimated by a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) and is regressed against the quality scores in hospital accreditation by the Japan Council for Quality Health Care (JCQHC). We find that rule-based hospital management relates to high efficiency, while the suitable management of beds and supplies relates to low efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1418-1423 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1418-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: German Blanco Author-X-Name-First: German Author-X-Name-Last: Blanco Author-Name: Michela Bia Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Bia Title: Inference for treatment effects of job training on wages: using bounds to compute Fisher’s exact p-value Abstract: In the context of a training program’s randomized evaluation, where estimating wage effects is of interest, we propose employing bounds that control for sample selection as a model-based statistic to conduct randomization-based inference à la Fisher. Inference is based on a sharp null hypothesis of no treatment effect for anyone. In contrast to conventional inference, Fisher p-values are nonparametric and do not employ large sample approximations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1424-1428 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1424-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayhab F. Saad Author-X-Name-First: Ayhab F. Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Title: Measuring intraregional trade Abstract: This article develops a novel measure of intraregional trade. The new measure is easy to implement and robust to different gravity models. I use the new measure to study the economic integration of the major trade blocs and discuss how the measure can be extended to analyse the roles of trade policies and institutions in regional integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1429-1433 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1564114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1564114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1429-1433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdem Seçilmiş Author-X-Name-First: Erdem Author-X-Name-Last: Seçilmiş Title: The role of risk aversion in public goods dilemmas with environmental uncertainty: an experimental analysis Abstract: The purpose of this study is to extend earlier research on environmental uncertainty in public goods dilemmas. The present paper reports the results of an experiment designed to examine the effect of risk aversion on public goods provision. A von Neumann–Morgenstern utility function with constant coefficient of relative risk aversion is used to investigate the impact of risk attitudes within a threshold public goods environment. The outcome of the threshold public goods experiment shows that subjects are indifferent to the changes in environmental conditions. Additionally, the analysis indicates that risk aversion is a significant determinant of voluntary public goods contribution level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1434-1438 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1576852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1576852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1434-1438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Renewable electricity supply, infrastructure, and gains from international trade in electric current Abstract: 113 countries report producing electricity from renewable sources and participate in the global energy transition. On the one hand more cables have been built recently; but on the other hand some countries are blocking electricity shocks technologically as supply shocks undermine the insurance function of their markets. This paper shows through a dynamic panel data analysis that the higher share of renewables in electricity production has increased imports and decreased exports of electric currents. This shows that trade currently helps dealing with fluctuations of supply, but temporary losses for recipients of shocks may require payments to keep the borders open. Keywords: Gains from trade, electric current, gravity, infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1443 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1578849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1578849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1439-1443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Does the use of professional legal assistance bring measurable benefits? Abstract: In this paper, the first attempt to quantify measurable effects of using legal advisory services is made with the use of a random sample and advanced econometric methods (robust MM-estimator). The estimates of parameters of an extended Mincer equation indicate that the appearance of legal problems results in lower earnings per person in a household and the choice of an active reaction to this legal problem results in a substantial reduction of losses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1444-1447 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1578850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1578850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1444-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhagyashree Katare Author-X-Name-First: Bhagyashree Author-X-Name-Last: Katare Author-Name: Michael Wetzstein Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wetzstein Author-Name: Nina Jovanovic Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Jovanovic Title: Can economic incentive help in reducing food waste: experimental evidence from a university dining hall Abstract: We show that a fixed financial incentive reduces the amount of food waste in an all-you-can-eat university-dining hall. Results indicate that the incentive increased the likelihood of students cleaning their plates, but did not affect the amount of food taken. These results raise important questions about implementing well-studied policies in modifying food consumption. An unintended consequence of the monetary incentive might have led students to consume relatively more food, thus encouraging unwanted eating habits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1448-1451 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1578856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1578856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1448-1451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuantao Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yuantao Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Juan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Fahad Munir Author-X-Name-First: Fahad Author-X-Name-Last: Munir Title: Overflow effect of credit rating announcements on stock exchange based on event study Abstract: This study is aimed to identify the impact of credit rating announcements on the stock returns in stock markets and for this purpose, four different sectors of Pakistan stock exchange were selected and from each of these four sectors, different business organizations were selected, i.e. total 32 business organizations were selected. The credit rating announcement data were collected for these 32 business organizations belonging to four different sectors. Totally 101 credit rating announcements were selected and the time period for which the credit rating warnings were selected include last three years period, i.e. from 2014 to 2016. The collected data were analysed by calculating abnormal returns for each of the selected security and average abnormal returns, and cumulative average abnormal returns were calculated for four different sectors. Event study methodology was applied, and t-test and t-stats value were calculated and results were analysed on the basis of t-statistics. The results of analysis identified that credit rating announcements have a significant impact on stock prices and investors and other market participants are earning abnormal returns during two-day period after the announcements are made. In addition, these abnormal returns were either negative or positive, depending upon the nature of credit ratings announced. If the credit rating announced was upgraded, investors enjoyed positive abnormal returns while in case when credit rating announcements were downgraded, then investors bear negative abnormal returns. Finally, the findings of the study identified the applicability of random walk hypothesis on the Pakistan Stock Exchange and Pakistan Stock Exchange confirms the efficient market hypothesis with its semi-strong form of efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1452-1462 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1581900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1581900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1452-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Author-Name: Marta Pascual-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual-Saez Author-Name: Maria Gonzalez Diego Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Diego Title: Examining an Alcohol consumption Kuznets Curve for developed countries Abstract: In this paper we expand the Simon Kuznets´ (1955) hypothesis to an ‘Alcohol consumption Kuznets curve’, showing that as income rise, further resources become available to buy more alcohol. Hence, people consume more alcohol and alcohol consumption rates increase. Nevertheless, as income rises, individual health becomes a more recognized point of interest and people decrease their alcohol consumption levels in order to increase their health status. For a selection of OECD countries, we find empirical evidence that alcohol consumption is influenced by income, inequality, unemployment rates, life expectancy and therefore the business cycle. Moreover, the demographic structure (ageing and youth ratio) does not affect the alcohol consumption level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1463-1466 Issue: 17 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1581901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1581901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:17:p:1463-1466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takuji Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: Takuji Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Title: A bi-annual forecasting model of currency crises Abstract: This study proposes a novel approach that combines random forests and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to construct a bi-annual forecasting model of currency crises. The proposed model can achieve a reasonably high level of accuracy in predicting crises and demonstrates that the DWT of monthly real exchange rates and foreign reserves can serve as reliable predictors. The predicted probability of crises in individual countries is visualized through a map, which indicates that the risk of crises has increased substantially across regions in the second half of 2018. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-261 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:255-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michal Brzezinski Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Brzezinski Title: The evolution of inequality of opportunity in Europe Abstract: The paper tests whether inequality of opportunity (IO) in Europe has increased between 2004 and 2010. IO is understood as unfair inequality due to circumstances beyond individual control (such as family background, race or sex). We show that over 2004–2010 IO increased significantly in Austria, Greece and Spain, while it decreased in Poland and Portugal. Relative IO (ratio of IO to overall income inequality) has grown in Austria, Belgium, Greece and Norway. In Greece, several social groups with an immigrant background have experienced sizable declines an opportunity for income acquisition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 262-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:262-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Guihong Hua Author-X-Name-First: Guihong Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Title: The impact of China’s Internet Finance on the banking systemic risk – an empirical study based on the SCCA model and stepwise regression Abstract: The disorderly development of Internet Finance impacts both the banking industry and the macroeconomy and opens a risk contagion channel, which easily generates the banking systemic risk. Based on current banking systemic risk measured by Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis (SCCA) model and a stepwise regression, we verify the impacts of China’s Internet Finance on the banking industry and predict that the risk will rise in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:267-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helga Kristjánsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Helga Author-X-Name-Last: Kristjánsdóttir Author-Name: Þórhallur Örn Guðlaugsson Author-X-Name-First: Þórhallur Örn Author-X-Name-Last: Guðlaugsson Author-Name: Svala Guðmundsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Svala Author-X-Name-Last: Guðmundsdóttir Author-Name: Gylfi Dalmann Aðalsteinsson Author-X-Name-First: Gylfi Dalmann Author-X-Name-Last: Aðalsteinsson Title: Cultural and geographical distance: effects on UK exports Abstract: This research focuses on how cultural and geographical distance affect trade. The question is whether UK exports are similarly affected by Hofstede national culture distance and geographical distance. OECD data is applied to the United Kingdom’s exports as well as Hofstede cultural distance. The research also accounts for the trading countries’ economic size, as well as their market size, in order to account for economies of scale. Results indicate that exports are more impacted by geographical distance than the cultural distance between the UK and its main trading partners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Fromentin Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Fromentin Author-Name: Yamina Tadjeddine Author-X-Name-First: Yamina Author-X-Name-Last: Tadjeddine Title: Cross-border workers and financial instability: a frequency domain causality analysis applied to the Luxembourg financial centre Abstract: This paper aims to examine the causal relationship between workers (cross-border and resident workers) and financial instability in the Luxembourg financial centre, using a Granger causality test in the frequency domain. The evidence shows that cross-border workers are more sensitive to financial shocks than resident workers. In addition to the causal relationship there is a ‘nonlinear’ reaction: one smooth in the short term and a second more structural one in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 280-285 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:280-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aziz N. Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Aziz N. Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Driven underground by (mis)trust? Abstract: Studies have shown that economic and institutional variables are among the causes of underground activities. However, the effect of cultural variables such as trust on informality and, in particular, informal entrepreneurship, have been less explored. Using unique cross-national data, we study the influence of generalized trust on underground entrepreneurship. We find that nations with higher trust are associated with less informal entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 286-290 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:286-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B.P. Yemba Author-X-Name-First: B.P. Author-X-Name-Last: Yemba Author-Name: B. Tang Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: E Kitenge Author-X-Name-First: E Author-X-Name-Last: Kitenge Author-Name: J. Nsumbu Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Nsumbu Title: Divisia monetary aggregate and monetary transmission mechanism in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Abstract: While the majority on the effectiveness of monetary policies focus on either interest or money channels, we analyze the effectiveness of a composite monetary instrument: The Divisia Aggregate Index (DMAI). Dynamic effects of the DMAI on other economic factors is analyzed through the Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive model (FAVAR). The latter address the potential arbitrary selection of variables to incorporate in a standard VAR model, and is built from the ability of factor analysis to summarize a very high number of variables into few factors. The FAVAR is applied to monthly data  over the period 01:1996-12:2017 from the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Our empirical results reveal that the DMAI outperforms other monetary policy instruments that use separately interest or money channels, in boosting output and triggering price stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-297 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:291-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy M. Komarek Author-X-Name-First: Timothy M. Author-X-Name-Last: Komarek Author-Name: Larry Filer Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Filer Title: Waiting after the storm: the effect of flooding on time on the housing market in coastal Virginia Abstract: Flooding is the most common natural disaster experienced by many households and rising sea levels have made recurrent flooding events common in many coastal cities. This study uses a difference-in-differences model to estimate how the residential real estate market responds to significant flooding events. The analysis examines time-on-market for 137,348 residential property sales between 2007 and 2016 in southeast Virginia. This timeframe includes a Nor’easter, referred to as Nor’Ida, and Hurricane Irene. Results differentiate between high-risk (100-year flood plain) and low-risk (500-year flood plain) areas, and show that homes in the high-risk flood zones remain on the market 5–7 days longer. Our results suggest that the housing market cools down at a localized level after a severe weather event. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-301 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:298-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung-Joo Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Sung-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Dynamic panel of count data with initial event and correlated heterogeneity Abstract: Existing literature on the specification of a dynamic panel model for counts raises several potential challenges. These include (a) the issue of a potentially explosive model when the lagged-dependent variable appears in the conventional exponential conditional mean function and (b) appropriate handling of the problem of the initial conditions that drive a dynamic process. This study addresses both issues within the context of a panel count model with Mundlak–Chamberlain type conditionally correlated heterogeneity. This correlated random-effects model is a useful compromise between the standard fixed- and random-effects models; it is then combined with two alternative specifications of the conditional mean function; one allows exponential feedback (EFB), whereas the other allows linear feedback (LFB). Monte Carlo experiments are conducted to check the robustness of these specifications by using the traditional maximum likelihood estimator for the EFB model and a nonlinear least squares estimator for the LFB model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:302-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Che-Hui Lien Author-X-Name-First: Che-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Evaluating real estate development project with Monte Carlo based binomial options pricing model Abstract: This paper proposes three evaluation models for evaluating the value of strategic waiting of real estate development project. In Model 1, the ratio of land cost to total real estate sales in period (t) and period (t + 1) is uncorrelated (random). In Model 2, the ratio is unchanged (constant). Model 3 integrates Models 1 and 2 with the ‘land value persistence factor’. The larger the factor, the more the land cost tends to consider only the previous land price. This study uses the Binomial Option Pricing Model and Monte Carlo Simulation hybrid method to solve these three models. In addition, this research also proposes a method for estimating the net present value of project expansion on the time axis. The results show that five main factors influencing the expected value of the option value are the real estate price rate of change, present value of total real estate sales, duration, land value persistence factor, and present value of land. Regardless of the land value persistence factor, the longer the time, the expected value of the option value tends to increase. However, when the land value persistence factor is larger, the expected value of the option value increases more. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-324 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:307-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska Author-X-Name-First: Małgorzata Author-X-Name-Last: Iwanicz-Drozdowska Author-Name: Paola Bongini Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Bongini Author-Name: Paweł Smaga Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Smaga Author-Name: Bartosz Witkowski Author-X-Name-First: Bartosz Author-X-Name-Last: Witkowski Title: Foreign-owned banks and foreign trade in CESEE countries – a growth-enhancing duo? Abstract: Based on a sample of 14 Central, Eastern and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries during the period between 1995 and 2015, we analyse how foreign-owned banks and foreign trade impact economic growth. To date, studies have concentrated on the interlinkages between different forms of foreign bank presence (cross-border flows, branches, subsidiaries and syndicated loans) and the scale of foreign trade (imports and exports). Our approach is novel because we analyse the impact of the similarity between the geographical structures of foreign-owned banks and foreign trade on economic growth. We find that this similarity is not conducive to economic growth and reduces the benefits of a country’s openness to trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thyago Celso Cavalcante Nepomuceno Author-X-Name-First: Thyago Celso Cavalcante Author-X-Name-Last: Nepomuceno Author-Name: Cinzia Daraio Author-X-Name-First: Cinzia Author-X-Name-Last: Daraio Author-Name: Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Costa Author-X-Name-First: Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: Combining multi-criteria and directional distances to decompose non-compensatory measures of sustainable banking efficiency Abstract: Non compensatory choices are widespread in the economics, strategic management and decision making. Nevertheless, many assessments of productivity still fail to consider non-compensatory preference structures in the measure of the technical inefficiency. This paper proposes a preference elicitation schema, typical of Multi-criteria decision analysis, for the selection of the directional vector in the assessment of a sustainable productivity. The direction choice is based on the weighted aggregation of concordance indexes for each decision criteria on each individual input, such that it represents an index of relative importance according to the decision maker’s perspective. The methodology can be used to aid resource allocation and saving, identify benchmarks for efficient practices and more generally for planning environmental policies in many services and industrial organizations. We illustrate the method with an environmental efficiency evaluation of Brazilian Federal Saving Bank branches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-334 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:329-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Weiwei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Zihao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zihao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Stock liquidity, agency cost, and dividend payouts Abstract: From an agency theory perspective, we find the increase of stock liquidity will lead to more dividend payouts. There are two potential channels, the ‘outcome hypothesis’ (La Porta et al. 2000) and the ‘creditors substitute hypothesis’ (Brockman and Unlu 2009), through which stock liquidity could increase dividend payouts. We confirm that stock liquidity influences dividend payouts mainly through the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-339 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:335-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ichiro Iwasaki Author-X-Name-First: Ichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Iwasaki Author-Name: Evžen Kočenda Author-X-Name-First: Evžen Author-X-Name-Last: Kočenda Title: Survival of service firms in European emerging economies Abstract: Using a dataset of 126,591 service firms in 17 European emerging economies, this paper aims to estimate firm survivability in the years 2007–2015 and examine its determinants. We found that 31.3%, or 39,557 firms, failed during the observation period. At the same time, however, the failure risk greatly differed among regions, perhaps due to the remarkable gap in the progress of economic and political reforms. Moreover, the results of survival analysis revealed that large shareholding, labor productivity, and firm age played strong roles in preventing business failure beyond differences in regions and sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 340-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:340-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yakun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yakun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kebin Deng Author-X-Name-First: Kebin Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Zhenguo Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhenguo Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The social capital in microfinance issued by commercial banks: evidence from China Abstract: The article explores a confidential group-lending dataset from a Chinese commercial bank based on a policy shock of China’s government; and evidences that social capital determinants, proxied by consanguinity, geographical and business relationship, play significant roles in improving the repayment performance of small group-loan, meanwhile commercial bank can earn favourable benefits. Our results enlighten that commercial financial institutions can alleviate poverty by combining small group-loan with the guarantees of social capital together. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Guangming Hou Author-X-Name-First: Guangming Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Weijia Dong Author-X-Name-First: Weijia Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Modelling movie attendance with seasonality: evidence from China Abstract: High-frequency data improves the timeliness of movie attendance forecasts, but also results in the issue of seasonality. The main objective of this article is to build and test a novel movie attendance model that considers seasonality. Based on the Bass model, we combine an intertemporal demand shift pattern and the binary elements of seasonality – weekends and holidays – and propose a model called DISBM. We chose a sample of 58 movies released in China in 2013 to evaluate our proposal. The empirical results suggest that DISBM has better performance than other seasonal models. We demonstrate that the intertemporal demand shift results in weekend fluctuations, while the extra demand causes the seasonal holiday effect. The intent of this study is to better understand various movie attendance diffusions given different seasonal effects, in order to develop corresponding marketing strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1357 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1351-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: P2P Loans and bank loans, the chicken and the egg, what causes what?: further evidence from a bootstrap panel granger causality test Abstract: This study attempts to re-investigate the causal link between bank loans and Peer-to-Peer (P2P) loans from China using data sets from eight areas (i.e., Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Hubei, Guangdong and Sichuan) over 2014M1-2016M4. We apply a bootstrap panel causality analysis that considers both cross-dependency and heterogeneity across cities. The empirical results indicate a unidirectional Granger causality running from P2P loans to bank loans for Beijing, Shanghai, Zhejiang and Shandong; feedback between P2P loans and bank loads for Jiangsu only and independence for the other three areas (i.e. Hubei, Guangdong and Sichuan). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1358-1362 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279261 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279261 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1358-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Randolph Beard Author-X-Name-First: T. Randolph Author-X-Name-Last: Beard Author-Name: Hyeongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Michael L. Stern Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Is good news for Donald Trump bad news for the Peso? Abstract: We study the relationship between Mr. Trump’s election prospects and the US dollar-peso exchange rate, controlling for other factors that determine overall exchange rates. Increases in Mr. Trump’s probability of winning generate short-run, but statistically significant economically meaningful, disturbances in the US dollar-peso exchange rate. We also provide evidence on Mr. Trump’s effects on Mexican equity markets, premia for Mexican sovereign default risks, exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1368 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1363-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Cyron Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Cyron Author-Name: Guido Schwerdt Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Schwerdt Author-Name: Martina Viarengo Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Viarengo Title: The effect of opposite sex siblings on cognitive and noncognitive skills in early childhood Abstract: We investigate the effect of having opposite sex siblings on cognitive and noncognitive skills of children in the United States at the onset of formal education. Our identification strategy rests on the assumption that, conditional on covariates, the sibling sex composition of the two firstborn children in a family is arguably exogenous. With regard to cognitive skills, learning skills and self-control measured in kindergarten, we find that boys benefit from having a sister, while there is no effect for girls. We also find evidence for the effect fading out as early as first grade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1373 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279263 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1369-1373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerg Gutmann Author-X-Name-First: Jerg Author-X-Name-Last: Gutmann Author-Name: Katharina Pfaff Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaff Author-Name: Stefan Voigt Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Voigt Title: Banking crises and human rights Abstract: We examine the effect of banking crises on a country’s protection of basic human rights. Our results indicate that banking crises have a causal, substantive and robust negative effect on human rights, particularly in nondemocracies. This adds to our understanding of how economic shocks can politically destabilize countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1374-1377 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279264 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1374-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1428-1428 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1281471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1281471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1428-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipa de Mello-Sampayo Author-X-Name-First: Felipa Author-X-Name-Last: de Mello-Sampayo Title: Competing-destinations gravity model applied to trade in intermediate goods Abstract: The competing-destinations formulation of the gravity model ensues from the fact that unlike the classic version, this approach explicitly acknowledges the interdependence of the flows between a set of alternative countries. This article applies the competing-destinations gravity model to the analysis of trade in intermediate goods. The results of the model were then tested empirically with an international input–output data set and using the Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood estimator. The empirical results suggest that the analytical model can explain trade in intermediate goods. Indeed, as predicted, import of intermediate goods is increasing in the importing country’s demand for inputs, in the competitiveness of the exporting country, and decreasing in distance and competition posed by alternative countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1378-1384 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1378-1384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Babak Jahanshahi Author-X-Name-First: Babak Author-X-Name-Last: Jahanshahi Author-Name: Arash Naghavi Author-X-Name-First: Arash Author-X-Name-Last: Naghavi Title: Education reform and education gaps Abstract: We estimate the causal effect of the Italian 2009 “Gelmini” education reform on four academic performance gaps relating to immigration status, gender, parental social status, and parental education. The reform led to a reduction in the number of teachers and an increase in class size. Lags in implementing the reform for different grades is used to specify a difference-in-difference identification strategy. We find that the reform had a statistically and economically significant effect on the immigrant-native gap and on the gender gap, but not on the gap between students with more and less favourable family background. Particularly, our findings show that students with an immigration background were the main losers from the Gelmini reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1385-1388 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1385-1388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michal Skorepa Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Skorepa Author-Name: Lubos Komarek Author-X-Name-First: Lubos Author-X-Name-Last: Komarek Title: Real exchange rates: are they dominated by fundamental factors? Abstract: Using Bayesian model averaging, we determine which fundamental pair-wise differences suggested by the literature on optimum currency areas give the best explanation of medium-term variability of bilateral real exchange rates. The intercept in the best specification is statistically insignificant, implying that for a hypothetical pair of economies for which the differences were zero, the bilateral real exchange rate would not move. Thus, the ‘non-fundamental’ element of the medium-term real exchange rate variability is, in our sample at least, negligible on average. In other words, floating exchange rate does not in itself imply, on average, more real exchange rate variability in the medium term than an exchange rate peg. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1389-1392 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1389-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dina Frutos-Bencze Author-X-Name-First: Dina Author-X-Name-Last: Frutos-Bencze Author-Name: Kanix Bukkavesa Author-X-Name-First: Kanix Author-X-Name-Last: Bukkavesa Author-Name: Nat Kulvanich Author-X-Name-First: Nat Author-X-Name-Last: Kulvanich Title: Impact of FDI and trade on environmental quality in the CAFTA-DR region Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), trade and industrial emissions in member countries of the Central American Free Trade Agreement–Dominican Republic (CAFTA-DR) between 1979 and 2010. Our model is based on extant literature about the Environmental Kuznets’ Curve framework. In this study, we consider sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and carbon dioxide (CO2) as our dependent variables. Our key independent variables are FDI and trade. Our study finds evidence that foreign investment and trade have had a negative impact on our selected emissions. However, our models also estimate turning points which are below the current GDP per capita values for all CAFTA-DR member countries. This is an encouraging trend in terms of the potential reduction in emissions in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1398 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1393-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Scelles Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Scelles Title: Star quality and competitive balance? Television audience demand for English Premier League football reconsidered Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the determinants of television audience for English Premier League (EPL) football matches during the 2013–2014 season (n = 154). The model is adapted from Buraimo and Simmons (2015) who concluded that star quality was an important determinant of television audiences for the EPL over the 2000–2008 period, whereas uncertainty of outcome and championship, Europe and relegation contention were not. Their measures for contention are replaced by indicators based on Scelles et al.’s (2013b, 2016) competitive intensity. Results show a significant positive impact of star quality but also championship and Champions League intensity and no significant impact of Europa League, potential Europa League and relegation intensity. Based on these results, the article suggests that the EPL should encourage both star quality and competitive balance so that all teams can be competitive in terms of the title or qualification for the UEFA Champions League. Given the differences in revenue generation between English teams, the best way to achieve both star quality and competitive balance would be through the introduction of a European Super League. However, this conclusion based on television audience contradicts that of Scelles et al. (2016) based on stadium attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1399-1402 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1399-1402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuanyuan Dang Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Tao Hong Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Zhonggen Mao Author-X-Name-First: Zhonggen Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Title: Duplication or experimentation: how local governors make policies under new administrative circumstances Abstract: This article shows that turnover of local governors increases the similarity of fiscal policies using the data of 320 prefectural-level cities from 2005 to 2012 in China. More generally, local governors duplicate successful experience rather than explore policies accommodating the specificity of their ruling areas when they are faced with new administrative circumstances. The structure and effects of the network resulting from the imitation of policies could be an important research topic in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1403-1407 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1403-1407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Fleta-Asín Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Fleta-Asín Author-Name: Fernando Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Muñoz Title: Determinants of contract duration in outsourced services in the defense sector Abstract: In this article we analyze the contract duration using Transaction Cost Theory with a sample of 283 outsourced services in the Spanish Army during the period 2009–2014.The analysis results show that the greater the specificity of the service, the greater the duration of the contract. In addition, it is obtained that the greater the uncertainty about the behaviour of the provider, the lower the duration of the agreement. These results are consistent with existing literature and empirical works.However, in the case of external uncertainty and incompleteness of the contract, they do not affect the contract duration. This may be because less complex services for shorter terms can be specified better and are less affected by external circumstances. Therefore, the uncertainty should be decomposed and analyzed according to their sources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1408-1411 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1408-1411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaoping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jiyu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: A new unit root test based on -statistic in ESTAR framework Abstract: This article proposes a new F-type unit test in the exponential smooth transition autoregressive framework. We derive the asymptotic nonstandard distribution of the proposed test and explore its finite sample properties; simulation results show our test has greater power than the tkss test proposed by Kapetanios et al.(2003). Finally, an application on the real exchange rates further underpins its superiority. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1412-1416 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1412-1416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: The effect of religious piety on managerial entrenchment: evidence from entrenched boards of directors Abstract: Prior research shows that religious piety is linked to honesty and risk-aversion. Religious piety alleviates the agency conflict by lessening the motivation for managers to exploit shareholders. Because of its role in mitigating the agency conflict, we argue that religious piety influences corporate governance arrangements. We exploit the variation in religious piety across U.S. counties and show that religious piety significantly influences the probability that a firm has an entrenched (staggered) board of directors. In particular, firms located in an area with stronger religious piety are significantly less likely to have a staggered board. This negative effect, however, is significant only when the degree of religiosity is higher than a certain threshold. Further analysis reveals that our results are unlikely confounded by endogeneity. Our results are especially interesting as they demonstrate that non-financial attributes, such as religious piety, has a significant influence on one of the most crucial governance mechanisms, i.e. the board of directors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1422 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1282136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1282136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1417-1422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosella Nicolini Author-X-Name-First: Rosella Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolini Author-Name: José Luis Roig Author-X-Name-First: José Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Roig Title: Gender and culture: do they matter for norms? Abstract: In a natural experiment, we observed that the influence of a norm depended upon the gender and cultural background of participants. Both gender and cultural background contributed to the effect of peer pressure that partly controlled against the act of cheating among participants as they completed a group task. Furthermore, both factors served to describe the characteristics of hardworking individuals in the group. We therefore conclude that the effectiveness of a norm in a group is expected to depend upon the presence of hardworking individuals therein. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1423-1427 Issue: 19 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1423-1427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farai Jena Author-X-Name-First: Farai Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Title: Testing the uncertainty outcome hypothesis using data from second tier soccer in Ireland Abstract: This study estimates a demand relationship for second tier soccer in Ireland to test the uncertainty outcome hypothesis (UOH). Using data from three recent playing seasons, the UOH is found to be upheld. In addition, well-determined effects for fixture quality, recent team performance and travel distance between the competing teams’ stadia are also obtained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1257-1260 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1148252 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1148252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1257-1260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Kwang Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Kwang Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Alex Ogwu Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwu Title: Spillover effects of the 2008 financial crisis on NIE stock markets Abstract: This article estimates dynamic conditional correlations of stock returns across countries by using DCC–GARCH model and analyse spillover effects of the 2008 financial crisis on the NIE’s stock markets. The results show that there is no regime shift in mean equation of the correlation coefficient during the financial crisis. It may imply there are no mean spillover effects of the US financial crisis on the NIE’s stock markets. However, there are volatility spillover effects of the financial crisis sparked in 2008 from the US to the NIE’s markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1264 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1261-1264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Calabuig Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Calabuig Author-Name: Gonzalo Olcina Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Olcina Author-Name: Fabrizio Panebianco Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Panebianco Title: The erosion of personal norms and cognitive dissonance Abstract: In this article, we study how personal norms and behaviour interact and evolve when agents try to reduce cognitive dissonance, and how this dynamic relates to Nash equilibrium. We find that in long run, agents play, and norms prescribe, Nash equilibrium in material payoffs (in the absence of norms). Our model captures two main facts: (i) norms erode along the play of the game; (ii) the erosion of norms depends on the set of possible economic choices, so that the policy maker can potentially influence them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1268 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1265-1268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Author-Name: Bridget K. Behe Author-X-Name-First: Bridget K. Author-X-Name-Last: Behe Author-Name: Charles R. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Patricia T. Huddleston Author-X-Name-First: Patricia T. Author-X-Name-Last: Huddleston Author-Name: Tom Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Title: Tracking position premiums in discrete choice experiments Abstract: Eye-tracking was used to identify potential location ‘premiums’ in discrete choice experiments for certain positions in the computer screen in terms of increasing the visibility, general interest and attention of respondents. The search dynamics to choose the optimal alternative closely resembled the natural process of reading in a ‘Z’ motion going from left to right and top to bottom. An empirical application of water conservation showed that conservation practices in the production process were not statistically different than zero. On the other hand, respondents are interested in water conservation practices in their landscapes where they benefit directly from the sustainable practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1269-1273 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1269-1273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Meierrieks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meierrieks Author-Name: Friedrich Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Title: The short- and long-run relationship between the illicit drug business and terrorism Abstract: We study the effect of the illicit drug business on terrorism for a sample of 58 countries for the 1984–2007 period. Consistent with the notion of a crime-terror nexus, we find that in the long run, higher drug prices are associated with more terrorism. In the short run, however, increases in drug prices lead to less terrorism, potentially because terrorist groups respond to higher drug business attractiveness by prioritizing criminal over terrorist activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1274-1277 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1274-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Juan Carlos Campaña Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Campaña Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: What do you prefer for a relaxing time at home: reading, watching TV or listening to the radio? Abstract: This article studies the determinants of time spent by Spanish consumers on reading, watching TV and listening to the radio. To that end, we estimate a SUR (seemingly unrelated regressions) model with data from the Spanish Time Use Survey for 2009–2010. Our results show that being self-employed has a negative and significant effect on the time dedicated to reading and to watching TV; older individuals spend more time reading, and being male influences the time spent watching TV and listening to the radio, all in a statistically significant and positive way. Additionally, those with a higher level of education spend more time reading, while those with lower levels of education prefer to watch TV. Adults with better health spend less time on both reading and watching TV, and families with larger numbers of children up to age 5 tend to spend less time on all three of our at-home leisure activities. Finally, living in a larger city has a positive effect on the time dedicated to all three options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1278-1284 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1278-1284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoung Tae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyoung Tae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Martin C. Seay Author-X-Name-First: Martin C. Author-X-Name-Last: Seay Author-Name: Hyrum L. Smith Author-X-Name-First: Hyrum L. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: After the great recession : financial sophistication and housing leverage Abstract: US households face various choices in saving for retirement, with one of the most common decisions related to maintaining or paying off a mortgage. Using the 2010 and 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances, this study investigates the relationship between financial sophistication and mortgage decisions among middle-age households. A Heckman two-stage selection model is employed to investigate two separate decisions: mortgage holding and loan-to-value (LTV) ratios among mortgage holders. Results indicate that financial sophistication is positively associated with carrying a mortgage and higher LTV ratios. These results imply that financially sophisticated households may be using leverage to increase asset returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: James T. Peach Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Peach Title: Major League Baseball 2015, What a Difference a Year Makes Abstract: An econometric analysis of the 2015 Major League Baseball season is conducted with respect to regular season victories. Results obtained confirm some, but not all, results reported in prior research. The importance of solid team pitching and offense is underscored. Similar to 2014, team defence did not vary sufficiently to play a statistically significant role in team victory differences. Outcomes for total payrolls and salary disparities differ substantially from prior seasons. History may serve as a guide to what occurs on the field, but it does not always replicate the patterns of bygone years. Parameter heterogeneity is substantial and argues against pooling sample data from season to season. From a strict econometric perspective, the results obtained indicate that panel methods should not be utilized to analyse wins data for Major League Baseball. Ultimately, 2015 represents another departure from the standard baseball norm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1293 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1150945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1150945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1289-1293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan S. Mattson Author-X-Name-First: Ryan S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mattson Author-Name: Victor J. Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Victor J. Author-X-Name-Last: Valcarcel Title: Compression in monetary user costs in the aftermath of the financial crisis: implications for the Divisia M4 monetary aggregate Abstract: Differences in Divisia and simple-sum money arise from appropriate weighing mechanisms in Divisia, which rely on information on the user cost of monetary assets. We show convergence in the growth rate of Divisia M4 and its simple-sum counterpart beginning in early 2009, shortly after the collapse in the Federal Funds rate. This phenomenon results from compression in user costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1294-1300 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1294-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Loveridge Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Loveridge Author-Name: Timothy Komarek Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Komarek Title: Individual discount rates forecast county-level unemployment change Abstract: We use a national survey to estimate individuals’ discount rates for job creation in the community and test whether impatience for jobs is associated county-level unemployment change outcomes in subsequent years. Our results suggest that impatience for jobs is a possible forecast variable for future modelling efforts. To explore whether the impatience effect is general or simply limited to attitudes about local job creation, the same survey asked about discount rates for local amenity development and personal financial windfall. We find that job growth discount rates perform best for forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1304 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1301-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martyna Marczak Author-X-Name-First: Martyna Author-X-Name-Last: Marczak Author-Name: Thomas Beissinger Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Beissinger Title: Bidirectional relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns: new evidence from the wavelet perspective Abstract: We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead–lag relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns that are related to the bubble component of stock prices. The wavelet phase angle allows for decoupling short- and long-run relations and is additionally capable of identifying time-varying comovement patterns. Based on the monthly S&P500 index and two alternative monthly US sentiment indicators, we find that in the short run (until 3 months), sentiment is leading returns whereas for periods above 3 months the opposite can be observed. Moreover, the initially strong positive relationship becomes less pronounced with increasing time horizon, thereby indicating that the over- or undervaluation in the short run is gradually corrected in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1311 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1305-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Burger Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Author-Name: M. Hendriks Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Hendriks Author-Name: E. Pleeging Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Pleeging Author-Name: P. W. van der Zwan Author-X-Name-First: P. W. Author-X-Name-Last: van der Zwan Title: The silver linings of lottery play: motivation and subjective well-being of British lottery participants Abstract: Although certain researchers have attributed widespread lottery play to irrational beliefs that people hold regarding the chances of winning the lottery, another explanation for the popularity of lottery gambling is that lottery players may experience positive emotions before the draw. Therefore, in this study, we examine the relationship between lottery participation and happiness. Using data from the British Gambling Prevalence Survey 2010 and utilizing propensity score matching methods, we find a small positive effect of lottery participation on happiness for individuals who engage in lottery play for recreational purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1312-1316 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1312-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Dang Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: L. Houanti Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Houanti Author-Name: A. Bonnand Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnand Title: Exploring the effect of diversification strategy on R&D intensity using quantile regression: evidence from France Abstract: This study examines the relationship between firm diversification strategy and R&D intensity for a sample of large French companies between 2008 and 2012. Applying quantile regression, we provide evidence that the choice of diversification affects R&D intensity in a differentiated way. The results indicate that a low level of diversification (below the twentieth quantile) has no significant impact on R&D intensity. Conversely, a moderate or high level of diversification has a negative and significant impact on R&D intensity. These findings suggest that R&D intensity seems to be significantly higher in related-business firms than in unrelated-business firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1317-1320 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1317-1320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sander van Veldhuizen Author-X-Name-First: Sander van Author-X-Name-Last: Veldhuizen Author-Name: Benedikt Vogt Author-X-Name-First: Benedikt Author-X-Name-Last: Vogt Author-Name: Bart Voogt Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Voogt Title: Internet searches and transactions on the Dutch housing market Abstract: We use Google searches of the word ‘mortgage’ to explain monthly housing transactions in the Netherlands in the period from 2004 until 2015. Our estimates indicate that Google searches of the previous months are significantly positively associated with housing transactions in the current month. This shows evidence that Internet search data can provide information about real market behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1321-1324 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1153785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1153785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1321-1324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santosh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Santosh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: The effect of birth order on schooling in India Abstract: Using large nationally representative data, I estimate the effect of birth order on educational outcomes of children in India. To establish causality, endogeneity of family size is addressed by approaching an instrumental variable method. Employing a district fixed effects model and proportion of boys in the family as the instrument for number of children, I show that later-born children attain higher education compared to earlier-born children. Results are robust to inclusion of child, parents and household characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1325-1328 Issue: 18 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1156225 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1156225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:18:p:1325-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Lodefalk Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Lodefalk Author-Name: Aili Tang Author-X-Name-First: Aili Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The impact of hiring top workers on productivity: what is the role of absorptive capacity? Abstract: We examine the heterogeneous productivity impacts of hiring top workers on small and medium-sized enterprises, exploiting matched employer–employee panel data and employing within-firm as well as matching and difference-in-difference estimators. The results provide robust evidence that the productivity impact is stronger for firms with higher absorptive capacity. Technological laggards within an industry benefit more strongly from hiring top workers if their workforce is more well-educated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1402-1406 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1402-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Crawford Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Crawford Author-Name: Paul Lajbcygier Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Lajbcygier Author-Name: Pushkar Maitra Author-X-Name-First: Pushkar Author-X-Name-Last: Maitra Title: Financial education via television comedy Abstract: We show that television may be able to deliver rudimentary financial literacy in a cost-effective manner. In a controlled experiment, Cambodian garment factory workers were randomly assigned to one of three treatments: no video (baseline), slideshow and comedy TV show. After the intervention, to examine whether individuals were able to internalize the information that was provided, participants were asked to answer a set of questions on financial knowledge and attitudes. Our results show that participants randomly assigned to the comedy show are significantly more likely to report that they are interested in obtaining more information on savings accounts and are also significantly more likely to open a savings account in the next 6 months. This method of delivery may prove effective particularly for the disadvantaged sections of the population in remote regions of Cambodia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1407-1410 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1407-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simone Angioloni Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Angioloni Author-Name: Ziping Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ziping Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Erin Sherry Author-X-Name-First: Erin Author-X-Name-Last: Sherry Title: Welfare distribution of collective in-kind transfers in education: an application to the extended schools programme Abstract: In this study, we employ the distributional characteristics approach to analyse the welfare distribution of the Extended Schools Programme, a social programme that fights inequality in Northern Ireland’s public schools. Our main result is that increasing funding to schools as their size increases penalizes the most deprived students. This is because the school size, although related to the educational supply, does not reflect the distribution of deprivation within schools. Thus, although in the Northern Irish context the largest welfare gains are possible if funds are redistributed among middle-size schools, our general result indicates an excessive support of small-size schools at the expenses of large-size schools. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1415 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1411-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Min Pan Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Neutral agents and social tolerance: a dynamic perspective based on economic interaction model with local social cost functions Abstract: The influence of neutral agents on the evolutionary dynamics of social tolerance is discussed based on a recently proposed economic interaction model with local social cost functions. We show that the dynamical structure of social tolerance is completely changed even if a few neutral agents are introduced into the society. Especially, the full intolerance steady state, which is stable in previous works, becomes unstable and avoidable due to the economic incentive introduced by the neutral agents. The necessary condition of achieving full tolerance is also reduced compared to previous works without neutral agents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1416-1420 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1416-1420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Blomkvist Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Blomkvist Author-Name: Karl Felixson Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Felixson Title: Credit supply, post-acquisition performance and financial constraints Abstract: We study the effect of credit supply on the acquisition behaviour of financially constrained (FC) and financially unconstrained (UC) firms. FC firms are likely to conduct acquisitions when credit supply is greater while UC firms can conduct acquisitions whenever a good opportunity arises. We argue that the flexibility unconstrained firms have is valuable. Our empirical results indicate that UC firms outperform FC firms up to 36 months after the acquisition. We also find that increased credit supply increases the probability of conducting mergers and acquisitions (M&As) for FC firms while it has less impact on M&A behaviour of UC firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1425 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1422598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1422598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1421-1425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kamila Cygan-Rehm Author-X-Name-First: Kamila Author-X-Name-Last: Cygan-Rehm Title: Estimating the effect of early-childhood citizenship on education using policy changes as instruments Abstract: This article investigates the effect of early-childhood citizenship status on secondary school education of immigrant offspring. Given the potential endogeneity of naturalization decision, I instrument for citizenship by using a German reform that introduced exogenous variation in the age of naturalization. The reform provides powerful instruments, significantly raising the likelihood of possessing a German passport in childhood. I find that citizenship status increases the probability of attending the highest school track, which gives access to academic education. The effects are of a similar magnitude for boys and girls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1426-1431 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1426-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štěpán Jurajda Author-X-Name-First: Štěpán Author-X-Name-Last: Jurajda Author-Name: Radek Janhuba Author-X-Name-First: Radek Author-X-Name-Last: Janhuba Title: Gender in banking and mortgage behavior Abstract: Compared to men, women, even financial professionals, exhibit higher risk aversion. We exploit random assignment of clients to banking advisors (‘private bankers’) in a large Czech bank to study the effects of advisor gender on the probability of mortgage issuance and on the probability that a newly issued mortgage is insured, which we interpret as corresponding to risk averse mortgage behaviour. Male advisors do not substantially affect the chances that their clients will take a new mortgage. However, the mortgages that they issue are dramatically less likely to be insured, particularly so for female clients who never had an insured loan with the bank. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1432-1435 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1432-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Salland Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Salland Title: Income comparison, gender roles and life satisfaction Abstract: This article uses data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to analyse the effect of within household income comparison on individual life satisfaction. Our within couple and individual fixed-effects panel estimates suggest that gender roles influence subjective well-being (SWB). A primary breadwinner wife decreases a couple’s individual happiness by eight per cent. The article adds to the findings on interdependence of SWB and hints at negative consequences of traditional gender identity norms for individual happiness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1436-1439 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1436-1439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Li Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zefang Liao Author-X-Name-First: Zefang Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Lijian Sun Author-X-Name-First: Lijian Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Evolution of FDI flows in the global network: 2003–2012 Abstract: As one type of international capital flow, FDI maintains its important role in globalization. This article attempts to investigate the evolution of the FDI flows from a network perspective. Based on the bilateral FDI flows data between countries from 2003 to 2012, we construct the global FDI flows network for each year and thus quantify network measures (such as flow volumes and connections); further by analysing the tendency and changes of these network measures during the past 10 years, we delineate the features and dynamics of the FDI flows in the global network. We have the following findings: (a) the flows network changes during and after the crisis, i.e. flow volume fallen down and recovered, and flow connection restructured with more diversity; (b) the global FDI flows network is getting more loosely connected; (c) individual countries vary in different patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1440-1446 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1440-1446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debojyoti Das Author-X-Name-First: Debojyoti Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: M. Kannadhasan Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kannadhasan Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee Author-X-Name-First: Khamis Hamed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Yahyaee Title: Has co-movement dynamics in emerging stock markets changed after global financial crisis? New evidence from wavelet analysis Abstract: In this article, we revisit the issue of contagion, interdependence and changes in correlation structure after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 between developed and emerging markets in a time-frequency domain using a wavelet-based approach for the period spanning over 1 January 1999 to 8 November 2016. We report evidences of: (a) weaker contagion for Latin American emerging markets during GFC, (b) a strong contagion effect for emerging markets in Europe and the Middle East and (c) a fall in long-run co-movements after GFC, which means by investing in emerging markets, the diversification benefits can be derived in the long run. We report evidence of coexistence of contagion and permanent change in correlation structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1447-1453 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1447-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristopher J. Kemper Author-X-Name-First: Kristopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kemper Author-Name: Erik Nesson Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Nesson Author-Name: Kevin Gatzlaff Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Gatzlaff Title: Stock prices and inflation hedged firms Abstract: As the Federal Reserve continues its near-zero rate policy, the threat of inflation remains a concern among both policymakers and businesses. This article uses over 30 years of accounting data and stock returns to examine how publicly traded firms respond to increasing inflation expectations. We first examine whether firms make balance sheet adjustments in response to expected inflation. We then examine whether these activities have a positive effect on stock prices. We find that firms increase inventory, increase capital expenditures and reduce long-term debt when there is an increased expectation of inflation. We then find that firms that increase inventory in this economic regime are rewarded in the market. Markets also reward firms that increase their cash positions and reduce long-term debt possibly suggesting investor flight to safety. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1454-1457 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1454-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Dan Gerlowski Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Gerlowski Title: Welfare to work propensities: administrative record evidence Abstract: The study examines the role of home-to-new-job-hub distance on employment propensity using a unique data set compiled from integrated micro-level administrative records of work-eligible welfare recipients and earnings. Our empirical findings confirm the spatial mismatch hypothesis. Our home-to-new-job-hub distance measure is an innovative weighted measure incorporating both abundance of actual employment opportunities and geographic distance. Other unique contributions of this study include using point-to-point residence and job hub locational information, modelling with community controls and industry-specific analysis. This study also identifies policy implications in advancing employment prospects of inner-city residents receiving government assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1458-1462 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1458-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiu-Hui Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chiu-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Cherng G. Ding Author-X-Name-First: Cherng G. Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Cheng-Ying Wu Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: On the assessment of the performance in earnings management for the banking industry: the case of China’s banks Abstract: Earnings management is popular in the banking industry. Earnings can be manipulated by discretionary loan loss provisions (DLLP). Analysing the trajectories of banks’ DLLP (i.e. their change in DLLP over time) is an effective way to assess the performance in earnings management for the banking industry, but seems not to have been addressed in the earnings management literature. In this study, we analyse the trajectories of DLLP with the yearly data from 2007 through 2012 for four types of banks in China. The results have indicated that state-owned banks, policy banks and city commercial banks seem to manage earnings well. Cautionary notes about bank risks are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1463-1465 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1463-1465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Özlem Sayılır Author-X-Name-First: Özlem Author-X-Name-Last: Sayılır Author-Name: Murat Doğan Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğan Author-Name: Nahifa Said Soud Author-X-Name-First: Nahifa Said Author-X-Name-Last: Soud Title: Financial development and governance relationships Abstract: In any country, financial development has a huge influence on country’s economic developments. Financial development strengthens financial stability of countries and enhances deep and broad access to capital and financial services by improving efficiency of financial markets and effectiveness of financial intermediation. The purpose of this study is to identify the relationships between various aspects (pillars) of financial development and dimensions of governance for countries listed in the Financial Development Index of the World Economic Forum. The Index provides a score for the breadth, depth and efficiency of 62 of the world’s leading financial markets. The study utilized the data from the World Economic Forum presented in the financial development report (2012) and attempted to model the relationships between various pillars of financial development and dimensions of governance by structural equation modelling (SEM) methodology. The study used the Worldwide Governance Indicators for year 2012 of the World Bank as the measure of governance. According to the SEM results, there seems to be a significant positive relationship between governance and financial development. Thus, as governance is enhanced, we may expect financial development to strengthen as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1466-1470 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1466-1470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Title: Who benefits most from property assessment taxes? Evidence from Los Angeles County Abstract: Assessment caps on property taxes are often assumed to benefit affluent homeowners the most with little gains for low-income households. Quantile regression results for Los Angeles County show that on average effective property tax rates decrease by $1994 per year due to length of ownership in the 50th percentile because of California’s Proposition 13 assessment cap. There is evidence of both horizontal and vertical inequity across the entire sample. Low-income households do benefit from California’s assessment cap as they are typically infrequent movers but their effective tax rates decrease over time. However, the most affluent households by market value do not gain the most and there is no evidence of horizontal inequity for these homeowners. There is also no evidence of horizontal inequity for middle-income households. Property tax savings vary between $18,000 and $40,000, depending on the assessed value decile and percentage quantile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1474 Issue: 20 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:20:p:1471-1474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esfandiar Jahangard Author-X-Name-First: Esfandiar Author-X-Name-Last: Jahangard Author-Name: Arian Daneshmand Author-X-Name-First: Arian Author-X-Name-Last: Daneshmand Author-Name: Mehdi Tekieh Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Tekieh Title: Oil prices and the real exchange rate in Iran: an ARDL bounds testing approach Abstract: This article examines the impact of oil prices on the real exchange rate in Iran during the 1961–2014 period using the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration as the estimation method. We find that higher oil prices lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. The results reveal that oil prices have both short-run and long-run effects on the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1056 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1251545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1251545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1051-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge M. Agüero Author-X-Name-First: Jorge M. Author-X-Name-Last: Agüero Title: Using partial identification methods to estimate the effect of violence against women on their children’s health outcomes Abstract: A growing literature in economics seeks to estimate the costs of violence against women by examining, for example, its impact on the health outcomes of their children. However, it is difficult to assign a causal interpretation to these nonexperimental studies due to the presence of unobservable characteristics affecting violence and health outcomes simultaneously. The lack of credible instrumental variables applicable in several countries further limits our knowledge. I address this gap by using new partial identification methods to estimate the relative size of the unobservables needed to eliminate the estimated effects in nonexperimental studies. I also expand the external validity of the analysis by using data from five standardized nationally representative household surveys in Latin America. Consistent with previous studies, cross-sectional estimates show large negative associations between violence against women and an array of child health outcomes. However, when accounting for omitted variable bias, at best, two-thirds of the estimates remain robust and they are concentrated on the outcomes with the largest cross-sectional estimated impacts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1057-1060 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1251546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1251546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1057-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Does an economically active population matter in housing prices? Abstract: This article examines the link between the population structure and housing prices. We use a panel of 23 countries from 1976 to 2013 in our empirical analysis. We find statistically significant impacts of the proportion of the economically active population aged 15–64 to the total population on housing-price growth. Our study supports a policy for stable population growth to moderate housing-price growth and economic cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1064 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1251547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1251547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1061-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley T. Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley T. Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Simon Medcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Medcalfe Author-Name: Wennie Squires Author-X-Name-First: Wennie Author-X-Name-Last: Squires Author-Name: Mark A. Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark A. Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Cyclical comovements in energy-related venture capital investments Abstract: This article examines the cyclical comovements of venture capital investments in the energy sector and key macroeconomic variables. In particular, we decompose the cyclical component of two venture capital investment series (clean technology and industrial/energy) and several macroeconomic factors including oil prices. A number of important cyclical relationships are documented such as increases in crude oil prices tend to signal future venture capital investment in both energy-related sectors and these investments tend to move concurrently with movements in the overall economy Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1069 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1251548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1251548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1065-1069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahdi Majbouri Author-X-Name-First: Mahdi Author-X-Name-Last: Majbouri Title: Income mobility and the Arab spring: the case of Egypt and Jordan Abstract: Arab Spring has swept Middle East and North Africa. Although the reasons behind this revolutionary albeit mostly unfruitful social phenomenon is unknown, economic reasons such as income inequality and lack of income mobility have been mentioned. Using an approach that is free of measurement error and attrition biases, this study estimates income mobility in a country that went through Arab Spring, Egypt, and compares that with a similar country that did not experience it, Jordan. The results show that unconditional and conditional income mobility were substantially smaller in Egypt than Jordan. This has implications for the policy-makers not just in the Middle East but the world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1070-1074 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1254332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1254332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1070-1074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Spierdijk Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Spierdijk Author-Name: Michalis Zaouras Author-X-Name-First: Michalis Author-X-Name-Last: Zaouras Title: The Lerner index and revenue maximization Abstract: Based on profit-maximizing behaviour, the usual interpretation of the Lerner index is that a zero value reflects competitive behaviour, while a positive value is associated with market power. We investigate to what extent the usual interpretation of the Lerner index remains valid in a setting where firms do not pursue profit maximization, but instead maximize revenues subject to a minimum-profit constraint. We show that a positive Lerner index still indicates market power, but that the magnitude of a positive Lerner index can no longer be used to determine how much market power there is. Furthermore, extra information would be required to draw conclusions about the presence or absence of market power when the Lerner index is zero or negative. We discuss the empirical implications of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1079 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1254333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1254333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1075-1079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per G. Fredriksson Author-X-Name-First: Per G. Author-X-Name-Last: Fredriksson Author-Name: Alexandre Sauquet Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Sauquet Title: Does legal system matter for directed technical change? Evidence from the auto industry Abstract: Does the effect of fuel taxes on clean innovations (e.g. hybrid technology) depend on the legal system’s rigidity? Using 1986–2005 data from more than 1900 firms, evidence suggests that auto-industry firms located in civil law (with more rigid laws) countries increase clean technology patenting more than common law (with more flexible laws) firms when the tax-inclusive fuel price rises. A rigid legal system appears to raise clean technology innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1080-1083 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1254334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1254334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1080-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Coupe Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Coupe Title: The impact of terrorism on expectations, trust and happiness – the case of the November 13 attacks in Paris, France Abstract: I use quasi-experimental evidence to measure the impact of the 13 November 2015 attacks in Paris, France, on various channels through which terrorism can affect the economy. The evidence suggests the attacks reduced optimism and increased trust in the national government but did not affect current life satisfaction nor political orientation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1084-1087 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1254335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1254335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1084-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piotr Białowolski Author-X-Name-First: Piotr Author-X-Name-Last: Białowolski Title: Forecasting household debt with latent transition modelling Abstract: Latent transition modelling (LTM) was used to forecast household debt patterns. A model based on three waves (2011, 2013 and 2015) and over 36,000 responses from the biennial panel study of Polish households – Social Diagnosis – provided data for these forecasts. Based on the fact that transitions between latent states are shaped by previous latent states and socio-economic covariates – age of household head, income and number of household members – we were able to demonstrate LTM as a tool to generate aggregate predictions for both medium- and long-term evolution of the household credit market. The declining tendency for household credit participation rates in Poland is expected in the longer term. In particular, the trend should be supported by decline in the proportion of mortgage debtors. The groups of households indebted for the consumption of durables and those seeking credit outside the banking sector are the groups predicted to remain stable or increase in size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1088-1092 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1257099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1257099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1088-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Author-Name: Gesine Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Gesine Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Author-Name: Matthias Dütsch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Dütsch Author-Name: Olaf Struck Author-X-Name-First: Olaf Author-X-Name-Last: Struck Title: Do workers perceive high wage settlements of craft unions as fair? Abstract: In recent years, Germany has experienced an increasing impact of craft unions that negotiate high wage increases for the occupations they represent. This article analyses under which conditions workers perceive such over-proportional wage increases for occupational groups represented by craft unions as (rather) fair. We use a vignette approach, asking respondents for their fairness perceptions of several hypothetical scenarios. The results show that perceptions depend on the burdens of the occupational group, the size of the wage increase, information policies and potential consequences for other groups. These findings are in line with social and organizational justice theories about equity and informational justice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1096 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1257207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1257207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1093-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zameelah Rifkha Khan Jaffur Author-X-Name-First: Zameelah Rifkha Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Jaffur Author-Name: Noor-Ul-Hacq Sookia Author-X-Name-First: Noor-Ul-Hacq Author-X-Name-Last: Sookia Author-Name: Preethee Nunkoo Gonpot Author-X-Name-First: Preethee Author-X-Name-Last: Nunkoo Gonpot Author-Name: Boopendra Seetanah Author-X-Name-First: Boopendra Author-X-Name-Last: Seetanah Title: Out-of-sample forecasting of the Canadian unemployment rates using univariate models Abstract: This article investigates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of some linear and nonlinear univariate time series models on the monthly seasonally adjusted Canadian unemployment rates during the 1980–2013 period. The findings reveal that nonlinear time series models better capture the asymmetry present in the unemployment rate series at short and long forecast horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1101 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1257208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1257208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1097-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumitaka Furuoka Author-X-Name-First: Fumitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Furuoka Title: A new test for analysing hysteresis in European unemployment Abstract: This article proposes a new unit root test to analyse unemployment hysteresis. The test is able to incorporate cross-sectional dependence, unattended nonlinearity and unknown structural breaks in the time-series data. This study used data on unemployment in five European countries. The findings indicated that conventional unit root tests failed to reject the null hypothesis of hysteresis for all countries. However, the newly proposed unit root test was able to reject the null hypothesis for the Spanish unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1102-1106 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1257209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1257209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1102-1106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Václav Korbel Author-X-Name-First: Václav Author-X-Name-Last: Korbel Title: Do we lie in groups? An experimental evidence Abstract: We study whether there is a difference between individual and group unethical behaviour in an experimental study among adolescents. We find that on average, groups cheat more than individuals, but there are important differences across age. Younger groups cheat more than younger individuals but there is no difference between older individuals and groups. The way in which groups are formed and friendship ties among group members do not seem to matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1111 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1107-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yapo Genevier N’guessan Author-X-Name-First: Yapo Genevier Author-X-Name-Last: N’guessan Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Author-Name: Oluwarotimi Odeh Author-X-Name-First: Oluwarotimi Author-X-Name-Last: Odeh Author-Name: Sreedhar Upendram Author-X-Name-First: Sreedhar Author-X-Name-Last: Upendram Title: Choice of the empirical definition of zero in the translog multiproduct cost functional form Abstract: The translog cost function is valuable to researchers for empirical analysis in themodelling of indirect cost and profit functions. A flaw of the functional form is in themodelling of zero output values. This study examined the impacts of empirical definition of zero output values on price elasticities, economies of scope and scale, using the translog cost function. Estimation of a system of cost and factor share equations with regularity condition imposed was conducted. Results show that the choice of default values affects policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1112-1120 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1112-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Bursian Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Bursian Title: Solving RE models with discontinuous policy rules – an application to minimum wage setting in Germany Abstract: The legal regulations require the minimum wage in Germany to be adjusted biennially which gives rise to a policy discontinuity. From the perspective of rational expectations models, such policy features render standard local approximation techniques infeasible. The article presents a stylized model in which negotiated wages and corporate profits are the outcome of an optimization problem, while changes to the minimum wage are modelled by a discontinuous policy rule. Using the simple example of minimum wage setting in Germany, the article illustrates how such models can be solved using the method of undetermined coefficients and presents selected simulation results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1126 Issue: 15 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1121-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brahim Gaies Author-X-Name-First: Brahim Author-X-Name-Last: Gaies Author-Name: Stéphane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Title: FDI, banking crises and growth: direct and spill over effects Abstract: This study suggests a new decomposition of the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the long-term growth of developing countries. It reveals that FDI not only has a direct positive effect on growth, but also increases it by reducing the recessionary effect resulting from a banking crisis. However, these advantages are conditioned by the FDI threshold, which in turn depends on the ‘absorption capacity’ of the host country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1655-1658 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1655-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zafar Nazarov Author-X-Name-First: Zafar Author-X-Name-Last: Nazarov Title: Maternal input choices and child cognitive development: testing for reverse causality Abstract: I assess whether the results of child achievement tests affect maternal employment and the child-care choices of mothers with prekindergarten children. To test this hypothesis, I use a quasi-structural approach to form approximations to the mother’s employment and child-care decision rules and jointly estimate them with the child cognitive development production function and wage equation. Using a sample of single mothers from the NLSY79, I find evidence that maternal employment and child-care decisions are sensitive to past achievement scores. In particular, a mother whose child has taken the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test before entering kindergarten and whose child’s standardized test score is above a certain threshold intends to use childcare more and work more part-time hours immediately after observing the child’s performance on the achievement test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1659-1663 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1659-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Yifei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Monetary shocks to macroeconomic variables in China using time-vary VAR model Abstract: This study is the first attempt to apply TVP-VAR model to analyse the effects of China’s monetary shocks on macroeconomic variables. 3D impulsive response functions indicate that monetary shocks did affect GDP, CPI and exchange rate over 1996Q1-2016Q4 either in short-run or long-run in China. Our study has important policy implications for the Chinese government conducting monetary policy to sustain its economic growth and maintain economic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1664-1669 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1664-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oguzhan Cepni Author-X-Name-First: Oguzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Cepni Author-Name: I. Ethem Guney Author-X-Name-First: I. Ethem Author-X-Name-Last: Guney Title: Nowcasting emerging market’s GDP: the importance of dimension reduction techniques Abstract: A number of recent studies in the macro-finance literature that addresses the link between asset prices and economic fluctuations have focused on the usefulness of various factor models in the context of now-casting using very big dataset. The issue of factor extraction is usually swept under the carpet in the factor model literature, where it seems that all that is needed is a large number of economic and financial variables. We contribute to this literature by analysing whether factor estimation methods matters for the performance of factor-based now-casting models based on selected emerging markets GDP. Ancillary findings based on our GDP now-casting experiments on major emerging market countries underscore the advantage of sparse principal component analysis-based factor estimation approach. These results show that imposing a sparse structure on the whole dataset is generally a useful step towards reducing the forecast errors in the context of GDP now-casting model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1670-1674 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1670-1674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongzhong Fan Author-X-Name-First: Hongzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Shi He Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yum K. Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Yum K. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Title: Foreign direct investment and productivity spillovers: is China different? Abstract: Drawing on a unique dataset from 41 studies on foreign direct investment productivity spillovers in China, our prime objective is to estimate spillover effects accounting for publication bias using meta-regression analysis. Robust to different specifications, we find that the publication bias-corrected horizontal/backward/forward spillover effects are consistently positive and economically significant. Interestingly, our findings show that China gains more horizontal and backward spillover effects than the average world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1675-1682 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1675-1682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bokyung Park Author-X-Name-First: Bokyung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Jungsoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Jungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Joon Chae Author-X-Name-First: Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Chae Title: Non-interest income and bank performance during the financial crisis Abstract: This article investigates how the non-interest income influences risk and return of U.S. bank holding companies during the financial crisis of 2007–2009, based on the bank-level panel data. Our analysis shows that the non-interest incomes have a positive impact on bank risk and return during the crisis period. Furthermore, non-interest incomes related to nontraditional activities such as trading and investment banking activities have an insignificant impact on bank risk and returns. This study suggests that non-interest income is not the source of bank instability and low returns during the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1683-1688 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1683-1688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: Holding period returns from NASDAQ traded ADRs Abstract: This study examines the initial three-year holding period returns of the 202 ADRs listed from 1990 through 2015 and traded on the NASDAQ relative to the corresponding holding period returns(HPRs) of the NASDAQ Index. The average ADR holding period returns and excess returns exhibit skewed results. The average ADR 3-year holding period return was 47.7 percent while the average excess holding-period return was 13.2 percent. The median ADR lost 34.1 percent and the median ADR excess HPR was −31.2 percent relative to the NASDAQ. European listings outperformed those from other regions. In particular, ADRs from firms headquartered in the UK and Ireland were the best performers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1689-1693 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1689-1693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taniya Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Taniya Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Prashant Mehul Parab Author-X-Name-First: Prashant Mehul Author-X-Name-Last: Parab Title: Testing the Friedman–Schwartz hypothesis using time-varying correlation analysis Abstract: This study analyses the time-varying correlation of money and output using the DCC GARCH model for the Euro, India, Poland, the UK and the US. Apart from simple sum money, this model uses Divisia monetary aggregate, which is theoretically shown as the actual measure of monetary services. The inclusion of Divisia money affirms the Friedman–Schwartz hypothesis that money is procyclical. The procyclical nature of association was not robustly observed in recent data when a simple sum money was used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1694-1699 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1694-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan de Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: de Lucio Author-Name: Raúl Mínguez Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Mínguez Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: Does a crisis increase the number of regular exporters? Abstract: The severe reduction in domestic demand between 2008 and 2013 in Spain led many firms to start exporting. We explore whether the increase in the new crisis-induced exporters led to a larger number of regular exporters once domestic demand returned to pre-crisis levels. Using an instrumental variable approach, we find that a 10% increase in new exporters led to a 9% increase in the number of new regular exporters. Since the economic crisis was not anticipated in Spain, our results establish a causal link between a fall in domestic demand and the emergence of new regular exporters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1700-1704 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1591595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1591595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1700-1704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianfeng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jianfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Wencong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wencong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Forex swap premiums, shock response and covered profits: an ARDL–EGARCH model analysis Abstract: This article develops an autoregressive distributed lag-exponential GARCH (ARDL–EGARCH) model to explore the formation mechanism of covered profits from the perspectives of forex swap premiums and shock response, considering eight arbitrage strategies on four currency pairs as a case study. Two important conclusions emerge: first, the stronger the currency, the more the opportunity for lucrative unidirectional arbitrage; second, covered profits result from profit memory, the dynamic adjustment of market expectation from forex swap premiums and the asymmetric volatility clustering of shock response. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1705-1708 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1592102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1592102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1705-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: US Presidential election effects on Mexican ADRs: a two-year analysis Abstract: Examinations of the impact of Brexit on UK ADRs show the ADR and Great British Pound (GBP) values decreased immediately after the vote results were known. Within a year, the ADRs recovered but the GBP did not. This study examines the one- and two-year changes in Mexican ADR and Peso values following the 2016 US Presidential election vote to determine whether a similar reaction and overreaction resulted. Because of the President’s campaign platform, including the renegotiation of trade agreements like NAFTA, uncertainty about profitability of firms headquartered in Mexico increased. Within two months of the vote, Mexican ADRs lost about 7 percent of their value (mostly due to the depreciation of the Peso). The ADRs underperformed the Peso by 3 percent after 1 year and 10 percent after 2 years. However, the ADRs underperformed the S&P 500 by 19 percent after 1 year and 41 percent after 2 years indicating the initial reaction was not overreaction based on the sustained losses years later (unlike the Brexit results on UK ADRs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1712 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1709-1712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaqin Su Author-X-Name-First: Yaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Cynthia Bansak Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Bansak Author-Name: Cheng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The inter-generational value of a green card: evidence from the CSPA of 1992 Abstract: We examine the impact of the Chinese Student Protection Act (CSPA) of 1992 on the children of those who likely received Green Cards under the US legislation. Using a differences-in-differences methodology with the American Community Survey from 2001–2017, we find that having immediate access to a Green Card for mainland Chinese mothers had a positive impact on their children, while mainland Chinese fathers’ Green Card eligibility does not affect children’s outcomes. Our findings highlight the importance of mother’s employment and earnings on children’s human capital development. It appears that the CSPA has served to enhance the human capital outcomes of second-generation Chinese immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1713-1717 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1713-1717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gustavo Gonzaga Author-X-Name-First: Gustavo Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzaga Author-Name: Tomás Guanziroli Author-X-Name-First: Tomás Author-X-Name-Last: Guanziroli Title: Returns to experience across tasks: evidence from Brazil Abstract: Using a rich Brazilian panel dataset and an occupation-task mapping, we investigate whether returns to experience depend on the types of jobs performed by workers. We find that returns to experience in non-routine tasks, especially returns to analytical tasks, are much larger than returns to routine tasks. This gap increases with schooling, suggesting that schooling and non-routine tasks are complementary in the human capital production function. These are important findings for developing countries similar to Brazil, where approximately 70% of workers’ tasks are routine. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1718-1723 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1718-1723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seongeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seongeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Price dispersion with multi-product firms and vertical differentiation Abstract: Empirical evidence from the gasoline market suggests that prices and markups for regular gasoline are higher in stations offering both premium and regular compared to stations without premium. Also, the difference is larger in affluent areas. This implies that consumers pay higher prices for the same low-quality product when they visit stores offering both high- and low-quality products in areas that are populated with more high-income consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1724-1728 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1724-1728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meishan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Meishan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Jingrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Krishna P. Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna P. Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Yunsheng Mi Author-X-Name-First: Yunsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Title: Factors affecting agricultural land transfer-out in China: a semiparametric instrumental variable model Abstract: This paper uses a semiparametric instrumental variable model to study the determinants of agricultural land transfer-out, using face-to-face survey data collected in 2014 from 2,677 farmers in nine provinces of China. Results show that variables, such as the number of parcels of land, the collective’s total land transfer-out, and the availability of a transportation network, have significant linear positive effects on households’ farmland transfer-out. Having family members with a lower educational level affect land transfer-out negatively. Landholding size and land idling have an inverted-U and L shaped impact, respectively, on land transfer-out. Results also indicate that agricultural income ratio has an overall negative influence on land transfer out. Land transfer-out has the potential to provide opportunities to earn additional income from the land, increase land productivity, and reduce poverty in rural China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1729-1733 Issue: 20 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:20:p:1729-1733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Distance-sensitivity of German exports: first evidence from firm-product level data Abstract: This article uses a tailor-made new data set of 7 580 251 observations for German exports at the firm-product-destination level to estimate a gravity equation and to investigate the link between the amount of firms’ exports and the distance to destination countries. It is shown that, in line with stylized facts based on aggregate data, the quantity of exports declines significantly with distance within a firm for a given product. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 140-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:140-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariana Spatareanu Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Spatareanu Author-Name: Vlad Manole Author-X-Name-First: Vlad Author-X-Name-Last: Manole Author-Name: Ali Kabiri Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kabiri Title: Bank distress and firms’ investment during the Great Recession - evidence from Ireland Abstract: This article investigates the impact of bank distress on firms’ performance using unique data during the Great Recession for Ireland. The results show that bank distress, measured as banks’ credit default swap spreads (CDS), has negatively and statistically significantly affected firms’ investment expenditures. Interestingly, firms with access to alternative sources of external finance are not impacted by bank distress. The results are robust to accounting for external finance dependence, demand and trade sensitivities, which affect firm performance and the demand for credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1170928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1170928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Se-Youn Jung Author-X-Name-First: Se-Youn Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Kun Soo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kun Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Vertically integrated producer when a rival is also a customer: impact of demand uncertainty Abstract: When a vertically integrated producer (VIP) is also a supplier of a component for its rival firm, it was found that the profit in a decentralized structure is higher for the VIP than the profit in a centralized structure under deterministic demand. In contrast, we found that firms’ ordering decisions under uncertain demand can reverse this findings and it is more likely to happen as demand variability increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:148-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Author-Name: Wolf Heinrich Reuter Author-X-Name-First: Wolf Heinrich Author-X-Name-Last: Reuter Title: Determinants of fiscal rules Abstract: This article empirically assesses determinants of countries’ fiscal rules suggested by the political science, sociology and economics literature. We find several of these variables to be related to the stringency of fiscal rules, providing indirect evidence for the relevance of governments’ deficit bias. These determinants may also serve as instruments in models with (endogenous) fiscal rules as explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 154-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:154-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phuong Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Charles Harvie Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Harvie Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Title: Testing for differences in technical efficiency among groups within an industry Abstract: This study generalizes the test performed by Simar and Zelenyuk (2007) to examine differences in the technical efficiency among $$L$$L groups within an industry (where $$L \ge 2$$L≥2 ). For this purpose, the $$L$$L groups are divided into pairs and each group is compared with all other $$L - 1$$L−1 groups. The $$L - 1$$L−1 groups can then be classified into three cohorts: those performing better, equally and worse, relative to the benchmark group. For illustration purposes, annual data for Vietnamese banks covering the period 2005‒2012 is used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Artz Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Artz Title: Gender and entrepreneurial success: evidence from survey data Abstract: A wealth of studies have contributed to the literature on gender differences in entrepreneurial success, but most lack key controls that aid in determining that success. Scale of the entrepreneur’s business is often not accounted for, and no studies to the author’s knowledge approach the gender comparison by specifically utilizing a sample of entrepreneur-only managed businesses. This allows for a direct comparison between individual entrepreneurs’ performance by gender, without the confounding heterogeneity that workforces may introduce. Data are taken from a national US survey of individuals, and model specifications include a number of important but oftentimes unavailable controls that have never before been used in conjunction. Female and male entrepreneurial success are statistically equal after controlling for risk preferences, intelligence, start-up capital, prior industry experience and hours worked at the business. Alternative specifications and sensitivity checks confirm and expand on these results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Blazquez-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Blazquez-Fernández Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Author-Name: Marta Pascual-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual-Saez Title: Health expenditure and socio-economic determinants of life expectancy in the OECD Asia/Pacific area countries Abstract: Recent economic research is focused on the study of the relationship between socio-economic factors and health outcomes. In this study, the relationship in the OECD Asia/Pacific area countries regarding life expectancy is explored. Data from the World Bank and OECD Health Statistics (2015) have been used to build a panel data during the period 1995–2013. On the one hand, it was found that per capita income, unemployment and exchange rates improve health outcomes. On the other hand, poor performance, in terms of government expenditures for the countries-sample, comes across. Empirical results highlight the importance of cost-effectiveness analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:167-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Streicher Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Streicher Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Is it the economy, stupid? The role of social versus economic factors in people’s support for hosting the Olympic Games: evidence from 12 democratic countries Abstract: Public referenda have gained momentum as a democratic tool to legitimize public mega projects such as hosting the Olympic Games. Interest groups in favour of hosting the Olympics therefore try to influence voters through public campaigns that primarily focus on economic benefits. However, recent studies find no or hardly any economic impact of hosting the Olympics, instead providing evidence for a positive social impact. This raises the question whether citizens consider economic or social factors when deciding on hosting the Olympics. Based on representative survey data from 12 countries, our results suggest that economic factors can influence voting behaviour, although the influence of social factors is stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 170-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1173175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1173175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:170-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Citations, journal ranking and multiple authorships: evidence based on the top 300 papers in economics Abstract: Two propositions are examined with reference to the top 300 papers in economics journals in terms of citations as reported by RePec. The results show that while there is significant correlation between the quality of a journal and the number of top papers published in that journal, the correlation is far away from being perfect. Furthermore, citations are not related to the number of authors, which provides evidence against the proposition that multi-authored papers are typically of higher quality than single-authored papers. The results also cast a shadow of doubt on the soundness of the bucket classification of journals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-181 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:175-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingran Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingran Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haibin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Haibin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jun Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jiaren Pang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaren Author-X-Name-Last: Pang Title: Entry regulation and international trade Abstract: We use cross-country, cross-industry data to analyse the relationship between entry regulation and international trade. We find robust evidence that entry regulation discourages exports of industries with low natural barriers to entry. This implies that, in international markets, countries with heavy entry regulation have a comparative disadvantage in industries that are technologically easy to enter. Further analysis shows that the result is partly due to the negative impact of entry regulation on productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 182-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:182-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vuslat Us Author-X-Name-First: Vuslat Author-X-Name-Last: Us Title: A dynamic approach to analysing the effect of the global crisis on nonperforming loans: evidence from the Turkish banking sector Abstract: This article analyses the effect of the global crisis on the determinants of nonperforming loans (NPLs) in the Turkish banking sector by using dynamic panel estimation techniques. Empirical findings suggest that NPLs present persistence, which is more evident after the crisis, while other regressors have also persistent effects in the post-crisis period. Moreover, NPLs are mostly shaped by bank-specific variables before the crisis, whereas, after the crisis, NPLs are also driven by macroeconomic and policy-related variables. In particular, the post-crisis significance of GDP, policy rate and sovereign debt shows that robust economic activity, tight monetary policy and strong fiscal balances restrict NPLs, thereby enhancing financial stability. The significance of inflation in both sub-periods shows that commitment to price stability objective is indispensable for limiting NPLs and promoting financial stability. In the period ahead, the speed and the direction of normalization in global monetary policies may determine the course of financial conditions, which, therefore, have implications regarding NPL dynamics and financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 186-192 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:186-192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Duquette Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Duquette Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Candidate quality and US Senate elections Abstract: We find that candidate quality is a key determinant of US Senate election outcomes. We model the results for the last 10 US Senate election cycles, from 2012 back to 1994, for a total of 345 election contests. For the contests where an incumbent seeks re-election, a quality challenger can significantly diminish the advantage that usually attaches to incumbency. For the open-seat contests, which tend to be more competitive, candidate quality can swing a close election. Governors who seek election to the US Senate receive the largest boost, as indicated by our candidate-quality variables vector. Wave effects and presidential coattail effects are also shown to be contributing factors in certain cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chad D. Cotti Author-X-Name-First: Chad D. Author-X-Name-Last: Cotti Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Laurie A. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Laurie A. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Assessing the impact of different workplace flexibilities on workplace stress in the presence of varying degrees of job control Abstract: We apply probit and propensity score matching to 1667 respondents from the 2008 National Survey of the Changing Workforce to quantify how workers’ self-reported stress levels vary under two different workplace flexibilities and varying degrees of job control. The first workplace flexibility considered is the ability to easily take time off for personal and family matters; the second is the option of a compressed work week. Our findings suggest that the first flexibility correlates with lower stress reports regardless of job control level. The second flexibility, however, correlates with lower stress levels only for workers with low levels of job control. This suggests that a compressed work week does not reduce stress for workers that already have high levels of job control. The more general conclusion is that some flexibilities are substitutes for job control whereas other are not, assuming the larger goal is the reduction of workplace stress and the various maladies exacerbated by stress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 198-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:198-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Ahlfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Ahlfeldt Author-Name: Wolfgang Maennig Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Maennig Author-Name: Tobias Osterheider Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Osterheider Title: Industrial structure and preferences for a common currency – the case of the EURO referendum in Sweden Abstract: Attitudes for a common currency differ from nation to nation, or from region to region. We analyse regionally differing voting results of a referendum held in Sweden in lieu of joining the European Monetary Union. We put a special focus on the role of the industrial mix – being a potential factor influencing heterogeneous transmission – and find a significant, but subordinated, impact on voting behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 202-206 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1176109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1176109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:202-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barrett E. Kirwan Author-X-Name-First: Barrett E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirwan Title: U.S. farm dynamics and the distribution of U.S. agricultural subsidies Abstract: The persistent instability of the agricultural sector is the fundamental premise of most agricultural policy. Yet no research has ever quantified the aggregate dynamics of individual farms in the US. This article is the first to combine the US Census of Agriculture with the Agricultural Resource Management Survey to observe the dynamics of nearly 1.5 million farms. The data reveal substantial variation in farm size expansion and contraction. Most of this variation is unobservable in the sector totals reported by the US Department of Agriculture each year. The distribution of agricultural subsidies suggests that subsidies become more important as farms get smaller and may play a role in slowing farm size contraction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-209 Issue: 3 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:3:p:207-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Roman Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Roman Title: Work and welfare take-up of enlargement migrants in the United Kingdom Abstract: The Brexit decision was affected by the false perception that European Union (EU) enlargement migration, in particular from Romania and Bulgaria (EU2), has been a burden to the UK. The article analyses the debated but largely underresearched EU2 migration to the UK after accession to the EU in 2007 using data of the British Labour Force Survey. The novel findings are that EU2 migrants are found to exhibit quite different characteristics and behaviour than the other European migrants while doing better concerning work, self-employment and welfare take-up. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-344 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1470311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1470311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:341-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amaia Altuzarra Author-X-Name-First: Amaia Author-X-Name-Last: Altuzarra Author-Name: Catalina Gálvez Gálvez Author-X-Name-First: Catalina Author-X-Name-Last: Gálvez Gálvez Author-Name: Ana González Flores Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: González Flores Title: Unemployment and labour force participation in Spain Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the unemployment rate and the labour force participation rate in Spain. Cointegration analysis is performed for aggregate, male and female time-series. Results suggest that there is no a long-run relationship between the two variables for the aggregate and male cases. However, the findings support a long-run relationship between the two variables for the female time-series. Thus, the unemployment invariance hypothesis is supported in the two former cases but not in the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-350 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1470312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1470312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:345-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoungsu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyoungsu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Seok Lim Author-X-Name-First: Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Price discovery and volatility spillover in spot and futures markets: evidences from steel-related commodities in China Abstract: The price discovery and spillover effect are significant indicators in futures markets. This study examines the price discovery and spillover effects using vector error correction model and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic for seven types of steel products in Chinese spot and futures markets. The results show that the price discovery exists in all of steel futures market. It is also confirmed that futures prices in all items are mainly leading spot prices via permanent-transitory and information share. In the results of spillover effects, it is found that wire rod, coking coal, coke and silico-manganese have the effects between spot and futures market. In rebar market, there is the spillover effect from spot to futures. This information about futures prices can help the market participants to make decisions when they predict the spot prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-357 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1478385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1478385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:351-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Vandenberghe Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenberghe Title: Alternatives to polynomial trend-corrected differences-in-differences models Abstract: A common problem with differences-in-differences (DD) estimates is the failure of the parallel-trend assumption. To cope with this, most authors include polynomial (linear, quadratic…) trends among the regressors, and estimate the treatment effect as a once-in-a-time trend shift. In practice, that strategy does not work very well, because inter alia the estimation of the trend uses post-treatment data. An extreme case is when sample covers only one period before treatment and many after. Then the trend’s estimate relies almost completely on post-treatment developments, and absorbs most of the treatment effect. What is needed is a method that i) uses pretreatment observations to capture linear or nonlinear trend differences, and ii) extrapolates these to compute the treatment effect. This article shows how this can be achieved using a fully flexible version of the canonical DD equation. It also contains an illustration using data on a 1994–2000 EU programme that was implemented in the Belgian province of Hainaut. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 358-361 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1478386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1478386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:358-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taisei Kaizoji Author-X-Name-First: Taisei Author-X-Name-Last: Kaizoji Author-Name: Michiko Miyano Author-X-Name-First: Michiko Author-X-Name-Last: Miyano Title: Stock market crash of 2008: an empirical study of the deviation of share prices from company fundamentals Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate quantitatively whether share prices deviated from company fundamentals in the stock market crash of 2008. For this purpose, we use a large database containing the balance sheets and share prices of 7796 worldwide companies for the period 2004–2013. We develop a panel regression model using three financial indicators – dividends per share, cash flow per share and book value per share – as explanatory variables for share price. We then estimate individual company fundamentals for each year by removing the time fixed effects from the two-way fixed effects model, which we identified as the best of the panel regression models.Based on these results, we analyse the market anomaly quantitatively using the divergence rate – the rate of the deviation of share price from a company’s fundamentals. We find that share prices on average were overvalued in the period from 2005 to 2007 and were undervalued significantly in 2008, when the global financial crisis occurred. Share prices were equivalent to the fundamentals on average in the subsequent period. Our empirical results clearly demonstrate that the worldwide stock market fluctuated excessively in the time period before and just after the global financial crisis of 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 362-369 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:362-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derick Kong Author-X-Name-First: Derick Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Cheng-Ping Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Wei Chang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Building growth and value hybrid valuation model with errors-in-variables regression Abstract: Growth value model (GVM) considers stock intrinsic value as the synergy of book value and return on equity (ROE), which contains two parameters, value factor and growth factor. This study addresses the problem of independent variables having measurement errors by utilizing errors-in-variables regression to estimate accurate model parameters. Research findings show the following: (1) The regression curve derived by traditional regression analysis exhibits severe bias. Errors-in-variables regression is capable of correcting the bias. (2) Large-scale firms exhibit lower value factor and higher growth factor, which indicates that large-scale firms possess better profit persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 370-386 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:370-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicoleta Iliescu Author-X-Name-First: Nicoleta Author-X-Name-Last: Iliescu Title: Are imports and remittances cointegrated for the Central and Eastern European countries? Abstract: In this article, we investigate the existence of long-run common trends between imports and remittances in 11 Central and Eastern European countries which are part of the European Union. Using the Engle–Granger two-step procedure, we determine that for all countries in our sample there are no long-run common trends (no cointegration) between imports and remittances. However, the results are mixed when running a Granger causality test. For nine countries, we can establish either a bidirectional or unidirectional Granger causality, indicating that past values of one variable have predictive content on the other variable. In two countries, there is no Granger causality between imports and remittances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-395 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:387-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Hopp Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hopp Author-Name: Alexander Speil Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Speil Title: Estimating the extent of deceitful behaviour using crosswise elicitation models Abstract: Eliciting deceitful behaviour is a daunting task. Respondents oftentimes conceal wrongdoings and refrain from truthfully responding to sensitive questions. In this work, we employ advancements in randomized response techniques to overcome the neglect of respondents to truthfully reveal deceitful behaviour. Our results report that the studied crosswise elicitation model reveals high levels of deceitful behaviour (around 60% admitted deceit by respondents). If respondents can be convincingly assured of their anonymity, the crosswise models (CMs) outperform several variants of elicitation techniques such as direct questioning and item-sum. We also emphasize the use of CMs to generalize findings from laborious experiments to larger populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 396-400 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:396-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Siang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Siang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Yung Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Labour unions and global bank loan market Abstract: This article attempts to collect a data set of labour unions in global 500 biggest banks and investigate whether labour unions of banks influence the designing of bank loan contracts. We use global syndicate loan market to examine this issue. For simplicity, banks with and without labour unions are referred to as ‘unionized banks’ and ‘nonunionized banks’, respectively. We find that unionized banks tend to loosen their lending standard in the bank loan contract: unionized banks are more likely to charge lower loan spread and favourable nonprice terms compared with nonunionized banks. Hence, our results support that unionized banks tend to lend more loans to reduce the negative effect of labour unions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-408 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:401-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason M. Fletcher Author-X-Name-First: Jason M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fletcher Author-Name: Jinho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jinho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Learning hope and optimism: classmate experiences and adolescent development Abstract: This article explores individual and contextual factors related to the development of hopeful attitudes during adolescence using a nationally representative study. A key focus is on the experiences of mistreatment by adults, both for the adolescent and his/her classmates. While all types of individual experiences with mistreatment reduce adolescent hopefulness, mistreatment domains most likely to be visible (i.e. physical abuse) by classmates also reduce adolescent hopefulness. This relationship is robust to the inclusion of more general environmental factors through school-level fixed effects, suggesting both a causal explanation and a typically unmeasured spillover effect of violence against children. Other types of mistreatment, such as neglect and material hardship, do not show spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:409-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Cui Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Yalan Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yalan Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Can social sentiment affect spouse-based immigration? Abstract: This article studies the effect of social sentiment on spouse-based immigration in the US using data on 27 origin countries from 1996 to 2013. We find that the number of immigrant spouses from a foreign country to the US is directly correlated with this country’s popularity among Americans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-417 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:413-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrés Barge-Gil Author-X-Name-First: Andrés Author-X-Name-Last: Barge-Gil Author-Name: Alberto López Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: López Author-Name: Ramón Núñez-Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Ramón Author-X-Name-Last: Núñez-Sánchez Title: Estimation of foreign MNEs spillovers in Spain Abstract: Using Spanish firm-level data, we estimate productivity effects of spillovers from foreign multinationals to domestic firms in both manufacturing and service sectors. We find evidence of a positive productivity effect from multinationals on domestic firms operating in the same industry. Analyzing inter-industry linkages, we find evidence consistent with positive productivity spillovers from forward linkages (i.e. from suppliers to buyers) and negative productivity spillovers from backward linkages (i.e. from buyers to suppliers). Our main results hold when analyzing differences between multinational and domestic firms, and for periods of economic growth and recession, although some differences arise. Interestingly, we find evidence supporting a positive role of spillovers during the last recession period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 418-423 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:418-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil A. Wilmot Author-X-Name-First: Neil A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilmot Author-Name: Kim Nichols Dauner Author-X-Name-First: Kim Nichols Author-X-Name-Last: Dauner Title: A longitudinal examination of social capital as a predictor of depression Abstract: Depression is the world’s most common mental health disorder and its prevalence is higher among women and the poor. This article seeks to examine the effect that social capital has on mental health, in a longitudinal study. We used data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, which has followed a cohort of families born in large US cities to mostly minority, unmarried parents for over 15 years. Two measures of social capital are constructed, an index of social support and trust, and a measure of social participation. Data from four waves (totalling 8 years) of the study are analyzed in a panel logit model. After controlling for socioeconomic and demographic factors, the measure of social support and trust is found to be a significant predictor of depression, and remains so even after controlling for the effect of social participation. Our measure of social participation, based on attendance at religious services, does not appear to be a significant predictor of depression. Intervention and policy initiatives that increase social capital, particularly social support and trust, may be viable for improving depression among low-income urban, minority women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 424-428 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:424-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Does a lower (higher) labour force participation rate imply greater (lower) income tax evasion? An exploratory empirical inquiry for the U.S. Abstract: This exploratory study seeks to add to the income tax evasion literature by investigating a heretofore ignored potential determinant of aggregate federal personal income tax evasion in the U.S., namely, the labour force participation rate. It is hypothesized that the higher (lower) the labour force participation rate, the lower (greater) the degree of tax evasion. The empirical estimation supports this hypothesis, finding that a one unit (one percentage point) increase (decrease) in the labour force participation rate leads to a 9.1% decrease (increase) in income tax evasion. Thus, the declining labour force participation in recent years implies increased tax evasion problems for the U.S. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nishiyama Title: Causality between government spending and income: the case of Saudi Arabia Abstract: The paper investigates the Granger-causal relationship between government spending (G) and income (Y) for Saudi Arabia for which G is the main driver of economic growth. Previous studies investigated two-way causality, from G to Y (Keynesian) and from Y to G (Wagnerian). This paper investigates a new explanation (post-Keynesian) that links Y to G through banks’ loan-making and deposit-creation. The latter is accompanied by an increase in statutory reserves (R). The findings are consistent with the post-Keynesian theory (from Y to R, and to G). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1486970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1486970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:5:p:433-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Kaechele Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Kaechele Author-Name: David J. G. Slusky Author-X-Name-First: David J. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Slusky Title: With and without the tracks: how railroad access impacts gas price elasticity Abstract: Since 2011, gas prices have fallen 43%, raising the question of how different communities adjust their vehicle miles travelled. Data from the National Household Travel Survey’s EPA fuel economy database and the Energy Information Administration database are used to measure consumers’ elasticity to changes in gas prices. We find no significant difference between the price elasticity of individuals in cities with rail access and those without. Furthermore, we are able to rule out an elasticity in those with rail that is greater than 0.61, suggesting that rail access does not make consumer demand elastic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1113-1116 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1397849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1397849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1113-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xuelong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuelong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Will social networks become less important Abstract: This letter finds that the social networks are more important for the high-income class, and less important for the low-income class on income increases. Thus, research on the economic influence of social networks should notice the endogeneity of the social network functions of different classes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1120 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1117-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Yuan Sher Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Sher Author-Name: Yi-Hung Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Can Facebook popularity help albums to remain in the sales charts? Abstract: We empirically investigate the impact of Facebook popularity on the survival of mainstream albums in the sales charts, with our results indicating that running an official Facebook page can improve such survival. Nevertheless, for artists running pages, even in Taiwan, where more than 75% people use Facebook, a blind pursuit of the popularity of all posts will not ensure better survival in the charts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srikant Devaraj Author-X-Name-First: Srikant Author-X-Name-Last: Devaraj Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: An examination of the effects of 2014 concealed weapons law in Illinois on property crimes in Chicago Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of ‘may issue’ Concealed Carry Weapons (CCW) law implemented in early 2014 in Chicago. Based on the daily community-level crime data from January 2006 to December 2015, using zero-inflated negative binomial difference-in-difference specification with Philadelphia as the control group, the property crimes in Chicago declined after the implementation of ‘may issue’ CCW law. The findings are robust to alternate treatment windows and to a placebo test using time windows before implementation of the law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1129 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1125-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Internationalization and performance: the role of state ownership Abstract: This article tests the influence of state ownership on internationalization–performance relationship based on Chinese listed manufacturing firms during 2001–2014. The empirical results show that, on average, the internationalization of Chinese firms is negative with performance and state ownership enhances the negative effects of internationalization on performance. The findings highlight the importance of firm-specific characteristics in the examination of the internationalization–performance relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1130-1134 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1130-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Américo Pereira Antunes Author-X-Name-First: José Américo Pereira Author-X-Name-Last: Antunes Author-Name: Claudio Oliveira De Moraes Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Oliveira Author-X-Name-Last: De Moraes Author-Name: Adriano Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Adriano Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: How financial intermediation impacts on financial stability? Abstract: The great financial crisis widened the role of financial intermediation in financial stability. This study develops a new financial intermediation variable, credit cash flow (CCF), which enables measurement of the net financial flow resulting from loan activity. An analysis provides evidence that CCF affects the capital buffer via credit gap behaviour, thus indicating the existence of a channel between the CCF and the capital buffer. Such a link offers the policy-maker the possibility to monitor the behaviour of financial intermediation carried out by banks, in order to avoid the outbreak of financial instability events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1139 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1135-1139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Anderberg Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Anderberg Author-Name: Claudia Cerrone Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Cerrone Author-Name: Arnaud Chevalier Author-X-Name-First: Arnaud Author-X-Name-Last: Chevalier Title: Soft commitment: a study on demand and compliance Abstract: This article explores the demand for soft, self-imposed commitment, and subsequent compliance behaviour, using a framed field study in a higher education setting. We find a substantial soft commitment demand and a remarkably high failure to comply with the chosen commitment. Students are more likely to demand soft commitment if they expect the task to be more time-consuming and their relative performance to be lower. Failure to comply is associated with previous grade and personality traits. We find no evidence that soft commitment affects grades. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1140-1146 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1400648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1400648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1140-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Author-Name: Nermeen F Shehata Author-X-Name-First: Nermeen F Author-X-Name-Last: Shehata Author-Name: Siva Nathan Author-X-Name-First: Siva Author-X-Name-Last: Nathan Title: Earnings response coefficient in the MENA region Abstract: This article documents the earnings response coefficient (ERC) for nonfinancial firms listed in the Middle East and North Africa region during the period between 2003 and 2013. Our results show significantly positive ERC for our sample firms. The results are robust across different countries and different industries. Our results also show that ERC increases with increasing the measurement interval. It indicates that more information is incorporated in prices as the measurement interval increase. Consequently, we argue that significance of reported earnings is higher for long-term investors in the MENA region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1147-1152 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1403550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1403550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1147-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Raymundo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Campos-Vazquez Title: Returns to cognitive and non-cognitive skills: evidence for Mexico Abstract: This study examines how cognitive and non-cognitive skills are valued in the labour market in Mexico. It uses a novel dataset which includes a wide array of cognitive and non-cognitive skill measures. Non-cognitive skills are rewarded in the market even after controlling for family background and educational attainment. Returns to non-cognitive skills are similar between men and women. However, controlling for educational attainment and family background, only men are rewarded for their cognitive skills. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1403551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1403551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael O’Donnell Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: O’Donnell Author-Name: Robert P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Spatial analysis of municipal water demand: a panel data approach Abstract: While the municipal water demand literature is well developed, one area that is understudied is the impact of spatial effects. After controlling for factors shown to impact demand, this study applies spatial econometric methods via a spatial weights matrix to a panel municipal water consumption data set. While diagnostics suggest the presence of spatial lag and spatial error, thus indicating the potential usefulness of spatial empirical methods, several important pitfalls must be acknowledged. First, the application of spatial weights in a panel setting is computationally intensive, especially when the number of time periods or observations is large, and perhaps necessitates aggregation. Second, because most users in a municipality are likely to be subject to similar utility action, climate, etc., a spatial lag signal may be spurious. Third, because premises served by the utility may enter or exit the data set through time, the requirement of balanced panels requires careful consideration. Fourth, if the option to use premises-level (or similar) data or aggregated data is available, it is typically advisable to use premises-level data despite the possible presence of spatial effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1160 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1403552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1403552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1157-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Bailey Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Coleman Drake Author-X-Name-First: Coleman Author-X-Name-Last: Drake Author-Name: John Wingender Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wingender Title: The value of waivers from the affordable care act Abstract: The Affordable Care Act requires health insurance plans to offer coverage without annual limits. This requirement began to be enforced in September of 2010, but some employers received special waivers that delayed the start of enforcement for them. Using data from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP), we conduct an event study of the stock prices of these companies as their waivers were announced. We find that waivers do not lead to a statistically significant increase in the stock prices of waiver recipients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1165 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1403553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1403553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1161-1165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minke Van Der Heijden Author-X-Name-First: Minke Author-X-Name-Last: Van Der Heijden Author-Name: Roel Beetsma Author-X-Name-First: Roel Author-X-Name-Last: Beetsma Author-Name: Ward Romp Author-X-Name-First: Ward Author-X-Name-Last: Romp Title: ‘Whatever it takes’ and the role of Eurozone news Abstract: This letter shows that the ‘Whatever it takes’ speech by ECB President Draghi on 26 July 2012 and the ensuing installation of the Outright Monetary Transactions’ framework are associated with a reduction in the domestic and cross-border effect of Eurozone news on absolute yield changes in Eurozone sovereign debt. These results are consistent with the popular view that these actions helped to avoid a collapse of the Eurozone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1166-1169 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1403555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1403555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1166-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shik Heo Author-X-Name-First: Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Heo Author-Name: Suyoung Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Suyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Evidence of a glass ceiling for arts and culture professionals in Korea Abstract: Using the five available waves of the Wage Structure Survey data, this study employs quantile decomposition to investigate the existence of a glass ceiling among Korean professionals. The decomposition results for all professional workers show an inverse U-shape, which implies no evidence of a glass ceiling. However, we find a monotonically increasing pattern for arts and culture professionals, indicating strong evidence of a glass ceiling on their labour market. This result implies that, as the wage quantile moves from lower to higher levels, female professionals in arts and culture jobs face significant barriers to career advancement. This analysis supports the recent assertion of UNESCO that gender equality in culture is not immune to inequalities and discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1170-1174 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1406648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1406648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1170-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Young Baek Author-X-Name-First: H. Young Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: Florence Neymotin Author-X-Name-First: Florence Author-X-Name-Last: Neymotin Title: Entrepreneurial overconfidence and firm survival: an analysis using the Kauffman firm survey Abstract: We used the Kauffman Firm Survey of ventures founded in the year 2004 to identify overconfident (OC) entrepreneurs and found, contrary to the existing literature, that the hazard ratio for these entrepreneurs was lower than the corresponding value for their non-OC peers. We categorized an entrepreneur as OC if he or she believed that his or her firm enjoys a competitive advantage over its industry peers, while simultaneously underperforming relative to the industry in terms of average initial ROA. Specifically, we looked at the average ROA during the years 2004–2007 and compared it to the industry median. In addition to our hazard findings, we discovered that these OC entrepreneurs, while starting with lower initial ROA levels relative to their industry peers, may have enjoyed slightly better movement in ROA over the intervening years. Our results are explained in the context of the psychological literature on optimism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1178 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1406649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1406649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1175-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Javier Ordóñez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ordóñez Title: Fiscal consolidation in Europe: has it worked? Abstract: The aim of this article is to shed some light on the issue of fiscal austerity within Europe. We focus specifically on the 2008Q1–2014Q4 period, and on the effect of shocks to government expenditure and taxes on unemployment, controlling for other macro factors. We find that expenditure contractions may be detrimental for employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1182 Issue: 16 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1406650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1406650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:16:p:1179-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Barros Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Alex Luiz Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Alex Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Renato Leite Marcondes Author-X-Name-First: Renato Leite Author-X-Name-Last: Marcondes Author-Name: Ricardo Raoni Werlang Prioste Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Raoni Werlang Author-X-Name-Last: Prioste Title: Coffee exports and industrialization in Brazil Abstract: We investigate the dynamic relationship between coffee exports and machinery imports in Brazil from 1869 to 1939. Our tests reveal cointegration and bidirectional causality in the temporal sense. This evidence suggests that foreign exchange real revenues from coffee exports were important for the onset of industrialization, as machinery imports proxy for real investment demand. Capital growth, in turn, also helped to boost the country’s exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 712-716 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:712-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Cook Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The education–suicide mortality gradient Abstract: Using the fifth release of the National Longitudinal Mortality Survey, I examine the role of educational attainment and self-reported health on 6- and 11-year suicide mortality risk in the United States. I first replicate the original results reported by Hamermesh and Soss. . Then, augmenting the Hamermesh model with initial educational attainment and self-reported health status, I find that years of education significantly raises suicide mortality risk in the US after controlling for initial self-reported health. This result is robust to regression specification, replication and the inclusion of covariates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-721 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:717-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katsufumi Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Katsufumi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Trade integration and regional income disparities in a growth model with the service sector and footloose capital Abstract: This paper proposes a North–South growth model of endogenous industry location which is consistent with recent empirical work showing that regional income disparities have increased in many countries with the process of trade integration. The model incorporates a service sector that benefits from intersectoral knowledge spillovers from the manufacturing sector. We find that, when these spillovers are local, trade integration leads to an increase in interregional real income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 722-725 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:722-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joakim Gullstrand Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Gullstrand Author-Name: Karin Olofsdotter Author-X-Name-First: Karin Author-X-Name-Last: Olofsdotter Title: Trade and the Euro: effects on bystanders Abstract: This article investigates trade effects of the euro focusing on the impact on bystanders. We use data for Swedish firms and examine the impact on exporting firms’ intensive and extensive margins of trade. Our result shows an overall increase in Swedish firms’ exports to the euro area after the introduction of the single currency, indicating that the euro has decreased trade costs also for outsiders. In addition, we find important heterogeneity in the sample, suggesting that it is the large majority of small firms that has increased trade flows with the Eurozone the most. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 726-730 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1489999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1489999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:726-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Matthias Mauch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Mauch Title: Do foreign exchange forecasters apply asymmetric loss functions? Evidence from three major exchange rates Abstract: This article investigates which type of loss function is consistent with the hypothesis that major exchange rate forecasts, i.e. the euro, the British pound, and the Japanese yen vis-à-vis the US dollar, are rational. We apply a comprehensive data set, which also allows us to examine different forecast horizons and heterogeneity of forecasters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1490692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1490692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Baum Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Baum Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Pascal Létourneau Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Létourneau Author-Name: Steven X. Sala Author-X-Name-First: Steven X. Author-X-Name-Last: Sala Title: Is it still economic to build a new coal-fired power plant in the U.S.? A real option analysis Abstract: In the U.S., virtually no new coal-fired power plants have been built in recent years. Both industry experts and academics seem to believe that no rational firm will build a new coal-fired plant. Will such a trend continue in the future? To provide insights into this question, we investigate the optimal decision of an electricity company with an irreversible and deferrable opportunity to build either a new coal-fired or natural gas-fired power plant as its new base-load resource. According to our real option analysis, the optimal decision depends on the location. In the case of the eastern U.S., it is optimal to choose a natural gas plant if a firm is given a choice among a new natural gas plant, a new coal plant and deferring the investment. However, contrary to the common sentiment in the industry and academia, building a new coal plant in the western U.S. is still more economical than building a new natural gas plant in the absence of emission pricing. Furthermore, introducing carbon pricing to western U.S. states, as California did, can substantially increase the probability that a firm will optimally choose a natural gas plant over a coal plant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 736-740 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:736-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James T. Bang Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Arindam Mandal Author-X-Name-First: Arindam Author-X-Name-Last: Mandal Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Does a free media protect labour rights? Abstract: Based on a sample of 47 developing economies considered over the period 1992–2012, we find that a free media reduces the legal protection of labour, taken as a whole. However, the impact differs over various aspects of labour regulation: while media freedom correlates with less stringent regulation of work time, less constraints to dismissal, and lower protection of employee representation rights, it also correlates with greater legal parity of part-time and fixed-term labour with full-time and permanent workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongtao Li Author-X-Name-First: Yongtao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Qi Cui Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Title: The effects of high-speed rail on air passenger transport in China Abstract: This study investigates the effects of high-speed rail (HSR) on China’s air passenger transport from the perspective of airports. The difference-in-differences approach is used with unbalanced panel data of 206 airports over the period from 2006 to 2015. Our estimation results found that the negative effects of HSR on the growth rate of China’s air passengers is both statistically and economically significant. However, these adverse effects are not catastrophic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-749 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:745-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Financial constraints on export market exit of domestic firms versus foreign multinational corporation subsidiaries in South Korea Abstract: Using a Korean manufacturing firm-level data set covering a range of years from 2006 to 2013, this study investigates how the financial condition of firms, such as liquidity, leverage, and cash flow ratio, affects exit from export markets. It also analyses whether the financial status of foreign multinational corporation (MNC) subsidiaries differs from that of domestic firms with respect to the hazard of export market exit, especially during a global financial crisis. The empirical results confirm that, for domestic firms, the hazard of export market exit is affected by the firms’ financial condition only during a financial crisis. In other words, the financial vulnerability of domestic firms increases during the crisis, resulting in the hazard of export market exit. However, financial situations for foreign MNC subsidiaries do not affect exits from export markets, indicating a ‘finance-factor comparative advantage’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 750-754 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:750-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sartaj Rasool Rather Author-X-Name-First: Sartaj Rasool Author-X-Name-Last: Rather Title: Asymmetric impact of relative price shocks in presence of trend inflation Abstract: This study examines whether skewness of cross-sectional distribution of relative price shocks has asymmetric impact on aggregate inflation. The empirical evidence from major economies suggests that the positively skewed shocks have different impact from that of negatively skewed shocks on aggregate inflation. In particular, the empirical results indicate that this asymmetry in the impact of relative price shocks mainly depends on the nature of trend that inflation exhibits for a given period. The crucial inference that emerges from the empirical findings is that the traditional approach of using a simple linear regression model, to examine the relationship between inflation and skewness in presence of trend inflation, is not appropriate as it may lead to misleading conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akinori Tomohara Author-X-Name-First: Akinori Author-X-Name-Last: Tomohara Title: Do migrant and business networks promote international royalty receipts? Evidence from the U.S. Abstract: This study examines how migration and business networks affect the trade in intellectual property using bilateral data on the U.S. and OECD member countries. The analyses are distinct in that they comprehensively examine network effects by combining previous works on tangible trade–migration relationships together with the literature on trade–FDI relationships. We show that intellectual property exports are positively related to the number of immigrants residing in the U.S. and the U.S. direct investment stocks in trading partners. However, they do not have any relationships with U.S. emigrants and FDI inflows to the U.S. The result suggests that network effects vary depending on the direction of cross-border factor movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-764 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:759-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hany Abdel-Latif Author-X-Name-First: Hany Author-X-Name-Last: Abdel-Latif Author-Name: Mahmoud El-Gamal Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: El-Gamal Title: Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity Abstract: We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-769 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:765-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: M. C. Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Sunny Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Hong Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Title: State-level FDI and within-occupation wage inequality in the United States Abstract: Our paper explores the relationship between inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and within-occupation wage inequality at the state level in the U.S. We argue that sectoral FDI may affect different occupations differently, and our study looks at possible heterogeneous effects of sectoral FDI on wage inequality for 22 occupations. Using data over 1999–2007, our results show that state-level manufacturing FDI tends to reduce wage inequality, measured by the ratio of the 90th percentile wage and the 10th percentile wage in an occupation. Manufacturing FDI is significantly associated with less wage inequality in the production occupations and the construction and extraction occupations. In contrast, non-manufacturing FDI is associated with increased within-occupation wage inequality in the arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations, as well as the transportation and material moving occupations. Non-manufacturing FDI is associated with decreased wage inequality in the sales and related occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 770-776 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:770-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minchung Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Minchung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Junsang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Roberto Leon-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Leon-Gonzalez Author-Name: and Yanqing Zhao Author-X-Name-First: and Yanqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Tax incentives and foreign direct investment in China Abstract: The preferential tax policies for foreign direct investment (FDI) in China were terminated by a tax reform in 2008. This article uses the provincial-level panel data for 1998‒2008 before the reform in order to study whether the tax incentive had been a significant determinant of foreign investment decisions. We find that market size and geographic location had significant impacts on the FDI inflow into China but the tax incentive policies were not a sufficient determinant of FDI inflow into China over the periods studied, which provides a rationale for the termination of the tax incentives in FDI at 2008 reform in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1495817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1495817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Author-Name: Lee A. Craig Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Craig Author-Name: Andrew Copland Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Copland Title: Gender and box office performance Abstract: We analyse the box office–movie star relationship since the 1990s. We find that, on average, the contribution of at least one star was large, equalling roughly 10% of a film’s revenues. Also, consistent with the substantial difference in the average compensation between male and female stars, having a male star in a film generated a premium in the neighbourhood of 12%, while female star had no statistical impact on a movie’s performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 9 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1495818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1495818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:9:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerstin Bruckmeier Author-X-Name-First: Kerstin Author-X-Name-Last: Bruckmeier Author-Name: Thomas Rhein Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhein Title: Poverty risk of the unemployed in six European countries: why is it higher in some countries than in others? Abstract: In all European countries unemployed persons face a high risk of relative poverty, but poverty rates vary greatly among EU countries. We analyse to what extent these differences could be explained by a different composition of the unemployed or by differences in the national income distribution functions. Our results indicate that the effects of individual characteristics on the poverty risk are roughly comparable between countries, but the composition of the unemployed is very different, which explains on average half of the cross-country differences in poverty rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1305 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1301-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Fang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Dingming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Dingming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Foreign official purchases of U.S. treasuries and mortgage rates Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of foreign official purchases of U.S. treasuries on mortgage rates from January 1985 to June 2007 using a proxy structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, where shocks to foreign official inflows to treasuries are identified by their correlation with foreign exchange interventions. Although mortgage rates significantly decrease in response to positive shocks to foreign official purchases of U.S. treasuries, these shocks only explain a small fraction of the variation in the U.S. mortgage rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1306-1312 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1306-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junying Ma Author-X-Name-First: Junying Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jinchuan Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jinchuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Deming Luo Author-X-Name-First: Deming Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Yi Che Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Che Title: Effect of trade openness on regional economic growth in China: revisiting the discussion Abstract: Increasing openness contributes to economic growth in developing countries, but the endogeneity problem impedes drawing this conclusion. This paper uses the constructed trade share to circumvent the effects of endogeneity according to a method proposed by Frankel and Romer. The results demonstrate that increasing openness has a positive impact on provinces’ GDP and GDP per capita. In addition, an increase in lagged openness is beneficial for present economic growth, and even openness gained many years ago, which is measured by the number of treaty ports, makes a difference in present economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1316 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1313-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew W. Clance Author-X-Name-First: Matthew W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clance Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Geopolitical risks and recessions in a panel of advanced economies: evidence from over a century of data Abstract: This paper uses a panel of 17 advanced countries over the annual period of 1899–2013, to analyze for the first time, the role played by geopolitical risks in predicting recessions. After controlling for other standard predictors based on a logit model, we find that while aggregate geopolitical risks do not have any predictive ability, geopolitical acts enhance the probability of future recessions, with geopolitical threats reducing the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1317-1321 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1317-1321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Wenzhao Da Author-X-Name-First: Wenzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Da Author-Name: Gregory Francis Martin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Keyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Keyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Regional income mobility in large cities throughout China Abstract: We investigated the regional income mobility in China for the year 1994–2016. Using the data collected from 185 prefecture-level cities, we find evidence that the regional income mobility was increasing over past two decades. By connecting income mobility with inequality index, we could draw a graph indicating an inverse U-shape relation between the two variables. We also provide the regional income mobility of the world for comparison. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1322-1327 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1322-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert C. M. Beyer Author-X-Name-First: Robert C. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Beyer Title: Job autonomy and education-skill matches of immigrant workers in Germany Abstract: This letter examines the determinants of occupational autonomy and education-skill matches of immigrant workers in Germany. Their jobs are characterized by much lower autonomy than those of comparable natives and the immigrant penalty decreases only minimally over time. In contrast to wages, the difference between immigrants from advanced and non-advanced countries is small. But immigrants from advanced countries are much more likely to have a job matching their qualification. The probability of a match does not increase over time for highly educated immigrants, but does for others. Highly educated immigrant women have an additional disadvantage. In some industries low autonomy and skill downgrading of immigrant workers are particularly common. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1328-1332 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1328-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriella Chiesa Author-X-Name-First: Gabriella Author-X-Name-Last: Chiesa Author-Name: José Manuel Mansilla-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: José Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mansilla-Fernández Title: Disentangling the transmission channel NPLs-cost of capital-lending supply Abstract: This paper analyses the effects of non-performing loans (NPLs) on the cost of capital, and on lending and liquidity supply, for a sample of 225 Eurozone banks over the period 2002Q1-2016Q4. Our results demonstrate that NPLs increase the cost of capital, which reduces both lending supply and liquidity creation. This phenomenon is comparatively more significant for periphery county banks than for core country banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1338 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1333-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shanshan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shanshan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Title: Concentration of industrial pollution in China Abstract: We pioneer the application of the Theil index, a statistic primarily used to measure economic inequality or racial segregation, to studying the concentration of local pollutants. While most discussions are on reducing the level of pollution, our goal is to investigate the effect of China’s development strategies on the distribution of pollution. Decomposition of the index into the between-region and within-region concentrations provides a unique policy evaluation for China. We find that while the within-region and between-region imbalances of industrial output have both been reduced, the speed of diversion of pollution does not follow. There is not much between-region movement of pollution over time. Most changes are within-region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1339-1344 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1339-1344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen He Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Xiaolong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Liu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Liu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: How does anti-corruption campaign affect the labour income share in China? Abstract: Based on the difference-in-difference (DID) methodology, this paper empirically investigates the impact of the current anti-corruption campaign on the share of labour income in China. Using a firm-level data on Chinese corporations listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges from 2009 to 2015, we find that the campaign contributes to the rise in the labour income share, while there is considerable heterogeneity. The magnitude of the effect depends on firm’s ownership and market power. This paper advances the existing studies examining the nexus between corruption and income distribution from a novel perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1345-1348 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1345-1348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyungmin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Strategic R&D policy under multiproduct duopoly and quality-price competition Abstract: This paper analyses strategic R&D policy in a third-country trade model where multiproduct firms with different production technologies compete in a vertically differentiated market. I show that the optimal R&D policies for both countries are subsidies when the product market is under price competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1353 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1349-1353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul A. Natke Author-X-Name-First: Paul A. Author-X-Name-Last: Natke Author-Name: Elizabeth A. Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Does a marching band impact college Football game attendance? A panel study of Division II Abstract: Marching bands are an integral part of the college football game-day experience by increasing both the quantity and quality of entertainment. Academic music programs could enhance a band’s entertainment value via better-trained members and recruitment of more highly skilled musicians. The impact of these influences on game-day attendance is explored using data from nine years of regular season games in Division II. The regression model controls for economic factors, home-team performance, demographic influences and game characteristics and employs boot-strap clustering methods for calculating standard errors of coefficients. Results suggest that a marching band, the existence of an academic music program and being a historically black college each exerts an independent positive impact on attendance after controlling for all other factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1354-1357 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1354-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Kerr Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Kerr Title: An industry test for ethnic discrimination in major league soccer Abstract: This paper tests for salary discrimination based on player ethnicity in Major League Soccer (MLS) by making innovative use of player movements in a unique setting. The discriminating team investigated is Club Deportivo Chivas USA, which had a preference for employing Hispanic players. Evidence of discrimination is found by analyzing how other teams valued the former players of Chivas USA differently across ethnicity after the team was disbanded by the league. The nature of MLS player contracts and drafting rules allow for a simple and unique test for salary discrimination that has not previously been possible to implement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1358-1363 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1358-1363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Maisch Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Maisch Author-Name: Travis Roach Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: Twenty-first century bootlegging: unlawful wine shipments and direct-to-consumer laws Abstract: Direct to consumer (DTC) shipping has been a burgeoning segment of the wine industry for some time. However, regulatory policy has not kept pace with the growing reach and availability of these wines which has left this sector of economic activity prohibited in states that historically disallowed DTC wine shipping. Using detailed shipping records of wine shipments into the state of Oklahoma, a state that explicitly disallows direct shipping, we describe the nature of illegal wine purchasing in the face of prohibition by linking economic data from the American Community Survey at the zip code level for each purchase. We find that zip codes with 10% higher incomes purchase 7.4–9.3% more DTC wine, and that race is not a useful predictor in DTC demand. Our results have forward-looking relevance as well as more states amend their laws to allow DTC wine shipping. In just a  6-month period, an estimated $186,629 may not have been collected in excise and sales taxes in Oklahoma. This figure is plausibly a lower bound of future tax collections due to DTC prohibition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1364-1368 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1364-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Raisa Miloş Author-X-Name-First: Laura Raisa Author-X-Name-Last: Miloş Author-Name: Benaissa Chidmi Author-X-Name-First: Benaissa Author-X-Name-Last: Chidmi Author-Name: Marius Cristian Miloş Author-X-Name-First: Marius Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Miloş Title: Does data matter? Statewide longitudinal data systems and student performance in the U.S. Abstract: Although many industries have benefited from advances in data-driven technology, education is making small steps in capitalizing on the huge potential of data systems. Since 2005, the U.S. Federal Government has been making large grants to help states build statewide longitudinal data systems (SLDS) with the goal of improving programme and teacher evaluation and engage in data-driven decision-making. We analyse whether the introduction of SLDSs improved student performance, measured using test scores for math and reading tests for 4th and 8th graders, as well as high school graduation rates. We find no effects of SLDSs on student performance up to 10 years from implementation. However, we find suggestive evidence that these systems may have long-run effects, emphasizing the long-run nature of educational data collection and policy analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1372 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1369-1372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Author-Name: Joaquin Garcia-Tapial Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Tapial Title: Assessing the economic impact of entrepreneurship on a regional economy using social accounting matrices: the case of Andalusia Abstract: This article analyses the impact that entrepreneurial activity has, from the economic point of view, on a regional economy (Andalusia), based on a Social Accounting Matrix linear model. Moreover, to measure entrepreneurship at regional level, it is defined what can be considered an entrepreneurial initiative company from a quantitative point of view. The results obtained, in terms of Production, GDP and job creation, show how entrepreneurship, in the case of Andalusia, contributes to the sustainability of the economy, its growth and, above all, the reduction of unemployment in the short term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1377 Issue: 16 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1558343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1558343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:16:p:1373-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taurean Hutchinson Author-X-Name-First: Taurean Author-X-Name-Last: Hutchinson Author-Name: Ishraq Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ishraq Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Pavlo Buryi Author-X-Name-First: Pavlo Author-X-Name-Last: Buryi Title: Impact of income tax on happiness: evidence from the United States Abstract: The present work considers the level of demonstrated happiness and unhappiness within groups, the latter measured by the conditional probability of suicide within groups facing an income tax rate and those without. Using US data for the year 2004, our results show that individuals have lower rates of suicide or are ‘happy’ when they do not pay income taxes than those who pay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1279 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1277-1279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akinori Tomohara Author-X-Name-First: Akinori Author-X-Name-Last: Tomohara Title: How does immigration affect modes of foreign market access: trade and FDI? Abstract: This article presents a study of the effects of immigration on trade and FDI. Our analysis is distinct from previous work because it systematically examines the interactions between immigration, trade and FDI. Previous studies treated FDI–immigration relationships as being independent of the modes of foreign market access. Using bilateral data of Japan and 28 other economies for the period 1996–2011, our analysis shows that FDI inflows become more dominant compared to imports when skilled immigration flows increase and less dominant when unskilled immigration flows increase. The results suggest that the relevant policy instruments as regards the promotion of trade, FDI and immigration should vary depending on economic goals, such as current account balances and labour shortages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1280-1284 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270412 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270412 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1280-1284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1270585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1270585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yin Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Bank versus nonbank financial institution lending behaviour: indictors of firm size, risk or ownership? Abstract: Using 1251 matched commercial loan deal terms of listed companies over the period 2003–2014, we examine the heterogeneity of lending behaviours of bank and nonbank financial institutions. The results show that large firms have a higher likelihood of getting loans from nonbank financial institutions. Compared to banks, nonbank financial institutions are more likely to provide credit help to high operation risk firms. State-owned listed firms have a higher probability to get finance from nonbank financial institutions than private firms, which highlights the situation that private firms are in a weak position to get credit help from China’s financial system. Moreover, the process of increasing the banks’ noninterest income ratio tends to drives firms to borrow from nonbank financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Plum Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Plum Title: Becoming unemployed and poor in Great Britain Abstract: In this study on Great Britain, we estimate the labour market and income process of prime-aged men simultaneously and control for spillover effects. Evidence is presented that the risk of becoming unemployed and poor increases with the duration of unemployment and decreases with the duration of employment. Moreover, the experience of poverty influences the labour market and income prospects negatively, though on a much smaller scale than does the labour market position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1293 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1289-1293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hyeongsop Shim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeongsop Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Title: Employee treatment and the choice of liquidity: lines of credit versus cash holdings Abstract: By examining the relation between the employee welfare index and the choice between lines of credit (LC) and cash holdings, we provide empirical findings consistent with monitored liquidity insurance, agency, and tax theories. There is a negative relation between the LC-to-cash ratio and the employee treatment index, which is more pronounced for firms with large intangible assets. Additionally, this negative relation is observed only in low agency firms, which is consistent with the prediction of agency theory of cash holdings. Firms increase LC to meet future investment opportunities rather than increasing cash holdings when their marginal tax rates are high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1294-1297 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1294-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Political uncertainty and international corruption Abstract: This article uniquely considers influences of political uncertainty on corruption. Political uncertainty disturbs existing corrupt (and legal) contractual relations inducing greater corrupt activity to strengthen existing alliances and foster new ones. Results across two measures of cross-national corruption show that political assassinations increase corruption in different variations and time periods, and a general index of political instability mostly has the same effect. The influences of other factors on corruption are in general accord with the literature. These findings are generally robust to consideration of alternate dimensions of political uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1298-1306 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1298-1306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John A. Dove Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dove Title: Some additional evidence on the interplay between corruption, tax policy and firm entry using US states Abstract: The effects that corruption and tax policy have on entrepreneurship and firm growth have been often studied in the literature. This current article adds to that literature by evaluating how the interaction effect between corruption and tax policy influences firm entry at the US state level, using a panel data set of all 50 US states between 2001 and 2014. Overall, the findings are consistent with the literature and suggest that while high levels of corruption and relatively burdensome tax policy have a negative effect on firm entry, high levels of corruption tend to dampen the negative effects associated with relatively high tax rates. Potential policy implications are discussed within this article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1307-1310 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1307-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduard Baumöhl Author-X-Name-First: Eduard Author-X-Name-Last: Baumöhl Author-Name: Eva Výrostová Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Výrostová Title: Do people gamble more in good times? Evidence from 27 European countries Abstract: We provide evidence of a positive relationship between the intensity of gambling and economic growth in 27 European countries for 2005–2013. Our proxy for gambling is represented by government revenues from taxes on lotteries, betting and gambling. This variable is linked to GDP growth in a panel regression framework and pooled OLS. However, when we split our sample to account for the heterogeneity among European countries, we found that the positive ‘gambling – GDP growth’ relationship is driven extensively by the Central and Eastern European countries. It appears that people in these countries tend to gamble more when the economy is expanding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1311-1314 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1273484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1273484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1311-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen Fan Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Xiaobo He Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobo Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Differences in the response heterogeneity of educational attainment and achievement to the same instrumental variable Abstract: The typical econometric application of instrumental variable (IV) estimates imposes a constant-treatment-effect model for all individuals. Using regression discontinuity design, we find while older school starters tend to have lower educational attainment, they are more likely to achieve qualifications at different educational levels for the UK. This finding joins the discussion on instruments for educational outcomes by offering some evidence that school starting age can affect treated individuals diversely. We highlight that identifying the treatment effect with methods similar to IV estimates should be concerned in the context of heterogeneous treatments; that is, the instrument in question has an effect on treatment for particular subpopulations only, and those subpopulations may not be the same for different treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1315-1319 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1315-1319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Velilla Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Velilla Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Determinants of entrepreneurship using fuzzy set methods: Europe vs. non-Europe Abstract: This article uses fuzzy set qualitative methods, with Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2014 data, to show differences in the entrepreneurial determinants between European developed countries and non-European developing countries. We first estimate baseline regression models and then develop fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis to study the necessary and sufficient conditions of entrepreneurial activity. Results indicate that, while in Europe, the key determinants are education and technological equity; individuals in developing and nondeveloped countries tend to be, or become, entrepreneurs independently of the macroeconomic background. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1320-1326 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1320-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Mark Granberg Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Granberg Author-Name: Elisabeth Lång Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Lång Title: Does having one’s own place to live make someone more employable? Abstract: This article encapsulates the findings of a randomized correspondence test field experiment investigating whether job candidates’ home status influences their employability. More than 2000 employers with vacancies in the Swedish labour market received a job application from a fictitious candidate. A job candidate’s home status (his or her own place to live or temporary housing with a friend) was randomized across employers. Results show that home status indeed affected the number of positive employer responses received by job candidates, mainly in low-skilled occupations. Not having a place to live at the time of the application proved a disadvantage when applying for positions within but an advantage when applying for positions outside the city of residence at the time of the application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1330 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276263 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1327-1330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl M. Campbell Author-X-Name-First: Carl M. Author-X-Name-Last: Campbell Title: Pre-recession wage inflation and the strength of the subsequent recovery Abstract: This study shows that the rate of wage inflation in the year before a recession is positively related to the rate of employment growth in the subsequent recovery. A possible explanation for this relationship is downward nominal wage rigidity. It is also found that the prior rate of wage inflation is not significantly related to the employment decline during the ensuing recession, suggesting that prior wage inflation has a greater impact on the strength of the recovery from a recession than on the severity of the recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1331-1334 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276264 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1331-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul M. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Paul M. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Robert F. Kane Author-X-Name-First: Robert F. Author-X-Name-Last: Kane Title: Per-unit versus ad-valorem discrimination with an application to MLB Abstract: We contrast two structural forms of discrimination: per-unit and ad-valorem. We provide a simple modification to Becker’s canonical discrimination model allowing for heterogeneous worker quality and both per-unit and ad-valorem discrimination. Per-unit discrimination costs reduce the relative cost of minorities with higher marginal products. This simple insight, which builds upon the Alchian–Allen hypothesis, yields sharp testable implications. We argue that several features of the MLB labour market are consistent with per-unit discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1339 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276265 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1335-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward M. Feasel Author-X-Name-First: Edward M. Author-X-Name-Last: Feasel Author-Name: Padmapriya Gollapudi Author-X-Name-First: Padmapriya Author-X-Name-Last: Gollapudi Author-Name: Daiki Kumazawa Author-X-Name-First: Daiki Author-X-Name-Last: Kumazawa Title: On the relative importance of demand and supply shocks: a panel VAR study for US states Abstract: This article is a panel VAR study of demand and supply shocks in the USA using state-level data where structural shocks are decomposed into state idiosyncratic and common components. Decomposition suggests that in all instances, idiosyncratic state shocks rather than common shocks have larger impact and explain most variation in both the state-level unemployment rate and real gross state product. Further, demand shocks are the primary driving force in unemployment rate fluctuations, while both demand and supply are important in output movements to varying degree of impact and importance depending on the use of quarterly or annual data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1340-1345 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1276266 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1276266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1340-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Hühne Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Hühne Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Is inequality an inevitable by-product of skill-biased technical change? Abstract: This article examines trends in relative wages between high- and medium-skilled workers and between medium- and low-skilled workers in Finland, Germany, Italy, South Korea and the US over the period 1970–2005. It is found that there are large differences in the evolution wage inequality across the countries in our sample, with some countries showing a long-run upward trend in relative wages (such as the US, Germany and Italy) and others showing a long-run downward trend (such as Finland and Korea). The main conclusion from our results is that inequality is not an inevitable by-product of technological change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1346-1350 Issue: 18 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1279259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:18:p:1346-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orhan Karaca Author-X-Name-First: Orhan Author-X-Name-Last: Karaca Title: Why are some regions rich and others poor? The impact of climate on regional income disparities Abstract: In this study, the impact of climate on regional income disparities is investigated on a sample of 10 countries. The sample includes three northern European countries (Finland, Sweden and Norway), two equatorial countries (Colombia and Brazil) and five temperate countries (Poland, Germany, France, Italy and Spain). Regression analyses have shown that population and economic activity are concentrated in relatively hot regions in cold countries, and relatively cold regions in hot countries. Climate also has a statistically significant effect on regional per capita income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-356 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:353-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faheem Ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Faheem Ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Yibing Ding Author-X-Name-First: Yibing Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Title: The nexus between outward foreign direct investment and export sophistication: new evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates the bidirectional causal relationship between outbound foreign direct investment (ODI) and export sophistication in China by using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) techniques. The findings detect cointegration and bidirectional causal relationship between export sophistication and ODI. The empirical evidence supports that ODI strongly promotes export sophistication and export sophistication weakly encourages Chinese ODI to go out global. The nexus between ODI and export sophistication is good news for China to enhance the quality of exports and catch-up on developed economies. The control variables of trade openness, human capital and quality of institutions improve the strength of cointegration between ODI and export sophistication and play a significant role in promoting the two variables of our interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 357-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:357-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisito Bertinelli Author-X-Name-First: Luisito Author-X-Name-Last: Bertinelli Author-Name: Arnaud Bourgain Author-X-Name-First: Arnaud Author-X-Name-Last: Bourgain Author-Name: Florian Léon Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Léon Title: Corruption and tax compliance: evidence from small retailers in Bamako, Mali Abstract: We investigate the impact of corruption on tax compliance using a sample of 700 small business in Bamako, Mali. The main contribution of this paper is to focus on micro-enterprises (including semi-formal and informal ones), while existing works concentrate on large and formal firms. Our results show that (i) even very small firms pay taxes (two-thirds of firms pay taxes in our sample); and, (ii) paying bribes reduces significantly tax compliance. This latter finding is robust (i) to the addition of a set of control variables accounting for other determinants, (ii) to treatment for endogeneity, and (iii) the use of a different proxy for tax compliance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 366-370 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:366-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Katircioğlu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioğlu Author-Name: Aleksandr Zabolotnov Author-X-Name-First: Aleksandr Author-X-Name-Last: Zabolotnov Title: Role of financial development in economic globalization: evidence from global panel Abstract: The present study examines the role of financial development in globalization using the global panel data set. Annual data that ranges from 1980 to 2014 has been selected for 181 countries. Panel econometric procedures reveal that financial markets positively in general impacts on economic globalization. However, when macroeconomic fundamentals such as national income, inflation, capital, and population growth are taken into consideration this effect sometimes becomes negative depending on the type of macroeconomic factor and methodology used. This study concludes at the end that financial development is significant driver for economic globalization all around the world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-377 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:371-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Guojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Mokai Lu Author-X-Name-First: Mokai Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Marketization level, government intervention and firm M&As: evidence from the local SOEs in China Abstract: The state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China are commonly criticized due to their decision-making being intervened by the government. In this article, we present that the marketization level restrains the local government’s intervention in the local SOEs’ mergers and acquisitions (M&As); and the restraining impact is enhanced in the local SOEs, especially on their diversified M&As, when the government possesses stronger power in the firms. The article sheds lights on theories of market segmentation and government intervention in an emerging economy where interventionist governments commonly exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 378-382 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:378-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Is there a gender difference in accurately predicting the sign of growth in durables spending? Abstract: The answer is yes, according to the Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSC) data. A survey question under the ‘Household durables buying conditions’ category asks: ‘About the big things people buy for their homes – such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time for people to buy major household items?’ Using the individual responses, the MSC calculates a balanced index representing consumer durable buying attitudes separately for all, female, and male participants in addition to those in the lower 33%, middle 33%, and upper 33% income categories. We show that only the change in female durable buying attitudes accurately predicts the sign of growth in durables spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Title: Presidential congruence and happiness: the role of extreme political views Abstract: Previous literature has demonstrated that individuals in the US report greater happiness when the president is of the same party that the individual identifies with. It has likewise been demonstrated that individuals with more extreme political views, be they liberal or conservative, report higher happiness than those with moderate political views. This article demonstrates that the relationship between these two dimensions and happiness is not separable. In fact, congruence with the president, in terms of party and ideology, matters the most for those with extreme political views. This is demonstrated by estimation of the interaction effect between political extremism and measures of presidential congruence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1616061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1616061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Guangbing Li Author-X-Name-First: Guangbing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Time-inconsistent preferences, consumption, investment and life insurance decisions Abstract: In this paper, we study a consumption, investment and life insurance strategy model in which agent has time-inconsistent preferences. We numerically find that time-inconsistent preferences lead agent to more consumption–wealth ratio and less insurance–wealth ratio, and that time-inconsistent agent purchases life insurance in advance. Moreover, both the consumption–wealth ratio and amount of life insurance purchased for naive agent are less than for sophisticated one, while total available wealth for naive agent is more than for sophisticated one. In particular, total amount of life insurance purchased increases when agent is young, but the situation reverses when she is older. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 392-399 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1617395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1617395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:392-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Takuji Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: Takuji Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Title: Dynamic effects of financial spillovers on bank lending: evidence from local projection-based impulse response analysis Abstract: Using local projections, we find that a positive (detrimental) financial stress (FS) shock affects bank lending more quickly and is more persistent than a negative (benign) FS shock. The study confirms that there is timing asymmetry, but we do not find magnitude asymmetry between positive and negative shocks. Furthermore, we find that a bank balance sheet characterized by a higher level of liquidity and efficiency and a lower level of leverage tends to better insulate lending from the impact of FS spillovers. Our findings have important implications for policymakers who seek to develop more efficient and resilient banking sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 400-405 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1619011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1619011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:400-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Title: Promotion or hindrance? The threshold effect of services on global value chains Abstract: Using the World Input-Output Table (WIOD; Timmer et al. 2016), I introduce the proximity burden of service input to establish a threshold model, and examine the ‘double-edged sword’ effect of service input on the Global Value Chains, namely, it promotes the development of manufacturing in proximate districts but hinder those in faraway districts. I find that the service input has an inverted U-shaped effect on value chain development, and that local service input is restricted by proximity burden, which hinders the development of value chain. The findings are robust to heterogeneity analysis and endogeneity treatment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 406-411 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1619012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1619012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:406-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongkil Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Yongkil Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Dongyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Sentiment disagreement and bitcoin price fluctuations: a psycholinguistic approach Abstract: We investigate the extent to which Bitcoin price fluctuations are associated with investors’ sentiment disagreement. We employ three textual sentiment analysis techniques: 1) a Python library offered by the Computational Linguistics and Psycholinguistics Research Center; 2) Loughran and McDonald’s (2011) dictionary; and 3) semantic orientation by the point-wise mutual information method. The results show that investors’ attention and sentiment disagreement induce extremely high volatility and jumps in Bitcoin prices. These findings complement existing studies on how investors’ sentiment manifests in asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 412-416 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1619013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1619013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:412-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Casto Martin Montero Kuscevic Author-X-Name-First: Casto Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Montero Kuscevic Author-Name: Hossein Radmard Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Radmard Title: Syrian refugees in Lebanon: a spatial study Abstract: Almost seven years of catastrophic conflict and unrest in Syria have resulted in a colossal flow of the displaced population. According to The United Nation Refugee Agency (UNHCR), by the end of 2016, there were over one million registered Syrian refugees in Lebanon. This means compared to any other host country, Lebanon has the highest rate of refugee per local population. In this paper, we focus on refugees’ placement and residence, which have shown an uneven distribution among different regions of Lebanon. Maps generated by the available data show that districts with high refugee population rates are surrounded by districts with low population rates. Our results indicate that among other variables, access to credit is the most critical variable for explaining this spatial pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-421 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1623862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1623862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:417-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hartmut Egger Author-X-Name-First: Hartmut Author-X-Name-Last: Egger Author-Name: Elke Jahn Author-X-Name-First: Elke Author-X-Name-Last: Jahn Title: Ownership and the multinational wage premium Abstract: Combining administrative data on German workers at the plant level with detailed global ownership information, we provide evidence that the multinational and hierarchical structure of networks matters for wages paid by plants. We find that both network characteristics are equally important for the wage premium paid by multinationals. Moreover, the hierarchical distance is also important for wages paid by plants in national networks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 422-425 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1624911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1624911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:422-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farah Said Author-X-Name-First: Farah Author-X-Name-Last: Said Author-Name: Mahreen Mahmud Author-X-Name-First: Mahreen Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmud Author-Name: Giovanna D’Adda Author-X-Name-First: Giovanna Author-X-Name-Last: D’Adda Author-Name: Azam Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Azam Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Title: It is not power, but how you use it: Experimental evidence on altruism from households in Pakistan Abstract: We investigate altruism among household members in the presence of information asymmetry using artefactual experiments in Pakistan. Having a family member who does not respect one’s control over earned property makes generosity less likely within the experiment. Women, who display greater entitlement over own earnings, are less generous when they can conceal their allocation decisions, showing that self-regarding behaviors are driven by pent-up demand for household members to respect their control over resources. Our findings reveal that understanding household dynamics can be critical for policy makers wanting to maximize welfare outcomes in social protection programs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 426-431 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1624912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1624912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:426-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanbyul Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Hanbyul Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: The effect of the Zika virus outbreak on fertility and female labour market outcomes Abstract: Since the outbreak of the Zika virus in Brazil, the number of microcephaly cases significantly increased among newborn children. Detrimental effects on the health outcomes of newborn children provided incentives to delay pregnancy, thereby potentially affecting women’s labour market outcomes. Using the variation of suspected microcephaly cases across states, we found that for every suspected microcephaly case per 10,000 residents, the probability of having a newborn child decreased by approximately 8%. This trend was more pronounced among younger and more educated women. Despite fertility decline, our findings provide little evidence that female labour market outcomes were altered by the outbreak of Zika virus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1624913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1624913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:5:p:432-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunice O. Hong Author-X-Name-First: Eunice O. Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Sherman D. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Sherman D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Title: Did households’ time preference change due to the Great Recession? Abstract: Household time preference for US households, as measured by the planning horizon, was fairly stable for many years, but sharply changed with the onset of the Great Recession. Based on an analysis of a combination of the 1992–2013 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) datasets, time preference increased in 2010 and remained high in 2013, indicating households were less patient after the onset of the recession. This pattern held up even after controlling for household characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1050 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1047-1050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agnes Kügler Author-X-Name-First: Agnes Author-X-Name-Last: Kügler Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: Time as a strategic variable: business hours in the gasoline market Abstract: A popular argument in policy discussions on the liberalization of business hours proceeds on the assumption that business hours are strategic complements: if some firms open longer hours, competitors will be forced to extend their opening hours too. We provide first empirical evidence on the impact of competition and the form of strategic interaction in business hours between firms by using detailed information on business hours as well as the location of retail gasoline stations in Austria. Our findings reject the presumption of business hours being strategic complements. Firms tend to have longer opening hours in a more competitive environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1056 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1051-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnab Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Arnab Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: Colin O’Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: O’Reilly Author-Name: James T. Bang Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Civil war and economic growth: the case for a closer look at forms of mobilization Abstract: This paper explores the idea that the lack of robust evidence on the growth impact of civil war could partially be a consequence of considering civil war as a unified conceptual category, regardless of the ordinate of group identity invoked in mobilizing for war. To do so, we distinguish explicitly between episodes of internal conflict where contestants mobilized along the lines of ethnicity and ones where mobilization occurred along other markers of group identity. Using alternative definitions of civil war and System GMM estimation to address the endogeneity of conflict and per capita income, we obtain a negative contemporaneous impact of non-ethnic civil war on economic growth over the period 1975–2005. By contrast, the impact of ethnic war is statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1057-1061 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1057-1061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal Bührig Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Bührig Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Forecasting revisions of German industrial production Abstract: Macroeconomic variables, such as industrial production or GDP, are regularly and sometimes substantially revised by the official statistical offices. Nevertheless, there are only few attempts in the previous literature to investigate whether it is possible to forecast these revisions systematically. In this article, it is illustrated how revisions of German industrial production can be forecasted with respect to both the direction and the level of the revision. We are the first to use a large data set for this purpose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1062-1064 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1062-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Bittmann Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bittmann Author-Name: Sven Anders Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Anders Title: Seasonal asymmetries in wholesale–retail cost pass-through Abstract: This article investigates the extent of seasonal asymmetries in wholesale to retail cost pass-through in the Canadian apple market. We model nonlinearity in cost pass-through in a panel two-regime error correction model. The model employs weekly store-level retail matching wholesale price data for a major US retail chain. Our results reveal distinct seasonal asymmetries in cost pass-through. Retail prices adjust faster during the fall indicating significantly higher pass-through in response to a change in input composition and seasonal expansion of alternative marketing channels. This input composition effect on cost pass-through highlights the general importance of time-variant market conditions and their respective determinants in explaining cost pass-through dynamics in commodity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1068 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1065-1068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Eyal Lahav Author-X-Name-First: Eyal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahav Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Title: Don’t fear risk, learn about it: how familiarity reduces perceived risk Abstract: This article suggests that learning about basic concepts concerning the risk and return of assets will reduce perceived risk. We show experimentally that people who learn about these basic concepts are willing to allocate more money to risky assets and consider the asset’s return relative to its risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1069-1072 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1133892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1133892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1069-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Raitano Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Raitano Author-Name: Claudia Vittori Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Vittori Author-Name: Francesco Vona Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Vona Title: The effect of parental background along the sons’ earnings distribution: does one pattern fit for all? Abstract: This article sheds light on the differences in the mechanisms generating intergenerational inequality in the four largest Euro Area economies (Spain, Italy, Germany and France) looking at the association between parental background and sons’ earnings along the sons’ distribution. We find that in all countries returns to parental background increase along the sons’ earnings distribution and the probability of ending up in high deciles is significantly correlated with parental background. However, although these findings lend support to the existence of a common mechanism, substantial differences in returns’ steepness question the one-pattern-fits-all story. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1078 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1073-1078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Gabriel Romero Author-X-Name-First: José Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Romero Title: Natural resources and international labour mobility Abstract: We study the relationship between natural resource wealth and (skilled and unskilled) emigration. The source data for international migration rates come from Brücker, Capuano, and Marfouk (2013) and measures of resource wealth from the World Bank database. We find that natural resource abundance reduces skilled emigration regardless of countries’ natural wealth, but that natural resources reduce unskilled emigration only in resource-rich countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1083 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1079-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junfei Bai Author-X-Name-First: Junfei Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Caiping Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Caiping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Thomas Wahl Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Wahl Author-Name: James Seale Jr. Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Seale Jr. Title: Dining out, the missing food consumption in China Abstract: Food security concern in China is also the world’s concern. Studies on food consumption in the past, however, often neglected the increasing food consumed away from home (FAFH). Drawn on a survey data recently conducted in nine cities by a week-long diary method, we found that FAFH in urban China accounts for a significant proportion of total food consumption, although its share varies by food category. With substantial expected income growth, overall FAFH consumption will likely continue to rise, but would be negatively affected by the rapid societal aging process, both in dining out probability and per capita consumption level. The main findings of this study have implications for food processing and service industries as well as for studies in food-related environmental issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1084-1087 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1084-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Young Baek Author-X-Name-First: H. Young Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: Florence Neymotin Author-X-Name-First: Florence Author-X-Name-Last: Neymotin Title: Young startup firm exports and productive efficiency Abstract: We employ the United States Census Bureau’s 2007 Survey of Business Owners to examine the relationship between the productive efficiency of startup firms and their level of exports. We find, consistent with previous work in the literature, that a small firm’s exports are positively related to their level of productive efficiency. This result holds after controlling for various individual owner, as well as firm, characteristics. Our results are also robust to the inclusion of a two-stage estimation strategy to control for the effects of endogeneity in the efficiency–exports relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1088-1092 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1088-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads Abstract: With a panel VAR of 10 Euro area countries, we studied the budgetary determinants of government bond yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany between 1999Q1 and 2012Q4. We find that rising bid ask, VIX and debt differentials increase yield spreads; and improvements in the budget balance, higher growth prospects and depreciation lower the spreads. Moreover, rises in public wages or in social expenditure increase spreads, while increases in direct and indirect taxes lower the yield spreads. In the post-2007Q3 crisis period, rising expenditure components (except subsidies) increased spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1098 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1093-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James R. Barth Author-X-Name-First: James R. Author-X-Name-Last: Barth Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: I-Ling Shen Author-X-Name-First: I-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Is the high school dropout rate an increasing function of the proportion of the population in the US cities that is Hispanic? Exploratory evidence Abstract: This empirical note seeks to provide preliminary insights into factors that may have influenced the high school dropout rate in the US cities. For some 300-plus cities for the year 2011, OLS estimates reveal that the dropout rate is a decreasing function of both the per cent of the population that is Hispanic and per pupil public education spending at the elementary and secondary levels. In addition, the estimates find that the dropout rate is an increasing function of the per cent of the population that consisted of families with children and that was classified as being at or below the poverty level and the per cent of the population aged 25 years and older that did not have a high school diploma. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1099-1103 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1136391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1136391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1099-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Dan Xi Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Xi Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Title: Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money in China Abstract: In order to account for currency substitution, the majority of recent studies relating to the specification of the demand for money include the exchange rate as another determinant of the demand for money. However, those who have estimated the demand for money in China have been unable to find any significant effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money by the Chinese. We show that this is due to the assumption that exchange rate changes have symmetric effects. Once depreciations are separated from appreciations of the yuan, those exchange rate changes are shown to have significant effects on the demand for money in China, but in an asymmetric manner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1104-1109 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1104-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pandej Chintrakarn Author-X-Name-First: Pandej Author-X-Name-Last: Chintrakarn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Young S. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: The causal effect of religious piety on shareholder wealth: evidence from acquirer returns and historical religious identification Abstract: Prior research shows that religion promotes honesty. Honesty in turn motivates managers to view an expropriation from shareholders as self-serving, opportunistic and unethical, thereby alleviating the agency conflict. Religious piety is thus expected to discourage agency-driven acquisitions that reduce shareholder wealth. We exploit the variation in religious piety across US counties (and states) and show that firms located in a more religious environment are indeed less likely to make poor acquisitions, measured by the stock market reactions to the acquisition announcement. To draw a causal inference, we use historical religious piety as far back as 1952 as our instrument. The two-stage least squares (2SLS) analysis confirms that religious piety induces firms to make better acquisitions. Our analysis based on propensity score matching also corroborates the conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1110-1116 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1137541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1137541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1110-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: How does informal employment impact income inequality? Abstract: This study investigates how informal employment impacts total income inequality in urban China. Finite mixture methodology is employed to examine the segments that exist in the informal labour market, and the Theil index (T0) is used to break down total income inequality according to different subsamples. We found that the two-segment model (upper-tier and lower-tier) best describes the structure of the informal labour market in urban China and that the upper-tier segment contributes most to the total income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1120 Issue: 15 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1142644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1142644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:15:p:1117-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Daniel Däuper Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Däuper Title: Determinants of spectator no-show behaviour: first empirical evidence from the German Bundesliga Abstract: The analysis of stadium attendance demand has a long tradition in the economic literature. However, despite its evident merits, this previous research has been critiqued at several levels, in particular for relying on a suboptimal demand proxy, i.e. published attendance data. In this short note, we address these shortcomings by exploring a highly unique data set containing official information on spectators’ decisions of whether or not to physically attend 704 German football Bundesliga games played between August 2014 and January 2017. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1475-1480 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1475-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Zhen Lei Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Zhifeng Yin Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Innovation policy in China: nationally promulgated but locally implemented Abstract: In China, policies are often announced at the national level but implemented locally. Innovation policies are no exceptions. This article studies China’s 50% R&D tax deduction policy, a key innovation policy promulgated by the central government in 2006. We find that the degree to which the policy was implemented during the period of 2006–2009 varied across the provinces and industries, which in turn had significant impacts on local firms’ innovation output. The findings of the heterogeneity in local implementation of national innovation policies are of important implications for both policy makers and innovation scholars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1481-1486 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1481-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Dell’Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Dell’Agostino Author-Name: Silvia Nenci Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Nenci Title: Measuring patterns of specialization using trade in value added: the case of manufacturing in Italy Abstract: This article aims to contribute to the long-standing debate on the ‘anomaly’ of Italy’s specialization in manufacturing by providing fresh analysis based on new data. It offers: 1) a comprehensive survey of Italian comparative advantages measured in value-added terms and their evolution over time; 2) an international comparison of these advantages with Italy’s main competitors. Results show that the country’s traditional comparative advantages are substantially confirmed, a genuine capacity of the Italian domestic production factors to maintain added value in production with comparative advantage can be observed and new trends in terms of specialization and competitors are also highlighted, showing the influence of the international fragmentation of production on trade and specialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1487-1492 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1487-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvio Städter Author-X-Name-First: Silvio Author-X-Name-Last: Städter Title: The effects of pay regulation when agents are loss averse Abstract: This article analyses the effects of a regulatory cap on executive pay when the agent is loss averse. I use a principal–agent model with moral hazard in which a principal and an agent bargain over an incentive contract. I show that even a non-binding cap on the agent’s payments can have consequences for the bargained outcome and consequently for the effort the agent exerts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1498 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1493-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy A. Cook Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Student demographics, school working conditions, and teacher mobility Abstract: I analyse how the inclusion of working condition data influences the estimated marginal effects of student demographics on teacher mobility. Using detailed administrative data on public schools, combined with unique data describing teachers’ perceptions of working conditions, I estimate a model characterizing the multinomial outcomes of teachers choosing to work at different schools. By comparing the estimated marginal effects of student characteristics with and without incorporating detailed working conditions, I find that excluding these additional data results in overestimating the effect of student characteristics on the probability a teacher moves to a different school, but has no influence on estimated effects for the probability of leaving teaching altogether. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1506 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1499-1506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matija Lozej Author-X-Name-First: Matija Author-X-Name-Last: Lozej Author-Name: Ansgar Rannenberg Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Rannenberg Title: The macroeconomic effects of the LTV and LTI ratios in Ireland Abstract: We use the Central Bank of Ireland’s Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model to investigate the introduction of regulatory loan-to-value and loan-to-income ratios in 2015, which form part of the Central Bank’s macroprudential measures. The main finding is that while the measures dampen economic activity in the short run, they bring benefits in the medium and long run. Household leverage declines, which lowers the default rate on bank loans. Households deleverage and foreign debt decreases significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1507-1511 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1507-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Jiaochen Liang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Related variety and industrial growth: evidence from U.S. commuting zones Abstract: This article uses industrial employment data at U.S. commuting zone level to test two widely debated propositions about related variety and industrial growth. Our empirical investigations confirm that related variety and specialization have positive interaction effects on industrial employment growth and that the impacts of related variety on industrial growth are much stronger in manufacturing sectors than in nonmanufacturing sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1512-1516 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1512-1516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saygin Sahinoz Author-X-Name-First: Saygin Author-X-Name-Last: Sahinoz Author-Name: Evren Erdogan Cosar Author-X-Name-First: Evren Author-X-Name-Last: Erdogan Cosar Title: Economic policy uncertainty and economic activity in Turkey Abstract: We construct economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index for Turkey based on newspaper coverage frequency. The EPU index reflects the frequency counts of articles in major Turkish newspapers that contain specific terms related to economy, policy and uncertainty. The EPU index rises around national elections (2002, 2007 and 2015), domestic uncertainty periods (2008 and 2013), domestic and global financial crisis periods (2001 and 2009) and the Euro area debt crisis in 2011. The investigation of the impact of EPU on economic activity reveals that policy uncertainty has adverse impacts on economic growth, consumption and investment in Turkey. Remarkable is that high uncertainty leads to a greater investment decline than output and consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1520 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1517-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Chatzivasileiadis Title: Quasi-Monte Carlo application in CGE systematic sensitivity analysis Abstract: The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis (SSA). Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature and Monte Carlo methods. This article explores the use of Quasi-random Monte Carlo methods based on the Halton and Sobol’ sequences as means to improve the efficiency over regular Monte Carlo SSA, thus reducing the computational requirements of the SSA. The findings suggest that by using low-discrepancy sequences, the number of simulations required by the regular MC SSA methods can be notably reduced, hence lowering the computational time required for SSA of CGE models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1526 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1521-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gweneth Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Gweneth Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Author-Name: Andrew Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Title: The Misaddressed Letter Experiment Abstract: We design a new field experiment to test pro-social behaviour: will a household return a letter that has been incorrectly addressed? On average, we find that half of all letters were returned. Return rates do not vary significantly according to the gender, race or ethnicity of the fictitious addressee. However, return rates are higher in more affluent neighbourhoods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1527-1530 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1527-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerardo Angeles-Castro Author-X-Name-First: Gerardo Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles-Castro Author-Name: Laura Josselin Arriola-Barcenas Author-X-Name-First: Laura Josselin Author-X-Name-Last: Arriola-Barcenas Author-Name: Carlos Bonifacio Baeza-Almaraz Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Bonifacio Author-X-Name-Last: Baeza-Almaraz Title: Determinants of total efficiency in water utilities in Mexico Abstract: By using panel data analysis across 368 water utilities in Mexico over the period 2010–2014, we find that small firms are more efficient than medium and large providers and that increasing production is associated with less efficiency. Billing, income collection and profitability are relevant factors to improve efficiency. Medium and large firms require to measure consumption by service with meters in order to increase efficiency, while small firms do not require it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1534 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1531-1534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongwei Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Hongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Navruzbek Karamatov Author-X-Name-First: Navruzbek Author-X-Name-Last: Karamatov Title: How international financial flows affect stock markets? Abstract: Relying on the IMF Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey, which reports countries’ bilateral investments in financial assets at end-2001 to end-2015, this article shows that a country’s stock market growth is not only spatially correlated with those of nearby countries, but also positively associated with the magnitude of connectedness of the country’s international investments in debt within a dynamic financial investment flow network. The positive relation arises because debts have become an increasingly important source of capital for developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1535-1546 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1535-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meishan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Meishan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Krishna P. Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna P. Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Yunsheng Mi Author-X-Name-First: Yunsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Title: Factors affecting agricultural land transfer-in in China: a semiparametric analysis Abstract: We use interview survey data collected randomly from 2677 farm households in nine provinces of China to understand the role of demographic, economic, land, and village characteristics on agricultural land transfer-in by farmers. Results show that variables such as borrowing from informal sources, household labour availability, percentage of total income from agricultural sources, and the household with village cadre have significant positive effects on land transfer-in. Low economic development and low transportation network availability in a county reduces land transfer-in. We also find that two variables (land holding and land idling) should be entered into the model nonparametrically. Land holding and land idling have U- and L-shaped impacts on land transfer-in, respectively. Land transfer-in has endowment equilibrium and provides Chinese households more opportunities to earn agricultural income, thereby reducing rural poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1551 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1547-1551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Curzi Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Curzi Author-Name: Marsela Luarasi Author-X-Name-First: Marsela Author-X-Name-Last: Luarasi Author-Name: Valentina Raimondi Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Raimondi Author-Name: Alessandro Olper Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Olper Title: The (lack of) international harmonization of EU standards: import and export effects in developed versus developing countries Abstract: This article studies the effect of the lack of international harmonization in agri-food standards on international trade flows focusing on the European Union (EU). The EU is characterized by high level of protectionism, which makes it an ideal case study. We measure the differences in countries’ level of ‘protectionism’ by applying an index of aggregation of non-tariff measures to data on maximum residue levels on pesticides and veterinary drugs allowed by countries on agri-food products. The restrictiveness of countries standards’ is compared with the one imposed by the Codex Alimentarius, which is considered as non-protectionist. The EU emerges as the most rigorous standards setter. The higher standards imposed by the EU affect in particular imports from developing countries, while it facilitates its exports, irrespective of the level of development and standard restrictiveness set by the importing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1552-1556 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1552-1556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Price-cost markups in UK industry Abstract: This article tests for the presence of monopolistic price markups across UK industrial sectors by testing for a non-zero covariance between the Solow residual and various instruments. This restriction derives from profit maximising conditions for a representative imperfectly competitive firm under the assumption of constant returns to scale. We find evidence of significant markups in the Manufacturing and Services sectors which together account for more than 90% of total employment within the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1557-1561 Issue: 21 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:21:p:1557-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Daniels Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Daniels Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: What do you think? Success: is it luck or is it hard work? Abstract: This paper explores how individual characteristics and national-level variables affect perceptions toward whether individual success depends on luck and connections or hard work. Drawing on five waves of World Values Survey (WVS) data on more than 175,000 respondents in 85 countries, we find that demographic factors and socioeconomic variables such as age, gender, income, and employment status are strongly associated with an individual’s view on luck versus hard work. For example, women are more likely to view luck as the primary factor determining success in the long run. In addition, individuals in countries with better macroeconomic conditions measured by GDP per capita and its growth rate seem to associate success more with luck than with hard work compared to individuals in other countries. Our results from multilevel ordered logistic regressions also suggest that differences in personal traits account for approximately 90% of the variations in respondents’ perceptions observed in our sample. The remaining 10% is due to differences in various country-level traits other than our GDP controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1734-1738 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1734-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Honig Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Honig Title: Foreign currency debt and the optimal monetary policy response to rising US interest rates Abstract: Rising US interest rates impact emerging economies through capital outflows and currency depreciations. For those with flexible exchange rates, the appropriate monetary policy response weighs the traditional competitiveness effect with a balance sheet effect created by the presence of foreign currency denominated debt (liability dollarization). This paper presents a basic Keynesian macro model that incorporates this balance sheet effect and demonstrates that it significantly complicates the monetary policy response to depreciations. Without full knowledge of the size of these competing effects, the central bank can make large mistakes in setting interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1743 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1739-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Ghulam Meran Shah Author-X-Name-First: Syed Ghulam Meran Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Author-Name: Mingfeng Tang Author-X-Name-First: Mingfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Muddassar Sarfraz Author-X-Name-First: Muddassar Author-X-Name-Last: Sarfraz Author-Name: Zeeshan Fareed Author-X-Name-First: Zeeshan Author-X-Name-Last: Fareed Title: The aftermath of CEO succession via hierarchical jumps on firm performance and agency cost: Evidence from Chinese firms Abstract: This paper analyzes the effect of CEO succession via overall hierarchical jumps on Chinese firm performance and agency cost. It categorizes hierarchical jumps into low, medium and high level. The study reveals through panel regression analysis that the CEOs appointed via medium hierarchical jumps substantially enhance firm performance. Conversely, the successors appointed through low and high hierarchical jumps have relatively no effect on firm profitability. Conclusively, this research evaluates that the aged CEOs should be preferred among the CEOs successors via high hierarchical jumps, which have mitigated the agency problem decisively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1744-1748 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1744-1748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bisrat Kinfemichael Author-X-Name-First: Bisrat Author-X-Name-Last: Kinfemichael Title: The rise of services and convergence in labor productivity among countries Abstract: Studies of economic convergence among countries usually focus on per capita GDP or on a particular sector, such as labor productivity in the manufacturing sector. Using value-added data from the United Nations Statistics Division’s National Accounts and employment data from the International Labour Organization (ILO), we compile labor productivity data for 160 countries for the period 1991–2016 in order to examine labor productivity convergence for broad sectors and for the aggregate economy. The results demonstrate the emergence of convergence in labor productivity among countries. The rate of convergence increases significantly when we consider only 141 countries, excluding the low-income countries. The sectoral convergence test reveals that the service sector is the leading force behind the recently observed catching-up in labor productivity among countries, followed by manufacturing. Reallocation of labor across sectors seems to have increased aggregate productivity in developing countries while reducing it in developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1749-1755 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1749-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Linh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Does financial development matter for innovation in renewable energy? Abstract: This letter investigates a missing link in the literature – whether financial development matters for renewable energy innovation. Our analysis of 22 OECD countries between 1990 and 2014 suggests the crucial role of financial development in the development of both biomass and non-biomass renewable technologies. Additionally, the impact of financial development varies with countries’ carbon intensity and innovation growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1756-1761 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1593934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1593934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1756-1761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Hassler Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Hassler Author-Name: Mehdi Hosseinkouchack Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Hosseinkouchack Title: Testing the Newcomb-Benford Law: experimental evidence Abstract: The (Newcomb-)Benford Law has been widely used to detect fraud in data from accounting and finance, or in economic, survey and scientific data. Many empirical studies rely on the outcomes of two particular statistical tests. Our power investigation shows that these tests are weak in terms of power under specific fraudulent pattern. Much more powerful criteria are identified, and in particular, a simple, one-sided mean test is recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1762-1769 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1597248 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1597248 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1762-1769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Srikant Devaraj Author-X-Name-First: Srikant Author-X-Name-Last: Devaraj Title: American Recovery and Reinvestment Act and county-level health outcomes Abstract: A series of studies have supported the economic benefits from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA), however, there is little evidence to demonstrate its impact on local health. We test the direct and indirect (through county-level poverty and household income) effects of ARRA expenditures per-capita on five types of county-level health outcomes. Based on Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) regression models, a 10% increase in ARRA expenditures per-capita was negatively associated with fair to poor health (0.4 percentage point), number of physically (−0.08 days or 115 min during a 30-day period) or mentally (−0.05 days or 72 min during a 30-day period) unhealthy days in a month, premature death rate (158 deaths per 100,000 population) and adjusted mortality (7.6 deaths per 100,000 population decline). Overall, the direct and indirect association of economic stimulus with health outcomes through poverty and income are positive but effect sizes are small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1770-1773 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1597249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1597249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1770-1773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hazwan Haini Author-X-Name-First: Hazwan Author-X-Name-Last: Haini Title: Internet penetration, human capital and economic growth in the ASEAN economies: evidence from a translog production function Abstract: This study examines the effects of human capital formation and Internet penetration on economic growth. The Internet encourages economic growth by providing innovative applications and opportunities through a new medium of information exchange. The growth potential that the Internet provides, however, is dependent on the human capital formation of an economy to fully absorb the potential capabilities of the Internet. This study employs a panel dataset of 10 Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies from the period of 1999–2014 and examines the relationship using a translog production function model. The estimated results report that human capital formation and Internet penetration is positive and significant towards economic growth. Furthermore, human capital formation and the Internet interacts positively and is significant to economic growth, providing support for the absorptive ability of human capital. The ASEAN economies should continue to adopt policies that encourage human capital formation and support the development of the communication technology sector to promote affordability and accessibility of the Internet across the region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1774-1778 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1597250 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1597250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1774-1778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Richard Fu Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Lei Wedge Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Wedge Author-Name: Ziran Zou Author-X-Name-First: Ziran Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Uncertainty of capital productivity and declining discount rates Abstract: This paper considers the problem of instantaneous certainty-equivalent (ICE) discountrate when future return on capital is uncertain. We show that the ICE discount rate equals the expected return under atransformed risk-adjusted probability measure. Our approach allows us to analyze theICE discount rate regardless of the distribution of future return on capital. We provethat the ICE discount rate decreases as the delay time or the coefficient of relative riskaversion increases in a general setting. Our results lend further supports to adopting thedeclining discount rate (DDR) schedule for long-range projects with uncertain futurereturns on capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1779-1784 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1597251 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1597251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1779-1784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guifeng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Guifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Li Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Managerial ability, layoffs, and unemployment Abstract: In this paper, we examine the relationship between managerial ability and corporate layoffs as well as unemployment. We find managerial ability is negatively related to layoffs. Further, we find the average managerial ability of a county is negatively related to the county’s unemployment rate. The negative relationship is strengthened in counties with low education or income levels. The above findings are consistent with the notion that high-ability managers are less likely to use layoffs to enhance firm efficiency, and managerial ability is especially important for counties with low education or income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1785-1789 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1785-1789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shih-Kung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Kung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Jhong-You Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jhong-You Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Differential effects of outcome and probability on risky decision Abstract: Decision-making under uncertainty involves two main factors: probability and pay-off (outcome). Subjective expected utility theory argues that when making choices, the decision-maker selects the alternative that maximizes expected utility. Prospect theory argues that the decision-maker chooses the alternative that maximizes weighted value. Both theories argue for a weighted measure based on which the decision-maker makes choices. Neither explains, however, how probability and pay-off affect the decision-maker in making those choices. In addition, evidence exists that shows that utility is variable in relation to lotteries or frames, but how utility changes remains unknown. In this paper, we report an experiment to address this question; that is, how does pay-off or probability affect the decision-maker in making choices under uncertainty? The results show that when faced with gains, the decision-maker pays more attention to probability, whereas when faced with losses, the decision-maker seems equally sensitive to probability and pay-off in making choices under uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1790-1797 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1790-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Varghese Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Varghese Author-Name: Vinodh Madhavan Author-X-Name-First: Vinodh Author-X-Name-Last: Madhavan Title: Nonlinear dynamics in crude oil benchmarks: an AMH perspective Abstract: We investigate the nonlinear dynamics in global crude oil benchmarks at multiple frequencies from an Adaptive Market Hypothesis perspective. In doing so, we examine the role of time aggregation in the examination of nonlinearity. We find the evidence of neglected nonlinearity to be elusive at higher levels of time aggregation once the returns series is explicitly modeled for conditional heteroscedasticity. While bouts of transient inefficiencies are found to be more pronounced at lower levels of time aggregation, they are interspersed with protracted periods of efficiency. Further, our findings pinpoint the adequacy of appropriate AR-GARCH models in capturing most (if not all) of neglected nonlinearity in crude oil prices. Lastly, our study indicates the critical role played by AMH in elevating the level of scholarly discourse on the efficiency of crude oil benchmarks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1798-1801 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1798-1801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid M. Kisswani Author-X-Name-First: Khalid M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kisswani Title: Asymmetric gasoline-oil price nexus: recent evidence from non-linear cointegration investigation Abstract: In this paper, weekly data from June 1986 to October 2018 is used to investigate the asymmetric relationship between oil prices (WTI Spot Price) and gasoline prices (New York Harbor Conventional Gasoline Regular Spot Price). The novel non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lags (NARDL) approach of cointegration was adopted to examine the asymmetric association. The empirical results support long- and short-run asymmetry. Furthermore, the direction of causality between oil and gasoline prices is examined using the Toda and Yamamoto non-causality test. The results show bidirectional causality between oil prices (positive and negative innovations) and gasoline prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1802-1806 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1802-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Tasawar Hayat Author-X-Name-First: Tasawar Author-X-Name-Last: Hayat Author-Name: Nasser A. Kadasah Author-X-Name-First: Nasser A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kadasah Title: Monetary policy and the gender pay gap: evidence from UK households Abstract: This paper studies how monetary policy decisions affect the gender pay gap across UK households through a survey database. The results signify the impact of monetary policy shocks on the gap; monetary authorities’ decisions carry welfare effects for households through their pay income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1810 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1807-1810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiping Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Weiping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xintian Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Xintian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Yanshuang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yanshuang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Spatial spillover around G20 stock markets and impact on the return: a spatial econometrics approach Abstract: This paper investigates the spatial return spillover among G20 financial market and the factors of return. To achieve this object, we define the new gravitational space weight matrix, and construct the spatial autoregressive panel model (SAR). The results show that: (i) the new gravitational space weight matrix is more advantageous in capturing the multidimensional spatial spillover effects among stock markets; (ii) government debt, inflation and macroeconomic performance are significantly positively correlated with stock returns, while the real interest rate and stock market volatility have a negative effect on stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1811-1817 Issue: 21 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:21:p:1811-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Merrill W. Liechty Author-X-Name-First: Merrill W. Author-X-Name-Last: Liechty Author-Name: Ümit Sağlam Author-X-Name-First: Ümit Author-X-Name-Last: Sağlam Title: Revealed preferences for portfolio selection – does skewness matter? Abstract: In this article, we consider the portfolio selection problem as a Bayesian decision problem. We compare the traditional mean–variance and mean–variance–skewness efficient portfolios. We develop bi-level programming problem to investigate the market’s preference for risk by using observed (market) weights. Numerical experiments are conducted on a portfolio formed by the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Numerical results show that the market’s preferences are better explained when skewness is included. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 968-971 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:968-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Gerhardt Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Gerhardt Author-Name: Rudi Vander Vennet Author-X-Name-First: Rudi Author-X-Name-Last: Vander Vennet Title: European bank stress test and sovereign exposures Abstract: We use an event study methodology to revisit the bank stress test conducted by the European Banking Authority in 2011. Instead of only considering the final results disclosure, we consider six key official announcements during the stress test. Our results indicate that abnormal returns reversed over the course of the stress test and that the emerging sovereign crisis contributed to the stock market perception of bank health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 972-976 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:972-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Manero Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Manero Title: The limitations of negative incomes in the Gini coefficient decomposition by source Abstract: Lerman and Yitzhaki (1985) developed a decomposition of the Gini coefficient by income source that has been extensively used in the literature. This method has strong limitations in the presence of negative incomes, which were not discussed by the original authors and have been widely overlooked in successive studies. Through theoretical argumentation and practical examples, this article shows that, when using negative incomes, (1) the original decomposition formulae become inappropriate, (2) the marginal effects analysis may yield erroneous results and (3) the Pigou–Dalton ‘principle of transfers’ is not always met. This has critical implications for policy development, given that strategies based upon incorrect analyses could actually result in undesired greater income inequalities. The Gini source decomposition should be carefully applied by researchers and policymakers, especially in rural developing areas, where negative incomes are common due to financial losses from agricultural activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-981 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:977-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Semei Coronado Author-X-Name-First: Semei Author-X-Name-Last: Coronado Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Omar Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: Causality patterns for Brent, WTI, and Argus oil prices Abstract: Causality patterns are analysed for daily Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Argus Sour Crude Index (Argus) oil prices, Argus is the reference price for exports from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq. Nonparametric Granger causality testing uncovers bi-directional causal links between Brent and WTI prices at multiple lags. Unidirectional causality from both Brent to Argus and WTI to Argus is also documented. If the current Saudi Arabia attempt to increase market share is successful, variations in Argus prices may start preceding movements in Brent and WTI, also. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 982-986 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:982-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiro Kitamura Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kitamura Title: Predicting a flash crash in the yen/dollar foreign exchange market Abstract: I examine whether the volume-synchronized probability of informed trading (VPIN) can predict a flash crash in the yen/dollar foreign exchange market. The results show that VPIN using bulk volume classification predicted a recent event. However, VPIN using order flows, which are the amount of the ask-side transaction minus those of bid-side, does not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-990 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:987-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Hector Carcel Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Carcel Title: Fractional integration and nonlinear deterministic trends in the analysis of time series data Abstract: This article examines the interaction between fractional integration and nonlinear structures by using for the latter the Chebyshev polynomials in time that can be taken as an alternative, less abrupt way of modelling breaks in time series data. A Lagrange multiplier test, developed for testing the order of integration in the context of nonlinear deterministic trends, is implemented in three well-known and previously studied time series data: the Nile river data, the temperatures in the Northern hemisphere and CO2 emissions in the US. The results suggest that the second and especially the third time series display nonlinear behaviour still with fractional degrees of differentiation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-994 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:991-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lijie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lijie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wenbo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wenbo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Predictor imperfection: international evidence Abstract: Pástor and Stambaugh (2009) demonstrate that the relationship between predictors and equity premium is imperfect in US market using a new model named predictive system. This article extends their study by providing international evidence of predictor imperfection using samples from G7 countries. Our results show that predictor imperfection is ubiquitous in all G7 countries and that investors’ prior beliefs about the relationship between predictors and equity premium play a significant role in predictor’s explanatory power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-1000 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:995-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-hui Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jin-hui Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Zeyue Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zeyue Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Zhiru Lin Author-X-Name-First: Zhiru Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The appointment of celebrities to corporate boards in China: sword or shield? Abstract: This study examines whether reputation mechanism works for celebrity independent directors in China. We find that firms with celebrity independent directors experience higher multiple agency costs and worse performance, indicating that managers and/or large shareholders take celebrity-independent directors as a shield for facilitating grabbing private benefits. In addition, this effect varies between state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1004 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1245835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1245835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1001-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Pizzutilo Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pizzutilo Title: Measuring the under-diversification of socially responsible investments Abstract: This article proposes a straightforward measure of the residual unsystematic risk that a selective portfolio investment strategy, such as socially responsible investment, eventually bears. The model is empirically employed in order to analyse whether the MSCI socially responsible indices bear significant levels of volatility that could be diversified by not imposing social screenings to the set of eligible investments. The study finds that a low but not negligible part of the volatility of the returns could be diversified by not restricting the investment to socially responsible companies. Implications for the socially responsible investing industry and socially responsible investors are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1018 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1005-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahad Almudhaf Author-X-Name-First: Fahad Author-X-Name-Last: Almudhaf Author-Name: Yaser AlKulaib Author-X-Name-First: Yaser Author-X-Name-Last: AlKulaib Title: Market timing in precious metals is detrimental to value creation Abstract: Few number of days accounts for most of the returns delivered by precious metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium). A passive buy and hold investment strategy in precious metals outperforms market timers who miss the best 5, 10 and 50 days by 51%, 71% and 98%, respectively. Likewise, long-term performance of precious metals is largely determined by the return of few outliers (black swans). Thus, investors should reconsider trying to predict when to be in and out of the precious metals markets and support investing in precious metals ETFs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1024 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1019-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. Roach Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: Does raising indigent defender pay rates improve defendant outcomes? Evidence from New York Abstract: Beginning 1 January 2004, the rates paid to assigned counsel – private attorneys who defend the indigent in criminal cases when a public defender does not – were raised from a maximum of $40 per hour to $75 per hour in the state of New York. This article examines the extent to which this relatively large pay increase affects case outcomes. Efficiency wage theory would suggest paying workers higher rates can improve their productivity, and the results of this analysis are consistent with this. Using a difference-in-difference approach, I find that after the assigned counsel rate increase, case outcomes significantly improved in counties with higher poverty rates relative to those with lower poverty rates. The likelihood of conviction and the likelihood of pleading guilty both fell by more than two percentage points in high-poverty counties compared to low-poverty counties after the rate increase, and the differences in the likelihood of being convicted are especially pronounced for cases involving violent felonies. The results suggest raising assigned counsel rates can be an effective policy tool to improve indigent defence systems that are in need of reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1030 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1025-1030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan T. Kandilov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kandilov Author-Name: Aslı Leblebicioğlu Author-X-Name-First: Aslı Author-X-Name-Last: Leblebicioğlu Author-Name: Ruchita Manghnani Author-X-Name-First: Ruchita Author-X-Name-Last: Manghnani Title: Deregulation and firm investment: evidence from the dismantling of the license system in India Abstract: We analyse the impact of deregulatory reforms in India during the 1990s, which eliminated compulsory industrial licensing, on manufacturing firms’ investment decisions. We find an economically and statistically significant positive effect of delicensing on investment. We also show that firms in states with better credit conditions benefitted more from the removal of licences. Moreover, our analysis demonstrates that the increase in investment was predominantly driven by smaller firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1031-1034 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1031-1034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhijian Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Zhijian Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Xiaomei Qu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaomei Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Title: Optimal portfolio selection with maximal risk adjusted return Abstract: We investigate the portfolio diversification problem by maximizing the risk adjusted return (RAR) of the underlying portfolio. The model in this article has two primary advantages over the original portfolio selection model with maximal RAR: (1) it considers the set of available assets containing any number of assets instead of only two assets, which is more reasonable in practical applications and (2) it incorporates the general linear constraint other than the simple budget constraint, which can deal with additional constraints for rational investors. An application including in-sample and out-of-sample tests is provided where the results illustrate that the portfolios selected by our method lead to considerable increases of RAR in comparison with those by the minimization of variance approach, and the outperformance persists using different sample frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1040 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1035-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheolmin Pak Author-X-Name-First: Cheolmin Author-X-Name-Last: Pak Author-Name: Bonchul Ku Author-X-Name-First: Bonchul Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Title: The impact of technology imports on technology balance of payments in Korea: an ARDL bounds testing approach Abstract: This study empirically analyses the impact of technology imports on the technology balance of payments in Korea during 1981–2013 using the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach of co-integration. We estimate the long- and short-run coefficients of the technology balance of payments with respect to technology imports. The results show that technology imports produce positive effects on the technology balance of payments in the long run, although it has negative effects in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1045 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1041-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaoping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: PPP test for Asian countries and regions: new evidence from a wild bootstrap AESTAR test Abstract: This article investigates the effects of time-varying variance on the asymmetric exponential smooth transition autoregressive (AESTAR) unit root test. We propose a wild bootstrap-based implementation of the test, which is asymptotically valid under time-varying variance. We apply our proposed method to test the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for Asian countries and regions, and find that our proposed test provides stronger evidence against the PPP hypothesis than the conventional AESTAR test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1046-1050 Issue: 14 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1248353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1248353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:14:p:1046-1050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhagyashree Katare Author-X-Name-First: Bhagyashree Author-X-Name-Last: Katare Author-Name: Qihui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qihui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Michael Wetzstein Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wetzstein Title: Exam credits and exam performance in university economics courses − evidence from a regression discontinuity experiment Abstract: We estimate effects of nonfinancial incentives, combined with the notion of ‘loss aversion,’ on students’ exam performance in two introductory economics courses. Our experiment awarded five points to students who scored below the median score on Midterm I as an incentive to improve their performance on Midterm II − these points would be lost if they failed to improve their performance. Regression discontinuity analysis indicates that this incentive improved male students’ performance by 0.38 standard deviations on Midterm II. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-689 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:685-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hübler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hübler Author-Name: Axel Herdecke Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Herdecke Title: The US trade dispute: blunt offense or rational strategy? Abstract: This article evaluates the recent protectionist US trade policy and the retaliation of the EU and China. The article employs a New Quantitative Trade Theory model and an Armington model for comparison. The simulation results show that US car tariffs are a credible threat to the EU, but the steel and aluminum tariffs are not. China suffers considerably from the US tariffs, especially the latest extended, tightened tariffs. The retaliation measures of the EU and China, however, do not cause significant US welfare losses compared to the situation without mutual trade policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 690-696 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:690-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marko Korhonen Author-X-Name-First: Marko Author-X-Name-Last: Korhonen Author-Name: Rauli Svento Author-X-Name-First: Rauli Author-X-Name-Last: Svento Author-Name: Mikko Vaaramo Author-X-Name-First: Mikko Author-X-Name-Last: Vaaramo Title: Self-employment and psychometric measure of risk aversion: a replication and extension Abstract: We examine whether the psychometric feature, called fear of uncertainty, predicts self-employment choice by individuals. Using the most recent Northern Finland birth cohort 1966 (NFBC1966) data from 2012, we find no clear evidence of such an effect. We also explore whether this effect might have changed due to increase of females in labour market, endogenous adaptation in risk preferences or because of the self-employment experience itself affects risk preferences. These effects are not significant, either. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-702 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:697-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Sarra Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Sarra Author-Name: Marialisa Mazzocchitti Author-X-Name-First: Marialisa Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchitti Author-Name: Donatella Furia Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Furia Title: The distinction of direct and indirect inputs in the Input-Output subsystem approach Abstract: Input-Output analysis, and the subsystem approach in particular, have been widely used in the literature to assess the nature and process of structural change of national economies, with particular reference to deindustrialization and tertiarization processes, as well as to the evolution of the level of centrality of manufacturing in GDP growth. Our paper suggests a methodology to separate, within the subsystems, direct inputs from indirect inputs, which depend on the Input-Output production function and the general organization of the economic system respectively. We provide an example of the application of such methodology to the manufacturing subsystems in Germany and Italy over the period 2000–2014. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-707 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:703-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soheil R. Nadimi Author-X-Name-First: Soheil R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nadimi Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: The welfare gains from a refusal to deal Abstract: A vertically integrated provider (VIP) initially has a duty to deal with a rival at unregulated upstream and downstream prices. The duty to deal is subsequently terminated which enables the VIP to acquire the rival and serve as a two-product, downstream monopolist. We find that the refusal to deal is welfare-enhancing given that consumer and producer surplus increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 708-713 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:708-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer T. Lai Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Jiaying Yao Author-X-Name-First: Jiaying Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Siblings effects and housing tenure decisions: evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates the effect of siblings that a household head and spouse have on households housing tenure decision. Based on a sample of the China Health and Nutrition survey data that spans from 2000 till 2015, we find that households whose head and spouse have more siblings tend to have a higher probability of owning houses they occupy. This effect remains robust under different model specifications and instrumental variable estimation. In addition, we find that only when siblings have better home ownership status, households may have a higher probability of owning house when siblings incomes increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 714-718 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:714-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeyeong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jinhyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jinhyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The impact of health IT on hospital productivity after the enactment of HITECH Act Abstract: We investigated the impact of health IT on hospital productivity after HITECH Act in USA.Retrospective cohort study used hospital financial data from the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development (OSHPD). The hospital sample included 1,843 from 2010 to 2015. The effect of health IT on hospital productivity was evaluated using dynamic panel data analysis to control endogeneity problems in production function. We found a significant impact of IT on hospital productivity. Marginal productivity of IT capital and IT labor were 1.42 and 6.15, respectively. However, to have an optimal productivity given the current state of technology, IT capital and IT labor should be invested up to 8% and 10% of value-added, respectively. With the enactment of HITECH act, health IT investment has increased significantly. However, more IT should be invested to maximize hospital productivity. Based on this finding, managers or practitioners in hospitals can be more confident when investing in health IT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-724 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:719-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mihye Lee Author-X-Name-First: Mihye Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does a firm’s access to external finance matter for its performance? Abstract: This paper explores the role of a firms financial condition in determining a firms performance from 2008 to 2017 based on Korean firm-level data. We define the financial condition of a firm as measuring the firms need to access external financing and examine whether firms with a higher demand for external finance grow faster or slower than the other firms. We also examine to what extent the provision of loans to firms can promote the growth of those is in need of external financing. Our empirical analysis shows that the financial condition of a firm appears to be significant in deciding the firm's growth, by showing that firms that are short in internal cash flows tend to grow more slowly than those are not. However, provision of loans to those firms can mitigate the negative effects of financial condition on growth significantly. Those empirical results reaffirm the findings in the existing literature at the firm level and suggest that an appropriate supply of loans may be crucial for firms growth in an economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Author-Name: Oktay Kızılkaya Author-X-Name-First: Oktay Author-X-Name-Last: Kızılkaya Author-Name: Faruk Mike Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Mike Title: Testing the long-run PPP for Turkey: new evidence from the Fourier quantile unit root test Abstract: This study analyses the long-run validity of the purchasing power parity (PPP) between Turkey and its major trading partners (China, Euro Area, Russia, United Kingdom, and United States) by using the Fourier quantile unit root test. Fourier quantile unit root test results show that PPP is valid for all countries. Additionally, the Fourier quantile unit root test presents more evidence in favour of the PPP hypothesis in comparison to conventional and other Fourier-type unit root tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-735 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:729-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul A. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul A. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Parameter variation in the 'log t' convergence test Abstract: This article estimates a local linear version of the model used in the ‘log t’ convergence test. It documents the economically and statistically significant within-sample variation in the estimated value of the key parameter of that test when applied to data for 18 OECD countries during the twentieth century. This variation suggests the substantial waxing and waning of the forces driving convergence, possibly due to low-frequency shocks and changes in the level of economic integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 736-739 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:736-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qi Luo Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: How colonial legacy shapes the impact of inward FDI on GDP? Evidence from China Abstract: Using panel data covering 30 provinces from 2000 to 2016, we study how colonization shapes the effect of inward FDI (foreign direct investment) on GDP in China. We find that western colonization influence strengthens the positive effect of inward FDI on GDP by approximately 4–5% whereas the Japanese colonization influence overturns such effect with a negative impact around minus 20%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 740-743 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:740-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Pearlman Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Pearlman Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: The impact of education-occupation mismatches on wages in Mexico Abstract: Higher levels of educational have been shown to increases an individual’s earnings, but these impacts may be less apparent when an education-occupation match fails to occur. Previous studies show education-occupation mismatches to impact earnings, productivity and migration. We analyze the impact of education-occupation matching on earnings in Mexico from 2012 to 2017. The returns from an additional year of schooling are higher when one secures employment in an occupation that requires the additional education. We also extend our analysis to women whom earn less than their male counterparts, however observe higher returns from additional schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 744-747 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:744-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuyun Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xuyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Zheng Pan Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Lijuan Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Lijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Title: Price volatility and price transmission in perishable commodity markets: evidence from Chinese lychee markets Abstract: This paper examines price volatility and price transmission in lychee markets in China. The empirical results provide strong evidence of price volatility clustering in farm and retail markets, and the farm prices exhibit negative asymmetric volatility. We find a bi-directional Granger causal relationship between farm prices and retail prices. The impulse analysis shows that the retail price responses to farm price shocks reach the maximum value faster than the farm price responses to retail price shocks. Retail price shocks cause larger short-run positive effects on farm prices. The variance decomposition indicates that the long-run effects of retail price shocks on farm price changes are larger than the effects of farm price shocks on retail price changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 748-752 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:748-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rashid Latief Author-X-Name-First: Rashid Author-X-Name-Last: Latief Author-Name: Sohail Ahmad Javeed Author-X-Name-First: Sohail Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Javeed Author-Name: Ahmed Shafique Joyo Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Shafique Author-X-Name-Last: Joyo Title: The economic effects of foreign direct investment at firm level: evidence from enterprises survey data Abstract: This article aims to analyse the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI), with a focus on foreign ownership of firms, on the growth of output in South Asian firms by using enterprises surveys data for different periods. Using the Cobb–Douglas production function, we employed the econometric model to analyse the relationship between the firm-level characteristics and the output of firms. Furthermore, we estimated the moving averages of FDI inflows and GDP and their trends over the periods. Empirical results demonstrated the significance of inputs, specifically the FDI, employment growth and labour productivity in the context of many selected countries. The moving average results showed that FDI and GDP in major South Asian countries have been reduced after global financial crises of 2008. It can be concluded that the FDI, employment growth and labour productivity are the major contributing factors to the growth of output in the South Asian countries. Thus, this study has insight for the foreign investors and policymakers for the South Asian region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-758 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:753-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerson De Souza Raimundo Júnior Author-X-Name-First: Gerson De Souza Author-X-Name-Last: Raimundo Júnior Author-Name: Marcelo Cabus Klotzle Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Cabus Author-X-Name-Last: Klotzle Author-Name: Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Author-Name: André Luis Leite Author-X-Name-First: André Author-X-Name-Last: Luis Leite Title: Political risk, fear, and herding on the Brazilian stock exchange Abstract: This study analyses beta herding in the Brazilian stock market using a state–space model, controlled by two company groupings: those listed on the market index and those listed on the stock exchange as a whole. The findings revealed high herding in the Brazilian stock exchange, with only small differences between the groupings. Concerning the control variables, we verified that dividend yield, market volatility, SMB and WML factors were significant for both groups, indicating that herding is significant irrespective of those variables behavior Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-763 Issue: 9 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:9:p:759-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bebonchu Atems Author-X-Name-First: Bebonchu Author-X-Name-Last: Atems Author-Name: Lance Bachmeier Author-X-Name-First: Lance Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmeier Author-Name: Corey Williams Author-X-Name-First: Corey Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Do jet fuel price movements help forecast airline fares and the demand for air travel? Abstract: The paper studies the predictive content of jet fuel prices for the U.S. aviation industry through in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting exercises. Our results suggest the possibility of limited improvements in the predictions of airline fares, and little evidence of predictability from jet fuel prices to measures of air travel demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-882 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1510466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1510466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:877-882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Joss Gossel Author-X-Name-First: Sean Joss Author-X-Name-Last: Gossel Author-Name: Andrew Beard Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Beard Title: Governance and portfolio flows in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the six World Governance Indicators and foreign portfolio investment in 33 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the years of 1998–2015. GMM analysis finds that portfolio inflows are most significantly attracted by the ability of SSA governments to implement policies effectively, strengthening the quality of institutions, and controlling corruption; but are deterred by the regions poor record of the rule of law and political stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-887 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1510467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1510467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:883-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Education expansion and decline in tertiary premium in Brazil: 1995-2013 Abstract: Using Brazil National Household Survey 1995–2013 data, this paper examines how the education expansion in Brazil impacted the tertiary premium through the interaction of relative supply and relative demand. The identification of the impact of relative demand on education premium provides an empirical testing of the Heckscher-Ohlin model in the context of Brazil. The results suggest that the change in relative supply had converged the education premium thus converged the wage income distribution. The results also show that there was no decrease in relative demand for skilled workers in Brazil in the past two decades, which is inconsistent with what the Heckscher-Ohlin model predicts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 888-892 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1510468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1510468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:888-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel L. Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Author-Name: Beatriz Maldonado Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Maldonado Title: Is there adaptation to predictable climate change along the temperature-conflict nexus? Evidence from the El Niño Southern Oscillation Abstract: A growing body of research connects short-run deviations in weather with violence. Less well understood is the scope for agents to adapt to medium and longer-run climate fluctuations. We follow existing research and use the existing climactic forces of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to analyse climate change – exploiting the fact that in 1989 published forecasts of these fluctuations became available. In a generalized differences framework, we contrast the impact of ENSO in affected areas of the globe relative to unaffected areas before and after 1989, finding no robust evidence that adaptation efforts are successfully mitigating conflict or civil unrest occurring as a result of these fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1510469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1510469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Nianling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Nianling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yiwei Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Yiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Title: Bayesian asset pricing testing under multivariate t-distribution Abstract: The distribution of asset returns has often been proved to be heavy-tailed. In this paper, based on the Fama-French five-factor model with multivariate t-distribution, we develop a convenient and explicit Bayesian approach to test asset pricing. The developed test statistic is only by-product of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs, and hence it is very convenient in practice. Simulation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the finite sample performance of the proposed approach. Finally, the Fama-French data are used for testing the efficiency of financial markets, and the result shows that the market efficiency is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 898-901 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1512740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1512740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:898-901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason M. Fletcher Author-X-Name-First: Jason M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fletcher Title: Examining the long-term mortality effects of early health shocks Abstract: A growing literature in economics and other disciplines has tied exposure to early health shocks, particularly in utero influenza, to reductions in a variety of socioeconomic and health outcomes over the life course. However, less evidence exists that examines this health shock on mortality because of lack of available data. This paper uses recently released restricted-access files from the large, representative National Longitudinal Mortality Study in the United States to explore the mortality effects of the 1918 influenza pandemic for those in utero. While the results on socioeconomic outcomes mimic those in the literature, showing reductions in completed schooling and income fifty years following influenza exposure, the findings also suggest no effect on overall mortality or by categories of cause-of-death. These results are unexpected in their contrast with the many reported effects of in utero insults on later cardiovascular health as well as the literature linking education with later mortality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 902-908 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1520960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1520960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:902-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luís Guimarães Author-X-Name-First: Luís Author-X-Name-Last: Guimarães Title: Low skill wages and mismeasured inflation Abstract: The current literature presents evidence that the real wage of male workers at the 10th percentile of the wage distribution has fallen since 1970. Yet, contributions within this literature deflate nominal wages using a mismeasured deflator. Another strand of literature documents that the mismeasurement of the deflator is sizable, with recent estimates exceeding0.6 percentage points per year. In this paper, I adjust the deflator and reestimate the implied evolution of male low skill wages. This simple exercise implies that male low skill wages were about 15 log-points higher in 2013 than in 1970. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-913 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1520961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1520961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:909-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Unsal Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Unsal Title: Analyst coverage and lawsuit risk Abstract: In this study, we use a unique, hand-collected dataset of employee lawsuits and study the impact of analyst coverage on labour relations. We find that an increase in analyst coverage lowers the work-related litigations. In addition, we show that an increased number of analysts lowers the litigation cost, measured by settlement fees and attorney fees. Our results suggest analysts have an important impact on employee relations. Our research enriches the literature on employment practices and analyst coverage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 914-918 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1520962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1520962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:914-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Equiza-Goñi Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Equiza-Goñi Author-Name: Fernando Perez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Perez de Gracia Title: Impact of state-dependent oil price on US stock returns using local projections Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the impact of oil prices on both aggregate and industry US real stock returns over the period 1973–2017. The empirical analysis contributes to the related literature introducing a state-dependent oil price (high and low) and the local projections approach. Our main finding is that, depending on the nature of the shock and industry, the negative effects of oil price shocks become exacerbated -and the positive effects get moderated- if oil prices are already high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-926 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1523610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1523610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:919-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucas W. Davis Author-X-Name-First: Lucas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Evidence of a homeowner-renter gap for electric vehicles Abstract: This paper provides the first empirical analysis of the homeowner-renter gap for electric vehicles. Using newly-available U.S. nationally representative data, the analysis shows that homeowners are three times more likely than renters to own an electric vehicle. The gap is highly statistically significant, and remains even after controlling for income. For example, among households with annual income between $75,000 and $100,000, 1 in 130 homeowners owns an electric vehicle, compared to 1 in 370 renters. Additional controls do little to narrow the gap. The paper argues that this is a version of what economists have called the “landlord-tenant’’ problem, and briefly discusses potential policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-932 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1523611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1523611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:927-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sukwoong Choi Author-X-Name-First: Sukwoong Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Namil Kim Author-X-Name-First: Namil Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Are social entrepreneurs more risk-averse? Abstract: We have a conventional wisdom that risk-seeking behaviours are related to commercially oriented entrepreneurs. For this reason, most studies have focused on the context of commercial entrepreneurship, and thus we do not know the risk propensity of social entrepreneurs. Using the PSM method, contrary to our wisdom, we find that social entrepreneurs tend to more have about 15% risk-seeking propensity than commercial entrepreneurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umar Nawaz Kayani Author-X-Name-First: Umar Nawaz Author-X-Name-Last: Kayani Author-Name: Tracy-Anne De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Tracy-Anne Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Christopher Gan Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Title: Working capital management and corporate governance: a new pathway for assessing firm performance Abstract: This study reports the relationship of working capital management (WCM) and corporate governance (CG) on firm performance (FP) using system generalized method of moments (SGMM). SGMM controls potential sources of endogeneity. This study uses US listed firms and includes two stages. In the first stage, the individual impact of WCM and CG on FP is examined. In the second stage, the collective effect of WCM and CG on FP is examined. The study finds that efficient WCM and good CG practices do affect FP on both an individual basis and on a collective basis. Therefore, this study recommends that the impact of WCM, being a short-term performance indicator, and CG, being a long-term indicator should be considered collectively in the future while investigating financial FP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 938-942 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:938-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Feder Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Feder Title: Biased and neutral technological change: empirical evidence from a sample of OECD countries Abstract: Using data from the KLEMS database for $$12$$12 capitalist countries, pertaining to years 1973–2005, we show that the direction, the composition, and the effects on productivity of technological changes vary considerably across space and time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-947 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:943-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Crespo Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Author-Name: Nadia Simoes Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Simoes Author-Name: Sandrina Moreira Author-X-Name-First: Sandrina Author-X-Name-Last: Moreira Title: Bringing geography into the analysis of trade competition Abstract: Trade competition between two countries is usually measured through structural similarity indicators (e.g., Krugman Specialization Index). We contribute to the area of research that focuses on how to measure trade competition between two countries by proposing an indicator that simultaneously accounts for structural and geographical similarity (i.e., similarity in sectoral weights for each market and weights of destination markets). We perform an empirical analysis considering the exports from the 28 EU countries to more than 120 markets. The importance of the geographical dimension is confirmed, highlighting that applied studies may produce inaccurate conclusions when this dimension is excluded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 948-953 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:948-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huwei Wen Author-X-Name-First: Huwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Zhao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Talent introduction and housing price: a tale of Xi’an Abstract: A comprehensive competition policy for talent introduction was first implemented in Xi’an in February 2017 and has been imitated by many cities in China ever since. Although turned out to be useful in alleviating the problem of talents loss in the lower-tier cities, the policy has been criticized for its potential effect of driving up housing prices. Using the synthetic control method proposed by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003), we explore the influence of the competition policy for talent introduction on housing prices in Xi’an. Based on the monthly data of Xi’an and 62 control cities across 30 provinces in China from January 2015 to April 2018, we find strong evidence for the positive effect of the competition policy on housing prices. Specifically, the policy increased housing prices in Xi’an by approximately 43% until April 2018. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 954-962 Issue: 11 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:11:p:954-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Giovanni Bonaccolto Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaccolto Title: The US real GNP is trend-stationary after all Abstract: This article applies the Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form (FFFFF) Dickey–Fuller (DF)-type unit root test on the natural logarithm of US real GNP over the quarterly period of 1875:1–2015:2, to determine whether the same is trend- or difference-stationary. While standard and Integer Frequency Flexible Fourier Form DF-type test fails to reject the null of unit root, the relatively more powerful FFFFF DF-type test provides strong evidence of the real GNP as being trend-stationary, i.e. US output returns to a deterministic log-nonlinear trend in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 510-514 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:510-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samiul Haque Author-X-Name-First: Samiul Author-X-Name-Last: Haque Author-Name: Michael S. Delgado Author-X-Name-First: Michael S. Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado Title: Finite sample performance of specification tests for correlated random effects quantile panel regressions Abstract: We investigate the finite sample performance of the Abrevaya and Dahl (2008) test for coefficient heterogeneity for a correlated random effects ‘mean’ (CREM) panel quantile regression estimator. We assess size and power of the test over a range of sample sizes and panel dimensions. The test is undersized for small-to-moderate sample sizes and displays low power even with a high degree of heteroscedasticity. Size and power improve substantially in larger samples. Our results provide insight for applied researchers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-519 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:515-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: Estimating the determinants of arrest-related deaths at the state level Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to ascertain the determinants of arrest-related deaths (ARDs) at the state level. ARDs are civilian deaths that occurred during or shortly after an arrest or detention by state or local law enforcement. These deaths may be attributed to a variety of factors, including use of force by police, injuries sustained when attempting to elude police, self-inflicted injuries and medical conditions. Using data compiled by the Bureau of Justice Statistics for the period 2003–2009 and employing a Poisson regression model, the results of the present study suggest that race is not statistically related to ARDs. Hence, the percentage of a state’s population that is African-American has no effect on ARDs. The factors found to be most significantly related to ARDs include the gun-related murder rate, the percentage of the state population that is under the age of 35, population density and police per capita. All were found to be positively related to ARDs. This study is one of the first studies that examines the determinants of state-level ARDs, and this study is one of the few studies on ARDs that finds that race is not a factor in ARDs Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 520-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:520-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Gianmaria Martini Author-X-Name-First: Gianmaria Author-X-Name-Last: Martini Author-Name: Davide Scotti Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Scotti Author-Name: Nicola Volta Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Volta Title: Fare elasticities of demand for direct and indirect flights in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This article examines the different demands for direct and indirect flights within sub-Saharan Africa. It develops both a simple reduced form model and a more refined two equation simultaneously system to examine bookings and fares on the major air transportation corridors. Using panel data, this allows estimation of the different fare elasticities of demand for direct and indirect services between the continents’ major cities as well as assessing the respective merits of the two models used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Hännikäinen Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Hännikäinen Title: The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment Abstract: This article examines the predictive content of the shadow rates for US real activity and inflation in a data-rich environment. We find that the shadow rates contain substantial out-of-sample predictive power for inflation in nonzero lower bound and zero lower bound periods. In contrast, the shadow rates are uninformative about future real activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-535 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:527-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioanna Konstantakopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Ioanna Author-X-Name-Last: Konstantakopoulou Author-Name: Mike G. Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Mike G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: The long-run causal relationship between exports and economic growth in the euro area Abstract: This article employs panel methods that mitigate heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence to determine the direction and sign of long run causality between exports and economic growth in the euro area economies from 2000 to 2014. The empirical evidence indicates that there is a unidirectional long-run Granger causality relationship from exports to economic growth in the euro area countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 536-539 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:536-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Foreign investor trading and information asymmetry: evidence from a leading emerging market Abstract: This article examines the influence of foreign investor trading on information asymmetry in the Korean stock market, a representative emerging market characterized by a high level of information asymmetry between corporate insiders and outsiders, and among investors. We find a significantly positive relationship between foreign investor trading and the consequent bid–ask spread – the latter of which is considered as a proxy for the degree of information asymmetry – on both daily and weekly bases. Our results indicate that active foreign investor trading tends to exacerbate informational variation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 540-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:540-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nafis Alam Author-X-Name-First: Nafis Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Rasyad A. Parinduri Author-X-Name-First: Rasyad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Parinduri Title: Do Islamic banks shift from mark-up to equity financing when their contracting environments are improved? Abstract: Islamic banks should share their profits and losses with their customers through equity financing but most of their assets are mark-up financing, which resembles loans. Theoretically, one of the reasons is Islamic banks operate in poor contracting environments where equity financing is very risky. Using fixed-effects models, we examine whether better contracting environments induce Islamic banks to shift from mark-up to equity financing. We find no evidence that contracting environments do, which means debt-like instruments will continue dominating Islamic banks’ assets in the near future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raúl Brey Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Brey Author-Name: José I. Castillo-Manzano Author-X-Name-First: José I. Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Manzano Author-Name: Mercedes Castro-Nuño Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Castro-Nuño Title: ‘I want to ride my bicycle’: delimiting cyclist typologies Abstract: Based around fieldwork in Seville (Spain), our article provides an empirical analysis with the aim of determining whether different typologies of cyclists exist depending on the type of bicycle for urban commuting (public bicycle/private bicycle). Our findings show that users of public bicycles are predominantly male, young, with a high level of education, and basically use the public bicycle for subsistence trips due to its easy intermodality; while private bicycle riders are mainly females who regularly make nonsubsistence trips and prefer a more flexible bicycle for their daily needs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-552 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:549-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujiang Bi Author-X-Name-First: Yujiang Author-X-Name-Last: Bi Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Title: US monetary policy shocks and the Chinese economy: a GVAR approach Abstract: Using a global vector auto regressive (GVAR) methodology, this article examines the impact of US monetary policy shocks on China’s major macroeconomic indicators. Our analysis reveals that a positive shock to the US money supply growth rate initially increases China’s inflation rate but after some time this effect completely disappears. This shock also raises China’s short-term interest rate and the Chinese currency appreciates against the US dollar. A positive shock to the US short-term interest rate increases China’s short-term interest rate but the real output growth and inflation rates decline and the Chinese currency appreciates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-558 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:553-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Deng Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Sifei Li Author-X-Name-First: Sifei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Mingqing Liao Author-X-Name-First: Mingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: The effect of heterogeneous beliefs on mergers and acquisitions Abstract: This article investigates the effect of heterogeneous beliefs on firms’ mergers and acquisitions (M&A) decisions. Using data of China’s financial market, which is featured with great heterogeneity of belief, we find that heterogeneous beliefs are positively associated with the occurrence of M&A transactions, and firms with greater heterogeneous beliefs are more likely to pay the transactions with stock. Moreover, we show that government intervention, measured by state ownership, weakens the effect of heterogeneous beliefs on firms’ M&A decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Frattini Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Frattini Author-Name: F. Nicolli Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolli Author-Name: G. Prodi Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Prodi Title: Growth convergence and local steady states across Chinese prefectures Abstract: This article investigates how economic growth paths diverge across Chinese prefectural cities. Based on the conditional convergence hypothesis, the analysis includes inward foreign direct investments and patent applications to the European Patent Office as additional proxies of steady-state income levels and allows the convergence parameter to vary across groups. The results show that within-convergence rates are different across groups, but growth drivers positively affect both intraregional and interregional catching up. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Hachmi Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: Hachmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ameur Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Title: Does Islamic banking performance vary across regions? A new puzzle Abstract: This article investigates the performance of Islamic banks (IBs) across four different regions (Egypt, the Gulf, the UK and the US) in the aftermath of the subprime crisis. Using daily data and two performance ratio proxies (ROA (Return on Asset) and Tobin Q), we show that the performance of IBs varies significantly from one region to another, with the highest level for regions in the West. This result suggests a new puzzle as application of the same Sharia Board rules and sales of similar products should normally provide comparable performance outcomes for IBs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1210764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Author-Name: Iegor Vyshnevskyi Author-X-Name-First: Iegor Author-X-Name-Last: Vyshnevskyi Title: The ‘Twin Peaks’ model of post-crisis banking supervision Abstract: This article examines the effectiveness of the ‘Twin Peaks’ supervision model, in which consumer protection and prudential regulation are carried out by two separate regulatory agencies. We use a dataset from 143 countries for the period of 2004–2011 to find that the Twin Peaks model is associated with a higher quality of banking supervision in terms of the efficiency and stability of financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-574 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:571-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daeho Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeho Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kyunam Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyunam Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Title: An analysis of the impact of unionization on efficiency: evidence from a meta-frontier analysis Abstract: This article examines the impact of unions on the efficiency of establishments in the manufacturing industry by comparing the results from two different empirical strategies: stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) and meta-frontier analysis (MFA). While SFA concludes that union establishments show higher technological efficiency, the results are the opposite when estimating production functions with MFA. In SFA, unionized establishments appear to be more efficient because they remain closer to their own production frontier; however, in MFA – where groups with heterogeneous technology can be compared – we find that nonunionized establishments are more efficient because they are closer to the meta-frontier than their unionized counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-578 Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:575-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 8 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1257155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1257155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:8:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Pin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Pin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ying-Sing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ying-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The impacts of investor sentiment and price uncertainty on the effects of open-market share repurchase announcements Abstract: This study probes into relationship between investor sentiment and cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) of share repurchase announcements, and it treats market return as threshold variable. By threshold regression model, it tries to find the effect of market situations on relation between investor sentiment and CAR. According to empirical result, in share market of Taiwan, investor sentiment can explain CAR. When share market is extremely pessimistic (market return lower than −16.0053%), relation between investor sentiment and CAR will change to some degree. In addition, relation between price risk of announcement company and CAR will disappear with the extremely pessimistic situation of market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 730-733 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1361002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1361002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:730-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jolanda Hessels Author-X-Name-First: Jolanda Author-X-Name-Last: Hessels Author-Name: Efstratia Arampatzi Author-X-Name-First: Efstratia Author-X-Name-Last: Arampatzi Author-Name: Peter van der Zwan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: van der Zwan Author-Name: Martijn Burger Author-X-Name-First: Martijn Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Title: Life satisfaction and self-employment in different types of occupations Abstract: In this research, we investigate whether a positive relationship between life satisfaction and self-employment (versus paid employment) exists while simultaneously considering two occupational dimensions: white-collar versus blue-collar work and high-skilled versus low-skilled work. Using Eurobarometer data for a large number of European countries (2008–2012), our findings confirm that self-employed workers are more satisfied with their lives than paid employees are. A life satisfaction premium is also found when the self-employed and paid employees are compared within similar occupations in terms of collar type and skill level. Finally, self-employment can help to overcome low life satisfaction scores associated with blue-collar and low-skilled work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 734-740 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1361003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1361003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:734-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Setareh Katircioğlu Author-X-Name-First: Setareh Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioğlu Author-Name: Salih Katircioğlu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioğlu Title: Testing the role of urban development in the conventional Environmental Kuznets Curve: evidence from Turkey Abstract: We tested the role of urbanization in the conventional Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) of Turkey’s developing economy and rapid urbanization. The effects of an increase in carbon dioxide emissions were due to the usage of fuel oil and other traditional energy consumption patterns related to urban development. Based on our findings, we suggest that the EKC of Turkey is not an inverted U-shape. Thus, adapting of alternative and clean energy systems is necessary and unavoidable in Turkey, and Turkish authorities should consider renewable and alternative uses of energy to sustain a stable EKC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-746 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1361004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1361004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:741-746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: He Nie Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Yonghong Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Baoqing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Baoqing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Do different time horizons in the volatility of the US stock market significantly affect the China ETF market? Abstract: This article investigates the linear, nonlinear and time-varying Granger causality between different time horizons in the volatility of US stock market and the China Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) market. We find evidence of linear causality from the US stock market to the China ETF market, with a bilateral nonlinear causal relationship in the longer term. Bootstrap rolling causality analysis indicates high rejection rates of a noncausal relationship running from the US stock market to the China EFT market. The causality linkage from the China ETF market to the US stock market was determined to be time-horizon-dependent, and the null hypothesis rejection rate of non-Granger causality increased in the longer term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1363853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1363853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Fang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: David A. Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Is it China that leads the Asian stock market contagion in 2015? Abstract: This article examines the influence of China B-share aggregates on major Asian stock market aggregates during 2015 China crash. Results indicate the China market shows strong negative impact and is highly responsible for leading most markets down during the crash. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 752-757 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1363854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1363854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:752-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher J. Boudreaux Author-X-Name-First: Christopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Boudreaux Author-Name: Randall G. Holcombe Author-X-Name-First: Randall G. Author-X-Name-Last: Holcombe Title: Is institutional improvement possible? Abstract: A substantial literature shows that economic prosperity is dependent on the quality of economic institutions. Countries with low-quality institutions remain poor while countries with high-quality institutions prosper. Improvement in institutional quality brings with it economic growth. Poor countries must improve their economic institutions to escape poverty; so, if a poor country’s institutional structure is unlikely to improve, that suggests dismal prospects for economic growth and an escape from poverty. An examination of institutional quality over 30 years indicates that countries with low-quality institutions have improved their institutional quality, which demonstrates that poor countries are not stuck with low-quality institutions. They can improve their institutions, and consequently, can generate economic growth and escape poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 758-761 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1363856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1363856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:758-761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Lou Abatayo Author-X-Name-First: Anna Lou Author-X-Name-Last: Abatayo Author-Name: John Lynham Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lynham Author-Name: Katerina Sherstyuk Author-X-Name-First: Katerina Author-X-Name-Last: Sherstyuk Title: Facebook-to-Facebook: online communication and economic cooperation Abstract: Direct face-to-face communication has traditionally been found to be more effective for fostering economic cooperation than any form of indirect, mediated communication. We inquire whether this is still the case since most young adults routinely use texting and online social media to communicate with each other. We find that young adults in our laboratory public goods experiment are just as adept at finding and sustaining cooperative agreements when communicating within a Facebook group and through online chat as they are in person. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 762-767 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1363857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1363857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:762-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Mar Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Mar Title: Racial diversity and academic test scores in public elementary schools Abstract: This article examines the effect of racial diversity on academic achievement using panel data on San Francisco’s public elementary schools from 2003 to 2007. Theories argue that the relationship between racial diversity and academic achievement may be positive or negative. Few studies have examined the effect of racial diversity in US elementary schools. Fixed effects models are used to examine the relationship between racial diversity and academic performance in elementary schools. Controls for student differences and teaching staff differences are added as part of the education production function literature. Results show that racial diversity has little effect on academic achievement scores. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 768-771 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:768-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Taihui Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Taihui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The myth of China’s monetization Abstract: This article develops a simple model of M2/GDP based on the money demand function of Milton Friedman. This model proves that M2/GDP is positively related to the expected wealth and negatively related to the opportunity costs of holding money. China’s extremely high monetization ratio as measured by M2/GDP is the result of a decades-long rapid economic growth and a depressed financial system. Fast economic growth leads to high expected wealth. A depressed financial system leads to low opportunity costs of holding money. The combination of those two factors increases money demand and leads to very high M2/GDP. The model is verified indirectly by testing two implied testable hypothesizes. The study of this article raises questions on the accuracy of M2/GDP as a measure of monetization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 772-775 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:772-775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Online advertising networks and consumer perceptions of privacy Abstract: I use crowd-sourced ratings of website trustworthiness to investigate how consumers weigh the privacy impact of online advertising technologies. I find that using one additional advertising network is associated with a 0.7% increase in trust score and that using a behavioural network is associated with a 4.6% increase in trust score. These counter-intuitive results support the notion that consumers are unaware of the advertising technologies used by websites and their impact on privacy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 776-780 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:776-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoung Tae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyoung Tae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jonghee Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jonghee Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Financial literacy and use of payday loans in the United States Abstract: Using the 2012 National Financial Capability Study, this study investigated the relationship between financial literacy and payday loan use. An instrumental variable approach was employed to address a possible endogeneity issue using a newly developed instrument of financial literacy based on the community network effect. Results from linear regressions indicated that financial literacy was associated negatively with the use of payday loans, and its effect was greater with the use of the instrument. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gardner Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gardner Title: A simple approximation to the average effect of the treatment on the treated in panel settings with selective enrolment Abstract: This article shows that, in panel settings when the probability of receiving a treatment is low, simple comparisons of outcomes between those who are treated in a given period and those who are untreated in that period, but receive the treatment in some other period, approximately identify the average effect of the treatment on the treated. Monte Carlo simulations reveal that this approximate selection-correction substantially reduces selection bias relative to naive comparisons of outcomes between treated and untreated units. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-790 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:785-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Li Donni Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Donni Author-Name: M. Marino Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Marino Title: Patterns of poverty among elderly Americans: a latent class Markov model Abstract: This article studies poverty persistence and the role of social security programmes on poverty among elderly in the US. We use a Latent Markov model to disentangle unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence. Because of its dynamic nature, unobserved heterogeneity is modelled to vary over time. This allows to capture different latent states of poverty that change over time. Result indicates the existence of three unobserved types evolving over time according to their propensity to be poor. Moreover, a strong persistence in poverty especially for women, individuals living alone and ethnic minorities is found. Finally, the estimates indicate that giving social assistance tends to reduce poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366637 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tannista Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Tannista Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Arnab Nayak Author-X-Name-First: Arnab Author-X-Name-Last: Nayak Title: Is it the wage premium that targets worker turnovers? Abstract: The literature on FDI shows that there exists a wage premium that multinational enterprises (MNEs) pay to local workers and link this to a technology spillover argument. The MNEs pay higher wages to prevent worker turnovers and technology leakages. Literature relates the wage premium aspect of FDI using worker mobility data and uses worker turnovers and the technology spillover argument. We relate stock options in the FDI context of worker mobility and find in a simplified framework that the turnover of workers would depend on the relative payments of stock options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 796-799 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1366638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1366638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:796-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurice Omane-Adjepong Author-X-Name-First: Maurice Author-X-Name-Last: Omane-Adjepong Author-Name: John Bosco Dramani Author-X-Name-First: John Bosco Author-X-Name-Last: Dramani Title: On the dynamic effects of global commodities on stock market blocks in Africa Abstract: This article explores the commodity–equity links in the Africa markets by distinguishing between short- to long-run co-movements driven by market shocks. Using the value-weighted average method, available Africa’s stock markets are aggregated into four market blocks. Global oil and gold returns are used as proxies for commodities. Coherency between pairs of markets is examined with the use of continuous Morlet wavelet transform. Results reveal abstemiously high degree of co-movements between the commodity–equity markets in the short- to medium-term frequencies with nonhomogenous lead–lag nexuses, signifying greater benefits of diversification in the long-term. These findings provide investors with relevant strategies for hedging. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 800-805 Issue: 11 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:11:p:800-805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Chan Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: The effect of college education on intolerance: evidence from Google search data Abstract: This article explores the causal relationship between college education within a region and that region’s interest in hate-related topics. I utilize Google Trends search data for intolerance-related terms to measure regional interest in intolerance, and an instrumental variable based on the historical assignment of land grant colleges to obtain exogenous variation in cross-regional college-educated population shares. I find that there is a negative correlation between a region’s college-educated population share and that region’s search activity for intolerance-related terms. This correlation does not translate to a causal relationship, however, as the instrumental variables estimates are found to be small and statistically insignificant. This finding suggests that improving access to college-level education may not be an effective policy tool to combat hateful attitudes and behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Thomas Sav Author-X-Name-First: G. Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sav Title: Catch 22 faculty tenure for public universities: new evidence employing Färe–Primont productivity indexes Abstract: With decreases in funding support, U.S. public universities have increasingly substituted less costly nontenure eligible faculty for tenured and tenure-track faculty while newly imposed funding mandates require evidence of productivity improvements tied to student graduation success. Universities have been forced into a Catch 22 dilemma as to what faculty mix produces optimal student/funding outcomes. To date, guidance provided by empirical evidence is mixed. This article offers new evidence employing Färe–Primont productivity indexes and parametric estimates to determine how faculty status affects graduation productivity. Results indicate that a reversal in the employment trend is in order so as to increase tenured relative to nontenure eligible faculty and improve student graduation success and, ultimately, university funding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Hardy Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Hardy Author-Name: Michal Krawczyk Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Krawczyk Author-Name: Joanna Tyrowicz Author-X-Name-First: Joanna Author-X-Name-Last: Tyrowicz Title: File sharing as conditional cooperation: evidence from a framed field experiment Abstract: In this project, we investigate downloading and sharing behaviour in a novel ‘piracy game’ modelled after standard public good games. We find that willingness to share correlates positively with the sharing by others. By contrast, actual behaviour in the ‘piracy game’ is not correlated with self-reported behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-96 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:91-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Balsmeier Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Balsmeier Author-Name: Bernd Frick Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Michael Hickfang Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hickfang Title: The impact of skilled immigrants on their local teammates’ performance Abstract: We use the Bosman ruling, which invalidated restrictions on the maximum number of foreign players allowed on professional football teams, to identify a causal positive impact of foreign players in German Bundesliga clubs on the individual performance of their domestic teammates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-103 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:97-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiona Balfoussia Author-X-Name-First: Hiona Author-X-Name-Last: Balfoussia Author-Name: Heather D. Gibson Author-X-Name-First: Heather D. Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Firm investment and financial conditions in the euro area: evidence from firm-level data Abstract: We explore whether the sensitivity of firm-level investment to cash flow, typically associated with an external financing premium, is time-varying and in particular whether it varies with overall financial conditions. We find that financial conditions have indeed played a significant role in corporate investment decisions over recent years, rendering financing constraints even more binding. This finding appears to be robust to a number of control variables and robustness tests. Moreover, the impact of credit conditions is not uniform across firms, but rather it varies depending on firm size and leverage, with constrained firms being substantially more likely to condition their investment decisions on overall credit conditions. Our results cast new light on the interplay between financial and real cycle downturns and underline the need for monetary, fiscal and macroprudential policy to be countercyclical with respect to financial conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 104-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:104-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guangyi N. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guangyi N. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sherman D. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Sherman D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Title: Racial/Ethnic disparities in high return investment ownership: a Heckman selection model Abstract: This study investigates racial/ethnic differences in high return investment ownership in the U.S. Households with low levels of financial assets might not be able to meaningfully make investment choices, so a Heckman two-stage selection model was used to separate the minimum asset level status from the allocation decision, specifically in whether households owned at least one high return investment. We found that households with White respondents were more likely than households with Black and Hispanic respondents to have adequate financial assets for investment. Conditional on having adequate financial assets, and controlling for household characteristics and financial literacy, White households were more likely to own high return investments than Black, Hispanic and Asian/other households. Policies to nudge households to invest some wealth in high return investment assets would benefit minority households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:111-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James R. Bland Author-X-Name-First: James R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bland Author-Name: Amanda C. Cook Author-X-Name-First: Amanda C. Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Random effects probit and logit: understanding predictions and marginal effects Abstract: Random effects probit and logit are nonlinear models, so we need predicted probabilities and marginal effects to communicate the economic significance of results. In these calculations, how one treats the individual-specific error term matters. Should one (i) set them equal to zero or (ii) integrate them out? We argue that (ii) is the quantity that most readers would expect to see. We discuss these in the context of the statistical package Stata, which changed its default predictions from (i) to (ii) in version 14. In Appendix 5, we illustrate how to calculate predictions and marginal effects using method (ii) in Stata 13 and earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 116-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:116-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tian Xie Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Machine learning versus econometrics: prediction of box office Abstract: In this note, we contrast prediction performance of nine econometric and machine learning methods, including a new hybrid method combining model averaging and machine learning, using data from the film industry and social media. The results suggest that machine learning methods have an advantage in addressing short-run noise, whereas traditional econometric methods are better at capturing long-run trend. In addition, once sample heterogeneity is controlled, the new hybrid method tends to strike a right balance in dealing with both noise and trend, leading to superior prediction efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 124-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:124-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tamanna Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Tamanna Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Michael Breen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Breen Author-Name: Robert Gillanders Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gillanders Title: Are new states more corrupt? Expert opinions versus firms’ experiences Abstract: We find that new states are perceived to be more corrupt even though businesses do not report more bribery in newer states. This is suggestive of an unearned, and likely high, reputational cost to being a new state. These findings hold over a number of specifications that include additional economic, historical and geographic controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Merkl Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Merkl Author-Name: Heiko Stüber Author-X-Name-First: Heiko Author-X-Name-Last: Stüber Title: Value added, wages and labour market flows at the establishment level Abstract: In this article, we analyse the connection between value added, wages and labour market flows at the establishment level. We develop a simple model to illustrate the expected comovement of these variables. For the empirical analysis, we link the new German Administrative Wage and Labor Market Flow Panel data set to the IAB Establishment Panel. We show that establishments’ hires rates have a positive and separations rates a negative comovement with establishment-specific value added, whereby hires react by more than separations. In addition, we provide evidence that establishments’ partial equilibrium reaction is an important driver for aggregate labour market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-142 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:135-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Alderighi Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Alderighi Author-Name: Marcella Nicolini Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolini Title: Third decimal place odd prices trigger competition: evidence from the Italian retail gasoline market Abstract: Recent literature shows that in the US gasoline prices are higher in locations using more odd prices (particularly those ending in five and nine digits), since they coarse the pricing grid and act as a focal collusive point. We replicate this analysis for the Italian market, obtaining the opposite result. Since the rightmost digit of the retail gasoline prices in Italy is the third and not the second decimal place, coarsening the pricing grid is not sufficient to support a collusive behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-146 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:143-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Childs Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Childs Author-Name: Alexander Siebert Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Siebert Title: The powerless yet relevant third: a three-player ultimatum/dictator game with earned funds and roles Abstract: We report the first experiment to pair a three-player ultimatum/dictator game with a real effort task. The inclusion of the real effort task shifts the standard for division from simple egalitarianism towards relative performance; even in treatments in which roles and funds are exogenous. Additionally, we find proposers overcompensate themselves relative to their effort, and this additional compensation comes at the expense of powerless (third) players. Individual characteristics predict the nature of a proposals. Lastly, we find that responders’ choice to accept is based on their own and the powerless third party’s compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Izumi Yokoyama Author-X-Name-First: Izumi Author-X-Name-Last: Yokoyama Author-Name: Naomi Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Naomi Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Title: Why the earnings of the middle class declined: evidence from Japan Abstract: Using rich governmental micro data, we explore the reasons for the decline in earnings of the middle class in Japan. Many developed countries have seen the decrease in middle-class earnings, and Japan, long known for its solid middle class, is no exception. Our analyses revealed that the main reasons for the decline differ between males and females. The decrease in the earnings of middle-class male workers is due to the decrease in general human capital captured by returns to potential experience years. In contrast, the decrease in the earnings of middle-class female workers is mainly due to the increase in the supply of part-time workers. Furthermore, the firm-specific human capital captured by the return to tenure has increased only among high-wage male workers. This implies that Japanese firms invest in a selected few able workers, regardless of age, because they have been changing human resource strategy in response to economic globalization and changes in technology and the management environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:152-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chi Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Miao-Ling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Miao-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Asymmetric effect of advertising on the Chinese stock market Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether investor attention to advertising has an asymmetric effect on Chinese stock returns by using a multivariate Markov switching model with time-varying regime transition probabilities. Using the Chinese stock market as a setting, we obtain lagged conditional volatility from generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) for modelling the time-varying transition probabilities of the regime-switching process to capture changes in the market regime. Our evidence documents that the high advertising portfolio does earn higher abnormal return than the low advertising portfolio in low-volatility periods. In high-volatility periods, however, the abnormal return is insignificant when the firm increases advertising spending. Our results support the behavioural model argument that in high-volatility period, advertising information diffuses slowly due to cognitive dissonance. Thus, the effect of advertising on stock returns is asymmetric, and it shows statistical significance in low-volatility periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-162 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1441506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1441506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:157-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrzej Kacprzyk Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Kacprzyk Author-Name: Iwona Świeczewska Author-X-Name-First: Iwona Author-X-Name-Last: Świeczewska Title: Is R&D always growth-enhancing? Empirical evidence from the EU countries Abstract: This study provides empirical evidence regarding the effects of R&D on economic growth in a panel of 28 European Union (EU) countries over the period 1997–2014. In particular, we investigate whether the impact of business and government R&D stocks on economic growth depends on the country’s distance to the world technology frontier. The main findings are that in the EU (i) there is positive, statistically significant business R&D stock–economic growth nexus in countries that are relatively close to the frontier and (ii) no statistically significant relationship was found to exist between government R&D stock and economic growth. From the policy perspective, the results suggest that designing proper national policies that allow switching from investment-based to innovation-based strategies at appropriate moments may be far more important than a simple call for increase in R&D expenditures and setting common numerical targets for all EU-member states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1444257 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1444257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:2:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wesley Austin Author-X-Name-First: Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Austin Author-Name: Rand W. Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Title: Who gets arrested for marijuana use? The perils of being poor and black Abstract: We explore the relationship between income, race and the probability of being arrested. Our data set is comprised of individuals who have all violated federal marijuana laws, some of whom have been arrested. We reason that the cost of arresting a poor individual with diminished social status is lower. Our empiricism reveals that the probability of arrest is higher when the law breaker is poor and African American. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-213 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:211-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrei Nikiforov Author-X-Name-First: Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Nikiforov Author-Name: Eugene Pilotte Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Pilotte Title: Quote activity and round quotes in a voice-brokered bond market Abstract: We investigate the relation between quote activity and the precision with which prices are quoted. Where prior literature finds that the tendency of price-endings to cluster on rounder fractions declines monotonically with quote activity, we show that the decline is limited to an initial range of quote activity. Once a very high level of quote activity is reached, the use of rounder quotes increases with quote activity. Also contrary to the conventional view is our finding that round quotes are used more frequently in the more active of two market segments where equivalent assets are traded. We attribute our results to two opposing influences of activity on price clustering, the price resolution and negotiation effects, that reflect the cognitive limitations of humans when dealing with uncertain values. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 214-218 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:214-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Amberger Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Amberger Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Hanno Stremmel Author-X-Name-First: Hanno Author-X-Name-Last: Stremmel Title: Improved output gaps with financial cycle information? An application to G7 countries’ new Keynesian Phillips curves Abstract: In search for more robust cyclical imbalance indicators, recent research has highlighted the interactions between business and financial cycles. Output gap formulations increasingly take imbalances of the financial cycle into account, postulating finance-neutral output gaps (FNGAPs). To test their increased explanatory power in econometric models, we compare FNGAPs to univariate output gaps in their ability to explain inflation dynamics in hybrid new Keynesian Phillips curves. Results indicate FNGAPs to exercise (dis)inflationary pressure, but not to outperform traditional output gaps. Nonetheless, they have become increasingly significant in the course of the 2007/08 Global Financial Crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:219-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Hegde Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hegde Author-Name: H. Lin Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: S. Varshney Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Varshney Title: Investor recognition and liquidity: evidence from dual listing on the NYSE and NASDAQ Abstract: This article examines the impact of the NYSE firms’ decision to dual list on NASDAQ and the resultant trading liquidity, after controlling for the endogeneity of the decision. Using a simultaneous system of equations approach, we find evidence that dual listing lowers transaction costs, but does not lead to any significant improvement in investor recognition. Further, the improvement in market quality due to dual listing on NASDAQ does generate, albeit somewhat weak, positive cumulative abnormal returns surrounding the dual listing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-232 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:229-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian L. Goff Author-X-Name-First: Brian L. Author-X-Name-Last: Goff Author-Name: H. Youn Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Youn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Dennis P. Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis P. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Estimating the market value of collegiate football players from professional factor shares Abstract: Although the level and growth of revenue in college football has drawn increasing public attention, reliable estimates of the value of college and associated rents remain elusive. Many players do not have easily observable performance statistics and there are significant complementarities. Using a simple estimation strategy based on professional factor shares and rooted in economic theory, we generate estimates of market value for college players across seven National Collegiate Athletic Association conferences using professional football and basketball salaries from 2011 to 2013 as shadow prices. With this method, market value of an average starting football player in a Bowl Championship Series (BCS) conference ranges from $120,000 to $1.7 million per year. The value of superstar players may exceed $4 million per year. We find that rents can flow from the institutions to players in some cases at relatively low-revenue institutions outside the BCS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1178842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1178842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro López-Feldman Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: López-Feldman Author-Name: Daniel Escalona Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Escalona Title: Remittances and labour allocation decisions at communities of origin: the case of rural Mexico Abstract: From a theoretical perspective, the effect that remittances have on the labour decisions of those that receive them is ambiguous; the empirical evidence reported in the literature is mixed and shows, unsurprisingly, that the net effect of remittances on labour supply is context-dependent. We contribute to this literature by using a detailed data set for rural Mexico that allows us to understand how remittances reshape rural livelihoods by modifying labour allocation decisions. Following previous evidence, we analyse female and male responses separately. Our results show that the income effect of remittances dominates male labour allocation decisions: the probability of participating in the labour market and the total number of hours worked decrease with remittances. We find no effect for female labour allocation decisions. The effects are not uniform across the different productive activities and remittances seem to be contributing to a trend in which Mexican rural inhabitants increasingly move away from agriculture- or nature-based activities. This reinforces the direct effect that emigration has in terms of a reduction in total supply of local labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 238-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:238-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Abad-González Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Abad-González Author-Name: Ricardo Martínez Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez Title: Endogenous categorization of the human development Abstract: The human development index (HDI) is one of the most well-known measures of welfare. We apply clustering techniques to endogenously determine how similar countries are with respect to the HDI, and into how many categories they can be classified. We find that, in contrast to the usual assumption in the United Nations’ Human Development Reports, the number of categories is not fixed and has varied over time, from three in 1990 to four in 2014. We also find that the countries within each category differ from the United Nation’s proposal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yizhaq Minchuk Author-X-Name-First: Yizhaq Author-X-Name-Last: Minchuk Author-Name: Shlomo Mizrahi Author-X-Name-First: Shlomo Author-X-Name-Last: Mizrahi Title: The (in) effectiveness of procurement auctions in the public sector Abstract: This article studies procurement auctions in the public sector using game theoretical tools. The article shows that when participants in an auction are agents with low abilities (low type), as is common in the public sector, they place the same contract request. As a result, the auction mechanism will rarely produce real competition, thus making this mechanism, which limits bidders to those already within the system, ineffective for use in the public sector job market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:247-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alasdair Brown Author-X-Name-First: Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Fuyu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Fuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Selection and incentives in contests: evidence from horse racing Abstract: The designer of internal labour market promotion contests must balance the need to select the best candidate with the need to provide incentives for all candidates. We use an extensive data set from horse racing – where there is abundant variation in contest design features – to analyse if there are particular features that help to achieve these two objectives. We find that contests with higher prize money and fewer participants are the most successful at achieving the dual remit of selection and incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 250-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:250-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Duchi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Duchi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Corporate social responsibility (CSR) and corporate diversification: do diversified production firms invest more in CSR? Abstract: A diversification strategy increases the range of stakeholder demands and social issues related to a firm’s operation. Examining the consequence of production diversification strategy at a broader level, not only (short-term) financial performance but also long-term performance, as proxied by corporate social responsibility (CSR), is surprising. We show that a firm’s production diversification is associated with stronger engagement in CSR, particularly for unrelated diversification. And the higher level of diversification is, the more investment in CSR. Our findings lead to the interesting questions regarding diversification discount and the value of unrelated diversification, which has often been criticized because of its negative impact on short-term financial performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 254-257 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:254-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liming Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Liming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Zhangfeng Jin Author-X-Name-First: Zhangfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Zheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Who gets caught for corruption when corruption is pervasive? Evidence from China’s anti-bribery blacklist Abstract: This article empirically investigates why in a corruption-pervasive country only a minority of the firms get caught for bribery while the majority get away with it. By matching manufacturing firms to a blacklist of bribers in the healthcare sector of a province in China, we show that the government-led blacklisting is selective: while economically more visible firms are slightly more likely to be blacklisted, state-controlled firms are the most protected compared to their private and foreign competitors. Our finding points to the fact that a government can use regulations to impose its preferences when the rule of law is weak and the rule of government is strong. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 258-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:258-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Farbmacher Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Farbmacher Author-Name: Heinrich Kögel Author-X-Name-First: Heinrich Author-X-Name-Last: Kögel Title: Testing under a special form of heteroscedasticity Abstract: In the presence of heteroscedasticity, conventional standard errors (which assume homoscedasticity) can be biased up or down. The most common form of heteroscedasticity leads to conventional standard errors that are too small. In this study, we discuss the conditions under which conventional standard errors are too large. In such settings, standard tests of heteroscedasticity may fail and leave the heteroscedasticity undetected. This is particularly problematic as power gains can be achieved when testing for the causal effect in such settings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 264-268 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1181827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1181827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:264-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Domenico Lombardi Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Lombardi Author-Name: Pierre L. Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre L. Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Author-Name: Samantha St. Amand Author-X-Name-First: Samantha Author-X-Name-Last: St. Amand Title: Exchange rates, central bank news and the zero lower bound* Abstract: The zero lower bound (ZLB) may restrict the responsiveness of exchange rates to news. A proxy for central bank communication is added as a determinant in a model of exchange rate movements. Two reserve currencies, the British pound and euro, and two currencies of small open economies, the Canadian dollar and Swedish krona, are examined. Reserve currencies are more vulnerable to the ZLB constraint, while the currencies of small open economies become more responsive to foreign central bank announcements. Certain unconventional monetary policy announcements were found to significantly impact exchange rates at the ZLB. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-272 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:269-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John E. Burnett Author-X-Name-First: John E. Author-X-Name-Last: Burnett Title: Liquidity and investor confidence in the turn-of-the-month regularity Abstract: Ogden (1990) offers a compelling explanation for the ubiquitous turn-of-the-month (TOM) seasonality. He hypothesizes and shows that the clustering of payment dates at the end of the month results in a stock return regularity that is related to increased liquidity and monetary policy. This article introduces investor behaviour into Ogden’s TOM liquidity hypothesis where higher TOM returns depend not only on the availability of increased liquidity but also on investors’ willingness to invest new funds. The empirical evidence is consistent with the argument. When confidence is high, investors’ willingness to invest the increased liquidity results in a TOM regularity. But when confidence is low, a TOM regularity is absent as investors park the increased liquidity. This additional measure of investor confidence provides a more complete explanation of Ogden’s liquidity hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-278 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:273-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Lehmann Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lehmann Author-Name: K. Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany Abstract: In this article, we forecast employment growth for Germany with data for the period from November 2008 to November 2015. Hutter and Weber (2015) introduced an innovative unemployment indicator and evaluated the performance of several leading indicators, including the Ifo Employment Barometer (IEB), to predict unemployment changes. Since the IEB focuses on employment growth instead of unemployment developments, we mirror the study by Hutter and Weber (2015). It turns out that in our case, and in contrast to their article, the IEB outperforms their newly developed indicator. Additionally, consumers’ unemployment expectations and hard data such as new orders exhibit a high forecasting accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:4:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Sang Mook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Mook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kuen Jae Park Author-X-Name-First: Kuen Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: HakJoon Song Author-X-Name-First: HakJoon Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: How do independent directors influence innovation productivity? A quasi-natural experiment Abstract: Due to managerial myopia, managers may be reluctant to make long-term investment decisions that do not produce immediate results. Effective corporate governance can align managers’ short-term-oriented incentives with shareholders’ long-term interests. Because the board of directors is the paramount governance mechanism, we explore the role of board governance on managerial myopia. In particular, we investigate the effect of independent directors on corporate innovation. To minimize endogeneity, we exploit the passage of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act as an exogenous shock that raises board independence. Our difference-in-difference estimates show that board independence leads to significantly higher investments in innovation as well as higher innovation productivity. Our results are consequential as they show that board governance has a palpable effect on important corporate outcomes such as innovation productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-441 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1329927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1329927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:435-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jadrian J. Wooten Author-X-Name-First: Jadrian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wooten Title: A case for complements? Location and attendance in Major League Soccer Abstract: As Major League Soccer (MLS) continues to award expansion franchises throughout North America, the league must be considerate of how new clubs may impact attendance levels at nearby clubs. Regardless of whether new MLS clubs are awarded to cities with strong North American Soccer League histories, league officials must be mindful of the effect that geographically close competitors can have on attendance. Perhaps stemming from the limited number of clubs in competition, MLS teams currently appear to operate as strategic complements to one another, increasing season-long attendance as teams locate closer to one another. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 442-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:442-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Pargianas Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pargianas Title: Education and the minimum wage in the United States Abstract: This article shows that, across the US states, the level of education has a causal effect on the minimum wage. More specifically, it argues that a one-percentage point increase in the proportion of college graduates implies a 0.4–0.5% decrease in the real value of the minimum wage. This is the first article that uses System GMM in order to examine the effect of education on the minimum wage. Given the structure of the available data, this is the most appropriate econometric technique. System GMM not only controls for endogeneity and for fixed effects but also maximizes the precision of the estimates by using all the available variation in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virginie Mataigne Author-X-Name-First: Virginie Author-X-Name-Last: Mataigne Author-Name: Wouter De Maeseneire Author-X-Name-First: Wouter Author-X-Name-Last: De Maeseneire Author-Name: Mathieu Luypaert Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Luypaert Title: The interplay between target firm R&D, acquirer debt financing and takeover premia Abstract: The level of acquisition premia is of paramount importance in light of the vast sums paid to target shareholders and the often disappointing returns realized by corporate buyers. In this letter, we focus on the impact of R&D investments by targets on the acquisition premium contingent upon the acquirer’s financing choices. Based on a unique hand-collected sample of 407 listed European transactions, we find a positive effect of target R&D on premia paid. Yet, when acquirers finance the acquisition of an R&D intensive target with debt, the positive relation disappears. Consequently, we establish that financing sources affect bidding strategies of acquiring companies in case of difficult-to-value targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:451-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosuke Furukawa Author-X-Name-First: Yosuke Author-X-Name-Last: Furukawa Author-Name: Hiroki Toyoda Author-X-Name-First: Hiroki Author-X-Name-Last: Toyoda Title: The recent process of job polarization in Japan: evidence from 1980 to 2010 Abstract: This study investigates the recent process of job polarization in Japan. We focus on three particular aspects: the relationship with business cycles, total hours rather than employment and age cohorts. We find that, regardless of whether the focus is employment or total hours, job polarization is concentrated in recessions and that job polarization has occurred mainly in younger-age cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 456-460 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:456-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth J. Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth J. Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Johan E. Eklund Author-X-Name-First: Johan E. Author-X-Name-Last: Eklund Title: Are there inherent biases in applying cost–benefit analysis? Abstract: This article extends discussions of potential biases that can exist in applying cost–benefit analysis. While there is extensive evidence that capture can result in stakeholder manipulation of inputs, there are also claims that the analysis is inherently theoretically bias in favour of over acceptance. The article shows that, contrary to these latter claims, treating projects in isolation is unlikely to produce such bias; indeed, it is as likely as not to lead to suboptimally low acceptance rates. The reason for excessive acceptance of projects therefore is largely due to institutional capture of the analysis for either self-interest or natural human over-optimism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-464 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1332743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1332743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:461-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Zahra (Mila) Elmi Author-X-Name-First: Zahra (Mila) Author-X-Name-Last: Elmi Author-Name: Abera Gelan Author-X-Name-First: Abera Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Title: Non-linear quantile unit root test and PPP: more evidence from Africa Abstract: It is now a common practice to establish stationarity of the real exchange rate as a sign of purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis. In this article, we consider the real effective exchange rates of 29 African countries. When we apply conventional linear unit root tests, we find support for the PPP in eight countries. However, when we shift to the newly introduced non-linear quantile unit root test, support for the PPP increases to 15 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-471 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1335385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1335385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:465-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yonghong Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Bin Mo Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: He Nie Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: Does investor sentiment dynamically impact stock returns from different investor horizons? Evidence from the US stock market using a multi-scale method Abstract: This article uses the investor sentiment index to investigate the Granger causality between investor sentiment and stock returns for the US economy using a multi-scale method. To focus on the local analysis of different investor horizons, bivariate empirical mode decomposition is used to decompose time series of investor sentiment and stock returns at different timescales. We employ the linear and nonlinear integrated Granger causality method to examine the causal relationship of decomposed series on similar timescales. The results indicate both strong bilateral linear and nonlinear causality between longer-term investor sentiment and stock returns. However, there is no strong evidence for correlation of stock returns and investor sentiment on shorter timescales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 472-476 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340558 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:472-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wagdi Kalifa Author-X-Name-First: Wagdi Author-X-Name-Last: Kalifa Author-Name: Eralp Bektaş Author-X-Name-First: Eralp Author-X-Name-Last: Bektaş Title: The impacts of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on the capital adequacy ratio: evidence from Islamic banks Abstract: The study investigates the relationship between the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and different bank-specific and macroeconomic variables for 28 Islamic banks. We document that there is a statistically significant positive relationship between the CAR and the bank-specific and macroeconomic variables. In particular, bank-specific variables such as ROA, ROE, leverage, credit risk and size show a strong association with the CAR, while on the macroeconomic side, inflation, market capitalization and exchange rate have an impact on the average Islamic bank in our sample study. Furthermore, we run another model (equity to assets ratio) as dependent, with similar control variables, and the results reveal that, except for inflation, all the variables that have a significant effect on the CAR also influence the equity to assets ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340559 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abraham Abebe Asfaw Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Abebe Author-X-Name-Last: Asfaw Title: The effect of coffee price shock on school dropout: new evidence from the 2008 global financial crisis Abstract: This article examines the effect of coffee price shock on the school dropout status of children in rural Ethiopia. To identify the effect, I exploit the exogenous coffee price shock caused by the 2008 global financial crisis. Using a unique rural data set collected before and shortly after the crisis, I compare the school dropout status of children in coffee-producing and non–coffee-producing villages. The difference-in-difference estimate suggests that the decline in the global price of coffee during the financial crisis increased school dropout rates among children aged 15–18 in coffee-producing villages. The effect is more pronounced among female children in this age group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 482-486 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:482-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Kajuth Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Kajuth Title: A benchmark for wage growth through the lens of the Beveridge curve Abstract: Using an estimated Beveridge curve, we trace out the vacancy–unemployment ratio in the steady state. This steady-state measure for labour market tightness is embedded in a VAR framework to obtain a benchmark for wage growth reflecting a labour market equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-492 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:487-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher S. Brunt Author-X-Name-First: Christopher S. Author-X-Name-Last: Brunt Author-Name: Anthony G. Barilla Author-X-Name-First: Anthony G. Author-X-Name-Last: Barilla Title: An evaluation of the relationship between minimum wage and unemployment: does the local cost-of-living matter? Abstract: This article examines the relationship between federal, state and municipal minimum wage laws, local cost-of-living (COL) and the unemployment rate. It finds a strong statistically significant positive relationship between minimum wages and unemployment once COL is taken into account. Our results suggest that federal minimum wage policy is likely to have more harmful effects in rural/low cost areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-498 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:493-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dessie Tarko Ambaw Author-X-Name-First: Dessie Tarko Author-X-Name-Last: Ambaw Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Is inflation targeting or the fixed exchange rate more effective for attracting FDI into developing countries? Abstract: This article investigates which monetary policy regime – inflation targeting or the fixed exchange rate – is more effective for attracting FDI inflows into developing countries. Using propensity score matching and the difference-in-differences estimator, we find no evidence that adopting an inflation targeting regime would be more effective than adopting a fixed exchange rate, and vice versa, in encouraging FDI inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahad Almudhaf Author-X-Name-First: Fahad Author-X-Name-Last: Almudhaf Title: Pricing efficiency of Bitcoin Trusts Abstract: This article examines the pricing efficiency of Bitcoin Investment Trust. We investigate the deviation between prices and net asset values and find that there is a significant and persistent premium with an average of 44%. Such evidence points to pricing inefficiency of the currently available trust and encourages practitioners to introduce better instruments such as Exchange Traded Funds as alternatives to investors interested in having exposure to bitcoins and the digital currencies market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 504-508 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:504-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jieun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jieun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Youngho Kang Author-X-Name-First: Youngho Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Differences in business R&D intensity across OECD countries: the role of size-dependent regulation Abstract: We analyse the impact of size-dependent regulation in the labour market on business R&D intensity for 20 OECD countries spanning the periods 2002–2011. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that stricter size-dependent regulation leads firms with more than 50 employees to significantly reduce their R&D intensity. This finding implies that size-dependent regulation induces a distortion in the reallocation of R&D-related resources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 7 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:7:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Farzanegan Author-Name: Tim Krieger Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Krieger Author-Name: Daniel Meierrieks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meierrieks Title: Does terrorism reduce life satisfaction? Abstract: We study the effect of terrorism on life satisfaction for a sample of 81 countries over the 1994–2009 period. We find that terrorism is robustly associated with less life satisfaction. This effect, however, translates into only modest social costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-896 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:893-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lester M. K. Kwong Author-X-Name-First: Lester M. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwong Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Author-Name: Ling Sun Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Semiparametric versus parametric hedonic wine price models: an empirical investigation Abstract: In this article, we conduct formal statistical tests to compare a semiparametric hedonic wine price model with its parametric counterpart using a Canadian data set. The relevant test results turn out to be overwhelmingly in favour of the semiparametric specification. The estimated semiparametric model also provides clear evidence of nonlinearity between wine prices and quality when other wine attributes are controlled for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-901 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:897-901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Baumann Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Baumann Author-Name: Achim Buchwald Author-X-Name-First: Achim Author-X-Name-Last: Buchwald Author-Name: Tim Friehe Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Friehe Author-Name: Hanna Hottenrott Author-X-Name-First: Hanna Author-X-Name-Last: Hottenrott Author-Name: John Weche Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Weche Title: Tax enforcement and corporate profit shifting Abstract: We present empirical evidence suggesting that weak tax enforcement proxied by the extent of tax evasion in a country acts like a lower corporate tax rate in attracting profits of multinational corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 902-905 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:902-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oben K. Bayrak Author-X-Name-First: Oben K. Author-X-Name-Last: Bayrak Author-Name: John D. Hey Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Title: Expected utility theory with imprecise probability perception: explaining preference reversals Abstract: This article presents a new model for decision-making under risk, which provides an explanation for empirically-observed preference reversals. Central to the theory is the incorporation of probability perception imprecision, which arises because of individuals’ vague understanding of numerical probabilities. We combine this concept with the use of the Alpha EU model and construct a simple model which helps us to understand anomalies, such as preference reversals and valuation gaps, discovered in the experimental economics literature, that standard models cannot explain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 906-910 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:906-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Jorge Silva Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Current account balance cyclicality Abstract: We assess the cyclicality of current account balances for the period 2001Q1–2014Q4, focusing on Portugal and using Germany as a benchmark. We find that the cyclical component of the current account was positively explained by 3-month Euribor, but negatively by the financial crisis, systemic stress in Europe, employment and compensation of employees. Moreover, the noncyclical current account was positively affected by the period of the economic and financial adjustment programme and the terms of trade, but negatively influenced by financial integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-917 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:911-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Yuji Horioka Author-X-Name-First: Charles Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Horioka Author-Name: Nicholas Ford Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Title: A possible explanation of the ‘Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle’: a common solution to three macroeconomic puzzles? Abstract: Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called ‘Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle’ arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right fundamentals and because they did not allow for the forward-looking nature of exchange rate determination. Further, because they apparently were not aware that financial markets by themselves could not equalize interest rates across countries, they did not properly appreciate that the exchange rate is strongly influenced by agents’ expectations of aggregated differences in local returns. Thus, we believe that the same underlying explanation provided by Ford (2015) and Ford and Horioka (2016a, 2016b) for the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) Puzzle and the PPP Puzzle – namely that financial markets alone cannot achieve net transfers of financial capital and cannot equalize real interest rates across countries – also helps explain why previous attempts to connect changes in the exchange rate to economic fundamentals have not been successful and so can also be said to contribute to solving the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 918-922 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:918-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosef Bonaparte Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaparte Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: Estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution accounting for stockholder-specific portfolios Abstract: This article estimates the elasticity of intertemporal substitution using stockholder actual return experience. The approach is motivated by numerous data sources indicating that the median US stockholder has a portfolio composed of only three or four individual stocks, rather than a well-diversified portfolio as suggested by portfolio theory. Therefore, representing an individual stockholder portfolio by a proxy financial index (the common approach taken in the literature) may be too rough an approximation of investor behaviour and lead to biased results about risk aversion and intertemporal substitution. Eschewing the financial index methodology, our results support the standard representative agent assumption that there is a high degree of homogeneity in the elasticity of intertemporal substitution across stockholders with different wealth levels. Our findings have implications for models that assess the comovement between consumption and return on stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-927 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:923-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Gu Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Ryan A. Compton Author-X-Name-First: Ryan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Compton Author-Name: Daniel C. Giedeman Author-X-Name-First: Daniel C. Author-X-Name-Last: Giedeman Author-Name: Gary A. Hoover Author-X-Name-First: Gary A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoover Title: A note on economic freedom and political ideology Abstract: Within the field of public economics, there is the perception that Republicans are associated with ‘small government’ and Democrats with ‘big government’. We test this notion by examining whether economic freedom is affected when a single party is in control of the state legislature. We find no link between party control and our main economic freedom indicator, but we do find a positive link between Republican control and the taxation component of economic freedom, suggesting a Republican legislature leads to lower taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 928-931 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:928-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Duersch Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Duersch Author-Name: Julia Müller Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Title: Bidding for nothing? The pitfalls of overly neutral framing Abstract: Neutral framing is a standard tool of experimental economics. However, overly neutral instructions, which lack any contextual clues, can lead to strange behaviour. In a contextless second-price auction for a meaningless good, a majority of subjects enter positive bids – likely a case of cognitive experimenter demand effect. Subjects may interpret the lack of context as being tasked with bidding in the experiment. Adding another auction that has a context drastically reduces the positive bids in the meaningless auction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 932-935 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:932-935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Huy Nguyen Anh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Nguyen Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Ian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Van Ngoc Tuong Dang Author-X-Name-First: Van Ngoc Tuong Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Jose Francisco Veron Author-X-Name-First: Jose Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Veron Author-Name: Hung Duong Author-X-Name-First: Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Duong Title: The financial consequences of abolishing a carbon trading system Abstract: We investigate the impact of 61 announcements of environmental regulations on the equities listed on the Australian Stock Exchange over the period 2009–2015. In particular, our study focuses on how the stock market reacts to announcements of the abolishment of carbon trading/pricing system. Using event study methodology, we assess whether these announcements create or destroy wealth of equity investors. Furthermore, we estimate changes in systematic risk following the announcements. In general, we find that the abolishment of the carbon pricing system has a positive effect on 18 sectors and the process of removing the carbon pricing system appears to affect the systematic risk of businesses leading to diamond risk structures. We also document negative reactions of polluting sectors to the announcements of green policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 936-939 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:936-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Soliño Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Soliño Author-Name: Begoña A. Farizo Author-X-Name-First: Begoña A. Author-X-Name-Last: Farizo Author-Name: Pablo Campos Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Title: Internal validity in discrete choice experiments: varying the position of the price attribute Abstract: This article presents an analysis of internal validity in discrete choice experiments. Prior studies have analysed the importance of the order of attributes within a multiple choice context, but few have specifically analysed the importance of the location of the price attribute. The internal validity was analysed while considering variations in the position of the price attribute in the choice cards. Results show differences in the estimates of willingness to pay according to the price-location version used: at the beginning, in the middle or at the end of the choice card. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 940-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:940-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amelie F. Constant Author-X-Name-First: Amelie F. Author-X-Name-Last: Constant Author-Name: Annabelle Krause Author-X-Name-First: Annabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Krause Author-Name: Ulf Rinne Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Rinne Author-Name: Klaus F. Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus F. Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Reservation wages of first- and second-generation migrants Abstract: We analyse the reservation wages of first- and second-generation migrants, based on rich survey data of the unemployed in Germany. Our results confirm the hypothesis that reservation wages increase over migrant generations and over time, suggesting that the mobility benefit of immigration may be limited in time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niklas S. Dürr Author-X-Name-First: Niklas S. Author-X-Name-Last: Dürr Author-Name: Kai Hüschelrath Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Hüschelrath Title: Deregulation and the determinants of network access: evidence from the German interurban bus industry Abstract: We investigate the characteristics of cities gaining access to the German interurban bus network in the first two years following the deregulation of the industry in January 2013. Applying both parametric and semi-parametric survival models, we find strong evidence that the probability of a city to be added to a provider’s network increases not only with the mere size of its population but also with further demographic characteristics such as average income or the share of young and old inhabitants. Additionally, while an increasing importance of tourism has a further positive effect, a rising automobile density is imposing a significantly negative impact on the probability of a city to gain access to the network. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 950-955 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:950-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Jay E. Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Jay E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Why has US monetary policy become ineffective lately? Abstract: Some recent studies show that US monetary policy has lost its stimulative traction, especially since the early 1980s. They argue that the Fed’s forward guidance has enabled economic agents to anticipate the changes in interest rates more accurately. As a result, it is harder to find truly exogenous monetary policy shocks, which has made monetary policy ineffective. In this article, we find that anomalous economic behaviours of financial institutions might be the true reason for the ineffective monetary policy. Our structural vector autoregressive model shows that increases in the US money supply mostly flowed into the financial sector to increase its profits instead of stimulating the real sector of the economy through business investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 956-960 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:956-960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Varlik Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Varlik Author-Name: Volkan Ulke Author-X-Name-First: Volkan Author-X-Name-Last: Ulke Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: The time-varying effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation for Turkey Abstract: We investigate the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation from January 1982 through March 2016 for Turkey by using the Stochastic Volatility in Mean model with time-varying parameters. Our empirical evidence from consumer price index (CPI) inflation suggests that the observed positive relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is not robust. This positive relationship diminishes after 2002. This finding is valid for all five subcomponents of CPI inflation; however, for Health Services, Transportation Services, and Recreational and Cultural Services, an inflation-positive association is reported after 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-967 Issue: 13 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1243206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1243206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:13:p:961-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Crawley Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Crawley Author-Name: Sarah Welch Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Welch Title: Do high levels of US employment reduce labour matching efficiency? Abstract: The US has witnessed an unprecedented period of employment expansion following the 2008/09 recession. This article uses a Beveridge curve approach to estimate US labour matching efficiency over the course of the last decade. It then analyses the effect of increasing employment on this efficiency. The results show that employment and labour market efficiency are co-integrated and as employment rises the efficiency of the matching process decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-81 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1608351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1608351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:77-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lili Liu Author-X-Name-First: Lili Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Maggie Foley Author-X-Name-First: Maggie Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Fangping Peng Author-X-Name-First: Fangping Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Can debt overhang help explain the declining growth rate of investment in China? Abstract: In this study, we investigate whether debt overhang may contribute to explaining the declining growth rate of investment in China. By using firm-level data, we find a nonlinear firm debt–investment relationship and derive thresholds beyond which debt has a negative and significant impact on investment, which supports the theory of debt overhang. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 82-85 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1608352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1608352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:82-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Langchuan Peng Author-X-Name-First: Langchuan Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Ying Dong Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: The impact of Internet usage on gender role attitudes Abstract: This article uses the 2010, 2013 and 2015 waves of Chinese General Social Survey to investigate the effects of Internet usage on gender role attitudes. OLS and IV estimates show that Internet usage can effectively mitigate discriminatory attitudes against females; the effects are stronger among females and rural residents. The Internet can cultivate ideology and affect gender norms through its educational and informative functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 86-92 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:86-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Di Cintio Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Di Cintio Author-Name: Sucharita Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sucharita Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Emanuele Grassi Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Grassi Title: Direct or indirect exports: what matters for firms’ innovation activities? Abstract: This article uses firm-level data from 27 transition economies to investigate whether the choice to directly export versus indirectly export plays a role in the innovation behaviour of exporting firms. We find that firms that directly export have a higher probability of introducing product innovation compared to non-exporters firms and indirect exporters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-103 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:93-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkeun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Changkeun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Euijune Kim Author-X-Name-First: Euijune Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Measuring neighbouring effects on poverty in regional economies Abstract: Using the concepts of poverty trap and neighbouring effect, this paper explores whether the economies of low-income regions and high-income regions respond differently to national economic fluctuations. It identifies an asymmetric pattern of regional income change in low-income regions of Korea due to a relatively small population size and weak urbanization economies. These low-income regions could increase their income levels by 3.75% if they succeeded in developing a symmetric relation to national economic fluctuations. Spatial proximity between high- and low-income regions can generate greater backwash (negative) effects on the economic growth of low-income regions than spread (positive) effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 104-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:104-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenghan Hou Author-X-Name-First: Chenghan Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Xinping Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xinping Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Si Wang Author-X-Name-First: Si Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A Bayesian analysis of parental education as instruments in estimating the return to schooling Abstract: Questions such as whether the instrumental variable (IV) estimates of return to schooling are sensitive to the violation of the exclusion restriction often draw empirical concerns. We employ a Bayesian method to compare the IV estimate using either mother’s or father’s education as an instrumental variable under different degree of violation of the exclusion restriction. We find that a moderate violation of the exclusion restriction does not have a substantial influence on the estimation results. Particularly, the IV estimate using mother’s education as an IV is more robust than that based on father’s education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-117 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:113-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophia T. Anong Author-X-Name-First: Sophia T. Author-X-Name-Last: Anong Author-Name: Velma Zahirovic-Herbert Author-X-Name-First: Velma Author-X-Name-Last: Zahirovic-Herbert Title: Homeownership and high-cost alternative borrowing Abstract: Homeowners are generally less likely to use short-term alternative loans such as payday loans, car title loans, and tax refund anticipation loans but this association has not been fully explored across all income groups and in the context of other homeownership characteristics. Using the 2009 U.S. National Financial Capability Study, this study shows that homeownership generally reduces the propensity for high-cost alternative borrowing across all income quintiles. However, home purchases made within the 5 years prior to 2009 increased the probability of alternative borrowing in the bottom two quintiles. Also, apart from the bottom quintile, homeowners with adjustable-rate mortgages are more likely to resort to alternate loans compared to those without such mortgages. Surprisingly, those with home equity loans in the lower quintile are more likely to have used AFS loans as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:118-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kleber Morais De Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Kleber Morais De Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Author-Name: Monica De Maria Santos Fornitani Pinhanez Author-X-Name-First: Monica De Maria Santos Fornitani Author-X-Name-Last: Pinhanez Author-Name: Paulo Aguiar Do Monte Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Aguiar Do Author-X-Name-Last: Monte Author-Name: Josedilton Alves Diniz Author-X-Name-First: Josedilton Alves Author-X-Name-Last: Diniz Title: Salary, financial autonomy and efficiency of healthcare systems in local governments Abstract: The expansion of financial autonomy increased the interest on the factors that influence the efficiency of local governments (LGs). Although fiscal autonomy and employee’s wages have implications for efficiency, research has ignored their combined effects. This work aims to investigate the relation between salary, financial autonomy and the efficiency of LGs' health systems in Brazil. The sample was composed of 188 LGs in the state of Paraíba from 2011 to 2015. The study consisted of a two-stage analysis: (i) efficiency was measured by means of Data Envelopment Analysis; (ii) and multiple regression on panel data. Results demonstrate that (i) the average salary of doctors affected efficiency negatively, while the salary of non-doctors had a positive impact on efficiency; (ii) salary differences between doctors and non-doctors, as well as differences between members within each group, did not impact efficiency; (iii) LG's financial autonomy presented positive effects on efficiency even if not confirmed by all models. Results show that when an increase in salary affected groups receiving smaller salaries, the effect was positive on efficiency, while for groups with higher salaries, such an increase caused a negative impact. Finally, this study suggests that LGs’ greater financial autonomy is positively correlated to greater efficiency in healthcare services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 122-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:122-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The importance of detailed patterns of herding behaviour in a P2P lending market Abstract: Previous studies have provided contradictory evidence as to whether investors’ herding behaviour is rational or not in P2P lending markets. In this study, a path analysis model is adopted to identify a logical leap with regard to judgements of the rationality of investors’ herding behaviour per se. Empirical results show that the indicators of herding behaviour used in previous studies (i.e., number of lenders and relative time span for funding) are conflictingly affected by other attributes such as the borrower’s credit score and loan amount. This means that the rationality of investors’ herding behaviour is not deterministic but changes with the investors’ credit assessment style in each market. In addition, this study finds that investors’ accelerating bidding participation over time is positively related to loan repayment results through unidirectional pathways from the borrower’s credit score and loan duration, implying that investors’ bidding patterns can have predictive power concerning loan performance outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makoto Hirono Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Hirono Title: Impact of R&D growth model with public and private education on income and population growth Abstract: This paper analyses an R&D-based growth model that presents an empirically plausible relationship between population growth and income growth for in particular developed countries. The paper shows that in the presence of highly productive education, a decrease in population growth accelerates income growth even though public education sectors are not well developed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:131-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiwei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Asymmetric price effects on gasoline consumption: evidence and Implications Abstract: The increased volatility of gasoline prices in the last 10 years has renewed the interest in how gasoline demand responds to new changes. Using recent urban household survey and Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) level gasoline prices, this paper examines whether rising and falling fuel prices have symmetric effects on gasoline consumption. The findings indicate that an increase in gasoline prices induces larger behavioural responses than a decrease in gasoline prices would do. These results not only challenge the perfect price reversibility assumption used in many energy demand models, but also bear important implications for evaluating gasoline tax policies and demand projections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 136-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:136-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lina Ma Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: The effect of institutional ownership on M&A performance: evidence from China Abstract: This paper examines the impact of institutional ownership on merger and acquisition (M&A) performance of Chinese listed firms from 2006 to 2017. The results indicate that institutional ownership positively affects M&A performance, and so does institutional ownership concentration. Moreover, the results suggest that pressure-sensitive, large, and domestic institutional ownership have a greater positive effect on M&A performance than pressure-insensitive, small, and foreign institutional ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 140-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:140-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Ivar Gaasland Author-X-Name-First: Ivar Author-X-Name-Last: Gaasland Author-Name: Hans-Martin Straume Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Straume Author-Name: Erling Vårdal Author-X-Name-First: Erling Author-X-Name-Last: Vårdal Title: Norwegian export of farmed salmon − trade costs and market concentration Abstract: While variation in unit value most commonly has been associated with quality in the trade literature, observed differences in prices between markets might also be explained by variation in market concentration and the degree of competition. Using transaction data on Norwegian exports of salmon, we introduce a Herfindahl index as a measure of competition in a standard gravity model. We find that competition typically is weaker in small and distant markets that due to high trade costs are served by relatively few firms. We argue that the anti-competitive impact of trade costs may explain price differentiation between markets even for homogeneous products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-149 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:145-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Volkenand Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Volkenand Author-Name: Guenther Filler Author-X-Name-First: Guenther Author-X-Name-Last: Filler Author-Name: Marlene Kionka Author-X-Name-First: Marlene Author-X-Name-Last: Kionka Author-Name: Martin Odening Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Odening Title: Duration dependence among agricultural futures with different maturities Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to analyse the interdependence of price durations among agricultural futures contracts with different maturities. We apply an extended autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model to storable and non-storable agricultural commodities. Using Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Best-Bid-Best-Offer (BBO) futures data, we find duration dependence for corn, wheat, live cattle, and lean hog. Somewhat surprisingly, we do not find differences between storable and non-storable commodities. The main contribution of our analysis is to provide empirical evidence that short-term effects motivated by market microstructure theory do not outweigh arbitrage relations along the forward curve as suggested by theories of storage and normal backwardation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 150-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:150-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Amez Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Amez Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Author-Name: Brecht Neyt Author-X-Name-First: Brecht Author-X-Name-Last: Neyt Author-Name: Maarten Vandemaele Author-X-Name-First: Maarten Author-X-Name-Last: Vandemaele Title: No evidence for second leg home advantage in recent seasons of European soccer cups Abstract: Previous research on the advantage experienced by soccer teams playing the second leg of a knock-out confrontation at home yielded ambiguous evidence. Some studies confirmed the well-established soccer myth that this advantage is substantial while others did not find any significant evidence. We contribute to this literature by analysing all ‘non-seeded’ two-leg confrontations in the UEFA Champions League and the UEFA Europa League between 2010 and 2017. We find that playing the second leg of a knock-out confrontation at home is not associated with a substantially higher chance of proceeding to the next stage of the tournament. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 156-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1630704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1630704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:2:p:156-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adebayo Abass Author-X-Name-First: Adebayo Author-X-Name-Last: Abass Author-Name: Paul Amaza Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Amaza Author-Name: Beatrice Bachwenkizi Author-X-Name-First: Beatrice Author-X-Name-Last: Bachwenkizi Author-Name: Bamidele Alenkhe Author-X-Name-First: Bamidele Author-X-Name-Last: Alenkhe Author-Name: Ivor Mukuka Author-X-Name-First: Ivor Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuka Author-Name: Nicolaus Cromme Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Cromme Title: Adding value through the mechanization of post-harvest cassava processing, and its impact on household poverty in north-eastern Zambia Abstract: This article investigates the impact of adopting a mechanized cassava processing system on household poverty levels in Zambia. An Foster, Greer and Thorbecke (FGT) poverty measure was used to compare poverty levels among households using a mechanized cassava processing system against those households using a nonmechanized process. Based on the FGT poverty measure’s specifications, a significantly lower poverty status of 49% was found among households using the mechanized process when compared to the 58% found among households using the nonmechanized process. The significant factors contributing to these differences in poverty levels include whether households are using a mechanized process or not, the number of years’ schooling among household members, the number of years’ farming experience, household income and membership of associations. The study concludes that the mechanization of cassava processing, particularly if done on the right scale, can transform primary production activities, in turn leading to higher incomes and reduced poverty levels in rural villages. Thus, policies should be introduced aimed at encouraging the promotion of mechanized post-harvest cassava processing technologies among rural households, so as to enhance crop productivity and household income levels, as well as reduce poverty among rural households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-583 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Fink Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Fink Author-Name: Sabrina Geppert Author-X-Name-First: Sabrina Author-X-Name-Last: Geppert Title: Implied correlation indices and volatility forecasting Abstract: Implied volatility indices are an important measure for ‘market fear’ and well-known in academia and practice. Correlation is still paid less attention even though the CBOE started to calculate implied correlation indices for the S&P500 in 2009. However, the literature especially on cross-country dependencies and applications is still quite thin. We are closing this gap by constructing an implied correlation index for the DAX and taking a deeper look at the (intercontinental) relationship between equity, volatility and correlation indices. Additionally, we show that implied correlation could improve implied volatility forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 584-588 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:584-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Lykke Sørensen Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Lykke Author-X-Name-Last: Sørensen Title: Active labour market programmes and reservation wages: it is a hazard Abstract: This article uses a randomized controlled trial to show that positive earnings effects of a labour market programme can be caused by either a faster return to employment together with a lowering of reservation wages or a more moderate return to employment together with an increase in reservation wages. I model wages and unemployment duration simultaneously in a hazard framework allowing for unobserved heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-593 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:589-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter M. Aronow Author-X-Name-First: Peter M. Author-X-Name-Last: Aronow Author-Name: Molly Offer-Westort Author-X-Name-First: Molly Author-X-Name-Last: Offer-Westort Author-Name: Lauren E. Pinson Author-X-Name-First: Lauren E. Author-X-Name-Last: Pinson Author-Name: Ana C. Perez-Gea Author-X-Name-First: Ana C. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Gea Title: Information and access to United Nations diplomatic missions Abstract: United Nations (UN) diplomats play an important role in international policy, yet there is a scarcity of evidence and theory on their preferences and behaviour. We report the results of an online field experiment designed to identify the revealed preferences of diplomats. In particular, we investigate whether and how diplomats will provide access to outside organizations based on offers of information. We contacted diplomats by email and randomized offers of information on either peer missions or world affairs. While offers of information on peers garnered nearly 45% more responses indicating interest than offers of information on world affairs, response rates across both treatments were low, and the difference is only 3.3 percentage points. Our estimated treatment effects of assignment to the peer as compared to world affairs treatment are not statistically significant. Our experiment failed to provide evidence that these types of informational offers facilitate differential access to UN diplomats. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 594-597 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1213359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1213359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:594-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Bourreau Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Bourreau Author-Name: Romain Lestage Author-X-Name-First: Romain Author-X-Name-Last: Lestage Author-Name: François Moreau Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Moreau Title: E-commerce and the market structure of the recorded music industry Abstract: In this article, we study the impact of the development of e-commerce on the concentration of the recorded music industry in France, for the period 2003–2010. First, we find that over the whole period, CD sales, measured at the distributor level, are less concentrated online than offline. Second, we find that sales concentration online has increased between the early period of e-commerce (2003–2006) and the later period (2007–2010). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 598-601 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217298 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:598-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Menelik Geremew Author-X-Name-First: Menelik Author-X-Name-Last: Geremew Title: Evaluating monetary policy with financial stability objective: rules vs. discretion Abstract: This article explores whether adding the goal of financial stability to the more traditional goals of output and price stability could improve optimality of monetary policy. A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model that endogenously incorporates financial frictions is used to derive optimality conditions across rule-based and discretionary monetary policy environments. The results indicate that it is optimal for the Central Bank to keep output below the potential level in the short term so as to dampen the inflationary effects arising from supply and financial shocks. When the economy is exposed to a financial shock, both leverage and credit spread rise significantly, thereby tipping the economy into a financial crisis and raising the probability of macroeconomic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 602-617 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:602-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunku Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sunku Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Yun Jeong Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yun Jeong Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Won-Sin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Won-Sin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effect of the car-parazzi system on traffic accidents in Korea Abstract: In 2001 and 2002, the Korean government rewarded around $3 to civilians who photograph and report violations of traffic rules. This so-called ‘car-parazzi system’ was such a success with well over 4 million cases reported until its abolition. Our empirical results found that the car-parazzi system was much effective in significantly reducing the death tolls by traffic accidents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 618-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:618-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amanda S. King Author-X-Name-First: Amanda S. Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: John T. King Author-X-Name-First: John T. Author-X-Name-Last: King Title: Depth versus breadth in video rental kiosks Abstract: We examine data from video rental kiosks for clues about how changes in the video rental industry have altered competition. Traditional video stores competed in availability, with consumer search costs determining the optimal probability of stock-outs. We find evidence that Redbox, the only major renter of physical discs in today’s market, competes in either availability (depth) or variety (breadth) depending on the mix of moratorium versus day-and-date titles released each week. Moratorium titles are those for which Redbox has agreed to wait a month or more beyond the street release date before adding them to kiosks, whereas day-and-date titles can be added to kiosks as soon as they are released on DVD. When there are relatively more day-and-date titles, Redbox competes against on-demand services by focusing on providing depth of hit movies at a much lower cost. As the mix of releases turns towards more moratorium releases, Redbox can no longer win over customers willing to pay the higher cost of on-demand streaming to avoid the moratorium. In this situation, Redbox competes with subscription-based services like Netflix which are also subject to studio moratoriums by offering a greater breadth of titles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens Rommel Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Rommel Author-Name: Daniel Hermann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Hermann Author-Name: Malte Müller Author-X-Name-First: Malte Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Oliver Mußhoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Mußhoff Title: Comprehension in risk elicitation experiments Abstract: Economic experiments are increasingly conducted with field populations for whom comprehension of instructions may be more difficult to achieve. We investigate how framing experimental instructions in a familiar context and incentivizing the experimental task may affect comprehension. Based on an experiment with 146 German farmers, we compare four different versions of a Holt-and-Laury multiple price list. We find that incentives have a small positive effect on comprehension, as measured by the probability of making inconsistent choices and subjects’ self-assessment. In the absence of incentives, framing negatively affects comprehension. Comprehension is enhanced for farmers who score high on a numeracy test. We conclude that contextual framing might confuse subjects, whereas incentives can help to facilitate comprehension of experimental instructions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-634 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:627-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Oshio Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Oshio Author-Name: Emiko Usui Author-X-Name-First: Emiko Author-X-Name-Last: Usui Title: Informal parental care and female labour supply in Japan Abstract: Using the Japanese Study of Aging and Retirement, Japan’s first globally comparable panel survey of the elderly, we estimate the effect on female employment in Japan due to the provision of informal parental care. We observe that informal parental care has little impact on female employment, after controlling for endogeneity of informal care or individual unobserved time-invariant heterogeneity. This finding is consistent with those observed in Europe and the US, underscoring a limited association between care and work in Japan, which is facing ageing at the fastest pace among advanced economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-638 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:635-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandana Shahi Author-X-Name-First: Chandana Author-X-Name-Last: Shahi Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: CAPM and the changing distribution of historical returns Abstract: Three statistical tests reject the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) assumption of a constant distribution of returns over time, for three different aggregate stock indices over various holding periods since 1950. These findings further undermine the reliability of CAPM applied to historical data for choosing optimal portfolio allocations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-642 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1217304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1217304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:639-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Regina T. Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina T. Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Author-Name: Rebecca Schrader Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Schrader Title: Measuring the cyclicality of labour market flows using individual transitions Abstract: We investigate whether the choice of a business cycle measure affects estimates of the cyclicality of labour market flows. We exploit precise administrative data on individual labour market transitions and study the association of alternative business cycle measures with individual transitions between employment and unemployment. We find indeed substantial heterogeneities across business cycle indicators that may have affected the results of prior studies on labour market transitions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-647 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Claveria Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Claveria Author-Name: Enric Monte Author-X-Name-First: Enric Author-X-Name-Last: Monte Author-Name: Salvador Torra Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Torra Title: Assessment of the effect of the financial crisis on agents’ expectations through symbolic regression Abstract: Agents’ perceptions on the state of the economy can be affected during economic crises. Tendency surveys are the main source of agents’ expectations. The main objective of this study is to assess the impact of the 2008 financial crisis on agents’ expectations. With this aim, we evaluate the capacity of survey-based expectations to anticipate economic growth in the United States, Japan, Germany and the United Kingdom. We propose a symbolic regression (SR) via genetic programming approach to derive mathematical functional forms that link survey-based expectations to GDP growth. By combining the main SR-generated indicators, we generate estimates of the evolution of GDP. Finally, we analyse the effect of the crisis on the formation of expectations, and we find an improvement in the capacity of agents’ expectations to anticipate economic growth after the crisis in all countries except Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 648-652 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:648-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Damas de Matos Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Damas de Matos Title: Firm heterogeneity and immigrant wage assimilation Abstract: This article investigates the role of job mobility in immigrant wage assimilation. I use longitudinal linked employer–employee data for Portugal to estimate the immigrant wage catch-up in log wage regressions with both individual and firm fixed effects. I show that moving to firms with higher wage premiums accounts for approximately 30% of the immigrant wage catch-up in the first years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Solana-Ibáñez Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Solana-Ibáñez Author-Name: Manuel Caravaca-Garratón Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Caravaca-Garratón Author-Name: Lorena Para-González Author-X-Name-First: Lorena Author-X-Name-Last: Para-González Title: Stability analysis and efficiency determinants: empirical evidence Abstract: Efficiency determinants analysis is a main contemporary component in the productive efficiency literature. Two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) procedure supposed a turning point in the methodology as the significance of a certain exogenous factor can provide policymakers with accurate information for future strategic decisions, but a deeper scrutiny into the importance of each factor remains unsettled. This article provides a novelty theoretical extension and empirical application for the two-stage DEA bootstrap procedure. We define the stability coefficient (SC) whose magnitude reveals the effect of each exogenous factor in the efficiency estimates. We present empirical evidence to examine the hypothesis that the efficiency of the 17 Spanish tourism regions for the average period data 2005–2013 is determined by a group of contextual variables, illustrating how the SCs strengthen knowledge concerning the significance of each potential attractor. The results help us to classify the significant attractors into strong and weak, accordingly enhancing the public or private decision process, and henceforth avoiding the wastefulness of decision-making units spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 658-661 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:658-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 662-662 Issue: 9 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1287404 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1287404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:9:p:662-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Guillemette Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Guillemette Author-Name: David Blanchett Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Blanchett Author-Name: Michael Finke Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Title: The effect of investment and withdrawal horizons on myopic loss aversion Abstract: Using unique survey data, we find that a longer investment horizon (6–10 years and 11+ years) reduces the likelihood of exhibiting myopic loss aversion (MLA) compared to an investment horizon of less than 2 years. In addition, we find that investors with higher levels of assets under management (AUM) are less likely to exhibit MLA compared to the lowest AUM quartile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: KwangJoo (KJ) Koo Author-X-Name-First: KwangJoo (KJ) Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Jonghwan (Simon) Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jonghwan (Simon) Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: CEO power and firm opacity Abstract: This paper examines the association between CEO power and firm opacity. We discuss the entrenchment and managerial power theories to develop a coherent hypothesis that captures a negative relationship. To investigate the relationship, we use CEO pay slice (CPS) and opacity index as proxies for CEO power and information environment, respectively. With alternate model specifications, we consistently find that firm opacity is positively associated with CPS. With the findings, we conclude that powerful CEOs pursue greater firm opacity–leading to poorer information environments–to hide, if any, agency issues or poor firm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-794 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:791-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: KwangJoo Koo Author-X-Name-First: KwangJoo Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Won Yong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Won Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do lucky CEOs avoid innovation? Abstract: Stock options are one of the most widely used equity-based compensation mechanisms to mitigate misalignment between managers’ and shareholders’ interests. And yet, it is sometimes suspiciously used as a method of extracting shareholders’ wealth to managers (Bebchuk et al., 2009). The typical ways to do so is using opportunistic timing such as backdating, spring-loading, etc. As shown in Bebchuk et al. (2010), opportunistic timing of option grants increases the incidence of lucky grants, or stock option grants that CEOs receive when the price is abnormally low. We investigate whether lucky grants to CEOs impact firm innovations and, by extension, long-term growth. Using patent citations as a proxy variable for innovation (Kogan et al., 2017), we find that innovation decreases if CEOs received lucky grant in the previous year. The results imply that lucky grants may reduce the incentive for CEOs to invest in risky, long-term projects and negatively affect fir innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasunori Ouchida Author-X-Name-First: Yasunori Author-X-Name-Last: Ouchida Title: Cooperative choice of corporate social responsibility in a bilateral monopoly model Abstract: This article presents an examination of a linear bilateral monopoly model with endogenous and cooperative choice of corporate social responsibility (CSR) level. This article also describes an investigation of the effects of cooperative choice of CSR on the market and welfare. New findings are explicit derivation of the necessary and sufficient condition for solving a double marginalization problem in the bilateral monopoly model with CSR. In addition, this report is the first demonstrating that cooperative CSR with Nash bargaining improves consumer surplus, social welfare and each firm’s profit to a level higher than that achieved through noncooperative CSR. Furthermore, cooperative CSR with Nash bargaining is shown to be capable of completely solving the double marginalization problem generated by a bilateral monopoly, although the manufacturer and the retailer are not vertically integrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-806 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:799-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cedric L. Mbanga Author-X-Name-First: Cedric L. Author-X-Name-Last: Mbanga Title: The day-of-the-week pattern of price clustering in Bitcoin Abstract: Following Urquhart (2017) who finds evidence of price clustering in Bitcoin, we answer the question of whether the documented price clustering in Bitcoin is driven by any given day-of-the-week. We find evidence that Bitcoin prices cluster around whole numbers more on Fridays and least on Mondays. We also show that Bitcoin price clustering around the top three most frequent two-digit decimals is primarily a Friday phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-811 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:807-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Claveria Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Claveria Title: A new consensus-based unemployment indicator Abstract: In this study we present a novel approach to measure the level of consensus among agents’ expectations. The proposed framework allows us to design a positional indicator that gives the percentage of agreement between survey expectations. While other aggregation methods such as the balance, which is constructed as the difference between the percentages of respondents giving positive and negative replies, explicitly omit the neutral information, the proposed metric allows synthesizing the information coming from all response categories, including the percentage of respondents who do not expect any change. In order to assess the performance of the proposed measure of consensus, we compare its ability to track the evolution of unemployment to that of the balance in eight European countries. With this aim, we scale both measures to generate one-period ahead forecasts of the unemployment rate. We find that the consensus-based unemployment indicator outperforms the balance in all countries except Denmark and Sweden, which suggests that the level of agreement among agents’ expectations is a good predictor of unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 812-817 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:812-817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aziz N. Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Aziz N. Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: What drives entrepreneurs underground? The role of tax morale Abstract: Using novel cross-country data, we examine whether and to what extent tax morale impacts informal entrepreneurship. Employing instrumental variables strategy, we find that countries with higher tax morale enjoy lower informal entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 818-822 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1497847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1497847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:818-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitar Eftimoski Author-X-Name-First: Dimitar Author-X-Name-Last: Eftimoski Title: An assessment of the dynamic effects of monetary policy in Macedonia Abstract: Macedonia, as a small emerging economy, is exposed to foreign risks such as: exchange rate volatility, trade distortions, and highly volatile capital flows. To ‘protect’ its economy, since 1995, the Macedonian Central Bank has applied the monetary strategy of exchange rate targeting, where the interest rate on Central Bank bills auctions is a basic monetary-policy instrument. This paper re-examined the effectiveness of the current monetary policy in Macedonia using the policy-oriented vector error correction model (VECM). We found that the Macedonian Central Bank demonstrates a low level of monetary-policy effectiveness and the existing monetary-policy strategy does not necessarily promote its ability to react countercyclically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-829 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1501151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1501151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:823-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makram El-Shagi Author-X-Name-First: Makram Author-X-Name-Last: El-Shagi Title: A simple estimator for smooth local projections Abstract: In this paper, we propose a simple approach to estimate impulse response function through smoothed local projections, thereby utilizing the flexibility of local projections, while creating smooth and economically plausible impulse response functions as provided by VARs. The approach allows to determine the appropriate degree of smoothing endogenously through a standard information criterion. This also avoids oversmoothing and provides an estimator that is generally more efficient than standard local projections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 830-834 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1502861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1502861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:830-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassem A. Homaifar Author-X-Name-First: Ghassem A. Author-X-Name-Last: Homaifar Author-Name: Frank A. Michello Author-X-Name-First: Frank A. Author-X-Name-Last: Michello Title: A generalized algorithm for duration and convexity of option embedded bonds Abstract: This article derives a generalized algorithm for duration and convexity of option embedded bonds that provides a convenient way of estimating the dollar value of 1 basis point change in yield known as DV01, an important metric in the bond market. As delta approaches 1, duration of callable bonds approaches zero once the bond is called. However, when the delta is zero, the short call is worthless and duration of callable will be equal to that of a straight bond. On the other hand, the convexity of a callable bond follows the same behaviour when the delta is 1 as shown in Dunetz and Mahoney (1988) as well as in Mehran and Homaifar’s (1993) derivations. However, in the case when delta is zero, the convexity of a callable bond approaches zero as well, which is in stark contrast to the non-zero convexity derived in Dunetz and Mahoney’s paper. Our generalized algorithm shows that duration and convexity nearly symmetrically underestimate (overestimate) the actual price change by 11/10 basis points for ± 100 basis points change in yield. Furthermore, our algorithm reduces to that of MH for convertible bonds assuming the convertible bond is not callable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-842 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1502862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1502862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:835-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Damásio Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Damásio Author-Name: Sandro Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Sandro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendonça Title: Modelling insurgent-incumbent dynamics: Vector autoregressions, multivariate Markov chains, and the nature of technological competition Abstract: The struggle between sail and steam is a long-standing theme in economic history. But this technological competition story has only partly tackled, since most studies have appreciated the rivalry between the two alternative modes of commercial sea carriage in the late 19th century while the early period has remained relatively under-analysed. This paper models the early dynamics between the two capital goods using a vector autoregression approach (VAR) and a Multivariate Markov Chain approach (MMC). We find evidence that the relationship was non-linear, with a strong indication of complementarities and cross-technology learning effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-849 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1502863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1502863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:843-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kisung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Kisung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Myeong Hyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Young Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Financial connectedness revisited: the role of Fama-French risk factors Abstract: We study the contributions of Fama-French type risk factors to spillovers across global stock markets by combining the framework proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz(2009) with insights from asset pricing. We demonstrate that incorporating the risk factors absorbs approximately 40% of information from DY’s total spillover measure to blur the boundaries between ‘To’ and ‘From’ countries and alleviates its upward trend. We find that the DY’s spillover index after controlling for the risk factors yet fluctuates in accordance with historically important economic events over time. Last but not least, the stock market characteristics implied by risk factor exposures are revealed to play the crucial role in determining the Net spillover direction among global equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 850-856 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1502864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1502864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:850-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Rachita Gulati Author-X-Name-First: Rachita Author-X-Name-Last: Gulati Title: Did the global financial crisis alter the competitive conditions in the Indian banking industry? Abstract: This article addresses a pertinent research question: Did the global financial crisis alter the competitive conditions in the Indian banking industry? In order to find the answer of this research question, we applied a dynamic version of the non-structural Panzar-Rosse model on a unique unbalanced panel dataset of Indian banks spanning over the period from 1998/99 to 2015/16. The robust estimates of H-statistic computed on the basis of the generalized method of moments estimates of the elasticities of input prices show that (i) Indian banks earned their interest and total revenue under monopolistic competition throughout the whole of the sample period and (ii) the global financial crisis altered the competitive conditions in the banking industry, and market moved closer to perfect competition following the financial crisis, especially when interest-bearing activities were in focus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-865 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1502865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1502865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:857-865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Libena Tetrevova Author-X-Name-First: Libena Author-X-Name-Last: Tetrevova Author-Name: Michal Patak Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Patak Author-Name: Iryna Kyrylenko Author-X-Name-First: Iryna Author-X-Name-Last: Kyrylenko Title: Web-based CSR communication in post-communist countries Abstract: In this survey, we investigate the level of web-based CSR communication in selected post-communist countries. Our objective was to identify, analyse and evaluate the scope of web-based CSR communication and the structure of CSR activities communicated by the TOP 100 companies based in the Czech Republic and Ukraine. On the basis of content analysis of the websites of the 100 most important companies (according to the level of revenue) based in each of these countries, we can state that the level of their web-based CSR communication is comparable. It does, however, correspond to the generally low level of CSR communication in post-communist countries. Apart from corporate websites, another popular channel of communication is social networks, in particular, Facebook. As far as the scope of CSR activities communicated is concerned, companies based in the Czech Republic communicate an average of 19 and companies based in Ukraine communicate an average of 18 of the 39 monitored activities. TOP 100 companies operating in these countries communicate economic and environmental responsibility activities in the greatest scope and on the contrary, ethical responsibility activities the least. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 866-871 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1508866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1508866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:866-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Author-Name: M. Carmen Lima Author-X-Name-First: M. Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Ferran Sancho Author-X-Name-First: Ferran Author-X-Name-Last: Sancho Title: An assessment of the impact of EU funds through productivity boosts using CES functions Abstract: The economic effects of European Funds on recipient countries are not without controversy. We propose to study this issue focusing on the productivity coefficients of CES production functions in a multisectoral, interdependent general equilibrium model. We adopt the calibration techniques typically used in computational general equilibrium modelling to estimate a numerical improvement in the productivity coefficients of the CES functions. The array of different funds belongs to two broad categories associated with the two types of primary factors, labour and capital, that determine the output. Once we estimate the change in productivity coefficients in labour and in capital, we introduce them into a computable general equilibrium model and simulate their effects, all else being equal, in order to quantify their likely economy-wide effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 872-876 Issue: 10 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1508867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1508867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:10:p:872-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Education budget savings from ending child marriage and early childbirths: the case of Niger Abstract: Ending child marriage and early childbirths would reduce total fertility rates and population growth especially in countries with a high incidence of child marriage, early childbirths, or both. Savings for public budgets could be large. This article relies on demographic projections and a UNESCO costing model for the provision of education by governments to estimate savings that could result from ending child marriage and early childbirths for public education budgets. The analysis is conducted for Niger, the country with the highest rate of child marriage in the world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1259743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taylor Jaworski Author-X-Name-First: Taylor Author-X-Name-Last: Jaworski Author-Name: Maggie E.C. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Maggie E.C. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Mario Samano Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Samano Title: Entry and pricing on Broadway Abstract: This article investigates the pricing decisions of Broadway shows. We find evidence that incumbent Broadway shows lower prices several weeks prior to the opening of a new show. In addition, prices are lower when the threat of competition, due to more entrants, is larger. A decomposition suggests that prices are more important than quantities for changes in revenue prior to entry and that this pattern reverses after entry occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:653-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pu Gong Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Jun Dai Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Title: Herding on lottery-type stocks: evidence from the Chinese stock market Abstract: Previous studies have provided evidence that investors have gambling propensity in the stock market and exhibit a preference for lottery-type stocks. In this study, we use high total skewness and high maximum daily return (MAX) to measure lottery-type stocks and examine whether investors do exhibit distinct herding pattern in these stock types. Empirical results show that investors display stronger herding among lottery-type stocks, thereby indicating that such stocks induce correlated behaviour with the investors. In addition, we find that stocks with the highest skewness exhibit stronger herding under upmarkets, whereas stocks with the lowest skewness display stronger herding under downmarkets. Regarding the highest MAX portfolio, no significant herding asymmetry is seen between upmarket and downmarket. The results reported in this article demonstrate that comovement in stock returns may be partly attributed to the nonstandard preferences of investors in the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-662 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:659-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Cointegration networks in stock markets Abstract: We use a novel approach based on a combination of network and cointegration analysis to examine linkages between stock markets across market cycles. Our results show that long-run linkages are likely to be global rather than regional and that market turbulence increases linkages. However, we find no widespread common stochastic trends between markets and neither are we able to draw a conclusion that major financial markets display influences network linkages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Meina Xu Author-X-Name-First: Meina Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Aid for trade and the quality of exports Abstract: This article studies how aid for trade (AfT) affects the quality of recipient countries’ exports. It shows that the quality effect is most discernible for AfT for assistance in trade policy: a 50% increase in the value of AfT received in this category is associated with a 0.5–1% increase in the quality of exports to the donor and other OECD countries. On average, the actual AfT received for assistance in trade policy leads to a 2% upgrade of the recipient country in the quality ladder of all developing countries. Around half of this quality effect is driven by the quality improvement of continued products in continued markets (intensive margin), and the other half by the quality upgrading of new products in continued markets and existing products in new markets (extensive margin). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 668-673 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:668-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratap Chandra Pati Author-X-Name-First: Pratap Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Pati Title: Volatility, maturity and volume in the Indian metals futures Abstract: This study examines the validity of Samuelson hypothesis and the mixture of distribution hypothesis to uncover time-to-maturity and trading volume as the sources of volatility in gold and copper futures. Exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model is used for empirical analysis. Leverage effect is found in copper futures but not in gold futures. We find evidence of the Samuelson maturity effect even after controlling for the trading volume. The mixture of distribution hypothesis is strongly supported. Hence trading volume, a proxy for information arrival, is one of the important determinants of volatility, and it dominates time-to-maturity. The results have implications for setting the desired level of margin requirements in futures contracts, designing effective hedging strategy and strengthening the risk management practices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 674-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355536 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:674-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annarita Colasante Author-X-Name-First: Annarita Author-X-Name-Last: Colasante Author-Name: Simone Alfarano Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Alfarano Author-Name: Eva Camacho Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Camacho Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: Long-run expectations in a learning-to-forecast experiment Abstract: We conduct a Learning to Forecast Experiment using a novel setting in which we elicit subjects’ short- and long-run expectations on the future price of an asset. We find that: (i) the rational expectations equilibrium is not a meaningful description for the whole time spectrum of subjects’ expectations; (ii) they are, instead, better described by an anchor-and-adjustment learning scheme; (iii) subjects exhibit a higher degree of heterogeneity in their long-run expectations vis-à-vis short-run expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-687 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:681-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heejin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jaeram Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaeram Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Market depth, domestic investors and price monotonicity violations Abstract: We re-examine the monotonicity violations of option price dynamics considering the roles of market depth and domestic investors. Violations caused by option price movements in conflict with underlying price movements tend to occur less frequently as the market depth increases, especially in the case of out-of-the-money options. In contrast, violations caused by option prices that remain sticky despite underlying price changes occur more frequently as the market depth increases. Both of these relationships are amplified by domestic investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 688-692 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:688-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ye Jiao Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Jiao Author-Name: Zhao Yunpeng Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Yunpeng Author-Name: Cui Chuanjiang Author-X-Name-First: Cui Author-X-Name-Last: Chuanjiang Author-Name: Zhao Lu Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Effect of cultural distance on reverse technology spillover from outward FDI: a bane or a boon? Abstract: This article aims to investigate the role of cultural distance in the relationship between outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and reverse technology spillover. Chinese firm-level data have been used to examine whether the cultural distance between domestic and host countries is a bane or a boon to innovation when firms engage in OFDI for technology acquisition. Generally, businesses with similar cultural backgrounds have an easier time-making technological progress. However, this research revealed a deeper level of reverse technological spillover among firms that invest in Europe and the USA, which are considered to quite culturally distant from China. Reverse technological spillover through OFDI is positively affected by individualism and uncertainty avoidance, which are the two dimensions of cultural distance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1356074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1356074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suzanna- Maria Paleologou Author-X-Name-First: Suzanna- Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Paleologou Title: Income and democracy: dynamic misspecification due to the presence of serial correlation Abstract: We address the issue of dynamic misspecification arising from the possible existence of serial correlation when examining the relationship between income and democracy by employing a panel count data estimation method. We find evidence that income per capita systematically predicts democracy, but it does not so in relation to the colonization experience of each country. Our results are robust across model specification and samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 698-701 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1358440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1358440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:698-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lesley Chiou Author-X-Name-First: Lesley Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou Author-Name: Jennifer Pate Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Pate Title: Trust, reputation and bidding behaviour in online mystery auctions Abstract: We use transactions from a distinctive online environment of ‘mystery’ auctions to examine the role that trust plays and how it impacts bidding behaviour when the exact characteristics of a good being auctioned are purposefully concealed from buyers. We show that buyers are generally trusting seller claims in online transactions and that seller reputation becomes significantly more important to buyers (as demonstrated by their bids) when the quality (or value) of the good is unspecified. Our findings can be extrapolated to consider broader economic implications of bidding behaviour impacted by trust, such as in financial markets, where over-bidding may lead to price bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 702-706 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1358441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1358441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:702-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Jiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhiqin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: A panel data model with interactive effects characterized by multilevel non-parallel factors Abstract: Current research only considers parallel factors in factor models. In this article, we provide an algorithm based on cross principal component analysis that identifies and estimates a panel data model with interactive effects characterized by multilevel and non-parallel factors. The simulation results show that our estimator is consistent, converges quickly and outperforms other estimators that identify the factor structure incorrectly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-712 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1358442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1358442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:707-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Bednar Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Bednar Title: Campaigning and election outcomes in a presidential primary election Abstract: This article presents new evidence from the US presidential primary setting on the role campaigning plays in determining election outcomes. Using candidate visits as a measure of campaign intensity, I estimate a discrete choice model of voting using a differentiated products framework where I allow for abstention and create instruments for campaigning based on Democratic Party rules for delegate allocation. On average, a visit by a candidate increases the vote share of this candidate by about 2.4 percentage points and decreases the abstaining share by 0.7 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-717 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1360999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1360999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:713-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Dias Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Dias Author-Name: Maximiano Pinheiro Author-X-Name-First: Maximiano Author-X-Name-Last: Pinheiro Author-Name: António Rua Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Rua Title: A bottom-up approach for forecasting GDP in a data-rich environment Abstract: In an increasingly data-rich environment, the use of factor models for forecasting purposes has gained prominence in the literature and among practitioners. Herein, we assess the forecasting behaviour of factor models to predict several GDP components and investigate the performance of a bottom-up approach to forecast GDP growth in Portugal, which was one of the hardest hit economies during the latest economic and financial crisis. We find supporting evidence of the usefulness of factor models and noteworthy forecasting gains when conducting a bottom-approach drawing on the main aggregates of GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 718-723 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1361000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1361000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:718-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Vitor Castro Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Castro Author-Name: Ricardo M Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Systemic financial crises and the housing market cycle Abstract: Using quarterly data for a group of 20 industrialized countries and both continuous- and discrete-time duration models, we show that financial crisis recessions are associated with a two- to three-fold increase in the likelihood of the end of a housing boom. Additionally, recessions preceded by booms in mortgage credit are especially damaging, as their occurrence coincides with an increase in the duration of housing market slumps of almost 90%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 724-729 Issue: 10 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1361001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1361001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:10:p:724-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Le Thanh Tung Author-X-Name-First: Le Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Tung Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Title: Regional income convergence in Indochina 1970–2015? Abstract: Real incomes have been increasing relatively fast in the Indochina region but there are still large differences in income levels between the six member countries. Based on the various sources of national accounts data, it seems that the low-income countries have experienced the highest growth rates. Time series tests of convergence, in this case catching-up to the relatively high-income level in Malaysia, confirm that Cambodia, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam have narrowed the income gap during the last two decades. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 168-173 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1444258 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1444258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:168-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj K. Maskara Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj K. Author-X-Name-Last: Maskara Author-Name: Florence Neymotin Author-X-Name-First: Florence Author-X-Name-Last: Neymotin Title: Credit unions during the crisis: did they provide liquidity? Abstract: We use the consumer finance monthly national survey to demonstrate that credit unions (CUs) in the United States did little to help consumers obtain a home equity line of credit (HELOC) during the recent financial crisis. Our results hold after including a two-stage regression structure using the availability of CUs as the identifying instrument, as well as employing a Heckman correction procedure to adjust for sample selection bias. We find that during the financial crisis, CUs were no more likely than other depositary institutions to extend HELOCs either in areas experiencing housing price declines or to lower income households. Our results provide an empirical counterpoint to those who have lauded CUs for providing liquidity during times of crisis or for serving consumers who would otherwise be challenged to obtain funds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 174-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1444259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1444259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:174-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasir Shahab Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Shahab Author-Name: Collins G Ntim Author-X-Name-First: Collins G Author-X-Name-Last: Ntim Author-Name: Farid Ullah Author-X-Name-First: Farid Author-X-Name-Last: Ullah Title: The brighter side of being socially responsible: CSR ratings and financial distress among Chinese state and non-state owned firms Abstract: We examine the effect of corporate social responsibility (CSR) quality ratings on the financial distress levels of Chinese enterprises by using the previously unexplored new China-specific Altman ‘ZChina Score’ in the context of CSR and data from 749 firms over the 2009–2014 period. First, we find that CSR quality ratings significantly reduce Chinese firms’ distress levels. Second, we find that the ability of CSR to reduce distress levels in non-state-owned Chinese firms is higher than state-owned ones. Finally, we find similar results when we divide the data into high-low CSR ratings and levels of distress. Our results are robust to potential endogeneities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1450480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1450480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:180-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dany Bahar Author-X-Name-First: Dany Author-X-Name-Last: Bahar Title: Measuring knowledge intensity in manufacturing industries: a new approach Abstract: This article presents the methodology and results for measuring the knowledge intensity of manufacturing industries based on the knowledge-related characteristics of their workforce. The measures link information from the Occupational Information Network project (from the US Department of Labor) and the Occupational Employment Statistics (from the Bureau of Labor Statistics) to produce industry-specific knowledge intensity measures. The new measures overcome the main issues posed by the industry-average R&D share in total sales variable, often used as a proxy for knowledge intensity in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1456643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1456643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anja Bodenschatz Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Bodenschatz Author-Name: Bernd Irlenbusch Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Irlenbusch Title: Do two bribe less than one? – An experimental study on the four-eyes-principle Abstract: We incorporate a four-eyes-mechanism on the briber’s side into a bribery game. Our results are mixed. We find no effect of the mechanism in a one-shot setting, but a reduction of bribes when the setting is repeated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1456644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1456644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. T. Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: C. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: D. Pépin Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pépin Title: The money demand and the loss of interest for the euro in Romania Abstract: We generalize a money demand micro-founded model to explain Romanians’ recent loss of interest for the euro. We show that the reason behind this loss of interest is a severe decline in the relative degree of the euro liquidity against that of the Romanian leu. Our empirical findings also suggest that the two currencies are rather complements than substitutes, providing thus evidence for a reduced level of monetary integration of Romania with the Euro area. These results put into question the interest for the euro adoption in the next period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 196-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1456645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1456645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:196-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su Wah Hlaing Author-X-Name-First: Su Wah Author-X-Name-Last: Hlaing Author-Name: Makoto Kakinaka Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Kakinaka Title: Global uncertainty and capital flows: any difference between foreign direct investment and portfolio investment? Abstract: This note investigates how global uncertainty relates to extreme waves of capital flows, including foreign direct investment, portfolio investment, and other investment. We find the clear differences in the role of global uncertainty between advanced and developing economies. Global uncertainty increases the likelihood of sudden contraction of portfolio investment in both advanced and developing economies, while it increases that of foreign direct investment in only advanced economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 202-209 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:202-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nguyen Ba Trung Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Ba Author-X-Name-Last: Trung Title: The spillover effect of the US uncertainty on emerging economies: a panel VAR approach Abstract: The article quantifies the spillover effects of the United States’ (US) uncertainty shocks on emerging economies, using a panel VAR model. We find that the US uncertainty shocks are the risks, and hence drop the capital inflow, investment, consumption, export and output of emerging economies. This also induces a depreciation of emerging market currencies. As a result, our model predicts a fall in short-term interest rate of emerging economies to react against the US uncertainty shocks. Our findings partly help explain the slow recovery of the world economy after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:210-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Li Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhisheng Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Hong Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: The impact of return migration on the mental health of children Abstract: Utilising the latest large-sample data from a survey conducted in 2015 in China, we empirically estimated the impact of return migration on the mental health of children. Our results show that the experience of return migration has a significant negative impact on children’s mental health as measured by depression risk, self-esteem and resilience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daekook Kang Author-X-Name-First: Daekook Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Yongtae Park Author-X-Name-First: Yongtae Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Analysing diffusion pattern of mobile application services in Korea using the competitive Bass model and Herfindahl index Abstract: Mobile service has been totally revolutionizing the service industry with the explosive growth in mobile application (‘app’) services. With the rapid proliferation of mobile app service, there is still a constant need for the research focusing on the precise and scientific prediction of the diffusion of mobile app service with consideration of competitive relationships. However, most of the relevant research dealing with diffusion did not consider the competition effect among mobile app services. In addition, in mobile app services, big competitors, which have a larger marketing share in same category, can interrupt the diffusion of other mobile app services significantly. Thus, the level of competitiveness also should be considered for more precise prediction of mobile app service. Accordingly, the present study proposes a new approach to analyse the degree of competitiveness of mobile app service categories using Herfindahl–Hirschman index and classify mobile app service categories. Then, this study systematically analyses their respective diffusion patterns based on the given empirical data using competitive Bass model. A case of Korean mobile service industry is presented to illustrate the proposed approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 222-230 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:222-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barnabé Walheer Author-X-Name-First: Barnabé Author-X-Name-Last: Walheer Title: Is constant returns-to-scale a restrictive assumption for sector-level empirical macroeconomics? The case of Europe Abstract: Assuming constant returns-to-scale is commonly agreed for empirical macroeconomic studies when countries are of interest. Recently, an increasing number of works have started to look at sectors building on the same assumption. In this letter, we question the reliability of this assumption for 10 European sectors for the period 1995–2014, for different production factor combinations. We make use of a simple sample-based nonparametric test that does not require any assumptions for any aspect of the production process. Our results suggest that, in general, this assumption is rather acceptable and that the specification with only capital and labour is the best in this case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-236 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:231-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Calderón-Arrieta Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Calderón-Arrieta Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Valuing recreational water clarity and quality: evidence from hedonic pricing models of lakeshore properties Abstract: This study extends the economics literature on the relationship between recreational water quality and residential property pricing by separately testing the relationships between both water clarity and quality and the price of lakeshore residential properties in Ontario, Canada. Our econometric approach includes objective measures of both attributes: Secchi disk readings for water clarity and phosphorus concentrations for water quality. Econometric results presented in this study suggest that a one-metre improvement in water clarity results in an 8 per cent residential property price premium, while a one standard deviation improvement in water quality boosts lakeshore residence prices by 32 per cent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-244 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:237-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianko Michailidis Author-X-Name-First: Gianko Author-X-Name-Last: Michailidis Author-Name: Concepció Patxot Author-X-Name-First: Concepció Author-X-Name-Last: Patxot Title: Political viability of public pensions and education. An empirical application Abstract: Public intergenerational transfers (IGTs) may emerge from the failure of private arrangements to provide optimal economic resources for the young and old. We investigate the political sustainability of the public system of IGTs by seeking to determine the outcome if the decision to reallocate economic resources per se was put to the vote. Exploiting the particular nature of the data from the National Transfer Accounts data in a political economy application in which generations cooperate under certain conditions, we show that most of the developed countries would vote in favour of a joint public education and pension system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan de Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: de Lucio Author-Name: Raul Mínguez Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Mínguez Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: Why firms set different export prices? Evidence from Spain Abstract: Using firm-level export data for the 2010–2014 period, we investigate the variation of export prices across and within Spanish manufacturing firms. We find that more productive firms set higher export prices. However, this result is not robust to controlling for other firm-level characteristics and alternative productivity measures. We show that firms set higher export prices in more distant markets and in destinations with high GDP per capita, and lower export prices in large and low-competition markets. These latter results suggest that firms adjust the quality of their products to destination characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 250-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1458189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1458189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:250-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katja Heinisch Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Heinisch Author-Name: Axel Lindner Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Lindner Title: For how long do IMF forecasts of world economic growth stay up-to-date? Abstract: This study analyses the performance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook output forecasts for the world and for both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast for the current year and the next year, we examine the durability of IMF forecasts, looking at how much time has to pass so that IMF forecasts can be improved by using leading indicators with monthly updates. Using a real-time data set for GDP and for indicators, we find that some simple single-indicator forecasts on the basis of data that are available at higher frequency can significantly outperform the IMF forecasts as soon as the publication of the IMF’s Outlook is only a few months old. In particular, there is an obvious gain using leading indicators from January to March for the forecast of the current year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-260 Issue: 3 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1459035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1459035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:3:p:255-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Csordás Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Csordás Title: Commodity exports and labour productivity in the long run Abstract: Empirical analysis of dynamic panel data models shows that dependence on exports of ores and metals is associated with lower labour productivity. For other commodity groups, there is no statistically significant effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 362-365 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:362-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Author-Name: Christos Kallandranis Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kallandranis Author-Name: Socrates Karidis Author-X-Name-First: Socrates Author-X-Name-Last: Karidis Title: A note on trust in the ECB in the era of sovereign debt crisis Abstract: We employ Eurobarometer data on trust in the ECB, exploring whether trust is affected by sovereign credit rating episodes and the participation in economic adjustment programmes (EAPs) (bailout schemes). Controlling for several sociodemographic factors and macroeconomic conditions, we document a substantial negative impact on trust in ECB for countries experiencing downgrade episodes and participating in EAPs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 366-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:366-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John H. Huston Author-X-Name-First: John H. Author-X-Name-Last: Huston Author-Name: Roger W. Spencer Author-X-Name-First: Roger W. Author-X-Name-Last: Spencer Title: Quantitative easing and asset bubbles Abstract: Expansionary monetary policy is necessary to respond to financial crises. However, if Central Bank asset purchase initiatives are too large or last too long, they can lead to explosive increases in asset prices which add to the risk of a future crisis. This article employs two models including the Campbell–Shiller and Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller techniques to search for bubbles in the US equity, housing and bond markets over the past eight years. Although, we find that prices in equities and housing have risen following Federal Reserve intervention, there is little indication of asset price bubbles. There is evidence of explosive bond price increases from September of 2011 to February of 2013. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-374 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:369-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael D. Makowsky Author-X-Name-First: Michael D. Author-X-Name-Last: Makowsky Author-Name: Eili Y. Klein Author-X-Name-First: Eili Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Klein Title: Identifying the relationship between length of hospital stay and the probability of readmission Abstract: We estimate the effect of hospital length of stay (LOS) on the probability of 30-day readmission for 516,768 patients hospitalized with heart failure in California from 2005 to 2011. We use hospital crowding as an instrumental variable to control for bias from omitted health characteristics. Our results suggest that the literature, which has for 30 years identified readmission rates increasing with LOS, has not controlled for omitted variable bias when estimating the benefits from a patient’s hospital stay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-380 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:375-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hyejin Ku Author-X-Name-First: Hyejin Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Title: Option valuation with liquidity risk and jumps Abstract: This article provides a simple model for pricing and hedging options in the presence of jumps and liquidity costs. In the article, liquidity risk is modelled via a stochastic supply curve function and a jump-diffusion process is approximated by a Markov chain. Local risk minimization incorporating liquidity risk is proposed to price and hedge European options in this discrete-time model. Moreover, an example is provided to implement the modified risk minimization method and to demonstrate the performance of hedging strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-387 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:381-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Illoong Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Illoong Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: Performance budgeting: effects on government debt and economic growth Abstract: This article examines the effects of performance budgeting on government debt and economic growth rates. The results show that countries with a higher share of ministries using performance targets in budget negotiation tend to have lower government debt and higher GDP growth rates. A simple fixed-effect model shows similar results. The evidence suggests that these results hold only in those countries with relatively lower corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 388-392 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:388-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dolores Añón Higón Author-X-Name-First: Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Añón Higón Author-Name: Juan A. Máñez Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Máñez Author-Name: María E. Rochina-Barrachina Author-X-Name-First: María E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina-Barrachina Author-Name: Amparo Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Author-Name: Juan A. Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Title: The impact of the Great Recession on TFP convergence among EU countries Abstract: This article provides evidence on the effect of the Great Recession on productivity convergence among European Union (EU) economies. We use firm data, aggregated at the country-year level, to analyse the evolution of beta-convergence on total factor productivity (TFP) for 2003–2014. We obtain a positive impact of the recession on TFP (unconditional and conditional) beta-convergence across EU economies. These results support the existence of a catching-up process within the EU during the recent financial crisis. Other macroeconomic and institutional characteristics are important in fostering TFP growth, namely R&D intensity and quality of governance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:393-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ermanno Affuso Author-X-Name-First: Ermanno Author-X-Name-Last: Affuso Author-Name: J. Reid Cummings Author-X-Name-First: J. Reid Author-X-Name-Last: Cummings Author-Name: Huubinh Le Author-X-Name-First: Huubinh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: The external cost of asbestos in the housing market Abstract: This study uses a Generalized Method of Moments spatial error hedonic model to estimate the potential impact of asbestos on residential property prices. The analysis examines a large sample of 32,403 housing sales occurring between 2008 and 2015 in a fast-growing Coastal Alabama region. Results indicate the presence of asbestos depreciates house values by 13.44%, translating into an external cost of approximately $25,300 per property. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashley Provencher Author-X-Name-First: Ashley Author-X-Name-Last: Provencher Author-Name: Audrey Carlton Author-X-Name-First: Audrey Author-X-Name-Last: Carlton Title: The poverty experience of lone mothers and their children Abstract: Lone mothers, as sole caregivers and women, face unique challenges to guaranteeing the economic well-being of their children compared to lone fathers. While all lone parents face a trade-off in time spent earning wages and time spent caring for children, mothers are likely to earn wages lower than fathers, thus increasing their chances of falling into poverty. Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2013 Current Population Survey, we estimate the size of the gender poverty gap among lone-parent families. We apply the Oaxaca–Blinder decomposition to assess whether this gap can be solely attributed to parent and family demographics. Much of the poverty gap, however, is attributed to unobservables, suggesting the increased likelihood of being in poverty for lone-mothered families may be, in part, due to gender-based discrimination in labour markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Changmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hyung-goo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Hyung-goo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Woonam Seok Author-X-Name-First: Woonam Author-X-Name-Last: Seok Title: How does organizational structure affect executive compensation? Abstract: Does the rise of the CFO as the second-ranked executive increase the status of the CEO? We find that, as a CFO becomes #2, a CEO receives higher pay in relative terms compared with other top executives. This result corresponds to the literature on span-of-control of executives in top management team. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Mitra Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Mitra Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Comparing private and government schools in India: the devil is in the maths Abstract: Recent research shows that the gap in learning achievement between private and government schools in India can be explained away by self-selection. Analysing four rounds of panel data and distinguishing between ‘knowing’ and ‘applying’ dimensions of maths learning, I find that there is no private school advantage in the applying domain but that there is an advantage in the knowing domain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:409-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Author-Name: Carlos Mulas-Granados Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mulas-Granados Author-Name: José Tavares Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Author-Name: Carolina Correa Caro Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Caro Title: Single currency and fiscal performance: the early Euro Area in perspective Abstract: We examine how exchange rate regimes affect fiscal discipline by investigating European countries as they transitioned from flexible to fully fixed exchange rates under the Euro. We apply the synthetic control method to estimate, for each Eurozone country, its counterfactual budget stance under flexible rates. Our evidence strongly suggests that fixing exchange rates negatively impacted negatively fiscal discipline. However, effects were not homogeneous, as they were mediated by political factors. For example, countries where policymakers faced a longer political horizon and operated within a more cohesive political environment, managed to perform better in terms of fiscal discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-419 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1327119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1327119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:415-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura K. Brown Author-X-Name-First: Laura K. Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Elizabeth Troutt Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Troutt Title: A re-analysis of the trade and welfare effects of export subsidies Abstract: This article proposes a new analysis of the market and welfare effects of export subsidies. Current analysis uses a default assumption of imports being prohibited by the exporting country. We contend that this assumption fails on several fronts: it is not consistent with the ceteris paribus assumption used in economic analysis; it is unrealistic in a world of fast-dropping transportation costs and free trade; and it hides the true effect of an export subsidy which is to create inefficient intra-industry trade. Correcting the analysis is important as, even with a proliferation of treaties, governments continue to enact policies to promote trade that may have similar effects to an export subsidy. Proceeding at a basic level, this article presents graphical analysis of export subsidies to replace the content in current undergraduate textbooks, in order to train the next generation of economists to think clearly about the effects of this policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 420-424 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1329925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1329925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:420-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Silva Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Isabel Soares Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Author-Name: Carlos Pinho Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Pinho Title: Support to renewable energy sources and carbon capture and sequestration: comparison of alternative green tax reforms Abstract: We compare the economic and environmental effects of several specifications of a green tax reform (GTR) where tax revenues are used to support renewable energy sources (RESs) and carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) activities. With this aim, we propose an equilibrium model where final-goods production uses labour and energy, and energy production uses nonpolluting RES and polluting fossil fuels. The comparison is based on three key indicators: output per worker, energy intensity and the ratio of renewables over nonrenewables. We test five variations of the GTR in addition to the no-policy case. Results show that a GTR as the one we propose here never provides a double dividend. There are environmental benefits but at the expense of the economy. Additionally, for lower tax levels, prioritizing RES support has lower economic costs and potential environmental benefits. For higher tax levels, CCS support becomes more competitive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1329926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1329926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoe Sang Chung Author-X-Name-First: Hoe Sang Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Sanghyun Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sanghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Price competition between big and small supermarkets: evidence from Seoul Abstract: This article empirically investigates the level of competition between superstores and smaller retailers in the Korean retail industry where market entry and operational hours of the former are restricted in order to protect the latter. Applying spatial econometric methods to store-level price data from Seoul, we find that while spatial price correlations among same-size stores exist, product prices across different-size stores are spatially uncorrelated. This result implies that consumers may not view superstores’ and smaller retailers’ products as close substitutes, and thus their markets are likely to be segmented from each other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-433 Issue: 6 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1383591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1383591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:6:p:429-433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Góes Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Góes Author-Name: Troy Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: Domestic market integration and the law of one price in Brazil Abstract: This article presents the first assessment of domestic market integration in Brazil using the law of one price. The law of one price is tested using two panel unit root methodologies and a unique data set comprising price indices for 51 products across 11 metro-areas. We find that the law holds for most tradable products and, not surprisingly, nontradable products are found to be less likely to satisfy the law of one price. While these findings are consistent with evidence found for other countries, price convergence occurs very slowly in Brazil, suggesting relatively limited domestic market integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 284-288 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:284-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Brenner Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Brenner Author-Name: Matthias Dorner Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Dorner Title: Is there a life cycle in all industries? First evidence from industry size dynamics in West Germany Abstract: We propose a novel nonlinear regression approach to test whether the size of industries develops over time along the stylized pattern assumed by the industry life cycle theory. We apply our model on data covering the full spectrum of 205 NACE industries including services in West Germany between 1976 and 2009 and four indicators describing industry size (employment, establishments, entries and exits). The results of our large scale analysis show that in most industries indeed size develops along a cyclical path, albeit this development is not universal. Furthermore, we provide first empirical evidence on service industries where we show that the number of establishments and employees frequently develop in line with what is found for most (product) industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:289-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Ranzani Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ranzani Author-Name: Michele Tuccio Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Tuccio Title: The impact of public employment on labour market performance: evidence from African countries Abstract: Using census data for Ghana, Mali and Mozambique, we study the long-term impact of public sector employment on local labour markets. We find that the public sector crowds out private employment and induces skilled workers to queue for a public job, thus increasing their unemployment rate. In addition, a growing public sector fosters employment in the tradable and nontradable sectors, remarkably for the unskilled, and the reallocation of unskilled workers away from agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:298-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Dewenter Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Dewenter Author-Name: Ulrich Heimeshoff Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Heimeshoff Author-Name: Hendrik Lüth Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Lüth Title: The impact of the market transparency unit for fuels on gasoline prices in Germany Abstract: Increasing horizontal as well as vertical transparency in oligopolistic markets can be advantageous for consumers, due to reduced search costs. However, market transparency can also affect incentives to deviate from collusive agreements and the punishment by rival firms in the market. Using a panel of 27 European countries, we analyse the impact of increased market transparency via the introduction of a market transparency unit for fuels in Germany. Applying a difference-in-differences approach, we find evidence that both gasoline and diesel prices have increased. While consumers may be better off using a retail price app for fuels, gas stations are also able to compare prices at almost no cost. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-305 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:302-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Cunningham Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Cunningham Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Bilateral foreign aid: how important is aid effectiveness to people for choosing countries to support? Abstract: We conduct a discrete choice experiment to determine how important aid effectiveness is to people relative to other criteria for choosing countries to support with bilateral foreign aid. We find that aid effectiveness is important, on a par with recipient-country need as proxied by the level of hunger and malnutrition. Both criteria are more important than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 306-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1184372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1184372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:306-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eero Pätäri Author-X-Name-First: Eero Author-X-Name-Last: Pätäri Author-Name: Pasi Luukka Author-X-Name-First: Pasi Author-X-Name-Last: Luukka Author-Name: Elena Fedorova Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Fedorova Author-Name: Tatiana Garanina Author-X-Name-First: Tatiana Author-X-Name-Last: Garanina Title: The anatomy of returns from moving average trading rules in the Russian stock market Abstract: This paper examines the profitability of index trading strategies that are based on dual moving average crossover (DMAC) rules in the Russian stock market over the 2003–2012 period. It contributes to the existing technical analysis (TA) literature by comparing for the first time in emerging markets the relative performance of individual stocks’ trading portfolios with that of trading strategies for the index that consists of the same stocks (i.e., the most liquid stocks of the Moscow Exchange). The results show that the best trading strategies of the in-sample period can outperform buy-and-hold strategy during the subsequent out-of-sample period, although with low statistical significance. In addition, we document the benefits of using DMAC combinations that are much longer than those employed in previous TA literature. Moreover, the decomposition of the full-sample-period performance into separate bull- and bear-period performances shows that the outperformance of the best past index trading strategies over is mostly attributable to the fact that they managed to stay mostly out of the stock market during a dramatic crash caused by the global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1186788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1186788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:311-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wayne Apap Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Apap Author-Name: Daniel Gravino Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gravino Title: A sectoral approach to Okun’s Law Abstract: The study adds to the existing literature on the relationship between output and unemployment by using a sectoral specification of Okun’s Law to capture the differential sensitivity of the unemployment rate to output developments in the services and manufacturing sectors. Using quarterly data for the period between 2000 and 2012, we show that Malta’s unemployment rate has been more sensitive to output developments in the services sector than to those in the manufacturing sector. We use different equation specifications and the youth unemployment rate to show that the impact resulting from developments in the manufacturing sector occurs mainly via lay-offs while developments in the services sector affect the unemployment rate via the hiring of new entrants into the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1186789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1186789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:319-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Ford Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Charles Yuji Horioka Author-X-Name-First: Charles Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Horioka Title: The ‘real’ explanation of the PPP puzzle Abstract: This article shows that global financial markets cannot, by themselves, achieve net transfers of financial capital and real interest rate equalization across countries and that the integration of both global financial markets and global goods markets is needed to achieve net transfers of capital and real interest rate equalization across countries. Thus, frictions (barriers to mobility) in one or both of these markets can impede the net transfer of capital between countries, produce the Feldstein and Horioka (1980) finding of high-saving-investment correlations and prevent real interest rates from being equalized across countries. Moreover, frictions in global goods markets can explain why real exchange rates deviate from purchasing power parity (PPP) for extended periods of time and can therefore also explain the PPP puzzle. Consequently, we are able to resolve two of Obstfeld and Rogoff’s (2000) ‘6 major puzzles in macroeconomics’ with essentially the same explanation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1186790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1186790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephan Huber Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Author-Name: Binh Nguyen Thanh Author-X-Name-First: Binh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Thanh Title: Vertical specialization in the EU and the causality of trade Abstract: We use a novel classification scheme to identify three stages of production in the manufacturing sector: parts, components and final goods. In particular, we offer evidence on the revealed comparative advantage of the EU-27 countries concerning the three vertically separated stages of production. Moreover, we investigate whether, and if so how, imports of parts, and components can work as a predictor for the exports of final goods. We find that countries specialize at different stages of production, and that components are Granger causal for the export of final goods in many countries with a lag of 3 months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-333 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1186791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1186791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:329-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roel Brouwers Author-X-Name-First: Roel Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwers Author-Name: Frederiek Schoubben Author-X-Name-First: Frederiek Author-X-Name-Last: Schoubben Author-Name: Cynthia Van Hulle Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Van Hulle Title: The EU ETS and corporate environmental abatement Abstract: This article studies the relationship between firm-level emissions-to-cap ratio (ETC) and environmental abatement, by using a unique and extensive data set of 10 762 installations covered by the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) matched to 5931 firms. We find that a shortage of emissions allowances is related to more abatement in later years while a surplus of emissions allowances results in worse subsequent environmental performance. This finding underscores the importance of reducing the global amount of allowances in the ETS system. Our results also suggest that stakeholder pressure and the creation of transparency concerning corporate environmental performance are likely to support the effectiveness of the system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 334-337 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1189504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1189504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:334-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Mayrhofer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Mayrhofer Title: Skewed background risks and higher-order risk preferences: prudent versus temperate behavior Abstract: In recent economic experiments, lotteries with left-skewed background risks elicit more prudent choices than lotteries with right-skewed background risks. In this letter, we use an expected utility framework to show that a skewed zero-mean background risk may induce not only prudent but also temperate behaviour. We suggest that the experimental findings could also be due to temperance, rather than merely to prudence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 338-341 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192265 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:338-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Guillermo Badía Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Badía Title: Adapting and testing the Fama and French model, with some variations of company characteristics Abstract: We examine whether the Fama and French (1992) (F&F) model can be adapted to become a more versatile and flexible tool, capable of incorporating variations of company characteristics in a more dynamic form. For this, the risk factors are reconstructed at the end of each reading of monthly data. We argue that, over time, the evaluation of a company may change as a result of variations in its market price, size or book price, and we are aware that the F&F model does not accurately reflect these dynamics. Our results show that the adapted model is able to capture the behaviour of a greater number of stocks than the original F&F model and risk factors are more significant when building them through our procedure. In addition, we carry out these adaptations during a period of instability in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 342-345 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192266 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:342-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: José Alves Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: Reconsidering Wagner’s law: evidence from the functions of the government Abstract: We revisit Wagner’s law by function of government expenditure. Using data of 14 European countries between 1996 and 2013, we apply panel data and SUR methods to assess public expenditure–income elasticities. We find that some functions of government spending for a few countries (e.g. Austria, France, the Netherlands and Portugal) validate Wagner’s law. For the Netherlands, expenditures with environment protection increase more than proportionately to economic growth, and for France that is the case of spending in housing and community amenities. In addition, Greece is the only country where two public spending items react more than one to one to growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 346-350 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192267 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:346-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brent Evans Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: Joshua D. Pitts Author-X-Name-First: Joshua D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Title: The determinants of NCAA basketball recruiting outcomes Abstract: Using recruiting rankings from Rivals.com, the authors examine the determinants of recruiting success among D1 NCAA men’s basketball programmes. After controlling for a host of potentially relevant variables, the authors find that recruiting outcomes are correlated with recent on-court success, historical on-court success, stadium size and playing in a ‘power’ conference. Additionally, teams with a history of sending players to the NBA receive heightened recruiting outcomes. A team with a new coach can expect difficulties with recruiting, while head coaches with national championships receive a recruiting boost. Finally, the authors show that recruiting strategies for guards may differ from recruiting strategies for other players. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192268 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaus Bartzsch Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Bartzsch Author-Name: Franz Seitz Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Seitz Title: What can biology tell us about transaction balances? Abstract: The total cash issuance of a central bank consists of domestic transaction and hoarding balances as well as foreign demand. The different shares are not known exactly. The introduction of the new Europa series of banknotes in the euro area offers the opportunity to calculate transaction balances with the help of a biometric method. Our results indicate that transaction balances are very low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192269 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:5:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Micha Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Micha Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Author-Name: Jan Michael Bauer Author-X-Name-First: Jan Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bauer Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Does unemployment lead to a less healthy lifestyle? Abstract: In this article, we use 22 years of data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and information on plant closures to investigate the effects of unemployment on four indicators of unhealthy lifestyles: diet, alcohol consumption, smoking and (a lack of) physical activity. In contrast to much of the existing literature, which unlike our analysis is unable to assess causality, our results provide little evidence that unemployment gives rise to unhealthy lifestyles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-819 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1231888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1231888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:815-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Honglin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Honglin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Heping Dai Author-X-Name-First: Heping Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Wenyan Zhuo Author-X-Name-First: Wenyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuo Title: Permissible delay period and pricing decisions in a two-echelon supply chain Abstract: Suppliers often offer trade credits to their capital-constrained retailers to stimulate more sales. The permissible delay period, as a variable factor, influences almost all decisions in a trade credit contract. In this article, we consider a two-echelon supply chain involving a supplier and a capital-constrained retailer in which the demand is the retail price- and time-dependent. We propose a decision model to determine the optimal delay period and pricing decisions under a noncooperative Stackelberg game with the supplier as the leader. We obtain the analytical-form optimal solutions. Our analysis reveals the influence of the delay period on the wholesale and retail prices. Numerical examples further clarify our theoretical results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 820-825 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1231889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1231889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:820-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Heejin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Investor sentiment, trading behavior and stock returns Abstract: This article examines how investor sentiment and trading behaviour affect asset returns. By analysing the unique stock trading dataset of the Korean market, we find that high investor sentiment induces higher stock market returns. We also find that institutional (individual) trades are positively (negatively) associated with stock returns, suggesting the information superiority (inferiority) of institutional (individual) investors. Investor sentiment generally plays a more important role in explaining stock market returns than investor trading behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 826-830 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1231890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1231890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:826-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yves Balasko Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Balasko Author-Name: Octavio Tourinho Author-X-Name-First: Octavio Author-X-Name-Last: Tourinho Title: Further evidence on the law of factor proportionality in multiple households closed CGE models Abstract: This article provides additional evidence that factor contents of different consumers’ consumption bundles computed from multiple households closed Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are approximately proportional. This empirical regularity has been observed up to now for a total of 11 CGEs for very diverse countries, and we therefore state it as law. It implies that these models display price rigidity with respect to endowment re-allocations, an observation which has broad implications for their capacity to capture general equilibrium effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-836 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1231891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1231891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:831-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Kreutzer Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Kreutzer Author-Name: Timo Mitze Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Mitze Title: Going offshore or better staying in? Spatial relocation strategies and their impact on firm innovativeness Abstract: We analyse the short- to mid-run effects of spatial relocation strategies on firm innovativeness and productivity growth. Using conditional difference-in-difference estimation with multiple treatments, we find for a sample of German firms in 1999–2013 that offshoring has a statistically significant negative impact on the firms’ innovation activity and productivity growth vis-à-vis nonrelocating comparison firms. In contrast, we find a positive link between domestic relocation activities and the firms’ propensity to introduce a product innovation. Firms should thus carefully account for potentially distorting performance effects when deciding about the spatial scale of relocation strategies in the short to mid-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-840 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1231892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1231892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:837-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A national or local phenomenon? A comparison of the US and the Chinese housing markets Abstract: This article investigates the common movements of house prices across cities as well as the macroeconomic underpinnings of the comovements in the US and China. Our empirical results indicate more differences than similarities between the US and the Chinese housing markets. The results from a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model indicate that the fluctuations of house prices across cities in the US are more a national phenomenon, while the dynamics of house prices across cities in China are mainly driven by the city-specific component. We further use VAR models to compare the roles of the underlying determinants in these two housing markets. The results show that the roles of monetary policy shocks and aggregate fluctuations in driving the common movements of house prices across cities differ substantially between the US and China at both short and long horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-845 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1234691 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1234691 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:841-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benedikt Vogt Author-X-Name-First: Benedikt Author-X-Name-Last: Vogt Title: Patience and achievement test results Abstract: I investigate the relation between high-stakes achievement test scores and students’ patience. I use an experimentally validated measure of time preferences to assess patience in a large sample of Dutch students in secondary school. A one SD increase in the achievement test at the age of 12 predicts 26% of an SD greater level of patience at the age of 15. The results hint at the fact that education can shape preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 846-849 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1234692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1234692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:846-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changjun Yue Author-X-Name-First: Changjun Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Author-Name: Siyan Yue Author-X-Name-First: Siyan Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The allocation of China’s higher education talent (2003–2013) Abstract: Using the job placement data of college graduates, we document the allocation of college-educated skilled labour in China during 2003 and 2013. We find that public sectors (governments and state-owned enterprises) enjoy a privileged position in absorbing the most talented in the labour market in contrast to the difficulties that domestic private enterprises suffer. The appeal of the public sectors does not come from the monetary salaries offered at the entry level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 850-853 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1234693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1234693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:850-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russ Kashian Author-X-Name-First: Russ Author-X-Name-Last: Kashian Author-Name: Richard G. Cummings Author-X-Name-First: Richard G. Author-X-Name-Last: Cummings Author-Name: Peter Westort Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Westort Title: Equity and asset growth among Subchapter S banks Abstract: Since 2004, commercial banks in the United States have been allowed to elect Subchapter S (hence Sub-S) status with up to 100 shareholders. That limitation may promote more effective monitoring of bank managers by shareholders which can, in turn, explain previous findings of superior performance among Sub-S banks. The present research focuses on the possibility that the shareholder limitation also constrains opportunities for bank growth, or a slow growth hypothesis for Sub-S banks. Using a differences-in-differences regression approach for a sample of community banks (i.e., less than $1b in assets) from 2004 to 2014, and controlling for initial assets and urban location, it is found that annual growth in real assets and equity was significantly higher among banks that never held Sub-S status than for banks that always held Sub-S status, and that banks switching to Sub-S later grew significantly faster than those that always held Sub-S status. Fixed effects regressions show that switching to Sub-S status significantly reduced equity growth, with asset growth significantly reduced after 2008. In conjunction with earlier findings, the results suggest that the availability of Sub-S status helped to protect and strengthen community banks across a time period including substantial financial turmoil. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 854-857 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1234694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1234694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:854-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Georgantzís Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Georgantzís Author-Name: Despoina Parasyri Author-X-Name-First: Despoina Author-X-Name-Last: Parasyri Author-Name: Konstantinos Tsagarakis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsagarakis Title: Inter-gender interaction and communication in ultimatum games Abstract: In this article, we focus on bargaining within male–female pairs, the most pervasive partnership in humankind. We analyse data from an ultimatum game played by Greek participants. Parallel to this, we introduce a one-way communication protocol according to which the responders can send short messages to the receivers, after making their decisions. The analysis shows that gender and message effects exist and males are more effective bargainers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 858-862 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1237725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1237725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:858-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tracy Collins Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Innovation and imitation: substitutes or complements? Abstract: Most of the research on imitation and innovation has focused on developed countries and examined whether imitation promotes or hinders innovation at the macro, industry and intra firm level, and the effect that this has on economic growth. Less research has been conducted about the dynamics that exist between innovation and imitation at the plant-level in developing countries, and the effect that trade policy has on this relationship. This article uses plant-level data from Mexico to analyse the dynamic relationship that exists between innovation and imitation at the microeconomic level. The empirical results suggest that in the context of a developing country, innovation and imitation complement each other and trade policy has no effect on this relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-867 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1237728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1237728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:863-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qianping Ren Author-X-Name-First: Qianping Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Maoliang Ye Author-X-Name-First: Maoliang Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Losing children and mental well-being: evidence from China Abstract: This article explores the impact of losing a child, especially losing all children (including losing the only child), on the mental health, happiness and loneliness of parents. The Chinese government has implemented strict restrictions on the number of births for each family since the 1970s, resulting in the creation of millions of only-child families. Using the 2011 baseline data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we find that the bereavement of a child is associated with lower levels of mental health and happiness and higher levels of loneliness for the parents, even after we adjust for demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. The effects are significantly stronger for losing all the children. Results have strong implications for the population-control, elderly-care and mental-care policies especially in China and developing countries, where the social security system is not yet sound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 868-877 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1237732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1237732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:868-877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Jose M. Cordero Author-X-Name-First: Jose M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero Author-Name: Jesus T. Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jesus T. Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Title: Productivity change of Portuguese municipalities after local reforms Abstract: This article examines the impact of the reforms introduced in the structure of the Portuguese local administration after the bailout agreement in 2011 on the efficiency and productivity of municipalities. In order to determine a measure of productivity change, we apply the global Malmquist productivity index to assess the performance of the 278 Portuguese mainland municipalities for the recent 6-year period 2009–2014. The overall results reveal that there was a decrease in the global productivity until 2013 followed by a notable increase in 2014 basically due to technological changes, thus it seems that the reforms have had a positive effect on the productivity of municipalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 878-881 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1237738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1237738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:878-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sachapon Tungsong Author-X-Name-First: Sachapon Author-X-Name-Last: Tungsong Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: The effect of family ownership on corporate hedging: the case of Thailand Abstract: We explore how corporate hedging decisions are affected by family ownership and control in Thailand. One crucial advantage of investigating this issue in Thailand is that hedging instruments became available only recently, long after families established their presence in the firm. Thus, endogeneity is much less likely. The evidence shows that family ownership by itself does not have a significant impact on the firm’s propensity to hedge. However, when family members have a presence on the board of directors, the firm is significantly more likely to engage in hedging activities. Furthermore, we find that the presence of institutional blockholders also increases the likelihood of hedging significantly. Our study is the first to examine the impact of family ownership and control on corporate hedging behaviour in an emerging market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 882-887 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1237740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1237740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:882-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Dothan Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dothan Author-Name: Wei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Value of tax benefits of a dynamic debt policy with regime switching Abstract: The article presents a method for valuation of stochastic future income with three barriers: a default barrier, a pre-default barrier and a refinancing barrier. Between the pre-default and default barriers, there is an ongoing cost of financial distress. In this framework, we derive state-dependent present value factors that can be applied to problems of valuation of firms, optimal financial structure and mitigation of agency conflicts between managers and investors. We illustrate our method with an analysis of the value of tax benefits of a dynamic debt policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 888-892 Issue: 12 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1240327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1240327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:12:p:888-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharif Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Sharif Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Author-Name: M. Humayun Kabir Author-X-Name-First: M. Humayun Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Author-Name: Michael Dempsey Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dempsey Author-Name: Taufiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taufiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: Risk management under time varying volatility and Pareto-stable distributions Abstract: Risk measures based on Gaussian return distributions are simple but inaccurate while such measures based on alternative methodologies are known to be more precise but complex. In this context, practitioners seem biased towards simplicity and tend to choose the inaccurate Gaussian measures, leading to unsuspected losses in the event of a negative episode. This article proposes generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family models with stable Paretian innovations in measuring the value-at-risk, expected shortfall and spectral risk measures that promise a markedly improved performance while maintaining simplicity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-167 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1612025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1612025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:161-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Khamis Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Khamis Author-Name: Xiyue Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiyue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Environment matters: new evidence from Mexican migration Abstract: This articleexamines the effects of climate-related environmental disasters on migration. Results from the gravity model estimations show that these disasters are a significant determinant of internal Mexican migration. The findings remain robust when controlling for geographic characteristics, the income levels and labour market conditions of the sending and receiving states. Environmental shocks relating to precipitation from a previous period seem to be one of the main drivers of this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 168-173 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1612026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1612026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:168-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon K Medcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Simon K Author-X-Name-Last: Medcalfe Author-Name: Pardon Ndhlovu Author-X-Name-First: Pardon Author-X-Name-Last: Ndhlovu Author-Name: Mark A Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark A Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Competitive balance in women’s collegiate cross country running Abstract: Women started competing in National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) cross country championships in 1981 and participation in Division 1 women’s cross country has increased by 174%. Using data covering 34 years of Division 1 championships we find some evidence that competitive balance in women’s races improved with increased participation although results are sensitive to how competitive balance is measured and how participation is counted. Violations of social choice preferences may explain the lack of robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 174-177 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1612027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1612027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:174-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Fahd Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Fahd Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Title: What induces firms to subcontract to the informal sector? Evidence from a developing country Abstract: Adding specific firm-level insights into the factors driving firms to subcontract operations to the informal sector, this article uses data from garment exporters in Pakistan. Nesting the analysis in the larger literature on the drivers of the shadow economy, we find that sole proprietorship ownership structure was more likely to subcontract underground, as were older entrepreneurs. On the other hand, older firms were less likely to subcontract underground. The effects of the entrepreneur’s education, firm size, input costs and overall economic prosperity, economic freedom and government stability were largely insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 178-187 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1612028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1612028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:178-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiuwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaolei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Jianping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: How does economic policy uncertainty react to oil price shocks? A multi-scale perspective Abstract: This paper provides evidence for the impact of oil price shocks on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) from a multi-scale perspective using discrete wavelet transform and VAR model. Results indicate that oil price shocks impose a positive effect on EPU at an original level while effects of oil price shocks on EPU are time-varying over different time-scales. Particularly, oil price shocks lead to a positive change in the trend of EPU in the short- and long-term. Whereas, in the medium term, the negative effect of oil price shocks on EPU is identified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 188-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:188-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Vieira Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Author-Name: Carolina Constância Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Constância Author-Name: João Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: João Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Education and risk compensation in wages: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This paper examines the effect of wage variation on individual wages. The results reveal that wage variation by educational classifications positively affects wages, while the skewness has a negative effect. As has been referred in previous literature on the issue, both results are consistent with the notion of wage compensation for risk-averse workers. However, our results show that the impact of wage-variation on wages is not reasonably described by a single parameter for all individuals. Such an effect is heterogeneous and varies throughout the conditional wage distribution. Indeed, the positive effect of dispersion increases, and the negative effect of skewness decreases, as we move up on the conditional wage distribution. Apparently, those at the upper end of the conditional wage distribution have both higher risk-aversion and higher affection for skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:194-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xueyi Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Xueyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Tingting Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wenquan Li Author-X-Name-First: Wenquan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Household debt and happiness: evidence from the China Household Finance Survey Abstract: Using the China Household Finance Survey Data, this article studies the effect of household debt on happiness. The empirical results based on the ordered logit model show that (1) total household debt will significantly reduce family’s happiness; (2) the effect of different types of debt on happiness is heterogeneous, and housing debt and education debt are the main sources of this negative effect, while other types of debt have no significant effect; (3) the different sources of housing debt have different effects on happiness, and only nonbank housing debt significantly reduces people’s happiness; and (4) risk attitude plays an important role in the relationship between debt and happiness, where families with a high degree of risk aversion have lower happiness when borrowing money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1610706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1610706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:199-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štefan Lyócsa Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyócsa Author-Name: Petra Vašaničová Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Vašaničová Author-Name: Eva Litavcová Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Litavcová Title: Quantile dependence of tourism activity between Southern European countries Abstract: Using monthly data on arrivals at tourist accommodation establishments, we estimate the quantile dependence of tourism activity between four Southern European countries: Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal. We find evidence of strong positive dependence between tourism activities across a wide range of quantiles. Most of the dependence is driven by right-tail events; i.e. tourism sectors seem to grow together. Our results, therefore, suggest that the efforts of a joint European tourism policy appear to have some merit, as tourism activity already behaves similarly across countries, and therefore, pursuing joint policies should be less risky and less difficult to implement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 206-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:206-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiming He Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Alan R. Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan R. Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Does environmental pollution affect metropolitan housing prices? Evidence from Guangzhou, China (1987-2014) Abstract: This article sets up a new general equilibrium model cointegrating microeconomic and macroeconomic econometric models to inference the causal effect of environmental pollution on metropolitan housing prices in Guangzhou, China since the late 1980s. Empirical results show that air pollution decreased metropolitan housing prices, yet the impacts of noise and discharge of wastewater on Guangzhou housing prices are not significant. Moreover, our results show that increased expectation of variation of housing prices has a positive impact on prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-220 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:213-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Zaixu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zaixu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jaejin Jang Author-X-Name-First: Jaejin Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Jie Qu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Title: Overcapacity investment and supervision fluctuation: an evolutionary game approach Abstract: The production enterprise’s capacity overinvestment and governmental supervision failure often lead to overcapacity. The article builds an evolutionary game model between supervision agencies and production enterprises to explain the supervision fluctuation of overcapacity problem. The analytical solutions are found. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the evolutionary game process with Dynamo and Matlab. In the long-run, the initial condition and the payoffs are two main factors determine the probability of failed supervision. Apart from single punishment measure, more effective measures need to be taken to address overcapacity efficiently. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:221-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Thomas Sav Author-X-Name-First: G. Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sav Title: Productivity catches up game on: can public research universities catch private non-profit counterparts? Abstract: Public universities have increasingly lost their publicness and have been driven to manage more like their private non-profit university counterparts. The narrowing distinction is due to decades of public funding cuts and greater reliance on private financing sources. Matters worsened with the Great Recession and political demands to increase public university productivities. However, evidence related to inter-sector productivity differences is sparse, outdated, and somewhat mixed. This paper offers new evidence and methodological advances using 11 academic years through 2015 for US universities and captures pre and post-recession productivities and measures of productivity regress and catch up. Färe-Primont indexes and efficiency decompositions are employed as advances over previous studies. Results are not particularly encouraging in that managerial responses in the public sector have not successfully produced a productivity catch up and, on average, remain below 70% of private universities. In addition, while public universities have been generally more efficient than their private counterparts, the results indicate a deteriorating advantage. Efficiency issues in both sectors are attributed to economies of scope and suggest publics may need to increase levels of graduate education and research production relative to undergraduate education as a path to productivity catch-up and reversal of efficiency downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 228-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:228-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mitchell R. Livy Author-X-Name-First: Mitchell R. Author-X-Name-Last: Livy Title: Determining the effect of abnormal temperatures on the housing market Abstract: Extreme weather events have increased in frequency and are expected to grow in intensity over time. To examine perceptions of this abnormal weather, I model the relationship between degree days and the housing market. The results provide evidence that abnormal increases in cooling and heating degree days negatively affect housing prices, with cooling degree days having a larger impact. Adding to these estimates, the housing price capitalizations of heating and cooling related housing attributes are shown to vary with recent abnormal temperatures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-236 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:233-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sturla Lyngnes Fjesme Author-X-Name-First: Sturla Lyngnes Author-X-Name-Last: Fjesme Title: Informed trading by non-financial companies Abstract: It is well documented in the finance literature how share prices go up when companies increase dividend payouts. The long-term trend, however, is that more companies now retain excess cash rather than paying dividends. In this paper, I investigate if companies retain cash to invest on private information in domestic stock markets. I look at 20,620 domestic non-financial companies trading shares on the Oslo Stock Exchange (OSE) over the period 1993 to 2006. I find that companies earn excess risk-adjusted-returns from active trading. I conclude that companies retain at least some cash to take advantage of private information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-243 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:237-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Frevel Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Frevel Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Title: Behavioral responses to terrorist attacks: empirical evidence from professional football Abstract: Despite a rich literature on the psychological responses to terrorist attacks, surprisingly little is known about the subsequent changes in citizen behavior. In this research note, we exploit a unique sequence of two rare events, the Paris attacks of 13 November 2015 and the cancelation of the international friendly between Germany and the Netherlands over terrorist threats only four days later, to compare the number of German football spectator no-shows, i.e., the number of ticket holders that have decided not to attend a particular football game, before and after these attacks. Although we observe a significant increase in the number of no-shows during the first two weeks after the incidents, this effect was not permanent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 244-247 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:244-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hajime Seya Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Seya Title: Parameter estimation of the spatial panel stochastic frontier model with random effects Abstract: This study has two objectives. First, it aims to construct a spatial panel stochastic frontier model with random effects based on the Cliff and Ord-type spatial panel model. Second, it proposes a parameter estimation method for this model. The method is based on a four-step procedure outlined by Kumbhakar and Heshmati (1995), which was modified by incorporating spatial autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 248-253 Issue: 3 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1613491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1613491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:3:p:248-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rey Hernández-Julián Author-X-Name-First: Rey Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández-Julián Author-Name: Christina Peters Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: Physical appearance and peer effects in academic performance Abstract: A large literature examines the role of peer effects in shaping student academic outcomes. This article adds to that literature by introducing a new kind of peer effect – the effect of classmate physical appearance. We document that college students are assigned higher grades when in a classroom with peers who are rated as very attractive. This effect is strongest for female students and appears to be concentrated among the courses of younger and male instructors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-890 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1380282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1380282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:887-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ari Dasgupta Author-X-Name-First: Ari Author-X-Name-Last: Dasgupta Author-Name: Lan Ha Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Spurthi Jonnalagadda Author-X-Name-First: Spurthi Author-X-Name-Last: Jonnalagadda Author-Name: Steven Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Author-Name: Hannah Youngerman Author-X-Name-First: Hannah Author-X-Name-Last: Youngerman Title: The daughter effect: do CEOs with daughters hire more women to their board? Abstract: Using a sample of S&P 100 firms, we find that CEOs with a daughter are more likely to hire new women to their board of directors than CEOs without a daughter. Our results provide additional evidence that parents’ attitudes and actions are affected by the gender of their children and that the effect is strong enough to influence important decisions at large corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-894 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1380283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1380283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:891-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selçuk Akçay Author-X-Name-First: Selçuk Author-X-Name-Last: Akçay Title: Remittances and misery index in Turkey: is there a link? Abstract: This study tests the long run relationship between remittances and misery index in Turkey over the 1975–2011 period, using bounds testing approach. The results indicate that remittances and misery index are co-integrated. The misery index appears to have positive impact on remittance inflows in both short and long run, supporting altruism theory in remittance sending behaviour in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-899 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1380284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1380284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:895-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dayong Lv Author-X-Name-First: Dayong Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Qingsong Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Qingsong Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Title: Asymmetric effect of margin-trading activities on price crashes: evidence from Chinese stock market Abstract: Prior literature on the impact of margin-trading activity on stock price crashes is mixed and does not reach consensus. Using data from a Chinese margin-trading pilot programme initiated in 2010, this article employs both margin-buying and margin-covering activities to investigate the asymmetric impact on stock price crashes. We find that margin-buying activities are beneficial reducing the price crash prone, especially in bad times. In contrast, margin-covering activities amplify price crashes in both good times and bad times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 900-904 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1380285 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1380285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:900-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kanis Saengchote Author-X-Name-First: Kanis Author-X-Name-Last: Saengchote Author-Name: Voraprapa Nakavachara Author-X-Name-First: Voraprapa Author-X-Name-Last: Nakavachara Title: Are consumers forward looking? Evidence from used iPhones Abstract: This study examines the impact of planned obsolescence – the introduction of new models to make existing models obsolete – on secondary markets for mobile phones. Using data of over 320,000 used iPhones listings on Thailand’s largest online marketplace, we document that iPhone prices decrease with age, around 2.8–3.2% for each passing month. We find no evidence that the price decline accelerates after launches of new models (i.e. obsolescence), lending support to the view that consumer in durable goods markets are rational and forward looking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-909 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1380286 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1380286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:905-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Haitao Yin Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Stock market reactions to environmental disclosures: new evidence from China Abstract: We study how the stock market in China responds to announcements by an environmental risk index and find that China’s stock market penalizes firms associated with unfavourable environmental news if the information is provided directly to investors in a manner that is easily understood. We also find that the negative impact on stock prices fades after multiple disclosures of the same information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 910-913 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1383590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1383590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:910-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Yuret Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Yuret Title: Birthday effect Abstract: According to the Turkish legal code, a student born in December must enrol in primary school alongside students born 11 months earlier in January. In this study, Turkish college admissions data is used to measure the effect of younger enrolment in primary school. It was found that students who are born in the second half of the year are less likely to be from selective public high schools, and are less likely to be successful in college admissions test. These results are consistent with disadvantages associated with younger enrolment in primary school. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 914-917 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1383592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1383592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:914-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meifen Qian Author-X-Name-First: Meifen Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Bin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Qianyu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Qianyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Noise traders, firm-specific uncertainty and technical trading effectiveness Abstract: This is the first study to document evidence of technical trading effectiveness at firm level in the Chinese A-share market by investigating the relationship between excess profits of technical trading rules and firm-specific characteristics. Our results reveal that firms with higher excess profits from technical trading have more noise traders and higher institutional ownership and that those firms tend to be growth firms with lower liquidity and higher firm-specific uncertainty. Further analysis shows that the profitability of technical trading rules is unsustainable and the excess profits of the highest technical trading profit quintile portfolio disappear in the following year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 918-923 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1383593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1383593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:918-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-1 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1384657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1384657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:1-1 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Serkan Karadas Author-X-Name-First: Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Karadas Title: Tuition increases Geaux away? Evidence from voting on Louisiana’s amendment 2 Abstract: In many states, public institutions of higher education have the autonomy to raise tuition. This has not been the case in Louisiana since a 1995 constitutional amendment required a two-thirds majority of the state legislature for any tuition increase. In November of 2016, voters in Louisiana rejected Amendment 2, a constitutional amendment that would have given state institutions of higher education autonomy in setting tuition. We examine parish-level voting on Amendment 2 using an empirical political economy model and find that parishes with a greater percentage of African-Americans and university employees were more likely to vote yes. Student enrolment at public institutions seemingly did not play a role in Amendment 2 losing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 924-927 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1386273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1386273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:924-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariusz Jarmuzek Author-X-Name-First: Mariusz Author-X-Name-Last: Jarmuzek Author-Name: Esteban R. Vesperoni Author-X-Name-First: Esteban R. Author-X-Name-Last: Vesperoni Title: The role of debt profile vulnerabilities in sovereign distress Abstract: Sovereign debt distress has raised difficult issues in terms of debt sustainability in the past, but it has been associated not only with medium-term debt dynamics, but also with various dimensions of the debt profile that have typically built vulnerabilities over time. Vulnerabilities associated with the public debt structure and liquidity may play an important role in derailing a stable debt trajectory and thus contribute to debt distress. Financial developments may also contribute to the building in sovereign debt vulnerabilities, as deterioration in financial stability indicators can affect the balance sheet of the national treasury. Based on the experience during 37 debt distress events in countries with market access between 1993 and 2010, this article identifies early warning indicators of sovereign debt distress and defines thresholds – for the whole sample and for different regions – at which these latter have been associated with distress in the past. This approach allows us to assess indicators on an individual basis, and to develop a composite indicator of debt vulnerabilities as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 928-935 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1386274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1386274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:928-935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: Excluded coalitions and the 2013 German federal election Abstract: In a recent article, Hiller introduced a value for cooperative games considering that players exclude coalitions with other players – the $$\rm EC$$EC value (excluded coalitions value). One reason for developing the $$\rm EC$$EC value was to improve the analysis of parliaments, since prior to elections, parties issue coalition statements and exclude cooperation with parties. In this article, we use the $$\rm EC$$EC value to analyse the influence of coalition statements on the bargaining strength of the parties after the 2013 German federal election. More specifically, we calculate the distribution of power in German government coalitions that were possible with respect to the opinion polls in the time prior to the election. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 936-940 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1386275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1386275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:936-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hector Carcel Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Carcel Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Peter Wanke Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wanke Title: Application of local projections in the monetary policy in Brazil Abstract: This article examines the relationship between selected monetary aggregates and inflation and output in Brazil. Impulse responses under VAR and local projections were used to discover the leading or lagging role of the monetary aggregates. In addition, the information provided by the monetary aggregates as predictors of output and inflation was examined. This was assessed by examining their predictive power for subsequent observations on an in-sample basis. Overall, the results indicate that in order to control inflation rates, Brazilian authorities should focus on restricting money supply rather than increasing interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 941-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1386276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1386276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:941-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Millán Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Millán Author-Name: José María Millán Author-X-Name-First: José María Author-X-Name-Last: Millán Author-Name: Concepción Román Author-X-Name-First: Concepción Author-X-Name-Last: Román Title: Are false own-account workers less job satisfied than true ones? Abstract: This article compares job satisfaction of true and false own-account workers. The latter group refers to own-account workers who are employed with the same tasks by the same employer for whom they previously worked as employees. To create a valid comparable group, the former workers are defined as paid employees who independently started a new business as own-account workers. Using data drawn from the European Community Household Panel for the EU-15 and controlling for possible self-selection issues, we observe that false own-account workers, compared with true ones, have less job satisfaction in terms of type of work, number of working hours, working times, and working conditions and environment. Our results are consistent with existing policies aimed to combat false self-employment developed by many OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-950 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:945-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peisen Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peisen Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Houjian Li Author-X-Name-First: Houjian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Shoujun Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shoujun Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Bank competition and the cost of debt: the role of state ownership and firm size Abstract: The argument on the puzzling relationship between bank competition and the cost of debt remains inconclusive as the effects of state ownership and firm size are intertwined. We find that bank competition is negatively associated with the cost of debt and observe that the negative effect of bank competition is stronger for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and weaker for large-sized enterprises. Our findings accord with the market power hypothesis. State ownership strengthens the negative impact of bank competition on the cost of debt, but firm size tends to weaken it. SOEs and large-sized enterprises are associated with a lower cost of debt compared to non-SOEs and small- and medium-sized enterprises, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-957 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:951-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Binay K. Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Binay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Female executives and corporate cash holdings Abstract: I find that firms led by female top executives hold more cash, partly due to precautionary motives. To overcome endogeneity concerns, I employ several econometric techniques, including an instrumental variable analysis based on a historical event that resulted in a plausibly exogenous variation in the female workforce participation. Overall, my results are consistent with the view that greater risk-aversion leads female executives to hold more cash. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 958-963 Issue: 13 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1388904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1388904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:13:p:958-963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: iii-iii Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1494410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:iii-iii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yılmaz Kılıçaslan Author-X-Name-First: Yılmaz Author-X-Name-Last: Kılıçaslan Author-Name: Ünal Töngür Author-X-Name-First: Ünal Author-X-Name-Last: Töngür Title: ICT and employment generation: evidence from Turkish manufacturing Abstract: This study is said to be the first attempt in exploring the impact of information and communication technologies (ICT) capital on employment generation/destruction in Turkish manufacturing industry by using labour demand estimation framework. The analysis is based on firm-level data, which includes all firms employing 20 or more employees in Turkish manufacturing for the period 2003–2013. Our findings based on system GMM estimations show that ICT has employment-enhancing effects in Turkish manufacturing. Moreover, our results provide the evidence that tangible ICT capital has stronger employment generation impact than that of intangible ICT capital in medium- and low-tech industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1057 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1053-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Noda Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Author-Name: Koki Kyo Author-X-Name-First: Koki Author-X-Name-Last: Kyo Title: Do commercial sales move coincidentally with business cycles in Japan? a dynamic two-mode regression approach Abstract: This paper examines the validity of including wholesale and retail commercial sales in the coincident index of business conditions in Japan. Specifically, we consider the movement of gross domestic product (GDP) as a reference cycle, and investigate whether commercial sales move coincidentally with GDP by applying the dynamic two-mode regression approach. The results show that wholesale commercial sales are not justified as a component of the Japanese coincident index, but that retail commercial sales may be considered a legitimate component of the Japanese coincident index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1058-1066 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1058-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherry X. Yu Author-X-Name-First: Sherry X. Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Bank excess returns and unconventional monetary policy Abstract: During the Global Recession, the Federal Reserve Board (Fed) and the European Central Bank have implemented a series of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) measures. We argue that these programmes increased bank equity values in both the US and Europe via asset pricing channels. Using an event-study approach, we find that announcement of UMP actions amplified bank excess returns, especially during the first round of quantitative easing in the US and outright monetary transaction programmes in Europe. We also find evidence supporting market beta shifts subsequent of some major UMP announcements. Using the estimated shadow rates, we provide further empirical evidence on the continuous effect of monetary policy shocks on bank excess returns. Our results show that bank excess returns responded at least twice as stronger to monetary policy actions at the zero lower bound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1071 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1067-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdurrahman Nazif Çatik Author-X-Name-First: Abdurrahman Nazif Author-X-Name-Last: Çatik Author-Name: Coşkun Akdeniz Author-X-Name-First: Coşkun Author-X-Name-Last: Akdeniz Title: The evolution of the monetary transmission channels in Turkey: evidence from a TVP-VAR model Abstract: This article investigates the evolution of the monetary transmission mechanisms in Turkey for the period from January 1986 to December 2016. To this aim, the impacts of monetary variables on the prices and economic activity are investigated with a time-varying vector autoregressive model based on. The evidences from the time-varying responses indicate that the adoption of inflation targeting policy has markedly affected the functioning of transmission channels. The results also suggest that local and global financial crises may magnify the impact of monetary policy shocks on the overall economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1072-1079 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1072-1079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ke Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Meng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Is gold a hedge and safe haven for stock market? Abstract: The paper aims to examine the hedge and safe haven properties of gold relative to Dow Jones stock industry indices using quantile-GARCH approach. Splitting the sample period into two sub-periods, our results show that the hedge and safe haven properties of gold have a changing nature. In a whole period (1980–2017), gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas, Basic materials and Utilities; gold is a safe haven for almost all sectors except Technology. While in sub-period I (1980–1995) gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas but a strong safe haven for all sectors. In sub-period II (1996–2017) gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas, Basic materials and Utilities, also not a safe haven for Oil&Gas, Basic materials, Utilities, Telecom and Technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1080-1086 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1080-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Finck Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Finck Title: Has monetary policy really become less effective in the euro area? A note Abstract: This paper applies a time-varying VAR model with stochastic volatility to the euro area. In contrast to the literature, we find that (i) monetary policy has not become less effective and that (ii) the expansionary policy that is currently pursued would not have resulted in a less severe recession in 2009. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1091 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1087-1091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuval Arbel Author-X-Name-First: Yuval Author-X-Name-Last: Arbel Author-Name: Chaim Fialkoff Author-X-Name-First: Chaim Author-X-Name-Last: Fialkoff Author-Name: Amichai Kerner Author-X-Name-First: Amichai Author-X-Name-Last: Kerner Title: Public policy for reducing tax evasion: implications of the Yule–Simpson paradox Abstract: The current study exhibits a new implication of the Yule–Simpson paradox with public policy repercussions. We construct Laffer curves of local property tax collection based on aggregated data and group division to residential land uses in Jerusalem. Results indicate that based on aggregated (dis-aggregated) data, the location of owner-occupiers and renters who pay a relatively high rate tariff will be on the upward-sloping (downward-sloping) part of the Laffer curve. Consequently, statistical test outcomes support Laffer’s controversial claim that for the few upper-brackets taxpayers, an efficient collection is associated with tax reduction rather than tax increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1092-1099 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1092-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunxian Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yunxian Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Zhao Guiyu Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Guiyu Title: The empirical study on price discovery of cornstarch futures market in China Abstract: This article aims at exploring the performance of the price discovery function of cornstarch futures market in China. In order to test the stationarity of the cash and futures prices of cornstarch, the augmented Dickey–Fuller test is applied. Both prices are integrated of order one. Then, the Johansen cointegration test is conducted to test the cointegrating relationship between those two prices. Finally, the Granger causality test is performed to observe the direction of causality. The evidence shows that there is a long-run relationship between cash and futures prices and the futures price Granger causes cash price. As a whole, price discovery of cornstarch market in China is present although it is a newly emerged market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1100-1103 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1100-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasilios Plakandaras Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Plakandaras Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Are BRICS exchange rates chaotic? Abstract: In this paper, we focus on the stochastic (chaotic) attributes of the US dollar-based exchange rates for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) using a long-run monthly dataset covering 1812M01-2017M12, 1814M01-2017M12, 1822M07-2017M12, 1948M08-2017M12, and 1844M01-2017M12, respectively. For our purpose, we consider the Lyapunov exponents, robust to nonlinear and stochastic systems, in both full – samples and in rolling windows. For comparative purposes, we also evaluate a long-run dataset of a developed currency market, namely British pound over the period of 1791M01-2017M12. Our empirical findings detect chaotic behavior only episodically for all countries before the dissolution of the Bretton Woods system, with the exception of the Russian ruble. Overall, our findings suggest that the establishment of the free floating exchange rate system have altered the path of exchange rates removing chaotic dynamics from the phenomenon, and hence, the need for policymakers to intervene in the currency markets for the most important emerging market bloc, should be carefully examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1104-1110 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1104-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Title: Old-age dependency: is it really increasing in aging populations? Abstract: To account for economic dependency we propose an adjustment to the old-age dependency ratio based on savings of the elderly. Computations are simple and the adjusted ratio is aimed at retaining the exogenous character of the conventional demographic ratio. Data from an economy with stagnating incomes and a fast growing elderly population (Japan) and an economy with fast growing incomes (Singapore) highlight that the conventional dependency ratio substantially exaggerates the burden of the elderly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1117 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1537474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1111-1117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryota Nakatani Author-X-Name-First: Ryota Author-X-Name-Last: Nakatani Title: Firm performance and corporate finance in New Zealand Abstract: Low productivity growth in New Zealand has been a paradox. We study New Zealand firms’ profitability, in terms of profit margin and return on assets (ROA), from the viewpoints of productivity enablers using firm-level panel data. We find that tangible fixed investment and a research and development (R&D) tax incentive are associated with higher profitability performance. In addition, the firm size is found to be a key determinant of profit margin. By contrast, we do not find any evidence that intangible investment can improve the profitability. The global financial crisis has not changed the leverage effect on ROA in New Zealand, while the impact of R&D became more prominent after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1118-1124 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1539805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1539805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1118-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuo Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Zhaohua Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Do foreign institutional investors enhance firm innovation in China? Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) scheme regulated by the Chinese government on firm innovation in China. By explicitly addressing the potential endogenous relationship between foreign institutional ownership and firm innovation, we find that foreign institutional investors enhance firm innovation in China, suggesting that the Chinese government should further relax its foreign capital investment control, for example, increase the quota of the QFII scheme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1128 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1125-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shan Lei Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Financial advice and individual investors’ investment decisions Abstract: Findings from previous studies generally indicate that relying on advice from financial advisors is associated with investment decisions. This study uses data from the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) to mainly investigate three types of advisors: (a) financial planners, (b) accountants, and (c) lawyers. Getting investment advice from financial planners is found to be positively associated with stock ownership, while this relationship is negative for individual investors relying on advice from lawyers. Evidence from this study also suggests that some personal characteristics, such as age, education, risk tolerance may play a key role in shaping individual investors’ investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1132 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1129-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi Thu Tra Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thu Tra Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Thai Vu Hong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thai Vu Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: KienSon Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: KienSon Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Does bank competition promote financial inclusion? A cross-country evidence Abstract: The idea of financial inclusion has recently been discussed as one of the key strategies to enhance economic development (World Bank 2014). We move this discussion forward by examining if bank competition is a crucial component enforcing financial inclusion, which is arguably a finance supply-side driven process. In this study, we compute the financial inclusion index built on Sarma (2008) approach to better reflect banks’ willingness and capability to provide financial services. Applying System Generalized Method of Moments to the panel of 93 countries, we find that bank competition promotes financial inclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: Does the stock market contain information about economic growth? Time-varying out of sample causality tests Abstract: We present a new approach to conduct time-varying out of sample causality tests and apply our method to examine the information content of the stock market for economic growth in the US context. We show that equity valuations convey little information in the period after the 1960s. Particularly, there is no evidence to suggest that the recent bull market in equities is indicative of higher future economic growth. Hence, our results are against the argument that the stock market should be included as a leading indicator in economic policymaking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1138-1142 Issue: 13 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1540834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1138-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jürgen Jerger Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Jerger Author-Name: Jenny Körner Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Körner Title: Assessing macroprudential regulation: the role of the zero lower bound Abstract: We look at the interaction between the zero lower bound (ZLB) and flexible macroprudential regulation (FMR). After an adverse demand shock, FMR contributes to financial stability irrespective of the ZLB and also to macroeconomic stabilization if the ZLB binds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 580-583 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:580-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel L. Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Matthew McPherson Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: McPherson Author-Name: Tim Schibik Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Schibik Author-Name: Andrew Brajcich Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Brajcich Title: Identifying peers in international tax competition Abstract: Multinational companies (MNCs) have historically used corporate subsidiaries to isolate income earned in lower-taxed jurisdictions from tax in a higher-rate home country. This planning technique has been long accepted as a strategy to lower the MNC’s effective tax rate and maintain shareholder value. A recently study, however, demonstrates that this is an inefficient, and possibly inappropriate, strategy. This article conducts a comprehensive empirical benchmarking analysis by applying cluster analysis to empirically identify peer groups of MNCs operating in the pharmaceutical industry. We find that most firms consistently fall into the same cluster, providing evidence that income shifting can be benchmarked by industry sector. We also find special cases where firms should be excluded from the benchmark. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 584-587 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1349280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1349280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:584-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petyo Bonev Author-X-Name-First: Petyo Author-X-Name-Last: Bonev Title: Does the constraint matter? A note on the asymptotic properties of nonparametric instrumental variable estimation under monotonicity shape constraint Abstract: I show that constrained monotone instrumental variable estimators are asymptotically equivalent to their unconstrained counterparts whenever the true regression function is in the interior of the constrained set. In a simulation study, a sieve-based constrained estimator is shown to outperform the unconstrained one even in cases where both are asymptotically equivalent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 588-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1349281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1349281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:588-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John J. Hisnanick Author-X-Name-First: John J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hisnanick Author-Name: Andreas Kern Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kern Title: The 2008 tax rebate and US household debt Abstract: Starting in May 2008, the US government disbursed over $100 billion to households in the form of tax rebates. Embedded in the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, the rollout was aimed at limiting, or possibly reversing, the negative effects of the recession that was just starting. Substantial research concentrated on capturing the impact of the stimulus on consumption behaviour. Prior research suggests that the tax rebate had a small and/or no positive effect. This raises the question: How did individuals spent their tax rebate? Using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 2008 panel wave 1 topical module, the data suggest that more than half of the respondents, who received the rebate, used this one-time windfall to pay off debt. Our findings indicate that this effect is more pronounced among low-income individuals, who chose to service their debt burden instead of increasing immediate consumption. The findings point to a stabilizing effect of the tax rebate programme on the financial sector, suggesting that substantial distributional asymmetries exist concerning tax rebate programmes in an economy where a large share of households are indebted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 592-596 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1349283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1349283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:592-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Gómez-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Puig Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: On the time-varying nature of the debt-growth nexus: evidence from the euro area Abstract: This article uses the DCC-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model to investigate the existence of time-varying correlations between public debt and economic growth. To that end, we use annual data from both central and peripheral countries of the euro area for the period 1961–2015. The results suggest that the relationships between these variables are time-varying and that in some countries and for some periods, there is a positive association between them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1349284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1349284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prithviraj Lakkakula Author-X-Name-First: Prithviraj Author-X-Name-Last: Lakkakula Title: Testing causality among five fertilizer prices Abstract: This article identifies the causal relationships among the prices of five fertilizers using both asymptotic Wald test and resampling (bootstrap) techniques. Monthly data for urea, muriate of potash, rock phosphate, diammonium phosphate and triple super phosphate between 2008 (March) and 2016 (March) are used for the analysis. Results show that the urea price Granger causes all other fertilizer prices. The results of the study are significant in understanding the price dynamics and identify the reference fertilizer price that is useful for the fertilizer industry, farmers and government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-606 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:601-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Collier Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Collier Author-Name: Javier Valbuena Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Valbuena Author-Name: Yu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: What determines post-compulsory academic studies? Evidence from the longitudinal survey of young people in England Abstract: We show that educational attainments at the end of the compulsory schooling stage are powerful predictors for post-compulsory educational choices in England. In particular, the single academic success indicator of achieving the Government’s gold standard in GCSE is able to predict virtually all the observed incidences of post-compulsory studies for academic qualifications. Notwithstanding, Two-Stage Least Squares estimation which exploits variations in school starting age induced by school entry rules suggests that the least-squares effect of achieving the gold standard in GCSEs on studying for academic qualifications is due to ability bias or reverse causation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toyoki Matsue Author-X-Name-First: Toyoki Author-X-Name-Last: Matsue Title: Fixed-term contracts as a source of labour demand fluctuations Abstract: Employment fluctuations are one of the central issues in the business cycle literature. The fluctuations depend crucially not only on the economic conditions but also on the labour market institutions. Since most previous studies have assumed indefinite-term contracts (ITC) implicitly, the implications of fixed-term contracts (FTC) on dynamic labour demand have been rather overlooked. This article investigates dynamic labour demand of a firm with FTC to show that the employment fluctuations under FTC can be totally different from those under ITC. In particular, a productivity shock that takes place at a future date generates the current fluctuations in employment under FTC, while it does not under ITC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Klößner Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Klößner Author-Name: Gregor Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Gregor Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: Outside the box: using synthetic control methods as a forecasting technique Abstract: We introduce synthetic control methods (SCM) as a forecasting technique. Using (i) as economic predictors solely the outcome itself, i.e. lagged values of the dependent variable, and (ii) lagged time series of the outcome to build the donor pool, we let SCM choose and weight appropriate values in order to come up with a sensible forecast of the US GDP growth. This procedure performs competitively viable compared with alternative forecasting methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geng Niu Author-X-Name-First: Geng Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Author-Name: Yang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Financial literacy and retirement planning: evidence from China Abstract: We study the relationship between financial literacy and retirement planning in China. We find that higher scores on the financial literacy questions are associated not only with a higher probability of retirement planning, but also a higher propensity to actively use financial markets for retirement preparation. These relationships are robust to taking into account the endogeneity of financial literacy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-623 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:619-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: Sandra Ferrando-Latorre Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrando-Latorre Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: How to escape poverty through education?: intergenerational evidence in Spain Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of escaping poverty through education in Spain, with this being the country that, is among the top European countries regarding the percentage of the population affected by poverty. Specifically, the article studies the transmission of poverty over two generations by analysing the factors that affect the probability of having completed the secondary level of education. To that end, we use the conceptual Quantity–Quality model of Becker–Lewis, empirically estimated by using the Survey of Living Conditions (2011) provided by the Spanish Statistical Institute. Our results confirm the intergenerational transmission of poverty in Spain, in such a way that the probability that the respondent has completed secondary education is determined, although not exclusively, by the family conditions of the respondents during their teenage years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 624-627 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:624-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Profit rate in the US, 1949–2007: a Markov switching assessment Abstract: The article investigates the growth in the general profit rate in the US during the 1949–2007 period with a Markov switching model. The evidence is consistent with a long swing with means displaying opposite signs under the two regimes (increasing or declining) and high degree of persistence within each regime. The results for this nonlinear approach reinforce previous empirical evidence that does not provide support for a systematic and declining tendency in profit rate as advanced in the Marxian literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 628-631 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:628-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Covi Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Covi Title: Testing the demand regime hypothesis in the Euro Area. Evidence from a VAR approach Abstract: The article brings new evidence that intra Euro Area trade imbalances should be thought of as the outcome of the interaction of opposing growth strategies between northern/surplus countries (Austria, Belgium, Germany, Netherlands) and southern/deficit countries (France, Italy, Portugal, Spain). By using a vector autoregression model, econometric evidence clarifies that the demand regime in the southern region is wage-led, while profit-led in the northern region. Moreover, a downward-wage adjustment in the northern region (negative wage shock) contributed to increasing the intra-EA trade surplus vis-à-vis the southern region by far more than an upward-wage adjustment in the southern region (positive wage shock). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 632-637 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1352075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1352075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:632-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong J. Cho Author-X-Name-First: Dong J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Hyung T. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyung T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jaywon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaywon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sang H. Park Author-X-Name-First: Sang H. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Economic cost–benefit analysis of the addictive digital game industry Abstract: This study attempts to estimate the economic costs and benefits of the addictive digital game industry. Addiction to digital games induces economic costs such as increase in crime, facilities investments for curbing addiction, increase in counselling costs and other welfare losses. As a case study, we investigate the digital game industry in South Korea which is known to have one of the highest rates of game addiction. According to our calculations, the annual cost of game addiction is estimated to be approximately $3.5B while the annual benefit is approximately $24.3B ($3.7B for addicted user market). The proportion of the total costs to total benefits from the game industry is an alarming 14% (95% for addicted user market). We offer some policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 638-642 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:638-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozer Arabaci Author-X-Name-First: Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Arabaci Title: Testing for cointegration with threshold effect between unemployment and stock prices Abstract: Under the dominant role of a belief function, Farmer argues that the stock market is the Granger cause of the unemployment rate, which implies that the natural rate hypothesis is an outdated idea. This article provides some new empirical evidence supporting this view using threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction models. The results show that these models can assess asymmetric dynamics between unemployment and the stock market. Moreover, regime switches of the momentum threshold autoregressive adjustment specification are highly consistent with recessions in the US economy during the last 60 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-647 Issue: 9 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1355529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:9:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Juan Carlos Campaña Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Campaña Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Children’s interaction with the Internet: time dedicated to communications and games Abstract: In the context of growing interest of individuals in the Internet, the literature has not paid attention to the uses of time for children, given the scarcity of appropriate data bases that provide accurate information. To partially cover this gap, we now provide here evidence of the time that children aged between 10 and 12 years dedicate to two online activities: computer communication and computer gaming. To that end, we estimate a simultaneous seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) model with data from the Spanish Time Use Survey for 2009–2010. Results indicate that being female generates a positive influence on the time devoted to computer communication, and being male generates a positive influence on the time devoted to computer gaming. We also find that a greater number of family members with secondary studies generates a positive influence on the time spent on computer gaming. Children with better health spend more time on both of these activities and, finally, living in a larger city produces a positive effect on the time dedicated to computer gaming. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1192270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1192270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dayong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Dayong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Rong Chang Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Technology elasticity and potential on energy saving and emission reduction: evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates the elasticity of different technology choices to energy efficiency and chemical oxygen demand/ammonia nitrogen emission reducing efficiency among 38 industries in China from 2008 to 2011. With data envelopment analysis, total-factor productivity growth, the common measure of technical progress, is divided into different parts: technical efficiency relative to the frontier, technology change and scale efficiency, which are regarded as three different choices of technological progress. For various industries, technology elasticity is quite different and the importance of different technical choices is diverse in the improvement of efficiency on energy saving and emission reduction. Policymakers could focus on the elasticity of different technical progress choices in various industries to improve energy and emission reduction efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-369 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1194957 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1194957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:365-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy J. Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Title: Economic freedom and social capital: pooled mean group evidence Abstract: This article uses annual US-state-level data from 1986 to 2004 and pooled-mean group estimation based on Pesaran et al. (1999) to examine whether economic freedom influences social capital. We find economic freedom has a negative effect on our social capital measure. This result is driven by the labour market component of freedom which is indicative of the relationship between labour market freedom and Olson-type group social capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 370-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1194958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1194958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:370-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hübler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hübler Title: How to curb poverty-related deforestation? Abstract: Drawing upon recent data from the Southeast Asian Mekong region, I study poverty-related drivers of deforestation (logging) activities by rural households. I do not find an environmental Kuznets curve-type relation between income and deforestation. Albeit I find a negative relation between income and the deforestation probability, this relation turns insignificant once I take into account specific socio-economic household characteristics: better education, higher relative affluence, younger age, self-employment, a higher value of nonproductive assets owned by the household as well as affiliation to an ethnic majority significantly reduce the deforestation probability. Received credits, remittances or (public) transfers do not significantly affect the deforestation probability. This implies for development policy that pure income-increasing financial support does not suffice for curbing poverty-related deforestation. Fostering education, social status, doing business and private ownership of assets are more promising options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 374-380 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1194959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1194959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:374-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradit Withisuphakorn Author-X-Name-First: Pradit Author-X-Name-Last: Withisuphakorn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: Co-opted directors and powerful CEOs: evidence from the CEO pay slice (CPS) Abstract: We explore the effect of co-opted directors on chief executive officer (CEO) power. Co-opted directors are those appointed after the incumbent CEO assumes office and are found by prior research to represent a weakened governance mechanism. Our evidence reveals that co-opted directors lead to less powerful CEOs, consistent with the substitution effect. Because co-opted directors impose less stringent oversight, the CEO is able to exercise a great deal of latitude in running the firm. Therefore, it is less necessary for the CEO to command so much power where more directors are co-opted, hence leading to less powerful CEOs. In other words, co-opted directors substitute for strong CEO power. Crucially, we find that board co-option exhibits much more explanatory power than does board independence, which has been the primary measure of board effectiveness in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1194960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1194960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:381-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: Momentum crash, credit risk and optionality effects in bear markets and crisis periods: evidence from the US stock market Abstract: This study explores whether the credit risk anomaly exhibits option-like behaviour similar to the momentum anomaly. It finds that the inverted credit risk spread indeed displays option-like behaviour in bear market states. Unlike a momentum portfolio, which is effectively a short call option on the market, an inverted credit risk portfolio appears to be a long call option on the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1194961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1194961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garrett Glasgow Author-X-Name-First: Garrett Author-X-Name-Last: Glasgow Author-Name: Sarah Butler Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Butler Title: The value of non-personally identifiable information to consumers of online services: evidence from a discrete choice experiment Abstract: We estimate the value of non-personally identifying information to consumers of online services through a discrete choice experiment based on hypothetical streaming video services. Non-personally identifying information for online services is typically information on the ways in and times at which customers use the service, and is distinct from personally identifying information such as email addresses or telephone numbers. For most of our survey respondents, we find no evidence that they were willing to pay to avoid sharing their non-personally identifying information with third parties. A smaller group of respondents never selected a service that shared information with third parties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 392-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:392-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinhong Jackson Mi Author-X-Name-First: Jinhong Jackson Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Hongfei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Hongfei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Can funding platforms’ self-initiated financial innovation improve credit availability? Evidence from China’s P2P market Abstract: In this article, we used loan transaction data from a Chinese Peer-to-Peer (P2P) platform and employed a Difference-In-Differences (DID) approach to detect the effect of a self-initiated financial innovation introduced via P2P borrowing and lending. We found that the self-initiated financial innovation improved the availability of credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 396-398 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:396-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Foreign direct investment and total factor productivity in Bolivia Abstract: This paper finds a positive long-run effect of FDI on total factor productivity through a cointegration analysis of Bolivian time series data over the period 1980–2011. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-403 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:399-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Fasianos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Fasianos Author-Name: Hamid Raza Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Raza Author-Name: Stephen Kinsella Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Kinsella Title: Exploring the link between household debt and income inequality: an asymmetric approach Abstract: We investigate the relationship between household debt and income inequality in the USA, allowing for asymmetry, using data over the period 1913–2008. We find evidence of an asymmetric cointegration between household debt and inequality for different regimes. Our results indicate household debt only responds to positive changes in income inequality, while there is no evidence of falling inequality significantly affecting household debt. The presence of this asymmetry provides further empirical insights into the emerging literature on household debt and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 404-409 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:404-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: François-Eric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: François-Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Author-Name: William F. Rentz Author-X-Name-First: William F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rentz Title: A panel data robust instrumental variable approach: a test of the new Fama-French five-factor model Abstract: Fama and French (FF, 2015) propose a new five-factor asset pricing model that adds profitability and investment patterns to the market, size and value variables used in FF (1992). Our purpose is to investigate this new model using an improved generalized method of moments (GMM)-based robust instrumental variables technique in a fixed-effects panel data framework. To test for measurement errors, we use a modified Hausman artificial regression. We also examine an augmented FF six-factor model that includes the Pástor–Stambaugh (PS, 2003) liquidity factor. Using the FF dataset, our GMM-based panel data approach leads us to conclude that the only consistently significant factor is the market factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 410-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:410-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Y. Chung Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Karel Hrazdil Author-X-Name-First: Karel Author-X-Name-Last: Hrazdil Author-Name: Xin Li Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The effect of industry classification on analyst following and the properties of their earnings forecasts Abstract: Using a comprehensive data set, we compare four broadly available industry classification schemes (Standard Industrial Classification (SIC), North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), Fama–French classification (FF) and Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)) in their effectiveness to group analysts and their earnings forecast properties. We demonstrate the advantage of the GICS to be consistent across different forecasting properties and across different groups of firms. Our results suggest that GICS should be utilized in research designs, either in the primary analysis or as a necessary corroboration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-421 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1197362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1197362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:417-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: i-i Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1199750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1199750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Chen Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: S. Hamori Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: T. Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Title: Banking sector resilience to financial spillovers Abstract: By using a large sample of bank-level data, we analyse whether the spillover effects of US financial shocks differ with the fundamental characteristics of the banking sectors in the affected countries. We find that a banking sector characterized by a higher degree of competition and larger margin of safety is less affected by financial spillovers. The results are robust to the inclusion of bank-level control variables that capture individual banks’ lending capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 422-426 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:422-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: SEC FRR No. 48 and analyst forecast accuracy Abstract: SEC FRR No. 48 requires that all firms report their market risk exposures by choosing among three alternative formats: sensitivity analysis, tabular and value at risk (VaR). In this article, we examine how different methods affect analyst forecast accuracy. By regressing analyst forecast errors on a company’s choice of disclosure method, we find that analyst forecast errors are smaller for firms using VaR and tabular than for firms using sensitivity analysis. Our findings suggest that VaR and tabular approaches are more informative than sensitivity analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-432 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:427-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aloys Prinz Author-X-Name-First: Aloys Author-X-Name-Last: Prinz Title: Memorability of Nobel Prize laureates in economics Abstract: In this article, a measure for the Relative Memorability of Nobel Prize winners is proposed, based on an exponential forgetting curve. The intention is to provide a measure that captures the fading nature of memories with respect to individual Nobel Prize winners in the cultural collective memory. For fame and achievement of Nobel Prize laureates, measurement methods are already developed. However, from a cultural viewpoint, the question is how well these persons are remembered. Applying the concept of memorability, as defined in this article, to Nobel laureates in Economics, Milton Friedman, Paul Krugman and Joseph Stiglitz turn out to be the top-three economists in the collective memory. Moreover, the ranking of economists according the collective memory, their fame and their achievement produce quite different results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-437 Issue: 6 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:433-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Ćorić Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Ćorić Title: The long-run effect of economic disasters Abstract: This article investigates the long-run consequences of economic disasters. The results suggest the negative long-run effect of economic disasters on output growth and the limited empirical importance of the investment channel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 296-299 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:296-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brent A. Evans Author-X-Name-First: Brent A. Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: From college to the NBA: what determines a player’s success and what characteristics are NBA franchises overlooking? Abstract: Considering NBA players who were drafted between 2006 and 2013, the author analyses the determinants of draft position, playing time and player productivity. By comparing these factors simultaneously, one is able to consider if there are some factors that correlate with players’ draft positions, but fail to correlate with on-court performance. For example, the results reveal that a player’s college turnover rate does not predict his draft position or his playing time in the NBA despite evidence that turnover-prone college players are less effective in the NBA. These results can be used to improve draft-day decisions for NBA executives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 300-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:300-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dulce Redin Author-X-Name-First: Dulce Author-X-Name-Last: Redin Author-Name: Ignacio Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Author-Name: Juncal Cuñado Author-X-Name-First: Juncal Author-X-Name-Last: Cuñado Author-Name: Fernando Perez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Perez de Gracia Title: Oil prices and economic activity: evidence for G-7 economies based on a wavelet approach Abstract: This study examines the relationship between oil prices and economic activity in the G-7 economies during the period 1960M1–2014M07 using a wavelet approach. The results show significant differences in the relationship between these two variables depending on the frequencies. Furthermore, we find that oil price shocks affect economic activity at low frequencies (long run) in all G-7 countries, while the effect at high frequencies (short run) is limited to a few countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-308 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:305-308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siew-Voon Soon Author-X-Name-First: Siew-Voon Author-X-Name-Last: Soon Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Exchange rate pass-through in the Asian countries: does inflation volatility matter? Abstract: This paper presents a nonlinear relationship between exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) and inflation volatility. Through the lens of a threshold framework, we uncover a clear evidence of near to one ERPT to consumer prices once inflation volatility crosses a threshold level of 4.17. Clearly, there are significant differences in the degree of ERPT between the high and low inflation volatility in the inflation targeting (IT) and non-IT Asian countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:309-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Regina Pleninger Author-X-Name-First: Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Pleninger Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Does the impact of financial liberalization on income inequality depend on financial development? Some new evidence Abstract: Instead of empirically finding that higher levels of financial development reduce the positive impact of financial liberalization on inequality, as others do, we come up with the opposite result: financial development strengthens the inequality-raising impact of financial liberalization. We suggest that by, e.g., allowing financial liberalization to lead to more volatility and uncertainty, the model of Bumann and Lensink (2016 “Capital Account Liberalization and Income Inequality.“ Journal of International Money and Finance 61: 143–162.) can be extended as such that also an amplifying instead of reducing effect of financial depth on the impact of financial liberalization on income inequality can be theoretically justified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-316 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:313-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effects of state and Federal gun control laws on school shootings Abstract: School shootings are the highest profile type of murder in the United States. They are also the rarest type of murder. In 2014, there were only 17 firearm murders that were perpetrated in schools and colleges. The purpose of the present study is to determine the relationship between school shootings and state and Federal gun control laws. Using a Poisson, two-way fixed effects model, it was found that assault weapons bans reduced the number of school shooting victims by 54.4%. All other gun control laws (concealed carry laws, private sale background checks and Federal dealer background checks) had no statistically significant effects on school shootings. Although assault weapons bans may reduce the overall number of school shooting victims, the average reduction in murder victims may be less than 10 per year. Hence, it is unclear if gun control is the most appropriate policy to use to reduce the number school shooting victims. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:317-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Donaubauer Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Donaubauer Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Title: International arbitration of investment disputes: are poor and badly governed respondent states more likely to lose? Abstract: Compelling empirical evidence on whether investor–state dispute settlement (ISDS) is systematically biased against poor respondent states hardly exists. We focus on disentangling the effects of the respondent state’s per-capita income and the strength of domestic rule of law on ISDS outcomes. We find that both higher income and stronger than ‘normal’ rule of law reduce the probability of investor wins in international arbitration of disputes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-325 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:321-325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fausto Hernández-Trillo Author-X-Name-First: Fausto Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández-Trillo Title: When lack of accountability allows observing unobservables: moral hazard in sub-national government credit markets in Mexico Abstract: This article estimates the amount of moral hazard effect in sub-national credit markets. I employ the case of Mexico because of the country’s lack of political accountability; a fact that I argue allows for observation of this informational problem. In particular, out of every dollar borrowed, sub-national governments spend 45 cents in activities unrelated to the purpose of credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 326-330 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:326-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernesto R. Gantman Author-X-Name-First: Ernesto R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gantman Author-Name: Marcelo P. Dabós Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo P. Author-X-Name-Last: Dabós Title: International trade and factor productivity as determinants of the real effective exchange rate Abstract: Using panel time-series models that deal with the problems of potential endogeneity and cross-sectional dependence, while also allowing for cross-country heterogeneity in the parameters of interest, we demonstrate that trade openness produces a depreciation of the real effective exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunjoo Kim Karlsson Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjoo Kim Author-X-Name-Last: Karlsson Author-Name: Kristofer Månsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristofer Author-X-Name-Last: Månsson Author-Name: Pär Sjölander Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Sjölander Title: Investigation of the nonlinear behaviour in real exchange rates in developing regions Abstract: This article examines whether the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory holds or not for the economies in different developing regions located in Africa, Asia and Latin America. In order to investigate this issue, a nonlinear panel unit root test is used to determine if some or all of the real exchange rates in a panel follow a stationary exponential smooth transition autoregressive process. By applying the nonlinear panel unit root test, our results demonstrate an empirical support for the theory of PPP for the economies in developing regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-339 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:335-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Benfratello Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Benfratello Author-Name: Alfredo Del Monte Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Del Monte Author-Name: Luca Pennacchio Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Pennacchio Title: Corruption and public debt: a cross-country analysis Abstract: Using data from a large panel of countries over the period 1995–2015, this article empirically investigates the effect of corruption on public debt. Overall, the estimates reveal that corruption increases public debt. The effect, however, appears to be heterogeneous across income-related sample splits: it is stronger for advanced economies, but weaker and less statistically robust for less-developed countries, where external factors such as foreign aid may also affect public debt. The analysis suggests the inadequacy of conventional wisdom assuming that more detrimental fiscal effects of corruption arise in low-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 340-344 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:340-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zelong He Author-X-Name-First: Zelong Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jijun Niu Author-X-Name-First: Jijun Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Title: The effect of economic policy uncertainty on bank valuations Abstract: This article examines how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects bank valuations. Using a large sample of banks over a long period, we find that EPU has a negative effect on bank valuations. One explanation for this result is that EPU reduces bank loan growth, and lower loan growth then leads to lower bank valuations. Consistent with this explanation, we find that the negative effect of EPU is more pronounced for banks with a higher ratio of loans to total assets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-347 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:345-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Maniloff Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Maniloff Title: An estimate of the producer cost of liability for oil spills Abstract: Governments often impose liability for environmental harms on firms when direct monitoring of operations is difficulty or costly. In the case of oil production, little is known about the private cost of liability. This article takes advantage of a natural experiment to estimate the loss in projected future profits of oil and gas production after the Oil Pollution Act of 1990, which imposed liability on some producers and was exogenously timed in response to the Exxon Valdez spill. I find no evidence of economically substantial firm costs of the Oil Pollution Act’s liability rule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 348-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:348-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Baumann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Baumann Author-Name: Bryan Engelhardt Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Engelhardt Author-Name: David L. Fuller Author-X-Name-First: David L. Author-X-Name-Last: Fuller Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Estimating the relationship between labour market tightness, unemployment insurance benefits and union election activity Abstract: Using detailed data from the US National Labor Relations Board, we find labour market tightness, defined as the ratio of job vacancies to the number of unemployed, has a positive relationship with the likelihood of voting in favour of union representation. Specifically, a 1 SD increase in labour market tightness increases Vote Share in favour and the likelihood of union certification by roughly 1.5% and 3%, respectively. We also find that length of unemployment insurance benefits has a positive relationship with Vote Share in favour. Taken together, these results suggest that workers are more comfortable engaging in pro-union election behaviours when exogenous conditions, like labour market tightness and unemployment insurance benefit duration, shift in a way that more favourably insulates them from unemployment and income risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 354-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1321834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1321834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:354-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Candon Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Candon Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Joshua Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Do National Basketball Association players need higher salaries to play in high tax states? Evidence from free agents Abstract: This article investigates the impact of taxes on the salaries received by National Basketball Association free agents from 2010 to 2014. High state income tax rates affect the after-tax income received by players from their team as well as on any ancillary income. Using data on 576 free agents, we find statistically significant evidence that free agents signing in high tax states receive higher salaries, ceteris paribus. Our results suggest that a one-unit increase in the Average Tax Rate experienced by a free agent in a state leads to free agent salaries being over $60,000 higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-361 Issue: 5 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1324194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:5:p:359-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Unemployment persistence in EU countries: new evidence using bounded unit root tests Abstract: We apply a series of bounded unit root tests to revisit the unemployment persistence in eight European Union (EU) countries. We find strong evidence in favour of the hysteresis hypothesis in all the cases. This result can be explained by a reduced labour mobility, a decreasing wage inflation and a high uncertainty regarding the future level of unemployment in the EU countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-810 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:807-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vadim S. Balashov Author-X-Name-First: Vadim S. Author-X-Name-Last: Balashov Title: When do sell-side analysts switch industries they follow? Abstract: Between 1984 and 2014 over 3400 sell-side analysts changed the primary industry they followed. This article documents that analysts are more likely to change their industries when their absolute and relative forecasting accuracy in that industry is low and when the accuracy in the new industry is high. Analysts are more likely to switch industries at the beginning of their careers, after a recent change of an employing brokerage house, and if they have a history of switching industries before. Analysts are less likely to make a switch when their forecasting activity in the industry is high, when the industry is followed by many analysts and when they are employed by a top brokerage house. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-815 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:811-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hailong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hailong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yushan Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yushan Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: How does leverage in stock market influence the margin of stock index futures? Abstract: In this article, we propose a margin-setting model under the assumption of extreme stock price changes. Specifically, extreme stock price changes are caused by the positive feedback effect of leverage and market impact. By introducing these factors into the futures price changes through a cost-of-carry model for setting the margin of stock index futures, we find that leverage and market impact in stock market are positively correlated with the margin. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 816-820 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:816-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Barron Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Barron Author-Name: Pia Basurto Author-X-Name-First: Pia Author-X-Name-Last: Basurto Author-Name: Gabriela Cuadra Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Cuadra Title: On the peer effects of star students Abstract: We estimate the effect that star students have on their siblings’ learning outcomes, measured by their high school grade point average (GPA) and their math grades. To this end, we couple administrative school data on grades with an unusual natural experiment in Peru that generates exogenous variation in the presence of star students at home. We find that star students increase their siblings’ GPA by 0.33 SDs and their math grades by 0.22 SDs. The effect size is inversely related to number of siblings, suggesting that the remaining siblings act as substitutes for the star student. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-825 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:821-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Chen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Martin Richardson Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Richardson Title: Conflicted financial advice: disclosure revisited Abstract: We examine the impact of disclosing an advisor’s conflict of interest in providing financial advice to a client in an experiment. We find that an advisor’s conflict of interest harms the client and that disclosing the conflict harms the advisor. Unlike earlier literature, we do not find that disclosure of the advisor’s conflict of interest results in moral licensing or strategic exaggeration behaviour by the advisor nor, relatedly, that disclosure disadvantages the client. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 826-829 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:826-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Ronayne Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ronayne Author-Name: Daniel Sgroi Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sgroi Title: On the motivations for the dual-use of electronic and traditional cigarettes Abstract: We apply a classical economic categorization of preferences to identify the motivations of dual-users of electronic and traditional cigarettes. The responses of 2406 US adults (including 413 dual-users) in 2015 were collected using a novel online survey along with a follow-up in 2016 of 143 of these adults (68 dual-users). A sizeable minority of 37% of dual-users reported viewing electronic and conventional cigarettes primarily as complements. Of those who had never smoked or used electronic cigarettes, only 27% thought the complementarity motive would be primary. Dual-user motivations were associated with quit-attempt, cessation methods, gender and age. 1 year on, there was a positive relationship between the level of complementarity in the dual-user’s motives and their change in self-reported traditional cigarette consumption. It is concluded that the application of a canonical economic classification of preferences may reveal important heterogeneities among the dual-user population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 830-834 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1368985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1368985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:830-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Balagopal Gopalakrishnan Author-X-Name-First: Balagopal Author-X-Name-Last: Gopalakrishnan Author-Name: Sanket Mohapatra Author-X-Name-First: Sanket Author-X-Name-Last: Mohapatra Title: Global risk and demand for gold by central banks Abstract: This article examines the influence of global risk on the holding of gold by central banks based on annual data for 100 countries during 1990–2015. We use a dynamic panel generalized method of moments model to estimate this effect, controlling for a variety of domestic factors. Consistent with portfolio diversification and perception of gold as a safe asset, we find that the gold holdings of central banks increase in response to higher global risk. This effect varies based on the levels of capital account openness, reserve adequacy, income status and currency regimes. These findings suggest that central banks adjust their gold holdings in response to changes in global risk conditions, with the magnitude of response depending on country-specific vulnerabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1371837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1371837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annari De Waal Author-X-Name-First: Annari Author-X-Name-Last: De Waal Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Charl Jooste Author-X-Name-First: Charl Author-X-Name-Last: Jooste Title: South Africa’s monetary policy independence: evidence from a Global New-Keynesian DSGE model Abstract: We study the response of South African monetary policy decisions to foreign monetary policy shocks. We estimate the extent of foreign monetary policy pass through by augmenting standard Taylor rules and comparing the results within the context of a Global New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model. The general equilibrium model captures important spill-over effects that would otherwise have been ignored in a single equation set-up. The results show that the relationship between foreign monetary policy shocks and South African interest rates is complicated – South Africa does not import foreign monetary policy directly, but is still affected. Except for the US, an increase in foreign interest rates leads to a decrease in South African interest rates – highlighting the complex channels that the monetary policy authority has to monitor outside of its economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 840-846 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1371838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1371838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:840-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Mohebi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Mohebi Author-Name: Akbar Komijani Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Komijani Title: NAIRU and productivity shocks: evidence from three gigantic economies Abstract: This article investigates NAIRU which stands for Non Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment and its trend in three of the world gigantic economies to mention orderly USA, Japan and China. A Vector Autoregressive Regression model estimated to study the reaction of NAIRU to shocks imposed by labour productivity. Results indicate both productivity shocks and NAIRU fluctuations have counter effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-852 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1371839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1371839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:847-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youxing Huang Author-X-Name-First: Youxing Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Why zombies can go out: evidence from Chinese manufacturing Abstract: Using an original and unique Chinese manufacturing firm-level data over 2002–2005, this article investigates why firms without productivity advantages could invest abroad. Conducting propensity score matching method, we find strong evidence that government financial support is an important reason underlying this outward foreign direct investment phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-856 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:853-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdem Seçilmiş Author-X-Name-First: Erdem Author-X-Name-Last: Seçilmiş Title: An experimental analysis of moral self-regulation Abstract: This article examines the validity of the moral self-regulation hypothesis in a laboratory setting. The experiment is comprised of a public good game preceded or followed by a matrix task. The data show that the recall of an immoral action (cheating in the matrix task) motivates the individual to do morally right thing (contributing to group account) and the recall of a moral action (contributing to group account) motivates the individual to act out self-interest (cheating in the matrix task). Both moral licensing and moral cleansing hypotheses are confirmed by the results of the experiment. Additionally, the findings indicate that the subjects who had been given a chance to cheat ‘at first’ allocated more funds to the group account; and the subjects who had been given a chance to voluntarily contribute ‘at first’ cheated more in the matrix task. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374530 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Shum Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Shum Author-Name: Kai-yin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Kai-yin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Shu-kam Lee Author-X-Name-First: Shu-kam Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Rank tests for price convergence in Australian beverage markets Abstract: This article examines the price convergence of beverage products within Australia in order to assess the efficacy of intranational cross-border movements of products under the Australia’s Mutual Recognition Agreement. Since the cointegrating relationship between product prices may not be exact or linear, we adopt the rank tests for analysis which do not require prior knowledge and specification of the linear or nonlinear functional form. Our results validate the price convergence of all beverage products within Australia, with the exception of a few regions in the milk market. Furthermore, a subset of the cointegration relationships exhibits nonlinear long-run price co-movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 862-866 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:862-866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shubo Cao Author-X-Name-First: Shubo Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Qifa Xu Author-X-Name-First: Qifa Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Cuixia Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Cuixia Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yaoyao He Author-X-Name-First: Yaoyao Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Conditional density forecast of China’s energy demand via QRNN model Abstract: We propose a new method for conditional density forecast of China’s energy demand through quantile regression neural network (QRNN). This method has at least two advantages. First, it is flexible to explore the true nonlinearity in the energy demand system via neural network structure. Second, it is able to describe the whole conditional distribution of energy demand via quantile regression. In the empirical study on China’s energy demand, QRNN outperforms several classical methods in terms of forecast accuracy both in-sample and out-of-sample. Considering China’s economic and social environment, we set a scenario for predictors and forecast the conditional density of China’s energy demand from 2015 to 2020. The empirical results show that the conditional density curve moves to right and its dispersion increases over time, which indicates that the energy demand in China will keep growing with an average annual rate of 9.672% and its uncertainty is enlarged with 42.210%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 867-875 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:867-875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira De Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: De Mendonça Author-Name: Adriana Cabrera Baca Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Cabrera Author-X-Name-Last: Baca Title: Relevance of corruption on the effect of public health expenditure and taxation on economic growth Abstract: We investigate whether corruption distorts the positive effect of public health expenditure and taxation on growth through panel data analysis of 75 developing countries for the period from 1995 to 2014. The findings indicate that, although both public health expenditure and taxation can increase economic growth, in countries with more corrupt governments this effect is reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 876-881 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:876-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernesto Crivelli Author-X-Name-First: Ernesto Author-X-Name-Last: Crivelli Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: IMF conditionality supports revenue collection: is it just tax rates? Abstract: This article examines if the observed favourable impact of conditionality in IMF programmes on revenue performance arises from changes in tax rates. It does so by studying the experience of 126 low- and middle-income countries during 1993–2013. When changes in tax rates are controlled for, the impact of revenue conditionality (and especially conditionality on revenue administration reform) not only remains strong on value-added tax collection but also, in contrast to earlier results, it contributes to significant improvements in income tax collection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 882-885 Issue: 12 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1374534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1374534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:12:p:882-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaewon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Jaewon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Hyunsik Park Author-X-Name-First: Hyunsik Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Compromise effect and consideration set size in consumer decision-making Abstract: The compromise effect dictates that a decision-maker chooses a middle option over an extreme one given a set of choice alternatives since choosing an intermediate option is easier to justify, less likely to be criticized, and is consistent with loss aversion. Our experiment is designed to identify whether the connection between the extremeness of the options and the size of the consideration sets is economically and statistically significant and thus would have important behavioural implications. Specifically, we compare decision-making under small and large consideration sets where the extremeness of the comprising choice options is high, as opposed to low. The results demonstrate that an increase in consideration set size leads to weaker compromise effect (i.e. boundary condition) but when composed of high extremeness, strengthens the compromise effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thai Vu Hong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thai Vu Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Author-Name: Thanh Cong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Involuntary excess reserve and bankers’ remuneration: evidence from Chinese banks Abstract: This article analyses the effects of involuntary excess reserves (IER) on bankers’ remuneration and the penalty associated with bank risk-taking if discovered. The study finds that IER help conceal tail risks, improves bankers’ performance and remuneration. However, the risks once discovered result in heavy penalties on bankers’ remuneration. The study extends the agency theory to the context where banks hold large IER. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 518-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1340568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1340568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:518-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Dohse Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Dohse Author-Name: Andrea Vaona Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Vaona Title: Unemployment and new business formation – new insights into a complex relationship Abstract: The article analyses the interrelation between unemployment and new business formation using panel data for a large cross-section of countries. We find robust evidence for a positive influence of unemployment, domestic credit to the private sector and business-friendly regulation on new business formation. Our examination does, however, indicate no support for the view that new business formation significantly reduces national unemployment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Adelman Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Adelman Author-Name: Katherine Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: Katherine Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Infant formula trade and the family-friendly workplace Abstract: The World Health Organization recommends exclusive breastfeeding for the first 6 months of life, and breastfeeding with complimentary feeding for up to 2 years. We use a gravity model of trade to analyse the relationship between formula imports and parental leave policies around the world. Countries with longer maternity leave policies have lower formula imports; however, conditional on offering paid maternity leave, higher wage replacement is associated with more infant feeding options for parents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-530 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:527-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kemal Turkcan Author-X-Name-First: Kemal Author-X-Name-Last: Turkcan Author-Name: Veysel Avsar Author-X-Name-First: Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Title: Financial dependence and the terms of payments in international transactions Abstract: Using a novel data on payment choice in export transactions, this study shows that financing cost in a country is more important in terms of offering (undertaking) post-shipment (prepayment) terms in exports (imports) for the industries that rely more on external finance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-534 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:531-534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chee-Hong Law Author-X-Name-First: Chee-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: International reserves and trilemma policy convergence in Malaysia Abstract: Some observations have suggested that international reserves contribute to trilemma policy convergence in emerging countries. Nonetheless, this hypothesis needs more solid empirical evidence to determine its validity. This article tests this hypothesis by examining the relationships among the index of policy dispersion, international reserves and trade openness in a threshold model in Malaysia. As a small open economy, Malaysia has accumulated a relatively large amount of international reserves since the mid-1990s. The results indicate that the positive impact of international reserves on reducing policy dispersion or achieving policy convergence is found only if the international reserves are above a threshold. Hence, this conclusion supports the need to hold a relatively high level of international reserves in Malaysia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-538 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:535-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Bönte Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Bönte Author-Name: Vivien Procher Author-X-Name-First: Vivien Author-X-Name-Last: Procher Author-Name: Diemo Urbig Author-X-Name-First: Diemo Author-X-Name-Last: Urbig Title: Gender differences in selection into self-competition Abstract: While previous studies demonstrated that, in many settings, women tend to be less willing than men to engage in interpersonal competition, this study focuses on selection into self-competition. Competing against own past performances can be an integral part of life, including job and sports. Using data obtained from a lab-in-the-field experiment, we find empirical evidence that women are, on average, more reluctant than men to compete against their own past performance. Our results suggest that this difference can be mainly explained by gender differences in risk preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alastair Ball Author-X-Name-First: Alastair Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Title: University fees and the demand for STEM degrees Abstract: The 2006 increase in university tuition in the UK was followed by a 3–4% reduction in the proportion of students choosing STEM degrees, due either to a change in the composition of students, or to similar students selecting away from STEM subjects. This article tests the latter hypothesis, estimating the effect of the fees for comparable students using propensity score matching on a rich set of covariates. Results suggest that the change was entirely driven by compositional changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 544-546 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:544-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Author-Name: Ive Marx Author-X-Name-First: Ive Author-X-Name-Last: Marx Author-Name: Brecht Neyt Author-X-Name-First: Brecht Author-X-Name-Last: Neyt Author-Name: Eva Van Belle Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Van Belle Author-Name: Jasmien Van Casteren Author-X-Name-First: Jasmien Author-X-Name-Last: Van Casteren Title: Student employment and academic performance: an empirical exploration of the primary orientation theory Abstract: This study empirically assesses the thesis that student employment only hurts academic performance for students with a primary orientation towards work (versus school). To this end, we analyse unique data on tertiary education students’ intensity of and motivation for student employment by means of a state-of-the art moderation model. We find, indeed, only a negative association between hours of student work and the percentage of courses passed for work-oriented students. This finding may explain the contradictory results in the literature neglecting this factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-552 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:547-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John A Bishop Author-X-Name-First: John A Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Jonathan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lester A Zeager Author-X-Name-First: Lester A Author-X-Name-Last: Zeager Title: Adjusting for family size in the supplemental poverty measure Abstract: We point out an anomaly in the adjustment for family size in the US Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM). The equivalence scale for the SPM implies an instance of increasing marginal costs for an additional adult. A similar criticism of the official US poverty measure was one of several concerns that led to the creation of the SPM. We propose two possible solutions for the problem and show that eliminating the anomaly from the SPM has the greatest effect on the poverty rate for the elderly, as that group is more concentrated near the poverty line. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1343444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1343444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Moro Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Moro Author-Name: Elena Castellari Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Castellari Author-Name: Paolo Sckokai Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Sckokai Title: Empirical issues in the computation of Stone–Lewbel price indexes in censored micro-level demand systems Abstract: In this article, we propose an empirical method for the computation of the Stone–Lewbel (SL) price index for product aggregates, when censored samples with zero expenditures are available from household budget surveys. The proposed technique is based on a regression imputation method that takes into account the price dynamics, therefore, allowing to disentangle the role of demographics from the role of prices in computing the SL index. Our simulations seem to indicate that our method is a valuable alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia De Poli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: De Poli Author-Name: Loris Vergolini Author-X-Name-First: Loris Author-X-Name-Last: Vergolini Author-Name: Nadir Zanini Author-X-Name-First: Nadir Author-X-Name-Last: Zanini Title: The impact of a study abroad programme on learning abilities and personality traits: evidence from a randomization Abstract: Personality traits are increasingly considered as a powerful predictor of socio-economic success as academic achievement. In this article, we exploit the random assignment of applicants to a programme in order to retrieve unbiased estimates of the impact of studying abroad on both cognitive and noncognitive abilities. Our findings suggest that secondary school students, especially those considered ‘more able’, benefited from a 1-month experience abroad, as it enhanced both personality traits and language proficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 562-566 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:562-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nilufer Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Nilufer Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Cuneyt Altinoz Author-X-Name-First: Cuneyt Author-X-Name-Last: Altinoz Title: Do internal markets influence bank failures? Abstract: Empirical studies analysing the determinants of bank failures ignore the role of bank holding company affiliation in these failures. In this article, we propose a new approach of estimating affiliated banks’ failures that incorporates holding companies’ role in failures. Our logit regression results show that the holding company’s features, especially internal flows, mattered on failures more than those of the banks during the sub-prime mortgage crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfram Berger Author-X-Name-First: Wolfram Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Author-Name: Simone Salotti Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Salotti Author-Name: Jordi Sardà Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Sardà Title: Do fiscal decentralization and income inequality affect the size of the shadow economy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries Abstract: In this article, we study fiscal decentralization and inequality as driving forces of the shadow economy in advanced economies. Our empirical analysis suggests that a reduction in income inequality will contain the shadow economy, whereas expenditure and tax decentralization do not significantly impact it. As decentralization is generally believed to increase government efficiency, this result is indicative of already highly efficient public administrations. Our results further indicate that redistributive policies positively affect the size of the shadow economy, whereas the tax burden does not have any discernible effect on the shadow economy in our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-575 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:571-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Malte Müller Author-X-Name-First: Malte Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Markus Hanisch Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Hanisch Author-Name: Agustina Malvido Author-X-Name-First: Agustina Author-X-Name-Last: Malvido Author-Name: Jens Rommel Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Rommel Author-Name: Julian Sagebiel Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Sagebiel Title: The structural effect of cooperatives on price volatility in the European dairy sector Abstract: Theoretical models and empirical evidence suggest that high market shares of cooperatives can force investor-oriented firms to pay higher producer prices within a region. In the same vein, cooperatives may force investor-oriented firms to reduce price volatility. We use panel data from 27 European Union member states over the period 2001–2015 to investigate how the market share of cooperatives in a country affects milk price volatility. Our key finding is that a higher market share of cooperatives reduces price volatility at the national level. Volatility is influenced by a number of other variables, such as fluctuation in raw milk production, oil price volatility spillover and the number of dairy processors. Policymakers should consider that the promotion of cooperatives might positively affect price stability in the dairy sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 576-579 Issue: 8 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1346358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1346358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:8:p:576-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradit Withisuphakorn Author-X-Name-First: Pradit Author-X-Name-Last: Withisuphakorn Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Title: Deciphering the motives behind corporate social responsibility (CSR) using managerial ownership: evidence from heteroskedastic identification Abstract: Motivated by agency theory, we investigate the effect of managerial ownership on CSR engagement. Exploiting a novel identification strategy and using a large U.S. sample of over 14,000 observations across 18 years, we find that higher managerial ownership diminishes CSR engagement significantly. As managers own a larger share of equity, they bear greater costs of CSR, leading to a reduction in CSR engagement. Further analysis, however, shows that not all CSR activities are motivated by agency problems. In particular, the CSR activities related to human rights and products appear to promote shareholders’ wealth. The results of this study are important as they show that there can be different motives behind different CSR activities. We contribute to the literature by shedding light on the motives behind CSR investments using a novel identification strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-970 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1524973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1524973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:963-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrei Nikiforov Author-X-Name-First: Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Nikiforov Author-Name: Eugene Pilotte Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Pilotte Title: Security design, market risk and round quotes in the treasury bond market Abstract: Prior literature finds that the tendency of price-endings to cluster on rounder fractions increases with price volatility. We estimate the separate influences and relative importance of the determinants of price volatility, security design and market risks. Our data is from a market setting that is ideal for isolating and studying the relations of interest. Results for both quote and trade prices indicate that the tendency to use round price-endings increases with both a security’s inherent risk, attributable to security design, and variation over time in market risks. Security design influences clustering more than market risks, but market risks are influential in determining clustering once security design is fixed. The estimated effects are strongest in the on-the-run market segment where liquidity facilitates the aggregation of information into price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-977 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:971-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luc Christiaensen Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Christiaensen Author-Name: Joachim De Weerdt Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: De Weerdt Author-Name: Ravi Kanbur Author-X-Name-First: Ravi Author-X-Name-Last: Kanbur Title: Decomposing the contribution of migration to poverty reduction: methodology and application to Tanzania Abstract: In an economy with migration, poverty changes are composed of a number of forces, including the income gains and losses realized by the various migration streams. We present a simple but powerful decomposition methodology that uses panel data to measure the contributions of different migration streams to overall poverty change. An application to Tanzania shows the new insights that are provided – in particular on the role of migration to secondary towns in poverty reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 978-982 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:978-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rifqi Alfian Maulana Author-X-Name-First: Rifqi Alfian Author-X-Name-Last: Maulana Author-Name: Muhammad Halley Yudhistira Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Halley Author-X-Name-Last: Yudhistira Title: Do schools compete with each other? Empirical evidence from Jakarta, Indonesia Abstract: This 2015 cross-sectional study tested whether the level of competition affected the national test scores of senior high schools in Jakarta. We measured the level of competition using the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and a gravity-based school competition index for the number of enrolled students. We found that schools’ national exam scores were positively associated with the level of competition. Furthermore, this competition was better explained by physical proximity than by administrative boundaries. However, public schools did not benefit from the competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-986 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:983-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangyeon Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sangyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Dynamic response of bank-intermediated trade finance to a global liquidity shock Abstract: This paper investigates the bank-level responses of a bank-intermediated instrument of trade finance to a negative global liquidity shock in Korea. Using a factor-augmented vector autoregression approach, the results show that there exists significant heterogeneity in bank-level trade-finance responses to a global liquidity shock. In addition, we find that the source of the heterogeneity is the bank-level foreign currency liquidity condition; banks with a better foreign currency liquidity condition may dampen the negative impact of a global liquidity shock on trade-finance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-994 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:987-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: Cryptocurrencies and asset pricing Abstract: We demonstrate that investors obtain abnormal returns by trading cryptocurrencies daily on the London Stock Exchange from 2014–2017. Excess returns persist once we account for systematic risk, size, value, momentum, profitability and investment. Investor abnormal returns in cryptocurrencies implies inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faisal Nazir Zargar Author-X-Name-First: Faisal Nazir Author-X-Name-Last: Zargar Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Olaolu Richard Olayeni Author-X-Name-First: Olaolu Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Olayeni Title: Testing for the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis in Asia using wavelet analysis Abstract: We investigate the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) puzzle using a novel time-frequency approach. The wavelet-based retention and correlation coefficients are estimated for a cross-section of 15 Asian countries over the period 1972–2016. The countries are grouped as OCED countries (Japan and South Korea), least developed countries (like Bangladesh and Nepal), the large countries (like India and China), and the small countries (like Sri Lanka and Pakistan). Our approach reveals some interesting insights on the relationship between investment and saving rates and investment and current account deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1006 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:999-1006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shohei Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Shohei Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Author-Name: Rawaa Harati Author-X-Name-First: Rawaa Author-X-Name-Last: Harati Author-Name: Somik V. Lall Author-X-Name-First: Somik V. Author-X-Name-Last: Lall Author-Name: Yuri M. Dikhanov Author-X-Name-First: Yuri M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dikhanov Author-Name: Nada Hamadeh Author-X-Name-First: Nada Author-X-Name-Last: Hamadeh Author-Name: William Vigil Oliver Author-X-Name-First: William Vigil Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Author-Name: Marko Olavi Rissanen Author-X-Name-First: Marko Olavi Author-X-Name-Last: Rissanen Author-Name: Mizuki Yamanaka Author-X-Name-First: Mizuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yamanaka Title: Is living in African cities expensive? Abstract: Although several studies have examined why overall price levels are higher in richer countries, little is known about whether there is a similar relationship at the urban and city level across countries. This paper compares the price levels of cities in Sub-Saharan Africa with those of other regions by analyzing price information collected for the purpose of calculating official purchasing power parities. The approach of the paper is to readjust the calculated price levels from national to urban levels, using known price-level ratios between those areas. The results indicate that African cities are relatively more expensive, despite having lower income levels. The price levels of goods and services consumed by households are 25 to 28 percent higher in Sub-Saharan Africa than in other low- and middle-income countries, relative to their income levels. Such high costs of living could constrain livelihood of low-income urban residents, as well as the development of Africa’s urban economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1012 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1527441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1527441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1007-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michelle Zemel Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Zemel Author-Name: Tianrong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tianrong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The effect of the liberalization of the Chinese stock market on returns Abstract: We examine the short-term effects of the liberalization of the Chinese stock market on returns. We find a positive and significant abnormal return associated with the announcement of the liberalization of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Exploiting  features of the reform, we are able to compare stocks directly and indirectly affected by the liberalization. We find that all stock prices reflect this announcement premium equally, suggesting that the premium does not reflect an increase in expected liquidity. We further find that observed liquidity, as measured by volume and price impact, did not increase following the liberalization. We conclude that the observed premium reflects a diversification benefit for Chinese investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1019 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1528054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1528054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1013-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun J. Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Hyunseokdara Oh Author-X-Name-First: Hyunseokdara Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Two empirical issues in the analysis for the effect of free streaming on music CD and concerts Abstract: We address the two measurement issues in the analysis for the effect of free streaming on the consumption of CD and live concerts. One is measurement type for usage of free files and the other is how to measure consumption of ancillary markets, live concerts. Our results indicate that CD purchase is not affected by free streaming use, not supporting the displacement or sampling effect. Meanwhile, results clearly show that streaming use increases the expenditure for music concerts, supporting positive externality of free files. Regarding the measurement issues, we find better goodness-of-fit when we use the continuous time variable rather than the dichotomous dummy for streaming use and find a clearer externality when we use the expenditure rather than frequency for the consumption of concerts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1020-1025 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1528331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1528331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1020-1025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Tobias Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: The distance bias in natural disaster reporting – empirical evidence for the United States Abstract: Whenever governments or international organizations provide aid in the aftermath of natural disasters, they typically justify this support by humanitarian motives. Previous empirical research found that media reports on natural disasters have a systematic impact on the amount of provided disaster aid. While this is unproblematic as long as media reports are unbiased and thus deliver an undistorted picture of the occurrence and severity of worldwide occurring disasters, systematic reporting biases would lead to distorted aid flows and perhaps other distortions like an insufficient perception of a region in international organizations. Based on data on three US news shows we show that disaster reporting is subject to a distance bias, e.g., the likelihood that a disaster is covered by the media depends on the distance between the country where the media are located and the country where the disasters occur. We also find evidence that besides the distance bias the state of economic development of a country and importance as export markets have a positive effect on the probability that US news shows are reporting on a natural disaster. As a result, international aid flows might be systematically biased and not distributed in line with the needs of the victims. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1026-1032 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1528332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1528332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1026-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rostislav Staněk Author-X-Name-First: Rostislav Author-X-Name-Last: Staněk Author-Name: Ondřej Krčál Author-X-Name-First: Ondřej Author-X-Name-Last: Krčál Title: Time preferences, cognitive abilities and intrinsic motivation to exert effort Abstract: The experimental literature has found a positive relationship between patience and performance in cognitive tests that are not incentivized by money. It has also been shown that unincentivized cognitive tests capture not only cognitive ability (CA), but also intrinsic motivation related to the test takers’ personality traits. In order to determine whether the relationship between patience and test scores is driven by intrinsic motivation or CA, we run an experiment in which subjects take either incentivized or unincentivized cognitive tests. We find that while incentivized test scores positively correlate with patience, the unincentivized scores are not related to the time preferences of our subjects. The observed correlation between patience and cognitive test scores therefore seems to be driven by CA rather than by intrinsic motivation related to personality traits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1037 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1033-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Author-Name: Yuri Khoroshilov Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Khoroshilov Title: Potential heterogeneity in target’s value and jump bidding in takeover auctions Abstract: This ticle analyses the pre-emptive jump bidding equilibrium in takeover auctions when bidders’ valuations of the target firm follow truncated normal distribution. It shows that potential heterogeneity of the targets’ value, measured by the standard deviation of the bidders’ valuation function, is especially important when it is small and, for extremely small values, the second bidder is almost always pre-empted. It also shows that, contrary to regular clock-style auctions, the increase in standard deviation may negatively affect the expected profit of the first bidder. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1038-1043 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1038-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. A. Nebot Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nebot Author-Name: J. Garcia-Solanes Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Solanes Author-Name: A. Beyaert Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Beyaert Title: New insights into the non-linearity of the ECB Taylor Rule Abstract: We apply a non-parametric procedure, Multiple Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), to endogenously select the best multiple threshold model for the European Central Bank (ECB) Taylor Rule (TR). MARS offers the advantage of not excluding simpler models if they better fit the data. On monthly data from 1/2000 to 9/2016, the TR exhibits thresholds for both the output gap and inflation and uncover interesting information about the different sensitivities of the ECB to each variable. We conclude that the ECB cares more about the economic activity than officially declared and reacts to inflation deviations only if they sufficiently exceed the official 2% target. We also detect an overall shift in the monetary policy during the 2008 financial crisis that pushed the system towards the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB). We reach a more complete description of the ECB TR than published so far.Abbreviations: TR, ECB,MARS Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1044-1048 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1044-1048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sediq Sameem Author-X-Name-First: Sediq Author-X-Name-Last: Sameem Author-Name: Pavlo Buryi Author-X-Name-First: Pavlo Author-X-Name-Last: Buryi Title: Impact of unemployment on happiness in the United States Abstract: This study considers the level of demonstrated happiness and unhappiness, the latter measured by the conditional probability of committing suicide within groups that are facing a higher unemployment rate and those that are not. Using individual-level US data from 1989 to 2004, our findings indicate that individuals have lower rates of suicide or are ‘happy’ when they live in a state that has lower unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1052 Issue: 12 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1529390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1529390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:12:p:1049-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Jorge Silva Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Debt crisis and 10-year sovereign yields in Ireland and in Portugal Abstract: We assess the determinants of the 10-year sovereign yield for the period 2000–2015, in Portugal and in Ireland. Results show that the long-term Portuguese sovereign yield increased with the rise of the 10-year Bund yield and during the Securities Markets Programme, but decreased due to financial integration. Additionally, during the period of the economic and financial adjustment programme, there was evidence of additional rises (decreases) due to increases (decreases) in the 3-month Euribor rate, and the level of public debt. EU/IMF funding reduced sovereign yield. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-222 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justus Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Justus Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Standing on the shoulder of giants: the aspect of free-riding in RePEc rankings Abstract: Research papers in economics (RePEc) rankings have become a well-established source of information about actual and perceived academic performance of institutions, academic fields and their authors. One essential ingredient is the impact factors calculated in RePEc which differ from the standard ones. RePEc reports the ratio of the cumulative citations of all articles of a journal and the number of listed items. The continuously updated RePEc impact factors account for the whole journal and citation history. This approach gives rise to a potential free-riding of authors who profit from journal ranking established in the past. In this article, we demonstrate how the rankings of economists change if one calculates yearly impact factors. The distribution of gains and losses is most pronounced among middle-field ranked authors while the top group shows relative persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:223-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seon-Woong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seon-Woong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Optimal forecast evaluation: fertilizer prices Abstract: High fertilizer price volatility makes production planning and inventory management difficult, so accurate fertilizer price forecasts would be beneficial. This article evaluates commercial forecasts for urea and diammonium phosphate (DAP) prices based on forecast accuracy and optimal forecast properties. Most forecasts pass the tests, but forecasts for the US New Orleans urea and the US Gulf DAP markets, in particular, do not and thus show potential to be improved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martijn A. Boermans Author-X-Name-First: Martijn A. Author-X-Name-Last: Boermans Author-Name: Sweder van Wijnbergen Author-X-Name-First: Sweder Author-X-Name-Last: van Wijnbergen Title: Contingent convertible bonds: Who invests in European CoCos? Abstract: Using a comprehensive data set on issuances and holdings of contingent convertible debt instruments (CoCos) issued by European banks, we investigate who invests in European CoCos. The results indicate that most European CoCos are not directly held by euro area investors. Foreign investors outside the euro area and investment funds located in Ireland and Luxembourg hold the large majority. Euro area banks, insurers and pension funds only have very limited direct exposures. Households in the euro area hold almost no direct positions in European CoCos, although there could be indirect holdings through non-euro area entities and euro area investment funds. Concerns for contagion through cross-holdings of CoCos by banks seem to be unwarranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 234-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1310995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:234-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingduo Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingduo Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Shancun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shancun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yi Qu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Author-Name: Qiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Market manipulation with sentiment traders Abstract: This article offers a new perspective for traders’ sentiment by bridging the relationship between feedback effect and market manipulation. Allowing access to information regarding manipulated orders confuses sentiment traders, leading to an overestimation of the true asset value which actually remains the same. We find that sentiment factor has a nonmonotonic impact on the responsiveness to order information and price informativeness. Furthermore, it is shown that informed traders behave like a contrarian, and can use order information to reassess the price, which results in the multiplicity of equilibria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1313947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1313947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kitae Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Kitae Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: How does the ordering of questions affect elicited time preferences? Abstract: Since time preferences constitute a concept fundamental to economics, many economists have attempted to elicit time preferences by using multiple price lists. In such endeavours, however, little attention has been paid to the effect of the ordering of questions on elicited time preferences although the ordering effect is well known. We analysed a representative sample of the Indonesian population (13,870 men and 15,858 women) by applying censored maximum likelihood regressions. We exploited the randomized ordering of two series of delay questions (1- and 5-year delays) and estimated the causal effect of the ordering on elicited time preferences. Respondents who considered the longer-delay questions exhibited more patience, and the effects were larger for women. Economists need to take into account the ordering effect as they design experiments by which to elicit time and other preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 244-248 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:244-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Title: Testing hysteresis effect in U.S. state unemployment: new evidence using a nonlinear quantile unit root test Abstract: We revisit hysteresis effect in the unemployment rate of each of the 52 states of the United States using nonlinear quantile unit root test over the period 1976M1–2016M7. Our results indicate that unemployment rate of the U.S. economy as a whole displays hysteresis effect over recessionary periods. Nineteen out of 52 states display hysteresis behaviour over the period 1976–2016. For the remaining 33 states, we find four types of behaviours. Some states display stationarity behaviour almost in all quantiles. Some display hysteresis over recessionary periods and in contrast some display hysteresis over expansion period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:249-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James P. Dow Author-X-Name-First: James P. Author-X-Name-Last: Dow Title: Attitudes towards credit after the Great Recession Abstract: The US Survey of Consumer Finances provides a rich but underutilized source of data measuring attitudes towards credit. Using this data, this article finds there a great degree of heterogeneity in attitudes; however, the distribution of these attitudes has shifted only moderately after the financial crisis, with households on average only becoming a bit more conservative. There is evidence that age, race and gender affect attitudes towards credit, most noticeably when attitudes are broken down by specific credit use rather than credit in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 254-257 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:254-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Duc H. Vo Author-X-Name-First: Duc H. Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Author-Name: Thach N. Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thach N. Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Economic cycles and downside commodities risk Abstract: We de-compose the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index into its underlying commodity sub-categories and develop a modified conditional value at risk (CVaR) metric to examine downside risk linked to economic periods which are classified by their GDP growth as green, yellow, orange and red. We term this new metric economic CVaR (ECVaR). We found significant differences in the relative ECVaR rankings of different commodities over our different economic cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 258-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:258-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Myung Hoon Yi Author-X-Name-First: Myung Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Title: The Internet, R&D expenditure and economic growth Abstract: We examine the effect of the Internet on the relationship between R&D expenditure and economic growth. Data for 105 countries over the period 1994–2014 are used for panel data analysis. The effect of R&D expenditure on economic growth proves to be affected positively by the Internet and the effect of the Internet on the economic growth is positively strengthened by an increase in R&D expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 264-267 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:264-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xun Li Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Rui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Energy price shocks and milk price adjustments Abstract: Much previous research on energy price transmission sheds light on the relationship between oil prices and aggregate commodity prices, such as for agricultural products, or food price indexes. This letter uses data from 12 U.S. cities between 2001 and 2011 to examine how energy prices are transmitted to fluid milk products at the retail level. Results indicate the existence of an asymmetric energy pass-through (a rise is transmitted faster than a fall in prices) and that private label milk products are more insulated from energy price shocks and adjust at similar rate with national manufacturer brands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 268-271 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:268-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Predicting season ticket holder loyalty using geographical information Abstract: Season ticket holders (STHs) are an integral part of the sporting product. Interestingly, and contrary to the persistent interest in analysing the determinants of stadium attendances, sports economists have so far largely refrained from exploring the potential determinants of STH loyalty as expressed through regular stadium attendances. In this article, we address this notable shortcoming by exploring the potential determinants of STH stadium attendance demand. In particular, we examine the yet under-researched role of increasing opportunity costs resulting from larger home-stadium distances in STH stadium attendance demand. Our results suggest that STHs’ geographical location plays an important role in predicting STH stadium attendance demand. More specifically, we observe an unexpected, nonlinear distance–attendance relationship, indicating that behaviourally loyal STHs live either exceptionally close or far away from the stadium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-277 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1316822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:272-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Galvis Ciro Author-Name: Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata Author-X-Name-First: Juan Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Anzoátegui Zapata Title: Announcements credibility and government securities: evidence from Colombia Abstract: This article evaluates the effect of central bank announcements on government securities yields in emerging economy. In particular, based on the Colombian experience, we present empirical evidence to address the effect of credibility scenario in which the central bank announcements are made. The findings denote that credibility performance must be taken into account to verify the impact of monetary policy announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 278-282 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:278-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias S. Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Author-Name: Panayiotis Tzeremes Author-X-Name-First: Panayiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeremes Author-Name: Nickolaos G. Tzeremes Author-X-Name-First: Nickolaos G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeremes Title: European financial crisis and bank productivity: evidence from Eastern European Countries Abstract: The paper examines the productivity levels of the largest banks operating in the Eastern European countries over the period of the ongoing European financial crisis. Specifically, the analysis covers the periods of U.S. subprime crisis, the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis. By adopting a fully nonparametric framework, it provides a probabilistic version of a directional input-oriented Malmquist productivity index alongside with its main decomposition. The results from the analysis suggest that banks have faced a deterioration of their productivity levels between the examined periods. It is evident that during the initiation of European sovereign debt crisis, the banks have weakened their ability to utilize efficiently their inputs of production and their ability to realize scale economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-289 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:283-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paweł Marcin Pońsko Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Marcin Author-X-Name-Last: Pońsko Title: The evolution of consumer preferences in Poland Abstract: This note investigates a change of consumer preferences in Poland in the period of 1996–2016. I use the Euler equation–generalized method of moments (GMM) to estimate the structural parameters of the aggregate consumption function to show that consumers in Poland significantly change their attitude to risk during the global financial crisis, when the estimate of the risk-aversion parameter becomes very high, while otherwise close to zero suggesting near risk neutrality. Also, the subjective trade-off between consumption today and tomorrow undergoes an evolution towards lower ‘impatience’. Over-identifying restrictions are tested and the null hypothesis of validity of instruments is not rejected. The stability over time of the estimated parameters is tested and rejected. The evolution of preferences is shown through recursive estimates of the deep parameters, too. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 290-295 Issue: 4 Volume: 25 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1319549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2017.1319549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:290-295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akiyoshi Furukawa Author-X-Name-First: Akiyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Furukawa Title: Agglomeration, migration cost and intergovernmental transfers Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the central government redistribution policies across local governments that affect regional agglomeration. Though full agglomeration is efficient, in many cases factor mobility is imperfect and the full agglomeration is not realized. This article analysed whether or not the central government should adjust the distribution of populations through local governments. The result is as follows: If individuals are relatively mobile, the central government can improve the aggregate income. In this case, when the private production and public sector are small, the central government should transfer from the productive regions local government to low-productive regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Asim Nomani Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Asim Author-X-Name-Last: Nomani Author-Name: Irfan Ali Author-X-Name-First: Irfan Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Armin Fügenschuh Author-X-Name-First: Armin Author-X-Name-Last: Fügenschuh Author-Name: Aquil Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Aquil Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: A fuzzy goal programming approach to analyse sustainable development goals of India Abstract: Energy policy, environmental planning and economic development play a key role in sustainable development. Sustainable development requires suitable and strategic policies satisfying multiple and conflicting objectives. Fuzzy goal programming (FGP) is a well-known approach in multi-criteria decision-making for its practical application. In this article, a FGP approach is proposed to analyse environmental, energy and sustainability goals of India by the year 2030 with reference to the key economic sectors of India. The presented model analyses the improvement opportunities, requirement of efforts and implementation of the sustainable development plans. Numerical illustration is also provided for validation and application of the proposed model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L.A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: L.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Author-Name: Matthius Thul Author-X-Name-First: Matthius Author-X-Name-Last: Thul Title: A game theory model of regulatory response to insider trading Abstract: We develop a model which can help in explaining the evolving regulatory regime around insider trading. We form a simple sequential game-theoretical model of insider trading transactions and, utilizing Monte Carlo simulation to determine equilibrium, we show that costly investigations and low penalties incentivize traders to engage in illegal transactions. While the model helps to explain stiffer action by regulatory bodies, the question remains as to whether the elevated penalty levels are sufficient to prevent further insider trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 448-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1200179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1200179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:448-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Shi Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Pengfei Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Marek Vochozka Author-X-Name-First: Marek Author-X-Name-Last: Vochozka Title: The reduction cost of nonperforming loan: evidence from China’s commercial bank Abstract: The nonperforming loans (NPLs) are co-generated by creating the profit in a bank, and this article build a joint production model to measure the reduction cost of nonperforming cost. By using a data set of China’s 13 commercial banks, the conclusions show that the reduction cost of NPLs is lower, which suggests that it is not a good choice for China’s commercial bank to hold the NPLs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 456-459 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:456-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: German Lopez Buenache Author-X-Name-First: German Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Buenache Title: Monetary policy evaluation. A counterfactual analysis based on dynamic factor models Abstract: This article complements the recent literature analysing the effects of the unconventional monetary stimuli applied after the Great Recession by proposing an intuitive and easy-to-implement method to evaluate different exit strategies towards a traditional monetary context. This approach, useful for central bankers or researchers interested in the effects of tapering, allows us to evaluate the consequences of a given monetary policy path on the future evolution of key macroeconomic indicators. The results based on this methodology provide a measurement of the differences in economic performance under contractionary and expansionary policies and support the recent success of monetary stimuli in boosting real indicators while having little effect on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 460-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:460-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebecca Hartje Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Hartje Author-Name: Michael Hübler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hübler Title: Smartphones support smart labour Abstract: Besides enabling communication, smartphones support information flows and financial transactions, especially in developing countries, where the coverage of landline networks is limited. Drawing upon new data of rural households in the Mekong region, this article finds that smartphone ownership increases labour mobility measured as the number of commuters whereas it seems to discourage the emigration of workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-471 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:467-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hélène Syed Zwick Author-X-Name-First: Hélène Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Zwick Author-Name: S. Ali Shah Syed Author-X-Name-First: S. Ali Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Title: The polarization impact of the crisis on the Eurozone labour markets: a hierarchical cluster analysis Abstract: This study assesses the impact of the Great Recession (2008–2014) on the process of integration of the Eurozone labour markets. Through an agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis using several European labour market harmonized indicators, we find that the crisis led to a greater integration, and to a polarization within the area. In the aftermath of crisis, two groups of countries clearly emerged, consisting Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg and Netherlands in the core while Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain in the periphery. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 472-476 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:472-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Brachert Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Brachert Author-Name: Walter Hyll Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Hyll Author-Name: Mirko Titze Author-X-Name-First: Mirko Author-X-Name-Last: Titze Title: On the simultaneity bias in the relationship between risk attitudes, entry into entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial survival Abstract: We consider the simultaneity bias when examining the effect of individual risk attitudes on entrepreneurship. We demonstrate that entry into self-employment is related to changes in risk attitudes. We further show that these changes are correlated with the probability to remain in entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adem Y. Elveren Author-X-Name-First: Adem Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Elveren Author-Name: Christa Marr Author-X-Name-First: Christa Author-X-Name-Last: Marr Author-Name: Yvonne Renard Author-X-Name-First: Yvonne Author-X-Name-Last: Renard Title: Feminization of labour and profit rates: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: The article examines the effect of the feminization of labour on profit rates and capacity utilization by employing an indirect and two-stage least squares models for 21 OECD countries during the 1970–2008 period. Findings show that higher women’s labour force participation rates and gender wage gap lead to higher profit rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1203057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1203057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Á. Acedo-Ramírez Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Á. Author-X-Name-Last: Acedo-Ramírez Author-Name: Francisco J. Ruiz-Cabestre Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz-Cabestre Title: IPO characteristics and underprincing in the Alternative Investment Market Abstract: This study contributes to broadening knowledge concerning the underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) in second markets. In particular, we analyse the price formation process of IPOs on the first trading day for a sample of 567 IPOs placed in the London’s Alternative Investment Market. Our findings, after stating that underpricing is significantly positive, show that price variation, observed through the underpricing variable, is related to several offer-specific characteristics, such as subscription proportion, offering price and share adjustment. Underpricing is also related to several control variables (offering size, previous IPO number and previous market return). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-489 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:485-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: TsingZai C. Wu Author-X-Name-First: TsingZai C. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Wan Ting Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wan Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Chun Chan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chun Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hsin Ti Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsin Ti Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: Value relevance of financial statements in convergence with IFRS: analyses in the abnormal pricing error method Abstract: We use an econometrically distinct method to test whether the value relevance of financial statements, especially during convergence with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), has improved in Taiwanese firms in 1990–2011. In contrast to a prior study, our results show that given transformation between two high-quality accounting standards, convergence with IFRS will not lead to further increases in value relevance of financial statements. Our findings may provide implications for international standard-setters and regulators, especially countries undecided about adopting or converging with IFRS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 490-493 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:490-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Chen Chou Author-X-Name-First: Li-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Chung-Yuan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: The influence of Internet on politics: the impact of Facebook and the Internet penetration on elections in Taiwan Abstract: Previous research on elections indicates that the rise of social media has had a positive impact on political participation and political interest, resulting in more voters going to the polls. However, there has been no research on the impact that social media have on bringing about a change in government. This research investigates the impact that the Internet and the Chinese version of Facebook have had on election results in Taiwan from 2001 to 2016. The findings indicate that after the Chinese version of Facebook appeared in 2008, the higher the penetration rate of the Internet in the Taiwan region, the more likely that political power will change hands and the ruling party will lose an election. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 494-497 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:494-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Noth Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Noth Author-Name: Lena Tonzer Author-X-Name-First: Lena Author-X-Name-Last: Tonzer Title: Bank risk proxies and the crisis of 2007/09: a comparison Abstract: The global financial crisis has again shown that it is important to understand the emergence and measurement of risks in the banking sector. However, there is no consensus in the literature which risk proxy works best at the level of the individual bank. A commonly used measure in applied work is the Z-score, which might suffer from calculation issues given poor data quality. Motivated by the variety of bank risk proxies, our analysis reveals that nonperforming assets are a well-suited complement to the Z-score in studies of bank risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 498-501 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:498-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Kostenko Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kostenko Author-Name: V. M. Kuznichenko Author-X-Name-First: V. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kuznichenko Author-Name: V. I. Lapshyn Author-X-Name-First: V. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Lapshyn Title: Deficit model of exchange for continuous processes with external control Abstract: A method of constructing a deficit-having model of exchange based on the Markov chain theory for continuous processes with external control is developed, for which the results of the continuous and discrete models are identical. Continuous models allow us to study and predict exchange processes at any moment in time. The deficit model assumes that in the exchange process, when a stationary regime is achieved, those involved have a nonzero balance. The model allows us to determine the external force (control – the actions of the administration) for the realization processes of a specific exchange programme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 502-505 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:502-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcel Schröder Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Schröder Title: The equilibrium real exchange rate and macroeconomic performance in developing countries Abstract: This article presents first estimates of the growth impact of the equilibrium real exchange rate (ERER) for a sample of 63 developing countries over 1970–2007. The results suggest that real exchange rate misalignment, not the level of the ERER, matters for macroeconomic performance in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 506-509 Issue: 7 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1205718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1205718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:7:p:506-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Ying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Overpayment to directors and future operating performance Abstract: This article derives the predicted excess compensation from corporate governance variables and explores the impact of director excessive compensation on future operating performance. By using the data in Taiwan as the research samples, this article finds that overpayment to directors will decrease the future operating performance of the firm. The results are consistent, regardless of analysing in the form of fixed compensation or performance-based compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: The Brexit effect: the case of UK ADR performance one year later Abstract: In an unexpected outcome, UK voters decided that it was time to exit the European Union based on the results of a vote held on 23 June 2016. Studies of the affects and implication of Brexit include a study showing that the vote was met with a negative short-term wealth effect for UK American depository receipts (ADRs). This study examines the one-year anniversary holding period returns of these ADRs along with the British Pound and the FTSE 100 to discover any lingering effects from the historical vote. Results indicate that the one-year holding period returns for the ADRs averaged 5.8% for the year while the FTSE gained 4.8%, the S&P 500 gained 15.4% and the Pound lost 13.2% of its value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:5-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Effects of financial constraints on export performance of firms during the global financial crisis: microeconomic evidence from Korea Abstract: This study uses a manufacturing firm-level panel data set of South Korea for 2006–2013 to investigate the effect of financial constraints on the export performance of firms, with particular emphasis on the corporate ownership structure. The empirical results show that foreign multinational corporation (MNC) subsidiaries are not affected by financial constraint during both crisis and noncrisis periods, implying advantages of foreign ownership. However, domestic firms suffer more from financial constraints on exports during crisis years. In particular, domestic firms without parent firms are financially constrained during both crisis and noncrisis periods. However, those with parent firms do not experience financial constraints during noncrisis periods, although they too suffer from them during crisis periods. Thus, parent–subsidiary linkage among domestic firms plays an important role in alleviating financial constraints on export activity in noncrisis years but not as much during crisis years. Therefore, domestic parent firms exhibit less resilience to the global financial crisis, in comparison to foreign MNC parent firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 10-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1430346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:10-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Candelaria Barrios Author-X-Name-First: Candelaria Author-X-Name-Last: Barrios Author-Name: Esther Flores Author-X-Name-First: Esther Author-X-Name-Last: Flores Author-Name: M. Ángeles Martínez Author-X-Name-First: M. Ángeles Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez Title: Convergence clubs in Latin America Abstract: The aim of this work is to identify convergence clubs in 17 Latin American countries in terms of GDP per capita during the period 1990–2014. To do this, we apply the methodology developed by Phillips-Sul in order to identify the different convergence clubs on the path of growth in the Latin American economy over this period. The empirical results strongly support the existence of convergence clubs, indicating that the Latin American economy consists of four groups, each converging towards its own steady-state path, with two countries being divergent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 16-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1433288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1433288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:16-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra Achten Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Achten Author-Name: Lars Beyer Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Beyer Author-Name: Antje-Mareike Dietrich Author-X-Name-First: Antje-Mareike Author-X-Name-Last: Dietrich Author-Name: Dennis Ebeling Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Ebeling Author-Name: Christian Lessmann Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Lessmann Author-Name: Arne Steinkraus Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Steinkraus Title: Large scale infrastructure investment and economic performance – a case study of Oresund Abstract: We analyse the effect of a large scale infrastructure investment, namely the construction of the Oresund bridge, on the local and supra-regional economy. We employ the synthetic control method to construct counterfactual regions that mimic the trajectory of Malmo and Southern Sweden without treatment. Our results point to a positive effect. However, placebo tests in space and time only reveal statistical significance at a larger regional level. The results suggest that spillover effects are eminent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1433289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1433289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katherine A. Smith Author-X-Name-First: Katherine A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: What can Islamic financing tell us about macro-prudential policies? Abstract: Macro-prudential policies are theoretically effective at mitigating a debt deflation crisis by forcing individuals to internalize their impact on aggregate prices reducing systemic risk caused by pecuniary externalities. To better understand the potential effectiveness of a macro-prudential time varying tax/subsidy on debt/dividends, we empirically estimate the impact of an Islamic financing presence on financial crises. Adherence to Islamic financing principles for a nontrivial portion of a country’s population has similar impacts to a macro-prudential policy in that these limited asset holders are likely to hold less debt or use debt-like instruments rather than conventional debt, driving down their marginal rate of substitution and the price of equity in equilibrium. To empirically estimate the effects of this policy, we interact an Islamic financing variable with debt in an otherwise standard model of financial crises. The results show that this macro-prudential-like policy decreases the likelihood of a banking crisis by 50%. The contribution of the article is twofold. First, we show that an Islamic finance presence encourages precautionary savings like a macro-prudential policy. Second, using an Islamic finance presence to capture macro-prudential potential effects, we find empirically that the likelihood of banking crises are cut roughly by half when such policies are in effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1433290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1433290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:27-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aliaa Bassiouny Author-X-Name-First: Aliaa Author-X-Name-Last: Bassiouny Author-Name: Eskandar Tooma Author-X-Name-First: Eskandar Author-X-Name-Last: Tooma Title: Extracting shadow exchange rates and foreign exchange premia during currency crises: an example from Egypt Abstract: We utilize high-frequency data and a novel synchronous trade-matching algorithm to show that shadow exchange rates could be estimated from price spreads between depositary receipts and their underlying local stocks using an example of the recent Egyptian currency crisis. These shadow rates reflect the local black market foreign exchange rates in addition to a foreign exchange premium, which we attribute to the cost of expatriating capital during currency and capital control periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 32-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1433291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1433291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:32-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Eva Janssens Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Janssens Title: Spurious principal components Abstract: The principal component regression (PCR) is often used to forecast macroeconomic variables when there are many predictors. In this letter, we argue that it makes sense to pre-whiten the predictors before including these in a PCR. With simulation experiments, we show that without such pre-whitening, spurious principal components can appear and that these can become spuriously significant in a PCR. With an illustration to annual inflation rates for five African countries, we show that non-spurious principal components can be genuinely relevant in empirical forecasting models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1433292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1433292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suguru Tamura Author-X-Name-First: Suguru Author-X-Name-Last: Tamura Title: Technological character, function type, and the longevity of standardized knowledge Abstract: This study seeks to determine the validity of the current de jure standards management system. The de jure standard is an important tool for innovation policy. However, its review interval has been fixed in the management system and maintained without the use of empirical analysis to guide its development. Therefore, this study (1) examines the factors that affect the longevity of the standards, and (2) outlines methods for improving how the de jure standards are managed. Results indicate that design and mark standards influence the longevity of standardized knowledge. This is notable, given that design for innovation is an emerging area of research that is commonly studied through the analysis of design patent data. Taken together, this study’s major findings are twofold. First, different technological categories have significantly different effects on longevity. Because the longevity of some technological sectors is naturally longer than others, there exists a need for a more flexible interval system. Second, the longevity of the mark and design standard is longer than the longevity of other types of standards. Both developing and developed countries utilize the de jure standard, so the policy implications of these findings are widely applicable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 40-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1436140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1436140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:40-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Kaimann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kaimann Author-Name: Britta Hoyer Author-X-Name-First: Britta Author-X-Name-Last: Hoyer Title: Price competition and the Bertrand model: the paradox of the German mobile discount market Abstract: We investigate the degree of price competition among telecommunication firms. Underlying a Bertrand model of price competition, we empirically model pricing behaviour in an oligopoly. We analyse panel data of individual pricing information of mobile phone contracts offered between 2011 and 2017. We provide empirical evidence that price differences as well as reputational effects serve as a signal to buyers and significantly affect market demand. Additionally, we find that brands lead to an increase in demand and thus are able to generate spillover effects even after price increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 54-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1436141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1436141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:54-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Golo-Friedrich Bauermeister Author-X-Name-First: Golo-Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Bauermeister Author-Name: Oliver Mußhoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Mußhoff Title: Multiple switching behaviour in different display formats of multiple price lists Abstract: A common approach to elicit risk attitude is the multiple price list with a series of binary choices. However, a frequently observed problem when using multiple price lists is that participants switch more than once from the safer to the riskier option, thus exhibiting multiple switching behaviour. The present study analyses whether the visualization of different multiple price lists reduce multiple switching behaviour. Therefore, we conduct two types of multiple price lists in two different display formats. Participants are randomly assigned into a textual or a visual group and carry out both multiple price lists in the corresponding display format. Our results reveal that different types of multiple price lists lead to differences in the extent of multiple switching behaviour. Moreover, we show that the visualization of a multiple price list can be an instrument to greatly reduce multiple switching behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 58-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:58-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiyu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Zixiang Ma Author-X-Name-First: Zixiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Expanded BSADF test in the presence of breaks in time trend – a further analysis on the recent bubble phenomenon in China’s stock market Abstract: Under the framework of time trend breaks, the popular BSADF (backward Sup-ADF) test easily misidentifies the bubble processes. As an extending analysis, we construct a t-statistic to further identify the data feature of the detected bubble periods in BSADF test. For the sake of application, we examine the bubble phenomenon related to recent stock market activity in China. We find that a bubble period estimated by the BSADF test is spurious; the rapid rise of stock market on this period is driven by trend changes and has a solid foundation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 64-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:64-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Dongwon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kyungkeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyungkeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Asymmetric stabilizing impact of international reserves Abstract: This article studies international reserves’ nominal exchange rate stabilizing impact in emerging markets and developing countries, with a particular focus on its nonlinearity and asymmetry across different states of the economy. Using the fixed-effects and dynamic panel threshold models, we find the reserves to short-term debt threshold ratio after which the marginal stabilizing effect of reserves begins to fall during tranquil times. Such diminishing returns, however, do not appear to exist even at the excessive level of reserves during the global financial crisis, partly justifying precautionary demand for international reserves. These results call for extending reserve pooling or swap arrangements to enhance efficiency of reserve management by holding adequate, rather than excess, international reserves with an access to emergency lending during the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-73 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:69-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Dynamic connectedness network in economic policy uncertainties Abstract: This study investigates the dynamic connectedness across nine economic policy uncertainty indexes. Our results indicate that the total spillover index is on average 67.4%, indicating a high level of interconnectedness across the nine indexes. In particular, the EU is the largest transmitter of uncertainty connectedness. In addition, China becomes a net transmitter of connectedness during the global financial crisis and European debt crisis. This finding indicates that the uncertainty of Chinese economic policy is an important contributor to the connectedness of the uncertainty network. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 74-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:74-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Paul Kelleher Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Kelleher Author-Name: Gernot Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Gernot Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Ramsey discounting calls for subtracting climate damages from economic growth rates Abstract: The Ramsey equation ties the utility discount rate and the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption together with per capita consumption growth rates to calculate consumption discount rates. For many applications, per capita consumption growth rates can be approximated with per capita output growth rates. That approximation does not work for climate change, which drives an ever-increasing and increasingly uncertain wedge between output and consumption growth. NAS (2017), in a central recommendation and illustrative example, conflates the two. The correct, consumption-based discounting method generally decreases consumption discount rates and, thus, increases the resulting Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide (SC-CO2). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 1 Volume: 26 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1438581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2018.1438581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:1:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umer Iqbal Author-X-Name-First: Umer Author-X-Name-Last: Iqbal Author-Name: Christopher Gan Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Author-Name: Muhammad Nadeem Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Nadeem Title: Economic policy uncertainty and firm performance Abstract: This study examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm performance of the US-listed non-financial firms. Using four proxies of firm performance such as Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Net Profit Margin and Tobin’s Q, we find that the effect of EPU on firm performance is significant and negative on all four proxies. System-GMM estimation is used to address the problem of endogeneity because unreported results show the presence of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in OLS and fixed effect estimations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-770 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:765-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Cappelli Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cappelli Author-Name: Fabio Montobbio Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Montobbio Title: Geographical distance puzzle in patent citations: intensive versus extensive margins Abstract: This paper explores the effects of geographical distance on knowledge spillovers through patent citations across 270 European regions. Despite decreasing transport and communication costs, geographical distance effects are strong and not decreasing. To address this distance puzzle, we distinguish between the extensive margin (the number of cited technologies) and the intensive margin (the average number of citations per technology) of patent citation flows. We confirm an increasing distance effect on knowledge flows at the extensive margin. We show it is compatible with decreasing transport and communication costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-777 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:771-777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoyi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chaoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Michael Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Author-Name: Thanasis Stengos Author-X-Name-First: Thanasis Author-X-Name-Last: Stengos Title: Re-examining the asymmetric gasoline pricing mechanism in EU: a note on a panel threshold analysis Abstract: We employ a pooled panel threshold model within an error correction framework to re-investigate the ‘rockets and feathers’ hypothesis. The empirical results confirm the superiority of the threshold model compared to the baseline linear specifications, while attributing the asymmetric gasoline adjustment mechanism to Exchange Rate Pass Through (ERPT). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 778-783 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:778-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Daglis Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Daglis Author-Name: Konstantinos N. Konstantakis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos N. Author-X-Name-Last: Konstantakis Author-Name: Panayotis G. Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis G. Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Title: Can solar and geomagnetic data help to predict French telecommunications’ output (2000–2014)? Abstract: We examine the impact of solar and geomagnetic events on Earth’s economic activity, and more precisely on the French telecommunications’ sector, in the 2000–2014 time span. We find that the sunspot number and the Dst index have predictive and forecasting ability on the evolution of the French telecommunications’ output. These results give credit to the impact of solar and geomagnetic events on the telecommunications’ industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 784-788 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:784-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naijing Huang Author-X-Name-First: Naijing Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Naixin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Naixin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yicheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: US economic policy uncertainty on Chinese economy: industry level analysis Abstract: This paper uses both Chinese aggregate and dis-aggregate level data to investigate the transmission mechanisms of spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the Chinese macroeconomy activities. We find that different industries of China respond quite differently by using quasi-exogenous variation across industries. More specifically, increasing uncertainty reduces the Chinese stock market return, especially those industries closely connected to the US investors. FDI in China is positively associated with increased US policy uncertainties, and industries intensively depending on foreign investment would be affected more. Lastly, the export from China to US would decrease, and industries whose exports heavily relying on the US market would drop more in response to increases in the US policy uncertainties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-802 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1645942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:789-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heeick Choi Author-X-Name-First: Heeick Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Hyung Tae (Ted) Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyung Tae (Ted) Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Seung Won Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seung Won Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Songtao Mo Author-X-Name-First: Songtao Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Title: The effects of SFAS-123R on corporate investment Abstract: This study examines the effects of mandatory expensing of stock options on corporate investment after the passage of SFAS-123R. First, we find an increase in corporate investment such as R&D investment and capital expenditure in the post-SFAS-123R period. Second, we find that stock-based compensation such as stock option compensation and restricted stock in the post-SFAS-123R period is positively related to investment. Our findings suggest that SFAS-123R discourages the opportunistic use of stock option compensation. The use of option compensation in the post-SFAS-123R era appears to encourage managers to pursue more long-term investment, which suggests that the SFAS-123R has had positive consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-809 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:803-809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Yongjun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yongjun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Revisiting the time-varying credit rating policy: a new test of procyclicality Abstract: This article investigates whether agencies’ rating policy varies over macroeconomic cycle. We develop a novel two-stage estimation procedure to find that the rating policy becomes more strict after economic downturn than expansion, consistent with theoretical predictions. Moreover, from the horse race between various macroeconomic indicators, we find that the default spread serves as the strongest indicator for the time variation of rating standard. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 810-815 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:810-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Conner Falke Author-X-Name-First: Conner Author-X-Name-Last: Falke Author-Name: David J.G. Slusky Author-X-Name-First: David J.G. Author-X-Name-Last: Slusky Title: Children’s health and income: evolution of the gradient Abstract: This paper extends previous measurements of the children’s income-health gradient through 2015. We first replicate findings about the steepness of the gradient from 1986 to 2005. We then find that since 2005, the health gradient between children in low-income families and high-income families has flattened, but it still steepens with age. We also show that overall children’s health has improved since 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 816-822 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646396 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:816-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hangtian Xu Author-X-Name-First: Hangtian Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Hidekazu Itoh Author-X-Name-First: Hidekazu Author-X-Name-Last: Itoh Title: Path dependence in port choice: some quasi-experimental evidence Abstract: This study analyzes the port choice dynamics of Japanese container shippers before and after the 1995 Great Hanshin earthquake, which destroyed Japan’s largest port. We find that the earthquake disintegrated some transportation networks that had initially been maintained because of path dependence. At the same time, it led to establishing a new path dependence. They jointly explain why the negative impact of the earthquake on the damaged port is persistent rather than temporary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-830 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:823-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Measuring the degree of persistence in the U.S. economic policy uncertainty index Abstract: Researchers utilizing the U.S economic policy uncertainty index and its sub-categories need to be cognizant of the unique persistence profile of each index. We use fractional integration techniques to estimate the degree of persistence in the U.S. economic policy uncertainty index and its 11 sub-categories. The results indicate the estimated values of the differencing parameter, d, are in the interval (0, 1) supporting fractional integration and rejecting the classical models based on stationarity (d = 0) or unit roots (d = 1). Though there is a fair amount of heterogeneity across indices, shocks will be persistent, but mean reverting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-835 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:831-835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jing Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Do the poor elderly benefit more than the non-poor elderly from growth? evidence from urban China Abstract: This paper evaluates whether the poor elderly benefited more than the non-poor elderly from growth in urban China between 2005 and 2015. The results show that although elderly income in urban China has increased overall, the poor elderly benefited less than the non-poor elderly. Growth is absolutely pro-poor but not relatively pro-poor, which has slowed the process of poverty reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 836-840 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:836-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haifei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haifei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Kai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Dongxin Li Author-X-Name-First: Dongxin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yixuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yixuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Fund Managers’ Association Networks, Information Sharing and Fund Performance Abstract: This article studied the social network of fund managers based on their historical working relationships, and investigated how these relations influenced their information sharing as well as the fund performance. We found that (i) An investment portfolio with a high degree of information sharing had a high average return and Sharpe ratio. (ii) Fund managers’ degree of centrality in social networks had a significant positive effect on their information sharing and trading behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-847 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:841-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Velilla Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Velilla Title: Testing the sharing rule in a collective model of discrete labor supply with Spanish data Abstract: This paper estimates a collective model of discrete labor supply, using data from the Spanish Survey of Household Finances. The model allows identifying a sharing rule of household income. Then, it is used unique information for unemployed wives about intrahousehold transfers to estimate its accuracy. Results show that husbands’ hours of work are conditional on wives’ decisions, which mainly depend on non-labour income. Despite data availability, predicted sharing rules fit the data qualitatively well, and are mainly driven by wives’ potential income. Husbands show low levels of altruism, and non-participation appears to be especially detrimental for wives with high potential income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 848-853 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:848-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The effects of population size and age structure on innovative output: an empirical note Abstract: This note examines the effects of population size and age structure on innovative output. Employing panel data for 22 countries over the period from 1996 to 2015, it is found that population size has no statistically significant effect on innovative output. In contrast, changes in the age structure of the population are significantly associated with changes in innovative activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 854-858 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:854-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Calvin Blackwell Author-X-Name-First: Calvin Author-X-Name-Last: Blackwell Author-Name: Russell S. Sobel Author-X-Name-First: Russell S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobel Title: The efficiency impact of uncertain taxes: an experimental study Abstract: Uncertainty is generally assumed to have negative economic effects, but they are difficult to quantify due to measurement and definitional issues in the real world. We use a carefully controlled laboratory experiment to examine policy uncertainty and its impact on economic efficiency. We employ a double-auction design and compare the efficiency of a market with a known tax to that of a risky tax (of known probability) and an uncertain tax (of unknown probability). We find that the uncertain tax generates more deadweight loss than a risky tax of equal expected value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-872 Issue: 10 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:859-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Hong Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Naiwei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Naiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: New evidence on breaking trend functions in real GDPs from Great China Economic Area Abstract: This article explores the difference in the time series property of economic output for the Great China Economic Area (GCEA) (Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan). Using the powerful Kim and Perron (2009) unit root test and real GDPs over the period 1992–2014 as the study sample, results indicate the presence of a break for all economies that corresponds to the Asian financial crisis. Additionally, allowing for a break leads to the rejection of the unit root hypothesis for Taiwan only. Important implications are provided. First, considering the presence of a break in testing for nonstationarity is important or false conclusions can be drawn. Second, given the stationarity of GDP found for Taiwan only, investors should look beyond any local economic shocks and focus more on world economy development when investing in Taiwan. By contrast, investors in Mainland China and Hong Kong should pay attention to any shock because it is likely to be persistent. Third, relevant authorities should recognize that any government policy intended to promote long-run economic growth may be ineffective in Taiwan whereas it can be more effective in Mainland China and Hong Kong. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subrata Kumar Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Manojit Chattopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Manojit Author-X-Name-Last: Chattopadhyay Author-Name: Parikshit Charan Author-X-Name-First: Parikshit Author-X-Name-Last: Charan Author-Name: Jaslene Bawa Author-X-Name-First: Jaslene Author-X-Name-Last: Bawa Title: Identifying periods of market inefficiency for return predictability Abstract: The article examines the efficiency of 31 stock index series spanning 26 countries across the world, using generalized spectral test (GST) and detects departure from the martingale difference hypothesis (MDH). A moving window of 24 months was used and p-values of GST were estimated. In order to explore whether the departure from market efficiency can be used for generating profitable trades, an exponentially weighted-moving-average-based trading rule was applied and was found that average profits per trade were significantly higher when p-value of the GST was less than 0.1. These observations are in consistent with the adapted market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 668-671 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1218424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1218424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:668-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus P. A. Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Markus P. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Author-Name: Stephen Kinsella Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Kinsella Author-Name: Antoine Godin Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Godin Title: Redistribution in the age of austerity: evidence from Europe 2006–2013 Abstract: We examine the relationship between changes in a country’s public sector fiscal position on inequality at the top and bottom of the income distribution during the age of austerity from 2006 to 2013. We use a parametric Lorenz curve model and Gini-like indices of inequality as our measures to assess distributional changes. Based on Statistics of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) and IMF data for 12 European countries, we find that more severe adjustments to the cyclically adjusted primary balance (i.e., more austerity) are associated with a more unequal distribution of income driven by rising inequality at the top. The data also weakly suggests a decrease in inequality at the bottom. The distributional impact of austerity measures reflects the reliance on regressive policies and likely produces increased incentives for rent-seeking while reducing incentives for workers to increase productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 672-676 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:672-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taeyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hongkyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hongkyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Which country uses public social expenditure efficiently among OECD countries? Abstract: In this study, we estimate the efficiency of public social expenditure and examine what exogenous factors affect the efficiency for OECD countries. In doing so, we use the Stochastic Frontier Model. Our findings suggest the following. First, public social expenditure related to unemployment and family as well as tax burden ratio significantly reduce income inequality. Second, corruption affects the efficiency of public social expenditure. This implies that even though two countries incur the same public social expenditure, a country with a low corruption index has higher efficiency of public social expenditure than that with a high corruption index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:677-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng-Jui Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Feng-Jui Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: I-Chien Liu Author-X-Name-First: I-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Quantitative easing and default probability of corporate social responsibility in US Abstract: The US Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing (QE) policies lowered the cost of servicing corporate debt and enhanced firms’ ability to borrow. This article seeks to improve the accuracy of default probability calculations as proposed by Merton (1974) under conditions of lower interest rates resulting from QE. By modifying the long-term debt ratio, we find distance to default is undervalued. Specifically, we find that the distance to default is more stably for firms with excellent corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance, but those with poor CSR performance are significantly undervalued. Our results show that improved CSR performance correctly estimates the firm’s default risk, even during QE when the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expanded by nearly $4.5 trillion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-685 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:681-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Heng Li Author-X-Name-First: Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Guowei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Guowei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Environmental disclosure as a proactive tool to intra-industry market reaction in China Abstract: This article examines the intra-industry market reaction to successive environmental accidents associated with Sinopec and PetroChina in China. Evidence indicates that a significantly negative intra-industry reaction occurred after these accidents. Furthermore, intra-industry firms with ex-ante environmental disclosures experienced a less negative reaction after successive accidents. Specifically, the mitigating effect of ex-ante environmental disclosures has certain extent of time delay, which differs from the immediate impact of ex-ante environmental disclosure within the context of developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 686-689 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:686-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Author-Name: Ziya Asgarov Author-X-Name-First: Ziya Author-X-Name-Last: Asgarov Author-Name: Ayaz Guliyev Author-X-Name-First: Ayaz Author-X-Name-Last: Guliyev Author-Name: Toghrul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Toghrul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Yuliya Kalinina Author-X-Name-First: Yuliya Author-X-Name-Last: Kalinina Author-Name: Zakir Pashayev Author-X-Name-First: Zakir Author-X-Name-Last: Pashayev Title: Capital structure and value of reported earnings: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: This article documents a nonlinear impact of capital structure on the value of reported earnings in India during the period between 2009 and 2015. Our results show that earnings reported by firms with moderate level of debt are more valuable than earnings reported by firms with low or high level of debt. Our results are robust across various proxies of capital structure and across various sub-samples. This article argues that moderate level of debt is associated with low-agency problems, while low and high level of debt is synonymous to high-agency problems. Differences in agency problems result in reported earnings that have very different levels of relevance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 690-694 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:690-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suryadipta Roy Author-X-Name-First: Suryadipta Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Does time difference between countries reduce bilateral trade? An application of the correlated random effects method using panel data Abstract: This article implements the correlated random effects (CRE) panel data technique in a gravity framework to analyse the effect of time difference between countries on bilateral trade. One major advantage of the CRE approach over the fixed-effects approach is that it is able to estimate the effect of variables that remain unchanged within panel clusters (e.g. time difference between countries), while these variables get dropped from regressions that use fixed-effects methods. Regression results based on the CRE Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator indicate statistically significant negative effect of time difference between countries on bilateral trade. An additional hour of time difference between countries is found to reduce bilateral merchandise exports by approximately 8%, even after controlling for the effect of distance in the regressions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1221037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1221037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang B. Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sang B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Sehoon Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Sehoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Jeongsun Yun Author-X-Name-First: Jeongsun Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Title: The effects of policy funds on the financing constraints of small- and medium-sized enterprises in South Korea Abstract: This study investigates whether small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) policy funds in South Korea are effective in reducing financing constraints faced by the SMEs. We find that investment-cash flow sensitivity decreases after public loans are granted, and furthermore that this decrease in the sensitivity is greater for younger and smaller firms. These results are consistent with the certification effects hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-702 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:699-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Behar Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Behar Title: Comparing the employment-output elasticities of migrants and nationals: the case of the Gulf Cooperation Council Abstract: Many countries have large or increasing migrant populations. We estimate the elasticity of private-sector employment to nonoil GDP for nationals and migrants using a Seemingly Unrelated Error Correction (SUREC) model. We use data from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, which have a particularly large share of foreign workers. Our results indicate that the employment response is statistically significantly lower for nationals, who have an estimated short-run elasticity of only 0.15 and a long-run response of 0.7, than for migrants, where the short- and long-run elasticities are 0.35 and almost unity. Lower elasticities could signal higher labour market adjustment costs. In the context of low oil prices, forecasts imply a significant jobs shortfall for nationals in the coming years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-707 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:703-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoqing Ye Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Xiangjun Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xiangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Estimating three-dimensional nonlinear panel data models with interactive effects Abstract: This article considers two three-step estimation approaches to three-dimensional nonlinear panel data models with interactive effects correlated with the independent variables. We propose a Nonlinear Least Squares-Principal Component Analysis-Grid Search iterated approach to estimate the static model, and a GMM-PCA-GS iterated method to the dynamic model. Monte Carlo experiments examine the finite sample performance of the methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 708-712 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:708-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Estimating the trend in US real GDP using the trend filtering Abstract: Using non-Gaussian state-space models, Perron and Wada (2009, Journal of Monetary Economics, 56, 749–765) obtained a nearly piecewise linear trend estimate of US real gross domestic product such that its slope changed around 1973. Such a trend may be regarded as a result of occasional permanent shocks to the growth rate. This article shows that the $${\ell _1}$$ℓ1 trend filtering, which is quite similar to the Hodrick–Prescott filtering and is a type of the recently popular lasso regression, yields almost the same trend estimate, and discusses the reason why this occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-716 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:713-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makram El-Shagi Author-X-Name-First: Makram Author-X-Name-Last: El-Shagi Author-Name: Logan J. Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Logan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: For they know not what they do: an analysis of monetary policy during the Great Moderation Abstract: In this article, we develop an empirical framework to show the importance of money during the Great Moderation, while accounting for the fact that monetary policy was exclusively conducted through interest rates. We estimate the impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition derived from a structural VAR with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator–based lag selection. The variance decomposition suggests that a substantial component of macroeconomic variation has been driven by shocks to the money market, which were not only unintended by the Federal Reserve, but worse passed unnoticed allowing those shocks to accumulate over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-721 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:717-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Vittorio Pelligra Author-X-Name-First: Vittorio Author-X-Name-Last: Pelligra Author-Name: Francesco Salustri Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Salustri Title: Testing for heterogeneity of preferences in randomized experiments: a satisfaction-based approach applied to multiplayer prisoners’ dilemmas Abstract: We use experimental data from the ‘vote with the wallet’ multiplayer prisoner’s dilemma to investigate with a finite mixture approach the effect of a responsible purchase on players’ satisfaction. We find clear-cut evidence of heterogeneity of preferences with two groups of players that differ significantly in terms of effects of the responsible choice on satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 722-726 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:722-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Axel Jochem Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Jochem Author-Name: Stefan Reitz Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Reitz Title: The role of global financial conditions for credit supply in EMU periphery countries Abstract: The article analyses the role of global financial conditions for credit supply and growth performance in individual member states of the European Monetary Union (EMU). In line with the risk-taking channel of monetary policy, we find that in the short run, the Fed and European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate policy compensate for changes in global risk assessment thereby supporting net private credit flows to the European periphery. However, in later periods, a worsened risk sentiment weighs on credit flows to these countries. In contrast, EMU core countries are generally less affected by global financial shocks. This asymmetric influence of global conditions on EMU member states are smoothed by the uniform access of commercial banks to the Eurosystem’s open market operations in conjunction with the redistribution of liquidity via the TARGET mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-731 Issue: 10 Volume: 24 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1223815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:10:p:727-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Great recession and the informational shifts: new evidence from sticky information Phillips curve Abstract: We utilize the nonlinear least squares (NLLS) and seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) techniques to estimate information stickiness parameter λ for the USA. We find that λ values appeared in a somewhat humped shape or inverted U pattern during the financial crisis. Prior to the financial crisis (1978.Q1-2006.Q4), λ was around 0.3. However, when the sample is extended to include the financial crisis period (1978.Q1-2011.Q4), λ increased to around 0.6. Results imply that during the financial crisis many firms became flexible and efficient and used updated information to set optimal prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1602704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1602704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Belazreg Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Belazreg Author-Name: Kais Mtar Author-X-Name-First: Kais Author-X-Name-Last: Mtar Title: Modelling the causal linkages between trade openness, innovation, financial development and economic growth in OECD Countries Abstract: Using a panel vector auto-regressive model, we study interactions between trade openness, innovation, financial development, and economic growth in 27 OECD countries between 2001–2016. We focus on four-way linkage between these variables. Our empirical results show that there is a neutral relationship between economic growth and innovation, between innovation and financial development and between innovation and trade. Similarly, we have found a unidirectional relationship between economic growth and financial development and between financial development and trade. Finally, our results show a bidirectional relationship between economic growth and trade. Our empirical results show that among all, policy-makers need to invest more in human capital both in terms of developing entrepreneurial skills and education as well as creating better conditions for the development of creativity in the economy in order to improve national absorptive capabilities and develop the innovation potential of their economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-8 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1605581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1605581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:5-8 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dengjun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dengjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yifan Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Synergistic effects of in-house and contracted R&D on export performance: evidence from China Abstract: We explored the synergistic benefits between internal and external R&D investments and between R&D and new products to export performance. The empirical results confirm the synergistic effects of innovation activities on export propensity but not on export intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1605582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1605582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:9-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos F. Alves Author-X-Name-First: Carlos F. Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Author-Name: Duarte A. Reis Author-X-Name-First: Duarte A. Author-X-Name-Last: Reis Title: Exposition of evidence for idiosyncratic versus induced seasonality in ETF performance Abstract: An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a marketable security that tracks a stock index, a commodity, bonds, or a basket of assets. Therefore, returns of ETFs that track a benchmark index portfolio should mimic the returns of their benchmark indexes. If a benchmark index’s performance exhibits a seasonal pattern, then the performance of its associated ETF should replicate that pattern. This type of ETF performance seasonality is induced by trends in the market of securities in the benchmark index portfolio. Any other seasonality can be considered to be idiosyncratic. Based on a sample of 148 ETFs listed in NYSE Arca, this article provides evidence of a half-year effect (higher performance in the first half-year), a quarter effect (outperformance of the second quarter and underperformance of the fourth quarter), and month within the quarter effect (higher and lower performance in the first and third months of each quarter, respectively). Additionally, superior and inferior performance were observed in April and December, respectively. These seasonal patterns are not visible on benchmark indexes, with the exception of the unusually positive performance in April, which can be considered induced seasonality. The other effects, which cannot be attributed to underlying markets, are evidence of idiosyncratic seasonality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 14-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:14-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Doowon Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doowon Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Heejin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Vega-informed trading and options market reform Abstract: This study examines the effect of reform to the KOSPI200 options market on volatility trading. We find that the information quality of net volatility demand significantly changes after the reform. The overall options demand for volatility does not predict spot market volatility before the market reform, but it does so after the reform. The significant information content of volatility trading can be attributed to the vega-weighted net demand of institutional investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nagaraju Thota Author-X-Name-First: Nagaraju Author-X-Name-Last: Thota Title: Market reaction to banks revenue diversification strategy: evidence from India Abstract: This paper examines whether revenue diversification by banks is beneficial using data from India for the period 1995–2018. We use non-interest income to total income ratio as a measure of revenue diversification, and use market measures of returns and risk to evaluate the benefits. The results indicate that a higher share of non-interest income in total income leads to a higher market return and lowers the market risk. These results broadly remain the same even when we divide the sample into public (government owned) and private banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Wenxiu Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Using digital technology to improve financial inclusion in China Abstract: We investigate the channels through which financial inclusion can be achieved in China. The Partial Least Squares approach to Structural Equation Modelling is used to analyse the relationships among financial literacy, Internet usage, digital financial products usage, and financial inclusion. We show that Internet usage has no direct impact on financial inclusion. Rather, the direct impact comes from the level of financial literacy and the use of digital financial products, which are advanced by popularity of the Internet. Internet usage and digital financial products usage play a multiple mediation role between financial literacy and financial inclusion. We conclude that to achieve the goal of advancing financial inclusion, Chinese policymakers should improve the consumers’ financial literacy and promote the use of digital financial products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 30-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:30-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jia Lyu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Lyu Title: Measuring the innovation efficiency of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry based on a dynamic network DEA model Abstract: A dynamic network data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is employed for measuring the innovation efficiency of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry. The results show that the reason for innovation inefficiency in the Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry is the inefficiency of pure technology and scale, but pure technical inefficiency plays the main role. The contribution of knowledge innovation to innovation efficiency in the pharmaceutical industry is greater than that of commercialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:35-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel De La Fuente Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: De La Fuente Author-Name: Luis P. De La Horra Author-X-Name-First: Luis P. Author-X-Name-Last: De La Horra Author-Name: Javier Perote Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Perote Title: The demand for Divisia money in the United States: evidence from the CFS Divisia M3 aggregate Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the demand for real money balances in the United States for the period 1990Q1–2017Q2 using a novel Divisia monetary aggregate developed by Barnett et al. (2013). Unlike simple-sum aggregates, Divisia aggregates take into account the different degrees of ‘moneyness’ of each monetary asset. In addition, Divisia aggregates have shown to be empirically superior to simple-sum aggregates, providing stable money demand functions for different periods and countries. In a first stage, we test for cointegration and estimate a long-run equilibrium model. In a second stage, we estimate an error correction model to study the short-run dynamics. Consistent with previous research, our findings show the existence of a stable money demand function, which suggests that monetary aggregates, when properly measured, can be useful tools in the conduct of monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:41-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel L. Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Author-Name: Beatriz Maldonado Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Maldonado Title: Do foreign aid donors reward recipients for improving gender outcomes? Abstract: We investigate whether developing nations are rewarded by donor countries and multilateral aid organizations for improving women’s outcomes. If donors reallocate accordingly, their decisions could incentivize developing countries to improve gender outcomes on their own. Using dyadic aid flows over the period 1991–2010, we document that improvements in women’s political rights and participation, as well as economic participation, are associated with increases in bilateral aid receipts. Despite their stated emphasis on women, we do not observe similar reallocations in aid by many multilateral organizations in response to gender outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 46-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:46-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ewa Cieślik Author-X-Name-First: Ewa Author-X-Name-Last: Cieślik Title: Shifting from the EU’s production networks? Electronics industry exports of Central and Eastern Europe Abstract: This article presents the CEE countries’ connections to production networks in electronics industry. The goal of this paper is to analyse the changes in CEE states’ dependence on Chinese electronics industry exports. We verify a hypothesis: in electronics industry exports, the analysed countries have become more dependent on Chinese value added than on the EU’s value added recently. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 52-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1606406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1606406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:52-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jikyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jikyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Who are the most effective R&D partners for different types of product innovation? Evidence from South Korean manufacturing firms Abstract: R&D cooperation is a key to combining firms’ internal and external technological capabilities. This article empirically investigates the effect of R&D cooperation partners on different types of product innovation. This study considers four types of partners in R&D cooperation: suppliers, customers, competitors, and universities. Three purposes of product innovation are considered: diversification of products, pioneering a new market, and standardization of technology. The main findings are: (1) R&D cooperation with suppliers and competitors has a positive effect on standardization of technology, (2) R&D cooperation with customers has a positive effect on diversification of products and pioneering a new market, and (3) R&D cooperation with universities has a positive effect on pioneering a new market and standardization of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 58-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1607242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1607242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:58-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barış Soybilgen Author-X-Name-First: Barış Author-X-Name-Last: Soybilgen Title: Identifying Turkish business cycle regimes in real time Abstract: In this study, we analyse the real-time identification performance of the BBQ method and the Markov switching (MS) model in the case of Turkey by comparing their real-time and ex-post identification results between 1997M01-2017M12. We show that both the BBQ and the MS methodologies identify the nearly same turning point dates for the Turkish economy both ex-post and in real time by using a pseudo real-time data set. We also calculate the real-time identification lag of models and show that the MS model and the BBQ method identify a turning point with a 3–4 months lag and a 6 months lag, respectively. Finally, we show that data revisions do not have a significant impact on the real-time identification performance of the models between 2005M01-2017M12. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 62-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1607243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1607243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:62-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Title: Additive multi-effort contests with multiple investment opportunities Abstract: Two players simultaneously exert multiple additive efforts. Expected utility maximization follows from exerting one effort with the lowest ratio of unit cost divided by impact. This contrasts with the assumption for multiplicative efforts which all have to be exerted. Fifty percent of the rent is dissipated when the players have equal ratios of unit cost divided by impact. Rent dissipation decreases as the players’ ratios become more unequal. Adding efforts with large unit cost divided by impact influences neither strategies nor rent dissipation. In contrast, socially unproductive multiplicative efforts may unbalance contests and increase rent dissipation. Adding efforts with low unit cost divided by impact decreases (increases) rent dissipation if the advantaged player becomes more (less) advantaged. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1679338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1679338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayotis G. Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis G. Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Author-Name: Olga Theodoratou Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Theodoratou Author-Name: Konstantinos N. Konstantakis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos N. Author-X-Name-Last: Konstantakis Title: Inflammatory bowel disease and economic activity: panel data evidence for Europe Abstract: There is worldwide evidence that Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) incidents increase over time in different regions around the world, signifying its emergence as a global disease. The available evidence implies that factors such as economic development positively affect IBD incidents, at a time when relevant surveys on other diseases support the existence of the same positive relationship between disease incidents and economic development. In this context, it is surprising that the actual empirical relationship between IBD incidents and economic development remains largely unexplored or even completely ignored by the literature. In the present work, we assess empirically the relationship between IBD incidents and economic development by analysing incidents registered in the European Crohn’s and Colitis Organization’s Epidemiological Committee (EpiCom) study for two consecutive years (2010–2011) based on data availability. We provide strong statistical evidence in favour of a positive relationship between IBD incidents and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-76 Issue: 1 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1680791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1680791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:1:p:72-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mário Augusto Author-X-Name-First: Mário Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Author-Name: Rui Pascoal Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoal Author-Name: Pedro Reis Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Reis Title: Firms’ performance and board size: A simultaneous approach in the European and American contexts Abstract: The relation between performance and board size (BS) is analysed in the American and European contexts. It is found that return on assets (ROA) depends on BS defined as an endogenous explanatory variable. This potentially non-monotonous effect is modelled by introducing firm size and number of segments by board member as explanatory variables for ROA. BS net effect after accounting for the indirect effect resulting from these variables is negative. Differences in the results obtained for Tobin’s Q, strategic investors’ weight and equity to total assets, between America and Europe, suggest a more preventive management control in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1043 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1039-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Chuanhao Wen Author-X-Name-First: Chuanhao Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Jia He Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: The influence of China Environmental Protection Tax Law on firm performance – evidence from stock markets Abstract: This study examines the influence of China Environmental Protection Tax (EPT) Law on firm performance, which is proxied by stock prices. Using the event study methodology, we find that most sectors experience negative market reactions, indicating that the EPT Law will increase environmental costs and hurt firm performance. Firms’ political connections and fundamentals are related to the market reactions. The different impacts of political connections on market reactions have been detected between the two events related to the EPT Law. Our results are robust to diverse fixed effects and potential endogeneity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1044-1047 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1044-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanlong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanlong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Taoxiong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Taoxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The macroeconomic movements of real wage rates and employment: further evidence Abstract: Supported by the empirical results of the frequency table approach applied to a time series of data related to average weekly wages and employment in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Canada, this paper contends that across an entire economy, real wage rates behave countercyclically in the short term, as John Maynard Keynes predicted in his general theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1048-1055 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1048-1055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marji Lines Author-X-Name-First: Marji Author-X-Name-Last: Lines Author-Name: Noemi Schmitt Author-X-Name-First: Noemi Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitt Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Stability conditions for three-dimensional maps and their associated bifurcation types Abstract: We present analytical tools that may be useful in studying the behaviour of dynamic economic models formulated in discrete time. In particular, we provide a simplified set of conditions for the stability of fixed points of three-dimensional maps, and the bifurcation types associated with them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1056-1060 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1056-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanming Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hanming Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yiming Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Hangtian Xu Author-X-Name-First: Hangtian Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Incomplete contracts and allocation of residual claim along the global value chains: evidence from Japan Abstract: The seminal work by Antràs and Chor in 2013 predicted that, under incomplete-contracting environments, the optimal allocation of residual claim for firms participating in global production depends on the relative position at which the supplier enters the sequential production and on the demand elasticity faced by the final-good producer. Using data of Japanese value-added exports, this study empirically verifies this theoretical prediction through supportive evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1066 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1061-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Author-Name: Magdolna Sass Author-X-Name-First: Magdolna Author-X-Name-Last: Sass Title: FDI according to ultimate versus immediate investor countries: which dataset performs better? Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays an ever-increasing role in the world economy; however, empirical research on many aspects of FDI is hindered by data problems. New data on FDI stocks, broken down according to the nationality of the ultimate owner company, are available for a few countries. Based on the example of three Central and Eastern European countries, we show that these new data give better results when analysing the main drivers of bilateral FDI, than the up till now available FDI data, which were broken down according to the nationality of the immediate investor firm. Furthermore, we present evidence on the main drivers of FDI into three former transition economies: distance, relative country size and trade costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1070 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1067-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Shi He Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: The finance-growth nexus in China: a meta-analysis Abstract: Drawing on a unique dataset from 30 studies on the finance-growth nexus in China, our prime objective is to examine the link between financial development and economic growth. After accounting for publication bias and between-study heterogeneity using meta-regression analysis, we find that the publication bias-corrected finance-growth nexus is positive and statistically significant. Interestingly, our findings also show that, when publication bias is corrected, the banking sector development plays a more crucial role in economic growth in China than the stock market development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1075 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1071-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroki Aso Author-X-Name-First: Hiroki Author-X-Name-Last: Aso Author-Name: Tamotsu Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Tamotsu Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Title: Population growth and intergenerational mobility Abstract: Incorporating population growth into a simplified version of Maoz and Moav (1999), this article analyzes the effect on the relationship between intergenerational mobility and economic development. If the fertility is the same across income groups, population growth does not influence the basic dynamics of the economy. With, however, the fertility difference, population growth plays a crucial role in characterizing the intergenerational mobility. Suppose, in particular, that the fertility of the educated is higher than that of the uneducated. Then the share of the educated increases sharply due to the fertility difference. This sharp increase largely raises the average wage in the economy, which in turn boosts the education cost. The large increase in the education cost facilitates downwards mobility, and hence decreases the population share of the educated. Thus, if the fertility difference is large enough, the mobility exhibits cyclical behaviour. In contrast, if the fertility of the uneducated is higher than or equal to that of the educated, the same dynamics as in Maoz and Moav (1999) appears. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1076-1080 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1660759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1660759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1076-1080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Félix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: José Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Title: The relative revenue power of the marginal tax rates in personal income tax schedules: the Revenue Equivalent Marginal Rate Increase (REMI) Abstract: The aim of this paper is to explore how the revenue power of the marginal tax rates in personal income tax rate schedules can be computed. Analytical expressions to measure the relative revenue effectiveness of marginal tax rates are provided. These expressions distinguish between mechanical and behavioural components as well as differentiating genuine allowances from non-genuine allowances. Finally, an empirical application to Spanish tax return microdata is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1081-1086 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1661348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1661348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1081-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Economic policy uncertainty and firm value: the mediating role of intangible assets and R&D Abstract: We explore the mechanisms by which intangible assets and R&D intensity mediate the relationship between global economic policy uncertainty and firm value. We find that firms in high intangible-intensity industries and those engaging in R&D suffer the most from restrictive governance policies when economic instability is high. However, when the economic environment is volatile, these same firms benefit the most from prior investments in corporate social responsibility. Results add nuance to prior literature exploring the CSR and corporate governance strictly during the Great Recession and also shed light on optimal governance and CSR policies in times of global economic policy uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1090 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1661951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1661951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1087-1090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Tait Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tait Author-Name: Caroline Saunders Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Saunders Author-Name: Paul Dalziel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dalziel Author-Name: Paul Rutherford Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Rutherford Author-Name: Timothy Driver Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Meike Guenther Author-X-Name-First: Meike Author-X-Name-Last: Guenther Title: Comparing generational preferences for individual components of sustainability schemes in the Californian wine market Abstract: Millennials are the largest demographic segment in the USA and have gained market share of high-frequency wine drinkers while Baby Boomers and Gen-X generations share has fallen. This demographic evolution focuses attention on understanding Millennial wine drinkers’ preferences. At the same time the wine industry has seen significant establishment of sustainable certification systems as preferences for sustainability have developed and been recognized as an avenue for product diversification. This paper reports on a discrete choice experiment with the objective of comparing generational preferences for individual components of sustainability schemes active in the Californian Sauvignon Blanc market. We find significant attribute preference differences over age cohorts. Millennial consumers are willing to pay significantly more for sustainability attributes than both Gen-X and Baby Boomers. While Baby Boomers place more emphasis on country-of-origin attributes than either Gen-X or Millennials. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1095 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1661952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1661952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1091-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gihyun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Gihyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: What drives venture capital fund performance? Abstract: This study analyses the determinants of the return on Korean venture capital (VC) funds in terms of fund management strategies. In particular, I adopt the quantile regression analysis to identify the heterogeneous effect of a strategy based on the performance level of a fund. As a result of the analysis, it has been shown that to achieve high performance, it is necessary to use instruments to deal with the uncertainty of investment targets and information asymmetry such as stepwise investment, use of conversion securities, syndication. In addition, for very high performance, it is necessary to focus on a certain industry and to include a few companies in the portfolio with large investment. As well, in order to achieve high returns, investing large amount in a small number of portfolios is confirmed to be valid strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1096-1101 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1667475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1667475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1096-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenlong Bian Author-X-Name-First: Wenlong Author-X-Name-Last: Bian Author-Name: Tingting Ge Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Author-Name: Yang Ji Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Which factor matters for financial crises: leverage level or leverage growth? Abstract: Prior studies have shown a significant impact of the leverage level on economic outcomes. This study extends the literature by examining the role of leverage growth in predicting the occurrence of financial crises. Based on a dataset of 42 economies over the period 1980–2017, the results indicate a positive and significant association between leverage growth and the likelihood of financial crises. Moreover, leverage level plays no relevant role in predicting the financial crises after leverage growth has been controlled for. Further analysis also confirms the contribution of relative sectoral leverage growth to financial crises. Specifically, both the difference between the private and the government leverage growth, and the difference between the household and non-financial corporate leverage growth are positively associated with the likelihood of financial crises. These findings suggest that we should pay much more attention to leverage growth and its impacts on financial crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1102-1106 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1667948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1667948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1102-1106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manoranjan Sahoo Author-X-Name-First: Manoranjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sahoo Author-Name: Hrushikesh Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Hrushikesh Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Title: What deteriorates India’s current account balance: crude oil imports or gold imports? Abstract: We examine the impact of crude oil imports and gold imports on India’s current account balance (CAB) using linear cointegration techniques for the period 1980–2017. We find strong evidence in support of a positive and significant impact of crude oil imports and a negative and significant impact of gold imports on India’s CAB. It also reveals that while rising crude oil price deteriorates India’s CAB, rising gold price improves it in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1111 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1107-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Zhong-Qiang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhong-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The equity premium in China Abstract: The equity premium is a key indicator in capital investment decisions. However, few studies estimate the equity premium for the Chinese stock market. To shed more light on the subject, we use dividend and consumption growth models to estimate the expected equity premium in China from 2005 to 2017. Our evidence shows that the geometric mean of the expected yearly equity premium from the consumption growth model, 9.69 percent, is similar to that of the realized yearly equity premium from stock returns, 8.11 percent. The corresponding values are 0.74–0.68 percent for monthly data, and 2.49–2.28 percent for quarterly data. In contrast, the estimate of the expected equity premium from the dividend growth model is far higher than the realized equity premium. However, both the dividend and consumption growth models fail to explain the high fluctuations of the realized equity premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1112-1118 Issue: 13 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673295 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:13:p:1112-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Gedikkaya Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Gedikkaya Author-Name: Serdar Varlik Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Varlik Author-Name: Berument M. Hakan Author-X-Name-First: Berument Author-X-Name-Last: M. Hakan Title: The effects of electricity price changes on prices of other goods and services – evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article employs a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive model to assess the effects of electricity price innovations on prices of other goods and services. Using monthly series from Turkish Domestic Producer Price Index (D-PPI) and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) components, the results from the analyses on D-PPI components suggest that (i) Machinery & Equipment (not elsewhere classified); Electrical Equipment; and Rubber & Plastic Products increase the most, while (ii) Tobacco Products; Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas; and Water Supply, Sewerage, Waste Management & Remediation Services increase the least. In addition, the results from the analyses on HICP components suggest that (iii) Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels; Furnishings, Household Equipment & Maintenance; and Restaurants & Hotels increase the most, while (iv) Communications; Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco & Narcotics; and Education increase the least. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-960 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1648746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1648746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:955-960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The relationship between violent crime and urban high school enrollment in the US Abstract: I use a city-level fixed effects model with city-specific linear trends that exploits different trends in violent crime rates among 229 major cities in the US from 1986 to 2010. Findings suggest that a 10 percent increase in the violent crime rate is associated with 0.2 and 0.4 percent decreases in enrollment in grades 11 and 12, respectively. However, the association of violent crime rate with grade 9 enrollment is not statistically significant. The results show that violent crime rate is negatively associated with high school enrollment levels, concentrated in grades 11 and 12. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-964 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1649357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1649357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:961-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mascia Bedendo Author-X-Name-First: Mascia Author-X-Name-Last: Bedendo Author-Name: Linus Siming Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Siming Title: Bank financing and credit ratings Abstract: By looking at a sample of firms rated by S&P, we study the extent to which the mix between bank financing and other sources of debt affects corporate credit ratings. We find that S&P penalizes firms of high credit quality that use relatively more bank debt compared to market debt. Instead, debt composition does not seem to matter when rating risky firms. We conclude that managers of firms of high credit quality should have relatively low (high) recourse of bank financing (public debt) from a credit ratings perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-970 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1649358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1649358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:965-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: House price and the stock market prices dynamics: evidence from China using a wavelet approach Abstract: This article utilizes the wavelet method to investigate the multiscale relationship between house price and stock price. We document short-term wealth effect, medium-term credit-price effect, and medium-/long-term spiral or ‘interdependence’ relationship between the house price and the stock price by using China’s data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-976 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1649359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1649359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:971-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bálint Zsolt Nagy Author-X-Name-First: Bálint Zsolt Author-X-Name-Last: Nagy Author-Name: Mónika Anetta Alt Author-X-Name-First: Mónika Anetta Author-X-Name-Last: Alt Author-Name: Botond Benedek Author-X-Name-First: Botond Author-X-Name-Last: Benedek Author-Name: Zsuzsa Săplăcan Author-X-Name-First: Zsuzsa Author-X-Name-Last: Săplăcan Title: How do loss aversion and technology acceptance affect life insurance demand? Abstract: The present questionnaire-based study combines and expands technology acceptance and behavioural (risk and loss aversion) variables in explaining the demand for life insurance products. Loss aversion is inversely related to the proxy for life insurance demand and two technology acceptance related factors (usefulness of online technology and acceptance of smart devices) have a significant positive influence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-981 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1650882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1650882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:977-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Catarina Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Catarina Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Paulo B. Vasconcelos Author-X-Name-First: Paulo B. Author-X-Name-Last: Vasconcelos Title: The labour-share decrease and the technological-knowledge increase Abstract: We extend the R&D-growth literature by considering an endogenous labour share of the aggregate income to analyse the effects on macroeconomic aggregates. Up to the stable and unique steady-state, the share of skilled workers in the R&D sector first has an instantaneous drop and then starts to increase, the economic-growth rate and the skill-premium increase, and the labour share of the aggregate income decreases due to automation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 982-986 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1650883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1650883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:982-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John A. Dove Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dove Title: Opportunity entrepreneurship and regulation: a state-level analysis Abstract: The paper empirically tests the relationship between opportunity entrepreneurship – i.e. procyclical entrepreneurial activity associated with growth-oriented business startups – across states and the relative effect of federal regulation borne by private-sector industries within each state. With entrepreneurial data from the Kauffman Index and a new and plausibly exogenous index of the relative burden imposed by federal regulations on each state between 1998 and 2015, I find a negative and robust association between federal regulation and opportunity entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-991 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1654080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1654080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:987-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aurora A. C. Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Aurora A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Author-Name: Diana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Diana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Technology balance of payments and countries’ international competitiveness. A dynamic panel data analysis of OECD countries, 2000-2017 Abstract: This study investigates the impact of Technology Balance of Payments (TBP) on countries’ international competitiveness. Using dynamic panel data estimations for 26 OECD countries over the period 2000–2017, the estimations unambiguously show that a TBP surpluses significantly foster countries’ international competitiveness, regardless of how this latter is measured. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 992-996 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1654599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1654599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:992-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuicui Lu Author-X-Name-First: Cuicui Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Jeffrey M. Wooldridge Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wooldridge Title: A GMM estimator asymptotically more efficient than OLS and WLS in the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form Abstract: We propose a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, where our specific moment conditions, where our specific moment conditions ensure that the GMM estimator is asymptotically at least as efficient as ordinary least squares (OLS) and whatever competing weighted least squares (WLS) we wish to consider. With a popular exponential model of heteroskedasticity, our new GMM estimator performs significantly better than OLS or WLS. In an empirical application to a financial wealth equation, we show that the efficiency gains can be nontrivial with real data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1001 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1657228 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1657228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:997-1001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Changryong Baek Author-X-Name-First: Changryong Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Factor-augmented HAR model improves realized volatility forecasting Abstract: This paper proposes a factor-augmented heterogeneous autoregressive (FAHAR) model for realized volatility. This model incorporates volatility information from other stock markets into several f actors, hence it is expected to improve forecasting. We also consider nonlinear modeling of the FAHAR based on the LSTM network in deep neural networks. Our empirical analysis shows that factor augmentation indeed improves forecasting for all the stock indices considered, implying the co-movement of world stock markets in the 2010s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1002-1009 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1657554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1657554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1002-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter T. Calcagno Author-X-Name-First: Peter T. Author-X-Name-Last: Calcagno Author-Name: Beatriz Maldonado Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Maldonado Title: Divided government in Latin America Abstract: The literature on divided government focuses on the relationship between divided government and its size and has found that governments are limited when divided government exists. Fewer studies have examined the conditions that will generate a divided government. Theoretical research argues that voters want to moderate power. This study attempts to determine if the same factors that predict a divided government in the US explain divided government in Latin America. We use a continuous measure of divided government in 15 Latin American countries from 1981–2010. We find that countries in LA with midterm elections moderate power during concurrent elections when inflation is increasing. However, they are more likely to vote in a unified government during midterm elections when there are poor economic conditions. Countries with no midterm elections, moderate power when the economy is doing well but are more likely to choose a unified government when inflation and unemployment are increasing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1010-1015 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1657555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1657555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1010-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrice Rélouendé Zidouemba Author-X-Name-First: Patrice Rélouendé Author-X-Name-Last: Zidouemba Title: Macroeconomic impacts of female labour productivity shock in agriculture: evidence from a CGE model applied to a Sub-Saharan African country Abstract: The agricultural sector is generally recognized as the engine of economic growth, poverty reduction and food security in countries with a high share of poor people employed in that sector. However, in most of Sub-Saharan African countries, the sector underperforms partly because women, who represent a crucial resource in the rural economy as farmers, face more severe constraints than men in accessing productive resources. In this paper, we use a gendered CGE model for Burkina Faso to simulate a greater access of women to productive resources. The results show that real GDP increases by 2.31%, and household real income and consumption improve significantly. We also found that the same productivity shock applied to the male labour displays positive but lower impacts. These results underline the gains that can be achieved at the macroeconomic, sectoral and household levels through better access of women to productive resources in the agricultural sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1016-1021 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1016-1021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Heterogeneous effects of internet channel on firm innovation Abstract: This paper examines the effects of Internet channel on the commercialization of firm innovation, which is measured by new product sales (NPS). We estimate our empirical model with the GMM-threshold approach and find that there is a positive effect of internet channel on NPS if the adopting firm has an experienced CEO. Further, a more experienced CEO is required for producing such positive effect for firms with a larger sales volume. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1022-1027 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1022-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Aixalá Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Aixalá Author-Name: Gema Fabro Author-X-Name-First: Gema Author-X-Name-Last: Fabro Author-Name: M Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-First: M Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Gadea Title: Exchange rates and prices in Spain during the gold standard (1868-1914). A test of purchasing power parity Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test the purchasing power parity theory for the exchange rates between the peseta and both the French franc and the pound sterling for the period 1868–1914. The stationarity of the real exchange rate is tested using linear and non-linear unit root tests and wholesale and consumer price series. The results show that possible short-term deviations in the real exchange rate series are corrected in the long term, so the purchasing power parity theory holds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1028-1032 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1028-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullah M. Al-Awadhi Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: M. Al-Awadhi Author-Name: Bader S. Alhashel Author-X-Name-First: Bader S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alhashel Title: Liquidity and retail traders: the case of Saudi Stock Exchange Abstract: We investigate whether retail traders price liquidity. We use data from a market that has both domination of retail trading and an absence of market makers, specifically the stock market of Saudi Arabia. Using seven liquidity proxies, we find that retail traders do not price stock market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1037 Issue: 12 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1659486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1659486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:12:p:1033-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicole Guertzgen Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Guertzgen Author-Name: Andreas Moczall Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Moczall Title: Sequential versus non-sequential search among German employers – evidence from a job vacancy survey Abstract: In this note, we provide evidence on the extent and determinants of sequential versus non-sequential search among German employers. Using unique representative data on employers’ recruitment behaviour, we exploit direct information on whether employers first formed a pool of applicants from which they chose the most suitable candidate (Non-Sequential Search), or whether they hired the first suitable applicant (Sequential Search). We show that non-sequential search is the predominant search strategy, accounting for about 75 per cent of all successful hirings. Hirings by larger employers and those for high-skilled positions are disproportionately represented among the non-sequential search processes. We then proceed to decompose recruitment durations for non-sequential search into an application and a selection period and, for sequential search, into an information and combined application/selection period. With non-sequential search, the application period lasts, on average, about 18 days, whereas the selection period is 45 days long. Sequential search processes start with a very short period of about one day until the very first application arrives, followed by a rather long combined application/selection period of 57 days until a suitable applicant is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-879 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:873-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Binbin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Binbin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shancun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shancun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Costly information acquisition and public disclosure: implications for investor welfare Abstract: We explore the combined impacts of costly information acquisition and public disclosure for investors. When there are only outsiders in the market, disclosure with low public information precision is beneficial to them because they can obtain more return by thoroughly utilizing the market-making capacity. When insiders and outsiders coexist in the market, the increase of information cost or disclosed-information precision can improve their welfare by reducing adverse selection risk. When all investors are insiders, reducing information acquisition cost is efficient for welfare improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 880-885 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:880-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang-Han Ma Author-X-Name-First: Liang-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jin-Chi Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: A study of business performance and risk in Taiwan’s financial institutions through resampling data envelopment analysis Abstract: This study uses resampling data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the performance of Taiwan’s financial institutions over the period 2012–2017. The results show that Tachin, Grand, CapitalFS, and Fubon are among the top 10 for good performance, but they present a larger confidence interval bias (I-bias), indicating their inputs and outputs are unstable, and thus these financial institutions must improve their overall business strategy. The insurance group (INSG) has higher efficiency than the financial holding group (FHG) and securities group (SECG) over the period 2012–2017, showing that its performance is relatively stable and that its future performance trends do not change much. The efficiencies of the groups exhibit very significant differences in higher and other of return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) via the Wilcoxon test. The business efficiency of INSG is the best and that of SECG is the worst. Overall, the government should provide a more prudent strategy to monitor the operations of SECG groups in order to reduce investors’ investment risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 886-891 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:886-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Ductor Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Ductor Author-Name: Daryna Grechyna Author-X-Name-First: Daryna Author-X-Name-Last: Grechyna Title: Determinants of ins and outs of unemployment Abstract: We estimate the robust determinants of the inflow rate into and outflow rate from unemployment in a sample of OECD countries, using Bayesian model averaging approach to overcome model uncertainty. We find that the main determinant of outflows from unemployment is expenditure on passive labour market policies, while the main determinant of inflows into the unemployment is the duration of benefit entitlement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 892-898 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:892-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adriana Alventosa Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Alventosa Author-Name: Gonzalo Olcina Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Olcina Title: Tax compliance and wealth inequality Abstract: In this work, we theoretically approach optimal taxing in a public good provision context in a society where wealth is Pareto distributed. Our main result shows that high levels of wealth inequality yield lower levels of tax compliance and, consequently, lower provision of public goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-903 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:899-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony W. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Anthony W. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jim Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: V. Reddy Dondeti Author-X-Name-First: V. Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Dondeti Title: The US-China trade war: dominance of trade or technology? Abstract: The primary goal of this paper is to provide insight into the causes that led to the current U.S. – China trade war. It discusses the importance of the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ and the ‘Made in China 2025’ programs to Beijing’s realization of the ‘Chinese dream’, which refers to the avoidance of the middle-income trap and the accomplishment of the nation’s great rejuvenation. This paper points out the leading roles played by the state-owned enterprises in the above two programs and reviews their destabilizing effects on the Chinese society. This paper also describes the measures taken by the U.S. to counter China’s efforts to become the new superpower, thereby preserving its preeminent position in the world. In addition, the paper discusses the steps taken by Beijing to try to satisfy Washington’s demand. The authors posit that the trade war is not, in fact, about trade but about technological dominance, and that both sides might fall into ‘Thucydides’s Trap,’ the pattern of large-scale conflict when a rising power challenges a dominant one. According to the events that have transpired thus far, it appears our current trajectory is towards conflict and a cold war Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 904-909 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:904-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xiaojian Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojian Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jiangang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiangang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Endogeneity in Okun’s law Abstract: This article contributes to the literature of Okun’s law by addressing an under-noticed but important problem, i.e. endogeneity. By using annual variation in the international oil price weighted with countries’ average oil net-export GDP ratios as a plausibly exogenous instrumental variable for economic growth, the two-stage least squares estimates indicate that faster real GDP growth is associated with lower overall, male and female unemployment rates, confirming the validity of Okun’s law. According to our benchmark estimate, 1 percentage point increase in economic growth leads to a 0.252 percentage point decrease in civil unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 910-914 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:910-914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petter Berg Author-X-Name-First: Petter Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Author-Name: Ola Palmgren Author-X-Name-First: Ola Author-X-Name-Last: Palmgren Author-Name: Björn Tyrefors Author-X-Name-First: Björn Author-X-Name-Last: Tyrefors Title: Gender grading bias in junior high school mathematics Abstract: Admission to high school in Sweden is based on the final grades from junior high. This article compares students’ final mathematics grade with new data from a high school introductory test score in mathematics. Both the grades and the test are based on the same syllabus, but teachers enjoy great discretion when deciding grades. The results show a substantial grading difference, consistent with grading bias against boys. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Peneder Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Peneder Author-Name: Mark Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Author-Name: Martin Woerter Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Woerter Title: The (anti-)competitive effect of IPRs Abstract: We test whether intellectual property rights (IPRs) foster or hinder innovation by estimating IV structural equations for a large sample of Swiss firms. We find that better appropriability conditions at the industry level raise the number of competitors. However, conditional on the given industry structure, individual firms face fewer competitors, if they actually use IPRs. The further impact of fewer competitors is to raise R&D, when initial competition is strong, but to reduce it, when initial competition is weak (‘inverted U’). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 920-924 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:920-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shan Wan Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Zeng Lian Author-X-Name-First: Zeng Author-X-Name-Last: Lian Author-Name: Yue Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Trade effects of political conflicts Abstract: We review China–Korea conflict that broke out in July 2016 and examine the effects on China’s imports from Korea. We find that the trade deterioration effects vary over the stages of the conflicts China’s imports from Korea were not significantly affected in the first few months after July 2016. Trade deterioration effects manifested themselves after February 2017 and the estimates show that China’s imports from Korea reduced by 15%. Our results support the viewpoint that, in order to influence the political position of trading partners, the government may take advantage of trade ties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-929 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:925-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ezequiel Cabezon Author-X-Name-First: Ezequiel Author-X-Name-Last: Cabezon Author-Name: Christian Henn Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Henn Title: Norway’s public sector balance sheet Abstract: An intertemporal public sector balance sheet is the most comprehensive way to evaluate long-term fiscal sustainability. But data constraints imply that it is still seldomly used. In this article, we illustrate the considerable value added of such an analysis over standard debt sustainability analyses, using the example of Norway and find surprising results: The immense wealth in its oil fund is insufficient to address future aging pressures, including because nonoil fiscal deficits have already grown large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 930-936 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:930-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The relationship between concealed carry permits and state-level crime rates Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the relationship between concealed carry permits and state-level crime rates. Using pooled data for the period 2003–2014 and a least squares model with state dummy variables and a time trend, results of the present study suggest that the lagged value of per capita concealed carry permits had a statistically-significant and negative effect on the following crime rates: violent crime, rape, aggravated assault, and auto theft. For all other crimes examined, the number of active concealed carry permits had no statistically significant effects. These results somewhat corroborate the findings of Lott (2000). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-939 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:937-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rune V. Lesner Author-X-Name-First: Rune V. Author-X-Name-Last: Lesner Title: Labor market sorting on personality traits and the gender wage gap Abstract: Gender sorting in the labor market can explain a major part of the gender wage gap. This paper documents the association between the gender wage gap and labor market sorting into jobs characterized by their requirements to personality traits. Two thirds of the Danish gender wage gap from 2008 to 2015 explained by occupational sorting can be explained by characterizing occupations by their requirements to personality traits. This amounts to around a quarter of the gender wage gap explained by these nonpecuniary occupational characteristics. In particular, men are awarded for working in jobs that require higher levels of disagreeableness Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 940-944 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:940-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuichi Furukawa Author-X-Name-First: Yuichi Author-X-Name-Last: Furukawa Author-Name: Tat-Kei Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tat-Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Kenji Sato Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Novelty-seeking traits and applied research activities Abstract: We examine the country-level relationship between novelty-seeking traits and applied research activities. Using DRD4 exon III allele frequencies (DRD4) to proxy for the former and per capita patent applications and grants to proxy for the latter, we find a negative relationship between the two. Our results complement the findings of recent studies about the relationship between novelty-seeking traits, innovation and comparative economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-950 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:945-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Kerry Smith Author-X-Name-First: V. Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Kelli L. Larson Author-X-Name-First: Kelli L. Author-X-Name-Last: Larson Author-Name: Abigail York Author-X-Name-First: Abigail Author-X-Name-Last: York Title: Using quality signaling to enhance survey response rates Abstract: A growing body of research has found that linking products to charitable causes enhances sellers’ reputations. This paper tests with a field experiment whether the use of the option of giving to charity to signal genuine intentions in mail surveys can enhance the effectiveness of small financial incentives. We find that they do significantly increase individuals’ responsiveness to the differences in the amount of the incentives. Cash incentives lead to an approximated constant response rate. Adding the option to donate the incentive to a specific charity significantly increases the effect of the financial incentive on the likelihood of responding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 11 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1646869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:11:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Kuehn Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kuehn Title: An estimate of the error in self-reported college major Abstract: This letter provides an estimate of the extent of error in self-reports of college major. A student’s field of study is an important determinant of labour market outcomes and of increasing interest to labour economists, but little is known about the reliability of survey data on college major. A unique dataset from the United States with both transcript and survey data on major field of study suggests that the error rate of self-reported college major is almost 20%. Error rates are higher for relatively small or obscure majors, and are lower for larger majors or majors closely associated with licensed professions (e.g. health care). Although these error rates are not trivial, they are comparable to prior estimates of error in reporting educational attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Prehn Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Prehn Author-Name: B. Brümmer Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Brümmer Author-Name: T. Glauben Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Glauben Title: Gravity model estimation: fixed effects vs. random intercept Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood Abstract: The standard Anderson and van Wincoop gravity model has typically been estimated using a fixed-effects approach. However, a fixed-effects approach has a major drawback: it does not allow for the estimation of exporter- and importer-invariant variables. Thus, at least in a cross-sectional context, economically relevant variables such as exporter and importer gross domestic product are disregarded. We propose a random intercept model to address this gap. For large datasets, this approach not only provides identical estimates like a fixed-effects approach, but also allows for the estimation of exporter- and importer-invariant variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-764 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:761-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Pargianas Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pargianas Title: The effect of education on the minimum wage Abstract: This research shows for the first time that the level of education has a causal, negative effect on the minimum wage. I use 2SLS, with historical educational data as an instrument for the level of education in 2010, and I find that across the US states a one percentage point greater proportion of college graduates is associated with a real minimum wage that is lower by 1.5%–1.6%. Also, in order to control for state-level omitted variables, I regress the change in the minimum wage on the change in education and I find again a negative, and significantly at the 1% level, effect. Minimum wage is a policy that is chosen by governments according to voters’ preferences. The results of this research imply that when the level of education increases voters prefer a lower minimum wage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-767 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:765-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura E. Armey Author-X-Name-First: Laura E. Author-X-Name-Last: Armey Author-Name: Jonathan Lipow Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lipow Title: Hard lessons: combat deployment and veteran interest in higher education Abstract: Over 2.5 million Americans served in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. In this short article, we consider the impact of these experiences on their future welfare. Specifically, we ask if those who served in Afghanistan and Iraq are more or less likely to exploit their GI Bill benefits in order to pursue higher education than service members who did not directly participate in these conflicts. We exploit a comprehensive administrative dataset that the US Armed Forces’ Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) provided to us. We find across models that deployment to Afghanistan or Iraq significantly increases the likelihood that veterans will take advantage of their educational benefits, but that exposure to violent combat significantly decreases it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 768-772 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:768-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Balios Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Balios Author-Name: N. Eriotis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Eriotis Author-Name: S. Missiakoulis Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Missiakoulis Author-Name: D. Vasiliou Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Vasiliou Title: Delisted versus voluntary delisted versus remain listed: financial disclosure timing Abstract: We focus in the period of announcement of accounting information for companies listed in an organized market and we re-examine their probability of delisting, voluntarily or not. Adopting the same framework, consideration is given to the assumption that investors utilize market information when accounting data are published. The analysis provided indicates that investors should pay attention to the financial disclosure timing. Our investigation demonstrated that even the short period of three months is quite important to making investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-776 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:773-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: Ian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Title: When does tiered wholesale pricing create an incentive to reduce retail prices? Abstract: Wholesale ‘ladder pricing’ involves setting the wholesale price retailers face as a nonlinear (generally increasing) function of price chosen by retailers. This form of wholesale pricing occurred recently in UK Telecoms, and the issue became extensively debated in the law courts. A major concern in deciding the merits of the case lay with the question of whether or not the introduction of tiered wholesale pricing created incentives for retailers to actually reduce their prices. This paper examines the incentive for the case where the wholesale tariff is a non-linear continuous differentiable function. It is shown that so long as the tariff is strictly increasing, convex, and positive only for retail prices greater than the maximum retailer marginal cost, then there is indeed an incentive to reduce price, whatever the actual gradient of the tariff schedule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Doran Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Doran Author-Name: Declan Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Declan Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan Title: Decomposing US regional income inequality from 1969 to 2009 Abstract: This article analyses changes in levels and composition of income inequality among US counties from 1969 to 2009. It also decomposes inequality using the Theil coefficient into between-State and within-State inequality. The article finds that income inequality has increased in the period studied with between-State inequality decreasing and within-State inequality increasing. We subsequently decompose income inequality into the proportion arising from differences in productivity and employment–population ratios across counties. The results suggest that inequality arising from differentials in labour productivity has fallen over the period studied while those arising from employment–population ratio differences have increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathaly M. Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Nathaly M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Title: Disaggregation of sectors in social accounting matrices using a customized Wolsky method: a comment on its estimation bias Abstract: Barrera–Lozano et al. (2015) suggest an approach to disaggregate SAM matrices using a customized method based on Wolsky (1984). Starting from an aggregated sector, they propose the extraction of a branch instead of its partition. This study compares these two methods based on the magnitude of their estimation bias of the disaggregated technical coefficient matrix. From simulations of the disaggregated Leontief matrix, this work calculates linkages and multipliers for common sectors derived from using either the Wolsky (1984) sectoral disaggregation or the Barrera–Lozano et al. (2015) sectoral extraction. Results show that both approaches provide biased estimators, with the last one showing a significantly higher bias, especially in cases of incomplete information. This comparison suggests the need of additional research to provide bias corrections for input–output disaggregation methodologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil A Wilmot Author-X-Name-First: Neil A Author-X-Name-Last: Wilmot Title: Discontinuities in the coal market Abstract: Coal has been an important source of energy in the USA for centuries. Coal prices can be quite uncertain and highly volatile, often experiencing large changes. Understanding the data-generating process of coal prices would seem critical, both from a market perspective and from a policy perspective. This study investigates the appropriate stochastic process underlying coal prices. Commonly assumed processes, such as geometric Brownian motion fail to properly account for the arrival of unanticipated information which inflicts rapid changes – or jumps – in energy markets. Such discontinuities can manifest ‘fat tails’ in the distribution of returns. To investigate the possibility of time-varying volatility, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic models are also incorporated into the analysis. We find compelling empirical evidence that discontinuities must not be ignored, with US coal prices experiencing jumps every few days. The result has implications for the potential closure of coal-fired plants in response to cheaper alternatives or climate-based regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-794 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:790-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Identification of a basket peg: the model specification controversy Abstract: A controversy has been triggered by the Chinese exchange rate regime shift from a single currency peg to an alleged basket peg. The controversy is about the specification of the model used to represent the basket as three models have been used: levels, log levels and first log differences. It is suggested that one way to confirm the validity or otherwise of a model is to use data on the special drawing rights exchange rate since the currency weights are known. The results show that the estimated weights are almost identical no matter which model and which numeraire is used. However, nonnested model selection criteria show that the best model is that written in levels, simply because this is what is used in practice by central banks adopting basket pegs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-800 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:795-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Yuret Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Yuret Title: Is it easier to publish in journals that have low impact factors? Abstract: We use publication data from all journals in economics, mathematics, physics and chemistry. We compute the ratio of publications that come from the top 25 US departments for each journal and use it as a measure of difficulty to publish in a journal. We find that there is a rather weak but positive correlation (0.20) between the impact factor and the difficulty measure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul B. McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul B. Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: An empirical assessment of initial return volatility in newly listed stocks Abstract: A stock’s first month of listing or ‘seasoning’ is often characterized by sharp volatility in initial returns. Such volatility is likely to be even more pronounced in initial public offering (IPO) markets where retail investors exert significant influence. I consider initial return volatility for IPOs pitched in Hong Kong, where the market organizer requires a sizeable fraction of shares on offer to be assigned to a retail subscription tranche. Within this context, I examine the pattern and determinants of IPO stocks’ initial return volatility levels over their first 30 days of ‘seasoning’. I observe that IPO underpricing, market sentiment and float size figure as key explanatory factors. Results also reaffirm the importance of information asymmetry effects (Ritter, 1984; Beatty and Ritter, 1986; and Lowry et al., 2010). Larger IPO firms with tighter offer price spreads and more reputable underwriters exhibit noticeably greater price stability. I also assess Ljungqvist, Nanda and Singh’s (2006) proposition that underpricing in ‘hot’ IPOs protects issuers and subscribers against a subsequent fall-off in issuer sentiment. Via analysis of retail tranche share allotments, I meaningfully extend findings (Jiang and Li, 2013) in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 804-811 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1109035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1109035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:804-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Hühne Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Hühne Author-Name: Birgit Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Birgit Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Author-Name: Martin Roy Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Democracies cooperate more: even where it threatens to bite? Abstract: Estimating two-step selection models, we find that more democratic governments are more likely to conclude preferential trade agreements (PTAs) and to agree to stricter investment provisions related to pre-establishment national treatment and investor–state dispute settlement in PTAs. This is surprising when considering the potentially high costs of litigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 812-815 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:812-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: Gabriela Elise Auel Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Elise Author-X-Name-Last: Auel Title: The effect of monetary and fiscal credibility on public debt: empirical evidence from the Brazilian economy Abstract: This study relates to the literature regarding credibility effect on public debt for developing economies under inflation targeting. The novelty is the investigation of effects of both monetary and fiscal credibility on public debt and its management. The main idea is that high credibility might improve public debt management. With this purpose, this paper addresses empirical evidence based on the Brazilian experience. The findings denote that credibility is an important instrument to improve the public debt management under inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 816-821 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:816-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Title: Forecasting Canadian mortgage rates Abstract: Mortgage rates are one of the important drivers of the housing market. While there is a literature looking at the pass-through effect from Central Bank rates to mortgage rates, there is less known about how useful Central Bank rates are for forecasting mortgage rates. This article uses a selection of models (ARIMA, ARIMAX, BATS, state space error, trend seasonal (ETS), Holt Winter, random walk, simple exponential smoothing (SES), OLS and VAR) to forecast Canadian 5-year conventional mortgage rates. Based on RMSE, regression-based approaches like ARIMAX or OLS that use Central Bank rates to forecast mortgage rates are preferred when it comes to forecasting Canadian mortgage rates 6 or 12 months into the future, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 822-825 Issue: 11 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:11:p:822-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Using ROC techniques to measure the effectiveness of foreign exchange market interventions Abstract: Using as an example data on official Japanese interventions in the yen/dollar market, I show that techniques developed to analyse relative operating characteristic (ROC) curves can be useful to study the forecasting value and effectiveness of interventions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-393 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:389-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Lohse Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Lohse Author-Name: Salmai Qari Author-X-Name-First: Salmai Author-X-Name-Last: Qari Title: Dubious versus trustworthy faces: what difference does it make for tax compliance? Abstract: We find experimental evidence that the decision problem of tax compliance changes if subjects’ declarations are not randomly assessed, but is based on their appearance as captured by pictures of their faces, even if the aggregate audit probability does not change. Some subjects may fear that their picture looks rather dubious, whereas others may believe that their picture looks more trustworthy than average. Depending on these beliefs, they may adjust their compliance decisions. Our experimental design allows us to disentangle these potentially countervailing effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 394-401 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:394-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Author-Name: Varun Kshirsagar Author-X-Name-First: Varun Author-X-Name-Last: Kshirsagar Title: Sources of volatility during four oil price crashes Abstract: Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex-post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. We provide evidence that oil prices declined in a relatively measured manner during 2014/15, with a dispersion of price changes that was considerably smaller than comparable oil price declines. This finding is robust to using both descriptive and GARCH measures of volatility. Further, the US dollar appreciation exerted a strong influence on volatility during the recent crash; in contrast, the impact of equity market shocks was muted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 402-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:402-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ripon Roy Author-X-Name-First: Ripon Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Title: Workers’ remittances and the Dutch disease in South Asian countries Abstract: Workers’ remittances have become an important source of foreign exchange for some emerging economies even when compared to official development assistance, foreign direct investment or other types of capital flows. While some research suggests that a high inflow of remittances lowers poverty and stimulates economic growth and financial development, other studies suggest that remittances can appreciate the real exchange rate and thereby hurt the competitiveness of the tradeable sector. In this article, we examine the Dutch disease argument for Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka using a fixed effects model. We are unable to reject the null that there is a statistically significant appreciating effect of remittances on real exchange rate. Since our estimation results show that trade openness causes a depreciation of the real exchange rate, the appreciation effect of the real exchange rate originating from remittance inflows can be made weaker by trade liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurizio La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Author-Name: Raffaele Staglianò Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Staglianò Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Title: Long-term investment sensitivity to cash flow and financial crisis Abstract: This study examined investment–cash flow sensitivity in unconstrained and constrained firms from 1980 to 2010 in a sample of Italian manufacturing firms. Investment sensitivity to cash flow decreased over time, and financially constrained firms showed little difference in the decline compared with unconstrained firms. Last, investment sensitivity to cash flow increased during the financial crisis of 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Andre J. Van Rensburg Author-X-Name-First: Andre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Rensburg Title: Does greater labour market freedom lead to lower new home prices in the US? An exploratory inquiry Abstract: In this study for the year 2014 for the United States, we find that the median price of new single-family homes was an increasing function of the state’s median family income, the number of miles of coastline in the state and the state’s population density. In addition, the evidence suggests that the median new home price may been a decreasing function of the crime rate. Finally, of particular interest to this study, is the finding that a higher degree of labour market freedom led to lower prices on newly constructed single-family homes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-419 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:415-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Defne Mutluer Kurul Author-X-Name-First: Defne Author-X-Name-Last: Mutluer Kurul Author-Name: S. Tolga Tiryaki Author-X-Name-First: S. Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Tiryaki Title: How credit-constrained are firms in Turkey? A survey-based analysis Abstract: We study the factors related to the financing of firms in Turkey, using the Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS). Based on the survey responses of the firms, we calculate the ratio of credit-constrained firms in Turkey and run a logistic regression to investigate the factors explaining the firms’ access to credit. Estimation results show that the likelihood of having access to credit increases with the firm size. Firms are more likely to access credit if they are being independently audited or they are exporters, and they are less likely to access credit if they have overdue payments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 420-423 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:420-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: On the tourism-led growth hypothesis in the UAE: a bootstrap approach with leveraged adjustments Abstract: The emerging market of the UAE has chosen attracting international tourism as one of the main strategies during the recent decades in order to diversify its economy. The main goal has been to achieve sustainable growth without overreliance on the volatile oil sector. This article investigates the impact of tourism on economic performance in the UAE by using bootstrapped causality tests with leverage adjustments. The results show that the tourism-led growth hypothesis can be supported empirically. Thus, the conducted policy by the UAE government to promote international tourism for achieving economic growth might be considered as a sustainable strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 424-427 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:424-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Claveria Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Claveria Author-Name: Enric Monte Author-X-Name-First: Enric Author-X-Name-Last: Monte Author-Name: Salvador Torra Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Torra Title: Combination forecasts of tourism demand with machine learning models Abstract: The main objective of this study is to analyse whether the combination of regional predictions generated with machine learning (ML) models leads to improved forecast accuracy. With this aim, we construct one set of forecasts by estimating models on the aggregate series, another set by using the same models to forecast the individual series prior to aggregation, and then we compare the accuracy of both approaches. We use three ML techniques: support vector regression, Gaussian process regression and neural network models. We use an autoregressive moving average model as a benchmark. We find that ML methods improve their forecasting performance with respect to the benchmark as forecast horizons increase, suggesting the suitability of these techniques for mid- and long-term forecasting. In spite of the fact that the disaggregated approach yields more accurate predictions, the improvement over the benchmark occurs for shorter forecast horizons with the direct approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 428-431 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1078441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1078441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:428-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: A simple behavioural model of investor holding periods under the presence of trading costs Abstract: We develop a simple behavioural model where changes in investor holding periods of stocks are a function of variations in levels and shocks of trading costs. We construct a value weighted portfolio of all stocks listed on the London Stock Exchange, over the time period of 1990–2014 in order to empirical examine the model. We establish that levels have a greater impact then unanticipated trading costs on investor holding periods. Our article outlines the importance of trading costs in determining investor portfolio construction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-435 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:432-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pär Österholm Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Time variation in Okun’s law in Sweden Abstract: In this article we estimate an Okun’s law relationship for Sweden using a model with time-varying parameters. Employing quarterly data from 1982 to 2014, results indicate that the GDP growth needed to keep the unemployment rate unchanged in the long rung has fallen considerably over the last 10 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 436-439 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:436-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Kempa Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Kempa Author-Name: Nazmus Sadat Khan Author-X-Name-First: Nazmus Sadat Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: Government debt and economic growth in the G7 countries: are there any causal linkages? Abstract: This article investigates the direction of Granger-causality between debt and growth in the G7 countries using quarterly data from 1980 to 2013. We analyse the causal structure both in level data using the Toda and Yamamoto causality test, and with differenced data by means of dynamic impulse response analysis. Results indicate that growth causes debt rather than the other way around. We find the effect of growth on debt to be unambiguously negative in all cases of significant causality, but to be a short- to medium-run phenomenon with no lasting impact. We also find that results are sensitive to the sample period, with causality from growth to debt much more prevalent when the sample period includes the recent financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-443 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:440-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: François-Eric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: François-Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Author-Name: William F. Rentz Author-X-Name-First: William F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rentz Title: Testing Fama–French’s new five-factor asset pricing model: evidence from robust instruments Abstract: Fama and French (FF, 2015) propose a five-factor asset pricing model that captures size, value, profitability and investment patterns. The primary purpose here is to further investigate this new model using an improved GMM-based robust instrumental variables technique. A further purpose is to explore the relationship among the FF factors and the Pástor–Stambaugh (PS, 2003) liquidity factor. We conclude that except for the market factor, all of the factors including liquidity are not significant at even the 5% level using our GMM approach for almost all of the FF 12 sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 444-448 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:444-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiona Balfoussia Author-X-Name-First: Hiona Author-X-Name-Last: Balfoussia Author-Name: Heather D. Gibson Author-X-Name-First: Heather D. Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Financial conditions and economic activity: the potential impact of the targeted long-term refinancing operations (TLTROs) Abstract: This article explores the relationship between financial conditions and real economic activity in the euro area as a whole and for Greece in particular. We use a financial conditions index (see Angelopoulou et al. 2014) which is constructed using a wide range of prices, quantities, spreads and survey data in line with theory. We update the indices and use them within a VAR framework to estimate the potential impact of the targeted long-term refinancing operations (TLTROs) on aspects of economic activity. Our results suggest that financial conditions do have a significant effect on economic activity, and thus the TLTROs, to the extent that they are designed to improve financial conditions, will provide a boost to the real economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-456 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:449-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meihong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Meihong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Yuduo Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yuduo Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Haiyang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Exports and firm survival: do trade regime and productivity matter? Abstract: This article aims to investigate the role of trade regime and productivity in the link between exporting and firm survival. We use firm-level data from China to examine whether exporters engaged in different trade regimes and with different levels of productivity react differently with regard to survival probability. We find that exporters engaged in all types of trade regimes have higher survival probabilities in comparison with nonexporters; however, the survival probability of exporters engaged in processing trade is less positively affected by productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-460 Issue: 6 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:6:p:457-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert-Paul Berben Author-X-Name-First: Robert-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Berben Author-Name: Ad Stokman Author-X-Name-First: Ad Author-X-Name-Last: Stokman Title: Does deflation affect household spending? The case of the Netherlands Abstract: This article investigates the impact of deflation on real private consumption and residential investment by Dutch households during the 1980–2013 period. We estimate theoretically founded consumption and investment equations and show that a fall in the general price level significantly negatively affects both growth in real consumption and residential investment. The impact on residential investment is more delayed, but stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-689 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:685-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Silva Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Isabel Soares Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Tax on emissions or subsidy to renewables? Evaluating the effects on the economy and on the environment Abstract: We examine the relationship between the economy and the environment in a model where production uses nonpolluting renewable and polluting nonrenewable resources. There is policy intervention through a tax on emissions and a subsidy to renewables extraction/production. Results show that both instruments are able to decrease emissions intensity of output. However, when used together, the desired effect is higher. Empirically it is shown that the subsidy achieves higher renewables intensity and although present emissions per output are similar for both instruments, the subsidy achieves lower future levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 690-694 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:690-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christiane Hellmanzik Author-X-Name-First: Christiane Author-X-Name-Last: Hellmanzik Author-Name: Martin Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: The impact of cultural exceptions: audiovisual services trade and trade policy Abstract: Audiovisual services such as music and movies in digital formats have gained substantial importance over the last decade, while remaining one of the sectors with the lowest number of commitments by WTO members. Based on a novel data set, this article analyses the role of trade restrictions on audiovisual services in a gravity model. We find that countries with WTO commitments trade more audiovisual services, while both exports and imports are lower for countries which impose policies to curb inflows of foreign cultural services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-700 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:695-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Monge Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Monge Author-Name: Luís Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luís Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Fractional integration and cointegration in merger and acquisitions in the US petroleum industry Abstract: This article employs methodologies based on fractional integration and cointegration to analyse the time-series properties of merger and acquisitions (M&A) activity and crude oil prices in the US from 1980 to 2012. Our results indicate that an increase in the crude oil price produces a significant increase in the M&A data between 2 and 3 months after the initial shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-704 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100245 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:701-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Blazquez-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Blazquez-Fernández Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Author-Name: Marta Pascual-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual-Saez Title: Is pharmaceutical expenditure related to the business cycles? Abstract: Recent research is focused on the study of health care expenditure and fiscal sustainability. In order to facilitate the understanding of this issue, we centre our interest on the Spanish pharmaceutical expenditure. Specifically, using data for the period 1995–2012, in the article we analyse if economic cycles affect pharmaceutical expenditures. Our results support that there is a positive relationship between pharmaceutical expenditure and economic development. Therefore, we conclude that pharmaceutical expenditures are pro cyclical over the last years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-707 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:705-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Bergh Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Bergh Author-Name: Irina Mirkina Author-X-Name-First: Irina Author-X-Name-Last: Mirkina Author-Name: Therese Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Do the poor benefit from globalization regardless of institutional quality? Abstract: Despite significant progress towards the Millennium goals, more than one billion people live on less than 1.25 US dollars per day. Previous research suggests that globalization stimulates poverty reduction, but does not investigate what role institutions play in this relationship. Theoretically, globalization could act as either a complement or a substitute to institutional quality in reducing poverty. We find that the poverty-reducing effect of globalization is stronger when institutions are weak. In particular, increasing social globalization reduces poverty more when corruption is high and democratic accountability is low. Thus, globalization has the power to reduce poverty even in countries with low institutional quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 708-712 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:708-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Frondel Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Frondel Author-Name: Colin Vance Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Vance Author-Name: Alex Kihm Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Kihm Title: Time lags in the pass-through of crude oil prices: big data evidence from the German gasoline market Abstract: This article investigates the pass-through of global Brent oil notations to fuel prices across the oligopoly of retail majors in Germany. We assemble a high-frequency panel data set that encompasses millions of price observations and allows us to distinguish effects by brand. Upon establishing a cointegrating relationship between fuel and crude oil prices using daily data, we estimate an ECM and find that (1) the pass-through of oil prices critically depends on the number of time lags included in the ECM; (2) strict adherence to classical information criteria for determining lag length yields extremely long pass-through durations and (3) the estimated impulse response functions are virtually identical across brands, irrespective of the lag count, suggesting a high degree of competition among brands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-717 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:713-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Bergmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Bergmann Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Age and organizational identification: empirical findings from professional sports Abstract: Although identification is critical to organizational survival, knowledge on how identification changes and evolves over time is still limited. Not only can tastes and choices vary across both social context and time, but individuals can change or choose their identity, as well as their ideals, group loyalty and/or social category. Hence, in this letter, we examine the relation between organizational identification and age using five large sports consumer surveys as a snapshot of the age distribution of team identification. Our results provide evidence of robust U-shaped age profiles, with a probable turning point in the 40s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 718-722 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:718-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher L. Ambrey Author-X-Name-First: Christopher L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ambrey Author-Name: Christopher M. Fleming Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleming Author-Name: Matthew Manning Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: The role of natural capital in supporting national income and social welfare Abstract: Using life satisfaction as a proxy for social welfare, this study contributes to the extant literature by empirically demonstrating that natural capital contributes to social welfare, functioning in part through increasing national income and in part through its direct effect on life satisfaction; the direct effect is approximately 40% greater than the indirect effect. This suggests that the true welfare benefits of natural capital may not be adequately reflected in conventional economic data and, therefore, studies seeking to evaluate the contribution of natural capital to human well-being should consider employing data sets that capture subjective elements of welfare. The magnitudes of the reported marginal effects of natural capital on social welfare, however, are small. This is perhaps due to the fact that (1) there are shortcomings in the measure of natural capital; (2) life satisfaction effects are unlikely to reflect the poorly understood benefits that natural capital provides; and (3) keystone species (such as mosquitoes) and integral ecosystems (such as wetlands) may be negatively associated with life satisfaction, even though such components of natural capital are vitally important to sustaining ecosystems and human life Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-727 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:723-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Laura Lamb Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Lamb Title: The Canadian tax-free savings account: a programme to help the rich get richer? Abstract: This article examines participation in the Canadian tax-free savings account (TFSA), implemented in 2009, and its potential impact on wealth inequality in Canada. Data from the 2012 Survey of Financial Security is used to estimate probit, tobit and Heckman probit selection models to test the hypothesis that high-income earners and wealth holders are the most likely recipients of the benefits associated with the TFSA. Empirical results highlight the significance of net worth as a key determinant of both participation in and contribution levels of the TFSA. The results are expected to be relevant to public policy-makers concerned with reducing inequality and those endeavouring to encourage savings for all socio-economic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 728-731 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:728-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Natalia Fernández-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Fernández Title: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar–euro exchange rate: first results from time-series analysis Abstract: This article examines the impact on the US dollar–euro (USD–EUR) exchange rate of the unconventional monetary policy conducted by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). To that end, we make use of time-series analysis to obtain a reasonable long-run and short run representation of the data generation process and use dummy variables to study how announcements about monetary policy changes can affect the USD–EUR exchange rate. Our results indicate that the announcement and subsequent implementation of such measures by the ECB would have caused an appreciation of the dollar, while those by the Fed would have caused a depreciation of the dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 732-735 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1102841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1102841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:732-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhichao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhichao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xunxiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xunxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zean Xia Author-X-Name-First: Zean Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Forecasting the realized volatility: the role of jumps Abstract: This article investigates the role of jump components dependent on the ABD-LM jump test in forecasting volatility. Our out-of-sample forecasting results show that compared with the ABD-LM jump component, its decomposition forms based on signed returns can significantly improve the models’ forecasting performance and our findings have important implications for investors and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 736-739 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:736-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Ernesto M. Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Ernesto M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: M. Christian Lehmann Author-X-Name-First: M. Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Lehmann Title: Why are tax revenues of local governments so low? Abstract: Using a unique data set on federal grants and tax revenues of more than 5000 Brazilian cities, we find that the federal government imposes an implicit tax of almost 10% on city governments’ tax revenues: for every dollar that a city collects from its residents, the federal government withdraws grants worth 9 cents from the city. Our findings suggest that local government tax revenues are low not because federal grants crowd out tax revenues, but because tax revenues crowd out federal grants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 740-742 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:740-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Willem van den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Author-X-Name-Last: van den End Title: Quantitative easing tilts the balance between monetary and macroprudential policy Abstract: Quantitative easing by central banks has stimulated risk-taking in financial markets and contributed to a liquidity-driven boom in asset prices. It puts the relation between monetary policy and financial stability into a new perspective. We show by a regression analysis for a panel of 11 advanced economies that an asset price bust has adverse effects on inflation. The effect of stock prices and corporate bond rates on inflation is significant, also if we control for developments in credit. This insight implies that in conducting and implementing quantitative easing, central banks should closely monitor and take into account asset bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-746 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:743-746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Yin Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Sustainability of current accounts: evidence from the quantile unit-root test Abstract: Regarding the stationarity of current accounts, previous studies used panel unit-root tests to improve the power of augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test. This paper applies a quantile autoregression (QAR) approach to improve ADF test in the presence of outliers, and found that first, the stationarity was present in a QAR framework, rather than ADF test. Second, current accounts exhibited symmetric (e.g. Taiwan) and asymmetric patterns, which showed that positive shocks in larger quantiles induce current accounts to adjust towards a long-term equilibrium for Korea, Thailand, the Philippines and Singapore. Japan exhibited an asymmetric pattern in response to negative shocks in smaller quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-755 Issue: 10 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1105914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1105914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:10:p:747-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dolores Jiménez-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Jiménez-Rubio Author-Name: Nuno Garoupa Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Garoupa Author-Name: Virginia Rosales Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Author-X-Name-Last: Rosales Title: Explaining divorce rate determinants: new evidence from Spain Abstract: This article examines the main determinants of divorce rates in Spain for the period 1995 to 2010. According to the results, the so-called Express Divorce Law (passed in 2005) seems to be positively associated with divorce rates in the short term. Income level and growth, female employment rate, and the proportion of foreign population are also positively related to divorce rates. However, as expected, the percentage of conservative vote seems to have a negative impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-464 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1064070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1064070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:461-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Acosta-González Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-González Author-Name: J. Andrada-Félix Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Félix Author-Name: F. Fernández-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodríguez Title: Stock-bond decoupling before and after the 2008 crisis Abstract: In this article, we analyse the co-movements of daily stock prices and government bond prices during the last 25 years, in major Western stock markets, extending previous results to take into account the impact of the current crisis. Our results confirm that bonds are viewed as instruments for improving portfolio diversification in periods of high volatility and falling stock market levels, which is when such diversification is most needed. The possibility of using government debt in portfolios as a means of hedging during times of financial crisis became especially apparent in the crises of 1997, 2001 and 2008. Nevertheless, during the current one, this diversification quality of bonds has disappeared in countries like Italy or Spain, which are also affected by sovereign debt issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-470 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:465-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karl Fritjof Krassel Author-X-Name-First: Karl Fritjof Author-X-Name-Last: Krassel Author-Name: Jacob Ladenburg Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Ladenburg Author-Name: Camilla Dalsgaard Author-X-Name-First: Camilla Author-X-Name-Last: Dalsgaard Title: Balancing the risk of ‘Lazearian’ interrupters and the benefits of educational and social peers: tracing parental preferences for class-size reduction Abstract: Using Danish survey data from a choice experiment, parental preferences for class-size reduction are estimated. While parents with children in large classes are willing to pay for class-size reduction, parents with children in small classes are reluctant and even express negative utility for further class-size reduction. We interpret this as parents balancing the risk of ‘Lazearian’ interrupters and the benefits of educational and social peers when forming their preferences for class size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-481 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:471-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Höglund Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Höglund Author-Name: D. Sundvik Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Sundvik Title: Outsourcing of accounting tasks and tax management: evidence from a corporate tax rate change Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate if small firms react to a national corporate tax rate reduction by managing their taxable income. In contrast to previous studies, we also analyse whether outsourcing of accounting tasks affects the magnitude of the reaction. Based on a sample of Finnish firms and measures of earnings management, evidence is provided that firms with an internalized accounting function are more active tax planners in this context. This study suggests that outsourcing of accounting tasks increases the corporate tax reporting quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 482-485 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:482-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Callot Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Callot Author-Name: Niels Haldrup Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Haldrup Author-Name: Malene Kallestrup-Lamb Author-X-Name-First: Malene Author-X-Name-Last: Kallestrup-Lamb Title: Deterministic and stochastic trends in the Lee–Carter mortality model Abstract: The Lee and Carter (1992) model assumes that the deterministic and stochastic time series dynamics load with identical weights when describing the development of age-specific mortality rates. Effectively this means that the main characteristics of the model simplify to a random walk model with age-specific drift components. But restricting the adjustment mechanism of the stochastic and linear trend components to be identical may be too strong a simplification. In fact, the presence of a stochastic trend component may itself result from a bias induced by properly fitting the linear trend that characterizes mortality data. We find empirical evidence that this feature of the Lee–Carter model overly restricts the system dynamics and we suggest to separate the deterministic and stochastic time series components at the benefit of improved fit and forecasting performance. In fact, we find that the classical Lee–Carter model will otherwise overestimate the reduction of mortality for the younger age groups and will underestimate the reduction of mortality for the older age groups. In practice, our recommendation means that the Lee–Carter model instead of a one-factor model should be formulated as a two- (or several) factor model where one factor is deterministic and the other factors are stochastic. This feature generalizes to the range of models that extend the Lee–Carter model in various directions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 486-493 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:486-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrzej Kacprzyk Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Kacprzyk Title: Economic freedom–growth nexus in European Union countries Abstract: This study examines the economic freedom and economic growth nexus in a panel of 28 European Union countries. We investigate the relationship between growth and different components of economic freedom, measured in five major areas of the Economic Freedom of the World index. The aim of the article is to assess which aspects of economic freedom – and to what extent – contribute to economic growth in the EU. Our empirical analyses suggest that the results are sensitive to the method of estimation. Using the Generalized Method of Moments estimator which allows addressing endogeneity, we found a positive relationship between economic growth and four of the five aspects of economic freedom: security of property rights, quality of monetary policy, freedom to trade and regulatory policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 494-497 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:494-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Chris Shultz Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Shultz Title: Determinants of voting behaviour on the Keystone XL Pipeline Abstract: After lengthy debate, the Keystone XL Pipeline bill passed in January 2015. We use this event to better understand the determinants of Senator voting behaviour. Specifically, this article attempts to examine the relative impacts of political and economic influences. This is accomplished through the use of a binary logit regression model with legislator vote as the dependent variable. Results indicate that while legislators do appear to be representing their political constituency, the role of campaign funding plays an important role as well. The economic effect of such funding, controlling for other factors, is quantitatively small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 498-500 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:498-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Asymmetric structure of bid-ask spreads across the business cycle Abstract: This study argues that the structure of bid-ask spreads is asymmetric across the business cycle. During expansion, investors tend to be overconfident, leading to a higher spread component due to information asymmetry. On the other hand, during recession, the markets are more volatile, leading to a higher spread component due to order processing costs. With TAIEX futures contracts as a sample, it is found that the spread component due to information asymmetry is significantly higher in times of expansion than in times of recession, while the spread component due to order processing cost is significantly higher in times of recession than in times of expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-505 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:501-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Campaña Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Campaña Author-Name: J. Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: J. Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: The satisfaction of university students in Spain: differences by field of study Abstract: This article analyses the factors associated with student satisfaction in a sample of undergraduate students from the University of Zaragoza (Spain). In addition to considering socio-demographic characteristics, we also examine factors related to expectations and motivations. Using data from a survey carried out during the academic year 2011/12, we show that the level of satisfaction of the students varies according to their field of study, finding that students in Engineering and Science are comparatively less satisfied than those in other disciplines. Also, expectations about whether having a university degree will be enough to obtain a job are associated with their level of satisfaction. Moreover, alcohol consumption is positively associated with their level of satisfaction. Analysing the correlates of student satisfaction is important to understand student retention and persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 506-509 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:506-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eva Deuchert Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Deuchert Author-Name: Helge Liebert Author-X-Name-First: Helge Author-X-Name-Last: Liebert Title: Aging faster in office? the effect of extended service in political office on longevity Abstract: Politicians’ health problems are often publicly related to occupational stress. We investigate the effect of serving longer time in office on US governors’ life expectancy. Results indicate that health problems are relevant for the decision to continue a political career. We find no evidence that serving longer in political office is detrimental to health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 510-515 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1083936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1083936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:510-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Author-Name: Jodi E. Pelkowski Author-X-Name-First: Jodi E. Author-X-Name-Last: Pelkowski Title: Are there too few trades during the NFL draft? Abstract: College football players are initially assigned to teams in the National Football League (NFL) through the league’s draft selection process. At each team’s turn to pick, the team has the option of exercising the pick itself or trading it to another team. If gains from trade are exhausted, draft picks should be exercised by the team with the highest expected value. That is, the expected player contribution garnered from a given pick should not be dependent on whether the pick was traded or retained. Regression results, however, indicate that controlling for a player’s draft position, when a team trades up to acquire a player, that player is more likely to have greater on-field success. This suggests that there are too few draft day trades. Plausible reasons are high transaction costs or the fear of media scrutiny that draft trades can engender. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 516-519 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:516-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: Philip Watson Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Spatial variations in the relationship between economic diversity and stability Abstract: Using US county-level data, we explore how economic diversity influenced economic stability over the period of the Great Recession. We find that higher diversity is associated with greater stability, but there are distinct spatial patterns and the relationship does not hold for much of the central part of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 520-525 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:520-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Daniels Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Daniels Author-Name: M. Wang Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: M. C. S. Wong Author-X-Name-First: M. C. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Individual attitudes towards the impact of multinational corporations on local businesses: how important are individual characteristics and country-level traits? Abstract: We study the importance of individual characteristics and national factors influencing individual attitudes towards the impact of multinational corporations on local businesses. Our sample includes more than 40 000 respondents in 29 countries from the 2003 National Identity Survey conducted by the International Social Survey Programme. We find that individual demographic factors and socioeconomic status, such as gender, age, income and education, are strong predictors of their attitudes. For example, income and education are positively associated with favourable attitudes towards the impact of multinational corporations (MNCs) on local businesses while age is negatively associated with individual attitudes towards MNCs. In addition, hierarchical ordered logit model results show that approximately 8% of total variations in individual attitudes around our sample mean are not explained by differences in personal traits. Instead, they are due to country-level heterogeneity such as, but not limited to, different degrees of openness or different aggregate income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 526-531 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:526-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Button Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Button Author-Name: Gianmaria Martini Author-X-Name-First: Gianmaria Author-X-Name-Last: Martini Author-Name: Davide Scotti Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Scotti Title: Impacts of the Arab Spring on trade in airline services Abstract: This article examines the impacts of the ‘Arab Spring’ on trade in air services between the various North African and Levant countries involved. Studies of the implications of these socio-economic changes on trade in the region are made difficult because of a paucity of good economic data and the involvement of outside countries in the trade that now takes place. The number of international airline seats available provides a partial and fairly reliable variable to examine trade patterns. The analysis looks at changes in patterns of trade in these services between 1997 and 2013. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 532-535 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:532-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Baumann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Baumann Author-Name: Bryan Engelhardt Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Engelhardt Title: Crime and labour market turnover Abstract: We go beyond unemployment to investigate how its determinants, specifically hires, lay-offs and quits, affect crime. As expected, we find less crime in localities with higher hiring and quit rates and lower lay-off rates. The size of relationships is on the order of studies analysing the link between unemployment and crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 536-538 Issue: 7 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:7:p:536-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodore R. Breton Author-X-Name-First: Theodore R. Author-X-Name-Last: Breton Title: Evidence that capital formation is overestimated in low- and middle-income countries in ICP 2011 Abstract: Using the International Comparison Program (ICP) 2011’s cross-country data on input prices and project cost shares, I show that the ICP 2011 construction prices are substantially underestimated in the 143 low- and middle-income countries where these prices were estimated from input prices. As a consequence, the ICP 2011’s estimate of PPP-adjusted construction is overestimated on average by about 100% and gross fixed capital formation is overestimated by 25–30% in these countries. These nonrandom data errors are of sufficient magnitude to cause serious estimation bias in cross-country growth analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 903-907 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:903-907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivar Kolstad Author-X-Name-First: Ivar Author-X-Name-Last: Kolstad Author-Name: Arne Wiig Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Wiig Title: Education and electoral participation: reported versus actual voting behaviour Abstract: Using survey data of voters in Tanzania, this article shows that while education does not affect self-reported voting in general elections, it increases actual voting. The less educated are more likely to claim to have voted without having done so, which may explain why previous studies of voting in developing countries fail to find an effect of education. We demonstrate the importance of this finding by using our survey data to generate predicted voting probabilities for the respondents to the 2012 Afrobarometer survey in Tanzania and show that while mean self-reported voting does not differ much at different levels of education, the differences become significant when taking into account voting misrepresentation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 908-911 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:908-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Revollo-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Revollo-Fernández Author-Name: Alonso Aguilar-Ibarra Author-X-Name-First: Alonso Author-X-Name-Last: Aguilar-Ibarra Author-Name: Fiorenza Micheli Author-X-Name-First: Fiorenza Author-X-Name-Last: Micheli Author-Name: Andrea Sáenz-Arroyo Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Sáenz-Arroyo Title: Exploring the role of gender in common-pool resource extraction: evidence from laboratory and field experiments in fisheries Abstract: There is active debate on gender issues in natural resource management. For example, it is proposed that women are more cooperative than men when dealing with natural resources decisions; however, few scientific studies have directly addressed this hypothesis. We provide evidence for a greater cooperative attitude in women compared to men in both college students and coastal fishing communities of Baja California, Mexico, by means of game theory experiments. In both laboratory and field experiments, women changed their behaviour towards lower extraction compared to men, when regulations, sanctions or social scolding were introduced in the games. These results suggest that raising the role of women in decision-making, along with an adequate institutional framework, may lead to a more sustainable use of natural resources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 912-920 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:912-920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Schalck Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schalck Title: Rental housing for a French taxpayer: are there tax arbitrage opportunities in the USA? Abstract: The aim of this paper is to identify tax arbitrage opportunities in the field of rental housing in France and the USA. We conducted tax simulations for investments made in the USA or France. We compared total net rental incomes, capital gains and present investment values based on different tax regimes. Our results show that rental housing in the USA under the Effectively Connected Income classification serves as the best option, as it generates the highest present investment value. We performed several robustness exercises and we showed that our results are strengthened in cases of stronger price appreciation in the USA than in France and in cases of high landlord tax brackets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-925 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:921-925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Shortfall minimization and the Naive (1/N) portfolio: an out-of-sample comparison Abstract: Naive portfolio selection, wherein an investor allocates an equal portion of their wealth to the field of candidate assets, is a simple ad-hoc way to create a portfolio. Naive portfolio selection contrasts to the many sophisticated portfolio selection rules that are optimal with respect to a specific portfolio allocation objective and which often perform well in sample. However, some recent research finds that many of these ‘optimal’ portfolio allocation mechanisms perform no better than naive diversification in out-of-sample data. This paper extends this line of inquiry by comparing the out-of-sample performance of naive portfolio selection to several recently developed shortfall-minimizing portfolio selection methods. The results corroborate the prior findings that optimal portfolio methods struggle to beat the naive portfolio in out-of-sample environments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 926-929 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:926-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Campanale Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Campanale Author-Name: Francesco Turino Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Turino Title: Two-tier labour market reform: a quantitative general equilibrium assessment Abstract: In the 1990s several European countries liberalized the use of fixed-term labour contracts in an effort to reduce persistently low employment growth. This article studies the effect of these reforms through the lens of a version of the Hopenhayn and Rogerson (1993) model calibrated on Italian data. We find no effect of the reform on total employment in steady state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 930-935 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:930-935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Austin Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Austin Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Do stock returns hedge inflation at long horizons? Abstract: We investigate the long-horizon relationship between market returns and inflation in the United States. Conventional tests for long horizon predictability may reject the null too frequently when the predictor variable is highly persistent and endogenous and there are overlapping observations. We use a recently developed econometric technique designed to overcome these problems. We find little to no evidence that securities are able to hedge inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 936-939 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:936-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José María Arranz Author-X-Name-First: José María Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Fernando Muñoz-Bullón Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Muñoz-Bullón Title: Unemployment benefits and recall jobs: a split population model Abstract: We study the transitions out of unemployment of the recipients of insurance benefits, focusing on whether or not they are recalled to their previous employment. Specifically, a split population duration model (SPDM) for the recall decision by employers is compared with a standard duration model (SDM). We find significant differences between the SPDM and the SDM estimates, both with regard to their magnitude and expected sign. Some of the variables record undervalued estimated hazard rates in the SDM with respect to the SPDM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 940-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:940-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco-Javier Canto-Cuevas Author-X-Name-First: Francisco-Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Canto-Cuevas Author-Name: María-José Palacín-Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: María-José Author-X-Name-Last: Palacín-Sánchez Author-Name: Filippo di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: di Pietro Title: Trade credit in SMEs: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of the trade credit in Spanish manufacturing small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) from a new perspective. Specifically, we focus on the relationship between trade credit and other relevance financial resources: bank credit and self-financing. For the first time in the literature, a quantile regression approach is used, which takes into account the heterogeneity of firms in different quantiles of trade credit distribution. Our results show that the relationship between trade credit and other financial sources presents dissimilarities, including differences in sign, on SMEs with different degrees of trade credit. Our findings help to clarify the confusing results achieved in previous research on this topic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Title: I would walk 500 miles: using travel costs to analyse the market for popular music concerts Abstract: This article examines the market for live performances of superstar musical artists. Using data on 56 concerts featuring acts such as Steely Dan, Willie Nelson and Def Leppard, we find that concertgoers have a higher willingness to pay for an increase in the artists’ top-10 albums than for an additional chart-topping single. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-952 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:949-952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Garvey Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Garvey Author-Name: Tao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Fei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Who trades quickly? Abstract: We examine differences among US equity market participants according to how quickly, on average, they execute their orders. When traders who execute faster buy (sell), market prices tend to rise (decline). Those who trade more quickly take liquidity more, use smaller trade sizes, transact more frequently, and spread their trading across more venues. Although faster traders are net liquidity demanders, they pay a lower cost to trade. Our results indicate that systematic differences exist across market participants according to how fast they transact, and those with a shorter time to execution exhibit traits that are consistent with information-based trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-957 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1122729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:953-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Woo-Yung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Woo-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Can the difference in ageing across cities explain the divergence of human capital across cities in Korea? Abstract: This article uses Korean census data to investigate the divergence of human capital levels across cities in Korea and the role of ageing in explaining the divergence. Our analysis shows that the proportion of adults with a college degree has increased more in cities with a higher initial schooling level in Korea. This finding is consistent with what Berry and Glaeser (2005) and others found for the USA. However, if we control for the difference in ageing across cities, the relationship between the initial schooling level and the proportion of adults with a college degree does not hold any longer. It is argued that the difference in ageing across cities can largely account for the divergence of human capital levels across cities in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 958-964 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:958-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Voelzke Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Voelzke Title: Individual labour income, stock prices and whom it may concern Abstract: In this paper, a panel model which describes the relationship between individual labour income and stock prices in Germany is estimated. The specification allows the individuals to cluster concerning the model parameters that describe first the individual labour income dynamics and second the relationship between the individual labour income and financial markets. Methodically, a Bayesian model-based non-Gaussian panel data approach, proposed by Juarez and Steel (2010a), is used. A group of individuals with a high cluster assignment probability is found. The characteristics of this group, whose individuals share the same autoregressive dynamics and a common, relatively high dependence on financial markets, are investigated further. It can be shown that this group has a statistically significantly different partition of the major occupational groups. This leads to implications for various branches of the literature, such as the pricing of human capital contracts, the hedging of individual income risk, portfolio optimization or asset pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Kerry Smith Author-X-Name-First: V. Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Sharon L. Harlan Author-X-Name-First: Sharon L. Author-X-Name-Last: Harlan Author-Name: Michael McLaen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McLaen Author-Name: Jacob Fishman Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Fishman Author-Name: Carlos Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Valcarcel Author-Name: Marcia L. Nation Author-X-Name-First: Marcia L. Author-X-Name-Last: Nation Title: Using household surveys to implement field experiments: the willingness to donate to food banks Abstract: This paper demonstrates that it is possible to jointly produce household surveys and field experiments by incorporating field experiments into the structure of the financial incentives used to enhance response rates. We use the opportunity to donate the financial incentive to a food bank to illustrate how the strategy would work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-972 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1125423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1125423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:969-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Seok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effect of the Kyoto Protocol on international trade flows: evidence from G20 countries Abstract: This study examines the effect of the Kyoto Protocol on trade using gravity model with a Quandt–Andrews test for detection of structural break with G20 countries data. The structural break on international trade took place in 2003 that is around 1 year after the adoption of the Marrakesh Accords which includes the detailed implementation rules of the Kyoto Protocol. According to estimation results, this study can support the negative effect of environmental regulations on trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-977 Issue: 13 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1167820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:13:p:973-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xun Li Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Are US obesity rates converging? Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine whether US obesity rates are converging. Using US overweight rates and obesity rates data in 50 states and District of Columbia during 1996–2013, the results of this article show that $$\beta $$β-convergence occurred for obesity rates, overweight rates, and overweight and obesity rates during time period 1996–2001. The existence of $$\beta $$β-convergence also varies in different regions. It was also found that $$\sigma $$σ-convergence occurred in the full period 1996–2013 and several sub-periods. These findings imply that more policies and regulations should be placed on specific regions, for example, the Northeast. Meanwhile, relevant policies could be ineffective in some sub-periods without the occurrence of $$\sigma $$σ-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Binder Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Binder Title: Revisiting Cheerful Jane and Miserable John: the impact of income, good health, social contacts and education declines with increasing subjective well-being Abstract: This short note seeks to replicate the quantile regression analysis in Binder and Coad (2011), but taking into account individual-specific fixed effects (FE; using the British Household Panel Survey data set). It finds declining effects of the four main variables of interest (health, social life, income, education) over the quantiles of the subjective well-being distribution, with attenuated effect sizes for the FE model. Equivalized log income has a negative impact on subjective well-being throughout the distribution. Apart from a number of robustness checks, existing research is extended by looking into the quantile effects of the above variables on a set of domain satisfactions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 544-553 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1085635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1085635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:544-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Panel asymmetric nonlinear unit root test and PPP in Africa Abstract: This study revisits purchasing power parity (PPP) theory for 20 African countries using panel asymmetric nonlinear unit root test proposed by Emirmahmutoglu and Omay (2014), through the sequential panel selection method of Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009). While standard panel unit root tests fail to support the PPP, the empirical results from panel asymmetric nonlinear unit root test do support the PPP. However, additional tests reveal that support in all 20 African countries is mostly due to stationarity of the real effective exchange rates of Ghana and Rwanda where the adjustment process towards equilibrium is nonlinear and asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 554-558 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:554-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Medcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Medcalfe Title: Are bidders in auctions anchored by their bidder number? Abstract: This article examines whether bidders in a school fundraising auction were anchored by their bidder number. We find no evidence that they were. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-561 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:559-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhicheng Phil Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhicheng Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Title: Consequential egalitarianism vs. accountability principle: an experimental investigation Abstract: We conducted a laboratory experiment to investigate how people’s fairness views and redistribution depend on different rooted risks, specifically whether the risk is exogenously assigned in a ‘pure-luck’ control assignment or endogenously chosen by subjects in an ‘option-luck’ treatment. This experiment examines two contradictory views about distributive justice, namely consequential egalitarianism and the accountability principle (AP). The results show widespread support for the view of AP when participants have the opportunity to alleviate the risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 562-565 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:562-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel R. Raisanen Author-X-Name-First: Samuel R. Author-X-Name-Last: Raisanen Author-Name: Kathryn F. Birkeland Author-X-Name-First: Kathryn F. Author-X-Name-Last: Birkeland Title: State appropriations and undergraduate borrowing: more debt, less money Abstract: When state appropriations decrease, public universities respond by raising tuition. Students borrow more in response to both tuition increases and appropriation cuts. This article investigates the feedback of how borrowing and tuition influence state appropriations. Using a panel data set of 450 four-year public universities from 1999 to 2012, we employ three-stage least squares techniques to control for the endogeneity between state appropriations, tuition and student borrowing. There is evidence that state policy-makers respond to increases in university tuition and student borrowing by decreasing future appropriation levels. After controlling for the effect of appropriations on tuition and borrowing, a one-dollar increase in student borrowing reduces state appropriations per student by $0.06, and a one-dollar increase in tuition results in a decrease of $0.45 in state appropriations per student. When universities increase tuition for reasons other than a reduction in state appropriations, policy-makers respond with a significant cut in future appropriations which could signal an incentive strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 566-570 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:566-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Félix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: José Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Title: Revenue-maximizing tax rates in personal income taxation in the presence of consumption taxes: a note Abstract: This article computes revenue-maximizing tax rates in personal income taxes in the presence of consumption taxes. It finds that the traditional Laffer analysis, which neglects the effects of marginal tax rates on consumption, overestimates the magnitude of revenue-maximizing tax rates. The bias caused by this oversight is computed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-575 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:571-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: Is the asset growth anomaly driven by macroeconomic states? Abstract: This study examines the asset growth anomaly in the presence of different macroeconomic states. The results show that the asset growth effect is strongly associated with macroeconomic conditions. When the economy is quiet, the spread between low and high investment firms is small and insignificant. In times of economic stress, the spread is economically large and statistically significant. The results support risk-based explanations for the asset growth effect in line with q-theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 576-579 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1088137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1088137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:576-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriele Marconi Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Marconi Author-Name: Miroslav Beblavý Author-X-Name-First: Miroslav Author-X-Name-Last: Beblavý Author-Name: Ilaria Maselli Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Maselli Title: Age effects in Okun’s law with different indicators of unemployment Abstract: We reassess the results from the literature on the relationship between the youth unemployment rate and GDP growth (Okun’s law), based on the concern that the unemployment rate is not an ideal indicator for teenagers and young adults. Using the unemployment ratio instead, we find that youth unemployment (15–24 years old) is not significantly more responsive to economic growth than prime-age (25–64) unemployment. However, compared to prime-age unemployment, teenagers’ unemployment (15–19) is relatively unresponsive, whereas young adult’s (20–24) unemployment is more strongly correlated with economic growth. These results are quite different than those obtained with the unemployment rate as the dependent variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 580-583 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:580-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paramita Dhar Author-X-Name-First: Paramita Author-X-Name-Last: Dhar Author-Name: Christina Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Physical activity and childhood obesity Abstract: More than one-third of American children and teenagers are considered overweight or obese. Unfortunately, obesity is often a persistent and dangerous health condition that is costly to manage. It is one of the leading causes of preventable death and combating the condition has become a national priority. To this end the two most common recommendations are: eat a healthier diet and increase physical activity. Using data from both the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) and the NLSY79 Children and Young Adult files, this study examines the relationship between physical activity and the persistence of childhood obesity. More specifically, Cox-proportional hazard techniques are used to quantify the impact a child’s physical activity has on the likelihood that they exit an overweight or obese state. Results indicate that being physically active reduces the probability that an overweight or obese child remains overweight or obese. Strikingly, there is not a significant difference between children who are active daily and those who are active a few times per week, suggesting that being active may be more important than the frequency of activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 584-587 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:584-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Measurement of redistributive effect of tax rates from a longitudinal perspective: an application of the fixed taxable income approach Abstract: The primary objective of this article is to explore how the redistributive effects of tax rate change when using the fixed taxable income approach – where tax rates for each year in a period are applied to taxable income for a base year to calculate rate effects – instead of using an existing procedure to compute the rate effects. Standard rate effects are found to differ considerably from those calculated using the fixed taxable income approach in terms of both level and longitudinal trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 588-591 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:588-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Whyte Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Whyte Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Determinants of online sperm donor success: how women choose Abstract: Because the worldwide demand for sperm donors is much higher than the actual supply available through fertility clinics, an informal online market has emerged for sperm donation. Very little empirical evidence exists, however, on this newly formed market and even less on the characteristics that lead to donor success. This article therefore explores the determinants of online sperm donors’ selection success, which leads to the production of offspring via informal donation. We find that donor age and income play a significant role in donor success as measured by the number of times selected, even though there is no requirement for ongoing paternal investment. Donors with less extroverted and lively personality traits who are more intellectual, shy and systematic are more successful in realizing offspring via informal donation. These results contribute to both the economic literature on human behaviour and on large-scale decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 592-596 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:592-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro Ricci-Risquete Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Ricci-Risquete Author-Name: Julián Ramajo Author-X-Name-First: Julián Author-X-Name-Last: Ramajo Author-Name: Francisco De Castro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: De Castro Title: Time-varying effects of fiscal policy in Spain: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: How have the effects of Spanish fiscal policy varied over time? Given this starting point, in this article we analyse the regime dependence of fiscal policy in Spain by estimating a vector autoregressive model within a Markov-switching framework. Our results indicate that Spain’s membership of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is the most likely source of time variation in the fiscal outcomes. Accordingly, increases in the primary deficit-to-GDP ratio do not succeed in stimulating economic activity in the first regime; rather, unexpected upsurges in the primary deficit harm economic activity (non-Keynesian effect) in the second regime, which prevails since the ratification of the Maastricht Treaty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshitaka Okano Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Okano Title: Re-examination of team’s play in a mixed-strategy game experiment Abstract: Palacios-Huerta and Volij (2008) found that the behaviour of professional soccer players in two-person zero-sum games is consistent with minimax play, while Wooders (2010) re-examined their data and found inconsistencies in several respects. This study applies a similar analysis of Wooders (2010) to the experimental data in Okano (2013), which found that the behaviour of teams of two-student subjects conforms closely to minimax play, and addresses whether teams exhibit the same inconsistencies as professionals. Teams were found to have consistency with minimax play, with no tendencies similar to those of professionals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1090545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Abinzano Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Abinzano Author-Name: Luis Muga Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Muga Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Game, set and match: the favourite-long shot bias in tennis betting exchanges Abstract: We test for the existence of Favourite-Longshot Bias (FLB) in tennis betting exchanges. Despite these being order-driven markets, with no direct participation from bookmakers, we have found very similar results to those obtained by Lahvička (2014) for bookmakers’ betting markets: the bias is stronger in matches between lower-ranked players, in later round matches and in high profile tournaments. This suggests that bookmakers’ adjustments to respond to informed betting are not the main driver of FLB. The varying magnitude of the bias across different types of event in the main market also weakens arguments linking FLB to gamblers’ risk preferences, and suggests the need to consider the microstructure features of the market together with the cognitive biases highlighted in the behavioural finance literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 8 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Nikolaev Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaev Author-Name: Pavel Rusakov Author-X-Name-First: Pavel Author-X-Name-Last: Rusakov Title: Education and happiness: an alternative hypothesis Abstract: Recent research has documented a negative relationship between education and happiness. We test the hypothesis that the extent to which education makes an individual happy depends on their current age in life. We find suggestive evidence that people with higher education are more likely to be happier, on average, than their less educated counterparts starting in their early to mid-30s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-830 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:827-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Puciato Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Puciato Title: Socio-economic conditions of physical activity of manual workers from Wrocław Abstract: The article is aimed at evaluating the relationships existing between physical activity of manual workers from Wrocław and their socio-economic status. The survey completed in 2013 comprised 844 persons (300 women and 544 men), aged from 21 to 60 years. A method of diagnostic poll was used to assess physical activity, and the International Physical Activity Questionnaire in a short version was used as the survey instrument, with the form expanded by characteristics of socio-economic status. Most of surveyed Wrocław residents were making physical effort sufficient to achieve health benefits. Moreover, the probability of meeting physical activity standards defined by the World Health Organization was highest for people between 21 and 30 years of age, with secondary education, whose monthly gross income per person in a household did not exceed PLN 1000. The survey has shown the existence of physical activity relationships with such characteristics of socio-economic status of surveyed persons as age, education and income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-834 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:831-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Natalia Fernández-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Fernández Title: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar–euro exchange rate: further evidence from event studies Abstract: New evidence is presented on the impact on the US dollar–euro (USD–EUR) exchange rate of the unconventional monetary policy conducted by the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the European Central Bank (ECB). To that end, we employ an event study approach using daily the USD–EUR exchange rate for the period from 2 January 2007 to 31 January 2015. Our results indicate that the announcement and subsequent implementation of such measures by the ECB would have caused in general an appreciation of the dollar, while those by the FED would have caused a depreciation of the dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1111984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1111984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Pineiro-Chousa Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Pineiro-Chousa Author-Name: Marcos Vizcaíno-González Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Vizcaíno-González Author-Name: Jérôme Caby Author-X-Name-First: Jérôme Author-X-Name-Last: Caby Title: Analysing voting behaviour in the United States banking sector through eigenvalue decomposition Abstract: Using data about votes emitted by funds in corporate meetings held by US banks from 2003 to 2013, we propose a novel approach based on eigenvalue decomposition to address the issue of communality in voting decisions. Our results indicate that there is a main underlying feature that contributes to explain this voting behaviour. Also, a dimensionality reduction could be accomplished so that a subset of the original data can replicate the sample. These findings confirm that there may be a sort of homogeneous or systematic component when it comes to explain the voting pattern into the banking industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 840-843 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:840-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunjie Fu Author-X-Name-First: Yunjie Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Haiqi Li Author-X-Name-First: Haiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Real interest rate parity in Asian countries: evidence from the quantile unit root test Abstract: This article studies the real interest rate parity (RIP) for several Asian countries. This is done by examining the stationarity in the real interest rate differentials (rids) with respect to the US using the quantile unit root test. Our results show that rids exhibits unit-root behaviours in the lower quantile levels, and mean reversion in the upper quantile levels. Furthermore, large positive shocks tend to induce strong mean reversion and the adjustment towards the long-run equilibrium level is faster as rids gets larger, with shorter half-lives in the extreme quantile levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 844-848 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:844-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles R. Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Link Title: Registered nurses: the impact of wages on labour force participation and hours worked – are wages an effective mechanism for addressing RN shortages with evidence from 1960 to 2008? Abstract: Registered nurses (RNs) are critical producers and coordinators of patient care in acute and non-acute settings (Needleman et al. 2011). The Affordable Care Act coupled with an ageing population, are increasing demand for health care and, in turn, RNs. Numbering 3 million, RNs comprise the largest professional occupation in health care. Therefore, the labour force participation and hours worked are of keen interest to stakeholders and policymakers. Rising demand may exacerbate nursing shortages and have important effects on costs. We estimate the impact of wages on participation and hours worked as a possible policy tool to increase nursing supply. In 2008, the RN wage had a positive and significant effect on participation and a small positive but only marginally significant effect on hours worked given participation. The latter elasticity for married females (single females) was 0.11 (0.33). Therefore, the elasticity of hours worked with respect to the nurse wage is and unlikely to have an important effect on the participation rates or hours worked of currently trained female RNs. Consequently, wage increases are unlikely to be an effective policy to increase the labour supply among the currently licensed RNs and will not relieve any short-term nursing shortage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-852 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:849-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Darolia Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Darolia Author-Name: Cory Koedel Author-X-Name-First: Cory Author-X-Name-Last: Koedel Author-Name: Paco Martorell Author-X-Name-First: Paco Author-X-Name-Last: Martorell Author-Name: Katie Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Katie Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Francisco Perez-Arce Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Arce Title: Race and gender effects on employer interest in job applicants: new evidence from a resume field experiment Abstract: We sent nearly 9000 fictitious resumes to advertisements for job openings in seven major cities in the United States across six occupational categories. We randomly assigned names to the resumes that convey race and gender but for which a strong socio-economic connotation is not implicated. We find little evidence of systematic employer preferences for applicants from particular race and gender groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-856 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:853-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Veeranuch Leelalai Author-X-Name-First: Veeranuch Author-X-Name-Last: Leelalai Author-Name: Shenghui Tong Author-X-Name-First: Shenghui Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: The effect of managerial ability on dividend policy: how do talented managers view dividend payouts? Abstract: We contribute to the literature on dividend policy by relaxing Miller and Modigliani’s (1961) perfect capital market assumptions and incorporating a factor that has not been investigated before, that is, variation in managerial ability. Based on more than 24 000 observations across over 20 years (1989–2011), our results show that firms with more talented executives are more likely to pay dividends and, among firms that pay dividends, pay significantly larger dividends. A rise in managerial ability by one SD raises the propensity to pay dividends by 27% and, for firms that pay dividends, increases dividend payouts by 29%. Our results are consistent with the notion that talented managers, confident in their ability to keep the firm profitable, are more willing to pay larger dividends because they are less concerned about having to reduce dividends in the future. Further analysis shows that our results are not likely vulnerable to endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-862 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:857-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Parreño Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Parreño Author-Name: F. Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Author-Name: C. Casanueva Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Casanueva Title: Effectiveness of pre-commitments on reducing asymmetrical information in equity issues Abstract: The aim of this article is to find out whether or not consideration of significant shareholders announcement of intention to exercise subscription rights makes a difference in eliminating or reducing the effects of asymmetrical information in equity offerings with pre-emptive rights on the Spanish Stock Market. For the 17 years of equity issues covered, we find that the type of underwriting arrangements has not a statistically significant impact on the issues’ Excess Risk Adjusted Return. The main contribution of this study is the finding of a statistically significant negative impact on returns either when the significant shareholders indicate their intention not to subscribe or when not enough information is provided about their intention. We also find a statistically significant reinforcing negative effect on returns in the case of simultaneous lack of commitment on the part of significant shareholders, and non-underwritten equity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-867 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1114573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1114573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:863-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Kuang-Ping Ku Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Author-Name: Shu-Chuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The effects of inflation targeting on Okun’s law Abstract: This article provides the first empirical evidence that the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) matters for the extent of tradeoff between unemployment and output, that is Okun’s law. Our full sample results indicate that IT leads to a more negative Okun’s coefficient, suggesting that, for a given reduction of output, the introduction of IT is associated with a higher unemployment rate. Subsample analyses reveal that the whole sample results are mainly driven by the industrial subsample outcomes, not the developing counterparts. Our findings point out that IT not only influences macroeconomic variables per se but also affects the relationship between/among macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 868-874 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1117037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1117037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:868-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. S. Wall Author-X-Name-First: R. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Wall Author-Name: S. Stavropoulos Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Stavropoulos Title: Smart cities within world city networks Abstract: A substantiated definition of smart cities is urgently required. In this note, we explore the crossover between smart city and world city network literature. We argue that this crossover can contribute to the theoretical and empirical development of smart city literature. The results show that indeed, besides territorial measures, network measures, e.g. indegree and inward distance, are important in explaining the smartness of cities. Based on this, we recommend that smart cities include city network characteristics in future planning. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-879 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1117038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1117038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:875-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corinne Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Corinne Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Author-Name: Michael A. Leeds Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Leeds Title: Will the games pay? An event analysis of the 2020 summer Olympics announcement on stock markets in Japan, Spain, and Turkey Abstract: As a wealthy, highly developed city with many existing athletic facilities, Tokyo seems uniquely placed to profit from hosting the 2020 Olympics and boost the Japanese economy. We test this hypothesis using event analysis to determine whether the holding period return on Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 stock index showed abnormal returns following the IOC’s announcement that Tokyo would host the 2020 Summer Games. We use the same technique to investigate whether the stock markets in Madrid or Istanbul – the other finalist cities – showed abnormally low holding period returns in the wake of the announcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 880-883 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1117039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1117039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:880-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Oţoiu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Oţoiu Author-Name: Emilia Ţiţan Author-X-Name-First: Emilia Author-X-Name-Last: Ţiţan Title: Does the unemployment invariance hypothesis hold for Romania? Abstract: This article questions whether the unemployment invariance hypothesis of Layard et al. (2005), which states that movements in labour force do not significantly affect unemployment rates, holds true for Romania. Using quarterly labour force data for the 1996–2012 period, we explore the time-series properties of the two variables. We find that unemployment rates and participation rates have unit roots, and that they are not cointegrated, meaning that no significant long-term relationship exists between them. The analysis carried out on the first differences of unemployment rates and participation rates shows discouraged and added worker effects for Romania’s female labour force. This conclusion diverges from findings that point out to a stable, long-term relationship between unemployment and participation in several developed countries (Japan, Sweden, USA) and shows that Romanian labour market is highly adaptive, where changes in labour force participation do not lead to increases in unemployment. This finding can help model the influence of adverse developments such as ageing and emigration, and show their true impact beyond demographic doom scenarios. It also points out the role played by labour demand in shaping the evolution of the Romanian labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 884-887 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1117040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1117040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:884-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Sajeesh Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sajeesh Title: Influence of market-level and inter-firm differences in costs on product positioning and pricing Abstract: The objective of this article is to study the impact of differentiation and firm positioning on firm’s pricing decisions in a horizontally differentiated competitive market. We build a parsimonious game-theoretic model and analyse simultaneous entry of firms. The effect of differentiation is modelled as an additional cost incurred by both firms based on the degree of differentiation between the firms. The cost of positioning is modelled as a market level cost affecting both firms whereby firms incur a cost if they want to position themselves away from the centre of distribution of consumers. Our analysis provides some surprising results, explains some conflicting empirical observations documented in previous research and may also be useful for further empirical research in this area by providing sharper predictions about the impact of various types of costs on market outcomes. For example, we find that if the cost of positioning is sufficiently high, then a firm with lower cost of differentiation charges a higher price in equilibrium, even when no differences in exogenous costs exist. We also find that under some circumstances the cost disadvantaged firm can enjoy higher price-cost margins compared to the cost leader thereby suggesting that higher costs could be a blessing in disguise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 888-896 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1117041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1117041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:888-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Rath Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Recent trends in co-authorship in economics: evidence from RePEc Abstract: This article investigates the recent trends in co-authorship in economics. Using data from more than 700 000 journal articles we show that the average number of authors per article has increased over the last years. This process is likely to be continued in the future. In a regression analysis, we present evidence how the authorship of papers is related to the number of citations, the JEL classification, the number of journal pages and the length of the title. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-902 Issue: 12 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1119783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1119783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:12:p:897-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susane Leguizamon Author-X-Name-First: Susane Author-X-Name-Last: Leguizamon Title: Who cares about relative status? A quantile approach to consumption of relative house size Abstract: I estimate the willingness to pay (WTP) to live in a house near neighbours with relatively smaller (or larger) houses using housing transaction data. I find that consumers in the 50th and 75th percentile are willing to pay the most for an increase in relative housing consumption while consumers in the lower percentiles and the highest percentile yield a smaller, and statistically insignificant, WTP. This gives evidence to popular media reports that the middle class values relative status the most. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1066485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1066485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:307-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Title: Effects of the October 2013 U.S. Federal government shutdown on National Park gateway communities: the case of Acadia National Park and Bar Harbor, Maine Abstract: The U.S. Federal Government experienced a shutdown that halted much of its spending and services over 16 days in October 2013. Federal government officials noted a wide variety of impacts that the shutdown had on economic activity, including a reduction in the admission fees collected by the National Park Service and losses of visitor spending in ‘gateway communities’ located near national parks and monuments. This article examines the effects of the October 2013 federal government shutdown on Acadia National Park’s gateway community of Bar Harbor, Maine. Regression results show that the 16-day shutdown is associated with a 76% reduction in Acadia visitation in October 2013 and a 13% reduction in tourism-related sales. This suggests that an estimated 17% of the potential visitors impacted by the Acadia closure cancelled their trips to Bar Harbor. This change in visitor behaviour is a reasonably large response to a short-term event such as the government shutdown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-317 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:313-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Finite-sample size distortion of the AESTAR unit root test: GARCH, corrected variance–covariance matrix estimators and adjusted critical values Abstract: The behaviour of the asymmetric exponential smooth transition autoregressive (AESTAR) unit root test, which allows for asymmetric and nonlinear reversion to equilibrium, is examined in the presence of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH). It is found that while the test is relatively robust in the presence of ‘low volatility’ GARCH processes, it exhibits substantial size distortion when large values of the volatility parameter are considered. Attempted resolution via the routine application of heteroscedasticity consistent (or ‘corrected’) covariance matrix estimators (HCCMEs) is shown to result in overwhelming size distortion due to their impact upon the finite-sample distribution of the underlying test statistic. However, application of a corrected HCCME, in combination with critical values derived specifically under its use, results in the control of test size. Analogous results for the Dickey–Fuller (1979) test are presented to permit comparison with a test considering linear, symmetric adjustment. It is found that the AESTAR test is subject to far greater distortion than its linear, symmetric alternative. In summary, the results indicate that caution must be exercised when applying the AESTAR test to macroeconomic and financial time series, particularly if routine application of corrected covariance matrix estimators occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 318-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1071467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1071467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:318-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasunori Ouchida Author-X-Name-First: Yasunori Author-X-Name-Last: Ouchida Author-Name: Daisaku Goto Author-X-Name-First: Daisaku Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Title: Cournot duopoly and environmental R&D under regulator’s precommitment to an emissions tax Abstract: This study examines the environmental R&D (E-R&D) of Cournot duopolists with end-of-pipe technology under a regulator’s precommitment to an emissions tax. Under technological spillover effect, the government invariably prefers E-R&D cartelization to E-R&D competition. Highly contrary to earlier studies, consumer surplus is not necessarily maximized by environmental research joint venture cartelization, although this offers private and social incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:324-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Limin Du Author-X-Name-First: Limin Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Aoife Hanley Author-X-Name-First: Aoife Author-X-Name-Last: Hanley Author-Name: Katrin Rehdanz Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Rehdanz Title: China’s CO2 emissions from power generating stations and the role of subsidies – a first exploration Abstract: Our analysis is the first of its kind to explore patterns of subsidization and CO2 emissions in China’s electricity-producing sector. Applying data for all power plants across China and controlling for the age, capacity and location of generating stations, we find that plants attracting a higher government subsidy are also the plants generating a disproportionate share of CO2 emissions. This distortion is incongruent with China’s aspiration for a greener economy but may be eliminated if China delivers on its November 2013 announcement to review many industry subsidies on its way to a fully fledged market economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 332-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:332-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu You Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Yoonbai Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yoonbai Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Lei Hou Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Exchange rate regime classifications and exchange rate variability Abstract: It is well known that the exchange rate regime (ERR) declared to the IMF is often different from the actual regime. Several alternative schemes for de facto regime classification have been developed. In this article, we compare the ability of four popular schemes to track exchange rate variability (ERV). We find that the existing ERR classifications do not match well with the degree of ERV, especially for intermediate regimes. For instance, in the Levy-Yeyati and Sturzenegger (2003) coding, the intermediate regimes exhibit greater ERV than the floaters. On the other hand, for the Reinhart and Rogoff (2004) coding, the fixers show greater variability than some intermediates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 336-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:336-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cesar L. Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Cesar L. Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Author-Name: Ya Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xiaofei Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Organic farms' seasonal farm labour-sourcing strategies in the pre-‘Arizona’ mode of immigration control Abstract: This study analysed the strategies of the more labour-intensive organic farms in sourcing seasonal farmworkers for their operations. The study period (2002) captures the farm labour market conditions prior to enforcement of stricter ‘Arizona’ style of immigration controls. Farmers at that time usually would tend to exhaust the full potentials of family labour contributions before relying on off-farm labour sources. When off-farm workers were considered, the results establish the farms' dependence on foreign labourers for seasonal farm work, although farmers seemed to have already been more cautiously hiring these workers in areas with lower concentrations of undocumented workers. This study also confirmed that farmers generally used high wage offers (possibly directed to domestic workers with more employment options) to lure them into working in their farms. The results also emphasize the need for improvements in the H2A guest farmworker visa programme that did not offer significant remedy for seasonal farm labour hiring at that time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-346 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:341-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Marian Risse Author-X-Name-First: Marian Author-X-Name-Last: Risse Author-Name: Sebastian Rohloff Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Rohloff Title: A boosting approach to forecasting gold and silver returns: economic and statistical forecast evaluation Abstract: We use a boosting algorithm to forecast the returns of gold and silver prices. We then study the implications of using different information criteria to terminate the boosting algorithm in terms of the statistical and economic performance of a forecasting model. Our findings demonstrate that information criteria that select parsimonious forecasting models perform better in statistical terms than information criteria that select relatively complex forecasting models, but this good performance does not necessarily survive an economic performance evaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-352 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:347-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan Ülke Author-X-Name-First: Volkan Author-X-Name-Last: Ülke Author-Name: M. Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: M. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: Asymmetric effects of monetary policy shocks on economic performance: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: This study investigates the asymmetric effects of monetary policy shocks on the macroeconomic variables of exchange rate, output and inflation for an emerging economy ‒ Turkey ‒ by using monthly data between 1990 and 2014. We employ the innovative nonlinear vector autoregressive model of Kilian and Vigfusson (2011), which allows us to observe the effect of different stances (tight or loose) and different sizes (small or large) of monetary policy actions. Our empirical evidence reveals that tight monetary policy, which, in this case, is captured with a positive shock to interest rate, decreases exchange rate, output and prices, as economic theory suggests. Loose monetary policy, which is captured with a negative shock to interest rate, has the opposite effect on these variables. However, the effects of loose monetary policy are weaker than the effects of tight monetary policy because loose monetary policy shocks are less effective than tight monetary policy shocks. Moreover, as the magnitude of a shock increases, the difference between the effects of tight and loose monetary policy policies also increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-360 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1073836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1073836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:353-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arlette Beltrán Author-X-Name-First: Arlette Author-X-Name-Last: Beltrán Title: Does corruption increase or decrease employment in firms? Abstract: We use representative data for firms for Latin American firms and show that corruption decreases employment in firms. This result is robust to changes in specification and also consistent with the use of an instrumental variables approach. Corruption appears to negatively impact the growth and wealth in a country, not by introducing labour distortion in firms, but by keeping them small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manish Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Manish Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Determinants of bank risk behaviour in EMU countries Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of banking sector risk behaviour in EMU countries over the period 2004Q4–2013Q3. Average ‘Distance-to-default (DtD)’ based on all publicly listed banks headquartered in a particular country is used as an indicator of banking risk. Macroeconomic fundamentals, market sentiments and gross debt-to-GDP together with private debt are considered as factors explaining risk behaviour. Using a panel framework, I found that the market sentiments, debt-to-GDP ratio and nonfinancial institutions debt significantly affect banking sector fragility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Micheline Goedhuys Author-X-Name-First: Micheline Author-X-Name-Last: Goedhuys Author-Name: Leo Sleuwaegen Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Sleuwaegen Title: High-growth versus declining firms: the differential impact of human capital and R&D Abstract: We provide evidence that both human capital and R&D increase the likelihood that a firm will be a high-growth firm in the industry. However, different from human capital, being an R&D active firm also increases the probability of substantial decline or failure, underscoring the risky nature of innovation. Quantile regression results show that, different from R&D, human capital is growth-enhancing for all firms, hence also those located in the lower quantiles of the distribution of growth rates across firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Author-Name: Kaylyn R. Sanbower Author-X-Name-First: Kaylyn R. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanbower Title: Professional ‘amateurs’ in the NCAA: the impact of downstream demand Abstract: We argue that student-athletes are amateur in title only; they are actually professional athletes in all accounts of their actions. This occurs because of the downstream demand of their athletic success: coaches are paid professionals. As a paid professional, these coaches are held accountable for the performances of their team, i.e. they are hired and fired based on this performance. Within the constraints of the National Collegiate Athletic Association guidelines, coaches make the rules for their athletes, which the athletes are required to follow. As such, the athletes themselves are professionals acting under professional incentives and are amateurs in title only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: Laura Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Title: Climate change and economic growth in Brazil Abstract: Brazil has felt the effects of climate change through significant variability in precipitation resulting in droughts and floods (Grimm, Pal, and Giorgi 2007; Verner and Tebaldi, forthcoming). This article contributes to the literature by examining the impact of rainfall variations on GDP growth rates of Brazilian states. The estimates suggest that spring droughts as well as spring droughts combined with summer floods impact Northeastern Brazil most severely. Because the Northeast has historically been the most economically deprived region in the country, the results suggest that climate events could aggravate inequality throughout the nation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-381 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:377-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: Early wealth effects of Asia Pacific and European NASDAQ-listed ADRs: a comparison of 1990s and 2000s issues Abstract: This study provides the one-month excess performance analysis of the 75 Asia Pacific and 77 European equities listed in the NASDAQ as American Depository Receipts (ADRs) from 1990 through 2009. The sample is broken down not only by region of issue, but also by timing of the issue (listed in the 1990s versus 2000s). ADRs from the Asia Pacific region outperformed the NASDAQ on average by 7.2% for the 1990s issues while those listed in the 2000s decade underperformed by 4.3% in the first month of trading. However, the monthly excess returns of European ADRs exceeded the NASDAQ by 6.2% and 6.1%, respectively, for each decade. Results suggest investing in newly listed ADRs from these regions may provide investors with early returns that exceed the market index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 382-387 Issue: 5 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1076142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1076142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:382-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caiyun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Caiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Impact of CEO characteristics on firm performance: evidence from China listed firms Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of CEO characteristics on firm performance. Our sample data consists of 10,446 observations from Chinese listed companies taken during the period 2008–2016. After applying a Quantile Regression approach, we find that CEO age has no obvious impact on firm performance, a finding that clearly differs from previous research. CEO tenure only has a highly significant negative impact on high valuation firms (at the 75th and 90th). Furthermore, while CEO political ties are positively related to low valuation firms, the exact opposite effect is evidenced in relation to high-performance firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1607965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1607965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient? Abstract: We analyse the directional predictability of a daily dataset of aggregate and regional (10 major metropolitan cities) housing markets of the United States using the quantilogram – a model-free procedure. We overwhelmingly reject the weak-form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), which has been derived thus far by the extant literature based on unit root tests and long-memory models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1124-1134 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673296 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1124-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Author-Name: H. Banker Phares Author-X-Name-First: H. Banker Author-X-Name-Last: Phares Title: Cryptocurrency value changes in response to national elections: do they behave like money or commodities? Abstract: This study examines changes in the value of Bitcoin after the BREXIT and US Presidential elections in 2016 to determine whether it and other cryptocurrencies experienced value changes associated with the vote outcomes. For comparative purposes, Bitcoin is also compared to currencies such as the Great Britain Pound, Mexican Peso and Special Drawing Rights to determine whether Bitcoin values change like currencies. Some evidence showed changes in the value of Bitcoin were weakly similar to store-of-wealth commodities like gold and silver. Overall, the election-window volatility of cryptocurrencies was much higher than the preceding one-year average for the BREXIT vote but less volatile than the one-year average for the US election vote. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1140 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673297 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673297 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1135-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiong Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Pengfei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does size matter in the cryptocurrency market? Abstract: This paper examines the size effect in the cryptocurrency market with a sample of more than 1800 cryptocurrencies over the period from January 2014 to May 2019. We find that cryptocurrencies with small market value tend to perform better in the future, which challenges the Efficient Market Hypothesis. The size effect is stable over the sample period and robust to the sample size. The prior returns and liquidity also have an impact on the size effect. In addition, our findings provide practical implications for cryptocurrency investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1149 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673298 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1141-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Li Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yaofu Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Yaofu Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Lina Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The nonlinear impact of renewable energy on CO2 emissions: empirical evidence across regions in China Abstract: This paper studies the nonlinear impact of renewable energy on CO2 emissions with a panel of 30 Chinese provinces over the period 1990–2016. The Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator is applied for estimation, allowing for both long-run effects and short-run heterogeneity across provinces. The results reveal an inverted U-shaped relationship between renewable energy and CO2 emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1150-1155 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1673878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1673878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1150-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kai Lisa Lo Author-X-Name-First: Kai Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Jackson Jinhong Mi Author-X-Name-First: Jackson Jinhong Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Minhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shuyu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Do financial regulations have impacts on ownership structure of P2P firms? Abstract: We assess the impacts of ownership structures on China’s P2P lending platforms. We classify data into private and non-private groups, and we use the information such as turnovers and net inflows to capture firm performance. The findings suggest that investors prefer non-private to private P2P platforms before and after related financial regulations. Private platforms thus increase their interest rates to attract borrowers, which surges systematic risks. Such results are especially dominant for P2P platforms in non-BSGS cities, indicating the difficultly private platforms compete against financial regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1156-1159 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1675859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1675859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1156-1159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clark Lundberg Author-X-Name-First: Clark Author-X-Name-Last: Lundberg Author-Name: Babak Lotfaliei Author-X-Name-First: Babak Author-X-Name-Last: Lotfaliei Title: Finite-horizon zero-leverage firms Abstract: We develop a binomial lattice model of zero-leverage behaviour using a real option on debt issuance. With the option, firms may delay issuance even when debt is feasible and adds value to the firm. We find that firms are more likely to delay debt issuance when facing shorter debt horizons and longer option horizons. Our results suggest that firms earlier in their life cycle are more likely to be debt-free. This finding is consistent with empirical evidence that young firms are more likely to forgo debt. Our results also suggest that firms unable to access long-term debt markets are more inclined to be free of debt, even if short-term debt issuance is feasible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1160-1169 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1675860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1675860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1160-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guy Elaad Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Elaad Title: Home-field advantage and biased prediction markets in English soccer Abstract: Results of the present study show a larger rate of home wins in the upper leagues of English professional soccer as compared to the lower leagues. By testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis on the online betting markets, home-field bias was found to be over-predicted in League One and League Two (the third and fourth divisions) relative to the premier league. The analysis is based on odds set by 51 different bookmakers for the outcomes of 16,407 soccer matches from the top four divisions in England between seasons 2010/11 and 2017/18. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1170-1174 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1675861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1675861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1170-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Rong Shiah-Hou Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Shiah-Hou Title: The effect of CEO turnover on dropped coverage of analysts issuing biased earnings forecasts Abstract: This study offers evidence on the relationship between analysts’ dropped coverage and CEO turnover, based on analyst forecast bias. The results suggest that analysts with more frequent forecast biases are more likely to drop their covered firms which their CEOs are replaced. Especially as for cases of new CEOs hired from the outside, the effect of analyst biased forecast on analysts’ dropped coverage corresponding with CEOs turnover are stronger. However, this effect is weaker in the post-SOX period (after 2003) than in the pre-Reg FD period (before 2000). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1187 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1175-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wisdom Kwabla Dewortor Author-X-Name-First: Wisdom Kwabla Author-X-Name-Last: Dewortor Author-Name: Chin Man Chui Author-X-Name-First: Chin Man Author-X-Name-Last: Chui Title: Aid fungibility and government spending in Africa: evidence from instrumental variable panel quantile regression Abstract: This study investigates the impacts of foreign aid on government spending for 54 African aid-recipient countries with the distinction between on-budget and off-budget aid at the aggregate level. Applying instrumental variable panel quantile regression, the results indicate that, generally, the on-budget aid is partially fungible but the degree of fungibility decreases in the high-level government spending countries (higher quantile). On the other hand, off-budget aid is generally nonfungible though partial fungibility is significant in the low-level government spending countries (10th to 30th quantile). In addition, the impact of total aid is downward biased at various quantiles when the distinction between on-budget and off-budget aid is not made. Besides, the trade openness, the short-run shock on government spending and the quality of governance are also important determinants of government spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1188-1193 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1188-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunsung Eom Author-X-Name-First: Yunsung Author-X-Name-Last: Eom Title: Intraday disposition effect of day traders and its relationship with investment performance: evidence from the KOSPI 200 futures market Abstract: This paper investigates the intraday disposition effect of day traders and its relationship with investment performance. Using a unique data set from the KOSPI 200 futures market, we find that day traders are reluctant to close losing day trades and that this behaviour has a negative relationship with investment performance. In most cases, the disposition effect is mitigated as the closing of the trading day approaches. However, successful day traders show that the disposition effect in the afternoon is slightly greater than that in the morning, which indicates a lower possibility of compulsory loss realization as the market closes. Our findings imply that the investment performance of day traders is positively related to minimizing the realization of compulsory loss near market closures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1194-1199 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1194-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernardo P. Schettini Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo P. Author-X-Name-Last: Schettini Author-Name: Rafael Terra Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Terra Title: Limits on government spending: evidence of manipulation from Brazilian municipalities Abstract: This paper adopts a data-driven approach to detect manipulation in the statements of personnel expenses of Brazilian municipalities used by the Courts of Accounts to verify compliance with the limits determined by the Fiscal Responsibility Law. First, it tests the null hypotheses that the empirical density is continuous at the three legal cut-offs, and shows a large discontinuity at the threshold that brings about the most severe penalties. Next, it investigates whether sorting is attained through fiscal adjustment programmes or by changing accounting practices. The histogram obtained from an alternative data source, which is not so prone to manipulation, is undoubtedly smoother. There is also evidence that public officials overstate deductions from gross spending to avoid the legal sanctions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1200-1205 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1200-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selçuk AKÇAY Author-X-Name-First: Selçuk Author-X-Name-Last: AKÇAY Title: Remittances and financial development in Bangladesh: substitutes or complements? Abstract: Using the ARDL model and recently developed financial development index, we test whether there is a non-linear relationship between financial development and remittances over the period 1980–2015 in Bangladesh. The results suggest that there is a non-linear U-shaped relationship between financial development and remittances, supporting the complementarity hypothesis both in the long and short run. The evidence provided is robust to alternative variables that potentially influence financial development. Given the complementarity relationship between the two variables, policymakers in Bangladesh should pursue policies and reforms aimed at promoting the inflow of remittances to Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1206-1214 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1206-1214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul E. Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Susanne Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Susanne Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: Are estimates of racial wage discrimination influenced by Labor market conditions? Evidence from the national longitudinal survey Abstract: Wage decomposition analysis of recent earnings data for men from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth reveals that estimates of racial wage discrimination, measured by the portion of the wage gap not resulting from human capital differences, are directly related to the black male unemployment rate. Our results indicate that deteriorating labour market conditions contribute to racial wage inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1215-1219 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1215-1219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Alda Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Victor Giménez Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Giménez Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: Does a complex environment affect police efficiency: an examination on municipal police in Mexico Abstract: Research on police organizations argues that the external environment in which they operate have a negative effect on their performance. We tested these assumptions on a sample of 1,634 municipal police forces in Mexico, We used a conditional order-m model to examine how the environment in which police operate affects their performance. Our results indicate that not all socioeconomic, demographic and institutional factors have a negative influence on police performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1220-1223 Issue: 14 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:14:p:1220-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Olasolo Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Olasolo Author-Name: M. A. Pérez Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pérez Author-Name: V. Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Title: Active investment strategies in the Spanish futures market: a solution to avoid data snooping bias Abstract: This article provides a solution to avoid the data snooping problem in the implementation of active investment strategies in the Spanish financial futures markets. The work sets out to evaluate the results obtained with optimum active investment strategies, grounded in the use of exponential moving averages, and to determine their consistency in periods subsequent to those for which they were obtained. To this end, prices were used with data of different time frequencies, different periods for calculating moving averages and different time ranges. In global terms, the differences between the yield of these active strategies and those of a passive nature are statistically significant. The weak efficient market hypothesis is, therefore, rejected for trading in futures on the IBEX-35 stock market index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-613 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:609-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Jirjahn Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Jirjahn Title: Which employers regard the threat of dismissal as a suitable incentive to motivate workers? Abstract: Using German establishment data, this study finds that the share of blue-collar workers, an outdated production technology and a high-wage policy increase the probability that employers regard the threat of dismissal as a suitable incentive. A participatory human resource management policy, the incidence of a works council and difficulties in filling vacancies decrease the probability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 614-617 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:614-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-ichi Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Shin-ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: On the predictability of daytime and night-time yen/dollar exchange rates Abstract: This article first shows that the yen/dollar rate tended to appreciate in Japan daytime but to depreciate in Japan night-time in the 2000s. The result is very paradoxical because the asymmetry implies that the intra-daily yen/dollar rate had predictable stochastic trends in the 2000s. The article then investigates whether lagged dependent variables and various external shocks were responsible to the asymmetric feature. We find that once we control the effects of lagged dependent variables and external shocks, the daytime yen/dollar rate tended to appreciate when it had appreciated on the day before, while the night-time yen/dollar rate tended to depreciate when it had depreciated on the day before. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 618-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:618-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfgang Eggert Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Eggert Author-Name: Maximilian Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Maximilian Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Author-Name: Janine Temme Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Temme Author-Name: Handirk von Ungern-Sternberg Author-X-Name-First: Handirk Author-X-Name-Last: von Ungern-Sternberg Title: Holdout behaviour: a question of diversification, risk aversion and expectation Abstract: We argue a holdout is not a destructive investor behaviour but an investment decision. The decision is characterized by the mean-variance approach. We investigate intercreditor conflict by diverse portfolio structure. We demonstrate that at some point during the Greek (2012) and Argentine (2005) debt restructuring programmes, it was reasonable for the investor to hold out. This model shows that the investment decision is based on the portfolio structure, risk aversion and expected possible payment of the debtor, so there is no free-rider behaviour. This is based on the fact that the investor harms herself due to destructive and uncooperative behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Angeles Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles Author-Name: Robin G. Milne Author-X-Name-First: Robin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Milne Title: Competitive provision of public services: cost savings over successive rounds of tendering Abstract: We study the evolution of the cost of public service provision when subjected to a competitive tendering process. We add to the existing literature by analysing cost savings over successive rounds of tendering. Previous results in the literature show that initial cost savings tend to disappear over time with the age of the contract. Our findings suggest that each additional round of tendering will be followed by a renewal of cost savings. Thus, keeping competitive pressure via periodic tendering appears to address the problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-632 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1093079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:627-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Dell’Anno Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Dell’Anno Author-Name: Thierry Rayna Author-X-Name-First: Thierry Author-X-Name-Last: Rayna Author-Name: Offiong Helen Solomon Author-X-Name-First: Offiong Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Solomon Title: Impact of social media on economic growth – evidence from social media Abstract: This article attempts to investigate the impact of social media (SM) on economic growth. Using information obtained from memberships to social networks, we find that SM has a negative and significant impact on economic growth. This provides evidence in favour of our hypothesis that SM increases the search costs for information and also increases the substitution effect from labour to leisure thereby producing a negative impact on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olcay Y. Çulha Author-X-Name-First: Olcay Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Çulha Author-Name: M. Utku Özmen Author-X-Name-First: M. Utku Author-X-Name-Last: Özmen Author-Name: Erdal Yılmaz Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Yılmaz Title: Impact of oil price changes on Turkey’s exports Abstract: Substantial decline in oil prices observed since the second half of 2014 has brought forward discussions on the impact of oil prices on the external balance. This decline is expected to shift real income from oil exporter countries to oil importer countries. In this context, we study the effect of change in oil prices on Turkey’s exports taking into account the fact that Turkey’s export to oil exporting countries has approximately one-third share in total exports, while export to oil importing countries has a share of two-thirds. At the first step, we analyse the effect of oil prices on economic growth of trade partners of Turkey, where countries are grouped according to their net oil export position. We find that the effect of oil prices on different country groups’ growth is asymmetric. In the second stage, for two groups of countries, we estimate growth-export elasticity through Turkey’s export demand function. Finally, we calculate the net effect of oil prices on exports considering different income effects caused by oil price change on each country groups. Results indicate that the net effect of oil prices on the exports is limited given the current export shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarek M. Harchaoui Author-X-Name-First: Tarek M. Author-X-Name-Last: Harchaoui Author-Name: Murat Üngör Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Üngör Title: Sectoral sources of sub-Saharan Africa’s convergence Abstract: From 1970 to 2010, sub-Saharan African’s (SSA) labour productivity hovered at around 6% of the US level. This lacklustre performance, which remained stubbornly low despite the SSA’s growth spurt that started in the mid-1990s, masks a great deal of variations across sectors and countries. Using a structural decomposition, we examine, for a representative sample of SSA countries, the sectoral sources that hold back their convergence to the US frontier. Our results suggest the presence of strong – and possibly long-lasting – headwinds that have wiped out the favourable effects of substantial, yet circumstantial, tailwinds. Headwinds, quantified by the unfavourable within- and reallocation-effects, are indicative of significant capital-deepening and technology gaps, both of which are extremely hard to bridge. The tailwinds, represented by favourable between-effects, result from the convergence of the SSA labour force to sectors where some US sectors have seen a slowdown of their productivity relative to that of the whole economy – a development unrelated to the fundamentals underlying the SSA economy. Although few exceptions emerged out of this general pattern, these results are indicative of a bleak outlook for the SSA economic performance at least in the medium run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 642-651 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:642-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Romaní Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Romaní Author-Name: J.M. Casado-Díaz Author-X-Name-First: J.M. Author-X-Name-Last: Casado-Díaz Author-Name: A. Lillo-Bañuls Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lillo-Bañuls Title: On the links between spatial variables and overeducation Abstract: This article considers the role that diverse spatial variables play in explaining overeducation. Unlike previous analyses of the Spanish case, we have directly tested the links between current mobility (commuting and migration) and overeducation, and in contrast to previous literature, we have included a direct measure of potential spatial flexibility at an individual level (worker availability to migrate, in response to the needs of his/her firm). Regional labour market conditions are also considered in the analysis. Our results show that the links between overeducation and spatial variables vary depending on the specific sub-group of wage earners considered, based on gender and education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 652-655 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:652-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dario Fauceglia Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Fauceglia Title: Financial development and the share of imported capital goods in developing countries: firm-level evidence Abstract: Firm-level estimations across a sample of seven developing countries suggest that a higher firm’s leverage – a proxy for credit constraints – reduces the share of imported capital goods in total capital expenditures. This result holds across different models such as a two-limit tobit and a fractional logit model. It is also confirmed after controlling for unobserved firm heterogeneity, state dependence or when using the share of property in total assets as an alternative credit constraint indicator. The results also indicate that the importance of credit constraints is significantly reduced in financially more developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 656-659 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:656-659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Rath Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Trends in economics publications represented by JEL categories between 2007 and 2013 Abstract: This article illustrates how publication trends in different subject categories in economics evolved from 2007 to 2013. Using data from RePEc we show that the largest increase in the relative share was for articles published in JEL category Q (‘Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics, Environmental and Ecological Economics’) over this period. Furthermore, we provide evidence that the number of JEL categories per article increased over the last 25 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 660-663 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:660-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung Gyu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seung Gyu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Roger Claassen Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Claassen Title: Modelling land development processes using a sample selection regression Abstract: Land value tax has been thoroughly scrutinized as a potential tool in mitigating urban sprawl. However, most studies that have measured the impact of land value tax on land development have focused mainly either on purely new development on vacant land, or on land development on partially developed land such as subdivision development. This study tries to incorporate these two types of residential development conceptually and empirically to make an accurate assessment of the impact of land value tax on land development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 664-668 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1095999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1095999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:664-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Author-Name: Tom Lähner Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Lähner Title: Do Federal Reserve Bank presidents’ interest rate votes in the FOMC follow an electoral cycle? Abstract: We find that Federal Reserve Bank presidents’ regional bias in their dissenting interest rate votes in the Federal Open Market Committee follows an electoral cycle. Presidents put more weight on their district’s economic environment during the year prior to their (re-)election relative to nonelection years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Title: Variability of realized stock returns and trading volume Abstract: Using monthly data for 2005–2014 time period, this article documents the relationship between lagged stock returns and trading volume. We show that the dispersion of stock returns in a market portfolio positively affects future trading volume. We also show that extreme negative returns lead to high future trading volume while extreme positive returns have little effect on future trading. Dividing our sample into several sub-samples based on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) divisions leads to similar results for most of the SIC divisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 674-677 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:674-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Vitor Castro Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Castro Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Financial stress and sovereign debt composition Abstract: Using a panel of 13 advanced economies for the period 1980–2012, we find that periods of impaired financial intermediation mainly accrue to maturity mismatches in sovereign debt. Thus, a higher (lower) share of short-term (medium and long-term) debt leads to an increase in the financial stress index. From a policy perspective, our work suggests that debt management policies translated into longer average maturities of sovereign debt not only reduce the expected debt servicing cost, but also mitigate strains in the financial sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 678-683 Issue: 9 Volume: 23 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1100241 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2015.1100241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:9:p:678-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco A. De Benedetto Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: De Benedetto Author-Name: Antonio F. Forgione Author-X-Name-First: Antonio F. Author-X-Name-Last: Forgione Title: Technical efficiency and corporate structure of Italian Private Hospitals. evidence from a one-step stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: This paper aims to identify the relationship between the output-oriented technical efficiency of Italian private hospitals and their ownership structure. Using the one-step Stochastic Frontier Analysis technique, we explain technical efficiency throughout a set of variables capturing the firm’s shareholder activity, ownership concentration, and managerial ownership. Results suggest that (1) technical efficiency is positively affected by managerial ownership, and (2) private hospitals are more efficient when ownership concentration is low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1225-1228 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1225-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Guojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuetang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuetang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does the new round of Company Law revision in China affect market reaction to share repurchase announcements? Abstract: Share repurchase becomes prevalent in the recent years in China, and China gradually changes its regulatory attitude from restriction to encouragement on it. In this paper, we present that the new round of Company Law revision in China reduces the signalling role of share repurchases; however, when the firms deliver good signals on dividends payout, the negative link between regulatory changes and market reaction to share repurchases becomes weaker. The paper sheds lights on the most up-to-date regulatory change in terms of share repurchases in China and its effect on market reaction to share repurchases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1229-1233 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1229-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joel Harper Author-X-Name-First: Joel Author-X-Name-Last: Harper Author-Name: Li Sun Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Environmental performance and corporate cash holdings Abstract: This study examines the impact of environmental performance on corporate cash holdings. Following Cho and Patten (2007), we use ratings of bad environmental activities (i.e. environmental concerns) as the proxy for environmental performance. We rely on the agency motive of corporate cash holdings to predict a negative relation between environmental concerns and the level of cash. Using a 24-year panel sample with 22,724 observations representing 2,787 unique firms, we find that firms with worse environmental performance hold less cash, supporting the agency motive. Our results still hold after a battery of additional tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1237 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1234-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinar Sener Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Sener Author-Name: Elif Akben-Selcuk Author-X-Name-First: Elif Author-X-Name-Last: Akben-Selcuk Title: Does governance affect corporate diversification behaviour in emerging markets? Abstract: This paper investigates the role of firm-level and country-level governance on corporate diversification behaviour in emerging markets. The results show that firms with combined leadership structure are more diversified while firms with more independent directors are less diversified. There is a U-shaped relationship between ownership concentration and diversification. No significant association between country-level shareholder protection and diversification is demonstrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1242 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1238-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arlette Beltrán Author-X-Name-First: Arlette Author-X-Name-Last: Beltrán Title: Informal sector competition and firm productivity Abstract: We provide evidence on whether informal competition has a negative bearing on firm productivity in the formal sector. To do this we employ the World Bank’s Enterprise Survey (WBES) with detailed information for more than sixty thousand manufacturing and services formal firms from over 127 countries. We find a negative association between these two variables, which is further supported when using instrumental variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1246 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1243-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederik Stender Author-X-Name-First: Frederik Author-X-Name-Last: Stender Author-Name: Ulf Moslener Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Moslener Author-Name: Willem P. Pauw Author-X-Name-First: Willem P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pauw Title: More than money: does climate finance support capacity building? Abstract: Effective capacity building is vital for developing countries to enable them to contribute to global efforts to mitigate climate change and adapt to its consequences. This letter provides first empirical evidence on the impact of climate finance on institutional capacity in recipient countries. Using data from the Global Environment Facility (GEF) and a World Bank index, we find a robust positive relation for sub-Saharan Africa from dynamic panel data estimation whereas no such effect is detected across remaining sample countries. While focusing on identification, however, our analysis should be seen as an initial piece of the puzzle. In light of the abundance of different capacity building concepts and definitions in the field of climate change future research is needed to understand the underlying mechanics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1251 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1247-1251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diana Victoria Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Diana Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Author-Name: Elaine F. Frey Author-X-Name-First: Elaine F. Author-X-Name-Last: Frey Title: Where do females rise to leadership positions? A cross-sector analysis Abstract: Gender equality in the workplace includes equal wages, opportunities, and treatment. Although there have been improvements in all of these areas in the last several decades, one area of continuing concern is the low proportion of women in business leadership positions, particularly as CEOs or business owners. We use a unique dataset from all California business establishments across all sectors and sizes to examine the factors that influence gender inequality in business leadership positions. We find that females are less likely to lead firms that are larger and higher performing across almost all industries. In addition, evidence shows that women lead firms that are less stable, supporting the existence of a glass cliff. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1252-1255 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1252-1255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianqi Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Tianqi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Zhao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shingo Goto Author-X-Name-First: Shingo Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: CEO and CFO risk-taking incentives and earnings guidance Abstract: Extending recent studies on chief executive officers (CEOs) and chief financial officers (CFOs), we investigate the impact of CEO and CFO risk-taking incentives on earnings guidance. We find that firms with high CEO risk-taking incentives are more likely to issue earnings guidance and issue more guidance. We also find that firms with high CFO risk-taking incentives are associated with less precise guidance, narrower forecast range, and earlier forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1256-1259 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1256-1259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lan Khanh Chu Author-X-Name-First: Lan Khanh Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: The effects of financial development on economic sophistication: evidence from panel data Abstract: This article empirically examines the effect of financial development on economic sophistication, measured by Economic Complexity Index. Using a panel dataset of 94 countries from 1968 to 2015 and system generalized method of moments estimation, we find that both banking sector and stock market development have positive effects on economic sophistication. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1260-1263 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1260-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: So Eun Choi Author-X-Name-First: So Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Hyun Jin Jang Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Geon Ho Choe Author-X-Name-First: Geon Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Title: A copula-based systemic risk measure: application to investment-grade and high-yield CDS portfolios Abstract: This study investigates the evolution of systemic risk inherent in investment-grade (IG) and high-yield (HY) CDS portfolios and compares the portfolios before and after the global financial crisis. To quantify systemic risk, we propose a novel measure – the expected default rate (EDR), defined by the average default rate of all institutions conditional upon one institution being in default. We implement the EDR under the one-factor copula framework with various dependence structures. We observe that the HY portfolio contains a higher systemic risk than the IG’s, overall, and the gap between the two widens after Lehman Brothers’ default. However, the model discrepancy for IG EDR is higher than that for HY, and for both the IG and HY EDRs, the discrepancies decrease over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1264-1271 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1264-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louis R. Nemzer Author-X-Name-First: Louis R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nemzer Author-Name: Florence Neymotin Author-X-Name-First: Florence Author-X-Name-Last: Neymotin Title: How words matter: machine learning & movie success Abstract: We employed a machine learning structure to examine the relationships between word choice in Internet Movie Database (IMDB) comedy movie descriptions and overall performance. Our measures of success were ticket sales, user ratings, and Metacritic scores. We used linear regressions, along with recurrent neural networks implementing a Long Short-Term Memory framework, for textual sentiment analysis. Employing conservative p-values, our results revealed the possible influence of gender bias in movies that favoured male-centric themes, as well as negative effects for holiday comedies, paranormal movies, and crime films. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1272-1276 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1272-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Blagrave Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Blagrave Title: Inflation co-movement in emerging and developing Asia: the monsoon effect Abstract: Co-movement (synchronicity) in food-inflation rates among emerging and developing countries in Asia is partly due to common rainfall shocks – a result which the paper terms the ‘monsoon effect’. Economies with higher trade integration and co-movement in nominal effective exchange rates also experience greater food-inflation co-movement. In the context of the growing literature on the globalization of inflation, these results suggest that common weather patterns are partly responsible for any role played by a so-called ‘global factor’ among inflation rates in emerging and developing economies, in Asia at least. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1283 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1277-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abduallah Alfadli Author-X-Name-First: Abduallah Author-X-Name-Last: Alfadli Author-Name: Husam Rjoub Author-X-Name-First: Husam Author-X-Name-Last: Rjoub Title: The impacts of bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic variables on commercial bank financial performance: evidence from the Gulf cooperation council countries Abstract: In this paper, we inspect the impact of bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic variables on the financial performance of commercial banks operating in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. We consider the stable panel statistics of 62 commercial banks from 2011Q1–2017Q4. The study applies a PCSE technique to a balanced panel data set. In light of the empirical results, the study shows that there is a significant negative impact of efficiency, credit risk, diversification and concentration ratio on all the performance measures. The coefficient of the capital adequacy ratio positively affects all the bank performance measures. The study also concluded that the macroeconomic indicators influence the bank’s financial performance measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1284-1288 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1676870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1676870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1284-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Corsini Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Corsini Author-Name: Irene Martelli Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Martelli Title: Measuring and detecting situations of need and deprivation using Graded Response models Abstract: We exploit information on living conditions of households to build an estimation of their degree of need and deprivation. The information we use is often subjective and we assume that deprivation is a latent variable that we estimate with item response theory models on Italian data. Then, we relate this estimated trait to more objective and observable variables that thus could be used within policy actions and welfare programmes to pinpoint situations where the estimated deprivation is high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1677843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1677843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Merike Kukk Author-X-Name-First: Merike Author-X-Name-Last: Kukk Title: The Spanish housing market: is it fundamentally broken? Abstract: This paper aims to investigate the relationship between housing prices and their main fundamental determinants using the example of Spain and considering the possibility of structural breaks in the relationship. We find that the cointegrating coefficient estimates are quite unstable over 2001Q1-2017Q4 and need to be estimated for different subperiods. Specifically we find that the main long-run fundamentals explain the behaviour of equilibrium house prices well during the boom-bust period. However, only corporate profit, or capital income, seems to explain the evolution after the recovery from the recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1295-1299 Issue: 15 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1677844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1677844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:15:p:1295-1299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Hauptmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Hauptmann Title: Exporting and employment volatility for different worker groups Abstract: This paper investigates the volatility of employment growth for different types of workers in exporting establishments. I document a robust negative relationship for full-time workers and various skill, education and age groups. I find no differences for part-time or foreign workers, suggesting that existing differences in employment stability for those groups are amplified in exporting plants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1304 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1677845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1677845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1301-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Hardik A. Marfatia Author-X-Name-First: Hardik A. Author-X-Name-Last: Marfatia Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data Abstract: We explore the asymmetric high-frequency daily response of U.S. equities to financial uncertainty over the 1936–2016 period. We find positive growth of uncertainty reduces stock returns and increases volatility, while, a negative growth of uncertainty primarily reduces variance. More importantly, the impact of uncertainty on volatility is found to be asymmetric. We also model rolling window estimation and find significant time variation in the impact of uncertainty, though the direction largely confirms with the static case. Our study provides new evidence that the response of U.S. equities to uncertainty is intuitively consistent even in the historical and high-frequency context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1311 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1677846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1677846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1305-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Leite Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Leite Author-Name: Maria Céu Cortez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Céu Author-X-Name-Last: Cortez Title: Investment and profitability factors in mutual fund performance evaluation: a conditional approach Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the appropriateness of the Fama-French five-factor model to evaluate international equity funds’ performance. After extending this model to a conditional framework by allowing for time-varying risk and performance, the results show that funds underperformed during the 2000–2017 period. Funds investing globally and in Europe tend to invest in aggressive firms, but only the latter are exposed to firms with weak profitability. We thus conclude that although both investment and profitability factors are significant in explaining fund returns, the investment factor plays a more relevant role irrespective of the funds’ geographical area of investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1312-1315 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1678723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1678723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1312-1315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Anne de Bruin Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: de Bruin Author-Name: Md Iftekhar Hasan Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Md Iftekhar Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Muhammad Abubakr Naeem Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Abubakr Author-X-Name-Last: Naeem Title: Connectedness of cryptocurrencies and prevailing uncertainties Abstract: We investigate dynamic connectedness of cryptocurrencies using Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition into short, medium, and long-term phases. Though all phases resemble similar drifts, the magnitude of short-term connectedness is much higher than medium and long-term. Notably, the U-shaped trajectory explains the increasing connectedness of cryptocurrencies with their heightened popularity in recent times. We further utilize Continuous Wavelet Transform to rationalize such connectedness with common economic and financial market uncertainty. Importantly, we show that as economic uncertainty increases, the connectedness among cryptocurrencies decreases. This highlights the potential for cryptocurrencies to be an alternative instrument for hedging against underlying uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1316-1322 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1678724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1678724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1316-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johnny K.H. Kwok Author-X-Name-First: Johnny K.H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwok Title: On prices and premiums of Bitcoin Investment Trust Abstract: We investigate the long run relationship and the short run dynamic between the price and the NAV of Bitcoin Investment Trust (BIT), the world’s first publicly traded bitcoin fund. We examine whether the price and the NAV are cointegrated. We also investigate how the price and the NAV adjust to short-term deviations from long run relationship. Our results find that both the price and the NAV are cointegrated despite significant price premium over the NAV. Further, we find that the BIT prices adjust partially to the short-term deviations while the NAV does not react. The results may provide valuable insight to regulatory bodies when they consider the approval of bitcoin or cryptocurrency ETFs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1326 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1678726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1678726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1323-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony N. Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony N. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Principal component volatility analysis in agricultural commodity futures Abstract: In this article, we apply Hu and Tsay’s (2014) principal component volatility (PVC) analysis to the weekly log returns of nine agricultural commodity futures from May 2005 to March 2019. The empirical results yield nine estimated PVC processes, one of which has no ARCH effects according to the statistical tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1333 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1678727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1678727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1327-1333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Song Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Xinyun Li Author-X-Name-First: Xinyun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianpei Hong Author-X-Name-First: Xianpei Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Assessing the risk of an investment project using an improved TOPSIS method Abstract: In this paper, we propose an improved TOPSIS evaluation model based on coordinated development. We improve the TOPSIS evaluation model by taking two indicators as examples to deduce the coordination degree between the indicators, based on spatial analytic geometry. Finally, we use a case study to validate the improved model. The results show that the improved model considers not only the weighted distance from the decision-making scheme to the ideal scheme and the negative ideal scheme, but also the coordination information of the multiple indicators, which has a certain theoretical value for multi-attribute decision-making problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1334-1339 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1679339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1679339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1334-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Li Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jinjian Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Jinjian Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Do short selling and margin buying stabilize the market? Evidence from China Abstract: By directly checking the correlation between short-selling (margin-buying) activities, we find that short sellers and margin buyers are beneficial for market stabilization in China, and such effects do not attenuate during the crazy bull-market. Furthermore, by quantile regression analysis, we show that such stabilizing effects are more significant in higher quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1340-1346 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1679340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1679340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1340-1346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jessica Madariaga Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Author-X-Name-Last: Madariaga Author-Name: Norman Maynard Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Maynard Author-Name: Usha Nair-Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair-Reichert Title: Investment-specific productivity and the role of imported equipment in Latin America Abstract: We measure the contribution of imported equipment to labour productivity growth in 12 Latin American countries between 1970 and 2016, accounting for investment-specific technological change embodied in equipment. We link investment-specific technological change with falling relative equipment prices and construct its empirical counterpart by combining observations from each country’s transport, machinery, computers and communication equipment with household consumption data. By excluding structures from our relative equipment price series, we produce more precise growth decompositions, separating investment-specific technological change in equipment from the traditional, Hicks-neutral form of technological progress. Our results show significant variation in the contribution of imported equipment to growth across Latin America. Within country, matched-pair tests indicate that all factors, including imported equipment, make positive and significant contributions to growth. However, cross-country heterogeneity makes identifying significant contributors difficult in a pooled sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1351 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1679341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1679341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1347-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orkideh Gharehgozli Author-X-Name-First: Orkideh Author-X-Name-Last: Gharehgozli Author-Name: Vidya Atal Author-X-Name-First: Vidya Author-X-Name-Last: Atal Title: ‘Big Mac Affordability’ and real-income inequality across countries Abstract: Using the Big Mac Index and focusing on the deciles of the income distribution, we produce a descriptive study of real-income inequality from households in 29 countries and for period 2000 to 2013. Using daily Big Mac Affordability (BMA), we rank and show differences in the living standards and the purchasing power of individuals belonging to different income deciles in these countries. We also provide a multidimensional Big Mac real-income inequality analysis by looking at Coefficient of Variation as well as the share of bottom to top decile BMA (as a measure of dispersion) across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1352-1356 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1679342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1679342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1352-1356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulkareem Alhassan Author-X-Name-First: Abdulkareem Author-X-Name-Last: Alhassan Author-Name: Cem Payaslioglu Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Payaslioglu Title: Institutions and bilateral trade in Africa: an application of Poisson’s estimation with high-dimensional fixed effects to structural gravity model Abstract: This study provides a comparative analysis of the effect of political and economic institutions on bilateral trade of emerging and low-income African countries. Using the structural gravity model estimated by the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood with high-dimensional fixed effects (PPMLHDFE) estimator, the study reveals that both political and economic institutions are fundamental determinants of bilateral trade in Africa. However, the effect differs by type and components of the institutions and levels of income of the countries. Generally, the findings show that institutions have greater impact on trade of the emerging African economies (EE) than the low-income countries (LICs). Relatively, economic institutions affect trade more than political institutions in the LICs, while the reverse is the case for EE. Hence, the design of an institutional framework that aimed at facilitating bilateral trade should consider the peculiarities of the countries in terms of their level of income and the various facets of institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1357-1361 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1682112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1682112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1357-1361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: The efficiency of large(r) endowments: the optimal endowment is bigger than you might think Abstract: This study argues that endowments can be efficient, both for a finite-lived and infinitely-lived agent. When the lost utility from forgone consumption is less than the discounted utility brought by the cash flows paid throughout the endowment, endowments are utility-enhancing. Given that this can be utility enhancing for a finite-lived person, the direct connection can be made to an infinitely-lived agent who would receive utility enhancement through an endowment, such as a university. Given the recent political push to force well-endowed universities to spend down their endowments, displaying how an endowment’s existence can be efficient is important for policy-makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1362-1365 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1682507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1682507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1362-1365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Kaimann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kaimann Title: Ancillary market signalling: A two-stage model of economic reputation on ancillary market success Abstract: Due to high market search costs, public information can have a stronger impact than private information on consumer choice behaviour. As a result, a priori economic success serves as a signal of high quality, reduces information asymmetries and can thus have an influence on the market performance in ancillary markets. Using weekly sales data from the ancillary DVD market, consisting of 8664 movies and their commercial performance between 2006 and 2018, we empirically test the influence of economic reputation on ancillary market success. We find clear evidence to suggest that former box office and DVD market success is positively associated with DVD sales. We additionally show that for distributors it is rational to follow a price skimming strategy of setting prices high when introducing new products to the market. These results provide practical insights into how businesses can maximize their profits by improving their decisions concerning product launch strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1366-1370 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1366-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ali Akkemik Author-X-Name-First: K. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Akkemik Author-Name: Gerçek Çiçek Author-X-Name-First: Gerçek Author-X-Name-Last: Çiçek Author-Name: Charles Yuji Horioka Author-X-Name-First: Charles Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Horioka Author-Name: Yoko Niimi Author-X-Name-First: Yoko Author-X-Name-Last: Niimi Title: The impact of a failed coup d’état on happiness, life satisfaction, and trust: the case of the plot in Turkey on July 15, 2016 Abstract: This paper examines the impact of the failed coup d’état attempt in Turkey on 15 July 2016 on people’s happiness, life satisfaction, and trust and finds that the plot had a significant negative effect on all three variables. This paper is the first to show that coups d’état can have a significant adverse effect on people’s well-being, as in the case of terrorist attacks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1371-1375 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1371-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alper Duman Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Duman Author-Name: Ayla Oğuş Binatlı Author-X-Name-First: Ayla Author-X-Name-Last: Oğuş Binatlı Title: Legal environment and new firm formation: case of Turkey Abstract: The new Turkish Commercial Code decreased transaction costs for joint stock corporations relative to limited liability companies, and led to a marked increase in the number of new firms adopting the corporation organizational form. We examine whether there has been a structural change in relative frequencies of corporations versus limited liability companies due to the new commercial code of 2012. We employ Bai and Perron’s multiple structural breaks test for the period 1995:01 to 2019:01. We find two breaks when we consider only the mean process, and one break that corresponds exactly with the new Turkish Commercial Code when we consider the mean and autoregressive processes. We conclude that the new commercial code increased the number of new joint stock corporations relative to new limited liability companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1376-1382 Issue: 16 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:16:p:1376-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matondang Elsa Siburian Author-X-Name-First: Matondang Elsa Author-X-Name-Last: Siburian Title: Fiscal decentralization and regional income inequality: evidence from Indonesia Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of fiscal decentralization on regional income inequality in Indonesia. Using provincial-level data over the period 2001–2014, this paper concludes that fiscal decentralization reduces regional income inequality. A simultaneous equation model (SEM) is employed to circumvent possible endogeneity. It follows that the extent to which fiscal decentralization decreases reginal income gap was greater than that in the opposite direction. A possible explanation for this is that compared with a centralized system, it granted the local governments with autonomy in designing development programmes that match unique characteristics of a particular region and distributing more balanced resources within it. Further, decentralization enables a local government to efficiently provide public services in need. Finally, decentralization motivates local politicians to effectively allocate local public goods and services. This is because regional heads are selected through a direct election in Indonesia and that they are keen on being re-elected by better serving the voters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1386 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1383-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristin J. Kleinjans Author-X-Name-First: Kristin J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kleinjans Title: The effect of unemployment on noncognitive skills Abstract: Unemployment results in lower levels of cognitive skills and has long-term effects on health and economic well-being. In this paper, I show that unemployment also has negative effects on noncognitive skills, at least in the short term. Using a sample of Germans born between 1945 and 1995, I account for potential endogeneity by using state-level unemployment rates as instruments and controlling for past levels of noncognitive skills. The effects of not working are strong, reducing conscientiousness by 0.15 of a standard deviation for women and by 0.25 for men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1387-1390 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1387-1390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Title: Ethnic discrimination in contacts with public authorities: a correspondence test among Swedish municipalities Abstract: We present a field experiment conducted in order to explore the existence of ethnic discrimination in contact with public authorities. Two fictitious parents, one with a Swedish-sounding name and one with an Arabic-sounding name, sent email inquiries to all Swedish municipalities asking for information about preschool admission for their children. Results show that the parents were treated differently by the municipalities since the individual with the Swedish-sounding name received significantly more responses that answered the question in the inquiry than the individual with the Arabic-sounding name. Also, the individual with the Swedish-sounding name received more warm answers than the individual with the Arabic-sounding name in the sense that the answer from the municipality started with a personal salutation. We conclude that ethnic discrimination is prevalent in public sector contacts and that this discrimination has implications for the integration of immigrants and their children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1391-1394 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1391-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanfeng Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yanfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Liguo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Liguo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qirui Li Author-X-Name-First: Qirui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The source of real oil price fluctuations: a fresh view from the frequency domain Abstract: This paper analyzes the role of different types of oil price shocks for real oil price fluctuations and contributes by exploiting insights from the frequency domain perspective. We find aggregate demand shocks are the most important contributor to real oil price fluctuations in the entire spectrum. Besides, oil-specific demand shocks have a relatively important impact on real oil price changes at high frequencies and business cycle frequencies, while oil supply shocks have a relatively important impact on real oil price changes at low frequencies and frequency zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1395-1399 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1395-1399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Singgih Gunarsa Author-X-Name-First: Singgih Author-X-Name-Last: Gunarsa Author-Name: Tony Makin Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Makin Author-Name: Nicholas Rohde Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Rohde Title: Public debt in developing Asia: a help or hindrance to growth? Abstract: We study the effects of public debt on economic growth using a panel of 25 Asian countries from 1970 to 2015. Using a collection of panel data models, we find weak evidence in favour of a negative relationship. Our estimates imply that a 10% increase in debt predicts declines in growth rates ranging from 0.2% to 0.4%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1400-1403 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1400-1403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pramod C. Mane Author-X-Name-First: Pramod C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mane Author-Name: Kapil Ahuja Author-X-Name-First: Kapil Author-X-Name-Last: Ahuja Author-Name: Nagarajan Krishnamurthy Author-X-Name-First: Nagarajan Author-X-Name-Last: Krishnamurthy Title: Externalities in endogenous sharing economy networks Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of link formation between a pair of agents on the resource availability of other agents (that is, externalities) in a social cloud network, a special case of endogenous sharing economy networks. Specifically, we study how the closeness between agents and the network size affect externalities. We conjecture, and experimentally support, that for an agent to experience positive externalities, an increase in its closeness is necessary. The condition is not sufficient though. We, then, show that for populated ring networks, one or more agents experience positive externalities due to an increase in the closeness of agents. Further, the initial distance between agents forming a link has a direct bearing on the number of beneficiaries, and the number of beneficiaries is always less than that of non-beneficiaries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1404-1408 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1683507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1683507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1404-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Fritzsch Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Fritzsch Author-Name: Kai Wenger Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Wenger Author-Name: Philipp Sibbertsen Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Sibbertsen Author-Name: Georg Ullmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Ullmann Title: Can google trends improve sales forecasts on a product level? Abstract: Combining standard time series models with search query data can be helpful in predicting sales. We include the search volume of company as well as product-related keywords provided by Google Trends as new predictors in models to forecast sales on a product level. Using weekly data from January 2015 to December 2016 of two products of the audio company Sennheiser we find evidence that using Google Trends data can enhance the prediction performance of conventional models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1409-1414 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1686110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1686110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1409-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Redmond Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Redmond Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Explaining the gender gap in job satisfaction Abstract: In general, women report greater job satisfaction than men. The existing literature cannot fully explain the nature of this difference, as the gap tends to persist even when controlling for job characteristics. In this paper, we study job satisfaction using recent data for 28 EU countries. Women, on average, are more satisfied than men and the gap remains even when we account for a wide range of personal, job and family characteristics. However, the gap disappears when we include job preferences, as women place greater importance on work-life balance and the intrinsic desirability of the work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1418 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1686111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1686111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1415-1418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: IMA(1,1) as a new benchmark for forecast evaluation Abstract: Many forecasting studies compare the forecast accuracy of new methods or models against a benchmark model. Often, this benchmark is the random walk model. In this note, I argue that for various reasons an IMA(1,1) model is a better benchmark in many cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1419-1423 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1686115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1686115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1419-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne de Bruin Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: de Bruin Author-Name: Abraham Agyemang Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Agyemang Author-Name: Md Iftekhar Hasan Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Md Iftekhar Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: New insights on suicide: uncertainty and political conditions Abstract: We study suicide rates across 17 countries, focusing on the relationships between suicide, and economic policy uncertainty, voice and accountability, and political stability. Results show high economic policy uncertainty is associated with increased suicides, suicide rates tend to increase in countries with lower voice and accountability and high political instability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1424-1429 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1686453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1686453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1424-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allyssa A. Wadsworth Author-X-Name-First: Allyssa A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wadsworth Title: Moore religious icons on state property? Alabamians pass bill to allow overlap of church and state Abstract: After 18 years of debate, sparked by Former Chief Justice Roy Moore, a final decision has been made by the residents of Alabama allowing the Ten Commandments to be displayed on state and public property. I employ the median voter model with numerous datasets to analyse which special interest groups are the driving force for yes votes. I find both females and veterans support the passing, while those with higher education and Catholic-affiliated groups oppose. Black Protestant affiliation has an inconclusive-muted effect when considering robust controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1430-1433 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1687837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1687837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1430-1433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Kreiner Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Kreiner Author-Name: John Duca Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Duca Title: Can machine learning on economic data better forecast the unemployment rate? Abstract: Using FRED data, a machine-learning model outperforms the Survey of Professional Forecasters and other models since 2001 in forecasting the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1434-1437 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1688237 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1688237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1434-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jing Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Explaining the poverty difference between the US and the UK: a Shapley income-distribution decomposition approach Abstract: This paper estimates the poverty level in the US and the UK during the 2004–2016 period and analyses the cause of the poverty difference. The results show that poverty in the US is more serious than that in the UK. Although the overall income in the US is higher than that in the UK, the poor in the US, especially the ultra-poor, are poorer than those in the UK. The inequality in the US is higher than that in the UK, which offsets the contribution of the higher income and renders the higher poverty level in the US as the dominant factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1438-1441 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1688238 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1688238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1438-1441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Author-Name: John K. Wald Author-X-Name-First: John K. Author-X-Name-Last: Wald Title: Research records for Chaired finance positions Abstract: We examine the research records for chaired finance professors at all the Carnegie Rank 1 and 2 Universities in the U.S. Chaired finance professors at Carnegie Rank 1 universities have a median of 11 top finance, economics, or accounting publications, whereas chaired finance professors at Carnegie Rank 2 Universities have a median of 3 top publications. Chaired finance professors at Rank 1 universities produce an additional top publication roughly every 5 years, whereas chaired finance professors at Rank 2 universities produce an additional top publication roughly every 16 years. The University of Chicago has produced more Chaired professors than any other school; however, endowed finance professors who graduated from different top-tier schools have similar research records. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1442-1450 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1688239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1688239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1442-1450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K.A. Bannova Author-X-Name-First: K.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bannova Author-Name: N.E. Aktaev Author-X-Name-First: N.E. Author-X-Name-Last: Aktaev Title: Mathematical modelling of optimal tax trajectory within the framework of Cobb-Douglas model Abstract: A mathematical model for calculating the optimal tax path for the effective functioning of companies is developed. The model is based on the principle of the distribution of fixed assets between consumption, investment and taxes. The governing principle of distribution is the maximization of output, which is a key criterion for the desired tax path. As a result of numerical modelling, an approach is proposed for formulating the optimal tax rate, which allows, on the one hand, to increase tax collection, and on the other, to ensure the continuous development of companies. Since the model is obtained on the basis of the fundamental principles of economics and the physics of evolutionary processes, it is expected to expand to foreign practices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1451-1457 Issue: 17 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1688240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1688240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:17:p:1451-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vinodh Madhavan Author-X-Name-First: Vinodh Author-X-Name-Last: Madhavan Author-Name: Ishita Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Ishita Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Author-Name: Partha Ray Author-X-Name-First: Partha Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Does electronic trading influence stock prices? The Indian experience Abstract: We study the impact of electronic trading in India via two distinct approaches. First, in a more traditional way, we model the data generating process (DGP) of share price index for different trading regimes using an AR-GARCH filter. Our results indicate regime-invariant nature of the DGP. Subsequently, we employ rolling Hinich Bicorrelation test to AR-GARCH-filtered standardized residuals to examine the degree of efficiency of Indian share price index across trading regimes. Our results indicate a distinct improvement in informational efficiency of Indian share price index pursuant to adoption of electronic trading systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1459-1462 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1459-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ziming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shuyi Feng Author-X-Name-First: Shuyi Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Linking political attitude and pro-environmental behaviors in China Abstract: Individual pro-environmental behaviours can have large environmental impacts. In this note, we investigate how political attitude relates to pro-environmental behaviours, using data from the Chinese General Social Survey 2013. Compared to individuals who embrace more government interventions, those who hold the opposite political attitude are less likely to engage in pro-environmental behaviours. The results are robust across different specifications. We contribute to the literature by providing the first micro-level evidence from China. Similar to other countries, in China, political attitude is an important driver of pro-environmental behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1463-1468 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1463-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Author-Name: Adam Nowak Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Nowak Title: Sentiment’s effect on the variance of stock returns Abstract: This study examines the effect that sentiment has on the conditional variance of stock returns. We find that the effect is asymmetric and differs depending upon the state of the economy. We also examine whether the effect is time-varying. To capture time-varying effects, we use rolling 10-year windows of daily data in a GARCH (1,1) model that allows positive and negative sentiment to have an asymmetric effect on the conditional variance of stock returns. We find that the negative sentiment has a positive effect on the conditional variance but dissipates after 1970. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1473 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1469-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Polugodina Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Polugodina Title: The Dutch disease paradox: endowment change and heterogeneous firms Abstract: This paper presents a model of international trade with heterogeneous firms and endowment differences across countries to explore the adjustment of production and trade patterns to exogenous shocks, such as massive endowment changes. I show that a windfall of resources which can be used for production has a controversial effect on the economy. On the one hand, it leads to a lower productivity level in the economy, which is a known characteristic of the Dutch disease. On the other hand, it increases the relative domestic productivity of the sectors using that resource more intensively, compared to the same industries in other countries, and also raises the exporters share in that sector. Thus, it enhances the Ricardian comparative advantage along the lines of the Heckscher–Ohlin comparative advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1474-1478 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1474-1478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Could the introduction of high-speed railway inhibit the IPO underpricing in China? Abstract: This study examines the high-speed railway (hereinafter referred to as ‘HSR’)’s impact on initial public offering (hereinafter referred to as ‘IPO’) underpricing by using a large sample of IPO firms in China. By using the reduced-form difference-in-difference method, we find that the introduction of HSR significantly reduces the IPO underpricing, and the effect is more pronounced in the firms with auditors from different regions, and the firms in regions with better institutional environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1479-1484 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1479-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Burggraf Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Burggraf Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Toan Luu Duc Huynh Author-X-Name-First: Toan Luu Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Huynh Title: Political news and stock prices: evidence from Trump’s trade war Abstract: This study investigates the impact of political news on stock price movements. Analysing more than 3,200 tweets from US President Donald Trump’s Twitter account, we find that tweets related to the US-China trade war negatively predict S&P 500 returns and positively predict VIX. Granger causality estimates indicate that the causal relationship is one-directional – from Trump tweets to returns and VIX. Finally, the results vary across industries depending on their degree of trade intensity with China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1488 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1690626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1690626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1485-1488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Wingert Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Wingert Author-Name: Christian Leschinski Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Leschinski Author-Name: Philipp Sibbertsen Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Sibbertsen Title: Seasonality robust local whittle estimation Abstract: Time series that have seasonal effects with long periods relative to the observation frequency can exhibit spurious long memory. The effect of these seasonalities on the periodogram is similar to that of structural breaks and non-periodic trends, but it only influences the seasonal frequencies and their harmonics. Still, the effect causes a sizable bias of popular estimators such as the local Whittle estimator. To overcome this, we propose a robust local Whittle estimator based on the omission of the affected periodogram ordinates. In a Monte Carlo study, we compare this estimator with a robust log-periodogram regression-based estimator known in the literature. An application to electricity load series demonstrates the potential of robust estimators for empirical research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1489-1494 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1691710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1691710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1489-1494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Critical values for the Durbin-Watson test in large samples Abstract: This paper estimates functional relationships between the Durbin-Watson critical bounds and the sample size. The functions estimated provide a quick and easy way to calculate critical values for sample sizes not reported as standard in books of statistical tables. They also allow estimation of the sample sizes necessary for the convergence of the Durbin-Watson lower and upper bounds to those derived from the normal distribution and each other. Our results indicate that what constitutes a ‘large’ sample is highly sensitive to the number of independent variables in the regression equation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1495-1499 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1691711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1691711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1495-1499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasim Akca Author-X-Name-First: Hasim Author-X-Name-Last: Akca Author-Name: Oguzhan Bozatli Author-X-Name-First: Oguzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Bozatli Title: Fiscal devaluation and net export: dynamic panel data analysis on the Euro Area Abstract: This study examined whether the fiscal devaluation affected the net export balance in the short and long term by using a dynamic panel data model in the period range between 1995 and 2018 for the Eurozone countries. According to the results of the study, fiscal devaluation improves the net export balance in the short and long term. However, it should be noted that the improvement in long-term net export balance is stronger than other empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1500-1504 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1691712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1691712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1500-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin T. Bohl Author-X-Name-First: Martin T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohl Author-Name: Thomas Ehrmann Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ehrmann Author-Name: Claudia Wellenreuther Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Wellenreuther Title: The far reaching implications of Fama’s efficient markets hypothesis: non-predictability of media investments Abstract: In this paper we show, that approaches used to forecast the success of media investments can be challenged on the basis of the efficient markets hypothesis. Moreover, we present new empirical evidence which supports our argumentation in favour of the non-predictability of the success of media investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1508 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1505-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuong Viet Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The effect of income shocks on migration: evidence from rural Vietnam Abstract: In this study, we aim to estimate the causal effect of income shocks on migration in rural Vietnam. We use rainfall extremes as an exogenous source for income shocks. We find that high rainfall extremes increase income growth of households, while low rainfall extremes reduce their income growth. Using these rainfall extremes as the instrumental variables for income shocks, we find that negative income shocks encourage the migration. Experiencing a decrease in per capita income increases the probability of migration of rural people by 0.06. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1509-1514 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1509-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xixiong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Youliang Yan Author-X-Name-First: Youliang Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Effect of political connection on corporate environmental investment: evidence from Chinese private firms Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of political connections on corporate environmental investment. Using the survey data gathered from Chinese private firms, we find that political connection is significantly positively associated with environmental investment. The results are still valid after using Heckman two-stage approach and propensity score matching method to mitigate endogenous problems. Furthermore, we find the positive role of political connection in environmental investment is more pronounced for the firms joining the government-controlled business association, namely the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce (ACFIC). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1515-1521 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1515-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Board gender diversity and cost of equity Abstract: Evidence that women directors provide more effective monitoring suggests that greater board gender diversity is associated with lower cost of equity because of greater confidence in the firm’s governance. We test this hypothesis using a sample of French firms over the period 2006–2017. The results show that cost of equity is significantly lower when firms have a higher proportion of women directors. It thus appears that mandatory quotas have allowed women directors to reach the critical mass needed to have significant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1522-1526 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1522-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Oţoiu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Oţoiu Author-Name: Emilia Țițan Author-X-Name-First: Emilia Author-X-Name-Last: Țițan Title: What does a non-shifting Beveridge curve tell about Romania’s labour market? Abstract: Unlike for many developed and developing countries, for Romania, the Beveridge curve has not shifted during the current economic cycle. Our analysis reveals a labour market in transition towards a service-based, knowledge-intensive economy, where inward shifts of occupational Beveridge curves observed for Professionals, and Service and Sales workers, reflecting an increased matching efficiency for these occupations, were offset by outward shifts experienced by Technicians and Elementary occupations workers, leading to an aggregate non-shifting Beveridge curve for Romania. The flat Beveridge curves for the total labour market, and for most occupations, observed since 2016, could precede a future inward shift of the former, indicating an increased matching efficiency similar to the ones observed for Hong Kong in the 80s, and for Germany after the Great Recession. Results could inform future developments of the Romanian labour market, against a background of existing and potential future labour shortages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1527-1532 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1527-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toni Juuti Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Juuti Title: Integrated capital shares Abstract: In empirical macroeconomics, inter-dependencies between countries are often analysed using cross-country correlations or graphical investigation of time series. This study shows that applying an alternative methodological approach – identification of common unobservable factors and using them as explanatory variables for country-specific time series – indicates a stronger cross-country integration of functional income distributions than the standard methods. The results vary only little between different samples, where both the country and year coverage change. Moreover, the main findings are not sensitive to the way capital depreciation is taken into account. The primary driving factor seems to be the same irrespective of the set of countries and time period. Furthermore, in the majority of the countries, this factor is strongly correlated with both trade openness and total factor productivity, which have been suggested to be key drivers behind the changes in the division of income between capital and labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1540 Issue: 18 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1693695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1693695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:18:p:1533-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrei Shynkevich Author-X-Name-First: Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Shynkevich Title: Pricing efficiency and market efficiency of two bitcoin funds Abstract: This study explores whether pricing inefficiency, or imperfect tracking in the market value of shares of a bitcoin fund of the fund’s net asset value (NAV), makes a significant impact on the fund’s market efficiency relative to the retail bitcoin market. Two bitcoin funds whose shares are traded at the exchanges which impose more stringent criteria for transparency compared to cryptocurrency exchanges are considered. The fund whose shares have been trading without significant premium or a discount relative to its NAV is found as weak-form efficient. The fund, whose shares have been trading at a significant premium over its NAV is found inefficient due to the presence of persistent and strong positive autocorrelation in its returns. Trading of shares in the inefficiently priced fund appears to be even more emotion-driven than the already volatile and emotional trading of bitcoin and exhibits a strong herding behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1623-1628 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1623-1628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weijie Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Demography and economic growth: the effect of tax composition Abstract: Several theories document the negative effect of population ageing on economic growth, either due to the smaller size of the labour force and consequent reduced productivity, or due to an excess of savings over desired investment. However, the evidence shows no such negative relationship. This paper argues that population ageing increases the demand for expenditure taxes rather than income taxes, leading to higher growth since the extent of distortionary relative to non-distortionary taxes falls and investment is facilitated. International panel evidence supports this hypothesis, and this relationship holds more firmly in stronger democracies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1629-1634 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1629-1634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim van Duuren Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: van Duuren Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Henk van Kerkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Henk Author-X-Name-Last: van Kerkhoff Title: Does institutional quality condition the impact of financial stability transparency on financial stability? Abstract: Using a fixed effects panel model on data for 110 countries over the period 2000–2011, we confirm previous findings that financial stability transparency increases the degree of financial stability in a country. However, our results also suggest that financial stability transparency is significantly negatively related to banks’ non-performing loans only with low institutional quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1635-1638 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1635-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Mengxiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mengxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shian-Jang Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Shian-Jang Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: The risk-based profit efficiency analysis for Chinese city banks in short-run Abstract: This study is to pay attention to the profit performance analysis with the risk consideration. This study takes risk factor into the Nerlovian profit efficiency to develop a risk-based profit efficiency. By investigating Chinese city banks, this study finds that the profit loss of Chinese city banks is mainly attributed to allocative inefficiency, and they have a significant improvement in allocative efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1639-1643 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1639-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daeha Cho Author-X-Name-First: Daeha Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Kwang Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kwang Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hye Rim Yi Author-X-Name-First: Hye Rim Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Title: Financial frictions and the welfare effect of business cycles Abstract: This paper studies the implications of financial frictions on the welfare effects of business cycles, using the agency cost model of Carlstrom and Fuerst (1997). We decompose the total welfare effects of business cycles into the fluctuation and mean effect. We find that whether financial frictions reduce the total welfare or not, for any given shock, depends on the size of the mean effect. The presence of financial frictions reduces the mean effect and thus the welfare in response to aggregate productivity shocks, whereas it increases the mean effect in response to net worth shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1644-1651 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1708857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1708857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1644-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gian Paulo Soave Author-X-Name-First: Gian Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Soave Title: Financial conditions and the business cycles in emerging markets Abstract: This article assesses the role of financial conditions in business cycles in emerging markets. Evidence from nonlinear vector autoregression (VAR) model relating macroeconomic variables to a proxy of financial conditions suggests that (a) stressful times occur with considerable frequency, about 28$$\% $$% of the time; (b) second moments of the main macroeconomic variables are regime-dependent, potentially more correlated with GDP and with larger volatility under financial distress conditions; (c) consumption is more volatile than GDP under both regular financial and financial distress condition; (d) duration of the financial instability period is estimated to be about 4.7 quarters; and (e) strong amplification effects exist, potentially related to the tightening of credit conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1652-1658 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1708858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1708858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1652-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subok Chae Author-X-Name-First: Subok Author-X-Name-Last: Chae Title: Does housing price destroy marital stability? Evidence from South Korea Abstract: This study examines the impact of housing price on the divorce rate in South Korea using a fixed effects model and dynamic panel data. There is currently a lack of consensus in the literature regarding the effect of house price on divorce. We simultaneously consider both house price and rental cost to distinguish a positive and negative effect of housing price. Using a cross-regional dataset of 15 provinces in South Korea from 1990 to 2013, we show that the wealth effect of house price changes on divorce rates is different from the effect of rental cost. All regression results indicate positive and statistically significant wealth effects of house price, but negative effects of the rental price changes on divorce rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1659-1662 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1711502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1711502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1659-1662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Author-Name: Paul Redmond Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Redmond Author-Name: Judith Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Title: Minimum wage non-compliance Abstract: We use a unique question from the Irish Labour Force Survey that captures the reasons for workers being paid below the minimum wage. Compared to existing work, this allows us to more precisely identify sub-minimum wage workers. We find that 5.6 percent of minimum wage workers are paid below the minimum wage for reasons other than those permitted under legislation. This is considerably lower than estimates reported in the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1663-1666 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1711503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1711503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1663-1666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: René Böheim Author-X-Name-First: René Author-X-Name-Last: Böheim Author-Name: Thomas Leoni Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Leoni Title: Absenteeism on bridging days Abstract: We examine sickness absences on ‘bridging days’, i.e. Mondays and Fridays which fall between a weekend and a public holiday. Bridging days allow for a longer absence from work and increased utility from leisure, which could lead to increased shirking and absenteeism. We test this hypothesis using longitudinal social security data that cover the universe of private sector employees in a large Austrian region for a period of eleven years. Many public holidays are on different days of the week in different years and this variation identifies our causal estimate. We do not find any evidence for inflated sickness absence rates on bridging days. Quite conversely, sickness rates are consistently lower on bridging days than on regular Mondays and Fridays. Analysing diagnoses with symptoms that are hard to verify, we do not find indications for changes in employees’ strategic behaviour. Our results are consistent with the explanation that more workers are on vacation on bridging days. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1667-1671 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1711504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1711504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1667-1671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Kui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The impact of two-child policy on household savings in China and mechanisms Abstract: One-child policy has been accused of causing high saving rates in China, and this article provides direct evidences for the economic impact of the two-child policy on savings. Using China Migrants Dynamic Survey, we find the two-child policy significantly reduces the household saving rates by 1.96 percentage points in average and by 4.88 percentage points if the rural and ethnic minority groups excluded, and we also use IV and propensity score matching (PSM) estimation methods to test the robustness. Furthermore, the study shows that the two-child policy has a heterogeneous effect on the saving rates decreasing, which mainly occurs in the local hukou population group. From this perspective, the policy has a comprehensive and sustainable impact. Through mechanism analysis, we clarify that the two-child policy affects savings by increasing expenditure insignificantly; in addition to the direct effect, it mainly affects savings by transiently reducing family income.Abbreviations: IV: Instrumental variables; PSM: Propensity score matching; CPI: Consumer price index; OLS: Ordinary least squares Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1672-1676 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1711505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1711505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1672-1676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deniz Gevrek Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Gevrek Author-Name: David Hudgins Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hudgins Author-Name: Marilyn K. Spencer Author-X-Name-First: Marilyn K. Author-X-Name-Last: Spencer Title: Detecting a shade of schadenfreude in employee satisfaction with salary raises Abstract: This is the first study that explores the schadenfreude effect in employee satisfaction with and reaction to five-different salary raises. Authors construct a unique data set that was created by annually surveying employees from a representative U.S. public university over 5 years. Individuals demonstrate the emotion of schadenfreude in terms of the interactive impact of the raises of other employees. The results also indicate that awarding a one-time, small increase in compensation is not to be recommended for employee satisfaction and retention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1680 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1711506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1711506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1677-1680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert A. Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert A. Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Author-Name: Ahmad R. Osmani Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad R. Author-X-Name-Last: Osmani Title: Effects of life expectancy on economic growth: new results using the flexible Box–Cox power transformation model Abstract: This article revisits the effects of life expectancy (LE) on economic growth reported in previous research. Maximum likelihhod estimates are obtained based on the monotonic nonlinear flexible Box–Cox power transformation regression model. This variance stabilizing model, unlike the a priori restrictive nested log and linear forms, is a parametrically richer flexible functional form for transforming the dependent and independent variables separately with different power parameters. The conditional LE elasticity of income estimates are found to vary across fitted models and the more robust flexible Box–Cox power model outperforms the restrictive linear and log specifications fitted in past work. Contrary to past findings indicating large negative and highly elastic (statistically significant) LE elasticity of income, new results from the preferred fully flexible Box–Cox model incorporating the nonlinear effect yield a much smaller negative (statistically significant) and inelastic LE elasticity of income estimate. The study explores some policy options for enhancing economic growth during periods of high or rising LE. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1681-1684 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1681-1684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Aiping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Aiping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hao Li Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: What matters for the overall reduction of multidimensional poverty? Evidence from rural China Abstract: This paper provides a monitoring on the reduction of multidimensional poverty in rural China from 2010 to 2016. The results indicate that significant overall alleviation is observed in the rural China. After decomposing poverty reduction through Shapley method, dimensional and regional breakdown, this paper captures the factors contributing to the overall alleviation of multidimensional poverty in rural China: the decrease of poverty incidence, rather than the reduction of poverty intensity; the improvement in the dimensions of education and living standards; and the obvious alleviation of poverty in Western China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1685-1690 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1685-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Clemens Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Clemens Author-Name: Michael R. Strain Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Strain Title: Implications of schedule irregularity as a minimum wage response margin Abstract: Empirical research on minimum wages has historically focused on employment effects, with the implicit assumption that workers who remain employed under a minimum wage regime are better off. This paper develops a simple model and a stylized example to highlight the importance of an underappreciated margin: how a minimum wage might affect the regularity of workers’ schedules. Our analysis illustrates a novel line of intuition for how a minimum wage can reduce welfare even if, as in our example, it increases wages, productivity, and output, without decreasing employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1694 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1691-1694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sijia Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Sijia Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: The price and liquidity impact of China forbidding initial coin offerings on the cryptocurrency market Abstract: In this article, we empirically examine the cryptocurrency market reaction to china prohibiting initial coin offerings, on the 4 September 2007 for the 100 largest cryptocurrencies. The announcement has a significant negative but temporary impact on cryptocurrency returns and liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1695-1698 Issue: 20 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:20:p:1695-1698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xingchun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingchun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Valuing vulnerable options with two underlying assets Abstract: In this paper, we consider vulnerable options with two underlying assets, including options on the maximum of two underlying prices, options paying the best and cash, and options on the maximum of two geometric average prices. We derive the explicit pricing formulae of these options and perform numerical examples to illustrate prices of these options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1699-1706 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1699-1706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarle Aarstad Author-X-Name-First: Jarle Author-X-Name-Last: Aarstad Author-Name: Olav Andreas Kvitastein Author-X-Name-First: Olav Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kvitastein Title: Has the popularity of battery electric vehicles in Norway affected total new car sales? A synthetic control method study Abstract: Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have gained popularity in Norway, chiefly due to generous tax incentives. Using the synthetic control method, we study if BEVs’ popularity has complemented or substituted for conventional new car sales. Comparing Norway with weighed control units from a donor pool of 16 other European countries between 1990 and 2018 as a counterfactual, we find that conventional new car sales since 2011 have fallen steeply in the country. Analyses also indicate that total new car sales have decreased since 2011. We conclude that BEVs substitute for conventional cars and probably even subtract total new car sales. An implication is that tax revenue loss from BEVs is probably higher than previously estimated, and the fleet of cars in Norway is probably older than in the absence of BEVs’ generous tax incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1707-1710 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1713981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1713981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1707-1710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoshi Urasawa Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Urasawa Title: Business cycle asymmetry: evidence from Japan’s decade-long deflation Abstract: This paper empirically examines the asymmetric behaviour of macroeconomic time series under different economic regimes, focusing especially on whether the economy is in a deflationary or non-deflationary regime, using a threshold vector autoregression model (TVAR). The results provide evidence in favour of asymmetric spillover effects from demand shocks on economic variables such as wages and consumption. In contrast to the non-deflationary period, during the deflationary period demand shocks are not clearly transmitted to the economy overall due mainly to the rigidity of nominal wages. The findings highlight that the state of the economy also matters when we consider the nature of the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1711-1717 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1715335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1715335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1711-1717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengyuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chengyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jie Shen Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Qiong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Biao Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biao Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Impact of vertical pay dispersion on operational risk in banks Abstract: We explore the linkage between vertical pay dispersion, a critical aspect of bank compensation scheme, and the frequency and severity (total monetary loss) of operational risk. Using operational risk events panel data from Chinese domestic commercial banks, we find that vertical pay dispersion positively impacts both the frequency and total loss severity of operational risk events, and such impacts increase marginal effects via quantile regression. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1718-1721 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1716935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1716935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1718-1721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syungjin Han Author-X-Name-First: Syungjin Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Changhyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Changhyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Employment stability and corporate innovation Abstract: We present a novel measure of firm-level employment stability, defined as one minus a firm’s employment elasticity with respect to its sales. We find that employment stability is positively associated with innovation output, measured by the number of patents and subsequent citations, and the originality and generality of the patents. Our findings suggest that employment stability enhances employees’ incentives for innovation by providing tolerance for failure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1722-1725 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1716936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1716936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1722-1725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Abuchi Agwu Author-X-Name-First: George Abuchi Author-X-Name-Last: Agwu Title: When risk-aversion promotes enterprise formation Abstract: In this article, risk-aversion promotes rural enterprises formation contrasting with the theoretical motivations of new entrepreneurs. Rather than risk seeking, rural entrepreneurs are risk-averse, and instead of opportunities, the operators seek livelihood insurance. This finding indicates the value of insurance penetration in the rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1726-1729 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1716937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1716937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1726-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bebonchu Atems Author-X-Name-First: Bebonchu Author-X-Name-Last: Atems Author-Name: Qingyang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qingyang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Public education expenditures, taxation and growth: a state-level analysis Abstract: In a 2007 paper, Blankenau, Simpson, and Tomljanovich (BST) find that public education expenditures have a positive impact on growth only after controlling for the government budget constraint. This note estimates a dynamic panel data model with U.S. state-level data over the period 1963–2015. Similar to BST, we find evidence of a positive relationship between public education expenditures and growth. Unlike BST, this relationship is not sensitive to the imposition of the government budget constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1730-1734 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1717424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1717424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1730-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chee-Hong Law Author-X-Name-First: Chee-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: Siew-Voon Soon Author-X-Name-First: Siew-Voon Author-X-Name-Last: Soon Title: The impact of inflation on income inequality: the role of institutional quality Abstract: The inflation rate has ambiguous effects on income inequality, implying that the effects could be affected by another variable. This paper examines the implication of institutional quality on the relationship between inflation and income inequality. The two-step system generalized method of moment is applied to the unbalanced panel dataset which consists of 4-year non-overlapping average data from 1987 to 2014 for 65 developed and developing countries. The coefficients of inflation and institutional quality indicate that an increase in inflation will worsen income inequality, while better institutional quality will improve income inequality. Meanwhile, the effect of inflation will be mitigated by better institutional quality, suggesting the existence of a mediating effect from institutional quality. On the other hand, the marginal effects suggest that inflation and institutional quality will reduce income inequality. Thus, policymakers are advised to improve the institutional quality as it has a direct as well as an indirect impact on income inequality via its interaction with inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1738 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1717425 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1717425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1735-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seyyed Ali Zeytoon Nejad Moosavian Author-X-Name-First: Seyyed Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Zeytoon Nejad Moosavian Author-Name: Robert Hammond Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hammond Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Risk aversion over price variability: experimental evidence Abstract: Eliciting risk attitudes is of crucial importance in economics. We test whether the degree of risk aversion that an individual exhibits in the context of the direct utility function is equivalent to that elicited in the context of the indirect utility function, as implied by duality theory. Our lab experiment uses payoff-based lottery choices (which are based on the direct utility function) and equivalent price-based lottery choices (which are based on the indirect utility function). We reject the equivalence of risk preferences from these two contexts. Subjects are more sensitive to price uncertainty than to equivalent payoff uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1745 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1717426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1717426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1739-1745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myongjin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myongjin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Leilei Shen Author-X-Name-First: Leilei Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Help or hindrance? U.S. aid on growth Abstract: We distinguish between U.S. aid and non-U.S. aid and study the effects on growth in recipient countries. Our analysis exploits time variation in aid due to changes in the supply of U.S. aid and cross-sectional variation in a country’s tendency to receive any U.S. aid. We find that U.S. aid has a positive effect on growth. In particular, U.S. economic aid has a positive effect on growth while U.S. military and food aid have no effect on growth. There is also no evidence of U.S. aid crowding out aid from other countries. The effect of U.S. aid on growth is smaller for countries that are well endowed with natural resources, less ethnically polarized, and more aligned with the U.S. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1746-1753 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1720902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1720902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1746-1753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: Using the synthetic control method to determine the effects of firearm seizure laws on state-level murder rates Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of firearm seizure laws on state-level murder rates. Using data for the period 1990–2017 and a synthetic control method, results of the present study suggest that firearm seizure laws resulted in a decline in murder and gun-related murder rates in Connecticut but an increase in gun-related murder rates in Indiana. The present study is significant because it is the first study that uses the synthetic control method to determine the effects of firearm seizure laws on murder rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1754-1758 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1720903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1720903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1754-1758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thierry Kangoye Author-X-Name-First: Thierry Author-X-Name-Last: Kangoye Title: External financial flows and institutional building: the impact of remittances on civil liberties in aid dependent countries Abstract: We analyse the impact of both official development assistance and migrant transfers on civil liberties in developing countries, using a sample of 63 countries over the period 1984–2004. We found that while both larger migrant transfers and larger inflows of aid are associated with stronger civil liberties, workers remittances have a higher impact than aid with no interdependency between the two. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1763 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1722788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1722788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1759-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Başak Dalgıç Author-X-Name-First: Başak Author-X-Name-Last: Dalgıç Author-Name: Burcu Fazlıoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Author-X-Name-Last: Fazlıoğlu Title: The impact of broadband speed on productivity: findings from Turkish firms Abstract: This study utilizes Propensity Score Matching and Difference in Differences techniques to investigate whether the adoption of faster broadband generates higher productivity gains compared with broadband with normal speed. The empirical results confirm the significant role of higher speed broadband for better productivity performance of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1764-1767 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1722789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1722789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1764-1767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Author-Name: John P. Weche Author-X-Name-First: John P. Author-X-Name-Last: Weche Title: On the granularity of the German economy – first evidence from the top 100 companies panel database Abstract: Applying the approach suggested by Gabaix (Econometrica 2011) this paper uses the newly available Top 100 Companies Panel Database for Germany to demonstrate that idiosyncratic shocks in the largest firms seem not to be important for an understanding of the aggregate volatility of the German economy. This evidence is in contrast with findings for other countries and it differs from earlier results for parts of the German economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1768-1771 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1722790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1722790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1768-1771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minghui Han Author-X-Name-First: Minghui Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ning Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Cultural diversity in ownership and stock liquidity Abstract: In this study, we explore the relationship between cultural diversity in ownership and stock liquidity. We manually collect foreign investors’ countries of origin data from 2003 to 2017 to measure the cultural diversity in the ownership of Chinese listed firms. Our results show that cultural diversity in ownership reduces stock liquidity, and these results are robust to endogeneity examinations. In addition, market valuation uncertainty exaggerates the effect of cultural diversity in ownership on stock liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1772-1777 Issue: 21 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1723785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1723785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:21:p:1772-1777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Freya Gassmann Author-X-Name-First: Freya Author-X-Name-Last: Gassmann Author-Name: Jan Haut Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Haut Author-Name: Eike Emrich Author-X-Name-First: Eike Author-X-Name-Last: Emrich Title: The effect of the 2014 and 2018 FIFA World Cup tournaments on German national pride. A natural experiment Abstract: Recent studies have focused on the influence of major sporting events on different areas (e.g. well-being, life satisfaction, sport-related national pride), but their effect on national pride has been investigated insufficiently. A German cross-sectional dataset (ALLBUS) that was collected during spring and fall in 2014 and 2018 was used as time series data to measure national pride among the German population during the FIFA World Cup. To detect the relevant breaks during the observation period, an interrupted time-series analysis (Linden 2015) was performed. In 2014, when the German national team won the championship, there was a small but significant increase in national pride, and, in 2018, when the German national team was eliminated in the group stage, there was a small but significant decrease in national pride. However, in the case of Germany, these effects are temporary and, thus, are not sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1541-1545 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1696448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1696448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1541-1545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oğuzhan Çepni Author-X-Name-First: Oğuzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Çepni Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Zhihui Lv Author-X-Name-First: Zhihui Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Title: Threshold effects of inequality on economic growth in the US states: the role of human capital to physical capital ratio Abstract: Theory suggests that the effect of inequality on growth varies with the level of economic development, as captured by the ratio of human capital to physical capital. In particular, the effect is shown to be positive at lower levels of this ratio, and turns negative beyond a threshold in such models. Using a comprehensive panel of annual data for the 48 contiguous US states over the period 1948 to 2014, we find overwhelming evidence in support of this theory, unlike prior work on this topic. Hence, our paper highlights the importance of accurately measuring the process of economic development using data on human capital and physical capital, instead of using proxies that are not theoretically consistent. Understandably, if not done so, policymakers would end up undertaking incorrect decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1546-1551 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1696449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1696449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1546-1551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaime Millán-Quijano Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Millán-Quijano Title: Fuzzy difference in discontinuities Abstract: This paper discusses the conditions needed to estimate the local average treatment effect (LATE) of a policy using the ‘difference-in-discontinuities’ method while considering imperfect compliance. I show that simple and plausible assumptions about the participation and effects of the confounding existing policies allow the identification of the causal effect of a new policy. Identification is feasible even when information about the participation in other confounding policies is not available. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1552-1555 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1696930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1696930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1552-1555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pål Børing Author-X-Name-First: Pål Author-X-Name-Last: Børing Author-Name: Arne Martin Fevolden Author-X-Name-First: Arne Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Fevolden Author-Name: Michael Spjelkavik Mark Author-X-Name-First: Michael Spjelkavik Author-X-Name-Last: Mark Author-Name: Fredrik Niclas Piro Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Piro Title: Bringing home the bacon: the relationship between firm characteristics and participation in EU Horizon 2020 projects Abstract: Why some countries are more successful than others at securing European research and innovation grants is a question that has recently received significant attention in the research and policy communities. This article helps answer this question by investigating the role of firms in securing financial returns from EU Framework Programmes. More specifically, it explores how three firm characteristics – size, industrial sector, and country – can lead to increased participation in and larger grants from EU projects. The analysis is carried out using logistic and linear regressions on a combined data set consisting of data on Framework Programmes participation and firm characteristics. The analysis presents results for firms from four Nordic countries – Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden – and their involvement in Horizon 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1556-1561 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1696932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1696932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1556-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanele Nyamela Author-X-Name-First: Yanele Author-X-Name-Last: Nyamela Author-Name: Vasilios Plakandaras Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Plakandaras Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Frequency-dependent real-time effects of uncertainty in the United States: evidence from daily data Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the impact of uncertainty shocks at the daily-frequency on key macroeconomic variables for the United States. In doing so, we use a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, including the inflation rate, a real-time measure of economic activity and a measure of monetary policy as endogenous variables and decompose uncertainty effects into short, medium and long-term based on a discrete-time Fourier transformation. Aggregate results (prior to decomposition) show that an increase in economic uncertainty has a significant expansionary impact on monetary policy. However, when we decompose uncertainty into its short-, medium- and long-run components, we find that economic activity is affected negatively in a statistically significant manner to shocks in low-frequency uncertainty, while, statistically significant monetary expansion is observed under shocks to relatively high frequencies of uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1562-1566 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1697419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1697419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1562-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Jakub Szczygielski Author-X-Name-First: Jan Jakub Author-X-Name-Last: Szczygielski Author-Name: Andreas Karathanasopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Karathanasopoulos Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Title: One shape fits all? A comprehensive examination of cryptocurrency return distributions Abstract: We perform the most comprehensive test of cryptocurrency return distributions to date. We fit 58 hypothetical distributions to 15 major cryptocurrencies to establish which of these best describes cryptocurrency returns. The answer is: ‘It depends.’ A sharp-peaked Cauchy distribution is the most likely distribution for the majority of return series. Specific distributions are definitively identified for only a handful of cryptocurrencies. The best fitting distributions are peaked and thick-tailed, with some possessing variable shape parameters. Our findings have implications for financial modelling and its applications, such as risk measurement and risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1567-1573 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1697420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1697420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1567-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taehyun Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Taehyun Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Employment and health among older people: self-employment vs. wage employment Abstract: This study examines the impacts of employment at older ages on individuals’ health using data from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing (KLoSA). In assessing the health consequences of employment, a distinction is made between self-employment, which is predominant among the elderly working population, and wage employment. The results demonstrate that the effects on health differ by employment type: self-employment has a negative impact on general health and mental health, whereas wage work has a positive impact. In contrast to wage work, self-employment improves cognitive functioning. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1574-1580 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1697795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1697795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1574-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary A. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Gary A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Author-Name: Erick M. Elder Author-X-Name-First: Erick M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Title: A simple measure of pension generosity Abstract: Accurately assessing the generosity of government pensions is an important policy issue. This article proposes to measure generosity by the present value of benefits workers accrue per additional year of working net of their contributions. We show how a simple adjustment to standard pension metrics will approximate this measure. We conclude by documenting differences between our measure and other generosity metrics using data from Boston University’s Public Plans Database. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1581-1586 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1697796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1697796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1581-1586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan De Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: De Lucio Author-Name: Raúl Mínguez Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Mínguez Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: New exporters benefit more from information spillovers Abstract: Using the universe of Spanish export transactions over 2000–2012, this paper explores empirically whether the choice of destinations among experienced and new exporters is affected by the number and performance of previous exporters in those destinations. The regression analysis shows that new exporters benefit more from information spillovers than experienced exporters. Results hold when spillovers are measured both at the regional and regional-industry level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1587-1591 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1698709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1698709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1587-1591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Bergh Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Bergh Author-Name: Alexander Funcke Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Funcke Title: Social trust and sharing economy size: country level evidence from home sharing services Abstract: The sharing economy (peer-to-peer based sharing or renting activities coordinated through community-based online services) is often said to be closely related to trust. This paper examines the association empirically. Using data collected from the two sharing economy companies Airbnb and Flipkey that exist in over 100 countries, we construct a measure of sharing economy penetration and examine its correlation with social trust and other potential explanations. Sharing economy penetration is promoted by ICT-infrastructure and economic openness. Conditional on ICT-infrastructure, countries with higher social trust have significantly lower sharing economy penetration. Our conclusion is that sharing economy services do not require high levels of social trust to succeed. Rather, they provide institutions that facilitate trust-intensive economic activities also where social trust is low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1592-1595 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1701180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1701180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1592-1595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Pengfei Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Ailun Shui Author-X-Name-First: Ailun Author-X-Name-Last: Shui Title: Labour market outcomes and migration: evidence from China Abstract: Migrants enter the labour market as self-employed with employees (as employers), self-employment without employees (as own-account workers), and paid-employment (as salaried employees). This study examines whether self-employment has higher earnings than the paid-employment for China’s migrants. Analysing a data set from the 2016 China Migrants Dynamic Survey, our results suggest that employers have the highest earnings potential on average, followed by own-account workers, and paid-employment. Moreover, marginal returns increase for an employer in higher-income quantiles. Thus, this study concludes that the rich are self-employed with higher returns, while the poor view it as a substitute for unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1596-1601 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1705236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1705236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1596-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Hassan Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Olalekan B. Aworinde Author-X-Name-First: Olalekan B. Author-X-Name-Last: Aworinde Title: Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests Abstract: This article investigates linear and nonlinear causal linkages between fiscal deficits and current account deficits in a sample of 12 African countries using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2018:4. The results indicate evidence of unidirectional causality from current account deficits to the fiscal deficits in four countries while a unidirectional causality from fiscal deficit to current account deficit is found in five countries. Results from panel causality test revealed evidence of bidirectional causality between the two deficits. These conclusions suggest that policy to tackle one of the deficits should also take the other into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1602-1606 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1602-1606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nazlı Karamollaoglu Author-X-Name-First: Nazlı Author-X-Name-Last: Karamollaoglu Author-Name: Bariş Soybilgen Author-X-Name-First: Bariş Author-X-Name-Last: Soybilgen Title: Determinants of Turkish female labour force participation: an analysis with manufacturing firm-level data Abstract: Compared to other developing countries, Turkey has a very low female labour participation rate. Previous studies usually focus on the labour supply side of female employment. Unlike the previous literature, this paper investigates firm-level determinants of female employment in manufacturing firms using a unique micro data set constructed using different sources. After controlling for geographical variation, firm, and industry-specific factors, our results show that larger firms, exporter firms, firms with higher part-time worker ratio, and foreign-owned firms have higher female employment rate whereas younger firms, firms with higher labour productivity, and firms with long working hours have lower female employment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1607-1610 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1607-1610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions Abstract: We empirically assess the magnitudes of sovereign indebtedness responses for a sample of 123 Advanced and Emerging Market Economies, between 1980 and 2018, taking into account the changing characteristics of financial markets, notably the Global and Financial Crisis. Our results show that when the financial conditions are more stressful, for instance, higher yield spreads or a heightened degree of financial stress, fiscal authorities use more actively their primary balance to reduce sovereign indebtedness, which is not the case when financial market conditions are more benign. This is notably true for the case of Emerging Market Economies sovereigns, who most likely then struggle more to fund themselves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1611-1616 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1611-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Hauptmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Hauptmann Author-Name: Hans-Jörg Schmerer Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jörg Author-X-Name-Last: Schmerer Title: German plant closure and the China shock Abstract: This paper explores administrative plant data from Germany to study the role of import competition for plant closure. The data used in this study allow inferring a precise measure of plant closure by assessing co-worker movements across plants and time. Chinese imports can be associated with a higher propensity of the plant closure. We present a comparison between results based on a more common plant exit variable with regression outcomes that fit the model to the more precise plant closure information. The sign of the effect is independent of the choice of the outcome variable but the magnitude of the effect changes considerably. Moreover, we find that the effect is non-linear as newly established plants are better prepared for the import shock compared to older establishments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1617-1621 Issue: 19 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1707759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1617-1621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junxuan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Junxuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Anyu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Anyu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ying Hua Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Title: Measurement and analysis of corporate operating vitality in the age of digital business models Abstract: Digitalization is rapidly reshaping business models, especially the opportunities created by Internet access in business, which reflects the operating vitality in digital age. This paper constructs the Corporate Operating Vitality Index (CVI) Model to measure the activity of business corporations. We estimate CVI of Chinese firms during 2011 to 2013 by three dimensions of business, innovation and information-sharing, using data from China Enterprise Surveys (CES). The empirical results suggest that the CVIs of large-sized corporations is higher than which of SMEs and CVI of the manufacturing corporations is higher comparing to non-manufacturing corporations as the vitality cut-offs are at higher level. Additionally, CVI is sensitive to the change of the standard in identification of active corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-517 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:511-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaen Corbet Author-X-Name-First: Shaen Author-X-Name-Last: Corbet Author-Name: Charles Larkin Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Larkin Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Larisa Yarovaya Author-X-Name-First: Larisa Author-X-Name-Last: Yarovaya Title: KODAKCoin: a blockchain revolution or exploiting a potential cryptocurrency bubble? Abstract: Eastman Kodak is an American technology company that produces imaging products. In 2018, it announced its intentions to enter the crytpocurrency market, raising concerns that it could be taking advantage of a potential cryptocurrency bubble for short-term gains. We analyse the relationships between Kodak, crytocurrency and stock market index returns. We find evidence of a significant, sustained increase in both the share price and price volatility of Kodak after the KODAKCoin announcement, with an increased correlation between the price of Kodak shares and Bitcoin. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 518-524 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1637512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1637512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:518-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuan Fei Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: Does where you are from affect how you land? Evidence from land transactions of Chinese manufacturers Abstract: Leveraging the unique matched land transaction and firm survey data, we empirically examine if firm ownership will affect the access to land factor for Chinese manufacturers. The state-owned firms display no advantage in paying less when acquiring land, while it is more costly for foreign-owned firms. Consistent with this finding, we find land acquisitions for foreign-owned firms are more likely to take place via the nonmarket-based transaction in the early stage of China’s land market reform with the goal of eliminating corruption. The research suggests that potential land miss-allocation (if any) could be resulted from ‘tax’ to the foreign firm rather than ‘subsidy’ to state-owned firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-532 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1638492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1638492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:525-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junchao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junchao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Estimates of the returns to schooling in Taiwan: evidence from a regression discontinuity design Abstract: Using micro-data from the Manpower Utilization Survey 1995–2015 of Taiwan, this paper exploits exogenous variation in years of schooling caused by the 9-year compulsory education reform to estimate the economic returns to schooling. The results of fuzzy regression discontinuity design indicate that the causal effect of education on wage is approximately 5.6%, smaller than the corresponding ordinary least squares estimates. Our results are robust to various specifications and placebo tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-538 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1638493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1638493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:533-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yifan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Ye Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Regional integration and inequality comovement: evidence from Europe Abstract: We find strong patterns of income inequality comovement in the eurozone over the past 40 years. The acceleration of this comovement largely echoes with the development of the eurozone and the further economic and political integration among its member economies. Comparison between the eurozone and non-eurozone economies suggests that the economic and political integration may contribute to the synchronization of income inequality fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1638494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1638494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Casilda Lasso De La Vega Author-X-Name-First: Casilda Author-X-Name-Last: Lasso De La Vega Author-Name: Agurtzane Lekuona Author-X-Name-First: Agurtzane Author-X-Name-Last: Lekuona Author-Name: Susan Orbe Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Orbe Title: Reexamining the inequality of opportunity in education in some European countries Abstract: This paper analyzes inequality of opportunity in education in 20 European countries. We aim to examine to what extent students’ educational achievements are conditioned by circumstances such as their family background, school characteristics and peer effects, and by their own efforts. To that end, we propose a model that allows us to analyze the total effect of circumstances on overall education inequalities. Then, we propose a measure of inequality of opportunity that captures that effect.We find that, among the selected countries, Belgium, France, Germany, Switzerland and Luxembourg show the highest levels of inequality of opportunity, whereas Finland, Romania, Ireland, Spain and Norway get the lowest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 544-548 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1638495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1638495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:544-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Selecting between student and normal mixture distributions Abstract: It is widely recognized that financial data distributions have heavier tails than normal distributions. These tails can be modeled as Student distributions and normal mixture distributions. However, selecting between these distributions has not been previously studied. To this end, this study proposes an information-criterion approach. The efficacy of the proposed method for selecting the number of mixture components is examined via simulation studies that compare the conventional hypothesis test. Empirical results using Japanese stock returns data are also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-554 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1640855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1640855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:549-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Benchmarking collateral of triple-a rated securities Abstract: This paper presents a simple method to estimate the collateral associated with a Aaa tranche. The method is similar to historical simulation in the sense that there are no specific distributional assumptions, and the data fully determine the characteristics of the distribution. Both the transparency and simplicity of our method provide a valuable benchmark to existent tail of the distribution modelling. As a benchmark, our method also serves to validate collateral estimates for Aaa-rated securities as well as to validate capitalization models of financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-558 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1640856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1640856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:555-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin O’Brien Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: O’Brien Author-Name: Raymond Markey Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Markey Title: Labour regulation reform and sectoral employment outcomes: a case study of public holiday penalty rate reductions in Australia Abstract: In 2017 Australia’s central employment relations regulator determined a decrease to wage premiums (penalty rates) paid to minimum wage Retail and Hospitality industry employees on Sundays and public holidays. Employers claimed that these penalty rate cuts would stimulate greater employment levels and hours and reduce pressure on owner-managers to work on these days. In this paper, we test these claims for public holiday employment outcomes using a natural experiment setting, a unique survey of both employer and employee outcomes, and difference-in-differences modelling accounting for program non-compliance. Ultimately, we failed to establish any evidence for positive public holiday employment outcomes emanating from the penalty rate reduction. We discuss the potential reasons for this outcome, including the inadequate and flawed evidence presented in the penalty rate determination case, confounding factors associated with adjacent minimum wage rate determinations and weak income growth affecting consumer confidence and demand in Retail and Hospitality sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-563 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1640857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1640857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:559-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huijie Cui Author-X-Name-First: Huijie Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Yanan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does investor sentiment affect stock price crash risk? Abstract: This study investigates the effect of investor sentiment on future stock price crash risk. Using a large sample of U.S. firms for the period 1991–2014, we find that firms are associated with greater likelihood of stock price crashes in high-sentiment period. The impact of investor sentiment on crash risk is more pronounced in firms with higher leverage ratio, greater default risk and larger analyst forecast dispersion. Overall, the results suggest that firm-level negative information is more likely to be withheld during high investor sentiment period, thus leading to a larger stock price crash risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 564-568 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1643448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1643448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:564-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Usman Bashir Author-X-Name-First: Usman Author-X-Name-Last: Bashir Author-Name: Yugang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yugang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Do confucianism and political connections affect stock price crash risk: evidence from Chinese economy? Abstract: Utilizing a large dataset on Chinese A-Share listed firms comprising 18763 firm-year observation for the period of 2001–2015, we examined whether Confucianism and political connections lessen the stock price crash risk of firms by using geographical-proximity-based Confucianism variables. Our findings point towards the evidence that firms situated in China with higher levels of Confucianism reveal low levels of stock price crash risk and this relationship is incrementally significant for politically connected firms while controlling for a battery of control variables. Our results are robust by using alternate proxies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-575 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:569-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Manru Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Manru Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The non-linear impact of industrial structure on CO2 emissions in China Abstract: This paper employs panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model to investigate the nonlinear effects of the upgrading of an industrial structure and CO2 emissions in China. The panel data set includes the 30 provinces and autonomous regions during the period 1997–2015. Empirical results show that the proportion of the tertiary industry increased the carbon emission effect was obvious, as the proportion of the secondary industry in the economic development increased, the trend of increasing carbon emissions slowed down, besides, the marginal effects of the explaining variables and selected optimal threshold variable on the CO2 emissions are non-linear and vary with time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 576-579 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:576-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pallab Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Zexuan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zexuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Coauthorship and the gender gap in top economics journal publications Abstract: Coauthorship has become the new norm in academics since the early 1970s because it enhances productivity. However, the gender gap in economics journal publication continues to persist, which explains why there are fewer women than men in the economics profession. This study investigates the role of coauthorship in the gender gap in top economics journals for untenured faculty members in the US. We construct a unique dataset from the CVs of academic economists from the top 96 PhD-granting economics departments in the US. Our results suggest that, compared to men, women are matched with less productive unique coauthors because women begin their academic careers in lower-ranked economics departments than men, which is associated with institutional gender bias. This poor-quality matching can explain approximately 0.60 fewer publications in the top 20 economics journals during the untenured period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 580-590 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:580-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takahiro Hattori Author-X-Name-First: Takahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hattori Title: A forecast comparison of volatility models using realized volatility: evidence from the Bitcoin market Abstract: This paper first evaluates the volatility modeling in the Bitcoin market in terms of its realized volatility, which is considered to be a reliable proxy of its true volatility. Based on the 5-minute return of Bitcoin, the proxy of its true volatility is computed as the sum of the squared intraday returns. To evaluate the performance of volatility modeling, this paper relies on MSE and QLIKE, which are the measures for making the forecast accuracy robust to noise in the imperfect volatility proxy, while different measures are also used for the robustness check. The empirically findings summarized as (1) the asymmetric volatility models such as EGARCH and APARCH have a higher predictability, and (2) the volatility model with normal distribution performs better than the fat-tailed distribution such as skewed t distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-595 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:591-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chor Foon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Chor Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Transmission channels of oil and finance toward promoting growth in China: the role of industrialization Abstract: We trace the transmission channels of oil and finance to determine the extent of the energy-led and finance-led growth hypotheses in China from 1965 to 2016. We failed to find evidence that supports the energy-led growth and finance-led growth hypotheses. Instead, the results suggested that industrialization is the main factor that fuels economic growth. Oil consumption and financial development influence growth in China are pass-through the channels of industrialization. The key findings of this study are that energy and finance itself does not influence economic growth, while the impacts of energy and finance on economic growth being contingent upon industrialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 596-600 Issue: 7 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:7:p:596-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jieun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Jieun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Title: A test of the Alchian–Allen conjecture with transaction-level trade data Abstract: We use Kosovo’s transaction-level import value, tariff duties and transport cost data for very finely disaggregated products to test the Alchian–Allen conjecture. First, we show that the elasticity of freight costs to import prices is much lower than the unitary elasticity predicted by the iceberg transport cost hypothesis. Second, we find that import unit values rise with transport costs and decline with ad valorem tariffs. Our results confirm the Alchian–Allen conjecture that per-unit transport costs reduce the price of high-quality varieties relative to low-quality varieties, raising their relative demand in high freight cost destinations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ku-Hsieh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ku-Hsieh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: To-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: To-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Hsin-Hui Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A U-shaped curve phenomenon of international language on output growth: empirical evidence Abstract: The contribution of international language proficiency on output growth for an economy is generally considered to be monotonously positive, at least irrelevant or non-negative. Nonetheless, the inference seems suspicious if one ponders over this from an aggregate aspect. This study hypothesizes a U-shaped curve for the proposition and conducts an empirical analysis with 40 non-English-speaking countries based on the English Proficiency Index (EPI) from 2011 to 2016, developed by Education First. The outcome reveals that along with an increase in EPI, the effect on growth is shown initially to be negative and then turns positive. Accordingly, while plotting the relationship between the two variables on a two-dimensional graph, a U-shaped curve appears, and the lowest turning point is located at 57.42 of the EPI. It is further manifested that during the sample period, about 36% of the observations yielded a positive effect, but the others were non-positive. Finally, the empirical analysis also shows that two-way feedback causality exists between the international language proficiency and output growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-614 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1737313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1737313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:605-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilsun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Pilsun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: Measuring environmental inequality from air pollution and health conditions Abstract: This paper uses panel regression to examine the adverse health effects of fine particles moderated by household income. To identify the causal effect, we employ data from two sources, Korea Health Panel and AirKorea, during the period between 2014 and 2015. We first find that the negative effect of bad air quality is statistically significant for most income groups. Second, this adverse effect of air pollution is moderated by household income levels. This indicates that high-income families are more likely to decrease exposure to bad environmental conditions. This finding suggests that government action needs to consider environmental inequalities among social classes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1726860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1726860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy (Jun) Lu Author-X-Name-First: Timothy (Jun) Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Jinjuan Ren Author-X-Name-First: Jinjuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Elaine (Chang) Liu Author-X-Name-First: Elaine (Chang) Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Actual controller’s foreign residency and firm leverage: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate how the characteristics of firms’ actual controllers influence firms’ access to external finance. Using hand-collected data of actual controllers of Chinese firms, we find that firms have significantly lower leverage when the actual controllers have foreign residency. Whereas actual controllers’ political connection increases firm leverage, such effect is fully eroded when the actual controllers have foreign residency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 620-623 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:620-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manoj Chandra Bayon Author-X-Name-First: Manoj Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Bayon Author-Name: Olivier Lamotte Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Lamotte Title: Age, labour market situation and the choice of risky innovative entrepreneurship Abstract: We examine the effect of age and the moderating effect of labour market situations on individuals’ decisions to enter into risky innovative entrepreneurship. Using population-level data from 94 countries from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor database we find that although age is negatively related to the choice of innovative entrepreneurship, the age–innovative entrepreneurship choice relationship is moderated by the labour market status of the individual. More specifically, full-time employed older individuals, who are most likely to become successful entrepreneurs, are less likely to choose risky innovative entrepreneurship. Considering that innovative entrepreneurship is crucial for economic growth, our results point to the importance of facilitating employed middle-age and older individuals’ entries into innovative entrepreneurship especially in a context of ageing societies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 624-628 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:624-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Usamah F. Alfarhan Author-X-Name-First: Usamah F. Author-X-Name-Last: Alfarhan Author-Name: Samir Al-Busaidi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Busaidi Title: Women’s earnings between migration status and glass ceilings: a double penalty? Abstract: We investigate the gender earnings gap in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which comprises Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. This paper implements conditional counterfactual decomposition analysis to assess the double impact of migration status and gender on skilled womens' relative earnings along earnings' distributions. We show that the earnings' gap declines by 31% between the higher and lower ends of earnings distributions. This decline is in part due to a falling effect of migration, which accounts for 100% of the total gap at the lower end of earnings, and for 50% at the higher end. Increasing effects of glass ceilings account for about 16% of the total gap around the median, and over 37% at the higher end of earnings distributions. Labour market policies that promote equal pay for equal work are recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Tahir Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Tahir Author-Name: Syed Sadaqat Ali Shah Author-X-Name-First: Syed Sadaqat Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Author-Name: Aziz Ullah Sayal Author-X-Name-First: Aziz Ullah Author-X-Name-Last: Sayal Author-Name: Muhammad Asim Afridi Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Asim Author-X-Name-Last: Afridi Title: Loan quality: does bank corporate governance matter? Abstract: The influence of corporate governance on quality of loan has rarely been explored in banking sector of Pakistan. This study, therefore, aims to investigate the effect of corporate governance on loan quality by employing relevant econometric specification such as panel fixed effect and 2SLS regression models, for the period 2005–2015. The findings reveal lower proportion of block holder, lower debt level, low frequency of board meetings and high percentage of affiliated audit committee play pivotal role in improving loan quality of the banks. Our study has practical and policy implications which might be useful whilst policy makers devise and implement Code of Corporate Governance with the aim to reduce nonperforming loans in the country’s banking sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marislei Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Marislei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Ticiana da Justa Author-X-Name-First: Ticiana Author-X-Name-Last: da Justa Author-Name: Thais Souza Author-X-Name-First: Thais Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Title: The effects of broadband on the consumption film at theatres in Brazil Abstract: We use a large emerging economy’s broadband adoption as a quasi-natural experiment to study the effects of Internet access the consumption of films at theaters. Based on individual-level large samples, available for 2002/3 and 2008/9, we find a negative effect, and we are not able to rule out the hypothesis of film piracy since neither DVD nor cable TV, the more important legal substitute goods, have their consumption increased due to broadband. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728224 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manish K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: Manish K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Marta Gómez-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Puig Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Bank-sovereign risk spillovers in the Euro Area Abstract: We investigate cross-sectional connectedness between Euro Area banking and sovereign risk. Average ‘distance-to- default’ based on all publicly listed banks headquartered in a particular country is used as an indicator of banking risk, while 10-year sovereign yield as the measure of sovereign risk. We find evidence of clustering among banks and sovereigns in peripheral and central countries. Except for peripheral countries banks, rest of the clusters are well isolated from each other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 642-646 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1728225 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1728225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:642-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan H. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Ryan H. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Colin W. O’Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Colin W. Author-X-Name-Last: O’Reilly Title: The champions of capitalism? National leaders and the institutional channel Abstract: Economic growth can be attributed to national leaders in only a limited set of cases. We compare two sets of leaders identified in the literature – those whose growth rates are statistically greater than zero and those whose growth rates are found to be statistically less than zero. We find that leaders who performed better in terms of economic growth presided over a change in economic freedom of roughly a half of a point more than those who performed poorly, suggesting the difference in economic performance may in part have been through the institutional channel. The effect is large, with many specifications corresponding to more than a half of a standard deviation across countries today. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-650 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:647-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Kirwin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kirwin Author-Name: Gabriel Mathy Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Mathy Title: How did forecasters respond to the American growth slowdown of the mid-2000s? Abstract: Worldwide growth has slowed down in the mid-2000s. This paper both confirms this result for the United States and looks at how four major forecasting organizations responded to this slowdown in GDP growth. Real GDP is unambiguously and consistently below its forecasted level and so forecast errors are persistently positive for all forecasters, consistent with a growth slowdown that forecasters were slow to acknowledge. In response to this slowdown, all forecasters overestimated growth but eventually downgraded their forecasts. We also consider overall forecaster accuracy given this GDP growth slowdown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-656 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:651-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Fendoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Fendoğlu Author-Name: Mehmet Selman Çolak Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Selman Author-X-Name-Last: Çolak Author-Name: Yavuz Selim Hacıhasanoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Yavuz Selim Author-X-Name-Last: Hacıhasanoğlu Title: Foreign-currency debt and the exchange rate pass-through Abstract: We show that higher foreign-currency indebtedness raises the degree of exchange rate pass-through to domestic producer prices. For identification, we use micro-level data from Turkey, an emerging market economy that has experienced large exchange rate movements over the last decade. Matching the Credit Register of Turkey with disaggregated manufacturing sector data on domestic prices and foreign-currency revenues from international trade, we show that sectors with higher ex-ante net foreign-currency liabilities raise their prices significantly more following domestic currency depreciation. The results are stronger if foreign-currency liabilities are short term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-666 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:657-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kunlun Zou Author-X-Name-First: Kunlun Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Rong Wu Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Pu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Does intergeneration succession influence stock prices of family businesses? Abstract: China’s A-shares family listed companies are facing a period of high intergenerational succession. This has attracted the attention and research of many scholars. The existing studies mainly focus on the motives, methods, and influencing factors of family business’ intergenerational succession, and there are few studies involving the reaction of the capital markets. This article takes 45 listed family businesses as samples and uses the synthetic control method to examine the impact and the degree of influence that intergenerational succession has on stock price movements. Thereafter, a difference-in-differences estimation is conducted to test for robustness. At the conclusion of our research, we find that intergenerational succession has a significant negative effect on the stock price of listed companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-672 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:667-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Ho Bong Author-X-Name-First: Kang Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Bong Author-Name: Sunyoung Park Author-X-Name-First: Sunyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Jaemin Park Author-X-Name-First: Jaemin Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: What types of public R&D support increase employment performance? Evidence from Korean firm-level data Abstract: If employment is the result of a series of decisions based on a firm’s performance at its growth phase, then an increase in firm employment should be the result of labor demand or optimal choices made in this process. The study aims to investigate the effects of the various forms of public support on employment decisions within a firm’s innovation process. For empirical analysis, an ordered logit model and a hurdle model were employed on a sample of 3,300 Korean firms. While non-financial support had a statistically significant positive effect on employment performance in both models, the results were mixed on other forms of policy support. Overall, the results of the empirical analysis clearly indicate that firms’ behavior can be better understood by approaching employment in a two-step decision-making process such as the hurdle model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-678 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644425 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:673-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minsung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minsung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Cross-industry distribution of R&D investments and economic growth Abstract: This study empirically investigates the relationship between the cross-industry distribution of R&D investments and economic growth across 14 countries for the period from 1996 to 2013. Although countries can invest disproportionately in a handful of industries hoping to use their limited resources efficiently and boost economic growth, complementarity between industries calls for balanced investments. Using the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index as the measure of R&D concentration, we find an inverted U-shaped relationship between the concentration of R&D investment and economic growth. Some level of concentration may be good for growth; however, beyond a certain point, concentration has a negative effect on growth. Moreover, heavy investment in high-technology manufacturing industry alleviates this negative effect of concentration. The opposite holds for much investment in the service industry. Lastly, we find that the importance of diversification increases when countries advance, while developing countries can benefit from strategic concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-684 Issue: 8 Volume: 27 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1644426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2019.1644426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:8:p:679-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Raymundo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Campos-Vazquez Title: The higher price of whiter skin: an analysis of escort services Abstract: How much are people willing to pay extra for sexual services with a white woman instead of one with darker skin? Skin colour assessed from photographs of women on escort websites in Mexico was compared with price information to answer this question. Women with darker skin were found to be underrepresented, consistent with self-selection into other occupations with an expectation of higher wages. Lighter-skinned escorts also charge more than darker women. Controlling for estimated age and physical measures like weight, hair colour, and body type, a one standard deviation increase in darkness reduces an escort’s price by approximately 10 percent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725229 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1725229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Agrapetidou Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Agrapetidou Author-Name: Paulos Charonyktakis Author-X-Name-First: Paulos Author-X-Name-Last: Charonyktakis Author-Name: Periklis Gogas Author-X-Name-First: Periklis Author-X-Name-Last: Gogas Author-Name: Theophilos Papadimitriou Author-X-Name-First: Theophilos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadimitriou Author-Name: Ioannis Tsamardinos Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Tsamardinos Title: An AutoML application to forecasting bank failures Abstract: We investigate the performance of an automated machine learning (AutoML) methodology in forecasting bank failures, called Just Add Data (JAD). We include all failed U.S. banks for 2007–2013 and twice as many healthy ones. An automated feature selection procedure in JAD identifies the most significant forecasters and a bootstrapping methodology provides conservative estimates of performance generalization and confidence intervals. The best performing model yields an AUC 0.985. The current work provides evidence that JAD, and AutoML tools in general, could increase the productivity of financial data analysts, shield against methodological statistical errors, and provide models at par with state-of-the-art manual analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725230 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1725230 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:5-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-Yun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Qing-Fei Yin Author-X-Name-First: Qing-Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: What effect the demand for homestays: evidence from Airbnb in China Abstract: Using multi-ordered logit models dealing with influence factors on the homestay demands under collaborative consumption, and crawling the dataset of Airbnb listings from provincial cities or municipal cities in China, this paper concludes that the economic factor, the characteristics and locations of homestays are the fundamental factors. To be specific, the rental prices have significant negative effects on homestays demand in developed regions in China, while positive effects in underdeveloped areas. Meanwhile, the characteristics such as the count of bedrooms and types of homestays have significant impacts on the demand for homestays in most regions, and family-travelling is very popular in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 10-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725231 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1725231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:10-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Zhen An Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: An Title: The impacts of high-frequency US uncertainty shocks on China’s investment and bank loans: evidence from mixed-frequency VAR Abstract: This paper evaluates the effects of high-frequency US uncertainty shocks on China’s investment and bank loans through the mixed-frequency vector autoregression model. We find that time-stamped US uncertainty shocks generate partly heterogeneous impacts on China’s investment and bank loans. The responses of bank loans with different maturities and private-owned enterprise investment are consistent with the theoretical results and policy operations except for the pattern of state-owned enterprise investment in the face of uncertainty shocks. By further decomposing the state-owned enterprise investment, we reveal that the injection of government investment to state-owned enterprise biases the time-varying responses of state-owned enterprise investment to US uncertainty shocks. Compared to the single-frequency approach, the mixed frequency approach produces richer economic results and insights. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725232 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1725232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:15-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Nordström Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Nordström Title: Credit spread and employment growth – a time-varying relationship? Abstract: In this article, I explore time variation in the relationship between the credit spread and employment growth. Using a Bayesian VAR framework and formal model selection, it is concluded that the relationship is best modelled with constant parameters, but that heteroscedasticity needs to be taken into account. An interesting change in the dynamics is uncovered, where volatility in employment shocks induces more of the dynamics earlier in the sample and the role of volatility in credit-spread shocks is more pronounced in the latter parts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1725416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:23-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn J. Mccoy Author-X-Name-First: Shawn J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mccoy Author-Name: Xiaoxi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Wildfire and infant health: a geospatial approach to estimating the health impacts of wildfire smoke exposure Abstract: We estimate the effects of wildfire smoke exposure on infant health. Exposure to wildfire smoke is determined using the latitude and longitude coordinates corresponding to each infant’s home address and a fine-scaled spatial dataset of wildfire smoke plumes constructed in GIS from satellite images of the landscape. Using a difference-in-differences estimation strategy, model estimates show that exposure to wildfire smoke leads to a .034 increase in the probability of low birthweight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 32-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:32-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hali Edison Author-X-Name-First: Hali Author-X-Name-Last: Edison Author-Name: Hector Carcel Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Carcel Title: Text data analysis using Latent Dirichlet Allocation: an application to FOMC transcripts Abstract: This paper applies Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), a machine learning algorithm, to analyse the transcripts of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) covering the period 2003–2012, including 45,346 passages. The goal is to detect the evolution of the different topics discussed by the members of the FOMC. The results of this exercise show that discussions on economic modelling were dominant during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), with an increase in discussion of the banking system in the years following the GFC. Discussions on communication gained relevance towards the end of the sample as the Federal Reserve adopted a more transparent approach. The paper suggests that LDA analysis could be further exploited by researchers at central banks and institutions to identify topic priorities in relevant documents such as FOMC transcripts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 38-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:38-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahama Samir Bandaogo Author-X-Name-First: Mahama Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Bandaogo Author-Name: Emmanuel K.K. Lartey Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel K.K. Author-X-Name-Last: Lartey Title: Sudden surges and macroprudential policies Abstract: This paper estimates the unconditional probability of a sudden surge in private credit and investigates the extent to which macroprudential policies impact the duration of the period preceding such a surge. While we observe sudden surges of credit over periods in which macroprudential policies were enacted, we document that these policies were effective at lowering the probability of credit booms between 2000 and 2013. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:43-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantin Bürgi Author-X-Name-First: Constantin Author-X-Name-Last: Bürgi Author-Name: Tara M. Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Tara M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy? Abstract: This article shows in a simple model that the part of uncertainty measured by forecaster disagreement rises in advance of and during recessions. Subsequently, it is tested using the Survey of Professional Forecasters in a dynamic probit model. It is shown that increases in disagreement help predict recessions in an out-of-sample context for the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick M. Crowley Author-X-Name-First: Patrick M. Author-X-Name-Last: Crowley Author-Name: David Hudgins Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hudgins Title: Is the Taylor rule optimal? Evaluation using a wavelet-based control model Abstract: This paper extends the wavelet-based control (WBC) model of Crowley and Hudgins (2015) to compare the simulated performance of jointly optimal fiscal and monetary policy, where the policymakers place emphasis on a variety of macroeconomic targets, with the case where monetary policy follows a modified Taylor rule. The results show that the Taylor rule is likely to render higher interest rates, diminished investment, and appreciated real exchange rates compared with an unconstrained baseline simulation. We therefore find that the Taylor rule is suboptimal since it results in higher fiscal deficits due to substitution by policy authorities, thus confirming recent research on the interaction of fiscal and monetary policies. The analysis also compares the baseline and Taylor rule simulated forecasts when the central bank adopts a ‘hawkish’ inflation policy compared to a more ‘dovish’ policy stance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 54-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:54-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Tommasetti Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Tommasetti Author-Name: Vinicius Mothé Maia Author-X-Name-First: Vinicius Author-X-Name-Last: Mothé Maia Author-Name: Marcelo Álvaro da Silva Macedo Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Álvaro Author-X-Name-Last: da Silva Macedo Title: Twitter as ‘bully pulpit’: Brazilian banking sector case Abstract: This paper investigates whether Brazilian President Bolsonaro’s bank-related tweets are perceived by the market as genuine news and, thus, affecting the related shares’ price or, at least, the negotiated volumes (noise case). No significant impact was detected, possibly due to the fact that (i) his tweets’ content is more political than market related; (ii) he has been in charge for less than one year and, consequently, the market is still in a ‘wait and see’ position; (iii) the local banking sector is very concentrated, being ‘politically resistant’, even to presidential tweets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:61-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolás Acosta-González Author-X-Name-First: Nicolás Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-González Author-Name: Sebastián Rodríguez-Raza Author-X-Name-First: Sebastián Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Raza Author-Name: Rafaela Bastidas-Ripalda Author-X-Name-First: Rafaela Author-X-Name-Last: Bastidas-Ripalda Title: The effect of increasing land value capture on the gross value added of the construction sector Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of an increase in land value tax related to capital gains on the gross value added (GVA) of the construction sector. Using synthetic control method, the results indicate that the GVA of the construction sector presented an average yearly decline of 7.1% between the trimesters in which the LOEVT was promoted until the trimester it was repealed. Placebo tests applied to other sectors, excluding the construction sector, validate our result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1733467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1733467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:65-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Siang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Siang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: You-Xun Lu Author-X-Name-First: You-Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yi-Chang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Three types of fear play market uncertainty: evidence from bank loan Abstract: This research investigates whether the market sentiment influences firm stock returns with bank loan announcements. We find that CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is positively related to cumulative abnormal returns, confirming VIX reflects the effect of loan announcements on the financial market. Results show that Financial and Economic Attitudes Revealed by Search (FEARS25) index without predictive power. Instead of that, the daily change of searching VIX (SVIX) of individual investors significantly capture the negative abnormal return before the loan announcements and cease as loan announcements occur. Our findings support that not only professional investors but also individual investors search on Google consider bank loan announcement as good news for borrowers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 70-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1733468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1733468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:70-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Qin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Decomposition of durable consumption and equity returns Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the risks of cash flow news and discount rate news exposed to durable consumption. When utility is nonseparable in nondurable and durable consumption, the optimal portfolio allocation implies a linear factor model in nondurable and durable consumption growth. Using 30 portfolios sorted by book-to-market, momentum and size, we find that the differences in these betas account for more than 70% of the cross-sectional variation in the risk premia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-84 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1733469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1733469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:79-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Shawing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ann Shawing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Giovanny Cyntia Susanto Author-X-Name-First: Giovanny Cyntia Author-X-Name-Last: Susanto Title: Corporate social responsibility and cash holding: evidence from trucking firms Abstract: This study analyses the influence of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on the corporate cash management of trucking firms. The fixed-effects model of the panel data analysis is applied from 2007 to 2017. Capital expenditures, dividend payments, and retained earnings negatively influence cash holdings, whereas cash flow, market-to-book ratio, net working capital, and share repurchase for all CSR categories positively influence cash holdings. However, the changes in market leverage, dividends, book-to-market ratio, and firm size negatively and significantly influence excess stock returns. In summary, social and environmental participations positively influence cash holdings and excess stock returns, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-89 Issue: 1 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1733470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1733470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:85-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rae Yule Kim Author-X-Name-First: Rae Yule Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: What makes people happy? An empirical investigation of panel data Abstract: Happiness is complicated. Extensive studies explored potential factors that might influence subjective well-being; however, one’s happiness should not be determined by a singular factor such as a certain life event. This study implements the system GMM and examines the multivariate effect of socio-economic factors that might influence happiness, based on panel data of happiness surveys in 165 countries over more than 10 years. The results suggest autonomy, social support, and generosity lead to greater subjective well-being. Social support and prosocial action such as donations are likely to improve social trust and one’s sense of social security, which can lead to greater subjective well-being. The effect of economic equality on subjective well-being might be heterogenous by individual context. National level inequality, such as GINI index, is not likely to influence happiness significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1733471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1733471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Chang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shih-Ming Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Author-Name: Yu-Wen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Is herding a safe haven for investment? Abstract: This paper investigates whether herd behaviour followed by fad can be regarded as a safe haven for investment. We found that investors have anticipatory herd behaviour towards the Apple fad. Herding creates a safe zone and is adopted as a means to reduce the risk of irrational behaviour, especially for companies with poor profitability. On the whole, herding may lead to positive market returns and can be used as a short-term safe haven under uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1734180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1734180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:95-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomáš Želinský Author-X-Name-First: Tomáš Author-X-Name-Last: Želinský Author-Name: Martina Mysíková Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Mysíková Author-Name: Jason Wei Jian Ng Author-X-Name-First: Jason Wei Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Title: Choosing an optimal material deprivation indicator threshold Abstract: Severe material deprivation, a dimension of the poverty and social exclusion index, one of Europe 2020 Strategy headline indicators, is defined as enforced lack of at least four of nine specific items. Proposals for modifications in the indicator include the Material and Social Deprivation indicator which is based on an updated set of thirteen items, whereas the choice of the threshold was data-driven. This paper proposes a simple, yet a rigorous methodology based on the Youden index to set a threshold to classify individuals into ‘deprived’ and ‘non-deprived’ groups. Applying the Youden index to 2014–2018 EU-Statistics on Income and Living Conditions data suggests an optimal cut-off point of the value of 5. This is in line with the suggestions of the Indicators Sub-Group of the Social Protection Committee. The estimated rates of material deprivation based on the new indicator are 2.2-times higher on average than the current rate. Assuming that the newly proposed definition better reflects the true nature of deprivation in the EU, the aggregate measure of ‘at risk of poverty or social exclusion’ has been underestimated, as material deprivation is one of its three dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 100-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1734181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1734181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:100-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Author-Name: Philip Stahlmann-Brown Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Stahlmann-Brown Title: Cash is not king in incentivizing online surveys Abstract: We analyse the effect of different incentive structures on response rates for an online survey of New Zealand landowners who have previously not responded to an earlier wave of the survey. We find response rates are lowest for direct cash payment, lower even than for a control group with no incentive, which may be due to direct payment extinguishing any warm glow people receive from the charitable act of completing a survey. Lottery and charitable donation incentives do not increase response rates relative to a control group with no incentive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1734524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1734524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Huo Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Huo Title: Knowledge production in the co-invention process: the influence of knowledge similarity on co-invention performance Abstract: I model the dynamics of the amount of knowledge being learnt and created in the co-invention process between two inventors, by highlighting interpersonal knowledge similarity. Further, I employ U.S. inventor-dyad-level patent data (including 250,546 inventor-dyads) to examine the relationship between knowledge similarity and co-invention performance of the two-inventor teams. The preliminary findings are consistent with the model that predicts a left-skewed inverted U-shaped relationship, suggesting that co-invention performance measured by number of patents is better in teams that consist of inventors with a medium level of similarity in technological knowledge prior to the co-invention process, and that the performance measured by weighted patents is better in teams with more technologically dissimilar members. The study enriches the literature on economics of innovation by explicating knowledge production of inventors in the co-invention process and revealing the left-skewed inverted U-shaped relationship between knowledge similarity and knowledge production performance. In practices, the study suggests assembling teams with technologically dissimilar members for optimal knowledge production performance, especially for the purpose of producing high-quality inventions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-114 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1734525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1734525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:109-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guanying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guanying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xingchun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingchun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Valuing vulnerable options with bond collateral Abstract: This paper investigates vulnerable European options with bond collateral. Working with stochastic interest rate, we evaluate vulnerable options under four cases of collateral according to the length of time to maturity of the government bonds, including cash, short term bonds, medium term bonds, and long term bonds. The impacts of collateral and credit risk on vulnerable option prices are illustrated numerically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1736495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1736495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:115-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Title: Yelp.com ratings and the businesses visited by cruise passengers in Bar Harbor, Maine Abstract: This study examines the effects of Yelp.com ratings on the businesses visited by cruise passengers that came to Bar Harbor, Maine. Results – based on survey data of where people report that they shop and eat – indicate that being a top-10 rated store or restaurant is associated with a large increase in the number of visits by cruise passengers. Furthermore, there’s a substantial drop-off in the impacts going from a ‘top-10’ to ‘second-10’ rated business. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1736496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1736496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:119-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Xianghui Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xianghui Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: A Monte Carlo synthetic sample based performance evaluation method for covariance matrix estimators Abstract: The evaluation of covariance matrix estimators is very important for portfolio analysis and risk management. The Monte Carlo synthetic sample based performance evaluation method proposed by this article can avoid the main shortcomings of statistical and economic methods which are widely used in the existing literature. The proposed method does not need the true covariance and does not need to introduce the performance of the out-of-sample portfolios. It is an intuitive, effective and robust measure for both simulation and empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 124-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1738322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1738322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:124-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Moroz Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Moroz Author-Name: Bruno Pecchioli Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Pecchioli Title: Transaction price vs. ask price in hedonic regressions: evidence from the vintage scotch whisky market Abstract: This paper examines the impact that ask prices and transaction prices have on vintage whisky hedonic price estimates, following a recent paper by Moroz and Pecchioli, who focus solely on ask prices. In general, the results suggest that whisky price estimates are independent of prices employed, with the main differences relating to the economic impact of certain variables. More precisely, bottle owners tend to overestimate the effect of some whisky characteristics (bottle age, non-dilution of the whisky) on price, which may be explained by the youth of the whisky investor market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1738323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1738323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroko Okajima Author-X-Name-First: Hiroko Author-X-Name-Last: Okajima Author-Name: Kazufumi Yugami Author-X-Name-First: Kazufumi Author-X-Name-Last: Yugami Author-Name: Atsushi Morimoto Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Morimoto Author-Name: Shigeharu Okajima Author-X-Name-First: Shigeharu Author-X-Name-Last: Okajima Author-Name: Kenta Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Kenta Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Title: Firm age and wage determination: evidence from matched employer–employee data in Japan Abstract: Firm age, a new factor underlying wage differentials, has been analysed in the emerging literature using matched employer–employee data, though its effect on wages remains inconclusive. This study adds to the literature by providing insights into different wage determinants between industries. We find firm age has a negative effect on wages and a positive effect on a slope of the wage–tenure profile, particularly in non-manufacturing industries. The industrial difference may be explained by the difference in firms’ survival rates and expectations on long-term training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1738324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1738324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laetitia Lepetit Author-X-Name-First: Laetitia Author-X-Name-Last: Lepetit Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Author-Name: Thu Ha Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thu Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: An alternative Z-score measure for downside bank insolvency risk Abstract: We derive a Z-score measure reflecting downside bank insolvency risk, drawing on a Chebyshev inequality in terms of the lower semivariance. As then illustrated empirically for US banks, this may provide a useful alternative, or robustness check, to the more commonly used Z-score measure based on the standard Chebyshev inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-142 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:137-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thang Ngoc Doan Author-X-Name-First: Thang Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Doan Author-Name: Ha Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Ha Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Upgrading the global value chain with regime-wide rules of origin Abstract: Participation in the global value chain (GVC) is defined as the value added contained in exports, looking both backward and forward from a reference nation. This article applies the gravity model to investigate the effects of the regime-wide rules of origin (RoO), including diagonal cumulation, de minimis, and self-certification requirements, on GVC participation with 40,568 observations covering 61 countries from 2005–2015. Our main finding is that the liberal RoO can help upgrade both types of GVC participation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chanil Boo Author-X-Name-First: Chanil Author-X-Name-Last: Boo Author-Name: Changhyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Changhyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Institutional ownership and marketing myopic management Abstract: While marketing literature highlights both short- and long-term detrimental effects of marketing myopic management on firm performance, understanding of its antecedents is rather limited. This paper aims to determine if a certain level of transient institutional investor ownership influences a firm’s marketing as well as research and development (R&D) investment decisions. Drawing on agency theory, the effects of institutional investor are examined using a two-stage panel logit regression with instrument variables (IV). Empirical results show that a strong presence of short-term institutional investors leads to the practice of marketing myopic management. The transient institutional investors encourage managers to invest less in marketing and R&D as an effort to artificially inflate current-term performance. We propose some policy suggestions that might be used to reduce the practice of myopic management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:148-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Abubakr Naeem Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Abubakr Author-X-Name-Last: Naeem Author-Name: Saqib Farid Author-X-Name-First: Saqib Author-X-Name-Last: Farid Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Title: Hedging the downside risk of commodities through cryptocurrencies Abstract: Today, commodities are exposed to ever-increasing price volatilities due to extreme market uncertainties linked with financialization. The paper addresses a timely question of whether cryptocurrencies are hedge and safe-haven for commodities. We focus on this literature gap by using individual commodities from four groups, including metal, agriculture, precious metal, and energy. Further, we also consider four major cryptocurrencies, namely, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple for our analysis. Our findings show the functional role of cryptocurrencies as hedge and safe-haven for individual commodities. Moreover, the underlying properties are persistent during the crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:153-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prithviraj Guha Author-X-Name-First: Prithviraj Author-X-Name-Last: Guha Author-Name: Arindam Mandal Author-X-Name-First: Arindam Author-X-Name-Last: Mandal Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Do labor rights help to protect human rights? An empirical exploration Abstract: We investigate the impact of de jure protection of labour rights on the de facto security of human rights in an unbalanced panel of 60 developing economies considered over the period 1981–2011. With the exception of the right to industrial action and the regulation of dismissal procedures which exhibit negative impacts, we find that all other aspects of labour rights significantly improve state protection of human rights. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:2:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mari Jose Aranguren Author-X-Name-First: Mari Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Aranguren Author-Name: Juan De Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: De Lucio Author-Name: Raúl Mínguez Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Mínguez Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena Title: Export markets: substitutes, complements, or independent? Abstract: Using a large sample of export transactions in Spain over the period 2010–2017, we explore whether firms treat export markets as substitutes, complements, or independent. We find that an exogenous change in revenue in a firm’s top export destination does not change its revenue in other destinations. A firm does not have either a larger probability to increase the number of export destinations when it experiences an exogenous drop in revenue in its top export destination. These results suggest that a shock in firms’ top export market does not affect their decisions in other export markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:165-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiwei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xing Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Juan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Housing prices and carbon emissions: a dynamic panel threshold model of 60 Chinese cities Abstract: In the past two decades, both housing prices and carbon emissions have risen dramatically in China. However, it is unclear whether there is a nexus between them. This study employs a dynamic panel threshold regression model using residents' income levels as the threshold variable to investigate the relationship between housing prices and per capita carbon emissions. By considering 60 Chinese housing price-monitored cities, a threshold effect of income on carbon emissions was identified with a threshold value of 2.448, which divided the full sample into two regimes to further analyse the impacts of housing prices on per capita carbon emissions at each income level. The empirical results show that housing prices have a slight but positive effect on per capita carbon emissions both at two income levels. Specifically, a 10% change in housing prices can lead to a change in the same direction in per capita carbon emissions by 0.7% and 0.2% at lower and higher average income levels, respectively. However, in small cities, limited population may contribute to the negative impact of housing prices on carbon emissions. Furthermore, the results also confirm that the urbanization rate is an important factor of per capita carbon emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 170-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1739612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1739612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:170-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunsuh Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eunsuh Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chaehyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chaehyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junyoup Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junyoup Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Substitutes or complements? Co-opted boards and antitakeover provisions Abstract: We examine the relationship between co-opted boards and the adoption of antitakeover provisions (ATPs). Prior studies suggest that co-opted directors appointed after the current CEO assumes office provide weak monitoring. Consistent with the substitution view, we find that firms with greater co-option on the board adopt fewer ATPs. This result suggests that co-opted boards enable CEOs to pursue less additional entrenchment, thereby reducing the adoption of ATPs. Importantly, we find that co-opted boards explain the degree of ATPs beyond the traditional measure of board monitoring effectiveness, and even independent directors are associated with fewer ATPs once they are captured by CEOs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 186-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:186-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radosław Kurach Author-X-Name-First: Radosław Author-X-Name-Last: Kurach Author-Name: Paweł Kuśmierczyk Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Kuśmierczyk Author-Name: Daniel Papla Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Papla Title: Risk reduction in two-pillar mandatory pension system under regulatory constraints: simulation-based evidence from Poland Abstract: The regulatory framework of the Polish pension system is far-removed from the optimal lifecycle portfolio approach, which recommends a time-varying asset mix to minimize portfolio risk. Nevertheless, a question emerges on how large diversification gains can grow under the existing rules. This study accounts for the current restrictions and estimates risk-reduction opportunities under the two-pillar pension system. We compare the outcomes with our previous results for optimal portfolio allocation and, as in the previous study, use a Monte Carlo approach with a copula function to simulate the distribution of replacement rates for the Polish pension system. We conclude that the regulations hinder, to a significant extent, the opportunity to minimize shortfall risks, an unsatisfactory outcome for Polish pensioners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srikant Devaraj Author-X-Name-First: Srikant Author-X-Name-Last: Devaraj Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Michael J. Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Michael J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Title: Must access laws for opioid prescription and county gross domestic product: evidence from the US Abstract: We estimate the impact of must access laws on county-level GDP. Specifically, we exploit the variation in must access law between neighbouring counties across state border during 2010 and 2016. To curb the misuse of opioids, states have implemented Prescription Drug Monitoring Programmes (PDMPs), a system accessible to authorized prescribers and/or dispensers to check a patient’s opioid prescription history. A stricter type of PDMP is the ‘must access’ law that requires access to the state’s PDMP system before prescribing or dispensing opioids. We find that a county with must access law had a 3.7% higher real GDP than the neighbouring county across state border without must access law. Extending recent studies on health and labour market impact of prescription opioids, and with opioid epidemic declared a public health emergency, the findings have implications for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 196-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:196-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhihua Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhihua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Hao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiangyu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Fengmin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fengmin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: CVaR-cardinality enhanced indexation optimization with tunable short-selling constraints Abstract: Enhanced-index-funds have attracted considerable attention from investors over the last decade, which aims at outperforming a benchmark index while maintaining a similar risk level. In this article, we investigate an enhanced indexation methodology using Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). In particular, we adopt CVaR of excess returns as risk measurement subject to cardinality constraint for controlling the tracking portfolio scale precisely and tunable short-selling constraints for adjusting the margin of each risky asset adaptively within the budget of short-selling. As the resulted model is a mixed 0–1 binary program, we propose an improved hybrid heuristic method, where a customized relax-round-polish is embedded to improve the quality of the iterative population. Computational results on five standard data sets from OR-library show that our proposed method is generally superior to the naive portfolio strategy and the CVaR-LASSO method in terms of the out-of-sample excess return, Sharpe ratio and maximum drawdown of the portfolio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-207 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:201-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jia Lyu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Lyu Title: Public debt and economic growth: threshold effect and its influence factors Abstract: We investigate the effect of public debt on economic growth and its influencing factors by using a panel data of 102 countries over the period 1980–2016. Results show that there is a non-linear relationship between public debt and economic growth, this relationship exists in developing, emerging market and developed countries. However, the thresholds of public debt for different types of countries do not have uniqueness and determinacy, which vary with current account balance, gross savings, crisis and degrees of opening, these variable effects on the three groups of countries have significant difference. The findings suggest that policymakers should control the scale of public debt and its influence factors to support longer-term economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 208-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:208-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sungjun Huh Author-X-Name-First: Sungjun Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Author-Name: Insu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Insu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The housing risk premium in a production economy Abstract: This article studies how the housing risk premium is determined in a simple real business cycle model. We present a consumption-based asset pricing model for the housing risk premium and evaluate whether the model is able to explain the observed housing risk premium. Our findings show that a real business cycle model with generalized recursive preferences is able to match the observed housing risk premium. We also find that the volatility of the housing demand shock plays a crucial role in determining the risk–return relationship for housing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-219 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1740158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1740158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:213-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athiphat Muthitacharoen Author-X-Name-First: Athiphat Author-X-Name-Last: Muthitacharoen Title: Tax rate cut and firm investment: evidence from Thailand Abstract: How do firms’ investment respond to a large corporate tax rate cut in developing countries? This study uses a matched difference-in-difference approach to estimate the investment responses of Thailand’s 2012–13 corporate income tax cut. It finds that the tax cut has significantly boosted investment. The findings also underline the heterogeneity of the investment responses between local and foreign firms as well as the potential roles of policy uncertainty and market competition on investment response. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 220-224 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1743813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1743813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:220-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodore Panagiotidis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Panagiotidis Author-Name: Costas Roumanias Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Roumanias Title: Far right, extreme left and unemployment: a European historical perspective Abstract: We examine the long-run relationship between European far right, radical left and unemployment. A unique dataset is compiled for 31 European countries that span from 1900 to 2013. We reveal the long-run relationship between extreme right and unemployment. An increase in unemployment and radical left increases the far-right vote share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-230 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1748560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1748560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:225-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Valenti Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Valenti Author-Name: Danilo Bertoni Author-X-Name-First: Danilo Author-X-Name-Last: Bertoni Author-Name: Daniele Cavicchioli Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Cavicchioli Author-Name: Alessandro Olper Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Olper Title: The capitalization of CAP payments into land rental prices: a grouped fixed-effects estimator Abstract: This article investigates the capitalization of farm subsidies in Italy by relying on a novel approach based on the Grouped Fixed Effect (GFE) estimator. This methodology allows us to account for the regional unobserved time-varying determinants of the Italian land values. Results show that the elasticity of land price with respect to coupled and decoupled subsidies is below one. Particularly, for the latter payments, the degree of capitalization declines with decreasing competition in farmland markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-236 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1749227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1749227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:231-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Hua Cao Author-X-Name-First: Kang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Chi-Keung Woo Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Ling Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuxin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Willingness to pay for a message: personalized licence plate auctions in Hong Kong Abstract: We use a large sample of winning price data hand-collected from Hong Kong’s personalized licence plate auctions held from 2006 to 2018 to estimate hedonic price regressions that document the willingness to pay (WTP) for a message. A clear and concise message of emotion or humour tends to attract a high WTP. The estimated WTP effects of vanity, positive outlook and superstition are relatively small. These findings affirm that advertising messages should be clear and concise, preferably appealing to consumers’ emotion and humour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-240 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1749757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1749757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:237-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daeyong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeyong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Impact of employer-sponsored health insurance on firm capital structure: evidence from the Affordable Care Act Abstract: This article investigates how employer-sponsored health insurance (ESHI) expenses affect firm capital structure. Since 2015, the Affordable Care Act employer mandate has required firms with more than 100 full-time employees to provide health insurance benefits to their employees. We exploit the exogenous increase in ESHI expenses for large firms after the mandate to identify the causal effect of ESHI on firm capital structure. Using COMPUSTAT merged with the Form 5500 data, we find that firms with higher ESHI expenses have higher long-term but lower short-term leverage. That is, accounting for ESHI expenses provides important explanatory power for firm capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1749758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1749758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qian Li Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: A comment on ‘the anti-paradox of cooperation: diversity may pay!’ Abstract: A recent study analytically investigates the stability of a public good coalition assuming unlimited types of players that differ in benefits and costs of providing public goods. They show that, if there is a positive covariance between benefit and cost parameters of coalition members, the size of a stable coalition cannot be larger than three. This comment further proves that if the above assumption is made to all players, coalition members always have high abatement benefits and costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 246-248 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1749759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1749759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:246-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenli Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wenli Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Wan Wei Author-X-Name-First: Wan Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Government intervention in Chinese rural commercial banks – A helping hand or a grabbing hand? Abstract: We show that government intervention deteriorates the Chinese rural commercial banks’ capital efficiency when fiscal or political pressure is high, an evidence supporting the grabbing-hand view of government. On the other hand, government intervention does not improve bank capital efficiency when the banking market is more competitive, showing no significant helping hands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-253 Issue: 3 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1749760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1749760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:3:p:249-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhipeng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Zhipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Shenghong Li Author-X-Name-First: Shenghong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Gongmin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Gongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Juanmei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Juanmei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Dynamic price discovery in China’s thermal coal future market Abstract: We derive a dynamic price discovery measure by extending Lien's MIS model to a dynamic one with BEKK-GARCH model and analyse the price discovery process of China’s thermal coal future market. Future plays a dominant role in the price discovery process, and its information share is negatively related to turnover and speculation, positively related to transaction fee and margin, suggesting there is speculation in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1751046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1751046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Young Baek Author-X-Name-First: H. Young Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: David D. Cho Author-X-Name-First: David D. Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Are there racial differences in loan approvals? Abstract: We examine the 2016 Survey of Consumer Finance, using weighted logit regressions and employing the repeated-imputation inference method. Loan denial differences across race disappear once credit history and loan types are controlled for as well as other financial and demographic variables used in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 260-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1751047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1751047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:260-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melisa Ozdamar Author-X-Name-First: Melisa Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdamar Author-Name: Basak Tanyeri Author-X-Name-First: Basak Author-X-Name-Last: Tanyeri Author-Name: Levent Akdeniz Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Akdeniz Title: The effect of tax regulation on firm value: the Turkish case of Allowance for Corporate Equity (ACE) regulation Abstract: Investors ex-ante price the tax shield that Turkish firms would enjoy and react positively to the introduction of a legislation that provides a deduction for new equity issues. Not all firms are equally affected by the equity tax shield. Cumulative abnormal returns prove significantly higher for levered firms who may find it easier to switch from debt to equity financing and for firms that have income to shield from tax. Furthermore, the most levered firms and the firms with the highest income, whom investors ex-ante expect to benefit most from the regulation, do indeed issue more equity to take advantage of the tax benefits of the new regulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 264-268 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1751797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1751797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:264-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongjia Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongjia Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Xuanyi Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xuanyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Zhen Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Diversification strategy and bank market power: does foreign ownership matter? Abstract: This paper examines whether bank diversification strategy enhances bank market power and how foreign ownership affects this relationship. Using data from Chinese commercial banks for the period 2007–2018, we find that diversification strategy has a positive impact on bank market power and foreign ownership reinforces this effect. Results hold for bank income, non-interest income and asset diversification strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-273 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1751798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1751798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:269-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rachita Gulati Author-X-Name-First: Rachita Author-X-Name-Last: Gulati Title: Assessing total factor productivity growth of the passenger-bus transit systems in Indian metropolitan cities using the sequential Malmquist-Luenberger productivity index approach Abstract: This article examines the patterns of total factor productivity (TFP) growth in eight state-owned passenger bus companies operating in major metropolitan cities of India. A state-of-the-art and innovative sequential Malmquist-Luenberger productivity index (SMLPI) approach is applied to compute unbiased estimates of TFP growth and its decomposed components. The empirical results based on the panel data set for the period 2011–2016 suggest that technical inefficiency is a common characteristic of bus companies providing passenger services in metropolitan cities. The analysis of TFP growth at the aggregate level reveals that the public bus transit system placed in Indian metropolitan cities experiences mild productivity regress, which is entirely attributable to efficiency loss. The disaggregated analysis provides that only four bus companies experience productivity gains throughout the sample period. Pune Mahamandal appears to be the most innovative bus company. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 274-280 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1751799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1751799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:274-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koangsung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Koangsung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Dongwoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Impact of introducing one-stop employment service centres on local employment in South Korea Abstract: This paper evaluates whether the introduction of one-stop centres – providing integrated public employment and welfare services – contributes to the employability of local residents in Korea. Exploiting a quasi-experimental assignment of one-stop centres across 162 municipalities, we apply a spatial difference-in-difference model using the Regional Employment Survey 2013–2017. Our findings reveal that the introduction of the centres has a positive impact on the local employment rate of female residents but not that of their male counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-286 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:281-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Te Lai Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Te Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Mengqian Ye Author-X-Name-First: Mengqian Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Home ownership and life satisfaction of migrants in urban China Abstract: This article investigates the impact of homeownership on life satisfaction for urban migrants in China. By utilizing three waves of the China Labor-Force Dynamics Survey data from 2012 to 2016, we find that homeownership has a positive and significant effect on life satisfaction of urban migrants. This effect remains robust with different model specifications. In addition, this effect is mainly concentrated in those aged above 38, or at the top quartile of income distribution among migrants, or residing in the east coastal region. We also show that the positive effect of homeownership remains when the possibility of its endogeneity is tackled by instrumental variable estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-293 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:287-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guanhua Li Author-X-Name-First: Guanhua Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhiyuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xue Lv Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Title: The ageing population, dependency burdens and household commercial insurance purchase: evidence from China Abstract: This paper presents evidence that dependency burdens play a key role in commercial insurance market in China. It is found that the child dependency ratio has a positive effect on the households’ demand for commercial insurance, whereas the old-age dependency ratio has the negative effect. Furthermore, child dependency ratio of the eastern and high-income households in China has a larger influence on commercial insurance purchase, while the old-age dependency ratio has the less impact. Our findings provide useful insights for the important issue of the ageing population and low birth-rate in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 294-298 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:294-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Moellman Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Moellman Title: Fiscal structure and programme response over the business cycle: evidence from Medicaid and SCHIP Abstract: In this paper, I show that fiscal structure can have large effects on the ability of safety net programmes to provide benefits. I examine the response of child enrolment in Medicaid, which is funded through a matching grant, and enrolment in the State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP), which is funded through a block grant, to business cycle fluctuations. I find that while child Medicaid enrolment is relatively acyclical, a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate decreases SCHIP enrolment per child by 6.3%, and a 1% decrease in gross state product (GSP) or GSP growth decreases enrolment in SCHIP by approximately 1%, suggesting block grant funding reduces the ability of safety net programmes to respond to macroeconomic fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-304 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:299-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiep Ngoc Luu Author-X-Name-First: Hiep Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Luu Author-Name: Thang Ngoc Doan Author-X-Name-First: Thang Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Doan Author-Name: Pham Thi Hoang Anh Author-X-Name-First: Pham Thi Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Anh Title: Managerial ability and bank failure Abstract: Bank failure is a major concern for the authoritative bodies and market participants because of the possible contagion across the financial sector and the subsequent collapse of the economic system. This paper investigates the impact of managerial ability on bank failure. We find that more ably managed banks experienced lower failure probability. Further analyses provide support to this finding and reveal that more ably managed banks are associated with more adequate capital, better asset quality, greater efficiency in the allocation of resources, higher liquidity and lower risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Pragyan P. Sahoo Author-X-Name-First: Pragyan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sahoo Title: Are there links between financial inclusion, mobile telephony, and economic growth? Evidence from Indian states Abstract: We study the interactions between financial inclusion, mobile telephony, and economic growth in Indian States over 1991–2018. We establish whether there is temporal causality between these three variables. Our findings expose a network of short-run and long-run causal relationships between the variables, including long-run unidirectional causality from financial inclusion and economic growth to mobile telephony. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 310-314 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:310-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Blanco Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Blanco Author-Name: Robin Grier Author-X-Name-First: Robin Author-X-Name-Last: Grier Author-Name: Kevin Grier Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Grier Author-Name: Daniel Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Title: Household responses to escalating violence in Mexico Abstract: Despite catastrophic fallout from the Mexican drug war, headlines fail to capture the full cost to civilians. Using three waves of survey data on the same households, conducted between 2002 to 2012, we show that households adjusted both their consumption habits and altered their behaviour in response to increased homicide rates in their municipality. We demonstrate that higher murder rates are associated with households reducing expenditure on visible commodities and with individuals avoiding carrying valuables and going out at night. The spending changes occurred mainly for middle- and upper-income households, while the behavioural adjustments happened mainly in households that were poorer or headed by a female. Assuming that household behaviour was in equilibrium before the escalation in violence, these adjustments represent a non-obvious, but significant, welfare loss which should be considered in any account of the costs and benefits of the drug war. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Author-Name: Ashutosh Jha Author-X-Name-First: Ashutosh Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: Partha Ray Author-X-Name-First: Partha Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Demonetization and digital payments in India: perception and reality Abstract: In the context of the demonetization experiment of November 2016 in the Indian economy, this paper aims at looking into its impact on digital payments. Using the major digital payment modes and following the methodology of time-series outlier detection proposed by Chen and Liu (1993), the impacts are found to be mostly transitory in nature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuetang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuetang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Dan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Lu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qingjing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Qingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Enhanced disclosure environment and stock dividend/split in China Abstract: This paper examines changes in firm behaviour around a regulatory change regarding stock dividend/split in China which mandates enhanced disclosure of such activities. Firms announce significantly fewer stock dividends/splits in the enhanced disclosure environment. The enhanced disclosure also improves the link of stock dividend/split activities with firm growth. Investors react less positively to stock dividend/split announcements in the enhanced disclosure environment. The findings suggest that more cautious announcement strategies and more rational investor reactions are consistent with a decline in false signalling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:324-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Dan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Do homeroom teachers affect students’ academic achievement in China’s middle schools? Abstract: While the effect of teacher quality on students’ achievement is widely documented in the literature, relatively little is known about the impact of teachers’ non-instructional role. By exploiting the random assignment of students and homeroom teachers to classrooms within the same grade and school, the paper finds that students’ test scores for a subject can be improved if the subject is taught by a homeroom teacher. The mechanism analysis suggests that the impact could be driven by the better interaction between homeroom teachers and students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-333 Issue: 4 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1752897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1752897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:4:p:329-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaeji Lim Author-X-Name-First: Yaeji Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Hee-Seok Oh Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Robust coherence analysis for long-memory processes Abstract: This paper investigates the linear relationships between two time-series in the frequency domain, termed coherence analysis. It is widely used in various fields, including signal processing, engineering, and meteorology. However, conventional coherence analysis tends to be sensitive to outliers. Laplace cross-periodogram and a corresponding robust coherence analysis based on the least-absolute deviation (LAD) regression have recently been developed to improve this shortcoming. In this paper, to extend the scope of Laplace cross-periodogram, we study a robust cross periodogram for long-memory processes and derive its asymptotic distribution. Through numerical studies, we demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed robust coherence analysis for long-memory processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1730749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1730749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:335-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsuyoshi Goto Author-X-Name-First: Tsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Author-Name: Sandra Sekgetle Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Sekgetle Author-Name: Takashi Kuramoto Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Kuramoto Title: Municipal merger and debt issuance in South African municipalities Abstract: Existing research reveals opportunistic free-riding behaviours by municipalities facing mergers; these behaviours include over-issuance of debt before mergers because their burden will be shared by newly constructed municipalities. Nevertheless, the literature presents few solutions to this problem. We therefore investigate whether South African municipalities that faced mergers engaged in free-riding behaviours before the mergers. In South Africa, the upper government of municipalities implemented the monitoring of borrowings before mergers. Using a difference-in-differences analysis and quarterly data of South African municipalities, we find that South African municipalities decreased the amount of borrowings before their mergers. This result contradicts previous research, indicating that proper policy for municipal mergers may prevent the fiscal common pool problem caused by free-riding behaviours. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the first to demonstrate a reduction in borrowings before municipal mergers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfonso Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Miranda Author-Name: Yu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The effect of deficiency at English on female immigrants’ wage in the UK: correcting for measurement error, endogenous treatment, and sample selection bias Abstract: We investigate how English as Additional Language (EAL) affects the wage gap among foreign-born female immigrants in the UK. To deal with endogeneity and measurement error of EAL and self-selection into employment we implement a 3-step estimation (TSE) procedure suggested by Wooldridge, which deliver consistent and asymptotically normal estimators. We find a large and statistically significant causal effect of EAL on the wage gap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:349-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilal Ok Ergün Author-X-Name-First: Hilal Ok Author-X-Name-Last: Ergün Author-Name: Abdullah Yalaman Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Yalaman Author-Name: Viktor Manahov Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Manahov Author-Name: Hanxiong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hanxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Stock market manipulation in an emerging market of Turkey: how do market participants select stocks for manipulation? Abstract: We obtained a unique dataset that covers all trade-based manipulation events identified by the Capital Market Board (CMB) for the period between 2005 and 2013 in order to investigate stock market manipulation and its implications on market quality. Moreover, we examine how manipulators decide which stocks to select for manipulation in an emerging market. We observe that the manipulators select illiquid, underperforming, and less volatile stocks to manipulate in an emerging market. We also demonstrate that stock liquidity, return, and volatility increase throughout the manipulation period and decrease in the post-manipulation period, leading to a deterioration of market quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 354-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:354-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Nilkanth Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nilkanth Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Gas demand in the Swiss household sector Abstract: In this article, we analyse the gas demand of Swiss households and provide an estimate of the own price elasticity. We use household-level panel data from 2010 to 2014 for 958 Swiss households while controlling for several socioeconomic characteristics and dwelling attributes. The results report the own price elasticity of gas demand to be around – 0.73. An inelastic demand is expected as the gas demand among Swiss households originates primarily for space heating and water heating purposes. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhe Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhe Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wei-Guo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Guo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yue Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The information content of Chinese volatility index for volatility forecasting Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether the model-free implied volatility index iVX officially launched by the Shanghai Stock Exchange has incremental explanatory power for future volatility in the SSE 50 ETF. In particular, we concentrate on Heterogeneous Autoregressive model of realized volatility and iVX (HAR-RV-iVX). We use both in-sample and out-of-sample predictive regressions to empirically indicate that the iVX significantly improves the forecasting performance of the realized volatility of SSE 50 ETF. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-372 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:365-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhengxun Tan Author-X-Name-First: Zhengxun Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Juan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Time-varying ARFIMA-GARCH model with symmetric thresholds: applications to inflation Abstract: This study suggests a structural modification of the basic ARFIMA-GARCH model by allowing for time-varying baseline mean and, especially, symmetric threshold GARCH. By applying it to the inflation of G7 countries, we find that past excessive positive or negative shocks have positive impacts on future volatility and GARCH persistence. Compared with the ARFIMA-GARCH model, the model in this study has superior performances in identifying and characterizing structural changes and excessive shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-377 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:373-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiradip Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: Chiradip Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: Chung-Ping A. Loh Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ping A. Author-X-Name-Last: Loh Title: Proposed reform of the H-1B programme under Trump administration and the adverse selection in Green Card applications Abstract: The dialogue of major reform in immigration laws along with increase in rejection of H-1B petitioners since the start of the Trump administration may make employers find H-1B renewal becoming more difficult and costly for low-end positions and less-educated employees. Using the Program Electronic Review Management (PERM) application data, this article examines the impact of the recent threat of immigration reform on the share of entry-level positions and petitioners with no college degree in Green Card applications. We found evidence that entry-level positions and applicants without a college degree became more heavily represented among new PERM applications after 2016, even when a trend and occupations were accounted for. The findings are consistent with the hypothesis that employers face stronger incentive to retain workers and sponsor their PERM applications since H-1B renewal will likely become more difficult and costly for low-end positions and less-educated workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 378-382 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1753878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1753878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:378-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Alessandra Antonelli Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Antonelli Author-Name: Valeria De Bonis Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: De Bonis Title: How efficient is welfare for families? Evidence from European countries Abstract: Applying a two-stage Free Disposal Hull (FDH)/Tobit approach to a sample of 23 European countries, we find that the efficiency of social expenditure for families is positively correlated to per-capita GDP, population size, the education level of people, the weight and the ethics of the public sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Korankye Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Korankye Author-Name: Michael Guillemette Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Guillemette Title: Student debt and stock-ownership decisions of U.S. households Abstract: This study contributes to the literature on the stock-holding puzzle by examining the effects of student debt on the decision of U.S. households to own stocks in non-retirement accounts. The study uses longitudinal data from the 2011 to 2017 U.S. Panel Study of Income Dynamics for the analyses. The results show that households with student debt have a lower probability of owning stocks in a non-retirement account compared to households without student debt. The results also show that the amount of student debt is associated negatively to the decision to own stocks in a non-retirement account. The findings suggest that the financial constraints associated with student debt may influence stock ownership in a non-retirement account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoang Van Cuong Author-X-Name-First: Hoang Van Author-X-Name-Last: Cuong Author-Name: Hiep Ngoc Luu Author-X-Name-First: Hiep Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Luu Author-Name: Le Quoc Tuan Author-X-Name-First: Le Quoc Author-X-Name-Last: Tuan Title: The impact of the shadow economy on foreign direct investment Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the shadow economy on foreign direct investment (FDI). The result shows that the shadow economy exhibits no clear impact on FDI inflow. However, examining FDI by its types of entry, we find that the shadow economy positively influences greenfield investments and negatively affects cross-border M&As. The results are robust to a number of sensitivity checks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengfeng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chengfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Peiyuan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Peiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Did government R&D subsidies increase Chinese firms’ trade margins? Evidence from Innofund program Abstract: This study investigates the effects of government R&D subsidies on firms’ trade margins using a panel dataset for Chinese manufacturing firms during the period between 2001 ndto 2014. This study finds that an R&D subsidy increases Chinese firms’ propensity to begin exporting and increases existing exporters’ sales from export (across-firm trade margins). After disentangling firms’ export value at the product-country transaction level, this study further finds that government R&D subsidy increases firms’ both intensive margin and extensive margin (within-firm trade margins). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-401 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:397-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Mercedes Monfort Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Monfort Title: Co-movement between residential and commercial housing prices: evidence from a new database Abstract: The aim of this paper is to shed some light on the issue of the co-movement between residential real estate and commercial real estate using a newly developed database by the Bank if International Settlements. Our results point for the existence of a unique common nonlinear trend in the five countries analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 402-407 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:402-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heshan Sameera Kankanam Pathiranage Author-X-Name-First: Heshan Sameera Author-X-Name-Last: Kankanam Pathiranage Author-Name: Huilin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Huilin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Weifeng Li Author-X-Name-First: Weifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The inefficiencies of bitcoins in developing countries Abstract: Cryptocurrency is an emerging phenomenon set to revolutionize the financial industry. It utilizes blockchain technology, which ensures data is immutable, transparent and reliable. Cryptocurrency is present in different forms like Blockchain and is present in most parts of the world. Developed nations have a significant interest in technology and have put a measure to investigate while developing nations are also following suit. The global interest in cryptocurrency is associated with the fact that the movement of money will be traceable and it will minimize activities such as money laundering and corruption. The paper analyzes a selected period of six years to establish the efficiency of the Blockchain in the markets. A graph and tables are essential in generating more data for interpretation of the events. The tests used in the analysis are the Ljung-box, R/S Hurst, BDS, Runs, AVR test, and Bartels tests. All the tests demonstrated inefficiencies in the Bitcoin trend, especially in the full sample and slightly low inefficiency in the later subsample. The conclusion made is that bitcoin will improve its efficiency over time as it is an emerging industry that needs to grow. Developing countries experience higher inefficiency combined with the prevalent policy challenges and issues like corruption and unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 408-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:408-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiabao Jing Author-X-Name-First: Jiabao Author-X-Name-Last: Jing Author-Name: Wenwen Yan Author-X-Name-First: Wenwen Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Xiaomei Deng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaomei Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: A hybrid model to estimate corporate default probabilities in China based on zero-price probability model and long short-term memory Abstract: This article proposes a hybrid model by combining zero-price probability model with long short-term memory (ZPP-LSTM) to estimate corporate default probabilities. The ZPP-LSTM model enhances the time-series data forecast by introducing LSTM in ZPP model, which can better estimate the corporate default probabilities in the industry sensitive to an uncertain environment. The full samples of Chinese listed companies in construction and real estate industries are selected to evaluate the performance of ZPP-LSTM model. The results show that our proposed model outperforms other benchmark models in terms of the default probability estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-420 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1757611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1757611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:413-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngju Kim Author-X-Name-First: Youngju Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunjoon Lim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: Bank competition and transmission of monetary policy Abstract: This study investigates whether the transmission of monetary policy depends on the degree of competition in the banking sector. Applying an interacted panel VAR methodology consisting of a panel of 23 advanced economies, we find that GDP and credit respond less strongly to monetary policy shocks in economies where the bank market is more concentrated. We use the Lerner Index as a measure of banking competition and find evidence – albeit less clear – that monetary policy transmission is stronger when the banking sector is more competitive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-425 Issue: 5 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1758615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1758615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:5:p:421-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Liwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Competitive impact of family background: the effects of cadre parents on the labour market outcomes of their offspring Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the cadre parent premium on wages and promotions for the experienced labour force in China. It also explores the underlying transmission channels. Approximately 50% of the cadre parent premium can be explained by the close relationship with government officials, managers, and people in publicly owned enterprises. For the offspring in the above-median income group, the cadre parent premium can be explained by the differences in quality of the human capital and the specific job characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-432 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1758616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1758616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:427-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akihiko Noda Author-X-Name-First: Akihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Title: On the evolution of cryptocurrency market efficiency Abstract: This study examines whether the efficiency of cryptocurrency markets (Bitcoin and Ethereum) evolve over time based on the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). In particular, we measure the degree of market efficiency using a generalized least squares-based time-varying model that does not depend on sample size, unlike previous studies that used conventional methods. The empirical results show that (1) the degree of market efficiency varies with time in the markets, (2) Bitcoin’s market efficiency level is higher than that of Ethereum over most periods, and (3) a market with high market liquidity has been evolving. We conclude that the results support the AMH for the most established cryptocurrency market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-439 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1758617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1758617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:433-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hajime Seya Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Seya Author-Name: Masashi Tomari Author-X-Name-First: Masashi Author-X-Name-Last: Tomari Author-Name: Shohei Uno Author-X-Name-First: Shohei Author-X-Name-Last: Uno Title: Parameter estimation in spatial econometric models with non-random missing data Abstract: This study examines the problem of parameter estimation in spatial econometric/social interaction models with non-random missing outcome data. First, we construct a sample selection model considering spatial lag (autoregressive) dependence. Then, we suggest a parameter estimation method for this model by slightly modifying the Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm proposed in an existing study. A simple illustration indicates that the proposed parameter estimation method performs well overall if the spatial autocorrelation is moderate (spatial parameter equals 0.5 or less), even under a relatively high missing data ratio (around 40%). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-446 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1758618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1758618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:440-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Celiktas Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Celiktas Author-Name: Neslihan Yilmaz Author-X-Name-First: Neslihan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmaz Title: Money illusion, financial literacy and implications of self-perceptions Abstract: Understanding inflation is crucial in financial decision-making, however, lack of comprehension pertains to money illusion. Using a survey applied to university students, we study the determinants of money illusion including financial literacy and education. Moreover, we test the implications of individuals’ self-perception of interest and knowledge in financial matters. Our findings show that a higher level of financial knowledge results in lower money illusion levels and education improves financial knowledge. Moreover, there exist self-perception biases; self-perceived levels might not always be in line with the actual ones, and there is a gender effect on self-perceptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongfen Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yongfen Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Vighneswara Swamy Author-X-Name-First: Vighneswara Author-X-Name-Last: Swamy Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Title: Does financial inclusion promote tourism development in advanced and emerging economies? Abstract: This research article is the first of its kind to consider the financial inclusion, which is constructed using the depth, access and efficiency of the financial institutions and markets, and various aspects of tourism development such as business tourism spending, direct tourism contribution, domestic tourism spending, total internal tourism expenses, leisure tourism spending and total tourism contribution. Given the growing importance of financial inclusion in the recent time, this article is designed to investigate the role of financial inclusion on various dimensions of tourism development across the panels of 24 advanced and 21 emerging economies around the world, using yearly data from 1995 to 2016. Given the presence of cross-sectional dependence in the data series, we employ Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimator as it is a robust technique to handle this issue in the estimation. The evidences show that financial inclusion has a significant positive impact on various aspects of tourism development across the panels. The results also suggest that the impact is more in emerging economies than that of advanced economies. Hence, this article offers numerous policy and practical suggestions for sustainable tourism management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-458 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:451-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Oliver Rieger Author-X-Name-First: Marc Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Rieger Author-Name: Trang Minh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Trang Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Benjamin Schnur Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Schnur Author-Name: Mei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Taking more risk tomorrow: time horizons and investment decisions Abstract: We conduct an online experiment with 96 participants to examine the effect of separation of time horizons on investment decisions. We find that when asked to invest in short and long-time horizons separately rather than simultaneously, participants tend to invest more in risky assets, especially for the long-time horizon. They also tend to revise their decisions less after obtaining feedback on their projected, suggesting that they are more satisfied with their initial decision. The findings offer financial advisors practical suggestions to help clients to improve their investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-463 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:459-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huabing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huabing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Anne Macy Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Macy Title: Statutory corporate tax change and the stock market returns: the global experience Abstract: This study offers a global perspective on the relationship between statutory corporate tax changes and country equity index returns for 54 countries for 2002–2017. Using fixed-effect models for country-effect to account for possible omitted country characteristics, we report higher world-adjusted buy and hold abnormal returns (BHARs) for the country-years with higher corporate tax cuts. Noticeably, we document this outcome for not only the year before the actual tax change but also the year afterwards, indicating that investors might not fully or quickly integrate tax change information. The results hold after excluding the 2008 global financial crisis. Dividing the sample based on market development, we report similar results for emerging and frontier markets, but the tax cut effect becomes insignificant for the one-year window after the tax change in developed markets, indicating a lesser degree of market underreaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 464-469 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:464-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Author-Name: Danilo Souza Author-X-Name-First: Danilo Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Title: Education quality and the empirics of economic growth: reconciling Mankiw-Romer-Weil estimates with microeconometric evidence Abstract: We extend Mankiw, Romer and Weil’s classic paper by introducing differences in education quality (proxied by students’ performance on the PISA test). This substantially reduces the role of human capital investment rates in explaining cross-country income differences. More importantly, the coefficient on this variable is now consistent with microeconometric evidence on returns to education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 470-476 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:470-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Itai Agur Author-X-Name-First: Itai Author-X-Name-Last: Agur Title: Central bank independence and low inflation: who leads the dance? Abstract: One strand of empirical literature finds that central bank independence (CBI) lowers inflation. Another strand of literature finds that low inflation is a key determinant of reform towards increased CBI. This paper investigates whether either variable can be identified as a first instigator. Using the largest CBI dataset to date, this paper applies rolling balanced-panel Granger causality tests between CBI reform and changes in inflation. For advanced economies, CBI reform is found to significantly lead disinflation, while there is no Granger causality in the opposite direction. Instead, among emerging and developing economies, CBI reforms tend to follow quickly upon disinflation episodes, while the lags from CBI reform to disinflation are long. An interpretation is that in emerging and developing economies CBI reform often followed on crises that involved high inflation, whereas in various advanced economies a shift in thinking about central banking first triggered CBI reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Olaolu Olayeni Author-X-Name-First: Richard Olaolu Author-X-Name-Last: Olayeni Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Fractional frequency flexible Fourier form (FFFFF) for panel cointegration test Abstract: In this article, we introduce a new panel cointegration test that is robust to nonlinearity, structural breaks and cross-sectional dependency. In an empirical illustration, we tested the Feldstein–Horioka paradox for 15 Asian countries, one of the most debated topics in international macroeconomics. We find that Indonesia, Philippine, Bangladesh, Japan, Thailand and China are not among the countries generating cointegration in the cross section. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 482-486 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:482-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zahra Tayebi Author-X-Name-First: Zahra Author-X-Name-Last: Tayebi Author-Name: Gülcan Önel Author-X-Name-First: Gülcan Author-X-Name-Last: Önel Author-Name: Charles B. Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Use of panel time-series data with cross-section dependence in evaluating farmland valuation: a cautionary note Abstract: The note highlights how misspecification of cross-section dependence structure in panel time-series data can lead to erroneous conclusions on farmland valuation. Combining the sample information from time-series and cross-section dimensions by using panel time-series data can improve inference on the net present value hypothesis for farmland. However, cross-section dependence must be addressed to take advantage of the additional information from this type of data. We consider three classes of panel unit root models that account for cross-section dependence through (1) common factor extraction, (2) block bootstrapping and (3) spatial dependence to explore whether farmland values can be explained by their economic fundamentals, given that the appropriate cross-section specification is implemented in testing. Results show that only spatial dependence approach accurately characterizes cross-section dependence in the Iowa panel time-series data, highlighting the importance of model selection when using data with cross-section dependence. Once the econometric model is specified with the underlying spatial cross-section dependence structure, the market valuation of Iowa farmland is mainly determined by fundamentals as predicted by the net present value model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-492 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:487-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumitaka Furuoka Author-X-Name-First: Fumitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Furuoka Author-Name: Kiew Ling Pui Author-X-Name-First: Kiew Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Pui Author-Name: Ma Tin Chomar Author-X-Name-First: Ma Tin Author-X-Name-Last: Chomar Author-Name: Larisa Nikitina Author-X-Name-First: Larisa Author-X-Name-Last: Nikitina Title: Is the Phillips curve disappearing? Evidence from a new test procedure Abstract: This paper proposes a four-step procedure to examine a disappearance of the Phillips curve. The procedure involves estimating an initial value, computing a potential output using the state–space model, calculating a static slope coefficient of the Phillips curve and estimating a time-varying slope coefficient. This analytical sequence was employed to examine data from ASEAN countries. The findings indicated a trend of a disappearing Phillips curve in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-500 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:493-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Hens Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hens Author-Name: Fatemeh Naebi Author-X-Name-First: Fatemeh Author-X-Name-Last: Naebi Title: Behavioural heterogeneity in the capital asset pricing model with an application to the low-beta anomaly Abstract: This study extends the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to situations where a subset of investors is not the mean-variance optimizers. The security market line (SML) relationship of the CAPM is shown to hold when beta is suitably adjusted in the presence of such investors. The adjusted CAPM is then used to show which of the non-mean-variance behaviour is needed to explain the so-called CAPM anomalies. For instance, the adjusted CAPM explains the low-beta anomaly if the non-mean-variance investors overweight (underweight) the high-beta (low-beta) assets. Interestingly, the empirical analysis showed that two-thirds of the investors are needed to deviate from the mean-variance analysis in order to explain the low-beta anomaly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-507 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:501-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yueqi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yueqi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jingjing Yao Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Investor sentiment, issuance cost, and IPO underpricing: an empirical analysis of Shanghai Stock Exchange A-shares Abstract: As the Chinese financial market has recently opened to the world, the high initial public offering (IPO) underpricing rate in the stock market has generated significant concern. This study investigates the impact of investor sentiment and issuing cost on the IPO underpricing rate after listing in various periods. We use the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) A-shares data from 2014 to 2018 and the ordinary least squares (OLS) method to conduct the analysis. The results indicate that, in the first phases, investor sentiment is positively correlated, while the issuance cost is negatively correlated to the IPO underpricing rate. After the company’s listing, investor sentiment gradually becomes the main factor affecting the IPO underpricing rate, and its positive impact increases, while the negative impact of the issuance cost weakens slightly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 508-511 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761530 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:508-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junlong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junlong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaomeng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaomeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jiali Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiali Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Corporate social responsibility and capacity sharing in a duopoly model Abstract: This paper constructs a duopoly model that considers corporate social responsibility (CSR) and capacity sharing, analyzes the equilibrium results and examines the effects of CSR and capacity sharing in three scenarios. CSR has impacts on enterprise output, profits, consumer surplus and social welfare, which are affected by capacity constraints and capacity sharing. The precondition for the realization of capacity sharing is that both enterprises can make profits. At this point, either too high or too low of a capacity sharing price will prevent two enterprises from sharing capacity. Capacity constraints do not necessarily reduce social welfare due to the impacts of CSR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 512-517 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:512-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanhui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yanhui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Liang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yun Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Political uncertainty, realized volatility, and jumps in the Chinese stock market Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the local political uncertainty (LPU) on one-step-ahead volatility in the Chinese stock market using high-frequency data. The empirical findings indicate that the LPU generates a significant negative impact on future realized volatility and its continuous and jump components. Further tests show that the LPU’s impact is more pronounced in politically sensitive firms. The study finds that LPU’s negative impact could be explained by its inhibition effect on investors’ trading volume. We also find evidence of institutional investors’ secret buying behaviour during the LPU period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 518-522 Issue: 6 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:6:p:518-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aderaw Anteneh Author-X-Name-First: Aderaw Author-X-Name-Last: Anteneh Author-Name: Kelly Bidwell Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Bidwell Author-Name: Woldemariam Girma Author-X-Name-First: Woldemariam Author-X-Name-Last: Girma Author-Name: Kristen Little Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Little Author-Name: Nicholas Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Endale Workalemahu Author-X-Name-First: Endale Author-X-Name-Last: Workalemahu Title: Appraising praise: experimental evidence on positive framing and demand for health services Abstract: Standard economic models of human behaviour take the view that non-informative elements of communication (e.g. tone) do not affect behaviour. Casual observation of consumer and producer behaviour, as well as descriptive evidence, suggests this may be an overly strong assumption in many contexts, including healthcare. For example, 59% of female respondents in the 2011 Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey reported that ‘rude attitude of health provider’ was a major problem that prevented them from seeking medical advice and treatment. Yet there is only a small body of evidence on the causal effects of non-informative elements of communication from real-world settings. We conducted a field experiment with over 800 HIV+ female sex workers (FSWs) in Ethiopia testing the effects of providing of Praise Message phone calls on retention in antiretroviral (ART) care and adherence to ART medication. We find mixed evidence on the effects of Praise Messages, suggesting further investigation into the effects of praise or other non-informative communication on health behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-530 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:523-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Fu-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Borrower capital, shadow insurance, and life insurer performance Abstract: The paper develops a ‘capped’ call option model by calibrating Briys and de Varenne (1994) with integrating Dermine and Lajeri (2001) that the borrowing-firm credit risk is introduced to the lending function of the insurer. Results show that shadow banking entrusted loans enhance policyholder protection and help the insurer from the standpoint of survival at the cost of insurer profitability. We also suggest that shadow insurance and lending to high-quality borrowing firms captured by low leverage might increase policyholder protection and insurer survival, thereby contributing to insurance stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-534 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:531-534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kei-Ichiro Inaba Author-X-Name-First: Kei-Ichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Inaba Title: Inbound portfolio bond investments and domestic monetary policy effect in emerging countries Abstract: In emerging markets, regulating foreigners’ selling of a country’s local bonds has the potential to discourage them from investing in these bonds and to help the country’s domestic short-term interest rates affect the size of their investment flows. This finding is based upon an analysis of the determinants of foreigners’ portfolio bond investments in 20 emerging countries over the period 2001–2015. This analysis also supports a global financial cycle hypothesis stressing the dominant role played by global factors in international capital flows and examines one policy implication of that: a dilemma between international capital mobility and independent monetary policy effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-540 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1761941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:535-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Veronica Minaya Author-X-Name-First: Veronica Author-X-Name-Last: Minaya Title: Precision and stability of schools’ value-added estimates: evidence for Italian primary schools Abstract: Imprecision of school value-added estimates has some important implications, especially for policies that use school value-added estimates to predict future performance of schools based on their past and current performance. This note investigates how the precision and stability of a school’s value-added estimates relates to student characteristics. Using Italian administrative data provided by INVALSI (National Evaluation Committee for Education), we find that the stability of school value-added estimates across cohorts does not depend on students’ previous achievement and socio-economic background. This suggests that transitory changes, such as changes in teacher effectiveness, might be associated with the instability in school value-added estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-545 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1763242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1763242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:541-545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanming Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hanming Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: The role of panel data in organization of global value chain: evidence from a developing country Abstract: The model proposed by Antràs and Chor in 2013 predicted that the effect of upstreamness on the global outsourcing tendency of headquarters within global value chain differs qualitatively depending on the demand elasticity. Using data of Chinese processing exports at product level, this study empirically verifies this theoretical prediction through supportive evidence using data from a developing country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 546-550 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1763243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1763243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:546-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Wang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fei Xing Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Author-Name: Yishan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yishan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yunhao Dai Author-X-Name-First: Yunhao Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Title: Does severe air pollution affect firm innovation: evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the influence of air pollution on firm innovation by using Chinese listed firms. Our results indicate that firms headquartered in a city with severe air pollution tend to engage less in innovation activities. To more explicitly identify causality, we establish a 2SLS where the air quality is instrumented by the local thermal inversions. This negative effect is primarily driven by brain drain channels, specifically the migration of highly skilled employees. In addition, such a negative effect is more pronounced for firms with low employee salaries and those belonging to competitive industries. The results are robust to a variety of model specifications and alternative measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-558 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:551-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yihan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Bin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Independent director network and corporate innovation: evidence from a natural experiment in China Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the relationship between independent directors’ connectedness and corporate innovation in China. We utilize a novel natural experiment initiated by an anti-corruption campaign to find that independent directors’ centrality in the board network has a significant positive effect upon corporate patenting. Further evidence suggests that the influence on corporate innovation is induced by information transmission in the board network. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-564 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:559-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salman Bahoo Author-X-Name-First: Salman Author-X-Name-Last: Bahoo Author-Name: Ilan Alon Author-X-Name-First: Ilan Author-X-Name-Last: Alon Author-Name: Josanco Floreani Author-X-Name-First: Josanco Author-X-Name-Last: Floreani Title: Corruption in economics: a bibliometric analysis and research agenda Abstract: We conducted a bibliometric analysis of the literature on corruption in the discipline of economics (4,488 articles) over the past 51 years between 1968–2019. Through this methodology, we identified seven research streams: (1) the economic framework of crime and corruption, (2) the legal institutions and corruption, (3) the effect of corruption on aspects of national economics, (4) the combating and monitoring of corruption, (5) the determinants of corruption, (6) political institutions and corruption, and (7) the effect of corruption on firms. In addition to these research clusters, we also identified the key journals, articles, countries, institutions, authors, data sources, measurements, theoretical frameworks, and networks dealing with this issue. Finally, we suggested 20 future research questions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-578 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:565-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xinyue Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xinyue Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zheng Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Junnan Yao Author-X-Name-First: Junnan Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: The impact of US–China trade war on Chinese firms: Evidence from stock market reactions Abstract: We study Chinese firms’ stock market reactions of US–China trade war. Using stock market returns of listed firms and corresponding firm-level export information from China Customs database, we find a negative effect of trade war that firms with higher proportion of prior export to US show more negative market reactions. This effect is strongest among firms with non-state ownership. Further evidences show that the negative impact largely comes from firms exposed directly to tariff increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-583 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: David Iñiguez Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Iñiguez Author-Name: Gonzalo Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Author-Name: Alfonso Tarancón Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Tarancón Title: Leaders among the leaders in Economics: a network analysis of the Nobel Prize laureates Abstract: We analyse the production and networks of Nobel laureates in Economics, employing the Normalized Impact Factor (NIF) of their publications in the Journal of Citation Report (Economics), to identify the academic leaders among those laureates awarded between 1969 and 2016. Our results indicate that direct collaborations among laureates are, in general, rare, but when we add all the co-authors of the laureates, there appears a very large component containing 70% of the nodes, so that more than two thirds of the laureates can be connected through only two steps. Deaton, Tirole, Arrow, and Stiglitz are identified as leaders according to the total production of their respective networks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 584-589 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:584-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Q.M. Momani Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Q.M. Author-X-Name-Last: Momani Title: Cross-section and GMM/SDF tests of linear factor models Abstract: This study follows the appropriate Cochrane (2005) framework for comparing the estimates’ standard errors, $$t$$t-statistics and $${\chi ^2}$$χ2 statistics that pricing errors are jointly zero of the beta and the Generalized Method of Moments/Stochastic Discount Factor (GMM/SDF) methods in testing linear factor models. I extend his work by using the Fama-French three-factor model. The study finds that the GMM/SDF estimators’ standard errors and $$t$$t-statistics behave very similarly to those obtained by the beta method, and the methods give almost exactly the same $${\chi ^2}$$χ2 statistics. Unlike Rubio and Lozano (2011) conclusion, I find that Cochrane (2005) results are extensible to the Fama-French three-factor model. The results are robust using an extended sample period that ends in February 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 590-593 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1764479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1764479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:590-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Candelaria Barrios Author-X-Name-First: Maria Candelaria Author-X-Name-Last: Barrios Author-Name: Maja Jandrić Author-X-Name-First: Maja Author-X-Name-Last: Jandrić Author-Name: Dejan Molnar Author-X-Name-First: Dejan Author-X-Name-Last: Molnar Author-Name: Svetozar Tanasković Author-X-Name-First: Svetozar Author-X-Name-Last: Tanasković Title: Convergence clubs in different regions of Serbia Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of club convergence on the NUTS (Nomenclaturedes Unités Territoriales Statistiques) 3 level in Serbia. While a common approach in investigating convergence is based on dividing units of observation a priori into individual groups based on some of their particular characteristics, we use a method developed by Phillips and Sul that allows identification of clusters of convergence on the basis of an algorithm that is data-driven and thereby avoids a priori classification of the data into subgroups. We use data on real gross valued added (GVA) per capita for the NUTS3 level in Serbia for the period 2001–2017. Our results show that there are two convergence clubs in Serbia, while the Belgrade district shows no signs of convergence with any of the other clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 594-598 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1765960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1765960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:594-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jianping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiaolei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Jianming Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jianming Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Multi-scale interactions between Turkish lira exchange rates and sovereign CDS in Europe and Asia Abstract: This article examined the multi-scale correlations between Turkish lira exchange rates and sovereign credit default swap (CDS) in Turkey, Europe, and Asia by implementing a combined quantile regression (QR) and wavelet approach. The results showed that a severe depreciation of the lira will increase the sovereign risk in Turkey at different time scales. In addition, the results revealed stronger and quicker responses from Asia’s sovereign CDS than Europe’s to the shocks of the lira, which provides important implications for Asian countries and especially Asian emerging markets to prevent external risk contagion and guide the domestic monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-607 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1765961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1765961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:599-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Vandivier Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Vandivier Title: Preliminary attitudinal trends in alternative postsecondary learning Abstract: This paper explores a novel data set (n = 1190) to understand trends in public disposition towards alternative postsecondary learning, with a focus on employers. Results indicate that public favourability is positive and will remain flat over the next year. Employer attitudes are not meaningfully different from the general public. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 608-611 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1767279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1767279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:608-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lan Khanh Chu Author-X-Name-First: Lan Khanh Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: Economic structure and environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: new evidence from economic complexity Abstract: This paper sheds further lights on the environmental Kuznets curve literature by considering a new possible driving factor of environmental quality, the economic complexity. The results consistently show that there exists an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic complexity and CO2 emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 612-616 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1767280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1767280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:612-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuming Ren Author-X-Name-First: Shuming Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Ziyu Song Author-X-Name-First: Ziyu Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Intellectual capital and firm innovation: incentive effect and selection effect Abstract: We examine the relationship between intellectual capital (measured by manually constructed human capital and organizational capital) and firm innovation of Chinese listed firms. Empirical results show that human capital and organizational capital positively affect the R&D investment and the number of various patent applications. Moreover, the relationship between intellectual capital and innovation activities is influenced by macroeconomic factors, industry characteristics and firm heterogeneity. Therefore, intellectual capital has incentive effect and selection effect on firm innovation in typical developing countries, such as China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-623 Issue: 7 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1767281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1767281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:7:p:617-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garrett Glasgow Author-X-Name-First: Garrett Author-X-Name-Last: Glasgow Author-Name: Sarah Butler Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Butler Author-Name: Samantha Iyengar Author-X-Name-First: Samantha Author-X-Name-Last: Iyengar Title: Survey response bias and the ‘privacy paradox’: evidence from a discrete choice experiment Abstract: The discrepancy between the stated and revealed value of personal information is frequently referred to as the ‘privacy paradox.’ We test for evidence that survey response bias contributes to the privacy paradox through a discrete choice survey experiment based on hypothetical ride-hailing services, some of which track the rider’s location and share it with third parties. The value that respondents place on their personal location data is measured by the willingness to pay higher prices to avoid rides with location sharing. Our survey experiment compares a within-subjects design in which location sharing was presented as an attribute of the hypothetical rides within each choice scenario to a between-subjects design in which location sharing was not presented as an attribute – instead, the location-sharing practices of the hypothetical firms were presented to a treatment group before the respondents made their choices. On average, survey respondents placed a positive value on their personal location data under both survey designs. The difference in value between the survey designs was statistically insignificant, indicating there is no evidence that the within-subjects design led to the type of survey response bias that might contribute to the privacy paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-629 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:625-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Frederik Neugebauer Author-X-Name-First: Frederik Author-X-Name-Last: Neugebauer Author-Name: Mustafa Kilinc Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Kilinc Title: ECB’s communication and the yield curve: core versus periphery effects Abstract: This paper shows peculiar reactions of sovereign yields to ECB announcements. The focus on different maturities reveals a diverse reaction within the euro area. While economies with a relatively low solvency rating are affected across the entire yield curve, economies with a relatively high solvency rating react significantly only at short maturities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 630-634 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:630-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Bossie Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Bossie Author-Name: Daniel Kuehn Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Kuehn Title: WWII contract spending and inequality Abstract: We find that the share of state-level income captured by the top 1% of income earners falls by 1.73pp in response to WWII contract spending. We also find a postwar permanent decline in top 1% income shares of 0.85pp attributable to wartime spending. This is half the average state-level decline in inequality during the war and one-fifth of the average postwar decline in inequality relative to 1940. We take this as evidence that WWII military spending induced permanent labour market changes in manufacturing that reduced inequality relative to its level in 1940. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Ling Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Yu Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Hua-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hua-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Compensation committee characteristics and voluntary executive compensation disclosure Abstract: Using data from Taiwan listed firms required to voluntarily disclose not only executive but also non-executive compensation adjustments, this study reveals that a higher attendance rate of compensation committee relates to a higher possibility of voluntary disclosure. In addition, our result implies that a higher meeting frequency may represent more arguments among compensation committee members in terms of determining whether or not to make such disclosures. We also find evidence implying that busy members are likely to be ceremonial and unfavourable towards compensation adjustments for non-executive employees, which might have practical implications for policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 640-645 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:640-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donatella Saccone Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Saccone Title: Who gains from economic freedom? A panel analysis on decile income shares Abstract: By analysing a panel of 76 developed and developing countries for period 1980–2014, this paper provides new evidence about the relation between economic freedom and income distribution, measured through decile income shares. The results show that a higher degree of economic freedom has a negative impact on the first eight deciles; conversely, it favours the richest percentiles and, especially, the top 10% and 5%. While the results aim at reopening an old debate with new evidence, the paper calls for more accurate studies that estimate the effects that each subcomponent of economic freedom may have on income inequalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 646-649 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:646-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sihao Li Author-X-Name-First: Sihao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yong Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Wenjun Zou Author-X-Name-First: Wenjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Can Stock Exchange inquiry letters reduce stock price crash risk? Abstract: The inquiry letters of annual reports play an increasingly important role in performing the first-line supervision duties of Stock Exchange. Based on 2015–2017 annual report inquiry letters, this paper studies the impact of regulatory inquiry on stock price crash risk empirically. The results show that the Stock Exchange’s inquiry on the annual report of listed companies reduces the stock price crash risk significantly, and the more questions are inquired by the Stock Exchange, the stronger inhibitory impact will be played on the companies’ stock price crash risk . In addition, compared with companies replied to the inquiry letters in time, the inquiry has a stronger inhibitory effect on stock price crash risk of companies with delayed reply or no reply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 650-654 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:650-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaheer Anwer Author-X-Name-First: Zaheer Author-X-Name-Last: Anwer Author-Name: Wajahat Azmi Author-X-Name-First: Wajahat Author-X-Name-Last: Azmi Author-Name: Shamsher Mohamad Author-X-Name-First: Shamsher Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamad Author-Name: Andrea Paltrinieri Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Paltrinieri Title: Why CEOs invest in Corporate Social Responsibility initiatives: evidence on Shariah compliant firms Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the motivation of CEOs to invest in Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) activities. To carry out this analysis, we assess a sample of US conventional and Shariah Compliant (SC) firms, from Dow Jones Indices. As SC firms undergo business and financial screening, they are expected to follow different managerial styles and capital structures as compared to conventional firms. This comparison is important in view of the growing size of the Islamic Financial Services Industry that has surpassed total asset values of USD 2.00 Trillion. Existing literature argues that, for conventional firms, CEOs spend on CSR either to promote their private benefits (agency view) or to reduce conflicts among shareholders (conflict resolution view). Our results provide evidence that across both types of firms, CEOs do not invest in CSR initiatives to pursue selfish motives but to resolve conflicts among stakeholders to maximize firm value. The findings are also robust across different specifications and methods in order to address endogeneity issues. This article contributes to the growing literature on managerial styles, capital structure and Islamic Finance, carrying out important implications for the investment industry and for the long-term value of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-662 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:655-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Furong Guo Author-X-Name-First: Furong Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Shengdao Gan Author-X-Name-First: Shengdao Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Author-Name: Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Peiying Kuang Author-X-Name-First: Peiying Author-X-Name-Last: Kuang Title: Are sales and taxes ‘sticky’? Empirical evidence of the impact of tax enforcement on tax revenue growth in China Abstract: Despite the global economic downturn, China’s taxation continues to grow rapidly. Although many scholars attribute this phenomenon to macro factors, in this study, we investigate this issue from the perspective of combining enterprises and tax enforcement. Through a regression analysis of data from Chinese listed firms over the 2008–2018 period, we find that tax enforcement can lead to the stickiness of corporate tax expenses, that is, the percentage decrease in tax expenses for a decrease in sales revenue is less than the percentage increase in tax expenses for an equivalent increase in sales revenue. Further analysis shows that tax stickiness exists in multiple taxes, with business tax stickiness being the highest. Tax stickiness provides a new explanation for China’s taxation to maintain rapid growth during economic downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanshuang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yanshuang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xintian Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Xintian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Jian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zibing Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zibing Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Spatial linkage of volatility spillovers and its explanation across China’s interregional stock markets: a network approach Abstract: This article investigates the spatial linkage of volatility spillovers across China’s interregional stock markets. For this purpose, we apply the GARCH–BEKK model to construct volatility network and use the QAP model to analyse the factors affecting volatility spillover linkage between regional stock markets. The results show that the volatility spillover network is highly connected, and each region’s spillover ability is related to its economic development background. Furthermore, the differences in network topological indicators, economic foundations and industrial structures between regions have a significant impact on the spatial linkage of volatility spillovers across China’s interregional stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 668-674 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:668-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weijie Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Jingci Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jingci Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Youthful dependents and economic growth: the effect of tax composition Abstract: Several theories document the positive effect of younger population on economic growth due to the larger size of the labour force. However, the evidence shows no such positive relationship. This paper argues that an increase in the youthful fraction of the population increases the demand for income taxes rather than expenditure taxes, as expenditure taxes are shared by three generations whilst income taxes are mainly afforded by the working-age population who increasingly dislikes being double-taxed at consumption when they raise their dependent children. This then reduces growth since the extent of distortionary relative to non-distortionary taxes rises and investment is constrained. International panel evidence supports this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrey Polbin Author-X-Name-First: Andrey Author-X-Name-Last: Polbin Title: Multivariate unobserved component model for an oil-exporting economy: the case of Russia Abstract: This paper presents an unobserved component model for real GDP, real household consumption, and real investment of an oil-exporting economy. The model decomposes domestic variables’ dynamics into permanent and transitory components, accounting for dependence on oil prices in the short and long-run, as well as for the common long-run economic growth and the common cyclical behaviour. Estimated on the Russian macroeconomic variables, the model exhibits a strong dependence on oil prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-685 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:681-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongbing Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Hongbing Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Yong Zhi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhi Author-Name: Boyuan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Boyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A study on default prediction of Chinese online lending: based on the analysis of mobile phone usage data Abstract: Information asymmetry between online financial lenders and borrowers may lead to a high risk of overdue repayment. To identify the influencing factors of the default rate in Chinese online lending, the presented study was conducted using a dataset constructed by 5108 borrowers in an online lending platform between July 1 and September 30 in the year of 2019. This research adopted a logistic regression approach to investigate the influencing factors of borrowers’ defaults based on loan application time and borrowers’ mobile phone usage. The results show that the default rate is relatively low when the loan application is made during the daytime. Meanwhile, the study indicates that the default rate is negatively correlated with the most of the investigated parameters, which include the number of loan applications, the number of contacts, the duration of the mobile phone using the internet, and the number of one person’s multiple phone numbers. Based on observations of the presented research, it could be found that mobile phone usage data possesses a significant impact on the default prediction, which is capable of providing constructive guidance to effectively reduce default risk for the borrowers and the online lending platform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 686-690 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:686-690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo de Souza Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo de Souza Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Author-Name: João Frois Caldeira Author-X-Name-First: João Frois Author-X-Name-Last: Caldeira Author-Name: Gerson de Souza Raimundo Júnior Author-X-Name-First: Gerson de Souza Author-X-Name-Last: Raimundo Júnior Title: Cryptocurrencies: formation of returns from the CRIX index Abstract: This paper examines the formation prices in the cryptocurrency market using the CAPM model based on OLS and Regime-Switching approaches. Following Baek & Elbeck’s argument that internal factors drove cryptocurrency returns, CAPM was built, taking the CRIX index as the market and ten cryptocurrencies as assets. The results suggest that the market risk factor can partially explain cryptocurrency returns. Moreover, the regime change estimation positively impacts the market risk determination power for cryptocurrencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 691-695 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1770680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1770680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:691-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Attainment of multidimensional poverty target of sustainable development goals: a preliminary study Abstract: Using recent data, this study compares observed rates of decline in multidimensional poverty headcount with the rates required to reduce the headcount by one-half as envisaged in SDG Target 1.2. It is found that in a majority of countries, that contain an overwhelming proportion of multidimensionally poor people, observed rates of headcount reduction are not enough to lower multidimensional poverty headcount by one-half during the SDG period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 696-700 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1771265 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1771265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:696-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imdad Ali Khowaja Author-X-Name-First: Imdad Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Khowaja Author-Name: Urooj Talpur Author-X-Name-First: Urooj Author-X-Name-Last: Talpur Author-Name: Sikander Hussain Soomro Author-X-Name-First: Sikander Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Soomro Author-Name: Muhammad Shoaib Khan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Shoaib Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: The non-banking financial institutions in perspective of economic growth of Pakistan Abstract: Globally, Non-banking Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are considered as an important source of financing to the underserved markets such as micro, small and medium enterprises. The purpose of the study is to ascertain the contribution of the NBFIs sector of Pakistan for the micro, small and medium enterprises and agriculture sector growth with the perspective of economic development of the country. Regression and Pearson’s correlation techniques are adopted to analyse the financial performance of NBFIs extend the effective benefit to the shareholders and investors to expand business operations and NBFIs asset-based financing to the SME sector and the SMEs contribution to the GDP of Pakistan. Additionally, a sample independent t-test is conducted to find out the difference between the NBFIs total lease disbursement and SME lease financing to SMEs. However, there is a positive connection between NBFI’s asset-based financing to the SME sector and the SME’s contribution to the economic growth of Pakistan. The study recommends NBFI’s operational scale should be expanded to semi-urban and rural areas of Pakistan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-706 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1771266 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1771266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:701-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangyeon Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sangyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: The channels of consumption risk-sharing in Korea Abstract: This study investigates intranational risk-sharing behaviour in Korea’s 16 province-level regions over the period 2001–2017. Korea’s degree of intranational risk-sharing is at an almost perfect level. However, the extent of risk-sharing declines in the period following the subprime crisis. We also find that risk-sharing through the factor markets works well for metropolitan cities while the degree of risk-sharing is much higher for provinces through the fiscal channel and the credit markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-711 Issue: 8 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1771267 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1771267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:8:p:707-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Chun Kwok Lei Author-X-Name-First: Chun Kwok Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Lei Peng Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Title: The U.S.-Sino different links between income and consumption inequality Abstract: This work shows that the U.S.-Sino diverse links between income and consumption inequality have to do with their different development levels and policy orientations. Foreign trade, financial markets, and capital flows are used for consumption smoothing in the U.S. but for economic growth in China. Other smoothing schemes are better developed in the U.S. than in China. As a result, income and consumption inequalities are linked loosely in the U.S. burdened with an external deficit but closely in China faced with a persist surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-716 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1771268 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1771268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:713-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ritika Khurana Author-X-Name-First: Ritika Author-X-Name-Last: Khurana Author-Name: Levan Elbakidze Author-X-Name-First: Levan Author-X-Name-Last: Elbakidze Author-Name: Joshua Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: The political economy of solar initiatives in the Sunshine state Abstract: This study empirically examines the outcomes of two solar energy amendments that were on the ballot in Florida in 2016. One amendment exempts solar energy devices from ad valorem taxation, effectively decreasing the cost of solar energy. The second amendment reaffirms the right of property owners to instal or lease solar photovoltaic panels for their personal use but allows for termination of net metering. Our results show that, depending on the amendment, per capita income and pro-environmental ideology are positively associated with voter support for pro-solar policies. County shares of employment in construction, agriculture and forestry, retail, transportation, warehousing and utilities are negatively associated with support of pro-solar policies. The policy implications of our findings for citizens and policymakers interested in passing pro-solar policies through referenda are straightforward. To the extent possible, amendments should be structured so as to ensure high voter turnout and engagement among voters most likely to be in favour of the solar initiatives. Structuring amendments to minimize any negative short-term effects on industries where solar energy may be viewed unfavourably is also likely to help move pro-solar initiatives closer to passage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-720 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1771269 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1771269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:717-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Melina Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Melina Author-Name: Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Poplawski-Ribeiro Title: Macroeconomic impacts of non-resource revenue mobilization in CEMAC Abstract: This letter investigates main macroeconomic impacts of enhanced non-resource revenue mobilization in Africa’s CEMAC region. Model simulations indicate that non-oil revenue mobilization reduces debt and increases non-resource output in the long term. The mobilization, however, triggers an output decline in the short run and carries undesirable distributional effects. Cash transfers targeting the most vulnerable perform better than untargeted public investments to mitigate such increased inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-726 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1772456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1772456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:721-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuliu Peng Author-X-Name-First: Yuliu Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Wenru Kang Author-X-Name-First: Wenru Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: RMB currency risk management after China’s ‘8.11’ exchange rate reform Abstract: After ‘8.11’ RMB exchange rate reform in 2015 in China, RMB experienced two phases of irrational and pro-cyclical depreciation. The currency risk management of China’s central bank shifted from quantitative management to price management step by step. The article analyzes the efficiency of China’s central bank’ management, and finds that the management improved the imbalance between supply and demand and reduced irrational and procyclical expectation on RMB exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1772956 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1772956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stanley Peterburgsky Author-X-Name-First: Stanley Author-X-Name-Last: Peterburgsky Author-Name: Seungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Seungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Is average correlation related to expected returns: evidence from global markets Abstract: We examine whether average country-level stock market correlation is related to global equity returns. Previous research focusing on the U.S. suggests that average firm-level correlation captures some of the risk not accounted for by other variables and is positively related to returns on the broad stock market. In contrast, we find that average country-level correlation does not appear to be related to global returns, and that the Roll (1977) critique may not be responsible for this lack of relation. Additionally, average correlation does not help forecast returns out-of-sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-736 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1773388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1773388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:731-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Dittrich Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Dittrich Author-Name: Silvio Städter Author-X-Name-First: Silvio Author-X-Name-Last: Städter Title: Monitoring ’lemons’: why lower productivity workers are sometimes monitored more closely Abstract: We analyse workplace monitoring in a principal–agent model with two types of workers who differ in their productivity. The firm decides on the effort level, the wage and the monitoring intensity for both workers. We find that the elasticities of the workers’ effort-cost function and the firm’s monitoring-cost function affect the firm’s monitoring intensity. Our results imply that the firm might monitor the low-productive worker more closely than the high-productive worker. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-741 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:737-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoou Man Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoou Author-X-Name-Last: Man Author-Name: Haijun Cao Author-X-Name-First: Haijun Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Socio-economic inequality in early childhood health 2010-2016: evidence from China Abstract: Although health inequality issues caused by the differences in economic status gain much attention, specific information on early childhood health inequality is still scarce. This study aims to assess socioeconomic inequality in the distribution of early childhood health among Chinese children with concentration index (CI) decomposition method. Using national data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), we find that the overall health level of children has increased and the health inequality has reduced to some extent from 2010 to 2016. However, health inequality still exists among children aged 0–5 with different economic statuses, and children from higher-income families have better health. The decomposition of inequality shows that family economic status, genetic factors related to parents’ health, and type of childcare all have a positive contribution to inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 742-747 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:742-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mária Murray Svidroňová Author-X-Name-First: Mária Murray Author-X-Name-Last: Svidroňová Author-Name: Gabriela Vaceková Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Vaceková Author-Name: Michal Plaček Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Plaček Author-Name: Markéta Matulová Author-X-Name-First: Markéta Author-X-Name-Last: Matulová Author-Name: Lucia Hrůzová Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Hrůzová Author-Name: Lenka Harringová Author-X-Name-First: Lenka Author-X-Name-Last: Harringová Title: Alternative non-profit funding methods: crowdfunding in the Czech Republic and Slovakia Abstract: The paper presents a view of the crowdfunding phenomenon in the Czech Republic and Slovakia, identifying factors that determine the success of non-profits on crowdfunding platforms operating in two (post-) Communist CEE countries in terms of the two-sided market theory. The main finding is that the status of a project creator does not significantly affect the probability of project overfunding, which implies that the projects created by non-profits do not have a higher likelihood of being overfunded, though this may differ between the studied countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 748-754 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:748-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tamás Kiss Author-X-Name-First: Tamás Author-X-Name-Last: Kiss Author-Name: Pär Österholm Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity Abstract: In this paper, we illustrate the macroeconomic risk associated with the early stage of the corona-virus outbreak. Using monthly data ranging from July 1991 to March 2020 on a recently developed coincidence indicator of global output growth, we estimate an autoregressive model with GARCH effects and non-Gaussian disturbances. Our results indicate that i) accounting for conditional heteroscedasticity is important and ii) risk, measured as the volatility of the shocks to the process, is at a very high level – largely on par with that experienced around the financial crisis of 2008–2009. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-759 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gene Ambrocio Author-X-Name-First: Gene Author-X-Name-Last: Ambrocio Title: Fear, overconfidence, and fundamental uncertainty shocks Abstract: I study the effects of expected and realized uncertainty on Euro area macroeconomic conditions. I use a range of expected and realized uncertainty measures including those based on survey forecasts and find that the effects of expected uncertainty vanish once realized uncertainty is accounted for when using financial or news media-based measures. On the other hand, shocks to a survey-based measure of expected uncertainty do appear to have dampening effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 760-764 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:760-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heejin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Sun Go Author-X-Name-First: Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Go Title: The effect of the School-to-Work Programme on the employment of vocational high school graduates Abstract: We examine the effects of the 2011 Korean School-to-Work Programme on the career choices of vocational high school students. To identify the causal impacts, we utilize the difference-in-differences method, comparing vocational high school graduates to academic high school graduates between 2011 and 2012. The results show that the policy increased the employment rate of vocational high school graduates by 36%. The proportion of graduates advancing to postsecondary education decreased by a similar magnitude, implying that the policy indeed altered the career choices of a significant number of vocational high school students, leading them to pursue employment rather than attend college. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1776831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rupika Khanna Author-X-Name-First: Rupika Author-X-Name-Last: Khanna Author-Name: Chandan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chandan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: The productivity effects of infrastructure: A cross-country comparison using manufacturing industry panels Abstract: Studies on the productivity effects of infrastructure have produced ambiguous results because of potential inter-sectoral dependencies, non-stationarity and endogeneity issues in estimation. Employing estimators that address these problems, we test the effects of a composite infrastructure index on a panel of industries for four major-Asian economies. Our results indicate positive and sizable long-run effects of infrastructure on productivity for India and China, but not for Japan and S. Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Sebastião Abreu Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Sebastião Author-X-Name-Last: Abreu Author-Name: Artur Silva Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Artur Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Lopes Title: How to disappear completely: nonlinearity and endogeneity in the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve Abstract: We use a three-regime threshold regression model to assess the ability of the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve (NKWPC) to describe wage inflation in the US over the 1965–2018 period. Nonlinearity is clearly supported by the data and it easily resists an endogeneity correction. However, this correction exposes more clearly the shortcomings of the NKWPC as a successful description of wage dynamics in the extreme phases of the business cycles, when unemployment is either low or high. In both cases, it becomes completely flat. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 774-778 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:774-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Childs Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Childs Author-Name: Jason Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: A cannabis pricing mistake from California to Canada: government can’t tax cannabis optimally Abstract: We apply a simple three good general equilibrium model to examine the optimality of a Pigouvian tax on a legal cannabis market which faces competition from a well-established illicit market. Despite the widespread support for Pigouvian taxes on cannabis, the availability of untaxed illicit cannabis with comparable costs and higher externalities renders taxation of legal cannabis suboptimal. Our results, derived from a relatively simple model, show that the welfare improving properties of a Pigouvian tax can be undermined by illicit market competition. Based on this simple analysis, we conclude that it is impossible for the pricing policies implemented in multiple jurisdictions (including California and Canada) to achieve the optimal, welfare maximizing outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaesang Sung Author-X-Name-First: Jaesang Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Author-Name: Qihua Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Qihua Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: James Marton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Marton Title: Relative deprivation: a new derivation and application Abstract: We derive and express the Yitzhaki index of relative deprivation as a function of mean and median household income within a reference group and one’s income, under the assumption that individual income follows the log-normal distribution or the Pareto distribution. We also suggest a way to calculate annual US regional mean and median household income in each reference group using aggregate income and household size data. Therefore, unlike prior literature that utilizes Decennial Census data due to its big sample size, our suggested methodology allows annual calculation of relative deprivation at different levels of geography (state or county). In an application of the derived index presented to illustrate its feasibility, we analyse the relationship between relative deprivation and mental health, finding suggestive evidence that increases in relative deprivation negatively affect mental health in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 784-787 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:784-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Zhongkun Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongkun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Internet use and willingness to participate in garbage classification: an investigation of Chinese residents Abstract: This study contributes to the literature by investigating the factors factors affecting Chinese residents' willingness to participate (WTP) in garbage classification, paying particular attention to the role of Internet use. Data are drawn from the 2016 China Labour-force Dynamics Survey (N = 13,499) and analysed using a recursive bivariate probit model. The results show that Internet use can motivate people to classify the household garbage, and it increases Chinese residents’ WTP in garbage classification by 4.7 percentage points. The results also show that WTP in garbage classification of Chinese residents is largely influenced by their Internet use via smartphones. Our findings highlight the importance of distributing garbage classification information via Internet media, especially smartphones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 788-793 Issue: 9 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:9:p:788-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: When Bitcoin has the flu: on Bitcoin’s performance to hedge equity risk in the early wake of the COVID-19 outbreak Abstract: Using the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak as a set-up for a quasi-experiment, this study derives novel insights on the dynamic correlation between Bitcoin and US stocks. Given the unprecedented scale of infections and the nature of the virus, the potential impact on the dynamic correlation was unpredictable and therefore uncertain. Using a difference-in-differences setting, the dynamic correlation between Bitcoin and stocks is controlled for the dynamic correlation between gold and stocks. This study finds that Bitcoin performed poorly in hedging this tail risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 860-865 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:860-865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Asif Khan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Mollah Aminul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Mollah Aminul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Usman Akbar Author-X-Name-First: Usman Author-X-Name-Last: Akbar Title: Do economic freedom matters for finance in developing economies: a panel threshold analysis Abstract: Economic freedom is an important determinant of economic development, yet little academic research has considered its financial perspectives. Using a relatively new measure of finance, we find that a high-freedom environment fosters finance in developing economies. Unlike prior literature, the advanced panel threshold estimator shows a single significant economic freedom threshold level of 4.282 as a benchmark, where the relationship turns positive. The findings are robust to alternative estimators and split-sample analysis. The findings are useful for policymakers to attain optimal financial benefits by assuring a high-freedom environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 840-843 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:840-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yao-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ai-Ju Shao Author-X-Name-First: Ai-Ju Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Author-Name: Shih-Chung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsin-Fu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Fang-Kuo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fang-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Universal pension scheme and job searching Abstract: This paper examines whether a change in the amount of universal pension fund has any effect on a typical individual’s propensity to accept a job offer in the first period. The pension system will give the individual who is assumed to live for three periods a fixed amount in the third period regardless of his choice in the previous two periods to accept a job offer or not. It is found: with a grant in place after retirement, if a typical individual places much emphasis on current consumption, a rise in the grant will lead to an increase in his propensity to accept a job offer in the first period; in contrast, if future consumption is emphasized much, the opposite result will be obtained. Finally, the empirical evidence based on a questionnaire survey is provided to support the above-mentioned theoretical results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 802-806 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:802-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: René Böheim Author-X-Name-First: René Author-X-Name-Last: Böheim Author-Name: Philipp Stöllinger Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Stöllinger Title: Decomposition of the gender wage gap using the LASSO estimator Abstract: We use the LASSO estimator to select among a large number of explanatory variables in wage regressions for a decomposition of the gender wage gap. The LASSO selection with a one standard error rule removes about a quarter of the regressors. We use the LASSO-selected regressors for OLS-based gender wage decompositions. This approach results in a smaller error variance than in OLS without LASSO-selection. The explained gender wage gap is 1%-point greater than in the conventional OLS model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-828 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:817-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut M. Dietl Author-X-Name-First: Helmut M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dietl Author-Name: Carlos Gomez-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Gonzalez Author-Name: Paolo Moretti Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Moretti Author-Name: Cornel Nesseler Author-X-Name-First: Cornel Author-X-Name-Last: Nesseler Title: Does persistence pay off? Accessing social activities with a foreign-sounding name Abstract: In this paper, we examine if a slight behavioural modification has an influence on discrimination. Specifically, we use a field experiment based on emails to observe if persistence increases the chances of joining a social group. We find that native- or foreign-sounding names are equally successful when being persistent. However, non-persistent individuals with foreign-sounding names suffer from discrimination. The results show that persistent individuals can be especially interesting in the context of field experiments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tugba Dayıoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Tugba Author-X-Name-Last: Dayıoğlu Title: Financial ratios and non-payment risk factor with panel probit model: a case of Turkey Abstract: This study is based on the data of the companies traded on the BIST (Borsa İstanbul Stock Exchange) stock exchange with the panel probit method to obtain the risk of empirical non-payment risk with scores models. Non-Payment risk of companies will be used and compared with the Z-Score and O-Score models. In this study, the financial ratios were formed using BIST-100 data between the years January 2013 and December 2017. In the calculation of the ratios, some ratios were excluded from the analysis due to lack of data and explanation problem. The fact that the ratios do not grow is assumed to reduce the risk of non-repayment, thus causing some firms to generate a large positive number in the ratio of negative net profit and very small negative equity in their ratios and this leads to misinterpretation of the probability of non-payment. Therefore, some ratios have not been included in the analysis to eliminate this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 844-849 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:844-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: National distance and China’s OFDI : Research based on the ‘Belt and Road’ countries Abstract: China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) has made remarkable achievements under the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative. National distance has an important impact on China’s OFDI through the interaction of liability of foreignness (LOF) and advantages of foreignness (AOFs). After dividing the national distance into three aspects of geography, economy and humanity, its impact on China’s OFDI along the ‘Belt and Road’ is tested empirically. The results show that the influence of national distance on China’s OFDI is U-shaped. Before crossing the threshold, LOF plays a major role, and national distance shows a negative effect on OFDI. While after the specific threshold is surpassed, AOF will offset some adverse effect of LOF and contribute to the healthy development of China’s OFDI along the ‘Belt and Road’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipe de Sousa Bastos Author-X-Name-First: Felipe de Sousa Author-X-Name-Last: Bastos Author-Name: Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Tatiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: Volatility of relative prices and transportation costs: evidence for Brazilian cities Abstract: This work estimates the effect of transport costs on relative price volatility in Brazilian cities. We use time-varying volatility measures and propose a new proxy for transportation costs. The results of the dynamic panel data models show (little) evidence of a positive impact of transport costs on relative price volatility, only in specifications without the relative wage volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 872-875 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:872-875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinar Sener Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Sener Author-Name: Elif Akben-Selcuk Author-X-Name-First: Elif Author-X-Name-Last: Akben-Selcuk Author-Name: Fatma Didin-Sonmez Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Didin-Sonmez Title: Does the institutional framework affect the relationship between debt financing and firm performance in emerging countries? Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of debt financing on firm performance and how this relationship is affected by the institutional framework in 14 emerging countries. The results show a negative relationship between debt financing and firm performance. However, this negative relationship is reversed in countries with better credit market regulations and more efficient legal systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 866-871 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:866-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiqi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Guangyou Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Guangyou Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Is risk aversion related to occupational choice: evidence from 1996 PSID Abstract: This paper investigates to what extent individuals’ risk aversion are correlated with the choice of occupation which differs from earnings risk by using 1996 PSID. Following Kimball et al. (2009), we first impute the individuals’ coefficient of relative risk aversion based on personal characteristics. Then, on the aggregate level, we find workers who are more risk averse will sort into occupations with low earnings risk. On the individual level, for one-unit increase in the coefficient of relative risk aversion, the probability of going to a more risky occupation decreases by 13.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 850-855 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:850-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yiyang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Yiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: On welfare or in work: perspective from single motherhood and early childhood outcomes Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the relationship between single mothers’ tax credit eligibility and early child development in Britain. Tax credit eligibility is considered as a form of family input in generating children’s production function to the extent that eligibility may induce changes in income, maternal time input and childcare usage. Using data from the UK Millennium Cohort Study (MCS), this study finds no relationship between mothers’ entitlements to tax credits and children’s cognitive and non-cognitive outcomes compared to the children of welfare mothers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 876-880 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:876-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maretno Agus Harjoto Author-X-Name-First: Maretno Agus Author-X-Name-Last: Harjoto Author-Name: Fabrizio Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Author-Name: John K. Paglia Author-X-Name-First: John K. Author-X-Name-Last: Paglia Title: COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus Abstract: Using the WHO announcement on 11 March 2020 and the Federal Reserve Bank announcement on 9 April 2020 as two events that represent the shock and the stimulus, this study finds that COVID-19 caused a negative shock to the global stock markets, especially in emerging markets and for small firms. We find that the US stock market experienced positive abnormal returns from the Fed stimulus compared to other developed countries and emerging markets. We find that the positive abnormal returns from the stimulus were garnered by the US large firms instead of the small firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-801 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1781767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:795-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oren Bar-Gill Author-X-Name-First: Oren Author-X-Name-Last: Bar-Gill Title: Price discrimination with consumer misperception Abstract: The rise of big data and sophisticated, machine learning algorithms is increasing the prevalence of price discrimination and even personalized pricing. In traditional models, where consumers’ willingness-to-pay (WTP) is a function of preferences (and budget constraints), price discrimination is often celebrated for increasing efficiency albeit while reducing consumer surplus. This favourable view of price discrimination should be re-evaluated when WTP is a function of both preferences and misperceptions. With demand-inflating misperceptions, price discrimination is even more harmful to consumers and might reduce efficiency. These results are derived using a simple, linear demand model with different levels of price discrimination (or segmentation). In the many consumer markets where misperception is common, more careful scrutiny of price discrimination is warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Velma Zahirovic-Herbert Author-X-Name-First: Velma Author-X-Name-Last: Zahirovic-Herbert Author-Name: Geoffrey K. Turnbull Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey K. Author-X-Name-Last: Turnbull Author-Name: Bennie D. Waller Author-X-Name-First: Bennie D. Author-X-Name-Last: Waller Title: Do home sellers know their market? Evidence from neighbourhood sober-living houses Abstract: We use a listing price hedonic model coupled with a standard selling price model to identify seller beliefs about how the housing market responds to refurbished formerly substandard properties serving as group homes. Occupied houses benefit the most and vacant houses the least in the long run from a nearby group home. The listing price model indicates that sellers of owner-occupied and rental houses anticipate these price effects whereas sellers of vacant properties appear to systematically underestimate the discount associated with vacant houses per se but correctly anticipate the smaller long run group home premia for their properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-810 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:807-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karam Kim Author-X-Name-First: Karam Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Does sentiment determine investor trading behaviour? Abstract: Sentiment is a determinant of investors’ trading decisions and behaviours. After a sentiment shock, investors’ net positions change differently across investor types. In response to a sentiment change, individual (institutional) investors follow a positive (negative) feedback strategy, reflecting their different trading and investment purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-816 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1782331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1782331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:811-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Segundo Camino-Mogro Author-X-Name-First: Segundo Author-X-Name-Last: Camino-Mogro Author-Name: Alberto López Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: López Title: Two-way traders: searching for complementarities between exports and imports in a developing country Abstract: The international trade literature has extensively analysed the role of exports and imports as productivity shifters. However, most studies analyse one of these two activities in isolation, and empirical evidence on this matter to a large extent refers to developed countries. We analyse the relevance of the interaction between exports and imports to determine productivity by applying a test of complementarity between these activities for a developing country. Using firm-level data from Ecuador, we find evidence suggesting that there is complementarity between exports and imports in determining productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 856-859 Issue: 10 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:856-859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoko Asuyama Author-X-Name-First: Yoko Author-X-Name-Last: Asuyama Title: International trade and the beliefs in hard work Abstract: This is the first empirical study to investigate the effects of trade-exposure experiences on people’s beliefs in hard work (BHW). Using a more flexible experience function than that used in previous studies, I find that both earlier and recent experiences have strong effects on BHW. BHW is strengthened by experiences of export exposure and weakened by those of import exposure in low- and middle-income countries. By contrast, import-exposure experiences positively affect BHW in high-income countries. In the US, however, import exposure, particularly from low-income countries, tends to weaken BHW, consistent with the ‘China trade shock’ literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-925 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1785618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1785618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:921-925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yueming Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yueming Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Cheng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: YingDong Wang Author-X-Name-First: YingDong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Factors affecting employment quality in China: evidence based on spatial panel data model Abstract: China has given priority to the improvement of employment quality as a part of its strategy to make people enjoy a better life. This article aims to analyse factors affecting employment quality in China. Based on the comprehensive employment quality index which is derived by entropy, this article formulates a Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) model to evaluate factors affecting employment quality by using data ranging from 2011 to 2017. It is found that the economic growth is not the only determining factor, and it has different impact on different regions in both direct effect and indirect effect. Other factors such as labour market level, industrial upgrade and open-up policy also have positive and negative impact on employment quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 906-909 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:906-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayesha Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Ayesha Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: Cross-border M&A outflows and government size Abstract: This article examines the effect of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) outflows on government size in home countries. We focus on up to 89 developed and developing economies during the period 1996–2018. The results show that cross-border M&A outflows decrease the government size in total sample as well as in sub-samples of developed and developing countries. The results are stable across different econometric specifications and provide support to the efficiency hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 964-967 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1789056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1789056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:964-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlie Lindgren Author-X-Name-First: Charlie Author-X-Name-Last: Lindgren Author-Name: Sven-Olov Daunfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Sven-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Daunfeldt Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Author-Name: Siril Yella Author-X-Name-First: Siril Author-X-Name-Last: Yella Title: Is intertemporal price discrimination the cause of price dispersion in markets with low search costs? Abstract: Theories of intertemporal price discrimination imply that prices must be chosen using mixed strategies, with retailers changing their prices randomly over time. Otherwise, consumers will learn which retailer has the lowest price, and eventually, all customers will patronize the lowest price retailer, or all retailers will charge the same price. We test whether price dispersion is explained by intertemporal price discrimination strategies using a dataset of identical products sold through the PriceSpy price comparison website. Our results show that there are clusters of retailers with similar pricing within each cluster, but with different price levels between clusters even after controlling for retailer heterogeneity. Retailers also remain in the same price cluster over time, suggesting that consumers have ample opportunities to learn which retailers belong to which price cluster. Intertemporal price discrimination is thus unlikely to have caused the observed price dispersion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 968-971 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1789055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1789055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:968-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuohui Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Zuohui Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Author-Name: Yan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Songsong li Author-X-Name-First: Songsong Author-X-Name-Last: li Title: Assortative matching group formations and group representatives in a repeated public goods game Abstract: We study the role of group representatives cooperating under different assortative matching groups in a repeated public goods game. We find that the requested contribution proposals are an essential motivation factor for the individuals’ contribution. At the same time, cooperation is more likely to be strengthened by the role of the group representatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 910-914 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:910-914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheolmin Kang Author-X-Name-First: Cheolmin Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Akira Kawamura Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Kawamura Author-Name: Haruko Noguchi Author-X-Name-First: Haruko Author-X-Name-Last: Noguchi Title: Benefits of knowing own health status: effects of health check-ups on health behaviours and labour participation Abstract: Lifestyle-related diseases account for a large proportion of mortality rates and healthcare expenses. These diseases are largely preventable with behavioural changes, but people often do not have adequate information to change their risky health behaviours. This study, for the first time, examines the extent to which health check-ups, which provide relevant information, affect health behaviours and labour outcomes of people with lifestyle-related diseases. Using nationally representative data on health and socioeconomic status in Japan, this study employs propensity score matching to compare two samples with similar attributes who had or had not received health check-ups. The results show that people who had health check-ups exhibit healthier behaviours and longer working hours than people who had not. Considering their cost and the benefits derived from resultant increases in annual income, health check-ups can be regarded as cost-effective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 926-931 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1786001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1786001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:926-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannick Bineau Author-X-Name-First: Yannick Author-X-Name-Last: Bineau Title: (A)Symmetric effects of changes in the saving rate on the investment rate in Norway: 1830–2017 Abstract: In view of the Feldstein–Horioka (1980) puzzle, this study examines the relationship between the investment rate and the saving rate using annual data from Norway for 1830 to 2017. The nonlinear version of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration methodology developed by Shin (2014), based on the linear ARDL bounds cointegration testing approach of Pesaran et al. (2001), is implemented. The findings show that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the saving rate and investment rate. The nonlinear ARDL model indicates that there are short-run but no long-run asymmetric effects. It is concluded that Norway respects its intertemporal budget constraint and that international capital mobility is high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 932-940 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1786490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1786490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:932-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven E. Kozlowski Author-X-Name-First: Steven E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kozlowski Author-Name: Michael R. Puleo Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Puleo Author-Name: Jizhou Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jizhou Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Cryptocurrency return reversals Abstract: Analysing a set of 200 cryptocurrencies over the period from 2015 to 2019, we document a significant return reversal effect that holds at the daily, weekly, and monthly rebalancing frequencies and is robust to controls for differences in size, turnover, and illiquidity. Moreover, the reversal effect persists during both halves of our sample period and following periods of both high and low market implied volatility. Consistent with the effect being driven by a combination of market inefficiency and compensation for liquidity provision, we find reversals are most pronounced among smaller capitalization and less liquid cryptocurrencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-893 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:887-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan L. Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: Julie K. Smith Author-X-Name-First: Julie K. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Yang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Minimum wages and the health of immigrants’ children Abstract: States are increasingly resorting to raising the minimum wage to boost the earnings of those at the bottom of the income distribution. In this article, we examine the effects of minimum wage increases on the health of immigrants’ children. Their parents are disproportionately represented in minimum wage jobs and are a growing part of the US labour force. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy and data from the National Health Interview Survey from 2000 to 2015, we examine whether children of low-educated immigrants experience any changes in their health when the minimum wage increases. We find no evidence that this is the case despite a number of robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 894-901 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:894-901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shangkun Yi Author-X-Name-First: Shangkun Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Xiaoting Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoting Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Fund sentiment beta and delegated investment Abstract: This study investigates the impact of fund sentiment beta (FSB) in delegated investment, which provides managed funds a novel grasp for formulating investment strategies. In a unified framework, it is shown that fund managers can exploit investors’ sentiment with strategic choice of FSB: when investors are optimistic (pessimistic), the catering (contrarian) strategy delights investors, who are thus willing to invest more and pay more to fund managers. Funds with high sentiment sensitivity tend to have elevated volatility, which warns against its excessive usage. These results provide theoretical support to many empirical findings in literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 902-905 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:902-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xiaona Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaona Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haiyun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Haiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Forecasting stock market volatility using implied volatility: evidence from extended realized EGARCH-MIDAS model Abstract: This paper extends the realized EGARCH-MIDAS (REGARCH-MIDAS) model to incorporate implied volatility (IV) derived from option prices. The extension allows us to examine the incremental information content of IV for forecasting volatility. An empirical investigation with S&P 500 index shows that IV contains valuable information for forecasting volatility. Our proposed model provides more accurate out-of-sample volatility forecasts compared to the EGARCH, the REGARCH and the REGARCH-MIDAS models as well as the EGARCH-IV and the REGARCH-IV models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-920 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1785617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1785617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:915-920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ding Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ding Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Zhekai Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhekai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Financial derivatives and default dependence: a time-varying copula approach Abstract: The fast development of financial derivatives links financial institutions more closely. In this paper, we investigate the joint default dependence among financial institutions and its association with the recent development of financial derivatives. Two interesting findings emerge. First, time-varying default risk dependencies of financial institutions are found during our sample period. Second, the fast growth of derivatives markets contributes to the rising correlated default risk among financial institutions and further leads to an increase in systemic risk. We show that the default correlation spike coincides with the boom in the US credit derivatives market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 958-963 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1788707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1788707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:958-963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Pengpeng Geng Author-X-Name-First: Pengpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Author-Name: Mande Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Mande Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Market-oriented land rentals in the less-developed regions of China Abstract: Using data from southwest China to investigate the marketization of land rentals, we find no difference in land rents for different types of transaction partners after accounting for endogeneity, even though relation-oriented rental transactions are popular in less-developed regions. Further analysis shows that oral contracts are more common in land rentals between kins or between farm households within the village. After excluding rent-free transactions, the land rents between kins are 677.143 yuan/mu per year on average. Our findings imply that both blood relation and regional relation do not impair the functioning of the market in today’s China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1786492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1786492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinhua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhenhuai Shi Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhuai Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Xiaoping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Yao Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: The effect of the spatial misallocation of land supply on entrepreneurial activity Abstract: Drawing on a unique dataset combining the registration information of over 200 million firms and over 2.1 million land transaction records in China, this study empirically tests how the spatial misallocation of land supply affects entrepreneurial activity. The study shows that the ‘paradox’ of an increase in the government supply of land leading to a decrease in entrepreneurial activity is caused by the spatial misallocation of this land supply. We highlight the importance of the proper spatial allocation of land for promoting entrepreneurial activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-953 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1788705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1788705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:949-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yugyung Jung Author-X-Name-First: Yugyung Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Sun Go Author-X-Name-First: Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Go Title: The effect of Cram School attendance on study-alone time Abstract: What is the effect of private tutoring on study-alone time? Using a novel instrumental variable of provincial regulations on cram school curfew time, we show that private tutoring at cram school increased a student’s time spent on studying alone after school. Our IV analysis of the Korean Time Use Survey data for 2009 and 2014 shows that cram school attendance increased the student’s study-alone time by about an hour on the same day. We find no evidence that private tutoring at home substitutes for cram schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 941-944 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1786491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1786491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:941-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pia M. Orrenius Author-X-Name-First: Pia M. Author-X-Name-Last: Orrenius Author-Name: Madeline Zavodny Author-X-Name-First: Madeline Author-X-Name-Last: Zavodny Title: The effect of employer enrolment in E-Verify on low-skilled U.S. workers Abstract: U.S. employers can check whether the workers they hire are legally eligible for employment using E-Verify, a free electronic system run by the federal government. We use confidential data from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security to provide the first examination of whether increases in employer enrolment in the E-Verify system affect employment and earnings among workers who are particularly likely to be unauthorized, namely Hispanic non-naturalized immigrants who have not completed high school, and their U.S.-citizen counterparts. We find evidence of negative effects on likely unauthorized immigrant men but positive effects on women. We find little evidence of effects on U.S. natives. These results are robust to instrumenting for endogenous employer enrolment with state laws that require some or all employers to use the E-Verify system. The results are consistent with a household model of labour supply among unauthorized immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 954-957 Issue: 11 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1788706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1788706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:11:p:954-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Jesús Cuadros-Solas Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Cuadros-Solas Author-Name: Carlos Salvador Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Muñoz Title: Potential spillovers from the banking sector to sovereign credit ratings Abstract: The global financial crisis and European sovereign debt crisis underlined the links between the banking sector and sovereign risk. This paper uses a machine learning technique (random forest regression) to examine whether sovereign ratings account for the potential spillovers from the banking sector to sovereign risk. To do so, we use a panel of sovereign ratings issued by the three main credit rating agencies (CRAs) (Fitch, S&P and Moody’s) for 30 European countries from 2002 to 2016. We find that in addition to the main economic indicators (macroeconomic, government and institutional quality factors), the soundness of the banking system is relevant in determining the sovereign rating. In fact, with the outbreak of the crisis, the importance of these banking sector characteristics (namely, liquidity, concentration and volume of non-performing loans) for sovereign ratings increased substantially. These results suggest a change in CRAs’ policies since the onset of the crisis, involving a re-appraisal of the structure of the banking sector when assessing countries’ sovereign risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1046-1052 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1046-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nguyen Minh Ha Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Bui Hoang Ngoc Author-X-Name-First: Bui Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Ngoc Title: Revisiting the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Vietnam: new evidence by asymmetric ARDL cointegration Abstract: Energy is an essential resource for economic development. The study employed the asymmetric ARDL cointegration approach to investigate the impact of energy consumption on economic growth for Vietnam during the period 1971-2017. The finding of the study is that the effects of electricity consumption on economic growth are asymmetric in both the short- and long-run, and the negative changes have a greater effect than the positive changes. At the same time, the impact of petroleum consumption on economic growth is asymmetric in the long-run, and the positive changes have a greater effect than the negative changes. The causality test also indicates the existence of bi-directional causality between energy consumption and economic growth, supported the Feedback hypothesis. Several policy implications are suggested from the obtained result findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 978-984 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1789543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1789543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:978-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randall W. Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Randall W. Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: Next game reaction to mispriced betting lines in college football Abstract: Although studies show the point spread is a very good predictor of actual score differences in college football, there are a number of games each season where the betting line is not close to the actual spread. This article investigates the efficiency of the college football betting market for the game following one with a large difference between betting and actual point spreads for the 2006–2018 seasons. For the entire sample, the simple rule of betting for teams that greatly beat the spread and against teams that did very poorly against the spread in the previous game wins significantly more than half the time. When the results are analysed separately for the better known BCS/Power 5 schools and the lesser known non-BCS/Power 5 schools, efficiency cannot be rejected for games involving the BCS/Power 5 teams. For games involving two non-BCS/Power 5 teams, however, following the betting rule wins against the spread 54.23% of the time, which is significantly greater than 50%. This is consistent with an information gap scenario, where new information is more efficiently incorporated for games involving better-known participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1006-1009 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1795063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1795063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1006-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marlon Ricardo Tracey Author-X-Name-First: Marlon Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Tracey Author-Name: Chanita C. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Chanita C. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Physical activity guidelines for Americans and their employment decisions Abstract: The Physical Activity Guidelines recommend Americans improve their health through sufficient aerobic exercise. Given the required energy and time commitment of the Guidelines, we consider its unintended consequence to market work in the US. Using 2011 Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) data, we find adhering to the Guidelines actually raises the chance of employment by roughly 10 percentage points, not primarily because of health but likely greater socio-emotional skills. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 985-989 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1791310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1791310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:985-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iuliana Mihai Author-X-Name-First: Iuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Mihai Author-Name: Isabel Novo-Corti Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Novo-Corti Title: A new insight into the methodology of cultural economics Abstract: In the last decades, the topic regarding the relationship between culture and economics received increased interest. Given the fact that most of the research on this topic uses historical evidence and employs qualitative and mixed research methods, the present article aims at enriching its methodology by proposing a valuable quantitative instrument: a cultural matrix based on Hofstede's cultural dimensions theory. After analysing different computing methods of cultural distance, the most appropriate one seemed to be a weighted composite method. The applicability of the composite measures of cultural distance (unweighted and weighted) was compared in a model explaining Spanish migration flows to 35 OECD countries in the period 2005–2017. The results partially confirm the findings of other studies, indicating mixed results regarding the relationship between cultural distance and migration flows. The article provides new insights by recommending the use of weighted composite measures of cultural distance in economic analyses. In addition, the article highlights the importance of drawing appropriately each cultural dimension’ weights, given that inadequate estimations of cultural dimensions’ weights can significantly alter the research results and misrepresent the reality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1010-1016 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1795064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1795064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1010-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Braymen Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Braymen Author-Name: Tirimba Obonyo Author-X-Name-First: Tirimba Author-X-Name-Last: Obonyo Author-Name: Nicholas E. Woessner Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas E. Author-X-Name-Last: Woessner Title: Dollar debt and equity returns Abstract: This article examines the relationship between US dollar-denominated debt and the correlations between the equity markets of 31 countries from 2007 to 2016. Our results indicate that the balance sheet mismatch imposed by the issuance of dollar-denominated debt by foreign firms leads to a common risk factor that extends across international boundaries. These results suggest that dollar-denominated debt should be considered in the design of internationally diversified equity portfolios alongside other factors of economic integration such as trade and foreign direct investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1021-1025 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1795066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1795066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1021-1025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Handy Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Handy Title: A rank-based measure of educational assortative mating Abstract: Measures of educational assortative mating must contend with the fact that the marginal distributions of education differ by sex and change over time. I propose a new measure of assortative mating, which is based on Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient but instead uses sex-by-birth cohort education ranks. I show that this adjusted measure is more robust than other measures to changes over time in the underlying education distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1031-1035 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1031-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anja Bauer Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Bauer Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: COVID-19: how much unemployment was caused by the shutdown in Germany? Abstract: This paper evaluates the short-term labour market impact of the COVID-19 containment measures in Germany. By assessing the treatment effect on unemployment via difference-in-difference estimation, we find that 60% of the considerably increased inflows from employment into unemployment in April 2020 were due to the shutdown measures. Disentangling further, we find that the hiring margin accounted for additional 82% of the unemployment effect coming from the separations margin. In sum, the shutdown measures increased unemployment in the short run by 117,000 persons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1058 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1789544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1789544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1053-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Greta Morando Author-X-Name-First: Greta Author-X-Name-Last: Morando Title: Peer gender and STEM specialization Abstract: This paper shows that students are less likely to specialize in mathematics when exposed to a high share of male peers. I exploit a curricular reform that incentivized students to obtain a mathematics qualification post-16. I show that, for those students affected by the reform, the higher the share of same-gender classmates, the higher the likelihood of obtaining a mathematics qualification for boys, and the lower the likelihood for girls. I interpret this as suggestive evidence that one’s perceived ability in mathematics, a boy-dominated subject, decreases when the share of male classmates increases. This further affects STEM participation in higher education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1045 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1041-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sijia Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Sijia Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: Cryptocurrencies in portfolios: return–liquidity trade-off around China forbidding initial coin offerings Abstract: We examine diversification when cryptocurrencies are included in investment portfolios, around China prohibiting initial coin offerings on 4 September 2017. We discover, once we account for liquidity, that all portfolio diversification benefits of cryptocurrencies are eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1036-1040 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1036-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: João Manuel Pereira Author-X-Name-First: João Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Did wage inequality increase in Portugal? Yes, and for good reasons Abstract: As in Anglo-Saxon countries, wage inequality increased in Portugal from the beginning of the 1980s to the end of the 2000s. Using data from a matched employer-employee data set and reweighting methods, we show that the increased wage inequality in Portugal is fundamentally explained by compositional changes in the employment structure related to the modernization of the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-977 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1789057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1789057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:973-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Multivariate asymmetric loss functions of the European Central Bank Abstract: This study investigates asymmetric loss functions in the forecasts of real output growth and inflation published by the European Central Bank (ECB). In contrast to previous studies that examined each variable independently, this study evaluates the ECB forecasts in a multivariate framework, which accommodates the interaction of forecast errors of different forecast variables. The empirical results indicate that ECB is likely to produce under-predicted real output growth and over-predicted inflation forecasts for the current year. For the next-year forecast, ECB produces unbiased inflation forecast by applying multivariate framework, while the forecast of real output growth is over-predicted. Those forecasts are rational under multivariate asymmetric loss functions. Our results suggest that ECB attempts to maintain its credibility by providing unbiased inflation forecasts, and thus, puts first priority on price stabilization for medium term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1026-1030 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1795067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1795067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1026-1030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ceyhun Elgin Author-X-Name-First: Ceyhun Author-X-Name-Last: Elgin Author-Name: Adem Yavuz Elveren Author-X-Name-First: Adem Yavuz Author-X-Name-Last: Elveren Author-Name: Joseph Bourgeois Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Bourgeois Title: Informality, Inequality and Profit Rate Abstract: Using two novel datasets of the size of the informal economy and income inequality, this study examines the effect of informality on income and wage inequality with special attention to the rates of profit. Covering 86 countries for 1960–2016, the study shows that informality and the rates of profit are positively associated with income inequality; however, the positive impact of profit rate on income inequality decreases as the size of informal economy increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1020 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1795065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1795065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1017-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xue Ni Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xue Ni Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Guo Cheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Guo Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does the market accept the perpetual bonds issued by commercial banks? Evidence from China Abstract: Despite the prevalence of the research on the issuance of perpetual bonds by non-financial enterprises, Chinese commercial banks only started using perpetual bonds for financing in 2019. Taking the first bank perpetual bond issued by the Bank of China (BOC) as an example, this study analyzes the economic consequences of commercial banks issuing perpetual bond financing using the event study method. Specifically, it analyzes the change in the excess return rate before and after the event and impact of the information disclosure behaviour of BOC’s perpetual bond financing on stock prices to determine the capital market reaction before and after the issue. The issuance of perpetual bonds had a short-term negative effect on stock prices but, overall, investors hold a positive attitude towards the perpetual bonds issued by the BOC, which may be related to the choice of market time for the issuance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 990-994 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1791311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1791311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:990-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Pita Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Pita Author-Name: Ramón José Torregrosa Author-X-Name-First: Ramón José Author-X-Name-Last: Torregrosa Title: The gender-job satisfaction paradox through time and countries Abstract: Much has been written about the so-called gender-job satisfaction paradox, derived from the fact that a significant number of empirical studies found that women reported higher levels of job satisfaction than their male counterparts, although they had what were considered ‘worse’ jobs in terms of pay and other nonmonetary working conditions. In this article, we use a procedure to compare the relative performance of groups when their achievements are described by distributions of outcomes over an ordered set of categories, the Balanced Worth Vector (BWV), to analyse whether women consistently report to be more satisfied at work than men in different periods of time and countries. The BWV offers a cardinal, complete and transitive evaluation that is based in the likelihood of getting better results. In our setting, the BWV methodology provides a complete ranking of the countries covered by the European Working Conditions Survey according to the relative levels of job satisfaction with working conditions that women and men in each country report. Our results indicate a decreasing gender differential over time and substantial differences across countries, proving that the gender-gap paradox cannot be considered a widespread phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1000-1005 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1792402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1792402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:1000-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiang Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianghui Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xianghui Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Jin Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Hailun Xu Author-X-Name-First: Hailun Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Algorithms comparison on intraday index return prediction:evidence from China Abstract: We introduce the fading memory recursive least squares (FM-RLS) and rolling window ordinary least squares (RW-OLS) methods to predict CSI 300 intraday index return in Chinese stock market. Empirical results show that the performances are better than that of same sign method. The additional profit is mainly from two conflict signals, with one amplitude far greater than the other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-999 Issue: 12 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1791793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1791793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:12:p:995-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Przemyslaw Brandt Author-X-Name-First: Przemyslaw Author-X-Name-Last: Brandt Author-Name: Katrin Demmelhuber Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Demmelhuber Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: The effect of dispatch methods on a recruiting campaign for a business survey: evidence from Germany Abstract: The ifo Institute for Economic Research has been conducting the ifo business survey since its foundation in 1949. To ensure stability of participation rates, regular sample recruitment is indispensable. Does the dispatch method matter for response rates of a recruiting campaign? To answer this question, we conducted a controlled experiment involving invitation letters sent out to over 8,000 German industrial firms in May 2019. Our results show that standard mailing significantly increases the response rate compared to ‘Dialogpost’ (bulk mail). From a cost perspective, costs for standard mailing outweigh this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1144 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1141-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuangjin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shuangjin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Xiaowei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaowei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Maggie Foley Author-X-Name-First: Maggie Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Title: Housing prices and urban land use efficiency Abstract: This study explores the impact of housing prices on urban land use efficiency based on data collected from 30 municipalities and provincial capitals in China over the 2007–2017 period. The empirical results show that there is a significantly negative association between the average housing price and urban land use efficiency. Furthermore, we find the weakest association when average housing prices lie in the range of 6,100 Yuan/m2 and 14,600 Yuan/m2. When housing prices fall outside this range, the impact of higher housing prices on land efficiency tends to be positive. One potential explanation for this phenomenon is that local governments are shortsighted in their focus on short run revenue generated from land expansion rather than on improving sustainable land management. Moreover, more limited housing price inflation promotes urban land use efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Lv Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Zhi-Xin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Low rates, zero lower bound and monetary policy black hole Abstract: This article provides an analytical characterization of the effects of supply shocks and demand shocks on the economy of long-term zero lower bound. We consider a tractable New Keynesian model with price stickiness and show that supply shocks will make the economy more tightening while demand shocks will make the economy more expansionary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1114-1120 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1114-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Xin Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Qiang Ji Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Movements in real estate uncertainty in the United States: the role of oil shocks Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the role played by disaggregated oil shocks in driving real estate uncertainty (REU) over the monthly period of 1975:02 to 2017:12, based on impulse response functions generated from the local projection method. We find that the oil-specific consumption demand shock is statistically the strongest predictor of higher future REU, followed by the significant negative impact from the aggregate supply shock, especially for long-run REU. While the oil inventory demand shock has a short-lived positive impact on REU, global economic activity shock virtually plays no role in driving the same. Our results have important implications for policymakers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1065 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1059-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaping He Author-X-Name-First: Yaping Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Kangning Xu Author-X-Name-First: Kangning Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Export bias related to its long-run equilibrium in China Abstract: This article investigated export bias related to its long-run equilibrium. By using the autoregressive distributed lag method, a dynamic econometric model was built to isolate export bias from its equilibrium. Using China’s dataset for 1982–2018, we found that export size deviated from its equilibrium level, and export bias accounted for a share of −22% to 35% of the equilibrium. Moreover, the results also confirmed that export size was cointegrated with the main explanatory variables, and export bias tended to fade in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1130-1136 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1130-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mateusz Tomal Author-X-Name-First: Mateusz Author-X-Name-Last: Tomal Title: Analysing the coupling coordination degree of socio-economic-infrastructural development and its obstacles: the case study of Polish rural municipalities Abstract: This study examines the coordination level of socio-economic-infrastructural development and its obstacles in Polish rural municipalities. The research indicates that almost 90% of units are characterized by slightly unbalanced development. The main obstacles to local development in terms of social, economic and infrastructural aspects are low population density, the small number of large economic entities and the limited degree to which the municipalities are equipped with a gas network, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1098-1103 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1798341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1798341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1098-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David C. Kingsley Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kingsley Author-Name: Michael Ciuchta Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ciuchta Title: Self-serving bias across strategic and non-strategic dictator games with production Abstract: This paper investigates behaviour across strategic and non-strategic dictator games with a preceding production phase. In both treatments subjects remain paired and play a trust game immediately following the dictator game. In the strategic condition subjects are informed about the subsequent trust game, while in the non-strategic condition they are not. Dictators in our non-strategic condition display a self-serving bias. On the other hand, dictators in our strategic condition are more generous and display no self-serving bias. Despite the increased generosity, transfers and earnings in the trust game are lower in the strategic condition. Results suggest that generosity, perceived as having a strategic motivation, can undermine trust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1082-1086 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1798338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1798338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1082-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krzysztof Beck Author-X-Name-First: Krzysztof Author-X-Name-Last: Beck Title: Migration and business cycles: testing the OCA theory predictions in the European union Abstract: The labour mobility is one of the main criteria of the optimum currency areas theory, that formed a basis for the business cycle synchronization research in the last 20 years. However, the link between migration and business cycle comovement has not been established previously due to the lack of data. Using the newly available database on bilateral migration flows, this article fills the gap in the existing literature. The results from the Bayesian model averaging of dynamic panels with weakly exogenous regressors show the existence of a strong link between bilateral migration and business cycle comovement. These results are in line with the predictions of the optimum currency areas theory. Moreover, the relative importance of migration flows is higher than others well-established determinants of business cycle synchronization. Consequently, the results show that the European Union is moving closer to becoming an optimum currency area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1091 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1798339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1798339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1087-1091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weicheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Weicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Wenjing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Wenjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Selling and buying rural lands after land titling? ——What factors lead to Chinese farmers’ wrong cognition Abstract: The article finds that a plenty of Chinese farmers hope to sell and buy rural lands freely after rural land titling, which does not accord with the current land policy and property rights law. The empirical model suggests that the individual’s view on land ownership, the situation of holding a land contract certificate, personal age, and health condition may lead to this wrong cognition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1137-1140 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1137-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhicheng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Tianshi Sun Author-X-Name-First: Tianshi Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: The Siphon effects of transportation infrastructure on internal migration: evidence from China’s HSR network Abstract: This paper examines the impact of China’s High-Speed-Railway on internal migration. By exploiting the yearly variation in the city-pair connection, difference-in-differences estimation shows that HSR connection significantly promotes intercity migration. Furthermore, large cities have a huge siphon effect on small cities in terms of internal immigration after the HSR connection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1066-1070 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1066-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajarshi Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Rajarshi Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Md. Thasinul Abedin Author-X-Name-First: Md. Thasinul Author-X-Name-Last: Abedin Title: Population ageing and FDI inflows in OECD countries: a dynamic panel cointegration analysis Abstract: Although population ageing has been of major socio-economic concern in industrialized economies, hardly any attempt has been made to study the direct effects of a declining population on FDI inflows in OECD countries based on panel cointegration analysis. We investigate the short-run and long-run effects of population ageing on net FDI inflows (% of GDP) for 22 OECD countries over the period 1980–2017. The short-run effects are statistically insignificant; however, a significantly positive association between population ageing and net FDI inflows (% of GDP) is observed in the long-run. The results are robust across the two different measures of population ageing. The important policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1075 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1796914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1796914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1071-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shichao Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shichao Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shancun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shancun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qingduo Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingduo Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Zhigang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhigang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Following behaviour and predatory trading Abstract: We model the strategic interaction between the large investor and follower to explore the rationale of following behaviour and predatory trading. It is shown that the large investor behaves like a predator, and can prey on the follower with superior information. In addition, our study concludes that market liquidity and the informativeness of prices both increase with the precision of follower’s order signal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1129 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1125-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alper Kara Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Kara Author-Name: Nodirbek Karimov Author-X-Name-First: Nodirbek Author-X-Name-Last: Karimov Author-Name: Anh Phuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Anh Phuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Brexit referendum and the UK securitization market Abstract: We examined the perceived risk of Brexit referendum (BR) in the United Kingdom (UK) securitization market, using 1,021 securitized bonds issued between 2011 and 2018. We find an unexpected negative relationship between the BR outcome and the initial yield spreads of asset-backed securities (ABS), even after accounting for the downward-adjusted credit ratings in the post-BR period. We do not observe this effect on mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Our findings imply that investors diversified into ABS bonds under uncertainty in the post-BR period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1092-1097 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1798340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1798340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1092-1097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natércia Fortuna Author-X-Name-First: Natércia Author-X-Name-Last: Fortuna Author-Name: António Neto Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Neto Title: The impact of labour market institutions on income inequality: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: Using data from 35 OECD countries for the 1993–2017 period, this paper shows that stronger Labour Market Institutions (LMI), such as trade unions and bargaining coverage, contribute to a decrease in income inequality measured by the Gini coefficient. Additionally, there seems to be a positive interaction effect between unions and bargaining coverage. The marginal impact of trade unions (bargaining coverage) is enhanced by the presence of high levels of bargaining coverage (trade unions). Notwithstanding, this impact seems to be higher for bargaining coverage. On average, an increase in unions’ density (bargaining coverage) by 1% leads to an estimated decrease in inequality by 0.30% (0.35%), ceteris paribus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1110-1113 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1110-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pejman Bahramian Author-X-Name-First: Pejman Author-X-Name-Last: Bahramian Author-Name: Andisheh Saliminezhad Author-X-Name-First: Andisheh Author-X-Name-Last: Saliminezhad Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity in the ASEAN-5 countries: evidence from the Fourier quantile unit root test Abstract: This study examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) through the Fourier quantile unit root test for a sample of ASEAN-5 countries. Using the aforementioned test, we can model structural breaks as a gradual and smooth process. The application of the conventional unit root tests provides conflicting results in support of the PPP hypothesis. However, the results of the Fourier quantile unit root test indicate that the real effective exchange rate series are stationary for Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1104-1109 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1104-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid NoghaniBehambari Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: NoghaniBehambari Author-Name: Bitran Maden Author-X-Name-First: Bitran Author-X-Name-Last: Maden Title: Unemployment insurance generosity and crime Abstract: Previous studies show that unemployment has a positive effect on crime rates; however, unemployment insurance (UI) benefits could mitigate these effects. Using county-level unemployment and crime data and taking advantage of the UI law changes across states and over time (1990–2016), we provide new evidence that the UI benefits act as a buffer against local labour market shocks. A one-standard-deviation increase in benefits is associated with 2.4% and 1.9% lower property and violent crime rates for a county at average unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1076-1081 Issue: 13 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1798337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1798337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:13:p:1076-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jincai Li Author-X-Name-First: Jincai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Huijuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Robin Hood or not: IPO overfunding and trade credit Abstract: This article studies the role of initial public offering (IPO) overfunding in the reallocation of resources from the view of trade credit. The results show that, in general, the degree of liquidity supplement from IPO overfunding is positively correlated with the trade credit provision. Trade credit acts as Robin Hood to help the reallocation of direct financing resources. In addition, this effect is more pronounced for companies with strong product-market power, or when economic uncertainty policy is higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1152-1156 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1152-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Title: Impacts of COVID-related capacity constraints on theme park attendance: evidence from Magic Kingdom wait times Abstract: This paper examines the impacts of COVID-related capacity constraints on attendance at the Magic Kingdom theme park. Results – based on analysis of about 325,000 attraction wait times recorded between 2014 and 2020 – show that operating at 25% of the park’s capacity would lead to a 54.1-percent reduction in estimated annual attendance, whereas a constraint of 50-percent capacity would lower annual attendance by 10.6%. COVID-related capacity constraints will likely decrease the revenue generated by theme parks and reduce visitation in regions where major theme parks are located. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1222-1225 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1804047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1804047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1222-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Halit Yanikkaya Author-X-Name-First: Halit Author-X-Name-Last: Yanikkaya Author-Name: Hasan Karaboga Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Karaboga Author-Name: Abdullah Altun Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Altun Title: Implications of participation in global value chains for international trade network Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between participations of countries in Global Value Chains (GVCs) and their positions in the International Trade Network (ITN). Our estimates indicate that there is a strong relationship between the GVC participation and the network position of a country. We find that forward participation is associated with more clustered but fewer trade links, whereas backward participation is associated with less clustered but more trade links. We then interpret these results by expressing the background of value chains, and this provides us a clear understanding for the nexus between GVCs and ITN. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1169-1173 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1169-1173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Chen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Wen-Shuenn Deng Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Shuenn Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: Does the Feldstein–Horioka relationship vary with economic policy uncertainty? Abstract: This research addresses the omitted-uncertainty bias and functional form misspecification problem when estimating the saving-investment relationship. We apply a semiparametric varying-coefficient cointegration approach to test for the presence of an ‘uncertainty-varying’ cointegrating relationship between savings and investment. Based on quarterly time series data for the U.S. from 1947Q1 to 2014Q4, we find that the saving-retention coefficient is a U-shaped function of economic policy uncertainty. This indicates that domestic investment is more constraint by domestic savings at very high and very low levels of uncertainty. Given the continued rise in economic policy uncertainty, our estimate predicts that domestic investment will become more constrained by domestic savings. Further sub-period analysis shows that the null hypothesis of the presence of an uncertainty-varying cointegrating relationship between savings and investment cannot be rejected in the recent sub-period of 1999Q1-2014Q4, suggesting that the U.S current account is sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1194 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1804043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1804043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1187-1194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arik Levinson Author-X-Name-First: Arik Author-X-Name-Last: Levinson Title: America’s regressive wealth tax: state and local property taxes Abstract: Most taxes in the United States are levied on income flows, not capital stocks. One notable exception is state and local property taxes. This note documents their magnitude and regressivity. Property taxes account for more than 30% of state and local tax revenue, and amount to an effective wealth tax rate of 0.86% on the assets of the median US homeowner. The effective property-wealth tax rates are highest for younger, lower-income homeowners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1238 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1807458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1807458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1234-1238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bo Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Qi Cui Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Title: Does the pilot free trade zone policy attract the entering of foreign-invested enterprises? The evidence from China Abstract: As an essential policy experiment initiated by the Chinese government, the pilot free trade zone (FTZ) policy aims to attract foreign investment and accelerate China’s economic growth. However, its full effects on the entering of foreign-investment enterprises are still inadequately understood. This article, employing the panel data of China’s prefecture-level cities from 2009 to 2017, empirically examines the effects of the pilot FTZs on attracting the entering of foreign-invested enterprises with a difference-in-difference (DID) regression. With a parallel trend test, the results disclose that the pilot FTZs can significantly attract the entering of foreign-invested enterprises. The yearly number of newly-registered foreign-invested enterprises can increase by over 90% if the city enforces the pilot FTZ policy. Besides, the heterogeneous effects of pilot FTZs are analysed, unveiling that the cities with implementation of the Special Economic Zone policy in earlier years would have much larger effects. In particular, the recently established pilot FTZs appear to have insignificant effects on attracting the entering of foreign-invested enterprises, probably due to the time-lag effects on the implementation of the FTZ policy and the progressive perfecting of supportive policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1162-1168 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1162-1168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Jian Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hanyuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Exporting and electricity consumption: new microeconomic evidence from manufacturing firms in China Abstract: We investigate the relationship between firm exporting and energy consumption using newly matched manufacturing data from China. We reconfirm that exporting is negatively correlated with electricity consumption. Moreover, we document novel evidence that foreign exporters consume more electricity than domestic exporters, which supports the pollution haven hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1226-1233 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1805098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1805098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1226-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai-Yun Ren Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Ching-Chi Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Gen-Fu Feng Author-X-Name-First: Gen-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Jing Jia Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Author-Name: Wei-Che Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Che Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: The impacts of internal capital allocation efficiency on R&D investments: evidence from China Abstract: This research utilizes hand-collected data on business groups’ pyramidal equity structure to examine the impacts of internal capital markets on research and development (R&D) investments in China. Empirical findings show that the allocation efficiency of the internal capital market positively correlates with R&D investments. We further provide evidence of a U-shape relationship between pyramidal layers and R&D investments for state-owned business groups. For non-state-owned business groups, however, there is an opposite impact pattern on the relation between internal capital markets and R&D investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1201 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1804044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1804044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1195-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suraj Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Suraj Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Krishna Prasanna Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Prasanna Title: Liquidity commonality on National Stock Exchange: size and sector effect Abstract: This study investigates the sources of liquidity commonality in an emerging Asian market. Specifically, the demand side and supply side factors were tested in an order-driven Indian stock market. The results indicate that growth in the industrial production and bank credit reflecting the supply side variables are found to have significant influence on liquidity commonality. However, compare to the supply side, demand side factors reflecting the trading behaviour of domestic and foreign institutional investors exhibited higher influence. Study has further extended the literature by investigating the size and sectorial effects and found heterogeneous impact on commonality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1208-1221 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1804046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1804046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1208-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Hua Cao Author-X-Name-First: Kang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Qiqi Li Author-X-Name-First: Qiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Keung Woo Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Title: Covid-19’s adverse effects on a stock market index Abstract: We perform a panel data analysis of 14 daily stock market indices during 01/21/2020 – 06/30/2020 to document a stock market index’s negative responsiveness to Covid-19’s spread variations. We find that a stock market index’s elasticity estimate is −0.028 (p-value <0.01) for local cumulative confirmed cases. As a stock market index tends to move with Covid-19’s local and non-local spreads, international efforts of containment are expected to pare stock market losses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1161 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1157-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarle Aarstad Author-X-Name-First: Jarle Author-X-Name-Last: Aarstad Author-Name: Olav Andreas Kvitastein Author-X-Name-First: Olav Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kvitastein Title: An unexpected external shock and enterprises’ innovation performance Abstract: Previous research has shown that competition can affect innovation, but we do not know if an unexpected external economic shock, as it decreases demand that increases competition, also affects innovation. Responding to this knowledge gap, we study Norwegian enterprises before and after the sudden and unexpected price decline of crude oil by the midyear of 2014. In some regions, due to their dependency on the petroleum sector, it strongly affected enterprises operating across many industries, while other regions were practically unaffected. Among enterprises that were innovative before the decline, we find a borderline significant inverted U-relationship between regional oil dependency before the decline and enterprises’ product innovation performance after the decline. Among enterprises that were not innovative before the decline, we find a robust significant positive linear relationship. The results can be a function of increased competition but particularly concerning the latter finding also better access to resources released in affected regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1245-1248 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1814942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1814942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1245-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radoslav Delina Author-X-Name-First: Radoslav Author-X-Name-Last: Delina Author-Name: Renata Olejarova Author-X-Name-First: Renata Author-X-Name-Last: Olejarova Title: Evidence-based analysis: the success factors of a new competitor entering the negotiation in B2B e-procurement Abstract: The paper is providing a unique insight into the increased B2B competition answering the question what are the predictors of the new competitor´s success, using empirical research on large comprehensive real procurement data set, validating and enhancing the qualitative research within the mentioned studies. The research based on the logistic regression and CHAID decision tree showed the following outcomes: (1) competition environment with a successful new competitor does not generate higher competitive pressure and does not bring significant additional savings against the competition with an unsuccessful new competitor; (2) the most crucial factors determining the winning of the new competitor are the number of new competitors with its ratio and transparency of competition. This model reveals the importance of transparency in a competition where a higher transparent environment pushes frequent competitors to more intensive competition leading to their higher success rate. Low transparency in the competition within the B2B supply chain reduces the competitive behaviour of frequent competitors leading to a higher success rate of a new competitor to win the contract. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1239-1244 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1239-1244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo J. Maldonado Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Maldonado Title: Decomposing the gender pay gap in the formal sector in Venezuela: a microdata analysis 1985–2015 Abstract: This note explores the presence of a gender pay gap in Venezuela. Using household surveys between 1985 and 2015, I test for gender disparity on wages in the formal sector. Firstly, I use a dummy variable technique in Ordinary Least Squares regression and quantile regressions. Secondly, I apply a two-fold decomposition approach following Blinder-Oaxaca, Cotton, and pooled model assumptions. Finally, I decompose the differences in distribution using quantile regressions. The main finding suggests a significant gender pay gap. On average, women earn about 21% less than men, and this inequality is more evident in 2015 for low quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1151 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1784830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1784830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1145-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prasenjit Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Prasenjit Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Title: Co-movement of volatility risk premium: evidence from single stock options market in India Abstract: This study investigates the existence of commonality of volatility risk premium in the index and individual stock options. Using data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) India, the study finds that the commonality relationship is both economically and statistically significant. The commonality relationship is robust, even after including the market-specific and stock-specific factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1181-1186 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1181-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bikramaditya Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Bikramaditya Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Dimitris Kenourgios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kenourgios Author-Name: Antony Francis Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Author-Name: Suman Bhattacharyya Author-X-Name-First: Suman Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharyya Title: How well the log periodic power law works in an emerging stock market? Abstract: A growing body of research work on Log Periodic Power Law (LPPL) tries to predict market bubbles and crashes. Mostly, the fitment parameters remain confined within certain specific ranges. This paper examines these claims and the robustness of the reformulated LPPL model of Filimonov & Sornette (2013) for capturing large falls in the S&P BSE Sensex, an Indian heavyweight index over the period 2000–2019. Thirty-five mid to large-sized crashes are identified during this period, forming a clear LPPL signature. This confirms the possibility to predict the embedded risk of future uncertain events in the Indian stock market with the LPPL approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1174-1180 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1803484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1803484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1174-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kunal Saha Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Vinodh Madhavan Author-X-Name-First: Vinodh Author-X-Name-Last: Madhavan Author-Name: G. R. Chandrashekhar Author-X-Name-First: G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chandrashekhar Title: Relative efficiency of equity ETFs: an adaptive market hypothesis perspective Abstract: In light of the growing prominence of passive investment schemes in general and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in particular, this study examines the relative efficiency of domestic equity index ETFs across the globe from an Adaptive Market Hypothesis perspective. To be specific, we examine the relative efficiency of equity ETFs pertaining to Australia, Canada, China, Eurozone, France, Germany, India, Japan, UK and USA. We do so by employing rolling estimations of inherent long memory in these financial time series. Our findings indicate the presence of episodic long memory or anti-persistence in the first and second moments of these ETFs and their underlying indices. Put differently, the efficiency of ETFs and their underlying indices were found to be dynamic in nature. While our findings lend credence to Adaptive Market Hypothesis, they also (a) pinpoint the need for policy prescriptions geared towards diversifying investor base, and (b) call into question the past assertions that markets are becoming more efficient over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1202-1207 Issue: 14 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1804045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1804045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:14:p:1202-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: An analysis of the mission drift in microfinance Abstract: With the expansion in the microfinance industry and an increase in the number of microfinance institutions (MFIs), there is some apprehension that MFIs may be deviating from their mission of catering to the poor, in an effort to augment their profitability. This mission drift would typically manifest in a reduction in allocation of credit to the poor (depth of outreach) and to women. Using a sample of 1591 MFIs over a sixteen-year period, this study shows empirical evidence of a general increase in depth of outreach and no reduction in outreach to women over time, refuting claims of mission drift. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1310-1316 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1310-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Testing for bias in forecasts for independent binary outcomes Abstract: This letter deals with a test on forecast bias in predicting independent binary outcomes, where the outcomes are either 1 or 0, and the predictions are probabilities. The test concerns two parameter restrictions in a simple logit model. Size-corrected power experiments show remarkable power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1336-1338 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1838429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1838429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1336-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Murray Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: Millennials and the alcohol industry: expenditure variations among generations Abstract: This paper explores the relationship age cohorts, or generations, have had with regards to alcohol expenditure over time. Articles from popular publications claim Millennials are ‘killing’ the alcohol industry due to their lack of consumption, but provide little empirical analysis of any academic rigour to make such claims. These claims do matter, as they have implications for the alcohol industry itself as well as investors and policymakers. This paper uses four cross-sectional decadal datasets spanning from 1986 to 2016 from the Bureau of Labour Statistics Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey (CEX) to determine the validity of these claims, while controlling for factors such as income, expenditures, and demographics. The question being explored is, ceteris paribus, does the Millennial generational expenditure on alcohol differ from previous generations? Left-censored Tobit I models indicate that Millennials spend more on alcohol than previous generations, contradicting the claims of these articles. Following the regression analysis is a discussion of the results and their implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1282 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1277-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huwei Wen Author-X-Name-First: Huwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Yinghao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yinghao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Kuashi Zou Author-X-Name-First: Kuashi Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Impact of industry association on the innovation of small and micro enterprises Abstract: Employing OLS, GIVE and propensity score-matching (PSM) methods, this study investigates the impact of industry association on the innovation of small and micro enterprises. Using a survey of China micro and small enterprises (CMES), we find that industry association significantly and positively affects the innovative behaviour of small and micro enterprises, and political connection can enhance the innovative effect of industry association. Enterprises with specific advantages and entrepreneurs with strong innovation awareness and high human capital are likely to be an industry association member. Despite certain discriminations for micro firms, industry association welcomes innovative entrepreneurs and promotes the innovation of its members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1259-1263 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1259-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yassine Bakkar Author-X-Name-First: Yassine Author-X-Name-Last: Bakkar Author-Name: Rachatar Nilavongse Author-X-Name-First: Rachatar Author-X-Name-Last: Nilavongse Author-Name: Anup Kumar Saha Author-X-Name-First: Anup Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Title: Spillovers of the US real and financial uncertainty on the Euro area Abstract: We study the spillovers of US real uncertainty and financial uncertainty shocks on Euro area economic activity in an SVAR framework. We find that a rise in US real or financial uncertainty triggers a decline in industrial production and an increase in credit spreads in the Euro area. The adverse effects of financial uncertainty shocks on Euro area industrial production are larger than those stemming from real uncertainty shocks (−0.8% versus −0.4%) due to a larger extent of financial friction. The contribution of US financial uncertainty shocks, vis-à-vis US real uncertainty shocks, to the Euro area is quantitatively more important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1258 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1249-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongkil Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Yongkil Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: The default and liquidity premia of corporate bonds: evidence from the trade reporting and compliance engine Abstract: This study combines information in the Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine (TRACE), the most extensive bond database, with other fixed income data sets in order to quantify the default and liquidity premia in a reduced form framework at the bond level. The results show that the default premium is two to three times as large as the liquidity premium, and the liquidity term structure is not decreasing in the time to maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1276 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1271-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahd Boundi Chraki Author-X-Name-First: Fahd Author-X-Name-Last: Boundi Chraki Title: Testing the relationship between real effective exchange rate and absolute cost advantage. A dynamic panel GMM analysis from NAFTA Abstract: This research aims to test the nexus between real effective exchange rates and absolute cost advantage for the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between 1995 and 2014. By using the dynamic panel generalized method of moments (GMM), the findings show that the manufacturing sectors’ competitiveness is positively associated with the decrease in unit production costs and negatively related to the increase in the intrasectoral profitability gap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1332-1335 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1814941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1814941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1332-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jing Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Has recent economic growth/recession in Brazil been pro-poor? Abstract: This paper evaluates whether recent economic growth/recession in Brazil was pro-poor during the period of 2006–2016 and compares the boom and recession periods. The results show that in boom periods, the growth in Brazil is pro-poor but not pro-ultrapoor. While the recession is anti-poor especially anti-ultrapoor and such worsened inequality dominates the increasing trend of poverty in Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1317-1320 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813241 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1317-1320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Joseph Kelley Author-X-Name-First: Edward Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kelley Title: Buying the hype? Assessing the impact of top-drafted rookies on spectator attendance in the NBA Abstract: Recent sports economics literature has focused on ‘superstar effects,’ or the independent impact of certain exceptional players on fan attendance at live events. This paper investigates the effect of top-drafted rookies on game attendance in the National Basketball Association from the 2012–13 through 2018–19 seasons. Hypothesizing that the nature of modern basketball could lend unique popularity to top draft picks during their rookie seasons, I find that the presence of top-ten draftees on both home and visiting teams is associated with average increases between 150 and 190 spectators per game throughout the second half of their rookie seasons. These marginal effects are statistically indistinguishable from the impact of an additional All-Star player on the visiting team. Unlike previous work, the censored regression model used in this paper accounts for teams’ use of standing room to generate attendance beyond their listed arena capacities, a relevant consideration in over a quarter of the 8,594-game sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1306-1309 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1809628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1809628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1306-1309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingyong Hong Author-X-Name-First: Mingyong Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Wenjie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wenjie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Industrial structure upgrading, urbanization and urban-rural income disparity: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the influence of industrial structure upgrading in China on urban-rural income disparity. Using panel data from 30 provinces with the empirical analysis methodology, we find that, during 2013 and 2018, industrial structure upgrading in China plays a significantly positive role in narrowing urban-rural income disparity. By the mechanism analysis, we find that urbanization rate is an intermediary variable which affects this causation. Further, urbanization in industrial structure upgrading for the influence of narrowing rural-urban income disparity existing in threshold effects, and threshold levels present a regional difference. Using the urban-rural consumption gap as the proxy variable of income gap, the result is still stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1321-1326 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1321-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Inflation expectations, volatility and Covid-19: evidence from the US inflation swap rates Abstract: The goal of this work is to explore the role of the Covid-19 pandemic event in the course of inflation expectations and their volatility through US inflation swap rates. The findings document that inflation expectations and their volatility are positively affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. These results have real activity implications, while close monitoring of inflation expectations could signal inflation expectations un-anchoring risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1331 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813245 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1327-1331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucas Marc Fuhrer Author-X-Name-First: Lucas Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Fuhrer Author-Name: Thomas Nitschka Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Nitschka Author-Name: Dan Wunderli Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Wunderli Title: Central bank reserves and bank lending spreads Abstract: Since the financial crisis, central bank reserves in the financial system have increased considerably and nowadays represent a significant part of banks’ total assets. We provide empirical evidence that an increase in reserves lowers banks’ lending spreads, i.e. interest rates relative to maturity-matched risk-free rates. Consequently, our analysis shows that central banks can affect bank lending conditions not only by changing the policy rate but also via the quantity of reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1305 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1809627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1809627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1301-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis W. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Dennis W. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Liqun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Liqun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Andrew J. Rettenmaier Author-X-Name-First: Andrew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Rettenmaier Title: Coronavirus economics: the impact of shutting down meatpacking plants Abstract: Motivated by the observed beef and livestock market impacts of coronavirus-caused meatpacking plant shutdowns, this paper constructs a theoretical model to study the effects of closures among downstream producers on both consumers and upstream producers. It analyzes the pre-shock long-run equilibrium, the effects of firm shutdowns among the downstream producers, the effects of government subsidies, and the new long-run equilibrium if the underlying cause for firm shutdowns persists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1264-1270 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1264-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The role of fiscal policy in the link between income inequality and banking crises Abstract: This paper explores the link between income inequality and banking crises, when inequality is affected by fiscal policy. Using a two-stage probit least squares method and a panel of 21 countries, spanning the period 1971–2017, the findings indicate that inequality impacts the probability of banking crises through budget deficits, followed by government expenses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1283-1287 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1283-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terrie Louise Walmsley Author-X-Name-First: Terrie Louise Author-X-Name-Last: Walmsley Author-Name: Adam Rose Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Rose Author-Name: Dan Wei Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Impacts on the U.S. macroeconomy of mandatory business closures in response to the COVID-19 Pandemic Abstract: We estimate the macroeconomic impacts of mandatory business closures in the U.S. and many other countries in order to control the spread of the COVID-19. The analysis is based on the application of a modified version of the GTAP model. We simulate mandatory closures in all countries or parts of countries that had imposed them as of 7 April for three-month and six-month cases. For the three-month scenario, we estimate a 20.3% decline of U.S. GDP on an annual basis, or $4.3 trillion. The employment decline of 22.4% in the U.S. for the three-month closure represents 35.2 million workers for that period. If the mandatory closures are extended to six months because of a second wave, these negative impacts would slightly more than double. The employment impacts are slightly greater in percentage terms than the GDP impacts because most service sectors, which are generally more labour-intensive, are more negatively impacted by the closures than are ‘essential’ sectors. Our results should be considered upper-bound estimates given such assumptions as businesses laying off workers no longer paying them wages or salaries. Note also that the article examines the mandatory closures alone and does not factor in any countervailing fiscal or monetary policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1300 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1809626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1809626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1293-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Silva Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Unpaid internships and equality of opportunity: a pseudo-panel analysis of UN data Abstract: One of the most pressing arguments against unpaid internships is that they impose a barrier to upward economic mobility. Intern experience leads to better employment outcomes, yet only individuals from relatively advantaged backgrounds can afford an unpaid stint of 3 to 6 months, resulting in unequal access for individuals of more modest means. This could be particularly relevant in an international organization context, where individuals from a broad spectrum of nationalities are employed. Using a unique intern dataset, I test this hypothesis in a pseudo-panel linear probability model of paid versus unpaid internships, conditional on two proxies for equality of opportunity: parents education and developing country origin. I find that having more highly educated parents leads to a 30% higher chance of taking an unpaid internship, confirming the unequal access hypothesis; however, more surprisingly, I find that individuals from developing countries are much more likely to take an unpaid internship (75% higher) than their developed country counterparts. These results are robust to several different specifications, yet contradict cross-section OLS estimates, suggesting that the influence of unobserved time-invariant heterogeneity is substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1288-1292 Issue: 15 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:15:p:1288-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wongi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wongi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yeo Joon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Yeo Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Trump tariffs and firm relief: winners and losers from the steel tariff exclusion request Abstract: The Trump administration introduced 25% tariffs on steel imports in March 2018. To minimize the adverse effects of these tariffs on downstream US producers who import steel products, the administration simultaneously introduced exclusion requests for tariff exemptions. In this paper, we investigate whether companies from states where Trump won the 2016 presidential election were more likely to receive tariff exemptions than were firms that applied for exemptions in non-Trump states. Our estimation result suggests that firms located in Trump states were more likely to be granted exemptions. In addition, firms with lower sales-to-employment ratios, a signal of lower efficiency, were more likely to have exclusion requests approved if they were from states where Trump won the election. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1357-1362 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1817301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1817301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1357-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: The predictive power of ECB’s interval forecasts over point forecasts Abstract: This study examines interval forecasts released by the European Central Bank (ECB). To investigate whether these projections provide additional information over midpoint forecasts, we use a regression approach considering the interval nature of projections. The spread of a 3-month-ahead inflation forecast of the ECB has additional information for over midpoint forecasts while that of longer-term forecasts had no additional information. This indicates that the spread of a 3-month-ahead inflation forecast is a good indicator of uncertainty. Moreover, our finding suggests that the spread of a 3-month-ahead inflation forecast complements other measures of uncertainty that are often associated with declines in economic activity for longer term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1413-1418 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1413-1418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gihyun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Gihyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Financing Decision of High-tech SMEs in Korea: A Revisitation to Pecking Order Theory Abstract: The purpose of this study is to revisit the pecking order theory, one of the major theories in explaining financing decision of a firm in terms of high-tech SMEs. In particular, based on the theory of the financial growth cycle, which extended the theory, I aim to confirm how characteristics of a firm change the prediction of the theory. To this end, I modelled simultaneous decision-making on internal financing, external debt and external equity financing that existing studies did not reflect by suitable data and method. According to the results, only the size is relevant for the prediction of pecking order theory, but R&D expenditures and intangible assets ratio which are main characteristics of high-tech SMEs are not consistent with the prediction. As a policy suggestion, since the unique characteristics of high-tech SMEs make external equity financing preferred the most and it has a smaller decreasing marginal utility for business than other financial instruments, it is needed to foster access to external equity financing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1400-1406 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1400-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesús Miguel Lasarte-López Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Lasarte-López Author-Name: Mariano Carbonero-Ruz Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Carbonero-Ruz Author-Name: Olexandr Nekhay Author-X-Name-First: Olexandr Author-X-Name-Last: Nekhay Author-Name: María Luisa Rodero-Cosano Author-X-Name-First: María Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Rodero-Cosano Title: Why do regional economies behave differently? A modelling approach to analyse region-specific dynamics along the business cycle Abstract: Even though the evolution of regional economic activity is substantially explained by national/common economic shocks, regional economies can still engage in significant differential or divergent behaviours with regard to the national average across business cycles. In this article, we describe a modelling approach based on factor models that estimates differences in quarterly regional GDP levels and allows for the evaluation of the variables that best explain these differentials. To provide an example of the application of this approach, two Spanish regions are used: Andalusia and Catalonia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1391-1399 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1391-1399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Cerulli Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Cerulli Title: Improving econometric prediction by machine learning Abstract: We present a Machine Learning (ML) toolbox to predict targeted econometric outcomes improving prediction in two directions: (i) by cross–validated optimal tuning, (ii) by comparing/combining results from different learners (meta–learning). In predicting woman wage class based on her characteristics, we show that all our ML methods’ predictions highly outperform standard multinomial logit ones, both in terms of mean accuracy and its standard deviation. In particular, we set out that a regularized multinomial regression obtains an average prediction accuracy almost 60% larger than that of an unregularized one. Finally, as different learners may behave differently, we show that combining them into one ensemble learner proves to preserve good predictive accuracy lowering the variance more than stand-alone approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1419-1425 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1419-1425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Friedhelm Pfeiffer Author-X-Name-First: Friedhelm Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeiffer Author-Name: Holger Stichnoth Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Stichnoth Title: Fiscal and individual rates of return to university education with and without graduation Abstract: Based on a detailed model of the German tax-benefit system, this paper simulates private and fiscal returns to education for college graduates and college dropouts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1432-1435 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1432-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud Author-X-Name-First: Siti Nurazira Author-X-Name-Last: Mohd Daud Author-Name: Abd Halim Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Abd Halim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Wan Azman Saini Wan Ngah Author-X-Name-First: Wan Azman Saini Wan Author-X-Name-Last: Ngah Title: Financialization, digital technology and income inequality Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of digital technology on the relationship between financialization and income inequality of 54 countries from 2010 to 2015. The results show that financialization and digital technology widen the income inequality gap. Therefore, policies should be centred primarily on eliminating obstacles and developing innovative products that focus on solutions to the low-income consumer problem and those who have been marginalized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1339-1343 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1808165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1808165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1339-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huabing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huabing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Anne Macy Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Macy Title: Oil price forecasts and security analysts: evidence from the oil industry Abstract: This study examines the relation between the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil forecasts and analyst earnings forecasts for oil firms. Analyst forecast biases (revisions) are positively related to EIA oil forecast biases (revisions) but only for firms with greater analyst coverage. For these firms, we also document a positive association between analyst revisions and future oil prices. This association becomes insignificant after the introduction of concurrent EIA oil forecast revisions, suggesting that security analysts might not possess incremental information on future oil prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1407-1412 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1407-1412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wei-Qiang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Forecasting macroeconomy using Granger-causality network connectedness Abstract: The connectedness among financial institutions reflects potential channels for risk contagion and the amplification of risk to the financial system that can also propagate into the real economy. This study investigates the predictive power of financial network connectedness for macroeconomy. We highlight the connectedness by quantifying the effects of risk transmission among financial institutions in Granger-causality networks. The aggregate macroeconomy is viewed as a proxy for economic activity and is extracted from several monthly single macroeconomic variables by principal component analysis. We use the n-month-ahead multivariate predictive regressions to explore the predictive power of the connectedness and test whether the predictive ability is robust. The results show that after controlling for a number of factors, an increase in network connectedness among Chinese financial institutions strongly and stably predicts higher Chinese economic activity about four to twelve (except for five) months into the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1370 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1817302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1817302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1363-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nisreen Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Nisreen Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Vijay Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: A plausible explanation for the negative correlation between environmental degradation and healthcare expenditure Abstract: This article provides a plausible explanation for the seemingly counterintuitive observation that healthcare expenditure can be negatively correlated with environmental degradation, measured by CO2 emissions. A mathematical proof is presented to demonstrate that the relation between expenditure and degradation may be positive or negative, depending on the position of the underlying country or region on the environmental Kuznets curve. This proposition is confirmed by a diagrammatic exposition and a simulation exercise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1377-1381 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1817843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1817843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1377-1381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dweepobotee Brahma Author-X-Name-First: Dweepobotee Author-X-Name-Last: Brahma Author-Name: Debasri Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Debasri Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Infant malnutrition, clean-water access and government interventions in India: a machine learning approach towards causal inference Abstract: We use a debiased Machine Learning technique to explore causes behind infant malnutrition for households below-poverty-line in India and examine effectiveness of various government interventions along with other factors. Our analysis reveals that access to clean water is one of the most crucial issues to focus on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1426-1431 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1822507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1822507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1426-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evgeny V. Popov Author-X-Name-First: Evgeny V. Author-X-Name-Last: Popov Author-Name: Viktoria L. Simonova Author-X-Name-First: Viktoria L. Author-X-Name-Last: Simonova Author-Name: Oxana V. Komarova Author-X-Name-First: Oxana V. Author-X-Name-Last: Komarova Title: The regional and substantial differentiation of social media Abstract: Social media represent an integral part of the modern economy. They contribute to the generation of knowledge and help improve innovation, forming new markets and entrepreneurial systems. The aim of this paper is to analyse the social media market by identifying the features of its development. It also highlights the trends in the regional and substantial differentiation of social media. The regional differentiation of social media markets is manifested as the development of global markets represented by the largest companies such as Facebook, Instagram and YouTube, as well as the formation of local national markets formed by the social networks of VKontakte, Youku and others. Countries such as China and Russia are particularly interested in the development of social media and they are actively engaged in the development of national social networks and Internet resources. A significant trend in the development of social networks involves substantial differentiation due to the development of highly specialized social media websites. These trends have led to the formation of new entrepreneurial ecosystems, developmental strategies for Internet companies, as well as the use of social media as channels for the promotion of products and enhancing brands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1386-1390 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1820435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1820435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1386-1390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Demosthenes Tambakis Author-X-Name-First: Demosthenes Author-X-Name-Last: Tambakis Title: A Markov chain measure of systemic banking crisis frequency Abstract: This study nests historical evidence for credit growth-fuelled financial instability in a two-state nonhomogeneous Markov chain with logistic crisis incidence. A long-run frequency measure is defined and calibrated for 17 advanced economies from 1870 to 2016. It is found that historical (implied) crisis frequencies display a V (J) pattern over time. A key implication is that policies strengthening capital adequacy contribute more to systemic stability than expanding deposit insurance or curbing sustained credit booms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1356 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1817300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1817300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1351-1356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theofanis Papageorgiou Author-X-Name-First: Theofanis Author-X-Name-Last: Papageorgiou Author-Name: Georgios Savvakis Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Savvakis Author-Name: Dimitris Kenourgios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kenourgios Title: Is political risk a driver of listed SMEs leverage? Abstract: This paper employs econometric techniques in order to examine the role of political risk on the capital structure decisions of European listed SMEs, during a period which fully captures the Euro zone debt crisis and aspects of political risk due to the recession and its over-indebtedness. We find that political risk decreases significantly SMEs leverage via different and significant transmission channels. Very small (micro) enterprises are decreasing more significantly their leverage at times of political risk. The strength of the creditor’s rights acts as a proxy for the possible effects of the political risk. Political risk combined with corruption has a positive effect on firm leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1382-1385 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1819949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1819949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1382-1385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chieh Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Dynamic correlations in bond markets between US and emerging countries Abstract: We adopt the wavelet method to provide better measures of the dynamic correlations between the US and major emerging government bond yields, revealing the structural changes from a three-dimensional analysis. The study concludes two wavelet-based empirical results. First, there are significant positive correlations between the underlying three country pairs of government bonds, exhibiting the synchronicity in time-frequency basis. Second, US government bonds lead every emerging country government bond over the time scales. It shows that US government bonds, on behalf of the developed government bond markets, have an important role in leading and guiding emerging government bonds. The findings remind international investors of the reduced benefits of diversification on global bond investment portfolios and paying greater attention to the influences of US government bond market when managing investment portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1371-1376 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1817303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1817303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1371-1376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuanmin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Chuanmin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Juncong Guo Author-X-Name-First: Juncong Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Xi Qu Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Title: Stock market reaction to corporate philanthropic response and silence: does charity style matter? Abstract: In this study, we multi-dimensionally assess the stock market reaction to the corporate charitable giving for anti-epidemic of COVID-19. Through statistical comparison of giving data from Chinese listed firms, we find that the market reaction is positive and significant only for companies reported in-kind donations. Furthermore, this reaction is larger for firms that donate goods related to their main businesses and do not disclose the value of donations. Meanwhile, the non-contributing companies suffer negative market adjustments when press releases announcing donations of their peers. This new finding of the asymmetric impacts from different types of donations, namely monetary donations and in-kind donations, on firms’ stock performance contributes to the literature, as typical researches using only monetary donations, or the total reported contribution might not adequately evaluate the impact of charitable giving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1344-1350 Issue: 16 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1814943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1814943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:16:p:1344-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilhang Shin Author-X-Name-First: Ilhang Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Sanghyun Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sanghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Do labour unions help or hurt firms to invest in the long run? Evidence from Korea Abstract: This paper empirically addresses how labour unions affect firms’ long-term investment decisions and, thus, performances by utilizing unique firm-level data on labour unions available in Korea. We find that labour unionization makes firms invest more in human resource but less in physical capital. In addition, we show that as labour unions engage in rent-seeking behaviour, this causes firms’ investment decisions to be so distorted that the firms with labour unions get less productive, and consequently, the capital market valuates them less. Our empirical findings suggest that the problem of deciding proper investment could become more serious in the long run, if the labour unions participate in management and exercise their collective bargaining power to accomplish their interests as rent-seekers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1504 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1828565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1828565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1499-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin (Min) Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kevin (Min) Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Bichaka Fayissa Author-X-Name-First: Bichaka Author-X-Name-Last: Fayissa Author-Name: Ghassem Homaifar Author-X-Name-First: Ghassem Author-X-Name-Last: Homaifar Title: Investors’ regulatory concerns and the SEC’s regulation SHO pilot program on the NYSE Abstract: Examining the private-information content of short sales surrounding the implementation of the SEC’s Regulation SHO-pilot program, we that informativeness of short sales on the NYSE has disappeared in pilot stocks during the pilot program. Both the shorting efficiency hypothesis and the regulatory concern hypothesis are proposed to explain this anomaly. Empirical testing results support the regulatory concern hypothesis, suggesting that the SEC’s Regulation SHO-pilot program may be a problematic natural experiment because there is a propounding difference between the pilot and control samples concerning short-sellers’ trading behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1458-1461 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1826397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1826397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1458-1461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyumin Cho Author-X-Name-First: Kyumin Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Hyeong Joon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeong Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Seongjae Mun Author-X-Name-First: Seongjae Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Author-Name: Seung Hun Han Author-X-Name-First: Seung Hun Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Do confident CEOs increase firm value under competitive pressure? Abstract: Traditional studies show that CEOs’ overconfidence can mitigate underinvestment problem that occurs due to risk-aversion. To extend this argument, we investigate whether investment by overconfident CEOs always increases firm value. Theoretically and empirically, we show that investment by overconfident CEOs and firm value is positively related for firms in more competitive industries. For firms in less competitive industries, the relation is insignificant. Our findings suggest that CEOs’ overconfidence can be a desirable managerial trait for shareholders under certain conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1491-1498 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1491-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard C. K. Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard C. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Title: Death and the stock market: international evidence from the Spanish Flu Abstract: The coronavirus pandemic in 2020 was the most devastating worldwide health threat since the 1918–1919 Spanish flu. Panel regression analysis for ten countries suggests that European and US stock markets reacted significantly, and negatively, to the surging death rates that were seen during the Spanish Flu. It is possible that the greater death rates for the Spanish Flu vis-a-vis the coronavirus account for stock market effects being more evident in 1918–1919 than in 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1512-1520 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1828802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1828802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1512-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngjin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Youngjin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Euijune Kim Author-X-Name-First: Euijune Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Analysing location choices of small and large enterprises of electronics-manufacturing industry in Korea Abstract: This paper measures regional economic and spatial effects on locations of small and large enterprises, by using binary logit models. The econometric results confirm that the location of small firm depends on the regional labour force availability and the population growth of its neighbouring regions. In addition, the large enterprise tends to agglomerate into regions to be less-regulated or to be near to high-speed railroad stations. Finally, industrial clusters of the small and large enterprises would be likely to be geographically close each other in order to share intermediate inputs as a co-agglomeration pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1462-1467 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1462-1467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vijay Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Author-Name: Joerg Picard Author-X-Name-First: Joerg Author-X-Name-Last: Picard Author-Name: Morgan Vannette Author-X-Name-First: Morgan Author-X-Name-Last: Vannette Title: ESG impact of Michigan and Indiana right-to-work laws Abstract: We examine the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance of Michigan and Indiana companies before and after they passed the Right-to-Work (RTW) laws in 2012 by referencing it against that of companies in states with and without RTW laws. Our findings indicate that after the laws were passed the Environmental and Social performance of companies in these two states declined on the compliance dimension and so did some of their Social performance on the proactive dimension. Outside of some of the common trends in the ESG performance of companies in states with and without RTW laws, the Social performance of companies in states without RTW laws declined on the proactive dimension as well after the laws were passed. Performance pertaining to Governance was unaffected for companies after the enactments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1441-1445 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1822509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1822509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1441-1445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: Job profiles: labour-law risks and grouping into wage categories Abstract: Job profiles are an important personnel management tool. This note provides an analysis of job profiles by applying cooperative game theory. In particular, job profiles are explored for two main purposes. First, are there labour-law risks that occur based on the tasks mentioned in the job profile? In a second step, what is the impact of a task to the grouping of the entire job profile into wage categories? With this analysis, it is possible to determine the share of the labour costs caused by the task. The new analytical framework helps to understand the interaction of the different tasks in job profiles from a new perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1478-1483 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1478-1483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Débora Meireles Author-X-Name-First: Débora Author-X-Name-Last: Meireles Author-Name: Ricardo Da Silva Freguglia Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Freguglia Author-Name: Carlos Henrique Corseuil Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Henrique Author-X-Name-Last: Corseuil Title: Gender employment discrimination and product market competition: evidence for Brazil Abstract: This paper aims to test empirical implications of the classical Beckerian theory on discrimination against women in Brazil. Specifically, we examine how the relationship between women’s relative employment and firm performance varies with its market power. Using a panel of longitudinal microdata linking information at firm level from a matched employer-employee data (RAIS) and a firm level survey with detailed information on firm performance (PIA-Empresa) from 2002 to 2013, we propose a new measure for women’s relative employment. In general, our results indicate a positive and significant relationship between relative employment of women and profitability for firms with high market power. We also find that the way the relationship between relative employment of women and profit depends on market power is strongly affected by how women relative employment is measured. This relationship is much more stable when this variable is measured by the index we propose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1440 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1822508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1822508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1437-1440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enhui Kou Author-X-Name-First: Enhui Author-X-Name-Last: Kou Author-Name: Yukun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yukun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Linfeng Yue Author-X-Name-First: Linfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: The response of small firms to VAT thresholds: evidence from China Abstract: This paper explores the response of small-scale value-added tax (VAT) taxpayers to the changes of VAT thresholds and VAT tax rates. Using firm-level tax administrative data for the period between 2005 and 2012, we find that firms tend to bunch around the VAT thresholds. We also find that commercial firms and firms with higher value-added ratios are less likely to register as general taxpayers. We provide an estimate of the elasticity of the VAT tax base in the range of 0.027 and 0.05. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1526-1530 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1830931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1830931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1526-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Author-Name: Constantin Bürgi Author-X-Name-First: Constantin Author-X-Name-Last: Bürgi Title: Do working papers increase journal citations? Evidence from the top 5 journals in economics Abstract: Does it pay off in terms of citations to issue an article as a working paper before it is published in a refereed journal? We show empirically that the answer is yes, using 3167 articles published in five of the top journals in economics between 2000 and 2010. The effect is an around 25% higher number of citations on average across the investigated journals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1535 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1531-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujie Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yujie Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Baran Han Author-X-Name-First: Baran Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Benjamin Ho Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Non-profit overhead and efficiency from IRS administrative data Abstract: This paper investigates the efficiency of non-profit overhead spending by estimating its marginal returns on total revenue using IRS data. To explore whether using the overhead ratio as a heuristic for non-profit operational quality is justified, we compare it with administrative efficiency or the efficiency by which overhead is transformed into total revenues. We find that underinvestment on overhead may be explained by reputational concerns. Reputational concerns may be justified given a negative relationship between administrative efficiency and overhead ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1474-1477 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1474-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emile Cammeraat Author-X-Name-First: Emile Author-X-Name-Last: Cammeraat Author-Name: Ernesto Crivelli Author-X-Name-First: Ernesto Author-X-Name-Last: Crivelli Title: Justifiably unpopular? The Italian property tax and inequality Abstract: This article simulates the distributional implications of a property tax reform for Italy that updates the cadastral valuation system to reflect market value. Simulations suggest that such a reform would significantly improve the progressivity of the tax, while correcting the unfairness of paying higher effective tax rates on properties with a lower market value. Updating the valuation system also makes the property tax less distortive, as the same revenue could be collected at about one-third of the current statutory tax rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1468-1473 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1468-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Avila-Cano Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Avila-Cano Author-Name: Francisco Triguero Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Triguero Ruiz Title: The equivalent share of a dominant firm: an approach based on distances Abstract: The concept of concentration has been widely used in social sciences and applied to different areas, particularly industrial economics, business, sports economics or political science. We construct a new family of concentration indices, based on the mathematical concept of distance. By construction, its value is the monopoly ratio. It complies with the set of properties traditionally required at concentration indices. The index can be interpreted like the equivalent share of the dominant firm in a distribution with many elements in which all the others firms are of an equal size. Our index solves the problems linked to the limited cardinality of the majority of the existing indices. Cardinality property may be relevant in modelling and political economic decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1525 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1829534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1829534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1521-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yan Ling Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yan Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Wang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ning Lu Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Sheng Ze Li Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Ze Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impacts of liquidity measures and credit rating on corporate bond yield spreads: evidence from China’s green bond market Abstract: This article investigates the nexus among the liquidity measures, credit ratings, and the yield spreads of green corporate bonds in China using panel data analysis and the generalized method of moments (GMM). Lower market liquidity, a lower credit rating level, and a shorter issued age are more significant for enlarging the yield spreads of ordinary corporate bonds than those of green corporate bonds. Compared with the AAA credit rating level, the illiquidity ratio, nontrade frequency ratio, zero-trade volume, yield volatility, interest rate margin and issued age have more significant influences on the yield spreads of ordinary corporate bonds than those of green corporate bonds. The liquidity and credit rating have greater differences in affecting the yield spreads of green corporate bonds with different issuance terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1446-1457 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1824062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1824062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1446-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Edward C. Jaenicke Author-X-Name-First: Edward C. Author-X-Name-Last: Jaenicke Title: Price competition and private labels in the U.S. packaged salad market Abstract: We study the price competition in the U.S. packaged salads market by testing two price competition hypotheses: Bertrand competition versus sequential pricing model. The former is standard for oligopoly pricing in the IO literature. The latter provides a formal mechanism for second-mover, price-undercutting behaviour by private-label brands, owned by mainstream supermarkets, that grew their market share dramatically in the second half of the 2000s. Applying Vuong and Gasmi (1991)’s test, we show that observed market prices and market shares fit best to Bertrand competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1484-1490 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1827132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1827132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1484-1490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Cai Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yahong Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yahong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: A simple dynamic panel data approach for macro policy assessment Abstract: We propose a simple-to-implement dynamic panel difference-in-difference method to assess the impact of (place-based) macro policies. The idea is to exploit both serial correlation and cross-sectional dependence within a panel and implement a semi- difference-in-difference decomposition. Different from existing panel data methods, the proposed approach is easy to implement and conduct statistical inference and can incorporate multiple treated groups at different time thresholds. Monte Carlo simulations show the proposed estimator performs reasonably well with finite samples. An application to assess the general impact of a free trade zone policy is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1511 Issue: 17 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1828801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1828801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:17:p:1505-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tingting Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Mengyao Song Author-X-Name-First: Mengyao Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Kaixin Li Author-X-Name-First: Kaixin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Lottery preference and stock market return: Chinese evidence using daily and provincial data Abstract: Using the abnormal search volume intensity for lottery-related keywords from the Baidu search engine, we construct a daily and provincial lottery preference index in China and re-examine the relationship between lottery preference and stock market return. Consistent with the previous studies, we find that when lottery preference is high, stocks will earn a positive return in the short-run, but this effect will reverse in the next few periods. We also have some new findings: (1) the total effect of lottery preference is mainly driven by the global preference but not the local preference; (2) the positive effects of the global part will last longer among regions with stronger lottery preference, and only in these regions, local lottery preference has a positive impact in the short-run. (3) there is an asymmetric effect that during the bull market, the short-term positive effect of lottery preference persists longer, and it delays the reversal process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1582-1588 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1834496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1582-1588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charfeddine Lanouar Author-X-Name-First: Charfeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Lanouar Author-Name: Umer Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Umer Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Title: Terrorism and capital flows: the missed impact of terrorism in big cities Abstract: This study investigates the effects of four types of terrorist attacks on three types of capital flow. We extend the literature by introducing a new measure of terrorist attacks, namely ‘attacks in big cities’ and empirically investigate its impact on capital flow. Drawing from a sample of seven South Asian countries over a time period of 27 years spanning 1990–2016, we found that terrorist attacks in big cities and capital flows are negatively related. In particular, the results show that terrorist attacks in big cities, in comparison to the other terrorist attacks forms, have the highest negative impact on the three types of capital flow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1626-1633 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1626-1633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. James Reade Author-X-Name-First: J. James Author-X-Name-Last: Reade Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Carl Singleton Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Singleton Title: Stadium attendance demand during the COVID-19 crisis: early empirical evidence from Belarus Abstract: In this note, we consider early evidence regarding behavioural responses to an emerging public health emergency. We explore patterns in stadium attendance demand by exploiting match-level data from the Belarusian Premier League (BPL), a football competition that kept playing unrestricted in front of spectators throughout the global COVID-19 pandemic, unlike all other European professional sports leagues. We observe that stadium attendance demand in Belarus declined significantly in the initial period of maximum uncertainty. Surprisingly, demand then slowly recovered, despite the ongoing inherent risk to individuals from going to a match. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1542-1547 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1830933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1830933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1542-1547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongqi Deng Author-X-Name-First: Zhongqi Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Shunfeng Song Author-X-Name-First: Shunfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Hongru Tan Author-X-Name-First: Hongru Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: A new analytical framework for urban size and policies Abstract: This study develops a new comprehensive analytical framework for use in achieving optimal city size and conducting policy studies. The EE–EC framework simultaneously considers economic productivity, environmental pollution, and traffic congestion. We take Beijing as an example and perform a simulation analysis using this framework. We find that, in 2010, Beijing was 10% oversized and transportation and industrial policies were more effective than environmental policies for maximizing Beijing’s net urban agglomeration economies. The framework presented in this study is not only flexible in the sense that it can be easily applied to other cities, but also urgently needed by policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1610-1619 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1840504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1840504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1610-1619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuting Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shuting Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qifa Xu Author-X-Name-First: Qifa Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Cuixia Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Cuixia Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Systemic risk of China’s commercial banks during financial turmoils in 2010-2020: A MIDAS-QR based CoVaR approach Abstract: To evaluate the systemic risk of China’s commercial banks during financial turmoils in 2010–2020, we develop a MIDAS-QR-CoVaR approach. It can exploit rich information contained in high-frequency data and helps to pick up tail risk accurately and timely. The empirical results demonstrate the superiority of MIDAS-QR-CoVaR, which has smaller failure times and average errors than the commonly used DCC-GARCH-CoVaR and QR-CoVaR approaches. Moreover, we observe elevated systemic risk during the financial turmoils. Notably, there is a sharp increase corresponding to the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic. While some signs of recovery can be observed at the end of sample, which proves the effectiveness of the Chinese governments response. In addition, the results highlight the importance of macroeconomic factors and bank-specific characteristics in determining systemic risk. These provide regulators with useful insights and guidelines for systemic risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1600-1609 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1839629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1839629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1600-1609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomi Ovaska Author-X-Name-First: Tomi Author-X-Name-Last: Ovaska Author-Name: Ryo Takashima Author-X-Name-First: Ryo Author-X-Name-Last: Takashima Title: The robustness of trust, institutions and entrepreneurship regressions, revisited Abstract: Several studies have shown the importance of trust and economic institutions to entrepreneurship. How trust works through institutions is still unknown. We examine the joint effect trust and institutions have on entrepreneurship and complement the regressions with three sophisticated robustness tests. We find trust and legal system/property rights to be complement and trust and access to sound money substitutes to each other. Trust’s effects on entrepreneurship are quite dependent on the sample data and model specifications. The results should lead to a re-evaluation of the relationship between trust, institutions and entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1578-1581 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1834495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1578-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Williams Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Do remittances condition the relationship between trade and government consumption? Abstract: This paper used a panel model and 99 developing economies over the 1980–2018 period to investigate the effect that remittances had on the relationship between trade and government consumption. We showed that remittances mediate the relationship between trade and government consumption. We documented that in high remittance recipient countries, trade negatively affected government consumption. In low remittance recipient countries, by contrast, we found that trade positively affected government consumption. Our results suggested that remittances can reduce the fiscal cost on government budget associated with adverse trade shocks. We proposed two policy responses for remittance recipient countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1577 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1834072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1571-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Lorena Comi Author-X-Name-First: Simona Lorena Author-X-Name-Last: Comi Author-Name: Mara Grasseni Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Grasseni Title: Employer learning during apprenticeship Abstract: In this letter, we study employer learning about worker ability during apprenticeship. We exploit an exogenous shock that increased the number of apprenticeship contracts in Italy, to analyse what type of workers were hired and which ones were trained more during the contract. We find that firms select workers according to their ability not upon recruiting them, but during the apprenticeships and the higher the revealed ability of the workers, the more training they receive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1548-1551 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1830934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1830934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1548-1551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Acuna Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Acuna Title: Non-classical measurement error with false positives and negatives Abstract: Non-classical measurement error caused by false positives and false negatives produces biased and inconsistent estimates in a regression. This is the case whether the mismeasured variable is a dependent or an explanatory variable, and having an IV does not always work. To tackle these limitations, this paper shows that proper adjustment of the mismeasured variable of interest produces consistent estimates. The paper also discusses alternatives when the key inputs to adjust the mismeasured variable are not known. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1620-1625 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1841080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1841080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1620-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Reis Gomes Author-Name: Gian Paulo Soave Author-X-Name-First: Gian Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Soave Title: The role of credit and housing shocks in emerging economies Abstract: This article investigates the role played by credit and housing shocks in emerging markets through a Bayesian panel vector autoregression for 15 countries. Identification is achieved by sign restrictions, and our findings suggest that credit and housing shocks have a similar contribution to the forecast error variance of the gross domestic product growth at the 25-quarter horizon. However, for the investment-to-GDP ratio, credit shocks seem to be more relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1552-1557 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1830935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1830935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1552-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Frank Stephenson Author-X-Name-First: E. Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Stephenson Title: The cost of losing a National Football League franchise: evidence from hotel occupancy data Abstract: In the past five years, San Diego and St. Louis lost National Football League franchises to Los Angeles. This paper uses daily data on hotel room rentals, average room rates, and hotel revenue to examine the effect that losing NFL franchises will have on those cities. For comparison, other events including professional baseball and hockey franchises, Major League Baseball’s All-Star Game, and two college football bowl games are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1558-1561 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1832193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1832193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1558-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrizio Ferriani Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Ferriani Author-Name: Filippo Natoli Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Natoli Title: ESG risks in times of Covid-19 Abstract: This study analyzes whether investors take risks related to environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into account when making portfolio decisions. We exploit the new Morningstar’s ESG risk indicators – introduced at the end of 2019 – to estimate the effect of ESG risk perception on investment fund flows. Our exercise, related to the early phase of the Covid-19 crisis when uncertainty skyrocketed, shows that investors have preferred low-ESG-risk funds, with environmental risks remaining a top concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1541 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1830932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1830932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1537-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayşegül Aytaç Emin Author-X-Name-First: Ayşegül Author-X-Name-Last: Aytaç Emin Author-Name: Başak Dalgıç Author-X-Name-First: Başak Author-X-Name-Last: Dalgıç Author-Name: Tawfik Azrak Author-X-Name-First: Tawfik Author-X-Name-Last: Azrak Title: Constructing a banking fragility index for Islamic banks: definition impact on the predictive power of an early warning system Abstract: This study aims to construct a banking sector fragility index for Islamic banks that gives substantial predictive power results. We develop various banking sector fragility indices using different combinations of proxies for credit, liquidity and market risk factors. Apart from the existing literature, we add profitability risk factor into fragility indices. Our results show that the predictive power of an Early Warning System (EWS) is highly sensitive to the proxies and combinations of the risk factors and, profitability risk has a positive impact on the predictive power results for Islamic banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1589-1593 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1834497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1589-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afees A. Salisu Author-X-Name-First: Afees A. Author-X-Name-Last: Salisu Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility in the United Kingdom Abstract: We use constant and time-varying parameters vector autoregressive models that allow the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility of macroeconomic variables in the United Kingdom. Estimates suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about 10% on average, with peaks observed during episodes of local and global crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1594-1599 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1834498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1834498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1594-1599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prasenjit Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Prasenjit Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Author-Name: Sudipta Sen Author-X-Name-First: Sudipta Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Transmission of funding liquidity shocks in the options market: evidence from India Abstract: The extant literature examines the interactions between funding liquidity and market volatility on the equity market. This paper extends the literature and investigates the interactions between funding liquidity and market volatility in the options market. The paper employs the Bayesian structural vector autoregression framework to examine the effects of funding liquidity shock to volatility demand, uncertainty, and risk aversion. We find that positive feedback exists between contraction in funding liquidity and volatility demand, uncertainty, and risk-aversion. Our results are robust to alternate specifications of uncertainty and risk-aversion measures, and alternative ordering of variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1566-1570 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1832195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1832195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1566-1570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Madeira Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Madeira Title: The impact of the COVID public policies on the Chilean households Abstract: This work uses survey data to study the immediate impact of the public policies implemented during the COVID crisis on the Chilean households. I show debt deferral initiatives only reach a few highly indebted agents, especially concentrated on richer families. Tax relief measures had a broad reach across the population, but with little financial impact. However, income and expenses support had both a wide reach and a strong impact on households, especially for poorer families. A broadening and scaling up of policy efforts should, therefore, focus on direct income support for families. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1562-1565 Issue: 18 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1832194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1832194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:18:p:1562-1565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatma Zeren Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Zeren Author-Name: Fatma Kızılkaya Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Kızılkaya Title: A new combination of Fourier unit root tests: a PPP application for fragile economies Abstract: This study offers a new unit root test procedure that is based on the combination of Fourier ADF and Fourier KSS unit root tests by using Fisher’s statistics. The main advantage of this approach is that it is a useful method, especially in cases where the findings obtained from the two test methods differ. In this paper, we investigate the mean-reverting properties of the real exchange rate series for seven fragile economies. Fourier ADF and Fourier KSS tests results point to different findings. When the combination unit root test is applied, it is confirmed that the real exchange rate series are stationary for four fragile economies, namely Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1707-1711 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1707-1711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Le Fur Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Le Fur Author-Name: Jean-François Outreville Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Outreville Title: Hedonic approach to the determinants of the price of cider Abstract: In this article, we apply the hedonic approach to the determinants of the price of cider in Quebec province. We examine the impact of production characteristics, the indications provided on the bottle and the taste and visual characteristics. The degree of alcohol, cryofermentation, production area, newest varieties of apples, presence of a cork, perception of sweet sugar, dark and golden aspect have a significant positive impact. The choice of high-quality products is reflected in the premium associated to the price. The analysis has important industrial implications for producers and distributors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1712-1716 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1852162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1852162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1712-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Göcen Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Göcen Title: Is there a bidirectional relationship between female labour force participation and economic development in Middle Eastern countries? Evidence from a bootstrap panel Granger causality test Abstract: This study explores a bidirectional relationship between the female labour force participation rate and the economic development in fourteen Middle Eastern countries. The bootstrap panel Granger causality method, using seemingly unrelated regressions and Wald tests with country-specific bootstrap critical values, is employed to test causality. The empirical results indicate bidirectional causality in Turkey, a unidirectional causality from economic development to female labour force participation rate in Kuwait, Oman, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen, and a unidirectional causality from female labour force participation rates to economic development in Jordan. Economic development prompts female labour force participation in Egypt, Kuwait, Oman, and Turkey, and reduce in the United Arab Emirates and Yemen. Female labour force participation harms the economic development in Jordan and Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1661-1665 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1845292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1845292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1661-1665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maximilian Ambros Author-X-Name-First: Maximilian Author-X-Name-Last: Ambros Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Author-Name: Toan Luu Duc Huynh Author-X-Name-First: Toan Luu Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Huynh Author-Name: Mustafa Kilinc Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Kilinc Title: COVID-19 pandemic news and stock market reaction during the onset of the crisis: evidence from high-frequency data Abstract: Using 30-minute tick returns, we examine the impact of changes in the number of COVID-19 news on eight different stock markets during the initial two months of the coronavirus crisis 2020. We do not find evidence that stock returns are sensitive to the changes in the number of COVID-19 news. However, there is strong evidence that changes in COVID-19 news increase stock market volatility in European markets. The findings also suggest that a substantial part of market uncertainty can be explained by changes in the number of COVID-19 news. Our results are also robust to changes in the time intervals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1686-1689 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1686-1689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suganya Balakumar Author-X-Name-First: Suganya Author-X-Name-Last: Balakumar Author-Name: Subhasankar Chattopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Subhasankar Author-X-Name-Last: Chattopadhyay Title: Skilled-unskilled wage gap without discrimination – the case of India Abstract: Both skilled and unskilled workers are employed formally and informally in developing economies. However, workers employed informally are often discriminated – they receive lower returns to their individual characteristics compared to those employed formally. What would be the skilled-unskilled wage gap if there were no such discrimination in the labour market? We show that the with-discrimination wage gap is more if the unskilled workers are discriminated more in their employment-share weighted terms. We propose a methodology based on Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition technique to estimate the without-discrimination wage gap, apply it to four rounds of Indian NSSO employment data and find that (i) both types of workers face discrimination, and (ii) the without-discrimination wage gap is significantly less. We also check for the possibility of female workers getting discriminated more in informal employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1690-1697 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1690-1697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio C. David Author-X-Name-First: Antonio C. Author-X-Name-Last: David Author-Name: Samuel Pienknagura Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pienknagura Title: On the effectiveness of containment measures in controlling the COVID-19 pandemic: the role of labour market characteristics and governance Abstract: This paper shows that countries where informality is commonplace, where a small share of jobs can be performed remotely, and where government effectiveness is low, experience smaller declines in COVID-19 cases after making containment measures more stringent. This appears to be related to the fact that in these countries mobility declines less after the implementation of containment policies, which facilitates the spread of the disease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1641-1647 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1841082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1841082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1641-1647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amir Rezaee Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Rezaee Author-Name: Isabelle Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Title: Is flight-to-safety in the art market real? Evidence from the 1929 financial crash Abstract: We study the impact of the 1929 stock market crash on the Paris art market by creating a high-frequency index of artwork sales to measure the arrival of new investors seeking safe-havens. The results show that following the financial crash, the previously volatile art market becomes suddenly stable, suggesting a flight-to-safety from financial markets to the art market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1676 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1849533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1849533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1671-1676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Koch Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Author-Name: Simon Thaler Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Thaler Author-Name: Ronny Mayr Author-X-Name-First: Ronny Author-X-Name-Last: Mayr Title: Order versus disorder – the impact on value estimates of durable consumption goods Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate if easily removable disorder (i.e. a negative externality displayed in pictures) influences value estimates of two durable goods (car and apartment). We examine the effect with a 2 × 2 experimental setup consisting of 137 estimates from students. While we assume an influence of the disorder in the case of the car, there must not be any value influence in the apartment task. The first estimate of the car decreases by 11.9% in the case of disorder, but the effect does not decrease in the second estimation. For the apartment, the disorder effect reduces the estimates by 13.3%. In a second estimate, the effect on value weakens but still is present. The study shows that (i) images lead to an incorrect assessment and (ii) disorder is perceived differently for the two goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1635-1640 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1841081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1841081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1635-1640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Bash Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Bash Author-Name: Khaled Alsaifi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Alsaifi Author-Name: Abdullah M. Al-Awadhi Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah M. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Awadhi Title: Failed terror attack and stock market returns: the case of Pakistan stock exchange Abstract: This study investigates the effect of a failed terror attack on stock market returns using an event study approach. The mean-adjusted returns and the market model are used to analyse the event. The results show that the failed attack on the Pakistan Stock Exchange building in Karachi generated positive cumulative returns for all the listed stocks, suggesting that such events have positive effects on stock market returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1698-1702 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1698-1702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Author-Name: Le Thanh Tung Author-X-Name-First: Le Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Tung Title: A causality test between income, inequality and poverty – empirical evidence from South-East Asia Abstract: The income–inequality relationship is often addressed in the literature and studies also reporting significant effects between income and the various measures of inequality. An important question is whether there is not only correlation but also causality in the income–inequality nexus. For investigating the latter purpose, a Granger causality test based on out-of-sample forecast errors is applied with data from 2006 to 2018 for per capita real income, Gini coefficients and poverty rates for sixty-one provinces in Vietnam. In this case, there is not detected any significant effects from inequality (Gini) or the level of poverty rates to income – and likewise no evidence of the reverse causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1682-1685 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1682-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Inclusion of older annual data into time series models for recent quarterly data Abstract: This note proposes time series models for data where the frequency changes over time. As an example, for many countries, in the past, real GDP growth was observed annually and since a few years or decades, the data are available per quarter. Modifying the time series models allows for the incorporation of these older annual data, without a need for imputation. Illustrations for real GDP growth in China and the Netherlands show the merits of the method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1717-1721 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1717-1721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Can Sever Author-X-Name-First: Can Author-X-Name-Last: Sever Title: Reserves and currency crises: the role of the exchange rate regime Abstract: Although it is widely accepted that more reserves are required to support a peg relative to a more flexible currency, there is lack of empirical evidence motivating this phenomenon. This paper shows evidence that international reserves help countries decrease the probability of a currency crisis. However, the alleviating effect of reserves on the likelihood of currency crises is lower under pegged exchange rate regimes. This result implies that countries with pegged regimes need to accumulate more reserves to avoid currency crises, relative to their peers with more flexible exchange rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1681 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1677-1681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maddalena Cavicchioli Author-X-Name-First: Maddalena Author-X-Name-Last: Cavicchioli Title: A matrix approach to the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of Markov-switching processes with applications to business cycle Abstract: We provide simple matrix formulas for calculation of the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition in the Markov-switching multivariate case, where series are generated by vector ARIMA models with Markov-switching intercept term. The treatment is immediately extended for regime changes in the mean, distributed lags in the regime and cointegrated models with Markov switching. We apply the method to real data from an example representative of recently industrialized economies and from a classical study on the US business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1648-1655 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1841882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1841882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1648-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radosław Kurach Author-X-Name-First: Radosław Author-X-Name-Last: Kurach Author-Name: Marek Kośny Author-X-Name-First: Marek Author-X-Name-Last: Kośny Author-Name: Paweł Kuśmierczyk Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Kuśmierczyk Author-Name: Walid Merouani Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Merouani Title: What does ‘Big Three’ tell us about retirement planning skills? Abstract: In this paper, we present the results of financial knowledge assessment from a nationwide survey carried out in Poland in 2019. To measure this phenomenon, we use the well-grounded scale, the ‘Big Three’ financial literacy questions, proposed by Mitchell and Lusardi. The results are similar to those of studies in other countries. However, we find that financial literacy scores poorly predict reasonable answers to the retirement planning question. We present hypotheses to explain this finding and recommend potential solutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1703-1706 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1851646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1851646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1703-1706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanming Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hanming Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Renfei Xie Author-X-Name-First: Renfei Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Participation in global value chains and the US–China technology gap: an application of the generalized propensity score Abstract: In this study, using the generalized propensity score on a sample of 172,336 firms, we examine the technology gap between the US and China when Chinese enterprises participate in global value chains (GVC) at different potential continuous levels. We find an N-shaped relationship between the two key variables. To narrow the technology gap with the US, our empirical result also shows that it is suggested for Chinese firms to engage in GVC during the moderate interval (0.23 ~ 0.77). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1656-1660 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1845291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1845291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1656-1660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Loretta Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Loretta Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Title: Score-driven panel data models of the capital structure of US firms Abstract: Capital structures of United States (US) firms may be influenced by changes in interest rate levels, which may be in relation to lower borrowing costs of firms in different periods of conventional and unconventional monetary policies (UMPs). The present article is the first comparative study of the capital structure of Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) firms for subperiods between 1997Q4 and 2019Q3. Subperiods are defined based on the evolution of the effective federal funds rate (EFFR), which include a period of decreasing EFFR in response to the Dotcom Bubble, and the near-zero EFFR for the period of UMP. The hypothesis of this article is that S&P 500 firms increase the proportion of debt financing in periods of decreasing or low interest rate levels, and the opposite is implemented in periods of increasing interest rates. To provide a robust test of the hypothesis, the new score-driven panel data model is introduced. The hypothesis is supported for debt-to-capital of S&P 500 firms by the empirical results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1666-1670 Issue: 19 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1845293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1845293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:19:p:1666-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Aida Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Aida Title: Cooperative norms and global deforestation Abstract: This study aims to explore the role of cooperative norms and discount factors in global deforestation. Previous studies have revealed that these preferences lead to the better management of common-pool resources. However, since these case studies focus on small geographical areas, external validity remains an important issue. By using high-resolution satellite data and a unified measure of cooperative norms and discount factors, this study demonstrates that higher levels of cooperative norms are associated with a lower level of deforestation across the world, whereas no significant association is found between discount factors and deforestation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1728-1731 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1728-1731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahim Al-Marhubi Author-X-Name-First: Fahim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Marhubi Title: Do natural resource rents reduce labour shares? Evidence from panel data Abstract: Using a panel dataset of 95 countries from 1980 to 2014, we find that natural resource rents have a causal negative effect on labour shares. This effect is robust to estimation methods and control variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1754-1757 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1754-1757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Benjamin Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Michael Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Matias Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Title: Estimating the impact of pollution on wages and housing prices using satellite imagery Abstract: Air pollution is a global concern. However, research and policy addressing the problem remains hampered by a lack of ground-level air quality data. We estimate the value residents of Mexico City place on clean air using aerosol optical depth (AOD) from satellite imagery as a proxy for air pollution. We employ a unique dataset that combines actual household-level data with AOD and rainfall within a hedonic model focusing on people’s decisions regarding where to work and live in a developing nation. We address endogeneity and simultaneity concerns by using a 3SLS-IV estimation. Results suggest that residents place significant value on clean air, with a 10% increase in AOD leading to a 1.3% decrease in home prices and a 2.3% increase in wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1750-1753 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1750-1753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens J. Krüger Author-X-Name-First: Jens J. Author-X-Name-Last: Krüger Author-Name: Michael Neugart Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Neugart Title: Dissecting Okun’s law beyond time and frequency Abstract: The stability of Okun’s law mostly has been investigated over time. In this paper, we apply wavelet analysis to dissect the relationship between GDP growth and changes in the unemployment rate by time and frequency. Furthermore, we analyse whether changes in Okun’s law are related to changes in the underlying production function or are related to changes in the relationship between unemployment and employment. The results show that coherence of GDP growth and changes in the unemployment rates at lower frequencies vanished with the Great Moderation. Coherence at higher frequencies shows an on-off pattern with a re-emergence of Okun’s law during the Great Recession. These changes appear to be mainly driven by changes in the underlying production function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1744-1749 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1744-1749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cinzia Carota Author-X-Name-First: Cinzia Author-X-Name-Last: Carota Author-Name: Consuelo Rubina Nava Author-X-Name-First: Consuelo Rubina Author-X-Name-Last: Nava Title: A Bayesian Mixed Multinomial Logit Model for choice-sets and decision-makers’ heterogeneity Abstract: We propose a Bayesian Mixed Multinomial Logit Model (MMLM) to deal with the critical issue of choice-set heterogeneity often present in policy evaluation studies enriched with microsimulated data. We also exploit the comparison of three clustering methods to capture decision-makers’ heterogeneity through a specific random effect. A case study, which aims to describe the determinants of labour choices of females in couples with microsimulated fiscal variables, is the test-bed for our methodological proposal. By virtue of this very flexible specification of the random components, the Bayesian MMLM proves to be more accurate, parsimonious and consistent in terms of point estimates with the research field than other models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1767-1771 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1767-1771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haixi Li Author-X-Name-First: Haixi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xuguang Simon Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Xuguang Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: Dating COVID-Induced Recession in the U.S Abstract: The COVID-induced recession began in March 2020 for the United States. We identify this turning point by applying a Bayesian sequential quickest detection method to a real-time index of economic activity. Supporting evidence is also found from macroeconomic data releases and stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1723-1727 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1852163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1852163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1723-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhengwen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhengwen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yunxiao Zong Author-X-Name-First: Yunxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zong Author-Name: Yuwan Dan Author-X-Name-First: Yuwan Author-X-Name-Last: Dan Author-Name: Shi-Jie Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shi-Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Country risk and international trade: evidence from the China-B&R countries Abstract: This study conducts a time-varying stochastic frontier gravity model to explore the interactions between country risk and foreign trade for the Belt and Road countries. By using the data of bilateral trades between 134 countries and China during 2003–2018, empirical results show that reduction of country risk will increase the bilateral trades between China and these countries. Based on these findings, the implementation of the Belt and Road initiative may effectively hedge the country risk of the trade partners and promotes their bilateral trades with China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1784-1788 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1784-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donghui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Donghui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Jingrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Yunsheng Mi Author-X-Name-First: Yunsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Title: Land transfer and food crop planting decisions in China Abstract: This paper proposes a theoretical model to illustrate the relationship between the scale of land transfer-in and farmers’ crop selection behaviour. We use a semiparametric instrumental variable regression model to test this relationship. Data come from a face-to-face interview survey of 2,677 farmers located in nine provinces of China collected in 2014–2015. Results show that the size of land transfer-in has a U-shaped impact on the probability of planting food crops. To guarantee food crop self-sufficiency, the Chinese government should encourage land transfer, foster the mobility of agricultural labourers, and enhance the capacity of the rural financial market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1783 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1777-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Naef Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Naef Title: The investment portfolio of the Swiss National Bank and its carbon footprint Abstract: This paper details the nature of the equity holdings of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and estimates its carbon footprint. By analysing SNB holdings in the 100 most polluting companies in the world, I find that the share of assets owned by the SNB is responsible for at least a quarter of Switzerland’s domestic CO2 emissions. This represents as much as the greenhouse gas emissions of all Swiss households combined or 0.05% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Using two different estimation methods, I find that the SNB’s portfolio generates between 12 and 20 million metric tons of CO2 per year. This could be reduced by 99.7% with an investment reallocation of just 2% of the equity portfolio of the SNB. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1801-1806 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1801-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen Li Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chunyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The effects of inward and outward foreign direct investment on manufacturing export sophistication in China Abstract: This article focuses on the effects of inward and outward FDI on manufacturing export sophistication in China by using the two-tier stochastic frontier model. The results show that inward and outward FDI has a stronger positive effect on China’s manufacturing export sophistication. Furthermore, the effects decomposition indicates that the net effect of inward and outward FDI on manufacturing export sophistication varies markedly across quantiles and regions. At the upper quartiles (Q3) and Eastern Zone, the positive net effect is more obvious than others. This illustrates that inward and outward FDI plays a significant role in driver export upgrading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1758-1766 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1758-1766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Floridi Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Floridi Author-Name: Binyam Afewerk Demena Author-X-Name-First: Binyam Afewerk Author-X-Name-Last: Demena Author-Name: Natascha Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Natascha Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: The bright side of formalization policies! Meta-analysis of the benefits of policy-induced versus self-induced formalization Abstract: This paper provides a meta-analysis of the impact of business formalization on performance. We exploit a meta-dataset of 1,271 estimates derived from 20 studies available until October 2019. The analysis reveals that formalization is associated with fairly small benefits that take time to materialize. We then exploited the difference between policy-induced formalization and self-induced formalization investigating underlying effects, publication bias, and sources of heterogeneity. Policy-induced formalization brings large benefits, whereas self-induced formalization only results in medium benefits, suggesting that indeed formalization can be spurred by adequate policy actions. To be most effective, formalization policies should be implemented with information sessions, trainings/workshops, and business development services to unleash the growth potential of newly formalized firms in the most potent way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1812 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1870919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1870919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1807-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Superstars and “The Voice” Abstract: The previous literature has explored theories and models of the economics of superstars in the context of the music industry and in general finds mixed evidence for superstar effects and the data being close to the Yule distribution. The present article extends that literature by examining if the same patterns are present for near superstars, specifically contestants on the reality television show ‘The Voice’. Our results support the presence of the same features in the data for these near superstars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1797-1800 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1797-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amine Ben Amar Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Amar Author-Name: Fateh Bélaïd Author-X-Name-First: Fateh Author-X-Name-Last: Bélaïd Author-Name: Adel Ben Youssef Author-X-Name-First: Adel Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Youssef Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Title: Connectedness among regional financial markets in the context of the COVID-19 Abstract: In this paper, a spillover index measure is used to explore the extent of the connectedness among a set of six regional stock markets over nearly 8 years from 25 June 2012, to 11 May 2020. Results show that financial markets reacted in largely the same way to the significant economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19, and provide striking evidence of the disconnect between the American emerging market and the global financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1789-1796 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1789-1796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoyong Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Foreign acquisition and R&D activities: evidence from a small open economy Abstract: This paper examines the effect of the foreign acquisition on domestic firms’ R&D activities using a firm-level dataset. We exploit a rich dataset of South Korea, which is a representative small open economy. We find that foreign takeover leads to increased R&D expenditures, which are more outsourced. The effect stood out after the global financial crisis, for listed companies and companies that rely on trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1732-1737 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1732-1737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Wenxiu Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Measurement and spillover effect of digital financial inclusion: a cross-country analysis Abstract: Measures of national financial inclusion mostly focus on traditional financial services and ignore the role of digital finance. We incorporate several digital elements of financial inclusion and construct a comprehensive index of digital financial inclusion for 101 countries in 2017. The spatial distribution of the index shows a strong geographical aggregation and a clustered pattern in national income groups. Regions with higher-income countries tend to have better digital financial inclusion. However, digital technology has helped several low-income countries to improve their financial inclusion. But this improvement does not spillover to other low-income countries in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1738-1743 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1853663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1853663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1738-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yukio Fukumoto Author-X-Name-First: Yukio Author-X-Name-Last: Fukumoto Author-Name: Tomoko Kinugasa Author-X-Name-First: Tomoko Author-X-Name-Last: Kinugasa Title: Impact of demographic indicators on trade openness: evidence from different geographic regions Abstract: Trade openness and the share of the working-age population vary in different geographic regions of the world, and they tend to be especially high in Europe. Under the hypothesis that the share of the working-age population has a positive effect on trade openness, we clarify the difference in trade openness by region caused by age structure using panel data for the following four regions: Europe, Asia, America, and Africa. Based on fixed-effects models by region, we estimate equations that include trade openness as the dependent variable and the share of the working-age population as an independent variable. Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition is conducted setting Europe as the benchmark. Our empirical results reveal that the share of the working-age population has significantly positive effects on trade openness in all regions except Africa. Moreover, the high trade openness in Europe compared with Asia can be explained by the endowment effect of the age structure, and that compared with America or Africa can be explained by both the endowment and coefficient effects of the age structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1772-1776 Issue: 20 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:20:p:1772-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Espinosa-Méndez Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Espinosa-Méndez Author-Name: José Arias Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Arias Title: Herding Behaviour in Asutralian stock market: Evidence on COVID-19 effect Abstract: This is the first article in investigating how COVID-19 affects Oceania’s financial markets. Specifically, we investigate if COVID-19 pandemic has an effect on herding behaviour in the Australian stock market. Using a sample of all firms listed over the period from 10 June 2008 to 19 June 2020, we find evidence that COVID-19 pandemic increases herding behaviour. The results report that herding behaviour manifests during crisis and extreme periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1898-1901 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1898-1901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek T. Tharp Author-X-Name-First: Derek T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tharp Author-Name: Jeffrey Camarda Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Camarda Author-Name: Steven James Lee Author-X-Name-First: Steven James Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pieter J. de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Pieter J. Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Title: Do CFP® professionals engage in less misconduct? Exploring the importance of job classification when comparing misconduct rates among financial service professionals Abstract: Using a unique dataset of FINRA-licenced individuals in Florida in 2015 that was enriched to include job classification information generally not contained in publicly-available regulatory data, a series of binary logistic regressions illustrate how unobserved differences among financial service professional roles may bias results in misconduct analyses. When using CFP® status as the sole predictor of misconduct among the full sample of licenced individuals, CFP® professionals are found to have 1.86 times higher odds of having engaged in culpable advisory-related misconduct compared to non-CFP® professionals. However, after controlling for other relevant factors and limiting the sample to only individuals identified as financial advisors, CFP® professionals are found to have 0.84 times lower odds of having engaged in culpable advisory-related misconduct. Because job classifications are generally not available in the standard SEC and FINRA datasets, these findings illustrate how the inability to control for unobserved differences in job roles may bias misconduct analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1830-1835 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1830-1835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Xin Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Reneé van Eyden Author-X-Name-First: Reneé Author-X-Name-Last: van Eyden Author-Name: Mark Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level consumption of the United States Abstract: We analyse the impact of oil supply, global economic activity, oil-specific consumption demand and oil inventory demand shocks on state-level consumption of the United States (U.S.) over the period of 1975:Q1 to 2012:Q2. We find that positive economic activity shocks and oil production shocks (associated with increase and decrease in oil prices, respectively) increase consumption growth. At the same time, oil-specific consumption and inventory demand shocks raise oil prices and reduce the growth rate of state-level consumption. Across the shocks, the strongest effect originates from the global demand shock. In addition, our above observations are virtually invariant to the degree of oil dependency (oil consumed minus oil produced as a ratio of oil consumed) of the states. Our results have important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1818-1824 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1818-1824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Mladina Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Mladina Title: The economic performance of socialism Abstract: Socialism is attracting renewed interest. But forced economic equality comes with significant economic costs. I conduct an empirical evaluation on the performance of major socialist economies in meeting living standards and show that socialism results in poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1842-1846 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1842-1846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per G. Fredriksson Author-X-Name-First: Per G. Author-X-Name-Last: Fredriksson Author-Name: Satyendra Kumar Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Satyendra Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Legal origins and government COVID-19 control measures Abstract: A speedy response made a significant difference to the number of infections and deaths due to COVID-19. Did legal philosophies matter for policy responses? We find that when 100 cases had been diagnosed (and 7–14 days thereafter), common law countries had implemented weaker measures than civil law countries. However, no significant difference is found for COVID-19 related deaths. Lower vulnerability is also associated with weaker policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1865-1871 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1865-1871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riza Demirer Author-X-Name-First: Riza Author-X-Name-Last: Demirer Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Title: A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility Abstract: We examine the predictive power of disentangled oil price shocks over gold market volatility via the heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility (HAR-RV) model. Our in- and out-of-sample tests show that combining the information from both oil supply and demand shocks with the innovations associated with financial market risks improves the forecast accuracy of realized volatility of gold. While financial risk shocks are important on their own, including oil price shocks in the model provides additional forecasting power in out-of-sample tests. Compared to the benchmark HAR-RV model, the extended model with all the three shocks included outperforms, in a statistically significant manner, all other variants of the HAR-RV framework for short-, medium, and long-run forecasting horizons. The findings highlight the predictive power of cross-market information in commodities and suggest that dise ntangling supply- and demand-related factors associated with price shocks could help improve the accuracy of forecasting models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1889-1897 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1889-1897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Starosta Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Starosta Title: Forecast combination approach in the loss given default estimation Abstract: This paper examines a novel method of including macroeconomic variables into Loss Given Default models. The approach is transparent, and it easily translates changes in the overall credit environment into Expected Loss estimates, which is one of the crucial points that was recently introduced in the International Financial Reporting Standard 9. We propose a forecast combination procedure that separates the contract-based variables from the macroeconomic indicators. Two models are prepared and benchmarked to a single ordinary least-squares (OLS) model. To combine the forecasts we use three approaches: simple average, the Granger–Ramanathan Method, and Mallows Model Averaging. We tested our predictions on out-of-time data and found that the forecast combination outperforms the single OLS model in terms of the selected forecast quality metrics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1817 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1813-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tong Fang Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Zhi Su Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Does uncertainty matter for US financial market volatility spillovers? Empirical evidence from a nonlinear Granger causality network Abstract: We investigate the role of uncertainty in US financial market volatility spillovers by using a directional financial network determined by the nonlinear Granger causality test. We find that uncertainty is an essential volatility transmission channel for financial market volatility spillovers. Financial uncertainty is the most central node in the financial market network. A subsample analysis, excluding the pandemic period, confirms the robustness of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1877-1883 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1877-1883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven Grüner Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Grüner Author-Name: Felix Krüger Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Krüger Title: The intention to be vaccinated against COVID-19: stated preferences before vaccines were available Abstract: The goal of this note is to better understand which determinants can explain the willingness to get vaccinated against COVID-19. For this purpose, we conduct a survey in Germany in which we ask ourselves whether this ‘time is different’ from the willingness to be vaccinated against infection by influenza viruses. Our sample does not only comprise students with and without healthcare background, we also analyse a notable amount of healthcare professionals. We find that healthcare professionals exhibit a considerably greater willingness to be vaccinated against flu than healthcare and non-healthcare students. In contrast, the willingness to be vaccinated against COVID-19 is quite similar among the populations. In both contexts, COVID-19 and flu, trust (e.g. media, activities of the government) seems to play a central role in the decision whether to be vaccinated or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1847-1851 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1847-1851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Po−Keng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Po−Keng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Listen to the signals from an interactive agent‐based model Abstract: In this paper, we develop a trading strategy based on the estimated results of an interactive agent-based model. We examine our trading strategy in nine markets proxied by market indices. Our strategy is able to ride the rising trend and avoid declining periods. In addition, our strategy could outperform market index in some financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1884-1888 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1884-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Friehe Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Friehe Author-Name: Avraham Tabbach Author-X-Name-First: Avraham Author-X-Name-Last: Tabbach Title: Liability rules can rationalize greater victim vulnerability Abstract: This paper shows that an imperfect strict liability rule can induce victims to increase the losses they incur in the event of an accident, and that similar incentives exist under the negligence rule. Using a simple model in which victims can influence their harm distribution, we identify two potential reasons why victims may benefit from greater ‘vulnerability’, namely strategic effects on own future and others’ behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1825-1829 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1825-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanghak Choi Author-X-Name-First: Sanghak Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Hail Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hail Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Effects of the litigation risk coverage on corporate social responsibility Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the law of director liability reduction (DLR) and the level of corporate social responsibility (CSR). Using unique Korean institutional data, we show that firms that do not employ liability reduction coverage engage more heavily in CSR-related activities. This is primarily to control the litigation risk. Firms that have not adopted the DLR are vulnerable to litigation risks, and therefore, they strategically use CSR to hedge such risks. We also employ the propensity score matching approach and show that endogeneity does not drive the result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1836-1841 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1836-1841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A simple model of financial grey rhino under insurer capital regulation: an extension Abstract: A recent study proposes a contingent claim model of financial grey rhino under capital regulation and suggests that stringent capital regulation enhances the insurer’s survival, thereby contributing to insurance stability. This note critically evaluates the relevant study’s objective setting and refines the comparative statics by developing a contingent claim utility model. We show that stringent capital regulation helps policyholder protections, but at the expense of the insurer’s equity return, thus adversely affecting insurer survival. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1872-1876 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1872-1876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Buerger Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Buerger Title: The effect of economic downturns on state budgets: a counterfactual analysis of the great recession Abstract: I propose a novel method to estimate the effect of recessions on government finances. Using the Great Recession and state budgets as an empirical example, I find large and prolonged budget cuts, but also increases in transfers to populations in need. The proposed method can be easily transferred to other recessions, different spending categories, and local governments receiving state transfers, such as school districts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1852-1859 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1852-1859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Vera-Gilces Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Vera-Gilces Author-Name: Segundo Camino-Mogro Author-X-Name-First: Segundo Author-X-Name-Last: Camino-Mogro Author-Name: Xavier Ordeñana Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Ordeñana Author-Name: Mary Armijos Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Armijos Title: Revisiting market power and efficiency: the non-linearities over profitability Abstract: Market power and efficiency are known to affect baking profitability. However, they have been usually analysed separately and when jointly, under a linear approach. This letter proposes a non-linear assessment of these two variables over bank profitability. For this, we use a GMM approach and find diminishing returns of market power and increasing returns of efficiency over profitability gains. Our findings add evidence besides the traditional view which may have important implications for banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1860-1864 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1860-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tadgh Hegarty Author-X-Name-First: Tadgh Author-X-Name-Last: Hegarty Title: Information and price efficiency in the absence of home crowd advantage Abstract: This paper evaluates the efficiency of betting market pricing for top league soccer matches played behind closed doors during the COVID-19 pandemic. The removal of the crowd component of home advantage results in substantial improvement in both the market predictions of goal difference and home team wins. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1902-1907 Issue: 21 Volume: 28 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:21:p:1902-1907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal Stiefenhofer Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Stiefenhofer Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Conspicuous ethics: a Veblen effect condition for ethical consumption goods Abstract: This paper considers a class of ethical consumers who are characterized by price dependent preferences. It is hypothesized that ethical consumers derive esteem from displaying moral considerations in their consumption choices. A class of additive price dependent power utility functions is introduced and a condition for ethical Veblen effects, suggesting a positive correlation between the demand of ethical conspicuous goods and their prices, is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:72-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongwei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Dahai Fu Author-X-Name-First: Dahai Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How do households respond to economic policy uncertainty? Evidence from China Abstract: This article empirically examines the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on household income and how they adjust their consumption expenditure and savings using a newly developed provincial EPU index in China. The findings show that the uncertainty shock lowers household income and households primarily responded by reducing their non-durable spending. The impacts of uncertainty shock are more pronounced in older, male-headed and urban households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:80-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shishir Shakya Author-X-Name-First: Shishir Author-X-Name-Last: Shakya Author-Name: Elham Erfanian Author-X-Name-First: Elham Author-X-Name-Last: Erfanian Author-Name: Alexandre Scarcioffolo Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Scarcioffolo Title: The political economy of Vermont’s abortion bill Abstract: Public choice literature divides the rationality of voting between instrumental and expressive. In this paper, we take the Vermont legislature in passing the H. 57 bill as a case to explain some of the determinants of expressive voting empirically. The H.57 bill declares that no government entity can interfere with, or restrict, a consenting individual’s right to abortion care across the entire gestation period. However, the bill has not changed the previously status quo of the state towards abortion rights. Thus, it creates a situation in which we can analyze the legislator’s voting behavior through the lens of an expressive voting framework. We utilize a high dimensional dataset and post-double-selection LASSO method to explain the channels that influence the expressive voting on the H. 57 bill. We web scrape the lower and upper chamber voting data on H.57 bill and use the 2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates to retrieve 89 different socioeconomic, housing, and demographic characteristics of State Legislative Districts. Our results suggest channels of poverty, gender, and population diversity are some crucial mechanisms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:17-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Habitamu Asifawu Tonch Author-X-Name-First: Habitamu Asifawu Author-X-Name-Last: Tonch Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: The impact of informal credit on household welfare: evidence from rural Ethiopia Abstract: This study focuses on a credit-related informal risk-sharing mechanism and analyzes the effect of informal credit on household welfare. We use two-stage least squares regression to avoid the endogeneity problem and the Heckman correction procedure to remove possible self-selection bias. We find that informal credit is positively associated with welfare; each thousand Ethiopian Birr (approximately US$ 28) received in the form of informal credit improves the welfare expenditure of a household by approximately 4.3%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-16 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:12-16 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomáš Želinský Author-X-Name-First: Tomáš Author-X-Name-Last: Želinský Title: Stereotype threat among European Roma adults Abstract: Negative stereotypes associated with certain groups can lead to stereotype threat, a phenomenon that can negatively impact performance. The majority of existing studies that find negative effects of stereotype threat on performance are based on subpopulations such as students and older adults. This paper contributes by investigating the concept of stereotype threat in the context of adults at a range of ages of Roma ethnicity in Slovakia. The study is based on an incentivized lab-in-field experiment with 203 participants. Its main goal is to investigate whether reminding Roma adults of their ethnic identity affects their performance. The results suggest that making ethnicity salient reduces the performance of Roma adults by approximately 11%. These findings are consistent with the expectations of the stereotype threat hypothesis. The study further examines confidence as a potential channel, but the findings are ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Kovalenko Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Kovalenko Author-Name: Claus Schnabel Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabel Author-Name: Heiko Stüber Author-X-Name-First: Heiko Author-X-Name-Last: Stüber Title: Is the German labour market granular? Abstract: This paper is the first to investigate the relevance of the ‘granular hypothesis” proposed by Gabaix (Econometrica 2011) for employment growth. Using comprehensive data for Germany, we show that the establishment size distribution in terms of employment is indeed fat-tailed and that idiosyncratic shocks to large establishments explain a substantial portion of aggregate employment change. This relationship is more pronounced in the manufacturing than the service sector. Our findings may be an argument for stabilizing the largest establishments when hit by negative idiosyncratic shocks, since their employment fluctuations could spill over to aggregate employment growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:41-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanako Ohmura Author-X-Name-First: Hanako Author-X-Name-Last: Ohmura Title: The connection between stock market prices and political support: evidence from Japan Abstract: This study analyzes the causality between stock market prices and political support, with a focus on Japan. Japan offers a critical setting to control for the causality of political connectedness, because electoral institutions proscribe corporate donations and politicians holding concurrent corporate executive positions and corporate donations. By narrowing the causality from stock market trends to political components, a vector autoregressive linear non-Gaussian acyclic model reveals that stock prices are the cause (parent) and ruling party support is the outcome (child). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:1-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Study on the influence of IFRS 9 on the impairment of commercial bank credit card Abstract: On 31 March 2017, China’s Ministry of Finance issued the ‘Chinese Version of IFRS 9’, making significant changes in the provision for impairment of financial assets. This article constructs a theoretical model of the impairment of financial assets in accordance with the new accounting standards and proposes the method system for the impairment of credit card business under the new accounting standards. Based on the credit card data of a large commercial bank, this article studies the influence of the IFRS 9 on the impairment of credit card business. The results show that, compared with the IAS 39, under the implementation of the IFRS 9, both the asset scale of credit card business needing to be impaired and the provision for impairment of assets significantly improves, but the reserve ratio of the impairment is reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855298 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:35-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mourad Mroua Author-X-Name-First: Mourad Author-X-Name-Last: Mroua Author-Name: Slah Bahloul Author-X-Name-First: Slah Author-X-Name-Last: Bahloul Author-Name: Nader Naifar Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: Naifar Title: Should investors include bitcoin in their portfolio? New evidence from a bootstrap-based stochastic dominance approach Abstract: This paper investigates the potential portfolio diversification benefits by introducing the Bitcoin to the traditional diversified financial portfolio. Using a bootstrap-based stochastic dominance (SD) test and daily prices of the commodity and stock market indices, we find that the introduction of Bitcoin improves the performance of the traditional financial portfolio and the optimal portfolio choice changes according to the market regime. Principally, results show that the optimal portfolio diversification combining Bitcoin, US stock market and commodities indices can be a good hedge, offering risk-averse, more performing portfolio investments during any financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:53-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Barros Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Luiz Brotherhood Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: Brotherhood Author-Name: Victor Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Economic complexity and corporate governance Abstract: Using dynamic panel data techniques, we find that a country’s corporate governance practices have a positive effect on the sophistication of its exported products. We also find that higher dispersion of governance across firms leads to lower economic complexity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 68-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:68-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaofei Du Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofei Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Weixin Luan Author-X-Name-First: Weixin Author-X-Name-Last: Luan Author-Name: Yuduo Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yuduo Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial constraints on firms’ markups: evidence from China Abstract: Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) hinders global economic recovery and is an important cause of economic recession. Additionally, EPU also hinders the development of firms. In this context, using firms’ markups as the breakthrough point, this study analyses how EPU and financial constraints affect firms’ markups with the assistance of an econometric model and using an index of EPU and data from Chinese Annual Survey of Industrial Firms. The conclusions are as follows: (1) EPU has a significantly negative impact on firms’ markups; (2) both the internal and external financial constraints have a significantly negative impact on firms’ markups; (3) the interaction between EPU and internal and external financial constraints has a significantly negative impact on the firms’ markups. This study also analyses the differences of firms’ heterogeneity. This study is helpful for firms to fully understand the different impacts of internal and external shocks on firms’ markups, and provide more targeted reference for policy-making departments, and thus improve the policies’ effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 30-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:30-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: The impact of institutions on economic growth in OECD countries Abstract: In the endogenous growth theory, the accumulation of knowledge is the main driver of growth. However, the mechanism for transforming knowledge into new goods and services depends on institutions. Using a growth accounting framework, we conclude that institutions contributed more than 0.3 percentage points to the estimated average annual growth rate of real output in 28 OECD countries between 2011 and 2017. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiong Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Jiakou Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiakou Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zhifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Can economic policy uncertainty predict financial stress? A MIDAS approach Abstract: In this article, by using the mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS) model, we investigate whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU) can predict financial stress. Our estimation results show that EPU has a significant positive effect on the future financial stress, indicating that EPU is a determinant of financial stress. Moreover, the out-of-sample prediction results show that the MIDAS model performs better than the traditional time-series OLS model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 22-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:22-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirokazu Mizobata Author-X-Name-First: Hirokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Mizobata Title: Heterogeneous worker flows and Japan’s labour market Abstract: This study analyzes the roles of heterogeneous worker flows in Japan’s labour market. I divide workers into regular, non-regular, and self-employed and other workers and examine the effects of these different types of worker flows on Japan’s labour stocks. I find that the fluctuations in the job separation rate for non-regular workers and the participation margin are relatively important for the evolution of Japan’s unemployment rate. Further, the transitions between regular and non-regular jobs play a major role in the dynamics of Japan’s non-regular worker ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Rhoads Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhoads Author-Name: Yongchen Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yongchen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Sports team performance and revenue of out-of-stadium vending operations Abstract: Using a novel data set on daily sales revenue, we examine how the Baltimore Orioles’ performance affects a street vendor operating outside Oriole Park at Camden Yards. While fans respond positively to good team performance throughout the season, a win for the home team generally means lower revenue for the vendors outside the stadium. We find that economic benefits accruing to street vendors – and by extension to nearby hotels, restaurants, and bars – may only be maximized when the sports teams are bad, but not that bad. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 8-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:8-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeto Kitano Author-X-Name-First: Shigeto Author-X-Name-Last: Kitano Title: How do world commodity prices affect Asian commodity exporting economies? The role of financial frictions Abstract: This note examines how recent volatile fluctuations of world commodity prices due to the COVID-19 shock affect Asian commodity exporting economies. Our analysis shows that a drop in world commodity prices has a significant negative impact on output, consumption, and investment of sample countries. However, the impact on trade balance is positive in some countries and negative in others. The difference between these two groups is attributable to whether world commodity prices affect each country’s interest rate spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-90 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1887446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1887446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:1:p:84-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Adrian Licht Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Licht Title: Prediction accuracy of volatility using the score-driven Meixner distribution: an application to the Dow Jones Abstract: The score-driven QAR-EGARCH-M (quasi-autoregressive, exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity-in-mean) model using the Meixner distribution is introduced to improve the prediction accuracy of GARCH. QAR-EGARCH-M extends the recent EGARCH-M model in a statistically innovative way because a new score-driven filter is included in the risk premium. Volatility forecasts of QAR-EGARCH-M, EGARCH-M, and GARCH, all with leverage effects, are compared for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). QAR-EGARCH-M is superior to EGARCH-M and GARCH, which is relevant for DJIA options investors at Chicago Mercantile Exchange Globex and Chicago Board Options Exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-117 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1859445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1859445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:111-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Hu Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Joon Ho Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Joon Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Chinmay Jain Author-X-Name-First: Chinmay Author-X-Name-Last: Jain Author-Name: Jim Washam Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Washam Title: Bitcoin price manipulation: evidence from intraday orders and trades Abstract: We analyse 519.4 million Bitcoin orders placed on Gemini Exchange during January 2016-August 2019 and find limit orders dominate at 99.92%. We document order-based evidence of price manipulation during the Bitcoin bubble in late 2017, when the daily number of market orders during the bubble period more than triples the overall daily average. The changes in both prices and liquidity satisfy two criteria specified in Kyle and Viswanathan (2008) for the price manipulation definition. Moreover, we find a significant increase in market order imbalance associated with price manipulations modelled in Jarrow, Protter and Roch (2012). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 140-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:140-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingqing Fei Author-X-Name-First: Qingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: Independent directors’ dissent on boards and detection of firm violations: empirical evidence from China Abstract: Using a bivariate probit model that addresses partial observability, I find a positive relationship between independent directors’ dissent on boards and firm violation detection, implying the positive effect of dissent on triggering investigations that bring violations to light. The results provide evidence of a specific channel for independent directors to influence the detection of firm violations and, taking a broader view, to improve corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:167-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Huang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Qianwei Ying Author-X-Name-First: Qianwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Does corporate online interaction activeness affect investors’ perceptions of earnings information? Evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the effect of corporate online interaction activeness on investors’ perceptions of earnings information. Using a large sample of Chinese listed firms for the period 2010–2019, we find that investors’ perceptions of earnings information, measured by earnings response coefficients (ERCs), increase with the level of corporate online interaction activeness, and the effect is more pronounced in firms with a larger retail investor base and higher stock illiquidity. Our results suggest that social media interaction helps to improve stock price efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:97-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo de Souza Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo de Souza Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Author-Name: João Frois Caldeira Author-X-Name-First: João Frois Author-X-Name-Last: Caldeira Author-Name: Gerson de Souza Raimundo Júnior Author-X-Name-First: Gerson de Souza Author-X-Name-Last: Raimundo Júnior Title: It’s all in the timing again: simple active portfolio strategies that outperform naïve diversification in the cryptocurrency market Abstract: This article analyzes whether cryptocurrencies’ inclusion improves stock portfolios’ performance and whether the application of portfolio selection methodologies would bring gains to investors in the digital currency market. Volatility Timing and Reward-to-Risk Timing methodologies were applied to a base containing only S&P 100 stocks, another containing only cryptocurrencies, and one mixing the previous two. The results suggest that the inclusion of cryptocurrencies has not brought performance gains to the stock portfolios and that the investor in the cryptocurrency market can benefit from the use of portfolio selection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1859446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1859446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:118-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huong Trang Kim Author-X-Name-First: Huong Trang Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Quang Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Quang Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: An exploration on the nexus between managers’ present bias and corporate investment Abstract: This study aims to explore the role of top manager’s present bias as a main driver of corporate investment. For this purpose, we embed an experiment in a firm-level panel survey with a sample of top managers from 623 textile and garment firms in Vietnam. The experiment enables us to elicit present bias for each individual manager. We find that firms led by managers with a greater level of present bias are more likely to have a lower investment. There also exists evidence that the effect of managers’ present bias on corporate investment is stronger for SMEs than for large firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 150-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:150-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hengrong Luo Author-X-Name-First: Hengrong Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Xiaohua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: National day holiday and Weight Gain in China: evidence from the CHNS surveys Abstract: We use the regression discontinuity model and CHNS (China Health and Nutrition Survey) data, to study the body weight-gain effect of the week-long National Day holiday in China. We find that Chinese adults tend to significantly gain 1.56 kg of body weight during the National Day holiday, and males have a larger effect. However, the effect will be smaller and insignificant in 2 weeks. It verifies the Chinese saying: People gain 1.5 kg body weight for a good holiday (mei feng jia jie pang san jin), only in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-149 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:145-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Misleading sales in salience markets Abstract: This paper studies misleading sales by the low-quality firm who competes against the high-quality firm. Misleading sales intentionally make consumers (mis-)believe that the current price is a limited-time discount price. It generates a decoy for the low-quality product that inflates the reference price in consumers’ minds. We show that the low-quality firm can benefit by offering aggressive discount rates when consumers are salient thinkers who place a higher weight on a standing-out attribute. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:159-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: Trust dynamics after financial distress: evidence from Euro member countries Abstract: We investigate the dynamic adjustment of trust in the European Central Bank and the European Commission to financial distress using aggregate data from the Eurobarometer surveys and the financial distress indicator of Romer and Romer (2017). Financial distress has a pronounced negative impact on trust and the dynamic adjustment of trust is similar to the response of real GDP to financial distress. Weak labour market conditions prior to financial distress prolong the adjustment process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-96 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:91-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Hua Cao Author-X-Name-First: Kang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Chi-Keung Woo Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Ya Li Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Covid-19’s effect on the alpha and beta of a US stock Exchange Traded Fund Abstract: This paper is a first look of Covid-19’s effect on the alpha and beta of a US stock exchange traded fund. It uses the efficient market hypothesis and the J-test of non-nested hypotheses to identify a reasonable choice of Covid-19 data for estimating CAPM regressions. Obtained through the generalized method of moments in a panel data analysis, a reasonable choice is Covid-19 spread’s unanticipated severity. Rising unanticipated severity significantly reduces the alphas and betas of mid-cap and small-cap ETFs but not large-cap and sector & speciality ETFs. Hence, retail investors should not market time or panic liquidate, especially when successful vaccination development is likely in the near future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1859447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1859447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirotaka Ito Author-X-Name-First: Hirotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Isamu Yamamoto Author-X-Name-First: Isamu Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamoto Title: Do comprehensive and diverse childcare services affect women’s labour supply and well-being? Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of comprehensive and diverse regional childcare services on Japanese women’s labour participation and well-being. On the basis of a sequence of childcare policies introduced in the early 2000s in Japan, we apply the difference-in-differences method. Our empirical results show that these services had positive heterogeneous effects on women’s labour supply in terms of extensive and intensive margins, depending on their employment type. Furthermore, we find a mixed result that the availability of such childcare services deteriorated the subjective well-being of regular employees possibly due to the increased working hours, but improved that of nonregular employees possibly due to the increased participation in the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1887802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1887802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:173-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dervis Kirikkaleli Author-X-Name-First: Dervis Author-X-Name-Last: Kirikkaleli Author-Name: Bugra Ozbeser Author-X-Name-First: Bugra Author-X-Name-Last: Ozbeser Title: New insights into an old issue: exploring the nexus between government expenditures and economic growth in the United States Abstract: This study investigates the correlation between government expenditures and economic growth by applying the wavelet coherence approach for the period of 1960Q2 – 2019Q3 in the United States. Two main concepts regarding the correlation between government expenditures and economic growth are the renowned Keynesian approach, which argues that government expenditures lead economic growth, and Wagner’s Law, which advocates the opposite. Our results indicate that economic growth leads government expenditures in the long run, whereas government expenditures only enhance economic growth in the short run and in periods of recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1859448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1859448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:129-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Julian S. Vasquez-Roldan Author-X-Name-First: Julian S. Author-X-Name-Last: Vasquez-Roldan Title: Income disparities in Colombia: market potential and neighborhood effects Abstract: Market potential has been shown to have an important impact on the explanation of observed income disparities both across countries and across regions within countries. However, the importance of neighbourhood for ‘income levels-market potential’ regressions is largely neglected in the empirical studies on the subject. This paper tries to fill up this gap by estimating fixed effects spatial panel data models using Colombian regional data over the period 1990–2015. Our results reveal that around half of the impact of market potential on regional income disparities can be attributed to neighbouring regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 106-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1856321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1856321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:106-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Changmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lingyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Lingyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A comparison of CEO pay-Korean listed firms and U.S. listed firms Abstract: Using the first set of individual compensation and public data for senior executives in South Korea, we document direct evidence on the level, construction, and mechanisms of CEO remuneration in South Korea and perform a matched sample to comparisons between Korea and the United States. Our findings show that there are some differences between the Korean and the U.S. systems. In South Korea, chief executives are paid mainly in salary. Option grants and long-term incentives are less important. The pay-performance sensitivity of South Korean CEOs is not as high as in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Víctor de Mingo-López Author-X-Name-First: Diego Víctor Author-X-Name-Last: de Mingo-López Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matallín-Sáez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matallín-Sáez Author-Name: Amparo Soler-Domínguez Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Soler-Domínguez Title: Addressing mutual fund performance across investment styles Abstract: The main objective of this study is to examine fund performance across different investment styles. Using a large sample of US mutual funds, we evaluate fund performance in relation to investment style. Our results show that fund performance differs across categories, with Value and SmallCap funds performing better than Growth and LargeCap funds, respectively. However, we observe notable differences in their performance distribution, since the alphas of Growth and SmallCap funds cover a range of broader intervals. Likewise, the best Growth funds and the best SmallCap funds in each month perform better than their comparable Value and LargeCap peers, respectively. In contrast, the worst Growth and SmallCap funds experience the worst performance during the sample period. These results are not driven by other performance indicators, such as fund size or portfolio expenses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristine Beck Author-X-Name-First: Kristine Author-X-Name-Last: Beck Author-Name: Hsin-Hui Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Inga Timmerman Author-X-Name-First: Inga Author-X-Name-Last: Timmerman Title: ‘Lower-income college student adjustments to COVID-19’ Abstract: Using a survey of mostly low-income upperclassmen at a large public institution, we focus on the perspective of young adults regarding financial decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that lower-income college students are weathering the pandemic by decreasing discretionary spending and increasing savings. In addition, we find most upperclassmen intend to finish their academic degree in the online learning environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 102-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1855310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:2:p:102-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Top to bottom: an expanded ranking of economics journals Abstract: In what we believe is the largest ranking of its kind in economics, this study extends the economics journal ranking literature by examining the impact of papers published in more than 550 economics journals. Based on Google Scholar citations per article to all articles published in the 15-year period from 2001 through 2015, we find that the top five journals are the American Economic Review, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal of Financial Economics, Journal of Political Economy and Journal of Economic Perspectives. Moreover, three of the American Economic Association’s newest journals – American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, and American Economic Journal: Economic Policy – are ranked among the top 30 economics journals. An expanded ranking such as that provided in this study is likely a useful tool for researchers, particularly the new ones, in navigating the field of economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 226-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:226-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imed Chkir Author-X-Name-First: Imed Author-X-Name-Last: Chkir Author-Name: Manara Toukabri Author-X-Name-First: Manara Author-X-Name-Last: Toukabri Title: Do politically connected firms borrow cheaply? Evidence from two post U.S. election campaigns Abstract: We shed more light on the effect of corporate political connections on the cost of debt of US firms. Focusing on new public debt issuance and applying a two stages instrumental variable model, we show that despite carrying higher leverage, politically connected firms increased their debt financing at a lower cost than did unconnected firms. Connected firms took advantage of this benefit a short time after contributing to the 2008 and 2012 election campaigns. Further analyses show that the positive effect of leverage on the cost of debt is practically eliminated for politically connected firms, suggesting that these firms are perceived as less risky than unconnected ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 200-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:200-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xingchun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingchun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Pricing European basket warrants with default risk under stochastic volatility models Abstract: In this paper, we consider basket warrants with default risk in a stochastic volatility model, where the correlation between the underlying assets is stochastic. In addition, we take into account default risk of warrant issuers, and use a reduced form model to capture default risk. In the proposed framework, a closed-form approximation is provided and the effect of default risk is investigated numerically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-260 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1862745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1862745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:253-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yalin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yalin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Chong Guo Author-X-Name-First: Chong Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Yingyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yingyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Environmental information disclosure and Labour investment efficiency Abstract: This article examines the correlation between environmental information disclosure and labour investment efficiency (LIE) using a sample of 343 Chinese-listed companies from 2015 to 2019. Empirical results show that firms with a high level of environmental information disclosure (EID) have significantly higher LIE. Further analysis indicates that the higher LIE is achieved by resolving under-hiring problems rather than over-hiring problems. Our findings enrich the labour investment researches in the finance literature and the environment studies in corporate social responsibility (CSR) literature and provide additional evidence for firms to improve EID quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 238-244 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:238-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiwei Ye Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Guoxiong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Guoxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Measuring social connectedness using air travel data Abstract: Previous research has proposed a novel way of using Facebook friendship data to measure on-line social connectedness between county pairs and country pairs. Meanwhile, in-person social connectedness is equally, if not more important. In this paper, we provide a seemly promising way to measure in-person social connectedness using air travel data. We find that counties tend to be more socially connected if they are closer to each other or have similar income per capita, share of white people, or share of Obama voters. We also find that counties with stronger social connectedness tend to have higher bilateral trade and immigration but do not tend to have more cross-county patent citations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 188-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:188-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Qiang Gong Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Huson Joher Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Huson Joher Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Is there a pattern in how COVID-19 has affected Australia’s stock returns? Abstract: Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has had a dramatic effect on global stock markets. In this article, we mount an investigation on how COVID-19 has impacted the Australian stock market returns. Using a quantile regression framework, the pattern of the effect we unravel is that COVID-19 has had a heterogeneous effect on sectors of the market, with health, information technology and consumer staples gaining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veysel Avsar Author-X-Name-First: Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Author-Name: David Hudgins Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hudgins Title: Measuring the effects of economic policy uncertainty on trade credit financing Abstract: This article provides an empirical investigation of the impacts of economic policy uncertainty on the methods of financing international transactions. Using regression, probit, and ordered logit model analyses, we find that an increase in the economic policy uncertainty index decreases the likelihood that a given import transaction will occur under trade financing. Thus, increased economic uncertainty raises the probability of using Cash in Advance, due to the importers’ desire for increased cash holding that results from the additional risk exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-252 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:249-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edoardo Beretta Author-X-Name-First: Edoardo Author-X-Name-Last: Beretta Author-Name: Stefano Peluso Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Peluso Title: Gold and bubbles: an impossible binomial? A review of historical and current evidence Abstract: Gold has a far-reaching history of ‘safe haven’ or ‘anchor of stability’. However, the epitome of precious metals has recently deviated from its historical price trend. Fluctuations and volatility have increased too. We argue that gold is not subject to bubbles (due to its scarcity in nature), although its price is. By means of a logical-analytical macroeconomic approach combined with statistical and empirical evidence, we prove that there is excess liquidity in the world economy as a whole, which has been increasingly invested in this precious metal. The paper also shows why the gold price could further rise and/or suddenly decrease. Both scenarios would be possible as soon as speculation kicks in. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-276 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:272-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiwen Hu Author-X-Name-First: Huiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Greg Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Greg Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Author-Name: Dylan Bouchard Author-X-Name-First: Dylan Author-X-Name-Last: Bouchard Title: When bargaining meets auctions: assessing the effect of best offer on eBay auctions Abstract: In this paper, we apply a recently popularized methodology called ‘matched listings’ to eBay API data to study the effect of enabling eBay’s bargaining feature on auction outcomes. Our results indicate that enabling the bargaining feature increases sale probability by 3.17%. In addition, hypothesis testing indicates this estimate is consistent with eBay’s claim where enabling bargaining increases sale probability by 5%. Finally, we find that enabling bargaining has no impact on transaction price. We provide an innovative evaluation of whether the matched listings methodology works well. We find that this methodology is prone to endogeneity with longer time windows, causing a downward bias when estimating the treatment effect of enabling bargaining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1862746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1862746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:261-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Won Hyeok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Won Hyeok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Myungkyu Shim Author-X-Name-First: Myungkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Hee-Seung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Labour supply elasticities in Korea: estimation with borrowing-constrained couples Abstract: This paper aims to provide reliable estimates for labour supply elasticities in Korea. Following Bredemeier et al. (2019), we exploit information on a worker’s relative contribution to household earnings when estimating the Frisch labour supply elasticity to mitigate the downward bias in the presence of borrowing constraints. Using the Korean Labour and Income Panel Study data (2000–2018), we find that the labour supply elasticity in Korea is 0.23. In addition, elasticities are estimated to be 0.27 for men and 0.21 for women, confirming a greater bias for men than for women when the borrowing constraint is ignored. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-187 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:183-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoffrey Propheter Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Propheter Title: Golf courses and property prices: Is it the golf or the open space? Abstract: Existing research finds price premiums for homes adjacent to golf courses, but this research fails to empirically examine if the premium is due to the presence of golf or non-golf-related benefits golf courses provide such as large open spaces free of noise and congestion. Using a difference-in-difference design on homes near a golf course that closed in Denver, Colorado, there is no evidence that losing a golf course results in lower sales prices for adjacent homes. Since prices do not fall when golf is taken away, the data support the hypothesis that non-golf benefits of courses command previously observed premiums. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-248 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:245-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Ke-Hsin Chou Author-X-Name-First: Ke-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: The soft commodities multiple bubbles tests: evidence from the New York Futures Markets Abstract: The soft commodity is a high-frequency trading market. We use the right-tailed unit root tests of Phillips et al. to investigate asset bubbles within and to detect explosive episodes on each soft commodity sample date set. Our empirical test uses weekly data from New York soft commodity market and finds bubbles existed in each of the soft commodities. The test model allows us to exam each bubble’s origination and termination dates using date-stamping in the recursive procedure. We found that the soft commodities bubble is more relevant to the man-made factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 206-211 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:206-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Nicolás Acosta-González Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Nicolás Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-González Author-Name: Oscar David Marcenaro-Gutiérrez Author-X-Name-First: Oscar David Author-X-Name-Last: Marcenaro-Gutiérrez Title: What explains life satisfaction? Relative income or rank income? The case of Ecuador Abstract: We test whether various measures of relative income and rank income hypothesis explain life satisfaction in Ecuador. We found robust evidence that the rank position of the income within the reference group explains life satisfaction. In contrast, the effect of relative income measures on happiness is sensitive to the variables used to construct the reference group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Vidal-Tomás Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal-Tomás Title: All the frequencies matter in the Bitcoin market: an efficiency analysis Abstract: Most studies in the Bitcoin literature are focused on daily data without considering other options. Therefore, it is necessary to analyse Bitcoin features at different frequencies. In this letter, we examine Bitcoin efficiency from 1 min to weekly data using the generalized Hurst exponent. Our results show that Bitcoin is more efficient over time regardless of the frequency. In particular, we observe that, since 2016, daily data are generally the most efficient frequency while 1 min and weekly data are the most inefficient. These results are relevant for investors and scholars since we detect the most profitable frequencies and underline the relevance of analysing different frequencies than daily data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 212-218 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:212-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Ayaita Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Ayaita Author-Name: Kerstin Pull Author-X-Name-First: Kerstin Author-X-Name-Last: Pull Title: Positional preferences and narcissism: evidence from ‘money burning’ dictator games Abstract: We study the relationship between positional preferences (i.e., preferences concerning the relative rank or position in comparison to others) and narcissism. We use six ‘money burning’ mini-dictator games to measure positional preferences. Two dimensions of narcissism are distinguished: narcissistic admiration (self-enhancement through searching for being admired) and narcissistic rivalry (self-defence through an antagonistic orientation towards others). Controlling for other relevant individual characteristics such as the Big Five personality traits and gender, we find evidence that narcissistic admiration is a negative predictor and narcissistic rivalry a positive predictor of positional preferences. We further find exploratory evidence that studying business or economics as a major (versus minor) subject is associated with less positional preferences and that the relationships between narcissism and positional preferences are mediated by decision makers’ expectations with regard to other players’ choices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1863320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1863320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:267-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael T. French Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: French Author-Name: Karoline Mortensen Author-X-Name-First: Karoline Author-X-Name-Last: Mortensen Author-Name: Andrew R. Timming Author-X-Name-First: Andrew R. Author-X-Name-Last: Timming Title: Changes in self-reported health, alcohol consumption, and sleep quality during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States Abstract: When the novel coronavirus entered the US in early 2020, the initial response to protect the health-care system capacity, slow transmission, and associated morbidity and mortality has been stay-at-home orders, social distancing, and proper hygiene. However, extended social isolation can result in unintended consequences. To examine possible unintended consequences, we fielded a longitudinal survey with the same sample of respondents – the first at the end of March 2020 and the second one month later at the end of April 2020. We calculated changes over time in physical health status, mental health status, alcohol consumption, and sleep quality. Random-effects logit models were estimated to identify statistically significant predictors for each outcome. Results show that individuals reported significantly worse outcomes in all four areas as the pandemic progressed, especially for alcohol consumption and sleep quality. In general, age, non-White race, religiosity, and resiliency are protective factors while being female and having greater fear of the coronavirus are risk factors. If these trends continue as we enter future stages of the pandemic, then the full societal costs could become extreme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1861197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1861197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:3:p:219-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piotr Bialowolski Author-X-Name-First: Piotr Author-X-Name-Last: Bialowolski Author-Name: Andrzej Cwynar Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Cwynar Author-Name: Dorota Weziak-Bialowolska Author-X-Name-First: Dorota Author-X-Name-Last: Weziak-Bialowolska Title: Co-holding behaviour: unlocking the puzzle Abstract: This article seeks to explain why households decide to simultaneously hold both credit and savings products. Beyond the arguments of ignorance or behavioural biases commonly used in the literature, our analysis demonstrates that co-holders might be rationally seeking lower interest rates on their consumer credit products. Our analysis reveals that additional savings accumulated before credit uptake, even if not used as a down payment for a debt, reduce the interest rate on credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-337 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:333-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher S. Brunt Author-X-Name-First: Christopher S. Author-X-Name-Last: Brunt Author-Name: Joshua R. Hendrickson Author-X-Name-First: Joshua R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hendrickson Title: An empirical evaluation of the physician offsetting response Abstract: Using data on office visits for Medicare-treating physicians, this study examines the effects of several policy changes that reduced real reimbursement for some, but not all physicians, from 2012 to 2017. Using genetic propensity score weighted Difference-in-Differences (DID) models that include individual physician and county fixed-effects, this study finds strong evidence that those who experienced a reimbursement reduction increased their service provision, indicative of a supplier-induced demand response. Our estimates imply that 27–33% of a reimbursement reduction will be offset through changes in provider behavior. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-324 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:316-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duc Bao Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Bao Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Antoine Bouët Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Bouët Author-Name: Fousseini Traoré Author-X-Name-First: Fousseini Author-X-Name-Last: Traoré Title: On the proper computation of Ad Valorem equivalent of non-tariff measures Abstract: In all the previous studies evaluating the Ad Valorem Equivalent (AVE) of Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs) based on a gravity equation, Jensen’s inequality is not considered. Yet the issue of estimating the impact of dummy or count variables in semi-log or related equations has been raised since the early eighties. In this article, we illustrate the bias associated with the omission of Jensen’s inequality and show that when it is not considered, the estimation of AVEs can be significantly biased. This omission leads to a significant underestimation of the restrictive impact of NTMs and can even change the sign of the AVE. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-302 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1864273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1864273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:298-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blake Thomas Gray Author-X-Name-First: Blake Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Gray Author-Name: Yi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Sarah Del Asebedo Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Del Author-X-Name-Last: Asebedo Title: Household agreement and financial satisfaction: a bargaining perspective Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between married individuals’ financial satisfaction and their agreement about the investment of household savings and major life issues. Couples are categorized into two groups: (1) those who agree to share decision-making or assign a primary decision maker and (2) those who disagree. We then test for differences in individual financial satisfaction by female-headed, male-headed, equally shared and households in disagreement. Successful bargaining is expected to result in households that agree on a decision-making arrangement that maximizes financial satisfaction. The results suggest that spouses who agree on a decision-making arrangement when investing in household savings or making major life decisions are more likely to report higher levels of financial satisfaction than those who do not. These results align with the theory that states cooperative bargaining agreements result in higher utility than non-cooperating bargaining agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 282-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1864271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1864271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:282-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Sacht Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Sacht Title: The tale of the donkey and the elephant: an estimated optimal fiscal policy rule for the US Abstract: We derive an optimal fiscal policy rule that reflects the US government’s desire to reduce fluctuations in the output gap and the primary deficit in the post-World War II period. The results from Bayesian estimations show a lower weight on output gap stabilization under predominant democratic presidencies relative to republican ones. The opposite holds with respect to maintaining a zero primary deficit. Our time-consistent fiscal rule indicates a countercyclical government response to GDP fluctuations at all times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Author-Name: Garland Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Garland Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: A note on the industry returns of NASDAQ-listed ADRs Abstract: In this paper NASDAQ-traded ADRs are formed into eight different portfolios. Each of these portfolios is of companies in the same industry, but not necessarily the same country. Each of these eight portfolios produces returns that are very different from one another. The news for the investor is this: while it may be true that country choice matters, it is certainly the case that industry choice matters. Investors that held portfolios in the right industry made a lot of money. Investors that held portfolios in the wrong industries did not do nearly as well as others. The variation of rate of return difference and excess rate of return between the eight different industry portfolios is enormous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 360-365 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:360-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Dennis Olson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Seven centuries of commodity co-movement: a wavelet analysis approach Abstract: We examine interdependencies between agricultural, industrial, and energy commodity price indices suing data sets from more than seven centuries. To this end, we apply wavelet coherence and wavelet phase difference. There is a high coherence between prices for all three commodity-groups with energy prices now leading both agricultural and industrial commodity prices. Also, the role of energy as a leading series has increased over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip J. Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Philip J. Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Author-Name: Mark Cummins Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Cummins Title: A dynamic Cholesky data imputation method for correlation structure consistency“ Abstract: In the context of data that is missing completely at random, we propose a new data imputation method that exploits Cholesky decomposition. The data imputation method falls within the multiple imputation framework and is designed to ensure consistency with the correlation structure of the available data. The advantage is an accessible and computationally efficient approach to managing missing data that avoids the model risk associated with applying complex model-based data imputation methods. The non-recursive nature of our data imputation method further avoids the convergence issues associated with recursive approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John V. Duca Author-X-Name-First: John V. Author-X-Name-Last: Duca Author-Name: Jason L. Saving Author-X-Name-First: Jason L. Author-X-Name-Last: Saving Title: Media fragmentation and the polarization of the American public Abstract: The share of Americans having no opinion about the President’s job performance has fallen since 1950, a manifestation of the political polarization that has increasingly impeded U.S. policymaking. Time series analysis attributes this to greater media fragmentation, as tracked by trends in shifts towards cable TV and computer access to media. Results suggest that political polarization will likely persist at high levels absent structural shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-281 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1864270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1864270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:277-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengcheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chengcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peng Song Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Bai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Early-warning signals of risk contagion among global stock markets: evidence from community-level Abstract: In this article, we first identify the community-level structure of risk contagion among global stock markets and then provide the follow-up early-warning signals. The findings underscore the geographic nature of risk communities and their market composition heterogeneity. The core structure of risk contagion among global stock markets can be characterized by the relationship among a small number of communities that are highly coincided with geographic regions of Asia–Oceania, Europe and the Americas. Especially, we observe a more prominent role of emerging markets in communities of the Americas and Asia–Oceania. Moreover, our early-warning signals show that risk contagion within the European community and the outward spillovers to others are more pronounced. Risk spillovers from the community of Asia–Oceania to the Americas cannot be ignored either. The empirical findings may help develop the concept of top-down hierarchical real-time risk management. Risk contagion of markets in Europe and Asia–Oceania should also be attached more importance in the future early-warning system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 338-345 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1867308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1867308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:338-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Heejin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Intraday option price changes and net buying pressure Abstract: We re-examine the effect of net buying pressure on options-implied volatility changes by analysing ultra-high-frequency microstructure data. Intraday relationships between option price dynamics and investors’ net demand are explained by the direction-learning hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 292-297 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1864272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1864272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:292-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Shortfall portfolio selection: a bootstrap and k-fold analysis Abstract: This paper empirically compares the sampling properties and out-of-sample performance of several reputed shortfall-based portfolio selection rules by applying the bootstrap and k-fold cross validation to two distinct data sets spanning five decades. The results suggest that a simple extension of the venerable Safety First rule offers the best overall performance, especially when methodological simplicity is desired. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marlon Williams Author-X-Name-First: Marlon Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Is there a gender gap in our responses to a gender pay gap? An experiment Abstract: A significant amount of academic work has gone into trying to identify and quantify the importance of the key sources of the significant and persistent gender pay gap that exists. However, far less attention has been devoted to testing whether the desire or willingness to pursue policies to reduce this gap differs across gender. Using a laboratory experiment, I find, perhaps unsurprisingly, that males are far less likely than females to support such a policy when males are the higher-earning gender. However, the results flip dramatically when the earning positions are reversed along gender lines. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 346-350 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:346-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuhiko Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Title: Strategic delegation under rational and fulfilled expectations in quantity competition Abstract: In an asymmetric duopoly with quantity competition such that consumers form expectations about network sizes before and after the owners of both firms choose their incentive parameters (fulfilled and rational expectations, respectively), this paper reconsidered the level of their incentive parameters adopting the approach emplyed in two important existing works in this field. In quantity competition, we demonstrate that in such an asymmetric duopoly, the owners of both firms make their managers more aggressive than their sole profit maximizers, regardless of the strength of network effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jules Yimga Author-X-Name-First: Jules Author-X-Name-Last: Yimga Title: To Pad or Not to Pad? A Note on the Schedule Padding Behavior of Airlines Abstract: This note provides a rationale for the current trend in airline schedule padding by studying the strategic behaviour of carriers that may decide whether or not to pad their flight beyond the optimal time necessary for flight completion. Using a structural demand and supply model for air travel, our results indicate that the positive price effects of schedule padding we observe are primarily driven by cost increases (inefficiency effect) rather than increases in markup (marketing effect). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-332 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1866155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1866155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:325-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Miguel Ángel Martin-Valmayor Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Ángel Author-X-Name-Last: Martin-Valmayor Title: Non-linearities and persistence in US long-run interest rates Abstract: This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from Bloomberg including end-of-the-month values over the period January 1962-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation results indicate that both are highly persistent and exhibit non-linearities, the latter being more pronounced in the case of the ECB series. Also, there is no conclusive evidence of the presence of structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 366-370 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:4:p:366-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Edquist Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Edquist Author-Name: Peter Goodridge Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Goodridge Author-Name: Jonathan Haskel Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Haskel Title: The economic impact of streaming beyond GDP Abstract: This article finds that the shift from buying music as a physical product towards subscribing to music services implies an unmeasured decrease of 85% in the price paid per song. Traditionally, price indexes have focused on tangible prices on CDs. These price indexes have partly become obsolete as more of the consumption of music is streamed. However, the price indexes for streamed music still do not capture the price paid per song. We estimate that the shift from buying CDs to streaming music online generates a price decrease of 85% per song. This implies that in 2019 the global quality-adjusted value from streamed music was $76 billion compared to current revenues of $11 billion. Thus, the shift from consuming music in physical form towards subscribing to music services creates an enormous consumer surplus that is not recorded in GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-408 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:403-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Almagro Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Almagro Author-Name: Jan-Oliver Strych Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Strych Title: Margin trading shareholder activists Abstract: We examine margin trading activists that we define as shareholders that are identified by Schedule 13D filings and state therein that they may use margin borrowings to finance their holdings. We find that arrivals of margin trading activists are associated with positive target announcement returns compared to those of non-margin trading activists. This indicates that margin trading activists’ arrivals are perceived as signals of positive future target firm performance. Moreover, we find that their investment horizon is likely contingent on how long they have invested in the targets prior to their filings or whether markets react positively to their arrivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-441 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:437-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vijay Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Ron Bird Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Title: Factors influencing the profitability of banks in India and China Abstract: The study investigates the factors influencing profitability of banks in India and China. Our results suggest that credit quality, bank size, and cost management are the key factors behind the profitability of banks in India and China. The loan to deposit ratio of the banks is also important. It has a positive impact on the profitability of banks in China but a negative impact on the profitability of banks in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-375 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:371-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Mai Phan Author-X-Name-First: Hong Mai Author-X-Name-Last: Phan Author-Name: Hang Vu Diem Pham Author-X-Name-First: Hang Vu Diem Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Hung T. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hung T. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Lan Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Lan Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Bank performance during the credit crisis: evidence from Asia-Pacific countries Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants of the stock performance of small and medium banks across Asia-Pacific countries during the global financial crisis of 2007–2008. We find that small and medium banks with more Tier 1 capital, more deposits, more liquid assets, and less funding fragility performed better during the crisis. We also find differences in banking regulations across countries are generally uncorrelated with the performance of small and medium banks during the crisis. Furthermore, there is no systematic evidence that better bank governance is associated with better performance of small and medium banks during the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-426 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:413-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafi Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Rafi Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: The awkward truth about CEO pay Abstract: This paper is the first of its kind using the variation in state corporate tax rates to investigate if they have any explanatory power in predicting variations in CEO pay. Specifically, this paper allows us to shed light on whether corporate tax cuts boost CEO pay? This paper, by using a difference-in-difference (DID) set up over the period 1994 to 2015, finds that corporate tax cuts statistically affect CEO pay among all publicly traded firms in the US. The magnitude of the effect increases among the S&P 500 and S&P 100. The paper further presents some interesting findings using three different measures of executive compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 376-379 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:376-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haoyang Li Author-X-Name-First: Haoyang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Does high speed rail enhance financial development? Abstract: We investigate the impact of high-speed rail (HSR) opening on analysts information-gathering. Our findings suggest that the number of site visits by analysts and the number of analysts involved in the site visits increase significantly after the opening of HSR in the cities in which the listed firms are located. Additional analysis suggests that firms located in HSR cities experience increase in liquidity and decrease in earnings management. Hence, the spatiotemporal squeezing effect generated by HSR opening significantly improves the accessibility of the local firms, reduces the information-gathering costs of analysts, increases the willingness of analysts to conduct site visits, and accelerates the information flow of the listed firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 442-445 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:442-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei He Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Xuanyi Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xuanyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yue Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wenjun Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wenjun Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Pay disparity within top management teams, real earnings management, and firm value: destructive competition or value creation? A moderated mediating model Abstract: This article examines the impact of pay disparity within the top management team (TMT) on real earnings management. Using data from Chinese listed firms for the period 2007 to 2018, we find that pay disparity within TMT has a negative impact on real earnings management and this relationship further enhances firms’ value, which supports internal governance view. Moreover, the indirect effect is stronger when product market competition is high. Results hold for both accounting and market firm value measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 384-390 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:384-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Huixia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huixia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The long-term effects of the Chinese great famine on mental health Abstract: A growing body of studies examined the effects of health shocks during early childhood and in-utero in developing countries. However, the related research on mental health is limited. In this article, we contribute to the existing literature by providing evidence of the long-term effects of the Chinese Great Famine in 1959–1961 on self-reported mental health. Using CHARLS, we find that people who were exposed to the famine in early childhood are more likely to have mental problems. In addition, women are more likely to be impacted by the famine. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-461 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1870916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1870916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:455-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cai-Xia Song Author-X-Name-First: Cai-Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Cui-Xia Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Cui-Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Application of gravity model to explain the effects of diplomatic relations on China’s service trade Abstract: Using the data of China’s service trade and diplomatic events with 45 countries, this paper examines the effects of diplomatic relations on service trade based on the gravity model. Through an empirical analysis, the results proved that good diplomatic relations can significantly promote the export of China’s service trade and that the effects of diplomatic relations on trade have a clear distinction regarding different political positions. Our results support the view that diplomatic relation does an important role in international trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-436 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:431-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lixin Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Fangfang Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fangfang Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Is market index autocorrelation attributable to price latency? Evidence from CSI500 Abstract: This article discusses the autocorrelation in daily returns of the China Stock Index 500 (CSI500) from the perspective of price latency due to price limit mechanism. We propose limit-up/limit-down (LULD) indices to quantify the price latency in CSI500 as an aggregated number of component stocks closing with LULD in a given trading day. We found that the positive autocorrelation in the CSI500 market index during the data period disappeared after the price latency was controlled. This implies that the autocorrelation we observed may be attributable to the price latency measured by LULD indices. Our findings provide new insight into the dynamic features of market indices and may serve as a workable reference for practical usage of the market index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869161 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung-Fa Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Fa Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Ngoc Thuy Mai Author-X-Name-First: Ngoc Thuy Author-X-Name-Last: Mai Author-Name: Dien Giau Bui Author-X-Name-First: Dien Giau Author-X-Name-Last: Bui Title: Managerial ability, financial constraints, and the value of cash holding Abstract: We find that a skilful CEO, who persistently performs well over several years, can reduce a firm’s financial constraints. Our finding is robust to an instrumental variable regression, different definitions of a skilful CEO, and alternative measures of financial constraints. Further, we provide evidence that skilful managers improve the value of their firms’ cash holdings. Thus, this study contributes to the literature by exploring a potential bright side of managerial ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 462-468 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1870917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1870917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:462-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xueqing Geng Author-X-Name-First: Xueqing Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Author-Name: Kun Guo Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Research on dynamic structure of the exchange rate volatility network among the Belt and Road countries based on spillover effect Abstract: The countries taking part in China’s ‘The Belt and Road’ Initiative have achieved greatly increased trade volume and become more firmly interconnected since the initiative was launched in September 2013. This paper researches the exchange rate volatility features among 15 countries along the Belt and Road region with the network analysis based on spillover effect. A directed network is constructed to show not only the impact one currency having on and received from the other currencies, but also the net effect from one currency to another in the network. The importance of any currency in the network and the total interconnectedness of the whole network can also be obtained. Furthermore, a 200-day rolling window analysis is used to show the dynamic evolution trend of the network. The results show that after the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative, both the interconnectedness of the exchange rate volatility network and the importance of CNY increase. In addition, the importance of most currencies in the network has been quite volatile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 446-454 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1870649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1870649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:446-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid NoghaniBehambari Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: NoghaniBehambari Author-Name: Farzaneh Noghani Author-X-Name-First: Farzaneh Author-X-Name-Last: Noghani Author-Name: Nahid Tavassoli Author-X-Name-First: Nahid Author-X-Name-Last: Tavassoli Title: Child Support Enforcement and Child Mortality Abstract: This paper explores the potential benefit of enforcements in Child Support policies to child mortality rates. Exploiting the sharp changes in Child Support laws across states and over the years 1975–1993, we find that adoption of a full set of policies reduces the child death rate by 23% relative to the mean. The results are robust across multiple subsamples and a variety of specifications. Three potential mechanisms of impact include better health utilization during the prenatal period, improved birth outcomes, and moving towards better-quality health insurance for children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-402 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:391-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Junni Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Junni Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The impact of COVID-19 on the housing market: evidence from the Yangtze river delta region in China Abstract: We investigate the impacts of COVID-19 on the housing market in the Yangtze river delta region in China. We divide data into the groups of the municipality directly under the central government (first-tier city) and other provinces (second- and third-tier cities), and use average selling price of commercial housing to capture the performance of local housing market. The findings suggest significantly positive impacts of COVID-19 on housing price in this region, which implies the urgent needs of housing for families to stay together during the epidemic. The municipality directly under the central government (also the first-tier city) usually tends to have higher housing prices due to better economic and medical conditions and urban governance there, while such impacts shrink in the period of epidemic, implying the effective control of housing price there, which provides relevant policy guidance for other provinces and non-first-tier cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:409-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Kohler Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kohler Author-Name: Anne Wunderlich Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Wunderlich Title: How migrants’ food tastes shape international agro-food trade Abstract: We identify and quantify the effect of food tastes on international trade flows. Based on a novel data set including all ingredients in the national dishes of 171 countries, we construct a measure for similarity in food tastes between countries. We identify the effect of tastes on bilateral food trade flows by exploiting that migrants’ tastes differ from the tastes of their host country. Our results show that the effect of migration on trade decreases the more similar tastes are between a migrant’s country of origin and her host country. Thus, we can show that tastes do matter for international trade flows, and are able to quantify their effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1912695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1912695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:469-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongkyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hongkyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Taeyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimation of the relative efficiency of 20 OECD countries for mitigation of greenhouse gases Abstract: In this study, we investigated which greenhouse gas (GHG) emission sources have contributed to worsening global warming and which GHG mitigation efforts have been effective and finally evaluated the relative efficiency of OECD 20 countries in reducing total GHG and CO2 emissions under the Kyoto Protocol regime. We applied the effect model of the stochastic frontier model. The main findings are as follows: First, it appears that the manufacturing, electricity and transportation sectors are mainly to blame for the worsening of global warming. Second, innovations in green technology are an effective method for mitigating global warming. Third, Germany is identified as the most efficient country in reducing CO2 as well as total GHG emissions, even though Germany emits the most GHG and CO2 among the target 20 OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 380-383 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1869155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1869155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:5:p:380-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyung Soon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyung Soon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Wonseok Choi Author-X-Name-First: Wonseok Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Managerial over-optimism and agency costs of debt: evidence from high-tech IPO firms in Korea Abstract: We examine whether the combination of agency costs of debt and managerial optimism in high-tech IPOs creates inefficient R&D investment, thus undermining corporate value. We find that high-tech IPO firms with a high debt ratio exhibit a positive relationship between discretionary and future R&D expenses at the IPO point. We also find a negative relationship between discretionary R&D expenses and the long-term cumulative abnormal return. Furthermore, managerial optimism and agency costs of debt can increase during an IPO, reducing future value. Thus, a stock return decrease after an IPO may be influenced by management’s psychological errors and shareholders’ preferences for risky investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-550 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:545-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fengyan Dai Author-X-Name-First: Fengyan Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Fang Cai Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Returns to higher education in China – evidence from the 1999 higher education expansion using a fuzzy regression discontinuity Abstract: China experienced a 47% expansion in higher education enrolment between 1998 and 1999 and a sixfold expansion in the decade to 2008. Using a fuzzy discontinuity in the months of births, we show that the 1999 expansion increased education by roughly 1 year around the cut-off point. Importantly, each additional year of university education induced by the expansion increases monthly earnings by 24%, whereas the corresponding OLS estimate is only 8%. Our findings are insensitive to alternative window widths, functional forms or the exclusion of the self-employed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1871465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1871465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Garmon Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Garmon Title: Hospital concentration and bed capacity Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of hospital bed capacity. Some policy experts claim that hospital mergers and lax antitrust oversight contributed to hospital bed shortages in the United States. This paper investigates the relationship between hospital concentration and bed capacity using public data and panel data methods. No evidence is found that increasing hospital concentration leads to reduced capacity. If anything, the evidence suggests the opposite: a small positive association between concentration and hospital bed capacity. The evidence suggests that the antitrust agencies are correct to focus on price, cost, quality, and access to care instead of overall bed capacity in their evaluation of hospital mergers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinsheng Cui Author-X-Name-First: Xinsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Yining Yao Author-X-Name-First: Yining Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Yuanyue Bian Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyue Author-X-Name-Last: Bian Author-Name: Liwei Cui Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Title: Can better business environments promote trade partners’ economic growth? Abstract: This study empirically examines the impact of business environments on trade partners’ economic growth using the Ease of Doing Business Score of the World Bank’s Doing Business project for 2004–2018. The results show that with a threshold level of economic development, business environments have a significant positive impact on trade partners’ economic growth, which is the spatial spillover effect of the business environment. Further, we find that this effect is heterogeneous, and it is much easier for a more developed country to drive the economic growth of less developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 540-544 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:540-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zerong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zerong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Donghao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Donghao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jiancheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiancheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: How does digital finance impact the leverage of Chinese households? Abstract: In this article, digital inclusive finance positively determines the debt ratio of Chinese households. Through mechanism analysis, we clarify that digital inclusive finance affects household debt ratio by increasing household consumption and relaxing liquidity constraints. Further analysis suggests that digital inclusive finance inhibits household over-indebtedness. These findings imply the tradeoff between deleverage and over-indebtedness of Chinese household sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-558 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:555-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew C. Li Author-X-Name-First: Matthew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Catherine C. Lai Author-X-Name-First: Catherine C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Ling Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Did COVID-19 increase equity market risk exposure? Evidence from China, the UK, and the US Abstract: By studying equity market returns to China, the UK, and the US, we explore the key question of whether the COVID-19 pandemic changes the risk exposure of equity markets, which is fundamental to market stability and investor confidence. Using data from the World Health Organization and Bloomberg, our full sample covers the period 3 July 2019 to 15 December 2020 which facilities a subsample (Normal, Shock, Endurance) analysis. Utilizing Value-at-Risk (VaR) metrics as our risk exposure measure, we find that 1) There exists a sharp increase in equity market risk exposure across the three equity markets. 2) A stronger pandemic impact is found in different market capitalization segments – China, large-cap; the UK, small-cap; the US, mid-cap. 3) Generally, investors consider the number of new cases as a more worrying factor than deaths while UK investors are sensitive to both. Our observations suggest that given limited resources but rising demands from both businesses and households for government assistance, a one-size-fits-all policy to support market recovery would be sub-optimal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1912696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1912696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Grigoli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Grigoli Author-Name: Zsoka Koczan Author-X-Name-First: Zsoka Author-X-Name-Last: Koczan Author-Name: Petia Topalova Author-X-Name-First: Petia Author-X-Name-Last: Topalova Title: Calling older workers back to work Abstract: Population ageing in advanced economies could have significant macroeconomic implications, unless more individuals choose to participate in labour markets. In this context, the steep increase in the share of older workers who remain economically active since the mid-1990s is an overlooked yet encouraging trend. We identify the drivers of the rise in participation of the elderly relying on cross-country and individual-level data from advanced economies over the past three decades. Our findings suggest that the bulk of the increase in their participation is driven by gains in educational attainment and changes in labour market policies, such as the tax benefit system, and pension reforms. Urbanization and the increasing role of services also contributed, while automation weighed on their participation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-566 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1876205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1876205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:559-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Ying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Li-Chen Chou Author-X-Name-First: Li-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Political cycle and the financial lending scale Abstract: We study the impact of the political cycle on financial lending. The change of party secretaries every several years in the Chinese cities provides a good setting for our analysis. Empirical results indicate the scale of lending by financial institutions increased one year before and after the congress of the Chinese Communist Party and decreased during the convening year, showing political cyclicality. In addition, the size of financial lending by the cities whose party secretary’s age is over 55 is smaller than others. The results reflect the incentive to achieve promotion by stimulating economic performance is smaller for the ageing secretary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 534-539 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:534-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing You Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Yupei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yupei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Becoming them or remaining us? The impact of communication on immigrant integration Abstract: We exploit an exogenous introduction of a mobile phone plan among rural-to-urban migrants in Beijing, China, to study the causal impact of communication on immigrant integration and assimilation. More contact via phone calls and social media over a year improves immigrants’ language alignment, enhances their perceived similarity with the natives, while attenuates self-identity of and adherence to original cultures. Migrants show stronger settlement intentions in capital cities of native provinces rather than in Beijing, because of more concerns about distant family members and perceived perpetuating discrimination under intervention. Long-term integration, indicated by a sense of belonging, attitudes on inter-group marriage and the importance of their children to learn original languages remains stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 514-519 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1874608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1874608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:514-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanae Tamechika Author-X-Name-First: Hanae Author-X-Name-Last: Tamechika Author-Name: Masaaki Fuse Author-X-Name-First: Masaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Fuse Title: Japan’s intertemporal elasticity of substitution of consumption Abstract: This study estimates the intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES) of consumption in Japan, using the latest available data and considering structural changes. Our findings suggest that the IES during the post-bubble economy was greater than what it was until the end of the bubble economy. As a result of an increase in savings as a waiting option in conjunction with a precautionary savings motive, elasticity of intertemporal substitution has increased considerably since the bubble period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 508-513 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1873904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1873904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:508-513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Zhi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhi Author-Name: Hongbing Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Hongbing Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Man Xue Author-X-Name-First: Man Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Title: A research on driver nodes identification in Chinese interbank networks: based on the controllability theory of complex network Abstract: We propose a  method of network controllability to identify the driver nodes in Chinese interbank lending networks from 2008 to 2014, and analyse the role and influence of the driver nodes in the banking system. The results show that it is enough to control only nD (the fraction of minimum driver nodes) of the banks to steer the entire banking system. We find that the driver nodes are often not the most closely connected banks, nor the largest banks. We further introduce the concept of control centrality to quantify the ability of a single node to control a banking network, and we validate our results by showing that the driver nodes have larger control centrality. Our conclusions can help the regulatory authorities determine the institutions that should be supervised or controlled, and provide new ideas and theoretical basis for improving the macroprudential supervision policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-501 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1871466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1871466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:495-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunjung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Effect of internal accounting control system on the value of cash holdings Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the adequacy of internal control personnel and the value of cash holdings. The internal control personnel of firms have a responsibility to ensure the reliability of financial statements, prevent corruption, and protect assets, including cash. Investors value cash based on its use by the company. The value of cash holdings declines when managers use cash to maximize private utility, while it increases when cash is used to create corporate value. The internal control personnel contribute towards increasing the value of cash holdings. The results show that an inadequate number of internal control personnel negatively impacts the value of cash holdings. However, investors ignore the expertise of such personnel when evaluating the value of cash holdings. These findings suggest an increase in firms’ understanding of the significance of human resource investment in terms of internal control and its impact on investors’ decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-488 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1871464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1871464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:484-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Zhongkun Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongkun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiaoshi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Agricultural mechanization and cropland abandonment in rural China Abstract: This study examines the impacts of the adoption of three mechanized farming strategies (no-mechanized, semi-mechanized, and full-mechanized farming) on cropland abandonment, using the 2016 China Labour-force Dynamics Survey data. An innovative multivalued treatment effects model is employed to address sample selection bias. The results show that relative to no-mechanized farming, the adoption of semi-mechanized farming increases the probability of cropland abandonment. However, relative to either no or semi-mechanized farming, the adoption of full-mechanized farming significantly decreases the likelihood of cropland abandonment. Thus, farmers’ decisions of cropland abandonment depend on whether mechanization can partially or fully substitute farm labour. Our findings suggest that promoting agricultural mechanization via scale and topography-appropriate farm machines and enhancing land transfer for consolidation can help alleviate cropland abandonment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 526-533 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:526-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edmond Berisha Author-X-Name-First: Edmond Author-X-Name-Last: Berisha Author-Name: Ram Sewak Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Sewak Dubey Author-Name: Zaman Zamanian Author-X-Name-First: Zaman Author-X-Name-Last: Zamanian Title: Recent dynamics in racial wage gap in the United States Abstract: Using weekly earnings data from Current Population Survey for Black and White Americans employed full time, we examine how disparities based on race stand relative to disparities between wage groups. We find that wage disparity between wage groups prevails significantly as compared to race wage gap on explaining overall wage inequality among Blacks and Whites in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 502-507 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1873233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1873233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:502-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Avinash Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Avinash Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Kampan Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Kampan Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: A penalty-reward system for pro-environmental project execution Abstract: In this paper, an evolutionary game was developed and used to simulate interactions among the key stakeholders associated with the monitoring and control of environmental impact of the projects. The system dynamics simulation of the evolutionary game indicated problems in sustaining desired behaviour from the concerned stakeholders. Based on the observations from the simulation of the evolutionary game, a penalty – reward system was proposed to deal with these problems and to ensure that execution of projects is pro-environmental with minimum monitoring from the senior management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-483 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1870918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1870918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:477-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Komarek Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Komarek Author-Name: Jay K. Walker Author-X-Name-First: Jay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Does starting school before labor day affect high school retention and graduation: evidence from Virginia’s kings dominion law Abstract: Several states have required K-12 public schools to start after Labour Day in an effort to aid the tourism and hospitality industry. However, little is known about how these policies impact educational outcomes. We examine the impact of Virginia’s post-Labour Day school start law on high school retention and graduation rates. We use a difference-in-differences model to exploit exogenous variation in school division start dates. Our results show small differences of up to three weeks have little effect on high school dropout and graduation rates. Our findings inform the debate on post-Labour Day school start laws and compulsory attendance age cut-off laws. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 520-525 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1875112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1875112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:6:p:520-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Eun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Norman V. Loayza Author-X-Name-First: Norman V. Author-X-Name-Last: Loayza Title: Economic loss from COVID-19 fatalities across countries: a VSL approach Abstract: COVID-19 has quickly propagated throughout the globe and triggered the worst economic crisis the world has experienced in recent history. We estimate mortality rates and associated economic loss of fatalities for different contagion suppression scenarios in a worldwide group of countries. We adjust previous estimates of mortality rates by adjusting for lower healthcare capacity to treat critically ill patients in lower-income countries. Furthermore, we adjust previous estimates of the economic loss from fatalities by controlling for the age profile of victims. The results show significant economic gains in adopting mitigation strategies, but the marginal gains decrease when moving from mitigation to suppression strategies. Moreover, lower-income countries gain less in moving from no intervention to mitigation and still less in moving from mitigation to suppression than higher-income countries do. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 644-650 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:644-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Charalampos Agiropoulos Author-X-Name-First: Charalampos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiropoulos Title: Dealing with serially correlated errors in the context of spurious regression for two independent stationary AR(1) processes Abstract: Serially correlated errors are most likely to appear in regression analysis when time-series data are used either as a true symptom of autocorrelation or as an indication of a false specification among variables. This study examines the problem of serially correlated errors in the context of spurious regression for two independent stationary AR(1) processes, showing evidence of removing the presence of both symptoms using a Monte Carlo analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-625 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1881427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1881427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:619-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongle Li Author-X-Name-First: Yongle Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiaobo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Born leaders: China’s municipal party secretaries Abstract: Applying relative-age effect theory to China, we examine the political career development of municipal party secretaries. Our analysis presented in this paper provides substantial evidence in favour of those who were older in their cohort at school, i.e., those who were born in October and November are more likely than those who were born in June or July to be advanced to a party leadership position in an earlier time. This research fills in a gap in the field of RAE from a comparative perspective, and it also provides insights into long-term effects of relative age in China’s increasingly competitive political careers that challenge the conventional wisdom in political science literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 626-629 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1881428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1881428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:626-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weijie Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Xiaoming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Political turnover and corporate research and development: evidence from China Abstract: This paper documents cycles in corporate research and development corresponding with the timing of political turnover. Utilising the data on local government officials and research and development activities at the firm level in China, firms’ intensity of research and development input is found to be negatively associated with a turnover in local political leaders. We investigate several potential explanations and find evidence supporting that political turnover reduces the incentives of firms to invest in research and development until the uncertainty is resolved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-578 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1813242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1813242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:573-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Li Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yaofu Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Yaofu Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Title: How oil price shocks affect investor sentiment: new evidence from China Abstract: This paper studies the effect of structural oil price shocks on China’s investor sentiment using the Bayesian inference structural vector autoregression (VAR) model by Baumeister and Hamilton (2019). We find that oil supply shocks followed by consumption demand shocks have positive and persistent effects on China’s investor sentiment, whereas aggregate and inventory demand shocks have only temporary effects. The effects of these shocks are transmitted mainly by affecting investor’s confidence in domestic economic fundamentals and the international economic environment. Furthermore, oil price shocks also induce different trading motivations in the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 584-592 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1876207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1876207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:584-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haruhisa Nishino Author-X-Name-First: Haruhisa Author-X-Name-Last: Nishino Title: Bayesian and decomposition analyses for health inequality in Japan Abstract: In this article, the author investigates the inequality of health conditions in Japan using self-reported health condition data collected during a Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions in Japan. The used data is ordinal, and inequality measures for ordinal data are introduced. Bayesian and decomposition analyses for the inequality of health conditions show that the proportion of young people has decreased and that, from 1998 to 2016, health inequality also decreased. The decrease in the proportion of young people is responsible for the lower health inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-664 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:657-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuang-Cheng Chai Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Author-Name: De-Cong Xie Author-X-Name-First: De-Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Chin-Piao Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Piao Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Hao-Ran Lan Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Zhen-Xin Cui Author-X-Name-First: Zhen-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Title: Chinese national civilized city and corporate social responsibility: will civilized city promote corporate social responsibility? Abstract: The continuous improvement of China’s status in the world economy has also promoted China’s urban construction. The Chinese government proposes to build a more civilized and more sustainable city, and awards National Civilized City Award (NCCA) to cities that meet the standards. In order to obtain the title of NCCA, local governments use administrative power and formulate relevant laws to have a profound impact on local enterprises, such as assuming more corporate social responsibilities. Based on the data of listed enterprises in China from 2012 to 2018, the PSM-DID method is used to empirically test the impact of NCCA on corporate social responsibility (CSR). The result shows that the NCCA campaign has significantly improved the CSR of local enterprises; NCCA has a greater positive impact on CSR to customer and environmental. The research links the creation of a civilized city with CSR for the first time, reflecting the Chinese characteristics that policies have a significant impact on enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1877250 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1877250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jihun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Jihun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: A new approach to the relative convergence test Abstract: This article proposes a new approach to the relative convergence test. The original relative convergence test proposed by Phillips and Sul (2007) recommends discarding the first 1/3 of the time-series data to achieve the best performance in terms of the size and power of the test. My new approach to the relative convergence test does not require discarding any time-series data by assuming the unobservable data are already discarded. In this article, I compare the new approach to the Phillips and Sul (2007)’s test and determine, through a Monte-Carlo simulation, at what fraction the new approach achieves the best performance in terms of size and power of the test. I confirm that the new approach performs better than the original approach when the fraction is set 1/10 of a penalty function. To compare my new method to the Phillips and Sul (2007) method, I provide an empirical example using the U.S. Per Capita Personal Income data and how the new approach affects the convergence club classification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-603 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1878090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1878090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:597-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chanil Boo Author-X-Name-First: Chanil Author-X-Name-Last: Boo Author-Name: Changhyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Changhyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: What drives acquirers’ myopic marketing management? Abstract: Acquiring firm managers should allocate marketing investments to maximize synergies from already announced mergers or acquisitions. However, managers may deliberately redistribute marketing capabilities and assets as a response to investor pressure formed by weak stock return around an announcement. We propose that stock returns that are below expectations may create investor pressure, which drives managers to practice myopic marketing management. We present evidence that acquirers are more likely to engage in myopic marketing management when they experience a negative stock market reaction around a merger announcement. Acquirers tend to report lower-than-normal advertising and R&D investments. Empirical results suggest that acquirers use marketing activities as an efficient tool to confront negative stock market evaluation. Our study contributes to the myopic management literature by showing when and how firms in mergers and acquisitions are more likely to exhibit opportunistic managerial behaviour. We provide some policy suggestions for both acquiring firm managers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 640-643 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:640-643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Fujiki Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujiki Title: Household financial services, financial literacy, and COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This paper analyzes the relationship between the spread of the COVID-19 infection and the changes in financial services for households in Japan. Respondents who chose to increase demand for non-face-to-face financial services and cashless payments tended to have more financial assets and to be more financially literate. This result suggests that financial literacy is important in helping households embrace financial services to comply with the demands of social distancing under the spread of COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1878092 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1878092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong-Hoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Seongman Moon Author-X-Name-First: Seongman Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Title: Can demographic structures help predict equity premiums?: Evidence from a panel with cross-section dependence Abstract: This paper re-examines the link between equity risk premiums and demographic changes using panel data of 17 advanced countries over the postwar period. Based on the method of Pesaran (2006) that takes into account cross-section dependence, we find little evidence that demographic structures predict excess stock returns. However, demographic variables appear to have strong predictability of the excess returns in pooled OLS regressions. These results suggest that the failure of controlling for the influence of the common factors would lead to spurious estimation results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fei Li Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bingqing Li Author-X-Name-First: Bingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jingfeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jingfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Reinsurance strategy and network contagion: a macroprudential perspective Abstract: This article develops a network-based contagion model to investigate reinsurance strategy from a macroprudential perspective. We analyse the impact of reinsurance strategy on the spillovers from insurance sector to other economic sectors when a catastrophe such as a series of coronavirus-related claims occurs. The risk diversification level of the reinsurance strategy shows nonmonotonic effects on risk spillovers. When the diversified level is high enough relative to the actual magnitude of catastrophe, the spillover effect will not occur. However, when not sufficiently diversified, spillover effect is unavoidable and the diversified level shows a U-shaped relation with economic losses caused by risk spillovers. Our results thus reveal a new reinsurance insight for policymakers and regulators to develop macroprudential policy for managing systemic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:651-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariana Spatareanu Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Spatareanu Author-Name: Vlad Manole Author-X-Name-First: Vlad Author-X-Name-Last: Manole Author-Name: Ali Kabiri Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kabiri Title: The real effects of banks nationalization – evidence from the UK Abstract: How did the nationalization of UK operating banks as a result of the 2008 banking crisis impact their client firms’ performance? We use unique firm-bank data and a propensity score matching technique and find that firms that borrowed from nationalized banks show a slight decrease in the growth of investment and innovation relative to firms that borrowed from non-nationalized banks. Interestingly, we find that firms that borrowed from nationalized banks slightly increase employment, short-term debt and cash holdings. Overall, these firms were able to maintain performance as a result of policy intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-583 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1876206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1876206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jikyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jikyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Which is the most effective innovation protection method for different types of product innovation?Evidence from South Korean manufacturing firms Abstract: Securing appropriation is crucial for firms to retain their competitive advantage. This article empirically examines the effects of different types of innovation protection methods on different types of product innovation. The study considers six types of innovation protection methods which can be used during product development: patents, a utility model, designs, confidentiality, complex designs, and market preoccupation. Four types of product innovation are considered: product quality improvements, product cost reductions, product diversification, and pioneering a new market. The main findings are as follows: (1) Patents have a positive effect on pioneering a new market compared to other product innovation types. This result means that patents are effective for product innovations with completely novel characteristics. (2) Market preoccupation is most effective for improving quality, reducing costs, and enhancing product diversification compared to other innovation protection methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-668 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:665-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hieu Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hieu Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Kieu Trang Vu Author-X-Name-First: Kieu Author-X-Name-Last: Trang Vu Author-Name: Loan Quynh Thi Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Loan Quynh Thi Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Hiep Ngoc Luu Author-X-Name-First: Hiep Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Luu Title: CEO culture, corruption and firm performance Abstract: This paper examines the impact of CEO culture on firm performance in a high-corruption environment. We find that corruption negatively affects firm performance. However, we also find that, in a business environment where corruption is prevalent, power distance culture leads to a beneficial impact on firm performance. On the other hand, individualism, masculinity and uncertainty avoidance culture have the opposite effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 630-634 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1881429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1881429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:630-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiyun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Leyi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Leyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Is real estate considered a safe asset in East Asia? Abstract: The demand for safe assets has increased in recent years. However, the supply of safe assets has remained concentrated in a few Western developed countries, and it cannot meet the demand for safe assets in East Asia. For historical and cultural reasons, we believe that real estate serves as safe assets in East Asia. To verify this issue, this study employs two sets of data, which, respectively, include three East Asian countries and eight Western countries, from 1998 to 2019 to construct two panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models that we use to determine the differences between the housing markets in East Asian and Western nations. The empirical results show that house prices in East Asia tend to increase with economic policy uncertainty (EPU), indicating that real estate is a good hedge against uncertainty. In Western countries, however, real estate does not hold its value well in times of uncertainty. Therefore, this study confirms that real estate is a safe asset in East Asia, but not in Western countries. To lower the excessive price of houses in East Asian countries, this study recommends increasing the supply of other safe assets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 604-614 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1878091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1878091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:7:p:604-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akiyoshi Furukawa Author-X-Name-First: Akiyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Furukawa Title: Efficient municipal consolidation and local public spending: a theoretical approach Abstract: This paper analyses whether municipal consolidation decreases local public spending, using the local public goods model. First, the conditions under which municipal consolidation achieves efficient allocation are shown. Then, this paper shows that one effect of municipal consolidation is to expand local public services and not to reduce local public expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 746-749 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:746-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Yan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Feng Yu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: An empirical study of the international co-production effect on trade: evidence from the Chinese movie industry Abstract: This article investigates thhe effect of international co-production on trade. Co-production, which allows a foreign producer to partner with domestic firms, has emerged as a way of promoting trade. Using the data on the Chinese movies, we find that international co production has a positive effect on both the extensive and intensive margins. We also show that the co-production effect is mainly explained by improvement in quality. Our research investigates international co production, a less explored topic in the literatures of international economics, which mainly focus on export and FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 682-686 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:682-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saban Nazlioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saban Author-X-Name-Last: Nazlioglu Author-Name: Mehmet Altuntas Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Altuntas Author-Name: Emre Kilic Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Kilic Title: PPP in emerging markets: evidence from Fourier non-linear quantile unit root analysis Abstract: We test PPP in 27 emerging markets by using new Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test. Conventional unit root tests support PPP at most in half of the countries. Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test reinforces PPP in 26 out 27 countries, providing a fresh evidence for solving the PPP puzzle in the case of emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-737 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:731-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Ming Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Manaf Sellak Author-X-Name-First: Manaf Author-X-Name-Last: Sellak Title: Endogenous IPR protection, commercial piracy, and welfare implications for anti-piracy laws Abstract: In the presence of commercial digital piracy, should the government provide costly protection for intellectual property rights (IPR)? Under what conditions will government protection and private protection be substitutes or complements? We show that a product’s original developer has an incentive to bear R&D costs for private protection when the quality of a pirated copy is moderate. We consider that the welfare-maximizing government determines its costly IPR protection and commits a fraction of the pirate’s monetary fines to the developer for compensation while striking a balance in the enforcement budget. In this case, the government will not launch costly IPR enforcement unless the pirated copy’s quality is sufficiently high. Otherwise, government IPR protection is socially undesirable. These results suggest that government protection and private protection are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 718-722 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:718-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Mok Choi Author-X-Name-First: Young Mok Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Kunsu Park Author-X-Name-First: Kunsu Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Debt maturity structure of private lodging firms Abstract: This study tests the signalling and liquidity risk hypotheses about the choice of debt maturity structure in the context of private lodging firms. We find a positive and significant relationship between the Z-score (as a proxy for firm quality) and the proportion of short-term debt. This finding supports the signalling hypothesis that low-quality firms prefer to issue long-term debt, while high-quality firms issue short-term debt. However, we find no evidence consistent with the liquidity risk hypothesis. We further find that the most influential factor affecting debt maturity is firm size, followed by Z-scores and then firm age. Our findings are robust to alternative estimation specifications and endogeneity concerns. Overall, our study contributes to expanding our understanding of the debt maturity structure in private firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-712 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:706-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinyu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yang Siqun Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Siqun Author-Name: Zeeshan Khan Author-X-Name-First: Zeeshan Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: The Demand For Money In China: A Housing Price Perspective Abstract: This paper studies the association between housing prices and the demand for money, and the effectiveness of non-monetary policies on the latter. With a simple model of the demand for money, we show that the demand for money is positively associated with both the prices of the consumption goods and housing prices. Such associations are verified by empirical analysis using Chinese data. However, we find that such correlation significantly dropped after China launched housing price regulations in 2010, suggesting that non-monetary policies can be effective in controlling the demand for money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 676-681 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:676-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youssef Mohammed Riahi Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Riahi Title: The effect of oil prices on bank lending behaviour: evidence from the GCC region Abstract: Using the generalized method of moments technique (GMM), we examine whether extreme oil prices’ movements affect banks’ loans supply in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. We find that banks tend to be canny in their lending decision during extreme upward moves in oil prices. Moreover, we find that banks continue to extend their lending supply during the economic slowdown. The current paper sheds light on the bank lending behaviour in the GCC region where oil is the main source of revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 700-705 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:700-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shikun Qin Author-X-Name-First: Shikun Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Weijie Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Yaling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Policy uncertainty and firm-level investment: evidence from public-private partnership market in China Abstract: This paper focuses on the subfield of Public–Private Partnership (PPP), and explores the relationship between policy uncertainty and firm-level investment. Based on the analysis of 905 central-level documents, one novel contribution of this paper is to construct an index of PPP policy uncertainty. We find evidence supporting that the gambling between central government departments is the main cause of policy uncertainty, which further leads to less investment by firms. Compared with other traditional indexes, the construction based upon policy text sheds light on risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-675 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1883524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:669-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Won Seo Author-X-Name-First: Sung Won Author-X-Name-Last: Seo Author-Name: Jiseob Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jiseob Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jun Sik Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jun Sik Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Risk–return relationship and individualism Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of individualism on risk–return relationship across countries. In theory, return is expected to have a positive relation with risk. However, we find an insignificant relation between the stock market’s return and the market’s conditional variance. Our empirical evidence also suggests that higher individualism weakens the relationship between return and variance. These findings are consistent with the investors in highly individualistic countries who are overoptimism or overconfident with risk mis-estimations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 760-766 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:760-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Guillermo Manso-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Manso-Fernandez Author-Name: Jose M. Barreiro-Viñan Author-X-Name-First: Jose M. Author-X-Name-Last: Barreiro-Viñan Title: The ‘fractal dimension’ of the market potential–human capital relation Abstract: The empirical analysis of the impact of market potential on the spatial distribution of human capital has often taken the approach of using samples of large economic areas (world sample of countries, Europe, single countries). This paper proposes to strengthen the analysis of the potential ‘fractal dimension’ of the market potential–human capital relation by estimating econometric specifications which relate educational attainment levels to market potential for the 53 Galician counties using yearly data over the period 2005–2012 and census data for 2001 and 2011. We find evidence that market potential exerts a positive impact on the spatial distribution of human capital across the Galician counties, concluding therefore in favour of the fractal dimension. These results could also help to explain the (lack of) convergence in terms of income between the Western and Eastern parts of Galicia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-730 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:723-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karan Rai Author-X-Name-First: Karan Author-X-Name-Last: Rai Author-Name: Bhavesh Garg Author-X-Name-First: Bhavesh Author-X-Name-Last: Garg Title: Dynamic correlations and volatility spillovers between stock price and exchange rate in BRIICS economies: evidence from the COVID-19 outbreak period Abstract: This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic correlations and volatility spillovers between stock prices and exchange rates in BRIICS economies. Using volatility modelling, we demonstrate significant negative dynamic correlations and volatility spillovers between stock and exchange returns in most of the BRIICS economies. Further, the relationship strengthened during the initial days of lockdowns. Our results pass the sensitivity analysis, and hence robust. Overall, our findings indicate that there have been significant risk transfers between the two markets, during the COVID-19 outbreak, which led to decline in domestic stock returns and subsequent capital outflows thereby increasing the exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 738-745 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:738-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaohua He Author-X-Name-First: Chaohua Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Hongyan Du Author-X-Name-First: Hongyan Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Urbanization, inclusive finance and urban-rural income gap Abstract: By exploring the economic data in 31 Chinese provinces during 2006–2018, this paper discovers that: (1) inclusive finance narrows the urban-rural income gap mainly by improving financial quality; (2) urbanization outweighs inclusive finance in reducing the urban-rural income gap; (3) urbanization and inclusive finance (exclusive of financial quality) weaken each other in bridging the urban-rural income gap. The findings are robust to the endogeneity problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-759 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Brian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: A revisit to size anomalies in U.S. bank stock returns by panel copula Abstract: Most previous studies that have confirmed size anomalies in U.S. bank stock returns rely on a simple OLS regression. However, empirical evidence shows that all the financial variables used in their analyses are not normally distributed, which could cause inconsistent coefficient estimates. As a remedy for this possible issue, we introduce panel Gaussian copula marginal regression as an alternative approach because it does not require independent, identically distributed random variables in empirical analysis. In particular, we find that three Fama-French stock-risk factors have positive impacts on excess risk-adjusted bank returns, but no effects of bond risk factors. We also confirm that there exists the size effect on excess commercial bank stock returns in the U.S. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 750-754 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885602 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885602 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:750-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hisashi Toku Author-X-Name-First: Hisashi Author-X-Name-Last: Toku Author-Name: Tatsuhiro Shichijo Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Shichijo Author-Name: Kazuhito Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhito Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: The effect of continuous-time cheap talk in the experimental minimum effort game Abstract: We experimentally investigated whether continuous-time cheap talk improves the effort level in a minimal effort game with multiple Pareto-ranked Nash equilibria. In each round of the game, a player freely changes the message before he or she makes decisions, and constantly monitors other members’ messages. We have two results. First, continuous-time cheap talk realizes a higher effort level than does one-shot cheap talk. Second, the group in which every member chooses the maximum effort in the first two rounds eventually achieves an efficient outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-699 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:687-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Tasawar Hayat Author-X-Name-First: Tasawar Author-X-Name-Last: Hayat Author-Name: Tareq Saeed Author-X-Name-First: Tareq Author-X-Name-Last: Saeed Title: Financial frictions in the US: asymmetric effects per industry Abstract: The article explores the link between lending rates and real output asymmetries and bankruptcy costs across US industries. The results document that bankruptcy costs impact such asymmetries, indicating stronger financial frictions in those industries, which are expected to delay the recovery of firms in stressful events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-771 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:767-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qing Hu Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Tomomichi Mizuno Author-X-Name-First: Tomomichi Author-X-Name-Last: Mizuno Author-Name: Junghyun Song Author-X-Name-First: Junghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Input price discrimination with passive partial ownership Abstract: Passive partial ownership (PPO) is commonly practised in many industries. When operating profits of stock-owned firms decrease, stock-holding firms will increase output to reduce capital gain through owned firms’ stocks. In a vertically related market with downstream PPO, consumer and total surpluses when input price discrimination is allowed may be larger than when it is banned because PPO mitigates effects of reduction in output caused by higher input price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-717 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1884831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1884831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:8:p:713-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Hsiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yao-Min Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Hai-Ming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Li Huang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Negotiating or regulating executive compensation: application of Benford’s law Abstract: In this study, Benford’s law is used to examine whether the negotiation ability of executives can strongly influence the compensation level. In this paper, we analyse the executive compensation data of more than 3,000 Chinese listed companies from 1999 to 2017. The results indicated that Benford’s law can be used to distinguish performance-based compensations from basic salaries of executives. Some executives prefer to be paid in the form of integers. This study finds that violation of Benford’s law in private enterprises indicate that these executives have negotiating power or strong preferences. However, violation of Benford’s law in state-owned enterprises is due to restriction orders by the government to control the compensation of top executives. This result reveals the limitation of Benford’s law on manipulated numbers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert János Kiss Author-X-Name-First: Hubert János Author-X-Name-Last: Kiss Author-Name: Tamás Keller Author-X-Name-First: Tamás Author-X-Name-Last: Keller Title: The short-term effect of COVID-19 on schoolchildren's generosity Abstract: We conduct two waves (W1 and W2) of an unincentivized online survey to measure the change in altruism of primary school students (N = 983) towards classmates and schoolmates during the school closures due to COVID-19. The W1 responses arrived, on average, after 39 days of online education, while W2 responses arrived, on average, 31 days after W1. There was no significant change in generosity both towards classmates and schoolmates between waves. Students with better cognitive abilities are less likely to become selfish towards schoolmates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 842-846 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1893892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1893892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:842-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuhong Du Author-X-Name-First: Yuhong Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Xiahai Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xiahai Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Technological change and unemployment: evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of technological change on unemployment in China’s labour market based on a recent panel data of 283 prefectural-level cities from 2010 to 2017. The results obtained by the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM-SYS) estimation show that massive adoption of robots is a significant driving force raising unemployment rate while there is a reverse change in the longer period; the insignificant estimates of utility patent and its lagged terms indicate the weak and non-persistent relationship between unemployment and patent-related innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-854 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:851-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuta Saito Author-X-Name-First: Yuta Author-X-Name-Last: Saito Title: Parental transfers under ambiguity Abstract: This note introduces parental uncertainty into parent–child monetary transfers. A parent questions the probability distribution of a child’s future economic success. As a result, the parent endogenously tilts his/her subjective probability model away from an approximating probability model. In this case, parental transfers increase with model uncertainty, thereby reducing the child’s effort and probability of economic success. This theoretical result raises several empirical questions, of which two are as follows. For one thing, informed parents (e.g. those who hold the same job as their child) transfer less money, and their child exerts more effort. Another is that economic uncertainty (e.g. recessions or pandemics) prompts higher parental transfer payments and reduces the child’s effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-779 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:773-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huili Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Huili Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhonghui Hu Author-X-Name-First: Zhonghui Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: How does COVID-19 affect firms’ short-term financial pressure? Evidence from China Abstract: In this paper, we investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic affected the short-term financial pressure of listed companies in China. Using a difference-in-difference methodology, we find that firms hit by pandemic shocks suffered significant declines in liquidity levels and increased bankruptcy risk. Non-state-owned enterprises and firms without prior banking relationships suffered more significant liquidity pressure during this crisis than state-owned enterprises and firms with a prior banking relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 794-800 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1886234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1886234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:794-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: YuJan Shen Author-X-Name-First: YuJan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: KuanFu Shen Author-X-Name-First: KuanFu Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Extreme market movements, the disposition effect, and subsequent return spreads: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines whether and how the interaction between extreme market movements and the disposition effect can affect subsequent return spreads between stocks with large paper losses and those with large paper gains for a sustained period of time. We study all the A-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Based on the prospect theory, our results show that after extreme negative market movements, the disposition effect enhances significant subsequent return spreads; however, it generates insignificant subsequent return spreads when extreme market movements are positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-804 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1886235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1886235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:801-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Sanghamitra Author-X-Name-Last: Bandyopadhyay Author-Name: Abdullah Ijaz Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Ijaz Title: Is there a relationship between inequality and terrorism? Evidence from a semi-parametric approach Abstract: Understanding links between income inequality and terrorism is crucially important for social scientists. The current empirical literature suggests that this relationship is positive but inconclusive. In this paper we use a semi-parametric approach to model the relationship between inequality and terrorism, in order to identify nonlinearities in the relationship. We use top income percentile shares as our measure of inequality in response to the inequality measurement literature identifying problems with the Gini. We find that after controlling for explanations of terrorism other than inequality, the positive relationship between inequality and terrorism discussed in the existing empirical literature is very weakly evident. We also find that the semi-parametric model crucially exposes the nonlinear nature of the relationship between inequality and terrorism. The results are different for developed and developing countries. We find that the relationship between inequality and terrorism is nonlinear and at most weakly positive for developed countries, with a slightly stronger positive relationship for developing and middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-860 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1925625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1925625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:855-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Qiang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Peipei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peipei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty on stock returns under different market conditions: evidence from G7 stock markets Abstract: This article applies quantile regression approaches to investigate the asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on G7 stock returns by dividing EPU changes into EPU increases and EPU decreases. We observe that EPU increases have greater impacts on G7 stock returns than EPU decreases, which confirms that asymmetric effects do exist. Furthermore, our results show that EPU changes have asymmetric impacts on Japan, Canada, the UK, and the US stock returns in the bearish market but not in the bullish market. In addition, there are no asymmetric effects of EPU changes on Germany stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 780-784 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1885606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1885606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:780-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Timothy Lu Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Qian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: To cap or not to cap on public pension Abstract: Many countries actually put a cap on their public pension so that public pension contribution and benefit no longer increase above the cap, while others do not. Should the government remove the cap on the public pension? Using an overlapping-generations model, this article finds that putting a cap on the public pension is more socially desirable than removing it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 812-816 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1888860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1888860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:812-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mateusz Tomal Author-X-Name-First: Mateusz Author-X-Name-Last: Tomal Title: Exploring the meso-determinants of apartment prices in Polish counties using spatial autoregressive multiscale geographically weighted regression Abstract: The aim of this study is to identify the meso-determinants of apartment prices in Polish counties using recently developed spatial autoregressive multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR-SAR), which can simultaneously deal with spatial dependence, spatial heterogeneity, as well as different spatial scales of modelled processes. Estimation results indicate that MGWR-SAR outperforms other studied models, especially in terms of goodness-of-fit indicators. Moreover, estimates of the above model reveal that relationships between the dependent variable and covariates operate at different spatial scales. Furthermore, among the studied determinants only two, describing unemployment rate and standard of apartments, are significant in all counties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 822-830 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1891194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1891194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:822-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Fina Kamani Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Fina Kamani Title: Revisiting the effects of banks’ size on systemic risk: the role of banking sector concentration in the European Banking Union Abstract: In order to contribute to the literature on bank size as a determinant of systemic risk, this article assesses whether the banks’ size effects on banks’ systemic risk exposure in the European Banking Union could be mitigated/aggravated when the banking sector concentration is taken into account. The results indicate that the banking sector concentration lowers the banks’ size effects on banks’ systemic risk exposure in the European Banking Union. Thus, this article advocates for mergers and acquisitions between banks in the European Banking Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-821 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1890684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1890684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:817-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farai Jena Author-X-Name-First: Farai Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Title: Are spectator preferences weaker for cup compared to league competitions? Evidence from Irish soccer Abstract: This paper exploits data from eight recent playing seasons to examine the spectator appeal for League of Ireland fans of the national soccer challenge cup competition (the FAI cup). The study finds a sizable spectator attendance penalty for Premier Division clubs in FAI cup games for the earlier rounds of the tournament compared to league fixtures against the same opposition. However, this is reversed by the penultimate stage of the tournament. The policy implications of these findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-841 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1893891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1893891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:835-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saejoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Saejoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Tactical factor allocation for multifactor portfolios Abstract: Factor investing comprises selecting the set of factors and the right amount of each factor for investment. While past research provides a better guidance on which factors to invest, deciding the right factor allocation has remained relatively elusive. Motivated by the superior performance provided by the equal-weighted strategy compared to the more sophisticated ones, we choose the former as the baseline or the strategic allocation scheme for factor investing and investigate if improvements can be established. Specifically, exploiting the momentum property exhibited by the factors, we propose a simple tactical factor allocation scheme for the equity-based multifactor portfolios. Empirical results reveal that the proposed tactical factor allocation outperforms the strategic one persistently over time and pervasively across different markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-850 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1893893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1893893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:847-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Serban Miclea Author-X-Name-First: Serban Author-X-Name-Last: Miclea Author-Name: Eugenia Grecu Author-X-Name-First: Eugenia Author-X-Name-Last: Grecu Title: Firm-level TFP convergence: an application to the German electricity and gas industry Abstract: This paper investigates the degree of total factor productivity (TFP) convergence for the German electricity and gas industry. We use different approaches to compute the productivity level and several classic and new second-generation panel unit root tests to check the existence of a convergence process. For robustness purposes, we compare the convergence between small- and medium-sized enterprises and large companies. Our findings show the existence of the TFP convergence process, a result confirmed by all categories of tests we use. Therefore, we show that an innovation transfer is recorded between German electricity and gas firms and it is slightly higher for small- and medium-sized enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-811 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1887803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1887803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:805-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Gallice Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Gallice Author-Name: Giuseppe Sorrenti Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Sorrenti Title: Curious about the price? Consumers’ behavior in price reveal auctions Abstract: We exploit some specific features of a peculiar online selling mechanism, the so-called price reveal auctions, to empirically investigate how consumers’ behaviour changes in response to an item’s ‘social attributes.’ We document a significant effect of the item’s brand and portability in influencing consumers’ willingness to pay. We show that, although both characteristics have some explanatory power when considered in isolation, it is their interaction that really matters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-834 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1893263 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1893263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:831-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Liang Tang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Does land tenure security increase the marketization of land rentals between acquaintances? Abstract: Using data from the 2015 China Household Finance Survey, we find that secure land tenure reduces informal land rentals between acquaintances. Additionally, secure land tenure increases land rent even when rental transactions are conducted between acquaintances. Our analysis suggests that although the land transfer rate in China is currently barely increasing, stabilizing land tenure can increase the marketization of rental transactions between acquaintances and activate land rental markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-793 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1886233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1886233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:9:p:790-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo da Silva Souza Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: Leonardo Bornacki de Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Bornacki Author-X-Name-Last: de Mattos Title: Oil price shocks, exchange rate and uncertainty: case of Latin American economies Abstract: This paper examines the effects of oil demand and supply shocks on emerging market economies in Latin America using a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model that combines zero and sign restrictions. Our results highlight the importance of separately identify the oil market shocks. The higher price of oil driven by increased global demand produces higher output growth in Brazil, Colombia, and Chile. The results are more persistent for Brazil and Colombia likely due to increased income from oil exports, as both economies are net oil exporters. The better times in the domestic economies result in lower uncertainty and appreciation of the exchange rate in all countries in the sample. Oil supply shocks and oil-specific demand shocks are not statistically significant for most variables. Our results provide important insights into the appropriate exchange rate policy in emerging market economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 880-886 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:880-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Qiang Ji Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Forecasting charge-off rates with a panel Tobit model: the role of uncertainty Abstract: Based on a large panel dataset of small commercial banks in the United States, this paper employs a dynamic panel Tobit model to analyse the role of uncertainty in forecasting charge-off rates on loans for credit card (CC) and residential real estate (RRE). When compared to other standard predictors, such as house prices and unemployment rates, we find that the effect of uncertainty changes on charge-off rates is more pronounced. Furthermore, it is evident that including heteroscedasticity in the model specification leads to more accurate forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-931 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1898532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1898532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:927-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong D. Yun Author-X-Name-First: Seong D. Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Author-Name: Ayoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ayoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Economic impact of natural disasters: a myth or mismeasurement? Abstract: This study sheds light on possible spatial aggregation bias and mismeasurement in natural disaster impacts on economic growth when adopting the synthetic control method. Using the impacted US areas of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 as a case study, we compared trends of real GRDP per capita, population, and GRDP at New Orleans-Metairie metropolitan statistical area and Louisiana State, 1992–2017. This study empirically demonstrates that improper spatial units of analysis could distort the causal inference in the synthetic control method. Additionally, per capita growth as indicators of recovery from natural disasters is likely to misinterpret economic growth when affected regions experience a sharp decrease in population. These biased results arouse special attention to possible underestimation of natural disaster impacts, particularly when analysing economically lagging regions. Also, seemingly increasing per capita indicators do not always support evidence of creative destruction after natural disasters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 861-866 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896667 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896667 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:861-866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruud Gerards Author-X-Name-First: Ruud Author-X-Name-Last: Gerards Author-Name: Riccardo Welters Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Welters Title: Does eliminating benefit eligibility requirements improve unemployed job search and labour market outcomes? Abstract: Benefit eligibility requirements intend to incentivize the unemployed to find work more quickly. Our results, in an Australian context, suggest that those subjected to benefit eligibility requirements, despite searching at least as hard, take longer to find employment. Moreover, they spend less time in employment in the first twelve months and, if employed, have jobs with lower wages and fewer hours compared to otherwise similar unemployed without benefit eligibility requirements. Our findings are consistent with cognitive theories that emphasize that benefit eligibility requirements externalize job search motivation and increase stress, both of which reduce employment search effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-958 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:955-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuntaek Pae Author-X-Name-First: Yuntaek Author-X-Name-Last: Pae Author-Name: Seungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Seungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Does leveraged stock buyback improve firms’ profitability? Abstract: We provide a structural explanation about how and when leveraged stock buyback improves firms’ profitability. We find operating profit on equity and operating profit sensitivity on debt are crucial factors to consider when determining the source of stock repurchase. Our theoretical reasoning and empirical tests show that companies with high operating profit on equity and low operating profit sensitivity on debt have a higher chance of improving profit through leveraged buyback. We also suggest a structural form to estimate leveraged buyback and cash buyback based on financial variables instead of companies’ disclosure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-946 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1899114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1899114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:939-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: The impact of the Massachusetts 2012 right to repair law on small, independent auto repair shops Abstract: In 2012, the State of Massachusetts enacted a law known as the ‘Right to Repair’ requiring automakers to share vital vehicle information and data with consumers and small auto repair shops for maintenance and repair purposes. This paper assesses the impact of this law on the number and percentage of small repair shops in the state. The results of a synthetic control and a difference-in-differences analysis show that the law led to increases in the number and market share of small auto repair shops. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-879 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:873-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Yuh Day Author-X-Name-First: Min-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Paoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yirung Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Yirung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yin-Tzu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Tzu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yensen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yensen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: Profitable day trading Bitcoin futures following continuous bullish (bearish) candlesticks Abstract: We explore the profitability of day trading Bitcoin futures following diverse consecutive 3 bullish (bearish) one-minute candlesticks and then adopt stop-loss or take-profit only as exits. We reveal that different from our cognition, adopting take-profit strategies would have a notable average positive profit per trade (APPT), which is robust by employing the upward trend out-of-sample data different from the downward trend in-sample data. We infer that such impressive findings might result from temporary rising (falling) prices likely manipulated for appealing to investors pursuing long (short) positions. As a result, investors may realize profit instead of suffering loss frequently by adopting take-profit exits since mean reversion might often occur after such manipulation. Moreover, we argue that stop-loss might be redundant for day trading such futures because stop-loss seems enclosed in the mechanism of day trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 947-954 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1899115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1899115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:947-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ningyuan Fan Author-X-Name-First: Ningyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Zhi-Ping Fan Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yongli Li Author-X-Name-First: Yongli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does the lead-lag effect exist in stock markets? Abstract: This paper investigates the lead-lag effect from a complex network perspective. We first detect the lead-lag effect between individual stocks based on CSI 300 index in Chinese stock market and then employed a stochastic actor-oriented model to investigate the interrelationship between the detected lead-lag network and stocks’ characteristics. The main result is that market capitalization, trading volume and financial performance are significant driving factors that form the lead-lag relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-900 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:895-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunsuh Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eunsuh Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chaehyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chaehyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junyoup Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junyoup Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: How powerful CEOs adopt antitakeover provisions? Abstract: We investigate how powerful chief executive officers (CEOs) adopt antitakeover provisions (ATPs). Prior studies indicate that CEOs adopt ATPs to increase their private benefits and job security. However, our evidence reveals a nonmonotonic relationship between CEO power and ATPs. Specifically, relatively less powerful CEOs adopt more ATPs, supporting the managerial entrenchment hypothesis. However, when CEOs become sufficiently powerful, they adopt fewer ATPs, supporting the quiet life hypothesis. Overall, our findings support the notion that a simple linear relationship does not explain the effect of CEO power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 910-914 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:910-914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myeong Jun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Tram T. H. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Tram T. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Sung Y. Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Relationship between household income and socio-political capital in rural Vietnam: a panel quantile regression approach Abstract: This study uses the Vietnam Access to Resources Household Survey (VARHS) data from 2008 to 2014 to analyse the relationship between socio-political capital and household income in rural Vietnam. We consider six types of socio-political capital (connections with others that create access to useful information and/or benefits) namely Communist Party membership, membership in mass organizations (MOs) and voluntary groups, connections with officials, financial assistance, and trust. Communist Party membership and financial assistance have significant positive effects on household income in the pooling, random, and fixed effects models and at all quantile levels. The effect of trust is also positive and significant in all models but only significant at high quantile levels. Whereas connections with officials show significantly positive effects in the pooling and random effects models and at most quantile levels, the effects of MOs and voluntary groups are negative and significant for some models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 932-938 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1898533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1898533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:932-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Foltas Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Foltas Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany Abstract: We study the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes during a period of time ranging from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we examine whether the information used by the research institutes when they formed their forecasts helps to explain the ex-post realized forecast errors. We identify the information that the research institutes used to set up their quantitative forecasts by applying computational-linguistics techniques to decompose the business-cycle reports published by the research institutes into various topics. Our results show that several topics have predictive value for the forecast errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 867-872 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:867-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Siang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Siang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: You-Xun Lu Author-X-Name-First: You-Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Ning Tang Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: World prospers China: Chinese private firms with lending before the China–United States trade war Abstract: This research investigates whether the National 13th Five-Year Plan of China and economic-political uncertainty affects Chinese private firms on bank loan spreads. First, we find that banks charge a significantly lower loan spreads during the period, and slightly reverse the effect with higher economic-political uncertainty. Second, the non-Chinese lenders during the period charge lower loan spreads than Chinese banks. Finally, for private firms with lending from non-Chinese banks, the borrowers without enough search record obtain a favoured bank loan spread, and facilitate Chinese firms for the loan purpose of capital expenditures during the period. Overall, global banks prosper Chinese private firms due to China’s stable national policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 920-926 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1898531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1898531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:920-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Ignacio Giménez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: José Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Giménez-Nadal Author-Name: Jorge Velilla Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Velilla Title: Modelling the location of self-employed workers in urban areas Abstract: In this article, we develop an urban model for self-employment where leisure and effort at work are complementary. Our model shows that unemployment tends to be concentrated far from business districts, in contrast to employment and self-employment. The self-employed tend to live closer to workplaces than do the employed, as commuting affects productivity and thus earnings. We use the American Time Use Survey to test the model and find that employment and self-employment are negatively related to commuting, in comparison to unemployment, while self-employment is associated with shorter commutes, giving support to the theoretical background. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 906-909 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:906-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaseem Akram Author-X-Name-First: Vaseem Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Author-Name: Badri Narayan Rath Author-X-Name-First: Badri Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Title: Does government revenue converge across Indian states? Evidence from club convergence Abstract: While the bulk of the studies in India examine the convergence of per-capita income or expenditures, we investigate whether there is any evidence of convergence of government revenues and its various compositions by focusing a panel of 22 Indian states for the periods 1980–81 to 2014–15. To answer this question, the present study employs Phillips and Sul panel club convergence technique. The results find evidence of a single club convergence in the case of total revenues and revenues collected in the revenue account. Further, our results also reveal the presence of three-club convergence when we disaggregate the gross revenues into capital receipts and state-owned tax-revenue. From the policy perspective, it is important for the Central government to integrate all states in revenues collection through tax devolution formula and grants-in-aid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Becker Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Becker Author-Name: Zachary McGurk Author-X-Name-First: Zachary Author-X-Name-Last: McGurk Author-Name: Michael Hale Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hale Title: Structural changes in sentiment and returns: evidence from the Trump election Abstract: Given that regime changes may induce new tendencies and behaviours of financial models, we analyse the impact of sentiment variables on stock market returns for time periods before and after Donald Trump’s election. Using the CAPM and Fama–French three-factor model augmented with sentiment measures, we find evidence of a structural break in the 2016 presidential election data. Our results suggest that the relationship between sentiment and abnormal returns is more negative for the periods following the election, and that researchers modelling sentiment and returns should account for structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-905 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1897069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1897069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:901-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xingchun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingchun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Pricing options on the maximum of two average prices under stochastic volatility models Abstract: In this paper, we work under a stochastic volatility model to value options on the maximum of two average prices. In the proposed framework, explicit pricing formulae of options on the maximum of two average prices are obtained. Finally, we perform numerical examples to illustrate the prices of options on the maximum of two average prices and those of options on the maximum of two underlying asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-894 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1896671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1896671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:10:p:887-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Baumann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Baumann Author-Name: Olena Staveley-O’Carroll Author-X-Name-First: Olena Author-X-Name-Last: Staveley-O’Carroll Author-Name: Gregory Violante Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Violante Title: Do sovereign credit ratings matter? The relationship between ratings and capital flows before and after the great recession Abstract: We examine the relationship between sovereign credit ratings and international equity and bond inflows pre- and post-Great Recession using 1996–2016 annual data for 53 countries. The ratings are statistically significant for both equity and debt inflows in the full sample. After splitting the data into pre- and post-crisis periods, we find that ratings go from being significant in the 1996–2007 subsample to insignificant in the 2010–2016 period. These results support the hypothesis that adverse reputational effects weakened the value of rating agencies in investors’ decision-making process after the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 966-973 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:966-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Achim D. Schmillen Author-X-Name-First: Achim D. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmillen Title: Two-Tier Earnings Structures and labour Market Reform Abstract: Two-tier earnings structures have recently received renewed attention in the context of labour market reform, but relevant evidence for emerging economies is lacking. Relying on four waves of repeated cross-section individual-level micro data and Oaxaca-type earnings decompositions, this study investigates the interplay between the tightening of employment protection legislation in China through the introduction of the Labour Contract Law in 2008 and the earnings gap between covered and uncovered urban workers. It shows that in urban China average monthly earnings are significantly higher for workers with as compared to those without an employment contract and documents that labour market reform went hand in hand with a doubling in the log earnings gap. As there were no newly emerging differences in observable characteristics between the two groups of workers, this doubling was entirely due to reinforced impacts of differences in workers’ observable characteristics on earnings. Results are consistent with prominent theoretical models of a two-tier labour market, complement existing results for Europe and are robust to a wide range of alternative specifications, including those that addresses selection into labour force participation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-1000 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:993-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: COVID-19’s impacts on the Korean stock market Abstract: In this article, we examine the short-term impact of COVID-19 on daily stock market performance in Korea. We find strong evidence of asymmetric effects: although an increase in the number of confirmed cases negatively affected stock returns, returns were unaffected by a decline in the number of cases. We also found that the pandemic’s second wave further decreased stock returns, particularly in the food & beverage sector. Finally, we confirm that a rising number of confirmed cases increases the volatility of the returns. As Korea entered the second and third waves of infection, however, such effects diminished. Policymakers may find our empirical findings useful in their efforts to bolster financial stability, especially when an outbreak of COVID-19 erupts or a COVID-19 style event reoccurs in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 974-978 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:974-978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natividad Blasco Author-X-Name-First: Natividad Author-X-Name-Last: Blasco Author-Name: Pilar Corredor Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Corredor Title: If the bitcoin market grows, size matters Abstract: This paper studies the herding behaviour among different exchanges trading bitcoin. The analysis allows us to conclude that the size of the exchange is an influencing parameter. Since 2018, when the significant growth in the number of exchanges became a reality, smaller exchanges have shown strong herding behaviour, whereas large exchanges seem to respond to their own information and beliefs and lead the process of price definition. This result may originate some temporary profitable strategies in the process of evolution towards efficiency according to the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-987 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:983-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesús Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Cuaresma Title: Uncertainty and business cycle synchronization in Europe Abstract: We assess empirically the role that uncertainty plays as a determinant of business cycle synchronization dynamics in the European Monetary Union. Using a time-varying measure of business cycle synchronization and Bayesian model averaging methods, we find that increase in uncertainty tends to robustly predict desynchronization, in particular for countries whose business cycles are not in line with those of the rest of the monetary union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1053 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1939854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1939854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1047-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vu Minh Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Vu Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Author-Name: Huan Huu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Huan Huu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Are fear and hope of the COVID-19 pandemic responsible for the V-shaped behaviour of global financial markets? A text-mining approach Abstract: This study found the recent global V-shaped behaviour in major stock and cryptocurrency markets to be attributed to the dramatic variance in public fears and hope regarding the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency text-mining technique and a large dataset of tweets, we determined that the public sentiment on joint discourses of COVID-19 and financial topics was a strong driver of recent stock and cryptocurrency markets behaviour. Furthermore, error correction model estimations revealed that the reversal of public sentiment from fear to hope after the initial shock significantly contributed to financial markets’ recovery phase of the V-shaped behaviour, partially explaining their sudden turnaround beginning mid-March 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1015 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1005-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Ignacio Giménez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: José Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Giménez-Nadal Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Jorge Velilla Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Velilla Title: The intergenerational correlation of employment in Europe: a cross-country analysis Abstract: We analyse the long-run intergenerational correlation of employment in Europe, providing cross-country evidence. Using the 2011 special module on Intergenerational Transmission, from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC), we analyse the correlation between the current employment status of respondents, and that of their parents when respondents were 14 years old, in nine European countries. Estimates show that the intergenerational correlation of employment varies across countries and by gender, and is, in most cases, small or non-statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1022-1026 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1022-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Feng Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Is cross border tourism an effective means to achieve political goals? Evidence from Mainland China and Taiwan Abstract: Since 2008, the number of Chinese tourists visiting Taiwan has increased rapidly. The Chinese government expects that the economic benefits brought to Taiwan by Chinese tourists could enable more Taiwanese to be willing to unify with mainland China. Our study focuses on whether such cross border tourism could help the Chinese government to achieve its political goal. Empirical results by Regression Discontinuity show that the independence–unification views that the majority of Taiwanese hold have not been influenced by the arrival of Chinese tourists. The increase in the number of Chinese tourists does not significantly affect the proportion of Taiwanese who support independence and who support maintaining the status quo. By contrast, it reduces the proportion of Taiwanese who support unification. It implies that cross border tourism may not be an effective means to achieve political goals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-965 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1899116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1899116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:959-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yahui Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yahui Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Shougui Luo Author-X-Name-First: Shougui Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Selective R&D subsidies and firms’ application strategies Abstract: ‘Picking-the-winners’ selective R&D subsidies are provided to a few firms with high innovation capabilities. Thus, the applicants for subsidies might send misleading signals to stand out from others. This paper explores firms’ application strategies and finds that firms tend to increase the quantity of their R&D outputs as a signal of being highly innovative, even at the expense of reducing innovation quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-982 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:979-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kangoh Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kangoh Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Political power of older voters, political alignment, and state responses to Covid-19 Abstract: As older individuals are more vulnerable to the virus and are more likely to vote than younger individuals, a state with a higher share of the older population is expected to impose a more stringent measure. However, the analysis shows that political alignment between policymakers and older voters plays an important role in determining the stringency of a measure. Using data on statewide stay-at-home orders across 50 U.S. states, the analysis shows that political alignment affects the duration of orders for Republican-controlled states in a significant manner, but not for Democrat-controlled states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1032 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1027-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serda Selin Öztürk Author-X-Name-First: Serda Selin Author-X-Name-Last: Öztürk Author-Name: M. Emre Bilgiç Author-X-Name-First: M. Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Bilgiç Title: Twitter & bitcoin: are the most influential accounts really influential? Abstract: There is a vast amount of information flow in social media about bitcoin, which may affect investors’ decisions. This article investigates whether tweets may affect returns or trade volume changes of bitcoin and, more importantly, whether some Twitter accounts are more influential than other Twitter accounts. We conduct two separate analyses based first on all Twitter accounts and then on the most influential 50 Twitter accounts, which have been selected as such by Unitedtraders. We use the number of positive, negative and neutral tweets by Valence Aware Dictionary and Sentiment Reasoner (VADER) in a logistic model to analyse if tweets have any valuable information about the change in both return and trade volume of bitcoin. Our results indicate that tweets can be used to predict bitcoin returns. Notably, the most influential accounts are the drivers of returns, but all Twitter accounts simply introduce some noise in volatility. This result indicates that following only these 50 most influential accounts may provide the information needed for investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1004 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1001-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Title: Habit persistence in food purchases Abstract: Taxes are often imposed on sugary products to decrease consumption and thus lower obesity. Reducing purchases of food products may be difficult if they are habit forming and thus addictive. Food products may also be durable and provide service flows if individuals become satiated or stockpile goods. Estimates find sugar, sweets, cereals, and bakery products to be net habit forming and highly addictive. Meat and poultry are also highly habit-forming goods. Healthier substitutes like fresh fruits, vegetables, fish, and seafood have the lowest estimates of net habit formation and further highlight the difficulty of reducing obesity through encouraging a healthier diet. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1036 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1907277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1033-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroyuki Ijiri Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Ijiri Author-Name: Toshiki Jinushi Author-X-Name-First: Toshiki Author-X-Name-Last: Jinushi Title: International Spillover Effects of Quantitative Easing Policy: A Case Study on the U.S. and Japan Abstract: This study analyses the influence of the changing nature of the U.S. quantitative easing (QE) policy’s international spillover on the Japanese economy following the global financial crisis. Based on existing studies, we construct a two-country vector autoregression model for the U.S. and Japan and estimate the time-varying parameters to comprehend the changing macroeconomic and financial structures of both countries. We not only confirmed the existence of spillover effects but also found significant changes in them over time. The spillover effects on Japan are larger for the real economy in the earlier phase and for financial markets in the later phase of the U.S. QE policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1042-1046 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1907279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1042-1046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiyoon Shin Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoon Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Impact of public procurement for innovation on firm productivity Abstract: Recently, many governments have been trying to utilize public procurement for innovation as a measure of demand-side innovation policy, considering the limitation of supply-side innovation policy and an emphasis on the effective use of government budget. Some studies have assessed the impact of public procurement for innovation recently; however, no research has attempted to analyse the impact on productivity, which is one of the main policy targets of innovation policy. This study investigates the productivity enhancement effect of public procurement for innovation, using the propensity score matching methodology with differenced outcome variables. Results show that public procurement for innovation plays a positive role in the growth of value-added of the firm contracted, and that it is led by the positive connection between public procurement for innovation and total factor productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1016-1021 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1016-1021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miaoning Tang Author-X-Name-First: Miaoning Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Hanming Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hanming Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Fangfang Liao Author-X-Name-First: Fangfang Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: Determinants of the disclosure tone of poverty alleviation information: the case of A-share listed companies in China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange Abstract: Companies’ disclosing information of targeted poverty alleviation in China has become a referee for investors to judge the morality of the corporate management and influenced the decision-making of investment. According to analysing the sample of A-share listed companies in China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen during 2016–2019, this article tests the effects on practices (Investment of Poverty Alleviation) via theories (Information Disclosure).The empirical result shows that: First, once companies invest more in targeted poverty alleviation, they will significantly increase their active tone, such as active participation and high involvements, to disclose the relevant information. Second, compared with private enterprises, state-owned enterprises will have more active tones in disclosing the information on targeted poverty alleviation. Nevertheless, with the non-profit feature and its social responsibility of state-owned enterprises, results reveal the negative correlations between increasing expenditures in poverty alleviation and its information disclosure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 988-992 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1904102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1904102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:988-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Fuleky Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Fuleky Title: Nowcasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 recovery Abstract: I develop a weekly coincident index of economic activity in the State of Hawaii. The purpose of the index is to nowcast the recovery from the COVID-19 induced downturn. The index is the first principal component extracted from 18 daily and weekly state-level time series, it captures about 80% of the variation in the sample, it is available with a four-day lag, and it predicts the changes in nonfarm payrolls, the Philadelphia Fed coincident index, and excise tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1041 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1907278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:11:p:1037-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Charalampidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Charalampidis Author-Name: Justine Guillochon Author-X-Name-First: Justine Author-X-Name-Last: Guillochon Title: The COVID-19 pandemic and the consumption of nondurables and services Abstract: Contrary to the Great and other past US Recessions, the reduction in services consumption exceeds the decline in nondurables consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic. We study the drivers of this unprecedented phenomenon through the lens of an estimated multi-sector Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model that distinguishes between nondurables and services sectors. We find that economic uncertainty is once again important, but it does not generate sectoral heterogeneity. Demand-side factors reallocating consumption across sectors and proxying for voluntary and regulatory social distancing measures, as well as the lack of wage adjustments in services despite plummeting employment, became influential during the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1084-1095 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1908515 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1908515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1084-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mascia Bedendo Author-X-Name-First: Mascia Author-X-Name-Last: Bedendo Author-Name: Valentina Febo Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Febo Author-Name: Linus Siming Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Siming Title: The effect of cultural origin on COVID-19 infection rates Abstract: We examine whether a community’s cultural origin affects COVID-19 infection rates by exploiting cultural differences in the bilingual province of South Tyrol in Northern Italy. We find lower infection rates in municipalities with a relatively higher proportion of German speakers, even after controlling for widely used measures of social and civic capital. Our findings can be explained by a more future-oriented behaviour of German speakers in comparison with Italian speakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1116-1120 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1116-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Ljungwall Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Ljungwall Author-Name: Siyang Li Author-X-Name-First: Siyang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yunshang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yunshang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: China’s IPR regime and provincial patenting activity Abstract: This paper examines whether regions in China with stronger IPR regimes have better patenting performance, and whether they exhibit positive spillovers on neighbouring regions’ patenting. The results affirm positive and significant effects on both regards. This is likely due to the fact that a stronger IPR regime with its accompanying hard and soft knowledge infrastructure facilitates knowledge sharing and exchange, hence promoting innovation efficiency. The negative spillover effect of neighbour’s patenting activity may reflect inter-regional R&D collaboration, where patents are appropriated only by some participants. The results are robust across specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1144 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1940078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1139-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiuyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiuyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Songlin Li Author-X-Name-First: Songlin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: How does urban renewal affect housing price? Evidence from Beijing shantytown renewal plan Abstract: In this paper, we use the shantytown renewal project data in Beijing, China, to explain how the renewal type as restrictions has aheterogeneous effect on housing prices. Using the time-varying difference-in-differences approach, we found that refurbishment is ineffective and the interrupted renewal projects will have significantly negative expected effect. Only rebuilding can make positive impact on housing price both within and surrounding shantytowns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1055-1059 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1907280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1055-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoungwon Mo Author-X-Name-First: Kyoungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seun-Young Park Author-X-Name-First: Seun-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Family ownership and Labour investment efficiency: Evidence from Korea Abstract: This paper examines whether founding-family ownership affects firms’ labour investment efficiency. By analysing public Korean companies from 2001 to 2018, we found that family firms are more efficient than non-family firms in regard to labour investment. The results show that family firms can achieve greater efficiency in labour investment by avoiding over-firing issues, thereby reducing underinvestment in employment problems. Additionally, we found that family firms make more efficient labour-related decisions with greater external financing. Overall, the results suggest that family firms’ long-term perspective enables them to maintain optimal labour levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1078 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1908511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1908511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1073-1078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiang Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Zong-Han Lin Author-X-Name-First: Zong-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Li Sun Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: CEO-director connectedness and firm’s operational risk Abstract: While internal controls are often carefully set by firm owners to manage risks, operational losses caused by errors in people and procedures could occur if board directors’ monitoring functions are weakened by having private connections with senior managers. This paper provides empirical evidence that the presence of social tie between a firm’s CEO and its board member is associated with a higher likelihood of operational risk events after other key determinants are controlled for. Our sample consists of 168 event and non-event firms that are publicly listed in the U.S. and spans over a historical period over 2000–2008 when the Basel II Accord is in full operation. Our results imply that existing provisions against operational risk should take CEO-director social ties as an additional factor that can undermine corporate governance and expose firms to a higher level of operational risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1102-1106 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1102-1106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Nguimkeu Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Nguimkeu Author-Name: Cedric Okou Author-X-Name-First: Cedric Author-X-Name-Last: Okou Title: Does informality increase the spread of COVID-19 in Africa? A cross-country examination Abstract: The informal economy absorbs a large share (more than 80%) of the labour force in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We examine whether a high level of informality tends to exacerbate the spread of the COVID-19. Using publicly available data for a cross-section of 46 SSA, we find evidence that confirms this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1115 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1111-1115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pamela Wicker Author-X-Name-First: Pamela Author-X-Name-Last: Wicker Author-Name: Daniel Weimar Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Weimar Author-Name: Johannes Orlowski Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Orlowski Title: The ‘real’ birthday effect: post-birthday running performance of Football Bundesliga players Abstract: While the birthday effect has been widely studied in the economics and sport literature, this study introduces the concept of the ‘real’ birthday effect. It holds that birthday celebrations yield fatigue, which negatively affect running performance. The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of players’ birthdays on post-birthday running performance using data from the German Football Bundesliga (2011–2018). The dataset includes 1,040 different field players who played in 2,142 matches (n= 49,233). Running performance was measured by the total distance covered during the game (in m per minute) and the number of intensive runs (>20 and <24 km/h; per minute). On average, players ran 123.68 m and performed 0.70 intensive runs per minute, which are equivalent to 11.1 km and 63 intensive runs during a 90-minute match. The results of fixed effects panel regression analyses, which also control for various player, game, and team characteristics, show that players perform significantly fewer intensive runs on the day following their birthday. This finding supports the concept of the ‘real’ birthday effect. Football coaches should reconsider fielding players on match days succeeding their birthday as these players perform significantly fewer intensive runs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1133 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1129-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xingchun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingchun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Exchange options and spread options with stochastically correlated underlyings Abstract: This paper investigates the valuation of exchange options and spread options with stochastically correlated underlying assets. Specially, the correlation is determined by market betas of underlying assets and depends on the level of the variance of the market index. Based on the closed form of the moment generating function of the log-return vector, we obtain pricing formulae for exchange options and spread options. Finally, numerical analysis illustrates the impacts of the market risk factor on option prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1060-1068 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1907281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1060-1068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lunan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Lunan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Lin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Measuring the dynamics of provincial real economies in China Abstract: This paper uses a set of provincial macroeconomic variables and the panel VAR method, which contains cross-sectional dynamic interdepence and time-varying coefficients, to measure the quarterly dynamics of the real economies of Chinese provinces. We find that provincial GDP and industrial value-added series may deliver limited business cycle information and that Chinese provinces have experienced overall divergence and sub-club convergence in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1096-1101 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1908947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1908947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1096-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tamilarasi Rajappa Author-X-Name-First: Tamilarasi Author-X-Name-Last: Rajappa Author-Name: Sartaj Rasool Rather Author-X-Name-First: Sartaj Rasool Author-X-Name-Last: Rather Title: Monetary shocks, output and inflation – evidence from asymmetric causality test Abstract: This study examines whether the positive and negative unanticipated monetary shocks have asymmetric causal impact on real output growth and inflation rate. In particular, we examine whether the asymmetry observed in the impact of these shocks on output is consistent with that of inflation as predicted by menu cost models. The empirical results indicate that the positive monetary shocks tend to cause an increase in price whereas the negative monetary shocks have no impact. On the other hand, the negative monetary shocks cause a fall in real output; however, the positive monetary shocks seem to have no impact. The crucial implication of these findings is that the positive monetary shocks tend to be inflationary with less or no impact on real output whereas the negative monetary shocks cause reductions in real output with no or less impact on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Alanis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Alanis Title: Forecasting betas with random forests Abstract: It is common to estimate equity betas for private firms or non-traded assets through a comparable company analysis, and we test if the Random Forest algorithm can provide superior forecasts. In out-of-sample tests from 1992 to 2018, we find that Random Forest forecasts produce substantially lower average errors and mean absolute errors every year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1134-1138 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1912278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1912278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1134-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seungyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Food insecurity of households with sexual minorities Abstract: Households with a sexual minority adult may face material difficulties that can lead to an increased risk of food insecurity compared to those without a sexual minority adult. Using data from the 2013–2018 National Health Interview Survey, this study examines the relationship between household food insecurity and the sexual orientation of adult members. The results suggest that households with a male or a female sexual minority adult are more likely to be food insecure than households without a sexual minority adult. Moreover, an increased likelihood of food insecurity due to the presence of a female sexual minority adult is relatively greater than that of a male sexual minority adult. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1128 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1125-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akira Yamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaguchi Title: CEOs’ educational background and investments in software Abstract: In the latter half of Japan’s Two Lost Decades (1990–2010), Japanese firms failed to undergo a thorough information and communications technology (ICT) revolution. In this study, we investigate the most likely cause for this situation and find that chief executive officers (CEOs) in Japanese companies simply did not know how to utilize the new equipment including ICT capitals. We estimate the impact of CEOs’ educational backgrounds(assessed based on their alma mater’s fame) on investments in software by using a compiled dataset that included Japanese listed firms with panel fixed effects models and a generalized method of moments. We find significant evidence that an increase in CEOs’ educational background raises their investment in software. We also revealed that a lack in CEOs’ knowledge of new equipment could be an obstacle for introducing new equipment and, consequently, could lead to loss of competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1069-1072 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1908510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1908510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1069-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaoheng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ke Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Adolescent obesity and family environment in China Abstract: Numerous factors related to family environment contribute to adolescent obesity around the globe. Using the CHNS data, we estimate the total contribution of family environmental factors in explaining adolescent BMI in China. Our main finding is that 63.8% of adolescent weight variation can be attributed to family environment, and parents’ BMIs constitute a major component. Thus, policies aimed at containing adolescent obesity in China should give priorities to the family environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1110 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1910127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1910127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1107-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weige Huang Author-X-Name-First: Weige Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xiang Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: LASSO-based high-frequency return predictors for profitable Bitcoin investment Abstract: This article explores the Bitcoin return predictability of variables constructed from one-minute high-frequency Bitcoin trading data. During the training period of 2012–2018, LASSO is used to pick out the most powerful predictors. We then use predictors selected by LASSO to predict the Bitcoin returns in the 2018–2019 test sample. An investment strategy based on the return predictions outperforms a simple buy-and-hold strategy and other strategies based on the prediction of Ordinary Least Squares and Neural Networks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1083 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1908512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1908512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:12:p:1079-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Betul Akar Author-X-Name-First: Betul Author-X-Name-Last: Akar Author-Name: Cagla Okten Author-X-Name-First: Cagla Author-X-Name-Last: Okten Title: The impact of education on time spent in religious activities: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of increased education, due to an exogenous education reform, on time spent in religious activities by utilizing the Turkish Time Use Survey data. The education reform significantly rises individuals’ years of schooling. We also document that for women, increased education has a negative causal impact on the allocation of time to religious activities. However, there are no significant effects of education on men’s time spent in religious activities. As a result, we suggest that education plays an important role in altering individuals’ religious behaviour through its effects on preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1151 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1914316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1914316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1145-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiao Xie Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Yihua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yihua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Borui Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Borui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: A machine learning approach to forecasting carry trade returns Abstract: Carry trade refers to a risky arbitrage in interest rate differentials between two currencies. Persistent excess carry trade returns pose a challenge to foreign exchange market efficiency. Using a data set of 10 currencies between 1990 and 2017, we find (i) a machine learning model, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, forecast carry trade returns better than linear and threshold models and other machine learning models; and (ii) excess carry trade returns deteriorate after the 2007–2008 global financial crisis in all model forecasts, indicating that the uncovered interest rate parity may still hold in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1199-1204 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1918624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1918624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1199-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurmaş Akdoğan Author-X-Name-First: Kurmaş Author-X-Name-Last: Akdoğan Author-Name: Jamal G. Husein Author-X-Name-First: Jamal G. Author-X-Name-Last: Husein Title: Current account sustainability and nonlinear adjustment Abstract: The existence of mean reversion in current account is examined for 28 countries, using linear and nonlinear unit root tests. The adjustment in current account to GDP ratio could take an asymmetric form depending on the size and sign of the deviation from the equilibrium. The results indicate mean-reversion for three-quarters of the sample. For nine countries, only non-linear tests suggest mean reversion. These results imply that the tests should take into account possible asymmetries in the adjustment behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1182-1186 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1917761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1917761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1182-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Liang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Chao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Pollution haven effect in North-South trade: a theoretical analysis under the mixed duopoly Cournot model Abstract: Utilizing the framework of the mixed duopoly Cournot model in North-South trade, this paper provides evidence that Pollution Haven Effect exists under optimal environmental regulations and discusses how it is affected by the production costs and environmental abatement costs in the developed and developing countries. We also find that under optimal environmental regulations, the heterogeneous impacts on the Pollution Haven Effect make developed countries motivated to reduce the environmental abatement costs and make developing countries more incentive to reduce the production costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1210 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1205-1210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toru Fujiwara Author-X-Name-First: Toru Author-X-Name-Last: Fujiwara Author-Name: Kazutaka Takechi Author-X-Name-First: Kazutaka Author-X-Name-Last: Takechi Title: Making the world safer: autonomous emergency braking systems enhance safety for senior drivers Abstract: Active safety system components, such as autonomous emergency braking (AEB) systems, are designed to play a key role in preventing serious car accidents. We investigate the extent to which vehicles with an AEB system are safer than those without it. Empirical analysis shows that the relative risk of accident when driving a car equipped with AEB is not lower than driving one without AEB. However, when we focus on drivers aged 70 years or older, those driving with AEB are safer than they otherwise would be: their risk is approximately two-third lower. Thus, an AEB system is effective for drivers who need the most assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1181 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1917760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1917760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1177-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Alfredo Revollo-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Revollo-Fernández Author-Name: Lilia Rodríguez-Tapia Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Tapia Title: Water scarcity reduces the efficiency of the manufacturing industry in the valley of Mexico Basin: DEA-based two-stage efficiency analysis Abstract: This study analysed the impact of a series of socioeconomic variables on the efficiency of production processes used by different economic units belonging to the manufacturing industry in a hydrological basin with water scarcity problems. The main finding is that the economic units that used water from overexploited aquifers had lower efficiency scores than those that used water from non-exploited aquifers. Thus, the design of public policies for this sector, which is highly dependent on this natural resource, should take into account that actions to conserve water supply sources greatly affect the efficiency of the manufacturing industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1198 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1918623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1918623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1193-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martyna Marczak Author-X-Name-First: Martyna Author-X-Name-Last: Marczak Author-Name: Thomas Beissinger Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Beissinger Title: A new sectoral unit labour cost indicator based on global value chains Abstract: We propose ‘embodied unit labour costs’ (EULC) at the country-sector level as a new cost-related competitiveness indicator. EULC are more comprehensive than standard unit labour cost measures as they incorporate unit labour costs of all domestic and foreign sectors contributing to the final goods production of a specific sector. The contribution is expressed in value-added terms and takes global supply chains into account. Using the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) the concept is illustrated by evaluating the cost competitiveness of German industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1152-1157 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1915461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1915461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1152-1157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Marina Eurich Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Eurich Title: Does drought risk depress expected well-being? Abstract: The effect of natural hazard risk on individual well-being has so far largely been neglected in the empirical literature. We contribute to filling this gap by combining geo-referenced survey data with a time- and region-varying indicator of drought risk for the United States. We find that individuals living in regions with higher drought risk report significantly lower expected future life satisfaction, even after controlling for zip-code-specific, time-specific and individual-specific differences. This effect turns out to be much stronger for comparatively poor individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1229-1233 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1229-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuela Coromaldi Author-X-Name-First: Manuela Author-X-Name-Last: Coromaldi Author-Name: Alessio D’Amato Author-X-Name-First: Alessio Author-X-Name-Last: D’Amato Author-Name: Loredana Mirra Author-X-Name-First: Loredana Author-X-Name-Last: Mirra Title: What forces children away from home? Evidence from Uganda Abstract: Child mobility is a significant phenomenon all over the world and is especially prominent in developing countries, where it is made worse by income conditions in rural households. The aim of this paper is to advance a step forward in the quantitative investigation of factors driving rural households’ decisions to send children away from home. Using Ugandan panel data to account for household unobserved heterogeneity, we find that the age of the household head as well as the presence of a female household head, the number of children, marital status, and the circumstance of mother not living in the household affect the likelihood of sending away children. On the other hand, other factors such as education and mobile phone ownership do not seem to play a role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1217-1223 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1217-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haonan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Haonan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Xu Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: DO shifts in regimes impact the disposition effect implied by prospect theory models? Abstract: We study how market regimes can influence investors’ behaviour under the framework of prospect theory. Two market regimes (bull and bear) are considered, which affect our investors’ reference points and their loss-averse behaviours. Using both theory and empirical evidence, the paper shows the disposition effect in a bull market is stronger than that in a bear market. Investors learn from both domains (gain and loss) in a bear market and more from the gain domain in a bull market. These results also provide an explanation for asymmetric learning regarding the disposition effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1168-1176 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1915947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1915947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1168-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tohru Naito Author-X-Name-First: Tohru Author-X-Name-Last: Naito Author-Name: Hikaru Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Hikaru Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: COVID-19, self-restraint at home, and pregnancy: evidence from Japan Abstract: When the first wave of COVID-19 hit Japan, the number of pregnancies dropped significantly compared to the same month last year. This paper examines the impact of the government’s request to remain at home and identifies the following two points: (i) government’s request for self-restraint reduced the number of pregnancies by five to eight percent; and (ii) the number of pregnancies in areas legally designated as requiring special precautions was significantly two to three percent lower than in other areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1237 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1234-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Haepp Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Haepp Title: New technologies and employee well-being: the role of training provision Abstract: This paper contributes to the discussion about the impact of new technology on the labour market by analysing the impact of new workplace technologies on the well-being of employees in German establishments. We first show that there is no significant overall effect on different measures of employee well-being. We then introduce the role of skill gaps and workplace training and show that a negative effect exists for workers who do not possess sufficient skills in the use of the new technologies and that this negative impact can be completely offset by the provision of training in the use of the newly introduced technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1211-1216 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1211-1216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zehai Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zehai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Wantao Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wantao Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Huaxin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Huaxin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Wanhai You Author-X-Name-First: Wanhai Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Does partisan conflict affect US innovation? Abstract: This article explores the influence of partisan conflict on innovation using panel data of 48 mainland US states over the period from 1992 to 2013. A novel indicator of the US partisan conflict, first proposed by Professor Marina Azzimonti, is employed. The nonlinear nexus is tested by accommodating cubic polynomial functional forms. Results show that the relationship between partisan conflict and innovation presents an inverted N-shape with two turning points. That is, the effect might change with partisan conflict. To further study the heterogeneous impact of partisan conflict across different economic development levels, this article divides these states into high- and low-income groups. Subsample analysis concludes that the relationship between partisan conflict and innovation is inverted N-shaped in both high- and low-income groups. A comparative analysis of the turning points between these two groups is conducted. The findings contribute to previous studies in identifying the role of partisan conflict in innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1158-1167 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1915462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1915462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1158-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wan-Ci Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Ci Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Wu-Po Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wu-Po Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The dilemma between ethics and reputation: evidence of earnings management following CEO pay cuts for women Abstract: Lobo, Manchiraju, and Sridharan (2018) find that CEOs manipulate discretionary accruals to mitigate damage to their reputation after they experience substantial pay cuts. Extending their study, we examine whether the gender of CEOs alleviates this problem following a drastic compensation reduction. Our sample is composed of 4,130 firm-year observations. We find that female CEOs, who are generally viewed to be more ethical and risk-averse than males, engage in less earnings management following extreme pay cuts as compared to their male counterparts. Our results provide implications for market participants and governance boards related to assessing the use of compensation tools. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1224-1228 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1922581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1922581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1224-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marislei Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Marislei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Mauro Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Author-Name: Thaís Luiza Donega Souza Author-X-Name-First: Thaís Luiza Donega Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Title: Is Rotten Tomatoes killing the movie industry? A regression discontinuity approach Abstract: We study the effect of expert reviews on consumer choice, focusing on the movie industry. Specifically, we estimate the impact of a popular movie review aggregator – Rotten Tomatoes (RT) – on box office revenue, using a sample of 1,239 movies widely-released in the U.S. between 1999 and 2019. RT’s rating system allows us to use regression discontinuity, thus avoiding problems associated with omitted unobservable characteristics of movies (such as quality and commercial appeal). We do not find evidence that RT ratings affect box office performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1192 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1918324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1918324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1187-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: John Moffat Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Title: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the level and distribution of intangibles investment in the UK Abstract: This paper investigates trends in intangibles investment since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United Kingdom. Responses from an online survey show that investment in R&D has dropped substantially for many firms but that over 40% of firms increased their ICT investment, which is likely to reflect the need to facilitate remote working and customer engagement. Industry is a major predictor of the change in intangibles investment. This is consistent with expectations in light of the different effect that measures to contain the pandemic have had across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1238-1242 Issue: 13 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1954591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1954591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1238-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaofan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chaofan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ze Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ze Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xueli Tang Author-X-Name-First: Xueli Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The impact of COVID-19 on employment expectations in the China’s service sector—evidence from online surveys of 1222 education enterprises Abstract: This paper uses data from 1,222 online survey questionnaires of education enterprises to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on the employment expectations of service enterprises. We found COVID-19 had a significant inhibitory effect on employment expectations, and if the shock of COVID-19 increased by one level, the probability that the expected labour demand of enterprises decreased by 30–50% would increase by 0.049 compared to the same prior-year period, and the probability of a reduction of more than 50% would increase by 0.115. The COVID-19 influenced employment expectations mainly through inhibiting two major channels – revenue and cash flow, and its impact on revenue was greater than the impact on cash flow. Specifically, the mediating effects of revenue and cash flow accounted for 42.78% and 14.07% of the total effect, respectively. In addition, the employment expectations of non-micro enterprises, offline enterprises, and enterprises in high-risk regions were more impacted by COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1265 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1926901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1926901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1261-1265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saini Das Author-X-Name-First: Saini Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Long-term Agricultural Productivity and Religious Conflict:Evidence from India Abstract: This paper studies the association between agricultural productivity and religious riots in a setting of an abrupt productivity increase in India. I find heterogeneity in the impacts of the gains across different crop regions. Crop cultivation methods determine the differential allocation of labour to the conflict and agricultural sectors. I show that in the labour-intensive rice growing regions there was a decline in conflict while in the capital-intensive wheat growing regions there was not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1336-1341 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1929819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1929819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1336-1341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongyun Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Hongyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Impact of ICT adoption on cosmetic expenditure of Chinese residents: an exploration accounting for urban-rural differentials Abstract: This study explores the impact of the adoption of information and communication technologies (ICTs) on cosmetic expenditure, accounting for urban-rural differentials. We employ the inverse-probability weighted regression adjustment (IPWRA) estimator, which has double-robust property, to estimate the 2018 China Family Panel Studies data. Results show that ICT adoption exerts a positive and significant impact on the cosmetic expenditure of Chinese residents, and its impact on urban residents is larger than that on their rural counterparts. Further analysis reveals that the cosmetic expenditure gap between urban and rural residents is smaller among households at higher-income quantile (relative to those at lower-income quantile) and those residing in the Central and Western regions of China (relative to those in the Eastern). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1286-1291 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1286-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subroto Rapih Author-X-Name-First: Subroto Author-X-Name-Last: Rapih Title: The US vs. the EU: cross-border bank flows’ origin factor and shadow banking in emerging market economies Abstract: We explore the relationship between US bank claims and European bank claims on Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and the level of shadow banking assets in 11 major EMEs over the 18-year period spanning 2002–2019. By using a fixed-effects panel model, we find that cross-border bank flows from US banks and European banks have different effects on shadow banking assets in EMEs. Whereas US bank claims on EMEs have a positive impact on the level of shadow banking assets in EMEs, European bank claims on EMEs are significantly negatively related to the level of shadow banking in EMEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1266-1270 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1926902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1926902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1266-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Noda Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Title: A note on life insurance, human capital accumulation and economic growth Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to identify the conditions necessary for the effective functioning of disability insurance in the framework of an overlapping-generations model. Unlike preceding studies, we focus on demographic trends and differences in productivity between young and old workers. Our model implies that the effects of a young or old population on economic growth vary depending on whether peer effects on the process of human capital formation are positive or negative. If a positive peer effect is dominant and either the young or old population is small, economic growth might be higher when disability insurance is available than when it is not. Our results provide important suggestions for governments of the least developed countries in which insurance markets are either non-existent or underdeveloped. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1280 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1271-1280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sabine Gralka Author-X-Name-First: Sabine Author-X-Name-Last: Gralka Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Classifying top economists using archetypoid analysis Abstract: Updating the study by Seiler and Wohlrabe (2013) we use archetypoid analysis to classify top economists. The approach allows us to identify typical characteristics of extreme (archetypal) values in a multivariate data set. In contrast to its predecessor, the archetypal analysis, archetypoids always represent actual observed units in the data. Using bibliometric data from 776 top economists we identify four archetypoids. These types represent solid, low, top and diligent performer. Each economist is assigned to one or more of these archetypoids. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1342-1346 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1342-1346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Germà Bel Author-X-Name-First: Germà Author-X-Name-Last: Bel Author-Name: Stephan Joseph Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Joseph Author-Name: Ferran A. Mazaira-Font Author-X-Name-First: Ferran A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mazaira-Font Title: The effects of moratoriums on hotel building: an anti-tourism measure, or rather protection for local incumbents? Abstract: In July 2015, the newly elected City Council of Barcelona approved a moratorium on the building of hotels. This study empirically evaluates its effect on hotel prices, using 202,019 daily observations on hotel prices between 2011 and 2017. While the inflow of tourists continued to rise after the moratorium, our synthetic control method finds that hotel prices increased significantly above pre-intervention trends. This suggests that the actual outcome of the moratorium was the protection and promotion of the interests of local industry incumbents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1324 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1319-1324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xianyan Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Xianyan Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Title: The impact of herding behaviour of Chinese securities investment funds on firm value: the mediating effects of stock price informativeness and agency cost Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of herding behaviour of Chinese Securities Investment Funds (SIFs) on firm value by taking stock price informativeness and agency cost as intermediary variables. It constructs LSV model to measure herding behaviour of SIFs, and develops logarithmic conversion method of the goodness-of-fit to characterize stock price informativeness. The stepwise regression method is employed for empirical analysis and it is found that: (i) The herding behaviour of SIFs significantly negatively affects the stock price informativeness, and the former is ‘intentional herding’ that ignores personal private information. (ii) The stock price informativeness is positively related to firm value, while agency cost has a significant negative influence on firm value. (iii) The stock price informativeness and agency cost play significant partial mediating effects between the herding behaviour of SIFs and firm value, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1248-1255 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1923633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1923633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1248-1255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Le Fur Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Le Fur Author-Name: J. François Outreville Author-X-Name-First: J. François Author-X-Name-Last: Outreville Title: Do vintage scores by regions matters? The case of French wine regions Abstract: This article examines causal relationships among vintages scores in major French wine regions using cointegration procedures, Granger non-causality test, and the Error Correction Model. Vintage data are available from the French Guide Hachette over the period 1954–2015 and from a specialized wine website Idealwine.com for the period 1919–2015. Our approach provides new results on the causality links between different wine regions. The causal relationships among the vintage scores allow to assess the influential and influenced regions. The results are potentially important for various actors such as investors, merchants or consumers to better understand the quality effect in the different regional vintage scores. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1247 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1923632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1923632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1243-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shih-Bin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Wu-Po Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wu-Po Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Economic consequences of unqualified chief accounting officer announcements Abstract: This study investigates market reactions to announcements of chief accounting officer (CAO) unqualifications. Using 61 Taiwanese observations from 2006 to 2020, we find negative market reactions prior to unqualified CAO announcements. Our results also show that markets react more negatively when unqualified CAOs are female. This study suggests potential information leakage and provides implications for regulators and market participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1256-1260 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1925214 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1925214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1256-1260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yajie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yajie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Mingzhi Mao Author-X-Name-First: Mingzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Author-Name: Haifeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The external effect of better-educated parents on student academic outcome Abstract: This paper exploits the random assignment rule embedded in Chinese education system to investigate the external effect of better-educated parents in a class on students’ academic outcomes. Using a representative sample of Chinese middle school students, our estimation results show that a higher share of classmates with college-educated parents helps improve test scores of the students in the class. We further show that such external effect may arise from positive interactions between parents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1281-1285 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1281-1285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandra Cepparulo Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Cepparulo Author-Name: Gilles Mourre Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Mourre Title: Fiscal policies-growth connection: which role for the budget composition? Abstract: We assess the growth friendliness, both for the short and long term, of the budget composition over the last 16 years (2001 − 2017) for EU countries based on the OECD taxonomy of budget items – growth connection. Budget composition is still far from its optimum, sizable gaps exist for almost all EU countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1292-1299 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1292-1299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kun Lang Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Lang Author-Name: Alexander Xincheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Xincheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Disapproval rating, VIX index, COVID-19 cases and Trump’s tweeting against China Abstract: The primary goal of this paper is to provide empirical evidence for how non-trade factors attribute to the China-US trade war. Trump’s tweets provide us with a unique perspective. After analysing 31,166 Trump’s tweets, we have the following findings: (1) It’s non-trade factors rather than trade-related factors that can significantly predict whether Trump posts negative tweets involving China’s economic and trade issues. For every 1$$\% $$% increase in Trump’s disapproval rating and VIX index, the likelihood of Trump posting negative tweets involving China’s economic and trade issues increases by 0.61$$\% $$% and 0.16$$\% $$% respectively. (2) Tweeting against China sometimes becomes a tool to divert domestic criticism. After the COVID-19 outbreak, the higher growth rate of cumulative COVID-19 confirmed cases, the higher likelihood of Trump tweeting against China. (3) Tweeting against China can win public support and attention. Holding everything else constant, the number of likes and retweets of negative tweets about China are 10.2$$\% $$% and 14.6$$\% $$% more than those of positive tweets about China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1306-1312 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927956 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1306-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin A. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Shana McDermott Author-X-Name-First: Shana Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: Infant health outcomes in mega-fire affected communities Abstract: We undertake a nationwide US study to estimate how mega-fires (defined as wildfires >100,000 acres in size) affect short-term infant health outcomes in communities located within the flame zone. This is the first study to look exclusively at mega-fires, which have unique characteristics compared to smaller wildfire events and are becoming more frequent in the US. We find that pregnant mothers in affected counties experience 0.8 percentage point greater instances of low birth weight and 1.2 percentage point greater instances of prematurity. The low birth weight finding is equivalent to what would be expected if a mother smoked approximately 6.2 cigarettes per day during pregnancy. Importantly, impacts are potentially non-linearly increasing in mega-fire size. Improved benefit-cost analyses are needed to account for mega-fire indirect impacts when making wildfire control and suppression decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1325-1335 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1325-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qinxin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Qinxin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: A comparison between mixed logit model and latent class logit model for multi-profile best-worst scaling: evidence from mobile payment choice dataset Abstract: This paper uses a multi-profile best-worst scaling dataset to compare the mixed logit model and the latent class logit model for mobile payment choice. Three non-nested tests are applied to show the comparison results. The results indicate that the mixed logit model is superior to the latent class logit model in all three tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1300-1305 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1300-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoung Tae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyoung Tae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sherman D. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Sherman D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Author-Name: Jonghee Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jonghee Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The great expansion of 2019 and the delinquency rates of blacks and hispanics Abstract: During a period of increasing prosperity, the U.S. debt delinquency rate decreased between 2016 and 2019, with a relatively large decrease for Asians households and somewhat smaller decrease for Blacks and Whites, while the rate for Hispanics stayed constant. Blacks were more likely to be delinquent than Whites and Hispanics. Controlling for household characteristics, there was not a significant year effect for delinquency, suggesting that changes in household characteristics accounted for the overall decrease between 2016 and 2019. Additional analyses showed the Black delinquency rate in 2016 was not significantly different from the White rate, but was higher than the White rate in 2019. In both years, Hispanics had lower delinquency rates than Blacks. We discuss possible explanations for the differences between Hispanics and Blacks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1318 Issue: 14 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1927957 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1927957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:14:p:1313-1318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver4260838620556864211.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Yuan Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Changfei Nie Author-X-Name-First: Changfei Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: The effect of housing price on health: new evidence from China Abstract: This paper examines the effect of housing price on health of China’s urban residents, and further explores the issue of health inequality. We find that the increase of housing price significantly improves people’s physical health, but hurts their mental health, and this effect is affected by residents’ housing wealth. Furthermore, the health inequality related to housing wealth exists in mental health rather than physical health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1446 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2040726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2040726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1439-1446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-4269691835182870724.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Muhammad Abubakr Naeem Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Abubakr Author-X-Name-Last: Naeem Author-Name: Mabruk Billah Author-X-Name-First: Mabruk Author-X-Name-Last: Billah Author-Name: Mohamed Marei Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Marei Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: Quantile connectedness between Sukuk bonds and the impact of COVID-19 Abstract: The purpose of this study is to investigate the return connectedness in the median, left, and right tail, using the novel methodology of quantile-based connectedness proposed by Ando et al. (2018). We use daily data covering the period from 1 January 2013 to 27 October 2020, which includes different financial crises occurring in GCC, Turkey, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Furthermore, analysing the dynamic connectedness, the Sukuk market was significantly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings reveal that the spillover structures in both upper and lower tails differ from those observed in the middle quantile. Finally, we find that Bahrain, Malaysia, Oman, and Qatar transmitted more spillovers than they admitted during the COVID-19 outbreak. These findings offer vital implications for regulators and policymakers, investors, traders, and portfolio managers regarding whether diversification across Sukuk indices is achievable during turbulent periods like COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1378-1387 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1934384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1934384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1378-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver705268281338676084.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Ilias Kostarakos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kostarakos Title: Public debt and aggregate investment in the EU Abstract: In this paper, I study the public debt-aggregate investment nexus in a panel of EU countries. The empirical approach is based on the common factor framework, which allows accounting for cross-country heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. The empirical results indicate that public debt has, on average, an adverse effect that is more pronounced in the public investment case. Moreover, there are evidence indicating the presence of a nonlinear relationship between debt and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1358-1364 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1931655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1931655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1358-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-9120573853380629626.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Zhitao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhitao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qiuyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiuyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zi Nie Author-X-Name-First: Zi Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Bingcheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Bingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Corporate financial distress prediction based on controlling shareholder’s equity pledge Abstract: In the past literature, the prediction model of financial distress mainly used the information of corporate finance and corporate governance, and less considered the predictive effect of controlling shareholder information. Based on the sample of A-share listed companies in China from 2014 to 2019, this paper empirically investigates the incremental effect of controlling shareholder’s equity pledge on improving the accuracy of financial distress prediction. It is found that the information of controlling shareholder’s equity pledge can significantly improve the accuracy of financial distress prediction. After changing the definition of the explained variable and the data source, the conclusion remains robust. This paper verifies the role of controlling shareholder’s equity pledge in predicting financial distress, extends the selection of financial distress prediction model variables to the controlling shareholder level, and enriches the research on the economic consequences of equity pledge. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1365-1368 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1931656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1931656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1365-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver8252692246591163833.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Yong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Youqing Fan Author-X-Name-First: Youqing Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Hao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The role of top leadership team’s cognitive framework in COVID-19 control and economic recovery in China Abstract: This study aims to discuss how China’s top leadership team’s (CTLT) cognitive framework helped them quickly minimize the impact of COVID-19 and enter economic recovery. We find that cognitive framework of CTLT based on Yin-Yang philosophy balancing exerted the following effects: (1) It helped CTLT determine the relative significance of COVID-19 control and economic recovery from a higher level goal of Chinese people’s life and health. (2) It helped CTLT determine opportunities conducive to economic recovery from COVID-19. (3) It helped Chinese leaders quickly identify the central paradox in COVID-19 and mobilize the available resources to address it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1420-1427 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1420-1427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver8258702297063790443.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Claudia Prieto-Latorre Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto-Latorre Author-Name: Oscar D. Marcenaro-Gutiérrez Author-X-Name-First: Oscar D. Author-X-Name-Last: Marcenaro-Gutiérrez Title: Socioeconomic school segregation in Canary Islands Abstract: This study provides evidence about the degree of socioeconomic segregation in Spain’s primary schools. In particular, the analysis is based on data from Canary Islands, a Spanish region with low level of academic performance and high level of students enrolled in fully public schools. The approach used to study school segregation deepens on the contribution of the type of school funding to the overall school segregation, which is addressed using the Hutchens Index. Results suggest that differences between fully state-funded schools and private schools account for 20–30% of the total level of segregation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1351 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1929820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1929820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1347-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver1746999177776441768.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Title: What shifts did covid-19 year 2020 bring to the labour market in Europe? Abstract: This article discusses the evolution of key labour market indicators in the EU-27 countries between 2019 and 2020, i.e. between the year before the covid-19 crisis broke out and the year in which it impacted the economy heavily. Whereas earlier studies have dealt with the evolution of unemployment in 2020, often country by country, this article focuses on describing the evolution of unemployment as well as inactivity across European countries. It appears that the Southern European countries, in particular, recorded increases in inactivity, while the Baltic States experienced higher growth in unemployment. In many other countries, unemployment and inactivity remained remarkably stable despite covid-19. The country comparison bears many similarities to that in 2009, when the Great Recession knocked back the European economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1447-1454 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1447-1454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-3024453205195231572.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Yanzhao Lv Author-X-Name-First: Yanzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Jingzhe Piao Author-X-Name-First: Jingzhe Author-X-Name-Last: Piao Author-Name: Boning Li Author-X-Name-First: Boning Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Meijuan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Meijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Does online investor sentiment impact stock returns? Evidence from the Chinese stock market Abstract: The authors use crawler software to capture the data of investor post content and reading volume from the stock bar of Eastmoney and then utilize textual analysis method to construct positive and negative investor sentiment indicators. The authors use VAR model to examine the Granger causality between investor sentiment and stock returns for the Chinese stock market. The results indicate that negative sentiment indicators have more explanatory power in determining stock returns than positive sentiment indicators. Evidence from impulse responses also shows that investor sentiment reacts to stock returns in short-term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1434-1438 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1434-1438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-351081303734040305.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Ayse Ozden Birkan Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Ozden Author-X-Name-Last: Birkan Title: Testing the balance of payments constrained growth model in a VECM framework: the cases of Brazil, Korea, Mexico and Turkey Abstract: The aim of this study is to explore the empirical application of a previously unexplored procedure to systematically estimate and test the tenets of the balance of payments constrained growth (BOPCG) the model within a VECM framework. The three structural equations that constitute the BOPCG model are estimated as long run equilibrium relations using the Johansen cointegration analysis technique for Brazil, Korea, Mexico and Turkey over the 1980–2016 period. The BOPCG hypothesis is then tested in terms of non-linear coefficient restrictions on the cointegrating vectors. Hypotheses on the exogeneity of real exchange rate and the world income are also tested in terms of tests on the adjustment coefficients. Results provide evidence in favour of Thirlwall’s Law for the cases of Brazil and Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1414-1419 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1414-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-3309480196645473304.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Jianfeng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jianfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Triangular arbitrage across forex and cryptocurrency markets during the COVID-19 crisis: a MRS-AR approach Abstract: This article employs a Markovian regime-switching autoregressive approach to examine triangular arbitrage across forex and cryptocurrency markets during the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis. The findings suggest the following: (1) profitable triangular arbitrage tends to occur in the turbulent period during the crisis, significantly outperforming cryptocurrency investments; and (2) the persistent profitability of triangular arbitrage ensues from strong memory of high returns, low risk, and shock response to global quantitative monetary easing policy. Regulatory authorities should consolidate cryptocurrency supervision systems and establish cross-border coordination mechanisms to stabilize exchange rates and enhance market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1352-1357 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1930998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1930998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1352-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-8319994571983316995.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Roberto Ganau Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ganau Author-Name: Andrés Rodríguez-Pose Author-X-Name-First: Andrés Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Pose Title: Credit constraints in European SMEs: does regional institutional quality matter? Abstract: We analyse the investment-to-cash flow relationship in Europe using a sample of manufacturing small- and medium-sized enterprises (SME) over the period 2009–2016. We investigate the effect of regional institutional quality on the investment-to-cash flow sensitivity, finding that, although credit constraints remain a serious problem for European SMEs, high-quality regional institutions contribute to mitigate the dependency on internally-generated resources to finance new investments. Improvements in local institutional quality can therefore facilitate SMEs’ access to credit – e.g. through inter-firm trade credit relationships –, but are insufficient to overcome the credit restrictions faced by European SMEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1388-1392 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1934385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1934385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1388-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver2239603068230088268.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Uri Gneezy Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Gneezy Author-Name: Katharina Laske Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Laske Author-Name: Marina Schröder Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Schröder Title: Teams do not outperform individuals in a simple creative task Abstract: We compare the performance of teams with that of individuals in a simple creative task – generating a title for a short video. To measure performance, we assess the quality of titles using click rate as well as subjective assessment of the fit between the title and the video. Although teams are costlier to organizations, we find no significant differences in the performance of teams relative to that of individuals. As a result, in the task we use in this paper, allocating creative work to individuals is more efficient than allocating it to teams. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1398 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1934386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1934386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1393-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-3346682517751421888.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Zhong-Qiang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhong-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Ping Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Desheng Fu Author-X-Name-First: Desheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Behavioural heterogeneity and equity premium volatility in China Abstract: This paper develops a simple heterogeneous agents model with fundamentalists and chartists. It examines whether investors’ behavioural heterogeneity is related to excess volatility of equity premium in the Chinese stock market. To calculate deviations between the realized and expected values of the equity premium, we use consumption growth model and dividend growth model to estimate the expected equity premiums of CSI 300 from January 2005 to December 2019. After estimating the heterogeneous agents model using the CSI 300 monthly data, we find that investors’ heterogeneity in price trends and trading strategies can significantly explain excess volatility of equity premium. Our analysis of two significant fluctuations, specifically the booms and busts of 2007–2008 and 2014–2015, further corroborates our key finding that investors’ behavioural heterogeneity plays an important role in explaining excess volatility of equity premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1399-1404 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1399-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-4496506046830820898.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Haifeng Li Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Shuang Cao Author-X-Name-First: Shuang Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Does the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect policy reduce China’s A-H share price premium? Abstract: The Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect programme provides a perfect experimental setting to test cross-listing theories. Using daily panel data of 54 firms dually listed on the Shanghai A-share and Hong Kong H-share markets from 4 January 2011 to 29 November 2019, this paper investigates the effect of the programme on A-H premium. The results demonstrate that the programme did not narrow the A-H valuation gaps, but rather significantly promoted the premium. The results also confirm the conventional arguments of information asymmetry, demand differential, and investors’ risk preference differential, which are proposed to explain price disparities between dual-listed stocks, but challenge liquidity differential and market risk differential hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1428-1433 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1428-1433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver4529532552304623723.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Khanh Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Khanh Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Author-Name: Thanh Tat Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Tat Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Policy uncertainty and intellectual capital investment Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and corporate intellectual capital (IC) investment. The empirical results, which are based on a wide range of econometric tests, demonstrate a negative impact of EPU on IC investment, thus lending support to the notion that EPU hinders corporate IC investment. The analysis also indicates that the negative impact of EPU on IC investment varies cross-sectionally. It is prominent only in large firms and financially constrained firms, suggesting such firms reduce or delay IC investment during heightened EPU periods. EPU does not significantly affect the IC investment in small firms and firms with less financial constraints. Our findings are broadly consistent with existing studies in the literature and remain qualitatively unchanged after a battery of robustness and endogeneity tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1377 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1934383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1934383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1369-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-5589193506306393447.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Ştefan Cristian Gherghina Author-X-Name-First: Ştefan Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Gherghina Author-Name: Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu Author-X-Name-First: Liliana Nicoleta Author-X-Name-Last: Simionescu Title: Exploring the co-movements between stock market returns and COVID‑19 pandemic: evidence from wavelet coherence analysis Abstract: This paper aims to explore the stock market returns-COVID-19 interdependence via wavelet coherence analysis. The sample comprises the top 15 affected countries by novel coronavirus outbreak, covering each continent over the period 1 January 2020 to 23 July 2020. Using daily stock index returns, COVID-19 new cases and new deaths, the empirical findings reveal that most of the stock market returns are in phase (cyclical effects) with pandemic variables, whereas a couple of stock index returns exhibit an out-of-phase behaviour (anti-cyclical effects). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1413 Issue: 15 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:15:p:1405-1413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1937494_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Yuyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Sihao Li Author-X-Name-First: Sihao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhi Cao Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: The effect of financialization on management earnings forecasts Abstract: We examine the effect of financialization on management earnings forecasts. Using a sample of Chinese main board listed companies over 8 years, we find that financialization decreases the probability and frequency of issuing management earnings forecasts. The results imply that financialization impedes firms’ information disclosure and may negatively affect their long-term performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1466-1469 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1466-1469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097170_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wenyan Cao Author-X-Name-First: Wenyan Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Separation of control and cash flow rights, ultimate controlling shareholders’ equity pledge ratio and risk of control transfer--evidence from Chinese A-share listed companies Abstract: Listed companies with a higher separation of two rights have less risk of control transfer of the ultimate controlling shareholder. The ultimate controlling shareholder’s equity pledge ratio plays a remarkable mediating role in this process. At different pledge rates, the ultimate controlling shareholder’s equity pledge exhibits an ‘encroachment’ or ‘incentive’ effect on corporate governance, respectively, resulting in an inverted U-shaped relationship between equity pledge rate and the risk of control transfer. Company size has a heterogeneous effect on the risk of control transfer, while shareholding concentration has heterogeneous and single threshold impacts on this risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1540 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1533-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1942426_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Yongyou Nie Author-X-Name-First: Yongyou Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Kai Wan Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Fan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Weiyong Zou Author-X-Name-First: Weiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Local government competition, development zones and urban green innovation: an empirical study of Chinese cities Abstract: Improving the level of green innovation is indispensable for sustainable urban development. This article uses China’s city-level data from 2000 to 2018 as a sample to test the impact and mechanism of local government competition on urban green innovation. We find that local government competition on environment has an evidently positive impact on green innovation, and there is a significant spatial spillover effect. Further channel inspection results show that local government competition affects green innovation through the establishment of development zones. Our research will help improve the level of urban green innovation and provide a theoretical reference for local governments’ policy-making. Besides, our results show that the mechanism of building development zones through which local environmental competition affects green innovation is more effective in eastern China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1509-1514 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1942426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1942426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1509-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1937495_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Zhi-Long Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Min-Xing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Min-Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Feng-Min Xu Author-X-Name-First: Feng-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Robo-advisor using closed-form solutions for investors’ risk preferences Abstract: In this article, we design a robo-advisor which has a bi-level framework. The framework enables it to handle a large amount of assets using fast algorithms in the lower level. The proposed robo-advisor can utilize the closed-form solutions for investors’ risk preferences based on corresponding portfolio choices. A dynamic weight is applied to update investors’ risk preferences. Numerical results based on real data in Chinese stock market show that our proposed robo-advisor can accurately estimate the risk preferences of investors and outperform the benchmark formed by market indexes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1470-1477 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1470-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1946002_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Tianheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of education on mental health: evidence from compulsory education law in China Abstract: This paper investigates the causal effect of education on mental health by using the exogenous variation in years of schooling arising from the compulsory schooling law implemented in China during the 1980s and 1990s. Using data from China Family Panel Studies, the paper finds evidence for significant protective effects of educational attainment on mental health. The results show that one extra year of schooling improves the mental health scale by 0.14 standard deviations. Furthermore, the mechanism analysis shows that education positively affects self-assessed income and social status and improves individuals’ cognitive ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1515-1521 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1946002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1946002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1515-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1940081_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Songlin Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Songlin Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Zhenyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Sainan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Sainan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Does too much finance suppress a country’s participation in the global value chains? Abstract: Using a dynamic panel threshold model, we find a nonlinear effect of financial development on participation in the global value chains for 92 countries. The effect is positive below a threshold and turns negative above it. We provide evidence supporting our explanation that when a country’s financial system develops to a certain level, it serves foreign buyers by engaging more in outward foreign direct investments instead of enhancing its participation in the global value chains. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1504-1508 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1940081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1504-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1946470_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Harold Glenn Valera Author-X-Name-First: Harold Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Valera Author-Name: Jean Balié Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Balié Author-Name: Emiliano Magrini Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Magrini Title: Is rice price a major source of inflation in the Philippines? A panel data analysis Abstract: We estimate a panel vector auto-regression model using monthly prices for 17 regions in the Philippines from 2007 to 2019. Our results suggest that the effect of rice price on inflation is larger than the effect of fuel price and remittances. The results obtained are robust to various model specifications, different sub-periods, and inflation proxies. The impulse response functions for sub-samples of regions show two remarkable results. First, the response of inflation to a rice price shock varies according to poverty incidence by region. Second, the magnitude and persistence of this effect are larger for regions with high poverty rates. These results suggest that the Central Bank should keep alert in monitoring and assessing key developments in rice prices and supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1528-1532 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1946470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1946470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1528-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1937492_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Tong Meng Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Shibin Lyu Author-X-Name-First: Shibin Author-X-Name-Last: Lyu Title: The impact of the selective two-child policy on residents’ fertility intentions in China Abstract: The research uses CGSS, a family survey data, to study the impact of the second phase of the selective two-child policy (STCP II) on residents’ fertility intentions in China. It finds that the policy does improve residents’ two-child fertility intentions, which is more significant in the younger groups. The research results suggest that relaxing the family planning policies does increase the residents’ willingness to have more children in the short term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1459 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1455-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1940079_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Alfred Greiner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Greiner Author-Name: Benjamin Owusu Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Owusu Title: Who is discriminated most in the EU? An analysis of the Covid-19 compensation fund Abstract: The European Union has set up a fund in order to compensate countries for damages resulting from Covid-19 that hit the economies in an asymmetric way. We argue that payments should be based only on relative damages, expressed as losses relative to GDP, and any distribution mechanism implying that damages in the countries are treated differently is discriminatory. Hence, we compute the compensation payments if the resources of the fund are spent according to the relative loss in GDP. Finally, we compare the compensations relative to the losses in GDP, resulting from the application of that principle, with those obtained by distributing the funds as suggested by the Council of the European Union. Our results provide evidence of discrimination by the EU Covid-19 compensation package. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1497 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1940079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1493-1497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1939853_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Minsoo Han Author-X-Name-First: Minsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Labour reallocation and total factor productivity losses from financial constraints in the Buera-Shin model Abstract: The previous study by Buera and Shin develop a dynamic general equilibrium model where financial constraints affect resource allocation across heterogeneous agents and therefore total factor productivity (TFP). The present article raises the issue that concerns their calibration approach. While the model allows for endogenous entry and exit of producers, its simulated moments on labour reallocation along the intensive and extensive margins are not consistent with the relevant data. Then a modified version of the model that is consistent with the data is proposed. The modified model predicts that TFP losses from financial constraints are smaller. Based on the findings, this article argues that statistics on labour reallocation along the intensive and extensive margins should be moments which help to discipline the model with endogenous entry and exit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1488 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1939853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1939853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1483-1488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1937493_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Sha Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sha Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yuehua Jiao Author-X-Name-First: Yuehua Author-X-Name-Last: Jiao Title: The belt and road initiative and the executive compensation contract: evidence from Chinese security market Abstract: Extant research mainly focus on the impact of the BRI on the macro-economy. More importantly, the BRI should also have a profound impact on the real economy, but this string of literature is still lacking. Our study will explore the governance effect of the BRI from the perspective of executive compensation. We found that the BRI has improved the effectiveness of executive compensation contract significantly and that this governance effect is more pronounced in enterprises where the power of management is lower and in those that face less intensive market competition. The BRI can also improve the effectiveness of executive compensation contract by strengthening supervision and optimizing remuneration contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1460-1465 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1937493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1937493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1460-1465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1946469_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Jose Cuesta Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Author-Name: Cristian Chagalj Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Chagalj Title: Do border policies reduce flows of Venezuelan migrants? Abstract: Conventional wisdom suggests that migration policy has a significant, unidirectional effect on migration, namely, that tough policies slash inflows, while the reverse is true for permissive policies. We do not find evidence for this in the current Venezuelan migration crisis. In reality, policies shift following large inflows as much as large inflows follow policy shifts. This finding brings into question the efficacy of unilateral and uncoordinated border policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1522-1527 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1946469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1946469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1522-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1940080_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Claude Bergeron Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Bergeron Title: Benchmark, relative return, and asset pricing Abstract: In this note, we develop a simple asset pricing model using the relative return to a benchmark. The model makes no assumption on free-risk securities, equilibrium conditions, utility functions, diffusion processes, probability distributions, or return generating processes. Our main result indicates that the asset’s expected return is equal to the expected return of the lowest-risk asset, plus a risk premium directly proportional to the covariance between the asset’s excess return and the benchmark factor. This suggests that an asset pricing model can be built without restrictive assumptions. This also suggests that the classic CAPM can be viewed as a special case of our benchmark model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1498-1503 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1940080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1498-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963408_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Stephen Hall Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Marisol Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Marisol Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Stuart Murray Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Author-Name: Bernadette O’Hare Author-X-Name-First: Bernadette Author-X-Name-Last: O’Hare Title: Government revenue, quality of governance and child and maternal survival Abstract: This paper considers the effect of government revenue and the quality of governance on the under-five and maternal survival rates. A non-linear panel data study was undertaken using annual data for every country in the world. The study’s broad conclusion is that while government resources, measured as total revenue received by a country’s government, is essential, the quality of governance is even more critical in determining a good outcome for both mother and child. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1541-1546 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1541-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1939852_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Bui Hoang Ngoc Author-X-Name-First: Bui Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Ngoc Author-Name: Nguyen Huu Khoi Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Huu Author-X-Name-Last: Khoi Title: Exploring the convergence of per capita electricity consumption in ASEAN countries: a spatial econometric analysis Abstract: The convergence of per capita electricity consumption has attracted policy-makers because it provides many important suggestions for common regional policies. However, the convergence hypothesis has much less attention in the emerging country. The study aims to identify a potential absolute-convergence hypothesis of per capita electricity consumption in 10 ASEAN countries from 1980 to 2018. The empirical result by applying a spatial econometric analysis showed that the absolute beta convergence hypothesis of per capita electricity consumption is valid for the ASEAN community context. The findings would provide ASEAN members with more insights to plan sustainable energy development strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1478-1482 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1939852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1939852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1478-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1940077_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Soojoong Nam Author-X-Name-First: Soojoong Author-X-Name-Last: Nam Author-Name: Weining Bi Author-X-Name-First: Weining Author-X-Name-Last: Bi Author-Name: David Kim Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The SDR and influences on the currency swap agreements for RMB Abstract: We analyse the determinants of RMB as an international reserve currency and the impact of joining the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) on the currency swap agreements between China and other countries. A panel logit model is estimated using annual data for China and 33 countries for the period from 2009 to 2018. The results show that the relative economic size, trade dependence, interest rate differential, and geopolitical relation are important for determining the likelihood of signing the RMB bilateral swap agreements between China and the partner countries. Our analysis also reveals that RMB’s inclusion in the SDR was an important factor raising the probability of concluding an RMB bilateral swap agreement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1489-1492 Issue: 16 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1940077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:16:p:1489-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1949429_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Dominica Bartnik Author-X-Name-First: Dominica Author-X-Name-Last: Bartnik Author-Name: Paul Edward Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Susanne Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Susanne Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: The impact of occupational feminization on the gender wage gap and estimates of wage discrimination Abstract: This study assesses the male-female wage gap across occupational categories ranked by gender density using data from the U.S. Current Population Survey. Our empirical findings suggest a consistent relationship between occupational feminization and the gender wage gap: female-dominated occupations have the lowest average earnings for men and women, whereas male-dominated occupations have the lowest gender wage gap. Gender-neutral occupations have the highest male and female wages, the largest gender wage gap, and the lowest estimated levels of wage discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1605-1609 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1949429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1949429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1605-1609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1947956_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Chen-Yu Pan Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Pi-Han Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: The discontinuous effect of economic performance on political turnover Abstract: This paper re-examines the asymmetric marginal effect of economic variables on voting. By applying the comprehensive cross-country panel data of democracies from 1975 to 2016, the empirical results demonstrate that there is a striking discontinuity in the relationship between economic performance and political turnover, in the sense that voters are sensitive to incumbents’ economic performance when the countries are during the economic prosperity but are less sensitive during the economic recession. The results are robust no matter we use the absolute growth rate or relative growth rate of the country, and no matter voters’ reaction in response to political turnover is conditional on the institutional factor or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1564-1570 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1947956 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1947956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1564-1570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1946471_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Meng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wanlong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Wanlong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Yunqing Tao Author-X-Name-First: Yunqing Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: Does voluntary disclosure on an internet platform affect analyst forecast accuracy? Abstract: We explore how voluntary disclosure on an Internet platform affects analyst behaviour. We find that the higher the level of voluntary disclosure on the ‘hudongyi’ platform of China’s Shenzhen Stock Exchange, the greater the error in analyst forecasts. Voluntary disclosure on this platform provides analysts with heuristic clues, and heuristic cognitive biases increase analysts’ forecasting errors. In addition, social media has a partial mediation effect between voluntary disclosure and analyst forecast errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1555 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1946471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1946471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1547-1555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1950904_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Cem Okan Tuncel Author-X-Name-First: Cem Okan Author-X-Name-Last: Tuncel Author-Name: Deniz Oktay Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Oktay Title: Innovation and productivity in Turkish manufacturing firms Abstract: This paper presents a CDM model to investigate the relationship between innovation and productivity for Turkey as a developing country. The results suggest that innovation expenditure increases the probability of innovation, and that innovation affects productivity positively, when other relevant variables are controlled for. As well as the industry-specific concentration ratio, we also investigated the role of firm-specific determinants of innovation such as human capital, exporting, and market share in the innovation – productivity link. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1610-1614 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1950904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1950904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1610-1614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965528_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Verónica Amarante Author-X-Name-First: Verónica Author-X-Name-Last: Amarante Author-Name: Ronelle Burger Author-X-Name-First: Ronelle Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Author-Name: Grieve Chelwa Author-X-Name-First: Grieve Author-X-Name-Last: Chelwa Author-Name: John Cockburn Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cockburn Author-Name: Ana Kassouf Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Kassouf Author-Name: Andrew McKay Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: McKay Author-Name: Julieta Zurbrigg Author-X-Name-First: Julieta Author-X-Name-Last: Zurbrigg Title: Underrepresentation of developing country researchers in development research Abstract: We present evidence of how researchers from developing countries are represented in three areas of research: conference presentations, articles in journals, and citations. We find that the bulk of research on development and development policies in the South is conducted by researchers from the North. Southern universities represents 9% of conference presenters, while 57% of conference presenters are from Northern universities. There has been no evidence of improvements over time. Fewer than one in six of the articles published in top 20 development journals from 1990 to 2019 were by Southern researchers, while close to three-quarters were by Northern researchers. The remaining 11% were collaborations by Southern and Northern researchers. Additionally, there are also fewer citations per article for Southern-authored articles than for Northern-authored articles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1659-1664 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1659-1664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1954590_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Kabir Dasgupta Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Dasgupta Author-Name: Keshar Ghimire Author-X-Name-First: Keshar Author-X-Name-Last: Ghimire Author-Name: Alexander Plum Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Plum Title: Impact of state children’s health insurance program on fertility of immigrant women Abstract: Between 1997 and 2000, all states in the United States (US) enacted the State Children’s Health Insurance Programme (SCHIP) to provide publicly funded health insurance coverage for children in low-income families. However, only 15 states including the District of Columbia initially chose to provide coverage for children of newly arrived immigrants in their SCHIP. We exploit the resulting state and time variation in the implementation of the programme in a difference-in-differences framework to estimate the effect of a publicly funded children’s health insurance benefit on immigrant women’s fertility. While estimates from full samples show that the net effect of the programme was indistinguishable from zero, we find a significant positive effect on the fertility of unmarried immigrant women, both at the extensive and at the intensive margin. Our findings have important policy implications for societies experiencing a persistent decline in fertility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1631-1643 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1954590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1954590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1631-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1948500_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Yilin Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yilin Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Informal job search method and labour market outcomes: evidence from urban Chinese workers Abstract: Using a representative sample of Chinese urban employees, we empirically study the impact of the utilization of informal job search through social networks on wage. We find a premium of initial wage associated with job referral, but the wage premium diminishes over tenure. We also find that the effect of job referral on initial wage reduces when human capital plays a more important role, or the recruitment process and the economic system are more market-oriented. Our findings are consistent with the learning theory that job referral can reduce information asymmetry between employees and employers at the beginning they meet, but the informational advantage diminishes over time as the employers know non-referred workers gradually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1585 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1948500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1948500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1571-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1948959_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Anupam Das Author-X-Name-First: Anupam Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: On remittances and calorie intake in Bangladesh Abstract: We use a time-series dataset to examine the relationship between remittances and calorie intake in Bangladesh over the period between 1976 and 2013. We employ the Johansen cointegration and Toda-Yamamoto causality tests and arrive at two key results. First, we find evidence of long run cointegration between remittances, calorie consumption, and other control variables. Second, the Toda-Yamamoto test supports the finding of unidirectional causality, running from remittances to calorie intake. Our results have important policy implications for Bangladesh and other remittance-receiving developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1594-1598 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1948959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1948959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1594-1598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1951440_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Timothy K. Chue Author-X-Name-First: Timothy K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chue Author-Name: G. Mujtaba Mian Author-X-Name-First: G. Mujtaba Author-X-Name-Last: Mian Title: Investor sentiment and mutual fund stock picking Abstract: The active share of mutual funds drops significantly when investor sentiment is high, indicating that fund managers reduce their active stock selection and stay closer to their benchmarks during such periods. Our evidence is consistent with fund managers being sentiment-prone – challenging the conventional view that it is only the preponderance of retail investors during high sentiment periods that allows sentiment to influence asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1620-1625 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1951440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1951440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1620-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1948960_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Xuebing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xuebing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Value-added share and elasticity of trade to barriers Abstract: Trade flows, either measured as gross trade or flows of value-added, tend to be less sensitive to trade barriers in industries that feature a greater share of value-added in its product. Gross trade is, in general, more sensitive to trade barriers than the trade in value-added does. The differences between the elasticities of gross trade and value-added trade with respect to distance tend to be smaller for industries with a higher share of value-added in its product. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1599-1604 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1948960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1948960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1599-1604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1954589_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Pu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Favouritism to SOEs: institution quality or career concern? Abstract: SOE is often viewed as favoured by the government compared to other firms. This is in conflict with GDP tournament theory on China’s economic success. Using the Annual Census of Enterprises dataset from 1999 to 2008, this article reveals the surprising finding that SOEs did not obtain significantly more government subsidy. We find that regions with high-quality institutions significantly reduced SOE subsidy grants rather than the city party secretary’s career concern to promote GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1626-1630 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1954589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1954589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1626-1630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1948958_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Kai Lisa Lo Author-X-Name-First: Kai Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Huizhu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Huizhu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Minhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jackson Jinhong Mi Author-X-Name-First: Jackson Jinhong Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Title: The relationship between public attention and COVID-19: evidence from the big data analysis of Google trends Abstract: We investigate the impacts of the public attention towards the COVID-19 on the situation of the epidemic worldwide and on public mobility with Google trends. We use the number of searches for two keywords ‘corona virus’ and ‘mask’ on the Google search index to show people’s public attention towards the epidemic. The findings show that confirmed cases and death rates are significantly positively (negatively) associated with the public attention paid to epidemic in the early (later) stage of the epidemic. The reason may be that in the early stage of the epidemic, public attention increased outpatient rates and therefore confirmed cases significantly, while in the later stage, public attention accordingly increased cure rates significantly. The epidemic significantly eases for people’s mobility trends when refraining from going outdoors. Such impacts are more profound for low-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1586-1593 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1948958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1948958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1586-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1947469_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Alexander D. Binder Author-X-Name-First: Alexander D. Author-X-Name-Last: Binder Author-Name: Paul W. Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Paul W. Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Title: Defying the odds: horseplayers and female jockeys Abstract: The effect of a jockey’s sex on both pari-mutuel betting odds and race outcomes is examined for a three-year sample of North American thoroughbred races. The results reveal that for all races in total, a jockey’s sex has no significant impact on the outcome of a race, holding all else constant, including horse quality. However, horseplayers assign a 1.5% higher probability of winning to female jockeys as reflected in their betting behaviour. For the subsample of stakes races, female jockeys are 2% less likely to win, ceteris paribus, but horseplayers do not consider jockey sex to be significant information for these premier races. Thus, the results indicate that horseplayers overestimate the performance of female jockeys in an industry where female jockeys often report significant hurdles to achievement and advancement. We conclude that pari-mutuel betting markets reflect an inefficiency with respect to a jockey’s sex and that additional research is needed to uncover the source of this anomaly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1556-1563 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1947469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1947469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1556-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2025996_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Rajarshi Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Rajarshi Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Md Thasinul Abedin Author-X-Name-First: Md Thasinul Author-X-Name-Last: Abedin Title: Does a shrinking labor force reduce FDI inflows in OECD countries? Abstract: If the problem of population ageing persists and the working-age population in OECD countries shrinks, then according to the neoclassical theory of economic growth, capital inflows into the OECD countries will decrease. Based on this premise, we investigate the dynamic links between the working-age population (% of total population) and net FDI inflows (% of GDP), controlling for trade openness, domestic investment and market size for a panel of 22 OECD countries over the period of 1972–2019. Bidirectional causalities are identified between the working-age population (% of total population) and net FDI inflows (% of GDP). A decline in the working-age population (% of total population) is found to be associated with a significant decline in net FDI inflows (% of GDP). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1654-1658 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2025996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2025996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1654-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1954594_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Alexander Foltas Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Foltas Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: On the efficiency of German growth forecasts: an empirical analysis using quantile random forests and density forecasts Abstract: We use quantile random forests (QRF) to study the efficiency of the growth forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes for the sample period from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we use a large array of predictors, including topics extracted by means of computational-linguistics tools from the business-cycle reports of the institutes, to model the information set of the institutes. We use this array of predictors to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of the forecast errors made by the institutes, and then fit a skewed t-distribution to the estimated quantiles. We use the resulting density forecasts to compute the log probability score of the predicted forecast errors. Based on an extensive in-sample and out-of-sample analysis, we find evidence, particularly in the case of longer-term forecasts, against the null hypothesis of strongly efficient forecasts. We cannot reject weak efficiency of forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1644-1653 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1954594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1954594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1644-1653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1951439_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: P. Beneito Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Beneito Author-Name: J. E. Boscá Author-X-Name-First: J. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Boscá Author-Name: J. Ferri Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferri Title: Alternative tuition fees schemes: a simulation exercise Abstract: In this paper we use a theoretical model of effort optimization on the part of university students to simulate the effects of different tuition fees schemes. For each of such schemes, we present and discuss the trade-offs that appear among the three outcomes that every exercise of policy evaluation in this context should take into consideration, namely, efficiency – that is, student effort-, student welfare and university revenues. To this end, we depart from the tuition fees policy change that took place in the Spanish public university system in year 2012 and compare it with alternative tuition fees designs. Among other results we find that a design with very low entry fees and high penalty cost for failing the exams is the most suitable one in terms of efficiency and university revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1615-1619 Issue: 17 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1951439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1951439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:17:p:1615-1619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959892_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lizheng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Lizheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Miao Li Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Fei Xia Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Can policy intervention induce a flight to quality: an analysis of the closing of the Chinese P2P market Abstract: In this letter, we study the P2P behavioural finance which addresses an effect of flight to quality under certain policy interventions. We apply the date of loan transactions from a Chinese peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platform and construct a regression discontinuity design to detect the effect of government policy intervention with the closing of the P2P market. We find that strict policy interventions have significant impacts on investors’ behaviours, which lead the investors to downgrade their expectations of the credit levels of the loan. Such impacts on investor behaviour induce a flight-to-quality scenario of the P2P market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1726-1729 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1726-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1961118_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: James Bailey Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Michael Mathes Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Mathes Title: Continuous job lock: employer health insurance contributions and job tenure Abstract: We estimate the effect of employers providing health insurance and contributing towards health insurance premiums on employee job tenure. Using merged 2008–2018 data from the Job Tenure Supplement and Annual and Social Economic Supplement of the Current Population Survey, we find that employer health insurance is associated with one additional year of job tenure. We find that a thousand dollar increase in employer contributions to health insurance is associated with at least 83 additional days of job tenure, compared to less than 10 additional days for a thousand dollar increase in wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1746-1751 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1961118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1961118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1746-1751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1958137_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hirofumi Fukuyama Author-X-Name-First: Hirofumi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuyama Title: Sports viewing behaviour with loss aversion and competition balance Abstract: We develop a model based on sports viewer with either uncertainty of outcome hypothesis (UOH) or loss aversion and investigate the level of loss aversion on the effect of league competition balance and team profit. We obtained the following two major results. Firstly, we showed that cases, where the spectators have loss aversion, have better league competition balance than cases when UOH applies. Moreover, we clarified that cases, where the preference for winning is different between the teams, have a poorer league competition balance. Secondly, it became clear that there is greater profit for both teams in cases where the spectators have loss aversion compared to cases where UOH is applied. Moreover, we showed that in cases where spectators have loss aversion, teams with a relatively strong preference for winning have greater profits, but for spectators where UOH is applied, teams with a relatively weaker preference for winning obtain greater profit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1680-1685 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1958137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1958137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1680-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959514_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Nicholas Litsardopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Litsardopoulos Author-Name: George Saridakis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Saridakis Title: The harmony and conflict arising from couples’ employment status Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of different employment statuses of partners/spouses, on eight metrics of harmony and conflict in the relationships of couples. We use longitudinal data from the United Kingdom covering the period 2009–2019 to examine the combination of a partner being self-employed or wage-employee, and their spouse being in either one of nine statuses (e.g. caring for family or home). We find that self-employment is more frequently observed in combinations of employment statuses which support harmony in couples, whereas wage-employment with combinations that offer security. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1715-1718 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1715-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959891_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Michał Paliński Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Paliński Title: Paying with your data. Privacy tradeoffs in ride-hailing services Abstract: We carried out a discrete choice experiment to test users’ readiness to co-finance a ride-hailing service using their personal data. We designed an experiment in which respondents were asked to choose between a regular service and hypothetical app-based taxi rides offering discounts in exchange for respondents consenting to their personal data being shared. Our analysis compared how awareness of rights stemming from the GDPR affects respondents’ privacy preferences. Cross-group analysis indicated that reminding users about their rights stemming from the GDPR significantly increases the value they ascribe to protection of personal data. The results of WTA analysis suggest that there is a market for ‘pay with your data’ business models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1719-1725 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1719-1725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959511_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yutai Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Yutai Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yao Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Factors of carbon emissions from Chinese urban and rural residents: a time-varying study Abstract: This study investigates the factors influencing the carbon emission of Chinese residents in urban and rural areas. Drawing on the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), the results of this study identify the increasing demand for energy consumption from residential buildings and the strengthening of the volume effect as the primary causes for the surging carbon emission by residents. Rural areas feature a larger cumulative contribution to carbon emission due to energy demand from housing and transportation and a higher contribution to the volume effect of energy consumption. In contrast, urbanization, a key driver for residents’ energy consumption, shows a year-by-year decline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1696-1701 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1696-1701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1958138_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dongwook Seo Author-X-Name-First: Dongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Seo Author-Name: Seongjae Mun Author-X-Name-First: Seongjae Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Title: Economic policy uncertainty, social capital, and corporate cash holdings Abstract: This study examines the moderating effect of social capital on the association between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and cash holdings. Using a sample of US-listed firms from 1990 to 2018, social capital is found to have a positive moderating effect on the association between EPU and cash holdings. Our finding is robust even if we use alternative measures of cash, EPU, and social capital. Based on these outcomes, we suggest that firms located in a county with a high level of social capital endure high EPU by raising cash easily. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1686-1689 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1958138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1958138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1686-1689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959510_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Taewon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Taewon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Sources of variation in growth rate distribution: evidence from Korean, Japanese, and Chinese manufacturing firms Abstract: This study provides a detailed analysis of the growth rate distribution of firms and examines sources of variation in distributional properties. Exploring a large sample of manufacturing firms in Korea, Japan, and China over the period 2010–2017, this study observes heterogeneous properties in the growth rate distribution of groups of firms belonging to the same country, sector, year, and firm size class. Country effects are a major source of variation in distributional properties, particularly determining the growth rate variance and left width of the distribution. The central tendency and tail behaviour of the distribution mainly change over time. Size effects explain the right width of the distribution. However, inter-sectoral distributions do not differ significantly in terms of their distributional properties. This study contributes to understanding underlying growth dynamics of groups of firms, determined by a combination of various factors at different levels, and provides policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1690-1695 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1690-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1956677_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yong Tian Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Wei Du Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Yiwen Hua Author-X-Name-First: Yiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Lijun Fan Author-X-Name-First: Lijun Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Title: Will infrastructure construction drive Chinese rural families to develop their own enterprises? Abstract: China’s infrastructure construction has continued its acceleration for the past decade. Such investment boosts the economic activities by introducing new products and new markets in rural China as well as other regions. And rural entrepreneurship augments the economic value of the rural areas by introducing new methods of production. Will the construction of rural infrastructure have an impact on rural families’ entrepreneurship? Using the 2018 China Family Panel Survey, we employed the binary choice model with instrumental variable method to empirically evaluate the impact of infrastructure construction on rural household entrepreneurship. We found the construction of post, and railway demonstrated a positive incentive effect on rural families’ entrepreneurship, in contrast with the lack of influence on rural families’ entrepreneurship by the construction of electricity and roadways. Further policies may encourage rural entrepreneurs to use the publically available electricity and roadways when diversifying their resources for non-agricultural use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1669 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1956677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1956677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1665-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959513_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zhi Yu Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yali Cao Author-X-Name-First: Yali Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Mo Liu Author-X-Name-First: Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does carbon emission trading policy affect bank loans of firms? Evidence from China Abstract: Using a carbon emission trading pilot policy in China, we construct a DID method to investigate the effect of carbon emission trading on corporate financial behaviour. We find that enterprises in the pilot areas get less bank loans after the ‘pilot policy’, which indicates that carbon emissions trading has a negative impact on debt financing. Additional analysis shows that the negative influence is more significant in state-owned enterprises. Our study provides a more complete picture of the microeconomic impact of carbon emissions trading, and improves our understanding of the role and significance of corporate ‘carbon assets’ in the capital market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1714 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1709-1714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1959512_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhusheng Lou Author-X-Name-First: Zhusheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lou Author-Name: Qiaosen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qiaosen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Mingzhi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Mingzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Sequential Monte Carlo estimation for Present-Value model Abstract: Multi-modal likelihood function of Present-Value model makes traditional estimation approach sensitive to initial values. In this article, we apply Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach in the estimation of Present-Value model, since it is robust to multi-modality. Simulation studies show that SMC approach is preferable than Simulated Annealing (SA) since the latter is sensitive to initial values. Finally, we find that stock market return in the U.S. is more persistent than dividend growth rate according to our empirical study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1702-1708 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1959512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1959512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1702-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1961116_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Khoa Huu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Khoa Huu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: A coronavirus outbreak and sector stock returns: a tale from the first ten weeks of 2020 Abstract: This paper examines early impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak on stock returns of 11 sectors using the firm-level stock price data from 10 countries. Results show that investors across sectors and countries respond differently during the outbreak. Communication Services, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Information Technology, and Utilities sectors consistently perform relatively well, compared to other sectors, in all countries except Italy, Japan and U.S. Conversely, Energy sector suffers greatest abnormal negative returns, among all sectors, in countries including Canada, Italy, U.K. and U.S. Furthermore, Japan and U.S. have highest numbers of abnormally and negatively affected sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1730-1740 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1961116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1961116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1730-1740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1961117_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ceyhun Elgin Author-X-Name-First: Ceyhun Author-X-Name-Last: Elgin Author-Name: Ertan Iyidost Author-X-Name-First: Ertan Author-X-Name-Last: Iyidost Title: Velocity of money and shadow economy Abstract: Using two novel datasets of the size of the shadow economy and the velocity of money, this study examines the effect of informality on money velocity. Using a novel annual cross-country panel dataset and covering 104 countries for the period between 1960–2017, the study shows that in countries where the shadow sector size is relatively larger, the velocity of money is also higher. Since the velocity of money has various effects on monetary policy outcomes (e.g. inflation) we believe that this would be crucial for the design of monetary policy as central banks, particularly in countries, where the shadow economy is larger, should take this relationship into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1741-1745 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1961117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1961117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1741-1745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1958136_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yanli Huo Author-X-Name-First: Yanli Author-X-Name-Last: Huo Author-Name: Chunhui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Chunhui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Takayuki Shiina Author-X-Name-First: Takayuki Author-X-Name-Last: Shiina Title: Period value at risk and its estimation by Monte Carlo simulation Abstract: Most risk indicators for an investment show the risk at a certain future time; they cannot reflect the risk over a time period, which may be more important than the risk at a certain time. We proposed Period Value at Risk (PVaR) for measuring market risk over a period of time, and a historical simulation method to estimate the PVaR of an investment. This paper suggests a method which uses Monte Carlo simulation to estimate PVaR. We can calculate the estimation error with this method, and determine the least number of simulations for getting a qualified estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1675-1679 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1958136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1958136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1675-1679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1957763_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yulei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yulei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Maosheng Ran Author-X-Name-First: Maosheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ran Title: Supply-demand of financial asset and China’s economic development: from the perspective of financial assets shortage Abstract: Why China’s economy growing rapidly under the conditions of long-term financial asset shortage, and what’s the relationship between supply-demand of financial asset and economic development? This paper obtains some conclusions from mathematical model and empirical test analysis. Firstly, shortage of financial assets is the result of adjustment of financial supply and demand, rather than the direct cause of restricting economic development. Secondly, increasing financial assets supply will promote economic growth, and financial asset from China’s banking sector, such as Credit, Bonds, are more effective than capital markets. Thirdly, when financial asset shortages exist, increasing supply can achieve additional growth to enhance economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1670-1674 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1957763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1957763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1670-1674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967275_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jan C. van Ours Author-X-Name-First: Jan C. Author-X-Name-Last: van Ours Title: The contribution of Johan Cruyff to success and stadium attendance at Feyenoord Abstract: In his last season as professional football player, Johan Cruyff played at Feyenoord. This paper shows that Cruyff improved the performance of his team and attracted more attendants to the home stadium. From this it is concluded that Cruyff made a superstar contribution to his club Feyenoord. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1752-1755 Issue: 18 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:18:p:1752-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962506_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Steve Loris Gui-Diby Author-X-Name-First: Steve Loris Author-X-Name-Last: Gui-Diby Title: Public Financial Management and Fiscal Performance: Evidence from Panel Data Analyses Abstract: This paper attempts to assess the impact of the practical public financial management (PFM) dimensions on fiscal performance in 86 countries observed between 2005 and 2019. Based on augmented panel data models, we conclude that internal audit and the availability of information on resources received by service delivery units contribute to improve fiscal performance, proxied by the primary fiscal balance. These results are confirmed by instrumental variable (IV) estimations. Additional analyses show that an increase in the quality of the classification of the budget and the transparency of inter-governmental fiscal relations do significantly improve the overall fiscal balance. These findings strengthen the need for PFM reforms to restore fiscal sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1784-1790 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1784-1790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962507_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Priti Kalsi Author-X-Name-First: Priti Author-X-Name-Last: Kalsi Author-Name: Edward Kosack Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Kosack Title: Deportation of criminals and immigration back to the United States: evidence from Central America and Mexico Abstract: We show that the deportation of criminals from the United States increased subsequent migration from Central America and Mexico. We focus on a time period in which U.S. policy led to significant increases in the deportation of criminals. Our findings are robust to tests that suggest the documented link is causal and not simply correlational. Finally, we argue that deportation policy shifts the selection of the migrant flow, which becomes skewed more heavily towards female children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1791-1798 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1791-1798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963405_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xiaoguang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoguang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chuangxia Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chuangxia Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Systemically important financial institutions in China: from view of tail risk spillover network Abstract: The investigation of the systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs) plays a key role in coping with systemic risk. We first adopt the GARCH-Copula-CoVaR model to establish tail risk spillover networks of China’s financial institutions. We then employ the systemic risk emitters (SRE) and receivers (SRR) to measure the SIFIs. Finally, we utilize the panel data regression model to analyse the determinants of the rank of SRE and SRR. We find that state-owned banks and large insurance companies show systemic importance, while some commercial banks are also SIFIs due to their high value of SRR. Furthermore, the growth rate of total assets, leverage, nonperforming loans, price-earnings ratio and firm size are the common factors that affect the SIFIs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1833-1839 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1833-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962502_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hyuk Chung Author-X-Name-First: Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Understanding firm-level intangible investment: a resource-based view on Korean firms Abstract: The impacts of intangible assets on economic performance have increased at various levels, and the positive impacts have been well documented. However, not all firms invest in intangible assets despite the assets’ positive contribution to performance, and it is relatively less clear what determines quantity and intensity of intangible investment at firm level. Therefore, this study investigates firm-level intangible investment to find that intangible investment is determined by firm-specific internal and external resources, consistent with the resource-based view of the firm. Quantity and intensity of intangible investment are positively associated with firm-specific internal resources as innovative capability (internal R&D), cumulative capability (intellectual property as patents and trademarks), organizational resources (employee incentives to reward good performance, affiliation), but also outside resources from external R&D and outsourcing. Additionally, firm-level factors such as listing status and exporting can significantly facilitate intangible investment. Therefore, this study contributes to the literature of intangible assets and the resource-based view by highlighting the effects of heterogeneous internal and external resources on intangible assets accumulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1757-1764 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1757-1764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963403_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Emmanouil Sofianos Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Sofianos Author-Name: Periklis Gogas Author-X-Name-First: Periklis Author-X-Name-Last: Gogas Author-Name: Theophilos Papadimitriou Author-X-Name-First: Theophilos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadimitriou Title: Mind the gap: forecasting euro-area output gaps with machine learning Abstract: In this paper, we use the Eurozone yield curve in an effort to forecast the deviations of the euro-area output (IPI) from its long-run trend. We use various short- and long-term interest rates spanning the period from 2004:9 to 2020:6 in monthly frequency. The interest rates are fed to three machine learning methodologies: Decision Trees, Random Forests, and Support Vector Machines (SVM). These Machine Learning methodologies are then compared to an Elastic-Net Logistic Regression (Logit) model from the area of Econometrics. According to the results, the optimal SVM model coupled with the RBF kernel outperforms the competition reaching an in-sample accuracy of 85.29% and an out-of-sample accuracy of 94.74%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1824-1828 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1824-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962503_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Junyoung Hong Author-X-Name-First: Junyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Measuring cross-country heterogeneity in the value of patents based on the patent-trade relationship Abstract: Because of the heterogeneity of the patent protection system and the business environment across countries, the private value of patents varies. Therefore, current approaches that mostly consider the level of patent protection have limitations in capturing the strategic value of patents. This paper suggests a new approach for estimating the perceived private value of a patent in a country by considering the scale of trade in the United States, Europe, China, Japan, Korea, Brazil, India, Canada, and Russia. The results indicate that the value of patents in a country changed over the sample period, regardless of the level of patent protection, suggesting that changes in the strategic business value of patents played a key role in the value of patents in those countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1765-1770 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1765-1770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962504_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Robert M. Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Title: Determinants of self-employment by new PhDs Abstract: Using 16 years of NSF data, we explore determinants of self-employment by new PhDs in the US, considering the role of field of study, demographics, and a factor that has gotten much attention in recent years (though in different contexts) – the role of student debt. While a small share of the population, one would think that young doctoral recipients are an especially innovative group, and perhaps likely candidates for entrepreneurial activities. After controlling for field and demographics and quality of doctoral institution, we find some evidence consistent with an impact of student debt, especially the more exogenous undergraduate debt, in limiting the choice of self-employment as an immediate career path post-graduate school. This effect, however, is limited to graduates of schools below the most elite. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1771-1775 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1771-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962508_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ahmed Arif Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Arif Author-Name: Asif Saeed Author-X-Name-First: Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Saeed Author-Name: Umer Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Umer Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Title: The behaviour of forex market during the first and second wave of COVID-19: a wavelet analysis Abstract: This study evaluates the behaviour of the forex market during the first and the second wave of COVID-19. We have analysed the behaviour of exchange rates of CNY, JPY, CHF, and GBP in response to daily cases of COVID-19 and daily deaths, using Continuous Wavelet Transform and Wavelet Transform Coherence. The results show that the second wave has been more aggressive. The relationship of new cases and deaths has been more significant and negative with the exchange rates during the second wave of COVID-19. The currencies that are considered safe havens are severely affected by COVID-19 during the second wave. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1799-1803 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1799-1803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963402_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Nikeel Nishkar Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nikeel Nishkar Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Arvind Patel Author-X-Name-First: Arvind Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: Income thresholds in the remittances-growth association? a case study of Fiji Abstract: Research indicates that remittances have mixed effects on growth. In this study, we investigate the role of income thresholds in this association for Fiji. Income thresholds are measured by thresholds in per-worker real GDP and are identified using the self-exciting threshold autoregression model over the period 1980 to 2017. A threshold autoregressive distributed lag model is subsequently developed. A single threshold in per-worker real GDP is estimated at US$5891. Remittances promote growth if income exceeds the threshold but is negative otherwise. Hence, remittances support growth-enhancing activities at high-income levels but may finance imports at the expense of domestic production at lower income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1815-1823 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1815-1823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963401_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sangwoo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Sangwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Media bias with asymmetric media quality Abstract: This paper develops a location model of media bias with asymmetric media quality. In the model, media quality is defined as an ability to reduce the boundedly rational consumers’ efforts in reasoning information. The model shows that an equilibrium bias exists unless the cost of a high-quality media outlet for adjusting bias is small enough. The size and location of the equilibrium bias gap between media outlets depend on the quality difference. The results may provide a comprehensive understanding of the existing views that competition increases or lessens the media bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1810-1814 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1810-1814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963407_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chi-Keung Woo Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Kang Hua Cao Author-X-Name-First: Kang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Tsz Leung Yip Author-X-Name-First: Tsz Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Yip Author-Name: Sin Yin Chow Author-X-Name-First: Sin Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: Cho-Leung Chu Author-X-Name-First: Cho-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Jay Zarnikau Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Zarnikau Author-Name: Chloe Mow Author-X-Name-First: Chloe Author-X-Name-Last: Mow Title: Performance-based regulation of train service delays: Hong Kong Abstract: This paper studies performance-based regulation of train service delays in Hong Kong. Motivated by the criticism that the Mass Transit Railway (MTR) offers fare rebates deemed too small for long service delays, our logit analysis of a stated choice experiment’s data collected from 1,559 MTR users in Q4:2020 yields the following findings: (1) the disaggregate willingness to pay (WTP) estimates that ignore passenger attributes are HK$21 to HK$37 for a 15- to 60-minute train service delay announced to occur in a 1-hour period; (2) increasing the period by one hour raises these estimates by ~HK$16; (3) accounting for passenger attributes magnifies these estimates by ~18%; and (4) the aggregate WTP estimates are 1.3 to 4.9 times MTR’s existing rebates for rush-hour delays and 0.5 to 1.9 times for non-rush-hour delays. Hence, aligning MTR’s rebates with the aggregate WTP estimates likely incentivizes MTR to reduce long service delays. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1847-1854 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1847-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963400_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sasidaran Gopalan Author-X-Name-First: Sasidaran Author-X-Name-Last: Gopalan Author-Name: Ramkishen S. Rajan Author-X-Name-First: Ramkishen S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rajan Title: Does digital financial inclusion moderate or exacerbate output volatility? Abstract: Fintech, broadly encompassing financial innovations enabled by digital technology, has seen phenomenal growth across emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) over the last few years. While the fintech revolution can facilitate broader financial inclusion and spur overall economic growth, concerns have been raised about the possible impact of fintech on growth volatility. Using a selected heterogeneous panel of 40 EMDEs spanning 2009 to 2017 we find that greater digital financial inclusion persistently exacerbates output volatility, although this result holds true only in countries with low banking concentration. Our results are robust to both different definitions of digital financial inclusion and alternative methodologies controlling for potential endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1804-1809 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1804-1809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1962505_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Minchul Yum Author-X-Name-First: Minchul Author-X-Name-Last: Yum Title: Model selection for panel data models with fixed effects: a simulation study Abstract: This study considers model selection criteria, such as the Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC), the corrected Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC$$_C$$ C) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), for panel data models with fixed effects. Applying these information criteria to fixed effects panel models is not a trivial matter due to the incidental parameter problem that might adversely affect their practical performance, especially when it comes to short panel data. Monte Carlo experiments suggest that the information criteria are quite successful in selecting the true model. In particular, the AIC$$_C$$ C and the AIC operate successfully unless a time dimension is extremely small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1776-1783 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1962505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1962505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1776-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967858_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shahin Eidinejad Author-X-Name-First: Shahin Author-X-Name-Last: Eidinejad Author-Name: Elena Dahlem Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlem Title: The existence and historical development of the holiday effect on the Swedish stock market Abstract: This paper examines the holiday effect on the Swedish stock market over a 40-year period. We use a regression-based approach on daily price data to ascertain if the holiday effect is present on the Swedish stock market, analyse its historical development using 10-year subsamples, and assess whether its effects vary for different holidays. We find evidence for a positive post-holiday effect using the full sample period. When looking at the subsamples, however, we only find evidence for its existence in the 1990s and 2000s. We do not find evidence for the existence of a pre-holiday effect for any period. No holiday, considered by itself, shows evidence of a pre-holiday effect over the full sample period. For the holidays included, we only find evidence of a post-holiday effect after New Year’s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1855-1858 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1855-1858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963404_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yuanyuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jing Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Binyang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Binyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jingwen Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jingwen Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Does digital finance promote entrepreneurship of migrant? Evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the effects of digital finance on migrants’ entrepreneurship using the merged data of Digital Financial Inclusion Index and China Migrants Dynamic Survey. Our findings reveal that digital finance could help migrant to get rid of low-income survival-oriented entrepreneurship, and has no effect on entrepreneur-oriented entrepreneurship. We then interpret these results from two aspects. First, the digital finance has created a better business environment, which enables migrant to obtain more employment opportunities. Second, the low human capital of migrant suppresses the entrepreneur-oriented entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1829-1832 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963404 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1829-1832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963406_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Songtao Yang Author-X-Name-First: Songtao Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: More education, less prejudice against sexual minorities? Evidence from compulsory schooling reforms Abstract: Utilizing exogenous variation in educational attainment induced by compulsory schooling reforms in 15 European countries, this study estimates the causal effect of education on individuals’ attitudes towards sexual minorities with a regression discontinuity design. Using data from the World Values Survey and the European Values Study, this study finds more education reduces individuals’ prejudice against sexual minorities. The findings imply minimum schooling policies can help to build a culture that is more tolerant of sexual minorities, which is beneficial to the minorities’ wellbeing and social cohesion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1840-1846 Issue: 19 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:19:p:1840-1846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966361_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hui Wen Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Yu You Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Yue Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Effects of tariff reduction by regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP) on global value chains based on simulation Abstract: We estimate the effects of tariff reduction by regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP) on global value chains based on simulation. We find that tariff reduction by RCEP has an effect of strengthening signatories’ GVC positions and participation both in the short run and long run. The long-run effects are larger than the short-run effects. Australia, New Zealand, ASEAN countries and Japan have a potential to move towards the top of GVCs in sectors with comparative advantages in the long run. Overall, Korea’s GVC positions improve more than Japan and China, and both Korea and Japan benefit more in GVC participation than China in the long run. In contrast, USA and Europe’s GVC positions and participation tend to slightly drop. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1906-1920 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1906-1920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963656_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chinmaya Behera Author-X-Name-First: Chinmaya Author-X-Name-Last: Behera Author-Name: Badri Narayan Rath Author-X-Name-First: Badri Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Title: The connectedness between Twitter uncertainty index and stock return volatility in the G7 countries Abstract: Although a plethora of studies exists on economic uncertainty and stock market returns, our study contributes to the literature by examining the interconnectedness between Twitter uncertainty index and stock return volatility in the G7 countries. Using the dynamic connectedness approach, our results indicate volatility spillover among indices, where on average, 39.71% of a shock that occurs on one index spills over to all other indices. Further, we find the DAX index (Germany) to be a major transmitter of shocks, whereas the S&P 500 index (United States), Twitter market uncertainty, and G7 average returns are net receivers of shocks. Our findings will help investors select optimal portfolios, and policymakers frame stabilizing policy. Our findings are also robust in case of the alternate model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1876-1879 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1876-1879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963409_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kohei Aono Author-X-Name-First: Kohei Author-X-Name-Last: Aono Author-Name: Hiroshi Gunji Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Gunji Author-Name: Hayato Nakata Author-X-Name-First: Hayato Author-X-Name-Last: Nakata Title: Did the bank of Japan’s purchases of exchange-traded funds affect stock prices? A synthetic control approach Abstract: This study investigates the effect of the Bank of Japan’s large-scale exchange-traded fund purchasing programme since 2013 on stock prices using a synthetic control method. We use the stock price indexes of 27 OECD countries as a control group and estimate the time-series data of the synthetic stock price index of Japan. The index in Japan increased gradually relative to the synthetic Japanese index from 2013. This result suggests that the Bank of Japan’s intervention in the stock market is distorting stock prices and should be reconsidered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1859-1863 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1859-1863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963655_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zirong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zirong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Haonan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Haonan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Xu Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Should (Co)jump variation be included in asset allocation? Abstract: This study explores whether to introduce jump variation into asset allocation. Using the high-frequency data of constituents of the Dow Jones Industrial(DJI) 30 index, we construct global minimum variance portfolios based on two different covariation estimators: pre-averaged and pre-averaged truncated Hayashi-Yoshida estimators (PAYHE and PATHYE, respectively). By comparing the performance of two different portfolios consider jump or not, we find that eliminating jump variation yields a significantly higher Sharpe ratio, and results in a lower turnover and superior positions compared to incorporating the jump variation. Thesve improvements are also reflected in economic gains, and the huge economic gain mainly comes from the reduction in turnover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1868-1875 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1868-1875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965950_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Long-term effects of female teachers on pupils’ smoking behaviour later in life Abstract: In Japan, teacher and student is randomly matched in the first year of elementary school. Under the quasi-natural experimental setting, I examine how learning in female teacher homeroom class in the elementary school influence pupils’ smoking behaviour after they become adult. I found that pupils are unlikely to smoke later in life if they belonged to female teacher homeroom class in pupil’s first year of school. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1901-1905 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1901-1905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971612_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mohammad S. Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Author-Name: Ortenca Kume Author-X-Name-First: Ortenca Author-X-Name-Last: Kume Title: An examination of higher-moment contagion during the South Sea Bubble Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the nature and the direction of the contagion during the episode of the South Sea Bubble. Previous research in this area has adopted a correlation and cointegration approach. In preference, though, we place reliance upon four different tests of linear and higher-moment contagion. From using daily data on the share prices of six companies from December 1719 to January 1721, strong evidence is obtained of contagion when applying co-skewness, co-volatility, and co-kurtosis tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1949-1953 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1949-1953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965081_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Simiao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Simiao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhuang Hao Author-X-Name-First: Zhuang Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Till Bärnighausen Author-X-Name-First: Till Author-X-Name-Last: Bärnighausen Title: The effects of a wife’s retirement on her husband’s mental health among older adults in China Abstract: Previous studies indicate that the spillover effects of retirement on spousal health-related outcomes are likely to vary significantly by gender and social context. Using data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and adopting a regression discontinuity design, we examine the causal effects of a wife’s retirement on her husband’s mental health in urban China. In contrast to findings in Europe and Japan, we provide evidence showing improvements in husbands’ mental health after wives’ retirement. These results, along with previous studies, highlight the different roles retirement can play in spouses’ health in different cultural and institutional settings and call for studies of such effects on a case-by-case basis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1891-1896 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1891-1896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966366_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ayesha Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Ayesha Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Author-Name: Muhammad Umar Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Umar Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Title: Does FDI increase labour market volatility at home? Abstract: This article examines the effect of outbound FDI on labour market volatility and, thereby, on economic insecurity in home countries of FDI distinguishing between greenfield FDI (GFDI) and cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Using the data up to 94 countries during the period 2003–2019, we find that outward GFDI stimulate economic insecurity by increasing volatility of employment. Cross-border M&A purchases, however, decrease the labour market volatility measured both in terms of volatility of employment and hours worked. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1944-1948 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1944-1948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966365_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tian Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Innovation performance convergence: evidence from Chinese listed OFDI companies Abstract: Targeting to investigate whether outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) companies act at higher level of innovation performance and their dynamic evolution, this paper applies micro data of Chinese listed OFDI companies to measure the innovation performance from innovation efficiency and innovation quality respectively. Empirical study reveals that the innovation performance of OFDI companies is significantly better than that of non-OFDI counterparties, and for SOEs with OFDI, innovation performance is significantly more efficient than that of non-SOEs. The convergence analysis fails to identify σ-convergence from the innovation performance of OFDI, but detects absolute β-convergence successfully although only conditional β-convergence from SOEs group. It supports assumption of catch-up effect of innovation performance among companies, and entities with low innovation performance actually enjoy faster innovation development speed than performance leaders. The conclusion has guiding significance for different types of enterprises to formulate foreign investment policies and for the government to formulate innovation and development policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1939-1943 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1939-1943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965529_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yonggao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yonggao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yujie Rao Author-X-Name-First: Yujie Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Why poverty is higher in Spain: a comparison with the Czech Republic Abstract: This paper estimates the poverty level in Spain and the Czech Republic during 2013–2016 and analyzes the reason why poverty in Spain is higher. The contribution of this paper lies in decomposing horizontal poverty disparities between countries with similar development level. We find that in Spain inequality is higher, and the poor (especially the ultrapoor) are poorer than those in the Czech Republic, which offsets the poverty reduction effect of Spain’s higher mean income and renders its poverty level higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1897-1900 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1897-1900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966364_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Songtao Yang Author-X-Name-First: Songtao Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Education and social preferences: quasi-experimental evidence from compulsory schooling reforms Abstract: This study investigates the effect of education on individuals’ social preferences, using data from nine waves of the European Social Survey. To address the endogeneity of education, this study exploits compulsory schooling reforms in 15 European countries. Using a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, this study finds more education increases women’s preference for equality, whereas the effects on their altruism are insignificant. For men, the instrument does not have enough power to identify the effect of education. This study helps to understand the determinants of social preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1931-1938 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1931-1938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966362_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mustafa Çakır Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Çakır Author-Name: Lokman Gunduz Author-X-Name-First: Lokman Author-X-Name-Last: Gunduz Title: Price level convergence in Turkey Abstract: This paper examines price convergence among 26 regions of Turkey using general and disaggregated monthly consumer prices between 2005 and 2019. In contrast to previous studies, the results provide evidence for convergence clubs (multiple equilibria) and support the heterogeneity of consumer prices across Turkish regions. This finding is particularly valid for the disaggregated prices where there exist two to four clubs. There is also an increase in the number of convergence clubs in recent years. That is, market integration or the law of one price in Turkey does not appear to be achieved not only for the prices of nontradable goods but also for those of tradable goods either, most likely due to a combination of factors including higher exchange rate volatility, rising inflation and unrelenting regional socio-economic disparities. Our results show that the inflation-targeting regime does not help converge the consumer price levels across the regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1921-1926 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1921-1926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1963654_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaoping Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Delta-hedged gains of SSE 50 ETF options Abstract: Using Chinese option market data, we construct a delta-neutral strategy for Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) 50ETF options and investigate the statistical properties of the strategy gains. The empirical results show that the delta-hedged gains are significantly negative, indicating that to hedge the volatility risk, the option buyer needs to pay a volatility risk premium to the option seller. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1864-1867 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1963654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1963654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1864-1867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966363_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hokuto Ishii Author-X-Name-First: Hokuto Author-X-Name-Last: Ishii Title: Extraction of proxy relative sovereign bond yield curve factors Abstract: This study analyses the relationship between sovereign yield factors and exchange rate changes. A new method is proposed to extract proxy relative yield factors from the yield curves of two countries. As previous studies showed (e.g. Chen and Tsang 2013; Wellmann and Trück 2018), the relative yield curve factors play an important role in explaining the variation in the foreign exchange rates. Especially, the proxy relative level and slope factors have explanatory power for exchange rate changes, especially for the JPY/USD pair. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1927-1930 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1927-1930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965080_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zhu Yan Author-X-Name-First: Zhu Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Aoran Wang Author-X-Name-First: Aoran Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weiwei Shao Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Author-Name: Yanni Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Yanni Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Urbanization and financial literacy: the knowledge spillover effect Abstract: Using the dataset of the 2015 wave of the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS), this paper examines how urbanization influences individuals’ financial literacy. We demonstrate that the financial knowledge of urban natives spills to rural–urban migrants in the process of urbanization and urban agglomeration. We address the potential endogeneity issue by taking advantage of China’s land expropriation policy. Our results are robust to identification regressions and a series of robustness checks. Further mechanism analysis shows that the financial literacy spillover effect works mainly through social networks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1885-1890 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1885-1890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1965079_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yumei He Author-X-Name-First: Yumei Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Xinyi Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyi Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Yuewen Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yuewen Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Mengya Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Mengya Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: An evaluation of the effectiveness of three early-warning models on financial indexes Abstract: In this paper, we construct three financial early warning models, and evaluate and compare their early warning effects. These models are based on factor analysis, logistic regression, and Verhulst-BP neural network, taking Chinese listed mineral resource companies as samples. The results show that the model based on Verhulst-BP neural network has the best early warning effect among the three models, and the early warning model based on logistic regression is more accurate than the one based on factor analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1880-1884 Issue: 20 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1965079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1965079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:20:p:1880-1884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967273_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Junlong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junlong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhiruo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhiruo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jiali Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiali Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Cross-ownership and excess capacity in a differentiated duopoly Abstract: This paper constructs a duopoly model considering cross-ownership, excess capacity and product differentiation, analyzes the impacts of cross-ownership and product differentiation, and reveals whether there is excess capacity and the optimal cross-ownership decision. The results show that cross-ownership, product differentiation, duopoly type, and shareholding mode have impacts on equilibrium outcomes. Excess, insufficient, and equilibrium capacity may all exist. It is the optimal strategy to hold the shares of the competitor to the greatest extent. In a specific oligopoly market and shareholding mode, the government should regulate cross-ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1980-1990 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1980-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967272_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Raymundo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Campos-Vazquez Author-Name: Carolina Rivas-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Rivas-Herrera Author-Name: Eduardo Alcaraz Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Alcaraz Author-Name: Luis A. Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Title: The effect of maternity on employment and wages in Mexico Abstract: We estimate child penalties in the Mexican formal labour market at the aggregate level and for specific population subgroups. We use longitudinal administrative data for formal workers. The child penalty begins immediately with pregnancy. Six years after childbirth, the average penalty is 24% on wages and 16% on the rate of formal employment for women who are mothers. The penalties are greater for mothers who are married, poor, or young. The wage penalty increases over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1975-1979 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1975-1979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967859_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Saban Nazlioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saban Author-X-Name-Last: Nazlioglu Author-Name: SinemPinar Gurel Author-X-Name-First: SinemPinar Author-X-Name-Last: Gurel Author-Name: Sevcan Gunes Author-X-Name-First: Sevcan Author-X-Name-Last: Gunes Author-Name: Emre Kilic Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Kilic Title: Asymmetric Fisher effect in inflation targeting emerging markets: evidence from quantile co-integration Abstract: We test Fisher hypothesis in 14 inflation targeting emerging countries by quantile co-integration approach allowing asymmetric behaviour of long-run co-integration relationship. While conventional co-integration methods do not support Fisher hypothesis for any country, quantile co-integration approach confirms Fisher hypothesis in nine countries with time-varying behaviour of Fisher coefficient. Our results thereby can shed light on Fisher puzzle in inflation targeting emerging markets and provide insightful implications. The findings suggest that inflation targeting in emerging markets would lead to an asymmetric adjustment, implying heterogeneous effects of negative and positive shocks. Monetary authorities, in particular, tend to increase short-term interest rates by a larger amount during high inflation period than low inflation period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2007-2014 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2007-2014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967274_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Syungjin Han Author-X-Name-First: Syungjin Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Changhyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Changhyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Employment stability and corporate cash holdings Abstract: This paper investigates how a firm’s employment stability affects the level of its cash holdings. We find that firms with high employment stability (as measured by one minus a firm’s employment elasticity with respect to its sales) maintain large cash holdings. The positive effect of employment stability on cash holdings is stronger for R&D intensive firms and firms with high firm-specific human capital. These results are consistent with theories predicting that firms hold cash to signal the credibility of their employment policies regarding job security. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1991-1995 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1991-1995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966367_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yiling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yiling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Government intervention and firm innovation outputs: a heterogeneity of corporate governance of Chinese listed firms Abstract: Using twelve years data (2008–2019) of listed firms in high-end equipment manufacturing industry (HEMI), this study evaluates the impact of China’s high-and new-technology enterprise (HNTE) programme on firm innovation. It finds that HNTE certification boosts the number and growth rate of firms’ innovation outputs, and such effect is affected by corporate governance environment. Our findings reveal the effectiveness of government intervention in innovation under diverse corporate internal governance conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1960-1964 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1960-1964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1968999_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Parizad Dungore Author-X-Name-First: Parizad Author-X-Name-Last: Dungore Title: Analysis of Investors’ Prediction Potential Using Holt Winters Model and Artificial Neural Networks Abstract: This study analyses the predictive power of six categories of investors who traded Nifty Index future contracts on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). Quality data were collected from The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Investors’ predictive potential was estimated by analysing the effect of open interest and volume traded on volatility for each category. The Holt–Winters (HW) exponential smoothing model successfully captured seasonality and provided a satisfactory analytical model for linear forecast. Nonlinearity was captured by Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). A resilient backpropagation algorithm with backtracking was used to determine the weights triggered by a logistic activation function for smoothing neurons. The multilayer perceptron network was further trained for time series data on volatility considering volume and open interest as input neurons. Predictive powers were considered best for the method with the least Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results suggest that nonlinearity in the data was well captured by the ANN as the RMSE for the ANN was smaller compared to the RMSE for the HW model. The RMSE using ANN was least for Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) that suggests that FIIs have better prediction potential compared to other investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2032-2039 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1968999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1968999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2032-2039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967861_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Woon Wook Jang Author-X-Name-First: Woon Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Title: Monetary policy shocks identified using the entire yield curve: an alternative approach Abstract: Conventional monetary policy (MP) shocks are typically identified as unexpected changes in the short end of the yield curve. During the zero lower-bound period, central banks attempt to provide stimulus by operating on the long end of the yield curve with new tools, such as forward guidance and large-scale asset purchase. This implies that the identification of MP shocks should be done throughout the entire yield curve. This study proposes an alternative approach to analysing the effects of MP shocks, using factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) of monthly data. We therefore used information from large datasets and made changes over the entire yield curve as shocks to the VAR, which were identified using external high-frequency instruments. Furthermore, empirical analyses using economic and financial variables showed that contractionary yield curve changes decrease the inflation rate and increase risk aversion and uncertainty, which is consistent with conventional wisdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2020-2031 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2020-2031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1966368_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yasir Shahab Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Shahab Author-Name: Ammar Ali Gull Author-X-Name-First: Ammar Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Gull Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Rizwan Mushtaq Author-X-Name-First: Rizwan Author-X-Name-Last: Mushtaq Title: CEO power and corporate social responsibility decoupling Abstract: While extending the scarce literature on determinants of corporate social responsibility (CSR) decoupling, we examine the impact of CEO power on CSR decoupling. Using panel data of US firms for 2002–2017, we find that CEO power increases CSR decoupling. Our results remain consistent after controlling for the endogeneity problem. Aligned with the managerial power theory, our results suggest that firms with powerful CEOs are more likely to manage CSR performance through decoupling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1965-1969 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1966368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1966368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1965-1969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967856_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Deokoh Lim Author-X-Name-First: Deokoh Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Kihwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kihwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Gil-Lim Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gil-Lim Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: A probabilistic model of the LCOE for Korean offshore windfarms Abstract: A lack of data has been hindering studies of offshore wind generation in Korea. To overcome this deficiency, we use real data on seven countries and propose a probabilistic model for deriving representative estimates of input parameters and approximate the unit cost of offshore windfarms in Korea. By applying our model to two Korean offshore windfarms, we found that our approach can be used as a standard for estimating input parameters. Our results suggest that policymakers in Korea should implement energy policies to reduce the hard and soft costs of offshore wind turbine foundations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1996-2001 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1996-2001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1969000_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiuming Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiuming Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Ross Jestrab Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Jestrab Title: Unemployment and workplace injuries: evidence from California Abstract: Workplace safety is an important determinant of workers’ welfare. Empirical evidence shows the workplace injury rate decreases during recessions. This paper uses detailed administrative Workers’ Compensation claims from California to study the relationship between unemployment and workplace injuries at a more disaggregated level. We find that between 2001 and 2012, a 1% increase in the unemployment rate is associated with a 0.2% decrease in the claim rate. In addition, when the unemployment rate increases, the claim rate experiences a significant drop for the subgroups: (i) cuts or struck, (ii) upper/lower extremities or head injuries, (iii) specific injuries, (iv) male workers, (v) young workers, and (vi) insured companies. While the pro-cyclical relationship is strongly persistent across many of the subgroups, the varying magnitudes yield interesting policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2040-2043 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1969000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1969000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2040-2043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2084014_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jeongsun Yun Author-X-Name-First: Jeongsun Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Author-Name: Myung-Ho Park Author-X-Name-First: Myung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Dae Keun Park Author-X-Name-First: Dae Keun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Effects of temporary earnings on dividends in Korea Abstract: We examine the effects of temporary earnings on dividends using cash dividend data of Korean firms over the period of 2001 to 2017. We find that firms using private debts exclusively increase dividends as temporary earnings increase while those with public debts do not change their dividends. We further find that the positive effects of temporary earnings on dividends in firms with only private debts is hampered by investment opportunity. These results are consistent with the precautionary savings hypothesis of firms under financing constraints as well as signalling hypothesis of public debts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2044-2046 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2084014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2084014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2044-2046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971614_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Joël Floris Author-X-Name-First: Joël Author-X-Name-Last: Floris Author-Name: Laurent Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Author-Name: Harald Mayr Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Mayr Author-Name: Kaspar Staub Author-X-Name-First: Kaspar Author-X-Name-Last: Staub Author-Name: Ulrich Woitek Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Woitek Title: Investigating survivorship bias: the case of the 1918 flu pandemic Abstract: Estimates of the effect of foetal health shocks may suffer from survivorship bias. The foetal origins literature seemingly agrees that survivorship bias is innocuous in the sense that it induces a bias towards zero. Arguably, however, selective mortality can imply a bias away from zero. In the case of the 1918 flu pandemic, a suppressed immune system may have been protective against the most severe consequences of infection. We use historical birth records from the maternity hospital of Bern, Switzerland, to evaluate this possibility. Our results suggest that a careful consideration of survivorship bias is imperative for the evaluation of the 1918 flu pandemic and other foetal health shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2047-2052 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2047-2052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1890325_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiaoquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: James Liang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Cohort effects within the firm: new evidences from China Abstract: Using comprehensive personnel data from a Chinese firm, we confirm significant cohort effect in our sample. Complementary to the existing literature, we have two new findings: First, cohort effect only exists among workers with low initial job levels and it disappears in senior managers. Second, the job position upon entering the firm accounts for half of the cohort effects, supporting the task-specific human capital theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1955-1959 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1890325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1890325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1955-1959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967860_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: María Teresa Ballestar Author-X-Name-First: María Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Ballestar Author-Name: Jorge Sainz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Sainz Author-Name: Ismael Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Ismael Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Title: Is the transposition of EU directives homogeneous? An AI counterfactual example Abstract: This research investigates homogeneity in the transposition of European Directives using as an example the EU policy on tobaccos regulated by Directive 2011/64. We analyse the effect of excise duties on tobacco consumption in Europe from 2002 to 2017 using an Artificial Intelligence counterfactual strategy. To our knowledge, this the first time that this AI strategie has been used in the economic analysis of law. Our results show that countries have different responses to changes in prices or taxation on tobacco. The lack of homogeneity across countries creates distortions and frontier effects and shows the need of harmonization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2015-2019 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2015-2019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967271_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sehoon Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Sehoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: A credit rationing model of the medium risk borrowers with low valued collateral Abstract: This paper investigates how the risk and the collateral values are jointly affecting the credit rationing. We propose a credit rationing model of continuous default risk and collateral values and show that the medium risk borrowers with low valued (or high transaction cost) collateral are most vulnerable to the credit rationing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1970-1974 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:1970-1974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1967857_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hsiu-Hsin Ko Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Ko Title: Revisiting real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth nexus: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: In this study, we examine whether the impact of the real exchange rate (RER) misalignment on the growth is consistent when the economic condition of the country is different. We use a Markov-switching regime model to, respectively, explore whether there are asymmetric effects of RER misalignments on the economic growth of 10 Asian countries. We find that the impact of the RER misalignment on the growth is mixed and asymmetric depending on the economic status of the country. An RER undervaluation does not necessarily help economic growth, and an overvaluation does not necessarily hamper economic growth. When economic conditions are volatile, the effect of the RER misalignment on economic growth is insignificant. However, the RER misalignment is more likely to have an impact on the economic growth when the economy is in a tranquil state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2002-2006 Issue: 21 Volume: 29 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1967857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1967857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:21:p:2002-2006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983127_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hoang Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Trong-Nghia Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Trong-Nghia Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Minh-Ngoc Tran Author-X-Name-First: Minh-Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: A dynamic leverage stochastic volatility model Abstract: Stock returns are considered as a convolution of two random processes that are the return innovation and volatility innovation. The correlation of these two processes tends to be negative, which is the so-called leverage effect. In this study, we propose a dynamic leverage stochastic volatility (DLSV) model where the correlation structure between the return innovation and the volatility innovation is assumed to follow a generalized autoregressive score (GAS) process. We find that the leverage effect is reinforced in the market downturn period and weakened in the market upturn period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-102 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:97-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971611_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Masayuki Morikawa Author-X-Name-First: Masayuki Author-X-Name-Last: Morikawa Title: Firms’ subjective uncertainty and forecast errors: survey evidence from Japan Abstract: Using original survey data linked with the financial statements of Japanese listed firms, this study presents an ex post evaluation of firms’ ex ante subjective uncertainty. Ex ante forecast uncertainty in terms of sales and employment growth is derived from firms’ subjective confidence interval around their point forecasts. Ex post forecast error is calculated as the deviation of the realized figures from the point forecasts. The results indicate that ex ante subjective uncertainty has a significant positive association with realized absolute forecast error. The subjective confidence interval for a firm’s own business forecast, in comparison with that for macroeconomic variables, is reliable as a measure of uncertainty. These findings indicate that the subjective probability distribution of business outlook captured by firm surveys contains valuable information for measuring economic uncertainty at the micro-level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:33-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971608_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shaofu Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Shaofu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xueke Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xueke Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Are government bonds still safe havens in the context of COVID-19? Abstract: This study analyzes whether government bonds can act as safe havens in the context of COVID-19. Using a panel fixed effect model, data were collected for both advanced and emerging market economies from March 11, 2020, to June 30, 2021. Robustness tests were used to add to the credibility of the findings. Our evidence supports that government bonds maintained their safe haven status during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence, investors can still use government bonds to hedge financial market risks in the uncertain environment associated with this pandemic. Additionally, the negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on government bond yields in emerging economies are larger than in advanced economies. Therefore, policymakers’ measures should focus on reducing COVID-19 cases to alleviate panic and diminish economic fluctuations, especially for emerging economies. Regulators can also use short-term interest rates to guide market capital flow to avoid a liquidity crisis, reducing financial stress and market uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 14-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:14-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971613_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Riza Demirer Author-X-Name-First: Riza Author-X-Name-Last: Demirer Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: He Li Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yu You Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: A note on financial vulnerability and volatility in emerging stock markets: evidence from GARCH-MIDAS models Abstract: This paper establishes a predictive relationship between financial vulnerability and volatility in emerging stock markets. Focusing on China and India and utilizing GARCH-MIDAS models, we show that incorporating financial vulnerability can substantially improve the forecasting power of standard macroeconomic fundamentals (output growth, inflation and monetary policy interest rate) for stock market volatility. The findings have significant implications for investors to improve the accuracy of volatility forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:37-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chujiang Xue Author-X-Name-First: Chujiang Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Author-Name: Yi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Peer effects in R&D investments: evidence from China’s science and technology parks programs Abstract: We investigate whether science and technology parks (STPs) can stimulate on-park firms’ R&D investments and subsequently spread out to off-park peer firms. We employ a novel setting derived from a place-based policy: level upgrading of STPs, which sharply increases the park scale and policy supports granted to STPs. We use a difference-in-differences approach and regard firms in the same city but outside the park as the control group. Empirical evidence shows that firms undergoing STPs’ promotion will significantly increase their R&D investments, which further leads to peer firms outside the parks to also increase their R&D input due to the competitive pressures. Furthermore, this causal effect is not driven by the demonstration effects of megacity and industrial leaders. Our findings enrich the literature on the effectiveness of STPs and their externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:43-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Isbat Ibn Hasnat Author-X-Name-First: Isbat Ibn Author-X-Name-Last: Hasnat Author-Name: Adnan M. S. Fakir Author-X-Name-First: Adnan M. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Fakir Title: Condemned in childhood: bully victimization and labour market outcomes Abstract: Bullying not only has immediate effects but also constitutes long-term impacts on a child’s life. We use the Young Lives dataset, spanning India, Peru, Vietnam, and Ethiopia, to understand the effects of adolescent bully victimization on adulthood labour market outcomes. Utilizing an instrumental variable approach, we find evidence that being bullied during adolescence reduces the likelihood of an individual’s enrolment into tertiary education while increasing the likelihood of labour market participation. Victims are also likely to work longer hours and days while earning less than their non-abused peers. This may be due to lower hourly wages. We propose the need for increased awareness and education policies designed to deter school-level bullying, which could result in significant human capital gain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971610_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Carl R. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Carl R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lenis Chen-Edinboro Author-X-Name-First: Lenis Author-X-Name-Last: Chen-Edinboro Author-Name: Chenxin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Chenxin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Does economic power or leadership matter? The difference between male and female world leaders in managing pandemics Abstract: Factors that are typically associated with better disease prevention and control, such as the health care expenses and the wealth of a nation, are no longer reliable predictors of disease parameters during the Covid-19 pandemic. In fact, we see many developed nations suffering from more widespread infection, a higher mortality rate, and longer pandemic duration. We analyse the performance outcomes of female-led vs. male-led countries in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. We employ regression analysis based on the full sample as well as a propensity score matched sample emphasizing women’s roles in society. In general, we provide some evidence that female-led countries exhibit lower numbers of total population-weighted cases and shorter pandemic duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:27-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1976379_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Aziz N. Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Aziz N. Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Title: Finding refuge underground: effects of refugee inflows on the shadow economy Abstract: This paper analyzes the effect of refugee inflows on the shadow, or underground, economy of host nations using panel data for 120 countries over the 1991–2017 period. The results show that refugee inflows increase the size of the shadow economy, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1976379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1976379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:84-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1976378_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jifeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Guanru Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guanru Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Bing He Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Does foreign direct investment affect wage inequality in Chinese manufacturing sector? Abstract: Using panel data from 26 industries in the Chinese manufacturing sector from 2002 to 2016, this study examines the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on wage inequality. We find that on average, 1% increment in FDI significantly increased wage inequality by 0.112%. Moreover, the study concludes that the relationship between FDI and wage inequality is nonlinear. Furthermore, in the subsample analysis, scale and R&D investment of the industries is strongly related to wage inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1976378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1976378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:80-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130861_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ana Cuadros Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Cuadros Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Estefanía Mourelle Author-X-Name-First: Estefanía Author-X-Name-Last: Mourelle Title: Clusters in foreign-born vs. native self-employment in Europe: do we look alike? Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the existence of clusters in self-employment rates, segregating by place of birth, i.e. native vs foreign-born, in a group of 17 European countries. The analysis suggests that natives behave differently in peripheral and core countries, whereas their foreign-born self-employed counterparts show a similar behaviour irrespective of the characteristics of the recipient economy. These findings augment the scant available evidence about this topic in Europe (as most previous studies have focused on the United States) and confirm the existence of important differences in the entrepreneurial skills and mindset of native and migrant populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-96 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:92-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1975025_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Aaron Mehrotra Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Mehrotra Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: Macroprudential policy and interest rate spillovers Abstract: We analyse how macroprudential policies in a panel of emerging economies affect spillovers from changes in long-term government bond yields in the United States. We show that a tightening in foreign exchange (FX) related macroprudential policy tools, in particular, limits to FX positions, helps to temporarily shield emerging economies from interest rate spillovers. No such effect is observed for non-FX related macroprudential actions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-65 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1975025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1975025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:61-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1969333_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dan Pang Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Pang Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: M. I. M. Wahab Author-X-Name-First: M. I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Author-Name: Bo Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Financial stress and oil market volatility: new evidence Abstract: This study investigates the effect of financial stress (financial stress index; FSI) on oil market realized volatility using Markov-regime switching MIDAS models. The empirical results show that FSI can remarkably improve the forecast accuracy of the oil market. Moreover, FSI measured by the United States can obtain more useful information than that measured by the world. Our findings are robust and reliable via alternative evaluation methods from both statistical and economic aspects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1969333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1969333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971609_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yen-Yu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chih-Hao Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Min Hua Lee Author-X-Name-First: Min Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Relationship among capital reserves cash dividends, dividend maintenance, and earnings management Abstract: This study aims to determine whether companies with surpluses are more capable of maintaining their dividend rate if they issue cash dividends from capital reserves. Further, it considers whether such issuance would suppress their earnings management. This study presents evidence from Taiwan, which acts as the global leader in terms of setting a precedent for allowing companies with surpluses to issue cash dividends from capital reserves. The empirical results show that (1) when the company pays cash dividends with capital reserves, the cash dividends can be maintained at a certain level, and (2) when the ratio of capital reserves to cash dividends is high, the accrual-based earnings management is low. The results obtained in this study are in line with that of previous studies and are expected to help other nations to consider making better use of capital reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:19-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1975026_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sita Nataraj Slavov Author-X-Name-First: Sita Nataraj Author-X-Name-Last: Slavov Author-Name: Chao Wei Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Grey Divorce and labour Supply Abstract: We use data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to examine how labour supply changes around divorces that occur later in life. We find that the probability of work and hours worked increase for women, but decline for men, with evidence of an anticipation effect for men. We find weak evidence of a post-divorce decline in per-capita wealth and stronger evidence of a decline in per-capita non-own-wage income for women, but not for men. While not causal, these findings are consistent with income and possibly wealth effects driving the post-divorce increase in women’s labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 66-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1975026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1975026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:66-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Elham Erfanian Author-X-Name-First: Elham Author-X-Name-Last: Erfanian Author-Name: Jing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Collin Hodges Author-X-Name-First: Collin Author-X-Name-Last: Hodges Title: Long-term debt in water utilities: does ownership matter? Evidence from West Virginia’s utilities Abstract: Local governments provide a wide range of services and infrastructure to their residents including water, sewer, and storm water systems. In many jurisdictions, utilities are the most capital-intensive government function in addition to being the most visible one. In this paper, we examine the impact of utility ownership type on the long-term debt of water utilities in the state of West Virginia. Water utility ownership types include municipalities, public service districts, water associations and private utilities. Using a double hurdle model to examine 288 water utilities in the state, we find that public service districts and municipalities are more likely to carry long-term debt than privately owned utilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:56-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1971607_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: COVID-19 effects on the S&P 500 index Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases in the US on the S&P 500 Index using daily data covering the period between 21st January, 2020 and 10th August, 2021. The investigation is achieved by using a structural vector autoregression model, where a measure of the global economic activity and the spread between 10-year treasury constant maturity and the federal funds rate are also included. The empirical results suggest that having $$1\% $$1% of an increase in cumulative daily COVID-19 cases in the US results in about $$0.01\% $$0.01% of a cumulative reduction in the S&P 500 Index after 1 day and about $$0.03\% $$0.03% of a reduction after 1 week. Historical decomposition of the S&P 500 Index further suggests that the negative effects of COVID-19 cases in the US on the S&P 500 Index have been mostly observed during March 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1971607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:7-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1982127_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jihui Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jihui Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Xiaolu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Potential impacts of foreign divestment on China’s high-tech manufacturing industry: a general equilibrium model-based analysis Abstract: This paper evaluates the potential impacts of foreign divestment on the growth of China’s High-tech Manufacturing industry by developing a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model that features foreign direct investment (FDI). Simulation results show that when FDI inflow stops, domestic firms substitute foreign firms rapidly, stimulating output relative to the baseline scenario. However, when foreign divestment is continuous or drastic, there are sizable adverse impacts on domestic firms’ output with the decreasing labour productivity relative to the baseline. The further decomposition of labour productivity growth suggests that larger foreign divestment results in a more substantial reduction in technological catch-up and technological change, implying the crucial role of FDI-related technology transfer and spillover in the growth of China’s high-tech manufacturing industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-209 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1982127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1982127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:205-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980487_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Carlos Henrique Corseuil Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Henrique Author-X-Name-Last: Corseuil Author-Name: Miguel N. Foguel Author-X-Name-First: Miguel N. Author-X-Name-Last: Foguel Author-Name: Ajax R. B. Moreira Author-X-Name-First: Ajax R. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moreira Title: Current unemployment variance decomposition and consequences of using proxies Abstract: We offer a decomposition for the variance of the current unemployment rate that not only measures the contributions of labour market flows but also of the approximation error embedded in other decompositions that use surrogates for the current rate. Using data for the United States and Brazil, the results for the latter show significant differences in the flows’ contributions and non-negligible distortions of approximation errors when the variance of the current (instead of the proxy) rate is decomposed; for the U.S., no substantial changes are detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 190-194 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:190-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980190_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Bernadette Power Author-X-Name-First: Bernadette Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Gavin C. Reid Author-X-Name-First: Gavin C. Author-X-Name-Last: Reid Title: Adopting industrial designs: further IP protection for US start-ups? Abstract: This article examines the determinants of adoption of industrial designs, for intellectual property (IP) protection, in a large sample of US start-ups. While patents and copyrights are widely analysed as ways of protecting proprietary knowledge in large firms, they are expensive forms of IP protection, both to create and to protect. For start-ups, cheaper and simpler methods have greater attraction, of which industrial design protection is an example. The article builds and tests an applied econometric model of industrial design adoption, using the longitudinal Kauffman Firm Survey, 2008–2012. The model is based on a microeconomic managerial utility theory of the firm, implemented within a random utility framework, leading to an estimable econometric model which takes the form of a binary probit with random effects. This model is run on an unbalanced panel sample of nearly nine thousand observations. It finds that expenditure on R&D plays a powerful role in the design adoption process. Incorporation and owner-managers’ injection of equity also play a positive and significant part in design adoption. These three influences are all part of the commitment that owner-managers bring to their start-ups. Sales directed to products rather than services also have positive effects on industrial design adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 136-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:136-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1977231_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Huili Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Huili Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Rong Li Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhengfei Lu Author-X-Name-First: Zhengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Transparency and stock price informativeness: evidence from a natural experiment in China Abstract: We study the impact of transparency on stock price informativeness by using an exogenous change in China: the comply-or-explain dividend regulation. Employing a difference-in-difference (DID) design, we find that increased transparency arising from firm’s detailed disclosures regarding their use of funds significantly enhances their stock price informativeness. This effect is stronger for firms with higher information asymmetry and for firms with more-detailed explanations. Additionally, the cumulative abnormal return within a short window is positively related to the level of detail in the explanations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 114-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1977231 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1977231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:114-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980195_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tristan Potter Author-X-Name-First: Tristan Author-X-Name-Last: Potter Title: The discouragement rate: an index of discouragement-induced hardship Abstract: In 1979, the Levitan Commission identified discouragement as one of three main sources of economic hardship, and recommended the development of an index to measure the extent of the problem. Over 40 years later, no such index exists. This letter proposes an index of discouragement-induced hardship and documents its evolution over time and across demographic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 162-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:162-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980485_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xixiong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Cuiliang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cuiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Youliang Yan Author-X-Name-First: Youliang Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Covid-19 crisis and corporate cash dividend policies: evidence from Chinese listed companies Abstract: Drawn on signalling theory, this paper investigates the impact of uncertainty caused by COVID-19 on corporate dividend policy. Using data from Chinese listed companies, the empirical results document a negative relationship between the COVID-19 crisis and corporate cash dividend payments. Moreover, the negative association between COVID-19 and cash dividend is more pronounced in large-scale firms and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). These findings imply that, compared with large-scale firms and SOEs, the competitive position of small enterprises and non-SOEs are more fragile and thus more dependent on cash dividends to release positive signals to outsiders, so as to deal with the uncertainty caused by COVID-19. In further analysis, this study also finds that those industries related to transportation and entertainment have a negative effect during the epidemic, and they are more likely to cut dividends to assure additional cash and flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 178-184 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:178-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980193_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jaewook Byeon Author-X-Name-First: Jaewook Author-X-Name-Last: Byeon Title: Suicide and divorce in South Korea: focusing on types of divorce Abstract: Using a panel of province-level data in South Korea over the last two decades, this paper examines the effect of divorce on female and male suicide rates. By focusing on the types of divorce and the reasons for divorce, I find that a higher mutual-consent divorce rate is associated with a decrease in female suicide rate, whereas the judicial divorce rate is positively associated with male suicide rate. For the reasons for divorce, I find that an increase in divorce rate caused by unfaithful acts, a representative reason for judicial divorce, raises female suicide rate, while divorce rates caused by main reasons for mutual-consent divorce are negatively associated with female suicide rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:153-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1976385_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xue Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Yixin Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yixin Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Evolution of China’s inter-industry radiation: an application of multi-spatial convergent cross-mapping approach Abstract: This study constructs an industrial linkage network of China and investigates industries’ radiation dynamics. This is achieved by detecting the causation between industries, using a novel multi-spatial convergent cross-mapping approach. The main findings include: (i) during the years from 2000 to 2017, influential industries were time-varying. (ii) The overall radiation intensity of real estate was outstanding. (iii) The influence of manufacturing (the secondary industry), and finance and catering (the tertiary industry) was increasing, while the influence of the primary industry was declining. This article contributes to interpreting China’s economic changes from the perspective of inter-industry correlation, rather than industrial scale. The results also reveal evidence of China’s industrial structure upgrading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-107 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1976385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1976385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:103-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983128_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Toru Fujiwara Author-X-Name-First: Toru Author-X-Name-Last: Fujiwara Author-Name: Kazutaka Takechi Author-X-Name-First: Kazutaka Author-X-Name-Last: Takechi Title: Drinking, texting, ageing, or youth: which attribute is the riskiest for driving? Abstract: Assessing the risk factors causing car accidents is a crucial first step in adopting appropriate public policies to achieve road safety. We measure the risk of four distinctive driver attributes, drinking, texting, ageing, and youth, using the Levitt and Porter, 2001 framework. We find that while drink-driving is the riskiest of the four attributes (2.9 times more dangerous than sober driving), drivers aged 70 years or older are similarly risky (2.75 times more dangerous than younger drivers). These results suggest that appropriate public policies, such as a strict driver’s licence system, stringent fines on drink-driving, regulations such as average speed limits, and subsidies for advanced safety vehicles, may reduce car crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1977230_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaowei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaowei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Li Yu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The effects of government debt on banks’ risk-taking: international evidence Abstract: We empirically investigate the effects of government debt on banks’ risk-taking by using a dataset covering 10,122 banks located in 65 countries between 2009 and 2019. We find that a greater supply of government debt can increase risk-taking of banks. This positive relation is stronger for domestic government debt, or for banks with higher level of capitalization and loans to deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 108-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1977230 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1977230 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:108-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983123_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kwanghun Yeon Author-X-Name-First: Kwanghun Author-X-Name-Last: Yeon Author-Name: Doo Bong Han Author-X-Name-First: Doo Bong Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Effects of reducing food-away-from-home consumption on sodium intake Abstract: Despite the relationship between sodium intake and the occurrence of high blood pressure, the sodium intake of Korean people has reached approximately 1.83 times the 2,000 mg level recommended by the World Health Organization. This high sodium intake may be caused by increased food-away-from-home (FAFH) consumption. Thus, this study aimed to examine the relationship between the FAFH consumption and sodium intake. We used data from the sixth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in 2014–2015 and Matching Frontier Method was applied to control the selection bias. The results suggest that people who consume FAFH less than four times per month would take in approximately 1,102 mg sodium less per day than people who consume FAFH at least five times per week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-213 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:210-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980484_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Varun Yadav Author-X-Name-First: Varun Author-X-Name-Last: Yadav Author-Name: Abhiman Das Author-X-Name-First: Abhiman Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Nowcasting inflation in India with daily crowd-sourced prices using dynamic factors and mixed frequency models Abstract: In this paper, we forecast short-term monthly headline retail inflation in India using daily crowd-sourced food prices and high frequency market-based measures by employing dynamic factors and mixed frequency models. We demonstrate that the forecast using the proposed approach outperforms the forecasts using the conventional approaches. The retail inflation rate for the last month is usually released around the mid of the current month. Hence, there is a delay in the availability of this critical metric. In this context, we leverage the intra-period high frequency data as it becomes available to improve forecast (nowcast) performance, which can be made available much before the official data release. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-177 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:167-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980191_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Omer Unsal Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Unsal Author-Name: Jennifer Brodmann Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Brodmann Title: Corporate reputation and market reaction: evidence from FinTech industry Abstract: In this paper, we examine the impact of corporate reputation on FinTech firms. Using a unique hand-collected dataset of customer complaints, violations, hacks/data breaches, and lawsuits; we find that markets negatively react to violation announcements, especially for lawsuits. Our findings show that despite their popularity, corporate wrongdoing is skyrocketing and can negatively impact FinTech firms. These findings have implications for FinTech management, stakeholders, and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-148 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:141-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1982126_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yu Li Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qiuling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qiuling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhenhuai Shi Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhuai Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Distance still matters: digital communication technologies and innovation performance of innovative enterprises Abstract: The emergence of digital communication technologies (DCTs) has greatly changed the way of information transmission, reduced the cost of communication and expanded the space of information spread. A largely growing literature shows that the communication technologies development lead to ‘the death of distance’. To verify this assertion, this paper empirically test the effect of DCTs on agglomeration premium measured by the innovation performance advantage. By using a large number of firm-level patent data from China, we find that the spread of DCTs does not reduce the innovation premium of agglomeration. Conversely, innovative enterprises agglomerated benefit from the utilization of DCTs. This article highlights the importance of agglomeration for innovation activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 200-204 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1982126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1982126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:200-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1979188_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Samuel N. Kirshner Author-X-Name-First: Samuel N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirshner Title: Detecting regime shifts: the role of construal levels on system neglect Abstract: Decision-makers overreact to noisy signals and underestimate base rates when predicting regime shift due to system neglect. Based on Construal Level (CL) Theory, I posit that a high CL reduces overreactions in stable and high-noise environments but exacerbates underreactions in unstable and low-noise environments relative to individuals with low CLs. My experimental results support this hypothesis, demonstrating that the interaction between individuals’ mindsets and signals’ properties systematically impact over and underreactions when detecting regime shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1979188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1979188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:131-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980488_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dung Tran Author-X-Name-First: Dung Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Cuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Huy Viet Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Huy Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Title: How do banks manage their capital during uncertainty? Abstract: The paper investigates the impact of EPU on bank capital in the U.S. from 2001–2020. The empirical results show that banks hold more capital when encountering high EPU. This effect increases with the bank size, meaning that the larger banks hold more capital during increasing EPU. Interestingly, further analyses reveal that worst-capitalized banks decrease their capital ratio when EPU elevates. The results are robust under different econometric methods and alternative proxies of uncertainty and bank capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1977232_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xinyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Hao Cui Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Lu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Forecasting oil futures price volatility with economic policy uncertainty: a CARR-MIDAS model Abstract: In this paper, we propose a conditional autoregressive range-mixed-data sampling (CARR-MIDAS) model that incorporates economic policy uncertainty (EPU) to predict the crude oil futures price volatility (range). We apply the proposed model to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures price ranges and four EPU indices, namely the Global EPU, US EPU, China EPU and Russia EPU. Empirical results show that all the four EPU indices have a significantly negative impact on the oil futures price volatility, and the EPU indices are informative for forecasting the oil futures price volatility. Moreover, the China EPU index outperforms the other EPU indices in forecasting the oil futures price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 120-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1977232 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1977232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:120-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983125_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Peng Nie Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Lu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Health perception biases and risky health behaviours in China Abstract: Using data from the 2011 and 2015 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, this paper analyzes the relation between health perception biases and risky health behaviours among adults aged 45 and older. We compare objective health outcomes (including hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes) with perceived conditions to assess absolute health perception biases and hypothesize that the role of biased health perceptions is a potential predictor for risky health behaviours. We provide evidence for the existence of positive absolute health perception biases and further document clear associations between health overconfidence and higher probabilities of alcohol consumption, overweight, and obesity, with the notable exception of smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:221-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980194_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jijun Niu Author-X-Name-First: Jijun Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Title: Bank size and liquidity creation Abstract: This paper examines the relation between bank size and liquidity creation. Using panel data on US banks between 2001:Q1 and 2016:Q4, we find that the relation is negative before and during the financial crisis of 2007–2009, but positive after the crisis. We also find that size is positively related to asset-side liquidity creation, but negatively related to liability-side liquidity creation. Overall, our results suggest that the relation between bank size and liquidity creation is influenced by the aggregate economic environment, and shed light on why previous researchers have found mixed results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980486_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Alicia Plemmons Author-X-Name-First: Alicia Author-X-Name-Last: Plemmons Author-Name: Agnitra Roy Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Agnitra Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Choudhury Title: Regional scope of practice and hospital readmission Abstract: One in six people who are hospitalized in the United States will be readmitted within 30-days of initial discharge. We investigate expanding the scope of practice for nurse practitioners and regional readmission rates. Using Census region data on readmission rates, we determine the effect of a member state expanding nurse practitioner job autonomy with the probability of an individual being readmitted to the hospital. We find that there is an approximate one percent reduction in readmissions within a Census region when a state expands scope of practice to allow for some or all tasks to be performed without a supervisory or collaborative agreement. We find no evidence of increasing readmissions when nurse practitioners’ scope of practice is expanded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:185-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983124_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Daniel K.N. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Daniel K.N. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Claire Altieri Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Altieri Author-Name: Siena Blelloch Author-X-Name-First: Siena Author-X-Name-Last: Blelloch Title: A Deadly Triple Threat: Three Layers of U.S. Racial Inequity in COVID Infections and Deaths Abstract: COVID-19 infections and deaths in the United States have affected racial groups differentially. Until now, there has been no analysis of the role that structural racism plays in those health outcomes. We use three models of ascending complexity to quantify the state-level impact of reporting bias, socioeconomic difference, and endogenous policy choices in a treatment model. Even after controlling for confounding factors like Black Lives Matter and other public demonstrations, multivariate regressions conclude that all three explain the phenomenon. We estimate massive avoidable costs of over 870,000 infections and 39,000 deaths due to unequal health outcomes by race. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 214-220 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:214-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983129_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Burcu Duzgun Oncel Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Author-X-Name-Last: Duzgun Oncel Author-Name: Bilge Eris Dereli Author-X-Name-First: Bilge Author-X-Name-Last: Eris Dereli Title: Cyclical and structural determinants of involuntary part-time employment in Turkey Abstract: We examine the correlates of involuntary part-time employment in Turkey. We contribute to previous studies regarding Turkey on two aspects. First, we focus on the cyclical and structural components that capture both labour demand and supply conditions, respectively. Second, we control for sample selection bias by applying a recursive bivariate model. We find that involuntary part-time employment is more common among males and moves with unemployment rate. Estimation results present a strong association between involuntary part-time employment and structural factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 244-248 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:244-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1979187_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Gonzalo Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Author-Name: Raimundo Soto Author-X-Name-First: Raimundo Author-X-Name-Last: Soto Author-Name: Felipe Zurita Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Zurita Title: Life expectancy at retirement and income in Chile Abstract: Using a sample of over 579 thousand workers that retired under the annuity system in Chile, we find that, conditional on reaching retirement age, there is a three-year difference in life expectancy between the lower and higher income groups in both men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 126-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1979187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1979187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:126-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983126_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effect of 31st year pension enhancement on mid- and late-career retirement decisions Abstract: A majority of career teachers in Missouri defined benefit pension plan reach their pension wealth peak before their 31st year of service. The 2002 pension enhancement in Missouri generates a local gain in pension wealth that is lower than the peak and also creates an eligibility milestone at the 31st service year. To test whether the 31st year enhancement affects retirement timing decisions for mid- to late-career teachers, I use administrative data of Missouri teachers and employ difference-in-differences models. I find that the 31st year enhancement reduces the likelihood of retirement at early and full retirement eligibilities, and helps retain experienced teachers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:229-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1980192_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jeongmin Ha Author-X-Name-First: Jeongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Elizabeth Kayoon Hur Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Kayoon Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Author-Name: Hee-Seung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Do more educated people work for the government? Abstract: We investigate the effect of education on public job choice using quarter of birth as an instrumental variable. We find that an additional year of education increases the probability of public sector employment by 1.87 percentage points. However, this positive effect is driven by females, whites, and those with high school degrees or less. For those with college or higher degrees, we observe a decrease in public employment with more education. Our results imply that highly-educated individuals go into high-risk, high-return occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1980192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1980192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:149-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1986205_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: James P. Dow Author-X-Name-First: James P. Author-X-Name-Last: Dow Title: Household factors affecting confidence in financial institutions Abstract: This paper looks at household level data from the General Social Survey to examine the influence of demographic factors on household confidence in financial institutions. The paper finds that being female, Black, and satisfied financially predict increased confidence in financial institutions while greater education predicts reduced confidence. Significantly, confidence in financial institutions does not seem to be related to confidence in people in general, but does seem to be related to overall confidence in institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-370 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1986205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1986205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:367-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983130_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Daniel Grodzicki Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Grodzicki Title: Credit cards and the floating rate channel of monetary policy Abstract: I quantify the impact of Federal Funds Rate (FFR) movements on consumers’ welfare via the floating, or variable, rate on their credit cards. I first newly document that 96% of card rates adjust to the FFR within 3 months of a change in the latter. Exploiting these rate changes, I construct a model of card use and estimate it using a national database of U.S. card accounts. Model estimates imply that a hypothetical 25 bp rise in the FFR lowers annual consumers’ surplus by 0.23% of personal consumption expenditures ($31.97 billion), and disproportionately more so in lower income areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:249-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1989364_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yingyi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yingyi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Swarn Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: Swarn Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Title: Financial hardship and depression experienced by pre-retirees during the COVID-19 pandemic: the mitigating role of stimulus payments Abstract: This study examines the association between financial hardship and depression among pre-retirees (ages 50 to 65) using the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and its 2020 COVID-19 supplement. We find a negative association between the amount of stimulus received and financial hardship experienced by respondents during the pandemic. Additionally, the results indicate that African American households were less likely to increase spending, Hispanic households were more likely to increase savings, and households with lower educational attainment were more likely to pay down debt using their stimulus money. Financial wealth was negatively associated with the perception of feeling depressed. Overall, the findings from this study underscore the important role that the stimulus checks and other financial resources played in buffering the economic shock experienced by American households during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1989364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1989364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983131_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiao Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Baby-cut carrots as convenience incentives – quality-based price discrimination on retail fresh-cut produce Abstract: Empirical evidence of quality-based price discrimination (second degree) is limited. I find consumers have positive and heterogenous valuations for the baby-cut attribute of carrots, and I model and establish evidence that retailers utilize this quality attribute to price discriminate. From a welfare perspective, I show the development and introduction of high-quality substitutes, pre-cut and pre-processed versions of fresh produce, increase retail profits with minimal impact on consumer surplus under quality-based price discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1988886_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Vasileios Zisis Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Zisis Author-Name: Vasilios-Christos Naoum Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios-Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Naoum Title: Sticky cost theory and firm’s evolution Abstract: The present study investigates the cost behaviour across a firm’s life cycle. Following firms’ evolution, we incorporate a medium to long-term strategic frame on the examination of the association between costs and revenues examining different types of operating costs and controlling for evolution from growth to maturity life cycle stage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-383 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1988886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1988886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:379-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983133_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Christian Espinosa-Méndez Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Espinosa-Méndez Title: Integration of financial markets during COVID-19: a dynamic correlation analysis on Euronext Abstract: This article investigates the reaction of integrated financial markets to the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a dynamic conditional correlation model on Euronext Stock Exchange, I find that the integration of financial markets can act as a buffer against negative shocks such as COVID-19. However, this benefit begins to fade as the number of deaths from COVID-19 increases. In this case, a negative relationship with the dynamic correlation is found in some pairs of member countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 264-268 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:264-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985720_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ruzhao Gao Author-X-Name-First: Ruzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Yueqiang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yueqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Baltic dry index and global economic policy uncertainty: evidence from the linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests Abstract: This study investigates the linear and nonlinear Granger causality relationship between the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU). There is a unidirectional linear Granger causality relationship running from GEPU to the BDI and no nonlinear Granger causality relationship between the BDI and GEPU. Hence, the Granger causality running from GEPU to the BDI is relatively direct, concise and swift but not very complicated. The linear Granger causality relationship between them is time-varying. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 360-366 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:360-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983915_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ying Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Lihui Tian Author-X-Name-First: Lihui Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Do Government R&D Subsidies Stimulate Corporate R&D Investment? Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment Abstract: This paper examines the impact of Guangdong provincial R&D subsidies policy on corporate R&D investment.11Guangdong has ranked first in terms of GDP in all Chinese provinces for many years. There are 643 Chinese A-share stock market listed firms in Guangdong in 2019. Using a large sample of Chinese firms for the 2011–2017 period and DID methodology, we find that government R&D subsidies have a negative and significant effect on corporate R&D investment. Our findings are robust to a battery of sensitivity tests. Our study supports the ‘crowd out effect’ of government R&D subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 280-284 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:280-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1987378_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Vincent Fromentin Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Fromentin Title: Time-varying Granger causality between the stock market and unemployment in the United States Abstract: In this paper, we look at the connection between the stock market and the unemployment rate in the United States. Using a recent time-varying Granger causality framework covering the period from January 1960 to October 2020, tests reveal that lagged realizations of the stock market have predictive power regarding unemployment, and vice et versa, but that the predictive ability only occurs sporadically over time, particularly during ‘crash’ periods. These results are in line with the literature on the information spillover between finance markets and the real-life economy, with changes of causality across time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-378 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1987378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1987378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:371-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983134_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Afees A. Salisu Author-X-Name-First: Afees A. Author-X-Name-Last: Salisu Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Abeeb Olaniran Author-X-Name-First: Abeeb Author-X-Name-Last: Olaniran Title: The effect of oil uncertainty shock on real GDP of 33 countries: a global VAR approach Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the effect of oil price uncertainty shock on real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 33 developed and emerging economies using the Global Vector Autoregressive (VAR) framework that allows us to capture the transmission of global shocks while simultaneously accounting for distinct characteristics of individual countries. Utilizing quarterly data over the period of 1980Q1 to 2019Q2, we show that, in general, oil price uncertainty shock has a statistically significant negative impact on GDP for 28 out of the 33 countries, but with varying magnitude and persistence. Overall though, we find the adverse effect on real GDP to be relatively stronger for the developed group of countries than the emerging ones. Hence, our results suggest that policymakers must be ready to undertake expansionary policies (of varying order) in the wake of an oil price uncertainty shock to prevent deep recessions, except in the cases of Norway, Philippines and Saudi Arabia, for which output tends to increase in a statistically significant manner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-274 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:269-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1989365_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yanyan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yanyan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xiaotong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaotong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Bing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Multiple large shareholders and controlling shareholders’ related-party M&As Abstract: This paper examines the impact of a common ownership structure – multiple large shareholders (MLS) – on controlling shareholders’ related-party mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Using a sample of 2,923 Chinese listed firms from 2003 to 2018, we find that firms with MLS are less likely to initiate controlling shareholders’ related-party M&As and if they do, pay lower M&A premium. Further tests show that the impact of MLS on controlling shareholders’ related-party M&As is more prominent when the relative power of other blockholders is stronger, when MLS are of different identity, when corporate governance mechanism is weaker, and when the agency conflicts are more severe. We also find that the presence of MLS is associated with higher related-party M&A performance. Our results imply that MLS monitor the controlling shareholder and improve governance, and hence restrain related-party M&As. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-403 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1989365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1989365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:397-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985065_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shehong Hou Author-X-Name-First: Shehong Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: The nonlinear relationship between banks competition and financial stability in China Abstract: We use difference GMM method to investigate the influence of banks competition on financial stability in China. The result shows there is an optimal competition level for China’s banks system. The stock market disaster in 2015 does not have significant influence on the z scores of banks, but it caused the non-performance loans increase evidently. This may be the results of China’s separate supervision and separate operation of financial system. Appropriate competition level is essential for China’s banks system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-335 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:331-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985062_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ewa Cukrowska-Torzewska Author-X-Name-First: Ewa Author-X-Name-Last: Cukrowska-Torzewska Title: Gender gap in reservation wages and the choice of education field Abstract: I examine the gap in reservation wages between men and women who enter the labour market for the first time and link it to the choice of education field by gender. Using data from 2006 to 2015 Labour Force Survey for Poland, I show that men and women with the same education value their qualifications differently, which points to behavioural differences by gender. The gender difference in returns to education fields is found to be the single most important predictor of the gender gap in reservation wages. Women educated in mathematics, IT and physics are found to report higher reservation wages than other women and there is no difference in pay expectations between them and men. The results contribute to the discussion on the importance of a higher presence of women in STEM fields as a way of achieving greater gender equality in the labour markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985059_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: McKinley L. Blackburn Author-X-Name-First: McKinley L. Author-X-Name-Last: Blackburn Title: Testing for dummy-variable effects in semi-logarithmic regressions Abstract: Applied economists often use a non-linear function to estimate percentage-change effects of dummy variables in semi-logarithmic models. Delta-method-based inference on these marginal effects is questionable, especially as the dummy variable can be arbitrarily defined to increase the suggestion of evidence of an impact. Inference should instead be based on the untransformed coefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 292-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:292-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985066_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Meng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Chaoxian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chaoxian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weidong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Weidong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Nonlinear impacts of information and communications technology investment on industrial structure upgrading: the role of marketization Abstract: This paper employs the dynamic panel threshold model to estimate the industrial upgrading effect of information and communications technology (ICT) investment in view of the role of marketization. Based on provincial-level data from 2008 to 2016 in China, the empirical results show that under a better institutional environment of marketization, ICT investment has an increasing marginal effect on the upgrading of the industrial structure. This implies that the diminishing marginal effect of ICT investment is compensated by the promotion of marketization. Overall, with higher-quality development of the market economy, ICT investment will play a more active role in upgrading the industrial structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 336-342 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:336-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983135_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Athiphat Muthitacharoen Author-X-Name-First: Athiphat Author-X-Name-Last: Muthitacharoen Title: Investment tax incentives and firm productivity: evidence from Thailand Abstract: Developing countries often employ tax incentives to promote investment; however, evidence on their productivity impact is scarce. I use a matched difference-in-difference approach and a panel dataset of Thai firms to investigate the impact of investment tax incentives on firms’ productivity and illustrate how it varies across firms in different competition environments. I find that the incentives significantly raise productivity for the treated firms relative to the control firms. I also show that the incentives could boost productivity to a larger extent when targeted towards higher-competition sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985068_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Rui Li Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ruozhou Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ruozhou Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zili Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zili Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xuejun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xuejun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Junk Stocks vs Quality Stocks, A Perspective from Mood Seasonality Abstract: Based on their own quality measure, Asness et al. (2019) document that quality stocks significantly outperform junk stocks. In this article, we attempt to explore the quality-based return patterns from behavioural perspective. The empirical findings demonstrate that the relative performance of quality stocks exhibits significant mood seasonality, i.e. the return spreads of quality and junk stocks decrease (increase) during high (low)-mood months. Furthermore, we also find that the return spreads exhibit significant mood recurrence and reversal effects proposed by Hirshleifer et al. (2020). All of these findings support the argument that mood would be an important source for the outperformance of quality stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-354 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:349-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985060_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaojing Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojing Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yingnan Cong Author-X-Name-First: Yingnan Author-X-Name-Last: Cong Author-Name: Ryuta Sakemoto Author-X-Name-First: Ryuta Author-X-Name-Last: Sakemoto Title: COVID-19 and the forward-looking stock-bond return relationship Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused stock market crashes and collapse of economic activities in many countries. As a result, many investors changed their stock and bond market expectations. This study investigates whether the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases influences the forward-looking stock-bond correlations. We apply a quantile approach that is beneficial to explore non-linear relationships between the forward-looking stock-bond return correlations and the COVID-19 cases. The correlations are estimated using the DCC-GARCH model for 21 financial markets from three regions (North American, Asia-Pacific, and Europe). We present empirical evidence that there are heterogeneous responses across regions and countries. Specifically, the negative stock-bond correlations weaken as the number of COVID-19 cases in the regions of North America (the U.S. and Canada) and Asia-Pacific (Australia and Japan) increases. Our results suggest that the number of COVID-19 cases is not important. Investors sell risky stocks and buy safe Treasury bonds at the beginning of the pandemic, while they adjust their portfolios risk levels when they obtain more information. Our result also highlights that this pattern is not observed in European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-301 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:297-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983916_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Moonkyoung Jang Author-X-Name-First: Moonkyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Dokyung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dokyung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunmi Baek Author-X-Name-First: Hyunmi Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: How do global audiences of TV shows take shape?: Evidence from Netflix Abstract: With the rapid growth of OTT platforms, consumption of TV shows is transcending national boundaries. In the vein, this study investigates the similarities between countries in TV show consumption and the role of cultural factors in determining the similarities. We collected data of daily Top 10 TV shows from 80 countries between January 1 and 20 June 2021, on Netflix, provided by Flixpatrol. We applied a two-step approach: First, social network analysis was conducted for estimating similarities between countries in TV show consumption. Second, a regression model was employed using ordinary least squares to investigate the impact of cultural factors that shape TV show audiences. We found that linguistic proximity, geographical distance, and cultural difference are important factors in determining the global audiences of TV shows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:285-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985064_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: J. James Reade Author-X-Name-First: J. James Author-X-Name-Last: Reade Author-Name: Jan C. Van Ours Author-X-Name-First: Jan C. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ours Title: How sensitive are sports fans to unemployment? Abstract: We analyse the attendance of professional football matches in England finding that it is related to unemployment over a very long period of time. More unemployment leads to lower attendances. Distinguishing between leagues, we find that the relationship is larger for lower leagues, i.e. attendances of lower quality football events are more sensitive to fluctuations in unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-330 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:324-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985719_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Marcin Wroński Author-X-Name-First: Marcin Author-X-Name-Last: Wroński Title: The impact of the public pension system on wealth inequality. The distribution of augmented wealth in Poland Abstract: Public pension wealth is an important component of a household’s wealth portfolio. However, due to data scarcity, it is usually omitted in the research on household wealth. The literature on augmented wealth is limited to developed economies. We use a novel data source to estimate the distribution of public pension wealth and augmented wealth in Poland. We assess the impact of education-related mortality differential on the value of public pension wealth. Our research sample includes pensioners and workers near retirement. Therefore, we measure the impact of public pension wealth on wealth distribution among those who already profit from their public pension wealth, or will profit from it soon. Moreover, the value of their public pension wealth is stable and robust, while the value of public pension entitlements of the working-age population may change rapidly due to pension system reforms. The public pension system significantly decreases wealth inequality. The Gini index equals 0.5007 for private wealth distribution and 0.3472 for augmented wealth distribution. Decomposition techniques confirm an equalizing impact of public pension wealth on the pension system. The impact of education-related mortality differential on the value of public pension wealth exists at the individual level, but it diminishes at the household level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985061_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Salvador Cruz-Aké Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Cruz-Aké Author-Name: Reyna Susana García-Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Reyna Susana Author-X-Name-Last: García-Ruiz Author-Name: Francisco Venegas-Martínez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Venegas-Martínez Title: Climate derivatives strategies as an alternative to set up guaranteed prices for agricultural producers in México Abstract: This article proposes climate derivative strategies as an alternative to set up guaranteed prices for agricultural producers with the idea that this market mechanism replaces direct government intervention and traditional insurance. To do that, we apply a bivariate time-varying copula to model temperature behaviour as a shadow price of each degree Celsius above or below a given temperature band. We apply the methodology to a wheat-producing region of Apan Hidalgo in México, where the temperatures may vary from −8 to 33°C in a 7-year sample. The proposed time-varying copula uses the minimum and maximum temperature as risk factors in a normal copula with logistic marginals. This copula acceptably fits the original data with a slight delay to the seasonal regime change, but on average, it acceptably mimics the extreme temperature behaviour. The design of the derivative strategies (long American-Parisian-instalment strangles) with underlying temperatures is carried out through a Monte Carlo simulation valuation. Our proposal is more cost efficient than the current programme, a guaranteed price system, broadening its scope and benefiting more farmers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:302-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1985067_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Thomas Patten Krumel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Patten Author-X-Name-Last: Krumel Author-Name: Corey Goodrich Author-X-Name-First: Corey Author-X-Name-Last: Goodrich Author-Name: Nathan Fiala Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Fiala Title: Labour demand in the time of post-COVID-19 Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the labour market in ways that have proved difficult for economists to predict. Early studies suggested that labour demand ‘collapsed’. This initial forecast proved to be overly alarmist, due to the short-run view. We find that labour demand has rebounded sharply, though an aberration has appeared in recent months. Using what is believed to be a near-universe of online jobs postings, we demonstrate that while total job postings are up 43% from pre-pandemic levels, only one-tenth of that increase is driven by increases in new postings. This suggests that the growth in job postings in the labour market is being driven by jobs that are remaining unfilled. Labour force participation has dropped to levels not seen since the 1970s, while unemployment claims have mirrored other recent economic downturns. Combined, these two measures account for almost all the remaining jobs shed during the recent economic downturn. Analysing the characteristics of these job postings, we find a decrease in required skills and salary compared to the pre-pandemic periods. Individuals appear unwilling to re-enter the labour market, likely because of the quality of jobs currently available, leading to an overall labour shortage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1985067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1985067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1988887_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Huan Huu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Huan Huu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Vu Minh Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Vu Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Author-Name: Uyen Dinh Hoang Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Uyen Dinh Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The foreign investors’ behaviours during the COVID-19 pandemic in emerging market Abstract: International capital inflows contribute a critical part to macroeconomic stability and financial market growth for an emerging economy. As the COVID-19 pandemic has triggered unprecedented chaos in the financial markets recently, this study attempts to explore the current foreign investors’ behaviours and their impacts on the stock market performance in an emerging market. This study found long-term relationships between foreign investors’ trading behaviours and stock market returns. However, the COVID-19 pandemic is distinctive from previous financial crises regarding its impacts on foreign investors’ trading behaviours. Responding to shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic, foreign investors have changed their trading behaviours dramatically and somehow lost their role as a trend leader to domestic retail investors in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 384-390 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1988887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1988887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:384-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1983132_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chao Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Hongbo Cai Author-X-Name-First: Hongbo Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Qiaoling Shi Author-X-Name-First: Qiaoling Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Will high-speed rail bring cleaning effect to the cities? Evidence from China Abstract: Will high-speed rail improve air quality, or make it worse? We use data of 270 cities in China from 2000 to 2018 to study the impact of high-speed rail (HSR) on air pollution. Based on the difference-in-difference (DID) model, the regression results show that high-speed rail has reduced air pollution. But the results also show geographic differences. In underdeveloped areas, HSR will increase urban air pollution. The main mechanism is that HSR has affected the industrialization level and the entry of polluting enterprises. Especially in underdeveloped cities, HSR will increase industrial output and attract more polluting companies, which is not conducive to environmental governance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-263 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1983132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1983132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:3:p:259-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1991563_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaolin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Fan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Kai Wan Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Zombie firms and corporate innovation: a double distortion effect—empirical evidence from China Abstract: With China’s entering into the era of high-quality development, we have studied in this paper whether and how the so-called ‘zombie firms’ have inhibitory impact on the quantity and quality of corporate innovation in normal enterprises. Using the 1998–2013 Chinese industrial database as the empirical evidence, we find that the inhibitory impact is significant, and particularly imminent for those normal enterprises with high innovation intensity under further inspection of heterogeneity test. Impact mechanism test indicates two major channels through which the inhibitory impact manifests: competition distortion and financing constraints. Our study not only clarifies the impact of zombie firms on the quantity and quality of corporate innovation, but also provides both theoretical and empirical reference for policymakers in China to properly address the problems of zombie firms and promote high-quality corporate innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 456-461 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1991563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1991563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:456-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1994914_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: A note on Schumpeter’s innovation hypothesis Abstract: This note reveals that while the monopolist has ideal incentives to innovate, consistent with Schumpeter’s original hypothesis, the oligopolist’s incentive to innovate is non-monotonic in its market share and approaches that of the monopolist in the limit as the number of identical firms grows large. Numerical simulations indicate that the incentive to innovate for the relatively efficient oligopolist exceeds 83% of that of the monopolist. These findings may help explain why the purported relationship between innovation and firm size has defied consistent empirical validation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 496-500 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1994914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1994914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:496-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1990203_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Luisa Martínez-Nieto Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez-Nieto Author-Name: Francisco Fernández-Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Navarro Author-Name: Teresa Montero-Romero Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Montero-Romero Author-Name: Mariano Carbonero-Ruz Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Carbonero-Ruz Title: COVID-19 impact on the Spanish stock exchange with mean-variance and diversification-based portfolios Abstract: This paper examines the out-of-sample performance of thirteen portfolio strategies in the Spanish financial market (Ibex 35) during the COVID-19 pandemic (considering four different periods) by using three standard financial metrics. The main findings of the study are as follows: (i) the only methods outperforming Ibex 35 are those based on risk parity or diversification; (ii) unstable period data caused underperformance of strategies that require a previous estimation of certain hyper-parameters in their formulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 416-422 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1990203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1990203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:416-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1990837_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Marcelo J. Villena Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Villena Author-Name: Hugo Osorio Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Osorio Title: On the social discount rate for South American Countries Abstract: In this paper, the social discount rate (SDR) is calculated for nine South American countries. We use the social time preference methodology, and as opposed to previous studies for the region, the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption is estimated econometrically using a panel data approach. In particular, a fixed effect panel data model was used to estimate the income elasticity of demand for food. The time-series data used come from the same sources for every country under consideration and correspond to the period 1990–2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-434 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1990837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1990837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:429-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1994123_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jui-Chuan Della Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Chuan Della Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuang-Liang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The asymmetric impacts of international portfolio flows on Australian dollar returns Abstract: This study investigates how equity portfolio flows affect the transition processes of exchange rate returns in Australia by employing a Markov-switching AR-GARCH-Jump model with time-varying transition probabilities. Three interesting findings are observed. Firstly, both GARCH and jump effects are totally different in the high-volatility and low-volatility states. Secondly, the net equity portfolio inflows increase exchange rate market fluctuations. Thirdly, the marginal effect of net equity flows is stronger in low-volatility state than in high-volatile state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 478-483 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1994123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1994123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:478-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1992340_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yajie Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Yajie Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Yunchao Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yunchao Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Financial assets and happiness: evidence from the China Household Finance Survey Abstract: Using the China Household Finance Survey Data, this article studies the effect of financial assets on happiness. The empirical results based on a series of regression models show that (1) household financial assets have a significant impact on individual’s happiness; (2) the effect of different types of financial assets on happiness is heterogeneous and having certificates of deposit has a positive impact on happiness whilst holding stocks will significantly reduce individual’s happiness; (3) the value of certificates of deposit has certainly improved happiness, whilst the value of holding stocks, funds, has no significant effect and (4) the relationship between the value of certificates of deposit and happiness varies with a household income level, but not risk attitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-471 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1992340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1992340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:466-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1994518_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sébastien Fontenay Author-X-Name-First: Sébastien Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenay Author-Name: Thomas Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Ilan Tojerow Author-X-Name-First: Ilan Author-X-Name-Last: Tojerow Title: Child penalties across industries: why job characteristics matter Abstract: This article investigates the impact of parenthood on women’s labour market outcomes in Belgium. Using administrative data and an event study design, we show that mothers lose 32% of their labour earnings relative to fathers, up to eight years after the birth of their first child. Furthermore, we find a strong positive correlation between the size of the child penalty for a given sector and the share of its workers who report working atypical work schedules or irregular hours, suggesting that job characteristics matter in determining the size of the child penalty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 488-495 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1994518 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1994518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:488-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1998318_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mu Fan Author-X-Name-First: Mu Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Fei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qing Yi Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Bo Gong Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Title: Does high investment lead to high efficiency in Chinese Super League clubs? Abstract: The cost of operating Chinese football clubs has increased, prompting the need to examine their operating efficiency. Hence, this study proposes an integrated approach to analyse the efficiency of Chinese Super League (CSL) football clubs from 2014 to 2019. We used data envelopment analysis (DEA) model with three dimensions of output indicators and a bootstrap DEA model to find that CSL clubs, particularly high-input clubs, have low efficiency. These results are robust to other alternative estimation methods. Further research revealed that the scale of CSL club inputs is negatively correlated with operating efficiency, with low scale efficiency acting as a major impediment to the growth of CSL clubs. The comprehensive evaluation model proposed in this study provides an in-depth analysis of the overall efficiency of football clubs and helps managers evaluate and provide feedback based on the realities of the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 548-552 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1998318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1998318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:548-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1990836_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lingaraj Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Lingaraj Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Author-Name: Smruti Ranjan Behera Author-X-Name-First: Smruti Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjan Behera Author-Name: RV Ramana Murthy Author-X-Name-First: RV Ramana Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Title: Dynamics of capital account and current account in India: Evidence from threshold cointegration with asymmetric error correction Abstract: This study investigates the nexus between India’s current and capital accounts using threshold cointegration and asymmetric error-correction approaches. The results validate the threshold cointegration between the current account (CA) and India’s capital account (KA). The asymmetric error correction-based results support the unidirectional Granger causality from KA to CA. Further, results reveal that KA’s cumulative sum of positive and negative deviation substantially impacts the CA. Finally, results of equilibrium adjustment path asymmetric effect from CA to KA suggest that KA reverts to equilibrium in the short run when CA decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-428 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1990836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1990836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:423-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1996527_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Xiaochang Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaochang Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yiran Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiran Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qiming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qiming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jie Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The impacts of ESG performance and digital finance on corporate financing efficiency in China Abstract: This article explores the interactive effects of digital finance and environmental, social responsibility, and corporate governance (ESG) performance on corporate financing efficiency using data envelopment analysis (DEA) and panel data analysis. Our empirical results demonstrate that higher ESG performance and digital finance enhance corporate financing efficiency at the 1% significance level, and digital finance alleviates the positive marginal effect of ESG performance on corporate financing efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 516-523 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1996527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1996527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:516-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1998315_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tobias Alexander Jopp Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Jopp Author-Name: Mark Spoerer Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Spoerer Title: On the political determinants of wide-body aircraft sales, 1974–89 Abstract: This article contributes to the ongoing discussion on unfair government support for the world’s major civil aircraft producers, Airbus and Boeing. In a logit setting, we identify political (and economic) determinants of airlines’ decision to buy either Airbus or American brand-new wide-bodies in the market’s formative period. We find evidence for political determinants at work not only for Airbus, but – to an even greater extent – also for the American manufacturers, such as home bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-535 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1998315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1998315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:531-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1991562_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zhida Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhida Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Runqiu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Runqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Qi Luo Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Firm-specific investor sentiment, stock price synchronicity, and crash risk Abstract: This article investigates the impact of firm-specific investor sentiment on stock price synchronicity and further examines the relationship between stock price synchronicity and crash risk. By analysing the dataset of the Chinese stock market, we find that higher firm-specific investor sentiment induces lower stock price synchronicity, which is inconsistent with the argument supported by a majority of previous studies that low price synchronicity represents high price informativeness. We also find a negative relationship between price synchronicity and future crash risk, supporting the view that in an irrational market, less return comovement is not associated with more firm-specific information but noise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 450-455 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1991562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1991562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:450-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1996528_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Nobuyuki Takashima Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Takashima Title: International environmental agreements with the formation of multiple coalitions Abstract: This paper examines the formation of multiple coalitions under the umbrella of an international environmental agreement. Using a repeated game, we demonstrate that in any coalition structure consisting of only two or three countries, cooperation can be sustained through punishments inflicted on the deviating country from agreement rules by fellow coalition members if the discount factor is greater than $$1/2$$1/2. Furthermore, our rules of agreement can be effective even in the case of heterogeneous countries if coalitions are formed among the same type of countries. With this method, a coalition consisting of two or three countries is sustained whenever the discount factor is greater than $$1/2$$1/2, as is the case with symmetric countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 524-530 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1996528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1996528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:524-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1996526_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: The impacts of COVID-19 on the dependence structure of the stock market Abstract: This article uses Gaussian copula marginal regression and tail dependence estimation by copula to explore COVID-19’s effects on the dependence structure of the US stock market. Specifically, we investigate the dependence between S&P 500 returns and returns in eleven sectors at the mean and the tails of the joint distribution prior to and during the pandemic. We uncover strong evidence of the pandemic’s heterogeneous effects on dependence structures across sectors. Certain sectors, including information technology and health care, increase in importance as return determinants of the composite index during the pandemic. We also find that COVID-19 increases tail dependence, specifically lower tail dependence more than upper tail dependence. These findings will be useful to investors interested in managing risk, particularly during pandemics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 510-515 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1996526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1996526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:510-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1989367_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Minghuan Shou Author-X-Name-First: Minghuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shou Author-Name: Xueqi Bao Author-X-Name-First: Xueqi Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Author-Name: Jie Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: An optimal weighted machine learning model for detecting financial fraud Abstract: The purpose of this study is to predict enterprises’ financial fraud. After collecting financial data and employing feature selection methods, totally eight features are selected. We select two best-performance machine learning models according to five indicators including accuracy, recall, specificity, AUC and the misclassification cost. Besides, an optimal weighted machine learning model, based on the two best-performance models, is proposed and the results confirm its good performance in forecasting enterprises’ financial fraud. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 410-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1989367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1989367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:410-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1994122_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Carlos Poza Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Poza Author-Name: Manuel Monge Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Monge Title: Forecasting Spanish economic activity in times of COVID-19 by means of the RT-LEI and machine learning techniques Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to analyse and estimate the behaviour of the Spanish economic activity in the next 12 months, by means of a Real-Time Leading Economic Indicator (RT-LEI), based on Google Trends, and the real GDP. We apply methodologies based on fractional integration and cointegration to measure the degree of persistence and to examine the long-term relationship. Finally, we carry out a forecast using a Machine Learning model based on an Artificial Neural Network. Our results indicate that the Spanish economy will experience a contraction in 1Q-21 and will require strong measures to reverse the situation and recover the original trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 472-477 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1994122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1994122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:472-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1991560_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Cody Orr Author-X-Name-First: Cody Author-X-Name-Last: Orr Title: Peer gender composition and non-cognitive factors Abstract: This note studies the relationship between the gender composition of a student’s peers and two of their non-cognitive factors: sense of belonging and self-worth. Using data from Add Health and exploiting idiosyncratic variation in the share of female peers across grades within schools, I find positive but small effects of a higher share of female peers for male students. I do not find statistically significant effects for female students, but I can rule out large positive effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1991560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1991560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1994124_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Fabio Pizzutilo Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pizzutilo Title: Is ESG-ness the vaccine? Abstract: In an attempt to foster debate on whether firms’ commitment to ESG policies affects stocks risk-adjusted performance, we analysed the blue-chips of the European countries most affected by COVID-19. We found statistical evidence that companies that follow high ESG standards outperformed low ESG-ranked firms during Phase 1 of COVID-19. In particular, the dampening effect on the downside stock market movement was more evident during the first part of Phase 1 characterized by the sudden crash of stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-487 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1994124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1994124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:484-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1998317_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dwi Krisnanto Author-X-Name-First: Dwi Author-X-Name-Last: Krisnanto Author-Name: Endra Iraman Author-X-Name-First: Endra Author-X-Name-Last: Iraman Author-Name: Yoshikuni Ono Author-X-Name-First: Yoshikuni Author-X-Name-Last: Ono Author-Name: Makoto Kakinaka Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Kakinaka Title: Quality of public governance and voluntary tax payment: experimental evidence from Indonesia Abstract: Taxpayers tend to have an aversion to taxes because they often feel that they lack information about how their taxes are being spent. By conducting a vignette survey experiment with the Indonesian taxpayers, we demonstrate that citizens are more likely to perceive their tax obligations favourably if they are exposed to information that the government is acting in a trustworthy manner. This result suggests that a government’s commitment to establishing good governance in tax revenue management can increase public confidence, which can be an important determinant of people’s tax attitudes. Our study provides new empirical evidence on the impact of psychological ties between citizens and the government on citizens’ willingness to pay taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-547 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1998317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1998317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:543-547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1996525_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jaywon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaywon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hyung Tae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyung Tae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sangshin Pae Author-X-Name-First: Sangshin Author-X-Name-Last: Pae Title: Does cash conversion cycle affect cost of equity capital? Abstract: This study examines the impact of cash conversion cycle (CCC) on cost of equity (COE). A CCC measures the time it takes for a firm to convert its inventory into cash flows from sales. A CCC is one of several metrics that evaluates a firm’s operational risk, and this paper investigates whether CCC affects COE. Using 29,248 firm-year observations that span 1984–2018, we find that firms with longer CCC have higher equity financing costs. Furthermore, we observe significant moderating effects of product market conditions and information asymmetry. The positive relationship becomes weaker (stronger) with greater competition and demand uncertainty (information asymmetry). Our findings provide useful insights for managers as our results reveal that investors recognize CCC as a value-relevant signal in determining COE. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-509 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1996525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1996525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:501-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1989366_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tong Fu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Yuanyuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dawei Feng Author-X-Name-First: Dawei Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Culture of Social Integration: How Extractive Colonialism Promotes Contemporary Individual Income Abstract: By exploring the history of northeastern China in 1898–1911, this paper documents that extractive colonialism spurs a culture of social integration that generates a positive effect on contemporary individual income, with robustness to potential endogeneity bias. Given that the existing literature has emphasized the long-run negative economic impacts of extractive colonialism, this paper helps explain the following institutional puzzle: Why does extractive colonialism spur development in the long run? We thereby deepen understanding of colonialism and institutions from a cultural perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1989366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1989366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1992339_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Reynaldo Senra Hodelin Author-X-Name-First: Reynaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Senra Hodelin Title: Money, financial depth and economic growth in orthodox communist nations: the case of Cuba Abstract: The empirical literature on the nexus between finance and economic growth is vast, but two issues have been almost absent from it. One is the role of financial depth in communist countries with minimal market-oriented reforms. The other is the role of currency in circulation not only in these kinds of nations but also in underdeveloped countries, in general. This article investigates the nexus of banking deposits and currency in circulation with long-run economic growth in Cuba. We find a negative overall causality of deposits for economic growth. However, the currency was boosting growth. Our findings point at the relevance of currency for the private sector, and at multidimensional problems in the state-owned sector of Cuba. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 462-465 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1992339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1992339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:462-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1998316_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Elwin Tobing Author-X-Name-First: Elwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobing Title: Unemployment and obesity during the great recession: evidence from US county panel data Abstract: This article investigates the effect of unemployment on obesity during the Great Recession. Previous studies using mainly individual data surveys find that the relationship is inconclusive. Motivated by the current economic crisis due to the coronavirus pandemic, we revisit the debate and exploit cross county US data, a relatively unexplored dataset in the study on obesity. We find a pro-cyclical relationship between unemployment and obesity. We further explore whether the positive relationship may relate to lack of recreation and physical exercises during the great economic downturn due to the scarcity of public recreational and fitness facility (RFF). Our findings show that the effect of unemployment on obesity is significant in both counties with scarce and abundant RFF. Hence, the limited access to public RFF during the COVID pandemic may, by itself, not contribute to weight gain among adult Americans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 536-542 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1998316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1998316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:536-542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1991561_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Author-Name: Rebecca Abraham Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Abraham Title: Institutional quality, insurance markets, and economic growth: evidence from pooled mean group estimation Abstract: We study the role of institutional quality and insurance markets in the economic growth of middle-income countries between 2005 and 2019. Insurance market development consistently explains long- and short-run growth. Institutional quality is a better predictor of long-run growth, but is more erratic regarding sign and significance for short-run growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-449 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1991561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1991561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:445-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1990838_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jingbing Feng Author-X-Name-First: Jingbing Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Effect of private capital in rival projects on public-private partnership adoption in China Abstract: This study analysed how local governments react to intergovernmental competition for private capital in the public goods market. Using microlevel data for public-private partnership (PPP) projects in China from 2012 to 2018, we found that the more private capital rival cities have attracted, the more likely local governments start to introduce PPP projects, especially those whose future returns are paid by governments. The results are robust to an instrumental variable estimation using the financing demand of rival cities. The effect of rival projects was found to be related to information disclosure, financing facilitation, and governors’ responsibility. The results suggest that local governments tend to promise future obligations for payment to decrease advanced capital expenditures. This study also provides implications for political and economic research by shedding light on local competition in the progress of marketization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1990838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1990838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:4:p:435-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2011101_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Langping Leng Author-X-Name-First: Langping Author-X-Name-Last: Leng Author-Name: Ying Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Title: Research on the policy effect of Free Trade Zone on regional innovation capability: evidence from China Abstract: Free Trade Zone Policy is one of China’ s new opening-up strategies developed in response to the changed domestic and international circumstances. This paper identifies the Free Trade Zone Policy not only has an impact on regional innovation, but also has spatial spillover effect. Based on the data of listed companies and the data of 268 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2019, the paper uses the Spatial Differences-in-Differences (SDID) model to prove that FTZ policy can promote regional innovation of local area and will also promote the growth of innovation in surrounding areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-694 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2011101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2011101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:689-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2000927_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaohui Shu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Yangkuo Li Author-X-Name-First: Yangkuo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Guang Tian Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Endogenous consumption driving and sustainability of macroeconomic development in post-coronavirus China Abstract: The outbreak of Covid-19 has generated a significant impact on China’s national economies. In Post-Coronavirus China, the macro-economic development situation must be undergone new and substantial changes with a trend from a production-driven economy to a consumption-driven economy. With the proposal of China’s strategy of expanding domestic demand, endogenous consumption has become the main driving force of current economic growth. With the transformation and upgrading of the consumption structure and the continuous promotion of structural reforms on the supply side, the essential role of consumption in economic development will be more sustainable. The new model for China’s economic and social development is to cultivate new consumer markets, continuously increase people’s income level and consumption capacity, and accelerate the construction and growth of crucial consumptions. It should become a new and long-term policy for China’s macro-economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 582-595 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2000927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2000927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:582-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2001419_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tea Gamtkitsulashvili Author-X-Name-First: Tea Author-X-Name-Last: Gamtkitsulashvili Author-Name: Alexander Plekhanov Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Plekhanov Title: Mobility and economic activity around the world during the Covid-19 crisis Abstract: This paper traces the relationship between quarterly estimates of economic activity and people’s mobility during the Covid-19 crisis in a sample of 53 economies. Over time, the estimates of elasticity of value added with respect to mobility have been declining, to below 0.2 at the start of 2021, attesting to the gradual adjustment of global economic activity to social distancing. Yet this adjustment appears to be modest, with economic recovery driven primarily by greater mobility. The study highlights the limit to the extent to which economic costs of restricted movement of people can be reduced, with implications for public policy. The estimated relationships can also be effectively applied to economic forecasting during periods of reduced mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 608-614 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2001419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2001419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:608-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2005764_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Author-Name: Lidia Mannarino Author-X-Name-First: Lidia Author-X-Name-Last: Mannarino Author-Name: Valeria Pupo Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Pupo Title: Networks and family firm performance: some evidence from Italy Abstract: Using a large sample of Italian small-medium sized firms, this study analyses the effects of formal inter-firm cooperation on the performance of family firms (FFs). The study is based on the network contract (‘Contratto di rete’) implemented in Italy in 2009. The results show that networks have a positive effect on FFs’ performance, while no conclusive evidence is found for non-FFs. Additionally, the advantages for southern family firms and for small firms are considerable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 620-625 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2005764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2005764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:620-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1998319_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xuejing Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xuejing Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Can working hard make one rich? Evidence from online content contributors Abstract: In traditional working situations, it is generally accepted that working hard can result in better performance and higher income levels. However, research on whether this holds in the context of online content contribution is scant. This study examines the effect of working hard on the rate of earnings of content contributors on an online platform. The empirical results of a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model show that longer hours of performance cannot induce more hourly monetary earnings, which suggests that working hard does not make online contributors rich. Furthermore, our investigations show that although working hard is not effective in increasing the earnings rate of individuals who have above-average earnings, it does have a positive effect on the earnings of those with below-average hourly revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-561 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1998319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1998319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:553-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009110_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Joshua J. Lewer Author-X-Name-First: Joshua J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lewer Author-Name: Colin Corbett Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Corbett Author-Name: Tanya M. Marcum Author-X-Name-First: Tanya M. Author-X-Name-Last: Marcum Author-Name: Jannett Highfill Author-X-Name-First: Jannett Author-X-Name-Last: Highfill Title: Offering makeup exams: do teachers care ‘what happened’? Abstract: This paper develops a model of student effort that examines how student effort adjusts when the probability of a missed exam or being allowed to take a makeup exam changes. A survey of 251 college instructors provides several key insights including that instructors’ attitudes towards giving a makeup exam depend on the reason a makeup is needed. Also, in an ‘oversleeping’ scenario, factors that significantly affect instructor willingness to offer a makeup depend on experience, method of course delivery, part-time instructor status, weight of exam in course grade, and attitude towards grade flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2011097_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hui Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Inquiry letter supervision and stock price informativeness-research based on the stock price non-synchronicity Abstract: Based on the sample of listed companies in China, this paper discusses the impact of the annual report inquiry letter sent by stock exchanges on stock price informativeness. Research results show that the inquiry letter increases the stock price non-synchronicity, indicating a positive impact of the inquiry letter on stock price informativeness. This effect is more pronounced for companies with low information transparency and poor corporate governance, suggesting that inquiry letter increases stock price informativeness through the information channel and governance channel. The positive impact of inquiry letter on stock price informativeness is affected by the frequency of receiving inquires, whether accounting firms are required to express verification opinions and the number of questions in the inquiry. Results of this paper support the positive role of inquiry letter in improving market information efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-688 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2011097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2011097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:683-688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009757_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shuxin Li Author-X-Name-First: Shuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Nobuya Takezawa Author-X-Name-First: Nobuya Author-X-Name-Last: Takezawa Author-Name: Jiaxi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jiaxi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Does On-stage Performance of Esports Teams Impact Stock Prices: Evidence From the Astralis Group Abstract: The recent establishment and popularity of professional esports leagues, coupled with the public listing of the Denmark-based esports team Astralis Group, presents an opportunity to assess whether wins and losses impact a team`s stock price in nontraditional sports. We provide empirical evidence that wins in championship matches impact stock returns for Astralis in a regression-based event study. This suggests that investors perceive championship wins as an indicator of future earnings growth of the group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 674-677 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:674-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009756_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaoyang Yao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Jianfeng Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zezhong Shang Author-X-Name-First: Zezhong Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Wei Le Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Jianping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Impacts of COVID-19 on financial markets: from the perspective of financial stress Abstract: This research analyzes the impacts of COVID-19 on financial markets from the perspective of financial stress. Effects on financial stress and its cross-border spillovers are investigated, respectively. The results show that the stress of a country’s financial system is positively correlated with the severity of COVID-19 pandemic the country experiences. Although the volatilities of financial stress increased slightly, the cross-border spillovers have increased significantly after the COVID-19 outbreak. We provide a new insight to the impacts of the COVID-19 and suggest a more prudent look at financial risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1999895_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mercedes Alda Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Ruth Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Ruth Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: Are socially responsible investment funds seasonal? Abstract: We study the existence of seasonality effects in USA SRI mutual funds from November 1990 to April 2019. We analyse whether SRI funds focus on non-financial aspects and reduce the importance of changing their behaviour in certain calendar periods with the purpose of achieving better performance in these seasons. Considering several investment areas (Asia, Europe, Japan, USA and global), we study the season patterns on monthly, quarterly, and second-half yearly basis. In general, our results do not show seasonality behaviour. Consequently, SRI mutual funds do not vary their behaviour in certain calendar periods, revealing a more stable investment conduct, consistent with non-financial preferences Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 562-565 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1999895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1999895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:562-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1999897_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hiroshi Ono Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ono Title: The causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty and stock indices in OECD and non-OECD countries: evidence from time-varying Granger causality tests on a lag-augmented VAR model Abstract: This study re-examined the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock indices for Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and non-OECD countries. To this aim, it applied the lag-augmented vector autoregression model with a time-varying Granger causality test . Based on the standard Granger causality test results, only afew countries demonstrated acausal relationship between two variables. However, the empirical findings using of time-varying Granger causality test indicate that the causal relationship between the two variables is not present for the entire period, but it is present for some sub-periods in many countries. Additionally, the results found that causality running from stock indices to EPU (stock price-leading hypothesis) for many periods and countries. The results indicate that the relationship between two variables is not constant, meaning that it changes from one period to the next in many countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 572-576 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1999897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1999897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:572-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1999896_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Insurer capital, technology choices, and performance during a trade war Abstract: This paper develops a duopolistic contingent claim model to evaluate the equity values of life insurers during a trade war. Choosing advanced (technology-oriented) relative to backward (human capital-oriented) technology is crucial for insurance management. A result shows that holding more capital would enhance insurer survival. The enhancement becomes more significant when the trade war becomes more severe and when the technology chosen by the insurers is more backward. Capital, as such, contributes to insurance stability but discourages advanced technology development for insurers during the trade war. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 566-571 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1999896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1999896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:566-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2014393_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaoye Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoye Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Haiqian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Haiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of temporary workers on firms’ financial performance: evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between temporary employment and firms’ financial performance in Chinese manufacturing firms. Using two waves of large social survey data, the empirical results reveal (1) the proportion of temporary workers has a significant inverted-U-shaped relationship with a firm’s financial performance, (2) a firm’s human resource treatment disparity between permanent and temporary workers (HR treatment disparity) strengthens the negative relationship between temporary employment and performance, and (3) the innovation-oriented firm strategy in conjunction with a higher proportion of temporary workers is associated with poorer firm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-699 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2014393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2014393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:695-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009435_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Milan Dźogan Author-X-Name-First: Milan Author-X-Name-Last: Dźogan Author-Name: Roman Lacko Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Lacko Author-Name: Zuzana Hajduová Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Hajduová Title: Is it better to support tourism after pandemic regionally or globally? Case of European Union from the socio-economic perspective Abstract: The study is devoted to examining the tourism efficiency of European Union countries in the years after the financial crisis and before the pandemic crisis to understand the processes that can be instrumental in post-pandemic crisis measures. The DEA CCR and BCC models and truncated regression analysis were implemented to reach the study’s goal. Double bootstrapped efficiency values were detailed to cluster analysis. Our findings confirmed that measures following the Coronavirus pandemic must be directed regionally with regards to socio-economic convergence. Some tourism-oriented countries, which were more affected by the previous crisis, tend to be less efficient. And more vulnerable. Also, the convergence of countries, which joined the European Union in the last decades, is insufficient, so the efficiencies tend to be lower. We have also shown that various socio-economic factories impact efficiency, and their improvement can also mean improving the state of tourist efficiency in European Union countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-662 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:657-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009111_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Grant Allan Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Allan Author-Name: Rhona Lochhead Author-X-Name-First: Rhona Author-X-Name-Last: Lochhead Author-Name: Scott McGrane Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: McGrane Title: A water stress perspective on the UK’s water footprint Abstract: The global water requirements of economic activities have been studied through the concept of the water footprint, which can be captured in multinational Input–Output (IO) frameworks. While useful for looking at aggregate requirements, this paper links the UK’s blue and green water footprint with a country-level water stress index. We show that more than half of the UK’s blue water footprint was in areas of high water stress, while its green water footprint is more concentrated in areas of lower water stress. These findings show how water stress can be incorporated alongside measures of water footprint. This can be critical in evaluating the success of policies aimed to improve national and international water security and reduce water stress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-656 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:649-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2000930_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jia Ji Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: The time-varying dynamics of systematic fiscal policy Abstract: Against the background of deepening public finance reforms in China, this paper applies the time-varying parameter techniques to investigate the underlying structural variation in the systematic part of fiscal policy. Although the degree of activism of systematic fiscal policy to inflation is estimated to remain in a mostly stable regime, the findings reveal a trend towards a less systematic and predictable policy behaviour to output stabilization over the past few years. The dynamic relationship implies that the counter-cyclical policy capacity has been attenuated, and systematic fiscal policy becomes less effective at restraining uncertainties about the functioning of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 602-607 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2000930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2000930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:602-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2011094_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hayoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hayoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Racial segregation in urban consumption Abstract: This study presents empirical evidence that demographic aspects of locations have a significant effect on diners’ restaurant choices. Exploiting New York Times restaurant reviews, I find that black diners have stronger preferences for demographic similarities; in response to a review, a larger share of black residents near a restaurant location leads to an increase in the share of black diners. This result implies that the marginal utility of location varies as a function of diner race. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 678-682 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2011094 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2011094 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:678-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2000574_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Pu Liao Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Fei Li Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bingqing Li Author-X-Name-First: Bingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: COVID-19, social distancing, and economic growth Abstract: Social distancing restrictions have become a primary measure in curbing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Given the fact that the survival probability of infected individuals and labour supply will decline during the pandemic, this study extends the overlapping generations (OLG) model to include the effects of COVID-19 on individuals’ health and investigates the optimal social distancing policy from an economic perspective. Our results show that the pandemic can cause economic contraction, and a strict social distancing policy generally benefits economic growth. Nevertheless, absolute zero socializing may not be an optimal strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2000574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2000574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2005236_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kyle Butts Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Butts Title: Geographic difference-in-discontinuities Abstract: A recent econometric literature has critiqued the use of regression discontinuities where administrative borders serve as the ‘cutoff’. Identification in this context is difficult since multiple treatments can change at the cut-off and individuals can easily sort on either side of the border. This note extends the difference-in-discontinuities framework discussed in Grembi et al. (2016) to a geographic setting. This paper formalizes the identifying assumptions in this context, which will allow for the removal of time-invariant sorting and multiple treatments similar to the difference-in-differences methodology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2005236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2005236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2005766_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ronald Bachmann Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmann Author-Name: Myrielle Gonschor Author-X-Name-First: Myrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Gonschor Author-Name: Thorben Korfhage Author-X-Name-First: Thorben Author-X-Name-Last: Korfhage Author-Name: Ansgar Wübker Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Wübker Title: Covid-19 and life satisfaction across Europe Abstract: We analyse the importance of the spread of Covid-19 and related policy measures for individual life satisfaction in a sample of 15 European countries. We find that life satisfaction is negatively correlated with the spread of Covid-19 in Northern Europe, whereas this correlation is insignificant in Southern and Western Europe. This result is mitigated by the stringency of policy measures in the North. By contrast, the stringency of policy measures is negatively correlated with life satisfaction in the West. These results indicate that while policy measures can reassure the population and increase life satisfaction, beyond a certain threshold these policy measures may decrease life satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2005766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2005766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2008297_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lubica Stiblarova Author-X-Name-First: Lubica Author-X-Name-Last: Stiblarova Title: Business cycle synchronization within the Euro area: disentangling the effects of FDI Abstract: In this paper, we contribute to the business cycle synchronization literature by investigating a disaggregated level of foreign direct investment (FDI) that has been systematically overlooked by previous empirical studies. We disentangle FDI into two layers – extensive and intensive FDI margins – and examine their effects on the synchronization of the European Union member states with the euro area (EA) in the period 2000–2019. Our analysis, performed using the simultaneous equations methodology, confirms the over-aggregation bias, as more intense existing FDI (the intensive FDI margin) boosts synchronization, whereas new FDI (the extensive FDI margin) seems to compete with the creation of an optimum currency area within the EA. Furthermore, our results suggest that new investment promotes specialization, whereas more intense FDI reduces it, because the deepening of already existing FDI occurs in countries with similar business cycles and industrial structures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 640-644 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2008297 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2008297 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:640-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2009755_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ayse Sevencan Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Sevencan Title: Remittances, unemployment, growth and development: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: This paper analyses the short-run and long-run dynamics of the relationship between remittances, unemployment, economic growth and human development in developing countries. Vector Autoregressive Model methodology (VECM) was used to examine the short-run dynamics and direction of causality in three separate panels of 23 low-income, 42 lower middle-income and 48 upper middle-income countries for the 1990 and 2019 period. For the estimation of long-run elasticities of remittance flows, Fully Modified (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimation techniques were used. According to the findings of this study, in low-income economies, the direction of causality is from GDP to remittances in the short run. The unemployment rate has a positive long-run effect on HDI in low-income countries, indicating the importance of underutilized labour force in low-income countries. Although remittances affect human development more in low-income economies compared to other developing countries, unemployment in the country of origin has no significant relationship between remittances and development in low-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-668 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2009755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2009755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:663-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2000928_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Wenyu Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wenyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: A social interaction model with both in-group and out-group effects Abstract: This paper studies social interaction models with both in-group and out-group effects. The in-group effect follows the standard setup in the literature, while the out-group effect is introduced by assuming the economic outcome also depends on its out-group average value. We present a network game with limited information of outside groups that rationalizes the econometric model. We show that both effects are identified under a set of mild regularity conditions. We propose to estimate the model using the two-stage least squares (2SLS) method and establish the asymptotic normality of the estimators. The finite sample performance of the estimators is investigated through Monte Carlo simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 596-601 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2000928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2000928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:596-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2005765_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Donggyu Yi Author-X-Name-First: Donggyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Jae-Hoon Sung Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: An environmentally related policy impact analysis considering wind effect: evidence from suspending old coal-fired generators in South Korea Abstract: This study measures the causal effect of an individual, aged coal-fired generator on PM2.5 concentration. For this, the policy of shutting down old coal-fired power plants in Korea as a quasi-natural experiment was examined. This study adopts the difference-in-differences technique and controls both for wind effects and overseas pollutant effects. The results show that the shut-down policy reduces daily PM2.5 concentration by 2.04–3.65 μg/m3 across the number of generators suspended, and the share of wind effects in the total policy effects is estimated as about 50%. In addition, overseas effects account for about 20% (5.64 μg/m3) of regional PM2.5 concentration on average. These results imply that although the closure of old coal-fired power plants can reduce average PM2.5 concentration, the policy alone is not enough to expect a remarkable improvement in air quality when PM2.5 concentration is high. Thus, these findings suggest that the Korean government must consider domestic policies and cross-border cooperative policies to resolve the high PM2.5 concentration issue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 626-634 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2005765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2005765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:5:p:626-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2018125_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Mohammad Zahid Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Zahid Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Ron P. McIver Author-X-Name-First: Ron P. Author-X-Name-Last: McIver Title: Bitcoin, gold, and the VIX: short- and long-term effects of economic policy uncertainty Abstract: We investigate short- and long-term effects of U.S. economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on bitcoin, gold, and the implied US stock market volatility (VIX). We apply an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) to monthly data. Our results suggest EPU significantly negatively (positively) impacts bitcoin over short (long) horizons. In contrast to the extant literature we find the magnitude of the effect of EPU on bitcoin returns weakens over longer horizons. Our empirical results provide a cautionary note for holders of asset portfolios that include bitcoin in their mix as a hedge against uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-765 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2018125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2018125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:761-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2018398_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dan Lupu Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Lupu Author-Name: Dumitru-Nicușor Cărăusu Author-X-Name-First: Dumitru-Nicușor Author-X-Name-Last: Cărăusu Author-Name: Mihaela Ifrim Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: Ifrim Title: Wage share and economic growth: evidence from Eastern Europe Abstract: In this article, we explore the causal relationship between wage share and economic growth for 11 Eastern European countries. The methodology used was wavelet coherency for the period between 1995Q1 and 2020Q4. Our results reveal that economic growth acts as the leading role for wage share increase for most Eastern European countries, and only for certain periods, wages can determine economic growth. Furthermore, we find that GDP increases cause wages to increase at different frequencies; there is a positive correlation between GDP growth and wage growth; the effects of wage-led growth policies were weak and only on short periods. Our estimations cast a high degree of uncertainty on the effectiveness of wage increase policies promoted by some national authorities to achieve economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 772-779 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2018398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2018398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:772-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2026868_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Quang Khai Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Quang Khai Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Van Cuong Dang Author-X-Name-First: Van Cuong Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Title: Does the country’s institutional quality enhance the role of risk governance in preventing bank risk? Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between risk governance effectiveness and bank risk at different levels of institutional quality. We find that risk governance effectiveness negatively affects bank risk and this relationship is stronger in countries with higher institutional quality. This indicates that risk governance can prevent bank risk more effectively in countries with greater institutional quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 850-853 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2026868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2026868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:850-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016587_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haiping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Haiping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sining Xu Author-X-Name-First: Sining Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Income allocation of ‘insurance + futures’ with risk modified Shapley value method Abstract: ‘Insurance + futures’, a new agricultural cooperation mode in China, fails to guarantee a fair and reasonable income allocation among core stakeholders which hinders the rapid promotion of this pilot project. By using Shapley value method based on the idea of ‘income allocation matches contribution’, this article suggests an income allocation scheme for farmers, insurance institutions and futures institutions. After using AHP and fuzzy mathematics evaluation method to calculate risk sharing coefficients for three parties to get modified parameters, a risk modified income allocation scheme is developed. Compared with the income allocation scheme based on equal risk sharing, this scheme can fully meet the interest demands of three parties and provide reference for the sustainable development of the mode. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 740-750 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:740-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016582_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Craig A. Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig A. Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: John M. Gandar Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gandar Author-Name: Dmitry A. Shapiro Author-X-Name-First: Dmitry A. Author-X-Name-Last: Shapiro Title: Set-level strategic and psychological momentum in best-of-five matches in professional tennis Abstract: We provide a theoretical and empirical analysis of set-level strategic and psychological momentums in a sample of 8,193 ATP best-of-five-set tennis matches where players have asymmetric abilities. Theoretical predictions match observed Set 1 outcomes, the only set with no set-level psychological momentum, but do not match any other sets. We find evidence of psychological reversal: in every set following a non-tie net score, the winner of the previous set underperforms compared to theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-739 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:735-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016580_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sanguk Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Sanguk Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Shawn Ni Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: Has consumption inequality mirrored income inequality: new evidence from a Korean household panel Abstract: We examine how consumption inequality tracks income inequality in a Korean household panel. To adjust for measurement errors in consumption, we employ the double-differencing correction of Aguiar and Bils (2015) (AB hereafter). In the first stage of the double-differencing, AB used current income as an instrument for unobserved true total expenditure, and we use permanent income as the instrument instead. For the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey data, AB found that after correcting for measurement errors, consumption inequality tracks income inequality more closely. We find that the same conclusion holds for the Korean panel data and the estimate of consumption inequality is robust to the choice of instrument for the total expenditure in the first stage regression. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2019181_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jikyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jikyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Relationship between protecting innovation and R&D partners: focusing on moderation effect Abstract: This article empirically examines how institutional protection methods and non-institutional protection methods for innovation have a moderating effect on relationships among partners (suppliers, customers, competitors, universities, public research institutes) and product innovation performance (product quality improvement, technology standardization). Based on a Korea Innovation Survey of the manufacturing sector, the results are that institutional protection methods have positive moderating effects on the relationship between cooperation with public research institutes and industrial technology standardization. On the other hand, non-institutional innovation protection methods have negative moderating effects on the relationship between cooperation with customers and product quality improvement. The contribution of our research is that it introduces a comparative model to deal with moderating effects of appropriability between each R&D partner and different types of product innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 780-785 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2019181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2019181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:780-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2019182_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Title: Restructuring U.S. meatpacking as a resilience strategy against capacity disruptions: will it work? Abstract: To guard against future COVID-19 type capacity disruptions in the highly concentrated meatpacking industry, the U.S. government is embarking on a resilience strategy that expands the processing capacity of smaller meat processing establishments. Using a dominant-oligopoly competitive-fringe (DO/CF) model, and defining resilience as an equilibrium in which meat production continues undisrupted, I show that, in theory, resilience is achievable if DO prices meat competitively and shares the market equally with CF. Since the two conditions are unlikely to occur in practice, the resilience strategy is unlikely to work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 786-789 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2019182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2019182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:786-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2025994_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ed Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Ed Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Reetu Verma Author-X-Name-First: Reetu Author-X-Name-Last: Verma Author-Name: Kankesu Jayanthakumaran Author-X-Name-First: Kankesu Author-X-Name-Last: Jayanthakumaran Title: Can reducing inequality reduce the disutility of the poor? Abstract: Using World Bank (2020), this paper estimates microeconomic utility-based elasticity measure of poverty-loss and provides better understanding of the distress of poverty and possible policy directions in rural and urban areas for India and the People’s Republic of China (PRC). This paper deviates from the conventional use of overly simple head counting. Utility-based welfare point elasticity estimates show substantial welfare gains for both countries, dominated by growth contributing 90%, relative to inequality reductions contributing 10%. Rural India deviates, showing a welfare gain with balanced growth-inequality promotion. Subsequent poverty-loss estimates show potentially declining disutility of poverty in both countries and sectors, with reducing inequality contributing 70%, relative to growth’s 30%. The elasticity estimates presented here show that reducing rural and urban inequality can best reduce the distress of the poor. By realigning priorities from promoting future urban growth to reducing urban and rural inequality can lead to substantial reductions in poverty-induced disutility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 834-837 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2025994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2025994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:834-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2022088_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Juan S. Blyde Author-X-Name-First: Juan S. Author-X-Name-Last: Blyde Title: Your assessment is welcome here: the trade impacts of mutual recognition agreements Abstract: As tariffs and transportation costs have progressively declined over time, trade obstacles such as technical regulations have become relatively more important, but their impacts remain under-studied. In this analysis we measure the trade impacts of a mutual recognition arrangement established by Mexico with Canada and the United States in the electronics sector. We found that the arrangement induced a positive impact on trade flows, increasing the exports of the products associated with the agreement by around 23%. The finding is important because unlike tariffs, technical regulations cannot simply be eliminated as they are often aimed at legitimate objectives, but their negative effects on trade could potentially be reduced with approaches such as mutual recognition agreements, as shown in this analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 796-802 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2022088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2022088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:796-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016578_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Takeshi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Ethnic diversity and natural disaster mortality: evidence from the 2011 Tohoku tsunami Abstract: This study uses community-level mortality data on the 2011 Tohoku tsunami to explore the relationship between ethnic diversity and disaster mortality. The results show that ethnic fragmentation has little impact on tsunami mortality. An examination of fatalities categorized by 10-year age group, however, demonstrates that fragmentation is negatively correlated with mortality in extremely vulnerable populations, specifically those aged 9 years old or under and 80 years old or over. This result suggests that development of community-based evacuation measures may protect extremely vulnerable age groups in ethnically diversified communities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-709 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:706-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2024129_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Giacomo Damioli Author-X-Name-First: Giacomo Author-X-Name-Last: Damioli Author-Name: Vincent Van Roy Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Van Roy Author-Name: Daniel Vertesy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Vertesy Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: AI technologies and employment: micro evidence from the supply side Abstract: In this work we investigate the possible job-creation impact of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, focusing on the supply side, where the development of these technologies can be conceived as product innovations in upstream sectors. The empirical analysis is based on a worldwide longitudinal sample (obtained by merging the EPO PATSTAT and BvD-ORBIS databases) of more than 3,500 front-runner companies that patented AI-related inventions over the period 2000–2016. Based on system GMM estimates of dynamic panel models, our results show a positive and significant impact of AI patent families on employment, supporting the labour-friendly nature of AI product innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 816-821 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2024129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2024129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:816-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016579_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ping Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Cuicui Hong Author-X-Name-First: Cuicui Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Jia Yan Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Qiong Li Author-X-Name-First: Qiong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hongyu Guan Author-X-Name-First: Hongyu Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: The effects of dialect distance on the migrant population’s settlement intentions: evidence from the china migrants dynamic survey Abstract: Based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey (2017), this paper investigates whether the different linguistic environments effect migrant happiness and identity, and therefore further affect their settlement intentions. The empirical results show that dialect distance significantly dampens the settlement intentions of the migrant population through inhibiting their sense of urban identity and the social network renewal. This effect is contingent on migrant job types, the degree of Mandarin penetration, and the level of market-orientation in the specific region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 710-718 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:710-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2025995_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Cheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Financial leverage interactions: evidence from US households and government sectors Abstract: Applying VAR/SVAR analysis to the national balance sheet data of the US, this paper provides evidence that the households markedly interact with those of government sectors through the channel of financial leverage, which is defined as the liabilities-to-assets ratio. In particular, the impulse-response and forecasting error decomposition analysis further show that the federal government plays an important role in absorbing the leverage shocks in households. Nevertheless, it should be emphasized that this role of the federal government as somewhat of a macroeconomic stabilizer also costs it heavily in view of its escalating leverage over time. Among other concerns, this highly leveraged financial position renders the federal balance sheet more vulnerable to macro-financial risks, thus reducing the room for manoeuvre for countercyclical policies. Finally, with a relatively low and stable leverage ratio, the state/local governments seem to be less involved in such interactions. However, their prudent balance sheet position also implies that they play a minor role in fiscal measures supporting households during economic downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 838-842 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2025995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2025995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:838-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2016581_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thi Thuy Anh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thuy Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Author-Name: Mieszko Mazur Author-X-Name-First: Mieszko Author-X-Name-Last: Mazur Title: The effect of investor protection on firm riskiness and performance during the COVID-19 economic crisis Abstract: This paper examines whether differences in the quality of investor protection between countries affect firm riskiness and firm performance during the COVID-19 economic downturn. Using a large cross-country dataset and a broad variety of controls measured at the state and firm level, we find that jurisdictions that offer stronger investor protection experience significantly lower volatility and better performance during the pandemic. This effect is amplified in countries strongly affected by COVID-19. Our results contribute to the ongoing debate in the finance literature about the impact of the quality of investor protection on corporate behaviour and performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 724-734 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2016581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:724-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2017399_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vijay Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Author-Name: Landon Klausing Author-X-Name-First: Landon Author-X-Name-Last: Klausing Author-Name: Christopher Harper Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Harper Title: Do right-to-work laws reduce financial constraints of firms? Evidence from Michigan and Indiana companies Abstract: This study examines financial constraints of Michigan and Indiana firms before and after the two states enacted Right-to-Work laws in 2012 relative to those in states with and without RTW laws as separate control groups. Findings based on difference-in-difference regressions indicate that, on average, financial constraints of Michigan and Indiana firms were significantly higher than those in both the control groups before the RTW laws were enacted, but the constraints declined significantly after the laws were enacted not only relative to the pre-enactment levels but also relative to those of companies in both the control groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2017399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2017399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2018126_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: José Cristi Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Cristi Author-Name: Carlos Madeira Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Madeira Title: The effects of the job retention programme during the Covid pandemic on the Chilean firms and households Abstract: During the pandemic, several countries implemented job retention programmeswith the goal of preserving human capital and supporting a quick recovery. This work uses administrative records to show the impact of the job retention programme in Chile across firms of different industries and sizes. Using a calibrated model based on survey data of households and our administrative register of workers-firms, we then show that the Chilean Employment Protection Law increase aggregate consumption by 0.3% and helped to smooth household consumption during the period between March of 2020 and March of 2021. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 766-771 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2018126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2018126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:766-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2020209_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ruslan Kuchakov Author-X-Name-First: Ruslan Author-X-Name-Last: Kuchakov Author-Name: Dmitriy Skougarevskiy Author-X-Name-First: Dmitriy Author-X-Name-Last: Skougarevskiy Title: COVID-19 wage subsidies and SME performance: evidence from Russia Abstract: We study the effects of COVID-19 wage subsidies offered to Russian SMEs. This programme disbursed over USD400m of monthly grants to cover wage bills to firms in COVID-affected industries under the condition of retaining employment in 2020. In a triple difference design we find no effects of such grants on survival, employment, or profitability of firms in the affected industries by early 2021. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-795 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2020209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2020209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:790-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2026867_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qianhua Lei Author-X-Name-First: Qianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Yue Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Saisai Li Author-X-Name-First: Saisai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Huili Chen Author-X-Name-First: Huili Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Do funds prefer longitudinal persistence for high and low earnings? Abstract: This study examines whether securities investment fund ownership correlates with longitudinal persistence for high and low earnings. Using longitudinal data analysis methods, including a Cox proportional hazards regression model and a hierarchical linear regression model, we obtain two main findings: (1) For a low level of earnings, fund ownership not only reduces the likelihood of earnings decline but also increases the likelihood of an upward trend in earnings; (2) For a high level of earnings, fund ownership reduces not only the likelihood of earnings decline but also the likelihood of a downward trend in earnings. Our study provides evidence that funds emphasize firms’ long-term earnings persistence when they choose stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-849 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2026867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2026867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:843-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2017398_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yee-Ee Chia Author-X-Name-First: Yee-Ee Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Ricky Chee-Jiun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Ricky Chee-Jiun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Jude W. Taunson Author-X-Name-First: Jude W. Author-X-Name-Last: Taunson Title: Stock liquidity and activist blockholders: friend or foe? Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of stock liquidity on blockholders for Malaysian public listed companies over a 19-year period from 2000 to 2018. Using five liquidity proxies, our results show a negative relationship between liquidity and blockholders. The negative effect of liquidity on blockholders is stemming from governance theory implies that greater stock liquidity decreases the cost of exit, and hence magnifies blockholders threat of exit when they are dissatisfied with company performance. Our results are robust to a battery of sensitivity tests, including endogeneity and disaggregate types of blockholders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-756 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2017398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2017398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:751-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2023088_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Eduardo Cebrián Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cebrián Author-Name: Josep Domenech Author-X-Name-First: Josep Author-X-Name-Last: Domenech Title: Is Google Trends a quality data source? Abstract: Google Trends (GT) has become a popular data source among researchers in a wide variety of fields. In economics, its main use has been to forecast other economic variables such as tourism demand, unemployment or sales. This paper questions the quality of these data by discussing the main data quality aspects according to the literature. Our analysis evidences some non-negligible issues related to the measurement accuracy of GT, which potentially affects the results obtained with GT data and therefore the decisions made with this information. These issues are illustrated with an example in which some queries to GT are repeated on six different days. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-815 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2023088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2023088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:811-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2024492_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: He Song Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Shan Wan Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: The role of venture capital in merger and acquisition performance Abstract: We examine the effects of venture capital (VC) backing on the market responses to M&A events among a group of Chinese firms listed on ChiNext. We find a positive market response to M&A carried out by the companies backed by venture capital and this effect is robust after we address the endogeneity by employing Heckman two-stage approach. Our results support the notion that the involvement of VCs in their portfolio companies alleviates the information asymmetry problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 822-826 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2024492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2024492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:822-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2022592_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hohyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hohyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Kyoung Tae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kyoung Tae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: How do retail investors react to a market crash? The role of investment literacy Abstract: This study investigates retail investors’ behaviour when the US stock market dropped precipitously by 10% in early February 2018. Results show that investors with higher investment literacy were more likely to buy additional stocks and less likely to sell their stocks, which indicates that they expected a quick recovery of the market. We also find that older investors and investors with greater risk aversion were more likely to hold their positions without buying or selling stocks. Similar evidence is found in reactions to a 20% hypothetical market drop. This study sheds light on the meagre literature on retail investors’ behaviour during market crash. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-810 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2022592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2022592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:803-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2025200_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dan-Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zheng-Xin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Measurement Methods for Relative Index of Financial Inclusion Abstract: Improved measurement methods for relative index of financial inclusion (IFI) based on Euclidean distance and Mahalanobis distance (hereinafter referred to as Ed-R-IFI and Md-R-IFI) are proposed. The levels of financial inclusion of 55 countries in 2004 are evaluated by using the traditional and improved measurement methods for the IFI. The results indicate that, owing to consideration of the existence of correlations among the various dimensions, the Md-R-IFI method reduces the overall level of financial inclusion and keeps the IFI within a small range of fluctuation compared with the traditional measurement method and the Ed-R-IFI method. The results are more in line with the actual IFIs in various countries, and the method has better applicability and practicality in the measurement of the IFI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-833 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2025200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2025200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:827-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1977229_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seungrae Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seungrae Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seongman Moon Author-X-Name-First: Seongman Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Title: The relationship between foreign and domestic employment of multinationals: evidence on the role of factor substitution Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between foreign and domestic employment of multinationals using foreign affiliate-level and parent-level data of Korean firms. We consider the log difference in labour intensity between foreign affiliates and their parents within multinationals for the estimation of the domestic employment effects. For multinationals whose foreign operations are more labour-intensive than their parents, foreign affiliate employment is negatively associated with parent production employment and positively with nonproduction employment. We also find that the negative (positive) relation between foreign affiliate employment and its parent production (nonproduction) employment occurs strongly for multinationals that operate in a labour-intensive manner in low-income countries and in a capital-intensive manner at home. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-705 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1977229 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.1977229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:701-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2035665_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongbo Cai Author-X-Name-First: Hongbo Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Siyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Siyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Zongning Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zongning Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The impact of COVID-19 on the international energy trade network centrality and community structures Abstract: Global trade including energy trade is expected to suffer a significant contraction as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we try to measure the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the national status and international energy trade patterns. We apply the networks theory to quantify the dynamic process of the international energy trade network in the year 2018–2020, deriving the $${\rm{\Omega }}$$Ω centrality to capture both national economic status and its topologic characteristics. Under the COVID-19, multilateral energy trade was blocked, thereby some resource-exporting countries show a downward rank of the $${\rm{\Omega }}$$Ω centrality, and the opposite situation is in higher levels of economic development. By using the community detection method, we also found that new small communities detached from communities that formed before the COVID-19, but geographical related patterns of international energy trade network communities were not affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1042-1046 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2035665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2035665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1042-1046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036677_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hui-Bo Sun Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Peng Li Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yaofu Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Yaofu Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Title: Standardization and international competitiveness: evidence from China’s agricultural products Abstract: This paper studies the effect of standardization on the international competitiveness of China’s agricultural products using panel data of 89 countries from 1995 to 2018. We find that standardization has a significantly positive effect on the international competitiveness of China’s agricultural products. The effect of standardization is more significant in the market where the competitiveness of China’s agricultural products is low. Technological innovation and agricultural product quality are two important channels through which standardization affects the international competitiveness of agricultural products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1090-1096 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1090-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039361_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rebecca Kamb Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Kamb Author-Name: Marcus Tamm Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Tamm Title: The fertility effects of school entry decisions Abstract: School entry regulations lead to differences in the age when children start school. While previous literature estimated the effects of age at school entry for compliers with school entry regulations, we look at non-compliers, namely those who enter school one year before the official entry date. Based on an instrumental variable approach, the results show that early enrolment increases the number of children by 0.1 (which is significant at the 10%-level), whereas we find no significant impact on rates of childlessness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1149 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1145-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2031857_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kei-Ichiro Inaba Author-X-Name-First: Kei-Ichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Inaba Author-Name: Tomoki Matsuo Author-X-Name-First: Tomoki Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuo Title: Japan’s unemployment rate hike amid the COVID-19 pandemic – why was it so mild? Abstract: This essay is a flash report on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Japan’s labour market in the fiscal year 2020 wherein Japan’s unemployment rate increase was much milder than in other G7 countries. How was such a favourable outcome achieved? To answer this question, this essay analyses primary statistics to show that the main contributing factors were the swift cut of labour hours and the rapid increase in coronavirus-related paid leave. The latter factor is due primarily to an expanded labour policy measure. Generous policy measures to support corporate finance were also effective in maintaining general financial stability and preventing an increase in failures in the fiscal year 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1009 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2031857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2031857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1001-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036678_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Matt Parrett Author-X-Name-First: Matt Author-X-Name-Last: Parrett Title: Gender differences in altruism and the price of altruism: evidence from restaurant tips Abstract: This paper examines gender differences in altruism using restaurant tipping data. More specifically, we investigate how male and female customer percentage tips vary as the price of altruism (bill size) varies and find that females tip more than males when altruism is cheap, males tip more than females when altruism is expensive, and that females are more responsive to the price of altruism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1100 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1097-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2035666_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Smaranda Cimpoeru Author-X-Name-First: Smaranda Author-X-Name-Last: Cimpoeru Title: Impact of income and unemployment on happiness: panel data evidence for European countries Abstract: This study examines the short-run and long-run relationships between happiness and two economic variables, namely income and unemployment. Drawing from a sample of eleven European countries over a time period of 36 years spanning 1985–2020, we find that both income and unemployment have a significant impact on happiness levels. In particular, the results show that higher income leads to higher happiness in the long-run, but the short-run impact is rather weak. Moreover, unemployment decreases people’s happiness levels both in the short and in the long-run, emphasizing the need for European policies directed to job creation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1051 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2035666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2035666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1047-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036680_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yaya Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yaya Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yonggen Luo Author-X-Name-First: Yonggen Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Zhimin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Redemption of original sin? Charitable donations of privatized enterprises in China Abstract: We explore unethical behaviours involving original sin during the privatized process and their influence on corporate donations in China. We find that enterprises are more actively and deeply engaging in donations when they are guilty of being involved in certain types of misconduct during the privatization process, including downward earnings management, insider trading, and tunnelling, and this phenomenon has particularly significance in regions with lower levels of non-state economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1111 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1107-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036317_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mohamed Yacine Si Tayeb Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Yacine Author-X-Name-Last: Si Tayeb Author-Name: Chen Gang Ye Author-X-Name-First: Chen Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Jiang Ming Author-X-Name-First: Jiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ming Title: Corporate governance, firm performance and innovation: The Case of China’s listed firms engaging in OFDI Abstract: We examine the corporate governance and innovation relationship of China’s listed firms engaging in OFDI activity. Relying on mainstream corporate governance theories, Tobin’s Q as a measure of firm performance, and patents granted as a measure of successful corporate innovation, this study leverages data collected from the State Intellectual Property Office of China, the Chinese Research Data Services Platform as well as the China Stock Market & Accounting Database. Our sample includes 3,337 firms with a total 13,182 firm-year observations from the year 2010 to 2019, divided in two panel datasets including 6,581 firm-year observations for China listed firms engaging in OFDI, and 6,601 firm-year observations for China listed firms not engaging in OFDI.We find that board independence is the corporate governance component with the highest predictive significance on innovation, followed by board size, and that CEO duality is not a significant innovation predictor for China listed firms. We also find high incidence of CEO duality among China listed firms, although less frequent for firms engaging in OFDI, and that China listed firms that engage in OFDI activity are more innovative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1052-1059 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1052-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2038773_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dong-Hee Joe Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Joe Title: Turnout in the time of corona: evidence from the legislative elections in Korea Abstract: This paper reports empirical evidence on the impact of the prevalence of COVID-19 on voter turnout, using the data from the legislative elections in Korea. To control for the time-invariant constituency-specific factors, I regress the first-difference in turnout, i.e. the change from the previous election, on the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases per resident. The results show a substantially negative impact. The share of old-age voters, who are known to face worse health risks of COVID-19 infection, amplifies this impact. These findings raise the question whether it is more democratic to hold elections as scheduled, as opposed to postponing them, during a pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1124-1129 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2038773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2038773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1124-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036681_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: İbrahim Bozkurt Author-X-Name-First: İbrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Bozkurt Author-Name: Muhammed Veysel Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Foremost features affecting financial distress and Bankruptcy in the acute stage of COVID-19 crisis Abstract: This paper investigates the foremost firm-specific factors having an impact on financial distress and bankruptcy in the acute stage of the Covid-19 crisis based on data from approximately 9,000 enterprises in 25 countries. Empirical results of a random forest algorithm with SHAP values show increased odds of both bankruptcy and financial distress for firms that have problems in accessing finance, younger firms and more indebted firms. In addition, the size of the firm and the years of experience of its managers also have an impact on financial failure. However, country features are more important than firm features in predicting bankruptcy and financial distress in the Covid-19 crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1112-1123 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1112-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036675_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jungho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Subcontracting and firm growth: disentangling the effects of innovation type, level, and appropriability Abstract: This article investigates how innovation matters for the growth of subcontracting and non-subcontracting firms. In particular, it explores whether the effects of innovation type, level, and appropriability on firm growth differ between subcontractors and non-subcontractors. Data on Korean firms in the manufacturing sector are analysed. The impact of subcontracting on firm growth is found to be insignificant. In addition, the positive effect of the process innovation level on firm growth is found to be relatively greater for subcontractors, while the positive effect of the product innovation level on firm growth is found to be relatively greater for non-subcontractors. Innovation appropriability significantly increases firm growth for subcontractors only, not for non-subcontractors. These findings imply that firm-level heterogeneities in the suppler-buyer relationship, innovation goals and novelty, and the effectiveness of innovation protection jointly influence the impact of innovation on firm growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1077-1081 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1077-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2032577_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Giovanni Cerulli Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Cerulli Title: Optimal treatment assignment of a threshold-based policy: empirical protocol and related issues Abstract: In the footsteps of the recent literature on empirical welfare maximization, this article wants to contribute by stressing the policy-maker empirical perspective and related issues arising when carrying out optimal policy assignment in practice. By focusing on the class of threshold-based policies, we first set out the theoretical underpinnings of the policy-maker selection problem, to then offer a solution to this via an implementation protocol applied to the popular LaLonde training programme database. This article traces a general application procedure and discusses, in particular, problems of angle solution typically arising in real applications of optimal policy assignment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1010-1017 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2032577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2032577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1010-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2033677_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chun Tang Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Bitcoin speculation, investor attention and major events. Are they connected? Abstract: We use a time-varying vector autoregressive model to investigate the dynamic effect of investor attention on Bitcoin speculation and then examine the association of this effect with five types of events in the Bitcoin market. The results indicate that investor attention has a positive effect on Bitcoin speculation and this effect changes with time and decays as lag phases increase. Policy-related events are the key factors that make this effect time-varying, while safety events have no obvious impact. Besides, our results find the existence of contrarian strategy in the Bitcoin market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1041 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2033677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2033677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1033-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036319_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Minoru Higa Author-X-Name-First: Minoru Author-X-Name-Last: Higa Author-Name: Carlos Ospino Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Ospino Author-Name: Fernando Aragon Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Aragon Title: The persistent effects of COVID-19 on labour outcomes: evidence from Peru Abstract: This paper takes a new look at the impact of COVID-19 on labour outcomes more than a year after the beginning of the pandemic. We use a labour survey from Lima, Peru, with monthly data from January 2019 up to June 2021. We corroborate the early dramatic impact of the pandemic documented in other countries. These initial effects attenuate over time, but persist and remain sizable: even by mid-2021, there is a reduction of almost 20% in hours worked and labour income. Our findings highlight the limitation of policy changes and societal adaptations to ameliorate the economic impact of COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1076 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1065-1076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2032578_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Long Thanh Giang Author-X-Name-First: Long Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Giang Author-Name: Mai Tuyet Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Mai Tuyet Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Author-Name: Cuong Viet Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Ngoc Bich Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Ngoc Bich Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Uyen To Phan Author-X-Name-First: Uyen To Author-X-Name-Last: Phan Title: Students’ gender stereotypes about lecturers: evidence from an experimental study Abstract: We examine student gender stereotypes about lecturers at a Vietnamese university by asking students to choose between male and female lecturers for different courses. The gender stereotype ‘math-male’, ‘language-female’ is the consistent finding concerning gender stereotypes. More than 70% of students prefer a male lecturer for a mathematics course, while about 30% of students prefer a male lecturer for an English course. We find that students prefer a male lecturer for mathematics partly because they believe that male lecturers are more knowledgeable in mathematics than their female colleagues. On the other hand, students prefer female lecturers for English, not because they believe women have greater knowledge than men but because they are convinced that women have better language teaching skills. In gender stereotypes about lecturers, we do not find significant differences between male and female students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1018-1027 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2032578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2032578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1018-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039359_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Author-Name: Ioannis Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Quantitative easing and systemic risk in the post-Lehman era Abstract: This paper tests the likely efficacy of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policies adopted in the post-Lehman era to affect market optimism by examining the response of systemic risk in the U.S. financial system, measured by the St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress index, to changes in the Fed’s total assets and the monetary base. In the context of a state-space VAR model, this research reveals that the growth rates of total assets and monetary base have predictive content for the financial stress index with a negative sign, implying that quantitative easing policies have contributed significantly to lower systemic risk, by affecting market optimism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1134-1138 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1134-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036676_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kyoungwon Mo Author-X-Name-First: Kyoungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Eunju Yang Author-X-Name-First: Eunju Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Mutual fund investment and corporate social responsibility: evidence from Korea Abstract: This paper examines the monitoring role of mutual funds by empirically testing whether mutual fund investment enhances firms’ corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance. Using Korean public companies as a sample, we find that firms’ CSR performance, measured by Korea Economic Justice Institute (KEJI) index scores, increases as they receive investments from mutual funds. Further analysis also shows that there exists a strong association between mutual fund investments and their contribution to society. We confirm that these results are robust to different specifications of research design and after controlling for chaebol affiliation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1082-1089 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1082-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036679_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yan Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Xin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Does local gambling culture affect bond yield spread? Evidence from China Abstract: We study the effect of gambling culture in the province where a firm is located on its bond yield spread. Our findings suggest that a high gambling culture translates into a high bond yield spread. In addition, the impact is more salient for firms with high operating volatility and increased default risk. Overall, the results are consistent with the notion that when firms are located in high gambling culture provinces, they are riskier, and thus bond investors ask for a high bond yield. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1101-1106 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1101-1106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039360_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Cosmin-Octavian Cepoi Author-X-Name-First: Cosmin-Octavian Author-X-Name-Last: Cepoi Author-Name: Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu Author-X-Name-First: Bogdan Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Dumitrescu Author-Name: Georgiana-Camelia Georgescu (Crețan) Author-X-Name-First: Georgiana-Camelia Author-X-Name-Last: Georgescu (Crețan) Author-Name: Rodica Gherghina Author-X-Name-First: Rodica Author-X-Name-Last: Gherghina Author-Name: Mihaela Iacob Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: Iacob Title: Investigating the impact of monetary policy on foreign exchange market in Europe during COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: In this paper, we investigated how policy rate modifications – the main instrument used by central banks to provide liquidity during the current health crisis – influenced the evolution of the exchange rate, which is a key element within macro-stabilization policies. We documented that foreign exchange markets in European countries responded asymmetrically to monetary policy interventions devoted to the encouragement of spending and the stimulation of the economy. However, this only occurred during extreme events, which is a side-effect of the monetary policy on the foreign exchange market. These results contribute to the assessment of the space for manoeuvres by monetary policymakers regarding key policy rate modifications as a response to pandemic shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1144 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1139-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2038774_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Viktoria Kahui Author-X-Name-First: Viktoria Author-X-Name-Last: Kahui Author-Name: Murat Genç Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Genç Author-Name: Neha Agarwal Author-X-Name-First: Neha Author-X-Name-Last: Agarwal Author-Name: Aleisha Lord Author-X-Name-First: Aleisha Author-X-Name-Last: Lord Title: Zoom lecture attendance patterns during the 2020 lockdown in New Zealand Abstract: We use a dataset on student attendance of live zoom tutorials, lectures, recordings and student characteristics, drawn from 3 tertiary, second-year economics courses during the COVID-19 lockdown in 2020 in New Zealand, to analyse lecture attendance patterns. Our analysis shows a relatively homogeneous student population who attended less than half of their (unrecorded) zoom tutorials and less than a third of live zoom lectures, with disproportionate more females present in the 2 largest courses. Up to 34% of students, with males approximately 3 time more likely, attended none of their lectures and tutorials in the two largest courses. Irrespective of gender, students utilized recordings nearly 3 times as much as zoom lectures, and largely as a substitute. Our estimations consistently show ability to be a strong predictor of utilizing lectures and recordings; as well as of the proportion of unattended lectures viewed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1130-1133 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2038774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2038774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1130-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2032579_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Krzysztof Beck Author-X-Name-First: Krzysztof Author-X-Name-Last: Beck Title: Synchronization without similarity. The effects of COVID-19 pandemic on GDP growth and inflation in the Eurozone Abstract: As the European Central Bank implements a common monetary policy for all member states, the effectiveness of the policy hinges upon the synchronization and similarity of inflation and GDP growth between them. We examine the consequences of COVID-19 outbreak for GDP growth and inflation of the Eurozone countries. We find that business cycles have been diverging since the aftermath of the Financial Crisis; however, the outbreak of COVID-19 brought about synchronization on a record scale. However, this increase in comovement is accompanied by an increase in the dissimilarity in the rates of GDP growth. Ergo, synchronization without similarity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1028-1032 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2032579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2032579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1028-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2036318_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinglin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xinglin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The investment strategies of fund managers without business or IT background. evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the investment strategies of fund managers without business or IT background. The non-professional managers are inclined to pursue higher returns but with greater volatility. They are aggressive in the bull market while cautious in the bear market. With their participation, the funds could gain significantly higher abnormal returns even in economic downturns. The superior performance can be attributed to their management style. The non-professional managers would avoid being multi-tasked unless the financial market is thriving, while the professional ones would simultaneously operate several funds in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1060-1064 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2036318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2036318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:8:p:1060-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030852_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiafei Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiafei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chao Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Financial stress spillover network across Asian countries in the context of COVID-19 Abstract: Using the dynamic connectedness framework of Antonakakis et al. (2020), this paper explores the financial stress spillover characteristic across nine Asian countries during major economic, political and public health emergency events, especially during COVID-19. We first find a substantial increase in the intensity of total financial stress spillover across nine Asian countries during COVID-19. Second, there are clear differences in the financial stress spillover networks across Asian countries during different economic and political events. In particular, in the first three months after the outbreak of COVID-19, there was considerable month-to-month variation in the financial stress spillover network. Singapore and Japan are the major net transmitter and receiver of financial stress shocks, respectively, during all considered events. During COVID-19, China, as the first country to detect and contain COVID-19, is the strongest net financial stress shock receiver in March 2020, but transmitted net financial stress shocks in February 2020, when the epidemic in China is serious. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-974 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:965-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2027860_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nader Naifar Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: Naifar Title: Sukuk returns dynamics under bullish and bearish market conditions: do COVID-19 related news and government measures matter? Abstract: The rapid and far-reaching spread of COVID-19 related news can alter investors’ perceptions and investment behaviour and affect security returns. We investigate this hypothesis by studying the impact of COVID-19 related news (panic news, media-hype new, fake news, infodemic, and Stringency measures) and alternative measures of COVID-19 developed by Narayan et al. (2021) on Sukuk returns during different market conditions. Empirical results show asymmetric comovement between global Sukuk returns, panic news, travel bans, and the percentage of information about the novel COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, the COVID-19 news affects the Sukuk returns only when the sukuk markets are bearish. The Sukuk returns are not affected by medical and vaccine information, and the aggregate COVID-19 index that captures the pandemic sentiment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-883 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2027860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2027860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:875-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2027328_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jorge Fernández-Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Ruiz Title: Bargaining power in bilateral monopoly and cooperative choice of corporate social responsibility Abstract: We analyse the cooperative choice of corporate social responsibility when a manufacturer and a retailer in a bilateral monopoly may hold different bargaining powers. We find that an increase in the bargaining power of one of the firms leads to an increase in the degree of social concern of the other firm in the bilateral monopoly and a reduction in its own degree of social concern. It also leads to an increase in the firm´s own profits and a reduction in the other firm’s profits, but it has no effect on the quantity sold, its price, total profits, consumer surplus or social surplus. Just as in the symmetric case, both the manufacturer and the retailer cooperatively choose higher degrees of social concern than under a non-cooperative framework and these choices completely solve the double-marginalization problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-864 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2027328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2027328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:859-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030037_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: One-child policy, economic sector, and female labor supply: evidence from urban China Abstract: This study hypothesizes that the one-child policy could affect female labour supply through fertility behaviour. Employing a difference-in-difference strategy, this study examines the hypotheses from the perspective of the economic sector in urban China. Consistent with the hypotheses, it is found that relative to families whose first child is a son, the public-sector families (husband works in the public sector) whose first child is a daughter has fewer children, and the wife has more labour supply than the non-public-sector families. The findings provide new evidence for the literature on fertility restriction policy and maternal labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 944-949 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:944-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030854_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yuyu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chun Cai Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Natural resources and assets accountability audit of local officials and government subsidies: evidence from China Abstract: In 2014, the Chinese central government required implementing natural resource and asset accountability audit for local officials to promote environmental governance. From the perspective of government subsidy allocation, this paper examines whether and how the new government audit policy influences the strategy of local governments to high-polluting firms. We adopt a multi-period difference-in-difference research design and find that after the policy implementation, local officials pay more attention to local ecological performance, thus, reducing the government subsidies to high-polluting enterprises. They also reduce support for high-polluting by reducing tax incentives. These findings document that the implementation of government audit policy weakens the collusion between local officials and high-polluting firms, which enriches the intercross investigation between government audit and environmental governance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-985 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:981-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2031856_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Feipeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Feipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Forecasting exchange rate markets' volatility of G7 countries: will stock market volatility help? Abstract: In this paper, we consider the prediction accuracy of the realized volatility of exchange rate market fluctuations of G7 countries, using daily data spanning from 1 January 2000 to 31 October 2020. Our empirical results show that the realized volatility of the stock market is an important factor for predicting the realized volatility of the exchange rate market in all the G7 countries. Our findings also reveal stable differences in the performances of predictability from stock market volatility to exchange rate volatility amongst the G7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-999 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2031856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2031856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:991-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yuyi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yuyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Pu. Gong Author-X-Name-First: Pu. Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Title: Leverage bias and risk-return trade-off, evidence from China Abstract: This study examines whether the difference between firms’ actual and expected target leverage rAtios affects the cross-sectional risk-return trade-off in the stock market. It uses the financial data of all A-share firms listed and traded on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 2000 to 2018 in the CSMAR database. We find that the risk-return relationship is negative when the actual leverage is lower than the target leverage. Conversely, the risk-return relation is positive when the actual leverage is higher than the target leverage. This is contrary to the basic principle that the greater the risk, the higher the return in the traditional financial field. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 950-954 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:950-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2000929_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jungho Cho Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Daecheon Yang Author-X-Name-First: Daecheon Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Impact of minimum wage legislation on gender differentials in sticky wages: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study adds to a growing body of studies on gender inequality, centred on the role of the minimum wage. The unprecedented increases of the minimum wage in Korea during the 2010s allow us to directly observe the social and economic impacts of these changes. This study explores the minimum wage role in mitigating the gender gap in sticky wages where firm performance worsened. Using a sample of 7,514 firm-year observations between 2010 and 2020 in the Korean KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets, we find that men’s wage stickiness in times of poor performance was greater than that of women, and the minimum wage reduces the gap in sticky wages between genders, alleviating gender inequality problems in wage determination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-858 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2000929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2021.2000929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:855-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2027330_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Caiyun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Caiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Minghuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Minghuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does digital finance impact debt concentration of Chinese firms? Abstract: We investigate the relation between digital finance and debt concentration in capital structures of firms. Measuring digital finance with a comprehensive index, we show that digital finance is indeed related to more concentrated debt structures of firms. Turning to the sub-indices of digital finance, coverage breadth and usage depth of digital finance increase firms’ debt concentration, while digitization degree is not a central concern for firms. The link between digital finance and debt concentration is stronger for companies with high level of information asymmetry and high default risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-874 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2027330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2027330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:871-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030033_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Roger Bandick Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Bandick Author-Name: Michael Koch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Domestic and foreign acquisitions, plant survival and employment effects Abstract: We estimate causal treatment effects of domestic and foreign acquisitions on plant survival, employment (growth) and the skill composition within acquired plants. To do so, we look at takeovers of private firms in Danish manufacturing and service sectors during the period 2002–2015. We use plant-, firm-, and industry-level information to control for the non-random selection of the acquisition targets, differentiated for domestic and foreign acquirers, by combining a difference-in-differences approach with a propensity score weighting estimator. Our results reveal positive effects on plant survival, employment (growth) and the skill intensity for domestic targets, while foreign targets reduce their skill intensity following an acquisition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-926 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:923-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030035_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Timothy R. Hodge Author-X-Name-First: Timothy R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hodge Author-Name: Ram Orzach Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Orzach Author-Name: Jonathan Silberman Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Silberman Title: Higher education decision on covid-19 vaccine mandate Abstract: Higher education institutions (HEIs) had a public health decision to make in fall 2021, whether or not to mandate a Covid-19 vaccine for all students. The aim of this paper is to study the factors that influence the student vaccine mandate decision. We employ a logistic regression with the dependent variable equal 1 if a HEI has a student mandate; 0 otherwise. We hypothesize that the student vaccine mandate decision is influenced by an institution’s ranking, type, enrolment, competition, and political landscape. The results are consistent with expectations. Our significant finding is that top-ranked HEIs are more likely to have a vaccine mandate, with the probability of a vaccine mandate declining as the ranking declines. HEIs below those top-ranked are concerned about the financial implications of mandating vaccines, and this concern is heightened when students have alternatives. A national standard for a higher education vaccine mandate will internalize the positive externalities associated with a Covid-19 vaccine mandate, and overcome the reluctance of some HEIs to implement a vaccine mandate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 932-936 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:932-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2027861_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jhon James Mora Author-X-Name-First: Jhon James Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Author-Name: Andres Cuadros-Menaca Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Cuadros-Menaca Author-Name: Juan Tomas Sayago Author-X-Name-First: Juan Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sayago Title: South-South migration: the impact of the Venezuelan diaspora on Colombian natives’ wages and hours worked Abstract: Evidence of international migration impacts on developing countries is scarce. Hence, this article analyzes the effect of Venezuelan refugees to Colombia. We use the synthetic control method and find limited evidence that the Venezuelan exodus impacts natives’ real wages in most Colombian municipalities. However, our analysis indicates that the biggest shock occurs on the hours worked, which highlights a quantity over price impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 884-891 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2027861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2027861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:884-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2027329_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chao Tan Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Wenying Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wenying Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The different impacts of heterogeneous lease assets on the costs of debt: a risk-sharing perspective Abstract: We examine whether the credit market participants price operating lease differently from finance lease in the perspective of risk sharing. Using a unique setting that the new lease standard is enforced in China since 2019, we find that operating (finance) lease asset shares are negatively (positively) related to lessees’ costs of debt, the risk-sharing role of operating lease assets is a mechanism of reducing COD, and this effect is more significant at firms with more financial constraints and insufficient cash flow. We fill the gap in the literature with a contribution to separate the risk-sharing effect from the accounting treatment effect in the association between two kinds of lease and costs of debt. These findings have important implications for policymakers and companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-870 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2027329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2027329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:865-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030030_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Robert Tucker Omberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Tucker Author-X-Name-Last: Omberg Title: Estimating the elasticity of labor supply to a firm: results from a field experiment Abstract: ‘New Monopsony’ models imply that firms can possess wage-setting power even in competitive markets so long as they face an upward-sloping labour supply curve due to labour market frictions. However, previous research has yielded wildly different estimates of the elasticity of labour supply to a firm. Using a field experiment where identical job offers were posted with varying wages in statistically matched areas, I estimate that the elasticity of labour supply to a restaurant to be quite high, between 11.6 and 20.9, implying that workers are hired at wages between 92% and 95% of their marginal products. These results provide evidence for a model where firms only possess wage-setting power over incumbent employees, while new employees are hired at wages close to their marginal products. The policy implications of such a model are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-918 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:913-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030853_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Hongliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Gaoxiu Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Gaoxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Title: Realized volatility forecasting based on rolling SW-SVR method: evidence from CSI 300 index Abstract: In this article, we examine realized volatility forecasting based on a new data-driven method, named rolling SW-SVR method. The empirical evidences from the high frequency data of CSI 300 index show that this new method has stronger out-of-sample forecasting ability than the OLS and SVR methods. Its forecasts ability is stable among different forecast horizons, which is confirmed by the out-of-sample $${{\bf{\it{R}}}^2}$$R2 and the MCS test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-980 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:975-980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030031_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Selda Dudu Author-X-Name-First: Selda Author-X-Name-Last: Dudu Author-Name: Teresa Rojo Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Rojo Title: Turkish returned immigrants’ income by gender perspective Abstract: Thousands of Turkish returnees (re)join the labour force of Turkey each year. Despite the gender pay gap, women return with new skills, which increase the chance of earning higher wages before the migration. Adopting a gender perspective, this paper investigates the effects of migration experience on labour income. The findings show that the positive effect of migration experience weakens the negative effect of gender on labour income, and marriage positively affects women’s labour income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-922 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:919-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030459_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinjie Lu Author-X-Name-First: Xinjie Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Pan Li Author-X-Name-First: Pan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Tao Li Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Newspaper-based equity uncertainty or implied volatility index: new evidence from oil market volatility predictability Abstract: This article investigates two equity-oriented market volatility measures, newspaper-based equity market volatility (EMV) index and COBE-implied volatility index (VIX), which contain more predictive contents for the oil futures market based on a Markov regime-switching method. We find that both EMV and VIX contain valuable content for the oil market. Interestingly, the predictive performance of the model containing both EMV and regime switching is better than that of the model containing VIX and regime switching, further showing that EMV can be more powerful than VIX for oil futures volatility when considering regime switching. Our study tries to provide new insight into the oil futures market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 960-964 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:960-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030034_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Heng Liang Author-X-Name-First: Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Zhitao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhitao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Runkai Niu Author-X-Name-First: Runkai Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Title: Does environmental regulations promote the green transformation of high polluters? Abstract: In light of the implementation of the Environmental Protection Tax Law (the EPT Law) in China on 1 January 2018, this paper employs the difference-in-difference model (DID) to empirically investigates how the environmental regulations affects the green transformation of highly polluting firms. The results indicate that the EPT Law has significantly aided in the green transformation of highly polluting firms, with the increasing pressure of environmental legality acting as a partial mediating effect. This paper adds to the research on the economic effects of the environmental regulations and provides new evidence to support the incentive perspective on environmental regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-931 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:927-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030036_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lan Bo Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Bo Author-Name: Haixin Yao Author-X-Name-First: Haixin Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Fred C. J. Mear Author-X-Name-First: Fred C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mear Author-Name: Weiwei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How does China’s new budget law affect the pricing of local government bonds? Abstract: This article examines the impact of China’s New Budget Law implementation on the pricing of Local Government Bonds (LGBs). We collect 5,442 province-year LGBs observations from 2009 to 2019 and estimate the Simultaneous Equation Models that consider the endogeneity of fiscal transparency. Our results show that the enforcement of the New Budget Law unexpectedly leads to a rise in the interest rates of LGBs overall while enhancing the fiscal transparency of local governments. The findings in this paper suggest that the marketization level of LGBs’ pricing in China needs to be further improved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-943 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:937-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2031855_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yasuo Nishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nishiyama Title: Wine quality and pricing in the global wine export market: the case of Chilean wines Abstract: This paper hypothesizes that, from 1985 to 1999, Chilean export wine producers achieved significant quality improvements, which led to successful product differentiation in the global export market. Concomitantly – as the monopolistic competition theory predicts – they increased their wine prices, which represent the value wine consumers attach to the wine attributes (including the quality). Using the wine rating score as an approximation of quality, the paper tests this hypothesis using the nonparametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test. The results strongly support the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 986-990 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2031855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2031855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:986-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030458_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Forecasts of US housing starts: assessing the usefulness of nowcast data Abstract: This study focuses on the current-quarter and one – through four-quarter-ahead Federal Reserve forecasts of housing starts. The aim is to assess the usefulness of nowcast data (measured by the current-quarter forecasts) for predicting housing starts one through four quarters ahead. Specifically, we use the nowcast data to generate the one – through four-quarter-ahead nowcast-based forecasts. For 1985–2016, the Federal Reserve and nowcast-based forecasts (while outperforming the naïve forecasts) contain useful and distinct predictive information. Combining these forecasts yields reductions in forecast errors that are larger at longer horizons. In addition, the Federal Reserve (nowcast-based) forecasts imply symmetric (asymmetric) loss. The nowcast-based forecasts, in particular, are of value to a user who assigns high (low) cost to incorrect downward (upward) moves and, thus, offer useful information for policymaking, when downward moves in housing starts are considered as early-warning signs of overall economic downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-959 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:955-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2030029_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaolan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yidong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yidong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Wenchao Li Author-X-Name-First: Wenchao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Economic preferences and state-level corruption: global evidence and mechanism Abstract: Using newly published data from the Global Preference Survey which cover 76 countries (Falk et al., 2018), we document robust evidence that economic preferences are partly responsible for state-level corruption. Specifically, fixed effects estimation results show that patience, trust, and altruism discourage corruption, while negative reciprocity encourages corruption. We examine the role of economic freedom and government effectiveness as the mechanisms underlying the effect of negative reciprocity. We also find that the effects of patience and negative reciprocity are greater in a more stable political environment, and smaller in a society with faster economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 892-912 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2030029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2030029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:7:p:892-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053650_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kaibo Gao Author-X-Name-First: Kaibo Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Zhongjing Tian Author-X-Name-First: Zhongjing Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: How ageing affects manufacturing transformation: empirical evidence from China Abstract: This article explores the impact of population ageing on China’s manufacturing transformation, and considers the mediating role of government fiscal burden. The development of China’s manufacturing industry has long relied on low-cost labour, and ageing challenges this model. The results show that population ageing promotes manufacturing transformation. Through the mediation effect analysis, we find that ageing will reduce government tax revenue, thereby hindering the manufacturing transformation. However, increased healthcare spending due to ageing has a positive effect on the manufacturing transformation. Our research provides useful insights for the government to adjust fiscal revenue and expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1358-1362 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1358-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2052007_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Martien Lamers Author-X-Name-First: Martien Author-X-Name-Last: Lamers Author-Name: Thomas Present Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Present Author-Name: Nicolas Soenen Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Soenen Author-Name: Rudi Vander Vennet Author-X-Name-First: Rudi Author-X-Name-Last: Vander Vennet Title: BRRD credibility and the bank-sovereign nexus Abstract: We investigate the effectiveness of the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) in mitigating the bank-sovereign nexus in the Euro Area. Using CDS spreads to measure bank and sovereign credit risk and a DCC-MIDAS model capturing the long-term component of bank-sovereign interconnectedness, we document that the dynamic correlation between banks and sovereigns has decreased in Euro Area countries since the introduction of the BRRD. Panel data analysis reveals that the decline in interconnectedness is not driven by the banks’ capital adequacy, size or holdings of domestic sovereign securities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1308-1313 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2052007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2052007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1308-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2055736_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Markos Tselekounis Author-X-Name-First: Markos Author-X-Name-Last: Tselekounis Title: Input price discrimination under passive partial cross ownership Abstract: Hu, Mizuno, and Song (Applied Economics Letters, 2021) compare the welfare effects of input price discrimination (IPD) and uniform input pricing (UIP) under passive partial ownership (PPO) where one downstream firm holds equity shares of its rival. This paper extends their setup to accommodate passive partial cross ownership (PCO) where each downstream firm holds equity shares of its rival. A common conclusion is that IPD improves welfare if the cost asymmetry is sufficiently low. Interestingly, this finding holds regardless of whether the more efficient firm is also the dominant partial shareholder. Indeed, it is found that the likelihood that IPD is welfare enhancing increases as firms become more asymmetric in terms of equity shares. However, the critical level of cost asymmetry differs under PPO and PCO, meaning that there are cases where IPD performs better in terms of social welfare under PCO but not under PPO, and vice versa. The main conclusion of this paper is that, compared to the PPO structure, PCO reduces the likelihood that IPD results in better welfare outcomes than UIP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1368 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2055736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2055736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1363-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053045_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Da-Kai Wu Author-X-Name-First: Da-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Joe Chen Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shih-Chang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: VAT thresholds and tax assessment: evidence from Taiwan Abstract: Based on a dataset from the unique two-tier VAT (value-added tax) thresholds in Taiwan, this paper suggests that poor assessment of the sales of business entities by the competent tax authority has brought about severe underestimates of the amount of sales. It has resulted in a shortfall of tax revenue from small business entities and underscores the importance of tax enforcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1314-1317 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1314-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2045249_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: JiWen Chai Author-X-Name-First: JiWen Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Title: The impact of green innovation on export quality Abstract: It has been confirmed in many studies that the corporate green innovation has numerous benefits, such as the effects on resource allocation, business performance and corporate image, but it is less involved than the effect on export quality. This paper uses the data of Chinese listed manufacturing corporations over the period 2008–2015, and takes PSM-DID method to empirically test the quality effect of green innovation. The implementation of green innovation shows a positive effect on the export quality, which differs apparently by the degree of green innovation. The clean productivity and waste treatment efficiency play a vital importance in the influence path. These findings provide novel evidence for the follow-up research on green innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1286 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2045249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2045249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1279-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053649_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Junyan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yongchen Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yongchen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Inefficiency in social security trust funds forecasts Abstract: We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust fund balance, trust fund ratio made during 1980–2020 with horizons up to 95 years. We find that the deterioration in the accuracy of the forecasts during 2010’s has reversed in recent years. The level of informational inefficiency has been pervasive during 1990–2009, although it shows signs of improvement after 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1353-1357 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1353-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053050_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Naiqian Wu Author-X-Name-First: Naiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Weiguo Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Weiguo Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Wei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zhihui Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhihui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Social media discussion and the market reaction to earnings announcements: evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the influence of earnings-related social media discussion on stock returns surrounding the earnings announcement. By using deep learning approach to develop a new measure of market-wide earnings expectations based on Chinese Sina Weibo, we find that the constructed Weibo optimism index is positively related to the upcoming earnings announcement returns within a short window. This positive effect is more pronounced for firms with lower-quality earnings and firms with no traditional media coverage. Additionally, we also find that an increase in our Weibo optimism index indicates stronger post-announcement return reversals over a longer window. These results imply that earnings-related social media discussion is largely driven by sentiments, leading investors to overreact to earnings announcements. Our evidence supports the view that social media impedes stock price efficiency in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1338-1346 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1338-1346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2055737_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Cipriano Quirós Author-X-Name-First: Cipriano Author-X-Name-Last: Quirós Author-Name: Katherine Riveros Author-X-Name-First: Katherine Author-X-Name-Last: Riveros Author-Name: Roberto-Felipe Erazo Author-X-Name-First: Roberto-Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Erazo Title: Airbnb vs booking: determinants of the use of collaborative and traditional online accommodations Abstract: The collaborative economy has grown exponentially, significantly transforming certain economic sectors such as Hospitality. New collaborative platforms now compete with other digital platforms already established through hospitality services. But, are they the same types of users on both types of platforms? The objective of this study is to contribute to the sharing economy by studying consumer patterns and identifying differences between the users of sharing platforms as compared to traditional accommodation online platforms, where Airbnb and Booking are the respective world leaders. In this work, we emphasize the role of digital skills as well as trust in the digital environment, along with socio-demographic variables thought to be determinants of use of these platforms. Our results indicate that some variables including gender and income level increase the likelihood of use of Airbnb and Booking platforms in different ways. Digital skills appear to be crucial predictors of using both platforms, while greater digital trust increases the likelihood of use of Booking over that of Airbnb. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1373 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2055737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2055737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1369-1373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2047588_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Asymmetric loss and the rationality of consumers’ inflation forecasts: evidence from the US Abstract: This study investigates asymmetric loss functions for 12-month-ahead inflation forecasts by consumers in the Survey of Consumer Expectations by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. This study finds that older households are likely to produce higher inflation forecasts. Households with highest income and educational levels are likely to produce lower inflation forecasts. In contrast, households in various regions produce similar inflation forecasts. Further, inflation forecasts are generally over-predicted even they are evaluated against the regional inflation. These expectations are broadly rational with respect to households’ prospects of their earnings, income, and unemployment, and economy-wide stock prices and unemployment under asymmetric loss. However, they are not likely to be rational with respect to the past performances of inflation and their forecasts, and regional unemployment. The results suggest that demographic characteristics play an important role in expectations formation and macroeconomic consequences. These indicate that consumers are forward-looking that is consistent with standard macroeconomic models. However, difference in regional inflation is likely to play a minor role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1298-1307 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2047588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2047588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1298-1307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053049_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Usman Bashir Author-X-Name-First: Usman Author-X-Name-Last: Bashir Title: Shadow banking, political connections and financial stability of Chinese banks: an empirical investigation Abstract: This study examines the effects of shadow banking activities on the financial stability of the Chinese banking system. Moreover, it assesses whether the relation between financial stability and shadow banking activities changes for banks having political connections. The findings suggest a significant positive effect of shadow banking on the credit risk as well as the financial stability of Chinese banks. The growth of shadow banking activities has a significantly positive effect on Chinese commercial banks lowering the default risk and this relationship is incrementally significant for financial institutions having political connections. These findings are robust by controlling for various bank-specific and macroeconomic conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1337 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1333-1337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044993_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Athina Raftopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Raftopoulou Author-Name: Nicholas Giannakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakopoulos Title: Unemployment and health: a panel event study Abstract: Adopting a panel event study framework, we estimate the effect of unemployment on health outcomes by exploiting the variation in the timing of entering unemployment using longitudinal data for Greece. We find that in the periods ahead of an unemployment event, health outcomes decline and unmet needs for medical care increase. These findings are valid only for men and are robust to alternative definitions of health outcomes, unemployment events and model specifications. Our findings have important implications for research-based policies aimed to promote individuals’ well-being, especially in periods of high unemployment rates and economic distress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1275-1278 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1275-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053051_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jiawei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiawei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yiying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Dangdang Cui Author-X-Name-First: Dangdang Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Gongjin Hu Author-X-Name-First: Gongjin Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Soft tax administration and company investment Abstract: How can investment be stimulated under the premise of stable taxation? Based on some Chinese listed companies, we examine the impact of soft taxation on corporate investment. Companies that obtain an A tax credit rating have more actual investment now and in the future under soft tax administration, and this policy also effectively mitigates companies’ underinvestment problem. This paper shows that incentive tax policies can achieve a win–win situation between national tax revenues and company investment expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1352 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1347-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056122_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Itai Agur Author-X-Name-First: Itai Author-X-Name-Last: Agur Title: Measuring the speed of currency substitution Abstract: Financial dollarization is a prevalent and persistent phenomenon among emerging and developing economies. This paper uses data on deposit dollarization in 173 countries between 1975 and 2018 to present stylized facts on the speed of currency substitution, which has not previously been systematically measured. In doing so, the paper casts a wide net in defining what constitutes a currency substitution episode. Overall, when currency substitution happens, it happens fast: the share of total deposits that is denominated in foreign currency rises by 6.5 percentage points per year during an average episode. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1385-1389 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1385-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053046_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wei-Qiang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Peipei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peipei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Is idiosyncratic tail risk priced in the cross-section of bond returns? –Evidence from Chinese bond markets Abstract: This article investigates for the first time the role of idiosyncratic tail risk in the cross-sectional pricing of bond returns. We use the idiosyncratic return of the bond to measure the idiosyncratic tail risk based on the extreme value theory. The results show that bonds in the highest idiosyncratic tail risk quintile generate 3.5% more annual return compared to bonds in the lowest idiosyncratic tail risk quintile. In addition, we found that idiosyncratic tail risk is cross-sectionally positive correlated with bond expected returns in Chinese bond market, even when the downside risk, bond rating, liquidity, size, maturity, bond market beta, short-term reversals, and coupon rate are controlled. The positive correlation is in line with the traditional risk-return tradeoff theory. Because of their aversion to extreme losses, investors are willing to accept the low returns from low idiosyncratic tail risk bonds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1318-1326 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1318-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056120_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Yiqing Lei Author-X-Name-First: Yiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Lingxiang Li Author-X-Name-First: Lingxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Risk contagion among banks: evidence from Chinese data Abstract: This study investigates risk contagion in the financial system using a sample of 140 Chinese banks. We create the risk contagion index, with and without bank WMPs (Wealth Management Products), and bank’s lending matrix. Based on the index, we find Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), Industrial Bank, and Bank of Shanghai to have the highest contagion risk among, respectively, state-owned, joint-stock and city commercial banks. We simulate risk contagion with these three banks as the initial bankrupt banks and at a wide range of default loss rates. We find that their hypothetic bankruptcies do not cause other banks to follow suit, but smaller banks are more subject to the contagion effect of systemic risk. Further results show that banks with WMPs cause greater risk contagion than those without. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1374-1380 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1374-1380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056121_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhi-Yuan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Miao-Hua Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Miao-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Title: Technology innovation and the duration of export competitiveness Abstract: On the basis of CEPII-BACI trade data from 2001 to 2018, this study examined the impact of technology innovation on the duration of China’s manufacturing export competitiveness by using the discrete time model. Results showed that the innovation behaviour can effectively improve the duration of export competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. An increase in the innovation input by 1% can reduce the risk of decline in manufacturing export competitiveness by 9.3%, and an increase in innovation intensity by 1% can increase the duration of manufacturing export competitiveness by 6.4%. Evidence on innovation output also supports this conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1381-1384 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1381-1384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2047587_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Akihiro Kubo Author-X-Name-First: Akihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kubo Title: Has the yen depreciation of recent years improved Japan’s trade balance? Testing the J-curve effect Abstract: This study investigates the existence of the J-curve effect in Japan for the most recent sample period, for which there is a continuation of the weak trend in the yen. The results failed to confirm the existence of the J-curve effect in national Japanese data. However, the J-curve effect explains the time lag between yen depreciation from the end of 2012 and improvement in the trade balance in 2015 in the Kansai region, in which only a relatively small proportion of exports can be attributed to the automotive industry with using the pricing strategies. Specifically, the empirical result suggested that the period from August 2013 to July 2014 formed the dip in the J-curve, and it matches actual relevant movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1297 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2047587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2047587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1293-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2053047_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yanze Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanze Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ji Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How does competition for funds in the wealth management market impact Chinese households’ risky financial investment? Abstract: This paper analyzes the relationship between the competition for funds in the wealth management market and Chinese households’ risky financial investment. Through mechanism analysis, we find that the competition for funds in the wealth management market reduces Chinese households’ risky financial investment by increasing the interest rate of financial products and making break-even commitments. Further analysis suggests that medium and high solvency households have more expectations for break-even and are more affected by the competition for funds in the wealth management market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1332 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2053047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1327-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056566_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Emmanouil Kitsios Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Kitsios Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Author-Name: Geneviève Verdier Author-X-Name-First: Geneviève Author-X-Name-Last: Verdier Title: Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference? Abstract: How can governments reduce the prevalence of cross-border tax fraud? This paper argues that the use of digital technologies offers an opportunity to reduce fraud and increase government revenue. Using data on intra-EU and world trade transactions, we present evidence that (i) cross-border trade tax fraud is non-trivial and prevalent in many countries; (ii) such fraud can be alleviated by the use of digital technologies at the border; and (iii) potential revenue gains of digitalization from reducing trade fraud could be substantial. Halving the distance to the digitalization frontier could raise revenues by over 1.5% of GDP in low-income developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1400-1406 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1400-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056124_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Muhammad Asali Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Asali Title: Civil rights experiments versus enrichment experiments in wage gap analysis Abstract: The choice of the non-discriminatory vector of returns in Oaxaca-Blinder wage gap decompositions affects the results. Rather than being arbitrary, that choice should depend on the nature of the intended policy to address wage differentials in the labour market. The effectiveness of policies at the extensive margin, such as those offering greater access to higher education, is better estimated by the explained part of the wage gap, when choosing the lower-wage group’s vector of returns as non-discriminatory (the ‘enrichment experiment’). Alternatively, the effectiveness of affirmative action policies is better estimated by the unexplained part of the wage gap, when choosing the higher-wage group’s vector of returns as non-discriminatory (the ‘civil rights experiment’). We provide an example of applying this methodology for ethnic and gender wage differentials in the Georgian labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1395-1399 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1395-1399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056123_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jisheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yanjun Cao Author-X-Name-First: Yanjun Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Jiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Jiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Peer effects on consumption in rural China Abstract: This study empirically examines the peer effects of household spending on human affairs, clothing, food, and education in rural China, where villages are often characterized by clan clustering. We employ an iterative algorithm that combines the least square dummy variables regression and instrumental variable estimators to measure the peer effects and their heterogeneity. The results provide compelling evidence for the existence of peer effects on human affairs, clothing, and food expenditures, while the peer effects on education investment come from aligning with high-level spending rather than converging to the average. Furthermore, high- and low-spending households are affected differently by peers and play different roles in the peer group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1390-1394 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1390-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2047586_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Andreea Stoian Author-X-Name-First: Andreea Author-X-Name-Last: Stoian Author-Name: Bettina Bokemeier Author-X-Name-First: Bettina Author-X-Name-Last: Bokemeier Author-Name: Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu Author-X-Name-First: Bogdan Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Dumitrescu Author-Name: Cosmin Octavian Cepoi Author-X-Name-First: Cosmin Octavian Author-X-Name-Last: Cepoi Title: For better and worse: heterogeneity in the fiscal response in EU countries Abstract: In this paper, using a panel of annual observations ranging from 2005 to 2018, we employ the novel unconditional quantile regression by resorting to an augmented fiscal reaction function model to examine the distribution-varying fiscal response for 26 European Union countries. The results point to significant asymmetries regarding the fiscal response measured in terms of the cyclically adjusted primary balance to different covariates. More specifically, we report a U-shaped fiscal reaction to debt changes suggesting more explicit debt stabilization concerns during high-deficit periods. We also show a varying response when debt exceeds the 60% threshold, which is conditioned by the size of the fiscal position. In addition, we reveal a procyclical fiscal behaviour when balance is highly deteriorated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1287-1292 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2047586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2047586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:10:p:1287-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2064417_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seungwon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Changryong Baek Author-X-Name-First: Changryong Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Volatility changes in cryptocurrencies: evidence from sparse VHAR-MGARCH model Abstract: This study examines the volatility changes of 20 cryptocurrencies from January 2018 to May 2021 using sparse VHAR-MGARCH model. Our proposed model incorporates the high-dimensionality and time-varying conditional heterogeneity of cryptocurrency markets. We examined the time-varying spillover index, dynamic correlation structure, and connectivity between cryptocurrencies. Our empirical analysis clearly shows that there was a volatility shift on 13 March 2020, due to a market crash caused by COVID-19. This naturally divides the data into three periods: pre-crisis, during the crisis, and post-crisis regimes. The pre-crisis regime exhibited long-term cyclic fluctuations in the spillover index. However, after the market crash, the spillover index remained at a very high level with almost no interconnections between cryptocurrencies. The post-crisis regime showed quite a few irregular and sharp spikes in the spillover index, together with record-breaking prices and volumes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1496-1504 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2064417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2064417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1496-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056569_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Geyao Yang Author-X-Name-First: Geyao Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Changchun Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Changchun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Jiekuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiekuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does the synergy among agriculture, industry, and the service industry alleviate rural poverty? Evidence from China Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence that strengthening the synergy among agriculture, industry, and the service industry is an effective rural poverty reduction strategy. Using China’s provincial panel data from 2010 to 2019, we employ a coupling model to measure this synergy and to apply an empirical analysis methodology to examine its impact on rural poverty. The results indicate that the synergy among agriculture, industry, and the service industry results in a significant decrease in rural poverty. The poverty reduction effect is greatest in western China. The growth of the rural economy and the increase in rural households’ business income are the main channels by which synergy plays its role in reducing poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1421 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1417-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056568_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: E-Ping Liu Author-X-Name-First: E-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Fan Mo Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Title: Do firms actively manage media coverage when issuing convertible bonds? Evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates whether, when and how firms actively manage media coverage when they plan to issue convertible bonds. Using a sample of listed firms that issued convertible bonds between 2010 and 2020 in China, we find that both firms’ media coverage and positive slant increase one month before issuances and active media management has a positive impact on conversion prices. Overall, our results support the active media management hypothesis and verify that firms actively manage media coverage prior to convertible bond issuances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1416 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1411-1416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061703_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Can environmental tax curb air pollution: evidence from China Abstract: Using the environmental tax reform implemented in 2018 in China as a quasi-experiment, this paper employs PSM, DID, and DDD methods to investigate the causal impact of environmental tax on air pollution. Viewing those provinces that choose to set a higher tax rate than the original pollution fee rate as the treatment group and provinces that do not increase the tax rate as the control group, this paper provides robust evidence that the environmental tax reform is effective in reducing PM2.5 and SO2 concentration level, while the effect is smaller and inconsistent for NO2. A back-of-the-envelope welfare analysis suggests that a 1-unit increase in the environmental tax rate is associated with a reduction of 5,616 in total deaths and a welfare gain of $28.256 billion in 2005 USD for all Chinese households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1452 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1449-1452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061704_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Erik Alda Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Ljubinka Andonoska Author-X-Name-First: Ljubinka Author-X-Name-Last: Andonoska Title: Variation in spending efficiency: the effects of exogenous factors on municipal efficiency in a recently decentralized country Abstract: Research suggests that external factors influence municipal spending efficiency. We tested this assumption using a conditional order-m efficiency model on an eight-year panel of 79 Macedonian municipalities. The findings suggest that factors outside the control of municipal managers affect efficiency differently. Understanding how each factor influences municipal efficiency can help municipal governments improve their overall performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1453-1456 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1453-1456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2057909_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zile Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zile Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Meichen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Meichen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiangdong Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiangdong Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Yufeng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yufeng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Ambiguity and contractual incompleteness Abstract: We introduce ambiguous states into an experimental investigation of a tradeoff between contractual rigidity and flexibility. Ambiguity magnifies both parties’ pessimism in an incomplete context. Ambiguity aversion is revealed in their choice. More complex interactions emerge in ambiguous environments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1422-1427 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2057909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2057909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1422-1427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2069668_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Michel Candido de Souza Author-X-Name-First: Michel Candido Author-X-Name-Last: de Souza Author-Name: Mauro Sayar Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Sayar Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Lízia de Figueiredo Author-X-Name-First: Lízia Author-X-Name-Last: de Figueiredo Title: The asymmetric evolution of economic institutions: evidence from dynamic panel quantile regression with IV and fixed effects Abstract: Conditional mean regressions show that economic institutions (insteco) correlate positively to regime durability, the quality of political institutions, human capital and GDP per capita. However, using dynamic panel quantile regressions with fixed effects and instrumental variables, we detect that insteco evolves asymmetrically. Adverse shocks worsen insteco of countries with better political institutions and more durable regimes, while positive innovations cause insteco of countries with better political institutions and longer political regime to improve even further. Among advanced economies, negative shocks cause a stronger effort to ameliorate insteco the higher the human capital and GDP per capita. Our exercises include 129countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1539 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2069668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2069668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1531-1539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2063788_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Melike Betül Tavşanlı Author-X-Name-First: Melike Betül Author-X-Name-Last: Tavşanlı Author-Name: Murat Tiniç Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Tiniç Title: A note on stock market response to elections in the post-communist countries of the European Union Abstract: We examine the stock market response to parliamentary elections in post-communist countries of the European Union. We document that the long-term market response to an election is −200 basis points (bps). The response is symmetric across the ideology of the winner party. Moreover, we show that aggregate responses are driven by elections with policy uncertainty due to the transition of power across ideologies. The long-term market response to right (left) victories after left (right) governments is −500 bps (−600bps). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1487 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2063788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2063788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1483-1487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2066617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hiroshi Morita Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Morita Author-Name: Shota Araki Author-X-Name-First: Shota Author-X-Name-Last: Araki Title: Social pressure in football matches: an event study of ‘Remote Matches’ in Japan Abstract: Sports matches during the COVID-19 pandemic have been held without spectators. Exploiting this unprecedented situation as a natural experiment, we examine the impacts of social pressure on the match outcomes in Japan’s professional football league. As a result of the difference-in-difference estimation, we find that the number of fouls awarded to home team significantly decreases by about 1.05 in the matches with spectators, supporting the referee bias due to social pressure by the home-team’s supporters. In addition, the results indicate that the absolute number of the home-team’s supporters is more dominant in the source of referee bias than their share in the stadium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1522-1525 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2066617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2066617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1522-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061702_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Taekyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Taekyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: How does competition in the development of artificial intelligence affect a firm’s technology search strategy? Evidence from the U.S. pharmaceutical industry Abstract: During technological shifts in which new technology threatens to substitute for existing technology, how do firms search for such new technology? Although several studies have demonstrated the benefits of collaboration among firms in the development of new technologies, research in this stream has largely overlooked the potential roles of competition. Our empirical analysis of U.S. pharmaceutical firms’ adoption of artificial intelligence in 2000–2019 shows that early and late entrants learn from each other. Specifically, late entrants learn basic technology from early entrants, and early entrants learn applied technology from late entrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1444-1448 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1444-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061897_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Title: Structural change in Africa: role of agriculture Abstract: This paper argues that rapid agricultural productivity growth is necessary for the expansion of manufacturing employment as a share of total employment. This hypothesis is tested utilizing data from 15 African nations. The estimation technique utilized is dynamic ordinary least squares and represents the first use of this technique to study the hypothesis that agricultural productivity growth is an important factor in the growth of manufacturing employment. The results indicate that agricultural productivity growth is a significant positive factor in the expansion of manufacturing employment. This is important in that productivity growth in agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa has until recently been very sluggish. Thus, if manufacturing is to play an important role in this region, then significant investment in raising agricultural productivity needs to occur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1467-1470 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1467-1470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2071826_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lea Bernhardt Author-X-Name-First: Lea Author-X-Name-Last: Bernhardt Author-Name: Ralf Dewenter Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Dewenter Title: Does the tonality of US newscasts indicate race and gender discrimination? Abstract: We analyse possible discrimination regarding gender and race in the tonality of media coverage of four US newscasts. In particular, we estimate the tonality of news reports from ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX News and distinguish between four distinct combinations of race and gender of public officials. Our results indicate that media reporting on black men (and possibly on black women) is biased in comparison to coverage on white men. Moreover, the coverage of FOX News tends to be more negative on non-white people in general, whereas, for ABC, NBC and CBS, the average reporting on non-white female individuals is more negative than on white males and also more negative than on female whites. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1566-1569 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2071826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2071826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1566-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2064418_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhihao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhihao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kezhi Liao Author-X-Name-First: Kezhi Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Weidong An Author-X-Name-First: Weidong Author-X-Name-Last: An Title: Institutional investment horizon, state ownership, and earnings management: evidence from China Abstract: This article examines the effect of the institutional investment horizon on firms’ earnings management and the moderating effect of state ownership. Using a sample of Chinese listed companies from 2010 to 2018, we find that a shorter institutional horizon leads to significantly more earnings management. Focusing on the interaction between the institutional horizon and state ownership, we find that the negative effect of short-term institutional shareholdings is weaker in state-owned firms. This article contributes to the existing literature by addressing the relationship between institutional investment horizon, state ownership, and earnings management in emerging capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1521 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2064418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2064418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1505-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061895_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wenbohao Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Wenbohao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiaofeng Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofeng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Bo Sun Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Digital service trade and income inequality: a panel data analysis for 100 countries Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of digital service trade on within-country income inequality based on a panel dataset covering 100 countries from 2005 to 2019. We find consistent evidence that digital service trade has a negative effect on income inequality in general. This effect is shown to be statistically significant in high-income and middle-income countries while it is insignificant in low-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1457-1461 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1457-1461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061898_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Justin Ehrlich Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Ehrlich Author-Name: Joel Potter Author-X-Name-First: Joel Author-X-Name-Last: Potter Title: Estimating the effect of attendance on home advantage in the National Basketball Association Abstract: Using COVID-19 safety protocols as a natural experiment, we are able to delineate three distinct attendance categories in the NBA: 1) unrestricted games played prior to the pandemic, 2) attendance-restricted games played with socially distanced fans, and 3) ‘ghost games’ played without fans. Further, since attendance at restricted games was exogenously determined by local COVID-19 protocols that were in turn driven by changes in COVID-19 case counts, we are able to estimate whether the ‘marginal fan’ contributes to home advantage. Taken together, our results indicate that the presence of fans matters to home team performance; in fact, ‘ghost games’ eliminated home advantage in totality. With a relatively small number of socially distanced fans, however, the entirety of home advantage was retained. Interestingly, since the size of socially distanced crowds had a statistically insignificant impact on home advantage, we find no evidence of a ‘marginal fan’ effect. Finally, since researchers have found that officiating is influenced by fans in international soccer (e.g. Anders and Rotthoff, 2014), we explore whether NBA officiating behaviour was altered due to changes in attendance conditions. Our results indicate that NBA officials were not measurably influenced by the presence or quantity of fans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1482 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1471-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2058695_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sheena Murray Author-X-Name-First: Sheena Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: Threats to ACA associated with temporary increase in Long-Acting Reversible Contraception Abstract: Long-Acting Reversible Contraception methods (LARCs) have a lower uptake rate than oral contraception, despite being more reliable and potentially cheaper in the long run. Historically, high insertion costs have stunted their uptake. The Affordable Care Act eradicated these costs by classifying contraception as preventative care that insurers must offer at no charge as of late 2012. Additionally, the ACA required that all employer-provided insurance plans have contraceptive coverage. After four years of coverage, the 2016 national election represented a credible threat to the ACA and contraceptive coverage and access. Utilizing the National Survey of Family Growth, I estimate how LARC uptake changed during and after 2016 using data from 2011 to 2019. I find that use of LARCs spiked in 2016 and 2017 for Medicaid users and 2017 and 2019 for women with private insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1428-1436 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2058695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2058695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1428-1436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2056567_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Elissaios Papyrakis Author-X-Name-First: Elissaios Author-X-Name-Last: Papyrakis Author-Name: Lorenzo Pellegrini Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Pellegrini Author-Name: Luca Tasciotti Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Tasciotti Title: Impacts of the Brexit referendum on UK employment: a synthetic control method approach Abstract: We estimate the impact of the 2016 Brexit referendum on the UK (un-)employment rate up to January 2020 by comparing the observed performance of the indicators in the UK with those of a synthetic control. The decline in the UK unemployment rate recorded after the referendum mimics the trend of the synthetic indicator and, similarly, the increase in UK employment follows the trend of the synthetic control. Overall, we find that the Brexit referendum has had little effect on the UK (un-)employment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1407-1410 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2056567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2056567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1407-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2066618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Monique Löwe Author-X-Name-First: Monique Author-X-Name-Last: Löwe Author-Name: Ulf Rinne Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Rinne Author-Name: Hendrik Sonnabend Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Sonnabend Title: Gender role models and early-career decisions Abstract: This paper analyzes the link between the subject choices of German students in upper secondary school and teacher gender when these choices are taken. Our results corroborate the hypothesis that teacher gender matters in this regard, and they indicate that girls respond more strongly than boys to same-sex role models. This is in particular the case in maths: Girls who have a female maths teacher in grade 10 are significantly more likely to choose maths as an advanced course in upper secondary school than girls who are taught by a male teacher. We do not find a corresponding same-sex teacher effect in maths for boys. In contrast, both girls’ and boys’ choices of German as an advanced course in upper secondary school are, at least to some extent, influenced by teacher gender in grade 10. However, also this same-sex teacher effect tends to be smaller for boys than for girls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1526-1530 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2066618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2066618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1526-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2070593_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Young Bin Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Young Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Consumers’ perceived and expected inflation in South Korea Abstract: Household inflation expectations act as an important input in a central bank’s inflation-targeting monetary policy formulation. This study investigates the formation of households’ inflation expectations in South Korea based on a consumer survey conducted by the Bank of Korea. We use epidemiological models and find that households’ inflation expectations display strong and persistent overestimation bias. Furthermore, Bank of Korea’s inflation forecasts influence households’ inflation expectations. The findings suggest that the strong upward bias in households’ inflation expectations is consistent with the perceived inflation. The Bank of Korea needs to enhance its communication strategy to guide households’ inflation expectations based on its inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1561-1565 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2070593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2070593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1561-1565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2060494_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Min-Yuh Day Author-X-Name-First: Min-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Yirung Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Yirung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Paoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yensen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yensen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: The profitability of Bollinger Bands trading bitcoin futures Abstract: We explore whether investors would receive excess profits by round-turn trading (hereafter referred to as trading) Bitcoin futures based on Bollinger Bands trading strategy (BBTS). Since investors are suggested to first buy (then sell) Bitcoin futures as oversold (overbought) signals emitted by the BBTS (i.e. penetrating lower (upper) Bollinger Bands regarded as a buying (selling) signal), we aim to explore whether investors would have better returns by trading such futures according to the BBTS. Results show that the average holding period return (AHPR) is over 20% for trading Bitcoin futures following the BBTS. Furthermore, after we adjust the 60-day moving average (MA) instead of the 20-day MA for the BBTS, the AHPR is above 50%. It is noted that if the margin could be deemed as an investment amount, its rate of return would be much higher than the 50% for trading Bitcoin futures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1443 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2060494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2060494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1437-1443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2064416_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Aqib Mujtaba Author-X-Name-First: Aqib Author-X-Name-Last: Mujtaba Author-Name: Shyamli Pawar Author-X-Name-First: Shyamli Author-X-Name-Last: Pawar Author-Name: D P Priyadarshi Joshi Author-X-Name-First: D P Priyadarshi Author-X-Name-Last: Joshi Author-Name: R. Gopinathan Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gopinathan Title: Examining asymmetric impact of climatic factors on crop yields in India Abstract: The study examined the dynamic impact of climate such as Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, temperature, and rainfall on agricultural yield in India from 1980 to 2017 by applying the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. The empirical evidence supports a long- and short-run asymmetry effect, implying that the positive impact of the climatic variables on agricultural yield is distinct from the adverse effects on both the long- and short-run equilibrium. In addition, CO2 emissions and average atmospheric temperature have diverse impacts on agriculture yield. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1488-1495 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2064416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2064416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1488-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2069669_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Junlin Mu Author-X-Name-First: Junlin Author-X-Name-Last: Mu Author-Name: Lipeng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Lipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: How to Predict the Economic Growth Rates of a Country? A DSGE Model with the Accumulation of Human Capital Abstract: We propose an endogenous economic growth DSGE model based on human capital accumulation theory. Then we estimate the DSGE model by the Bayesian method, using the economic data of China, the USA, and Japan from 1996: Q1 to 2018: Q4. It is shown that the estimated models can accurately predict the economic growth rates of the three countries and can tightly fit the economic data of the three countries. Therefore, the model proposed can be employed to predict the economic growth of a typical country and to analyse the determinants of its economic growth in the short and long term. We find that levelling up technology in all fields is helpful for economic growth in the short term, and stimulating labour supply, mitigating monopoly in the goods market and labour market, and increasing the contribution of physical capital in goods production are helpful for economic growth in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1540-1560 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2069669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2069669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1540-1560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2061896_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Brigham Walker Author-X-Name-First: Brigham Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Author-Name: Kevin Callison Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Callison Title: Employee income, premium pricing, and high deductible health plan enrollment Abstract: Employer health plan premiums are often subsidized at different levels according to enrollee income. When enrollees cross an income threshold, they lose some of the income-based subsidy resulting in higher premium prices for their plan choices. We use these discontinuous subsidy reductions, which induce relative price changes across plans, to assess the relationship between premium price and plan choice for workers in a large, national firm. We segmented individuals by income into $100 bins surrounding a $40,000 subsidy threshold and $200 bins surrounding a $110,000 subsidy threshold. We plotted these bins to visualize potential discontinuities and then estimated regression models that fit linear trends to the binned data at each subsidy threshold. Higher income workers were more likely to enrol in high deductible health plans (HDHPs) when those plans became relatively cheaper compared to traditional plans (estimate = −0.057, standard error = 0.027; p-value = 0.02). In contrast, lower income workers were less likely to enrol in a HDHP when the relative price fell (estimate = 0.065, standard error = 0.029, p-value = 0.03). Our findings indicate that responses to relative price distortions between insurance plan options differ by income and that benefit design should account for such heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1462-1466 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2061896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2061896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:11:p:1462-1466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044010_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ruolan Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Ruolan Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Jinming Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jinming Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xiaoxia Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxia Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Dependence structure and risk spillover among nonferrous metal futures: a vine copula approach Abstract: Nonferrous metals play an indispensable role in industrial production and are of great significance for economic development, which makes it essential to understand the dependence structure and risk transmission among them. Given the fact that London Metal Exchange (LME) and Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) are the most important metal futures markets in the world, this paper aims to analyse the feature and relationships between these two markets. We first identify the core assets of each market via the C-Vine copula approach and then examine the spillover effects among the dominant assets. Overall, three key findings emerged. Firstly, the core assets detected in both LME and SHFE are copper and zinc, and the central node in the C-Vine structure of each market rotates among these two. Second, the rotation of core assets traded on SHFE lags behind that of LME. Third, LME acts as the risk transmitter most of the time, and copper is recognized as the major risk source of the market. Our results have important implications for improving the efficiency of risk management, hedging strategy and asset allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1260 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1253-1260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2042464_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vegard Sjurseike Wiborg Author-X-Name-First: Vegard Sjurseike Author-X-Name-Last: Wiborg Title: Risk preferences and sibling sex composition Abstract: This article presents evidence on the malleability of preferences over monetary risk of men and women in the context of the family. I focus on sibling sex composition by estimating the causal effect of having a younger brother compared to a sister on the risk attitudes of the first-born child. Results show that women with a younger brother are significantly less risk averse than women with younger sisters. The effect wears off as the age difference increases. The sex of the second-born has a similar but smaller effect on men’s preferences, however, the effect is not statistically significant. The findings provide new causal evidence on how risk preferences are shaped by social environmental factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1228-1234 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2042464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2042464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1228-1234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044007_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Toshiki Matsuoka Author-X-Name-First: Toshiki Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuoka Title: Quantity versus price competition in a vertically related market with sequential contracts Abstract: The study aims to re-examine the results of quantity and price competition. I consider a vertically related market where one upstream firm sequentially contracts with two downstream firms. I find that consumer surplus and social welfare under quantity competition can be higher than those under price competition. Under price competition with sequential contracting, an upstream firm offers a high wholesale price to a downstream firm contracted later, to help a downstream firm contracted earlier. The downstream firm contracted earlier anticipates this and sets a high retail price. Because prices are strategic complements, the downstream firm contracted later also sets a high retail price. Hence, competition in the downstream sector is softer under price competition, and the rankings of consumer surplus and social welfare can be reversed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1239-1243 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1239-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044009_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ryoma Kitamura Author-X-Name-First: Ryoma Author-X-Name-Last: Kitamura Title: The choice of network compatibility in two-sided markets Abstract: I consider a duopolistic platform competition in which (i) platforms are viewed as heterogeneous by both groups of agents, and sellers can choose multiple platforms; (ii) buyers have a network benefit from their own platform, and a partial network benefit from platform compatibility; and (iii) platforms determine the degree of network compatibility by Nash bargaining. In symmetric equilibrium, the degree of network compatibility increases when the degree of network effect increases or the degree of differentiation of the platform for sellers decreases. Moreover, it is excessive from a social planner’s viewpoint, and incompatibility is desirable for consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1248-1252 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1248-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041173_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christopher J. Elias Author-X-Name-First: Christopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Elias Title: Bayesian forecasting of U.S. recessions using new Keynesian models with heterogeneous expectations Abstract: In this paper, the Bayesian point forecasting performances of small-scale and medium-scale New Keynesian models, each augmented to include heterogeneous expectations via the Euler equation adaptive learning method, are compared to their homogeneous expectations counterparts during the three most recent U.S. recessions. Forecasting performance is assessed based on root mean squared error. Results show that, in general, the models with heterogeneous expectations forecast recessions better than their homogeneous expectations counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1218-1221 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1218-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039364_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mugabil Isayev Author-X-Name-First: Mugabil Author-X-Name-Last: Isayev Author-Name: Eralp Bektas Author-X-Name-First: Eralp Author-X-Name-Last: Bektas Title: The nexus between commercial bank lending and shadow banking assets: do bank risks and profitability moderate? Evidence from emerging markets Abstract: This study constitutes an initial attempt to examine bank risks and profitability effects on commercial bank lending-shadow banking nexus in emerging economies (EMEs). One-step and two-step system GMM results suggest that commercial banks’ credit risk, capital risk and profitability have a key role in the bank lending-shadow banking nexus. Findings also reveal that shadow banking can act as both substitutes and complements to traditional banking. Moreover, high institutional demand and lower restrictions on bank activities are found to be among the main drivers of shadow banking expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1162-1167 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1162-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039362_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Omid Zamani Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Zamani Author-Name: Thomas Bittmann Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bittmann Author-Name: Jens-Peter Loy Author-X-Name-First: Jens-Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Loy Title: Food markets performance under the COVID-19 pandemic: a case study of meat industry in Iran Abstract: This paper presents empirical evidence of the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the price structure and dynamics within two food value chains. Different proxies are applied to high-frequency panel data of beef and poultry prices in Iran. Results show that during the COVID-19 pandemic increased markups are associated with reduced cost pass-through along the value chains of beef and poultry in Iran. The results indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic induces market frictions on the supply and demand side, which decreases market performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1151-1156 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1151-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041166_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pontus Braunerhjelm Author-X-Name-First: Pontus Author-X-Name-Last: Braunerhjelm Author-Name: Per Thulin Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Thulin Title: Does Innovation Lead to Firm Growth? Explorative versus Exploitative Innovations Abstract: In this article, we examine the relationship between innovation and firm growth. Drawing on previous research, we implement a classification of innovations based on whether they are explorative or exploitative. Access to Swedish register data comprising the entire private sector from 1997 to 2012 allows us to construct innovation patterns for more than 480,000 firms. GMM-estimations confirm a significant and positive effect of both exploitative and explorative innovation on firms’ employment growth. More radical explorative innovations are shown to have a more persistent growth effect, while exploitative innovation increases labour demand in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1182 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1179-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044006_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Abel Ghekiere Author-X-Name-First: Abel Author-X-Name-Last: Ghekiere Author-Name: Louis Lippens Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Lippens Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Author-Name: Pieter-Paul Verhaeghe Author-X-Name-First: Pieter-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Verhaeghe Title: Ethnic discrimination on paper: uncovering realtors’ willingness to discriminate with mystery mails Abstract: Introducing a new method, we measure real estate agents’ intentions to act upon a discriminatory request on the housing market. Our results show that realtors are willing to discriminate on request and that the method of mystery mails allows scholars to measure and contextualize these discriminatory intentions in a detailed and elaborate way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1235-1238 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1235-1238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041171_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinru Pang Author-X-Name-First: Xinru Author-X-Name-Last: Pang Author-Name: Song Kang Author-X-Name-First: Song Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Fei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The extent of the shock to economic growth by the epidemic and the recovery effect: evidence from China since 2020 Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic has exerted significant downward pressure on economic activity. In this paper, we examine the extent of the epidemic shock and recovery effects on economic growth by province in China since 2020. We find that the extent of the epidemic shock on economic growth in China has been gradually weakening. Still, the economy has not yet fully recovered from the shock. Also, there is some heterogeneity across provinces in the extent to the economic growth shocked by epidemic and the recovery effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1212 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1205-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044992_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Liping Fu Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Shan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Executives’ overseas experience and corporate pay gap Abstract: The increasing number of migrants returning from developed countries has become a global trend. This study examined the impact of executives’ overseas experience on the corporate pay gap from the perspective of cultural differences. Using publicly available data collected manually from listed Chinese firms concerning executives’ overseas experience from 2011 to 2018, we found that executives’ overseas experience was positively associated with both internal and external pay gaps. Additionally, the higher the number of executives with overseas experience, the higher the pay gap. These findings highlight the effects of cultural differences on corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1267-1273 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1267-1273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041174_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Title: Multifactor Keynesian models of the long-term interest rate Abstract: This paper presents multifactor Keynesian models of the long-term interest rate. In recent years, there have been a proliferation of empirical studies based on the Keynesian approach to interest rate modelling. These studies evince the connection between the long-term interest rate and the short-term interest rate. However, standard multifactor models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative finance have not been yet incorporated Keynes’s insights about interest rate dynamics. Keynes’s insights are introduced in two different multifactor models of the long-term interest rate to illustrate how the long-term interest rate relates to the short-term interest rate, after controlling for the central bank’s policy rate, expected inflation, the central bank’s inflation target, volatility in financial markets, and Wiener processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1222-1227 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1222-1227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044008_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Desu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Desu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ziqiao Fang Author-X-Name-First: Ziqiao Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Share pledging for seasoned equity offerings? Evidence from China Abstract: We investigate an unexplored channel through which pledged loans are exploited by the most influential firm insiders in China. Specifically, we document a significant and positive relationship between net pledging by the largest shareholder before a seasoned equity offering and her cash subscription to that very offering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1244-1247 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1244-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039363_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhaoxue Ci Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoxue Author-X-Name-Last: Ci Title: The externality of her retirement – evidence from China Abstract: While women are more active in the labour force than ever, they are still doing most of the housework. Despite the important roles that women play in both the workplace and family life, limited literature has examined the health impact of women’s labour force status on their spouses. Using data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS), this paper estimates how women’s retirement affects their spouses’ subjective health. To this end, we implement a regression discontinuity design. The results indicate that the retirement of women imposes a negative externality on their husbands’ health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1161 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1157-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041168_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Katrin Heinrichs Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Heinrichs Author-Name: Hendrik Sonnabend Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Sonnabend Title: Leaky pipeline or glass ceiling? Empirical evidence from the German academic career ladder Abstract: Women are underrepresented in leadership positions – academia is no exception. Using data on careers of doctoral graduates in Germany, we study gender differences in the decision to stay at university as a postdoctoral researcher and in the intention to become a professor. We find that gender gaps related to aiming for a professorship can be fully explained by observable characteristics other than gender. On the contrary, even after adding controls for an array of characteristics relevant to academic careers, we find female graduates to be 5.9 percentage points less likely to hold a postdoctoral position which allows them to qualify for professorship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1193 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1189-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041172_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: David Burden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Burden Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Lilli Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Lilli Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Does forward guidance of the ECB matter for the accuracy of private sector inflation forecasts? Abstract: Data from the Consensus Economics Forecast Poll is used to analyse whether Forward Guidance of the ECB affected the accuracy of private sector inflation forecasts. Using more than 4,000 data points our results indicate an improvement of private sector inflation forecasts in terms of accuracy after the change in ECB communication towards Forward Guidance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1217 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1213-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041165_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Min-Yuh Day Author-X-Name-First: Min-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Yirung Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Yirung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Paoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yensen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yensen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: The profitability of trading US stocks in Quarter 4 - evidence from trading signals emitted by SOI and RSI Abstract: Since the yields of trading stocks are affected by numerous elements, this study aims to explore whether the profitability of trading stock with the use of technical trading rules, such as Stochastic Oscillator Indicators (SOI) and Relative Strength Index (RSI), would matter in the fourth quarter of the year. By employing the data of Dow Jones 30 (DJI 30) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX100) from 2011 to 2020 and from 1991 to 2020, this study reports that investors applying SOI and RSI would have higher cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in Quarter 4 as compared with those in Quarters 1–3, respectively. The revealed findings indicate that the quarterly effect should be taken into account by investors when trading DJI 30 and NDX100, the representative indices for US stock markets. More importantly, this study may contribute to the existing literature due to the rare discussion of this interesting issue in the past research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1173-1178 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1173-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041167_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Antonio Rodriguez Andrés Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Andrés Author-Name: Voxi Heinrich S. Amavilah Author-X-Name-First: Voxi Heinrich S. Author-X-Name-Last: Amavilah Title: Convergence in suicide rates in FSU countries: a clustering approach Abstract: This paper aims at identifying convergence clubs in suicide rates for a sample of 20 of FSU countries during the 1994–2016 period. A novel machine learning approach revels that while the null hypothesis of overall convergence has been rejected at the 5% significance level, there are four convergence clubs in the region. Within these clubs, different countries are on different transition paths and speeds of convergence, suggesting different policy interventions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1188 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1183-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041169_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Creditor rights and lending relationships Abstract: We assess the impact of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) enacted in India in 2016 on corporate behaviour. Using firm-level data for 2009–2018, we find that IBC lowered debt and borrowing costs. The impact was pronounced for firms with multiple banking relationships, although it was firms with single banking relationships that experienced significant cutbacks in investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1194-1198 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1194-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2039365_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Akira Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: The impacts of policy measures on Japanese SMEs during the pandemic Abstract: Using monthly firm-level survey data, this study examines the effects of the three major government support measures on labour costs of Japanese SMEs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Policy measures were useful for supporting troubled SMEs to mitigate the effects of the economic downturn. However, they may have supported not just otherwise viable corporations, but also unprofitable but still operating corporations – often referred to as ‘zombies’. Our empirical results suggest that policy measures have heterogeneous effects on corporate activities. ‘Employment adjustment subsidies’ and ‘COVID19 subsidies’ had persistently mitigated the decline of labour costs, suggesting that employment and wage adjustments might have been inappropriate for improving labour productivity. On the other hand, ‘funding supports’ by banks, which were accompanied by the obligation to repay the principal in the future, had a negative and persistent impact on labour costs. The results suggest that, unlike the other support measures, funding supports were policies that may have improved labour productivity by reducing labour costs during the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1168-1172 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2039365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2039365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1168-1172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2044991_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tyler C. Schipper Author-X-Name-First: Tyler C. Author-X-Name-Last: Schipper Author-Name: Anthony Vecchia Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchia Title: Bus ridership and the minimum wage: Evidence from bus stops near fast-food restaurants Abstract: This paper examines the impact of Minneapolis’ local minimum wage ordinance on bus ridership. We use a difference-in-differences (DD) strategy to compare changes in ridership at bus stops in Minneapolis near fast-food restaurants to similarly situated stops around the metro area where the minimum wage was unchanged. We find that the minimum wage increase caused bus ridership to increase by 1,828 rides per day or 3.5% of post-treatment daily boardings in Minneapolis. We show that the treatment effect is highly concentrated at bus stops near fast-food restaurants. An increase in the intensive margin of labour, or weekly hours, is consistent with our results and available labour market indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1266 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2044991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2044991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1261-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2041170_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dilan Teber Author-X-Name-First: Dilan Author-X-Name-Last: Teber Author-Name: Saygın Çevik Author-X-Name-First: Saygın Author-X-Name-Last: Çevik Title: Convenient prices and cash usage Abstract: In the decision to use cash instead of an alternative payment method, quite a few factors influence consumers’ choice and the driving forces behind the cash payment preference are associated with two main topics: the socio-demographical factors of consumers and the characteristics of the payment method. However, beyond these factors pricing behaviour is also a crucial factor that affects the consumers’ cash payment preference. This study aims to examine the impact of convenient prices on cash usage behaviour in Turkey by using the micro-level data of the Methods of Payment Survey carried out in 2020 by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). Results show that the likelihood of cash usage increases in convenient prices, and it decreases for the amounts for which the individual receives a coin change. The results also show that the consumers’ cash usage decreases with the transaction amount, which shows that cash is preferred mostly in low-value transactions. Alongside the low-value payments primarily paid in cash, an important finding of the study shows that the likelihood of consumers’ cash usage increases with the amounts that match the currency denomination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1199-1204 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2041170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:9:p:1199-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2073329_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: El Mostafa Bentour Author-X-Name-First: El Mostafa Author-X-Name-Last: Bentour Title: On the government consumption multipliers evolvement over time: an SVAR analysis Abstract: We display and discuss general government consumption multipliers from a bivariate SVAR for a sample of 18 OECD countries. Our results support relatively the tendency of weak government consumption multipliers – particularly for the short-term multipliers – for the recent periods compared to previous ones, as suggested by some authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1612-1617 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2073329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2073329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1612-1617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2071828_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hiroshi Gunji Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Gunji Title: Does inflation targeting really matter? Doubly robust estimation Abstract: This study examines the performance stability of firms in inflation-targeting countries before and after the 2008 global financial crisis. We use the propensity score method to analyse and compare firms in inflation-targeting and non-inflation-targeting countries. The estimation results show that firms in inflation-targeting countries underperform in response to shocks. Our results suggest that inflation targeting does not necessarily mitigate an economy’s response to business cycle fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1578-1581 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2071828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2071828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1578-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081657_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lixiong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chunli Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chunli Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Threshold mixed data sampling models with a covariate-dependent threshold Abstract: This paper introduces a threshold mixed data sampling model with a covariate-dependent threshold (TMIDAS-CDT), which allows for a threshold effect in the relationship between dependent and independent variables sampled at different frequencies, and allows for threshold regimes depending on a time-varying threshold being modelled as a linear function of informative covariates. We develop the estimation procedure for the model, and suggest test statistics for threshold effect, threshold constancy and the equal weighting scheme in aggregating high-frequency data. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations to investigate the performance of the estimation and testing procedures. The simulation results support that the estimation procedure works well in finite samples, and the test statistics have good size and power properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1708-1716 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1708-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081656_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Marigee Bacolod Author-X-Name-First: Marigee Author-X-Name-Last: Bacolod Author-Name: Jennifer Heissel Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Heissel Author-Name: Ansley White Author-X-Name-First: Ansley Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Job performance when workers work in locations they prefer Abstract: We estimate the relationship between working in a preferred job location and worker productivity. Using a difference-in-differences approach and data from the U.S. Marine Corps, we find that subsequent job performance improves among top performers assigned to their preferred job locations relative to average and bottom performers. In addition, the job performance of those whose preferred locations enhance firm-specific human capital also increases. Our findings have implications that extend beyond the military case and provide useful insights into post-pandemic workplaces offering more flexibility for location-based preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1700-1707 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1700-1707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078776_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Matteo Balliauw Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Balliauw Author-Name: Marco Verheuge Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Verheuge Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Title: Which former professional football players become successful professional head coaches? Abstract: One of the potential avenues for former professional football players to pursue their career is to become a head coach of a club’s first team. An important question is how to best prepare for such a reconversion. This letter is the first in the academic literature quantifying the association between success as a professional head coach and prior experience of former professional players as a youth coach, player-coach, head coach at a lower division, assistant coach, in other staff positions and in club management positions. Our regression analyses, based on unique coach career data, show a significant positive association for the jobs of assistant or youth coach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1692-1695 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1692-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078777_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mai-Shou Li Author-X-Name-First: Mai-Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiao-Fei Si Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Si Title: A case study on data from the China family panel studies: the impact of Internet use on informal employment Abstract: This paper explores the impact of Internet use on informal employment, and the study found that Internet use can reduce the probability of labourers choosing informal employment. Such an impact is heterogeneous for different groups of labourers, especially significant for the group of labourers from rural regions aged between 21 to 30 years old with a bachelor’s degree or above. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1696-1699 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1696-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2074354_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: José Ignacio Giménez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: José Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Giménez-Nadal Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Jorge Velilla Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Velilla Title: Occupational sorting and the transmission of self-employment between generations Abstract: Existing research has focused on factors explaining self-employment decisions, and the intergenerational transmission of self-employment has been posited as one explanatory factor. However, findings differ across countries, and the channels for such transmission remain unclear. Using data from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions, we analyse whether working in the same occupation as parents, conditional on parents’ self-employment, is related to being self-employed. Results show that working in the same occupation as parents is statistically and significantly related to being self-employed, which may indicate the existence of intergenerational transmission of self-employment. Furthermore, this relationship is especially significant between fathers and sons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1631-1634 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2074354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2074354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1631-1634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2074352_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ivilina Popova Author-X-Name-First: Ivilina Author-X-Name-Last: Popova Author-Name: Jot K Yau Author-X-Name-First: Jot K Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Title: Computing optimal portfolios of multi-assets with tail risk: the case of bitcoin Abstract: Assets with tail risk may produce a suboptimal portfolio under mean-variance optimization when asset returns are not normally distributed. We provide a new Monte Carlo simulation method for computing and attaching tails to observed empirical return distributions. We find that a combination of stochastic optimization and the new method for simulating tails in returns with expected shortfall utility function produces optimal portfolios that have better return and risk characteristics than those of mean-variance optimal portfolios. Results from this study suggest that bitcoin can be a diversifier in a multi-asset portfolio when optimization takes all moments of return into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1618-1626 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2074352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2074352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1618-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2074356_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zuzana Janko Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Janko Title: Unemployment and labor force participation in Canada Abstract: We examine the long run relationship between labour force participation and unemployment rate in Canada using data from 1975M01 to 2019M12. A cointegration analysis is conducted at the aggregate, across gender, and by age. Support is found for an added worker affect for males and a discouraged worker effect for females. Findings by age reveal that the working age females exhibits the discouraged effect. However, we cannot confirm the added worker effect for any male age groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1647-1651 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2074356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2074356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1647-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2074353_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Birsen Nacar Author-X-Name-First: Birsen Author-X-Name-Last: Nacar Author-Name: Yakup Karabacak Author-X-Name-First: Yakup Author-X-Name-Last: Karabacak Title: Does globalization affect taxation policies? Evidence from Turkey Abstract: This study examines the possible effects of globalization on taxation policies in Turkey from 1998 to 2020. The results reveal that globalization has asymmetrical effects on taxation policies. Globalization positively affects taxation on capital income, whereas it negatively affects taxation on labour income. In addition, in the analysis conducted, no statistically significant relationship is found between globalization and taxation on consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1627-1630 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2074353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2074353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1627-1630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078772_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Fangyi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Fangyi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Peer effects in management forecast precision decision: evidence from a novel text-based network Abstract: This paper examines the peer effects in strategic disclosure decisions. We exploit the heterogeneous and intransitive nature of peer networks by mapping out peers using MD&A textual comparability to identify such effects. Using recent developed spatial econometric techniques, we find a strong positive peer effect in the forecast precision decisions, which is consistent with social learning assumption. After mitigating the endogenous problems with two instrumental variables and excluding the geographic factors, our conclusion is still valid. Overall, our result shed light on the role of peer effects in the formation of voluntary disclosure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1675 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1671-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2073327_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Maqsood Aslam Author-X-Name-First: Maqsood Author-X-Name-Last: Aslam Author-Name: Etienne Farvaque Author-X-Name-First: Etienne Author-X-Name-Last: Farvaque Author-Name: Franck Adonis Malan Author-X-Name-First: Franck Adonis Author-X-Name-Last: Malan Title: Dragging a heavy load to the central bank:influence of experienced natural and man-made disasters on central bankers’ behaviour Abstract: How do natural and man-made disasters faced by central bankers in their impressionable years influence their decision-making? Using data on a large panel of central bankers from developing and developed countries, we find that central bankers who have experienced a larger number of natural as well as man-made disasters tend to act in a more conservative way. In particular, the experience of famines is the most traumatizing and influential. The results are robust to the inclusion of control variables and alternative measures of disasters, and reveal strong behavioural differences when comparing before and after the 2008 financial crisis. JEL codes: E02; E58; E71; 01 Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1597-1605 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2073327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2073327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1597-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2071827_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jiangjing Que Author-X-Name-First: Jiangjing Author-X-Name-Last: Que Author-Name: Xiuting Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiuting Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Qiuyue Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qiuyue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Institutional investor attention and venture capital valuation: evidence from China Abstract: This paper analyzes how institutional investor attention affects firm valuations in the venture capital market. Relying on research reports of financial institutions in China, we propose a direct measure of abnormal institutional attention to industries (AIA) after eliminating industry differences and heteroscedasticity. We find that firm valuation is positively associated with institutional investor attention. Our conclusion continues to hold after controlling for selection bias and validating different measures of AIA. In addition, we find a negative relationship between AIA and the performance of VC investments measured by the likelihood of successful exits. Our findings support the notion that an increase in venture valuations is overpricing caused by institutional attention rather than a fundamental premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1577 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2071827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2071827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1571-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2073328_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dong-Hyuk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Anusha L. Samarasekara Author-X-Name-First: Anusha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Samarasekara Title: The effect of government expenditure on income inequality in Sri Lanka Abstract: The government of Sri Lanka has constantly allocated a substantial budget to provide free health care, education, and other community services, intending to reduce income inequality. To see whether government spending has reduced inequality, we analyse data from Sri Lanka. We find that public expenditure is ineffective for the policy objective; instead, it increases inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1606-1611 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2073328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2073328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1606-1611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078773_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Huiran Pan Author-X-Name-First: Huiran Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Chun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Determinants of bank lending: is there a threshold effect? Abstract: This study uses a dynamic panel threshold model to explore how the relationship between bank lending and its main determinants depends on various threshold variables. Using a novel instrument to address endogeneity, we find strong evidence for the threshold effects of bank characteristics on loan growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1676-1679 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1676-1679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078774_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Muna Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Muna Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Patryk Babiarz Author-X-Name-First: Patryk Author-X-Name-Last: Babiarz Title: Spending behavior and stimulus transfer use in response to income shocks among older Americans: evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This study examines household behavioural responses to the pandemic-induced income shocks regarding their overall spending and spending out of 2020 CARES stimulus payments. Using data from the 2020 Health and Retirement Study COVID-19 project and restricting our sample to older adults (51 years old and above), we show that the negative income shocks experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic put downward pressure on household spending. Results also reveal that, relative to those who did not experience an income shock, stimulus recipients who experienced income losses were more likely to use the stimulus transfer to increase spending, pay off debt, or for other purposes rather than to save. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1680-1684 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1680-1684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2074355_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Daniela Grieco Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Grieco Title: In-group bias and social identification: a lab-in-the-field experiment Abstract: We recruit naturally-existing groups of people living in a slum and experimentally test whether they contribute more in favour of their group as compared to another group (‘in-group bias’). We find that the in-group bias decreases the higher the heterogeneity among group members, and when a more inclusive identity is activated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1635-1646 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2074355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2074355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1635-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2072464_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mitali Das Author-X-Name-First: Mitali Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: The term structure of uncovered interest parity in emerging markets Abstract: This note examines uncovered interest parity (UIP) at both short and longer horizons in emerging markets. In part due to currency market intervention, the duration of risk premium shocks, and more easily verified medium term trends, the UIP term structure in these economies may differ from that in advanced economies. Analysing ten major emerging markets between 2000 and 2020, the evidence indicates that the validity of UIP increases with the investment horizon, corroborating a similar finding for advanced economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1589-1596 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2072464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2072464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1589-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2072463_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Salih Fendoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Fendoğlu Author-Name: Can Kadırgan Author-X-Name-First: Can Author-X-Name-Last: Kadırgan Title: Foreign exchange rate shocks and stabilizing role of interbank markets: evidence from Turkey Abstract: We study the transmission of exchange rate shocks in the Turkish interbank loan market using high-frequency bank-level data. Our results suggest that interbank market plays a stabilizing role: following large domestic currency depreciations, banks with a higher share of foreign currency liabilities borrow more in the interbank market, with a higher but insignificant effect on borrowing costs. The results are stronger the larger the exchange rate shock is and the lower the capital adequacy or liquidity ratios of borrower banks. Interbank markets play a weaker stabilizing role for banks with higher short-term rollover risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1582-1588 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2072463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2072463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1582-1588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2075822_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kenichi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Jun-ichi Itaya Author-X-Name-First: Jun-ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Itaya Author-Name: Akitomo Yamanashi Author-X-Name-First: Akitomo Author-X-Name-Last: Yamanashi Title: Search for a unique Nash equilibrium in two public goods games: mixed integer programming technique Abstract: We provide the methods for searching for the unique Nash equilibrium using mixed integer programming techniques. We also simulate the model parameters using this technique and derive the numerical solution to show the characteristics of a key player providing both public goods as suggested by Bergstrom et al. (1986). We present two key results. First, when the number of players decreases, the appearance rate of the unique equilibrium accompanying a key player increases. Second, when the variance of the preference or price parameters decreases, the appearance rate of the unique equilibrium accompanying a key player increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1656-1660 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2075822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2075822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1656-1660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2075538_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tien Manh Vu Author-X-Name-First: Tien Manh Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Author-Name: Hiroyuki Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Returns in wage and employment from test scores: evidence from Vietnamese National University entrance exams 2009 and household data 2018–2020 Abstract: We examine the returns to test scores from the 2009 Vietnamese National Entrance Examination to University (NEEU) of individuals born in 1991. We investigate their labour outcomes in terms of hourly wage and employment measured in 2018 or 2020. We find that a one standard deviation increase in the standardized test score on the NEEU is associated with a 9% increase in wage rate 9–11 years later. The results also suggest that mathematics test scores have a significant correlation with labour outcomes in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1652-1655 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2075538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2075538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1652-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078775_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tianquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Tianquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yu Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Underreaction and overreaction in Bitcoin market Abstract: Bitcoin market had a significant momentum phenomenon before the launch of Futures, and then it turned into an insignificant reversal effect. After Covid-19 appeared, the momentum effect and reversal effect disappeared. The advent of bitcoin futures has increased how investors respond to information. With the outbreak of COVID-19, investor interest in Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset has increased the effectiveness of the price. We estimate the speed of signal diffusion in the bitcoin market, and the results support that effective response to information is the essential mechanism for the disappearance of momentum effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1685-1691 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1685-1691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2078771_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Francisco Parro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Parro Title: The hidden compliance zone of fiscal rules Abstract: This paper studies fiscal rule compliance under uncertainty and irreversibility. I show that a broad class of fiscal rule designs contain a state space in which the government optimally complies with the rule in place, a compliance zone. Outside the compliance zone, the government exerts control on the path committed by the rule. I also show that the size of the rule’s compliance zone depends on two elements: first, how the rule copes with the uncertainty regarding the macro variable that underlies it; and second, how the fiscal spending path committed by the rule accommodates the demand for public goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1661-1670 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2078771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2078771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:12:p:1661-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083551_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Marjan Petreski Author-X-Name-First: Marjan Author-X-Name-Last: Petreski Title: Labor share in transition economies: brief firm-level investigation Abstract: In this paper, we examine the role of the globalization factors for the labour share in transition economies. We rely on firm-level data from the Enterprise Surveys of the World Bank and EBRD. We base the analysis on the predictions of the classic trade and efficient bargaining models, which under globalization suggests that factors that work to increase or attenuate the bargaining power of workers, affect the share of income that goes in their hands. We find some role of globalization for labour share in transition economies. Labour productivity and the fixed cost of the capital to relocate contribute to increasing labour share, while the alternative returns of capital work in the opposite direction. Labour-related costs and alternative returns were found irrelevant. For transition economies, policies focused on labour productivity and on cooperation, instead of competition, in the policies to attract FDIs may improve the outcomes for workers and their incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1838-1842 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1838-1842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081658_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qiubin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Qiubin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mengyuan Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Mengyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Title: Does managerial ability increase or decrease firm value? Abstract: Recent studies have revealed the bright side and dark side of managerial ability, while its effect on firm value remains unclear. We find that managerial ability is positively associated with firm value, and the association is positively (negatively) moderated by ownership concentration (firm size and board independence). Moreover, the positive effect of managerial ability on firm value is greater with increased economic policy uncertainty. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of superior managers in enhancing firm value, especially in challenging environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1717-1722 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1717-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083061_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Weina Huang Author-X-Name-First: Weina Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Tianrong Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Tianrong Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Green innovation of Chinese industrial enterprises to achieve the ‘dual carbon’ goal–based on the perspective of green M&A Abstract: This study explores the impact of green mergers and acquisitions (M&A) on corporate green innovation and its impact mechanism under the goal of achieving ‘carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality’. Through the analysis of M&A data of China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share industrial listed companies, the results show that green M&A can significantly improve the corporate green innovation capabilities. External stakeholder’s support has played an intermediary role, as enterprises can obtain more government subsidies and commercial credit through green M&A, which reduces financing constraints and enhances the corporates’ green innovation capabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1809-1813 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1809-1813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083550_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haeyoung Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Haeyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Hyunjung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Financial distress and value of cash holdings: evidence from the Korean stock market Abstract: This study examines how investors in capital markets evaluate the levels of cash held by financially distressed companies. Facing financial hardship, managers first lower the bankruptcy risk by reducing internal capital outflows and securing liquidity. This increases the value of the business, as investors place a higher value on financially distressed companies that hold cash than on those that do not. Empirical results using the Korean stock market show that the higher the level of financial risk, the higher the value of cash holdings. The results of this study suggest that when in financial risk, a company must have sufficient cash for a high corporate valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1833-1837 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1833-1837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083058_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thang Ngoc Doan Author-X-Name-First: Thang Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Doan Author-Name: Le Thanh Ha Author-X-Name-First: Le Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Title: Is religiosity distance a driver of trade in environmental goods? Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of religiosity distance on trade in environmental goods (EGs) using 5,297 pairs of 88 countries during the 1996–2019 period. Religiosity reflects the level of personal trust in God and the values and ideals of his religion. Environmental goods consist of environmental products and services with production, usage, or disposal features that escape from devastating the environment. We use the APEC List of Environmental Goods to define the EGs. We measure religiosity by using a combined index covering three components, including members of a religion, the importance of religion, and religious service attendance. Our empirical results show that countries with religious proximity are more likely to trade EGs. Among three dimensions, only the member of religion and importance of religion play a role while attendance to religion service has no effect on the export of green goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1793-1797 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1793-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083062_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Omid M. Ardakani Author-X-Name-First: Omid M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ardakani Title: The dynamics of money velocity Abstract: The dynamic of money velocity has changed gradually, influencing how macroeconomic shocks affect money velocity. This paper examines the response of money velocity to the external shocks in a system of equations, where money velocity, real output growth, money growth volatility, expected inflation, and risk premium are jointly determined. The regime-switching behaviour of money velocity is then examined through a Bayesian threshold approach. The main finding suggests that money velocity drops significantly after negative output and expected inflation shocks, followed by a sudden increase. In addition, the regime-switching process distinguishes the deterministic and stochastic behaviour of money velocity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1814-1822 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1814-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083059_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Liya Hau Author-X-Name-First: Liya Author-X-Name-Last: Hau Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Wuqin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wuqin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Keming Yu Author-X-Name-First: Keming Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Flight-to-quality or not? Evidence from China’s green bond and green equity markets during COVID-19 crisis Abstract: This study investigates the time-varying interdependence relationships between green bonds and green equity returns in China before and during the COVID-19 period. The rolling-window Copula Quantile-on-Quantile regression method has been employed to capture the dynamic dependence structure of the asset returns. The empirical results are as follows: First, the green bond-green equity correlations have increased significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic era. Second, the heterogeneous dependencies across different quantiles show the time-varying information transmission mechanism between green financial markets depending on the market conditions. Specifically, the correlations have increased around median level given pandemic shocks and an opposite correlation movement can be found in extreme quantiles, supporting the ‘flight-to-quality’ effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1798-1804 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1798-1804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081660_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Ebrahim Merza Author-X-Name-First: Ebrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Merza Author-Name: Duaij Alsabah Author-X-Name-First: Duaij Author-X-Name-Last: Alsabah Title: The effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination: time series evidence from the UK Abstract: Some claims have been made that that Covid vaccination is effective against both infection and mortality, even though the WHO is seeking more evidence to determine how well vaccines stop infection and transmission. On the basis of UK daily data over the period 10 January 2021–6 January 2022, evidence is presented indicating that vaccination is not effective against infection but it is highly effective against mortality. This makes scientific sense because the function of vaccination is to stimulate the production of antibodies that fight off the virus, which does not imply the ability to stop infection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1728-1733 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1728-1733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083057_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: David Matthäus Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matthäus Author-Name: Peter Schäfer Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Schäfer Title: Where did you get that from? Gender differences in bargaining for gifts and bought goods Abstract: Do men or women bargain more successfully? Existing evidence suggests that men achieve higher economic outcomes from bargaining than women – but the gap is context-specific. The literature predominantly studies one-shot bargaining games in the laboratory, situations in which communication is impossible, or situations in which persons follow a bargaining protocol. In this study, we use data from a TV show to study whether men or women bargain more successfully for trade deals in the field, without a strict protocol, and with free communication. We find that men and women bargain, on average, equally successfully. However, we find that the bargaining outcomes achieved by female sellers depend on the origin of an object. Specifically, women realize higher outcomes for bought objects than for objects they obtained for free, whereas men realize similar outcomes for bought and free objects. In sum, we find evidence that gender differences observed in the laboratory do not necessarily persist in bargaining situations in other settings and can even be inverted, dependent on the framing of the bargaining situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1784-1792 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1784-1792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082368_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lingbo Tan Author-X-Name-First: Lingbo Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Yuan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Yuan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Jiapeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiapeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A dynamic game model for the study of food safety regulation based on sampling probability and penalty intensity Abstract: By constructing a dynamic game model, this article explores the ‘optimal regulation’ and the food safety regulatory mechanism to be adopted when the food safety regulatory authority has to implement a certain level of regulation. In the short term, the actual quality of food can be improved by increasing the probability of sampling or the intensity of punishment. However, in the long term, the optimal path is to improve the production technology of sellers. A moderate level of supervision makes regulation more effective, while a threshold level of regulation can reduce welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1780-1783 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1780-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082363_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: George Dotsis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Dotsis Author-Name: Dimitris Psychoyios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Psychoyios Title: The great divergence between the USO fund and WTI spot prices Abstract: This paper discusses the concept of the ‘roll yield’ and its impact on the performance of ETFs that invest in futures contracts of storable commodities. It argues that comparing the returns of a futures position to the returns of a spot position can be quite misleading. As a case study, it examines the returns of the USO exchange traded fund whose investment objective is to mimic the performance of WTI prices using futures contracts. A simple regression model shows that the significant underperformance of the USO fund relative to WTI spot prices has been caused by the prolonged contango market and the steep WTI futures curve in the post-2009 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1749-1753 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1749-1753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083063_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kwanghun Yeon Author-X-Name-First: Kwanghun Author-X-Name-Last: Yeon Title: Health threats of new social media trends: the effects of frequent mukbang watching on overweight and obesity Abstract: Mukbang is defined as a show that can be pre-recorded or live streamed in which an individual eats a large quantity of food for the viewer. The trend began in South Korea in 2008 and has become a global phenomenon. Some argue that watching mukbang can lead to overweight and obesity, however there are few studies that have fully investigated this. This study estimates the effects of frequent mukbang watching on overweight and obesity among Korean adults using individual-level quasi-panel data from the 2018, 2019, and 2020 Consumer Behaviour Survey for Food conducted by the Korea Rural Economic Institute. The instrumental variable is used to address the endogeneity problem. The results show that frequent mukbang watching increases the likelihood of being overweight by 7.4–7.6%. As a result, the government should consider informational campaigns for awareness and/or introduce regulations on mukbang to prevent and reduce the associated risks leading to overweight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1823-1826 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1823-1826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2108539_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiao Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Yuwen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuwen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Asymmetric ambiguity spillover among international equity markets Abstract: We investigate the ambiguity spillover among international equity markets. We follow Brennan and Izhakian (2018) and develop monthly ambiguity measures using high-frequency trading data of equity indices. The ambiguity spillover demonstrates noticeable asymmetry. The US equity market is the largest ambiguity transmitter to the other markets, while the French equity market is the largest recipient. China has small ambiguity connectedness with the remaining markets. The risk, however, has similarly symmetric spillover effects among different markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1843-1849 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2108539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2108539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1843-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082366_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Marta Escalonilla Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Escalonilla Title: After finishing compulsory education, what path do I choose: academic-related or vocational training-related studies? Abstract: The professional trajectory of population with vocational education and training (VET) continues to be a central issue. Despite the fact that firms more and more demand workers with medium qualification, a low share of population follows this educational path. This paper shows evidence of possible reasons by analysing the differences in terms of earnings that distinguish these individuals from others with different education within the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1772-1775 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1772-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082364_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiao Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Gang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Fund shareholding and corporate inefficiency investment Abstract: This study explains the effect of Securities investment funds shareholding (fund shareholding) on corporate inefficient investment. The results show that fund shareholding has an inverted U-shaped effect on inefficient investment, which is reflected on over-investment, but not on under-investment. Moreover, the results are mainly presented with lower corporate information transparency. Finally, it is suggested that fund shareholding proportion should be appropriately raised to promote the healthy development of the capital market. This study is of reference significance for guiding fund shareholding to play a role of ‘market stabilizer’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1754-1762 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1754-1762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083060_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ganglei Li Author-X-Name-First: Ganglei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yunfei Shao Author-X-Name-First: Yunfei Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Author-Name: Weijia Kong Author-X-Name-First: Weijia Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Title: Could State-owned shareholders promote the performance of private firms? Evidence from China Abstract: In recent years, the Chinese government has continued to increase investment in private firms. However, could State-owned shareholders promote the performance of private firms? There is also a lack of direct evidence. This paper serves a useful supplement to this problem. Based on the large sample data of Chinese listed private companies, the empirical results of this paper confirm the U-shaped relationship between the shareholding ratio of State-owned shareholders and firm performance, and the U-shaped relationship will be more significant when the degree of marketization of private firms is low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1805-1808 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1805-1808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082367_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alpay Arı Author-X-Name-First: Alpay Author-X-Name-Last: Arı Author-Name: Hülya Özkan Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Hülya Author-X-Name-Last: Özkan Özdemir Author-Name: Fatmanur Karaman Kabadurmuş Author-X-Name-First: Fatmanur Karaman Author-X-Name-Last: Kabadurmuş Author-Name: Selma Tosun Author-X-Name-First: Selma Author-X-Name-Last: Tosun Author-Name: Durmuş Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Durmuş Author-X-Name-Last: Özdemir Title: Do socioeconomic inequalities increase the spread of COVID-19 in Turkey? Abstract: This paper clarifies the medical and socio-economic factors affecting the prevalence of COVID-19 by using clinical and survey data in a binary probit model. Socio-economic factors are associated with risk of infection and can increase exposure to and mortality from COVID-19. Inequalities in socio-economic variables affect the prevalence to different degrees. Disparities in education and poverty are more important than being employed or being a smoker for the spread of COVID-19, we find evidence that confirms the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1776-1779 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1776-1779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082361_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hiroyuki Kuwahata Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Kuwahata Title: The impact of foreign direct investment on executive compensation: evidence from the Great Recession Abstract: This study examines the causal effect of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) on executive compensation using compensation data of 2,391 Japanese multinational enterprises (MNEs). A negative demand shock caused by the Great Recession in 2008 is applied to identify the impact of FDI on annual payments to corporate executives. We find that firms engaged in FDI tended to decrease executive compensation in response to the crisis to a greater degree than firms with no foreign investment. The result is consistent with the view that FDI activities may explain the recent increase in executive compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1738-1743 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1738-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082365_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Cheng King Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Jane Du Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Profiting from growth: Trade, investment and the ASEAN-China technology gap Abstract: While outward FDI inflows have increased since 2008, the volume of Southeast Asia’s exports to China has slowed down, prompting discussion about whether this will affect Southeast Asia’s growth. This article empirically tests China’s impact on Southeast Asia’s growth using a nonlinear framework, and finds that economic linkages between Southeast Asia and China have been changing since the mid-1990s, especially during the 1997 and 2008 financial crises and the 2012 bilateral diplomatic change; that FDI is more important to economic growth than exports across Southeast Asia; and that there is no industrial technology gap between Southeast Asia and China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1763-1771 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1763-1771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083064_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pu-Yan Nie Author-X-Name-First: Pu-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Chan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hong-Xing Wen Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Effects of artificial intelligence on duopoly competition Abstract: This article highlights duopoly competition with artificial intelligence (AI) technology. With game theory model, some interesting conclusions are obtained. On one hand, high-cost firms have more intention to invest AI. On the other hand, AI reduces output difference while promotes consumer surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1827-1832 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1827-1832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081661_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Guanyu Su Author-X-Name-First: Guanyu Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Junhui Qian Author-X-Name-First: Junhui Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Does the offshore market matter to China’s exchange rate policy? Abstract: The central parity rate (CPR) is a key instrument for the People’s Bank of China (PBC) to manage the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rate. The current method of CPR formation rests on a gauge of the ‘demand and supply conditions’ in the foreign exchange market. But there are two markets for RMB, the onshore market for CNY and the offshore market for CNH. In this article, we study the role of the offshore market in the CPR formation mechanism and find that changes in CNH have statistically significant predictive power on CPR, especially after the ‘8.11’ reform of 2015. This suggests that PBC does consider the conditions in the offshore market as well as those in the onshore market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1734-1737 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1734-1737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2081659_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jianqiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jianqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: How does the deterrence of fraud affect firms’ innovation outputs? Abstract: This paper examines how the deterrence of fraud affects firms’ innovation outputs, based on a quasi-experiment of the Whistleblower Program. We find that the deterrence of fraud is positively related to firms’ innovation outputs, both quantitatively and qualitatively. Moreover, its impact is more pronounced when a firm has more information asymmetry or higher employee turnover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1723-1727 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2081659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2081659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1723-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2082362_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ji-Hung (Ryan) Choi Author-X-Name-First: Ji-Hung (Ryan) Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Taewan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Taewan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Menus of multi-part tariffs under asymmetric information Abstract: We investigate how a firm strategically manages the characteristics of a menu of three-part tariff to maximize its profit while consumers self-select the products. As the unit price designed for low-type segments and fixed fee as a function of free allowance increases, the firm can make a higher profit by offering more quantity units to its low segment customers. These two dynamic forces also shape the information rent, which is generated due to an information asymmetry, and hence reduced. Thus, this condition will eventually mitigate the issue of cannibalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1744-1748 Issue: 13 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2082362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2082362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:13:p:1744-1748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083765_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Mercedes Monfort Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Monfort Title: Fiscal consumption and private consumption in Europe: what have we learned? Abstract: In this paper we contribute to the long literature on how fiscal policy affects the real economy. In particular, we focus on how government consumption affects private consumption for a pool of European economies. We estimate panel vector error correction models between the two consumption variables for the EU 28 + Norway and Switzerland, for the two periods before and after 2008. The results show that government consumption affects private consumption differently in the periods before and after 2008. This means an increase in government consumption could have a positive impact on private consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1930-1935 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1930-1935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2086680_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jens Mohrenweiser Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Mohrenweiser Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: Reference wages and turnover intentions: evidence from linked employer-employee data Abstract: This research note analyzes the nexus between workers’ turnover intentions and workers’ own wages, internal and external reference wages. Worker and establishment surveys are linked with administrative social security data for all workers in surveyed establishments. Approximately half a million worker-year observations are used to predict conditional internal and external reference wages. Results show that higher external and internal reference wages are correlated with higher turnover intentions. Thus, external reference wages seem to serve as outside options and higher reference wages of co-workers seem rather to reduce own social status than to signal better future prospects at the current employer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1955-1959 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2086680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2086680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1955-1959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083562_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xin Han Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Fiscal transfer under tax and infrastructure competition Abstract: Interjurisdictional fiscal transfer is generally divided into special transfer payments and general transfer payments. We analyse the welfare implications of these two types of transfer within the framework of tax and infrastructure competition for capital among jurisdictions. The results show that when the decline rate of marginal productivity of capital is low, special transfer payments generate a higher level of social welfare than the general transfer regime if the fiscal transfer is sufficiently large. However, when the decline rate of marginal productivity is high, general transfer payments always dominate the special transfer regime in terms of welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1904-1908 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1904-1908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083566_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Arthur Le Pargneux Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Le Pargneux Author-Name: Hossam Zeitoun Author-X-Name-First: Hossam Author-X-Name-Last: Zeitoun Title: Patience and subjective well-being Abstract: We show that patience is a key determinant of subjective well-being differences between countries. To address potential endogeneity bias, we apply an instrumental variable approach using the share of Protestants in the country, which prior literature has associated with patience and used as an instrument. While tentative, our findings are consistent with a sizable causal effect of patience on subjective well-being. They are robust across several specifications and hold for three different measures of subjective well-being: life satisfaction, positive affect, and negative affect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1923-1929 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1923-1929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2086681_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Constant L. Yayi Author-X-Name-First: Constant L. Author-X-Name-Last: Yayi Title: The lag effect of economic policy uncertainty on remittances Abstract: We examine the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on remittances paid by international migrants using a sample of 14 developed countries over the period spanning from 1997 to 2020. Contrary to the intuition, our results indicate that EPU has no contemporaneous effect but rather a lagged positive and significant effect on remittances paid. More specifically, we find that remittances paid per capita increase by 0.11–0.13% in the year following the period of uncertainty. These findings confirm the resiliency of remittances sent by international migrants from developed to developing countries during times of uncertainties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1960-1965 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2086681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2086681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1960-1965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083554_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Faheem Ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Faheem Ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Kazi Sohag Author-X-Name-First: Kazi Author-X-Name-Last: Sohag Title: Does transport infrastructure spur export diversification and sophistication in the G-20 economies? An application of CS-ARDL Abstract: This study investigates the effect of transport infrastructure on export sophistication and diversification in the G-20 economies by applying the cross-sectional dependency autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The empirical findings demonstrate that transport infrastructure spurs export sophistication and diversification in the short and long run. Besides, outward foreign direct investment, institutional quality and human capital contribute to exporting sophistication and diversification. Our results are robust in the common correlation effect, homogeneity and heterogeneity restrictions in the short- and long-run parameters, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1861-1865 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1861-1865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2084015_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Do weather disasters affect banks’ systemic risks? Two channels that confirm it Abstract: This study investigates whether weather disasters affect financial stability through the channels of the deposit-to-loans ratio and non-performing loans. The results document that the disaster channel is a source of financial instability for US banks. They recommend the urgent prevention of natural disasters by improving pollution treatment technology, leading to reduced greenhouse gases emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1936-1939 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2084015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2084015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1936-1939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2186343_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Meiqi Liang Author-X-Name-First: Meiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Wenyan Cao Author-X-Name-First: Wenyan Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Handi Jing Author-X-Name-First: Handi Author-X-Name-Last: Jing Title: The influence of SIFs managers’ characteristics on fund performance: an empirical study in China Abstract: This paper adopts principal component analysis to assign weights to three fund performances obtained independently by the Sharpe index, Jensen index, and Treynor index. Therefore, a comprehensive model for the performance of Chinese securities investment funds (SIFs) is derived by combining these three indexes. The empirical study shows that the regression between SIFs managers’ characteristics and fund performance is better when using this comprehensive measurement model. Moreover, SIFs managers’ experience and tenure have negative and positive effects on fund performance, respectively. However, their gender, education level, professional qualification holdings, research experience, and abroad experience, do not significantly influence the fund performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1978-1985 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2186343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2186343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1978-1985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2086678_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yong Qi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Simeng Lyu Author-X-Name-First: Simeng Author-X-Name-Last: Lyu Author-Name: Shuo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shuo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shaoyu Dong Author-X-Name-First: Shaoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: How do zombie firms affect the financialization of normal firms? Abstract: This study examines the relationship between zombie firms and the financialization of normal firms in the context of ‘from real to virtual’. Using data of Chinese listed firms from 2008 to 2019, we find that zombie firms increase the financialization of normal firms. Further, mediating mechanism tests show that total factor productivity and bank loans are two major channels. Moreover, we find that the motivation of corporate financialization is ‘capital arbitrage’, rather than ‘capital reserve’. This study explains the motivation and impact of the financialization of Chinese non-financial companies, elucidates the necessity of disposing of zombie firms, and promotes high-quality economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1940-1945 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2086678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2086678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1940-1945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083552_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Caiyun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Caiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiangyan Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyan Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Jiannan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jiannan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Chenli Fang Author-X-Name-First: Chenli Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Can environmental regulations improve the investment efficiency of heavily polluting firms? A quasi-natural experiment in China Abstract: In light of China’s implementation of the Environmental Protection Tax Law (EPT Law) on 1 January 2018, this paper empirically investigates the influence of environmental regulations on the investment behaviour of heavily polluting firms using a difference-in-differences (DID) model. The EPT Law is found to improve the investment efficiency of heavily polluting firms by restraining overinvestment, an effect that applies mainly to private firms, particularly those with no political affiliations. This paper enriches the existing research on the economic consequences of the EPT Law by integrating environmental regulations, property rights, political affiliation and investment efficiency into a unified framework. This study’s findings are instructive for understanding the economic effects of environmental regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1851-1855 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1851-1855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083556_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jiancheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiancheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Donghao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Donghao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zerong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zerong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Digital finance, stock market participation and asset allocation of Chinese households Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the relation between the development of digital inclusive finance (DIF) and household stock market participation, as well as asset allocation. Using the digital financial inclusion index developed by Peking University and data from the 2019 China Household Finance Survey, we find that DIF significantly facilitates the probability of stock market participation and the proportion of assets allocating to equities of Chinese households. We use an instrumental variable approach to alleviate the endogeneity problem and find that the benchmark findings remain robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1870-1873 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1870-1873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083555_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Khaled Alsaifi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Alsaifi Author-Name: Abdullah A. Aljughaiman Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah A. Author-X-Name-Last: Aljughaiman Author-Name: Husain Aboualhasan Author-X-Name-First: Husain Author-X-Name-Last: Aboualhasan Author-Name: Ibraheem Alaskar Author-X-Name-First: Ibraheem Author-X-Name-Last: Alaskar Title: As a first-ever of cancelling the whole session’s trades and returns of listed banks Abstract: We examine the effect of the Capital Market Authority’s decision to cancel an entire day’s trades on the returns of listed banks. To investigate the impact of this event, we use the event-study method and apply it over a defined period. Our results provide evidence of a significant negative effect from the cancellation of a day’s trading on banks’ returns over the examined period. However, further analysis indicates that this effect turned insignificant once additional announcements that found favour with investors were made. These findings confirm the harmful cost of cancellation decision that first-ever happened in the financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1866-1869 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1866-1869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083561_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kangyu Ren Author-X-Name-First: Kangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Tianyu Qin Author-X-Name-First: Tianyu Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Yuandong Mu Author-X-Name-First: Yuandong Author-X-Name-Last: Mu Title: The role of aggregate risk aversion in the pricing of economic uncertainty Abstract: We find that time-varying aggregate risk aversion is a vital state variable to the pricing of economic uncertainty documented by Bali et al. (2017). Economic uncertainty is priced only during periods with a high aggregate risk aversion level. Risk aversion-related component in economic uncertainty contributes the major proportion of uncertainty premium. This proportion fluctuates with real economy, whereas the remaining varies with market sentiment. Uncertainty premium is most prominent following periods simultaneously having high aggregate risk aversion and high economic uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1896-1903 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1896-1903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083560_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Léonard Moulin Author-X-Name-First: Léonard Author-X-Name-Last: Moulin Title: Private schooling and unhealthy lifestyle in France Abstract: Using data which follow the educational trajectories of students during secondary education and measure health status during adulthood, this paper analyzes the effects of private schooling on a range of unhealthy lifestyle outcomes. To account for the non-random selection of students in French private schools I use propensity score matching. I find a positive effect of private schooling on the self-reported health status of girls and a negative effect for boys. These results are related to those on risky behaviours: I find that enrolment in a private school reduces the likelihood of daily smoking for girls, but increases the likelihood of drinking multiple times a week for boys, twelve years after sixth grade. A set of robustness checks confirms the robustness of my results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1891-1895 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1891-1895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083559_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dejan Glavas Author-X-Name-First: Dejan Author-X-Name-Last: Glavas Title: Do green bond issuers suffer from financial constraints? Abstract: We find that green bond issuers are more financially constrained. We use three measures of financial constraint, which are the FCP index, the SA index, and the Altman’s Z score. We test the link between green bond issuance and financial constraints using difference in means, regression analyses and a matching procedure. We finally document that these constraints increase after the first green bond issuance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1887-1890 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083559 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1887-1890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083565_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yu Haizong Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Haizong Author-Name: Zhu Huijuan Author-X-Name-First: Zhu Author-X-Name-Last: Huijuan Author-Name: Xia Changyuan Author-X-Name-First: Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Changyuan Title: Social security contributions, financing constraints and demand for higher audit quality-evidence from China Abstract: This paper discusses the impact and mechanism of corporate social security contributions on the demand for higher audit quality. The study finds that social security contributions increase high-quality audit demand of firms. The mechanism is found to be that social security contributions motivate firms to raise capital by increasing financing constraints, and then firms choose high-quality audit services to strive for financing. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of social security contributions on the demand for higher audit quality is more significant in non-state-owned firms and firms with higher labour intensity. The above findings respond to audit demand signalling theory in terms of theoretical and empirical data and provide thinking for better understanding the effects of social security contributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1918-1922 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1918-1922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2087855_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zixie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zixie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The economic costs of terrorism: evidence from the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in China Abstract: I investigate the economic influence of terrorism in China using the synthetic control method pioneered by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003). Organized terrorist attacks began in 1996 in China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. Comparing actual Xinjiang with a synthetic control without terrorism, I find that terrorist attacks have a pernicious effect on Xinjiang’s economic growth, leading to a loss of 38% of Xinjiang’s GDP per capita in 2018. My result challenges the traditional view that economic growth is not significantly affected by terrorism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1966-1972 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2087855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2087855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1966-1972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083558_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thorsten Janus Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Janus Title: Democracy and statistical capacity Abstract: This paper addresses two questions. First, how is democracy related to statistical capacity? Second, do statistical capacity problems limit economic impact estimates? The results show that, first, democracy in 2004 is strongly associated with the World Bank’s overall statistical capacity index from 2004–18, even controlling for income and region effects. Second, when we regress the change in net export revenues on global commodity prices, we find that the (measured) net-export response to price shocks is 40–100% greater in countries with high statistical capacity. The measured growth response to export prices is at least 90% greater. The results suggest that it is important for researchers and policymakers to address statistical-capacity limitations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1882-1886 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083558 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1882-1886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2086679_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu Author-X-Name-First: Adriana AnaMaria Author-X-Name-Last: Davidescu Author-Name: Monica Aureliana Petcu Author-X-Name-First: Monica Aureliana Author-X-Name-Last: Petcu Author-Name: Stefania Cristina Curea Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Curea Author-Name: Eduard Mihai Manta Author-X-Name-First: Eduard Mihai Author-X-Name-Last: Manta Title: The relationship between informality and sustainable development goals through text analysis Abstract: This study analysed the relationship between informality and sustainable development goals using the bibliometric analysis. The empirical results emphasized that urban development, women’s agenda, and decent work are the main areas of informality circumscribed in the issue of sustainable development, guiding the priorities in research and for decision makers by conclusive and relevant information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1946-1954 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2086679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2086679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1946-1954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083564_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yiding Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yiding Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Xingzhi Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Xingzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Yuke Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yuke Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Global Value Chains and the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Promotion or Hindrance? Abstract: Using two country panel datasets with two different magnitudes, we attempt to explore whether global value chain (GVC) participation affects the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) turning point. Our analysis suggests that countries more deeply involved in GVCs are associated with lower EKC turning points. Moreover, based on an exploration of division heterogeneity, this finding may be potentially dominated by forward GVC division. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1913-1917 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1913-1917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094873_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yi Chi Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Author-Name: Yang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Dong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yuejiao Bao Author-X-Name-First: Yuejiao Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Title: Corporate strategic deviance and stock price volatility: from the perspective of information asymmetry Abstract: This study investigates the effect of corporate strategic deviance on stock price volatility based on the perspective of information asymmetry. We find that corporate strategy deviance significantly increases stock price volatility, and information asymmetry is the leading cause of this increasing effect. Furthermore, analyst coverage has played a role in alleviating information asymmetry which reduces the positive effect of strategic deviance on stock price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1973-1977 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1973-1977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083557_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mathieu Mercadier Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Mercadier Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: (Simple) ΔCoVaR bounds Abstract: We develop simple versions of upper bounds of the widely used systemic risk measure of ΔCoVaR that are straightforward to calculate, and may prove useful as (conservative) benchmarks in an applied context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1874-1881 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1874-1881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083553_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Insa Diop Author-X-Name-First: Insa Author-X-Name-Last: Diop Author-Name: Fousseini Traoré Author-X-Name-First: Fousseini Author-X-Name-Last: Traoré Title: The paradox of the supply elasticity of cotton in Mali Abstract: Many previous studies highlight that the supply elasticity of agricultural products is not always symmetric. Indeed, the main finding from the literature is that the supply of agricultural products responds more to rising prices than falling prices. However, in the context of Mali, producers seem to be particularly more sensitive to price falls and prefer to grow other crops such as maize. In this paper, we test whether the supply elasticity of cotton in Mali is asymmetric or not, and if so, characterizes the nature of the asymmetry. We apply a nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach to the Nerlove model. Our results show that the supply elasticity of cotton is symmetric in the short-run and asymmetric in the long-run, and that cotton supply responds more to price falls than price rises in the long-run. The key finding is a paradox in the opposite direction of the asymmetry found in the literature. In the context of falling price, producers are more flexible in substituting another competitive crop for cotton, while in the case of rising prices, producers deal with insufficient access to credit and acreage, poor quality of soil and lack of equipment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1856-1860 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1856-1860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2083563_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lucas W. Davis Author-X-Name-First: Lucas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Electric vehicles in multi-vehicle households Abstract: This paper uses U.S. nationally representative data from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey to present a series of facts about electric vehicles (EVs) in multi-vehicle households. First, as of the time of the survey, 89% of households with an EV also had a non-electric vehicle in addition to the EV. Second, 60% of households with an EV also had a non-electric SUV, truck, or minivan. Third, 66% of households with an EV also had a non-electric vehicle that was driven more miles per year. The paper argues that these patterns have significant implications for the environmental impact of EVs and underscore the importance of better understanding how multi-vehicle households substitute between vehicles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1909-1912 Issue: 14 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2083563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2083563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:14:p:1909-1912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2093827_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kohei Okada Author-X-Name-First: Kohei Author-X-Name-Last: Okada Title: Education policy and R&D-based growth in an overlapping-generations model Abstract: We employ a research and development (R&D) based growth overlapping-generations model with endogenous education decision-making and the government’s education policy to examine how education policy and human capital accumulation influence R&D activities. According to our study, an increase in the government’s public education expenditure has an inverted U-shaped effect on the steady-state growth rate. Moreover, a tax rate level that maximizes the steady-state growth rate exists. At this tax rate level, the steady-state welfare level is also maximized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2091-2097 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2093827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2093827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2091-2097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094314_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zi Nie Author-X-Name-First: Zi Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Lina Yan Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Zhitao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhitao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Bingcheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Bingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Disclosure delay and financial distress prediction: based on Chinese annual reports disclosure system Abstract: Based on the data of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2009 to 2018, we explore the impact of delayed disclosure of annual report on the accuracy of financial distress prediction. We find that the information of disclosure delay can significantly improve the accuracy of financial distress prediction. After using alternative measurement of the disclosure delay and considering the endogeneity problem, our conclusions are robust. Our study provides reference for regulatory authorities to standardize the companies’ disclosure behaviours and prevent and resolve their major risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2098-2101 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2098-2101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089341_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gopikumar V Author-X-Name-First: Gopikumar Author-X-Name-Last: V Author-Name: Smitha Nair Author-X-Name-First: Smitha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Author-Name: Gyanendra Singh Sisodia Author-X-Name-First: Gyanendra Singh Author-X-Name-Last: Sisodia Title: The effect of financial reporting quality on institutional ownership Abstract: We examined the sophisticated institutional investors’ preference for sustainable investing. Precisely, we examine the link between financial reporting quality and investment behaviour of institutional investors in the context of relatively high level of information asymmetry. The results suggest that sophisticated (i.e. institutional) investors tend to shy away from firms with poor quality of information in financial statements. Our analysis also suggest that an aggregate institutional ownership reduces by 1.2% for every unit decrease in financial reporting quality, and foreign institutional ownership decreases by 1%. Foreign ownership in firms with influential block holders decreases by 3% for every unit decrease in financial reporting quality. Overall, we find that institutional investors avoid relying on trading strategies that enhance returns based on information discovery in markets with high information acquisition costs and liquidity constraints, such as emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2020-2023 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2020-2023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089620_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xianhai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xianhai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Sirui Hou Author-X-Name-First: Sirui Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Handi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Handi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Information infrastructure and knowledge diffusion: a quasi-natural experiment based on the ‘Broadband China’ strategy Abstract: ‘Broadband China’ strategy launched in 2014 aimed to expand information infrastructure coverage of Chinese cities. This study shows that the information infrastructure facilitates knowledge diffusion among pilot cities of ‘Broadband China’, using this as a quasi-natural experiment. Further analysis reveals a positive interaction effect between information and transportation infrastructure on intercity knowledge diffusion. These findings imply that developing information infrastructure is vital for technological innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2046-2051 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2046-2051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094317_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jingjing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Caifu Li Author-X-Name-First: Caifu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Kaiqian Wu Author-X-Name-First: Kaiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does risk disclosure influence mergers and acquisitions? A textual analysis Abstract: Using textual analysis and the data of China’s A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2020, this study examines how risk disclosure in annual reports influences subsequent mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The empirical results show that the risk disclosure tone of annual reports is positively associated with the probability of engaging in M&A deals and bid premium, but is negatively associated with long-term stock returns. Furthermore, the level of risk disclosure in annual reports exerts a negative impact on the probability of all-cash bids and bid premium, but positively associated with the long-term M&A performance, indicating that risk disclosure helps alleviate the information asymmetry between acquirers and targets. The empirical evidence highlights the value relevance of risk disclosure content in annual reports, and the importance in strengthening the supervision of qualitative information disclosure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2113-2121 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2113-2121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089343_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaoou Man Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoou Author-X-Name-Last: Man Author-Name: Zengxin Xue Author-X-Name-First: Zengxin Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Author-Name: Jiatong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiatong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The impact of long-term and short-term health shock on the labour supply and labour income of migrant workers in China: the mediating role of medical insurance Abstract: Using national data from China Labour-force Dynamics Survey (CLDS), we apply Heckman two-step model and instrumental variable method to analyse the impact of long-term and short-term health shock on the labour supply and labour income of migrant workers as well as the mediating effect of medical insurance. Results indicate that both long-term and short-term health shock significantly reduce the labour supply and labour income of migrant workers. In particular, the negative effect of short-term health shock on labour supply proves greater than that of long-term health shock, and the negative effect of long-term health shock on labour income proves greater than that of short-term health shock. Medical insurance mitigates the negative effect of short-term health shock on the labour supply and labour income of migrant workers, yet produces no remarkable mediating effect on migrant workers who suffer from long-term health shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2030-2034 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2030-2034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089338_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chuan-Hsiang Han Author-X-Name-First: Chuan-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: The VolCo index: a measure of the transition from pandemic to equity market Abstract: The COVID-19 has serious impacts on the economy and contaminates the equity market because its spread leads to enormous uncertainty, which can be measured by various volatilities from backward and forward information contents. We find that the pandemic-related data are significant for regressing various volatilities. Hence, we construct the index termed the Volatility of COVID-19 pandemic (VolCo) as a proxy of equity market volatility, including GJR-GARCH volatility, instantaneous volatility, VIX index and their combination. This VolCo index provides an explanation for the volatility of equity market in the period of COVID-19 spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2004-2008 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2004-2008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094316_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qiubin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Qiubin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Ownership concentration and bank stability in China Abstract: Ownership concentration (OC) is important for improving bank stability, but its effect is arguable. Based on a sample of Chinese listed banks, we uncover a positive effect of OC on bank stability captured by Z-score, where the effect can be attributed to higher returns and capital levels of banks with more concentrated ownership. We also find that such banks have higher return volatilities and asset risks. These findings are more pronounced for smaller banks. An important policy implication is that bankers and regulators need to weigh the favourable and adverse effects of OC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2108-2112 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2108-2112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094318_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hui-Chun Peng Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: The whistleblowing mechanism and tax evasion: an experimental study with private income-level information Abstract: This paper uses the laboratory experiment to examine the effect of whistleblowing in the context of tax evasion when individual income level is private information. According to the experimental result, it shows that the whistleblowing mechanism effectively mitigates tax evasion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2122-2127 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2122-2127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2091104_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: George Pantelopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Pantelopoulos Title: Foreign direct investment vs. Foreign portfolio investment with respect to human capital: the impact of education on the host OECD Countries Abstract: This paper describes an empirical investigation to provide a more accurate and detailed picture of the relationship between education and the two core forms of international investment: foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI). We found that human capital related to education can lay a foundation with policy and strategy implications for host country governments and multinational corporations. The analysis focused on developed countries belonging to the OECD, from 1960 to 2010, and employed a series of education variables across the main educational levels. The empirical findings suggest that FDI is affected by the secondary and tertiary levels while FPI is affected only by the tertiary. Also, the Schooling and Completion Ratios appear to have a major impact on the flow of both FDI and FPI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2060-2068 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2091104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2091104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2060-2068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2092590_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Carlos Francisco Alves Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Author-Name: Bernardo P. Marques Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo P. Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Author-Name: Joana C. Silva Author-X-Name-First: Joana C. Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Transnational Banking Supervision, Distance-to-Distress and Credit Risk: the SSM Case Abstract: We assess the impact of adopting a transnational supervisor on the distance-to-distress and credit risk of large and complex banks, exploring the establishment of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) in 2014 as a quasi-natural experiment. Using a differences-in-differences approach, we compare SSM banks vis-à-vis banks with a similar size and complexity operating in European countries outside the SSM. Our results suggest that adopting a transnational supervisor increases the distance-to-distress, particularly for banks operating in countries with larger banking sectors, higher market concentration and greater supervisory discretion. We also show that SSM banks reduced loan loss reserves and NPLs significantly more than non-SSM banks, but only among the most capitalized banks – which is consistent with the notion that well-capitalized banks are better able to weather haircuts induced by credit risk reduction initiatives. Interestingly, we find that SSM banks from countries with greater supervisory discretion saw their NPLs increase in the first years of the SSM, which could reflect the elimination of national idiosyncrasies in credit risk accounting. In general, the evidence presented in our paper suggests that transnational supervision bears a superior ability to increase the distance-to-distress, reduce credit risk, and harmonize supervisory practices among large and complex banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2079-2085 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2092590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2092590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2079-2085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094315_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Z. Eylem Gevrek Author-X-Name-First: Z. Eylem Author-X-Name-Last: Gevrek Author-Name: Deniz Gevrek Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Gevrek Title: Social norms and the gender gap in labor force participation: Evidence from Turkey Abstract: We use a novel two-step empirical strategy to examine the relationship between social norms and the gender gap in labour force participation (LFP) across provinces of Turkey. In the first step, we identify the unexplained part of the gender gap in LFP that remains after accounting for differences in observed characteristics between women and men for each province by implementing a decomposition method. In the second step, we investigate the role of social norms in explaining cross-province variation in the unexplained part. The results reveal that more egalitarian gender role attitudes, smaller gender gap in tertiary education, lower fertility and consanguineous marriage rates, and lower level of religiosity significantly predict a smaller unexplained part of the gender gap in LFP favouring males. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2102-2107 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2102-2107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089339_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Matthew F. Larsen Author-X-Name-First: Matthew F. Author-X-Name-Last: Larsen Author-Name: Jon Valant Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Valant Title: Fuzzy difference-in-discontinuities when the confounding variation is sharp: evidence from grade retention policies Abstract: This letter examines a fuzzy difference-in-discontinuity design where the primary policy of interest has imperfect compliance but confounding variation has perfect compliance. After proposing the estimator, we examine an application in education policy where test score cut-offs are used to determine grade assignment with imperfect compliance but performance labels with perfect compliance. We find that students who are not retained in 8th grade are more likely to graduate high school and attend college. Furthermore, after accounting for the effect of confounding performance labels, estimates are even more positive. Notably, we also find that our fuzzy difference-in-discontinuity estimates are quite noisy, suggesting that applications of the estimator may be limited to settings with many observations near the threshold. This estimator may be useful in education research and other settings where scores are used to both assign treatment and label individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2009-2013 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2009-2013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Takeshi Niizeki Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Niizeki Title: How does household expenditure respond to inflation expectations? Evidence from randomized information treatments in Japan Abstract: Exploiting an exogenous variation in inflation expectations driven by randomized information treatments, I examined the extent to which the inflation expectations influence the current household expenditure in Japan. The findings are as follows. First, those who received the information on the latest inflation rate (‒0.6%) revised their inflation expectations downward. Second, a rise in inflation expectations has a positive impact on the current household expenditure. Third, the estimated intertemporal elasticity of substitution is large (about unity), suggesting that the intertemporal substitution played an important role in the current analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2035-2039 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2035-2039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2087857_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jungtaek Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungtaek Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The effect of vaccination on social isolation during the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: The objective of this study is to investigate the effect of vaccination on social isolation and loneliness. Data from 6,049 individuals were collected from the Understanding America Study (UAS). I use the fixed effect model with the panel data to control time-constant unobserved characteristics which affect vaccination status as well as social isolation. Vaccination was related to about 2 percentage points increase in the proportion of those who met family or friends in person. Days in the past week interacting with family or friends increased. Vaccination was also associated with about 1 percentage point decrease in the proportion of those who felt lonely for more than one day in the past week. The degree of loneliness measured by how often respondents felt lonely in the past week decreased by 2 percentage points for the vaccinated respondents. I found that vaccination decreased subjective social isolation (loneliness) and objective social isolation (interaction with people in person). I also consider the dynamic effect of vaccination status on social isolation. Results suggest that the effect of vaccination became bigger with increasing duration of vaccination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1987-1994 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2087857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2087857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:1987-1994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089342_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hiep Ngoc Luu Author-X-Name-First: Hiep Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Luu Author-Name: Dinh Dinh Do Author-X-Name-First: Dinh Dinh Author-X-Name-Last: Do Author-Name: Thanh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Viet Xuan Ho Author-X-Name-First: Viet Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Quynh-Anh Dinh Author-X-Name-First: Quynh-Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Dinh Title: Cultural values and the adoption of central bank digital currency Abstract: This paper examines the impact of national culture on the decision of countries to adopt a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Using Hofstede’s cultural framework (i.e. Power Distance, Individualism, Masculinity, Uncertainty Avoidance and Long-term Orientation) to measure different cultural values, we find that countries with more power distance, masculinity and long-term orientation cultures are more eager to adopt a CBDC. By contrast, countries with a cultural value leaning towards uncertainty avoidance are less involved in the adoption of a CBDC. These results hold more for retail CBDC than for wholesale CBDC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2024-2029 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2024-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2091743_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zuobao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zuobao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Lin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Dongxue Li Author-X-Name-First: Dongxue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Accounting for wealth inequality and its change: decomposition analyses for the US, 1995-2019 Abstract: This paper decomposes the components of wealth inequality and its change in the United States during the period 2006–2016. The results show that wealth inequality in the US is extremely high. Real estate, non-housing assets and financial investments are the first three important components of equivalent wealth and overall inequality. Financial investments, real estate liabilities and non-housing liabilities have positive marginal impacts on overall inequality, while other assets’ marginal impacts are negative. Financial investments changes had the largest impact on the aggregate trends of wealth inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2074-2078 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2091743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2091743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2074-2078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089337_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kei Hosoya Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoya Title: Environmental endogenous discounting and multiple equilibria: A comment Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to supplement the study of Dioikitopoulos et al. (2020), which introduces an endogenous time preference and presents a model for the comprehensive investigation of economic growth and environmental issues. In particular, this paper explores some aspects of the numerical analysis in the original paper and presents important numerical examples regarding multiplicity and local stability of equilibria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1995-2003 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:1995-2003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2091105_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gary van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Author-Name: Max van der Lecq Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: van der Lecq Title: Global maximal Sharpe ratios for active portfolios Abstract: Active fund performance is assessed relative to specified benchmarks. Fund managers aim to generate portfolio returns higher than the benchmarks while adhering to constraints such as tracking errors (TE) and asset weight restrictions. For each TE, the maximum active portfolio return and associated absolute portfolio risk traces out a hyperbolic TE frontier in risk/return space. The locus of all possible active portfolio coordinates for a given level of TE traces out a closed, distorted ellipse in risk/return space. Attempts to optimize active portfolio performance at a given TE include the maximum active return portfolio, the maximum active return portfolio with the same absolute risk as the benchmark and the tangent portfolio (maximal risk adjusted return or Sharpe ratio (SR)). Using the maximum SR approach, the locus of maximal, active portfolio SRs for different TEs is roughly parabolic with a clearly defined maximum at a unique TE. We derive a solution for identifying these global maximum SR portfolios and find that these occur at feasible TEs (i.e. $$ \le 15\% $$≤15% – within the range of most active portfolios) but only if inter-asset correlations are relatively low ($$ \lt 0.30$$<0.30). For asset correlations $$ \gt 0.35$$>0.35, maximal SRs occur at unrealistically high TEs ($$ \gt 15\% $$>15%). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2069-2073 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2091105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2091105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2069-2073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2092591_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vidya Atal Author-X-Name-First: Vidya Author-X-Name-Last: Atal Author-Name: Orkideh Gharehgozli Author-X-Name-First: Orkideh Author-X-Name-Last: Gharehgozli Author-Name: Luis San Vicente Portes Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: San Vicente Portes Title: Higher labour market bargaining power, higher unemployment in recessions Abstract: A well-known stylized fact about the US labour market is the behaviour of the female-to-male unemployment gap over the business cycle – in downturns, female unemployment rises at a slower pace than male unemployment, which reduces the gap between the genders; in upturns, the reverse is observed: men’s unemployment falls faster than women’s, thus rendering the gap pro-cyclical. In this paper, we model the labour market under a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides framework where the labour supply consists of women and men, who differ in their equilibrium (Nash) bargaining agreement over the match’s surplus. We show that, in the presence of such asymmetry, a negative aggregate productivity shock leads to a pro-cyclical female-to-male unemployment rate gap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2086-2090 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2092591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2092591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2086-2090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089619_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Robert J. Sonora Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sonora Title: Estimates of a ‘Pandemic Taylor rule’ loss function Abstract: This article applies a central bank-style loss function to policymaker decision-making during the Covid-19 pandemic. An empirical Taylor rule-style model is used to estimate preference weights associated with lost economic activity and Covid-19 cases and deaths for the four largest US states. Results demonstrate that there are preference differences across states with Republican-led states placing greater weight on economic loss than do those with Democrat governors. Moreover, all states in the sample responded to changes in Covid over the sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2040-2045 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2040-2045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhi Su Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Xuanye Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xuanye Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: You Wu Author-X-Name-First: You Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Exchange rates forecasting and trend analysis after the COVID-19 outbreak: new evidence from interpretable machine learning Abstract: We investigate the predictability of 12 exchange rates with machine learning, Deep Learning and interpretable machine learning (IML) models, based on a daily dataset from December 2019 to August 2021. We find that the appreciation and depreciation of exchange rates can be partly captured by Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) and Long Short-Term Memory, especially for the developed currencies. Inconsistent with general perception, the LightGBM model performs the best in exchange rates forecasting since its short-term information extracting mode and great robustness on small datasets. Furthermore, by employing a representative global IML method, the Accumulated Local Effect algorithm, we find that the 1 ~ 3 lags of exchange rates provide more useful information for forecasting, which can help investors improve their models’ predictive ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2052-2059 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2052-2059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2089340_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jiajun Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jiajun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Jing Gao Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Hongping Tan Author-X-Name-First: Hongping Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Mind the chair-CEO age dissimilarity: an implicit internal monitoring mechanism Abstract: Age dissimilarity is an important indicator of executives’ heterogeneity and cognitive conflict. Using Chinese-listed firms between 2005 and 2020 as sample, this paper finds that greater chair–CEO age dissimilarity results in more board monitoring and higher firm value. In addition, the board monitoring plays a mediating role in explaining the relationship between age dissimilarity and firm value. However, the effect of age dissimilarity may be opposite when the chairman is younger than the CEO. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2014-2019 Issue: 15 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2089340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2089340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:15:p:2014-2019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096847_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mobing Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Mobing Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xiaohui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Opportunity for whom: economic policy uncertainty, managerial ability and firm value Abstract: Different from the overwhelming evidence in support of the negative effect of economic policy uncertainty on firm value, our findings show that economic policy uncertainty has positive impact on firm value in firms with high managerial ability using the firm-level data from China over the time period 2003 to 2020. Moreover, our mechanism analyses reveal that firms with high managerial ability differ from those with low managerial ability by conducting more acquisitions and innovation activities and improving cost efficiency when faced with high economic policy uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2220-2223 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2220-2223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094320_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Author-Name: Jean Francois Lamarche Author-X-Name-First: Jean Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Lamarche Title: The regression approach to the estimation and additive decomposition of the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke poverty measures Abstract: We propose a new regression-based approach to the estimation and additive decomposition of the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke (FGT) poverty measures. Unlike the original additive decomposition for which subgroup population shares are used as weights, the new additive decomposition uses subgroup poor population shares as weights. Our simulation results reveal low biases of the regression-based estimators of the FGT poverty measures even for moderate sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2136-2140 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2136-2140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094871_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chinonso Ezenwa Etumnu Author-X-Name-First: Chinonso Ezenwa Author-X-Name-Last: Etumnu Title: Free shipping Abstract: A recent study (Gil et. al., 2020) found that free shipping can hurt an online retailer if their optimal strategy is to charge shipping fees. But does this observation apply to Amazon? To ascertain this, I estimate the effect of free shipping on grocery sales using data from Amazon Canada. I find that freely shipped products receive more sales on average. Specifically, being eligible for free shipping is associated with an average increase of 435 in the best sellers rank of ground coffee products on amazon.ca. The increased sales are likely because Amazon’s customers are hesitant to pay shipping fees, and freely shipped products have lower prices and a higher average rating, and these product attributes drive demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2161-2164 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2161-2164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096855_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alban Moura Author-X-Name-First: Alban Author-X-Name-Last: Moura Title: Trend breaks and the long-run implications of investment-specific technological progress Abstract: I update the Greenwood, Hercowitz, and Krusell (1997, GHK) decomposition of U.S. growth into contributions from neutral and investment-specific (IS) technological progress. I allow the decomposition to vary across sub-samples, reflecting the presence of trend breaks in the data. The estimates show strong heterogeneity across periods: while neutral technological progress explained virtually all growth between 1950 and the mid-1970s, IS technological progress accounts for 75% of growth since the 1980s. These results paint a more complex picture of postwar U.S. growth than GHK’s original decomposition and call for a better understanding of the 1970s productivity shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2270-2275 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2270-2275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096846_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Xuanyue Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuanyue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How high-speed rail reduces haze pollution in China Abstract: This article examines the effect of high-speed rail (HSR) on haze pollution using a panel data set covering 276 Chinese cities in 2010–2019 using the GS2SLS approach. It is found that HSR accessibility can significantly reduce haze pollution in China, which has important policy implications on HSR development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2216-2219 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2216-2219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096849_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yingying Xin Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Author-Name: Xiao Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Zhengying Luo Author-X-Name-First: Zhengying Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Suppliers’ annual report tone and enterprise inventory efficiency Abstract: Using the data from disclosed information on the top 5 suppliers and annual report tone by Chinese A-share listed firms, this article examines the impact of supplier’s annual report tone on enterprise inventory efficiency. We find that the more positive the tone of the supplier’s annual report, the more efficient the company’s inventory. That is, the more positive the tone of the supplier’s annual report, the less inventory the enterprise holds and the shorter the inventory holding time. It shows that the tone of suppliers’ annual reports has a positive spillover effect on the efficiency of firms’ inventory. Our results still hold after a battery of additional tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2230-2236 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2230-2236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2187029_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qianbin Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qianbin Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Lexin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Lexin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Yanhui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yanhui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Tax incentives and corporate internationalization performance: evidence from China’s accelerated depreciation policy Abstract: Using data of China’s listed companies from 2010 to 2018, we investigate the effects of China’s accelerated depreciation (CACD) policy on corporate internationalization performance. The results show that CACD policy increases corporate incomes in foreign markets by 16.15% through the market expansion channel and the innovation incentive channel. The policy effect is more pronounced for firms with better corporate governance, more serious financial constraints, and weaker financial risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2299-2305 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2187029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2187029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2299-2305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094874_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wen Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Huichao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Huichao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yihua Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yihua Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The threshold effect of urban–rural income gap on economic growth in urbanization: evidence from China Abstract: Using a panel data set covering 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central government in China over the period from 2005 to 2018, this article investigates the impact of urban–rural income gap on economic growth under the background of urbanization. This article employs a threshold panel regression model that allows for urbanization-level thresholds and find strong evidence of the second half of the n-shaped relationship between urban–rural income gap and economic growth in our sample. Then, this article concludes the theoretical hypothesis that there is an N-shaped relationship between the urban–rural income gap and economic growth in the process of urbanization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2170-2173 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2170-2173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096856_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yujuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yujuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xuan Ling Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ling Title: Does the development of digital finance have environmental governance effect? – empirical evidence from China Abstract: Based on panel data of 285 cities in China, we carry out an empirical test for the impact of digital finance development on urban environmental governance with a fixed-effects model. The results show that digital finance can significantly reduce urban pollutant emissions, suggesting a positive environmental governance effect. After using an instrumental variable and a lagged response variable to test the robustness of the results, the conclusion still holds. Through further analysis, we find that for cities in the central and western regions and cities with a higher degree of green finance development, the environmental governance effect of digital finance is more significant. This paper enriches research on the economic consequences of digital finance and provides empirical evidence for the positive environmental effect of digital finance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2276-2281 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2276-2281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094319_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nobuya Fukugawa Author-X-Name-First: Nobuya Author-X-Name-Last: Fukugawa Title: Effects of the quality of science and innovation on venture financing: evidence from university spinoffs in Japan Abstract: University spinoffs build on strong science, which renders them a significant source of radical innovation. Radical innovation entails uncertainty as there is no market to target, which calls for individuals and organizations that bridge the gap between embryonic inventions and opportunity yet to exist. Recognizing that the commercial success of university spinoffs hinges on the entrepreneurial ecosystems they are embedded in, this study establishes an unbalanced panel (2015–2020) to analyse interrelationships among the key factors in the university spinoff ecosystem: science, innovation, and venture financing. Estimation results reveal that, first, the quality of science increases the probability of university spinoffs acquiring risk money from venture capitalists and business angels. Second, the quality of innovation has a positive effect on venture capital funding. Third, venture capital funding positively affects sales growth of university spinoffs, which corroborates the coach function of entrepreneurial intermediaries that offer startups hands-on support. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2129-2135 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2129-2135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094877_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kuang-Liang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chingnun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chingnun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chi-Wei He Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Four types of tail dependence structures between U.S. dollar index and S&P 500 stock returns:1990-2019 Abstract: This research investigates four tail relationships between the U.S. dollar and S&P 500 returns by a dynamic mixture copula model with a link between the dependence structure and dependence intensity. The empirical results find that four tail relationships are evident and time-varying. Regarding the negative dependence, the tail relationship is prominently stronger in the situation where the U.S. dollar depreciates and the stock index increases than in the situation where the U.S. dollar appreciates and the stock index declines. Regarding the positive dependence, the situation of two returns increase occurs slightly more frequently than the situation of two returns decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2189-2194 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2189-2194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096850_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chaohua Cai Author-X-Name-First: Chaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jeffrey Alwang Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Alwang Title: An inverted ‘U-shaped’ pattern: the residence distance of adult children and the mental health of elderly in rural China Abstract: Using data from three waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, this study identifies a causal effect of the distance adult children reside from their parents on the mental health of the rural elderly. We use panel correlated random effect methods with instrumental variables to address potential confounding effects of reverse causality and unobserved omitted variables. We find that the impact of the distance adult children live from their parents on parental mental health exhibits an inverted ‘U-shaped’ pattern that first increases (good) and then slowly decreases (poor). 80 kilometers is a threshold of residence distance for the mental health of the rural elderly. Further analysis finds that the effect of the residence distance on the mental health of rural elderly has statistically significant differences by gender of the elderly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2237-2244 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2237-2244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099791_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Author-Name: Aynur Dilan Tosun Author-X-Name-First: Aynur Dilan Author-X-Name-Last: Tosun Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Are female skins sold at a lower price? Evidence from the Fortnite game Abstract: Much significant research has been done to shed light on discrimination of females in, for example, labour markets. Less is known, in contrast, about the amount of discrimination in the virtual world of online gaming. In an early study, Castronova (2004), using data for the EverQuest game, finds that female avatars receive about 10% lower prices in online auctions. In this research note, we re-examine the pricing of avatars using data for the Fortnite game and find small and statistically insignificant price difference between female and male avatars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2282-2287 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2282-2287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2095336_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seiwoong Hong Author-X-Name-First: Seiwoong Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Wonkyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonkyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junyong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junyong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Frederick Dongchuhl Oh Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Dongchuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Credit ratings and corporate risk-taking behavior: evidence from Korea Abstract: We study the period following the 1997 Asian financial crisis to show that the credit rating downgrades affect corporate risk-taking behaviour. We treat the crisis as an exogenous shock that led to improvements in the informativeness of Korea’s credit rating system, and we determine that firms that have experienced credit rating downgrades reduce their risk-taking following the crisis. However, we show that this impact is less pronounced for chaebol-affiliated firms. Furthermore, we present chaebol firms’ characteristics that mitigate the negative impact of credit rating downgrades on their risk-taking behaviour – high net internal capital flow and large ownership concentration. (JEL G24, G32) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2200-2207 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2095336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2095336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2200-2207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096851_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Myeong Jun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sung Y. Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Testing for market efficiency in cryptocurrencies: evidence from a non-linear conditional quantile framework Abstract: This study tests for the weak-form market efficiency of 15 cryptocurrency prices. The conventional unit root tests and stationary test results reveal that most cryptocurrency markets are efficient markets. However, the non-linear quantile unit root test proposed by Li and Park (2018) rejects the unit root null hypothesis over the whole quantile level. To derive more informative ideas, we split the whole quantile interval to several sub-intervals and find asymmetric behaviour of the market efficiency across the lower and upper sub-intervals in several cryptocurrency markets. Moreover, non-linear quantile unit root tests for Chainlink, Bitcoin Cash, Binance Coin, EOS, Tron, and Stellar indicate that markets for these cryptocurrencies are efficient at the upper sub-intervals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2245-2251 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2245-2251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2095337_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zeina Alsalman Author-X-Name-First: Zeina Author-X-Name-Last: Alsalman Title: Oil price shocks and U.S. unemployment rate: a robustness check Abstract: This study investigates the sensitivity of the responses of the real price of oil and the U.S. unemployment rate to several real economic activity (REA) measures proposed in the literature. It then estimates the responses of the above macroeconomic variables to a set of alternative exogenous oil supply shock series driven by different modelling strategies. While the results are qualitatively robust across the REA measures, they are sensitive to the exogenous oil supply shock series selected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2208-2215 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2095337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2095337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2208-2215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094870_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Carla Blázquez-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Blázquez-Fernández Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Title: Do we get fat because of air pollution? A new socio-economic approach Abstract: Air pollution and obesity are two of the main challenges that need to be addressed in developed countries. This paper analyses the relationship between obesity/overweight rates and outdoor (ambient) air quality in Spain. The results confirm, through logistic regressions, that the typical profile of an obese/overweight person is that of an older man. Air pollution does not have a clear negative effect on obesity/overweight for our sample selection (OR: 0.99; N = 23,089, men and women aged 15 and over). Similarly, there does not appear to be an urban pollution/obesity pattern. However, we find a detrimental effect for the group of elderly people, perhaps linked to a negative exposure duration effect (OR: 1.11; for those aged ≥55 years, N = 10,932). In our study we argue that public policies should address lifestyles and at the same time reduce specific air pollutants to enhance population health and wellbeing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2156-2160 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2156-2160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094872_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jiafeng Gu Author-X-Name-First: Jiafeng Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Title: How commercializing academic patents promote economic growth: mediating effect and spatial spill over Abstract: Governmental investment in commercializing academic patents has spurred economic growth. This study explores the mechanism underlying the impact of academic patent commercialization on regional economic development based on holistic view of the integration of local and neighbourhood hierarchies. The empirical analysis of a sample of 31 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2019 shows that fiscal expenditures on science and technology mediate the relationship between academic patent commercialization and economic development. Moreover, there is a positive spatial spill over effect between developing economies of neighbouring provinces. In the knowledge economy era, academic patent commercialization, supported by fiscal expenditure, plays an increasingly important role in regional economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2165-2169 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2165-2169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094876_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Monica Violeta Achim Author-X-Name-First: Monica Violeta Author-X-Name-Last: Achim Author-Name: Nawazish Mirza Author-X-Name-First: Nawazish Author-X-Name-Last: Mirza Author-Name: Viorela Ligia Văidean Author-X-Name-First: Viorela Ligia Author-X-Name-Last: Văidean Title: The asymmetric impact of tax burden structures on the shadow economy: a panel analysis of old and new European Union countries Abstract: This study tests the asymmetric impact of the tax burden structures under the forms of direct, indirect, and social contributions, upon the shadow economy. For this purpose, a panel dataset analysis of the 27 European Union (EU) Member States is conducted over the 2005–2018 time period. Our study supports the existence of a U-shaped relationship between tax burden and shadow economy only for the case of direct taxes, while for indirect taxes and social contributions, an inverted U-shaped relationship is validated. We also highlight different values of the resilience thresholds for all categories of taxes and contributions among the new EU members compared to the old ones. For direct taxes, the threshold beyond which the level of shadow economy increases is 2.61 times lower for new EU countries than for the old countries. In addition, both for the new and old EU countries, a level of indirect taxes beyond a threshold of 15.04% and 16.52%, respectively, would determine a decrease in the level of the shadow economy. The robustness checks performed using many control variables consolidate our results. Our findings are important for policy-makers to find the level of resilience of various states under different types of tax burden structures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2179-2188 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2179-2188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096853_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Financial inclusion and linguistic diversity Abstract: The study analyses the relevance of linguistic diversity on financial inclusion in India. The findings show that linguistic polarization leads to a significant decline in bank account ownership and its use. In case of the latter, the impact is much higher on savings than borrowings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2259-2263 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2259-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094875_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hengxu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hengxu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Wenxi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Wenxi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The influence of state-owned enterprise reform on enterprise innovation: new evidence from China Abstract: The leading group of the State-owned Enterprise Reform of the State Council of China launched a three-year Double Hundred Action for state-owned enterprises in 2018. This study empirically examines the effect of the Double Hundred Action from the perspective of innovation investment using a sample of state-owned listed enterprises from 2013 to 2020. The study finds that the Double Hundred Action significantly improves the innovation investment of state-owned listed enterprises. Furthermore, our main results are more pronounced for firms with competitive industries, a low ratio of independent directors, and auditors not belonging to the ‘Big Four’. This study explores the factors influencing corporate innovation from the new perspective of the Double Hundred Action, and also enriches the study of the economic consequences of SOE reforms. This study provides empirical evidence of the positive effects of SOE reforms in emerging markets and has important policy implications for deepening the governance of SOEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2174-2178 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2174-2178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096848_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jingtao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jingtao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Kewei Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Kewei Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Economic growth target management and the quality of economic development: evidences from China Abstract: By analyzing the data of Chinese industrial firms, we explore the association between governments’ economic growth target management behaviour and the quality of local economic development. We find that the rise of economic growth pressure can decrease the total factor productivity (TFP) of local enterprises and has a negative impact on the quality of local economic development. Besides, the effect of economic growth pressure on local firms’ productivity is more pronounced when firm is stated owned, when firm is located in cities with newly appointed officials, during the period of Communist Party of China National Congress (CPCNC), but would be attenuated if municipal party secretary has achieved a Ph.D. degree. Further mechanism analysis verifies that higher economic growth pressure could demolish the TFP of enterprises by distorting marginal revenue productivity of capital ($$MRPK$$MRPK). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2224-2229 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2224-2229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096854_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jinyong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jinyong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yongsik Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yongsik Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Price informativeness: a potential explanation for the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle Abstract: Price informativeness is the amount of private information incorporated into stock prices and measured by $${R^2}$$R2 from regressions of stock returns on systematic risk factors. While $${R^2}$$R2 is closely related with idiosyncratic volatility, it is not interchangeable because magnitude of systematic volatility simultaneously changes. By controlling for the systematic volatility using the double-sorting portfolio approach, we suggest a potential involvement of price informativeness with the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle. Both cross-sectional evidence of monotonic and inverse relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and $${R^2}$$R2 and time-series evidence of disappearing alphas of the low-minus-high idiosyncratic volatility portfolios during recessions support an explanation of the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle in association with price informativeness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2264-2269 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2264-2269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094321_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hui-Wen Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: CEO excess compensation: the impact of compensation committee quality and corporate social responsibility Abstract: This study examines whether compensation committee quality and corporate social responsibility are related to CEO excess compensation. Using a U.S. sample from 2008 to 2013, this study finds that high-quality compensation committees can design compensation arrangements that limit CEOs’ ability to extract excessive compensation. Furthermore, according to this study, CEOs tend to overinvest in corporate social responsibility in order to extract extra compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2141-2148 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2141-2148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2095335_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dimitrios Kourouklis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Kourouklis Author-Name: Mikel Berdud Author-X-Name-First: Mikel Author-X-Name-Last: Berdud Author-Name: Mireia Jofre-Bonet Author-X-Name-First: Mireia Author-X-Name-Last: Jofre-Bonet Author-Name: Adrian Towse Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Towse Title: Alternative funding models for medical innovation: the role of product development partnerships in product innovation for infectious diseases Abstract: Over the past years, there has been an increasing trend in the number of product development partnerships (PDPs), primarily seeking to discover and produce new products in response to the global health threat posed by infectious diseases. This research exploits public and subscription-based databases to examine PDPs’ attributes and their impact on medical innovation in infectious diseases. We find that i) non-private funding is beneficial in the early stages of drug development by PDPs, ii) specific funder and product types are essential for the success of products developed by PDPs, iii) public sector funding is more common in products with lower chances of being approved, and iv) the lower the scientific advances in a sub-disease area are, the lower the likelihood of a product in that area of succeeding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2195-2199 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2095335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2095335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2195-2199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096852_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sang Joon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sang Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hohyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hohyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Corporate risk and greenhouse gas emissions: evidence from Korea Abstract: Concerns regarding climate changes and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been growing in recent years. Nonetheless, firms are claiming their business burdens in GHG reduction. This study examines whether and how corporate risk is associated with GHG emissions. The previous literature suggests two opposing hypotheses regarding the association. Firms may invest in environmental issues only when firms do not face severe risks in the market. In contrast, environmental efforts could be made strategically to win market competition. By using a firm-level GHG emission dataset in Korea, we find that firm- and market-level risks are positively associated with GHG emissions, supporting the former hypothesis. This result is robust to several measures of corporate risks and GHG emissions. This study provides policy implications related to GHG emissions reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2252-2258 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2252-2258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2139800_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chaohai Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chaohai Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xiaolan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: How does industry association impact micro and small enterprises’ innovation decisions? Evidence from China Abstract: Innovation is an important recovery strategy for Micro and small Enterprises (SMEs), which are expected to play an important role in the economic recovery and redevelopment in the post-epidemic era. We empirically explore how industry associations impact SMEs’ innovation decisions using China Micro and Small Enterprise Survey data. We find that industry associations’ information sharing support is possibly weakly dominant in promoting SMEs’ innovation decisions in general. The information-sharing support and institutional support are almost equally important for hard product or technical innovation, while industry associations’ information-sharing support weakly dominates institutional support for soft innovation. The most important channel for soft innovation in organization, services, marketing or culture is likely to introduce potential customers. We provide policy suggestions on how to guide industry associations to effectively help SMEs’ innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2288-2298 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2139800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2139800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2288-2298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2094322_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Juerong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Juerong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Qihui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qihui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Should myopic students wear eyeglasses?―A regression-discontinuity analysis Abstract: Despite the high prevalence of myopia among school-age children in China, many myopic students are reluctant to wear eyeglasses. This study estimates the effects of wearing eyeglasses on myopic students’ academic performance, using data from a large-scale survey of middle-school students, the China Education Panel Survey. Our fuzzy regression discontinuity (RD) design, which exploits the jump in the probability of wearing eyeglasses at the threshold for myopia diagnosis, reveals that wearing eyeglasses improves myopic students’ Chinese and maths test scores by 0.27 and 0.24 standard deviations, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2149-2155 Issue: 16 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2094322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2094322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:16:p:2149-2155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097173_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rishav Bista Author-X-Name-First: Rishav Author-X-Name-Last: Bista Author-Name: Monika Islam Khan Author-X-Name-First: Monika Islam Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: Financial development and the distribution of trade flows Abstract: A strong and positive correlation between financial development (FD from hereon) and total aggregate exports across country pairs has been well established. Recent studies also suggest of heterogeneity in trade cost elasticity across country-pairs and across the distribution of trade flows. The average FD–exports relationship, which studies mostly examine, can therefore mask heterogeneous impact of FD across different levels of exports. To examine this possibility, we utilize the methods of moment quantile regression (MMQR), a novel approach proposed by Machado and Santos Silva (2019) in a panel data context with fixed effects. We find that countries that export the least benefit the most from increases in FD. In fact, the positive FD–exports relationship is driven primarily by country-pairs that trade at the median or lower end of the export distribution. Interestingly, the positive association of the FD–exports relationship breaks down for countries that trade at the highest end of the export distribution (90th percentile). Our results reinforce the argument that FD alleviates fixed costs to exports, but more importantly so, for country-pairs that trade the least. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2370-2376 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2370-2376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097628_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xuhui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Xuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Xinjian Cui Author-X-Name-First: Xinjian Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Yunqian Bai Author-X-Name-First: Yunqian Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Yanjing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yanjing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Institutional isomorphism pressure and multinational corporations’ environmental and social performance Abstract: The influence of institutional isomorphism pressure (IIP) on multinational corporations’ (MNCs) environmental and social responsibility has attracted considerable attention from academics. Therefore, this study uses data from MNCs on the 2019 Forbes Global 2000 list to investigate the relationship between IIP (coercive, normative, and mimetic) and MNCs’ environmental and social performance. Our results show that (1) IIP effectively enhances MNCs’ environmental and social performance; (2) compared with other institutional factors, the current coercive-related institutional factors (e.g. regulations) fail to promote environmental performance, and (3) normative related institutional factors (e.g. social norms) do not improve MNCs’ environmental performance in China and Japan. Our study reveals the relationship between IIP and MNCs’ environmental and social performance and provides a more comprehensive description approach of IIP measurement. Moreover, suggestions on enhancing MNCs’ environmental responsibility by strengthening IIP also provide policymakers and MNCs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2424-2434 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2424-2434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097178_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ruonan Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Ruonan Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Shaoqing Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shaoqing Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Digitalization and firm performance: channels and heterogeneities Abstract: In this paper we develop a text-based measure of digitalization using firms’ annual reports with which we examine the effects of digitalization on firm performance using a dataset covering manufacturing and service firms. Our findings show that digitalization increases profitability in manufacturing firms by improving the efficiency of asset utilization to generate sales, yet it has no significant effects on overall profitability in service firms. It is because, on the one hand, digitalization improves asset utilization in these service firms while, on the other hand, cutting into their profits from sales. We also find evidence suggesting that digitalization enhances performance more for firms operating in highly competitive industries, smaller firms and firms with fewer skilled workers. Finally, our main results are robust to the use of instrumental variable estimation, the inclusion of R&D expenses or spatial autocorrelation term as a confounder, the use of mediating model, and the use of alternative fixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2401-2406 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2401-2406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097627_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jason Beck Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Beck Title: The effect of health insurance status on treatment intensity in heart attack patients: an IV approach Abstract: The purpose of this exercise is to determine if patients suffering from heart attacks receive different levels of treatment intensity based on insurance status, accounting for possible endogeneity between insurance status and treatment intensity. This possible endogeneity is addressed through an instrumental variables approach and results suggest that insurance status is not as impactful on treatment intensity once endogeneity is accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2420-2423 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2420-2423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098233_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hang (Robin) Luo Author-X-Name-First: Hang (Robin) Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Dawei Yan Author-X-Name-First: Dawei Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Impact of price and regional factors on the word-of-mouth in the food delivery sector Abstract: This paper investigates price and regional effects on the word-of-mouth (WOM) valence and sales in the food delivery sector. Using 56,939 food delivery merchants’ data from a food delivery giant in China, our results show that the impact of price on WOM valence is significantly positive, while the regional effect is negative. And the price effect varies according to consumers’ preferences. Price threshold is determined as 53 Yuan and 100 Yuan to examine the impact on valence and sales, respectively. This suggests that in the food delivery sector, price and regional factors have different effects on merchants’ WOM valence and sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2469-2472 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2469-2472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jianhong Fan Author-X-Name-First: Jianhong Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Huichao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Huichao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jing Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: The impact of institutional difference on scientific collaboration: Empirical evidence from six provinces in central China Abstract: Based on dividing institutional difference into formal institutional difference and informal institutional difference, this study explores the impact of institutional difference on scientific collaboration of six provinces in central China and analyses the moderating effect of provincial innovation environment and provincial research and development capacity using panel data from 2010 to 2019. The study finds that both formal institutional difference and informal institutional difference negatively affect scientific collaboration of six provinces in central China. Moreover, provincial innovation environment and provincial research and development capacity moderate the relationship between institutional difference and scientific collaboration of six provinces in central China. That is, in the context of good provincial innovation environment or high research and development capacity, the negative impact of institutional difference on scientific collaboration of six provinces in central China is stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2488-2493 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2488-2493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097165_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Khine Kyaw Author-X-Name-First: Khine Author-X-Name-Last: Kyaw Author-Name: Mojisola Olugbode Author-X-Name-First: Mojisola Author-X-Name-Last: Olugbode Author-Name: Barbara Petracci Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Petracci Title: Investors’ reaction under uncertainty Abstract: This study investigates investors’ reaction to good/bad earnings news when faced with market- and industry-wide uncertainties. Our results provide little support for the discount rate explanation that investors’ reaction to good news is dampened during high market volatility. However, the results strongly support the learning hypothesis that earnings news provides value-relevant information for investors during periods of high-market volatility, but that investors cannot learn as much from earnings news under industry-wide uncertainty. These findings also support the conservation hypothesis that investors react more strongly to bad earnings news when faced with market-wide uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2332-2336 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2332-2336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097636_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaohua Lu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yonghong Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Generalized disappointment aversion and the cross-section of stock returns Abstract: Based on Epstein and Zin’s recursive utility function, this paper integrates generalized disappointment aversion preferences to derive an intertemporal equilibrium asset pricing model (ICAPM). We show that in addition to discount-rate news, cash-flow news, and news about future risk, four factors related to disappointment are priced. These four factors are a downstate factor, discount-rate downside news, cash-flow downside news, and downside news about future risk. We find that our seven-factor model can explain the cross-section of expected returns across portfolios sorted by size, book-to-market, investment, operating profitability, and momentum. Both the seven-beta ICAPM and the restricted seven-beta ICAPM suggest that disappointment-averse investors are more sensitive to cash-flow news and cash-flow downside news than other news terms and therefore demand higher premiums. Our results show that the seven-beta ICAPM has better performance for most portfolios and provides empirical support for investors’ asymmetric preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2455-2463 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2455-2463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097169_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bastien Dufau Author-X-Name-First: Bastien Author-X-Name-Last: Dufau Author-Name: Mickael Terrien Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Terrien Author-Name: Yann Carin Author-X-Name-First: Yann Author-X-Name-Last: Carin Author-Name: Wladimir Andreff Author-X-Name-First: Wladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Andreff Title: French amateur football clubs’ finance and revenue volatility: the determinants of demand shocks Abstract: The article addresses financial troubles in French amateur football clubs and their origins. Previous literature has demonstrated that – in particular in French football – club bankruptcies are triggered by demand shocks. The present research intends highlighting the determinants of demand shocks on those clubs playing French amateur football top two tiers with a longitudinal analysis (2009/2010-2019/2020). Various exogenous elements that influence club demand (i.e. revenues) are taken on board, namely, macroeconomic variables, such as the variation of GDP growth rate between two football seasons, a dummy for the Covid-19 sanitary crisis, and a sport dummy for the effect of the French national team winning the 2018 male football World Cup. The latter is used to check a potential trickle-down effect on amateur elite football. None of these variables do explain demand shocks except if the heterogeneity of clubs’ economic models is taken into account. The determinants of shock demands appear to be clubs’ strategic orientations (towards win maximization vs. a stable economic organization). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2355-2359 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2355-2359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098232_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yanan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yanan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kyle A. Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Kyle A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: Explaining the gender difference in college attendance Abstract: This paper explains why college attendance increased faster for women than for men in the United States by examining the effect of expected lifetime work hours on college attendance. Using U.S. census data 1950–2000 and the American Community Survey 2010, we show that expected lifetime work hours has a significant effect on college attendance for both men and women, with a larger effect for women than for men. A larger gender difference in expected lifetime work hours leads to a larger gender difference in college attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2464-2468 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098232 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2464-2468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097630_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sitong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Sitong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shouwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Shouwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhilei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Zhilei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Climate transition risk of financial institutions: measurement and response Abstract: Climate risk significantly impacts financial institutions’ stability, and it is critical to quantify the climate risk of financial institutions. This paper proposes a climate transition risk measure for Chinese financial institutions from the perspective of credit assets and carbon emissions. Based on panel data of 30 regions from 2011 to 2018, we use the system GMM model to assess the response of financial institutions to climate transition risk. We find that the climate transition risk for Chinese financial institutions shows steady growth over the sample period. Second, there is significant regional heterogeneity in climate transition risk, with high levels in the eastern regions and low levels in the central-western regions. Third, Chinese financial institutions have not generally responded positively to climate transition risk, but the eastern regions’ financial institutions responded positively. In addition, the green credit policy does not positively affect the response of financial institutions to climate transition risk. Therefore, the decision-making framework of financial institutions should fully incorporate the increasing effects of climate transition risk, consider regional heterogeneity, rely on green policy, and strengthen the assessment and monitoring of the climate action progress to optimize the climate risk management strategy of financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2439-2449 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2439-2449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097176_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jennifer T. Lai Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Dongxiao Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Jinxing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jinxing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The effect of industrial robots’ adoption on urban income inequality in China Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the effect of the utilization of industrial robots on income inequality in urban China. By employing the data of imports of industrial robots and income inequality at the city level in China, we find that the adoption of robots has a positive effect on urban income inequality. This positive effect remains robust when we use instrumental variable estimation to tackle the potential endogeneity problem. In addition, this positive effect is more salient in cities with below average national income per capita. The results have important policy implications for achieving common prosperity in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2388-2395 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2388-2395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096858_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Leandro Elia Author-X-Name-First: Leandro Author-X-Name-Last: Elia Author-Name: Fabio Fiorillo Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorillo Author-Name: Elvina Merkaj Author-X-Name-First: Elvina Author-X-Name-Last: Merkaj Author-Name: Antonio Palestrini Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Palestrini Title: Income expectations during the lockdown: evidence from a student survey Abstract: We investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on students’ perception of future economic conditions. Our results show that students’ perception of the current situation is a strong predictor of future expectations. Moreover, students whose parents are self-employed seem to be more concerned about the future. We also detect that an increase in anxiety due to the pandemic and lockdown leads to negative expectations. We find that students seem to anticipate the long run effects of the pandemic by having increasingly pessimistic expectations about the future. This appears to be in line with both rational expectation theory, in which they consider the current situation as a signal for long-run decrease of future expectations, and at the same time, with adaptive expectation schemes anchored by their knowledge on historical pandemic situations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2315-2319 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2315-2319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097166_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Angela-Maria Filip Author-X-Name-First: Angela-Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Filip Author-Name: Balint Zsolt Nagy Author-X-Name-First: Balint Zsolt Author-X-Name-Last: Nagy Title: Measuring The Myopic Loss Aversion Premium: An Experimental Approach Abstract: This paper proposes new methods to assess the myopic loss aversion premium (the expected return-differential) based on an experimental design by eliciting both willingness-to-pay and allocation percentage figures and also by inferring and comparing absolute risk aversion coefficients. Our results indicate a high level of loss aversion and support the existence of the myopic loss aversion bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2337-2341 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2337-2341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097626_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gudrun Svavarsdottir Author-X-Name-First: Gudrun Author-X-Name-Last: Svavarsdottir Author-Name: Tinna Laufey Asgeirsdottir Author-X-Name-First: Tinna Laufey Author-X-Name-Last: Asgeirsdottir Title: The relationship between perceived economic standing and happiness Abstract: We examine the importance of perception in the relationship between income and happiness. Using Icelandic data, we show that people’s perception of their economic standing is more telling of their happiness than their actual income. We find a stronger association between happiness and a negative perception of one’s economic standing than happiness and a positive perception. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2413-2419 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2413-2419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098235_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: SeungOh Han Author-X-Name-First: SeungOh Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Is liquidity risk priced in cryptocurrency markets? Abstract: This paper investigates the pricing of liquidity risk in the cross-section of cryptocurrencies from January 2017 to December 2020. The cryptocurrencies with high liquidity risk (beta) earned a risk-adjusted return of 4.4% higher weekly than those with low liquidity risk after controlling for the market, size, and reversal factors. Furthermore, the positive relation between expected cryptocurrency returns and liquidity risk is robust when I use cross-sectional regression tests for individual cryptocurrencies and alternative liquidity measures. The results suggest that liquidity risk is an important determinant of expected cryptocurrency returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2481-2487 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2481-2487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096857_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kei Hosoya Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoya Author-Name: Hiroaki Masuhara Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Masuhara Title: Stringent regulatory policies for COVID-19 and economic rationality Abstract: In this paper, we present an investigation of the effectiveness of the G7 countries’ COVID-19 responses as assessed by the stringency index and provide insights for the future. By observing trends in people’s mobility, a factor affected by stringency, we can find some interesting features in the course of the pandemic. Specifically, as the period of infection control measures is prolonged, there are indications that the effectiveness of such policies may diminish unless they are consistent with economic rationality. Furthermore, even when considering only developed countries, the situation in Japan is found to be unique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2307-2314 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2307-2314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2096859_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gaurav Gairola Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Gairola Author-Name: Kushankur Dey Author-X-Name-First: Kushankur Author-X-Name-Last: Dey Title: Price discovery and risk management in asset class: a bibliometric analysis and research agenda Abstract: This paper presents a bibliometric review of 2,391 publications on price discovery and hedging in financial assets and commodities. The discipline-wise contribution of publications and journal distribution based on the frequency of relevant research articles are reported. Five overarching themes have emerged from the content analysis, namely: (1) price discovery, (2) hedging in commodities, financial assets, and cryptocurrency, (3) market interconnectedness and volatility spillover, (4) market microstructure in pre- and post-financial crisis, and (5) asset allocation, diversification, and portfolio management. We propose three future research streams, namely predictability in uncertainty, short-term portfolio adjustment, and dynamic trading strategies, with nine research questions that can help investors and stock/commodity exchanges in an active portfolio and derivative contract management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2320-2331 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2096859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2096859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2320-2331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097171_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Carlos Galnares Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Galnares Author-Name: Alfonso Carlos Martínez-Estudillo Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez-Estudillo Author-Name: Mariano Carbonero-Ruz Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Carbonero-Ruz Author-Name: Pilar Campoy-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Campoy-Muñoz Title: Revisiting the determinants of sovereign debt ratings in Europe through artificial intelligence techniques Abstract: In papers using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, little attention has been paid to the determinants of sovereign debt ratings. We propose a reduced set of variables regarding the economic performance of a country that are consistent with the idea of debt sustainability. The robustness of this set is supported by the results obtained with different well-known AI techniques using data from EU-15 countries during the 2002–2017 period as the experimental setting. The variables are publicly available, allowing a quick and reliable assessment of the creditworthiness of a sovereign and providing useful information for decision-makers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2360-2363 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2360-2363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097631_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yifei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: On the convergence of metals price – a series of Fourier DF unit root tests Abstract: We examine unit root hypothesis of industrial and precious metal prices through a battery of Fourier Dicky-Fuller unit root tests. By allowing double and fractional frequencies in trig functions, we find that 8 out of 10 metal prices are trend stationary. Policy implications are signified at last. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2450-2454 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2450-2454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097180_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wu-Po Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wu-Po Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Mengyu Ma Author-X-Name-First: Mengyu Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Economic consequences of tax director departure Abstract: This study investigates the economic consequences of the departure of a tax director. In addition, we examine whether the market reactions to such a departure are associated with the director’s gender. Using a sample of 471 U.S. firms, we find positive market reactions to the announcement of tax director departures. Our results further show lower cumulative abnormal returns for female tax directors than for male tax directors. Our findings suggest that the market values tax directors’ departure and gender. Our study has implications for practitioners in terms of the selection of tax directors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2407-2412 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2407-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097175_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gianni Carvelli Author-X-Name-First: Gianni Author-X-Name-Last: Carvelli Title: Do the components of government expenditure affect the long-run dynamics of private investments? A heterogeneous panel analysis with a multifactor error structure Abstract: Using data on 30 OECD countries over 1993–2019, this paper examines the ties between the components of government expenditure and the supply side of the private sector. We employ an ECM version of the novel dynamic common correlated effects estimator (DCCE) in order to account for nonstationarity, country-heterogeneity, and cross-sectional dependence. The estimates suggest that allocating public resources toward general public services and health positively affects the long-run dynamics of private investments. Conversely, rises in the expenditure on housing and social protection are associated with significant crowding-out effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2382-2387 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2382-2387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097167_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seojin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seojin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Young Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Volatility spillovers across financial markets: the role of oil price uncertainty Abstract: This paper analyzes the state-dependent volatility transmission mechanism between oil, stock, dollar, and bond prices to further examine the role of oil price uncertainty in financial markets. To this end, we extend the Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) spillover framework by incorporating a Markov-switching model and a Bayesian MCMC algorithm. We find that oil prices spills the highest degree of volatility to other markets during crises. The interdependence between the stock and oil markets is solid and stable, regardless of the regime shift. In contrast, the effect of oil price uncertainty on the foreign exchange or bond market during crises is double that during non-crisis periods. This suggests that oil price is closely related to other asset classes and reinforces its role as a risk transmitter during a crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2342-2347 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2342-2347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098234_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Julián P. Díaz Author-X-Name-First: Julián P. Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz Author-Name: Juan Francisco Rumbea Pavisic Author-X-Name-First: Juan Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Rumbea Pavisic Title: The determinants of interest rate spreads in dollarized economies Abstract: Twenty years after dollarizing, interest rate spreads remain considerably high in El Salvador and even higher in Ecuador, despite decreased deposit rates. Using panels covering the 2005–2019 period, we explore the determinants of interest rate spreads in these two dollarized countries. We find that bank-specific characteristics, such as market share and liquidity, play a significant role at accounting for the differences in spreads. Dollarization is also expected to promote the entry of international banks due to the elimination of depreciation risk. We find that the low degree of foreign bank participation in Ecuador also contributes to explaining spread differences. These findings point out to complementary reforms to extract the full benefits of dollarization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2473-2480 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2473-2480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097172_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Julián Andrada-Félix Author-X-Name-First: Julián Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Félix Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodríguez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Financial market analogies of the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Abstract: This article tries to shed light on the historical analogies of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. To that end, we compare the sample distribution of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index returns for a 420-day period (from 2 January 2020 to 31 August 2021), with all historical sample distributions of returns computed using a moving window of 420 days in the 2 January 1900 to 1 May 2018 period. We find that the stock market return distribution during the pandemic would be similar to several past sub-periods of severe financial crises that evolved into intense recessions, being the sub-sample from 3 June 1986 to 28 January 1988 the most analogous episode to the present situation. Furthermore, we also identify a period from 23 June 1931 to 24 February 1933 where the severity of the crisis overcomes the pandemic situation having sharper tail events. Finally, we find that the current stock market CVaR risk is not higher than that observed during the 1930s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2364-2369 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2364-2369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097629_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yiding Han Author-X-Name-First: Yiding Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Ning Fu Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Cluster commercial credit, financing constraint, and firm innovation Abstract: This paper attempts to explain the continuous growth of firm innovation of Chinese enterprises from a new perspective of cluster commercial credit. Using data from the China Industrial Enterprise Database, this paper finds that cluster commercial credit can promote firm innovation by relaxing financing constraints, and this result is very robust and does not vary with the estimated model. The mechanism is further validated by the analysis after dividing the subsample according to ownership structure. This paper shows that although the capital market is not yet developed in China, firms can use cluster commercial credit to obtain financing for innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2435-2438 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2435-2438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097174_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Artyom Jelnov Author-X-Name-First: Artyom Author-X-Name-Last: Jelnov Title: ‘A plague on both your houses’: why to preserve your rival reputation Abstract: Two firms produce a product that can be of high or low quality, which is not known to customers. One of the firms accuses another that it produces a low-quality product, while this information (or rumour) can be either true or not. Consumers believe rumours with some probability, but if they believe, they may also conclude that general quality in the market is low. I show that, as long as both firms stay in the market, the firm that spreads rumours is worse off relative to the case without rumours. Surprisingly, this holds even if consumers believe that this firm produces a high-quality product with certainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2377-2381 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2377-2381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097168_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jianxun Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jianxun Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Ling Xu Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Economic globalization and fiscal performance Abstract: This study attempts to assess the heterogeneous impact of economic globalization on fiscal performance in 77 countries over the period 1995–2017. We find that for high-income countries, trade globalization will increase their government expenditure, but financial globalization is conducive to increasing their revenue. For low-income countries, economic globalization will help to save their government expenditure, thereby improving their fiscal performance. For emerging countries, while economic globalization increases both government expenditure and revenue, the combined effect is not conducive to their good fiscal performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2348-2354 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2348-2354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2097177_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Bintong Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bintong Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hui Du Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Yu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Will air pollution affect entrepreneurial activity? Evidence from China Abstract: This is the first study to examine the empirical evidence on the effect of air pollution on entrepreneurial activity, which fills the research gaps in the relevant literature and provides perspectives on both pollution avoidance behaviour and influence on entrepreneurial activity. Moreover, we explored the innovative and unconventional big data of entrepreneurial activity, which was measured at the county level from 2000 to 2019, and used thermal inversion as an instrumental variable to reduce endogenous bias. Based on the regression analysis, haze pollution inhibits entrepreneurial activity. Meanwhile, the results also show geographic differences. In underdeveloped and non-resource-based regions, the inhibiting effect is more severe. Therefore, air pollution management is an adequate assurance of increasing entrepreneurial activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2396-2400 Issue: 17 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2097177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2097177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:17:p:2396-2400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2102125_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pan Sang Kang Author-X-Name-First: Pan Sang Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Contests with delegation and initial probabilities of winning Abstract: We study a two-player contest in which each player is endowed with an initial probability of winning the prize and hires a delegate who expends effort on each player’s behalf. We show that (i) the players’ equilibrium delegation contracts are monotonic in the initial probabilities of winning and the impact parameter; (ii) the delegates’ equilibrium effort levels are monotonic in the impact parameter but not in the initial probabilities of winning; and (iii) a contest designer may attain various objectives of contest design by choosing a proper value of the impact parameter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2631-2636 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2102125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2102125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2631-2636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103074_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jean-Joseph Minviel Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Minviel Author-Name: M’Hand Fares Author-X-Name-First: M’Hand Author-X-Name-Last: Fares Author-Name: Jean-Marc Blazy Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Blazy Author-Name: Alban Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Alban Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Technical efficiency and complementarity of agroecological innovations in French West Indies banana production Abstract: In context of global challenges facing agriculture, our article addresses the extent to which the synergistic nature of agroecological innovations may reconcile environmental and technical efficiency of farms. We develop an empirical model, namely conditional efficiency framework, which explicitly accounts for context-dependent drivers like synergy and complementarity of innovations. Using a sample of 567 banana farms in the French West Indies, our estimates confirm the complementarity effect since the joint adoption of agroecological innovations increases the technical efficiency scores much more than other drivers and each of the innovations taken in isolation. We also show that advice and extension services as well as human capital variables are key adoption levers for public policy since they reduce the variability of production and thus the risk associated with the joint adoption of the agroecological innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2652-2656 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2652-2656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099792_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chuangxia Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chuangxia Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shijie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shijie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xiaoguang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoguang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Xin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Identification of crisis in the Chinese stock market based on complex network Abstract: In this article, we construct a Laplacian energy indicator to identify the financial crisis. Firstly, we use the Chinese A-shares market over the period from 2006 to 2017 to build complex networks year by year. Then, a network characteristic indicator based on Laplacian energy is built up to discern the subprime crisis, the European debt crisis and the Chinese stock market crash. The advantage of the proposed indicator lies in the fact that it has higher accuracy, less processing time, and better applicability, compared with the classical indicators such as average degree, modularity, average clustering coefficient, and characteristic path length. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2536-2542 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2536-2542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099517_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Neil Metz Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Metz Author-Name: Chintamani Jog Author-X-Name-First: Chintamani Author-X-Name-Last: Jog Title: High stakes, experts, and recency bias: evidence from a sports gambling contest Abstract: Sports betting markets provide a unique opportunity to test market efficiency and, in this case, study the presence of recency bias and experts in forecasting sports outcomes. This paper uses a panel data set of individual NFL sports gamblers in a season-long contest known as the SuperContest. The contest is used to track the picks of individual gamblers against the spread on games throughout the 2013–18 NFL regular seasons. We find that overall, the SuperContest entrants are no better at picking winners than a coin flip and exhibit a recency bias. However, more skilled contestants are less susceptible to the recency bias and their skill advantage forecasting outcomes may be their avoidance of a recency bias trap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2525-2529 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099517 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2525-2529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099790_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Eda Bozkurt Author-X-Name-First: Eda Author-X-Name-Last: Bozkurt Author-Name: Ali Altiner Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Altiner Author-Name: Özlem Topçuoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Özlem Author-X-Name-Last: Topçuoğlu Title: A panel hidden cointegration analysis on the political stability and tourism receipts Abstract: In the present study, the asymmetric relationships between political stability and tourism receipts in 14 MENA countries were investigated using panel data analysis with annual data of the period between 2002 and 2018. For this purpose, the panel hidden cointegration test developed by Hatemi-J (2011) and allowing the determination of asymmetric relationships between the variables was used. The obtained results confirmed that there were hidden cointegration relationships between the positive and negative components of tourism receipts and political stability variables. In light of these findings, it was determined that, according to the coefficient estimations made using FMOLS and DOLS methods, the level of political stability had significant effects on the tourism receipts. A positive shock in the political stability would positively affect the tourism receipts, whereas a negative shock would have a negative effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2530-2535 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2530-2535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103075_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Daniel Sungyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Sungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Amirhossein Fard Author-X-Name-First: Amirhossein Author-X-Name-Last: Fard Title: Effects of 10-K readability on institutional blockholder monitoring of risk management Abstract: Using the Plain Writing Act (PWA) of October 2010 as a source of exogenous variation in 10-K readability, we examine whether improvements in 10-K reports enhance institutional investors’ monitoring of firm risk management. The results indicate that the negative association between monitoring institutional ownership and systematic risk is stronger when firms provide more readable 10-K reports. The impact of readability improvement on the relation between institutional monitoring and risk is more pronounced after the PWA. This finding confirms our hypothesis that improved readability provides institutional investors with more complete firm information with which to conduct their monitoring efforts, thus inducing more effective risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2657-2666 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2657-2666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098237_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Leanora Brown Author-X-Name-First: Leanora Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Anupam Das Author-X-Name-First: Anupam Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Unionization and income inequality in Canada Abstract: We examine the long run association between unionization and income inequality in Canada from 1969 to 2019. We apply the autoregressive distributed lag technique. Our results suggest a negative impact of unionizationon income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2500-2503 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098237 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2500-2503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099795_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Furong Guo Author-X-Name-First: Furong Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Niannian Wu Author-X-Name-First: Niannian Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Lei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Performance feedback and strategic R&D classification: a further study of R&D tax credit Abstract: Tax incentives are an important measure in most industrial countries to support firms R&D. However, R&D tax credit leads firms to engage in strategic R&D classification that classifies indirect costs as eligible R&D inputs in order to reduce tax liability. Based on the behavioural theory of the firm, we investigate the impact of performance feedback on firm’s strategic R&D classification. The results show that when performance falls below aspirations, the pressure to achieve aspirations forces firms to reduce strategic R&D classification; when performance is above aspirations, in order to reduce tax liabilities, firms are more willing to engage in strategic R&D classification due to the lack of performance pressure. Our study helps to understand horizontal differences in R&D investment in the context of tax incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2560-2564 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2560-2564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099797_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mateusz Tomal Author-X-Name-First: Mateusz Author-X-Name-Last: Tomal Author-Name: Justyna Brzezicka Author-X-Name-First: Justyna Author-X-Name-Last: Brzezicka Title: Certainty equivalent, risk attitudes and housing Abstract: The aim of this study was to explore risk attitudes towards gambles involving housing and money in gain and loss domains for different payoff values. The analysis relied on the main tenets of the prospect theory, and risk behaviours were inferred from certainty equivalents. The study included a lab-in-the-field experiment conducted on a sample of 250 residents of Warsaw (Poland). The respondents were risk-averse in the gain domain and risk-seeking in the loss domain. The estimates for money and housing differed significantly due to the higher utility of the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2576-2580 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2576-2580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103077_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Meihong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Meihong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Chao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Comprehensive analysis of global stock market reactions to the Russia-Ukraine war Abstract: Since the explosion of the Russia-Ukraine war, the global stock markets have experienced considerable oscillation. Using data for 86 countries, this paper provides a comprehensive analysis to identify the roles of geopolitical, economic, institutional, humanitarian, industrial, and firm-related factors in explaining the heterogeneous abnormal returns for listed firms around the explosion of the war. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2673-2680 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2673-2680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099793_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Walid M.A. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Walid M.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: What determines bitcoin liquidity? A penalized regression approach Abstract: We investigate which factors contribute most to the liquidity of Bitcoin, using a diverse universe of candidate factors reflecting key developments in the crypto market and the global economy. The empirical analysis relies on three regularized linear regression methods, viz. LASSO, adaptive LASSO, and elastic net. We also apply a cross-fit partialing-out LASSO instrumental-variables regression model, as a supplementary approach to handle endogeneity. Findings reveal that trading volume and realized volatility of Bitcoin, cryptocurrency hacks, Ethereum liquidity, and public attention are the most common drivers of liquidity, irrespective of the penalized regression approach and liquidity proxy adopted. Our evidence confirms the paramountcy of cryptocurrency-specific factors over global economic and financial ones in influencing Bitcoin liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2543-2554 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2543-2554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2100312_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jingjing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianming Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xianming Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The effect of CSR on acquirer returns of cross-border M&As in an emerging market – a bane or a boom? Abstract: The enterprise in emerging markets attaches increasing importance to social responsibility with economic development. However, literature still lacks study on the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and acquirer returns of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Taking 214 cross-border M&As in China from 2010 to 2019; this paper divides CSR into four parts. The results find that the supplier and consumer responsibility, and the social contribution of enterprises could significantly promote the acquirer returns of cross-border M&As. In contrast, shareholder responsibility and environmental responsibility have negative effects. This conclusion may be related to the particular situation of cross-border M&As in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2607-2612 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2100312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2100312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2607-2612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099799_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Puneet Arora Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Arora Author-Name: Ishtiaque Fazlul Author-X-Name-First: Ishtiaque Author-X-Name-Last: Fazlul Author-Name: Tareena Musaddiq Author-X-Name-First: Tareena Author-X-Name-Last: Musaddiq Author-Name: Abhinav Vats Author-X-Name-First: Abhinav Author-X-Name-Last: Vats Title: Can social recognition for teachers and principals improve student performance? Evidence from India Abstract: Empirical evidence on the effectiveness of performance-based rewards for teachers is primarily based on the evaluation of monetary reward schemes. We present results from a randomized evaluation of a teacher and principal incentive programme in India that offered a non-pecuniary recognition reward based on students’ test scores on standardized assessments. We find a positive (0.16 SD) yet statistically insignificant effect on student performance when both teachers and principals are incentivized. In schools where only teachers are incentivized, the estimates remain statistically insignificant but are also much smaller in magnitude (0.012 SD). Our findings provide suggestive evidence that recognition rewards may have the potential as a low-cost tool to improve student achievement when both teachers and principals are incentivized. However, further research is required to substantiate the findings and investigate the mechanisms at play. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2589-2596 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2589-2596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098236_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Young Jin Park Author-X-Name-First: Young Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Myungkyu Shim Author-X-Name-First: Myungkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Hee-Seung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Seung Yong Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Is job polarization path-dependent? Evidence from Korea Abstract: What is the source of job polarization in Korea? In this paper, we empirically examine if two competing hypotheses, a path-dependency hypothesis and an ageing hypothesis, can explain patterns of job polarization in Korea. By exploiting regional variations, we find that between 2008 and 2019, job polarization was more evident in regions in which routine workers were historically more important than non-routine workers (path-dependency) while ageing is not associated with the structural change in the labour market. We further show that job polarization is mainly driven by female workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2495-2499 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2495-2499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099794_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jennifer C Min Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer C Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Mei-Chih Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Revisiting the Taiwan tourism and economic growth nexus: The role of the impact of COVID-19 using Quantile on Quantile approach Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Taiwan’s economy. To this end, we consider three tourism markets––China, Japan and the US––and apply quantile-on-quantile regression. Our results indicate that (i) high quantiles of the Chinese tourist market have the most growth effects, while moderate quantiles of Japan and the US markets accelerate economic growth in Taiwan; (ii) recessions in these three markets during the COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected the economic growth of Taiwan and (iii) development of these three tourism markets acts as an engine of economic growth during downturn periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2555-2559 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2555-2559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103073_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jialin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Jialin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Desheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Desheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Kaiming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Kaiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Cuicui Luo Author-X-Name-First: Cuicui Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Linkage relationship between China and US futures market during trade friction: the case of soybean, soybean oil and soybean meal Abstract: Bean futures are an essential part of the futures market, and changes in the trading environment will influence their cross-boundary relationship. This paper examines the linkage relationship between soybean, soybean oil, and soybean meal futures in China and the United States under the influence of trade frictions based on the Error Correction model, which considers the long-term co-integration relationship and short-term price fluctuations. The findings indicate that before 2018, China and the United States had a two-way impact on soybean and soybean meal futures prices. While after 2018, China’s soybean futures prices are unilaterally affected by the US market. Sino-US trade friction has increased the independence of China’s soybean oil and soybean meal futures prices but left China’s soybean futures prices in a passive position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2647-2651 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2647-2651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099796_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xixiong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Zhenyuan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhenyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Cuiliang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cuiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yue Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Confucian Culture, Gender Stereotype and Female Entrepreneur: Evidence from China Abstract: Female entrepreneurship activities in China encounter a unique informal institutional situation – Confucian culture favouring masculinity. Drawing on Social Role Theory and Gender Role Congruity Theory, we explore whether and how Confucian culture affects female entrepreneurship. Using 20,531 entrepreneurs’ data from Chinese Private Enterprise Survey over the period of 2002–2014, we find that Confucian culture is negatively associated with female entrepreneurship. In addition, gender stereotypes based on Confucian patriarchal ideology have a partial mediation effect in this relationship. Further analysis demonstrates that managerial experience might be a potential way for women to achieve entrepreneurial breakthroughs in these adverse conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2565-2575 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2565-2575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099516_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Elena Bassoli Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bassoli Author-Name: Eric Bonsang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Bonsang Author-Name: Agar Brugiavini Author-X-Name-First: Agar Author-X-Name-Last: Brugiavini Author-Name: Giacomo Pasini Author-X-Name-First: Giacomo Author-X-Name-Last: Pasini Title: End-of-life care and depression Abstract: The time around the death of a parent may be particularly stressful. The existing literature provides mixed evidence on the effects of the death of a parent on the caring effort and mental health conditions of adult children. By exploiting longitudinal data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), we study adult children’s provision of care and mental health before and after the death of their mother. We pinpoint the time of death of the mother and estimate its impact by following an event study approach, accounting for differences in Long Term Care (LTC) systems and social norms across Europe. Our findings show that caregiving increases before mother’s death, and especially for women and in low LTC spending countries. Depression symptoms increase significantly in the pooled sample and more so for women. Our interpretation is that adult children (typically daughters) must step in to guarantee care when this is scarcely provided by the public welfare system. The combination of care burden and grief for the loss of the mother negatively affects daughters’ mental health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2515-2524 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2515-2524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2100867_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jose A. Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Jose A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Author-Name: Martin Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Author-Name: Rodrigo Yañez Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Yañez Title: An inexpert expert Abstract: We explore strategic information transmission when there is noise at the observation stage, when an expert observes signals, before he advises a policymaker. That is, the expert might be inexpert. We account for the fact that his signals might be totally uninformative, which is commonly known by players. We find that this inexpertise translates into a greater preference misalignment between players and that this yields a less informative equilibrium. We show that our results follow from the fact that the strategic effect of noise – the welfare change exclusive due to changes in the equilibrium partition – is always negative. Numerical simulations show that noise might be beneficial if the policymaker openly disagrees about noise chances. This makes the point that whether noise is beneficial or not crucially depends on how early in the game it arises, and also whether noise chances are commonly known by players or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2613-2618 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2100867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2100867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2613-2618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2099798_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Syed Abul Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Salim Rashid Author-X-Name-First: Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Rashid Author-Name: Mohammad Riad Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Riad Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Title: Regional convergence in Bangladesh using night lights Abstract: We analyse economic convergence across 64 districts of Bangladesh using newly harmonized satellite night light data over 1992–2018. The growth in night lights – taken as a proxy for regional economic activity – reveals overwhelming evidence of absolute convergence. Regional differences in night light (or income) growth have been shrinking at an annual convergence rate of 4.57%, corresponding to a half-life of 15 years. Net migration plays a relatively prominent role in the regional convergence process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2581-2588 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2099798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2099798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2581-2588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098238_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kai Lisa Lo Author-X-Name-First: Kai Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Jiaojiao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaojiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fei Xia Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Does digital technology innovation work better for industrial upgrading? An empirical analysis of listed Chinese manufacturing firms Abstract: Using the panel data of Chinese-listed manufacturing firms from 2008 to 2019, in this paper we apply the patent data and econometric models to identify digital technology innovation and to explore the mechanism for the digital technology innovation on industrial upgrading of the manufacturing firms. We also use the total factor productivity of firms to measure industrial upgrading of manufacturing firms. Our empirical results show that digital technology innovation is conducive to industrial upgrading of manufacturing firms. We find that the total factor productivity of firms with digital technology patents is significantly higher than that of firms without digital technology patents, and more importantly, the total factor productivity increases on higher scales of digital technology patents at an increasing rate. In addition, owning digital technology patents generates boosts to the total factor productivity of manufacturing firms through reducing the operating costs, improving the efficiency of resource allocation and enhancing the innovation capability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2504-2509 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098238 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2504-2509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2102568_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Feng Hu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Technology seeking, R&D localization and comparative advantage: evidence from Chinese R&D-oriented OFDI Abstract: Using the logit model of discrete explained variable, this article explores the theoretical logic and underlying mechanism of Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) in developed countries. It finds that Chinese enterprises conduct R&D-oriented OFDI in countries with advanced technologies and rich R&D resources. These enterprises seek to learn applied rather than cutting edge technologies. Furthermore, Chinese R&D-oriented OFDI, which focuses on technology seeking and R&D localization, follows the principle of comparative advantage. The research provides new evidence for OFDI from China and a theoretical explanation of its underlying logic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2641-2646 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2102568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2102568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2641-2646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2098239_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Darja Reuschke Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Reuschke Author-Name: Donald Houston Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Title: The impact of Long COVID on the UK workforce Abstract: COVID-19 is more likely to lead to Long COVID among persons of working age. We outline the first estimates of the impact of Long Covid on employment in the UK. Using estimates of cumulative prevalence of Long COVID, activity-limiting Long COVID in the working-age population and of economic inactivity and job loss resulting from Long COVID, we provide evidence of the profound impact of Long COVID on national labour supply. Since the start of the pandemic, cumulatively 2.9 million people of working age (7% of the total) in the UK have had, or still have, Long COVID. This figure will continue to rise due to very high infection rates in the Omicron wave. Since the beginning of the pandemic, economic inactivity due to long-term sickness has risen by 120,900 among the working-age population, fuelling the UK’s current labour shortage. An estimated 80,000 people have left employment due to Long COVID. We argue that governments need to tackle the twin challenges to public health and labour supply and provide employment protection and financial support for individuals and firms affected by Long COVID. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2510-2514 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2098239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2098239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2510-2514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2102122_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chi-Wei He Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yung-Jang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Jang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Bitcoin price jumps and investor sentiment indicators Abstract: Bitcoin has attracted significant attention from investors over recent years. Due to infrequent jumps in Bitcoin prices, this paper employs the ARJI model of Chan and Maheu (2002) to describe jump risks of Bitcoin prices, and to examine the possible influencing factors of jump risks. Empirical results find that the jump component is the most important driving force of the volatility of Bitcoin returns, and that two investor sentiment indicators (the Bitcoin trading volumes and the number of Bitcoin unique addresses) are positive related to the jump risk of Bitcoin returns. These findings provide an important insight into the investment risk of Bitcoin prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2626-2630 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2102122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2102122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2626-2630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2100048_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yimeng Du Author-X-Name-First: Yimeng Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Teng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: From FIT to FIP: assessing the impact of feed-in policies on renewable development in Germany Abstract: By adopting the autoregressive-distributed lag error correction model, we examine both the short- and long-term impacts of feed-in policies on renewable energy deployment. The estimation results show that the feed-in premium scheme achieved its objective of encouraging the market integration of wind energy but discouraged and retarded investment in solar power technologies. Compared to the market mechanism, fixed price feed-in policy creates greater investment security for solar power projects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2597-2606 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2100048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2100048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2597-2606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103076_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shuo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shuo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yong Qi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Yudi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yudi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Tax incentives and the formation of zombie firms Abstract: Due to the serious problem of overcapacity in China, we empirically analyse the impact of tax incentives on the formation of zombie firms. Using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2009 to 2019, we demonstrate that tax incentives can significantly inhibit the formation of zombie firms through innovation investments. Furthermore, heterogeneity analysis shows that this inhibitory effect is stronger for non-state-owned firms and firms in the eastern region than for other firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2667-2672 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2667-2672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2102566_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nanyang Bu Author-X-Name-First: Nanyang Author-X-Name-Last: Bu Author-Name: Jian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Economic geography and cross-region fertility revisited Abstract: This paper reinvestigates cross-region variation of fertility rates within a country. We develop a simple model where households with heterogeneous preferences make locational and reproductive choices. Considering the congestion diseconomy associated with reproduction, we show that the greater the population size, the lower the fertility rate. Using data from Japan, we find that a doubling of population size decreases the total fertility rate by around 6.4%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2637-2640 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2102566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2102566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2637-2640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2101604_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wenhui Lv Author-X-Name-First: Wenhui Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Linxiang Ye Author-X-Name-First: Linxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Ling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Changes of China’s soybean import market power and influencing factors Abstract: Whether Chinese soybean importers can keenly grasp the changes of different source countries’ market power, will directly affects the safety and cost of soybean import. Based on the analysis of changes in China’s soybean import trade structure, this paper utilizes monthly data from January 2009 to December 2021, combines with the residual demand elasticity model, to compare and analyse the market power of the three major source countries. The results show that although the United States is no longer China’s largest soybean import country, its market power in China’s soybean import market has not been affected, while Argentina’s market power is gradually increasing. Although Brazil has grown into the first source of China’s soybean imports, it has only weak market influence. In addition, China, as the world’s largest buyer, doesn’t have market power. China’s soybean import price is mainly affected by futures prices, domestic soybean prices, international crude oil prices, Sino-US trade frictions and COVID-19 epidemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2619-2625 Issue: 18 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2101604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2101604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:18:p:2619-2625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2109571_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xuejing Xing Author-X-Name-First: Xuejing Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Author-Name: Shan Yan Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Ali Zadeh Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Zadeh Title: Are unionized firms more likely to use nonbank loans? Abstract: We investigate whether and how unionization affects a firm’s use of nonbank loans. Based on a comprehensive sample, we find that unionization is significantly and positively related to a firm’s likelihood of using nonbank loans. We also find that the effect is more pronounced in firms with lower information asymmetry. Overall, the results are consistent with the notion that unionized firms are more likely to use nonbank loans to reduce the proprietary costs of information disclosure. The findings also contribute to a better understanding of why firms choose expensive nonbank loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2819-2824 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2109571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2109571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2819-2824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2110560_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Guanhua Li Author-X-Name-First: Guanhua Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xue Lv Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Xu Han Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Digital financial inclusion and household debt in China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of digital financial inclusion (DFI) on household debt in China. The development of DFI positively affects the total household debt, especially for short-term debt and long-term debt from banks. This indicates that DFI promotes more Chinese households to borrow through formal channels. Furthermore, the development of DFI stimulates more loans from Chinese urban households. Our findings provide useful insights into the important issue of Chinese household debt risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2862-2866 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2110560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2110560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2862-2866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107159_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nicos Koussis Author-X-Name-First: Nicos Author-X-Name-Last: Koussis Author-Name: Florina Silaghi Author-X-Name-First: Florina Author-X-Name-Last: Silaghi Title: Vertical integration: a real options approach Abstract: We develop a theoretical real options model and explore the trade-off between vertical integration and external procurement. In contrast to transaction cost theory, we show that higher volatility in the downstream market reduces the likelihood to switch to internal production. We also analyse the decision to acquire the supplier and provide novel predictions on the acquisition likelihood and premium contributing to studies relating to vertical M&As. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2758-2764 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2758-2764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107608_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Delia Elena Diaconaşu Author-X-Name-First: Delia Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Diaconaşu Author-Name: Seyed M. Mehdian Author-X-Name-First: Seyed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mehdian Author-Name: Ovidiu Stoica Author-X-Name-First: Ovidiu Author-X-Name-Last: Stoica Title: The reaction of financial markets to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: evidence from gold, oil, bitcoin, and major stock markets Abstract: Political observers predicted the Ukraine invasion by Russia for many days, but they could not precisely anticipate the scheme and timing of the invasion. This paper investigates the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on the global commodity and stock markets using an event study methodology. The empirical results of this study suggest that this invasion unevenly affected the financial markets. More precisely, our results suggest that the onset of war has put pressure on global gold and stock markets. Furthermore, it seems that the only asset that could be considered a safe haven for investors after the outbreak of the invasion was oil. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2792-2796 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2792-2796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2106030_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Azhar Mohamad Author-X-Name-First: Azhar Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamad Author-Name: Sarveshwar Kumar Inani Author-X-Name-First: Sarveshwar Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Inani Title: Price discovery in bitcoin spot or futures during the Covid-19 pandemic? Evidence from the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility Abstract: This paper examines price discovery between bitcoin spot and futures using static measures, namely information share (IS), component share (CS), modified information share (MIS), information leadership share (ILS), impulse response, and a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithm. Our one-minute and daily datasets cover 16 months before and 16 months during the Covid-19 pandemic (November 2018 to June 2021). Our IS, CS, MIS and impulse response results indicate a stronger bitcoin spot leadership, whereas our ILS results point to a weaker bitcoin futures dominance, during the Covid-19 pandemic. We construe this, as far as microstructure noise is concerned, as meaning that the bitcoin price is discovered in the spot market, and its dominance appears to have strengthened during the pandemic. However, as far as ‘pure speed’ is concerned, price discovery takes place in the bitcoin futures market, and its leadership seems to have weakened during the Covid-19 pandemic. The results of the time-varying measure (TVP-VAR) imply that, before the pandemic, price discovery took place within bitcoin futures but, during the pandemic, price discovery leadership has changed course, to occur within bitcoin spot. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2749-2757 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2106030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2106030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2749-2757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2110209_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Evangelos Mourelatos Author-X-Name-First: Evangelos Author-X-Name-Last: Mourelatos Author-Name: Haris Mourelatos Author-X-Name-First: Haris Author-X-Name-Last: Mourelatos Title: Online video sharing and revenues during the pandemic. Evidence from musical stream data Abstract: This study examines how instant online video sharing affects artists’ musical streams during the pandemic. On average, the use of the TikTok app significantly increases artists’ streams, by approximately 5%. This increase is even higher for male, European and dj Mag 2020 new entry artists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2841-2847 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2110209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2110209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2841-2847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103499_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Linyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Linyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haiqing Hu Author-X-Name-First: Haiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Xianzhu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xianzhu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xincheng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xincheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yanbo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanbo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Synergistic evolution of resilience and efficiency in the real estate industry: evidence from 35 large and medium-sized cities in China Abstract: This study measures the resilience and efficiency of the real estate industry in 35 large and medium-sized cities in China through the core variable method and the slacks-based measure of super-efficiency. The Haken model identifies the advantages of synergistic evolutionary states between systems and describes the synergistic evolution of resilience and efficiency in the real estate industry. The results show that (1) the evolution of the synergy in the real estate industry can be divided into three major cycles caused by the alternating effects of resilience and efficiency; (2) there are significant spatial and temporal differences in the evolution of the synergy between real estate resilience and efficiency, with the distribution of the synergy values being highly polarized; and (3) policy regulations tend to have short-term direct effects on the resilience of the real estate system, while for efficiency, the effects tend to be long-term and result in cross-cycle adjustments. This study enriches the literature on the robust and sustainable development of the real estate industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2702-2710 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2702-2710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103498_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Junlong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junlong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yuan Ge Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Author-Name: Chaoqun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Chaoqun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Zhenglin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zhenglin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Labour sharing in a duopoly model Abstract: This paper constructed a duopoly model of labour sharing, analysed the equilibrium results of four scenarios, and made a comparative analysis. The results show that neither a labour gap nor a labour surplus is conducive to increased profits. Enterprises are positively inclined towards labour sharing if it would result in higher profits – a prerequisite for sharing. The cost of labour sharing affects the equilibrium results. Hence, the cost should be controlled within a reasonable range. Labour sharing has different effects on social welfare in different scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2697-2701 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2697-2701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107984_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ignacio Belloc Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Belloc Author-Name: José Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: The ecological footprint in Africa: identifying convergence clubs from 1970 to 2018 Abstract: Understanding the dynamics of air emissions is important in implementing efficient policies to combat climate change, and the convergence of air pollutants is a major concern for planners. Nevertheless, most of the existing evidence focuses on developed regions. In this paper, we analyse the evolution of the ecological footprint for the African continent, during 1970–2018. The Phillips and Sul (2007, 2009) panel club convergence approach is carried out. This framework allows us to test the null hypothesis of absolute convergence for a pool of data and to identify groups of countries that converge to the same steady state. Our results offer important insights into the emissions catch-up exhibited by these countries, but do not support the hypothesis that all countries of the African region converge to a single equilibrium. The empirical results strongly support the existence of two convergence clubs. Our empirical findings have important implications for African policymakers in terms of mitigation policies, as the results suggest that a common environmental policy across the entire African continent is sub-optimal, since these regions have heterogeneous behaviours and move towards different equilibriums. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2808-2813 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2808-2813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2106029_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Saesin Oh Author-X-Name-First: Saesin Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Dongwoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sang-Kee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: How does non-market economy structure work as a trade barrier? Abstract: This study investigates the effect of a non-market economy structure on the duopoly competition in which a foreign private firm competes with a state-owned enterprise in a non-market economy. By comparing with Singh and Vives (1984) and Matsumura and Ogawa (2012), we find that the non-market economic structure can function as a trade barrier and cause foreign firms to face discriminatory competition. The transition from a non-market economy to a market economy may sacrifice social welfare, which implies no more Pareto improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2743-2748 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2106029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2106029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2743-2748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2109570_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Junshi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junshi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jing Chi Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Author-Name: Hamish Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Hamish Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: CEO happiness curve and firm innovation: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the impact of CEO’s happiness on firm innovation in China. As happiness is difficult to measure, we use CEO’s age based on the Happiness Curve theory. We find that when CEOs are in their less happy midlife stage, they more actively promote higher reward and risk innovation strategies, and that employee wellbeing represents a channel through which CEO unhappiness promotes innovation. The non-linear relationship between CEO age and risk-taking behaviour helps settle prior conflicting evidence which assumes a linear relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2814-2818 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2109570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2109570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2814-2818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103497_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lingyue Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Lingyue Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Title: Does the construction of smart cities promote urban green innovation? Evidence from China Abstract: Based on panel data of 152 cities in China from 2005 to 2019, this study employs the difference-in-difference model (DID) to empirically study the policy effect, mechanism, and heterogeneity of smart city construction on urban green innovation. The empirical results indicate that smart city construction promotes the quantity and quality of urban green innovation. The results also show regional heterogeneity, which depends on the underlying mechanisms, including the fiscal expenditure, personnel input, and information infrastructure. Furthermore, the impact of smart city construction on urban green innovation is more positive in cities with higher initial innovation conditions. This study provides new evidence for the innovation effects of smart infrastructure construction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2688-2696 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2688-2696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103078_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Can Sever Author-X-Name-First: Can Author-X-Name-Last: Sever Title: Gendered laws and labour force participation Abstract: The laws that discriminate against women represent one of the most prevalent forms of gender inequality, hindering women’s empowerment and economic outcomes. In this regard, this paper sheds light on the relationship between legal constraints on women and various labour force outcomes. Based on a global sample of countries over 1970–2019, the results show that legal gender equality helps countries bridge the gender gap in labour force participation. More-gender equal laws (i) translate into a larger share of women in the workforce, and (ii) do not have a negative effect on that of men. As a result, legal gender equality also boosts labour force participation on aggregate. These patterns are long-lasting for upwards of 10 years. The findings point to a win-win situation: As countries repeal the laws that discriminate against women, which could be achievable in the shorter term, they can attain more inclusive and higher economic growth. This is even more important in the post-Covid-19 period, considering the adverse effects of the pandemic on gender inequality and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2681-2687 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2681-2687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2103500_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Paul Egan Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Egan Title: Nowcasting domestic demand using a dynamic factor model: the case of Ireland Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need for timely information on the evolving economic impacts of such a crisis. During these periods, there is an increased need to understand the current state of the economy to guide the effective implementation of policy. This is made difficult by the fact that official estimates of economic indicators, such as those published by national statistical agencies, are released with a substantial lag. Using the case of Ireland, this article shows that the information contained in a panel of monthly economic indicators can be related to Quarterly National Accounts under the methodological framework of a dynamic factor model (DFM). The article also suggests that accounting for structural breaks improves the nowcasting performance of domestic demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2711-2716 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2103500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2103500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2711-2716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107607_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wanting Xu Author-X-Name-First: Wanting Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Peijin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Peijin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yao Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Will the Special Economic Zone contribute to carbon neutrality? Quasi-natural experimental evidence from China Abstract: Many studies have explored the impact of China Special Economic Zone (SEZ) on economic growth, but few have paid attention to its impact on environmental pollution. Taking the establishment of SEZ as a quasi-natural experiment in China, this paper used the time-varying difference-in-difference method to explore the impact of industrial agglomeration caused by SEZ on CO2 emission from 1998 to 2011. The results showed that the industrial agglomeration would aggravate CO2 emissions, while effective regulatory measures in SEZ can reduce CO2 emissions. The policy emission reduction effect was significant in non-urban agglomerations and before 2006. To reduce CO2 emissions and achieve the goal of carbon neutrality, the local government should supervise and manage industrial agglomeration effectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2779-2791 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2779-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107161_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lingyun Ni Author-X-Name-First: Lingyun Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: Does the higher education expansion policy affect the entrepreneurship of urban college students in China? Abstract: The impact of education on entrepreneurial choice is ambiguous in both theory and empirics. Based on the data from the 2016 China Labour-Force Dynamics Survey, this paper studies the impact of China’s Higher Education Expansion (HEE) policy initiated in 1999 on the entrepreneurial behaviour of urban college students and its transmission mechanism by employing the difference-in-difference approach. The results show that the implementation of the HEE policy has significantly promoted the entrepreneurship of urban college students and the HEE policy stimulates urban college students’ entrepreneurship by decreasing the rate of return to urban college students’ education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2769-2773 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107161 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2769-2773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107162_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: HaiYue Zhao Author-X-Name-First: HaiYue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Tannista Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Tannista Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Title: Unhealthy eating and health awareness: evidence from restaurant visitors using consumers’ cell phone geo-location data Abstract: Unhealthy eating is a serious public health issue that continues to burden the U.S. health system. But, due to data limitations, most extant research lacks a direct explanation of unhealthy eating behaviour. Using data compiled from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Census’ American Community Survey, SafeGraph mobile device ping data, and web-scraped restaurant characteristics, we examine the relationships between restaurant characteristics, socioeconomic characteristics, health awareness, and the number of patrons at unhealthy eating establishments in the United States. Results obtained through various alternative empirical models confirm the effect of health awareness on unhealthy eating habits. This study adds to a growing literature which study people’s eating behaviour related to weight gain along with other chronic diseases. The results point to important policy implications for mitigating obesity and reducing unhealthy eating. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2774-2778 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2774-2778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2109573_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ce Guo Author-X-Name-First: Ce Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Mengfan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Mengfan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Jingyu Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingyu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qiwei Xie Author-X-Name-First: Qiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Gold spot and futures market cross-correlation and time-frequency volatility: an application of MF-ADCCA-AFD Abstract: This study employs the MF-ADCCA-AFD method to investigate the multiple fractal characteristics of the interrelationship between the gold spot and futures, and to explore the time-frequency distribution of gold prices. The price decline is found to have a more persistent impact on the relationship between gold futures and spot prices, and its cross-correlations are asymmetric. Compared to gold spot prices, gold futures prices have more volatile phases, and their ranges are larger. By performing time-frequency analysis, investors can predict when a price is about to fluctuate, thereby providing them with valuable investment advice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2832-2840 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2109573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2109573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2832-2840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2110211_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jyun-Ying Fu Author-X-Name-First: Jyun-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Cultural distance, foreign ownership, and corporate innovation in China Abstract: This study examines the impact of heterogeneous foreign institutional investors on innovation in Chinese listed firms from 2009 to 2020. Empirical results indicate that foreign institutional investors from regions with high cultural distance are associated with a significant increase in corporate innovation of Chinese firms. Moreover, the results remain robust to alternative cultural distance measures and methods that address endogeneity. This research provides novel evidence regarding the role of foreign institutional investors in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2854-2861 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2110211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2110211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2854-2861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2106027_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hoyong Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Don’t stop me now! Effects of CEO turnover on the performance of public institutions Abstract: This study explored the impact of CEO turnover during the term of office on public institutions’ performance. We examined the unique situation of South Korea – using an exogenously generated remaining term of office due to former President Park Geun-hye’s impeachment in 2017 as an instrumental variable (IV) for the event of CEO turnover – to identify causal relations. The results showed that public institutions’ performance declined when the CEO was replaced after failing to serve the three-year term. Our findings suggest that safeguarding CEOs’ stable positions from political influences is crucial to enhancing public institutions’ performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2725-2731 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2106027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2106027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2725-2731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2110561_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vitor Hugo Miro Couto Silva Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Hugo Miro Couto Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Francisca Zilania Mariano Author-X-Name-First: Francisca Zilania Author-X-Name-Last: Mariano Author-Name: João Mário Santos de França Author-X-Name-First: João Mário Author-X-Name-Last: Santos de França Author-Name: Marília Rodrigues Firmiano Author-X-Name-First: Marília Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Firmiano Title: Evaluating the impact of an innovative anti-poverty program: evidence using the generalized synthetic control method Abstract: This article estimates the causal effect of an anti-poverty mechanism dating to early this century called ‘Funds to Combat Poverty’ (Fundos de Combate à Pobreza - FCP) on the proportion of households below the poverty line in the states of Brazil’s Northeast region. We applied the generalized synthetic control method to evaluate this policy, not yet widely examined in the literature on strategies to counteract poverty. The results provide evidence of a positive impact of the policy on reducing poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2867-2871 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2110561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2110561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2867-2871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2106028_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zahid Jumah Author-X-Name-First: Zahid Author-X-Name-Last: Jumah Author-Name: Zahid Irshad Younas Author-X-Name-First: Zahid Irshad Author-X-Name-Last: Younas Author-Name: Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan Author-X-Name-First: Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Faryan Title: Economic policy uncertainty, corporate diversification, and corporate investment Abstract: This study explores the moderating role of corporate diversification between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and corporate investment relationship. Using firm-level panel data of US firms over the period 2000–2020, we show that corporate diversification positively moderates the negative impact of EPU on corporate investment by reducing financial constraints. The analysis indicates that diversification mitigates the adverse impact of EPU on US firms’ investment. Furthermore, our results are robust to alternative proxies, subsample tests, selection bias, and endogeneity concerns. The findings are helpful from a managerial perspective, suggesting that diversification alleviates financial constraints, enabling firms to-- mitigate the negative impact of EPU on investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2732-2742 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2106028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2106028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2732-2742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107160_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sungmun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Sungmun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Do high-income individuals respond to the change in the marginal tax rate? Evidence from Major League Baseball Abstract: Income taxation affects individuals’ incentives to work, save, and take risks. These behavioural responses to taxation is key to evaluating efficiency cost of taxation. Especially, the response of rich individuals to taxation is important because of their impact on the tax revenue and on the economy. In this paper, I analyse the response of Major League Baseball players to the increase in the top tax rate due to the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. Using difference-in-differences estimation applied to the players with different years of free agent contracts, I do not find any negative effect of the tax increase on the players’ performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2765-2768 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2765-2768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2109572_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yasin Acar Author-X-Name-First: Yasin Author-X-Name-Last: Acar Title: The economic impact of universities: empirical evidence from Turkish provinces Abstract: Twenty-three new state universities were established in different provinces in Turkey in 1992. This study investigates universities’ possible economic impacts on local economies in provinces in Turkey by comparing per capita GDP before and after the establishment of new universities. To do so, we employ difference-in-difference and matching based on entropy balancing to provide robustness against observable and time-invariant unobservable heterogeneity. Using the provincial level data between 1987 and 2000 in Turkey, we find that increases in the number of universities are positively associated with GDP per capita at the province level. Empirical results also show that unemployment rates in provinces fall with the establishment of new universities in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2825-2831 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2109572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2109572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2825-2831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2110210_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haiyun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xuefeng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuefeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Foreign direct investment in services and manufacturing export sophistication in China Abstract: This study investigates the impacts of FDI in services on the sophistication of the total export and the domestic added components of manufacturing firms in China, utilizing the policy of FDI access relaxation in services as an exogenous shock. The results show that FDI in services increases the sophistication of firms’ total export, but decreases the sophistication of domestic added components. Increasing the use of imported sophisticated inputs is a potential influencing mechanism of FDI in services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2848-2853 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2110210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2110210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2848-2853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107983_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Fernando Barros Jr Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Jr Author-Name: Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Reis Gomes Author-Name: Gian Paulo Soave Author-X-Name-First: Gian Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Soave Title: Geopolitical risk shocks and the Brazilian economy Abstract: This paper investigates the impacts of international geopolitical risk shocks (GPR) on the Brazilian economy. The dynamic relation between Brazil and GPR is modelled using a Bayesian vector autoregressive model that accounts for large economic shocks with heavy tails and stochastic volatility. The study analyses quarterly data from Brazil, as well as the indices that account for GPR related to the US, Russia, and a global GPR index. The results indicate that real economic activity reacts more intensely to Russian risk than to global or US risk, whereas the responses of prices and financial indicators appear more sensitive to global risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2803-2807 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2803-2807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2107982_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sven Grüner Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Grüner Author-Name: Norbert Hirschauer Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschauer Title: Experienced survey participants, biased responses? – The example of cognitive reflection Abstract: The Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) is used in behavioural studies to describe individuals as intuitive or reflective. In recent years, behavioural scientists have increasingly recruited participants on online platforms. Besides convenience, apt platform recruitment is believed to increase validity and facilitate more meaningful inferences towards the population of interest compared to studies based on students. But particularly with regard to CRT, there is an often-underestimated drawback: ‘experienced clickers’ might systematically distort findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2797-2802 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2107982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2797-2802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2104800_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Renyu Li Author-X-Name-First: Renyu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yan Luo Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Tenglong Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Tenglong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: The impact of trade policy uncertainty on labour demand elasticity: evidence from China Abstract: Research on the effect of trade on labour demand elasticity is rich, but lacks studies on the effect of trade policy uncertainty. Using firm-level labour demand elasticity data from China, this paper supplements current research by presenting evidence for the impact of trade policy uncertainty on labour demand elasticity. Using the granting Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status by the US to China as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper constructs a difference-in-differences model. The empirical results show that a reduction in trade policy uncertainty following the grant of PNTR status significantly reduces labour demand elasticity in China. The decrease in trade policy uncertainty thereby improves employment stability. This paper reveals the importance of cultivating a stable international trade policy environment for stabilizing the domestic job market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2717-2724 Issue: 19 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2104800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2104800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:19:p:2717-2724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2114988_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chaofan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chaofan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lijuan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Lijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Yongsheng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chenghua Guan Author-X-Name-First: Chenghua Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Can comprehensive environmental regulation trigger green innovation? evidence from the low-carbon city pilot policy and green patents of listed industrial enterprises Abstract: Using the gradual promotion of China’s low-carbon city pilot policy (LCCPP) as a quasi-natural experiment, this study investigates the impact of comprehensive environmental regulation on green innovation represented by green patents of listed industrial enterprises. Our results revealed that enterprises located in cities with LCCPP produced a high intensity and volume of green patents. LCCPP increased the proportion of green invention, green utility model, and total green patents by 1.26%, 0.72%, and 0.84%, respectively. Moreover, we found that enterprises located in eastern cities and those with high research and development intensity and productivity were likely to benefit most from LCCPP, and LCCPP also triggered green innovation in high-emission and high-energy-consuming industrial sectors. Our results suggest that, for developing economies, a flexible and comprehensive environmental regulation that combines command-and-control and market-based regulations would be preferable for promoting enterprises’ green innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2886-2893 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2114988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2114988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2886-2893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115448_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zorica Mladenovic Author-X-Name-First: Zorica Author-X-Name-Last: Mladenovic Title: Economic policy uncertainty in US and Europe: time-varying Granger causality Abstract: This study provides insights into the linkage between the policy uncertainty index of the United States (US) and Europe based on the time-varying causality approach. We also consider the variability of these indices derived from the ARFIMA-GARCH models. Our findings indicate a prevailing causality running from US uncertainty to both European and European variability of uncertainty. The results are in line with some theoretical models that associate macroeconomic uncertainty and international spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2913-2920 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2913-2920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2116387_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tami Gurley Author-X-Name-First: Tami Author-X-Name-Last: Gurley Author-Name: Brian Hill Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Title: The effects of increasing income for vulnerable families: better birth outcomes, continued disparities Abstract: Evidence suggests that cash transfers through the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) programme induce better birth outcomes. We use US Vital Statistics data for all births in Maryland from 1995–2004 to capture the casual effects of implementing a local EITC programme across households. Alternative difference-in-differences (DD) comparison groups compare treatment households with like households in non-EITC counties and ineligible households in the same county. We find that the implementation of the local EITC reduced the probability of low birth weight by as much as 3.5 percentage points for births to White and Black mothers with little evidence of an effect for Hispanic mothers. This reduction represents a 46% decrease for White mothers and 26% decrease for Black mothers. Despite improving average birth outcomes, EITC cash transfers did not reduce disparities in birth outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2965-2970 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2116387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2116387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2965-2970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2116385_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhiyang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yan Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: Climate change and firm productivity: the case of drought Abstract: This paper evaluates the causal effects of climate change on firm productivity from the perspective of drought, which is a complicated climate phenomenon. Based on the panel data of agriculture-related firms in China, we present strong evidence that drought significantly reduces firm’ total factor productivity. Mechanism analysis shows that the negative effect is rooting from higher costs of equity capital, higher operation costs, and lower investment efficiency. Finally, we find that government subsidy and policy stimulating corporate innovation can help firms adapt to climate change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2947-2957 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2116385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2116385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2947-2957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2117773_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Author-Name: Hussein Abedi Shamsabadi Author-X-Name-First: Hussein Author-X-Name-Last: Abedi Shamsabadi Author-Name: Harshavardhan Reddy Kummitha Author-X-Name-First: Harshavardhan Author-X-Name-Last: Reddy Kummitha Title: How did gold prices respond to the COVID-19 pandemic? Abstract: This paper investigates the asymmetric impact of COVID-19 on gold prices by making use of high frequency data and a recently developed nonlinear estimation approach. The analysis considers three main dimensions of COVID-19: daily new cases, recoveries and deaths. The findings reveal that decreases in COVID-19 new cases and increases in recoveries cause an upswing in gold prices. These evidences imply that the reduction in new COVID-19 cases or more recoveries from COVID-19 improves both investors’ and consumers’ psychological confidence. In other words, the investors and consumers become more optimistic about their future and tend to demand more gold. On the other hand, the increases (decreases) in policy uncertainty, oil prices, and world stock index performance elevate (reduce) gold prices. The study also establishes a positive nexus between equity market uncertainty and gold prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2987-2993 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2117773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2117773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2987-2993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2114987_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gerardo Ruiz Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Gerardo Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Sánchez Title: COVID-19 and the rise of maternal deaths: evidence from Mexico Abstract: I use 2013–2020 state-month-year data from official maternal death records to quantify the effect of the pandemic on maternal deaths in Mexico. Using a Poisson count regression model that accounts for seasonal trends and unobserved differences across states, I show maternal deaths started increasing meaningfully in April-May 2020. More specifically, I find that the expected number of maternal deaths increased by a factor of 2 during May-August 2020. Moreover, this increase factor remained above 1.6 after September 2020, indicating that the effect of the pandemic on maternal deaths continued to be meaningful at the end of year. I also provide evidence of the key mechanism that could plausibly explain this increase: COVID-19 was the main underlying cause of 26.5% of maternal deaths in 2020. This accounts for nearly all of the increase in maternal deaths from 2019 to 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2881-2885 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2114987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2114987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2881-2885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115445_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Lanjun Lao Author-X-Name-First: Lanjun Author-X-Name-Last: Lao Title: Identifying inconsistency in short-term reversal: evidence from the Chinese stock market Abstract: We study the inconsistency between past return and profitability growth to explore the mispricing explanation for short-term reversal. Our empirical results indicate that reversal profits are more concentrated in stocks where past returns are inconsistent with profitability growth. Based on our finding, we develop a growth-anchored reversal (GAR) strategy defined as buying past losers with high profitability growth and selling past winners with low growth. This refined short-term reversal strategy turns out to be more profitable than conventional reversal strategy in the Chinese stock market. Our results remain robust under different sample periods, different market situations and alternative profitability measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2894-2901 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2894-2901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2116388_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhijie Han Author-X-Name-First: Zhijie Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Yuwei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does high-speed rail promote corporate green innovation? Abstract: This paper employs the difference-in-difference model (DID) to empirically investigate how high-speed rail affects the green innovation of corporate. We find that high-speed rail significantly promotes corporate green innovation, and the result differed between regions. The mechanism is that high-speed rail has increased the regional environmental awareness, corporate environmental costs, labour supply, and the firm’s external financial support, providing more innovation resources for enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2971-2977 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2116388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2116388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2971-2977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115966_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lijuan Cui Author-X-Name-First: Lijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Yanyan Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Yanyan Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Title: Efficiency gains from reallocating human capital between China’s state and non-state sectors Abstract: This study is among the first to use household survey data from 1988 to 2019 to demonstrate how human capital misallocation between China’s state and non-state sectors has evolved and to estimate efficiency gains from reallocation over time. Our results show that human capital allocation between sectors has been converging to, diverging from, and re-converging to an optimal level, implying that the Chinese labour market has been gradually approaching efficiency during its market-oriented transition. Lower-educated labours had been more misallocated between the two sectors than higher-educated ones. Efficiency gains from reallocating human capital between sectors depend on the degree of misallocation at each stage and the gains are comparable to contemporaneous domestic gross research and development expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2921-2925 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2921-2925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2117269_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chaohua He Author-X-Name-First: Chaohua Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Hanwei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hanwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Performance compensation commitment and long-term M&A performance Abstract: The article stresses the significance of performance compensation commitment (PCC) in merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions. By exploring manually collected PCCs peculiar to China’s M&A market, we find that: (i) acquirer’s post-M&A long-term performance relates positively to absolute compensation but negatively to relative compensation (scaled by target size); (ii) an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between M&A synergism and compensation amount; (iii) PCC effects are persistent and unrelated to commitment duration. The results suggest that an appropriately designed PCC may enhance acquirer’s performance and M&A synergism through channels of motivating the target and boosting bilateral collaboration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2978-2982 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2117269 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2117269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2978-2982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115446_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Conglong Fang Author-X-Name-First: Conglong Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Qinghua Shi Author-X-Name-First: Qinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Expenditure elasticity and consumption inequality in rural China Abstract: Consumption inequality is a matter of great concern. However, measurement error always appears when doing so. To handle this, this paper uses a method based on Engel expenditure elasticity proposed by Aguiar and Bils. The results show that consumption inequality in rural China based on Engel expenditure elasticity is smaller than the income inequality and consumption inequality calculated by the ratio of high-income to low-income households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2902-2906 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2902-2906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115967_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Md Zakaria Siddiqui Author-X-Name-First: Md Zakaria Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiqui Author-Name: Subrata Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Author-Name: Ronald Donato Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Donato Title: Does public intervention in dealing with problems of mosquitoes/flies in India crowd out private initiatives? Abstract: The spread of vector-borne diseases poses considerable public health challenges in India, such that both government and private households engage in initiatives to tackle the problem. This study utilises two nationally representative datasets (2018 and 2012) to determine if action undertaken by state/local government(s) in India in tackling the problems of mosquitoes/flies is associated with a crowding out of private efforts in addressing the problem; or instead is associated with greater private action. Study findings reveal that local/state government action is associated with an increase in household effort in dealing with the problem of mosquitoes/flies. Action by state/local governments in India may convey information to households which may alter their decision-making calculus regarding returns on investments triggering an increase in private effort complementing the public effort. Accordingly, simple government-sponsored advertising campaigns may not be efficacious in promulgating desired behavioural responses. This study finds that direct government action aimed at mitigating the transmission of vector-borne diseases, together with investment in education, social infrastructure and health system interaction may provide positive information signals to households thus enhancing private investment in health-related activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2926-2933 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2926-2933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115447_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ilanit Avioz Author-X-Name-First: Ilanit Author-X-Name-Last: Avioz Author-Name: Haim Kedar-Levy Author-X-Name-First: Haim Author-X-Name-Last: Kedar-Levy Author-Name: Crina Pungulescu Author-X-Name-First: Crina Author-X-Name-Last: Pungulescu Author-Name: David Stolin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stolin Title: Linking asset prices to news without direct asset mentions Abstract: Advances in Natural Language Processing (NLP), computing power and data availability are driving an explosion in research about the impact of news on asset prices. However, when relating news to individual assets, this research is based on mentions of specific assets or related terms in the news stories. Such an approach has two shortcomings. First, it requires a substantial time investment in a specific NLP technology. Second, and more importantly, it ignores news articles that do not directly mention a given asset or a pre-defined asset-related term, even if these articles are logically related to the asset in question. Our approach relies instead on a novel NLP technology called ‘semantic fingerprinting’, which projects any text onto a binary vector representing its meaning. The greater the overlap between the semantic fingerprint of a news article and a given asset description, the more relevant we expect the article to be, whether or not the given asset is mentioned in the news directly. We show that this approach successfully picks up the positive impact of news on prices of commonly traded commodities using a dataset of general news published by The Guardian. We include the needed data and instructions for implementing this approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2907-2912 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2907-2912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2111022_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thomas F. P. Wiesen Author-X-Name-First: Thomas F. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Wiesen Author-Name: Lakshya Bharadwaj Author-X-Name-First: Lakshya Author-X-Name-Last: Bharadwaj Title: Cryptocurrency Connectedness: Does Controlling for the Cross-Correlations Matter? Abstract: A growing literature has employed the existing generalized spillover measures to measure the connectedness – or market integration – of cryptocurrencies. This method, while useful, does not properly control for the cross-correlations of the cryptocurrencies when computing aggregate spillovers from all others to any given cryptocurrency, whereas the joint spillover method of Lastrapes and Wiesen (2021) does. This paper further describes the novel multivariate conditioning sets employed by the joint spillover method. By employing these two techniques and evaluating the differences in the results, we demonstrate that controlling for the cross-correlations of cryptocurrencies matters for measuring aggregate spillovers and the overall connectedness of the cryptocurrency market. Using data on ten of the most traded cryptocurrencies, we find that the generalized spillover index overestimates overall connectedness by over nine percentage points relative to the new joint spillover index. This difference varies temporally and across cryptocurrencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2873-2880 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2111022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2111022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2873-2880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2117774_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mariya Pominova Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Pominova Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Title: Population size and the job matching of college graduates Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between a region’s population size and the match of college-educated workers to jobs that require a degree. Results show a positive relationship between degree match and county population size in the United States, with a 100,000-person increase in population associated with a 1.3-percentage point increase in the likelihood of a match. The analysis uses a person’s grade point average in college to account for the potential sorting of higher-skilled workers into larger urban areas and the dataset has individuals across a wide range of regions from small rural areas to big cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2994-2997 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2117774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2117774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2994-2997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2117270_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaohui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Mobing Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Mobing Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Zhengrong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhengrong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Does digital finance facilitate improvement in export product quality? Evidence from China Abstract: Inefficiency and resource misallocation in the financial system, coupled with a shortage of traditional financial services, have hindered export product quality improvement in China. Against this backdrop, there is an evident need to examine the dynamics between digital finance and export product quality. Hence, this study focuses on the impact of digital finance on export product quality upgrades in China. The examination draws on panel data of 39,387 firm-level samples from 2011 to 2014. Empirical results show that digital finance helps upgrade export product quality by enhancing enterprises’ financial stability. Moreover, the positive effect of the depth of digital finance usage is more pronounced than that of the breadth of digital finance coverage. Our findings imply that China must continue deepening the digital financial market and expand and improve the scope and efficiency of financial services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2983-2986 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2117270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2117270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2983-2986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2115968_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hengzhen Lu Author-X-Name-First: Hengzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Qiujin Gao Author-X-Name-First: Qiujin Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Ho Yin Yick Author-X-Name-First: Ho Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Yick Title: Economic policy uncertainty and its mediating effect on leverage on the adjustment speed of corporate investment– evidence from China Abstract: Using the data of 677 listed manufacturing companies in China from 2008 to 2020, we construct an empirical model to study the adjustment speed of investment level and leverage change under economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Our empirical results show that: (1) EPU hinders the adjustment speed of firm investment level. (2) EPU is negatively associated with leverage and hinders the adjustment speed of leverage level. (3) Corporate leverage has a negative mediation effect on the adjustment speed of firm investment level. The response of firms and markets to economic policies always lags behind. In particular, the EPU effect is significant in long term, up to 3 years, and the negative mediating effect is lasted for 10 quarters. A robust check has been done to verify the results. It is suggested that policymakers should help to improve the information efficiency, smooth the market reaction and take the dominant position of market regulation, to avoid the large-scale shock from EPU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2934-2946 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2115968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2115968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2934-2946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2116386_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christopher R. McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Christopher R. Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Author-Name: Neil A. Wilmot Author-X-Name-First: Neil A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilmot Author-Name: Sichao Wei Author-X-Name-First: Sichao Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: David Aadland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aadland Title: The effects of terrorism events and changes in the US Homeland Security Advisory System on national park visitation Abstract: The impacts of terrorism events and the subsequent Homeland Security Advisory System (HSAS) on visitation to US National Park Service (NPS) sites are examined. A spatial random effects model, using a panel of monthly site visitation (1979–2013), spanning the period between two major terrorism events, is applied. Results show increased visitation after the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing, but a decrease in visitation after 9/11. The decline in park visitation diminishes the farther the park site is from the twin towers, and the more time has passed since 9/11. Elevated terrorism threat levels under HSAS have a negative impact on visitation, but the impact of the warning decays over time. The interaction effect indicates that large visitation sites close to the Twin Towers may experience more visitation after the HSAS level increases. We suggest that the negative HSAS time effect may be due to some potential visitors choosing to stay home, while the positive interaction effect may indicate substitution towards visiting NPS sites. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2958-2964 Issue: 20 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2116386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2116386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:20:p:2958-2964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118219_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Joo Hyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joo Hyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung Jae Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seung Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Efficient access to qualitative data: a case of MD&A analysis from 10-K with Python via SEC’s API Abstract: A distinction between quantitative and qualitative data has been regarded as an inviolable separation for a long time, resulting in a significant restriction in setting research designs and methods. In this study, we propose a way to pull this stereotype down and to open more choices for upcoming studies: using Python with 10-K filings via the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s application programming interface, we show how to broaden the source of data available for research. In particular, we focus on management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) of 10-K filing. This part has not been fully incorporated due to considerable requirements for an access – substantial time and effort in case of hand collecting. The new perspective approach described in this paper provides significant implications for business practice as well as research in relation to the higher level of utilization of existing data than before. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3021-3025 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3021-3025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120950_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nurullah Gür Author-X-Name-First: Nurullah Author-X-Name-Last: Gür Author-Name: Elmas Yaldız Hanedar Author-X-Name-First: Elmas Author-X-Name-Last: Yaldız Hanedar Author-Name: Avni Önder Hanedar Author-X-Name-First: Avni Önder Author-X-Name-Last: Hanedar Title: Democracy and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: an empirical investigation Abstract: Democracies are expected to implement expansionary fiscal policies to accelerate economic recovery in crisis times. However, as experienced in the 2008 global financial crisis, democratic countries sometimes tend to adopt austerity measures during crises. This paper examines the relationship between democracy and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic. The empirical findings confirm the positive impact of democracy on fiscal support. As we unbundle the effects, democracy has a significant effect for the non-health sector, but the effect is insignificant for the health sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3068-3074 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3068-3074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118217_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Weijia Hu Author-X-Name-First: Weijia Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Shi Teng Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Teng Author-Name: Yu-En Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-En Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Share pledging, social trust and cash dividend payout: evidence from China Abstract: Paying less cash dividend is one type of pledging shareholders’ opportunistic behaviour. Previous literature leaves unclear evidence about the impacts of share pledging on such firm-level decisions. Using the data of listed firms between 2014 and 2020 in China, we fill this void by examining the relationship between share pledging and cash dividend payouts from the perspective of social trust. Using a Heckman two-stage model, we find that share-pledging firms are less likely to pay cash dividend and the cash dividend payout is negatively related to pledged shares. We employ a hierarchical linear model and find that the level of social trust positively moderates the relationship between share pledging and cash dividend payout. Further, we find the effect is more pronounced for firms with higher free cash flows. The results indicate that social trust reduces the moral risk of pledging shareholders of listed firms in emerging market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3006-3012 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3006-3012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118218_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Betul Akar Author-X-Name-First: Betul Author-X-Name-Last: Akar Title: Does education affect leisure-time reading? Evidence from time use survey Abstract: Utilizing the data from Turkish Time Use Survey and exploiting Turkish compulsory schooling reform as a source of exogenous variation in education, this paper shows that education reduces employed men’s leisure-time reading. For women, on the other hand, we do not find any causal impact of increased education on time spent in reading. We conclude that education may affect men’s reading habits by altering preferences towards other leisure activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3013-3020 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3013-3020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120177_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yulin Hou Author-X-Name-First: Yulin Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Shaomeng Jia Author-X-Name-First: Shaomeng Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Title: Commodity exports and educational inequality Abstract: This paper studies the impact of commodity exports on educational inequality. Using data from 33 Latin America and the Caribbean countries over the period 1965 to 2010, the empirical analysis shows that export expansion of commodities leads to higher levels of educational inequality. The results are shown to be robust to the consideration of many control variables, different measures of commodity exports, and endogeneity of export expansion in commodities. Given the importance of educational inequality for economic growth, our results suggest a potential role for policy intervention in balancing the trade-off between promoting the aggregation production of education and increasing export growth in low-skill sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3061-3067 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3061-3067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2137453_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seungyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Trends in children’s food insufficiency in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: Children’s food insufficiency is a severe form of food-related hardship that may have intensified during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using near real-time data from the Household Pulse Survey, this study analyzes trends in children’s food insufficiency in the United States during the pandemic period from June 2020 to December 2021. The results indicate that children’s low food sufficiency sharply increased in mid-July and early December 2020 and decreased with the third Economic Impact Payments rollout in early January 2021. This decrease suggests the payments’ potential to improve children’s food sufficiency. Comparatively, the status of children with very low food sufficiency has remained stable throughout the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3088-3093 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2137453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2137453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3088-3093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118220_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Deming Luo Author-X-Name-First: Deming Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Kai Qu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Title: Does Income Inequality Matter for Structural Transformation? Abstract: This study revisits the effect of income inequality on economic development from the perspective of structural change. Using an international panel dataset of 90 economies from 1996 to 2015, we empirically assess the impact of income inequality on labour transformation across sectors. We use the ‘wheat – sugar ratio’ as an instrument for endogenous variation. The results suggest that income inequality positively and significantly impacts agricultural labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3026-3033 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3026-3033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120952_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Seongwan Park Author-X-Name-First: Seongwan Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Seungju Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seungju Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yunyoung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yunyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hyungjin Ko Author-X-Name-First: Hyungjin Author-X-Name-Last: Ko Author-Name: Bumho Son Author-X-Name-First: Bumho Author-X-Name-Last: Son Author-Name: Jaewook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaewook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Huisu Jang Author-X-Name-First: Huisu Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Title: Price co-movements in decentralized financial markets Abstract: In decentralized finance (Defi), market participants are allowed to have the right to manage their own funds as opposed to centralized finance (Cefi) with a central custodian, centralized exchanges (CEX). Most Defi projects provide their own service and simultaneously issue a unique token that can be traded in decentralized exchanges (DEX). However, the values of these tokens have rarely been studied. We confirm that the prices of tokens in the Defi market have a persistent tendency to move together. We also demonstrate that the correlation gradually increased from the Defi market’s inception and the price co-movement increased in a bear market, and conversely, decreased in a bull market. Specifically, we find a notable difference in the level of price co-movement between CEX cryptocurrencies and DEX tokens. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3075-3082 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3075-3082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118216_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Jabbing the economy back to life? Abstract: The pace and scope of Covid-19 vaccination has varied greatly across OECD countries. In this paper, monthly data on vaccination rates for the 32 OECD countries with high-frequency all-cause mortality rates available are related to seven monthly economic activity indicators: night-time lights and Google Mobility reports for six types of locations. Vaccination rates are also related to Covid response stringency, to Covid cases and deaths, and to all-cause mortality. A standard deviation higher fully vaccinated rate is associated with up to an 0.5 standard deviation larger rise in economic activity over the same month in 2020; an effect due to relaxed response stringency. The partial vaccination rate has no relationship with the economic rebound. These associations with changes in economic activity occur despite no apparent relationship between vaccination rates and changes in Covid-19 cases or changes in mortality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 2999-3005 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:2999-3005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118958_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mauro Vigani Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Vigani Author-Name: Hasan Dudu Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Dudu Title: Testing an IV method for reducing quality bias in demand systems estimations Abstract: Price elasticities of substitution estimated with demand systems and household survey data might suffer of an endogeneity bias due to measurement errors and unobserved quality substitution. The paper compares Deaton’s and Cox and Wohlgenant’s approaches commonly used to reduce this bias with a method based on instrumental variables. The test is conducted on selected food and beverage goods inVietnam. Price elasticities not corrected for quality substitution obtained with standard market prices are used as a benchmark. Results show that the instrumental variable method significantly reduces the endogeneity bias and performs better than the compared methods. Moreover, it is based on fewer assumptions and controls for measurement errors. Its main limitations are that it still implicitly assumes that price changes have no impact on quality and that it relies on identifying suitable instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3034-3038 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3034-3038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118961_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Omid M Ardakani Author-X-Name-First: Omid M Author-X-Name-Last: Ardakani Author-Name: Mariana Saenz Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Saenz Title: On the comparison of inequality measures: evidence from the world values survey Abstract: This paper overviews the well-known inequality measures and applies information-theoretic tools to compare inequality between income levels among nations. Specifically, we use the World Values Survey data on households’ income levels in 57 countries to rank inequality. We then examine the effects of macroeconomic outcomes on inequality. Our findings suggest that the Gini coefficient with $$J$$J-divergence provides further insight into inequality rankings. In addition, the results indicate that higher inflation and GDP growth lead to lower inequality. Finally, we find a positive relationship between income inequality and money growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3051-3060 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3051-3060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118960_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yating Fu Author-X-Name-First: Yating Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Yufei Xia Author-X-Name-First: Yufei Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Blockchain adoption: value creation or insider selling? Abstract: Using a sample of listed firms in China, we aim to examine the motivation of blockchain adoption and propose two opposite hypotheses, namely value creation hypothesis and insider selling hypothesis. The empirical results demonstrate that initial blockchain adoption announcement leads to approximately 2% CAAR over the three-day interval around the release, whereas the abnormal return quickly reverses after the announcement, implying that the blockchain adoption can only provide short-term value and against the value creation hypothesis. The finding remains robust for largest industries (manufacturing and information technology) and release channels. On the contrary, we observe a significant positive effect of insider selling on the blockchain adoption announcement, which supports the insider selling hypothesis. Our findings can provide a better understanding on firms’ motivation of blockchain adoption, warn the investors to keep a rational attitude to ‘blockchain hysteria’ when making investment decisions, and motivate the regulators to propose strict information disclosure mechanism and prevent insider selling behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3045-3050 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3045-3050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120953_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lin Han Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Xingchan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xingchan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qian Sun Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Does a high-speed railway increase offsite subsidiaries’ innovation output? Abstract: This study investigates the impact of opening a high-speed railway (HSR) on the innovation output of offsite subsidiaries in China. Our findings suggest that the innovation output of offsite subsidiaries increases significantly after the opening of HSR between the cities in which the listed firms and their subsidiaries are located, and the results are robust after a series of robustness checks. Hence, the spatiotemporal squeezing effect generated by opening HSR significantly improves the efficiency of information exchange and resource sharing between parent and subsidiary companies, which greatly promotes the innovation output of offsite subsidiaries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3083-3087 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3083-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159007_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: İ̇lhan Eroglu Author-X-Name-First: İ̇lhan Author-X-Name-Last: Eroglu Author-Name: Fatih Yeter Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Author-X-Name-Last: Yeter Title: Time-varying causality between money supply growth and inflation: new evidence from Turkey Abstract: This research investigates the causal links between money supply growth and inflation in Turkey. Unlike previous literature, In the investigation of causality, time-varying causality tests were applied. The results indicate that there is causality from money supply growth to inflation. However, it emphasizes that when time-varying causality is considered, causality is not homogeneous throughout the sample, but heterogeneous, more sensitive to structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3094-3098 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3094-3098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2118959_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Van Cuong Dang Author-X-Name-First: Van Cuong Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Quang Khai Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Quang Khai Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Xuan Hang Tran Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Corruption, institutional quality and shadow economy in Asian countries Abstract: This study analyzes the effects of corruption and institutional quality on shadow economy to test the hypothesis of greasing and sanding the wheels of corruption. After empirically studying 29 Asian countries, our results indicate that corruption and institutional quality have a positive and negative impact on shadow economy, respectively. Furthermore, the interaction of corruption and economic freedom has a negative impact on shadow economy, whereas corruption and democracy have a positive impact on shadow economy, confirming that corruption works better to ‘grease of the wheels’ in weak economic institutions conditions and in strong political institutions conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3039-3044 Issue: 21 Volume: 30 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2118959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2118959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:21:p:3039-3044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2121376_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Christos Pierros Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pierros Author-Name: Nikolaos Rodousakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Rodousakis Author-Name: George Soklis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Soklis Title: Exchange-rate pass-through in Turkey with a supply and use model Abstract: Using a multisectoral model and data from the supply and use tables, this article estimates the exchange-rate pass-through to the domestic price level of the Turkish economy. The results indicate that a unit change in the exchange rate leads to 0.61 units of change in the overall price level. This effect comes out mostly through the industry, and the primary sector; while in terms of products, the energy sector is the major actor for the changes in the domestic price level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 24-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2121376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2121376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:24-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_1722791_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Petyo Bonev Author-X-Name-First: Petyo Author-X-Name-Last: Bonev Title: Projection properties of constrained nonparametric instrumental variable estimators Abstract: I show that a broad class of constrained nonparametric instrumental variable estimators are projections of the corresponding unconstrained estimators on the constrained set with respect to some norm. In addition, for estimators based on Tikhonov regularization, constrained estimation can be viewed as two-step projection: first project the data on the unconstrained set, and then project this projection on the constrained set. As an application, I use the projection property to establish sufficient conditions for the consistency of a sieve-based and a kernel-based constrained estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1722791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2020.1722791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2124227_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Qianni Peng Author-X-Name-First: Qianni Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Kai Du Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Chuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: How mitigation efforts moderate the impact of climate change on agricultural efficiency: a preliminary analysis from China Abstract: In this paper, we empirically evaluate the effect of climate change on agricultural technical efficiency, considering the moderating effect of mitigation efforts based on emission reduction in China. In particular, we directly measure the intensity of mitigation efforts using the climate change mitigation index. We then apply the two-stage double bootstrap DEA method to build up the empirical model, effectively avoiding biased estimation using the traditional two-stage DEA method. Our results show that the intensity of mitigation measures moderates the impacts of global warming on efficiency and mild mitigation measures are better than drastic ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2124227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2124227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:56-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2126816_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Lu Shen Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Research on the impact of technological finance on high-quality economic growth Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of technological finance on high-quality economic growth. Based on data of 30 provinces (including autonomous regions and municipalities) collected between 2004 and 2018, this paper adopts the method of factor analysis to construct comprehensive indexes of technological finance, before calculating green total factor productivity as the index of high-quality development, using the CRS Multiplicative Model. Then it constructs the spatial SAC model, for analyses of the just-mentioned relationship based on the total sample of the nation as well as regional samples in eastern, middle and western China respectively. The results reveal that all samples, whether it be the total national samples or regional samples of eastern, middle and western China, demonstrate the positive influence of technological finance on high-quality economic development, with an obvious spatial spillover effect. The impact factor is the highest in the eastern region, while the western region holds the lowest factor among the three. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2126816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2126816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2121377_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Sedjro Aaron Alovokpinhou Author-X-Name-First: Sedjro Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Alovokpinhou Author-Name: Pholile Dladla Author-X-Name-First: Pholile Author-X-Name-Last: Dladla Author-Name: Christopher Malikane Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malikane Title: Financial accelerator, household portfolio, stock prices, and monetary policy shocks Abstract: We investigate the impact of the financial accelerator on the reaction of asset prices to monetary policy shocks but from the demand side of the economy. In response to a 100-basis point increase in the monetary policy rate, the baseline model shows a stock price reaction of approximately 4.81% without the financial accelerator and of 5.60% with the financial accelerator. This finding is consistent with the financial accelerator literature and the literature on asset prices and monetary policy shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2121377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2121377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:31-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128164_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Matondang Elsa Siburian Author-X-Name-First: Matondang Elsa Author-X-Name-Last: Siburian Title: Fiscal decentralization and corruption: a case of indonesia Abstract: This paper aims to explain the relationship between decentralization and corruption in Indonesia. In doing so, this paper employs Indonesian provincial-level data from 2003 to 2018 using a Poisson model with an endogenous covariates model. The estimation result concludes that decentralization is associated with higher corruption incidence. The result remains robust using an alternative measure of decentralization. Indonesian decentralization is designed to authorize a substantial decision to the local government in prioritizing expenditures, but the primary taxing right remains with the central government. The significant power of the local government is associated with a higher incidence of corruption in the local region. Bribery and over-invoicing of public goods/services are the main cases of local government corruption in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120956_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Zhongtian Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhongtian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jing Jia Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Title: Influenza and labour investment efficiency Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the spread of influenza and labour investment efficiency using a sample of United States (US) firms from 2004–2019. The spread of influenza is found to be positively associated with an inefficient investment in labour. Further analyses show that the impact of the spread of influenza on labour investment inefficiency is less pronounced for firms in states mandating paid sick leave, for firms operating in the industries where a higher share of jobs can be done at home, and for firms in the industries where there is a lower level of interpersonal contact. Given the raising awareness of public health and firm outcomes, our findings should be of great interest to investors, directors, managers, and public policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120956 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:17-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2125492_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Kyounghun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyounghun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Frederick Dongchuhl Oh Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Dongchuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Freeze-out mergers: the case of shareholders with multiple shares Abstract: This paper investigates the role of freeze-out mergers in mitigating the free-rider problem in tender offers. In contrast to a framework in which each shareholder owns exactly one share, our model allows shareholders to have multiple shares. We find that a more aggressive freeze-out clause forces shareholders to tender more shares. Therefore, raiders capture a greater amount of surplus when the requirement for freeze-out mergers becomes easier to satisfy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2125492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2125492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:65-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120954_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Shuoli Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Shuoli Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Yufeng Lai Author-X-Name-First: Yufeng Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Chenglong Ye Author-X-Name-First: Chenglong Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Keehyun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Keehyun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Machine learning applications in household-level demand prediction Abstract: Machine learning (ML) is becoming one of the most anticipated methods in predicting consumer demand. However, it is still uncertain how ML methods perform relative to traditional econometric methods under different dataset scales. This study estimates and compares the out-of-sample predictive accuracy of household budget share for organic fresh produce using two parametric models and six ML methods under regular and large sample sizes. Results show that ML method, particularly Logistic Elastic Net, performs better than econometric models under regular sample size. Contrarily, when dealing with big data, econometric models reach to same accuracy level as ML methods whereas random forest presents a possible overfitting problem. This study illustrates the competence of ML methods in demand prediction, but choosing the optimal method needs to consider product specifics, sample sizes, and observable features. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:5-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2125491_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Shifeng Du Author-X-Name-First: Shifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Guohua Cao Author-X-Name-First: Guohua Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Yanmin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yanmin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The effect of income satisfaction on the relationship between income class and pro-environment behavior Abstract: This study investigates the linkage from income class to pro-environmental behaviour among people with different income levels. By setting a hierarchical regression model and using data from the World Value Survey (WVS), this study finds that higher income reinforces pro-environmental behaviour. In addition, income satisfaction significantly strengthen the relationship between income class and pro-environmental behaviour, such that the link between them gets stronger when the individuals are satisfied with their income. The findings show that income level and income satisfaction go hand-in-hand in bringing about pro-environmental engagement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2125491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2125491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:61-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2123101_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Olga Dodd Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Dodd Author-Name: Adrian Fernández-Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Pérez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Currency and commodity return relationship under extreme geopolitical risks: evidence from the invasion of Ukraine Abstract: We examine the relationship between currency and commodity returns around the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. We find that the expected positive contemporaneous relationship between currency and commodity returns reverses and becomes negative during this period of extreme geopolitical risks. In addition to commodity returns, currency returns around the invasion of Ukraine are significantly affected by geopolitical factors, particularly geographic distance to the war. Our results indicate that a war between two major commodity-exporting countries significantly affects global currency pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 46-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2123101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2123101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:46-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128162_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Yingwei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yingwei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Haibo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Haibo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Rui Li Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: How the competitors’ online reviews affect product performance in the dynamic competitive market: an empirical analysis of the movie industry Abstract: Online consumer reviews have been shown to have a significant impact on the market performance of products. Yet little is known about the role of competing products’ online reviews in a dynamic competitive environment. Using field data, we investigate the impacts of online reviews of contemporaneous competing movies on the box office and attendance of a focal movie. The empirical results suggest that the competitor’s review rating, which displayed on the same ticketing page with a focal movie, has a negative impact on the economic performance of the focal movie. Interestingly, the competitor’s review volume has a negative impact only if its review rating is high. We further examine the heterogeneous effect in focal movies (sequels vs. non-sequels), and find the impacts of competitors’ reviews are stronger for non-sequels. Our research can help movie stakeholders optimize their market entry strategies, and provides theoretical implications for the research on online reviews. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-80 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:75-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128163_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Haibo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Haibo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yingwei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yingwei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The impact of mobile device usage on lottery behavior: evidence from China Abstract: This paper examines how mobile device usage affect retail investors’ lottery behaviour. Using data from the Chinese stock market, which is dominated by retail investors, we observe a structural change in mobile investing trends in 2015. By employing a structural shift model, we find that higher mobile device usage in the market disproportionately increases the trading volume of lottery stocks and amplifies the lottery-related pricing anomaly. Our results suggest that the use of mobile devices increases retail investors’ demand for lottery stocks by attention-induced trading, but fail to find evidence that mobile devices influence retail investors’ inherent skewness preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2123100_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Yaoshan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yaoshan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Ping Miao Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Miao Title: Does China’s CAFTA strategy threaten or promote the development of high-tech industries in ASEAN countries? Abstract: With the continuous advancement of the CAFTA strategy, the relationship between China and ASEAN countries have gradually strengthened, and the trade exchanges between the two sides have developed rapidly, thereby promoting the economic growth of ASEAN countries in the region. This paper uses differences-in-differences method and HS-6 customs statistical code to study the development of China-ASEAN high-tech industries from 1998 to 2017. It turns out that the establishment of the CAFTA has played a positive role in promoting the development of high-tech industries in ASEAN countries. The specific performance is that China and ASEAN countries have closer trade exchanges, and the trade in computer communication technology and electronic technology has become the fastest developing foreign trade sector. In addition, it is found that low economic level and low education level countries will be affected more significantly by the establishment of CAFTA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 40-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2123100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2123100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:40-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2120955_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231203T183118 git hash: be90730853 Author-Name: Zhaoxue Ci Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoxue Author-X-Name-Last: Ci Title: Revisiting income-related health inequality in China: changes before and after the 2009 healthcare reform Abstract: In 2009, the Chinese government launched a systemic healthcare reform. Despite the massive investment in the health sector, little is known about how health inequality across economic classes has changed after the reform. Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), this study traces the income-related health inequality (IRHI) before and after the reform with the corrected concentration index (CCI). Furthermore, the inequality change is decomposed into income and non-income factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-16 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2120955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2120955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:1:p:12-16 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128169_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Itai Agur Author-X-Name-First: Itai Author-X-Name-Last: Agur Title: Government finance by central banks and inflation expectations at the onset of the COVID pandemic Abstract: At the COVID pandemic’s onset, many central banks responded with unconventional monetary policy (UMP) programmes. In emerging and developing economies, various programmes included components of direct government financing (DGF). This article collects data on UMPs announced during 2020 and investigates how inflation expectations responded to different types of programmes, providing a measure of real-time public perceptions of the inflation risks associated with them. Programme announcements, including DGFs, did not lead to significant increases in inflation expectations. Possibly, the one-off nature of central banks’ COVID response was seen as credible in many countries, preventing an immediate de-anchoring of expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:107-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128288_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Pejvak Oghazi Author-X-Name-First: Pejvak Author-X-Name-Last: Oghazi Author-Name: Rana Mostaghel Author-X-Name-First: Rana Author-X-Name-Last: Mostaghel Title: Rugged individualism, natural disasters, and inter-county variation in entrepreneurial activity Abstract: Building on the negative to mixed effects of natural disasters on entrepreneurial activity, we posit that regional rugged individualism attenuates the decline in business activity following natural disasters. We find that greater property damage from natural disasters in the presence of greater rugged individualism does not affect the establishment entry rate. However, it lowers the decline in establishment exit rates and the job reallocation rate decline by small effect sizes (0.3%). The findings show that regional individualism in the face of natural disasters does not increase entrepreneurial activity but abates the decline in entrepreneurial activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-138 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:132-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129040_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Mahmoud El-Gamal Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: El-Gamal Title: Inflation Is Still A Monetary Phenomenon: A Wavelet Analysis of Inflation, Oil Prices and Money Supply Abstract: I revisit the old debate on the role of ‘oil price shocks’ in stoking inflation using wavelet coherency of oil and overall price inflation as well as partial coherency of the same given changes in real money supply. While exogenous shocks can influence the nature of short-term inflation fluctuations, I find support for inflation in early 2022 being a lagged demand-driven response to massive monetary growth in 2020. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 164-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:164-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129563_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xingyu Fan Author-X-Name-First: Xingyu Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Zhisheng Peng Author-X-Name-First: Zhisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: A comparative analysis of the outliers influence using GMM estimation based on dynamic panel data model Abstract: This study proposes a novel approach by combining the first differenced generalized method of moments method (DIF-GMM) to remove the estimates bias in the dynamic panel data model and the least trimmed squares (LTS) to control outlier influence. The combination of these two methods is referred to as DIF-GMM+LTS. We apply this approach to examine the influence of outliers on the effect of financial development on economic growth. Our results show a counter-intuitive evidence that the bank development negatively affects economic growth when the outlier influence is ignored. However, the bank development exhibits a positive influence on economic growth once the proposed approach DIF-GMM+LTS is adopted. Also, stock market development shows a positive effect on economic growth regardless of the outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 170-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:170-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128174_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Nicolas Huck Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Huck Author-Name: Olivier Mesly Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Mesly Author-Name: Komivi Afawubo Author-X-Name-First: Komivi Author-X-Name-Last: Afawubo Title: Who understands the US housing market? Abstract: We perform econometrics analyses on a database retrieved from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, named the “Survey of Consumers’ Expectations” (SCE), for the period 2013–19, by which 12,857 respondents gave their impressions of the US real estate market. We add to the common list of drivers of market predictions an analysis of the extent to which the respondents misjudged the housing market for the following year. We include state-level macro-economic data, such as state income and growth, to reinforce the understanding of this phenomenon. Heterogeneous profiles emerge based on market information available to consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 128-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:128-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128170_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Mengting Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Mengting Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Xiaolu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Regional income redistribution and stabilization: evidence from China Abstract: We estimate the effect of vertical fiscal flows in China using Bayoumi and Masson method. The results show that vertical fiscal flows have a redistribution effect on regional economy and reduce regional differences for about 30.8%. But there is no evidence shows that fiscal flows automatically stabilize the inter-regional economy. Both effects increase in recent years. Compared with other fiscal-federal countries, China has a stronger redistribution effect and weaker stability effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-117 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:113-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128166_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Júlio Vicente Cateia Author-X-Name-First: Júlio Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Cateia Title: Cultural impacts on aid allocation and gender gap investment in education: evidence from matrilineal and patrilineal societies Abstract: This study aims to analyse the impacts of culture on the aid allocation to (dis)investment in the education in terms of boys and girls school dropout probability (SDP) across different kinship systems in Guinea-Bissau. Using a multi-person choice model of culturally rooted decisions, we found that allocating aid to couples facing income shock decreases schoolboys (schoolgirls)’ SDP in patrilineal (matrilineal) kinship setting the most, suggesting that aid effects at household level depend on cultural norms existing in each society. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:91-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128290_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Shenshen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shenshen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Paul Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A new approach on measuring the knowledge complexity in the view of the bipartite network Abstract: Developed countries are guaranteed to have the ownership of higher knowledge complexity, which is naturally accepted and universally acknowledged. However, the reality may tell a different story. In this article, a brand-new approach is utilized to quantify the knowledge complexity. Within the bipartite network model, based on the Fitness and Complexity algorithm and the matrix-estimation exercise, a couple of indicators are constructed to measure generalized knowledge complexities of countries and technologies. Results illuminate that admittedly knowledge complexities of countries and those of technologies are interrelated, and those established and developed countries, compared with developing ones, do not necessarily own higher knowledge complexity. To be more specific, an increasing number of facts demonstrate that some less-developed countries with less-advanced technologies are progressing in leaps and bounds, for they attach great importance to investing in high-knowledge-complexity technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 146-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:146-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128173_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jürg Fausch Author-X-Name-First: Jürg Author-X-Name-Last: Fausch Author-Name: Daniel Sutter Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sutter Title: Monetary policy spillovers: the impact of ECB conventional and unconventional monetary policies on the Swiss stock market Abstract: We examine the impact of conventional and unconventional ECB monetary policies on the Swiss stock market. Our results show that Swiss stock returns respond significantly to conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures, with conventional monetary policy having an impact only before the financial crisis. The response to unconventional policy shocks is less strong after the introduction of a minimum exchange rate regime by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Our results are robust to simultaneity and endogeneity problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 122-127 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:122-127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128289_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Kangsheng Tao Author-X-Name-First: Kangsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: Bin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Can Wang Author-X-Name-First: Can Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Estimating stock pledge rate using VaR and modified ES model Abstract: This study mainly focuses on the reasonable determination of the stock pledge rate in the A-share market. Based on the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and modified Expected Shortfall (ES) models, 137 sample stocks were used to measure the pledge rate of stocks. The breakdown times and breakdown probability were used to verify the validity of the two models. Firstly, the results indicate that the adjusted breakdown probability calculated by the two models is less than 5%, the two models are highly reliable in measuring the stock pledge rate. Secondly, the stock pledge rate measured by the modified ES model is more effective compared with the VaR model. Finally, the prediction results of modified ES are still robust under different warning lines and liquidation lines. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:139-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129039_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Manh-Duc Le Author-X-Name-First: Manh-Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Does Gibrat’s law hold for knowledge size of high-tech firms? Abstract: In this paper, we extend the literature on Gibrat’s law of firm growth by testing Gibrat’s law for knowledge size of high-tech firms. Two measures of a firm’s knowledge size which represent its knowledge stock and diversity are developed from its portfolio of patents. Using non-parametric regressions, specifically local polynominal estimators, we find that Gibrat’s law applies to knowledge size of high tech firms, specifically when their knowledge surpasses a certain threshold in size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-163 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:158-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128168_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Bebonchu Atems Author-X-Name-First: Bebonchu Author-X-Name-Last: Atems Author-Name: Jehu Mette Author-X-Name-First: Jehu Author-X-Name-Last: Mette Title: The propagation of public health spending shocks Abstract: We study the dynamic response of output to a shock to government health spending. The shock (i) leads to an immediate and persistent rise in output and (ii) has a sizable explanatory power for the long-run variation in output. These findings suggest that the output effects of health spending are propagated in a ‘time-release’ fashion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 102-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:102-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128167_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Paula Villegas Author-X-Name-First: Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Villegas Author-Name: María Del Carmen Delgado Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Del Carmen Delgado Author-Name: Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Title: The economic impact of a tourist tax in Andalusia examined through a price effect model Abstract: The tourism industry is a key sector in the Andalusian economy; it accounts for 13% of the regional GDP and 14% of the employment. In 2019, 32.5 million tourists visited Andalusia, and the tourism sector generated 22.6 billion euros. In 2020, the year in which COVID-19 paralysed the world, 13.4 million tourists visited Andalusia, which translated into 8,500 million euros of income. After this decrease in tourism in 2020, the total number of tourists for the year 2021 was 20 million, and the forecast for the year 2022 is 28 million tourists. This article analyzes how to use a social accounting matrix (SAM) to empirically study the effects of such a price burden on the regional economy of Andalusia. The methodology that we use consists of a specific model of price effects, which analyzes the impact of introducing a tourist tax in Andalusia. The database used in the analysis is the Andalusian SAM, which was built using data from 2016. This study will enable us to better understand and reflect on the existing structural interdependence between the productive sectors and to evaluate the implicit weights and price elasticities of different tourist items. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:96-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129038_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Moonkyoung Jang Author-X-Name-First: Moonkyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Dokyung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dokyung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunmi Baek Author-X-Name-First: Hyunmi Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: More than just a fan: the influence of K-pop fandom on the popularity of K-drama on a global OTT platform Abstract: This study examines the factors that influence the popularity of Korean TV drama (K-drama), which has recently become popular worldwide through global over-the-top (OTT) platforms. Economic and cultural factors are generally used to explain international media flows, but these factors are insufficient to clarify the global popularity of K-dramas. Many scholars have tried to link the recent popularity of K-dramas with Korean pop (K-pop). In particular, the fandom of K-pop represented by BTS was considered one of the main factors influencing the popularity of K-drama; however, few empirical studies investigate this perspective by analysing viewing data on global OTT platforms. Thus, we collected the daily Top 10 dramas dataset from Netflix in 80 countries between January 1 and 4 November 2021 provided by Flixpatrol. This study examines this data to investigate the geographical distribution of the popularity and flow of K-dramas between countries. Furthermore, this study finds that the higher the K-pop fandom, the higher the popularity of K-dramas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-157 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:152-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128172_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Mehmet Sinan Celik Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Sinan Author-X-Name-Last: Celik Author-Name: Mutlu Basaran Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Mutlu Basaran Author-X-Name-Last: Ozturk Author-Name: Ozkan Haykir Author-X-Name-First: Ozkan Author-X-Name-Last: Haykir Title: The effect of technological developments on the stock market: evidence from emerging market Abstract: This study investigates the effect of High-Frequency Trading on stock liquidity and volatility in Borsa Istanbul, Turkey which is one of the largest emerging markets where high-frequency trading is newly developed. We employ a fixed effect panel estimation model with Driscoll and Kraay correction between January 2016 and December 2020. The finding shows that an increase in high-frequency trading increases the liquidity and volatility. Moreover, the results are similar before the pandemic period and rising market period, whereas the impact of high-frequency trading on liquidity disappears during the pandemic period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:2:p:118-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130862_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Chao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Inequality measures based on log power function-lognormal composite distribution Abstract: In this paper, we examine trends in inequality of Chinese rural household income from 1989 through 2015 using log power function lognormal composite distribution. Six inequality measures, Gini coefficient, Generalized entropy index, Theil’s entropy index, Atkinson index, Bonferroni index, and Zenga index, were computed by numerical methods. The results show that the all the inequality measures exhibit a similar pattern, and a steadily increased tendency through a slight slowdown for some in the time period of our analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 236-241 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:236-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130137_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Chenwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Chenwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hongjie Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Hongjie Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Air pollution, cognitive capacity, and borrowing behaviours: evidence from an online peer-to-peer platform Abstract: Borrowing decisions typically involve processing large amounts of financial information. However, it has been understudied whether cognitive capacity factors such as air pollution affect borrowing behaviours. In this paper, we estimate the causal impact of air pollution on borrowing behaviours by using the universe of borrowing application data on an online peer-to-peer platform and a thermal inversion instrument. We find that a 1% increase in air pollution reduces the number of borrowing applications and the total amount requested by 0.05% and 0.31% respectively. The impact is stronger when the borrowing is for more complex and less necessary purposes, and when we examine the areas with lower educational attainment. The results suggest that the adverse effect of air pollution on cognitive capacity prevents people from borrowing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:207-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130135_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Junhua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Junhua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Na Liu Author-X-Name-First: Na Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does land mortgage financing spur urban economic development? A fresh insight from spatial spillovers Abstract: This empirical study explores the relationship between land mortgage financing and urban economic development from the perspective of spatial spillovers. We develop a spatial Durbin model (SDM) using a dataset for 83 Chinese cities over the period 2007–2015, and find that land mortgage financing not only promotes local economic development, but also has a positive spatial spillover effect on economic development in other cities. Urban fixed assets investment plays a partial mediation role. However, compared with that of other cities, this positive spatial spillover is significantly weaker for the economic development of megacities and industrial cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 198-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:198-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129564_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tista Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Tista Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Crime and trust in institutions: evidence from India Abstract: The article presents empirical evidence on the impact of crime on household’s trust in institutions in India. Employing fixed effect panel regressions, the study finds that crime victimization significantly undermines trust in major public bodies, including politicians, justice-related institutions and governments. The study also documents a negative spillover effect of local crimes on public perception of institutions. Such crime-led distrust can cause persistence of weak institutions through curtailing reporting of crimes as well as support for democracy. Combating crime is thus crucial to restore citizen’s trust in institutions and enhance the quality of governance in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-181 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:177-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130863_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Marcel Tkáčik Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Tkáčik Author-Name: Petr Houdek Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Houdek Title: Born on the first of April: the changes in the birth grant and its effect on the duration of the pregnancy Abstract: On the 1st of April 2006, an amendment to the Act on State Social Support came into force in the Czech Republic. This amendment more than doubled the value of the one-off birth grant. The increase was announced less than nine months ahead of implementation and only mothers from low-income households were eligible. We explored whether the change of the birth grant provided enough financial incentive to affect the timing of childbirths. We utilized time fixed-effects regression models to capture the effect of the intervention on the number of births using an official dataset which covers daily births between the years of 2000 and 2018. The 1st of April saw the largest value of the adjusted relative number of births for the entire year 2006 and our findings show that between 100 and 244 births were postponed to the first week of April. We found evidence that part of the shift was caused by postponing C-section deliveries, which were overrepresented in the first week of April, and accounted for 40% of the birth-shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 242-246 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:242-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129567_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hsiu-I Ting Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-I Author-X-Name-Last: Ting Author-Name: Yi-Ning Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: CEOs’ foreign experience and corporate litigation: evidence from China Abstract: We study the relationship between CEOs’ foreign experience and corporate litigation with Chinese listed companies over the period from 2008 to 2018. We find a negative association between the CEO’s foreign experience and corporate litigation. The foreign experience of the CEO rather than the Chairman is more relevant to company litigation. The negative correlation comes from the CEO’s foreign working experience rather than foreign study experience. Our results are robust to different estimation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2129566_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Christopher M. Hannum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Hannum Title: The middle income trap: look closer and you’ll find it, but maybe not where you expected Abstract: The phenomenon of the middle-income trap or growth slowdowns at any range is analysed using non-parametric local regression with the relative change in per capita GNI as a function of per capita GNI relative to the high-income country average. The existence of a middle-income trap or range of relative GNI at which convergence halts is found to be determined by the degree of smoothing in the model. Support is found for the existence of ‘traps’ for lower-(middle)-income countries up to 10–13% of the high-income country average per capita GNI as well as for countries above 54%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 182-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2129566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2129566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:182-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130138_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tong Su Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yinghong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yinghong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Rafidah Othman Hjh Author-X-Name-First: Rafidah Othman Author-X-Name-Last: Hjh Author-Name: Rui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The impact of housing prices on government debt: a new vision based on the intermediary effect of land finance in China Abstract: This article presents evidence that land finance has a significant intermediary effect on housing price and local government debt in China. It is found that the mediating effect accounted for 88.06% of the total effect. Due to the mismatch between their discretionary fiscal resources and mandatory expenditures, local governments have a strong incentive to borrow with land-related fiscal revenue as the collateral for repayment, making land finance an intermediate mechanism in which the real estate boom eventually leads to the expansion of local government debt. And this conclusion is steady, and intermediary role of land finance is still significant in different areas and different periods. This provides a new perspective on the risks in China’s local government debt and property markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130140_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Imran Ramzan Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Ramzan Title: Leverage, corporate governance, and export intensity of heterogeneous firms: micro-level evidence for Pakistan Abstract: This study attempts to analyse the impact of leverage and corporate governance on export intensity of manufacturing firms quoted on Pakistan stock exchange for period 2013–2019. The results of a two-step system GMM method show that leverage has a negative relationship to export intensity. We find evidence that a firm’s age negatively impacts the export sales to total sales ratio, while profitability has a positive connection with it. Finally, we note that board size exhibits a negative relationship with export intensity. These findings suggest important policy implications for export promotion, specifically for a small-open economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 220-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:220-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130133_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Chengxin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Chengxin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Kun Huang Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Youliang Yan Author-X-Name-First: Youliang Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Mortality salience and corporate environmental investment: evidence from Chinese heavily polluting listed firms Abstract: Terror management theory argues that mortality salience can engender greater prosocial behaviour. We extend this theory to corporate environmental practice. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms in heavily polluting industries, the results of difference-in-differences model show that firms significantly increase their environmental investment after the top executives experience mortality salience triggered by their colleague death. Moreover, we further show that the core relationship is amplified in situations where the death is sudden and firm is located in areas with strong public environmental awareness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:191-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130141_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tingting Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Bifei Tian Author-X-Name-First: Bifei Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Xueqing Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xueqing Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: The impact of China’s “streamlining administration and delegating power” policy on entrepreneurship: an application of Hsiao et al.’s panel data method Abstract: Using pandel data from 2006-2020 and 91 countries, this paper estimates the impact of China’s policy of ‘streamlining administration and delegating power’ (SADP) on entrepreneurship. By adopting Hsiao et al’s panel data method, this paper constructs a counterfactual treatment group and evaluate the impact effectively. The results indicate that the policy of SADP significantly promotes entrepreneurship in China. Furthermore, we find that this result persists across three robustness checks: a placebo test, a leave-one-out test, and the rescreening of potential control countries. Our results suggest that other countries may find beneficial effects on entrepreneurial activity by adopting similar policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 226-231 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:226-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130136_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yukari Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Yukari Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Urban exodus in Tokyo during the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This study aimed to explore why urban exodus occurred in Tokyo during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using panel-level data from 203 municipalities, we estimated the impact of epidemic, medical, economic, and industrial factors on the movement of people across cities in the Tokyo metropolitan area during the pandemic. We found that fear of infection was one of the main factors driving the urban exodus in Tokyo and that people chose to live in reasonably priced habitable areas during the pandemic. We also found that the population increased when the municipality had an essential sector in which remote work was difficult but decreased when it had an industry in which remote work was relatively feasible. However, medical factors had contrasting effects on out-migration and in-migration in each municipality. Increases in hospitals and medical doctors may not have increased the attractiveness of the city because of the malfunctioning of the healthcare system during the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 202-206 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:202-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130142_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Christos Chrysanthakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Chrysanthakopoulos Author-Name: Athanasios Tagkalakis Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Tagkalakis Title: Do fiscal councils reduce fiscal policy procyclicality? Abstract: Using a panel of 35 advanced economies over the period 1990–2020, we investigate the effect of fiscal councils and their individual characteristics on fiscal policy. We find that the response of fiscal policy was procyclical; however, fiscal councils with enhanced remit, strong independence and accountability, and sufficient resources can mitigate procyclicality. A series of robustness checks revealed that the ability of fiscal councils to mitigate fiscal policy procyclicality is particularly relevant in the EU and euro area countries, in countries with weak governance and in particular in the period after the Global Financial Crisis. The results are robust when accounting for the likely endogeneity between fiscal councils and fiscal procyclicality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 232-235 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:232-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130139_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xin Li Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Digital inclusive finance and Zipf’s law for firms of China: an investigation based on the full-sample data Abstract: This paper tests how digital inclusive finance affects the scale distribution of firms in China. The full-sample registration information of approximately 30 million firms in China is utilized for this investigation. The main findings suggest that, as a developing country, the scale distribution of China’s firms significantly deviates from Zipf’s law. However, digital inclusive finance helps to correct this deviation. A nonlinear test shows that the above positive effect is rising, meaning it is necessary to further develop digital inclusive finance. The impact of digital inclusive finance is better in the relatively backward central and western regions. Also, no obvious heterogeneity exists among industries, highlighting the due meaning of the word ‘inclusive’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 216-219 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:216-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130864_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yuanhong Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yuanhong Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Zhong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Zhuang Hao Author-X-Name-First: Zhuang Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Title: The lasting effects of Covid-19 lockdowns on mental health Abstract: Using the Baidu search index of mental health keywords and a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we study the lasting effects of Covid-19 lockdown measures implemented among cities in the Hubei province of China on the mental health of Hubei residents. We find that the lockdowns lead to an immediate surge in internet searches of mental health keywords including anxiety, depression, and insomnia. These effects remain at high levels after the lifting of lockdown measures and only come down to the pre-lockdown levels after 3 to 6 months. The effect on the keyword search of suicide lasts even longer. These results suggest that previous research that only focuses on the immediate effects may have underestimated the detrimental effects of lockdowns on mental health. Our findings help to understand the comprehensive effects of Covid-19 lockdowns and offer practical guidance on the withdrawal timing of psychological aid for residents under and post lockdowns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-258 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:3:p:247-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2131712_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xuemei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Xuemei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Xuehua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuehua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Economic policy uncertainty, social network, and the cost of corporate debt Abstract: This paper is the first to construct social network indicators that bring together the individual and organizational levels to examine how social networks can moderate the adverse effects of EPU on corporate finance. An empirical study of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2007–2018 shows that the corporate debt costs of firms with a better social network are less exposed to a poor economic policy uncertainty environment relative to firms with a poor social network, and the results pass a series of robustness tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 288-299 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2131712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2131712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:288-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2132203_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Mengran Duan Author-X-Name-First: Mengran Author-X-Name-Last: Duan Author-Name: Tianyi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Tianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Leadership structure and firm performance: evidence from China Abstract: This study compares the unity-of-command principle with the shared-command principle based on China’s unique institutional background. Our findings show firms with higher power gap between chairman and CEO exhibit better performance, implying the unity-of-command principle is more effective for most organizations. However, the empirical results also show there is an optimal value for the power gap, as it becomes harmful for the firm performance after exceeding the threshold value. The results remain consistent after solving the endogeneity problem. Overall, our findings provide solid evidence for the debate on the unity-of-command principle and the shared-command principle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 300-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2132203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2132203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:300-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2131710_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tiziano Ropele Author-X-Name-First: Tiziano Author-X-Name-Last: Ropele Author-Name: Alex Tagliabracci Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Tagliabracci Title: Perceived economic effects of the war in Ukraine: survey-based evidence from Italian firms Abstract: Using data from an Italian business survey and a quasi-experimental analysis, we document the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on firms’ expectations. The conflict led firms to revise upward their inflation expectations and their own expected prices changes and made them more pessimistic about the general macroeconomic outlook and their business conditions. These effects did not materialize immediately after the Russian invasion but built up in the second and third weeks thereafter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-280 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2131710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2131710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:275-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2132204_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hui Hou Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Sen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Minghao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Minghao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shilin Hou Author-X-Name-First: Shilin Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Spatial effect of industrial policy on regional energy efficiency in China Abstract: Puppeteer crawler technology is used to obtain regional industrial policy documents, and we make classification and assignment from the perspective of the legal effect of industrial policy documents to quantify industrial policy variable. At the same time, Super-SBM model is used to measure energy efficiency in different areas, and spatial Durbin model is constructed according to the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2006 to 2018. The main conclusions are as follows : (1) The spatial distribution of China’s energy efficiency has a remarkable positive correlation from the global perspective. (2) The local industrial policy has a significant positive effect on its energy efficiency, while a negative spatial effect on energy efficiency in neighbouring regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2132204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2132204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:307-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2131711_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Bowen Li Author-X-Name-First: Bowen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Safe-haven or speculation? Research on price and risk dynamics of Bitcoin Abstract: This paper investigates the price and risk dynamics of Bitcoin. Applying SVAR to study Bitcoin, gold and U.S. dollar in one system, we find that neither the gold nor U.S. dollar can explain Bitcoin pricing dynamics in the short-run. We further apply the DCC-MGARCH model to study the risk correlations. The results show that there exists volatility spillover effect and dynamic correlation between three markets, which is magnified with the advent of COVID-19. We can thus draw a conclusion that the boom of Bitcoin is just a hype and speculative bubble. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-287 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2131711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2131711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:281-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2167913_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hansol Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hansol Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Dongjoon Choi Author-X-Name-First: Dongjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Ho-Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The impact of COVID-19 on earnings management: an international investigation Abstract: This study examines the impact of severe COVID-19 outbreaks on corporate earnings management behaviour in a sample of 38,046 firm-quarter observations from 46 countries for the period of 2020Q1–2020Q4. Given that economic crises significantly affect corporate earnings management behaviour, and that real earnings management is preferable because it is less subject to external monitoring and scrutiny, we hypothesize that firms in countries with more severe COVID-19 outbreaks are more likely to manage earnings through real earnings management than firms in countries with less severe COVID-19 outbreaks. We find a positive association between the severity of COVID-19 and real earnings management in the firms included in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-361 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2167913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2167913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:353-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2133891_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Antonio De Vito Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: De Vito Title: Labor protection, tax planning, and capital investment: evidence from small-sized enterprises Abstract: This paper examines the effect of labour protection laws on tax planning and capital investment. Exploiting a major reform that introduced firing costs in Italy for firms with fewer than 15 employees but left firing costs unchanged for larger firms combined with matched employer-employee data, I show that the rise in firing costs led small firms to increase tax avoidance and capital investment relative to larger firms. Robustness and placebo tests suggest that the results are causal. Overall, the findings indicate that tax avoidance allows small firms to generate internal funds to substitute labour for capital when employment protection becomes stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 330-337 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2133891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2133891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:330-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2132205_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Gour Gobinda Goswami Author-X-Name-First: Gour Gobinda Author-X-Name-Last: Goswami Author-Name: Tapas Kumar Saha Author-X-Name-First: Tapas Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Title: Fourier Nonlinear Quantile Unit Root Test of Purchasing Power Parity in cryptocurrencies Abstract: The primary purpose of this article is to conduct the Fourier Nonlinear Unit Root Test to check Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for seven cryptocurrencies traded in seventeen countries from 2010 to 2021. The unit root test supports the PPP hypothesis when we use each cryptocurrency separately for all the countries. However, the PPP hypothesis is strongly supported when we pool them together by countries and cryptocurrencies. This finding is in line with the power of the test issue of the PPP for regular PPP testing, which also holds good in cryptocurrencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 312-322 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2132205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2132205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:312-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2298405_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yuanhong Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanhong Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Shuyu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jingjing Wan Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Pengling Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pengling Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Measurement of green development and influencing factors in emerging economies: the empirical evidence from BRICS Abstract: This paper aims to construct a Green Development Index for emerging economies, focusing on the BRICS nations as the research subjects. The study measures the index of various indicators and explores the influencing factors from 2012 to 2021 using the entropy value method. The trend analysis indicates that the global level of green development is gradually increasing, albeit with significant fluctuations. China and Brazil lead with the highest levels of green development, while Russia consistently maintains a lower level. Regression results, in terms of estimated coefficients and statistical significance, suggest the greatest impact comes from industrial structure, followed by technological R&D, with human capital having the least impact. Implications are policy changes in emerging economies to enhance industrial structures, human capital, and sci-tech research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 362-366 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2298405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2298405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:362-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2133892_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Rodrigo Caputo Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Caputo Author-Name: Félix Ordóñez Author-X-Name-First: Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Ordóñez Title: Wars, cartels and COVID-19: regime switching in commodity prices Abstract: Commodity prices are extremely volatile, and volatility itself fluctuates over time. Using data from 1959 to 2022, we estimate a 3-state Markov-switching model to identify expansions and contractions in oil and copper price volatility. We found a transition from a low to a medium variance regime for the oil price, in 1979, reflecting changes in the oil market structure. In addition, we identify infrequent and short-lived episodes of unusually high oil price volatility. For copper, there is no transition across regimes, and episodes of high volatility are not synchronized with the periods of high volatility in oil prices. We found that oil prices are much more volatile than copper prices in all states. Oil prices react more strongly to market cartelization, war episodes, and global demand shifts, like the 2008 Great Recession and the COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 338-345 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2133892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2133892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:338-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2131708_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Guang Zhuang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Guang Zhuang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Chun Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Meilan Piao Author-X-Name-First: Meilan Author-X-Name-Last: Piao Author-Name: Donglin Li Author-X-Name-First: Donglin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Teaching quality evaluation of China’s network music education APP Abstract: With the advent of the Internet era in recent years, social music education has gradually shifted from the original entity education mode to the mode of entity plus network teaching. No matter for school music education, professional music education or social music education, the teaching quality is the most important evaluation index. This research firstly found out the basic dimensions that accord with the teaching quality required by the three parties, constructing the quality evaluation index system; and then, on the basis of expounding the connotation of each index, it determined the weight of each index by using method of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, providing ideas and methods for scientific, objective and comprehensive evaluation of the teaching quality of network education APP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2131708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2131708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:265-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2130865_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Bui Hoang Ngoc Author-X-Name-First: Bui Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Ngoc Author-Name: Le Mai Hai Author-X-Name-First: Le Mai Author-X-Name-Last: Hai Title: Time-frequency nexus between tourism development, economic growth, human capital, and income inequality in Singapore Abstract: Eliminating inequality is one of the United Nations’ 2030 sustainable development goals. However, quick growth and tourism development may increase the income gap between the higher- and lower-income classes. This study is conducted to analyse the lead-lag connectedness between three vital macroeconomic variables and income inequality from 1978 to 2019 in Singapore, a top-visited country. By adopting wavelet techniques, the outcomes reveal that tourism development (TO) positively drives income inequality (IE) at medium- and high-frequency, while economic growth (GDP) strongly impacts IE at medium frequency. Similarly, human capital (HDI) negatively influences IE during the same period. Based on these findings, the research suggests helpful lessons for Singapore and emerging countries in reducing income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2130865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2130865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:259-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2133890_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Désiré Avom Author-X-Name-First: Désiré Author-X-Name-Last: Avom Author-Name: Hermann Ndoya Author-X-Name-First: Hermann Author-X-Name-Last: Ndoya Title: Does country stability spur economic complexity? Evidence from panel data Abstract: This paper empirically examines the effect of country stability on economic complexity. Using a panel dataset of 118 countries from 1995 to 2018 and system generalized method of moments estimation, we find that country stability spurs economic complexity. Additionally, we find that foreign direct investment, financial development and human capital are the channels through which country stability affects economic complexity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-329 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2133890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2133890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:323-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2131709_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Zhifang He Author-X-Name-First: Zhifang Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jie Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Impacts of economic policy uncertainty on the time-varying risk–return relationship: evidence from G7 countries Abstract: This paper examines the impact of country-specific and global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time-varying risk – return relationship in G7 stock markets and explores whether this impact is significantly different during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Empirical results suggest that the risk – return trade-off varies with many factors. More importantly, we find that both the national and global EPU shocks have significant and negative impacts on the time-varying risk – return relationship in all G7 countries, and these negative impacts increase and intensify during the GFC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 270-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2131709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2131709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:270-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2136352_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Luis Felipe Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Luis Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Ana Carolina Zoghbi Author-X-Name-First: Ana Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Zoghbi Author-Name: Caio Resende Author-X-Name-First: Caio Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Rafael Terra Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Terra Title: The effects of extended school-days on Brazilian students’ outcome Abstract: This study estimates the effects of the main extended school-day program in Brazil – Mais Educação – on primary and secondary students’ outcomes. The Ministry of Education defined those schools with over 50% of their students participating in the conditional cash transfer program Bolsa Família as priority targets – the schools that should receive financial support first – for Mais Educação. That criterion allows us to utilize a fuzzy regression discontinuity design. The estimates suggest that participation in Mais Educação increased by between 18 and 30 percentage points at the threshold. We observe probability changes within small bandwidths, i.e. when treatment and control schools are very similar. On the other hand, the estimates suggest that the program was not effective at improving student outcomes. We conclude that the failure of the program is due to its design. A lack of resources, underpaid and underprepared tutors with high rates of turnover, excessive recreational activities, a lack of guidance in the choice of tutoring subject, and a failure to integrate after-hours activities into the regular curriculum are some explanations for the poor results of the program. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 346-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2136352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2136352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:4:p:346-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2136354_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Che-Hui Lien Author-X-Name-First: Che-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Multi-factor style rotation – an empirical study in the US stock market Abstract: To evaluate the rotation characteristics of different styles, this study employs the design of experiments (DOE) to systematically combine factor weights to generate stock selection models that express various stock selection styles. This study uses the S&P 500 constituent stocks as the stock pool. At the beginning of each month, we select the highest-scoring 4% stocks with a weighted scoring method and hold them until the end of the month. The back-test period goes from 1999/Jan to 2020/June, a total of 21.5 years (258 months). The results show that (1) many stock selection models mixing value style with growth style have high synergy effect. (2) many models have positive autocorrelations according to the Durbin–Watson (DW) statistics of each model’s time series of monthly excess rate of return. (3) the candidate models of the style timing strategy should include a value style factor, a growth style factor, and a two-factor model with them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-383 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2136354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2136354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:375-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2128171_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jishun Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jishun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Yanxi Song Author-X-Name-First: Yanxi Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: The temporal-spatial evolution of China’s urban high-tech complexity Abstract: In this paper, a new index is constructed to measure the regional distribution of high-tech industries. Based on the product space theory and the fitness method, we creatively construct the urban high-tech complexity index, which reflects the diversity and universality of urban high-tech industries. Using urban data from Chinese industrial enterprise database, we find the difference in China’s urban high-tech complexity between cities shows a downward trend from 1996 to 2013, and the strong positive spatial correlation of this index. These conclusions reflect the diffusion and spillover effects of China’s high-tech industries across regions. Our paper is helpful to understand the innovation drivers at the city level, and promotes the synergy and spillover of high-tech industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-374 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2128171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2128171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:367-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138254_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yi-Ting Peng Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Author-Name: Fangjhy Li Author-X-Name-First: Fangjhy Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Measuring the persistence degree of shocks to the US tourism markets: new evidence for COVID-19 pandemic period Abstract: Regarding the huge negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the tourism market of the US, we investigate the persistent degree of the shocks to three markets: overseas, Canada, and Mexico. To measure persistence degree and its dynamics, we apply the Fourier quantile unit root test and rolling-window indirect inference estimators. Overall results indicate (i) negative shocks to the US’ tourist markets have more long-lasting effects than positive ones, (ii) degree of persistence of all three markets increased due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and (iii) Canada tourist marker displays more persistence behaviour than the other two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 422-431 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:422-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138810_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Alejandro López-Feldman Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: López-Feldman Author-Name: Emilio González Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: González Title: Extreme weather events and pro-environmental behavior: evidence from a climate change vulnerable country Abstract: Experiencing an extreme weather event and its consequences might make the risks associated with climate change more tangible, easier to evaluate, and more salient. Consequently, those experiences might translate into the adoption of pro-environmental behaviours. Understanding this relationship is fundamental for the successful design of policies aimed towards promoting the adoption of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures. This work contributes to the literature by showing that there is in fact a positive relation between experiencing an extreme weather event and willingness to take pro-environmental actions. The prevailing available evidence is for developed countries. Our empirical analysis is based on a nationally representative sample of households from Mexico, a developing country that is highly vulnerable to the effects of extreme weather events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-469 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:465-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138814_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Junghwan Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Junghwan Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Title: Heterogeneous corporate borrowing behaviours during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study investigates the loan financing behaviours of Korean firms during the COVID-19 pandemic. I find that financially unhealthy firms and firms with insufficient collateral capacity borrowed less during the pandemic, suggesting that lenders consider credit risk in their lending decisions. Meanwhile, the results provide evidence of credit misallocation. Particularly, zombie firms were able to increase their borrowings and firms increased their borrowings irrespective of their profitability and uncertainty. These results suggest that, without careful monitoring, lenders will suffer loan loss problems to the extent that they misallocated bank credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-488 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:484-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2136356_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jun Shen Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Bin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Financial development and FDI inflows: amplifying effect of bilateral political relations Abstract: This study investigates the effects of financial development of foreign direct investment (FDI) target countries on FDI inflows, with a focus on how bilateral political relations change the effects through evidence from China. Results show that (1) FDI target countries’ financial development significantly increases FDI inflows from China; (2) Bilateral political relations significantly amplify the effects of destination countries’ financial development on FDI inflows from China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 390-394 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2136356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2136356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:390-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138806_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tianjiao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Tianjiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Cheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bingshi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bingshi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The effect of the industrial networks within business groups on the quality of accounting information: evidence from China Abstract: We construct the parent-subsidiary industrial network within listed business groups in China. The results show that the higher the density of parent-subsidiary industrial network, the lower the quality of accounting information of listed companies. The more the parent company is in the centre of the industrial network, the higher the quality of accounting information of the listed company is. Geographical diversification of subsidiaries will intensify the adverse impact of industrial network density on the accounting information quality, and will restrain the parent-subsidiary industrial network governance effect in terms of the centrality of the listed parent company’s industrial network. Based on agency theory and the empirical results of our research, it can be inferred that the parent-subsidiary relationship in the accounting information manipulation of listed business groups is more inclined to a parent company’s supervision of its subsidiaries rather than the ‘collusion’ manipulation of the parent-subsidiary companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-449 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:432-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2137293_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Manuel Verdú Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Verdú Author-Name: Óscar Carchano Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Carchano Author-Name: José Emilio Farinós Author-X-Name-First: José Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Farinós Title: Arbitrage opportunities and event impacts on Spanish rights issues Abstract: In equity offerings in which pre-emptive subscription rights are issued, there are two ways of acquiring the company’s shares: either by buying them directly on the market, or by subscribing to the new shares using the subscription rights. This could lead to the existence of arbitrage opportunities. In addition, the announcement of these processes incorporates very relevant information to the market, which could generate abnormal returns for the shares. This paper analyses both hypotheses simultaneously on the same sample and concludes that there are indeed arbitrage opportunities and also abnormal returns can be detected. Furthermore, it is also concluded that these effects are especially significant in companies with low liquidity or for which short positions in the market are not available. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-421 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2137293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2137293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:401-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2136355_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hojyun Wong Author-X-Name-First: Hojyun Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Urbanization and industrial energy intensity in Canton China Abstract: Using data from Canton (Guangdong), China, from 2008 to 2018, this study shows that the urbanization level is negatively correlated with industrial energy intensity and has a significant spatial spillover effect. The urbanization level significantly reduces industrial energy intensity with or without considering the spatial spillover effect; If the spatial spillover effects are considered in the assumptions of the model, using the geographic neighbour matrix, the inverse distance matrix and the GDP gravitational model matrix as the spatial weight matrix respectively, the results were all close: the urbanization level in one region has a significant negative correlation with the industrial energy intensity of this region and the surrounding areas. The results show that, for developing countries in the industrialization phase, higher urbanization rates tend to lead to more efficient use of resources. By ignoring the impact of spatial spillover effects, previous studies on urbanization may have underestimated the actual impact of urbanization on economic efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 384-389 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2136355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2136355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:384-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138811_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yanran Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanran Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Zhongtai Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhongtai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Who are the momentum chasers? New evidence from mutual funds in China Abstract: Regarding the effect of past returns on the trading behaviour of individual investors, earlier studies focused on stocks, and we employ unique account-level data from 2005 to 2011 to analyse this effect in mutual funds. After considering both market, fund and personal characteristics, we find that mutual funds investors are momentum chasers. Furthermore, we find that the group of largest size individuals tends to behave like institutions, and do not chase near-term price performance. Finally, we discuss this behavioural difference between the fund and stock investors from the perspective of bounded rationality. Those results show that most individual investors in China’s fund market are not rational and prefer to chase funds with rising prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 470-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:470-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138809_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Lihao Yao Author-X-Name-First: Lihao Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Famin Yi Author-X-Name-First: Famin Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Yi Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: The impact of e-commerce activities on rural household leverage Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the connection between e-commerce and rural household leverage in China. We find that e-commerce activities increase the leverage ratio of Chinese rural households significantly, especially in the west region, households headed by men, and households that have not experienced borrowing denials. The results are still robust when using an instrumental variable approach to solve endogenous problems. The findings suggest that participation in e-commerce may relieve the constraint of formal credit, which will boost the household leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:461-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138812_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Han Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jixian Meng Author-X-Name-First: Jixian Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: King Ning Yau Author-X-Name-First: King Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Title: Carbon pricing or non-pricing for developing countries? A dual-track strategy for decarbonization in China Abstract: Unlike the decarbonization trajectories adopted by developed countries, some research suggests that non-pricing policies should be prioritized over pricing policies to mitigate carbon emissions in developing economies. This paper enriches the current literature on carbon pricing by empirically linking China’s carbon pricing and non-pricing policies, using a difference-in-differences approach. The results indicate the effectiveness of the carbon pricing strategy. Furthermore, by introducing an interaction effect model, we find that a higher carbon price will significantly increase the carbon emission abatement effects. In conclusion, the findings highlight the necessity of carbon pricing instruments for decarbonization in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-483 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:477-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138807_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Ismail H. Genc Author-X-Name-First: Ismail H. Author-X-Name-Last: Genc Author-Name: Lokman Gunduz Author-X-Name-First: Lokman Author-X-Name-Last: Gunduz Author-Name: Mete Han Yagmur Author-X-Name-First: Mete Han Author-X-Name-Last: Yagmur Title: Impact of Syrian refugees on house prices in Istanbul Abstract: Turkey is the world’s biggest refugee hosting nation, and Istanbul, Turkey’s commercial capital and Europe’s largest metropolitan city by population, is home to almost 1,500,000 Syrians. We investigate the short-run impact of refugees on house prices in Istanbul’s districts. We find a negative impact of massive immigration on house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 450-454 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:450-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138808_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Najid Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Najid Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Muhammad Luqman Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Luqman Author-Name: Maxim Kotsemir Author-X-Name-First: Maxim Author-X-Name-Last: Kotsemir Title: On the nexus of pandemic, environment, and health Abstract: This study estimates the impacts of pandemic uncertainty on environmental quality in the United States (U.S.). To do so, we introduce a pandemic uncertainty dataset from 1985 to 2021 that will be helpful for a single country, a group of countries, and firm-level analyses. Our baseline models confirm that pandemic uncertainty improves environmental quality, however, it reduces labour force participation. In addition, the income level helps to improve environmental quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-460 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:455-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2136615_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiang Wen Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Xu Ding Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Le Song Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Cheng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Intellectualization and substitution elasticity of capital on the labour force in logistics enterprises: evidence from China and the United States Abstract: This paper addresses the substitution elasticity of capital on the labour force in the context of the development of intellectualization. Given the substitution of capital for labour, China’s benchmark listed logistics companies are compared with an American company to discuss the evolution of capital – labour substitution. A large-scale intellectualization process began in 2017, and based on a variable elasticity of substitution, this paper creates an econometric model of substitution elasticity between capital and labour and its evolution between 2017 and 2021. The American logistics company UPS maintains a relatively high level of substitution elasticity, and Chinese logistics companies are quickly catching up. The substitution elasticity of capital on labour in Chinese enterprises trends upward year after year. In 2021, the capital – labour substitution elasticity of logistics enterprises in both countries showed considerable growth. The calculation model of substitution elasticity presented in this paper can be extended to different regions and industries to measure intelligent development levels and the relationship between capital and the labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-400 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2136615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2136615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:5:p:395-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2138815_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Alessandro Lucini-Paioni Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Lucini-Paioni Author-Name: Fabio Busicchia Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Busicchia Author-Name: Cristina Rossi-Lamastra Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi-Lamastra Title: What do people want? An analysis of citizens’ willingness to use Advanced Air Mobility in Italy Abstract: This paper investigates the drivers of citizens’ willingness to use Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) systems, focusing on individual and regional features. We analyse Italian data using a multinomial logit model. Our results show that individuals’ job positions, flying habits, and prior experience with drones positively influence such willingness. We also find that regional features matter, with respondents living in poorly-connected and less innovative regions being more willing than others to use AAM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-496 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2138815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2138815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:489-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2139798_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yunyi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yunyi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Haitao Yin Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Li Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xiaodi Luo Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodi Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: How has Tesla’s entry affected China’s electric vehicle market? Abstract: We study the impact of Tesla’s entry on China’s electric vehicle (EV) market. We find that Tesla’s entry has substantially increased the demand for EVs in China, and therefore has benefited Chinese EV producers. However, we also find that this positive impact was nullified for local EV producers that compete with Tesla in a more head-to-head manner, and those that compete in markets that host Tesla Galleries and have a higher annual income per capita. Moreover, local manufacturers lowered their EV prices when faced with competition from domestically produced Tesla vehicles, and the magnitude of such price reductions was larger for battery electric vehicle (BEV) models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-507 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2139798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2139798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:503-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140751_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Keiichi Goshima Author-X-Name-First: Keiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Goshima Author-Name: Hiroshi Ishijima Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ishijima Author-Name: Mototsugu Shintani Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Shintani Title: News implied volatility and aggregate economic activity: evidence from the Japanese government bond market Abstract: Because options on 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) futures are relatively new in the market, their implied volatility, JGB-VIX, is not available before 2007. For the period when JGB-VIX is available, we conduct supervised learning by using the daily newspaper articles as input and JGB-VIX as output. We then construct a new JGB market uncertainty measure, which we called JGB-NU, based on the predicted values of JGB-VIX from the estimated model and contents of the newspaper articles from 1981 to 2021. In the VAR analysis with JGB-NU, we confirm that JGB market uncertainty shocks have a negative impact on real economic activities in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 568-573 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:568-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140752_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Marlene Kionka Author-X-Name-First: Marlene Author-X-Name-Last: Kionka Author-Name: Oliver Mußhoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Mußhoff Author-Name: Matthias Ritter Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Ritter Author-Name: Jan-Philip Rado Uhlemann Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Philip Rado Author-X-Name-Last: Uhlemann Author-Name: Martin Odening Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Odening Title: Optimal reserve prices for land auctions in Eastern Germany Abstract: Privatization auctions are seen as culprit for rising prices in eastern Germany. This study aims to analyse whether privatization auctions could have earned even higher revenues by setting optimal reserve prices. For this purpose, a structural estimation approach is applied to determine reserve prices and to compare the resulting expected revenues with actual revenues. The data set includes land auctions in eastern Germany from 2005–2019. The empirical results illustrate that room for increasing revenues exists, but reserve prices would be required to be higher than actual land prices. A potential consequence of high reserve prices is the risk of delays in the privatization process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 574-578 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:574-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140100_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Daisuke Nogata Author-X-Name-First: Daisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Nogata Author-Name: Yuriko Hayabuchi Author-X-Name-First: Yuriko Author-X-Name-Last: Hayabuchi Author-Name: Shiro Hori Author-X-Name-First: Shiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hori Title: Does diversity among directors affect corporate climate change behaviour? Evidence from Japan Abstract: This paper examines how female and foreign corporate directors influence their corporation’s climate change behaviour. This study found that female directors contribute to the formulation of their company’s climate change vision, and foreign directors contribute to the formulation of a climate change mission. Japan has set a long-term goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050, an extremely difficult goal to achieve. Our results suggest that it is important to appoint female and foreign directors to achieve net zero emissions. Our results also suggest that diversity among company directors needs to be further expanded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 518-523 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:518-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140750_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yonghyun Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Yonghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Namil Kim Author-X-Name-First: Namil Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do political events have an impact on stock indices? Empirical research on emerging countries Abstract: Using synthetic control methods, we examined the economic effects of political uncertainty. We show that political uncertainty resulting from certain political events is negatively related to major stock indices. Particularly in emerging countries, political turmoil involving the president enormously increases the difficulty of doing business due to increased uncertainty in economic policy. Our results suggest that the beginning of the impeachment process and successful military coup could positively influence the stock market, while a military coup failure and an aircraft accident negatively influence the stock market. Therefore, market investors and business owners in emerging countries must be prepared for significant changes in the progress of a company, industry or sector after the event occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-567 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:561-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140104_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Po-Keng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Po-Keng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Chinho Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chinho Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Fundamentalists in the cryptocurrency markets Abstract: In this study, we apply an interactive agent‐based model to investigate fundamentalists and positive-feedback traders behaviours in cryptocurrency markets. Our results suggested that fundamentalists pushed up cryptocurrency prices in some past periods. In addition, the cryptocurrency markets are unstable and agitated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-544 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:535-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140105_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Wenbin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wenbin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yahao Dong Author-X-Name-First: Yahao Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Outsourcing and the variability of corporate performance Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of outsourcing on the variability of corporate performance, based on manually collected outsourcing data of Chinese companies from 2012 to 2020. The results show that outsourcing significantly reduces the variability of corporate performance, and the negative correlation between outsourcing and the variability of corporate performance is more significant in companies with high quality of information disclosure, low degree of asset specificity, and low production efficiency. It shows that outsourcing is an effective management decision to disperse corporate risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140101_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tomomichi Mizuno Author-X-Name-First: Tomomichi Author-X-Name-Last: Mizuno Author-Name: Kazuhiro Takauchi Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Takauchi Title: Bertrand competition in vertically related markets Abstract: We build a successive Bertrand model with a homogenous good. We show that increasing the production efficiency of an industry can reduce firms’ profits. We also show that this result holds in the successive Cournot model. Hence, an industrial policy aimed at improving production efficiency may be undesirable for firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 524-529 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:524-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140107_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Andrew L. Goodkind Author-X-Name-First: Andrew L. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodkind Author-Name: Robert P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: Benjamin A. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Estimating the climate and health damages of Bitcoin mining in the US: Is Bitcoin underwater? Abstract: Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin (BTC), based on the proof-of-work mining production scheme create significant social costs. This analysis monetarily estimates the health and climate damages of BTC mining in the United States (US) from September 2019 to December 2021, and then compares these damages to BTC’s market price. We further show the spatial dispersion of BTC’s ‘social damage-to-market price’ ratio across US states. If this benchmark ratio is >1, then it is a clear indicator of an unsustainable technology. Results indicate significant geographic hotspots and periods when BTC mining generates social costs that exceed the market price—i.e. instances where BTC is underwater. On average, for the US, damages represented 49% of the value of the coins generated and BTC was underwater on approximately one-quarter of days between September 2019 and December 2021. Several US states have average damages that exceed the value of each BTC mined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-560 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:555-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140106_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Ángela Castillo-Murciego Author-X-Name-First: Ángela Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Murciego Author-Name: Julio López-Laborda Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: López-Laborda Title: Which multinationals can escape high Statutory Tax Rates? The Profit-Shifting strategy to reduce taxes Abstract: Multinationals can escape high Statutory Tax Rates (STRs) by way of Profit-Shifting (P-S) and in this form, reduce the Effective Tax Rate (ETR) they ultimately pay. In this article, we find evidence for Spain consistent with P-S, since the relationship between STRs and ETRs becomes negative for multinationals with characteristics that may facilitate P-S, i.e. being very large, having at least one tax haven affiliate, and owning Intellectual Property. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 550-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:550-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2139799_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Christoph Bauner Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Bauner Author-Name: Nathalie Lavoie Author-X-Name-First: Nathalie Author-X-Name-Last: Lavoie Title: The costs of eating gluten-free Abstract: We leverage a large dataset of U.S. bakery products to comprehensively study price and nutritional composition of gluten-free products in comparison with gluten-containing items. Using data from 2013 to 2022, and controlling for time and manufacturer fixed effects as well as other product claims such as ‘all natural’, our findings suggest that gluten-free products are up to 85% more expensive than gluten-containing ones. In addition, gluten-free products have a different nutrient profile. Across product subcategories, they contain more total fat than gluten-containing products – as much as 113% more in the bread subcategory. However, compared to their gluten-containing counterparts, gluten-free breads contain less sodium, gluten-free cookies contain more fibre and gluten-free pastries contain more fibre and less sugar. We conclude that unless gluten-free products are medically prescribed, consumers should carefully weigh all product characteristics when choosing between gluten-free and gluten-containing versions of the same product. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 508-512 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2139799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2139799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:508-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2139801_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Masataka Harada Author-X-Name-First: Masataka Author-X-Name-Last: Harada Author-Name: Tetsuya Matsubayashi Author-X-Name-First: Tetsuya Author-X-Name-Last: Matsubayashi Title: Intergovernmental transfers as magnets for low-income people Abstract: We demonstrate that intergovernmental transfers affect migration decisions. If local governments with large distributive allocations offer greater government employment, public works projects, and assistance to (small) businesses, they attract low-skilled or unemployed residents to move or stay in. We find that more allocations increase not only the share of low-income residents but also the economic disparity in the city. We exploit the major electoral reform in Japan as an instrumental variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2139801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2139801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2139797_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Qing Sophie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qing Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shaojie Lai Author-X-Name-First: Shaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Social insurance payments and labour investment efficiency: A quasi-natural experiment Abstract: This study exploits the passage of the 2011 Social Insurance (SI) Law in China to investigate how a labour protection regulation affects corporate labour investment efficiency (LIE). We find that labour-intensive firms invest more efficiently in labour after the SI Law. Our findings are robust to alternative measures, selection bias and endogeneity concerns. Overall, our findings show that labour protection regulations have a profound impact on corporate employment decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-502 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2139797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2139797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:497-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140102_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Cecilia Ciocirlan Author-X-Name-First: Cecilia Author-X-Name-Last: Ciocirlan Author-Name: Mihai Nițoi Author-X-Name-First: Mihai Author-X-Name-Last: Nițoi Title: Policy complementarity: major fiscal and monetary announcements during the pandemic Abstract: This paper evaluates the impact of major European fiscal and monetary policy announcements during the pandemic. Applying an event study methodology, we find that the fiscal-monetary policy-mix announcements are associated with more stable bond markets across the entire EU. Proof of positive spillover transmission, policy announcements tend to stabilize spreads even in CEE countries without EMU membership. The results indicate a high degree of complementarity between fiscal and monetary policy: well-timed fiscal policy announcements complemented ECB’s monetary programs, protecting sovereign bond market from risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 530-534 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:6:p:530-534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141438_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Abhradeep Maiti Author-X-Name-First: Abhradeep Author-X-Name-Last: Maiti Title: Heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 pandemic on individual income across industries Abstract: I use a nationally representative data-set from India to estimate the heterogeneous impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on individual income in different industries. The difference-in-differences estimates show that the impact varies across industries, and in the case of some industries there is no statistically significant impact of the pandemic on individual income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 646-653 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:646-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141443_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Muneer M. Alshater Author-X-Name-First: Muneer M. Author-X-Name-Last: Alshater Author-Name: Onur Polat Author-X-Name-First: Onur Author-X-Name-Last: Polat Author-Name: Rim El Khoury Author-X-Name-First: Rim Author-X-Name-Last: El Khoury Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Dynamic connectedness among regional FinTech indices in times of turbulences Abstract: This study examines the connectedness among several regional FinTech indices and analyses the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on the dynamic spillovers. We employ the time-varying parameter vector autoregression and time-frequency connectedness network approach using data spanning from 2 September 2021 until 4 April 2022. We find that the returns and volatility spillovers among FinTech indices burst with the outbreak of the invasion. During this invasion, Asia-Pacific and Japan FinTech appeared to be the largest recipients of the spillovers. In contrast, Europe and North America FinTech appeared to be the largest transmitters of spillovers. The short-term effect among regional FinTech indices is stronger than the long-term relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 670-675 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:670-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140758_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Junkai Ma Author-X-Name-First: Junkai Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Guangsi Li Author-X-Name-First: Guangsi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xintong Liang Author-X-Name-First: Xintong Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Impact of farmland property rights security on public security in rural areas of China Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature by investigating the effects of farmland property rights on public security using the China Labor-force Dynamics Survey data. The results indicate that farmland property rights positively impact public security. This study uses the instrumental variable to solve the endogenous problem. Based on the results, farmland property rights have a positive and significant effect on public security due to the reduction of land acquisition conflicts and social poverty. Hence, this research suggests that the protection of farmland property rights plays a crucial role in ensuring the harmonious development of rural society. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 618-622 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:618-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140753_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Asafo-Adjei Author-Name: Samuel Kwaku Agyei Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Kwaku Author-X-Name-Last: Agyei Author-Name: Anokye Mohammed Adam Author-X-Name-First: Anokye Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Adam Author-Name: Ahmed Bossman Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Bossman Author-Name: Ştefan Cristian Gherghina Author-X-Name-First: Ştefan Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Gherghina Title: On the nexus between constituents and global energy commodities: an asymmetric analysis Abstract: The study examines the nexus between global energy commodity and its constituent across market conditions using the quantile regression approaches. We found that the positive effect of global energy commodity on its constituents was stronger relative to the feedback effect from the constituents. It is pertinent to hedge against fluctuations in the energy commodities using the global energy commodity as an appropriate hedged asset with the required hedging instrument. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-587 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:579-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140759_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Duy Tan Do Author-X-Name-First: Duy Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Do Author-Name: Phuong Lan Le Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Trading behaviours during stock market bubbles: evidence from Vietnam Abstract: We study investors’ trading behaviours during bubbles on the Vietnam stock market. Vietnam offers a great setting due to its high susceptibility to bubbles and large heterogeneity among various groups of investors. We document evidence of trading explosions during two bubbles identified in our sample period, followed by reversions in the aftermath. Financial sectors make a significant contribution to this phenomenon in both episodes. We also find that foreign and sophisticated investors increase their holdings when the bubbles form and start selling well before the bursts, suggesting their superior ability to local individuals in timing the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-629 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:623-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141442_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sefa Takmaz Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Author-X-Name-Last: Takmaz Author-Name: Erkam Sarı Author-X-Name-First: Erkam Author-X-Name-Last: Sarı Author-Name: Sedat Alataş Author-X-Name-First: Sedat Author-X-Name-Last: Alataş Title: Financial inclusion in Turkey: unpacking the provincial inequality and its determinants Abstract: This paper investigates the regional disparity of financial inclusion (FI) and its determinants in Turkey from 2004 to 2020. To this end, we first construct an FI index using the principal component analysis. Then, based on the club convergence approach, we test the existence of convergence to show regional disparities in FI. Finally, we examine the main determinants of provincial disparity using ordered logit models. The convergence results strongly reject the full-panel convergence, indicating a regional disparity in FI. Furthermore, our analyses reveal that financial inclusion positively correlates with population, income, and income inequality, while unemployment hinders inclusion. Overall, our results imply that policies focusing on digital financial services, increasing financial literacy, and reducing unemployment should significantly diminish regional disparities and improve FI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-669 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:661-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2142502_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jamel Saadaoui Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Saadaoui Author-Name: Chi Keung Marco Lau Author-X-Name-First: Chi Keung Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Yifei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Testing fiscal sustainability in OECD countries: new evidence from the past centuries Abstract: Using three complementary approaches that examine the fulfilment of the intertemporal budget constraint while avoiding explosive behaviour, this study examines the stationarity and the sustainability of public finance for six industrial countries over the period spanning from 1870 to 2017. According to Fourier DF unit root tests, time-varying fiscal reaction functions and threshold reaction functions, we find that longer-run debt sustainability is not rejected for the UK, Sweden, and for the US. The evidence is somewhat equivocal for Canada, Italy and Portugal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 676-682 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2142502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2142502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:676-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140754_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Max Resende Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Volatility assessment of US trucking spot freight market Abstract: This research created an estimator for a near-real-time US truckload spot market price index. This work applied an ARX-GARCH model to assess freight volatility by incorporating explanatory variables in the mean-equation to address the sector-specific behavioural patterns. The results suggest that daily rate volatility can be better specified with such an extended version of standard GARCH. It was also observed the reduction of immediate shock effects in freight rate variation, especially when controlling for fuel surcharge and truck capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 588-593 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:588-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140756_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Shuo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shuo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Feng Yin Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: The effect of service FDI on carbon productivity in China: a multidimensional heterogeneity perspective Abstract: Effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) in services on carbon productivity is examined based on Chinese province-level panel data from 2007 to 2019. We control for income level, technical level and sectoral differences and find (ⅰ) in the full sample, service FDI has no significant effect on carbon productivity; (ⅱ) the effect of income inequality: service FDI flowing into high-income regions benefits the environment, while flows to low-income regions do not support the pollution-halo effect; (ⅲ) the effect of technology inequality: service FDI in regions with high technology levels reduces the carbon emission, while the environmental effect of service FDI is insignificant in low-technology regions; (ⅳ) industrial heterogeneity: FDI inflows to different sectors show different sensitivities to income level and have different impacts on carbon productivity. The result has a strong policy implication which will be helpful for the local governments to make policies with the aim to maximize the benefit from the pollution-halo effect of service FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-607 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:603-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140757_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jianhua Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jianxiang Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jianxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The effect of the registration-based IPO reform on price efficiency: evidence from China Abstract: Based on the event-study methodology, this study investigates the effect of China’s milestone registration-based initial public offering (IPO) system reform on stock price efficiency and price discovery. Our findings indicate that the reform improves price efficiency in the short and long term. Price discovery under the registration-based IPO system is stronger than under the approval system. Additionally, the reform’s effect on investor sentiment and institutional transaction costs can affect price efficiency and price discovery. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 608-617 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:608-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141440_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Cong Yu Author-X-Name-First: Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The impact of regulatory ban on connectedness of cryptocurrency market Abstract: This article employs the DCC-GARCH-based approach proposed by Gabauer (2020) to measure the connectedness of the cryptocurrency market, and whether the connectedness indexes became significantly different after China issued the regulatory ban in May 2021. The empirical finding suggests that the cryptocurrency market became significantly more interconnected after the ban was issued. Furthermore, we find that the net connectedness indexes of the majority of cryptocurrencies in the sample changed significantly after the ban. Among all the studied cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is the largest net volatility receiver and Solana is the largest net volatility transmitter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 654-660 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:654-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141437_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yuxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yanzhou Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yanzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Value-added tax, product innovation and export quality: evidence from China Abstract: In this study, we examine the relationship between value-added tax burden and export quality. Our results show that the increase of VAT burden leads to lower export quality. We also find that the decline in export quality may be caused by the decrease of product innovation. Moreover, the empirical evidence on patent application shows that VAT burden mainly reduces invention and utility model patents, instead of design patents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 640-645 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:640-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2299244_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Byeung-Kuk Oh Author-X-Name-First: Byeung-Kuk Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: The impact of teacher gender on students’ class rank Abstract: Using the random assignment of students to subject teachers in South Korean middle schools, this study investigates the causal impact of teacher – student gender matches on students’ academic rankings within their classes. The findings show that having female teachers improves female students’ rank relative to that of male students. This effect is likely to be driven by changes in teacher behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2299244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2299244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2141436_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Wei Yin Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Ziling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ziling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xinxin Luo Author-X-Name-First: Xinxin Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Berna Kirkulak-Uludag Author-X-Name-First: Berna Author-X-Name-Last: Kirkulak-Uludag Title: Forecasting cryptocurrencies’ price with the financial stress index: a graph neural network prediction strategy Abstract: This article proposes a graph neural network strategy (GNN), in which the long short-term memory (LSTM) and graph convolution network (GCN) are applied to capture both temporal and spatial features to forecast the price of Bitcoin, Litecoin, Ethereum, and Dash Coin with the ‘stable-coin’ Tether (USDT) and financial stress index (FSI). The main results show that the GNN strategy has better performance than univariate LSTM and multivariate LSTM in all of the seven steps forward forecasting. A sensitivity check shows that USDT and FSI/sub-FSI are important factors in the construction of the graphs and they verify the validity of the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 630-639 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2141436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2141436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:630-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2140755_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Pin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Pin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yue Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: FinTech adoption and bank risk-taking: evidence from China Abstract: We examine the impact of FinTech adoption on bank risk-taking. Applying the instrumental variable panel quantile regression (IV-QRPD) approach to the data of 160 Chinese commercial banks over the period of 2011–2020, we provide fresh evidence on the quantile-varying relation between FinTech adoption and bank risk-taking. We show that FinTech adoption increases bank risk-taking in low and middle quantiles but reduces bank risk-taking in high quantiles. We further find that this quantile-varying impact works through the efficiency-enhancing, gamble for resurrection, and credit expansion channels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 594-602 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2140755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2140755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:7:p:594-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146644_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Daniel Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Bernard Sarpong Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Sarpong Author-Name: Eunice Yaa Cudjoe Author-X-Name-First: Eunice Yaa Author-X-Name-Last: Cudjoe Title: Cost-efficiency and bank profitability during health crisis Abstract: This paper examines the impact of cost-efficiency on bank profitability in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic using quarterly data from a panel of banks operating in five (5) Sub-Saharan African countries. The findings show that cost-efficient banks are more profitable amid the pandemic. Additionally, we found that revenue diversification is associated with strong financial performance. Our findings contribute to literature by proposing the adoption of aggressive cost control and revenue diversification strategies by the management of banks to ensure sustainable and resilient financial performance in times of crises when interest incomes are sticky. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 732-737 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:732-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2145010_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Author-Name: Mahammad Kheyirkhabarli Author-X-Name-First: Mahammad Author-X-Name-Last: Kheyirkhabarli Author-Name: Magdolna Sass Author-X-Name-First: Magdolna Author-X-Name-Last: Sass Title: Gravity models with TiVA data: do they bring new results? Abstract: Using Trade in Value Added (TiVA) data in gravity models may result in new insights into international trade. The aim of this article is to compare whether for a large set of OECD and non-OECD countries, relying on ‘traditional’ foreign trade data and TiVA data results in differences in gravity model estimations. According to our results, these differences are minor, which can be explained by the fact that the inclination of countries to trade gross and value added may be similar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 702-705 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2145010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2145010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:702-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146640_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Rong Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Zhengxi Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhengxi Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Characteristics and trends of regional inequality in China: a multidimensional perspective Abstract: We conduct an empirical study on regional inequality, one of the main factors of the principal contradiction in China, using the provincial data from 2011 to 2019, from a multidimensional perspective. Inequalities are measured based on an approach that improves the applicability of inequality measures in multidimensional case. From the results, we find a continuous downward trend in overall regional inequality, but the performance of regional inequality differs across dimensions. Among four dimensions, regional inequality in the dimension of economy has been increasing and is substantially higher than others, and the sharp drop of inequality in ecology has greatly contributed to the decline in overall regional inequality since 2014. For sub-dimensions, we find that regional inequality in sub-dimensions including economic performance, economic innovation, economic infrastructure, ecological governance, and housing is at a relatively high level and on the rise, which should be Chinese government’s focus at the present stage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-711 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:706-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146647_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Joaquín Paseyro Mayol Author-X-Name-First: Joaquín Author-X-Name-Last: Paseyro Mayol Author-Name: Tiziano Razzolini Author-X-Name-First: Tiziano Author-X-Name-Last: Razzolini Title: Covid-19 vaccine uptake: the role of civic capital to overcome the free rider problem Abstract: Vaccination rates are likely to reflect the expected benefits and drawbacks for individuals. As a larger share of the population gets vaccinated, individuals have more incentives to free ride and benefit from the positive externalities of a high vaccination rate, while not being affected by the potential harms of receiving vaccination. Using Covid-19 vaccination data at the municipality level in the Italian region of Lombardy, we show that communities with a higher level of civic capital were able to overcome this collective action problem. An indirect measure of the willingness to contribute to a public good (i.e. the share of residents paying the TV licence) proves to be particularly useful to predict the success of vaccination campaigns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 750-756 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:750-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146651_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Steven Salaga Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Salaga Author-Name: William Howley Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Howley Title: The impact of weather on betting outcomes and market behaviour in the NCAA football totals market Abstract: Sports betting markets are an attractive setting to evaluate the degree to which publicly available information is efficiently incorporated into asset prices. Weather information represents one category of potentially undervalued public data, and we assess its impact on wagering outcomes and market behaviour in American college football. We uncover statistically significant effects of weather characteristics on totals market outcomes, indicating that the market does not appropriately assimilate this data into its forecasts. We also demonstrate that weather characteristics are not statistically significant predictors of totals market line movement magnitude. Together, these results suggest the market systematically undervalues weather data. We then develop simple wagering strategies utilizing only three weather characteristics and illustrate the ability to profit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-782 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:779-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146641_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Author-Name: Panagiotis Ravanos Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Ravanos Title: Job loss and Covid-19: an analysis on the impacts of remote work and automation Abstract: Using a unique dataset from a dedicated Cedefop Skills Forecast scenario on the impacts of COVID-19, this paper explores two possible determinants of expected job loss in the European Union (EU) due to the pandemic, namely the potential of work from home and the impacts of automation. Our findings suggest that less remote work and more automation are both related to future job losses across countries and occupations. These links are stronger in 2020–2021 at the country level, while becoming significant at the occupation level after 2022 when several protective measures taken by EU governments are expected to have been lifted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 712-723 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:712-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146650_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Suria Dauod Author-X-Name-First: Suria Author-X-Name-Last: Dauod Author-Name: Carlos D. Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Do remittances affect output? Evidence from Lebanon Abstract: This paper examines the effects of remittances on output for Lebanon, a case with a unique setting: remittances to Lebanon are primarily from workers located in oil-producing Gulf States and thus influenced by oil prices. This setting enables us to estimate a structural VAR model using the price of oil as an instrument. We estimate the model with and without the instrument and compare the impulse response of remittances. Our key results are as follows: without the instrument, we find that a one-standard deviation shock in remittances increases industrial production by about 0.10% to 0.20%, a small and weakly estimated effect. In the instrumental variable setting, the magnitude increases by a factor of at least 5.8: the increase in output ranges from 0.72% to 1.11%. Our results imply that remittance effects on output computed using standard VARs are likely underestimated. Moreover, they suggest that the adoption of policies that facilitate remittance flows should be encouraged as they likely stimulate economic growth by more than previously detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 774-778 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:774-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146646_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Arzu Alvan Bozdereli Author-X-Name-First: Arzu Author-X-Name-Last: Alvan Bozdereli Author-Name: Qais Rahmatzada Author-X-Name-First: Qais Author-X-Name-Last: Rahmatzada Title: Relationship between residential property prices and macroeconomıc variables in Turkey Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the existence of a long-term relationship between residential property prices and indicators such as gross domestic product growth rate, inflation rate, foreign direct investment as percentage of GDP, household income, population, exchange rate, total credits to households as percentage of GDP, employment rate and gold price index in Turkey. For this, annual data covering the years 1971–2019 were used in the relevant variables. Cointegration analyzes were performed to determine the long-term balance between residential property prices and variables. Vector error correction model (VECM) is applied to see the possible imbalances in the long run. Granger causality analysis was used to determine causality from variables to residential property prices and vice versa. According to the empirical findings of the study, it has been observed that there is a long-term positive relationship between residential property prices and gold price index, inflation rate, foreign direct investment, household income and population in Turkey. It has been found that there is a negative relationship between the gross domestic product growth rate, exchange rate, employment rate, total credits to households and residential property prices in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-749 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:743-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146648_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xinyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xueting Mei Author-X-Name-First: Xueting Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Li Liu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Forecasting RMB exchange rate volatility: do time-varying higher moments and time-varying risk aversion help? Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the predictive value of time-varying higher moments and time-varying risk aversion (RA) for the RMB exchange rate volatility. To do so, we develop a threshold GARCH-MIDAS model with skewness and kurtosis (henceforth TGARCH-MIDAS-SK model). Our empirical results indicate the presence of significant reverse leverage effect and time-varying skewness and kurtosis in the RMB exchange rate returns. The RA has a significant negative impact on the RMB exchange rate volatility. Moreover, we observe that incorporating leverage effect, time-varying higher moments and RA improves the in-sample fitting and out-of-sample forecasting performance of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-767 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:757-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2142504_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Taehyeon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Taehyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Eunyoung Cho Author-X-Name-First: Eunyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: The day-of-the-week effect on global stock market volatility after a market shock Abstract: This paper suggests new evidence for the recent surge of the day-of-the-week effect on market volatility after a stock market shock. Using global market indices, this study revisits the day-of-the-week effect on market volatility and provides the first evidence of Tuesday’s low volatility after the COVID-19 shock. We also find no evidence of a day-of-the-week volatility effect from the analysis of the pre-COVID-19 period. Overall, our results provide implications for the investment decision-making and risk management of portfolio managers after a market shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 696-701 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2142504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2142504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:696-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2142503_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaoyu Xie Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Kaige Guo Author-X-Name-First: Kaige Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Does financial industry agglomeration affect the upgrading of manufacturing servitization in the digital economy era? Abstract: This paper explains how financial industry agglomeration promotes the upgrading of manufacturing servitization in the digital economy era. Then, it measures both the level of financial industry agglomeration and manufacturing servitization from the supply side and the relationship among financial industry agglomeration, digital finance, and manufacturing servitization for empirical testing. The research results show that financial industry agglomeration promotes the development of manufacturing servitization; financial industry agglomeration reduces digital finance, but digital finance promotes manufacturing servitization. Although there is a game at play between financial agglomeration and digital finance, the gaining effect of digital finance on the servitization of manufacturing is greater than the cutting effect of financial agglomeration on digital finance, so digital finance has a facilitating effect on the agglomeration of productive services for the servitization of manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-695 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2142503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2142503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:689-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146642_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhuo Jin Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The effect of cultural distance on rural-to-urban migrants’ self-employment in China: evidence from eight industries Abstract: This study offers additional evidence on the self-employment of rural-to-urban migrants from the perspective of cultural barriers in China. By employing seven waves of the China Migrants Dynamic Survey data from 2010 to 2016, we find that cultural distance has a negative and significant effect on the self-employment of rural-to-urban migrants in eight subdivision industries. In particular, such negative effect is greater in the service sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 724-727 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:724-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146643_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Akitoshi Ito Author-X-Name-First: Akitoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Kenichi Nagasawa Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Nagasawa Title: Impact of the corporate response to climate risk on financial leverage and systematic risk Abstract: This study examines how firms’ responses to climate risk affect the financial leverage through an impact on the asset beta. Considering the 2015 Paris Agreement about greenhouse gas reduction as a natural experiment on Japanese manufacturing firms, we observe that the asset beta increased and financial leverage decreased for high emission firms after the agreement was signed. Further, a significant decline was observed for the leverage of high emission firms experiencing a sharp rise in the asset beta. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 728-731 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:728-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146649_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Meiling Kang Author-X-Name-First: Meiling Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Luyao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Luyao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yucheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Yucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Do temporary trade barriers substitute tariff reductions in China? Abstract: Starting from the trade policy substitution hypothesis, this paper uses detailed product-level data from 1997 to 2015 to supplement empirical evidence in China. We find that to the extent permitted by the WTO, there is a substitution relationship between temporary trade barriers and tariff reductions in China. Among the three types of temporary trade barriers, antidumping is the most frequent tool and presents a remarkably negative relationship with tariff reductions. After a set of robustness tests, the relationship still holds. Therefore, this paper verifies the trade policy substitution hypothesis and provides theoretical support for trade policy practice in the context of trade liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 768-773 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:768-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2146645_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yasuo Nishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nishiyama Title: Risk transfer and value for money by infrastructure project type Abstract: In deciding whether an infrastructure project should be delivered using traditional procurement or a public-private partnership (PPP), the public sector estimates the project’s value for money (VFM), which serves as the principal justification for adopting PPP. It is well known that VFM arises primarily from risk transfer, that is, the risk of (for example) potential cost overruns is transferred from the public sector to the private sector under PPP, thereby creating cost savings to the public sector. Using a unique source of PPP data, Infrastructure Ontario, Canada, this paper investigates an issue not examined systematically and quantitatively in the literature: how the contribution to VFM arising from risk transfer varies from project type to project type, and why. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 738-742 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2146645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2146645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:8:p:738-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152420_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Guoyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jinsheng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jinsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Regional financial development, spatial spillover and capitalization of pig breeding Abstract: Based on the relevant statistical data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2007 to 2020, the spatial spillover effect of the impact of financial development on the capitalization of hog farming was analysed by establishing a spatial Durbin model based on the capitalization of hog farming in China.The results show that the level of regional financial development has a facilitating effect on the capitalization of hog farming.Meanwhile, the results of decomposition effects show that the regional financial development level has a negative spillover effect on capitalized farming of hogs.The reason for this negative externality may be the siphoning effect of the developed financial industry areas on the capital and non-fixed farming factors in the surrounding areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 840-844 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:840-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2151972_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Political relations and service trade: evidence from a panel threshold model Abstract: This paper investigates linear and nonlinear impacts of political relations on China’s service trade import and export to 8 countries from 2005 to 2019. The result shows that positive effect of political relations on both service trade import and export can be obtained. Using a threshold model, it is found that when the trading country’s economy level reaches the first threshold, the role of political relations will change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 794-799 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2151972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2151972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:794-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2151973_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chryssanthi Filippopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Chryssanthi Author-X-Name-Last: Filippopoulou Title: Multinomial logit as an early warning model for predicting banking crises Abstract: Since the Global Financial Crisis in 2007, a domino of banking distress episodes took place around the world, both at individual and systemic level. The bailout cost of these banking crises was extreme, especially in USA and EU countries, which were mostly affected. In recent years, there are many empirical studies, which attempt to develop a new mechanism of Early Warnings. As a result, more integrated and accurate systems are developed. Concerning the selection of the appropriate method, multivariate logit analysis is arguably one of the most popular models for EWSs. An important methodological issue, regarding the application of binary logit models, is how to deal with the observations following the onset of a banking crisis. One can either treat years after crisis as tranquil periods or remove them from the sample. In this paper, a multinomial logit model is applied to include all the crisis observations in the sample, treating them as a different outcome. Subsequently, this paper compares the predictive ability of binomial and multinomial logit models as EWSs for systemic banking crises in Eurozone, and, contrary to previous results, multinomial logit model does not seem to perform well to signal systemic banking crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 800-806 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2151973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2151973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:800-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2151971_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Patroklos Patsoulis Author-X-Name-First: Patroklos Author-X-Name-Last: Patsoulis Title: Abnormal stock returns of Greek banks during COVID-19: an event study Abstract: This paper aims to disentangle the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on four major Greek bank stocks that were traded in the Athens Stock Exchange during the period the pandemic begun. To this end we employ an event study methodology and estimate Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs) that stem from three key announcement dates. These dates include two monetary policy and a major health news announcement. The four banks we focus on are the National Bank of Greece, Eurobank, Alpha Bank and Piraeus Bank. We calculate abnormal stock returns in windows of ±10, ±5, ±2, ±1 and day of the announcements, and report that monetary policy announcements either do not affect stock performance or their effect is only mild, while health news have a positive impact on stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 788-793 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2151971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2151971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:788-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152422_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Feng Cao Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Sifei Li Author-X-Name-First: Sifei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hao Jian Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Jian Author-Name: Yang Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Do local CEOs commit less fraud? Evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: This paper investigates whether CEOs working near their birthplace (i.e. local CEOs) commit less fraud. Using data of Chinese listed firms, where local social network is important for business, we find that local CEOs are associated with less fraud commitment. Cross-sectional analyses show that the inhibitory effect is weakened when the CEOs have poverty or oversea experiences. Such impact is more pronounced when the firms are owned by non-state owners or have weaker internal control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-853 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:849-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152418_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Darkhan Nurakhmet Author-X-Name-First: Darkhan Author-X-Name-Last: Nurakhmet Author-Name: Kunsu Park Author-X-Name-First: Kunsu Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Are CEO characteristics associated with income smoothing? Abstract: This study examines whether CEO characteristics are potentially linked to firms’ financial reporting behaviour, i.e. income smoothing behaviour. Using a unique hand-collected data set on CEO characteristics between 2008 and 2017 from U.K. firms, we find that firms with longer CEO tenure, run by CEOs with accounting or finance educational backgrounds, and those with female CEOs tend to engage in more income smoothing. Our results are robust to alternative measures of income smoothing and different estimation specifications. Our empirical evidence suggests that certain types of CEO characteristics play an important role in determining a firm’s income-smoothing activities. Our study sheds light on how CEO characteristics extend to other aspects of corporate behaviour, in this case, firms’ income smoothing behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 824-831 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:824-831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152416_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xuejie Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xuejie Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Jing Liao Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: David Smith Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: How does regional religiosity influence corporate innovation? New evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the impact of regional religiosity on corporate innovation. We find that religiosity has a significantly positive influence on innovation performance of Chinese listed firms. The mechanism analysis indicates that regional religiosity enhances the level of regional social fairness, which explains the positive relation between religiosity and innovation of firms headquartered in the region. However, regional religiosity, an informal institutional factor, only promotes innovation in privately-owned corporations, not in state-owned enterprises in which political objectives are prevalent and which are therefore less likely to be affected by informal institutional factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-818 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:811-818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2153788_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Lucía Echeverría Author-X-Name-First: Lucía Author-X-Name-Last: Echeverría Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: How does household welfare vary in response to changes in food prices? Poor vs. non-poor households Abstract: In this paper, we focus on poor households vs. non-poor households, using objective and subjective definitions of poverty. We evaluate the various responses of these households to changes in food expenditures, income, and prices, and simulate the welfare losses of food price changes across poverty definitions. We use the QUAIDS model to estimate food elasticities and rely on the National Survey of Expenditure and Household Income, from Uruguay 2016/2017, because it contains novel information on the subjective poverty status of each household. Our results show important differences across poverty definitions. In addition, we find that price increases may lead to larger welfare losses in poor households. On average, the percentage of income needed to avoid a loss in the economic welfare of poor households, defined by the objective method, is twice that required by the non-poor households, for all price changes. Differences are much smaller when using the subjective approach. Our main contribution is the first evidence of consumption behaviour and welfare analysis under different poverty measures. Our findings highlight the need for policies that mitigate the negative effects of price shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 854-862 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2153788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2153788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:854-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152415_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Vijay Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Yangyuyu Luo Author-X-Name-First: Yangyuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Timber harvesting in New Zealand Abstract: Sustainable forest management is important to maintain the ability of forests to grow and provide a range of products and environmental services while retaining their natural features. We find that income, radiata pine prices, trade, agricultural expansion, and environmental policies have a significant impact on timber harvesting in New Zealand. Increase in income, radiata pine prices, number of farms, horticulture plantation and bank loans lead to an increase in timber harvesting. On the other hand, environmental policies, especially those to mitigate climate change, decrease timber harvesting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-810 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:807-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2154310_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zheng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: How does ICT use affect job satisfaction? Evidence from China Abstract: Based on the balanced panel data of the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) covering the period 2016–2018, this paper investigates the effect of ICT use on job satisfaction of employees. The results show that ICT use improves job satisfaction and has an indirect effect on job satisfaction through income status. Further research shows that ICT use has more significant effect on job satisfaction among male, younger, and unmarried employees; the effect of ICT use on job satisfaction of different skilled employees is in descending order: low-skilled employees, medium-skilled employees, and high-skilled employees. Moreover, there are evidence indicating the presence of a nonlinear relationship between education level and job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-867 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2154310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2154310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:863-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152419_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ken C. Ho Author-X-Name-First: Ken C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Chunhui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chunhui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Da Yang Author-X-Name-First: Da Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yibo Gao Author-X-Name-First: Yibo Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Medical reform, Covid-19 vaccine and stock returns: the case of Chinese listed pharmaceutical and healthcare companies Abstract: This article analyses the stock returns of Chinese pharmaceutical and healthcare companies in response to the announcements of medical reform and Covid-19 vaccines, which are underexplored in the literature. Medical reform in China removes all drug markups of public hospitals; we find that the announcement of medical reform might not negatively impact the overall stock returns but only negatively impact young firms and small firms. Meanwhile, Covid-19 vaccines are deemed to be important weapons against the virus; we find that the announcements of Covid-19 vaccine approvals positively impacted the overall stock returns but did not benefit young firms and small firms. Our results imply that investors of the pharmaceutical and healthcare industries generally favour old firms and large firms when important medical news emerges. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 832-839 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:832-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2150140_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Adam Jakubik Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Jakubik Author-Name: Alexander Keck Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Keck Author-Name: Roberta Piermartini Author-X-Name-First: Roberta Author-X-Name-Last: Piermartini Title: Trade Policy Implications of a Changing World: Tariffs and Market Power Abstract: A major economic rationale for trade agreements is limiting mutually harmful terms-of-trade externalities. We analyse the impact of market power on tariff commitments of original and acceded WTO members. As countries grow, their market power in different sectors can change in unforeseen ways. To quantify the economic significance of our estimates, we compare actual and predicted tariff commitments under current market power. We find that tariff cuts required to reflect current economic conditions would amount to up to $26.4 billion – nearly 10% of global tariff costs. In the past, the GATT/WTO system has updated tariff commitments through periodic ‘rounds’, and our findings support the long-overdue revival of the WTO’s negotiation function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-787 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2150140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2150140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:783-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152421_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Madeleine A. Drost Author-X-Name-First: Madeleine A. Author-X-Name-Last: Drost Author-Name: Anastasia R. Snyder Author-X-Name-First: Anastasia R. Author-X-Name-Last: Snyder Author-Name: Michael Betz Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Betz Author-Name: Cäzilia Loibl Author-X-Name-First: Cäzilia Author-X-Name-Last: Loibl Title: Financial strain and loneliness in older adults Abstract: This study assesses whether changes in older adults’ financial situation after an economic shock are associated with feelings of loneliness. Data come from the 2006 and 2010 waves of the Health and Retirement Study (N = 2,510) which span the 2008 Great Recession. We conduct first-differencing and formal mediation analyses to determine whether change in financial situation is related to change in loneliness in older age and test potential mediation of personal and social resources. Results show that a higher level of loneliness in 2010 is associated with a higher level of subjective financial strain but not with changes in household income and net assets. The findings hold when accounting for personal and social resources. Knowledge of the direct link between financial strain and loneliness in older age provides an important insight for programmes and initiatives aimed at relieving widespread loneliness in later life. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-848 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:845-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2152417_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: George Myron Agiomirgianakis Author-X-Name-First: George Myron Author-X-Name-Last: Agiomirgianakis Author-Name: Konstantinos Gkillas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Gkillas Author-Name: Anastasia Pseiridis Author-X-Name-First: Anastasia Author-X-Name-Last: Pseiridis Author-Name: Nicholas Tsounis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsounis Title: Will you marry my degree? An exploratory quantile regression with many covariates Abstract: Which and how many covariates are relevant to educational hypergamy in the matching market? We address these questions using a Lasso quantile regression framework applied on a unique survey containing information with respect to education or other characteristics associated with economic well-being. Our findings provide evidence for the end of hypergamy as we show that females tend to reduce the educational gap in their preferences for selecting a partner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 819-823 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2152417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2152417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:819-823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2155605_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Wei-Qiang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xia Li Author-X-Name-First: Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: International spillover of economic policy uncertainty and its transmission channels: a spatial econometrics method Abstract: This paper employs a spatial econometrics method to study the international spillovers of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), and contributes to the literature by exploring the transmission channels. We comprehensively consider bilateral trade, financial investment, and information channels (government liability, trade imbalance, fiscal imbalance, business cycle). Based on a large sample of 21 countries from 2001Q1 to 2021Q4, our analysis indicates that the channels proposed are all significantly effective, and bilateral trade contributes the most. We also investigate the dominant channels during five crisis and non-crisis periods: in the global financial crisis, financial investment and government liability similarity are of utmost importance; in European debt crisis, bilateral trade and information channels of government liability and business cycle are the main channels; before these crises, the dominant channel is financial investment, which turned to be bilateral trade in the post-crises period; in COVID-19 pandemic, financial investment is the most important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 868-873 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2155605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2155605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:9:p:868-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156466_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Moonsoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Moonsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: The effect of corporate investment on market frictions: implication for the stock price delay premium Abstract: We demonstrate the effect of corporate investment on market frictions by exploring the stock liquidity channel. Using the stock price delay premium as a proxy for market frictions, we find that higher corporate investment leads to lower premium for stocks whose price responds slowly to information. Moreover, this cross-sectional phenomenon is more pronounced during the low sentiment/liquidity period, which experiences lack of liquidity. We obtain qualitatively the same results in a battery of robustness checks. Overall, this study suggests that corporate investment alleviates market frictions by altering stock liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 940-947 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:940-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156462_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Danny Cyra Yangchen Author-X-Name-First: Danny Cyra Author-X-Name-Last: Yangchen Author-Name: Qisong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Qisong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Mingyong Hong Author-X-Name-First: Mingyong Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Lijuan Gong Author-X-Name-First: Lijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Title: Natural disasters and risky financial assets investment (RFAI): Evidence from Chinese urban households Abstract: Based on CFPS2014 and CFPS2018 data, this study investigates the impact of natural disasters on risky financial assets investment (RFAI) of Chinese urban households. The results show that natural disasters can significantly reduce the decision and intensity of household RFAI. Families with permanent jobs, higher education level and property income tend to adopt RFAI. The household population size negatively affects the household RFAI decision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-918 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:913-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mingjie Fang Author-X-Name-First: Mingjie Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Feng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Kwangtae Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwangtae Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Is inventory performance helping to improve SME credit ratings? The moderating role of supply chain concentration Abstract: This study examines the relationship between inventory performance and credit ratings and explores how this relationship is affected by supply chain concentration in the context of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Financial indicators and bond rating data for SMEs in China’s manufacturing sector are obtained from two large public data sources, and hierarchical ordered logistic regression analysis is used to investigate our research questions. The findings show that inventory performance is positively associated with SME credit ratings and that this relationship is positively moderated by customer concentration but negatively moderated by supplier concentration. This study provides valuable theoretical contributions to the interface of supply chain and finance research and offers important managerial implications that SMEs can follow to increase their credit ratings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 880-884 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:880-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156465_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mohammed Armah Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Armah Author-Name: Godfred Amewu Author-X-Name-First: Godfred Author-X-Name-Last: Amewu Title: Time-frequency dynamics of financial market stress and global economic uncertainties: evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: Given the negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on world economies, uncertainties are expected to increase during this period. To this end, we examine the time-frequency dynamics of financial market stress and economic uncertainties. We apply in-sample and out-sample namely; bivariate wavelet and quantile causality to accentuate the importance of economic uncertainties and market stress during COVID-19. We find that both in-sample and out-sample for economic uncertainty drive and pose a high risk to the financial market during COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 934-939 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:934-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156463_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Seul-Ki Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seul-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Young-Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Single-sex vs. coed education: can schooling type affect over- and underweight health risks? Abstract: This study shows that adolescents’ weight-related health risks can depend on the type of school attended: single-sex vs. coed. Our analyses of a 14-year survey of over 478,000 middle school students in South Korea, conducted from 2005 to 2019, indicate that while single-sex school attendance may increase the risk of being overweight, it also decreases the risk of being underweight compared to coed school attendance. We further confirmed that non-overweight girls in single-sex schools are less likely to engage in weight-loss efforts or participate in the unhealthy weight-loss methods such as having fewer meals and monotrophic diet. These findings imply that the coed and single-sex schools should adopt different approaches to improving their students’ weight-related health conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-926 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:919-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156467_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Carolina Pagliacci Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Pagliacci Title: Cash shortages and consumption during Venezuela’s hyperinflation Abstract: This paper tests whether cash shortages observed during the hyperinflation in Venezuela reduced consumption. Volumetric consumption indices are constructed for two types of goods: basic and non-basic goods, using data from Nielsen Venezuela at the national level. We find that cash shortages did reduce basic goods consumption but did not affect non-basic goods. The greatest consumption losses occurred between the forced demonetization of December 2016 and the peak of hyperinflation (September 2018). Those losses range between 3 and 10% points (p.p.) of the monthly consumption that would have been observed without the monetary restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 948-952 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:948-952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156458_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: David C. Kingsley Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kingsley Author-Name: Aaron Smith-Walter Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smith-Walter Title: Grid-group cultural theory and behaviour in a public good experiment Abstract: This paper investigates the interaction between one’s cultural orientation, as derived from Grid-Group Cultural Theory (GGCT), and behaviour in a public good (PG) experiment with and without the opportunity to monitor and punish. We observe that high-group individuals contribute more than low-group individuals and that high-grid individuals are more likely to monitor and punish than low-grid individuals. Results confirm that one’s culture interacts in predictable ways with economic institutions. Future research is warranted to determine whether such institutions can be designed to appeal to specific cultures in order to achieve public policy goals more effectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-900 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:893-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159004_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Kyoungwon Mo Author-X-Name-First: Kyoungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyung Yun (Kailey) Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Mutual fund investments, group affiliation, and SG&A cost stickiness: evidence from Korea Abstract: This paper examines the effect of mutual fund investments on the cost stickiness of the firms they follow. Using a sample of public Korean firms, we find that mutual fund investments reduce cost stickiness. Additional analyses further show that the positive influence of mutual funds monitoring becomes stronger for mutual funds that are in the same business group with the firms. Overall, the results suggest that mutual funds prevent suboptimal changes in costs when sales are declining, thus reducing cost stickiness, and this association is stronger when the transfer of information and knowledge is feasible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-973 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:967-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156460_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Joaquín Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Joaquín Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Author-Name: Kirsten Sehnbruch Author-X-Name-First: Kirsten Author-X-Name-Last: Sehnbruch Author-Name: Diego Vidal Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal Title: A dynamic counting approach to measure multidimensional deprivations in jobs Abstract: The adjusted headcount ratio from the multidimensional poverty measures has been used in cross-sectional research on the labour market to study the cumulative aspects of multiple job deprivations. This article takes advantage of the decomposition property of this method to develop a dynamic model for examining and understanding the transitions between precarious employment dimensions and index changes from a longitudinal perspective using panel data from Chile. Evidence produced by this method shows multidimensional precarious employment traps in women, while men suffer greater deprivations in the social protection dimension despite economic growth and the overall decrease in the multidimensional deprivation index. Both results would not be evident if only a cross-sectional analysis were used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-912 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:907-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159002_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: James Yae Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yae Title: Unintended look-ahead bias in out-of-sample forecasting Abstract: This article shows that out-of-sample tests are susceptible to look-ahead bias not only to multiple testing problem that is emphasized in the literature. A forecaster often constructs a well-performing model without trial and error but with an intuition that is derived from observed empirical patterns in the test sample. Such an intuition, however, is unavailable in the beginning of the test sample. Therefore, the reported forecasting performance in an out-of-sample test is possibly exaggerated, although a forecaster simply utilizes her expertise without any intended p-hacking or fishing. A stylized forecasting model with an example of stock market return predictability quantitatively demonstrates this unintended look-ahead bias in out-of-sample tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-957 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:953-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156459_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Paul Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Ammu George Author-X-Name-First: Ammu Author-X-Name-Last: George Author-Name: Taojun Xie Author-X-Name-First: Taojun Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Yan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Pandemic arbitrage in foreign direct investments: A perspective on the modes of entry Abstract: Foreign direct investments (FDI) are considered long-term and less sensitive to global shocks as they involve large amounts of capital investment that are costly to reverse. This study examines whether there was a reallocation of FDI flows from destination markets more affected by the pandemic, resulting in a pandemic arbitrage. Using bilateral FDI inflows data from January 2019 to December 2020, we show that FDI flows declined to destination markets that performed worse than source markets in COVID-19 infection rates, with the effect more evident in greenfield FDI. Our results also show that bilateral colonial ties and destination market COVID-19 policy stringency impact the pandemic arbitrage in FDI flows, especially for M&As. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-906 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:901-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159003_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Do agricultural subsidies raise the income of rural households effectively? Evidence from rural China Abstract: This paper constructs a difference-in-difference (DID) model and uses the survey data of the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) to examine the impact of agricultural subsidies on the income of rural households. The empirical results although capture a significant increase of the income of rural households after the expansion policy of the agricultural subsidies, this improvement of income only can be confirmed in the low income rural households. In addition, two possible mechanisms can provide interpretations for the influence of agricultural subsidies on the income of rural households: (ⅰ) the support by agricultural subsidies increases the transfer income of rural households (transfer effect); (ⅱ) agricultural subsidies encourage farmers to invest their surplus labour in non-agricultural markets to obtain wage income (productivity effect). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 958-966 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:958-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156456_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Nilkanth Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nilkanth Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Determinants to the adoption of energy-efficient retrofits and the role of policy measures Abstract: Buildings are responsible for around 45% of total energy consumption and one-third of CO2 emissions annually in Switzerland. Policymakers have argued that an increased rate of energy-saving retrofits in existing buildings will play a critical role in meeting the energy and climate policy goals. This article examines the determinants for the households’ investment decisions to undertake energy-efficient retrofits and investigates the role of policy measures. We estimate random effects probit models using a rich data for 1663 owned single-family Swiss households for retrofits undertaken during 2010 to 2014. Results suggest that while the building vintage appears to be a relevant determinant; energy-related attitudes of decision makers and policy instruments are also likely to play an important role. In particular, we find a suggestive evidence of tax deduction policy in supporting households’ decisions to undertake energy-saving retrofits as well as the intensity of renovation. Direct monetary policies such as tax deductions should be focused particularly upon poorly insulated old buildings and those that rely on non-renewable energy sources for heating purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-892 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:885-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156464_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ai-Yee Ooi Author-X-Name-First: Ai-Yee Author-X-Name-Last: Ooi Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Kim-Leng Goh Author-X-Name-First: Kim-Leng Author-X-Name-Last: Goh Title: Shareholding sizes and stock price informativeness Abstract: This study examines the relationship between shareholding sizes and stock price informativeness, grounded on the costly acquisition of private firm-specific information. Using data for all non-financial Malaysian public listed companies over the period of 2002–2019, we confirm that the positive relationship between blockholdings and stock price informativeness only holds at the threshold level of 5% and above. Our results provide new evidence that the relationship turns negative for small shareholding sizes, which can be ascribed to the high acquisition costs of private information deterring small shareholders from informed trading. Therefore, regulators and corporate managers should capitalize on modern information technologies to reduce the costs of information acquisition by small investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:927-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2156454_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yitong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yitong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yunbiao Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yunbiao Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Beibei Shi Author-X-Name-First: Beibei Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Market reactions to political uncertainty: evidence from Taiwan accidentally fires Missile towards Mainland China Abstract: This letter examines the impact of political uncertainty on stock prices by utilizing a quasi-experiment, i.e. Taiwan accidentally fires a missile towards mainland China. As this missile accident was entirely unforeseen by investors in the market, it provided a complete exogenous shock causing political uncertainty. We find that the political uncertainty caused by the events has significant negative effects on stock prices, especially for firms that have economic and geographical connections with Taiwan or are adjacent to Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-879 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2156454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2156454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:10:p:875-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174491_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: B. Jay Coleman Author-X-Name-First: B. Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Author-Name: Andres Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Author-Name: Paul M. Mason Author-X-Name-First: Paul M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mason Author-Name: Jeffrey W. Steagall Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey W. Author-X-Name-Last: Steagall Author-Name: Eric J. Steagall Author-X-Name-First: Eric J. Author-X-Name-Last: Steagall Title: Changes in voter bias in the associated press college football poll Abstract: We evaluate whether biases found in the 2007 Associated Press poll have persisted. Data from the 2018 and 2019 pre-COVID Football Bowl Subdivision seasons show that geographic and recency biases have diminished. However, AP pollsters during 2018–19 appear to have favoured even more disproportionately Notre Dame and the teams from the five so-called Power-5 conferences than they did in 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1045-1048 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1045-1048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2161984_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jeffrey Prince Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Author-Name: Daniel H. Simon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel H. Author-X-Name-Last: Simon Title: The Effect of Domestic Air Travel on the Spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. Abstract: We examine the relationship between passengers arriving from COVID-19 hotspots during the early period of the pandemic and the number of COVID-19 cases or deaths in a MSA during the first wave of the pandemic in the U.S. To do so, we link airline passenger flows with COVID-19 infection and mortality data. We control for MSA-level population and demographic data. We examine infection and mortality rates in MSAs receiving more versus fewer airline passengers from four early COVID-19 hotspots: New York City, Boston, Detroit, and New Orleans. We then compare the effect of airline passengers from these four hotspots with the effect of airline passengers from a set of eight cities with similar numbers of departing airline passengers. We find no evidence that passengers arriving from four early COVID-19 hotspots are positively correlated with local COVID-19 infection and death rates. More broadly, we find no evidence that passenger arrivals from COVID-19 hotspots increased the early spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. Our results indicate that banning domestic air travel may do little to slow the spread of infections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 992-995 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2161984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2161984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:992-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2167914_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chunfei Weng Author-X-Name-First: Chunfei Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Author-Name: Jingong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jingong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chew Lian Chua Author-X-Name-First: Chew Lian Author-X-Name-Last: Chua Title: Asymmetric adjustment of clean energy demand in the OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the asymmetric demand for clean energy for a panel of OECD countries. We construct a price index for clean energy based on information on the energy composition of electricity generation, and focus on the possibility of non-symmetric clean and dirty clean consumption due to rising and falling energy prices, and to positive income growth and negative income growth. Using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model that encapsulates both long-run equilibrium among energy demands, energy prices and income, and short-run dynamics. We find evidence that clean energy demand adjusts more aggressively to a price decline than a price rise. In addition, we find that clean energy consumption is more responsive to negative income changes than to positive income changes. A climate policy implication is that policy should account for reversal effect of clean energy consumption during periods of economic downturn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1000-1013 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2167914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2167914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1000-1013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2168605_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhuo Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Tajul Ariffin Masron Author-X-Name-First: Tajul Ariffin Author-X-Name-Last: Masron Title: Does economic policy uncertainty exacerbate corporate financialization? Evidence from China Abstract: Nowadays, academics and governments are increasingly concerned about the growing size of non-financial enterprises’ ownership of financial products. Taking corporations listed in the Chinese stock market as the research sample, this study investigates the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on corporate financialization. We find that EPU will exacerbate corporate financialization, which is robust after conducting a series of estimation tests. Further investigation reveals that financing constraints may be the primary channel by which EPU motivates corporate booming financial product holdings. The exacerbation effects are particularly prominent in firms with small size, non-SOEs, weak corporate governance, and firms at a low growth stage. Overall, our results provide a novel explanation for the behaviour of corporate financialization in emerging capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1028-1036 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2168605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2168605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1028-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2161983_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Selcuk Gul Author-X-Name-First: Selcuk Author-X-Name-Last: Gul Author-Name: Yavuz Selim Hacihasanoglu Author-X-Name-First: Yavuz Selim Author-X-Name-Last: Hacihasanoglu Author-Name: Abdullah Kazdal Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Kazdal Author-Name: Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmaz Title: COVID-19 pandemic, vaccination and household expenditures: regional evidence from Turkish credit card data Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic induced a volatile pattern in household expenditures on a global scale. In this study, we analyse the mitigating effect of vaccination trends on pandemic-related depression in expenditures by exploiting province-level high-frequency credit and debit card data from a large emerging market, Türkiye. The baseline analysis confirms the moderating role of widespread vaccination with respect to consumption tendencies. Our baseline findings are validated by a myriad of robustness checks. Moreover, we show that this effect on pandemic-household expenditures nexus is stronger for provinces with a higher share of services industries in total value-added. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 988-991 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2161983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2161983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:988-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159005_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Growth in the European Union: the role of FDI in factor efficiency Abstract: The impact of foreign-direct-investment (FDI) on economic-growth has been studied extensively. The results are, however, inconclusive due to the use of inappropriate methodology and/or the disregard of the absorptive capacity of the receiving country, which is particularly affected by the existence of FDI. Starting from an analytical growth-accounting framework to deduce the estimated specifications, an econometric analysis with panel data was conducted for 27 European Union countries over the period 2000–2019 to highlight the importance of FDI in improving factor efficiency and hence economic growth. The results also highlight the relevance of openness to international trade, imports of machinery and transport equipment, and domestic investment in R&D as facilitators of the process of technology absorption and knowledge diffusion from FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-983 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:975-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2159006_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Madeline Zavodny Author-X-Name-First: Madeline Author-X-Name-Last: Zavodny Title: Waiting to work: employment among dependent spouses of H-1B visa holders in the U.S. Abstract: In 2015, the Obama administration eased the rules regarding employment for accompanying spouses of some temporary foreign workers who hold an H-1B visa. The policy change allowed some spouses of H-1B visa holders who were in the queue for a permanent resident visa to work. This study uses data from the National Survey of College Graduates to examine the impact of the policy change on employment rates among dependent spouses of temporary visa holders. The results indicate that the policy change increased their employment rate substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 984-987 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2159006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2022.2159006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:984-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2167915_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Defeng Meng Author-X-Name-First: Defeng Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Digital financial capability and household consumption: evidence from China Abstract: Utilizing the 2017 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data, we design a novel multidimensional index of consumers’ digital financial capability (DFC) and find that consumers’ DFC significantly and positively influences their total household consumption and the proportion of online consumption. Our analysis reveals consumers’ DFC impacts household consumption through mediating channels, i.e. easing credit constraints and promoting online shopping, information search, and social interaction. Overall, it is beneficial for consumers to enhance their DFC, not only their financial literacy, to better use digital financial services to improve their financial well-being in the digital era. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1014-1018 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2167915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2167915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1014-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174494_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Maryam Dilmaghani Author-X-Name-First: Maryam Author-X-Name-Last: Dilmaghani Author-Name: Min Hu Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Gender earnings gap in Canadian economics departments Abstract: The status of women in economics is increasingly researched. However, the gender earnings gap among economics faculty is rarely examined due to data limitations. Relying on Canadian Public Sector Salary Disclosure lists, we construct a unique dataset of earnings, credentials, and research productivity of economics faculty members. We find a ceteris paribus gender earnings gap, which is driven by full professors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1066 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1059-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174492_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Tommaso Tempesti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Tempesti Title: Covid-19 health risk, ability to work from home and establishment size Abstract: In December 2021, with COVID-19 cases about to reach their peak, US employment still remained below its pre-pandemic level, with data indicating a strong labour demand and a weak labour supply. Many US individuals did not work, out of a concern about Covid-19. At the same time, the pandemic affected businesses of different sizes differently. At first, the pandemic hit especially hard small businesses. But later in 2020 the recovery was stronger at smaller businesses than at larger ones. These developments call for a renewed attention to how the labour supply varies across employers of different sizes. I focus on two important determinants of labour supply during a pandemic: the vulnerability to the severe effects of the virus because of pre-existing health conditions and the ability to work from home. I study how these two factors vary across establishments of different sizes. I find that the ability to work from home is higher at larger establishments, for both workers with and without COVID-19 health risk. However, the difference in ability to work from home across these two types of workers does not decrease at larger employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1054 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1049-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2168604_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Gabriel Heller-Sahlgren Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Heller-Sahlgren Author-Name: Henrik Jordahl Author-X-Name-First: Henrik Author-X-Name-Last: Jordahl Title: Test scores and economic growth: update and extension Abstract: Research indicates that education quality – measured by test scores in international student surveys – predicts economic growth. In this paper, we extend previous findings up to 2016 and analyse test scores of upper-secondary school students only. We find that the positive relationship between growth and test scores holds in both cases. The share of top-performing students exhibits a stronger correlation with economic growth than does the share of students who meet basic requirements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1024-1027 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2168604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2168604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1024-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2168603_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Naiping Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Naiping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Jinyu Qian Author-X-Name-First: Jinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Jinlan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jinlan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Corporate social responsibility, financing capacity and innovation investment -- an empirical analysis based on a-share listed high tech enterprises Abstract: Over the past few years, China’s economy has been on a rapid upswing, and corporate R&D and innovation performance, the first driver of high-quality development, has been considered the key to achieving a breakthrough in China’s economic development. At the same time, the ability of companies to assume social responsibility while operating has been the focus of public attention. This study examines the impact of taking social responsibility on the ability of enterprises to invest in innovation. This study uses A-share high-tech enterprises in China from 2017–2019 as the research sample and uses ordinary least squares (OLS) to conduct the analysis. The results illustrate that shouldering social responsibility is a facilitator of innovation investment, and external financing can enhance the facilitation effect of CSR on innovation investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1023 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2168603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2168603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1019-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174493_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Fatma Guneri Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Guneri Author-Name: David Newlands Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Newlands Title: Flexible workspace and coworking pricing over time in NYC Abstract: This study examines price data for coworking spaces in the City of New York, between September and October 2020. The data were released by an online source (Datarade 2022). The results and data can be used in future research to examine reasons behind frequent price changes at coworking spaces. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1055-1058 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1055-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2169239_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ibrahim Fatnassi Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Fatnassi Author-Name: Yacine Hammami Author-X-Name-First: Yacine Author-X-Name-Last: Hammami Title: Assessing systemic risk of Islamic banks during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis Abstract: We examine the systemic risk (SR) of listed Islamic banks (IB) around the world for the 2005–2020 period. Our research hypothesis states that if IB are resilient to economic crises, we expect a stable pattern of SR for IB across pre- and during international crises. Our empirical results do not confirm this hypothesis. We find evidence that the SR of IB has increased sharply during the subprime and COVID-19 crises. Furthermore, we identify the presence of systematically important Islamic banks (SIIB). These results are robust to different measures of SR and do not depend on a specific region. These findings suggest that the Islamic banking system is vulnerable to downside risk and to the failure of SIIB. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1044 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2169239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2169239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:1037-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2166658_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xinyun Yin Author-X-Name-First: Xinyun Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Rui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Menglu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Menglu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: How household debt impacts residents’ health: evidence from China Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between household debt and residents’ health. Using the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) database, we find that household debt has a negative effect, which shows asymmetry and persistence on residents’ health. Further heterogeneity analysis reveals that an increase in the debt level of non-over-indebted households has a more significant negative impact on residents’ health, and, therefore, households need to consider the possible impact on health welfare of increases in their debt level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 996-999 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2166658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2166658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:11:p:996-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176434_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Bohdan Horak Author-X-Name-First: Bohdan Author-X-Name-Last: Horak Author-Name: Christoph Frei Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Frei Title: Cannabis legalization: do banking transactions reflect a shift away from the illegal market? Abstract: Using data on banking transactions, we analyse how people changed their spending behaviour when recreational cannabis became legal in Canada. In the data set, we identify people with purchases in a cannabis store after legalization. We apply a difference-in-difference approach to compare their spending before and after legalization. People with cannabis purchases after legalization reduced significantly and persistently their cash spending and electronic transfers, indicating a shift from the black to the legal cannabis market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1104-1111 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1104-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174929_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jesse Groenewegen Author-X-Name-First: Jesse Author-X-Name-Last: Groenewegen Author-Name: Sjoerd Hardeman Author-X-Name-First: Sjoerd Author-X-Name-Last: Hardeman Title: Beyond digitalization: the role of structured management practices in the uptake of working from home after COVID-19 Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic led to an increase in working from home (WFH). Part of this increase in WFH is likely to stick post-COVID. One question is: in which firms will it? Using survey data covering over 1,500 firms across industries in the Netherlands, we find that WFH is more likely to stick in firms with structured management practices. This finding holds even whilst controlling for firms’ level of digitalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1072-1075 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1072-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176436_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xinyi Li Author-X-Name-First: Xinyi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiaoli Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Global textile and apparel value-added exports network structure and China’s network position Abstract: By taking the textile and apparel value-added exports data of 43 economies as the research sample, the social network analysis method is used to measure the global textile and apparel value-added exports network structure. The results show that the world textile and apparel value-added trade network is uneven, China has the widest range of trading partners, and the breadth of trading partners is growing over time. Germany and Italy have a stronger ability to control trade among other economies, and China’s ability to control trade with other economies is generally average, but the gap between China and Germany or Italy has narrowed significantly. China’s core degree has risen sharply. The trade networks are concentrated in a small number of core zone countries. The small group located in China is characterized by contraction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1119-1124 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1119-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176435_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mark E. Lokanan Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Lokanan Title: Predicting money laundering sanctions using machine learning algorithms and artificial neural networks Abstract: This article used machine learning (ML) and artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms to predict the likelihood of a country being sanctioned by the Basel Institute on Governance for not adhering to anti-money laundering (AML) standards. Data for this paper came from the Basel AML Index and the World Bank. The results showed that the logistic regression and support vector machine (SVM) classifiers had the highest performance and balanced accuracy scores in sanction prediction. Additionally, these two algorithms also had the highest precision, specificity, and F1 scores, indicating that they were robust in their predictions of money laundering sanctions. In contrast to the ML classifiers, the ANN model had the highest sensitivity and receiver operating characteristic scores for money laundering sanctions. The strongest predictors of sanctions are financial transparency, political and legal risks, unemployment rate, and money laundering and terrorist financing risks. These findings reinforce the potential practical applications of ML and ANN models in predicting sanctions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1112-1118 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1112-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176438_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sun Ho Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sun Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Dohyoung Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Dohyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: Sources of emerging market business cycles: an open-economy factor-augmented VAR approach Abstract: This paper constructs an open-economy factor-augmented VAR model to assess the dynamic effects of global shocks on emerging market economies and to quantify their relative importance in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging countries. An unexpected favourable shock to global demand and supply has a strong and positive effect on emerging markets, whereas an unanticipated rise in global interest rates and commodity prices leads to a significant decline in aggregate activity. Variance decomposition analysis implies that more than 80% of the variation in emerging market output growth can be attributed to the global shocks. In particular, the global demand shock is the most critical, explaining roughly 30% of the fluctuation in output growth. The global supply shock is closely associated with the medium-to-long-term variation in output growth, explaining about 17%, whereas the monetary policy and commodity price shocks are relatively relevant for the short-term variation, explaining about 20% respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1135 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1129-1135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176440_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sun Young Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sun Young Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Finding hidden structure of sparse longitudinal data via functional Eigenfunctions Abstract: In this research, we are interested in finding the hidden dependence structure of sparse longitudinal data. Finding the hidden dependence structure of sparse longitudinal data is difficult due to the starting and end times being different. We propose that finding the directional dependence structure of the eigenfunctions by sparse functional principal component analysis (FPCA) may be a good alternative solution to find the hidden dependence structure of sparse longitudinal data. To verify this idea, we apply sparse FPCA to simulated data and two real datasets, wage sparse longitudinal data and Korea composite stock price index (KOSPI) high-frequency minute tick data and then apply vine copula and copula dynamic conditional correlation with asymmetric GARCH model to the functional eigenfunctions from FPCA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1142-1149 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1142-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176432_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Carlo Bellavite Pellegrini Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Bellavite Pellegrini Author-Name: Raul Caruso Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Caruso Author-Name: Marco Di Domizio Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Di Domizio Title: Becoming a benefit company in Italy: a firm-level investigation Abstract: This paper investigates the correlates of transformation of firms into a Benefit Company (BC) which is a hybrid form of business, introduced in Italy in 2016. We exploit a firm-level analysis based on a dataset of 748 firms, of which 185 have been transformed in BC between 2009 and 2019. The empirical analysis highlights that the probability of converting an existing firm into a BC is associated with prior performance. In particular, it is: (i) positively associated with profitability; (ii) negatively associated with indebtedness. In addition, it appears to be (iii) positively associated with longevity of the firm and (iv) positively associated with the size of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1096-1099 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1096-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176430_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jackson Jinhong Mi Author-X-Name-First: Jackson Jinhong Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Yicheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: How do industries recover through Covid-19 pandemic? An empirical investigation on Chinese online recruitment data Abstract: We investigate the recovery of domestic industries following the effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic in China, which has implications for future trends in global economic recovery. We employ online firm recruitment data from a major Chinese online job listing website to reflect the recovery in employment and a regression discontinuity design. The results show that after the COVID-19 pandemic was effectively controlled in China from March 2020, the Chinese economy in terms of employment experienced an overall V-shaped recovery. From an industry perspective, some industries underwent the same rapid recovery, whereas others exhibited a U-shaped recovery path. In addition, we found that industries in the information technology industry were not negatively affected by COVID-19 and continued to perform well during the domestic epidemic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1089 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1083-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176439_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yudong Deng Author-X-Name-First: Yudong Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Huixia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huixia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Economic crises and obesity: evidence and mechanism from the United States Abstract: Existing studies that explore the relationship between business cycles and health remain debated. This study investigates the effects of economic fluctuation on obesity in the United States. Using the county-level unemployment rates from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), we find that people are less likely to be obese during economic downturns. Particularly, a one percentage points increase in unemployment rates would lead to the chances of being obese reduced by 0.45% points. We further explore the underlying mechanisms of how business fluctuations affect obesity. We find that people tend to do more exercise and spend less on food expenditure during the economic downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1136-1141 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1136-1141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176437_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Author-Name: Haiko Stefan Author-X-Name-First: Haiko Author-X-Name-Last: Stefan Title: The impact of the brexit referendum on greenfield foreign direct investments from countries within and outside the European single market Abstract: We use a Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) specification to investigate whether the number of greenfield foreign direct investments (GFDIs) announcements in the UK decreased from the referendum year and, if so, whether the decrease is more pronounced for announcements made by investors outside the European Single Market (ESM) than for those by investors within the ESM. In this context, we argue that increased uncertainty about the UK’s future economic relationship with EU began early in the referendum year and affected investors outside the ESM more than investors inside the ESM. One possible reason for this heterogeneity could be, among others, that not following the ‘Norwegian Model’ after the implementation of the withdrawal agreement poses a greater threat to them, since they tend to use the UK more often as an export platform. For the analysis, we use data from fDi Markets, the World Bank and the Tax Foundation, which contain information on 185 countries from 2005 to 2019. The results obtained support our hypotheses and are robust to model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1128 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1125-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176429_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Markus Hummel Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Hummel Author-Name: Christian Hutter Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hutter Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: A note on labour market effects of supply chain bottlenecks Abstract: During the COVID-19 pandemic there were supply chain bottlenecks all over the world with regard to raw materials and intermediate products. In this article, we examine how these constraints affected labour market development. For an empirical panel analysis, we combine survey data and administrative labour market data for economic sectors in Germany. We find effects on unemployment that are noticeable but still relatively limited. The effect on short-time work, on the other hand, is revealed to be considerable. Whilst short-time work is traditionally imposed where there are slumps in demand, our results show that it is also used in the case of adverse supply shocks. While inflation is rising, this explains why the Phillips curve does not shift outward. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1076-1082 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1076-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176433_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Qingbin Meng Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Ziya Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Ziya Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Ruijun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ruijun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Local governments’ debt risk and enterprise innovation Abstract: This paper applies KMV modified model to construct a local governments’ debt risk index by using the local governments’ financial revenue and expenditure data and the data of Chinese A-share listed companies, and studies the relationship between local government debt risk and enterprise innovation. The results show that the increased risk of local government debt can encourage enterprises to increase R&D investment, which is more significant when the enterprises are politically connected, the provincial officers have a longer tenure, the provinces are more market-oriented, and the enterprises get more refunds of taxes. This paper provides empirical evidence for the state theory, which suggests that competition for political promotion among local officials can make the goal of personal political promotion of officials agree to intend to maximize social welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1100-1103 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1100-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176431_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yuanchuang Shan Author-X-Name-First: Yuanchuang Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Huisheng Shu Author-X-Name-First: Huisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Xuekang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuekang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Haoran Yi Author-X-Name-First: Haoran Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Title: The valuation of options on discrete dividend-paying stocks Abstract: In this paper, the valuation of European options in which the underlying stock pays a discrete dividend is investigated. A specific value is set in advance, and a dividend is paid when the underlying share price reaches it. The risk-neutral price of the associated European call option is derived. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the effects of model parameters on the option prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1090-1095 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1090-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2174495_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Kelvin Mulungu Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Mulungu Title: Contribution of non-timber forest products to national employment following weather shocks: evidence from 24 countries Abstract: Non-timber forest products (NTFPs) have been shown to play an important role in the livelihoods of rural communities, especially when experiencing an economic shock. However, their role at the macro-level is less understood. This paper assembled unique data from 24 countries and determined the contribution of NTFPs to employment and the effect of weather shocks on employment in NTFPs. Results show that NTFPs contribute about 0.03% to national employment and make up about 2% of the total agriculture sector labour force. Weather shocks (droughts and floods) increase the number of people employed in NTFPs by more than 16,000 workers per year, which is about 0.8% of the total agriculture labour force, and this effect is increasing in forest size. We contribute to the literature on the role of forests and NTFPs in employment creation at the national level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1071 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2174495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2174495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1067-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176441_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaojia Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojia Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Xuebin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuebin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ge Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ge Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Liqing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Product market competition, corporate governance and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the relationship between product market competition and internal corporate governance from the perspective of stock price crash risk using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2003 to 2014. We find that product market competition significantly decreases stock price crash risk and this effect is more pronounced for firms with poor corporate governance (i.e. state-owned enterprises (SOEs), firms with remote independent directors, and firms with lower managerial ownership). This pattern of evidence suggests that product market competition, as an external governance mechanism can substitute poor internal corporate governance by disciplining insiders’ information hoarding and thus lead to lower stock price crash risk. The further finding that market competition improves information quality supports the information hoarding channel. Our findings hold up to a battery of robustness checks and endogeneity tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1150-1158 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:12:p:1150-1158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177585_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hyunjung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Do internal control personnel affect post-earnings announcement drift? Evidence from the Korean stock market Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between a firm with a sufficient number of personnel in charge of its internal controls and post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Having enough internal control personnel is expected to increase the transparency and reliability of accounting information, reduce the delay in investors’ decision-making, and ultimately reduce PEAD. The empirical results show that PEAD is reduced when the size of a firm’s internal control workforce is adequate. This study contributes to the literature by finding that having a sufficient number of internal personnel responsible for a company’s accounting information is an additional factor that influences PEAD. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1172-1177 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1172-1177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177588_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Amirhossein Fard Author-X-Name-First: Amirhossein Author-X-Name-Last: Fard Title: The equity premium puzzle and two assets: GMM estimation Abstract: We quantify a production-based asset pricing model with fixed and variable capitals based on the GMM structural estimation. The estimation results match the stylized characteristics of the U.S. stock market return and help enlighten the equity premium puzzle. In addition, the model performance is reliable throughout the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1188-1194 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1188-1194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2257029_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: LinRui Huang Author-X-Name-First: LinRui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Niannian Wu Author-X-Name-First: Niannian Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The positive impact of green bond issuance on corporate ESG performance: from the perspective of environmental behavior Abstract: Green bonds have become a vital financial instrument to promote green development globally in the face of various environmental challenges. This paper investigates the impact of China’s A-share listed companies’ green bond issuance on ESG performance and the potential mechanisms from 2011–2021, using propensity score matching and double difference method (PSM-DID). The study finds that green bonds improve corporate ESG performance by enhancing environmental information disclosure, encouraging green innovation, and improving green reputation. Moreover, heavily polluting industries benefit more from green bond issuance in terms of ESG performance improvement. These findings contribute to understanding the benefits of green bond market in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1252 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2257029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2257029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1247-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177587_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Corey A. Shank Author-X-Name-First: Corey A. Author-X-Name-Last: Shank Title: Close but no cigar: does winning the game moderate or amplify failing to cover the spread in future NFL games Abstract: In this paper, I examine the joint role of the previous game’s outcome with and without the spread on wagers’ preferences and outcomes in the NFL gambling market. The results show that gamblers are more likely to wager on the home team if they covered the spread in their previous game, while they are less likely to bet on the home team if the visiting team won their last game (not considering the spread). Further results show that teams are more likely to cover the spread if they covered the spread but lost their previous game. Profitable betting strategies are then put forward based on this information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1184-1187 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1184-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177590_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Vijay Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Author-Name: Dawn Brackmann Author-X-Name-First: Dawn Author-X-Name-Last: Brackmann Title: The impact of Right-to-Work laws on the financials of hospitals: evidence based on Michigan and Indiana laws Abstract: This study examines the impact of Michigan and Indiana Right-to-Work (RTW) laws passed in 2012 on the financials (assets, revenue, operating expenses, and profitability) of their hospitals. Difference-in-difference regressions indicate that, on average, RTW enactments by the two states is associated with significant increase in assets (buildings and fixed equipment), net income, operating margin, and ROA of their hospitals compared to those in states with RTW laws or without RTW laws as the control group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1206 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1201-1206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Barnabé Walheer Author-X-Name-First: Barnabé Author-X-Name-Last: Walheer Title: One world several technologies ? A nonparametric test of club technology convergence Abstract: Empirical macroeconomics has highlighted the existence of technology clubs in the world. Are such clubs converging in terms of technological progress, and if so, at what speed? And, what is the role of technology convergence in output convergence? To answer these research questions, we here propose a pragmatic nonparametric test. Using a sample of 81 countries over the 1965–2014 period, we find that the ‘Advanced’ technology club defines the best practice technology in the world, and that the club of the ‘Followers’ but not the ‘Marginalized’ one shows technology convergence. Only in the ‘Followers’ indeed is technology convergence related to output convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1234-1242 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1234-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhiqiang Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Yuchen Guo Author-X-Name-First: Yuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Jun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Higher risk exposure in gains brings more risk-taking in losses: an experimental study Abstract: Past experiences play a key role in shaping risk preferences. Several experimental studies have found that the impact of antecedent risk exposure on subsequent risk-taking behaviour varies across domains, but a gap still exists in the literature with respect to how this dynamic is shaped by gains and losses. This paper experimentally reveals that exposure to a higher level of risk in the gain domain makes individuals more risk-taking in the subsequent loss domain and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1212-1219 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1212-1219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176442_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jae-Hyun Cho Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: The effect of geopolitical risk on corporate cash holdings: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study investigates the effect of geopolitical risk (GPR) on cash holdings of Korean firms. Korea’s export orientation, relationship with North Korea, and weak corporate governance together form the basis for studying the relationship between GPR and Korean firms’ cash holdings. Using samples of non-financial firms from 2001 to 2021, I find the GPR positively affects corporate cash holdings. This effect is more pronounced in firms with financial constraints, listed in the KOSDAQ (smaller and less regulated) market, and during cold market periods. My finding withstands various robustness tests including fixed effects, an instrument-variable analysis, and alternative measures of GPR. Overall, this study adds to the existing literature on corporate cash holdings by confirming that firms increase cash holdings with a precautionary motive to create a buffer against GPR-generated uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1159-1165 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1159-1165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178619_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaodong Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Yinglin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yinglin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Internal migration experience and innovation: evidence from entrepreneurs of small and medium enterprises in China Abstract: This study examined the impact of returnee entrepreneurs’ internal migration experience on enterprise innovation and explored possible mechanisms. Using data from the 2018 Enterprise Survey for Innovation and Entrepreneurship in China (ESIEC), which collected a large sample of entrepreneurs from small and medium enterprises, the results of our study showed that entrepreneurs’ internal migration experience positively affected enterprise innovation activities and expenditure. Further, the effects were larger for the entrepreneurs who had the first migration at a younger age and had a longer duration of migration exposure. The mechanism analysis suggested that human capital accumulation was a potential channel underlying the innovation consequences of entrepreneurs’ internal migration experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1220-1226 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1220-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178622_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Shujie Liang Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: International trade and urban-rural income inequality in China Abstract: The issue of income inequality has persisted for decades in China, rendering it one of the world’s most unequal countries. Given the increasing significance of international trade in China, it is important to understand whether it widens urban-rural income inequality. This paper aims to investigate the causality between international trade and the urban-rural income gap in China through the Granger causality test. We found that variables including foreign direct investment, dependence on exports, and GDP can cause urban-rural income inequality, while urban-rural income inequality causes rural income growth. Our results contribute to the controversial literature on income inequality with a focus on the urban-rural difference. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1246 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1243-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177586_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sumit Agarwal Author-X-Name-First: Sumit Author-X-Name-Last: Agarwal Author-Name: Poh Lin Tan Author-X-Name-First: Poh Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo Author-X-Name-First: Jie-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Tan-Soo Title: Long-term effects of air pollution on Singapore’s national university admissions Abstract: We investigate long-term impacts of exposure to four episodes of haze pollution on national university admission outcomes in Singapore. We find that compared to the unexposed groups, those who were exposed in-utero during the haze episodes of April 1977 and October 1983 obtained significantly lower admission scores and faced lower admission rates to university, with more severe effects for females. However, we do not detect negative effects among those who were exposed in the haze episodes of October 1991, August to October 1994 and August to October 1997 – which were arguably more severe pollution events. These findings present a more nuanced view of the long-term effects of exposure air pollution: while results from the first two episodes show that the long-term impacts are persistent over time, results from the latter three episodes suggest that negative impacts can possibly be mitigated due to economic development and protective measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1178-1183 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1178-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2177589_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ingul Baek Author-X-Name-First: Ingul Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: Sanha Noh Author-X-Name-First: Sanha Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Author-Name: Joonhong Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Joonhong Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Does income inequality move together across the world? Abstract: This study investigates the relative importance of synchronization of income inequality, measured by the Gini coefficient, using a dynamic factor model. This study finds that global factors are relatively stable, whereas regional factors have heterogeneous effects on income inequality fluctuations. Additionally, regional factors account more significantly for the future variance of income inequality than global factors, which is evidence of convergence within each continent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1200 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2177589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2177589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1195-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178620_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xian-Ji Kuang Author-X-Name-First: Xian-Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Kuang Author-Name: Yueh-Hua Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yueh-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Alan Chang Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Shih-Kuei Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Kuei Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Does variance risk premium predict expected returns? Abstract: The variance risk premium is a critical predictor of expected returns. However, numerous studies indicate that expected returns depend strongly on the state of the economy. Herein, we examine the effect of the variance risk premium in different market states by using cross – sectional regression and predictability of returns. Our empirical results show that the variance risk premium is a significantly priced factor in bull markets. Additionally, predicted return horizons are shorter in bear markets than in bull markets. Compared with that in bull markets, the predictive ability of the variance risk premium diminishes more rapidly in bear markets when the horizon period is lengthened. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1227-1233 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1227-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2178616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ana Paula Matias Gama Author-X-Name-First: Ana Paula Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Gama Author-Name: Ricardo Emanuel-Correia Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Emanuel-Correia Author-Name: Fábio Dias Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Dias Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: Mário Augusto Author-X-Name-First: Mário Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Title: The COVID-19 impact on crowdfunding performance: evidence from a peer to-peer lending platform Abstract: The COVID-19 impact on global poverty dragged another 97 million people into poverty in 2020. Nonetheless, there is scant evidence reporting on the impacts on alternative means of financing designed to enable the poor during this global health crisis. This paper addresses this gap of funding impoverished entrepreneurs by studying the changes in their successfully funded campaigns on the largest crowdfunding microfinance platform prior and during COVID-19. After collecting data from January 2018 to November 2021 for a total of 767,112 campaigns, we report that the COVID-19 pandemic positively impacts on the funding success of the crowdfunding campaigns. However, rises in the daily number of COVID-19 cases negatively associate with campaigns getting fully funded. The odds of campaigns being fully funded decrease by 4.4% for a one thousand increase in new cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2178616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2178616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEL_A_2176443_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xuanhui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuanhui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xishu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xishu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Azhong Ye Author-X-Name-First: Azhong Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Dynamic spatial Durbin threshold with two-way fixed effects: model, method, and test Abstract: This study introduces a dynamic spatial Durbin threshold (DSDT) model with two-way fixed effects. The method of spatial 2SLS, threshold effects test, and confidence intervals for the DSDT model are suggested after fixed effects transformation. Simulation results show that the estimation and test perform well in finite samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1166-1171 Issue: 13 Volume: 31 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2176443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2023.2176443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:31:y:2024:i:13:p:1166-1171